WEBVTT - Shipping Security in the Strait of Hormuz

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<v Speaker 1>Also media.

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<v Speaker 2>Hi everyone, and welcome to it could happen here.

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<v Speaker 1>It's me James today and I am very lucky to

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<v Speaker 1>join by Garrison.

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<v Speaker 2>Hi Ge, Hello, Hi Garrison.

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<v Speaker 1>I've some of you here today to talk about boats,

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<v Speaker 1>a topic that white men love. But we're not going

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<v Speaker 1>to talk about like going out on the lake and

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<v Speaker 1>looking for bass today.

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<v Speaker 2>I've only done bass fishing ones. It's not for me.

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<v Speaker 3>Do you hold up the fish for the picture? Do

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<v Speaker 3>you do the picture?

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<v Speaker 1>I wasn't blessed with a bass on that trip, but

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<v Speaker 1>I did get to It was very interesting because the

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<v Speaker 1>guy had like a purple boat with gold flex in it.

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<v Speaker 1>It didn't represent who I thought he was as a person.

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<v Speaker 1>Turned out actually he had a boat sponsorship and he

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<v Speaker 1>was going to sell it. But ah, it was a

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<v Speaker 1>cool boat. I got to drive that boat pretty fast

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<v Speaker 1>through some doughnuts and stuff. So that's another thing that

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<v Speaker 1>calls to a part of my soul. I want to

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<v Speaker 1>talk about private maritime security today. The reason why I've

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<v Speaker 1>course is that Iran is currently attacking boats in the

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<v Speaker 1>Strait of Horn Moves and elsewhere. Right there's some boats

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<v Speaker 1>were attacked in portant Basara yesterday. We're recording this on Thursday.

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<v Speaker 1>At the time of recording, they have attacked six boats.

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<v Speaker 1>It's more likely than not that there will be more

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<v Speaker 1>boats attacked by the time you are listening to this.

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<v Speaker 2>It's been a really bad week for boat guys.

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<v Speaker 3>It's been a bad year for boats in general.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh, Venezuela.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, yeah, let's talk about private maritime security.

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<v Speaker 2>So, like, when these boats are.

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<v Speaker 1>Transmitting the Strait of horn Moves, right, the United States

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<v Speaker 1>has offered and then rescinded the offer to escort them

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<v Speaker 1>through the Straight of Horn Moves. It's very unlikely that

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<v Speaker 1>the United States is going to be able to sufficiently

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<v Speaker 1>escort every boat that goes through the State of Horn Moves.

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<v Speaker 1>And this is a longstanding issue, right. I think probably

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<v Speaker 1>lots of listeners won't be aware of the long history

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<v Speaker 1>of private security on ships. Right. I'm only going to

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<v Speaker 1>talk about this in the context of the twenty first century,

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<v Speaker 1>but this goes.

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<v Speaker 2>A lot further back.

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<v Speaker 1>It's largely a consequence of the way the law governs

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<v Speaker 1>the ocean. It's actually the same wow, sorry, yeah, daddy,

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<v Speaker 1>long legs.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know if it's an American word for that

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<v Speaker 2>that I don't.

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<v Speaker 3>Know Daddy long legs.

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<v Speaker 1>That's okay, Yeah, absolute unit has just entered my office space.

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<v Speaker 1>World LM be the reason that we can have private

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<v Speaker 1>security contractors, often with machine guns, etc. On boats, It's

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<v Speaker 1>the same reason that horrific labor abuses are perpetrated on

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<v Speaker 1>boats on a daily basis. Right, Perhaps the most well

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<v Speaker 1>documented are among the most well documented are the ones

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<v Speaker 1>off Thailand on fishing ships, which often involve Burmese refugees

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<v Speaker 1>or people fleeing me anma right there essentially enslaved on

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<v Speaker 1>these boats or in sort of indentured servitude of trying

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<v Speaker 1>to quote unquote pay off their trip out of the

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<v Speaker 1>country they were fleeing. Right, I'm not talking about labor

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<v Speaker 1>abuses today. I want to talk more about private security.

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<v Speaker 1>Most of security provided two boats in the world.

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<v Speaker 2>In general, it's not.

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<v Speaker 1>Provided by states. It is provided by private military contractors.

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<v Speaker 2>Right.

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<v Speaker 1>Earlier on in the twentieth century, the typical profile of

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<v Speaker 1>one of these people would have been that they'd left

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<v Speaker 1>the military in a state in the global north. They

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<v Speaker 1>had found let's say, life for employment in the civilian

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<v Speaker 1>world to be difficult for them. And I've met a

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<v Speaker 1>number of these people in a number of places. Many

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<v Speaker 1>of them went to parts of Africa thinking that they

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<v Speaker 1>were going to work protecting wildlife and then ending up

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<v Speaker 1>protecting large container ships instead, or attempting to work for

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<v Speaker 1>a company that would one day let them protect wildlife

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<v Speaker 1>or something similar. Generally, the companies they end up working

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<v Speaker 1>for are generally referred to as private maritime security companies PMSCs,

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<v Speaker 1>as opposed to PMC private military contractor, although it is

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<v Speaker 1>a version of the same thing. Generally, these companies offer

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<v Speaker 1>a shipping company a sort of package, and it's not

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<v Speaker 1>just armed. Security also include stuff like intelligence, crisis response,

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<v Speaker 1>and potential intervention. I spoke to someone, for instance, who

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<v Speaker 1>had worked for a shipping company and his major job

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<v Speaker 1>was to deal with when people were kidnapped off the boats.

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<v Speaker 1>He would then either go and rescue the people or

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<v Speaker 1>negotiate with the people who would kidnapped them.

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<v Speaker 3>These are like cargo ships, oil tankers like what kind of.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so mostly they are on large commercial vessels, right,

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<v Speaker 1>cargo ships, oil tankers, things with an expensive cargo, although

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<v Speaker 1>it is not unheard of for pmsc's. For instance, you

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<v Speaker 1>may have a maritime security company to secure your large

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<v Speaker 1>mega yacht.

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<v Speaker 3>Sure, right, or another boat that you're worried about. Did

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<v Speaker 3>these happen on my cruise ships? Sometimes?

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<v Speaker 1>Yes, there was a shootout in the early two thousand

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<v Speaker 1>so I shoot out, it's probably private security characters on it.

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<v Speaker 1>I think it was an Italian cruise ship fired at

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<v Speaker 1>pirates who are attempting to board cruise ship.

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<v Speaker 3>Huh.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a lot less uncommon than you would think.

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<v Speaker 3>So when we're planning the twenty twenty eight Cool Zone

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<v Speaker 3>Media Cruise all access included, we're going to have to

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<v Speaker 3>contact with one of these companies.

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<v Speaker 1>I think we can probably bring that in house. I

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<v Speaker 1>think that that would be the goal at that point.

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<v Speaker 1>Right within the Greater iHeart Ecosystem Garrison, we have so

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<v Speaker 1>many automatic weapons. You don't listen to the like Belfed

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<v Speaker 1>Machine Gun podcast, the iHeart Militia. It's US and TED

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<v Speaker 1>cruise and we're we haven't really agreed on very much

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<v Speaker 1>other than gun ownership. Maybe we should talk about when

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<v Speaker 1>the real reason like PMSCs took off in the twenty

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<v Speaker 1>first century was the rise in piracy of Somalia. Right

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<v Speaker 1>before this piracy had existed, mostly in Southeast Asia. On

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<v Speaker 1>piracy has guested for as long as people going on

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<v Speaker 1>boats has existed, right, Let's specifically piracy off Southeast Asia

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<v Speaker 1>had before this been more of a like a smash

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<v Speaker 1>and grab kind of situation, like turn up, take what

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<v Speaker 1>you can leave. What was distinct in this piracy that

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<v Speaker 1>we began to see from like two thousand and eight

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<v Speaker 1>onwards was that pirates were either trying to see the

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<v Speaker 1>entire cargo of a vessel the vessel itself, or to

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<v Speaker 1>kidnap people from the vessel and hold them for ransom.

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<v Speaker 1>I guess the most high profile case was called the Maskalabama.

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<v Speaker 2>Are you familiar with this one?

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<v Speaker 3>No?

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, this is that's good because you get to hear

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<v Speaker 2>a story.

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<v Speaker 3>I don't keep up with piratenews dot org.

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<v Speaker 2>Really, I can see you being like pirate curious. No,

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<v Speaker 2>you're not interested in.

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<v Speaker 3>I've always had kind of a love hate relationship with pirates, Okay,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, undeniably cool in some way, also a little

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<v Speaker 3>bit messy.

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<v Speaker 2>They can be messy.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, yeah, lots of overlap between pirates and anarchism.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm sure you've this is true.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, some of my same critiques there for you both sides.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah. Yeah, I can also be messy.

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<v Speaker 3>As soon as the pirates all start wearing matching black suits,

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<v Speaker 3>then we can talk.

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<v Speaker 1>I think that's inherently like the piracy isn't about that.

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<v Speaker 1>Piracy is about self expression.

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<v Speaker 3>That's the thing, got it.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, well, yeah, great, disagree. I like a diverse pirate

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<v Speaker 1>outfit personally, in this case, a small vessel, right. I

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<v Speaker 1>think they had four or five pirates.

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<v Speaker 2>They had like.

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<v Speaker 1>Pretty basic weaponry RTE like kalashnikovs. I think they boarded

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<v Speaker 1>the mess Galabama. The boat had a pirate alarm, and

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<v Speaker 1>they sounded the pirate alarm. In this you have to

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<v Speaker 1>struggle to repress your like eighteenth century like mind pallas, right, Yeah. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>the crew sheltered in. They had like a safe room. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>they went in this safe room. Well, they captured the

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<v Speaker 1>captain of the ship pretty quickly. The ship didn't have

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<v Speaker 1>any means of defending itself other than it tried to,

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<v Speaker 1>like I'm not a massive boat understander, it tried to

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<v Speaker 1>use its rudder to swamp the pirate ship as it

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<v Speaker 1>was coming up, so like kind of flick it and

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<v Speaker 1>that didn't work. Yeah, And one member of the ship's

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<v Speaker 1>crew who hid himself with a knife and successfully subdued

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<v Speaker 1>and captured the leader of the pirates and the crew

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<v Speaker 1>then attempted to trade this person for their captain. They

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<v Speaker 1>tied up the pirate who they had captured attempted to

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<v Speaker 1>trade him for their captain. The pirates took the leader

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<v Speaker 1>of the pirates and then never gave the crew their

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<v Speaker 1>captain and then made off in a lifeboat with a

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<v Speaker 1>large amount of cash and the captain. This resulted in

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<v Speaker 1>a standoff. Now, the Mescalabama was a I believe a

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<v Speaker 1>US flagged ship. It may have been a US Dutch ship,

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<v Speaker 1>but it was flagged to like a nation in the

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<v Speaker 1>major in the global north right. This would become relevant later.

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<v Speaker 1>The United States sent two boats which proceeded to engage

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<v Speaker 1>in a standoff with the lifeboat for several days, where

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<v Speaker 1>they first attempted to drop a SAP phone and a

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<v Speaker 1>mobile phone to.

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<v Speaker 2>The pirates in the lifeboat.

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<v Speaker 1>The pirates through those in the ocean because they thought

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<v Speaker 1>that they were using them to communicate with the captain

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<v Speaker 1>of the ship. At one point, the captain, who they'd

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<v Speaker 1>held hostage, ended up in the ocean, but then he

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<v Speaker 1>got back into the lifeboat. The situation was resolved eventually

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<v Speaker 1>by the Navy seals shooting all the pirates. They were

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<v Speaker 1>based on one of the US ships, and they used

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<v Speaker 1>siper rifles to shoot the pirates.

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<v Speaker 2>Really yep, they shot.

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<v Speaker 1>Them all off the lifeboat while the captain of the

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<v Speaker 1>ship was also in the lifeboat. WHOA, yeah, no, then

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<v Speaker 1>I would be shocked if that's not a film about this,

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<v Speaker 1>or I know the captain of the ship has written

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<v Speaker 1>a book about his time being captured. But obviously, like

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<v Speaker 1>this kind of rattled the world, right, It scared a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of people, specifically in the shipping industry, because this

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<v Speaker 1>is a scary thing to happen, and specifically this change

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<v Speaker 1>in the nature of piracy from taking stuff to potentially

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<v Speaker 1>capturing people. And I believe the goal of the pirates

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<v Speaker 1>here was to get the captain ashore where they could hide.

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<v Speaker 2>Him more easily, right in Somalia.

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<v Speaker 1>And then it becomes entirely different issue when you're trying

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<v Speaker 1>to get US troops into a completely different country to

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<v Speaker 1>rescue someone.

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<v Speaker 3>A different land mass. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, And I think it's really important to talk about

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<v Speaker 1>like the jurisdictional issues here because they are what gives

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<v Speaker 1>the pmsc is so much leeway. I think we'll take

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<v Speaker 1>a little break talking about jurisdiction and then we will

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<v Speaker 1>come back.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, we're back.

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<v Speaker 1>So to understand private maritime security companies, you've got to

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<v Speaker 1>understand the world of flags of convenience first. Familiar with

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<v Speaker 1>flags the convenience garrison. No, No, okay, this is good.

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<v Speaker 1>This is James gets to download shit that he reads

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<v Speaker 1>that no, for no reason at like eleven o'clock at night.

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<v Speaker 1>There are nations in the world states that allow vessels

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<v Speaker 1>to register under their flag even if the owner of

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<v Speaker 1>the vessel it's not a citizen of that country.

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<v Speaker 2>It's called an open registry.

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<v Speaker 1>So if you hang out in the port, spend time

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<v Speaker 1>looking at boats, to look at the flags of other boats,

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<v Speaker 1>you will often see flags of a few countries. The

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<v Speaker 1>most common ones are Liberia, Panama, and the Republic of

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<v Speaker 1>the Marshall Islands. The reason that boat owners might choose

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<v Speaker 1>let's say you Garrison have a boat right or a

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<v Speaker 1>shipping company Garrison Davis Boats Incorporated, and you don't want

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<v Speaker 1>to register them in Canada or the United States, might

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<v Speaker 1>be to avoid tax liability. Might be to avoid like

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<v Speaker 1>what you consider to be burdens and safety regulations, okay,

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<v Speaker 1>might be to avoid the frustrating constraints of Canadian labor law,

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<v Speaker 1>or it might be to avoid some ecological constraints on

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<v Speaker 1>your boats which your flag nation might impose. And generally

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<v Speaker 1>flags of convenience have very little in the way of

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<v Speaker 1>taxation and regulation, right and so people might choose to

0:12:20.120 --> 0:12:23.880
<v Speaker 1>flag their vessel in Liberia, Panama, Publican, Marshall Islands, Hong

0:12:24.000 --> 0:12:29.040
<v Speaker 1>Kong instead to avoid some of those issues. Right now,

0:12:29.679 --> 0:12:33.120
<v Speaker 1>the issue comes when you read say you register your

0:12:33.120 --> 0:12:35.600
<v Speaker 1>boat in Liberia and your boat is off on its

0:12:35.600 --> 0:12:39.080
<v Speaker 1>way delivering things, and then some pirates sees your boat.

0:12:39.120 --> 0:12:41.800
<v Speaker 3>I'm guessing Liberia is not going to be of much assistance.

0:12:42.000 --> 0:12:45.920
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, they're not coming, yeah, yeah, the Liberian Navy is

0:12:45.960 --> 0:12:48.920
<v Speaker 1>not available to help you in that instance right now.

0:12:49.520 --> 0:12:54.360
<v Speaker 1>Because there tends to be very little constraint on flags

0:12:54.360 --> 0:12:56.880
<v Speaker 1>of convenience, there's also very little constraint on what can

0:12:57.000 --> 0:13:01.440
<v Speaker 1>happen on those boats, right so you could hire a

0:13:01.440 --> 0:13:04.920
<v Speaker 1>private maritime security company and they could protect your boat,

0:13:04.920 --> 0:13:08.120
<v Speaker 1>and the chances are the flagger convenience country would not

0:13:08.520 --> 0:13:12.000
<v Speaker 1>regulate anything that they did on your boat or the

0:13:12.040 --> 0:13:16.280
<v Speaker 1>weaponry they held on your boat. Ah, the rMIDAS the

0:13:16.320 --> 0:13:20.240
<v Speaker 1>Marshall Islands does, does regulate somewhat the weaponry that the

0:13:20.280 --> 0:13:23.040
<v Speaker 1>Marshal Islands flagged boats could have. I think the reason

0:13:23.080 --> 0:13:25.280
<v Speaker 1>there are so many boats flagged in the Marshall Islands,

0:13:25.320 --> 0:13:27.800
<v Speaker 1>at least in part, is because half the world's tuna

0:13:28.000 --> 0:13:32.040
<v Speaker 1>is caught in Marshall Islands waters. So a lot of

0:13:32.040 --> 0:13:35.160
<v Speaker 1>those vessels will probably have They'll choose for the Marshal

0:13:35.200 --> 0:13:37.960
<v Speaker 1>Islands flag because it allows them to fish in territorial waters.

0:13:38.000 --> 0:13:40.920
<v Speaker 1>Would be my guess. I've met some some contractors on

0:13:40.960 --> 0:13:42.520
<v Speaker 1>Marshal Lea's boat, so I'm not a guy who is

0:13:42.600 --> 0:13:46.360
<v Speaker 1>a helicopter pilot for a tuna fishing boat in a

0:13:46.400 --> 0:13:49.680
<v Speaker 1>bar once. I guess they fly the helicopter to look

0:13:49.720 --> 0:13:52.840
<v Speaker 1>for the fish and then the boat comes and catches

0:13:52.880 --> 0:13:53.320
<v Speaker 1>the fish.

0:13:53.800 --> 0:13:55.880
<v Speaker 2>Huh Yeah, fascinating world.

0:13:56.400 --> 0:13:58.880
<v Speaker 1>I don't think it's a highly enjoyable job, but I

0:13:58.880 --> 0:14:00.880
<v Speaker 1>think it's people do it tog They're flight hours up

0:14:00.880 --> 0:14:04.640
<v Speaker 1>so they can do other things. So because of this

0:14:05.480 --> 0:14:08.440
<v Speaker 1>legal it's not really a legal gray area, just the

0:14:08.440 --> 0:14:10.920
<v Speaker 1>fact that these people are not regulated in any way.

0:14:11.000 --> 0:14:13.320
<v Speaker 2>Right people can carry weapons on ships.

0:14:13.400 --> 0:14:16.319
<v Speaker 1>Now, in the case of piracy off Somalia specifically, the

0:14:16.400 --> 0:14:20.040
<v Speaker 1>United Nations did authorize military action against Somali pirates, and

0:14:20.400 --> 0:14:25.440
<v Speaker 1>between twenty and forty boats were there at any given

0:14:25.560 --> 0:14:30.040
<v Speaker 1>time in the next four years trying to police piracy.

0:14:30.080 --> 0:14:34.400
<v Speaker 1>But that's not enough boats because every boat that is

0:14:34.640 --> 0:14:36.720
<v Speaker 1>moving through that area is at risk for piracy. And

0:14:36.840 --> 0:14:42.280
<v Speaker 1>pirates can use very small boats to board very big boats, right,

0:14:42.320 --> 0:14:45.840
<v Speaker 1>And unless that very big boat is somehow able to

0:14:45.880 --> 0:14:48.560
<v Speaker 1>defend itself, all they need is a few weapons and

0:14:48.600 --> 0:14:51.000
<v Speaker 1>the ability to get out board, and they're hard to truck, right.

0:14:51.480 --> 0:14:53.760
<v Speaker 1>I've heard from people who did contracting in the pre

0:14:53.920 --> 0:14:56.040
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and eight era that basically that they put

0:14:56.040 --> 0:14:57.920
<v Speaker 1>barbed wire on the edge of the boat to stop

0:14:57.960 --> 0:15:00.000
<v Speaker 1>people getting on, and then they had the l rap

0:15:00.240 --> 0:15:03.720
<v Speaker 1>like they was that long range the sound weapon. Yeah,

0:15:03.720 --> 0:15:05.680
<v Speaker 1>the sound weapon, And I'm not sure that it was

0:15:05.760 --> 0:15:07.600
<v Speaker 1>there as a weapon. I think it was there to

0:15:07.640 --> 0:15:11.320
<v Speaker 1>notify other ships like get out the way, but that

0:15:11.400 --> 0:15:13.800
<v Speaker 1>it could be weaponized. And then after that it was

0:15:13.840 --> 0:15:17.200
<v Speaker 1>like big sticks and harsh words, I guess. So like

0:15:17.440 --> 0:15:19.160
<v Speaker 1>when you have the guys who took over the mesk

0:15:19.160 --> 0:15:22.440
<v Speaker 1>Alabama coming in with a few kalashnikov they have the

0:15:22.480 --> 0:15:25.360
<v Speaker 1>balance of force on their side, right, That.

0:15:25.440 --> 0:15:26.960
<v Speaker 2>Is no longer the case anymore.

0:15:27.360 --> 0:15:30.360
<v Speaker 1>Initially in two thousand and nine, groups like Blackwater tried

0:15:30.400 --> 0:15:33.360
<v Speaker 1>to get in on this, and they did it actually

0:15:33.400 --> 0:15:37.200
<v Speaker 1>by more or less, I guess, like copying the privateer

0:15:37.320 --> 0:15:41.560
<v Speaker 1>model that we'd seen in the nineteenth century. They refitted

0:15:41.600 --> 0:15:47.080
<v Speaker 1>commercial boats with weapons and offered them like for higher

0:15:47.200 --> 0:15:49.800
<v Speaker 1>as like a rental, like as an accompaniment.

0:15:49.960 --> 0:15:51.800
<v Speaker 3>They would like gas scort another ship.

0:15:52.280 --> 0:15:56.480
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, they'd escort you through this dangerous area and then

0:15:56.760 --> 0:15:59.040
<v Speaker 1>turn around and escort someone who was going the other way.

0:15:59.160 --> 0:16:00.000
<v Speaker 2>Or that was the idea.

0:16:00.080 --> 0:16:03.440
<v Speaker 1>Yes, sure, it didn't really work a because it was

0:16:03.480 --> 0:16:07.040
<v Speaker 1>expensive right to run these vessels, and b because you

0:16:07.240 --> 0:16:09.080
<v Speaker 1>need so many of them, and so what they ended

0:16:09.160 --> 0:16:12.960
<v Speaker 1>up doing instead was actually stationing people on the vessels.

0:16:13.680 --> 0:16:18.160
<v Speaker 1>So these security contractors will now live on the oil

0:16:18.280 --> 0:16:21.720
<v Speaker 1>tanker or the container ship, either for its all journey

0:16:21.760 --> 0:16:23.760
<v Speaker 1>or for the duration of the time which it's considered

0:16:24.160 --> 0:16:25.320
<v Speaker 1>danger well.

0:16:25.320 --> 0:16:27.960
<v Speaker 3>And also, I mean, if pirates try to get onto

0:16:28.000 --> 0:16:31.360
<v Speaker 3>the big ship and all of the military guys are

0:16:31.360 --> 0:16:33.960
<v Speaker 3>on a different ship a little bit behind, you have

0:16:34.040 --> 0:16:36.720
<v Speaker 3>to get those guys onto the other ship, right.

0:16:36.560 --> 0:16:38.240
<v Speaker 1>And then then now you're shooting at the ship that

0:16:38.240 --> 0:16:40.080
<v Speaker 1>you're supposed to be protecting. And I can see that big.

0:16:40.280 --> 0:16:42.240
<v Speaker 3>That does just make it a little bit more complicated.

0:16:42.320 --> 0:16:47.840
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, yeah, Unfortunately, the way, according to reports I've read,

0:16:47.880 --> 0:16:49.520
<v Speaker 1>I should say, the way they have got around this

0:16:49.600 --> 0:16:54.600
<v Speaker 1>issue is by preemptively shooting at vessels that they consider

0:16:54.680 --> 0:16:57.440
<v Speaker 1>to be a threat. Sure, and there are plenty of

0:16:57.480 --> 0:17:00.280
<v Speaker 1>allegations of them. We'll get onto the lack of really

0:17:00.280 --> 0:17:03.960
<v Speaker 1>any means of legal accountability at some point. What they

0:17:04.000 --> 0:17:08.800
<v Speaker 1>do instead is they allow contractors to go on the ships,

0:17:08.960 --> 0:17:10.320
<v Speaker 1>and these contractors then have.

0:17:10.320 --> 0:17:11.240
<v Speaker 2>To be armed. Right.

0:17:11.320 --> 0:17:14.320
<v Speaker 1>The way they tend to be armed is depending on

0:17:14.359 --> 0:17:16.440
<v Speaker 1>the flag of the ship and what regulations it has.

0:17:16.520 --> 0:17:18.760
<v Speaker 1>Right generally, if they're entering into an area where they

0:17:18.760 --> 0:17:21.160
<v Speaker 1>can't be armed, they have what are called floating armories.

0:17:21.520 --> 0:17:22.679
<v Speaker 2>Those are what they sound like.

0:17:23.119 --> 0:17:26.600
<v Speaker 1>You don't understand how long in my freelance career I

0:17:26.720 --> 0:17:30.320
<v Speaker 1>spent trying to get onto one of these particular boats.

0:17:30.800 --> 0:17:31.640
<v Speaker 2>It was a long time.

0:17:32.040 --> 0:17:34.480
<v Speaker 3>So is this just like a tiny boat on a

0:17:34.520 --> 0:17:36.240
<v Speaker 3>string with a whole winch of guns on it? Like

0:17:36.280 --> 0:17:37.399
<v Speaker 3>what it could be?

0:17:37.520 --> 0:17:40.000
<v Speaker 1>It could be an old oil platform, it could be

0:17:40.000 --> 0:17:43.480
<v Speaker 1>a little boat, could be a big boat. Sometimes the

0:17:43.840 --> 0:17:47.840
<v Speaker 1>contractors themselves will like that's where the contractors will meet

0:17:47.880 --> 0:17:50.320
<v Speaker 1>the big boat, right and they'll get on it there,

0:17:50.359 --> 0:17:52.040
<v Speaker 1>so they have like an area they can hang out,

0:17:52.080 --> 0:17:53.520
<v Speaker 1>like it has living facilities.

0:17:53.840 --> 0:17:54.480
<v Speaker 3>Huh.

0:17:54.560 --> 0:17:56.760
<v Speaker 1>I've spoken to a few people in this world, but

0:17:57.440 --> 0:17:59.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, if you happen to be listening and you're

0:17:59.480 --> 0:18:02.760
<v Speaker 1>boat secure, guy, I know. This is continues to fascinate

0:18:02.800 --> 0:18:05.040
<v Speaker 1>me as an area where like the state doesn't exist

0:18:05.080 --> 0:18:09.240
<v Speaker 1>and we have this like post state private militarization.

0:18:09.840 --> 0:18:13.679
<v Speaker 3>It's like anarcho capitalism. Yeah, yeah, yes, yeah, yeah, exactly

0:18:13.720 --> 0:18:15.920
<v Speaker 3>it is. It is a vision of the ancap future

0:18:15.920 --> 0:18:18.520
<v Speaker 3>that I don't love. That is very interesting.

0:18:18.600 --> 0:18:23.440
<v Speaker 1>Right, there were states that offered to have like vessel detachments.

0:18:23.680 --> 0:18:24.439
<v Speaker 2>The Dutch did this.

0:18:24.520 --> 0:18:26.560
<v Speaker 1>I believe they would be like, we will send you

0:18:27.080 --> 0:18:29.720
<v Speaker 1>I'm not familiar with the Dutch military. Sorry, Dutch listeners,

0:18:29.960 --> 0:18:32.359
<v Speaker 1>Dutch marines, I imagine, right, and you can have a

0:18:32.359 --> 0:18:36.000
<v Speaker 1>few of them on your boat. But even Dutch companies

0:18:36.000 --> 0:18:38.960
<v Speaker 1>are Dutch flag vessels weren't using it because it was

0:18:38.760 --> 0:18:41.520
<v Speaker 1>so much paperwork and the government couldn't keep up with

0:18:41.560 --> 0:18:42.080
<v Speaker 1>their demands.

0:18:42.080 --> 0:18:43.480
<v Speaker 2>So they might now what to get some guys, what's

0:18:43.520 --> 0:18:44.440
<v Speaker 2>pay them? Fine?

0:18:44.720 --> 0:18:49.920
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, the state has more or less completely removed itself

0:18:49.920 --> 0:18:55.440
<v Speaker 1>from the sphere and removed itself from doing anything approaching accountability,

0:18:55.960 --> 0:19:01.000
<v Speaker 1>and so it is extremely hard for these people to

0:19:01.240 --> 0:19:06.840
<v Speaker 1>be held accountable for things that they do in international waters. Right,

0:19:07.720 --> 0:19:12.760
<v Speaker 1>there are like industry standards in the industry itself sets,

0:19:13.280 --> 0:19:14.960
<v Speaker 1>in the same way that there are standards for cops

0:19:14.960 --> 0:19:18.040
<v Speaker 1>that the cops themselves set, and those have generally not

0:19:18.560 --> 0:19:21.800
<v Speaker 1>been the best means of accountability. Right in the theory,

0:19:22.480 --> 0:19:26.240
<v Speaker 1>anytime they engage someone, certainly, if they kill someone, the

0:19:26.359 --> 0:19:28.280
<v Speaker 1>ship's authorities should report that.

0:19:28.600 --> 0:19:31.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah hopefully, Yeah cool, I'm sure they will. I'm sure

0:19:31.840 --> 0:19:34.000
<v Speaker 2>they love to do the paperwork. But then who would

0:19:34.000 --> 0:19:34.520
<v Speaker 2>they report it to?

0:19:34.640 --> 0:19:34.800
<v Speaker 3>Right?

0:19:34.800 --> 0:19:37.879
<v Speaker 1>Do they report it to the country they suspect the

0:19:37.920 --> 0:19:42.240
<v Speaker 1>people they are shooting at their country? Do they report

0:19:42.280 --> 0:19:45.760
<v Speaker 1>it to the flag of convenience country? Do they report

0:19:45.800 --> 0:19:49.080
<v Speaker 1>it to the company they work for? Like, I'm sure

0:19:49.080 --> 0:19:52.720
<v Speaker 1>there is some jurisdiction of maritime law which would give

0:19:52.800 --> 0:19:56.240
<v Speaker 1>us an answer to that, But in practice there appears

0:19:56.240 --> 0:19:59.760
<v Speaker 1>to be very little mechanism for accountability, in the same

0:19:59.800 --> 0:20:02.960
<v Speaker 1>way that there is very little mechanism for accountability for

0:20:03.040 --> 0:20:06.520
<v Speaker 1>labor law violations at sea. I would recommend if people

0:20:06.560 --> 0:20:10.600
<v Speaker 1>haven't listened this podcast called Outlaw Ocean. It's probably five

0:20:10.680 --> 0:20:12.800
<v Speaker 1>or six years old at this point. I think it

0:20:12.840 --> 0:20:16.400
<v Speaker 1>was in New York Times Investigation along with someone else.

0:20:16.440 --> 0:20:19.359
<v Speaker 1>It was a good podcast about labor violations at sea,

0:20:19.880 --> 0:20:23.160
<v Speaker 1>and they specifically looked at some of these fishing vessels

0:20:23.720 --> 0:20:25.760
<v Speaker 1>and the fact that they use people who are essentially

0:20:25.800 --> 0:20:29.240
<v Speaker 1>an indentured servitude. But they also touched on private maritime security.

0:20:30.320 --> 0:20:34.879
<v Speaker 1>These days we see a lot less piracy off Somalia

0:20:34.920 --> 0:20:39.359
<v Speaker 1>right it has reached its peak. I found this little

0:20:39.520 --> 0:20:42.119
<v Speaker 1>chunk in an article I was reading on jastore this

0:20:42.160 --> 0:20:45.560
<v Speaker 1>morning that I thought was interesting. Quote maritime security companies

0:20:45.600 --> 0:20:49.000
<v Speaker 1>have been consulted on greenpeace activists attempt to climb onto

0:20:49.040 --> 0:20:52.280
<v Speaker 1>a gas prom off your platform in September twenty thirteen

0:20:52.920 --> 0:20:55.960
<v Speaker 1>to protest ruling in the Arctic and attacks against oil

0:20:56.000 --> 0:20:58.600
<v Speaker 1>and gas installations by the Movement for the Emancipation as

0:20:58.640 --> 0:21:01.280
<v Speaker 1>a Niche a Delta. So I guess these people have

0:21:01.320 --> 0:21:06.160
<v Speaker 1>a wide remit in which they operate. As I say,

0:21:06.200 --> 0:21:11.720
<v Speaker 1>they's somewhat different from like land based PMCs because land

0:21:11.760 --> 0:21:15.280
<v Speaker 1>brace private military contractors are generally operating either with backup

0:21:15.320 --> 0:21:17.280
<v Speaker 1>from a state or as back up to a state,

0:21:17.960 --> 0:21:23.240
<v Speaker 1>and so there is like an accountability mechanism somewhat there.

0:21:23.280 --> 0:21:27.600
<v Speaker 1>We saw in the Global War on Terror that we

0:21:28.119 --> 0:21:32.280
<v Speaker 1>still lack accountability mechanisms for private military contractors on land,

0:21:32.280 --> 0:21:34.439
<v Speaker 1>but that certainly remains the case on the ocean.

0:21:34.520 --> 0:21:34.800
<v Speaker 3>Right.

0:21:35.000 --> 0:21:38.000
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, So another thing we should consider here is a

0:21:38.119 --> 0:21:42.000
<v Speaker 1>historical parallels, right, And the obvious historical parallel would be

0:21:42.240 --> 0:21:45.320
<v Speaker 1>looked to nineteen eighty seven and the what's generally referred

0:21:45.359 --> 0:21:48.800
<v Speaker 1>to as the tanker War. Right. What the United States

0:21:49.080 --> 0:21:52.040
<v Speaker 1>attempted to do was to open up a channel. The

0:21:52.040 --> 0:21:54.160
<v Speaker 1>straightform moves is very narrow. As I said, it's narrowest point.

0:21:54.160 --> 0:21:56.879
<v Speaker 1>It's just twenty one miles. There are two channels because

0:21:56.880 --> 0:21:59.360
<v Speaker 1>obviously not the entire twenty one miles is deep enough

0:21:59.480 --> 0:22:02.000
<v Speaker 1>ships to go through. There are two channels that are

0:22:02.000 --> 0:22:05.119
<v Speaker 1>each about two miles wide, and they're three kilometers wide.

0:22:05.160 --> 0:22:08.560
<v Speaker 1>It's still not very great at that conversion. So the

0:22:08.640 --> 0:22:10.639
<v Speaker 1>United States attempted is to open one channel and then

0:22:10.720 --> 0:22:11.719
<v Speaker 1>run a convoy system.

0:22:11.800 --> 0:22:12.040
<v Speaker 2>Right.

0:22:12.240 --> 0:22:14.520
<v Speaker 1>Think about when you have roadworks and you know, the

0:22:14.600 --> 0:22:16.280
<v Speaker 1>cars go one way, and then the cars go the

0:22:16.320 --> 0:22:17.680
<v Speaker 1>other way, and someone goes in front of you and

0:22:17.720 --> 0:22:19.600
<v Speaker 1>they have like a flashing light tow you to follow

0:22:19.640 --> 0:22:21.960
<v Speaker 1>them or what have you. And the United States attempted

0:22:22.000 --> 0:22:26.160
<v Speaker 1>to escort convoys of mostly reflagged Kuwaiti oil tankers through

0:22:26.400 --> 0:22:30.679
<v Speaker 1>the straight Horn moves right. The very first escort mission

0:22:31.200 --> 0:22:35.080
<v Speaker 1>involved a Kuwaiti oil tanker that had reflagged as an

0:22:35.080 --> 0:22:39.639
<v Speaker 1>American tanker become the Bridgeton, and it was the Bridgeton

0:22:39.920 --> 0:22:44.439
<v Speaker 1>that struck an underwater mine on that very first mission.

0:22:44.560 --> 0:22:47.040
<v Speaker 1>I didn't cause any casualties, it did cause damage to

0:22:47.119 --> 0:22:49.680
<v Speaker 1>the ship. During that same operation in the United States

0:22:49.720 --> 0:22:52.399
<v Speaker 1>ship also struck a mine. The it was called the

0:22:52.480 --> 0:22:54.480
<v Speaker 1>United States Samuel Roberts Samuel B.

0:22:54.640 --> 0:22:55.000
<v Speaker 2>Roberts.

0:22:55.080 --> 0:22:58.960
<v Speaker 1>I believe it struck a mine while transiting international waters.

0:22:59.160 --> 0:23:01.240
<v Speaker 1>It just goes to show that when there are minds

0:23:01.920 --> 0:23:05.280
<v Speaker 1>in this area, in any area, it's very hard to

0:23:05.320 --> 0:23:07.160
<v Speaker 1>know when they've all been removed, and it's very hard

0:23:07.160 --> 0:23:11.280
<v Speaker 1>to know where they all are right now. During that

0:23:11.480 --> 0:23:16.800
<v Speaker 1>same operation, a United States warship mistakenly shot down an

0:23:16.880 --> 0:23:20.280
<v Speaker 1>Aralian civilian flight, killing all two hundred and ninety people

0:23:20.280 --> 0:23:25.920
<v Speaker 1>on board. This goes to show how crowded the space

0:23:26.200 --> 0:23:29.119
<v Speaker 1>is around the straight Before moves, and it goes to

0:23:29.200 --> 0:23:33.040
<v Speaker 1>show how I mean, even in a relatively modern war rate,

0:23:33.119 --> 0:23:37.359
<v Speaker 1>the possibility for mistakes is very high. And that's before

0:23:37.359 --> 0:23:39.440
<v Speaker 1>you even consider the fact that the Trump administration is.

0:23:39.400 --> 0:23:40.480
<v Speaker 2>Willing to accept.

0:23:41.200 --> 0:23:44.160
<v Speaker 1>Even among administrations as the United States, they are willing

0:23:44.240 --> 0:23:48.800
<v Speaker 1>to accept a very high number of innocent deaths. I

0:23:48.840 --> 0:23:51.199
<v Speaker 1>also want to talk about, because this is such a

0:23:51.240 --> 0:23:55.080
<v Speaker 1>small straight to crowded straight rape, the possibility of attack

0:23:55.560 --> 0:23:59.920
<v Speaker 1>is not just limited to naval attack, right to boats.

0:24:00.440 --> 0:24:03.080
<v Speaker 1>We know that US destroyed most of Iran's navy, and

0:24:03.119 --> 0:24:06.159
<v Speaker 1>we're going to speak about how the IGC navy is

0:24:06.160 --> 0:24:09.360
<v Speaker 1>not the same as Iran's regular flag navy. Right when

0:24:09.400 --> 0:24:13.320
<v Speaker 1>we talk about the Iranian navy big gray boats, Yes,

0:24:13.359 --> 0:24:16.399
<v Speaker 1>the US has destroyed many of those. With the IGC,

0:24:16.600 --> 0:24:20.480
<v Speaker 1>we're looking at much smaller, fast attack vessels, right, sometimes

0:24:20.480 --> 0:24:23.400
<v Speaker 1>civilian vessels with a machine gun mounted to them.

0:24:23.960 --> 0:24:25.359
<v Speaker 2>Those have not all been destroyed.

0:24:25.400 --> 0:24:27.719
<v Speaker 1>It will be very hard for United States to destroy

0:24:27.760 --> 0:24:30.040
<v Speaker 1>those all from the air, as it will be for

0:24:30.080 --> 0:24:35.000
<v Speaker 1>the United States to destroy the ground attack capability that

0:24:35.080 --> 0:24:35.720
<v Speaker 1>Iran has.

0:24:35.800 --> 0:24:35.960
<v Speaker 2>Right.

0:24:35.960 --> 0:24:40.760
<v Speaker 1>They have Hormus missiles, they have Shahied drones, they can

0:24:40.920 --> 0:24:46.119
<v Speaker 1>use regular unguided rockets, a shahed drone from anywhere in

0:24:46.160 --> 0:24:50.320
<v Speaker 1>the country of Iran, given its range, could hit a

0:24:50.400 --> 0:24:55.040
<v Speaker 1>boat in the Strait of Hormos. These Hornmus class missiles,

0:24:55.160 --> 0:24:58.119
<v Speaker 1>they're called Hormus missiles, so they're launch from vehicles.

0:24:58.200 --> 0:24:58.320
<v Speaker 2>Right.

0:24:58.320 --> 0:25:00.879
<v Speaker 1>It looks like a lorry and it comes out and

0:25:00.880 --> 0:25:03.359
<v Speaker 1>it pops up its back lifts like the miss island

0:25:03.440 --> 0:25:07.240
<v Speaker 1>launches it. These are very easy to hide, right. Lots

0:25:07.480 --> 0:25:10.480
<v Speaker 1>of entities in this region use tunnels and caves to

0:25:10.560 --> 0:25:13.919
<v Speaker 1>hide things. I'm sure the Iranian state does too. But

0:25:13.960 --> 0:25:16.359
<v Speaker 1>you could hide one of these missile launches anywhere in

0:25:16.359 --> 0:25:18.160
<v Speaker 1>a city in a cave and a tunnel. It only

0:25:18.160 --> 0:25:21.679
<v Speaker 1>needs to pop out deliver its missile, and then it

0:25:21.680 --> 0:25:24.120
<v Speaker 1>can be abandoned right, or it can go back into

0:25:24.119 --> 0:25:27.440
<v Speaker 1>its cave whatever it wants. But the Iranians don't need

0:25:27.480 --> 0:25:31.320
<v Speaker 1>to destroy every ship that transits the Strait of horn

0:25:31.320 --> 0:25:33.800
<v Speaker 1>Moves to close the Straight of horn Moos. First of all,

0:25:33.800 --> 0:25:35.359
<v Speaker 1>there are only two three kilometer channels.

0:25:35.400 --> 0:25:35.520
<v Speaker 3>Right.

0:25:35.520 --> 0:25:37.800
<v Speaker 1>If there is a wrecked ship in one of those channels,

0:25:37.880 --> 0:25:40.960
<v Speaker 1>the channel gets smaller and smaller, and therefore your chance

0:25:41.000 --> 0:25:44.280
<v Speaker 1>of hitting the mines that are there gets higher and higher. Right,

0:25:44.320 --> 0:25:48.480
<v Speaker 1>Because there's less way to go around them. The Iranians

0:25:49.000 --> 0:25:53.560
<v Speaker 1>only have to make transiting the Straight of Horn moves

0:25:53.920 --> 0:25:58.000
<v Speaker 1>uninsurable to succeed. Right, So, what has happened with private

0:25:58.000 --> 0:26:02.720
<v Speaker 1>maritime security contractors so far is that their presence has

0:26:02.840 --> 0:26:06.000
<v Speaker 1>made transiting high risk areas areas at high risk for

0:26:06.119 --> 0:26:13.199
<v Speaker 1>piracy an insurable effort. Because frequently you will hear that

0:26:13.359 --> 0:26:17.560
<v Speaker 1>a ship with armed security has never been taken by pirates.

0:26:18.000 --> 0:26:21.040
<v Speaker 1>That's really hard for us to confirm, right like, there's

0:26:21.080 --> 0:26:24.560
<v Speaker 1>no independent data on that, but certainly it likely reduces

0:26:24.560 --> 0:26:26.080
<v Speaker 1>a chance of them being taken by pirates, and that

0:26:26.119 --> 0:26:30.879
<v Speaker 1>has made them insurable. The Iranians knocking out one or

0:26:30.880 --> 0:26:34.679
<v Speaker 1>two tankers will make the Straight of Horn moons an

0:26:34.760 --> 0:26:38.359
<v Speaker 1>uninsurable passage, or it will make that insurance so costly

0:26:39.119 --> 0:26:43.359
<v Speaker 1>that commercial entities will not be willing to undertake that journey.

0:26:43.400 --> 0:26:45.600
<v Speaker 1>Right now, Donald Trump has said the United States will

0:26:45.640 --> 0:26:50.640
<v Speaker 1>act as the insurer, I know, man like, it will

0:26:50.680 --> 0:26:52.679
<v Speaker 1>be a lot of tankers for us to buy the

0:26:53.040 --> 0:26:55.399
<v Speaker 1>if the Iranians keep you know, they've they've knocked out

0:26:55.440 --> 0:27:00.160
<v Speaker 1>two large vessels overnight, it seems unlikely. Donal Trump's said

0:27:00.160 --> 0:27:01.479
<v Speaker 1>a lot of things, right, not all of them are

0:27:01.480 --> 0:27:04.200
<v Speaker 1>true very well. Even in the last few weeks or

0:27:04.280 --> 0:27:05.720
<v Speaker 1>Trump to said a lot of things about the Straight

0:27:05.720 --> 0:27:08.919
<v Speaker 1>of Horror moves that were not true. So we will see.

0:27:09.160 --> 0:27:11.679
<v Speaker 1>But I wanted to explain some of those threats. Have

0:27:11.680 --> 0:27:23.359
<v Speaker 1>to talk about the specific naval threat now that IGC Navy,

0:27:25.480 --> 0:27:28.000
<v Speaker 1>all right, So let's move on to discussing what exactly

0:27:28.119 --> 0:27:31.520
<v Speaker 1>this means in the current era. Right when the United

0:27:31.520 --> 0:27:33.640
<v Speaker 1>States is saying the Straight of Horror moves is open

0:27:33.680 --> 0:27:37.200
<v Speaker 1>except for Iran shooting at ships, and Iran is radioing

0:27:37.240 --> 0:27:39.840
<v Speaker 1>ships right now and telling them that they're not allowed

0:27:39.840 --> 0:27:41.639
<v Speaker 1>to enter the Straight of Horror moos and thenre obviously

0:27:41.720 --> 0:27:46.120
<v Speaker 1>threatening them if they do. So, what we will see

0:27:46.200 --> 0:27:48.760
<v Speaker 1>right now in the Straight of Horror moves is this

0:27:48.920 --> 0:27:53.120
<v Speaker 1>situation where Iran has a few mechanisms for attacking these

0:27:53.440 --> 0:27:56.200
<v Speaker 1>these ships. Right, the one that's being talked about the

0:27:56.240 --> 0:28:00.520
<v Speaker 1>most are minds, and the minds that are run has

0:28:00.520 --> 0:28:02.760
<v Speaker 1>to my understanding, and just straight up World War two

0:28:03.359 --> 0:28:05.919
<v Speaker 1>le C minds. If you ever played Mine Sweeper Garrison,

0:28:06.000 --> 0:28:07.959
<v Speaker 1>yeah yeah, yeah, yeah, So they look like that, right.

0:28:07.960 --> 0:28:10.240
<v Speaker 1>They have these big contact fuses on them, that is

0:28:10.280 --> 0:28:12.680
<v Speaker 1>what they are, right. The way the current works in

0:28:12.720 --> 0:28:14.480
<v Speaker 1>a straight up horn moves if they can kind of

0:28:14.520 --> 0:28:17.520
<v Speaker 1>circulate around, okay, which will make them you know, you

0:28:17.520 --> 0:28:19.480
<v Speaker 1>can't be like, okay that this area is mine.

0:28:20.240 --> 0:28:22.800
<v Speaker 3>We're just going to avoid the mines. Yeah, right, Like

0:28:22.800 --> 0:28:25.560
<v Speaker 3>this whole strait is mine now. And as we covered

0:28:25.600 --> 0:28:28.840
<v Speaker 3>in ed on Friday, the US doesn't have a great

0:28:28.920 --> 0:28:31.040
<v Speaker 3>capacity to remove those mines.

0:28:31.800 --> 0:28:34.640
<v Speaker 1>But the thing which has been less discussed is that

0:28:34.680 --> 0:28:39.440
<v Speaker 1>the IIGC has tons and if they don't have, if

0:28:39.440 --> 0:28:41.280
<v Speaker 1>they run out, it's very easy to make more, right

0:28:41.360 --> 0:28:41.720
<v Speaker 1>of like.

0:28:42.440 --> 0:28:44.320
<v Speaker 2>Civilian fast boats.

0:28:44.840 --> 0:28:46.800
<v Speaker 1>Think of a little boat with a motor on the

0:28:46.840 --> 0:28:49.120
<v Speaker 1>back and a belt fed machine gun in the front,

0:28:49.280 --> 0:28:55.760
<v Speaker 1>right like, very easy to take those boats and swarm

0:28:55.920 --> 0:28:58.280
<v Speaker 1>a large vessel, right Like, even if that vessel has

0:28:58.360 --> 0:29:01.800
<v Speaker 1>private security on board. The straightforward moves is twenty one

0:29:01.840 --> 0:29:04.600
<v Speaker 1>miles across. Like you could harass people if you had

0:29:04.600 --> 0:29:05.240
<v Speaker 1>a jet ski.

0:29:05.360 --> 0:29:07.360
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, you could have a little jet ski technical or

0:29:07.440 --> 0:29:09.440
<v Speaker 3>just tell yeah yeah with an RPG on the back.

0:29:09.600 --> 0:29:11.040
<v Speaker 3>Yeah yeah. Yeah.

0:29:11.880 --> 0:29:14.800
<v Speaker 1>The most dudes rock vessel that it's ever taken to

0:29:14.840 --> 0:29:16.760
<v Speaker 1>the seas. Yeah, I might have to hand it to

0:29:16.800 --> 0:29:21.320
<v Speaker 1>that LGC if they did that, but under very few

0:29:22.400 --> 0:29:24.880
<v Speaker 1>I don't know. Circumstances. Yeah, do you have to hand

0:29:24.920 --> 0:29:27.480
<v Speaker 1>it to the Yeah, the Iranian state in any capacity.

0:29:27.560 --> 0:29:30.720
<v Speaker 1>Now I'm shitting around like I think the state of

0:29:30.720 --> 0:29:36.320
<v Speaker 1>irun is terrible, misogynist, violent and oppressive entity and shouldn't exist.

0:29:36.800 --> 0:29:39.920
<v Speaker 1>Just to be like super duper clear. They also have

0:29:40.680 --> 0:29:43.280
<v Speaker 1>what are called uncrewed surface vessels.

0:29:43.880 --> 0:29:47.080
<v Speaker 2>I'm sure they use like the gender neutral framing, but

0:29:47.320 --> 0:29:48.000
<v Speaker 2>they are.

0:29:49.480 --> 0:29:51.760
<v Speaker 1>Think of a large Think of a boat that doesn't

0:29:51.760 --> 0:29:55.120
<v Speaker 1>have anyone driving it, right, And it was uncrewed surface

0:29:55.200 --> 0:29:58.520
<v Speaker 1>vessels that they used last night at the time of

0:29:58.600 --> 0:30:03.200
<v Speaker 1>recording to explode a tanker in the port in Barcera. Right, Okay,

0:30:03.360 --> 0:30:09.320
<v Speaker 1>very hard for the United States to stop these uncrewed

0:30:09.440 --> 0:30:12.520
<v Speaker 1>surface vessels, right, They are like the Shihi drone of

0:30:12.520 --> 0:30:16.360
<v Speaker 1>the ocean. This boat's not coming home. It's designed to

0:30:16.840 --> 0:30:20.480
<v Speaker 1>eliminate another boat, but it can be It could be steered, right,

0:30:20.920 --> 0:30:24.800
<v Speaker 1>It's not just like a torpedo. So what exactly are

0:30:24.840 --> 0:30:27.960
<v Speaker 1>the options I guess for the United States. Trump has

0:30:28.120 --> 0:30:30.840
<v Speaker 1>offered to secure shipping through the straight ofform moose.

0:30:30.960 --> 0:30:31.160
<v Speaker 2>Right.

0:30:32.000 --> 0:30:35.400
<v Speaker 1>He offered to accompany ships. The Navy doesn't have the

0:30:35.480 --> 0:30:39.360
<v Speaker 1>capacity to do that, to accompany the amount of the world.

0:30:39.480 --> 0:30:41.920
<v Speaker 1>Shipping that goes through the straight ofform moos would require

0:30:42.760 --> 0:30:45.840
<v Speaker 1>masses of ships to accompany them, right, They'd have to

0:30:45.880 --> 0:30:48.280
<v Speaker 1>travel at the same speed as these ships. Some of

0:30:48.280 --> 0:30:52.000
<v Speaker 1>these ships are flagged to countries all over the world, right,

0:30:52.000 --> 0:30:54.320
<v Speaker 1>including countries the US doesn't have the best relationship with,

0:30:54.520 --> 0:31:00.720
<v Speaker 1>especially right now. The companies could hire more private marriage security,

0:31:00.760 --> 0:31:03.680
<v Speaker 1>and I'm sure they will, but also like part of

0:31:03.720 --> 0:31:06.240
<v Speaker 1>the role of private maritime security companies is to be like,

0:31:06.320 --> 0:31:09.240
<v Speaker 1>don't do that, it's too dangerous. And going through a

0:31:09.280 --> 0:31:13.200
<v Speaker 1>straight upward moves right now is probably too dangerous, right, sure,

0:31:13.680 --> 0:31:17.720
<v Speaker 1>So I don't know how you would quickly equip a

0:31:17.880 --> 0:31:20.840
<v Speaker 1>ship in a way that you could be like cast

0:31:20.880 --> 0:31:24.120
<v Speaker 1>iron secure that it will be able to fend off

0:31:24.600 --> 0:31:27.160
<v Speaker 1>like a little swarm of little boats.

0:31:27.160 --> 0:31:28.280
<v Speaker 2>Trying to attack it. Right.

0:31:28.760 --> 0:31:30.960
<v Speaker 1>I don't think an RPG could sink one of these ships,

0:31:31.000 --> 0:31:33.320
<v Speaker 1>but it could really fucking give it a bad day.

0:31:33.400 --> 0:31:35.240
<v Speaker 1>Oh you know, Like it's not a good situation when

0:31:35.240 --> 0:31:38.320
<v Speaker 1>there's a hole in your boat, from what I understand. So, like,

0:31:39.040 --> 0:31:41.440
<v Speaker 1>the other option would be for the US to put

0:31:41.680 --> 0:31:45.880
<v Speaker 1>personnel on these ships, which would be problematic from a

0:31:45.920 --> 0:31:50.120
<v Speaker 1>number of approaches. Right, it is a Liberian flagship, and

0:31:50.160 --> 0:31:53.160
<v Speaker 1>now you're asking, like what US marines to risk their

0:31:53.160 --> 0:31:56.120
<v Speaker 1>lives to defend the Liberian flagship so everyone can get

0:31:56.160 --> 0:31:59.840
<v Speaker 1>their TIMU purchases, and like, we can not slow.

0:31:59.600 --> 0:32:00.600
<v Speaker 2>Down glow trade.

0:32:01.120 --> 0:32:05.680
<v Speaker 1>There is not a good option here, Like the state,

0:32:06.240 --> 0:32:09.160
<v Speaker 1>the States of the world couldn't find a good option

0:32:09.440 --> 0:32:13.880
<v Speaker 1>when we were dealing with piracy in two thousand and nine, ten, eleven, twelve. Right,

0:32:13.960 --> 0:32:19.560
<v Speaker 1>they felt better outsourcing the accountability for that to private companies.

0:32:19.960 --> 0:32:25.000
<v Speaker 1>The States didn't want to have to wear the reputation

0:32:25.160 --> 0:32:28.080
<v Speaker 1>damage for like this boat once again opened up with

0:32:28.120 --> 0:32:30.200
<v Speaker 1>a belt fed on what turned out to be a

0:32:30.240 --> 0:32:33.360
<v Speaker 1>fishing vessel, or they felt like that liability was too

0:32:33.440 --> 0:32:35.200
<v Speaker 1>much for them, right, So they didn't want to do it,

0:32:35.200 --> 0:32:37.959
<v Speaker 1>and they would much rather have private companies do it.

0:32:38.360 --> 0:32:43.720
<v Speaker 1>I don't really see an option here that makes the

0:32:43.760 --> 0:32:46.480
<v Speaker 1>shipping safe going through this area.

0:32:46.680 --> 0:32:49.120
<v Speaker 3>You could not start a war with Iran.

0:32:49.640 --> 0:32:51.720
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, yeah, that is a really good option, actually one

0:32:51.760 --> 0:32:55.400
<v Speaker 1>that one that sadly that ship has sailed as they say, garrison,

0:32:55.840 --> 0:33:00.360
<v Speaker 1>but yeah, it is. This industry is already problematic, Like

0:33:00.920 --> 0:33:04.440
<v Speaker 1>even before the United States started bombing Venezuela and the

0:33:04.520 --> 0:33:07.680
<v Speaker 1>Colombian fishing vessels or vessels that it accused of being

0:33:07.880 --> 0:33:11.240
<v Speaker 1>drug traffickers. There has been a long history of a

0:33:11.320 --> 0:33:15.280
<v Speaker 1>lack of accountability for people being killed at sea and

0:33:15.400 --> 0:33:19.080
<v Speaker 1>for people being abused at sea through labor violations. I

0:33:19.120 --> 0:33:23.000
<v Speaker 1>don't really see a way we come out of this

0:33:23.160 --> 0:33:29.040
<v Speaker 1>without more damage to innocent lives, right, Like, either the

0:33:29.160 --> 0:33:32.560
<v Speaker 1>United States just decides that it's going to go like

0:33:32.680 --> 0:33:35.400
<v Speaker 1>scorched earth on any boat it sees in the straight

0:33:35.400 --> 0:33:38.520
<v Speaker 1>ofform moves isn't like a big tanker. But even then,

0:33:38.920 --> 0:33:41.520
<v Speaker 1>these these like these vessels, they're not all US flagged, right,

0:33:41.560 --> 0:33:44.040
<v Speaker 1>the US doesn't have a means to be like, yeah, okay,

0:33:44.120 --> 0:33:46.800
<v Speaker 1>you can go now, you can't go now. The straightform

0:33:46.800 --> 0:33:50.200
<v Speaker 1>moves is not in the United States. It doesn't control

0:33:50.200 --> 0:33:53.920
<v Speaker 1>that water, and so I don't really see a solution

0:33:54.080 --> 0:33:56.880
<v Speaker 1>for this now. Like, one thing that the world of

0:33:56.920 --> 0:34:01.760
<v Speaker 1>private maritime security shows us is that neoliberal globalism is

0:34:01.840 --> 0:34:05.680
<v Speaker 1>willing to look the other way a great deal and

0:34:05.720 --> 0:34:09.080
<v Speaker 1>allow a great deal of violence on behalf of corporations,

0:34:09.200 --> 0:34:12.200
<v Speaker 1>not on behalf of the state. Right Like, when people

0:34:12.200 --> 0:34:16.640
<v Speaker 1>are getting engaged by these vessels, it is to protect property, granted,

0:34:16.719 --> 0:34:19.040
<v Speaker 1>sometimes it is also to protect life, right, Like these

0:34:19.040 --> 0:34:21.279
<v Speaker 1>pirates have killed people and kidnap people as such. But

0:34:22.080 --> 0:34:24.440
<v Speaker 1>the state has been willing to seed its monopoly on

0:34:24.560 --> 0:34:28.880
<v Speaker 1>violence at the high seas because it could find a

0:34:28.880 --> 0:34:31.680
<v Speaker 1>good solution to this, and it's been willing to overlook

0:34:31.719 --> 0:34:33.640
<v Speaker 1>a lot of loss of life. And I just don't

0:34:33.719 --> 0:34:36.719
<v Speaker 1>see a way that this doesn't lead to more loss

0:34:36.719 --> 0:34:39.080
<v Speaker 1>of life, and that is probably what we have to

0:34:39.080 --> 0:34:42.480
<v Speaker 1>look forward to. It may have already begun happening in

0:34:42.480 --> 0:34:45.560
<v Speaker 1>the Strait of Hormus between when we record this and

0:34:45.600 --> 0:34:48.840
<v Speaker 1>when you hear it, but it is deeply concerning and

0:34:48.840 --> 0:34:51.440
<v Speaker 1>pretty shit given that there are so many people just

0:34:51.480 --> 0:34:53.640
<v Speaker 1>trying to make their way and live their lives in

0:34:53.640 --> 0:34:57.520
<v Speaker 1>that area. Yeah, it's a happy one. Shout out to

0:34:57.560 --> 0:35:02.000
<v Speaker 1>Greenpeace also for also patronizing these companies.

0:35:02.400 --> 0:35:03.680
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, you told me this was going to be a

0:35:03.680 --> 0:35:05.080
<v Speaker 3>recording about pirates.

0:35:05.480 --> 0:35:09.480
<v Speaker 1>There were pirates in it. That was a big yeah.

0:35:09.640 --> 0:35:12.160
<v Speaker 1>But I know, if you're a pirate and you're listening,

0:35:12.480 --> 0:35:14.239
<v Speaker 1>I would love to hear from more pirates.

0:35:14.480 --> 0:35:18.960
<v Speaker 3>Between the pirates, the private maritime contractors, and the governments,

0:35:19.000 --> 0:35:23.120
<v Speaker 3>it's like everyone here has their own issues. Yeah, and

0:35:23.160 --> 0:35:27.120
<v Speaker 3>all these issues are getting massively intensified by the conflict

0:35:27.400 --> 0:35:29.279
<v Speaker 3>and aran obviously.

0:35:29.160 --> 0:35:31.799
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, before we even talk about the ecological crisis that

0:35:31.800 --> 0:35:34.239
<v Speaker 1>we will see in the Gulf, right, Like, you start

0:35:34.239 --> 0:35:37.440
<v Speaker 1>putting holes in oil tankers, that is going to be

0:35:37.560 --> 0:35:41.480
<v Speaker 1>absolutely horrific for the environment. Again in an area where

0:35:41.480 --> 0:35:43.799
<v Speaker 1>people are ready to struggling to make it by I.

0:35:43.719 --> 0:35:46.400
<v Speaker 3>Mean, why don't they just pull a pull of fitz Coronaldo.

0:35:46.600 --> 0:35:50.239
<v Speaker 3>Why don't they just pull those ships up? Oh God,

0:35:51.200 --> 0:35:52.480
<v Speaker 3>avoid them straight altogether.

0:35:52.680 --> 0:35:54.840
<v Speaker 1>Maybe people haven't seen this, and this surface is like

0:35:54.840 --> 0:35:57.799
<v Speaker 1>every three days right now on Twitter, Like, why don't

0:35:57.840 --> 0:36:01.960
<v Speaker 1>they just go across land? It turns out that mountains,

0:36:02.000 --> 0:36:05.800
<v Speaker 1>big mountains, hard water doesn't like going uphill, quite a

0:36:05.880 --> 0:36:09.800
<v Speaker 1>challenging terrain to transit. I think maybe people don't realize

0:36:09.800 --> 0:36:11.560
<v Speaker 1>that eighty percent think I believe it's eighty percent.

0:36:11.440 --> 0:36:13.800
<v Speaker 2>Of global trade still travels by boat.

0:36:13.920 --> 0:36:16.760
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, Like it is still the way that most things

0:36:16.840 --> 0:36:20.800
<v Speaker 1>get to most places. And I think we are about

0:36:20.840 --> 0:36:23.680
<v Speaker 1>to find out that the boat ignorers are about to

0:36:23.680 --> 0:36:26.920
<v Speaker 1>find out if this continues for weeks or months, then

0:36:26.920 --> 0:36:28.440
<v Speaker 1>it will be incredibly detrimental.

0:36:29.160 --> 0:36:31.799
<v Speaker 3>Is this a good or a bad time to enter

0:36:31.880 --> 0:36:37.200
<v Speaker 3>the private mirriortime contracting business. How much are you enjoying

0:36:37.239 --> 0:36:41.400
<v Speaker 3>your life decently? Well, okay, yeah, probably stay out of

0:36:41.480 --> 0:36:43.040
<v Speaker 3>it and bye with you. Because they got to be

0:36:43.040 --> 0:36:44.960
<v Speaker 3>getting a lot of money. But also they're in the

0:36:45.120 --> 0:36:47.279
<v Speaker 3>one of the most highest positions they've probably ever been in.

0:36:47.880 --> 0:36:51.680
<v Speaker 1>And so yeah, this was already an area of military

0:36:51.719 --> 0:36:55.080
<v Speaker 1>contracting that people look to get into and get out of.

0:36:55.320 --> 0:36:57.759
<v Speaker 1>I would say, like the bulk of these folks now

0:36:57.960 --> 0:37:01.239
<v Speaker 1>will be the ones I've met. I've been Colombians. The

0:37:01.360 --> 0:37:04.280
<v Speaker 1>Colombians provide a lot of military contractors around the world. Now,

0:37:04.600 --> 0:37:08.239
<v Speaker 1>the people who are able to get out of it

0:37:08.280 --> 0:37:10.600
<v Speaker 1>will do business in other areas, right Like they'll do

0:37:11.600 --> 0:37:14.040
<v Speaker 1>other private close protection and stuff like that. There are

0:37:14.040 --> 0:37:16.680
<v Speaker 1>protective details for journalists I know in who are operating

0:37:16.680 --> 0:37:19.080
<v Speaker 1>in Iraq right now. Sure, yeah, these people will be

0:37:19.080 --> 0:37:22.040
<v Speaker 1>making a lot of money, I think, especially like probably

0:37:22.080 --> 0:37:25.319
<v Speaker 1>consulting right now with global shipping. I was reading about

0:37:25.320 --> 0:37:28.200
<v Speaker 1>the East India Company this morning. I was learning, for instance,

0:37:28.280 --> 0:37:30.839
<v Speaker 1>that the value of a t ship leave it in

0:37:30.960 --> 0:37:34.800
<v Speaker 1>China was a billion dollars in twenty twenty four money,

0:37:35.080 --> 0:37:39.040
<v Speaker 1>which is how like these private maritime security companies in

0:37:39.080 --> 0:37:41.640
<v Speaker 1>another age were able to develop, right because it was

0:37:41.719 --> 0:37:45.960
<v Speaker 1>worth boat jacking, that boat pirating, whatever that's called, because

0:37:46.200 --> 0:37:47.480
<v Speaker 1>of the value of tea.

0:37:47.280 --> 0:37:47.880
<v Speaker 2>At that time.

0:37:48.040 --> 0:37:50.759
<v Speaker 1>So it's not a new problem. But there was a

0:37:50.760 --> 0:37:54.160
<v Speaker 1>relatively short period of time in global trade history in

0:37:54.160 --> 0:37:57.359
<v Speaker 1>which the state attempted to advance any form of hegemony

0:37:58.120 --> 0:38:00.840
<v Speaker 1>over the high seas, and it is comple deletely retreated

0:38:00.880 --> 0:38:03.680
<v Speaker 1>from that in the twenty first century. It will be

0:38:04.719 --> 0:38:07.880
<v Speaker 1>very difficult for any state to try and regain that now, Like,

0:38:07.920 --> 0:38:10.759
<v Speaker 1>I don't see even the United States doesn't really.

0:38:10.480 --> 0:38:14.520
<v Speaker 2>Have the capacity to do that. Garrison looks ponderous.

0:38:15.120 --> 0:38:18.080
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, well, I guess I'll cancel my TEAMU orders.

0:38:19.160 --> 0:38:22.839
<v Speaker 1>They'll come someone someone right now is strapping a belt

0:38:22.840 --> 0:38:23.799
<v Speaker 1>fed machine gun to a.

0:38:23.800 --> 0:38:27.320
<v Speaker 2>Boat to make sure that you.

0:38:26.120 --> 0:38:28.440
<v Speaker 1>Get your team orders. It is like, really kind of

0:38:28.480 --> 0:38:33.480
<v Speaker 1>fucked that we're asking like people to run a mine field, right,

0:38:33.560 --> 0:38:36.000
<v Speaker 1>Like an understand global train is not just TEAMU orders,

0:38:36.040 --> 0:38:38.200
<v Speaker 1>but certainly a lot of stuff is consumed when the

0:38:38.239 --> 0:38:39.359
<v Speaker 1>global and author doesn't need.

0:38:39.280 --> 0:38:39.920
<v Speaker 2>To be consumed.

0:38:40.000 --> 0:38:43.279
<v Speaker 1>And it is wild that right now the solution of

0:38:43.280 --> 0:38:45.439
<v Speaker 1>the global shipping industry seems to be some of these

0:38:45.480 --> 0:38:48.280
<v Speaker 1>people will die, but we will keep the oil moving

0:38:48.320 --> 0:38:51.600
<v Speaker 1>and the treats moving. But that has been as I

0:38:51.640 --> 0:38:54.239
<v Speaker 1>hope I've illustrated here, right, Like some people will die,

0:38:54.239 --> 0:38:56.800
<v Speaker 1>but we will keep the treats moving. Has been pretty

0:38:56.840 --> 0:38:58.680
<v Speaker 1>much status of the shipping industry for most of the

0:38:58.760 --> 0:38:59.520
<v Speaker 1>twenty first century.

0:38:59.640 --> 0:39:03.520
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, that's this status of the entire world at this point. Yeah, yeah,

0:39:03.520 --> 0:39:06.080
<v Speaker 3>that is the capitalist logic, right. It's just it's like

0:39:06.160 --> 0:39:08.799
<v Speaker 3>particularly I think, particularly naked here.

0:39:09.480 --> 0:39:09.640
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:39:09.680 --> 0:39:12.520
<v Speaker 1>I highly recommend the Outlaw Ocean podcast if you're interested

0:39:12.560 --> 0:39:15.200
<v Speaker 1>in learning more about this. I will link to some

0:39:15.280 --> 0:39:18.200
<v Speaker 1>of the Jstore deep dive that I went on this

0:39:18.280 --> 0:39:21.440
<v Speaker 1>morning if you are able to get past the jay

0:39:21.440 --> 0:39:24.000
<v Speaker 1>Store paywall and would like to read that. I think

0:39:24.000 --> 0:39:26.200
<v Speaker 1>that's about all we got. Anything else you want to

0:39:26.200 --> 0:39:27.640
<v Speaker 1>say about boats Garrison.

0:39:27.800 --> 0:39:29.480
<v Speaker 3>Now is the age of pirates.

0:39:30.280 --> 0:39:34.320
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, our flag means a complete lack of accountability.

0:39:37.360 --> 0:39:39.880
<v Speaker 3>It could happen here is a production of cool Zone Media.

0:39:40.040 --> 0:39:43.120
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0:39:43.200 --> 0:39:45.759
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0:39:45.760 --> 0:39:49.719
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0:39:50.160 --> 0:39:52.080
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0:39:52.120 --> 0:39:55.120
<v Speaker 3>Listened directly in episode descriptions. Thanks for listening,