WEBVTT - Developing a Coronavirus Antibody Test

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Jason Kelly. We're here every day bringing you the latest

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<v Speaker 1>listen to our radio show weekdays at two pm Eastern

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<v Speaker 1>only on Bloomberg Radio. As we said, a blockbuster show ahead,

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<v Speaker 1>let's kick it off. Stanley Bergman with us, the chairman

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<v Speaker 1>and the CEO of Henry Shine, joining us on the

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<v Speaker 1>phone from New York, right in the thick of it,

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<v Speaker 1>and really with something that could be a game changer.

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<v Speaker 1>It's fair to say, Carol Stanley, thank you so much

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<v Speaker 1>for joining us. Sure, thank you so help us understand

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<v Speaker 1>what you're working on, because it involves antibodies. As I

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<v Speaker 1>understand it, what does that mean as we fight COVID nineteen. So,

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<v Speaker 1>Henry Shine is the largest provider of products to what

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<v Speaker 1>we call office space health care practitioners, that's dentists and

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<v Speaker 1>physicians outside of the acute care setting, in the private setting,

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<v Speaker 1>and in that context, we have for years been focused

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<v Speaker 1>on what's called points of care rapid tests. These are

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<v Speaker 1>tests like the flu vaccine or even a pregnancy test

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<v Speaker 1>that is conducted in the doctor's office. And so we

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<v Speaker 1>started looking about six weeks ago around the world for

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<v Speaker 1>what's called points of care rapid tests for the coronavirus,

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<v Speaker 1>and uh that would just uh give you a little thought,

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<v Speaker 1>and that is that testing for the coronavirus is not

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<v Speaker 1>like a pregnancy test. It's not yes or no. There

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<v Speaker 1>are three kinds of tests that need to be used

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<v Speaker 1>in unison to diagnose a particular patient. And the first

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<v Speaker 1>is what's called a PCR test. This is a molecular

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<v Speaker 1>test that is really good to diagnose a patient in

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<v Speaker 1>the first two days, the first seven days or so.

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<v Speaker 1>The second is what's called an antigen test, which is

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<v Speaker 1>early diagnosis somewhere to mid stage diagnosis between five and

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<v Speaker 1>ten days. And the third is the antibody which is

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<v Speaker 1>a blood test which is good to determine if you

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<v Speaker 1>had had the virus or not. Have to really be

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<v Speaker 1>administered by somebody in the physician's office, or it could

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<v Speaker 1>even be a paramidt but interpreted by a physician. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not a physician, I'm not a public health person. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>giving you a summary of what tess happened, but what

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<v Speaker 1>could happen and these need to be reviewed, an understanding

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<v Speaker 1>of the patient, of symptoms, the history, and other and

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<v Speaker 1>other kinds of a test that have been done. These

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<v Speaker 1>antibody tests are available pretty soon and we'll be able

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<v Speaker 1>to help patients understand where they've had the disease or Stanley.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm going to jump in only just because we have

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<v Speaker 1>about four minutes left. I think what the work you

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<v Speaker 1>folks are doing, we think it's really important that people

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<v Speaker 1>have an understanding of it because it could potentially help

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<v Speaker 1>us get people back to work sooner. It's about the

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<v Speaker 1>presence of finding out if if the presence of antibiodies

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<v Speaker 1>are there, and it means a person might be immune

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<v Speaker 1>from getting the virus in the in the future, so

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<v Speaker 1>that's that's key. Though we still don't know that about

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<v Speaker 1>this virus. Is that correct? Yes, it doesn't mean you

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<v Speaker 1>will never get it to game. I think these tests

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<v Speaker 1>have a little bit misunderstood in the sense that they

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<v Speaker 1>sound very simple. You need to go through and understand

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<v Speaker 1>what I just said and then speak to your physician.

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<v Speaker 1>But clearly, these antibody tests, the blood tests, of sourology

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<v Speaker 1>tests prick no equipment needed, available in fifteen minutes, are

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<v Speaker 1>very very helpful in bringing America back to work and

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<v Speaker 1>particularly testing the frontline healthcare providers and for example e

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<v Speaker 1>MPT at police people. But are they accurate in that

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<v Speaker 1>if they show there's a presence of antibodies, that there

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<v Speaker 1>is no chance of a person getting the coronavirus. Again, well,

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<v Speaker 1>first of all, mone these tests are hundred percent accurate.

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<v Speaker 1>Nor is the PCR test or any of these This

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<v Speaker 1>is where in the early stage of diagnosing the disease.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh uh, and so none of these tests a hundred

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<v Speaker 1>percent foolproof. Having said that, these tests worked working together

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<v Speaker 1>can help the physician make decisions of whether somebody can

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<v Speaker 1>go back to work or not. These are not tests

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<v Speaker 1>that are fool proof. Unfortunately, don't have any that are

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<v Speaker 1>foolproof yet. And so how quickly does this get out

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<v Speaker 1>and in what sort of volume? Stanley, Well, we expect

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<v Speaker 1>to have product production available. We have at the moment

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<v Speaker 1>to one being a Korean supplier and the other one

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<v Speaker 1>being b D from the United States, and we're betting

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<v Speaker 1>Dickinson and we respect to have these products available in

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<v Speaker 1>the next week or so, in hundreds of thousands and

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<v Speaker 1>then likely in moments. And how they be distributed. You're

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<v Speaker 1>working with the administration to get this done. What's the

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<v Speaker 1>process to get them out there? No, these tests will

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<v Speaker 1>be available to physicians and to hospitals and they can

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<v Speaker 1>be bought from Henry Shine to our normal medical channel. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>At the moment, I think the demand is more for

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<v Speaker 1>the PC artists, which has been around for a while

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<v Speaker 1>and known, and gradually I think the knowledge about emptibody

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<v Speaker 1>prology blood tests will become known and the product will

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<v Speaker 1>become more and more sought after. But at the moment,

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<v Speaker 1>of course, we have not shipped any yet, but we're

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<v Speaker 1>taking orders and we will deliver tests two. Primarily we

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<v Speaker 1>will focus on hospitals or tooth care and physician officers.

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<v Speaker 1>We're talking with Stanley Bergman, the chairman and cy of

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<v Speaker 1>Henry Shine. So Stanley, as you know, the key thing

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<v Speaker 1>with antibioties is that they tell us how many people

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<v Speaker 1>were infected. That is the number who have recovered or

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<v Speaker 1>produced antibodies suggesting that they have fought off the virus.

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<v Speaker 1>So I'm curious if you have any idea any results

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<v Speaker 1>that have come back so far that gives you an

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<v Speaker 1>idea of what proportion of the population is turning up

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<v Speaker 1>antibody positive. Yeah. Unfortunately these tests are relatively used. Testing

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<v Speaker 1>patterns are not well known, but the TISTS has been

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<v Speaker 1>used one in Korea and one in China with pretty

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<v Speaker 1>good results. But of course we have no studies yet

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<v Speaker 1>of any scale. In the United States, studies are being

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<v Speaker 1>conducted and the public, many of them are studying this

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<v Speaker 1>particular tests and how to use it. But we're dealing

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<v Speaker 1>with technology that's brand needs in the United States. And

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<v Speaker 1>part of the reason only yet about thirty seconds left here, Stanley,

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<v Speaker 1>is we need to know whether this is seasonal ultimately,

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<v Speaker 1>whether we're going to be living with this for quite

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<v Speaker 1>some time. So we need to know whether people are

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<v Speaker 1>are essentially, if not immune, at least have had it

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<v Speaker 1>and are building up those Anybody's right, ye, us what

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<v Speaker 1>we need these tests to help us to determine patents,

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<v Speaker 1>and we can use these tests to help us determine

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<v Speaker 1>what's the patson UH of impact on society in general,

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<v Speaker 1>and these will be very very helpful. We expect them

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<v Speaker 1>to be very very helpful to public help officials as

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<v Speaker 1>they diagnosed, will determine where the trends are heading. Right. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>you're definitely doing really important work and we look forward

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<v Speaker 1>to hearing more, especially as you start shipping out more

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<v Speaker 1>those tests and the results are coming coming back. Stanley Bergman,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you, Thank you, Chairman and Chief executive officer at

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<v Speaker 1>Henry Shine. Joining us on the phone in New York City.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Jason

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<v Speaker 1>Kelly on Bloomberg Radio. We know it is just a fact, Carol,

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<v Speaker 1>that retail, shopping, restaurants, all of it just absolutely getting obliterated.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh here, Fortunate for us we have someone to help understand,

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<v Speaker 1>help us understand this. Tom mcgheek, President and CEO of

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<v Speaker 1>International Council of Shopping Centers, joining us on the phone

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<v Speaker 1>from New Jersey. Tom, I know it's a very busy

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<v Speaker 1>time for you. We really appreciate you spending some time

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<v Speaker 1>with Carolin myself. Thanks for having me on. Happy to

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<v Speaker 1>be here. So I want to jump right in and

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<v Speaker 1>ask you about something that came up in a conversation

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<v Speaker 1>we had yesterday with none other than Danielle Blue, talking

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<v Speaker 1>well known restaurateur obviously talking about this notion of business

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<v Speaker 1>interruption coverage. It is something he is fighting for. I

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<v Speaker 1>know it's something you are intensely uh focused on as well.

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<v Speaker 1>Where are we on that as it relates to what

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<v Speaker 1>the government may or may not do? Yeah, well, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>we are focused on that issue. I mean we are

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<v Speaker 1>in the midst of a national crisis. I mean, effectively

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<v Speaker 1>the US economy is shut down. We are part of

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<v Speaker 1>a broad coalition that has advanced the solution for the

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<v Speaker 1>government to hopefully serve as the framework for the next

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<v Speaker 1>COVID relief package that will come out, and there will

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<v Speaker 1>necessarily net out of necessity, be another package. While the

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<v Speaker 1>CARES Act was was a good first step, it was

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<v Speaker 1>really just a first step. And the coalition that we're

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<v Speaker 1>a part of and actively involved in, believes the government

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<v Speaker 1>should put together a Business Continuity and Recovery Fund fully

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<v Speaker 1>funded by the US government UH to fundamentally backstop losses

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<v Speaker 1>that are taking place during this national crisis. And we

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<v Speaker 1>um we believe that the only entity that has a

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<v Speaker 1>balance sheet big enough to sustain the kind of losses

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<v Speaker 1>that are taking place right now is the US government,

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<v Speaker 1>and so we're hopeful. Um, you know, conversations are ongoing. Obviously,

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<v Speaker 1>Congress is not in session right now, so nothing will

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<v Speaker 1>happen until they come back into session. But we are

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<v Speaker 1>advancing that, and the coalition as broad and includes participants

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<v Speaker 1>from the assurance industry to folks like ourselves, to folks

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<v Speaker 1>in the retail and restaurant industry and everything in between.

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<v Speaker 1>Is tough. Yeah, let me just jump in for a second.

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<v Speaker 1>So small retail businesses I'm assuming are covered under the

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<v Speaker 1>bailout for small businesses, correct. I mean, I think there's

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<v Speaker 1>some three billion that came out of that massive stimulus.

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<v Speaker 1>So I'm assuming you're not talking about those kinds of retail.

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<v Speaker 1>You're talking about the bigger names, right and the publicly

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<v Speaker 1>held names. I'm talking about virtually companies of every size

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<v Speaker 1>and scale in every industry. You're correct. In the Cares

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<v Speaker 1>Act there was a provision to help small business. But

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<v Speaker 1>but honestly, I mean, the scale of that, while historic

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<v Speaker 1>in nature, two trillion dollars to spend is not all

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<v Speaker 1>that significant given the scale of what's taking place right now,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think that that Small Business UM package, although

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<v Speaker 1>well intentioned, will not be sufficient for what's taking place.

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<v Speaker 1>And as I said, it is really just the first step, right,

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<v Speaker 1>and we do expect there to be a phase four,

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<v Speaker 1>phase five and probably you know, help on the other

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<v Speaker 1>side once we get out of the virus and help

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<v Speaker 1>me out here, because I think, you know, our listeners

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<v Speaker 1>are going to be asking this question, what do you

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<v Speaker 1>do with retailers that came into this in a pretty

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<v Speaker 1>weakened state, whether it's a Macy's that has been having

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<v Speaker 1>a tough time for years, I mean, why should they

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<v Speaker 1>get some assistance? Well, first and foremost, you know, I

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<v Speaker 1>think that this is not like any other crisis that

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<v Speaker 1>we've had in the past economic crisis. This isn't about

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<v Speaker 1>businesses that did or did not make wise business decisions.

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<v Speaker 1>What's fundamentally happened is that the government, and for it

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<v Speaker 1>are all right reasons for the right public health and

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<v Speaker 1>safety actions, has basically placed the economy and time out UM.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think there's a responsibility if you make that

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<v Speaker 1>decision then to support the business community. Uh. And nobody

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<v Speaker 1>is looking to to do anything inappropriate here. There should

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<v Speaker 1>be appropriate safeguards in place and a lot of provisions, etcetera.

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<v Speaker 1>But I think the losses that take place in this

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<v Speaker 1>period of time that particularly you know, are impacting employment.

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<v Speaker 1>And think that's the one really important, uh particular in

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<v Speaker 1>this is that companies are going to get assistance. There

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<v Speaker 1>should be some requirements around maintaining employment, and that is

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<v Speaker 1>what we are proposing as part of the recovery fund.

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<v Speaker 1>But if the government needs to step in, these are

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<v Speaker 1>not This is not the consequence of a decision that

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<v Speaker 1>a business man. This is the consequence of a national

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<v Speaker 1>disaster that's taking place, and the government, in all natural disasters,

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<v Speaker 1>to step right. And I would say the same thing

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<v Speaker 1>for a Boeing. So forgive me, I'm playing a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit Devil's advocate, but you know, these are the responses

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<v Speaker 1>we're certainly hearing, you know, Jason from some of our listeners. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>and Tom, I guess, you know, sort of further to

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<v Speaker 1>that point, and maybe looking ahead a little bit, given

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<v Speaker 1>what Carol rightly set up as the state of the

0:12:42.360 --> 0:12:47.240
<v Speaker 1>retail business, and now given this exogenous, unforeseen event, what

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<v Speaker 1>does the shopping center business look like on the other side?

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<v Speaker 1>Is it certain types of businesses that survive and thrive

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<v Speaker 1>going forward, regardless of what sort of funding comes in.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know that we really know what the future

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<v Speaker 1>is going to foretell because we don't really know how

0:13:03.320 --> 0:13:06.600
<v Speaker 1>long this crisis is going to last. Right, I do

0:13:06.679 --> 0:13:10.840
<v Speaker 1>know that the consequences of this industry not surviving or

0:13:10.920 --> 0:13:15.440
<v Speaker 1>being in significant despair are quite bad for the U.

0:13:15.520 --> 0:13:18.640
<v Speaker 1>S economy. Went out of four jobs in America. Retail

0:13:18.679 --> 0:13:24.040
<v Speaker 1>related every community as retail is a thriving, central part

0:13:24.240 --> 0:13:27.880
<v Speaker 1>of the community life. It relies upon the tax revenue

0:13:28.240 --> 0:13:30.560
<v Speaker 1>that comes from retail, whether it's sales tax and property

0:13:30.600 --> 0:13:34.920
<v Speaker 1>tax revenue. So if you're going to save the US economy,

0:13:34.960 --> 0:13:37.719
<v Speaker 1>you need to save retail. If you're going to have

0:13:37.880 --> 0:13:41.760
<v Speaker 1>thriving communities that don't have foreclosed properties and empty storefronts,

0:13:41.880 --> 0:13:44.320
<v Speaker 1>the government needs to lean in. I think that the

0:13:44.440 --> 0:13:49.160
<v Speaker 1>issue is very significant and and broad based. It's not

0:13:49.280 --> 0:13:52.600
<v Speaker 1>just the Business Recovery Fund that I've talked about. There's

0:13:52.600 --> 0:13:55.480
<v Speaker 1>a trillion dollars of scar and non secured debt that

0:13:55.559 --> 0:13:58.800
<v Speaker 1>underlies the shopping center industry in of itself. And if

0:13:59.280 --> 0:14:01.640
<v Speaker 1>and this is an industry that depends up on cash flow,

0:14:01.840 --> 0:14:09.600
<v Speaker 1>cash flow from retailers to pay property owners would pay right.

0:14:10.040 --> 0:14:12.560
<v Speaker 1>It's also a real estate story, which is an important

0:14:12.559 --> 0:14:16.280
<v Speaker 1>part of also um this economy, so it's all connected. Tommagy,

0:14:16.400 --> 0:14:19.000
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much, Presidency of the International Council of

0:14:19.040 --> 0:14:21.760
<v Speaker 1>Shopping Centers joining us on the phone from New Jersey.

0:14:22.040 --> 0:14:24.640
<v Speaker 1>Really important to check in with the retail sector. Also,

0:14:24.760 --> 0:14:29.200
<v Speaker 1>Babby beaten because of the virus. This is Bloomberg Business

0:14:29.240 --> 0:14:33.240
<v Speaker 1>Week with Carol Messer and Jason Kelly on Bloomberg Radio.

0:14:33.640 --> 0:14:35.920
<v Speaker 1>We know global cases of the virus now topping nine

0:14:36.000 --> 0:14:38.920
<v Speaker 1>hundred sixty five thousand, more than forty nine thousand dead.

0:14:39.000 --> 0:14:42.400
<v Speaker 1>This is according to Johns Hopkins. Nations with mandatory TV

0:14:42.480 --> 0:14:45.680
<v Speaker 1>vaccines are showing fewer virus deaths, and meantime, l A

0:14:45.800 --> 0:14:48.080
<v Speaker 1>is urging its city to mascot ball New York, New

0:14:48.160 --> 0:14:51.040
<v Speaker 1>Jersey deaths are doubling in three days. There's your snapshot.

0:14:51.360 --> 0:14:53.240
<v Speaker 1>Let's talk about a little bit more about the virus

0:14:53.280 --> 0:14:57.600
<v Speaker 1>and really what we can do from a humanitarian um response.

0:14:57.720 --> 0:15:00.640
<v Speaker 1>Dr Paul Siegel is Directors Center for Humanity Terran Health

0:15:00.680 --> 0:15:04.640
<v Speaker 1>at Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health. Of course,

0:15:04.680 --> 0:15:06.960
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg School of Public Health, supported by Michael R.

0:15:07.000 --> 0:15:11.200
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg founder, Bloomberg LP and Bloomberg Radio, which you're listening

0:15:11.240 --> 0:15:14.000
<v Speaker 1>to right now. Dr Spiegel on the phone from Baltimore.

0:15:14.640 --> 0:15:17.560
<v Speaker 1>Dr Spiegel, nice to have you here with us. Um

0:15:17.960 --> 0:15:20.720
<v Speaker 1>talked to us a little bit about this humanitarian response.

0:15:20.760 --> 0:15:22.120
<v Speaker 1>I want to ask you a couple of things. But

0:15:22.200 --> 0:15:25.120
<v Speaker 1>I do think we are looking around the world and

0:15:25.160 --> 0:15:28.160
<v Speaker 1>I am concerned too about some spots, whether it's in

0:15:28.160 --> 0:15:30.240
<v Speaker 1>the emerging economies that are going to have a tougher

0:15:30.320 --> 0:15:33.440
<v Speaker 1>time getting this under control, especially while the rest of

0:15:33.440 --> 0:15:35.640
<v Speaker 1>the developed world is just struggling to get control of

0:15:35.640 --> 0:15:41.960
<v Speaker 1>the virus on their own. Yes, absolutely, And most refugees

0:15:42.000 --> 0:15:45.720
<v Speaker 1>and internally displaced people around the world are living in

0:15:46.320 --> 0:15:50.280
<v Speaker 1>such areas of low and middle league countries, and there's

0:15:50.320 --> 0:15:54.200
<v Speaker 1>a big concern that one, how are these countries going

0:15:54.240 --> 0:15:57.400
<v Speaker 1>to respond? And then secondly, how are they going to

0:15:57.400 --> 0:16:00.960
<v Speaker 1>respond to non nationals such as refuge gees. Are these

0:16:01.160 --> 0:16:04.480
<v Speaker 1>groups going to add access to national health systems when

0:16:04.480 --> 0:16:08.560
<v Speaker 1>they're going to be overwhelmed for their own nationals? And

0:16:08.640 --> 0:16:10.800
<v Speaker 1>so Dr speak on I mean, one of the things

0:16:10.840 --> 0:16:12.920
<v Speaker 1>we we want to understand it when it comes to

0:16:12.960 --> 0:16:15.280
<v Speaker 1>the spread. And Carol was saying, this is we were

0:16:15.360 --> 0:16:18.040
<v Speaker 1>sort of getting ready to talk to you, is we're

0:16:18.080 --> 0:16:21.120
<v Speaker 1>hearing more and more about testing and antibodies and all

0:16:21.120 --> 0:16:23.320
<v Speaker 1>of these things that will help us get to the

0:16:23.360 --> 0:16:26.520
<v Speaker 1>other side of this. I would imagine that in part

0:16:27.000 --> 0:16:30.960
<v Speaker 1>is really going to potentially exacerbate, uh, some of the

0:16:31.200 --> 0:16:37.400
<v Speaker 1>divergences here, especially on a humanitarian front. Correct, well, if

0:16:37.440 --> 0:16:42.000
<v Speaker 1>you're referring to where testing will occur, I think so certainly.

0:16:42.080 --> 0:16:44.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean, one of one of the concerns is that

0:16:45.760 --> 0:16:47.920
<v Speaker 1>as we are and we need to ramp up our

0:16:48.000 --> 0:16:51.880
<v Speaker 1>testing significantly for the virus, but also, as you mentioned,

0:16:51.920 --> 0:16:55.320
<v Speaker 1>for antibodies, because those that now have had the virus

0:16:55.440 --> 0:16:58.520
<v Speaker 1>um and have immunity, hopefully we'll be able to go

0:16:58.560 --> 0:17:01.840
<v Speaker 1>back to work and get the economy moving. Many of

0:17:01.840 --> 0:17:05.159
<v Speaker 1>these countries will not have access to those same tests,

0:17:05.280 --> 0:17:09.040
<v Speaker 1>and even more so in many of these refugee settings.

0:17:09.320 --> 0:17:12.120
<v Speaker 1>When you look at refugee camps, many of them are

0:17:12.119 --> 0:17:16.080
<v Speaker 1>in remote areas. The density of these places are are

0:17:16.240 --> 0:17:20.199
<v Speaker 1>very very high, and they won't have access Some have

0:17:20.280 --> 0:17:23.280
<v Speaker 1>access to basic health care, but certainly not to I

0:17:23.480 --> 0:17:25.920
<v Speaker 1>c U s and two ventilators. So there's a lot

0:17:25.920 --> 0:17:29.359
<v Speaker 1>of concern about how the spread will occur in those

0:17:29.400 --> 0:17:34.400
<v Speaker 1>populations and the lack of testing and lack of care right,

0:17:34.480 --> 0:17:37.280
<v Speaker 1>because in order for us to get this under control,

0:17:37.480 --> 0:17:39.880
<v Speaker 1>I mean, this is where we really do need coordinated

0:17:39.960 --> 0:17:45.000
<v Speaker 1>efforts across borders and across countries. I mean that that's

0:17:45.040 --> 0:17:46.680
<v Speaker 1>the only way we're going to get this under control.

0:17:47.320 --> 0:17:52.000
<v Speaker 1>UM ultimately correct. Yes, And you know, we were just

0:17:52.040 --> 0:17:54.640
<v Speaker 1>talking about this. I was teaching a class of minute ago,

0:17:54.680 --> 0:17:58.760
<v Speaker 1>and we were talking about this issue of the importance

0:17:58.920 --> 0:18:04.000
<v Speaker 1>of working altogether yet public health and and also public

0:18:04.000 --> 0:18:06.919
<v Speaker 1>health and human rights and what we are seeing. At

0:18:07.000 --> 0:18:09.080
<v Speaker 1>least in the past, we were taught we should not

0:18:09.200 --> 0:18:12.240
<v Speaker 1>really be or we should not be quarantining, because when

0:18:12.280 --> 0:18:15.520
<v Speaker 1>you looked at HIV and you looked at EOLA, when

0:18:15.560 --> 0:18:18.959
<v Speaker 1>you quarantine people and either forced them to get tests,

0:18:18.960 --> 0:18:21.800
<v Speaker 1>people go underground and move. But this is a different

0:18:21.840 --> 0:18:25.520
<v Speaker 1>virus with a different epidemiology, and so much of the

0:18:25.560 --> 0:18:30.600
<v Speaker 1>world is quarantining, isolating, social distancing UM to try to

0:18:30.680 --> 0:18:33.880
<v Speaker 1>slow this virus down, particularly when there is no treatment

0:18:34.000 --> 0:18:37.920
<v Speaker 1>and when there is no vaccination. So that may be

0:18:38.240 --> 0:18:40.879
<v Speaker 1>correct to be able to do that, but it also

0:18:41.680 --> 0:18:44.320
<v Speaker 1>may have some significant long term effects well beyond just

0:18:44.600 --> 0:18:47.359
<v Speaker 1>icon right and you talk about cultural and ethical issues

0:18:47.359 --> 0:18:50.320
<v Speaker 1>within communities, right, maybe you know that isn't something we

0:18:50.359 --> 0:18:52.360
<v Speaker 1>feel so much here in the New York metro area.

0:18:52.440 --> 0:18:54.560
<v Speaker 1>Just got about thirty seconds. But certainly in some of

0:18:54.600 --> 0:18:58.960
<v Speaker 1>the emerging world you have elderly with you know, younger populations.

0:18:59.000 --> 0:19:03.080
<v Speaker 1>It's just the way it is, just quickly, yeah, exactly.

0:19:03.119 --> 0:19:05.959
<v Speaker 1>So we we just are releasing the study looking at

0:19:05.960 --> 0:19:10.560
<v Speaker 1>the rhino refugees in Bangladesh and um these populations are

0:19:10.680 --> 0:19:14.680
<v Speaker 1>multi generational and try to socially isolate the elderly will

0:19:14.680 --> 0:19:18.480
<v Speaker 1>be an extreme challenge. All right, well, thank you so much.

0:19:18.520 --> 0:19:22.240
<v Speaker 1>This is an interesting perspective on what is a fast

0:19:22.240 --> 0:19:25.520
<v Speaker 1>evolving crisis for sure, and we know, uh for sure

0:19:25.680 --> 0:19:29.400
<v Speaker 1>that it is also global and indiscriminate in a lot

0:19:29.400 --> 0:19:31.800
<v Speaker 1>of ways. Dr Paul Spiegel is director of the Center

0:19:31.840 --> 0:19:35.320
<v Speaker 1>for Humanitarian Health at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.

0:19:35.359 --> 0:19:38.160
<v Speaker 1>And you can tell by the name probably that school

0:19:38.240 --> 0:19:41.440
<v Speaker 1>is supported by Mike Bloomberg, the founder Bloombergil Bloomberg Philanthropies

0:19:41.480 --> 0:19:45.720
<v Speaker 1>and the parent of this radio station. This is Bloomberg

0:19:45.800 --> 0:19:49.840
<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Masser and Jason Kelly on Bloomberg

0:19:49.960 --> 0:19:52.320
<v Speaker 1>Radio well as we know. The devil is often in

0:19:52.320 --> 0:19:55.280
<v Speaker 1>the details, and that includes and policing the massive two

0:19:55.280 --> 0:19:58.200
<v Speaker 1>trillion dollar stimulus plan that President Trump signed into law

0:19:58.359 --> 0:20:01.680
<v Speaker 1>just last week. Writing about at is Josh Green, national

0:20:01.720 --> 0:20:04.600
<v Speaker 1>correspondent EP Bloomberg Business Week. He joins us on the

0:20:04.640 --> 0:20:07.359
<v Speaker 1>phone from Washington, d C. Also with us is Joe Weber,

0:20:07.560 --> 0:20:11.640
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week editor on the phone from Brooklyn. And Joe,

0:20:11.760 --> 0:20:15.440
<v Speaker 1>I feel like this is stimulus bailout two point oh,

0:20:15.480 --> 0:20:17.639
<v Speaker 1>and I just keep thinking about the financial crisis and

0:20:17.760 --> 0:20:20.680
<v Speaker 1>oversight or black thereof Yeah, it's hard, it's hard not to.

0:20:20.840 --> 0:20:23.000
<v Speaker 1>And that's when um, you know, Josh raised his hand

0:20:23.000 --> 0:20:26.000
<v Speaker 1>about this idea, um to to actually go back and

0:20:26.040 --> 0:20:29.080
<v Speaker 1>talk to the people who had oversight um the last

0:20:29.119 --> 0:20:33.199
<v Speaker 1>time there was um a stimulus like this, And he

0:20:33.280 --> 0:20:36.680
<v Speaker 1>did and and so doing also found out that we

0:20:36.680 --> 0:20:41.200
<v Speaker 1>were reminded that um it really didn't have much teeth. Um, Josh,

0:20:41.240 --> 0:20:44.200
<v Speaker 1>who do you talk to? And one they have to say, well,

0:20:44.200 --> 0:20:45.840
<v Speaker 1>I talked to most of the people who were on

0:20:45.920 --> 0:20:48.840
<v Speaker 1>the original five member TARP oversight commission. They of course

0:20:48.920 --> 0:20:53.400
<v Speaker 1>famously included Elizabeth Warren, but also people like Damon Silver's

0:20:53.440 --> 0:20:55.320
<v Speaker 1>from the A F. L c i oh from Republican

0:20:55.359 --> 0:20:58.240
<v Speaker 1>Senator Judd Gregg. The one thing they all agreed on

0:20:58.400 --> 0:21:01.880
<v Speaker 1>was that all the attention and that panel got last

0:21:01.920 --> 0:21:05.040
<v Speaker 1>time around, we all remember the hearings, the congressional hearings

0:21:05.040 --> 0:21:08.560
<v Speaker 1>where Elizabeth Warren was badgering Tim Guiten and stuff like that,

0:21:08.680 --> 0:21:13.359
<v Speaker 1>they didn't have much actual tangible power. What Silver's told

0:21:13.359 --> 0:21:15.359
<v Speaker 1>me was that at the end of the day, all

0:21:15.400 --> 0:21:19.000
<v Speaker 1>they really had was the power of public shaming. And

0:21:19.040 --> 0:21:20.760
<v Speaker 1>so there was a lot of hope this time around

0:21:20.760 --> 0:21:24.480
<v Speaker 1>from Democrats that the panel, the new panel that the

0:21:24.520 --> 0:21:29.639
<v Speaker 1>stimulus legislation establishes, would have more significant powers, particularly the

0:21:29.680 --> 0:21:33.000
<v Speaker 1>form of subpoena power, but Republicans blocked that, And so

0:21:33.080 --> 0:21:37.000
<v Speaker 1>we're going to run another example, essentially have the same

0:21:37.040 --> 0:21:39.800
<v Speaker 1>panel with the same rules that we did twelve years ago.

0:21:40.440 --> 0:21:42.840
<v Speaker 1>I hope that it can do a better job. Well,

0:21:42.880 --> 0:21:44.800
<v Speaker 1>And Josh, I do wonder and and you do a

0:21:44.880 --> 0:21:47.480
<v Speaker 1>nice job of this in your story as well as

0:21:47.520 --> 0:21:50.680
<v Speaker 1>always of reminding us that, I mean, we're living in

0:21:50.760 --> 0:21:53.159
<v Speaker 1>a very different world, right, I Mean, obviously this is

0:21:53.200 --> 0:21:56.560
<v Speaker 1>a different sort of crisis, but politically it's a different world.

0:21:56.560 --> 0:21:59.760
<v Speaker 1>To what impact does that have you think on how

0:21:59.800 --> 0:22:02.200
<v Speaker 1>this all plays out, well, I think it's gonna have

0:22:02.240 --> 0:22:03.720
<v Speaker 1>a huge impact. I mean, first of all, if you

0:22:03.760 --> 0:22:06.320
<v Speaker 1>go back to the financial crisis, when the first Bailout

0:22:06.359 --> 0:22:09.600
<v Speaker 1>Oversight Committee was established, Um, that was done under the

0:22:09.600 --> 0:22:12.359
<v Speaker 1>Obama administration or they were, they were the ones in

0:22:12.440 --> 0:22:15.080
<v Speaker 1>tower most of the time. And you know, we're more

0:22:15.160 --> 0:22:19.040
<v Speaker 1>or less compliant and willing to send officials to testify,

0:22:19.240 --> 0:22:22.000
<v Speaker 1>willing to turn over documents sometimes took a little bit

0:22:22.000 --> 0:22:24.359
<v Speaker 1>of teeth pulling, but but essentially they believe in the

0:22:24.400 --> 0:22:29.640
<v Speaker 1>congressional process and and voluntarily sent their people in their

0:22:29.720 --> 0:22:33.000
<v Speaker 1>documents in order for the overseers to examine what was

0:22:33.080 --> 0:22:35.840
<v Speaker 1>happening with the money. What we've seen from the Trump

0:22:35.840 --> 0:22:39.679
<v Speaker 1>administration is a much much different and more hostile stance

0:22:39.720 --> 0:22:43.120
<v Speaker 1>toward Congress. Uh, not only when it comes to stimulus

0:22:43.160 --> 0:22:44.640
<v Speaker 1>and that sort of thing, but really on any kind

0:22:44.640 --> 0:22:47.640
<v Speaker 1>of congressional oversight. You go back to the Mueller probe,

0:22:48.200 --> 0:22:51.439
<v Speaker 1>you can go back to the impeachment stuff, and it

0:22:51.560 --> 0:22:54.439
<v Speaker 1>isn't just turned down requests for information from Congress, but

0:22:54.880 --> 0:22:58.879
<v Speaker 1>fighting subpoenas. And so the concern I heard from a

0:22:58.920 --> 0:23:02.760
<v Speaker 1>lot of people was that if you if you institute

0:23:02.800 --> 0:23:06.000
<v Speaker 1>a system that is essentially voluntary, and that's what this

0:23:06.040 --> 0:23:09.960
<v Speaker 1>new oversight board is going to be. It it requires

0:23:09.960 --> 0:23:12.439
<v Speaker 1>a willingness on the part of the administration to go

0:23:12.480 --> 0:23:15.760
<v Speaker 1>along with it, and everything we have seen suggests that

0:23:15.760 --> 0:23:19.760
<v Speaker 1>that's not going to happen, including within hours after Trump

0:23:19.840 --> 0:23:22.000
<v Speaker 1>signing off on the stimulus bill, he issued what's known

0:23:22.040 --> 0:23:25.200
<v Speaker 1>as a signing statement saying that he did not recognize

0:23:25.280 --> 0:23:28.000
<v Speaker 1>the authority of the Special Inspector General it's supposed to

0:23:28.000 --> 0:23:31.280
<v Speaker 1>be overseeing the stimulus uh, and that the government wouldn't

0:23:31.320 --> 0:23:34.520
<v Speaker 1>release any information, wouldn't allow the Special Inspector General to

0:23:34.560 --> 0:23:37.439
<v Speaker 1>release any information unless the President had signed off on

0:23:37.480 --> 0:23:40.400
<v Speaker 1>it first. And as we know, um, Trump doesn't really

0:23:40.480 --> 0:23:43.720
<v Speaker 1>enjoy scrutiny from time. Well, that's what's wild in your

0:23:43.760 --> 0:23:46.280
<v Speaker 1>store you set upon signing the bill, he immediately the

0:23:46.320 --> 0:23:50.879
<v Speaker 1>President moved a curb the power of this Special Inspector General. Um.

0:23:51.080 --> 0:23:56.840
<v Speaker 1>So immediately the power of it was restrained. Correct, Yes

0:23:56.920 --> 0:24:00.720
<v Speaker 1>it was. And and that's something that a lot of

0:24:00.760 --> 0:24:04.600
<v Speaker 1>Democrats were worried about, because what you have here and

0:24:04.600 --> 0:24:07.240
<v Speaker 1>what I focused on was the five hund billion dollar

0:24:07.920 --> 0:24:10.520
<v Speaker 1>bailout funds gonna go to large corporations. Is that the

0:24:10.600 --> 0:24:13.800
<v Speaker 1>Treasury Secretary, Stephen the Nuchon, has an enormous amount of

0:24:13.840 --> 0:24:16.600
<v Speaker 1>latitude as far as where he wants to direct this money.

0:24:16.840 --> 0:24:21.600
<v Speaker 1>Democrats are afraid it's going to go to Trump friendly companies,

0:24:21.760 --> 0:24:25.120
<v Speaker 1>even even companies that might be owned part by his children.

0:24:25.560 --> 0:24:27.639
<v Speaker 1>There may be all sorts of shenanigans, And if they

0:24:27.680 --> 0:24:30.040
<v Speaker 1>don't have subpoena power, and if they don't have an

0:24:30.040 --> 0:24:32.639
<v Speaker 1>inspector general to be able to follow the money, that

0:24:32.840 --> 0:24:35.760
<v Speaker 1>essentially it will turn into a program of favoritism and

0:24:35.880 --> 0:24:39.040
<v Speaker 1>not one that directs the money to the corporations that

0:24:39.240 --> 0:24:42.120
<v Speaker 1>most need help right now in the midst of this recession.

0:24:42.440 --> 0:24:47.840
<v Speaker 1>Well go ahead, John, Yeah, But just to be fair

0:24:47.920 --> 0:24:49.879
<v Speaker 1>here too, and Josh points this out in his story,

0:24:49.960 --> 0:24:53.880
<v Speaker 1>it wasn't like the Obama administration were innocent in this

0:24:54.040 --> 0:24:57.320
<v Speaker 1>regard either. Perhaps Trump is going to another level here

0:24:57.400 --> 0:25:00.800
<v Speaker 1>by by um by restricting some of of potential here.

0:25:01.160 --> 0:25:02.920
<v Speaker 1>But the you know, the people that Josh talked to

0:25:02.960 --> 0:25:08.919
<v Speaker 1>all since of the administration weren't angels either, right, And

0:25:08.960 --> 0:25:10.639
<v Speaker 1>in fact, I think one of one of the economists

0:25:10.680 --> 0:25:12.920
<v Speaker 1>I talked to who was on the panel said, in fact,

0:25:12.960 --> 0:25:14.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm quoting from my own p series said getting the

0:25:14.880 --> 0:25:18.280
<v Speaker 1>Obama administration to turn over documents was like pulling teeth.

0:25:18.320 --> 0:25:21.160
<v Speaker 1>We got pushed back all the time. So this isn't

0:25:21.200 --> 0:25:24.840
<v Speaker 1>an easy process, the oversight process, even in the best

0:25:24.840 --> 0:25:31.440
<v Speaker 1>of times. And obviously that's that's what times. Last time

0:25:31.440 --> 0:25:34.399
<v Speaker 1>we got Elizabeth Warren actually out of all of this, uh,

0:25:34.680 --> 0:25:36.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, and and you were right to point down

0:25:36.600 --> 0:25:38.840
<v Speaker 1>out and this time, who might we get How do

0:25:38.920 --> 0:25:43.040
<v Speaker 1>these how do these panelts get to get selected? Well,

0:25:43.040 --> 0:25:45.800
<v Speaker 1>that's a great question. What the legislation said last time

0:25:45.800 --> 0:25:48.040
<v Speaker 1>and this time is that each of the congressional leaders,

0:25:48.040 --> 0:25:50.560
<v Speaker 1>Speaker of the House, Minority leaders, Speaker of the Senate

0:25:50.600 --> 0:25:54.000
<v Speaker 1>minority leader there gets to choose one, and then the

0:25:54.160 --> 0:25:57.960
<v Speaker 1>fifth and final person will be chosen jointly by Nancy

0:25:58.000 --> 0:26:02.399
<v Speaker 1>Pelosi and Mitch McConnell. The fear that a lot of

0:26:02.400 --> 0:26:05.119
<v Speaker 1>people had, including former participants that I talked to, was

0:26:05.160 --> 0:26:08.119
<v Speaker 1>that the process would become politicized. Some of the people

0:26:08.119 --> 0:26:10.479
<v Speaker 1>in the panel didn't like the fact that Warren was

0:26:10.560 --> 0:26:14.639
<v Speaker 1>this crusading liberal holding banks to account. I think the

0:26:14.680 --> 0:26:17.800
<v Speaker 1>success of the committee will depend a great deal on

0:26:18.080 --> 0:26:20.480
<v Speaker 1>who actually winds up being appointed to it and whether

0:26:20.640 --> 0:26:22.800
<v Speaker 1>or not they can get along, because if they can't,

0:26:23.040 --> 0:26:25.520
<v Speaker 1>then there really is no hope of having effective oversight

0:26:25.560 --> 0:26:27.960
<v Speaker 1>over this Dale album. Well, and Joel, I also think

0:26:28.000 --> 0:26:29.639
<v Speaker 1>about the idea. And you guys have done such a

0:26:29.640 --> 0:26:32.600
<v Speaker 1>great job in the magazine covering this. This isn't about

0:26:32.720 --> 0:26:35.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, sort of propping up a few banks or

0:26:35.600 --> 0:26:38.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, getting some money to Wall Street and financial institutions.

0:26:38.560 --> 0:26:42.720
<v Speaker 1>These are this is companies across the country, across all

0:26:42.720 --> 0:26:47.000
<v Speaker 1>sorts of industries. This is a big complicated job, right. Oh,

0:26:47.080 --> 0:26:48.919
<v Speaker 1>and that's why the you know, the size of this

0:26:49.040 --> 0:26:51.800
<v Speaker 1>plot that josh Um is writing about. You know, the

0:26:51.800 --> 0:26:55.080
<v Speaker 1>five billion that basically falls under Minutian's control is going

0:26:55.119 --> 0:26:57.840
<v Speaker 1>to be such an important part of this. And you know,

0:26:57.880 --> 0:27:01.919
<v Speaker 1>the Small Business Association and those loans will start to

0:27:02.000 --> 0:27:04.920
<v Speaker 1>probably you know, people who start applying for those tomorrow. Like,

0:27:04.960 --> 0:27:08.840
<v Speaker 1>all of this will will lead to places that, um,

0:27:09.000 --> 0:27:11.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, accountability and oversight are going to be dramatically

0:27:11.800 --> 0:27:15.320
<v Speaker 1>important and we're just at the beginning of that. How

0:27:15.359 --> 0:27:17.400
<v Speaker 1>that will all unfold. Well, and it's such a good

0:27:17.400 --> 0:27:19.720
<v Speaker 1>point considering we just talked to the President UH and

0:27:19.800 --> 0:27:22.240
<v Speaker 1>CEO of the International Council of shopping centers. They too,

0:27:22.240 --> 0:27:25.160
<v Speaker 1>are looking for assistance for all of the big retail names.

0:27:25.160 --> 0:27:28.200
<v Speaker 1>So you know that this pot could potentially grow um

0:27:28.359 --> 0:27:31.240
<v Speaker 1>larger and larger. Jill Webber, thank you so much, editor

0:27:31.280 --> 0:27:34.080
<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg Business Week, joining us from Brooklyn. Josh Green,

0:27:34.480 --> 0:27:37.600
<v Speaker 1>national correspondent at Bloomberg Business Week, on the phone from Washington,

0:27:37.680 --> 0:27:44.719
<v Speaker 1>d C. Broom Morow the Journal. Yeah, but you let

0:27:44.720 --> 0:27:49.800
<v Speaker 1>me drive? Oh no, no, no, please, I'll do the

0:27:49.920 --> 0:28:00.240
<v Speaker 1>right I want to drive. Just drive, good question. Try

0:28:07.440 --> 0:28:11.280
<v Speaker 1>this is the drive to the globe. Thanks. We'll drying

0:28:11.359 --> 0:28:15.320
<v Speaker 1>us down Bloomberg Radio. It is time for the drive

0:28:15.359 --> 0:28:17.680
<v Speaker 1>to the close back with us. As Eric Clark, portfolio

0:28:17.720 --> 0:28:22.240
<v Speaker 1>manager at Rational Dynamic Brands fun his Rational Dynamic Brands fund. Yeah,

0:28:22.280 --> 0:28:24.000
<v Speaker 1>it's down for the year, but it's still beating just

0:28:24.080 --> 0:28:25.879
<v Speaker 1>about all of its peers this year and in the

0:28:25.920 --> 0:28:28.120
<v Speaker 1>past year, as well as over the past three years.

0:28:28.119 --> 0:28:31.000
<v Speaker 1>It's up on average more than six percent annually. Eric

0:28:31.080 --> 0:28:34.560
<v Speaker 1>joining us on the phone from San Francisco. Eric, nice

0:28:34.560 --> 0:28:36.520
<v Speaker 1>to have you here with us. First of all, how

0:28:36.600 --> 0:28:41.080
<v Speaker 1>San Francisco, how are you doing doing? Okay? Actually I'm

0:28:41.120 --> 0:28:44.480
<v Speaker 1>down in San Diego where it's warm and uh that's

0:28:44.520 --> 0:28:46.680
<v Speaker 1>a good thing right now. So we're just hunkering down

0:28:47.000 --> 0:28:49.680
<v Speaker 1>as most people are, and you know we're we're we

0:28:49.800 --> 0:28:53.600
<v Speaker 1>love to adapt as human beings, and so what do

0:28:53.640 --> 0:28:57.960
<v Speaker 1>you see and from a response perspective there across California,

0:28:58.000 --> 0:29:00.360
<v Speaker 1>we've been hearing a lot from Governor new So we've

0:29:00.400 --> 0:29:02.360
<v Speaker 1>been playing some of that that he's been saying on

0:29:02.440 --> 0:29:06.680
<v Speaker 1>his show. Obviously an incredibly diverse state. Economically, it's something

0:29:06.720 --> 0:29:10.240
<v Speaker 1>like the second seventh, i should say, biggest economy in

0:29:10.240 --> 0:29:14.840
<v Speaker 1>the world overall. What's the sort of net economic effect

0:29:14.920 --> 0:29:16.920
<v Speaker 1>is You can see it just as a business person

0:29:16.960 --> 0:29:21.200
<v Speaker 1>and as well as a consumer. Well you know, listen,

0:29:21.280 --> 0:29:25.479
<v Speaker 1>it's clear small business is any you know, kind of

0:29:25.520 --> 0:29:28.600
<v Speaker 1>in trouble. Short term the when when you shut an

0:29:28.640 --> 0:29:31.920
<v Speaker 1>economy down, a twenty trillion dollar economy down, there are

0:29:31.920 --> 0:29:35.200
<v Speaker 1>going to be some uh you know, some short term effects,

0:29:35.240 --> 0:29:39.040
<v Speaker 1>some lasting effects depending on people's balance sheets, and you know,

0:29:39.280 --> 0:29:43.560
<v Speaker 1>it does allow a cleansing of bad ideas that we're

0:29:43.640 --> 0:29:46.680
<v Speaker 1>just there for the bull market in the economy and

0:29:46.680 --> 0:29:50.320
<v Speaker 1>and and bad ideas. So you know, it's it's just uh,

0:29:50.400 --> 0:29:52.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's just one of those things that that

0:29:52.400 --> 0:29:54.560
<v Speaker 1>that happens at the end of the cycle when we

0:29:54.600 --> 0:29:57.280
<v Speaker 1>clean out the good and or the bad and and

0:29:57.280 --> 0:29:59.959
<v Speaker 1>then you know, the good ultimately takes more. Markets here

0:30:00.000 --> 0:30:02.160
<v Speaker 1>are coming out the other end. So Eric talked to

0:30:02.280 --> 0:30:05.120
<v Speaker 1>us about your portfolio. You know, we often get into

0:30:05.200 --> 0:30:08.600
<v Speaker 1>names with you Amazon's, They're Microsoft's there, Ali baba. I

0:30:08.640 --> 0:30:11.440
<v Speaker 1>mean you go after you know, as the as the

0:30:11.480 --> 0:30:16.240
<v Speaker 1>fun is entitled dynamic brands. What have you done differently?

0:30:16.640 --> 0:30:18.920
<v Speaker 1>I mean, have you done some buying as the market

0:30:18.960 --> 0:30:21.160
<v Speaker 1>has been beaten up and some of these names became

0:30:21.560 --> 0:30:24.600
<v Speaker 1>a lot less expensive than they were prior to the

0:30:24.680 --> 0:30:29.360
<v Speaker 1>outbreak of the virus. Absolutely. I mean, you know, we

0:30:29.440 --> 0:30:33.760
<v Speaker 1>have always been tactical in our nature, and so you know,

0:30:34.320 --> 0:30:37.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm not a buy and hold type in general, but

0:30:37.640 --> 0:30:39.760
<v Speaker 1>particularly this kind of market, you have to be a

0:30:39.760 --> 0:30:42.800
<v Speaker 1>little bit tactical. Um and so when the market, you know,

0:30:42.880 --> 0:30:45.320
<v Speaker 1>just plunges, you have to do, you know, go to

0:30:45.320 --> 0:30:48.200
<v Speaker 1>your research and identify which brands you think are a

0:30:48.640 --> 0:30:50.840
<v Speaker 1>sustainable in the short term, but also we're going to

0:30:50.920 --> 0:30:53.520
<v Speaker 1>come out the other end even stronger. And those are

0:30:53.520 --> 0:30:55.920
<v Speaker 1>the names that we've really focused on, which is why

0:30:55.960 --> 0:30:58.800
<v Speaker 1>you have Amazon being the biggest holding by far. You know,

0:30:59.120 --> 0:31:02.520
<v Speaker 1>We've ordered a much more Amazon than we have before,

0:31:02.880 --> 0:31:05.760
<v Speaker 1>and we ordered Amazon a lot to begin with. And

0:31:05.800 --> 0:31:07.680
<v Speaker 1>I suspect a lot of people are doing the same

0:31:08.200 --> 0:31:10.280
<v Speaker 1>when when they're having to stay home. So we've been

0:31:10.320 --> 0:31:12.960
<v Speaker 1>tactical around the core. So that means you've been buying,

0:31:13.400 --> 0:31:18.040
<v Speaker 1>You've been adding to the Amazon position. Absolutely, absolutely, we've

0:31:18.080 --> 0:31:20.720
<v Speaker 1>we've we bought about two points lower. You know, we

0:31:20.800 --> 0:31:23.200
<v Speaker 1>have been kind of you know, trim the top end

0:31:23.200 --> 0:31:25.800
<v Speaker 1>of the range in the market and add to the

0:31:25.800 --> 0:31:29.080
<v Speaker 1>bottom of the range, all while the core portfolio kind

0:31:29.120 --> 0:31:31.920
<v Speaker 1>of does what it does, just being tactical around the core,

0:31:31.960 --> 0:31:34.400
<v Speaker 1>trying to add a little out for there. And so

0:31:34.560 --> 0:31:38.120
<v Speaker 1>Eric talk about you know, how you invest looking to

0:31:39.000 --> 0:31:41.040
<v Speaker 1>the bounce back. We all know it's going to come

0:31:41.080 --> 0:31:44.320
<v Speaker 1>in some former fashion at some point. The when is

0:31:44.320 --> 0:31:49.000
<v Speaker 1>obviously the game, but how do you look at those names?

0:31:49.040 --> 0:31:51.360
<v Speaker 1>And again, these are brands I'm guessing that we've talked

0:31:51.360 --> 0:31:55.000
<v Speaker 1>about before on this program that stand to benefit when

0:31:55.080 --> 0:31:59.520
<v Speaker 1>people are as it were sort of unleashed again. Yeah, absolutely.

0:31:59.560 --> 0:32:02.920
<v Speaker 1>I mean, for at first, it's who has the quality

0:32:02.960 --> 0:32:07.000
<v Speaker 1>balance sheet to be able to sustain a slowdown for

0:32:07.080 --> 0:32:09.640
<v Speaker 1>a period of time, And you know, for for the

0:32:09.680 --> 0:32:11.680
<v Speaker 1>most part, we've kind of gotten rid of those names.

0:32:11.680 --> 0:32:13.360
<v Speaker 1>There are a few that I still think I have

0:32:13.520 --> 0:32:16.800
<v Speaker 1>some asymmetric opportunity, so I'm willing to hold on. But

0:32:16.920 --> 0:32:19.640
<v Speaker 1>you know those names that we really like from a

0:32:19.800 --> 0:32:23.040
<v Speaker 1>pent up energy. You know, consumers were social and we

0:32:23.160 --> 0:32:25.440
<v Speaker 1>like to spend, and when you take both of those

0:32:25.440 --> 0:32:28.720
<v Speaker 1>things away, there is this pent up energy that builds

0:32:29.480 --> 0:32:32.040
<v Speaker 1>and at some point I liken it to a glass jar.

0:32:32.360 --> 0:32:34.760
<v Speaker 1>As soon as you start turning the jar and take

0:32:34.800 --> 0:32:37.520
<v Speaker 1>off the top of that jar, there's going to be

0:32:37.560 --> 0:32:40.480
<v Speaker 1>a lot of energy released. And at that point, those

0:32:40.520 --> 0:32:42.760
<v Speaker 1>are the names you're gonna want to return to. What

0:32:42.920 --> 0:32:45.280
<v Speaker 1>have I not been able to do that? I just

0:32:45.440 --> 0:32:48.000
<v Speaker 1>love to do. I want my latte at Starbucks and

0:32:48.760 --> 0:32:51.200
<v Speaker 1>I want to I've been exercising more so Nike comes

0:32:51.240 --> 0:32:53.560
<v Speaker 1>to mind for sure. Well, what's interesting too, There was

0:32:53.600 --> 0:32:56.680
<v Speaker 1>a report app by Mofatt Nathanson today talked about Visa

0:32:56.680 --> 0:33:00.880
<v Speaker 1>and master Card and said that um the downside from

0:33:00.920 --> 0:33:03.960
<v Speaker 1>COVID nineteen now looks worse than previously expected, and that

0:33:04.120 --> 0:33:07.880
<v Speaker 1>updates from both offered quote sobering figures, implying a truly

0:33:07.960 --> 0:33:12.360
<v Speaker 1>unprecedented deterioration in consumers spending despite the flurry of panic

0:33:12.400 --> 0:33:17.080
<v Speaker 1>buying and shift to online purchasing. So if you see,

0:33:17.120 --> 0:33:19.120
<v Speaker 1>I mean, Visa is actually up today. But I mean,

0:33:19.200 --> 0:33:21.440
<v Speaker 1>if you see some blips in these names, will you

0:33:21.480 --> 0:33:23.280
<v Speaker 1>be adding to it? You're not worried about the long

0:33:23.400 --> 0:33:26.520
<v Speaker 1>term outlook here? And have you been adding? Have you

0:33:26.520 --> 0:33:29.480
<v Speaker 1>been adding to Visa? Yeah? We have, we we added

0:33:29.480 --> 0:33:33.920
<v Speaker 1>to Visa. Um the trend away from money, I mean,

0:33:33.920 --> 0:33:36.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure you've seen the numbers two and the reports.

0:33:36.400 --> 0:33:41.080
<v Speaker 1>You know, paper money carries more of the virus than anything.

0:33:41.160 --> 0:33:43.800
<v Speaker 1>So I mean, if if anything, your credit card is

0:33:43.880 --> 0:33:47.840
<v Speaker 1>just a better, a better safety thing through this. But

0:33:48.040 --> 0:33:50.720
<v Speaker 1>but that trend of using our our visas and a

0:33:50.760 --> 0:33:54.160
<v Speaker 1>master cards in American expresses and e commerce is only

0:33:54.160 --> 0:33:56.440
<v Speaker 1>going to be enhanced through this. And Nike said that

0:33:56.480 --> 0:33:58.720
<v Speaker 1>on their conference call a week or two ago that

0:33:58.880 --> 0:34:01.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, small percent of genn e commerce, they consider

0:34:01.800 --> 0:34:04.760
<v Speaker 1>that to to grow by you know, kind of exponential,

0:34:05.160 --> 0:34:08.000
<v Speaker 1>just given the way that people's behavior is changing. And

0:34:08.040 --> 0:34:10.200
<v Speaker 1>once we do that, we're probably not going to go

0:34:10.239 --> 0:34:12.879
<v Speaker 1>back to some old behavior. And so that's our job

0:34:12.920 --> 0:34:15.600
<v Speaker 1>to figure out where, you know, who's the big beneficiaries

0:34:15.640 --> 0:34:17.480
<v Speaker 1>of that kind of thing. And I love Visa and

0:34:17.560 --> 0:34:19.960
<v Speaker 1>master Card. I still love PayPal. I'd love to own

0:34:20.000 --> 0:34:22.400
<v Speaker 1>American Express. It's just a little too tied to travel,

0:34:22.640 --> 0:34:24.160
<v Speaker 1>so I'm kind of waiting on that one a little

0:34:24.160 --> 0:34:27.759
<v Speaker 1>bit for now. Really interesting. We love talking names with you,

0:34:27.920 --> 0:34:31.760
<v Speaker 1>Eric Clark. I really appreciate a portfolio manager. Portfolio manager

0:34:31.800 --> 0:34:34.719
<v Speaker 1>excuse me for Rational Dynamic Brands fund. We talked a

0:34:34.719 --> 0:34:38.719
<v Speaker 1>lot of about a lot about some good brands I

0:34:38.840 --> 0:34:41.560
<v Speaker 1>know and having trouble speaking um. And then in case

0:34:41.560 --> 0:34:44.920
<v Speaker 1>he joined us on the phone from Sandy Ago. Always

0:34:44.920 --> 0:34:47.120
<v Speaker 1>get to catch up with him. And as you say, Carol,

0:34:47.200 --> 0:34:49.080
<v Speaker 1>as you said at the top, one of the best

0:34:49.080 --> 0:34:52.440
<v Speaker 1>performers out there, so worth a listen for sure. Thanks

0:34:52.440 --> 0:34:54.920
<v Speaker 1>for listening to Bloomberg Business Week. You can subscribe to

0:34:54.960 --> 0:34:58.040
<v Speaker 1>the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot com. You

0:34:58.040 --> 0:35:00.520
<v Speaker 1>can also listen to our radio show every weekday at

0:35:00.520 --> 0:35:07.360
<v Speaker 1>two pm Eastern only on Bloomberg radioh