WEBVTT - Canada’s Rising Star Sticks to Her Guns On Stimulus

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<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome to Stephanomics, the podcast that brings the

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<v Speaker 1>global economy to you. With something different for you today,

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<v Speaker 1>an extended conversation with one of the most impressive individuals

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<v Speaker 1>I've ever worked with, Christia Freeland, a friend who had

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<v Speaker 1>a glittering career as a journalist covering the aftermath of

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<v Speaker 1>the collapse of the Soviet Union. Wrote three books about

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<v Speaker 1>that time, and did several senior jobs for the Financial

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<v Speaker 1>Times and Routers in London and New York. They decided

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<v Speaker 1>to give it all up to go back to her

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<v Speaker 1>home country of Canada and get into politics. That was

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<v Speaker 1>barely seven years ago, and now she's Finance Minister, one

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<v Speaker 1>of the favorites to succeed the Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.

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<v Speaker 1>My interview with Christians going to take up most of

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<v Speaker 1>the show this week, but if you listen to the end,

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<v Speaker 1>you'll also get to hear why milk and eggs have

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<v Speaker 1>both been making news at Bloomberg, So stay tuned for that.

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<v Speaker 1>But now here's the Finance Minister of Canada, Deputy Prime Minister,

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<v Speaker 1>Christoph Freedland, Deputy Prime Minister, thank you very much for

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<v Speaker 1>being here. Um. I remember when I was at the

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<v Speaker 1>BBC writing a blog about Canada, about the goody two

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<v Speaker 1>shoes economy, because they dodged the global financial crisis so effectively,

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<v Speaker 1>and you had very sensible banking and you hadn't made

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<v Speaker 1>lots of mistakes everybody else's pain. When you look at

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<v Speaker 1>how Canada's responded to the pandemic, and particularly I guess

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<v Speaker 1>the vaccine rollout, Um, do you regret that Canada hasn't

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<v Speaker 1>done better and that somehow the US has managed to

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<v Speaker 1>do something right on vaccines that Canada's got wrong? Um so,

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<v Speaker 1>looks Stephanie. I would never claim perfection of myself or

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<v Speaker 1>of any human being, and I think particularly with COVID,

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<v Speaker 1>where not getting things exactly right has meant people dying.

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<v Speaker 1>I hope that every politician everywhere in the world, um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, with the possible exception of just into our journey,

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<v Speaker 1>should look back and should have moments of thinking, wow,

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<v Speaker 1>I wish we had gotten that a little bit more right. Overall, though,

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<v Speaker 1>I would say I like the idea of Canada as

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<v Speaker 1>a goody two shoes country. We sometimes talk about ourselves

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<v Speaker 1>as being voice scouts or girl guides as the case.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe I think that is a good thing in our country.

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<v Speaker 1>I would also say where we have done things right,

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<v Speaker 1>it has been where we have demonstrated social solidarity UM

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<v Speaker 1>and so it's quite striking for me that Atlantic Canada,

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<v Speaker 1>which has such strong community ties and a real commitment

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<v Speaker 1>to community, has done remarkably well in fighting COVID. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>Atlantic Canada is basically the New Zealand of North America

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<v Speaker 1>UM and did that by taking some really tough action,

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<v Speaker 1>by closing the borders of Atlantic Canada and of provinces

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<v Speaker 1>in Atlantic Canada to the rest of the country, and

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<v Speaker 1>by having hard lockdowns early on. And I think why

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<v Speaker 1>they were able to do that is because of that

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<v Speaker 1>strong community spirit. Interestingly, the other parts of Canada that

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<v Speaker 1>have done really well are the territories, the Northern territories,

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<v Speaker 1>the UK, in the Northwest territories, in Nunavut UM and

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<v Speaker 1>again it was solidarity preparedness to close the borders. And

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<v Speaker 1>then finally, you know something that maybe isn't noticed outside

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<v Speaker 1>Canada is Indigenous people in Canada UM, who have historically

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<v Speaker 1>been really hard hit by public health crisis, showed real leadership,

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<v Speaker 1>often closing their communities to outsiders, and as a result,

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<v Speaker 1>there has been a really, really effective response to COVID

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<v Speaker 1>in indigenous communities. We are now vaccinating at a really

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<v Speaker 1>really fast pace UM. In terms of per capita vaccination,

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<v Speaker 1>it's in the top one or two or three in

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<v Speaker 1>the G twenty, depending on the day. We always knew

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<v Speaker 1>it was going to be a challenge, UM because Canada,

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<v Speaker 1>as a small country fully integrated into the global trading

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<v Speaker 1>system and into the NAFTA North American economy. UM, we

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<v Speaker 1>went into this crisis without significant national bio manufacturing capacity.

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<v Speaker 1>That has made it challenge to be dependent on the

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<v Speaker 1>factories of other countries. But by acquiring a lot of vaccines,

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<v Speaker 1>and by getting into that vaccine acquisition race early, I

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<v Speaker 1>think we have largely mitigated that. We as a country

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<v Speaker 1>have decided we need to be in better shape going forward,

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<v Speaker 1>and so the budget may makes an investment of more

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<v Speaker 1>than two billion dollars in life sciences and bio manufacturing capacity.

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<v Speaker 1>When we met you were you were a journalist. I

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<v Speaker 1>was thinking about who were the best known journalist politicians

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<v Speaker 1>or journalists who later became politicians, And you'll be interested

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<v Speaker 1>to hear the list is Winston Churchill, Boris Johnson, and Mussolini.

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<v Speaker 1>U does it does that how does that affect the

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<v Speaker 1>way you do your job? Now? Do you think all

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<v Speaker 1>that time as a reporter, do you still feel a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit like a reporter? Yeah, I I feel I'm

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<v Speaker 1>gonna have to think about that list Stephanie and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>gonna left on that and for all listeners. Um, Stephanie

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<v Speaker 1>and I were baby journalists together, so we've known each

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<v Speaker 1>other for a long time, and I've still been a

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<v Speaker 1>journalist a lot longer than I've been a politician. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>It definitely shapes how I approach my job, and I

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<v Speaker 1>would say, in maybe three principle ways, too generic to

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<v Speaker 1>being a journalist and one sort of specific to my

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<v Speaker 1>own time in journalism, I still always want to talk

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<v Speaker 1>to the people who are at the coal face, and

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<v Speaker 1>I want to hear directly from them. I never really

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<v Speaker 1>believe that a briefing note can fully capture as much

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<v Speaker 1>as a conversation with the people who know stuff directly,

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<v Speaker 1>so I continue to do that. The system really doesn't

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<v Speaker 1>want politicians to do that. It's just not designed for

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<v Speaker 1>politicians to be picking up the phone all the time.

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<v Speaker 1>But that's what I believe in doing. The second thing

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<v Speaker 1>that has shaped me a lot is at the ft.

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<v Speaker 1>When I moved from being a reporter to being an editor.

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<v Speaker 1>One of our colleagues it was actually Peter Bruce, who

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<v Speaker 1>I remember saying to me, Um, you're an editor now,

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<v Speaker 1>and you're going to have to make a hundred decisions

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<v Speaker 1>a day, and hopefully more than will be right than

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<v Speaker 1>we'll be wrong. But the important thing is going to

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<v Speaker 1>be not to be paralyzed by uh, you know, feeling

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<v Speaker 1>you need to be perfect. The important thing is going

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<v Speaker 1>to be just to make the decisions because otherwise the

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<v Speaker 1>paper cannot be published at the end of the day.

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<v Speaker 1>You had to take the information that was coming at you,

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<v Speaker 1>absorb it, analyze it as well as you could, and

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<v Speaker 1>then make a decision on which story was in, which

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<v Speaker 1>story was out, which quote was in, which one was out,

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<v Speaker 1>and and not and not be so not be too scared,

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<v Speaker 1>not be too scared of making the wrong decision. And

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<v Speaker 1>I felt that training was really really helpful in the

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<v Speaker 1>heat of COVID, you know, especially last spring. And then

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<v Speaker 1>my formative experience as a reporter was covering the collapse

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<v Speaker 1>of the Soviet Union and really watching this extraordinary thing

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<v Speaker 1>of a whole paradigm changing and breaking down just in

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<v Speaker 1>the course of not even years, but months and days.

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<v Speaker 1>Watching it showed me that systems are not eternal, and

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<v Speaker 1>systems can change really fast. And in particular, what I

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<v Speaker 1>saw was the people who were the most successful in

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<v Speaker 1>that transition were the people who were able to see

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<v Speaker 1>that it was happening and embrace the transformation and understand

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<v Speaker 1>that the greatest risk. It's a little bit like being

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<v Speaker 1>a news editor, right that the greatest risk is in action.

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<v Speaker 1>And when you when you're in one of those shifting paradigms,

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<v Speaker 1>you have to be prepared to act. Arguably, we have

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<v Speaker 1>a different kind of slightly slower, but a different kind

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<v Speaker 1>of paradigm shift that's happening over the last few years

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<v Speaker 1>um in regard to China and how the world looks

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<v Speaker 1>at China. And I just wonder whether you feel maybe

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<v Speaker 1>there's a risk that you're actually out of step with that,

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<v Speaker 1>still carrying the flag for a belief that engagement with

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<v Speaker 1>China and gradual bringing of China into the sort of

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<v Speaker 1>multilateral liberal economic order was the direction the world was

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<v Speaker 1>going to take. And instead now you have clear competition

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<v Speaker 1>much more than engagement, and a very muscular China. Where

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<v Speaker 1>does your vision I mean are you not changing your

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<v Speaker 1>approach fast enough? Oh? Well, definitely. I think a watershed

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<v Speaker 1>moment in Canada's relationship with China has been the arbitrary

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<v Speaker 1>detention of Michael Coverg and Michael's paybor. Uh. That is

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<v Speaker 1>the key issue for our country when it comes to China. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>These are two really brave Canadian who have been detained

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<v Speaker 1>for no fault of their own, and Canadians are really

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<v Speaker 1>aware of it. And has that changed your view of

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<v Speaker 1>what is possible in terms of future policy with China?

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<v Speaker 1>Is this a country that you can do business with

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<v Speaker 1>and you can continue to engage with positively? Um? Well, look,

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<v Speaker 1>it is a country that Canada and every member of

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<v Speaker 1>the G seven and the G twenty does business with. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's a reality. Uh. This is very different from

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<v Speaker 1>the relationship of the world's democracies with the Soviet Union,

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<v Speaker 1>for example, UM, where we occupied very separate economic spheres.

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<v Speaker 1>But you know in the game. Um. Turning to that

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<v Speaker 1>Soviet experience of my own, UM, I have always believed

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<v Speaker 1>that shared values are really important and are very important

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<v Speaker 1>basis for deep international collaboration. For Canada, those values are democracy, Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>they are human rights. There has also there has been

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<v Speaker 1>this sea change in attitudes to spending and deficits. President

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<v Speaker 1>Biden has proposed six trillion, just under six trillion dollars

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<v Speaker 1>worth of spending, three big packages. Um. You talked about

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<v Speaker 1>having had your experience in the post Soviet world. You saw,

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<v Speaker 1>we saw there how incredibly damaging it was to a

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<v Speaker 1>society and economy. Sometimes if you lose control of inflation,

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<v Speaker 1>lose control of the economy. Is there a bit of

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<v Speaker 1>you that that things were being too complacent about spending

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<v Speaker 1>and borrowing in this area and it's all going to

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<v Speaker 1>come back to haunt us, not just not just Canada,

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<v Speaker 1>but this this change in the global attitude. Um So No,

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<v Speaker 1>but I am very careful. I am a Canadian finance minister,

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<v Speaker 1>so I am surrounded by economists who are very very careful,

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<v Speaker 1>um with our numbers, with our projections, and I'm Canadian

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<v Speaker 1>two so that comes naturally to me. And I think

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<v Speaker 1>it's a good thing. And I'm going to give you

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<v Speaker 1>an example, Stephanie. Um in our full economic statement, we

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<v Speaker 1>predicted a deficit for of three one point six billion

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<v Speaker 1>dollars and we came in at three fifty four point

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<v Speaker 1>two billion dollars. Economy we you know what we we

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<v Speaker 1>embrace it. Some people say that we are earnest and boring,

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<v Speaker 1>and I say, it's the Median way. It's a good thing.

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<v Speaker 1>But the six Biden is not less. It's not being cautious,

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<v Speaker 1>and we know that there are people on all sides,

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<v Speaker 1>including his supporters, who were worried that the numbers are

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<v Speaker 1>getting a bit big. If the US is incautious and

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<v Speaker 1>gets into trouble, Canada gets sucked into that. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>we talked about paradigm shifts and what shapes your you

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<v Speaker 1>know how the lessons of the past shape your actions.

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<v Speaker 1>I would say something that has shapes my actions, our

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<v Speaker 1>government actions, and based on the conversations around the G

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<v Speaker 1>seven table, I can tell you this is shaping the

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<v Speaker 1>actions of many G seven ministers. Is actually the experience

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<v Speaker 1>of two thousand and eight two thousand and nine, and

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<v Speaker 1>I think what most G seven countries feel looking back

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<v Speaker 1>on the response to two thousand and eight two thousand

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<v Speaker 1>and nine is we didn't do enough and we didn't

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<v Speaker 1>recover soon enough from the two thousand and eight two

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<v Speaker 1>thousand and nine recession. And it's one reason that I

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<v Speaker 1>am very focused on driving a fast and robust recovery

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<v Speaker 1>from the recession Canada has today we still have. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>we're glad to have had the ten growth in the

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<v Speaker 1>fourth quarter of last year, but we still have five

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<v Speaker 1>hundred thousand Canadians who either don't have a job or

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<v Speaker 1>working fewer fewer hours than they were before COVID that it,

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<v Speaker 1>to me is an economic imperative, but also a political

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<v Speaker 1>imperative to get them back to work. All of us

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<v Speaker 1>politically can reap the whirlwind if we don't, if we

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<v Speaker 1>allow economic hardship to fester. And I think a fair

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<v Speaker 1>criticism of elites, you know, including financial journalist elites. Um

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<v Speaker 1>I was a financial journalist in two thousand and eight,

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<v Speaker 1>two thousand and nine, like you stuff me, And I

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<v Speaker 1>think you know, people could quite fairly say uh, in

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<v Speaker 1>the recovery, elite did pretty well pretty quickly, but a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of regular people were left behind for far too long.

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<v Speaker 1>Um I think it behooves all of us to not

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<v Speaker 1>let that happen this time. And I remember, Stephanie. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't know if anyone ever told you this when we

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<v Speaker 1>were baby journalists at the FT, but I remember one

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<v Speaker 1>editor saying to me, you know what the difference is

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<v Speaker 1>between a recession and a depression. It's a depression when

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<v Speaker 1>a journalist's friend loses their job. And something I've been

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<v Speaker 1>mindful of in this recession is the kinds of people

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<v Speaker 1>who you and I know, Stephanie, white collar people, Um,

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<v Speaker 1>have actually been pretty fine. Um. You know. The worst

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<v Speaker 1>we've had to deal with is eye strain from zoom

0:15:56.160 --> 0:15:58.480
<v Speaker 1>and certain and you know, having your kids around the

0:15:58.520 --> 0:16:01.200
<v Speaker 1>house and them struggling from ice stream from zoom to

0:16:01.400 --> 0:16:04.440
<v Speaker 1>One of my children was doing online school today wearing

0:16:04.560 --> 0:16:07.360
<v Speaker 1>sunglasses and he said it was because of the glare

0:16:07.520 --> 0:16:10.240
<v Speaker 1>from the screen. When we look at the numbers in Canada,

0:16:10.600 --> 0:16:12.920
<v Speaker 1>people at the top of the income distribution actually have

0:16:13.040 --> 0:16:15.720
<v Speaker 1>more money than they did before the crisis. They've been

0:16:15.720 --> 0:16:18.400
<v Speaker 1>saving money. And I would just urge all of us

0:16:18.480 --> 0:16:23.000
<v Speaker 1>to remember the K shape also means people at the bottom,

0:16:23.560 --> 0:16:26.560
<v Speaker 1>people who work with their hands, have suffered a much

0:16:26.600 --> 0:16:29.360
<v Speaker 1>greater health risk. They are the ones who have lost

0:16:29.600 --> 0:16:32.920
<v Speaker 1>their jobs. And our economies will be weaker if we

0:16:32.960 --> 0:16:36.400
<v Speaker 1>don't help them. But our societies, and at the end

0:16:36.400 --> 0:16:39.120
<v Speaker 1>of the day, our democracies will be weaker if we

0:16:39.200 --> 0:16:42.920
<v Speaker 1>don't help them too. Robert but Fall and the British

0:16:43.240 --> 0:16:45.920
<v Speaker 1>author he's written about in a slightly different context. He

0:16:46.000 --> 0:16:49.960
<v Speaker 1>writes about book called Underland. He talks about unburials, and

0:16:50.080 --> 0:16:52.280
<v Speaker 1>he's actually talking about, you know, in the Arctic Circle,

0:16:52.400 --> 0:16:55.960
<v Speaker 1>where things have become unburied that people by climate change,

0:16:56.640 --> 0:16:58.680
<v Speaker 1>that people thought were going to be buried for hundreds

0:16:58.680 --> 0:17:01.160
<v Speaker 1>of years. I sort of like there's been massive loads

0:17:01.200 --> 0:17:03.680
<v Speaker 1>of unburials due to COVID. You know, things have come

0:17:03.720 --> 0:17:06.320
<v Speaker 1>onto this surface that we sort of knew were there.

0:17:06.960 --> 0:17:09.440
<v Speaker 1>I mean slightly with your if you were still a

0:17:09.520 --> 0:17:11.560
<v Speaker 1>journalist and you think about the things that have been

0:17:12.040 --> 0:17:17.960
<v Speaker 1>revealed by COVID, maybe permanently changed, you know, what's the

0:17:18.000 --> 0:17:20.040
<v Speaker 1>book that you would be writing. What do you think

0:17:20.160 --> 0:17:25.400
<v Speaker 1>is the most significant thing about this whole period um.

0:17:26.359 --> 0:17:29.600
<v Speaker 1>I think that I would write a book called who

0:17:29.800 --> 0:17:34.639
<v Speaker 1>Really is Essential? I think what really? You know, I

0:17:34.720 --> 0:17:37.600
<v Speaker 1>think what COVID has shown us is who really are

0:17:37.760 --> 0:17:42.160
<v Speaker 1>the essential workers? And you know, again not to sort

0:17:42.160 --> 0:17:44.919
<v Speaker 1>of bring it down to sort of needly gritty policies,

0:17:45.440 --> 0:17:47.360
<v Speaker 1>but it's one of the reasons it was so important

0:17:47.400 --> 0:17:51.240
<v Speaker 1>for me to increase the Canada Workers Benefit UM in

0:17:51.359 --> 0:17:53.800
<v Speaker 1>our budget. You know, we all of us have been

0:17:53.840 --> 0:17:56.399
<v Speaker 1>going out and saying ya, essential workers, thank you for

0:17:56.480 --> 0:17:58.919
<v Speaker 1>your service. Well, I wanted to thank people for their

0:17:59.000 --> 0:18:03.760
<v Speaker 1>service with more money. What I think we've learned, certainly

0:18:03.800 --> 0:18:07.280
<v Speaker 1>in Canada and I think around the world, is the

0:18:07.400 --> 0:18:12.240
<v Speaker 1>people who are truly essential are very often the people

0:18:12.480 --> 0:18:16.760
<v Speaker 1>who are the least well paid, who have the least security,

0:18:17.280 --> 0:18:20.680
<v Speaker 1>and I think we need to support them more. And

0:18:20.800 --> 0:18:25.840
<v Speaker 1>a corollary to that is we need mothers to be

0:18:25.960 --> 0:18:31.560
<v Speaker 1>able to work. Um Our budget makes a historic investment

0:18:31.720 --> 0:18:36.320
<v Speaker 1>in early learning and child care. And the reason that

0:18:36.440 --> 0:18:39.240
<v Speaker 1>I believe the political window in Canada is open to

0:18:39.400 --> 0:18:45.520
<v Speaker 1>do that is with daycares, with schools being closed because

0:18:45.600 --> 0:18:50.560
<v Speaker 1>of covid UH, what had been for fifty years a

0:18:50.680 --> 0:18:55.440
<v Speaker 1>priority for Canadian feminists themed all of a sudden to

0:18:55.640 --> 0:18:59.560
<v Speaker 1>become a real business priority. When there's a childcare challenge,

0:19:00.040 --> 0:19:03.000
<v Speaker 1>it's the mother who quits her job. And you know,

0:19:03.119 --> 0:19:07.399
<v Speaker 1>we have seen a sharp decline of women's participation in

0:19:07.480 --> 0:19:09.879
<v Speaker 1>the labor force. And we all sort of looked at

0:19:09.960 --> 0:19:12.919
<v Speaker 1>each other and Cannon said, oh no, this is a problem.

0:19:13.200 --> 0:19:16.360
<v Speaker 1>It's a problem for our economy. So I think we've

0:19:16.480 --> 0:19:20.520
<v Speaker 1>learned who is essential, and we've learned that it's essential

0:19:20.720 --> 0:19:26.719
<v Speaker 1>to make it possible for parents and particularly mothers to work. Um.

0:19:26.800 --> 0:19:29.800
<v Speaker 1>I have to ask you one more question, Um, When

0:19:29.840 --> 0:19:32.320
<v Speaker 1>you talk about the good management of the global financial

0:19:32.359 --> 0:19:35.440
<v Speaker 1>crisis in Canada, obviously Mark Connie has took some of

0:19:35.480 --> 0:19:37.240
<v Speaker 1>the credit for that because he was the gap Bank

0:19:37.280 --> 0:19:41.960
<v Speaker 1>of Canada's governor at the time. UM, are you I

0:19:42.040 --> 0:19:44.159
<v Speaker 1>see he's kind of stake to claim, as you know,

0:19:44.320 --> 0:19:48.640
<v Speaker 1>as being part of the Liberal Party in the recent weeks,

0:19:48.680 --> 0:19:51.119
<v Speaker 1>would you support him for prime minister if it came

0:19:51.200 --> 0:19:54.680
<v Speaker 1>to it. I support Justin Trudeau for prime minister. I'm

0:19:54.800 --> 0:19:57.359
<v Speaker 1>very I'm very privileged to serve in his cabinets. But

0:19:57.560 --> 0:20:00.880
<v Speaker 1>Mark is a good friend of mine. He's actually son's godfather,

0:20:01.240 --> 0:20:03.880
<v Speaker 1>and uh, we've known each other for a long time.

0:20:04.160 --> 0:20:07.680
<v Speaker 1>And actually, uh he was one of the many many

0:20:07.760 --> 0:20:10.280
<v Speaker 1>people I talked to as I was putting together the budget,

0:20:10.520 --> 0:20:13.359
<v Speaker 1>and I'm grateful for his advice. Are you going to

0:20:13.440 --> 0:20:15.000
<v Speaker 1>go out and do a pact at some make a

0:20:15.040 --> 0:20:17.080
<v Speaker 1>pact at some point about which of you would run

0:20:17.400 --> 0:20:20.880
<v Speaker 1>if and when there was a vacancy? I really, Stephanie.

0:20:20.880 --> 0:20:24.720
<v Speaker 1>I'm wearing a short sleeve, short sleeve dress, so I

0:20:24.840 --> 0:20:30.119
<v Speaker 1>can only metaphorically roll up my sleeve. Um, But metaphorically

0:20:30.160 --> 0:20:34.960
<v Speaker 1>I would have to say, um, my focus is on

0:20:35.640 --> 0:20:40.040
<v Speaker 1>delivering the two hundred and seventy programs we have in

0:20:40.119 --> 0:20:42.600
<v Speaker 1>this budget. There is a lot of work to do.

0:20:43.760 --> 0:20:48.440
<v Speaker 1>And I really would also say the Prime Minister is

0:20:48.600 --> 0:20:53.680
<v Speaker 1>younger than me, he is younger than Mark. He's doing

0:20:53.960 --> 0:20:57.440
<v Speaker 1>a really good job and I am very confident he's

0:20:57.440 --> 0:21:01.280
<v Speaker 1>going to lead are party in our government for a

0:21:01.359 --> 0:21:03.879
<v Speaker 1>long time. Well, in your journalist days, you would have

0:21:03.920 --> 0:21:06.000
<v Speaker 1>said that was a non denial denial. But it's been

0:21:06.040 --> 0:21:08.600
<v Speaker 1>a delight to talk to you and very nice to

0:21:08.600 --> 0:21:18.200
<v Speaker 1>see you. Christian m h. Before we end the program,

0:21:18.600 --> 0:21:20.040
<v Speaker 1>I did want to give you a taste of something

0:21:20.119 --> 0:21:24.360
<v Speaker 1>completely different, food wars. Elizabeth Elkin covers agriculture for Bloomberg

0:21:24.440 --> 0:21:27.760
<v Speaker 1>News in New York, and she's here to explain more. Elizabeth,

0:21:28.160 --> 0:21:31.680
<v Speaker 1>thanks for coming on Stephanomics. This was a story that

0:21:31.800 --> 0:21:35.399
<v Speaker 1>caught my eye in Bloomberg's Supply Lines newsletter, and you

0:21:35.600 --> 0:21:40.720
<v Speaker 1>brought together two stories which showed how changing social morays

0:21:41.520 --> 0:21:44.840
<v Speaker 1>causing trouble down at the farm. Tell us first about

0:21:44.920 --> 0:21:52.240
<v Speaker 1>those milk wars. Yeah, sure, So, basically, there are currently

0:21:52.280 --> 0:21:55.480
<v Speaker 1>flexibilities in the law that are allowing schools to give

0:21:55.600 --> 0:21:59.919
<v Speaker 1>kids low fat flavored milk in schools, so basically chocolate milk, right,

0:22:00.560 --> 0:22:06.120
<v Speaker 1>and these expire after the school year. So the argument

0:22:06.320 --> 0:22:08.720
<v Speaker 1>is that milk is high in nutrients, right, and kids

0:22:08.800 --> 0:22:11.600
<v Speaker 1>need nutrients to grow, and they're more likely to drink

0:22:11.640 --> 0:22:14.320
<v Speaker 1>it if it's like chocolate flavored as opposed to just

0:22:14.400 --> 0:22:18.880
<v Speaker 1>regular milk. But obviously there's some scrutiny around this chocolate milk.

0:22:19.080 --> 0:22:22.720
<v Speaker 1>And you know, all the flavored milks have more sugar

0:22:22.800 --> 0:22:24.720
<v Speaker 1>in them, and so you know, there's a question of

0:22:25.240 --> 0:22:28.760
<v Speaker 1>is it better to give kids the milk and have them,

0:22:29.040 --> 0:22:31.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, taking those nutrients that they need and get

0:22:31.920 --> 0:22:34.879
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of extra sugar, or is it, you know,

0:22:35.160 --> 0:22:37.640
<v Speaker 1>better to just try to give them the non flavored

0:22:37.720 --> 0:22:42.320
<v Speaker 1>milk that has less sugar um and um. And obviously

0:22:42.359 --> 0:22:45.720
<v Speaker 1>the dairy industry has a huge investment in this, right

0:22:45.920 --> 0:22:49.119
<v Speaker 1>UH milks applied to American schools is a key source

0:22:49.160 --> 0:22:53.040
<v Speaker 1>of demand for the dairy industry um and so two

0:22:53.119 --> 0:22:56.520
<v Speaker 1>big dairy groups have issued a joint statement praising some

0:22:56.640 --> 0:22:59.280
<v Speaker 1>of these lawmakers who are coming out and urging the

0:22:59.400 --> 0:23:02.040
<v Speaker 1>U s d a S Secretary to permanently allow this

0:23:02.160 --> 0:23:06.119
<v Speaker 1>low fat flavored milk in schools. Obviously, parents make the

0:23:06.160 --> 0:23:08.280
<v Speaker 1>same kind of trade offs every day. You know, what,

0:23:08.560 --> 0:23:10.920
<v Speaker 1>how much how hard do I have to try to

0:23:11.000 --> 0:23:12.639
<v Speaker 1>get this stuff into my kid? Or should I just

0:23:12.760 --> 0:23:17.000
<v Speaker 1>force feed them? So? How bad are these are these milks?

0:23:17.040 --> 0:23:19.479
<v Speaker 1>Are these milks that probably that many parents would hesitate

0:23:19.560 --> 0:23:23.400
<v Speaker 1>to buy themselves because of the amount of sugar in them. Yeah,

0:23:23.520 --> 0:23:25.960
<v Speaker 1>that's a great question. Um. And so in talking to

0:23:26.720 --> 0:23:29.879
<v Speaker 1>like nutrition experts, um, and you know, people who are

0:23:29.960 --> 0:23:34.680
<v Speaker 1>working to get kids and adults better nutrition. Um, there's

0:23:34.680 --> 0:23:39.640
<v Speaker 1>a lot of you know, saying that it's not necessarily

0:23:40.320 --> 0:23:44.440
<v Speaker 1>that bad, right, I mean, the school lunches and meals

0:23:44.480 --> 0:23:47.800
<v Speaker 1>at school are some of the most nutritious meals that

0:23:48.080 --> 0:23:50.920
<v Speaker 1>kids will get. Um. A lot of kids, it's the

0:23:51.000 --> 0:23:53.199
<v Speaker 1>most nutritious meal that they'll get in a day, right.

0:23:53.240 --> 0:23:55.520
<v Speaker 1>And for some kids it's the only meal that they'll

0:23:55.560 --> 0:24:00.720
<v Speaker 1>get in a day. Um. And so dick getting kids

0:24:00.920 --> 0:24:03.680
<v Speaker 1>to come in and eat these meals and drink this

0:24:03.800 --> 0:24:07.120
<v Speaker 1>milk and get these proteins, it's better for them than

0:24:07.280 --> 0:24:10.280
<v Speaker 1>say soda, right, which is something that a lot of

0:24:10.400 --> 0:24:13.399
<v Speaker 1>kids will drink every day. Um. And they're probably having

0:24:13.440 --> 0:24:15.320
<v Speaker 1>a big plate of fries as well as they sit

0:24:15.359 --> 0:24:18.240
<v Speaker 1>down for that school meal exactly. Yeah, So it's not

0:24:19.040 --> 0:24:22.560
<v Speaker 1>necessarily from a lot of people's perspective, you know, this

0:24:23.200 --> 0:24:27.800
<v Speaker 1>can be kind of an overblown issue. But presumably, I mean,

0:24:27.880 --> 0:24:30.960
<v Speaker 1>these these dairy farms would have had a terrible then

0:24:31.000 --> 0:24:33.520
<v Speaker 1>the milk producers would have had a terrible time last

0:24:33.600 --> 0:24:35.359
<v Speaker 1>year when all the schools were out. I mean that

0:24:35.440 --> 0:24:37.280
<v Speaker 1>must be part of this, that that just they feel

0:24:37.320 --> 0:24:41.000
<v Speaker 1>like it's kicking them when they're already done. Absolutely, absolutely, yeah.

0:24:41.119 --> 0:24:44.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean last year people were actually dumping milk when

0:24:44.560 --> 0:24:48.000
<v Speaker 1>schools and restaurants closed because they just wasn't enough demand. Um.

0:24:48.080 --> 0:24:51.440
<v Speaker 1>And so this this has been a really tough last

0:24:51.560 --> 0:24:56.240
<v Speaker 1>year for the dairy industry. Schools are obviously incredibly important

0:24:56.640 --> 0:24:58.880
<v Speaker 1>for dairy's demand. What do you think is going to happen?

0:24:58.880 --> 0:25:01.320
<v Speaker 1>There is the Biden illustrations. Does it seems sort of

0:25:01.920 --> 0:25:04.480
<v Speaker 1>pro milk? Well, the head of the U s d

0:25:04.840 --> 0:25:07.040
<v Speaker 1>U s d A came out and said, um, in

0:25:07.160 --> 0:25:10.879
<v Speaker 1>a hearing that this was a really important issue that

0:25:11.080 --> 0:25:13.920
<v Speaker 1>kids need more nutrition and that kids need more dairy

0:25:13.960 --> 0:25:18.440
<v Speaker 1>in their diets. And so I think it's a good possibility,

0:25:18.680 --> 0:25:21.320
<v Speaker 1>especially because you know, more than fifty members of the

0:25:21.359 --> 0:25:25.680
<v Speaker 1>House of Representatives came out urging the Secretary to to

0:25:25.840 --> 0:25:29.199
<v Speaker 1>do something about this um to permanently allow these low

0:25:29.240 --> 0:25:32.119
<v Speaker 1>fat flavored milks and schools. And that is, you know,

0:25:32.320 --> 0:25:36.600
<v Speaker 1>people from across the aisle. Its Republicans, it's Democrats. This

0:25:36.680 --> 0:25:38.400
<v Speaker 1>seems to be an issue that a lot of people

0:25:38.440 --> 0:25:42.200
<v Speaker 1>agree on that kids need more nutrition. Sells to be

0:25:42.480 --> 0:25:46.119
<v Speaker 1>talked to. There's there to day. I would imagine that

0:25:46.320 --> 0:25:49.320
<v Speaker 1>it probably will be, but we'll have to wait and see. Now,

0:25:49.400 --> 0:25:51.400
<v Speaker 1>the other thing coming down the track for milk producers

0:25:51.840 --> 0:25:54.960
<v Speaker 1>is a big shift away from dairy altogether due to

0:25:55.160 --> 0:25:58.919
<v Speaker 1>not just health but but environmental concerns. And I did

0:25:59.000 --> 0:26:01.359
<v Speaker 1>see that the other day. It shares in Oakley, the

0:26:01.480 --> 0:26:05.880
<v Speaker 1>world's biggest oat milk maker, jump nearly on their first

0:26:05.960 --> 0:26:08.520
<v Speaker 1>day of trading, and they valued the company at twelve

0:26:08.640 --> 0:26:12.840
<v Speaker 1>billion dollars. It's just a little oat milk company set

0:26:12.920 --> 0:26:16.120
<v Speaker 1>up in Sweden not so long ago. But I hear

0:26:16.160 --> 0:26:18.280
<v Speaker 1>that we're going to start to see some very expensive

0:26:18.280 --> 0:26:22.600
<v Speaker 1>eggs in the grocery store, maybe where chicken farmers are

0:26:22.600 --> 0:26:25.199
<v Speaker 1>also trying to cash in on this desire of all

0:26:25.280 --> 0:26:28.880
<v Speaker 1>of us to be more green. In our purchases. Elizabeth

0:26:28.960 --> 0:26:32.320
<v Speaker 1>tell us more about those eggs. Yeah, absolutely, Um. And

0:26:32.600 --> 0:26:35.639
<v Speaker 1>two of my colleagues, Leslie Patton and Kim Titman, did

0:26:35.800 --> 0:26:39.800
<v Speaker 1>a fantastic long look at this for Business Week that

0:26:39.880 --> 0:26:43.159
<v Speaker 1>I would highly recommend that anyone check out. But the

0:26:43.240 --> 0:26:47.600
<v Speaker 1>egg industry is now bedding on climate friendly eggs is

0:26:47.640 --> 0:26:50.520
<v Speaker 1>the next big thing. Um, what is the climate friendly egg?

0:26:51.040 --> 0:26:57.360
<v Speaker 1>Great question. So basically what it means is that these

0:26:57.440 --> 0:27:01.560
<v Speaker 1>eggs are made on sustainable farms, um, that use regenerative

0:27:01.560 --> 0:27:05.359
<v Speaker 1>agriculture to make these eggs, right to produce these eggs, um,

0:27:05.480 --> 0:27:09.320
<v Speaker 1>And so they can be marketed as climate friendly. Um.

0:27:09.600 --> 0:27:12.639
<v Speaker 1>They're not just happy chickens producing them that we've you know,

0:27:12.760 --> 0:27:15.600
<v Speaker 1>we've often worried that we've bought free range, we've bought organic,

0:27:16.240 --> 0:27:20.840
<v Speaker 1>but the carbon neutral yes, yeah, So it's it has

0:27:20.920 --> 0:27:25.040
<v Speaker 1>to do with like the science of the the way

0:27:25.119 --> 0:27:28.560
<v Speaker 1>that they're producing eggs themselves via the soil that they're using,

0:27:28.800 --> 0:27:33.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, on the farm. Um, it's actually a scientific thing.

0:27:33.080 --> 0:27:36.680
<v Speaker 1>It's not just letting the chickens roam freely, you know,

0:27:36.880 --> 0:27:39.560
<v Speaker 1>it's not just like good for the chickens. It's really

0:27:39.680 --> 0:27:43.320
<v Speaker 1>about the carbon impact of the farm and of making

0:27:43.400 --> 0:27:45.879
<v Speaker 1>how much and if we want to be this sustainable,

0:27:45.920 --> 0:27:48.600
<v Speaker 1>how much are they going to be? These eggs? So

0:27:48.760 --> 0:27:51.600
<v Speaker 1>these eggs can cost as much as eight dollars um.

0:27:51.840 --> 0:27:54.879
<v Speaker 1>And you can still get Please tell me that's for

0:27:55.000 --> 0:27:57.880
<v Speaker 1>like half a dozen or it does not just one? Yeah, yeah,

0:27:57.920 --> 0:28:00.760
<v Speaker 1>yeah yeah. And you know you can go into a

0:28:00.840 --> 0:28:03.240
<v Speaker 1>store and get eggs for like less than a dollar um.

0:28:03.760 --> 0:28:08.440
<v Speaker 1>And so it's just yeah, it'll be interesting to see

0:28:09.000 --> 0:28:12.240
<v Speaker 1>how much people are willing to pay um, you know,

0:28:12.359 --> 0:28:15.680
<v Speaker 1>and it's marketed as a premium product, right um. And

0:28:15.760 --> 0:28:18.840
<v Speaker 1>there are a lot of people who will pay more

0:28:19.000 --> 0:28:24.440
<v Speaker 1>money for climate friendly you know anything. I mean that's

0:28:24.800 --> 0:28:28.720
<v Speaker 1>ranked pretty highly um, especially like younger generations, you know,

0:28:29.200 --> 0:28:34.639
<v Speaker 1>millennials gen z usually will rank UM sustainability is very

0:28:34.760 --> 0:28:38.680
<v Speaker 1>high on their UH concerns. And so you know, eggs

0:28:38.680 --> 0:28:41.480
<v Speaker 1>are not the only industry that is taking a bet

0:28:41.720 --> 0:28:45.960
<v Speaker 1>on climate friendliness. But but it is fascinating, you know,

0:28:46.320 --> 0:28:48.720
<v Speaker 1>I mean, would you pay eight dollars for a garden

0:28:48.760 --> 0:28:51.600
<v Speaker 1>of eggs? Who the hell knows? I guess it depends

0:28:51.640 --> 0:28:56.560
<v Speaker 1>how much everything else is. But Elizabeth, thank you very much. Yeah,

0:28:56.720 --> 0:29:03.200
<v Speaker 1>and thank you for having me. Well that's it for

0:29:03.320 --> 0:29:06.080
<v Speaker 1>this episode of Stephonomics. I'll be back next week with

0:29:06.360 --> 0:29:08.800
<v Speaker 1>a lot more from around the world. In the meantime,

0:29:09.160 --> 0:29:11.920
<v Speaker 1>please rate the program, and if you want to get

0:29:11.960 --> 0:29:14.600
<v Speaker 1>more news and analysis from Bloomberg Economics, you can follow

0:29:14.720 --> 0:29:19.040
<v Speaker 1>at Economics on Twitter. This episode was produced by Manus Hendrickson,

0:29:19.120 --> 0:29:22.240
<v Speaker 1>with special thanks to Canada's Deputy Prime Minister Christipher Freeland,

0:29:22.560 --> 0:29:27.240
<v Speaker 1>Elizabeth Elkin, and Brenda Murray. Mike Sasso is executive producer

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<v Speaker 1>of Stephonomics and the head of Bloomberg Podcast is Francesca Levi.