WEBVTT - Bruce Bartlett Talks About Why Truth Matters

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<v Speaker 1>This is Masters in Business with Barry Ridholts on Boomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>This week on the podcast, I have an extra special guest.

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<v Speaker 1>He is Bruce Bartlett. And if you're not familiar with

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<v Speaker 1>h Bruce, you really should be. Uh. He started his

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<v Speaker 1>career UH working for Ron Paul and then Jack Camp.

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<v Speaker 1>He helped to put together what eventually became the Kemp

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<v Speaker 1>Rough tax cuts, which were passed by Ronald Reagan in

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<v Speaker 1>the early eighties. Eventually, due to some of the policies

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<v Speaker 1>of George Bush, he broke with the far right and

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<v Speaker 1>became an independent voice and a critic of the move

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<v Speaker 1>of the GOP away from its traditional roots to areas

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<v Speaker 1>never seen before. I know I'm gonna get all sorts

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<v Speaker 1>of angry emails from people, um, mostly because I agree

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<v Speaker 1>with pretty much everything Bruce says, and some of you

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<v Speaker 1>are going to disagree with everything he says. UM, you

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<v Speaker 1>can send me angry emails at m IB podcast at

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot net. I don't know how else to describe

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<v Speaker 1>this other than just a tour to force conversation about

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<v Speaker 1>a from a certain segment of the political firmament, which

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<v Speaker 1>is the conservative Republican never trumpers and Bruce Bartlett is

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<v Speaker 1>a perfect um example of that. Previously, we've had Mike Murphy,

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<v Speaker 1>who was a Jeb Bush's campaign manager, who gave a

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<v Speaker 1>slightly different perspective. UH, And we try and bring all

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<v Speaker 1>sorts of of perspectives onto the show to discuss these things.

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<v Speaker 1>I found it really fascinating and I expect you will too. So,

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<v Speaker 1>with no further ado my conversation with Bruce Bartlett, I

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<v Speaker 1>have an extra special guest today. His name is Bruce Bartlett,

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<v Speaker 1>and he has a storied career in politics in Washington,

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<v Speaker 1>d C. He has held senior policy roles in both

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<v Speaker 1>the Reagan and George H. W. Bush administration. He started

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<v Speaker 1>in in DC working with Congressman Ron Paul on the

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<v Speaker 1>Banking Committee. He has also worked with Jack Kemp. He

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<v Speaker 1>was executive director of the Joint Economic Committee of Congress. UH.

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<v Speaker 1>He's written for various publications, including The New York Times,

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<v Speaker 1>Economics Blog, for The Washington Post, and other fine publications.

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<v Speaker 1>He is the author of multiple best selling books, including Reaganomics,

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<v Speaker 1>Supply Side Economics and Action, and Impostor, How George W.

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<v Speaker 1>Bush Bankrupted America and Betrayed the Reagan Legacy. Most recently,

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<v Speaker 1>he wrote the book The Truth Matters, a citizens Guide

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<v Speaker 1>to separating facts from lies and stopping fake news in

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<v Speaker 1>its tracks. Bruce Bartlett, Welcome to Bloomberg. Happy to be here.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's quite the CV. Let's let's let's begin by

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<v Speaker 1>going to your political beginnings. You, in nineteen seventy six

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<v Speaker 1>began working for a then unknown congressman named Ron Paul

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<v Speaker 1>out of Texas. Uh. What did you do for him?

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<v Speaker 1>And how did you guys ultimately find each other? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>at that time, Texas was a very solidly democratic state. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, the old story down there is the Democrats

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<v Speaker 1>were yellow dog Democrats. They'd vote for a yellow dog

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<v Speaker 1>if it was running as a Democrat. And there was

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<v Speaker 1>only two other Republicans in the Republican House delegation, and

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<v Speaker 1>one of the Democrats, Uh, resigned because he got a

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<v Speaker 1>higher level appointment of some kind, and so they had

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<v Speaker 1>to have a special election in April nineteen seventy six,

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<v Speaker 1>And I saw a brief story, uh in the Washington

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<v Speaker 1>Post in which this this fellow Ron Paul, whom of

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<v Speaker 1>course I'd never heard of, Uh, was elected Republican to

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<v Speaker 1>a Democratic seat, and he was quoted in the article

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<v Speaker 1>saying he was to the right of very goldwater Well,

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<v Speaker 1>which is hard to imagine. Well, at the time, that

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<v Speaker 1>sounded like a good idea to me. I was very

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<v Speaker 1>conservative at that time, libertarian and uh so and I

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<v Speaker 1>was I was just finishing up some work at graduate

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<v Speaker 1>school and was looking around for a real job. Saw

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<v Speaker 1>out of the blue, I just sent him a letter

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<v Speaker 1>and uh some things I published and uh A few

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<v Speaker 1>days later, I get a call from his secretary and

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<v Speaker 1>I interviewed with him. And I remember when I entered

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<v Speaker 1>his office, he had a bookcase, and in the bookcase

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<v Speaker 1>was every book published by the Foundation for Economic Education,

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<v Speaker 1>which is still around in a robust website. That's right,

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<v Speaker 1>and but at the and but at the time it

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<v Speaker 1>was was the most well known, well established free market

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<v Speaker 1>oriented think tank in the United States. And I had

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<v Speaker 1>already published a couple of articles in its little journal,

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<v Speaker 1>which was called The Freeman. And so I think that's

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<v Speaker 1>probably what caught his attention. And when I saw all

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<v Speaker 1>these books, I knew I was in pretty good shape.

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<v Speaker 1>So what was it like working with him? He that

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<v Speaker 1>was he was on the banking committee. Uh. I don't

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<v Speaker 1>think people had any idea of how his politics would

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<v Speaker 1>evolve to really full blown libertarianism. Uh. Nor did people

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<v Speaker 1>understand that he would one day mount a fairly um

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<v Speaker 1>significant run for the presidents, multiple runs for the president,

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<v Speaker 1>and that his son would become a United States Senator. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean at the time, we thought what we were

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<v Speaker 1>doing was very quicksodic and uh and I think we're

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<v Speaker 1>just trying to make a point. And in order to

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<v Speaker 1>do so. Uh, you know, Ron like to to do

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<v Speaker 1>things in a very outrage just manner. For example, one

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<v Speaker 1>of his things he most enjoyed was being the only

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<v Speaker 1>no vote against some piece of legislation that passed would

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<v Speaker 1>otherwise have passed unanimously. And since he was a medical doctor,

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<v Speaker 1>he got people would call him doctor No and he

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<v Speaker 1>he very much enjoyed that. How did you move from

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<v Speaker 1>run poland Texas to Jack Kemp up in upstate New York. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>the problem was that Iran was elected in a special

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<v Speaker 1>election in April of nineteen seventy six and therefore had

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<v Speaker 1>to run for election for for a full seat that

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<v Speaker 1>very same year, and unfortunately he was defeated in his

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<v Speaker 1>first bid for h I guess he was his first

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<v Speaker 1>effort at re election and uh, and so he was defeated,

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<v Speaker 1>and Uh, I was looking around for a job, and

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<v Speaker 1>uh one of the women in the office that she

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<v Speaker 1>had heard that Jack Kemp, who I really only knew

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<v Speaker 1>about as a football player. I remember watching him in

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<v Speaker 1>the nineteen AFL Championship game. He when he was playing

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<v Speaker 1>for the Buffalo Bills, and he had been elected to

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<v Speaker 1>Congress in nineteen seventy and he always said that the

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<v Speaker 1>reason he was elected because he threatened to come and

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<v Speaker 1>come back and play for the Bills another year if

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<v Speaker 1>he lost. And that's very funny. So you leave Ron

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<v Speaker 1>Paul after he was defeated in what was that seventies

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<v Speaker 1>eight or and you join um Jack Kemp's office. Kemp

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<v Speaker 1>was tapped by Reagan to help push forward a very

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<v Speaker 1>big set of tax cuts. Tell us, well, that was

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<v Speaker 1>much later. So I went to work with Kemp, and

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<v Speaker 1>he was very interested in tax policy, and he had

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<v Speaker 1>come under the influence of a guy named Jude Winnisky,

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<v Speaker 1>who in turn had come under the influence of too economists,

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<v Speaker 1>one named Robert Mundell, who later won the Nobel Prize,

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<v Speaker 1>and Arthur Laugher, who was still out there and very

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<v Speaker 1>active in in in tax affairs. One of the things

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<v Speaker 1>that Jack was very interested in was the Kennedy tax

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<v Speaker 1>cut of the nineteen sixties, which he felt had done

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<v Speaker 1>a lot to invigorate the economy. And remember, in nineteen

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<v Speaker 1>seventy seven, inflation was the overwhelmingly large problem, and this

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<v Speaker 1>tended to make it very hard to do any kind

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<v Speaker 1>of fiscal policy because anything that would increase the deficit

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<v Speaker 1>was considered per se inflationary. But what Jack argued, uh

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<v Speaker 1>really based on Mundel's theories, was that if you enacted

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<v Speaker 1>some kind of policy that increased the production of goods

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<v Speaker 1>and services, then this would be anti inflationary, you see.

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<v Speaker 1>And so that meaning you would have more supply and

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<v Speaker 1>it should not see runaway prices. The additional supplies should

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<v Speaker 1>actually keep a cap on prices. Well well, yeah, if

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<v Speaker 1>you could just hold the line on the money supply

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<v Speaker 1>and and then do something that would raise supply, then

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<v Speaker 1>you should get a diminishing diminishment of of inflation. At

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<v Speaker 1>least that was our theory and our argument. And uh so,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, one day, I remember he uh you know,

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<v Speaker 1>just said to me, Bruce, why don't we instead of

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<v Speaker 1>just talking about the Kennedy tax cut, why don't we

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<v Speaker 1>just do it and just reintroduce the same legislation. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>obviously you couldn't literally do that because the Kennedy tax

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<v Speaker 1>cut was already in effect, So we had to find

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<v Speaker 1>something that replicated it in in my in current terms,

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<v Speaker 1>remind us, how what were the top rates like under Kennedy.

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<v Speaker 1>What was the actual impact of the cuts that were

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<v Speaker 1>passed in the early sixties. Well, the the you have

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<v Speaker 1>to remember that when Kennedy took office, all the World

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<v Speaker 1>War One to Korea War, tax rates were still in

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<v Speaker 1>effect because Eisenhower refused to cut them on the grounds

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<v Speaker 1>that he wanted to balance the budget. And but Kennedy,

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<v Speaker 1>remember and on saying he wanted to get the economy

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<v Speaker 1>moving again. And so he's at that time the top

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<v Speaker 1>tax rate in the federal marginal statutory income tax rate

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<v Speaker 1>and the bottom rate was I believe, and so he

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<v Speaker 1>cut those from He cut the top right down to

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<v Speaker 1>uh sev and the bottom right down to fourteen percent.

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<v Speaker 1>And that's where those rates were when I started working

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<v Speaker 1>for Jack Kemp. Now, the real problem was remember inflation,

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<v Speaker 1>and everybody was getting pushed up into higher tax brackets. Inflation.

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<v Speaker 1>At the time, tax brackets um were not adjusted for inflation,

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<v Speaker 1>you could just be inflated into a higher bracket, that's right.

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<v Speaker 1>And so workers were getting cost of living adjustments which

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<v Speaker 1>just kept them even, but they were actually were soft

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<v Speaker 1>because they were getting pushed into higher brackets that had

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<v Speaker 1>been originally put in to place the tax people whose

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<v Speaker 1>real incomes were very substantially higher than their's. And actually

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<v Speaker 1>the rich, we're we're in somewhat of a better shape

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<v Speaker 1>because if you're already in the top bracket, you can't

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<v Speaker 1>get pushed any higher. But there were some other problems.

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<v Speaker 1>Capital gains was a very serious problem because a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of the gains that were being realized at that time

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<v Speaker 1>was pure inflation, and so you're you're being it was

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<v Speaker 1>confiscatory taxation. You were paying a tax on on zero

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<v Speaker 1>real gains. So what had Kemp proposed doing based on

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<v Speaker 1>where taxes were in the late He proposed cutting the

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<v Speaker 1>top rate from seventy to fifty and the bottom rate

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<v Speaker 1>from four to and so we just we just asserted

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<v Speaker 1>that this is essentially the Kennedy tax cut, another twenty

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<v Speaker 1>points off the top and a third off the bottom.

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<v Speaker 1>And yeah, so we argued that everybody was getting a

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<v Speaker 1>tax rate cut and all the rates in between were

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<v Speaker 1>cut at about this by the same amount, and so

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<v Speaker 1>we introduced this legislation in the middle of nineteen seventy seven.

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<v Speaker 1>In the meantime, a Senator named Bill Roth from Delaware

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<v Speaker 1>had contacted Kemp saying he really liked what he was

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<v Speaker 1>saying and suggested they worked together, and so we asked

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<v Speaker 1>him if he wanted to be to co sponsor this

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<v Speaker 1>Kennedy tax cut legislation. He was very interested in doing so,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's how it became the Kemp Roth Bill. But

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<v Speaker 1>in nineteen seventy seven there was not much interest in

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<v Speaker 1>this legislation because Republicans were still very wedded to the

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<v Speaker 1>balanced budget idea and they didn't want to cut taxes

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<v Speaker 1>and less they cut spending simultaneously by an equal amount.

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<v Speaker 1>This was the widespread view in the Republican caucus. So

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<v Speaker 1>so we were having trouble getting co sponsors. And of course,

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<v Speaker 1>inflation was a serious problem, and all the conventional administration

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<v Speaker 1>economists said, if you don't act a big tax cut now,

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<v Speaker 1>it'll it'll be massively inflationary, we'll have hyper inflation. So

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<v Speaker 1>we had no support really from anybody except these couple

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<v Speaker 1>of people like Arthur Laugher. And uh, speaking of which

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<v Speaker 1>comes along, Ronald Reagan gets elected in in pretty much

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<v Speaker 1>a landslide, not as big a landslide as eighty four,

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<v Speaker 1>but still substantially trounced the Jimmy Carter. Then what happened?

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<v Speaker 1>How did we get from that too? All those tax

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<v Speaker 1>cut Well, there was something in the middle in between

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<v Speaker 1>happened that's extremely important, which is in eight they passed

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<v Speaker 1>Proposition thirteen in California, and now I remember that's what

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<v Speaker 1>That was a huge cut in the property tax rate.

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<v Speaker 1>And the really important part about this is there were

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<v Speaker 1>no accompanying spending cuts, because everybody just said, there's plenty

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<v Speaker 1>of fat in the government. Let them worry about. It's

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<v Speaker 1>not our problem. We just want to pay less taxes.

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<v Speaker 1>And when this was enacted, it d everybody in the

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<v Speaker 1>United States, everybody in Washington certainly to believe, oh my god,

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<v Speaker 1>there's a tax revolt. We got to do something about this.

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<v Speaker 1>And Kemp's legislation suddenly became the thing that every Republican

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<v Speaker 1>wanted to be the sponsor of. And as you say,

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<v Speaker 1>in nineteen eighty, when Ronald Reagan was running for president,

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<v Speaker 1>he he officially endorsed the kemper Off Bill and said,

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<v Speaker 1>this is my legislation, this is what I will send

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<v Speaker 1>to Congress if I'm elected. And he did, and it

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<v Speaker 1>was signed into law in August of And what was

0:14:33.880 --> 0:14:38.680
<v Speaker 1>the impact of those taxes. I think they're grossly exaggerated

0:14:38.840 --> 0:14:42.560
<v Speaker 1>to this day in terms of their economic impact. You

0:14:42.600 --> 0:14:45.200
<v Speaker 1>have to remember the the the the tax cut took

0:14:45.200 --> 0:14:48.480
<v Speaker 1>effect in the middle of a huge recession, and so

0:14:48.600 --> 0:14:52.840
<v Speaker 1>in that sense it was very well timed fiscal stimulus,

0:14:53.240 --> 0:14:55.120
<v Speaker 1>but a lot of other but but of course the

0:14:55.160 --> 0:14:59.320
<v Speaker 1>economy continued downward for well over a year after the

0:14:59.400 --> 0:15:02.600
<v Speaker 1>tax cut took effect. Let's talk a little bit about

0:15:02.720 --> 0:15:05.960
<v Speaker 1>some of the changes that have taken place in politics

0:15:06.640 --> 0:15:09.760
<v Speaker 1>over the past twenty or thirty years that led you

0:15:09.920 --> 0:15:14.720
<v Speaker 1>to really break with your conservative roots. And probably nothing

0:15:15.040 --> 0:15:18.760
<v Speaker 1>epitomizes that more than the book you wrote, How George

0:15:18.760 --> 0:15:23.160
<v Speaker 1>Bush Bankrupted American Betrayed the Rigging Legacy. What led to

0:15:23.280 --> 0:15:27.520
<v Speaker 1>this fairly dramatic pivot from the right to I would

0:15:27.560 --> 0:15:30.480
<v Speaker 1>say the middle, Other people would say the left. What

0:15:30.480 --> 0:15:33.120
<v Speaker 1>what led to this? Oh? I can tell you very

0:15:33.200 --> 0:15:36.920
<v Speaker 1>very specifically, even give you the exact date. Now up

0:15:37.000 --> 0:15:41.280
<v Speaker 1>until two thousand three. I was a very conventional Republican conservative.

0:15:41.840 --> 0:15:46.240
<v Speaker 1>I was very happy in the Republican Party. And then

0:15:46.480 --> 0:15:52.240
<v Speaker 1>on November two thousand three, Uh, you may remember, we

0:15:52.280 --> 0:15:55.840
<v Speaker 1>woke up too, and when we read the newspapers, we

0:15:55.920 --> 0:15:58.760
<v Speaker 1>found out that in the middle of the night, the

0:15:58.800 --> 0:16:04.440
<v Speaker 1>Republican Congress had passed something called the Medicare Part D program,

0:16:04.560 --> 0:16:08.480
<v Speaker 1>and they literally kept the vote open for three hours

0:16:08.560 --> 0:16:11.840
<v Speaker 1>while they twisted arms and did all kinds of things

0:16:12.440 --> 0:16:15.480
<v Speaker 1>to ram this piece of legislation through, which was the

0:16:15.520 --> 0:16:19.360
<v Speaker 1>creation of a new entitlement program for big with big

0:16:19.400 --> 0:16:22.280
<v Speaker 1>giveaways to the industry itself as well. Well, that's right,

0:16:22.360 --> 0:16:25.520
<v Speaker 1>it was. It was a four billion dollar costs, not

0:16:25.640 --> 0:16:29.400
<v Speaker 1>one penny of which was paid for, and they explicitly

0:16:29.480 --> 0:16:34.120
<v Speaker 1>wrote into law that the Medicare program was prohibited from

0:16:34.160 --> 0:16:39.120
<v Speaker 1>negotiating with the pharmaceutical companies in the same way that

0:16:39.360 --> 0:16:44.120
<v Speaker 1>every single private health insurance plan does. So they have

0:16:44.280 --> 0:16:48.600
<v Speaker 1>to pay the list price whatever they charge of dosage,

0:16:48.840 --> 0:16:51.760
<v Speaker 1>the Medicare program has to pay it, and there's nothing

0:16:51.800 --> 0:16:54.040
<v Speaker 1>they can do about it. Was that a stop to

0:16:54.080 --> 0:16:58.760
<v Speaker 1>the industry, It was what was an attempt to bankrupt Medicaid. No,

0:16:58.880 --> 0:17:01.960
<v Speaker 1>I don't think they are consciously trying to bankrupt Medicare.

0:17:02.240 --> 0:17:05.080
<v Speaker 1>What I think is they were trying to throw billions

0:17:05.080 --> 0:17:07.960
<v Speaker 1>and hundreds of billions of dollars at their pals in

0:17:08.000 --> 0:17:11.600
<v Speaker 1>the in the in the in the pharmaceutical industry. I

0:17:11.640 --> 0:17:14.240
<v Speaker 1>think that they were. And the Republicans felt that they

0:17:14.280 --> 0:17:17.280
<v Speaker 1>had to do this because they knew the Democrats would

0:17:17.359 --> 0:17:20.400
<v Speaker 1>the first chance they got, but the Democrats would make

0:17:20.440 --> 0:17:25.800
<v Speaker 1>sure that there were provisions in there to control drug prices,

0:17:25.920 --> 0:17:29.320
<v Speaker 1>and they absolutely did not want that to happen. So

0:17:29.400 --> 0:17:32.280
<v Speaker 1>they had to do take the initiative to pass this

0:17:32.440 --> 0:17:37.800
<v Speaker 1>legislation themselves. And uh, and I was just horrified because

0:17:37.840 --> 0:17:42.880
<v Speaker 1>I thought Republicans existed to cut entitlement programs, reduced spending,

0:17:43.440 --> 0:17:47.600
<v Speaker 1>and creating a new entitlement program was just the opposite

0:17:47.600 --> 0:17:49.719
<v Speaker 1>of what I thought the party existed to do. So

0:17:49.840 --> 0:17:53.159
<v Speaker 1>you sat down and wrote a book called Imposta about

0:17:53.200 --> 0:17:56.800
<v Speaker 1>George Bush. What was the response and you published a

0:17:56.880 --> 0:17:59.760
<v Speaker 1>variety of different columns about it while it was in

0:17:59.760 --> 0:18:02.800
<v Speaker 1>the arks. What was the response from your colleagues on

0:18:02.840 --> 0:18:06.320
<v Speaker 1>the right. Well, first of all, I I started writing

0:18:06.600 --> 0:18:10.399
<v Speaker 1>very very negative columns about George W. Bush, and at

0:18:10.440 --> 0:18:13.639
<v Speaker 1>the time was working for a conservative think tank which

0:18:14.480 --> 0:18:17.240
<v Speaker 1>basically said stop doing this or you're gonna be fired.

0:18:17.960 --> 0:18:20.399
<v Speaker 1>So so that was what led me to decide to

0:18:20.440 --> 0:18:23.480
<v Speaker 1>write the book, which I had originally thought I might

0:18:23.520 --> 0:18:27.959
<v Speaker 1>have to do uh anonymously. But anyway, I wrote this

0:18:28.040 --> 0:18:33.360
<v Speaker 1>book during UH two thousand five, and UH, to my surprise,

0:18:33.440 --> 0:18:36.639
<v Speaker 1>there was interest in the publishing industry about it, and

0:18:36.880 --> 0:18:39.960
<v Speaker 1>UH it came out in in early two thousand and six,

0:18:40.200 --> 0:18:44.480
<v Speaker 1>a Reagan advisor with strong right wing conservative credentials writes

0:18:44.520 --> 0:18:49.000
<v Speaker 1>a book calling George Bush the person who's bankrupting American

0:18:49.080 --> 0:18:52.399
<v Speaker 1>be trading the Reagan legacy. Was it any surprise at

0:18:52.400 --> 0:18:56.080
<v Speaker 1>a conservative think tank said you're out? Uh? In retrospect,

0:18:56.200 --> 0:19:00.000
<v Speaker 1>I was rather naive about all of this, But I see,

0:19:00.080 --> 0:19:02.760
<v Speaker 1>I thought that I had written a book, and if

0:19:02.760 --> 0:19:05.040
<v Speaker 1>you read it, it's it reads like an academic book.

0:19:05.160 --> 0:19:09.640
<v Speaker 1>It's very, very heavily referenced. And not only that, virtually

0:19:09.680 --> 0:19:12.720
<v Speaker 1>every person in the entire book who's cited or quoted

0:19:13.200 --> 0:19:16.560
<v Speaker 1>is a good solid conservative. Because I was, in a

0:19:16.600 --> 0:19:21.119
<v Speaker 1>way distilling what a lot of conservatives were saying. And

0:19:21.160 --> 0:19:24.760
<v Speaker 1>I thought of people simply read the book, they'd be

0:19:25.400 --> 0:19:29.240
<v Speaker 1>UH persuaded by it. They'd agree with me. Isn't it

0:19:29.240 --> 0:19:31.919
<v Speaker 1>shocking you could go through this whole process of putting

0:19:31.920 --> 0:19:35.159
<v Speaker 1>all these facts on paper, and yet still the same

0:19:35.200 --> 0:19:40.480
<v Speaker 1>myths and misunderstandings persist. People don't want to believe that

0:19:40.720 --> 0:19:44.240
<v Speaker 1>which they don't want to believe. That's right, And uh,

0:19:44.440 --> 0:19:47.640
<v Speaker 1>it was really my first experience with this whole phenomenon.

0:19:47.720 --> 0:19:50.480
<v Speaker 1>I'm not sure quite sure what we call it now,

0:19:50.600 --> 0:19:55.200
<v Speaker 1>where confirmation by a selective perception. But there's another quote

0:19:55.200 --> 0:19:58.280
<v Speaker 1>of yours I have to mention because at this point

0:19:58.320 --> 0:20:00.200
<v Speaker 1>I think you're just trying to get your concern OVD

0:20:00.240 --> 0:20:04.000
<v Speaker 1>of Allies and Friends angry. You wrote, no one has

0:20:04.040 --> 0:20:07.199
<v Speaker 1>been more correct in his analysis and prescriptions for the

0:20:07.240 --> 0:20:12.520
<v Speaker 1>economy's problems than Paul Krugman, a prominent Kingsie economist. He

0:20:12.760 --> 0:20:15.520
<v Speaker 1>is the boogeyman for the far right, and yet you're

0:20:15.560 --> 0:20:17.639
<v Speaker 1>saying this guy has been more right than anyone else.

0:20:18.320 --> 0:20:20.199
<v Speaker 1>I don't remember exactly when I said that, but I

0:20:20.240 --> 0:20:22.680
<v Speaker 1>do remember saying it, and and I agree with that.

0:20:23.240 --> 0:20:25.600
<v Speaker 1>Let's talk a little bit about your most recent book,

0:20:26.400 --> 0:20:30.399
<v Speaker 1>The Truth Matters, A citizens Guide to separating facts and

0:20:30.480 --> 0:20:35.840
<v Speaker 1>lies and stopping fake news in its tracks. First question

0:20:35.960 --> 0:20:39.960
<v Speaker 1>is the truth matters. Isn't that self evident? Don't we

0:20:40.000 --> 0:20:43.760
<v Speaker 1>don't we all believe the truth matters? One would think so.

0:20:44.040 --> 0:20:48.240
<v Speaker 1>But there's obviously a great deal of evidence to the contrary,

0:20:48.240 --> 0:20:52.680
<v Speaker 1>at least as far as Donald Trump is concerned. I mean,

0:20:52.720 --> 0:20:55.439
<v Speaker 1>you've probably read this recent story where he continues to

0:20:55.520 --> 0:20:58.480
<v Speaker 1>insist that he owns a ren Wi, an original ren Wi.

0:20:58.720 --> 0:21:02.639
<v Speaker 1>Now has he actually said that, because the Chicago Art

0:21:02.680 --> 0:21:07.959
<v Speaker 1>Institute recently came out and said, the renoir pictured in

0:21:08.119 --> 0:21:13.040
<v Speaker 1>Trump's apartment, the original is here. We have the providence,

0:21:13.080 --> 0:21:15.520
<v Speaker 1>we could trade trace it back from when it was

0:21:15.600 --> 0:21:17.920
<v Speaker 1>painted to who it was sold to. We know exactly

0:21:18.359 --> 0:21:21.159
<v Speaker 1>who and who and where it is. How can Trump

0:21:21.280 --> 0:21:25.240
<v Speaker 1>really believe that that's an original? He simply continues to

0:21:25.320 --> 0:21:28.280
<v Speaker 1>assert it, just as he asserts so many other things

0:21:28.280 --> 0:21:31.840
<v Speaker 1>that are simply lies. Now, the reason I wrote the book,

0:21:32.680 --> 0:21:36.400
<v Speaker 1>it's because I was horrified by the election results. Were

0:21:36.440 --> 0:21:40.600
<v Speaker 1>you surprised by them? Yes? I was on election night.

0:21:40.680 --> 0:21:43.680
<v Speaker 1>I mean it was quite early in the evening when

0:21:43.680 --> 0:21:47.160
<v Speaker 1>I saw the handwriting on the wall, when I saw

0:21:47.160 --> 0:21:51.560
<v Speaker 1>the Hillary was was not hadn't yet been called in

0:21:51.680 --> 0:21:53.639
<v Speaker 1>states that I was quite certain she was going to

0:21:55.280 --> 0:21:58.359
<v Speaker 1>I knew that was a very bad sign. And uh,

0:21:58.400 --> 0:22:00.720
<v Speaker 1>and and I didn't stay up to watch the final

0:22:00.760 --> 0:22:04.000
<v Speaker 1>results of No. I just couldn't handle it. And in fact,

0:22:04.040 --> 0:22:06.639
<v Speaker 1>I refused to read any of the news for about

0:22:06.680 --> 0:22:09.359
<v Speaker 1>two months after the election. I was just sick to

0:22:09.400 --> 0:22:11.879
<v Speaker 1>my stomach. Oh you miss them, fascinating thing. Yeah, I

0:22:11.880 --> 0:22:14.920
<v Speaker 1>imagine I did. But but as I you know, got

0:22:14.920 --> 0:22:18.520
<v Speaker 1>out of my stupor or whatever and began to think

0:22:18.600 --> 0:22:22.400
<v Speaker 1>about what was going on, the thing that struck me

0:22:22.720 --> 0:22:26.240
<v Speaker 1>was the problems of the media, because it seemed to

0:22:26.280 --> 0:22:29.359
<v Speaker 1>me that that the media that had existed throughout most

0:22:29.359 --> 0:22:33.720
<v Speaker 1>of our lifetimes, you know, when you had three major

0:22:34.200 --> 0:22:37.800
<v Speaker 1>news broadcasts in the evening, you didn't have cable. Everybody

0:22:37.840 --> 0:22:41.640
<v Speaker 1>got a newspaper delivered to their house that were responsible

0:22:41.680 --> 0:22:44.639
<v Speaker 1>newspapers that had a great deal of power and authority.

0:22:45.080 --> 0:22:47.959
<v Speaker 1>They wouldn't have allowed any of this to happen. And

0:22:48.040 --> 0:22:51.320
<v Speaker 1>so I felt that the weakness of the media, certain

0:22:52.160 --> 0:22:54.479
<v Speaker 1>things that were going on in the nature and the

0:22:54.560 --> 0:22:57.960
<v Speaker 1>structure of the media. Uh, we're very much to blame

0:22:58.200 --> 0:23:01.560
<v Speaker 1>for the Trump phenomenon. So let's unpack that a little bit,

0:23:01.600 --> 0:23:05.359
<v Speaker 1>because we have we have a couple of things driving that,

0:23:05.440 --> 0:23:11.200
<v Speaker 1>you have the overall move to digital, which hurt newspaper classify.

0:23:11.480 --> 0:23:16.120
<v Speaker 1>Everything from Craigslist to Amazon to Google have all taken

0:23:16.400 --> 0:23:20.199
<v Speaker 1>a big chunk of the traditional media's revenue stream. And

0:23:20.240 --> 0:23:24.080
<v Speaker 1>so we've seen big cutbacks and newsrooms. We've seen consolidation.

0:23:24.080 --> 0:23:27.160
<v Speaker 1>We've seen a lot of newspapers closing. And that's before

0:23:27.240 --> 0:23:30.600
<v Speaker 1>we get to the rise of Facebook and fake news.

0:23:31.560 --> 0:23:35.840
<v Speaker 1>These are all related phenomenon. Obviously, the media don't have

0:23:35.920 --> 0:23:41.360
<v Speaker 1>the economic strength to oppose a pop you know, somebody,

0:23:41.400 --> 0:23:44.160
<v Speaker 1>I won't say Trump is popular in the conventional sense,

0:23:44.200 --> 0:23:48.159
<v Speaker 1>but he's obviously newsworthy and and people paid in an

0:23:48.320 --> 0:23:51.400
<v Speaker 1>ordinate amount of tension. Whenever there was a story about him,

0:23:51.400 --> 0:23:54.720
<v Speaker 1>it got lots of clicks. Somebody said that the media

0:23:54.840 --> 0:23:57.119
<v Speaker 1>gave him and I'm I know, I'm mangling this number

0:23:57.840 --> 0:24:01.359
<v Speaker 1>two billion, eight billion dollars at the free coverage. And

0:24:01.359 --> 0:24:05.280
<v Speaker 1>and that's why he ran a fairly shoe string campaign,

0:24:05.320 --> 0:24:09.399
<v Speaker 1>not a big budget. That's exactly correct. And and but worse,

0:24:09.520 --> 0:24:14.840
<v Speaker 1>what they did is they tended inadvertently, perhaps to normalize him.

0:24:15.200 --> 0:24:18.800
<v Speaker 1>They share they shaved off the rough edges and didn't

0:24:18.800 --> 0:24:21.800
<v Speaker 1>make him seem like the total clown that he in

0:24:21.880 --> 0:24:25.920
<v Speaker 1>fact is and always has been. They felt like, how

0:24:25.960 --> 0:24:30.800
<v Speaker 1>can we justify spending so much time covering this this

0:24:30.800 --> 0:24:33.560
<v Speaker 1>this clown. We have to elevate him up so that

0:24:33.640 --> 0:24:38.399
<v Speaker 1>he seems important enough to justify us giving him so

0:24:38.600 --> 0:24:43.120
<v Speaker 1>much airspace, so many column inches of coverage. So now

0:24:43.119 --> 0:24:46.560
<v Speaker 1>it's funny you say that, because I'm a lifelong New Yorker,

0:24:46.960 --> 0:24:51.920
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna oversimplify this. But most New Yorkers know who

0:24:51.960 --> 0:24:54.879
<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump was before he ran for office, and he

0:24:55.000 --> 0:24:57.520
<v Speaker 1>was kind of looked at as, yeah, the guy inherited

0:24:57.520 --> 0:25:00.600
<v Speaker 1>a bunch of money and he's kind of a a goofball,

0:25:00.680 --> 0:25:04.119
<v Speaker 1>but nobody really took him seriously. Some people thought he

0:25:04.160 --> 0:25:06.600
<v Speaker 1>was a grifter. I know other people who talked about

0:25:06.680 --> 0:25:09.840
<v Speaker 1>him not paying contractors and all the lawsuits and all

0:25:09.880 --> 0:25:12.239
<v Speaker 1>that sort of stuff. But I think the average New

0:25:12.320 --> 0:25:14.480
<v Speaker 1>york had kind of looked at him and said, yeah,

0:25:14.480 --> 0:25:17.680
<v Speaker 1>this guy is in a serious candidate. It was shocking

0:25:17.760 --> 0:25:20.399
<v Speaker 1>to those of us here that the rest of the

0:25:20.440 --> 0:25:26.240
<v Speaker 1>country he found such a robust resonance with Well, I

0:25:26.280 --> 0:25:28.560
<v Speaker 1>suppose you have to give the devil his due and

0:25:28.640 --> 0:25:33.160
<v Speaker 1>say that. However, instinctively he figured this out. He did

0:25:33.280 --> 0:25:39.000
<v Speaker 1>tap into a very deep strain of political and cultural

0:25:39.560 --> 0:25:44.880
<v Speaker 1>trends that were really invisible frankly to even two polsters.

0:25:45.000 --> 0:25:48.560
<v Speaker 1>Let's focus on on the media itself and what you

0:25:48.600 --> 0:25:51.720
<v Speaker 1>think they're doing wrong and what do they have to

0:25:51.840 --> 0:25:55.879
<v Speaker 1>do to fix the problem they have with not being

0:25:55.960 --> 0:26:00.560
<v Speaker 1>perceived as truthful or reliable. Well, I felt when I

0:26:00.600 --> 0:26:04.600
<v Speaker 1>when I conceived this book that given the nature of

0:26:04.640 --> 0:26:09.159
<v Speaker 1>the media environment, people needed to know more about the

0:26:09.240 --> 0:26:13.320
<v Speaker 1>nuts and bolts of how the news is created, how

0:26:13.320 --> 0:26:17.600
<v Speaker 1>it's produced, how it's distributed. Uh. It's sort of like

0:26:17.680 --> 0:26:21.760
<v Speaker 1>if you had a situation, perhaps not unlike someplace in Cuba,

0:26:21.800 --> 0:26:24.640
<v Speaker 1>where you couldn't have a car unless you knew how

0:26:24.680 --> 0:26:28.560
<v Speaker 1>to repair it yourself and maybe even build it from scratch.

0:26:29.040 --> 0:26:32.320
<v Speaker 1>And so as as the the the infrastructure of the

0:26:32.359 --> 0:26:36.439
<v Speaker 1>media has started to sort of collapse, people are going

0:26:36.520 --> 0:26:41.520
<v Speaker 1>to have to create their own uh media for themselves.

0:26:41.560 --> 0:26:44.720
<v Speaker 1>They have to curate their own news feed and rely

0:26:44.840 --> 0:26:51.280
<v Speaker 1>on whatever they They can't rely on just reading a

0:26:51.280 --> 0:26:54.280
<v Speaker 1>decent daily newspaper every day and field that they knew

0:26:54.720 --> 0:26:57.960
<v Speaker 1>know whatever they needed to know that day. Uh. Many

0:26:58.040 --> 0:27:02.879
<v Speaker 1>of the cable channels are ranked uh propaganda. The Fox

0:27:02.920 --> 0:27:06.240
<v Speaker 1>News channel is just literally a subsidiary of the Republican

0:27:06.320 --> 0:27:09.720
<v Speaker 1>National Committee. And when you when you say that, I

0:27:09.800 --> 0:27:13.200
<v Speaker 1>don't just necessarily disagree. But when I say that to

0:27:13.359 --> 0:27:17.879
<v Speaker 1>Republican friends, the answer I usually get is, well, the

0:27:18.160 --> 0:27:22.000
<v Speaker 1>entire media landscape is completely liberal. Well, that's a why

0:27:22.080 --> 0:27:26.639
<v Speaker 1>they tell themselves to justify watching a media source that

0:27:26.800 --> 0:27:30.800
<v Speaker 1>just lies continuously. But I will concede, and I say

0:27:30.800 --> 0:27:34.560
<v Speaker 1>in the book, there was a time, uh when I

0:27:34.600 --> 0:27:38.399
<v Speaker 1>think the vast bulk of the mainstream media did tilt

0:27:38.440 --> 0:27:41.639
<v Speaker 1>to the left, perhaps not nearly as much as as

0:27:42.280 --> 0:27:45.960
<v Speaker 1>conservatives thought they did, but there's no question that if

0:27:45.960 --> 0:27:49.119
<v Speaker 1>you interviewed or talked to the typical New York Times

0:27:49.760 --> 0:27:53.200
<v Speaker 1>Washington Post reporter circle of the nineteen seventies, they were

0:27:53.280 --> 0:27:56.200
<v Speaker 1>clearly to the left of center. The data shows that

0:27:56.560 --> 0:28:01.679
<v Speaker 1>reporters tended to be educated and younger that will skewed

0:28:01.720 --> 0:28:05.639
<v Speaker 1>to the left. Their editors tended to be also educated

0:28:05.640 --> 0:28:09.440
<v Speaker 1>in urban but higher earning and older that skewed them

0:28:09.440 --> 0:28:12.679
<v Speaker 1>a little more to the right. The theory was they

0:28:12.680 --> 0:28:16.960
<v Speaker 1>would kind of balance each other out. Has the liberal

0:28:17.600 --> 0:28:22.520
<v Speaker 1>media trope? Has that been wildly overstated or is it is? It?

0:28:22.600 --> 0:28:25.400
<v Speaker 1>Is there still truth to it or is it just

0:28:26.160 --> 0:28:29.320
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of truth and it's exaggerated for effects. Well,

0:28:29.359 --> 0:28:33.200
<v Speaker 1>what I think happened is that beginning I'm not sure

0:28:33.240 --> 0:28:37.040
<v Speaker 1>precisely when, but let's say the nineteen mid nineteen nineties

0:28:37.119 --> 0:28:40.840
<v Speaker 1>or so, I think the the mainstream media tried to

0:28:41.280 --> 0:28:45.400
<v Speaker 1>tilt itself more towards the center. That is, they moved

0:28:45.480 --> 0:28:49.160
<v Speaker 1>to the right from where they were, but they moved

0:28:49.240 --> 0:28:52.280
<v Speaker 1>to the center, and I think they're by and large

0:28:52.320 --> 0:28:55.920
<v Speaker 1>they stayed there. Now, what happened with Foxes, I think

0:28:55.960 --> 0:28:59.000
<v Speaker 1>they originally started more or less in the center. I

0:28:59.000 --> 0:29:03.480
<v Speaker 1>think they were pretty sent trusts, but they were to

0:29:03.520 --> 0:29:06.560
<v Speaker 1>the right of their competitors, so they weren't really to

0:29:06.600 --> 0:29:10.280
<v Speaker 1>the objective right. They were right relative about what happens

0:29:10.360 --> 0:29:14.120
<v Speaker 1>when the rest of the media moved to the center,

0:29:14.560 --> 0:29:18.560
<v Speaker 1>they then moved very far to the right, and I

0:29:18.600 --> 0:29:21.239
<v Speaker 1>think especially nine eleven had a great deal to do.

0:29:21.320 --> 0:29:23.360
<v Speaker 1>That's when they went full on off the reds and

0:29:23.400 --> 0:29:26.320
<v Speaker 1>became so so that this is a good time to ask,

0:29:26.680 --> 0:29:29.160
<v Speaker 1>what is the Overton window. You discussed this in the

0:29:29.160 --> 0:29:32.280
<v Speaker 1>book and it's fascinating. Well, we're basically talking about it

0:29:32.400 --> 0:29:36.040
<v Speaker 1>right now. Is the window is what you can see

0:29:36.520 --> 0:29:40.440
<v Speaker 1>out of an ordinary window. You can see, let's say,

0:29:40.440 --> 0:29:43.000
<v Speaker 1>a parade going by, but you can only see that

0:29:43.040 --> 0:29:47.080
<v Speaker 1>little section of what might be a long parade that

0:29:47.200 --> 0:29:49.040
<v Speaker 1>is right in front of your window. You can't see

0:29:49.040 --> 0:29:51.520
<v Speaker 1>what's the left, you can't see what's the right. But

0:29:51.600 --> 0:29:55.560
<v Speaker 1>if the window itself moves to the right, you may

0:29:55.640 --> 0:29:59.720
<v Speaker 1>think you're still seeing the same part of the parade,

0:29:59.720 --> 0:30:01.640
<v Speaker 1>but you're not. You're now seeing the right part of

0:30:01.640 --> 0:30:05.880
<v Speaker 1>the parade, and so your perspective is distorted. And we

0:30:05.920 --> 0:30:09.320
<v Speaker 1>were just talking about this. The mainstream media moved to

0:30:09.400 --> 0:30:12.360
<v Speaker 1>the right and ended up in the center, and the

0:30:12.400 --> 0:30:15.760
<v Speaker 1>Fox and the right wing media moved much further to

0:30:15.840 --> 0:30:20.640
<v Speaker 1>the right. But because the mainstream media is relatively still

0:30:20.680 --> 0:30:23.800
<v Speaker 1>on the left, this allows those on the right to

0:30:23.960 --> 0:30:28.520
<v Speaker 1>claim falsely that the media is left wing, and this

0:30:28.800 --> 0:30:33.600
<v Speaker 1>justifies there being very very right wing, which they claim, well,

0:30:33.640 --> 0:30:37.080
<v Speaker 1>we're simply off setting what they're doing, but in fact,

0:30:37.080 --> 0:30:41.920
<v Speaker 1>what they're doing is lying, doing propaganda and distortion, whereas

0:30:41.960 --> 0:30:46.360
<v Speaker 1>the mainstream media is still stuck trying to tell the truth. Bruce,

0:30:46.400 --> 0:30:48.360
<v Speaker 1>you don't mince words. Can you stick around a little bit?

0:30:48.400 --> 0:30:50.400
<v Speaker 1>I have a lot more questions for you. We have

0:30:50.520 --> 0:30:54.440
<v Speaker 1>been speaking with Bruce Bartlett, former Reagan policy advisor, on

0:30:54.560 --> 0:30:58.600
<v Speaker 1>taxes and economics. If you enjoy this conversation, be sure

0:30:58.640 --> 0:31:01.040
<v Speaker 1>and check out the podcast. Extra is Will we keep

0:31:01.040 --> 0:31:04.320
<v Speaker 1>the tape running and continue to talk about all things policy,

0:31:04.400 --> 0:31:07.600
<v Speaker 1>media and tax based. Be sure and check out my

0:31:07.680 --> 0:31:11.720
<v Speaker 1>daily column. You can find that on Bloomberg View dot com.

0:31:11.760 --> 0:31:16.160
<v Speaker 1>Follow me on Twitter at rid Holts. We love your comments, feedback,

0:31:16.240 --> 0:31:20.560
<v Speaker 1>end suggestions right to us at m IB podcast at

0:31:20.560 --> 0:31:24.480
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot net. I'm Barry Ridholts. You're listening to Masters

0:31:24.480 --> 0:31:41.160
<v Speaker 1>in Business on Bloomberg Radio. Welcome to the podcast. Thank

0:31:41.200 --> 0:31:43.840
<v Speaker 1>you Bruce for doing this. I've been looking forward to

0:31:44.000 --> 0:31:48.320
<v Speaker 1>having this conversation because I know you don't mince words,

0:31:48.400 --> 0:31:50.920
<v Speaker 1>you say it as you see it, and you have

0:31:51.160 --> 0:31:54.360
<v Speaker 1>been on both sides of the political spectrum. I know

0:31:54.520 --> 0:32:02.240
<v Speaker 1>no one better situated to observe the current political media

0:32:02.880 --> 0:32:05.920
<v Speaker 1>whatever situation than you. There's there's a few people who

0:32:05.920 --> 0:32:09.160
<v Speaker 1>have done the sorts of things that you've done well.

0:32:09.160 --> 0:32:13.560
<v Speaker 1>I'll tell you when I first broke with the GOP

0:32:14.440 --> 0:32:20.720
<v Speaker 1>over the Medicare Part D legislation, I thought I didn't

0:32:20.760 --> 0:32:22.720
<v Speaker 1>really break with the GPA. What I did is I

0:32:22.800 --> 0:32:27.440
<v Speaker 1>broke with the elected Republicans who were not I was

0:32:27.480 --> 0:32:31.200
<v Speaker 1>breaking with Bush more than anything else, and I thought

0:32:31.240 --> 0:32:34.520
<v Speaker 1>I was helping my party. I still consider myself to

0:32:34.560 --> 0:32:37.320
<v Speaker 1>be a Republican. And what I was afraid of is

0:32:37.360 --> 0:32:41.720
<v Speaker 1>that bushes and competence and screw ups, we're just teeing

0:32:41.720 --> 0:32:44.360
<v Speaker 1>the ball up for the Democrats to win in two

0:32:44.400 --> 0:32:47.400
<v Speaker 1>thousand and eight. And what I thought, remember my book

0:32:47.400 --> 0:32:49.840
<v Speaker 1>came out in two thousand six, as I thought, if

0:32:49.840 --> 0:32:53.600
<v Speaker 1>we had a debate about why Bush was a failure,

0:32:54.080 --> 0:32:57.000
<v Speaker 1>maybe we could nominate somebody who would have a chance

0:32:57.680 --> 0:33:03.440
<v Speaker 1>of winning in two thousand eight. And everybody thought I

0:33:03.480 --> 0:33:07.880
<v Speaker 1>was being a trader for even raising doubts about the

0:33:07.920 --> 0:33:12.120
<v Speaker 1>possibility that that the next Republican wouldn't just win in

0:33:12.160 --> 0:33:15.160
<v Speaker 1>a heartbeat. And I didn't know anything about Obama. He

0:33:15.240 --> 0:33:18.440
<v Speaker 1>wasn't even on my radar screen. I just knew that

0:33:19.680 --> 0:33:23.600
<v Speaker 1>from from long history that two terms of one presidency

0:33:23.880 --> 0:33:26.600
<v Speaker 1>one party, you know, you tend to get the next one.

0:33:26.880 --> 0:33:29.400
<v Speaker 1>And I thought there was a very very small chance.

0:33:29.480 --> 0:33:34.040
<v Speaker 1>But I thought, you know, purging bush Ism was was

0:33:34.160 --> 0:33:36.600
<v Speaker 1>part of what needed to be done. And this is

0:33:36.640 --> 0:33:39.800
<v Speaker 1>what everybody got upset about me about I think it

0:33:39.920 --> 0:33:42.880
<v Speaker 1>was the the old you know, the little kids saying

0:33:42.880 --> 0:33:45.920
<v Speaker 1>the Emperor's not wearing any clothes. Phenomenon is you just

0:33:46.160 --> 0:33:49.920
<v Speaker 1>not allowed to say certain things in the Republican Party.

0:33:49.920 --> 0:33:52.840
<v Speaker 1>And we've seen this now just the last few days

0:33:52.880 --> 0:33:57.440
<v Speaker 1>with Senators Corker and Flake, where they're just being savaged

0:33:57.560 --> 0:34:01.000
<v Speaker 1>by their own party for saying simply for saying out

0:34:01.120 --> 0:34:04.840
<v Speaker 1>loud what they have said. We've been talking about this

0:34:04.960 --> 0:34:08.840
<v Speaker 1>behind closed doors with other members of the Republicans in

0:34:08.840 --> 0:34:11.680
<v Speaker 1>the Senate for months and months, and we can't take

0:34:11.680 --> 0:34:15.720
<v Speaker 1>it anymore. We're going public and and everybody's just shocked,

0:34:15.719 --> 0:34:18.399
<v Speaker 1>and they're afraid they're gonna get primaried from the right

0:34:18.719 --> 0:34:23.080
<v Speaker 1>and they will. Uh. You have this absolute lunatic named

0:34:23.080 --> 0:34:26.440
<v Speaker 1>Steve Bannon, whom I actually know slightly. I was in

0:34:26.480 --> 0:34:31.440
<v Speaker 1>a movie that he directed called Generation Zero. You can

0:34:31.480 --> 0:34:35.400
<v Speaker 1>go to IMDb, i amdb dot com and find that

0:34:35.480 --> 0:34:38.759
<v Speaker 1>the entire movie is available on YouTube. And I know

0:34:38.800 --> 0:34:40.960
<v Speaker 1>a few other people who had lots of people were

0:34:41.000 --> 0:34:46.759
<v Speaker 1>in that movie and worry. Okay, Well, I actually got

0:34:46.800 --> 0:34:49.520
<v Speaker 1>to go to a party at the bright Bart Mansion

0:34:50.200 --> 0:34:53.279
<v Speaker 1>on Capitol Hill and I met Steve Bannon and I

0:34:53.320 --> 0:34:55.919
<v Speaker 1>don't remember too much about the nature of our conversation,

0:34:56.000 --> 0:34:58.880
<v Speaker 1>but at least I did meet him long before. This

0:34:58.960 --> 0:35:02.040
<v Speaker 1>is ten years ago or so, right after the financial

0:35:02.080 --> 0:35:04.640
<v Speaker 1>crisis exact, that's right, that's right round two thousand nine

0:35:04.960 --> 0:35:08.360
<v Speaker 1>or ten thereabouts, but I think it was before the

0:35:08.360 --> 0:35:13.160
<v Speaker 1>big Republican victory in the elections that year, so so

0:35:13.239 --> 0:35:15.879
<v Speaker 1>there were still sort of on the outs, but now,

0:35:15.960 --> 0:35:19.560
<v Speaker 1>of course they're very much on the inside. So here's

0:35:19.840 --> 0:35:22.719
<v Speaker 1>here's the issue that um. I don't even know if

0:35:22.760 --> 0:35:26.439
<v Speaker 1>this is pushed back to you, but people always seem

0:35:26.480 --> 0:35:29.120
<v Speaker 1>to be surprised when I say I was a Jacob

0:35:29.200 --> 0:35:33.719
<v Speaker 1>Javits Republican. Just I have a libertarian streak. I don't

0:35:33.719 --> 0:35:37.480
<v Speaker 1>think the government should tell people who could get elected

0:35:37.560 --> 0:35:40.879
<v Speaker 1>what they can smoke and consume, whether or not they

0:35:40.920 --> 0:35:42.799
<v Speaker 1>can have an abortion, and all those sort of things

0:35:42.840 --> 0:35:47.640
<v Speaker 1>are very paternalistic overreach from government. So I tended to

0:35:48.440 --> 0:35:54.080
<v Speaker 1>affiliate and believe more, um with the libertarian Republican side,

0:35:54.680 --> 0:35:59.840
<v Speaker 1>and Jacob Javits was the traditional moderate Northeastern Republican. And

0:36:00.040 --> 0:36:05.120
<v Speaker 1>what's astonishing is the party from that era sixties, seventies,

0:36:05.160 --> 0:36:11.839
<v Speaker 1>even early eighties, the modern Republican party does not remotely

0:36:12.080 --> 0:36:18.680
<v Speaker 1>resemble that previous Republican party. So when people were pushing

0:36:18.760 --> 0:36:21.560
<v Speaker 1>back at you saying, hey, this is not what we

0:36:21.640 --> 0:36:26.799
<v Speaker 1>stand for. Really, the party was moving elsewhere and you

0:36:26.880 --> 0:36:30.680
<v Speaker 1>weren't keeping up. Is that a fair assessment? You leave

0:36:30.719 --> 0:36:33.680
<v Speaker 1>the party so much as it it left the part

0:36:33.680 --> 0:36:36.960
<v Speaker 1>of the political spectrum where you were residing. Well, the

0:36:36.800 --> 0:36:40.759
<v Speaker 1>the deep historical trend that explains what you're talking about is,

0:36:40.800 --> 0:36:44.840
<v Speaker 1>of course what goes by the Southern strategy. That is,

0:36:44.960 --> 0:36:47.719
<v Speaker 1>you had, for for a hundred years or more after

0:36:47.760 --> 0:36:51.439
<v Speaker 1>the Civil War, a weird situation in which you had

0:36:51.920 --> 0:36:57.959
<v Speaker 1>very conservative politically, culturally, economically, and so on, a group

0:36:58.080 --> 0:37:02.600
<v Speaker 1>of people in the South who, for purely historical reasons,

0:37:02.880 --> 0:37:06.400
<v Speaker 1>associated with the Liberal Party, and there were too many

0:37:06.440 --> 0:37:08.680
<v Speaker 1>of them to be pushed out, so they had to

0:37:08.719 --> 0:37:13.319
<v Speaker 1>be accommodated, meaning meaning Republicans or whoever was in the

0:37:13.400 --> 0:37:16.160
<v Speaker 1>Deep South didn't feel comfortable voting for the Party of

0:37:16.200 --> 0:37:20.200
<v Speaker 1>Lincoln because of the vestiges of of the was simply

0:37:20.239 --> 0:37:23.759
<v Speaker 1>a waste of time. You couldn't win uh and uh in.

0:37:23.840 --> 0:37:26.920
<v Speaker 1>The one group of people who you could have gotten

0:37:26.960 --> 0:37:31.640
<v Speaker 1>support from were, of course African Americans, who were widely

0:37:31.880 --> 0:37:35.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, had their votes suppressed, So there was simply there.

0:37:35.480 --> 0:37:38.680
<v Speaker 1>You simply couldn't win. So if you wanted a career

0:37:38.719 --> 0:37:42.040
<v Speaker 1>in politics, you had no choice but to be a Democrat.

0:37:42.840 --> 0:37:47.319
<v Speaker 1>And now let's let's talk about the modern era. You

0:37:47.400 --> 0:37:51.480
<v Speaker 1>go from Bushism to eight years of um Obama. I

0:37:51.960 --> 0:37:54.560
<v Speaker 1>argued in OH eight, in the middle of the financial crisis,

0:37:55.080 --> 0:37:59.120
<v Speaker 1>it didn't matter who the Republicans put up, they were

0:37:59.200 --> 0:38:03.280
<v Speaker 1>going to lose because the financial crisis was Hey, first,

0:38:03.320 --> 0:38:05.600
<v Speaker 1>non eleven. Now this happened on your watch. We're we're

0:38:05.640 --> 0:38:08.840
<v Speaker 1>tapping at We're done. Um. I get that sense, whether

0:38:08.840 --> 0:38:13.000
<v Speaker 1>it was subconscious or or verbalized, that's what the middle

0:38:13.480 --> 0:38:18.480
<v Speaker 1>was thinking. And you could arguably say nine eleven was

0:38:18.560 --> 0:38:21.600
<v Speaker 1>something that could either it couldn't have been stopped or

0:38:21.640 --> 0:38:24.880
<v Speaker 1>we just didn't understand how how significant the threat was.

0:38:25.360 --> 0:38:28.160
<v Speaker 1>But the financial crisis, hey, it's coming in the last

0:38:28.239 --> 0:38:30.879
<v Speaker 1>year of eight. It's very hard to pass the buck

0:38:30.920 --> 0:38:33.919
<v Speaker 1>on that, even though there were forces that were ten

0:38:34.040 --> 0:38:36.880
<v Speaker 1>twenty thirty years in the making that led to it.

0:38:37.040 --> 0:38:40.960
<v Speaker 1>So I thought the Republicans were destined to lose an

0:38:41.000 --> 0:38:44.920
<v Speaker 1>OH eight. I didn't feel that either party was a

0:38:45.040 --> 0:38:49.600
<v Speaker 1>sure fire victor in what what do we take away

0:38:49.600 --> 0:38:54.680
<v Speaker 1>from the election in Well, it's lots of people have

0:38:55.080 --> 0:38:58.719
<v Speaker 1>dissected that election, will continue to do so. And it's

0:38:58.719 --> 0:39:04.319
<v Speaker 1>pretty clear that Hillary Clinton had deep, deep flaws as

0:39:04.360 --> 0:39:07.800
<v Speaker 1>a candidate, and and everybody knew that. But she, but

0:39:07.920 --> 0:39:10.399
<v Speaker 1>so did he, so did Donald Trump. Neither of them

0:39:10.400 --> 0:39:14.160
<v Speaker 1>were good candidates. No, I agree, but I thought Hillary

0:39:14.239 --> 0:39:16.799
<v Speaker 1>was gonna win. But then again, I always assumed that

0:39:16.840 --> 0:39:21.880
<v Speaker 1>she was doing competent polling in places like Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota,

0:39:22.120 --> 0:39:25.680
<v Speaker 1>and knew what her situation was and could put resources

0:39:25.719 --> 0:39:29.280
<v Speaker 1>into these places rather than just pretend to thinking, Oh,

0:39:29.400 --> 0:39:31.440
<v Speaker 1>they're in the bag. I don't need to waste my

0:39:31.480 --> 0:39:34.239
<v Speaker 1>time there. I'm gonna have a big rally the night

0:39:34.280 --> 0:39:37.520
<v Speaker 1>before the election in Philadelphia. You know my pals, you know,

0:39:37.600 --> 0:39:40.960
<v Speaker 1>Beyonce and Jay z or whoever you No, Pennsylvania, for

0:39:41.120 --> 0:39:45.000
<v Speaker 1>sure was an issue, Michigan, Virginia, North Carolina. There was

0:39:45.040 --> 0:39:49.040
<v Speaker 1>a big article recently that some of the voters suppression

0:39:49.120 --> 0:39:52.839
<v Speaker 1>rules in Wisconsin may have thrown that state. So I'll

0:39:52.840 --> 0:39:55.080
<v Speaker 1>give her the benefit of the doubt with one state,

0:39:55.480 --> 0:39:57.560
<v Speaker 1>but the rest, there's no other way to say it.

0:39:57.680 --> 0:39:59.800
<v Speaker 1>She blew it. But look if she had won, she

0:40:00.000 --> 0:40:02.080
<v Speaker 1>wuld have won by the skin of her teeth. And

0:40:02.200 --> 0:40:04.840
<v Speaker 1>you can imagine what the Republicans would be doing to

0:40:05.080 --> 0:40:08.640
<v Speaker 1>savage her. I mean, she'd have already been impeached by now,

0:40:09.080 --> 0:40:13.080
<v Speaker 1>so I she would have been impeached already. Quite possibly.

0:40:13.640 --> 0:40:18.080
<v Speaker 1>They just started a new investigation of Hillary's involvement some

0:40:18.280 --> 0:40:22.040
<v Speaker 1>uranium sale. You know, they never you know, you do

0:40:22.200 --> 0:40:27.160
<v Speaker 1>think about Niger, but we're still talking about Benghazi. I mean, Republicans.

0:40:27.400 --> 0:40:29.799
<v Speaker 1>What you can always say of them is they never

0:40:29.960 --> 0:40:32.799
<v Speaker 1>learn and they never forget, and so they will be

0:40:32.880 --> 0:40:35.240
<v Speaker 1>dredging up these things for the rest of our lives.

0:40:35.440 --> 0:40:39.280
<v Speaker 1>Which raises which raises a question, because I don't think,

0:40:40.320 --> 0:40:43.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, I never want to draw a false equivalences

0:40:44.239 --> 0:40:50.680
<v Speaker 1>twenty eighteen. Hypothetically the Congress is retaken by the Democrats,

0:40:51.080 --> 0:40:55.160
<v Speaker 1>are we going to see impeachment proceedings against President uh Trump?

0:40:55.920 --> 0:40:59.759
<v Speaker 1>Quite possibly depends. I think that the Democrats have a

0:41:00.360 --> 0:41:03.040
<v Speaker 1>better chance of retaking the House than the Senate. I

0:41:03.080 --> 0:41:04.759
<v Speaker 1>think it's going to be tough in the Senate, sent

0:41:04.880 --> 0:41:08.720
<v Speaker 1>us a real long shot houses probably with your better

0:41:08.840 --> 0:41:13.759
<v Speaker 1>it's it's within uh striking distance. But the point is

0:41:14.040 --> 0:41:16.319
<v Speaker 1>I was getting at is. Even if they win, they're

0:41:16.320 --> 0:41:18.640
<v Speaker 1>not going to have an overwhelming majority. It's not gonna

0:41:18.680 --> 0:41:22.799
<v Speaker 1>be like ninety four, where you know, a huge Democratic

0:41:22.840 --> 0:41:26.200
<v Speaker 1>majority comes in. And so I think that there and

0:41:26.200 --> 0:41:29.759
<v Speaker 1>they'll have their hands full just trying to stop some

0:41:29.880 --> 0:41:33.440
<v Speaker 1>of the Trump initiatives that more than likely will still

0:41:33.480 --> 0:41:36.680
<v Speaker 1>be I think we'll still be talking about tax reform

0:41:36.760 --> 0:41:40.600
<v Speaker 1>in I don't believe that they have the competence or

0:41:40.640 --> 0:41:44.600
<v Speaker 1>the wherewithal to pass anything. Uh certainly not this year,

0:41:44.640 --> 0:41:46.400
<v Speaker 1>and I don't think next year either. So let me

0:41:46.440 --> 0:41:48.839
<v Speaker 1>ask you another question. And I've shared this with some

0:41:48.920 --> 0:41:54.719
<v Speaker 1>of my Democratic friends. Um, Trump is makes a lot

0:41:54.719 --> 0:41:57.560
<v Speaker 1>of noise and and maybe he bothers you on Twitter,

0:41:57.680 --> 0:42:01.520
<v Speaker 1>and maybe he's a little bit of an harassman internationally,

0:42:02.040 --> 0:42:05.279
<v Speaker 1>but he's not competent. He's never run a real organization,

0:42:05.320 --> 0:42:07.879
<v Speaker 1>he's never run a large business. He certainly has never

0:42:07.960 --> 0:42:11.720
<v Speaker 1>run a state or a city. He's gonna get nothing done,

0:42:11.960 --> 0:42:15.080
<v Speaker 1>and he's just gonna piss everybody off. On the other hands,

0:42:15.440 --> 0:42:18.359
<v Speaker 1>if you wish him gone, well say what you will

0:42:18.400 --> 0:42:22.640
<v Speaker 1>about Vice President Pence. He was a fairly competent governor

0:42:22.680 --> 0:42:26.399
<v Speaker 1>of a fairly substantial size state, and he knows how

0:42:26.440 --> 0:42:30.359
<v Speaker 1>to do politics. Pence will get a lot more legislation

0:42:30.440 --> 0:42:33.840
<v Speaker 1>through than Trump ever could. So be careful what you

0:42:33.840 --> 0:42:36.560
<v Speaker 1>wish for. If Trump is gone, now you're dealing with

0:42:36.600 --> 0:42:42.120
<v Speaker 1>a competent even further right individual, What what are your

0:42:42.120 --> 0:42:47.000
<v Speaker 1>thoughts on that? Well, I think Pence is nominally more competent,

0:42:47.040 --> 0:42:50.919
<v Speaker 1>but that's damning him with the faintest possible But he's

0:42:51.040 --> 0:42:54.439
<v Speaker 1>but he's such a religious fanatic. I think it would

0:42:54.440 --> 0:42:59.000
<v Speaker 1>be like having Jeff's sessions really as president. And and

0:42:59.000 --> 0:43:02.000
<v Speaker 1>and I wouldn't under estimate Trump's ability to get things

0:43:02.000 --> 0:43:07.200
<v Speaker 1>done because he has absolutely no consistency. I mean, he's

0:43:07.200 --> 0:43:10.080
<v Speaker 1>willing to just flip under nati degrees from what he

0:43:10.120 --> 0:43:13.000
<v Speaker 1>said yesterday. And what he really cares about is the

0:43:13.120 --> 0:43:15.560
<v Speaker 1>art of the deal he wanting. He wants something in

0:43:15.600 --> 0:43:17.839
<v Speaker 1>the wind column. He doesn't care what it is. That's

0:43:17.840 --> 0:43:22.120
<v Speaker 1>precisely right. So that sort of flexibility should have led

0:43:22.200 --> 0:43:25.520
<v Speaker 1>him to get some sort of repeal and replace through.

0:43:25.600 --> 0:43:28.200
<v Speaker 1>Why couldn't he get that that that issue is still

0:43:28.239 --> 0:43:31.480
<v Speaker 1>open as you know, Uh, there there are people in

0:43:31.520 --> 0:43:36.759
<v Speaker 1>the Congress so working on an Obamacare fix that he

0:43:36.840 --> 0:43:41.359
<v Speaker 1>has on various days said he supports or opposes, and

0:43:41.400 --> 0:43:43.600
<v Speaker 1>I think I think there's still something that at the

0:43:43.680 --> 0:43:46.160
<v Speaker 1>end of the day could get across the finish line

0:43:46.200 --> 0:43:48.839
<v Speaker 1>there and he'll stand up there and pretend he never

0:43:48.880 --> 0:43:52.000
<v Speaker 1>said anything negative about any of this stuff. That's that's

0:43:52.040 --> 0:43:54.400
<v Speaker 1>his strength. It's of course it's a weakness as well,

0:43:54.440 --> 0:43:57.560
<v Speaker 1>but let's not underestimate the strength part. Let's call it

0:43:57.640 --> 0:44:02.439
<v Speaker 1>an intellectual flexibility. Well, that's one way putting it. So

0:44:02.760 --> 0:44:07.000
<v Speaker 1>we were talking before about the media moving, the mainstream

0:44:07.040 --> 0:44:11.040
<v Speaker 1>media moving from somewhat left of center to center, and

0:44:11.200 --> 0:44:15.440
<v Speaker 1>that just your your description in The Truth Matters reminded

0:44:15.480 --> 0:44:20.800
<v Speaker 1>me of Stephen Colbert, who when he was uh doing

0:44:20.800 --> 0:44:24.120
<v Speaker 1>the Colbert ra poor, one of his first things to

0:44:24.160 --> 0:44:28.960
<v Speaker 1>go viral was liberal reality has a well known liberal bias.

0:44:29.560 --> 0:44:32.520
<v Speaker 1>Is that is that any truth to that? Or? I

0:44:32.560 --> 0:44:36.000
<v Speaker 1>think that's absolutely true. I think part of the problem

0:44:36.080 --> 0:44:38.759
<v Speaker 1>with those on the right is many of them are

0:44:38.880 --> 0:44:42.880
<v Speaker 1>are very religious, and they are very accustomed to taking

0:44:42.920 --> 0:44:45.759
<v Speaker 1>things on faith. It could be ideology, it could be

0:44:46.080 --> 0:44:49.120
<v Speaker 1>belief sys and I think it's very easy for them

0:44:49.160 --> 0:44:52.080
<v Speaker 1>to just kind of just gloss over the fact that

0:44:52.239 --> 0:44:58.399
<v Speaker 1>facts don't fit their worldview and and create an alternative

0:44:58.520 --> 0:45:03.800
<v Speaker 1>universe in which they do when cognitive dissonance written large,

0:45:04.640 --> 0:45:06.880
<v Speaker 1>that's one way of putting it. So, so how do

0:45:06.960 --> 0:45:11.440
<v Speaker 1>they rationalize when the Pope comes out and says, hey,

0:45:11.480 --> 0:45:15.480
<v Speaker 1>climate change is real and and we were given the

0:45:15.520 --> 0:45:18.400
<v Speaker 1>earth and you therefore should be working to protect it,

0:45:18.840 --> 0:45:23.439
<v Speaker 1>not despoiling it. How do the conservatives rationalize, Well, he's

0:45:23.520 --> 0:45:25.560
<v Speaker 1>just the Pope. Well, as far as I can see,

0:45:25.600 --> 0:45:29.440
<v Speaker 1>even Catholics have pretty much or I should say Republican

0:45:29.920 --> 0:45:34.120
<v Speaker 1>Catholics pretty much ignore what the Pope said. I mean,

0:45:34.160 --> 0:45:37.840
<v Speaker 1>look at the fact that we are ambassador to the

0:45:37.960 --> 0:45:44.160
<v Speaker 1>Vatican is a woman who's an admitted adulterer. Okay, that's right,

0:45:44.520 --> 0:45:48.480
<v Speaker 1>It's yeah, they had It's well known that she had

0:45:48.480 --> 0:45:51.480
<v Speaker 1>an affair with new while he was still married. And

0:45:51.480 --> 0:45:54.000
<v Speaker 1>and and he of course he's been married three times.

0:45:54.400 --> 0:45:57.040
<v Speaker 1>I doubt that he had his marriage as annulled and

0:45:57.160 --> 0:46:03.759
<v Speaker 1>so the legitimately so. And these are paragons of Catholicism, now,

0:46:03.840 --> 0:46:06.840
<v Speaker 1>isn't that? Isn't that Trump just kind of tweaking the

0:46:06.880 --> 0:46:10.600
<v Speaker 1>Pope because the Pope has said not nice things about him.

0:46:10.640 --> 0:46:14.960
<v Speaker 1>Perhaps I think he mostly just doesn't care. Uh, you know,

0:46:15.040 --> 0:46:17.279
<v Speaker 1>Nuke called him up and said, my wife is a

0:46:17.320 --> 0:46:19.560
<v Speaker 1>big Catholic. She really wants to be ambassador of the

0:46:20.080 --> 0:46:22.640
<v Speaker 1>UH to the Vatican. When he said, my wife is

0:46:22.680 --> 0:46:26.399
<v Speaker 1>a big Catholic. Hold that whole adultery thing aside. Well,

0:46:26.400 --> 0:46:30.719
<v Speaker 1>I'm just hypothesizing how this came about. Nude asked for

0:46:30.760 --> 0:46:33.279
<v Speaker 1>a favor, and Trump said, sure, why not? You want

0:46:33.280 --> 0:46:35.759
<v Speaker 1>to be ambassador? You want to? I don't care. And

0:46:35.800 --> 0:46:41.040
<v Speaker 1>because he clearly has shown absolutely no interest in the

0:46:41.120 --> 0:46:45.319
<v Speaker 1>highest level appointments in his administration. I mean, it's quite

0:46:45.320 --> 0:46:49.799
<v Speaker 1>clear that the Secretary of State hates him. And uh,

0:46:50.719 --> 0:46:53.120
<v Speaker 1>this I don't know. I mean, who knows what Kelly

0:46:53.160 --> 0:46:56.200
<v Speaker 1>is going through Kelly's mind these days when he's forced

0:46:56.200 --> 0:47:00.160
<v Speaker 1>to stand up there and tell rank lies about to

0:47:00.760 --> 0:47:04.080
<v Speaker 1>what this woman, this congresswoman said at an event they

0:47:04.120 --> 0:47:07.399
<v Speaker 1>had video tape of, and he and he and he

0:47:07.400 --> 0:47:10.080
<v Speaker 1>he won't say, he okay, I'm sorry, I made a mistake.

0:47:10.200 --> 0:47:13.040
<v Speaker 1>I misremembered. He stands up there and says, I stand

0:47:13.040 --> 0:47:15.360
<v Speaker 1>by the lie that I said the other day, and

0:47:15.400 --> 0:47:17.360
<v Speaker 1>I'm not changing. Who are you gonna believe me or

0:47:17.440 --> 0:47:20.960
<v Speaker 1>you lying? That's one of those jokes. It's you know,

0:47:21.640 --> 0:47:24.279
<v Speaker 1>someone had said that nobody comes out of the Bush

0:47:24.280 --> 0:47:28.040
<v Speaker 1>administration with their reputation intact, which really wasn't true because

0:47:28.040 --> 0:47:31.080
<v Speaker 1>there were a handful of people on the economic side.

0:47:31.080 --> 0:47:34.719
<v Speaker 1>Greg man q is back at at Harvard teaching, and

0:47:34.840 --> 0:47:38.200
<v Speaker 1>Richard Clarida is at PIMCO. And Jose are just too

0:47:38.200 --> 0:47:40.920
<v Speaker 1>off the top of my head. Although certainly some people

0:47:41.000 --> 0:47:44.759
<v Speaker 1>suffered some reputational damage, the neo cons and a bunch

0:47:44.800 --> 0:47:47.799
<v Speaker 1>of other people involved in the Iraq War, I get

0:47:47.840 --> 0:47:53.800
<v Speaker 1>the sense that this administration is just a reputation devouring machine.

0:47:54.320 --> 0:47:57.040
<v Speaker 1>Is anybody going to come out of this administration reputation?

0:47:57.080 --> 0:47:59.879
<v Speaker 1>And one reason I think that you haven't seen more

0:48:00.040 --> 0:48:03.720
<v Speaker 1>people leave is because there's no place for them to go. Stuck.

0:48:03.960 --> 0:48:07.920
<v Speaker 1>They're stuck, I mean to literally have a paycheck coming in. Uh,

0:48:08.000 --> 0:48:10.480
<v Speaker 1>they have to stay there and maybe hope for the best.

0:48:10.600 --> 0:48:13.919
<v Speaker 1>Aren't most of many of them wealthy and or billionaires?

0:48:13.920 --> 0:48:16.200
<v Speaker 1>Oh not Well, if you're talking about the cabinet, sure,

0:48:16.280 --> 0:48:22.120
<v Speaker 1>guys like Steve Manuchin and Rex Tiller's fabulously wealthy. But

0:48:22.239 --> 0:48:25.120
<v Speaker 1>I mean they're there the people who do the real work,

0:48:25.680 --> 0:48:28.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, the the assistant secretaries and the people of

0:48:29.040 --> 0:48:32.200
<v Speaker 1>that sort, the White House staff, they're just paid whatever

0:48:32.200 --> 0:48:34.360
<v Speaker 1>they get paid fifty or a hundred thousand dollars a

0:48:34.440 --> 0:48:36.759
<v Speaker 1>year and now and many of them now have to

0:48:36.880 --> 0:48:40.520
<v Speaker 1>hire private lawyers because they were involved in the campaign.

0:48:40.920 --> 0:48:43.719
<v Speaker 1>And you saw the other day Trump was offering to

0:48:43.800 --> 0:48:47.560
<v Speaker 1>pay some of their legal expenses. Uh and uh, I

0:48:48.160 --> 0:48:51.320
<v Speaker 1>think some of these people are are really really hurting that.

0:48:51.320 --> 0:48:56.400
<v Speaker 1>That's interesting. My pet theory about why so many political

0:48:56.480 --> 0:49:01.719
<v Speaker 1>appointed positions are unfilled is Trump didn't expect to win,

0:49:01.840 --> 0:49:04.279
<v Speaker 1>didn't want to win. Everybody else has a list of

0:49:04.320 --> 0:49:07.200
<v Speaker 1>here the three thousand people we're gonna bring with us.

0:49:07.719 --> 0:49:11.160
<v Speaker 1>He was scrambling on November ten, too, all Right, who

0:49:11.160 --> 0:49:13.040
<v Speaker 1>are we gonna name? Secretary of state? Who we can

0:49:13.520 --> 0:49:18.040
<v Speaker 1>It seemed like they were wholly unprepared for the requirements

0:49:18.040 --> 0:49:20.960
<v Speaker 1>of office because they It's even worse than that, because

0:49:21.000 --> 0:49:25.239
<v Speaker 1>they apparently did absolutely nothing between election day in jan

0:49:26.760 --> 0:49:29.680
<v Speaker 1>He was just as unprepared the day he took the

0:49:29.719 --> 0:49:31.480
<v Speaker 1>oath of office as he was the day he won

0:49:31.480 --> 0:49:34.600
<v Speaker 1>the election. Did not hit the ground running, not exactly. No,

0:49:35.200 --> 0:49:37.879
<v Speaker 1>So let's let's talk a little bit about some of

0:49:37.920 --> 0:49:42.160
<v Speaker 1>the other items in the Truth Matters, And I also

0:49:42.200 --> 0:49:47.360
<v Speaker 1>want to talk about Reaganomics supply side economics in action.

0:49:48.280 --> 0:49:51.640
<v Speaker 1>There's a line that you said, and I'm gonna say

0:49:51.680 --> 0:49:57.399
<v Speaker 1>two things, and they're a little contradictory. Um, but I think, uh,

0:49:57.440 --> 0:50:00.640
<v Speaker 1>I think they are are somewhat consistent. First, you you

0:50:00.640 --> 0:50:04.320
<v Speaker 1>wrote to Washington Post column headlines, I helped to create

0:50:04.400 --> 0:50:08.000
<v Speaker 1>the GP tax myth Trump is wrong. Tax cuts don't

0:50:08.040 --> 0:50:12.799
<v Speaker 1>equal growth. So the first question is what are the

0:50:12.840 --> 0:50:18.920
<v Speaker 1>benefits of tax cuts and and or fiscal stimulus. Well,

0:50:18.960 --> 0:50:21.400
<v Speaker 1>I think you have to look at it from at

0:50:21.440 --> 0:50:24.399
<v Speaker 1>least from the theory of what the supplies of what

0:50:24.440 --> 0:50:29.280
<v Speaker 1>the Republicans say happens when you cut taxes. They believe,

0:50:29.520 --> 0:50:33.200
<v Speaker 1>basically in the and Randy and great Man theory, that

0:50:33.320 --> 0:50:36.440
<v Speaker 1>the wealthy carry the rest of us on their backs,

0:50:36.920 --> 0:50:42.120
<v Speaker 1>and their incentives count for everything. The average guy contributes nothing.

0:50:42.640 --> 0:50:45.000
<v Speaker 1>It's the it's the wealthy who do everything. Are you

0:50:45.040 --> 0:50:46.960
<v Speaker 1>overstating that or do you know? I think that this

0:50:47.040 --> 0:50:49.160
<v Speaker 1>is what they believe in their heart of hearts, and

0:50:49.239 --> 0:50:51.680
<v Speaker 1>so that's why they're obsessed with the top rate of

0:50:51.719 --> 0:50:55.239
<v Speaker 1>taxation and why they're obsessed with getting it down no

0:50:55.280 --> 0:50:58.560
<v Speaker 1>matter what the problem is. They also want to be

0:50:58.600 --> 0:51:02.280
<v Speaker 1>able to say that tax cuts benefit the average person.

0:51:02.680 --> 0:51:05.640
<v Speaker 1>The problem is, you can't help the average person with

0:51:05.800 --> 0:51:09.600
<v Speaker 1>federal income tax cuts because they basically don't pay any

0:51:09.640 --> 0:51:13.239
<v Speaker 1>They pay a lot of payroll taxes, yes, but they pay.

0:51:13.400 --> 0:51:17.720
<v Speaker 1>The families with incomes below the median are paying virtually

0:51:17.760 --> 0:51:20.439
<v Speaker 1>nothing in terms of income median being around fifty three

0:51:20.520 --> 0:51:23.839
<v Speaker 1>thousand or something like that. I think in the aggregate,

0:51:24.200 --> 0:51:27.560
<v Speaker 1>no family with an income above forty pays any federal

0:51:27.880 --> 0:51:32.280
<v Speaker 1>or below pays any federal income taxes at all. So

0:51:32.280 --> 0:51:37.600
<v Speaker 1>so they have to make up some way of claiming

0:51:37.680 --> 0:51:40.399
<v Speaker 1>that these people will benefit. And that's why they've come

0:51:40.480 --> 0:51:44.359
<v Speaker 1>up with this crackpot theory that wages will rise by

0:51:44.480 --> 0:51:47.359
<v Speaker 1>at least four thousand dollars and maybe as much as

0:51:47.480 --> 0:51:50.840
<v Speaker 1>nine thousand dollars if you pass this big cut in

0:51:50.880 --> 0:51:56.200
<v Speaker 1>the corporate income tax rate. There's no credible think tank economist,

0:51:56.280 --> 0:51:59.919
<v Speaker 1>anybody who's looked at the numbers. It's just holly fabricated

0:52:00.000 --> 0:52:02.440
<v Speaker 1>out of whole cluse. It's just complete nonsense. So so

0:52:02.520 --> 0:52:05.520
<v Speaker 1>let me throw another quote you. I can't. I just

0:52:05.560 --> 0:52:08.080
<v Speaker 1>say one more thing about this. If you go, it's

0:52:08.160 --> 0:52:10.560
<v Speaker 1>very easy to go to BLS dot gov and look

0:52:10.640 --> 0:52:16.480
<v Speaker 1>up the data for wages. Real wages start in Night six.

0:52:16.480 --> 0:52:19.640
<v Speaker 1>And look at what happened to average real median wages.

0:52:20.000 --> 0:52:23.200
<v Speaker 1>And you'll see that after the six Act, which lowered

0:52:23.560 --> 0:52:27.000
<v Speaker 1>the top personal income tax rate from fifty to twenty

0:52:27.040 --> 0:52:30.080
<v Speaker 1>eight percent, which is much lower, and they lowered the

0:52:30.160 --> 0:52:34.799
<v Speaker 1>corporate tax rate from forty to thirty. I mean, this

0:52:34.920 --> 0:52:38.880
<v Speaker 1>is like, you know, the best tax reform imaginable. And

0:52:38.920 --> 0:52:43.280
<v Speaker 1>what happened to wages is they fell for ten solid

0:52:43.440 --> 0:52:47.880
<v Speaker 1>years after the Act. It was only after the ninety

0:52:47.960 --> 0:52:53.239
<v Speaker 1>three tax increase that wages started to rise again. So

0:52:54.719 --> 0:52:59.200
<v Speaker 1>you don't believe is it safe to say that? Well,

0:52:59.280 --> 0:53:01.520
<v Speaker 1>let me let me let me re say state that

0:53:01.840 --> 0:53:06.239
<v Speaker 1>another quote of yours, supply side economics was appropriate for

0:53:06.280 --> 0:53:10.000
<v Speaker 1>the seventies and eighties. Supply side arguments do not fit

0:53:10.160 --> 0:53:15.000
<v Speaker 1>contemporary conditions. So explain what is so different today versus

0:53:16.040 --> 0:53:19.200
<v Speaker 1>five and thirty years ago that makes supply side arguments

0:53:19.600 --> 0:53:22.680
<v Speaker 1>just not work here? Well, look, we in the early eighties,

0:53:22.840 --> 0:53:26.000
<v Speaker 1>in the late seventies, early eighties, the biggest problem was

0:53:26.080 --> 0:53:29.600
<v Speaker 1>we had too much demand not enough supply. And the

0:53:29.719 --> 0:53:32.520
<v Speaker 1>proof of that is we had inflation. That is per

0:53:32.560 --> 0:53:35.400
<v Speaker 1>se evidence of that being the case. We always used

0:53:35.440 --> 0:53:39.360
<v Speaker 1>to say inflation is too much money chasing too few goods.

0:53:39.440 --> 0:53:42.399
<v Speaker 1>So you could argue that we did need to do

0:53:42.520 --> 0:53:48.120
<v Speaker 1>things to help uh encourage the creation the production of

0:53:48.239 --> 0:53:51.320
<v Speaker 1>more goods and services. And that's what the supply side

0:53:51.360 --> 0:53:56.959
<v Speaker 1>theory was about. Today, we have a persistent problem of deflation,

0:53:57.080 --> 0:53:59.719
<v Speaker 1>and the proof of that is the current level of

0:53:59.760 --> 0:54:04.040
<v Speaker 1>and trust rates, which are ridiculously low ten years into

0:54:04.040 --> 0:54:08.759
<v Speaker 1>an economic expansion. It's absurd. Now this is per se evidence.

0:54:09.120 --> 0:54:12.760
<v Speaker 1>I think that we have a lack of aggregate demand.

0:54:12.800 --> 0:54:15.799
<v Speaker 1>We have the reverse problem. So we don't need a

0:54:15.880 --> 0:54:20.480
<v Speaker 1>supply side solution. We need a demand side solution. And

0:54:20.560 --> 0:54:24.160
<v Speaker 1>my own preferred solution would be something that Trump allegedly

0:54:24.280 --> 0:54:27.239
<v Speaker 1>is in favor, which is a big infrastructure program that

0:54:27.280 --> 0:54:30.360
<v Speaker 1>would be the medicine the economy needs, which raises the

0:54:30.440 --> 0:54:34.839
<v Speaker 1>obvious point why you would think that is the easiest

0:54:34.880 --> 0:54:38.920
<v Speaker 1>thing for any president to get through this support on

0:54:38.960 --> 0:54:42.240
<v Speaker 1>the left, this support and the right. Everybody gets a little,

0:54:42.280 --> 0:54:44.919
<v Speaker 1>a little gravy to spread around their own district because

0:54:44.920 --> 0:54:48.120
<v Speaker 1>it's going to be a national spend. Whether it's highways

0:54:48.200 --> 0:54:51.760
<v Speaker 1>or rails, or electrical grid reports or fill in the blank,

0:54:52.200 --> 0:54:56.040
<v Speaker 1>there's a ton of infrastructure needed. Why wasn't that the

0:54:56.080 --> 0:54:59.400
<v Speaker 1>first thing that was done? Why wasn't something past You

0:54:59.440 --> 0:55:02.080
<v Speaker 1>would think that's a no brainer to get. If you

0:55:02.120 --> 0:55:06.000
<v Speaker 1>want to chuck up a victory, what at ends? You

0:55:06.040 --> 0:55:09.640
<v Speaker 1>could even tie it to a little bit of overseas

0:55:09.719 --> 0:55:15.160
<v Speaker 1>profit repatriation, which people both hate a special Some people

0:55:15.239 --> 0:55:19.840
<v Speaker 1>hate a special one time tax cut, but not as

0:55:19.920 --> 0:55:23.160
<v Speaker 1>much as they hate all these these billions of dollars overseas.

0:55:23.440 --> 0:55:27.080
<v Speaker 1>Why could not that have have been done first and

0:55:27.200 --> 0:55:30.080
<v Speaker 1>been passed? And here's the wind, you know, chalk this

0:55:30.200 --> 0:55:33.600
<v Speaker 1>up for your wind column. I don't know for sure,

0:55:33.640 --> 0:55:36.960
<v Speaker 1>but what I think happened is Trump was simply misled

0:55:36.960 --> 0:55:41.120
<v Speaker 1>by congressional Republicans. They lied to him, well, one of

0:55:41.120 --> 0:55:43.440
<v Speaker 1>the things they lied to I mean, Trump is on

0:55:43.560 --> 0:55:47.239
<v Speaker 1>record as saying he thought an Obamacare repeal bill was

0:55:47.280 --> 0:55:49.719
<v Speaker 1>going to be on his desk the first time he

0:55:49.760 --> 0:55:53.160
<v Speaker 1>walked into the oval office after taking the oath of office,

0:55:53.440 --> 0:55:56.520
<v Speaker 1>because remember the Congress was gonna had been in session

0:55:56.560 --> 0:55:59.880
<v Speaker 1>for three weeks before he took the oath of office,

0:56:00.480 --> 0:56:03.120
<v Speaker 1>and so but he also said, I have a plan

0:56:03.320 --> 0:56:07.080
<v Speaker 1>right here, and it's gonna cover everybody. And but but

0:56:07.280 --> 0:56:10.960
<v Speaker 1>I think he did think that Republicans in Congress had

0:56:11.000 --> 0:56:16.000
<v Speaker 1>been working since two thousand nine on a replacement for Obamacare,

0:56:16.200 --> 0:56:20.400
<v Speaker 1>because that's what they've been saying they've been and nobody

0:56:20.440 --> 0:56:22.600
<v Speaker 1>had done any thought. He thought there was a bill

0:56:22.800 --> 0:56:26.040
<v Speaker 1>that somebody had written and was was ready to go. Wait,

0:56:26.120 --> 0:56:29.600
<v Speaker 1>So the whole time we've had what fifty three votes

0:56:29.680 --> 0:56:35.560
<v Speaker 1>to repeal Obamacare, nobody on the Republican party ever actually

0:56:35.680 --> 0:56:39.200
<v Speaker 1>drafted a here's a legitimate repeal and replace bill. There

0:56:39.239 --> 0:56:44.200
<v Speaker 1>was nothing, nothing, because you see, the Republican plan was

0:56:44.239 --> 0:56:47.719
<v Speaker 1>simply to abolish Obamacare. They never intended to replace it

0:56:47.760 --> 0:56:50.560
<v Speaker 1>with anything. Once you give thirty or forty million people

0:56:50.680 --> 0:56:53.920
<v Speaker 1>health insurance, you can't just yank that away. That what

0:56:54.040 --> 0:56:58.799
<v Speaker 1>you suddenly you've created a giant health crisis. Well, they

0:56:58.800 --> 0:57:00.680
<v Speaker 1>didn't see it that way. I don't know why. I

0:57:00.680 --> 0:57:03.640
<v Speaker 1>don't really understand how they think about these things anymore,

0:57:04.040 --> 0:57:06.720
<v Speaker 1>but it's clear that that's what what they were trying

0:57:06.760 --> 0:57:11.640
<v Speaker 1>to do. And Trump the problem was Trump believe them.

0:57:11.680 --> 0:57:15.200
<v Speaker 1>And remember he screwed everything up by saying, no, no,

0:57:15.280 --> 0:57:17.880
<v Speaker 1>we're not going to just repeal Obamacare. We're gonna have

0:57:18.280 --> 0:57:22.880
<v Speaker 1>repeal and replace. So it was really a Trump who

0:57:23.040 --> 0:57:27.640
<v Speaker 1>upset the apple cart by insisting that there be a replacement.

0:57:27.960 --> 0:57:30.600
<v Speaker 1>He didn't have one, but he a sessional. If you

0:57:30.680 --> 0:57:34.520
<v Speaker 1>think about it, you know, once you give somebody an entitlement,

0:57:34.640 --> 0:57:37.480
<v Speaker 1>it's all but impossible to remove it. So the thought

0:57:37.520 --> 0:57:41.280
<v Speaker 1>process was, for whatever reasons, we don't like romney Care,

0:57:41.320 --> 0:57:46.040
<v Speaker 1>which eventually became Trump Obamacare, but that traces its roots

0:57:46.080 --> 0:57:50.120
<v Speaker 1>to the Heritage Foundation and a fairly right wing free

0:57:50.160 --> 0:57:56.640
<v Speaker 1>market um roots. The idea of replacing it with something

0:57:57.560 --> 0:58:01.680
<v Speaker 1>sounded great on the campaign trail. Nobody had done any

0:58:01.720 --> 0:58:04.120
<v Speaker 1>of the heavy lifting. I'm still apparently has no staff

0:58:04.160 --> 0:58:06.960
<v Speaker 1>people to have picked up the phone and called Paul

0:58:07.040 --> 0:58:09.400
<v Speaker 1>Ryan and said, could you please send us over you

0:58:09.400 --> 0:58:13.400
<v Speaker 1>know HR sixty three or whatever it is your legislation is,

0:58:13.640 --> 0:58:15.440
<v Speaker 1>so that we can take a look at it for

0:58:15.480 --> 0:58:18.520
<v Speaker 1>your Obamacare. There was nothing. There was nothing there. And

0:58:18.800 --> 0:58:20.920
<v Speaker 1>I think this was true of so many other things.

0:58:21.320 --> 0:58:24.400
<v Speaker 1>I think he thought that the Republicans had a fully

0:58:24.480 --> 0:58:28.080
<v Speaker 1>developed tax reform plan and all he had to do

0:58:28.160 --> 0:58:31.080
<v Speaker 1>was endorse it. There was nothing there. There was nothing.

0:58:31.240 --> 0:58:33.480
<v Speaker 1>What have these guys been doing for eight years other

0:58:33.520 --> 0:58:37.920
<v Speaker 1>than that's it. That's it. That's all they did. I

0:58:37.920 --> 0:58:41.040
<v Speaker 1>mean you've argued that the Republicans are better as the

0:58:41.120 --> 0:58:44.680
<v Speaker 1>out of party rangers, out of power ragers than actually

0:58:45.120 --> 0:58:48.480
<v Speaker 1>having to run government. Yes, that's quite clear. But I

0:58:48.520 --> 0:58:50.640
<v Speaker 1>want I'm not going to let the Democrats entirely off

0:58:50.720 --> 0:58:52.560
<v Speaker 1>the hook here. They don't deserve to be left. Why

0:58:52.600 --> 0:58:58.080
<v Speaker 1>couldn't they have drafted an infrastructure plan? Why couldn't they?

0:58:58.320 --> 0:59:00.320
<v Speaker 1>You know, a couple of weeks ago, we had a

0:59:00.320 --> 0:59:03.080
<v Speaker 1>big debate in the Senate and the House about we're

0:59:03.080 --> 0:59:07.280
<v Speaker 1>gonna allow we're gonna put one point five trillion dollars

0:59:07.280 --> 0:59:11.200
<v Speaker 1>of increase in the national debt into the budget to

0:59:11.440 --> 0:59:14.760
<v Speaker 1>accommodate the revenue loss from the tax plan we're going

0:59:14.800 --> 0:59:19.120
<v Speaker 1>to pass. Why didn't some Democrat offer as a substitute

0:59:19.480 --> 0:59:24.360
<v Speaker 1>a one point five trillion dollar infrastructure plan. See, they

0:59:24.400 --> 0:59:27.000
<v Speaker 1>don't have the sense to do that. You're absolutely right

0:59:27.000 --> 0:59:29.840
<v Speaker 1>on that, because given the lack of staff and the

0:59:29.960 --> 0:59:33.000
<v Speaker 1>lack of anyone willing to roll up their sleeves and

0:59:33.040 --> 0:59:36.880
<v Speaker 1>the Trump administration and do the heavy lifting, why haven't

0:59:37.000 --> 0:59:40.480
<v Speaker 1>Schumer and company said, Hey, you wanted a profit repatriation

0:59:40.520 --> 0:59:43.760
<v Speaker 1>and an infrastructure bill here, you don't even have to

0:59:43.760 --> 0:59:45.400
<v Speaker 1>put our names on it. Slap your name on it

0:59:45.440 --> 0:59:48.080
<v Speaker 1>and work with this. I think the problem is the

0:59:48.120 --> 0:59:54.680
<v Speaker 1>Democrats have internalized the basic Republican view of the world. Okay,

0:59:54.880 --> 0:59:59.480
<v Speaker 1>they argue within parameters that are established by the Republicans.

0:59:59.720 --> 1:00:02.560
<v Speaker 1>So Republicans come out and say we're going to have

1:00:02.600 --> 1:00:07.960
<v Speaker 1>a tax cut. The Democrat reaction instinctively say say, well,

1:00:08.160 --> 1:00:10.200
<v Speaker 1>we don't want to cut it for the for the rich.

1:00:10.560 --> 1:00:13.160
<v Speaker 1>We need to tilt us more towards the middle class.

1:00:13.480 --> 1:00:15.880
<v Speaker 1>But we're still but we still agree with the principle

1:00:16.120 --> 1:00:18.360
<v Speaker 1>that we need a huge tax cut. We just want

1:00:18.360 --> 1:00:23.480
<v Speaker 1>to reoriented towards our an on whatever. The Republicans so

1:00:23.480 --> 1:00:26.200
<v Speaker 1>so they don't seem to have the guts or the

1:00:26.240 --> 1:00:29.560
<v Speaker 1>intelligence to say we don't need a goddamn tax cut.

1:00:29.800 --> 1:00:33.080
<v Speaker 1>What we need is all this other stuff. We've got

1:00:33.200 --> 1:00:37.440
<v Speaker 1>problems with climate change. We have one hurricane after another.

1:00:37.760 --> 1:00:40.760
<v Speaker 1>We need to be building sea walls across you know,

1:00:40.880 --> 1:00:43.280
<v Speaker 1>the the entire southern part of the United States. Look

1:00:43.320 --> 1:00:48.280
<v Speaker 1>at Puerto Rico. I mean this, and and and why

1:00:48.520 --> 1:00:53.480
<v Speaker 1>Democrats are afraid to talk about the seventy five million

1:00:53.560 --> 1:00:58.439
<v Speaker 1>dollars that Donald Trump has spent so far just golfing. Well,

1:00:58.480 --> 1:01:01.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, if it was the Republicans would be screaming it,

1:01:01.520 --> 1:01:04.440
<v Speaker 1>but they did. They did scream about it. It's very

1:01:04.440 --> 1:01:07.120
<v Speaker 1>easy to find Trump's tweets about it. So so there's

1:01:07.160 --> 1:01:09.200
<v Speaker 1>two things I have to remind you, Bruce, and these

1:01:09.240 --> 1:01:12.920
<v Speaker 1>are these are very very important. One is the United

1:01:12.920 --> 1:01:15.160
<v Speaker 1>States is the most heavily text country in the world.

1:01:15.240 --> 1:01:18.920
<v Speaker 1>And second, climate change is the Chinese hoax. We know

1:01:19.080 --> 1:01:21.200
<v Speaker 1>both of those from from some of the tweets from

1:01:21.240 --> 1:01:23.560
<v Speaker 1>the President. So why should we worry about either of

1:01:23.560 --> 1:01:27.240
<v Speaker 1>those things? Well, because the truth matters and those are lies.

1:01:27.400 --> 1:01:31.120
<v Speaker 1>Thank you for the nicely. So before I get to

1:01:31.240 --> 1:01:34.240
<v Speaker 1>my favorite questions, there's one last question I have to

1:01:34.320 --> 1:01:38.240
<v Speaker 1>ask you on the issue of the truth matters. So

1:01:38.760 --> 1:01:43.520
<v Speaker 1>you you followed a fairly standard DC career arc You

1:01:43.720 --> 1:01:46.400
<v Speaker 1>worked in Congress, then you worked in the White House,

1:01:46.760 --> 1:01:49.160
<v Speaker 1>and then you left to write some books and worked

1:01:49.200 --> 1:01:52.480
<v Speaker 1>with some think tanks. You were at both CATO and

1:01:52.560 --> 1:01:56.960
<v Speaker 1>the National Center for Policy Analysis, Theritage at the Harris Foundation.

1:01:57.360 --> 1:02:00.320
<v Speaker 1>But and I used to read a lot of these

1:02:00.360 --> 1:02:04.360
<v Speaker 1>white papers that came out of the think tanks decades ago.

1:02:05.040 --> 1:02:08.919
<v Speaker 1>But my understanding of these think tanks are they are

1:02:09.080 --> 1:02:14.160
<v Speaker 1>no longer objective pursuers of the truth starting from a

1:02:14.280 --> 1:02:19.360
<v Speaker 1>certain fundamental ideological perspective. Now it's what's they're just shills

1:02:19.400 --> 1:02:22.240
<v Speaker 1>for higher what sort of stuff can we crank out

1:02:22.480 --> 1:02:28.200
<v Speaker 1>to pursue what this industry wants or or that association wants.

1:02:29.040 --> 1:02:33.720
<v Speaker 1>Have think tanks lost their ability to objectively think pretty much.

1:02:33.800 --> 1:02:36.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean, if you're talking about Washington think tanks, I

1:02:36.080 --> 1:02:38.760
<v Speaker 1>think the most part. Uh. There may be still some

1:02:38.880 --> 1:02:43.800
<v Speaker 1>affiliated with universities and such that are worth paying attention to.

1:02:44.360 --> 1:02:47.200
<v Speaker 1>But in a way, the the Internet made the think

1:02:47.280 --> 1:02:51.720
<v Speaker 1>tank as it was originally created superfluous, because what think

1:02:51.760 --> 1:02:56.640
<v Speaker 1>tanks did is they're the intermediaries between the policy people

1:02:57.160 --> 1:03:01.400
<v Speaker 1>and the academics who theoretically were the the sources of

1:03:01.120 --> 1:03:05.840
<v Speaker 1>of original uh deep thinking. And so the idea, at

1:03:05.920 --> 1:03:09.000
<v Speaker 1>least when I was a Heritage Foundation in the nineteen eighties,

1:03:09.120 --> 1:03:12.280
<v Speaker 1>is okay, you know, we'll talk to Milton Friedman. He'll

1:03:12.320 --> 1:03:14.760
<v Speaker 1>give us his ideas. You write them up in a

1:03:14.800 --> 1:03:19.120
<v Speaker 1>way that a policymaker can understand, will pump this stuff

1:03:19.160 --> 1:03:22.200
<v Speaker 1>out onto Capitol Hill. Because there's the pre Internet era,

1:03:22.320 --> 1:03:26.160
<v Speaker 1>you had to have a printed documentation that was written

1:03:26.400 --> 1:03:30.120
<v Speaker 1>in a short way easily understandable, and that was what

1:03:30.200 --> 1:03:34.240
<v Speaker 1>our job was, to be the middleman. But let's let's

1:03:34.240 --> 1:03:37.440
<v Speaker 1>get to some of um our favorite questions. These are

1:03:37.440 --> 1:03:40.680
<v Speaker 1>what I ask all of our guests. Let's let's start

1:03:40.800 --> 1:03:43.800
<v Speaker 1>with UM, your background. Tell us the most important thing

1:03:44.240 --> 1:03:48.720
<v Speaker 1>that people don't know about your background? Well these days

1:03:48.760 --> 1:03:51.560
<v Speaker 1>would probably be that I was a senior fellow at

1:03:51.560 --> 1:03:54.680
<v Speaker 1>the Heritage Foundation for two years, or that my boss

1:03:54.680 --> 1:03:56.920
<v Speaker 1>in the White House was a guy named Gary Bauer,

1:03:57.240 --> 1:04:01.280
<v Speaker 1>who is one of the uh epitomes of of UH

1:04:02.040 --> 1:04:07.400
<v Speaker 1>Evangelical Christianity. UM, tell us about some of your early mentors.

1:04:07.400 --> 1:04:10.600
<v Speaker 1>Who do you think was most influential in shaping your

1:04:11.240 --> 1:04:16.560
<v Speaker 1>views and career. Oh, Jack Kemp was unquestionably the person

1:04:16.600 --> 1:04:19.360
<v Speaker 1>who influenced my thinking. I remember when I used to

1:04:19.360 --> 1:04:21.760
<v Speaker 1>work for him. I would sometimes think I was wrong

1:04:21.840 --> 1:04:23.760
<v Speaker 1>and or he was wrong and I was right, And

1:04:24.480 --> 1:04:27.480
<v Speaker 1>eventually I realized he was right and I was wrong.

1:04:27.680 --> 1:04:29.720
<v Speaker 1>And I've discovered that about a lot of other people.

1:04:30.040 --> 1:04:32.880
<v Speaker 1>There was a an economist named herb Stein that I

1:04:32.920 --> 1:04:35.960
<v Speaker 1>would argue with all the time, and the last and

1:04:36.320 --> 1:04:38.240
<v Speaker 1>probably the last time forever that I was at the

1:04:38.280 --> 1:04:42.480
<v Speaker 1>American Enterprise Institute, I confess that in every instance in

1:04:42.480 --> 1:04:44.840
<v Speaker 1>which her I thought her was wrong and I was right.

1:04:44.840 --> 1:04:46.880
<v Speaker 1>It was the other way around. And you know, so

1:04:46.960 --> 1:04:50.479
<v Speaker 1>I've I've been and you pointed out my comment about

1:04:50.480 --> 1:04:55.160
<v Speaker 1>Paul Krugman, so I'm trying to make amends. Tell us, um,

1:04:55.400 --> 1:05:01.800
<v Speaker 1>what other politicians influenced your thinking about out both partisan

1:05:01.840 --> 1:05:06.920
<v Speaker 1>politics and policy. Well, if you're talking today, I'm still

1:05:07.080 --> 1:05:10.800
<v Speaker 1>educating myself. I spend an enormous amount of time reading

1:05:10.840 --> 1:05:14.480
<v Speaker 1>the literature, especially, and I've learned that I have to

1:05:14.480 --> 1:05:20.440
<v Speaker 1>study things like psychology and sociology, uh that in political science,

1:05:20.880 --> 1:05:25.120
<v Speaker 1>that to try to understand why things are so screwy.

1:05:25.160 --> 1:05:28.680
<v Speaker 1>And the academics are only just barely scratching the surface.

1:05:29.000 --> 1:05:31.760
<v Speaker 1>But I do believe the psychologists will eventually be the

1:05:31.760 --> 1:05:36.240
<v Speaker 1>ones who tell us that is that seems to be

1:05:36.280 --> 1:05:40.560
<v Speaker 1>taking place on on economics and investing for sure. Tell

1:05:40.640 --> 1:05:46.640
<v Speaker 1>us about some of your favorite books. Oh, I hate

1:05:46.680 --> 1:05:48.959
<v Speaker 1>to say this, but I don't actually read very many

1:05:49.040 --> 1:05:52.800
<v Speaker 1>books because I read all day long on the internet.

1:05:52.840 --> 1:05:55.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm just kind of a junkie about this sort of stuff.

1:05:55.840 --> 1:05:57.880
<v Speaker 1>One of the things I talk about that I'm sure

1:05:57.880 --> 1:06:00.480
<v Speaker 1>you're familiar with is A is an RSS A reader

1:06:01.200 --> 1:06:03.920
<v Speaker 1>which I depend on absolutely to keep me up to

1:06:04.000 --> 1:06:06.920
<v Speaker 1>date on all the stuff that is being published all

1:06:06.960 --> 1:06:10.400
<v Speaker 1>around the internet, and it it aggregates and brings these

1:06:10.440 --> 1:06:14.840
<v Speaker 1>specific items from specific websites to me directly, so I

1:06:14.840 --> 1:06:18.200
<v Speaker 1>don't have to I never go to homepages anymore. I

1:06:18.320 --> 1:06:20.600
<v Speaker 1>just read what comes to me and my RSS reader,

1:06:20.960 --> 1:06:23.720
<v Speaker 1>and I do this all day long. I get thousands

1:06:23.720 --> 1:06:26.040
<v Speaker 1>and thousands of items that I have to scroll through,

1:06:26.360 --> 1:06:28.360
<v Speaker 1>and so the last thing I want to do is

1:06:28.960 --> 1:06:32.640
<v Speaker 1>read for pleasure. And secondarily, when I write things, I

1:06:32.720 --> 1:06:34.479
<v Speaker 1>like to be able to link to them. I think

1:06:34.640 --> 1:06:39.520
<v Speaker 1>links are underutilized by readers and your reference that in

1:06:39.560 --> 1:06:41.560
<v Speaker 1>the book as well, that when you're writing you have

1:06:41.680 --> 1:06:46.720
<v Speaker 1>to not only source specific details, but source um your

1:06:46.720 --> 1:06:49.600
<v Speaker 1>sources via a link. Well, that's right. I think that

1:06:49.880 --> 1:06:53.640
<v Speaker 1>a lot of writers are lackadaisical about using links, which

1:06:53.680 --> 1:06:57.880
<v Speaker 1>may explain why readers are lackadaisical. I'll give you an example.

1:06:57.960 --> 1:06:59.880
<v Speaker 1>I was I used to write for a public a

1:07:00.000 --> 1:07:02.920
<v Speaker 1>shan and one day I was writing something where I

1:07:03.000 --> 1:07:06.120
<v Speaker 1>quoted Hillary Clinton when she was Secretary of State, and

1:07:06.160 --> 1:07:08.600
<v Speaker 1>I quoted her and I provided a link that went

1:07:08.680 --> 1:07:11.240
<v Speaker 1>to the Department of State website where you could find

1:07:11.680 --> 1:07:18.080
<v Speaker 1>the text of the speech that she gave and where. Well,

1:07:18.200 --> 1:07:20.800
<v Speaker 1>later I was I needed to find that quote again,

1:07:20.840 --> 1:07:22.880
<v Speaker 1>So I went to my article, clicked on the link.

1:07:23.280 --> 1:07:25.520
<v Speaker 1>It did not take me to the State Department. It

1:07:25.560 --> 1:07:29.640
<v Speaker 1>took me to some random article on that organ at

1:07:29.680 --> 1:07:34.760
<v Speaker 1>that publications website that happened to mention Hillary Clinton in passing.

1:07:35.200 --> 1:07:38.120
<v Speaker 1>It was not documentation for the statement that I need.

1:07:38.440 --> 1:07:42.200
<v Speaker 1>It had nothing whatsoever to do with what the editor.

1:07:42.760 --> 1:07:46.400
<v Speaker 1>But whoever checks your own links after they're published, You see,

1:07:46.640 --> 1:07:48.200
<v Speaker 1>I don't know how much of this sort of thing

1:07:48.280 --> 1:07:52.840
<v Speaker 1>goes on, and it's not the writer's fault, and and

1:07:52.840 --> 1:07:54.720
<v Speaker 1>and so anyway, I think there's a lot of blame

1:07:54.800 --> 1:07:58.600
<v Speaker 1>to go around here. But I do think that quite

1:07:58.600 --> 1:08:01.720
<v Speaker 1>often I'll come across some worry that sounds quite interesting.

1:08:01.760 --> 1:08:03.960
<v Speaker 1>I'll click on the link and it turns out it's

1:08:04.040 --> 1:08:06.160
<v Speaker 1>it's it's a secondary source, and I have to click

1:08:06.400 --> 1:08:09.520
<v Speaker 1>three or four more times to find the original source.

1:08:09.880 --> 1:08:12.919
<v Speaker 1>I think writers should do more to try to give

1:08:13.000 --> 1:08:16.800
<v Speaker 1>credit to the original source that broke a story, or

1:08:17.000 --> 1:08:19.599
<v Speaker 1>is the primary source. It makes a lot of sense.

1:08:20.160 --> 1:08:24.200
<v Speaker 1>So we've seen huge changes in politics and policies. What

1:08:24.240 --> 1:08:27.400
<v Speaker 1>do you think is the single biggest shift that is

1:08:27.439 --> 1:08:31.760
<v Speaker 1>affecting the state of modern politics. I think it's that

1:08:31.840 --> 1:08:35.720
<v Speaker 1>the Overton window, which we discussed earlier, has moved very

1:08:35.760 --> 1:08:39.160
<v Speaker 1>sharply to the right, so that what used to be

1:08:39.280 --> 1:08:43.280
<v Speaker 1>considered the center is now the left wing, so to

1:08:43.320 --> 1:08:46.920
<v Speaker 1>speak of policy debate, and all of the debate takes

1:08:46.960 --> 1:08:50.640
<v Speaker 1>place between the center and the far far right, and

1:08:50.680 --> 1:08:54.800
<v Speaker 1>the right is very clever about continuously pushing to the

1:08:54.920 --> 1:09:01.559
<v Speaker 1>right so that positions outright racism, knee know, Nazism, people

1:09:01.960 --> 1:09:07.520
<v Speaker 1>going around carrying flags withou Nazi the Suastika on them

1:09:07.760 --> 1:09:11.879
<v Speaker 1>is not treated as outrageous or beyond the pale. It's oh,

1:09:11.920 --> 1:09:14.400
<v Speaker 1>that's what the right is doing today on all sides.

1:09:14.520 --> 1:09:18.559
<v Speaker 1>This is find people on all sides. It's it's crazy

1:09:18.680 --> 1:09:21.320
<v Speaker 1>that it's see. I don't see that as a right

1:09:21.400 --> 1:09:25.120
<v Speaker 1>left thing. I there's a spectrum of right left, and

1:09:25.360 --> 1:09:29.000
<v Speaker 1>as you describe beyond the pale, that sort of stuff

1:09:29.040 --> 1:09:35.840
<v Speaker 1>is beyond the pale, and what's disapp that's normal behavior.

1:09:36.280 --> 1:09:42.280
<v Speaker 1>I don't understand why there aren't more rational conservatives. And

1:09:42.680 --> 1:09:45.400
<v Speaker 1>by the way, you can look at National Review screams

1:09:45.439 --> 1:09:49.040
<v Speaker 1>about this. You can look at American Conservative screaming about this,

1:09:49.720 --> 1:09:52.560
<v Speaker 1>but you don't quite hear the same sort of pushback

1:09:52.720 --> 1:09:56.800
<v Speaker 1>from as you mentioned Fox and other places, certainly not

1:09:56.880 --> 1:09:59.000
<v Speaker 1>to the same degree as n r O has just

1:09:59.120 --> 1:10:03.599
<v Speaker 1>been all over this. It's amazing. Well, the the facade

1:10:03.720 --> 1:10:06.960
<v Speaker 1>is cracking. I mean, I think the Corker flag business

1:10:07.040 --> 1:10:12.200
<v Speaker 1>is potentially far reaching in its impact because finally there

1:10:12.200 --> 1:10:17.439
<v Speaker 1>are people articulating uh views that perhaps you and I

1:10:17.520 --> 1:10:20.679
<v Speaker 1>may have, but they have credibility because they are elected

1:10:20.800 --> 1:10:24.680
<v Speaker 1>officials in the Republican Party. Corker is still chairman of

1:10:24.760 --> 1:10:27.840
<v Speaker 1>the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. He's in a position to

1:10:27.920 --> 1:10:31.719
<v Speaker 1>actually do something. So let's get to our final question.

1:10:32.439 --> 1:10:36.479
<v Speaker 1>Um final two questions. If some millennial recent college grad

1:10:36.600 --> 1:10:40.120
<v Speaker 1>came to you and said, I'm interested in a career

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<v Speaker 1>in either politics or policy, what sort of advice would

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<v Speaker 1>you give them? Well, just as a pure career element,

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<v Speaker 1>I think the health ish area is going to be

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<v Speaker 1>a huge continuing growth area. The baby boomers are getting older,

1:10:57.400 --> 1:11:02.360
<v Speaker 1>gerontology care for my generation. I think this is the

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<v Speaker 1>way the wealth will be transferred from our generation to

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<v Speaker 1>the younger generation. They basically are going to have to

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<v Speaker 1>take care of us in our old age and that's fine.

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<v Speaker 1>And then our final question, what is it that you

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<v Speaker 1>know about politics today? You wish you knew thirty years

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<v Speaker 1>ago when you were first getting started. Well, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>that's a continuing problem. I I wish I had understood

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<v Speaker 1>tribal loyalty and the extent to which people on the

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<v Speaker 1>right have are not motivated by ideas. They it's just

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<v Speaker 1>guts and and it's all about the tribe. And if

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<v Speaker 1>you're a Republican and you're saying something, and I'm a Republican,

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<v Speaker 1>I have to support you, have to agree with you.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not allowed to independently evaluate what you said because

1:11:52.080 --> 1:11:54.439
<v Speaker 1>I might discover you're wrong, and if and if I

1:11:54.479 --> 1:11:57.479
<v Speaker 1>discover you're wrong, that creates a crisis for me. So

1:11:57.560 --> 1:11:59.240
<v Speaker 1>it's better if I just don't even think about it.

1:11:59.280 --> 1:12:04.599
<v Speaker 1>I just lock step, say yes, you know Hale, Kyle Hitler,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, us versus them. We have been speaking with

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<v Speaker 1>Bruce Bartlett, author of The Truth Matters UH and former

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<v Speaker 1>Ronald Reagan and first George Bush administration policy adviser. If

1:12:18.720 --> 1:12:21.200
<v Speaker 1>you enjoy this conversation, be sure and look up an

1:12:21.240 --> 1:12:25.960
<v Speaker 1>inch or down an inch on Apple iTunes, Overcast, SoundCloud,

1:12:26.000 --> 1:12:29.760
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot com wherever fine podcasts are sold, and you

1:12:29.800 --> 1:12:33.080
<v Speaker 1>can see any of our previous hundred and sixty or

1:12:33.160 --> 1:12:38.000
<v Speaker 1>so such conversations. We love your comments, feedback and suggestions

1:12:38.600 --> 1:12:42.240
<v Speaker 1>right to us at m IB podcast at Bloomberg dot net.

1:12:43.000 --> 1:12:45.360
<v Speaker 1>I would be remiss if I did not thank our

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<v Speaker 1>crack team here who helps put together the podcasts each week.

1:12:49.200 --> 1:12:53.639
<v Speaker 1>Medina Parwana is my producer and audio engineer. Taylor Riggs

1:12:53.800 --> 1:12:57.000
<v Speaker 1>is my booker. Michael Batnick is our head of research.

1:12:57.680 --> 1:13:00.360
<v Speaker 1>I'm Barry Retolts. You've been listening to Matt Staers in

1:13:00.400 --> 1:13:12.080
<v Speaker 1>Business on Bloomberg Radio. H