1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:01,800 Speaker 1: What two three bikes. 2 00:00:05,480 --> 00:00:07,160 Speaker 2: Down the middle of the failing. 3 00:00:09,560 --> 00:00:14,760 Speaker 3: Hello's football down in the one yard line? 4 00:00:16,560 --> 00:00:23,960 Speaker 2: How about that? That is the ultimate k Man. 5 00:00:24,400 --> 00:00:27,720 Speaker 1: We are underway. 6 00:00:28,560 --> 00:00:31,479 Speaker 3: Hello everyone, Welcome back to another episode of the Action 7 00:00:31,600 --> 00:00:36,160 Speaker 3: Network NFL podcast. Is the week sixteen Wednesday show Championship Week. 8 00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:36,800 Speaker 2: It's a good week. 9 00:00:36,840 --> 00:00:40,239 Speaker 3: The season is nearing its end, so you know, excited 10 00:00:40,240 --> 00:00:42,880 Speaker 3: about that Holiday season is here. I am Matthew Freeman, 11 00:00:43,000 --> 00:00:45,479 Speaker 3: the editor in chief of Fantasy Labs. Joining me for 12 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:48,159 Speaker 3: the show are Peter Jennings and Sean Corner. You can 13 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:50,920 Speaker 3: follow them at CSU AM eighty eight and the Underscore 14 00:00:50,960 --> 00:00:53,320 Speaker 3: Odds Maker in the Action Network, aap where you can 15 00:00:53,320 --> 00:00:55,640 Speaker 3: track your best and get real time NFL odds. Peter 16 00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:58,160 Speaker 3: is a Fantasy Labs co founder and two time DFS 17 00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:00,720 Speaker 3: World Champion, and Sean is the Action Network Director of 18 00:01:00,720 --> 00:01:03,600 Speaker 3: Predictive Analytics and the number one end season Fantasy Pros 19 00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:06,319 Speaker 3: ranker for each of the past three seasons. It's just 20 00:01:06,360 --> 00:01:09,759 Speaker 3: going to be us three z's for this episode. Our 21 00:01:09,800 --> 00:01:13,560 Speaker 3: guest had microphone issues and was unable to join us. 22 00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:16,880 Speaker 3: But uh, that's fine. More more goodness just coming from 23 00:01:16,959 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 3: us all for you. It is the holiday season which 24 00:01:19,760 --> 00:01:21,840 Speaker 3: means we are in the giving spirits, which means that 25 00:01:21,920 --> 00:01:23,839 Speaker 3: right now we're going to give away a free Action 26 00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:26,520 Speaker 3: Network subscription to a listener. Yeah, because that's what you 27 00:01:26,520 --> 00:01:28,080 Speaker 3: do this time of year, you know, we give things 28 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 3: to people like take me, for instance, in my fantasy 29 00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:32,320 Speaker 3: leagues with my friends this last week, I gave them 30 00:01:32,360 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 3: all w's. You know, we're very generous that way. 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And then of course listen to 39 00:01:59,080 --> 00:02:00,880 Speaker 3: future shows to hear if you are at the lucky 40 00:02:01,000 --> 00:02:03,600 Speaker 3: recipient who won't be doing this giveaway for too much longer, 41 00:02:03,640 --> 00:02:07,800 Speaker 3: so be sure to get in your follows in your reviews. Okay, guys, 42 00:02:07,880 --> 00:02:11,200 Speaker 3: it is week sixteen, No Thursday night football, but we 43 00:02:11,280 --> 00:02:13,400 Speaker 3: have two games on Saturday, which leaves us with a 44 00:02:13,520 --> 00:02:17,360 Speaker 3: twelve game main slate. Let's start at the quarterback position, 45 00:02:17,520 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 3: and Sean, let's look at the guys right now in 46 00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:22,760 Speaker 3: our pro models who are standing out at the top. 47 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:25,200 Speaker 3: Andrew Locket is someone who is up there. Cam Newton 48 00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:27,800 Speaker 3: is up there, Deshaun Watson is up there. Do any 49 00:02:27,840 --> 00:02:30,560 Speaker 3: of those guys catch your eye or is there really 50 00:02:30,560 --> 00:02:32,960 Speaker 3: anyone else that you are looking at right now? 51 00:02:33,360 --> 00:02:34,880 Speaker 2: Definitely not Cam Newton. 52 00:02:35,560 --> 00:02:38,799 Speaker 4: I'm still in the middle of updating projections from last 53 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:42,600 Speaker 4: night's game, but he's definitely getting a downgrade after that performance, 54 00:02:42,639 --> 00:02:44,679 Speaker 4: so you know, I will not be having any Cam 55 00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:48,440 Speaker 4: this week. I've been targeting right now with Dak. I 56 00:02:48,480 --> 00:02:50,399 Speaker 4: just think his price right now is a little too low. 57 00:02:50,440 --> 00:02:53,359 Speaker 4: With the matchup against the Buccaneers. I think it is 58 00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:54,920 Speaker 4: a good cash game play because I think he has 59 00:02:54,960 --> 00:02:57,360 Speaker 4: a pretty high floor here. His ceiling might not be 60 00:02:57,440 --> 00:02:59,960 Speaker 4: that high, but you know, if cash cans, we're target 61 00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:02,480 Speaker 4: high flour guys, so I think Dak makes a lot 62 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:05,079 Speaker 4: of sense. And right now, Andrew lux price is a 63 00:03:05,120 --> 00:03:07,880 Speaker 4: little too low too, and I currently have him as 64 00:03:07,919 --> 00:03:10,280 Speaker 4: the top rate QB, so he's another guy we'll be 65 00:03:10,320 --> 00:03:12,920 Speaker 4: considering as well. It seems pretty wide open at QB, 66 00:03:13,000 --> 00:03:15,200 Speaker 4: but I'm neveringly gonna unluck in Prescott right now. 67 00:03:15,720 --> 00:03:17,040 Speaker 3: Any thoughts on those two guys. 68 00:03:17,200 --> 00:03:19,399 Speaker 1: Prescott in the Dallas offense was not good last week, 69 00:03:19,440 --> 00:03:21,800 Speaker 1: but there's so much different spot coming back home to 70 00:03:21,840 --> 00:03:24,680 Speaker 1: play Tampa. Bay's actually been playing better defense, but I 71 00:03:24,720 --> 00:03:27,640 Speaker 1: still think Dallas can do really well and a bounce 72 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:30,160 Speaker 1: back spot on offense. So I do like Dak Prescott 73 00:03:30,200 --> 00:03:32,560 Speaker 1: a grant Andrew Luck than the other guy that I'm 74 00:03:32,600 --> 00:03:35,640 Speaker 1: definitely considering. I guess two guys, one guy a little 75 00:03:35,640 --> 00:03:37,880 Speaker 1: bit more given the home road splits is Drew Brees. 76 00:03:38,440 --> 00:03:40,920 Speaker 1: Drew Brees and Big Ben both could have really nice 77 00:03:40,960 --> 00:03:45,400 Speaker 1: games here, but aileen Drew Brees at home that definitely 78 00:03:45,440 --> 00:03:48,200 Speaker 1: is a game we want to have exposure to. So 79 00:03:48,600 --> 00:03:50,240 Speaker 1: Drew Brees is another guy who's up there, and then 80 00:03:50,240 --> 00:03:53,160 Speaker 1: the punt would be Nick Foles, and depending on roster construction, 81 00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:54,360 Speaker 1: I don't think he's awful. 82 00:03:54,120 --> 00:03:57,880 Speaker 3: Either, Sean, I would like your thoughts on and Drew 83 00:03:57,880 --> 00:04:01,600 Speaker 3: Brees specifically since we've seen mark Ingram come back. They've 84 00:04:01,640 --> 00:04:05,640 Speaker 3: been a very run heavy team, so traditionally you think 85 00:04:05,640 --> 00:04:08,520 Speaker 3: the Saints at home a really good spot that game. 86 00:04:08,640 --> 00:04:11,840 Speaker 3: The Steelers Saints game is the one with the highest 87 00:04:11,880 --> 00:04:13,480 Speaker 3: total on the slate, so we would be looking for 88 00:04:13,480 --> 00:04:15,560 Speaker 3: a high scoring game. But we just haven't seen a 89 00:04:15,600 --> 00:04:18,320 Speaker 3: lot out of Drew Brees in this run heavy era, 90 00:04:18,640 --> 00:04:21,000 Speaker 3: So I'm curious about what your thoughts are with him 91 00:04:21,120 --> 00:04:23,640 Speaker 3: and where we have him in our projections. 92 00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:25,640 Speaker 2: Breeze is tricking, you know. 93 00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:29,279 Speaker 4: I've always touched on his floor being lower than people realize, 94 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:31,320 Speaker 4: and we've we've seen that come to life the past 95 00:04:31,360 --> 00:04:34,040 Speaker 4: four weeks. He's thrown for less than two hundred and 96 00:04:34,040 --> 00:04:35,920 Speaker 4: five yards each game, so we're kind of seeing the 97 00:04:35,960 --> 00:04:38,520 Speaker 4: Breeze from last year where there's the Saints are just 98 00:04:38,520 --> 00:04:41,239 Speaker 4: such a good team and have you know, defense clicking, 99 00:04:41,320 --> 00:04:43,480 Speaker 4: so they don't really need Breeze to throw for three 100 00:04:43,560 --> 00:04:45,400 Speaker 4: hundred yards like we're used to. So you know, I'm 101 00:04:45,400 --> 00:04:47,640 Speaker 4: a little hesitant at his price. He is at home, 102 00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:49,360 Speaker 4: and you know, it's worth noting they've been on the 103 00:04:49,440 --> 00:04:51,599 Speaker 4: road for three straight games, so I think that that 104 00:04:51,640 --> 00:04:53,719 Speaker 4: has a lot to do with that. We know Breeze 105 00:04:53,720 --> 00:04:57,240 Speaker 4: home away, So I do like the Breeze call, but 106 00:04:57,600 --> 00:05:00,040 Speaker 4: I consider more of a GPP play than you know, 107 00:05:00,240 --> 00:05:03,920 Speaker 4: cash game, just because his floor. But you know, when 108 00:05:03,920 --> 00:05:07,320 Speaker 4: it comes to Nick Foles, I think that he's a 109 00:05:07,320 --> 00:05:09,960 Speaker 4: great punt play, but we can get to other positions. 110 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:12,720 Speaker 4: I think there's just so much value at other positions. 111 00:05:12,760 --> 00:05:15,599 Speaker 4: I'm probably staying away from Foles and I'm spending up 112 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:16,599 Speaker 4: at QB this week. 113 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:17,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's the thing. 114 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:20,400 Speaker 1: It's all opportunity cost and how you want to construct 115 00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:23,120 Speaker 1: your roster. Historically, we've wanted to pay down at quarterback 116 00:05:23,279 --> 00:05:25,840 Speaker 1: given that there's a lower range of out a more 117 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:28,440 Speaker 1: narrow range of out comes at quarterback than other positions. 118 00:05:28,440 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 1: But given the value and the opportunity that some of 119 00:05:30,640 --> 00:05:32,920 Speaker 1: this value has on the slate, I think it does 120 00:05:33,000 --> 00:05:35,479 Speaker 1: make sense to pay up. And the Drew Brees conversation, 121 00:05:35,839 --> 00:05:37,960 Speaker 1: I definitely agree with you guys that the running is 122 00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:41,240 Speaker 1: a concern, but just look at the at home. I mean, 123 00:05:41,279 --> 00:05:43,920 Speaker 1: there's still opportunity there, so we'll see. I think that's 124 00:05:44,160 --> 00:05:46,280 Speaker 1: a really interesting game, and I think a critical thing 125 00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:49,800 Speaker 1: we'll talk about throughout this podcast is getting that game right. 126 00:05:49,920 --> 00:05:52,520 Speaker 1: To me, seems like a big part of having success 127 00:05:52,520 --> 00:05:53,039 Speaker 1: on this slate. 128 00:05:53,640 --> 00:05:55,880 Speaker 3: So one other quarterback stating out at the top of 129 00:05:55,880 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 3: our models, Deshaun Watson specifically on FanDuel. He's cheaper there, 130 00:06:00,120 --> 00:06:03,080 Speaker 3: so more value for him. Of course, if you look 131 00:06:03,120 --> 00:06:06,160 Speaker 3: into splits with and without Will Fuller, like that's it's 132 00:06:06,200 --> 00:06:10,240 Speaker 3: a pretty significant impact, like a point basis that Fuller 133 00:06:10,279 --> 00:06:15,120 Speaker 3: has had. And obviously since the injury, the rib injury 134 00:06:15,240 --> 00:06:17,320 Speaker 3: that was suffered in the middle of the season, Deshaun 135 00:06:17,320 --> 00:06:20,080 Speaker 3: Watson hasn't been throwing the ball quite as much. So 136 00:06:20,120 --> 00:06:24,520 Speaker 3: I'm curious about your thoughts on Deshaun Watson, Sean and 137 00:06:24,839 --> 00:06:27,320 Speaker 3: where we're having him right now in our projections. 138 00:06:27,720 --> 00:06:31,400 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean on DK he's the second most expensive QB, 139 00:06:31,640 --> 00:06:33,560 Speaker 4: so I'm not high on him there. I haven't checked 140 00:06:33,560 --> 00:06:36,240 Speaker 4: Fandel yet, but obviously if he's coming at a discount there, 141 00:06:36,240 --> 00:06:39,440 Speaker 4: he's in play. But we'll have to also see Lamar 142 00:06:39,520 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 4: Miller's status. If Lamar Miller can't play, then I'll probably 143 00:06:43,080 --> 00:06:45,400 Speaker 4: boost Watson up quite a bit because they'll probably lean 144 00:06:45,480 --> 00:06:47,599 Speaker 4: on him even more. I don't see them, you know, 145 00:06:47,680 --> 00:06:50,640 Speaker 4: giving off Ford Blue and Dante Foreman could be back 146 00:06:50,640 --> 00:06:52,839 Speaker 4: this week, but I don't see them running as much 147 00:06:52,960 --> 00:06:56,800 Speaker 4: if Lamar Miller's out. So I'm gonna wait on Watson 148 00:06:57,760 --> 00:07:01,200 Speaker 4: calls until til we find out Miller. But he's sort 149 00:07:01,200 --> 00:07:03,400 Speaker 4: of sort of a middling QB in my model right now, 150 00:07:03,440 --> 00:07:05,200 Speaker 4: So at that price, I'm steering clear. 151 00:07:05,560 --> 00:07:08,520 Speaker 3: Let's talk about the running backs. Obviously, it is early 152 00:07:08,520 --> 00:07:10,320 Speaker 3: in the week, so we are still waiting to hear 153 00:07:10,520 --> 00:07:14,480 Speaker 3: on a number of guys, James Connor for instance, also 154 00:07:14,760 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 3: Spencer where I mean, Melvin Gordon, I mean obviously not 155 00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:21,160 Speaker 3: in the slate, but like just across the board. You know, 156 00:07:21,200 --> 00:07:22,840 Speaker 3: it's near the end of the season. It's kind of 157 00:07:22,920 --> 00:07:26,320 Speaker 3: running back apocalypse. And Todd Gurley is someone we're still 158 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:29,119 Speaker 3: waiting to kind of get more information on him about 159 00:07:29,120 --> 00:07:32,240 Speaker 3: his potential injury, but right now he's someone who has 160 00:07:32,280 --> 00:07:34,680 Speaker 3: popped a little bit in our models on the high end. 161 00:07:34,680 --> 00:07:38,840 Speaker 3: And then also Ezekiel Elliott and Saquon Barkley. Sean, how 162 00:07:38,880 --> 00:07:40,960 Speaker 3: are you kind of distinguishing between these guys. 163 00:07:41,320 --> 00:07:44,440 Speaker 4: So with Gurley, like you mentioned, you know, he's hobbling 164 00:07:44,520 --> 00:07:48,560 Speaker 4: into this week, I'm not trusting him, you know, recording 165 00:07:48,560 --> 00:07:51,520 Speaker 4: on Tuesday, I'm not trusting him this week. The Rams 166 00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:54,920 Speaker 4: are two touchdown favorites at Arizona. It makes no sense 167 00:07:55,160 --> 00:07:58,920 Speaker 4: to give Gurley, you know, twenty five plus touches, especially 168 00:07:58,960 --> 00:08:01,480 Speaker 4: if they finally blow out a team they should. But 169 00:08:01,840 --> 00:08:04,119 Speaker 4: you know, I'm looking at Zeke Elliott at home against 170 00:08:04,160 --> 00:08:08,400 Speaker 4: Tampa Bay. This game sets up perfectly for him. You know, 171 00:08:08,440 --> 00:08:11,360 Speaker 4: they're they're a touchdown favorite, so I just think they're 172 00:08:11,360 --> 00:08:13,840 Speaker 4: gonna they're run it. They're gonna run it on Tampa 173 00:08:13,840 --> 00:08:17,120 Speaker 4: Bay and Tampa Bay they've been most vulnerable to running 174 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:20,480 Speaker 4: backs and they've allowed four running backs at the last 175 00:08:20,480 --> 00:08:22,440 Speaker 4: five games to rush for over one hundred yards. This 176 00:08:22,480 --> 00:08:25,960 Speaker 4: is a smash spot for Zeke and even Christian McCaffrey 177 00:08:26,040 --> 00:08:29,400 Speaker 4: at home against the Falcons, especially after last night we 178 00:08:29,440 --> 00:08:33,760 Speaker 4: saw that Cam you know, his surgically repaired shoulders failing. 179 00:08:33,440 --> 00:08:34,400 Speaker 2: Him at the end of the season. 180 00:08:34,440 --> 00:08:37,520 Speaker 4: So I'm expecting a ton of dumpuffs to mccaff against 181 00:08:37,520 --> 00:08:40,439 Speaker 4: the Falcons, who I will say their defense is getting 182 00:08:40,440 --> 00:08:43,000 Speaker 4: a little better. They got Dion Jones back, so I 183 00:08:43,000 --> 00:08:45,040 Speaker 4: wouldn't expect the repeat of Week two where he gets 184 00:08:45,080 --> 00:08:47,640 Speaker 4: fourteen catches again. But I think he's a great play 185 00:08:47,640 --> 00:08:49,760 Speaker 4: at that price, especially with Curly banged up and not 186 00:08:49,800 --> 00:08:52,800 Speaker 4: sure if you mentioned him at Barkley. He's super cheap 187 00:08:52,800 --> 00:08:55,000 Speaker 4: this week for him, so he's gonna be enticing. But 188 00:08:55,240 --> 00:08:58,280 Speaker 4: I'm actually fading him against the Colts and with the 189 00:08:58,280 --> 00:09:01,400 Speaker 4: season winning down. I think they could his workload. So 190 00:09:01,600 --> 00:09:04,200 Speaker 4: that's all the more reason to have as much as 191 00:09:04,240 --> 00:09:06,080 Speaker 4: Zeke and McCaffrey exposure as you can. 192 00:09:06,440 --> 00:09:07,319 Speaker 3: Pete, what do you think? 193 00:09:07,679 --> 00:09:10,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, So the big thing we'll be monitoring is a 194 00:09:10,040 --> 00:09:12,760 Speaker 1: girly news given when this is going to come out 195 00:09:12,760 --> 00:09:15,120 Speaker 1: and recording, that's just what you have to monitor and 196 00:09:15,120 --> 00:09:18,400 Speaker 1: figure out how to handle. Obviously, if he's out, which 197 00:09:18,400 --> 00:09:22,320 Speaker 1: I'm rooting for, Kelly will become all time. I mean, 198 00:09:22,400 --> 00:09:25,560 Speaker 1: this could be just a dream scenario with this matchup. 199 00:09:26,040 --> 00:09:28,560 Speaker 1: Charlotte can passed him. I like all the top guys. 200 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:31,640 Speaker 1: I mean, I think Zeke and McCaffrey, like Sean mentioned, 201 00:09:31,800 --> 00:09:34,360 Speaker 1: are definitely in play. Probably prefer Zeke just so. I 202 00:09:34,360 --> 00:09:36,080 Speaker 1: think Dallas is going to bounce back in a really 203 00:09:36,080 --> 00:09:39,719 Speaker 1: big way. Tevin Coleman finally paid off. I've been on 204 00:09:39,800 --> 00:09:42,680 Speaker 1: Tevin Coleman all year. Finally came through in a huge 205 00:09:42,679 --> 00:09:45,080 Speaker 1: way last week, which was great for tournaments and for 206 00:09:45,160 --> 00:09:48,560 Speaker 1: best ball. He is the Maari Cooper for me this year, 207 00:09:48,679 --> 00:09:51,839 Speaker 1: but at least he had one good week and then Yeah, 208 00:09:51,880 --> 00:09:54,640 Speaker 1: Saquon Barkley's a little cheaper than normal, but I think 209 00:09:54,679 --> 00:09:56,559 Speaker 1: there could be some concerns, and I'm also going to 210 00:09:56,640 --> 00:10:00,280 Speaker 1: monitor Odell Beckham's status if he comes back. Think that 211 00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:02,679 Speaker 1: limits some of the targets Barkley might see, and we'll 212 00:10:02,720 --> 00:10:04,280 Speaker 1: kind of, well, we'll have a good idea of how 213 00:10:04,280 --> 00:10:06,920 Speaker 1: we want to handle that spot. Then, obviously you have 214 00:10:06,960 --> 00:10:09,920 Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh running back situation depending on what happens with 215 00:10:10,000 --> 00:10:12,080 Speaker 1: Connor sounds like he'll be back, and you have both 216 00:10:12,080 --> 00:10:14,160 Speaker 1: Saints running backs, so there's a ton of guys at 217 00:10:14,160 --> 00:10:17,360 Speaker 1: the top, and depending on how injuries break, uh, there's 218 00:10:17,360 --> 00:10:19,280 Speaker 1: a lot of options. One I guess we can save 219 00:10:19,280 --> 00:10:20,719 Speaker 1: it for pivots, but I have one running back that 220 00:10:20,760 --> 00:10:23,040 Speaker 1: I absolutely love that I don't think will be too shocky, 221 00:10:23,040 --> 00:10:24,000 Speaker 1: even though I think you should. 222 00:10:25,000 --> 00:10:28,160 Speaker 3: All Right, So, Pete, you mentioned they're uh in passing 223 00:10:28,280 --> 00:10:32,280 Speaker 3: the two running backs for the Saints, Mark Ingram Alvin Kamara. 224 00:10:32,679 --> 00:10:35,400 Speaker 3: Ingram is someone in the middle of the salary range 225 00:10:35,400 --> 00:10:39,080 Speaker 3: who has popped in our models. How are you? How 226 00:10:39,120 --> 00:10:41,599 Speaker 3: are you approaching those two running backs? Because at this 227 00:10:41,640 --> 00:10:45,320 Speaker 3: point it's I mean, it's it's not an entirely even split, 228 00:10:46,240 --> 00:10:48,400 Speaker 3: but it is pretty even, and a lot of it 229 00:10:48,440 --> 00:10:51,160 Speaker 3: seems to be game flow dependent. How are you approaching 230 00:10:51,200 --> 00:10:52,679 Speaker 3: those two guys. 231 00:10:52,880 --> 00:10:54,800 Speaker 1: Well, I'll have both of them a ton of tournaments, 232 00:10:54,840 --> 00:10:57,960 Speaker 1: and you probably make the argument, maybe not this week. 233 00:10:58,120 --> 00:11:00,240 Speaker 1: In the past they've they've been playing to the other 234 00:11:00,280 --> 00:11:03,439 Speaker 1: has actually yielded some tournament wins, which is really amazing 235 00:11:03,480 --> 00:11:08,920 Speaker 1: considering they're obviously inversity correlated completely. But yeah, I think 236 00:11:09,080 --> 00:11:12,880 Speaker 1: Kamara to me still has the most upside. He still 237 00:11:12,920 --> 00:11:16,040 Speaker 1: looks great man just watching him play. He has that 238 00:11:16,400 --> 00:11:18,520 Speaker 1: burst that just gets him by everyone, and he's still 239 00:11:18,520 --> 00:11:21,720 Speaker 1: electric in the passing game. That the upside, especially in draftings. 240 00:11:21,720 --> 00:11:25,040 Speaker 1: He's still my favorite option. But Ingram's nice, probably a 241 00:11:25,040 --> 00:11:27,240 Speaker 1: firm on Fandle, and I think Ingram and the Saints 242 00:11:27,320 --> 00:11:31,120 Speaker 1: defense is a pairing makes sense in tournaments. We'll get 243 00:11:31,120 --> 00:11:32,400 Speaker 1: to it here in a little bit. But I like 244 00:11:32,440 --> 00:11:34,720 Speaker 1: someone who's in the same price range as Ingram quite 245 00:11:34,720 --> 00:11:37,480 Speaker 1: a bit this week that Yeah, Sean might have an 246 00:11:37,520 --> 00:11:37,920 Speaker 1: idea too. 247 00:11:39,360 --> 00:11:42,839 Speaker 3: One guy who's popping in our models is Kenyan Drake. 248 00:11:44,080 --> 00:11:47,960 Speaker 3: Of course, like the projection for this might change. I'd 249 00:11:48,000 --> 00:11:50,600 Speaker 3: like to get Sean's input on this. How are you 250 00:11:50,679 --> 00:11:54,000 Speaker 3: approaching Drake? And then also I don't know how to 251 00:11:54,000 --> 00:11:56,280 Speaker 3: pronounce his last name. I say Kaylen Belage just because 252 00:11:56,280 --> 00:11:58,240 Speaker 3: it makes me think of the Billaggio, which I feel 253 00:11:58,240 --> 00:12:00,760 Speaker 3: like that should make sense. But how are you approaching 254 00:12:00,760 --> 00:12:02,160 Speaker 3: this split between those two guys? 255 00:12:03,160 --> 00:12:05,559 Speaker 4: Yeah, so that I think that's gonna be the question 256 00:12:05,640 --> 00:12:08,559 Speaker 4: of the week, And right now I have them basically 257 00:12:08,640 --> 00:12:12,560 Speaker 4: tied and Bilage is two hundred dollars cheaper, so I 258 00:12:12,600 --> 00:12:13,360 Speaker 4: think he might be. 259 00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:14,000 Speaker 2: The way to go. 260 00:12:15,000 --> 00:12:17,520 Speaker 4: Drake is obviously going to be the pass catching back, 261 00:12:18,640 --> 00:12:21,080 Speaker 4: and it was interesting to know Adam Gase mentioned after 262 00:12:21,120 --> 00:12:24,920 Speaker 4: the game, you know, they limited Drake after Frank Gore left, 263 00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:27,439 Speaker 4: and Gase made it a point to say it wasn't 264 00:12:27,480 --> 00:12:29,640 Speaker 4: injury related, you know, that's just the way it went. 265 00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:33,160 Speaker 4: So I think Bilage will be the workhorse back and 266 00:12:33,200 --> 00:12:35,800 Speaker 4: certainly the goal line back. I would be a little 267 00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:39,080 Speaker 4: bit concerned that they might give, like Brandon Bolden a 268 00:12:39,160 --> 00:12:42,520 Speaker 4: vulture score, but I think Bilage will be the back 269 00:12:42,600 --> 00:12:45,800 Speaker 4: to own. Drake just has value on DK just because 270 00:12:45,800 --> 00:12:47,679 Speaker 4: I think he will be the pass catching back, so 271 00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:51,320 Speaker 4: I'm still giving him three to four receptions in his projection, 272 00:12:52,120 --> 00:12:53,880 Speaker 4: but both of them at that price, we're gonna have 273 00:12:53,880 --> 00:12:57,319 Speaker 4: to pay attention. And it's not a great matchup against 274 00:12:57,320 --> 00:13:00,280 Speaker 4: the Jagguars, but they're at home four point favorite, so 275 00:13:01,600 --> 00:13:03,960 Speaker 4: you couldn't ask for a better situation for guys under 276 00:13:04,000 --> 00:13:06,280 Speaker 4: four k. We'll just need the rest of the week 277 00:13:06,320 --> 00:13:08,040 Speaker 4: to kind of see how this is going to iron out, 278 00:13:08,040 --> 00:13:10,960 Speaker 4: but it certainly looks like Bellage will be the guy 279 00:13:11,000 --> 00:13:11,320 Speaker 4: to own. 280 00:13:11,960 --> 00:13:15,760 Speaker 3: All right, let's talk about the wide receivers. One of 281 00:13:15,840 --> 00:13:18,559 Speaker 3: the expensive guys are our models. Clearly popping is Michael 282 00:13:18,600 --> 00:13:22,360 Speaker 3: Thomas versus the Steelers at home. Adam Feelin is also 283 00:13:22,400 --> 00:13:26,880 Speaker 3: popping against Detroit, and then kind of in the mid 284 00:13:27,000 --> 00:13:29,600 Speaker 3: range ish we also have a Mariy Cooper at home 285 00:13:29,840 --> 00:13:34,160 Speaker 3: and then Robert woods Pete. I'm assuming that you were 286 00:13:34,240 --> 00:13:37,079 Speaker 3: all in on a Maury, but correct me if I'm wrong, 287 00:13:37,160 --> 00:13:38,240 Speaker 3: And where else are you looking? 288 00:13:38,480 --> 00:13:40,440 Speaker 1: I'm on marian galup And sorry I missed the one 289 00:13:40,480 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 1: running back that I absolutely wanted to mention before too, 290 00:13:43,120 --> 00:13:45,319 Speaker 1: Marlon Mack. I'm going to have eight ton of Marlon 291 00:13:45,360 --> 00:13:47,600 Speaker 1: Mack this week. The guy is balling, getting all the 292 00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:50,000 Speaker 1: red zone looks and he just he passes the eye 293 00:13:50,040 --> 00:13:52,560 Speaker 1: test and flying colors and that Cults offensive line is 294 00:13:52,559 --> 00:13:55,960 Speaker 1: playing awesome. So I should have mentioned him in terms 295 00:13:55,960 --> 00:13:58,959 Speaker 1: of receivers. Marie Cooper. Yeah, last week when he was 296 00:13:59,040 --> 00:14:01,360 Speaker 1: absolute shock, was clearly a great time to pivot away 297 00:14:01,360 --> 00:14:03,600 Speaker 1: from in tournaments. I thought the move was Gallup, who 298 00:14:03,640 --> 00:14:05,960 Speaker 1: I went to a ton puts up the old goose egg, 299 00:14:06,000 --> 00:14:08,480 Speaker 1: which was devastating. But I think both those guys are 300 00:14:08,480 --> 00:14:11,200 Speaker 1: certainly in play. Has really nice tournament options and maybe 301 00:14:11,200 --> 00:14:13,800 Speaker 1: even cash options depending on how you want to attack Gallop, 302 00:14:13,800 --> 00:14:17,800 Speaker 1: but obviously way more thin than Amari Cooper. Michael Thomas. 303 00:14:17,840 --> 00:14:19,640 Speaker 1: I mean, I think he's the number one receiver on 304 00:14:19,680 --> 00:14:22,880 Speaker 1: the board for me overall in terms of expectations, so 305 00:14:23,000 --> 00:14:25,880 Speaker 1: I definitely will have a good amount of him. Love 306 00:14:25,960 --> 00:14:29,200 Speaker 1: Robert Woods, you know, Juju and Antonio Brown in that 307 00:14:29,240 --> 00:14:32,080 Speaker 1: same game are nice. You have t Y Hilton, who 308 00:14:32,360 --> 00:14:33,920 Speaker 1: I was a little concerned might now play. I thought 309 00:14:33,920 --> 00:14:36,240 Speaker 1: he was good to go than true game time decision 310 00:14:36,280 --> 00:14:39,920 Speaker 1: then plays. You know, I think he's someone who should 311 00:14:39,960 --> 00:14:42,320 Speaker 1: be a little bit more expensive. It is finally coming 312 00:14:42,360 --> 00:14:44,880 Speaker 1: up a bit more on price now, but I definitely 313 00:14:44,920 --> 00:14:47,480 Speaker 1: like him. Chris Godwin. I mean, there's a ton of 314 00:14:47,480 --> 00:14:50,560 Speaker 1: guys a receiver. The one guy I need some an 315 00:14:50,600 --> 00:14:54,640 Speaker 1: opinion on is John Ross, who I'm a sucker for now, 316 00:14:54,680 --> 00:14:59,240 Speaker 1: everyone's hurt for the Bengals. John Ross amazing YouTube highlights 317 00:14:59,240 --> 00:15:03,000 Speaker 1: in college, a forty yard dash, amazing preseason, and does 318 00:15:03,080 --> 00:15:06,800 Speaker 1: nothing in the NFL so far. Sean, is this the 319 00:15:06,800 --> 00:15:08,800 Speaker 1: week John Ross finally blows up? 320 00:15:09,240 --> 00:15:09,480 Speaker 2: Yeah? 321 00:15:09,520 --> 00:15:11,880 Speaker 4: I have him label as the guy who's gonna mention 322 00:15:11,960 --> 00:15:12,800 Speaker 4: as the value play. 323 00:15:13,800 --> 00:15:14,760 Speaker 2: I wouldn't trust him. 324 00:15:14,640 --> 00:15:17,800 Speaker 4: In cash, would not trust him in cash, but he 325 00:15:17,920 --> 00:15:20,520 Speaker 4: is definitely worth a GPP flyer this week at thirty 326 00:15:20,560 --> 00:15:23,880 Speaker 4: eight hundred. You know, I don't know who else are 327 00:15:23,880 --> 00:15:26,880 Speaker 4: going to throw to. They have like you know, Alex Erison, 328 00:15:27,000 --> 00:15:30,760 Speaker 4: Cody Korer, c j Uzmoo who actually do like it 329 00:15:30,880 --> 00:15:33,680 Speaker 4: tight end. But man, if Ross doesn't have a good 330 00:15:33,720 --> 00:15:36,000 Speaker 4: game here, then I'm just gonna have to move on 331 00:15:36,040 --> 00:15:39,080 Speaker 4: from him because I've been burned from him many times before. 332 00:15:39,160 --> 00:15:41,560 Speaker 4: And the guy, the guy still you know, he still 333 00:15:41,560 --> 00:15:44,080 Speaker 4: scores touchdowns. It seems like his average line is one 334 00:15:44,120 --> 00:15:46,040 Speaker 4: catch for eight yards and a touchdown, so I think 335 00:15:46,040 --> 00:15:47,720 Speaker 4: he could have a big week. I'm just not going 336 00:15:47,800 --> 00:15:49,960 Speaker 4: to touch him in cash. But when it comes to 337 00:15:50,000 --> 00:15:52,360 Speaker 4: the top guys, I agree with everything Pete said. Mike 338 00:15:52,440 --> 00:15:55,560 Speaker 4: Thomas is actually my top ranked wide receiver and he's 339 00:15:55,640 --> 00:15:58,840 Speaker 4: like the fifth most expensive guy. Robert Woods is by 340 00:15:58,920 --> 00:16:01,960 Speaker 4: far my favorite mid tier guy. We know that Patrick 341 00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:05,280 Speaker 4: Peterson never goes guard to the slot, so Woods should 342 00:16:05,360 --> 00:16:08,400 Speaker 4: avoid him, and with Gurley banged up, I could see 343 00:16:08,400 --> 00:16:10,720 Speaker 4: them relying on Woods a ton this game, in this 344 00:16:10,800 --> 00:16:13,720 Speaker 4: short intermediate passing game. So I love Woods at that price, 345 00:16:13,920 --> 00:16:16,480 Speaker 4: and then it's pretty wide open from there. And even 346 00:16:16,520 --> 00:16:18,480 Speaker 4: a guy like al Sean Jeffery I think sticks out 347 00:16:18,480 --> 00:16:20,800 Speaker 4: a little bit right now at his price, especially after 348 00:16:20,800 --> 00:16:23,960 Speaker 4: the week he had last week. But like Pete mentioned, 349 00:16:23,960 --> 00:16:26,560 Speaker 4: I think Ross is the cheap guy to kind of 350 00:16:26,680 --> 00:16:28,160 Speaker 4: make sure you have a lot of exposure to a 351 00:16:28,240 --> 00:16:29,120 Speaker 4: GPPs this week. 352 00:16:29,640 --> 00:16:32,600 Speaker 3: Any thoughts on Adam Thln. It's a similar dynamic kind 353 00:16:32,600 --> 00:16:34,680 Speaker 3: of to what we would maybe see Outam Robert Woods, 354 00:16:34,720 --> 00:16:37,080 Speaker 3: in that Thelon presumably playing in the slot more than 355 00:16:37,120 --> 00:16:40,640 Speaker 3: Diggs would be able to avoid Darius lay although with 356 00:16:40,720 --> 00:16:44,240 Speaker 3: the new offensive coordinator, we did see Diggs get more 357 00:16:44,360 --> 00:16:47,920 Speaker 3: reps in the slot, so maybe a little more uncertainty 358 00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:50,880 Speaker 3: regarding Thelon. But Sean, do you have any thoughts on 359 00:16:51,040 --> 00:16:52,360 Speaker 3: what we might see out of Thelon? 360 00:16:52,680 --> 00:16:55,520 Speaker 4: Felan is going to be overlooked this week. I think 361 00:16:55,560 --> 00:16:58,640 Speaker 4: his ownership is going to be sat by guys like 362 00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:02,000 Speaker 4: Amari Cooper and that range, and especially Michael Thomas that's 363 00:17:02,040 --> 00:17:04,960 Speaker 4: just a few hundred dollars more expensive. I think people 364 00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:09,480 Speaker 4: definitely buy into the new offensive coordinator running it more, 365 00:17:09,680 --> 00:17:12,440 Speaker 4: and it certainly weren't worked last week against the Dolphins, 366 00:17:12,440 --> 00:17:14,720 Speaker 4: but they you know, they won by nearly thirty points. 367 00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:17,199 Speaker 4: But like you mentioned, I think the Lions, you know, 368 00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:20,040 Speaker 4: ever since they got Snacks Harrison, their run defense is 369 00:17:20,080 --> 00:17:22,440 Speaker 4: a lot better, so I think they they will throw more. 370 00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:25,880 Speaker 4: I think Feeling will avoid Sleigh, so I think he's 371 00:17:25,880 --> 00:17:27,920 Speaker 4: gonna have a big game and be you know, very 372 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:30,680 Speaker 4: low owned at that price. I just I think I 373 00:17:30,800 --> 00:17:34,240 Speaker 4: might be fading Cooper just based on the matchup. People 374 00:17:34,320 --> 00:17:36,720 Speaker 4: might flock to him. But Tampa Bay, they haven't allowed 375 00:17:36,720 --> 00:17:39,399 Speaker 4: one hundred yard receiving game in the second half of 376 00:17:39,400 --> 00:17:42,520 Speaker 4: the season, so they're a good defense to have a 377 00:17:42,600 --> 00:17:43,840 Speaker 4: high floor game against. 378 00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:44,680 Speaker 2: But they just. 379 00:17:44,920 --> 00:17:47,280 Speaker 4: Haven't been giving up the huge games like we've seen. 380 00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:49,560 Speaker 4: So I just think it's it's a good leverage play 381 00:17:49,720 --> 00:17:51,200 Speaker 4: to take field this week. 382 00:17:51,240 --> 00:17:54,040 Speaker 3: All right, let's talk about tight end. Two guys are 383 00:17:54,080 --> 00:17:57,000 Speaker 3: really standing out in the models. Zach Ertz and Eric 384 00:17:57,080 --> 00:18:00,000 Speaker 3: Ibron and Pete don't want to kick it to you. 385 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:02,879 Speaker 3: Do you have any opinion on those two guys or 386 00:18:02,920 --> 00:18:04,120 Speaker 3: are you looking elsewhere? 387 00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:05,720 Speaker 2: Zach Ertz not. 388 00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:09,720 Speaker 1: Good last week, bounce back spot this week, going against Houston, 389 00:18:09,840 --> 00:18:11,960 Speaker 1: who has gotten burned by the tight end a couple 390 00:18:12,040 --> 00:18:15,159 Speaker 1: times this year. I think Ertz should see a lot 391 00:18:15,160 --> 00:18:17,480 Speaker 1: of volume, and his price TAGER has come down after 392 00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:21,040 Speaker 1: a really poor performance, So I like zach Ertz a 393 00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:22,520 Speaker 1: good bit. He's at the top of the model for 394 00:18:22,600 --> 00:18:25,320 Speaker 1: me right now. I do think Abron is another really 395 00:18:25,320 --> 00:18:27,920 Speaker 1: intriguing option. Those two will soak up a lot of ownership. 396 00:18:28,160 --> 00:18:30,000 Speaker 1: It's interesting that Ertz is only two hundred more on 397 00:18:30,119 --> 00:18:32,960 Speaker 1: DraftKings than Ebron, which probably will make him quite a 398 00:18:33,000 --> 00:18:37,560 Speaker 1: bit shockier. George Kittle is the most expensive tight end 399 00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:40,520 Speaker 1: and has a really tough matchup, but the upside is 400 00:18:40,560 --> 00:18:44,240 Speaker 1: obviously there. In terms of pimots, Sean mentioned a little 401 00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:46,720 Speaker 1: bit earlier in the pod, CJ. Zoma makes a lot 402 00:18:46,760 --> 00:18:48,760 Speaker 1: of sense thirty three hundred. I think he's probably my 403 00:18:48,840 --> 00:18:52,000 Speaker 1: favorite punt. Christopher Herndon would be the other guy I'd 404 00:18:52,000 --> 00:18:54,960 Speaker 1: look to, and then just straight upside who's still near 405 00:18:55,000 --> 00:18:57,280 Speaker 1: the top of the model that I mean. I've been 406 00:18:57,320 --> 00:19:00,280 Speaker 1: disappointed overall in his season, but he has flashed good 407 00:19:00,280 --> 00:19:02,800 Speaker 1: games and he's seen you know, pretty much five to 408 00:19:02,840 --> 00:19:05,760 Speaker 1: six targets every week David and Joku. At some point 409 00:19:05,840 --> 00:19:08,080 Speaker 1: he's going to have some really, really big games. I 410 00:19:08,119 --> 00:19:10,320 Speaker 1: thought we'd see a game with two or three touchdowns 411 00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:13,359 Speaker 1: this season for sure. Maybe it comes this week against Cincinnati, 412 00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:16,120 Speaker 1: who's just been off on defense. So there's like five 413 00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:18,440 Speaker 1: or six guys that I really like, and that's where 414 00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:21,800 Speaker 1: I'll be looking, probably off Gronkowski and some of the 415 00:19:21,800 --> 00:19:23,639 Speaker 1: other ones, but Gronk is my big fade. 416 00:19:24,560 --> 00:19:27,840 Speaker 3: Shawn. You have thoughts on Ertz and Ibron, I mean 417 00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:30,959 Speaker 3: especially Ebron, Like I thought last week was a total 418 00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:34,280 Speaker 3: great spot for him and then absolutely nothing. 419 00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:37,440 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean he burned people too. I would say 420 00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:41,240 Speaker 4: every tight end stunt last week, every good tight end anyway. 421 00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:44,919 Speaker 4: But yeah, I think Ertz is getting ducked way too 422 00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:46,960 Speaker 4: much this week. I don't think he should be priced 423 00:19:47,280 --> 00:19:50,520 Speaker 4: with with these other four guys. You know, if if 424 00:19:50,520 --> 00:19:52,480 Speaker 4: we were going to stop playing a tight end that 425 00:19:52,560 --> 00:19:56,520 Speaker 4: burned us, there'd be nobody left us here. So I'm 426 00:19:56,640 --> 00:19:59,000 Speaker 4: betting on Earth's bouncing back and going to have a 427 00:19:59,040 --> 00:20:03,200 Speaker 4: ton of him at this price. Yeah, And like Pete mentioned, 428 00:20:03,280 --> 00:20:06,760 Speaker 4: Uzoma is the option in sort of that mid tier 429 00:20:06,840 --> 00:20:09,880 Speaker 4: range with boyd Out, I don't know who else they're 430 00:20:09,880 --> 00:20:12,280 Speaker 4: going to throw to. So if you want to spend down, 431 00:20:12,320 --> 00:20:15,359 Speaker 4: you can go there a guy that you know is interesting. 432 00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:17,880 Speaker 4: If you want to really save it, the position would 433 00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:21,119 Speaker 4: be Gerald Everett. You know, if Goff struggles, and especially 434 00:20:21,160 --> 00:20:24,280 Speaker 4: if Gurley is limited or out, I could see him 435 00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:26,600 Speaker 4: leaning on Ever we saw towards the end of the 436 00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:29,240 Speaker 4: last game he was definitely looking Everetts way a ton 437 00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:32,280 Speaker 4: and he's twenty nine hundred. I mean, I'm probably going 438 00:20:32,320 --> 00:20:34,840 Speaker 4: to be spending up at ten this week and getting Urts. 439 00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:36,720 Speaker 4: But if you really want to dig for value, I 440 00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:38,680 Speaker 4: think Everett's a sneaky play this week too. 441 00:20:39,000 --> 00:20:41,600 Speaker 3: All right, let's talk a little bit if you guys 442 00:20:41,600 --> 00:20:43,840 Speaker 3: have thought about this about some of the players we 443 00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:45,879 Speaker 3: might be looking to fade. And I know Sean you 444 00:20:45,880 --> 00:20:50,000 Speaker 3: had mentioned earlier potentially fading Marii Cooper, but I'm curious 445 00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:52,960 Speaker 3: if there are other expensive players or guys you think 446 00:20:53,000 --> 00:20:55,439 Speaker 3: are going to be popular that you would be fine 447 00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:56,480 Speaker 3: with fading this week. 448 00:20:57,640 --> 00:21:01,080 Speaker 4: No, yeah, I mean I pretty much covered. I'm fading 449 00:21:01,119 --> 00:21:07,240 Speaker 4: Cooper for a Feeling for some leverage. But aside from that, 450 00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:09,640 Speaker 4: you know, there's there's so much value at running back 451 00:21:09,680 --> 00:21:11,720 Speaker 4: that I'm actually finding it pretty easy to fit in 452 00:21:11,840 --> 00:21:15,280 Speaker 4: all the top price guys I like, so so I 453 00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:17,680 Speaker 4: think this is definitely a stars in scrub the week. 454 00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:22,720 Speaker 4: So there isn't really any top guy IM fading this week. 455 00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:27,400 Speaker 4: But I certainly think that fading Cooper with the great 456 00:21:27,400 --> 00:21:30,240 Speaker 4: matchup on paper, to take a guy like Feeling makes 457 00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:31,720 Speaker 4: a ton of sense to just get. 458 00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:32,560 Speaker 2: Some leverage on the field. 459 00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:34,600 Speaker 3: Pete, what about you? 460 00:21:36,359 --> 00:21:38,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, I wanted to mention Mac is like a pivot 461 00:21:38,880 --> 00:21:41,320 Speaker 1: because I think there are some guys that people will 462 00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:44,040 Speaker 1: want to take in that same price range quite a bit. 463 00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:48,240 Speaker 1: Dalvin Cook coming off a huge game. I think, like 464 00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:50,879 Speaker 1: Sean mentioned, they've gotten Snax Harrison, they've been a lot better. 465 00:21:52,160 --> 00:21:54,720 Speaker 1: There's other guys. I mean, Coleman's in the low six 466 00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:56,760 Speaker 1: k's now. I think people might chase the points with 467 00:21:56,840 --> 00:22:00,000 Speaker 1: him after last week. If Connor somehow got ruled out, 468 00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:02,760 Speaker 1: Jaylen Samuels will be popular sixty seven hundred, So I 469 00:22:02,840 --> 00:22:04,919 Speaker 1: have these mid range running backs, Joe Mixon seventy one 470 00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:08,159 Speaker 1: hundred after a big game Chubb seventy three hundred. I 471 00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:10,680 Speaker 1: think Mac makes a ton of sense as a pivot 472 00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:14,080 Speaker 1: at the receiver position. It's it's interesting because I really 473 00:22:14,119 --> 00:22:16,159 Speaker 1: like the top end guys. I definitely am going to 474 00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:19,120 Speaker 1: Michael Thomas over someone like DeAndre Hopkins, even though Hopkins 475 00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:22,280 Speaker 1: has a really great matchup, but recency bias. I hope 476 00:22:22,320 --> 00:22:25,679 Speaker 1: we'll big Michael Thomas a little bit lower owned. That's 477 00:22:25,760 --> 00:22:27,720 Speaker 1: kind of where I'm looking right now. I think quarterbacks 478 00:22:27,800 --> 00:22:29,800 Speaker 1: wide open at the top. I think there's a lot 479 00:22:29,840 --> 00:22:32,320 Speaker 1: of good options, so and the ownership there should be 480 00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:33,160 Speaker 1: pretty spread out. 481 00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:36,840 Speaker 3: Anyways, All right, let's look at some teams or games 482 00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:39,040 Speaker 3: that we might look into stack. And if you look 483 00:22:39,040 --> 00:22:41,840 Speaker 3: at our live odds page at Action Network, you see 484 00:22:42,000 --> 00:22:45,119 Speaker 3: the kind of the bigger games. Stealers at Saints fifty 485 00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:48,240 Speaker 3: three point five over under. That's really the biggest one 486 00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:50,159 Speaker 3: for the slate, and then after that you drop down 487 00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:53,760 Speaker 3: to like the forty seven forty eight range, Rams at Cardinals, 488 00:22:53,840 --> 00:22:58,679 Speaker 3: Falcons at Panthers. Those will probably be the three games 489 00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:02,800 Speaker 3: that people gravitate you the most. Aside from those, are 490 00:23:02,840 --> 00:23:05,720 Speaker 3: there other games that right now are catching your eye 491 00:23:05,840 --> 00:23:09,040 Speaker 3: as ones that you might be looking to stack Pete. 492 00:23:09,320 --> 00:23:11,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, so the obvious game that everyone's gonna kind of 493 00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:14,679 Speaker 1: at least look as this Steelers Saints game. And the 494 00:23:14,760 --> 00:23:16,720 Speaker 1: concern is the Saints have been running a lot more, 495 00:23:16,840 --> 00:23:19,120 Speaker 1: you have Big Ben on the road, and that Patriots 496 00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:21,600 Speaker 1: game was disappointing. But I still think it's a really 497 00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:23,800 Speaker 1: good spot to look at. Both these offenses are so 498 00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:26,440 Speaker 1: high powered, and I think if things start to break 499 00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:28,600 Speaker 1: the right way game flow wise, it could be really 500 00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:31,080 Speaker 1: really high scoring. The best scenario, in my opinion, is 501 00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:33,800 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh getting out to a lead and then the Saints 502 00:23:33,880 --> 00:23:36,159 Speaker 1: having to come back throwing the football. So that's the 503 00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:38,560 Speaker 1: first game. The next game of Odell Beckham plays for 504 00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:41,280 Speaker 1: me probably this Giants Colts game. The downside is the 505 00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:43,600 Speaker 1: Giants really have no incentive. They have incentive to lose. 506 00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:46,520 Speaker 1: But the Colts I think can play really well in 507 00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:49,280 Speaker 1: this spot. And if Beckham's healthy, that gives another weapon. 508 00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:52,080 Speaker 1: So that's a game I'm looking at. Tampa Bay Dallas 509 00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:54,560 Speaker 1: I think is intriguing if you think Tampa Bay can 510 00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:57,080 Speaker 1: keep this game close and at least limit you know, 511 00:23:57,160 --> 00:23:59,119 Speaker 1: Zeke's rush attempts to make Dallas have to throw a 512 00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:02,080 Speaker 1: little bit more. Those are the games I'm most intrigued 513 00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:05,399 Speaker 1: by now. Carolina Atlanta might be popular, but it's a 514 00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:07,879 Speaker 1: divisional game, so I'm trying to find some of these 515 00:24:07,920 --> 00:24:09,600 Speaker 1: spots that are a little different. That's why I'm most 516 00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:12,760 Speaker 1: intrigued still by this Saint Steelers game. I just ownership 517 00:24:12,840 --> 00:24:13,960 Speaker 1: is going to be the hard part there. 518 00:24:14,480 --> 00:24:16,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, and just to add some contact kind of to 519 00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:20,720 Speaker 3: the slate in general. Again, another week where we don't 520 00:24:20,760 --> 00:24:25,040 Speaker 3: have a lot of games projected for high scores and 521 00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:28,159 Speaker 3: the last so although the season right now we are 522 00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:31,919 Speaker 3: on pace for the most points in NFL history, within 523 00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:35,480 Speaker 3: the season, the trend has been down. So the last 524 00:24:35,520 --> 00:24:39,160 Speaker 3: three weeks have been the three weeks with the fewest 525 00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:43,240 Speaker 3: points out of the whole season. So although scoring is up, 526 00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:47,000 Speaker 3: we might be in this valley of scoring. So not 527 00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:50,760 Speaker 3: the best of slates as we move towards the end 528 00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:53,640 Speaker 3: of the season. Sean, any games catch your eye here? 529 00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:56,720 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's another week where we have, you know, a 530 00:24:56,760 --> 00:24:58,800 Speaker 4: pretty high total and fifty three and a half and 531 00:24:58,840 --> 00:25:01,920 Speaker 4: then just a bunch of forty four to forty six totals. 532 00:25:01,920 --> 00:25:05,280 Speaker 4: But the game that seems like the sneaky stack for 533 00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:09,040 Speaker 4: me is the Packers Jets game. I think this total 534 00:25:09,119 --> 00:25:11,159 Speaker 4: is a little it's a couple of points lower than 535 00:25:11,160 --> 00:25:14,520 Speaker 4: when I had my power ratings model. But you know, 536 00:25:14,560 --> 00:25:17,439 Speaker 4: you have Green Bay basically, you know, out of the 537 00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:20,440 Speaker 4: playoffs now nothing to play four, so I could see 538 00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:24,560 Speaker 4: Aaron Rodgers just slinging it around, and Aaron Jones might 539 00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:27,080 Speaker 4: be out, so even more reason for Aaron just to 540 00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:29,800 Speaker 4: throw it around. So having you know, a pretty Contrarion 541 00:25:29,920 --> 00:25:32,280 Speaker 4: Rogers Adam stack and then sending it back with a 542 00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:35,760 Speaker 4: guy like Robbie Anderson who didn't mention is always a 543 00:25:35,840 --> 00:25:39,159 Speaker 4: high upside play. And I don't think we talked about earlier, 544 00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:42,120 Speaker 4: but Elijah McGuire has another great play this week at 545 00:25:42,240 --> 00:25:44,720 Speaker 4: forty seven hundred. I believe it is He's going to 546 00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:46,480 Speaker 4: be the workhorse back for the Jets the rest of 547 00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:48,320 Speaker 4: the season. So I think there's a lot of value 548 00:25:48,359 --> 00:25:51,120 Speaker 4: here and definitely easy to make some good game stacks. 549 00:25:51,760 --> 00:25:53,800 Speaker 3: So Sean, as you were speaking, I just bet the 550 00:25:53,880 --> 00:25:56,960 Speaker 3: over on that game. So if I lose money, it's 551 00:25:56,960 --> 00:25:58,119 Speaker 3: your fault entire life. 552 00:25:58,400 --> 00:25:59,360 Speaker 2: What did you get? 553 00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:02,399 Speaker 3: Forty four? Not bad? Not bad? I think it opened 554 00:26:02,520 --> 00:26:03,000 Speaker 3: the over. 555 00:26:02,840 --> 00:26:05,840 Speaker 1: On the Falcons Packers game when Sean had that block up. 556 00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:10,080 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, and the results not important. The line movement 557 00:26:10,119 --> 00:26:11,840 Speaker 1: is important and good job on that job. 558 00:26:12,000 --> 00:26:12,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I had. 559 00:26:13,080 --> 00:26:15,360 Speaker 4: My poor rating was like fifty two and a half 560 00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:17,640 Speaker 4: for fifty three, and I think it landed on that exactly. 561 00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:18,760 Speaker 2: Not that it matters, but. 562 00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:20,480 Speaker 1: The line movement is what matters. 563 00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:24,640 Speaker 3: And you and sir, yeah, okay, let's get see the 564 00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:28,240 Speaker 3: uh the Suno Bowl, non app non obvious calls for 565 00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:33,360 Speaker 3: the game one fantasy and one game Sean, let's start 566 00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:33,639 Speaker 3: with you. 567 00:26:34,040 --> 00:26:36,840 Speaker 4: So my real life pull a call is the Lions 568 00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:40,119 Speaker 4: beat the Vikings outright a lot of the same reasons 569 00:26:40,160 --> 00:26:42,280 Speaker 4: I mentioned before. I think, you know, the Vikings are 570 00:26:42,320 --> 00:26:45,600 Speaker 4: all excited that they're you know, run first team whatever, 571 00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:47,240 Speaker 4: but I think they're gonna run into a bit of 572 00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:50,000 Speaker 4: a roadblock against the Lions. Like we mentioned, Snacks Harrison 573 00:26:50,520 --> 00:26:54,000 Speaker 4: definitely changed that defense for the better. I think this 574 00:26:54,080 --> 00:26:56,480 Speaker 4: game can it's just gonna be closer than people think. 575 00:26:56,560 --> 00:27:01,200 Speaker 4: So in practical purposes, just take the Lions plus six 576 00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:03,040 Speaker 4: or plus six and a half wherever it is now. 577 00:27:03,080 --> 00:27:06,399 Speaker 4: But I think the Lion's upset the Vikings here and 578 00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:10,560 Speaker 4: then DFS, my BOWLD call is Tevin Coleman outscores Saquon 579 00:27:10,600 --> 00:27:14,040 Speaker 4: Barkley this week. He mentioned him earlier, but I just 580 00:27:14,040 --> 00:27:16,399 Speaker 4: wanted to elaborate that. You know, Smith was placed on 581 00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:20,200 Speaker 4: IR two, so Tevin Coleman should get the Lions share 582 00:27:20,560 --> 00:27:23,320 Speaker 4: workload here. I believe he's gonna be a free agent, 583 00:27:23,560 --> 00:27:25,439 Speaker 4: so this could be a good audition for him. I 584 00:27:25,480 --> 00:27:28,240 Speaker 4: love Tevin Coleman this week. He's my top value play 585 00:27:28,880 --> 00:27:32,040 Speaker 4: and I just see him just there's more reason for 586 00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:33,480 Speaker 4: me to think that he's gonna have a good game 587 00:27:33,520 --> 00:27:34,399 Speaker 4: than Saquon Barkley. 588 00:27:34,400 --> 00:27:35,920 Speaker 2: So that's that's my BOWLD call this week. 589 00:27:36,040 --> 00:27:38,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, I like that. And in our rankings which came 590 00:27:38,800 --> 00:27:43,159 Speaker 3: out this morning at Actionnetwork dot Com Slash Fantasy, I 591 00:27:43,280 --> 00:27:46,320 Speaker 3: believe we all have Tevin Coleman in the top ten. 592 00:27:46,800 --> 00:27:50,040 Speaker 3: I might be wrong, but we we have him. We 593 00:27:50,080 --> 00:27:52,720 Speaker 3: have him up there. Pete, what about you? 594 00:27:53,280 --> 00:27:55,960 Speaker 1: My Bowl call for DFS for sure is galup comes 595 00:27:55,960 --> 00:27:59,520 Speaker 1: out and is a top ten receiver. Flop flag still 596 00:27:59,520 --> 00:28:02,280 Speaker 1: shouting out Felacc guy was a very disappointing game for 597 00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:05,040 Speaker 1: the whole offense, and I think once everyone gets humming, 598 00:28:05,760 --> 00:28:08,000 Speaker 1: he can have some really big opportunity down the field. 599 00:28:08,040 --> 00:28:11,280 Speaker 1: So I'll take gallup again, doubling down on what was 600 00:28:11,280 --> 00:28:14,320 Speaker 1: an awful take last week. In terms of real life, 601 00:28:14,320 --> 00:28:17,440 Speaker 1: I'm going to say the forty nine Ers shock the Bears. 602 00:28:17,880 --> 00:28:20,360 Speaker 1: Big letdown spot for the Bears go to the West Coast. 603 00:28:20,400 --> 00:28:23,639 Speaker 1: I've been impressed with San Francisco all the reasons to 604 00:28:23,800 --> 00:28:26,679 Speaker 1: just you know, mail it in this year. Shanahan's done 605 00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:28,840 Speaker 1: an amazing job with all the injuries they've had, and 606 00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:31,560 Speaker 1: at home here, I think they could possibly get it done. 607 00:28:31,560 --> 00:28:34,119 Speaker 1: Maybe a long Marques could win touchdown. I would like that, 608 00:28:34,520 --> 00:28:38,200 Speaker 1: and I'll take San Francisco winning outright as four point dogs. 609 00:28:39,080 --> 00:28:42,720 Speaker 3: I've been betting against San Francisco last two weeks using 610 00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:44,520 Speaker 3: the logic of like, oh, they have nothing left to 611 00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:47,200 Speaker 3: play for, and it's just it's killed me. And so yeah, 612 00:28:47,280 --> 00:28:49,840 Speaker 3: they're their third straight game at home. I just I 613 00:28:49,840 --> 00:28:51,480 Speaker 3: don't know if I want to touch that game at all, 614 00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:56,080 Speaker 3: but yeah, for me, old call for the game. Texans 615 00:28:56,320 --> 00:28:58,719 Speaker 3: on the road, their second straight road game in the 616 00:28:58,720 --> 00:29:03,200 Speaker 3: Northeast Plain outdoor. They're playing a motivated Eagles team fighting 617 00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:06,480 Speaker 3: for a season, rallying behind Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles 618 00:29:06,480 --> 00:29:08,720 Speaker 3: coming off a big Sunday Night football road win over 619 00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:11,440 Speaker 3: the Rams, So the Eagles are favored by one point 620 00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:14,800 Speaker 3: at home. I don't know. I'm not a professional handicapper, 621 00:29:14,800 --> 00:29:16,680 Speaker 3: but that line just feels off to me, like the 622 00:29:16,680 --> 00:29:19,360 Speaker 3: Texans are the better team. They've won ten of eleven games. 623 00:29:19,520 --> 00:29:22,600 Speaker 3: The Eagles secondary is beyond injured. I think this could 624 00:29:22,600 --> 00:29:24,520 Speaker 3: be a big letdown spot for the Eagles, and the 625 00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:27,120 Speaker 3: Texans are highly motivated. They have a real shot at 626 00:29:27,120 --> 00:29:30,040 Speaker 3: getting the number two seed in the AFC, so they 627 00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:32,840 Speaker 3: really do have something to play for. So I think 628 00:29:32,880 --> 00:29:36,040 Speaker 3: that the Texans will win by double digits. My bold 629 00:29:36,080 --> 00:29:38,280 Speaker 3: call for fantasy maybe the best game of the week 630 00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:40,600 Speaker 3: is going to be the Steelers at the Saints, and 631 00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:44,000 Speaker 3: we have two conflicting narratives colliding in this game. We 632 00:29:44,080 --> 00:29:46,960 Speaker 3: have the Steelers on the road, where they have historically 633 00:29:47,040 --> 00:29:50,520 Speaker 3: been a really underperforming team, but they are playing at 634 00:29:50,520 --> 00:29:54,160 Speaker 3: the Superdome, the course field of fantasy football, where historically 635 00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:57,400 Speaker 3: visiting teams have actually done better than they've done at home. 636 00:29:57,680 --> 00:30:00,480 Speaker 3: So which narrative is going to win? And I'm going 637 00:30:00,480 --> 00:30:02,920 Speaker 3: to go with the one that has Antonio Brown going 638 00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:05,200 Speaker 3: off against the defense that is top five and points 639 00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:07,440 Speaker 3: allowed to wide receivers. Am I trying to have my 640 00:30:07,560 --> 00:30:10,280 Speaker 3: cake and eat it too? Of course That's what I'm doing. 641 00:30:10,400 --> 00:30:12,400 Speaker 3: I'm gonna say that Antonio goes off for one hundred 642 00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:16,080 Speaker 3: yards and two touchdowns. Eat it trolls. So anyway, I'm 643 00:30:16,120 --> 00:30:19,520 Speaker 3: betting the over on his props, which delightfully brings us 644 00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:21,720 Speaker 3: to the prop betting segment of the show, in which 645 00:30:21,760 --> 00:30:24,680 Speaker 3: the odds maker sets lines for us and we lose. 646 00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:27,240 Speaker 3: I started off the season so hot. I thought last 647 00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:28,680 Speaker 3: week was going to be good to me, and then 648 00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:31,000 Speaker 3: I had my worst week ever. I went three and eight. 649 00:30:31,720 --> 00:30:33,960 Speaker 3: Our guests are now ninety one and seventy seven. I 650 00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:36,440 Speaker 3: am eighty eight and seventy four. Pete is a nice 651 00:30:36,600 --> 00:30:38,959 Speaker 3: sixty nine and eighty two, and then Sewn is creeping 652 00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:41,880 Speaker 3: towards five hundred at forty eight percent right now with 653 00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:44,760 Speaker 3: a two thirty three and two forty eight record. Just 654 00:30:44,760 --> 00:30:48,239 Speaker 3: a reminder, Shawn's projections power the Fantasy Labs models, as 655 00:30:48,280 --> 00:30:51,080 Speaker 3: well as our Props tools, which aggregates the player props 656 00:30:51,120 --> 00:30:54,240 Speaker 3: from online sports books, compares them to Shawn's projections, and 657 00:30:54,280 --> 00:30:56,880 Speaker 3: shows you which bets provide the most value this season 658 00:30:56,960 --> 00:30:58,840 Speaker 3: The props with the back quality of ten have gone 659 00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:01,640 Speaker 3: two hundred and twelve, ninety six and eleven, good for 660 00:31:01,720 --> 00:31:04,040 Speaker 3: a hit rate of sixty six percent. Be sure to 661 00:31:04,120 --> 00:31:07,360 Speaker 3: check out the props tool at Fantasy Labs. Sean, what 662 00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:09,200 Speaker 3: props do you have for us this week? 663 00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:13,479 Speaker 4: So let's just start off with Jared Goff. Really unsure 664 00:31:13,480 --> 00:31:14,800 Speaker 4: what to do with him this week, and I want 665 00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:17,760 Speaker 4: to hear you guys take but I'm setting his DK 666 00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:21,680 Speaker 4: points prop at over under twenty just twenty even. 667 00:31:22,360 --> 00:31:23,920 Speaker 3: You were going to say twenty and a half for. 668 00:31:24,120 --> 00:31:25,760 Speaker 4: I didn't want. Yeah, I don't want. I don't want 669 00:31:25,760 --> 00:31:27,720 Speaker 4: the hook. That's how scared I am with him this week. 670 00:31:27,760 --> 00:31:29,120 Speaker 4: But twenty even. 671 00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:32,320 Speaker 1: On the road against the team who doesn't score very much, 672 00:31:32,320 --> 00:31:33,120 Speaker 1: I'll take the under. 673 00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:36,640 Speaker 3: I mean, here's my question. Have you updated the projections 674 00:31:36,680 --> 00:31:40,920 Speaker 3: recently in our models? How recently, let's say, within the 675 00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:42,080 Speaker 3: last five minutes. 676 00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:44,600 Speaker 2: Is there a news item I'm missing. 677 00:31:44,280 --> 00:31:49,520 Speaker 3: Or no, it's just I was looking at I was 678 00:31:49,560 --> 00:31:52,320 Speaker 3: looking at Oh it's twenty one. You have it at 679 00:31:52,320 --> 00:31:53,240 Speaker 3: twenty one point eight? 680 00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:57,640 Speaker 4: Kay, Yeah, I'm doing the median is lower than the strategy. 681 00:31:57,560 --> 00:32:00,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, twenty and a half. I'll take under and it's 682 00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:03,240 Speaker 3: a lot of it is Pete's logic there that I 683 00:32:03,240 --> 00:32:06,040 Speaker 3: could see them not needing to use him all that much. 684 00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:09,400 Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, and this prop is live whether Gurley plays 685 00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:09,680 Speaker 4: or not. 686 00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:13,800 Speaker 3: Just FYI And just to look like quarnerbacks have not 687 00:32:13,920 --> 00:32:17,440 Speaker 3: scored all that many fantasy points against the Cardinals, even 688 00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:19,480 Speaker 3: though the Cardinals really don't have all that great of 689 00:32:19,480 --> 00:32:21,240 Speaker 3: a past defense, right, I. 690 00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:24,120 Speaker 4: Mean, I think for his confidence though McVeigh might want 691 00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:27,400 Speaker 4: to have him go off just true and so brutal. 692 00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:30,560 Speaker 4: So I just think, just psychologically speaking, I think they 693 00:32:30,600 --> 00:32:33,520 Speaker 4: want golf to have a big game here. Yeah. So 694 00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:36,600 Speaker 4: next up Drew Brees. Like I mentioned, you know, the 695 00:32:36,640 --> 00:32:40,360 Speaker 4: past four games, he has failed to throw over two 696 00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:43,000 Speaker 4: hundred and five yards. Granted three of those games around 697 00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:45,760 Speaker 4: the road, but having a tough time setting this line 698 00:32:45,800 --> 00:32:50,000 Speaker 4: against the Steelers at home. I'm going to offer you 699 00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:51,920 Speaker 4: guys to seventy and. 700 00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:55,440 Speaker 2: A half over bang. I like a figure it. 701 00:32:55,480 --> 00:32:58,640 Speaker 5: I almost added on five yards, but I just think 702 00:32:58,680 --> 00:33:01,120 Speaker 5: this is a different spot. I think, Yeah, dealers can 703 00:33:01,120 --> 00:33:03,640 Speaker 5: put pressure on him. The worst case is they get 704 00:33:03,720 --> 00:33:06,240 Speaker 5: up early, especially if they get defensive touchdown or something. 705 00:33:06,280 --> 00:33:09,040 Speaker 5: But Dealers put up points earlier. I think I think 706 00:33:09,680 --> 00:33:11,040 Speaker 5: I think the SAME's a lot to throw here. 707 00:33:13,760 --> 00:33:17,440 Speaker 3: Man, I'm really conflicted on this because, like you know, 708 00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:20,680 Speaker 3: you do, you want to go over on everything, basically 709 00:33:20,760 --> 00:33:24,080 Speaker 3: when the games are at the super Dome. But I'm 710 00:33:24,080 --> 00:33:26,320 Speaker 3: gonna take the under. I think I think it's a 711 00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:28,800 Speaker 3: good line. But I'm gonna tah yeah, And I don't. 712 00:33:28,640 --> 00:33:29,400 Speaker 2: Think it's gonna be close. 713 00:33:29,440 --> 00:33:30,960 Speaker 4: I mean, if you look at his game log, he's 714 00:33:31,000 --> 00:33:34,000 Speaker 4: either three fifty or one ninety. I mean he's been 715 00:33:34,040 --> 00:33:36,920 Speaker 4: pretty erradic this year both directions, So I don't think 716 00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:40,680 Speaker 4: this one's gonna be close. Next up Nick Foles total 717 00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:45,320 Speaker 4: passing yards. I have the line at two sixty and 718 00:33:45,360 --> 00:33:48,880 Speaker 4: a half at home against the Texans to sixty and 719 00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:49,160 Speaker 4: a half. 720 00:33:49,200 --> 00:33:49,800 Speaker 3: I'll take over. 721 00:33:50,560 --> 00:33:52,720 Speaker 1: I'll take over thing. It's a good line though. 722 00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:56,960 Speaker 4: Next up at running back, Tevin Coleman with with you 723 00:33:57,040 --> 00:33:58,680 Speaker 4: know Smith on the IR. I think he's gonna have 724 00:33:58,680 --> 00:34:02,920 Speaker 4: a big workload, totally rush and receiving yards at Carolina 725 00:34:03,040 --> 00:34:05,160 Speaker 4: over under eighty six and a half. 726 00:34:05,480 --> 00:34:08,360 Speaker 3: I'll take over. But I think that's a good line. 727 00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:10,319 Speaker 3: I was trying to guess the line that you would 728 00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:13,360 Speaker 3: give us, and I guessed eighty four and a half. 729 00:34:13,600 --> 00:34:15,480 Speaker 1: I'm over too. I would love to make up some 730 00:34:15,560 --> 00:34:19,600 Speaker 1: ground on Friedman, but it's sucking, sucking bleak, all right. 731 00:34:19,600 --> 00:34:23,799 Speaker 4: Next up, Calin Belage total rush receiving yards at home 732 00:34:23,840 --> 00:34:26,600 Speaker 4: against Jacksonville. This is a really tough line to set, 733 00:34:26,680 --> 00:34:29,600 Speaker 4: but I'm going with over under fifty eight and a half, 734 00:34:30,120 --> 00:34:30,920 Speaker 4: right around where. 735 00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:31,520 Speaker 2: He's prop's gonna be. 736 00:34:31,560 --> 00:34:33,560 Speaker 1: That's a really good line. I was hoping you'd say 737 00:34:33,560 --> 00:34:34,759 Speaker 1: like forty or eighty or. 738 00:34:34,760 --> 00:34:36,920 Speaker 2: Something that was possible. 739 00:34:37,520 --> 00:34:39,439 Speaker 1: I'll take the under, I'll go over. 740 00:34:39,600 --> 00:34:40,440 Speaker 2: I like Blage. 741 00:34:41,640 --> 00:34:44,640 Speaker 3: He has a lot of pass catching ability and he's 742 00:34:44,760 --> 00:34:48,080 Speaker 3: you know, like a big bodied guy with good athleticism. 743 00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:51,480 Speaker 3: Like I think he's like underrated just for the NFL, 744 00:34:51,680 --> 00:34:53,400 Speaker 3: Like you know, he has like he has like Damon 745 00:34:53,600 --> 00:34:56,480 Speaker 3: Damian Williams type of potential, which makes sense, Like that's 746 00:34:56,480 --> 00:34:58,279 Speaker 3: basically who he replaced on the team. 747 00:34:58,800 --> 00:34:59,799 Speaker 2: I agree with that, yep. 748 00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:03,000 Speaker 4: Next up, we're going off the main slide, just because 749 00:35:03,000 --> 00:35:05,040 Speaker 4: we have to talk about this guy. But Derrick Henry 750 00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:11,320 Speaker 4: total rushing yards at home against the Redskins over under 751 00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:16,320 Speaker 4: oh Man over unders seventy six and a half. I 752 00:35:17,280 --> 00:35:19,680 Speaker 4: offered you guys, sixty four and a half last week. 753 00:35:19,680 --> 00:35:23,000 Speaker 4: You guys laughed at me, but you know, he followed 754 00:35:23,080 --> 00:35:24,840 Speaker 4: up his two hundred and thirty eight yard game with 755 00:35:24,880 --> 00:35:27,240 Speaker 4: one hundred and seven yard game on three y three carries. 756 00:35:27,640 --> 00:35:31,680 Speaker 3: I'll regress, but yeah, I'll take the over. I think 757 00:35:31,680 --> 00:35:34,960 Speaker 3: they want to continue to feature him and Dion Lewis, 758 00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:39,919 Speaker 3: who's really seen his workload curtailed. So yeah, I'm gonna 759 00:35:39,920 --> 00:35:41,319 Speaker 3: go with with Henry on the over. 760 00:35:41,719 --> 00:35:45,239 Speaker 1: I'll take over. He's trending. Seems like at the end 761 00:35:45,239 --> 00:35:47,279 Speaker 1: of the year too, he's just running everyone over. People 762 00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:49,520 Speaker 1: don't want to mess with him. Just yeah, I like 763 00:35:49,560 --> 00:35:50,359 Speaker 1: the spot for him again. 764 00:35:50,440 --> 00:35:53,479 Speaker 4: Yeah, late, the defenses are all banged up, makes sense 765 00:35:53,800 --> 00:35:55,960 Speaker 4: run him on the ground right now. Next up at 766 00:35:56,000 --> 00:36:00,560 Speaker 4: receiver John Ross total receiving yards at Cleveland. Oh, I 767 00:36:00,560 --> 00:36:02,600 Speaker 4: think this is a TYPEO. Let me let me make 768 00:36:02,640 --> 00:36:06,840 Speaker 4: a line on the spot over under forty one and 769 00:36:06,840 --> 00:36:08,480 Speaker 4: a half yards. 770 00:36:08,200 --> 00:36:10,359 Speaker 2: Over and dying on the grave of. 771 00:36:13,640 --> 00:36:16,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll have to take over just because like they 772 00:36:16,480 --> 00:36:18,440 Speaker 3: have to throw it to someone if they give him 773 00:36:18,520 --> 00:36:20,279 Speaker 3: enough targets one and then we'll turn into like a 774 00:36:20,320 --> 00:36:21,320 Speaker 3: fifty yard bomb. 775 00:36:21,680 --> 00:36:24,000 Speaker 4: Yeah, Like I said earlier, even if he was under 776 00:36:24,040 --> 00:36:26,560 Speaker 4: this I think he's still a good bet for a touchdown. 777 00:36:26,880 --> 00:36:29,759 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, actually, I mean I said over. I'm 778 00:36:29,800 --> 00:36:31,160 Speaker 3: going to stick with it, but like, do I really 779 00:36:31,160 --> 00:36:33,400 Speaker 3: want to take the over on any receiver attached to 780 00:36:33,480 --> 00:36:37,520 Speaker 3: Jeff Driscoll? No, like I you know, so anyway, I'll 781 00:36:37,560 --> 00:36:39,600 Speaker 3: take the over. But if I had to think about 782 00:36:39,600 --> 00:36:42,399 Speaker 3: this more, I probably would have done the other down. 783 00:36:42,400 --> 00:36:44,359 Speaker 1: A lot of short catches. I thought he was going 784 00:36:44,440 --> 00:36:47,239 Speaker 1: to have like once a game, just like an electric 785 00:36:47,320 --> 00:36:50,360 Speaker 1: big play, you know. I mean, maybe he misses it occasionally, 786 00:36:50,400 --> 00:36:52,719 Speaker 1: but he should get wide open at least once a 787 00:36:52,760 --> 00:36:55,959 Speaker 1: game where he's down the field. And yeah, it's been weird, 788 00:36:55,960 --> 00:36:56,759 Speaker 1: it's been a weird season. 789 00:36:56,840 --> 00:36:58,279 Speaker 4: Yeah. Well, I mean he might get a lot of 790 00:36:58,360 --> 00:37:01,880 Speaker 4: attention from the defensive so we'll see. But yeah, if 791 00:37:01,920 --> 00:37:04,200 Speaker 4: he doesn't get over forty receiving ards of this game, 792 00:37:04,239 --> 00:37:09,200 Speaker 4: I'm moving on from him. So next up, I mentioned 793 00:37:09,239 --> 00:37:12,800 Speaker 4: this guy last week is a deep sleeper, Robert Foster. 794 00:37:13,280 --> 00:37:15,759 Speaker 4: He now has back to back hund yard games. He 795 00:37:15,880 --> 00:37:17,799 Speaker 4: used to be just sort of a deep threat, but 796 00:37:17,800 --> 00:37:20,160 Speaker 4: now he has a pretty complete route tree. So I've 797 00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:22,000 Speaker 4: been thinking of him as sort of a poor man's 798 00:37:22,200 --> 00:37:24,879 Speaker 4: where he's Goupin from last year. I like this guy 799 00:37:24,920 --> 00:37:28,319 Speaker 4: a lot. He's at New England. I'm setting his over 800 00:37:28,400 --> 00:37:30,760 Speaker 4: under receiving yards at fifty one and a half. 801 00:37:31,160 --> 00:37:33,919 Speaker 3: I'm gonna take the under. Yeah, give me the under 802 00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:36,520 Speaker 3: on that. Like a lot of his production has come 803 00:37:36,560 --> 00:37:40,960 Speaker 3: from longer plays, which like that's always possible with that offense. 804 00:37:40,960 --> 00:37:42,920 Speaker 3: That's just kind of how they're built. But I just 805 00:37:42,920 --> 00:37:44,520 Speaker 3: don't want to bet on a guy like that. 806 00:37:44,719 --> 00:37:46,320 Speaker 2: So I think that's a main median situation. 807 00:37:46,400 --> 00:37:48,480 Speaker 4: What do you think, Sean, Yeah, I mean, like I said, 808 00:37:48,560 --> 00:37:52,320 Speaker 4: he's put up over ninety yards three of the last 809 00:37:52,360 --> 00:37:54,440 Speaker 4: four games, I believe, but you know, the other game 810 00:37:54,520 --> 00:37:56,960 Speaker 4: was like a ten yard game, so you're right. I 811 00:37:57,000 --> 00:38:00,600 Speaker 4: think it's gonna be well over well under. I just 812 00:38:00,640 --> 00:38:02,319 Speaker 4: like him a lot, and I was willing to take 813 00:38:02,400 --> 00:38:05,480 Speaker 4: some overaction there just to or over actually on my 814 00:38:05,600 --> 00:38:07,800 Speaker 4: side on him, just you know, try to catch. 815 00:38:07,600 --> 00:38:08,280 Speaker 2: Up some ground. 816 00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:10,680 Speaker 1: You guys, why can you expand on that just a 817 00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:12,359 Speaker 1: little bit. I'm curious why you like him so much? 818 00:38:12,840 --> 00:38:15,040 Speaker 4: Like I said, you know, earlier in the year, if 819 00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:17,279 Speaker 4: you look at like his route tree, he was just 820 00:38:17,320 --> 00:38:18,440 Speaker 4: basically just going deep. 821 00:38:18,560 --> 00:38:20,359 Speaker 2: But especially with. 822 00:38:20,320 --> 00:38:24,239 Speaker 4: Calvin Benjamin gone. He's he's running underneath a lot more. 823 00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:27,400 Speaker 4: And we saw that with Marquis Goodwin. That's why he 824 00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:30,160 Speaker 4: kind of erupted last year. His his route tree became 825 00:38:30,200 --> 00:38:32,560 Speaker 4: more complete. You know, I bet on him a little 826 00:38:32,560 --> 00:38:34,600 Speaker 4: bit last week, and you know he came through. So 827 00:38:35,080 --> 00:38:36,799 Speaker 4: I'm definitely you. 828 00:38:36,719 --> 00:38:37,880 Speaker 2: Know, we'll see what Bill like. 829 00:38:37,960 --> 00:38:38,279 Speaker 3: I like that. 830 00:38:38,640 --> 00:38:41,520 Speaker 1: I mean just going into New England. 831 00:38:41,600 --> 00:38:44,400 Speaker 4: Yeah, exactly, and Belichick might figure out a way to 832 00:38:44,520 --> 00:38:48,120 Speaker 4: completely shut down that offense and not let Alan run around. 833 00:38:48,200 --> 00:38:51,120 Speaker 2: So we'll see. But I'm willing to take the over 834 00:38:51,200 --> 00:38:52,160 Speaker 2: fifty one and a half there. 835 00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:55,040 Speaker 3: I mean, it makes it. He's gone over that number 836 00:38:55,239 --> 00:38:57,839 Speaker 3: in four of his five like games, is like an 837 00:38:57,840 --> 00:39:01,120 Speaker 3: integrated part of that offense. You're you're probably going to 838 00:39:01,200 --> 00:39:01,719 Speaker 3: be right on this. 839 00:39:02,200 --> 00:39:04,440 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm just I'm just trying to call attention. I 840 00:39:04,440 --> 00:39:07,520 Speaker 4: think this is one of the overlooked receivers we have 841 00:39:07,640 --> 00:39:09,920 Speaker 4: right now, So trying to shine the line on a 842 00:39:09,960 --> 00:39:12,879 Speaker 4: little bit. So next up at wide receiver this week 843 00:39:12,920 --> 00:39:15,359 Speaker 4: on the mainsleet, we have some good ones and I'm 844 00:39:15,400 --> 00:39:18,600 Speaker 4: willing to let you guys take all the guys eight 845 00:39:18,640 --> 00:39:22,080 Speaker 4: point one k or higher or the field for top 846 00:39:22,160 --> 00:39:23,280 Speaker 4: DK score this week. 847 00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:26,600 Speaker 3: That was great salesmanship there, like I'm willing to let 848 00:39:26,640 --> 00:39:28,719 Speaker 3: you guys take It's it's like like I'm willing to 849 00:39:28,800 --> 00:39:31,399 Speaker 3: let this go for the low low price of. 850 00:39:31,640 --> 00:39:33,200 Speaker 2: Well, I'm giving you guys the option. 851 00:39:33,440 --> 00:39:35,120 Speaker 4: You know the sets that give like, well, the guys 852 00:39:35,120 --> 00:39:37,160 Speaker 4: score a touchdown, they don't give the option for now. 853 00:39:37,480 --> 00:39:40,719 Speaker 3: You have Juju, you have Obj, you have Dylan, you 854 00:39:40,719 --> 00:39:44,120 Speaker 3: have Amar t U. I under that. Mike Emmans, Yeah easy, 855 00:39:44,160 --> 00:39:45,000 Speaker 3: I'm taking the field. 856 00:39:45,280 --> 00:39:47,799 Speaker 1: I'm being in the field too. Just too many options. 857 00:39:48,080 --> 00:39:51,480 Speaker 4: So so to be clear, I have Michael Thomas, DeAndre Hopkins, 858 00:39:51,560 --> 00:39:54,800 Speaker 4: Hula Jones, DeVante Adams, and Antonio Brown. 859 00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:56,160 Speaker 2: So it's five guys. 860 00:39:56,440 --> 00:40:00,000 Speaker 4: Yes, I came up with this being close to fifty five, 861 00:40:00,400 --> 00:40:05,680 Speaker 4: so we'll see. So next up, tight end Evan Ingram 862 00:40:06,120 --> 00:40:10,319 Speaker 4: total receiving yards at Indy and that all bets are action, 863 00:40:10,440 --> 00:40:12,560 Speaker 4: no matter if Odell plays or not, So you gotta 864 00:40:12,600 --> 00:40:15,960 Speaker 4: factor that in. I'm I'm setting his line at forty 865 00:40:15,960 --> 00:40:16,760 Speaker 4: six and a half. 866 00:40:17,080 --> 00:40:17,919 Speaker 3: I'll take the under. 867 00:40:18,640 --> 00:40:21,839 Speaker 1: I love Evan Ingram, screw it, I'll take the over 868 00:40:22,080 --> 00:40:24,680 Speaker 1: a little hedge. I hope Beckham plays badly, so. 869 00:40:25,280 --> 00:40:26,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, he's he's popped. 870 00:40:26,800 --> 00:40:29,680 Speaker 4: I think seventy five plus yards each game at Odell's 871 00:40:29,719 --> 00:40:32,920 Speaker 4: miss So I think if Odell misses, Ingram's a no brainer. 872 00:40:32,920 --> 00:40:33,200 Speaker 2: Play. 873 00:40:33,640 --> 00:40:38,080 Speaker 4: Next up, cj Uzoma total receiving yards at Cleveland. Still 874 00:40:38,080 --> 00:40:40,600 Speaker 4: trying to figure out where these boy yards are going to. 875 00:40:40,800 --> 00:40:44,800 Speaker 4: So I'm I'm setting his line at thirty seven and 876 00:40:44,880 --> 00:40:45,600 Speaker 4: a half. 877 00:40:45,520 --> 00:40:49,640 Speaker 1: Over easy, over, I'll take the over. Thank he's safer 878 00:40:49,680 --> 00:40:52,480 Speaker 1: than Ross. I mean, Ross can do it in one catch, 879 00:40:52,560 --> 00:40:55,439 Speaker 1: but I think Isoma will get targets this week for sure. 880 00:40:55,520 --> 00:40:59,200 Speaker 2: God Yeah, Next up, clar to wide receiver. 881 00:41:00,040 --> 00:41:03,200 Speaker 4: I'm letting you guys either choose Zach Ertz and George 882 00:41:03,280 --> 00:41:05,680 Speaker 4: Kittle for top score or the field. 883 00:41:06,080 --> 00:41:08,319 Speaker 1: Give me the field, get Abron and then all those 884 00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:09,480 Speaker 1: guys did the field. 885 00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:15,239 Speaker 3: Yeah and no, no Keron hope Abron scores multiple touchdowns. 886 00:41:16,000 --> 00:41:18,239 Speaker 1: Ingram can do it if he gets back. Vance McDonald 887 00:41:18,520 --> 00:41:21,160 Speaker 1: was nice last week. I don't like Gronk this week, 888 00:41:21,200 --> 00:41:23,920 Speaker 1: but at least there's some insurance and Joku was Homa 889 00:41:24,520 --> 00:41:26,480 Speaker 1: Austin Hooper still, I mean there, I think I think 890 00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:27,680 Speaker 1: the field is still pretty strong. 891 00:41:28,120 --> 00:41:32,160 Speaker 4: Yeah yeah, yeah, no, no Kelsey, So I think those 892 00:41:32,160 --> 00:41:34,799 Speaker 4: top two make it close to fifty to fifty. But yeah, 893 00:41:34,840 --> 00:41:37,080 Speaker 4: with the field you have so many outs, but will 894 00:41:37,200 --> 00:41:39,880 Speaker 4: willing to offer this bet at least Sean. 895 00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:42,600 Speaker 3: You feeling pretty good about your side these bets here. 896 00:41:42,960 --> 00:41:45,400 Speaker 4: You know, I strung you guys along in the early 897 00:41:45,480 --> 00:41:47,680 Speaker 4: part of the season, you know, gave you three rooms 898 00:41:47,680 --> 00:41:50,160 Speaker 4: at my hotel, let you stay. And then at the 899 00:41:50,280 --> 00:41:53,200 Speaker 4: end of the season just you know, yeah, just taking 900 00:41:53,200 --> 00:41:55,200 Speaker 4: that money back. Hopefully I can get to five hundred 901 00:41:55,480 --> 00:41:56,200 Speaker 4: by the end of the year. 902 00:41:56,560 --> 00:41:59,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, just just cleaning up over there. Okay, that is 903 00:41:59,480 --> 00:42:01,160 Speaker 3: going to do it for this episode of the Action 904 00:42:01,280 --> 00:42:04,520 Speaker 3: Network NFL podcast. Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe 905 00:42:04,560 --> 00:42:07,160 Speaker 3: to the pod for all of our upcoming episodes. For 906 00:42:07,280 --> 00:42:10,760 Speaker 3: Peter Jennings and Sean Corner, I'm Matthew Friedman Matteth the Oracle. 907 00:42:10,840 --> 00:42:13,560 Speaker 3: See you again next episode.