1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:08,160 Speaker 1: M H. Welcome to the Favorites. I am Chad Millman 2 00:00:08,240 --> 00:00:12,959 Speaker 1: of the Action Network. It's Monday. This is the Parlay Show. 3 00:00:13,680 --> 00:00:17,200 Speaker 1: I am joined as always by my Action Network brothers. 4 00:00:17,880 --> 00:00:20,639 Speaker 1: Paula Duca ten years in the major leagues, many of 5 00:00:20,680 --> 00:00:25,200 Speaker 1: those with the Los Angeles Dodgers in the World Series 6 00:00:25,480 --> 00:00:29,639 Speaker 1: starting this week, four times as an All Star catcher. 7 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:33,240 Speaker 1: Also Jeff Schwartz eight years in the NFL as a 8 00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:46,679 Speaker 1: terrific offensive lineman despite all the injuries. Oh boys, oh boys, 9 00:00:46,680 --> 00:00:50,519 Speaker 1: I'm going across the street, uh after the podcast, and 10 00:00:50,560 --> 00:00:53,519 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go work on my field goal kicking. You 11 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:55,440 Speaker 1: could probably make it in the NFL as a field 12 00:00:55,440 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 1: goal kicker right now. It has gotten to the point 13 00:00:58,120 --> 00:01:01,760 Speaker 1: and just a reminder in theory, we are going to 14 00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:03,720 Speaker 1: give everybody the heads up on what they should be 15 00:01:03,720 --> 00:01:06,400 Speaker 1: betting on this weekend. It's up to them if they 16 00:01:06,400 --> 00:01:11,520 Speaker 1: want to trail us and tail us. Because we had 17 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:14,880 Speaker 1: a rough weekend. We went one and eight, and I 18 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:19,480 Speaker 1: can't blame it all on field goal kickers, but certainly 19 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:27,080 Speaker 1: when Justin Tucker lined up for that extra point and 20 00:01:27,319 --> 00:01:30,000 Speaker 1: we had Baltimore minus two and a half, I was conflicted. 21 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:31,600 Speaker 1: I bet on Baltimore. But then in the pod with 22 00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 1: black Check that we do on Fridays, he insisted we 23 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:36,120 Speaker 1: take New Orleans and I like was in a hurry 24 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:38,800 Speaker 1: and said, okay, fine. Um so I was okay with 25 00:01:38,840 --> 00:01:40,920 Speaker 1: how it ended up. Kind of I lost money, But 26 00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:45,679 Speaker 1: when one wanted in the super contest, I thought to myself, 27 00:01:46,040 --> 00:01:49,320 Speaker 1: he's gonna miss this extra point. Well, so your fault. 28 00:01:50,240 --> 00:01:52,440 Speaker 1: You did not say that. Oh do now we know 29 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:54,280 Speaker 1: how to blame. Okay, I'm putting this on Twitter. You 30 00:01:54,320 --> 00:01:57,600 Speaker 1: are now getting blamed for this. He was two hundred 31 00:01:58,000 --> 00:02:01,600 Speaker 1: and two on eight s and he never missed one 32 00:02:01,880 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 1: in college as well. So it's your it's your fault. 33 00:02:03,760 --> 00:02:05,960 Speaker 1: You thought the worst. I was hoping for the best 34 00:02:06,000 --> 00:02:08,400 Speaker 1: because I had probably one of the worst weekends I've 35 00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:11,080 Speaker 1: ever had gambling. I was looking forward to the Ravens 36 00:02:11,080 --> 00:02:16,320 Speaker 1: winning this game and overtime. But the thing is, um, 37 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:19,520 Speaker 1: here's why I felt this. The Action Network app, we 38 00:02:19,560 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 1: get alerts scoring alerts on games that you've been on, 39 00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:25,240 Speaker 1: and for some reason, sometimes I will get the alert 40 00:02:25,480 --> 00:02:28,679 Speaker 1: before the play, like maybe ten seconds before the play. 41 00:02:28,720 --> 00:02:31,160 Speaker 1: I don't know, Like it's you know, the way our 42 00:02:31,280 --> 00:02:34,559 Speaker 1: our API works, like the way our our app works 43 00:02:34,600 --> 00:02:37,040 Speaker 1: like we're pulling in the data and it's faster than 44 00:02:37,080 --> 00:02:41,240 Speaker 1: what you're seeing on television. And it just took like 45 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:45,160 Speaker 1: one minute for me. I hadn't gotten the alert that 46 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:48,760 Speaker 1: he made the extra point yet, and so I was like, 47 00:02:49,720 --> 00:02:53,160 Speaker 1: where's the extra point? And I didn't. I didn't get it, 48 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:56,680 Speaker 1: And I'm like, it's crazy, right, I mean, gambling for 49 00:02:56,760 --> 00:03:00,240 Speaker 1: so long, you always have your phone on your You're 50 00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:03,720 Speaker 1: always looking for the scores. Since they've changed the extra point, 51 00:03:03,880 --> 00:03:06,800 Speaker 1: you never looked at it. You have to look at it. 52 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:09,880 Speaker 1: Now have to look at it. It's it's it's not 53 00:03:09,960 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 1: a given anymore. I mean, of the nine games that 54 00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:16,960 Speaker 1: we had, we had two missed extra points and at 55 00:03:17,040 --> 00:03:19,680 Speaker 1: least five miss field goals. I mean, Schwartzy had the 56 00:03:19,760 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 1: over in the Chiefs game. I mean, and Andy Dalton 57 00:03:23,400 --> 00:03:26,639 Speaker 1: and A. J. Greeny even decided to play that game 58 00:03:26,680 --> 00:03:30,360 Speaker 1: goes over. So you have games and just how about 59 00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:32,560 Speaker 1: the bank? How about your favorite college play of the week. 60 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:37,120 Speaker 1: The Bearcats missed three field goals and Temple had crossed 61 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:39,320 Speaker 1: the midfield twice, and then the last drive they just 62 00:03:39,400 --> 00:03:40,960 Speaker 1: drive down the field and score. In the overtime, they 63 00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:43,240 Speaker 1: just drive the field and scoring two plays and then 64 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:46,720 Speaker 1: with the game. That was one of the worst things 65 00:03:46,760 --> 00:03:49,680 Speaker 1: I've ever seen. You know what I was telling Jad 66 00:03:49,760 --> 00:03:54,480 Speaker 1: before the kid made a field goal to ice the 67 00:03:54,520 --> 00:03:57,440 Speaker 1: game with like eight minutes left or somewhere and there, 68 00:03:58,160 --> 00:04:00,640 Speaker 1: and they said they didn't blow the whistle or the 69 00:04:00,680 --> 00:04:04,080 Speaker 1: TV time out wasn't ready yet. They were ready, and 70 00:04:04,680 --> 00:04:07,960 Speaker 1: the play went on. So the kid made the field goal, 71 00:04:08,080 --> 00:04:09,600 Speaker 1: they go, no, no, no, no, no, no, we didn't 72 00:04:09,600 --> 00:04:12,400 Speaker 1: blow it in. Then he missed it and it would 73 00:04:12,440 --> 00:04:14,680 Speaker 1: assaulted the game with like six to eight minutes. So 74 00:04:14,720 --> 00:04:17,919 Speaker 1: he actually made one, they took it off the board 75 00:04:17,960 --> 00:04:20,080 Speaker 1: and he missed it. So like I was sitting in 76 00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:23,720 Speaker 1: here in my in my room watching the game, and 77 00:04:23,800 --> 00:04:26,960 Speaker 1: like I was just in shock that the text that 78 00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:29,279 Speaker 1: I sent you guys was like obviously I sat here 79 00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:33,640 Speaker 1: and I couldn't believe they lost a game. You sent 80 00:04:33,720 --> 00:04:36,360 Speaker 1: a gift that just said tilt that I thought was larious. 81 00:04:39,400 --> 00:04:42,600 Speaker 1: I mean it did as it set me. I recovered 82 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:47,040 Speaker 1: a little bit late, uh, I mean the Donk from 83 00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:50,560 Speaker 1: the Redskins was like my only savior, like I needed. 84 00:04:51,320 --> 00:04:54,119 Speaker 1: I had so many miss extra points and so many 85 00:04:54,279 --> 00:04:57,880 Speaker 1: missed field goals. I had Baltimore obviously, um, and and 86 00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:02,240 Speaker 1: that for that to be the I guess to get 87 00:05:02,240 --> 00:05:04,440 Speaker 1: some of my money back with the doink on a 88 00:05:04,600 --> 00:05:08,120 Speaker 1: snap in fraction. I mean, these guys are making up 89 00:05:08,160 --> 00:05:12,000 Speaker 1: calls now, so so my guests on what on what 90 00:05:12,080 --> 00:05:14,400 Speaker 1: happened there. I was very surprised as well to see 91 00:05:14,760 --> 00:05:19,240 Speaker 1: that snapping fraction. Um is they were worn before the game. 92 00:05:19,279 --> 00:05:21,719 Speaker 1: That the Cowboys long snapper moves the ball like that, 93 00:05:21,800 --> 00:05:23,839 Speaker 1: and it wasn't agreedious enough in my opinion, to to 94 00:05:23,880 --> 00:05:26,240 Speaker 1: warrant a penalty. But it's a penalty. You don't have 95 00:05:26,279 --> 00:05:27,800 Speaker 1: to pick the ball, but move it. And he wasn't 96 00:05:27,839 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 1: doing it in a manner, was trying to snap the ball, 97 00:05:29,960 --> 00:05:32,039 Speaker 1: just kind of setting his his hands and he didn't 98 00:05:32,080 --> 00:05:34,320 Speaker 1: even have a second hand in the ball. And so 99 00:05:34,520 --> 00:05:37,320 Speaker 1: they must have been worn before the game. Hey, that 100 00:05:37,400 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 1: the Cowboys long snapper does this, and then the Redskins 101 00:05:40,520 --> 00:05:42,680 Speaker 1: jumping off side of that situation kind of forced the 102 00:05:42,760 --> 00:05:46,200 Speaker 1: hand of the referee. If the Redskins don't jump off sides, 103 00:05:46,240 --> 00:05:47,960 Speaker 1: if they just stay on side and he moves the ball, 104 00:05:48,000 --> 00:05:50,080 Speaker 1: I don't think this ever gets called. So I'm not 105 00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:51,680 Speaker 1: sure that that the red Skins even knew what they 106 00:05:51,680 --> 00:05:54,800 Speaker 1: were doing by jumping off sides, um, but that helped 107 00:05:54,839 --> 00:05:57,040 Speaker 1: them obviously. And then you know he's look, fifty two 108 00:05:57,080 --> 00:05:59,719 Speaker 1: yards NFL now is not that big of a kick. 109 00:06:00,400 --> 00:06:02,760 Speaker 1: But this game is us Jason Garrettford being for being 110 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:05,880 Speaker 1: passive again. You know, fifty seconds left ball like the 111 00:06:05,920 --> 00:06:07,840 Speaker 1: forty five, you have a time out left, you only 112 00:06:07,839 --> 00:06:10,240 Speaker 1: get two plays off and one of them is a run. Um. 113 00:06:10,320 --> 00:06:13,359 Speaker 1: You deserve to lose that game, although the Redskins deserve 114 00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:15,800 Speaker 1: to loser too, because they were the clock at the 115 00:06:15,839 --> 00:06:18,320 Speaker 1: end of the game. Like, Alex has a slide, they 116 00:06:19,240 --> 00:06:21,680 Speaker 1: got the ball back with like and Dallas got the 117 00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:25,640 Speaker 1: ball back with one A team that's ridiculous because Alex 118 00:06:25,680 --> 00:06:30,520 Speaker 1: and Alex Smith ran abounce seventeen year veterans slide, get down, 119 00:06:30,560 --> 00:06:32,640 Speaker 1: forced the Cowboys user last time out, and you win 120 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:37,919 Speaker 1: that game easily. Listen A weird, weird weekend. I do 121 00:06:37,960 --> 00:06:40,719 Speaker 1: want to ask paula serious question, like, well, as Angeles 122 00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:42,560 Speaker 1: Dodgers are in the World Series for the second year row, 123 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:47,120 Speaker 1: it starts uh Wednesday night in Boston. Um, what's your 124 00:06:47,120 --> 00:06:50,280 Speaker 1: take right now? What are you thinking about this series? Well, 125 00:06:50,279 --> 00:06:52,200 Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be a lot closer than people think. 126 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:54,280 Speaker 1: I think a lot of people are already just giving 127 00:06:54,320 --> 00:06:58,840 Speaker 1: it to Boston. Um, the Dodgers did something that is 128 00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:02,160 Speaker 1: was tough to do to beat Milwaukee, because Milwaukee through 129 00:07:02,240 --> 00:07:04,600 Speaker 1: something at them that was really funky that you know, 130 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:08,000 Speaker 1: with all these relievers and half starters, and so now 131 00:07:08,000 --> 00:07:10,680 Speaker 1: this is gonna be a regular series, and now Dave 132 00:07:10,760 --> 00:07:12,200 Speaker 1: Roberts is going to be able to throw out his 133 00:07:12,520 --> 00:07:15,480 Speaker 1: regular lineup and not have to pinch hit guys in 134 00:07:15,520 --> 00:07:17,320 Speaker 1: the third and fourth inning. It's gonna be a whole 135 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:20,720 Speaker 1: different ballgame. So, um, I do think now the two 136 00:07:20,720 --> 00:07:24,720 Speaker 1: best hitting teams, two best at that teams as as 137 00:07:24,840 --> 00:07:27,160 Speaker 1: is as in, they're gonna work the pitchers. So it's 138 00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:29,720 Speaker 1: gonna be the bullpens. And both these bullpens are not good. 139 00:07:29,800 --> 00:07:32,920 Speaker 1: So I I think the Red Sox will win the 140 00:07:32,920 --> 00:07:35,360 Speaker 1: game because they're win the series because they're relentless. But 141 00:07:35,400 --> 00:07:37,000 Speaker 1: I do think the Dodters are gonna hang in there. 142 00:07:37,040 --> 00:07:40,240 Speaker 1: The reason why they got three to four starters that 143 00:07:40,280 --> 00:07:42,880 Speaker 1: are lefties, and the one Achilles heel that the Red 144 00:07:42,880 --> 00:07:46,080 Speaker 1: Sox do have is they struggle a tiny bit against 145 00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:50,560 Speaker 1: left handed pitching. But again, Alex Cora. I said it 146 00:07:50,880 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 1: a long time ago. He's one of my good friends, 147 00:07:53,280 --> 00:07:56,960 Speaker 1: smartest guy ever played with. And it's crazy. I got 148 00:07:56,960 --> 00:08:00,160 Speaker 1: to play with him and Cora and at sometimes in 149 00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:04,160 Speaker 1: our career. Core Roberts batted it first and Core about 150 00:08:04,200 --> 00:08:06,120 Speaker 1: a second, and I've had a third for the daughters. 151 00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:08,040 Speaker 1: So it's pretty cool for me to watch these two 152 00:08:08,080 --> 00:08:09,960 Speaker 1: guys go at it. But I think the Red Sox 153 00:08:10,000 --> 00:08:12,120 Speaker 1: are gonna win in like six or seven year. You 154 00:08:12,160 --> 00:08:14,520 Speaker 1: did actually say I remember when the baseball season started, 155 00:08:14,560 --> 00:08:18,920 Speaker 1: you said, Alex Cora, um, uh is a great It's 156 00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:21,640 Speaker 1: gonna be a great manager for this team. Well, I 157 00:08:21,760 --> 00:08:23,920 Speaker 1: just knew, you know, I just knew he was. First 158 00:08:23,960 --> 00:08:29,280 Speaker 1: of all, bilingual is huge. Um. You know, when you 159 00:08:29,320 --> 00:08:32,439 Speaker 1: have guys with so many different languages. One guys from Venezuela, 160 00:08:32,480 --> 00:08:36,480 Speaker 1: one guys UM from Puerto Rico. It's a Dominican to that, 161 00:08:36,800 --> 00:08:39,800 Speaker 1: and they all speak different types of Spanish, and he 162 00:08:39,800 --> 00:08:42,760 Speaker 1: can be able to translate that and move that. Um. 163 00:08:42,800 --> 00:08:45,559 Speaker 1: His brother went to Vanderbilt. Um, he went to Miami, 164 00:08:45,720 --> 00:08:49,160 Speaker 1: was schooled here and he wasn't a very talented guy. 165 00:08:49,240 --> 00:08:51,200 Speaker 1: But if it was hit at him, he were out. 166 00:08:51,640 --> 00:08:54,720 Speaker 1: He did the little things right and carved out if 167 00:08:54,760 --> 00:08:57,360 Speaker 1: you know, thirteen fourteen year career, when you can do 168 00:08:57,440 --> 00:09:01,240 Speaker 1: that and come from a baseball family, and I just 169 00:09:01,320 --> 00:09:02,800 Speaker 1: knew it. I just knew he was gonna be able 170 00:09:02,840 --> 00:09:06,000 Speaker 1: to handle it. And here's the best part. His bench 171 00:09:06,080 --> 00:09:10,800 Speaker 1: coach is Ron Rennicky. Ron Rennicky was him and eyes 172 00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:15,079 Speaker 1: coach for the seven San Antonio Double A missions who 173 00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:16,920 Speaker 1: won the Texas League. So it's pretty cool for me. 174 00:09:18,200 --> 00:09:22,480 Speaker 1: That is so cool. It's pretty awesome. I got the ring. Yeah, 175 00:09:22,480 --> 00:09:24,280 Speaker 1: I got the Texas that's my only ring. I got 176 00:09:24,360 --> 00:09:27,520 Speaker 1: Texas League Double A. Well you also have your number 177 00:09:27,520 --> 00:09:30,840 Speaker 1: retired a Arizona State. Yeah. Yeah, I appreciate that. You 178 00:09:30,880 --> 00:09:32,280 Speaker 1: get these all star rings when you go to the 179 00:09:32,280 --> 00:09:34,959 Speaker 1: All Star Game, but they're like you can get him 180 00:09:34,960 --> 00:09:39,880 Speaker 1: at seven eleven. They're the Johnston's Class ring, three hand 181 00:09:40,160 --> 00:09:44,640 Speaker 1: class ring. Oh if they're less than that, schworts. It's 182 00:09:44,640 --> 00:09:48,559 Speaker 1: like a bull ring and they go, okay, you got 183 00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:51,480 Speaker 1: you got invited. Okay, here, let me put your name 184 00:09:51,520 --> 00:09:53,640 Speaker 1: in the ring. I'm not even sure my bull rings 185 00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:57,640 Speaker 1: are at no idea. I gave him to my father. 186 00:09:57,760 --> 00:10:00,440 Speaker 1: My father probably sports them all at The or Lando 187 00:10:00,559 --> 00:10:10,600 Speaker 1: Sentinel Kennel Club dogs. That's good. Um, all right, let's 188 00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:13,679 Speaker 1: get to this thing. All right, let's make our picks. 189 00:10:15,040 --> 00:10:19,200 Speaker 1: I don't have any rings. I don't either. Well you 190 00:10:19,240 --> 00:10:21,760 Speaker 1: just say you had bowl rings. Yeah, but we get 191 00:10:21,800 --> 00:10:23,240 Speaker 1: them with a win or lose, Like I lost a 192 00:10:23,320 --> 00:10:28,160 Speaker 1: Vegas both eight and I gotta ring for that. So 193 00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:33,599 Speaker 1: it's not very impressive. I got nothing. Well, how I 194 00:10:33,600 --> 00:10:36,000 Speaker 1: physically don't even have them anyway, So that's like I 195 00:10:36,040 --> 00:10:38,160 Speaker 1: have nothing. At least you have a dog you can 196 00:10:38,320 --> 00:10:40,520 Speaker 1: cry too. I didn't even have a dog to cry 197 00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:51,280 Speaker 1: to yesterday. Sad so sad um. Jeff Paul made a 198 00:10:51,320 --> 00:10:55,760 Speaker 1: really good point. Are you better off at this point 199 00:10:55,840 --> 00:10:59,760 Speaker 1: in the process, considering we went one and eight this week, 200 00:11:00,120 --> 00:11:02,280 Speaker 1: which might be harder to do than going like five 201 00:11:02,320 --> 00:11:05,719 Speaker 1: and four and four and five, Should you just like 202 00:11:07,000 --> 00:11:09,200 Speaker 1: bet against everything we do and that might be how 203 00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:17,200 Speaker 1: you win at this point? It's maybe because oh man, 204 00:11:17,640 --> 00:11:20,920 Speaker 1: it's a new week. It's chat's a new week. Renewed energy, 205 00:11:21,000 --> 00:11:22,800 Speaker 1: renewed spirit. We're gonna get it right this week. I 206 00:11:22,800 --> 00:11:29,080 Speaker 1: have a feeling optimism wins the day. Fortune favors the bold. 207 00:11:29,880 --> 00:11:32,559 Speaker 1: All right, now, I gotta we gotta get us back 208 00:11:32,600 --> 00:11:34,040 Speaker 1: off on the right. Start all right, give me this. 209 00:11:35,720 --> 00:11:39,240 Speaker 1: Give me the Lions as three point favorites at home 210 00:11:39,720 --> 00:11:44,880 Speaker 1: against the Seahawks. The Slions team is for real. Their 211 00:11:44,960 --> 00:11:47,280 Speaker 1: past defense is one of the best in the NFL. 212 00:11:47,400 --> 00:11:50,880 Speaker 1: Right now. Offensively, they can run the football again. They've 213 00:11:50,880 --> 00:11:52,520 Speaker 1: never been to run the football like for the last 214 00:11:52,600 --> 00:11:54,160 Speaker 1: five years, they have not been over the football. Now 215 00:11:54,240 --> 00:11:56,200 Speaker 1: carry on. John's had a hundred and fifty yards this weekend. 216 00:11:56,200 --> 00:11:57,559 Speaker 1: He's had over a hundred yards now in a couple 217 00:11:57,559 --> 00:11:59,880 Speaker 1: of games in a row. They're healthy, they're playing at 218 00:11:59,880 --> 00:12:02,240 Speaker 1: a eye level, and that Patricia has worked wonders on 219 00:12:02,240 --> 00:12:04,360 Speaker 1: that defense. And like I said, I believe they're their 220 00:12:04,400 --> 00:12:07,240 Speaker 1: top past defense in the NFL right now. Continue again 221 00:12:07,280 --> 00:12:10,760 Speaker 1: this weekend, you have Seattle, who basically is Russell Wilson. 222 00:12:10,760 --> 00:12:12,800 Speaker 1: If Russell Wilson plays well to have a chance to win. 223 00:12:12,880 --> 00:12:14,760 Speaker 1: If not, they're gonna lose. They don't have a lot 224 00:12:14,800 --> 00:12:17,120 Speaker 1: of weapons around them. Their defense is not what it 225 00:12:17,200 --> 00:12:18,880 Speaker 1: used to be. Their run game is not what it 226 00:12:18,960 --> 00:12:22,360 Speaker 1: used to be. I just think people are still undervaluing 227 00:12:22,840 --> 00:12:26,439 Speaker 1: the Lions, and I don't get it. I love this idea. 228 00:12:27,240 --> 00:12:31,280 Speaker 1: I'll take you one better. Detroit is now minus two 229 00:12:31,320 --> 00:12:35,440 Speaker 1: and a half in some places. Where's that? So? What 230 00:12:35,600 --> 00:12:38,120 Speaker 1: that means? I think I think it's at the West Gate. 231 00:12:38,200 --> 00:12:40,240 Speaker 1: That's what I'm sinked up. Well, that's what matters. So 232 00:12:40,280 --> 00:12:42,319 Speaker 1: to give me two and a half, even better, give 233 00:12:42,320 --> 00:12:45,679 Speaker 1: it to me right now. I would tell you, hey, 234 00:12:45,800 --> 00:12:48,120 Speaker 1: that means that the wise guys came in on the 235 00:12:48,160 --> 00:12:52,480 Speaker 1: Seahawks early. But they did. I don't disagree with you, 236 00:12:52,520 --> 00:12:55,840 Speaker 1: and I don't know why they came in on Seattle. 237 00:12:55,920 --> 00:12:58,679 Speaker 1: Like this is Detroit is playing great off of buy 238 00:12:58,800 --> 00:13:03,559 Speaker 1: maybe it sales off of bye, but they're not very 239 00:13:03,800 --> 00:13:05,800 Speaker 1: teams off of by that are good, like the like 240 00:13:05,880 --> 00:13:07,880 Speaker 1: Andy Reid who's lost twice in his career off of bye, 241 00:13:07,920 --> 00:13:09,880 Speaker 1: like Sean Payne. Now, who is I think thirteen and 242 00:13:09,880 --> 00:13:12,520 Speaker 1: one or thirteen two off of bye? Great coaches and 243 00:13:12,559 --> 00:13:15,440 Speaker 1: great with great personnel and great quarterbacks use the bye 244 00:13:15,440 --> 00:13:17,720 Speaker 1: to their advantage. Obviously, what's the all gonna do? They 245 00:13:17,760 --> 00:13:19,880 Speaker 1: don't have the horses to come up with like a 246 00:13:19,960 --> 00:13:22,360 Speaker 1: brand new game plan and use all these guys in 247 00:13:22,400 --> 00:13:25,600 Speaker 1: creative manners that they have. Russell Wilson, if he's playing well, 248 00:13:25,640 --> 00:13:27,959 Speaker 1: the team plays well. If not, they're are they don't 249 00:13:28,000 --> 00:13:30,600 Speaker 1: have the wide receivers to separate from these Lions defensive backs. 250 00:13:30,640 --> 00:13:34,280 Speaker 1: I think the Lions the Lions, I don't and masked 251 00:13:34,280 --> 00:13:36,080 Speaker 1: after by the way really good in the fourth quarter. 252 00:13:36,160 --> 00:13:37,640 Speaker 1: So if even if they're down by a little bit, 253 00:13:37,920 --> 00:13:40,280 Speaker 1: I think they can come back and win this game late. 254 00:13:42,320 --> 00:13:45,560 Speaker 1: I like it. I like the Lions. I think they're improving. 255 00:13:45,720 --> 00:13:47,600 Speaker 1: And I'm with you. If you play off the bye week, 256 00:13:47,800 --> 00:13:50,040 Speaker 1: even in college, you would have got buried this week. 257 00:13:50,040 --> 00:13:53,559 Speaker 1: And I think sometimes guys get a little bit lazy 258 00:13:53,679 --> 00:13:55,400 Speaker 1: or you can come out, you come out a little 259 00:13:55,400 --> 00:13:57,440 Speaker 1: bit lack of days ago. So I'm not buying the 260 00:13:57,440 --> 00:13:59,840 Speaker 1: bye week thing anymore. And I like the way they played. 261 00:13:59,840 --> 00:14:03,280 Speaker 1: Are watch the whole Miami game, brock Oswellers playing well, 262 00:14:03,360 --> 00:14:06,560 Speaker 1: and I thought Detroit, I mean they got a ton 263 00:14:06,559 --> 00:14:08,400 Speaker 1: of pressure on him. He he made most of his 264 00:14:08,440 --> 00:14:12,040 Speaker 1: plays out of the pocket. So um, I don't mind 265 00:14:12,040 --> 00:14:15,200 Speaker 1: this pick at all, especially two and a half. Yeah, 266 00:14:15,679 --> 00:14:20,400 Speaker 1: boom shaka laka, book it print it done. We're on 267 00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:24,280 Speaker 1: the way to town k Boys from NBA. Jam boom 268 00:14:24,320 --> 00:14:27,200 Speaker 1: shack ohacka. I think it is. I think it is. 269 00:14:27,960 --> 00:14:32,440 Speaker 1: Are you ready for my pick? So ready? So bold 270 00:14:33,880 --> 00:14:37,440 Speaker 1: the Denver Broncoes plus ten against the Kansas City Chiefs. 271 00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:43,560 Speaker 1: Oh my god, Oh my god. Okay, so what did 272 00:14:43,560 --> 00:14:48,040 Speaker 1: everybody see last night? Another tour to force Pat Mahomes? 273 00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:50,680 Speaker 1: Would we see last night? We saw the true colors 274 00:14:50,680 --> 00:14:53,520 Speaker 1: of the Cincinnati Bengals, Andy Dalton, A J. Green just 275 00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:56,520 Speaker 1: straight quit in the fourth quarter, straight quit. A J. 276 00:14:56,640 --> 00:14:59,560 Speaker 1: Green could have got a first down. Straight quit. Now 277 00:14:59,600 --> 00:15:02,160 Speaker 1: I started looking at Denver a little bit. You know, 278 00:15:02,200 --> 00:15:05,720 Speaker 1: their defense held the rams of twenty three points, starting 279 00:15:05,760 --> 00:15:07,680 Speaker 1: to play a little bit better. I understand that Cardinals 280 00:15:07,720 --> 00:15:09,600 Speaker 1: might be the worst team in football, but Von Miller 281 00:15:10,320 --> 00:15:13,680 Speaker 1: was destroying people. And I have a feeling they match 282 00:15:13,760 --> 00:15:17,720 Speaker 1: up with Casey for some reason very well. And they 283 00:15:17,760 --> 00:15:21,320 Speaker 1: had them beat earlier in the season thirteen two to 284 00:15:21,560 --> 00:15:24,640 Speaker 1: three before Mahomes beat him, um in the fourth quarter, 285 00:15:25,280 --> 00:15:28,440 Speaker 1: um to twenty three. But if you look at Denver, 286 00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:32,240 Speaker 1: they they've been in every single game and most of 287 00:15:32,280 --> 00:15:34,880 Speaker 1: them are close. You know, the Baltimore game was was close, 288 00:15:34,960 --> 00:15:37,880 Speaker 1: too late, And like I said, their defense is starting 289 00:15:37,880 --> 00:15:41,000 Speaker 1: around and I'm getting ten points at home. Um, it's 290 00:15:41,040 --> 00:15:44,000 Speaker 1: not in prime time. Casey's due to have a little 291 00:15:44,040 --> 00:15:46,440 Speaker 1: bit of a clinker and I just think that that 292 00:15:46,520 --> 00:15:49,000 Speaker 1: Denver matches up well with them, and they're starting to 293 00:15:49,040 --> 00:15:50,720 Speaker 1: gel a little bit, and they get an extra couple 294 00:15:50,760 --> 00:15:53,480 Speaker 1: of days since that. You know, Denver played on Thursday night. 295 00:15:56,120 --> 00:15:58,920 Speaker 1: Kansas City is seven l against the spread so far 296 00:15:59,000 --> 00:16:02,520 Speaker 1: this year. They're not. Oh, Denver's the team that covered 297 00:16:02,520 --> 00:16:04,040 Speaker 1: against him, right, I thought, I thought I saw that 298 00:16:04,040 --> 00:16:06,480 Speaker 1: there's seven and oh, maybe that was a wrong stat yesterday. 299 00:16:06,520 --> 00:16:08,400 Speaker 1: That is wrong. They're doing that against the closing line. 300 00:16:08,400 --> 00:16:10,640 Speaker 1: They're not doing against the opening line. Because, as you 301 00:16:10,640 --> 00:16:16,720 Speaker 1: guys might recall, I middled that game, you did so, so, 302 00:16:16,720 --> 00:16:18,560 Speaker 1: so what is the more accurate line to use in 303 00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:20,800 Speaker 1: that in that situation? The opening one of the closing line. 304 00:16:21,760 --> 00:16:24,720 Speaker 1: The closing line is what everyone sort of the novices, 305 00:16:25,000 --> 00:16:29,600 Speaker 1: what the uninformed would use. But to just blatantly flat 306 00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:34,680 Speaker 1: out say they're undefeated against the spread, uh, is misunderstanding 307 00:16:34,680 --> 00:16:40,200 Speaker 1: the nuance and the fluidity of the point spread. Interesting 308 00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:42,200 Speaker 1: because you could all because also depends on where you 309 00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:44,160 Speaker 1: got that New England Chiefs number two, because you got 310 00:16:44,200 --> 00:16:46,520 Speaker 1: it three versus three and a half or four. Obviously 311 00:16:46,600 --> 00:16:49,120 Speaker 1: that changes from a push to a win. Well, they 312 00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:52,000 Speaker 1: probably all got to spread up like that the over unders, 313 00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:53,840 Speaker 1: by the way, have not been is is kind of 314 00:16:53,840 --> 00:16:56,120 Speaker 1: everyone keeps betting the overs and Chiefs games, and Andy 315 00:16:56,160 --> 00:16:58,920 Speaker 1: read last night, Really I text my brother last night, 316 00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:00,720 Speaker 1: by the way, after the game place for the Chiefs, 317 00:17:00,720 --> 00:17:03,760 Speaker 1: and I said, I said, Um, what I say? I said? 318 00:17:03,800 --> 00:17:06,840 Speaker 1: I said something like, uh, like Big Red cost me 319 00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:09,320 Speaker 1: the over in that game, but I guess you played well, 320 00:17:09,400 --> 00:17:12,760 Speaker 1: so it doesn't matter something like that, like have the 321 00:17:12,800 --> 00:17:14,320 Speaker 1: over in Big Red knuck picking a field goal and 322 00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:17,280 Speaker 1: the game was brutal but otherwise great job tonight. He said, ha, thanks. 323 00:17:17,440 --> 00:17:20,800 Speaker 1: Um it was uh yeah, I mean brutal, but eleven 324 00:17:20,840 --> 00:17:23,480 Speaker 1: point eleven. Now I've seen in some places too. It's 325 00:17:23,480 --> 00:17:26,040 Speaker 1: a lot of points of NFL game. It's a lot 326 00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:28,400 Speaker 1: of points. I love this pick. It's a lot of points. 327 00:17:28,400 --> 00:17:30,320 Speaker 1: I think I think you gotta roll. I think you're right, 328 00:17:30,359 --> 00:17:34,479 Speaker 1: paul Um. Chiefs win this game. But they've shown a 329 00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:36,680 Speaker 1: little bit of shakiness every now and then, and plus 330 00:17:36,680 --> 00:17:39,720 Speaker 1: I think their defense is too inconsistent. In my opinion, 331 00:17:40,960 --> 00:17:43,200 Speaker 1: you don't think can be the one guy that can 332 00:17:43,200 --> 00:17:46,520 Speaker 1: can one guy. My brother shuts him down. That's not 333 00:17:46,600 --> 00:17:49,160 Speaker 1: that I understand. But I think maybe they spy him more. 334 00:17:49,560 --> 00:17:52,159 Speaker 1: I don't know. I I think no von Miller. My 335 00:17:52,200 --> 00:17:54,560 Speaker 1: brother has played von Miller like the last five times, 336 00:17:54,560 --> 00:17:56,720 Speaker 1: and he's not allow of sack. I mean, look, he couldn't. 337 00:17:56,720 --> 00:17:58,320 Speaker 1: He can give up a sack. I'm not saying he won't. 338 00:17:58,359 --> 00:18:01,320 Speaker 1: But um, my brother's good job against Volmeller. But I 339 00:18:01,359 --> 00:18:04,520 Speaker 1: just think the Chiefs defense is two up and down 340 00:18:04,560 --> 00:18:07,239 Speaker 1: in my opinion that I played better recently. Uh, they 341 00:18:07,240 --> 00:18:09,840 Speaker 1: still don't have Eric Berry, So I think eleven points 342 00:18:09,920 --> 00:18:11,520 Speaker 1: is just a it's a lot of points in the 343 00:18:11,600 --> 00:18:15,159 Speaker 1: NFL game, a lot a lot of points against a 344 00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:19,640 Speaker 1: team they've already played. I think we are. I think 345 00:18:19,680 --> 00:18:26,320 Speaker 1: we've found some agreement here and then we have we have? 346 00:18:26,920 --> 00:18:28,720 Speaker 1: Did we are? Are we moving on? Is that? What's 347 00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:33,160 Speaker 1: happening right now is in my church. There we go. Boys. 348 00:18:33,160 --> 00:18:36,760 Speaker 1: We're gonna get back to our parlay in one second, 349 00:18:36,760 --> 00:18:41,760 Speaker 1: but first we're gonna tell our listeners about robin Hood. 350 00:18:41,920 --> 00:18:44,600 Speaker 1: Robin Hood is an investing app that lets you buy 351 00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:50,000 Speaker 1: and sell stocks, et fs, options, and cryptos, all commission free. 352 00:18:50,440 --> 00:18:53,040 Speaker 1: They strive to make financial services work for everyone, not 353 00:18:53,359 --> 00:18:57,720 Speaker 1: just the wealthy, non intimidating way for stock market newcomers 354 00:18:57,920 --> 00:19:01,480 Speaker 1: to invest for the first time with confidence. It's simple 355 00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:05,600 Speaker 1: and intuitive, clear design with data presented in an easy 356 00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:09,280 Speaker 1: to digest way. 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You get 365 00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:41,879 Speaker 1: custom notifications for price movements so you never miss the 366 00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:45,560 Speaker 1: right moment to invest. Robin Hood is giving listeners a 367 00:19:45,800 --> 00:19:49,320 Speaker 1: free stock like Apple, Ford or Sprint to help build 368 00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:53,840 Speaker 1: your portfolio. Sign up at Favorites dot robin hood dot com. 369 00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:59,760 Speaker 1: That's Favorites dot robin hood dot com. Let's get back 370 00:19:59,760 --> 00:20:03,600 Speaker 1: to the Parlay boys. The Los Angeles rams Um are 371 00:20:04,720 --> 00:20:09,200 Speaker 1: nine point favorites against the Green Bay Packers. This is 372 00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:15,320 Speaker 1: the largest spread in Aaron Rodgers career. They opened a ten, 373 00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:18,080 Speaker 1: it's now nine. The early money has come in on 374 00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:23,480 Speaker 1: Green Bay. The Millman. Money is coming in on Green Bay. 375 00:20:27,760 --> 00:20:32,200 Speaker 1: Don't bring nine points into my house. When Aaron Rodgers 376 00:20:32,400 --> 00:20:35,560 Speaker 1: has the ball. I don't care if he's playing on 377 00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:39,760 Speaker 1: one leg. I don't care if his defense can't stop anybody. 378 00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:43,359 Speaker 1: I don't care if you can't name a running back 379 00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:46,320 Speaker 1: who's played for Green Bay for the last decade since 380 00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:59,640 Speaker 1: before Dorsey Levins. Wow, James Starks, this Jack Polly. Give 381 00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:03,159 Speaker 1: me your Rogers plus nine points. You can get it 382 00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:05,320 Speaker 1: as high as ten some places, and it's on the 383 00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:09,040 Speaker 1: app right now. We just put out the two picks 384 00:21:09,080 --> 00:21:11,480 Speaker 1: against the two best teams in the NFL. I don't 385 00:21:11,520 --> 00:21:15,479 Speaker 1: really care, but giving Aaron Rodgers nine and a half points, 386 00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:19,200 Speaker 1: are you kidding me? The Rams defense, by the way, 387 00:21:19,320 --> 00:21:21,600 Speaker 1: has has played the Niners. You know they played them poorly, 388 00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:24,359 Speaker 1: but they allowed well, they allowed thirty how many points 389 00:21:24,359 --> 00:21:26,640 Speaker 1: to the Broncos. The Broncos end up covering that game. 390 00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:29,040 Speaker 1: They allowed thirty points to the Vikings as well. The 391 00:21:29,160 --> 00:21:31,920 Speaker 1: Rams defense is kind of is the suspect point of 392 00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:35,080 Speaker 1: their team. Um, they're gonna have a game where they 393 00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:37,840 Speaker 1: play close in Green Bays nine a half points for 394 00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:42,239 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers. That's ridiculous. So I'm with you here agreement 395 00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:44,880 Speaker 1: that was giving my my very next place. So, um, 396 00:21:45,800 --> 00:21:51,520 Speaker 1: I'm I'm with you here again. Do you want to 397 00:21:51,600 --> 00:21:55,840 Speaker 1: deny us? No? I like it. Listen off of bye 398 00:21:55,840 --> 00:21:57,800 Speaker 1: week to you. I know he's he's one leg, but 399 00:21:57,880 --> 00:22:02,000 Speaker 1: maybe that now it's one and a half way. There's 400 00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:04,520 Speaker 1: a couple of games here that are just, oh my god, 401 00:22:05,040 --> 00:22:10,880 Speaker 1: they're like the ripest, heaviest. I feel like you're gonna 402 00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:13,159 Speaker 1: go somewhere else later, and I'm gonna let you take it. 403 00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:14,840 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna take the picture. I think you're going 404 00:22:14,920 --> 00:22:19,240 Speaker 1: with branches. They're weighing down the branches of our point spreads. 405 00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:28,240 Speaker 1: Jeff Man NFL Slate. This week is interesting. Um where 406 00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:31,359 Speaker 1: do I go from here? Where do I go from here? Um? 407 00:22:34,720 --> 00:22:36,240 Speaker 1: This is I was gonna take the Packers next. I 408 00:22:36,240 --> 00:22:37,440 Speaker 1: have a college game. I don't want to get to 409 00:22:37,520 --> 00:22:41,640 Speaker 1: it quite yet. Um, I'm gonna save you the game. 410 00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:44,480 Speaker 1: I think you're gonna take Chad. So I give me 411 00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:50,080 Speaker 1: the Browns plus eight and a half at Pittsburgh right now. 412 00:22:50,119 --> 00:22:51,560 Speaker 1: It might be is an eight or eight or eight 413 00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:56,080 Speaker 1: and a half. The Browns keep playing close games. I 414 00:22:56,160 --> 00:22:58,560 Speaker 1: think most are games ye have been decided by four 415 00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:00,439 Speaker 1: or less points. I don't know why the getting their 416 00:23:00,520 --> 00:23:02,399 Speaker 1: getting and a half points or they already played the 417 00:23:02,400 --> 00:23:05,280 Speaker 1: Steeler as well this year. Um, the Steelers in my opinion, 418 00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:07,840 Speaker 1: are two up and down to give anyone eight and 419 00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:10,399 Speaker 1: a half points. We know that the Brown's defense is 420 00:23:10,720 --> 00:23:13,400 Speaker 1: really good, uh, and they can't win games because the kickers, 421 00:23:13,440 --> 00:23:14,680 Speaker 1: So eight and a half points has nothing to do 422 00:23:14,760 --> 00:23:17,120 Speaker 1: with kickers. Like this line to me, some of these 423 00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:19,080 Speaker 1: lines this week are are way too high in my opinion, 424 00:23:19,080 --> 00:23:21,280 Speaker 1: and people are gonna hammer the Steelers probably and a half. 425 00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:25,560 Speaker 1: We have a bell, to my opinion, and my in 426 00:23:25,640 --> 00:23:27,280 Speaker 1: my mind, hasn't he's shown up. I have not seen 427 00:23:27,280 --> 00:23:29,160 Speaker 1: the tweets saying he's even in the building yet. Yeah 428 00:23:29,200 --> 00:23:31,440 Speaker 1: I have. I haven't seen it either, So he's not 429 00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:34,240 Speaker 1: even playing in this game. This is is a rivalry game. 430 00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:36,440 Speaker 1: The Browns, like I said, I've have this year, have 431 00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:38,760 Speaker 1: just played an all close games because they have a 432 00:23:38,840 --> 00:23:41,360 Speaker 1: quarterback who can just sling at the end of games. 433 00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:44,440 Speaker 1: And also because their defense is good. They can come 434 00:23:44,520 --> 00:23:46,840 Speaker 1: up with plays when they have to come up with plays. 435 00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:48,959 Speaker 1: Even yesterday, the defense comes up with plays and their 436 00:23:49,040 --> 00:23:52,000 Speaker 1: kicker just can't do anything. They lose all these close games. Um, 437 00:23:52,280 --> 00:23:54,800 Speaker 1: but we're not picking winners and losers here, we're picking 438 00:23:55,000 --> 00:23:57,360 Speaker 1: whether they stay closer. They've played, They've played a tie, 439 00:23:57,680 --> 00:24:01,240 Speaker 1: lost by three, one by four, lost by three, one 440 00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:02,920 Speaker 1: by three, they are blown up by the Chargers and 441 00:24:03,040 --> 00:24:04,919 Speaker 1: lost by three of the Bucks. So trend is they 442 00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:06,600 Speaker 1: keep games close. You give me eight and a half 443 00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:12,960 Speaker 1: points here, Um, I'll take the Browns here, Chad. I 444 00:24:13,080 --> 00:24:15,760 Speaker 1: looked at that, uh, and that's exactly why I was 445 00:24:15,840 --> 00:24:18,560 Speaker 1: thinking of that game. I think that every single time 446 00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:22,520 Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield seems out of it, he finds a way 447 00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:25,760 Speaker 1: to get back in it. And it hasn't been against 448 00:24:25,880 --> 00:24:29,360 Speaker 1: just bad teams. Um, it's been against Uh. The only 449 00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:32,320 Speaker 1: time it's really sort of hasn't happened is against the Chargers. 450 00:24:32,680 --> 00:24:35,439 Speaker 1: And that felt to me like situational, Like the Charges 451 00:24:35,480 --> 00:24:38,639 Speaker 1: were gonna come in and just annihilate the Browns. The 452 00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:40,720 Speaker 1: Browns had too much credit. You love the Charges in 453 00:24:40,800 --> 00:24:43,040 Speaker 1: that game, you loved like when you like went against 454 00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:46,480 Speaker 1: your principles everything you loved it. Charges are good, though 455 00:24:47,000 --> 00:24:49,400 Speaker 1: they are, But I also didn't love the Charges this weekend. 456 00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:51,760 Speaker 1: I just felt like that was a spot. Um, I 457 00:24:51,880 --> 00:24:54,320 Speaker 1: agree with you. So I think one thing is look 458 00:24:54,400 --> 00:24:56,119 Speaker 1: the I think we're coming off a bye right, the 459 00:24:56,160 --> 00:25:00,600 Speaker 1: Steelers didn't play this weekend, and so um I think that. 460 00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:04,120 Speaker 1: I think that's why the line is a little bit inflated. 461 00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:09,040 Speaker 1: But Baker plays man, Baker makes plays. Baker comes to play. 462 00:25:09,560 --> 00:25:13,439 Speaker 1: Baker doesn't like to lose. No, he doesn't. He's got 463 00:25:13,520 --> 00:25:15,720 Speaker 1: that thing. He's got the thing I mean, he keeps 464 00:25:15,760 --> 00:25:22,800 Speaker 1: him close, he does shorts, he's right thing that thing thing. Wow? Man, 465 00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:28,800 Speaker 1: who sings that? Who is that? Lauren Hill? Miss Lauren Hill, 466 00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:39,080 Speaker 1: Mrs Miss Lauren Hill, do not disrespect You're ready for 467 00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:41,880 Speaker 1: my pick. I this is gonna be the college pick. 468 00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:43,760 Speaker 1: I know it right here. No, it's not go back 469 00:25:43,800 --> 00:25:47,399 Speaker 1: to the pros. My co pick is last New Orleans 470 00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:52,920 Speaker 1: Saints at the Minnesota Vikings Under and over is fifty two. 471 00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:56,160 Speaker 1: Are not taking the Saints. This is under. I'm taking 472 00:25:56,200 --> 00:26:02,040 Speaker 1: the under. At the time of this podcast, ninety seven 473 00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:05,399 Speaker 1: per cent of the public is on the over. This 474 00:26:05,560 --> 00:26:10,560 Speaker 1: line opened at fifty three. This is a ridiculous line. Okay, 475 00:26:11,840 --> 00:26:16,000 Speaker 1: this is New Orleans. Defense played a lot better against Baltimore. 476 00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:19,600 Speaker 1: Minnesota's offense is not that big of a juggernock. They 477 00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:22,800 Speaker 1: got one wide receiver they need to cover. Uh. They 478 00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:27,240 Speaker 1: put up a ton of points yesterday against a bad 479 00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:32,080 Speaker 1: Jet team. Did did the Vikings fifty two points in 480 00:26:32,400 --> 00:26:34,520 Speaker 1: a game that seems like it's gonna be a pretty 481 00:26:34,600 --> 00:26:41,840 Speaker 1: tough knocking game. Um? Uh, both defenses pretty solid. I 482 00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:44,320 Speaker 1: understand Drew Brees can control the clock, but I just 483 00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:48,440 Speaker 1: don't see fifty two points between these two teams five 484 00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:49,960 Speaker 1: and one and four and two, And I think this 485 00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:51,520 Speaker 1: is a big game. And then like when I said, 486 00:26:51,560 --> 00:26:54,600 Speaker 1: when I look at the numbers, everybody's just pounding the 487 00:26:54,760 --> 00:26:57,160 Speaker 1: over and the line's gone down a point, went from 488 00:26:57,200 --> 00:27:05,560 Speaker 1: fifty three to fifty two. M I. I don't disagree, 489 00:27:07,040 --> 00:27:09,879 Speaker 1: but it's the way I've been looking under an NFL 490 00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:12,240 Speaker 1: this season is you take unders with bad offensive lines, 491 00:27:12,280 --> 00:27:13,760 Speaker 1: and the and the and the Vikings do have a 492 00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:17,960 Speaker 1: bad offensive line. And the Saints defense does this every 493 00:27:18,040 --> 00:27:19,880 Speaker 1: year where they get better, season goes on. We saw 494 00:27:19,960 --> 00:27:23,719 Speaker 1: them play better this weekend obviously, um against the Ravens 495 00:27:23,760 --> 00:27:26,159 Speaker 1: and you know they only allowed twenty three points and 496 00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:29,359 Speaker 1: one of those was was a late touchdown. UM. I 497 00:27:29,600 --> 00:27:31,600 Speaker 1: like the Vikings overall in this game. It's a pick 498 00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:33,760 Speaker 1: them right now. But the under seems like a solid 499 00:27:33,800 --> 00:27:40,159 Speaker 1: play me too. I like the Vikings. I like the 500 00:27:40,320 --> 00:27:48,120 Speaker 1: under in fact, in fact, boys, let's double down. Yeah, 501 00:27:48,400 --> 00:27:53,280 Speaker 1: that's I like this. Wow, let's do it. Let's go 502 00:27:54,000 --> 00:27:59,760 Speaker 1: Minnesota Vikings in the owner. Do you realize we're playing 503 00:27:59,760 --> 00:28:05,120 Speaker 1: again in the Rams? What's their record? Shorts team? Uh? Southern, 504 00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:12,200 Speaker 1: the Chiefs and the Saints six and one. We're a 505 00:28:12,320 --> 00:28:16,840 Speaker 1: contrarian operation around here. This is this is actually network. 506 00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:19,960 Speaker 1: If anybody tweets that these are square picks, you don't 507 00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:24,280 Speaker 1: get to one or eight. We're gonna We're gonna get 508 00:28:24,280 --> 00:28:28,280 Speaker 1: square pick tweets, don't worry, Buddy's by going with the crowd, man, 509 00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:33,560 Speaker 1: You only get to one or eight by making crazy picks. 510 00:28:33,920 --> 00:28:38,200 Speaker 1: You don't get to do I like this pick because 511 00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:40,480 Speaker 1: the crowd is doing. I like this pick. I'll tell 512 00:28:40,480 --> 00:28:43,520 Speaker 1: you why, because cousins. It is vastly underrated. He's having 513 00:28:43,560 --> 00:28:46,040 Speaker 1: a fantastic season and no one is paying attention to it. 514 00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:49,760 Speaker 1: He's playing really well now. The Vikings, though, have played 515 00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:54,000 Speaker 1: three backup quarterbacks so far this year, so that does 516 00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:57,800 Speaker 1: sort of like they played Josh Allen, who's technically backup 517 00:28:58,240 --> 00:29:01,440 Speaker 1: Um they played obviously, they played another team as a backup, 518 00:29:01,480 --> 00:29:05,120 Speaker 1: like they played like so so quarterbacks. But um, I 519 00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:07,040 Speaker 1: think the Vikings are really good. I think Cousins is 520 00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:09,440 Speaker 1: very undervalued. He's probably a great tase. He's been worth 521 00:29:09,520 --> 00:29:15,840 Speaker 1: every single cent. It's situational, man. The Saints have won 522 00:29:16,000 --> 00:29:19,080 Speaker 1: five in a row, are they are? They're never gonna 523 00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:25,560 Speaker 1: be more overvalued overvalued than they are right now? Yeah, now, 524 00:29:25,600 --> 00:29:28,560 Speaker 1: I'm with you. So, so if they were at home, 525 00:29:28,680 --> 00:29:30,440 Speaker 1: if they were at home, they'd be what a three 526 00:29:30,480 --> 00:29:35,800 Speaker 1: point favorite or six point favorite? Three? Right, Well, it 527 00:29:35,840 --> 00:29:38,600 Speaker 1: depends on I'm seeing. I'm seeing they'd be three basically 528 00:29:38,880 --> 00:29:42,600 Speaker 1: to pick them, right, yeah, okay, they'd be three, okay, yeah, yeah, 529 00:29:42,640 --> 00:29:46,320 Speaker 1: I just that's the Vikings. Therere no no, no, they'd 530 00:29:46,320 --> 00:29:48,840 Speaker 1: be six six, right, so I thought six that's way 531 00:29:48,880 --> 00:29:52,520 Speaker 1: too many. Neutral field it would be three. Yeah, that's 532 00:29:52,600 --> 00:29:57,160 Speaker 1: not too many points. I'm with you here, alright, tucking 533 00:29:57,200 --> 00:30:00,240 Speaker 1: a parlay inside of our parlay. We should get extra 534 00:30:00,360 --> 00:30:03,760 Speaker 1: credit if this, if this, if the under and the 535 00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:06,640 Speaker 1: Vikings win, I feel like we should get extra credit. 536 00:30:06,880 --> 00:30:12,120 Speaker 1: The bookmakers should just give us like five percent morener money. Well, 537 00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:13,920 Speaker 1: let's they've taken a lot of our money, So it 538 00:30:13,960 --> 00:30:17,440 Speaker 1: would be nice if to get get some bit back. Um, 539 00:30:18,040 --> 00:30:23,640 Speaker 1: it's like a cash back cash back bonus. So are 540 00:30:23,680 --> 00:30:27,120 Speaker 1: you guys ready for my last play? I'm up right, okay. 541 00:30:27,600 --> 00:30:32,240 Speaker 1: So college football, here we go. U c l A 542 00:30:33,160 --> 00:30:36,840 Speaker 1: plus ten at home against Utah. I phil like I 543 00:30:36,880 --> 00:30:38,400 Speaker 1: have a good pulse in the pack toil of conference. 544 00:30:38,400 --> 00:30:40,120 Speaker 1: I sent a couple of weeks ago. I really liked 545 00:30:40,360 --> 00:30:42,160 Speaker 1: U c l A plus twenty one at home against 546 00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:45,440 Speaker 1: Washington if U c l A team who's playing far 547 00:30:45,560 --> 00:30:47,840 Speaker 1: better right now. Their quarterback got hurt, so they got 548 00:30:47,880 --> 00:30:49,920 Speaker 1: to put it in Wilton Spait on Saturday, who was 549 00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:51,600 Speaker 1: originally going to be their quarterback. He's the guy that 550 00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:54,360 Speaker 1: Chip Kelly wanted to bring into that offense. That's the 551 00:30:54,400 --> 00:30:57,640 Speaker 1: reason why he transferred over there. Um, and you have 552 00:30:57,800 --> 00:31:00,880 Speaker 1: seven percent of money right now on Utah minus ten. Utah. 553 00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:03,000 Speaker 1: Obviously they're playing well right now. Right They just hammered 554 00:31:03,120 --> 00:31:06,200 Speaker 1: USC who's very poorly coached. They beat Stanford, team is 555 00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:08,600 Speaker 1: not very good. They go on the road now to 556 00:31:08,800 --> 00:31:11,360 Speaker 1: U c l A. This game again, it's gonna be 557 00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:13,920 Speaker 1: the same problem with Washington. There's gonna be fourty thousand 558 00:31:13,960 --> 00:31:17,800 Speaker 1: people in seat stadium. There's gonna be no energy in 559 00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:19,760 Speaker 1: that place that they think they're gonna trounce U c 560 00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:22,880 Speaker 1: l A. Who's now who's now two and five? U 561 00:31:23,160 --> 00:31:24,760 Speaker 1: U c l A starting to get things going now. 562 00:31:24,800 --> 00:31:28,600 Speaker 1: They're very physical and defense. Utah's offense to me as 563 00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:30,600 Speaker 1: they've got a lot better to start running football again. 564 00:31:31,040 --> 00:31:33,640 Speaker 1: But this is a prime spotting thing to fade a 565 00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:36,600 Speaker 1: hot team that that the public really loves on the road. 566 00:31:38,560 --> 00:31:42,280 Speaker 1: I actually like this play a lot. And I think, um, 567 00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:44,719 Speaker 1: people are gonna look at last week and say, oh 568 00:31:44,840 --> 00:31:49,520 Speaker 1: U c l A squeaked by Arizona by a point 569 00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:54,360 Speaker 1: without Khalil clil mac for Arizona has been playing hurt 570 00:31:56,120 --> 00:31:59,080 Speaker 1: and the kid that came in, he was a polished 571 00:31:59,160 --> 00:32:02,720 Speaker 1: kid that actually played very well for you and kept 572 00:32:02,760 --> 00:32:06,240 Speaker 1: them in that game. So, Um, the thing that worries 573 00:32:06,280 --> 00:32:08,240 Speaker 1: me Utah has got very good defense. That would be 574 00:32:08,320 --> 00:32:10,280 Speaker 1: my only worry. And they're very good. They're very good 575 00:32:10,320 --> 00:32:12,160 Speaker 1: you see by the ways eighteen and nineteen in the 576 00:32:12,200 --> 00:32:14,480 Speaker 1: red zone so far this season. No Utah has a 577 00:32:14,520 --> 00:32:19,800 Speaker 1: great defense. Uh, But I just like I just have Jeff, 578 00:32:20,200 --> 00:32:22,040 Speaker 1: it's a ten right now just playing on the DF. 579 00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:24,000 Speaker 1: I just playing on the Rose Wild. I grew up, 580 00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:26,520 Speaker 1: I went to I've been to what I've been to 581 00:32:26,600 --> 00:32:29,800 Speaker 1: U fifty games in my life of the Rose Bowl before. 582 00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:32,760 Speaker 1: I've watched a lot of use a football. Um, this 583 00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:35,120 Speaker 1: feels it's a night game too. It's path after dark, 584 00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:38,000 Speaker 1: it's on Friday night. It's just like it's Utah's just 585 00:32:38,080 --> 00:32:39,880 Speaker 1: they're gonna come out so slow in this game. I 586 00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:44,280 Speaker 1: haven't feel like, Oh, I like this for a couple 587 00:32:44,280 --> 00:32:48,280 Speaker 1: of reasons. Number one, I will do anything Jeff has 588 00:32:48,280 --> 00:32:52,120 Speaker 1: about the patch twelve. Number two, Um, I've just gotten 589 00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:54,160 Speaker 1: to learn about five minutes ago that our own black 590 00:32:54,240 --> 00:32:58,440 Speaker 1: Jack Fletcher that U c l A plus ten uh. 591 00:32:59,120 --> 00:33:04,000 Speaker 1: And I guess my question is why is Chip Kelly 592 00:33:04,080 --> 00:33:08,680 Speaker 1: only playing Wilton Spate if the quarterback he had got hurt, 593 00:33:08,840 --> 00:33:11,720 Speaker 1: but he brought him in to play Wilton space, Like, so, 594 00:33:11,800 --> 00:33:13,640 Speaker 1: why don't you just play the guy? Well, No, Will 595 00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:15,880 Speaker 1: and Spake got her in their first game. They brought 596 00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:18,560 Speaker 1: in Dorrian Thompson Robinson, who's been playing a true freshman. 597 00:33:18,600 --> 00:33:21,239 Speaker 1: He's had his ups and downs. He's played better. They 598 00:33:21,280 --> 00:33:23,920 Speaker 1: played well against against Cal, but then he got hurt 599 00:33:23,960 --> 00:33:25,600 Speaker 1: and he got called. He got he got to go 600 00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:27,720 Speaker 1: back to Willing Space. Willing spaces the fifth year senior. 601 00:33:27,800 --> 00:33:29,200 Speaker 1: So once he got hurt, it's kind of like Walt 602 00:33:29,280 --> 00:33:31,640 Speaker 1: muzzle play the true freshman. Now. But now that he 603 00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:34,440 Speaker 1: got you know, now that he's injured, they allows him 604 00:33:34,480 --> 00:33:36,600 Speaker 1: to play Will in Space who he wanted to play, right, 605 00:33:36,640 --> 00:33:39,520 Speaker 1: I mean that's he transferred in to play obviously in 606 00:33:39,600 --> 00:33:41,680 Speaker 1: this offense. And you can you know, Chip can use 607 00:33:41,720 --> 00:33:44,840 Speaker 1: a pocket pastor. I think people assume that because um, 608 00:33:45,280 --> 00:33:47,560 Speaker 1: you know, he he had you know, he's had these 609 00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:50,080 Speaker 1: fletic quarterbacks. He can't pocket pastor. He can. Will was, 610 00:33:50,160 --> 00:33:53,480 Speaker 1: by the way, seventeen for two oh four. Uh, good 611 00:33:53,600 --> 00:33:57,320 Speaker 1: night for him to two touchdowns. Good good, good passer rating. 612 00:33:58,600 --> 00:34:00,560 Speaker 1: And they run the football, by the way, Kelly, at 613 00:34:01,120 --> 00:34:02,640 Speaker 1: six years rushing, they they be able to really run 614 00:34:02,640 --> 00:34:04,440 Speaker 1: the football. The last couple of weeks, they're they're getting 615 00:34:04,480 --> 00:34:11,640 Speaker 1: better there, they're soul again. They're they're getting there. All right, Polly, 616 00:34:13,680 --> 00:34:16,960 Speaker 1: all right, I'm going back to the pack twelve mm hmm. 617 00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:20,960 Speaker 1: It's gonna be going for short. See Stanford Cardinal minus 618 00:34:21,040 --> 00:34:27,799 Speaker 1: three and a half over the Washington State Cougs. But now, 619 00:34:27,840 --> 00:34:32,200 Speaker 1: and I look at this game Um. You know, Washington 620 00:34:32,239 --> 00:34:34,879 Speaker 1: State came out and they punched Oregon in the mouth 621 00:34:35,040 --> 00:34:37,960 Speaker 1: twenty seven and nothing. They did the same thing with USC. 622 00:34:38,080 --> 00:34:40,560 Speaker 1: They always really do have good first half. But it 623 00:34:40,640 --> 00:34:42,640 Speaker 1: seems to me like Washington I get it, they've played 624 00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:46,400 Speaker 1: well this year. They seem like they just played to 625 00:34:46,600 --> 00:34:49,120 Speaker 1: hang on and then Oregon started coming back on them 626 00:34:49,160 --> 00:34:51,480 Speaker 1: and coming back on them. And the other part of 627 00:34:51,560 --> 00:34:54,640 Speaker 1: this is that there are two games that they have 628 00:34:54,719 --> 00:34:58,000 Speaker 1: played away from home. They've given up thirty nine points 629 00:34:58,000 --> 00:35:01,080 Speaker 1: to USC and thirty seven points to Oregon State. This 630 00:35:01,120 --> 00:35:04,719 Speaker 1: is the way better team at home. Stanford has been 631 00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:08,320 Speaker 1: banged up all year. Bryce Love is sort of healthy, 632 00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:11,640 Speaker 1: he gets an extra four days. They beat a better 633 00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:15,839 Speaker 1: USC UM, I mean a decent Arizona State team. They've 634 00:35:15,840 --> 00:35:18,480 Speaker 1: played Utah, They've had to play Notre Dame. So when 635 00:35:18,520 --> 00:35:21,759 Speaker 1: you look at their offensive excuse, I mean, they played 636 00:35:21,880 --> 00:35:25,279 Speaker 1: some pretty good defenses. And I think that David Shaw, 637 00:35:26,040 --> 00:35:28,879 Speaker 1: KG K J. Costello. They've been playing well and David 638 00:35:28,920 --> 00:35:31,040 Speaker 1: Shaw said after the game that his team is finally 639 00:35:31,080 --> 00:35:34,239 Speaker 1: starting to gel um. And I think Washington State is 640 00:35:34,239 --> 00:35:38,000 Speaker 1: gonna get there get it handed to him finally at Stanford, 641 00:35:38,680 --> 00:35:40,920 Speaker 1: And I think This is a giant game too for 642 00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:45,920 Speaker 1: the Cardinal. Well, we've seen in the Patrol conferences here 643 00:35:45,960 --> 00:35:48,680 Speaker 1: every time you think you're good, you lose, so that 644 00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:51,480 Speaker 1: might be something to to watch out, especially in this conference. 645 00:35:51,520 --> 00:35:54,120 Speaker 1: I'll tell you a couple of things that that worry 646 00:35:54,200 --> 00:35:56,080 Speaker 1: me about Washington State, and then I'll talk about what 647 00:35:56,360 --> 00:35:59,200 Speaker 1: worries me about Stanford Washington And you mentioned the second 648 00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:01,760 Speaker 1: half this year, they were they were. They scored twenty 649 00:36:01,880 --> 00:36:04,239 Speaker 1: one point in the first half against Utah at home, 650 00:36:04,640 --> 00:36:07,880 Speaker 1: then scored only one touchdown the second half of that 651 00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:09,880 Speaker 1: game against Oregon, they're up twenty seven, nothing that that 652 00:36:09,960 --> 00:36:12,280 Speaker 1: or can come all the way back to the twenty. 653 00:36:12,320 --> 00:36:15,399 Speaker 1: And then actually their wide receiver, if you recall, made 654 00:36:15,440 --> 00:36:17,839 Speaker 1: a great place. He stole a ball from the from 655 00:36:17,880 --> 00:36:20,160 Speaker 1: the defensive back. The defensive back had the ball for interception, 656 00:36:20,200 --> 00:36:22,279 Speaker 1: he stole away from him and that eventually led them 657 00:36:22,320 --> 00:36:24,719 Speaker 1: down to score to make a thirty twenty, which was 658 00:36:24,760 --> 00:36:27,520 Speaker 1: the final margin. The one that worries me about Stanford 659 00:36:27,600 --> 00:36:30,520 Speaker 1: is their offensive line is putrid, like really one of 660 00:36:30,560 --> 00:36:32,080 Speaker 1: the worst in the country this year, which is shocked 661 00:36:32,080 --> 00:36:34,799 Speaker 1: and considering that it's Stanford and and and that's they 662 00:36:34,880 --> 00:36:37,959 Speaker 1: built their game on. But I think that Washington State 663 00:36:38,600 --> 00:36:40,960 Speaker 1: is coming in there off of high obviously, and we've 664 00:36:41,000 --> 00:36:44,439 Speaker 1: seen the PACTOL conference. We can't trust anyone coming off high. 665 00:36:44,520 --> 00:36:48,880 Speaker 1: We've seen Organ be Washington, Washington, b Organ, Um assuming 666 00:36:48,880 --> 00:36:53,799 Speaker 1: Washingt b Organ. I like, I think, I think you're right, Baul. 667 00:36:53,840 --> 00:36:57,480 Speaker 1: Washington's probably in for for a long contest. The other 668 00:36:57,520 --> 00:37:00,920 Speaker 1: part of this is that Stanford's second and third in 669 00:37:01,280 --> 00:37:03,680 Speaker 1: the pack in sacks. They d can get to the 670 00:37:03,719 --> 00:37:07,000 Speaker 1: pastor They've got fifteen sacks this year. And like you said, 671 00:37:07,080 --> 00:37:10,360 Speaker 1: guy Mike Leach sits there and he waits and hangs on. 672 00:37:10,560 --> 00:37:14,319 Speaker 1: He was hanging on against Oregon, hanging on for dear life. 673 00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:18,400 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna go against either of you in the 674 00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:21,160 Speaker 1: Pack twelve. I mean, in theory I should, just because 675 00:37:21,160 --> 00:37:24,800 Speaker 1: we went win in eight last week. But uh, you know, 676 00:37:25,000 --> 00:37:26,440 Speaker 1: you seem to know what you're talking about. It I 677 00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:32,040 Speaker 1: don't really I can't. I can't stay up for packed 678 00:37:32,040 --> 00:37:36,960 Speaker 1: twelve games. And by the way, the other I thought 679 00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:39,600 Speaker 1: the tomahawk chop went away when the Braves got eliminated. 680 00:37:39,960 --> 00:37:46,960 Speaker 1: Let's go, chief fans, Come on, what do you mean? 681 00:37:47,040 --> 00:37:51,359 Speaker 1: Come on? Forever? Like them who started the Tomahawk chop. 682 00:37:51,560 --> 00:37:53,600 Speaker 1: I mean like, I'm done here, have no idea. I 683 00:37:53,640 --> 00:37:59,239 Speaker 1: don't know. Sometimes I feel like when I played He's 684 00:37:59,280 --> 00:38:03,560 Speaker 1: got these grievance is that we don't even know to ten. 685 00:38:03,719 --> 00:38:07,759 Speaker 1: I got here thirty people going uh no, no, no, 686 00:38:08,680 --> 00:38:12,879 Speaker 1: please go home. Well they play that. That's the board 687 00:38:12,920 --> 00:38:16,759 Speaker 1: ops problem at the stadium. Who plays the song. The 688 00:38:16,800 --> 00:38:18,560 Speaker 1: people don't start that on their own. They wait for 689 00:38:18,640 --> 00:38:21,719 Speaker 1: the They wait for the song to come on the loudspeakers. 690 00:38:22,160 --> 00:38:25,080 Speaker 1: That's the bravest thing inside. That's an interesting inside info 691 00:38:25,640 --> 00:38:28,600 Speaker 1: listens are doing with Bob Horner and Dale Murphy. Just 692 00:38:28,640 --> 00:38:32,160 Speaker 1: take the bills, Hi, come on. I'm thinking, come on, 693 00:38:33,640 --> 00:38:36,480 Speaker 1: but I'm not going to do it. You know, I 694 00:38:36,560 --> 00:38:39,120 Speaker 1: wanted to do it fourteen and a half, fourteen and 695 00:38:39,160 --> 00:38:41,600 Speaker 1: a half at home. I so wanted to do it, 696 00:38:42,000 --> 00:38:47,440 Speaker 1: but I'm just not gonna do it. Well, however, take 697 00:38:47,480 --> 00:38:52,200 Speaker 1: the New Year of Giants. Oh my god, time to time. 698 00:38:54,560 --> 00:38:57,560 Speaker 1: I've had these experiences, right, I've had these runs. Earlier 699 00:38:57,600 --> 00:38:59,759 Speaker 1: in the year, I was on the Colts a lot 700 00:39:00,000 --> 00:39:01,359 Speaker 1: and they were covering for me, and then you get 701 00:39:01,400 --> 00:39:05,040 Speaker 1: the feeling like, Okay, it's time to be off the Colts. Right, 702 00:39:05,120 --> 00:39:08,080 Speaker 1: and then I was on the Cardinals, and and then 703 00:39:08,120 --> 00:39:10,160 Speaker 1: you get the feeling like, Okay, it's time to be 704 00:39:10,200 --> 00:39:12,719 Speaker 1: off the Cardinals. I had it this week. I still 705 00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:15,200 Speaker 1: bet the Cardinals on the money line and obviously lost. 706 00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:18,160 Speaker 1: I've been on the Rescues the past few weeks. I 707 00:39:18,320 --> 00:39:21,120 Speaker 1: feel like they've reached peak value there in first place, 708 00:39:21,600 --> 00:39:24,080 Speaker 1: high profile wins. These are the games they had Jim 709 00:39:24,160 --> 00:39:27,480 Speaker 1: Nance and Tony Romo this weekend. Like, now we got 710 00:39:27,520 --> 00:39:33,080 Speaker 1: the Giants. They're off a bye. They stink there. Oh 711 00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:38,480 Speaker 1: that's right, they stink. They're in disarray. Uh they This 712 00:39:38,640 --> 00:39:43,440 Speaker 1: is when Eli steps up and they're gonna cover tonight 713 00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:46,520 Speaker 1: against the Falcons, and this line is going to move. 714 00:39:47,000 --> 00:39:51,080 Speaker 1: So I want the Giants now as one point home dogs. 715 00:39:52,080 --> 00:39:54,279 Speaker 1: I'll just say this, every time I've bet on a 716 00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:57,440 Speaker 1: Giant scame, I picked the wrong side of the Giant scame. 717 00:39:57,920 --> 00:40:02,320 Speaker 1: So like I bet them against the Texans at the Texans, 718 00:40:02,480 --> 00:40:04,480 Speaker 1: the Giants won night game. I bet the Panthers to cover. 719 00:40:04,640 --> 00:40:07,799 Speaker 1: The Giants covered. Um, I bet the Giants in Week one. 720 00:40:07,880 --> 00:40:09,640 Speaker 1: The Giants did not cover. The I bet the Giants 721 00:40:09,640 --> 00:40:11,359 Speaker 1: a week to the Giants didn't cover, right. Every time 722 00:40:11,400 --> 00:40:14,400 Speaker 1: I bet the game. Um, I lose, so it might 723 00:40:14,480 --> 00:40:16,279 Speaker 1: be time to do the opposite, which tonight, by the way, 724 00:40:16,320 --> 00:40:18,239 Speaker 1: I haven't. I haven't placed a bet yet tonight. I 725 00:40:18,320 --> 00:40:20,520 Speaker 1: want to take the Falcons, but I probably think the Giants, 726 00:40:21,040 --> 00:40:22,560 Speaker 1: so I want. I think the Red Skins anna win 727 00:40:22,600 --> 00:40:24,279 Speaker 1: this game. So obviously I don't know what I'm talking about. 728 00:40:24,320 --> 00:40:27,200 Speaker 1: So the Giants will probably win, so I can't hesitoratists pick. 729 00:40:27,320 --> 00:40:30,680 Speaker 1: It's to pick them right now. It's right now, So 730 00:40:30,760 --> 00:40:36,040 Speaker 1: it looks like yeah now now, now the Giants haven't 731 00:40:36,040 --> 00:40:39,760 Speaker 1: played yet this week too, so this could move after tonight. Obviously, 732 00:40:39,840 --> 00:40:43,839 Speaker 1: the Giants win, you'll get Uh, it's right now, New 733 00:40:43,920 --> 00:40:46,160 Speaker 1: York's getting a point. But you know this could obviously 734 00:40:46,239 --> 00:40:50,959 Speaker 1: change depending on the game tonight. Yeah, why not playing 735 00:40:51,000 --> 00:40:56,840 Speaker 1: against Washington. Washington, by the way, has looked atrocious in 736 00:40:56,840 --> 00:40:58,680 Speaker 1: their last two wins the last couple of weeks. That 737 00:40:58,800 --> 00:41:01,319 Speaker 1: was a hang on job. Yesterday it was our only 738 00:41:01,360 --> 00:41:02,840 Speaker 1: it was our only win, and it was a doink. 739 00:41:03,760 --> 00:41:06,560 Speaker 1: Somebody's faded us. They were a doink away from hitting 740 00:41:06,560 --> 00:41:10,520 Speaker 1: a nine team parlay. I'm sure people fade us. That's 741 00:41:10,520 --> 00:41:13,720 Speaker 1: not no, no, no, but like a snap in fraction 742 00:41:13,760 --> 00:41:15,960 Speaker 1: in MND have donk them, but like that was a 743 00:41:16,040 --> 00:41:19,600 Speaker 1: hold on job. Like I have a feeling this is 744 00:41:19,680 --> 00:41:21,800 Speaker 1: somewhat of the reason why Andy Reid did part with 745 00:41:21,840 --> 00:41:25,040 Speaker 1: Alex Smith. That Alex sometimes gets a little Marcus Mariotta 746 00:41:25,080 --> 00:41:26,880 Speaker 1: where he gets a little scared towards the end of 747 00:41:26,880 --> 00:41:29,239 Speaker 1: the game. And I'm not saying that you've played with them, 748 00:41:29,280 --> 00:41:33,680 Speaker 1: but he'll make the safer throw rather than go for 749 00:41:34,200 --> 00:41:37,480 Speaker 1: go for the throat, you know, go for the jugular, 750 00:41:37,560 --> 00:41:39,840 Speaker 1: And he just go for the safer throw. Let his 751 00:41:39,960 --> 00:41:42,800 Speaker 1: defense try to win, and sometimes it's just backfires, and 752 00:41:42,880 --> 00:41:46,759 Speaker 1: he does it constantly, and like I get it. It 753 00:41:46,880 --> 00:41:49,640 Speaker 1: was a hang on job, and you're you're getting the 754 00:41:49,760 --> 00:41:51,759 Speaker 1: Giants had peak value. Hopefully the Giants could cover and 755 00:41:51,800 --> 00:41:54,400 Speaker 1: then this linking, well I guess not. Maybe if they 756 00:41:54,440 --> 00:41:56,359 Speaker 1: do get blown out, to'd be better they get blown out. 757 00:41:56,680 --> 00:42:07,440 Speaker 1: Right for the line, I'm regretting everything I just said. Okay, well, 758 00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:11,319 Speaker 1: the Giants gotta play tonight. I mean, Atlanta's got a poor, 759 00:42:11,880 --> 00:42:15,320 Speaker 1: poor defense. They gotta put up some points tonight. So 760 00:42:15,480 --> 00:42:17,400 Speaker 1: you change Are you changing your pick? Are you vetoing 761 00:42:17,440 --> 00:42:19,880 Speaker 1: your picks? Still going with it? But when you started 762 00:42:19,880 --> 00:42:21,360 Speaker 1: saying I've been on the wrong side of the giants. 763 00:42:21,360 --> 00:42:23,960 Speaker 1: It reminded me how lucky I've been the last few 764 00:42:24,000 --> 00:42:25,640 Speaker 1: weeks that I haven't met the giants, and that's why 765 00:42:25,680 --> 00:42:28,040 Speaker 1: I've been winning. And now I just made a terrible mistake. 766 00:42:28,080 --> 00:42:29,960 Speaker 1: But We're gonna stick with it because I look at it. 767 00:42:30,239 --> 00:42:33,120 Speaker 1: I gotta go with what I believe. I wasn't gonna 768 00:42:33,160 --> 00:42:36,680 Speaker 1: come with Charlotte in college for the alternate pick if 769 00:42:36,680 --> 00:42:41,120 Speaker 1: you wanted to for Schwartze the Charlotte forty Diners, they 770 00:42:41,200 --> 00:42:45,200 Speaker 1: play Southern Miss. Yeah, of course they do. Let's just 771 00:42:45,520 --> 00:42:48,040 Speaker 1: let's just take the giants. Please. Do you want to 772 00:42:48,120 --> 00:42:52,520 Speaker 1: know a non fact, a little little fact short? Yes? Please? 773 00:42:53,200 --> 00:42:56,359 Speaker 1: Do you know that Charlotte in Southern miss have two 774 00:42:56,520 --> 00:43:00,880 Speaker 1: of the top twenty defenses in the FBS according to 775 00:43:00,960 --> 00:43:06,760 Speaker 1: what metric total defense according to the paul Le Duca 776 00:43:07,480 --> 00:43:14,680 Speaker 1: Facts and Figures Department UM heading into this weekend, their 777 00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:18,279 Speaker 1: SNP plus, which is an advanced metric, has them and 778 00:43:18,360 --> 00:43:24,920 Speaker 1: a hundred whom to ship. I don't know. I was like, 779 00:43:25,040 --> 00:43:27,120 Speaker 1: I was like, some of the same Charlotte team, the 780 00:43:27,120 --> 00:43:30,200 Speaker 1: same Charlotte forte as I that I know of the 781 00:43:30,320 --> 00:43:33,360 Speaker 1: back to middle Tennessee State this week. I know, my 782 00:43:33,560 --> 00:43:36,319 Speaker 1: colleague I called a Charlotte game last year. I called 783 00:43:36,360 --> 00:43:39,799 Speaker 1: Charlotte f a you here, Yeah, yeah, I called. I've 784 00:43:39,800 --> 00:43:43,919 Speaker 1: called a couple of college games. And dude, I think 785 00:43:44,000 --> 00:43:46,360 Speaker 1: the high school team could beat Charlotte because be in 786 00:43:46,400 --> 00:43:51,080 Speaker 1: the Niners last year, and Charlotte beats Southern Miss this week. 787 00:43:51,239 --> 00:43:52,799 Speaker 1: So I bet you and me, all right, I mean, 788 00:43:53,000 --> 00:43:55,040 Speaker 1: let's do it. Okay, we're also going to side at 789 00:43:55,040 --> 00:43:56,920 Speaker 1: the World Series. Somehow, we'll find a way to do 790 00:43:56,960 --> 00:44:05,200 Speaker 1: it like it. Shouldn't we do? By the way, shouldn't 791 00:44:05,200 --> 00:44:09,040 Speaker 1: we do? Like what serious? Game one or something? I mean, 792 00:44:09,080 --> 00:44:12,120 Speaker 1: the serious price is one is minus one forty for 793 00:44:12,160 --> 00:44:14,120 Speaker 1: the socks, And I don't know, I don't I don't 794 00:44:14,120 --> 00:44:15,480 Speaker 1: care about the Dodgers. I didn't even look at what 795 00:44:15,560 --> 00:44:21,160 Speaker 1: their serious prices plus one fift I think, yeah, God, 796 00:44:21,280 --> 00:44:26,120 Speaker 1: give me the socks. Of course, give me the socks, right. 797 00:44:27,719 --> 00:44:30,279 Speaker 1: I think Kirshaw will pitch better than he has I 798 00:44:30,360 --> 00:44:32,719 Speaker 1: guess because they do struggle against lefties. They haven't seen 799 00:44:32,760 --> 00:44:35,279 Speaker 1: him at all. But you're getting Chris Sale. So game 800 00:44:35,360 --> 00:44:39,440 Speaker 1: one mhm in Fenway, it's gonna be a little tough. 801 00:44:40,800 --> 00:44:43,399 Speaker 1: So you're taking the Red Sax in game one. Um, 802 00:44:43,680 --> 00:44:46,840 Speaker 1: probably will. Um. You know these unders and overs, whatever 803 00:44:46,920 --> 00:44:50,040 Speaker 1: they lay up or you know, the last game against 804 00:44:50,200 --> 00:44:52,800 Speaker 1: Milwaukee was able to catch with under five and and 805 00:44:53,000 --> 00:44:57,719 Speaker 1: under with because they're just gonna if they hang and 806 00:44:57,760 --> 00:44:59,439 Speaker 1: they hang up eight runs, you've got to play the unders. 807 00:44:59,560 --> 00:45:02,399 Speaker 1: The stand being slug fest slug fests. Both these teams 808 00:45:02,480 --> 00:45:06,480 Speaker 1: can hit, bottom line, both can hit, but it's playoff 809 00:45:06,560 --> 00:45:10,040 Speaker 1: baseball and it's just tough to score runs and you 810 00:45:10,239 --> 00:45:12,320 Speaker 1: and you got to manufacture runs. And we're in the 811 00:45:12,400 --> 00:45:15,480 Speaker 1: world now where they sit around they wait for the 812 00:45:15,520 --> 00:45:17,920 Speaker 1: three run homer, and that's what you saw. A Pueek homer, 813 00:45:18,160 --> 00:45:25,719 Speaker 1: yellow homer, Bellinger homer. Those are all the runs game over. Um, well, 814 00:45:25,920 --> 00:45:27,920 Speaker 1: what thought that Chris Taylor catch too? You might have 815 00:45:28,040 --> 00:45:30,320 Speaker 1: more runs by the bruwer. Of course, of course, what 816 00:45:30,680 --> 00:45:33,080 Speaker 1: do the Red Sox do with with bets in Nationally Park. 817 00:45:33,120 --> 00:45:35,480 Speaker 1: They put him a second base I'm in hearing, Yeah, 818 00:45:35,520 --> 00:45:37,920 Speaker 1: they're gonna put him at second base, they're thinking. Um. 819 00:45:38,280 --> 00:45:40,839 Speaker 1: That's the other thing is both of these teams they 820 00:45:40,880 --> 00:45:44,640 Speaker 1: they're not great defensively. Um. We saw that hurt the 821 00:45:44,680 --> 00:45:47,359 Speaker 1: Dodgers a little bit. In Game six. They couldn't turn 822 00:45:47,400 --> 00:45:49,799 Speaker 1: a double play. They can turn a lot of things. Um. 823 00:45:49,880 --> 00:45:53,000 Speaker 1: But they're a little bit better defensively than Boston is. Um. 824 00:45:53,040 --> 00:45:55,080 Speaker 1: But yeah, when they go into the National League Ballpark, 825 00:45:55,120 --> 00:46:00,919 Speaker 1: it's advantage its advantage Dodgers. Um. But again, you don't 826 00:46:00,920 --> 00:46:03,160 Speaker 1: win a hundred and eight games for nobody and run 827 00:46:03,280 --> 00:46:06,719 Speaker 1: through the Yankees and run through the Astros like you did. 828 00:46:06,960 --> 00:46:10,560 Speaker 1: I mean, I mean like it's pretty impressive. So like, 829 00:46:10,880 --> 00:46:13,760 Speaker 1: you've got to be realistic. At some point, the Dodgers 830 00:46:13,800 --> 00:46:15,840 Speaker 1: are going to be fighting up hill. They need to 831 00:46:16,040 --> 00:46:17,680 Speaker 1: try to steal a couple of young If they can 832 00:46:17,680 --> 00:46:19,640 Speaker 1: steal a game off sale, then they're right in the 833 00:46:19,680 --> 00:46:23,239 Speaker 1: middle of it, obviously. Do you know what, It's always 834 00:46:23,280 --> 00:46:26,160 Speaker 1: seemed unrealistic to me. You just said something really interesting. 835 00:46:27,320 --> 00:46:29,120 Speaker 1: You get a guy on base and you wait for 836 00:46:29,200 --> 00:46:31,920 Speaker 1: the three run homer, you wait from twig or yellow. 837 00:46:33,120 --> 00:46:35,719 Speaker 1: That seems unrealistic to me as a strategy, like to 838 00:46:36,200 --> 00:46:38,239 Speaker 1: just try to win every game by someone hitting a 839 00:46:38,280 --> 00:46:42,080 Speaker 1: home run. So George Weaver strategy, it was his thing, 840 00:46:42,239 --> 00:46:47,280 Speaker 1: you know, because that's that's tell you that the advance 841 00:46:47,320 --> 00:46:50,520 Speaker 1: stats tell you that basically burning it out for bunting 842 00:46:50,680 --> 00:46:53,160 Speaker 1: over the second base, you have less probability of scoring 843 00:46:53,480 --> 00:46:54,799 Speaker 1: than if you're just trying to get a base hit. 844 00:46:55,080 --> 00:46:57,200 Speaker 1: That's basically what a tiger. I got a buddy that 845 00:46:57,360 --> 00:47:01,239 Speaker 1: manages in in a ball and double and and he 846 00:47:01,400 --> 00:47:03,880 Speaker 1: had one of his guys bunt, and you get calls 847 00:47:04,160 --> 00:47:08,560 Speaker 1: afterwards with the brass and they basically buried them. And 848 00:47:08,600 --> 00:47:11,480 Speaker 1: then we don't bunt. Um. We're trying to work with 849 00:47:11,880 --> 00:47:15,600 Speaker 1: ops and homer's and if you look, that is baseball. 850 00:47:15,760 --> 00:47:19,359 Speaker 1: They're setting records of more home runs and I think 851 00:47:19,440 --> 00:47:21,320 Speaker 1: this year was the lowest average they've ever had the 852 00:47:21,360 --> 00:47:25,000 Speaker 1: league at as a league. It's embarrassing to watch. No 853 00:47:25,120 --> 00:47:28,320 Speaker 1: one can bunt. Besides the pictures, and look what happened. 854 00:47:28,840 --> 00:47:33,000 Speaker 1: Look what started the whole thing. Manny Machado laid down 855 00:47:33,040 --> 00:47:35,080 Speaker 1: a bunt. So people are starting to bunt in the 856 00:47:35,120 --> 00:47:38,839 Speaker 1: playoffs now and oh because now it's an easy hit. 857 00:47:38,880 --> 00:47:40,440 Speaker 1: But during the season you don't want the easy hit. 858 00:47:40,760 --> 00:47:43,040 Speaker 1: If they would have shifted on me, it hit four hundred. 859 00:47:43,480 --> 00:47:45,600 Speaker 1: It's it's an absolute joke. How these guys just won't 860 00:47:45,680 --> 00:47:48,799 Speaker 1: just hit the ball the other way. I I don't 861 00:47:48,880 --> 00:47:50,600 Speaker 1: get it. I don't get it. Back controls out of 862 00:47:50,600 --> 00:47:54,239 Speaker 1: the way and Schwartz, he's right, Chad. They groom these 863 00:47:54,320 --> 00:47:57,160 Speaker 1: kids to hit the ball five feet. They do not care. 864 00:47:57,280 --> 00:47:59,520 Speaker 1: They don't want a six four three. They'd rather have 865 00:47:59,520 --> 00:48:02,360 Speaker 1: a strikeout or a home run. That's baseball. You know 866 00:48:02,440 --> 00:48:07,080 Speaker 1: what else's baseball? A nine team parlay nine players. Wow, 867 00:48:07,320 --> 00:48:13,440 Speaker 1: well done, nineteen parlay. Here we go, boys, these are 868 00:48:13,440 --> 00:48:17,560 Speaker 1: our picks. Are you ready? Are you ready? Detroit minus 869 00:48:17,640 --> 00:48:22,239 Speaker 1: two and a half against Seattle Denver plus ten. There's 870 00:48:22,840 --> 00:48:27,280 Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes in the Kansas City Chiefs, Green Bay plus 871 00:48:27,480 --> 00:48:32,919 Speaker 1: nine against the undefeated Los Angeles Rams. Cleveland plus eight 872 00:48:32,960 --> 00:48:36,160 Speaker 1: and a half against his first Steamers up and by 873 00:48:37,360 --> 00:48:39,759 Speaker 1: New Orleans and Minnesota, two teams that can light it 874 00:48:39,880 --> 00:48:42,960 Speaker 1: up like no other teams in the NFL. Under fifty two. 875 00:48:44,080 --> 00:48:48,680 Speaker 1: Minnesota at home. They're struggling every week, and we're taking 876 00:48:48,760 --> 00:48:51,160 Speaker 1: him against the New Orleans Seats and we're five in 877 00:48:51,239 --> 00:48:54,440 Speaker 1: a row U c l A. They don't even know 878 00:48:54,480 --> 00:48:58,040 Speaker 1: who's playing quarterback, but we're taking them at plus ten. 879 00:48:59,160 --> 00:49:01,920 Speaker 1: Stanford minus me and a half versus Washington State, the 880 00:49:02,080 --> 00:49:07,640 Speaker 1: New York Giants one in five against the first place 881 00:49:07,960 --> 00:49:10,879 Speaker 1: Washington Redskins at home. We're taking the Giants, even though 882 00:49:11,480 --> 00:49:18,520 Speaker 1: we've lost every single bet replaced in the Giants. Literally, 883 00:49:18,560 --> 00:49:20,480 Speaker 1: who's gonna go back to sleep now? I'm gonna go 884 00:49:20,520 --> 00:49:25,640 Speaker 1: to the gym after. That's unbelievable. Oh my god. These 885 00:49:25,680 --> 00:49:32,680 Speaker 1: are trash pigs. Fellas. Listen, this has been the Favorites 886 00:49:33,120 --> 00:49:36,120 Speaker 1: from the Action Network. We have shows every Monday, Wednesday 887 00:49:36,160 --> 00:49:39,200 Speaker 1: and Friday. Check out our website at Action Network dot com. 888 00:49:39,360 --> 00:49:42,560 Speaker 1: Go to a download our app. If you bet, our parlay, 889 00:49:42,640 --> 00:49:46,480 Speaker 1: share your betting, slip hashtag favorites parlay on social and 890 00:49:46,640 --> 00:49:51,319 Speaker 1: tag Action Network h Q at Action Network HQ. If 891 00:49:51,360 --> 00:49:53,120 Speaker 1: you win with us, maybe you'll win a T shirt. 892 00:49:54,560 --> 00:50:00,560 Speaker 1: Please download, subscribe, rate review. You can listen to us 893 00:50:01,360 --> 00:50:06,800 Speaker 1: over to Apple Podcasts Radio dot com. Jeff Sports, Paul Duka, 894 00:50:06,840 --> 00:50:08,480 Speaker 1: thank to you seeing you on Wednesday when I talked 895 00:50:08,480 --> 00:50:08,960 Speaker 1: to Scooch