1
00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:03,120
Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

2
00:00:03,160 --> 00:00:05,600
Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey P joe P Zapia,

3
00:00:06,040 --> 00:00:11,400
Speaker 1: and welcome to Super wild Card Weekend. That's right, This

4
00:00:11,520 --> 00:00:14,240
Speaker 1: weekend is not just a regular Wildcard weekend. No, no, no,

5
00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:17,400
Speaker 1: it is Super wild Card Weekend. I've been told many

6
00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:19,560
Speaker 1: times I will be fined if I do not call

7
00:00:19,600 --> 00:00:22,639
Speaker 1: it Super wild Card Weekend. Therefore, it is Super wild

8
00:00:22,720 --> 00:00:25,400
Speaker 1: Card Weekend. And today we're gonna go through each game

9
00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:28,880
Speaker 1: our favorite side, So either like the money line outright,

10
00:00:28,960 --> 00:00:31,400
Speaker 1: maybe we like the over, the under, something in between.

11
00:00:32,040 --> 00:00:33,960
Speaker 1: And of course we're gonna give you our favorite prop

12
00:00:34,000 --> 00:00:35,839
Speaker 1: from each game as well. And to help me do it,

13
00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:39,280
Speaker 1: or my boys, the Scott Bogman, our man who is

14
00:00:39,320 --> 00:00:41,959
Speaker 1: so excited to see his Pittsburgh Steelers in the playoffs

15
00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:46,599
Speaker 1: without TJ. Watt, and the Welsh Christopher Welsh here with

16
00:00:46,680 --> 00:00:49,159
Speaker 1: us as well, breaking down the games. And I'm just

17
00:00:49,200 --> 00:00:52,479
Speaker 1: grateful after Black Monday we're both still employed because everybody's

18
00:00:52,520 --> 00:00:55,800
Speaker 1: getting fired, everybody's leaving, and I think we could only

19
00:00:55,840 --> 00:00:58,520
Speaker 1: be so lucky that when we're seventy we get let go.

20
00:00:58,640 --> 00:01:00,000
Speaker 1: What do you think, well, do you think people will

21
00:01:00,080 --> 00:01:01,720
Speaker 1: sing songs about us someday.

22
00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:05,679
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, did you guys hear Chandler Joe cannot Would

23
00:01:05,680 --> 00:01:06,640
Speaker 2: you guys allow.

24
00:01:06,440 --> 00:01:08,400
Speaker 1: Me to serenade? All right? Chandler Jones.

25
00:01:09,200 --> 00:01:13,560
Speaker 2: Chandler Jones very clear headed sports voice out there in

26
00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:15,399
Speaker 2: the space as.

27
00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:16,840
Speaker 3: Expected as Antonio Brown.

28
00:01:17,000 --> 00:01:20,320
Speaker 2: I mean when you're like, hey, Bill Belichick got fired,

29
00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:23,000
Speaker 2: where do we go? First you think what's Jaw think?

30
00:01:23,120 --> 00:01:25,760
Speaker 2: And then you think what's Chandler Jones think? And Chandler

31
00:01:25,840 --> 00:01:28,120
Speaker 2: Jones put a song out for Bill Belichick. So we

32
00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:30,360
Speaker 2: could only hope that someone would sing something like this

33
00:01:30,400 --> 00:01:32,920
Speaker 2: for us, Joe, if you know, we could be seventy

34
00:01:33,080 --> 00:01:36,160
Speaker 2: thousand years old whatever, fantasy pros. But his song a

35
00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:37,920
Speaker 2: little piece of it if you want to go find

36
00:01:37,920 --> 00:01:42,760
Speaker 2: out line he goes. They called it a dynasty. You

37
00:01:43,040 --> 00:01:47,800
Speaker 2: won seven Super bowls? Oh, Bill Belichick?

38
00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:51,480
Speaker 3: Why fi him?

39
00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:57,800
Speaker 1: I saw that? How many times did Welsh watch this

40
00:01:57,960 --> 00:02:00,240
Speaker 1: video over under thirty seven and a half.

41
00:02:00,760 --> 00:02:06,160
Speaker 3: Over over Bellicheck? So when Wilsch get's obsessed with something,

42
00:02:06,520 --> 00:02:09,200
Speaker 3: he will watch it over and over and over and

43
00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:12,120
Speaker 3: over and over. He knew we asked him about this song.

44
00:02:12,520 --> 00:02:15,520
Speaker 3: He sang the song for like forty five days seconds.

45
00:02:15,560 --> 00:02:17,560
Speaker 3: I was like, how many times did you listen to

46
00:02:17,639 --> 00:02:20,160
Speaker 3: Chandler Jones song? You know, I would like to say.

47
00:02:20,400 --> 00:02:23,200
Speaker 2: Didn't deflate those footballs.

48
00:02:23,960 --> 00:02:27,040
Speaker 1: Length as November rain. I'm pretty sure it was just

49
00:02:27,160 --> 00:02:31,320
Speaker 1: like a minute underneath that. Possibly hopefully this show won't

50
00:02:31,320 --> 00:02:33,320
Speaker 1: be that long. But before we get to all the

51
00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:35,880
Speaker 1: good stuff, all the picks, make sure you're downloading the

52
00:02:35,919 --> 00:02:37,920
Speaker 1: Betting Pros app. Make sure you subscribe to the YouTube

53
00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:40,240
Speaker 1: channel and drop your comments. Blow because you just might

54
00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:42,280
Speaker 1: win a one year free premium upgrade. Ring the bell

55
00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:44,880
Speaker 1: to it goes ding for notifications. Always do that, ring

56
00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:47,440
Speaker 1: the bell. And also, we got a fun contest going

57
00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:50,560
Speaker 1: on the NFL playoff pick them over a bettingpros dot

58
00:02:50,560 --> 00:02:56,320
Speaker 1: com slash splash. That's right, bettingpros dot com slash splash.

59
00:02:56,400 --> 00:02:58,120
Speaker 1: No one thinks about how hard that is to say.

60
00:02:58,160 --> 00:02:59,600
Speaker 1: They just put it together and give it to me.

61
00:03:00,200 --> 00:03:02,040
Speaker 1: This is another pick them contest we've got going on

62
00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:05,600
Speaker 1: specifically for the playoffs. Twenty five bucks to enter, three

63
00:03:05,919 --> 00:03:08,440
Speaker 1: MAC three times max entry, and one hundred and fifty

64
00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:10,800
Speaker 1: spots are available, So go out there and get involved

65
00:03:10,840 --> 00:03:13,040
Speaker 1: right now. The payouts based on how many entrance we

66
00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:16,600
Speaker 1: have and the top ten are going to see some

67
00:03:16,680 --> 00:03:18,919
Speaker 1: love there. In terms of payouts, basically, you pick the

68
00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:20,639
Speaker 1: winner of each playoff game and you'll move on for

69
00:03:20,760 --> 00:03:23,119
Speaker 1: the points if you get those correct every single week,

70
00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:25,240
Speaker 1: so we can have a winner selected in the wildcard weekend.

71
00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:28,679
Speaker 1: That's one point, Division rounds two points, Conference Championship four

72
00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:31,959
Speaker 1: and Super Bowl Big five points. So if you want

73
00:03:31,960 --> 00:03:34,480
Speaker 1: to get in there, enter before Saturday's playoffs start again

74
00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:38,760
Speaker 1: right now. Betting pros dot com slash splash, that's where

75
00:03:38,760 --> 00:03:40,880
Speaker 1: you do it, right now, so go make your splash every.

76
00:03:40,680 --> 00:03:45,280
Speaker 2: Betting pros dot com splash splash, splash, fish splash.

77
00:03:45,400 --> 00:03:48,680
Speaker 1: Say you wild now? That sounds like a print song.

78
00:03:48,720 --> 00:03:52,200
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the wild card. Excuse me,

79
00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:53,280
Speaker 1: super wildcard?

80
00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:55,400
Speaker 2: Why is it.

81
00:03:57,120 --> 00:04:00,920
Speaker 3: Game on Monday? That makes it super.

82
00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:02,000
Speaker 1: Happy for them? If they like whoever wins, you have

83
00:04:02,080 --> 00:04:03,600
Speaker 1: one less day of rest and.

84
00:04:04,320 --> 00:04:06,320
Speaker 3: I don't have to wake up at noon on Saturday.

85
00:04:06,560 --> 00:04:09,040
Speaker 3: That is what that is why it's super.

86
00:04:08,840 --> 00:04:11,720
Speaker 1: Poor, baby, Let's get up.

87
00:04:12,080 --> 00:04:13,800
Speaker 3: People have different schedules. Jokes.

88
00:04:15,000 --> 00:04:17,960
Speaker 1: No, some of us are vampires and then some of

89
00:04:18,040 --> 00:04:19,599
Speaker 1: us are regular human beings.

90
00:04:19,720 --> 00:04:22,120
Speaker 3: I know, it's really terrible doing anything I want. Why

91
00:04:22,120 --> 00:04:25,400
Speaker 3: are you sleepy?

92
00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:28,520
Speaker 1: All right, let's get after it. Let's talk about the

93
00:04:28,600 --> 00:04:31,200
Speaker 1: Houston Cleveland game. I am on the Cleveland side of

94
00:04:31,200 --> 00:04:34,120
Speaker 1: this game. I'm not trying to copy and paste button.

95
00:04:34,520 --> 00:04:37,240
Speaker 1: But last time we saw it, La Marii Cooper is

96
00:04:37,240 --> 00:04:41,040
Speaker 1: still running for yard somewhere. It was crazy. I have

97
00:04:41,120 --> 00:04:42,800
Speaker 1: a lot of respect for CJ. Stroud to Migo Ryans

98
00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:44,719
Speaker 1: have talked about all year in the show. I'm on

99
00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:47,479
Speaker 1: the Cleveland side. Welch, give me your side of this

100
00:04:47,520 --> 00:04:49,359
Speaker 1: game and your favorite prop, and then Bogs will hit

101
00:04:49,440 --> 00:04:50,000
Speaker 1: up yours too.

102
00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:51,919
Speaker 2: Yeah, it looks like this game actually might have dropped

103
00:04:51,920 --> 00:04:53,240
Speaker 2: even a little bit. I see the line. Is that

104
00:04:53,360 --> 00:04:56,320
Speaker 2: two on Cleveland. I think this was two and a half,

105
00:04:56,360 --> 00:04:58,520
Speaker 2: maybe even a day or so ago. Yeah, so we've

106
00:04:58,560 --> 00:05:01,240
Speaker 2: already seen some line movement on that. I'm with you.

107
00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:04,279
Speaker 2: I do think Cleveland has an advantage here. My problem

108
00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:07,560
Speaker 2: is is the Texans are still a relative like power

109
00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:10,760
Speaker 2: offense like CJ. Stroud, I think opens this up. So

110
00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:13,640
Speaker 2: I'm torn. So I'm gonna go to a total forty

111
00:05:13,640 --> 00:05:17,120
Speaker 2: four and a half. I'm gonna take the under both teams.

112
00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:20,479
Speaker 2: I believe averaging combined more points than this total, but

113
00:05:20,600 --> 00:05:25,040
Speaker 2: defensively stopping more points on this As much as I'm

114
00:05:25,080 --> 00:05:27,760
Speaker 2: talking about Stroud here, got a lot of injuries. I

115
00:05:27,800 --> 00:05:30,080
Speaker 2: don't know how Singletary is gonna be able to get

116
00:05:30,120 --> 00:05:32,960
Speaker 2: around the edges against the Browns. I also just don't

117
00:05:33,000 --> 00:05:35,880
Speaker 2: know if the Browns are gonna be this wildly, wildly

118
00:05:35,920 --> 00:05:37,839
Speaker 2: effective team that are gonna be scoring a whole bunch

119
00:05:37,880 --> 00:05:39,760
Speaker 2: of points. So I think this game could stall a

120
00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:41,920
Speaker 2: little bit, keep it on the ground for a tiny bit.

121
00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:44,159
Speaker 2: Forty four and a half kind of a big number,

122
00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:46,919
Speaker 2: I feel like for a Browns game. So I'm not

123
00:05:46,960 --> 00:05:50,200
Speaker 2: in love with this. But my side total over it's

124
00:05:50,200 --> 00:05:53,520
Speaker 2: gonna be forty four and a half under for this game.

125
00:05:53,800 --> 00:05:55,760
Speaker 1: So you're going with the under. What about props we're

126
00:05:55,800 --> 00:05:57,479
Speaker 1: attaching to this game, Welsh? What do you have in

127
00:05:57,480 --> 00:05:58,159
Speaker 1: this one? Okay?

128
00:05:58,400 --> 00:06:02,119
Speaker 2: So this is my favorite of all the props this week.

129
00:06:02,480 --> 00:06:05,400
Speaker 2: I put multiple units on this one, and I even

130
00:06:05,440 --> 00:06:08,520
Speaker 2: wrote it up for Fantasy Pros. My favorite prop of

131
00:06:08,520 --> 00:06:12,240
Speaker 2: the entire weekend is David in Djoku receiving yards and

132
00:06:12,240 --> 00:06:14,200
Speaker 2: I'm gonna give you actually two pieces here thinks like

133
00:06:14,200 --> 00:06:16,320
Speaker 2: minus ten minus one fifteen. He has hit this in

134
00:06:16,360 --> 00:06:19,200
Speaker 2: three of his last four games. Seven of his last

135
00:06:19,240 --> 00:06:23,919
Speaker 2: eight games he's had eight or more targets. He is

136
00:06:24,040 --> 00:06:29,000
Speaker 2: Flacco's number one guy. He loves in Joku. And here's

137
00:06:29,040 --> 00:06:32,760
Speaker 2: the deal as well. I am considering, and I didn't

138
00:06:32,760 --> 00:06:34,960
Speaker 2: want to make this as my sole bet, taking the

139
00:06:35,000 --> 00:06:39,880
Speaker 2: alt yards on here of eighty plus. It's kind of

140
00:06:39,880 --> 00:06:42,760
Speaker 2: a ladder thing here. It's plus two forty five for

141
00:06:42,839 --> 00:06:46,279
Speaker 2: eighty plus yards, which he has hit in three of

142
00:06:46,360 --> 00:06:47,560
Speaker 2: his last four games.

143
00:06:47,600 --> 00:06:48,800
Speaker 1: Numbers hit that number.

144
00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:52,680
Speaker 2: I agree, So I'm taking the actual receiving yards. That's

145
00:06:52,720 --> 00:06:55,120
Speaker 2: what I put multiple on, but I'm gonna sprinkle a

146
00:06:55,160 --> 00:06:58,279
Speaker 2: little bit on the eighty plus alt receiving yards, getting

147
00:06:58,320 --> 00:06:59,200
Speaker 2: really really good.

148
00:06:59,040 --> 00:06:59,600
Speaker 3: Money on it.

149
00:07:00,160 --> 00:07:02,080
Speaker 2: Like I said, seven of eight games he's had eight

150
00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:05,760
Speaker 2: or more targets. Playoff game, it's on the line. It's

151
00:07:05,800 --> 00:07:07,840
Speaker 2: not the greatest matchup on the planet as far as

152
00:07:07,880 --> 00:07:11,680
Speaker 2: tight ends versus Texans or the tight ends versus the Texans,

153
00:07:11,680 --> 00:07:13,800
Speaker 2: but in Djoko has just been a monster monster. So

154
00:07:13,840 --> 00:07:16,040
Speaker 2: I'm really comfortable with this one. And this is my

155
00:07:16,120 --> 00:07:18,559
Speaker 2: favorite of the week, jumping in on a Djoku receiving yards.

156
00:07:18,600 --> 00:07:20,680
Speaker 1: I love that plus two forty five, Absolutely love it

157
00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:23,480
Speaker 1: all right, Bogs. Your thoughts on Houston Cleveland? Where do

158
00:07:23,520 --> 00:07:24,880
Speaker 1: you live and where do you want to go for

159
00:07:24,920 --> 00:07:25,320
Speaker 1: a prop?

160
00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:28,960
Speaker 3: Well, I gotta I'm gonna say this quietly around here

161
00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:30,760
Speaker 3: because I live in Houston. But I'm gonna take the

162
00:07:30,800 --> 00:07:34,400
Speaker 3: Browns minus the two and a half at the Texans.

163
00:07:34,520 --> 00:07:36,520
Speaker 1: Like you said, By the way, it's two everywhere right now.

164
00:07:36,560 --> 00:07:40,480
Speaker 1: I am watch two pros two on sugar House a month.

165
00:07:40,560 --> 00:07:42,040
Speaker 1: This is why you have the betting pros app people

166
00:07:42,160 --> 00:07:43,160
Speaker 1: see stay ahead of these things.

167
00:07:43,160 --> 00:07:45,680
Speaker 3: But yeah, let's go with Cleveland minus to two. Then

168
00:07:45,720 --> 00:07:48,040
Speaker 3: if I don't have to have the hook, I will not.

169
00:07:48,320 --> 00:07:50,640
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna go with the Cleveland side. Like you said,

170
00:07:50,680 --> 00:07:53,440
Speaker 3: the last time they played, this was utter domination by

171
00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:56,320
Speaker 3: the Browns. And I know it's a different game and

172
00:07:56,440 --> 00:07:59,760
Speaker 3: Shroud all that. I just Bobby Slowi's a little bit

173
00:07:59,760 --> 00:08:03,080
Speaker 3: just acted with all of his head coaching interviews. It's

174
00:08:03,120 --> 00:08:07,360
Speaker 3: their first playoff game. I just I think I'm gonna

175
00:08:07,360 --> 00:08:10,080
Speaker 3: side on the on Cleveland and Flacco is hot and

176
00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:15,360
Speaker 3: Flacco's if you guys, remember what happened last time Amari

177
00:08:15,440 --> 00:08:19,480
Speaker 3: Cooper set the Browns record for receiving yards against the

178
00:08:19,480 --> 00:08:23,480
Speaker 3: Texans in their last game. His receptions prop is five

179
00:08:23,520 --> 00:08:26,080
Speaker 3: and a half. I know it's plus money too because

180
00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:28,240
Speaker 3: he's a little banged up coming in, but he said

181
00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:30,080
Speaker 3: he would have been healthy enough to play last week,

182
00:08:30,480 --> 00:08:32,800
Speaker 3: so I think he's gonna be fine in this game.

183
00:08:32,880 --> 00:08:35,160
Speaker 3: I do think he's gonna smoke them again, and I

184
00:08:35,160 --> 00:08:36,800
Speaker 3: think Flacco is gonna be throwing the ball all over

185
00:08:36,840 --> 00:08:40,040
Speaker 3: the place. So I kind of like the over, but

186
00:08:40,200 --> 00:08:42,240
Speaker 3: I really like Cleveland laying the points, and I love

187
00:08:42,320 --> 00:08:44,840
Speaker 3: this prop of Amari Cooper over five and a half catches.

188
00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:46,400
Speaker 2: I think the money is on the over, by the way.

189
00:08:46,440 --> 00:08:48,640
Speaker 2: That's why I want to point out I'm not advocating

190
00:08:48,720 --> 00:08:52,439
Speaker 2: I love the my under the public money and tickets

191
00:08:52,480 --> 00:08:54,800
Speaker 2: are currently on the over, not an overwhelming amount. It

192
00:08:54,840 --> 00:08:57,400
Speaker 2: was around sixty to seventy percent last that I saw,

193
00:08:57,480 --> 00:09:00,680
Speaker 2: so I get that. That's why I'm not advocating that

194
00:09:00,800 --> 00:09:03,079
Speaker 2: this is a slam bet for me on the total.

195
00:09:03,160 --> 00:09:04,920
Speaker 2: I'm a little less comfortable, to be honest with you,

196
00:09:04,960 --> 00:09:08,000
Speaker 2: with a lot of the actual game bets versus the

197
00:09:08,000 --> 00:09:09,120
Speaker 2: propects are tough.

198
00:09:08,920 --> 00:09:10,800
Speaker 3: In the playoffs, Yeah, I mean, these these teams can

199
00:09:11,000 --> 00:09:11,560
Speaker 3: be hard.

200
00:09:11,559 --> 00:09:13,960
Speaker 1: So they do it's amazing to me too. They took

201
00:09:14,160 --> 00:09:16,880
Speaker 1: Joe Flacco to unlock David and Joku after all these

202
00:09:16,920 --> 00:09:18,840
Speaker 1: years like that. I'm still trying to wrap my brain

203
00:09:18,880 --> 00:09:21,800
Speaker 1: around that. And if Joe Flacco continue, like if he wins,

204
00:09:22,080 --> 00:09:24,640
Speaker 1: he's already gotten them into the playoffs, right with a

205
00:09:24,640 --> 00:09:28,079
Speaker 1: week off they win a playoff game. I mean, how

206
00:09:28,080 --> 00:09:29,840
Speaker 1: do you not bring this guy back next year? And

207
00:09:29,880 --> 00:09:32,640
Speaker 1: I can't believe how complicated that's going to be for everybody.

208
00:09:32,760 --> 00:09:35,439
Speaker 1: Or Somebody's gonna knock on Joe Flacco's door and say, hey,

209
00:09:35,440 --> 00:09:37,719
Speaker 1: forget that, come play for us. We'll give you the

210
00:09:37,760 --> 00:09:39,800
Speaker 1: starting job outright, or give you a chance to win

211
00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:41,880
Speaker 1: it because they're playing Watson all that money.

212
00:09:42,080 --> 00:09:45,280
Speaker 3: It's crazy, but it's you know, look, a good brain

213
00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:48,640
Speaker 3: and a rocket arm will take you anywhere in the NFL.

214
00:09:48,760 --> 00:09:49,840
Speaker 3: That's what Parco has.

215
00:09:50,080 --> 00:09:51,600
Speaker 2: I think a great It would be a great position

216
00:09:51,640 --> 00:09:53,480
Speaker 2: if there was a team that had one of those

217
00:09:53,559 --> 00:09:55,679
Speaker 2: high picks and could bring in a Flacco and then

218
00:09:55,720 --> 00:09:58,040
Speaker 2: have one of these young quarterbacks that were coming in,

219
00:09:58,440 --> 00:09:59,679
Speaker 2: like you know, like a patri.

220
00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:01,600
Speaker 1: Or just an in Atlanta where everything is all set up,

221
00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:03,920
Speaker 1: you just need somebody who could throw the football. They

222
00:10:03,920 --> 00:10:05,640
Speaker 1: got defense, they got running back, I mean.

223
00:10:06,600 --> 00:10:09,280
Speaker 3: Good now too. So yeah, they got everything in Atlantic,

224
00:10:09,559 --> 00:10:10,000
Speaker 3: all right.

225
00:10:10,280 --> 00:10:12,640
Speaker 1: The one thing they're gonna need in Kansas City. It's

226
00:10:12,640 --> 00:10:14,439
Speaker 1: gonna be heaters all over the place. It's gonna be

227
00:10:14,520 --> 00:10:18,280
Speaker 1: zero degrees. Scott Bogmen, Miami's gonna have to travel to

228
00:10:18,360 --> 00:10:20,800
Speaker 1: Kansas City. Let's talk about this game. Let's talk about

229
00:10:20,840 --> 00:10:23,360
Speaker 1: the side you like, and let's talk about a prop

230
00:10:23,400 --> 00:10:25,560
Speaker 1: that you feel good about. Because it's going to be

231
00:10:25,600 --> 00:10:28,960
Speaker 1: cold on Saturday night and it's on Peacock, which I

232
00:10:28,960 --> 00:10:31,320
Speaker 1: know everybody's super excited about that they have to watch

233
00:10:31,320 --> 00:10:32,320
Speaker 1: this game on the Peacock.

234
00:10:32,520 --> 00:10:39,240
Speaker 3: No issue there at all that we all have it.

235
00:10:39,280 --> 00:10:41,280
Speaker 1: But I think we all roll the rise, like do

236
00:10:41,360 --> 00:10:42,240
Speaker 1: we really have to do this?

237
00:10:42,320 --> 00:10:44,439
Speaker 3: Let's see, my game is on CBS. I have to

238
00:10:44,480 --> 00:10:46,160
Speaker 3: watch it on Paramount because Direct TV is in a

239
00:10:46,160 --> 00:10:49,240
Speaker 3: fight with CBS. So uh, anyway, I'm gonna lay the

240
00:10:49,240 --> 00:10:52,839
Speaker 3: points and take the chiefs here. I think Miami has

241
00:10:52,920 --> 00:10:55,720
Speaker 3: really done themselves a disservice by losing the last couple

242
00:10:55,720 --> 00:10:58,480
Speaker 3: of weeks, especially the last game, and going into the

243
00:10:58,480 --> 00:11:01,000
Speaker 3: cold weather. We know the history of my Miami playing

244
00:11:01,040 --> 00:11:03,480
Speaker 3: in cold weather is not great. They put up a

245
00:11:03,480 --> 00:11:06,560
Speaker 3: good fight against Buffalo last year, but I just they're

246
00:11:06,600 --> 00:11:09,120
Speaker 3: too banged up. I don't like what's going on with

247
00:11:09,200 --> 00:11:11,079
Speaker 3: the Dolphins right now. So I'm gonna lay the points

248
00:11:11,080 --> 00:11:14,480
Speaker 3: to take the Chiefs at home, and as far as

249
00:11:14,480 --> 00:11:17,000
Speaker 3: the prop goes, I'm gonna take Patrick Mahomes under twenty

250
00:11:17,040 --> 00:11:19,120
Speaker 3: eight and a half rushing yards. The Dolphins are actually

251
00:11:19,240 --> 00:11:23,079
Speaker 3: ninth in rushing yards allowed to quarterbacks this season, and

252
00:11:23,240 --> 00:11:26,960
Speaker 3: it's fewer than fourteen yards per game. Plus they lost

253
00:11:27,200 --> 00:11:29,480
Speaker 3: Bradley Chubb a couple of weeks ago. Interviewing, Kinkle went

254
00:11:29,520 --> 00:11:32,800
Speaker 3: to IR, I just think they're gonna Donovan Smith is

255
00:11:32,840 --> 00:11:34,839
Speaker 3: back for the Chiefs. I just think they're not gonna

256
00:11:34,840 --> 00:11:37,440
Speaker 3: put a ton of pressure on Mahomes. He's gonna have

257
00:11:37,440 --> 00:11:40,080
Speaker 3: time to sit back and pick them apart. So I

258
00:11:40,080 --> 00:11:42,199
Speaker 3: don't think he's really gonna need to run in this game.

259
00:11:43,080 --> 00:11:45,600
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna take the under on Pat Mahomes rushing

260
00:11:45,679 --> 00:11:46,800
Speaker 3: yards at twenty eight and a half.

261
00:11:47,400 --> 00:11:51,520
Speaker 1: All right. I also think that besides the weather, there's

262
00:11:51,520 --> 00:11:53,760
Speaker 1: only so many times you can lose big games with

263
00:11:53,880 --> 00:11:56,040
Speaker 1: teams that are better than you, and to lose at

264
00:11:56,040 --> 00:11:58,640
Speaker 1: home in that game, and the fashion they lost to

265
00:11:58,679 --> 00:12:01,160
Speaker 1: their division rival. I don't know, Matt, it is really

266
00:12:01,200 --> 00:12:04,160
Speaker 1: hard to pump that air back into that balloon over

267
00:12:04,240 --> 00:12:06,760
Speaker 1: and over and over again and keep coming up short,

268
00:12:06,880 --> 00:12:09,520
Speaker 1: and like it's a tough scenario for them to go

269
00:12:09,559 --> 00:12:11,199
Speaker 1: and do this. I think Mike McDaniel's a good coach.

270
00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:12,480
Speaker 1: I have a lot of talent on this team. I

271
00:12:12,559 --> 00:12:14,760
Speaker 1: like Kansas City to my favorite prop just throwing that

272
00:12:14,800 --> 00:12:16,439
Speaker 1: out there is the over up a checko at sixty

273
00:12:16,440 --> 00:12:19,040
Speaker 1: four and a half. Because those rushing yards are gonna

274
00:12:19,040 --> 00:12:20,679
Speaker 1: be needed. You're gonna have to run the football out.

275
00:12:20,679 --> 00:12:22,040
Speaker 1: It's gonna be cold and be hard to throw the

276
00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:24,439
Speaker 1: football times. My home says the rock and arm and

277
00:12:24,440 --> 00:12:26,040
Speaker 1: all that stuff, But still like you got to run

278
00:12:26,040 --> 00:12:27,520
Speaker 1: the football in the cold weather, and I think they're

279
00:12:27,520 --> 00:12:30,560
Speaker 1: going to do just that. Welsh, your thoughts on this

280
00:12:30,640 --> 00:12:34,520
Speaker 1: game in the Chile, Kansas City realm that we're gonna

281
00:12:34,520 --> 00:12:34,920
Speaker 1: see it in.

282
00:12:35,160 --> 00:12:36,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think you also kind of said it's gonna

283
00:12:36,920 --> 00:12:39,760
Speaker 2: be a little bit tougher for these teams to just

284
00:12:39,880 --> 00:12:41,600
Speaker 2: air the ball out with how cold it is. I mean,

285
00:12:41,640 --> 00:12:43,960
Speaker 2: they're saying this could be the coldest game in the

286
00:12:44,040 --> 00:12:46,439
Speaker 2: history of the NFL. That's been played, which.

287
00:12:46,240 --> 00:12:47,440
Speaker 1: Is absolutely how can that be?

288
00:12:47,679 --> 00:12:50,520
Speaker 2: One about the Ice Bowl wind chill? Yeah, they said

289
00:12:50,520 --> 00:12:53,600
Speaker 2: the win the wind chill there was nineteen. Yeah, as

290
00:12:53,640 --> 00:12:56,000
Speaker 2: I'd say twenty like essentially like negative twenty. It could be.

291
00:12:56,040 --> 00:12:58,400
Speaker 2: So it's gould be like the coldest game of all time.

292
00:12:58,559 --> 00:13:02,160
Speaker 2: That is why I love the under in this. Maybe

293
00:13:02,200 --> 00:13:04,440
Speaker 2: I'm gonna just be eating my words at the end

294
00:13:04,440 --> 00:13:07,120
Speaker 2: of the day because you know, listen, if guys can't

295
00:13:07,120 --> 00:13:09,839
Speaker 2: tackle and move around properly, one guy gets away, a

296
00:13:09,840 --> 00:13:11,760
Speaker 2: guy like Tyreek Hill, Bam, You're gone, and all of

297
00:13:11,760 --> 00:13:14,320
Speaker 2: a sudden points are score. Dolphins do have some pieces

298
00:13:14,679 --> 00:13:18,120
Speaker 2: in a Chan and Tyreek Hill who are complete game changers,

299
00:13:18,400 --> 00:13:21,360
Speaker 2: but they've never experienced any weather like this. Chiefs haven't

300
00:13:21,400 --> 00:13:24,520
Speaker 2: experienced any weather like this. Four of the last five

301
00:13:24,600 --> 00:13:27,439
Speaker 2: chief games, by the way, have hit the under, and

302
00:13:27,640 --> 00:13:30,680
Speaker 2: I'm actually also interested. I'm just gonna throw out the

303
00:13:30,760 --> 00:13:34,040
Speaker 2: twenty one and a half first half under, so I'm

304
00:13:34,040 --> 00:13:36,240
Speaker 2: gonna take the full game under because of the cold.

305
00:13:36,320 --> 00:13:39,679
Speaker 2: But I think this could be a really dramatic like

306
00:13:39,880 --> 00:13:42,480
Speaker 2: adjustment period in this game for these teams to be

307
00:13:42,559 --> 00:13:44,360
Speaker 2: get going. It could go the other way, of course,

308
00:13:44,679 --> 00:13:47,719
Speaker 2: but under three touchdowns in the first half. I'm kind

309
00:13:47,720 --> 00:13:50,040
Speaker 2: of into that one, but give me the full game

310
00:13:50,200 --> 00:13:53,880
Speaker 2: under for both of these and this is probably probably

311
00:13:53,880 --> 00:13:56,320
Speaker 2: my favorite of all the ones we're gonna talk about

312
00:13:56,360 --> 00:13:58,640
Speaker 2: as far as sides and everything like that.

313
00:13:58,760 --> 00:14:01,040
Speaker 1: And then your proper for this game, we're about Travis Kelcey.

314
00:14:01,520 --> 00:14:03,679
Speaker 2: Yes, I'm gonna stick to the tight ends here and

315
00:14:03,720 --> 00:14:05,600
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with Kelsey on this one. It is

316
00:14:05,640 --> 00:14:07,880
Speaker 2: gonna be harder to throw, but what's one of the

317
00:14:07,880 --> 00:14:10,040
Speaker 2: things you're gonna do when you're looking for safety net throws.

318
00:14:10,040 --> 00:14:12,760
Speaker 2: You're gonna get Kelsey back involved in this, and yeah,

319
00:14:12,760 --> 00:14:14,640
Speaker 2: and then you could have some running backs as well.

320
00:14:14,840 --> 00:14:16,920
Speaker 2: He has not hit this in the last three games,

321
00:14:16,920 --> 00:14:20,720
Speaker 2: but he had hit this in three prior to this game.

322
00:14:20,760 --> 00:14:23,560
Speaker 2: He's had seven targets in three of his last four games,

323
00:14:23,560 --> 00:14:26,320
Speaker 2: which I like. Early projections have got him over sixty

324
00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:29,960
Speaker 2: yards and according to PFF, the second best tight end

325
00:14:30,040 --> 00:14:33,000
Speaker 2: defensive matchup of the weekend Dolphins. They're giving up the

326
00:14:33,080 --> 00:14:37,480
Speaker 2: second most points Fantasy points as far as tight ends

327
00:14:37,520 --> 00:14:39,000
Speaker 2: go over the last month. And I know that might

328
00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:42,320
Speaker 2: not mean in everything, but they're averaging over sixty yards

329
00:14:42,360 --> 00:14:44,800
Speaker 2: per game to tight ends over the last month. So

330
00:14:45,160 --> 00:14:47,440
Speaker 2: all I'm getting at is here is three weeks we

331
00:14:47,480 --> 00:14:51,040
Speaker 2: have had a silent Travis Kelce that ends in the

332
00:14:51,040 --> 00:14:54,800
Speaker 2: most important situation, and it's the best safety net player

333
00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:56,480
Speaker 2: you would have in a cold game like this, they

334
00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:58,720
Speaker 2: can't just run the ball the whole time. And I

335
00:14:58,720 --> 00:15:00,440
Speaker 2: don't know, this is gonna be like, you know, the

336
00:15:00,640 --> 00:15:02,520
Speaker 2: most insane storm or anything like that. It's just gonna

337
00:15:02,520 --> 00:15:05,640
Speaker 2: be crazy cold, cold snap. Yeah, get Kelsey down the

338
00:15:05,640 --> 00:15:08,000
Speaker 2: middle all game long. I'm gonna take the receiving yards

339
00:15:08,040 --> 00:15:10,840
Speaker 2: over which I believe was fifty seven and a half.

340
00:15:11,120 --> 00:15:14,040
Speaker 2: And I actually also parlayed both the tight end little

341
00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:16,560
Speaker 2: Saturday parlay for both of the tight ends receiving yards.

342
00:15:16,600 --> 00:15:17,960
Speaker 2: And if you want to play it down to like

343
00:15:18,240 --> 00:15:20,400
Speaker 2: you could do the fifty to fifty on both just

344
00:15:20,440 --> 00:15:22,520
Speaker 2: to not take the edge on the top, you can

345
00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:25,360
Speaker 2: do that. But I will go Kelsey receiving yards for

346
00:15:25,520 --> 00:15:27,040
Speaker 2: my other Saturday prop.

347
00:15:27,400 --> 00:15:29,360
Speaker 1: God forbid the NFL say, oh, you know, while we

348
00:15:29,400 --> 00:15:32,040
Speaker 1: got two games on Saturday, one's gonna be minus twenty

349
00:15:32,080 --> 00:15:34,360
Speaker 1: something wind chill. Maybe we should pay that one during the day.

350
00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:36,440
Speaker 1: We'll flip flop the games, you know, for all those

351
00:15:36,440 --> 00:15:38,040
Speaker 1: people who have to go and attend it, so they

352
00:15:38,040 --> 00:15:40,840
Speaker 1: don't you know, freeze and lose limbs and things like that,

353
00:15:41,280 --> 00:15:43,440
Speaker 1: because the other games in Texas, it's not like that

354
00:15:43,440 --> 00:15:43,840
Speaker 1: would have been.

355
00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:46,560
Speaker 2: The article I read too, was like, it's gonna be

356
00:15:46,640 --> 00:15:48,680
Speaker 2: the worst for the fans that are out there, because

357
00:15:48,680 --> 00:15:49,680
Speaker 2: they're gonna be feeling that.

358
00:15:50,200 --> 00:15:52,080
Speaker 1: The worst for the fans especially they have to watch

359
00:15:52,080 --> 00:15:54,040
Speaker 1: Canarios Tony try to catch the ball. All right, let's

360
00:15:54,040 --> 00:15:54,840
Speaker 1: go to the UK.

361
00:15:55,000 --> 00:15:56,800
Speaker 2: It's gonna be frozen. He's gonna be like one of

362
00:15:56,800 --> 00:15:59,040
Speaker 2: those Fortnite characters with just Ice on his feet and

363
00:15:59,120 --> 00:15:59,640
Speaker 2: his hands and.

364
00:15:59,720 --> 00:16:03,520
Speaker 1: Won't He's gonna be Frozone from the Incredibles. All right,

365
00:16:03,600 --> 00:16:07,480
Speaker 1: let's go Pittsburgh Buffalo. Here we go. Let's transition into

366
00:16:07,520 --> 00:16:10,240
Speaker 1: the Sunday games. We got three games on Sunday. This

367
00:16:10,360 --> 00:16:12,600
Speaker 1: is Scott Bogman's nightmare of folks. This is it. We're

368
00:16:12,680 --> 00:16:15,960
Speaker 1: living it. It's in real time. The Bills have a

369
00:16:15,960 --> 00:16:18,600
Speaker 1: big number here to cover Welsh, So let's talk about

370
00:16:18,600 --> 00:16:21,440
Speaker 1: this number here. Let's talk about the Pittsburgh Steelers and

371
00:16:21,480 --> 00:16:23,360
Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills, who found themselves at the end of

372
00:16:23,400 --> 00:16:27,040
Speaker 1: the day atop the AFC East after all the drama

373
00:16:27,080 --> 00:16:28,480
Speaker 1: of the season. So what do you think of this

374
00:16:28,520 --> 00:16:29,840
Speaker 1: game and what do you think you want to put

375
00:16:29,840 --> 00:16:31,680
Speaker 1: along with it as a prop? I know I was

376
00:16:31,720 --> 00:16:34,680
Speaker 1: going over again on Josh Allen's passing yards because to me,

377
00:16:34,760 --> 00:16:36,040
Speaker 1: that's the way to go. What do you think?

378
00:16:36,320 --> 00:16:38,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I'm getting maybe a little bit cheeky

379
00:16:38,280 --> 00:16:40,560
Speaker 2: on this one. I hate the total because it's thirty

380
00:16:40,600 --> 00:16:42,560
Speaker 2: five and a half could totally go either way. I'm

381
00:16:42,600 --> 00:16:44,280
Speaker 2: not going to take the under, but I just don't

382
00:16:44,280 --> 00:16:46,160
Speaker 2: want to touch it. I don't like the spray. If

383
00:16:46,160 --> 00:16:49,400
Speaker 2: I liked Pittsburgh more like the next guy who's going

384
00:16:49,440 --> 00:16:52,040
Speaker 2: to talk here, I could be comfortable taking plus ten,

385
00:16:52,520 --> 00:16:55,240
Speaker 2: but I don't. But I also acknowledge that ten is

386
00:16:55,280 --> 00:16:58,160
Speaker 2: a big number and you just might see the team

387
00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:00,600
Speaker 2: starts slinging the ball. I could totally feel a backdoor

388
00:17:00,680 --> 00:17:03,640
Speaker 2: cover at the end of this game. So my cheekiness

389
00:17:03,840 --> 00:17:06,159
Speaker 2: is I'm going to take the Bills in the first

390
00:17:06,160 --> 00:17:08,480
Speaker 2: half minus six and a half, so up by one

391
00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:11,600
Speaker 2: touchdown in the first half, I think they're going to struggle.

392
00:17:11,960 --> 00:17:14,480
Speaker 2: The Steelers are without the pass rush of TJ. Watt

393
00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:17,439
Speaker 2: in this game. That's an advantage to Josh Allen. I

394
00:17:17,520 --> 00:17:20,119
Speaker 2: don't know if the Bills offense has been as much

395
00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:22,320
Speaker 2: of a powerhouse enough that they're going to be up

396
00:17:22,480 --> 00:17:25,560
Speaker 2: by seventeen twenty twenty one points at the end of

397
00:17:25,560 --> 00:17:27,199
Speaker 2: the game that I would feel really comfortable with this

398
00:17:27,280 --> 00:17:29,560
Speaker 2: big total. But I do think the Bills can come

399
00:17:29,600 --> 00:17:31,760
Speaker 2: out hot. I think the Steelers are going to come

400
00:17:31,760 --> 00:17:33,320
Speaker 2: out stagnant. They're not going to be able to run

401
00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:35,200
Speaker 2: the ball like they like too early, and I think

402
00:17:35,240 --> 00:17:38,200
Speaker 2: defensively it's what's going to hurt the Steelers the most

403
00:17:38,840 --> 00:17:41,240
Speaker 2: without TJ. Watt. So I'm going to take the Bills

404
00:17:41,680 --> 00:17:44,880
Speaker 2: minus six and a half first half as my game

405
00:17:44,920 --> 00:17:47,280
Speaker 2: bet and then my prop. Yeah sorry, Area, go ahead.

406
00:17:47,280 --> 00:17:49,000
Speaker 1: Sorry, no, no, I'm just saying, you know, when you're

407
00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:52,439
Speaker 1: talking about Josh Allen props and that affecting him, I agree.

408
00:17:52,440 --> 00:17:54,960
Speaker 1: I think you don't have that pass rush. Josh Allen's

409
00:17:55,040 --> 00:17:56,639
Speaker 1: less app to make mistakes, which is why I like

410
00:17:56,680 --> 00:17:58,200
Speaker 1: the over two fifteen and a half on the passing

411
00:17:58,280 --> 00:17:59,639
Speaker 1: yards because I think he's got more time in the

412
00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:03,320
Speaker 1: pocket to make better decisions. But you're talking about him

413
00:18:03,359 --> 00:18:06,000
Speaker 1: potentially being outside of the pocket, and let's talk about

414
00:18:06,000 --> 00:18:06,720
Speaker 1: his rushing yards.

415
00:18:06,800 --> 00:18:09,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, so you've also got there's some storm. There's some

416
00:18:09,880 --> 00:18:11,760
Speaker 2: weather that's going to be going on in this game

417
00:18:11,800 --> 00:18:14,560
Speaker 2: as well. And if the passing is a little bit

418
00:18:14,560 --> 00:18:17,000
Speaker 2: of struggle, the reason the passing yard total is lower

419
00:18:17,080 --> 00:18:18,520
Speaker 2: is because there's going to be some weather. So I'm

420
00:18:18,560 --> 00:18:21,040
Speaker 2: looking at Josh Allen rushing yards thirty eight and a half,

421
00:18:21,119 --> 00:18:23,680
Speaker 2: kind of a bigger number, but four of his last

422
00:18:24,160 --> 00:18:27,640
Speaker 2: seven playoff games he has hit this. He's also going

423
00:18:27,640 --> 00:18:31,119
Speaker 2: into this hitting this number two straight regular season games.

424
00:18:31,680 --> 00:18:33,720
Speaker 2: There's going to be some snow, there's going to be

425
00:18:33,760 --> 00:18:36,320
Speaker 2: some win, and I'm going to bring it back. There's

426
00:18:36,320 --> 00:18:38,879
Speaker 2: no TJ. Watt in this game, and I think if

427
00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:42,240
Speaker 2: you have coverage, Joey Porter Junior is pretty good cover corner.

428
00:18:42,600 --> 00:18:45,200
Speaker 2: If there is any stopped coverage for this team, I

429
00:18:45,240 --> 00:18:47,440
Speaker 2: think Josh Allen is going to take it down. He's

430
00:18:47,480 --> 00:18:50,080
Speaker 2: going to put the ball in his hands and is

431
00:18:50,119 --> 00:18:52,520
Speaker 2: going to be running around in these weather games. So

432
00:18:52,960 --> 00:18:56,639
Speaker 2: I don't mind this little bit larger total on the

433
00:18:56,680 --> 00:18:58,520
Speaker 2: rushing yards because I think I mean, I think he's

434
00:18:58,520 --> 00:19:01,720
Speaker 2: had eleven and fifteen rushing attempts each in his last

435
00:19:01,760 --> 00:19:03,880
Speaker 2: two games, so twenty six rushing attempts in his last

436
00:19:03,880 --> 00:19:07,200
Speaker 2: two games. This is gonna be Josh Allen running around

437
00:19:07,200 --> 00:19:09,199
Speaker 2: for first downs and probably getting some big carry. So

438
00:19:09,240 --> 00:19:12,120
Speaker 2: I love the rushing yard total for Josh Allen this week.

439
00:19:12,320 --> 00:19:14,480
Speaker 1: All right, Bogs, you predicted it and it came true,

440
00:19:14,600 --> 00:19:17,680
Speaker 1: much to your chagrin. So here we Erickson's not here

441
00:19:17,680 --> 00:19:20,520
Speaker 1: because he didn't want to take your abuse. Today he

442
00:19:20,560 --> 00:19:23,160
Speaker 1: went to the he chose the dentist. That's how much

443
00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:26,120
Speaker 1: he didn't want to take this abuse. But here we are.

444
00:19:26,600 --> 00:19:28,879
Speaker 1: Steelers are in playing Buffalo. What do you make of

445
00:19:28,920 --> 00:19:30,800
Speaker 1: this game? And what prop do you like attached to it?

446
00:19:31,040 --> 00:19:33,439
Speaker 3: What was the second part of I said, when the

447
00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:35,600
Speaker 3: Steelers are going to get into the playoffs? Show? What

448
00:19:35,920 --> 00:19:36,920
Speaker 3: did I say about?

449
00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:39,000
Speaker 1: You said they're gonna get in the playoffs without their

450
00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:40,720
Speaker 1: best player and now they're going to screw up their

451
00:19:40,760 --> 00:19:41,720
Speaker 1: draft pick. Yeah.

452
00:19:41,760 --> 00:19:43,760
Speaker 3: No, I said they're going to lose by thirty and

453
00:19:45,280 --> 00:19:48,439
Speaker 3: I am I'm not convinced that that can't happen, but

454
00:19:48,520 --> 00:19:52,199
Speaker 3: I do. I would rather play the Bills in Buffalo

455
00:19:52,200 --> 00:19:56,840
Speaker 3: than Miami. In Miami because there's Steelers cannot stop Tyreek

456
00:19:56,880 --> 00:19:59,399
Speaker 3: killing Jayalen Waddelly. It can't happen at least with the

457
00:19:59,640 --> 00:20:03,280
Speaker 3: weather here. And really it's not the cold in the snow,

458
00:20:03,320 --> 00:20:05,440
Speaker 3: because it is gonna be cold and snow in this game.

459
00:20:05,600 --> 00:20:08,760
Speaker 3: It's the wind. Twenty six miles per hour. That's a lot,

460
00:20:08,840 --> 00:20:11,639
Speaker 3: is what they're thinking about, perhaps for an average of

461
00:20:11,760 --> 00:20:15,480
Speaker 3: wind speed in this game, which is just insane. So

462
00:20:15,680 --> 00:20:18,080
Speaker 3: I think this is gonna be an under thirty six

463
00:20:18,119 --> 00:20:19,480
Speaker 3: and a half. He could still get a thirty six

464
00:20:19,520 --> 00:20:23,280
Speaker 3: and a half on FanDuel. It is dropping because everyone's

465
00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:24,159
Speaker 3: taking the under right now.

466
00:20:24,200 --> 00:20:25,679
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, it's thirty five and a half way and

467
00:20:25,680 --> 00:20:28,080
Speaker 1: to your point two that that rushing total win from

468
00:20:28,119 --> 00:20:29,920
Speaker 1: thirty eight and a half to forty and a half

469
00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:33,159
Speaker 1: right now too. See he's really yeah right now.

470
00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:35,560
Speaker 3: See stuff is really because this weather is just looking

471
00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:37,959
Speaker 3: nastier and nastier. So I do think the Steelers can

472
00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:40,320
Speaker 3: stay in this game. So I do like them plus

473
00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:43,320
Speaker 3: the double digits, but I just like the under in

474
00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:45,320
Speaker 3: this game. I think both teams are going to have

475
00:20:45,560 --> 00:20:48,040
Speaker 3: to run the ball, and I'm also gonna take an

476
00:20:48,080 --> 00:20:50,920
Speaker 3: over rushing prop myself. I'm gonna take the over thirty

477
00:20:50,960 --> 00:20:53,399
Speaker 3: six and a half rushing yards for Jalen Warren and

478
00:20:53,480 --> 00:20:55,280
Speaker 3: I know he didn't have a good game the last

479
00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:58,280
Speaker 3: week against Buffalo. He fumbled a couple times too, But

480
00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:01,160
Speaker 3: this is a thirty six and a half. Warren can

481
00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:03,680
Speaker 3: break one off for twenty at any point. He's super

482
00:21:03,680 --> 00:21:06,399
Speaker 3: super fast, He's explosive, number one elusive rating in the

483
00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:10,720
Speaker 3: NFL according to PFF. He's a good running back. Still,

484
00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:12,800
Speaker 3: they're gonna have to run the ball a ton. They're

485
00:21:12,800 --> 00:21:15,320
Speaker 3: gonna have to have Mason Rudolph be accurate, which he

486
00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:18,720
Speaker 3: has been recently. So I think the Stealers stay in

487
00:21:18,760 --> 00:21:21,719
Speaker 3: this game, but ultimately they do not have the horses,

488
00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:24,360
Speaker 3: especially without t. J. Watt, to win it. So yes,

489
00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:27,280
Speaker 3: I think Buffalo's gonna win. I don't know about the total.

490
00:21:27,840 --> 00:21:29,720
Speaker 3: I don't like it, especially if the Steelers get down

491
00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:31,960
Speaker 3: early and they have to pass in this nasty weather.

492
00:21:32,280 --> 00:21:34,960
Speaker 3: Just gonna make for a bad predicament for them. But

493
00:21:35,520 --> 00:21:38,480
Speaker 3: I do like this total rushing yards for Jalen.

494
00:21:38,840 --> 00:21:43,120
Speaker 1: I'm laughing because for your complete night mare scenario, the

495
00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:45,280
Speaker 1: score would have to be thirty to six. That's what

496
00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:48,600
Speaker 1: you have to be. So hmm, just remember that kids,

497
00:21:49,520 --> 00:21:52,360
Speaker 1: Saturday afternoon. All right, let's get to the next game here,

498
00:21:52,359 --> 00:21:54,639
Speaker 1: because he's got two more Sunday night. I love you

499
00:21:55,280 --> 00:21:57,640
Speaker 1: that have big time totals, and I'm excited about these

500
00:21:57,960 --> 00:21:59,960
Speaker 1: more than you'll ever know. That's how much I love you.

501
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:03,240
Speaker 1: Green Bay Dallas, let's go. H We've got the Mike

502
00:22:03,320 --> 00:22:06,239
Speaker 1: McCarthy narrative. I guess that's fun for some people, but

503
00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:09,119
Speaker 1: I don't care. Dallas at home has been tremendous all season.

504
00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:14,720
Speaker 1: Big total certainly, Dallas favored by seven feels about right.

505
00:22:15,080 --> 00:22:16,760
Speaker 1: Green Bay on the money line if you like the

506
00:22:16,840 --> 00:22:19,600
Speaker 1: upset and green Bay oddly enough, sometimes these games like

507
00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:21,560
Speaker 1: can you know nobody gave them a shot to win

508
00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:23,560
Speaker 1: on Thanksgiving and they kind of shocked the world there,

509
00:22:23,640 --> 00:22:25,280
Speaker 1: Like you can't put it past the Packers. It makes

510
00:22:25,320 --> 00:22:29,000
Speaker 1: them a little dangerous. So Bogs. All that being said,

511
00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:31,160
Speaker 1: where do you stand on this game? And what prop

512
00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:31,639
Speaker 1: do you like?

513
00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:34,520
Speaker 3: Give me the over? I want the old green Bay

514
00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:37,280
Speaker 3: at Dallas over fifty and a half. Look, I know

515
00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:40,159
Speaker 3: green Bay's defense played well last week in Chicago. I

516
00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:44,120
Speaker 3: do not care. Chicago's offense is not good at all,

517
00:22:44,280 --> 00:22:47,679
Speaker 3: even with justin Fields. Right now, Dallas is rolling. I

518
00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:49,639
Speaker 3: think there's gonna be a ton of points put up

519
00:22:49,640 --> 00:22:53,879
Speaker 3: in this game by Dallas Green Bay. I'm not sure

520
00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:56,360
Speaker 3: Jordan Love has been on a heater. So I don't

521
00:22:56,400 --> 00:22:58,280
Speaker 3: want to not like you said, Joe, I don't want

522
00:22:58,280 --> 00:23:01,320
Speaker 3: to pick against the Packers just because they have been

523
00:23:01,320 --> 00:23:04,720
Speaker 3: playing so well in this stretch to get into the playoffs.

524
00:23:04,800 --> 00:23:06,679
Speaker 3: So just give me the over and as far as

525
00:23:06,720 --> 00:23:09,080
Speaker 3: a prop, give me a Jayden Reid anytime touchdown. It's

526
00:23:09,080 --> 00:23:11,880
Speaker 3: plus one seventy right now he has ten. He has

527
00:23:11,960 --> 00:23:14,399
Speaker 3: eight through the air, two rushing, plus a bunch of

528
00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:17,879
Speaker 3: two point conversion attempts have been focused on him as well.

529
00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:20,280
Speaker 3: They draw up a ton of plays for him near

530
00:23:20,320 --> 00:23:23,200
Speaker 3: the goal line, so and they're going to be losing,

531
00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:26,720
Speaker 3: I assume and coming back. Hopefully he can have one

532
00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:29,320
Speaker 3: before that, but if not, more opportunity for him there

533
00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:32,600
Speaker 3: as well. So Jade Reid anytime touchdown is one of

534
00:23:32,600 --> 00:23:35,320
Speaker 3: my favorites this week, and getting plus one seventy I

535
00:23:35,359 --> 00:23:39,080
Speaker 3: normally like double on anytime tds that one is. I

536
00:23:39,080 --> 00:23:40,439
Speaker 3: think it's a great number for Jaden.

537
00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:42,639
Speaker 1: I'm still a little sour though, because last week this

538
00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:45,600
Speaker 1: is the only thing I got wrong on the Prediction

539
00:23:45,640 --> 00:23:47,560
Speaker 1: Show and FP I was four for five and the

540
00:23:47,600 --> 00:23:49,720
Speaker 1: one thing I got wrong was a Jaden Reid touchdown.

541
00:23:49,880 --> 00:23:52,680
Speaker 1: I even had Jonathan Taylor over one hundred yards against

542
00:23:52,720 --> 00:23:55,199
Speaker 1: the Texans, and Ericson was telling me that I had

543
00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:58,160
Speaker 1: completely you know, fallen off the wagon, had too many

544
00:23:58,240 --> 00:24:00,800
Speaker 1: drinks and like that was it. No, They're gonna put

545
00:24:00,800 --> 00:24:02,600
Speaker 1: the ball in Jonathan Taylor's hands and sure you have won.

546
00:24:02,640 --> 00:24:04,359
Speaker 1: For one eighty eight. All I knew was a Jayden

547
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:06,960
Speaker 1: Reid touch out. I couldn't get it. Hopefully we get

548
00:24:06,960 --> 00:24:09,280
Speaker 1: it today or should I say Sunday. That's a good

549
00:24:09,359 --> 00:24:11,240
Speaker 1: number plus one seventy. I think you still invest in

550
00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:13,320
Speaker 1: that one. I'm with you one hundred percent. Well, Shaw,

551
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:16,600
Speaker 1: do you see this one? Dallas Green Bay? Does Dallas

552
00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:20,520
Speaker 1: revert yet again to the Dallas Cowboys who underwhelm in

553
00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:24,200
Speaker 1: big spots or at home. This is a different dack

554
00:24:24,520 --> 00:24:25,560
Speaker 1: led Dallas team.

555
00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:29,240
Speaker 2: No, I mean Boggs has almost the exact same stuff

556
00:24:29,280 --> 00:24:32,120
Speaker 2: that I put on. I have the over in this game.

557
00:24:32,200 --> 00:24:34,240
Speaker 2: This is a clear cut one. To me. Packers defense

558
00:24:34,280 --> 00:24:36,119
Speaker 2: has been bad. Cowboys are going to score a lot

559
00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:39,960
Speaker 2: of points. But Jordan Love slings the ball. They slang

560
00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:41,480
Speaker 2: the ball, and I think they're gonna put up some

561
00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:44,240
Speaker 2: backdoor points. So I love the over fifty and a

562
00:24:44,280 --> 00:24:46,800
Speaker 2: half and my prop is also on Jayden Reid, but

563
00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:51,240
Speaker 2: it's not anytime touchdowns. It's the reception prop. Now things

564
00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:53,080
Speaker 2: are moving a little bit, but as I checked this

565
00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:55,960
Speaker 2: last night, four and a half was plus money plus

566
00:24:55,960 --> 00:24:59,240
Speaker 2: one h five on DK for his receptions. Reid has

567
00:24:59,359 --> 00:25:02,720
Speaker 2: hit the those five plus four of his last five games,

568
00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:06,000
Speaker 2: and seven of the last eight wide receivers up against

569
00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:09,720
Speaker 2: the Cowboys have had five receptions or more, so they've

570
00:25:09,840 --> 00:25:12,520
Speaker 2: hit this prop. Jaden Reid is the explosive guy. They

571
00:25:12,520 --> 00:25:14,399
Speaker 2: need the ball in his hands. They're going to be

572
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:16,840
Speaker 2: playing from behind, I expect most of the game. So

573
00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:20,960
Speaker 2: I love Jayden Reid receptions in this one. And that's

574
00:25:21,040 --> 00:25:22,359
Speaker 2: kind of where Bugs and I are both that I

575
00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:23,560
Speaker 2: think there's a lot of things you could play. I

576
00:25:23,840 --> 00:25:26,880
Speaker 2: like receptions, he likes touchdowns. I would also probably say

577
00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:29,639
Speaker 2: that yards are in play, so I might even screw

578
00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:33,000
Speaker 2: around into a little same game, parlay little receptions maybe

579
00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:36,360
Speaker 2: of four receptions fifty yards and anytime touchdown and see what.

580
00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:37,919
Speaker 1: That baby looks like. By the way, this is why

581
00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:39,480
Speaker 1: I use the betting pros app because I'm looking on

582
00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:41,119
Speaker 1: it right now, when you mentioned that line being at

583
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:42,200
Speaker 1: what plus one.

584
00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:43,679
Speaker 2: Of those plus one oh five on D you.

585
00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:45,359
Speaker 1: Can get at plus one sixteen on the four and

586
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:48,880
Speaker 1: a half over on fandle betting pros. That's what you get.

587
00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:50,919
Speaker 1: All right, Let's go to the next game here. This

588
00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:53,520
Speaker 1: is the one you know, I like the most, the

589
00:25:53,680 --> 00:25:59,040
Speaker 1: Jared Goff Matthew Stafford game. Get all those pieces back together.

590
00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:01,879
Speaker 1: And if anybody he knows the weaknesses of Jared Goff,

591
00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:04,920
Speaker 1: I guarantee you it is Sean McVay, and I believe

592
00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:07,359
Speaker 1: Sean McVay is going to expose him. I love the

593
00:26:07,480 --> 00:26:09,960
Speaker 1: Rams in this game so much, Welsh. I'm gonna be

594
00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:12,720
Speaker 1: so disappointed if the Rams let me down. But I

595
00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:14,719
Speaker 1: love the Rams. I'm sorry, Detroit fans. I know we're

596
00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:17,879
Speaker 1: finally getting nice things. The total is huge for this game, Welsh.

597
00:26:17,920 --> 00:26:19,920
Speaker 1: How do you see this one? Shaken out? Yep?

598
00:26:20,040 --> 00:26:22,240
Speaker 2: I am with you. I like the Rams in this one.

599
00:26:22,280 --> 00:26:24,919
Speaker 2: You know I have the plus three. I kind of

600
00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:28,639
Speaker 2: like the idea of uh it is plus three right, yeah, yeah.

601
00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:31,119
Speaker 1: They're getting three plus money and plus one forty on

602
00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:31,640
Speaker 1: the money line.

603
00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:34,320
Speaker 2: About say, if I'm being a smarter play here, I'm

604
00:26:34,320 --> 00:26:36,240
Speaker 2: probably gonna take money line. You know what, I'll just

605
00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:38,159
Speaker 2: flip that, bad boy. I'm gonna flip it to the

606
00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:40,960
Speaker 2: money line. We're gonna go plus plus one forty rams

607
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:43,160
Speaker 2: money line. I think the defense is better. I think

608
00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:46,600
Speaker 2: the offense is gonna be clicking. Better running back, and

609
00:26:46,680 --> 00:26:49,200
Speaker 2: I'm gonna throw this on this side. Better running back,

610
00:26:49,200 --> 00:26:51,880
Speaker 2: you know quote Jamior Gibbs and Montgomery pretty damn good.

611
00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:54,800
Speaker 2: But I'm gonna throw this over to you. My second

612
00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:57,040
Speaker 2: favorite of the props I've been giving you all these

613
00:26:57,080 --> 00:27:00,679
Speaker 2: different proble numbers. I betted immediately before it moved. Matthew

614
00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:03,439
Speaker 2: Stafford's passing yard total I locked it in last night.

615
00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:07,040
Speaker 2: Two seventy four and a half was the number. He

616
00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:09,200
Speaker 2: has hit this in four of his last five games.

617
00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:13,040
Speaker 2: And guess what, Lions giving up the most passing yards

618
00:27:13,040 --> 00:27:17,320
Speaker 2: in the NFL over the last month, and revenge narrative,

619
00:27:17,560 --> 00:27:21,240
Speaker 2: always revenge narrative. He's going over three hundred. So I

620
00:27:21,320 --> 00:27:24,080
Speaker 2: love the passing yard prop for Matthew Stafford in this game.

621
00:27:24,240 --> 00:27:26,439
Speaker 1: I love the idea of Matthew Stafford going in and

622
00:27:26,520 --> 00:27:30,080
Speaker 1: just you know, giving the big Godfather kiss and then

623
00:27:30,280 --> 00:27:33,000
Speaker 1: sticking the knife in like, I just it feels very Italian,

624
00:27:33,040 --> 00:27:34,919
Speaker 1: this whole game. For Matthew Stafford. I really like it

625
00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:38,439
Speaker 1: a lot. Bogs. Am I getting too narrativy or do

626
00:27:38,480 --> 00:27:41,479
Speaker 1: you think shine box? Hey, don't you tell me what

627
00:27:41,520 --> 00:27:41,720
Speaker 1: to do?

628
00:27:41,800 --> 00:27:45,359
Speaker 3: You just got out of prison Detroit minus three. I'm

629
00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:50,040
Speaker 3: taking the Lions here. I understand what you guys are

630
00:27:50,040 --> 00:27:54,640
Speaker 3: saying about Sean McVay and golf, but there's no revenge

631
00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:57,320
Speaker 3: game there. Stafford wanted to be traded. It's not a

632
00:27:57,359 --> 00:27:58,520
Speaker 3: revenge game for him.

633
00:27:58,600 --> 00:28:01,760
Speaker 2: He loves Detroit, in Detroit, and he gets to win

634
00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:02,560
Speaker 2: in Detroit.

635
00:28:03,000 --> 00:28:06,880
Speaker 3: He rams they didn't give up on him. He wanted

636
00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:10,520
Speaker 3: to be traded. So look, I think I think you're

637
00:28:10,560 --> 00:28:14,560
Speaker 3: gonna see the Lions offense show up in this game.

638
00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:17,719
Speaker 3: That's I like the over, I like Detroit laying the points.

639
00:28:17,880 --> 00:28:20,920
Speaker 3: But I think this is gonna be perhaps the most

640
00:28:21,000 --> 00:28:23,240
Speaker 3: fun game of the weekend because I think there are

641
00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:25,800
Speaker 3: gonna be so many points scored in it. But my

642
00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:28,560
Speaker 3: prop give me Cooper Cup over sixty eight and a

643
00:28:28,600 --> 00:28:32,159
Speaker 3: half receiving yards. Like Lewels said, the Lions secondary has

644
00:28:32,200 --> 00:28:35,320
Speaker 3: been abysmal, and over the last three games they even

645
00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:38,600
Speaker 3: have three hundred and fifty one yards per game. The

646
00:28:38,600 --> 00:28:41,920
Speaker 3: next highest in average is the Saints at three oh nine,

647
00:28:42,200 --> 00:28:44,840
Speaker 3: so it's by forty yards. I expect the Lions to

648
00:28:44,880 --> 00:28:47,520
Speaker 3: be winning. I expect that offense to be humming and clicking,

649
00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:50,760
Speaker 3: and I think the Rams are gonna have to play comeback.

650
00:28:50,800 --> 00:28:53,000
Speaker 3: And if that is the case, then give me every

651
00:28:53,040 --> 00:28:56,240
Speaker 3: over for the Rams in terms of receiving all the

652
00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:59,960
Speaker 3: passing yards for Stafford, like well said Cooper cup Phukinakua higbee,

653
00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:03,400
Speaker 3: whoever you want. I like the overs in this game,

654
00:29:03,560 --> 00:29:04,600
Speaker 3: just overall.

655
00:29:04,320 --> 00:29:06,000
Speaker 2: Big number fifty one and a half I see on

656
00:29:06,080 --> 00:29:06,800
Speaker 2: DK right now.

657
00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:08,680
Speaker 1: So yeah, and we see a lot of these, you know,

658
00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:10,640
Speaker 1: this year, the big numbers have not really come in

659
00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:12,720
Speaker 1: a lot of times they have fallen, I understand, but

660
00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:16,000
Speaker 1: in one place, Fordfield. But I was gonna say except

661
00:29:16,000 --> 00:29:18,760
Speaker 1: in one place, Ford Field. Yeah, and their defense.

662
00:29:18,400 --> 00:29:21,640
Speaker 3: Has been so terrible. So I do think I still

663
00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:23,920
Speaker 3: think Aiden Hudginson makes a big play in this game.

664
00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:27,719
Speaker 3: I do think that the Lion's defense ultimately seals it

665
00:29:27,760 --> 00:29:30,480
Speaker 3: for them because the Rams have to pass and that

666
00:29:30,640 --> 00:29:33,880
Speaker 3: line is still okay, they're better at run blocking. But

667
00:29:34,440 --> 00:29:37,440
Speaker 3: I just I like Detroit at home to finally get

668
00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:38,200
Speaker 3: a win in the plan.

669
00:29:38,360 --> 00:29:39,840
Speaker 1: I wanted to leave this show on a high note,

670
00:29:39,880 --> 00:29:42,800
Speaker 1: but unfortunately it's going to be the Eagles in Tampa.

671
00:29:42,840 --> 00:29:44,640
Speaker 1: That's the last game I've talked about on Monday Night.

672
00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:47,520
Speaker 1: And I say this because everything in my soul all week.

673
00:29:47,560 --> 00:29:49,520
Speaker 1: I said it on the Tuesday Show and the look Ahead.

674
00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:51,600
Speaker 1: I want to take Tampa so bad, that's all I

675
00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:55,480
Speaker 1: want to do. I'm worried about Baker Mayfield's injury. I'm

676
00:29:55,520 --> 00:29:58,520
Speaker 1: worried about Tampa showing up and handling their business because

677
00:29:58,520 --> 00:30:01,160
Speaker 1: the last two weeks they barely could, or one week

678
00:30:01,200 --> 00:30:03,760
Speaker 1: they could not. They're plus one thirty six in the

679
00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:05,600
Speaker 1: money line. Everything's falling apart in Philadelphia.

680
00:30:05,560 --> 00:30:05,760
Speaker 4: A J.

681
00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:08,680
Speaker 1: Brown is not one hundred percent. Smith might not play,

682
00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:11,400
Speaker 1: I mean, in fighting. The whole thing is going on here.

683
00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:14,480
Speaker 1: Bog's see if you can convince me to do something

684
00:30:14,480 --> 00:30:16,120
Speaker 1: about this game, because I want to get in on it,

685
00:30:16,160 --> 00:30:17,720
Speaker 1: but I kind of feel like I'm going to continue

686
00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:20,400
Speaker 1: just wait and see the first opening drives and see

687
00:30:20,400 --> 00:30:22,400
Speaker 1: which team looks good, and then just live bet it

688
00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:26,320
Speaker 1: because I cannot stand this game the way it's structured

689
00:30:26,360 --> 00:30:28,240
Speaker 1: right now, with these teams coming into the situation.

690
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:32,480
Speaker 3: This is the movable option objects the stoppable force here

691
00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:34,640
Speaker 3: something that's so miserable.

692
00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:36,920
Speaker 1: That's a welshism, if ever there was, it really is.

693
00:30:37,040 --> 00:30:39,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, I still don't know how that's saying goes.

694
00:30:39,840 --> 00:30:49,280
Speaker 5: I can never say it rightmable object against the objects

695
00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:54,280
Speaker 5: that with the bush or whatever it is.

696
00:30:54,440 --> 00:30:56,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, objects in the rear view mirror.

697
00:30:56,480 --> 00:30:59,440
Speaker 2: I'll be like, check, no.

698
00:30:59,320 --> 00:31:03,880
Speaker 3: Don't give me the Bucks money line. Oh, Kelly's Philly's

699
00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:06,880
Speaker 3: been miserable. You're getting plus money plus one thirty four.

700
00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:09,520
Speaker 3: They can't stop the pass at all right now. It's

701
00:31:09,560 --> 00:31:12,120
Speaker 3: all the Bucks do is pass in like you know,

702
00:31:12,320 --> 00:31:15,720
Speaker 3: short runs to Rashad White and throw him the ball.

703
00:31:15,920 --> 00:31:18,520
Speaker 3: It's the same offense, just like I said going into

704
00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:20,880
Speaker 3: the season, it's the same offense that they had with

705
00:31:20,920 --> 00:31:23,640
Speaker 3: Tom Brady, just way less effective because Baker is running

706
00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:26,840
Speaker 3: it right, but he still runs it and Philly can't

707
00:31:26,880 --> 00:31:30,360
Speaker 3: stop anything right now. I have no faith in them

708
00:31:30,800 --> 00:31:33,320
Speaker 3: ever since that choke job to Seattle. It's just it

709
00:31:33,360 --> 00:31:36,239
Speaker 3: looks like they are just going through the motions at

710
00:31:36,280 --> 00:31:40,560
Speaker 3: Tampa Bay had a big, fiery win last week. Mayfield

711
00:31:40,640 --> 00:31:44,000
Speaker 3: is playing banged up. I know that but I'm gonna

712
00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:47,880
Speaker 3: take Tampa Bay, and I like Mike Evans' longest reception

713
00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:50,760
Speaker 3: over twenty five and a half yards in this game.

714
00:31:50,760 --> 00:31:53,560
Speaker 3: Philly has been giving up big completions. Forty six to

715
00:31:53,600 --> 00:31:57,000
Speaker 3: Barkley last week. It was thirty six to Arizona a

716
00:31:57,040 --> 00:32:00,280
Speaker 3: couple weeks ago, another sixty nine yard er to Slimon

717
00:32:00,640 --> 00:32:04,360
Speaker 3: thirty four yards a metcalp before that. And this is

718
00:32:04,400 --> 00:32:07,240
Speaker 3: two guys all over the field, Dortsch and the slot

719
00:32:07,360 --> 00:32:11,000
Speaker 3: Slayton out wide, Barkley coming out of the backfield. Their

720
00:32:11,040 --> 00:32:13,719
Speaker 3: defense is not good at anything right now. So I

721
00:32:13,760 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 3: think knowing that Mike Evans is a big play guy

722
00:32:16,280 --> 00:32:18,720
Speaker 3: doesn't really matter. I think he's gonna make a big

723
00:32:18,760 --> 00:32:21,440
Speaker 3: play in this game, even though there's gonna be It's

724
00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:23,800
Speaker 3: not gonna be crazy windy, but it is gonna be raining,

725
00:32:23,840 --> 00:32:25,760
Speaker 3: it looks like in this game, or at least slick

726
00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:29,600
Speaker 3: from rain. Maybe before this game, maybe a defensive back

727
00:32:29,640 --> 00:32:32,080
Speaker 3: falls down here for him. I just think Mike Evans

728
00:32:32,120 --> 00:32:33,960
Speaker 3: gets a big, big play in this game.

729
00:32:34,240 --> 00:32:37,400
Speaker 1: You're probably right, Box, I mean, everything should say that

730
00:32:37,560 --> 00:32:40,360
Speaker 1: the way the secondary for the Eagles is played, that

731
00:32:40,680 --> 00:32:43,560
Speaker 1: Godwin and Evan should all be over maybe even Kate

732
00:32:43,600 --> 00:32:45,600
Speaker 1: Auton too, with the way things have gone for this team.

733
00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:46,640
Speaker 1: But I don't know.

734
00:32:46,680 --> 00:32:49,080
Speaker 3: It's just something different about the playoffs. I understand, and

735
00:32:49,080 --> 00:32:52,120
Speaker 3: they're at home. I get it. But you know, I

736
00:32:52,120 --> 00:32:54,040
Speaker 3: think you're right. I cannot trust Philly.

737
00:32:54,280 --> 00:32:56,760
Speaker 1: I can't no I and and I can't trust him either.

738
00:32:56,800 --> 00:32:58,680
Speaker 1: I think bucks money line is probably where I'm going

739
00:32:58,720 --> 00:32:59,880
Speaker 1: with this one too, where I land at the end

740
00:32:59,880 --> 00:33:02,040
Speaker 1: of the Welsh Where are you landing on this game?

741
00:33:02,080 --> 00:33:04,200
Speaker 1: Because this one's definitely a peculiar.

742
00:33:03,880 --> 00:33:07,120
Speaker 2: I hate this game. I know it's all props, but

743
00:33:07,920 --> 00:33:11,320
Speaker 2: I was sitting on Philly because I just don't trust Tampa.

744
00:33:11,320 --> 00:33:13,840
Speaker 2: I don't trust Baker Mayfield.

745
00:33:13,880 --> 00:33:15,920
Speaker 3: Win by two touchdowns, Yeah, they.

746
00:33:15,880 --> 00:33:18,480
Speaker 2: Should win before the game starts. It should but they

747
00:33:18,480 --> 00:33:21,520
Speaker 2: have been playing so bad and they're chasing their tails

748
00:33:21,560 --> 00:33:23,640
Speaker 2: and there's a lot of just crap with it. So

749
00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:26,160
Speaker 2: my initial thought was, all right, maybe just take Philly

750
00:33:26,200 --> 00:33:28,760
Speaker 2: minus three. I'm gonna go back to one of my

751
00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:31,600
Speaker 2: half bets and I'm gonna say I can get Philly

752
00:33:31,640 --> 00:33:34,160
Speaker 2: minus one and a half in the first half. I

753
00:33:34,160 --> 00:33:37,120
Speaker 2: think Jalen Hurts could potentially control this game in the

754
00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:39,840
Speaker 2: early on set they may end up losing it. This

755
00:33:39,880 --> 00:33:41,200
Speaker 2: is why I want to take a half. So I'm

756
00:33:41,200 --> 00:33:44,480
Speaker 2: gonna take Philly minus one and a half first half.

757
00:33:44,520 --> 00:33:46,960
Speaker 2: Maybe a field goal gets me over the line. I

758
00:33:47,000 --> 00:33:48,920
Speaker 2: think the total points is twenty and a half, and

759
00:33:48,960 --> 00:33:51,160
Speaker 2: I just I just don't quite trust where that's gonna go.

760
00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:53,040
Speaker 2: So give me Philly in the first half for a

761
00:33:53,040 --> 00:33:56,360
Speaker 2: little bit of domination. And I love and I've been

762
00:33:56,360 --> 00:33:59,480
Speaker 2: doing it all season long. My Rashad White receiving yards

763
00:33:59,520 --> 00:34:02,520
Speaker 2: bet has been a prop I've consistently been on. It's

764
00:34:02,560 --> 00:34:04,600
Speaker 2: twenty four and a half. I think he's going to

765
00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:08,480
Speaker 2: be critical to this game. I personally think, as I'm

766
00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:10,319
Speaker 2: talking through this, like it could go either way. But

767
00:34:10,440 --> 00:34:12,279
Speaker 2: I think Tampa Bay could be playing a little bit

768
00:34:12,280 --> 00:34:14,759
Speaker 2: from behind and that works in favor of Rashad White,

769
00:34:14,840 --> 00:34:18,160
Speaker 2: especially them using him down the middle of the field,

770
00:34:18,360 --> 00:34:20,359
Speaker 2: or you know, if it's the end of a half,

771
00:34:20,400 --> 00:34:22,680
Speaker 2: you could see Rashad White getting a long reception. But

772
00:34:22,800 --> 00:34:26,280
Speaker 2: he has hit this number four of his last six weeks.

773
00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:27,800
Speaker 2: All right, I'm sorry for the last six week the

774
00:34:27,840 --> 00:34:30,719
Speaker 2: Eagles have given this prop number up to a running back.

775
00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:34,120
Speaker 2: He has had four or more receptions in three straight

776
00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:38,240
Speaker 2: games Rashad White, and he did finish fourth among running

777
00:34:38,239 --> 00:34:40,920
Speaker 2: backs on the year as far as receptions go. So

778
00:34:40,960 --> 00:34:42,640
Speaker 2: I think they need to get the ball in his hands.

779
00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:45,040
Speaker 2: He's getting it four times of games right now, and

780
00:34:45,080 --> 00:34:46,680
Speaker 2: I need twenty five yards from it. So give me

781
00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:49,759
Speaker 2: receiving yard prop for Rashad White from my final prop.

782
00:34:50,000 --> 00:34:52,080
Speaker 1: I'll tell you what, man, when you watch this game,

783
00:34:52,120 --> 00:34:54,520
Speaker 1: if the Eagles look flat in that first series, I'm

784
00:34:54,520 --> 00:34:56,839
Speaker 1: gonna go all in on Tampa like that. That's why

785
00:34:56,840 --> 00:34:57,160
Speaker 1: I do it.

786
00:34:57,239 --> 00:34:58,880
Speaker 3: Like that's probably the best way to do it, by

787
00:34:58,920 --> 00:34:59,879
Speaker 3: the way, because if.

788
00:34:59,800 --> 00:35:01,520
Speaker 1: You if they look good, they have a good drive,

789
00:35:01,560 --> 00:35:04,160
Speaker 1: that makes you go okay, you know, maybe the Eagles

790
00:35:04,200 --> 00:35:06,279
Speaker 1: actually showed up and they're flipping the switch here or

791
00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:08,680
Speaker 1: they're putting everything behind them, but they look like crap

792
00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:11,080
Speaker 1: in that first series. It's kind of indicative. And I

793
00:35:11,080 --> 00:35:12,799
Speaker 1: said this on the other show too, and I think

794
00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:14,560
Speaker 1: it makes sense. Boggs, You'll understand a couple weeks ago

795
00:35:14,600 --> 00:35:17,200
Speaker 1: on Christmas weekend, you know, when the Steelers came out

796
00:35:17,280 --> 00:35:19,239
Speaker 1: hot and that crowd was hot and everything was just

797
00:35:19,320 --> 00:35:20,879
Speaker 1: lean on the big play of pickings. You're like, well,

798
00:35:21,200 --> 00:35:23,080
Speaker 1: nobody's winning this game. But the Steelers today, Like you

799
00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:24,880
Speaker 1: knew that in the first minute and a half of

800
00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:27,239
Speaker 1: that game that Pittsburgh was winning that game, you might

801
00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:29,439
Speaker 1: get that feeling in this one. Either way. I would wait.

802
00:35:29,560 --> 00:35:31,759
Speaker 1: This is a definite in game one for me, just

803
00:35:31,800 --> 00:35:34,840
Speaker 1: to recap what the boys are on. They are both

804
00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:38,480
Speaker 1: on Let's see, let's start with Houston Cleveland forty four

805
00:35:38,520 --> 00:35:41,040
Speaker 1: and a half under. That's where Welsh is and Djoku

806
00:35:41,120 --> 00:35:43,200
Speaker 1: fifty five and a half over receiving yards, but he

807
00:35:43,320 --> 00:35:45,719
Speaker 1: liked to push it up to the eighty plus to

808
00:35:45,760 --> 00:35:48,040
Speaker 1: get two forty five plus two forty five a nice number.

809
00:35:48,120 --> 00:35:50,719
Speaker 1: Bogs is on Cleveland in this one the two and

810
00:35:50,800 --> 00:35:53,759
Speaker 1: a half and Amari Cooper over five and a half receptions.

811
00:35:54,120 --> 00:35:57,279
Speaker 1: Boggs is also on Patrick Mahomes the four and a

812
00:35:57,320 --> 00:36:00,359
Speaker 1: half on the Kansas City Chiefs, but the un on

813
00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:03,839
Speaker 1: Mahomes rushing yards at twenty eight and a half. Going

814
00:36:03,880 --> 00:36:06,600
Speaker 1: to that same game, Welsh likes the under for the

815
00:36:06,640 --> 00:36:09,840
Speaker 1: Miami Kansas City game at forty four Travis Kelce fifty

816
00:36:09,960 --> 00:36:13,640
Speaker 1: seven and a half over on the receiving yards. Welsh

817
00:36:13,800 --> 00:36:16,520
Speaker 1: with the Bills game, he wants the Bills side the

818
00:36:16,520 --> 00:36:19,040
Speaker 1: min six and a half Josh Allen rushing yards over,

819
00:36:19,080 --> 00:36:21,000
Speaker 1: which is excuse me, the first half part of me

820
00:36:21,040 --> 00:36:23,880
Speaker 1: six and a half, and then the Josh Allen thirty

821
00:36:23,880 --> 00:36:25,960
Speaker 1: eight and a half which is now forty. So again

822
00:36:26,040 --> 00:36:28,280
Speaker 1: if you like it, bet it soon because it keeps moving.

823
00:36:29,200 --> 00:36:31,840
Speaker 1: Boggs with his Pittsburgh Steelers the under thirty six and

824
00:36:31,880 --> 00:36:33,600
Speaker 1: a half Jalen Warren over thirty six and a half

825
00:36:33,680 --> 00:36:35,959
Speaker 1: rushing yards. Then you go to Green Bay Dallas game.

826
00:36:36,600 --> 00:36:39,160
Speaker 1: The Boys are both on the over. That's easy. You

827
00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:41,520
Speaker 1: have Jayden Reid for the over receptions at four and

828
00:36:41,560 --> 00:36:43,200
Speaker 1: a half. But again on FanDuel, we pointed out you

829
00:36:43,200 --> 00:36:45,399
Speaker 1: can get a better number plus one sixteen as most

830
00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:48,040
Speaker 1: of the one oh five Jayden Reid anytime touchdown plus

831
00:36:48,040 --> 00:36:50,799
Speaker 1: one seventy Welsh, and I like the Rams for the

832
00:36:50,840 --> 00:36:52,960
Speaker 1: upset plus one forty on the money line straight up

833
00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:55,160
Speaker 1: Stafford over two seventy four and a half for Welsh.

834
00:36:55,320 --> 00:36:57,480
Speaker 1: I'm on that one as well. Boggs is on the

835
00:36:57,480 --> 00:36:59,919
Speaker 1: Cooper Cup sixty eight and a half receiving yards over

836
00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:03,480
Speaker 1: and also on the Detroit side. So boo Scott Bogman,

837
00:37:03,600 --> 00:37:06,360
Speaker 1: boo him, that's no fun. Let's go Rams. Then you

838
00:37:06,440 --> 00:37:09,560
Speaker 1: got the Tampa money line for Boggs against the Philadelphia Eagles.

839
00:37:09,560 --> 00:37:12,280
Speaker 1: Mike Evans longer suception over twenty five and a half

840
00:37:12,280 --> 00:37:15,200
Speaker 1: that big play could be there, and first half minus

841
00:37:15,200 --> 00:37:18,240
Speaker 1: one and a half on the Philly side for Welsh,

842
00:37:18,239 --> 00:37:19,920
Speaker 1: but he's going right back to the well again for

843
00:37:20,080 --> 00:37:23,479
Speaker 1: Shad White receiving yards over twenty four and a half.

844
00:37:23,480 --> 00:37:25,120
Speaker 1: So that's the lay of the land for a Super

845
00:37:25,160 --> 00:37:27,799
Speaker 1: wild Card weekend. We hope you enjoy all the action.

846
00:37:27,960 --> 00:37:30,000
Speaker 1: Make sure you bet responsible and make sure you also

847
00:37:30,440 --> 00:37:32,440
Speaker 1: use the Betting Pros app so you can bet smarter,

848
00:37:32,600 --> 00:37:34,919
Speaker 1: not harder. At the same time, we showed you during

849
00:37:34,960 --> 00:37:37,399
Speaker 1: the show just how the lines are moving and also

850
00:37:37,400 --> 00:37:39,040
Speaker 1: where you can get the best action, So make sure

851
00:37:39,040 --> 00:37:41,120
Speaker 1: you get the best number you can attach to the

852
00:37:41,160 --> 00:37:43,000
Speaker 1: bets you want to put. That's how it all works.

853
00:37:43,000 --> 00:37:45,799
Speaker 1: See that's how you get value and go play the

854
00:37:45,840 --> 00:37:48,680
Speaker 1: Pickham Contest NFL playoff Pick Them is available right now

855
00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:53,399
Speaker 1: bettingpros dot Com slash splash. That'll do it for us,

856
00:37:53,440 --> 00:37:55,600
Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for Bogman

857
00:37:55,640 --> 00:37:59,040
Speaker 1: and Welsh. I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time kids.

858
00:37:59,600 --> 00:38:03,359
Speaker 1: What by y I didn't know you were gonna sing.

859
00:38:04,760 --> 00:38:07,360
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

860
00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:09,799
Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

861
00:38:09,800 --> 00:38:13,200
Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

862
00:38:13,520 --> 00:38:16,120
Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and

863
00:38:16,239 --> 00:38:19,880
Speaker 4: Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube

864
00:38:19,960 --> 00:38:22,440
Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.