1
00:00:01,280 --> 00:00:02,200
Speaker 1: All right, here we go.

2
00:00:07,280 --> 00:00:11,119
Speaker 2: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, Tony Cony five

3
00:00:11,160 --> 00:00:16,759
Speaker 2: fifty and the kick is black the college football Laura Stunner,

4
00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:22,240
Speaker 2: Oh my godness, he's stumble.

5
00:00:21,880 --> 00:00:27,760
Speaker 3: The lateral turn a corner on the job, don't you.

6
00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:28,840
Speaker 2: The lad.

7
00:00:30,680 --> 00:00:32,280
Speaker 4: Came off the day of the night.

8
00:00:35,880 --> 00:00:38,720
Speaker 2: It's not the size of the dog in the fight.

9
00:00:39,120 --> 00:00:44,800
Speaker 2: It's the size of the fight in the dog. Welcome

10
00:00:44,800 --> 00:00:47,159
Speaker 2: to the Big Bets on Campus podcast. This is our

11
00:00:47,200 --> 00:00:50,040
Speaker 2: a group of five deep dive. I'm joining us always

12
00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:52,440
Speaker 2: by Mike Ianello. I am Mike Calabrey's and we have

13
00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:55,680
Speaker 2: made it all the way. We've traversed the tricky landscape

14
00:00:55,680 --> 00:00:58,880
Speaker 2: of college football. But we're now here at Championship Week,

15
00:00:59,080 --> 00:01:02,120
Speaker 2: which is incredibly here in G five lands have five

16
00:01:02,240 --> 00:01:06,040
Speaker 2: matchups that offer all kinds of intrigue angles to play.

17
00:01:06,600 --> 00:01:11,600
Speaker 2: We've left no stone left unturnedier really looking at the

18
00:01:11,680 --> 00:01:14,520
Speaker 2: matchups that the game within the game so to speak,

19
00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:17,280
Speaker 2: that are going to play out on Saturday and Friday

20
00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:19,360
Speaker 2: as well, not having to wait all the way for

21
00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:22,360
Speaker 2: that Saturday kickoff. I know, how do you feel now

22
00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:24,800
Speaker 2: that we've gone through an entire season? And I'll also

23
00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:27,200
Speaker 2: preface it by saying there were some players that we

24
00:01:27,200 --> 00:01:29,320
Speaker 2: were hyping up all the way back in August, and

25
00:01:29,400 --> 00:01:32,960
Speaker 2: one in particular, I think ended up validating our our

26
00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:35,080
Speaker 2: love and praise. Bailey z Abbe.

27
00:01:36,160 --> 00:01:38,280
Speaker 3: Bailey Zaby.

28
00:01:39,080 --> 00:01:41,520
Speaker 2: I'll just I'll just say the name and then you respond,

29
00:01:41,640 --> 00:01:42,399
Speaker 2: Bailey's Abby.

30
00:01:43,080 --> 00:01:45,399
Speaker 4: Oh he warms my soul. This has been a very

31
00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:47,560
Speaker 4: fun year for us. You know, obviously first year doing

32
00:01:47,560 --> 00:01:50,280
Speaker 4: this podcast. You know, our loyal listeners that have been

33
00:01:50,320 --> 00:01:52,400
Speaker 4: with us from the start, I hope kind of get

34
00:01:52,440 --> 00:01:54,400
Speaker 4: the same sense of like, these are our teams because

35
00:01:54,400 --> 00:01:56,080
Speaker 4: we've been on them from the start. We've been on

36
00:01:56,400 --> 00:01:59,240
Speaker 4: the Western you know, we hyped that Bailey's Abbe preseason.

37
00:01:59,520 --> 00:02:03,559
Speaker 4: We love Youtsa, you know, the Fresno States we've talked about.

38
00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:05,320
Speaker 4: You know, towards the end of the year, I got

39
00:02:05,320 --> 00:02:08,520
Speaker 4: on that old Dominion train and rode them to hopefully

40
00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:12,960
Speaker 4: a bowl game. We are on Brett McMurphy Bowl announcement watch,

41
00:02:13,120 --> 00:02:15,200
Speaker 4: and if the Monarchs get screwed out of a ball

42
00:02:15,200 --> 00:02:18,639
Speaker 4: I may have to go riot somewhere. So yeah, it's

43
00:02:18,680 --> 00:02:20,600
Speaker 4: been a really fun year. I think, you know, throughout

44
00:02:20,600 --> 00:02:24,680
Speaker 4: the podcast, we've kind of adopted our our own children,

45
00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:27,480
Speaker 4: children of the of the G five land, and hopefully

46
00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:30,079
Speaker 4: our audience has kind of felt that along with us.

47
00:02:31,000 --> 00:02:32,880
Speaker 2: For those of you that have been listening all season,

48
00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:35,640
Speaker 2: we usually transition at this point into our G five

49
00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:38,600
Speaker 2: heroes of the week, but at this point, the coaching

50
00:02:38,680 --> 00:02:42,040
Speaker 2: carousel is just it's almost a bigger story than anything

51
00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:45,400
Speaker 2: that's happening in college football and the domino effect of

52
00:02:45,560 --> 00:02:49,160
Speaker 2: you know, coaches leaving, leaving vacancy's guys from G five

53
00:02:49,280 --> 00:02:52,720
Speaker 2: land moving up to power program jobs, all of these things.

54
00:02:52,760 --> 00:02:55,240
Speaker 2: Billy Napier, you know, chief among them, right now getting

55
00:02:55,240 --> 00:02:57,240
Speaker 2: the UF job. So we want to do a segment

56
00:02:57,400 --> 00:03:00,639
Speaker 2: that is focused on the G five assistance that we

57
00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:02,639
Speaker 2: believe really should be moving on up to a head

58
00:03:02,680 --> 00:03:05,160
Speaker 2: coaching job with their own because, as you mentioned, it's

59
00:03:05,160 --> 00:03:07,280
Speaker 2: not just the players that we fall in love with.

60
00:03:07,400 --> 00:03:09,840
Speaker 2: Some of these coaches just do an incredible job on

61
00:03:09,880 --> 00:03:12,560
Speaker 2: a weekly basis and really make it easy for you

62
00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:15,280
Speaker 2: to fall in love with a unit on a particular team,

63
00:03:15,440 --> 00:03:17,680
Speaker 2: whether that's offense or defense, or you know, we'll even

64
00:03:17,680 --> 00:03:19,600
Speaker 2: throw it out there on special team. Soever's coaching up.

65
00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:22,600
Speaker 2: Matta Riza probably deserves a raise of some kind, So

66
00:03:22,680 --> 00:03:25,040
Speaker 2: I'll kick it over to you Ianello, who is a

67
00:03:25,040 --> 00:03:27,040
Speaker 2: G five coach that you feel should be moving on

68
00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:30,920
Speaker 2: up being able to run a program himself now that

69
00:03:30,960 --> 00:03:33,120
Speaker 2: he's done such a good job as an assistant.

70
00:03:34,040 --> 00:03:47,440
Speaker 4: Moving on Yeah, like you said, all the talk you

71
00:03:47,480 --> 00:03:51,000
Speaker 4: know is about Napier and Luke Fickele and Jamie Chadwell,

72
00:03:51,040 --> 00:03:52,720
Speaker 4: and we know those guys are going to get gigs,

73
00:03:52,720 --> 00:03:54,400
Speaker 4: but we want to shine some way on the assistance.

74
00:03:54,960 --> 00:03:56,560
Speaker 4: I actually have a bunch of names written down that

75
00:03:56,840 --> 00:03:59,440
Speaker 4: I'm thinking the first one is very obvious. Let's just

76
00:03:59,520 --> 00:04:02,720
Speaker 4: kick it off the most obvious name. It's Terry Malone.

77
00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:04,480
Speaker 4: I mean, how are we not going to give Terry

78
00:04:04,480 --> 00:04:07,480
Speaker 4: Malone some shine? That is the Bowling Green offensive coordinator

79
00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:10,760
Speaker 4: who managed to muster up twenty eight points in one

80
00:04:10,840 --> 00:04:14,400
Speaker 4: quarter with the Bowling Green offense after Scott Leffler got ejected,

81
00:04:14,840 --> 00:04:19,039
Speaker 4: something Bowling Green hasn't done all year, So clearly he's

82
00:04:19,080 --> 00:04:21,839
Speaker 4: to be running his own show. But in all honestly,

83
00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:24,080
Speaker 4: the biggest name out there for me has got to

84
00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:28,159
Speaker 4: be Zach Kitley, the Western Kentucky offensive coordinator. Kitley was

85
00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:31,600
Speaker 4: one of the organs harvested from that Houston Baptist offense

86
00:04:31,680 --> 00:04:36,159
Speaker 4: along with Zappi and Stearns obviously, and you know, the

87
00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:39,840
Speaker 4: Houston Baptist offense was setting you know, FBS records. Now

88
00:04:39,839 --> 00:04:42,440
Speaker 4: he comes in FCS level, absolutely lights it up. I

89
00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:45,120
Speaker 4: believe they're second in the entire country and scoring in

90
00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:48,719
Speaker 4: total offense only behind Ohio State. So is one year

91
00:04:48,839 --> 00:04:51,080
Speaker 4: enough to get him a gig? I don't know, but

92
00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:53,560
Speaker 4: he definitely should be on some raidars. So the first

93
00:04:53,640 --> 00:04:55,559
Speaker 4: name author out there is definitely got to be Zach Hilly,

94
00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:57,320
Speaker 4: the Western Kentucky offensive coordinator.

95
00:04:58,320 --> 00:05:01,920
Speaker 2: I mean, if Cliffe Kingsbury can go from getting fired

96
00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:04,839
Speaker 2: at Texas Tech to being a head coach in the NFL,

97
00:05:05,080 --> 00:05:07,320
Speaker 2: I don't think there's any reason that Kittley can't take

98
00:05:07,760 --> 00:05:09,880
Speaker 2: just coaching up one side of the football and doing

99
00:05:09,920 --> 00:05:12,320
Speaker 2: it really well, even for one year at the FBS level.

100
00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:15,000
Speaker 2: There's got to be a program that is at the

101
00:05:15,000 --> 00:05:18,239
Speaker 2: bottom of the barrel. I actually was kind of looking

102
00:05:18,279 --> 00:05:21,280
Speaker 2: through some of the teams that really struggled offensively and

103
00:05:21,360 --> 00:05:22,919
Speaker 2: Akron came to mind for me. I was like, oh,

104
00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:25,640
Speaker 2: he'd be great for Akran. Apparently they're getting Joe moorehead.

105
00:05:26,000 --> 00:05:30,039
Speaker 2: That sounds to me like some kind of like NCAA fourteen, Like, hey,

106
00:05:30,040 --> 00:05:31,920
Speaker 2: what if I tried to turn around the worst team

107
00:05:32,000 --> 00:05:34,120
Speaker 2: in the game? Like is he on some kind of

108
00:05:34,160 --> 00:05:37,400
Speaker 2: like weird in real life like challenge because the fact

109
00:05:37,440 --> 00:05:39,520
Speaker 2: that he was the head coach Atssissippi State and is

110
00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:42,320
Speaker 2: on a great job at Oregon and Penn State to

111
00:05:42,360 --> 00:05:45,240
Speaker 2: go to Akron. I don't think that's official as of yet.

112
00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:47,599
Speaker 2: I don't want to go full sources McMurphy on this,

113
00:05:47,720 --> 00:05:49,719
Speaker 2: but there was at least a little chatter that I

114
00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:52,039
Speaker 2: was going to get done. That was surprising to me.

115
00:05:52,279 --> 00:05:54,360
Speaker 2: I think that would be a nice landing spot for

116
00:05:54,400 --> 00:05:56,640
Speaker 2: someone like him, you know, to move from Western Kentucky

117
00:05:56,960 --> 00:06:00,160
Speaker 2: and kind of cut his teeth in the MAC. Not surprisingly,

118
00:06:00,320 --> 00:06:04,400
Speaker 2: I love to give extra support, emotional support, you know,

119
00:06:04,520 --> 00:06:08,719
Speaker 2: whatever I can do to pump the tires of defensive coordinators.

120
00:06:08,880 --> 00:06:10,599
Speaker 2: I'm gonna start with one of my favorites. I believe

121
00:06:10,600 --> 00:06:12,280
Speaker 2: he was maybe a G five Hero of the Week

122
00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:17,800
Speaker 2: in September Bradley Dale paveto the UTEP defensive coordinator. Now,

123
00:06:17,839 --> 00:06:19,960
Speaker 2: this guy is already ready, I think, for a head

124
00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:21,960
Speaker 2: coaching job, because he's already been a head coach before

125
00:06:22,120 --> 00:06:25,120
Speaker 2: at Northwestern State go Demons. He coached in the SEC

126
00:06:25,279 --> 00:06:27,800
Speaker 2: for so many years he was at LSU, Kentucky, A,

127
00:06:27,920 --> 00:06:30,600
Speaker 2: and M. He won a national championship as a linebacker

128
00:06:30,600 --> 00:06:33,640
Speaker 2: coach at LSU, he turned the UTEP defense into a

129
00:06:33,640 --> 00:06:37,040
Speaker 2: top thirty defense. Legitimately, they were tremendous against the pass,

130
00:06:37,400 --> 00:06:40,040
Speaker 2: and in the five years previous to him showing up,

131
00:06:40,279 --> 00:06:44,160
Speaker 2: they finished eighty second average in terms of total defense.

132
00:06:44,600 --> 00:06:47,040
Speaker 2: So the fact that you have a guy who in

133
00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:50,960
Speaker 2: one year, without you know, some crazy transfer, portals pretty

134
00:06:51,040 --> 00:06:54,400
Speaker 2: much the same roster, taking those kids, getting them top thirty,

135
00:06:54,640 --> 00:06:56,960
Speaker 2: really good against the pass. I think Paveto is someone

136
00:06:57,040 --> 00:06:59,560
Speaker 2: who should get an opportunity. Maybe he can say in

137
00:06:59,560 --> 00:07:01,760
Speaker 2: conference you say that there's there's gonna be some jobs

138
00:07:01,800 --> 00:07:04,800
Speaker 2: opening up there. He's someone that I think deserves all

139
00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:07,720
Speaker 2: the love that he's clearly not getting because he's kind

140
00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:10,120
Speaker 2: of a life for coach. He's been around for so long.

141
00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:12,480
Speaker 2: But I think it's time to move on to run

142
00:07:12,480 --> 00:07:13,480
Speaker 2: his own program.

143
00:07:13,120 --> 00:07:15,480
Speaker 4: Again, you know, staying on the defensive side of the ball.

144
00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:18,120
Speaker 4: You know, I have three defensive coordinators I'll throw out

145
00:07:18,120 --> 00:07:20,560
Speaker 4: at you, all of whom were coaching this weekend, which

146
00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:23,720
Speaker 4: is usually a good sign. You know. Obviously, Kirk Maddocks

147
00:07:23,800 --> 00:07:26,280
Speaker 4: over at San Diego State. Their whole team is their

148
00:07:26,280 --> 00:07:29,280
Speaker 4: defense and punt god. So I think Kurt Maddocks is

149
00:07:29,280 --> 00:07:31,760
Speaker 4: definitely a name that that should be on some radars.

150
00:07:32,040 --> 00:07:34,920
Speaker 4: Dale Jones App State defensive coordinator is another one. He's

151
00:07:34,960 --> 00:07:36,680
Speaker 4: been there, I believe only I believe it's only a

152
00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:39,880
Speaker 4: second season, but absolute defense has been legit the last

153
00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:43,080
Speaker 4: two years. And then Doug Doug Belk over at Houston.

154
00:07:43,200 --> 00:07:44,840
Speaker 4: I think, you know, what this Houston defense has been

155
00:07:44,880 --> 00:07:47,120
Speaker 4: able to do this season has been awesome. And you know,

156
00:07:47,240 --> 00:07:49,400
Speaker 4: they're very unique in that, you know, they I think

157
00:07:49,400 --> 00:07:50,920
Speaker 4: they're like second in the country. We'll talk about this

158
00:07:50,960 --> 00:07:53,280
Speaker 4: game obviously later and getting pressure. They are very good

159
00:07:53,280 --> 00:07:56,360
Speaker 4: at getting after the quarterback and it's not you know,

160
00:07:56,560 --> 00:07:58,560
Speaker 4: he's very good at scheming it. They have kind of

161
00:07:58,600 --> 00:08:01,200
Speaker 4: like a Rover linebacker that you that's very unique. It

162
00:08:01,240 --> 00:08:04,920
Speaker 4: works very well. I believe he's a Broils finalist, isn't he?

163
00:08:05,000 --> 00:08:06,600
Speaker 4: So you know, those are those are three kind of

164
00:08:06,640 --> 00:08:09,280
Speaker 4: DC's off there out of you is Kurt Max Santego State,

165
00:08:09,360 --> 00:08:12,120
Speaker 4: Dale Jones Appstate, and Doug Belk from Houston are kind

166
00:08:12,160 --> 00:08:14,800
Speaker 4: of the three defensive coordinators I had circled.

167
00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:18,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, Doug Belk ended up getting a host. He wasn't

168
00:08:18,200 --> 00:08:21,040
Speaker 2: a finalist. He was a semi finalist for the Broyles.

169
00:08:22,080 --> 00:08:24,600
Speaker 2: I do think that Dana Holgerson. He was interviewed in

170
00:08:24,680 --> 00:08:27,520
Speaker 2: a bar, which is so Dana Holgerson. He dropped in

171
00:08:27,920 --> 00:08:30,400
Speaker 2: a quick quote about how he was very well deserving

172
00:08:30,480 --> 00:08:33,040
Speaker 2: of being a semi finalist and he's clearly going to

173
00:08:33,120 --> 00:08:35,840
Speaker 2: be a leading man at some point in the near future.

174
00:08:36,400 --> 00:08:40,280
Speaker 2: Not surprised and very happy and proud of Doug. It's

175
00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:42,640
Speaker 2: a pretty special award. It's one I've been a part

176
00:08:42,679 --> 00:08:44,720
Speaker 2: of in the past. And what that says this is

177
00:08:44,760 --> 00:08:47,080
Speaker 2: he's a future head coach, which I agree with. And

178
00:08:47,120 --> 00:08:48,840
Speaker 2: when you look at this pedigree, he was a grand

179
00:08:48,880 --> 00:08:52,640
Speaker 2: assistant at Alabama. He follows Holgerson from West Virginia coaching

180
00:08:52,640 --> 00:08:56,120
Speaker 2: at the quarterbacks to Houston. And as you mentioned, this

181
00:08:56,200 --> 00:08:58,719
Speaker 2: team is just incredible on the defensive side of the ball.

182
00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:01,560
Speaker 2: You know, they're only allowing fifty six completions the top

183
00:09:01,559 --> 00:09:04,000
Speaker 2: fifteen and sack and an interception rate. They're even a

184
00:09:04,000 --> 00:09:06,040
Speaker 2: little bit better against the rug three point two yards

185
00:09:06,080 --> 00:09:09,160
Speaker 2: per carry, just over one hundred yards per game. I

186
00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:12,480
Speaker 2: think that he probably has one stepping stone left. The

187
00:09:12,520 --> 00:09:14,760
Speaker 2: buzz right now is that Billy Napier's coming hard after

188
00:09:14,840 --> 00:09:17,880
Speaker 2: him to be the UF defensive coordinator, and being the

189
00:09:17,880 --> 00:09:20,120
Speaker 2: Gators defensive coordinator is a great launching pad. I mean,

190
00:09:20,160 --> 00:09:23,679
Speaker 2: you had Stoops, you had Charlie Strong. It's been a

191
00:09:23,800 --> 00:09:27,959
Speaker 2: clear pipeline to a very good Power five job as

192
00:09:27,960 --> 00:09:30,000
Speaker 2: a head coach. So I think it's probably gonna take

193
00:09:30,040 --> 00:09:32,360
Speaker 2: one more step for him. But he certainly was someone

194
00:09:32,400 --> 00:09:34,360
Speaker 2: that I had circled and it was interested to see

195
00:09:34,400 --> 00:09:36,880
Speaker 2: where he would land in this cycle of the coaching

196
00:09:36,920 --> 00:09:39,760
Speaker 2: carousel because he's a tremendous coach and I think he's

197
00:09:39,760 --> 00:09:41,160
Speaker 2: got a braave future ahead of him.

198
00:09:41,440 --> 00:09:44,000
Speaker 4: What about Major Applewhite getting another shot at it? Because

199
00:09:44,000 --> 00:09:47,080
Speaker 4: that South Alabama offense I think was pretty good and

200
00:09:47,120 --> 00:09:48,719
Speaker 4: you can look at you know, Okay, they had Jake

201
00:09:48,760 --> 00:09:52,120
Speaker 4: Bentley's you know, thirty five years old Jalen Tolbert there,

202
00:09:52,160 --> 00:09:54,800
Speaker 4: so they had talent. But he's a guy with you know,

203
00:09:54,840 --> 00:09:56,560
Speaker 4: he's the Saxonally name that everyone knows from, you know,

204
00:09:56,640 --> 00:09:59,160
Speaker 4: playing quarterback. He's been the head coach and I was

205
00:09:59,160 --> 00:10:01,439
Speaker 4: looking back at those Houston teams like that he was

206
00:10:01,440 --> 00:10:03,360
Speaker 4: the head coach of weren't terrible that he went seven

207
00:10:03,360 --> 00:10:05,160
Speaker 4: to five and eight and five, so it's not like

208
00:10:05,200 --> 00:10:08,319
Speaker 4: he was horrific. He really got fired because they lost

209
00:10:08,320 --> 00:10:10,400
Speaker 4: two bowl games. But the fact that he's two and

210
00:10:10,520 --> 00:10:13,240
Speaker 4: zero making it to bowl games is pretty impressive. He

211
00:10:13,280 --> 00:10:15,720
Speaker 4: also has that, you know, he's spent twenty nineteen, twenty

212
00:10:15,760 --> 00:10:19,240
Speaker 4: twenty on the Alabama you know, rehab for coaches, so

213
00:10:19,280 --> 00:10:22,280
Speaker 4: he went through the Alabama spin cycle, which spending two

214
00:10:22,360 --> 00:10:24,880
Speaker 4: years around sabin Is is always going to be appealing

215
00:10:24,920 --> 00:10:26,960
Speaker 4: to I think a lot of places, and I'll just

216
00:10:27,000 --> 00:10:31,760
Speaker 4: mention this Louisiana jobs open, major appo whites from Baton Rouge,

217
00:10:32,080 --> 00:10:34,440
Speaker 4: don't be surprised the major ropa wait gets a few calls.

218
00:10:34,960 --> 00:10:37,280
Speaker 2: I think that's probably the most realistic that we've thrown

219
00:10:37,320 --> 00:10:39,280
Speaker 2: out there. A lot of this is just giving the

220
00:10:39,280 --> 00:10:40,800
Speaker 2: proper love to the the only one.

221
00:10:40,880 --> 00:10:44,280
Speaker 4: Anybody, any relisteners that's the first thing they've heard of before.

222
00:10:44,679 --> 00:10:47,480
Speaker 2: Yes, absolutely, and I agree. I think certainly going to

223
00:10:47,559 --> 00:10:49,880
Speaker 2: be in the room and get interviewed for a handful

224
00:10:49,920 --> 00:10:52,079
Speaker 2: of open chops and one thing I'm going to throw

225
00:10:52,120 --> 00:10:54,360
Speaker 2: out there because this is. It's very funny to me

226
00:10:54,640 --> 00:10:56,960
Speaker 2: because I just see it seems as though these two

227
00:10:57,000 --> 00:11:00,480
Speaker 2: players are constantly connected. But Logan Bonner is going to

228
00:11:00,520 --> 00:11:03,079
Speaker 2: be playing in his last college game during bowl season.

229
00:11:03,360 --> 00:11:05,760
Speaker 2: But do you know who just entered the transfer portal

230
00:11:05,840 --> 00:11:07,400
Speaker 2: and it would be hilarious if he made it to

231
00:11:07,480 --> 00:11:10,679
Speaker 2: Utah State, Layne Hatcher. So you know, you know what,

232
00:11:11,080 --> 00:11:13,840
Speaker 2: Utah State, just go ahead and get yourself to Arkansas

233
00:11:13,880 --> 00:11:16,080
Speaker 2: State quarterbacks back to back and see if you can

234
00:11:16,160 --> 00:11:18,400
Speaker 2: keep the good times roll. And yeah, I'm glad that

235
00:11:18,440 --> 00:11:20,480
Speaker 2: you brought that name up because the test State offense

236
00:11:20,880 --> 00:11:24,000
Speaker 2: being so dynamic this year really came out of nowhere,

237
00:11:24,040 --> 00:11:26,480
Speaker 2: coming off a one in five season during the COVID year.

238
00:11:26,800 --> 00:11:30,000
Speaker 2: All right, it's time now we got a transition. I know,

239
00:11:30,040 --> 00:11:32,360
Speaker 2: we didn't come down with a formal name for this.

240
00:11:32,559 --> 00:11:34,800
Speaker 2: We had five title games here, so we're going to

241
00:11:34,840 --> 00:11:36,839
Speaker 2: go ahead and get five picks. We actually may have

242
00:11:36,880 --> 00:11:38,760
Speaker 2: a bonus pick as well, but we're going to go

243
00:11:38,800 --> 00:11:41,200
Speaker 2: through every single one of them, try to give you

244
00:11:41,400 --> 00:11:45,040
Speaker 2: the best options possible, not necessarily saying that you should

245
00:11:45,040 --> 00:11:47,160
Speaker 2: be parlaying these together or even putting them in a

246
00:11:47,200 --> 00:11:48,880
Speaker 2: round robin, but we're going to put that in that

247
00:11:49,000 --> 00:11:51,920
Speaker 2: format for you, so it is familiar not doing the

248
00:11:51,960 --> 00:11:54,720
Speaker 2: G five underdog and best bets as opposed to that.

249
00:11:54,720 --> 00:11:56,600
Speaker 2: We're going to go through every single title game here,

250
00:11:56,640 --> 00:11:59,960
Speaker 2: So let's start with the Conference USA title game.

251
00:12:00,679 --> 00:12:07,479
Speaker 3: Conference USA.

252
00:12:08,000 --> 00:12:09,800
Speaker 2: And I know this is difficult for you, Ian l O.

253
00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:12,400
Speaker 2: You've been carrying the water for both of these programs.

254
00:12:12,440 --> 00:12:14,960
Speaker 2: There's probably a little more love on the personnel side

255
00:12:14,960 --> 00:12:18,040
Speaker 2: with Western Kentucky and Bailey Zappi. But these teams already

256
00:12:18,040 --> 00:12:20,760
Speaker 2: played earlier this season a fifty two forty six shootout

257
00:12:20,960 --> 00:12:23,480
Speaker 2: in which UCSA was on the you know, the better

258
00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:26,640
Speaker 2: side of that matchup. But what's interesting here is that

259
00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:29,640
Speaker 2: Frank Harris has banged up since here, McCormick has been

260
00:12:29,760 --> 00:12:31,880
Speaker 2: kind of entbrilled in a bit of a slump leading

261
00:12:31,920 --> 00:12:34,520
Speaker 2: up to this. They haven't been looking as dominance. You know,

262
00:12:34,559 --> 00:12:36,640
Speaker 2: they were lucky to get by UAB. They end up

263
00:12:36,679 --> 00:12:39,520
Speaker 2: getting beat up by North Texas, one of the most

264
00:12:39,559 --> 00:12:43,000
Speaker 2: shocking G five outcomes of the entire season, and because

265
00:12:43,000 --> 00:12:45,360
Speaker 2: of that, you actually have Western Kentucky as the favorite

266
00:12:45,400 --> 00:12:47,400
Speaker 2: here in the rematch. So where do you come down

267
00:12:47,480 --> 00:12:48,920
Speaker 2: on the Conference USA title game?

268
00:12:49,360 --> 00:12:52,120
Speaker 4: I know, I already used the Sophie's choice analogy a

269
00:12:52,120 --> 00:12:54,280
Speaker 4: couple of weeks ago, but I gotta go back to it.

270
00:12:54,320 --> 00:12:56,600
Speaker 4: This is another one that's so tough for us. We

271
00:12:56,679 --> 00:12:59,280
Speaker 4: love both of these teams, and you know, I got

272
00:12:59,280 --> 00:13:01,559
Speaker 4: a few chirps on how could you pick against your

273
00:13:01,559 --> 00:13:04,120
Speaker 4: beloved Roadrunners when I took you tap and I obviously

274
00:13:04,200 --> 00:13:08,000
Speaker 4: didn't work. Look, I love UTSA, I absolutely adore this team,

275
00:13:08,559 --> 00:13:10,440
Speaker 4: but I have to take Western Kentucky here. They are

276
00:13:10,520 --> 00:13:12,680
Speaker 4: absolutely humming right now and I would be a fool

277
00:13:12,760 --> 00:13:15,079
Speaker 4: not to. I'm taking Western Kentucky minus one and a

278
00:13:15,120 --> 00:13:17,800
Speaker 4: half here. You know, full disclosure, this is a win

279
00:13:17,880 --> 00:13:19,760
Speaker 4: win for me, which is what you want. I'm winning

280
00:13:19,800 --> 00:13:23,120
Speaker 4: either way because I bet UTSA plus three fifty to

281
00:13:23,160 --> 00:13:25,680
Speaker 4: win the conference before the season. You can call me,

282
00:13:25,760 --> 00:13:29,200
Speaker 4: you know, a whimp or whatever you want for hedging

283
00:13:29,200 --> 00:13:31,440
Speaker 4: my bet, but I'm hedging it because I want to win, win,

284
00:13:31,480 --> 00:13:33,120
Speaker 4: because I love these teams so much that I want

285
00:13:33,160 --> 00:13:35,320
Speaker 4: to be happy either way. Sue me. So I'm taking

286
00:13:35,320 --> 00:13:37,520
Speaker 4: Western Kentucky here. But if I didn't have the future,

287
00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:40,720
Speaker 4: I'd still bet Western Kentucky because yes, you just mentioned

288
00:13:40,760 --> 00:13:43,120
Speaker 4: you they lost their undefeated season. They got smoked by

289
00:13:43,160 --> 00:13:45,800
Speaker 4: North Texas. And yeah, Frank Harris did get hurt, but

290
00:13:45,840 --> 00:13:47,880
Speaker 4: they were down pretty big before Harris left the game,

291
00:13:47,920 --> 00:13:49,760
Speaker 4: So I don't think Harris was making a difference in

292
00:13:49,760 --> 00:13:53,400
Speaker 4: that one. Western Kentucky finished the year winning seven straight games.

293
00:13:53,880 --> 00:13:55,880
Speaker 4: You know, last week they went down fourteen. That funny,

294
00:13:55,920 --> 00:13:58,120
Speaker 4: funny story. I was in Connecticut and set my dad up.

295
00:13:58,160 --> 00:13:59,920
Speaker 4: Now that's legal there, set my dad up with draft

296
00:14:00,280 --> 00:14:03,160
Speaker 4: and I bullied him into basically making Western Kentucky's his

297
00:14:03,200 --> 00:14:07,160
Speaker 4: first you know, legal bet on mobile app. And then

298
00:14:07,360 --> 00:14:09,880
Speaker 4: Marshall Media goes up fourteen to nothing, and he's given

299
00:14:09,920 --> 00:14:12,560
Speaker 4: me the side eye. What does Western Kentucky do after that?

300
00:14:12,679 --> 00:14:16,079
Speaker 4: They outscore him fifty three to seven. Just an absolute

301
00:14:16,280 --> 00:14:19,080
Speaker 4: beatdown of Marshall, who like has statistically been you know,

302
00:14:19,200 --> 00:14:20,680
Speaker 4: basically one of the best teams in conference, you to

303
00:14:20,680 --> 00:14:23,840
Speaker 4: say historically. So like you mentioned with with Kitley, they

304
00:14:23,880 --> 00:14:26,280
Speaker 4: finished second in conference and scoring second in tool offense.

305
00:14:26,320 --> 00:14:29,800
Speaker 4: Their first and success rate Zapi hour our boy, we

306
00:14:29,840 --> 00:14:32,480
Speaker 4: love him, the zapp God. Four hundred fourteen yards per game,

307
00:14:32,520 --> 00:14:38,360
Speaker 4: fifty two touchdowns. Fun fact, Zappy has fifty two touchdowns

308
00:14:38,400 --> 00:14:41,120
Speaker 4: right now through the regular season, which obviously led the country.

309
00:14:41,640 --> 00:14:44,920
Speaker 4: He has averaged four point three touchdowns per game. He

310
00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:47,800
Speaker 4: has two games left. If he throws four touchdowns in

311
00:14:47,840 --> 00:14:50,320
Speaker 4: each of those two games, which he has done in

312
00:14:50,360 --> 00:14:53,400
Speaker 4: four of the last five games, he'll tie Joe Burrow

313
00:14:53,560 --> 00:14:56,680
Speaker 4: for the most in college football history. He only needs

314
00:14:56,720 --> 00:15:00,520
Speaker 4: six touchdowns to type our G five lifetime. I'm god

315
00:15:00,600 --> 00:15:05,440
Speaker 4: Colt Brennan, So Bailey Zappi is having a historical season

316
00:15:05,520 --> 00:15:07,280
Speaker 4: that we have never seen in college tuvote before, and

317
00:15:07,320 --> 00:15:08,720
Speaker 4: he has a chance to go down as the all

318
00:15:08,760 --> 00:15:12,840
Speaker 4: time leading touchdowns in college football history. And I'm not

319
00:15:12,880 --> 00:15:15,640
Speaker 4: going to bet against that. The Western Kentucky's their last

320
00:15:15,680 --> 00:15:17,960
Speaker 4: loss was ttsay like you said that game, the fifty

321
00:15:17,960 --> 00:15:20,760
Speaker 4: two to forty six shootout, Zappy threw for five hundred

322
00:15:20,760 --> 00:15:23,360
Speaker 4: and twenty three yards in five touchdowns, and yes, Frank

323
00:15:23,360 --> 00:15:25,080
Speaker 4: Harris was able to match him. He had three hundred

324
00:15:25,120 --> 00:15:29,120
Speaker 4: and forty nine yards six touchdowns. You said, Harris. Harris

325
00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:31,760
Speaker 4: is banged up and the biggest area of UTA struggles

326
00:15:31,840 --> 00:15:34,360
Speaker 4: is defending the pass. Zappi torched them. We just said

327
00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:36,640
Speaker 4: that they ranked sixty two in the country in past success,

328
00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:39,560
Speaker 4: sixty six at defending the big play, ninety ninth in

329
00:15:39,680 --> 00:15:43,160
Speaker 4: coverage grade. Jared Stearns had sixteen catches, one hundred and

330
00:15:43,200 --> 00:15:46,720
Speaker 4: ninety five yards and two touchdowns against this meat meat secondary.

331
00:15:47,560 --> 00:15:50,400
Speaker 4: And everything's changed for Western Entucky since that loss. Since

332
00:15:50,440 --> 00:15:53,680
Speaker 4: that game, they're allowing just nineteen yards per game. They

333
00:15:53,720 --> 00:15:56,240
Speaker 4: have not allowed more than twenty one points in seven

334
00:15:56,240 --> 00:15:59,320
Speaker 4: games since that loss. They have forced twenty two turnovers

335
00:15:59,320 --> 00:16:03,480
Speaker 4: and allowed just sixteen touchdowns over that stretch. So I

336
00:16:03,480 --> 00:16:05,000
Speaker 4: don't know if you're a wrestling fan, but you know

337
00:16:05,160 --> 00:16:08,520
Speaker 4: at WrestleMania twenty four, when Shawn Michael says I'm sorry,

338
00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:10,560
Speaker 4: I love you before he hit Rick Flair with the

339
00:16:10,560 --> 00:16:14,000
Speaker 4: sweet Chin music to send send him into retirement, That's

340
00:16:14,000 --> 00:16:17,320
Speaker 4: what I'm doing, UTSA. I'm sorry, I love you.

341
00:16:17,360 --> 00:16:24,240
Speaker 3: Give me the Hilltoppers, the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, the pride

342
00:16:24,240 --> 00:16:25,440
Speaker 3: of the Commonwealth.

343
00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:31,520
Speaker 4: Oh no, no, hell no, no.

344
00:16:31,840 --> 00:16:35,440
Speaker 2: Hell no, I love it. I think it's the right play.

345
00:16:35,640 --> 00:16:38,520
Speaker 2: This line that's been set by odds makers is sending

346
00:16:38,520 --> 00:16:42,880
Speaker 2: a message that there is real concern about this UTSA offense,

347
00:16:43,160 --> 00:16:45,480
Speaker 2: both with the injury to Frank Harris and also just

348
00:16:45,480 --> 00:16:47,640
Speaker 2: the in effective play all the grounds, which is a

349
00:16:47,680 --> 00:16:50,240
Speaker 2: little bit surprising because really coming into this year. It

350
00:16:50,280 --> 00:16:53,520
Speaker 2: was Sincere McCormick, and then a bunch of parts thrown together.

351
00:16:53,720 --> 00:16:55,680
Speaker 2: He was the focal point of the entire offense. So

352
00:16:55,720 --> 00:16:59,000
Speaker 2: the fact that he is not crushing teams on the grounds,

353
00:16:59,280 --> 00:17:02,880
Speaker 2: I think does make this difficult to envision them keeping

354
00:17:02,920 --> 00:17:06,520
Speaker 2: up in what should be a shootout. Speaking of shootouts,

355
00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:11,320
Speaker 2: let's head over to the MAC Conference championship game the.

356
00:17:11,160 --> 00:17:12,720
Speaker 3: Mid American Conference.

357
00:17:13,680 --> 00:17:21,920
Speaker 2: Max just self holds the bag. So I love Kent

358
00:17:22,000 --> 00:17:25,760
Speaker 2: State NIU over seventy four and a half. I brought

359
00:17:25,800 --> 00:17:28,320
Speaker 2: this up, I believe last week or maybe two weeks ago.

360
00:17:28,640 --> 00:17:31,440
Speaker 2: Kent State, if you remove the thirty eight nothing shutout

361
00:17:31,520 --> 00:17:34,280
Speaker 2: of Akron because Akron's trash. If you look at their

362
00:17:34,480 --> 00:17:38,879
Speaker 2: last six games eighty six ninety five, sixty one, ninety nine,

363
00:17:39,040 --> 00:17:42,119
Speaker 2: eighty four, ninety five, those are the total points in

364
00:17:42,119 --> 00:17:45,520
Speaker 2: those six games, averaging eighty six and a half points

365
00:17:45,520 --> 00:17:47,840
Speaker 2: per game. Then when you dive a little bit deeper

366
00:17:47,840 --> 00:17:49,680
Speaker 2: into how are they getting this done, it's pretty simple.

367
00:17:49,760 --> 00:17:52,600
Speaker 2: Kent State leads the nation in plays the forty yards

368
00:17:52,640 --> 00:17:55,439
Speaker 2: or more with twenty three nearly two per game, So

369
00:17:55,520 --> 00:17:57,280
Speaker 2: in terms of being explosive, they get it done. On

370
00:17:57,320 --> 00:17:59,040
Speaker 2: the ground, they get it done through the air. And

371
00:17:59,080 --> 00:18:01,760
Speaker 2: then when you flip it a defensively, they check in

372
00:18:01,800 --> 00:18:04,080
Speaker 2: an eighty fourth in the nation of allowing plays of

373
00:18:04,160 --> 00:18:07,199
Speaker 2: thirty yards or more. So they are happy to play fast,

374
00:18:07,640 --> 00:18:10,360
Speaker 2: to go ahead and strike quick, and to get those

375
00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:12,800
Speaker 2: big explosive plays, and they give them up all over

376
00:18:12,840 --> 00:18:15,639
Speaker 2: the place. And when you look at Northern Illinois in particular,

377
00:18:15,920 --> 00:18:18,919
Speaker 2: what do they do. They are the nation's best big

378
00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:22,400
Speaker 2: run play offense, reeling off fifteen runs of thirty yards

379
00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:25,280
Speaker 2: or more this season, Kent State eighty seventh and allowing

380
00:18:25,320 --> 00:18:27,600
Speaker 2: runs of thirty yards or more. So every time you

381
00:18:27,640 --> 00:18:30,840
Speaker 2: look to try to pair you know, a strength versus weakness,

382
00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:34,000
Speaker 2: it's there in this particular game. And then again the pace,

383
00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:36,960
Speaker 2: Kent State loves to play at that hyper speed tenth

384
00:18:37,000 --> 00:18:40,080
Speaker 2: and place per game at nearly eighty per game. NIU

385
00:18:40,320 --> 00:18:42,760
Speaker 2: is not the fastest team, but they certainly don't play

386
00:18:42,800 --> 00:18:45,679
Speaker 2: a snails pace. Only nine plays behind that seventy one

387
00:18:45,760 --> 00:18:48,200
Speaker 2: per game. The last time they played a total shootout

388
00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:50,880
Speaker 2: fifty two to forty seven Kents. And when you look

389
00:18:50,920 --> 00:18:55,240
Speaker 2: at the you know, field conditions, weather conditions, it's it's

390
00:18:55,280 --> 00:18:58,160
Speaker 2: inside at Ford Field, no weather concerns whatsoever. So I'm

391
00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:01,480
Speaker 2: gonna go ahead here. I probably would lean to Northern

392
00:19:01,560 --> 00:19:05,160
Speaker 2: Illinois in this game. Now that's Rocky Lombardi has been clear.

393
00:19:05,240 --> 00:19:08,280
Speaker 2: Thomas Hammock, their head coach, indicated these both healthy and

394
00:19:08,320 --> 00:19:11,120
Speaker 2: fresh because they sat them in the finale. And Tyrese

395
00:19:11,280 --> 00:19:13,959
Speaker 2: Richie this is another thing that it won't impact how

396
00:19:14,000 --> 00:19:15,920
Speaker 2: I play this, but there is now a chance that

397
00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:18,040
Speaker 2: he's going to play. Just give them a little more

398
00:19:18,080 --> 00:19:21,760
Speaker 2: loof on the perimeter offensively. So everything here is trending

399
00:19:21,800 --> 00:19:24,439
Speaker 2: over seventy four and a half in my opinion. My

400
00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:27,080
Speaker 2: Power Rankings actually had this at eighty, So I'll go

401
00:19:27,119 --> 00:19:29,480
Speaker 2: ahead and take advantage of nearly five and a half

402
00:19:29,520 --> 00:19:30,919
Speaker 2: points of value. What do you think about this?

403
00:19:31,720 --> 00:19:33,840
Speaker 4: Yeah? I agree, I totally agree. I love the over here.

404
00:19:33,960 --> 00:19:35,760
Speaker 4: Like you said, it was fifty two to forty seven

405
00:19:35,800 --> 00:19:39,240
Speaker 4: the first time, you know, Ken State outgained No. Only

406
00:19:39,280 --> 00:19:41,840
Speaker 4: six hundred and eighty two to six hundred and sixty three.

407
00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:45,600
Speaker 4: And you know, for those of you who listened throughout

408
00:19:45,600 --> 00:19:48,920
Speaker 4: the whole year, I really made two I sewered two

409
00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:52,040
Speaker 4: guys our first show. One of them was Kenny Pickett

410
00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:54,800
Speaker 4: hand up. I was wrong Kenny Pickett's often Kenny Pickett's

411
00:19:54,800 --> 00:19:56,240
Speaker 4: probably going to be in New York. He's probably going

412
00:19:56,320 --> 00:20:00,040
Speaker 4: to be a Heisman finalist. So Kenny, I apologize. You

413
00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:01,600
Speaker 4: are very good and you don't belong in the MAC.

414
00:20:02,680 --> 00:20:05,639
Speaker 4: But Roccy Lombardi does and he stinks. And I said that,

415
00:20:05,680 --> 00:20:08,560
Speaker 4: and he still and he still stinks. That being said,

416
00:20:08,920 --> 00:20:11,440
Speaker 4: he torch this Kent State offense five hundred and thirty

417
00:20:11,440 --> 00:20:13,240
Speaker 4: two yards and three touchdowns. It was the best game

418
00:20:13,280 --> 00:20:16,240
Speaker 4: of Rocky Lombardi's career. So that kind of shows you

419
00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:18,200
Speaker 4: how bad the Ken State defense is. And like you said,

420
00:20:18,320 --> 00:20:22,120
Speaker 4: paces everything here. This Kent State fast flash offense third

421
00:20:22,119 --> 00:20:24,600
Speaker 4: in the country in place per minute. And what makes

422
00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:27,919
Speaker 4: them so, what makes them give up points so much is,

423
00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:30,880
Speaker 4: like you said, they score immediately they get the ball,

424
00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:33,439
Speaker 4: they go full speed, they pick up big plays. They

425
00:20:33,520 --> 00:20:36,639
Speaker 4: score immediately. Then what do they do. They have to

426
00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:39,440
Speaker 4: kick off, and they are horrific at kicking the ball off.

427
00:20:39,480 --> 00:20:42,880
Speaker 4: They average forty three point nine yards per kick. What

428
00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:44,520
Speaker 4: that means is they can start at the fifty and

429
00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:46,919
Speaker 4: they can't kick it to the end zone. They have

430
00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:51,120
Speaker 4: just six touchbacks all season. For comparison, Our boy matter

431
00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:54,199
Speaker 4: Rise of the Punt God has fifty three touchbacks and

432
00:20:54,240 --> 00:20:57,040
Speaker 4: that offense doesn't score, so he's not even kicking off

433
00:20:57,080 --> 00:21:00,919
Speaker 4: that much. They're also horrible punting. When they don't score.

434
00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:05,360
Speaker 4: They average thirty six yards per punt thirty six yards.

435
00:21:05,560 --> 00:21:08,920
Speaker 4: So if they don't score, Kent State's getting the ball

436
00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:11,639
Speaker 4: basically in field goal range. And when they do score,

437
00:21:12,000 --> 00:21:14,080
Speaker 4: they kick it off and Kent State's gonna have the

438
00:21:14,080 --> 00:21:17,240
Speaker 4: ball at midfield. So or Northern ILLINOI means gonna have

439
00:21:17,240 --> 00:21:20,880
Speaker 4: the ball at midfield. So I love that because they kick,

440
00:21:20,920 --> 00:21:22,920
Speaker 4: they score, then they give the ball out to fifty,

441
00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:25,480
Speaker 4: the other team scores, and so on and so forth.

442
00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:29,240
Speaker 4: Lad the rinse repeat, I love the over. I actually disagree.

443
00:21:29,240 --> 00:21:32,480
Speaker 4: I do lean Kent State just because this Northern Illinois

444
00:21:32,560 --> 00:21:36,119
Speaker 4: defense is also atrocious. I'm probably not gonna play it

445
00:21:36,359 --> 00:21:39,000
Speaker 4: because nothern Illinois if they're one of those teams where,

446
00:21:39,040 --> 00:21:41,359
Speaker 4: like you look at all of their games, beat Georgia

447
00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:43,119
Speaker 4: Tech by one, they're out gained by one hundred and

448
00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:45,400
Speaker 4: thirty yards. They wanted a two pointed version. Beat Eastern

449
00:21:45,480 --> 00:21:48,840
Speaker 4: Michigan by seven, outgained by fifty yards, beat Toledo by two,

450
00:21:48,920 --> 00:21:51,840
Speaker 4: made five field goals, winning one with twenty six seconds left.

451
00:21:51,920 --> 00:21:54,320
Speaker 4: They beat Bowling Green by eight. They were out gained

452
00:21:54,359 --> 00:21:57,520
Speaker 4: by Bowling Green. Beat Central Michigan by one. Central Michigan

453
00:21:57,520 --> 00:21:59,960
Speaker 4: fumbled the field goal, you know. Beat Ball State by two,

454
00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:02,760
Speaker 4: game winning field as time expired. Beat Buffalo in overtime

455
00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:05,520
Speaker 4: because Buffalo fumbled on the one yard line going in.

456
00:22:06,160 --> 00:22:09,600
Speaker 4: So you know, they're not a good team. But in

457
00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:12,879
Speaker 4: every like, statistic and metrics says, Kent State is better.

458
00:22:14,040 --> 00:22:16,199
Speaker 4: But this rabbit out of the hat thing scares me.

459
00:22:16,240 --> 00:22:18,359
Speaker 4: They keep doing it. At some point they're gonna stop,

460
00:22:18,440 --> 00:22:20,440
Speaker 4: but I'm not going to bet that they will hear,

461
00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:22,399
Speaker 4: so that you know, I don't want to bet against

462
00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:25,479
Speaker 4: this Northern Illinois voodoo. They're basically, you know, a mac Iowa,

463
00:22:25,760 --> 00:22:29,040
Speaker 4: except their defense is approcious, so I'm not gonna I'm

464
00:22:29,040 --> 00:22:30,920
Speaker 4: probably not gonna stand in front of the rabbit's foot

465
00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:32,879
Speaker 4: that's going on over there. But I definitely love the

466
00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:36,480
Speaker 4: over because their defense stinks. Again, States, you know, runs

467
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:38,440
Speaker 4: out of wicked pace and they can score on anybody.

468
00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:39,840
Speaker 4: So yeah, give me the over here too.

469
00:22:41,040 --> 00:22:45,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, the the lucky rabbits foot horseshoe, whatever you want

470
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:48,080
Speaker 2: to call it, they've been in a lot of close games,

471
00:22:48,280 --> 00:22:51,199
Speaker 2: and I do think that that has a positive effect

472
00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:53,639
Speaker 2: in terms of nothing's really going to scare them away.

473
00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:56,520
Speaker 2: One other note I'll make in this seventy four and

474
00:22:56,560 --> 00:22:59,359
Speaker 2: a half. I also think there's gonna be value if,

475
00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:02,240
Speaker 2: for whatever reason, if this gets off to a slow start,

476
00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:06,399
Speaker 2: because both of these teams are capable of combining for

477
00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:09,120
Speaker 2: thirty five points in a quarter, and because of the pace,

478
00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:11,439
Speaker 2: and because of the explosive plays that they give and

479
00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:14,639
Speaker 2: that they get and allow, I think if there's an

480
00:23:14,640 --> 00:23:16,440
Speaker 2: opportunity where you see, you know, the first seven or

481
00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:18,280
Speaker 2: eight minutes, there's you know, only a field goal on

482
00:23:18,320 --> 00:23:20,720
Speaker 2: the border zero points, and you see that number really

483
00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:23,920
Speaker 2: drop down. I don't give out this recommendation all that often,

484
00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:26,000
Speaker 2: but it was certainly something I would even double down

485
00:23:26,040 --> 00:23:29,560
Speaker 2: on a live over. All, right, let us now turn

486
00:23:29,800 --> 00:23:32,040
Speaker 2: to the Sun Belt Championship Game.

487
00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:37,000
Speaker 3: The Sun Belt Conference, the Fun Belt. Don't let the

488
00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:39,159
Speaker 3: latest come between you and the Belt.

489
00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:45,879
Speaker 2: This one's interesting because Louisiana just absolutely throttled app State

490
00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:50,160
Speaker 2: in their first meeting. But now Billy Napier is officially

491
00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:52,680
Speaker 2: the head coach at Florida or you know, at least

492
00:23:52,720 --> 00:23:55,040
Speaker 2: one foot out the door. So what does that mean

493
00:23:55,320 --> 00:23:59,840
Speaker 2: now for this team? Motivationally? It's been a Louisiana team

494
00:23:59,840 --> 00:24:02,040
Speaker 2: that's won so many games over the last two years.

495
00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:05,320
Speaker 2: They're a veteran team, So are they able to circle

496
00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:07,600
Speaker 2: the wagons just on a personal level and say, you know,

497
00:24:07,640 --> 00:24:11,000
Speaker 2: forget about Napier, he took a better opportunity to whatever

498
00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:14,159
Speaker 2: as opposed to the Notre Dame. Situation is fascinating to

499
00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:17,919
Speaker 2: me because not that Brian Kelly was winning any popularity

500
00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:20,000
Speaker 2: contest to begin with, but it's clear that they hate

501
00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:22,200
Speaker 2: the guy's guts and the fact that that's the way

502
00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:23,760
Speaker 2: it worked out. I think there's a little bit of

503
00:24:23,800 --> 00:24:27,119
Speaker 2: a difference in terms of, like, obviously Napier was not

504
00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:29,840
Speaker 2: going to be a lifer at Louisiana, and even though

505
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:31,840
Speaker 2: it's an emotional thing and the kids it played for

506
00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:33,680
Speaker 2: him for so long, I think there's got to be

507
00:24:33,720 --> 00:24:35,440
Speaker 2: a little bit of human nature to understand, like you

508
00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:38,480
Speaker 2: don't turn down the floor to job to coach forever

509
00:24:38,560 --> 00:24:41,000
Speaker 2: at Louisiana. But with all that being said, how do

510
00:24:41,080 --> 00:24:42,920
Speaker 2: you see this game playing out? Do you think there's

511
00:24:42,920 --> 00:24:44,640
Speaker 2: an edge between these two in the rematch?

512
00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:47,359
Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree with you, or I think it's a

513
00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:50,600
Speaker 4: totally different situation. For example, you know, here's a free

514
00:24:50,600 --> 00:24:52,680
Speaker 4: bet for you guys if Notre Dame somehow seeks into

515
00:24:52,720 --> 00:24:56,440
Speaker 4: the playoffs, especially if they're not facing Georgia. I am

516
00:24:56,760 --> 00:25:00,800
Speaker 4: hammering Notre Dame. I think they're pissed. Aper situation is

517
00:25:00,800 --> 00:25:04,040
Speaker 4: different because like he's not one fight learder. He officially

518
00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:07,440
Speaker 4: was announced as the Florida head coach, like he that's official,

519
00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:11,120
Speaker 4: but he's there, he's coaching. So it's like weird. It's

520
00:25:11,160 --> 00:25:12,920
Speaker 4: like he broke up. It's like you get divorced, but

521
00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:14,919
Speaker 4: you still have to finish out your lease and like

522
00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:16,760
Speaker 4: your wife's just laying in the house and you're like,

523
00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:20,479
Speaker 4: how's your day going, Oh yeah, good, okay. So I

524
00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:23,000
Speaker 4: think it's weird. I think his you know, his mind's

525
00:25:23,040 --> 00:25:25,359
Speaker 4: not there. You know, it's it's natural just to start,

526
00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:28,360
Speaker 4: you know. I'm sure he's calling Anthony Richardson begging him

527
00:25:28,359 --> 00:25:31,040
Speaker 4: not to transfer, like he probably has other things going on,

528
00:25:31,720 --> 00:25:34,439
Speaker 4: you know, whether he'll admit it or not. And I

529
00:25:34,520 --> 00:25:36,760
Speaker 4: just think app State's a better team anyway, you know,

530
00:25:37,040 --> 00:25:40,720
Speaker 4: Like there's only been this Sun Belt Championships since twenty eighteen,

531
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:44,040
Speaker 4: with last year being canceled. All three Sun Belt championships

532
00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:47,159
Speaker 4: have been Apupstate versus Louisiana, app States beating occasions in

533
00:25:47,200 --> 00:25:49,600
Speaker 4: twenty eighteen and twenty nineteen. They're eight and two against

534
00:25:49,640 --> 00:25:52,800
Speaker 4: Louisiana and program mystery. As you mentioned, Louisiana smoked them

535
00:25:52,840 --> 00:25:56,399
Speaker 4: forty one thirteen October twelfth, but Cameron Peoples didn't play,

536
00:25:56,480 --> 00:25:59,760
Speaker 4: and he's really their their biggest weapon, and him and

537
00:25:59,840 --> 00:26:02,480
Speaker 4: Nay Noel or that you know dynamic one two punch,

538
00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:05,080
Speaker 4: both of them average over five yards per carry, seventy

539
00:26:05,080 --> 00:26:07,600
Speaker 4: five yards per game. People's lead the entire conference with

540
00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:11,120
Speaker 4: thirteen touchdowns despite playing just ten games. And yeah, app

541
00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:13,160
Speaker 4: State was held in just seventy eight yards on twenty

542
00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:15,879
Speaker 4: nine carries, where Louisiana rushed for two hundred and forty

543
00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:19,400
Speaker 4: six yards and five touchdowns. But that's not really what

544
00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:21,280
Speaker 4: these teams have been the whole season. I think that

545
00:26:21,359 --> 00:26:23,320
Speaker 4: was kind of an outlier and just a case of

546
00:26:23,480 --> 00:26:25,240
Speaker 4: you know, one team showing up. The other lane has

547
00:26:25,320 --> 00:26:28,280
Speaker 4: dud throughout the year. Louisiana was forty ninth in rush

548
00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:31,320
Speaker 4: defense and one hundred and eighth in line yards. The

549
00:26:31,359 --> 00:26:34,480
Speaker 4: app State defense is eighth in rushing success and second

550
00:26:34,520 --> 00:26:37,040
Speaker 4: in line yards on defense, So the app States defense

551
00:26:37,400 --> 00:26:39,560
Speaker 4: has been way better against the run. They just got burnt,

552
00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:42,439
Speaker 4: really that one game. Louisiana has one hundred and seventh

553
00:26:42,440 --> 00:26:46,040
Speaker 4: in tackling Mountaineers are tenth. The biggest issue for AP

554
00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:47,760
Speaker 4: State this year is, you know, they they had four

555
00:26:47,800 --> 00:26:50,840
Speaker 4: turnovers in that game, two fumbles to Chase Bryce interceptions,

556
00:26:51,600 --> 00:26:54,160
Speaker 4: which is obviously a huge issue for Bryce. He has

557
00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:58,760
Speaker 4: ten interceptions this year on twelve turnover worthy plays, whereas

558
00:26:58,840 --> 00:27:01,919
Speaker 4: Levi Lewis also has twelve turnover really plays, but he

559
00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:04,399
Speaker 4: just has four interceptions, so he has had a little

560
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:06,159
Speaker 4: bit of you know, drop picks, a little bit of

561
00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:08,680
Speaker 4: luck there, and then on the flip side, Lewis has

562
00:27:08,720 --> 00:27:11,320
Speaker 4: just sixteen big time throws. Chase Bryce is twenty six.

563
00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:13,879
Speaker 4: Bryce actually is great as the second best passer in

564
00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:17,159
Speaker 4: the conference behind Grace and McCall. So I definitely, you know,

565
00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:19,680
Speaker 4: I don't like Chase Bryce, but he's probably the better

566
00:27:19,720 --> 00:27:22,960
Speaker 4: quarterback than Levy Lewis, especially, you know, Lewis isn't the

567
00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:25,000
Speaker 4: type of quarterback where if they're down, he's gonna throw

568
00:27:25,000 --> 00:27:27,399
Speaker 4: them back into the game, where Chase Brice will you know,

569
00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:30,040
Speaker 4: he he may throw them. I'm sure he'll throw a

570
00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:33,120
Speaker 4: pick or two, but he also can have them come

571
00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:36,800
Speaker 4: back if they need to. And Louisiana just doesn't have

572
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:38,480
Speaker 4: you know, they don't have a lot of weapons. You know,

573
00:27:38,480 --> 00:27:40,119
Speaker 4: they don't have a single player that's averaging more than

574
00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:43,080
Speaker 4: thirty receiving yards or running back over seventy yards and

575
00:27:43,080 --> 00:27:45,360
Speaker 4: in these big games. You know, I'm someone who likes

576
00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:47,560
Speaker 4: to I want a player that I think is going

577
00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:49,080
Speaker 4: to take over this game. I want, you know, those

578
00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:51,919
Speaker 4: championship moments. And who's going to do that on Louisiana.

579
00:27:52,680 --> 00:27:54,600
Speaker 4: App State has two backs over seventy yards. They have

580
00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:57,959
Speaker 4: three receivers averaging over fifty yards per game. Corey Sutton

581
00:27:58,000 --> 00:27:59,960
Speaker 4: is a stud. I also want to give a special

582
00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:04,359
Speaker 4: shout out to Thomas Hennigan, who has been there forever.

583
00:28:04,920 --> 00:28:08,919
Speaker 4: In fact, he has made sixty three career starts for

584
00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:12,240
Speaker 4: app State. That is the most in college football history

585
00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:15,159
Speaker 4: at any position. He shotted the wrecker he broke I

586
00:28:15,160 --> 00:28:16,960
Speaker 4: think it was fifty eight. He broke it when they

587
00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:20,800
Speaker 4: played Coastal like six weeks ago. So he has played

588
00:28:20,880 --> 00:28:23,640
Speaker 4: every single game in his five years at app State.

589
00:28:23,760 --> 00:28:25,920
Speaker 4: He has started every game but one when he was

590
00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:27,680
Speaker 4: very injured, but he did come in and play a

591
00:28:27,720 --> 00:28:30,440
Speaker 4: little bit. So he has started every game in five years.

592
00:28:30,480 --> 00:28:33,320
Speaker 4: He's an absolute workhorse. And as I mentioned, this app

593
00:28:33,320 --> 00:28:37,360
Speaker 4: State team knows how to win. They're twenty eight seniors

594
00:28:37,400 --> 00:28:40,800
Speaker 4: on this team. Fourteen of them are Super seniors. All

595
00:28:40,880 --> 00:28:43,400
Speaker 4: of them are two to zero conference title games. Super

596
00:28:43,480 --> 00:28:46,160
Speaker 4: seniors have a chance to win their fourth conference title.

597
00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:50,400
Speaker 4: So I just love the experience of them. I love this.

598
00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:52,200
Speaker 4: I just think the app State team is better. And

599
00:28:52,240 --> 00:28:55,640
Speaker 4: then you throw in the Billy Napier, you know, like

600
00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:58,680
Speaker 4: you said, one foot out the door. I just think

601
00:28:58,680 --> 00:29:00,640
Speaker 4: that you know everything he lines up here for Apps

602
00:29:00,640 --> 00:29:02,280
Speaker 4: State to kind of get and you have the revenge

603
00:29:02,320 --> 00:29:03,920
Speaker 4: factor of how many times you think they're watching the

604
00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:06,120
Speaker 4: clip of you know, Louisiana are running it all over

605
00:29:06,160 --> 00:29:09,560
Speaker 4: them this very good defense. I just think it all

606
00:29:09,640 --> 00:29:11,880
Speaker 4: kind of adds up for me to love app State.

607
00:29:11,960 --> 00:29:15,880
Speaker 2: In the spot, it's gonna have you go through a

608
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:17,680
Speaker 2: little thought experiment with me, so I want you to

609
00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:20,200
Speaker 2: close your eyes. It's the fourth quarter, it is a

610
00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:23,320
Speaker 2: low scoring game. Let's say it's like seventeen seventeen. Chase

611
00:29:23,400 --> 00:29:27,000
Speaker 2: Bryce has the football and he's getting to play from

612
00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:30,480
Speaker 2: the sideline. He's running, you know, to midfield to get

613
00:29:30,560 --> 00:29:34,960
Speaker 2: under center. How do you feel emotionally about Chase Bryce

614
00:29:35,720 --> 00:29:39,160
Speaker 2: having your own money in his hands and saying, don't worry,

615
00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:43,880
Speaker 2: I got this. I'm Chase Bryce, I got this. How

616
00:29:43,920 --> 00:29:45,640
Speaker 2: does that make you feel? What does that evoke for you?

617
00:29:46,960 --> 00:29:51,320
Speaker 4: I don't love it, but I think let's put this way.

618
00:29:51,360 --> 00:29:55,400
Speaker 4: If Levi Lewis needs to lead a game winning drive,

619
00:29:57,040 --> 00:29:59,920
Speaker 4: I think they're going to throw incomplete passes and turn

620
00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:01,080
Speaker 4: it over on downs.

621
00:30:02,120 --> 00:30:06,000
Speaker 2: Okay, And I think that's I think that's absolutely fair

622
00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:10,120
Speaker 2: because all the touchdown or pick six, all the numbers

623
00:30:10,160 --> 00:30:13,320
Speaker 2: you brought up about tackling, about run defense, about line success,

624
00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:16,160
Speaker 2: all of that, I think it It doesn't take that

625
00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:19,160
Speaker 2: much to talk yourself into a realization that it may

626
00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:22,600
Speaker 2: have been an apparition. App states defensive performance in that

627
00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:26,680
Speaker 2: first matchup. And I will say Cameron People's is not

628
00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:29,440
Speaker 2: only a productive running back. I think he just gives

629
00:30:29,440 --> 00:30:32,000
Speaker 2: the whole app State offense a different edge. He's a

630
00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:34,320
Speaker 2: guy who likes to initiate contact. He's a guy who

631
00:30:34,320 --> 00:30:36,880
Speaker 2: can wear down teams. And I do think you know,

632
00:30:37,000 --> 00:30:39,760
Speaker 2: him being a big part of this game plan does

633
00:30:39,840 --> 00:30:42,240
Speaker 2: take even more pressure off of Chase Price. Where really

634
00:30:42,600 --> 00:30:44,600
Speaker 2: in a game like this it does come down to turnovers.

635
00:30:44,600 --> 00:30:46,880
Speaker 2: You know, if they can get to a zero margin

636
00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:49,040
Speaker 2: or a plus margin in this game as opposed to

637
00:30:49,080 --> 00:30:51,720
Speaker 2: their their first performance, I do think that that takes

638
00:30:51,760 --> 00:30:54,640
Speaker 2: a lot of the pressure off of Chase Price's shoulders.

639
00:30:55,400 --> 00:30:57,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think he takes pressure off in a well too.

640
00:30:57,080 --> 00:30:58,880
Speaker 4: I think having them be that one two punch, that

641
00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:02,440
Speaker 4: thunder lightning kind of you saw that the two games

642
00:31:02,520 --> 00:31:04,440
Speaker 4: you know, he missed the well was not as effective.

643
00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:07,200
Speaker 4: So I think having both of them in there, given

644
00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:10,080
Speaker 4: the motivation angle given, you know, Napier, Yeah, I think

645
00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:12,440
Speaker 4: I bounced back here. Like I said, the Super Seniors,

646
00:31:12,560 --> 00:31:14,520
Speaker 4: this is gonna be their fourth conference title. They know

647
00:31:14,600 --> 00:31:16,680
Speaker 4: how to do it, They know how to step up

648
00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:18,680
Speaker 4: in these big games, and I just trust them more,

649
00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:19,320
Speaker 4: to be honest with you.

650
00:31:19,800 --> 00:31:21,680
Speaker 2: All Right, we are now going to turn our eyes

651
00:31:21,840 --> 00:31:24,720
Speaker 2: to the Mountain West Conference Championship game.

652
00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:27,800
Speaker 3: The Mountain West Conference.

653
00:31:30,640 --> 00:31:36,280
Speaker 2: Rocking up, and the headliner here obviously is the punt God.

654
00:31:36,480 --> 00:31:39,320
Speaker 2: It is Matt Eriza. Shout out to missus Eriza, his

655
00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:42,120
Speaker 2: mother on social media. She does a great job of

656
00:31:42,520 --> 00:31:45,360
Speaker 2: making sure to repost every single positive thing that is

657
00:31:45,400 --> 00:31:47,840
Speaker 2: written about her son, and we've been a part of that.

658
00:31:47,920 --> 00:31:50,520
Speaker 2: We were really one of the early adopters of the

659
00:31:50,600 --> 00:31:54,920
Speaker 2: awesomeness of San Diego States punter and kicker and kickoff specialists.

660
00:31:55,120 --> 00:31:57,960
Speaker 2: He does it all for them. This game, though, tipp

661
00:31:57,960 --> 00:31:59,920
Speaker 2: be totally honest. I don't know if anyone could hear.

662
00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:02,000
Speaker 2: It does sound like I have the flu I do

663
00:32:02,080 --> 00:32:04,440
Speaker 2: have the flu I can't smell or taste anything, which

664
00:32:04,480 --> 00:32:06,880
Speaker 2: is a good thing because this game sticks. At least

665
00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:08,560
Speaker 2: in my opinion, the way it's going to play out

666
00:32:08,760 --> 00:32:12,840
Speaker 2: is going to be just not appetizing whatsoever, because really

667
00:32:12,960 --> 00:32:15,120
Speaker 2: what's probably gonna happen in this one in San Diego

668
00:32:15,160 --> 00:32:19,240
Speaker 2: State is gonna win like twenty to thirteen or nineteen

669
00:32:19,440 --> 00:32:22,040
Speaker 2: to twelve, like some score of that is just not

670
00:32:22,240 --> 00:32:24,400
Speaker 2: easy to figure out, you know, after the facts, how

671
00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:27,800
Speaker 2: it was actually reached, because San Diego State is a

672
00:32:27,840 --> 00:32:30,800
Speaker 2: defense that not only takes away the running game to start,

673
00:32:30,920 --> 00:32:33,640
Speaker 2: they're so physical that they take you out of what

674
00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:37,000
Speaker 2: you're doing. In this Utah State offense, Logan Bonner is

675
00:32:37,120 --> 00:32:39,640
Speaker 2: he's kind of like that that rec League basketball player.

676
00:32:39,680 --> 00:32:42,360
Speaker 2: He's got all the extra arm bands and you know,

677
00:32:42,440 --> 00:32:45,280
Speaker 2: elbow pads and knee pads because the guy's been banged

678
00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:48,120
Speaker 2: up a lot this year. He's had multiple limp offs.

679
00:32:48,280 --> 00:32:51,160
Speaker 2: Their backup quarterback is now officially on the shelf, so

680
00:32:51,200 --> 00:32:52,920
Speaker 2: if he does get hurt, they have no one to

681
00:32:52,960 --> 00:32:55,040
Speaker 2: turn to in this game. And then when you look

682
00:32:55,080 --> 00:33:00,200
Speaker 2: at the game within the game here, Utah State, you know,

683
00:33:00,280 --> 00:33:03,080
Speaker 2: butters their bread on the big play, particularly through the air.

684
00:33:03,280 --> 00:33:06,080
Speaker 2: Their top thirty in yards per attempt. They liked it

685
00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:08,600
Speaker 2: to score quick and hit those big plays to Tompkins.

686
00:33:09,040 --> 00:33:12,320
Speaker 2: And in this particular game, San Diego State, even though

687
00:33:12,360 --> 00:33:14,760
Speaker 2: they're better against the run, they just don't give up

688
00:33:14,800 --> 00:33:16,680
Speaker 2: the big play through the air. When you look at

689
00:33:16,840 --> 00:33:21,120
Speaker 2: their opponents are only hitting six point one yards per attempt,

690
00:33:21,200 --> 00:33:24,239
Speaker 2: which is seventh nationally. It doesn't need to get all

691
00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:27,960
Speaker 2: that much more complicated. So instead of me being emotionally

692
00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:29,960
Speaker 2: tied up in how much I love the San Diego

693
00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:32,320
Speaker 2: State defense and how much I hate the San Diego

694
00:33:32,400 --> 00:33:34,960
Speaker 2: State offense, I'm going to play the team total for

695
00:33:35,040 --> 00:33:37,520
Speaker 2: Utah State under twenty two and a half. Really, the

696
00:33:37,600 --> 00:33:39,800
Speaker 2: key number there for me was three touchdowns. So the

697
00:33:39,800 --> 00:33:41,800
Speaker 2: fact that it's above that, I think is a gift.

698
00:33:42,120 --> 00:33:44,280
Speaker 2: I think this is a Uta State team that we've been,

699
00:33:44,600 --> 00:33:47,120
Speaker 2: you know, kind of carrying their story throughout the season.

700
00:33:47,440 --> 00:33:49,240
Speaker 2: Just a great turnaround to go from one to five

701
00:33:49,320 --> 00:33:53,000
Speaker 2: to the conference championship game is great work by Blake Anderson.

702
00:33:53,280 --> 00:33:57,480
Speaker 2: The offense has really come on, David. I will say

703
00:33:57,400 --> 00:34:00,520
Speaker 2: their offense in general went from having no idea last

704
00:34:00,600 --> 00:34:02,800
Speaker 2: year to being one of the most dynamic passing attacks.

705
00:34:03,120 --> 00:34:05,400
Speaker 2: The San Diego State defense is special. Kurt Maddox is

706
00:34:05,400 --> 00:34:07,000
Speaker 2: going to cook up a great game play in here,

707
00:34:07,320 --> 00:34:08,719
Speaker 2: and I think that they're going to put a lot

708
00:34:08,760 --> 00:34:11,439
Speaker 2: of pressure on Logan Bonner and because of that, three

709
00:34:11,440 --> 00:34:13,360
Speaker 2: touchdowns I think is just a bridge too far. So

710
00:34:13,400 --> 00:34:16,360
Speaker 2: what do you think about that play? Not necessarily to

711
00:34:17,719 --> 00:34:20,320
Speaker 2: punt on this, you know this game as a whole,

712
00:34:21,480 --> 00:34:24,120
Speaker 2: so stumping in there for Ariza, but really this is

713
00:34:24,160 --> 00:34:26,560
Speaker 2: the only one that was appealing to me because I've

714
00:34:26,560 --> 00:34:29,040
Speaker 2: been on the side of San Diego State multiple times

715
00:34:29,040 --> 00:34:31,880
Speaker 2: this season, and I've never had the passion play of

716
00:34:31,920 --> 00:34:34,000
Speaker 2: being so excited when their defense is on the field

717
00:34:34,200 --> 00:34:37,080
Speaker 2: and just so fearful when their offense is on the field.

718
00:34:37,120 --> 00:34:39,480
Speaker 2: San Diego State is one of those half teams that

719
00:34:39,560 --> 00:34:41,240
Speaker 2: makes Iowa's offensive dynamic.

720
00:34:41,920 --> 00:34:44,400
Speaker 4: I should wrote down that I leaned under fifty, but

721
00:34:44,480 --> 00:34:46,920
Speaker 4: I really probably won't play this game. We've become the

722
00:34:46,960 --> 00:34:50,080
Speaker 4: official podcast of Mountain West Mothers, so I feel bad

723
00:34:50,120 --> 00:34:52,359
Speaker 4: not having a play on our boy Punk God. Like

724
00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:53,680
Speaker 4: you said, I can never get a feel for the

725
00:34:53,719 --> 00:34:57,000
Speaker 4: San Diego State team. Their offense is so bad that

726
00:34:57,480 --> 00:35:00,000
Speaker 4: you watch them and you you know, whether you're watching

727
00:35:00,040 --> 00:35:01,680
Speaker 4: to them or reading the Blox score, you're like, how's

728
00:35:01,719 --> 00:35:03,480
Speaker 4: this team ever won a game? The perfect way to

729
00:35:03,480 --> 00:35:05,279
Speaker 4: sum it up to is, you know, you're if you're

730
00:35:05,320 --> 00:35:07,959
Speaker 4: on Twitter or listening to podcasts or watching shows or whatever,

731
00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:09,800
Speaker 4: you know you'll hear people talk like, you know, Kenny

732
00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:11,759
Speaker 4: Pickett had the flu and they missed back. Just say

733
00:35:11,840 --> 00:35:14,479
Speaker 4: that's a huge story. Frank Harris, everyone's tracking his Frank

734
00:35:14,520 --> 00:35:16,759
Speaker 4: can play. You know, Trayler had to come out and

735
00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:19,799
Speaker 4: say he is playing. We don't know who Sandeyo State's

736
00:35:19,840 --> 00:35:23,880
Speaker 4: quarterback's going to be, and literally nobody cares. Like you

737
00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:26,320
Speaker 4: can throw out a mopping bucket and it's like who cares.

738
00:35:26,400 --> 00:35:28,720
Speaker 4: Just just get off the field as fast as possible.

739
00:35:28,719 --> 00:35:30,200
Speaker 4: To a rise that can pin them deep. That's their

740
00:35:30,200 --> 00:35:32,680
Speaker 4: goal of their offense. Yeah, Brookshire's you know, he started

741
00:35:32,680 --> 00:35:34,480
Speaker 4: at the beginning of the season and got hurt, and

742
00:35:34,600 --> 00:35:37,440
Speaker 4: Johnson came in, and Brookshire came back, and then he stunk,

743
00:35:37,480 --> 00:35:39,880
Speaker 4: so they benched him, and Johnson came back and he

744
00:35:39,920 --> 00:35:42,560
Speaker 4: stinks too, and then Johnson gets hurt. Last week, Brookshire

745
00:35:42,640 --> 00:35:45,400
Speaker 4: comes in and he did actually look pretty good last week.

746
00:35:45,680 --> 00:35:47,880
Speaker 4: But like I said, it doesn't matter who their quarterback is.

747
00:35:47,920 --> 00:35:50,040
Speaker 4: They both have a passing grade in the low sixties.

748
00:35:50,080 --> 00:35:52,120
Speaker 4: They rank eleventh and twelfth in the Mountain West for

749
00:35:52,160 --> 00:35:55,000
Speaker 4: all quarterbacks with at least one hundred dropbacks David combined

750
00:35:55,040 --> 00:35:58,799
Speaker 4: from fourteen big time throws fifteen turnover worthy plays. So

751
00:35:59,120 --> 00:36:01,440
Speaker 4: this isn't an offense really want to have anything to

752
00:36:01,440 --> 00:36:04,240
Speaker 4: do with. And yeah, Utah States offense has been very good,

753
00:36:04,280 --> 00:36:08,000
Speaker 4: but the one area of concern is they're pretty one dimensional,

754
00:36:08,080 --> 00:36:10,719
Speaker 4: and that is a problem against an elite defense like

755
00:36:10,760 --> 00:36:14,040
Speaker 4: this San Diego State. Like you said, their number one

756
00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:16,280
Speaker 4: game plan is stopped the run. Their second in the country.

757
00:36:16,280 --> 00:36:19,080
Speaker 4: He's defending the run well. UTAs States one hundred and

758
00:36:19,080 --> 00:36:21,960
Speaker 4: eighteenth in rushing success, one hundred and sixth in line yards.

759
00:36:22,040 --> 00:36:24,000
Speaker 4: You know they may be held for under fifty rushing

760
00:36:24,040 --> 00:36:26,280
Speaker 4: yards and that's you know, putting a lot of pressure

761
00:36:26,280 --> 00:36:28,600
Speaker 4: on Logan Bonner, who Yeah, he's been great. And you

762
00:36:28,640 --> 00:36:30,600
Speaker 4: know Tompkins is electric. He actually leads the country and

763
00:36:30,640 --> 00:36:33,480
Speaker 4: receiving yards. He passed Sterns. He has four more yards

764
00:36:33,520 --> 00:36:36,920
Speaker 4: than Sterns and our G five battle for the nation's

765
00:36:37,080 --> 00:36:40,200
Speaker 4: leading receiver, neither of which are Blannakov Trophy Award winners,

766
00:36:40,280 --> 00:36:43,840
Speaker 4: obviously because this place is a joke. But Santa se

767
00:36:43,960 --> 00:36:45,919
Speaker 4: defense can keep him a check your tenth against the pass.

768
00:36:46,080 --> 00:36:49,480
Speaker 4: They have two really really good cornerbacks and Taylor Hawkins

769
00:36:49,480 --> 00:36:53,680
Speaker 4: and Trenton Thompson. So I agree with you. I think

770
00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:55,960
Speaker 4: I lean the under here. I'm also fine with the

771
00:36:56,040 --> 00:36:58,080
Speaker 4: UTA State team total under because I think you know

772
00:36:58,640 --> 00:37:01,479
Speaker 4: they both probably hit. He does. State does play fast,

773
00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:03,319
Speaker 4: but San Diego State it's one hundred and fourteenth and

774
00:37:03,360 --> 00:37:06,040
Speaker 4: plays per minute. They're gonna run the ball. They're the

775
00:37:06,040 --> 00:37:07,960
Speaker 4: type of team that wants to go three and out.

776
00:37:08,040 --> 00:37:10,279
Speaker 4: They want to go three now to let the punt

777
00:37:10,280 --> 00:37:13,360
Speaker 4: god pin it at the five. So you know, how

778
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:15,640
Speaker 4: about this? Here's here's my official play find any sort

779
00:37:15,680 --> 00:37:19,520
Speaker 4: of prop on Mattaraza. Mattariza punts inside to ten over

780
00:37:19,680 --> 00:37:20,239
Speaker 4: three and a half.

781
00:37:20,880 --> 00:37:23,759
Speaker 2: Take that all right, We're gonna turn now to the

782
00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:25,840
Speaker 2: AAC title game.

783
00:37:26,800 --> 00:37:27,759
Speaker 3: The AAC.

784
00:37:28,920 --> 00:37:34,480
Speaker 1: I am a real Ericanget, fight for the rights of

785
00:37:34,800 --> 00:37:41,800
Speaker 1: every man. I am a real Bericannet, fight for what's right.

786
00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:47,560
Speaker 2: Line. And this is probably my top play on the

787
00:37:47,560 --> 00:37:50,239
Speaker 2: board for the weekends under fifty three and a half

788
00:37:50,239 --> 00:37:53,160
Speaker 2: between Cincy and Houston. And I know I'm just gonna

789
00:37:53,160 --> 00:37:55,000
Speaker 2: throw out my rationale here and I want you to

790
00:37:55,040 --> 00:37:57,919
Speaker 2: respond to it in real time so you can watch

791
00:37:57,960 --> 00:37:59,400
Speaker 2: s C play. You don't even need to look at

792
00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:01,200
Speaker 2: the stats, and you can see how dominant they are

793
00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:03,960
Speaker 2: in defense. But if you're interested in the stats, top

794
00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:07,240
Speaker 2: ten scoring defense, total defense, yards per play allowed, opponent

795
00:38:07,239 --> 00:38:09,520
Speaker 2: completion percentage, yards per TEP, it goes on and on

796
00:38:09,560 --> 00:38:12,120
Speaker 2: and on. Now, when you switch over to the Houston defense,

797
00:38:12,520 --> 00:38:17,200
Speaker 2: they're incredibly disruptive, top fifteen in sack percentage and interception percentage,

798
00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:19,680
Speaker 2: nearly seven and a half tackles for loss per game,

799
00:38:19,719 --> 00:38:23,200
Speaker 2: so they're living in opponent's backfields. They're fantastic against the run,

800
00:38:23,440 --> 00:38:25,400
Speaker 2: and they were never burned this entire season by a

801
00:38:25,480 --> 00:38:29,480
Speaker 2: dual threat quarterback and desen ritter, depending on what you

802
00:38:29,520 --> 00:38:31,480
Speaker 2: think of him as a runner. He has had some

803
00:38:31,600 --> 00:38:34,920
Speaker 2: explosive games this year, and when he gets into the

804
00:38:35,000 --> 00:38:37,920
Speaker 2: read option game, he is able to burn teams, particularly

805
00:38:37,960 --> 00:38:40,040
Speaker 2: in the red zone. And I'm glad that the red

806
00:38:40,120 --> 00:38:43,120
Speaker 2: zone has come up because both teams are top fifteen

807
00:38:43,280 --> 00:38:46,280
Speaker 2: in red zone defense in terms of scoring percentage allowed.

808
00:38:46,520 --> 00:38:48,439
Speaker 2: And that's really the big thing here. When you're looking

809
00:38:48,480 --> 00:38:51,399
Speaker 2: for a total in that forty five to fifty five

810
00:38:51,440 --> 00:38:54,080
Speaker 2: point range, it really comes down to are those red

811
00:38:54,160 --> 00:38:56,720
Speaker 2: zone opportunities cashed in? Are they cashed in as field

812
00:38:56,719 --> 00:38:59,360
Speaker 2: goals or touchdowns? Can the other team take the ball away?

813
00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:02,480
Speaker 2: The last part of this for me, having watched a

814
00:39:02,480 --> 00:39:04,680
Speaker 2: lot of SINCEINNTI football this year when they had those

815
00:39:04,760 --> 00:39:07,160
Speaker 2: quote unquote big games, you know this their non conference

816
00:39:07,160 --> 00:39:10,120
Speaker 2: schedule boiled down to Indiana, who was tremendous last season,

817
00:39:10,360 --> 00:39:12,120
Speaker 2: and there was hope this year that they would be

818
00:39:12,680 --> 00:39:14,399
Speaker 2: a great pelt to put on the wall for them

819
00:39:14,880 --> 00:39:17,680
Speaker 2: against Indiana and against Notre Dame. Zero points in the

820
00:39:17,680 --> 00:39:20,200
Speaker 2: first quarter of both games, and you saw Desmond Rider

821
00:39:20,239 --> 00:39:24,120
Speaker 2: play really tight bouncing passes, you know, having some issues

822
00:39:24,120 --> 00:39:26,279
Speaker 2: that the line scrimmage, a lot of false starts. They

823
00:39:26,360 --> 00:39:30,160
Speaker 2: just didn't look confident. Offensively, their defense always comes to play.

824
00:39:30,320 --> 00:39:34,200
Speaker 2: They have superstars at all three levels, but offensively, it's

825
00:39:34,239 --> 00:39:36,480
Speaker 2: clear to me that Desmond Ridder sometimes not necessarily that

826
00:39:36,520 --> 00:39:38,720
Speaker 2: the stage is too big, but I think he presses

827
00:39:38,880 --> 00:39:41,040
Speaker 2: a little too much. And then finally, the last sat

828
00:39:41,040 --> 00:39:43,560
Speaker 2: I want to throw out there, Houston has been playing

829
00:39:43,840 --> 00:39:46,080
Speaker 2: really well in the last two months. On offense, Clayton

830
00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:48,120
Speaker 2: Tuone has taken it to the next level. But here's

831
00:39:48,160 --> 00:39:51,120
Speaker 2: the thing. They haven't faced the top forty defense all season,

832
00:39:51,239 --> 00:39:53,160
Speaker 2: and the best defense they face in terms of total

833
00:39:53,200 --> 00:39:56,680
Speaker 2: defense was Navy and they were forty first. Every other

834
00:39:56,719 --> 00:40:00,120
Speaker 2: team outside of that sixtieth or worse. I think it's

835
00:40:00,120 --> 00:40:02,759
Speaker 2: going to be a total shell shock situation going up

836
00:40:02,760 --> 00:40:05,799
Speaker 2: against the Cincinnati defense that can just line up and

837
00:40:05,880 --> 00:40:08,719
Speaker 2: just play man defense on the perimeter. They get into

838
00:40:08,760 --> 00:40:11,200
Speaker 2: the backfield, they're gonna put pressure on Tune to make

839
00:40:11,239 --> 00:40:13,520
Speaker 2: plays happen, and when the balls in the air, they

840
00:40:13,560 --> 00:40:15,839
Speaker 2: take it away. Sauce Gardner is playing his way into

841
00:40:15,880 --> 00:40:19,160
Speaker 2: a top fifteen NFL draft selection. So I think both

842
00:40:19,160 --> 00:40:20,920
Speaker 2: of these teams are in for a world or hurt

843
00:40:20,920 --> 00:40:23,000
Speaker 2: when they have the football. And because of that fifty

844
00:40:23,040 --> 00:40:25,320
Speaker 2: three and a half, I'm all about the under here.

845
00:40:25,440 --> 00:40:26,880
Speaker 2: I actually had a forty eight and a half in

846
00:40:26,920 --> 00:40:29,760
Speaker 2: my Power rankings, So to go over a key number

847
00:40:30,040 --> 00:40:33,279
Speaker 2: of seven touchdowns is a nice get for me. I

848
00:40:33,320 --> 00:40:34,640
Speaker 2: love this one. This might play the week.

849
00:40:36,480 --> 00:40:39,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, I totally love it. And just you know, for

850
00:40:39,440 --> 00:40:42,080
Speaker 4: the people anyone writing down our plays here, you know,

851
00:40:42,120 --> 00:40:44,480
Speaker 4: obviously we're gonna count this. We're gonna count you know,

852
00:40:44,560 --> 00:40:47,960
Speaker 4: Breeze's pick as our official play for the what we

853
00:40:47,960 --> 00:40:50,200
Speaker 4: call it the G five Conference. Five high five.

854
00:40:50,960 --> 00:40:52,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's that sounds right.

855
00:40:52,920 --> 00:40:55,520
Speaker 4: But just to throw out a little bonus play. One

856
00:40:55,520 --> 00:40:58,880
Speaker 4: that I'm playing and I actually think very much correlates

857
00:40:58,920 --> 00:41:02,160
Speaker 4: with your play is I'm taking Houston plus ten and

858
00:41:02,200 --> 00:41:05,200
Speaker 4: a half because, as you mentioned in the Cincinnati defense

859
00:41:05,239 --> 00:41:07,160
Speaker 4: is elite. You know, they get a ton of headlines.

860
00:41:07,239 --> 00:41:09,560
Speaker 4: They have, you know, two studs and Gardener and Bryant.

861
00:41:10,320 --> 00:41:14,279
Speaker 4: They're thirteenth in the country in success rate. Houston's eighth,

862
00:41:14,600 --> 00:41:17,319
Speaker 4: you know, or Houston, they're thirteenth in the country. SES's right,

863
00:41:17,320 --> 00:41:20,640
Speaker 4: and eighth in yards per play. Houston is fourth in

864
00:41:20,719 --> 00:41:24,799
Speaker 4: success rate and sixth in yards per play, so they've

865
00:41:24,800 --> 00:41:27,120
Speaker 4: been better. And like I said, Gardner and Bryan are Austin.

866
00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:30,280
Speaker 4: They're both agreed as top fifteen corners in the country

867
00:41:30,320 --> 00:41:35,040
Speaker 4: per PFF. Well, Houston corner Marcus Jones is third. He's

868
00:41:35,080 --> 00:41:37,520
Speaker 4: tied for third with Roger McCreery at Auburn, who is

869
00:41:37,560 --> 00:41:41,000
Speaker 4: a stud so and they're actually kind of different. Where

870
00:41:41,400 --> 00:41:43,799
Speaker 4: Houston strength definitely is more on the back end. It's

871
00:41:44,040 --> 00:41:46,239
Speaker 4: or Cincinnati their strength is more on the back end,

872
00:41:46,280 --> 00:41:49,320
Speaker 4: more on the coverage side of it. But what makes

873
00:41:49,480 --> 00:41:52,120
Speaker 4: Houston so good against the pass, as you mentioned, is

874
00:41:52,160 --> 00:41:56,120
Speaker 4: that front seven is so good that they are second

875
00:41:56,120 --> 00:41:59,560
Speaker 4: in the entire country in passing success. They are averaging

876
00:41:59,600 --> 00:42:01,239
Speaker 4: three and a half three and a half sacks per

877
00:42:01,280 --> 00:42:04,520
Speaker 4: game over seven tackles for lost. They average twenty three

878
00:42:04,840 --> 00:42:08,280
Speaker 4: quarterback pressures per game. And they do it from every angle,

879
00:42:08,280 --> 00:42:10,279
Speaker 4: which makes them so dangerous. You know, they're not this

880
00:42:10,400 --> 00:42:12,600
Speaker 4: you know Aiden Hutchinson pin his ears back or cave

881
00:42:12,640 --> 00:42:15,120
Speaker 4: on Thibodeaux. You know they have the Anthony Jones and

882
00:42:15,200 --> 00:42:18,640
Speaker 4: David Anini on the outside, both of them are absolute monsters.

883
00:42:19,000 --> 00:42:20,799
Speaker 4: And then on the inside they have Logan Hall and

884
00:42:20,840 --> 00:42:23,080
Speaker 4: the trol Bankston who come up the middle. And then

885
00:42:23,080 --> 00:42:25,360
Speaker 4: I mentioned it when I was talking about the defensive coordinator.

886
00:42:25,600 --> 00:42:28,719
Speaker 4: They have this guy Dark Parrish who they move all

887
00:42:28,760 --> 00:42:32,480
Speaker 4: over the field. He plays defensive end, he plays linebacker,

888
00:42:32,520 --> 00:42:35,640
Speaker 4: he plays full back on offense. He just he roams

889
00:42:35,640 --> 00:42:39,520
Speaker 4: the field. He has seven sacks this year. So their

890
00:42:39,640 --> 00:42:42,360
Speaker 4: their front seven is so good and they're so dangerous.

891
00:42:42,400 --> 00:42:46,080
Speaker 4: There's seventh in lineyards. They're fourth at creating havoc in

892
00:42:46,120 --> 00:42:48,799
Speaker 4: The biggest area weakness on the Cincinnati team is their

893
00:42:48,840 --> 00:42:51,959
Speaker 4: offensive line. They're just eighty second in pass blocking. They're

894
00:42:52,000 --> 00:42:55,480
Speaker 4: forty sixth in lineyards. And you mentioned you know Ritter

895
00:42:55,640 --> 00:42:57,360
Speaker 4: who you know, he gets a lot of love and

896
00:42:57,600 --> 00:42:59,560
Speaker 4: maybe ends up in New York. I know Colin Wilson

897
00:42:59,600 --> 00:43:01,440
Speaker 4: has that that fat ticket on him, so I'm sure

898
00:43:01,480 --> 00:43:04,480
Speaker 4: he's hoping it. And yeah, Ritter is definitely more dangerous

899
00:43:04,520 --> 00:43:06,839
Speaker 4: with his legs and has been effective running this year.

900
00:43:07,680 --> 00:43:11,279
Speaker 4: But when you look at them passing, Clayton Tune has

901
00:43:11,360 --> 00:43:15,640
Speaker 4: twenty six touchdowns and eight interceptions this year. Dest murders

902
00:43:15,680 --> 00:43:18,719
Speaker 4: twenty seven touchdowns in eight interceptions, so they're pretty much

903
00:43:18,719 --> 00:43:21,800
Speaker 4: a wash. Tune has a higher completion percentage and Clayton

904
00:43:21,840 --> 00:43:24,000
Speaker 4: Tune is great as a ninety one point seven passer

905
00:43:24,080 --> 00:43:27,719
Speaker 4: grade at PFF Ritter's eighty eight point four, So you know,

906
00:43:27,960 --> 00:43:30,719
Speaker 4: you can argue Tune has been the better passer this year.

907
00:43:30,719 --> 00:43:33,439
Speaker 4: And yeah, the competition has been a little bit worse

908
00:43:33,480 --> 00:43:36,359
Speaker 4: for Houston, but we've seen it over the past couple

909
00:43:36,400 --> 00:43:40,879
Speaker 4: of weeks where we're waiting for Cincinnati. I think it's

910
00:43:40,960 --> 00:43:43,520
Speaker 4: very clear this Cincinnati team is not as good as

911
00:43:43,600 --> 00:43:45,200
Speaker 4: last year. So I think anyone that watched both of

912
00:43:45,239 --> 00:43:48,120
Speaker 4: them would say that they're not as good and they're

913
00:43:48,120 --> 00:43:49,560
Speaker 4: probably gonna going to play offf I hope they get

914
00:43:49,560 --> 00:43:52,400
Speaker 4: in the playoff. I do, but they haven't made that

915
00:43:52,680 --> 00:43:55,600
Speaker 4: dominant statement we'd expect from you know, the G five

916
00:43:55,719 --> 00:43:58,560
Speaker 4: god who's just pummeling their You know, the problem with

917
00:43:58,600 --> 00:44:01,120
Speaker 4: having weaker competition is you have to beat the brakes

918
00:44:01,160 --> 00:44:04,120
Speaker 4: off them, and they haven't. They beat Navy by seven,

919
00:44:04,239 --> 00:44:07,399
Speaker 4: they beat Tulane by nineteen, they beat Tulsa by eight,

920
00:44:07,480 --> 00:44:11,080
Speaker 4: they beat South Florida, who's horrific, by seventeen. You know,

921
00:44:11,120 --> 00:44:13,239
Speaker 4: they did look good against SBU and EC late in

922
00:44:13,239 --> 00:44:16,399
Speaker 4: the year, but they just haven't been able to pull

923
00:44:16,440 --> 00:44:18,359
Speaker 4: away and now we're supposed to they're going to beat

924
00:44:18,400 --> 00:44:20,800
Speaker 4: you know, a much better than all of those teams,

925
00:44:20,800 --> 00:44:24,360
Speaker 4: Houston team by more than ten and a half. And

926
00:44:24,400 --> 00:44:27,000
Speaker 4: then there's a big elephant in the room. We talked

927
00:44:27,040 --> 00:44:30,399
Speaker 4: about billion Nateier. Look, we've all, I'm sure we've all

928
00:44:30,400 --> 00:44:33,440
Speaker 4: had these situations, maybe in high school, where you know

929
00:44:33,480 --> 00:44:36,200
Speaker 4: you're you're dating this girl because she's cute and she's

930
00:44:36,200 --> 00:44:39,040
Speaker 4: in your home room, so you know, you're always around her.

931
00:44:39,200 --> 00:44:41,360
Speaker 4: You become good friends with her, and she's just you know,

932
00:44:41,520 --> 00:44:43,160
Speaker 4: she's always there and you hang out with her all

933
00:44:43,200 --> 00:44:46,719
Speaker 4: the time and you're dating her. But then the hot

934
00:44:46,800 --> 00:44:49,560
Speaker 4: chick you've always had a crush on suddenly become single.

935
00:44:50,760 --> 00:44:53,760
Speaker 4: And yeah, you're still loyal, but you know your buddy's

936
00:44:53,800 --> 00:44:56,960
Speaker 4: texting you, hey, man, you see who's single, and you're like, yeah,

937
00:44:57,160 --> 00:44:59,080
Speaker 4: I did see that. I noticed her Instagram's clear.

938
00:45:00,040 --> 00:45:01,360
Speaker 2: Your money don't make money.

939
00:45:01,480 --> 00:45:04,840
Speaker 4: You know, I'm just saying. Luke Fickle has long said

940
00:45:04,960 --> 00:45:07,239
Speaker 4: that he would leave since Naty for Notre Dame. Like,

941
00:45:07,280 --> 00:45:09,279
Speaker 4: you know, it's Notre Dame, Ohio State, you know, Penn

942
00:45:09,320 --> 00:45:12,799
Speaker 4: State are kind of his jobs. Notre Dame's open, So

943
00:45:13,040 --> 00:45:13,680
Speaker 4: just to be clear.

944
00:45:13,840 --> 00:45:16,640
Speaker 2: What would notre dames like you know first trap on

945
00:45:16,719 --> 00:45:19,359
Speaker 2: Instagram be what exactly are they sending him to get

946
00:45:19,400 --> 00:45:21,919
Speaker 2: him all hot and bothered before kickoff of this game?

947
00:45:22,080 --> 00:45:26,680
Speaker 4: Yeah? Probably, you know, probably touchdown, touchdown, Jesus. Probably clips

948
00:45:26,680 --> 00:45:30,080
Speaker 4: are rudy. In this lifetime, you don't have to prove

949
00:45:30,120 --> 00:45:34,160
Speaker 4: nothing to nobody except yourself, and after what you've gone through,

950
00:45:34,360 --> 00:45:37,560
Speaker 4: if you haven't done that by now, it ain't gonna

951
00:45:37,600 --> 00:45:40,480
Speaker 4: never happen. You know, don't be shocked if if he

952
00:45:40,560 --> 00:45:42,680
Speaker 4: got a text from the you know, notre dame ad

953
00:45:43,080 --> 00:45:47,440
Speaker 4: like you up. So I'm just saying I think I

954
00:45:47,480 --> 00:45:49,600
Speaker 4: think Luke got a couple of texts like you see

955
00:45:49,600 --> 00:45:53,360
Speaker 4: who single? Now he knows, he knows who's single. Like

956
00:45:53,400 --> 00:45:55,760
Speaker 4: I said, most of this comes down on the field,

957
00:45:55,960 --> 00:45:58,479
Speaker 4: but I also like having that little extra, little extra,

958
00:45:58,600 --> 00:46:00,960
Speaker 4: you know, distraction thrown into that, which I do think

959
00:46:01,040 --> 00:46:01,520
Speaker 4: is the case.

960
00:46:01,920 --> 00:46:05,080
Speaker 2: Well, that will do it for our group of five

961
00:46:05,160 --> 00:46:08,600
Speaker 2: Championship Week picks. I'm glad that we get paint a

962
00:46:08,760 --> 00:46:14,839
Speaker 2: very very detailed and thorough and sexually confusing picture there

963
00:46:14,920 --> 00:46:18,040
Speaker 2: for the coaching carousel down the stretch. But to go

964
00:46:18,080 --> 00:46:20,239
Speaker 2: ahead and give a quick summary of all of our

965
00:46:20,280 --> 00:46:23,960
Speaker 2: picks in the Conference USA Championship game, we like Western

966
00:46:24,040 --> 00:46:27,759
Speaker 2: Kentucky minus two and a half. In the MAC Championship

967
00:46:27,800 --> 00:46:31,080
Speaker 2: game between Kent and Miami, we like over seventy four

968
00:46:31,160 --> 00:46:33,960
Speaker 2: and a half in the Sun Belt Championship. We like

969
00:46:34,040 --> 00:46:38,480
Speaker 2: Appalachian State minus three. In the Mountain West Championship, we

970
00:46:38,760 --> 00:46:41,480
Speaker 2: like the Utah State team total under twenty two and

971
00:46:41,520 --> 00:46:44,279
Speaker 2: a half. And for our official pick in the AAC

972
00:46:44,600 --> 00:46:47,880
Speaker 2: Title game, we like under fifty three and as a

973
00:46:47,920 --> 00:46:50,560
Speaker 2: bonus pick, we also like Houston plus ten and a

974
00:46:50,640 --> 00:46:54,320
Speaker 2: half in that AAC Title game. Now, for our audience,

975
00:46:54,320 --> 00:46:56,239
Speaker 2: we are going to be back in two weeks with

976
00:46:56,360 --> 00:47:00,239
Speaker 2: a Bowl bonanza blowout. Everything G five related going to

977
00:47:00,280 --> 00:47:03,440
Speaker 2: go through and touch every single game, and hopefully that

978
00:47:03,480 --> 00:47:06,480
Speaker 2: includes Old Dominion because the Monarch certainly deserve it. We'll

979
00:47:06,480 --> 00:47:09,000
Speaker 2: probably have the Monarch. Yeah, we'll just have a five

980
00:47:09,040 --> 00:47:10,880
Speaker 2: to ten. We'll call it a thirty minute segment just

981
00:47:10,960 --> 00:47:13,279
Speaker 2: on Old Dominion football. But we will be sure to

982
00:47:13,280 --> 00:47:16,440
Speaker 2: get into every single matchup. Bole season is one of

983
00:47:16,520 --> 00:47:19,759
Speaker 2: my favorites of the entire year. Nothing's better than a

984
00:47:19,840 --> 00:47:24,080
Speaker 2: two pm Tuesday kickoff in that weird murky time of

985
00:47:24,160 --> 00:47:26,239
Speaker 2: year between Christmas and New Year's where nobody knows what

986
00:47:26,280 --> 00:47:28,279
Speaker 2: day of the week it is. I love it. I

987
00:47:28,320 --> 00:47:30,760
Speaker 2: love all those games. So I can't wait to see

988
00:47:30,840 --> 00:47:33,520
Speaker 2: what these matchups are, and we'll be giving you gambling

989
00:47:33,560 --> 00:47:36,080
Speaker 2: angles on every single one of them. For Mike Ianello

990
00:47:36,200 --> 00:47:38,120
Speaker 2: on Mike Calbrey's this has been the group of five

991
00:47:38,160 --> 00:47:40,960
Speaker 2: Deep Dive under the Big Bets on Campus banner