WEBVTT - Free Picks for EVERY Week 1 NFL Game (Ep. 326) 0:00:01.000 --> 0:00:03.120 Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 0:00:03.160 --> 0:00:05.760 your bets. It is me, Joey Pa Joe Pizzapia, and 0:00:06.519 --> 0:00:09.520 we did it. We made it. We're here. The NFL 0:00:09.560 --> 0:00:12.040 season has finally begun and we're gonna start looking ahead 0:00:12.039 --> 0:00:14.440 to the lines for week one, try to find some 0:00:14.560 --> 0:00:17.079 early values. And the Labor Day weekend is that big 0:00:17.160 --> 0:00:20.440 signal that the NFL season has begun, which is great 0:00:20.520 --> 0:00:23.960 because no more theoretical football. We got real football to 0:00:24.040 --> 0:00:26.160 talk about. Help me break it all down as Pat 0:00:26.200 --> 0:00:30.560 Fitzmorris and FITZI. You can follow obviously at Bettingpros dot 0:00:30.600 --> 0:00:33.240 com slash fits or you can follow me at Bettingpros 0:00:33.240 --> 0:00:35.920 dot com slash Joe and get in all the things 0:00:35.920 --> 0:00:38.080 that we're getting in. I know this weekend we're kind 0:00:38.080 --> 0:00:41.280 of going to coalesce around some games our favorite picks, 0:00:41.280 --> 0:00:42.960 and we want you to be involved in that too. 0:00:43.320 --> 0:00:46.520 Don't forget Bettingpros dot Com slash NFL contest. Go join. 0:00:46.640 --> 0:00:49.640 I'm in there, Fitzi's in there. We're all going to 0:00:49.680 --> 0:00:53.279 be joining this incredible it's a competition. 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And all you gotta do is make 0:01:22.200 --> 0:01:24.240 a minimum of one hundred picks during the season, So 0:01:24.600 --> 0:01:26.560 join from day one so you can get that jersey. 0:01:26.760 --> 0:01:28.520 If you're in on week one, there's a better chance 0:01:28.520 --> 0:01:30.680 you could be the overall winner. But remember you could 0:01:30.720 --> 0:01:33.520 join any time you want, and it's theoretical picking, and 0:01:33.560 --> 0:01:36.880 that's a great thing. And gosh darn it, Pat, I'm 0:01:36.920 --> 0:01:39.320 just happy football is back. And this is one of 0:01:39.360 --> 0:01:42.240 my favorite things because one of the signals of the 0:01:42.319 --> 0:01:44.679 new week and a fresh start is always this look 0:01:44.720 --> 0:01:46.840 ahead show that we do every week, which we will 0:01:46.880 --> 0:01:49.680 be doing in season every Monday, and this is like 0:01:49.720 --> 0:01:53.080 the biggest one because this is the beginning of the season. 0:01:53.560 --> 0:01:56.160 And also we know Week one always gets wacky. 0:01:57.120 --> 0:01:59.640 Yeah, we got a full dose of college football under 0:01:59.640 --> 0:02:03.000 our and now we are days away from the Kansas 0:02:03.040 --> 0:02:05.960 City Chiefs and Detroit Lions kicking off the new season. 0:02:06.240 --> 0:02:08.160 I can't wait, Joe. It's been a great summer, a 0:02:08.200 --> 0:02:10.120 lot of golf, a lot of cookouts. But you know 0:02:10.160 --> 0:02:11.560 I'm ready for football, man. 0:02:11.600 --> 0:02:13.800 Yes i am too. So let's start with that game. 0:02:14.160 --> 0:02:17.960 Kansas City is hosting the Detroit Lions on Thursday night football. 0:02:18.800 --> 0:02:20.600 The best number you can get over on Betting Pro 0:02:20.639 --> 0:02:22.120 so, so we're gonna be looking through this. So six and 0:02:22.160 --> 0:02:24.960 a half on FanDuel on this bread, the plus side 0:02:25.000 --> 0:02:28.560 for Detroit, the minus on Kansas City at minus one 0:02:28.639 --> 0:02:30.600 ten six and a half. The fifty four and a 0:02:30.600 --> 0:02:32.520 half is the total right now. The best one you 0:02:32.520 --> 0:02:34.960 can get in the over, which is also on fandul, 0:02:34.960 --> 0:02:36.799 and then DK you can get fifty three and a half. 0:02:36.880 --> 0:02:39.240 And this is why the Betting pros app is the best. Okay, 0:02:39.280 --> 0:02:42.280 as I'm talking through these numbers, you'll see the different 0:02:42.280 --> 0:02:44.200 houses you get the best numbers all over the place 0:02:44.280 --> 0:02:47.400 obviously Detroit the heavy underdog and the money line plus 0:02:47.400 --> 0:02:49.720 two forty as they should be. The one number I 0:02:49.760 --> 0:02:52.520 keep coming back to on this one is it's early, 0:02:53.440 --> 0:02:56.560 so I think the fifty three and a half you know, 0:02:56.680 --> 0:02:59.200 on the on the under, it feels like a big 0:02:59.280 --> 0:03:01.800 number to me for a Thursday night game to start 0:03:01.840 --> 0:03:03.680 the season, where I just don't know if everybody's on 0:03:03.760 --> 0:03:06.240 the same page. You're ready to go yet, So if 0:03:06.280 --> 0:03:08.880 anything on this game, I'm looking towards the under a 0:03:08.880 --> 0:03:10.600 little bit. How about you, Pat, how do you see 0:03:10.600 --> 0:03:11.000 this one? 0:03:11.800 --> 0:03:12.440 Well, Joe? 0:03:12.520 --> 0:03:16.440 Over the last eight season openers the Kansas City Chiefs 0:03:16.440 --> 0:03:19.920 have played, they have averaged thirty six point four points. 0:03:20.120 --> 0:03:23.800 Like you bringing me back around? Okay, let's go. Yeah. 0:03:23.880 --> 0:03:28.200 If you give Andy Reid like weeks months to prepare 0:03:28.720 --> 0:03:31.760 an offensive game plan, lookout. And the weird thing is, Joe, 0:03:31.840 --> 0:03:35.400 Kansas City has won eight straight season openers under Andy Reid. 0:03:36.200 --> 0:03:38.360 But in those eight straight wins, they have allowed no 0:03:38.560 --> 0:03:41.840 fewer than twenty points in any of those wins, so 0:03:41.920 --> 0:03:44.320 it's not like their defense has been all that fine tune. 0:03:44.520 --> 0:03:47.320 The average point total in those eight games has been 0:03:47.480 --> 0:03:51.440 sixty point three points, So I actually do think there 0:03:51.520 --> 0:03:53.920 might be a little bit of value in the over here, Joe, Like, 0:03:53.960 --> 0:03:56.120 I think we're going to see some points, especially Chris 0:03:56.200 --> 0:03:59.880 Jones miss the entire preseason with his holdout for the Chiefs, 0:04:00.680 --> 0:04:04.480 him not being around as like or playing a reduced role, 0:04:05.680 --> 0:04:07.880 Like that's a big thing, Like he is a lynchman 0:04:07.960 --> 0:04:12.520 on their defense. Yeah, so, you know, like I and 0:04:12.560 --> 0:04:15.680 I think Joe, the Lions are going to be sort 0:04:15.680 --> 0:04:18.920 of fired up. Like we've both sort of agreed that 0:04:18.960 --> 0:04:20.760 the Lions hype train has gotten. 0:04:20.520 --> 0:04:22.760 A little too a little too much. 0:04:23.440 --> 0:04:26.640 But at the same time, Dan Campbell does seem like 0:04:26.680 --> 0:04:28.920 a pretty good motivator, and I think he's going to 0:04:28.960 --> 0:04:31.240 have his team pretty fired up to prove that they 0:04:31.320 --> 0:04:33.200 belong in this big stage. I mean, we know the 0:04:33.200 --> 0:04:35.560 Lions were a surprise selection for this game. 0:04:36.080 --> 0:04:37.640 No one saw that and a. 0:04:37.640 --> 0:04:40.480 Lot of people were like whoa. You know, the league 0:04:40.560 --> 0:04:42.760 is really all in on the Lions this year. I 0:04:42.800 --> 0:04:44.880 don't know if they really belong here, but they might 0:04:44.880 --> 0:04:46.920 be abut to prove a point that they do belong. 0:04:46.960 --> 0:04:49.400 And we know the Chiefs sometimes. 0:04:48.960 --> 0:04:51.919 Aren't great as a big home favorite. They struggle to 0:04:51.960 --> 0:04:56.040 cover some of these big numbers at times, and I'd 0:04:56.040 --> 0:04:58.360 love to see this number get to seven. I don't 0:04:58.360 --> 0:05:01.200 know if it's going to get there. You know, I'm waiting. 0:05:01.440 --> 0:05:04.960 I'm waiting, my fingers hovering over the button to take 0:05:05.000 --> 0:05:08.359 the Lions Joe, But I'm not there just yet. 0:05:08.480 --> 0:05:10.839 Yeah, this game doesn't really move the neal from me. Again, 0:05:11.040 --> 0:05:13.320 I keep going back to that total, although the statues 0:05:13.360 --> 0:05:16.560 threw me with the Andy Reid preparation now have sent 0:05:16.640 --> 0:05:21.440 shivers down my spine. However, again it's ken Detroit keep 0:05:21.480 --> 0:05:23.160 up there under the bargain too, with some of the 0:05:23.520 --> 0:05:24.880 new things that are going to be running through here. 0:05:24.880 --> 0:05:26.880 And this is the measuring stick, right, and I think 0:05:26.960 --> 0:05:29.520 Detroit's going to learn real quick how good they really are. 0:05:29.880 --> 0:05:31.480 This game, to me is more of a prop game. 0:05:32.120 --> 0:05:34.520 I'm looking for the Kelsey numbers. I'm looking for some 0:05:34.640 --> 0:05:36.800 Patrick Mahomes numbers, that stuff where I can, I think, 0:05:36.839 --> 0:05:38.719 feel a little bit more confident. Maybe the Aman ross 0:05:38.720 --> 0:05:41.839 Ain Brown reception number over like, That's kind of how 0:05:41.839 --> 0:05:44.960 I'm attacking this game as opposed to the lines Houston Baltimore. 0:05:45.320 --> 0:05:48.240 Let's move on here to Sunday. The total for this 0:05:48.279 --> 0:05:50.599 one you get at forty four right now across the 0:05:50.600 --> 0:05:54.160 board pretty much you're getting obviously Baltimore heavy favorites here. 0:05:54.240 --> 0:05:56.800 Minus ten is the best one you can get right 0:05:56.839 --> 0:05:59.600 now for this. If you like Houston to upset the 0:05:59.640 --> 0:06:02.080 Baltim Ravens at plus three seventy five, I don't think 0:06:02.120 --> 0:06:03.919 you're gonna get that. But Pat, any love for this 0:06:03.960 --> 0:06:06.360 game whatsoever, any early value in your opinion. 0:06:07.000 --> 0:06:10.119 Yeah, more Week one trends for you, Joe. Since Jim 0:06:10.560 --> 0:06:13.520 John Harbaugh again coaching the Ravens in two thousand and eight, 0:06:13.600 --> 0:06:16.680 they are seven and one in home Week one games, 0:06:17.080 --> 0:06:20.679 and they've beaten their well, they've outscored their opponents. Even 0:06:20.720 --> 0:06:23.320 factoring in that one loss, they've outscored their opponents by 0:06:23.320 --> 0:06:26.400 an average of nineteen point four points a game. So 0:06:27.279 --> 0:06:31.280 their last three opponents in home openers in Week one 0:06:31.720 --> 0:06:35.960 have scored seven points or fewer. And the Ravens are good, 0:06:36.279 --> 0:06:39.559 the Texans are bad. The Ravens are tough at home. 0:06:40.000 --> 0:06:41.800 I'm gonna lay the points here, Like I don't mind 0:06:41.800 --> 0:06:42.440 the big number. 0:06:43.200 --> 0:06:45.080 It is a big number, especially this time of year, 0:06:45.120 --> 0:06:49.440 But yeah, I'm leading that way as well. In fact, 0:06:49.480 --> 0:06:51.640 my favorite thing of this is probably to make some 0:06:51.680 --> 0:06:54.440 money to go for Zay Flowers anytime touchdown scorer in 0:06:54.440 --> 0:06:56.479 this game. That's the one that's gonna stand out to me. 0:06:56.520 --> 0:06:58.480 Wherever you get a good plus money number on that one, 0:06:58.520 --> 0:07:01.320 you're gonna get it everywhere. I would look for that one. 0:07:01.400 --> 0:07:05.240 I am in on Za Flowers this year. Carolina and Atlanta. 0:07:05.680 --> 0:07:09.560 Let's go the Bjeon Robinson debut. I'm excited for this, 0:07:10.240 --> 0:07:12.840 also the Bryce Young debut. Now, the number you're getting 0:07:12.840 --> 0:07:15.480 on this one, the best over is at Sugarhouse at forty. 0:07:16.200 --> 0:07:18.480 That's a flat number right now. The under thirty nine 0:07:18.480 --> 0:07:20.160 and a half. You can get on DK at minus 0:07:20.160 --> 0:07:23.400 one oh eight. So far, Atlanta four point favorites in 0:07:23.440 --> 0:07:25.080 this one. That's the way this is looking. You can 0:07:25.120 --> 0:07:27.520 get Carolina at plus three and a half. If you 0:07:27.600 --> 0:07:30.600 like Carolina for the just straight up upset, it's plus 0:07:30.640 --> 0:07:33.000 one sixty. I guess the biggest concern I have right 0:07:33.040 --> 0:07:34.920 now in this game and the reason why I think 0:07:35.280 --> 0:07:37.160 this line is kind of on the right side. Even 0:07:37.240 --> 0:07:41.040 I like Atlanta. Four is kind of like pushing the 0:07:41.120 --> 0:07:43.440 envelope for me here. But I keep coming back to 0:07:43.480 --> 0:07:45.840 the protection or lack thereof, of Bryce Young, and that 0:07:45.920 --> 0:07:48.200 wears me a little bit in this game. How do 0:07:48.200 --> 0:07:49.760 you feel about this one? In the early look in 0:07:49.800 --> 0:07:51.239 week one, Yeah. 0:07:51.040 --> 0:07:53.400 It's weird that line hasn't been better. I mean, they've 0:07:53.400 --> 0:07:56.400 got Ikey Iwanu, who's one of the better young offensive lineman. 0:07:56.480 --> 0:07:59.600 James Campen is a really good offensive line coach. The 0:07:59.640 --> 0:08:02.640 Panther did look terrible in the preseason, Joe. They lost 0:08:02.680 --> 0:08:04.880 all three of their games. They were humiliated by the 0:08:04.960 --> 0:08:08.720 Jets twenty seven to nothing. But even though the Falcons 0:08:08.720 --> 0:08:12.840 have become sort of this public darling, I think this year, 0:08:12.920 --> 0:08:13.600 or at least in the. 0:08:13.600 --> 0:08:16.560 Nfin public darling, or you think they're the sharp darling, 0:08:16.560 --> 0:08:18.600 because I feel like all the sharps we've had on 0:08:18.640 --> 0:08:21.480 the show, and I'm not gonna throw myself in that grouping, 0:08:21.560 --> 0:08:23.640 but I was on the Falcons coming into the season 0:08:23.680 --> 0:08:26.040 as well. Almost every sharp person we've had on the 0:08:26.080 --> 0:08:27.960 show has been pointing to the Falcons. But do you 0:08:28.000 --> 0:08:29.360 think they're public yet? 0:08:29.960 --> 0:08:31.680 Maybe they might not be. It might be more of 0:08:31.720 --> 0:08:33.760 a sharp darling thing. I think you're right on that, 0:08:34.520 --> 0:08:37.640 But I do think they're getting more attention in the 0:08:37.720 --> 0:08:40.000 NFC South, and I know people I've talked to who 0:08:40.000 --> 0:08:43.200 have bet NFC South Division winner have all been on 0:08:43.240 --> 0:08:47.400 the Falcons almost unanimously. It's kind of weird, and like, 0:08:47.440 --> 0:08:50.280 I still think the Panthers can be the equal of 0:08:50.320 --> 0:08:53.240 the Falcons, believe it or not, Joe, Like, as bad 0:08:53.280 --> 0:08:57.040 as they've looked in the preseason, I think Bryce Young 0:08:57.080 --> 0:09:00.840 could possibly hit stride early just because he's this high 0:09:00.840 --> 0:09:03.720 floor guy who everyone says is kind of a savant 0:09:03.800 --> 0:09:05.560 as a playmaker, and I think he's going to like 0:09:05.679 --> 0:09:08.960 get to his max potential pretty quickly. Maybe not week 0:09:09.000 --> 0:09:13.240 one of his rookie season, but pretty quickly. And Frank 0:09:13.280 --> 0:09:16.600 Reich really does have one of the best staffs of 0:09:16.640 --> 0:09:19.679 assistant coaches in the league, just like kind of all 0:09:19.720 --> 0:09:24.840 star assistants at more or less coaching every unit. So like, 0:09:24.880 --> 0:09:27.600 I think this team could be a sneaky overachiever. I 0:09:27.640 --> 0:09:30.280 actually kind of like that You're getting the hook at 0:09:30.280 --> 0:09:33.840 three and a half here. So I've taken the Panthers. 0:09:33.880 --> 0:09:35.880 I took them a while ago. I'm probably not going 0:09:35.960 --> 0:09:38.880 to double down and put any additional money on the Panthers, 0:09:39.200 --> 0:09:41.600 but I sort of like them as a sneaky cover 0:09:41.679 --> 0:09:44.320 here in what should be a pretty low scoring game. 0:09:44.400 --> 0:09:46.240 Let's face it, I mean the Falcons love to run 0:09:46.240 --> 0:09:49.079 the ball, as they should with Desmond Rider at quarterback. 0:09:49.480 --> 0:09:52.520 The Panthers offense not really ready for prime time just yet. 0:09:53.080 --> 0:09:55.200 These are not high powered offenses. Joe, I think this 0:09:55.240 --> 0:09:57.880 could be a rock fight, low scoring game. So I 0:09:57.960 --> 0:10:00.520 kind of like the Panthers with the points and the 0:10:00.600 --> 0:10:01.120 under here. 0:10:01.600 --> 0:10:04.160 Yeah, look kind of I see where you're going in 0:10:04.160 --> 0:10:07.000 these individual matchups too. You know, whenever we open up 0:10:07.000 --> 0:10:09.240 the season with those, I think that's always, you know, 0:10:09.360 --> 0:10:11.680 a fun thing because those games are typically a little 0:10:11.720 --> 0:10:15.320 tougher to gauge regardless, you know, because there's familiarity. But 0:10:15.520 --> 0:10:17.559 there's so much new here, you know, new quarterback in 0:10:17.600 --> 0:10:20.679 Carolina obviously Bejean, which is so waiting for some of 0:10:20.720 --> 0:10:21.959 those numbers to come out on him. We have a 0:10:22.000 --> 0:10:25.520 lot of Carolina props. But again, I'm attacking the individuals 0:10:25.559 --> 0:10:28.000 in this game more than attacking the game itself because 0:10:28.320 --> 0:10:30.240 there's a little bit more unknown there. Let's get to 0:10:30.240 --> 0:10:33.160 another one too, Cincinnati, maybe a limited Joe Burrow. It 0:10:33.200 --> 0:10:37.000 looks like potentially we're we're still getting more updates here 0:10:37.040 --> 0:10:39.800 as we're approaching the weekend on that they're gonna go 0:10:39.840 --> 0:10:42.200 to Cleveland to play the Browns, and this is you know, 0:10:42.559 --> 0:10:44.520 I know this is so dumb pack because it's Week one, 0:10:44.720 --> 0:10:46.920 but I'm gonna say it anyway. This is kind of 0:10:46.920 --> 0:10:49.280 a statement for the Browns. I feel like week one, 0:10:49.360 --> 0:10:52.800 like you, you can go out there and potentially get 0:10:52.840 --> 0:10:54.520 an upset in this game if you are in the 0:10:54.520 --> 0:10:57.800 Cleveland Browns and really make a statement. The number here 0:10:57.800 --> 0:11:00.640 for Cleveland is plus two and a half. They are dogs, 0:11:00.679 --> 0:11:04.000 which we always love. And if there is a moment 0:11:04.040 --> 0:11:07.960 here of you know where maybe joe Be's a little rusty, 0:11:08.160 --> 0:11:10.480 maybe you catch him napping a little bit, maybe the 0:11:10.520 --> 0:11:13.040 Bengals think, you know, hey, we're you know, we're the 0:11:13.080 --> 0:11:14.840 class of the AFC. We're gonna go prove it. We 0:11:14.880 --> 0:11:17.640 overlook the Cleveland brown This is a big show me game, 0:11:17.679 --> 0:11:20.040 and I think one of the ones that I circle 0:11:20.520 --> 0:11:23.080 on this Week one schedule that I think Cleveland has 0:11:23.080 --> 0:11:24.920 a shot. The number is forty eight on the total. 0:11:25.200 --> 0:11:27.199 If you like Cleveland to win outright, you get plus 0:11:27.200 --> 0:11:28.719 one to twenty on the money line. That's how I 0:11:28.760 --> 0:11:30.560 would approach this one. To be honest with you, I 0:11:30.640 --> 0:11:33.120 like this Cleveland number on the plus money home dogs 0:11:33.160 --> 0:11:36.240 we always love in Division they've got new weapons like 0:11:36.280 --> 0:11:38.240 Elijah More Nick Chubb's gonna run the hell out of 0:11:38.240 --> 0:11:42.240 the football. Hopefully Watson can continue to bounce back. To me, 0:11:42.360 --> 0:11:44.240 this is the big trap game of the week. How 0:11:44.240 --> 0:11:45.280 do you feel about this one? 0:11:45.920 --> 0:11:48.839 Same here, Joe money line seems like a really good 0:11:48.840 --> 0:11:51.080 play on the Browns to me. And I think this 0:11:51.120 --> 0:11:53.679 would be a reasonable shot to take even if Joe 0:11:53.720 --> 0:11:56.120 Burrow was totally fine and had never gotten hurt and 0:11:56.240 --> 0:11:59.240 had a full preseason or whatever. But with Burrow being 0:11:59.320 --> 0:12:02.080 iffy too, and you're gonna give us that path, like 0:12:02.160 --> 0:12:05.560 if we don't see a sharp Joe Burrow. So yeah, 0:12:05.600 --> 0:12:07.880 I do like this one. I also kind of like 0:12:07.920 --> 0:12:10.480 the under here, Joe. It seems like a really high total. 0:12:10.720 --> 0:12:14.240 We know that Cleveland is Cleveland Browns Stadium can be 0:12:14.240 --> 0:12:16.959 one of the windiest places to play, Like the wind 0:12:17.000 --> 0:12:22.120 can wreak havoc with passing and kicking games. So like 0:12:22.240 --> 0:12:25.880 that total seems pretty tall with whether you know, win 0:12:26.000 --> 0:12:28.640 possibly being a factor and Joe Burrow maybe not being 0:12:28.800 --> 0:12:29.640 one hundred percent. 0:12:29.800 --> 0:12:32.080 Yeah, I just it's not that like Joe Burrow can't 0:12:32.080 --> 0:12:34.719 still be good. It's just you haven't played football in 0:12:34.720 --> 0:12:36.640 four weeks right, Like, I'm just kind of throwing that 0:12:36.679 --> 0:12:38.079 out there, and then he's going on the road, and 0:12:38.080 --> 0:12:41.559 there's a lot of things here where I think, if anything, 0:12:41.640 --> 0:12:43.920 Pat I would continue to watch his moneyline number because 0:12:43.920 --> 0:12:45.920 it's sitting a plus one twenty on VP right now. 0:12:46.200 --> 0:12:47.920 And this is why you download the app. We have 0:12:47.920 --> 0:12:49.840 the new redesign. This is how you stay on top 0:12:49.880 --> 0:12:52.199 of all the notivocations of all the lines that move 0:12:52.240 --> 0:12:54.920 when you sink your sports books. This is the glory 0:12:55.040 --> 0:12:57.400 of betting pros. And what we're trying to do here 0:12:58.160 --> 0:13:00.679 is that I think when the Joe Burrows good to go, 0:13:00.760 --> 0:13:04.080 he's cleared. If everything's great, I think this line's gonna 0:13:04.080 --> 0:13:05.360 move a little bit. And I think that plus one 0:13:05.480 --> 0:13:08.960 twenty goes up to plus one thirty or one fifty even, 0:13:09.520 --> 0:13:11.880 and you know when it does, I'm gonna bet it 0:13:11.920 --> 0:13:14.679 there too, because I think that's exactly what's gonna happen 0:13:15.200 --> 0:13:18.480 on the next game here on our list. In week one, 0:13:18.960 --> 0:13:22.840 San Fran goes to Pittsburgh, another home dog FITZI. I'm 0:13:22.840 --> 0:13:24.920 looking at my chops on this one. We still have 0:13:24.960 --> 0:13:26.880 no Nick Boson news as of today. As of us 0:13:26.880 --> 0:13:30.160 recording this now, again, that could change at any moment. 0:13:30.840 --> 0:13:32.960 It seemed that rock Perty is going to get the start. 0:13:33.679 --> 0:13:36.160 They are the Pittsburgh Steelers two and a half point 0:13:36.360 --> 0:13:39.160 underdogs here on DK minus one ten. That's the best 0:13:39.200 --> 0:13:42.160 number you can get right now. Forty one is the 0:13:42.200 --> 0:13:45.000 number sometimes forty one and a half in some other spots. 0:13:45.200 --> 0:13:48.360 But once again, I'm looking at Pittsburgh here as a 0:13:48.400 --> 0:13:51.079 potential upset where San fran Is still trying to kind 0:13:51.080 --> 0:13:52.720 of find its way a little bit. In my opinion, 0:13:53.200 --> 0:13:55.559 I think the Steelers are gonna pull San Francisco down 0:13:55.640 --> 0:13:57.760 to their level, make him play in the mud. They're 0:13:57.760 --> 0:13:59.840 gonna run the football and run the football and run 0:13:59.840 --> 0:14:02.400 the football some more. And I like Pittsburgh to win 0:14:02.440 --> 0:14:03.320 this game out right too. 0:14:04.040 --> 0:14:06.840 I like everything you said, Joe, accept the part about 0:14:06.840 --> 0:14:10.480 San Francis Pittsburgh pulling San Francisco down to their level, 0:14:10.480 --> 0:14:12.640 because I don't think they really have to pull him down. 0:14:12.480 --> 0:14:13.400 Like Pittsburgh went. 0:14:14.640 --> 0:14:18.360 Pittsburgh went seven and two after their bye last week, 0:14:18.559 --> 0:14:22.960 and they ranked six sixth in total DVO way over 0:14:23.000 --> 0:14:24.960 that stretch. They were one of the best teams in 0:14:25.000 --> 0:14:27.840 the league over the second half of the twenty twenty 0:14:27.880 --> 0:14:30.880 two regular season, and we know, you know, Mike Tomlin 0:14:31.080 --> 0:14:35.280 regular season winning percentage of six thirty six in his 0:14:35.400 --> 0:14:38.040 sixteen years as head coach of the Steelers never has 0:14:38.040 --> 0:14:41.480 had a five sub five hundred season. Pittsburgh is a 0:14:41.520 --> 0:14:45.120 really live dog here against a West Coast team coming 0:14:45.120 --> 0:14:48.720 out east, and Pittsburgh has looked great in the preseason, 0:14:48.800 --> 0:14:52.160 like that offense has actually been humming with Kenny Pickett 0:14:52.160 --> 0:14:55.040 and company, and the defense has added some really nice pieces. 0:14:55.240 --> 0:14:58.200 Joe like, I don't get this line. I think they 0:14:58.200 --> 0:15:00.880 should be like a pick them. I think it should 0:15:00.880 --> 0:15:02.800 be a pick. I'm like, huge value. This is my 0:15:02.880 --> 0:15:04.560 favorite favorite play of the week. 0:15:04.640 --> 0:15:07.160 I don't know if it's gonna move either, because you know, 0:15:07.840 --> 0:15:09.760 Pittsburgh is a very public team, right, a lot of 0:15:09.760 --> 0:15:12.760 Steeler fans everywhere, So I don't know if there's gonna 0:15:12.760 --> 0:15:14.800 be any momentum switch on this game. All I know 0:15:15.000 --> 0:15:17.040 is it's good enough where it is right now to 0:15:17.120 --> 0:15:19.240 invest in it now and then wait and see and 0:15:19.280 --> 0:15:21.000 maybe you get lucky. You're like, oh, I'm glad I 0:15:21.000 --> 0:15:23.480 did when I did, and maybe it gets even better, 0:15:23.560 --> 0:15:25.920 like I'm saying about the Browns, where I might just 0:15:25.920 --> 0:15:28.440 bet at the second talk, get a better number on it, 0:15:28.640 --> 0:15:31.200 and just stay with the theme. Also, if you're watching 0:15:31.280 --> 0:15:33.200 the show here, don't forget to subscribe to the Betting 0:15:33.200 --> 0:15:36.080 Pros YouTube channel because we're gonna be hosting NFL shows 0:15:36.080 --> 0:15:39.280 here almost every single day during the season, talking about props, 0:15:39.280 --> 0:15:41.880 talking about betting. We're doing our Thursday night football previews, 0:15:41.880 --> 0:15:44.360 our Monday night football previews. So when you subscribe and 0:15:44.400 --> 0:15:46.760 drop a comment below, you could win an Aaron Jones 0:15:47.080 --> 0:15:50.560 autograph jersey thanks to of course, Betting Pro. So all 0:15:50.560 --> 0:15:52.800 you have to do again subscribe, click the little bell 0:15:52.880 --> 0:15:55.160 till it goes ding, and drop a comment below. Give 0:15:55.240 --> 0:15:57.240 us your picks for week one. Who do you like? 0:15:57.640 --> 0:16:00.280 Who do you not like? You tell us and the 0:16:00.320 --> 0:16:02.880 Aaron Jones jersey can be yours. That's it. It's real simple. 0:16:02.880 --> 0:16:04.360 But don't forget to click the bell so you know 0:16:04.440 --> 0:16:07.480 exactly if you are the winner of the Aaron Jones jersey. 0:16:07.520 --> 0:16:09.560 Let's get to the next game on our list here. Fitzy, 0:16:09.840 --> 0:16:13.920 the Washington Commanders seven point home favorites. I haven't said 0:16:13.920 --> 0:16:15.800 those words in a long time. I feel like the 0:16:15.840 --> 0:16:18.840 words Washington Commanders and seven point home favorites really just 0:16:18.920 --> 0:16:21.960 never quite come to fruition. But the Arizona Cardinals are 0:16:21.960 --> 0:16:23.960 that bad. Thirty eight and a half is the number 0:16:24.000 --> 0:16:26.160 here on this bad boy, pretty much across the board. 0:16:26.800 --> 0:16:29.920 I do not like Arizona and the upside plus do 0:16:30.040 --> 0:16:33.240 sixty five if anything fitsy. This is kind of a 0:16:33.320 --> 0:16:36.240 stay away from me. Maybe the thirty eight and a half. 0:16:36.280 --> 0:16:39.240 I'm on the under just because. But again, this game 0:16:39.320 --> 0:16:40.880 just doesn't have all that much appeal to me. Too 0:16:40.920 --> 0:16:43.800 many weird moving parts, and sometimes like the teams that 0:16:43.840 --> 0:16:46.880 aren't great are the hardest when they play each other 0:16:47.000 --> 0:16:48.520 to really make a good wager on. 0:16:49.600 --> 0:16:53.360 Yeah, it's funny like Washington Joe, not a team that 0:16:53.400 --> 0:16:57.120 really engenders a great deal of public confidence in you know, 0:16:57.240 --> 0:17:02.120 the last several decades. But is it possible the Commanders 0:17:02.120 --> 0:17:04.480 are going to be like the most popular Survivor pool 0:17:04.680 --> 0:17:06.800 pick this week against the Cardinals. 0:17:07.320 --> 0:17:08.240 The Cardinals are going to be. 0:17:09.200 --> 0:17:11.840 People are just gonna follow the Cardinals around in Survivor 0:17:11.880 --> 0:17:14.920 pools like band groupies this year, Like who are the 0:17:14.960 --> 0:17:18.719 Cardinals playing? I'm picking their opponent, And yeah, I mean 0:17:18.760 --> 0:17:21.000 it's hard to push the button on the Commanders as 0:17:21.040 --> 0:17:23.720 a seven point favorite. I'm pushing the button on the 0:17:23.720 --> 0:17:26.520 Commander's Show, like that the Cardinals don't even want to 0:17:26.560 --> 0:17:27.760 win like they are. 0:17:27.960 --> 0:17:30.440 They are full on tank mode. 0:17:30.800 --> 0:17:33.439 And I'm also pushing the button on the under like 0:17:33.480 --> 0:17:36.000 you've got Josh this Cardinals offense, it's going to be 0:17:36.080 --> 0:17:39.680 so puge, And then you've got Sam Holls, a first 0:17:39.680 --> 0:17:41.240 time starter on the other side of the ball. 0:17:41.320 --> 0:17:43.000 So like, I don't know how this game. 0:17:42.960 --> 0:17:45.840 Even if Washington looks good, right like McLaurin is still 0:17:46.119 --> 0:17:49.120 nowhere near one hundred percent. You know, I love dots 0:17:49.200 --> 0:17:51.919 and dots at anytime touchdown score. I love that. Plus 0:17:51.960 --> 0:17:54.480 money too, you're getting go go find it, go bet it, 0:17:54.680 --> 0:17:58.800 bet it on betting pros, to your sports books. But Washington, 0:17:58.880 --> 0:18:01.919 to me that thirty and a half still like this 0:18:01.960 --> 0:18:04.760 game feels like what twenty one seven to me? Right, 0:18:04.840 --> 0:18:07.320 twenty one ten? Yeah, like that thirty eight and a 0:18:07.320 --> 0:18:09.720 half I think is a very and that would be great. 0:18:09.720 --> 0:18:12.800 Like Washington putting up a couple scores, it's great. We 0:18:12.840 --> 0:18:15.640 love that. Like twenty ten feels like this game thirty 0:18:15.680 --> 0:18:17.119 eight and a half. I know it sounds low, but 0:18:17.160 --> 0:18:20.200 I don't think it's low enough. Tennessee, Quiet Pat, you 0:18:20.240 --> 0:18:20.680 had more of it. 0:18:20.840 --> 0:18:23.000