1
00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:03,120
Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place

2
00:00:03,160 --> 00:00:05,760
Speaker 1: your bets. It is me, Joey Pa Joe Pizzapia, and

3
00:00:06,519 --> 00:00:09,520
Speaker 1: we did it. We made it. We're here. The NFL

4
00:00:09,560 --> 00:00:12,040
Speaker 1: season has finally begun and we're gonna start looking ahead

5
00:00:12,039 --> 00:00:14,440
Speaker 1: to the lines for week one, try to find some

6
00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:17,079
Speaker 1: early values. And the Labor Day weekend is that big

7
00:00:17,160 --> 00:00:20,440
Speaker 1: signal that the NFL season has begun, which is great

8
00:00:20,520 --> 00:00:23,960
Speaker 1: because no more theoretical football. We got real football to

9
00:00:24,040 --> 00:00:26,160
Speaker 1: talk about. Help me break it all down as Pat

10
00:00:26,200 --> 00:00:30,560
Speaker 1: Fitzmorris and FITZI. You can follow obviously at Bettingpros dot

11
00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:33,240
Speaker 1: com slash fits or you can follow me at Bettingpros

12
00:00:33,240 --> 00:00:35,920
Speaker 1: dot com slash Joe and get in all the things

13
00:00:35,920 --> 00:00:38,080
Speaker 1: that we're getting in. I know this weekend we're kind

14
00:00:38,080 --> 00:00:41,280
Speaker 1: of going to coalesce around some games our favorite picks,

15
00:00:41,280 --> 00:00:42,960
Speaker 1: and we want you to be involved in that too.

16
00:00:43,320 --> 00:00:46,520
Speaker 1: Don't forget Bettingpros dot Com slash NFL contest. Go join.

17
00:00:46,640 --> 00:00:49,640
Speaker 1: I'm in there, Fitzi's in there. We're all going to

18
00:00:49,680 --> 00:00:53,279
Speaker 1: be joining this incredible it's a competition. Let's let's call

19
00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:55,480
Speaker 1: it what it is and the way you do it

20
00:00:55,520 --> 00:00:57,760
Speaker 1: is to go ahead and look for that community tab

21
00:00:57,800 --> 00:00:59,640
Speaker 1: and just click that on the app and go find

22
00:00:59,680 --> 00:01:02,319
Speaker 1: the NFL contest or just go to Bettingpros dot com

23
00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:04,399
Speaker 1: slash NFL contest. All you have to do is make

24
00:01:04,440 --> 00:01:07,360
Speaker 1: five picks a week and the winner on the season

25
00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:10,280
Speaker 1: is gonna win the JSN autograph jersey, which is awesome.

26
00:01:10,440 --> 00:01:13,760
Speaker 1: We're gonna have weekly winners too, We're gonna have monthly winners.

27
00:01:13,760 --> 00:01:16,600
Speaker 1: We're giving away swag from Betting Pros, from Fantasy Pros,

28
00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:19,840
Speaker 1: the new logos are up one year premium subscriptions to

29
00:01:19,920 --> 00:01:22,200
Speaker 1: both apps. Amazing. And all you gotta do is make

30
00:01:22,200 --> 00:01:24,240
Speaker 1: a minimum of one hundred picks during the season, So

31
00:01:24,600 --> 00:01:26,560
Speaker 1: join from day one so you can get that jersey.

32
00:01:26,760 --> 00:01:28,520
Speaker 1: If you're in on week one, there's a better chance

33
00:01:28,520 --> 00:01:30,680
Speaker 1: you could be the overall winner. But remember you could

34
00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:33,520
Speaker 1: join any time you want, and it's theoretical picking, and

35
00:01:33,560 --> 00:01:36,880
Speaker 1: that's a great thing. And gosh darn it, Pat, I'm

36
00:01:36,920 --> 00:01:39,320
Speaker 1: just happy football is back. And this is one of

37
00:01:39,360 --> 00:01:42,240
Speaker 1: my favorite things because one of the signals of the

38
00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:44,679
Speaker 1: new week and a fresh start is always this look

39
00:01:44,720 --> 00:01:46,840
Speaker 1: ahead show that we do every week, which we will

40
00:01:46,880 --> 00:01:49,680
Speaker 1: be doing in season every Monday, and this is like

41
00:01:49,720 --> 00:01:53,080
Speaker 1: the biggest one because this is the beginning of the season.

42
00:01:53,560 --> 00:01:56,160
Speaker 1: And also we know Week one always gets wacky.

43
00:01:57,120 --> 00:01:59,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, we got a full dose of college football under

44
00:01:59,640 --> 00:02:03,000
Speaker 2: our and now we are days away from the Kansas

45
00:02:03,040 --> 00:02:05,960
Speaker 2: City Chiefs and Detroit Lions kicking off the new season.

46
00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:08,160
Speaker 2: I can't wait, Joe. It's been a great summer, a

47
00:02:08,200 --> 00:02:10,120
Speaker 2: lot of golf, a lot of cookouts. But you know

48
00:02:10,160 --> 00:02:11,560
Speaker 2: I'm ready for football, man.

49
00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:13,800
Speaker 1: Yes i am too. So let's start with that game.

50
00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:17,960
Speaker 1: Kansas City is hosting the Detroit Lions on Thursday night football.

51
00:02:18,800 --> 00:02:20,600
Speaker 1: The best number you can get over on Betting Pro

52
00:02:20,639 --> 00:02:22,120
Speaker 1: so, so we're gonna be looking through this. So six and

53
00:02:22,160 --> 00:02:24,960
Speaker 1: a half on FanDuel on this bread, the plus side

54
00:02:25,000 --> 00:02:28,560
Speaker 1: for Detroit, the minus on Kansas City at minus one

55
00:02:28,639 --> 00:02:30,600
Speaker 1: ten six and a half. The fifty four and a

56
00:02:30,600 --> 00:02:32,520
Speaker 1: half is the total right now. The best one you

57
00:02:32,520 --> 00:02:34,960
Speaker 1: can get in the over, which is also on fandul,

58
00:02:34,960 --> 00:02:36,799
Speaker 1: and then DK you can get fifty three and a half.

59
00:02:36,880 --> 00:02:39,240
Speaker 1: And this is why the Betting pros app is the best. Okay,

60
00:02:39,280 --> 00:02:42,280
Speaker 1: as I'm talking through these numbers, you'll see the different

61
00:02:42,280 --> 00:02:44,200
Speaker 1: houses you get the best numbers all over the place

62
00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:47,400
Speaker 1: obviously Detroit the heavy underdog and the money line plus

63
00:02:47,400 --> 00:02:49,720
Speaker 1: two forty as they should be. The one number I

64
00:02:49,760 --> 00:02:52,520
Speaker 1: keep coming back to on this one is it's early,

65
00:02:53,440 --> 00:02:56,560
Speaker 1: so I think the fifty three and a half you know,

66
00:02:56,680 --> 00:02:59,200
Speaker 1: on the on the under, it feels like a big

67
00:02:59,280 --> 00:03:01,800
Speaker 1: number to me for a Thursday night game to start

68
00:03:01,840 --> 00:03:03,680
Speaker 1: the season, where I just don't know if everybody's on

69
00:03:03,760 --> 00:03:06,240
Speaker 1: the same page. You're ready to go yet, So if

70
00:03:06,280 --> 00:03:08,880
Speaker 1: anything on this game, I'm looking towards the under a

71
00:03:08,880 --> 00:03:10,600
Speaker 1: little bit. How about you, Pat, how do you see

72
00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:11,000
Speaker 1: this one?

73
00:03:11,800 --> 00:03:12,440
Speaker 3: Well, Joe?

74
00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:16,440
Speaker 2: Over the last eight season openers the Kansas City Chiefs

75
00:03:16,440 --> 00:03:19,920
Speaker 2: have played, they have averaged thirty six point four points.

76
00:03:20,120 --> 00:03:23,800
Speaker 1: Like you bringing me back around? Okay, let's go. Yeah.

77
00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:28,200
Speaker 2: If you give Andy Reid like weeks months to prepare

78
00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:31,760
Speaker 2: an offensive game plan, lookout. And the weird thing is, Joe,

79
00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:35,400
Speaker 2: Kansas City has won eight straight season openers under Andy Reid.

80
00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:38,360
Speaker 2: But in those eight straight wins, they have allowed no

81
00:03:38,560 --> 00:03:41,840
Speaker 2: fewer than twenty points in any of those wins, so

82
00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:44,320
Speaker 2: it's not like their defense has been all that fine tune.

83
00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:47,320
Speaker 2: The average point total in those eight games has been

84
00:03:47,480 --> 00:03:51,440
Speaker 2: sixty point three points, So I actually do think there

85
00:03:51,520 --> 00:03:53,920
Speaker 2: might be a little bit of value in the over here, Joe, Like,

86
00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:56,120
Speaker 2: I think we're going to see some points, especially Chris

87
00:03:56,200 --> 00:03:59,880
Speaker 2: Jones miss the entire preseason with his holdout for the Chiefs,

88
00:04:00,680 --> 00:04:04,480
Speaker 2: him not being around as like or playing a reduced role,

89
00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:07,880
Speaker 2: Like that's a big thing, Like he is a lynchman

90
00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:12,520
Speaker 2: on their defense. Yeah, so, you know, like I and

91
00:04:12,560 --> 00:04:15,680
Speaker 2: I think Joe, the Lions are going to be sort

92
00:04:15,680 --> 00:04:18,920
Speaker 2: of fired up. Like we've both sort of agreed that

93
00:04:18,960 --> 00:04:20,760
Speaker 2: the Lions hype train has gotten.

94
00:04:20,520 --> 00:04:22,760
Speaker 3: A little too a little too much.

95
00:04:23,440 --> 00:04:26,640
Speaker 2: But at the same time, Dan Campbell does seem like

96
00:04:26,680 --> 00:04:28,920
Speaker 2: a pretty good motivator, and I think he's going to

97
00:04:28,960 --> 00:04:31,240
Speaker 2: have his team pretty fired up to prove that they

98
00:04:31,320 --> 00:04:33,200
Speaker 2: belong in this big stage. I mean, we know the

99
00:04:33,200 --> 00:04:35,560
Speaker 2: Lions were a surprise selection for this game.

100
00:04:36,080 --> 00:04:37,640
Speaker 3: No one saw that and a.

101
00:04:37,640 --> 00:04:40,480
Speaker 2: Lot of people were like whoa. You know, the league

102
00:04:40,560 --> 00:04:42,760
Speaker 2: is really all in on the Lions this year. I

103
00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:44,880
Speaker 2: don't know if they really belong here, but they might

104
00:04:44,880 --> 00:04:46,920
Speaker 2: be abut to prove a point that they do belong.

105
00:04:46,960 --> 00:04:49,400
Speaker 3: And we know the Chiefs sometimes.

106
00:04:48,960 --> 00:04:51,919
Speaker 2: Aren't great as a big home favorite. They struggle to

107
00:04:51,960 --> 00:04:56,040
Speaker 2: cover some of these big numbers at times, and I'd

108
00:04:56,040 --> 00:04:58,360
Speaker 2: love to see this number get to seven. I don't

109
00:04:58,360 --> 00:05:01,200
Speaker 2: know if it's going to get there. You know, I'm waiting.

110
00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:04,960
Speaker 2: I'm waiting, my fingers hovering over the button to take

111
00:05:05,000 --> 00:05:08,359
Speaker 2: the Lions Joe, But I'm not there just yet.

112
00:05:08,480 --> 00:05:10,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, this game doesn't really move the neal from me. Again,

113
00:05:11,040 --> 00:05:13,320
Speaker 1: I keep going back to that total, although the statues

114
00:05:13,360 --> 00:05:16,560
Speaker 1: threw me with the Andy Reid preparation now have sent

115
00:05:16,640 --> 00:05:21,440
Speaker 1: shivers down my spine. However, again it's ken Detroit keep

116
00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:23,160
Speaker 1: up there under the bargain too, with some of the

117
00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:24,880
Speaker 1: new things that are going to be running through here.

118
00:05:24,880 --> 00:05:26,880
Speaker 1: And this is the measuring stick, right, and I think

119
00:05:26,960 --> 00:05:29,520
Speaker 1: Detroit's going to learn real quick how good they really are.

120
00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:31,480
Speaker 1: This game, to me is more of a prop game.

121
00:05:32,120 --> 00:05:34,520
Speaker 1: I'm looking for the Kelsey numbers. I'm looking for some

122
00:05:34,640 --> 00:05:36,800
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes numbers, that stuff where I can, I think,

123
00:05:36,839 --> 00:05:38,719
Speaker 1: feel a little bit more confident. Maybe the Aman ross

124
00:05:38,720 --> 00:05:41,839
Speaker 1: Ain Brown reception number over like, That's kind of how

125
00:05:41,839 --> 00:05:44,960
Speaker 1: I'm attacking this game as opposed to the lines Houston Baltimore.

126
00:05:45,320 --> 00:05:48,240
Speaker 1: Let's move on here to Sunday. The total for this

127
00:05:48,279 --> 00:05:50,599
Speaker 1: one you get at forty four right now across the

128
00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:54,160
Speaker 1: board pretty much you're getting obviously Baltimore heavy favorites here.

129
00:05:54,240 --> 00:05:56,800
Speaker 1: Minus ten is the best one you can get right

130
00:05:56,839 --> 00:05:59,600
Speaker 1: now for this. If you like Houston to upset the

131
00:05:59,640 --> 00:06:02,080
Speaker 1: Baltim Ravens at plus three seventy five, I don't think

132
00:06:02,120 --> 00:06:03,919
Speaker 1: you're gonna get that. But Pat, any love for this

133
00:06:03,960 --> 00:06:06,360
Speaker 1: game whatsoever, any early value in your opinion.

134
00:06:07,000 --> 00:06:10,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, more Week one trends for you, Joe. Since Jim

135
00:06:10,560 --> 00:06:13,520
Speaker 2: John Harbaugh again coaching the Ravens in two thousand and eight,

136
00:06:13,600 --> 00:06:16,680
Speaker 2: they are seven and one in home Week one games,

137
00:06:17,080 --> 00:06:20,679
Speaker 2: and they've beaten their well, they've outscored their opponents. Even

138
00:06:20,720 --> 00:06:23,320
Speaker 2: factoring in that one loss, they've outscored their opponents by

139
00:06:23,320 --> 00:06:26,400
Speaker 2: an average of nineteen point four points a game. So

140
00:06:27,279 --> 00:06:31,280
Speaker 2: their last three opponents in home openers in Week one

141
00:06:31,720 --> 00:06:35,960
Speaker 2: have scored seven points or fewer. And the Ravens are good,

142
00:06:36,279 --> 00:06:39,559
Speaker 2: the Texans are bad. The Ravens are tough at home.

143
00:06:40,000 --> 00:06:41,800
Speaker 2: I'm gonna lay the points here, Like I don't mind

144
00:06:41,800 --> 00:06:42,440
Speaker 2: the big number.

145
00:06:43,200 --> 00:06:45,080
Speaker 1: It is a big number, especially this time of year,

146
00:06:45,120 --> 00:06:49,440
Speaker 1: But yeah, I'm leading that way as well. In fact,

147
00:06:49,480 --> 00:06:51,640
Speaker 1: my favorite thing of this is probably to make some

148
00:06:51,680 --> 00:06:54,440
Speaker 1: money to go for Zay Flowers anytime touchdown scorer in

149
00:06:54,440 --> 00:06:56,479
Speaker 1: this game. That's the one that's gonna stand out to me.

150
00:06:56,520 --> 00:06:58,480
Speaker 1: Wherever you get a good plus money number on that one,

151
00:06:58,520 --> 00:07:01,320
Speaker 1: you're gonna get it everywhere. I would look for that one.

152
00:07:01,400 --> 00:07:05,240
Speaker 1: I am in on Za Flowers this year. Carolina and Atlanta.

153
00:07:05,680 --> 00:07:09,560
Speaker 1: Let's go the Bjeon Robinson debut. I'm excited for this,

154
00:07:10,240 --> 00:07:12,840
Speaker 1: also the Bryce Young debut. Now, the number you're getting

155
00:07:12,840 --> 00:07:15,480
Speaker 1: on this one, the best over is at Sugarhouse at forty.

156
00:07:16,200 --> 00:07:18,480
Speaker 1: That's a flat number right now. The under thirty nine

157
00:07:18,480 --> 00:07:20,160
Speaker 1: and a half. You can get on DK at minus

158
00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:23,400
Speaker 1: one oh eight. So far, Atlanta four point favorites in

159
00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:25,080
Speaker 1: this one. That's the way this is looking. You can

160
00:07:25,120 --> 00:07:27,520
Speaker 1: get Carolina at plus three and a half. If you

161
00:07:27,600 --> 00:07:30,600
Speaker 1: like Carolina for the just straight up upset, it's plus

162
00:07:30,640 --> 00:07:33,000
Speaker 1: one sixty. I guess the biggest concern I have right

163
00:07:33,040 --> 00:07:34,920
Speaker 1: now in this game and the reason why I think

164
00:07:35,280 --> 00:07:37,160
Speaker 1: this line is kind of on the right side. Even

165
00:07:37,240 --> 00:07:41,040
Speaker 1: I like Atlanta. Four is kind of like pushing the

166
00:07:41,120 --> 00:07:43,440
Speaker 1: envelope for me here. But I keep coming back to

167
00:07:43,480 --> 00:07:45,840
Speaker 1: the protection or lack thereof, of Bryce Young, and that

168
00:07:45,920 --> 00:07:48,200
Speaker 1: wears me a little bit in this game. How do

169
00:07:48,200 --> 00:07:49,760
Speaker 1: you feel about this one? In the early look in

170
00:07:49,800 --> 00:07:51,239
Speaker 1: week one, Yeah.

171
00:07:51,040 --> 00:07:53,400
Speaker 2: It's weird that line hasn't been better. I mean, they've

172
00:07:53,400 --> 00:07:56,400
Speaker 2: got Ikey Iwanu, who's one of the better young offensive lineman.

173
00:07:56,480 --> 00:07:59,600
Speaker 2: James Campen is a really good offensive line coach. The

174
00:07:59,640 --> 00:08:02,640
Speaker 2: Panther did look terrible in the preseason, Joe. They lost

175
00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:04,880
Speaker 2: all three of their games. They were humiliated by the

176
00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:08,720
Speaker 2: Jets twenty seven to nothing. But even though the Falcons

177
00:08:08,720 --> 00:08:12,840
Speaker 2: have become sort of this public darling, I think this year,

178
00:08:12,920 --> 00:08:13,600
Speaker 2: or at least in the.

179
00:08:13,600 --> 00:08:16,560
Speaker 1: Nfin public darling, or you think they're the sharp darling,

180
00:08:16,560 --> 00:08:18,600
Speaker 1: because I feel like all the sharps we've had on

181
00:08:18,640 --> 00:08:21,480
Speaker 1: the show, and I'm not gonna throw myself in that grouping,

182
00:08:21,560 --> 00:08:23,640
Speaker 1: but I was on the Falcons coming into the season

183
00:08:23,680 --> 00:08:26,040
Speaker 1: as well. Almost every sharp person we've had on the

184
00:08:26,080 --> 00:08:27,960
Speaker 1: show has been pointing to the Falcons. But do you

185
00:08:28,000 --> 00:08:29,360
Speaker 1: think they're public yet?

186
00:08:29,960 --> 00:08:31,680
Speaker 2: Maybe they might not be. It might be more of

187
00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:33,760
Speaker 2: a sharp darling thing. I think you're right on that,

188
00:08:34,520 --> 00:08:37,640
Speaker 2: But I do think they're getting more attention in the

189
00:08:37,720 --> 00:08:40,000
Speaker 2: NFC South, and I know people I've talked to who

190
00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:43,200
Speaker 2: have bet NFC South Division winner have all been on

191
00:08:43,240 --> 00:08:47,400
Speaker 2: the Falcons almost unanimously. It's kind of weird, and like,

192
00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:50,280
Speaker 2: I still think the Panthers can be the equal of

193
00:08:50,320 --> 00:08:53,240
Speaker 2: the Falcons, believe it or not, Joe, Like, as bad

194
00:08:53,280 --> 00:08:57,040
Speaker 2: as they've looked in the preseason, I think Bryce Young

195
00:08:57,080 --> 00:09:00,840
Speaker 2: could possibly hit stride early just because he's this high

196
00:09:00,840 --> 00:09:03,720
Speaker 2: floor guy who everyone says is kind of a savant

197
00:09:03,800 --> 00:09:05,560
Speaker 2: as a playmaker, and I think he's going to like

198
00:09:05,679 --> 00:09:08,960
Speaker 2: get to his max potential pretty quickly. Maybe not week

199
00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:13,240
Speaker 2: one of his rookie season, but pretty quickly. And Frank

200
00:09:13,280 --> 00:09:16,600
Speaker 2: Reich really does have one of the best staffs of

201
00:09:16,640 --> 00:09:19,679
Speaker 2: assistant coaches in the league, just like kind of all

202
00:09:19,720 --> 00:09:24,840
Speaker 2: star assistants at more or less coaching every unit. So like,

203
00:09:24,880 --> 00:09:27,600
Speaker 2: I think this team could be a sneaky overachiever. I

204
00:09:27,640 --> 00:09:30,280
Speaker 2: actually kind of like that You're getting the hook at

205
00:09:30,280 --> 00:09:33,840
Speaker 2: three and a half here. So I've taken the Panthers.

206
00:09:33,880 --> 00:09:35,880
Speaker 2: I took them a while ago. I'm probably not going

207
00:09:35,960 --> 00:09:38,880
Speaker 2: to double down and put any additional money on the Panthers,

208
00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:41,600
Speaker 2: but I sort of like them as a sneaky cover

209
00:09:41,679 --> 00:09:44,320
Speaker 2: here in what should be a pretty low scoring game.

210
00:09:44,400 --> 00:09:46,240
Speaker 2: Let's face it, I mean the Falcons love to run

211
00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:49,079
Speaker 2: the ball, as they should with Desmond Rider at quarterback.

212
00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:52,520
Speaker 2: The Panthers offense not really ready for prime time just yet.

213
00:09:53,080 --> 00:09:55,200
Speaker 2: These are not high powered offenses. Joe, I think this

214
00:09:55,240 --> 00:09:57,880
Speaker 2: could be a rock fight, low scoring game. So I

215
00:09:57,960 --> 00:10:00,520
Speaker 2: kind of like the Panthers with the points and the

216
00:10:00,600 --> 00:10:01,120
Speaker 2: under here.

217
00:10:01,600 --> 00:10:04,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, look kind of I see where you're going in

218
00:10:04,160 --> 00:10:07,000
Speaker 1: these individual matchups too. You know, whenever we open up

219
00:10:07,000 --> 00:10:09,240
Speaker 1: the season with those, I think that's always, you know,

220
00:10:09,360 --> 00:10:11,680
Speaker 1: a fun thing because those games are typically a little

221
00:10:11,720 --> 00:10:15,320
Speaker 1: tougher to gauge regardless, you know, because there's familiarity. But

222
00:10:15,520 --> 00:10:17,559
Speaker 1: there's so much new here, you know, new quarterback in

223
00:10:17,600 --> 00:10:20,679
Speaker 1: Carolina obviously Bejean, which is so waiting for some of

224
00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:21,959
Speaker 1: those numbers to come out on him. We have a

225
00:10:22,000 --> 00:10:25,520
Speaker 1: lot of Carolina props. But again, I'm attacking the individuals

226
00:10:25,559 --> 00:10:28,000
Speaker 1: in this game more than attacking the game itself because

227
00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:30,240
Speaker 1: there's a little bit more unknown there. Let's get to

228
00:10:30,240 --> 00:10:33,160
Speaker 1: another one too, Cincinnati, maybe a limited Joe Burrow. It

229
00:10:33,200 --> 00:10:37,000
Speaker 1: looks like potentially we're we're still getting more updates here

230
00:10:37,040 --> 00:10:39,800
Speaker 1: as we're approaching the weekend on that they're gonna go

231
00:10:39,840 --> 00:10:42,200
Speaker 1: to Cleveland to play the Browns, and this is you know,

232
00:10:42,559 --> 00:10:44,520
Speaker 1: I know this is so dumb pack because it's Week one,

233
00:10:44,720 --> 00:10:46,920
Speaker 1: but I'm gonna say it anyway. This is kind of

234
00:10:46,920 --> 00:10:49,280
Speaker 1: a statement for the Browns. I feel like week one,

235
00:10:49,360 --> 00:10:52,800
Speaker 1: like you, you can go out there and potentially get

236
00:10:52,840 --> 00:10:54,520
Speaker 1: an upset in this game if you are in the

237
00:10:54,520 --> 00:10:57,800
Speaker 1: Cleveland Browns and really make a statement. The number here

238
00:10:57,800 --> 00:11:00,640
Speaker 1: for Cleveland is plus two and a half. They are dogs,

239
00:11:00,679 --> 00:11:04,000
Speaker 1: which we always love. And if there is a moment

240
00:11:04,040 --> 00:11:07,960
Speaker 1: here of you know where maybe joe Be's a little rusty,

241
00:11:08,160 --> 00:11:10,480
Speaker 1: maybe you catch him napping a little bit, maybe the

242
00:11:10,520 --> 00:11:13,040
Speaker 1: Bengals think, you know, hey, we're you know, we're the

243
00:11:13,080 --> 00:11:14,840
Speaker 1: class of the AFC. We're gonna go prove it. We

244
00:11:14,880 --> 00:11:17,640
Speaker 1: overlook the Cleveland brown This is a big show me game,

245
00:11:17,679 --> 00:11:20,040
Speaker 1: and I think one of the ones that I circle

246
00:11:20,520 --> 00:11:23,080
Speaker 1: on this Week one schedule that I think Cleveland has

247
00:11:23,080 --> 00:11:24,920
Speaker 1: a shot. The number is forty eight on the total.

248
00:11:25,200 --> 00:11:27,199
Speaker 1: If you like Cleveland to win outright, you get plus

249
00:11:27,200 --> 00:11:28,719
Speaker 1: one to twenty on the money line. That's how I

250
00:11:28,760 --> 00:11:30,560
Speaker 1: would approach this one. To be honest with you, I

251
00:11:30,640 --> 00:11:33,120
Speaker 1: like this Cleveland number on the plus money home dogs

252
00:11:33,160 --> 00:11:36,240
Speaker 1: we always love in Division they've got new weapons like

253
00:11:36,280 --> 00:11:38,240
Speaker 1: Elijah More Nick Chubb's gonna run the hell out of

254
00:11:38,240 --> 00:11:42,240
Speaker 1: the football. Hopefully Watson can continue to bounce back. To me,

255
00:11:42,360 --> 00:11:44,240
Speaker 1: this is the big trap game of the week. How

256
00:11:44,240 --> 00:11:45,280
Speaker 1: do you feel about this one?

257
00:11:45,920 --> 00:11:48,839
Speaker 2: Same here, Joe money line seems like a really good

258
00:11:48,840 --> 00:11:51,080
Speaker 2: play on the Browns to me. And I think this

259
00:11:51,120 --> 00:11:53,679
Speaker 2: would be a reasonable shot to take even if Joe

260
00:11:53,720 --> 00:11:56,120
Speaker 2: Burrow was totally fine and had never gotten hurt and

261
00:11:56,240 --> 00:11:59,240
Speaker 2: had a full preseason or whatever. But with Burrow being

262
00:11:59,320 --> 00:12:02,080
Speaker 2: iffy too, and you're gonna give us that path, like

263
00:12:02,160 --> 00:12:05,560
Speaker 2: if we don't see a sharp Joe Burrow. So yeah,

264
00:12:05,600 --> 00:12:07,880
Speaker 2: I do like this one. I also kind of like

265
00:12:07,920 --> 00:12:10,480
Speaker 2: the under here, Joe. It seems like a really high total.

266
00:12:10,720 --> 00:12:14,240
Speaker 2: We know that Cleveland is Cleveland Browns Stadium can be

267
00:12:14,240 --> 00:12:16,959
Speaker 2: one of the windiest places to play, Like the wind

268
00:12:17,000 --> 00:12:22,120
Speaker 2: can wreak havoc with passing and kicking games. So like

269
00:12:22,240 --> 00:12:25,880
Speaker 2: that total seems pretty tall with whether you know, win

270
00:12:26,000 --> 00:12:28,640
Speaker 2: possibly being a factor and Joe Burrow maybe not being

271
00:12:28,800 --> 00:12:29,640
Speaker 2: one hundred percent.

272
00:12:29,800 --> 00:12:32,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just it's not that like Joe Burrow can't

273
00:12:32,080 --> 00:12:34,719
Speaker 1: still be good. It's just you haven't played football in

274
00:12:34,720 --> 00:12:36,640
Speaker 1: four weeks right, Like, I'm just kind of throwing that

275
00:12:36,679 --> 00:12:38,079
Speaker 1: out there, and then he's going on the road, and

276
00:12:38,080 --> 00:12:41,559
Speaker 1: there's a lot of things here where I think, if anything,

277
00:12:41,640 --> 00:12:43,920
Speaker 1: Pat I would continue to watch his moneyline number because

278
00:12:43,920 --> 00:12:45,920
Speaker 1: it's sitting a plus one twenty on VP right now.

279
00:12:46,200 --> 00:12:47,920
Speaker 1: And this is why you download the app. We have

280
00:12:47,920 --> 00:12:49,840
Speaker 1: the new redesign. This is how you stay on top

281
00:12:49,880 --> 00:12:52,199
Speaker 1: of all the notivocations of all the lines that move

282
00:12:52,240 --> 00:12:54,920
Speaker 1: when you sink your sports books. This is the glory

283
00:12:55,040 --> 00:12:57,400
Speaker 1: of betting pros. And what we're trying to do here

284
00:12:58,160 --> 00:13:00,679
Speaker 1: is that I think when the Joe Burrows good to go,

285
00:13:00,760 --> 00:13:04,080
Speaker 1: he's cleared. If everything's great, I think this line's gonna

286
00:13:04,080 --> 00:13:05,360
Speaker 1: move a little bit. And I think that plus one

287
00:13:05,480 --> 00:13:08,960
Speaker 1: twenty goes up to plus one thirty or one fifty even,

288
00:13:09,520 --> 00:13:11,880
Speaker 1: and you know when it does, I'm gonna bet it

289
00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:14,679
Speaker 1: there too, because I think that's exactly what's gonna happen

290
00:13:15,200 --> 00:13:18,480
Speaker 1: on the next game here on our list. In week one,

291
00:13:18,960 --> 00:13:22,840
Speaker 1: San Fran goes to Pittsburgh, another home dog FITZI. I'm

292
00:13:22,840 --> 00:13:24,920
Speaker 1: looking at my chops on this one. We still have

293
00:13:24,960 --> 00:13:26,880
Speaker 1: no Nick Boson news as of today. As of us

294
00:13:26,880 --> 00:13:30,160
Speaker 1: recording this now, again, that could change at any moment.

295
00:13:30,840 --> 00:13:32,960
Speaker 1: It seemed that rock Perty is going to get the start.

296
00:13:33,679 --> 00:13:36,160
Speaker 1: They are the Pittsburgh Steelers two and a half point

297
00:13:36,360 --> 00:13:39,160
Speaker 1: underdogs here on DK minus one ten. That's the best

298
00:13:39,200 --> 00:13:42,160
Speaker 1: number you can get right now. Forty one is the

299
00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:45,000
Speaker 1: number sometimes forty one and a half in some other spots.

300
00:13:45,200 --> 00:13:48,360
Speaker 1: But once again, I'm looking at Pittsburgh here as a

301
00:13:48,400 --> 00:13:51,079
Speaker 1: potential upset where San fran Is still trying to kind

302
00:13:51,080 --> 00:13:52,720
Speaker 1: of find its way a little bit. In my opinion,

303
00:13:53,200 --> 00:13:55,559
Speaker 1: I think the Steelers are gonna pull San Francisco down

304
00:13:55,640 --> 00:13:57,760
Speaker 1: to their level, make him play in the mud. They're

305
00:13:57,760 --> 00:13:59,840
Speaker 1: gonna run the football and run the football and run

306
00:13:59,840 --> 00:14:02,400
Speaker 1: the football some more. And I like Pittsburgh to win

307
00:14:02,440 --> 00:14:03,320
Speaker 1: this game out right too.

308
00:14:04,040 --> 00:14:06,840
Speaker 2: I like everything you said, Joe, accept the part about

309
00:14:06,840 --> 00:14:10,480
Speaker 2: San Francis Pittsburgh pulling San Francisco down to their level,

310
00:14:10,480 --> 00:14:12,640
Speaker 2: because I don't think they really have to pull him down.

311
00:14:12,480 --> 00:14:13,400
Speaker 3: Like Pittsburgh went.

312
00:14:14,640 --> 00:14:18,360
Speaker 2: Pittsburgh went seven and two after their bye last week,

313
00:14:18,559 --> 00:14:22,960
Speaker 2: and they ranked six sixth in total DVO way over

314
00:14:23,000 --> 00:14:24,960
Speaker 2: that stretch. They were one of the best teams in

315
00:14:25,000 --> 00:14:27,840
Speaker 2: the league over the second half of the twenty twenty

316
00:14:27,880 --> 00:14:30,880
Speaker 2: two regular season, and we know, you know, Mike Tomlin

317
00:14:31,080 --> 00:14:35,280
Speaker 2: regular season winning percentage of six thirty six in his

318
00:14:35,400 --> 00:14:38,040
Speaker 2: sixteen years as head coach of the Steelers never has

319
00:14:38,040 --> 00:14:41,480
Speaker 2: had a five sub five hundred season. Pittsburgh is a

320
00:14:41,520 --> 00:14:45,120
Speaker 2: really live dog here against a West Coast team coming

321
00:14:45,120 --> 00:14:48,720
Speaker 2: out east, and Pittsburgh has looked great in the preseason,

322
00:14:48,800 --> 00:14:52,160
Speaker 2: like that offense has actually been humming with Kenny Pickett

323
00:14:52,160 --> 00:14:55,040
Speaker 2: and company, and the defense has added some really nice pieces.

324
00:14:55,240 --> 00:14:58,200
Speaker 2: Joe like, I don't get this line. I think they

325
00:14:58,200 --> 00:15:00,880
Speaker 2: should be like a pick them. I think it should

326
00:15:00,880 --> 00:15:02,800
Speaker 2: be a pick. I'm like, huge value. This is my

327
00:15:02,880 --> 00:15:04,560
Speaker 2: favorite favorite play of the week.

328
00:15:04,640 --> 00:15:07,160
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's gonna move either, because you know,

329
00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:09,760
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh is a very public team, right, a lot of

330
00:15:09,760 --> 00:15:12,760
Speaker 1: Steeler fans everywhere, So I don't know if there's gonna

331
00:15:12,760 --> 00:15:14,800
Speaker 1: be any momentum switch on this game. All I know

332
00:15:15,000 --> 00:15:17,040
Speaker 1: is it's good enough where it is right now to

333
00:15:17,120 --> 00:15:19,240
Speaker 1: invest in it now and then wait and see and

334
00:15:19,280 --> 00:15:21,000
Speaker 1: maybe you get lucky. You're like, oh, I'm glad I

335
00:15:21,000 --> 00:15:23,480
Speaker 1: did when I did, and maybe it gets even better,

336
00:15:23,560 --> 00:15:25,920
Speaker 1: like I'm saying about the Browns, where I might just

337
00:15:25,920 --> 00:15:28,440
Speaker 1: bet at the second talk, get a better number on it,

338
00:15:28,640 --> 00:15:31,200
Speaker 1: and just stay with the theme. Also, if you're watching

339
00:15:31,280 --> 00:15:33,200
Speaker 1: the show here, don't forget to subscribe to the Betting

340
00:15:33,200 --> 00:15:36,080
Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel because we're gonna be hosting NFL shows

341
00:15:36,080 --> 00:15:39,280
Speaker 1: here almost every single day during the season, talking about props,

342
00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:41,880
Speaker 1: talking about betting. We're doing our Thursday night football previews,

343
00:15:41,880 --> 00:15:44,360
Speaker 1: our Monday night football previews. So when you subscribe and

344
00:15:44,400 --> 00:15:46,760
Speaker 1: drop a comment below, you could win an Aaron Jones

345
00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:50,560
Speaker 1: autograph jersey thanks to of course, Betting Pro. So all

346
00:15:50,560 --> 00:15:52,800
Speaker 1: you have to do again subscribe, click the little bell

347
00:15:52,880 --> 00:15:55,160
Speaker 1: till it goes ding, and drop a comment below. Give

348
00:15:55,240 --> 00:15:57,240
Speaker 1: us your picks for week one. Who do you like?

349
00:15:57,640 --> 00:16:00,280
Speaker 1: Who do you not like? You tell us and the

350
00:16:00,320 --> 00:16:02,880
Speaker 1: Aaron Jones jersey can be yours. That's it. It's real simple.

351
00:16:02,880 --> 00:16:04,360
Speaker 1: But don't forget to click the bell so you know

352
00:16:04,440 --> 00:16:07,480
Speaker 1: exactly if you are the winner of the Aaron Jones jersey.

353
00:16:07,520 --> 00:16:09,560
Speaker 1: Let's get to the next game on our list here. Fitzy,

354
00:16:09,840 --> 00:16:13,920
Speaker 1: the Washington Commanders seven point home favorites. I haven't said

355
00:16:13,920 --> 00:16:15,800
Speaker 1: those words in a long time. I feel like the

356
00:16:15,840 --> 00:16:18,840
Speaker 1: words Washington Commanders and seven point home favorites really just

357
00:16:18,920 --> 00:16:21,960
Speaker 1: never quite come to fruition. But the Arizona Cardinals are

358
00:16:21,960 --> 00:16:23,960
Speaker 1: that bad. Thirty eight and a half is the number

359
00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:26,160
Speaker 1: here on this bad boy, pretty much across the board.

360
00:16:26,800 --> 00:16:29,920
Speaker 1: I do not like Arizona and the upside plus do

361
00:16:30,040 --> 00:16:33,240
Speaker 1: sixty five if anything fitsy. This is kind of a

362
00:16:33,320 --> 00:16:36,240
Speaker 1: stay away from me. Maybe the thirty eight and a half.

363
00:16:36,280 --> 00:16:39,240
Speaker 1: I'm on the under just because. But again, this game

364
00:16:39,320 --> 00:16:40,880
Speaker 1: just doesn't have all that much appeal to me. Too

365
00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:43,800
Speaker 1: many weird moving parts, and sometimes like the teams that

366
00:16:43,840 --> 00:16:46,880
Speaker 1: aren't great are the hardest when they play each other

367
00:16:47,000 --> 00:16:48,520
Speaker 1: to really make a good wager on.

368
00:16:49,600 --> 00:16:53,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's funny like Washington Joe, not a team that

369
00:16:53,400 --> 00:16:57,120
Speaker 2: really engenders a great deal of public confidence in you know,

370
00:16:57,240 --> 00:17:02,120
Speaker 2: the last several decades. But is it possible the Commanders

371
00:17:02,120 --> 00:17:04,480
Speaker 2: are going to be like the most popular Survivor pool

372
00:17:04,680 --> 00:17:06,800
Speaker 2: pick this week against the Cardinals.

373
00:17:07,320 --> 00:17:08,240
Speaker 1: The Cardinals are going to be.

374
00:17:09,200 --> 00:17:11,840
Speaker 2: People are just gonna follow the Cardinals around in Survivor

375
00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:14,920
Speaker 2: pools like band groupies this year, Like who are the

376
00:17:14,960 --> 00:17:18,719
Speaker 2: Cardinals playing? I'm picking their opponent, And yeah, I mean

377
00:17:18,760 --> 00:17:21,000
Speaker 2: it's hard to push the button on the Commanders as

378
00:17:21,040 --> 00:17:23,720
Speaker 2: a seven point favorite. I'm pushing the button on the

379
00:17:23,720 --> 00:17:26,520
Speaker 2: Commander's Show, like that the Cardinals don't even want to

380
00:17:26,560 --> 00:17:27,760
Speaker 2: win like they are.

381
00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:30,440
Speaker 3: They are full on tank mode.

382
00:17:30,800 --> 00:17:33,439
Speaker 2: And I'm also pushing the button on the under like

383
00:17:33,480 --> 00:17:36,000
Speaker 2: you've got Josh this Cardinals offense, it's going to be

384
00:17:36,080 --> 00:17:39,680
Speaker 2: so puge, And then you've got Sam Holls, a first

385
00:17:39,680 --> 00:17:41,240
Speaker 2: time starter on the other side of the ball.

386
00:17:41,320 --> 00:17:43,000
Speaker 3: So like, I don't know how this game.

387
00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:45,840
Speaker 1: Even if Washington looks good, right like McLaurin is still

388
00:17:46,119 --> 00:17:49,120
Speaker 1: nowhere near one hundred percent. You know, I love dots

389
00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:51,919
Speaker 1: and dots at anytime touchdown score. I love that. Plus

390
00:17:51,960 --> 00:17:54,480
Speaker 1: money too, you're getting go go find it, go bet it,

391
00:17:54,680 --> 00:17:58,800
Speaker 1: bet it on betting pros, to your sports books. But Washington,

392
00:17:58,880 --> 00:18:01,919
Speaker 1: to me that thirty and a half still like this

393
00:18:01,960 --> 00:18:04,760
Speaker 1: game feels like what twenty one seven to me? Right,

394
00:18:04,840 --> 00:18:07,320
Speaker 1: twenty one ten? Yeah, like that thirty eight and a

395
00:18:07,320 --> 00:18:09,720
Speaker 1: half I think is a very and that would be great.

396
00:18:09,720 --> 00:18:12,800
Speaker 1: Like Washington putting up a couple scores, it's great. We

397
00:18:12,840 --> 00:18:15,640
Speaker 1: love that. Like twenty ten feels like this game thirty

398
00:18:15,680 --> 00:18:17,119
Speaker 1: eight and a half. I know it sounds low, but

399
00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:20,200
Speaker 1: I don't think it's low enough. Tennessee, Quiet Pat, you

400
00:18:20,240 --> 00:18:20,680
Speaker 1: had more of it.

401
00:18:20,840 --> 00:18:23,000
Speaker 2: I was just gonna say, yeah, like you might even

402
00:18:23,040 --> 00:18:25,240
Speaker 2: want to shop for an alternate total and push that

403
00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:27,639
Speaker 2: number down a little bit to get like some plus

404
00:18:27,680 --> 00:18:28,159
Speaker 2: money on it.

405
00:18:29,040 --> 00:18:30,879
Speaker 1: I think to thirty seven and a half, if not

406
00:18:31,000 --> 00:18:33,680
Speaker 1: maybe thirty six and a half to tell you the truth, Yeah,

407
00:18:33,760 --> 00:18:37,080
Speaker 1: I think Arizona's gonna be up against it traveling first week.

408
00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:39,720
Speaker 1: I don't think. And plus I imagine, you know, the

409
00:18:39,760 --> 00:18:42,080
Speaker 1: new ownership, feel like that crowd is gonna be excited,

410
00:18:42,200 --> 00:18:45,399
Speaker 1: right you kind of exercising the demons. They're excited to

411
00:18:45,440 --> 00:18:47,760
Speaker 1: see Sam Howell make his big you know, start of

412
00:18:47,760 --> 00:18:50,960
Speaker 1: the season, all that stuff. Here's one that's again tough,

413
00:18:51,040 --> 00:18:54,360
Speaker 1: and this is why Vegas is agreeing the Tennessee Titans

414
00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:58,080
Speaker 1: going traveling to New Orleans even money here on the

415
00:18:58,280 --> 00:19:01,600
Speaker 1: three you're getting three on the Titan side, the plus

416
00:19:01,680 --> 00:19:05,160
Speaker 1: three as underdogs here at Caesars you're getting minus three

417
00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:09,280
Speaker 1: and a half on New Orleans over at MGM. And

418
00:19:09,320 --> 00:19:11,520
Speaker 1: then look pretty much forty one is this number across

419
00:19:11,560 --> 00:19:13,280
Speaker 1: the board if you like Tennessee for the upset, it's

420
00:19:13,320 --> 00:19:16,359
Speaker 1: plus one sixty five on the money line. FITZI, I

421
00:19:16,359 --> 00:19:18,000
Speaker 1: think Vegas has kind of thrown up their hands on

422
00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:20,800
Speaker 1: this one, and I don't blame them. I would lean

423
00:19:20,840 --> 00:19:23,760
Speaker 1: towards New Orleans here, and I would actually lean on

424
00:19:23,800 --> 00:19:26,640
Speaker 1: them to cover just because I still feel like Tennessee

425
00:19:27,040 --> 00:19:28,320
Speaker 1: has a lot of kinks to work out.

426
00:19:28,800 --> 00:19:30,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, that might be the case, Joe.

427
00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:32,600
Speaker 2: And if you do like the Saints, I think people

428
00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:35,480
Speaker 2: should try to odd shop on this one since, as

429
00:19:35,480 --> 00:19:38,080
Speaker 2: you just mentioned, like the line does seem like it's

430
00:19:38,119 --> 00:19:40,800
Speaker 2: wavering between three and three and a half. So if

431
00:19:40,840 --> 00:19:43,680
Speaker 2: you like the Saints, look around and get it at three,

432
00:19:44,280 --> 00:19:48,720
Speaker 2: because that's a key number. Obviously, I don't personally like

433
00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:51,680
Speaker 2: the Saints in this one. I'm just, as you mentioned,

434
00:19:51,680 --> 00:19:53,600
Speaker 2: I think this is a complete stay away.

435
00:19:53,640 --> 00:19:54,800
Speaker 3: I'm throwing up my hands.

436
00:19:55,119 --> 00:19:58,639
Speaker 2: I mean, I know the Titans completely collapsed down the

437
00:19:58,720 --> 00:20:02,520
Speaker 2: stretch last season, total collapse fell apart. But Mike vrabel

438
00:20:02,600 --> 00:20:03,879
Speaker 2: is a pretty good coach. I have a lot of

439
00:20:03,920 --> 00:20:06,359
Speaker 2: respect for him and his ability to get the most

440
00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:08,480
Speaker 2: out of his players. So I think they're gonna like

441
00:20:09,040 --> 00:20:11,800
Speaker 2: turn in a plucky performance in the big easy and

442
00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:14,880
Speaker 2: Week one. So I'm just I'm staying away from this one.

443
00:20:14,920 --> 00:20:16,840
Speaker 2: I don't have a good read on any of these

444
00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:19,119
Speaker 2: either of these teams really, especially the Saints.

445
00:20:19,119 --> 00:20:20,639
Speaker 3: I have no idea what to make of the Saints

446
00:20:20,720 --> 00:20:21,000
Speaker 3: this year.

447
00:20:21,200 --> 00:20:24,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I look, I think when Amak America comes back

448
00:20:24,560 --> 00:20:26,320
Speaker 1: of a better idea of what to make of the Saints.

449
00:20:26,800 --> 00:20:30,680
Speaker 1: But at this point, right now, I'd still give them

450
00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:32,920
Speaker 1: the advantage being at home. I think that's enough Right

451
00:20:32,920 --> 00:20:35,120
Speaker 1: now is I think Tennessee's still trying to figure out

452
00:20:35,119 --> 00:20:37,720
Speaker 1: their personnel. Another one here, trying to figure out the

453
00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:40,840
Speaker 1: personnel the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. We're traveling to Minnesota and fits.

454
00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:42,639
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna call this one right here. I know

455
00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:46,000
Speaker 1: they are six point underdogs here in Minnesota. I think

456
00:20:46,040 --> 00:20:49,000
Speaker 1: they should be. I don't think it's enough, I really don't.

457
00:20:49,400 --> 00:20:52,159
Speaker 1: I think Minnesota is going to put a hurtin on

458
00:20:52,200 --> 00:20:53,960
Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. I think they are going to

459
00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:55,960
Speaker 1: struggle with points on the board. I think they're going

460
00:20:56,040 --> 00:20:58,840
Speaker 1: to struggle to move the chains. I think Minnesota is,

461
00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:01,479
Speaker 1: you know, not a great defend I think they're good

462
00:21:01,600 --> 00:21:05,680
Speaker 1: enough to stifle this offense. So the number is forty

463
00:21:05,680 --> 00:21:08,440
Speaker 1: five and a half. What's hard for me on this one, though,

464
00:21:08,480 --> 00:21:11,000
Speaker 1: is Tampa would have to put up enough points for

465
00:21:11,040 --> 00:21:12,800
Speaker 1: me to really get sided about Tampa. I think this

466
00:21:12,880 --> 00:21:14,680
Speaker 1: is a one sided game. I think it's Minnesota, and

467
00:21:14,720 --> 00:21:16,639
Speaker 1: I don't think it's closed. Pat. Do you think I'm wrong?

468
00:21:18,560 --> 00:21:21,360
Speaker 2: I don't necessarily think you're wrong, Joe, But I mean

469
00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:24,360
Speaker 2: the Vikings were such a weird case last year, going

470
00:21:24,440 --> 00:21:28,680
Speaker 2: thirteen and four, yet being outscored on the season and

471
00:21:29,480 --> 00:21:33,520
Speaker 2: ranking twenty seventh overall in DVA. Like this was a

472
00:21:33,800 --> 00:21:37,240
Speaker 2: very mediocre team masquerading as a good team last year.

473
00:21:37,320 --> 00:21:39,640
Speaker 2: I mean, the Vikings went eleven to zero in one

474
00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:44,520
Speaker 2: score games, which explains that good record. I can't totally

475
00:21:44,560 --> 00:21:47,400
Speaker 2: bury the Bucks joke because they're a veteran team. I mean,

476
00:21:47,440 --> 00:21:51,920
Speaker 2: obviously the downgrade from Tom Brady to Baker Mayfield is significant,

477
00:21:52,080 --> 00:21:55,400
Speaker 2: to say the least. But man, I am very Viking

478
00:21:55,520 --> 00:21:59,080
Speaker 2: skeptical this season, so I'm just staying away from this one,

479
00:21:59,080 --> 00:21:59,639
Speaker 2: to be honest.

480
00:22:00,000 --> 00:22:03,000
Speaker 1: Fair enough, fair enough. I like the individual If I

481
00:22:03,040 --> 00:22:05,840
Speaker 1: can get the individual total on Minnesota, I'll take the over.

482
00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:07,240
Speaker 1: Like that's how I feel like. I don't want to

483
00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:10,240
Speaker 1: bet the combined total. I want the individual Minnesota Viking total.

484
00:22:10,240 --> 00:22:11,720
Speaker 1: I don't want anything to do with the Bucks because

485
00:22:11,720 --> 00:22:13,560
Speaker 1: they're a hot mess. As far as I'm concerned. Now

486
00:22:13,600 --> 00:22:15,680
Speaker 1: here's one. I know. This was kind of the Darling

487
00:22:15,800 --> 00:22:17,400
Speaker 1: Trap game a couple of weeks ago and a lot

488
00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:20,919
Speaker 1: of people's minds. I don't think it's that anymore. Jonathan

489
00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:24,600
Speaker 1: Taylor's not playing for the Colts. Anthony Richardson is a

490
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:26,800
Speaker 1: giant work in progress, and I love the kid, I do.

491
00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:31,280
Speaker 1: But Jacksonville, you know, four and a half point road

492
00:22:31,320 --> 00:22:34,080
Speaker 1: favorites in this one. Forty five is the number if

493
00:22:34,080 --> 00:22:36,040
Speaker 1: you like the Colts for the upset at home plus

494
00:22:36,040 --> 00:22:39,040
Speaker 1: one ninety. I would not shock me if the Colts

495
00:22:39,040 --> 00:22:41,399
Speaker 1: won this football game. Right in division games, we know

496
00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:45,399
Speaker 1: they're all chippy. Maybe Jacksonville's overlooking the Colts. I don't know.

497
00:22:45,760 --> 00:22:48,280
Speaker 1: I don't think they're going to and historically the Colts

498
00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:52,080
Speaker 1: have struggled against the Jacksonville Jaguars anyway, So as far

499
00:22:52,080 --> 00:22:55,240
Speaker 1: as I'm concerned, the whole notion of the narrative out

500
00:22:55,240 --> 00:22:57,439
Speaker 1: there that the Colts are somehow you know this is

501
00:22:57,440 --> 00:23:00,000
Speaker 1: the dangerous game. I don't think the Colts are danger

502
00:23:00,520 --> 00:23:01,680
Speaker 1: to you.

503
00:23:01,680 --> 00:23:04,520
Speaker 2: No, And the Colts are going to be bad this year, Joe,

504
00:23:04,680 --> 00:23:07,960
Speaker 2: and I think their refusal to negotiate with Jonathan Taylor's

505
00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:10,040
Speaker 2: kind of a tell tale that they're playing the long

506
00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:12,159
Speaker 2: game this year. Like, I don't think they're really in

507
00:23:12,200 --> 00:23:15,600
Speaker 2: it to win it for twenty twenty three. And you know,

508
00:23:15,640 --> 00:23:18,400
Speaker 2: the Jaguars came a long way last year under Doug Peterson.

509
00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:22,840
Speaker 2: But I'm not sure I'm smitten enough with Jacksonville to

510
00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:24,520
Speaker 2: lay four and a half points on the road, and

511
00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:27,440
Speaker 2: this number has even gone up to five in some spots,

512
00:23:28,359 --> 00:23:30,560
Speaker 2: even against a bad team. I just don't know if

513
00:23:30,600 --> 00:23:34,040
Speaker 2: I have that much faith in the Jags. Yes yet,

514
00:23:34,080 --> 00:23:37,040
Speaker 2: But I'll tell you this, Joe, I am hammering the

515
00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:41,960
Speaker 2: under here. Do you remember when now Colts head coach

516
00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:45,960
Speaker 2: Shane Steichen was the Eagles offensive coordinator two years ago,

517
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:49,480
Speaker 2: when Jalen Hurts was not yet the fully formed Jalen

518
00:23:49,560 --> 00:23:52,399
Speaker 2: Hurts that reak tavoc on the league last season. The

519
00:23:52,440 --> 00:23:56,199
Speaker 2: Eagles went insanely run heavy over the second half of

520
00:23:56,240 --> 00:23:58,679
Speaker 2: that first Jalen Hurts season as a starter. They were

521
00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:00,760
Speaker 2: running the ball in like sixty four percent of their

522
00:24:00,760 --> 00:24:04,600
Speaker 2: offensive snaps over the second half of that season, I think,

523
00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:09,320
Speaker 2: and like, I wouldn't be surprised if they were practically

524
00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:13,240
Speaker 2: running the wishbone in Indianapolis this year and I'm like.

525
00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:16,320
Speaker 1: You're probably right, but I mean, God, how's no offense

526
00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:19,000
Speaker 1: to Evan hole Fits and no offense to Deon Jackson

527
00:24:19,080 --> 00:24:21,160
Speaker 1: whatever's left there. But like, I don't think that's gonna

528
00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:22,800
Speaker 1: get it done either. You put, you're right, it's gonna

529
00:24:22,840 --> 00:24:24,680
Speaker 1: pour ten to the under because they're gonna drink block.

530
00:24:25,680 --> 00:24:27,520
Speaker 3: The passing game isn't getting it done either.

531
00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:31,440
Speaker 2: Like, this offense is just gonna be dysfunctional this year,

532
00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:34,560
Speaker 2: at least until they get jail Jonathan Taylor back, if

533
00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:37,960
Speaker 2: they get Jonathan Taylor back, So I mean seeing a

534
00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:41,600
Speaker 2: total in the mid forties, even if Jacksonville is able

535
00:24:41,600 --> 00:24:43,840
Speaker 2: to put up points. I don't think Indy does its

536
00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:46,040
Speaker 2: share in this game to get this one over the total.

537
00:24:46,680 --> 00:24:49,400
Speaker 1: This next one's an enigma for me. The Miami Dolphins

538
00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:52,040
Speaker 1: and the Chargers. The Chargers are three point home favorites.

539
00:24:52,080 --> 00:24:53,560
Speaker 1: You can get Miami a two and a half though

540
00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:55,679
Speaker 1: on plus two and a half on FanDuel even money.

541
00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:58,119
Speaker 1: Fifty one is the number you're seeing this fifty and

542
00:24:58,160 --> 00:25:00,199
Speaker 1: a half in some other spots for the under, so

543
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:02,760
Speaker 1: it's pretty close there. Now, look, if you like this game,

544
00:25:03,320 --> 00:25:04,800
Speaker 1: you might as well as go with Miami on the

545
00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:07,640
Speaker 1: plus one forty five to just win outright like that.

546
00:25:07,640 --> 00:25:09,520
Speaker 1: That's my only approach that I can tell you for

547
00:25:09,560 --> 00:25:12,840
Speaker 1: this game, because this is one of the classic four

548
00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:16,480
Speaker 1: outcome games on a schedule that typically I stay away from.

549
00:25:16,800 --> 00:25:19,280
Speaker 1: We don't have Jeffrey Wilson Junior. We're not sure if

550
00:25:19,280 --> 00:25:21,600
Speaker 1: we're going to get devon a chain yet as of

551
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:24,280
Speaker 1: us recording this. So the run game is suspect. Jalen

552
00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:27,399
Speaker 1: Wattle's health is suspect. But that could even push this

553
00:25:27,520 --> 00:25:30,280
Speaker 1: number higher in the days to come, as there's more uncertainty,

554
00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:32,800
Speaker 1: and it just would probably make me like the Dolphins

555
00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:35,159
Speaker 1: on the upset even more. We know wacky things happen.

556
00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:38,280
Speaker 1: Fits would it's shocky if the Dolphins win out there

557
00:25:38,320 --> 00:25:39,720
Speaker 1: to La and won this football game.

558
00:25:40,320 --> 00:25:43,159
Speaker 2: No, not at all. And if I was going to

559
00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:46,880
Speaker 2: play this, and I am not, I would I would probably.

560
00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:49,680
Speaker 2: I would probably follow you on that one, Joe and

561
00:25:49,960 --> 00:25:51,560
Speaker 2: take the money line. But it sounds like you're not

562
00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:52,640
Speaker 2: even really doing that.

563
00:25:52,800 --> 00:25:55,440
Speaker 1: I just want to go big because I think it's

564
00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:58,800
Speaker 1: going to I think I think the more uncertainty starts

565
00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:01,480
Speaker 1: to creep in over the next days, people are gonna

566
00:26:01,520 --> 00:26:05,560
Speaker 1: get more and more charger, charger, charger, a home, you know, advantage,

567
00:26:05,560 --> 00:26:08,120
Speaker 1: blah blah blah, and then it becomes like the Better

568
00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:09,840
Speaker 1: Paradise where you just say, I have nothing to lose,

569
00:26:09,840 --> 00:26:11,120
Speaker 1: it's all plus money. Let's try.

570
00:26:11,800 --> 00:26:14,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's it seems shameful that we are

571
00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:17,199
Speaker 2: glossing over like one of the most exciting games on

572
00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:19,320
Speaker 2: the week one slate, like people are gonna be hammering

573
00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:22,560
Speaker 2: this game in DFS and you know, like it could

574
00:26:22,640 --> 00:26:25,440
Speaker 2: be a really fun game, but man, I just think

575
00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:27,000
Speaker 2: the lines are too tight here.

576
00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:28,680
Speaker 3: I've no interest in betting it.

577
00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:30,840
Speaker 1: It's gonna be a fun DFS game, but fun DFS

578
00:26:30,880 --> 00:26:33,280
Speaker 1: games do not make fun wagering games all the time, right,

579
00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:36,280
Speaker 1: Sometimes the total like if anything, you can also look

580
00:26:36,280 --> 00:26:38,560
Speaker 1: at the total for this one, the fifty and if

581
00:26:38,560 --> 00:26:40,160
Speaker 1: you can get it down to fifty and a half,

582
00:26:41,280 --> 00:26:43,080
Speaker 1: maybe you go that route too. Like that I can

583
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:46,280
Speaker 1: understand that I could see. But the Jalen wattlehealth and

584
00:26:46,320 --> 00:26:48,440
Speaker 1: no uncertainty too, is like if he should be out

585
00:26:48,440 --> 00:26:50,320
Speaker 1: this game, like you get a last minute thing on him.

586
00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:53,080
Speaker 1: I don't know. This one feels a little off to me.

587
00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:55,639
Speaker 1: I'm going to stay away. The Los Angeles Rams are

588
00:26:55,680 --> 00:26:58,000
Speaker 1: going to travel to Seattle. This is another Indivision matchup.

589
00:26:58,040 --> 00:27:00,000
Speaker 1: The number on this one forty seven and a half.

590
00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:04,320
Speaker 1: You can get at forty seven as well. The spread

591
00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:07,280
Speaker 1: varies too. You can get on DraftKings plus four on

592
00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:09,840
Speaker 1: the Los Angeles side, minus four and a half on

593
00:27:09,920 --> 00:27:13,919
Speaker 1: Seattle at Sugar House. You know the Cooper Cup hamstring issue. Now,

594
00:27:13,960 --> 00:27:15,840
Speaker 1: they could be down Cooper Cup for this game potentially,

595
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:18,119
Speaker 1: or at least not one hundred percent Cooper Cup at

596
00:27:18,119 --> 00:27:21,040
Speaker 1: the very least. This is another one where it feels weird,

597
00:27:21,080 --> 00:27:24,680
Speaker 1: yet Seattle is a pretty strong favorite already. I don't

598
00:27:24,680 --> 00:27:26,320
Speaker 1: know if there's any value left on this game.

599
00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:29,440
Speaker 2: No, And this line has been moving up a little

600
00:27:29,520 --> 00:27:32,760
Speaker 2: too Joe, presumably based on the news that Cooper Cupp

601
00:27:32,840 --> 00:27:35,200
Speaker 2: is looking really iffy for this game, and I kind

602
00:27:35,240 --> 00:27:37,280
Speaker 2: of doubt he plays based on the way he thinks.

603
00:27:37,280 --> 00:27:41,280
Speaker 2: They're going on a hamstring setback like less than ten

604
00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:43,560
Speaker 2: days before the start of the season. Probably not a

605
00:27:43,600 --> 00:27:46,520
Speaker 2: good indicator of a guy who's going to play. The

606
00:27:46,560 --> 00:27:49,320
Speaker 2: Seahawks were a playoff team a year ago, and the

607
00:27:49,400 --> 00:27:50,760
Speaker 2: Rams are going to be one of the four or

608
00:27:50,760 --> 00:27:55,040
Speaker 2: five worst teams in football this year, along with the Cardinals, Texans, Colts,

609
00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:59,280
Speaker 2: and maybe the Raiders. So I'm taking the Seahawks here,

610
00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:01,960
Speaker 2: and I'm you know, like trying to grab it before

611
00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:04,600
Speaker 2: this line gets much higher. And I also kind of

612
00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:07,080
Speaker 2: like the under here, like I don't know what the

613
00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:09,760
Speaker 2: Rams offense looks like if Cooper Cup doesn't play.

614
00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:12,040
Speaker 1: Here's an interesting one too. The New England Patriots are

615
00:28:12,080 --> 00:28:13,919
Speaker 1: going to host the Philadelphia Eagles, a team that I

616
00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:18,120
Speaker 1: am heavily invested in already. Now the number for this game.

617
00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:19,359
Speaker 1: You can get the under at forty four and a

618
00:28:19,400 --> 00:28:21,199
Speaker 1: half on DK at minus one to wait, you can

619
00:28:21,240 --> 00:28:23,879
Speaker 1: get the over at forty five on fandwel those are

620
00:28:23,920 --> 00:28:26,960
Speaker 1: the best numbers currently here going in to the weekend.

621
00:28:28,320 --> 00:28:31,480
Speaker 1: Then you have three and a half basically is the

622
00:28:31,520 --> 00:28:33,639
Speaker 1: number here you're looking at where the Eagles are favored

623
00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:36,280
Speaker 1: on the road. Now, well, New England is an interesting

624
00:28:36,520 --> 00:28:39,680
Speaker 1: home underdog. It's just I don't know if this offense

625
00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:41,480
Speaker 1: can keep up with the Eagles at the end of

626
00:28:41,520 --> 00:28:43,960
Speaker 1: the day. This is another game where it would not

627
00:28:44,040 --> 00:28:47,080
Speaker 1: shock me if the Patriots in classic Week one fashion

628
00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:51,360
Speaker 1: pull off a squeaker. But I just don't think this

629
00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:53,080
Speaker 1: game for me is one I want to invest in.

630
00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:55,000
Speaker 1: How about you? Do you see this one as just

631
00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:57,000
Speaker 1: like is gonna get their butt hands to them. This

632
00:28:57,040 --> 00:28:59,160
Speaker 1: is not like the fans speaking in me. This is

633
00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:01,120
Speaker 1: the week one bet are speaking in me that this

634
00:29:01,160 --> 00:29:03,800
Speaker 1: one again. Sometimes it looks too good to be true.

635
00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:04,960
Speaker 1: Oftentimes it is.

636
00:29:05,680 --> 00:29:08,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is like the Joe piece of p a bow.

637
00:29:09,560 --> 00:29:11,960
Speaker 2: You've been all over No one's been all over the

638
00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:16,120
Speaker 2: Eagles and like the future like you and the Patriots

639
00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:16,680
Speaker 2: are your team.

640
00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:20,200
Speaker 1: So and I'll bet against the Patriots all day long

641
00:29:20,280 --> 00:29:22,760
Speaker 1: when it makes sense. But this one's tough, pat because

642
00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:25,600
Speaker 1: you know, defensively, they're gonna be prepared. It's just what

643
00:29:25,800 --> 00:29:28,840
Speaker 1: are they offensively? And that, to me is the one

644
00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:31,800
Speaker 1: thing like maybe that forty you know, forty four and

645
00:29:31,800 --> 00:29:35,160
Speaker 1: a half, maybe this game is a little less thrilling

646
00:29:35,160 --> 00:29:37,080
Speaker 1: from the offensive side that we realize it becomes more

647
00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:39,320
Speaker 1: of a defensive struggle like that. I could see that

648
00:29:39,400 --> 00:29:41,240
Speaker 1: might be the most appealing approach of this game for me.

649
00:29:41,280 --> 00:29:43,760
Speaker 1: But who's gonna win? This one's a little tricky. I

650
00:29:43,800 --> 00:29:45,360
Speaker 1: could see the Eagles blowing them out, and I could

651
00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:48,360
Speaker 1: see the Patriots, you know, winning on a field goal

652
00:29:48,400 --> 00:29:50,959
Speaker 1: here like at the by one point at the end

653
00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:51,360
Speaker 1: of the game.

654
00:29:51,400 --> 00:29:53,840
Speaker 2: It's very weird this game, right, I mean, it does

655
00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:56,480
Speaker 2: feel like the Eagles are miles better than the Patriots,

656
00:29:56,760 --> 00:29:57,680
Speaker 2: but like.

657
00:29:57,680 --> 00:29:59,680
Speaker 1: Theyring they are miles better.

658
00:30:00,320 --> 00:30:02,000
Speaker 3: Sure, but like I can't.

659
00:30:01,760 --> 00:30:04,480
Speaker 2: Bring myself to bet against Bill Belichick. Is a three

660
00:30:04,520 --> 00:30:07,200
Speaker 2: and a half point home underdog. Like maybe if it

661
00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:09,320
Speaker 2: got to three, I'd be a little bit interested, but

662
00:30:09,720 --> 00:30:11,760
Speaker 2: probably not. I'm just gonna walk away from this one.

663
00:30:11,800 --> 00:30:15,240
Speaker 2: This is just it's a strange game. Like, like you said,

664
00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:17,360
Speaker 2: I could see an Eagles blowout, I could see the

665
00:30:17,360 --> 00:30:22,600
Speaker 2: Patriots winning outright. This one is a hard game to

666
00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:23,200
Speaker 2: get a read on.

667
00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:26,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I love the Eagles. It's just sometimes, you know,

668
00:30:26,840 --> 00:30:29,360
Speaker 1: and I know, like these teams come out a little flat,

669
00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:31,440
Speaker 1: you know, after the Super Bowl loss a little bit,

670
00:30:31,480 --> 00:30:34,080
Speaker 1: and you know you're out there, they're gonna have some

671
00:30:34,120 --> 00:30:36,000
Speaker 1: tricks up their sleeve. I just don't know if New

672
00:30:36,040 --> 00:30:37,440
Speaker 1: Engle can do enough at the end of the day

673
00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:39,040
Speaker 1: to win this game. But I think they're gonna keep

674
00:30:39,040 --> 00:30:41,480
Speaker 1: a close pat I really do. I could be wrong,

675
00:30:41,560 --> 00:30:43,640
Speaker 1: but again, this one scares me a little bit because

676
00:30:43,640 --> 00:30:46,040
Speaker 1: it looks too easy, like Eagles, Like I want to

677
00:30:46,040 --> 00:30:47,840
Speaker 1: take the Eagles every week, and I'm gonna take the

678
00:30:47,880 --> 00:30:50,560
Speaker 1: Eagles most weeks on this show. And it's not because

679
00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:52,880
Speaker 1: they're playing the Patriots. It's because it's Week one. It

680
00:30:53,000 --> 00:30:54,640
Speaker 1: just feels a little bit too good to be true

681
00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:57,840
Speaker 1: for me. Let's go into your wheelhouse now. The green

682
00:30:57,880 --> 00:31:01,520
Speaker 1: Bay Packers Chicago Bear forty three and a half is

683
00:31:01,520 --> 00:31:04,040
Speaker 1: the number pretty much everywhere on this one. You're getting

684
00:31:04,200 --> 00:31:06,680
Speaker 1: the Bears against the Packers. I know this is like

685
00:31:06,720 --> 00:31:10,520
Speaker 1: insulting already one and a half point favorites at home. Currently.

686
00:31:10,520 --> 00:31:12,040
Speaker 1: If you like green Bay to win out round the

687
00:31:12,040 --> 00:31:15,520
Speaker 1: moneyline plus one oh five, and I do, pat I

688
00:31:15,560 --> 00:31:18,600
Speaker 1: still believe green Bay is the better defensive team. I

689
00:31:18,640 --> 00:31:22,360
Speaker 1: think Green Bay as a potential to run this football

690
00:31:22,400 --> 00:31:24,800
Speaker 1: control the clock a little bit. It's just can they

691
00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:29,520
Speaker 1: keep Justin Feels from making one play too many on them?

692
00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:31,840
Speaker 1: That to me is the difference maker in this game.

693
00:31:32,040 --> 00:31:33,640
Speaker 1: How is your approach to this one if at all?

694
00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:36,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, So we get the oldest, most storied rivalry in

695
00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:40,440
Speaker 2: the NFL in Week one. This is in my wheelhouse, Joe.

696
00:31:40,480 --> 00:31:44,040
Speaker 2: I'm in the Chicago area. I'm a naturally Wisconsin Borne

697
00:31:44,040 --> 00:31:46,840
Speaker 2: Packers fan. The line movement in this game has been

698
00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:49,960
Speaker 2: really interesting. Like it, the Bears were favored by two

699
00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:51,960
Speaker 2: and a half points for most of the summer. I

700
00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:55,040
Speaker 2: actually got the Packers at three to one point, and

701
00:31:55,200 --> 00:31:57,800
Speaker 2: I believe June that was way back in June.

702
00:31:59,360 --> 00:32:02,120
Speaker 3: I think they're two key reasons for the line movement.

703
00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:04,040
Speaker 2: One is that the Bears are pretty banged up right

704
00:32:04,080 --> 00:32:09,080
Speaker 2: now in some key areas offensive line. Tevin Jenkins, maybe

705
00:32:09,120 --> 00:32:11,640
Speaker 2: their best offensive lineman, won't play, and they've got some

706
00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:15,400
Speaker 2: other guys who are banged up, and their safeties Eddie

707
00:32:15,440 --> 00:32:19,160
Speaker 2: Jackson and Jakwan Brisker are both hurt and questionable. The

708
00:32:19,240 --> 00:32:23,440
Speaker 2: other factor here, Joe, Like the Packers, the vibes on

709
00:32:23,520 --> 00:32:26,680
Speaker 2: this team and on this offense in particular, have actually

710
00:32:26,680 --> 00:32:30,480
Speaker 2: been really good, surprisingly good considering the inexperience they have

711
00:32:30,560 --> 00:32:33,160
Speaker 2: at quarterback and with their pass catchers. I mean, you've

712
00:32:33,160 --> 00:32:35,280
Speaker 2: got Jordan Love who's been in the league for three

713
00:32:35,320 --> 00:32:38,600
Speaker 2: years now but has only started one game, and you've

714
00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:41,400
Speaker 2: got a pass catching group who you know, unless you

715
00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:44,720
Speaker 2: count backup tight end Josiah Duguaro, which I do not,

716
00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:48,040
Speaker 2: no one has more than one season of an NFL

717
00:32:48,160 --> 00:32:52,600
Speaker 2: experience at either receiver tight end, and yet the Packers

718
00:32:52,600 --> 00:32:55,000
Speaker 2: have looked really good in the preseason, like this offense

719
00:32:55,040 --> 00:32:58,520
Speaker 2: has kind of been humming, so really strange. I'm not

720
00:32:58,720 --> 00:33:01,320
Speaker 2: interested in betting the lineup at where it is now.

721
00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:04,320
Speaker 2: Happy to have gotten the Packers earlier, but you know

722
00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:07,680
Speaker 2: that ship has sailed the three points. You're not getting

723
00:33:07,680 --> 00:33:11,080
Speaker 2: that anymore. I don't see enough value at plus one

724
00:33:11,200 --> 00:33:14,280
Speaker 2: for me to take Green Bay. But yeah, I mean,

725
00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:16,560
Speaker 2: I'm kind of with you, though. I think this was

726
00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:20,320
Speaker 2: like a weird line to open that. You know, the

727
00:33:20,360 --> 00:33:24,000
Speaker 2: Packers just a little bit more pedigree, even though I

728
00:33:24,040 --> 00:33:26,640
Speaker 2: think people think these teams are going in opposite directions.

729
00:33:27,080 --> 00:33:29,240
Speaker 1: Well, the next game on it. Look, we got three

730
00:33:29,240 --> 00:33:31,240
Speaker 1: games left. The next game I want nothing to do with.

731
00:33:31,360 --> 00:33:35,440
Speaker 1: It's Denver hosting the Las Vegas Raiders. They are four

732
00:33:35,480 --> 00:33:38,680
Speaker 1: point underdogs going into Denver. Maybe they should be more,

733
00:33:39,120 --> 00:33:42,480
Speaker 1: maybe not. I don't know Jacobs is going to be

734
00:33:42,520 --> 00:33:44,880
Speaker 1: back for this one. You have Garoppolo at least here

735
00:33:44,880 --> 00:33:47,520
Speaker 1: for week one. Theoretically the numbers forty four and a half,

736
00:33:47,560 --> 00:33:49,560
Speaker 1: sometimes forty four you can get in some other spots.

737
00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:53,080
Speaker 1: I don't like Las Vegas for the outright win, but

738
00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:56,040
Speaker 1: at the same time, my confidence is not strong in Denver,

739
00:33:56,120 --> 00:33:57,600
Speaker 1: so this game is a hard pass for me.

740
00:33:57,720 --> 00:34:04,480
Speaker 2: Pat, how about you, I'm betting the Bronx Coast Joe, Like, yeah,

741
00:34:04,560 --> 00:34:05,480
Speaker 2: four and a half.

742
00:34:05,760 --> 00:34:06,760
Speaker 3: I'm laying the points.

743
00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:10,880
Speaker 2: And like, I believe in the Denver defense, which was

744
00:34:11,200 --> 00:34:14,280
Speaker 2: like really sneaky good last year tenth overall in DVOA

745
00:34:14,320 --> 00:34:16,080
Speaker 2: and they've got one of the best cover corners in

746
00:34:16,120 --> 00:34:16,479
Speaker 2: the league.

747
00:34:16,480 --> 00:34:17,840
Speaker 3: And Patrick Certan Junior.

748
00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:21,960
Speaker 2: I don't believe in the Raiders and Josh McDaniels like

749
00:34:22,040 --> 00:34:24,640
Speaker 2: at all. I mean, I think Sean Payton is clearly

750
00:34:24,680 --> 00:34:27,839
Speaker 2: the better man here. So yeah, I'm willing to lay

751
00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:30,280
Speaker 2: the points with Denver at home against a hated rival.

752
00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:34,120
Speaker 1: Speaking of rivals, about the Giants on Sunday Night Football

753
00:34:34,120 --> 00:34:37,800
Speaker 1: hosting the Dallas Cowboys. The Dallas Cowboys three and a

754
00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:41,840
Speaker 1: half point favorites going the Giants of the home dogs

755
00:34:41,920 --> 00:34:44,560
Speaker 1: yet again here, and I think rightfully so I think

756
00:34:44,640 --> 00:34:48,600
Speaker 1: Dallas is the better football team on paper, absolutely, I

757
00:34:48,600 --> 00:34:50,920
Speaker 1: know both teams were in the playoffs. Anyway, Forty six

758
00:34:51,000 --> 00:34:53,560
Speaker 1: and a half is the number here if you like

759
00:34:53,640 --> 00:34:55,960
Speaker 1: the Giants to win on the money line, a plus

760
00:34:56,000 --> 00:34:58,120
Speaker 1: one forty five and get that number over on points

761
00:34:58,120 --> 00:35:01,239
Speaker 1: bet right now, that's the best one. So pat again,

762
00:35:01,280 --> 00:35:02,719
Speaker 1: I kind of come to this one and I say,

763
00:35:03,760 --> 00:35:07,799
Speaker 1: division rival game, strange things happen home dogs. It makes

764
00:35:07,840 --> 00:35:10,200
Speaker 1: me push towards the Giants side of this one. But

765
00:35:10,239 --> 00:35:12,040
Speaker 1: I have yet to make a wager in this one.

766
00:35:12,120 --> 00:35:15,000
Speaker 1: So do you have any feelings on this game here

767
00:35:15,040 --> 00:35:17,640
Speaker 1: that can sway me one way or another, because I

768
00:35:17,640 --> 00:35:20,400
Speaker 1: always like those home dogs, But I don't know if

769
00:35:20,600 --> 00:35:23,120
Speaker 1: the Giants are in the same space as the Cowboys.

770
00:35:23,160 --> 00:35:26,879
Speaker 2: Defensively, I'm in the same space you are in, Joe,

771
00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:31,080
Speaker 2: Like I am leaning towards the home dog. I love

772
00:35:31,120 --> 00:35:34,480
Speaker 2: me a good home dog in week one, and certainly

773
00:35:34,520 --> 00:35:36,600
Speaker 2: the Giants are kind of a live dog here, Like

774
00:35:36,640 --> 00:35:38,640
Speaker 2: this is a good team to be a home dog,

775
00:35:39,440 --> 00:35:43,040
Speaker 2: but it's a stay away for me. Really intriguing matchup.

776
00:35:43,080 --> 00:35:46,080
Speaker 2: But I do think the Cowboys are legitimate Super Bowl contenders.

777
00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:51,400
Speaker 2: I just can't lay the points though, And I can't

778
00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:54,000
Speaker 2: lay the points. Not gonna take the points either.

779
00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:58,399
Speaker 1: Monday Night Football nine to eleven, right, so they're gonna

780
00:35:58,400 --> 00:36:01,880
Speaker 1: be doing ceremonies there in New York. First game in

781
00:36:01,960 --> 00:36:05,239
Speaker 1: this building for Aaron Rodgers to play quarterback for the

782
00:36:05,239 --> 00:36:07,439
Speaker 1: New York Jets. They're playing the Buffalo Bills, another team

783
00:36:07,440 --> 00:36:09,719
Speaker 1: from the state of New York. This game has so

784
00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:13,200
Speaker 1: much emotion running through it, Pat, It's going to be

785
00:36:13,239 --> 00:36:15,200
Speaker 1: a wild night. It's gonna be great television. I think.

786
00:36:15,280 --> 00:36:17,840
Speaker 1: I think this is going to do a smash rating.

787
00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:20,839
Speaker 1: I really do. And at the end of the day,

788
00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:23,319
Speaker 1: if you're looking at the number, the Jets are two

789
00:36:23,360 --> 00:36:26,720
Speaker 1: point home dogs minus one to ten on that number

790
00:36:26,760 --> 00:36:29,680
Speaker 1: forty six and a half forty six, you're getting this

791
00:36:29,760 --> 00:36:32,080
Speaker 1: number the total different spots if you like the Jets,

792
00:36:32,120 --> 00:36:34,040
Speaker 1: just for the outright win here at home with all

793
00:36:34,040 --> 00:36:36,880
Speaker 1: the good vibes, plus one twenty five. I was on

794
00:36:36,920 --> 00:36:40,279
Speaker 1: sports grid TV yesterday talking about this game, Pat, and

795
00:36:41,080 --> 00:36:42,959
Speaker 1: they asked him to give me a question about this game,

796
00:36:43,080 --> 00:36:45,480
Speaker 1: and they said, what will you take away? What's the

797
00:36:45,480 --> 00:36:47,560
Speaker 1: big takeaway from this game? You know the next morning,

798
00:36:47,560 --> 00:36:50,640
Speaker 1: And I said, anything that happens is temporary. If the

799
00:36:50,719 --> 00:36:53,800
Speaker 1: Jets win this game, it doesn't mean anything necessary. It

800
00:36:53,840 --> 00:36:56,840
Speaker 1: means the emotion of the night carried in this incredible

801
00:36:56,880 --> 00:36:59,040
Speaker 1: crowd that will be very hyped up. If they lose

802
00:36:59,080 --> 00:37:00,800
Speaker 1: this game, it doesn't mean they're not good enough to

803
00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:03,919
Speaker 1: compete with the Buffalo Bills. So I'm not everybody's gonna

804
00:37:03,920 --> 00:37:05,560
Speaker 1: put way too much into this game. I'm gonna put

805
00:37:05,560 --> 00:37:07,520
Speaker 1: almost nothing into it because I think there's just so

806
00:37:07,760 --> 00:37:13,320
Speaker 1: much surrounding this game. Monday Night Football Isolated game Aaron Rodgers,

807
00:37:13,320 --> 00:37:17,120
Speaker 1: Prime Time, nine to eleven in New York. I don't know, Pat,

808
00:37:17,239 --> 00:37:18,640
Speaker 1: how do you look at this one? Because this is

809
00:37:18,680 --> 00:37:20,200
Speaker 1: one where I just want to watch it on TV.

810
00:37:20,320 --> 00:37:25,000
Speaker 1: But from an investment standpoint, Garrett Wilson anytime touchdown scorer

811
00:37:25,160 --> 00:37:28,400
Speaker 1: over unreceiving yards, that's the stuff I'm looking for. Outside

812
00:37:28,440 --> 00:37:30,480
Speaker 1: of that, maybe some James Cook numbers. I like the

813
00:37:30,520 --> 00:37:31,960
Speaker 1: individuals more than the game itself.

814
00:37:33,320 --> 00:37:37,480
Speaker 2: J E Ts jests Jets jests, Joe Like, I actually

815
00:37:37,560 --> 00:37:38,840
Speaker 2: like the Jets here a lot.

816
00:37:39,120 --> 00:37:41,880
Speaker 4: I really, do you know? I said I like a

817
00:37:41,920 --> 00:37:44,200
Speaker 4: good home dog in Week one. This is a home

818
00:37:44,239 --> 00:37:48,480
Speaker 4: dog I love. And that Jets defense is potentially special,

819
00:37:48,640 --> 00:37:52,480
Speaker 4: very good. Like they they can generate pressure without blitzing

820
00:37:53,880 --> 00:37:57,319
Speaker 4: their past coverage in the secondary, led by second year

821
00:37:57,400 --> 00:38:01,760
Speaker 4: corner Sauce Gardner, is going to be fantastic. The Bills

822
00:38:01,760 --> 00:38:03,719
Speaker 4: have a lot of offensive firepower, but I think they're

823
00:38:03,719 --> 00:38:05,680
Speaker 4: gonna have a hard time moving against the ball against

824
00:38:05,719 --> 00:38:08,000
Speaker 4: this defense, as will every other team that plays the

825
00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:08,799
Speaker 4: Jets this year.

826
00:38:09,320 --> 00:38:12,319
Speaker 2: And I'm also smashing the under here, Joe, Like the

827
00:38:12,440 --> 00:38:16,360
Speaker 2: Jets great defense and they have a bad offensive line,

828
00:38:16,760 --> 00:38:20,320
Speaker 2: Like that is a winning under combo, I think, especially

829
00:38:20,360 --> 00:38:24,239
Speaker 2: with the total at what forty six right now?

830
00:38:24,440 --> 00:38:26,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, forty six and a half, some spots having a

831
00:38:26,719 --> 00:38:29,000
Speaker 1: forty six flat, So it depends on man if.

832
00:38:29,680 --> 00:38:32,080
Speaker 2: Forty six and a half sounds really good right now?

833
00:38:32,120 --> 00:38:33,480
Speaker 2: So yeah, I think this game is going to be

834
00:38:33,520 --> 00:38:36,759
Speaker 2: played like both teams scoring in the teams I could see.

835
00:38:36,760 --> 00:38:39,480
Speaker 2: I could see like a nineteen seventeen type of game here.

836
00:38:39,680 --> 00:38:41,879
Speaker 1: Oly, I gotta tell you, like, I just think it's

837
00:38:41,880 --> 00:38:44,320
Speaker 1: gonna be so much running through everybody's veins in this game.

838
00:38:44,680 --> 00:38:46,879
Speaker 1: The if anything, Pat, you know what I might do.

839
00:38:47,600 --> 00:38:51,160
Speaker 1: I might look for the first quarter no score, where

840
00:38:51,200 --> 00:38:55,399
Speaker 1: it's just everything is just everybody is so hyped, right,

841
00:38:55,440 --> 00:39:00,000
Speaker 1: Everyone's just like just absolutely brimming, like whatever the first

842
00:39:00,200 --> 00:39:02,120
Speaker 1: quarter numbers are, I might attack that, or maybe the

843
00:39:02,160 --> 00:39:04,400
Speaker 1: first half numbers. I think maybe I isolate this one

844
00:39:04,440 --> 00:39:06,520
Speaker 1: a little bit. I think there's just gonna be so

845
00:39:06,640 --> 00:39:08,879
Speaker 1: much pomp and circumstance, so much attention, and I think

846
00:39:08,920 --> 00:39:10,920
Speaker 1: there's gonna be nerves. And look, let's not pretend like

847
00:39:11,000 --> 00:39:12,919
Speaker 1: all of a sudden Aaron Rodgers answered the bell every

848
00:39:12,920 --> 00:39:14,960
Speaker 1: time at one of these big spots in his career,

849
00:39:15,080 --> 00:39:17,879
Speaker 1: because he hasn't. He hasn't necessarily answered the bell every

850
00:39:17,880 --> 00:39:21,200
Speaker 1: single time in these especially lately. So this is you know,

851
00:39:21,239 --> 00:39:24,160
Speaker 1: hard knocks is over now, now the hard work begins.

852
00:39:24,560 --> 00:39:27,120
Speaker 1: We want to know from you though. Drop your comments below.

853
00:39:27,320 --> 00:39:29,640
Speaker 1: Subscribe to Betting pro so you're with us all season

854
00:39:29,719 --> 00:39:32,920
Speaker 1: long wherever you get your pods, and also drop that comment.

855
00:39:33,040 --> 00:39:35,840
Speaker 1: Subscribe to the YouTube channel YouTube dot com slash Betting

856
00:39:35,840 --> 00:39:38,640
Speaker 1: Pros and you can win the Aaron Jones autograph Jersey.

857
00:39:38,840 --> 00:39:40,680
Speaker 1: Don't forget to download the app as well so you

858
00:39:40,719 --> 00:39:42,400
Speaker 1: can stay on top of all the moving lines. You

859
00:39:42,400 --> 00:39:45,320
Speaker 1: can follow us at Bettingpros dot com, slash Joe, Bettingpros

860
00:39:45,320 --> 00:39:48,560
Speaker 1: dot com, slash fits and join the NFL contest Betting

861
00:39:48,600 --> 00:39:51,240
Speaker 1: Pros dot com slash NFL Contest, or if you already

862
00:39:51,239 --> 00:39:53,000
Speaker 1: downloaded the app, just go to the community tap and

863
00:39:53,080 --> 00:39:55,719
Speaker 1: joined today. We want to get hundreds of people in

864
00:39:55,719 --> 00:39:57,759
Speaker 1: this thing. I want thousands of people in this thing.

865
00:39:58,000 --> 00:39:59,760
Speaker 1: I want to have fun. I want to make picks.

866
00:40:00,000 --> 00:40:01,920
Speaker 1: If you're the big winner every week, you're gonna get

867
00:40:01,920 --> 00:40:03,680
Speaker 1: mentioned on the show. I'm gonna make you famous. So

868
00:40:03,880 --> 00:40:06,120
Speaker 1: join us for all of that. Ah man, it is

869
00:40:06,160 --> 00:40:08,279
Speaker 1: so good to talk about these games. Fits we are back,

870
00:40:08,400 --> 00:40:10,799
Speaker 1: let's go, it's football time. That'll do it for us.

871
00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:12,560
Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for Pat

872
00:40:12,560 --> 00:40:15,720
Speaker 1: fitz Morris, I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids,

873
00:40:20,200 --> 00:40:20,239
Speaker 1: M