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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Thursday morning edition of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Peralt. You

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Speaker 2: can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each

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Speaker 2: and every single morning we are here on Betting pros

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Speaker 2: dot com. We're also being brought to you by bet

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Speaker 2: MGM the five dollars offer. Any touchdown gets scored, you

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Speaker 2: win one hundred dollars if you're on a side total

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Speaker 2: money line whatever on the NFL game tonight with the

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Speaker 2: Eagles and the tip at Bay Buccaneers. When you use

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Speaker 2: that promo code Juice, one hundred new customers, new sign

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Speaker 2: ups for bet MGM.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So, I.

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Speaker 2: Don't know what happened last night because at the time

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Speaker 2: of taping, everything's in the second period intermission for both

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Speaker 2: the last leg Toronto won, so we hit the first

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Speaker 2: leg of the parlay, but three to won the lead

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Speaker 2: for Anaheim, that's not going well. I mean Winnipeg to

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Speaker 2: have a big third period, but two goal hockey leads

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Speaker 2: sometimes they don't go very well. And then Chicago, man, well,

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Speaker 2: it's four to one going into the third period. Marc

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Speaker 2: Andre Fleury did not look good in that game. Not

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Speaker 2: good for Chicago. I thought he played better, but he didn't. So,

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Speaker 2: like I said yesterday, I was, you know, time to

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Speaker 2: have some fun. Tonight wasn't really getting into all that much.

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Speaker 2: It's kind of the same veilocity I have got going

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Speaker 2: on today, but I'm gonna get a little more involved

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Speaker 2: with a couple of four football bets and one baseball bet.

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Speaker 1: To give you guys coming up here today.

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Speaker 2: I may even add an extra but before we get

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Speaker 2: to the picks, reminder on the Justin Jefferson autographed jersey

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Speaker 2: giveaway that is happening this month. When you go to

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Speaker 2: Bettingpros dot com slash juice and fill out that form.

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Speaker 2: Now you also have to go to Apple Podcasts and

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Speaker 2: fill out a review, positive, negative, whatever you want, and

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Speaker 2: then go to Betting Pros dot com slash juice fill

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Speaker 2: out that form. If you've already done it, you're already

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Speaker 2: entered in. But if you haven't done it, leave that review.

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Speaker 2: Fill out the form on bettingpros dot com slash Juice.

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Speaker 2: At the end of the month, we will pull one

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Speaker 2: lucky winner to win an autographed Justin Jefferson jersey thanks

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Speaker 2: to Pristine Auction and your friends at bettingpros dot Com.

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Speaker 1: Right, so let's get into it.

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Speaker 2: We've got a college football game, We've got a Major

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Speaker 2: League baseball game five, and we have a THURSDA night

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Speaker 2: football game with the defending champs and Tom Brady on

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Speaker 2: that game in that game. Okay, So let's start here

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Speaker 2: with the college football game, and then we'll go to baseball,

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Speaker 2: and then we'll go to the NFL. All right, So

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Speaker 2: let's start with Memphis taking on Navy.

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Speaker 1: All right.

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Speaker 2: Navy offensively is scoring seventeen point six points per game.

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Speaker 2: That's not great, Okay, it's just not great. Memphis offensively

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Speaker 2: has been pretty good this year. Memphis thirty five point

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Speaker 2: eight points per game for Memphis. Okay, remember that thirty

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Speaker 2: five point eight points. That's an important little number to

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Speaker 2: remember here. Defensively, for Navy, things having been going very well.

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Speaker 2: They're giving up thirty two point two points per game.

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Speaker 2: They're giving up five point six yards per play, they're

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Speaker 2: giving up eight point three yards per pass play.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: The one thing that Memphis does not do well, Memphis

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Speaker 2: does not do well against the pass. Okay, Memphis pass

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Speaker 2: defense has been pretty weak, to be quite honest. They're

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Speaker 2: giving up seven point three yards per pass play. Now

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Speaker 2: Navy throws the ball and averages seven yards per pass play.

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Speaker 2: The problem is Navy never throws the football. Okay, Navy

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Speaker 2: has one of the best running offenses in the entire country.

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Speaker 2: This isn't kind of well documented. The Service academies always

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Speaker 2: do this. They run the ball really, really well. Now

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Speaker 2: they're giving up Navy giving up three hundred and sixty

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Speaker 2: total yards of offense per game, but Memphis is giving

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Speaker 2: up four hundred and fifty seven yards of offense. But

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Speaker 2: three hundred and sixteen of that is through the air,

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Speaker 2: one hundred and forty on the ground, so they're susceptible

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Speaker 2: to big plays. Memphis has given up thirty five points

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Speaker 2: to Tulsa, thirty four four points to Temple, thirty one

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Speaker 2: points to Utsa. They've scored fifty five, thirty one, twenty eight,

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Speaker 2: thirty one, and twenty nine so far this season. Their

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Speaker 2: defense is not that good. The problem is the total

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Speaker 2: for this game is set at fifty six and a

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Speaker 2: half and the number is climbing. It was ten and

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Speaker 2: a half, it's now eleven at most spots for Memphis. Look,

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Speaker 2: I don't trust anything, except I am very confident that

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Speaker 2: Memphis is going to score against Navy, all right. Navy

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Speaker 2: on the year has given up thirty one, thirty, twenty eight,

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Speaker 2: twenty three, and forty nine points so far. They're one

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Speaker 2: in four overall, one in two in conference, and they're

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Speaker 2: coming off of a thirty one twenty four loss at

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Speaker 2: home to SMU. Now, they did beat Central Florida, which

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Speaker 2: is kind of like a fluky wow, where did that

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Speaker 2: come from? And they only gave up twenty eight points

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Speaker 2: to Houston. But this Memphis team, like I mentioned, I mean,

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Speaker 2: they hang down thirty one points on Misissippi State. There

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Speaker 2: is a fear obviously when it comes to Navy because

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Speaker 2: they run the ball and they tend to chew up

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Speaker 2: a lot of clock. But they're giving up thirty two

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Speaker 2: points per game. Okay, when you're giving up you know,

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Speaker 2: thirty two thirty three points per game. Thirty two point

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Speaker 2: two is ninetieth best in the country. Five point six

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Speaker 2: yards per play is sixty ninth best in the country.

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Speaker 2: And they're i mean, their defense is not horrible, they're

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Speaker 2: okay in the red zone. But Memphis scores in the

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Speaker 2: red zone. I mean, they're one hundredth in the country.

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Speaker 2: Seventy three percent conversion rate in the in the red zone.

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Speaker 2: They get down there, and frankly, you know, look when

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Speaker 2: they're running, they're good.

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Speaker 1: When they're passing.

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Speaker 2: Their elite passing nine point one yards per pass play

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Speaker 2: for Memphis eight point three yards per pass play giving

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Speaker 2: up for Navy. That's ninety seventh in the country for Navy,

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Speaker 2: eighteenth best for Memphis.

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Speaker 1: I think Memphis scores.

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Speaker 2: My question is what does Navy do if you can

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Speaker 2: pass on Memphis, but you can only like kind to

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Speaker 2: run on Memphis and Memphis knows what's coming. I just

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Speaker 2: really wonder about the total for this game, about how

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Speaker 2: many points Navy is going to score. They're only averaging

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Speaker 2: seventeen points per game, so the total being fifty six points,

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Speaker 2: it's like, okay, so that means we're counting on forty

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Speaker 2: points here out of Memphis and seventeen points out of Navy,

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Speaker 2: right to get the fifty seven points.

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Speaker 1: That's what's what you would need. I would rather worry.

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Speaker 2: I would rather think that we can get Memphis team

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Speaker 2: total over now. I bet this when it first came out,

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Speaker 2: when I first dropped it was thirty and a half.

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Speaker 2: Immediately steamed up to thirty four and a half. But

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Speaker 2: I think it's still good. I think it's good. I

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Speaker 2: think they score forty points. I mean, that's what the

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Speaker 2: numbers are telling us right now. Just looking at the averages.

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Speaker 2: Navy averages seventeen, Memphis averages thirty five, and the total

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Speaker 2: is fifty six. So we got to get the fifty seven.

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Speaker 2: So we're thinking Memphis scores forty. So I would rather

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Speaker 2: go here and take a normal game out of Memphis,

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Speaker 2: which is they score thirty five points, then go in

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Speaker 2: hope that Navy's offense does something and Navy's offense can

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Speaker 2: move the football because there's a good chance on the

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Speaker 2: road short week. They just played SMU ranked team, tough game.

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Speaker 2: I'm going team total over Memphis thirty four and a half.

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Speaker 2: I've got thirty and a half, so I love my

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Speaker 2: number right now. But I still think you take it

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Speaker 2: all the way up maybe, I mean I take it

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Speaker 2: all the way up to thirty five. Thirty six points here,

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Speaker 2: Memphis over thirty four and a half at minus one

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Speaker 2: ten for a half a unit is the first play

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Speaker 2: here going on for us today. Memphis team total Okay,

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Speaker 2: thirty four and a half over at minus one ten

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Speaker 2: okay to baseball logan Web versus Julio Arias. Julio Arias

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Speaker 2: twenty and three two point nine six eer, Oh my goodness,

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Speaker 2: what a year for him. But he's facing the dude.

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Speaker 2: The dude is logan Web. Logan Web has been absolutely

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Speaker 2: stupid this year. We have made a lot of money

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Speaker 2: betting on logan Web here for the Daily Juice. And

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Speaker 2: I can't quit logan Web. I just I can't quit

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Speaker 2: logan Web. I'm sorry, I can't do it. I know

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Speaker 2: there's a lot of people who are going to be

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Speaker 2: on the Dodgers here. We almost had a home dog.

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Speaker 2: It came really close to being a home dog. I

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Speaker 2: couldn't actually believe it, to be quite honest. It was

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Speaker 2: stunning to me when the numbers first came out and

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Speaker 2: it was wait, minus one p fifteen even money. I

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Speaker 2: didn't jump on it as fast as I should have.

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Speaker 2: I waited a little bit. I got minus one oh

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Speaker 2: six though, so I basically got okay. Logan Web this

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Speaker 2: year at home is seven and zero. Logan Web shut

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Speaker 2: out the Dodgers in the first game he pitched up

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Speaker 2: against the Dodgers in this series, and I'm not going

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Speaker 2: to be the guy that doesn't ride the team that

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Speaker 2: brought us to where we're at. Okay, the Dodgers are

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Speaker 2: the better play. I'm not going to debate it. Okay,

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Speaker 2: Dodgers are essentially dogs. But this number is kind of

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Speaker 2: bouncing around both teams. Neither one really is being favored.

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Speaker 2: I got home field advantage for the Giants. I got

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Speaker 2: last at bats for the Giants. I mean, the total

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Speaker 2: is six and a half in this game. Okay, like

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Speaker 2: we're gonna be in for a nail bier. This is

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Speaker 2: who has the one big swing, right, who has the

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Speaker 2: one big home run?

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Speaker 1: Who goes deep? What team?

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Speaker 2: I'll take Crawfording Company. I'll take this team that's been

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Speaker 2: so clutch all year. This is going to be an

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Speaker 2: unbelievable baseball game. I cannot wait to watch it. I

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Speaker 2: cannot wait to sit there and wonder and sweat this

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Speaker 2: thing out because it's going to be absolutely an epic,

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Speaker 2: epic game. It starts at six o'clock on the West Coast,

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Speaker 2: nine o'clock Eastern, So we've got the football game that's

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Speaker 2: going to kick off at about eight twenty Eastern time,

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Speaker 2: and we'll watch a quarter or that and then we

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Speaker 2: can kind of flip flop and double screen it with

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Speaker 2: the Dodgers and the Giants and watching the Eagles and

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Speaker 2: the Bucks.

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Speaker 1: I'm just taking the home team. There's not a huge.

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Speaker 2: Other than that Logan Web has never lost at home.

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Speaker 2: I'm just gonna take the guy who's undefeated at home

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Speaker 2: and take the guy who's at home. And that's the handicap. Okay,

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Speaker 2: these teams are so close. This series has been so good,

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Speaker 2: it's going to be an absolute nail bier. I think

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Speaker 2: there's a very good chance the Dodgers win this thing,

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Speaker 2: but you can make Dustin as good of a case

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Speaker 2: for the Giants. So I want to have some money involved.

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Speaker 2: Half a unit on the Giants money line at minus

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Speaker 2: one oh six Giants and Logan Web to win. All Right,

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Speaker 2: there's our first unit. Okay, our first full unit is

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Speaker 2: Memphis team total over thirty four and a half Giants

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Speaker 2: money line minus one oh six. Okay, let's talk about

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Speaker 2: Tampa and the Eagles. Let's get into this game, because

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Speaker 2: this game is fascinating. So the Eagles played the Chiefs

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Speaker 2: and scored thirty points on Kansas City and lost by twelve.

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Speaker 1: Isn't that crazy?

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Speaker 2: Their best offensive performance at home like the Arch tonight

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Speaker 2: against the defense that couldn't stop anybody, and the best

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Speaker 2: they could do was hang thirty and their defense couldn't

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Speaker 2: stop up anything that Patrick Mahomes was doing. The Chief

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Speaker 2: scored seven fourteen to seven fourteen in that game on

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Speaker 2: their way to forty two points. Forty two points scored

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Speaker 2: in that game. Patrick Mahomes was tremendous in that game.

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Speaker 2: And when you're starting to look at, you know, ways

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Speaker 2: of betting, in ways of getting involved here with this game,

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Speaker 2: there are two things I really like. The Tampa Bay

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Speaker 2: team total is thirty. Tampa team total thirty. Okay, when

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Speaker 2: you break down where Tampa has been, they're averaging thirty

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Speaker 2: three point four points per game, that is third best

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Speaker 2: in the NFL. The Eagles are giving up twenty four

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Speaker 2: point eight points per game. That's twenty first in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: The Bucks are averaging six point three yards per play.

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Speaker 2: They are averaging four point two touchdowns per game. That's

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Speaker 2: number one in the NFL. Okay, they're scoring a ton.

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Speaker 2: They're number three in third down conversion at forty eight

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Speaker 2: point four zero point four percent, that's fifth best in

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Speaker 2: the NFL. They're only scoring in the red zone sixty

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Speaker 2: two point five percent of the time. That's fourteenth best.

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Speaker 2: But they're scoring because there's so much. They're scoring four

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Speaker 2: point two touchdowns per game. They're not running the ball

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Speaker 2: all that well four yards of carry, but they're passing

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Speaker 2: the ball extremely well seven yards per pass play. Now,

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Speaker 2: the Eagles are pretty good against the pass, and they

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Speaker 2: just picked off Sam Darnold three times in the last

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Speaker 2: week in their road win over the Carolina Panthers.

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Speaker 1: But this is Tom Brady.

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Speaker 2: I know Gronk's not going to be there, and there's

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Speaker 2: been a lot of steam here dropping. This number opened

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Speaker 2: at seven and a half, went to six and a half,

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Speaker 2: went to seven, back down to six.

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Speaker 1: And a half. It's kind of nuts.

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Speaker 2: But I'm taking the team total for the Tapa Bay

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Speaker 2: Bocks over thirty here at minus one to ten. I

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Speaker 2: got that at Circus Sports tonight or last night. Tapa

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Speaker 2: team total over thirty points in this game. I just

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Speaker 2: think Tapa's going to score, all right. The total of

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Speaker 2: this game is fifty two and a half. I think

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Speaker 2: they're going to score. Padelphi is gonna have to score thirty.

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Speaker 2: You could say, Matt Wyno bet the over there because

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Speaker 2: I'm not sure Philly can score thirty. To be quite honest,

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Speaker 2: Philadelphia's offense is averaging twenty three points per game six

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Speaker 2: point one yards per play. Tampa's averaging five point seven

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Speaker 2: yards per play. But you got to run a little

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Speaker 2: bit on Tampa to keep him honest, and I don't

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Speaker 2: think they're going to run the ball on Tampa at all.

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Speaker 2: Tampa is the number one rush defense in the NFL

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Speaker 2: two point nine yards per rush, fifteen point eight rushes

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Speaker 2: per game, giving up forty five point eight yards rushing

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Speaker 2: per game, number one point two rushing touchdowns per game

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Speaker 2: given up by this team in the red zone. They

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Speaker 2: are really hard to run on, really hard to score on,

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Speaker 2: even with that bump secondary, and they're not gonna have

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Speaker 2: Avantwine winfield out there.

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Speaker 1: Their secondary is not great. Okay, they're giving up seven

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Speaker 1: yards per pass play.

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Speaker 2: You can throw in these guys for sure, but then

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Speaker 2: you're asking Jalen Hurts to do a lot.

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Speaker 1: And Jalen Hurts has to.

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Speaker 2: Be able to run the football, has to be able

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Speaker 2: to use his athletic ability to get out on the edge.

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Speaker 1: I just don't think he can do it.

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Speaker 2: Okay, but here's where I'm going I like Tampa team

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Speaker 2: total over thirty in this game. I like Tom Brady

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Speaker 2: to throw over two point five touchdown tosses in this game.

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Speaker 2: I got it in minus one oh five. Tom Brady

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Speaker 2: over two and a half touchdown tosses in this game

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Speaker 2: for a half a unit. And then for fun, I'm

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Speaker 2: laying the six and a half with the Bucks, all right.

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Speaker 2: I just I can't bring myself around. Tom Brady was

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Speaker 2: talking about the old Super Bowl and his memories and

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Speaker 2: like the dudes on a mission when he's got these

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Speaker 2: scores to settle, and I don't trust Jalen Hurts. I'm sorry,

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Speaker 2: I just I can't. I can't trust Jalen Hurts. Even

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Speaker 2: against the Panthers. He threw for one hundred and ninety

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Speaker 2: eight yards, no touchdowns, and a pick on the road.

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Speaker 2: His defense is why that that game won. I mean,

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Speaker 2: they did nothing in the first half. They couldn't move

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Speaker 2: the ball at all in that game, and then the

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Speaker 2: turnovers came, and I mean the Panthers were just horrible.

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Speaker 2: They had a blocked punt, two interceptions in the second half.

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Speaker 2: I mean that's why they won the game eighteen. But

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Speaker 2: it wasn't pretty it wasn't because Jalen Hurts played really well.

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Speaker 2: And I don't like Nick Sirianni. I'm sorry, I just

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Speaker 2: I don't. I've told you I say this before in

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Speaker 2: the podcast. I don't like Nick Sirianni.

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Speaker 1: I don't like Joe Judge.

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Speaker 2: I don't like these kinda be these baby coaches coming

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Speaker 2: in and like act like they know what's gonna happen, WHAT'SNN,

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Speaker 2: what's going on?

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Speaker 1: I'm just not there.

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Speaker 2: So, I mean, I think even though the numbers against

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs were good and the Cowboys were good, Niners

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Speaker 2: was not good.

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Speaker 1: And I think against this.

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Speaker 2: Bucks defense, I don't think on a short week, I

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Speaker 2: don't think it's gonna be great weather. It's not gonna

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Speaker 2: be a factor. So it's not gonna be like it

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Speaker 2: was in New England. No rain in the forecast or

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Speaker 2: anything like that. I'm just gonna take the Bucks my

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Speaker 2: six and a half for a half a unit under seven.

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Speaker 2: You could tease it, okay, and this game is screaming

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Speaker 2: teaser and normally you might go, wow, Matt, I thought

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Speaker 2: you definitely go for a teaser.

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Speaker 1: Well, here's why I'm not teasing it.

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Speaker 2: I don't know what direction to go because my first indication,

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Speaker 2: my first inkling in this is because fifty two and

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Speaker 2: a half will be to tease it up to fifty

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Speaker 2: eight and a half. But forty two to thirty was

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs game. That's seventy two points. So we go under,

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Speaker 2: we lose, right if we go then okay, Matt, want

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Speaker 2: you go ahead and tease it down and take the over.

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Speaker 2: Well that's only forty six and a half points. I

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Speaker 2: think it happens. But what if it's like a thirty

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Speaker 2: to seven win. I don't think that's crazy. Thirty four.

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Speaker 2: If it's a thirty one to seven win, I don't

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Speaker 2: think that's nuts. I really don't. I don't know how

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Speaker 2: much they score, to be honest, I just this game

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Speaker 2: might not be close, and everyone is like expecting this

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Speaker 2: Eagles team at home to play really hard, and I

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Speaker 2: don't know. I can't make up my mind. I couldn't

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Speaker 2: figure out what to go. So rather than teasing it

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Speaker 2: and getting beat because I teased it the wrong way,

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Speaker 2: and you know we did it with the Panthers. We

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Speaker 2: teased the Panthers down to one, this would be teasing

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Speaker 2: the egle the Chiefs down, sorry, the Bucks down to

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Speaker 2: a half a point and we took the total.

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Speaker 1: We pulled it down and it went over.

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Speaker 2: It's very possible that will happen, but overs have gone

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Speaker 2: the last two games primetime overs, and now ten and five.

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Speaker 1: I just don't trust I just don't trust it.

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Speaker 2: So I could make up my mind, and rather than

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Speaker 2: losing the bet because I get one side right and

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Speaker 2: the other side wrong, I decided not to tease it

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Speaker 2: and just said, look what do I think is most

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Speaker 2: likely to happen, and go for a half a unit

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Speaker 2: and that's the Bucks minus six and a half for

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Speaker 2: the Bucks to win here and the Bucks to roll. Look,

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Speaker 2: these Eagles are not the Patriots, Okay, there's not this

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Speaker 2: vendetta against Brady. The Eagles don't have the same motivation.

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Speaker 2: Nick Sirianni is not Bill Belichick like. So I'm comfortable

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Speaker 2: lay in the six and a half. It's going to

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Speaker 2: be super public. Everybody's going to be on it. But

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Speaker 2: I've seen a lot of pro money come in here

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Speaker 2: and taking the seven points and say we're taking the Eagles.

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Speaker 2: But I just I can't bring myself to do it.

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Speaker 2: I just under seven points. I got six and a half.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna jump on it. Bucks minus six and a half.

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Speaker 2: All right, so the place five of them all half

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Speaker 2: unit five half unit bets. Okay, Memphis team total over thirty,

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Speaker 2: four and a half, Giants money line, Tom Brady over

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Speaker 2: two and a half touchdown passes the Bucks minus six

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Speaker 2: and a half. Team total for Tampa over thirty for

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Speaker 2: a half a unit. It does lead me with one

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Speaker 2: half a unit kind of flying around. I may have

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Speaker 2: something else. I may have a prop bet or two

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Speaker 2: prop bets that I like that will jump in on.

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Speaker 2: I may have a couple different things that we'll get

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Speaker 2: into here on a Thursday. So Discord channel, bettingpros dot Com,

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Speaker 2: slash Chat or the link underneath me here on YouTube

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Speaker 2: to get in, and you guys can be into the

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Speaker 2: Discord channel where we will talk about these games and

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Speaker 2: watch these games all night. Okay, college football, NFL football,

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Speaker 2: Major League Baseball, hell of a sports day, hell of

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Speaker 2: a sports night. Let's have some fun. Let's hang out

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Speaker 2: and watch some games tonight on a Thursday night. Mind's

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Speaker 2: Matt Parol to follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk

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Speaker 2: Matt each In the morning, it's the Daly Jus Podcast.

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Speaker 2: Away was being brought to you by BETMGM