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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Fantasy pros. This is the Fantasy

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Speaker 1: Baseball Podcast.

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Speaker 2: This is Joe Pisapia here with me as always is

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Speaker 2: the Welsh, and it's time to take.

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Speaker 1: A look at some draft day bargains.

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Speaker 2: We've got twelve names for you that we think are

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Speaker 2: just priced right for you to get the most Fantasy

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Speaker 2: baseball goodness out of.

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Speaker 1: In twenty twenty four.

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Speaker 2: Before we get to those names, Welsh, we did have

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Speaker 2: a signing finally, after what seems like the most eternally

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Speaker 2: long offseason ever for certain guys, including Blake SNeW who

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Speaker 2: now finds himself on the San Francisco Giants. He joins

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Speaker 2: Logan Webb at the top of that rotation. So before

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Speaker 2: we dive into some bargain hunting, this is I think

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Speaker 2: a must sign kind of for the Giants. They desperately

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Speaker 2: needed somebody else there with Webb, Kyle Harrison, Jordan Hicks

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Speaker 2: and Keaton Win right now, those are the back end

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Speaker 2: starters for this rotation. But let's talk about Blake snell

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Speaker 2: two year deal. There is an opt out, but certainly

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Speaker 2: a great win for the Giants, escially because didn't have

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Speaker 2: to commit a very long term contract to it.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and that's what they've been doing.

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Speaker 4: They've been not committing these big long term contracts to

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Speaker 4: be competitive in this division where the Dodgers or powerhouses.

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Speaker 3: You know, the Podgers.

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Speaker 4: Made some interesting moves, but they've been a little flatlined

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Speaker 4: until the Dylan C's trade Diamondbacks. Obviously, World Series, you

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Speaker 4: want to stay competitive. This is a great way to

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Speaker 4: do it. And they're setting themselves up where you've got

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Speaker 4: a one two punch of Web and Snell for the

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Speaker 4: foreseeable future if healthy on the back end, and they

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Speaker 4: were to make a playoff run, they got Robbie Ray.

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Speaker 4: So this is a big l for Scott Boris and

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Speaker 4: the money. At least Snell did get, you know, a

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Speaker 4: thirty million dollars deal per year, and it looks like

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Speaker 4: he's going to be able to have his opt outs.

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Speaker 4: But what is so fascinating is we were out the precipice.

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Speaker 4: We were about to explode where we were going to

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Speaker 4: say we can't draft Blake Snell. It was already getting there.

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Speaker 4: We can't do it, we can't do it. But then

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Speaker 4: we find out.

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Speaker 1: Not a current ADP. We couldn't, but well, the.

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Speaker 4: ADP was high, it was in the sixties, but then

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Speaker 4: over the last week on NFBC had been moving down

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Speaker 4: into the eighties. That's what I'm saying, three or four

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Speaker 4: days from it moving down into like post one, you know,

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Speaker 4: fifty or something like that. But we got the word

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Speaker 4: a couple days ago that he did pitch a full

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Speaker 4: four inning simulated game, which kind of shows how he's

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Speaker 4: been ramping up. I think there's a decent possibility that

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Speaker 4: the ramp up is going to be minimal and maybe

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Speaker 4: he misses just like a game or two, or they

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Speaker 4: just skip in the rotation. This is a great destination

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Speaker 4: and I think we can be a little bit optimistic,

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Speaker 4: and hopefully not sure we will, but hopefully we can

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Speaker 4: take the discount on Snell if you're in the Snell market,

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Speaker 4: because he's a little polarizing.

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Speaker 1: He is.

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Speaker 2: Boy, what a great division to Arizona go into a

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Speaker 2: World Series last year the Juggernaut Dodgers. Now the Giants

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Speaker 2: kind of Hey, I was saying, hey, we're gonna be

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Speaker 2: competitive in this thing too, and they were busy this offseason.

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Speaker 2: They went out there and they signed sol Air, Junghu Lee,

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Speaker 2: Matt Chapman. So the Giants are making moves out there,

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Speaker 2: which is good. You want teams to be spending money

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Speaker 2: on players, not just pocketing it. So that's a good thing,

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Speaker 2: good environment for Blake Snell, and still where he's got

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Speaker 2: to go out there and performance on some seven deal

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Speaker 2: where we can just kind of rest on the laurels.

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Speaker 2: So let's get into some of the draft day bargains

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Speaker 2: everybody we're talking about.

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Speaker 1: These are players.

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Speaker 2: Going from somewhere between one hundred to two hundred and

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Speaker 2: ADP overall consensus, which you can find at fantasypros dot com.

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Speaker 2: Of course on our rankings page for MLB. You can

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Speaker 2: also find the draftkit on there, which is free, so

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Speaker 2: you could check.

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Speaker 1: That out also.

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Speaker 2: So Welsh, why don't you kick things off with a guy?

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Speaker 2: And you got to the show sheet first? This was

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Speaker 2: the first guy I was gonna run to, really, and

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Speaker 2: you put him in the show sheet? So turn about

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Speaker 2: is fair play?

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Speaker 3: My friend, Ah, I did not know that this was

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Speaker 3: gonna happen.

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Speaker 4: That's a great thing to hear, by the way, you know,

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Speaker 4: differentiating a lot of the different topics we've talked about,

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Speaker 4: and this is, you know, a brand new one of

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Speaker 4: draft day bargains. It lives in the same general family

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Speaker 4: as you know, the breakouts and the sleepers and stuff

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Speaker 4: like that. But the identification here clearly is like, these

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Speaker 4: guys are really good deals at what they do. Upside

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Speaker 4: is I'm not really sure, but where they're going just

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Speaker 4: doesn't quite make sense to what they produce. And that

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Speaker 4: player that jumps out to me is katel Marte. No

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Speaker 4: homerism attached. Put it aside here. I know my a

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Speaker 4: Diamondbacks fan, but katel Marte last season two seventy six average,

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Speaker 4: twenty five homers, ninety four runs, eighty two RBI, and

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Speaker 4: eight stolen bases. Projections have him in the twenty homers again,

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Speaker 4: have him near the ten stolen bases anywhere from the

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Speaker 4: high eighties on. Really both the run and RBI numbers,

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Speaker 4: everything is still in play. After low strikeout numbers, he

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Speaker 4: had a double digit walk rate and his actual hitting profile.

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Speaker 4: He increased his hard hit percentage this past year. He

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Speaker 4: increased year over year his barrel percentage, his expected batting average.

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Speaker 4: His expected numbers were within a general space of where

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Speaker 4: it needs to be. And one thing Katel has always done,

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Speaker 4: he actually did at the highest degree. He always is

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Speaker 4: one of those guys that is one of the hardest

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Speaker 4: hit balls in baseball. Every single season, you're going to

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Speaker 4: find the leader board for the max EV top ten.

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Speaker 4: Katel's going to get in there, but his average EV

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Speaker 4: they could and sometimes kind of float around, Like here's

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Speaker 4: an example in twenty eighteen with the Diamondbacks. He had

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Speaker 4: a one fifteen point one MaxV but an eighty eight average.

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Speaker 4: So the average hits well. Last year was tied for

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Speaker 4: a career high of ninety one point one. So she's

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Speaker 4: been making better contact, finding some comfort in stealing. Maybe

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Speaker 4: the Diamonbacks are gonna want to steal a little bit more.

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Speaker 4: But the big important thing here is the low ADP.

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Speaker 4: It pushes near outside the top one hundred, and when

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Speaker 4: you look at the scope of the second basement that

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Speaker 4: are out there. I'm not saying you don't take Azzi

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Speaker 4: Albi's to take katl Marte, but the line between Ozzi

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Speaker 4: Albi's atka tell Marte, especially considering the ADP value, is.

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Speaker 3: Something to pay attention to. And not all positions have this.

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Speaker 4: I've said that, like, I don't think I personally don't

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Speaker 4: think third base has that close of a line. I

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Speaker 4: don't think first base necessarily has that line, outfield shortan.

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Speaker 4: You know they can all do that second base. There

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Speaker 4: are some good depthy options and Katel Marte I think

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Speaker 4: is one of the best draft day bargains.

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Speaker 1: I could not agree more.

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Speaker 2: This was again the first guy that came into my

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Speaker 2: mind when we were talking about this topic. And so

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Speaker 2: you could take Welsh's homerism even if he had it

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Speaker 2: for Marte off the table because I'm co sunning this

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Speaker 2: as well.

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Speaker 1: You mentioned that pivot. If you don't get Simmy, you

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Speaker 1: don't get Albi's. This is the pivot.

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Speaker 2: I mean, what a fantastic guy right around one hundred.

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Speaker 2: Speaking of guys going around one hundred, at one oh three,

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Speaker 2: says Azuki, who I actually just drafted in our last

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Speaker 2: mock draft, and after I took him, I was like,

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Speaker 2: you know, why don't I have more shares of this guy?

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Speaker 2: And last year, going into the season, I was a

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Speaker 2: little bit skeptical even as rookie year, I was somebody saying, look,

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Speaker 2: let's pump the brakes, let's see what this guy is.

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Speaker 2: He was pretty good in twenty twenty two. I wouldn't

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Speaker 2: say he was great. Two sixty batting average, fourteen homers

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Speaker 2: and only played one hundred and eleven games. He missed

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Speaker 2: some time with injury. Last year, he missed some time

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Speaker 2: with injury two but one hundred and thirty eight games.

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Speaker 2: He saw the power develop a little bit more twenty

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Speaker 2: homers for him, the batting average jump twenty points over

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Speaker 2: a longer period of time. You'll love to see the

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Speaker 2: growth there. You see the walk rate is around ten percent.

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Speaker 2: That's really solid. And would you consider Welsh That outfield

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Speaker 2: is so problematic and you're looking for a guy with

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Speaker 2: decent value. I'm looking at the project right now. He's

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Speaker 2: gonna hit in the two hole in this order, in

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Speaker 2: front of Cody Bellinger, behind me and half. That's a

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Speaker 2: really good spot to be a good favorable home ball park.

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Speaker 2: Seventy seven runs, twenty two homers, seventy five ribies, nine steals.

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Speaker 1: That feels pretty good.

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Speaker 2: Now, have him been a two seventy batting average, even

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Speaker 2: if he just kind of matches this at adp of

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Speaker 2: one oho three, I think that's a really good value.

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Speaker 2: But if you add in the possibility that that run

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Speaker 2: total if the Cubs do what I think the Cubs

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Speaker 2: are capable of doing, which is not only competing but

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Speaker 2: maybe winning this division. You're only gonna run total over

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Speaker 2: the ninety mark if he hits that, If he gets

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Speaker 2: from twenty two and runs to maybe squeaks out twenty five,

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Speaker 2: if he can get that stolen base total into double

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Speaker 2: digits and maybe maintain that two to eighty batting average,

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Speaker 2: it's gonna be a really special player at this return.

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Speaker 2: And I think as an outfielder three slash four, you

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Speaker 2: could do a lot worse than say a Suzuki. And

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Speaker 2: I again, I think he just gets passed over. You know,

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Speaker 2: he's a guy we kind of take for grinting a

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Speaker 2: little bit, and I don't think we should. Well, she's

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Speaker 2: the next guy on your list in terms of draft

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Speaker 2: day bargains.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I just want to throw out, like I try

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Speaker 4: to get my shares of Suzuki, I just cannot forget them.

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Speaker 3: I want them.

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Speaker 4: He's like a chasing amey, Like I'm always chasing Suzuki

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Speaker 4: and I can't quite get to him.

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Speaker 1: That's one of the lesser Kevin Smith movies, Chasing It's

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Speaker 1: coming out. Let's see that one. It used to be

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Speaker 1: on IFC a lot and then they pulled it.

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Speaker 3: Sequel coming out in Fall. You're gonna love it. But

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Speaker 3: I agree because it.

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Speaker 1: Hit with a fourth Clerks movie. How many Clerks movies

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Speaker 1: do we have?

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Speaker 3: Now we have two? We have two too many. We

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Speaker 3: were good with just one.

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Speaker 4: So all right, but number two I'm actually gonna stick

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Speaker 4: in the outfield and I'm gonna go with Taoscar Hernandez.

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Speaker 4: Taoscar Hernandez with an ADP average of one oh eight.

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Speaker 4: Not one site has him inside the top one hundred.

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Speaker 4: As a matter of fact, even ESPN has got him

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Speaker 4: around one forty nine, so almost one fifty. Now why

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Speaker 4: ta Oscar Hernandez. Well, you're getting him out of the

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Speaker 4: bad ballpark in Seattle where he still hit twenty six

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Speaker 4: ommers last year ninety three RBIs with a two to

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Speaker 4: fifty eight batting average. His batting average is sunk the

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Speaker 4: last three years, but we haven't dipped under two fifty

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Speaker 4: and we had bad ballpark factors. Really, frankly, if you're

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Speaker 4: looking at like even like Toronto to Seattle and now

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Speaker 4: you're going to the Dodgers where it's better. But also

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Speaker 4: the offense, that's the big major focus is what this

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Speaker 4: offense is going to be. You've got a guy forty

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Speaker 4: nine point four percent hard hit rate, this past season,

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Speaker 4: he sits between forty eight and fifty two, so big

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Speaker 4: hard hit numbers. He gets the ball in the air,

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Speaker 4: he hits the ball hard thirteen point eight percent barrel percentage.

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Speaker 4: Those are hitting metrics that we love. Those go along

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Speaker 4: with sustainable expected stats. His expected batting average was actually

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Speaker 4: the exact same number as his batting average. And at

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Speaker 4: the end of the day, you give me a power

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Speaker 4: bat like that in a better ballpark, on a better team,

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Speaker 4: that's going to turn the lineup over more. He's going

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Speaker 4: to have more opportunity that could move him up the lineup. Now,

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Speaker 4: sure this lineup is so good, he could be hitting

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Speaker 4: six or seven, but the RBI opportunities are going to

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Speaker 4: be there. If you want to look at some of

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Speaker 4: the projection systems, ATC has twenty six homers two sixty

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Speaker 4: one with seven stolen bases. The bat X twenty nine homers,

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Speaker 4: ten stolen bases, eighty plus on the run RBIs with

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Speaker 4: a two to sixty eight batting average. I think he

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Speaker 4: is crossing thirty good shot at thirty five homers this year,

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Speaker 4: and he's going outside the top one hundred. Outfield can

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Speaker 4: get kind of pretty quick. It can get away from you.

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Speaker 4: But Taoscar Hernandez, even in a three outfielder league, I

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Speaker 4: think is a prime target. In a three outfielder league,

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Speaker 4: if you can already have two guys, he's your third.

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Speaker 4: In a five outfielder league, even more priority because that

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Speaker 4: power back. The value of the really the four categories

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Speaker 4: with a little sprinkle of stolen bases is immense. In

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Speaker 4: one of the best lineups in baseball, Taskar Hernandez a

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Speaker 4: definite draft day bargain.

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Speaker 2: His career high one hundred and sixteen RBI back in

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Speaker 2: twenty twenty one, Welsh, I think he could match that.

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Speaker 2: I think he can go over one hundred this year

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Speaker 2: in this Dodger lineup if everyone stays healthy and this Dodger.

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Speaker 1: Lineup does what it's supposed to do.

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Speaker 2: And you mentioned about like that outfield cliff that we

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Speaker 2: always talk about.

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Speaker 1: If you're in a five active outfielder.

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Speaker 2: League, you have to be looking around this range here

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Speaker 2: we mentioned Suzuki mentioned Hernandez. I've got another one on

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Speaker 2: my list here, Lane Thomas, who you know, everyone's just

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Speaker 2: yelling about regression, yelling about regression, even if he regresses.

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Speaker 2: I keep coming back to the same thing and I

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Speaker 2: know I've mentioned him on other shows before, but I

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Speaker 2: want to drive this home.

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Speaker 1: At eightp of one oh nine.

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Speaker 2: The projections right now, twenty two homers, eighty one run scored,

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Speaker 2: seventy three rbi, fifteen steels, two fifty batting average. So

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Speaker 2: you're giving me twenty fifteen. Okay, last year it was

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Speaker 2: twenty eight twenty. That was absurdly good. I keep saying.

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Speaker 2: If we just looked at the numbers and took away

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Speaker 2: Lane Thomas, took away the fact he plays for the Nationals,

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Speaker 2: we'd be talking about this guy as a third round pick.

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Speaker 2: But instead we're talking about him at eightp of one

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Speaker 2: oh nine. Why because he plays for the Nationals. Because

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Speaker 2: people don't believe him. In twenty twenty two, again he

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Speaker 2: only hit two forty, but he still had the seventeen

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Speaker 2: homers and eight stone bases. You saw the jump forward

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Speaker 2: this past season, and I am buying in to Lane

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Speaker 2: Thomas again. It doesn't cost you a lot here for

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Speaker 2: that baseline, and the projections of that baseline I think

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Speaker 2: are very fair, and you already know that he's good

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Speaker 2: enough to go above them because he just did it

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Speaker 2: last year. So is he a perfect guy?

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Speaker 4: Know?

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Speaker 2: Still heading towards the top of that order. I know,

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Speaker 2: the three twenty five babbit, you know, inflated the average

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Speaker 2: of two sixty eight a little bit.

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Speaker 1: I get that, but.

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Speaker 2: At the same time, I still think this is a

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Speaker 2: player with power and speed that can really help you

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Speaker 2: in those rotal formats and again a value in the outfield.

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Speaker 2: Before we get to the next guys on our list too,

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Speaker 2: I just want to remind everybody this is that time

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Speaker 2: where most of you've done your drafts already. So if

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Speaker 2: you haven't already sink your leagues, if you missed out

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Speaker 2: on the draft season opportunity, there's still plenty of time

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Speaker 2: sink your leagues for free over our Fantasy Pros and

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Speaker 2: use the tools and use my playbook, because my playbook

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Speaker 2: is going to give you that personalized league dashboard for

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Speaker 2: all your leagues I mentioned.

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Speaker 1: I could set all your lineups there. For premium members too.

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Speaker 2: You can do all kinds of amazing things with like analysis,

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Speaker 2: projected stats, waiver wire, ad drops, all these incredible things.

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Speaker 2: But basically, what the MLB my playbook gives you is

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Speaker 2: custom news, custom brankings, custom analysis, and it gives you

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Speaker 2: all that ability to control all your teams in one spot,

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Speaker 2: which I gotta say, like that is the biggest time

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Speaker 2: suck ever when you're in multiple leagues. I've on this platform.

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Speaker 2: I got two leagues on that platform, three leagues on

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Speaker 2: that platform.

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Speaker 1: It's crazy.

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Speaker 4: You know what, Bob, his oldest top bagman, has told

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Speaker 4: me to our dear friend Bagman that he is now

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Speaker 4: in a space where he will only play if it's

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Speaker 4: on one league. He's like, I only want to play

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Speaker 4: on this platform because he doesn't want to move. Well,

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Speaker 4: my playbook fixes that because now you can go and

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Speaker 4: play on all the platforms and change it in one spot,

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Speaker 4: which that's all that anybody really wants.

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Speaker 1: Go check it out yourself.

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Speaker 2: Fantasybros dot com, slash MLB My Playbook or just download

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Speaker 2: the MLB My Playbook app and sink your leagues for

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Speaker 2: free and see what we're talking about.

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Speaker 1: Because this is going to save you time.

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Speaker 2: It's going to give you the right answers to setting

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Speaker 2: your lineup, to analyzing trades, to making waiverire pickups. You

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Speaker 2: could see all the free agents in every single league

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Speaker 2: that you're in and then just go and add them.

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Speaker 2: It's crazy.

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Speaker 1: Good check it out today.

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Speaker 2: Welsh let's check out the next guy on your list

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Speaker 2: for bargains in twenty twenty four.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, it's funny.

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Speaker 4: Bargains definitely can have a feel kind of boring, and

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Speaker 4: I think this guy might have a boring feel. But

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Speaker 4: the whole the reason behind that again is like they're

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Speaker 4: just such good value at where they're going. One of

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Speaker 4: these guys we've talked about, they haven't moved a whole

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Speaker 4: bunch of value. And this is another one of those

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Speaker 4: that has shown up in different episodes. The guy I'm

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Speaker 4: going to give you uh has an ADP right around

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Speaker 4: one thirty, and it's Josh Naylor. Josh Naylor with the Guardians,

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Speaker 4: who last year put up some absurd RBI numbers in

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Speaker 4: one hundred and twenty one games, ninety seven RBI, he

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Speaker 4: had double digit stolen bases, seventeen homers again one hundred

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Speaker 4: and twenty one games. He also hit over three hundred.

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Speaker 4: This spring, he's over three hundred again. He's not striking out.

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Speaker 4: He's even stolen a couple more bases. The hitting profile

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Speaker 4: of Nayler is solid. Expected batting average supports his really

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Speaker 4: good batting average. It was a two to ninety three

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Speaker 4: last year, which was in the upper echelon of the league.

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Speaker 3: Again, the barrel percentage of solid.

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Speaker 4: He gets the ball in the air, he hits the

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Speaker 4: ball hard, he hits in the middle of the order.

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Speaker 4: Projections love him because of the high batting average, and

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Speaker 4: that is something that gets away from us. So I

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Speaker 4: mean two things we could pretty easily identify what gets

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Speaker 4: away from us in drafts from a hitting perspective, the

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Speaker 4: outfield position and batting average. And Josh Naylor he devoids that.

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Speaker 4: The power potential might not be like what we've talked

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Speaker 4: about with ti Oscar Hernandez, but I think the floors

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Speaker 4: in the twenties, the ceiling is around thirty. He's gonna

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Speaker 4: have a prime RBI spot because there's a lot of

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Speaker 4: guys that run in front of him. That team does

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Speaker 4: score a lot of runs, and he even sneakily steals

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Speaker 4: some bases. So here's what I love about Josh Naylor.

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Speaker 4: You screw up on first base. He's great. He's not

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Speaker 4: a big power bat, but he's great. What he also

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Speaker 4: does is he allows you to go a little bit

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Speaker 4: more power later. Maybe you want to snag a Jorges

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Speaker 4: Silaire and then in corner infield. You want to get

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Speaker 4: a Reese Hoskins boom.

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Speaker 3: But guess what.

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Speaker 4: Also, let's say you go early first base, go to

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Speaker 4: Pete Alonzo, who I think you should take with elite power.

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Speaker 4: Little question on batting average. Guess what you can swoop

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Speaker 4: in post one hundred. Get a corner infielder in Josh

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Speaker 4: Naylor who supports really high batting average, good RBI numbers,

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Speaker 4: sneaky stolen bases. There's at least three categories in there.

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Speaker 4: Josh Naylor is a draft day bargain for show.

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Speaker 2: Sick of me be talking about Josh Nayler, So I'm

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Speaker 2: only going to say this. You mentioned maybe the powers

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Speaker 2: behind a little bit. He slugged four eighty nine last

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Speaker 2: year in one hundred and twenty one games. I know

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Speaker 2: it only equivalated to seventeen homers, but I know extrapolations

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Speaker 2: a little dangerous. But if you just pushed that number

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Speaker 2: just a little bit, twenty two to twenty five is

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Speaker 2: not out of the question here. He's didn't clean up

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Speaker 2: in this lineup. As you mentioned, Jimenez, Kwan and Ramirez

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Speaker 2: all ahead of him. There's gonna be plenty of RBI opportunities.

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Speaker 2: There were plenty. Last year he drove in ninety plus runs. Already,

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Speaker 2: I'm telling.

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Speaker 1: You I am in. I'm all in, especially if you

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Speaker 1: get him as your corner guy.

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Speaker 2: Man, I love Naylor. He gives you a batting average

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Speaker 2: more pop than you might realize.

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Speaker 4: Also, I want to give you credit. You created a

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Speaker 4: Welsh's in there. You said equivalated. Yeah, I think you

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Speaker 4: created a new word.

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Speaker 2: You quick related the equivalations my friends, my friends come here,

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Speaker 2: you comfort the baseball, you stay for the equivalations.

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Speaker 4: We equivolated Josh Naylor to be he meant to say equivalent.

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Speaker 4: I know, No, it was a great word. It was

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Speaker 4: a great word that I just wanted to be highlights.

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Speaker 4: That's something I would do and it would go in

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Speaker 4: the Welsh book.

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Speaker 1: That is a d This is what happens when you

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Speaker 1: spend too much time with the Welsh.

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Speaker 2: Eventually you start to sound like him, and before I

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Speaker 2: know I'll be wearing baseball caps on every show.

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Speaker 1: All right.

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Speaker 2: Number three on my list here going through the next

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Speaker 2: one is Andre's Munos, the closer for the Seattle Mariners.

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Speaker 2: We talked recently Welsh about having your plan and how

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Speaker 2: you want to approach relief pitcher. If you have mandatory

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Speaker 2: RP slots, it changes the dynamic a little bit. If

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Speaker 2: you don't, I still like playing the waiver wire. I

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Speaker 2: like to wait and let the market come to me

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Speaker 2: a little bit. This is exactly where I like the

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Speaker 2: market to come because I feel like Munios has that

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Speaker 2: chance to jump a tier.

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Speaker 1: He's going at one eleven overall.

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Speaker 2: Last year ninety six strike excuse me, two years ago,

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Speaker 2: ninety six strikeouts and sixty five innings. Last year sixty

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Speaker 2: seven strikeouts and fort nine innings. Right, So this is

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Speaker 2: a player that you know the strikeout's going to be

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Speaker 2: there so far the last two years, both the eras

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Speaker 2: under three. So he has dominant type stuff.

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Speaker 1: He has the job.

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Speaker 2: It's a terrific team that's going to give him a

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Speaker 2: ton of save opportunities because this is a tremendous pitching staff.

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Speaker 2: This is not like some half assed taf we we're

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Speaker 2: talking about like some premium guys. George Kirby could win

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Speaker 2: a saw young according to Welsh, and he might not

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Speaker 2: be wrong here. I actually put some money on it

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Speaker 2: a little bit just in case he is right that way.

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Speaker 2: I'm making some money on what Welsh says. But you've

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Speaker 2: got Gilbert, You've got Kirby, You've got Luis Castillo at

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Speaker 2: the top of this rotation. You got Bryce Miller and

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Speaker 2: Brian wu at the backhand. It feels like every day

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00:18:22,840 --> 00:18:25,040
Speaker 2: there's a chance for a quality start and a chance

437
00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:27,359
Speaker 2: to get the ball into Munoz's hand to get a safe.

438
00:18:27,400 --> 00:18:28,840
Speaker 1: He could save forty games this year.

439
00:18:28,880 --> 00:18:31,080
Speaker 2: And I know, like saves can be tricky in terms of,

440
00:18:31,440 --> 00:18:33,600
Speaker 2: you know, it's hard to gauge exactly whether it's gonna be.

441
00:18:33,600 --> 00:18:37,359
Speaker 1: But usually the perfect storm for saves.

442
00:18:37,280 --> 00:18:40,359
Speaker 2: Is a good offense, not a great offense, and a

443
00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:43,240
Speaker 2: really good pitching staff. And I feel like Seattle kind

444
00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:45,400
Speaker 2: of encapsulates that. Right they got the one big star

445
00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:47,919
Speaker 2: guy in Julio. The rest of the offense is good.

446
00:18:48,280 --> 00:18:50,280
Speaker 2: There's still a big bad away from being with the

447
00:18:50,280 --> 00:18:52,800
Speaker 2: big boys, but that pitching staff is very good. They're

448
00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:54,119
Speaker 2: gonna be in a lot of games where I think

449
00:18:54,119 --> 00:18:56,119
Speaker 2: they're gonna have leads because of the pitching staff, but

450
00:18:56,280 --> 00:18:58,760
Speaker 2: not blowing teams out on a daily basis because they

451
00:18:58,760 --> 00:19:01,879
Speaker 2: don't have a juggernaut line up has Otani and Betts

452
00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:04,399
Speaker 2: and Freeman in it. So I'm looking at Munos and

453
00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:06,480
Speaker 2: I'm saying, yeah, this is exactly where I want to

454
00:19:06,520 --> 00:19:09,160
Speaker 2: be taking this guy. To me, this is the sweet

455
00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:11,639
Speaker 2: spot of closers. Evan Phillips is in there, Munjos is

456
00:19:11,640 --> 00:19:13,760
Speaker 2: in there right. It's that group of guys that I

457
00:19:13,880 --> 00:19:16,600
Speaker 2: like to target. So Munyos to me, he gives you

458
00:19:16,760 --> 00:19:19,360
Speaker 2: everything you're looking for in terms of the strikeout upside.

459
00:19:19,760 --> 00:19:21,119
Speaker 2: You know it's going to be there. You know the

460
00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:23,240
Speaker 2: safe opportunities are going to be there too. He saved

461
00:19:23,359 --> 00:19:25,360
Speaker 2: just thirteen games last year and forty one in things,

462
00:19:25,359 --> 00:19:26,440
Speaker 2: but again, he'd have the job.

463
00:19:26,280 --> 00:19:27,640
Speaker 1: The whole time this year.

464
00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:31,600
Speaker 2: It could be a big difference in terms of what

465
00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:34,240
Speaker 2: that safe total might be. But also, I was so

466
00:19:34,320 --> 00:19:36,560
Speaker 2: hyped about this guy last year. I'm just doubling down

467
00:19:36,600 --> 00:19:37,879
Speaker 2: because I know how good he can be.

468
00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:38,680
Speaker 1: So Welsh.

469
00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:40,760
Speaker 2: I don't know about you, but this is to me

470
00:19:40,840 --> 00:19:43,680
Speaker 2: the sweet spot where Phillips Munos. I like those two guys,

471
00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:46,360
Speaker 2: but Munhos especially too, because I think he still will

472
00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:48,040
Speaker 2: go cheaper than Phillips every single time.

473
00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:50,600
Speaker 3: Phillips is my guy, but I like Munos more.

474
00:19:51,119 --> 00:19:53,720
Speaker 4: With the Matt Brash injury, because Matt Brash one of

475
00:19:53,720 --> 00:19:56,919
Speaker 4: the best pitches in baseball, and that's sweeper slider. But

476
00:19:57,160 --> 00:19:58,960
Speaker 4: that injury set him back a little bit, and I

477
00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:01,680
Speaker 4: think that's just more of a reason to not take

478
00:20:01,760 --> 00:20:04,240
Speaker 4: Munios out of it, especially if it's something nursing all year.

479
00:20:04,280 --> 00:20:06,239
Speaker 3: So I like it. But I'm a Phillips guy, but

480
00:20:06,520 --> 00:20:07,360
Speaker 3: I don't hate your mind.

481
00:20:07,400 --> 00:20:10,240
Speaker 2: I like Phillips too, but I still say, in most drafts,

482
00:20:10,280 --> 00:20:12,159
Speaker 2: you're gonna Phillips because he's a Dodger. He's gonna go

483
00:20:12,160 --> 00:20:14,760
Speaker 2: ahead and maybe Munios you get ten picks later. But

484
00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:16,800
Speaker 2: that's almost like the warning signal that goes up or

485
00:20:16,840 --> 00:20:18,640
Speaker 2: you go, oh boom, there's Phillips.

486
00:20:18,640 --> 00:20:20,080
Speaker 1: Okay, I like your logic.

487
00:20:20,320 --> 00:20:22,359
Speaker 4: I want to point out I liked your logic of like,

488
00:20:22,600 --> 00:20:25,000
Speaker 4: these are great pictures that can go six or seven.

489
00:20:25,119 --> 00:20:27,320
Speaker 4: This is an offense that might not blow any teams out.

490
00:20:27,400 --> 00:20:29,240
Speaker 4: They could be playing a ton of close games because

491
00:20:29,240 --> 00:20:31,080
Speaker 4: the pitching staff is going to keep them in. The

492
00:20:31,119 --> 00:20:33,520
Speaker 4: offense is fine, and there might be a lot of

493
00:20:33,560 --> 00:20:35,359
Speaker 4: save opportunities. So I like that logic.

494
00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:37,320
Speaker 2: All right, let's get back to you here because you've

495
00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:39,679
Speaker 2: got a picture as well. Actually two more pictures to

496
00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:41,440
Speaker 2: talk about, so let's get to this first one here,

497
00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:42,959
Speaker 2: who's on your draft, Dave Bargain.

498
00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:44,639
Speaker 1: Listen the on the mound.

499
00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:48,000
Speaker 4: Well, we're gonna stay with the Guardians. And again the

500
00:20:48,080 --> 00:20:51,000
Speaker 4: boring is gonna kind of show itself here, but that's

501
00:20:51,040 --> 00:20:53,119
Speaker 4: okay because we're gonna just take bargains.

502
00:20:53,760 --> 00:20:55,080
Speaker 3: This guy have been very critical of.

503
00:20:55,680 --> 00:20:59,159
Speaker 4: But we've seen a huge positive sign in spring and

504
00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:02,439
Speaker 4: that is VLO increase. And we're talking about Shane Bieber, who,

505
00:21:02,480 --> 00:21:05,040
Speaker 4: by the way, has an ADP right next to Naylor.

506
00:21:05,080 --> 00:21:08,600
Speaker 4: It's one twenty six on average, but again it floats around.

507
00:21:09,160 --> 00:21:11,879
Speaker 4: He goes as low as like one sixty in NFBC,

508
00:21:11,920 --> 00:21:15,120
Speaker 4: in the early one CBS around one thirty three. And

509
00:21:15,520 --> 00:21:18,000
Speaker 4: the thing about Bieber's he's gonna eat innings. We know

510
00:21:18,080 --> 00:21:20,239
Speaker 4: that last year he started walking a little bit more.

511
00:21:20,320 --> 00:21:26,000
Speaker 4: The strikeout numbers they took this really really increased a

512
00:21:26,040 --> 00:21:30,320
Speaker 4: heavy decrease overall in velocity over the last two seasons,

513
00:21:30,520 --> 00:21:34,000
Speaker 4: averaging ninety one point three both seasons. But he's up

514
00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:37,360
Speaker 4: to ninety four on average in spring. Again, that's the

515
00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:40,240
Speaker 4: sweet sauce. That's the thing that we needed. Even in

516
00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:43,840
Speaker 4: twenty twenty two, when the VELO decrease started, you still

517
00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:46,760
Speaker 4: have the slider and the knuckle curve with a forty

518
00:21:46,760 --> 00:21:50,160
Speaker 4: percent whiff rate. All of those everything dramatically dropped last year,

519
00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:54,120
Speaker 4: but we're back with increased ve low and I think

520
00:21:54,160 --> 00:21:56,719
Speaker 4: that is a great sign for Shane Bieber because Bieber

521
00:21:56,960 --> 00:22:00,240
Speaker 4: is going to eat innings. He is the guy they're

522
00:22:00,280 --> 00:22:03,320
Speaker 4: going to put out there as much. Twenty two he

523
00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:06,240
Speaker 4: had one hundred and I had two hundred innings last

524
00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:07,840
Speaker 4: year due to injuries set him back.

525
00:22:08,040 --> 00:22:09,320
Speaker 3: He's still twenty eight years old.

526
00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:11,520
Speaker 4: Also think if the Guardians get out of it, Bieber

527
00:22:11,560 --> 00:22:13,719
Speaker 4: is a prime trade candidate and he's a guy that

528
00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:15,160
Speaker 4: is going to frontline a rotation.

529
00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:19,840
Speaker 3: I think the fall of Biaber in his.

530
00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:22,919
Speaker 4: Value is why we've got to target him now because

531
00:22:23,160 --> 00:22:26,479
Speaker 4: we're taking risks earlier in our drafts. We're taking the

532
00:22:26,560 --> 00:22:29,240
Speaker 4: trek Scoobles, we're taking the Tyler Glass now, so those

533
00:22:29,240 --> 00:22:32,200
Speaker 4: guys could lose innings. We love Dodger pitchers, Bobby Miller.

534
00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:35,439
Speaker 4: How many innings can he get? We're dealing with the

535
00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:39,920
Speaker 4: world where pitching innings don't really exist at the same

536
00:22:39,920 --> 00:22:41,240
Speaker 4: clip that they did.

537
00:22:41,040 --> 00:22:41,600
Speaker 3: In the past.

538
00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:44,760
Speaker 4: So if you can find this is something I've been preaching,

539
00:22:44,760 --> 00:22:47,560
Speaker 4: If you can find some boring pitchers that can get

540
00:22:47,560 --> 00:22:49,840
Speaker 4: you two hundred innings, they're going to walk themselves into

541
00:22:49,920 --> 00:22:52,800
Speaker 4: some good stats. Bieber might be boring, but he's on

542
00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:55,520
Speaker 4: the uptick back with that fastball. He can get two

543
00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:59,080
Speaker 4: hundred innings easy, and I think he is a main target.

544
00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:01,480
Speaker 4: He's a main target pretty much. Anytime I can SP

545
00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:05,360
Speaker 4: four every time four SP five, doesn't really matter. If

546
00:23:05,400 --> 00:23:07,280
Speaker 4: I have a boring rotation, I have one where I

547
00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:09,399
Speaker 4: had like Yamamoto and Caribe. I know that there's some

548
00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:11,560
Speaker 4: sexiness in that, but like you know, it's kind of

549
00:23:11,600 --> 00:23:15,639
Speaker 4: got a floor. I'll play floor rotations or scary rotations.

550
00:23:15,680 --> 00:23:16,840
Speaker 4: Bieber belongs in both.

551
00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:20,240
Speaker 2: Only five guys through two hundred innings last year. Just

552
00:23:20,280 --> 00:23:22,879
Speaker 2: to put that kind of in perspective, if you go

553
00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:26,200
Speaker 2: back to let's say twenty thirteen, that's just ten years ago.

554
00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:28,480
Speaker 2: We else you want to guess what that number was.

555
00:23:28,960 --> 00:23:32,320
Speaker 3: Oh gosh, yeah, it was probably how many years ago? Thirteen?

556
00:23:32,600 --> 00:23:33,200
Speaker 1: Ten years ago?

557
00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:37,520
Speaker 4: Oh, I'm going to say it's like thirteen guys thirty

558
00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:39,200
Speaker 4: four okay.

559
00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:44,240
Speaker 2: Whoops, and another let's see, looks like another fifteen through

560
00:23:44,240 --> 00:23:48,080
Speaker 2: one hundred and ninety or more so, saying baseball.

561
00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:49,000
Speaker 1: Very different years.

562
00:23:49,119 --> 00:23:51,560
Speaker 4: It's a very different game from pitching, and that's why

563
00:23:51,640 --> 00:23:53,440
Speaker 4: he's kind of a throwback player, and I love the

564
00:23:53,480 --> 00:23:58,080
Speaker 4: idea of a throwback player reincreasing some of their offerings.

565
00:23:58,119 --> 00:24:00,560
Speaker 4: And that's why you know, Bieber in outside the top

566
00:24:00,600 --> 00:24:01,800
Speaker 4: one hundred, it's a great value.

567
00:24:02,359 --> 00:24:06,080
Speaker 2: Even five years ago twenty eighteen, you still had twelve

568
00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:08,800
Speaker 2: guys go over two hundred innings, and looking around this

569
00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:10,800
Speaker 2: over one ninety twenty four.

570
00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:13,679
Speaker 1: Guys, so not bad, I go, that's still kind of decent.

571
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:16,560
Speaker 2: So the change from ten years ago to five years

572
00:24:16,560 --> 00:24:20,760
Speaker 2: ago to last year, the specialization is tough, and finding

573
00:24:20,800 --> 00:24:23,679
Speaker 2: guys who can go all the way into that one

574
00:24:23,800 --> 00:24:27,240
Speaker 2: eighty range even is getting harder and harder to find.

575
00:24:27,280 --> 00:24:27,560
Speaker 1: All Right.

576
00:24:27,600 --> 00:24:29,040
Speaker 2: The next gut on this list is another one that

577
00:24:30,040 --> 00:24:32,040
Speaker 2: I just continue to see as a huge value. I'm

578
00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:33,800
Speaker 2: gonna try to guess many shares as I possibly can

579
00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:36,520
Speaker 2: with my remaining drafts, but I don't have any yet.

580
00:24:37,320 --> 00:24:39,159
Speaker 2: There's a keeper home league that I'm in that he's

581
00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:42,400
Speaker 2: already being kept, so I'm already out of that business there.

582
00:24:42,400 --> 00:24:44,560
Speaker 2: But Zach Geloff to me, I can keep looking at

583
00:24:44,600 --> 00:24:47,359
Speaker 2: what this kid accomplished last year, and what's so stunning

584
00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:48,800
Speaker 2: to me was what he did in the minor league

585
00:24:48,840 --> 00:24:50,639
Speaker 2: is exactly what did the major leagues. He hit for

586
00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:53,359
Speaker 2: a decent average. He gave you power, he gave you speed.

587
00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:56,960
Speaker 2: Last year sixty nine games for him, fourteen homers, fourteen steals.

588
00:24:57,240 --> 00:24:59,080
Speaker 2: I don't know what more you need him to prove.

589
00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:01,199
Speaker 2: He is basically a twenty twenty guys sitting out there

590
00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:03,359
Speaker 2: at adp of one thirty nine at second base. We

591
00:25:03,440 --> 00:25:05,560
Speaker 2: talked about second base being difficult. We talked about the

592
00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:07,600
Speaker 2: pivot points of Marte. Right, Well, if you miss out

593
00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:08,639
Speaker 2: on Marte, then what do you do?

594
00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:10,160
Speaker 1: Right? That was my backup plan.

595
00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:12,680
Speaker 2: Well, I can't get Albe's, I can't get Simeon all right,

596
00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:13,600
Speaker 2: Well Marte's there?

597
00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:14,640
Speaker 1: Ooh no, that hurt.

598
00:25:14,680 --> 00:25:15,959
Speaker 2: He went off the board. So what do you do?

599
00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:18,359
Speaker 2: Giloff's right there. And the reason why he's floating at

600
00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:21,320
Speaker 2: one thirty nine, folks, is very simple. He plays in Oakland.

601
00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:23,080
Speaker 1: That's it. It's the only thing.

602
00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:24,760
Speaker 2: At this point that I can understand of why he's

603
00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:26,879
Speaker 2: still floating around here. We hype out so many of

604
00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:30,280
Speaker 2: these other prospects all the time of what they can do,

605
00:25:30,600 --> 00:25:34,400
Speaker 2: and yet they haven't had nearly the amount of exposure

606
00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:36,360
Speaker 2: at the major league level that Geiloff had last year,

607
00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:40,160
Speaker 2: So just under seventy games again fourteen, fourteen, two sixty seven.

608
00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:42,439
Speaker 2: He's still gonna hit the top of this order. He

609
00:25:42,520 --> 00:25:44,280
Speaker 2: is still gonna give you power, he's gonna give you speed.

610
00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:48,800
Speaker 2: In salary cap drafts, he is a tremendous value, especially

611
00:25:48,800 --> 00:25:51,600
Speaker 2: in rudeo format. So I'm just saying like, this is

612
00:25:51,600 --> 00:25:53,919
Speaker 2: one of these players that's really floating under the radar.

613
00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:56,880
Speaker 2: Look for some players on bad teams, even though they're

614
00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:59,720
Speaker 2: bad teams, they're still gonna score some runs. And I

615
00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:01,480
Speaker 2: think Oakland is going to be a little bit better

616
00:26:01,560 --> 00:26:02,320
Speaker 2: than it was last year.

617
00:26:02,400 --> 00:26:03,640
Speaker 1: Is really nowhere to go but up.

618
00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:06,080
Speaker 2: But I gotta tell you, this is the one player

619
00:26:06,119 --> 00:26:08,439
Speaker 2: too that I keep circling that if he was playing

620
00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:10,399
Speaker 2: for the Boston Red Sox, if he was playing for

621
00:26:10,440 --> 00:26:12,440
Speaker 2: the Chicago Cubs, if he was playing for any New

622
00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:15,520
Speaker 2: York team or Los Angeles team, we'd be talking a

623
00:26:15,560 --> 00:26:17,840
Speaker 2: lot more about Zach Gaeloff. But instead he plays for

624
00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:20,119
Speaker 2: the A's, so nobody's talking about him, and to me,

625
00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:23,600
Speaker 2: it makes him an enormous bargain because I don't think

626
00:26:23,600 --> 00:26:25,000
Speaker 2: twenty twenty is off the table.

627
00:26:24,800 --> 00:26:25,880
Speaker 1: For him at all.

628
00:26:26,240 --> 00:26:28,320
Speaker 2: And you can also argue in a middle infield spot,

629
00:26:28,640 --> 00:26:30,480
Speaker 2: he's probably gonna hit for a better average and give

630
00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:32,800
Speaker 2: you twenty twenty, just like Volpi will, but the better

631
00:26:32,840 --> 00:26:35,600
Speaker 2: batting average will be a Gelloff most likely. So Wels,

632
00:26:35,680 --> 00:26:37,200
Speaker 2: I don't know how you feel about Kailoff, and you

633
00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:38,560
Speaker 2: get to see a lot of these guys out there

634
00:26:38,600 --> 00:26:40,560
Speaker 2: on the West Coast too. Is Gealoff somebody that you've

635
00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:41,359
Speaker 2: been targeting in drafts?

636
00:26:41,440 --> 00:26:44,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, actually just got him in a keeper league, as

637
00:26:44,440 --> 00:26:46,159
Speaker 4: is this dispersal ly draft.

638
00:26:45,920 --> 00:26:46,440
Speaker 3: Type of thing.

639
00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:49,640
Speaker 4: What I like about him is a twenty twenty potential.

640
00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:52,440
Speaker 4: What I don't like about him is he's in Oakland,

641
00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:55,560
Speaker 4: Vegas soon and you know, some of the bad ball

642
00:26:55,600 --> 00:26:57,359
Speaker 4: skills stuff. It's a little bit of concern. There are

643
00:26:57,440 --> 00:26:58,480
Speaker 4: big strikeout warries.

644
00:26:58,560 --> 00:27:01,440
Speaker 3: But what I will tell you said something in interesting like.

645
00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:03,320
Speaker 4: If he was in a big market team, we'd be

646
00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:06,159
Speaker 4: talking about him. It's kind of similar to Anthony Volpi.

647
00:27:06,320 --> 00:27:09,200
Speaker 4: There's a vulpiness to him. Volpi has got some swing

648
00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:12,800
Speaker 4: and mission issues. I think Galoff has bigger strikeout worries

649
00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:16,159
Speaker 4: than Volpi does, but they both got some of those concerns.

650
00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:18,480
Speaker 4: Vulpi is moving up in a lot of ways. We're

651
00:27:18,480 --> 00:27:19,640
Speaker 4: not seeing that with Gealoff.

652
00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:20,520
Speaker 3: I think it's a great target.

653
00:27:20,560 --> 00:27:23,480
Speaker 4: I think it's a you know, draft d a bargain.

654
00:27:23,560 --> 00:27:26,320
Speaker 4: I will say this because he's not on like.

655
00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:27,800
Speaker 3: A Cardinals or something like that.

656
00:27:27,880 --> 00:27:29,760
Speaker 4: He's not getting the buzz He would be a top

657
00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:31,639
Speaker 4: one hundred buzzy type of player. But I won't be

658
00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:32,960
Speaker 4: shocked when he goes twenty twenty.

659
00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:35,080
Speaker 2: Look in twenty twenty two his double See I always

660
00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:36,880
Speaker 2: go to the double A numbers because especially those West

661
00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:38,720
Speaker 2: Coast guys, when they you know, you play in PCL,

662
00:27:38,840 --> 00:27:40,920
Speaker 2: things get inflated. So I'm not even talking about like

663
00:27:40,960 --> 00:27:43,119
Speaker 2: the triple A numbers in twenty twenty three, which were terrific,

664
00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:44,920
Speaker 2: the three oh four, four oh one, five toway nine

665
00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:47,160
Speaker 2: slash that was terrific. Talking about double A. Eighty seven

666
00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:49,199
Speaker 2: games in double A in twenty twenty two. Guess what

667
00:27:49,960 --> 00:27:54,679
Speaker 2: thirteen homers, nine steals, hit two seventy one ops around

668
00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:57,600
Speaker 2: eight hundred, like right on that precipice there. To me,

669
00:27:57,880 --> 00:27:59,960
Speaker 2: this is exactly like this is who he is. He goes,

670
00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:01,520
Speaker 2: I got a little bit. Yeah, that's probably true. I

671
00:28:01,520 --> 00:28:03,399
Speaker 2: think he's a better roto player than a points ly player,

672
00:28:03,440 --> 00:28:06,320
Speaker 2: possibly especially, but I think the volume hitting in the

673
00:28:06,359 --> 00:28:09,320
Speaker 2: two hole in this order could possibly make up for

674
00:28:09,359 --> 00:28:09,920
Speaker 2: any of those.

675
00:28:09,840 --> 00:28:11,840
Speaker 1: Strikeout deficits when it comes to Gelloff. All right, let's

676
00:28:11,840 --> 00:28:12,920
Speaker 1: get another guy on your list.

677
00:28:13,080 --> 00:28:15,240
Speaker 2: You've got another picture, another one of my favorite guys

678
00:28:15,280 --> 00:28:18,080
Speaker 2: I talk about all the time, who is absolutely dominating

679
00:28:18,320 --> 00:28:20,679
Speaker 2: spring training right now, So let's talk about him.

680
00:28:20,680 --> 00:28:20,920
Speaker 1: Welsh.

681
00:28:21,160 --> 00:28:23,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, we're talking about Chota Monica, who has just been

682
00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:28,399
Speaker 4: lights out in spring with the Cubs. Nineteen strikeouts so

683
00:28:28,560 --> 00:28:31,240
Speaker 4: far and what is it, nine and two thirds pitch

684
00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:34,200
Speaker 4: He's only walked a few. We know that the fastball

685
00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:38,000
Speaker 4: has been an absolutely dominant pitch for Showa WBC stuff

686
00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:40,040
Speaker 4: plus numbers were absolutely through the roof.

687
00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:41,480
Speaker 3: He's deceptive in.

688
00:28:41,480 --> 00:28:46,680
Speaker 4: His delivery, he's explosive on the release. Justin Steele talked

689
00:28:46,760 --> 00:28:49,640
Speaker 4: up crazy on him. We've seen the results through spring

690
00:28:50,240 --> 00:28:52,760
Speaker 4: and his cost real. Let me look, I forgot to

691
00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:55,480
Speaker 4: write it down. This is the craziest thing with this

692
00:28:55,560 --> 00:28:57,880
Speaker 4: type of buzz. I think there's a stigma that kind

693
00:28:57,880 --> 00:29:00,040
Speaker 4: of goes around sometimes with a lot of like what

694
00:29:00,120 --> 00:29:01,520
Speaker 4: is the translation gonna look like?

695
00:29:01,560 --> 00:29:02,160
Speaker 3: From uh?

696
00:29:02,200 --> 00:29:05,320
Speaker 4: Players that come over from either Japan or Korea has

697
00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:08,200
Speaker 4: and Kim one of those examples. Pitching is a little

698
00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:13,000
Speaker 4: bit different. Shota has an ADP and average ADP of

699
00:29:13,240 --> 00:29:17,480
Speaker 4: one ninety even going outside the top two hundred in sites.

700
00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:19,479
Speaker 4: Now he is starting to get on a rocket.

701
00:29:19,520 --> 00:29:21,240
Speaker 3: But guess what, even.

702
00:29:21,000 --> 00:29:24,680
Speaker 4: That rocket that's moving up the ADP, it's still a bargain.

703
00:29:25,400 --> 00:29:28,240
Speaker 4: It's not gonna take a ton. It's just gonna take

704
00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:32,080
Speaker 4: innings and relative success that we've seen in Spring for

705
00:29:32,240 --> 00:29:34,000
Speaker 4: him to blow past the value.

706
00:29:34,000 --> 00:29:34,920
Speaker 3: So even if he goes.

707
00:29:34,800 --> 00:29:38,360
Speaker 4: From one ninety EIGHTP and goes up to one point fifty,

708
00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:41,760
Speaker 4: there's still a ton of room for growth, win opportunities

709
00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:42,440
Speaker 4: for the Cubs.

710
00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:43,880
Speaker 3: He's gonna have the support.

711
00:29:43,880 --> 00:29:45,680
Speaker 4: It's not a guy that's gonna be pushed off into

712
00:29:45,720 --> 00:29:48,640
Speaker 4: a bullpen anytime soon. The fastball, the ivy, all the

713
00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:52,120
Speaker 4: release points like, there's some dominant stuff in there that

714
00:29:52,160 --> 00:29:54,280
Speaker 4: we I think is gonna have a really difficult time

715
00:29:54,320 --> 00:29:57,080
Speaker 4: for translation early on. So Shota is a draft d

716
00:29:57,080 --> 00:29:59,520
Speaker 4: a bargain. He is one of the few buzzy players

717
00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:03,760
Speaker 4: from Spring that has not gone and broken past their value.

718
00:30:03,840 --> 00:30:05,760
Speaker 4: So get them go and get them put him in

719
00:30:05,760 --> 00:30:08,440
Speaker 4: the rotation SP five or six.

720
00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:10,000
Speaker 3: There's huge upside.

721
00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:12,680
Speaker 1: I mean, look, I feel good about him as my three.

722
00:30:12,760 --> 00:30:14,680
Speaker 1: I gotta be honest with you, So any spot where

723
00:30:14,680 --> 00:30:15,040
Speaker 1: you can get.

724
00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:17,240
Speaker 2: Him as your four or five, or I don't know

725
00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:19,120
Speaker 2: where you're getting him as your sixth starter, but sign

726
00:30:19,120 --> 00:30:20,280
Speaker 2: me up for that one ninety.

727
00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:23,680
Speaker 4: If you're going around one ninety, I guess I'm looking

728
00:30:23,680 --> 00:30:24,440
Speaker 4: on Fantasy Bros.

729
00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:24,880
Speaker 3: Right now.

730
00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:28,480
Speaker 4: I can see adyps Yahoo. He's got a one eighty

731
00:30:28,640 --> 00:30:31,400
Speaker 4: six eighty P one hundred and eighty six players through

732
00:30:31,600 --> 00:30:34,320
Speaker 4: Do you easily could have four to five pitchers already

733
00:30:34,320 --> 00:30:36,160
Speaker 4: locked in, and then you're putting him at the bottom.

734
00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:39,240
Speaker 4: That's what makes him even more of the draft day bargain.

735
00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:41,920
Speaker 2: All right, back to my list here one sixty seven

736
00:30:41,960 --> 00:30:44,760
Speaker 2: Francisco Alvarez of the New York Mets. Now you know

737
00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:47,080
Speaker 2: I love a player if I love him despite the

738
00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:49,520
Speaker 2: fact that he plays for my Mets, because Alvarez is

739
00:30:49,520 --> 00:30:51,440
Speaker 2: a guy that has thirty home run potential this year

740
00:30:51,480 --> 00:30:53,400
Speaker 2: at catcher. I understand the batting average a bit of

741
00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:56,120
Speaker 2: a drag. I get that, but let's not forget this

742
00:30:56,200 --> 00:30:58,560
Speaker 2: guy was one of the top five prospects.

743
00:30:58,040 --> 00:30:59,800
Speaker 1: In all baseball coming into last year.

744
00:31:00,080 --> 00:31:03,360
Speaker 2: Let's not forget the batting average was much higher over

745
00:31:03,360 --> 00:31:05,120
Speaker 2: the minor league career. Now, he did struggle little bit

746
00:31:05,160 --> 00:31:08,040
Speaker 2: of triple A, but still two seventy three batting average,

747
00:31:08,040 --> 00:31:10,280
Speaker 2: three eighty four on base a five twenty nine slugging

748
00:31:10,320 --> 00:31:12,960
Speaker 2: over two hundred and fifty seven minor league games. Last

749
00:31:13,040 --> 00:31:15,960
Speaker 2: year was about getting comfortable at the major league level.

750
00:31:16,080 --> 00:31:18,400
Speaker 2: He showed you the power. You're learning a pitching staff,

751
00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:19,600
Speaker 2: You're trying to figure out things.

752
00:31:20,200 --> 00:31:21,320
Speaker 1: It's a process.

753
00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:24,000
Speaker 2: Again, He's only gonna be twenty two years old this

754
00:31:24,080 --> 00:31:25,640
Speaker 2: year and he's hitting clean up for the Mets. So

755
00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:29,440
Speaker 2: he is hitting in front of McNeil, but behind Pete Alonzo,

756
00:31:29,560 --> 00:31:32,440
Speaker 2: with Nimo, Lindor and Alonzo all ahead of him.

757
00:31:32,520 --> 00:31:34,000
Speaker 1: What a great situation it is.

758
00:31:34,480 --> 00:31:37,000
Speaker 2: So you have to pitch to Francisco Alvarez in his lineup,

759
00:31:37,040 --> 00:31:38,560
Speaker 2: and I think you're gonna have to quite a bit

760
00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:40,240
Speaker 2: because I think those guys are gonna be on ahead

761
00:31:40,280 --> 00:31:42,360
Speaker 2: of him, and I think that that could mean a

762
00:31:42,440 --> 00:31:44,120
Speaker 2: huge breakout potential for Alvarez.

763
00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:46,240
Speaker 1: And we like some of these other catchers.

764
00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:49,080
Speaker 2: We like Ohape, we like we like Moreno, we like Garber,

765
00:31:49,160 --> 00:31:51,440
Speaker 2: there's some values there. But if I'm gonna circle the

766
00:31:51,480 --> 00:31:54,040
Speaker 2: guy that can hit thirty homers and really be special

767
00:31:54,080 --> 00:31:55,760
Speaker 2: and also dh because they want to get his bat

768
00:31:55,800 --> 00:31:58,400
Speaker 2: in the lineup when he's not catching, it's Francisco Alvarez,

769
00:31:58,600 --> 00:32:00,840
Speaker 2: and I think there's upside for a lot more, but

770
00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:03,640
Speaker 2: also a pretty good value already built in at one

771
00:32:03,800 --> 00:32:07,080
Speaker 2: sixty seven Welsh one more guy on each of our lists,

772
00:32:07,160 --> 00:32:10,480
Speaker 2: So let's get after it. Here your favorite draft day

773
00:32:10,520 --> 00:32:13,000
Speaker 2: bargain remaining on the board at twenty twenty four, and

774
00:32:13,080 --> 00:32:15,360
Speaker 2: he is the cheapest of all the guys that we've

775
00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:16,240
Speaker 2: talked about so far.

776
00:32:16,400 --> 00:32:16,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I did.

777
00:32:16,920 --> 00:32:19,920
Speaker 4: I ordered mine in kind of a most expensive to

778
00:32:20,040 --> 00:32:22,600
Speaker 4: cheap outside the top two hundred. This has been a

779
00:32:22,600 --> 00:32:26,680
Speaker 4: guy that we've talked a bunch a bunch about, Jamer Candelario.

780
00:32:26,840 --> 00:32:29,440
Speaker 4: So I did say, like Josh Naylor would be such

781
00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:32,240
Speaker 4: a cool corner infielder. It's not gonna happen all the

782
00:32:32,240 --> 00:32:34,880
Speaker 4: time Naylor, especially at fifteen team rodo. He's gonna be

783
00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:37,640
Speaker 4: a top fifteen first basement, So it doesn't always happen,

784
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:39,720
Speaker 4: So you're gonna have to look elsewhere. When I do,

785
00:32:40,160 --> 00:32:43,200
Speaker 4: it's Jamer Candelario. Who last year hit two fifty one

786
00:32:43,320 --> 00:32:47,440
Speaker 4: twenty two homers, seventy RBI, seventy runs, but now goes

787
00:32:47,480 --> 00:32:50,920
Speaker 4: to Great American Ballpark, gonna play every single day, and

788
00:32:50,960 --> 00:32:54,440
Speaker 4: that explosive young lineup with Elie de la Cruz, Matt

789
00:32:54,520 --> 00:32:57,720
Speaker 4: McClain in front and players fallen left and right. So

790
00:32:57,720 --> 00:33:00,280
Speaker 4: if there's any other question about you know, how how

791
00:33:00,360 --> 00:33:02,680
Speaker 4: is his playing time going to be consistent? It's locked

792
00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:05,959
Speaker 4: in there. This is one of those instances where you

793
00:33:06,000 --> 00:33:09,800
Speaker 4: see projections. After having a fine season twenty nine thirty

794
00:33:09,880 --> 00:33:13,680
Speaker 4: year old, now you see projections beat across the board

795
00:33:13,800 --> 00:33:17,080
Speaker 4: in almost every system. You see the numbers going higher.

796
00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:20,800
Speaker 4: Twenty two homers last year. You look over on the

797
00:33:20,880 --> 00:33:23,440
Speaker 4: bat X, it's right at twenty one, but the batting

798
00:33:23,480 --> 00:33:26,800
Speaker 4: average two fifty two higher than last year. You see

799
00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:29,920
Speaker 4: projections around two sixty. You see RBI numbers even in

800
00:33:30,040 --> 00:33:32,960
Speaker 4: zips up to eighty eight. This is a great place

801
00:33:33,000 --> 00:33:35,480
Speaker 4: to hit with guys that are running in front of him.

802
00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:38,920
Speaker 4: I think the RBI opportunities can get into the nineties.

803
00:33:39,240 --> 00:33:41,960
Speaker 4: I think he can hit around two sixty, and I

804
00:33:42,000 --> 00:33:44,400
Speaker 4: think the home run totals are being under sold. He

805
00:33:45,200 --> 00:33:47,160
Speaker 4: has some of that Josh Naylor in him that he

806
00:33:47,200 --> 00:33:49,280
Speaker 4: can hit for higher batting average, and I wouldn't be

807
00:33:49,320 --> 00:33:52,840
Speaker 4: shocked if you put up a Josh Naylor ninety seven

808
00:33:53,120 --> 00:33:56,480
Speaker 4: RBIs this year. I love Candelario and he qualifies it

809
00:33:56,600 --> 00:34:00,800
Speaker 4: first and third. He is an ultimate draftda bargain. Gotta

810
00:34:00,840 --> 00:34:05,480
Speaker 4: have him on your team, util, corner, infield, whatever it is,

811
00:34:05,880 --> 00:34:08,360
Speaker 4: I want Jamer Candelario. He's one of my favorite players

812
00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:10,560
Speaker 4: to draft. In its post two hundred.

813
00:34:10,719 --> 00:34:13,000
Speaker 2: I have one question when it comes to Candelario, which

814
00:34:13,040 --> 00:34:14,640
Speaker 2: I think is the most important one. And again I

815
00:34:14,640 --> 00:34:16,239
Speaker 2: don't think you have a crystal ball, but I'm gonna

816
00:34:16,239 --> 00:34:19,000
Speaker 2: ask it anyway. When Marte comes back from the suspension,

817
00:34:19,080 --> 00:34:20,960
Speaker 2: is there any chance that he's the one that gets

818
00:34:20,960 --> 00:34:22,640
Speaker 2: squeezed if everybody's healthy.

819
00:34:22,760 --> 00:34:26,120
Speaker 4: I would say one percent chance. Because what originally was

820
00:34:26,160 --> 00:34:29,120
Speaker 4: planned was Candelario was gonna be the everyday first baseman

821
00:34:29,239 --> 00:34:32,040
Speaker 4: that was gonna be his gig. Strand was gonna play

822
00:34:32,080 --> 00:34:34,600
Speaker 4: DH a little bit of first and maybe move around

823
00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:37,400
Speaker 4: in the outfield. So I think they go back to that,

824
00:34:37,440 --> 00:34:39,319
Speaker 4: but we're gonna have a better insight. We've also seen

825
00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:42,239
Speaker 4: Frehley get hurt, TJ Friedl get hurt. We're now gonna

826
00:34:42,239 --> 00:34:43,759
Speaker 4: have to see Benson to see if he can do

827
00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:46,600
Speaker 4: anything more than a split where Spencer Steer sits.

828
00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:47,800
Speaker 3: There's a lot of questions.

829
00:34:47,920 --> 00:34:50,000
Speaker 4: There are a lot of guys out there, but they

830
00:34:50,120 --> 00:34:53,840
Speaker 4: signed Candelario to be the core, the middle, a team

831
00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:56,680
Speaker 4: leader that these guys build around. So no, I don't

832
00:34:56,680 --> 00:35:00,279
Speaker 4: think Candelario is affected in any way. When Noelvie Artake

833
00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:00,839
Speaker 4: comes back.

834
00:35:01,120 --> 00:35:04,560
Speaker 2: All right, last guy for me, there's another veteran, thirty

835
00:35:04,600 --> 00:35:07,759
Speaker 2: seven year old at ADP of one to seventy six.

836
00:35:07,920 --> 00:35:12,760
Speaker 2: You Darvish, Darvish concern was the health well, the elbow

837
00:35:13,560 --> 00:35:15,440
Speaker 2: bone issue that he was able to take care of.

838
00:35:15,520 --> 00:35:16,799
Speaker 1: Everything got cleaned up there.

839
00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:19,439
Speaker 2: No, it was the bone spurs, I believe, correct, Welsh right, correct,

840
00:35:19,440 --> 00:35:21,480
Speaker 2: We's right, that sounds right.

841
00:35:21,480 --> 00:35:23,240
Speaker 1: I'm just making things up. No, it was the bone spurs.

842
00:35:23,080 --> 00:35:25,680
Speaker 2: It's issues and something that Cole Hamill's had years ago too,

843
00:35:25,760 --> 00:35:27,319
Speaker 2: and he got a cleaned up and he was fine

844
00:35:27,320 --> 00:35:30,440
Speaker 2: the next year. So far in spring as of recording this,

845
00:35:30,560 --> 00:35:34,360
Speaker 2: nine innings over three starts for him, ten strikeouts, one walk,

846
00:35:34,400 --> 00:35:36,960
Speaker 2: a one point a zero seven whip, a two eight

847
00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:39,480
Speaker 2: nine ERA over those nine innings Now it's only nine innings,

848
00:35:39,600 --> 00:35:41,560
Speaker 2: but it's important nine innings because it's telling me you

849
00:35:41,640 --> 00:35:42,480
Speaker 2: Darvish is healthy.

850
00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:44,040
Speaker 1: Now you Darfish is healthy.

851
00:35:44,440 --> 00:35:46,640
Speaker 2: This is a guy that has two hundred strikeout potential

852
00:35:46,640 --> 00:35:50,760
Speaker 2: and you're getting him where one seventy six. That's absurd.

853
00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:53,600
Speaker 2: We talked about the Imanaga value at one ninety. Look,

854
00:35:53,640 --> 00:35:55,080
Speaker 2: if these two guys are on the board, I'm still

855
00:35:55,080 --> 00:35:57,400
Speaker 2: gonna take you Darbish every single time because it's a

856
00:35:57,440 --> 00:35:59,759
Speaker 2: proven track record. I know last year was ugly, but

857
00:35:59,840 --> 00:36:01,480
Speaker 2: he still had a three to one strike out to

858
00:36:01,480 --> 00:36:02,880
Speaker 2: walk ratio over those one hundred.

859
00:36:02,640 --> 00:36:03,520
Speaker 1: And thirty six innings.

860
00:36:03,640 --> 00:36:06,200
Speaker 2: It was really a matter of getting that elbow right

861
00:36:06,280 --> 00:36:08,839
Speaker 2: and getting healthy. He was not healthy all of last year.

862
00:36:09,000 --> 00:36:12,200
Speaker 2: We've seen darbaship times have down seasons in rebound. This

863
00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:13,960
Speaker 2: seems like it's setting up for another one. But it's

864
00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:16,640
Speaker 2: scarier every time. And I get why. It's because of

865
00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:19,120
Speaker 2: the age. When you're thirty seven years old, you see

866
00:36:19,120 --> 00:36:20,920
Speaker 2: some of these guys, you know, getting to the late thirties,

867
00:36:20,960 --> 00:36:23,359
Speaker 2: early forties, you see Shurez or Verlander, Kersh all those

868
00:36:23,360 --> 00:36:24,399
Speaker 2: guys starting to break down.

869
00:36:24,600 --> 00:36:25,399
Speaker 1: And that might be the case.

870
00:36:25,440 --> 00:36:26,800
Speaker 2: Maybe he's not a guy w's gonna throw one hundred

871
00:36:26,840 --> 00:36:29,040
Speaker 2: ninety innings ever again, we're gonna give you one hundred

872
00:36:29,080 --> 00:36:32,880
Speaker 2: and sixty. If he does, he's gonna give you phenomenal productivity.

873
00:36:32,880 --> 00:36:35,040
Speaker 2: And the upside's there for more. The Padres are still

874
00:36:35,040 --> 00:36:37,279
Speaker 2: a really good team. I know SODA's not there, but

875
00:36:37,320 --> 00:36:39,440
Speaker 2: they still got bowguards, they still got tattists, They've still

876
00:36:39,440 --> 00:36:41,960
Speaker 2: got Machado, they still got Kim. It's a really good

877
00:36:42,080 --> 00:36:44,840
Speaker 2: rotation too. We started the show talking about how loaded

878
00:36:45,200 --> 00:36:47,960
Speaker 2: the National League West is, talked about the Giants edition

879
00:36:47,960 --> 00:36:50,000
Speaker 2: to SNeW We talked about the juggernaut lineup that is

880
00:36:50,040 --> 00:36:53,040
Speaker 2: the Dodgers, and here are the Padres. Not to mention

881
00:36:53,120 --> 00:36:55,080
Speaker 2: the Arizona diamonbacksh went to the World Series. But the

882
00:36:55,080 --> 00:36:58,919
Speaker 2: Padres here with a rotation that arguably is the best

883
00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:03,080
Speaker 2: one went healthy. Because you're talking about Darvish, King Musgrove,

884
00:37:03,360 --> 00:37:07,120
Speaker 2: cease Man Welsh, the Padres, I don't think are going away.

885
00:37:07,360 --> 00:37:09,200
Speaker 2: And if you Darvish is right, I think this is

886
00:37:09,239 --> 00:37:12,279
Speaker 2: one of the best draft day bargains you're gonna find.

887
00:37:12,280 --> 00:37:13,960
Speaker 2: What do you think about you, Darvish? And are you

888
00:37:14,040 --> 00:37:16,640
Speaker 2: somebody like me that's looking for him everywhere? And taking

889
00:37:16,640 --> 00:37:17,640
Speaker 2: the discount everywhere.

890
00:37:17,880 --> 00:37:20,759
Speaker 4: I would say I actually wrote his name down on

891
00:37:20,800 --> 00:37:23,520
Speaker 4: this started to go, and the only reason I didn't

892
00:37:23,880 --> 00:37:26,040
Speaker 4: was because the airing of this episode was going to

893
00:37:26,080 --> 00:37:29,719
Speaker 4: be after his start, his first start, and it could

894
00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:32,279
Speaker 4: either be really bad or really good. But at the

895
00:37:32,320 --> 00:37:35,440
Speaker 4: end of the day, yes, I want you Darvish, You Darvish.

896
00:37:35,560 --> 00:37:37,640
Speaker 4: He's one of those guys that it could go either way.

897
00:37:37,680 --> 00:37:40,160
Speaker 4: Like the injuries can keep him off. He was pretty

898
00:37:40,200 --> 00:37:43,080
Speaker 4: inconsistent last year, but we know what the stuff is.

899
00:37:43,160 --> 00:37:45,520
Speaker 4: We know when he hones in, he can go deep innings.

900
00:37:45,520 --> 00:37:49,160
Speaker 4: He can be a massive strikeout guy. He can easily

901
00:37:49,520 --> 00:37:54,239
Speaker 4: blow past his ADP and his value and be dare

902
00:37:54,280 --> 00:37:56,200
Speaker 4: I say, like we did the episode League Winning, like

903
00:37:56,239 --> 00:37:58,640
Speaker 4: he could be that type of player with where you're

904
00:37:58,640 --> 00:38:01,560
Speaker 4: getting him, getting a guy you know that is maybe

905
00:38:01,560 --> 00:38:04,759
Speaker 4: the fortieth SP or thirty fifth SP off the board,

906
00:38:04,800 --> 00:38:06,800
Speaker 4: that could be a top ten. They're hard to find

907
00:38:06,960 --> 00:38:08,720
Speaker 4: at this level, and he is one of those guys.

908
00:38:08,960 --> 00:38:13,280
Speaker 4: The problem is the variance. Though I'm taking him wherever

909
00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:15,000
Speaker 4: I can absolutely well.

910
00:38:15,280 --> 00:38:17,960
Speaker 2: Fun fact, last year, you want to take a guess

911
00:38:18,160 --> 00:38:22,040
Speaker 2: where he was on Fantasy Pro's average draft position in

912
00:38:22,120 --> 00:38:24,759
Speaker 2: terms of picture rank where it would be sp what

913
00:38:25,600 --> 00:38:26,280
Speaker 2: last year.

914
00:38:26,160 --> 00:38:28,759
Speaker 4: I mean, I want to say it wasn't super high

915
00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:32,240
Speaker 4: if I remember correctly, was it like twenty eight nineteen?

916
00:38:32,440 --> 00:38:34,320
Speaker 3: Okay, okay, no, it was super high nineteen.

917
00:38:34,520 --> 00:38:39,360
Speaker 2: So again, healthy you Darvish now is being regarded as

918
00:38:39,520 --> 00:38:43,239
Speaker 2: let's see you Darvish right now? Is fifty one the

919
00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:47,360
Speaker 2: fifty first starting pitcher. That's absurd. Something in the middle

920
00:38:47,960 --> 00:38:51,320
Speaker 2: is very likely. But there's also that range of outcomes

921
00:38:51,320 --> 00:38:54,040
Speaker 2: where he gets back to somewhere on the top twenty five,

922
00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:57,800
Speaker 2: and if that happens, that is a huge bargain discount.

923
00:38:57,840 --> 00:38:59,960
Speaker 1: But we want to hear from you. Drop your comments.

924
00:39:00,560 --> 00:39:03,640
Speaker 2: You tell Welsh and myself who your favorite draft day

925
00:39:03,640 --> 00:39:05,879
Speaker 2: bargains are of twenty twenty four. Let's all help each

926
00:39:05,880 --> 00:39:08,240
Speaker 2: other out here. Don't forget to subscribe to the channel,

927
00:39:08,239 --> 00:39:10,680
Speaker 2: but when you do, not only drop your comments, but

928
00:39:10,840 --> 00:39:13,360
Speaker 2: also make sure you ring that bell for notifications, you know,

929
00:39:13,400 --> 00:39:16,080
Speaker 2: every time a piece of content drop. Here on the channel,

930
00:39:16,160 --> 00:39:18,640
Speaker 2: we've got the podcast, the short form videos, we've got

931
00:39:18,680 --> 00:39:21,000
Speaker 2: the social shorts on here, the YouTube shorts, but we've

932
00:39:21,000 --> 00:39:24,200
Speaker 2: also got Leading Off Live starting Thursday the twenty eighth,

933
00:39:24,400 --> 00:39:26,759
Speaker 2: where Welsh and I are gonna wig out because you

934
00:39:26,800 --> 00:39:29,759
Speaker 2: guys are amazing, and now we have seventeen thousand subscribers

935
00:39:29,800 --> 00:39:31,880
Speaker 2: on the channel. We want to get it to twenty.

936
00:39:31,880 --> 00:39:33,680
Speaker 2: God knows it kind of stupid. We'll do it twenty,

937
00:39:33,920 --> 00:39:36,160
Speaker 2: but at seventeen we're gonna be wearing our wigs. I'm

938
00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:39,000
Speaker 2: gonna order mine right after recording this today. Hopefully Welsh's

939
00:39:39,040 --> 00:39:42,319
Speaker 2: landing on his because you know the two day Amazon Prime.

940
00:39:42,360 --> 00:39:44,200
Speaker 2: You got to get the wigs here ready to go.

941
00:39:44,320 --> 00:39:47,640
Speaker 2: So join us live twelve thirty Eastern Time every Monday

942
00:39:47,680 --> 00:39:51,719
Speaker 2: through Thursday again, starting on the twenty eighth, that's Thursday

943
00:39:51,840 --> 00:39:54,279
Speaker 2: Opening Day. It's gonna be a glorious time. We're gonna

944
00:39:54,320 --> 00:39:55,960
Speaker 2: have a lot of fun. We're gonna talk a lot

945
00:39:55,960 --> 00:39:58,200
Speaker 2: of baseball, and we're gonna win a lot. That's what

946
00:39:58,239 --> 00:39:59,960
Speaker 2: we're gonna do. We win a lot of leagues, all right,

947
00:40:00,120 --> 00:40:01,440
Speaker 2: that'll do it for us. But the story of the

948
00:40:01,480 --> 00:40:02,480
Speaker 2: game goes on for the Welsh.

949
00:40:02,520 --> 00:40:04,719
Speaker 1: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time.

950
00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:05,160
Speaker 2: Kids.

951
00:40:05,440 --> 00:40:06,439
Speaker 1: Enjoy your bargain hunting