1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:04,840 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. 2 00:00:04,960 --> 00:00:13,520 Speaker 2: All right, here we go spreading the corn ten seconds 3 00:00:13,520 --> 00:00:17,920 Speaker 2: of anis just go show under the basket, Under the basket, 4 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:22,480 Speaker 2: It's the truth for the wind God, the go amarracle. 5 00:00:23,280 --> 00:00:28,080 Speaker 3: I'm just it's up the water. Hit that one from 6 00:00:28,080 --> 00:00:30,320 Speaker 3: the parking lot. Shuck it all. 7 00:00:30,960 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 4: At college basketball, it's. 8 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:38,400 Speaker 5: Not the size on the dog in the fight, it's 9 00:00:38,440 --> 00:00:40,600 Speaker 5: the size of the fight in the dog. 10 00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:43,680 Speaker 6: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets 11 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:48,519 Speaker 6: on Campus Podcast. This is your weekend college basketball betting preview. 12 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:54,360 Speaker 6: I'm stuck in with me as always is BJ Cunningham. 13 00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:56,680 Speaker 1: We had a lot to get do today. I will 14 00:00:56,920 --> 00:01:00,320 Speaker 1: talk with a friend of the podcast, BJ Rains covers 15 00:01:00,320 --> 00:01:02,960 Speaker 1: Boise State at BJA rings on Twitter. Will talk Boise 16 00:01:03,640 --> 00:01:05,800 Speaker 1: and the very exciting Mountain West, which could get up 17 00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:10,120 Speaker 1: to five or six teams into the THENSA tournament. Should 18 00:01:10,160 --> 00:01:14,240 Speaker 1: be a awesome conference tournament. Well, obviously have our Friday 19 00:01:14,440 --> 00:01:17,679 Speaker 1: Night six pack as always with the guys from the 20 00:01:17,720 --> 00:01:21,600 Speaker 1: three Man Weave. BJ and myself will talk some Saturday 21 00:01:21,680 --> 00:01:26,600 Speaker 1: spots we have circled, and we'll talk here with Colin 22 00:01:26,760 --> 00:01:29,399 Speaker 1: shortly to see if he can get a winner for 23 00:01:29,440 --> 00:01:33,679 Speaker 1: the third straight week. He's been red hot. What's going on, BJ, 24 00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:35,200 Speaker 1: how are you? I'm good. 25 00:01:35,560 --> 00:01:38,759 Speaker 4: It's crazy midwek of college basketball. A ton of big 26 00:01:38,800 --> 00:01:41,759 Speaker 4: time teams going down, So it's gonna be pretty crazy 27 00:01:41,760 --> 00:01:43,840 Speaker 4: here going down the stretch, not only the Mountain westernam 28 00:01:43,920 --> 00:01:46,480 Speaker 4: but a ton of different tournaments throughout college basketball. 29 00:01:46,560 --> 00:01:48,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, a lot of teams have played their way like 30 00:01:48,320 --> 00:01:51,520 Speaker 1: on the bubblem or you know, kept their tournament hopes 31 00:01:51,560 --> 00:01:55,800 Speaker 1: alive this week with huge wins against ranked teams. Let's 32 00:01:55,840 --> 00:01:58,400 Speaker 1: go quickly here. One thing that you've learned this week 33 00:01:58,480 --> 00:02:01,040 Speaker 1: or takeaway or a ramp anything you want to cover. 34 00:02:01,240 --> 00:02:04,040 Speaker 4: Yeah, the Arkansas I mean, sure, we'll talk about with Colin. 35 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 4: But the Auburn Arkansas game was incredibly fascinating, and I 36 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:09,720 Speaker 4: think it's one of those games that we don't need 37 00:02:09,720 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 4: to overreact about Auburn. They were obviously kind of trending 38 00:02:13,240 --> 00:02:15,320 Speaker 4: towards one of these type of upset wins, you know, 39 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:19,160 Speaker 4: barely getting by Georgia, but in that game, they had 40 00:02:19,160 --> 00:02:22,680 Speaker 4: twenty four offensive rebounds against Arkansas, so just crazy, and 41 00:02:22,720 --> 00:02:25,600 Speaker 4: they just couldn't make a shot. So I would say 42 00:02:25,639 --> 00:02:28,919 Speaker 4: not to panic about Auburn. But it's again, it's they're 43 00:02:28,960 --> 00:02:31,120 Speaker 4: probably still the class of the SEC and probably still 44 00:02:31,160 --> 00:02:32,560 Speaker 4: gonna be a number one seed. But I was actually 45 00:02:32,639 --> 00:02:35,240 Speaker 4: very encouraged even in a loss a very very difficult 46 00:02:35,320 --> 00:02:38,000 Speaker 4: environment from from Auburn on Tuesday. 47 00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:40,480 Speaker 1: Horrible last shot by Auburn. I still think, yeah, I 48 00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:43,399 Speaker 1: still have cut Kentucky slightly out of them, but yeah, 49 00:02:43,720 --> 00:02:46,200 Speaker 1: they should be fine, but they hit worrying results on 50 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:49,280 Speaker 1: the road away from them. They've been dynamited at home 51 00:02:49,280 --> 00:02:52,120 Speaker 1: and they're undefeated against the spread at home, so they 52 00:02:52,120 --> 00:02:54,000 Speaker 1: can They could be a little a bit of radic 53 00:02:54,040 --> 00:02:56,239 Speaker 1: at times, but yeah, they're gonna be in the mix 54 00:02:56,320 --> 00:02:59,359 Speaker 1: for sure. Something that I'll take away I think the 55 00:02:59,360 --> 00:03:03,079 Speaker 1: biggest win of the week, well, Oklahoma saved their season 56 00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:06,760 Speaker 1: with a big win. SMU got a huge win against Houston. 57 00:03:07,919 --> 00:03:10,200 Speaker 1: So we'll see if that trend continues with these teams 58 00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:12,560 Speaker 1: that you know almost need to win towards the end 59 00:03:12,560 --> 00:03:13,960 Speaker 1: of the month, there's gonna be a lot of teams 60 00:03:14,040 --> 00:03:16,000 Speaker 1: You'll see this every year that need to win. Just 61 00:03:16,080 --> 00:03:19,040 Speaker 1: keep this in mind that like at but they'll play 62 00:03:19,040 --> 00:03:21,680 Speaker 1: their way out off the bubble once the pressure mounts. 63 00:03:22,200 --> 00:03:24,280 Speaker 1: So you got to pick your spots carefully. And an 64 00:03:24,320 --> 00:03:26,840 Speaker 1: other big takeaway is I've actually picked a couple winners 65 00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:30,079 Speaker 1: this week, so thank god. I was beginning to think 66 00:03:30,080 --> 00:03:32,839 Speaker 1: I forgot how to do that awarding the meltdowns. Let's 67 00:03:32,840 --> 00:03:36,240 Speaker 1: hope that continues, all right. So now we're joined by 68 00:03:37,240 --> 00:03:40,320 Speaker 1: someone that you all are familiar with, mister Wilson, Mister 69 00:03:40,360 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 1: Colin Wilson. Who's coming in streaking hot Wilson? What are 70 00:03:44,080 --> 00:03:44,480 Speaker 1: you doing? 71 00:03:45,040 --> 00:03:49,040 Speaker 5: Hi, oh Jim, I'm just testing my moroccas usually. 72 00:03:48,840 --> 00:03:50,600 Speaker 1: When I mind tested, the doctor makes me turn my 73 00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:52,920 Speaker 1: head and cough. Hey, he had the sec against the 74 00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:55,000 Speaker 1: big twelve across the board. They went seven and three. 75 00:03:55,000 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 1: Then he gave us Villanova last week. I'm happy that 76 00:03:58,520 --> 00:04:01,040 Speaker 1: you made it here this week. I was afraid that 77 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:06,440 Speaker 1: you were still hungover from the Arkansas win over Auburn. 78 00:04:06,600 --> 00:04:08,280 Speaker 1: Although I think you've bet Auburn. I think I had 79 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:10,720 Speaker 1: faith in my Hogs. I don't know if you did. 80 00:04:10,760 --> 00:04:13,600 Speaker 1: But huge win, eighth win in a row. First, how are. 81 00:04:13,440 --> 00:04:16,120 Speaker 2: You two sports in the last calendar year where you're 82 00:04:16,160 --> 00:04:18,799 Speaker 2: claiming your hogs. I can't wait till baseball season starts. 83 00:04:18,839 --> 00:04:20,599 Speaker 2: It's going to be your hogs going to Omaha. 84 00:04:20,640 --> 00:04:21,120 Speaker 1: I can't wait. 85 00:04:21,160 --> 00:04:24,000 Speaker 2: But no, I'm great. I'm glad that we got the win. 86 00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:28,320 Speaker 2: Muscleman with his shirt off mid court, what a fantastic scene. 87 00:04:28,360 --> 00:04:30,400 Speaker 2: We haven't had anything like this in over twenty years. 88 00:04:30,440 --> 00:04:33,560 Speaker 2: And I admit I bet Auburn and I didn't think 89 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:35,760 Speaker 2: we had an answer for Walker Kestler, And once he 90 00:04:35,800 --> 00:04:38,120 Speaker 2: fouled out and went out of the game and overtime, 91 00:04:38,279 --> 00:04:40,120 Speaker 2: it was you know, the Hogs got the victory there. 92 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:43,680 Speaker 2: But you know, great for Arkansas, and the same recipe 93 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:46,120 Speaker 2: as last year. Bring in a bunch of transfers and 94 00:04:46,160 --> 00:04:48,240 Speaker 2: then at the end of January just catch fire. And 95 00:04:48,240 --> 00:04:50,159 Speaker 2: here we're doing this all over again. And I expect 96 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:52,239 Speaker 2: this team to make a strong run coming up in March. 97 00:04:52,400 --> 00:04:56,200 Speaker 1: A muscleman man crosses back. I will tell you that 98 00:04:56,279 --> 00:04:59,440 Speaker 1: they wear my hogs, they will not be my hogs. 99 00:04:59,560 --> 00:05:03,599 Speaker 1: Most like on Saturday roll tide. So he plays for 100 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:05,200 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl watching into home. Don't gain anything. 101 00:05:05,520 --> 00:05:07,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, we got the wife and I got a golf 102 00:05:07,320 --> 00:05:08,159 Speaker 2: round in the morning. 103 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:09,480 Speaker 1: We'll get done by noon. 104 00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:12,000 Speaker 2: And then after that, come back and check all my 105 00:05:12,040 --> 00:05:14,520 Speaker 2: promp bets, see if they've moved the right way. Head 106 00:05:14,520 --> 00:05:16,799 Speaker 2: off to a super Bowl squares party here in Tulsa 107 00:05:16,880 --> 00:05:19,680 Speaker 2: somewhere and probably duck out around the third quarter and 108 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:21,920 Speaker 2: finish the game at home. And you know, when you've 109 00:05:21,920 --> 00:05:23,440 Speaker 2: got all this money and you got all these props 110 00:05:23,440 --> 00:05:25,600 Speaker 2: in play, it's it's the last time we're going to 111 00:05:25,640 --> 00:05:30,039 Speaker 2: see football until you know what. August twenty eighth, twenty ninth, 112 00:05:30,120 --> 00:05:31,960 Speaker 2: where you know, my twitter's on fire today because we 113 00:05:32,080 --> 00:05:35,000 Speaker 2: released our college football Power ratings and some people are 114 00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:36,520 Speaker 2: not too happy with some of the numbers out there. 115 00:05:36,520 --> 00:05:37,920 Speaker 2: But it's gonna be a long time before we see 116 00:05:37,920 --> 00:05:40,800 Speaker 2: football again. So I'm pretty jacked up about the whole 117 00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:43,200 Speaker 2: Super Bowl. And you know, I hope Joe Burrow. I 118 00:05:43,200 --> 00:05:45,040 Speaker 2: don't bet against Joe Burrow anymore. I think Stelly, I 119 00:05:45,080 --> 00:05:46,560 Speaker 2: think you and I learned our lesson a long time ago. 120 00:05:46,560 --> 00:05:47,839 Speaker 2: We're done betting against Joe Burrow. 121 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:50,440 Speaker 1: Make sure you check out Action of Oork podcast by 122 00:05:50,480 --> 00:05:52,280 Speaker 1: the way for a Super Bowl betting preview for myself 123 00:05:52,279 --> 00:05:53,960 Speaker 1: and Chris rave Im and go for all our favorite props, 124 00:05:53,960 --> 00:05:55,840 Speaker 1: break down the game before the game, a hafter game 125 00:05:55,839 --> 00:05:57,560 Speaker 1: everything you want to know? All right, Well, the reason 126 00:05:57,640 --> 00:05:59,400 Speaker 1: we bring you here each week you have a year 127 00:05:59,400 --> 00:06:02,279 Speaker 1: two and OHO is to give us, get the people 128 00:06:02,279 --> 00:06:05,479 Speaker 1: a winner, something that you have your eyes on obviously 129 00:06:05,960 --> 00:06:08,640 Speaker 1: before lines come out. What are you bringing to this 130 00:06:08,720 --> 00:06:11,160 Speaker 1: side of the fence this week, mister Wilson. 131 00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:13,040 Speaker 2: Well, I think it's interesting that we talked about Auburn 132 00:06:13,040 --> 00:06:15,239 Speaker 2: and there are teams that are coming off bad losses 133 00:06:15,240 --> 00:06:17,520 Speaker 2: that are going back home and that's generally a good 134 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:19,719 Speaker 2: recipe for them to get back on track, like Auburn 135 00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:23,120 Speaker 2: Texas Tech. You know, those are teams that took a 136 00:06:23,120 --> 00:06:25,240 Speaker 2: loss for coming back home and you expect them to do, 137 00:06:26,200 --> 00:06:27,680 Speaker 2: you know, at least cover the spread and give a 138 00:06:27,720 --> 00:06:29,960 Speaker 2: max effort. But I'm actually going to go with a 139 00:06:30,240 --> 00:06:33,080 Speaker 2: very what you would consider public square play. 140 00:06:33,680 --> 00:06:35,440 Speaker 3: And you know, this is. 141 00:06:35,720 --> 00:06:38,160 Speaker 2: Something in basketball you just have to like realize what 142 00:06:38,200 --> 00:06:42,400 Speaker 2: the numbers are. And with Gonzaga, they are blowing everybody 143 00:06:42,480 --> 00:06:43,799 Speaker 2: out of the water at home. 144 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:45,000 Speaker 3: It's disgusting. 145 00:06:45,040 --> 00:06:47,239 Speaker 2: I mean, you were talking over one hundred points against 146 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:49,920 Speaker 2: multiple opponents. They are a different animal at home. Now 147 00:06:49,960 --> 00:06:51,960 Speaker 2: they're playing a Saint Mary's team. We think it's going 148 00:06:52,000 --> 00:06:54,880 Speaker 2: to be anywhere from a fourteen to seventeen point spread, 149 00:06:55,160 --> 00:06:58,320 Speaker 2: But I think Santa Clara really exposed Saint Mary's when 150 00:06:58,320 --> 00:07:00,840 Speaker 2: it comes to a pace perspective, Saint Mary's one of 151 00:07:00,880 --> 00:07:04,520 Speaker 2: the slowest offenses in the nation. Santa Clara just beat 152 00:07:04,520 --> 00:07:06,680 Speaker 2: Saint Mary's and they have a top twenty five tempo. 153 00:07:06,960 --> 00:07:10,040 Speaker 2: You go look at Gonzaga, what's second in the nation 154 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:14,520 Speaker 2: in tempo right now? Yeah, just go, go, go, and 155 00:07:14,600 --> 00:07:16,560 Speaker 2: at home, they're just a different animal. I don't think 156 00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 2: Saint Mary's can keep up. This is one of the 157 00:07:18,840 --> 00:07:21,880 Speaker 2: few games in the West Coast Conference where you know, 158 00:07:21,960 --> 00:07:24,920 Speaker 2: Gonzaga is gonna make a highlight reel in Sports Center 159 00:07:24,960 --> 00:07:27,360 Speaker 2: and catch voters' attention, and I don't think they'd need it. 160 00:07:27,400 --> 00:07:30,280 Speaker 2: They're guaranteed one seed, but there's just a lot of 161 00:07:30,320 --> 00:07:32,600 Speaker 2: things in this matchup that they're just you know, I 162 00:07:32,680 --> 00:07:34,720 Speaker 2: know that as we're recording this, Saint Mary's is going 163 00:07:34,760 --> 00:07:37,040 Speaker 2: to play to night, but this game is there's just 164 00:07:37,080 --> 00:07:39,040 Speaker 2: gonna be real problems. And when you look at the 165 00:07:39,080 --> 00:07:42,200 Speaker 2: matchup perspective, especially what Gonzaga does from a defensive perspective, 166 00:07:42,280 --> 00:07:44,480 Speaker 2: number one in the nation an effective. 167 00:07:44,040 --> 00:07:44,960 Speaker 1: Field goal percentage. 168 00:07:45,000 --> 00:07:46,240 Speaker 3: But to me, it's the tempo. 169 00:07:46,280 --> 00:07:48,600 Speaker 2: I think Santa Clara and the speed that they played 170 00:07:48,600 --> 00:07:50,720 Speaker 2: in upset Saint Mary's. This is going to be a 171 00:07:50,880 --> 00:07:53,240 Speaker 2: very long night. I wouldn't be surprised if Gonzaga won 172 00:07:53,280 --> 00:07:55,040 Speaker 2: by thirty. I think the number is going to open 173 00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:59,320 Speaker 2: fourteens per kempom, probably go up to seventeen. Probably gonna 174 00:07:59,320 --> 00:08:00,920 Speaker 2: get all that steam. But I think it's just one 175 00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:03,160 Speaker 2: of those cases where you're just gonna lay it, lay 176 00:08:03,200 --> 00:08:04,720 Speaker 2: it when you first see the number, come out and 177 00:08:04,840 --> 00:08:05,280 Speaker 2: just watch. 178 00:08:05,440 --> 00:08:08,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, Gonzago's tebo numbers will be even faster if they 179 00:08:08,800 --> 00:08:11,320 Speaker 1: weren't up by like thirty to forty a lot of 180 00:08:11,360 --> 00:08:12,880 Speaker 1: these games. And then you know if the game kind 181 00:08:12,880 --> 00:08:15,960 Speaker 1: of dies in the last five to seven minutes. All right, 182 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:18,239 Speaker 1: So there you have it, looking I can't question I mean, Gazagga, 183 00:08:18,240 --> 00:08:21,840 Speaker 1: by the way, the past fifteen years top five against 184 00:08:21,840 --> 00:08:23,600 Speaker 1: the spread at home. You could thicularly, oh, their numbers 185 00:08:23,600 --> 00:08:25,840 Speaker 1: were always inflated, but they are one of the five 186 00:08:25,880 --> 00:08:28,160 Speaker 1: most profitable teams to back in conference play at home 187 00:08:28,640 --> 00:08:31,400 Speaker 1: over the past fifteen years. All right, there you have it, 188 00:08:31,560 --> 00:08:34,280 Speaker 1: KYL going out in the limb and taking Gonzaga as 189 00:08:34,320 --> 00:08:37,720 Speaker 1: a favorite. Looking to move to three and now thanks 190 00:08:37,760 --> 00:08:40,000 Speaker 1: for joining us, brother, enjoy your weekend. Thanks for peeking 191 00:08:40,040 --> 00:08:41,679 Speaker 1: over the fence. We'll catch up with you next week. 192 00:08:41,840 --> 00:08:43,160 Speaker 1: Good look on your Super Bowl bets guys. 193 00:08:43,160 --> 00:08:45,080 Speaker 3: Season woo pig suy. 194 00:08:45,360 --> 00:08:48,840 Speaker 1: So let's move on to Saturday's card. As we always do, 195 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:52,040 Speaker 1: so many games so little time. 196 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:54,680 Speaker 2: Let's look at the Saturday slate. 197 00:08:55,080 --> 00:08:56,960 Speaker 1: We'll start off with a bye love, what do you 198 00:08:56,960 --> 00:08:57,400 Speaker 1: got bee Jo? 199 00:08:57,679 --> 00:09:01,200 Speaker 4: I'm gonna go usc They lost Air Arizona last Saturday 200 00:09:01,679 --> 00:09:04,520 Speaker 4: by nine, even though they were actually leading late in 201 00:09:04,640 --> 00:09:06,920 Speaker 4: the second half and almost ended up not covering, which 202 00:09:06,920 --> 00:09:09,280 Speaker 4: would have been an absolute disaster. They had a makeup 203 00:09:09,280 --> 00:09:12,640 Speaker 4: game against Pacific on Tuesday where they basically snoozed through 204 00:09:12,679 --> 00:09:15,719 Speaker 4: the whole first half and was actually down and by 205 00:09:15,720 --> 00:09:17,640 Speaker 4: double digits in the second half and was able to 206 00:09:17,640 --> 00:09:20,160 Speaker 4: come back and win by six. The main reason for 207 00:09:20,200 --> 00:09:23,200 Speaker 4: that is because Isaiah Mobley got a broken nose at 208 00:09:23,280 --> 00:09:26,079 Speaker 4: late in that Arizona game and then obviously missed Tuesday 209 00:09:26,080 --> 00:09:28,760 Speaker 4: against Pacific. It sounds like he's day to day right now. 210 00:09:29,040 --> 00:09:31,920 Speaker 4: If he's back, he's obviously, you vitally important to their 211 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:33,640 Speaker 4: offense because he's pretty much their best player. 212 00:09:33,720 --> 00:09:35,480 Speaker 1: They're gonna be played on defense. 213 00:09:35,559 --> 00:09:40,319 Speaker 4: Yeah exactly, yep. Huge game for them at home against 214 00:09:40,440 --> 00:09:45,240 Speaker 4: their inner city rival UCLA late night ten PM Eastern time. 215 00:09:45,640 --> 00:09:50,480 Speaker 4: UCLA has somewhat struggled defending down low during conference play, 216 00:09:50,480 --> 00:09:53,440 Speaker 4: their seventh and two point field goal percentage and around 217 00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:55,800 Speaker 4: middle of the pack and field goal percentage allowed at 218 00:09:55,800 --> 00:09:59,400 Speaker 4: the rim. On the flip side, UCLA is getting basically 219 00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:01,240 Speaker 4: nothing at the rim against the USC, who was the 220 00:10:01,320 --> 00:10:03,800 Speaker 4: number one team in college basketball and field goal percentage 221 00:10:03,800 --> 00:10:06,120 Speaker 4: allowed at the rim and fourth in two point field 222 00:10:06,160 --> 00:10:10,160 Speaker 4: goal percentage. USC is dead last in the Pac twelve 223 00:10:10,240 --> 00:10:12,280 Speaker 4: right now in three point field goal percentage allowed. I 224 00:10:12,320 --> 00:10:14,959 Speaker 4: don't expect that to continue given the length that they 225 00:10:14,960 --> 00:10:17,000 Speaker 4: have in their back court, and they're also number one 226 00:10:17,040 --> 00:10:21,440 Speaker 4: average size team in college basketball. UCLA surprisingly also shooting 227 00:10:21,520 --> 00:10:25,040 Speaker 4: under thirty percent from behind the arc in conference play, 228 00:10:25,800 --> 00:10:27,960 Speaker 4: and I've also I've mentioned in the past, but UCLA 229 00:10:27,960 --> 00:10:31,720 Speaker 4: bottom fifteen percent of college basketball and transition defense, but 230 00:10:31,760 --> 00:10:33,640 Speaker 4: are very good in the half court. USC does spend 231 00:10:33,679 --> 00:10:35,760 Speaker 4: a decent amount of time in transition, so I think 232 00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:37,240 Speaker 4: this is a pretty good matchup for them at home. 233 00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:40,520 Speaker 4: Ken Pom has this at UCLA minus three. If Mobile's 234 00:10:40,520 --> 00:10:42,160 Speaker 4: in there, I'd highly doubt that we're going to get 235 00:10:42,280 --> 00:10:46,320 Speaker 4: USC plus three, but I do think USC anything plus 236 00:10:46,320 --> 00:10:48,720 Speaker 4: money is a good bet for the Trojans. 237 00:10:48,920 --> 00:10:51,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, I wonder if I don't know if kenpom if 238 00:10:51,280 --> 00:10:55,559 Speaker 1: it's just a formula that he uses for home court. 239 00:10:55,320 --> 00:10:57,960 Speaker 1: I believe so I don't think that. I don't. I 240 00:10:58,000 --> 00:11:01,000 Speaker 1: believe it's probably just an algorithm the back end. And 241 00:11:01,080 --> 00:11:03,040 Speaker 1: like USC's home court, he has like three and a 242 00:11:03,080 --> 00:11:05,520 Speaker 1: half points. But like home court advantage, here might be 243 00:11:05,600 --> 00:11:09,040 Speaker 1: last because obviously it's USC versus CLA. But yeah, the 244 00:11:09,320 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 1: key is Mobley one thing to keep. 245 00:11:12,000 --> 00:11:12,319 Speaker 3: I don't know. 246 00:11:12,400 --> 00:11:15,000 Speaker 1: I'm interested to see if this ends up going anywhere. 247 00:11:15,000 --> 00:11:18,079 Speaker 1: But Harrison Hornery you've probably never heard of unless you 248 00:11:18,080 --> 00:11:20,120 Speaker 1: watched the Pacific game. I think he made like one 249 00:11:20,120 --> 00:11:21,440 Speaker 1: shot in the year. He came in and made like 250 00:11:21,480 --> 00:11:25,360 Speaker 1: four threes. He's a six nine freshman out of matter day. 251 00:11:25,600 --> 00:11:27,000 Speaker 1: Maybe he can give them someone it's and hit some 252 00:11:27,080 --> 00:11:29,880 Speaker 1: threes team that doesn't really shoot a lot. But I 253 00:11:30,240 --> 00:11:32,120 Speaker 1: maybe he's, uh, you know, he's not gonna get big 254 00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:35,040 Speaker 1: minutes at all. But yeah, Moby's obviously the key there. 255 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:38,319 Speaker 1: Don't mind the look my by low. I'm gonna go 256 00:11:38,440 --> 00:11:42,439 Speaker 1: with Furman against Chattanooga my mox. I love the mox. 257 00:11:42,480 --> 00:11:44,640 Speaker 1: I think they're gonna win. The Silicon and be feisty 258 00:11:44,640 --> 00:11:46,599 Speaker 1: in the tournament. I don't know if the SUSA is 259 00:11:46,600 --> 00:11:48,680 Speaker 1: gonna play their big man, which is huge against Furman 260 00:11:48,720 --> 00:11:50,280 Speaker 1: froman is one of the smallest teams in the country 261 00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:53,240 Speaker 1: can get kind of bodied inside, so susa's the Kansas 262 00:11:53,280 --> 00:11:56,480 Speaker 1: transfer has missed the past three games undisclosed reason, but 263 00:11:56,520 --> 00:11:58,120 Speaker 1: I think it's a really good spot to buy low 264 00:11:58,160 --> 00:12:01,319 Speaker 1: on Furman. They've lost two straight against in fear competition. 265 00:12:01,920 --> 00:12:05,920 Speaker 1: They now get Chattanooga at home and chat Nugg has 266 00:12:05,920 --> 00:12:07,920 Speaker 1: been a little more vulnerable on the road, and Furman 267 00:12:08,000 --> 00:12:10,680 Speaker 1: has revenge from a two point loss at Chattanooga or 268 00:12:10,760 --> 00:12:13,120 Speaker 1: this year when De SUSA did play for what it's worth, 269 00:12:13,640 --> 00:12:17,040 Speaker 1: and tad Nuga's three point defense I think has been 270 00:12:17,360 --> 00:12:20,160 Speaker 1: pretty lucky for the season. They've allowed the tenth highest 271 00:12:20,240 --> 00:12:24,360 Speaker 1: rate of unguarded jumpers in the half court, about fifty 272 00:12:24,360 --> 00:12:27,920 Speaker 1: eight percent perc entergy, Yet opponents have only scored point 273 00:12:27,920 --> 00:12:30,160 Speaker 1: eight three to one points per possession on those jumpers. 274 00:12:30,240 --> 00:12:33,600 Speaker 1: That's the ninth lowest. So they're allowing the tenth most 275 00:12:33,600 --> 00:12:39,120 Speaker 1: frequent unguarded jumpers and teams are scoring at the ninth 276 00:12:39,320 --> 00:12:42,200 Speaker 1: lowest rate, So I mean you're getting a high frequency 277 00:12:42,200 --> 00:12:44,400 Speaker 1: of OPA jumpers and teams are missing them. It's one 278 00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:46,280 Speaker 1: of the reasons shot quality as the Macks with four 279 00:12:46,360 --> 00:12:49,280 Speaker 1: fewer projected wins than they have for what it's worth, 280 00:12:49,280 --> 00:12:51,880 Speaker 1: Furman they have with two additional projected wins, so they've 281 00:12:51,920 --> 00:12:54,800 Speaker 1: been a bit unlucky. Regression Monster could hit harder because 282 00:12:54,800 --> 00:12:56,960 Speaker 1: you're playing a Furman team full of shooters that shoots 283 00:12:56,960 --> 00:12:59,599 Speaker 1: threes of the third highest clip in the nation. So 284 00:13:00,000 --> 00:13:01,800 Speaker 1: revenge spot here for Furman would like to get them 285 00:13:01,800 --> 00:13:05,520 Speaker 1: like minus four or lower. I think good chance we 286 00:13:05,600 --> 00:13:08,600 Speaker 1: get so off two losses with revenge here. It's a 287 00:13:08,600 --> 00:13:10,880 Speaker 1: potential regression coming from Chattanooga. I think it's a good 288 00:13:10,880 --> 00:13:12,560 Speaker 1: spot chatting, but is get it basically win the regular 289 00:13:12,600 --> 00:13:16,400 Speaker 1: season two? Like they are two games ahead of Furman 290 00:13:16,520 --> 00:13:18,480 Speaker 1: right now. They've already beat them. They win this. They 291 00:13:18,520 --> 00:13:21,120 Speaker 1: basically got four games with like four to go. Huge 292 00:13:21,120 --> 00:13:23,360 Speaker 1: game for Furman, very experienced team. I think they've bounced 293 00:13:23,360 --> 00:13:26,079 Speaker 1: back here. I's go the other end of the spectrum. 294 00:13:26,120 --> 00:13:27,880 Speaker 1: Sell high. What do you got circle here? 295 00:13:27,960 --> 00:13:31,200 Speaker 4: I'm gonna sell high on Murray State. They've cracked the 296 00:13:31,200 --> 00:13:34,520 Speaker 4: top twenty five this week. They have a twelve game 297 00:13:34,559 --> 00:13:37,959 Speaker 4: win streaking conference play, but you know they're I think 298 00:13:37,960 --> 00:13:41,480 Speaker 4: they're due for a little bit of regression. They are 299 00:13:41,480 --> 00:13:43,760 Speaker 4: winning these games and basically not ways you maybe would 300 00:13:43,800 --> 00:13:45,920 Speaker 4: think of For a mid major team like Murray State, 301 00:13:45,920 --> 00:13:48,160 Speaker 4: who in the past just drills, you know, a ton 302 00:13:48,160 --> 00:13:50,960 Speaker 4: of threes, they're doing it by crashing the offensive glass. 303 00:13:51,040 --> 00:13:52,800 Speaker 4: A little over forty four percent of their shots are 304 00:13:52,800 --> 00:13:55,080 Speaker 4: coming at the rim, and then on the flip side, 305 00:13:55,080 --> 00:13:57,040 Speaker 4: forty percent of their shots behind the arc. So they're 306 00:13:57,120 --> 00:13:59,760 Speaker 4: essentially doing what you're supposed to do in half court offense, 307 00:13:59,760 --> 00:14:02,960 Speaker 4: which rely on the two most efficient shots. Well, the 308 00:14:02,960 --> 00:14:04,560 Speaker 4: shots at the room aren't really going to work because 309 00:14:04,559 --> 00:14:07,000 Speaker 4: they're playing against Morehead State, who's eleven and one in 310 00:14:07,000 --> 00:14:09,560 Speaker 4: conference play, with their only loss coming to Murray State 311 00:14:09,600 --> 00:14:12,040 Speaker 4: on the road, where they actually were tied with about 312 00:14:12,080 --> 00:14:14,280 Speaker 4: ten minutes left to go and then collapse and ended 313 00:14:14,360 --> 00:14:16,959 Speaker 4: up not covering a ten point spread. Murray State plays 314 00:14:16,960 --> 00:14:19,200 Speaker 4: Tennessee State on the road. They're fourteen and a half 315 00:14:19,200 --> 00:14:21,960 Speaker 4: point favorites on Thursday nights, so probably not gonna prob. 316 00:14:21,960 --> 00:14:23,200 Speaker 4: I should just cruise by them. 317 00:14:23,080 --> 00:14:27,640 Speaker 1: And then you know this line, we want the circle want. 318 00:14:26,720 --> 00:14:31,160 Speaker 4: Them to roll. Morehead State has Belmont tonight want them 319 00:14:31,160 --> 00:14:33,720 Speaker 4: to get crushed and want them to get crushed so 320 00:14:33,760 --> 00:14:37,120 Speaker 4: we can get a potentially good number here. Uh, Murray 321 00:14:37,160 --> 00:14:41,720 Speaker 4: State is fourteenth in the country, allowing around twenty nine 322 00:14:41,760 --> 00:14:44,600 Speaker 4: percent from three and only twenty six percent in conference play. 323 00:14:44,640 --> 00:14:48,840 Speaker 4: Those numbers are not sustainable whatsoever. So Kent Bomb has 324 00:14:48,840 --> 00:14:51,800 Speaker 4: this that Murray State minus five. I'd love Morehead State 325 00:14:51,840 --> 00:14:53,880 Speaker 4: at plus five, but I'll probably end up playing them 326 00:14:53,880 --> 00:14:56,760 Speaker 4: down to plus four. Let's hope that we can get 327 00:14:56,760 --> 00:14:59,640 Speaker 4: the best possible number from the Thursday outcomes. 328 00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:02,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, I have this circle too. Like I said, root 329 00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:06,160 Speaker 1: for Belmont to roll and for married to roll. You 330 00:15:06,400 --> 00:15:09,840 Speaker 1: hear something the betters will say which has some merit, 331 00:15:09,840 --> 00:15:11,720 Speaker 1: and I'll explain what you say. Are these these teams 332 00:15:11,720 --> 00:15:13,240 Speaker 1: that are mid majors that get right them the top 333 00:15:13,240 --> 00:15:16,800 Speaker 1: twenty five for the first time, fade them? It's you 334 00:15:16,840 --> 00:15:19,920 Speaker 1: here in college football too, And it's true. Historically it's 335 00:15:19,920 --> 00:15:22,000 Speaker 1: been a pretty good bet. Over the past three weeks, 336 00:15:22,000 --> 00:15:24,640 Speaker 1: we've seen it happen three times. We had Saint Mary's 337 00:15:25,120 --> 00:15:27,600 Speaker 1: get to the top twenty five and lose Datedson get 338 00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:30,280 Speaker 1: into the top twenty five and lose Loyla Chicago getting 339 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:32,480 Speaker 1: to the top twenty five and lose. Why, Like, are 340 00:15:32,480 --> 00:15:34,680 Speaker 1: they like, oh we're twenty fourth, we're gonna lose. No, 341 00:15:34,880 --> 00:15:38,440 Speaker 1: it's basically think about it. It's probably a signal that 342 00:15:38,480 --> 00:15:40,440 Speaker 1: you're at the peak of the market value right like 343 00:15:40,440 --> 00:15:44,120 Speaker 1: they're you're this is this is Teams now top twenty 344 00:15:44,160 --> 00:15:46,000 Speaker 1: the nation are mid major, means they're probably on a 345 00:15:46,080 --> 00:15:48,040 Speaker 1: huge run and the only way for him to go 346 00:15:48,160 --> 00:15:51,600 Speaker 1: is down. Generally speaking, in that scenario, you're selling high, 347 00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:52,920 Speaker 1: and I think this is a good spot to sell 348 00:15:53,000 --> 00:15:54,920 Speaker 1: high on mary State, especially more Head is coming off 349 00:15:54,920 --> 00:15:56,960 Speaker 1: the loss to Belmont. Narrative change is a little bit 350 00:15:56,960 --> 00:15:59,320 Speaker 1: of Morehead wins that game against Belmont, Like is there 351 00:15:59,800 --> 00:16:02,280 Speaker 1: a little letdown there? But they have revenge and it'll 352 00:16:02,280 --> 00:16:05,760 Speaker 1: be a huge game for them. Double bye and regular 353 00:16:05,760 --> 00:16:10,480 Speaker 1: season conference standings. Broom is excellent inside. Morehead stayed smothering 354 00:16:10,560 --> 00:16:14,240 Speaker 1: defense on the perimeter. So yeah, I like them at home. 355 00:16:14,280 --> 00:16:17,960 Speaker 1: I think that their their live dogs, and if they 356 00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:21,960 Speaker 1: lose tonight, mary wins, the larger margin the better. I 357 00:16:22,000 --> 00:16:25,440 Speaker 1: have this spot circle as well from my cell high 358 00:16:25,920 --> 00:16:27,680 Speaker 1: I mentioned I hinted it this earlier. I mean, I 359 00:16:27,680 --> 00:16:32,840 Speaker 1: gotta probably sell Arkansas high against Alabama. Look, they've Arkansas 360 00:16:32,880 --> 00:16:36,000 Speaker 1: come I don't there might still be celebrating that win 361 00:16:36,040 --> 00:16:38,280 Speaker 1: over Auburn, huge win, their first win over a number 362 00:16:38,280 --> 00:16:40,520 Speaker 1: one team in forty years. But here's the thing, and 363 00:16:40,560 --> 00:16:42,840 Speaker 1: they've won eight in a row. We're getting close probably 364 00:16:42,880 --> 00:16:45,840 Speaker 1: to their peak market value, the first team in forty years. Also, 365 00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:48,560 Speaker 1: UCLA did an early eighties to start. I went three 366 00:16:48,640 --> 00:16:51,040 Speaker 1: conference and then win eight straight. And if you look, 367 00:16:51,280 --> 00:16:53,560 Speaker 1: the Alburn win is super impressive in a great slam 368 00:16:53,640 --> 00:16:56,200 Speaker 1: dunk home run spot, but there are other seven games 369 00:16:56,240 --> 00:17:00,360 Speaker 1: were against me. You know, they beat a middleing LSU team, 370 00:17:00,800 --> 00:17:02,560 Speaker 1: reeling als tw team without pins, and the rest of 371 00:17:02,560 --> 00:17:05,119 Speaker 1: their games it's not like they are really impressive win. 372 00:17:05,160 --> 00:17:06,959 Speaker 1: So I think that you're probably going to get them 373 00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:11,280 Speaker 1: over value here. Hungover let down against Alabama should come 374 00:17:11,320 --> 00:17:13,600 Speaker 1: in a little fresher at an easy win over all Miss, 375 00:17:13,600 --> 00:17:15,800 Speaker 1: And I think that the biggest thing really important because 376 00:17:15,800 --> 00:17:17,800 Speaker 1: Alabama finally saw the ball go in. They shot three 377 00:17:17,800 --> 00:17:20,639 Speaker 1: to thirty from three against Kentucky, they were fourteen of 378 00:17:20,680 --> 00:17:23,400 Speaker 1: twenty two against Old Miss. They're stole only shooting twenty 379 00:17:23,480 --> 00:17:26,760 Speaker 1: nine percent from beyond the arc. And league play and 380 00:17:26,800 --> 00:17:28,719 Speaker 1: that's huge because they shoot three such a high rate, 381 00:17:28,760 --> 00:17:31,240 Speaker 1: top twenty in the nation. I think there's some aggression coming, 382 00:17:31,280 --> 00:17:33,119 Speaker 1: more positive agression coming for Alabama. So I think you 383 00:17:33,160 --> 00:17:36,159 Speaker 1: see a couple more gaudy shooting performances the rest of 384 00:17:36,160 --> 00:17:38,000 Speaker 1: the way and sec play. I think one of them 385 00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:40,359 Speaker 1: could be at home on Saturday. Arkansas is not going 386 00:17:40,400 --> 00:17:42,800 Speaker 1: to like crush you with bigs inside where Alabama can 387 00:17:42,840 --> 00:17:44,080 Speaker 1: be a bit vulnerable. So I think it's a good 388 00:17:44,080 --> 00:17:46,719 Speaker 1: spot to get Alabama. I'll also mention the ugliest one 389 00:17:46,720 --> 00:17:49,919 Speaker 1: on the board. It sucks. It's gonna hurt Wyoming, who's 390 00:17:49,960 --> 00:17:53,240 Speaker 1: just won incredible four games in eight days against four 391 00:17:53,280 --> 00:17:56,040 Speaker 1: potential tournament teams, like two in overtime, two others that 392 00:17:56,320 --> 00:17:58,520 Speaker 1: all four went right down to the wire. That's in 393 00:17:58,760 --> 00:18:00,320 Speaker 1: that stretch. The eight day stretch came a couple of 394 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:02,840 Speaker 1: days after they went to more altitude and they playing 395 00:18:02,840 --> 00:18:05,320 Speaker 1: out to an air force and one at the buzzer 396 00:18:05,359 --> 00:18:07,160 Speaker 1: in that game. I mean, this team has to be exhausted. 397 00:18:07,200 --> 00:18:10,320 Speaker 1: They mentally physically win. To their head coaches talked about 398 00:18:10,359 --> 00:18:12,800 Speaker 1: it so they could. They're going to Santa They state 399 00:18:12,920 --> 00:18:14,920 Speaker 1: is dreadful. They haven't won a game in conference. They're 400 00:18:14,920 --> 00:18:18,320 Speaker 1: only winning twenty twenty two against Bethesda College, but Wyoming, 401 00:18:18,600 --> 00:18:20,919 Speaker 1: it's hard to just manufacture this many good games in 402 00:18:20,920 --> 00:18:23,600 Speaker 1: a row. They could come out really sleepy. And the 403 00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:25,360 Speaker 1: other thing I really like about this is Lender's talked 404 00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:28,439 Speaker 1: about the fatigue, So if they're up like comfortably, I 405 00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:30,639 Speaker 1: can't imagine that he pushes the starters at all, right, like, 406 00:18:30,680 --> 00:18:32,440 Speaker 1: all right, let's get rest. We just need to win, 407 00:18:32,520 --> 00:18:35,720 Speaker 1: that's it. So they potentially might pull their starters a 408 00:18:35,760 --> 00:18:38,240 Speaker 1: lot sooner than usual, which could open up the back 409 00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:41,120 Speaker 1: door if needed. So super ugly hold your nose one, 410 00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:44,240 Speaker 1: but might be on San Jose State depending on the number. 411 00:18:44,440 --> 00:18:47,760 Speaker 1: Hopefully maybe get like fifteen sixteen and then hope women 412 00:18:47,840 --> 00:18:51,960 Speaker 1: comes out flat, you know, extends midway through the second half, 413 00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:54,800 Speaker 1: gets a comfortable lead, pulls their starters, ends up winning 414 00:18:54,800 --> 00:18:58,400 Speaker 1: by like ten to twelve. Home dog, what you got, circle. 415 00:18:58,359 --> 00:18:59,960 Speaker 4: This is gonna be a little ugly and probably pay. 416 00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:04,080 Speaker 4: I have Butler circled at home against Marquette on Saturday. 417 00:19:04,119 --> 00:19:07,000 Speaker 4: Butler's lost three straight games to Xavier, Saint John's and 418 00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:11,040 Speaker 4: Creighton by a combined seven points throughout much of the season. Obviously, 419 00:19:11,119 --> 00:19:13,320 Speaker 4: Butler is dealt with a ton of injuries. They've gone 420 00:19:13,320 --> 00:19:15,679 Speaker 4: through some rough patches, but it seems they're starting to 421 00:19:15,800 --> 00:19:17,879 Speaker 4: kind of turn a corner now that everybody's healthy in 422 00:19:17,880 --> 00:19:19,920 Speaker 4: their forum has been a little bit better. We saw 423 00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:23,119 Speaker 4: some of Marquette's shooting aggression come against Yukon on Tuesday. 424 00:19:23,160 --> 00:19:25,480 Speaker 4: They only shot forty percent from the field, when their 425 00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:28,520 Speaker 4: effective field goal percentage in conference plays around fifty three percent, 426 00:19:29,200 --> 00:19:31,600 Speaker 4: and Marquette is basically all just shooting or bus. They're 427 00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:33,960 Speaker 4: the worst offensive rebounding team and the worst free throw 428 00:19:34,040 --> 00:19:36,080 Speaker 4: rate team in the Big East, and this will also 429 00:19:36,080 --> 00:19:39,760 Speaker 4: be their fourth road game of their last five games. Marquette, 430 00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:42,640 Speaker 4: we've already talked about a ton about their shooting aggression 431 00:19:42,720 --> 00:19:45,680 Speaker 4: thirty nine percent from three point range and conference play. 432 00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:48,000 Speaker 4: That's not sustainable. Now they have to take on the 433 00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:50,720 Speaker 4: number one three point field goal defense in the Big East, 434 00:19:50,760 --> 00:19:53,399 Speaker 4: Butler's only one. Butler's actually allowing under thirty percent in 435 00:19:53,440 --> 00:19:55,600 Speaker 4: conference play, So I think this is a decent spot 436 00:19:55,640 --> 00:19:58,239 Speaker 4: for Butler to potentially pick off Marquette and get some 437 00:19:58,280 --> 00:20:01,640 Speaker 4: of that shooting aggression come to fruition. So again, palm 438 00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:04,600 Speaker 4: As is a Marquette minus six I'd obviously love Butler 439 00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:07,840 Speaker 4: at that, but I'll play the Bulldogs down to four 440 00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:08,560 Speaker 4: and a half or better. 441 00:20:08,800 --> 00:20:11,200 Speaker 1: Yeah. My home dog, well, I went to Statose State, 442 00:20:11,240 --> 00:20:15,280 Speaker 1: but that's mainly a cell of Wyoming and fading the spot. 443 00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:18,160 Speaker 1: But my home dog you already talked about was Morehead State. 444 00:20:18,760 --> 00:20:22,120 Speaker 1: It's kind of a cell of Mary, but it's also 445 00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:24,560 Speaker 1: a play on Warhead State, I think is an excellent 446 00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:27,879 Speaker 1: mid major team. So already covered that one. So let's 447 00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:31,280 Speaker 1: hit a couple others here and go rapid fire run 448 00:20:31,359 --> 00:20:32,840 Speaker 1: down what else you got circle? 449 00:20:33,440 --> 00:20:36,880 Speaker 4: I got Indiana State circled. On Saturday, they're playing Illinois State. 450 00:20:36,960 --> 00:20:41,840 Speaker 4: I think obviously Indiana State's playing Evansville again tonight. I 451 00:20:41,840 --> 00:20:44,720 Speaker 4: think we've reached pretty much the bottom of the market 452 00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:47,760 Speaker 4: on Indiana State. They've dealt with a ton of injuries 453 00:20:48,080 --> 00:20:49,520 Speaker 4: throughout the season and. 454 00:20:49,640 --> 00:20:51,880 Speaker 1: Going on seventeen from three and losing. 455 00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:56,040 Speaker 4: It's just say that that game against Evansville the funniest. 456 00:20:56,080 --> 00:20:57,720 Speaker 4: Maybe my jaw hit the floor when I saw this, 457 00:20:57,840 --> 00:21:00,640 Speaker 4: but neither team had an offensive rebound in the game, 458 00:21:00,680 --> 00:21:01,119 Speaker 4: and I think that. 459 00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:03,119 Speaker 1: First time, the first time in college basketball history. 460 00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:06,440 Speaker 4: Yeah, since they started tracking offensive rebounds. That's insane. Yeah, 461 00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:08,600 Speaker 4: so shooting rgression has got to come now that they 462 00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:13,000 Speaker 4: have everybody healthy, and for Indiana State, they cannot continue 463 00:21:13,040 --> 00:21:14,520 Speaker 4: to shoot the ball this bat and they're going to 464 00:21:14,560 --> 00:21:16,960 Speaker 4: get some of that regression back. And what's funny about 465 00:21:17,000 --> 00:21:20,560 Speaker 4: them is they're actually fifth in the country in points 466 00:21:20,560 --> 00:21:24,040 Speaker 4: per possession in transition offense, which I was shocked when 467 00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:27,040 Speaker 4: I saw that, while Illinois State is third to last 468 00:21:27,040 --> 00:21:30,080 Speaker 4: in the conference in defensive transition. Indiana State also takes 469 00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:33,160 Speaker 4: the highest percentage of three pointers in the NBC, Illinois 470 00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:36,840 Speaker 4: State allowing the third highest three point percentage in conference. Overall, 471 00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:39,200 Speaker 4: this Indiana State team is way better than two and 472 00:21:39,320 --> 00:21:41,479 Speaker 4: nine in conference play. And Ken Palm has this at 473 00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:45,080 Speaker 4: Indiana State minus one at home against a pretty bad 474 00:21:45,240 --> 00:21:48,640 Speaker 4: Illinois State team. So I like the Sycamores at home. 475 00:21:48,720 --> 00:21:50,359 Speaker 4: Let's hope they get some of that aggression back, and 476 00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:52,840 Speaker 4: I'll play it up to anything minus three and a half. 477 00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:55,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, I like this one as well. I think that 478 00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:58,119 Speaker 1: Illinois State, who lost side Chapman, is no good and 479 00:21:58,280 --> 00:22:00,320 Speaker 1: I mean they've had a couple of junk cover and 480 00:22:00,560 --> 00:22:03,199 Speaker 1: they just beat valpoing overtime. But I think it's a 481 00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:04,840 Speaker 1: good spot for Indiana State unless that, you know, they 482 00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:07,200 Speaker 1: lose again to Evansville to night and it just spirals. 483 00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:10,159 Speaker 1: But yeah, they're much better than they're playing. Finally have 484 00:22:10,320 --> 00:22:12,760 Speaker 1: some roster continuity and some health. So I think it 485 00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:14,800 Speaker 1: might be a good team to back, as long as 486 00:22:14,800 --> 00:22:18,080 Speaker 1: it's not a disaster tonight, let's go. I'm gonna mention 487 00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:20,720 Speaker 1: the luck box of Providence, who's like ten nine and 488 00:22:20,840 --> 00:22:23,280 Speaker 1: zero in games decided by five or less. You're gonna 489 00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:26,000 Speaker 1: get a nice number here with De Paul on the road. 490 00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:27,800 Speaker 1: The ball is actually playing pretty good they I mean 491 00:22:27,840 --> 00:22:29,840 Speaker 1: the one at Xavier, they had a huge run on 492 00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:31,440 Speaker 1: the second had to beat Georgetown and they were down 493 00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:33,800 Speaker 1: Johnson and Freeman Liberty, and so they're starting to play 494 00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:36,040 Speaker 1: better without those guys. I think there's a good chance 495 00:22:36,040 --> 00:22:37,600 Speaker 1: at Freeman Liberty might be back and they'll be huge. 496 00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:39,000 Speaker 1: And if he does get announced and the line will 497 00:22:39,040 --> 00:22:42,159 Speaker 1: come down, he tweeted the other day very soon, and 498 00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:45,560 Speaker 1: he's their best player Providence, who's been off since Sunday. 499 00:22:45,880 --> 00:22:48,639 Speaker 1: They played to Paul and then they're home against Nova 500 00:22:48,720 --> 00:22:54,080 Speaker 1: on Tuesday in an absolutely enormous game in the Big East. 501 00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:56,600 Speaker 1: I mean, Providence wins that game. I mean, there are 502 00:22:56,640 --> 00:22:59,720 Speaker 1: already two games ahead of Villanova right now in the 503 00:22:59,800 --> 00:23:03,200 Speaker 1: law column. That's just a huge game. So little look 504 00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:06,280 Speaker 1: ahead here for Providence. Providence obviously been one of the 505 00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:08,560 Speaker 1: luckiest teams in the country no matter what metric you 506 00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:11,760 Speaker 1: look at. Really tough team, well coached, and I mean 507 00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:14,159 Speaker 1: they're still shooting over their heads compared to if you 508 00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:16,080 Speaker 1: look at the quality of their shots, but they find 509 00:23:16,080 --> 00:23:17,800 Speaker 1: ways to win. You got to give them credit for that. 510 00:23:17,840 --> 00:23:20,320 Speaker 1: But I'm not worried about that. Here have to cover 511 00:23:20,400 --> 00:23:23,960 Speaker 1: a number, like you know, maybe this opens at like eight, nine, ten, 512 00:23:24,280 --> 00:23:27,040 Speaker 1: depending on how the market assumes health Freeman Liberty comes in, 513 00:23:27,080 --> 00:23:30,320 Speaker 1: that line'll come down. The market does hate Providence, so 514 00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:33,240 Speaker 1: we'll see where this opens at. But I did have 515 00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:37,439 Speaker 1: them circled similar spot for Georgia Tech getting maybe a 516 00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:40,600 Speaker 1: similar number. It's hard for Virginia they play so slow. 517 00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:42,240 Speaker 1: It's also not a This is not a great zone 518 00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:44,440 Speaker 1: team because they can't shoot and their spacing is really bad, 519 00:23:44,480 --> 00:23:46,800 Speaker 1: like three hundred and forty fourth per shot quality, which 520 00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:49,359 Speaker 1: is not good against the zone. Coming off a huge 521 00:23:50,040 --> 00:23:54,840 Speaker 1: win against Duke. Georgia Tech meanwhile, very inefficient offense. It's 522 00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:57,440 Speaker 1: like devout and a bunch of mid range. That's where 523 00:23:57,440 --> 00:23:59,639 Speaker 1: they live, which is not great, but that's where Virginia 524 00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:01,840 Speaker 1: forces you to live. And the things that Georgia Tech 525 00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:04,240 Speaker 1: doesn't do well, you can't do him against Virginia anyway. 526 00:24:04,280 --> 00:24:06,400 Speaker 1: I just don't think I don't think it's the worst matchup. 527 00:24:06,600 --> 00:24:09,080 Speaker 1: It's a pretty good spot to back the Ollo Jackets. 528 00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:12,600 Speaker 1: So you might get an inflated number after Virginia beat Duke. 529 00:24:12,720 --> 00:24:13,960 Speaker 1: Anything else on your radar. 530 00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:17,280 Speaker 4: Yeah, I like Texas Tech at home against TCU obviously 531 00:24:17,400 --> 00:24:20,119 Speaker 4: a get right spot for Texas Tech after losing Oklaholm 532 00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:22,120 Speaker 4: on the road on Wednesday. One of the best home 533 00:24:22,119 --> 00:24:24,960 Speaker 4: court advantages in college basketball, and they've just been dominating 534 00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:27,520 Speaker 4: everybody at home this season. Only one team and it 535 00:24:27,640 --> 00:24:30,320 Speaker 4: was Kansas, has lost by less than ten points in 536 00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:34,639 Speaker 4: Lubbock this year. TCU is the luckiest team in the 537 00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:38,280 Speaker 4: Big Twelve per shot quality to have about four yeah, 538 00:24:38,280 --> 00:24:41,399 Speaker 4: about three or four more wins than they probably should. 539 00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:43,480 Speaker 4: This game is probably gonna be played in the half court, 540 00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:46,159 Speaker 4: which is gonna greatly favorite Texas Tech. TCU second to 541 00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:48,920 Speaker 4: last in the Big Twelve in points for possession half 542 00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:52,080 Speaker 4: court offense. Well, Tech is eleventh in college basketball and 543 00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:54,760 Speaker 4: half court defense. The turnover battle is also gonna be 544 00:24:54,800 --> 00:24:57,080 Speaker 4: really key. TCU turns the ball over at the highest 545 00:24:57,119 --> 00:24:59,200 Speaker 4: rate in the Big Twelve and has one of the 546 00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:03,080 Speaker 4: lowest tent iges on defense. Well Tech hardly turns the 547 00:25:03,080 --> 00:25:05,399 Speaker 4: ball over. The only way I can see TCU actually 548 00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:08,080 Speaker 4: staying in this game is if they just completely dominate 549 00:25:08,080 --> 00:25:10,200 Speaker 4: the offensive. Last, they do have the best offensive rebounding 550 00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:13,159 Speaker 4: percentage in the Big Twelve. Well Tech is pretty average, 551 00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:16,359 Speaker 4: but TCU was also shooting sixty three percent from the 552 00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:19,879 Speaker 4: free throw line in conference place, so Tech is hardly 553 00:25:20,080 --> 00:25:21,639 Speaker 4: you know, they are sending people to the line at 554 00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:23,399 Speaker 4: fairly high rate, but it's probably not gonna hurt them. 555 00:25:23,480 --> 00:25:26,400 Speaker 4: Ken Palm has a set Texas Tech minus ten. I'd obviously, 556 00:25:26,440 --> 00:25:28,120 Speaker 4: you know, would love it at that. It's probably gonna 557 00:25:28,160 --> 00:25:30,440 Speaker 4: tick up to about, you know, minus twelve, minus twelve 558 00:25:30,440 --> 00:25:32,240 Speaker 4: and a half. So minus twelve and a half would 559 00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:34,080 Speaker 4: probably be the peak for me. But I do like 560 00:25:34,080 --> 00:25:35,880 Speaker 4: the Red Raiders at home to blow out TCU. 561 00:25:36,160 --> 00:25:40,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, the defense should smother a decent fact bounce back 562 00:25:40,160 --> 00:25:44,240 Speaker 1: spot Georgia State Regression Tour, Positive Regression Tour. Luck toour 563 00:25:44,320 --> 00:25:46,160 Speaker 1: I think I will be on them again. The line 564 00:25:46,160 --> 00:25:48,920 Speaker 1: will move. They will steam at app State some revenge 565 00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:52,120 Speaker 1: as well. That's another one I'd circled. Kentucky might get 566 00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:54,119 Speaker 1: an inflated number with them at home against a desperate 567 00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:57,720 Speaker 1: Florida team who has Castleton back. So in Kentuck's kind 568 00:25:57,720 --> 00:25:59,920 Speaker 1: of a sleeping in these like these spots a bit 569 00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:02,919 Speaker 1: at home lately like they did. They'll have like smash 570 00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:04,360 Speaker 1: spots and then you know they come home to sleep 571 00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:07,800 Speaker 1: against Vandy, sleep against Mississippi State. Rupp is like not 572 00:26:07,920 --> 00:26:10,840 Speaker 1: the craziest home court advantage ivul trust. You live right 573 00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:12,760 Speaker 1: down on the street from it. It's a big arena. 574 00:26:13,680 --> 00:26:16,119 Speaker 1: You might get an inflate a number of Kentucky huge 575 00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:20,639 Speaker 1: game Tennessee on Tuesday. So desperate Florida team, maybe you're 576 00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:23,400 Speaker 1: getting Can you get like thirteen to fourteen here? That's 577 00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:25,639 Speaker 1: where Ken Pom projects it. Man love to get that 578 00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:26,840 Speaker 1: anything else. 579 00:26:26,680 --> 00:26:30,000 Speaker 4: For you, Yeah, real quick. Tulsa at home against Cincinnati 580 00:26:30,080 --> 00:26:34,000 Speaker 4: one in ten and AAC play, but they've only in 581 00:26:34,040 --> 00:26:36,560 Speaker 4: those ten losses, they've only lost by more than ten 582 00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:39,800 Speaker 4: once or twice, and in their five home losses they've 583 00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:43,000 Speaker 4: lost by a combined sixteen points. So the team that's 584 00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:45,800 Speaker 4: due for a ton of positive aggression playing a Cincinnati 585 00:26:45,840 --> 00:26:48,000 Speaker 4: team that is punching a little above its weight, not 586 00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:52,439 Speaker 4: a very good offense. Surprisingly, Tulsa very good in transition defense, 587 00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:56,040 Speaker 4: which that's where Cincinnati basically lives and is most efficient. 588 00:26:56,240 --> 00:26:59,199 Speaker 4: Cincinnati very bad in terms of half court offense. So 589 00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:02,080 Speaker 4: ken As I said, Cincinnati minus four, I think this 590 00:27:02,119 --> 00:27:04,440 Speaker 4: is a good spot for Tolsa. Saw. I mean, honestly, 591 00:27:04,440 --> 00:27:06,240 Speaker 4: we've probably just reached the bottom of the market for 592 00:27:06,320 --> 00:27:08,840 Speaker 4: Tolsa since they're one and ten in conference place. So 593 00:27:09,040 --> 00:27:11,080 Speaker 4: would love toll set plus four. But you know, I've 594 00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:13,280 Speaker 4: obviously played them down to you know, plus three plus 595 00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:14,280 Speaker 4: two and a half somewhere in there. 596 00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:16,160 Speaker 1: All Right, you have a good stuff far. Let's move 597 00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:18,199 Speaker 1: on to Friday night. We'll bringing the guys from the 598 00:27:18,200 --> 00:27:20,600 Speaker 1: three man weave for a Friday six pack. We've been 599 00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:24,200 Speaker 1: middling so farward nine to nine through three weeks. Let's 600 00:27:24,240 --> 00:27:25,000 Speaker 1: get right to it. 601 00:27:25,240 --> 00:27:27,240 Speaker 3: Six guys, six picks. 602 00:27:27,520 --> 00:27:35,240 Speaker 7: It's a college Hoop's a weekend six packs, right, get. 603 00:27:35,240 --> 00:27:43,199 Speaker 8: Right from my bet this Friday, Fellas, I'm going with 604 00:27:43,320 --> 00:27:45,600 Speaker 8: the under in Yukon and Xavier. 605 00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:46,680 Speaker 3: That's right. 606 00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:48,600 Speaker 8: These two teams have not played yet this year. I 607 00:27:48,640 --> 00:27:51,119 Speaker 8: was actually initially thought this was a rematch and I 608 00:27:51,160 --> 00:27:53,119 Speaker 8: had to do my research found that nope, they have not. 609 00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:55,960 Speaker 8: They're going to play twice in the next week. Both 610 00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:58,399 Speaker 8: these teams have excellent interior defense. I think that's the 611 00:27:58,440 --> 00:28:01,880 Speaker 8: big story here, especially on the Xavier side. Getting Jack 612 00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:05,480 Speaker 8: Nunji in the lineup has been massive, and with Yukon's authense, 613 00:28:05,520 --> 00:28:08,440 Speaker 8: if you can sort of prevent Sonogo from scoring one 614 00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:10,960 Speaker 8: on one, it really short circuits. Then because they want 615 00:28:10,960 --> 00:28:12,480 Speaker 8: to go to him, they want to get easy buckets, 616 00:28:12,520 --> 00:28:15,040 Speaker 8: then they force you to double, they force rotations. That's 617 00:28:15,040 --> 00:28:18,960 Speaker 8: how Yukon scores. Once that ball is zipping around following 618 00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:21,000 Speaker 8: some Sonoga early efficiency. 619 00:28:20,480 --> 00:28:20,879 Speaker 3: That's it. 620 00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:22,800 Speaker 8: I think Nunji is going to be a big part 621 00:28:22,800 --> 00:28:25,920 Speaker 8: of neutralizing this. I wish Deontay Miles was playing two, 622 00:28:26,080 --> 00:28:28,640 Speaker 8: but unfortunately he has not been in the lineup recently. 623 00:28:28,960 --> 00:28:31,720 Speaker 8: On the other side, though, Yukon's interior defense rocks too, 624 00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:35,440 Speaker 8: fifth nationally in two point percentage, third in block rate. 625 00:28:35,480 --> 00:28:38,520 Speaker 8: They're going to take away the interior from Xavier. I 626 00:28:38,520 --> 00:28:41,480 Speaker 8: think that's that's a very positive indicator and Yukon's playing 627 00:28:41,480 --> 00:28:44,400 Speaker 8: a lot slower this year. At least in conference play 628 00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:48,280 Speaker 8: there almost a full second longer average possession length than 629 00:28:48,320 --> 00:28:50,280 Speaker 8: they were in non conference, So I think that is 630 00:28:50,520 --> 00:28:53,640 Speaker 8: a key indicator for some slower games. Their last two 631 00:28:53,680 --> 00:28:57,239 Speaker 8: were scoring bonanzas just because of efficiency. But I think 632 00:28:57,280 --> 00:28:59,640 Speaker 8: we see a little bit regression downwards towards the mean 633 00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:03,920 Speaker 8: in terms of that efficiency. These two biggest new biggest 634 00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:06,120 Speaker 8: rivals I only played twice. Ever, there's a fun little 635 00:29:06,160 --> 00:29:09,040 Speaker 8: historical nugget, but I think these new rivals are going 636 00:29:09,120 --> 00:29:11,360 Speaker 8: to have a low scoring game. I'm seeing it at 637 00:29:11,360 --> 00:29:12,640 Speaker 8: one forty on the early opener. 638 00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:13,720 Speaker 3: I would take this down. 639 00:29:13,520 --> 00:29:16,320 Speaker 8: To one thirty six bou points. 640 00:29:16,440 --> 00:29:19,120 Speaker 3: Let's go under love it, Jim, Well, in this case, 641 00:29:19,280 --> 00:29:20,440 Speaker 3: I like points. 642 00:29:20,480 --> 00:29:22,680 Speaker 7: I'm going to need all the points that Vegas and 643 00:29:22,680 --> 00:29:24,800 Speaker 7: the odds makers are offering me. I'm looking at Nevada 644 00:29:24,880 --> 00:29:27,000 Speaker 7: plus twelve and a half. I take this down to 645 00:29:27,200 --> 00:29:29,920 Speaker 7: plus eleven and so, yes, you're hearing a Nevada plus eleven. 646 00:29:29,920 --> 00:29:31,280 Speaker 7: Who the hell are they playing? Well, they're playing you 647 00:29:31,280 --> 00:29:35,600 Speaker 7: toss state kind Jim, who's been nothing short of magnificent lately. Nevada, 648 00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:37,440 Speaker 7: on the other hand, has been terrible. This is a 649 00:29:37,560 --> 00:29:40,320 Speaker 7: vintage Matt trying to catch a falling knife. But I 650 00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:43,160 Speaker 7: think I have a catcher in the rye in Grand 651 00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:46,680 Speaker 7: Sherfield Kai with his second game back return last Gamel, 652 00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:48,640 Speaker 7: had a full thirty five minute struggled a little bit, 653 00:29:48,680 --> 00:29:51,960 Speaker 7: but looked mostly healthy out there. The defense was a 654 00:29:51,960 --> 00:29:54,520 Speaker 7: pretty big question mark as they are without war Washington 655 00:29:54,640 --> 00:29:57,680 Speaker 7: up front, but Utah States in a tough schedule spot 656 00:29:57,960 --> 00:29:59,960 Speaker 7: coming off the Wyoming game, and they could be without 657 00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:02,440 Speaker 7: Sean Barstow, who's been their third leading scorer this last 658 00:30:02,480 --> 00:30:05,520 Speaker 7: game with a non COVID illness. So I like fading 659 00:30:05,520 --> 00:30:07,880 Speaker 7: a team even though they're at altitude with only six 660 00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:10,720 Speaker 7: and a half guys in their rotation. Again, catching in 661 00:30:10,720 --> 00:30:12,719 Speaker 7: avata team that I think is grossly under priced right 662 00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:16,160 Speaker 7: now because Sherfield's been out during this horrible stretch. I mean, 663 00:30:16,200 --> 00:30:18,280 Speaker 7: for goodness sake, they played eleven days ago and the 664 00:30:18,320 --> 00:30:20,000 Speaker 7: spread was minus one and a half. Now it's a 665 00:30:20,040 --> 00:30:23,240 Speaker 7: twelve point thirteen point swing in the other direction. Just 666 00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:27,120 Speaker 7: from a pure handicapping lens. That can't be possible. So 667 00:30:27,440 --> 00:30:29,800 Speaker 7: famous last words, taking Nevada plus twelve and a half 668 00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:32,360 Speaker 7: down to plus eleven yeah, guys, my best bet is 669 00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:35,360 Speaker 7: going to be Sienna plus eight plus nine plus ten. 670 00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:37,840 Speaker 7: Whatever you see out there, it's a good bet. It's 671 00:30:37,840 --> 00:30:40,960 Speaker 7: a major rivalry here. Cienna is hosting Iona, so you 672 00:30:41,000 --> 00:30:44,200 Speaker 7: know Cenna is going to be a motivated home dog 673 00:30:44,320 --> 00:30:47,720 Speaker 7: in this game. There's no love loss between these two schools. 674 00:30:47,720 --> 00:30:48,520 Speaker 1: They hate each other. 675 00:30:48,840 --> 00:30:51,040 Speaker 7: But the Saints have also been playing pretty good basketball 676 00:30:51,120 --> 00:30:53,920 Speaker 7: lately four and one against the spread their last five games. 677 00:30:54,360 --> 00:30:57,400 Speaker 7: It's true Iona dominated Game one in this matchup. Is 678 00:30:57,400 --> 00:31:00,960 Speaker 7: it repeatable maybe, but both teams had advantages on the 679 00:31:01,000 --> 00:31:03,560 Speaker 7: offensive end. Sienna was good at getting on the glass 680 00:31:03,600 --> 00:31:05,920 Speaker 7: as well as Iona. The key for the Saints in 681 00:31:05,960 --> 00:31:08,800 Speaker 7: this game is handling the ball. Eighteen turnovers in game one. 682 00:31:09,160 --> 00:31:13,080 Speaker 7: Cannot repeat that performance. Also banking on Siena slowing things down. 683 00:31:13,320 --> 00:31:16,000 Speaker 7: They've been playing a lot slower recently, limiting possessions. That's 684 00:31:16,040 --> 00:31:18,560 Speaker 7: always good and going against Siona. I like the Saints 685 00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:21,440 Speaker 7: here plus eight plus nine plus ten whatever you can 686 00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:22,000 Speaker 7: find it at. 687 00:31:22,240 --> 00:31:25,400 Speaker 1: Good stuff there from Jim, Matt and Kai. Jim going 688 00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:27,760 Speaker 1: with you, kab Zader under Matt going with Nevada, and 689 00:31:27,840 --> 00:31:30,080 Speaker 1: Kai going with Sienna. BJ where you going? Friday? 690 00:31:30,120 --> 00:31:32,040 Speaker 4: I want to go Saint Bonavicher plus six and a 691 00:31:32,080 --> 00:31:36,000 Speaker 4: half on the road at Saint Louis. The Bonnies have 692 00:31:36,040 --> 00:31:38,719 Speaker 4: had a really disappointing season, and you know, based on 693 00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:41,400 Speaker 4: this current line, I think it's a little tattoo high, 694 00:31:41,520 --> 00:31:43,440 Speaker 4: and I think we really just hit the peak for 695 00:31:43,480 --> 00:31:47,160 Speaker 4: the market on Saint Louis. Saint Bonavitcher heavy ball screen offense. 696 00:31:47,240 --> 00:31:49,800 Speaker 4: They do it very successfully, top twenty percent of college 697 00:31:49,840 --> 00:31:52,160 Speaker 4: basketball and points per possession, while Saint Louis not that 698 00:31:52,200 --> 00:31:54,880 Speaker 4: great in ball screen defense, actually their tenth in the 699 00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:57,440 Speaker 4: A ten in that category. Bonnie's also get to the 700 00:31:57,440 --> 00:31:59,520 Speaker 4: free throw line at the third highest rate in the conference, 701 00:31:59,560 --> 00:32:02,440 Speaker 4: while Saint Lewis allows the second highest free throw rate 702 00:32:02,520 --> 00:32:04,840 Speaker 4: in the A ten. The problem that Saint Bonavitcher has 703 00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:07,600 Speaker 4: ran into is they face teams that shoot three pointers 704 00:32:07,600 --> 00:32:09,080 Speaker 4: at a high rate, and they've just been hitting them 705 00:32:09,280 --> 00:32:12,480 Speaker 4: against them at a crazy percentage. They're allowing close to 706 00:32:12,560 --> 00:32:15,320 Speaker 4: thirty five percent from behind the arc in conference play, 707 00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:17,640 Speaker 4: and if you look back through all of their losses, 708 00:32:17,720 --> 00:32:20,080 Speaker 4: five of their seven losses have come when teams shoot 709 00:32:20,320 --> 00:32:22,719 Speaker 4: over thirty five percent from behind the arc against them. Well, 710 00:32:22,760 --> 00:32:25,200 Speaker 4: Saint Louis is not really that type of team. In fact, 711 00:32:25,280 --> 00:32:27,920 Speaker 4: forty four percent of their field will attempts come at 712 00:32:27,960 --> 00:32:30,240 Speaker 4: the rim and they have the lowest three point rate 713 00:32:30,400 --> 00:32:31,640 Speaker 4: in the A ten. So I think it's a pretty 714 00:32:31,680 --> 00:32:33,880 Speaker 4: good spot for the Bonnie's is a good cell high 715 00:32:34,160 --> 00:32:37,360 Speaker 4: type situation for Saint Louis, so Saint Bonovitcher plus six 716 00:32:37,360 --> 00:32:37,840 Speaker 4: and a half for. 717 00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:40,240 Speaker 1: Me Ballsy my friend Dave Barney, I earned me a 718 00:32:40,280 --> 00:32:43,320 Speaker 1: lot this year. I'm going to go with Kent State. 719 00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:46,160 Speaker 1: I think plus three and a half plus four at 720 00:32:46,200 --> 00:32:48,720 Speaker 1: Akron Akron here, this is a big game in the 721 00:32:48,760 --> 00:32:50,480 Speaker 1: max standing. It's like if an Acart sitting at nine 722 00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:52,560 Speaker 1: and three, first place leader is at eleven and two, 723 00:32:52,720 --> 00:32:55,440 Speaker 1: Accord sitting at nine and three, Kent State sitting at 724 00:32:55,560 --> 00:32:58,000 Speaker 1: nine and four, and Kent State has Toledo in Ohio 725 00:32:58,320 --> 00:33:01,000 Speaker 1: on deck. Akron has revenge if they are at home. 726 00:33:01,400 --> 00:33:03,400 Speaker 1: This game's gonna be a grind. After one of the 727 00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:05,520 Speaker 1: slowest teams in the country three hundred and forty fourth 728 00:33:05,520 --> 00:33:07,520 Speaker 1: in a justin Teppo. So any points you can get, 729 00:33:07,960 --> 00:33:12,200 Speaker 1: I think our premium and I think Akrons house of cards. 730 00:33:12,600 --> 00:33:16,080 Speaker 1: They've won seven of eight. I'm gonna go through their results. 731 00:33:16,440 --> 00:33:18,680 Speaker 1: They beat Western Michigan at home. Westn Michigan's one of the 732 00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:20,640 Speaker 1: worst teams in the country. They won by one. They 733 00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:23,240 Speaker 1: were down by twelve with six to go. Next up, 734 00:33:23,560 --> 00:33:28,280 Speaker 1: they smashed Bowling Green when Trimble made like eleven threes. 735 00:33:28,320 --> 00:33:30,920 Speaker 1: If that happens, they're gonna win tomorrow. Their next game 736 00:33:30,960 --> 00:33:34,280 Speaker 1: at home, they played Eastern Michigan without Monty Scott. No Aferica. 737 00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:37,600 Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan is bad without them too, they are nothing. 738 00:33:37,840 --> 00:33:41,120 Speaker 1: Akron won forty six to forty four. Was at home 739 00:33:41,200 --> 00:33:44,240 Speaker 1: one by two. The next game at Central Michigan, horrible team. 740 00:33:44,440 --> 00:33:47,840 Speaker 1: They won sixty to fifty six. Then they lost to Toledo. 741 00:33:47,920 --> 00:33:50,720 Speaker 1: It's okay. Next game at home they played Miyama, Ohio. 742 00:33:50,920 --> 00:33:53,240 Speaker 1: They won sixty six fifty five. My Ohia's playing without 743 00:33:53,280 --> 00:33:56,720 Speaker 1: Delante Brown. Minohio without Dante Brown is in free fall. 744 00:33:56,800 --> 00:33:58,280 Speaker 1: What they did. The next game they beat my Ohio 745 00:33:58,360 --> 00:34:01,200 Speaker 1: again without Tolante Brown. And then last game they played 746 00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:03,880 Speaker 1: in Northern Illinois, who's again one of the worst teams 747 00:34:03,920 --> 00:34:06,080 Speaker 1: in the country, and they won by six. So this 748 00:34:06,120 --> 00:34:08,680 Speaker 1: team is skating by and by, and they're playing teams 749 00:34:08,719 --> 00:34:11,920 Speaker 1: that are missing key players. I think they're overinflated in 750 00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:14,799 Speaker 1: some of the advanced metrics, and Kent State is a 751 00:34:14,800 --> 00:34:16,799 Speaker 1: team that I loved this year. I thought that they 752 00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:18,239 Speaker 1: were gonna come together by the end of the year's 753 00:34:18,280 --> 00:34:20,640 Speaker 1: team I wanted to back. I thought last year with 754 00:34:20,800 --> 00:34:23,200 Speaker 1: Danny Pippen, who was excellent, there was just locker room issues. 755 00:34:23,320 --> 00:34:26,840 Speaker 1: This team's finally coming together. They can't really shoot but 756 00:34:27,400 --> 00:34:31,440 Speaker 1: which is problem at times, but they match up well here. 757 00:34:31,480 --> 00:34:35,320 Speaker 1: They can battle inside. They know are gonna get on 758 00:34:35,360 --> 00:34:37,799 Speaker 1: the offensive glass. It's a team I like. I think 759 00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:40,000 Speaker 1: it's gonna battle here, low scoring game. I kind of 760 00:34:40,040 --> 00:34:42,200 Speaker 1: like the under as well. They might have some pot 761 00:34:42,239 --> 00:34:43,680 Speaker 1: I don't think they're this bad of a shooting team. 762 00:34:43,719 --> 00:34:46,520 Speaker 1: Not a great shooting team. But yeah, I think Akrons 763 00:34:46,600 --> 00:34:48,320 Speaker 1: the House of cards and Kent State is going to 764 00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:50,160 Speaker 1: start to make a move here. So give me the 765 00:34:50,160 --> 00:34:52,600 Speaker 1: Golden Flashes, all right. So that means it's time for 766 00:34:52,760 --> 00:34:56,120 Speaker 1: us to pick the double. And the first double we 767 00:34:56,160 --> 00:34:58,720 Speaker 1: had of this podcast this year was on Nevada against 768 00:34:58,760 --> 00:35:01,239 Speaker 1: Fresno and they actually came through. I'm leaning that way. 769 00:35:01,320 --> 00:35:03,800 Speaker 1: I mean, I think it is a huge overreaction, not 770 00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:05,440 Speaker 1: a great spot for Utah State. It also has San 771 00:35:05,480 --> 00:35:07,640 Speaker 1: Diego State on deck about of revenge here, like they've 772 00:35:07,640 --> 00:35:10,600 Speaker 1: lost by thirty to Utah State when they met at home. 773 00:35:11,120 --> 00:35:14,759 Speaker 1: You have sure feel back easy backdoor chance here could 774 00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:19,200 Speaker 1: have shorthanded Utah State. I'm leading Nevada. I don't know 775 00:35:19,200 --> 00:35:22,000 Speaker 1: if I trust Sienna Yukon Xavier under I can see 776 00:35:22,000 --> 00:35:25,000 Speaker 1: that too with the with the and Man Xavier they fade. 777 00:35:25,040 --> 00:35:28,920 Speaker 1: They're another late season fade here. I can see that 778 00:35:28,960 --> 00:35:33,120 Speaker 1: because the interior defense on both ends. I'm leading Nevada, 779 00:35:33,200 --> 00:35:35,399 Speaker 1: but I'm not one hundred percent sold on it. Where 780 00:35:35,400 --> 00:35:36,120 Speaker 1: what are your thoughts? 781 00:35:36,520 --> 00:35:38,480 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll go with Nevada as well. My old good 782 00:35:38,520 --> 00:35:42,960 Speaker 4: friend Steve Alford. Again, if Barrisia doesn't play then obviously 783 00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:46,520 Speaker 4: that hurts Utah State a ton. Yeah, we've we've obviously 784 00:35:46,560 --> 00:35:48,240 Speaker 4: hit on them once. But yeah, this is a line 785 00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:49,319 Speaker 4: I think I agree with you. 786 00:35:49,960 --> 00:35:53,799 Speaker 1: All Right, We're back to Nevada. Hopefully they can bring 787 00:35:53,840 --> 00:35:55,640 Speaker 1: it home for us. Before we get out of here, 788 00:35:55,680 --> 00:35:59,279 Speaker 1: let's talk with BJ Rerains. We talked earlier today about 789 00:35:59,280 --> 00:36:02,000 Speaker 1: bois in the Mountain West. From the southern to the 790 00:36:02,040 --> 00:36:05,839 Speaker 1: Summit League, the Miak and the Missouri Valley, there are 791 00:36:05,880 --> 00:36:08,920 Speaker 1: over three hundred and fifty Division one programs. 792 00:36:09,200 --> 00:36:10,719 Speaker 3: So let's get acquainted. 793 00:36:12,000 --> 00:36:14,880 Speaker 7: This is conference confidential. 794 00:36:17,000 --> 00:36:18,920 Speaker 1: Friend of mine, friend of the pod. If you listened 795 00:36:18,960 --> 00:36:21,439 Speaker 1: in recent years, you can find them on Twitter at 796 00:36:21,560 --> 00:36:25,640 Speaker 1: bj rains. Right now, I think on bracket Matrix they 797 00:36:25,680 --> 00:36:30,120 Speaker 1: have four teams from the Mountain West projected in and 798 00:36:30,120 --> 00:36:33,120 Speaker 1: then you got Utah State and Fresno, you know, right 799 00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:36,239 Speaker 1: outside the bubble. So I can't wait to talk Mountain West. 800 00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:38,480 Speaker 1: It's really exciting night in a night out. What's going on? BJ, 801 00:36:38,520 --> 00:36:39,279 Speaker 1: Thanks for joining us. 802 00:36:39,600 --> 00:36:42,480 Speaker 5: Always a pleasure, man appreciated. And yeah, it's great with 803 00:36:42,520 --> 00:36:44,160 Speaker 5: this new TV deal they got, it seems like every 804 00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:46,560 Speaker 5: night there's a fun Mountain West game to stay up 805 00:36:46,640 --> 00:36:48,600 Speaker 5: late four and watch. It's it's a crazy year for 806 00:36:48,640 --> 00:36:51,719 Speaker 5: the conference my nine years. It's by far the most 807 00:36:51,719 --> 00:36:54,360 Speaker 5: competitive top to bottom that I've seen in my nine years. 808 00:36:54,360 --> 00:36:57,400 Speaker 5: And yeah, man, always listen to the POD's cool to 809 00:36:57,400 --> 00:36:58,879 Speaker 5: be a guest. Man, appreciate you having me on. 810 00:36:59,080 --> 00:37:01,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, let's talk some these teams, kind of like the 811 00:37:01,600 --> 00:37:04,640 Speaker 1: top the top five. I mean, maybe we'll focus on 812 00:37:04,680 --> 00:37:07,080 Speaker 1: the top four. I mean, Fresno's a really interesting team 813 00:37:07,120 --> 00:37:10,000 Speaker 1: with a you know, maybe the best player in the conference. 814 00:37:10,040 --> 00:37:12,040 Speaker 1: And you know, Utah State's been banged up, but they're 815 00:37:12,080 --> 00:37:15,000 Speaker 1: never an easy out. But let's start with Boise projected 816 00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:18,200 Speaker 1: as an eight seed right now, this team is low. 817 00:37:18,320 --> 00:37:21,040 Speaker 1: I love how they play defense, They're along everywhere, they 818 00:37:21,080 --> 00:37:23,000 Speaker 1: can switch everything, which is one of the things that 819 00:37:23,040 --> 00:37:25,399 Speaker 1: I really like about them. So they're a very versatile team. 820 00:37:25,680 --> 00:37:28,040 Speaker 1: So let's, you know, let's talk ceiling of Bois and 821 00:37:28,040 --> 00:37:29,759 Speaker 1: then you know, you can talk about anything you like 822 00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:32,120 Speaker 1: and and don't like about this team. But say they 823 00:37:32,200 --> 00:37:34,680 Speaker 1: end up in that eight slot, do they have the 824 00:37:34,719 --> 00:37:37,759 Speaker 1: potential to knock off A one? Is that the you know, 825 00:37:37,800 --> 00:37:40,279 Speaker 1: on their best night, can they knock off A one? 826 00:37:40,280 --> 00:37:41,759 Speaker 1: What is the ceiling for this team? What do you 827 00:37:41,800 --> 00:37:44,839 Speaker 1: really like about them? And what do you think could 828 00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:46,400 Speaker 1: trouble them in the tournament? 829 00:37:46,640 --> 00:37:48,080 Speaker 5: Well, the first thing they would have to do is 830 00:37:48,080 --> 00:37:50,160 Speaker 5: beat the nine, which they've never won a game in 831 00:37:50,160 --> 00:37:52,240 Speaker 5: the tournament before. They're zero and seven all times. 832 00:37:52,239 --> 00:37:54,200 Speaker 1: So that would get ahead of myself here. 833 00:37:54,200 --> 00:37:56,560 Speaker 5: That would be history in itself if they could win it. 834 00:37:56,880 --> 00:37:58,319 Speaker 5: They just want to win, first of all. They just 835 00:37:58,320 --> 00:38:01,239 Speaker 5: want to get in them benin fifteen, and so that's 836 00:38:01,239 --> 00:38:04,120 Speaker 5: been a bugaboo with some late season collapses and things, 837 00:38:04,160 --> 00:38:06,080 Speaker 5: and so you don't get don't think the fans are 838 00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:08,080 Speaker 5: sitting pretty with this. They're happy about it, and Boise 839 00:38:08,160 --> 00:38:09,880 Speaker 5: what they know. They've seen this story before where they 840 00:38:09,880 --> 00:38:12,160 Speaker 5: get off to a hot start and then kind of fade. 841 00:38:11,840 --> 00:38:12,799 Speaker 3: Down the stretch a little bit. 842 00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:15,239 Speaker 5: This team does seem different because of the defense, and 843 00:38:15,280 --> 00:38:16,800 Speaker 5: you mentioned that, but yeah, I think I mean, with 844 00:38:16,920 --> 00:38:18,759 Speaker 5: the right matchup, who knows, and everybody out here is 845 00:38:18,760 --> 00:38:21,560 Speaker 5: talking about the potential leon Rice mark Few matchup. You know, 846 00:38:21,680 --> 00:38:24,240 Speaker 5: leon Rice was a long time assistant that probably wouldn't 847 00:38:24,239 --> 00:38:25,640 Speaker 5: be the best number one for them to have to 848 00:38:25,680 --> 00:38:28,879 Speaker 5: face in the second round. But yeah, I mean they guard, man, 849 00:38:28,920 --> 00:38:31,280 Speaker 5: they really do guard. And you've seen some of the scorers. 850 00:38:31,280 --> 00:38:32,960 Speaker 5: You know they have trouble scoring at times. But I 851 00:38:32,960 --> 00:38:35,760 Speaker 5: mean they can win a game forty two to thirty 852 00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:38,080 Speaker 5: seven against San Diego State. Mean, they can grind it out, 853 00:38:38,120 --> 00:38:40,799 Speaker 5: and they the defense, in particular the rebounding. I mean 854 00:38:40,840 --> 00:38:42,719 Speaker 5: they rank number four in the country. I think in 855 00:38:42,760 --> 00:38:45,400 Speaker 5: defensive rebounding. They don't give up many second chance points 856 00:38:45,400 --> 00:38:48,080 Speaker 5: at all, They clean up the glass, they limit teams 857 00:38:48,120 --> 00:38:50,760 Speaker 5: in their top twenty five, and like percentage of shots 858 00:38:50,760 --> 00:38:51,840 Speaker 5: from three point range. 859 00:38:52,080 --> 00:38:53,120 Speaker 3: They're pretty good. 860 00:38:53,120 --> 00:38:54,840 Speaker 5: I still think top twenty five are close to it 861 00:38:54,880 --> 00:38:57,120 Speaker 5: in terms of a two point defense. So they don't 862 00:38:57,120 --> 00:38:59,200 Speaker 5: give up a lot of easy buckets, you know, around 863 00:38:59,239 --> 00:39:02,279 Speaker 5: the basket. They just play really good defense. And they're 864 00:39:02,320 --> 00:39:05,799 Speaker 5: okay grinding out low scoring games and winning games in 865 00:39:06,080 --> 00:39:09,240 Speaker 5: different ways. And so you know, leon Rice's previous teams 866 00:39:09,239 --> 00:39:12,120 Speaker 5: would score in the seventies and eighties. But they're perfectly fine, 867 00:39:12,239 --> 00:39:14,399 Speaker 5: you know, like they beat Wyoming the first time, sixty five, 868 00:39:14,480 --> 00:39:17,120 Speaker 5: sixty two, they beat Utah State sixty two, fifty nine. 869 00:39:17,640 --> 00:39:20,120 Speaker 5: They're totally fine winning some of these lower scoring games 870 00:39:20,160 --> 00:39:22,680 Speaker 5: and scoring in the mid sixties. And that would be 871 00:39:22,719 --> 00:39:24,720 Speaker 5: why I think they are a little dangerous, just because 872 00:39:24,719 --> 00:39:26,600 Speaker 5: they have a lot of veterans too. I mean, you've 873 00:39:26,600 --> 00:39:29,360 Speaker 5: got to talking about four four seniors in the starting lineup. 874 00:39:29,840 --> 00:39:31,960 Speaker 5: I think they're ken pom has in like top twenty 875 00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:34,759 Speaker 5: in experience or something. And their size too, like you said, 876 00:39:34,760 --> 00:39:36,280 Speaker 5: I mean, when you've got a six to eight point guard, 877 00:39:36,719 --> 00:39:38,799 Speaker 5: I think they're four Their five starters or six seven 878 00:39:38,840 --> 00:39:40,239 Speaker 5: are taller. I mean, they can match up on the 879 00:39:40,239 --> 00:39:43,000 Speaker 5: wing with with anybody, and and they've got you know, 880 00:39:43,160 --> 00:39:45,120 Speaker 5: the high end talent like an eight cop and they've 881 00:39:45,120 --> 00:39:48,080 Speaker 5: got the freshman and Deganheart that's played really well. And 882 00:39:48,120 --> 00:39:50,600 Speaker 5: so yeah, I think it's an exciting time here in Boise. 883 00:39:50,719 --> 00:39:53,000 Speaker 5: But I think these next you know, three, four or 884 00:39:53,040 --> 00:39:54,879 Speaker 5: five games are going to say a lot about their 885 00:39:54,880 --> 00:39:55,680 Speaker 5: potential this year. 886 00:39:55,800 --> 00:39:57,839 Speaker 1: The defense can really match up with anyone, Like they 887 00:39:58,360 --> 00:40:01,040 Speaker 1: are very versatile on that end, are athletic, like, it's 888 00:40:01,040 --> 00:40:02,840 Speaker 1: like a high major defense. I think there's seventh in 889 00:40:03,080 --> 00:40:06,000 Speaker 1: ken palm and adjusted defensive efficiency. The offense is where 890 00:40:06,040 --> 00:40:07,880 Speaker 1: the problems are shooting, like if they ran into like 891 00:40:07,920 --> 00:40:10,480 Speaker 1: a zone and their free throws would scare me too. 892 00:40:10,520 --> 00:40:12,880 Speaker 1: But yeah, just are really off shooting, like but they're 893 00:40:12,960 --> 00:40:15,160 Speaker 1: i think almost dead last in the nation and free 894 00:40:15,239 --> 00:40:18,040 Speaker 1: throw shooting. So keep that in mind if like you're 895 00:40:18,080 --> 00:40:20,319 Speaker 1: wanting the beat Boise, they're not going to be. And 896 00:40:20,320 --> 00:40:22,080 Speaker 1: then they have a conference is tough. But they got 897 00:40:22,400 --> 00:40:24,320 Speaker 1: let's see air force. 898 00:40:24,560 --> 00:40:26,800 Speaker 5: You know which on the road. On the road, I 899 00:40:26,840 --> 00:40:29,280 Speaker 5: mean you tossed the road lost the air force. 900 00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:30,280 Speaker 3: Uh yeah, they got. 901 00:40:30,520 --> 00:40:32,600 Speaker 1: Free throws late. It could the swing a couple. 902 00:40:32,400 --> 00:40:33,040 Speaker 3: Oh yes, keep that. 903 00:40:33,280 --> 00:40:36,080 Speaker 5: I mean they lost to Saint Louis, who's now top 904 00:40:36,080 --> 00:40:38,160 Speaker 5: fifty a n pound. They lost to them in overtime 905 00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:40,560 Speaker 5: about two months ago because they went twelve of twenty 906 00:40:40,560 --> 00:40:42,480 Speaker 5: six from the foul line. Mean they missed fourteen free 907 00:40:42,520 --> 00:40:45,319 Speaker 5: throws and lost in overtime. So their fourteen game winning 908 00:40:45,320 --> 00:40:47,120 Speaker 5: streak would have been at least fifteen if they hadn't 909 00:40:47,160 --> 00:40:49,400 Speaker 5: done that. So yeah, the free throw shooting is a huge, 910 00:40:49,480 --> 00:40:52,279 Speaker 5: huge concern. Depth also a concern. They only play about 911 00:40:52,320 --> 00:40:55,280 Speaker 5: seven guys, and you get a guy in foul trouble 912 00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:57,880 Speaker 5: or injured. You know, they're one, you know, bad ankle 913 00:40:57,920 --> 00:40:59,680 Speaker 5: sprain away from being in a lot of trouble here. 914 00:40:59,719 --> 00:41:02,239 Speaker 5: But they got the clutch factor. Marcos Shaver junior, the 915 00:41:02,280 --> 00:41:04,960 Speaker 5: Portland transfers come over and hit three, you know, game 916 00:41:05,000 --> 00:41:07,320 Speaker 5: winning shots in the last second, the final seconds. And 917 00:41:07,360 --> 00:41:10,960 Speaker 5: as I mentioned, Acotts in Arizona transfer, who's you know, 918 00:41:11,000 --> 00:41:13,160 Speaker 5: a five star guy coming out of high school. And 919 00:41:13,920 --> 00:41:16,319 Speaker 5: you know Abu Ki jab the Oregon transfer. I mean, 920 00:41:16,360 --> 00:41:19,719 Speaker 5: they just put together a very veteran talented lineup of 921 00:41:19,760 --> 00:41:22,319 Speaker 5: guys that maybe didn't get the opportunity elsewhere. Even our Moosh, 922 00:41:22,360 --> 00:41:25,440 Speaker 5: the big guy was East Tennessee State transfer. So they've 923 00:41:25,480 --> 00:41:28,040 Speaker 5: put this roster together with veteran guys and guys that 924 00:41:28,560 --> 00:41:30,480 Speaker 5: are finally getting bigger roles and they had at their 925 00:41:30,520 --> 00:41:33,400 Speaker 5: previous places. And yeah, it's been impressive to watch. And 926 00:41:34,080 --> 00:41:35,920 Speaker 5: like I said, fans and boys are a little nervous 927 00:41:35,960 --> 00:41:37,480 Speaker 5: just about how it's going to finish up here. But 928 00:41:37,719 --> 00:41:39,759 Speaker 5: I do think because of the defense, because five of 929 00:41:39,800 --> 00:41:42,400 Speaker 5: their final eight games are at home, you know, the 930 00:41:42,440 --> 00:41:44,719 Speaker 5: schedule sets up nicely. They've already had to go play 931 00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:47,319 Speaker 5: all the tough places in the league. For the most part, 932 00:41:47,480 --> 00:41:49,800 Speaker 5: I think that they are sitting pretty and like I said, 933 00:41:49,920 --> 00:41:51,919 Speaker 5: the one seed, I mean that Boise State fans would 934 00:41:51,960 --> 00:41:54,279 Speaker 5: love to have to have that scenario pop up. They 935 00:41:54,280 --> 00:41:55,919 Speaker 5: just want to get in and win that first game. 936 00:41:55,960 --> 00:41:57,880 Speaker 5: And maybe if they could get to the seven to 937 00:41:57,880 --> 00:42:00,520 Speaker 5: ten range in one of those seeds have much better 938 00:42:00,560 --> 00:42:02,440 Speaker 5: chance against the two in the second round. Maybe it 939 00:42:02,480 --> 00:42:04,239 Speaker 5: would be a path for them that looks a little better. 940 00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:06,520 Speaker 5: But you know, very good Mountain West this year, maybe 941 00:42:06,560 --> 00:42:07,840 Speaker 5: one of the best ever. And they're sitting there at 942 00:42:07,880 --> 00:42:09,600 Speaker 5: nine and one, so that certainly says something about what 943 00:42:09,640 --> 00:42:10,319 Speaker 5: they've been able to do. 944 00:42:10,520 --> 00:42:12,760 Speaker 1: We measured Ken Palm a couple of times. Six Mountain 945 00:42:12,800 --> 00:42:15,799 Speaker 1: West teams in the top fifty, including Utah State, who 946 00:42:15,880 --> 00:42:21,120 Speaker 1: somehow thirty first ten. Yeah don't I don't understand that one, 947 00:42:21,280 --> 00:42:23,480 Speaker 1: but maybe. I mean, Kevo doesn't even take like injuries 948 00:42:23,480 --> 00:42:25,239 Speaker 1: and they thought had brock Miller heard a couple of 949 00:42:25,280 --> 00:42:29,320 Speaker 1: their guards are. But yeah, they're thirty first. Boise's twenty 950 00:42:29,400 --> 00:42:31,080 Speaker 1: ninth in the league. I mean, you start your Friensno's 951 00:42:31,080 --> 00:42:33,960 Speaker 1: forty fifth of San Diego State. The problem with Diego 952 00:42:33,960 --> 00:42:38,040 Speaker 1: State is their offense. Yeah, they're number one and adjust 953 00:42:38,120 --> 00:42:41,240 Speaker 1: the defense in the nation per Kempom. They're two hundred 954 00:42:41,239 --> 00:42:44,680 Speaker 1: and thirty seven on offense. And if Bradley's not making shots, 955 00:42:44,880 --> 00:42:46,600 Speaker 1: it's dude jumpers. 956 00:42:48,000 --> 00:42:49,319 Speaker 5: And so I had a buddy last night, A had 957 00:42:49,320 --> 00:42:52,080 Speaker 5: an eighteen parlay, a little twenty five dollars to win, 958 00:42:52,160 --> 00:42:55,160 Speaker 5: like twenty three hundred. Noly needed was San Jose State 959 00:42:55,160 --> 00:42:57,319 Speaker 5: plus sixteen and a half. And we were sweating that 960 00:42:57,320 --> 00:42:59,520 Speaker 5: thing out of like midnight out side, and they they 961 00:42:59,600 --> 00:43:03,200 Speaker 5: they cover. He won the bet, the dumbest eighteen parlay 962 00:43:03,200 --> 00:43:03,880 Speaker 5: of all time. 963 00:43:03,680 --> 00:43:04,640 Speaker 3: But it paid off for him. 964 00:43:04,680 --> 00:43:06,719 Speaker 5: So I watched that San Diego State game and yeah, 965 00:43:06,719 --> 00:43:08,759 Speaker 5: they were even struggling with San Jose at times, and 966 00:43:08,800 --> 00:43:11,279 Speaker 5: so Yeah, you're right. Bradley's a great offensive player, but 967 00:43:11,320 --> 00:43:13,359 Speaker 5: they just don't have much there and that's always kind 968 00:43:13,360 --> 00:43:14,960 Speaker 5: of been their story with San Diego State, but I 969 00:43:14,960 --> 00:43:17,120 Speaker 5: think it's even more it's even worse this year, where 970 00:43:17,160 --> 00:43:20,000 Speaker 5: they're just so defensive oriented and they just have trouble, 971 00:43:20,120 --> 00:43:21,600 Speaker 5: you know, scoring at times. I was down there at 972 00:43:21,840 --> 00:43:24,439 Speaker 5: Viejas when they played Boise State and they literally didn't 973 00:43:24,440 --> 00:43:26,640 Speaker 5: score a point in the second half for like ten minutes, 974 00:43:26,960 --> 00:43:28,920 Speaker 5: and they had like three droughts of five minutes where 975 00:43:28,960 --> 00:43:30,960 Speaker 5: they didn't score. I mean, it'scored thirty seven points. It 976 00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:33,120 Speaker 5: just seems crazy to think about, and that's just who 977 00:43:33,120 --> 00:43:35,080 Speaker 5: they are this year. But yeah, I'm not sold on them, 978 00:43:35,080 --> 00:43:37,239 Speaker 5: to be honest, I'm not a huge San Diego State fan. 979 00:43:37,400 --> 00:43:40,160 Speaker 5: I don't I wouldn't rank them, you know, in terms 980 00:43:40,200 --> 00:43:42,520 Speaker 5: of like teams that have a chance moving forward. I 981 00:43:42,560 --> 00:43:44,239 Speaker 5: would have them at least third and maybe fourth in 982 00:43:44,280 --> 00:43:45,840 Speaker 5: terms of the Mountain West. So I'll be curious to 983 00:43:45,840 --> 00:43:48,160 Speaker 5: see how they finish up here because I just I 984 00:43:48,200 --> 00:43:50,879 Speaker 5: don't love their roster. I think the defense is great, yes, 985 00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:53,239 Speaker 5: but I think other than Bradley, they just don't have 986 00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:55,200 Speaker 5: a lot of that you know, Trey Pollium, I guess 987 00:43:55,320 --> 00:43:56,759 Speaker 5: is okay, But they just don't have a lot that 988 00:43:56,920 --> 00:43:57,360 Speaker 5: scares me. 989 00:43:57,400 --> 00:44:00,160 Speaker 1: Offensively, Yeah, they need it, They just need enough are 990 00:44:00,520 --> 00:44:02,919 Speaker 1: like Bradley would be great. It's like your your main 991 00:44:03,360 --> 00:44:06,759 Speaker 1: scoring option on the wing, and that if they had 992 00:44:06,800 --> 00:44:09,399 Speaker 1: like a guard who could like a true point guard 993 00:44:09,400 --> 00:44:12,440 Speaker 1: who could create and score, like that's really what they're missing. 994 00:44:12,920 --> 00:44:14,319 Speaker 3: Well, think about all those previous teams. 995 00:44:14,360 --> 00:44:16,520 Speaker 5: They had Matt Mitchell and all these other guys coming 996 00:44:16,560 --> 00:44:19,400 Speaker 5: to the Jordan Shackle Jordan Shackles of the world. They 997 00:44:19,440 --> 00:44:21,840 Speaker 5: had all these just huge key guys, and it just 998 00:44:21,880 --> 00:44:25,600 Speaker 5: doesn't seem like they have that second, third, fourth scoring 999 00:44:25,600 --> 00:44:26,799 Speaker 5: option that really scares you. 1000 00:44:27,040 --> 00:44:30,359 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think the two more interesting teams Colorado State. 1001 00:44:30,440 --> 00:44:33,480 Speaker 1: Their defense is a little worrisome at times, but they're 1002 00:44:33,560 --> 00:44:36,319 Speaker 1: very well coached. They're offenses electric. You know, they have 1003 00:44:36,360 --> 00:44:38,880 Speaker 1: guys who can shoot all over the court. David Roddy's 1004 00:44:38,880 --> 00:44:41,680 Speaker 1: turning into a true NBA prospect. That kid could do 1005 00:44:41,719 --> 00:44:44,439 Speaker 1: it all past shoot. He was a big hype high 1006 00:44:44,800 --> 00:44:48,279 Speaker 1: football recruit at quarterback. Roddy the body they call them. 1007 00:44:48,280 --> 00:44:50,160 Speaker 1: So their offense is really intriguing, but I think the 1008 00:44:50,200 --> 00:44:52,280 Speaker 1: most feel free to comment on that, But the most 1009 00:44:52,280 --> 00:44:56,480 Speaker 1: intriguing team in the Mountain West outside of Boise is Wyoming, 1010 00:44:56,840 --> 00:44:59,400 Speaker 1: and they're also well coached a lot of great coaches 1011 00:44:59,400 --> 00:45:01,600 Speaker 1: in the Mountain West with Jeff Linder. But they have 1012 00:45:01,640 --> 00:45:04,600 Speaker 1: a true, like high major post in Graham Ika who 1013 00:45:04,640 --> 00:45:08,040 Speaker 1: can go for thirty and fifteen every night. Hunter Maldonado 1014 00:45:08,280 --> 00:45:10,600 Speaker 1: is just you can't stop him with the Mark Jackson 1015 00:45:10,680 --> 00:45:13,400 Speaker 1: back downs and they have shooters all around him. And 1016 00:45:13,400 --> 00:45:17,120 Speaker 1: then this team, there's just something about this team. I mean, 1017 00:45:17,160 --> 00:45:20,000 Speaker 1: they're pulling out the close game for eight day stretch. 1018 00:45:20,000 --> 00:45:22,480 Speaker 1: They just beat coll out of State in overtime, Boise 1019 00:45:22,520 --> 00:45:24,040 Speaker 1: State in a game that went down to the wire, 1020 00:45:24,360 --> 00:45:28,240 Speaker 1: Fresno by two, Utah State and overtime all in eight days. 1021 00:45:28,480 --> 00:45:32,279 Speaker 1: So there seems to be something cooking up. They They 1022 00:45:32,280 --> 00:45:34,000 Speaker 1: have a Boisse he went down to the wire, and 1023 00:45:34,040 --> 00:45:37,600 Speaker 1: a game Boise pulled out in Boise. But this team 1024 00:45:37,880 --> 00:45:41,040 Speaker 1: seems to have something cooking that feels like they're gonna 1025 00:45:41,080 --> 00:45:42,840 Speaker 1: get in and then get a win or two and 1026 00:45:42,880 --> 00:45:44,880 Speaker 1: they're they're gonna be a tough matchup forever gets them. 1027 00:45:45,080 --> 00:45:46,760 Speaker 1: Any thoughts on the Pokes, Oh. 1028 00:45:46,680 --> 00:45:49,120 Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, isn't Maldonado, and you can't think the 1029 00:45:49,200 --> 00:45:52,080 Speaker 5: highest scoring duo in the country when you put them together, 1030 00:45:52,200 --> 00:45:54,920 Speaker 5: they're over forty points a game combined. And Heka is 1031 00:45:55,000 --> 00:45:57,359 Speaker 5: just I've seen him play twice in person now he's 1032 00:45:57,520 --> 00:46:00,600 Speaker 5: just impossible to guard. And he just lowers that shoulder 1033 00:46:01,080 --> 00:46:03,359 Speaker 5: and he's just impossible to guard. He gets so many 1034 00:46:03,360 --> 00:46:05,120 Speaker 5: free throws, and think he leads the nation and files 1035 00:46:05,200 --> 00:46:08,040 Speaker 5: drawn and especially at home. Uh, he just gets so 1036 00:46:08,080 --> 00:46:10,120 Speaker 5: many free throws. Them as a team, for whatever reason, 1037 00:46:10,120 --> 00:46:12,000 Speaker 5: are just shooting so many free throws at home. So 1038 00:46:12,239 --> 00:46:14,040 Speaker 5: I do worry a little bit about Wyoming when they 1039 00:46:14,040 --> 00:46:16,360 Speaker 5: get in the tournament, when the games are officiated differently. 1040 00:46:16,800 --> 00:46:19,160 Speaker 5: If he's a guy that, if you know, k gets 1041 00:46:19,160 --> 00:46:21,600 Speaker 5: into foul trouble, they're they're a totally different team. And 1042 00:46:21,640 --> 00:46:25,000 Speaker 5: so yeah, I do wonder about that, you know. And 1043 00:46:25,000 --> 00:46:26,960 Speaker 5: he had the two quick files against Utah State and 1044 00:46:27,000 --> 00:46:28,120 Speaker 5: didn't play for much of the half. 1045 00:46:28,160 --> 00:46:28,759 Speaker 3: I know they were. 1046 00:46:28,640 --> 00:46:31,520 Speaker 5: Able to survive that, but uh, he he just is 1047 00:46:31,560 --> 00:46:33,520 Speaker 5: such a physical guy where he just when he's posting 1048 00:46:33,520 --> 00:46:35,160 Speaker 5: those guys up, you get a team that just takes 1049 00:46:35,160 --> 00:46:37,120 Speaker 5: three or four charges on him, and and they're a 1050 00:46:37,160 --> 00:46:39,320 Speaker 5: totally different team, So that would be my one concern 1051 00:46:39,320 --> 00:46:41,799 Speaker 5: with Wyhoming. I totally agree Jeff Linder is doing an 1052 00:46:41,840 --> 00:46:43,520 Speaker 5: amazing job. I mean, probably at the end of this 1053 00:46:43,560 --> 00:46:45,480 Speaker 5: year he's gonna you're gonna hear his name out there 1054 00:46:45,520 --> 00:46:47,480 Speaker 5: for some other jobs. I wonder how long he'll stay 1055 00:46:47,480 --> 00:46:50,239 Speaker 5: at Wyoming, But yeah, Aldonado is a great player, and 1056 00:46:50,239 --> 00:46:52,360 Speaker 5: what he can do in the paint posting up and 1057 00:46:52,360 --> 00:46:54,560 Speaker 5: then you throw Jeffreys and some of the other shooters 1058 00:46:54,560 --> 00:46:56,840 Speaker 5: they have out there. Yeah, they're very, very impressive and 1059 00:46:56,840 --> 00:47:00,239 Speaker 5: they're they're legit. But they play really well at home too. 1060 00:47:00,360 --> 00:47:02,560 Speaker 5: So yeah, Wyoming is you know, tied there at nine 1061 00:47:02,640 --> 00:47:04,200 Speaker 5: and one with Boise, and I don't see a lot 1062 00:47:04,200 --> 00:47:06,640 Speaker 5: of potential losses left on their schedule. I mean, they 1063 00:47:06,640 --> 00:47:09,600 Speaker 5: do go to Colorado State and they have San Diego 1064 00:47:09,680 --> 00:47:12,160 Speaker 5: State at home, but other than that, I mean that 1065 00:47:12,200 --> 00:47:14,759 Speaker 5: they've still got San Jose and New Mexico and Air 1066 00:47:14,800 --> 00:47:17,359 Speaker 5: Force and UNLV and I mean there's a lot of 1067 00:47:17,400 --> 00:47:20,759 Speaker 5: games win wins left on you know, Wyoming schedules. So 1068 00:47:20,760 --> 00:47:22,560 Speaker 5: if you're looking at Wyoming and Boise going down to 1069 00:47:22,600 --> 00:47:24,880 Speaker 5: the wire here, I would maybe give just because of 1070 00:47:24,880 --> 00:47:27,440 Speaker 5: the schedule. The slight edge to to Wyoming. But I 1071 00:47:27,480 --> 00:47:28,400 Speaker 5: like Colorado State too. 1072 00:47:28,440 --> 00:47:28,879 Speaker 3: What do Roddy? 1073 00:47:28,880 --> 00:47:31,160 Speaker 5: You have twenty nine the other night against Nevada, and 1074 00:47:31,400 --> 00:47:33,080 Speaker 5: I was just so impressive what he can do on 1075 00:47:33,120 --> 00:47:35,359 Speaker 5: the outside. I'm looking forward Sunday here in a couple 1076 00:47:35,440 --> 00:47:38,000 Speaker 5: days Super Bowl Sunday, Colorado State will be here in Boise, 1077 00:47:38,200 --> 00:47:39,960 Speaker 5: So that'll be really exciting to see his. 1078 00:47:39,960 --> 00:47:40,799 Speaker 3: Progression in person. 1079 00:47:40,840 --> 00:47:42,719 Speaker 5: I've seen him play obviously the last couple of years, 1080 00:47:42,719 --> 00:47:45,480 Speaker 5: and yeah, they're they're an interesting team because you you 1081 00:47:45,520 --> 00:47:47,800 Speaker 5: look at Colorado State and you look at those guards 1082 00:47:47,840 --> 00:47:50,200 Speaker 5: with Stevens and more, and I think Moore had twenty 1083 00:47:50,200 --> 00:47:51,960 Speaker 5: something points in their last game. He's finally getting it 1084 00:47:52,040 --> 00:47:54,880 Speaker 5: going a little bit more offensively. And you know, they 1085 00:47:55,160 --> 00:47:57,400 Speaker 5: obviously got blown out by San Diego State the first 1086 00:47:57,400 --> 00:47:59,600 Speaker 5: time and then had that little blip. I don't know 1087 00:47:59,600 --> 00:48:01,400 Speaker 5: what happened. And in that game where I do know 1088 00:48:01,440 --> 00:48:08,200 Speaker 5: what happened. Uh, Well, I was gonna say that Bryce 1089 00:48:08,239 --> 00:48:11,560 Speaker 5: Hamilton had forty five points when UNLV went in there. 1090 00:48:11,480 --> 00:48:14,000 Speaker 3: And crush that game. Uh, And so I know that's 1091 00:48:14,040 --> 00:48:14,560 Speaker 3: a little. 1092 00:48:14,320 --> 00:48:16,440 Speaker 5: Scary for Boise fans tomorrow and I thinking about him 1093 00:48:16,480 --> 00:48:18,920 Speaker 5: dropping forty five, But uh, other than that, and then 1094 00:48:18,960 --> 00:48:21,600 Speaker 5: the Wyoming game where if he makes the other free throw, yeah, 1095 00:48:21,600 --> 00:48:24,759 Speaker 5: they win that one up in Wyoming. So yeah, they're 1096 00:48:24,800 --> 00:48:26,719 Speaker 5: a great team there. They're certainly one of the top 1097 00:48:26,719 --> 00:48:30,000 Speaker 5: teams in the league. You know, held on against San 1098 00:48:30,040 --> 00:48:32,839 Speaker 5: Diego State. But no, I'm very impressed with Colorado State 1099 00:48:33,320 --> 00:48:35,160 Speaker 5: what they're doing, getting all, you know, bringing all five 1100 00:48:35,160 --> 00:48:37,000 Speaker 5: guys back like they have. I think, uh, you know, 1101 00:48:37,040 --> 00:48:39,319 Speaker 5: obviously coach Medved's done a heck of a job there too. 1102 00:48:39,360 --> 00:48:41,360 Speaker 3: And you know, you look at their schedule. They got it. 1103 00:48:41,360 --> 00:48:43,400 Speaker 5: They got Fresno tomorrow night, and then they got Boise 1104 00:48:43,520 --> 00:48:46,240 Speaker 5: State twice, and they've still got again what you know, Wyoming, 1105 00:48:46,280 --> 00:48:47,839 Speaker 5: and they have to go to Utah State as well. 1106 00:48:47,920 --> 00:48:50,800 Speaker 5: So yeah, I like Colorado State a lot. I certainly 1107 00:48:50,840 --> 00:48:53,800 Speaker 5: think they're again a veteran team, uh, team that returns 1108 00:48:53,840 --> 00:48:56,319 Speaker 5: all their starters. They're not going to get spooked by 1109 00:48:56,320 --> 00:48:59,440 Speaker 5: any atmosphere or you know, clutch spots. So as you 1110 00:48:59,440 --> 00:49:02,000 Speaker 5: saw wild so I think that they're a very dangerous team. 1111 00:49:02,000 --> 00:49:05,360 Speaker 5: I would still probably rank them Wyoming slightly ahead of 1112 00:49:05,360 --> 00:49:08,440 Speaker 5: Boise and then Colorado State third and then San Diego 1113 00:49:08,520 --> 00:49:10,400 Speaker 5: State fourth. But as you said, I mean Utah State, 1114 00:49:10,680 --> 00:49:12,640 Speaker 5: they've been coming on strong. What they had won five 1115 00:49:12,680 --> 00:49:14,600 Speaker 5: in a row. I think before they lost at Wyoming. 1116 00:49:14,840 --> 00:49:18,160 Speaker 5: They don't have that Sam Merrill Nimish Cada type player. 1117 00:49:18,320 --> 00:49:19,040 Speaker 3: Justin Beans. 1118 00:49:19,680 --> 00:49:21,759 Speaker 5: Justin Bean's kind of a good Robin, but I don't 1119 00:49:21,760 --> 00:49:23,680 Speaker 5: know if he's the batman you won on your team. 1120 00:49:23,719 --> 00:49:26,120 Speaker 5: You know, he's a better secondary guy. But they're still 1121 00:49:26,120 --> 00:49:29,320 Speaker 5: a quality team. And even Fresno, I mean, Orlando Robinson, 1122 00:49:29,320 --> 00:49:32,239 Speaker 5: a potential first round draft pick, is scary. And their 1123 00:49:32,280 --> 00:49:34,320 Speaker 5: top fifty, like you said as well, So I think. 1124 00:49:34,120 --> 00:49:34,640 Speaker 1: That they play. 1125 00:49:35,920 --> 00:49:38,520 Speaker 5: Yeah, yeah, those guards, you know, I saw them in person. 1126 00:49:38,640 --> 00:49:40,680 Speaker 5: Those they would have beat Boise if not for Marcus 1127 00:49:40,680 --> 00:49:42,759 Speaker 5: Shaver hitting that shot with you know, two seconds left 1128 00:49:42,760 --> 00:49:44,920 Speaker 5: to send it to overtime. So they they were, you know, 1129 00:49:45,160 --> 00:49:47,799 Speaker 5: basically had Boise State beaten. And so yeah, those those 1130 00:49:47,800 --> 00:49:50,839 Speaker 5: guards are impressive too with what they're doing. And and 1131 00:49:50,920 --> 00:49:53,200 Speaker 5: so Holland coming back healthy the last couple of games. 1132 00:49:53,239 --> 00:49:54,040 Speaker 3: So yeah, I think that. 1133 00:49:54,800 --> 00:49:57,320 Speaker 5: You know, when you have teams like UNLV and Nevada, 1134 00:49:57,560 --> 00:49:59,480 Speaker 5: I mean Nevada is eighth place right now in the 1135 00:49:59,520 --> 00:50:01,680 Speaker 5: Mountain wet and you they've had some injuries, but you 1136 00:50:01,719 --> 00:50:03,759 Speaker 5: think about Cambridge and what do you have thirty six 1137 00:50:03,800 --> 00:50:06,440 Speaker 5: the other nights, and then you have Sherfield and some 1138 00:50:06,520 --> 00:50:08,800 Speaker 5: of the other pieces that they have. I mean Nevada's even. 1139 00:50:10,200 --> 00:50:11,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, would have said they could had a chance to 1140 00:50:11,920 --> 00:50:12,799 Speaker 1: win the conference before. 1141 00:50:12,920 --> 00:50:13,120 Speaker 2: Yeah. 1142 00:50:13,200 --> 00:50:15,600 Speaker 5: Yeah, they've definitely underachieved, but they've had some injuries and stuff. 1143 00:50:15,600 --> 00:50:17,440 Speaker 5: They had some bad losses win the season. Yeah, Will 1144 00:50:17,440 --> 00:50:20,799 Speaker 5: Baker the Texas transfer, and then Warren Washington and some 1145 00:50:20,800 --> 00:50:23,239 Speaker 5: of the other guys there. Uh, black Shears come in 1146 00:50:23,280 --> 00:50:25,319 Speaker 5: and played well lately for them the transfer as well. 1147 00:50:25,360 --> 00:50:27,399 Speaker 5: So even a team like Nevada is a scary team. 1148 00:50:27,400 --> 00:50:29,319 Speaker 5: I don't think teams would would love to see matched 1149 00:50:29,360 --> 00:50:31,160 Speaker 5: up against in the Mountain West Tournament. So yeah, you're 1150 00:50:31,160 --> 00:50:33,960 Speaker 5: talking eight deep in terms of quality teams. And you know, 1151 00:50:34,040 --> 00:50:36,080 Speaker 5: leon Rice told me today he said, you know, he's 1152 00:50:36,080 --> 00:50:38,040 Speaker 5: been in the league twelve years or eleven years, I 1153 00:50:38,080 --> 00:50:39,759 Speaker 5: guess in the league twelve at Boise, but he said 1154 00:50:39,800 --> 00:50:42,040 Speaker 5: it's the best top to bottom he's ever seen the league. 1155 00:50:42,040 --> 00:50:43,879 Speaker 5: I mean, you don't have the the three or four 1156 00:50:43,920 --> 00:50:46,000 Speaker 5: teams and the three hundreds at Ken Palm. Just weighing 1157 00:50:46,000 --> 00:50:48,960 Speaker 5: down your schedule, everybody's playing everybody and it's a quad 1158 00:50:49,000 --> 00:50:51,040 Speaker 5: one or Quad two game every night, and it's it's 1159 00:50:51,080 --> 00:50:53,200 Speaker 5: been fun to see. And I you know, I'm trying 1160 00:50:53,200 --> 00:50:55,479 Speaker 5: to think about the other conference tournaments, but I can't 1161 00:50:55,520 --> 00:50:58,640 Speaker 5: imagine too many conference tournaments that are going to have 1162 00:50:58,640 --> 00:51:01,600 Speaker 5: the potential to be as excited in every game being 1163 00:51:01,640 --> 00:51:03,880 Speaker 5: so competitive as you'll see in that Mountain West tournament 1164 00:51:03,920 --> 00:51:04,960 Speaker 5: down in Vegas next month. 1165 00:51:05,400 --> 00:51:07,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm really excited for it. It's got to be 1166 00:51:08,320 --> 00:51:10,080 Speaker 1: the most excited I've ever been for a Mountain West 1167 00:51:10,080 --> 00:51:12,319 Speaker 1: tournament since, like I think the last time I went 1168 00:51:12,360 --> 00:51:14,040 Speaker 1: to one when I was in Vegas out there, but 1169 00:51:14,440 --> 00:51:18,360 Speaker 1: I think for debt drop dropped like fifty on UNLVA. 1170 00:51:18,440 --> 00:51:20,280 Speaker 1: It was like a really good UNLVA team. 1171 00:51:20,400 --> 00:51:21,239 Speaker 3: Isn't that the best? Though? 1172 00:51:21,239 --> 00:51:23,640 Speaker 5: You have the Pac twelve tournament, you have the WCC, 1173 00:51:23,800 --> 00:51:26,600 Speaker 5: the Mountain West. I think the Big West is even 1174 00:51:26,640 --> 00:51:28,400 Speaker 5: back there now. I mean there's four or five conference 1175 00:51:28,480 --> 00:51:30,400 Speaker 5: tournaments going on at the same time. You can bounce 1176 00:51:30,440 --> 00:51:33,200 Speaker 5: back and forth, and that conference tournament week in Vegas 1177 00:51:33,280 --> 00:51:34,480 Speaker 5: might be as good as it gets. 1178 00:51:34,719 --> 00:51:39,279 Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, we'll close with this Boise Colorado State. I 1179 00:51:39,320 --> 00:51:43,279 Speaker 1: mean Bois does have unlv first, but Sunday be on 1180 00:51:43,360 --> 00:51:46,640 Speaker 1: national TV. If you're tired of Super Bowl coverage by Sunday, 1181 00:51:46,680 --> 00:51:48,920 Speaker 1: as I know I will be, make sure you check 1182 00:51:48,920 --> 00:51:51,080 Speaker 1: out that game. These are two what I think are 1183 00:51:51,120 --> 00:51:54,600 Speaker 1: going to be tournament teams. I think the simplified what's 1184 00:51:54,640 --> 00:51:56,640 Speaker 1: gonna happen is Boys. He's gonna win at home, and 1185 00:51:56,680 --> 00:51:58,960 Speaker 1: I think Boys actually matches up pretty well with Colorado 1186 00:51:59,000 --> 00:52:01,480 Speaker 1: State because they can switch on defense, and that's one 1187 00:52:01,480 --> 00:52:04,560 Speaker 1: of the things that Colorado State really gives problems to 1188 00:52:04,760 --> 00:52:06,879 Speaker 1: other teams. They have these guys and everyone could shoot, 1189 00:52:06,920 --> 00:52:09,080 Speaker 1: that could play five out, and I think Boise can 1190 00:52:09,120 --> 00:52:12,480 Speaker 1: have some success getting to the rim against them. I 1191 00:52:12,520 --> 00:52:14,160 Speaker 1: think the way that it'll play out is Bois he 1192 00:52:14,280 --> 00:52:18,000 Speaker 1: probably wins at home on Sunday, probably be around like 1193 00:52:18,000 --> 00:52:20,239 Speaker 1: a five six point favorite, and then Colorida State will 1194 00:52:20,239 --> 00:52:22,720 Speaker 1: probably get him back end of the year at home, 1195 00:52:23,040 --> 00:52:25,560 Speaker 1: probably needing that game more than Boise to get into 1196 00:52:25,600 --> 00:52:28,160 Speaker 1: the tournament or proof the resume, I should say. I 1197 00:52:28,160 --> 00:52:30,640 Speaker 1: think that's how it plays out. But just for anyone 1198 00:52:30,719 --> 00:52:34,160 Speaker 1: watching Boise, what is the one key when you're watching 1199 00:52:34,200 --> 00:52:38,759 Speaker 1: them that Okay, if this is going well, then I 1200 00:52:38,920 --> 00:52:41,440 Speaker 1: know that we're in good shape. Is it Shaver hitting shots. 1201 00:52:41,520 --> 00:52:43,640 Speaker 1: Is it because you know the defense is going to 1202 00:52:43,640 --> 00:52:44,880 Speaker 1: be there, But what is it the one thing that 1203 00:52:44,920 --> 00:52:47,600 Speaker 1: you say, Okay, if this is going well, then I 1204 00:52:47,640 --> 00:52:48,600 Speaker 1: know we're in good shape. 1205 00:52:48,640 --> 00:52:50,279 Speaker 5: Well, I would say one thing, just in general, they 1206 00:52:50,280 --> 00:52:51,600 Speaker 5: got to keep the big guy or Moose out of 1207 00:52:51,600 --> 00:52:52,080 Speaker 5: fal trouble. 1208 00:52:52,120 --> 00:52:53,920 Speaker 3: I mean, the last five games, he has more files 1209 00:52:53,960 --> 00:52:54,520 Speaker 3: than points. 1210 00:52:54,800 --> 00:52:56,680 Speaker 5: And this is a guy that against Utah State had 1211 00:52:56,719 --> 00:52:59,160 Speaker 5: twenty two to nineteen a couple weeks ago. 1212 00:52:59,200 --> 00:53:00,960 Speaker 3: So I mean he can be a i'm ana big man. 1213 00:53:01,200 --> 00:53:01,880 Speaker 3: You know, he's got. 1214 00:53:01,800 --> 00:53:04,440 Speaker 5: Nineteen files and I think seventeen points the last five games. 1215 00:53:04,520 --> 00:53:08,000 Speaker 5: So some have been dumb files, some have been TACKI files, 1216 00:53:08,480 --> 00:53:10,960 Speaker 5: you know, questionable files, whatever, but files or files. So 1217 00:53:11,000 --> 00:53:12,920 Speaker 5: he's only playing like twenty minutes a game, and so 1218 00:53:13,560 --> 00:53:16,080 Speaker 5: in these games moving forward, you know, he's got to 1219 00:53:16,080 --> 00:53:17,880 Speaker 5: be the rim protector. He's got to be that the 1220 00:53:17,960 --> 00:53:19,600 Speaker 5: you know, he's an amazing rebound or some of the 1221 00:53:19,600 --> 00:53:21,880 Speaker 5: rebounds he's He's got two games this year already with 1222 00:53:21,920 --> 00:53:24,960 Speaker 5: at least ten offensive rebounds himself, and so I mean 1223 00:53:24,960 --> 00:53:27,160 Speaker 5: he's got to be on the floor for them. If 1224 00:53:27,520 --> 00:53:30,040 Speaker 5: when Altar Moos is on the floor, everybody talks about 1225 00:53:30,080 --> 00:53:32,920 Speaker 5: a Cott and Shaver and Deagenheart and all these guards. 1226 00:53:32,920 --> 00:53:34,960 Speaker 5: But I mean, they really really do rely on the 1227 00:53:34,960 --> 00:53:37,200 Speaker 5: big man in the middle a lot in our motions. 1228 00:53:37,239 --> 00:53:39,480 Speaker 5: So he's not the best score. He's he doesn't have 1229 00:53:39,520 --> 00:53:41,160 Speaker 5: a lot of touch around the basket, but he gets 1230 00:53:41,200 --> 00:53:43,080 Speaker 5: a lot of his you know, dunks in layups or 1231 00:53:43,080 --> 00:53:45,120 Speaker 5: a lot of his points. But he's just such so 1232 00:53:45,239 --> 00:53:48,359 Speaker 5: important in terms of rebounding, both on the offensive end 1233 00:53:48,400 --> 00:53:51,920 Speaker 5: defensive end, as well as just his defensive presence in 1234 00:53:51,960 --> 00:53:53,600 Speaker 5: the middle of the paint. And so if he can 1235 00:53:53,640 --> 00:53:55,279 Speaker 5: stay out of file trouble and stay on the floor, 1236 00:53:55,320 --> 00:53:57,600 Speaker 5: I think that's a huge key moving forward for Boise State. 1237 00:53:57,680 --> 00:54:00,359 Speaker 1: And then one last question, because every fan base looks 1238 00:54:00,400 --> 00:54:04,640 Speaker 1: at things differently, and so you have that perspective. I don't, 1239 00:54:04,680 --> 00:54:06,480 Speaker 1: so you can speak for yourself or boise E fans 1240 00:54:06,560 --> 00:54:09,760 Speaker 1: in general. Would you give up a potential Mountain West 1241 00:54:10,440 --> 00:54:14,000 Speaker 1: Conference championship this year for just one win in the 1242 00:54:14,080 --> 00:54:15,480 Speaker 1: NCAA Tournament, No. 1243 00:54:15,280 --> 00:54:16,960 Speaker 3: No doubt about it. Cut you off right there. 1244 00:54:17,000 --> 00:54:18,920 Speaker 5: Yeah, they're owe and seven all time, they've never won 1245 00:54:18,960 --> 00:54:21,120 Speaker 5: a game in the tournament. If they lose out and 1246 00:54:21,160 --> 00:54:22,920 Speaker 5: get second place in the Mountain West but go on 1247 00:54:23,000 --> 00:54:25,120 Speaker 5: and be a ten seed and get a win in 1248 00:54:25,160 --> 00:54:26,920 Speaker 5: the first round. It would be you know, the greatest 1249 00:54:26,960 --> 00:54:29,439 Speaker 5: win in school history because it's never happened. So, yeah, 1250 00:54:29,440 --> 00:54:31,360 Speaker 5: the Mountain West title would be great. They'd love to 1251 00:54:31,400 --> 00:54:34,040 Speaker 5: cut down the nets at home and you know, do 1252 00:54:34,160 --> 00:54:35,520 Speaker 5: that whole thing and have the trophy. 1253 00:54:35,560 --> 00:54:36,160 Speaker 3: That'd be great. 1254 00:54:36,200 --> 00:54:39,760 Speaker 5: But this team has never advanced and as I said 1255 00:54:39,800 --> 00:54:41,680 Speaker 5: in leon Rice is twelve years there, they've only been 1256 00:54:41,719 --> 00:54:43,279 Speaker 5: there twice and it was both first They had to 1257 00:54:43,320 --> 00:54:46,320 Speaker 5: play in the first four both times. Remember that crime 1258 00:54:46,360 --> 00:54:48,600 Speaker 5: in twenty fifteen, they had to play Dayton in Dayton 1259 00:54:48,960 --> 00:54:52,080 Speaker 5: and lost on a one point when no foul was 1260 00:54:52,080 --> 00:54:54,200 Speaker 5: called at the end of the game. And so they 1261 00:54:54,360 --> 00:54:55,959 Speaker 5: just they just want to get back. This fan base 1262 00:54:56,040 --> 00:54:57,880 Speaker 5: just wants this team to get back to the tournament. 1263 00:54:57,960 --> 00:54:59,920 Speaker 5: So I think getting to the tournament would be the 1264 00:55:00,000 --> 00:55:01,799 Speaker 5: first step. But if they were able to win a game, 1265 00:55:02,800 --> 00:55:04,719 Speaker 5: it would be the biggest moment in the history of 1266 00:55:04,760 --> 00:55:06,480 Speaker 5: this program, no matter who they've beat. And so I 1267 00:55:06,480 --> 00:55:08,920 Speaker 5: think that would certainly be the choice if those were 1268 00:55:08,920 --> 00:55:09,200 Speaker 5: the two. 1269 00:55:09,440 --> 00:55:11,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, I was, I was referring to conference tournament and 1270 00:55:11,640 --> 00:55:14,560 Speaker 1: but that that was gonna be the answer, And I assume, 1271 00:55:14,800 --> 00:55:15,040 Speaker 1: and I. 1272 00:55:14,960 --> 00:55:16,759 Speaker 5: Would probably stay the same way. I would probably stay 1273 00:55:16,760 --> 00:55:19,080 Speaker 5: the same way because conference tournament. They've actually played very 1274 00:55:19,080 --> 00:55:21,200 Speaker 5: poorly in that tournament as well. They've only made the 1275 00:55:21,239 --> 00:55:23,319 Speaker 5: semi finals twice. I think they've never played in the 1276 00:55:23,360 --> 00:55:26,799 Speaker 5: title game, so they've they've they've performed very poorly. Their 1277 00:55:26,800 --> 00:55:29,359 Speaker 5: record in the quarterfinals down there is not very good. 1278 00:55:29,360 --> 00:55:31,080 Speaker 5: They end up they're the two or three seed a lot, 1279 00:55:31,120 --> 00:55:32,759 Speaker 5: and they play a hot six or seven seed, and 1280 00:55:32,760 --> 00:55:36,080 Speaker 5: they've gotten upset in the quarterfinals numerous times in the tournament. 1281 00:55:36,200 --> 00:55:38,040 Speaker 5: So yeah, that that has not gone well, and so 1282 00:55:38,120 --> 00:55:40,160 Speaker 5: certainly they would like to make some damage there. But 1283 00:55:40,719 --> 00:55:43,600 Speaker 5: as I said, any scenario, whatever it is, from now 1284 00:55:43,680 --> 00:55:46,000 Speaker 5: till the bracket comes out, I think they would take 1285 00:55:46,040 --> 00:55:48,080 Speaker 5: winning a game in the in the field of sixty 1286 00:55:48,080 --> 00:55:49,000 Speaker 5: eight over anything else. 1287 00:55:49,280 --> 00:55:49,799 Speaker 3: Yeah, I was. 1288 00:55:49,719 --> 00:55:52,800 Speaker 1: Gonna say too, I think that the team that wins 1289 00:55:52,840 --> 00:55:57,120 Speaker 1: the Mountain West Conference tournament might decrease their chances in 1290 00:55:57,160 --> 00:55:59,880 Speaker 1: the first round. You're playing on Thursday, it's gonna be 1291 00:55:59,880 --> 00:56:01,560 Speaker 1: a go You're gonna have to go through some good 1292 00:56:01,560 --> 00:56:03,920 Speaker 1: teams on back to back to back day still win 1293 00:56:03,960 --> 00:56:06,959 Speaker 1: that conference tournament. It's gonna be a grind to get there, 1294 00:56:07,200 --> 00:56:09,239 Speaker 1: so maybe you're you know, if you're locked in, you're 1295 00:56:09,239 --> 00:56:12,120 Speaker 1: better off. Hey, I'll duck out on Saturday and get 1296 00:56:12,160 --> 00:56:14,920 Speaker 1: ready for the first round. A lot to come in 1297 00:56:14,960 --> 00:56:17,920 Speaker 1: the Mountain West. You can follow all things Boise Mountain 1298 00:56:17,960 --> 00:56:21,319 Speaker 1: West on Twitter at BJA Rains. You might have them 1299 00:56:21,360 --> 00:56:23,520 Speaker 1: on before the Mountain West Tournament. Again. I'm just so 1300 00:56:23,560 --> 00:56:25,680 Speaker 1: excited about this conference and I hope that they get 1301 00:56:25,719 --> 00:56:27,720 Speaker 1: as many teams in as possible over some of these 1302 00:56:28,000 --> 00:56:32,000 Speaker 1: these acc frauds that are just middling. So we'll see 1303 00:56:32,000 --> 00:56:34,279 Speaker 1: how it plays out. I hope there's not I hope 1304 00:56:34,280 --> 00:56:36,920 Speaker 1: that just like the top four, at least don't get 1305 00:56:36,960 --> 00:56:41,800 Speaker 1: you like I want Colorado State, Wyoming, Boise State, and 1306 00:56:42,239 --> 00:56:43,759 Speaker 1: you know you can put stand to State in there. 1307 00:56:43,760 --> 00:56:46,360 Speaker 1: I won't miss them not watching them play if they 1308 00:56:46,360 --> 00:56:49,239 Speaker 1: don't get in, but at least get me those three 1309 00:56:49,239 --> 00:56:51,160 Speaker 1: in the tournament. I think they're really exciting teams too 1310 00:56:51,239 --> 00:56:53,960 Speaker 1: to watch. So thanks for thanks for joining us. With 1311 00:56:54,239 --> 00:56:55,720 Speaker 1: any final last. 1312 00:56:55,560 --> 00:56:57,200 Speaker 3: Words, No, I just I would agree with you. 1313 00:56:57,239 --> 00:56:58,799 Speaker 5: Those are fun teams to watch, and I think they 1314 00:56:59,040 --> 00:57:01,520 Speaker 5: all three of those teams be like darlings of the 1315 00:57:01,520 --> 00:57:02,960 Speaker 5: country if all of them got in and could win 1316 00:57:03,000 --> 00:57:04,360 Speaker 5: a game or two with the way they play and 1317 00:57:04,400 --> 00:57:06,680 Speaker 5: the way that they're not you know, name programs so 1318 00:57:06,760 --> 00:57:08,440 Speaker 5: to speak, or blue Bloods or whatever. I think any 1319 00:57:08,480 --> 00:57:10,399 Speaker 5: three of those could be sleepers. It would be fun 1320 00:57:10,440 --> 00:57:12,320 Speaker 5: to root for and and uh yeah, it should be 1321 00:57:12,360 --> 00:57:12,759 Speaker 5: a lot of fun. 1322 00:57:12,800 --> 00:57:12,920 Speaker 4: Man. 1323 00:57:12,920 --> 00:57:14,480 Speaker 5: I'd be happy to come on before the tournament if 1324 00:57:14,520 --> 00:57:15,160 Speaker 5: you want to do it again. 1325 00:57:15,360 --> 00:57:19,360 Speaker 1: All right, sounds good. Enjoy your weekend and we'll talk soon. 1326 00:57:19,400 --> 00:57:22,760 Speaker 3: Thanks again, No problem, man, Thanks all right, Thanks. 1327 00:57:23,080 --> 00:57:26,680 Speaker 1: As always to BJ for joining me, Thanks to Colin 1328 00:57:26,920 --> 00:57:29,880 Speaker 1: for checking in. Hopefully gives us another winner. Thanks to 1329 00:57:29,920 --> 00:57:32,640 Speaker 1: the Three Man Weave for the Friday Night six pack, 1330 00:57:33,000 --> 00:57:35,560 Speaker 1: and thanks to BJ Rains for talking to Mountain West. 1331 00:57:35,640 --> 00:57:37,800 Speaker 1: Great episode. Hope you enjoyed it. Make sure you subscribe 1332 00:57:37,840 --> 00:57:40,920 Speaker 1: on Subscribe, Subscribe, tell a friend, telling enemy, leave a 1333 00:57:40,920 --> 00:57:43,640 Speaker 1: five star review. We'll do giveaways next week. They really 1334 00:57:43,640 --> 00:57:46,520 Speaker 1: help us out. Appreciate you guys listening. Let's keep it 1335 00:57:46,600 --> 00:57:49,000 Speaker 1: rolling through March. Let's have a great weekend. Make sure 1336 00:57:49,000 --> 00:57:51,240 Speaker 1: you download the word winning Action ever Gap check out 1337 00:57:51,600 --> 00:57:55,600 Speaker 1: content on nextionnowork dot com. We'll be back on Monday. Myself, BJ, 1338 00:57:55,760 --> 00:57:57,960 Speaker 1: Mike cal Breezy, three Man weave. We back on Wednesday, 1339 00:57:57,960 --> 00:58:00,400 Speaker 1: and it will be your same time next week before 1340 00:58:00,400 --> 00:58:04,720 Speaker 1: the weekend betting preview also ten thirty am Eastern Saturday morning. 1341 00:58:04,720 --> 00:58:06,480 Speaker 1: I think that's on camp Us Live on Twitter. Make 1342 00:58:06,520 --> 00:58:07,680 Speaker 1: sure you check us out there. We'll go with the 1343 00:58:07,720 --> 00:58:09,720 Speaker 1: Saturday card myself at the three Men week Thanks again 1344 00:58:09,720 --> 00:58:11,120 Speaker 1: for listening. We'll catch you all later. Cheers