1 00:00:01,080 --> 00:00:03,880 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros MLB. This is the 2 00:00:03,920 --> 00:00:05,359 Speaker 1: Fantasy Baseball Podcast. 3 00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:07,400 Speaker 2: Is me Joey p joe pis at Pa with me? 4 00:00:07,520 --> 00:00:09,680 Speaker 1: Is always the Welsh, and it's all of you here 5 00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:12,040 Speaker 1: on Fantasy Pros MLB. Subscribe to the channel. Help us 6 00:00:12,039 --> 00:00:14,280 Speaker 1: get to thirty thousand. We are so close right now 7 00:00:14,400 --> 00:00:16,040 Speaker 1: if we can do it before opening day. If you 8 00:00:16,079 --> 00:00:18,840 Speaker 1: all get in there and start subscribing, and when you do, 9 00:00:18,840 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 1: don't forget. 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You never miss a 28 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:07,119 Speaker 1: piece of content here on the Channel Welsh. Today we're 29 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:10,680 Speaker 1: talking breakout players. That's what we're talking about. So this 30 00:01:10,800 --> 00:01:12,840 Speaker 1: is another annual tradition. I love this time of year 31 00:01:12,840 --> 00:01:16,080 Speaker 1: because we did our annual tradition shows. We're doing the 32 00:01:16,080 --> 00:01:18,880 Speaker 1: breakout Players, the All Sleeper Team, all this fun stuff. 33 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:21,280 Speaker 1: Last week we did these three words or less predictions, 34 00:01:21,319 --> 00:01:23,560 Speaker 1: which I loved. If you miss that, go back and watch. 35 00:01:23,800 --> 00:01:26,959 Speaker 1: But again, breakouts are always defined differently and we like 36 00:01:27,040 --> 00:01:29,119 Speaker 1: to kind of set that up. We're talking about players, 37 00:01:29,120 --> 00:01:31,760 Speaker 1: at least from my perspective today that have shown you 38 00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:34,480 Speaker 1: at least the opportunity, either in the minor leagues or 39 00:01:34,520 --> 00:01:35,960 Speaker 1: a little bit here and there in the big leagues, 40 00:01:36,000 --> 00:01:38,560 Speaker 1: that there's another level to their game. I'm trying to 41 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:40,720 Speaker 1: avoid guys that just were good last year that we 42 00:01:41,800 --> 00:01:44,280 Speaker 1: you know, maybe you already had their true breakouts or 43 00:01:44,319 --> 00:01:46,720 Speaker 1: really now are on the radars of other people because 44 00:01:47,080 --> 00:01:50,680 Speaker 1: they exceeded performance expectations. Welsh, how are you defining some 45 00:01:50,720 --> 00:01:52,040 Speaker 1: of your breakout guys this year? 46 00:01:52,440 --> 00:01:54,880 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's probably about the same. I think guys that 47 00:01:55,160 --> 00:01:57,559 Speaker 3: you know haven't locked in too. I mean, I guess 48 00:01:57,680 --> 00:02:00,320 Speaker 3: when I look at my my list that I put together, 49 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 3: there are guys maybe in like a you know, you know, 50 00:02:04,440 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 3: long ago past or whatever that maybe had like a 51 00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:09,760 Speaker 3: little bit of a run. But yeah, for the most part, 52 00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:13,919 Speaker 3: like they haven't experience they haven't experienced that next big level, 53 00:02:13,960 --> 00:02:17,880 Speaker 3: you know, they haven't experience going like I have one 54 00:02:17,919 --> 00:02:20,000 Speaker 3: guy I think I would pinpoint as like, yeah, there 55 00:02:20,040 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 3: was kind of a good season, but none of these 56 00:02:21,880 --> 00:02:24,079 Speaker 3: guys have had a season that has really put them 57 00:02:24,200 --> 00:02:28,000 Speaker 3: on the radar. So the breakout it's actually I think 58 00:02:28,040 --> 00:02:30,200 Speaker 3: it's a little bit easier in the sense to identify 59 00:02:30,240 --> 00:02:34,120 Speaker 3: breakouts than the ever evolving term of sleeper, because it's like, 60 00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:37,360 Speaker 3: these guys have not had their moment yet, and this 61 00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:40,400 Speaker 3: is my identifier of these players that are ready to 62 00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:42,440 Speaker 3: take that step really of relevance. 63 00:02:43,280 --> 00:02:47,040 Speaker 1: That's right, the island of relevancy right here on the 64 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:49,160 Speaker 1: Fantasy Rose MLB. All right, well, let's start with the 65 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:51,320 Speaker 1: catcher spot. Who do you have as your breakout catcher 66 00:02:51,320 --> 00:02:52,120 Speaker 1: for twenty six. 67 00:02:52,960 --> 00:02:55,200 Speaker 3: This one, I guess would be a little bit in 68 00:02:55,200 --> 00:02:57,600 Speaker 3: the homer category for people, but I am going with 69 00:02:57,880 --> 00:03:02,760 Speaker 3: my boy. Gabby Moreno has got the skill sets to 70 00:03:02,880 --> 00:03:05,880 Speaker 3: be a top I mean, really a top five catcher 71 00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:08,120 Speaker 3: in baseball. It wouldn't be shocking. But he has not 72 00:03:08,160 --> 00:03:10,560 Speaker 3: played the games. He has been injured a ton. I 73 00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:12,840 Speaker 3: mean he has over the last three years. Three hundred 74 00:03:12,840 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 3: and forty one at bats was the tippy top, but 75 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:16,840 Speaker 3: when you look at the profile, it is there. He 76 00:03:16,919 --> 00:03:19,880 Speaker 3: had two eighty five last year with nine homers in 77 00:03:20,000 --> 00:03:24,160 Speaker 3: just under three hundred at bats. Expected BA expected slug 78 00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 3: was great from a launch angle perspective. He was just 79 00:03:27,520 --> 00:03:29,679 Speaker 3: nailing that sweet spot to get the ball in the air. 80 00:03:29,720 --> 00:03:31,639 Speaker 3: He squares the ball up, and he's also got really 81 00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:34,880 Speaker 3: good underlying profile where he's not striking out or any 82 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:37,960 Speaker 3: you know, crazy whiffs or whatnot. But for him last 83 00:03:38,000 --> 00:03:39,760 Speaker 3: season to get the ball in the air at the 84 00:03:39,880 --> 00:03:42,320 Speaker 3: rate that he did with the low strikeouts and he 85 00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:45,280 Speaker 3: doubled his pulled air percentage. If he just plays this year, 86 00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:48,760 Speaker 3: he is in line to be, you know, probably close 87 00:03:48,800 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 3: to that top five catcher territory, at least a top ten, 88 00:03:51,320 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 3: and he's going outside the top fifteen. So it's Gabby 89 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:55,480 Speaker 3: moreno breakout time. 90 00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:58,240 Speaker 1: I'm going to go even deeper for my breakout catcher. 91 00:03:58,280 --> 00:03:59,960 Speaker 1: I'm going to go with Francisco Alvarez of the New 92 00:04:00,040 --> 00:04:02,160 Speaker 1: York Mets. He's only twenty four years old, and I 93 00:04:02,160 --> 00:04:04,960 Speaker 1: think we forget that it was a disappointing season. We 94 00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:07,280 Speaker 1: all know that he had the handmapone injury. It's aptimo 95 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 1: of the power. He missed time he came back, they 96 00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:10,920 Speaker 1: had to send him down to the minor leagues. He 97 00:04:10,960 --> 00:04:13,800 Speaker 1: finally got right, but to me, it was all about 98 00:04:13,800 --> 00:04:16,400 Speaker 1: camp right and he looks like he's in the best 99 00:04:16,400 --> 00:04:18,560 Speaker 1: shape of his life, which I know is a cliche, 100 00:04:18,800 --> 00:04:21,279 Speaker 1: but for Alvarez it's important because sometimes, even as a 101 00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:23,880 Speaker 1: young man here he's been heavy in some of these camps. 102 00:04:23,920 --> 00:04:26,360 Speaker 1: When he's come in, he looks fantastic, He looks strong, 103 00:04:26,400 --> 00:04:29,240 Speaker 1: he looks like he took off season workouts very seriously, 104 00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:32,360 Speaker 1: and not that long ago. I think we forget that 105 00:04:32,440 --> 00:04:33,880 Speaker 1: this was a kid in the minor leagues that had 106 00:04:33,880 --> 00:04:36,400 Speaker 1: a five hundred slugging percentage. For his career in the 107 00:04:36,440 --> 00:04:39,080 Speaker 1: minor leagues, he had a nine hundred ops. This is 108 00:04:39,120 --> 00:04:42,440 Speaker 1: a power hitting catcher, and it's difficult for young catchers 109 00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:43,880 Speaker 1: when they come through because they're trying to learn the 110 00:04:43,880 --> 00:04:45,679 Speaker 1: pitching staff. They're trying to get all this stuff together 111 00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:48,080 Speaker 1: and hit as well. He's had some injuries, he's had 112 00:04:48,080 --> 00:04:50,520 Speaker 1: some missteps. There were even some rumors of him maybe 113 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:52,640 Speaker 1: falling out of favor and getting replaced. I think that's 114 00:04:52,680 --> 00:04:55,480 Speaker 1: a little fire under him this offseason. He looks really good. 115 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:57,800 Speaker 1: He's getting four hundred in the spring so far. I 116 00:04:57,839 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 1: think this is a guy that could move up to 117 00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:01,359 Speaker 1: the middle of the Mets order, and that is a 118 00:05:01,360 --> 00:05:03,480 Speaker 1: place to be with Soto and Bashett. 119 00:05:03,120 --> 00:05:04,680 Speaker 2: And guys like that ahead of you. So if he 120 00:05:04,760 --> 00:05:05,240 Speaker 2: ends up in. 121 00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:07,160 Speaker 1: That five or six spot at some point this season, 122 00:05:07,640 --> 00:05:09,920 Speaker 1: my goodness, you could drive in ninety runs this year. 123 00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:12,280 Speaker 1: Let's go to first base here, Welsh, who is your 124 00:05:12,320 --> 00:05:15,560 Speaker 1: breakout candidate on your all breakout team for twenty six. 125 00:05:15,680 --> 00:05:17,679 Speaker 3: Yeah, this has been one I have been talking about. 126 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:20,920 Speaker 3: People may have heard recently, but Nolan Shanewell, this is 127 00:05:21,279 --> 00:05:23,640 Speaker 3: and this is like the truest sense of the truest 128 00:05:23,640 --> 00:05:25,720 Speaker 3: sense of breakout because we kind of know who he is. 129 00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:31,120 Speaker 3: He's a decent contact, incredibly low with strikeout guy. I 130 00:05:31,160 --> 00:05:32,880 Speaker 3: mean kind of like I was talking with Gabria Moreno, 131 00:05:32,960 --> 00:05:36,599 Speaker 3: but this is at an extreme a degree with doesn't 132 00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:38,480 Speaker 3: do any of that stuff better for points leagues. Hasn't 133 00:05:38,480 --> 00:05:41,719 Speaker 3: really been relevant in category leagues, but I saw it 134 00:05:41,760 --> 00:05:43,880 Speaker 3: in camp early on with the Angels. There's been a 135 00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:46,200 Speaker 3: lot of narrative around it. The thing that we're just 136 00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:49,000 Speaker 3: missing from him is for his ability to get the 137 00:05:49,000 --> 00:05:50,839 Speaker 3: ball in the air a little bit and pull it. 138 00:05:50,920 --> 00:05:52,880 Speaker 3: And you're just starting to see that he's had three 139 00:05:52,960 --> 00:05:55,479 Speaker 3: years of growth in his launch angle from six degrees 140 00:05:55,480 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 3: two years ago to thirteen degrees. His barrel percentage is 141 00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:01,599 Speaker 3: slowly going out up and he's around an eighteen percent 142 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 3: pulled air percentage. So the way he makes contact, if 143 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:06,320 Speaker 3: he could just barrel up and he could just get 144 00:06:06,320 --> 00:06:09,080 Speaker 3: that increase of barrels of seven or eight percent, and 145 00:06:09,120 --> 00:06:11,320 Speaker 3: that launch agle might come up. You're looking at Nolan 146 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:15,599 Speaker 3: Shanwell being a twenty plus homer guy, significant runs a RBI, 147 00:06:15,760 --> 00:06:19,680 Speaker 3: most likely in great batting average. So it'll go from 148 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:22,840 Speaker 3: absolute irrelevancy to a guy that you're gonna want to 149 00:06:22,880 --> 00:06:25,000 Speaker 3: have at the back end of your draft. So Nolan Shanwell, 150 00:06:25,040 --> 00:06:29,919 Speaker 3: I think he is literally a adjustment away from a 151 00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:32,600 Speaker 3: big breakout season happening, and I'm gonna speculate that it's 152 00:06:32,600 --> 00:06:33,360 Speaker 3: happening this year. 153 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:36,560 Speaker 1: I didn't take Shannwell because I figured you would, so 154 00:06:36,600 --> 00:06:37,400 Speaker 1: I left him for you. 155 00:06:37,480 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 2: So you're welcome, Welsh, that's all. That's my guy. 156 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:40,960 Speaker 3: What are you talking about? 157 00:06:41,000 --> 00:06:42,240 Speaker 2: I mean, I made the sheet up. 158 00:06:42,440 --> 00:06:44,560 Speaker 1: I make the sheet up every you know, every show, 159 00:06:44,640 --> 00:06:46,800 Speaker 1: get everything together, and I was like, I'm gonna put Shannonwell. 160 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:48,640 Speaker 1: I was like, no, Well, she's gonna want to talk 161 00:06:48,640 --> 00:06:50,320 Speaker 1: about him, so I'm gonna go somewhere else. Now, the 162 00:06:50,320 --> 00:06:53,080 Speaker 1: two guys that were looking at back and forth both 163 00:06:53,120 --> 00:06:55,279 Speaker 1: had just ten games played at first base, so this 164 00:06:55,400 --> 00:06:58,040 Speaker 1: is kind of a you know, qualifying kind of situation here. 165 00:06:58,080 --> 00:07:02,760 Speaker 1: But Jack Kaglione did indeed play ten games at least, 166 00:07:02,800 --> 00:07:04,920 Speaker 1: So if you're in leagues where he qualifies at ten, 167 00:07:05,680 --> 00:07:08,160 Speaker 1: then Jack eg leone is my guy. He's another one 168 00:07:08,480 --> 00:07:10,880 Speaker 1: that I just have high expectations for. I love this 169 00:07:10,920 --> 00:07:13,480 Speaker 1: player coming out of the draft. Welsh knows. When we 170 00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:15,880 Speaker 1: did the draft coverage a couple of years ago. This 171 00:07:16,040 --> 00:07:19,120 Speaker 1: was my dude, this is a big, slugging kind of profile. 172 00:07:19,520 --> 00:07:22,040 Speaker 1: I think last year what he rocketed through the minor leagues, 173 00:07:22,080 --> 00:07:24,880 Speaker 1: we saw similar thing happen with Nick Kurtz. Right rock 174 00:07:24,920 --> 00:07:26,560 Speaker 1: it through the minor leagues, you get the call up. 175 00:07:26,640 --> 00:07:29,840 Speaker 1: But unlike Kurtz, things just didn't hit for him right away, 176 00:07:29,880 --> 00:07:33,160 Speaker 1: literally and figuratively. So he made a lot of hard contact. 177 00:07:33,360 --> 00:07:35,680 Speaker 1: He had a lot of hard outs. When you're watching him, 178 00:07:36,200 --> 00:07:38,400 Speaker 1: you're just thinking, oh, man, like, why can't he just 179 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 1: get going? Like he just goes had no luck whatsoever. 180 00:07:41,200 --> 00:07:43,280 Speaker 1: But I think the important thing here is to look 181 00:07:43,320 --> 00:07:45,120 Speaker 1: beyond this a little bit and see what he's doing 182 00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:46,840 Speaker 1: the spring. And I know on the fest we talked 183 00:07:46,840 --> 00:07:48,960 Speaker 1: about him a little bit too. He's walking more than 184 00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:51,960 Speaker 1: he's striking out already here in the spring. That's important 185 00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:53,840 Speaker 1: to me. That means he's confident in the strike zone, 186 00:07:53,840 --> 00:07:54,880 Speaker 1: he's confident of what's. 187 00:07:54,720 --> 00:07:55,440 Speaker 2: Going on here. 188 00:07:55,680 --> 00:07:58,080 Speaker 1: He's not just swinging into anything anymore, and he's not 189 00:07:58,160 --> 00:08:01,120 Speaker 1: letting last year's frustrations I'll throw over into this year. 190 00:08:01,920 --> 00:08:04,360 Speaker 1: The power is thirty to forty home runs. That's the 191 00:08:04,440 --> 00:08:06,640 Speaker 1: upside of what he brings. I think that Royals team 192 00:08:06,720 --> 00:08:09,440 Speaker 1: is very good. Pascuentino, Wit Kaglion in the middle of 193 00:08:09,480 --> 00:08:11,960 Speaker 1: that order, Michael Garcia. It's a lot of talent there. 194 00:08:12,040 --> 00:08:13,640 Speaker 1: They made some adjustments to the ballpark. 195 00:08:13,680 --> 00:08:13,880 Speaker 2: Two. 196 00:08:14,160 --> 00:08:16,280 Speaker 1: I think its wheels up post type sleeper time for 197 00:08:16,360 --> 00:08:19,080 Speaker 1: Jack Cagleon. I think he breaks out in twenty twenty six. 198 00:08:19,480 --> 00:08:23,000 Speaker 1: Welsh in the second base spot. Who made your all 199 00:08:23,040 --> 00:08:23,880 Speaker 1: breakout squad. 200 00:08:24,600 --> 00:08:27,000 Speaker 3: This is a surprising one for myself, but just kind 201 00:08:27,000 --> 00:08:29,520 Speaker 3: of going through I'm not in love with a lot 202 00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:31,920 Speaker 3: of what's going on with second base. I'm also not 203 00:08:31,960 --> 00:08:34,840 Speaker 3: sure if there's a whole lot of players that met 204 00:08:34,880 --> 00:08:38,800 Speaker 3: that qualification. For me, this guy did. He did kind 205 00:08:38,800 --> 00:08:40,800 Speaker 3: of start to have a year, and I think people 206 00:08:40,800 --> 00:08:43,160 Speaker 3: were ready for it to expand. So I'm not sure 207 00:08:43,160 --> 00:08:45,760 Speaker 3: if you know, the two thousand was at the two 208 00:08:45,800 --> 00:08:49,920 Speaker 3: thousand and twenty three season was really an actual breakout. 209 00:08:49,960 --> 00:08:54,800 Speaker 3: But Matt McClain and we want to take spring results 210 00:08:54,960 --> 00:08:58,320 Speaker 3: like with an absolute freaking grain of salt. Sure, But 211 00:08:59,160 --> 00:09:03,319 Speaker 3: this spring Klaian has had a continued issue with strikeouts, 212 00:09:03,480 --> 00:09:06,760 Speaker 3: making consistent contact. He did hit two ninety to twenty 213 00:09:06,840 --> 00:09:09,359 Speaker 3: twenty three, but since then it's just been like horrifically 214 00:09:09,400 --> 00:09:12,200 Speaker 3: bad case blah blah blah. This spring, he's like your 215 00:09:12,280 --> 00:09:14,719 Speaker 3: leader in homers. He's got five homers. He also is 216 00:09:14,760 --> 00:09:18,040 Speaker 3: an eight percent strikeout rate, which like I just can't 217 00:09:18,080 --> 00:09:20,560 Speaker 3: not look at if that's one of the biggest keys 218 00:09:20,600 --> 00:09:23,360 Speaker 3: for him. He has had to lower that strikeout rate, 219 00:09:23,760 --> 00:09:26,680 Speaker 3: and he's doing so. He's also pulling the ball in 220 00:09:26,760 --> 00:09:29,800 Speaker 3: spring a little bit more batting average through the roof. 221 00:09:30,520 --> 00:09:32,320 Speaker 3: You know, he's in line, he's getting the ball in 222 00:09:32,360 --> 00:09:35,040 Speaker 3: the air. He's hitting the ball harder on average ninety 223 00:09:35,040 --> 00:09:37,480 Speaker 3: three point six. It's a very small sample size, but 224 00:09:37,520 --> 00:09:40,720 Speaker 3: really my biggest key is he's finding consistency this spring. 225 00:09:41,160 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 3: He's striking out way less. And if he carries that 226 00:09:43,960 --> 00:09:46,160 Speaker 3: in because he had almost twenty nine percent k percentage, 227 00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:49,560 Speaker 3: if he carries that into the year, Matt McClain might 228 00:09:49,600 --> 00:09:52,160 Speaker 3: be the reds zach Netto and we might go from 229 00:09:52,160 --> 00:09:54,319 Speaker 3: like a fifteen to fifteen type of guy where we're 230 00:09:54,360 --> 00:09:56,400 Speaker 3: like this is fun, blah blah blah to him being 231 00:09:56,400 --> 00:09:59,040 Speaker 3: a legit twenty five to twenty five player. So it 232 00:09:59,120 --> 00:10:02,439 Speaker 3: does feel like the adjustments we're seeing so far are 233 00:10:02,640 --> 00:10:06,280 Speaker 3: starting to scream actual breakout, I guess at a position 234 00:10:06,320 --> 00:10:08,319 Speaker 3: that I think is a little bit tougher to find, 235 00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:10,680 Speaker 3: like this truer definition of breakout. 236 00:10:10,920 --> 00:10:11,760 Speaker 2: I struggle with this one. 237 00:10:11,800 --> 00:10:13,960 Speaker 1: It's funny that you picked McLain because I was going to, 238 00:10:14,040 --> 00:10:15,920 Speaker 1: but I said to myself a couple of years ago, 239 00:10:15,960 --> 00:10:18,000 Speaker 1: I think you really have the quote unquote breakout where 240 00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:19,119 Speaker 1: he flashed the power. 241 00:10:18,840 --> 00:10:19,400 Speaker 2: And the speed. 242 00:10:19,679 --> 00:10:21,640 Speaker 1: It wasn't over quite a full season, but like it 243 00:10:21,679 --> 00:10:23,800 Speaker 1: was kind of like, hey, here I am on Matt McClain. 244 00:10:23,880 --> 00:10:25,920 Speaker 1: But to your point, to do it again over a 245 00:10:25,960 --> 00:10:28,280 Speaker 1: full season and maybe there's even another gear to Matt McClain. 246 00:10:28,360 --> 00:10:30,440 Speaker 3: Well, and that's my point, it's a bigger gear. It's 247 00:10:30,520 --> 00:10:33,040 Speaker 3: not because that year that he was he was solid. 248 00:10:33,559 --> 00:10:37,520 Speaker 3: It was still like under twenty homers, way under fifteen 249 00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:40,319 Speaker 3: stolen bases. He hit two ninety and he did it, 250 00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:42,200 Speaker 3: you know, in like eighty nine games. Then the next 251 00:10:42,280 --> 00:10:44,880 Speaker 3: year he was fifteen eighteen with a two to twenty 252 00:10:44,880 --> 00:10:48,440 Speaker 3: batting average seventy point batting average drop. So it was 253 00:10:48,520 --> 00:10:52,120 Speaker 3: like it was the starting stages of this, but it 254 00:10:52,200 --> 00:10:55,760 Speaker 3: never actually activated. This is, you know, the activated year 255 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:57,000 Speaker 3: that I'm speculating on. 256 00:10:57,720 --> 00:10:59,720 Speaker 2: So second base is tough, as you said. 257 00:10:59,840 --> 00:11:02,160 Speaker 1: So I went with Marcelo Mayor for mine, and I 258 00:11:02,160 --> 00:11:04,720 Speaker 1: don't think he's going to be a breakout star necessarily, 259 00:11:04,800 --> 00:11:06,360 Speaker 1: but I think he's going to breathe up be a 260 00:11:06,400 --> 00:11:08,040 Speaker 1: breakout solid guy. 261 00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:09,880 Speaker 2: And I think that's okay. 262 00:11:09,640 --> 00:11:12,000 Speaker 1: Too, because when we're talking breakouts, it's not only guys 263 00:11:12,000 --> 00:11:14,480 Speaker 1: that have potential to be big time All star players, 264 00:11:14,480 --> 00:11:19,400 Speaker 1: but it's also potential to become very steady everyday assets 265 00:11:19,440 --> 00:11:21,559 Speaker 1: for you in fantasy. You're getting a huge discount on 266 00:11:21,640 --> 00:11:25,160 Speaker 1: Marcelo Mayor. He's post three hundred overall. He is the 267 00:11:25,200 --> 00:11:28,240 Speaker 1: twenty ninth second baseman going off the board. And if 268 00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:30,319 Speaker 1: you look at the profile of him in Double A 269 00:11:30,480 --> 00:11:32,360 Speaker 1: last year before the call excuse me, in Double A 270 00:11:32,400 --> 00:11:34,959 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty four three oh seven, three seventy four 271 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:38,000 Speaker 1: eighty slash eight fifty ops, eight home runs in seventy 272 00:11:38,040 --> 00:11:40,839 Speaker 1: seven games, and he stole thirteen bases last year in 273 00:11:40,880 --> 00:11:42,960 Speaker 1: Triple A before the call up nine home runs, so 274 00:11:43,040 --> 00:11:46,920 Speaker 1: he's making incremental, you know, adjustments. Nine home runs, forty 275 00:11:46,920 --> 00:11:49,080 Speaker 1: three RBI and forty three games last year, hit two 276 00:11:49,120 --> 00:11:51,840 Speaker 1: seventy one at Triple A, eight eighteen ops and then 277 00:11:51,960 --> 00:11:54,320 Speaker 1: like he wasn't great, Let's be honest. When he got 278 00:11:54,320 --> 00:11:56,000 Speaker 1: called up in forty four games with the Red Sox, 279 00:11:56,080 --> 00:11:58,480 Speaker 1: He's just two twenty eight A six to seventy four ops. 280 00:11:58,480 --> 00:12:01,080 Speaker 1: So there were some issues there with Marcelo Mayor, but 281 00:12:01,800 --> 00:12:03,760 Speaker 1: when you look at the profile and what he did, 282 00:12:03,800 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 1: it's very similar. You know. I used to always talk 283 00:12:05,400 --> 00:12:07,400 Speaker 1: about Christian Walker this way. Christian Walker was a guy 284 00:12:07,440 --> 00:12:09,560 Speaker 1: that it took him a while at every level to 285 00:12:09,640 --> 00:12:11,640 Speaker 1: kind of adjust, and then once he did, he would 286 00:12:11,640 --> 00:12:14,479 Speaker 1: be solid from A to double, A double, triple A triple. 287 00:12:14,240 --> 00:12:15,400 Speaker 2: A to the big leagues. 288 00:12:15,440 --> 00:12:17,440 Speaker 1: That was the same thing that I got from Marcelo Mayor, 289 00:12:17,559 --> 00:12:19,640 Speaker 1: was like, this is an adjustment guy. This is a 290 00:12:19,640 --> 00:12:21,680 Speaker 1: guy that is gonna take a little while, but once 291 00:12:21,720 --> 00:12:24,319 Speaker 1: he figures it out, it's gonna be better. Uh. And 292 00:12:24,559 --> 00:12:27,520 Speaker 1: I do believe that Marcelo Mayor has that ability to 293 00:12:27,559 --> 00:12:30,040 Speaker 1: adjust this season, and he's certainly got the leeway with 294 00:12:30,080 --> 00:12:30,559 Speaker 1: that job. 295 00:12:31,640 --> 00:12:32,800 Speaker 2: We have to fight anybody else. 296 00:12:32,800 --> 00:12:34,680 Speaker 1: If he struggles, we'll see, but I think he's gonna 297 00:12:34,679 --> 00:12:36,160 Speaker 1: have a clear runway at least for the first two 298 00:12:36,160 --> 00:12:38,400 Speaker 1: months of the season to hold that starting position. 299 00:12:38,880 --> 00:12:39,560 Speaker 2: Third base. 300 00:12:39,800 --> 00:12:42,960 Speaker 1: Welsh All Breakout Team who is it for twenty twenty six? 301 00:12:43,240 --> 00:12:46,559 Speaker 3: Also kind of another one to really identify, just because 302 00:12:46,559 --> 00:12:48,320 Speaker 3: we had a lot of players that think last year 303 00:12:48,360 --> 00:12:50,040 Speaker 3: that it's like, oh this this, and then now the 304 00:12:50,400 --> 00:12:52,880 Speaker 3: you know, position lay they don't have a good spot. 305 00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:55,800 Speaker 3: So I kind of settled into a little bit of 306 00:12:55,800 --> 00:12:58,000 Speaker 3: a smaller guy, a guy that you know from a 307 00:12:58,040 --> 00:13:01,640 Speaker 3: statistical standpoint, and I think you was okay, but like, 308 00:13:01,679 --> 00:13:02,959 Speaker 3: I don't think we could put him in the same 309 00:13:02,960 --> 00:13:07,920 Speaker 3: Matt McClain range because this player still wasn't really draft like, like, 310 00:13:07,960 --> 00:13:09,840 Speaker 3: no one's really drafting him, no one was holding onto 311 00:13:09,880 --> 00:13:12,400 Speaker 3: him regardless of the stats. And it's Caleb Durban Caleb Durbin, 312 00:13:12,440 --> 00:13:14,319 Speaker 3: who was a Brewer who's now a Boston Red Sox. 313 00:13:14,360 --> 00:13:20,720 Speaker 3: He had eleven homers, eighteen stolen bases. You know, it 314 00:13:20,800 --> 00:13:24,000 Speaker 3: was okay, but like roster, he really wasn't being rostered 315 00:13:24,040 --> 00:13:27,000 Speaker 3: a whole bunch. This year, getting an opportunity to be, 316 00:13:27,440 --> 00:13:30,440 Speaker 3: you know, an everyday player for the Boston Red Sox 317 00:13:31,000 --> 00:13:35,720 Speaker 3: is opening up, you know, like actual like big fantasy, 318 00:13:35,880 --> 00:13:38,720 Speaker 3: like we've got to pay attention another one of those guys. 319 00:13:38,880 --> 00:13:41,240 Speaker 3: I didn't even realize the trend I have of these 320 00:13:41,320 --> 00:13:44,800 Speaker 3: like super super low chase and whiff guys that if 321 00:13:44,800 --> 00:13:46,480 Speaker 3: they make a little bit more contact, to make a 322 00:13:46,480 --> 00:13:48,840 Speaker 3: few adjustments, they can go through the roof. At one 323 00:13:48,880 --> 00:13:51,960 Speaker 3: time had said about Caleb Durban that's wrong, is that 324 00:13:52,160 --> 00:13:54,520 Speaker 3: if he got a major league run, he could lead 325 00:13:54,520 --> 00:13:56,959 Speaker 3: the league in stolen bases. I'm actually surprised at the 326 00:13:57,040 --> 00:13:59,800 Speaker 3: level that he steals here, just because he was the 327 00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:03,240 Speaker 3: Arizona Fall League like a champion of stolen bases. In 328 00:14:03,280 --> 00:14:05,679 Speaker 3: thirty games, He's stole like twenty nine. He's the all 329 00:14:05,679 --> 00:14:08,880 Speaker 3: time record leader. So I think there's another gear for 330 00:14:08,960 --> 00:14:10,880 Speaker 3: him to steal a lot more bases because he's going 331 00:14:10,920 --> 00:14:13,200 Speaker 3: to be in these games. He's pulling the ball again. 332 00:14:13,240 --> 00:14:15,280 Speaker 3: This is spring, but he is pulling the ball a 333 00:14:15,280 --> 00:14:17,000 Speaker 3: ton more and getting the ball in the air. It's 334 00:14:17,000 --> 00:14:19,120 Speaker 3: a twenty one degree launch angle in spring with a 335 00:14:19,120 --> 00:14:22,240 Speaker 3: fifty nine percent poll rate. If that's just an adjustment 336 00:14:22,320 --> 00:14:24,240 Speaker 3: he's attempting to do, because he's going to be hitting 337 00:14:24,240 --> 00:14:27,400 Speaker 3: in Boston, you're going to fall into some more homers here, 338 00:14:27,640 --> 00:14:30,400 Speaker 3: a little bit of position flexibility. I will not be 339 00:14:30,440 --> 00:14:32,640 Speaker 3: surprised when he steals thirty bases. I will not be 340 00:14:32,680 --> 00:14:35,680 Speaker 3: surprised if he's got fifteen plus homers, He's going to 341 00:14:35,720 --> 00:14:38,520 Speaker 3: score some runs. There's a five tool type of player 342 00:14:38,560 --> 00:14:40,760 Speaker 3: to him, and he kind of plays at every spot because, 343 00:14:40,760 --> 00:14:43,440 Speaker 3: like I said, he doesn't strike out nine percent strikeout rate, 344 00:14:43,720 --> 00:14:46,960 Speaker 3: So again, like the stat line is going to be 345 00:14:47,320 --> 00:14:49,400 Speaker 3: a bit bigger, but this will be a player that 346 00:14:49,720 --> 00:14:52,560 Speaker 3: was kind of maybe not rostered to a player that 347 00:14:52,720 --> 00:14:54,320 Speaker 3: is going to be starting in a lot of people's 348 00:14:54,480 --> 00:14:57,800 Speaker 3: middle or corner pinning the position eligibility. Think Caleb durban 349 00:14:57,920 --> 00:14:59,680 Speaker 3: is going to be making a name for himself this year. 350 00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:01,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, I went back. 351 00:15:01,440 --> 00:15:03,320 Speaker 1: You know, I was trying not to pick too many 352 00:15:03,400 --> 00:15:06,120 Speaker 1: rookies on mine because again it's a little bit of 353 00:15:06,160 --> 00:15:08,160 Speaker 1: a cop out there, just as little so you know, 354 00:15:08,200 --> 00:15:10,600 Speaker 1: he's easy to oh every single rookie that's really exciting, 355 00:15:10,640 --> 00:15:13,440 Speaker 1: especially with this rookie class. But we do have some 356 00:15:13,520 --> 00:15:15,480 Speaker 1: rookies here and there. But Durbin was the other guy 357 00:15:15,640 --> 00:15:18,240 Speaker 1: was considering besides the rookie I took. We'll get to 358 00:15:18,280 --> 00:15:19,800 Speaker 1: the rookie who I took for third base in a 359 00:15:19,840 --> 00:15:21,920 Speaker 1: second before we do. Fan Tracks is a place you 360 00:15:21,960 --> 00:15:24,240 Speaker 1: should be playing all of your fantasy baseball leagues this year. 361 00:15:24,280 --> 00:15:27,160 Speaker 1: They have off season trades, real time updates, and seamless 362 00:15:27,160 --> 00:15:30,520 Speaker 1: player transactions three hundred and sixty five days a year, 363 00:15:30,720 --> 00:15:34,960 Speaker 1: dynasty forget about it. Automated salaries and contracts, orchestrate your 364 00:15:35,040 --> 00:15:36,840 Speaker 1: league like a pro, and you can have multi team 365 00:15:36,880 --> 00:15:40,040 Speaker 1: trades two to elevate your strategies with trades involving more 366 00:15:40,080 --> 00:15:41,080 Speaker 1: than two teams. 367 00:15:41,640 --> 00:15:43,720 Speaker 2: So why not play on fan tracks? 368 00:15:43,760 --> 00:15:45,880 Speaker 1: Bring your fantasy baseball league to fan Tracks today for 369 00:15:45,920 --> 00:15:49,600 Speaker 1: an unbeatable user experience. Sign up today at fantracks dot 370 00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:53,640 Speaker 1: com slash Fantasy Pros. That's fantracks dot com slash Fantasy Pros. 371 00:15:54,240 --> 00:15:55,520 Speaker 2: My guy here at third base. 372 00:15:55,640 --> 00:15:58,040 Speaker 1: No surprise if you've been watching the shows, it's my dude, 373 00:15:58,160 --> 00:16:01,880 Speaker 1: JJ Weatherholt. Last year between a he had a three hundred, 374 00:16:01,960 --> 00:16:05,120 Speaker 1: four hundred, five hundred slash A nine hundred plus ops. 375 00:16:05,360 --> 00:16:08,520 Speaker 1: He's got twice as many walks as strikeouts in spring training. 376 00:16:08,840 --> 00:16:10,800 Speaker 1: The dude is ready and he qualifies in a couple 377 00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:13,880 Speaker 1: different spots too. However, the Cardinals use him, just use 378 00:16:13,960 --> 00:16:17,440 Speaker 1: them from day one. The guy I think has two 379 00:16:17,600 --> 00:16:21,120 Speaker 1: seventy fifteen to fifteen as a baseline. I think there's 380 00:16:21,160 --> 00:16:23,320 Speaker 1: a world where in the second half he could even 381 00:16:23,320 --> 00:16:26,000 Speaker 1: get red hot and go twenty twenty and maybe even 382 00:16:26,040 --> 00:16:27,200 Speaker 1: have more batting average. 383 00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:30,280 Speaker 2: He has a great approach, incredible swing. 384 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:33,240 Speaker 1: One of my favorite prospects to come out in the 385 00:16:33,280 --> 00:16:36,040 Speaker 1: last couple of years, and I am really excited for 386 00:16:36,160 --> 00:16:38,480 Speaker 1: him because the Cardinals need to turn the page and 387 00:16:38,520 --> 00:16:40,800 Speaker 1: show that the fan base that there's something to look 388 00:16:40,840 --> 00:16:43,680 Speaker 1: forward to in the future. Jordan Walker hasn't worked out. 389 00:16:43,760 --> 00:16:45,880 Speaker 1: Some of the other pieces that really haven't come to fruition. 390 00:16:46,000 --> 00:16:49,240 Speaker 1: Quinn Matthews hasn't gotten there yet. JJ Weatherholt is the 391 00:16:49,280 --> 00:16:52,040 Speaker 1: truth strong kid. He's got more power than you realize, 392 00:16:52,080 --> 00:16:54,600 Speaker 1: he's got some speed to and he makes great contact. 393 00:16:54,640 --> 00:16:57,920 Speaker 1: So whether it's rodo, whether it's points leagues, JJ Weatherholt 394 00:16:57,960 --> 00:17:01,600 Speaker 1: is the man Welsh who is your man at shortstop 395 00:17:01,600 --> 00:17:03,400 Speaker 1: in the twenty twenty six all breakout squad. 396 00:17:03,880 --> 00:17:06,359 Speaker 3: So this is the only instance that I used a 397 00:17:06,440 --> 00:17:09,879 Speaker 3: rookie because also I will say the guy you picked 398 00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:12,960 Speaker 3: would have probably been my top choice, especially trying to really, 399 00:17:13,960 --> 00:17:16,320 Speaker 3: you know, keep with the theme of the breakouts and 400 00:17:16,320 --> 00:17:19,000 Speaker 3: not try to deviate too far. But I think you 401 00:17:19,040 --> 00:17:22,520 Speaker 3: can throw rookies on here and they can be understandably 402 00:17:22,600 --> 00:17:24,760 Speaker 3: like you know, versions of breakouts, but you know, a 403 00:17:24,800 --> 00:17:27,040 Speaker 3: breakout usually tends to be a player that has just 404 00:17:27,080 --> 00:17:29,000 Speaker 3: been kind of working through it and then they take 405 00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:31,800 Speaker 3: the next step you took digit weatherhold. I'm going to 406 00:17:31,840 --> 00:17:35,080 Speaker 3: go with Kevin McGonagall on this one newer development. Maybe 407 00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:36,960 Speaker 3: I wasn't paying attention to it early on, but I 408 00:17:37,040 --> 00:17:39,960 Speaker 3: noticed that, like even Roster Resource has made the adjustment 409 00:17:40,000 --> 00:17:44,040 Speaker 3: of Kevin McGonagall being the starting shortstop on roster resource 410 00:17:44,040 --> 00:17:47,200 Speaker 3: and even leading off, which if that were to continue, 411 00:17:47,560 --> 00:17:49,320 Speaker 3: not leading off the show, which will be back in 412 00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:51,520 Speaker 3: a couple of weeks, but leading off in the order 413 00:17:51,720 --> 00:17:54,000 Speaker 3: is very exciting, you know. And even some of the 414 00:17:54,040 --> 00:17:56,520 Speaker 3: projections are telling a decent story. If you go and 415 00:17:56,560 --> 00:17:59,359 Speaker 3: look at the bat or the bad X in half 416 00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:02,920 Speaker 3: of a season and you're nine and nine and seven 417 00:18:03,000 --> 00:18:05,760 Speaker 3: nine home or seven stolen bases, so extrapolate that you're 418 00:18:05,800 --> 00:18:09,800 Speaker 3: looking at eighteen essentially almost twenty fifteen, like we can 419 00:18:09,840 --> 00:18:12,720 Speaker 3: just do. We can say that twenty fifteen eighty runs 420 00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:15,760 Speaker 3: close to seventy five RBI in a two fifty four 421 00:18:15,800 --> 00:18:19,119 Speaker 3: batting average. That's a pretty great season. But what that's 422 00:18:19,200 --> 00:18:22,520 Speaker 3: the median line there that's not necessarily accounting for all 423 00:18:22,560 --> 00:18:24,439 Speaker 3: the big things that can happen with him, because he 424 00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:27,240 Speaker 3: makes a ton of contact. If he does lead off, 425 00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:30,720 Speaker 3: those runs could push ninety to one hundred. Kevin McGonagall 426 00:18:30,760 --> 00:18:33,280 Speaker 3: is ready to break out. He's not an unknown guy. 427 00:18:33,400 --> 00:18:36,480 Speaker 3: He's not you know, Caleb Durban or anything like that 428 00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:39,040 Speaker 3: that people are kind of wondering about. Obviously, if Kevin 429 00:18:39,080 --> 00:18:42,520 Speaker 3: McGonagall was named the starting shortstop today, I think the 430 00:18:42,600 --> 00:18:45,560 Speaker 3: sentiment around his draft value would start to change. But like, 431 00:18:45,600 --> 00:18:47,760 Speaker 3: he has a legitimate shot to push himself up to 432 00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:50,760 Speaker 3: being like a top ten shortstop, and in shortstops are 433 00:18:50,920 --> 00:18:53,320 Speaker 3: positionally are really good. And he might have some other 434 00:18:53,359 --> 00:18:56,200 Speaker 3: position qualifications played third base in theres on a fall league, 435 00:18:56,320 --> 00:18:59,600 Speaker 3: could easily play second base. But you know, going through 436 00:18:59,640 --> 00:19:02,800 Speaker 3: all of this again, maybe I just personally struggle with 437 00:19:02,800 --> 00:19:04,959 Speaker 3: some of the infield guys of finding the right versions 438 00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:07,119 Speaker 3: of them. Kevi McGonagall just jumped out to me as 439 00:19:07,119 --> 00:19:09,080 Speaker 3: the guy that is ready to break out this season. 440 00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:12,320 Speaker 3: Does it not have the history before, but he's going 441 00:19:12,359 --> 00:19:13,960 Speaker 3: to have a big name for himself this year. 442 00:19:14,480 --> 00:19:17,000 Speaker 1: All right, as we continue on here, my short stop 443 00:19:17,040 --> 00:19:19,800 Speaker 1: is the guy that Welsh wanted, and I'll watch him yesterday, 444 00:19:19,840 --> 00:19:22,840 Speaker 1: Welsh in a spring training game lay a drag bunt 445 00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:24,879 Speaker 1: for a base hit. How often do you see that 446 00:19:25,000 --> 00:19:28,080 Speaker 1: happen in Major League baseball nowadays? It's brooks Lee of 447 00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:31,520 Speaker 1: the Minnesota Twins. Young man too, just twenty five years old. 448 00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:34,200 Speaker 1: And if you look at what he did last year 449 00:19:34,560 --> 00:19:38,240 Speaker 1: already for the major league squad, sixteen homer, sixty four RBI, 450 00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:40,840 Speaker 1: but he only had two thirty six with a six 451 00:19:41,359 --> 00:19:44,320 Speaker 1: fifty four ps. In the minor leagues he was a 452 00:19:44,320 --> 00:19:46,480 Speaker 1: two to eighty nine hitter. I think there's another gear 453 00:19:46,480 --> 00:19:48,399 Speaker 1: in terms of batting average coming here for him. I 454 00:19:48,400 --> 00:19:50,720 Speaker 1: think the babbit will improve this year. And look, the 455 00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:53,080 Speaker 1: Minnesota Twins are another team that's in a weird transitional 456 00:19:53,119 --> 00:19:56,119 Speaker 1: spot here. So you know, years of toiling away with 457 00:19:56,160 --> 00:19:58,960 Speaker 1: the Carlos Correas and the Royce Lewises, it's time to 458 00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:00,119 Speaker 1: turn the infield over. 459 00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:01,200 Speaker 2: Guys like brooks lead. 460 00:20:02,320 --> 00:20:04,840 Speaker 1: And he just strikes me as a ballplayer, Welsh, you know, 461 00:20:04,920 --> 00:20:06,400 Speaker 1: and when you watch him play, and I think there's 462 00:20:06,400 --> 00:20:08,439 Speaker 1: like a little throwback to him which I really like. 463 00:20:08,600 --> 00:20:10,960 Speaker 1: And again I mentioned when I watched him yesterday in 464 00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:13,040 Speaker 1: that Twins game. It's just it's good to see guys 465 00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:16,280 Speaker 1: that still remember, hey, the important here thing is to 466 00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:18,320 Speaker 1: get on base. That's what trying to do here. I'm 467 00:20:18,320 --> 00:20:20,480 Speaker 1: trying to score runs, trying to make things happen. And 468 00:20:20,520 --> 00:20:23,399 Speaker 1: he flashed the power too. In the minor leagues. He 469 00:20:23,400 --> 00:20:26,800 Speaker 1: had a four to seventy six selugging percentage last year. 470 00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:30,320 Speaker 1: It wasn't that high, but again he did show that 471 00:20:30,359 --> 00:20:32,320 Speaker 1: there is still power regardless. He's just got to make 472 00:20:32,320 --> 00:20:34,640 Speaker 1: some better contact in the gaps a little bit this year, 473 00:20:34,640 --> 00:20:36,720 Speaker 1: and I think he can do that. Let's move out 474 00:20:36,760 --> 00:20:39,240 Speaker 1: of the infield, Welsh and into the outfield. Give me 475 00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:43,959 Speaker 1: your three outfielders that have breakout potential in twenty twenty six, 476 00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:45,240 Speaker 1: that major squad. 477 00:20:45,440 --> 00:20:48,080 Speaker 3: So number one, I'll be quick about this. Was the 478 00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:50,240 Speaker 3: one time like we definitely try to not pick the 479 00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:53,240 Speaker 3: same names. That's a pretty common theme here. But you know, 480 00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:55,720 Speaker 3: there's only so many players to pick from, and I 481 00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:58,240 Speaker 3: will relent on players a lot and just be like, 482 00:20:58,240 --> 00:21:00,240 Speaker 3: all right, you know, joke out to the sheet first. 483 00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:02,119 Speaker 3: I'll let him have this guy. I wasn't gonna do 484 00:21:02,160 --> 00:21:05,400 Speaker 3: this because I've been pretty loud about this since November 485 00:21:05,880 --> 00:21:10,240 Speaker 3: and Jack Hegleon, I think is a more justifiable qualification 486 00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:12,040 Speaker 3: and outfield. I know why you put him at first base. 487 00:21:12,240 --> 00:21:15,320 Speaker 3: He's an outfielder and that'll probably be hit what the 488 00:21:15,359 --> 00:21:17,200 Speaker 3: only position he has after the end of this year. 489 00:21:17,240 --> 00:21:19,440 Speaker 3: But I'm not gonna not put him on here because 490 00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:22,399 Speaker 3: I believe he is again a true sense of the 491 00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:27,400 Speaker 3: word breakout horrifically bad year last season. He is primed 492 00:21:27,480 --> 00:21:30,439 Speaker 3: one twenty off the bat this spring, He's taken that 493 00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:33,400 Speaker 3: bat speed, he's taken those lower strikeouts he had last year, 494 00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:35,679 Speaker 3: and he is going to put up some big numbers. 495 00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:38,240 Speaker 3: And I really honestly will not be shocked if he 496 00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:40,040 Speaker 3: has a thirty home run season if he hits I 497 00:21:40,040 --> 00:21:41,920 Speaker 3: think I said, if he hits like two fifty this year, 498 00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:45,399 Speaker 3: he's gonna have thirty plus homers, and his draft value 499 00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:49,600 Speaker 3: will be through a whole other realm. Another one of 500 00:21:49,640 --> 00:21:52,359 Speaker 3: my big players is will You're a break You. This 501 00:21:52,560 --> 00:21:54,960 Speaker 3: is the one that I was saying kind of did 502 00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:57,479 Speaker 3: have the breakout, so like, could I have put him 503 00:21:57,520 --> 00:21:59,800 Speaker 3: in the sleeper episode. I could have, but I don't know. 504 00:22:00,280 --> 00:22:02,840 Speaker 3: I feel like for me, the more the better qualification 505 00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:04,680 Speaker 3: for what I'm trying to talk about with will your 506 00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:07,959 Speaker 3: bre You is a breakout. He hit twenty two homers 507 00:22:08,040 --> 00:22:10,280 Speaker 3: last year, So I guess I'm living in a little 508 00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:13,040 Speaker 3: bit of if you extrapolate a full season, because that's 509 00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:14,520 Speaker 3: what I think we're gonna get. I think we're gonna 510 00:22:14,520 --> 00:22:16,480 Speaker 3: get a full season out of will your bre You 511 00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:19,760 Speaker 3: five hundred plus at bats, which I think is gonna 512 00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:23,840 Speaker 3: equate to thirty plus homers. I love the guy has 513 00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:26,640 Speaker 3: continuously increased his barrel rate. He continuously gets the ball 514 00:22:26,640 --> 00:22:29,280 Speaker 3: in the air, hits the ball hard, and he's got 515 00:22:29,280 --> 00:22:33,560 Speaker 3: that crazy combo when you see like a ten really 516 00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:37,880 Speaker 3: a twelve plus percent barrel with an insane twenty plus 517 00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:41,160 Speaker 3: degree launch angle, and then they're also pulling the ball 518 00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:44,680 Speaker 3: in the air. I mean that you're just gonna run 519 00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:47,639 Speaker 3: into homers. But on top of it, like like, I 520 00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:50,119 Speaker 3: like the skill set. I think he could hit like 521 00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:52,959 Speaker 3: a little bit better from a batting average standpoint, And 522 00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:55,960 Speaker 3: I just think William brew is primed for a big breakout. 523 00:22:56,080 --> 00:22:59,639 Speaker 3: So he also qualifies as like he's being underdrafted. You know, 524 00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:01,719 Speaker 3: he's a good value blah blah blah. But I think 525 00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:03,879 Speaker 3: William Bray is gonna have a big breakout this and 526 00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:07,760 Speaker 3: that breakout will also be more of like the going 527 00:23:07,800 --> 00:23:10,199 Speaker 3: from an outfielder five or four in a lot of 528 00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:12,960 Speaker 3: instances too, you know, maybe he's up there with guys 529 00:23:13,000 --> 00:23:15,520 Speaker 3: like Taskar Hernandez. That'll be what he looks like at 530 00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:17,200 Speaker 3: the end of the year. More is like an outfielder 531 00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:19,320 Speaker 3: three or two. And then my final one is a 532 00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:22,159 Speaker 3: deeper cut. And I actually had kind of written this 533 00:23:22,240 --> 00:23:26,199 Speaker 3: guy off, but we heard so we have heard so 534 00:23:26,280 --> 00:23:30,880 Speaker 3: many positive things coming out of the WBC, specifically Team Mexico, 535 00:23:31,280 --> 00:23:34,040 Speaker 3: and I think it was benji Uh was benji El 536 00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:39,160 Speaker 3: that said and called out Alec Thomas that Alec Thomas 537 00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:41,080 Speaker 3: is gonna be a superstar in this league. And I 538 00:23:41,200 --> 00:23:42,879 Speaker 3: buy a lot of that. Like he is an A 539 00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:46,040 Speaker 3: plus defender, He's always been an A plus defender, continuously 540 00:23:46,040 --> 00:23:48,600 Speaker 3: gotten that body bigger. His dad, if people don't know, 541 00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:51,679 Speaker 3: used to be the trainer for the White Sox. Like 542 00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:54,200 Speaker 3: this is a super hard worker and he just hasn't 543 00:23:54,320 --> 00:23:57,040 Speaker 3: seemed to be able to get that bat going. This 544 00:23:57,160 --> 00:24:00,679 Speaker 3: spring kind of started that process a little bit, like 545 00:24:00,760 --> 00:24:03,320 Speaker 3: a little bit more the k's or like way back down, 546 00:24:03,359 --> 00:24:06,200 Speaker 3: which you love to see, very very small sample size, 547 00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:09,080 Speaker 3: but the average X velocity was ninety five miles per hour. 548 00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:12,359 Speaker 3: The launch angle was up in spring, so again like 549 00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:15,000 Speaker 3: what can you buy out of spring? But you know 550 00:24:15,080 --> 00:24:18,040 Speaker 3: he's aging himself into like a really important time. He's 551 00:24:18,040 --> 00:24:20,159 Speaker 3: going in. Maybe this is the first year ever that 552 00:24:20,200 --> 00:24:23,320 Speaker 3: he has a lockdown job. He is, you know, he 553 00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:26,040 Speaker 3: is the everyday I guess left fielder for this team 554 00:24:26,080 --> 00:24:28,480 Speaker 3: can play center field like he is locked into it. 555 00:24:28,520 --> 00:24:30,600 Speaker 3: He's only twenty five years old, so I just don't 556 00:24:30,600 --> 00:24:33,600 Speaker 3: want to discount that things could be over so he breakout. 557 00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:37,240 Speaker 3: Alec Thomas is a twenty twenty guy. That's what that 558 00:24:37,280 --> 00:24:39,680 Speaker 3: can be. The bat has just needed to get going. 559 00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:42,359 Speaker 3: I think he's made it some concerted efforts. I wouldn't 560 00:24:42,400 --> 00:24:44,919 Speaker 3: be surprised if the WBC kind of clicked through. And 561 00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:47,520 Speaker 3: this is his first big opportunity. It's a very hitter 562 00:24:47,600 --> 00:24:50,520 Speaker 3: friendly environment. He will hit lower in the lineup. But 563 00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:53,480 Speaker 3: Alec Thomas, again, this is a guy that does not 564 00:24:53,520 --> 00:24:56,679 Speaker 3: get drafted, doesn't hold anything on rosters unless you're like 565 00:24:56,720 --> 00:24:59,600 Speaker 3: in a big fifty man drafted hold. But Alec Thomas 566 00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:03,200 Speaker 3: might put the five outfielder range here with the stolen bases, 567 00:25:03,560 --> 00:25:06,080 Speaker 3: get solid runs. Probably not a big RBI guy, but 568 00:25:06,119 --> 00:25:08,719 Speaker 3: don't be surprised if he is checking in on four categories. 569 00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:11,480 Speaker 3: So Alec Thomas finally ready to break out at twenty five. 570 00:25:12,040 --> 00:25:12,919 Speaker 2: Some fun names. 571 00:25:13,160 --> 00:25:15,000 Speaker 1: We've all got some guys here on our list too. 572 00:25:15,040 --> 00:25:18,520 Speaker 1: Mine are all two hundred post ADP guys, so Welsh's 573 00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:20,880 Speaker 1: are pretty post two hundred as well for the most part. 574 00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:22,120 Speaker 2: So we're trying to give you names. 575 00:25:22,119 --> 00:25:24,399 Speaker 1: It a little further down the trough two outside the box, 576 00:25:24,720 --> 00:25:26,960 Speaker 1: and I'm going to start with one here on my list. 577 00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:30,640 Speaker 1: Dalan Lyle of the Washington Nationals. Now Lyle a guy 578 00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:33,440 Speaker 1: last year did come up with the Nats nine home 579 00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:37,719 Speaker 1: runs forty one excuse me, nine home runs, forty one 580 00:25:38,040 --> 00:25:40,480 Speaker 1: RBI and ninety one games and half a season. He 581 00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:43,199 Speaker 1: also stole eight bases, he had two ninety nine. He 582 00:25:43,240 --> 00:25:45,359 Speaker 1: had three forty seven OBP of four to ninety eight 583 00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:48,159 Speaker 1: slugging and an eight forty five OPS. If you go 584 00:25:48,200 --> 00:25:49,639 Speaker 1: back and look at the minor league track record, he 585 00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:51,960 Speaker 1: played three hundred games in the minor leagues two to 586 00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:54,919 Speaker 1: seventy three batting average seven to seventy eight OPS. So 587 00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:56,679 Speaker 1: I don't think he's as good as what he showed 588 00:25:56,720 --> 00:25:58,560 Speaker 1: you last year, but I do think over a full 589 00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:01,879 Speaker 1: season that this is a it's once again probably a 590 00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:05,280 Speaker 1: fifteen to fifteen player at minimum and in roto leagues 591 00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:06,959 Speaker 1: when you can get that kind of productivity in those 592 00:26:07,000 --> 00:26:08,680 Speaker 1: deep outfield leagues, when you can find a fifteen to 593 00:26:08,720 --> 00:26:12,439 Speaker 1: fifteen guy post two hundred ADP, that's really useful in 594 00:26:12,520 --> 00:26:15,040 Speaker 1: season long rodo. So just keep that in mind that 595 00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:17,320 Speaker 1: Dalen Lyle's another one of these young kids there that 596 00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:18,960 Speaker 1: Nats are gonna let the kids play because they have 597 00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:21,200 Speaker 1: no choice. I think a kid who's going to play 598 00:26:21,200 --> 00:26:23,760 Speaker 1: also this year and really be a breakout. And again 599 00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:25,280 Speaker 1: this is the only other rookie that I have in 600 00:26:25,320 --> 00:26:27,840 Speaker 1: my list, like kind of pure rookie guy's Carson Benge 601 00:26:27,880 --> 00:26:31,080 Speaker 1: of the New York Mets now benj When I watch him, 602 00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:32,919 Speaker 1: I've heady compared it in a young Sean Green. That's 603 00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:35,040 Speaker 1: what he reminds me of, and that is a high 604 00:26:35,119 --> 00:26:38,000 Speaker 1: compliment that was a very good player for many years, 605 00:26:38,080 --> 00:26:41,919 Speaker 1: an All Star player. Bench has a great approach to me. 606 00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:45,560 Speaker 1: Carson Bench is a player that the versa on the outfield. 607 00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:47,240 Speaker 1: He could play center field, he can play right field. 608 00:26:47,520 --> 00:26:50,600 Speaker 1: Wherever you want him to play at bats could be 609 00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:53,480 Speaker 1: tricky for him, in the beginning. But my god, he's 610 00:26:53,480 --> 00:26:56,000 Speaker 1: doing everything he possibly can this spring to make this club. 611 00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:58,720 Speaker 1: He sent three ninety one over his first twenty five 612 00:26:58,760 --> 00:27:01,880 Speaker 1: played appearances. We know he's got some speed in there 613 00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:05,439 Speaker 1: as well. Last year he went from a single A 614 00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:07,959 Speaker 1: high excuse me, to double A to triple A all 615 00:27:07,960 --> 00:27:10,000 Speaker 1: in one season. Guys who make that kind of ramp 616 00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:12,560 Speaker 1: up typically end up being superstars. Well, you can go 617 00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:14,640 Speaker 1: through three levels of the minor leagues in one year, 618 00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:17,480 Speaker 1: usually got superstar potential written around you. There one hundred 619 00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:20,560 Speaker 1: and sixteen games, he had fifteen homers, stole twenty two bases. 620 00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:24,040 Speaker 1: This is a twenty twenty player with two to eighty upside, 621 00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:26,280 Speaker 1: just a matter of how many at bats he gets 622 00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:28,480 Speaker 1: for the New York Mets, where Baity fits into this mix, 623 00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:31,480 Speaker 1: and how they're gonna shuffle guys around. But injuries happened too, 624 00:27:31,560 --> 00:27:33,879 Speaker 1: and spots do open up. So Carson Bench is a 625 00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:36,320 Speaker 1: player that I want, even if it's only for one 626 00:27:36,400 --> 00:27:39,280 Speaker 1: hundred games. I think he's an impact player in fantasy 627 00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:41,000 Speaker 1: this season, and I do think he's gonna be a 628 00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:44,160 Speaker 1: breakout performer that's gonna help win people leagues. I don't 629 00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:47,680 Speaker 1: think Bench can really stay down much longer. And David 630 00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:51,160 Speaker 1: Stearns basically from day one of the offseason was telling you, well, 631 00:27:51,160 --> 00:27:53,480 Speaker 1: we're clear to path for Carson Bench. So when David 632 00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:55,440 Speaker 1: Searns talked about these things over and over and over 633 00:27:55,480 --> 00:27:58,560 Speaker 1: again unsolicited, without people asking him what the plan is, 634 00:27:58,600 --> 00:28:00,680 Speaker 1: and he just keeps talking about Carson Bench, I think 635 00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:02,800 Speaker 1: that tells you about Carson Bention. By the way that 636 00:28:02,920 --> 00:28:04,320 Speaker 1: aj ewings to help a player too. 637 00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:05,000 Speaker 2: My goodness. 638 00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:07,160 Speaker 1: Last guy here is a post type sleeper that people 639 00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:09,240 Speaker 1: might shake their heads about, but it's Cam Smith with 640 00:28:09,280 --> 00:28:10,240 Speaker 1: the Houston Astros. 641 00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:12,240 Speaker 2: Camp Smith was rushed last. 642 00:28:12,160 --> 00:28:14,639 Speaker 1: Year to the big leagues a little bit and it 643 00:28:14,760 --> 00:28:17,200 Speaker 1: was fun for a little while and then it just 644 00:28:17,280 --> 00:28:19,639 Speaker 1: kind of fell apart, especially in the second half. But 645 00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:22,399 Speaker 1: I still believe in the talent of Cam Smith, and 646 00:28:22,480 --> 00:28:25,080 Speaker 1: I think in year two, if he's made the right adjustments, 647 00:28:25,119 --> 00:28:27,040 Speaker 1: and from some of the work you've seen early on 648 00:28:27,080 --> 00:28:30,640 Speaker 1: from him, it has again. In twenty nine played appearances 649 00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:33,400 Speaker 1: this spring, he's hitting three twenty with a six hundred slugging, 650 00:28:33,400 --> 00:28:35,280 Speaker 1: He's got a home run, he's got four doubles, which 651 00:28:35,280 --> 00:28:37,960 Speaker 1: you love to see. The strikeouts are still there, they're 652 00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:39,640 Speaker 1: not going to go away for him, but he's got 653 00:28:39,640 --> 00:28:41,040 Speaker 1: a thousand ops already. 654 00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:42,400 Speaker 2: Again, small sample size. 655 00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:44,440 Speaker 1: Like Welsh and I were talking about, spring doesn't mean 656 00:28:44,440 --> 00:28:45,840 Speaker 1: a lot except for the guys that it means a 657 00:28:45,840 --> 00:28:49,120 Speaker 1: lot for and for Cam Smith, a good spring meets 658 00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:51,960 Speaker 1: confidence going into the season and you know he's gonna 659 00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:52,840 Speaker 1: get every day at bats. 660 00:28:52,880 --> 00:28:53,960 Speaker 2: You know he's gonna find his way. 661 00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:56,080 Speaker 1: And if Alvarez is healthy in that lineup all year, 662 00:28:56,280 --> 00:28:58,000 Speaker 1: I think that helps take a lot of pressure off 663 00:28:58,040 --> 00:29:00,960 Speaker 1: of young Cam Smith too. So those are my three outfielders, 664 00:29:01,080 --> 00:29:03,400 Speaker 1: a post type guy, a rookie guy, and a guy 665 00:29:03,480 --> 00:29:03,880 Speaker 1: you got a. 666 00:29:03,800 --> 00:29:04,760 Speaker 2: Taste of last year. 667 00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:07,120 Speaker 1: And I actually think there's another gear for Dalan Lyle 668 00:29:07,240 --> 00:29:10,880 Speaker 1: in this club. Next up here is our starting pitchers. 669 00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:13,440 Speaker 1: Before we get to those, shout out to our sponsor, 670 00:29:13,520 --> 00:29:15,440 Speaker 1: hard Rock Bet, And if you haven't tried their first 671 00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:17,440 Speaker 1: bet at hard Rock Bet, then sign up today to 672 00:29:17,560 --> 00:29:19,920 Speaker 1: double your winnings on your first ten bets for wagers 673 00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:22,120 Speaker 1: of fifty dollars or less. 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Play terms and conditions apply. 692 00:30:02,040 --> 00:30:04,320 Speaker 1: Concerned about gambling in Florida, call one eight three to 693 00:30:04,360 --> 00:30:05,200 Speaker 1: three play wise. 694 00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:05,880 Speaker 2: In Indiana. 695 00:30:06,120 --> 00:30:07,760 Speaker 1: If you are someone you know is a gambling problem, 696 00:30:07,840 --> 00:30:10,000 Speaker 1: wants help, called one eight hundred and nine with it. 697 00:30:10,240 --> 00:30:13,720 Speaker 1: Gambling problem called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, 698 00:30:13,720 --> 00:30:16,479 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. I can't wait to hear 699 00:30:16,520 --> 00:30:18,600 Speaker 1: the pictures you've got lined up for us Welsh. Who 700 00:30:18,600 --> 00:30:21,520 Speaker 1: are the three big studs here on the hill for 701 00:30:21,560 --> 00:30:23,120 Speaker 1: your twenty twenty six breakout club. 702 00:30:23,520 --> 00:30:25,280 Speaker 3: Well, the first one's not going to be a surprise, 703 00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:27,960 Speaker 3: but the others might be. Shane Boz is going to 704 00:30:28,000 --> 00:30:29,640 Speaker 3: be my pick. I've had a couple of pictures I've 705 00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:32,600 Speaker 3: attached myself to, especially on the back end of drafts, 706 00:30:33,040 --> 00:30:35,280 Speaker 3: and Shane Boz is a you know, this is an 707 00:30:35,320 --> 00:30:38,160 Speaker 3: all Welsh team guy. However you want to look at it, 708 00:30:38,520 --> 00:30:41,280 Speaker 3: sleeper would qualify, but I think the best term of 709 00:30:41,320 --> 00:30:43,520 Speaker 3: it is breakup because we haven't really seen that from 710 00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:46,440 Speaker 3: Shane Boz. We did get like a three ERA in 711 00:30:46,480 --> 00:30:49,160 Speaker 3: twenty twenty four, but that was just under you know, 712 00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:53,320 Speaker 3: eighty ins pitch under fifteen starts. Last year things kind 713 00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:55,680 Speaker 3: of fell apart and you know, as I've been telling people, 714 00:30:56,160 --> 00:30:58,080 Speaker 3: one of the biggest things you stare at with Shane 715 00:30:58,160 --> 00:31:01,360 Speaker 3: Boz has been the splits, you know, the splits for 716 00:31:02,520 --> 00:31:04,960 Speaker 3: Home Road. When he was playing in the minor league ballpark. 717 00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:07,680 Speaker 3: He had a five to nine ERA at home and 718 00:31:07,720 --> 00:31:09,400 Speaker 3: then he goes in as a three eighty six on 719 00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:12,200 Speaker 3: the road. You're kind of seeing that in spring as well. 720 00:31:12,240 --> 00:31:14,400 Speaker 3: You know, he's back into a minor league ballpark, and 721 00:31:14,560 --> 00:31:17,120 Speaker 3: he's got like a five VRA during spring. But I 722 00:31:17,160 --> 00:31:20,520 Speaker 3: think the new ballpark in Baltimore, new change of scenery 723 00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:23,400 Speaker 3: is going to be hugely beneficial for him. I think 724 00:31:23,440 --> 00:31:26,360 Speaker 3: there's a ton of strikeout equity. He had an almost 725 00:31:26,400 --> 00:31:29,080 Speaker 3: twenty five percent k percentage, which was higher than last year. 726 00:31:29,560 --> 00:31:31,480 Speaker 3: I think just getting out of that ballpark alone is 727 00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:33,800 Speaker 3: going to like reactivate this guy that's got like a 728 00:31:34,120 --> 00:31:37,200 Speaker 3: on average ninety seven mile per hour fastball. He's got 729 00:31:37,240 --> 00:31:40,040 Speaker 3: a solid strikeout pitch in his curve and his cutter 730 00:31:40,280 --> 00:31:42,040 Speaker 3: to be frank, and I think he's going to be 731 00:31:42,080 --> 00:31:43,920 Speaker 3: able to take that next big step, which is going 732 00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:46,640 Speaker 3: to look like, you know, one hundred and sixty plus innings. 733 00:31:47,840 --> 00:31:50,480 Speaker 3: I think that is on this team is going to 734 00:31:50,560 --> 00:31:52,920 Speaker 3: end up equating to like I think Shambos could be 735 00:31:52,960 --> 00:31:55,000 Speaker 3: like a top thirty starting pitcher. So maybe this one 736 00:31:55,080 --> 00:31:57,240 Speaker 3: isn't like the biggest chaker on the planet, but he's 737 00:31:57,280 --> 00:32:00,840 Speaker 3: definitely like my number one guy for that my next guy, 738 00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:02,800 Speaker 3: though I don't know if we've talked about a Ton, 739 00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:06,760 Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with Braxton Ashcraft. Braxton Ashcraft has not 740 00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:09,880 Speaker 3: had really any opportunity that people are going to be 741 00:32:09,960 --> 00:32:12,000 Speaker 3: jumping at him, but so far this spring, I mean, 742 00:32:12,040 --> 00:32:13,960 Speaker 3: he did have some run last year in the majors, 743 00:32:13,960 --> 00:32:18,240 Speaker 3: but you're seeing like this, this fastball combination with an 744 00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:22,040 Speaker 3: absolutely elite slider that's going into rotation that you know 745 00:32:22,120 --> 00:32:24,880 Speaker 3: is hyper focused on Paul Skins and Bubba Chandler, but 746 00:32:25,040 --> 00:32:27,000 Speaker 3: you know he's like a third piece to this. He's 747 00:32:27,040 --> 00:32:30,520 Speaker 3: had a solid spring. He's not walking anybody in spur spring. 748 00:32:30,920 --> 00:32:33,520 Speaker 3: The strikeout numbers look really good. I think he has 749 00:32:33,760 --> 00:32:37,360 Speaker 3: absolutely dialed into the rotation, and I think the pitch 750 00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:41,000 Speaker 3: mix through this heavy sinker, You've got this great slider 751 00:32:41,000 --> 00:32:42,880 Speaker 3: that's going to induce with He's got a couple other 752 00:32:42,920 --> 00:32:45,720 Speaker 3: pitches and he's gonna get opportunity this year. I think 753 00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:49,200 Speaker 3: another Ashcraft is going to like be Bubba Chandler in 754 00:32:49,320 --> 00:32:52,560 Speaker 3: Paul Skemes, but he's not being drafted, and I think 755 00:32:52,720 --> 00:32:54,800 Speaker 3: he's got an opportunity to push around being like a 756 00:32:54,840 --> 00:32:57,880 Speaker 3: top fifty pitcher, maybe even as high as what Jared 757 00:32:57,960 --> 00:33:00,760 Speaker 3: Jones was before. So Brackston Ashraf is a guy I'm 758 00:33:00,760 --> 00:33:02,800 Speaker 3: taking at the end, and then I just realized, I 759 00:33:02,800 --> 00:33:04,840 Speaker 3: guess this is the second rookie I think I said earlier. 760 00:33:04,840 --> 00:33:07,800 Speaker 3: I'm like, I only have one rookie that is where 761 00:33:07,920 --> 00:33:10,440 Speaker 3: I'm going to dial into my third sp spot for 762 00:33:10,480 --> 00:33:12,840 Speaker 3: a breakout, and I think this one is actually a 763 00:33:12,840 --> 00:33:16,240 Speaker 3: little bit better than any of the other rookie stuff 764 00:33:16,240 --> 00:33:19,840 Speaker 3: that I could possibly do, because there's no more negative 765 00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:23,560 Speaker 3: sentiment on a prospect than Andrew Painter. Everybody hates Andrew Painter, 766 00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:28,480 Speaker 3: like Andrew Painter was a doll among prospects that love, 767 00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:32,320 Speaker 3: you know, prospect fantasy pitching guys for a couple of 768 00:33:32,360 --> 00:33:33,800 Speaker 3: years ago when he was going to break camp as 769 00:33:33,840 --> 00:33:38,000 Speaker 3: a twenty year old injuries lost two years, came back, 770 00:33:38,280 --> 00:33:42,440 Speaker 3: people aren't seeing like absolutely crazy, big whiff dominant stuff, 771 00:33:42,480 --> 00:33:46,080 Speaker 3: and everybody, especially model guys, are just like, Nope, we're done. 772 00:33:46,080 --> 00:33:48,959 Speaker 3: We're done. Andrew Painter's going to get an opportunity and 773 00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:50,760 Speaker 3: he's going to be out of the rotation early on 774 00:33:50,840 --> 00:33:53,120 Speaker 3: with Wheeler missing some time, and he's got a chance 775 00:33:53,280 --> 00:33:55,360 Speaker 3: to hold on to that rotation spot. You know it 776 00:33:55,400 --> 00:33:57,160 Speaker 3: is Tylan Walker going to hold him back from that. 777 00:33:57,560 --> 00:34:00,880 Speaker 3: So far in Spring through two starts good. He hasn't 778 00:34:00,880 --> 00:34:03,480 Speaker 3: given up an earned run. He's not walking guys. He's 779 00:34:03,480 --> 00:34:06,240 Speaker 3: got an easy four pitch arsenal that he can command. 780 00:34:06,280 --> 00:34:09,000 Speaker 3: And you've also heard out of camp they're just being like, hey, listen, 781 00:34:09,040 --> 00:34:11,319 Speaker 3: this guy's going to be a stud stud. I think 782 00:34:11,360 --> 00:34:13,680 Speaker 3: he's going to be given that opportunity and he is 783 00:34:13,719 --> 00:34:15,920 Speaker 3: going to break out this year. He's going to be 784 00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:17,440 Speaker 3: one of those guys that I think he's going to 785 00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:20,360 Speaker 3: push the projections. Projections have him around one hundred innings 786 00:34:20,520 --> 00:34:22,920 Speaker 3: or so. I think he can get a sub four era. 787 00:34:23,239 --> 00:34:25,359 Speaker 3: I think the strikeouts will be better than projections are 788 00:34:25,360 --> 00:34:27,759 Speaker 3: putting out there, and I wouldn't be surprised if he's 789 00:34:27,800 --> 00:34:30,400 Speaker 3: closer to one thirty one forty on the innings pitched. 790 00:34:30,480 --> 00:34:35,640 Speaker 3: So Shane Boz, Braxton, Ashcraft, and Andrew Painter, those are 791 00:34:35,640 --> 00:34:36,720 Speaker 3: my breakout pitchers. 792 00:34:37,040 --> 00:34:40,720 Speaker 1: And with Wheeler's health and ragers Ware is gone, Phillies 793 00:34:40,760 --> 00:34:42,359 Speaker 1: are going to need Painter to show up this year. 794 00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:44,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's that's my hot take there. 795 00:34:44,560 --> 00:34:46,880 Speaker 1: All right, let's get to my three starters here on 796 00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:49,320 Speaker 1: my list, and I start with my boy Uri Perez. 797 00:34:49,520 --> 00:34:49,759 Speaker 2: Again. 798 00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:51,399 Speaker 1: If you're listening to the shows, You've heard me say 799 00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:53,640 Speaker 1: in a million times jury Perez is my guy this year. 800 00:34:53,840 --> 00:34:57,400 Speaker 1: It's funny because last season was almost identical strikeout walks, 801 00:34:57,640 --> 00:35:00,000 Speaker 1: number of starts to what he did a couple year 802 00:35:00,040 --> 00:35:03,520 Speaker 1: years ago, and the big breakout almost season before injury happened. 803 00:35:03,560 --> 00:35:04,600 Speaker 2: He didn't quite. 804 00:35:04,360 --> 00:35:05,960 Speaker 1: Have it where it was like, oh my god, it's 805 00:35:05,960 --> 00:35:07,560 Speaker 1: almost gonna happen, and then it kind of, you know, 806 00:35:07,680 --> 00:35:11,040 Speaker 1: injuries just killed it. This is the full year. This 807 00:35:11,080 --> 00:35:13,880 Speaker 1: is the year where he makes thirty starts. This is 808 00:35:13,920 --> 00:35:16,440 Speaker 1: the year another removed from injury. I think you can 809 00:35:16,480 --> 00:35:19,000 Speaker 1: reach two hundred strikeouts this year. I think when you 810 00:35:19,040 --> 00:35:21,080 Speaker 1: look at the minor league track record showing you that 811 00:35:21,120 --> 00:35:23,120 Speaker 1: he's a twelve k for nine guy, I think that 812 00:35:23,160 --> 00:35:25,080 Speaker 1: ten k per nine he splash of the major leagues 813 00:35:25,120 --> 00:35:29,000 Speaker 1: could have another gear in it. Wins might still be tricky, 814 00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:30,840 Speaker 1: but I don't think the Marlins are quite the pushover 815 00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:31,760 Speaker 1: team they were before. 816 00:35:31,800 --> 00:35:33,160 Speaker 2: I like Stours, like Marcia. 817 00:35:33,160 --> 00:35:35,560 Speaker 1: I like some of the pieces they've had here kind 818 00:35:35,560 --> 00:35:37,160 Speaker 1: of come through the system a little bit, and coin 819 00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:38,560 Speaker 1: I will be healthy again this year. They got a 820 00:35:38,600 --> 00:35:42,160 Speaker 1: lot of pieces here coming through, and for me, Eurie 821 00:35:42,160 --> 00:35:44,760 Speaker 1: Perez is a guy that I am just super excited about. 822 00:35:44,800 --> 00:35:46,800 Speaker 1: I'm drafting him everywhere. This is the last year you 823 00:35:46,840 --> 00:35:48,360 Speaker 1: got to get a discount on him, so take it 824 00:35:48,400 --> 00:35:51,480 Speaker 1: wherever you can. Next guy on my list actually a 825 00:35:51,520 --> 00:35:54,040 Speaker 1: guy that I haven't talked about much at all, Joey 826 00:35:54,040 --> 00:35:59,359 Speaker 1: Cantillo of the Guardians. And really, if you pay attention to, 827 00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:01,719 Speaker 1: you know, the fifth starters on teams and what's going on, 828 00:36:02,320 --> 00:36:04,839 Speaker 1: it's hard to not pay attention to what you saw 829 00:36:04,880 --> 00:36:07,400 Speaker 1: at a Canteo in the second half last year. So 830 00:36:08,040 --> 00:36:11,799 Speaker 1: he did make eight starts last season. In the second 831 00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:13,960 Speaker 1: half of last year, he really turned things on. Fifty 832 00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:17,520 Speaker 1: one innings pitch, fifty four strikeouts, twenty five walks, He 833 00:36:17,560 --> 00:36:20,040 Speaker 1: had a one two nine whip. But really the story 834 00:36:20,120 --> 00:36:23,000 Speaker 1: was that two way two era. And there's a lot 835 00:36:23,040 --> 00:36:25,080 Speaker 1: of folks very smart in the pitching world. I know 836 00:36:25,120 --> 00:36:27,759 Speaker 1: we had Nick pollockon he mentioned Canteo that I think 837 00:36:27,800 --> 00:36:29,960 Speaker 1: are going to be really nice pitchers that are going 838 00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:32,360 Speaker 1: to be some of the first guys off the waiver 839 00:36:32,400 --> 00:36:34,520 Speaker 1: wire in those shallow leagues after they have a starter 840 00:36:34,640 --> 00:36:36,440 Speaker 1: two that are pretty good, and we'll be. 841 00:36:36,400 --> 00:36:37,239 Speaker 2: Talking about him. 842 00:36:37,239 --> 00:36:38,879 Speaker 1: But I think you should just draft him right now 843 00:36:39,360 --> 00:36:41,000 Speaker 1: and especially in those leagues two where you know he 844 00:36:41,080 --> 00:36:45,080 Speaker 1: qualifies at RP and SP very useful, very useful stuff. 845 00:36:45,080 --> 00:36:47,640 Speaker 1: So don't sleep on Joey Cantillo and the last guy here. 846 00:36:48,000 --> 00:36:51,040 Speaker 1: Another one of my personal favorites Connelly Early of the 847 00:36:51,120 --> 00:36:55,360 Speaker 1: Boston Red Sox. I know Oviedo's pitch well, Brian Bao 848 00:36:55,560 --> 00:36:58,600 Speaker 1: just still does not impress me. I am very impressed 849 00:36:58,640 --> 00:37:01,839 Speaker 1: by Connolly Early, the approach. I watched him a bunch 850 00:37:01,880 --> 00:37:03,360 Speaker 1: of the minor leagues last year. I picked him up 851 00:37:03,360 --> 00:37:05,840 Speaker 1: in my home league last year and anticipation of the 852 00:37:05,880 --> 00:37:08,040 Speaker 1: call up, and he got called up, and he was 853 00:37:08,120 --> 00:37:09,920 Speaker 1: terrific for the Red Sox last year when he did 854 00:37:10,000 --> 00:37:12,280 Speaker 1: get that call. Four starts a two three three ERA 855 00:37:13,000 --> 00:37:15,520 Speaker 1: nineteen innings pitch, So technically he is a rookie, So 856 00:37:15,600 --> 00:37:18,560 Speaker 1: he is the third rookie on my list of eleven guys. 857 00:37:18,640 --> 00:37:21,400 Speaker 1: But he's had a taste of the major leagues already, 858 00:37:21,520 --> 00:37:23,680 Speaker 1: and I think the major leagues isn't ready for the 859 00:37:23,680 --> 00:37:26,040 Speaker 1: bigger spoonful that they're going to get a condi Early 860 00:37:26,040 --> 00:37:29,480 Speaker 1: at some point. Again, kind of like Carson Benge, there 861 00:37:29,520 --> 00:37:32,239 Speaker 1: might be some limitations here, like I think benj maybe 862 00:37:32,239 --> 00:37:34,480 Speaker 1: plays one hundred games. He might start the year in 863 00:37:34,520 --> 00:37:38,480 Speaker 1: Triple A possibly, but cond ofly Early, I do believe 864 00:37:38,520 --> 00:37:40,279 Speaker 1: we'll get that call through the later and I think 865 00:37:40,280 --> 00:37:41,240 Speaker 1: he does make twenty. 866 00:37:41,000 --> 00:37:42,239 Speaker 2: Starts for the Red Sox this year. 867 00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:45,640 Speaker 1: So that's my hot take, bold prediction there with Connie Early, 868 00:37:45,680 --> 00:37:47,680 Speaker 1: and if he does, this is going to be a 869 00:37:47,680 --> 00:37:51,480 Speaker 1: breakout campaign for him. Welsh Kevin McGonagall is my favorite 870 00:37:51,480 --> 00:37:53,920 Speaker 1: guy on your team, so I would try to send 871 00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:55,759 Speaker 1: you a trade offer for him right away. Who's your 872 00:37:55,760 --> 00:37:57,840 Speaker 1: favorite guy of my breakouts on my squad? 873 00:37:58,280 --> 00:38:01,239 Speaker 3: Well, I mean, do I cheat and say Caglion because 874 00:38:01,239 --> 00:38:01,799 Speaker 3: that's the one we. 875 00:38:01,760 --> 00:38:04,120 Speaker 1: Share, Yeah, because that's our overlap guy. So give me 876 00:38:04,160 --> 00:38:05,720 Speaker 1: a non Caglioned player. 877 00:38:06,320 --> 00:38:08,200 Speaker 3: That was the one I refuse to relent on and 878 00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:11,239 Speaker 3: like you just have Brooksley. Brooksley, I said, that was 879 00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:14,000 Speaker 3: one that like I really I think is a great one. 880 00:38:14,040 --> 00:38:15,360 Speaker 3: It would have been the one that I would have 881 00:38:15,440 --> 00:38:19,360 Speaker 3: ended up picking. Like I get hyper focused when we 882 00:38:19,400 --> 00:38:21,960 Speaker 3: talk about breakouts on these players that are like almost 883 00:38:22,040 --> 00:38:24,399 Speaker 3: not being drafted or not really on the minds, because 884 00:38:24,400 --> 00:38:25,719 Speaker 3: there's a couple of guys you have on the list 885 00:38:25,760 --> 00:38:28,200 Speaker 3: that are like not no doubt being drafted, But like 886 00:38:28,239 --> 00:38:30,640 Speaker 3: Brooksley is that guy. Brooksley is like one hundred percent 887 00:38:30,920 --> 00:38:32,920 Speaker 3: one of those players that's on that lower end. He 888 00:38:32,960 --> 00:38:36,680 Speaker 3: could take a huge step this year. I really love 889 00:38:36,760 --> 00:38:39,960 Speaker 3: in deeper leagues taking brooks You know, if I'm doing 890 00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:42,399 Speaker 3: a fifty team like Draft and Hold or a big 891 00:38:42,440 --> 00:38:44,719 Speaker 3: fifteen team league, the Key's one of those guys that 892 00:38:44,760 --> 00:38:47,280 Speaker 3: I am staring at as even like a corner infield spots. 893 00:38:47,320 --> 00:38:48,120 Speaker 3: I really like Brooksley. 894 00:38:49,160 --> 00:38:51,120 Speaker 1: What are your favorite players? Make sure you drop your 895 00:38:51,160 --> 00:38:53,520 Speaker 1: comments below. They're gonna break out in twenty twenty six. 896 00:38:53,560 --> 00:38:56,080 Speaker 1: We love hearing from you, and don't forget too. We 897 00:38:56,160 --> 00:38:58,480 Speaker 1: know draft season is happening. You probably got drafts this weekend. 898 00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:01,520 Speaker 1: Chee Chee creators available for you. Sink your leagues for free. 899 00:39:01,920 --> 00:39:04,120 Speaker 1: Go to fantasybros dot com. Go to Fantasy ros dot com, 900 00:39:04,160 --> 00:39:06,600 Speaker 1: slash MLB Draft Wizard, or download the app and use 901 00:39:06,640 --> 00:39:07,520 Speaker 1: the cheat sheet creator. 902 00:39:07,719 --> 00:39:08,760 Speaker 2: When you sink your leagues. 903 00:39:08,760 --> 00:39:12,279 Speaker 1: In that way, everything is working incompatibility with your league. 904 00:39:12,320 --> 00:39:15,880 Speaker 1: It seamlessly integrates and merges rankings for multiple experts. You 905 00:39:15,840 --> 00:39:19,759 Speaker 1: could choose your experts, organize your tiers, personalize everything, and 906 00:39:19,800 --> 00:39:22,360 Speaker 1: then make the decision process easy on draft day with 907 00:39:22,400 --> 00:39:25,560 Speaker 1: the consensus rankings and give you the options and selection 908 00:39:25,719 --> 00:39:28,080 Speaker 1: choices there use the cheat sheet creator, one of the 909 00:39:28,080 --> 00:39:30,759 Speaker 1: many amazing tools like Coach and a bunch of other 910 00:39:30,800 --> 00:39:32,840 Speaker 1: cool tools there. The pick predictor all of it is 911 00:39:32,880 --> 00:39:35,239 Speaker 1: there for you at Fantasy Pros on the Draft Wizard, 912 00:39:35,320 --> 00:39:37,680 Speaker 1: So go to Fantasybros dot com slash MLB Draft Wizard 913 00:39:37,760 --> 00:39:40,600 Speaker 1: or just download the Fantasy Pros app too for MLB 914 00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:43,239 Speaker 1: Welsh great stuff as always, keep an eye out too 915 00:39:43,280 --> 00:39:45,520 Speaker 1: because it's got more shows like this coming up. Subscribe 916 00:39:45,560 --> 00:39:48,040 Speaker 1: to the channel. Drop your breakouts for twenty twenty six. 917 00:39:48,160 --> 00:39:50,239 Speaker 1: You might win yourself for that trophy and that'll do 918 00:39:50,280 --> 00:39:51,719 Speaker 1: it for us, but the story of the game goes 919 00:39:51,719 --> 00:39:52,600 Speaker 1: on for the Welsh. 920 00:39:52,680 --> 00:39:55,040 Speaker 2: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids. 921 00:39:55,600 --> 00:39:58,840 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast. 922 00:39:59,080 --> 00:40:01,480 Speaker 2: If you love the show, the best freeway to support 923 00:40:01,520 --> 00:40:04,400 Speaker 1: Us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts 924 00:40:04,520 --> 00:40:08,200 Speaker 1: or Spotify, Follow us on x, Instagram and TikTok at 925 00:40:08,200 --> 00:40:11,160 Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros, and subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube 926 00:40:11,200 --> 00:40:13,480 Speaker 1: dot com slash Fantasy Pros MLB