1 00:00:14,440 --> 00:00:17,720 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Tuesday 2 00:00:17,840 --> 00:00:20,520 Speaker 1: episode of the Delijuice Podcast with Me, Matt Perelt at 3 00:00:20,520 --> 00:00:23,440 Speaker 1: sports doc Matt and follow across all socials. This podcast 4 00:00:23,480 --> 00:00:25,400 Speaker 1: always being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot Com. 5 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:28,720 Speaker 1: Use Romo Go Juice when you guys, log on to 6 00:00:28,840 --> 00:00:32,400 Speaker 1: Omaha Steaks dot com to get thirty dollars off your 7 00:00:32,520 --> 00:00:36,400 Speaker 1: order at checkout for Omaha Steaks dot Com. More on 8 00:00:36,520 --> 00:00:39,880 Speaker 1: them coming up later in the week. This podcast will 9 00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:41,760 Speaker 1: be relatively short, but let me tell you about what's 10 00:00:41,760 --> 00:00:44,440 Speaker 1: going to happen here for the next couple of days. Okay, 11 00:00:45,040 --> 00:00:48,839 Speaker 1: So first we know that Texas and Washington is fourteen 12 00:00:48,880 --> 00:00:51,279 Speaker 1: to seven Washington right now. No clue how that game 13 00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:53,120 Speaker 1: is going to go. We'll figure it out in a second. 14 00:00:53,159 --> 00:00:56,600 Speaker 1: But I am traveling today, okay, So I am going 15 00:00:56,680 --> 00:01:00,720 Speaker 1: to be in the airport in the air just kind 16 00:01:00,720 --> 00:01:03,040 Speaker 1: of a crazy day. So what you're gonna get is 17 00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 1: a podcast here from me, and then I'm gonna let 18 00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:10,280 Speaker 1: the betting prost people post tomorrow night's podcast the podcast 19 00:01:10,319 --> 00:01:12,880 Speaker 1: for Wednesday. They're gonna post it late, but I'm gonna 20 00:01:12,880 --> 00:01:15,200 Speaker 1: tape it during the day, so I won't know what 21 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:19,639 Speaker 1: happens with the bets for today when I tape tomorrow. Okay, 22 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:21,959 Speaker 1: so we'll get back on the normal schedule. I'll be 23 00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:26,560 Speaker 1: back Thursday's podcast. We'll be back in unison or in rhythm. 24 00:01:26,600 --> 00:01:29,360 Speaker 1: We'll get back to how things are going, because this 25 00:01:29,440 --> 00:01:31,360 Speaker 1: has been a disaster for me in terms of being 26 00:01:31,360 --> 00:01:34,160 Speaker 1: on vacation and just the betting. This has been I 27 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:36,279 Speaker 1: don't know why this year. Maybe it's because my daughter's 28 00:01:36,360 --> 00:01:38,520 Speaker 1: nine and we've had a lot more things going on, 29 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:40,920 Speaker 1: and I added a trip to New York. It's been 30 00:01:41,120 --> 00:01:43,840 Speaker 1: very difficult for me to find the time to do 31 00:01:43,880 --> 00:01:46,479 Speaker 1: the bet research, to get the typical stuff that's been 32 00:01:46,560 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 1: up in the betting has been reflective of it. It's 33 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:52,520 Speaker 1: just been a very difficult couple of weeks, and it's 34 00:01:52,560 --> 00:01:56,680 Speaker 1: been a difficult month of December. Look, yesterday didn't go bad, 35 00:01:56,720 --> 00:01:58,840 Speaker 1: and we will see. Iowa was a horrible bet. I 36 00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:00,480 Speaker 1: bet the under in that game as well, so I 37 00:02:00,480 --> 00:02:02,560 Speaker 1: went one in one. I was picking between the two 38 00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:05,240 Speaker 1: and I thought Iowa would score and that's why the 39 00:02:05,240 --> 00:02:07,520 Speaker 1: game would go over. Well, Iowa didn't score at all. 40 00:02:07,600 --> 00:02:10,160 Speaker 1: They got shut out again. The most pathetic offense in 41 00:02:10,200 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 1: the history of college football, was led by Brian Farrens. 42 00:02:13,480 --> 00:02:16,280 Speaker 1: I thought, for somehow, some way, after a month of prep, 43 00:02:16,560 --> 00:02:19,560 Speaker 1: Iowa might look better, look decent, and they did not. 44 00:02:19,680 --> 00:02:22,440 Speaker 1: They lost to a freshman quarterback for Tennessee. I don't 45 00:02:22,480 --> 00:02:24,720 Speaker 1: care what the kids ranked. Iowa's defense is one of 46 00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:28,680 Speaker 1: the best defenses in college football. That was an infuriating 47 00:02:28,760 --> 00:02:30,800 Speaker 1: game for me to watch that, But I was on 48 00:02:30,880 --> 00:02:33,480 Speaker 1: the under and somehow under thirty six came in because 49 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:38,000 Speaker 1: it was a thirty five nothing defeat for Iowa. Just no, 50 00:02:38,080 --> 00:02:39,840 Speaker 1: not even that was it for me. I was like, 51 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:41,680 Speaker 1: that was my last bowl game. Bet. I was done, 52 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:45,480 Speaker 1: Like that's it. So we had we lost that, we 53 00:02:45,520 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 1: lost the two units on Alabama, but that's not a 54 00:02:47,880 --> 00:02:49,880 Speaker 1: big deal, okay, because our ten to one ticket for 55 00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:52,880 Speaker 1: Michigan's live. So that ten to one is now eight 56 00:02:52,919 --> 00:02:55,919 Speaker 1: to one, which is okay, right, So we head towards 57 00:02:55,919 --> 00:02:59,680 Speaker 1: whoever Michigan's going to play next Monday for the national Championship. 58 00:03:00,440 --> 00:03:04,280 Speaker 1: I might wind up betting trying to win back those 59 00:03:04,320 --> 00:03:07,920 Speaker 1: two units by by taking the dog, but we're not 60 00:03:07,960 --> 00:03:11,360 Speaker 1: gonna have to bet that much because if Washington beats Texas, 61 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:15,639 Speaker 1: Michigan's gonna be favored by six. If Texas beats Washington, 62 00:03:15,800 --> 00:03:18,320 Speaker 1: Michigan will be favored by three. So we're gonna get 63 00:03:18,320 --> 00:03:21,160 Speaker 1: plus money on whoever on the other side, at least 64 00:03:21,200 --> 00:03:23,360 Speaker 1: at the start. We're gonna get plus money here. And 65 00:03:23,440 --> 00:03:26,560 Speaker 1: if it's Washing, if it's Washington, I think that number 66 00:03:26,639 --> 00:03:28,760 Speaker 1: closes above seven. I think Michigan is going to be 67 00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:31,600 Speaker 1: a pretty big favorite up against Washington if that's who 68 00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:34,839 Speaker 1: they wind up playing. Don't know about Texas. That could 69 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:36,760 Speaker 1: be interesting to see how that all kind of plays out. 70 00:03:36,760 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 1: But obviously that game is still being played right now. 71 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:40,760 Speaker 1: It's late seven o'clock on the East Coast. The game 72 00:03:40,840 --> 00:03:42,480 Speaker 1: is not even close to being at halftime yet, So 73 00:03:42,600 --> 00:03:44,200 Speaker 1: I don't know how that game is gonna fall, but 74 00:03:45,200 --> 00:03:46,600 Speaker 1: I'll tell you later in the week. I don't know. 75 00:03:46,640 --> 00:03:48,600 Speaker 1: I'm gonna get home, I'm gonna research it, I'm gonna 76 00:03:48,640 --> 00:03:50,360 Speaker 1: look at it. I don't know what I'm doing yet 77 00:03:50,360 --> 00:03:52,480 Speaker 1: for that game. But we have an eight to one 78 00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:55,119 Speaker 1: ticket on Michigan to win it all, which will make 79 00:03:55,240 --> 00:03:58,320 Speaker 1: up to win eight units coming back. We'll make up 80 00:03:58,320 --> 00:04:00,160 Speaker 1: for a lot of the problems that I I have 81 00:04:00,200 --> 00:04:03,000 Speaker 1: got myself into here that will kind of reset the 82 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:05,720 Speaker 1: bank roll if we can nail an eight to one. 83 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:08,000 Speaker 1: So I'm not sure I want to hedge. I might 84 00:04:08,040 --> 00:04:10,840 Speaker 1: want to let it ride, and then in game it 85 00:04:10,920 --> 00:04:13,120 Speaker 1: if I have to and say, okay, you know, if 86 00:04:13,120 --> 00:04:15,440 Speaker 1: it looks like Michigan's gonna lose, kind of in game 87 00:04:15,480 --> 00:04:18,679 Speaker 1: it just save myself the unit or the two units 88 00:04:18,760 --> 00:04:21,920 Speaker 1: or three units whatever. But pre game I might let 89 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:25,360 Speaker 1: it ride. I gotta think that out. So even though 90 00:04:25,360 --> 00:04:28,400 Speaker 1: we lost two units there with Alabama, not a bad 91 00:04:28,440 --> 00:04:31,160 Speaker 1: thing because Michigan's in the National Championship game in that 92 00:04:31,200 --> 00:04:33,520 Speaker 1: ten to one ticket now becomes an eight to one ticket, 93 00:04:33,640 --> 00:04:36,200 Speaker 1: So not a bad thing there. So I don't care 94 00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:39,160 Speaker 1: about the record here today given what may happen a 95 00:04:39,200 --> 00:04:42,160 Speaker 1: week from now. Now, I would like the plus four 96 00:04:42,240 --> 00:04:45,000 Speaker 1: on Washington. That would be nice to get that to 97 00:04:45,040 --> 00:04:47,760 Speaker 1: come in, and then we go one in one on 98 00:04:47,839 --> 00:04:50,040 Speaker 1: the day, and that's really what because those petro made 99 00:04:50,040 --> 00:04:51,640 Speaker 1: a while ago, it really would be one and one 100 00:04:51,800 --> 00:04:53,520 Speaker 1: on the day and we kind of move on here 101 00:04:53,600 --> 00:04:56,800 Speaker 1: onto the slate for Tuesdays. So we'll wait and see 102 00:04:56,800 --> 00:04:59,279 Speaker 1: what happens with Texas and Washington. But right now we 103 00:04:59,360 --> 00:05:02,159 Speaker 1: have a chance we have the eleven to one ticket 104 00:05:02,200 --> 00:05:04,760 Speaker 1: on the Ravens to win it all. That is live 105 00:05:05,400 --> 00:05:08,360 Speaker 1: very much. They're the one seed, so looking good there 106 00:05:08,360 --> 00:05:12,000 Speaker 1: about them potentially getting to Las Vegas for the super Bowl. 107 00:05:12,760 --> 00:05:14,960 Speaker 1: And then we've got obviously the ten to one, which 108 00:05:15,000 --> 00:05:17,000 Speaker 1: is down eight to one on Michigan. So we hit 109 00:05:17,040 --> 00:05:20,160 Speaker 1: both those futures. That will make up for everything. I mean, 110 00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:25,240 Speaker 1: if we could somehow clear you know, now fifteen units 111 00:05:25,800 --> 00:05:28,479 Speaker 1: on that that makes up for all sorts of the 112 00:05:28,520 --> 00:05:32,680 Speaker 1: problems that I run myself into, and resets the apple cart, 113 00:05:32,680 --> 00:05:34,479 Speaker 1: if you go, puts everything back in place as we 114 00:05:34,520 --> 00:05:37,360 Speaker 1: head towards the start of twenty twenty four. So those 115 00:05:37,360 --> 00:05:39,560 Speaker 1: are fingers crossed. Let's see how that plays out. But 116 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:43,159 Speaker 1: I do like the hedge, but I just did the hedge, 117 00:05:43,200 --> 00:05:45,159 Speaker 1: and I don't know. We'll see how that plays out. 118 00:05:45,160 --> 00:05:49,360 Speaker 1: But okay, for today, three bets, two leg moneyline parlay. 119 00:05:49,400 --> 00:05:51,160 Speaker 1: I want to give you guys here now you can 120 00:05:51,200 --> 00:05:56,280 Speaker 1: bet these hockey games if you would like. Individually. San 121 00:05:56,400 --> 00:05:59,520 Speaker 1: Jose is back to getting their asses kicked, okay, I 122 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:02,720 Speaker 1: mean Santa is back to being just absolutely horrific on 123 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:04,719 Speaker 1: the puck line. If you've been fading them on a 124 00:06:04,760 --> 00:06:08,400 Speaker 1: puck line. They have now lost one, two, three, four, five, 125 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:12,920 Speaker 1: six seven, eight games in a row. They have lost one, two, three, four, 126 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:17,239 Speaker 1: five six seven games in a row on the puck line. Okay, 127 00:06:17,320 --> 00:06:18,960 Speaker 1: So if you want a bet puck line here for 128 00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:22,719 Speaker 1: the Red Wings, go right ahead. The Red Wings are 129 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:26,560 Speaker 1: not great on the road. They're seven to nine in one, okay, 130 00:06:26,800 --> 00:06:32,400 Speaker 1: But the Red Wings equally are playing poorly themselves. But 131 00:06:32,920 --> 00:06:36,280 Speaker 1: I like them to win this game here because it 132 00:06:36,400 --> 00:06:41,120 Speaker 1: is Lyon in net. Alex Lyon's important, he doesn't play here. 133 00:06:41,440 --> 00:06:43,160 Speaker 1: I'm not going to be in love with this bet 134 00:06:43,200 --> 00:06:45,560 Speaker 1: nearly as much. But Alex Lyon on the road it's 135 00:06:45,600 --> 00:06:48,279 Speaker 1: pretty good with a two point seven to six goals 136 00:06:48,320 --> 00:06:51,520 Speaker 1: against average. Alex Lyon has lost three of his last 137 00:06:51,520 --> 00:06:54,040 Speaker 1: four starts, but he did beat Nashville five to four 138 00:06:54,400 --> 00:06:57,560 Speaker 1: in his last start. San Jose just has been an absolute, 139 00:06:57,560 --> 00:07:00,400 Speaker 1: complete and total dumpster fire over the last couple weeks. 140 00:07:00,400 --> 00:07:04,120 Speaker 1: They've just been horrific. They've been better at home. Okay, 141 00:07:04,400 --> 00:07:06,479 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna lie, they've been okay at home. But 142 00:07:07,120 --> 00:07:09,800 Speaker 1: Red Wings are Mius one eighty five as road favorites 143 00:07:09,880 --> 00:07:12,360 Speaker 1: against the Sharks. Just to win the game money line, 144 00:07:12,400 --> 00:07:14,400 Speaker 1: not the puck line. Just win the game on the 145 00:07:14,400 --> 00:07:16,960 Speaker 1: money line. Red Wings played well against the Bruins. I 146 00:07:17,000 --> 00:07:19,640 Speaker 1: watched the game. They got goalscorers. I don't mind the 147 00:07:19,720 --> 00:07:21,520 Speaker 1: over in this game either. You want to bet the 148 00:07:21,560 --> 00:07:24,880 Speaker 1: over six and a half minus one thirty, don't mind that. 149 00:07:25,040 --> 00:07:27,680 Speaker 1: But given the way that I've been running, yeah, I 150 00:07:27,680 --> 00:07:29,600 Speaker 1: don't really want to lay puck line. I just want 151 00:07:29,600 --> 00:07:31,920 Speaker 1: to lay money line. I'm not laying minus one eighty 152 00:07:31,920 --> 00:07:33,880 Speaker 1: five with the Red Wings though, no way in hell. 153 00:07:34,480 --> 00:07:36,320 Speaker 1: So I got to pair it up with something. I 154 00:07:36,320 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 1: got to do a two leg money line parlay, which 155 00:07:38,400 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 1: again you can go, Matt, you're so cold, why are 156 00:07:40,800 --> 00:07:45,000 Speaker 1: you parlaying? I completely agree. It's just there's a lot 157 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:47,760 Speaker 1: going on right now, okay. So, like I just got 158 00:07:47,800 --> 00:07:49,720 Speaker 1: to get back to Vegas and get my life put 159 00:07:49,760 --> 00:07:52,160 Speaker 1: back together. So I don't want to have a lot 160 00:07:52,160 --> 00:07:54,000 Speaker 1: in play here. I just want to have basically two 161 00:07:54,080 --> 00:07:57,480 Speaker 1: units in play, and that's about it. So Red Wings 162 00:07:57,600 --> 00:07:59,240 Speaker 1: and I got to pair it up with something, and 163 00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:01,680 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Dallas Stars, who are at home 164 00:08:01,680 --> 00:08:05,920 Speaker 1: against the Montreal Canadiens. Wedgewood is a net for the 165 00:08:06,080 --> 00:08:09,840 Speaker 1: Dallas Stars. He's eleven two and two. Wedgwood at home 166 00:08:09,880 --> 00:08:12,520 Speaker 1: this year is seven to one with a two point 167 00:08:12,560 --> 00:08:15,040 Speaker 1: eight to seven goals against average. If you just want 168 00:08:15,080 --> 00:08:17,680 Speaker 1: to bet this, you can, but it's judicy. It's minus 169 00:08:17,720 --> 00:08:22,240 Speaker 1: three hundred on the Stars up against the Canadians, because well, 170 00:08:22,320 --> 00:08:24,960 Speaker 1: the Canadians are as bad as a San Jose Sharks 171 00:08:24,960 --> 00:08:27,960 Speaker 1: are right now. They are an absolute train wreck at 172 00:08:27,960 --> 00:08:31,120 Speaker 1: the moment, and Dallas should be able to win this game, 173 00:08:31,160 --> 00:08:33,559 Speaker 1: and most likely win this game on the puck line, 174 00:08:33,800 --> 00:08:36,439 Speaker 1: because the Canadians are eight seven and three on the road, 175 00:08:36,520 --> 00:08:39,560 Speaker 1: but they've lost three games in a row. They've lost 176 00:08:39,800 --> 00:08:41,920 Speaker 1: all three games on two out of the three games 177 00:08:41,920 --> 00:08:44,320 Speaker 1: on the puck line so far. This has been a 178 00:08:44,440 --> 00:08:47,720 Speaker 1: long road trip for them. They lost to Minnesota, they 179 00:08:47,800 --> 00:08:51,880 Speaker 1: lost to Chicago, Carolina. It's just been bad. This is 180 00:08:51,960 --> 00:08:54,320 Speaker 1: the final game of the road trip before they head 181 00:08:54,360 --> 00:08:56,880 Speaker 1: back home for a couple of games. But they only 182 00:08:56,920 --> 00:09:00,320 Speaker 1: game they won was at Chicago five to two, when 183 00:09:00,320 --> 00:09:02,280 Speaker 1: they beat Winnipeg two three to two. So on this 184 00:09:02,400 --> 00:09:05,920 Speaker 1: road trip they're two and four on this road trip. 185 00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:10,720 Speaker 1: Dallas at home is really really good. Wedgwood very very good. 186 00:09:10,840 --> 00:09:13,880 Speaker 1: Montembleau is good, but He's seven to five and three 187 00:09:13,960 --> 00:09:16,160 Speaker 1: with a two point nine to four goals against average. 188 00:09:16,240 --> 00:09:19,560 Speaker 1: Dallas is twelve to five and one this year at home. 189 00:09:19,920 --> 00:09:22,640 Speaker 1: Montembeau on the road has a three point two seven 190 00:09:22,640 --> 00:09:25,600 Speaker 1: goals against average. He's two and two. I'm taking the 191 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 1: home team, Dallas at home money line. Pair it up 192 00:09:29,280 --> 00:09:33,800 Speaker 1: here with the Detroit Red Wings money line up against 193 00:09:33,800 --> 00:09:37,600 Speaker 1: San Jose. That is a plus one oh five parlay 194 00:09:37,720 --> 00:09:41,040 Speaker 1: for one unit, basically win one unit, two leg money 195 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:43,800 Speaker 1: line parlay with the Red Wings and the Stars. You 196 00:09:43,840 --> 00:09:45,800 Speaker 1: want to flip that and fade it. Not going to 197 00:09:45,880 --> 00:09:47,480 Speaker 1: hate it at all, just given the way that I 198 00:09:47,559 --> 00:09:49,920 Speaker 1: am running, I don't get angry at you guys for this. 199 00:09:49,960 --> 00:09:52,240 Speaker 1: If you're like Matt, I'd rather bet against you. If 200 00:09:52,280 --> 00:09:53,959 Speaker 1: you want to bet against me, this would be a 201 00:09:53,960 --> 00:09:58,240 Speaker 1: fun little parlay. That is a plus seven sixty three. 202 00:09:58,600 --> 00:10:01,840 Speaker 1: You want to bet against me, not against it Canadian Sharks, 203 00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:04,640 Speaker 1: that's plus It's a seven to one, almost eight to 204 00:10:04,640 --> 00:10:06,200 Speaker 1: one return if you want to go ahead and lay 205 00:10:06,200 --> 00:10:09,240 Speaker 1: the dogs there to win outright at Montreal on the 206 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:12,920 Speaker 1: road and the Sharks at home. But the Sharks are 207 00:10:12,920 --> 00:10:15,640 Speaker 1: really bad right now, So you know I'm a betting 208 00:10:15,679 --> 00:10:17,320 Speaker 1: puck line. But if you want to bet puck line, 209 00:10:17,320 --> 00:10:20,200 Speaker 1: you can. It's plus one twenty four for the Red Wings. 210 00:10:20,240 --> 00:10:22,280 Speaker 1: But I don't think de Troy's good Upton going the 211 00:10:22,280 --> 00:10:24,720 Speaker 1: puck line personally, but you might get there if you 212 00:10:24,760 --> 00:10:28,400 Speaker 1: want it. Okay, that's the one hockey bet for one unit. 213 00:10:28,920 --> 00:10:30,600 Speaker 1: The other gay bet I'm gonna give you, guys, here 214 00:10:30,679 --> 00:10:34,079 Speaker 1: is in college basketball, and it's North Carolina laying four 215 00:10:34,679 --> 00:10:38,880 Speaker 1: on the road against pitt Now, this number open to two, 216 00:10:39,080 --> 00:10:41,880 Speaker 1: it's been pushed up to four. I don't mind a 217 00:10:41,880 --> 00:10:44,199 Speaker 1: bet on the under in this game because I don't 218 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:46,439 Speaker 1: think you're going to get the tempo that that you're 219 00:10:46,440 --> 00:10:49,559 Speaker 1: gonna want for an over, although it is one of 220 00:10:49,640 --> 00:10:52,120 Speaker 1: those plays where right now the number is pushed up 221 00:10:52,240 --> 00:10:57,200 Speaker 1: quite high at certain books, like fifty eight, depending on 222 00:10:57,200 --> 00:10:59,439 Speaker 1: the book. I lean towards the under in this game 223 00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:01,480 Speaker 1: a little bit, but I think North Carolina's going to 224 00:11:01,520 --> 00:11:04,160 Speaker 1: wind up going there and winning this game. If it 225 00:11:04,200 --> 00:11:07,160 Speaker 1: gets back down to three, I prefer it. Ken Palm's 226 00:11:07,200 --> 00:11:09,600 Speaker 1: at three. Most books are at four, so it scares 227 00:11:09,640 --> 00:11:13,000 Speaker 1: me a little bit. But here's the thing. Pittsburgh's team, 228 00:11:13,880 --> 00:11:18,920 Speaker 1: they've played Florida Missouri, Clemson, and Syracuse and they've lost 229 00:11:19,040 --> 00:11:21,720 Speaker 1: them all. The only real good win they have on 230 00:11:21,720 --> 00:11:24,560 Speaker 1: their schedule is against West Virginia. And then when that 231 00:11:24,640 --> 00:11:27,400 Speaker 1: game eighty to sixty three, Well, we know about West Virginia. 232 00:11:27,440 --> 00:11:30,760 Speaker 1: They're horrific. They're up against you know, they lost to Radford. 233 00:11:31,960 --> 00:11:33,920 Speaker 1: They're going to play Houston coming up here in the 234 00:11:33,960 --> 00:11:35,920 Speaker 1: next game on the sixth of December. I've got that 235 00:11:35,960 --> 00:11:37,600 Speaker 1: game circled as a game that we're going to one 236 00:11:37,679 --> 00:11:40,400 Speaker 1: hundred percent fade depending on what the number is going 237 00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:41,840 Speaker 1: to be. But that could be like a money line 238 00:11:41,880 --> 00:11:45,200 Speaker 1: parlay opportunity. Like West Virginia is not beating Houston, not 239 00:11:45,559 --> 00:11:48,520 Speaker 1: by a long shot. But they've got Kansas State, they 240 00:11:48,520 --> 00:11:52,679 Speaker 1: have Texas. Ken Palm expects them to lose out by 241 00:11:52,679 --> 00:11:56,000 Speaker 1: the way they expect Kenpom express West Virginia to have 242 00:11:56,040 --> 00:11:59,080 Speaker 1: a zero record, zero wins in the Big Twelve this season. 243 00:11:59,080 --> 00:12:01,880 Speaker 1: That's how bad West Virginia is. So I'm not going 244 00:12:01,920 --> 00:12:04,280 Speaker 1: to be impressed at Pittsburgh beat up on West Virginia. 245 00:12:04,320 --> 00:12:07,120 Speaker 1: In particular. It's a rivalry game too, So no, I'm 246 00:12:07,120 --> 00:12:10,480 Speaker 1: not buying that. So Kempbum has this as a three 247 00:12:10,480 --> 00:12:13,520 Speaker 1: point win for North Carolina. I'm cool at laying the 248 00:12:13,559 --> 00:12:16,200 Speaker 1: four though, because you've got a unc offense which is 249 00:12:16,280 --> 00:12:20,680 Speaker 1: top ten in efficiency, top seventy in effective field goal percentage. Yes, 250 00:12:20,760 --> 00:12:24,400 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh's defense on paper is good top twenty five effective 251 00:12:24,400 --> 00:12:27,960 Speaker 1: field goal percentage, number two for three point defense, but 252 00:12:28,000 --> 00:12:31,520 Speaker 1: they're not great at two point defense. They're okay. You know, 253 00:12:31,679 --> 00:12:34,640 Speaker 1: North Carolina hits their free throws, they play up tempo. 254 00:12:34,679 --> 00:12:37,520 Speaker 1: We should see a lot of attacking the rim and 255 00:12:37,679 --> 00:12:41,360 Speaker 1: open threes in transition. I just have a better team 256 00:12:41,440 --> 00:12:44,680 Speaker 1: overall with North Carolina, a team that I like in Carolina. 257 00:12:44,760 --> 00:12:47,880 Speaker 1: We've backed them recently against Oklahoma. And yes, this is 258 00:12:47,920 --> 00:12:50,840 Speaker 1: a road game and that can be scary with conference play, 259 00:12:50,920 --> 00:12:54,000 Speaker 1: But I just I think Pittsburgh's a little bit overvalued 260 00:12:54,080 --> 00:12:56,240 Speaker 1: here given the fact that just who you know, what 261 00:12:56,280 --> 00:12:59,120 Speaker 1: their numbers look like. I think, you know, man demand, 262 00:12:59,120 --> 00:13:01,439 Speaker 1: I think of North Carolina better team. Pittsburgh would be 263 00:13:01,480 --> 00:13:03,760 Speaker 1: a tournament team depending on how they play. But I 264 00:13:03,880 --> 00:13:05,959 Speaker 1: like Carolina a lot this season. I'm gonna lay the 265 00:13:06,000 --> 00:13:09,440 Speaker 1: four points North Carolina minus four on the road for 266 00:13:09,600 --> 00:13:13,600 Speaker 1: one point one units in Yes, betting road favorites in 267 00:13:13,720 --> 00:13:16,520 Speaker 1: conference plays dangerous, but it's a short number at four, 268 00:13:16,679 --> 00:13:20,600 Speaker 1: so I feel comfortable doing it. Okay, So when I 269 00:13:20,640 --> 00:13:24,240 Speaker 1: tape the podcast for Wednesday, I won't know the outcome 270 00:13:24,280 --> 00:13:27,320 Speaker 1: for the games on Tuesday, just FYI, and it will 271 00:13:27,360 --> 00:13:29,280 Speaker 1: post at night. I'll get the guys to post it, 272 00:13:29,320 --> 00:13:30,679 Speaker 1: but it won't come out till later in the night. 273 00:13:30,960 --> 00:13:33,600 Speaker 1: I'm gonna tape it during the day because I'm flying 274 00:13:33,640 --> 00:13:35,480 Speaker 1: all day and traveling all day. I'll be the airport 275 00:13:35,480 --> 00:13:37,600 Speaker 1: at two o'clock and I won't get home to Vegas 276 00:13:37,720 --> 00:13:39,959 Speaker 1: till about midnight Eastern time, so it's going to be 277 00:13:40,040 --> 00:13:41,840 Speaker 1: kind of a long, crazy day for me. So I 278 00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:46,120 Speaker 1: will tape this podcast before before we get on the plane. 279 00:13:46,160 --> 00:13:49,360 Speaker 1: I will do that. So two leg moneyline parlay. We 280 00:13:49,440 --> 00:13:53,520 Speaker 1: are taking the Dallas Stars at home at minus two 281 00:13:53,800 --> 00:13:57,800 Speaker 1: ms three three dollars, taking on the Red Wings, pairing 282 00:13:57,840 --> 00:13:59,560 Speaker 1: it up with the Red Wings on the road against 283 00:13:59,559 --> 00:14:02,079 Speaker 1: the Sharks money line for plus one oh five. That's 284 00:14:02,080 --> 00:14:04,760 Speaker 1: a one unit play. And we're taking North Carolina minus 285 00:14:04,760 --> 00:14:07,600 Speaker 1: four for one point one units. Just two point one 286 00:14:07,679 --> 00:14:11,559 Speaker 1: units in play here for us on a Tuesday. Best 287 00:14:11,559 --> 00:14:14,280 Speaker 1: of luck. Let's hope Washington wins and let's get a 288 00:14:14,360 --> 00:14:18,000 Speaker 1: chance to Hedge on our Michigan future coming up for 289 00:14:18,080 --> 00:14:20,720 Speaker 1: the National Championship minus Matt parolog you guys following me 290 00:14:20,760 --> 00:14:23,240 Speaker 1: on all socials at Sports Talk Matt. Each and every 291 00:14:23,280 --> 00:14:25,520 Speaker 1: morning the Deal Juice Podcast I was being brought to 292 00:14:25,560 --> 00:14:41,000 Speaker 1: you by Omaha Steaks dot com