1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:03,400 Speaker 1: Hi, you're listening to Switch It on the b F podcast, 2 00:00:03,920 --> 00:00:07,040 Speaker 1: and today is all about solar. I sit down with 3 00:00:07,120 --> 00:00:10,000 Speaker 1: Jenny Chase, who is the head of Solar Research and 4 00:00:10,200 --> 00:00:12,400 Speaker 1: she has actually been an analyst at B and E 5 00:00:12,440 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 1: F covering solar since the very beginning. We're going to 6 00:00:15,840 --> 00:00:19,480 Speaker 1: talk about what's going on in two with prices which 7 00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:24,000 Speaker 1: continue to rise for most components, materials and projects across 8 00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:26,799 Speaker 1: the industry, but at the same time there continues to 9 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:30,600 Speaker 1: be strong demand and two is also likely to be 10 00:00:30,640 --> 00:00:33,959 Speaker 1: a year of record build in Europe, in China as 11 00:00:34,000 --> 00:00:37,120 Speaker 1: well as a few newer markets where high energy prices 12 00:00:37,159 --> 00:00:40,440 Speaker 1: are driving adoption. So let's speak with Jenny about the 13 00:00:40,479 --> 00:00:44,839 Speaker 1: solar quotable take market outlook and what she's observing across 14 00:00:44,880 --> 00:00:54,160 Speaker 1: the industry. Hi, Jenny, thank you for joining. Hello Diana, 15 00:00:54,200 --> 00:00:57,240 Speaker 1: Hello everyone. Well you're back here today, and I don't 16 00:00:57,240 --> 00:00:59,160 Speaker 1: think I asked this question last time, so I'm gonna 17 00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:01,640 Speaker 1: ask it as the first question as we start today, 18 00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:04,640 Speaker 1: which is how long is it that you've been covering 19 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:08,880 Speaker 1: the solar industry. It's been seventeen years, okay, so you've 20 00:01:08,920 --> 00:01:10,400 Speaker 1: got a good amount of time under your belt in 21 00:01:10,400 --> 00:01:12,560 Speaker 1: a good amount of perspective on some of the highs 22 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:14,840 Speaker 1: and lows. And so I'm actually going to quote you 23 00:01:15,240 --> 00:01:18,000 Speaker 1: back to yourself as we start this show today. So 24 00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 1: I took a look at the PV market outlook you 25 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:23,039 Speaker 1: that you did for the third four two, you and 26 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:25,600 Speaker 1: your team, and you say in this report that and 27 00:01:25,720 --> 00:01:28,640 Speaker 1: they quote the future of solar is more uncertain than 28 00:01:28,680 --> 00:01:32,040 Speaker 1: ever and even in the present, the picture is one 29 00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:36,000 Speaker 1: of blurry but frantic growth. So I want to know 30 00:01:36,560 --> 00:01:39,200 Speaker 1: what do you mean by this? Oh, dear, Yeah, it 31 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:41,920 Speaker 1: sounds very pretentious when you put it like that. I 32 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:45,199 Speaker 1: mean I started covering this industry when there was about 33 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:48,960 Speaker 1: a gigawatts maybe two giga exactly being installed every year, 34 00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:50,600 Speaker 1: and this year we think there were two hundred and 35 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:54,000 Speaker 1: fifty one gigawatts being built. And as it's scaled up, 36 00:01:54,040 --> 00:01:57,320 Speaker 1: the number of countries during solar has expanded massively. So 37 00:01:57,320 --> 00:02:00,360 Speaker 1: there's there's now about a hundred and forty five currents 38 00:02:00,480 --> 00:02:03,200 Speaker 1: that we had to maintaining current statistics and forecast for, 39 00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:08,320 Speaker 1: and solar statistics are really hard. Dana countries very seldom 40 00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:12,359 Speaker 1: produced timely information on how much older was being installed. 41 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:13,840 Speaker 1: A lot of the time they don't even collect this 42 00:02:13,880 --> 00:02:16,720 Speaker 1: information if the solar is not grid connected, and so 43 00:02:16,919 --> 00:02:19,239 Speaker 1: all the data we have on build of solar is 44 00:02:19,280 --> 00:02:22,160 Speaker 1: quite backward looking, you know, at least six months backward looking, 45 00:02:22,480 --> 00:02:26,200 Speaker 1: except for Chinese exports, and China is exporting loads of 46 00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:29,280 Speaker 1: solar this year. We've got exports up up to July 47 00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:32,920 Speaker 1: and they're really high. Europe has about fifty three giggs 48 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:36,080 Speaker 1: what's left China for Europe up to July, and we 49 00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 1: were expecting the whole European market to be about this year. 50 00:02:39,200 --> 00:02:41,120 Speaker 1: So there's a whole load of models in Europe that 51 00:02:41,160 --> 00:02:44,000 Speaker 1: haven't been installed yet, and sometimes it's just really hard 52 00:02:44,040 --> 00:02:46,680 Speaker 1: to figure out what's going on. So the statistics are 53 00:02:46,760 --> 00:02:49,400 Speaker 1: largely unreliable. And as a result, how did that impact 54 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:52,640 Speaker 1: your forecast? We put a big buffer in because we 55 00:02:52,680 --> 00:02:54,919 Speaker 1: know the modules are going somewhere, and we've got this 56 00:02:55,120 --> 00:02:58,040 Speaker 1: lock called the buffer where if none of our regional 57 00:02:58,080 --> 00:03:00,560 Speaker 1: analysts identify where the modules are going, will leave a 58 00:03:00,600 --> 00:03:03,200 Speaker 1: little bit of headway because we know they're probably wrong, 59 00:03:03,280 --> 00:03:05,079 Speaker 1: and at least some of them will find all those 60 00:03:05,120 --> 00:03:08,760 Speaker 1: modules in their geographies and be shocked. So I think, 61 00:03:08,800 --> 00:03:11,240 Speaker 1: then let's talk about what's driving the higher costs. And 62 00:03:11,280 --> 00:03:14,080 Speaker 1: I know that inflation is this word that everybody is 63 00:03:14,400 --> 00:03:16,720 Speaker 1: mixing into pretty much every conversation right now, and I'm 64 00:03:16,760 --> 00:03:18,320 Speaker 1: guessing by the time we get to the end of 65 00:03:18,320 --> 00:03:20,520 Speaker 1: the year, it will be one of those words whereveryone's 66 00:03:20,560 --> 00:03:23,520 Speaker 1: just exhausted by it. But if we're thinking about what's 67 00:03:23,560 --> 00:03:27,720 Speaker 1: happening to solar modules, which have largely seen a decrease 68 00:03:27,760 --> 00:03:32,040 Speaker 1: in prices for various reasons associated with the different components, 69 00:03:32,400 --> 00:03:36,480 Speaker 1: what's causing maybe a short term increase in module prices 70 00:03:36,480 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 1: in the near term. So sol is a bit unusual 71 00:03:39,320 --> 00:03:42,360 Speaker 1: in the whole inflation baskets, and that we do expect 72 00:03:42,360 --> 00:03:45,560 Speaker 1: it to reverse quite drastically. Because you did say that, yeah, 73 00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:47,360 Speaker 1: you're saying that you think things are going to come 74 00:03:47,360 --> 00:03:50,680 Speaker 1: down by the end of three. I think solar module 75 00:03:50,680 --> 00:03:53,560 Speaker 1: prices are going to drop, probably start dropping by the 76 00:03:53,600 --> 00:03:57,000 Speaker 1: end of twenty two, because, first of all, solo modules 77 00:03:57,040 --> 00:03:59,600 Speaker 1: today cost about twenty six cents or what they were 78 00:03:59,600 --> 00:04:03,880 Speaker 1: at lower nineteen. So there's this very unusual situation where 79 00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:06,800 Speaker 1: even in nominal terms, they're higher than they used to be. 80 00:04:06,880 --> 00:04:09,400 Speaker 1: In real terms, it's actually about flat, but in nominal 81 00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:11,440 Speaker 1: terms they're more expensive than they used to be, and 82 00:04:11,480 --> 00:04:14,360 Speaker 1: that's not a common situation in solar. The prices have 83 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:18,080 Speaker 1: been dropping for thirty years, pretty rapidly and pretty steadily. However, 84 00:04:18,160 --> 00:04:20,480 Speaker 1: what's holding them up right now is a shortage of 85 00:04:20,480 --> 00:04:24,279 Speaker 1: polystylican Policylican factories are big and expensive and take time 86 00:04:24,279 --> 00:04:27,440 Speaker 1: to set up, and very simply global demand for solar 87 00:04:27,600 --> 00:04:31,080 Speaker 1: modules has driven demand for solo polysilicon to be well 88 00:04:31,120 --> 00:04:33,640 Speaker 1: ahead of how much is being produced. However, there's a 89 00:04:33,640 --> 00:04:36,240 Speaker 1: whole bunch of factories coming online in China to make 90 00:04:36,240 --> 00:04:39,279 Speaker 1: more polysilicon, and we also think there's probably some inventory 91 00:04:39,279 --> 00:04:42,320 Speaker 1: build up of modules around the world. So we're expecting 92 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:45,760 Speaker 1: the crisis to drop back towards about twenty two cents 93 00:04:45,800 --> 00:04:49,840 Speaker 1: from the current cents. Okay, so prices are coming down. 94 00:04:49,960 --> 00:04:52,160 Speaker 1: Prices are not coming down yet. To be fair, the 95 00:04:52,200 --> 00:04:54,719 Speaker 1: prices of modules could stay high for a long time, 96 00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 1: but that would mean an awful lot gets built next year, 97 00:04:57,360 --> 00:04:59,120 Speaker 1: because the only thing that I can see would drive 98 00:04:59,160 --> 00:05:01,760 Speaker 1: prices just I high all of next year would be 99 00:05:01,839 --> 00:05:05,720 Speaker 1: if we build more solar next year, which I don't 100 00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:09,240 Speaker 1: think we can. There were bottlenecks in installation labor in 101 00:05:09,520 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 1: what sites are ready to get permitted to get permission 102 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:15,440 Speaker 1: to build solder on and connect to the grid. And 103 00:05:15,480 --> 00:05:18,120 Speaker 1: there are also shortages of other components like inverters that 104 00:05:18,160 --> 00:05:21,320 Speaker 1: help things up well. And so let's talk about solar 105 00:05:21,360 --> 00:05:24,359 Speaker 1: industry growth because that's definitely something that a lot of 106 00:05:24,360 --> 00:05:26,440 Speaker 1: people are thinking about right now in terms of high 107 00:05:26,520 --> 00:05:29,360 Speaker 1: energy prices and you know, potentially countries looking at more 108 00:05:29,640 --> 00:05:33,039 Speaker 1: domestically produced energy. And I do understand, and I know 109 00:05:33,120 --> 00:05:36,680 Speaker 1: that listeners understand that natural gas and the volatility that 110 00:05:36,720 --> 00:05:39,800 Speaker 1: we're seeing on prices over there, and how important flexible 111 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:43,400 Speaker 1: capacity is to the solar industry. It's definitely one of 112 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:45,440 Speaker 1: the pieces to the puzzle that you have to see 113 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:48,719 Speaker 1: in the big picture when you're thinking about solar. But 114 00:05:48,960 --> 00:05:52,440 Speaker 1: largely do you see growth in this industry and roll 115 00:05:52,480 --> 00:05:55,520 Speaker 1: out and if so where kind of in response to 116 00:05:55,960 --> 00:05:59,000 Speaker 1: high energy prices? Absolutely. So. One of the biggest and 117 00:05:59,080 --> 00:06:02,839 Speaker 1: also most difficult the track sectors is rooftop solar in Europe, 118 00:06:03,080 --> 00:06:06,520 Speaker 1: so solar being built by house owners and business owners 119 00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:08,960 Speaker 1: literally just to feed into the building that they're on 120 00:06:09,120 --> 00:06:12,159 Speaker 1: and sometimes to feed into the grid if it's allowed. 121 00:06:12,440 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 1: So this is one of the said ones where the 122 00:06:14,040 --> 00:06:16,520 Speaker 1: data is poor nuts, but we're pretty sure from talking 123 00:06:16,520 --> 00:06:20,159 Speaker 1: to installers and a third party finance companies and other 124 00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:23,720 Speaker 1: sources that this is going gangbusters installers in Germany, so 125 00:06:23,760 --> 00:06:26,600 Speaker 1: that they're sold out until next well into next year, 126 00:06:26,839 --> 00:06:29,800 Speaker 1: simply because people are freaking out about their energy costs. 127 00:06:30,080 --> 00:06:32,000 Speaker 1: And one of the ways you can deal with that 128 00:06:32,240 --> 00:06:33,960 Speaker 1: is by putting a solo on your roof and buying 129 00:06:34,040 --> 00:06:38,160 Speaker 1: less elepricity, which is something because Germany were early adopters 130 00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:41,040 Speaker 1: with solar. I mean, they had a boom a decade 131 00:06:41,040 --> 00:06:43,200 Speaker 1: and a half ago. Germany has a lot of solo, 132 00:06:43,279 --> 00:06:45,080 Speaker 1: but it's still got some roofs that don't have solo 133 00:06:45,160 --> 00:06:48,280 Speaker 1: on it, so I guess they're getting it now, better 134 00:06:48,400 --> 00:06:52,320 Speaker 1: late than never. So solar could potentially help alleviate some 135 00:06:52,480 --> 00:06:55,960 Speaker 1: of this volatility. And you mentioned Germany, you also have 136 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:58,600 Speaker 1: other parts of the world, so let's say, namely China, 137 00:06:58,920 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 1: and you know in year, which even received a large 138 00:07:01,400 --> 00:07:04,839 Speaker 1: number of panels earlier this year, do you still see 139 00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:09,080 Speaker 1: build out of solar in Asia to the a booming 140 00:07:09,160 --> 00:07:12,200 Speaker 1: space in the future. Oh, definitely. So of the two 141 00:07:12,880 --> 00:07:17,880 Speaker 1: one gigawatts expect to be installed this year, about gigawats 142 00:07:17,920 --> 00:07:22,200 Speaker 1: of that is in China. China has also got high 143 00:07:22,280 --> 00:07:25,760 Speaker 1: energy prices, and it's also building large amounts of rooftop solar, 144 00:07:26,240 --> 00:07:28,920 Speaker 1: plus some of the mega energy bases being planned in 145 00:07:28,920 --> 00:07:32,600 Speaker 1: the desert under construction, and that's that's taking up a 146 00:07:32,640 --> 00:07:35,400 Speaker 1: lot of a lot of solar modules. India is a 147 00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:38,400 Speaker 1: little bit different because although the Indian market is much 148 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:41,560 Speaker 1: stronger this year than last year, the big reason there 149 00:07:41,640 --> 00:07:44,960 Speaker 1: was a massive import boom in India is at import 150 00:07:45,000 --> 00:07:48,040 Speaker 1: tariff coming in April, which meant that anyone planning to 151 00:07:48,080 --> 00:07:51,320 Speaker 1: build solar in India brought their modules before April. So 152 00:07:51,360 --> 00:07:53,600 Speaker 1: potentially this is going to drop off. Now, India is 153 00:07:53,640 --> 00:07:56,040 Speaker 1: one of the countries that still has a pretty high 154 00:07:56,080 --> 00:07:59,320 Speaker 1: dependence on what we would consider high carbon fuels, So 155 00:07:59,520 --> 00:08:03,480 Speaker 1: cool is you know, still definitely thriving in India. Do 156 00:08:03,520 --> 00:08:06,480 Speaker 1: you see solar you know you mentioned it kind of 157 00:08:06,600 --> 00:08:09,240 Speaker 1: dropped off because of a change in policy. Do you 158 00:08:09,320 --> 00:08:11,880 Speaker 1: see it just because of the low l c ELI 159 00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:16,120 Speaker 1: being of interest in that geography going forward or is 160 00:08:16,160 --> 00:08:19,720 Speaker 1: it going to cool? Absolutely, India will keep building solar. 161 00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:22,320 Speaker 1: It takes a while for solar to really start digging 162 00:08:22,320 --> 00:08:25,800 Speaker 1: into cold margins just because type changing any system takes 163 00:08:25,800 --> 00:08:29,680 Speaker 1: a while. But India the Indian solar market is unlikely 164 00:08:29,760 --> 00:08:32,720 Speaker 1: to cool. There are companies setting up manufacturing in India 165 00:08:32,760 --> 00:08:35,960 Speaker 1: and there was a government incentive to do so, and probably, 166 00:08:36,040 --> 00:08:38,320 Speaker 1: to be honest, even with a fully percent imports habiff, 167 00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:42,000 Speaker 1: it's still likely to be worse buying some modules for 168 00:08:42,080 --> 00:08:45,760 Speaker 1: rooftop use and they will continually big auctions that build 169 00:08:45,880 --> 00:08:49,160 Speaker 1: big projects on open land in India. The future of 170 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:52,360 Speaker 1: solo in India is bright despite the import tariffs. That's 171 00:08:52,400 --> 00:08:54,760 Speaker 1: a great pun too. I like all solar things being right, 172 00:08:54,800 --> 00:08:57,360 Speaker 1: I love it boom, you know. And actually we're going 173 00:08:57,360 --> 00:08:59,320 Speaker 1: to continue our trip around the world and one of 174 00:08:59,320 --> 00:09:01,280 Speaker 1: the other continent that I actually want to talk about 175 00:09:01,520 --> 00:09:04,200 Speaker 1: is Africa, and specifically in the run up to CAP 176 00:09:04,240 --> 00:09:07,360 Speaker 1: twenty seven, which is taking place in November, there's a 177 00:09:07,360 --> 00:09:11,400 Speaker 1: lot of discussion around alleviating energy poverty and the role 178 00:09:11,400 --> 00:09:14,560 Speaker 1: that renewables could actually play in some parts of the world, 179 00:09:14,760 --> 00:09:17,720 Speaker 1: and Africa definitely being one of them. Given that CAP 180 00:09:17,880 --> 00:09:20,520 Speaker 1: twenty seven is being hosted in Egypt, there's just a 181 00:09:20,559 --> 00:09:23,720 Speaker 1: lot of eyes on what renewable energy could look like 182 00:09:23,920 --> 00:09:26,520 Speaker 1: on that continent. How do you think solar is going 183 00:09:26,559 --> 00:09:29,760 Speaker 1: to play a role in Africa's energy future. In the 184 00:09:29,800 --> 00:09:33,040 Speaker 1: long term, it will play a huge role. It should 185 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:36,280 Speaker 1: be possible for many, many countries to leap flo over ever, 186 00:09:36,360 --> 00:09:38,640 Speaker 1: going through the coal and gas plant stage and go 187 00:09:38,800 --> 00:09:42,120 Speaker 1: straight to fairly distributed energy networks that are pallered largely 188 00:09:42,120 --> 00:09:45,560 Speaker 1: on renewables with battery backup. In the short term, things 189 00:09:45,559 --> 00:09:47,439 Speaker 1: are not quite so bright. A lot of the large 190 00:09:47,440 --> 00:09:52,760 Speaker 1: projects being built in Africa had power signed in and before, 191 00:09:53,040 --> 00:09:56,240 Speaker 1: and those were prices assuming that there wouldn't be inflation, 192 00:09:56,400 --> 00:09:58,880 Speaker 1: certainly not predicting the amount of inflation we've had, so 193 00:09:58,960 --> 00:10:01,520 Speaker 1: a lot of projects and stuff Africa, for example, and 194 00:10:01,600 --> 00:10:05,000 Speaker 1: other African countries essentially stalled by the fact that the 195 00:10:05,040 --> 00:10:07,120 Speaker 1: costs are much higher than they expected when they signed 196 00:10:07,120 --> 00:10:10,880 Speaker 1: power contracts. Just going back to the topic that we addressed, 197 00:10:10,920 --> 00:10:12,400 Speaker 1: you know, ok, I guess a couple of minutes ago 198 00:10:12,600 --> 00:10:16,960 Speaker 1: around the role that's older could potentially play in grading 199 00:10:17,040 --> 00:10:20,960 Speaker 1: domestically produced energy and alleviating some of the strain on 200 00:10:21,120 --> 00:10:26,040 Speaker 1: certain grids around price volatility. How long does it take 201 00:10:26,360 --> 00:10:29,200 Speaker 1: to get a project, let's not say rooftop solar, but 202 00:10:29,320 --> 00:10:32,959 Speaker 1: utility scale projects off the ground, let's say, from permitting 203 00:10:33,000 --> 00:10:35,600 Speaker 1: all the way through the you know, electricity going through 204 00:10:35,600 --> 00:10:38,520 Speaker 1: the power lines. Oh goodness. So the longest phase in 205 00:10:38,520 --> 00:10:41,320 Speaker 1: this is the permit is the permitting almost wherever you are, 206 00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:43,960 Speaker 1: the longest stage. We'll be getting the permitting and getting 207 00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:46,840 Speaker 1: access to the grid. Once you've done that, then actually 208 00:10:46,880 --> 00:10:50,400 Speaker 1: building it can be six weeks. Wow. But of course 209 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:53,240 Speaker 1: the permitting cans like a very very long time. Okay. So, 210 00:10:53,280 --> 00:10:55,760 Speaker 1: I mean this is definitely an issue of whether or 211 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:58,960 Speaker 1: not certain countries want to see these projects come online 212 00:10:59,200 --> 00:11:01,680 Speaker 1: quite quickly. And you know, the role that it could 213 00:11:01,679 --> 00:11:05,080 Speaker 1: play in prices in the near term actually has to 214 00:11:05,120 --> 00:11:08,280 Speaker 1: do with the logistics around the project rather than the 215 00:11:08,280 --> 00:11:11,160 Speaker 1: project billed itself. And that's including getting some of these 216 00:11:11,160 --> 00:11:14,199 Speaker 1: panels literally shipped from where they're manufactured to the site. 217 00:11:14,760 --> 00:11:17,440 Speaker 1: That's probably a bit ambitious at the moment. Six okay, actually, 218 00:11:18,520 --> 00:11:20,400 Speaker 1: I mean if they're going from China to Europe, that's 219 00:11:20,400 --> 00:11:23,280 Speaker 1: probably six weeks for starters. On the other hand, I'm 220 00:11:23,320 --> 00:11:26,040 Speaker 1: getting some emails offering me a container of modules or 221 00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:28,839 Speaker 1: two and what a dam So like, if we're willing 222 00:11:28,840 --> 00:11:32,120 Speaker 1: to use mixed modules, we can probably do it pretty quickly. Okay. 223 00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:35,839 Speaker 1: So I was recently reading that there were negative power 224 00:11:35,920 --> 00:11:39,360 Speaker 1: prices in certain parts of the US quite recently, and 225 00:11:39,559 --> 00:11:42,360 Speaker 1: you know, at a time when high energy prices that 226 00:11:42,520 --> 00:11:45,040 Speaker 1: we all end up seeing on our home energy bills, 227 00:11:45,040 --> 00:11:47,040 Speaker 1: and I know that you know companies are seeing as well. 228 00:11:47,160 --> 00:11:50,520 Speaker 1: Could you explain a little bit how you know grids 229 00:11:50,600 --> 00:11:54,320 Speaker 1: and grid rollout may end up being one of the bottlenecks, 230 00:11:54,320 --> 00:11:57,280 Speaker 1: maybe a very important one for the solar industry. I mean, 231 00:11:57,320 --> 00:11:59,440 Speaker 1: I know it's space that we at B and e 232 00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:03,280 Speaker 1: F have recently dedicated a team too, because we understand 233 00:12:03,360 --> 00:12:06,880 Speaker 1: just how critically important grid infrastructure is to the entire 234 00:12:07,000 --> 00:12:10,640 Speaker 1: web of renewables and you know, the energy system as 235 00:12:10,679 --> 00:12:14,319 Speaker 1: a whole. They certainly are. The thing about solar power 236 00:12:14,360 --> 00:12:16,640 Speaker 1: plants is that all the solar power plants in one 237 00:12:16,679 --> 00:12:20,080 Speaker 1: region generated power roughly the same time. And if you 238 00:12:20,200 --> 00:12:22,880 Speaker 1: have a lot of solar power plants in one small 239 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:26,120 Speaker 1: region connected to one bit of grid and there isn't 240 00:12:26,120 --> 00:12:30,480 Speaker 1: a large amount of local load that runs in the daytime, 241 00:12:30,720 --> 00:12:32,800 Speaker 1: you are quite like to get grid congestion, which just 242 00:12:32,880 --> 00:12:35,120 Speaker 1: means that not all the power being produced can go 243 00:12:35,160 --> 00:12:37,640 Speaker 1: down the grid and you can get zero prices or 244 00:12:37,679 --> 00:12:41,280 Speaker 1: even sometimes negative prices if there were some perverse local incentives, 245 00:12:41,679 --> 00:12:44,080 Speaker 1: which could be fixed either by maybe putting in a 246 00:12:44,080 --> 00:12:46,520 Speaker 1: battery to save some of that local power for later 247 00:12:46,600 --> 00:12:49,679 Speaker 1: when the solar production drops, or just by building morgrid. 248 00:12:50,120 --> 00:12:52,240 Speaker 1: In a lot of places, the battery is actually cheaper 249 00:12:52,280 --> 00:12:55,000 Speaker 1: and easier than solve the problem for now, but grids 250 00:12:55,000 --> 00:12:57,679 Speaker 1: are a huge part of the solution to take power 251 00:12:57,720 --> 00:12:59,880 Speaker 1: being generated in one place to another place where it's 252 00:12:59,880 --> 00:13:03,040 Speaker 1: more valuable. Now for a very short break, stay with us. 253 00:13:07,240 --> 00:13:10,240 Speaker 1: So in short, there are well, there's more than one 254 00:13:10,320 --> 00:13:13,880 Speaker 1: solution to the grid question. One of them definitely is batteries. 255 00:13:13,880 --> 00:13:16,720 Speaker 1: So we'll have to be very creative thinking about the 256 00:13:16,760 --> 00:13:19,480 Speaker 1: future and how all of this is interconnected. Well, and 257 00:13:19,520 --> 00:13:21,319 Speaker 1: while we're on the topic of the US, because that's 258 00:13:21,320 --> 00:13:23,200 Speaker 1: sort of the case study that I was using there 259 00:13:23,320 --> 00:13:26,040 Speaker 1: when we let into that topic, how about the Inflation 260 00:13:26,120 --> 00:13:29,440 Speaker 1: Reduction Act. And I know, you know, those who are 261 00:13:29,480 --> 00:13:31,800 Speaker 1: in the US at the moment are talking about this 262 00:13:31,920 --> 00:13:35,160 Speaker 1: a ton and what it means for various parts of 263 00:13:35,440 --> 00:13:37,680 Speaker 1: you know, the energy system. What does it mean for 264 00:13:37,760 --> 00:13:41,520 Speaker 1: solar I think it's super exciting. I very much regret 265 00:13:41,520 --> 00:13:44,000 Speaker 1: that we don't have a final this is what it 266 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:46,440 Speaker 1: means for solar demand number, But I think that we 267 00:13:46,480 --> 00:13:49,320 Speaker 1: will see some domestic manufacturing in the U s particularly 268 00:13:49,320 --> 00:13:52,160 Speaker 1: and got some way for US again, and it probably 269 00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:55,559 Speaker 1: should increase our forecast of US build because it's really 270 00:13:55,600 --> 00:13:58,160 Speaker 1: generous for solar. In fact, it's so generous for solo 271 00:13:58,240 --> 00:14:01,120 Speaker 1: that I'm slightly concerned it's gonna set up a lot 272 00:14:01,240 --> 00:14:04,439 Speaker 1: of perverse incentives over the next few years that might 273 00:14:04,559 --> 00:14:07,920 Speaker 1: lead to tweaks along the line that are somewhat disruptive 274 00:14:08,000 --> 00:14:11,360 Speaker 1: to the industry. Expand on that, what are they proverse incentives? 275 00:14:11,800 --> 00:14:13,520 Speaker 1: So as I understand that you'll be able to claim 276 00:14:13,520 --> 00:14:16,000 Speaker 1: the production tax credit for solar, which means that you 277 00:14:16,000 --> 00:14:18,280 Speaker 1: should be able to offer very very very low prices 278 00:14:18,360 --> 00:14:21,560 Speaker 1: for solar, and you'll probably get that regardless of whether 279 00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:23,480 Speaker 1: it's fed into the grid. So I feel like we 280 00:14:23,560 --> 00:14:26,520 Speaker 1: could just have an awful lot of solar plants built 281 00:14:26,800 --> 00:14:30,800 Speaker 1: in not super smart places and very quickly. Then again, 282 00:14:31,000 --> 00:14:33,280 Speaker 1: maybe they'll never get permission to build anything at all. 283 00:14:33,400 --> 00:14:35,320 Speaker 1: I mean in the US two there is there are 284 00:14:35,400 --> 00:14:37,680 Speaker 1: major bottlenecks. I've seen a lot of in the past. 285 00:14:38,120 --> 00:14:41,480 Speaker 1: Is huge solar booms like Spains, like Romanias, like the 286 00:14:41,520 --> 00:14:45,120 Speaker 1: Czech Republic, and those are very often followed by retroactive 287 00:14:45,280 --> 00:14:49,360 Speaker 1: changes that make it less attractive than originally anticipated. And 288 00:14:49,440 --> 00:14:53,440 Speaker 1: in the meantime you get developers who overpaid for rights 289 00:14:53,480 --> 00:14:56,400 Speaker 1: to build a project, and there's all kinds of mess 290 00:14:56,760 --> 00:15:00,600 Speaker 1: when you have very complex but very lucrative system. SOLO 291 00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:04,000 Speaker 1: is not complicated, it's actually quite simple. And when you 292 00:15:04,160 --> 00:15:07,200 Speaker 1: stack layers and layers of legal and tax, equity and 293 00:15:07,320 --> 00:15:10,920 Speaker 1: financing complications on top of that and pay all those people, 294 00:15:11,360 --> 00:15:14,280 Speaker 1: you can end up with a very expensive and somewhat 295 00:15:14,360 --> 00:15:17,080 Speaker 1: unsustainable industry. And what are some of the things that 296 00:15:17,240 --> 00:15:21,400 Speaker 1: people are objecting to solar roll out about? Because I'm 297 00:15:21,440 --> 00:15:24,320 Speaker 1: thinking is a parallel. We recently recorded a show on 298 00:15:24,640 --> 00:15:27,920 Speaker 1: nuclear with our colleague Christodomsey, who's been covering that space 299 00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:30,960 Speaker 1: for an extraordinarily long time, and you know, he talked 300 00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:34,480 Speaker 1: about just the amount of run up that it takes 301 00:15:34,560 --> 00:15:37,280 Speaker 1: the just like you were saying, it's that permitting process 302 00:15:37,360 --> 00:15:41,000 Speaker 1: at the beginning that is critically important but adds to 303 00:15:41,360 --> 00:15:43,920 Speaker 1: the timeline. And then even with wind, you know there 304 00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:46,520 Speaker 1: are those groups talking about, well what about the birds? 305 00:15:46,640 --> 00:15:49,560 Speaker 1: What is the thing that is that sticking point for 306 00:15:50,280 --> 00:15:54,960 Speaker 1: solar that causes us opposition? Generally everyone of solo right, 307 00:15:55,200 --> 00:15:58,560 Speaker 1: I mean, does obviously killed birds. It's not going to 308 00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:00,760 Speaker 1: say it killed no birds because okay, there are some 309 00:16:00,920 --> 00:16:04,120 Speaker 1: types of waterfowl that can mistake solar panels for water 310 00:16:04,440 --> 00:16:08,040 Speaker 1: with disastrous results in the desert. But natural selection has 311 00:16:08,080 --> 00:16:10,920 Speaker 1: to do something right. So generally speaking, solo you can't 312 00:16:10,920 --> 00:16:13,160 Speaker 1: see it from a long way off, but it does 313 00:16:13,280 --> 00:16:15,640 Speaker 1: cover land that could be used for other things. So 314 00:16:15,920 --> 00:16:18,320 Speaker 1: a lot of US development is on Bureau of Land 315 00:16:18,360 --> 00:16:21,600 Speaker 1: Management lands in the US, which is is desert that 316 00:16:21,760 --> 00:16:24,680 Speaker 1: has been preserved because it has ecological value, and it's 317 00:16:24,720 --> 00:16:26,880 Speaker 1: probably not right to just say go and build solo 318 00:16:26,920 --> 00:16:28,800 Speaker 1: all over these places. You know, you have to protect 319 00:16:28,800 --> 00:16:31,320 Speaker 1: the desert tortoise and the other species that live there, 320 00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:34,560 Speaker 1: and you do have to do some basic research. On 321 00:16:34,600 --> 00:16:36,560 Speaker 1: the other time, there's quite a lot of this land, 322 00:16:36,680 --> 00:16:40,720 Speaker 1: so maybe some of it is not critically important, and 323 00:16:41,080 --> 00:16:42,920 Speaker 1: you can build solo on some of it and preserve 324 00:16:43,000 --> 00:16:46,720 Speaker 1: the rest. Solo versus agriculture is another big talking point 325 00:16:46,800 --> 00:16:48,920 Speaker 1: that I think it's probably more talking point than a 326 00:16:49,440 --> 00:16:52,600 Speaker 1: real conflict right now. It's certainly been a feature of 327 00:16:52,680 --> 00:16:56,400 Speaker 1: the UK recent leadership elections. I don't know why, because 328 00:16:56,520 --> 00:16:58,960 Speaker 1: very little of the UK. Agricultural land is used for 329 00:16:59,000 --> 00:17:02,040 Speaker 1: solar anyway, and there's not a massive boom and solar 330 00:17:02,120 --> 00:17:04,359 Speaker 1: even planned in the UK, but people are concerned about 331 00:17:04,520 --> 00:17:07,600 Speaker 1: food versus fuel issues in the long run and making 332 00:17:07,680 --> 00:17:11,080 Speaker 1: up solutions such as agricavoltaics, which will be combining solar 333 00:17:11,119 --> 00:17:14,560 Speaker 1: panels with agriculture on the same land, which sometimes probably 334 00:17:14,600 --> 00:17:17,720 Speaker 1: makes sense but probably also sometimes not. There are some 335 00:17:17,840 --> 00:17:21,520 Speaker 1: crops that flourish undercover, some ways of tending those crops 336 00:17:21,600 --> 00:17:24,199 Speaker 1: that can work under solar panels. My suspecials were going 337 00:17:24,240 --> 00:17:25,960 Speaker 1: to find a lot of ways that don't work, but 338 00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:29,000 Speaker 1: there probably are something to okay, So the land use 339 00:17:29,119 --> 00:17:31,680 Speaker 1: question and ends up coming to the floor. By the way, 340 00:17:31,720 --> 00:17:34,679 Speaker 1: I love the quote that everyone loves solar, I mean, 341 00:17:34,800 --> 00:17:37,920 Speaker 1: Jenny Chase. For those who know you well and I 342 00:17:38,040 --> 00:17:40,880 Speaker 1: think it worked with you for a while, they will 343 00:17:40,920 --> 00:17:44,560 Speaker 1: know that you are quite pragmatic about the industry. You're 344 00:17:44,600 --> 00:17:47,480 Speaker 1: not known for putting any sort of sunshine in roses 345 00:17:47,520 --> 00:17:50,000 Speaker 1: where they don't belong on anything. So this is by 346 00:17:50,080 --> 00:17:53,600 Speaker 1: far one of the most optimistic on solar rollout conversations 347 00:17:53,640 --> 00:17:55,440 Speaker 1: I think I've ever had with you. So it really 348 00:17:55,480 --> 00:17:59,440 Speaker 1: says something so everyone take take Jenny's optimism. Maybe optimism 349 00:17:59,520 --> 00:18:02,400 Speaker 1: is not even the word. Maybe you're still equally as pragmatic, 350 00:18:02,480 --> 00:18:04,359 Speaker 1: and this is just what is happening. I think that 351 00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:06,680 Speaker 1: is the point that I was trying to make. Yeah, 352 00:18:06,760 --> 00:18:10,480 Speaker 1: I don't love solar. I hate solar years you would 353 00:18:10,520 --> 00:18:13,359 Speaker 1: too if you had. Okay, well, let's talk about the 354 00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:16,359 Speaker 1: companies that are involved in this space at the moment, 355 00:18:16,480 --> 00:18:18,480 Speaker 1: because you know some of the things that you're talking 356 00:18:18,560 --> 00:18:23,359 Speaker 1: about in including domestic manufacturer of solar in the US, 357 00:18:23,720 --> 00:18:27,480 Speaker 1: or build out of different projects in India, or even 358 00:18:27,680 --> 00:18:30,280 Speaker 1: just the you know, massive scale that we see growing 359 00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:33,800 Speaker 1: in China in already robust market. What are some of 360 00:18:33,840 --> 00:18:37,119 Speaker 1: the companies to watch as you see it at the moment. Oh, 361 00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:39,199 Speaker 1: they're there are hundreds of them. I think a big 362 00:18:39,280 --> 00:18:41,800 Speaker 1: beneficiary of the i m A will be First Solar, 363 00:18:42,119 --> 00:18:46,040 Speaker 1: the world's last remaining thin film manufacturer of any significance, 364 00:18:46,520 --> 00:18:48,560 Speaker 1: which does manufacture in the U s. And it's also 365 00:18:48,960 --> 00:18:51,320 Speaker 1: from its fact threes outside the US is not subject 366 00:18:51,480 --> 00:18:54,399 Speaker 1: to restrictions in future, and there is the risk that 367 00:18:54,520 --> 00:18:57,919 Speaker 1: the US will reinstate restrictions on sales and models from 368 00:18:57,960 --> 00:19:00,280 Speaker 1: Southeast Asia coming into the US, which will make everything 369 00:19:00,320 --> 00:19:02,600 Speaker 1: more complicated in a year and a half or so. 370 00:19:03,040 --> 00:19:06,760 Speaker 1: There's always the big Chinese manufacturers. So long aging go 371 00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:10,920 Speaker 1: j A Solar, Torna Solar, Canadian solar handword. Solar is 372 00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:14,520 Speaker 1: working with US silicon maker. Are we see silicon to 373 00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:17,879 Speaker 1: bring back some of the old silicon factories in the US. 374 00:19:17,960 --> 00:19:21,159 Speaker 1: That's one to watch. The developers. Every country has its 375 00:19:21,200 --> 00:19:24,840 Speaker 1: own phalanx of solar developers that are looking to get 376 00:19:24,920 --> 00:19:28,119 Speaker 1: permits and and get grid connections, and those will probably 377 00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:31,640 Speaker 1: just benefit from the expanding market, particularly advices dropped for modules, 378 00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:33,880 Speaker 1: which will give them a little bit more margin. Yeah, 379 00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:37,240 Speaker 1: there are lots of solar companies. Alright, let's look under 380 00:19:37,280 --> 00:19:38,800 Speaker 1: the third a little bit, and let's go really d 381 00:19:38,920 --> 00:19:42,640 Speaker 1: by one specific part of the data world, and something 382 00:19:42,720 --> 00:19:45,680 Speaker 1: you don't normally spell out in a market outlook is 383 00:19:45,880 --> 00:19:49,679 Speaker 1: kind of an explanation of a specific piece of methodology, 384 00:19:49,800 --> 00:19:51,200 Speaker 1: kind of in the meat of it. In this case, 385 00:19:51,320 --> 00:19:53,879 Speaker 1: it was the Altmands score, which is something I had 386 00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:56,320 Speaker 1: not heard of, but I know many of our clients 387 00:19:56,359 --> 00:19:59,120 Speaker 1: in the solar industry. You're definitely asking for detail. Line, 388 00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:02,560 Speaker 1: can you lane with the altman Z scorers? End? Why 389 00:20:03,000 --> 00:20:05,320 Speaker 1: the solar industry watches it, so I should have looked 390 00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:08,760 Speaker 1: exactly who Altman was and when he did his research. 391 00:20:09,119 --> 00:20:12,960 Speaker 1: But Altman was an economist and he produced some academic 392 00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:17,879 Speaker 1: research while ago of manufacturing companies and manufacturing companies he 393 00:20:18,040 --> 00:20:21,280 Speaker 1: found you could predict their publicity of bankruptcy by looking 394 00:20:21,520 --> 00:20:25,119 Speaker 1: at some fairly standard financial ratios that are disclosed by 395 00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:28,320 Speaker 1: public companies on stock markets. And this looks at their 396 00:20:28,640 --> 00:20:33,040 Speaker 1: their assets, their liquid reserves, their market information basically about 397 00:20:33,080 --> 00:20:35,600 Speaker 1: how well they're performing related to their debt. And he 398 00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:39,080 Speaker 1: found that an Altman zed score above one point eight 399 00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:41,920 Speaker 1: meant a manufacturing company was fairly unlike to go bankrupt 400 00:20:42,000 --> 00:20:44,359 Speaker 1: in the next two years, whereas below one point eight 401 00:20:44,400 --> 00:20:47,240 Speaker 1: there was actually a pretty reasonable risk, and solar companies 402 00:20:47,280 --> 00:20:50,560 Speaker 1: go bankrupt all the time. Historically. This chart of Altman's 403 00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:53,240 Speaker 1: scores has a lot of companies below one point eight 404 00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:55,880 Speaker 1: in it, and it still has a few. They didn't 405 00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:58,320 Speaker 1: all go bankrupt. I mean, being below one point eight 406 00:20:58,560 --> 00:21:01,760 Speaker 1: is a risk of bankruptcy, it's certainty. What we've seen 407 00:21:01,760 --> 00:21:03,920 Speaker 1: in the last year is pretty good profits for the 408 00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:08,280 Speaker 1: solar industry, particularly for polsilicon makers and glassmakers, and some 409 00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:11,119 Speaker 1: of the big manufacturers, and so a lot of these 410 00:21:11,160 --> 00:21:14,080 Speaker 1: companies have moved into quite positive helpment c schools, which 411 00:21:14,080 --> 00:21:21,080 Speaker 1: suggests their fairly good financial health. So Daco, Shine, Longi, Tongwei, Almonton, 412 00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:24,600 Speaker 1: First Solar, basically this has improved a bit and most 413 00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:27,280 Speaker 1: of the companies are in decent financial health, which is 414 00:21:27,359 --> 00:21:31,200 Speaker 1: unusual for solar manufacturers. You're mentioning it's a super fragmented market, 415 00:21:31,280 --> 00:21:34,600 Speaker 1: maybe a reasonably low barrier to entry. I do identify 416 00:21:34,640 --> 00:21:36,800 Speaker 1: a bunch of those in this research note and kind 417 00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:42,080 Speaker 1: of throw companies and names of specific projects out there 418 00:21:42,480 --> 00:21:45,240 Speaker 1: that you know definitely are kind of taking off. So 419 00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:48,080 Speaker 1: we have some visibility on what's happening in the nearer term. 420 00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:52,840 Speaker 1: You mentioned thin film solar, So I think the question 421 00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:54,440 Speaker 1: that I want to get to, and I think maybe 422 00:21:54,520 --> 00:21:57,040 Speaker 1: could even be its own podcast, what's in the world 423 00:21:57,280 --> 00:21:59,960 Speaker 1: of weird and wonderful tech that's happening in the sol 424 00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:03,240 Speaker 1: their space, Because of course we know over a benaff 425 00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:06,280 Speaker 1: that the utility grade projects and then of course the 426 00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:09,920 Speaker 1: rooftop solar projects are where most of the you know, 427 00:22:10,000 --> 00:22:13,040 Speaker 1: new installed capacity is coming from. But what about the 428 00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:15,320 Speaker 1: solar roof tiles that people were talking about there for 429 00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:17,359 Speaker 1: a bit, or the thin film solar or the solar 430 00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:20,440 Speaker 1: that ends up going on. You know your windows, what's 431 00:22:20,480 --> 00:22:23,199 Speaker 1: in the weird and wonderful category that you are watching. 432 00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:28,000 Speaker 1: You can't see me rolling my eyes, Diana. The whole 433 00:22:28,080 --> 00:22:31,320 Speaker 1: point of solar is it's not weird and wonderful, it's 434 00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:35,199 Speaker 1: just normal. You buy solar panels, you probably don't need 435 00:22:35,240 --> 00:22:37,240 Speaker 1: to think too much about what sort of solar panels 436 00:22:37,280 --> 00:22:39,919 Speaker 1: they are, and you put them somewhere which vaguely faces 437 00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:43,720 Speaker 1: the sun. Yes, there were there were gimmicks like solar 438 00:22:43,800 --> 00:22:47,040 Speaker 1: roof tiles and solar blinds, and some people will even 439 00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:49,439 Speaker 1: buy them. In the past, when you see a thin 440 00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:52,560 Speaker 1: film company saying that they're going to pivot to bespoke 441 00:22:53,240 --> 00:22:56,600 Speaker 1: solutions like that, you know they're about to go bankrupt, 442 00:22:57,119 --> 00:22:59,920 Speaker 1: because that's the last pretense that the product is actually good. 443 00:23:00,480 --> 00:23:02,480 Speaker 1: They're just going to go for, Oh, we're not good, 444 00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:05,400 Speaker 1: We're just going to be pretty. A good solo module 445 00:23:05,440 --> 00:23:09,960 Speaker 1: generates electricity. What it looks like is relatively unimportant, but hey, 446 00:23:10,520 --> 00:23:13,640 Speaker 1: there are people who will pay extra for special black 447 00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:16,840 Speaker 1: modules with a black frame, and probably also for solar 448 00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:19,879 Speaker 1: blinds and solar roof tiles and if they want to, 449 00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:22,159 Speaker 1: they should go right ahead. But the point of a 450 00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:25,040 Speaker 1: solar model is a blue electricity, so it is deeply 451 00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:28,680 Speaker 1: a function over fashion moment, and Jenny, I could feel 452 00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:31,040 Speaker 1: you rolling your eyes, so even if I couldn't see it, 453 00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:33,359 Speaker 1: I could feel it. On that note, thank you very 454 00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:35,960 Speaker 1: much for joining us on the show today, and we 455 00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:39,359 Speaker 1: will have you back to do something more detailed on 456 00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:41,080 Speaker 1: the solar industry. But it was high time that we 457 00:23:41,200 --> 00:23:42,680 Speaker 1: had you on the show to just suit a crash 458 00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:46,120 Speaker 1: course on what is happening at the moment given all 459 00:23:46,200 --> 00:23:49,600 Speaker 1: of the discussion across the interconnected web of the energy 460 00:23:49,640 --> 00:23:52,159 Speaker 1: industry and what's happening with price volatility. So thank you 461 00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:59,800 Speaker 1: for joining us. Thank you, Dana. Today's episode of s 462 00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:02,840 Speaker 1: sched On was edited by Rex Warner of gray Stoke Media. 463 00:24:02,920 --> 00:24:05,200 Speaker 1: Bloomberg an f A is a service provided by Bloomberg 464 00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:08,600 Speaker 1: Finance LP and its affiliates. This recording does not constitute, 465 00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:11,800 Speaker 1: nor should it be construed as investment advice, investment recommendations, 466 00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:15,040 Speaker 1: or recommendation as to an investment or other strategy. Bloomberg 467 00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:17,400 Speaker 1: an e F should not be considered as information sufficient 468 00:24:17,480 --> 00:24:20,679 Speaker 1: upon which to base an investment decision. 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