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Speaker 2: see dkang dot co slash audio. All right, welcome to

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Speaker 2: hoo'son I here at the volume heavy Friday. Everybody. Hope

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Speaker 2: all of you guys are having a great end to

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Speaker 2: your week. Just a quick show today, we're gonna be

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Speaker 2: doing a brief series preview on the second round in

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Speaker 2: the Eastern Conference between the Boston Celtics and the New

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Speaker 2: York Knicks. We're gonna be talking about why Boston has

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Speaker 2: dominated this matchup throughout the year, why Boston is such

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Speaker 2: a substantial favorite, and what it looks like the tiny

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Speaker 2: little pathway in which the Knicks can make this into

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Speaker 2: a more competitive series. You guys know the joke before

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Speaker 2: we get started. Subscribe to Hoops Tonight YouTube channels. You

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Speaker 2: don't miss any more of our videos. Follow me on Twitter,

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Speaker 2: underscore JCNLT so you guys don't miss you announcements. Don't

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Speaker 2: doing great work on our social media feeds, Twitter, Instagram,

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Speaker 2: and Facebook. Make sure you guys follow us there. Last

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Speaker 2: not at least keepdropping mail back questions in the YouTube

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Speaker 2: comments and can keep geting to them throughout the remainder

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Speaker 2: of the postseason. All right, let's talk some basketball. So

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Speaker 2: the season series went four to oh to Boston. They

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Speaker 2: logged a one thirty offensive rating in the four games,

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Speaker 2: combined a one to thirteen defensive rating, So for those

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Speaker 2: of you doing the math at home, that's plus seventeen

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Speaker 2: points per one hundred possessions through four games. The Celtics

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Speaker 2: are also grabbing fifty two percent of available rebounds, so

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Speaker 2: they're winning on the glass in those matchups as well.

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Speaker 2: A couple of little bits of interesting lineup data. The

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Speaker 2: Celtics starters meaning Holiday in White, Tatum, and Brown with

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Speaker 2: Porzingis are plus fourteen net in thirty one minute the season.

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Speaker 2: In this matchup and with Horford instead of Porzingis their

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Speaker 2: plus forty two net in seventeen minutes with a one

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Speaker 2: sixty three offensive rating with that group. I also kind

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Speaker 2: of liked the idea. We talked a little bit about

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Speaker 2: this last night and we're going to talk about it today.

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Speaker 2: But there's a little bit more of a comfortable It's

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Speaker 2: Jalen Brunson, in particular, in his ball screen attack, is

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Speaker 2: more comfortable going against Porzingis than he is going against Horford,

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Speaker 2: which is a little bit of an interesting piece that

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Speaker 2: I think is reflected in that data as well. The

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Speaker 2: Knicks starters. So this is Karl Anthony Towns with Jalen Brunson,

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Speaker 2: with Josh Hart, McHale Bridges and og And and Obi

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Speaker 2: in sixty five minutes against the Celtics this year, minus

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Speaker 2: twenty one points per one hundred possessions, the Knick starters

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Speaker 2: have gotten just cleanly beat in this matchup. In the

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Speaker 2: regular season. The closest thing to an encouraging result for

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Speaker 2: the Knicks was their last matchup on April eighth, towards

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Speaker 2: the end of the season, a game where the Knicks

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Speaker 2: figured some stuff out. Ultimately, the Celtics were able to

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Speaker 2: send that game to overtime with the Tatum step back

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Speaker 2: three over og And and Obi at the top of the

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Speaker 2: key and a Chrisops Porzingis pick and pop three, a

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Speaker 2: pretty well contested one that was about twenty eight feet

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Speaker 2: away from the rim. So I don't want to call it,

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Speaker 2: you know, an easy shot, but an opening that exists

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Speaker 2: in their baseline coverage with Karl Anthony Towns on porzingis

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Speaker 2: a pick and pop at the top of the key

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Speaker 2: ended up ending that game. So we'll talk about what

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Speaker 2: was encouraging here in a minute, but the point is

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Speaker 2: there isn't much in the way of regular season info

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Speaker 2: that would lead us to believe the Knicks have much

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Speaker 2: of a chance here, and it reflects in the odds. Again,

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Speaker 2: all of our odds are provided by DraftKings. DraftKings has

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Speaker 2: the Celtics as a minus eight hundred favorite to win

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Speaker 2: the series. You'd have to bet eight hundred dollars to

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Speaker 2: win one hundred if the Celtics won the series. That's

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Speaker 2: pretty substantial for perspective. The Knicks were only about a

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Speaker 2: minus four hundred favorite to beat the Pistons before the

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Speaker 2: series started, for example. So, just like we usually do,

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Speaker 2: we're going to talk about the Celtics on offense, and

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Speaker 2: then we'll talk about the Nicks on offense before we

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Speaker 2: get into our pick at the tail end of the show.

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Speaker 2: So with the Celtics on offense. The Knicks in their

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Speaker 2: last game against Boston went with these matchups. They wanted

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Speaker 2: to match up strength a little bit more on Jaln Brown,

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Speaker 2: so they went with Josh Hart on Jalen Brown, o

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Speaker 2: j Anobi on Jason Tatum, Karl Anthony Towns on Chrisops Porzingis,

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Speaker 2: Jalen Brunson and Drew Holliday, and Mikhale Bridges on Derek White.

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Speaker 2: In terms of their scheme, we talked a little bit

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Speaker 2: about this idea of peel switching last night. The only

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Speaker 2: real thing that you need to understand in order to

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Speaker 2: get the idea of how pel switching works differently from

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Speaker 2: a regular switch is it's like it's more like a

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Speaker 2: traditional coverage in the sense that you're temporarily putting two

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Speaker 2: on the ball. But instead of imagine a pick and

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Speaker 2: pop with Porzingis slipping out of the action, instead of

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Speaker 2: asking Carl Towns to bail on that ball screen action

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Speaker 2: and close out to Porzingis, you're asking the guy on

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Speaker 2: the ball to bail out and close out tops Porzingis.

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Speaker 2: So couple things. It applies token back pressure. So by

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Speaker 2: keeping that two on the ball temporarily you can speed

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Speaker 2: up the ball handler and force him to make a

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Speaker 2: decision quicker rather than processing you in a way that

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Speaker 2: is more comfortable for him. And then two, very simply put,

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Speaker 2: your on ball defender is probably going to be faster.

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Speaker 2: So like, if it's McHale Bridges on Derek White, he's

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Speaker 2: going to be able to close out to Porzingis faster.

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Speaker 2: If it's og and Andobi on Jason Tatum, he's going

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Speaker 2: to be able to close out to Porzingis faster or

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Speaker 2: Horford faster. Whereas if you ask Kat to close that ground,

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Speaker 2: it's just a lot for him to ask. And it

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Speaker 2: also is a lot in terms of just energy expended

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Speaker 2: throughout the series to have Brunson and Kat throwing these

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Speaker 2: crazy closeouts throughout the series. And so that's the main

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Speaker 2: thing that you'll see in the early part of this

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Speaker 2: series is in pick and pop action. In particular, the

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Speaker 2: Knicks will ask the on ball defender to basically rotate back,

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Speaker 2: which essentially functions as a switch and so if their

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Speaker 2: closeouts are sharp there, it does expose them to the

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Speaker 2: switch hunting that you could see. So for instance, now

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Speaker 2: Derek White has Carl Towns on him, Jason Tatum has

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Speaker 2: Carl Towns on him, and those will be situations where

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Speaker 2: they'll look where they will look to attack. And then

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Speaker 2: with by the way we're gonna we're gonna talk a

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Speaker 2: little bit about way the ways that Boston can look

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Speaker 2: to specifically attack those peel switches here in a minute.

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Speaker 2: But the other piece of it is when they look

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Speaker 2: to attack Brunson, he's still looking for that classic hedge

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Speaker 2: and recover that he's been using against basically everybody in

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Speaker 2: the league. Essentially, Brunson, when his man comes in sets

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Speaker 2: the screen, he's going to hedge out to stop the

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Speaker 2: ball handler from turning the corner, preferably force him to

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Speaker 2: take a retreat, dribble or something away from the basket.

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Speaker 2: Then he'll recover as the on ball guy ducks underneath

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Speaker 2: and meets him on the other side of the screen.

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Speaker 2: You can force the switch there by just rescreening a

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Speaker 2: few times, and the Celtics had some success there where

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Speaker 2: like they'll call for a ball screen, Brunson will hedge,

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Speaker 2: the guy will come off, and they'll just rescreen, rescreen,

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Speaker 2: rescreen until Brunson inevitably has to switch because the guy

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Speaker 2: slips out of it pretty well and forces the Knicks

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Speaker 2: to react in that way the way that Boston will

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Speaker 2: look to attack. In those actions, specifically against the Peel Switches,

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Speaker 2: what worked pretty well was one creating more distance between

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Speaker 2: the ball handler and the popper. What that means is

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Speaker 2: if you'd imagine this guy's Tatum, this guy's Porzingis. Instead

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Speaker 2: of like creating just a tiny bit of separation in

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Speaker 2: the action, Porzingis needs to really cover ground on his

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Speaker 2: slip and Tatum needs to really drag out the action

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Speaker 2: with that initial dribble that creates a longer close out.

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Speaker 2: The longer the closeout is, the more likely it is

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Speaker 2: that the Knicks will bail and actually rotate from the

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Speaker 2: weak side. As soon as they rotate from the weak side,

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Speaker 2: now the skip passes wide open or the extra passes

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Speaker 2: wide open, and you're in rotation. And as we're going

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Speaker 2: to talk about, rotation is going to be death for

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Speaker 2: the Knicks against the Celtics in this series. The second

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Speaker 2: thing I noticed on film that seemed to work against

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Speaker 2: the Peel Switches, and we saw a good example of

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Speaker 2: this in crunch time of their last game, was just

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Speaker 2: having Porzingis roll so like obviously the natural inclination for

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Speaker 2: this Celtics team when they're running those ball screens with

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Speaker 2: Horford and Porzingis is to have them pop and they

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Speaker 2: primarily will use the dunker spot as like a spacing mechanism,

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Speaker 2: using like a guard or something like that when they're

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Speaker 2: attacking matchups, and they'll have the bigs primarily operate picking

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Speaker 2: and popping or spacing the floor behind the three point line. Right. Well,

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Speaker 2: if you have Porzingis roll, now you can imagine how

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Speaker 2: the peel switch is impossible. Right. So, Like, let's say

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Speaker 2: og and Andobi's guarding Tatum and Kat is guarding Porzingis,

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Speaker 2: and Kat gets involved in the screen as Porzingi sets

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Speaker 2: the screen and instead of popping, Porzingis rolls to the rim. Now,

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Speaker 2: as that guy is chasing over the top, the on

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Speaker 2: ball guy og and Obi chasing over the top, there's

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Speaker 2: no way for him to recover in time to a

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Speaker 2: rolling big, whereas with a pick and pop big he

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Speaker 2: might be able to throw really hard clothes out and

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Speaker 2: chase him off the line. Right. So, like they ended

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Speaker 2: up getting a really good look out of that in

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Speaker 2: crunch time of their last game, hitting poor Zingis in

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Speaker 2: the pocket as they came off of that action. The

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Speaker 2: other ways that I wanted to look at in terms

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Speaker 2: of ways that Boston will attack in the half court

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Speaker 2: won straight post steps of Brunson with Drew Holiday. They

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Speaker 2: went to this early in the last game. Again, Brunston's

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Speaker 2: got to hide somewhere in a traditional one on one matchup,

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Speaker 2: and they're hiding him on Drew Holiday. The specific reason

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Speaker 2: there being Derek White is a better movement shooter. So

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Speaker 2: one of the easiest ways to attack a hedge and

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Speaker 2: recover is to have the guard setting the screen, get

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Speaker 2: out of the action quickly pitch it back to him

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Speaker 2: while his defender is hedging. There's an opportunity for a three,

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Speaker 2: but it's usually sprinting into a three while having to

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Speaker 2: get your feet set on the move, and Derek White's

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Speaker 2: just better at that than Drew Holliday. So by putting

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Speaker 2: Brunson on Drew Holiday, you're a little less exposed to

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Speaker 2: him slipping out of screens and taking threes. But the

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Speaker 2: Celtics still look to attack that by having Drew Holiday

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Speaker 2: drive those closeouts, and there are lots of examples of

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Speaker 2: the Celtics getting good stuff out of Drew driving past

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Speaker 2: Jalen Brunson, but they will also just dribble the ball

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Speaker 2: off the floor and give the ball to Drew and

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Speaker 2: be like, Okay, go to work, and he'll just attack

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Speaker 2: Jalen Brunson on an island and they'll get stuff out

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Speaker 2: of that. They got really good stuff out of off

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Speaker 2: ball action involving both Brunson and Cat. So you can

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Speaker 2: imagine a scenario where you have you know, Jylen Brown

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Speaker 2: and Derek White and Jason Tatum kind of like in

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Speaker 2: five out spacing on the right side of the floor

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Speaker 2: where it's like, you know, Tatum's at the top of key,

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Speaker 2: Derek White's on the wing, Jaylen Brown's on the corner,

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Speaker 2: and they'll have Tatum with the ball up top and

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Speaker 2: they'll just literally have Carl Anthony Towns. They'll have him.

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Speaker 2: They'll have Porzingis come off of a screen where where

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Speaker 2: Drew Holliday will screen down on Carl Anthony Towns and

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Speaker 2: Carl Towns will chase Porzingis over the top and Brunson

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Speaker 2: will have to help and they'll just put two on

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Speaker 2: the ball against Porzingis and they'll just pitch it over

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Speaker 2: to Drew Holliday and he's wide open and he'll drive,

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Speaker 2: essentially looking to attack the knicks two worst defenders in action.

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Speaker 2: They got a wide open three for Derek White out

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Speaker 2: of an action like that in their mouth in their

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Speaker 2: last matchup. Jalen Brown also seems to like the Josh

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Speaker 2: Hart matchup for whatever reason. I think he just likes

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Speaker 2: the size and strength advantage that he has there, even

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Speaker 2: though Josh Hart's a pretty big and strong dude. But

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Speaker 2: they will go straight at Josh Hart in ISO and

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Speaker 2: post up situations with Jalen Brown the keys for both teams.

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Speaker 2: For the Celtics, it's really it's really as simple. This

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Speaker 2: is the dynamic of the series. For the Celtics, it's

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Speaker 2: about getting the Knicks in rotation and for the Knicks

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Speaker 2: about keeping themselves out of rotation. The Knicks are just

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Speaker 2: so good at turning a close out of any kind

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Speaker 2: into a wide open three somewhere else on the floor

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Speaker 2: with their crisp driving kick attack right, So like that's

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Speaker 2: the dynamic they have to keep under control. For Boston,

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Speaker 2: it's about avoiding falling into the ISO trap. So one

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Speaker 2: use Brunson as a vehicle to get the defense in

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Speaker 2: rotation by making him hedge not as a defender to

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Speaker 2: try to shoot over if you can help it, meaning

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Speaker 2: like as long as he's edging and recovering, slip out

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Speaker 2: of those screens quickly, ask Drew to attack off the bounce.

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Speaker 2: Have that be the entry point for your driving kick attack.

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Speaker 2: If you obsessively look at hunting Brunson in switches, I

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Speaker 2: think that's where you can get a little stagnant. But

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Speaker 2: if they do start switching with them, which there's a

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Speaker 2: version of this series where the Knicks just are like,

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Speaker 2: screw it, We're sick of giving up these driving kick threes.

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Speaker 2: We need to just switch everything to try to contain

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Speaker 2: the ball. That's where you have to punish Brunson enough

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Speaker 2: to make it untenable for the defense, meaning not settling

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Speaker 2: for bad pull up jump shots that end up being

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Speaker 2: a net positive for the Knicks in the big picture.

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Speaker 2: And then for the Knicks, it's about executing their game plan,

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Speaker 2: meaning they're peel switches and their regular switches, executing them

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Speaker 2: well to make sure that they don't give those natural openings.

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Speaker 2: If they get into rotation, they'll die a quick death.

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Speaker 2: That is the story of the series for them. Containing

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Speaker 2: the ball and staying out of rotation. With the Knicks

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Speaker 2: on offense, the Celtics are going to match up with

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Speaker 2: the Knicks and their classic Boston Celtics fashion. That means

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Speaker 2: they're going to put Jason Tatum on Karl Anthony Towns

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Speaker 2: so that they can switch any ball screens that involve

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Speaker 2: Jalen Brunson, and they're they're gonna hide chrisops Porzingis just

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Speaker 2: like they did in the NBA Finals last year on

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Speaker 2: the weaker above the break three point shooters. So just

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Speaker 2: like they put him on Derek Jones Junior last year

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Speaker 2: in the Conference finals or in the NBA Finals, They're

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Speaker 2: gonna put him on Josh Hart and basically be like

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Speaker 2: Josh Hart, if you want to take these wide open

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Speaker 2: pick and pop threes at the top of the key,

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Speaker 2: be our guests, right, And that's the first swing factor

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Speaker 2: of the series, right there, is Josh Hart being able

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Speaker 2: to beat chrisps Porzingis for helping off of him. Right.

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Speaker 2: That means Josh Hart's gonna have to take and make

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Speaker 2: above the break threes. He's gonna have to slash out

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Speaker 2: of that spot and create opportunities. He's gonna have to

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Speaker 2: rebound out of that spot. Josh Hart needs to punish

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Speaker 2: the Celtics for putting Porzingis on him. That is the

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Speaker 2: first big swing factor of this series. But we all

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Speaker 2: know how this goes for the Knicks. Right when they're

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Speaker 2: getting stops and they're getting out in transition, it's very

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Speaker 2: equal opportunity everyone's involved. That's where they can be scary.

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Speaker 2: But in the half court it inevitably devolves down into

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Speaker 2: brunts and attacking. In ball screens and in ISOs, Drew

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Speaker 2: does a fantastic job against him. Jalen needs to get

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Speaker 2: Drew off of him whenever he can. He's strong enough

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Speaker 2: to disrupt his base and quick enough to beat him

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Speaker 2: to spots. He's just one of the very best defenders

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Speaker 2: in the league. It's something that Brunson's got to avoid.

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Speaker 2: He does have a little bit of a strength advantage

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Speaker 2: against Derek White, so similar to what we talked about

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Speaker 2: yesterday with the sar Thompson. His advantage in that matchup

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Speaker 2: is strength and his low center of gravity, so hard

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Speaker 2: attacking moves, getting contact with that right shoulder, pull back, dribbles,

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Speaker 2: those are the ways that he can look to shed

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Speaker 2: Derek White to get some advantage. He does have some

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Speaker 2: success attacking porzingis in action a little bit less with

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Speaker 2: Al Horford, but I do think that we'll see a

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Speaker 2: lot of Brunson attacking the Celtics bigs in space whenever

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Speaker 2: he can. Horford's just better at sliding his feet. He's

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Speaker 2: a little bit better at like getting like sneaking shots

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Speaker 2: off against porzingis as he like ships his weight around

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Speaker 2: and gets into a position where he can't move quick

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Speaker 2: enough or contest quick enough. But the bottom line is

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Speaker 2: is this is really why the Knicks have such a

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Speaker 2: hard time in this matchup. The defensive answers that this

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Speaker 2: that the Knicks have for the Celtics are kind of flimsy, right,

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Speaker 2: actually require the Knicks to concede these gaps. Appeal switch

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Speaker 2: still leaves two on the ball temporarily, there are opportunities

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Speaker 2: for the Celtics to look to attack there or just

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Speaker 2: regular switches involve switching mediocre to bad defenders onto high

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Speaker 2: level dribble drive guys, and so their answers are just flimsy.

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Speaker 2: The Celtics have just so many quality answers for the

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Speaker 2: Knicks for what the Knicks like to do on offense. No,

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Speaker 2: That's why I'm picking the Celtics in five games. It's

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Speaker 2: just a nightmare matchup and it should honestly be the

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Speaker 2: springboard into a summer for the Knicks where they end

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Speaker 2: up making some substantial roster turnover, likely centering around to

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Speaker 2: Karl Anthony Towns trade. That's a conversation for a couple

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Speaker 2: of weeks from now. So what is the case for

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Speaker 2: the Knicks to win? To me, it's defense to transition,

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Speaker 2: they have to perfectly execute their defensive scheme. They need

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Speaker 2: superhuman efforts relative to their defensive talent from Karl Anthony Towns,

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Speaker 2: from Jalen Brunson, containing the ball in switches, flying around

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Speaker 2: in their hedge and recover situations, rotating when they end

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Speaker 2: up in driving kick situations. They need the Celtics to

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Speaker 2: fall into the trap of poor decision making, which I

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Speaker 2: think is wishful thinking, but that's something that I think

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Speaker 2: they'll need if they're gonna win the series. And then

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Speaker 2: I think the Knicks need to play at an insane

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Speaker 2: pace all series where they can take advantage of their

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Speaker 2: aggregate talent in the open court. That's when they're so

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Speaker 2: hard to deal with offensively. So when they're running up

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Speaker 2: the floor and it's Michale Bridges doing what he's doing

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Speaker 2: last night and hitting those gaps, and Ogan Ando be

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Speaker 2: getting clean corner threes and Karl Anthony Town's getting trailer threes.

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Speaker 2: That's where they get their higher quality shots against this

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Speaker 2: elite Boston Celtics defense. So again, lots of advantages for Boston,

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Speaker 2: picking Boston to win, very thin pathway to victory for

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Speaker 2: the Knicks. We will be covering this series throughout every

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Speaker 2: single time live on YouTube. After the final game of

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Speaker 2: the night, it's all I have for today, guys, or

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Speaker 2: for this morning, I should say, I will see you

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Speaker 2: guys live on YouTube after the final buzzer of Warriors

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Speaker 2: Rockets Game six. We will also be going to playbacks

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Speaker 2: after the final buzzer or after we finish our YouTube

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Speaker 2: live show. In that show, we'll be going through some film,

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Speaker 2: We'll be taking questions from the audience, bringing you guys

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Speaker 2: up on stage, doing lots of interactive stuff. So make

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Speaker 2: sure you guys head over there and get all situated

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Speaker 2: so that you're ready for tonight. All right, guys, that's

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Speaker 2: all we have. I will see you later tonight. What's

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Speaker 2: up guys. As always, I appreciate you for listening to

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Speaker 2: and supporting Oops tonight. They would actually be really helpful

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Speaker 2: for us if you guys would take a second and

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Speaker 2: leave a rating and a review. As always, I appreciate

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Speaker 2: you guys supporting us, but if you could take a

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Speaker 2: minute to do that, I'd really appreciate it.

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Speaker 1: The volume