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Speaker 1: back back back. On another repisode of Sports Gambling with

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Speaker 1: money Line Monica, I'm your host, Alex Monica all kind

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Speaker 1: of said, jacked up on a Monday, coming off a

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Speaker 1: weekend of NBA playoffs. We are in playoff mode. The

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Speaker 1: frow is getting trimmed. We're gonna button ourselves up like

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Speaker 1: we're going to the dumb and dumber ball. Baby, there's

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Speaker 1: no time to mess around. It's get the winds, the

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Speaker 1: picks right, or go the heck home. Locked in on

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Speaker 1: a Monday, coming off another phenomen I'm in a week

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Speaker 1: winning week. We are up on the month by ten

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Speaker 1: units and more. I'm talking about well over fifty seven

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Speaker 1: percent across six sports. We are gallivant and baby, but

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Speaker 1: as a wise man one said, it's all about what

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Speaker 1: should do next. It's a Monday slate. I got one

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Speaker 1: lock for you in a Tuesday parlay with a prop

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Speaker 1: bet that I cannot take my eyes off of. We

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Speaker 1: have to go clean sweep. I'm dialing in a little

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Speaker 1: bit of emotion, a lot of math. Let's get to

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Speaker 1: it right now and again picks on Action Network follow me.

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Speaker 1: We're up to a thousand followers. Appreciate your tailing or fading.

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Speaker 1: And again, if you have been fading, you down. If

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Speaker 1: the Volume Sports YouTube channel. It is going to be

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Speaker 1: an absolute ball this week. I can't even be again

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Speaker 1: to tell you how fun it's gonna be. Don't call

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Speaker 1: it a baseball doubleheader on Wednesday. Just make sure to

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Speaker 1: tune in. Follow me on money Line Monaco, Instagram or

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Speaker 1: Alex Monaco for all of the updates on the live stream.

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Speaker 1: Shout out to the homie Martin Weiss by the way

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Speaker 1: of the FanDuel Sportsbook family and a part of the

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Speaker 1: Rob Parker Lemon Pepper Parlay podcast for joining me on

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Speaker 1: the Lakers game that gave us an unbelievable ending. It

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Speaker 1: was Lebron three and Curries jugular. Bye Bye Warriors, Grizzlies,

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Speaker 1: get the dub over the weekend. NA, We're moving on.

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Speaker 1: Let's get to it. Lock of the day. You already

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Speaker 1: know what the Drake motto is in the NFL d

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Speaker 1: Fence Wins Championships. Give me the under We're going Scuba.

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Speaker 1: Steve plug your nose, deep dive the Miami Heat. Game

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Speaker 1: two on the road at the Bucks, We're staring at

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Speaker 1: a FanDuel sportsbook two twenty one point five and ladies

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Speaker 1: and gentlemen with the overtime. In game one, it only

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Speaker 1: got to two sixteen and that is a Chris Malcolm

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Speaker 1: in the Middleton game. Winn it put some Birdman respect

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Speaker 1: with a K on my name. That's a ka strikeout.

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Speaker 1: Unbelievable back and forth game. Part of me wanted to

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Speaker 1: Heat plus four point five in Game two. We know

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Speaker 1: how Spolstra dances, but I'm gonna go off of what

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Speaker 1: I saw. Let's just break down the tape, shall we.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the fifth best defense in the Association,

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Speaker 1: the Miami d and their twenty fifth best offense in

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Speaker 1: the league, and I'm gonna bank on more Spolstra adjustments.

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Speaker 1: This was a one nine, one oh seven game. The

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Speaker 1: fourth quarter end of the game, legs are tired. Defense

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Speaker 1: is larry locked. Only forty points total? Forty points total?

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Speaker 1: What is this? Nineteen ninety nine real old school Eastern

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Speaker 1: Conference defense? Eighteen points only in the overtime. That is

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Speaker 1: a fifty eight point ending to the game. In seventeen minutes.

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Speaker 1: That should scare you if you think you like the over,

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Speaker 1: and I'm telling you right now, we know how the

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Speaker 1: Greek freak does against Miami. We know how Spolstra gets

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Speaker 1: down in the regular season and mediocre at best sixteen

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Speaker 1: point seven points, more importantly, on less than forty eight

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Speaker 1: percent shooting through three meetings against this Miami Heat squad,

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Speaker 1: most recently going six for twelve fifteen points. Oh my goodness, gracious,

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Speaker 1: and yes, that was all regular season numbers. Jannis came back,

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Speaker 1: had himself a pretty good game if I don't say

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Speaker 1: so myself, twenty six points, but hey, ten of twenty

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Speaker 1: seven shooting, and Miami is on fire lately. The under

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Speaker 1: the under in the last fifteen Heat games eleven and four,

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Speaker 1: eleven and four. Check out more NBA betting trends on

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Speaker 1: team rankings. So do I dare say covers the Heat

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Speaker 1: on fire? Six and one against the spread in their

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Speaker 1: last six eleven, four and one in their last sixteen

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Speaker 1: and no, this Middleton gave you twenty seven, Drew Holliday

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Speaker 1: gave you twenty and they still only achieved a hundred

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Speaker 1: and nine points. We're talking about the number one offense

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Speaker 1: in the Association on the year, and they only shot

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Speaker 1: forty three point eight percent on the game in Game one,

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Speaker 1: and the Heat shot a mediocre thirty six point four.

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Speaker 1: And listen, they twenty three points the Heat did to

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Speaker 1: twenty for fifty and they only put up one hundred

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Speaker 1: and seven. Is dragic? Gonna give you gray hair? Play

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Speaker 1: at the Why the guy seems like he's done until

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Speaker 1: he puts up twenty five off the bench. Is he

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Speaker 1: gonna do it again? He can't do it again? Duncan

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Speaker 1: Robinson twenty four point seven threes And look, I know

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Speaker 1: if you remember the bubble ball, this is what the

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Speaker 1: Heat did. It was next man up, next guy to dance.

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Speaker 1: But I think Budenholzer has a decent defensive game plan

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Speaker 1: as well. And there was only four of eight quarters

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Speaker 1: not including overtime of course, where they got two over

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Speaker 1: twenty five points and only one quarter one quarter and

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Speaker 1: one team did they get over thirty one quarter. We

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Speaker 1: are talking about a two hundred and twenty one point

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Speaker 1: five game, two over under and one nine plus one

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Speaker 1: oh seven is two sixteen and that includes an extra

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Speaker 1: five minutes of playoff overtime basketball. No bucks in double

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Speaker 1: figures off the bench, Portous with a measly eight, Forbes

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Speaker 1: with five, no one to be found, PJ. Tucker scoreless,

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Speaker 1: the homey pat with a bucket. St. Vincenzo with three points,

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Speaker 1: Brook Lopez gag eighteen. Look, you have to feel great

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Speaker 1: about this. The only way Miami knows how to win

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Speaker 1: is team basketball and defense, and quite frankly, the way

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Speaker 1: that they played you have to watch with your eyes.

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Speaker 1: Let me repeat again to Oney, three pointers is that

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Speaker 1: a joke? People, Let's not outthink the room. Let's assume

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Speaker 1: that the Kappers are giving us way too many points

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Speaker 1: here two twenty one point five, it has to go Scooba,

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Speaker 1: Steve under. I don't see it any other way. I'm

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Speaker 1: looking at all the numbers and then including the regular

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Speaker 1: season eleven and four. It's gone under for Miami in

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Speaker 1: the last fifteen games vers a team with a winning record.

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Speaker 1: We know, we know that the Heat know how to

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Speaker 1: shut down Yannis. You remember last year in the bubble Baby,

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Speaker 1: I don't want to call him the Superman Kryptonite, the

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Speaker 1: spolster defense. But if we have a combination of team

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Speaker 1: Miami Heat D a little bit of a drop off

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Speaker 1: in three pointers Duncan Robinson ain't going seven threes again.

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Speaker 1: I'm sorry, Dragic twenty five off the bench. That is

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Speaker 1: a Saturday morning could to sack father a three type

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Speaker 1: performance for the Ages. Give me the under two twenty

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Speaker 1: one point five. I saw what I saw. I'm not

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Speaker 1: overthinking it. I'm going under luck of the pot on

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Speaker 1: a Monday Monday night basketball. Let's keep it rocking, all right.

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Speaker 1: I got myself a little degenerate parlay. We're gonna have

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Speaker 1: to meditate inhale and wait till Tuesday. Exhale. We got

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Speaker 1: the Nets, the Clippers minus four sixty on the Brooklyn

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Speaker 1: money line, minus two fifty on the Clippers money line.

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Speaker 1: It's one forty two on a parlay on FanDuel. Let's

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Speaker 1: get into it right now. I'm starting with the Nets briefly,

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Speaker 1: second half falling out the Ears. They outscored the Celtics

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Speaker 1: by sixteen. They're big three, all had over twenty. You

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Speaker 1: want to talk about the good Burger secret sauce. Baby

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Speaker 1: KD gives you thirty two leads all scores. Irving gives

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Speaker 1: you twenty nine against the X and Harden gives you

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Speaker 1: twenty one, nine boards and eight Danny times. That is

200
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Speaker 1: the recipe for the Brooklyn Nets, And I gotta be honest,

201
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Speaker 1: look at the other side. Tatum held the six of

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Speaker 1: twenty shooting Smart was only six of thirteen. Kemba was

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Speaker 1: trending on Twitter for all the wrong reasons. Fifteen points

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Speaker 1: on five or sixteen, Evan East Coast doctor E Wilner,

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Speaker 1: three or ten. This ain't gonna cut it with no

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Speaker 1: Jaalen Brown and this is all wall Blake Griffin only

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Speaker 1: had one point. Jeff green On we had three points,

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Speaker 1: sham at the x Clipperton's score and Harrison we gave

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Speaker 1: you ten. I'm telling you right now, this Nets team

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Speaker 1: knows what they're going against in the second half of

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Speaker 1: the Eastern Commence playoff run. They gotta make quick work

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Speaker 1: of the Celtics. And if you thought for a second

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Speaker 1: that the Celtics We're gonna win in the first half,

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Speaker 1: just call it a little jitters. This Nets squad, they're

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Speaker 1: big three with Blake, they haven't even played together that much.

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Speaker 1: So no this the Nets are going to take Cara

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Speaker 1: home court. They're going to make quick work of Boston.

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Speaker 1: Maybe the Celtics get one in Boston. They are out matched,

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Speaker 1: they are out worked and the defense. Do not sleep

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Speaker 1: on Claxton down low. I'm telling you right now, if

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Speaker 1: Tatum goes six or twenty and Kemba goes five or sixteen,

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Speaker 1: you and do all you can on the other side

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Speaker 1: and it won't matter. I expect Kyrie, k D and

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Speaker 1: Harden to ball again. Do we have analytics? Don't worry

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Speaker 1: about it, baby. The Nets dominated the season series against

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Speaker 1: the Celtics. I feel very confident in the money line,

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Speaker 1: Brooklyn protecting home court, getting the win, and when Kyrie

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Speaker 1: scores over twenty the Nets at thirty four and eighteen,

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Speaker 1: letting me let him go personal against the X. That's right,

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Speaker 1: Boston missing Jaylen Brown sorely on a low key Tuesday

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Speaker 1: and a first round series at that I got the

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Speaker 1: Nets on the money line. Let's couple it with the Colippers.

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Speaker 1: And I'm a trends guy going into this angle. I'm

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Speaker 1: selling you on trends. Just listen to me. Just take

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Speaker 1: a deep breath and listen to me. The Clippers only

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Speaker 1: had there back to back losses all year, a seventy

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Speaker 1: two game season. We're talking about a squad, oh, by

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Speaker 1: the way, awful lost seventeen and eight on the year.

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Speaker 1: They don't like to lose two times in a row,

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna throw one more trend at you. They're

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Speaker 1: twenty three and ten as a home favorite, Dallas is

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Speaker 1: only seven and eight as a road underdog. And the

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Speaker 1: things that I did like I gotta be honest. Zingis

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Speaker 1: held to just fourteen points. Luca got your thirty one,

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Speaker 1: but his hardaway is Timmy Junior really gonna give us

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Speaker 1: over twenty, Finney Smith is gonna give us eighteen, and

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Speaker 1: Brunson's gonna give you fifteen off the bench consistently. I

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Speaker 1: don't see it. This is a team that prized themselves

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Speaker 1: on their defense. Morris, oh, by the way, on the

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Speaker 1: other side, will not go over six from three and

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Speaker 1: give you four points. Abaka needs more than twelve minutes

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Speaker 1: off the bench. And the Clippers, if we're just looking

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Speaker 1: at the box score, had more steals, had more blocks,

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Speaker 1: had less turnovers. The MAVs had six more threes, and

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Speaker 1: that is your difference in the game. Because the reality

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Speaker 1: is Kawai and Paul George only given us three. The

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Speaker 1: reefs between the two of them. Don't get me started

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Speaker 1: on playoff. P It ain't gonna happen Tyron lou seventeen

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Speaker 1: and four in the playoffs all time. He knows how

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Speaker 1: to make adjustments. Whether you want who admit it or not.

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Speaker 1: The Clippers entire season and everything that they work for

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Speaker 1: is coming down to this game too. I know Dallas

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Speaker 1: matches up against them, well, I know a lot of

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Speaker 1: sharps had them with the points. But I'm just looking

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Speaker 1: at the trends. This is a squad that only loss.

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Speaker 1: Let me repeat it three times back to back all year,

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Speaker 1: and know that in February, off the back to back losses,

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Speaker 1: they had won four in a row. After that, they

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Speaker 1: win eight and three in March right after the back

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Speaker 1: to back losses, and the only other time they had

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Speaker 1: it was against the Pelicans and the Suns on a

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Speaker 1: back to back loss in April with no Kawhi, and

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Speaker 1: prior to that we're on an eleven one run. There's

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Speaker 1: no for winking way that the Clippers are gonna lose

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Speaker 1: twice in a row at home protecting home court. I

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Speaker 1: just feel too confident that this Clippers team knows how

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Speaker 1: to make adjustments, knows how to play better team defense,

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Speaker 1: and they will simply shoot better from beyond the arc.

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Speaker 1: Morris gave you no threes, Pauli and Kawhi gave you

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Speaker 1: three between the two of them, and it can happen again.

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Speaker 1: Baby Nets, Clippers, money Line, Degenerate Parlay. I'm telling you

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Speaker 1: it's my degenerate special and it pays at mins one

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Speaker 1: forty two one FanDuel. That should be a gift from

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Speaker 1: the Parlay gods. Let's keep in moving to the prop shot.

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Speaker 1: it up, bookend, baby, I have no other way to

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Speaker 1: look at this. Then go in on Kawhi Leonard giving

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Speaker 1: us over twenty five point five points on than duel

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Speaker 1: over over over over. This man hit it by half

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Speaker 1: a point in game one. He had twenty ships points

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Speaker 1: in game one into twenty two shooting, but only one

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Speaker 1: of six from three. But why knows what he did

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Speaker 1: against this Mavericks team last year That is pretty much

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Speaker 1: the same squad, even though the Clippers are much different.

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Speaker 1: He had a Monstar space Jam two Monstar type series

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Speaker 1: last year against the Mavericks. In six games, he averaged

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Speaker 1: thirty two point eight. And I know what you may

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Speaker 1: be saying, if you want to go look it up.

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Speaker 1: Only twenty and twenty two against the MAVs this year.

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Speaker 1: But in the playoffs. I don't want to call him

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Speaker 1: the opposite the Castanza, opposite of what everybody thinks Paul

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Speaker 1: George is. But no, in Kawai's last three we're talking

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Speaker 1: about La Toronto, San Antonio. This guy has average in

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Speaker 1: the playoffs as a hole in the playoffs to twenty

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Speaker 1: eight thirty and twenty seven point seven, averaging twenty four

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Speaker 1: point eight on the season. And we know Vegas has

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Speaker 1: it capped right where they should have it. But the

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Speaker 1: reality is when Kawai needs to step up and get

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Speaker 1: into a different gear, he will. The Clippers are twenty

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Speaker 1: six and six. When he gets over thirty plus points

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Speaker 1: in his career as a clip show playa, they have

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Speaker 1: to rely on him. He has to be the leader

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Speaker 1: of men. Get this is Sparta. Get Gerald Butler three hundred.

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Speaker 1: Get on your Game of Thrones. Kawhi. I'm telling you,

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Speaker 1: the last meaningful game was against the Knicks. He had

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Speaker 1: twenty nine and he had four threes on nine attempts.

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Speaker 1: I don't see him going one to six from three.

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Speaker 1: He went one to six from three people and he

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Speaker 1: still hit the player prop over. I have to say

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Speaker 1: to myself, the Clippers have a bounce back w and

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Speaker 1: the Clippers have a bounce back win. And it's on

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Speaker 1: the heels of mister SoCal, mister Kawhi Leonard. Boardman gets paid,

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Speaker 1: boardman gets buckets. It's Kawhi Leonard. Remember remember to shy

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Speaker 1: at thirty three in six games against the Mavericks, they

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Speaker 1: don't lose twice. They will go to their leader. Tyron

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Speaker 1: Lou will make the adjustments. They will give Kawai the rock.

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Speaker 1: He will not shoot that poorly from three. We will

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Speaker 1: cast his player prop, we will cast the parlay and

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00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:27,439
Speaker 1: we will have some defense kicking it off to start

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Speaker 1: the show and the week on a little bucks heat under.

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Speaker 1: That's it for me. Let's go three for three. I'm

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Speaker 1: not messing around on a Monday, baby, I'm all checked up.

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Speaker 1: Make sure to subscribe, rate and review. Thank you for

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Speaker 1: tuning in, appreciate your listening. If you throw me a

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Speaker 1: five star, let me know in the DMS, I'll shout

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Speaker 1: you out personally. Thank you to every single one of you. Again,

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Speaker 1: the man you're listening to is batting over fifty seven

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Speaker 1: percent right now. We have no other way to go.

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Speaker 1: Butt up, shout out the brums on the ones in

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Speaker 1: two you make sure to hug your mother's out there

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Speaker 1: and enjoy your playoff week of basketball. That typham me,

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Speaker 1: I'm out. We'll see all onesday the volume. How do

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