1
00:00:15,080 --> 00:00:18,919
Speaker 1: So I was driving around the greater Downtown Nashville area

2
00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:20,919
Speaker 1: today on the way into the office, and I thought

3
00:00:20,960 --> 00:00:25,279
Speaker 1: to myselfself, we are less than a week away from

4
00:00:25,320 --> 00:00:27,720
Speaker 1: what I call game week protocol. Maybe your mind doesn't

5
00:00:27,760 --> 00:00:30,040
Speaker 1: work like this, but my mind works like this my

6
00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:33,560
Speaker 1: entire life, as long as I've been a fully functioning adult,

7
00:00:34,000 --> 00:00:36,479
Speaker 1: Even before I was in the college football media business,

8
00:00:36,880 --> 00:00:39,440
Speaker 1: my entire world revolved around college football season. So if

9
00:00:39,440 --> 00:00:41,280
Speaker 1: you're having a terrible week in the middle of March,

10
00:00:41,280 --> 00:00:44,560
Speaker 1: you're just having a terrible week. But come fall, you're

11
00:00:44,560 --> 00:00:47,080
Speaker 1: having a terrible week Tuesday. I can't make it better

12
00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:49,320
Speaker 1: for you, nor could I make it better for myself

13
00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:52,360
Speaker 1: due to factors outside of my control. But game week

14
00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:54,920
Speaker 1: protocol means there's always that light at the end of

15
00:00:54,960 --> 00:00:58,440
Speaker 1: the tunnel, that Saturday light. And if you believe in

16
00:00:58,480 --> 00:01:01,280
Speaker 1: week zero, and we do around here. Contrary to some

17
00:01:01,400 --> 00:01:04,520
Speaker 1: rumors on the internet, next week's that week. So your

18
00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:07,560
Speaker 1: Wednesday can suck next week. But you know, goodwell, you

19
00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:11,040
Speaker 1: got Iowa State, Kansas State to bail you out. They

20
00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:13,440
Speaker 1: may be playing it halfway around the world, but it's great.

21
00:01:14,160 --> 00:01:18,679
Speaker 1: It's a college football good thing. Maybe the best of things,

22
00:01:18,880 --> 00:01:21,080
Speaker 1: and no great thing ever dies. It is Tuesday Night,

23
00:01:21,080 --> 00:01:24,280
Speaker 1: August twelfth, The overl Lord twenty twenty five. We are

24
00:01:24,360 --> 00:01:28,479
Speaker 1: high a top a steamy downtown Nashville, Tennessee, jam packed.

25
00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:31,479
Speaker 1: You know what tonight is people. If you're from around

26
00:01:31,480 --> 00:01:34,559
Speaker 1: these parts, the next sentence out of my mouth means

27
00:01:34,600 --> 00:01:37,280
Speaker 1: a lot to you. It is JP pole debut night.

28
00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:39,600
Speaker 1: And if you're not from around here, you have no

29
00:01:39,680 --> 00:01:42,120
Speaker 1: idea what I'm talking about. But if you stick around,

30
00:01:42,720 --> 00:01:44,880
Speaker 1: you will come to understand. We do things a little

31
00:01:44,880 --> 00:01:47,320
Speaker 1: different around here, and we don't necessarily believe that you

32
00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:49,960
Speaker 1: are what your record says you are. We don't necessarily

33
00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:52,960
Speaker 1: take part in rankings as much as we do power ratings,

34
00:01:52,960 --> 00:01:54,840
Speaker 1: and they are not the same thing. So JP poll

35
00:01:54,960 --> 00:01:58,120
Speaker 1: versus A people on tonight's show, We're doing it. We're

36
00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:00,920
Speaker 1: going to wait another week, but the AP and I said,

37
00:02:00,960 --> 00:02:04,120
Speaker 1: we cannot let this go unanswered, and so we will

38
00:02:04,120 --> 00:02:06,760
Speaker 1: answer tonight. I've got fall camp intel, as we do

39
00:02:07,040 --> 00:02:12,919
Speaker 1: every show in August, John Mattire, John Mattere, The Live

40
00:02:13,040 --> 00:02:16,079
Speaker 1: Chat wants me to talk John Mattire. The socials want

41
00:02:16,080 --> 00:02:17,640
Speaker 1: me to talk John Mattere And so you know what

42
00:02:17,680 --> 00:02:20,440
Speaker 1: I'm gonna do In tonight's show, I'm gonna talk about

43
00:02:20,520 --> 00:02:24,120
Speaker 1: John Mattere. I promise I'll have an entire segment on

44
00:02:24,240 --> 00:02:24,880
Speaker 1: John Mattire.

45
00:02:25,000 --> 00:02:25,760
Speaker 2: Does that suit you?

46
00:02:25,840 --> 00:02:29,240
Speaker 1: Does that sound good for everyone? Six sick people out there?

47
00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:31,640
Speaker 1: He put out a statement, Guys, he didn't do it.

48
00:02:31,720 --> 00:02:33,600
Speaker 1: He put out a statement. What more do you want?

49
00:02:34,040 --> 00:02:35,880
Speaker 1: I put out statements on Twitter all the time and

50
00:02:35,919 --> 00:02:38,120
Speaker 1: expect no one to ask me questions about it. We've

51
00:02:38,160 --> 00:02:40,440
Speaker 1: also got bold predictions on the show tonight. So they're

52
00:02:40,480 --> 00:02:43,959
Speaker 1: watching us in Concordia, Kansas, West Palm Beach, Florida. Stanley,

53
00:02:44,480 --> 00:02:47,440
Speaker 1: North Carolina, ironic because I have a friend named Stanley

54
00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:49,280
Speaker 1: that recently moved to North Carolina.

55
00:02:48,880 --> 00:02:50,200
Speaker 2: And Denver, Colorado.

56
00:02:50,480 --> 00:02:52,280
Speaker 1: Hey listen, it's written on this piece of paper, so

57
00:02:52,280 --> 00:02:54,640
Speaker 1: it must be true. Sounds like we may have an

58
00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:57,920
Speaker 1: early start time Thursday. At least we have a show Thursday.

59
00:02:57,960 --> 00:02:59,800
Speaker 1: For a little while, we didn't have a show on Thursdays,

60
00:03:00,200 --> 00:03:04,880
Speaker 1: five eastern four Central. Jesse producer Jesse still Alive? Are

61
00:03:04,880 --> 00:03:06,760
Speaker 1: still real? If you ever believed in him before, he

62
00:03:06,840 --> 00:03:08,639
Speaker 1: tells me that we can get on air at five

63
00:03:08,680 --> 00:03:10,800
Speaker 1: eastern fourth Central Thursday, and so if.

64
00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:13,040
Speaker 2: We do great. If we don't, it's Jesse's fault. You

65
00:03:13,080 --> 00:03:15,200
Speaker 2: know how to get in touch with him. Here we go.

66
00:03:15,880 --> 00:03:20,160
Speaker 1: This is I hold in my hands one of the

67
00:03:20,200 --> 00:03:23,760
Speaker 1: most I can't even get it out. Just go ahead

68
00:03:23,760 --> 00:03:25,600
Speaker 1: and say, immunity, I hold in my hands one of

69
00:03:25,639 --> 00:03:28,520
Speaker 1: the most important polls in the modern era. The JP

70
00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:31,920
Speaker 1: Pole is set to debut as we speak. Listen, that

71
00:03:32,040 --> 00:03:33,680
Speaker 1: is the sound of it hitting the table in front

72
00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:36,119
Speaker 1: of me. If you're new around here, I just want

73
00:03:36,120 --> 00:03:37,280
Speaker 1: to briefly explain.

74
00:03:38,240 --> 00:03:38,960
Speaker 2: And if you're.

75
00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:41,360
Speaker 1: Around here and have been for a while, you know

76
00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:43,160
Speaker 1: that my explanation is not going to mean a thing.

77
00:03:43,320 --> 00:03:46,200
Speaker 1: But I try in vain every year to explain our

78
00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:50,000
Speaker 1: thinking on this. Rankings are okay. Rankings have always had

79
00:03:50,000 --> 00:03:52,000
Speaker 1: a place in college football. I'm not even one of

80
00:03:52,000 --> 00:03:53,640
Speaker 1: these people who yells we need to do away with

81
00:03:53,680 --> 00:03:57,320
Speaker 1: preseason rankings. Do your rankings, you know, be willing to

82
00:03:57,360 --> 00:03:59,680
Speaker 1: adjust once the games to start. But have your rankings,

83
00:04:00,160 --> 00:04:02,200
Speaker 1: your a people, have your coach's pole, have all that.

84
00:04:02,920 --> 00:04:06,720
Speaker 1: I just don't participate in it. That's okay, Different strokes

85
00:04:06,760 --> 00:04:09,800
Speaker 1: for different folks. As me, Mal would always say as

86
00:04:10,000 --> 00:04:11,920
Speaker 1: she made meat loaf that some of you may or

87
00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:15,040
Speaker 1: may not like it. Just preference. It's a matter of preference.

88
00:04:15,120 --> 00:04:17,719
Speaker 1: But what I do believe in is I do believe

89
00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:20,479
Speaker 1: in having something. I just believe in having a more

90
00:04:20,560 --> 00:04:23,600
Speaker 1: power ratings based look at the sport. In other words,

91
00:04:24,240 --> 00:04:29,120
Speaker 1: not necessarily grading you based on merit, not necessarily grading

92
00:04:29,160 --> 00:04:31,800
Speaker 1: you based on your win loss record. What I came

93
00:04:31,839 --> 00:04:33,760
Speaker 1: to care about a long time ago, and what the

94
00:04:33,880 --> 00:04:37,320
Speaker 1: jpeople is built to show is one thing and one

95
00:04:37,320 --> 00:04:40,960
Speaker 1: thing only in that neutral field, favorability. And that means

96
00:04:40,960 --> 00:04:43,240
Speaker 1: even if you're zero to three and I'm three and zero,

97
00:04:43,800 --> 00:04:46,240
Speaker 1: you could be favored against me if we played Saturday,

98
00:04:46,279 --> 00:04:47,320
Speaker 1: and that's all it means.

99
00:04:47,360 --> 00:04:48,440
Speaker 2: Doesn't mean you'd beat me.

100
00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:52,039
Speaker 1: Underdogs win every week, so that doesn't necessarily mean anything.

101
00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:53,520
Speaker 2: What we did is we.

102
00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:55,760
Speaker 1: Tried to build a little different way to look at

103
00:04:55,800 --> 00:04:58,719
Speaker 1: the game, to look at teams, to grade teams, to

104
00:04:58,839 --> 00:05:02,200
Speaker 1: judge teams. And if you don't like it, my advice is,

105
00:05:03,080 --> 00:05:05,960
Speaker 1: don't partake in it, don't look at it. My advice

106
00:05:06,000 --> 00:05:08,960
Speaker 1: is also to never think that this order of teams

107
00:05:09,080 --> 00:05:12,040
Speaker 1: is how I would fill out a playoff bracket if

108
00:05:12,080 --> 00:05:14,039
Speaker 1: I were on the playoff committee. I say this a

109
00:05:14,080 --> 00:05:16,800
Speaker 1: million times every year the order I'm about to put

110
00:05:16,800 --> 00:05:20,120
Speaker 1: these teams in preseason or Week fourteen is not the

111
00:05:20,279 --> 00:05:23,000
Speaker 1: order that I would put them in. I had SMU

112
00:05:23,200 --> 00:05:26,360
Speaker 1: like in the low teens last year, and yet I

113
00:05:26,400 --> 00:05:28,520
Speaker 1: sat on this show and said I think they should

114
00:05:28,520 --> 00:05:33,960
Speaker 1: be in the playoff. Different things, totally different things. I

115
00:05:34,000 --> 00:05:35,680
Speaker 1: will say this as we're about to get into the

116
00:05:35,760 --> 00:05:40,040
Speaker 1: J people, I have never seen teams as compacted at

117
00:05:40,040 --> 00:05:42,479
Speaker 1: the top as I've seen. I'm going to give you

118
00:05:42,520 --> 00:05:45,520
Speaker 1: some numbers a little bit later to show you, relative

119
00:05:45,520 --> 00:05:47,960
Speaker 1: to ten years ago and even five and six years ago,

120
00:05:48,360 --> 00:05:51,039
Speaker 1: how tight the picture is, not just at the very top,

121
00:05:51,080 --> 00:05:52,840
Speaker 1: but all the way down through like number forty or

122
00:05:52,920 --> 00:05:55,680
Speaker 1: number forty five. It's a whole new world out there,

123
00:05:56,240 --> 00:05:59,799
Speaker 1: which means, more so than ever, you've probably got competitive balance,

124
00:05:59,800 --> 00:06:03,640
Speaker 1: You've probably got parody. You've probably got the ability for

125
00:06:04,120 --> 00:06:07,279
Speaker 1: seven and five and ten and two to be negligible

126
00:06:07,480 --> 00:06:11,640
Speaker 1: in difference. And yet I don't think people actually believe that.

127
00:06:11,720 --> 00:06:14,680
Speaker 1: So the one thing that I want everyone to remember

128
00:06:15,440 --> 00:06:19,240
Speaker 1: as I get set to unveil the JP Pole is

129
00:06:19,360 --> 00:06:22,160
Speaker 1: it's not my fault, and if any of these teams

130
00:06:22,200 --> 00:06:26,240
Speaker 1: don't live up to their preseason JP pole, billing. It's

131
00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:30,440
Speaker 1: because either one of three things happen. Either kids screwed up,

132
00:06:30,920 --> 00:06:34,640
Speaker 1: or coaches screwed up, or officials screwed up. Because as

133
00:06:34,680 --> 00:06:36,440
Speaker 1: we know, the JP Pole has never been wrong about

134
00:06:36,440 --> 00:06:39,920
Speaker 1: a team. To my knowledge, we've never gotten a prediction

135
00:06:40,000 --> 00:06:42,680
Speaker 1: wrong on this show. We've either been right or kids, coaches,

136
00:06:42,760 --> 00:06:46,200
Speaker 1: or officials screwed it up. However, if we are right,

137
00:06:46,680 --> 00:06:51,400
Speaker 1: I humbly and meekly request that you give us full credit.

138
00:06:51,960 --> 00:06:54,640
Speaker 1: We want the credit. We don't want to blame. That

139
00:06:54,760 --> 00:06:57,440
Speaker 1: is a totally fair proposition, at least in my opinion.

140
00:06:57,480 --> 00:07:00,839
Speaker 1: So here we go, neutral field, favorite Morbi. That's the

141
00:07:00,960 --> 00:07:03,280
Speaker 1: order here, nothing more, nothing less. If I filled out

142
00:07:03,279 --> 00:07:05,359
Speaker 1: an AP pole, I may make it look different, but

143
00:07:05,400 --> 00:07:07,880
Speaker 1: I don't have a vote in the AP nor do

144
00:07:07,920 --> 00:07:09,800
Speaker 1: I have a Heisman vote. Somehow, I guess I don't

145
00:07:09,800 --> 00:07:12,720
Speaker 1: pay enough attention to this sport. Let's start it with

146
00:07:12,840 --> 00:07:15,720
Speaker 1: number twenty. Here we go. I'm going to put this

147
00:07:15,800 --> 00:07:18,920
Speaker 1: graphic out later on the socials as well. I have

148
00:07:19,000 --> 00:07:22,360
Speaker 1: got SMU at number twenty. Reht Lashley wants to be doubted.

149
00:07:22,680 --> 00:07:24,200
Speaker 2: Well. The JP Poles doubt in him.

150
00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:27,640
Speaker 1: They finished number twelve in last year's poll, so I

151
00:07:27,680 --> 00:07:30,400
Speaker 1: was a little bit low. Memory did not serve me correctly.

152
00:07:30,440 --> 00:07:34,760
Speaker 1: There they finished twelfth last year. Portal infusion here specifically

153
00:07:34,800 --> 00:07:38,000
Speaker 1: along the defensive line, I am watching the level of

154
00:07:38,080 --> 00:07:41,480
Speaker 1: defensive play, or rather the model is very closely. I

155
00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:45,080
Speaker 1: looked at some of the red light indicators, and defense

156
00:07:45,120 --> 00:07:47,040
Speaker 1: obviously with the attrition they had, is one of those.

157
00:07:47,080 --> 00:07:50,000
Speaker 1: So SMU at twenty Kansas State we got at number nineteen.

158
00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:54,040
Speaker 1: This is the highest rated Big twelve team that the

159
00:07:54,080 --> 00:07:57,200
Speaker 1: model has. I'm speaking of the model, and if you're

160
00:07:57,240 --> 00:08:00,440
Speaker 1: new around here, that's this bad boy over here computer

161
00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:02,720
Speaker 1: here the model. These are not my ratings, this is

162
00:08:02,760 --> 00:08:05,480
Speaker 1: the model. I can disagree with the model. I will

163
00:08:05,800 --> 00:08:10,520
Speaker 1: several times over the next several minutes. Kansas State, Yes,

164
00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:12,920
Speaker 1: they are the highest rated Big twelve team. However, you

165
00:08:12,960 --> 00:08:16,520
Speaker 1: should know there are five Big twelves. Well, the power

166
00:08:16,640 --> 00:08:20,800
Speaker 1: rated version has five Big twelve teams within three points

167
00:08:20,800 --> 00:08:24,240
Speaker 1: of each other, so it's very interchangeable. I cannot stress

168
00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:26,400
Speaker 1: that enough. With a lot of these teams, very interchangeable.

169
00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:31,720
Speaker 1: Tennessee's at number eighteen. I think the j people's higher

170
00:08:32,280 --> 00:08:37,400
Speaker 1: on Tennessee than the AP was. There is admittedly some

171
00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:40,000
Speaker 1: of the analogs that we go back in time and

172
00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:45,120
Speaker 1: we judge a team against, meaning like, how does this

173
00:08:45,200 --> 00:08:47,720
Speaker 1: team profile? What are some of the indicators that the

174
00:08:47,760 --> 00:08:50,520
Speaker 1: model sees this team having that some teams in the

175
00:08:50,559 --> 00:08:53,120
Speaker 1: past had, And you need to plug your ears for

176
00:08:53,160 --> 00:08:56,360
Speaker 1: a second. In Knoxville, one of the big analog indicators

177
00:08:56,480 --> 00:09:00,320
Speaker 1: was Oklahoma last year for Tennessee this year. What that

178
00:09:00,360 --> 00:09:03,800
Speaker 1: means is the talent roster's pretty good. There may be

179
00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:07,200
Speaker 1: a drop off from Tennessee last year to Tennessee this year,

180
00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:10,240
Speaker 1: but that's accounted for already with where they are. What

181
00:09:10,280 --> 00:09:13,040
Speaker 1: the models indicating is this is a team that has

182
00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:16,360
Speaker 1: a disproportionately high risk of bombing at the quarterback position,

183
00:09:16,640 --> 00:09:19,040
Speaker 1: and if they do, it renders the rest of the

184
00:09:19,120 --> 00:09:24,000
Speaker 1: roster sort of irrelevant within the framework of rating them

185
00:09:24,040 --> 00:09:27,280
Speaker 1: this high. Oklahoma was the same last year we had Oklahoma,

186
00:09:27,440 --> 00:09:30,760
Speaker 1: or the model had Oklahoma number twelve preseason, but that

187
00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:34,040
Speaker 1: was all contingent on Jackson Arnold being what it thought

188
00:09:34,120 --> 00:09:36,760
Speaker 1: Jackson Arnold was going to be. Well, that's not the

189
00:09:36,800 --> 00:09:39,600
Speaker 1: way it played out, famously, and so Oklahoma falls off

190
00:09:39,600 --> 00:09:43,440
Speaker 1: a cliff that could happen with Tennessee or Josh Haipe

191
00:09:43,559 --> 00:09:46,160
Speaker 1: could work as magic and if they do, if they

192
00:09:46,160 --> 00:09:49,360
Speaker 1: get b or better quarterback play, Tennessee's actually better than

193
00:09:49,440 --> 00:09:51,719
Speaker 1: number eighteen. You're kind of splitting the difference if you're

194
00:09:51,720 --> 00:09:57,240
Speaker 1: the model there. Number seventeen is South Carolina. I somewhat

195
00:09:57,280 --> 00:10:01,040
Speaker 1: disagree with this. This is my first slight disagreement with

196
00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:03,560
Speaker 1: the model. I would have South Carolina probably a little

197
00:10:03,559 --> 00:10:06,839
Speaker 1: bit higher. I got to tell you what the model

198
00:10:06,920 --> 00:10:09,760
Speaker 1: seeing is that wide receiver room, and it doubts it

199
00:10:09,800 --> 00:10:10,680
Speaker 1: past Nick Harbor.

200
00:10:10,720 --> 00:10:11,400
Speaker 2: It doubts it. Now.

201
00:10:11,400 --> 00:10:13,360
Speaker 1: I've spoken about that a few times on this show.

202
00:10:13,760 --> 00:10:16,880
Speaker 1: Some of the feedback that we've gotten from Columbia is

203
00:10:16,880 --> 00:10:20,520
Speaker 1: that wide receiver room is being slept on. Could be anecdotal,

204
00:10:21,200 --> 00:10:24,480
Speaker 1: It could just be. It could be ripe grapes, which

205
00:10:24,559 --> 00:10:26,920
Speaker 1: is the opposite of sour grapes, of course, and you

206
00:10:27,000 --> 00:10:29,880
Speaker 1: really find those in plentiful supply in the preseason. But

207
00:10:30,000 --> 00:10:32,480
Speaker 1: if they're right, and if their wide receiver room is

208
00:10:32,520 --> 00:10:36,760
Speaker 1: good past Nick Harbor, then they're too low at seventeen

209
00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:38,680
Speaker 1: because they may have the best quarterback in the conference,

210
00:10:38,720 --> 00:10:41,000
Speaker 1: they may have the best quarterback in the country. In fact,

211
00:10:41,040 --> 00:10:45,480
Speaker 1: their dynamic nature at quarterback. Leonora sellers by name is

212
00:10:45,600 --> 00:10:49,640
Speaker 1: enough to almost single handedly lift them past seventeen. They're

213
00:10:49,640 --> 00:10:52,680
Speaker 1: at seventeen right now. If you disagree, take it up

214
00:10:52,720 --> 00:10:55,480
Speaker 1: with the model. Don't take it up with me. I

215
00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:58,560
Speaker 1: had no idea where the model would put Michigan, but

216
00:10:58,640 --> 00:11:00,600
Speaker 1: we have our answer. It put Michigan at sixteen.

217
00:11:00,720 --> 00:11:01,000
Speaker 2: Now.

218
00:11:03,440 --> 00:11:06,160
Speaker 1: I don't think the model is even aware that the

219
00:11:06,240 --> 00:11:08,800
Speaker 1: NCAA cloud is hovering over Michigan. I don't know how

220
00:11:08,800 --> 00:11:12,040
Speaker 1: you would quantify that anyway. And so what we're looking

221
00:11:12,080 --> 00:11:14,520
Speaker 1: at here is the level of defensive play. That's one

222
00:11:14,520 --> 00:11:17,439
Speaker 1: of the biggest question marks in the old model about

223
00:11:17,840 --> 00:11:19,880
Speaker 1: the level of play overall that you get from Michigan.

224
00:11:19,960 --> 00:11:22,880
Speaker 1: It's contingent on that not dropping off a whole lot.

225
00:11:22,960 --> 00:11:26,880
Speaker 1: It doesn't think it will. I may have doubts above

226
00:11:26,880 --> 00:11:28,960
Speaker 1: and beyond that. I may have bigger doubts about that,

227
00:11:29,000 --> 00:11:31,280
Speaker 1: But the model says, hey, it's Michigan. There's like a

228
00:11:31,320 --> 00:11:34,840
Speaker 1: certain baseline defensive production level they think, or the model

229
00:11:34,880 --> 00:11:37,480
Speaker 1: thinks it'll get. It's a tough team to peg it

230
00:11:38,120 --> 00:11:40,679
Speaker 1: is it sort of a one year away type team. Well,

231
00:11:40,720 --> 00:11:43,360
Speaker 1: even if teams like Michigan are one year away, there's

232
00:11:43,400 --> 00:11:45,319
Speaker 1: just not too far they're going to drop because of

233
00:11:45,360 --> 00:11:48,000
Speaker 1: the level of talent, the level of athlete they're always

234
00:11:48,000 --> 00:11:50,000
Speaker 1: going to have on the roster. So I mean, you

235
00:11:50,040 --> 00:11:52,600
Speaker 1: may doubt Michigan a whole lot more than having them

236
00:11:52,960 --> 00:11:56,839
Speaker 1: ranked number sixteen, but power ratings wise that there aren't

237
00:11:56,880 --> 00:11:58,839
Speaker 1: like twenty or twenty five teams that would be favored

238
00:11:58,880 --> 00:12:01,000
Speaker 1: against Michigan right now. So that's what we're doing here

239
00:12:01,200 --> 00:12:05,280
Speaker 1: number fifteen. I can't believe this. I can't believe we're

240
00:12:05,280 --> 00:12:08,240
Speaker 1: in a place where just two years ago, one of

241
00:12:08,280 --> 00:12:11,840
Speaker 1: the harshest allegations thrown our way was that we were

242
00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:17,080
Speaker 1: a USC hater show. The model hated USC, the computer

243
00:12:17,200 --> 00:12:22,080
Speaker 1: itself had a personal vendetta against USC. And my, how

244
00:12:22,120 --> 00:12:25,200
Speaker 1: the tables have turned. Here we are with USC at

245
00:12:25,240 --> 00:12:27,640
Speaker 1: number fifteen. Where are they in the ap Jesse where

246
00:12:27,679 --> 00:12:30,280
Speaker 1: oh oh, I hear crickets? Oh they're not, They're not

247
00:12:30,360 --> 00:12:34,240
Speaker 1: even ranked well, they are power rated. The model does

248
00:12:34,280 --> 00:12:36,640
Speaker 1: not see your win loss record from last year. In fact,

249
00:12:36,720 --> 00:12:39,360
Speaker 1: it never sees win loss record. What it does see

250
00:12:39,480 --> 00:12:42,120
Speaker 1: is they got one of the best defensive staffs in

251
00:12:42,160 --> 00:12:45,240
Speaker 1: the country. Their level of play really scaled up last year.

252
00:12:45,280 --> 00:12:47,840
Speaker 1: The model expects another healthy scale up this year, and

253
00:12:47,880 --> 00:12:50,320
Speaker 1: I just want to float a scenario because I'm looking

254
00:12:50,320 --> 00:12:52,559
Speaker 1: at some of the simulations the model is spinning out

255
00:12:52,559 --> 00:12:56,320
Speaker 1: of us right now. There are worlds, believe it or not,

256
00:12:57,120 --> 00:13:02,720
Speaker 1: where your Lincoln Riley led USC Trojans win a game

257
00:13:02,840 --> 00:13:03,720
Speaker 1: or two defensively.

258
00:13:04,280 --> 00:13:04,640
Speaker 2: Gasp.

259
00:13:05,920 --> 00:13:08,400
Speaker 1: You know what The analog for it is Tennessee last year.

260
00:13:09,360 --> 00:13:11,920
Speaker 1: They don't have the kind of defensive personnel that Tennessee

261
00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:14,400
Speaker 1: had last year. But what I'm talking about is the

262
00:13:14,440 --> 00:13:18,400
Speaker 1: inversion of a team profile. A Josh Hipel team would

263
00:13:18,400 --> 00:13:20,640
Speaker 1: have been expected to be winning. If I told you, hey,

264
00:13:20,720 --> 00:13:22,560
Speaker 1: Tennessee and Hypel are going to the playoffs last year,

265
00:13:22,559 --> 00:13:25,360
Speaker 1: you would have thought fireworks. That's not how they got there.

266
00:13:25,760 --> 00:13:28,959
Speaker 1: And similarly, if USC makes it this year, and a

267
00:13:29,040 --> 00:13:31,760
Speaker 1: Lincoln Riley team's never going to totally sputter to a

268
00:13:31,840 --> 00:13:35,719
Speaker 1: stall offensively, but the model thinks that Danton Lynn and

269
00:13:35,880 --> 00:13:40,000
Speaker 1: company on the defensive side could carry them at times

270
00:13:40,080 --> 00:13:43,720
Speaker 1: for stretches if needed. Line of scrimmage talent both sides

271
00:13:43,760 --> 00:13:47,800
Speaker 1: has progressed, and therefore, from a neutral field favorability rating,

272
00:13:49,120 --> 00:13:51,280
Speaker 1: what a world we got USC number fifteen. I'm sure

273
00:13:51,280 --> 00:13:55,360
Speaker 1: that won't create any discussion whatsoever. We got a old

274
00:13:55,360 --> 00:13:59,280
Speaker 1: Miss at number fourteen. The model's very high on Austin

275
00:13:59,320 --> 00:14:01,320
Speaker 1: Simmons to the that I think there may be relation

276
00:14:01,480 --> 00:14:04,840
Speaker 1: between Austin Simmons and the model. I mean, the model

277
00:14:05,080 --> 00:14:07,000
Speaker 1: looks at Austin Simmons the way that.

278
00:14:07,040 --> 00:14:09,840
Speaker 2: An uncle would look at Austin Simmons. I don't know

279
00:14:09,840 --> 00:14:10,679
Speaker 2: what the model knows.

280
00:14:11,320 --> 00:14:13,720
Speaker 1: It does expect a defensive drop off. If you're wondering

281
00:14:13,760 --> 00:14:16,559
Speaker 1: why Ole Miss is not higher than this, it's always

282
00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:20,400
Speaker 1: tough to get a gauge on the portal reliant teams.

283
00:14:20,640 --> 00:14:23,200
Speaker 1: But also it expects a defensive drop off. I mean

284
00:14:23,240 --> 00:14:24,920
Speaker 1: they were top five and a lot of the critical

285
00:14:25,280 --> 00:14:27,520
Speaker 1: metrics last year. It does not expect Ole Miss to

286
00:14:27,520 --> 00:14:29,320
Speaker 1: be a top five defensive team in any of those

287
00:14:29,560 --> 00:14:31,520
Speaker 1: critical metrics this year. But are they going to be

288
00:14:31,600 --> 00:14:33,280
Speaker 1: number eight or twenty eight?

289
00:14:34,240 --> 00:14:34,600
Speaker 2: Don't know.

290
00:14:34,760 --> 00:14:36,600
Speaker 1: That's why it's the preseason and all. This is written

291
00:14:36,600 --> 00:14:42,040
Speaker 1: in pencil number thirteen. Disagreement Part two Texas A and

292
00:14:42,160 --> 00:14:47,040
Speaker 1: M is number thirteen, and I think that's a little low.

293
00:14:48,040 --> 00:14:50,440
Speaker 1: I would have them a little higher than that. It

294
00:14:50,520 --> 00:14:53,560
Speaker 1: is well known around Austin, Texas that I am a

295
00:14:53,640 --> 00:14:57,560
Speaker 1: card carrying Aggie everybody knows that it's not actually true,

296
00:14:58,000 --> 00:15:00,560
Speaker 1: but I do that hit on techsags every week, and

297
00:15:00,600 --> 00:15:06,280
Speaker 1: I am not perennially hating on their traditions. Therefore, grading

298
00:15:06,280 --> 00:15:08,600
Speaker 1: on the college football bell curve that makes you an

299
00:15:08,640 --> 00:15:13,080
Speaker 1: aggie homer. I have no question about their identity, and

300
00:15:13,120 --> 00:15:15,520
Speaker 1: so I would be higher than the model on A

301
00:15:15,600 --> 00:15:19,360
Speaker 1: and M. The Model is low on Marcel Reid. That's

302
00:15:20,080 --> 00:15:22,960
Speaker 1: the problem here. If you wonder why they're not rated higher.

303
00:15:23,360 --> 00:15:25,960
Speaker 1: Model thinks that Marcel Reid has a certain level of

304
00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:28,120
Speaker 1: play that he'll give out this year. I think a

305
00:15:28,120 --> 00:15:30,960
Speaker 1: little bit higher, and it's not necessarily read alone. I

306
00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:32,920
Speaker 1: think their vertical passing game will be a little bit

307
00:15:32,920 --> 00:15:35,240
Speaker 1: better than it was last year, and that sort of

308
00:15:35,240 --> 00:15:38,040
Speaker 1: feedback from camp. So I got an unfair advantage there.

309
00:15:38,080 --> 00:15:39,920
Speaker 1: Because the model doesn't have any friends. You think the

310
00:15:39,960 --> 00:15:43,080
Speaker 1: model knows Colin Klein. You think the model knows Billy Luci.

311
00:15:43,160 --> 00:15:45,360
Speaker 1: I think Luci knows everyone. So I think Luci probably

312
00:15:45,360 --> 00:15:47,440
Speaker 1: has hung out with the model or a model a

313
00:15:47,480 --> 00:15:48,040
Speaker 1: time or two.

314
00:15:48,960 --> 00:15:50,280
Speaker 2: I don't know what rumors you've heard.

315
00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:53,640
Speaker 1: I know which ones I've heard, and the model thinks

316
00:15:53,720 --> 00:15:56,720
Speaker 1: that still there is a little bit of a suspect

317
00:15:56,800 --> 00:16:00,320
Speaker 1: nature about Texas A and M defensively, whereas I and

318
00:16:00,440 --> 00:16:03,320
Speaker 1: bathing in the kool aid. Once Mike Elko starts banging

319
00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:05,960
Speaker 1: his fist on the table and says, don't worry about it.

320
00:16:06,000 --> 00:16:08,800
Speaker 2: I got the defense. I trust him. I trust him.

321
00:16:08,800 --> 00:16:10,160
Speaker 1: So I'm a little bit higher on A inm than

322
00:16:10,200 --> 00:16:15,640
Speaker 1: the model is LSU at twelve. It's a very very

323
00:16:15,680 --> 00:16:18,480
Speaker 1: tough thing to process the kind of team that LSU

324
00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:21,760
Speaker 1: is for the model. So what we have baked in

325
00:16:21,800 --> 00:16:26,120
Speaker 1: here is we have examples of several teams that have

326
00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:29,720
Speaker 1: gone heavy portal for their starting too deep. At least

327
00:16:29,800 --> 00:16:33,200
Speaker 1: starting too deep is kind of counter but you get

328
00:16:33,240 --> 00:16:36,120
Speaker 1: what I'm saying. FSU did that in twenty twenty three

329
00:16:36,560 --> 00:16:40,920
Speaker 1: and won the ACC. That's baked into this thing. FSU

330
00:16:40,960 --> 00:16:43,920
Speaker 1: twenty twenty four is also baked into this thing. So

331
00:16:44,320 --> 00:16:47,640
Speaker 1: you can't just blindly distrust or blindly trust all of

332
00:16:47,680 --> 00:16:50,400
Speaker 1: the additions. Now, I got to tell you, I do

333
00:16:50,480 --> 00:16:54,040
Speaker 1: trust that they made the right moves. This is a

334
00:16:54,240 --> 00:16:57,560
Speaker 1: power rating for where they are starting the season. It's

335
00:16:57,600 --> 00:17:00,360
Speaker 1: not predictive at all. So it's not predicting what LSU

336
00:17:00,360 --> 00:17:02,480
Speaker 1: will be in week six or nine or twelve, it's

337
00:17:02,560 --> 00:17:04,360
Speaker 1: what are they starting the season at. I think it's

338
00:17:04,480 --> 00:17:07,879
Speaker 1: very fair the more I looked at it to expect

339
00:17:07,960 --> 00:17:10,720
Speaker 1: them to be in the ten to fifteen range starting out.

340
00:17:10,760 --> 00:17:12,600
Speaker 1: Even if you think they're going to win the SEC,

341
00:17:13,200 --> 00:17:15,399
Speaker 1: you certainly can't think they're going to start on fire.

342
00:17:15,480 --> 00:17:18,000
Speaker 1: That is a typical of what Brian Kelly has been

343
00:17:18,200 --> 00:17:20,199
Speaker 1: and what LSU has been over the last half decade.

344
00:17:20,800 --> 00:17:22,840
Speaker 1: So if they do it, that'll just mean they turn

345
00:17:22,880 --> 00:17:26,359
Speaker 1: the profile on its ear, and that's not what it

346
00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:27,000
Speaker 1: sees happening.

347
00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:28,360
Speaker 2: LSU at number.

348
00:17:28,240 --> 00:17:30,399
Speaker 1: Twelve, and now I will tell you this, looking at

349
00:17:30,440 --> 00:17:33,640
Speaker 1: some of the simulations, this is a huge spike potential

350
00:17:33,680 --> 00:17:36,600
Speaker 1: team because if we're wrong and they do start hot,

351
00:17:36,800 --> 00:17:39,240
Speaker 1: let's say they go into Clemson, they beat Clemson twenty

352
00:17:39,280 --> 00:17:43,120
Speaker 1: seven to twenty, I expect LSU to jump pretty significantly

353
00:17:43,480 --> 00:17:46,600
Speaker 1: after just one week, even though in this thing you

354
00:17:46,600 --> 00:17:50,600
Speaker 1: don't normally see huge knee jerk reaction. If that happened,

355
00:17:50,720 --> 00:17:52,640
Speaker 1: LSU would have knocked a weigh one of the huge

356
00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:56,240
Speaker 1: pillars of doubt that the model has. And so let's

357
00:17:56,320 --> 00:17:58,920
Speaker 1: keep an eye on it. Miami is at number eleven

358
00:18:00,440 --> 00:18:03,800
Speaker 1: and me both love the line of scrimmage personnel both

359
00:18:03,840 --> 00:18:07,480
Speaker 1: sides on this team. There's a decent to good grade

360
00:18:07,520 --> 00:18:10,840
Speaker 1: on Carson Beck. What the model still wants to see

361
00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:13,160
Speaker 1: and I got to agree with it. Good job, buddy,

362
00:18:13,280 --> 00:18:14,119
Speaker 1: I got to agree with it.

363
00:18:14,160 --> 00:18:14,320
Speaker 2: Here.

364
00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:17,000
Speaker 1: What it wants to see is you lost half a

365
00:18:17,000 --> 00:18:18,720
Speaker 1: dozen of your top pass catchers.

366
00:18:18,880 --> 00:18:21,160
Speaker 2: What do you have there? And number two?

367
00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:25,439
Speaker 1: Yeah, you got a new defensive coordinator, solid upgrade in

368
00:18:25,520 --> 00:18:26,840
Speaker 1: terms of staff grade.

369
00:18:27,760 --> 00:18:31,760
Speaker 2: What do you have in the defensive backfield? What do

370
00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:32,199
Speaker 2: you have that?

371
00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:35,000
Speaker 1: It's just a pregnant pause for a reason. Now, there

372
00:18:35,040 --> 00:18:37,080
Speaker 1: are some indications that one of the best players on

373
00:18:37,080 --> 00:18:39,480
Speaker 1: that team overall may be in that defensive back room.

374
00:18:39,480 --> 00:18:42,000
Speaker 1: But do you have a defensive back room or do

375
00:18:42,080 --> 00:18:45,200
Speaker 1: you just have a player or two? Because you put

376
00:18:45,200 --> 00:18:46,800
Speaker 1: three or four receivers on the field at the time,

377
00:18:46,800 --> 00:18:50,240
Speaker 1: you can easily look past that. Miami at eleven. I'm

378
00:18:50,280 --> 00:18:54,000
Speaker 1: sure I'm told no disagreement so far, because if there

379
00:18:54,040 --> 00:18:55,439
Speaker 1: were disagreements, I would hear it.

380
00:18:55,440 --> 00:18:57,200
Speaker 2: And I don't hear anything. I don't hear a single thing.

381
00:18:57,960 --> 00:18:59,760
Speaker 1: You know, this is where it'll start, if it hasn't

382
00:18:59,760 --> 00:19:04,239
Speaker 1: all ready, we don't have the model has Oklahoma at

383
00:19:04,320 --> 00:19:10,119
Speaker 1: number ten, the wide receiver room. Well, the whole offense

384
00:19:10,200 --> 00:19:13,280
Speaker 1: was a disaster last year, but specifically, I'll tell you

385
00:19:13,320 --> 00:19:15,639
Speaker 1: what the model thinks. The model thinks the wide receiver

386
00:19:15,760 --> 00:19:21,000
Speaker 1: room got overhauled effectively. I tend to agree. I'm not

387
00:19:21,080 --> 00:19:24,600
Speaker 1: even that far apart with the model in Oklahoma wide

388
00:19:24,600 --> 00:19:28,119
Speaker 1: receiver room expecting a big production. Spight Deon Burk's healthy,

389
00:19:28,240 --> 00:19:31,160
Speaker 1: and beyond him, they went and got good players there.

390
00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:35,720
Speaker 1: Now here's where there's a little separation. The old computer

391
00:19:35,840 --> 00:19:38,879
Speaker 1: here is just believing in the offensive line out in Norman.

392
00:19:39,240 --> 00:19:42,000
Speaker 1: I'm looking at practice reports. I'm here in the hoof

393
00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:43,920
Speaker 1: beats as I put my ear to the ground. There's

394
00:19:43,920 --> 00:19:46,199
Speaker 1: still a lot of mixing and matching. There's still a

395
00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:48,119
Speaker 1: lot of rotation. Are we going to start a freshman

396
00:19:48,160 --> 00:19:50,199
Speaker 1: at tackle? By the way, someone's got to tell me

397
00:19:50,280 --> 00:19:53,520
Speaker 1: that yet. Someone texts Jim Naggy, he's got to be

398
00:19:53,520 --> 00:19:54,240
Speaker 1: watching practice.

399
00:19:54,520 --> 00:19:55,320
Speaker 2: Are we going to do that?

400
00:19:55,600 --> 00:20:01,399
Speaker 1: So I I quarterback offensive coordinator.

401
00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:02,960
Speaker 2: Yes, love what they did.

402
00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:08,960
Speaker 1: Defense should be conservatively a top fifteen unit. Yes, I'm

403
00:20:09,040 --> 00:20:11,640
Speaker 1: very high on this team. They're just a couple of things, really,

404
00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:13,960
Speaker 1: the offensive line. If you could ease my concerns about

405
00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:20,520
Speaker 1: that I'd be all in Oklahoma ten. The model's not

406
00:20:20,520 --> 00:20:22,439
Speaker 1: talking about schedule. I do want to make sure I

407
00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:24,479
Speaker 1: note that I know some of you. When you do

408
00:20:24,520 --> 00:20:27,360
Speaker 1: your predictions, when you do your rankings, you factor in schedule.

409
00:20:27,880 --> 00:20:30,360
Speaker 1: There is nothing to do with schedule here. That's why

410
00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:36,160
Speaker 1: this is not predictive either. It's just static in the

411
00:20:36,200 --> 00:20:41,520
Speaker 1: same room comparative neutral field favorability. Oklahoma ten. Florida is

412
00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:44,439
Speaker 1: at nine. I told you I probably have both of

413
00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:46,840
Speaker 1: these teams top ten power ratings because I've been looking

414
00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:50,000
Speaker 1: at the computer working its way through processing all summer

415
00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:52,840
Speaker 1: and I saw what it was spitting out, and here

416
00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:55,919
Speaker 1: it is. So Florida number nine. This is with a

417
00:20:55,920 --> 00:20:59,080
Speaker 1: healthy DJ Lagway. Obviously, without him healthy, they fall off

418
00:20:59,080 --> 00:21:02,520
Speaker 1: a cliff, so don't come at me with that.

419
00:21:03,000 --> 00:21:05,639
Speaker 2: This is with a healthy DJ Lagway baked in.

420
00:21:07,240 --> 00:21:10,439
Speaker 1: There are reasons to be extremely high on their offensive line,

421
00:21:10,600 --> 00:21:13,440
Speaker 1: extremely high on their tailback position, which is also why

422
00:21:13,520 --> 00:21:15,920
Speaker 1: they are one of the most dynamic teams in the country.

423
00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:18,760
Speaker 1: And you get bonus points for that with the model's

424
00:21:18,800 --> 00:21:21,040
Speaker 1: way of looking at college football, because it looks and

425
00:21:21,080 --> 00:21:23,720
Speaker 1: it says, okay, this is Florida with a healthy, healthy

426
00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:27,679
Speaker 1: DJ Lagway. There are scenarios where Lagway gets hurt, and

427
00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:30,520
Speaker 1: while it would not have Florida at number nine, it

428
00:21:30,560 --> 00:21:33,240
Speaker 1: wouldn't drop Florida maybe as far as you would think,

429
00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:36,000
Speaker 1: because it says I think they could win a game

430
00:21:36,080 --> 00:21:38,280
Speaker 1: nineteen to sixteen if they need to, because they can

431
00:21:38,359 --> 00:21:40,639
Speaker 1: run the ball, and they should be able to steamroll

432
00:21:40,640 --> 00:21:43,480
Speaker 1: with that offensive line, and the defensive personnel should be

433
00:21:43,480 --> 00:21:48,320
Speaker 1: able to win a slugfest and hold them in contention until.

434
00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:49,360
Speaker 2: DJ Lagway gets back.

435
00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:52,200
Speaker 1: As opposed to a team that profiles is one where

436
00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:55,320
Speaker 1: the quarterback has to carry it. That's not how Florida profiles.

437
00:21:55,520 --> 00:21:58,520
Speaker 1: It's a really dynamic team. The Flora is high because

438
00:21:58,560 --> 00:22:01,520
Speaker 1: of that. The schedule's brutal, but there's nothing about schedule

439
00:22:01,600 --> 00:22:04,800
Speaker 1: baked into this. Florida at nine model has Clemson at

440
00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:12,359
Speaker 1: number eight. Huge grades on head coach, offensive coordinator, quarterback continuity. Yes,

441
00:22:13,440 --> 00:22:19,880
Speaker 1: defensive coordinator is upgraded. Yes, it's a veteran roster. Yes,

442
00:22:20,480 --> 00:22:24,000
Speaker 1: we need to remember that. While I'm pretty sure the

443
00:22:24,040 --> 00:22:27,680
Speaker 1: AP ranked Clemson higher than this, you got to understand

444
00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:32,359
Speaker 1: depth is not necessarily what you were used to a

445
00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:35,440
Speaker 1: few years ago. And while depth is not the absolute

446
00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:38,520
Speaker 1: number one metric graded here it is graded, and the

447
00:22:38,680 --> 00:22:41,520
Speaker 1: depth piece at Clemson is a little bit off the

448
00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:43,520
Speaker 1: pace of maybe some of the teams ahead of them,

449
00:22:43,920 --> 00:22:46,640
Speaker 1: not much. I told you the top is very compacted here.

450
00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:49,199
Speaker 1: So one or two points is the difference between you

451
00:22:49,280 --> 00:22:52,800
Speaker 1: being eight and you being four. But we got Clemson

452
00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:56,840
Speaker 1: at eight here Oregon is number seven, And someone's going

453
00:22:56,920 --> 00:22:58,640
Speaker 1: to look at that and say, oh, that's just cause

454
00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:02,240
Speaker 1: you're baking in a ton of recruiting ranking stuff. Yeah, absolutely,

455
00:23:02,280 --> 00:23:05,560
Speaker 1: we are. Absolutely we are. I would challenge you to

456
00:23:05,600 --> 00:23:08,840
Speaker 1: go talk to any bookmaker and say, for all the

457
00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:12,320
Speaker 1: teams like Oregon, Ohio State, you know Ohio State being

458
00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:14,920
Speaker 1: favored against Texas, how could you know that?

459
00:23:15,040 --> 00:23:15,800
Speaker 2: Well, we know.

460
00:23:15,840 --> 00:23:19,000
Speaker 1: It because we have a certain value that we give

461
00:23:19,040 --> 00:23:21,639
Speaker 1: talent acquisition. How else are you going to guess on

462
00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:24,320
Speaker 1: teams in the preseason. That's all this is, by the way,

463
00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:26,920
Speaker 1: is a guess. There is blind benefit of the doubt

464
00:23:27,160 --> 00:23:28,840
Speaker 1: that's going to be given to pretty much every team

465
00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:31,120
Speaker 1: I lift from here on out. Oregon's one of them.

466
00:23:31,600 --> 00:23:34,280
Speaker 1: The Evan Stewart injury is baked into this model. Knows

467
00:23:34,280 --> 00:23:37,640
Speaker 1: that he's out for the foreseeable future. Need Dante More

468
00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:41,160
Speaker 1: to verify it is counting on a pretty solid, high production,

469
00:23:41,840 --> 00:23:44,600
Speaker 1: high floor kind of ceiling or high floor kind of

470
00:23:45,080 --> 00:23:48,880
Speaker 1: season Rather from Dante More. The style is what's interesting.

471
00:23:49,560 --> 00:23:52,199
Speaker 1: So the model sees just a flat out different style

472
00:23:52,280 --> 00:23:55,360
Speaker 1: of Oregon this year. Maybe a little bit lower scoring,

473
00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:58,240
Speaker 1: maybe a little more ground and pound, maybe a little

474
00:23:58,240 --> 00:24:01,600
Speaker 1: more complementary, just because of the different nature. I mean,

475
00:24:01,640 --> 00:24:04,639
Speaker 1: it does not think that the wide receiver room is

476
00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:07,000
Speaker 1: nearly to the level that maybe it has been in

477
00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:07,600
Speaker 1: years past.

478
00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:09,359
Speaker 2: Just something interesting to watch.

479
00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:14,639
Speaker 1: There got Notre Dame at number six, real solid roster,

480
00:24:15,400 --> 00:24:17,800
Speaker 1: so it's a very high floor team as well. Now

481
00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:23,560
Speaker 1: the quarterback battle is ongoing, and whoever wins that is,

482
00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:26,679
Speaker 1: whoever wins that, that's what's keeping them at six, I think.

483
00:24:27,040 --> 00:24:30,240
Speaker 1: But the upside is capped until we know that the

484
00:24:30,280 --> 00:24:33,880
Speaker 1: upside's cap. Now what's interesting is total inverse from Oregon.

485
00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:35,920
Speaker 1: The Model thinks Notre Dame has got its best wide

486
00:24:35,960 --> 00:24:38,160
Speaker 1: receiver room in quite a while. You got the guy

487
00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:40,320
Speaker 1: that can get them the ball. Got Notre Dame at

488
00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:42,919
Speaker 1: number six, because if you can't get them the ball,

489
00:24:43,240 --> 00:24:45,399
Speaker 1: it's not the end of the world. You play solid defense.

490
00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:47,720
Speaker 1: You got a really good ground game. Notre Dame at six,

491
00:24:47,760 --> 00:24:51,639
Speaker 1: Alabama's number five, And I don't know what my ranking

492
00:24:51,640 --> 00:24:52,560
Speaker 1: Onbama would be.

493
00:24:52,880 --> 00:24:54,920
Speaker 2: I may have them slightly.

494
00:24:54,640 --> 00:24:57,040
Speaker 1: Higher than that, not much higher than that, but I

495
00:24:57,480 --> 00:24:59,280
Speaker 1: could interchange a lot of these teams at the top

496
00:24:59,359 --> 00:25:02,560
Speaker 1: right now. Really one of the best rosters in the country.

497
00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:06,800
Speaker 1: The model is questioning offensive balance with Alabama, which is

498
00:25:06,880 --> 00:25:09,280
Speaker 1: understandable because they sucked running the ball last year by

499
00:25:09,320 --> 00:25:12,520
Speaker 1: their standard, and so you know, I've listened to them

500
00:25:12,560 --> 00:25:15,119
Speaker 1: talk a lot about how they love what jam Miller's

501
00:25:15,160 --> 00:25:17,919
Speaker 1: given them, and really they liked their tailback room pretty

502
00:25:17,960 --> 00:25:20,679
Speaker 1: good there. They like their offensive line, but you know

503
00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:23,520
Speaker 1: what they did last year, and it was just it

504
00:25:23,720 --> 00:25:27,040
Speaker 1: was non existent. Offensive balance was non existent. Now a

505
00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:29,800
Speaker 1: lot of that will be rectified because of a more

506
00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:34,000
Speaker 1: dependable presence at quarterback. Not meaning Ty Simpson makes the

507
00:25:34,080 --> 00:25:37,640
Speaker 1: high level plays that Jalen Milroe does, but Ty Simpson's

508
00:25:37,640 --> 00:25:41,159
Speaker 1: a more consistent player than Jalen Milroe was, and that

509
00:25:41,280 --> 00:25:43,800
Speaker 1: makes it a whole lot easier to execute a game

510
00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:45,840
Speaker 1: plan week in and week out. Have a lot more

511
00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:48,800
Speaker 1: of an identity, and that's probably where you along with

512
00:25:48,800 --> 00:25:51,800
Speaker 1: the addition of Ryan Grubb, at offensive coordinator, commit to

513
00:25:51,840 --> 00:25:55,080
Speaker 1: the ground game a little bit, more dB and wide

514
00:25:55,080 --> 00:25:58,240
Speaker 1: receiver rooms pretty incredible here. So Ty Simpson got named

515
00:25:58,280 --> 00:26:01,359
Speaker 1: the starting quarterback there. If that comes together. Bama is

516
00:26:01,359 --> 00:26:03,560
Speaker 1: too low at five. But because of those concerns, we

517
00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:06,480
Speaker 1: got Bama five. We got Penn State at number four,

518
00:26:06,760 --> 00:26:09,920
Speaker 1: which is significant because the highest they were at any

519
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:14,359
Speaker 1: point last year was five. So this opens Penn State

520
00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:19,119
Speaker 1: higher at a power rating, not ranking power rating than

521
00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:21,359
Speaker 1: they were at any point last year. And it's very simple.

522
00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:25,480
Speaker 1: The wide receiver editions, that's what the model saw. Elsewhere.

523
00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:29,840
Speaker 1: The team's pretty much the team and so I mean

524
00:26:29,960 --> 00:26:33,040
Speaker 1: it's very very straightforward. Some of this stuff you have

525
00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:35,040
Speaker 1: to explain. You have to explain much with Penn State.

526
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:37,720
Speaker 1: Good team, loaded team, best shot they've had in a while,

527
00:26:38,040 --> 00:26:41,600
Speaker 1: more dynamic players in that wide receiver room. We'll see

528
00:26:41,720 --> 00:26:46,520
Speaker 1: number three Georgia. As you may remember, back in spring,

529
00:26:46,600 --> 00:26:50,639
Speaker 1: I put out my own personal post spring rankings, like

530
00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:52,520
Speaker 1: the only time I've ever done that. I had Georgia

531
00:26:52,520 --> 00:26:55,159
Speaker 1: outside the top ten. I think eleven, not far outside

532
00:26:55,200 --> 00:26:56,919
Speaker 1: the top ten. I just had a lot of questions

533
00:26:56,920 --> 00:26:57,320
Speaker 1: about him.

534
00:26:57,359 --> 00:26:57,920
Speaker 2: I still do.

535
00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:00,680
Speaker 1: But I told you when the Jay the people comes

536
00:27:00,720 --> 00:27:03,240
Speaker 1: out in the fall. Georgia will not be close to

537
00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:05,800
Speaker 1: number eleven. They'll be closer to number one than number eleven,

538
00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:09,639
Speaker 1: and lo the hole they are. Talent staff, one of

539
00:27:09,640 --> 00:27:11,720
Speaker 1: the best talent rosters in the country, one of the

540
00:27:11,760 --> 00:27:13,920
Speaker 1: best coaching staffs in the country, maybe the best coaching

541
00:27:13,960 --> 00:27:16,840
Speaker 1: staff in the country. There's just such a high floor.

542
00:27:16,960 --> 00:27:20,800
Speaker 1: It is so hard in a power rating format for

543
00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:24,080
Speaker 1: Georgia to be lower than fifth. They can lose multiple games.

544
00:27:24,560 --> 00:27:26,800
Speaker 1: We're talking about who they would and wouldn't be favored

545
00:27:26,800 --> 00:27:31,320
Speaker 1: against the following week. There's just hardly anyone that would be.

546
00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:32,160
Speaker 2: Favored over Georgia.

547
00:27:32,800 --> 00:27:36,080
Speaker 1: By the model's estimation, two teams would be favored neutral

548
00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:39,760
Speaker 1: field over Georgia. Ohio State's one of them. Do you

549
00:27:39,800 --> 00:27:44,080
Speaker 1: believe that by the way they played in Nashville tomorrow

550
00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:47,040
Speaker 1: or Week one? Who do you think would be favored? Well,

551
00:27:47,040 --> 00:27:49,920
Speaker 1: the model would favor Ohio State by like two tenths

552
00:27:49,960 --> 00:27:54,960
Speaker 1: of a point. Again, like Georgia, talent and staff doesn't matter.

553
00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:59,880
Speaker 1: If all the players are new, they're new starters. They're

554
00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:02,760
Speaker 1: the first year players, are a different breed of player

555
00:28:02,840 --> 00:28:05,200
Speaker 1: than most of your first year players. And I'm gonna

556
00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:07,520
Speaker 1: say that about number one in a second two Week

557
00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:10,040
Speaker 1: one versus Week six is important to note with them.

558
00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:13,879
Speaker 1: With these teams that are ultra high talent level, but

559
00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:17,400
Speaker 1: they're breaking in new players, they tend to scale their

560
00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:21,199
Speaker 1: performance pretty precipitously throughout the year. So the version of

561
00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:23,560
Speaker 1: them in Week one against Texas, they may win or

562
00:28:23,600 --> 00:28:24,920
Speaker 1: lose by thirteen points.

563
00:28:25,160 --> 00:28:26,440
Speaker 2: Look at them in week six.

564
00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:29,560
Speaker 1: The defensive line drop off, by the way, is a

565
00:28:29,600 --> 00:28:32,679
Speaker 1: moderate concern for the Model. The number one team in

566
00:28:32,720 --> 00:28:36,880
Speaker 1: the country according to the Model JP Poll, number one

567
00:28:37,000 --> 00:28:42,880
Speaker 1: preseason team. Congratulations to Steve Sarkisian. Congratulations to Brandon Harris

568
00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:45,400
Speaker 1: and the entire personnel department out there. I know that

569
00:28:45,520 --> 00:28:48,360
Speaker 1: more than a national championship itself, this is what you

570
00:28:48,400 --> 00:28:51,560
Speaker 1: guys have been gunning for, to be rated number one

571
00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:55,160
Speaker 1: in the preseason JP pole. Texas has done it to

572
00:28:55,200 --> 00:28:57,600
Speaker 1: What do we have for them? Where's the I'm sure

573
00:28:57,600 --> 00:29:01,160
Speaker 1: we've got a trophy somewhere. There is such a level

574
00:29:01,280 --> 00:29:04,800
Speaker 1: of blind trust that the Model has in Texas it's

575
00:29:04,840 --> 00:29:07,840
Speaker 1: almost egregious. This is not a this year thing. The

576
00:29:07,960 --> 00:29:10,680
Speaker 1: Model has been drunk on Texas for a long time,

577
00:29:11,480 --> 00:29:16,320
Speaker 1: and it could not pass. It could not pass many

578
00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:19,280
Speaker 1: field sobriety tests right now in the analytics world when

579
00:29:19,280 --> 00:29:23,160
Speaker 1: it comes to the way it views Texas. But I'm

580
00:29:23,200 --> 00:29:25,920
Speaker 1: told that the coaches poll and the AP polls kind

581
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:29,240
Speaker 1: of the same. I mean, there's just it's a power roster.

582
00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:32,280
Speaker 1: Remember we were out there in the spring, and you know,

583
00:29:32,280 --> 00:29:34,479
Speaker 1: if you're looking from the outside, you see they got

584
00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:37,320
Speaker 1: to replace a lot of players. Sark didn't bat deny.

585
00:29:37,760 --> 00:29:40,920
Speaker 1: He told us, yeah, I mean, we've got challenges, but

586
00:29:41,080 --> 00:29:44,280
Speaker 1: we've been building towards this year. These are all of

587
00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:47,840
Speaker 1: our guys now, whole buildings full of our guys. We

588
00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:50,800
Speaker 1: got arch Manning. This is now his year. We've been

589
00:29:50,800 --> 00:29:53,840
Speaker 1: building towards this year, so it's no surprise that they

590
00:29:54,040 --> 00:29:56,800
Speaker 1: enter at number one. We got number one versus number

591
00:29:56,800 --> 00:29:59,200
Speaker 1: two to start the year, by the way, number one

592
00:29:59,240 --> 00:30:01,560
Speaker 1: versus number two there in Columbus, Ohio. All right, some

593
00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:03,760
Speaker 1: things I want to tell you as you look at

594
00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:07,080
Speaker 1: the preseason JP pull one through ten, they're on your screen.

595
00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:11,800
Speaker 1: The gap between number one and number eight was under

596
00:30:11,880 --> 00:30:14,479
Speaker 1: five points. I don't know when we've ever seen that.

597
00:30:15,560 --> 00:30:19,040
Speaker 1: The gap between number nine and number twenty.

598
00:30:18,760 --> 00:30:20,440
Speaker 2: Two is five points.

599
00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:23,320
Speaker 1: I don't know when we've ever seen that. And the

600
00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:28,520
Speaker 1: gap between number twenty one and forty three is five points,

601
00:30:29,000 --> 00:30:32,680
Speaker 1: which means there will be people who unnecessarily get been

602
00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:35,680
Speaker 1: out of shape. Their team was twenty seventh and they

603
00:30:35,680 --> 00:30:37,920
Speaker 1: think they should be twenty first. You're not even art,

604
00:30:37,960 --> 00:30:40,239
Speaker 1: you're not even disagreeing with me. The difference there is

605
00:30:40,280 --> 00:30:43,400
Speaker 1: one and a quarter point. We don't I mean, a

606
00:30:43,440 --> 00:30:45,640
Speaker 1: slight breeze of five miles an hour to the east

607
00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:48,120
Speaker 1: affects your special teams and is worth one one and

608
00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:53,720
Speaker 1: one quarter point in a game. So do more defined

609
00:30:53,840 --> 00:30:57,280
Speaker 1: tiers start to form as the season goes on, or

610
00:30:57,320 --> 00:30:58,880
Speaker 1: is it like that the whole year? If it's like

611
00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:00,720
Speaker 1: that the whole year, I'm telling you I have never

612
00:31:00,800 --> 00:31:04,600
Speaker 1: seen a season that profiles as a two thousand and

613
00:31:04,640 --> 00:31:07,160
Speaker 1: seven repeat, more so than what I'm looking at on

614
00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:09,440
Speaker 1: these pieces of paper right now, Because if the field

615
00:31:09,480 --> 00:31:12,240
Speaker 1: stays this compacted, I'm just telling you you're gonna have

616
00:31:12,360 --> 00:31:16,120
Speaker 1: upset after upset after upset. You're gonna have chaos and anarchy.

617
00:31:16,480 --> 00:31:19,560
Speaker 1: Not just in the top you know, twenty five, but

618
00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:23,560
Speaker 1: in the top five to ten. I remember the stats

619
00:31:23,600 --> 00:31:25,480
Speaker 1: in two thousand and seven. Maybe we need to revisit

620
00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:28,560
Speaker 1: that for some of our younger viewers who they were,

621
00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:31,480
Speaker 1: I guess probably alive, but they don't remember it. Two

622
00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:35,200
Speaker 1: thousand and seven was like its own movie. Maybe we've

623
00:31:35,200 --> 00:31:39,080
Speaker 1: got it about to happen again, and we'll be on

624
00:31:39,120 --> 00:31:41,800
Speaker 1: the road off all. You know why, because we are

625
00:31:41,880 --> 00:31:44,920
Speaker 1: powered and fueled by Quick Trip. We are proud to

626
00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:47,600
Speaker 1: partner with them. They've been with us for over a

627
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:51,320
Speaker 1: year now. In every way they fuel us. Cold brew

628
00:31:51,360 --> 00:31:56,280
Speaker 1: on tap to fuel you as a human, various forms

629
00:31:56,320 --> 00:32:01,840
Speaker 1: of gasoline to fuel your vehicle, you, snacks to fuel

630
00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:07,280
Speaker 1: your hunger, and very very personable staff to fuel your

631
00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:11,480
Speaker 1: social needs. Also, is there a better logo? Some would

632
00:32:11,520 --> 00:32:14,560
Speaker 1: say yes, and you're wrong. That's not even a matter

633
00:32:14,560 --> 00:32:16,720
Speaker 1: of opinion. That's not on a prompter. We don't own

634
00:32:16,760 --> 00:32:18,920
Speaker 1: a tell a prompter. I'm just telling you that's a

635
00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:22,480
Speaker 1: beautiful logo. It's a beautiful partner, a beautiful place to be.

636
00:32:22,680 --> 00:32:24,480
Speaker 1: We love a cat or we love a Quick Trip

637
00:32:24,560 --> 00:32:26,600
Speaker 1: and Academy. We'll talk about them later in the show

638
00:32:26,680 --> 00:32:30,640
Speaker 1: and they will yet again fuel our adventures this fall

639
00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:33,440
Speaker 1: on a tour that will be named in the next

640
00:32:33,440 --> 00:32:41,960
Speaker 1: few days. Okay, Fall, Intel Bradley that's a that's a

641
00:32:41,960 --> 00:32:43,840
Speaker 1: poor intro, so I'll give you a better one here

642
00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:46,959
Speaker 1: for you to clip this video later. Fall camps are

643
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:49,760
Speaker 1: going on all across the country. Some of the latest scoops,

644
00:32:49,800 --> 00:32:51,960
Speaker 1: some of the latest whispers and intel were getting let

645
00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:55,680
Speaker 1: me start at Oklahoma. I know that the internet has

646
00:32:55,720 --> 00:32:59,040
Speaker 1: been a buzz over the past twenty four or yeah,

647
00:32:59,040 --> 00:33:03,400
Speaker 1: about twenty four hours with this whole John Matteer, Venmo

648
00:33:03,680 --> 00:33:06,640
Speaker 1: sports betting scandal and woms to amongst us. Has never

649
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:08,320
Speaker 1: been caught up in one of those.

650
00:33:09,040 --> 00:33:11,880
Speaker 2: But I have great news. It's over.

651
00:33:12,360 --> 00:33:15,040
Speaker 1: It's over because he put a statement out on Twitter.

652
00:33:16,240 --> 00:33:19,680
Speaker 1: And I don't know if you're familiar with the legal process,

653
00:33:20,280 --> 00:33:22,520
Speaker 1: but once you put a statement on Twitter, it's done.

654
00:33:22,640 --> 00:33:26,160
Speaker 1: So I'm happy, like my questions have been answered. Real talk,

655
00:33:26,360 --> 00:33:27,960
Speaker 1: I don't think this is going to be a big issue.

656
00:33:28,280 --> 00:33:29,920
Speaker 1: You can think what you want about it. Everyone's got

657
00:33:29,920 --> 00:33:31,320
Speaker 1: an opinion on it. I'm just saying I don't think

658
00:33:31,320 --> 00:33:32,760
Speaker 1: it's going to be a big issue in two weeks

659
00:33:32,760 --> 00:33:34,760
Speaker 1: from now. I don't think many people will be talking

660
00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:36,920
Speaker 1: about it. But I didn't comment on it last night

661
00:33:36,920 --> 00:33:39,520
Speaker 1: because I don't have a clue what the truth is.

662
00:33:40,280 --> 00:33:42,720
Speaker 1: Other than the statement on Twitter. But I will say

663
00:33:42,800 --> 00:33:46,200
Speaker 1: about Oklahoma's fall camp so far, defense ahead of the

664
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:49,280
Speaker 1: offense not the biggest breaking news. That's the case at

665
00:33:49,280 --> 00:33:51,840
Speaker 1: a lot of places. The difference is, I think the

666
00:33:51,880 --> 00:33:55,200
Speaker 1: offense will be okay here. The interior of this defensive

667
00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:58,880
Speaker 1: line is a big plus. They got really three sophomores

668
00:33:58,920 --> 00:34:00,280
Speaker 1: that we're looking at that we keep here, and good

669
00:34:00,280 --> 00:34:05,640
Speaker 1: stuff about one of them, like Reggie Powers and Devin

670
00:34:05,720 --> 00:34:09,919
Speaker 1: Jordan at dB, but Jaden Jackson at defensive line. There

671
00:34:09,960 --> 00:34:13,400
Speaker 1: are players that look like they're supposed to look at Oklahoma.

672
00:34:13,719 --> 00:34:16,399
Speaker 1: There are players that can take over games here. There's

673
00:34:16,440 --> 00:34:18,360
Speaker 1: still on the other side, a lot of rotation at

674
00:34:18,440 --> 00:34:22,520
Speaker 1: offensive line, which I don't necessarily love. But that's what

675
00:34:22,560 --> 00:34:25,120
Speaker 1: God invented fall camp for. Is Mima always taught me.

676
00:34:25,840 --> 00:34:27,320
Speaker 1: I don't know if you've read the papers. Got a

677
00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:29,600
Speaker 1: pretty good offensive line coach out there, so we think

678
00:34:29,640 --> 00:34:35,880
Speaker 1: they'll get that figured out. But just a question, are

679
00:34:35,880 --> 00:34:38,320
Speaker 1: you guys going to start a true freshman at tackle?

680
00:34:38,840 --> 00:34:41,160
Speaker 1: Five stars but true freshman? Let's just keep an.

681
00:34:41,040 --> 00:34:41,440
Speaker 2: Eye on that.

682
00:34:41,520 --> 00:34:47,040
Speaker 1: Notre Dame quarterback battle still going on. I will admit

683
00:34:47,320 --> 00:34:49,600
Speaker 1: I thought this would be settled by now. So I

684
00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:53,920
Speaker 1: was wrong about this, and I am wrong in the

685
00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:56,239
Speaker 1: sense that I thought in the spring CJ. Carr would

686
00:34:56,280 --> 00:34:58,600
Speaker 1: lock this job down. Now maybe he will. In fact,

687
00:34:58,680 --> 00:35:01,279
Speaker 1: I think he eventually will, but I don't know. It's

688
00:35:01,280 --> 00:35:05,040
Speaker 1: still neck and neck, So it could be Kenny Minschee,

689
00:35:05,080 --> 00:35:05,720
Speaker 1: it could be CJ.

690
00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:06,040
Speaker 2: Carr.

691
00:35:06,120 --> 00:35:09,160
Speaker 1: I'm just saying what I hope doesn't happen here is

692
00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:11,919
Speaker 1: that thing lingers and no one really grabs the job,

693
00:35:12,000 --> 00:35:15,240
Speaker 1: and they waste what should be a really really upgraded

694
00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:18,040
Speaker 1: wide receiver room. So that's what we're watching for there.

695
00:35:18,440 --> 00:35:23,040
Speaker 1: They hit on Will Pauling get out of Wisconsin, Malachi

696
00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:25,480
Speaker 1: Field's out of Virginia. They got a good receiver room,

697
00:35:25,520 --> 00:35:27,960
Speaker 1: man like, they feel really good about it. I feel

698
00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:30,880
Speaker 1: really good about it. That plus Faison and great House,

699
00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:34,000
Speaker 1: who were already there. I mean, this is a drastically

700
00:35:34,120 --> 00:35:37,200
Speaker 1: upgraded wide receiver room. We're saying that about Penn State,

701
00:35:37,239 --> 00:35:40,480
Speaker 1: but I'm saying that about Notre Dame too, And I

702
00:35:40,480 --> 00:35:43,319
Speaker 1: feel really good about corner linebacker. Feel really good. There's

703
00:35:43,360 --> 00:35:45,640
Speaker 1: a lot to feel good about with Notre Dame. Quarterback

704
00:35:45,640 --> 00:35:46,600
Speaker 1: battles still going on.

705
00:35:47,000 --> 00:35:47,200
Speaker 2: Now.

706
00:35:47,239 --> 00:35:49,440
Speaker 1: Remember one of the big lies they tell in college

707
00:35:49,480 --> 00:35:52,319
Speaker 1: football sometimes is if you got two quarterbacks, you don't

708
00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:56,120
Speaker 1: have any cause. Sometimes that's a lie, sometimes it's true.

709
00:35:56,200 --> 00:36:00,319
Speaker 1: Sometimes it really is that no one's emerged. You don't

710
00:36:00,520 --> 00:36:02,920
Speaker 1: think that's the case here. And for the record, I'm

711
00:36:02,960 --> 00:36:05,400
Speaker 1: still calling Carr. I still think CJ. Car will win

712
00:36:05,440 --> 00:36:09,799
Speaker 1: this job. But until they make an announcement, man, there's

713
00:36:09,800 --> 00:36:11,359
Speaker 1: some rumors here in there that we may have an

714
00:36:11,360 --> 00:36:14,359
Speaker 1: announcement soon. But until they make an announcement, it's coin

715
00:36:14,400 --> 00:36:19,360
Speaker 1: flip fsu. As you may recall. As you may recall,

716
00:36:19,480 --> 00:36:24,280
Speaker 1: last year, Florida State sucked water through a garden hose offensively. Again,

717
00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:26,880
Speaker 1: as me mal would say, they were one hundred and

718
00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:28,879
Speaker 1: thirty first in offensive points per game.

719
00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:30,480
Speaker 2: What do we got?

720
00:36:30,480 --> 00:36:33,759
Speaker 1: One hundred and thirty five or six teams? So you know,

721
00:36:33,800 --> 00:36:36,560
Speaker 1: glass half full is it could have been worse, not

722
00:36:36,719 --> 00:36:41,440
Speaker 1: much worse. And then in comes Gus Malson, and I

723
00:36:41,480 --> 00:36:44,960
Speaker 1: am convinced that some of you do recognize the offseason

724
00:36:45,200 --> 00:36:47,600
Speaker 1: to the point where it is breaking news to you

725
00:36:47,960 --> 00:36:50,759
Speaker 1: when I tell you, did you know Gus Malson's not

726
00:36:50,800 --> 00:36:53,120
Speaker 1: the head coach at Central Florida anymore? Did you know

727
00:36:53,160 --> 00:36:57,319
Speaker 1: he's the offensive coordinator at FSU. That really happened while

728
00:36:57,360 --> 00:37:00,960
Speaker 1: you were irresponsibly spending time with your wife, in your family,

729
00:37:01,400 --> 00:37:04,200
Speaker 1: or while you were enrolled in summer courses to try

730
00:37:04,200 --> 00:37:06,879
Speaker 1: and get ahead on your academic track, and you weren't

731
00:37:06,880 --> 00:37:09,800
Speaker 1: paying attention to spring ball, and you weren't paying attention

732
00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:12,040
Speaker 1: to summer workouts like you should have been doing. Yeah,

733
00:37:12,080 --> 00:37:15,960
Speaker 1: Gus Malson took the FSU job, So they also got

734
00:37:16,040 --> 00:37:18,960
Speaker 1: Tommy cas A Castellanos, which is a tough last name

735
00:37:19,000 --> 00:37:23,360
Speaker 1: to say, especially if you dabbled in Spanish.

736
00:37:22,960 --> 00:37:24,719
Speaker 2: A semester or two like I did.

737
00:37:24,920 --> 00:37:28,040
Speaker 1: But you're going to get based on the feedback we're

738
00:37:28,080 --> 00:37:31,319
Speaker 1: getting from FSU's fall camp, which is tough to come by.

739
00:37:31,400 --> 00:37:34,440
Speaker 1: Trust me, you're gonna get some pop plays with him.

740
00:37:34,760 --> 00:37:37,880
Speaker 1: You're not gonna pair a player of his profile with

741
00:37:38,000 --> 00:37:41,239
Speaker 1: Gus Malson and not have some wow moments. But I'm

742
00:37:41,280 --> 00:37:43,600
Speaker 1: telling you what I think you will have is you'll

743
00:37:43,600 --> 00:37:47,799
Speaker 1: have some face palm moments. Consistency is the name of

744
00:37:47,840 --> 00:37:49,880
Speaker 1: the game, and I don't know that I can count

745
00:37:49,880 --> 00:37:50,440
Speaker 1: on it from them.

746
00:37:50,440 --> 00:37:51,440
Speaker 2: Offensively, out of.

747
00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:57,160
Speaker 1: The gate, they were twelve four fifty on passes of

748
00:37:57,200 --> 00:38:01,480
Speaker 1: twenty plus yards in the air, last year, three touchdowns,

749
00:38:01,480 --> 00:38:05,919
Speaker 1: five picks. They feel better about the offensive line. We'll

750
00:38:05,960 --> 00:38:08,120
Speaker 1: see on that. But they're going to have like anywhere

751
00:38:08,160 --> 00:38:11,000
Speaker 1: between six and eight true freshmen, and they're too deep.

752
00:38:12,120 --> 00:38:15,400
Speaker 1: I Bogg's probably gonna start at wide receiver, probably the

753
00:38:15,480 --> 00:38:18,399
Speaker 1: third wide receiver. It's just they gotta face Bama out

754
00:38:18,440 --> 00:38:20,439
Speaker 1: of the gate. I really wish they didn't. I really

755
00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:23,200
Speaker 1: wish they had East Texas A and m Kent State

756
00:38:23,320 --> 00:38:25,320
Speaker 1: and just throw Bama somewhere later in the year, or

757
00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:28,920
Speaker 1: don't play them, you know, adopt the SEC scheduling model,

758
00:38:28,960 --> 00:38:32,680
Speaker 1: as some people in rural Indiana call it. But they

759
00:38:32,680 --> 00:38:34,440
Speaker 1: got to face Bama out the gate. I don't like

760
00:38:34,480 --> 00:38:37,280
Speaker 1: the matchup. I just hope it's not the kind of game.

761
00:38:38,280 --> 00:38:40,799
Speaker 1: I hope Mike Norvel was right in what he said

762
00:38:40,800 --> 00:38:42,359
Speaker 1: to us when we went down there in the spring,

763
00:38:42,680 --> 00:38:45,279
Speaker 1: because he was on the show and he said, I

764
00:38:45,320 --> 00:38:46,120
Speaker 1: think we made.

765
00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:46,600
Speaker 2: The right moves.

766
00:38:46,880 --> 00:38:48,560
Speaker 1: I think we got the right people in the building,

767
00:38:48,600 --> 00:38:50,680
Speaker 1: and I believe that he believes that he wouldn't be

768
00:38:50,840 --> 00:38:51,319
Speaker 1: s and us.

769
00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:53,560
Speaker 2: But then you got to play the.

770
00:38:53,520 --> 00:38:57,120
Speaker 1: Games, and if you're competitive, would Bama win or loss?

771
00:38:57,120 --> 00:39:01,600
Speaker 1: If you're competitive, everyone believes. But after last year. A

772
00:39:01,719 --> 00:39:05,200
Speaker 1: million dollar question around there is how mentally tough is

773
00:39:05,239 --> 00:39:08,320
Speaker 1: Florida State football? And that's up to Mike Norvela and

774
00:39:08,360 --> 00:39:11,319
Speaker 1: his staff, But ultimately it's up to those players because

775
00:39:11,360 --> 00:39:13,400
Speaker 1: if it doesn't go your way in Week one, you

776
00:39:13,480 --> 00:39:16,680
Speaker 1: got eleven more of them and you died as a

777
00:39:16,719 --> 00:39:19,200
Speaker 1: team last year and you can't have that happen two

778
00:39:19,239 --> 00:39:22,960
Speaker 1: years in a row. So the consistency thing, that's the

779
00:39:22,960 --> 00:39:27,160
Speaker 1: big question there. What about Oregon, It's gonna be Dante

780
00:39:27,280 --> 00:39:30,120
Speaker 1: Moore at quarterback. I'm gonna go up there later this week. Actually,

781
00:39:30,200 --> 00:39:31,879
Speaker 1: I don't think I said anything about that. I don't

782
00:39:31,880 --> 00:39:34,280
Speaker 1: think I'm supposed to say anything about it. But yeah,

783
00:39:34,320 --> 00:39:37,359
Speaker 1: it's gonna be Dante Moore's job, I think. But the

784
00:39:37,400 --> 00:39:40,839
Speaker 1: good news is Austin Nova Sad has really pushed here,

785
00:39:41,360 --> 00:39:43,160
Speaker 1: and I don't think it's called Dante Moore has been

786
00:39:43,200 --> 00:39:46,120
Speaker 1: terrible or anything like that. They just acquire good quarterback

787
00:39:46,160 --> 00:39:49,840
Speaker 1: talent up there. Now, here's what I'm wondering about Oregon,

788
00:39:49,840 --> 00:39:53,120
Speaker 1: And here's what I keep asking about. Evan Stewart's out

789
00:39:53,120 --> 00:39:56,040
Speaker 1: of the picture for a little while, Tess Johnson's gone.

790
00:39:57,960 --> 00:40:00,759
Speaker 1: Do they have the wide receiver personnel to backfield, and

791
00:40:00,800 --> 00:40:03,560
Speaker 1: I don't know that they do. They're not gonna be

792
00:40:03,680 --> 00:40:06,920
Speaker 1: like just completely porous at the ride receiver position. But

793
00:40:07,320 --> 00:40:10,560
Speaker 1: I wouldn't be surprised at all. If you watch Oregon, Bradley,

794
00:40:10,560 --> 00:40:12,319
Speaker 1: do me a favor. If you've got their schedule, throw

795
00:40:12,320 --> 00:40:15,320
Speaker 1: it up. If you don't, it's okay. But I wouldn't

796
00:40:15,360 --> 00:40:18,200
Speaker 1: be surprised when you watch Oregon this year if you

797
00:40:18,280 --> 00:40:22,480
Speaker 1: didn't say, wow, man, that offensive profile, that offensive identity

798
00:40:22,840 --> 00:40:23,760
Speaker 1: feels a little different.

799
00:40:23,800 --> 00:40:25,719
Speaker 2: It just may have to be that way. You may

800
00:40:25,760 --> 00:40:26,279
Speaker 2: not have the.

801
00:40:26,239 --> 00:40:28,600
Speaker 1: Game wreckers out wide that you normally have. And that's

802
00:40:28,640 --> 00:40:30,359
Speaker 1: even if we can count on Dante more to get

803
00:40:30,360 --> 00:40:32,960
Speaker 1: the ball to him, probably less eleven personnel. I mean

804
00:40:33,000 --> 00:40:35,960
Speaker 1: listening to will Stein, the offensive coordinator, talk about that

805
00:40:36,800 --> 00:40:40,359
Speaker 1: edge room is really good here, dB feel pretty good here,

806
00:40:40,840 --> 00:40:44,239
Speaker 1: so good returns so far. I just it may be

807
00:40:44,400 --> 00:40:47,360
Speaker 1: they gotta win different ways. That may be the case.

808
00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:53,000
Speaker 1: Fall Intel is great, love it. I'm gonna be on

809
00:40:53,040 --> 00:40:54,360
Speaker 1: the road, man, I've got.

810
00:40:54,160 --> 00:40:56,359
Speaker 2: A really aggressive travel schedule coming up.

811
00:40:56,600 --> 00:40:59,320
Speaker 1: I'm gonna see three different camps, a couple of scrimmages

812
00:40:59,360 --> 00:41:04,480
Speaker 1: over the next a few days. So yep, as much

813
00:41:04,480 --> 00:41:06,280
Speaker 1: as we can talk about on air, we'll talk about

814
00:41:06,320 --> 00:41:09,440
Speaker 1: some of these places like Alcatraz. So you have to

815
00:41:09,440 --> 00:41:12,640
Speaker 1: assign a blood oath and then cover your mouth with

816
00:41:12,719 --> 00:41:16,080
Speaker 1: duct tape and turn in your keys and your cell phone.

817
00:41:16,320 --> 00:41:16,920
Speaker 2: That's okay.

818
00:41:17,000 --> 00:41:18,319
Speaker 1: At least we get out on the road and get

819
00:41:18,360 --> 00:41:21,440
Speaker 1: some sun. Let's move on. Happy to have you all

820
00:41:21,440 --> 00:41:26,879
Speaker 1: with us. Remember remember, as I contribute to the live

821
00:41:26,960 --> 00:41:30,920
Speaker 1: chat there, we do this show all year. I know

822
00:41:31,000 --> 00:41:33,960
Speaker 1: some of you watch just during the season. Which to that,

823
00:41:34,040 --> 00:41:36,000
Speaker 1: I say, why what else do you have to do

824
00:41:36,280 --> 00:41:42,320
Speaker 1: in February Valentine's Day? Make sure you subscribe to the channel.

825
00:41:42,719 --> 00:41:44,719
Speaker 1: That's really the only request. I mean, it's free. It

826
00:41:44,760 --> 00:41:47,759
Speaker 1: doesn't change anything for you. It just helps me put

827
00:41:47,800 --> 00:41:50,319
Speaker 1: food on the table for Bradley. Really, at the end

828
00:41:50,320 --> 00:41:52,000
Speaker 1: of the day, that's what it's all about. If you

829
00:41:52,040 --> 00:41:55,360
Speaker 1: don't like me, that's okay. Don't you want to feed Bradley?

830
00:41:56,239 --> 00:42:00,000
Speaker 1: For just one subscription you can feed a director tonight.

831
00:42:00,640 --> 00:42:03,080
Speaker 1: Several of you, several of you need to subscribe to

832
00:42:03,080 --> 00:42:06,200
Speaker 1: feed a director tonight or else it's Hormel again for Bradley,

833
00:42:06,600 --> 00:42:10,880
Speaker 1: he deserves better. The AP pole has dropped, The JP

834
00:42:11,080 --> 00:42:14,120
Speaker 1: pole has dropped, so naturally, I thought it wise to

835
00:42:14,160 --> 00:42:16,560
Speaker 1: take some time on the show tonight and look at

836
00:42:16,560 --> 00:42:20,040
Speaker 1: the fact that every AP voter should be fired. Why

837
00:42:20,120 --> 00:42:22,239
Speaker 1: because I'm not one. I don't think I would take

838
00:42:22,280 --> 00:42:24,240
Speaker 1: on the role that they offered, but they have not offered,

839
00:42:24,520 --> 00:42:26,800
Speaker 1: and so until then, this pole is our mortal enemy.

840
00:42:27,200 --> 00:42:29,600
Speaker 1: We've never really agreed with it all that much. For

841
00:42:29,680 --> 00:42:32,080
Speaker 1: the record, there it is. If you're listening on podcasts,

842
00:42:32,080 --> 00:42:34,680
Speaker 1: don't worry, you're not missing much. The SEC and the

843
00:42:34,719 --> 00:42:39,080
Speaker 1: Big ten have fourteen of the top twenty teams. So

844
00:42:39,120 --> 00:42:42,400
Speaker 1: every time someone blames me and calls me a homer, Hey,

845
00:42:42,480 --> 00:42:45,040
Speaker 1: I got nothing to do with this. It's them.

846
00:42:45,400 --> 00:42:45,839
Speaker 2: It's them.

847
00:42:45,920 --> 00:42:49,960
Speaker 1: It's not me, it's them. Shame on them. We just

848
00:42:49,960 --> 00:42:53,040
Speaker 1: have full trust in Texas. Everybody does well, not so fast,

849
00:42:53,200 --> 00:42:56,600
Speaker 1: because the AP had six different teams get first place votes.

850
00:42:56,880 --> 00:42:59,880
Speaker 1: Now Texas was number one, but six different teams got

851
00:43:00,040 --> 00:43:04,280
Speaker 1: first place votes. For the record, Boise is the highest

852
00:43:04,320 --> 00:43:07,279
Speaker 1: ranked G five team. They're twenty five. I don't think

853
00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:09,479
Speaker 1: it's by accident. They're twenty five. I think they looked

854
00:43:09,480 --> 00:43:11,360
Speaker 1: around and said, we need a G five team to

855
00:43:11,360 --> 00:43:11,840
Speaker 1: be ranked.

856
00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:16,040
Speaker 2: Who is it? Boise put them twenty five. This is

857
00:43:16,040 --> 00:43:16,719
Speaker 2: of course wrong.

858
00:43:16,960 --> 00:43:20,880
Speaker 1: So let's go through this and let's just compare what

859
00:43:21,040 --> 00:43:23,759
Speaker 1: the AP thinks about these teams versus the JP pole. Now,

860
00:43:23,760 --> 00:43:26,200
Speaker 1: these are two different things that we're trying to accomplish here.

861
00:43:26,480 --> 00:43:29,000
Speaker 1: The AP is trying to rank teams they care about merit.

862
00:43:29,920 --> 00:43:32,719
Speaker 1: Half of them are probably trying to predict with their rankings.

863
00:43:33,160 --> 00:43:35,719
Speaker 1: We're not doing that with the JP pole. So yes,

864
00:43:35,760 --> 00:43:37,840
Speaker 1: we are trying to accomplish different things. But like for

865
00:43:37,880 --> 00:43:42,040
Speaker 1: instance Clemson, Clemson is ranked fourth to start the season, Well,

866
00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:45,040
Speaker 1: we had them eighth in the JP pole. Georgia was fifth,

867
00:43:45,040 --> 00:43:48,040
Speaker 1: and the AP we're higher on them. But I do

868
00:43:48,200 --> 00:43:50,840
Speaker 1: understand if someone's a little lower than third, like the

869
00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:54,960
Speaker 1: JP pole is on Georgia, Oklahoma, and Florida, we're going

870
00:43:55,040 --> 00:43:57,560
Speaker 1: to be higher on them. Because I truly believe a

871
00:43:57,560 --> 00:44:00,880
Speaker 1: lot of these pollsters are baking in their predictions, or

872
00:44:00,920 --> 00:44:04,399
Speaker 1: they're baking in how tough their schedules are. How that

873
00:44:04,440 --> 00:44:06,799
Speaker 1: affects the quality of team you have. I will never

874
00:44:06,920 --> 00:44:09,960
Speaker 1: know if you want to do season predictions, just do

875
00:44:10,040 --> 00:44:12,760
Speaker 1: season predictions. Why would you do that with your ranking?

876
00:44:12,880 --> 00:44:18,200
Speaker 1: I digress Illinois is twelfth in the AP pole, we

877
00:44:18,280 --> 00:44:21,040
Speaker 1: don't have them rated in the top twenty in the

878
00:44:21,120 --> 00:44:24,360
Speaker 1: JP pole. I'll explain myself in a second. One of

879
00:44:24,400 --> 00:44:27,000
Speaker 1: the most random accusations ever thrown our way is we

880
00:44:27,040 --> 00:44:31,600
Speaker 1: hate Illinois. It boggles my mind how I could ever

881
00:44:31,760 --> 00:44:35,080
Speaker 1: grow to hate Illinois. I know Tom Farnelli. I've been

882
00:44:35,120 --> 00:44:37,320
Speaker 1: to the state several times.

883
00:44:37,880 --> 00:44:38,760
Speaker 2: I have chased.

884
00:44:38,560 --> 00:44:41,400
Speaker 1: Tornadoes in Illinois. How much more connected could I be

885
00:44:41,480 --> 00:44:44,520
Speaker 1: to a state? Texas A and m AP pole is

886
00:44:44,640 --> 00:44:47,320
Speaker 1: higher than the JP pole.

887
00:44:48,840 --> 00:44:49,360
Speaker 2: USC.

888
00:44:50,239 --> 00:44:54,319
Speaker 1: The apeopole doesn't even have USC ranked. I was very

889
00:44:54,360 --> 00:44:58,080
Speaker 1: surprised by this, because, as far as I know, doesn't

890
00:44:58,160 --> 00:45:02,080
Speaker 1: the esteemed college football media look for every reason to

891
00:45:02,080 --> 00:45:04,680
Speaker 1: give benefit of the doubt to USC? Have you people

892
00:45:04,719 --> 00:45:08,720
Speaker 1: turned on Lincoln Riley this much? Thirtieth you got twenty

893
00:45:08,840 --> 00:45:13,920
Speaker 1: nine teams better than USC? I think not. That's insanity.

894
00:45:14,400 --> 00:45:16,960
Speaker 1: So let me talk about a couple of teams here, Clemson.

895
00:45:18,160 --> 00:45:21,080
Speaker 1: Even though the jppole has Clemson at number eight, I

896
00:45:21,280 --> 00:45:24,480
Speaker 1: completely understand how you would have them ranked higher, because

897
00:45:24,520 --> 00:45:27,040
Speaker 1: I'd have them ranked higher. Remember Jesse, in my post

898
00:45:27,120 --> 00:45:30,400
Speaker 1: spring rankings, I think I had Clemson number one. So

899
00:45:31,080 --> 00:45:34,040
Speaker 1: I get it because that's merit, and that's what you

900
00:45:34,120 --> 00:45:39,480
Speaker 1: expect to happen. Does the roster top the rosters of

901
00:45:39,520 --> 00:45:42,960
Speaker 1: Penn State, Orbama or Ohio State or Georgia. The answer

902
00:45:43,000 --> 00:45:45,440
Speaker 1: is no from a raw talent perspective. So then the

903
00:45:45,520 --> 00:45:49,320
Speaker 1: next question is, forget about talent level because Clemson doesn't

904
00:45:49,440 --> 00:45:51,560
Speaker 1: lack for talent. Even if there are a couple of

905
00:45:51,640 --> 00:45:56,280
Speaker 1: points off, are they a better team than those teams?

906
00:45:57,080 --> 00:45:59,960
Speaker 1: And that may very well be the case statement win

907
00:46:00,200 --> 00:46:04,920
Speaker 1: against LSU Week one maybe as well USC the close

908
00:46:05,000 --> 00:46:10,359
Speaker 1: losses they're being punished for a meaning they had the Again,

909
00:46:10,400 --> 00:46:13,520
Speaker 1: the most famous stat of twenty twenty five so far,

910
00:46:13,560 --> 00:46:16,440
Speaker 1: as the USC led five Big ten games.

911
00:46:16,160 --> 00:46:18,200
Speaker 2: That they lost last year in the fourth quarter.

912
00:46:19,640 --> 00:46:22,400
Speaker 1: Not ideal, that's not the system, that's not part of

913
00:46:22,440 --> 00:46:25,520
Speaker 1: the game plan. Well, the AP voters looked at that

914
00:46:25,600 --> 00:46:28,120
Speaker 1: and said, we're not giving you benefit of the doubt

915
00:46:28,440 --> 00:46:32,960
Speaker 1: until you earn it. That's okay, But thirtieth USC's way

916
00:46:33,000 --> 00:46:36,040
Speaker 1: too low. There is no world where there are twenty

917
00:46:36,120 --> 00:46:38,400
Speaker 1: nine teams better than USC this year. I just refuse

918
00:46:38,480 --> 00:46:40,839
Speaker 1: to believe it. JP Poles got him fifteen. I could

919
00:46:40,840 --> 00:46:43,680
Speaker 1: see him higher than fifteen. There is some disagreement in

920
00:46:43,719 --> 00:46:47,759
Speaker 1: the building between myself and the model and certain other

921
00:46:48,680 --> 00:46:51,000
Speaker 1: citizens attached to our staff.

922
00:46:51,040 --> 00:46:51,800
Speaker 2: But that's okay.

923
00:46:51,920 --> 00:46:54,319
Speaker 1: I just think the defense is going to keep scaling up,

924
00:46:54,800 --> 00:46:57,319
Speaker 1: and I don't think people are appreciating it because I

925
00:46:57,400 --> 00:47:01,240
Speaker 1: think the world doesn't even associate defense with Lincoln Riley teams.

926
00:47:02,600 --> 00:47:04,440
Speaker 1: And if you're going off history, you're right to do that.

927
00:47:05,320 --> 00:47:06,600
Speaker 1: I just think it's a little bit of a new

928
00:47:06,680 --> 00:47:11,520
Speaker 1: day around Lincoln Riley's program in that sense. At Illinois,

929
00:47:11,560 --> 00:47:14,279
Speaker 1: Week five is their game of the year. You will

930
00:47:14,280 --> 00:47:17,319
Speaker 1: never convince me otherwise that is the gateway to either

931
00:47:17,480 --> 00:47:22,840
Speaker 1: great success or crushing failure this year. Speaking of Illinois, now,

932
00:47:23,440 --> 00:47:26,200
Speaker 1: I'm gonna try and be responsible in how I explain this.

933
00:47:26,719 --> 00:47:28,880
Speaker 2: It will fall on deaf ears. It doesn't matter.

934
00:47:30,080 --> 00:47:35,320
Speaker 1: Illinois is the classic ranking versus rating team because Illinois

935
00:47:35,400 --> 00:47:38,080
Speaker 1: is ranked twelve. If I had an ap ballot, I'd

936
00:47:38,080 --> 00:47:40,080
Speaker 1: have them right there in the ten to fifteen range.

937
00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:44,040
Speaker 1: They deserve it. They finished last year strong. Almost all

938
00:47:44,080 --> 00:47:48,799
Speaker 1: of that team returns. They're very, very solid. In a

939
00:47:48,880 --> 00:47:53,200
Speaker 1: power rating based model, there are well over twelve teams

940
00:47:53,440 --> 00:47:55,720
Speaker 1: that would be favored against Illinois if they play tomorrow.

941
00:47:55,719 --> 00:47:58,279
Speaker 1: Brett Bieliman could walk in this room right now, and

942
00:47:58,320 --> 00:48:01,080
Speaker 1: he would say, what South cairoll a favorite against us?

943
00:48:01,840 --> 00:48:04,080
Speaker 2: Yeah? I think so. I'm pretty sure they were. Didn't

944
00:48:04,120 --> 00:48:07,280
Speaker 2: we beat them? Yep? What now?

945
00:48:07,680 --> 00:48:09,279
Speaker 1: I don't know what point are you trying to make

946
00:48:09,320 --> 00:48:12,799
Speaker 1: Brett or any Illinois fan that is inevitably gonna come

947
00:48:12,840 --> 00:48:16,359
Speaker 1: at me with this. I think Connolly had them what

948
00:48:16,480 --> 00:48:19,080
Speaker 1: nineteenth or twentieth. My point is, so we had him

949
00:48:19,120 --> 00:48:22,080
Speaker 1: twenty sixth. The jpeople has him twenty sixth, meaning it

950
00:48:22,120 --> 00:48:24,480
Speaker 1: would favor twenty five teams against them on a neutral field.

951
00:48:24,640 --> 00:48:27,200
Speaker 1: You can disagree with that, that's fine. My point is

952
00:48:28,200 --> 00:48:30,080
Speaker 1: whether you got him twenty six or nineteen, there's like

953
00:48:30,120 --> 00:48:32,759
Speaker 1: a two point difference between twenty six and nineteen in

954
00:48:32,800 --> 00:48:35,400
Speaker 1: the model right now. It is not merit based and

955
00:48:35,480 --> 00:48:39,160
Speaker 1: it's not predictive. So that's the difference in power rating

956
00:48:39,160 --> 00:48:43,240
Speaker 1: Illinois in the twenties versus ranking them in the high teens.

957
00:48:43,320 --> 00:48:46,040
Speaker 1: If I ranked them, they wouldn't be twenty sixth. That'd

958
00:48:46,040 --> 00:48:49,440
Speaker 1: be a lot closer to twelfth or alternate theory.

959
00:48:50,040 --> 00:48:50,719
Speaker 2: I hate them.

960
00:48:52,239 --> 00:48:54,360
Speaker 1: I think we're gonna run with theory number two. I

961
00:48:54,440 --> 00:48:56,879
Speaker 1: have a sneaking suspicion we're gonna run with theory number two.

962
00:48:57,360 --> 00:49:00,440
Speaker 1: But I'm at Arizona State every other week and I've

963
00:49:00,480 --> 00:49:02,279
Speaker 1: got them lower than the AP as well? Do I

964
00:49:02,280 --> 00:49:06,080
Speaker 1: hate Kenny Dillingham? How could you hate Kenney Dillingham? How

965
00:49:06,120 --> 00:49:09,560
Speaker 1: could you hate that face? That is a face some

966
00:49:09,600 --> 00:49:11,560
Speaker 1: people say, Oh, you got to face only a mother

967
00:49:11,600 --> 00:49:15,359
Speaker 1: could love. Kenny Dillingham's got a face that everyone's mother

968
00:49:15,440 --> 00:49:18,359
Speaker 1: could love, and father and son and daughter. Everyone loves

969
00:49:18,440 --> 00:49:21,960
Speaker 1: Kenny Dillingham. So why in the wide world of college

970
00:49:22,000 --> 00:49:24,960
Speaker 1: football would I have them lower than the AP Well?

971
00:49:25,000 --> 00:49:28,400
Speaker 1: The reason is, again, their roster doesn't measure up talent

972
00:49:28,480 --> 00:49:30,759
Speaker 1: for talent with some of these higher level teams. But

973
00:49:30,920 --> 00:49:33,440
Speaker 1: last year it didn't either, and last year it didn't

974
00:49:33,480 --> 00:49:36,759
Speaker 1: matter because they ended up being a better team. They

975
00:49:36,840 --> 00:49:40,040
Speaker 1: probably played much higher than the some of their individual

976
00:49:40,120 --> 00:49:42,040
Speaker 1: or the some of their individual parts was much better

977
00:49:42,080 --> 00:49:44,720
Speaker 1: than the parts themselves would indicate it should be. Here's

978
00:49:44,800 --> 00:49:47,759
Speaker 1: what I think the JP pole, the rankings, the rating

979
00:49:47,800 --> 00:49:50,520
Speaker 1: system over here is missing, and that is their staff

980
00:49:50,560 --> 00:49:54,799
Speaker 1: returns totally intact, and that's a really underrated staff. So

981
00:49:55,960 --> 00:49:58,640
Speaker 1: I actually disagree with the JP pole. I do think

982
00:49:58,680 --> 00:50:03,239
Speaker 1: Arizona State should be higher, even from a power rating perspective, Illinois.

983
00:50:03,800 --> 00:50:07,360
Speaker 1: You could argue semantically twenty six versus twenty one or

984
00:50:07,400 --> 00:50:12,399
Speaker 1: twenty I think Arizona State should definitively be higher the

985
00:50:12,440 --> 00:50:15,239
Speaker 1: SEC as a whole. The JP pole is going to

986
00:50:15,280 --> 00:50:18,920
Speaker 1: have a lot of them higher. Is that because the

987
00:50:19,040 --> 00:50:21,759
Speaker 1: JP pole is in the tank for the SEC. No,

988
00:50:22,239 --> 00:50:25,359
Speaker 1: it's because it really values talent acquisition, and a lot

989
00:50:25,400 --> 00:50:28,120
Speaker 1: of the SEC rosters are more loaded with talent than

990
00:50:28,160 --> 00:50:30,359
Speaker 1: some of the others. High levels of the Big ten

991
00:50:30,480 --> 00:50:34,239
Speaker 1: are as well. So you might ask, well, doesn't that

992
00:50:34,360 --> 00:50:39,359
Speaker 1: over rank them? No, not per se. But also what

993
00:50:39,440 --> 00:50:41,680
Speaker 1: you have to account for is they do play each other.

994
00:50:42,239 --> 00:50:45,840
Speaker 1: So you know, if let's say Georgia and Alabama play tomorrow,

995
00:50:46,320 --> 00:50:48,560
Speaker 1: well they're both consensus top ten teams. One of them

996
00:50:48,640 --> 00:50:51,200
Speaker 1: is going to be zero to one after that. Does

997
00:50:51,239 --> 00:50:53,920
Speaker 1: that make them worse than twenty other teams or does

998
00:50:53,960 --> 00:50:55,719
Speaker 1: it just mean that's a byproduct of two top ten

999
00:50:55,760 --> 00:50:59,240
Speaker 1: teams playing each other. Anyway, my point is there's gonna

1000
00:50:59,280 --> 00:51:04,200
Speaker 1: be like t Knnesse Ole, miss A, and m Oklahoma Florida,

1001
00:51:04,640 --> 00:51:07,120
Speaker 1: JP poles higher on all of them than the AP.

1002
00:51:07,360 --> 00:51:10,920
Speaker 1: Is there are two SEC teams, the JP pole is

1003
00:51:11,040 --> 00:51:14,520
Speaker 1: lower than the AP on and that's South Carolina and LSU.

1004
00:51:15,920 --> 00:51:20,480
Speaker 1: And that's fascinating. It's fascinating because I think a lot

1005
00:51:20,520 --> 00:51:23,239
Speaker 1: of people have in their minds with South Carolina, they

1006
00:51:23,320 --> 00:51:25,160
Speaker 1: just missed out on a playoff spot last year.

1007
00:51:25,719 --> 00:51:26,400
Speaker 2: They had two.

1008
00:51:26,280 --> 00:51:28,080
Speaker 1: Games that really could have gone their way that would

1009
00:51:28,080 --> 00:51:32,120
Speaker 1: have made them like a top five seed. That's last year, though,

1010
00:51:32,239 --> 00:51:34,400
Speaker 1: you know, so there's very little carry over to that.

1011
00:51:34,560 --> 00:51:37,359
Speaker 1: And also with LSU, a lot of people have talked

1012
00:51:37,400 --> 00:51:40,000
Speaker 1: themselves into LSU. And it's not that there's a huge

1013
00:51:40,080 --> 00:51:43,040
Speaker 1: gap between the AP pole at nine and the JP

1014
00:51:43,160 --> 00:51:46,520
Speaker 1: pole at twelve. I just as I said earlier in

1015
00:51:46,560 --> 00:51:51,160
Speaker 1: the show, I'm questioning how how high a level LSU

1016
00:51:51,360 --> 00:51:55,120
Speaker 1: opens at. I got no doubt if they win early games,

1017
00:51:55,160 --> 00:51:57,040
Speaker 1: they're going to be off to the races. They're a

1018
00:51:57,200 --> 00:52:01,640
Speaker 1: prime national championship contender. Can they start fast? Cause that

1019
00:52:01,760 --> 00:52:04,120
Speaker 1: LSU schedules on your screen right now. And I just

1020
00:52:04,160 --> 00:52:09,000
Speaker 1: want to remind you the classic pre Halloween stat that

1021
00:52:09,040 --> 00:52:11,239
Speaker 1: we keep around here, how many losable games do you

1022
00:52:11,280 --> 00:52:17,080
Speaker 1: play before Halloween? They play one, two, three, four, five,

1023
00:52:17,480 --> 00:52:21,400
Speaker 1: six losable games before Halloween, and they got Bama and

1024
00:52:21,480 --> 00:52:24,640
Speaker 1: Oklahoma after Halloween. So you better have your affairs in

1025
00:52:24,760 --> 00:52:29,000
Speaker 1: order early the AP poll. Not our enemy, just not

1026
00:52:29,080 --> 00:52:32,000
Speaker 1: our friend per se. We do have friends at Academy

1027
00:52:32,000 --> 00:52:34,200
Speaker 1: Sports and Outdoors, though they do not vote in the AP.

1028
00:52:34,400 --> 00:52:36,520
Speaker 1: They do not vote in the JP, but they are

1029
00:52:36,600 --> 00:52:40,839
Speaker 1: friends of ours and candidly, it's the time of year

1030
00:52:40,920 --> 00:52:43,799
Speaker 1: where a lot of you are getting excited, a lot

1031
00:52:43,800 --> 00:52:46,400
Speaker 1: of you have your tailgating spots already picked out. A

1032
00:52:46,440 --> 00:52:48,040
Speaker 1: lot of you are also going to be out at

1033
00:52:48,040 --> 00:52:50,320
Speaker 1: the ball fields in the fall because the little ones

1034
00:52:50,400 --> 00:52:54,080
Speaker 1: are playing all form of fall sports. That's okay. As

1035
00:52:54,160 --> 00:52:56,960
Speaker 1: long as you have your academy fold out chair or

1036
00:52:57,000 --> 00:53:03,000
Speaker 1: your Academy are canopy tents, or your grills, or any

1037
00:53:03,160 --> 00:53:09,280
Speaker 1: of a number of different tailgating slash recreational pieces items.

1038
00:53:08,800 --> 00:53:09,279
Speaker 2: That you need.

1039
00:53:09,320 --> 00:53:12,480
Speaker 1: They've got it, did Academy Sports and Outdoors always have, always, Well,

1040
00:53:12,719 --> 00:53:16,239
Speaker 1: they got your big lead chew. Doesn't sound like it

1041
00:53:16,280 --> 00:53:19,160
Speaker 1: fits in the basket with the rest of those things. Okay,

1042
00:53:19,200 --> 00:53:22,040
Speaker 1: Well we'll put a wat of great big lea chew

1043
00:53:22,080 --> 00:53:24,319
Speaker 1: in your cheek and then tell me that just makes

1044
00:53:24,320 --> 00:53:24,920
Speaker 1: you feel.

1045
00:53:24,680 --> 00:53:25,600
Speaker 2: Like a better person.

1046
00:53:26,120 --> 00:53:28,440
Speaker 1: If you can't get there in person, that's okay. Academy

1047
00:53:28,480 --> 00:53:31,160
Speaker 1: dot Com has you covered. But try and get there

1048
00:53:31,200 --> 00:53:32,040
Speaker 1: in person.

1049
00:53:32,080 --> 00:53:32,719
Speaker 2: That trusts me.

1050
00:53:33,440 --> 00:53:38,840
Speaker 1: Again, as I always say, tell them we sent you

1051
00:53:38,880 --> 00:53:41,040
Speaker 1: all right. We've been previewing some teams and take a

1052
00:53:41,080 --> 00:53:45,320
Speaker 1: simple water, right quick, nondescript water here, no water company

1053
00:53:45,400 --> 00:53:51,880
Speaker 1: sponsoring the show, So this plastic BPH free bottle is

1054
00:53:51,920 --> 00:53:57,080
Speaker 1: what we go with. Tennessee is a tough team to predict.

1055
00:53:57,719 --> 00:53:59,680
Speaker 1: I gotta be honest with you, man, I'm really conflicted

1056
00:53:59,680 --> 00:54:01,880
Speaker 1: on ten to See, and yet I'm gonna try and

1057
00:54:01,920 --> 00:54:04,680
Speaker 1: predict their season here right quick to set the table.

1058
00:54:04,760 --> 00:54:07,520
Speaker 1: Of course, they're coming off a playoff appearance. Josh Hipel

1059
00:54:07,520 --> 00:54:09,560
Speaker 1: has saved this program. He pulled them all the way

1060
00:54:09,560 --> 00:54:11,000
Speaker 1: out of the ditch and they're back up on the

1061
00:54:11,000 --> 00:54:11,520
Speaker 1: main road.

1062
00:54:11,880 --> 00:54:12,399
Speaker 2: High road.

1063
00:54:12,480 --> 00:54:15,319
Speaker 1: I don't know they're on the main road though. What

1064
00:54:15,640 --> 00:54:19,040
Speaker 1: is the energy around this program in December though, because

1065
00:54:19,360 --> 00:54:22,480
Speaker 1: it's a very very interesting case study. The whole Nico

1066
00:54:22,560 --> 00:54:27,560
Speaker 1: drama happened and Josh Hipel put his foot down. Nico's gone,

1067
00:54:28,560 --> 00:54:30,839
Speaker 1: and the fan base was very proud of him. They

1068
00:54:30,840 --> 00:54:33,120
Speaker 1: should have been. I would have been if I were

1069
00:54:33,120 --> 00:54:36,680
Speaker 1: a Tennessee fan as well. I'm just all I'm saying

1070
00:54:36,840 --> 00:54:39,120
Speaker 1: is if it if it's seven and five or eight

1071
00:54:39,160 --> 00:54:41,880
Speaker 1: and four at the end of the season. Do you

1072
00:54:41,960 --> 00:54:45,520
Speaker 1: have that same energy We'll see some of the biggest

1073
00:54:45,600 --> 00:54:48,320
Speaker 1: questions with this team this year. Of course, first and foremost,

1074
00:54:48,360 --> 00:54:52,640
Speaker 1: what do they get from the quarterback position? I think

1075
00:54:52,680 --> 00:54:55,279
Speaker 1: a couple of things. First thing I think is I

1076
00:54:55,480 --> 00:54:59,120
Speaker 1: think Joey Aguilar will eventually be QB one for this team.

1077
00:55:00,080 --> 00:55:04,120
Speaker 1: But I also think that's not decided right now, and

1078
00:55:04,760 --> 00:55:07,640
Speaker 1: merk Linger is still in this mcintarre probably not, but

1079
00:55:07,719 --> 00:55:10,080
Speaker 1: like they're still a legit quarterback battle going on here,

1080
00:55:10,120 --> 00:55:11,920
Speaker 1: which is not the biggest shock in the world. You

1081
00:55:11,960 --> 00:55:14,240
Speaker 1: brought a guy in from Ucla by way of app

1082
00:55:14,280 --> 00:55:16,400
Speaker 1: State who didn't even know he was going to be

1083
00:55:16,440 --> 00:55:20,520
Speaker 1: a Tennessee volunteer as late as spring, so yeah, he

1084
00:55:20,520 --> 00:55:23,440
Speaker 1: hadn't locked down the job yet. Josh Hypel quarterbacks normally

1085
00:55:23,520 --> 00:55:26,880
Speaker 1: don't have issues with turnovers. He has in the past.

1086
00:55:27,080 --> 00:55:29,560
Speaker 1: Now it could be that there's a reason Hypel quarterbacks

1087
00:55:29,560 --> 00:55:33,120
Speaker 1: don't have a big turnover issue. His system is conducive

1088
00:55:33,160 --> 00:55:35,480
Speaker 1: to them not turning the ball over. So you may

1089
00:55:35,520 --> 00:55:39,440
Speaker 1: take a turnover prone player like Joey Aguilar and maybe

1090
00:55:39,480 --> 00:55:44,040
Speaker 1: in Hypel system that problem is eradicated, or maybe it's not.

1091
00:55:44,120 --> 00:55:46,799
Speaker 1: That's why it's a question does the offensive line give

1092
00:55:46,840 --> 00:55:50,000
Speaker 1: them a chance? When we were there, even last year,

1093
00:55:50,880 --> 00:55:55,280
Speaker 1: if you're asking the staff about next year's team, offensive

1094
00:55:55,320 --> 00:55:56,520
Speaker 1: line was always a concern.

1095
00:55:56,680 --> 00:55:57,279
Speaker 2: They knew it.

1096
00:55:57,280 --> 00:55:59,719
Speaker 1: It's not something that snuck up on him. They had

1097
00:55:59,719 --> 00:56:01,960
Speaker 1: a good run game last year. They lost a one

1098
00:56:02,080 --> 00:56:05,719
Speaker 1: hundred and sixty I think starts off of the offensive

1099
00:56:05,760 --> 00:56:07,120
Speaker 1: line alone. Last year.

1100
00:56:07,400 --> 00:56:08,680
Speaker 2: Again, they knew it was coming.

1101
00:56:09,440 --> 00:56:12,000
Speaker 1: So it's not some problem that's just reared its head

1102
00:56:12,080 --> 00:56:15,680
Speaker 1: unsuspectingly in fall camp. They just got to work around it.

1103
00:56:15,960 --> 00:56:18,080
Speaker 1: They just got to be good enough there. This is

1104
00:56:18,120 --> 00:56:20,880
Speaker 1: not going to be a Joe Moore Award contender. They

1105
00:56:20,960 --> 00:56:23,799
Speaker 1: got to be good enough there. Can they lean on

1106
00:56:23,840 --> 00:56:27,319
Speaker 1: the d again immunity because defense carried them last year.

1107
00:56:27,880 --> 00:56:31,320
Speaker 1: It wasn't offense again. I think last year is painfully

1108
00:56:31,360 --> 00:56:35,200
Speaker 1: misremembered by the general college football public because you think

1109
00:56:35,239 --> 00:56:38,480
Speaker 1: josh hipol Tennessee made the playoff, they must have been

1110
00:56:38,520 --> 00:56:41,279
Speaker 1: a pinball offense. No, dude, They got shut out a

1111
00:56:41,320 --> 00:56:44,239
Speaker 1: bunch of first halves and the game was still there

1112
00:56:44,280 --> 00:56:48,600
Speaker 1: to win because of Tim Banks and this defense. I

1113
00:56:48,680 --> 00:56:53,080
Speaker 1: expect the little regression in production level defensively, and either

1114
00:56:53,160 --> 00:56:56,839
Speaker 1: I'm wrong or I'm right but it's mild, or I'm

1115
00:56:56,920 --> 00:57:00,160
Speaker 1: right and it's severe. I don't think it'll be severe.

1116
00:57:00,920 --> 00:57:04,080
Speaker 1: But how much is the regression if that is the case.

1117
00:57:04,160 --> 00:57:07,160
Speaker 1: They were seventh and defensive points per game allowed last year.

1118
00:57:07,960 --> 00:57:10,120
Speaker 1: I don't think that'll be the case this year. They

1119
00:57:10,120 --> 00:57:12,920
Speaker 1: were sixth in yards per game allowed. You're just asking

1120
00:57:13,000 --> 00:57:16,240
Speaker 1: a lot of rotational players from last year to play

1121
00:57:16,960 --> 00:57:19,120
Speaker 1: like meaningful starting roles this year.

1122
00:57:19,160 --> 00:57:21,320
Speaker 2: That's college football. That's the way it is every year.

1123
00:57:21,840 --> 00:57:24,840
Speaker 1: But they've really, i think, got to overachieve for defense

1124
00:57:24,880 --> 00:57:26,760
Speaker 1: to just be able to carry them to the degree.

1125
00:57:26,560 --> 00:57:27,360
Speaker 2: They did last year.

1126
00:57:27,840 --> 00:57:30,400
Speaker 1: What's the best position group on this team? Got a

1127
00:57:30,400 --> 00:57:34,040
Speaker 1: lot of different answers. I asked around Tennessee circles. Some

1128
00:57:34,080 --> 00:57:39,640
Speaker 1: people said corner if Dramat is healthy. Yeah, Look, I

1129
00:57:39,680 --> 00:57:42,160
Speaker 1: looked at tight end and I'm rolling the dice a

1130
00:57:42,200 --> 00:57:45,760
Speaker 1: little bit here. I'm kind of guessing how they'll have

1131
00:57:45,840 --> 00:57:49,200
Speaker 1: to go about it. But they need tight end to

1132
00:57:49,200 --> 00:57:53,640
Speaker 1: come through. Miles Kitzelman and Ethan Davis pretty solid one too.

1133
00:57:53,720 --> 00:57:56,200
Speaker 1: It's not the Georgia tight end room, but they're pretty

1134
00:57:56,200 --> 00:57:59,440
Speaker 1: solid one too. But I just think that with the

1135
00:57:59,520 --> 00:58:02,760
Speaker 1: drop off maybe a little bit at wide receiver, the

1136
00:58:03,440 --> 00:58:06,160
Speaker 1: very least inexperience in the system at quarterback, I think

1137
00:58:06,200 --> 00:58:08,360
Speaker 1: tight end is going to be very heavily incorporated in

1138
00:58:08,400 --> 00:58:11,360
Speaker 1: this passing game this year, and they need those guys

1139
00:58:11,400 --> 00:58:12,000
Speaker 1: to come through.

1140
00:58:12,400 --> 00:58:12,600
Speaker 2: Now.

1141
00:58:12,640 --> 00:58:16,160
Speaker 1: The breakout player, actually, I think will be Mike Matthews

1142
00:58:16,160 --> 00:58:18,400
Speaker 1: if he's healthy. There's a lot of if healthy with

1143
00:58:18,440 --> 00:58:21,919
Speaker 1: Tennessee right now. So former five star wide receiver, he's

1144
00:58:21,960 --> 00:58:24,840
Speaker 1: got a big opportunity on his plate right now, like

1145
00:58:24,920 --> 00:58:28,160
Speaker 1: someone's got to step up a wide receiver, and so

1146
00:58:28,240 --> 00:58:31,160
Speaker 1: if he's healthy, I think Mike Matthews maybe the guy

1147
00:58:31,160 --> 00:58:38,400
Speaker 1: who breaks out now. As for schedule, Tennessee got a

1148
00:58:38,400 --> 00:58:40,760
Speaker 1: big break, I mean a big break. We have this

1149
00:58:40,920 --> 00:58:44,120
Speaker 1: graded as the easiest schedule in the SEC this year.

1150
00:58:45,160 --> 00:58:47,840
Speaker 1: They're road games, Like when you have to go on

1151
00:58:47,880 --> 00:58:50,200
Speaker 1: the road in the SEC, you want it to be

1152
00:58:50,200 --> 00:58:53,920
Speaker 1: Mississippi State. It's not that it's easy, it's relatively speaking,

1153
00:58:54,160 --> 00:58:56,720
Speaker 1: that's one of the more manageable road trips you could

1154
00:58:56,720 --> 00:59:01,840
Speaker 1: ever have. At Kentucky ditto, I also think I don't

1155
00:59:01,840 --> 00:59:04,360
Speaker 1: think Tennessee measures up to Bama or Florida this year,

1156
00:59:04,480 --> 00:59:06,920
Speaker 1: just candidly, I don't, so if you're gonna play them,

1157
00:59:07,120 --> 00:59:10,080
Speaker 1: burn a couple of year road games playing them, because

1158
00:59:10,080 --> 00:59:13,520
Speaker 1: I had those chalked up as l's. Anyway, they do

1159
00:59:13,560 --> 00:59:16,600
Speaker 1: get Georgia at home early, and that one could be

1160
00:59:16,640 --> 00:59:19,600
Speaker 1: a season definer, because if it's competitive, that's one thing.

1161
00:59:19,640 --> 00:59:23,160
Speaker 1: If it's a blowout, and even if you've avoided disaster

1162
00:59:23,240 --> 00:59:27,040
Speaker 1: against Syracuse, that's probably what sets the season on the

1163
00:59:27,080 --> 00:59:30,720
Speaker 1: trajectory it will be set on. The model spat out

1164
00:59:30,840 --> 00:59:33,760
Speaker 1: nine and three is the best case scenario for Tennessee.

1165
00:59:34,640 --> 00:59:37,120
Speaker 1: I think ten and two is the best case, but

1166
00:59:37,200 --> 00:59:40,000
Speaker 1: the models saying no, there's like there's a lower ceiling

1167
00:59:40,040 --> 00:59:43,120
Speaker 1: on this team this year, and that's probably be cause

1168
00:59:43,160 --> 00:59:44,200
Speaker 1: of quarterback uncertainty.

1169
00:59:44,280 --> 00:59:44,800
Speaker 2: Obviously.

1170
00:59:44,840 --> 00:59:48,320
Speaker 1: I just think in the best of worlds, quarterback pans out, okay,

1171
00:59:48,800 --> 00:59:50,520
Speaker 1: and therefore I think it should be ten and two.

1172
00:59:50,600 --> 00:59:52,680
Speaker 1: The model says otherwise, it thinks nine to three. It

1173
00:59:52,720 --> 00:59:55,400
Speaker 1: thinks the worst case is four and eight. That just

1174
00:59:55,440 --> 00:59:57,920
Speaker 1: means you lose all your losable games. So like you

1175
00:59:58,000 --> 01:00:02,360
Speaker 1: lose Georgia, Arkansas, ban Imma, Oklahoma, Florida Vandy. That would

1176
01:00:02,400 --> 01:00:05,600
Speaker 1: also make those road trips at Mississippi State and Kentucky

1177
01:00:05,640 --> 01:00:08,720
Speaker 1: are not gimmes, so it sees four and eight as

1178
01:00:08,840 --> 01:00:12,200
Speaker 1: worst case. The most likely record that the Model paints

1179
01:00:12,200 --> 01:00:15,160
Speaker 1: for Tennessee is seven and five. It hasn't gone seven

1180
01:00:15,160 --> 01:00:18,760
Speaker 1: and five this year. So I go back to the

1181
01:00:18,760 --> 01:00:23,760
Speaker 1: point I started with, if you feel like your program

1182
01:00:23,840 --> 01:00:26,400
Speaker 1: is in a good place, can you swallow a seven

1183
01:00:26,440 --> 01:00:30,400
Speaker 1: and five eight and four season. I think maybe the

1184
01:00:30,400 --> 01:00:33,640
Speaker 1: answer is yes. They're not happy about it. But I

1185
01:00:33,640 --> 01:00:38,040
Speaker 1: think the answer maybe yes. They're watching us in Huntsville, Alabama. Oh,

1186
01:00:38,280 --> 01:00:41,000
Speaker 1: they're watching us in Saint Paul, Minnesota, they're watching us

1187
01:00:41,000 --> 01:00:43,840
Speaker 1: in Tyler, Texas. We appreciate it, all right. It's a

1188
01:00:43,920 --> 01:00:45,920
Speaker 1: part of the show that many of you have tuned

1189
01:00:45,960 --> 01:00:49,040
Speaker 1: in for. But I don't think you're gonna get what

1190
01:00:49,120 --> 01:00:56,440
Speaker 1: you showed up for. Bradley, here's your endpoint. Ryan from Omaha,

1191
01:00:56,560 --> 01:00:59,000
Speaker 1: Nebraska hit me and he said, you've been teasing us

1192
01:00:59,000 --> 01:01:01,720
Speaker 1: with your preseason high. I need to know who it

1193
01:01:01,840 --> 01:01:05,480
Speaker 1: is so I can tail you. Thanks well. Many of

1194
01:01:05,520 --> 01:01:08,040
Speaker 1: you saw on July twenty ninth, when we were on

1195
01:01:08,160 --> 01:01:13,080
Speaker 1: our little hiatus, our technical induced hiatus, that I said

1196
01:01:13,120 --> 01:01:14,160
Speaker 1: something about the Heisman.

1197
01:01:14,520 --> 01:01:15,960
Speaker 2: There's the tweet right there. I said I.

1198
01:01:15,880 --> 01:01:19,440
Speaker 1: Figured out my Heisman winter this morning, I've placed my bet,

1199
01:01:20,120 --> 01:01:22,760
Speaker 1: and so with that in mind, I would like to

1200
01:01:22,760 --> 01:01:25,360
Speaker 1: make an announcement that a lot of you have been waiting.

1201
01:01:25,080 --> 01:01:27,080
Speaker 2: For since the start of this show.

1202
01:01:28,000 --> 01:01:33,240
Speaker 1: I have an announcement breaking news about John Mattier, Oklahoma

1203
01:01:33,320 --> 01:01:38,080
Speaker 1: quarterback and sports betting. And the breaking news about John Mattier,

1204
01:01:38,840 --> 01:01:42,600
Speaker 1: Oklahoma quarterback and sports betting has nothing to do with Venmo.

1205
01:01:42,880 --> 01:01:45,120
Speaker 1: It actually has nothing to do with him placing any bet.

1206
01:01:45,520 --> 01:01:49,160
Speaker 1: It has to do with the fact that I, Joshua D.

1207
01:01:49,560 --> 01:01:53,120
Speaker 1: Pate have bet John fill in the blank, don't know

1208
01:01:53,160 --> 01:01:56,200
Speaker 1: his middle name Matier to win the Heisman Trophy this year.

1209
01:01:56,480 --> 01:02:00,680
Speaker 1: And I have placed a substantial amount of money on this.

1210
01:02:01,520 --> 01:02:03,960
Speaker 1: And I did not do it via Venmo. I did

1211
01:02:04,040 --> 01:02:07,720
Speaker 1: it the old fashioned way, FanDuel, which I recommend a

1212
01:02:07,720 --> 01:02:09,160
Speaker 1: lot of people ought to look into that. A lot

1213
01:02:09,200 --> 01:02:13,240
Speaker 1: of people ought to look into that. There are doubters,

1214
01:02:13,320 --> 01:02:16,400
Speaker 1: obviously about John Matteir. Some people doubt his level of

1215
01:02:16,480 --> 01:02:20,200
Speaker 1: competition before he got here with good reason, played glorified

1216
01:02:20,240 --> 01:02:23,560
Speaker 1: Mountain West teams last year. They some of them questioned

1217
01:02:23,600 --> 01:02:29,720
Speaker 1: his mechanics. Okay, I am telling you that I don't

1218
01:02:29,760 --> 01:02:32,120
Speaker 1: doubt him at all. I think he could be a

1219
01:02:32,240 --> 01:02:35,200
Speaker 1: game wrecker in the SEC. So I've got many reasons

1220
01:02:35,200 --> 01:02:36,120
Speaker 1: why I believe in him.

1221
01:02:36,120 --> 01:02:36,840
Speaker 2: But did you know?

1222
01:02:38,760 --> 01:02:41,680
Speaker 1: Did you know that cam Ward and then after him,

1223
01:02:41,800 --> 01:02:46,120
Speaker 1: John Matteir last year looked very, very similar statistically. In fact,

1224
01:02:46,240 --> 01:02:49,240
Speaker 1: Mateir led the country in total touchdowns last year. He's

1225
01:02:49,280 --> 01:02:51,680
Speaker 1: a great runner that you don't see a lot in

1226
01:02:51,720 --> 01:02:54,960
Speaker 1: the highlight film. Great runner. But anyway, here's why I'm

1227
01:02:55,000 --> 01:03:01,240
Speaker 1: high on him. I think that they Oklahoma. I think

1228
01:03:01,280 --> 01:03:05,520
Speaker 1: they have a couple of early opportunities. Michigan comes in

1229
01:03:05,520 --> 01:03:08,200
Speaker 1: town week two, Auburn comes intown a couple of weeks later.

1230
01:03:08,520 --> 01:03:11,840
Speaker 1: They got great opportunities at home for him to shine.

1231
01:03:12,280 --> 01:03:14,960
Speaker 1: They got an opportunity to be five and oh when

1232
01:03:15,000 --> 01:03:17,760
Speaker 1: they go play Texas. I think they will be five

1233
01:03:17,760 --> 01:03:20,480
Speaker 1: and oh when they go play Texas, at which point

1234
01:03:20,720 --> 01:03:23,880
Speaker 1: the talk is no longer Brent Venables hot seat or

1235
01:03:24,160 --> 01:03:26,680
Speaker 1: will this Washington State transfer pan out?

1236
01:03:26,720 --> 01:03:27,920
Speaker 2: Who has been our buckle?

1237
01:03:28,280 --> 01:03:32,040
Speaker 1: You'll know that quarterbacks a stud, that offensive coordinators a stud.

1238
01:03:32,080 --> 01:03:34,760
Speaker 1: Brent Vinibles is holding it down on defense, and that

1239
01:03:35,160 --> 01:03:38,320
Speaker 1: leads us to the Red River Shootout, a game known

1240
01:03:38,360 --> 01:03:41,680
Speaker 1: by no name other than that on this show where

1241
01:03:41,760 --> 01:03:45,840
Speaker 1: you've got John Mattier against the Heisman Trophy favorite and

1242
01:03:45,920 --> 01:03:49,400
Speaker 1: at that point, our balls are in his court. At

1243
01:03:49,400 --> 01:03:52,560
Speaker 1: that point, it's up to him to show out that day. Now,

1244
01:03:52,600 --> 01:03:55,120
Speaker 1: it may be that they beat Texas and at that

1245
01:03:55,200 --> 01:03:58,680
Speaker 1: point it's a runaway train. It may be that they

1246
01:03:58,720 --> 01:04:00,840
Speaker 1: lose to Texas and get blown out and my ticket's

1247
01:04:00,880 --> 01:04:02,960
Speaker 1: dead in the water. There could be like a thirty

1248
01:04:03,000 --> 01:04:06,360
Speaker 1: eight to thirty five game where no one's Heisman Trophy

1249
01:04:06,400 --> 01:04:08,800
Speaker 1: hopes are dead and instead the talk is ooh, these

1250
01:04:08,840 --> 01:04:12,400
Speaker 1: teams could face off again. I think he's going to

1251
01:04:12,480 --> 01:04:15,160
Speaker 1: show out in the first half of the season that

1252
01:04:15,240 --> 01:04:18,360
Speaker 1: will make him part of a huge turnaround. People will

1253
01:04:18,400 --> 01:04:21,560
Speaker 1: be talking about Coach of the Year type stuff. They'll

1254
01:04:21,600 --> 01:04:25,080
Speaker 1: be talking about Broyle's Award contention for Ben Rbuckle, They'll

1255
01:04:25,120 --> 01:04:28,120
Speaker 1: be talking about Heisman contention and all the quarterback awards

1256
01:04:28,520 --> 01:04:32,680
Speaker 1: for John Mattier. I think he's got the intangibles, the

1257
01:04:32,720 --> 01:04:35,000
Speaker 1: stuff that they say you can't coach, the stuff that

1258
01:04:35,040 --> 01:04:37,960
Speaker 1: you just got to be born with, the competitiveness, the fire,

1259
01:04:38,080 --> 01:04:41,080
Speaker 1: the juice, the ability to make a program and a

1260
01:04:41,160 --> 01:04:44,000
Speaker 1: room full of guys rally around you. He's got it.

1261
01:04:44,080 --> 01:04:46,280
Speaker 1: I'm telling you he's got it. I'm telling you he's

1262
01:04:46,320 --> 01:04:49,480
Speaker 1: got the ability to not so much struggle adjusting to

1263
01:04:49,520 --> 01:04:52,000
Speaker 1: the league, but he's got that kind of ability that

1264
01:04:52,040 --> 01:04:55,280
Speaker 1: makes the league adjust to him. I believe in him.

1265
01:04:55,640 --> 01:04:58,480
Speaker 1: I'm betting him to win the Heisman Trophy. And so

1266
01:04:58,600 --> 01:05:02,560
Speaker 1: that is my b sports betting related news around John

1267
01:05:02,600 --> 01:05:07,000
Speaker 1: Matteir on this Tuesday night. Did anyone think I was

1268
01:05:07,040 --> 01:05:07,960
Speaker 1: going somewhere else with that?

1269
01:05:08,160 --> 01:05:11,960
Speaker 2: Maybe? I don't know. Bradley show, we got a question

1270
01:05:12,000 --> 01:05:12,600
Speaker 2: about the show.

1271
01:05:12,960 --> 01:05:15,240
Speaker 1: I think we worked in here. I did want to

1272
01:05:15,240 --> 01:05:20,600
Speaker 1: address this. Yeah, Ben from Starkville, Mississippi, hit me up. Bradley,

1273
01:05:20,640 --> 01:05:22,280
Speaker 1: you don't need to make an individual cut for this.

1274
01:05:23,280 --> 01:05:25,160
Speaker 1: If you watch the live show, you heard me say this.

1275
01:05:25,600 --> 01:05:26,880
Speaker 2: If you didn't, you won't.

1276
01:05:27,720 --> 01:05:30,680
Speaker 1: Ben said, I watched this show since before you went

1277
01:05:30,720 --> 01:05:34,200
Speaker 1: to CBS. Well, first off, thank you, Ben. He continues,

1278
01:05:34,280 --> 01:05:37,520
Speaker 1: I've always been worried about someone changing the show. Should

1279
01:05:37,600 --> 01:05:40,760
Speaker 1: I be worried that ON three will start influencing your show?

1280
01:05:41,240 --> 01:05:44,320
Speaker 1: You ought not be worried anyone will influence this show, Ben,

1281
01:05:45,000 --> 01:05:48,080
Speaker 1: First Off, ON three is a great company to be

1282
01:05:48,200 --> 01:05:50,960
Speaker 1: partnered with. I promise you I wouldn't have made this

1283
01:05:51,120 --> 01:05:54,080
Speaker 1: move if it wasn't. But to explain the dynamic out

1284
01:05:54,080 --> 01:05:56,800
Speaker 1: there that I tried to explain the other day.

1285
01:05:56,880 --> 01:05:59,479
Speaker 2: But I'll do it once more. I'll do this very quickly. Ben.

1286
01:06:00,440 --> 01:06:03,640
Speaker 1: There is nobody, there is not a single soul that

1287
01:06:03,800 --> 01:06:07,479
Speaker 1: has any editorial say so over this show or any

1288
01:06:07,560 --> 01:06:10,520
Speaker 1: creative say so over this show other than me. You're

1289
01:06:10,560 --> 01:06:13,000
Speaker 1: looking at him. So if the show sucks or the

1290
01:06:13,040 --> 01:06:15,880
Speaker 1: show gets ruined, it's cause a me. It wasn't causing

1291
01:06:15,920 --> 01:06:19,240
Speaker 1: anyone else reaching their hand in the window and grabbing

1292
01:06:19,280 --> 01:06:21,800
Speaker 1: a hold of the steering wheel. That's been our entire

1293
01:06:21,840 --> 01:06:23,400
Speaker 1: purpose for the last three years.

1294
01:06:23,440 --> 01:06:23,840
Speaker 2: Ben.

1295
01:06:24,000 --> 01:06:26,720
Speaker 1: That is why I've negotiated my deals the way I have.

1296
01:06:27,160 --> 01:06:31,000
Speaker 1: That's why we have turned down some deals. I mean, guys,

1297
01:06:32,400 --> 01:06:34,960
Speaker 1: it's not my I guess it is my place. If

1298
01:06:34,960 --> 01:06:36,600
Speaker 1: I wanted to say, I'm not going to do this

1299
01:06:36,680 --> 01:06:40,000
Speaker 1: out of respect, if you ever worried about us ruining

1300
01:06:40,080 --> 01:06:43,160
Speaker 1: the show or selling out or whatnot, if I could

1301
01:06:43,160 --> 01:06:45,720
Speaker 1: show you the deals we've left on the table, you'd

1302
01:06:45,760 --> 01:06:48,680
Speaker 1: have no doubt about our commitment to keeping the show

1303
01:06:48,720 --> 01:06:51,640
Speaker 1: as is and keeping the experience as authentic as it's

1304
01:06:51,680 --> 01:06:52,240
Speaker 1: always been.

1305
01:06:52,600 --> 01:06:53,160
Speaker 2: It's ours.

1306
01:06:53,240 --> 01:06:56,280
Speaker 1: We own it, so we're in partnership with on three.

1307
01:06:56,400 --> 01:06:58,480
Speaker 1: I'll tell you what it will mean. You'll see a

1308
01:06:58,520 --> 01:07:03,160
Speaker 1: lot of their recruiting rankings and their data, their portal

1309
01:07:03,200 --> 01:07:06,520
Speaker 1: Intel infused into the show. That's a plus, that's not

1310
01:07:06,600 --> 01:07:10,800
Speaker 1: a minus. They know what they're doing, so I'll infuse that.

1311
01:07:11,040 --> 01:07:14,280
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm I'm very very much aligned with a

1312
01:07:14,280 --> 01:07:16,880
Speaker 1: lot of the people who work there, But I'm aligned

1313
01:07:16,880 --> 01:07:18,880
Speaker 1: with a lot of the folks that work at Yahoo Sports.

1314
01:07:18,880 --> 01:07:21,120
Speaker 1: I mean, we're in a partnership with them. You don't

1315
01:07:21,120 --> 01:07:23,680
Speaker 1: think we'll talk to Ross Dellinger a lot more because

1316
01:07:23,720 --> 01:07:26,680
Speaker 1: of that. That's a plus, that's not a minus. So

1317
01:07:27,320 --> 01:07:28,600
Speaker 1: that's how we do our business.

1318
01:07:28,640 --> 01:07:28,920
Speaker 2: Now.

1319
01:07:29,440 --> 01:07:31,960
Speaker 1: We are a show that we own one hundred percent of.

1320
01:07:32,520 --> 01:07:35,640
Speaker 1: We own all this, and then we're in partnership with

1321
01:07:36,160 --> 01:07:37,800
Speaker 1: a lot of companies and a lot of brands that

1322
01:07:37,840 --> 01:07:40,040
Speaker 1: we want to be in partnership with. But Ben, if

1323
01:07:40,080 --> 01:07:43,160
Speaker 1: you close your eyes and you just listen to and

1324
01:07:43,200 --> 01:07:45,280
Speaker 1: fuel this show, it ought not feel any different than

1325
01:07:45,280 --> 01:07:47,240
Speaker 1: it has for the last several years. You may see

1326
01:07:47,240 --> 01:07:49,080
Speaker 1: a different or hear a different ad read every now

1327
01:07:49,080 --> 01:07:51,320
Speaker 1: and then, because you know, we've got to pay the

1328
01:07:51,360 --> 01:07:55,760
Speaker 1: bills to keep the show free. But we're in several partnerships, guys.

1329
01:07:55,960 --> 01:07:58,880
Speaker 1: I mean we're in a huge partnership right now that

1330
01:07:58,920 --> 01:08:01,800
Speaker 1: no one even knows about, nor will they because we're

1331
01:08:01,800 --> 01:08:04,000
Speaker 1: not going to make it public because it mainly helps

1332
01:08:04,080 --> 01:08:04,960
Speaker 1: us behind the scenes.

1333
01:08:07,280 --> 01:08:07,960
Speaker 2: I'll tell you this.

1334
01:08:08,040 --> 01:08:09,560
Speaker 1: We got a couple of more that we're going to

1335
01:08:09,600 --> 01:08:12,560
Speaker 1: announce next week that don't change the show. It actually

1336
01:08:12,600 --> 01:08:15,760
Speaker 1: it actually adds things above and beyond. So there's a

1337
01:08:15,800 --> 01:08:17,679
Speaker 1: lot going on here. It's just it's what we've worked

1338
01:08:17,680 --> 01:08:23,040
Speaker 1: towards and it helps us to grow our infrastructure and

1339
01:08:23,160 --> 01:08:25,320
Speaker 1: basically it helps us to listen to what you say

1340
01:08:25,360 --> 01:08:27,880
Speaker 1: you want and then just produce more of it or

1341
01:08:27,920 --> 01:08:28,400
Speaker 1: produce it.

1342
01:08:28,320 --> 01:08:31,439
Speaker 2: At a higher level. But the main thing is always

1343
01:08:31,479 --> 01:08:31,840
Speaker 2: the show.

1344
01:08:31,960 --> 01:08:34,360
Speaker 1: So this thing we've done three nights a week at

1345
01:08:34,360 --> 01:08:37,880
Speaker 1: eight Eastern, seventh Central and Sunday, Tuesday and Thursday. That's

1346
01:08:37,920 --> 01:08:40,920
Speaker 1: not changing. We're not putting it behind a paywall. You've

1347
01:08:40,920 --> 01:08:42,559
Speaker 1: made it such that we don't have to do that.

1348
01:08:42,560 --> 01:08:46,519
Speaker 1: That's why we've been so aggressive about making sure our

1349
01:08:46,560 --> 01:08:49,760
Speaker 1: subscriber rate stays high and you tell your friends, and

1350
01:08:50,400 --> 01:08:52,639
Speaker 1: word of mouth has really powered this show. We still

1351
01:08:52,640 --> 01:08:55,879
Speaker 1: haven't spent a dime on advertising the show or marketing

1352
01:08:55,920 --> 01:08:58,400
Speaker 1: the show. You've done it for us, so you've made

1353
01:08:58,400 --> 01:09:01,599
Speaker 1: it possible. So hey, you as best we can by

1354
01:09:01,600 --> 01:09:04,519
Speaker 1: continuing to provide more of it absolutely free of charge.

1355
01:09:04,520 --> 01:09:08,439
Speaker 1: So don't worry, Ben. You are safe here. Everything else

1356
01:09:08,520 --> 01:09:09,400
Speaker 1: is changing out there.

1357
01:09:09,439 --> 01:09:10,120
Speaker 2: You're safe here.

1358
01:09:11,000 --> 01:09:13,040
Speaker 1: Bold prediction time, let's continue?

1359
01:09:15,200 --> 01:09:16,439
Speaker 2: Uh nine eight?

1360
01:09:16,800 --> 01:09:19,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, we got three nine and a halfs or Boulder

1361
01:09:19,360 --> 01:09:23,439
Speaker 1: here Solomon from Portland, Oregon. He hit me and he

1362
01:09:23,560 --> 01:09:26,599
Speaker 1: said first bold prediction of the night. The Big ten

1363
01:09:26,640 --> 01:09:29,280
Speaker 1: and the SEC will only get six bids total in

1364
01:09:29,320 --> 01:09:32,439
Speaker 1: the playoff this year. I'm gonna make that a nine

1365
01:09:32,479 --> 01:09:36,360
Speaker 1: and a half Solomon. Only six of twelve huh well,

1366
01:09:36,479 --> 01:09:39,320
Speaker 1: fourteen of the top twenty odds to win the playoff

1367
01:09:39,720 --> 01:09:43,880
Speaker 1: overall at FanDuel are Big ten and SEC teams. So

1368
01:09:44,200 --> 01:09:46,000
Speaker 1: what do we have to have happen here for only

1369
01:09:46,080 --> 01:09:50,080
Speaker 1: six of them combined to make the field. I think

1370
01:09:50,120 --> 01:09:52,800
Speaker 1: you have to have Notre Dame come through. So Notre

1371
01:09:52,880 --> 01:09:54,920
Speaker 1: Dame's got to be in the playoff. You got your

1372
01:09:54,960 --> 01:09:58,000
Speaker 1: G five team in, so that's two spots. I think

1373
01:09:58,040 --> 01:10:00,439
Speaker 1: you got to have two big twelves and you got

1374
01:10:00,439 --> 01:10:03,400
Speaker 1: to have two accs. That's what you gotta have. So

1375
01:10:04,520 --> 01:10:07,479
Speaker 1: you need four things to be happening simultaneously. You need

1376
01:10:07,520 --> 01:10:10,240
Speaker 1: a lot of cannibalization in the Big ten in the

1377
01:10:10,280 --> 01:10:12,000
Speaker 1: SEC where it's just a bunch of two and three

1378
01:10:12,040 --> 01:10:16,000
Speaker 1: loss teams. Then you need separation in the ACC and

1379
01:10:16,040 --> 01:10:18,960
Speaker 1: the Big twelve. So that would look like Clemson and

1380
01:10:19,040 --> 01:10:24,000
Speaker 1: Miami just separate from the pack, or Arizona State Texas Tech.

1381
01:10:24,040 --> 01:10:25,880
Speaker 1: It doesn't have to be those teams, but two teams

1382
01:10:25,920 --> 01:10:30,400
Speaker 1: separate from the packs entirely and they're clear bonafide how

1383
01:10:30,439 --> 01:10:32,800
Speaker 1: could you leave them out caliber playoff teams. That's how

1384
01:10:32,800 --> 01:10:34,439
Speaker 1: it would have to happen. I just think that's a

1385
01:10:34,439 --> 01:10:36,479
Speaker 1: lot to have to happen, So I'm going to make

1386
01:10:36,479 --> 01:10:41,479
Speaker 1: that a nine point five. Next up, Murray said, Texas

1387
01:10:41,560 --> 01:10:44,360
Speaker 1: A and M makes the SEC championship game.

1388
01:10:46,200 --> 01:10:47,439
Speaker 2: A little history lesson.

1389
01:10:47,560 --> 01:10:51,880
Speaker 1: You know, this almost happened last year. Do you remember

1390
01:10:51,920 --> 01:10:54,799
Speaker 1: the Texas game to the last game of the regular season.

1391
01:10:55,080 --> 01:10:58,960
Speaker 1: We were there in College Station. If Texas A and

1392
01:10:59,080 --> 01:11:02,240
Speaker 1: M beats Texas, they go to Atlanta, Like this almost

1393
01:11:02,240 --> 01:11:05,720
Speaker 1: happened last year. Because they didn't, everyone just memory hold it.

1394
01:11:05,720 --> 01:11:07,800
Speaker 1: They forgot about him I'm gonna make this an eight

1395
01:11:07,800 --> 01:11:09,760
Speaker 1: and a half. This is not the craziest thing in

1396
01:11:09,760 --> 01:11:11,519
Speaker 1: the world. A and M's got the fifth best odds

1397
01:11:11,560 --> 01:11:15,000
Speaker 1: to win the SEC. They are crystal clear on their identity.

1398
01:11:15,200 --> 01:11:17,160
Speaker 1: I already talked earlier in the show about how much

1399
01:11:17,200 --> 01:11:20,559
Speaker 1: I trust their tailback room, their offensive line. Defensive identity

1400
01:11:20,600 --> 01:11:24,519
Speaker 1: I think will round into form. Watch the vertical passing game.

1401
01:11:24,800 --> 01:11:27,040
Speaker 1: They're not gonna light it up through the air, but

1402
01:11:27,160 --> 01:11:29,800
Speaker 1: two or three times per game they'll be able to

1403
01:11:29,840 --> 01:11:32,479
Speaker 1: threaten you or at least make you fear the thread

1404
01:11:32,520 --> 01:11:35,160
Speaker 1: of it enough to where I think it'll balance them

1405
01:11:35,160 --> 01:11:37,000
Speaker 1: out and they'll be very good. And it's just the

1406
01:11:37,120 --> 01:11:39,599
Speaker 1: kind of team that I think has a very high

1407
01:11:39,600 --> 01:11:42,760
Speaker 1: floor because of how physical they'll play and how consistent

1408
01:11:43,200 --> 01:11:45,160
Speaker 1: the game that they bring week the week will be.

1409
01:11:45,520 --> 01:11:47,240
Speaker 1: So what's an eight and a half for me? Next

1410
01:11:47,320 --> 01:11:52,120
Speaker 1: one's much bolder. Next one's much bolder. Michigan State beats

1411
01:11:52,200 --> 01:11:55,040
Speaker 1: Michigan and Penn State at home this year year two,

1412
01:11:55,120 --> 01:11:58,240
Speaker 1: Jonathan Smith will have his offense clicking. Yeah, that's a

1413
01:11:59,040 --> 01:12:03,600
Speaker 1: that's a tough one nine and a half. But I

1414
01:12:03,640 --> 01:12:06,000
Speaker 1: am higher on Michigan State than the pack. It's one

1415
01:12:06,040 --> 01:12:08,519
Speaker 1: of my big sleeper teams. Actually, we haven't talked about

1416
01:12:08,520 --> 01:12:11,040
Speaker 1: this on the show. I don't think Aid and Child's

1417
01:12:11,040 --> 01:12:13,479
Speaker 1: in year two at quarterback. Jonathan Smith in year two

1418
01:12:13,600 --> 01:12:16,479
Speaker 1: is the head coach there. Got a really good wide receiver,

1419
01:12:16,560 --> 01:12:20,320
Speaker 1: got a really good tight end, got some portal infusion

1420
01:12:20,360 --> 01:12:22,920
Speaker 1: on the line of scrimmage offensively that I think may

1421
01:12:22,960 --> 01:12:29,040
Speaker 1: be underrated. And both of those teams come there. So

1422
01:12:29,200 --> 01:12:32,800
Speaker 1: Penn State comes there. According to the model, like, there's

1423
01:12:32,800 --> 01:12:35,200
Speaker 1: not a FanDuel number on this game, yet we'd have

1424
01:12:35,200 --> 01:12:37,519
Speaker 1: Penn State as over a two touchdown favorite at Michigan

1425
01:12:37,520 --> 01:12:40,560
Speaker 1: State if they played today. Michigan is an eight and

1426
01:12:40,560 --> 01:12:43,599
Speaker 1: a half point favorite at Michigan State. You gotta win

1427
01:12:43,880 --> 01:12:44,920
Speaker 1: both of those games.

1428
01:12:46,120 --> 01:12:48,360
Speaker 2: That's tough. I'm gonna make it a nine and a half.

1429
01:12:49,000 --> 01:12:52,479
Speaker 1: However, I wouldn't just fall on the ground and faint

1430
01:12:52,680 --> 01:12:55,479
Speaker 1: if you told me it's gonna happen. So there's this

1431
01:12:55,640 --> 01:12:59,880
Speaker 1: little sliver of my mind that keeps on saying, watch out,

1432
01:13:00,040 --> 01:13:02,880
Speaker 1: what's up? What's the last one here, Bradley, We've got

1433
01:13:04,040 --> 01:13:09,479
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, this got controversial today. Ben just really wanted

1434
01:13:09,479 --> 01:13:12,719
Speaker 1: to cause trouble from Lawrence, Kansas. He said, four flying

1435
01:13:12,840 --> 01:13:19,240
Speaker 1: creatures will make the playoff this year. Examples Oregon, Kansas, Georgia, Tech, Iowa. Now,

1436
01:13:19,280 --> 01:13:22,120
Speaker 1: if you're watching, you notice I skipped over South Carolina.

1437
01:13:23,040 --> 01:13:27,599
Speaker 1: This created a straight up fight in the office today,

1438
01:13:28,040 --> 01:13:32,320
Speaker 1: which bled over to social because I ran one of

1439
01:13:32,360 --> 01:13:34,680
Speaker 1: the most disappointing polls I've ever been a part of.

1440
01:13:35,080 --> 01:13:38,840
Speaker 1: Because if we're going to have four flight based mascot

1441
01:13:38,880 --> 01:13:42,160
Speaker 1: teams make the playoff, first thing we have to decide

1442
01:13:42,200 --> 01:13:47,840
Speaker 1: is which ones can fly? South Carolina gamecocks. That's a bird, right,

1443
01:13:48,200 --> 01:13:48,760
Speaker 1: they can fly?

1444
01:13:48,960 --> 01:13:49,200
Speaker 2: Right?

1445
01:13:49,520 --> 01:13:51,920
Speaker 1: I took it to Twitter. Is a game cock a

1446
01:13:51,960 --> 01:13:55,720
Speaker 1: flying animal? A whopping seventy percent of you failed me

1447
01:13:56,479 --> 01:13:58,640
Speaker 1: and you said no, a game cock is not a

1448
01:13:58,680 --> 01:14:02,160
Speaker 1: flying animal. The gamecock is straight up a flying animal.

1449
01:14:02,200 --> 01:14:04,519
Speaker 1: It's got wings, it can get itself off the ground.

1450
01:14:05,720 --> 01:14:08,640
Speaker 1: The Right Brothers were in the air for like eight seconds,

1451
01:14:08,800 --> 01:14:12,640
Speaker 1: and the entire world of aviation thanks them. If the

1452
01:14:12,800 --> 01:14:16,720
Speaker 1: right Brothers are responsible for flight, then a game cock

1453
01:14:16,800 --> 01:14:21,720
Speaker 1: can fly. And for that reason, I'm including South Carolina

1454
01:14:21,840 --> 01:14:25,120
Speaker 1: as a flight based mascot. Auburn we had no clue

1455
01:14:25,160 --> 01:14:25,439
Speaker 1: what to do.

1456
01:14:25,560 --> 01:14:26,160
Speaker 2: Is it a tiger?

1457
01:14:26,280 --> 01:14:28,599
Speaker 1: Is it an eagle? I know every time I go there.

1458
01:14:28,600 --> 01:14:30,680
Speaker 1: They got eagles parading around the field, they got one

1459
01:14:30,680 --> 01:14:34,240
Speaker 1: flying down to crucify something at the fifty yard line

1460
01:14:34,280 --> 01:14:34,880
Speaker 1: before games.

1461
01:14:34,920 --> 01:14:37,040
Speaker 2: I don't think it's alive being that it eats.

1462
01:14:37,080 --> 01:14:42,800
Speaker 1: But nevertheless, Kansas yes, Iowa yes, Oregon DUTs can fly absolutely,

1463
01:14:43,560 --> 01:14:48,719
Speaker 1: Louisville yes, Georgia Tech yep. And then the G five's

1464
01:14:48,800 --> 01:14:54,519
Speaker 1: just got a bunch of temple owls. Fau Rice, I

1465
01:14:54,560 --> 01:14:56,599
Speaker 1: don't even think of as having a mascot. I think

1466
01:14:56,640 --> 01:15:00,360
Speaker 1: of Rice being Rice. And it's irrelevant because is not

1467
01:15:00,400 --> 01:15:01,519
Speaker 1: going to make the playoff this year.

1468
01:15:01,640 --> 01:15:02,479
Speaker 2: Yeah, all that to.

1469
01:15:02,479 --> 01:15:04,080
Speaker 1: Say, I don't think four of these teams are making

1470
01:15:04,120 --> 01:15:05,880
Speaker 1: the playoff, so I'm going to make this a nine

1471
01:15:05,880 --> 01:15:10,280
Speaker 1: point five. However, if Georgia Tech and Kansas is a

1472
01:15:10,400 --> 01:15:13,000
Speaker 1: huge sleeper team in the Big twelve. So if Georgia

1473
01:15:13,040 --> 01:15:16,439
Speaker 1: Tech and Kansas and Oregon and Louisville made the playoff,

1474
01:15:16,880 --> 01:15:20,360
Speaker 1: that's not crazy. Jesse, I think I may have made

1475
01:15:20,360 --> 01:15:21,800
Speaker 1: it too bold. I want to make that a nine

1476
01:15:21,800 --> 01:15:25,040
Speaker 1: point twenty five. Should I stick with nine point you

1477
01:15:25,040 --> 01:15:27,719
Speaker 1: know what, We're gonna stick with nine point five because

1478
01:15:27,760 --> 01:15:30,679
Speaker 1: anyone who nails a prediction of nine point five boldness

1479
01:15:30,720 --> 01:15:33,520
Speaker 1: or higher gets a chalice, and just for the creativity,

1480
01:15:34,040 --> 01:15:38,520
Speaker 1: this person, Ben from Lawrence, deserves a chalice of supremacy.

1481
01:15:38,520 --> 01:15:41,519
Speaker 1: If it hits, we'll see tune in in December. All

1482
01:15:41,560 --> 01:15:43,640
Speaker 1: those odds, by the way, well not that one, but

1483
01:15:43,720 --> 01:15:45,320
Speaker 1: all the odds that we've shown you on the show

1484
01:15:45,320 --> 01:15:48,200
Speaker 1: tonight are available at FanDuel. I doubt that FanDuel is

1485
01:15:48,240 --> 01:15:51,000
Speaker 1: sick and twisted enough to put that prop bet up,

1486
01:15:52,000 --> 01:15:54,759
Speaker 1: although I mean, they put both of Will and Taylor

1487
01:15:54,800 --> 01:15:57,280
Speaker 1: in a commercial, so why can't we get a prop

1488
01:15:57,280 --> 01:16:01,840
Speaker 1: bed over there? Someone called FanDuel flight based mascot college

1489
01:16:01,840 --> 01:16:04,920
Speaker 1: football prop market would be gold this time of year

1490
01:16:05,000 --> 01:16:08,240
Speaker 1: or any time of year. Look, we appreciate them. They

1491
01:16:08,240 --> 01:16:10,840
Speaker 1: are the exclusive odds provider of our show. We get

1492
01:16:10,880 --> 01:16:12,600
Speaker 1: a metric ton of data from them. We get a

1493
01:16:12,600 --> 01:16:15,120
Speaker 1: lot of creativity from them during the season. Friday Night

1494
01:16:15,200 --> 01:16:18,960
Speaker 1: Lines soon to return brought to you by FanDuel. So

1495
01:16:19,240 --> 01:16:21,839
Speaker 1: thank you, Thank you FanDuel for being in our lives.

1496
01:16:22,160 --> 01:16:26,080
Speaker 1: Sign up for FanDuel at FanDuel dot com. Backslash CFB

1497
01:16:26,240 --> 01:16:29,880
Speaker 1: promotion must be twenty one plus and present in select states.

1498
01:16:29,880 --> 01:16:33,719
Speaker 1: For Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino or eighteen

1499
01:16:33,760 --> 01:16:37,639
Speaker 1: plus and present in Washington, DC. First online real money

1500
01:16:37,640 --> 01:16:42,280
Speaker 1: wager only ten dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued is

1501
01:16:42,400 --> 01:16:45,839
Speaker 1: non withdrawable bonus bet that expires seven days after receipt.

1502
01:16:46,479 --> 01:16:49,200
Speaker 1: Do you have a gambling problem? If so, call one

1503
01:16:49,240 --> 01:16:54,120
Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler or visitfanduel dot com backslash RG call

1504
01:16:54,200 --> 01:16:57,599
Speaker 1: one eight eight eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven,

1505
01:16:57,960 --> 01:17:02,360
Speaker 1: or visit CCPG dot org backslash chat in Connecticut, or

1506
01:17:02,439 --> 01:17:05,080
Speaker 1: visit MD Gamblinghelp dot org in Maryland.

1507
01:17:05,479 --> 01:17:06,240
Speaker 2: Hope is here.

1508
01:17:06,680 --> 01:17:10,479
Speaker 1: Visit gambling Helplinema dot org or call eight hundred three

1509
01:17:10,479 --> 01:17:12,840
Speaker 1: two seven fifty to fifty for twenty four to seven

1510
01:17:12,880 --> 01:17:16,639
Speaker 1: support in Massachusetts. Or call one eight seven seven eight Hope,

1511
01:17:16,760 --> 01:17:21,439
Speaker 1: n Y. Or text hop E n Y. In New York.

1512
01:17:22,040 --> 01:17:23,920
Speaker 1: I want to wrap the show tonight with one more

1513
01:17:23,960 --> 01:17:27,519
Speaker 1: team preview. Appreciate you guys watching live. If you're tuned

1514
01:17:27,560 --> 01:17:30,840
Speaker 1: in watching the replay, listening to the replay, just make

1515
01:17:30,840 --> 01:17:34,240
Speaker 1: sure you're subscribed podcast and YouTube. Make sure you're subscribed.

1516
01:17:35,439 --> 01:17:37,840
Speaker 1: What do you expect from Michigan this year? Let's just

1517
01:17:37,920 --> 01:17:40,880
Speaker 1: predict this season right quick to set the table. It

1518
01:17:40,920 --> 01:17:43,920
Speaker 1: was a really weird year. Last year, they couldn't throw

1519
01:17:43,960 --> 01:17:46,439
Speaker 1: the ball, they had no offense, and yet they beat

1520
01:17:46,439 --> 01:17:49,599
Speaker 1: Ohio State and beat Bama and landed Bryce Underwood and

1521
01:17:49,680 --> 01:17:52,800
Speaker 1: are recruiting well anyway. So like the record wasn't good,

1522
01:17:53,280 --> 01:17:55,439
Speaker 1: but then all the vibes were great. At the end

1523
01:17:55,479 --> 01:17:58,720
Speaker 1: of the year, there's the NCAA stuff. Outsiders think they're

1524
01:17:58,720 --> 01:18:01,880
Speaker 1: going to get nailed Michigan. People are pretending it's not

1525
01:18:01,920 --> 01:18:04,519
Speaker 1: even happening. I have no clue what to expect there.

1526
01:18:05,200 --> 01:18:08,240
Speaker 1: So let's talk about biggest questions with this team. Bryce

1527
01:18:08,360 --> 01:18:10,840
Speaker 1: Underwood looks like he's going to be the day one

1528
01:18:10,880 --> 01:18:13,840
Speaker 1: starter for them at quarterback. So what is his year

1529
01:18:13,880 --> 01:18:15,320
Speaker 1: one impact? They were one?

1530
01:18:15,479 --> 01:18:16,479
Speaker 2: Oh, look at these stats.

1531
01:18:16,640 --> 01:18:18,599
Speaker 1: They were one hundred and thirteenth in points per game

1532
01:18:18,640 --> 01:18:20,599
Speaker 1: last year, one hundred and twenty ninthen yards per game.

1533
01:18:20,960 --> 01:18:23,040
Speaker 1: It keeps getting worse, one hundred and thirty first in

1534
01:18:23,080 --> 01:18:27,320
Speaker 1: pass yards per game, one hundred and thirty second inexplosive plays,

1535
01:18:27,479 --> 01:18:28,839
Speaker 1: and honestly, it didn't even feel.

1536
01:18:28,640 --> 01:18:31,040
Speaker 2: Like they were that high. They were terrible, but they.

1537
01:18:30,960 --> 01:18:36,600
Speaker 1: Still won some games somehow, some way. So with Bryce Underwood,

1538
01:18:37,000 --> 01:18:39,280
Speaker 1: is it the kind of year where he has growing

1539
01:18:39,360 --> 01:18:41,880
Speaker 1: pains or Is it the kind of year where you

1540
01:18:41,960 --> 01:18:46,680
Speaker 1: go that dude's a superstar, just Boom six' four two,

1541
01:18:46,840 --> 01:18:49,680
Speaker 1: fifteen just one of the best high school players you

1542
01:18:49,720 --> 01:18:52,680
Speaker 1: will have ever. Seen And michigan spent for him and

1543
01:18:52,720 --> 01:18:55,280
Speaker 1: they weren't bashful about. It what kind of production do

1544
01:18:55,320 --> 01:18:55,680
Speaker 1: you get from?

1545
01:18:55,760 --> 01:18:55,960
Speaker 2: Him?

1546
01:18:56,080 --> 01:18:58,200
Speaker 1: All? Right and then the second QUESTION i have directly

1547
01:18:58,200 --> 01:19:00,800
Speaker 1: correlates with, that BECAUSE i want to know what can

1548
01:19:00,880 --> 01:19:04,719
Speaker 1: their passing game Be Samaje morgan's there one wide receiver

1549
01:19:04,840 --> 01:19:07,519
Speaker 1: right now or their wide receiver? One and the think

1550
01:19:07,520 --> 01:19:09,439
Speaker 1: you had one hundred and thirty nine receiving yards last,

1551
01:19:09,520 --> 01:19:13,639
Speaker 1: year so there is there is hardly any proven production

1552
01:19:13,680 --> 01:19:17,719
Speaker 1: in The michigan wide receiver. Room is it a case

1553
01:19:17,800 --> 01:19:20,439
Speaker 1: that there's untapped potential in that room that none of

1554
01:19:20,520 --> 01:19:22,600
Speaker 1: us know about because they haven't had a guy to

1555
01:19:22,600 --> 01:19:25,040
Speaker 1: throw the ball to. Him we'll find out if that's

1556
01:19:25,080 --> 01:19:28,320
Speaker 1: the case early, on or if it's the. Inverse we'll

1557
01:19:28,360 --> 01:19:32,320
Speaker 1: also find that out early. On number three is defensive

1558
01:19:32,400 --> 01:19:35,439
Speaker 1: churn an issue with. Them they lost their top six

1559
01:19:35,520 --> 01:19:39,080
Speaker 1: tacklers now that It's, michigan so they're more equipped to

1560
01:19:39,120 --> 01:19:42,960
Speaker 1: backfill than your average. Team they had two excellent defensive.

1561
01:19:42,960 --> 01:19:45,840
Speaker 1: Tackles they were number five and rush yards per game last,

1562
01:19:45,880 --> 01:19:48,040
Speaker 1: year and they got to replace those. Guys they've got

1563
01:19:48,080 --> 01:19:52,360
Speaker 1: an identity to live up. To you trust That michigan

1564
01:19:52,479 --> 01:19:56,280
Speaker 1: just has. Guys to what level are they capable of?

1565
01:19:56,320 --> 01:19:58,559
Speaker 1: Playing is it the number three defense or the number

1566
01:19:58,560 --> 01:20:00,519
Speaker 1: thirteen defense in the. Country it's not going to be

1567
01:20:00,520 --> 01:20:02,920
Speaker 1: thirty third or anything like. That they don't fall off

1568
01:20:02,920 --> 01:20:03,600
Speaker 1: at defense that.

1569
01:20:03,720 --> 01:20:07,200
Speaker 2: Much. There what is the best position group on this?

1570
01:20:07,280 --> 01:20:08,200
Speaker 2: TEAM i call.

1571
01:20:08,320 --> 01:20:12,680
Speaker 1: Linebacker they Got housman, there they Got barhm. There they

1572
01:20:12,720 --> 01:20:16,360
Speaker 1: got guys that aren't household names yet but would be other.

1573
01:20:16,439 --> 01:20:20,000
Speaker 1: Places ton of, experience ton of games. Played they've got

1574
01:20:20,120 --> 01:20:23,120
Speaker 1: backups that have a ton of, experience every one of

1575
01:20:23,160 --> 01:20:26,320
Speaker 1: them over thirty plus games. Started you could have said

1576
01:20:26,320 --> 01:20:29,280
Speaker 1: corner for this as, well BUT i said. Linebacker the

1577
01:20:29,320 --> 01:20:31,720
Speaker 1: breakout player on This team's interesting because he wasn't on

1578
01:20:31,720 --> 01:20:35,680
Speaker 1: the roster last. Year Justice haynes was At alabama last.

1579
01:20:35,760 --> 01:20:38,519
Speaker 1: Year he was a running back. There never really took

1580
01:20:38,560 --> 01:20:41,800
Speaker 1: off like they thought he. Would that had a lot

1581
01:20:41,840 --> 01:20:44,799
Speaker 1: to do with a lot of. Things he's custom built

1582
01:20:44,840 --> 01:20:47,160
Speaker 1: to be a thousand yard rusher At. Michigan now the

1583
01:20:47,240 --> 01:20:49,040
Speaker 1: yards may be a little tougher to come by because

1584
01:20:49,120 --> 01:20:52,000
Speaker 1: defenses will key on that ground game all year Until

1585
01:20:52,040 --> 01:20:55,719
Speaker 1: Bryce underwood forces them to do. Otherwise BUT i Think

1586
01:20:55,920 --> 01:20:59,120
Speaker 1: justice Haynes man five, eleven two, ten just a bowling

1587
01:20:59,200 --> 01:21:03,559
Speaker 1: ball powerful, kid fits The michigan system. Perfectly let's take

1588
01:21:03,560 --> 01:21:06,519
Speaker 1: a look at the. Schedule it is. Workable the schedule is.

1589
01:21:06,560 --> 01:21:09,800
Speaker 1: Workable there's No Penn, state there's No. Oregon they do

1590
01:21:09,840 --> 01:21:12,280
Speaker 1: have a trip To oklahoma out of Conference week, two

1591
01:21:12,800 --> 01:21:14,519
Speaker 1: but the strength of schedule is only thirty.

1592
01:21:14,560 --> 01:21:15,840
Speaker 2: Eighth we got them.

1593
01:21:16,000 --> 01:21:20,000
Speaker 1: In our internal metrics have them as the thirteenth toughest

1594
01:21:20,000 --> 01:21:23,559
Speaker 1: schedule in The Big. Ten At nebraska is going to be.

1595
01:21:23,560 --> 01:21:27,160
Speaker 1: Amazing That september twentieth, game they will have already played

1596
01:21:27,160 --> 01:21:29,240
Speaker 1: a road, game so they've gotten that out of their.

1597
01:21:29,280 --> 01:21:34,040
Speaker 1: System new, QUARTERBACK i Mean Bryce underwood Versus Dylan ryola

1598
01:21:34,160 --> 01:21:36,840
Speaker 1: And Lincoln, Hello, Hello.

1599
01:21:36,600 --> 01:21:37,040
Speaker 2: It's going to be.

1600
01:21:37,080 --> 01:21:39,840
Speaker 1: Amazing they go TO usc a couple of weeks. Later

1601
01:21:39,880 --> 01:21:42,639
Speaker 1: that game was a classic last. YEAR i expect nothing.

1602
01:21:42,720 --> 01:21:44,439
Speaker 1: Less and then at the end of the, year it

1603
01:21:44,479 --> 01:21:46,840
Speaker 1: does not matter If Ohio state's favored by forty and

1604
01:21:46,840 --> 01:21:52,360
Speaker 1: a half against them UNTIL i see. It UNTIL i see,

1605
01:21:52,360 --> 01:21:56,000
Speaker 1: IT i Give michigan a solid chance. THERE i will

1606
01:21:56,040 --> 01:21:59,280
Speaker 1: not not be fooled. Again i'll probably get fooled. Again

1607
01:22:00,360 --> 01:22:03,960
Speaker 1: that's our. Show that's all we. GOT i appreciate. It

1608
01:22:04,000 --> 01:22:08,519
Speaker 1: we'll be Back thursday, live but probably earlier than. Normal

1609
01:22:08,600 --> 01:22:11,400
Speaker 1: so make sure you set your, notifications set your. Alerts

1610
01:22:11,920 --> 01:22:14,280
Speaker 1: tell a, friend tell a, cousin tell a, nephew tell a,

1611
01:22:14,360 --> 01:22:14,840
Speaker 1: mom tell a.

1612
01:22:14,960 --> 01:22:16,240
Speaker 2: Dad just subscribe to the.

1613
01:22:16,280 --> 01:22:19,000
Speaker 1: Channel that's all we. Ask don't need a subscription fees or.

1614
01:22:19,040 --> 01:22:22,000
Speaker 1: Anything we just need you to, subscribe which is, free

1615
01:22:22,080 --> 01:22:24,960
Speaker 1: always has, been always will. Be for Director, Bradley Producer,

1616
01:22:25,040 --> 01:22:25,760
Speaker 1: Jesse I'm Josh.

1617
01:22:25,840 --> 01:22:26,200
Speaker 2: Pate take.

1618
01:22:26,200 --> 01:22:28,400
Speaker 1: Care we'll see You. Thursday until, then have a great

1619
01:22:28,439 --> 01:22:45,360
Speaker 1: rest of your night And god. Bless sign up For

1620
01:22:45,479 --> 01:22:49,960
Speaker 1: FanDuel at FanDuel dot com BACKSLASH cfb. Promotion must be

1621
01:22:50,000 --> 01:22:53,280
Speaker 1: twenty one plus and present in select states For kansas

1622
01:22:53,320 --> 01:22:56,880
Speaker 1: in affiliation With Kansas Star, casino or eighteen plus and

1623
01:22:56,960 --> 01:23:01,080
Speaker 1: present In WASHINGTON. Dc first online real money wager only

1624
01:23:01,600 --> 01:23:05,880
Speaker 1: ten dollars first deposit. Required bonus issued is non withdrawable

1625
01:23:05,920 --> 01:23:08,080
Speaker 1: bonus bet that expires seven days after.

1626
01:23:08,160 --> 01:23:10,080
Speaker 2: Receipt do you have a gambling?

1627
01:23:10,120 --> 01:23:14,080
Speaker 1: Problem if, so call one eight hundred, gambler or visitfanduel

1628
01:23:14,120 --> 01:23:18,320
Speaker 1: dot com BACKSLASH rg call one eight eight eight seven

1629
01:23:18,360 --> 01:23:22,280
Speaker 1: eight nine seven seven seven, seven or VISIT ccpg dot

1630
01:23:22,400 --> 01:23:26,760
Speaker 1: org backslash chat In, connecticut or VISIT Md gamblinghelp dot.

1631
01:23:26,880 --> 01:23:31,400
Speaker 1: Org In, Maryland hope is, here visit Gambling heelplinema dot,

1632
01:23:31,479 --> 01:23:34,559
Speaker 1: org or call eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty

1633
01:23:34,640 --> 01:23:37,800
Speaker 1: for twenty four seven support In, massachusetts or call one

1634
01:23:37,840 --> 01:23:41,320
Speaker 1: eight seven seven Eight, hope N. Y or text H

1635
01:23:41,360 --> 01:23:44,120
Speaker 1: O P e N y In New york