1 00:00:11,039 --> 00:00:14,560 Speaker 1: Here we go, the official show on the Fish Stripes 2 00:00:14,640 --> 00:00:19,120 Speaker 1: podcast channel. I'm Eli Susman, managing editor of Fish Stripes. 3 00:00:19,120 --> 00:00:21,919 Speaker 1: Two times a week you get these full episodes with 4 00:00:22,120 --> 00:00:25,440 Speaker 1: me here on the pod covering all things Miami Marlins. 5 00:00:25,840 --> 00:00:29,280 Speaker 1: We are presented by Symbol the Stock Market for Sports. 6 00:00:29,320 --> 00:00:32,640 Speaker 1: More about our partners later on in the show. A 7 00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 1: different sort of vibe here on this show. We're not 8 00:00:35,960 --> 00:00:39,120 Speaker 1: gonna focus very much at all on what's happening on 9 00:00:39,159 --> 00:00:41,600 Speaker 1: the field with this team. A very quick note at 10 00:00:41,640 --> 00:00:45,519 Speaker 1: the beginning. We'll do that going into Wednesday's game, Wednesday's loss, 11 00:00:45,760 --> 00:00:49,199 Speaker 1: which had the Marlins getting swept by the Saint Louis Cardinals. 12 00:00:50,360 --> 00:00:53,080 Speaker 1: But we're gonna look at the bigger picture for the 13 00:00:53,120 --> 00:00:55,840 Speaker 1: trajectory that this team is headed for the rest of 14 00:00:55,880 --> 00:00:58,600 Speaker 1: this twenty twenty one season. You'd be kind of surprised 15 00:00:58,600 --> 00:01:02,120 Speaker 1: where they are can at the moment and how quickly 16 00:01:02,160 --> 00:01:05,360 Speaker 1: things have sort of unraveled and changed with this team, 17 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:09,640 Speaker 1: but not all terrible things. It's not exactly that the 18 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:13,440 Speaker 1: like the sky's falling, even if it feels like that 19 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:15,080 Speaker 1: in this very moment. So we're going to talk about 20 00:01:15,120 --> 00:01:17,800 Speaker 1: exactly where things stand with a big picture of this 21 00:01:17,880 --> 00:01:21,120 Speaker 1: team in the midst of their worst couple weeks stretch 22 00:01:21,160 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 1: of the season. And then really the big topic on 23 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:27,600 Speaker 1: everybody's mind, the sticky stuff that pitchers use, especially in 24 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:30,760 Speaker 1: Major League Baseball, something that is so so prevalent and 25 00:01:31,160 --> 00:01:35,560 Speaker 1: soon is going to be like officiated out of the 26 00:01:35,600 --> 00:01:37,920 Speaker 1: game all of a sudden in the middle of the season. 27 00:01:38,240 --> 00:01:42,399 Speaker 1: Interesting comments from Zach Gallen that created some sort of 28 00:01:42,480 --> 00:01:46,080 Speaker 1: chain reaction among significant figures around the game, and we're 29 00:01:46,120 --> 00:01:48,480 Speaker 1: going to comments on that and how it affects the 30 00:01:48,520 --> 00:01:52,760 Speaker 1: Marlins in the past and now moving forward now that 31 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:57,320 Speaker 1: this crackdown goes into effect beginning on Monday. The comments 32 00:01:57,360 --> 00:02:01,280 Speaker 1: on Wednesday's game another one run law to Marlins seemingly 33 00:02:01,400 --> 00:02:04,880 Speaker 1: lead the league in one run losses this season. They 34 00:02:05,080 --> 00:02:07,800 Speaker 1: get shut out by the Cardinals, a great pitcher's rule 35 00:02:08,080 --> 00:02:12,560 Speaker 1: between Sandy Alcantra and Johann Oviedo. There's a more of 36 00:02:12,560 --> 00:02:15,560 Speaker 1: a traditional recap of that on our website fish strips 37 00:02:15,600 --> 00:02:19,000 Speaker 1: dot com and on the Small Pod hosted by Daniel Rodriguez. 38 00:02:19,560 --> 00:02:23,679 Speaker 1: Just watching this game, obviously the starting lineup and how 39 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:27,200 Speaker 1: it was handled throughout the in game management. It's just 40 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:30,960 Speaker 1: evidence of a team that is indifferent about winning games 41 00:02:31,200 --> 00:02:34,359 Speaker 1: right now. I don't know if you can totally blame 42 00:02:34,400 --> 00:02:37,440 Speaker 1: them for that. This has been a stretch where they tried, 43 00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:39,959 Speaker 1: they tried, they tried to overcome these injuries, tried to 44 00:02:40,000 --> 00:02:44,800 Speaker 1: overcome the flaws in this team's construction, and they haven't 45 00:02:44,800 --> 00:02:47,800 Speaker 1: done it. You know, they entered play on Wednesday in 46 00:02:47,919 --> 00:02:51,880 Speaker 1: last place in the National League East, and after losing 47 00:02:51,880 --> 00:02:54,000 Speaker 1: the game, they are now a full ten games back 48 00:02:54,040 --> 00:02:59,400 Speaker 1: in the division. In this game, Startling Marte, Heyesiusagualar Adam Duval, 49 00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:02,679 Speaker 1: all of them on the bench heading into an off day. 50 00:03:02,760 --> 00:03:04,960 Speaker 1: This is, as I mentioned in the game recap on 51 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:07,919 Speaker 1: the website, this is an increasingly common practice in Major 52 00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:11,880 Speaker 1: League Baseball to set up these quote many vacations for 53 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:15,440 Speaker 1: your veteran players heading into an off day. They last 54 00:03:15,480 --> 00:03:17,760 Speaker 1: played on Tuesday, the next schedule game was Friday night. 55 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:19,119 Speaker 2: To go threefold. 56 00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:22,200 Speaker 1: Days in between games can be pretty valuable to a 57 00:03:22,280 --> 00:03:24,880 Speaker 1: veteran player over the course of a full season. I mean, 58 00:03:24,919 --> 00:03:27,880 Speaker 1: what was so blatant about this is that Don Mattingly 59 00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:30,960 Speaker 1: and the Marlins sat down all three of those guys 60 00:03:30,960 --> 00:03:33,560 Speaker 1: at the same time. One guy you could absolutely understand, 61 00:03:33,560 --> 00:03:37,120 Speaker 1: even two you could kind of overcome it. But we 62 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:40,280 Speaker 1: know at this point in the season the Marlins are 63 00:03:41,080 --> 00:03:44,680 Speaker 1: just beriffed of offensive impact players, and if you sit 64 00:03:44,960 --> 00:03:47,760 Speaker 1: three of them, in particular the top two Marte and 65 00:03:47,840 --> 00:03:51,200 Speaker 1: Aguilar at the same time, they just do not have 66 00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 1: the other talents, the other experience to compensate for that. 67 00:03:58,120 --> 00:04:00,320 Speaker 1: So you can understand one or two right because because 68 00:04:00,560 --> 00:04:03,160 Speaker 1: I'll say with Aguilar made a lot of sense to me. 69 00:04:03,480 --> 00:04:06,280 Speaker 1: Leywin Diaz we know is supposed to be playing every 70 00:04:06,320 --> 00:04:09,040 Speaker 1: day at Triple A. He can't because Marlins lack of 71 00:04:09,120 --> 00:04:11,760 Speaker 1: conventional backup first baseman, and so this was a good 72 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:14,280 Speaker 1: opportunity to get him a start against the right handed pitcher. 73 00:04:14,920 --> 00:04:16,120 Speaker 1: He had an interesting game. 74 00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:18,080 Speaker 2: I don't know if you. 75 00:04:18,080 --> 00:04:21,440 Speaker 1: Can really defend the Marte sitting in order to get 76 00:04:21,520 --> 00:04:25,320 Speaker 1: playing time for Sierra. By sitting Marte and Duval, that 77 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:27,560 Speaker 1: opened the door for Brinson and Sierra. 78 00:04:27,640 --> 00:04:28,320 Speaker 2: And those are guys. 79 00:04:28,320 --> 00:04:30,480 Speaker 1: We know who they are. They've been in the majors 80 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:33,599 Speaker 1: for parts of well Brinton parts of five seasons for 81 00:04:33,680 --> 00:04:34,599 Speaker 1: Sierra parts of four. 82 00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:35,360 Speaker 2: We know who they are. 83 00:04:35,400 --> 00:04:37,880 Speaker 1: They do not need to be getting full playing time, 84 00:04:38,240 --> 00:04:41,000 Speaker 1: and it wasn't so much about just having all those 85 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:43,400 Speaker 1: guys out of the starting lineup, but more so that 86 00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:45,440 Speaker 1: this game was as close as it could get. It 87 00:04:45,520 --> 00:04:48,200 Speaker 1: was a tie game throughout the entire time until the 88 00:04:48,240 --> 00:04:50,520 Speaker 1: walk off in the bottom of the ninth. For them 89 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:54,120 Speaker 1: to go into those later endings, really the eighth inning end, 90 00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:57,679 Speaker 1: especially the ninth inning. To have Brinson and Sierra batting 91 00:04:57,800 --> 00:04:59,960 Speaker 1: in the top of the ninth of a tie game, 92 00:05:00,320 --> 00:05:03,479 Speaker 1: when you have Marte and Aguilar and Duval all available, 93 00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 1: there's no defense for it. This is a seam that 94 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:10,960 Speaker 1: they prioritized the rest of those guys, and if you 95 00:05:11,000 --> 00:05:12,680 Speaker 1: want to look at the bigger picture, they wanted to 96 00:05:12,760 --> 00:05:15,640 Speaker 1: rest them to ensure that they avoid injury, to ensure 97 00:05:15,680 --> 00:05:18,680 Speaker 1: that they are still available at the trade deadline for 98 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:21,279 Speaker 1: contending teams. Those are all three of those guys. We 99 00:05:21,400 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 1: talked about Marte at length on the previous pot. We 100 00:05:23,400 --> 00:05:26,240 Speaker 1: don't want to trade him, but there's going to be 101 00:05:26,279 --> 00:05:29,120 Speaker 1: calls about him, and one of the top priorities for 102 00:05:29,160 --> 00:05:31,159 Speaker 1: this team right now is making sure those vets are 103 00:05:31,200 --> 00:05:37,200 Speaker 1: healthy at trade deadline time. Because this current season, the 104 00:05:37,240 --> 00:05:39,680 Speaker 1: goals of the season have shifted pretty dramatically. I think 105 00:05:39,680 --> 00:05:41,080 Speaker 1: it was less than two weeks ago that I was 106 00:05:41,120 --> 00:05:44,680 Speaker 1: on here talking about how everything that this team was 107 00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:47,680 Speaker 1: aspiring to do in twenty twenty one is still on 108 00:05:47,720 --> 00:05:49,919 Speaker 1: the table, that those goals are still in front of them, 109 00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:52,080 Speaker 1: and that has changed. I mean, they played this stretch 110 00:05:52,080 --> 00:05:55,000 Speaker 1: of sixteen games in sixteen days, and they went five 111 00:05:55,040 --> 00:05:59,599 Speaker 1: and eleven for excruciating walkoff losses during that stretch alone, 112 00:06:00,520 --> 00:06:03,359 Speaker 1: they and most importantly they lost they had more injuries. 113 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:04,520 Speaker 2: I mean, that's they. 114 00:06:04,600 --> 00:06:06,719 Speaker 1: We learned that the Brian Anderson injury was kind of 115 00:06:06,760 --> 00:06:09,360 Speaker 1: worse than you can initially feared. He's on the sixty 116 00:06:09,440 --> 00:06:12,719 Speaker 1: day IL. He won't be back till late July. Eliez 117 00:06:12,760 --> 00:06:16,120 Speaker 1: or Hernandez won't be back until August. Cody Pote wait 118 00:06:16,160 --> 00:06:18,120 Speaker 1: to see with him. It might be a similar long 119 00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:21,240 Speaker 1: absence after his MCL injury. They do not have a 120 00:06:21,360 --> 00:06:24,039 Speaker 1: number four or a number five starter in this rotation, 121 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:26,440 Speaker 1: and you cannot go for an extended period of time 122 00:06:26,880 --> 00:06:29,760 Speaker 1: without that. On top of the fact that they have 123 00:06:29,839 --> 00:06:32,480 Speaker 1: all these other offensive issues that they continue to play 124 00:06:32,839 --> 00:06:37,280 Speaker 1: these these fringy post prospect guys like Sierra and Brinson 125 00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:41,320 Speaker 1: and East san Diez who are giving you nothing. The 126 00:06:41,360 --> 00:06:43,120 Speaker 1: talents is not here on the major league roster. The 127 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:45,120 Speaker 1: motivation is not here to add to the current team. 128 00:06:45,520 --> 00:06:47,960 Speaker 1: The team enters this off day and then the Lentra 129 00:06:48,040 --> 00:06:50,640 Speaker 1: Friday at twenty nine and thirty nine. As season worse 130 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:54,400 Speaker 1: ten games below five hundred, you have probably been in 131 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:57,599 Speaker 1: this mindset of, you know, following every single game with 132 00:06:57,640 --> 00:07:00,560 Speaker 1: the expectation of being competitive. I don't blame you, but 133 00:07:00,920 --> 00:07:03,760 Speaker 1: now take a look look up at where things currently stand. 134 00:07:03,800 --> 00:07:06,560 Speaker 1: With ninety four games remaining, the Marlins are one of 135 00:07:06,600 --> 00:07:09,520 Speaker 1: the worst teams in baseball. The run differential says they 136 00:07:09,560 --> 00:07:12,840 Speaker 1: are an average team, and unfortunately all those games are 137 00:07:12,840 --> 00:07:15,080 Speaker 1: in the book. You know there'll be more time for 138 00:07:15,120 --> 00:07:17,440 Speaker 1: them to level out towards their run differential, but I 139 00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 1: don't think you can expect them to. You can't look 140 00:07:21,440 --> 00:07:23,360 Speaker 1: at this team honestly and say they're a five hundred 141 00:07:23,360 --> 00:07:25,520 Speaker 1: team moving forward. You could say maybe they should have 142 00:07:25,560 --> 00:07:28,400 Speaker 1: been closer to that number in the past, without this 143 00:07:28,600 --> 00:07:34,080 Speaker 1: rotation depth, and without this position player depth, and with 144 00:07:34,160 --> 00:07:36,680 Speaker 1: a bullpen that is coming back down to earth. Although 145 00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:40,200 Speaker 1: still pretty good, that this team is not good during 146 00:07:40,200 --> 00:07:40,880 Speaker 1: this current season. 147 00:07:40,880 --> 00:07:41,640 Speaker 2: In fact, there. 148 00:07:41,520 --> 00:07:44,680 Speaker 1: Are only six teams with a worse record than the 149 00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:48,560 Speaker 1: Marlins right now, six eighty percent of the league is 150 00:07:48,720 --> 00:07:51,080 Speaker 1: well either the Marlins or as good as the Marlins. 151 00:07:51,120 --> 00:07:54,480 Speaker 1: The Tigers have the same record. Let's say seventy percent 152 00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:57,239 Speaker 1: of the league is better than the Marlins. Seventy percent 153 00:07:58,920 --> 00:08:01,280 Speaker 1: this season, it's a it's a step. I think there's 154 00:08:01,280 --> 00:08:03,800 Speaker 1: still much better team than twenty eighteen or twenty nineteen. 155 00:08:03,840 --> 00:08:05,280 Speaker 1: There's gonna be a lot of reasons to watch this 156 00:08:05,360 --> 00:08:08,560 Speaker 1: team down the stretch, but not because you can imagine 157 00:08:08,600 --> 00:08:11,880 Speaker 1: a playoff run that is not happening, and all the 158 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:13,840 Speaker 1: projection systems kind of are aligned on that. You know, 159 00:08:13,880 --> 00:08:16,760 Speaker 1: the most generous estimate you'll have that the Marlins playoff 160 00:08:16,760 --> 00:08:21,280 Speaker 1: odds are one percent right now, and you can't yet 161 00:08:21,360 --> 00:08:24,360 Speaker 1: to change the way that you operate a team when 162 00:08:24,960 --> 00:08:27,320 Speaker 1: you when that reality kind of hits you in the face. 163 00:08:27,680 --> 00:08:29,200 Speaker 1: Some of it out of their control, a lot of 164 00:08:29,200 --> 00:08:31,480 Speaker 1: it in their control and coming back to bite them 165 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:34,120 Speaker 1: all stuff that we've covered on previous shows. Just to 166 00:08:34,160 --> 00:08:36,040 Speaker 1: do a rundown of the teams that are as bad 167 00:08:36,040 --> 00:08:38,480 Speaker 1: as the Marlins. First, there's the Tigers that have the 168 00:08:38,559 --> 00:08:43,679 Speaker 1: identical record as them entering play on Thursday. The Tigers 169 00:08:43,720 --> 00:08:47,040 Speaker 1: are kind of an they've been a pretty depressing franchise 170 00:08:47,080 --> 00:08:48,800 Speaker 1: for the last half decade or so. One of their 171 00:08:48,840 --> 00:08:52,760 Speaker 1: biggest free agent signings of this past offseason was Jose Urania, 172 00:08:52,960 --> 00:08:55,440 Speaker 1: and so that goes that really speaks volumes about where 173 00:08:55,440 --> 00:08:58,040 Speaker 1: they are as a team. They'll be sellers at the deadline. 174 00:08:58,160 --> 00:08:59,839 Speaker 1: If I had to bet on it, I'd say that 175 00:08:59,880 --> 00:09:03,080 Speaker 1: the Tigers probably finished with a worse record than the Marlins, 176 00:09:03,080 --> 00:09:05,440 Speaker 1: but there's not really that many differences between them. Tiger's 177 00:09:05,440 --> 00:09:09,400 Speaker 1: is also a very intriguing cast of young starting pitchers 178 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:11,719 Speaker 1: and all of whom that are kind of breaking through 179 00:09:11,720 --> 00:09:13,680 Speaker 1: at the majors at the same time a lot of excitement. 180 00:09:13,840 --> 00:09:16,600 Speaker 1: They do have some severe injuries to their rotation, including 181 00:09:16,640 --> 00:09:20,920 Speaker 1: they already lost Julio Trn, Matthew Boyd, Spencer Turnbull. All 182 00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:23,840 Speaker 1: things considered, I think that the Tigers will finish up 183 00:09:23,840 --> 00:09:25,920 Speaker 1: worse than the Marlins, but we're going to run through 184 00:09:25,960 --> 00:09:28,719 Speaker 1: these teams that are behind them in the standings, or 185 00:09:29,080 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 1: you could say, ahead of them in the reverse standings 186 00:09:32,200 --> 00:09:34,560 Speaker 1: all of a sudden, A big not a goal for 187 00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:37,440 Speaker 1: this season, but something significant to watch for the rest 188 00:09:37,440 --> 00:09:40,680 Speaker 1: of this season is where the Marlins finish in the 189 00:09:40,720 --> 00:09:44,000 Speaker 1: reverse standings. And how it impacts their twenty twenty two 190 00:09:44,280 --> 00:09:47,360 Speaker 1: MLB Draft position. As I said, there's only six teams 191 00:09:47,360 --> 00:09:49,720 Speaker 1: worse than them right now. You know, the season ended today, 192 00:09:50,200 --> 00:09:53,120 Speaker 1: Marlins would be picking seventh or eighth overall in the 193 00:09:53,559 --> 00:09:56,920 Speaker 1: MLB draft, which is a significant difference from where they 194 00:09:56,960 --> 00:10:00,720 Speaker 1: are this upcoming draft, where there'll be number sixteen overall 195 00:10:01,360 --> 00:10:04,120 Speaker 1: going through these teams. The Baltimore Orioles another one that 196 00:10:05,000 --> 00:10:07,880 Speaker 1: I think you could bet pretty heavily on them being 197 00:10:07,960 --> 00:10:10,400 Speaker 1: worse than the Marlins when all are done. There's a 198 00:10:10,440 --> 00:10:13,040 Speaker 1: big gap between them right now, the Orioles at twenty 199 00:10:13,080 --> 00:10:16,120 Speaker 1: two and forty four, so they are one, two, three, 200 00:10:16,200 --> 00:10:20,240 Speaker 1: four six six games back of the Marlins right now, 201 00:10:20,360 --> 00:10:22,160 Speaker 1: or six games ahead of them, if what's eevery way 202 00:10:22,160 --> 00:10:23,840 Speaker 1: you want to term it, and you know they'll be 203 00:10:24,000 --> 00:10:27,240 Speaker 1: selling veterans at the deadline, the few that they still have. 204 00:10:27,920 --> 00:10:29,760 Speaker 2: I think once you against get past that, all of a. 205 00:10:29,760 --> 00:10:33,040 Speaker 1: Sudden you got the question most of these teams, whether 206 00:10:33,120 --> 00:10:35,000 Speaker 1: or not they are actually any worse than the Marlins. 207 00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:38,199 Speaker 1: The Pirates probably, of course, the Pirates are the ones 208 00:10:38,200 --> 00:10:40,640 Speaker 1: that kind of sent the Marlins into this tailspin by 209 00:10:40,640 --> 00:10:44,679 Speaker 1: taking three out of four, and since the Marlins. Since 210 00:10:44,679 --> 00:10:45,760 Speaker 1: the Pirates did that. 211 00:10:46,000 --> 00:10:48,440 Speaker 2: They have been they haven't won a game. 212 00:10:48,880 --> 00:10:51,840 Speaker 1: That kind of speaks volumes about how where the Marlins 213 00:10:51,880 --> 00:10:54,400 Speaker 1: are that Ever since that series, the Pirates have lost 214 00:10:54,880 --> 00:10:57,360 Speaker 1: like ten in a row. They lost that finale of 215 00:10:57,360 --> 00:10:59,360 Speaker 1: the series because Sandy put the Marlins on his back, 216 00:10:59,400 --> 00:11:02,480 Speaker 1: and then the Pirates haven't won since. So another team 217 00:11:02,600 --> 00:11:05,200 Speaker 1: that I guess you really are. I have a hard 218 00:11:05,200 --> 00:11:10,560 Speaker 1: time seeing them eclipsing the Marlins in the standings between 219 00:11:10,960 --> 00:11:14,160 Speaker 1: now and the end of the year. Although they are 220 00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:16,920 Speaker 1: a relatively healthy team. You could say that for them. 221 00:11:16,920 --> 00:11:19,920 Speaker 1: They played most of this year without Cabrian Hayes, and 222 00:11:20,080 --> 00:11:21,760 Speaker 1: I was so impressed with what I saw from him 223 00:11:21,880 --> 00:11:24,240 Speaker 1: watching him against the Marlins during that series. I think 224 00:11:24,320 --> 00:11:26,840 Speaker 1: he is one of the most talented players in all baseball, 225 00:11:26,920 --> 00:11:29,960 Speaker 1: not just rookies. He could and he certainly will not 226 00:11:30,000 --> 00:11:33,079 Speaker 1: be traded during this season, So he's the one guy 227 00:11:33,120 --> 00:11:34,840 Speaker 1: that could really move the needle for them a little 228 00:11:34,840 --> 00:11:36,800 Speaker 1: bit and have them flowing at a higher level in 229 00:11:36,840 --> 00:11:40,200 Speaker 1: the second half of the season. There's the Texas Rangers, 230 00:11:40,360 --> 00:11:43,160 Speaker 1: who are in a very weird spot with their organization. 231 00:11:43,200 --> 00:11:46,400 Speaker 1: People thought they would be ready to invest in the 232 00:11:46,400 --> 00:11:49,000 Speaker 1: team as a new ballpark opens up. But they are 233 00:11:49,040 --> 00:11:53,600 Speaker 1: surprisingly bad offensively, and they have had a lot of 234 00:11:53,640 --> 00:11:58,280 Speaker 1: injuries as well, a lot of significant ones to various 235 00:11:58,320 --> 00:12:00,920 Speaker 1: aspects of their team, especially they're pitching staff in the bullpen. 236 00:12:01,920 --> 00:12:03,719 Speaker 2: But I think it's kind of a toss up as to. 237 00:12:03,720 --> 00:12:07,240 Speaker 1: Whether they'll they're actually really much worse than the Marlins 238 00:12:07,240 --> 00:12:10,360 Speaker 1: are moving forward. Again, with a lot of these teams, 239 00:12:10,360 --> 00:12:12,520 Speaker 1: it depends exactly who they move at the trade deadline, 240 00:12:12,559 --> 00:12:15,080 Speaker 1: who's the next man up on their prospect depth chart. 241 00:12:15,120 --> 00:12:17,360 Speaker 1: But I think the Rangers are closer to being mediocre 242 00:12:17,400 --> 00:12:20,760 Speaker 1: than the Arts being truly awful. The Rockies weren't in 243 00:12:20,800 --> 00:12:23,400 Speaker 1: a pretty ugly place for most of this season. They 244 00:12:23,400 --> 00:12:25,640 Speaker 1: came out of the gate very slow. We know they 245 00:12:25,679 --> 00:12:29,240 Speaker 1: got just terrible press over the offseason for trading Nolan Aaronato, 246 00:12:29,360 --> 00:12:31,640 Speaker 1: but they entered play on Thursday. They're just a game 247 00:12:31,679 --> 00:12:34,080 Speaker 1: and a half worse than the Marlins are. They just 248 00:12:34,080 --> 00:12:37,199 Speaker 1: swept the San Diego Padres, and they have plenty of 249 00:12:37,280 --> 00:12:40,719 Speaker 1: veterans as well, but a few that are kind of untradeable. 250 00:12:41,240 --> 00:12:44,400 Speaker 1: I mean, with Charlie Blackman's contracts, it's unlikely to see 251 00:12:44,440 --> 00:12:47,880 Speaker 1: that there's an expectation that Trevor Story will be moved 252 00:12:47,920 --> 00:12:50,280 Speaker 1: at the trade deadline, but it's the same position as 253 00:12:50,280 --> 00:12:53,600 Speaker 1: the Marlins are with Starling Marte that with those guys, 254 00:12:53,840 --> 00:12:56,640 Speaker 1: you get potential draft pick compensation at the end of 255 00:12:56,679 --> 00:12:59,320 Speaker 1: the year if you make a qualifying offer, and that 256 00:12:59,400 --> 00:13:03,080 Speaker 1: compensation might be similar, if not better than the actual 257 00:13:03,480 --> 00:13:06,360 Speaker 1: trade package you would receive at the deadline because teams 258 00:13:06,400 --> 00:13:09,640 Speaker 1: just are kind of unwilling to budge on these rental players. 259 00:13:10,640 --> 00:13:15,160 Speaker 1: We've seen it a year after year recently that teams 260 00:13:15,559 --> 00:13:18,120 Speaker 1: kind of set this bar as to how much young 261 00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:20,360 Speaker 1: talent they're willing to give up for a guy who's 262 00:13:20,360 --> 00:13:24,880 Speaker 1: appending free agent, and that bar is pretty low. So 263 00:13:25,040 --> 00:13:27,439 Speaker 1: that's an interesting decision the Rockies will have and how 264 00:13:27,440 --> 00:13:30,959 Speaker 1: it affects their competitive chances down the stretch. The Twins 265 00:13:31,000 --> 00:13:35,199 Speaker 1: are really the biggest surprise in this group because they've 266 00:13:35,240 --> 00:13:37,400 Speaker 1: been a playoff team the last several years. They've brought 267 00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:39,559 Speaker 1: back a lot of familiar faces. They spent a lot 268 00:13:39,600 --> 00:13:42,880 Speaker 1: of money on this team and it's been a bust 269 00:13:43,080 --> 00:13:47,200 Speaker 1: for them. So they're ones that really do have several 270 00:13:47,240 --> 00:13:50,120 Speaker 1: impact veteran players that you kind of could expect to 271 00:13:50,160 --> 00:13:53,280 Speaker 1: be moved at the deadline on both sides of the ball. 272 00:13:53,360 --> 00:13:57,040 Speaker 1: They enter play roughly the same place where the Rockies 273 00:13:57,080 --> 00:14:00,520 Speaker 1: are and not that far behind the Marlins. They've had 274 00:14:00,520 --> 00:14:03,480 Speaker 1: some notable injuries, especially with Byron Buxton, so having him 275 00:14:03,520 --> 00:14:06,679 Speaker 1: available down the stretch would be a nice boon to 276 00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:10,680 Speaker 1: them and to their fans. But yeah, overall a messy 277 00:14:10,760 --> 00:14:16,520 Speaker 1: season for them on given their expectations and how their 278 00:14:16,640 --> 00:14:19,080 Speaker 1: last season ended where they got upset in the playoffs 279 00:14:19,360 --> 00:14:23,200 Speaker 1: by the Houston Astros. And they're definitely the most surprising 280 00:14:23,200 --> 00:14:25,000 Speaker 1: team on this list, one that I think even if 281 00:14:25,000 --> 00:14:27,560 Speaker 1: they do sell off veterans, they had several of their 282 00:14:28,080 --> 00:14:30,640 Speaker 1: really impact prospects already in the high levels of the 283 00:14:30,680 --> 00:14:33,080 Speaker 1: miners that won't there won't really be much of a 284 00:14:33,120 --> 00:14:35,480 Speaker 1: drop off for them once they do make any moves 285 00:14:36,160 --> 00:14:40,000 Speaker 1: at the deadline. And that brings us to the Arizona Diamondbacks, 286 00:14:40,320 --> 00:14:43,240 Speaker 1: who are the worst team in baseball. So they're the 287 00:14:43,280 --> 00:14:46,480 Speaker 1: one that I think if you clane them the Orioles 288 00:14:46,600 --> 00:14:50,760 Speaker 1: and the Pirates and the Tigers, I think the worst 289 00:14:50,760 --> 00:14:53,120 Speaker 1: case scenario or the best case, however you look at it, 290 00:14:53,160 --> 00:14:55,560 Speaker 1: the Marlins, I don't think they're going to be any 291 00:14:56,280 --> 00:14:58,800 Speaker 1: any worse than the fifth worst team in baseball. I 292 00:14:58,800 --> 00:15:00,760 Speaker 1: think that's kind of the floor for them to finish 293 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:03,360 Speaker 1: at no matter what happens from here on out, because 294 00:15:03,400 --> 00:15:05,640 Speaker 1: these other teams are well, they're already behind them in 295 00:15:05,640 --> 00:15:08,560 Speaker 1: the standings, and also they have the similar lack of 296 00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:10,000 Speaker 1: motivation to put things together. 297 00:15:10,640 --> 00:15:12,360 Speaker 2: The Diamondbacks are the worst team in baseball. 298 00:15:12,440 --> 00:15:16,520 Speaker 1: And it's not a total shock, but it's just it 299 00:15:16,600 --> 00:15:20,160 Speaker 1: happened very abruptly for them because they were you remember, 300 00:15:20,560 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 1: just probably a month and a half ago, they were 301 00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:25,160 Speaker 1: above five hundred. They got off to a decent start 302 00:15:25,320 --> 00:15:27,560 Speaker 1: to the season, and they were playing some competitive games 303 00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:31,160 Speaker 1: against the Marlins. People were excited when the Marlins beat 304 00:15:31,160 --> 00:15:32,960 Speaker 1: the d Backs as as if it was like a 305 00:15:33,040 --> 00:15:37,160 Speaker 1: really impressive measuring stick. But the Diamondbacks have really fallen 306 00:15:37,200 --> 00:15:39,920 Speaker 1: on some terrible times. They had the longest losing streak 307 00:15:40,000 --> 00:15:40,720 Speaker 1: in baseball. 308 00:15:41,720 --> 00:15:42,520 Speaker 2: They do at the. 309 00:15:42,440 --> 00:15:45,360 Speaker 1: Moment, it's up to now thirteen consecutive games. They are 310 00:15:45,400 --> 00:15:49,720 Speaker 1: twenty and forty nine. And I bring them up because 311 00:15:49,760 --> 00:15:53,120 Speaker 1: they have been without their ace, Zach Gallon. 312 00:15:52,960 --> 00:15:54,080 Speaker 2: For most of the year. 313 00:15:54,160 --> 00:15:57,880 Speaker 1: He is finally ready to return from a four arm injury, 314 00:15:58,400 --> 00:16:01,000 Speaker 1: and he's coming up after the break because he had 315 00:16:01,040 --> 00:16:03,520 Speaker 1: some interesting things to say and how they tie in 316 00:16:04,000 --> 00:16:08,120 Speaker 1: to the Miami Marlins. Here at Fish Stripes, we are 317 00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:12,160 Speaker 1: proudly partnered with Symbol the stock market for sports. Symbol 318 00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:14,640 Speaker 1: allows you to trade sports teams like stocks and earn 319 00:16:14,720 --> 00:16:17,880 Speaker 1: cash payouts when your teams win. 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At share price twenty 337 00:17:18,840 --> 00:17:21,760 Speaker 1: nine dollars and eighty cents, you visit symbol dot app 338 00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:25,080 Speaker 1: promo code fish stripes to get a ten dollars deposit 339 00:17:25,200 --> 00:17:28,679 Speaker 1: bonus to help build your portfolio. Invest in what you know, 340 00:17:29,200 --> 00:17:37,200 Speaker 1: invest in sports, which brings us to a sticky situation 341 00:17:37,680 --> 00:17:39,760 Speaker 1: in baseball. I don't think I've referenced it much on 342 00:17:39,800 --> 00:17:42,679 Speaker 1: the pod, but I'm sure you've been following the headlines 343 00:17:42,760 --> 00:17:45,639 Speaker 1: all month, and actually they even started before the season 344 00:17:45,640 --> 00:17:50,720 Speaker 1: began about trying to change the way that that pictures 345 00:17:50,800 --> 00:17:55,520 Speaker 1: operate in Major League Baseball. That there has been four years, 346 00:17:55,560 --> 00:17:59,480 Speaker 1: maybe for generations. You could say this tradition of pictures 347 00:17:59,560 --> 00:18:02,720 Speaker 1: applying certain substances to their fingers in order to get 348 00:18:02,760 --> 00:18:05,360 Speaker 1: a better grip on the ball back in the day, 349 00:18:05,480 --> 00:18:08,119 Speaker 1: and you could say it's still happening in some isolated 350 00:18:08,119 --> 00:18:11,280 Speaker 1: cases now they are tampering with the ball in some 351 00:18:11,520 --> 00:18:14,760 Speaker 1: very few cases. The one that has gotten the most 352 00:18:14,760 --> 00:18:17,959 Speaker 1: attention in particular is spider tack, which is not designed 353 00:18:17,960 --> 00:18:22,600 Speaker 1: at all for baseball purposes, but is so sticky, that 354 00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:25,040 Speaker 1: it allows you to manipulate the movement on the ball 355 00:18:25,200 --> 00:18:28,040 Speaker 1: way more than you ordinarily would, getting more movement, getting 356 00:18:28,040 --> 00:18:32,160 Speaker 1: more spin rate, and getting having more success having balls 357 00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:34,919 Speaker 1: moved in ways that hitters simply do not have an 358 00:18:34,920 --> 00:18:39,119 Speaker 1: opportunity to adjust to. Beginning on Monday, that's when on 359 00:18:39,280 --> 00:18:42,200 Speaker 1: field enforcement finally begins. That's what Major League Baseball said 360 00:18:42,200 --> 00:18:47,240 Speaker 1: in a memo. Recently, They've been monitoring the situation. Nobody 361 00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:49,440 Speaker 1: has been suspended at the major league level. There have 362 00:18:49,520 --> 00:18:53,439 Speaker 1: been some minor league pictures suspended for using stuff on 363 00:18:53,520 --> 00:18:58,439 Speaker 1: their fingers. The most common combination of substances tends to 364 00:18:58,480 --> 00:19:01,600 Speaker 1: be rosin and sunscreen, either one or the other or 365 00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:04,359 Speaker 1: both combined. That this allows you to get a grip 366 00:19:04,760 --> 00:19:08,560 Speaker 1: on the baseball. This brings us to Zach Gallen, who 367 00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:12,679 Speaker 1: was speaking to the media on Wednesday, because he's just 368 00:19:12,840 --> 00:19:15,560 Speaker 1: fresh back off the injured list in returning to the 369 00:19:15,640 --> 00:19:19,919 Speaker 1: Arizona Diamondbacks rotation. So most of the questions I listened 370 00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:22,040 Speaker 1: to the entire pressor. Most of the questions were about 371 00:19:22,080 --> 00:19:24,680 Speaker 1: baseball and how he expect to return from this injury. 372 00:19:25,400 --> 00:19:28,600 Speaker 1: One of the final questions was about the sticky situation. 373 00:19:28,760 --> 00:19:31,640 Speaker 1: So you could just listen to him right here, talk 374 00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:33,880 Speaker 1: about his perspective on it. 375 00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:37,320 Speaker 3: Zach, where do you come down on the whole substances issue? 376 00:19:37,359 --> 00:19:38,679 Speaker 4: Is it? Is it going to have an effect on 377 00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:41,240 Speaker 4: You can believe you guys took this long ask it. 378 00:19:43,800 --> 00:19:46,560 Speaker 4: I mean, you know, it's it's one of those things 379 00:19:46,600 --> 00:19:51,679 Speaker 4: that in baseball, you know, when when the Commissioner's office 380 00:19:52,200 --> 00:19:54,600 Speaker 4: sits down and does an interview wants to talk about it, 381 00:19:54,680 --> 00:19:56,840 Speaker 4: then you know, then we'll have that and we'll talk 382 00:19:56,840 --> 00:20:01,240 Speaker 4: about it. But you know, it's it's been a custom 383 00:20:01,280 --> 00:20:06,359 Speaker 4: and practice for I would imagine a lot of organizations, 384 00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:11,639 Speaker 4: especially especially the person who is running that part of 385 00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:15,400 Speaker 4: the Commission's office that's that's leading the crackdown. He was 386 00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:18,880 Speaker 4: he was in charge of an organization that was definitely 387 00:20:18,880 --> 00:20:22,480 Speaker 4: at one point saying, hey, this is uh you're you're 388 00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:26,760 Speaker 4: gonna need these things to help you. But yeah, until uh, 389 00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:29,360 Speaker 4: you know, the commission Office comes out and actually held 390 00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:31,400 Speaker 4: to a press conference and they want to talk about 391 00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:33,920 Speaker 4: you know, the findings and testings and all that stuff, 392 00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:37,679 Speaker 4: then I'll come back to you guys. 393 00:20:37,400 --> 00:20:40,159 Speaker 3: So we started just agree between the lines. There are 394 00:20:40,200 --> 00:20:43,240 Speaker 3: you suggesting that it was kind of something that the 395 00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:49,240 Speaker 3: Marlins suggested. Guys, guys, use when you were there, you 396 00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:50,399 Speaker 3: can read between the lines. 397 00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:51,959 Speaker 2: So there you heard him. 398 00:20:52,080 --> 00:20:56,040 Speaker 1: Zach Gallon calling out Michael Hill, who is now working 399 00:20:56,040 --> 00:21:00,560 Speaker 1: in the Commissioner's office responsible for on field operations and discipline, 400 00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:04,560 Speaker 1: and including what is happening here with this sticky stuff situation? 401 00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:08,400 Speaker 1: Some important follow ups to this from Zach Buchanan of 402 00:21:08,440 --> 00:21:11,240 Speaker 1: the Athletic who covers the Diamondbacks. Mike he reached out 403 00:21:11,240 --> 00:21:16,120 Speaker 1: to Michael Hill. Michael Hill responded by denying these accusations, 404 00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:18,840 Speaker 1: saying quoted is predictable that a player represented by a 405 00:21:18,840 --> 00:21:23,399 Speaker 1: particular agent aka Scott Boris, would make false accusations about me, 406 00:21:23,480 --> 00:21:25,919 Speaker 1: given my current role in the agent's obvious desire to 407 00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:28,600 Speaker 1: distract people from the current issues surrounding the use of 408 00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:33,639 Speaker 1: foreign substances. The assertions, however, are completely false, Michael Hill says. 409 00:21:34,040 --> 00:21:37,600 Speaker 1: And then from that Scott Boris just a short time 410 00:21:37,720 --> 00:21:40,679 Speaker 1: later via text message saying a player trained in the 411 00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:45,480 Speaker 1: Marlins organization spoke candidly and truthfully. Then GM's response is 412 00:21:45,480 --> 00:21:49,520 Speaker 1: none other than the antiquated Sergeant Schultz defense. I see 413 00:21:49,520 --> 00:21:52,560 Speaker 1: nothing next for real, will be asked to believe the 414 00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:55,840 Speaker 1: tooth fairy was the farm director. So a fun back 415 00:21:55,840 --> 00:22:00,280 Speaker 1: and forth there between Zach Allen and Michael Hill and 416 00:22:00,320 --> 00:22:05,320 Speaker 1: Scott Bores regarding sticky stuff. And as Gallon even says himself, 417 00:22:05,480 --> 00:22:11,000 Speaker 1: like he expects that most organizations had a similar approach 418 00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:14,439 Speaker 1: to this, that they were open about having their players, 419 00:22:14,480 --> 00:22:17,760 Speaker 1: they encouraged their players to use whatever they needed to 420 00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:20,720 Speaker 1: get a good grip on the ball. We could go 421 00:22:20,720 --> 00:22:23,760 Speaker 1: into a big tangent about this that there are more 422 00:22:23,800 --> 00:22:26,480 Speaker 1: baseballs being used in games than ever before, that baseball 423 00:22:26,520 --> 00:22:31,600 Speaker 1: has the league has fallen into this behavior of constantly 424 00:22:31,800 --> 00:22:36,760 Speaker 1: using fresh, unused baseballs rotating them in during games. There 425 00:22:36,760 --> 00:22:39,280 Speaker 1: are more foul balls in baseball than ever before. There 426 00:22:39,280 --> 00:22:41,320 Speaker 1: are more pitchers in the dirt than ever before, because 427 00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:44,200 Speaker 1: pitchers are using more breaking balls that have that kind 428 00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:45,960 Speaker 1: of movement than ever before. And every time there's a 429 00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:48,080 Speaker 1: ball fouled out of play, every time there's a ball 430 00:22:48,119 --> 00:22:50,119 Speaker 1: in the dirt, and even sometimes when there is a 431 00:22:50,119 --> 00:22:54,200 Speaker 1: ball in play in certain situations, they substitute that ball 432 00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:57,439 Speaker 1: out anyway. And when you have these fresh balls, pitchers 433 00:22:57,480 --> 00:22:59,360 Speaker 1: will tell you that it is more difficult to get 434 00:22:59,359 --> 00:23:02,520 Speaker 1: the grip. That there is they are kind of slimier 435 00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:07,240 Speaker 1: that they those balls actually being used is the best 436 00:23:07,240 --> 00:23:10,680 Speaker 1: way for those balls to once they get into play, 437 00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:12,639 Speaker 1: it's easier for you to get a grip on them. 438 00:23:12,680 --> 00:23:15,520 Speaker 1: When they get worn down a little bit, that makes 439 00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:17,680 Speaker 1: it easier to pitch with and actually you know where 440 00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:21,359 Speaker 1: the ball is going. So to counteract that, especially in 441 00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:26,240 Speaker 1: recent years, there has been this trend towards guys applying 442 00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:29,399 Speaker 1: stuff on their fingers that can really get them, that 443 00:23:29,480 --> 00:23:32,160 Speaker 1: could get them comfortable throwing that ball even when it's 444 00:23:32,359 --> 00:23:34,800 Speaker 1: just been thrown to them a fresh one in the 445 00:23:34,800 --> 00:23:37,560 Speaker 1: middle of play. It has reached a point where not 446 00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:40,560 Speaker 1: only does it seem that almost everybody is using this stuff, 447 00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:43,639 Speaker 1: but some guys are going too far, and now that 448 00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:47,840 Speaker 1: it's being disciplined, the blowback towards this has been pretty 449 00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:51,080 Speaker 1: strong from the players themselves, from the coaches themselves. We 450 00:23:51,160 --> 00:23:53,680 Speaker 1: spoke to mel Stodemeier Junior a couple of weeks ago, 451 00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:58,000 Speaker 1: even before the official memo came out, about his concerns 452 00:23:58,520 --> 00:24:02,000 Speaker 1: about this. It's been in the culture for a very 453 00:24:02,040 --> 00:24:04,560 Speaker 1: long time. It's not something that has ever really been 454 00:24:04,600 --> 00:24:08,480 Speaker 1: objected to in the past, and if you go back 455 00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:10,679 Speaker 1: far enough it's not something that has necessarily made a 456 00:24:10,680 --> 00:24:14,560 Speaker 1: big difference in terms of how pitchers perform until very recently. 457 00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:16,679 Speaker 1: That's kind of the expectation is that now, through a 458 00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:21,879 Speaker 1: combination of things, including the use of excessive substances, that 459 00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:25,040 Speaker 1: it's now simply too difficult for hitters to put the 460 00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:27,639 Speaker 1: ball in play, which it's why they're striking out at 461 00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:29,760 Speaker 1: a high rate than ever before. One of the easiest 462 00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:33,520 Speaker 1: ways to kind of monitor how a pitcher is either 463 00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:37,080 Speaker 1: potentially using this stuff or potentially not using this is 464 00:24:37,080 --> 00:24:40,040 Speaker 1: to follow their spin rate, which is measured by stack 465 00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:43,199 Speaker 1: cast and provided to everybody through publicly kind of in 466 00:24:43,240 --> 00:24:46,040 Speaker 1: real time as games are going on. Through Baseball Savants, 467 00:24:47,880 --> 00:24:50,040 Speaker 1: Enosars of the Athletic has kind of been at the 468 00:24:50,080 --> 00:24:54,240 Speaker 1: forefront of interpreting and researching and analyzing the changes in 469 00:24:54,320 --> 00:24:57,360 Speaker 1: pictures spin rates, which affects their movement on their pitches 470 00:24:57,800 --> 00:25:01,480 Speaker 1: and can be correlated pretty sh strongly to their effectiveness. 471 00:25:01,840 --> 00:25:05,040 Speaker 1: That he notes that a lot of pictures across the league, 472 00:25:05,040 --> 00:25:07,040 Speaker 1: I've seen their spin rates drop a little bit in 473 00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:11,240 Speaker 1: recent weeks with the news of all substances being outlawed, 474 00:25:11,280 --> 00:25:13,639 Speaker 1: including the popular sunscreen in rosin. 475 00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:14,040 Speaker 2: You know, a. 476 00:25:15,520 --> 00:25:19,080 Speaker 1: Very ordinary kind of standard formula that's used by a 477 00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:22,320 Speaker 1: lot of pictures, probably on the Marlins, probably on the Diamondbacks, 478 00:25:22,320 --> 00:25:25,280 Speaker 1: probably on most teams. You'll find somebody using sunscreen and 479 00:25:25,359 --> 00:25:27,880 Speaker 1: rosin to get a grip that spin rates are down 480 00:25:28,119 --> 00:25:32,240 Speaker 1: for just about everybody. But according to Eno, there is 481 00:25:32,359 --> 00:25:35,919 Speaker 1: a certain threshold where it actually really matters. Once you 482 00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:39,000 Speaker 1: go a couple standard deviations away from your normal spin rate, 483 00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:42,399 Speaker 1: when you throw spin rates that are like noticeably lower 484 00:25:42,400 --> 00:25:44,280 Speaker 1: than any others that you've thrown before, that's where it 485 00:25:44,280 --> 00:25:46,800 Speaker 1: really matters. And to this point there's maybe only a 486 00:25:46,840 --> 00:25:49,280 Speaker 1: dozen pictures in all of baseball. Let me just say 487 00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:51,399 Speaker 1: that again, out of hundreds and hundreds of pitchers in 488 00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:55,359 Speaker 1: Major League Baseball, only about maybe ten or twelve to 489 00:25:55,440 --> 00:25:58,560 Speaker 1: this point as of this recording, have seen their stuff. 490 00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:02,600 Speaker 1: Their spin rates dropped by such a significant Martian that 491 00:26:02,600 --> 00:26:06,200 Speaker 1: you would expect they have stopped using whatever they were using. 492 00:26:06,200 --> 00:26:09,560 Speaker 1: There's really it's the impact to this point has not 493 00:26:09,600 --> 00:26:12,600 Speaker 1: been significant. It'll be very interesting to follow, of course, 494 00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:15,280 Speaker 1: the rest of the season. When the enforcement officially goes 495 00:26:15,320 --> 00:26:20,480 Speaker 1: into effect on Monday, how much will this affect the Marlins. Frankly, 496 00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:24,879 Speaker 1: I don't know, my expectation is that not all that much, 497 00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:27,919 Speaker 1: because I guess the Marlins, of course, have surprised some 498 00:26:27,960 --> 00:26:30,159 Speaker 1: people with how good their pitching staff has been to 499 00:26:30,200 --> 00:26:34,720 Speaker 1: this point, arguably the best pitching staff in Miami in 500 00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:38,080 Speaker 1: Florida Marlins history, the best pitching staff they've ever had, 501 00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:40,760 Speaker 1: potentially is the one that you're seeing right now. Even 502 00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:43,879 Speaker 1: despite all the injuries to their rotation, they've been so 503 00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:47,199 Speaker 1: good at the top of that rotation with Sandy and 504 00:26:47,320 --> 00:26:51,240 Speaker 1: Pablo and Trevor. They've gotten decent production at times from 505 00:26:51,240 --> 00:26:53,960 Speaker 1: the back end, and of course their bullpen has been 506 00:26:54,119 --> 00:26:57,800 Speaker 1: very good this season, and all that contributing to them 507 00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:01,040 Speaker 1: having a very good pitching staff, a clear top ten 508 00:27:01,080 --> 00:27:03,160 Speaker 1: pitching staff in baseball, if not even better than that, 509 00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:06,320 Speaker 1: with a three point five to five earned run average, 510 00:27:06,320 --> 00:27:09,960 Speaker 1: a three point five to two fielder independent pitching, that 511 00:27:10,080 --> 00:27:12,240 Speaker 1: stuff that the Marlins have never done before over the 512 00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:14,480 Speaker 1: course of a single season. It's just that when you 513 00:27:14,520 --> 00:27:19,200 Speaker 1: look at spin rate, they really aren't standouts from that department. 514 00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:21,280 Speaker 1: That they are very much middle of the pack, if 515 00:27:21,280 --> 00:27:23,560 Speaker 1: not slightly below the league average in spin rate on 516 00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:26,560 Speaker 1: most of their individual pitch types, including some of the 517 00:27:26,560 --> 00:27:28,119 Speaker 1: best pitchers on the team. 518 00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:30,720 Speaker 2: One guy I pulled up in. 519 00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:33,320 Speaker 1: Regards to this is Sandy al Contra, who has spent 520 00:27:33,480 --> 00:27:36,959 Speaker 1: almost his entire career in the Marlins organization, but not 521 00:27:37,040 --> 00:27:40,000 Speaker 1: all of it. He did make his debut in the 522 00:27:40,040 --> 00:27:42,719 Speaker 1: majors with the Cardinals in twenty seventeen as a reliever, 523 00:27:43,280 --> 00:27:45,320 Speaker 1: and out of curiosity, I looked at the year by 524 00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:49,639 Speaker 1: year spin rates for him since the Cardinals debut and 525 00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:54,040 Speaker 1: going up to this current season, and it's been remarkably consistent. 526 00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:58,280 Speaker 1: His fastball is yeah, almost identical. Both his vour seemer 527 00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:03,240 Speaker 1: and his sinker are hovering the foreseamer right around twenty 528 00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:06,320 Speaker 1: four hundred revolutions per minute, the for seemer a little 529 00:28:06,320 --> 00:28:09,480 Speaker 1: bit over twenty three hundred. It's been remarkably consistent, even 530 00:28:09,520 --> 00:28:12,160 Speaker 1: as his velocity has climbed a little bit the last 531 00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:14,440 Speaker 1: couple of years. The one pitch that has gone up 532 00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:17,280 Speaker 1: has been his changeup noticeably in its spin right by 533 00:28:17,320 --> 00:28:20,359 Speaker 1: a couple hundred RPMs over the past few years. But 534 00:28:20,400 --> 00:28:22,600 Speaker 1: that just seems to be a product of throwing it harder, 535 00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:25,400 Speaker 1: and we know that he ready through hard, but he's 536 00:28:25,440 --> 00:28:28,240 Speaker 1: made a more conscious choice to close that velocity gap 537 00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:31,320 Speaker 1: between his four seamer, which gets into the triple digits 538 00:28:31,359 --> 00:28:34,920 Speaker 1: and his changeup. As a result, the spin goes up, 539 00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:37,320 Speaker 1: But it's not as if that pitch is really doing 540 00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:40,600 Speaker 1: anything different. It's just by throwing it harder, velocity and 541 00:28:40,640 --> 00:28:43,959 Speaker 1: spin rate are kind of aligned to one another. And 542 00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:45,960 Speaker 1: of course we're coming off a game on Wednesday where 543 00:28:46,040 --> 00:28:48,760 Speaker 1: his changeup was especially good and he threw it probably 544 00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:51,320 Speaker 1: as hard as he's ever thrown it before in a game, 545 00:28:52,040 --> 00:28:55,440 Speaker 1: even under the circumstances where we know that the league 546 00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:59,440 Speaker 1: is closely monitoring these guys and the substances that they're using. 547 00:28:59,520 --> 00:29:01,680 Speaker 1: So whatever he may have used at any other point 548 00:29:01,680 --> 00:29:03,800 Speaker 1: of his career, I don't think it's contributing to that 549 00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:07,520 Speaker 1: elevated spin on his change up. I guess the one 550 00:29:07,520 --> 00:29:10,280 Speaker 1: guy that everybody thinks of on this Marlins team when 551 00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:14,120 Speaker 1: it comes to pitch movements and the potential consequences of 552 00:29:14,120 --> 00:29:17,840 Speaker 1: not using substances is Anthony Bender, who to this point 553 00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:22,400 Speaker 1: is still a perfect zero point zero zero earned run 554 00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:24,560 Speaker 1: average as a major leaguer. He is not allowed to 555 00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:26,959 Speaker 1: earn run. He has been sensational, and he's done it 556 00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:30,800 Speaker 1: with two pitches that both have crazy movement. His sinker 557 00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:34,960 Speaker 1: and his slider that really stand out in terms of both, 558 00:29:35,160 --> 00:29:39,000 Speaker 1: especially in their vertical movement top of the chain across baseball, 559 00:29:40,240 --> 00:29:42,560 Speaker 1: and you could just see it with your own eyes. 560 00:29:42,560 --> 00:29:44,120 Speaker 1: You don't even need to look at the numbers. That 561 00:29:44,280 --> 00:29:46,360 Speaker 1: the kind of late break that he has on both 562 00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:48,959 Speaker 1: of those pitches, and the kind of silly swings that 563 00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:51,840 Speaker 1: he gets even from the best sitters in baseball. You're 564 00:29:51,840 --> 00:29:55,240 Speaker 1: curious to see exactly how things change moving forward. You 565 00:29:55,280 --> 00:29:57,720 Speaker 1: would suspect that, I mean, just about all these guys 566 00:29:57,840 --> 00:30:00,160 Speaker 1: use something to get a grip. That's kind of what 567 00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:03,040 Speaker 1: I want to reinforce here that I believe Zach Gallon 568 00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:05,640 Speaker 1: with what he says there. It's not necessarily taking a 569 00:30:05,640 --> 00:30:08,760 Speaker 1: shot at his former organization, although he kind of did 570 00:30:08,800 --> 00:30:11,920 Speaker 1: go out of his way to do that. The fact 571 00:30:11,920 --> 00:30:15,640 Speaker 1: that he referenced them, even if it does kind of 572 00:30:15,640 --> 00:30:17,720 Speaker 1: benefit him and serve his own purposes. I don't know 573 00:30:17,760 --> 00:30:22,080 Speaker 1: if that's necessarily false. I imagine that the team did encourage 574 00:30:22,120 --> 00:30:25,040 Speaker 1: their guys to find ways to get better grips, and 575 00:30:25,040 --> 00:30:29,680 Speaker 1: that most teams have done the same thing. So with Bender, 576 00:30:29,720 --> 00:30:32,080 Speaker 1: he'll be a curious one to follow. Not like the 577 00:30:32,320 --> 00:30:36,000 Speaker 1: crazy high spin rates that you would that necessarily make 578 00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:39,000 Speaker 1: him suspicious of this type of stuff. And there's just 579 00:30:39,040 --> 00:30:40,840 Speaker 1: not much to base it off of in the past, 580 00:30:40,920 --> 00:30:42,880 Speaker 1: because this is his very first season at the major 581 00:30:42,960 --> 00:30:46,760 Speaker 1: league level. So someone to watch, I guess, But I mean, 582 00:30:46,880 --> 00:30:49,160 Speaker 1: just to put a boat on all this and how 583 00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:52,160 Speaker 1: it probably matters less than you think. The one guy 584 00:30:52,200 --> 00:30:55,080 Speaker 1: on the Marlins pitching staff that has the freakiest high 585 00:30:55,080 --> 00:30:58,800 Speaker 1: spin rates, that gets more spin on his pitches than 586 00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:01,360 Speaker 1: anybody else during the two point twenty one season is 587 00:31:02,080 --> 00:31:06,360 Speaker 1: Paul Campbell. Arguably the worst pitcher on the Marlins this 588 00:31:06,480 --> 00:31:08,360 Speaker 1: season is the one that has had the high spin 589 00:31:08,440 --> 00:31:11,200 Speaker 1: rates in Campbell. That was a kring card of him 590 00:31:11,480 --> 00:31:14,480 Speaker 1: throughout his entire amateur career as well and his early 591 00:31:14,520 --> 00:31:18,080 Speaker 1: pro career in the Rays organization. He's always had outstanding 592 00:31:18,120 --> 00:31:22,400 Speaker 1: spin rates, especially on his breaking balls. And it didn't 593 00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:23,719 Speaker 1: make a difference, did it. No? 594 00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:25,640 Speaker 2: No, he was terrible. Then he was. 595 00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:29,920 Speaker 1: Suspended for ped use. He could come back from the 596 00:31:29,920 --> 00:31:33,640 Speaker 1: injured list in early August, come back from the restricted list, 597 00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:36,280 Speaker 1: and be reinstated in early August. We'll see if that happens. 598 00:31:36,760 --> 00:31:39,400 Speaker 1: I would be surprised if it did. And his spin 599 00:31:39,480 --> 00:31:43,120 Speaker 1: rates did not really make him an effective picture whatsoever 600 00:31:44,120 --> 00:31:45,880 Speaker 1: that it's gonna be a fascinating story to follow. I'm 601 00:31:45,880 --> 00:31:47,600 Speaker 1: sure we'll touch on it on the pod next week 602 00:31:47,640 --> 00:31:50,440 Speaker 1: because that's when the enforcement actually begins at the major 603 00:31:50,520 --> 00:31:54,600 Speaker 1: league level. And just congrats to Zach Gallum, I'm being 604 00:31:54,640 --> 00:31:57,200 Speaker 1: healthy again. He finally takes him out. He's one of 605 00:31:57,200 --> 00:31:59,640 Speaker 1: the better pitchers in baseball. And I'm sure this is 606 00:31:59,680 --> 00:32:01,239 Speaker 1: another topic that will come up later in the year 607 00:32:01,240 --> 00:32:04,440 Speaker 1: as well, is revisiting that Zach Gallon Jazz Chisholm Junior 608 00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:06,600 Speaker 1: trade because it has taken a lot of twists and 609 00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:10,560 Speaker 1: turns in a very short amount of time. I'm Eli's 610 00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:14,200 Speaker 1: husband here on the official show. Marlin's much needed off 611 00:32:14,280 --> 00:32:16,960 Speaker 1: day here on Thursday, their first off day in the 612 00:32:17,080 --> 00:32:20,560 Speaker 1: entire month of June to this point. Well, have plenty 613 00:32:20,600 --> 00:32:24,400 Speaker 1: of coverage nonetheless on Fish Stripes are daily minor league reports. 614 00:32:25,400 --> 00:32:28,360 Speaker 1: We're going to have our regular series preview heading into 615 00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:31,240 Speaker 1: the CUB series on Friday night. The small pod is 616 00:32:31,280 --> 00:32:33,120 Speaker 1: ready out here on Thursday, and there'll be another one 617 00:32:33,160 --> 00:32:37,280 Speaker 1: on Friday. We'll have it all covered here on Fish Stripes. 618 00:32:37,560 --> 00:32:56,239 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening and go fish