1
00:00:20,680 --> 00:00:23,720
Speaker 1: Welcome back to the Fantasy Pros Football Podcast. The weekend

2
00:00:23,760 --> 00:00:25,279
Speaker 1: is on the way, and that means today is the

3
00:00:25,360 --> 00:00:28,080
Speaker 1: DFS Show. I'm your host, Bobby Silvester, and I'll be

4
00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:31,639
Speaker 1: joined by guest Justin McMahan, co founder of Daily Fantasy

5
00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:35,000
Speaker 1: Insider dot com, an emerging star in the DFS community.

6
00:00:35,159 --> 00:00:38,640
Speaker 1: So you can be sure you're gonna get great advice today. Hey, Justin,

7
00:00:38,680 --> 00:00:42,400
Speaker 1: thanks for joining us. Yeah, thanks all for having me. So, Justin,

8
00:00:42,479 --> 00:00:45,400
Speaker 1: I know you're a Redskins fan. Did even Redskins fans

9
00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:47,879
Speaker 1: expect Kirk Cousins to emerge into this kind of quarterback

10
00:00:47,880 --> 00:00:51,080
Speaker 1: in twenty sixteen? Yeah, I found it. You'd be really good.

11
00:00:51,120 --> 00:00:53,559
Speaker 1: I was disappointed in the offseason we only gave him

12
00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:55,240
Speaker 1: a one year deal. I thought we should have locked

13
00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:57,600
Speaker 1: him up long term. Now we're about to We're about

14
00:00:57,600 --> 00:01:02,920
Speaker 1: to get fleeced on anywhere. You got million dollars? Yeah,

15
00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:04,880
Speaker 1: I know, we could have had him so much cheaper.

16
00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:07,280
Speaker 1: And I've heard that they might just franchise tag him

17
00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:11,039
Speaker 1: again too. That's just gonna piss him off. I don't know,

18
00:01:11,080 --> 00:01:13,440
Speaker 1: I don't know, and maybe I mean he's playing really well.

19
00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:17,480
Speaker 1: Pissed off this year? So I know that the management

20
00:01:17,560 --> 00:01:19,520
Speaker 1: is probably tempted to piss him off again and just

21
00:01:19,560 --> 00:01:21,240
Speaker 1: try to get another good year out of him without

22
00:01:21,280 --> 00:01:23,920
Speaker 1: paying him. But I say pay the man. I think

23
00:01:23,959 --> 00:01:26,720
Speaker 1: he's worth it. I went into the season playing to

24
00:01:26,720 --> 00:01:30,520
Speaker 1: grab two of Kirk Cousins, Marcus Mariota, Jameis Winston and

25
00:01:30,600 --> 00:01:34,800
Speaker 1: Deak Prescott. I followed that strategy and exactly zero of

26
00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:37,600
Speaker 1: my drafts. It would have been great, but in every

27
00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:40,160
Speaker 1: league it was like Russell Wilson or big Ben Fell,

28
00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:42,160
Speaker 1: so I had to grab one of them, and it's

29
00:01:42,240 --> 00:01:45,800
Speaker 1: just terrible. Fortunately, you know, I get to talk to

30
00:01:45,880 --> 00:01:48,960
Speaker 1: these top notch experts every week, like yourself, and they

31
00:01:49,000 --> 00:01:52,480
Speaker 1: talked me into picking guys like Larry Fitzgerald Spencer Wearing,

32
00:01:52,520 --> 00:01:54,720
Speaker 1: so you know that saved a bunch of my seasons

33
00:01:54,760 --> 00:01:57,160
Speaker 1: and it's been fun. But man, I just wish I

34
00:01:57,200 --> 00:02:00,280
Speaker 1: would have just just followed my game plane, you know. Yeah.

35
00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:02,680
Speaker 1: My game plan going into every draft, which is pretty

36
00:02:02,720 --> 00:02:04,240
Speaker 1: much what it is every year, is to just pick

37
00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:08,680
Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford late in the draft, and I Andrew luck

38
00:02:08,720 --> 00:02:11,160
Speaker 1: fell to like the sixth round, and I was like, oh,

39
00:02:11,200 --> 00:02:12,919
Speaker 1: I have to pick him. So I picked Luck as

40
00:02:12,960 --> 00:02:16,960
Speaker 1: my backup quarterback. I drafted my backup before I picked Stafford,

41
00:02:17,200 --> 00:02:20,079
Speaker 1: and I've pretty much played. I've just played Stafford all year,

42
00:02:20,360 --> 00:02:22,800
Speaker 1: and now looking back on it, it was a waste.

43
00:02:22,919 --> 00:02:25,120
Speaker 1: Like I never used luck. I just hope that he

44
00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:26,800
Speaker 1: would do really well and I could trade him, but

45
00:02:26,800 --> 00:02:28,400
Speaker 1: it just didn't work out. No one ever trades for

46
00:02:28,440 --> 00:02:30,919
Speaker 1: a quarterback. You know. I actually had the opposite approach

47
00:02:31,120 --> 00:02:34,120
Speaker 1: last week in DFS. I had my game plan and

48
00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:37,000
Speaker 1: I did follow it, but my game plan was Russell

49
00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:40,359
Speaker 1: Wilson at quarterback, so we just didn't People's were that

50
00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:42,480
Speaker 1: really that was not a bad pick at all. All

51
00:02:42,480 --> 00:02:44,520
Speaker 1: the research was there to say that Russell Wilson was

52
00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:47,359
Speaker 1: going to play and Doug Baldwin. They just killed me. Fortunately,

53
00:02:47,360 --> 00:02:49,040
Speaker 1: every when else in my team did all right, So

54
00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:51,160
Speaker 1: you know, I snuck into the top half, which is

55
00:02:51,160 --> 00:02:53,359
Speaker 1: all you need to do. It worked out, but man,

56
00:02:53,440 --> 00:02:57,560
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson was so disappointing. Yeah, I had a horrible week.

57
00:02:57,600 --> 00:02:59,880
Speaker 1: I had Baldwin two on all my lineups. He was

58
00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:02,600
Speaker 1: and at least Wilson ran for eighty yards and I

59
00:03:02,639 --> 00:03:04,560
Speaker 1: mean Baldin led the team in receptions, but it just

60
00:03:04,639 --> 00:03:07,200
Speaker 1: wasn't enough, especially not on fandel with half point, where

61
00:03:07,200 --> 00:03:09,560
Speaker 1: cash just couldn't couldn't bring you back. So justin let's

62
00:03:09,560 --> 00:03:11,800
Speaker 1: take a look at this week's DFS slate. We'll be

63
00:03:11,800 --> 00:03:14,600
Speaker 1: covering just the Sunday games, and because sometimes I just

64
00:03:14,639 --> 00:03:17,000
Speaker 1: can't control myself, you're probably gonna hear my take on

65
00:03:17,440 --> 00:03:19,600
Speaker 1: a Thursday Night player that I'm really excited about, or

66
00:03:19,639 --> 00:03:21,840
Speaker 1: a Monday Night player. Even though this is gonna air

67
00:03:21,880 --> 00:03:25,000
Speaker 1: on Friday, it always happened, so sorry in advance. You know,

68
00:03:25,000 --> 00:03:27,200
Speaker 1: I just I'm looking at my notes and I blow

69
00:03:27,280 --> 00:03:29,720
Speaker 1: past him for some Thursday Night players, so I just

70
00:03:29,760 --> 00:03:33,079
Speaker 1: got to deal with it, all right. Let's start. Let's

71
00:03:33,120 --> 00:03:36,160
Speaker 1: start at the quarterback position, Drew Brees. I think he's

72
00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:39,360
Speaker 1: clearly a great cash game play this week, but where

73
00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:42,920
Speaker 1: do you stand on him? For GPPs? So we project

74
00:03:42,960 --> 00:03:45,520
Speaker 1: Breeze and Stafford to be the two highest on QBS

75
00:03:45,520 --> 00:03:48,080
Speaker 1: this weekend, and we usually like to target Breeze at

76
00:03:48,120 --> 00:03:50,320
Speaker 1: home as everyone knows about his home away splits, but

77
00:03:50,360 --> 00:03:53,680
Speaker 1: that obviously inflates his ownership. We think this week you

78
00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:55,880
Speaker 1: could fade him and GPS and not lose any sleep

79
00:03:55,920 --> 00:03:57,960
Speaker 1: over it. The game does have the highest total on

80
00:03:58,000 --> 00:04:00,080
Speaker 1: the board. But that doesn't mean that you have to

81
00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:03,360
Speaker 1: have Brees takedown GPPs. You'd have to pay a premium

82
00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:05,720
Speaker 1: price for him on both sides, and there's quite a

83
00:04:05,720 --> 00:04:07,840
Speaker 1: lot of other options at QB that have that much

84
00:04:07,920 --> 00:04:12,000
Speaker 1: upside with just significantly more downside, and they're a lot cheaper.

85
00:04:12,040 --> 00:04:14,280
Speaker 1: So in cash games he's great, like you said, but

86
00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:16,240
Speaker 1: I don't think you have to play him in GPPs,

87
00:04:16,279 --> 00:04:18,279
Speaker 1: although he should be very solid this week. You know,

88
00:04:18,360 --> 00:04:21,560
Speaker 1: the thing about Drew Brees is as expensive as he

89
00:04:21,720 --> 00:04:23,840
Speaker 1: is ninety three hundred, you know, he's got to get

90
00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:27,160
Speaker 1: himself twenty eight Fantasy points to hit value in GPP,

91
00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:30,280
Speaker 1: and you're thinking, like, man, that's gonna be really tough

92
00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:33,640
Speaker 1: to do. He's already blown past that three times this season.

93
00:04:33,960 --> 00:04:37,839
Speaker 1: There's only been ten performances all season where quarterback gets

94
00:04:37,839 --> 00:04:41,200
Speaker 1: four more touchdowns. Drew Brees has three of them. Nobody

95
00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:43,839
Speaker 1: else has more than one. Drew Brees has three of them.

96
00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:46,800
Speaker 1: So if it's going to happen, it's this week, Face Detroit.

97
00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:49,400
Speaker 1: I like Drew Brees in cash games. I like Drew

98
00:04:49,400 --> 00:04:52,880
Speaker 1: Brees and GPPs, but like you said, Matthew Stafford, we

99
00:04:52,920 --> 00:04:56,120
Speaker 1: don't have him quite as high quite as high owned

100
00:04:56,160 --> 00:04:59,120
Speaker 1: as Drew Brees, So you know, it could kind of

101
00:04:59,120 --> 00:05:01,760
Speaker 1: be a circumstance where you might want to fade Breeze

102
00:05:01,760 --> 00:05:06,720
Speaker 1: and play Stafford. But they're both very quality plays this week. Yeah,

103
00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:09,360
Speaker 1: and if you really want to take a contrarian approach

104
00:05:09,360 --> 00:05:12,800
Speaker 1: in GDPs, you could fade that entire game, and if

105
00:05:12,839 --> 00:05:15,400
Speaker 1: it happened to be if it's a low scoring affair

106
00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:20,279
Speaker 1: then which is always possible, then you would really have

107
00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:21,839
Speaker 1: a leg up on most of the the people in the

108
00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:23,680
Speaker 1: whole league. I'm glad you brought this up because the

109
00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:26,200
Speaker 1: game theory behind this it really does make a lot

110
00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:28,520
Speaker 1: of sense. I mean, what are the statistical odds that

111
00:05:28,880 --> 00:05:31,880
Speaker 1: this game is a low scoring game? Maybe like fifteen

112
00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:35,160
Speaker 1: twenty percent? Yeah, I mean, so most people are going

113
00:05:35,200 --> 00:05:37,720
Speaker 1: to look at the over under on a game and

114
00:05:38,279 --> 00:05:41,640
Speaker 1: instantly start thinking about the upper fifty percent likelihood that

115
00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:44,159
Speaker 1: it goes over. You know, they think, oh, my gosh,

116
00:05:44,160 --> 00:05:47,280
Speaker 1: it's projected for sixty points. That's so many the game

117
00:05:47,360 --> 00:05:49,039
Speaker 1: is going to be like forty two to forty two,

118
00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:52,360
Speaker 1: and and and it's like, that's not what sixty projected

119
00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:55,840
Speaker 1: points means. And it's half the time it's supposed to

120
00:05:55,880 --> 00:05:59,160
Speaker 1: be under sixty points, and then i'd say, probably, like

121
00:05:59,200 --> 00:06:01,440
Speaker 1: you said, maybe end it's twenty percent of the time,

122
00:06:01,680 --> 00:06:05,800
Speaker 1: it's gonna be in the forties or thirties. And then

123
00:06:05,839 --> 00:06:08,360
Speaker 1: then maybe even like five percent of the time it'll

124
00:06:08,400 --> 00:06:11,760
Speaker 1: be like that terrible Seattle Arizona game where it was

125
00:06:11,760 --> 00:06:14,640
Speaker 1: six to six. So yeah, or the Saints Giants game

126
00:06:14,680 --> 00:06:17,000
Speaker 1: that just killed everybody. If you were one of the

127
00:06:17,120 --> 00:06:19,600
Speaker 1: like two or three percent that actually faded that game,

128
00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:22,360
Speaker 1: and I would have called you an idiot at the time,

129
00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:26,080
Speaker 1: then you won, right, Yeah, you know. I I do

130
00:06:26,200 --> 00:06:29,599
Speaker 1: that almost every week because if the difference between the

131
00:06:29,640 --> 00:06:33,440
Speaker 1: highest over under projected total and the second and third

132
00:06:33,600 --> 00:06:35,839
Speaker 1: is just a few points, and the ownership on the

133
00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:39,280
Speaker 1: absolute highest one is just gonna be so high, so

134
00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:42,040
Speaker 1: I often fade that game and just try as long

135
00:06:42,080 --> 00:06:44,200
Speaker 1: as you can find players that are projected for about

136
00:06:44,279 --> 00:06:47,520
Speaker 1: the same amount of points, then then you should be fine.

137
00:06:47,560 --> 00:06:49,760
Speaker 1: Even if Breeze goes for twenty eight. As long as

138
00:06:49,760 --> 00:06:53,760
Speaker 1: your value QB also hits value, then then you'll be fine.

139
00:06:53,880 --> 00:06:56,159
Speaker 1: And if Breeze happens to have a bad game and

140
00:06:56,240 --> 00:06:58,720
Speaker 1: so to Stafford, it's just a slow, drawn out game,

141
00:06:59,400 --> 00:07:02,040
Speaker 1: then you'd be in a great spot now if you

142
00:07:02,080 --> 00:07:05,360
Speaker 1: are fading this game. I'm a big fan of Russell Wilson. Look,

143
00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:07,599
Speaker 1: I know he burned me last week, but I'm buying

144
00:07:07,640 --> 00:07:10,520
Speaker 1: into it again Base Carolina on Sunday Night. Do you

145
00:07:10,560 --> 00:07:13,559
Speaker 1: think he bounces back this week as a strong play. Yeah,

146
00:07:13,560 --> 00:07:15,480
Speaker 1: we actually really liked Russell Wilson. We liked him a

147
00:07:15,480 --> 00:07:17,360
Speaker 1: lot last week, just like you did, and we liked

148
00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:20,240
Speaker 1: him a lot this week, particularly because he burned so

149
00:07:20,280 --> 00:07:22,400
Speaker 1: many people last week. I think a lot of people

150
00:07:23,040 --> 00:07:26,480
Speaker 1: in dfs are biased towards how players performed when they

151
00:07:26,520 --> 00:07:29,440
Speaker 1: were in their lineups. So I think a lot of

152
00:07:29,440 --> 00:07:32,520
Speaker 1: people will be off Wilson, partly coos recency bias and

153
00:07:32,600 --> 00:07:35,640
Speaker 1: partly for just if you had him last week, you

154
00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:38,320
Speaker 1: don't want him again this week. But one main reason

155
00:07:38,400 --> 00:07:40,240
Speaker 1: we really like him is that we saw flashes of

156
00:07:40,280 --> 00:07:42,560
Speaker 1: his legs getting back underneath him. He carried the ball

157
00:07:42,640 --> 00:07:45,080
Speaker 1: eight times last week for eighty yards, and well, that

158
00:07:45,680 --> 00:07:49,080
Speaker 1: doesn't scream he's back like it was just an amazing game.

159
00:07:49,320 --> 00:07:51,280
Speaker 1: But had it been an amazing game, that his ownership

160
00:07:51,320 --> 00:07:53,160
Speaker 1: would have gone way up and he would have actually

161
00:07:53,200 --> 00:07:55,960
Speaker 1: produced well for his fantasy owners. But it's just enough

162
00:07:55,960 --> 00:07:57,520
Speaker 1: to show us like the light at the end of

163
00:07:57,520 --> 00:08:00,200
Speaker 1: the tunnel. And another reason we like him is that

164
00:08:00,240 --> 00:08:02,800
Speaker 1: Carolina's defense is banged up pretty bad, and if Luke

165
00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:06,120
Speaker 1: Keakley misses another game, then the field should be wide

166
00:08:06,160 --> 00:08:08,400
Speaker 1: open for Baldwin and Graham, who are in above average

167
00:08:08,400 --> 00:08:10,960
Speaker 1: matchups to begin with. So Wilson could be in for

168
00:08:11,000 --> 00:08:14,400
Speaker 1: a huge day passing and running. Yeah. Agree, But I

169
00:08:14,480 --> 00:08:18,040
Speaker 1: have a little bit of hesitancy because their offensive line

170
00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:21,520
Speaker 1: gave up twenty three pressures to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

171
00:08:21,640 --> 00:08:24,000
Speaker 1: last week. I mean, what's the over under this week

172
00:08:24,120 --> 00:08:26,720
Speaker 1: against Carolina, who was a much better pass rush. It's

173
00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:30,680
Speaker 1: got to be like fifteen, right, that's extremely high. Yeah,

174
00:08:30,720 --> 00:08:33,280
Speaker 1: I mean that is a huge concern. It's tough picking

175
00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:35,800
Speaker 1: offensive players with bad offensive lines. I mean we did

176
00:08:35,800 --> 00:08:39,320
Speaker 1: it last week with Jji and they were missing three

177
00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:43,760
Speaker 1: offensive linemen and even though one of the guys filling

178
00:08:43,800 --> 00:08:45,920
Speaker 1: in was technically a better run blocker, I mean, it's

179
00:08:45,920 --> 00:08:48,040
Speaker 1: still they lacked the chemistry. You can see it on

180
00:08:48,080 --> 00:08:50,439
Speaker 1: the field, and so we thought that they would be

181
00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:53,120
Speaker 1: all right against San Francisco because they're just by far

182
00:08:53,200 --> 00:08:55,679
Speaker 1: the worst rundeye and they were missing their worst run defender,

183
00:08:55,960 --> 00:08:58,320
Speaker 1: so we thought, all right, bad team against bad team.

184
00:08:58,600 --> 00:09:01,679
Speaker 1: Jji leads the league and yards after contacts, so he

185
00:09:01,720 --> 00:09:04,200
Speaker 1: should be able to push through. But I mean he

186
00:09:04,240 --> 00:09:06,199
Speaker 1: really didn't. He had a few big runs, but he

187
00:09:06,240 --> 00:09:08,000
Speaker 1: couldn't break off a big one like he's done in

188
00:09:08,040 --> 00:09:10,640
Speaker 1: the past, and that really held him back. But yeah,

189
00:09:10,720 --> 00:09:13,800
Speaker 1: picking in with bad offensive lines is just risky, and

190
00:09:13,920 --> 00:09:15,319
Speaker 1: you know you've got to take some risk if you're

191
00:09:15,320 --> 00:09:19,439
Speaker 1: playing GPP. You could find a risk with every single

192
00:09:19,440 --> 00:09:22,720
Speaker 1: player except probably David Johnson. But you know, the risk

193
00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:24,400
Speaker 1: with David Johnson is he's going to be owned in

194
00:09:24,480 --> 00:09:27,600
Speaker 1: seventy five percent of league's right, right, and it's football,

195
00:09:27,640 --> 00:09:29,160
Speaker 1: so you could get injured on the first player, like

196
00:09:29,200 --> 00:09:31,960
Speaker 1: Aj Grant. Now, our model shows that Matt Barkley and

197
00:09:32,000 --> 00:09:34,960
Speaker 1: Tyrod Taylor are strong value plays if you're trying to

198
00:09:34,960 --> 00:09:37,720
Speaker 1: save money the quarterback position, who are you going for?

199
00:09:37,800 --> 00:09:40,520
Speaker 1: You in agreement about these guys? Yeah, yeah, we like

200
00:09:40,600 --> 00:09:42,080
Speaker 1: both those guys. I think a lot of people are

201
00:09:42,160 --> 00:09:44,760
Speaker 1: going to think Matt Barkley looked pretty good last week,

202
00:09:44,800 --> 00:09:46,440
Speaker 1: but we have to remember how he's been in the

203
00:09:46,480 --> 00:09:48,800
Speaker 1: past and how much he struggled when any little thing

204
00:09:48,920 --> 00:09:51,280
Speaker 1: is off, and I think a lot of people will decide,

205
00:09:51,360 --> 00:09:53,120
Speaker 1: let's let's wait one where week and see if that

206
00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:55,120
Speaker 1: was an outlier or something that we can expect in

207
00:09:55,160 --> 00:09:58,720
Speaker 1: the future. But he actually looked really good. The Bears

208
00:09:58,800 --> 00:10:01,960
Speaker 1: dropped ten p this last game. I don't think I've

209
00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:05,160
Speaker 1: seen that in my lifetime ten dropped passes in one game.

210
00:10:05,920 --> 00:10:08,600
Speaker 1: But I would consider Matt Barkley. I mean, they also

211
00:10:08,679 --> 00:10:12,280
Speaker 1: dropped a game winning touchdown, and he could have had

212
00:10:12,440 --> 00:10:15,240
Speaker 1: so many more points. The drives would have stayed alive.

213
00:10:15,520 --> 00:10:18,600
Speaker 1: And despite all that, he really had a good week.

214
00:10:18,800 --> 00:10:22,040
Speaker 1: I mean, considering that he had ten passes that should

215
00:10:22,080 --> 00:10:24,920
Speaker 1: have been completed, he went twenty eight for fifty four.

216
00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:30,280
Speaker 1: He's still minimum salary against San Francisco. I mean, it's

217
00:10:30,320 --> 00:10:33,000
Speaker 1: an intriguing play, without a doubt. Yeah, So in order

218
00:10:33,000 --> 00:10:36,520
Speaker 1: to hit value he needs eighteen points. We're projecting him

219
00:10:36,559 --> 00:10:39,240
Speaker 1: at sixteen point one. That's ahead of guys Blake Bortles,

220
00:10:39,480 --> 00:10:42,960
Speaker 1: eighty Dalton, Ryan Tannehill, a bunch of other quarterbacks. And

221
00:10:43,040 --> 00:10:47,160
Speaker 1: so the chances of him hitting value GPP value were

222
00:10:47,160 --> 00:10:50,040
Speaker 1: about thirty thirty five percent this week. And you just

223
00:10:50,160 --> 00:10:52,480
Speaker 1: never have that. You have that maybe two three times

224
00:10:52,480 --> 00:10:54,920
Speaker 1: this season. I know it's already happened once this season,

225
00:10:54,960 --> 00:10:57,960
Speaker 1: and it happened the guy reached GPP value. He's a

226
00:10:58,080 --> 00:11:01,160
Speaker 1: really good bet. With that being said, you know, maybe

227
00:11:01,240 --> 00:11:03,240
Speaker 1: Drew Brees is going to go off for thirty three points. Again.

228
00:11:03,280 --> 00:11:04,920
Speaker 1: If you don't have him, you're not winning your GPP.

229
00:11:05,120 --> 00:11:09,360
Speaker 1: But besides, besides Breeze, I think Barkeley is a tremendous

230
00:11:09,440 --> 00:11:13,000
Speaker 1: value this week. Yeah. The big concern for Barkeley is

231
00:11:13,040 --> 00:11:15,040
Speaker 1: that there's a decent chance that the game it'll be

232
00:11:15,080 --> 00:11:19,720
Speaker 1: snowing in Chicago, and game time temperature is projected at

233
00:11:19,720 --> 00:11:22,800
Speaker 1: thirty nine degrees, there's gonna be fourteen mina or a wind,

234
00:11:22,960 --> 00:11:26,160
Speaker 1: and if it's snowing, Matt Barkley went to high school

235
00:11:26,240 --> 00:11:29,280
Speaker 1: near me in southern California, and then he played at USC.

236
00:11:29,760 --> 00:11:33,880
Speaker 1: He's never played in bad weather, So if it's snowing,

237
00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:36,559
Speaker 1: I don't know how you really prepare a southern California

238
00:11:36,600 --> 00:11:38,800
Speaker 1: boy to play in the snow. It's not like you

239
00:11:38,800 --> 00:11:41,400
Speaker 1: can just create fake snow like you can pump crowd

240
00:11:41,440 --> 00:11:44,040
Speaker 1: noise in to prepare someone to play in Seattle. I mean,

241
00:11:44,080 --> 00:11:47,600
Speaker 1: there's very limited things you can actually do to prepare

242
00:11:47,679 --> 00:11:51,360
Speaker 1: someone to play in the snow, So if it's actively snowing,

243
00:11:51,360 --> 00:11:54,240
Speaker 1: there's no chance I'll play him. You know, Tyrod Taylor,

244
00:11:54,320 --> 00:11:57,839
Speaker 1: I'm not so sure he's the sexiest GPP play this week.

245
00:11:57,880 --> 00:11:59,240
Speaker 1: I mean, you look at his stats. He hasn't got

246
00:11:59,280 --> 00:12:02,080
Speaker 1: above three hundred yards all season. He's got one game

247
00:12:02,120 --> 00:12:05,280
Speaker 1: with three touchdowns, so he's not just going to smash value.

248
00:12:05,320 --> 00:12:07,240
Speaker 1: But I think he's a pretty safe bet to hit

249
00:12:07,320 --> 00:12:11,000
Speaker 1: value because virtually every week he's getting thirty forty fifty

250
00:12:11,080 --> 00:12:13,679
Speaker 1: rushing yards. You know they're going to be throwing the

251
00:12:13,679 --> 00:12:15,640
Speaker 1: ball against Oakland's probably gonna end up being a more

252
00:12:15,640 --> 00:12:17,760
Speaker 1: of a shootout than Buffalo's used to plan in and

253
00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:20,400
Speaker 1: Oakland does give up a lot of points to fancy quarterback.

254
00:12:20,440 --> 00:12:22,680
Speaker 1: So I think Taylor's a pretty good bet to be

255
00:12:23,280 --> 00:12:26,120
Speaker 1: right around twenty twenty two points this week, and that's

256
00:12:26,120 --> 00:12:28,800
Speaker 1: really good for GPP value. He's at seventy four hundred

257
00:12:28,840 --> 00:12:31,040
Speaker 1: on fan duels, so hope be coming up on GPP value.

258
00:12:31,040 --> 00:12:34,520
Speaker 1: But I just think he's a real safe cash game play. Yeah.

259
00:12:34,559 --> 00:12:37,920
Speaker 1: I mean, Taylor's interesting because his running ability always provides

260
00:12:37,960 --> 00:12:40,760
Speaker 1: his floor. It always pushes up his floor regardless of

261
00:12:40,760 --> 00:12:43,800
Speaker 1: how bad he's throwing. His receiving core is all sorts

262
00:12:43,800 --> 00:12:45,720
Speaker 1: of banged up. But we saw how the offense opens

263
00:12:45,800 --> 00:12:47,960
Speaker 1: up when Walkins is out there on the field. So

264
00:12:48,000 --> 00:12:50,400
Speaker 1: as we see more practice rubs for Walkins, hopefully we

265
00:12:50,400 --> 00:12:53,160
Speaker 1: can move Taylor up or down. If Walkins is good

266
00:12:53,160 --> 00:12:55,120
Speaker 1: to go, then everyone needs to have interest in Taylor

267
00:12:55,160 --> 00:12:57,240
Speaker 1: at his price, just for the savings that he allows

268
00:12:57,760 --> 00:13:00,640
Speaker 1: and just limited work. Walk into three grabs for eighty yards,

269
00:13:00,920 --> 00:13:03,920
Speaker 1: so if his workload has expanded, then Taylor could pay

270
00:13:03,960 --> 00:13:06,520
Speaker 1: off huge for that price, and the upside is there.

271
00:13:07,080 --> 00:13:08,640
Speaker 1: I don't think we've really seen it this year, but

272
00:13:08,679 --> 00:13:11,240
Speaker 1: Taylor is capable of breaking off an eight yard touchdown run.

273
00:13:11,280 --> 00:13:12,960
Speaker 1: He can kind of fake it on the option and

274
00:13:13,000 --> 00:13:16,959
Speaker 1: just get the sideline and he's gone. So it hasn't

275
00:13:16,960 --> 00:13:18,880
Speaker 1: happened yet this year where he had an eighty yard

276
00:13:18,960 --> 00:13:21,800
Speaker 1: or seventy five yard touchdown run, but he's definitely capable

277
00:13:21,800 --> 00:13:24,520
Speaker 1: of doing it. So the upside for him is always

278
00:13:24,600 --> 00:13:26,360
Speaker 1: kind of on the table, even though he's not going

279
00:13:26,440 --> 00:13:28,840
Speaker 1: to throw for four hundred yards justin Do you have

280
00:13:28,880 --> 00:13:31,520
Speaker 1: a contrarian quarterback that people should be giving consideration to

281
00:13:31,600 --> 00:13:35,800
Speaker 1: this week? You know, Tom Brady. As funny as that sounds,

282
00:13:35,920 --> 00:13:37,880
Speaker 1: we think he's going to be under owned this week.

283
00:13:38,360 --> 00:13:40,480
Speaker 1: As usual. He's one of the top price qbs, and

284
00:13:40,559 --> 00:13:42,440
Speaker 1: I just think most people will plug in Breeze if

285
00:13:42,440 --> 00:13:44,880
Speaker 1: they're spending up. I could see Tom Brady coming in

286
00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:47,640
Speaker 1: around ten percent ownership, which is crazy to think about.

287
00:13:48,440 --> 00:13:50,080
Speaker 1: But in addition, we like to look and see what

288
00:13:50,200 --> 00:13:52,679
Speaker 1: Vegas has the game at, and right now it's at

289
00:13:52,679 --> 00:13:55,000
Speaker 1: just forty four, So I think most people will see

290
00:13:55,040 --> 00:13:57,040
Speaker 1: that and just think, all right, low scoring, let's look

291
00:13:57,040 --> 00:13:59,640
Speaker 1: somewhere else. But take a look at the team total,

292
00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:02,560
Speaker 1: and it's pushing thirty points. It's nearly as high as

293
00:14:02,559 --> 00:14:04,959
Speaker 1: the Saints at home. Vegas sees this game as a

294
00:14:05,040 --> 00:14:07,959
Speaker 1: high storing affair for Brady in company. It's supposed to

295
00:14:08,000 --> 00:14:12,560
Speaker 1: be a huge blowout, but the Patriots are not usually

296
00:14:12,559 --> 00:14:14,400
Speaker 1: a team that takes the foot off the pedal, so

297
00:14:14,720 --> 00:14:17,240
Speaker 1: Brady could actually put up three or four touchdowns in

298
00:14:17,280 --> 00:14:21,320
Speaker 1: the first half and hit value right away. So I

299
00:14:21,320 --> 00:14:23,080
Speaker 1: don't know if we'll do it, but he could be

300
00:14:23,120 --> 00:14:25,320
Speaker 1: an interesting contrarian play because no one likes a QB

301
00:14:25,480 --> 00:14:27,360
Speaker 1: that's a big favorite, you know, based on what I

302
00:14:27,360 --> 00:14:30,760
Speaker 1: saw out of Los Angeles last week. It's it's forty

303
00:14:30,800 --> 00:14:33,000
Speaker 1: four on that game. It might just be forty four

304
00:14:33,040 --> 00:14:36,520
Speaker 1: to zero. The Patriots are just gonna crush the Rams.

305
00:14:36,560 --> 00:14:39,360
Speaker 1: It's gonna be ugly. Brady threw the ball fifty times

306
00:14:39,440 --> 00:14:41,960
Speaker 1: last week. Before this week, before last week, he hadn't

307
00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:44,200
Speaker 1: thrown it more than forty And he's still been putting

308
00:14:44,280 --> 00:14:46,280
Speaker 1: up you know, twenty seven twenty at twenty nine fantasy

309
00:14:46,320 --> 00:14:48,920
Speaker 1: points virtually every single week. So you know, if he

310
00:14:49,000 --> 00:14:51,440
Speaker 1: keeps throwing the ball at this rate, and I wouldn't

311
00:14:51,480 --> 00:14:53,400
Speaker 1: be surprised if if he hears it out forty plus

312
00:14:53,400 --> 00:14:55,920
Speaker 1: times once again, You're right, he could be right back

313
00:14:55,920 --> 00:14:58,400
Speaker 1: their top quarterback of the week. And we have him

314
00:14:58,480 --> 00:15:00,480
Speaker 1: right there at ten percent, just like he said, So

315
00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:02,600
Speaker 1: he's going to be low owned, and I think there's

316
00:15:02,600 --> 00:15:04,440
Speaker 1: more of it, more than a ten percent chance that

317
00:15:04,480 --> 00:15:07,200
Speaker 1: he's the top quarterback of the week for me, the guys,

318
00:15:07,280 --> 00:15:09,200
Speaker 1: Cam Newton, I threw him out, was at a contraing

319
00:15:09,240 --> 00:15:12,160
Speaker 1: play last week. And look, I know he's been bad.

320
00:15:12,960 --> 00:15:15,040
Speaker 1: I was saying on the last podcast there might be

321
00:15:15,080 --> 00:15:17,160
Speaker 1: something wrong with him. He just doesn't look like himself.

322
00:15:17,480 --> 00:15:19,680
Speaker 1: But this is a player that no matter the matchup,

323
00:15:20,000 --> 00:15:23,520
Speaker 1: he can absolutely go off like nobody else. I know,

324
00:15:23,600 --> 00:15:27,640
Speaker 1: he's playing Seattle, he's playing in a primetime Sunday night game.

325
00:15:28,120 --> 00:15:29,840
Speaker 1: Don't be surprised if he ends up being the top

326
00:15:29,920 --> 00:15:32,320
Speaker 1: quarterback of the week. And it's seventy six hundred to

327
00:15:32,400 --> 00:15:34,160
Speaker 1: be able to say that about a quarterback. I mean,

328
00:15:34,160 --> 00:15:36,800
Speaker 1: he's all the way down there at the fourteenth highest

329
00:15:36,840 --> 00:15:39,160
Speaker 1: price quarterback this week, and he's got a chance to

330
00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:41,040
Speaker 1: be number one. Now I'm not betting on it, but

331
00:15:41,080 --> 00:15:43,680
Speaker 1: if you're going GPP, he's a good contraying play. We've

332
00:15:43,680 --> 00:15:46,600
Speaker 1: got him at four percent owned this week. Yeah, I

333
00:15:46,600 --> 00:15:50,200
Speaker 1: would expect his owners should be super super low in Seattle,

334
00:15:50,960 --> 00:15:53,040
Speaker 1: But like you said, he has so much upside. He's

335
00:15:53,080 --> 00:15:55,680
Speaker 1: a lot like Tyrod Taylor, where he could pick up

336
00:15:55,680 --> 00:15:57,320
Speaker 1: a touchdown or two on the ground and that makes

337
00:15:57,360 --> 00:15:59,480
Speaker 1: him hit value easily. Now, just to move it over

338
00:15:59,520 --> 00:16:01,920
Speaker 1: to the running back position. I already highlighted David Johnson

339
00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:04,440
Speaker 1: just a little bit. He's gonna be owned in near

340
00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:07,480
Speaker 1: fifty percent of lineup. Should we chalk him or fade him?

341
00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:10,720
Speaker 1: You know, it's it's so tough to say to completely

342
00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:13,400
Speaker 1: fade the best back in football, but you can make

343
00:16:13,440 --> 00:16:15,640
Speaker 1: a strong argument for it anytime a guy carries that

344
00:16:15,760 --> 00:16:18,320
Speaker 1: high of ownership this week or without Zeke in the

345
00:16:18,320 --> 00:16:20,280
Speaker 1: main slate, So it'd really come down to do you

346
00:16:20,280 --> 00:16:22,920
Speaker 1: want DJ or Bell or even drop something to get

347
00:16:22,920 --> 00:16:25,320
Speaker 1: some value backs. We have Jordan Howard as a must

348
00:16:25,360 --> 00:16:28,200
Speaker 1: have for us this week, so that leaves us one

349
00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:32,000
Speaker 1: other running back spot and we might use DJ or Bell.

350
00:16:32,160 --> 00:16:34,320
Speaker 1: Both of those guys are just so good. I mean

351
00:16:34,560 --> 00:16:36,600
Speaker 1: they it seems like they would have to get injured

352
00:16:36,600 --> 00:16:39,680
Speaker 1: to not at least put up a minimum value of

353
00:16:40,000 --> 00:16:42,600
Speaker 1: a decent floor. And this week he matches up with

354
00:16:42,640 --> 00:16:45,160
Speaker 1: my Redskins that can absolutely be beat on the ground.

355
00:16:45,840 --> 00:16:49,000
Speaker 1: They're not horrible against the run. But DJ is another animal,

356
00:16:49,160 --> 00:16:51,480
Speaker 1: and he has the chance any given week to catch

357
00:16:51,520 --> 00:16:53,680
Speaker 1: ten balls and get two hundred total yards from scrimmage,

358
00:16:53,960 --> 00:16:56,480
Speaker 1: so we can't say fade him. With other backs in

359
00:16:56,520 --> 00:16:59,240
Speaker 1: good spots, we could make a case against him, but honestly,

360
00:16:59,280 --> 00:17:00,480
Speaker 1: I hate to say it, I'm might have to use

361
00:17:00,520 --> 00:17:03,640
Speaker 1: him even against my Redskins. I use Zeke Elliott on Thanksgiving.

362
00:17:03,680 --> 00:17:07,200
Speaker 1: I had to do it. I definitely agree David Johnson

363
00:17:07,400 --> 00:17:10,280
Speaker 1: is just a freak of nature only once in the

364
00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:13,560
Speaker 1: past decade before this season has a running back gone

365
00:17:13,600 --> 00:17:16,439
Speaker 1: for double digit points in every single game in the season.

366
00:17:16,680 --> 00:17:19,240
Speaker 1: So far this season, David Johnson's done it. So has

367
00:17:19,280 --> 00:17:23,400
Speaker 1: the Zekil Elliott. These two young running backs are just amazing. Now,

368
00:17:23,440 --> 00:17:26,160
Speaker 1: we already talked about Elliot's on the Thursday Nights slate,

369
00:17:26,200 --> 00:17:28,920
Speaker 1: so that leaves David Johnson, who you know is gonna

370
00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:32,400
Speaker 1: get double digit points, especially I'm sorry against this Redskins defense.

371
00:17:32,640 --> 00:17:36,359
Speaker 1: A d that's not a terrible price. I think about

372
00:17:36,359 --> 00:17:39,439
Speaker 1: not playing him at ten thousand, but you know, cash games,

373
00:17:39,480 --> 00:17:43,359
Speaker 1: I'm definitely playing David Johnson. GPP. Yeah, I'm probably playing

374
00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:46,239
Speaker 1: David Johnson. I think if you don't play him, you're

375
00:17:46,320 --> 00:17:50,359
Speaker 1: hurting yourself. Now, I completely agree on Jordan Howard this week.

376
00:17:50,600 --> 00:17:54,440
Speaker 1: He's the absolute number one must play. Tell me why

377
00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:58,280
Speaker 1: you think so as well? Yeah, I mean we like

378
00:17:58,480 --> 00:18:01,439
Speaker 1: the Bears offense against this forty nine Ers defense as

379
00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:03,480
Speaker 1: a whole. I mean, we were talking about Barkley, but

380
00:18:03,760 --> 00:18:06,239
Speaker 1: if the weather is bad, then it's gonna just have

381
00:18:06,320 --> 00:18:09,160
Speaker 1: to be all Jordan Howard and the Niners are so

382
00:18:09,280 --> 00:18:11,840
Speaker 1: much worse on the ground than any other team that

383
00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:14,840
Speaker 1: even the second worst rush defense in the Browns is

384
00:18:14,840 --> 00:18:18,000
Speaker 1: allowing thirty fewer yards a game than the forty nine

385
00:18:18,040 --> 00:18:21,080
Speaker 1: Ers defense. They are so bad, and obviously they burned

386
00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:23,120
Speaker 1: us last week with a GI, but I would pick

387
00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:26,640
Speaker 1: a GI again in the same situation. I mean, I

388
00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:29,960
Speaker 1: think that anyone against the Niners should be considered. And

389
00:18:30,040 --> 00:18:32,800
Speaker 1: Howard is actually really good. I mean, if you watch

390
00:18:32,840 --> 00:18:35,360
Speaker 1: some of his highlight film. I mean, he is just

391
00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:38,359
Speaker 1: a really talented running back. I don't think he's getting

392
00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:40,879
Speaker 1: enough attention because Dak and Zeke are just stealing the

393
00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:44,480
Speaker 1: NFC rookie spotlight and obviously the Bears aren't winning games,

394
00:18:44,480 --> 00:18:47,440
Speaker 1: so it's not interesting to talk about him. But as

395
00:18:47,440 --> 00:18:49,760
Speaker 1: far as fantasy relevance, I think he's one of the

396
00:18:49,760 --> 00:18:52,760
Speaker 1: top running backs in the NFC and he's about to

397
00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:54,720
Speaker 1: have a huge game in my opinion. So let's say

398
00:18:54,720 --> 00:18:58,000
Speaker 1: the draft for the twenty seventeen fantasy football season was today.

399
00:18:58,080 --> 00:19:02,600
Speaker 1: Are you taking Jordan Howard in the first two round? Oh? Man,

400
00:19:02,840 --> 00:19:05,440
Speaker 1: I don't know. It depends where he's projected. I mean,

401
00:19:05,560 --> 00:19:08,880
Speaker 1: hopefully I can get him later, but yeah, I would

402
00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:10,720
Speaker 1: consider it if as long as they don't go out

403
00:19:10,720 --> 00:19:14,439
Speaker 1: and do something in the off season. That will make

404
00:19:14,480 --> 00:19:16,240
Speaker 1: it look like he's not going to get all the work,

405
00:19:16,400 --> 00:19:18,199
Speaker 1: because right now he's getting all the work for them,

406
00:19:18,200 --> 00:19:20,000
Speaker 1: which is what makes them so valuable. He's catching a

407
00:19:20,080 --> 00:19:22,400
Speaker 1: lot of passes. He's been getting a lot more targets

408
00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:24,480
Speaker 1: in the last few weeks, and Barkley really showed a

409
00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:26,520
Speaker 1: willingness to dump it off to him. He dropped a

410
00:19:26,560 --> 00:19:28,840
Speaker 1: few balls, but if he catches those, I mean, he

411
00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:31,400
Speaker 1: could really have a huge week. So I might draft

412
00:19:31,480 --> 00:19:34,640
Speaker 1: him next year. Yeah, in the first couple rounds. Really

413
00:19:34,640 --> 00:19:37,000
Speaker 1: good man. I'll be keeping an eye on him for sure.

414
00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:40,320
Speaker 1: I almost feel like this is the kind of situation

415
00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:42,480
Speaker 1: where people are going to be looking at him like,

416
00:19:42,600 --> 00:19:44,640
Speaker 1: you know, they looked at Jeremy Langford lat year. Jeremy

417
00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:46,879
Speaker 1: Langford looked kind of exciting in a few games, and

418
00:19:46,920 --> 00:19:49,000
Speaker 1: they're gonna think, oh, Jeremy Langford just burned us. So

419
00:19:49,040 --> 00:19:52,400
Speaker 1: I'm not buying into another Bears running back. They're completely different.

420
00:19:52,640 --> 00:19:55,320
Speaker 1: Jeremy Langford can do one thing, and he does it

421
00:19:55,359 --> 00:19:57,199
Speaker 1: pretty well, but that's the extent of who he is.

422
00:19:57,560 --> 00:20:00,720
Speaker 1: Jordan Howard can be a running back one. He could

423
00:20:00,760 --> 00:20:02,800
Speaker 1: be an elite running back in this league one day

424
00:20:02,800 --> 00:20:06,120
Speaker 1: and it might even happen next year. So yeah, I'm

425
00:20:06,119 --> 00:20:08,480
Speaker 1: excited about him. I tried to get him in Dynasty leagues.

426
00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:10,280
Speaker 1: It's a little late now because of the trade deadline,

427
00:20:10,320 --> 00:20:13,440
Speaker 1: but you know, offseason, if his stock is still this low,

428
00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:15,719
Speaker 1: it's way too low. You should be making a move

429
00:20:15,760 --> 00:20:19,320
Speaker 1: for him now. Our projection model also likes Theo Riddick

430
00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:21,639
Speaker 1: as a quality play. This week, I'm looking at his

431
00:20:21,640 --> 00:20:23,320
Speaker 1: game log and I'm just not too sure. I mean,

432
00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:26,400
Speaker 1: he's had three great games. Besides that, he's been less

433
00:20:26,400 --> 00:20:29,080
Speaker 1: than mediocre. How do you feel about him? You know?

434
00:20:29,240 --> 00:20:32,320
Speaker 1: So this year I have said twice to our users

435
00:20:32,320 --> 00:20:35,399
Speaker 1: at DFI that I think you should pick Jordan Riddick

436
00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:39,120
Speaker 1: THEO Rittic this week. Excuse me. And both of those

437
00:20:39,200 --> 00:20:42,439
Speaker 1: weeks were by far his biggest weeks. I said to

438
00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:44,080
Speaker 1: pick him on the week he had twenty six and

439
00:20:44,119 --> 00:20:47,400
Speaker 1: another week where he had twenty seven, And that's largely

440
00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:51,320
Speaker 1: coincidental that I got at that spot on But I

441
00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:53,600
Speaker 1: like him again in this matchup. I think that he'll

442
00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:56,159
Speaker 1: be heavily involved. If I was going to pick a

443
00:20:56,200 --> 00:20:58,800
Speaker 1: player from this game and not fade, the whole thing

444
00:20:59,800 --> 00:21:03,280
Speaker 1: might be theoretic, especially on draft Kings. I mean, Theoretic

445
00:21:03,359 --> 00:21:06,400
Speaker 1: is still getting the targets. Having Ebron back hurts them

446
00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:10,560
Speaker 1: a little bit, but Ibron is just he's hit or miss,

447
00:21:10,359 --> 00:21:14,560
Speaker 1: and Riddick is a lot more consistent, especially on draft kings,

448
00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:16,840
Speaker 1: like I said, where he's going to catch probably five

449
00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:19,080
Speaker 1: passes and give you a nice floor. That's a good point.

450
00:21:19,119 --> 00:21:21,960
Speaker 1: I was talking about standard league scoring, but DraftKings, we're

451
00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:25,960
Speaker 1: getting full point PPR. Yeah, you're right, he's really really

452
00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:28,880
Speaker 1: consistent there. That's a good call. Yeah. And he's only

453
00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:31,440
Speaker 1: five thousand, eight hundred and he actually leads the team

454
00:21:31,440 --> 00:21:34,120
Speaker 1: in red zone targets, which is just really amazing considering

455
00:21:34,119 --> 00:21:37,240
Speaker 1: how small he is. But Stafford loves to try to

456
00:21:37,320 --> 00:21:40,479
Speaker 1: run these little short screens in the red zone to

457
00:21:40,520 --> 00:21:43,520
Speaker 1: try to get Theoretic in and he's actually he's caught

458
00:21:43,560 --> 00:21:48,480
Speaker 1: four touchdown passes, so he's not turning them all into touchdowns.

459
00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:51,320
Speaker 1: But for a running back, to four touchdown receptions is

460
00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:53,520
Speaker 1: pretty good, and he could have he could have more.

461
00:21:53,560 --> 00:21:56,080
Speaker 1: He's been tackled with inside the five quite a few

462
00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:59,040
Speaker 1: times and then they've done something else. But around the

463
00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:01,840
Speaker 1: ten to fifteen yard line, they love to run a

464
00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:04,280
Speaker 1: screen to theoretic and every now and then he gets

465
00:22:04,320 --> 00:22:06,960
Speaker 1: him in now justin am I crazy to be psyched

466
00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:09,840
Speaker 1: about Jeremy Hill this week against the Philadelphia defense. I

467
00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:12,359
Speaker 1: love his price, I love that he's going to be

468
00:22:12,400 --> 00:22:14,399
Speaker 1: getting a ton of touches. But is this matchup just

469
00:22:14,480 --> 00:22:19,440
Speaker 1: too bad for him? It's tough. I don't So last

470
00:22:19,440 --> 00:22:21,760
Speaker 1: week we wrote an article on our side about why

471
00:22:21,760 --> 00:22:25,520
Speaker 1: you should definitely not play Jeremy Hill, and we said,

472
00:22:25,520 --> 00:22:27,399
Speaker 1: I don't think he gets more than thirty yards against

473
00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:29,520
Speaker 1: the Ravens, and I think he finished with twenty yards,

474
00:22:29,720 --> 00:22:33,359
Speaker 1: so that was spot on. But he actually got way

475
00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:36,439
Speaker 1: more usage in the passing game than we expected. We

476
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:39,680
Speaker 1: had heard from someone within the Bengals that Rex Burkhead

477
00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:41,560
Speaker 1: was going to get a lot of looks on passing

478
00:22:41,600 --> 00:22:44,280
Speaker 1: downs and that was just simply not the case. Jeremy

479
00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:47,399
Speaker 1: Hill had six receptions for sixty one yards, and he

480
00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:50,159
Speaker 1: still wasn't a great play because he didn't get anything

481
00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:52,840
Speaker 1: on the ground and no touchdowns. But he should get

482
00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:55,320
Speaker 1: more than twenty one rushing yards against the Eagles, So

483
00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:56,879
Speaker 1: if he's going to get that kind of usage in

484
00:22:56,880 --> 00:22:59,440
Speaker 1: the passing game, then he could be a great play.

485
00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:01,320
Speaker 1: So no, I don't think you're crazy for liking him,

486
00:23:01,320 --> 00:23:03,280
Speaker 1: even though, like you said, it's not a great matchup.

487
00:23:03,280 --> 00:23:05,840
Speaker 1: He's gonna be low owned, right like three four percent,

488
00:23:05,960 --> 00:23:08,200
Speaker 1: So you know, I just look at this guy who's

489
00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:11,440
Speaker 1: probably gonna get himself twenty touches and he's gonna get

490
00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:13,920
Speaker 1: all the red zone carries. AJ Green's gone, so they're

491
00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:15,520
Speaker 1: probably gonna run the ball even more in the red

492
00:23:15,600 --> 00:23:17,640
Speaker 1: zone because they're not going to trust Andy Dalton without

493
00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:21,960
Speaker 1: AJ Green. So I think Jeremy Hill, even in this matchup, man,

494
00:23:22,680 --> 00:23:25,080
Speaker 1: he's just a safe play now GPP, I'm staying away

495
00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:26,840
Speaker 1: from him. I don't think he can have a huge

496
00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:29,920
Speaker 1: game against Philadelphia. I just don't think it's really possible.

497
00:23:29,960 --> 00:23:34,000
Speaker 1: But remember he went for seventeen ninety seven yards and

498
00:23:34,040 --> 00:23:37,960
Speaker 1: two touchdowns against Denver in Week three, so you know

499
00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:39,639
Speaker 1: he's got it in him. There's a reason he was

500
00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:42,640
Speaker 1: drafting the top five two years ago in Fantasy football.

501
00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:45,919
Speaker 1: He's a really talented young player, and now that he's not,

502
00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:49,240
Speaker 1: you know, being challenged by Joe Binard and AJ Green, Man,

503
00:23:49,320 --> 00:23:50,639
Speaker 1: he could just go off here at the end of

504
00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:54,760
Speaker 1: the season. Yeah, absolutely, he could have a big week anytime,

505
00:23:55,160 --> 00:23:57,159
Speaker 1: which forgotten running back do you think can emerge as

506
00:23:57,160 --> 00:24:01,359
Speaker 1: the top option this week? So this is truly a

507
00:24:01,440 --> 00:24:06,840
Speaker 1: forgotten running back. DeVante Booker is a complete workhorse. I mean,

508
00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:10,000
Speaker 1: he's had over twenty five touches two weeks in a row,

509
00:24:10,600 --> 00:24:13,760
Speaker 1: and I haven't seen his name come up one time.

510
00:24:13,880 --> 00:24:18,440
Speaker 1: It's now Thursday afternoon and I haven't seen his name anywhere.

511
00:24:19,440 --> 00:24:22,280
Speaker 1: I don't know what Fantasy Pros has him projected for

512
00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:24,800
Speaker 1: as far as ownership, but I bet it's pretty low.

513
00:24:25,320 --> 00:24:28,480
Speaker 1: And I don't know how you get a guy playing

514
00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:32,600
Speaker 1: against Jacksonville's week run defense who's getting twenty five touches

515
00:24:32,640 --> 00:24:35,480
Speaker 1: a game, who's five thousand, one hundred on DraftKings and

516
00:24:35,600 --> 00:24:38,480
Speaker 1: six thousand, four hundred on FanDuel. I mean, THEO ridd

517
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:41,639
Speaker 1: it costs more than him, and he's like, he's obviously good,

518
00:24:42,320 --> 00:24:44,680
Speaker 1: but on FanDuel he costs more than him, and it's

519
00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:48,679
Speaker 1: not PPR And I don't know. I think Booker is

520
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:52,280
Speaker 1: like a guy that just hasn't been getting the touchdowns

521
00:24:52,280 --> 00:24:56,960
Speaker 1: and it's just mostly a coincidence, and you should look

522
00:24:57,000 --> 00:25:00,480
Speaker 1: for him to. I mean, he's got the workhorse first role.

523
00:25:00,680 --> 00:25:03,240
Speaker 1: In the first two weeks that he started getting over

524
00:25:03,320 --> 00:25:06,119
Speaker 1: twenty touches a week. He scored a touchdown in both weeks,

525
00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:08,880
Speaker 1: and then his price shot up to like seven thousand

526
00:25:09,119 --> 00:25:11,080
Speaker 1: and now he hasn't been scoring, but he's doing it

527
00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:14,240
Speaker 1: the same thing he was doing before without the touchdown.

528
00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:16,159
Speaker 1: So if he can score a touchdown, he'll crush value.

529
00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:19,439
Speaker 1: That's a really good play. He wasn't even on my radar,

530
00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:21,600
Speaker 1: but he's got to be now I'm looking at him

531
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:23,679
Speaker 1: right now. We project him for twelve point eight in

532
00:25:23,720 --> 00:25:26,680
Speaker 1: a standard scoring league, so probably about fifteen for fan

533
00:25:26,800 --> 00:25:30,000
Speaker 1: Duel at sixty four hundred dollars. That's right there near

534
00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:33,359
Speaker 1: GPP value and that's just his projection, so there's a

535
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:36,119
Speaker 1: good chance he could go well over that. That's a

536
00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:38,200
Speaker 1: nice play justin. I'm glad you brought him up. You

537
00:25:38,680 --> 00:25:41,600
Speaker 1: really sold me on him. How about Doug Martin at

538
00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:43,680
Speaker 1: San Diego? San Diego is a pretty good matchup for

539
00:25:43,760 --> 00:25:47,560
Speaker 1: running backs. He's the nineteenth highest price guy in fan Duel.

540
00:25:47,840 --> 00:25:50,119
Speaker 1: We project him for the thirteenth most point, so that

541
00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:53,960
Speaker 1: plus six difference, that's a really big swing in Doug Martin.

542
00:25:54,280 --> 00:25:57,400
Speaker 1: Once again, he was drafting the first two rounds. He's

543
00:25:57,440 --> 00:25:59,760
Speaker 1: getting a ton of carries twenty four two weeks ago,

544
00:26:00,200 --> 00:26:03,320
Speaker 1: twenty three. Last week against Seattle he had eighty seven yards.

545
00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:07,000
Speaker 1: I think he gets it done this week. Yeah, you know,

546
00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:10,199
Speaker 1: he's definitely a good play. I'm just worried that his

547
00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:12,600
Speaker 1: ownership would be higher than Bookers because his name is

548
00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:15,280
Speaker 1: in the news now that he's coming back. I feel

549
00:26:15,280 --> 00:26:17,920
Speaker 1: like anytime a guy like I mean, he's he's been back,

550
00:26:17,960 --> 00:26:20,560
Speaker 1: I guess, but I don't know. I've seen his name

551
00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:22,720
Speaker 1: pop up quite a few times, but for good reason,

552
00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:25,120
Speaker 1: I mean, for very good reason. He's he's a workhorse,

553
00:26:25,200 --> 00:26:27,720
Speaker 1: just like Booker. They've actually each gotten the same amount

554
00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:29,879
Speaker 1: of carries the last two weeks, which is interesting, and

555
00:26:29,920 --> 00:26:33,000
Speaker 1: they've gotten about the same amount of rushing guards. And

556
00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:35,640
Speaker 1: the matchup with San Diego is also a good matchup.

557
00:26:35,680 --> 00:26:37,879
Speaker 1: So I think if you wanted to just listen to

558
00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:40,159
Speaker 1: this podcast and just go ahead and play Booker and

559
00:26:40,240 --> 00:26:41,720
Speaker 1: Doug Martin, I think you'd be in a good Guess

560
00:26:41,760 --> 00:26:43,959
Speaker 1: what I'm doing right now, I'm making a lineup right now,

561
00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:46,280
Speaker 1: and I've got those two in there, and I'm circainly

562
00:26:46,440 --> 00:26:49,240
Speaker 1: like twenty times because I'm really excited about those two

563
00:26:49,320 --> 00:26:52,760
Speaker 1: right now. Maybe they'll let me get four running backs

564
00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:54,639
Speaker 1: in there, because I also really like David Johnson and

565
00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:57,719
Speaker 1: Jordan Howard. So I don't know they've got to I mean,

566
00:26:57,720 --> 00:26:58,920
Speaker 1: they got to make it up to me for that

567
00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:02,240
Speaker 1: King seventy six or right. Yeah, they should, they should

568
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:04,720
Speaker 1: allow you to. You know. I tweeted at FanDuel a

569
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:06,680
Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago saying, can I play nine Power

570
00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:09,720
Speaker 1: forwards tonight instead of the normal NBA lineup? And they

571
00:27:09,760 --> 00:27:13,200
Speaker 1: responded with a no. So so we'll see they didn't

572
00:27:13,200 --> 00:27:14,320
Speaker 1: do it for me, but we'll let me know what

573
00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:16,119
Speaker 1: they do. I don't know, man, I'm kind of a

574
00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:18,760
Speaker 1: no name in DFS, Like, I'm sure they know who

575
00:27:18,760 --> 00:27:20,960
Speaker 1: you are. So if they're not giving you nine Power forwards,

576
00:27:21,160 --> 00:27:23,080
Speaker 1: I wasn't even going to ask them, like, you know,

577
00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:24,879
Speaker 1: to get rid of a position. I was just going

578
00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:27,600
Speaker 1: to say, give me two extra running backs. So yeah,

579
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:31,280
Speaker 1: they probably won't do it all. Right, Wide receiver, We've

580
00:27:31,320 --> 00:27:34,520
Speaker 1: got four clear cut top guys. You could make a

581
00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:36,080
Speaker 1: case for any of them, but I want to know

582
00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:38,560
Speaker 1: how you rank these guys. We've got Mike Evans. I'm

583
00:27:38,560 --> 00:27:41,560
Speaker 1: giving you my order right now, Mike Evans, Antonio Brown,

584
00:27:41,920 --> 00:27:45,080
Speaker 1: Odell Beckham Junior and Julio Jones. How do you have them?

585
00:27:46,000 --> 00:27:48,720
Speaker 1: That's interesting. I think we might actually have Julio as

586
00:27:48,760 --> 00:27:51,680
Speaker 1: our favorite expensive guy, and on fandel he's price a

587
00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:54,040
Speaker 1: little low and we think he should be almost a

588
00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:57,320
Speaker 1: lock at eight point three thousand. But the next guy

589
00:27:57,320 --> 00:28:00,960
Speaker 1: who would be Antonio Obj and then we might put

590
00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:04,280
Speaker 1: Evans last. Antonio is at home and we know Ben

591
00:28:04,280 --> 00:28:07,760
Speaker 1: and company enjoy that home field advantage. Obj is extremely

592
00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:11,000
Speaker 1: close as well, since Pittsburgh struggles against top whiteouts. And

593
00:28:11,040 --> 00:28:13,560
Speaker 1: then there's Evans. It's hard to pick apart any of them,

594
00:28:13,800 --> 00:28:17,160
Speaker 1: but Evans traveling across country and then facing a San

595
00:28:17,160 --> 00:28:19,879
Speaker 1: Diego defense that's actually shown a pretty good ability to

596
00:28:19,920 --> 00:28:24,080
Speaker 1: intercept passes. And Jamis has such a low QB rating

597
00:28:24,119 --> 00:28:27,680
Speaker 1: when he throws at Mike Evans, and obviously it's great

598
00:28:27,720 --> 00:28:30,760
Speaker 1: for Mike Evans fantasy owners, but Winston just forces the

599
00:28:30,800 --> 00:28:33,640
Speaker 1: ball to him winning you really shouldn't. And San Diego

600
00:28:33,800 --> 00:28:35,920
Speaker 1: could pick off quite a few of those passes where

601
00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:39,440
Speaker 1: other dbs dropped them. Their dvs have good hands, so

602
00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:41,520
Speaker 1: that could live in Evans if they're just turning the

603
00:28:41,560 --> 00:28:44,960
Speaker 1: ball over repeatedly. So San Diego defense is actually someone

604
00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:47,120
Speaker 1: that's kind of on our watch list as a contrarian play.

605
00:28:47,280 --> 00:28:49,680
Speaker 1: We've got all four of these guys projected for at

606
00:28:49,720 --> 00:28:52,440
Speaker 1: least sixteen point five points in a standard league, So

607
00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:55,280
Speaker 1: when you go full PPR DraftKings, we're talking like twenty

608
00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:58,160
Speaker 1: four twenty five points. All four of them could be

609
00:28:58,240 --> 00:29:01,800
Speaker 1: in for huge weeks. Nobody else is anywhere close to them.

610
00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:04,120
Speaker 1: So is this the week where maybe you get three

611
00:29:04,160 --> 00:29:08,440
Speaker 1: of these guys in your lineup? Yeah, I mean it's

612
00:29:08,680 --> 00:29:11,280
Speaker 1: that's not going to differentiate you at all. If you're

613
00:29:11,280 --> 00:29:15,600
Speaker 1: in cash then maybe, but there's I'd say every week

614
00:29:16,000 --> 00:29:20,080
Speaker 1: ten percent of the teams go cheap QB, cheap tight end,

615
00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:23,200
Speaker 1: mid level running back, and the top three wide receivers.

616
00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:25,560
Speaker 1: So so many people are going to do it that

617
00:29:25,600 --> 00:29:27,400
Speaker 1: I think you have to at least mix in one

618
00:29:27,480 --> 00:29:31,560
Speaker 1: receiver that's kind of under the radar or at least

619
00:29:31,600 --> 00:29:34,160
Speaker 1: not the most expensive guy. For us. That's going to

620
00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:37,680
Speaker 1: be Tyreek Hill. I mean, he's our must have at DFI.

621
00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:40,840
Speaker 1: We were talking about even against the Broncos in our

622
00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:43,800
Speaker 1: chat room, saying that he really could go off, and

623
00:29:43,840 --> 00:29:46,480
Speaker 1: he ended up with three touchdowns. Obviously, the special teams

624
00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:49,440
Speaker 1: won is a little, just a bit lucky, but that

625
00:29:49,560 --> 00:29:51,360
Speaker 1: is his role in the team, and he's a Swiss

626
00:29:51,480 --> 00:29:53,360
Speaker 1: Army Knight for them, so he's a lot cheaper and

627
00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:55,520
Speaker 1: that could let you get David Johnson at running back.

628
00:29:55,880 --> 00:30:00,040
Speaker 1: Tyree hill Man has just been so incredibly impressive. I

629
00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:03,720
Speaker 1: love Sammy Watkins this week, and only for GPP. There's

630
00:30:03,840 --> 00:30:06,920
Speaker 1: no way I'm playing him in cash games just because

631
00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:08,960
Speaker 1: he's been so often on his entire career. You know,

632
00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:11,960
Speaker 1: he's got the foot problem and by the time this records,

633
00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:13,480
Speaker 1: it might come out that he misses the week is

634
00:30:13,560 --> 00:30:16,000
Speaker 1: that's just how his career has gone. But if he plays,

635
00:30:16,560 --> 00:30:19,160
Speaker 1: keep in mind, this guy was drafted at the end

636
00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:21,960
Speaker 1: of third rounds this year and the only reason he

637
00:30:22,000 --> 00:30:24,160
Speaker 1: wasn't drafted higher is because of injury concerns, and he

638
00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:26,520
Speaker 1: turned out to be right. But he was by far

639
00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:29,320
Speaker 1: the most He was by far the most efficient wide

640
00:30:29,360 --> 00:30:32,320
Speaker 1: receiver in football last year. So when he's on the field,

641
00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:35,480
Speaker 1: I mean, he is way too low priced for his

642
00:30:35,560 --> 00:30:38,240
Speaker 1: talent level. He's the only guy in that wide receiver

643
00:30:38,320 --> 00:30:41,680
Speaker 1: cord that can make plays and I think if he plays,

644
00:30:41,960 --> 00:30:43,880
Speaker 1: he could be in for a huge week at that

645
00:30:43,920 --> 00:30:47,400
Speaker 1: price point. Yeah, if he's a full go, I would

646
00:30:47,520 --> 00:30:49,800
Speaker 1: love to have Watkins on my team, But if I

647
00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:52,600
Speaker 1: hear that he's limited, if he'll be unlimited snaps, it's

648
00:30:52,600 --> 00:30:54,520
Speaker 1: just very hard to know. Is that gonna be fifteen

649
00:30:54,640 --> 00:30:58,160
Speaker 1: or is that gonna be fifty? So yeah, GPP play

650
00:30:58,240 --> 00:31:01,680
Speaker 1: unless you hear that he's definitely a full go. Suggesting

651
00:31:01,680 --> 00:31:03,400
Speaker 1: if you're not spending up for one of those top

652
00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:05,440
Speaker 1: four wide receivers and you still have a lot of

653
00:31:05,480 --> 00:31:07,600
Speaker 1: money to spend at the position, who are some other

654
00:31:07,600 --> 00:31:10,240
Speaker 1: guys that we should be looking at. Yeah, so a

655
00:31:10,280 --> 00:31:12,120
Speaker 1: guy that we like a little bit below then if

656
00:31:12,160 --> 00:31:14,880
Speaker 1: you want to drop down is Larry Fitzgerald, and he

657
00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:18,480
Speaker 1: burned everybody last week, so hopefully that could keep his

658
00:31:18,520 --> 00:31:21,000
Speaker 1: ownership down a little bit. But the Redskins have had

659
00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:23,760
Speaker 1: a tough time with some slot receivers this year, and

660
00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:28,760
Speaker 1: I could definitely see Fitzgerald carving up this Redskin secondary.

661
00:31:28,840 --> 00:31:31,160
Speaker 1: It pains me to say it, but I could see

662
00:31:31,240 --> 00:31:34,959
Speaker 1: David Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald having big days and hopefully

663
00:31:35,000 --> 00:31:37,520
Speaker 1: the Redskins end up winning the game anyway. But as

664
00:31:37,520 --> 00:31:40,800
Speaker 1: a DFS player, and you're probably not a Redskins fan, unlikely,

665
00:31:41,880 --> 00:31:44,720
Speaker 1: so you probably don't care. I would go. I would

666
00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:47,640
Speaker 1: consider Larry Fitzgerald a pretty good option, and also Doug

667
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:50,880
Speaker 1: Baldwin again. I mean he's six thousand, nine hundred, so

668
00:31:51,360 --> 00:31:54,720
Speaker 1: he's only fourteen hundred less than Julio Jones. But I

669
00:31:54,760 --> 00:31:57,520
Speaker 1: mean Doug Baldwin. It's it's kind of a it's a

670
00:31:57,560 --> 00:31:59,840
Speaker 1: good matchup again. I mean, he wasn't good last week,

671
00:31:59,880 --> 00:32:02,640
Speaker 1: but if everyone performed well in every good matchup, then

672
00:32:02,840 --> 00:32:05,120
Speaker 1: there would be no randomness to DFS and it wouldn't

673
00:32:05,120 --> 00:32:08,240
Speaker 1: be fun. So trust him again in a good matchup,

674
00:32:08,280 --> 00:32:10,760
Speaker 1: and hopefully this time, Baldwin's going to be low owned,

675
00:32:10,840 --> 00:32:13,240
Speaker 1: and we haven't projected as a top ten wide receiver.

676
00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:16,400
Speaker 1: His price is nowhere near it, so that's a good play.

677
00:32:16,600 --> 00:32:18,520
Speaker 1: Now you're telling me Josh Norman's not going to be

678
00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:22,040
Speaker 1: on Larry Fitzgerald because he's in the slot. Yeah, I

679
00:32:22,080 --> 00:32:24,600
Speaker 1: don't know. I don't think he will. Norman has covered

680
00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:28,840
Speaker 1: the slot very little this year, so yeah, And I

681
00:32:28,840 --> 00:32:32,560
Speaker 1: don't think that the other Arizona receivers are so bad

682
00:32:32,840 --> 00:32:36,000
Speaker 1: that they would force Norman to go cover Fitzgerald in

683
00:32:36,000 --> 00:32:39,200
Speaker 1: a position he's not used to covering. So I would

684
00:32:39,200 --> 00:32:41,840
Speaker 1: think they'll let Norman cover his side of the field

685
00:32:41,840 --> 00:32:44,200
Speaker 1: and he won't be shadowing because he doesn't like the shadow.

686
00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:46,320
Speaker 1: He has said that he doesn't want to half the

687
00:32:46,320 --> 00:32:49,320
Speaker 1: shadow and he doesn't do it every week, so this

688
00:32:49,360 --> 00:32:52,120
Speaker 1: seems like the week where he won't. But we'll see.

689
00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:54,640
Speaker 1: I mean, you never know. Coaches don't always tell you

690
00:32:54,640 --> 00:32:57,239
Speaker 1: ahead of time, but we don't expect it to shadow fit.

691
00:32:57,320 --> 00:32:59,800
Speaker 1: Whoever's being guarded by Josh Norman this week might as

692
00:32:59,800 --> 00:33:02,080
Speaker 1: well just quit before the game because after the Dez

693
00:33:02,200 --> 00:33:06,360
Speaker 1: Bryant dispute, he's gonna be so fired up. You watch

694
00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:09,440
Speaker 1: this guy play and he's just amazing. Now he's not

695
00:33:09,480 --> 00:33:11,480
Speaker 1: in the right scheme anymore. He fit really well in

696
00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:15,080
Speaker 1: that Carolina defense, and he's still great in Washington. But man,

697
00:33:15,520 --> 00:33:18,719
Speaker 1: this week, I feel so bad for Malcolm Floyder or

698
00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:23,200
Speaker 1: whoever it's gonna be, because Josh Norman is gonna bring it. Yeah.

699
00:33:23,240 --> 00:33:26,880
Speaker 1: I mean, one thing it's tough for elite corners is

700
00:33:26,920 --> 00:33:31,040
Speaker 1: the guys like Sherman and Norman. Their rankings on their

701
00:33:31,120 --> 00:33:34,240
Speaker 1: stats on people that they cover are so good that

702
00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:37,840
Speaker 1: they earn this reputation for being just an unbelievable lockdown corner,

703
00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:40,840
Speaker 1: which they are, but they're so good at their side

704
00:33:40,840 --> 00:33:43,840
Speaker 1: of the field. They've trained to lockdown that side of

705
00:33:43,840 --> 00:33:46,160
Speaker 1: the field, and then they get so good that everyone

706
00:33:46,280 --> 00:33:48,880
Speaker 1: demands that they go shadow someone, which is not what

707
00:33:48,920 --> 00:33:53,239
Speaker 1: they're used to doing. So it's just it makes it

708
00:33:53,280 --> 00:33:56,320
Speaker 1: harder for Norman, who's still having an incredible year statistically,

709
00:33:56,560 --> 00:33:58,240
Speaker 1: but it just makes them harder for him to shut

710
00:33:58,240 --> 00:34:01,239
Speaker 1: down everybody because if fitz Joe off, Norman will get

711
00:34:01,280 --> 00:34:04,280
Speaker 1: blamed that people will say, why is Josh Norman not

712
00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:06,640
Speaker 1: on him? He's not a slot cover corner. He's covered

713
00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:10,680
Speaker 1: the slot six percent of all plays this year, and

714
00:34:11,000 --> 00:34:13,880
Speaker 1: that's often because no one receiver lines up on his

715
00:34:13,960 --> 00:34:16,120
Speaker 1: side of the field based on the formation, so he

716
00:34:16,239 --> 00:34:18,160
Speaker 1: has to just move in and cover the slot receiver.

717
00:34:19,080 --> 00:34:21,600
Speaker 1: It's not like he's just moving into the slot when

718
00:34:21,680 --> 00:34:23,920
Speaker 1: there is a left wide receiver and he just doesn't

719
00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:27,279
Speaker 1: bother covering them. So I guess it's right wide receiver

720
00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:30,400
Speaker 1: because he's the left corner. So I just pulled it

721
00:34:30,480 --> 00:34:33,480
Speaker 1: up real quick. And Floyd and JJ Nelson have each

722
00:34:33,560 --> 00:34:35,799
Speaker 1: run about forty percent of their routes on the right

723
00:34:35,880 --> 00:34:38,640
Speaker 1: side of the field, so I just wouldn't play either.

724
00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:42,200
Speaker 1: I wouldn't I wouldn't bother because neither of them are

725
00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:44,960
Speaker 1: good enough that you're thinking, all right, well, if they

726
00:34:45,080 --> 00:34:48,120
Speaker 1: run forty percent of the routes against Pshaw Briland, that'll

727
00:34:48,160 --> 00:34:50,640
Speaker 1: be worth it. Blans He's not good, but he's not

728
00:34:50,760 --> 00:34:54,080
Speaker 1: bad enough. Our worst corner statistically is Kendall Fuller, and

729
00:34:54,239 --> 00:34:56,320
Speaker 1: he has covered the slot one hundred percent of the

730
00:34:56,360 --> 00:34:59,839
Speaker 1: time he's been on the field this year. So if

731
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:03,000
Speaker 1: he's in that which he plays most of the snaps,

732
00:35:03,320 --> 00:35:05,720
Speaker 1: and Larry Fitzgerald is in who runs sixty five percent

733
00:35:05,760 --> 00:35:07,560
Speaker 1: of his routes out of the slot, it should be

734
00:35:07,680 --> 00:35:10,520
Speaker 1: Fuller on Fitzgerald all game. I'll say this, there's in

735
00:35:10,640 --> 00:35:13,279
Speaker 1: this price range, there's one wide receiver that I am

736
00:35:13,360 --> 00:35:16,640
Speaker 1: steering everybody away from. I'm sorry if I end up wrong,

737
00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:19,840
Speaker 1: but Jordy Nelson is going to be covered by a J.

738
00:35:20,000 --> 00:35:23,120
Speaker 1: Bowie down there in Houston, and a J. Bowie is

739
00:35:23,520 --> 00:35:27,000
Speaker 1: taking over the NFL. He's the no names superstar that

740
00:35:27,080 --> 00:35:31,240
Speaker 1: Jash Norman was last year for Carolina. He is really, really,

741
00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:34,839
Speaker 1: really good. So I'm all over Davante Adams. I think

742
00:35:34,840 --> 00:35:37,280
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers is still going to have get his stats

743
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:39,600
Speaker 1: but I don't think it's going to come to Jordy Nelson.

744
00:35:39,640 --> 00:35:42,520
Speaker 1: I am staying away from him. Yeah, I wouldn't touch

745
00:35:42,520 --> 00:35:45,920
Speaker 1: any of the Packers' receivers. I mean Nelson, Rogers had

746
00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:48,880
Speaker 1: one good game, and I mean he's had quite a

747
00:35:48,920 --> 00:35:50,640
Speaker 1: few good games, I guess, but last I mean, he

748
00:35:50,719 --> 00:35:53,279
Speaker 1: really looked good on Prime Time. So now everyone thinks

749
00:35:53,600 --> 00:35:55,719
Speaker 1: Rogers is fine. He's out of his funk. But the

750
00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:59,919
Speaker 1: other corners are not bad either. Jonathan Joseph, Kareem Jack

751
00:36:00,080 --> 00:36:02,440
Speaker 1: and AJ Bully are all three of the top rated

752
00:36:02,480 --> 00:36:07,080
Speaker 1: corners in the league. So I wouldn't intentionally target any

753
00:36:07,120 --> 00:36:10,040
Speaker 1: of these Packers receivers. There's so many options in this Packers'

754
00:36:10,080 --> 00:36:13,799
Speaker 1: offense between Time Montgomery, James Starks catches passes, Jared Cook

755
00:36:13,880 --> 00:36:16,480
Speaker 1: catches passes. Then you have Adams, you have Cobb, you

756
00:36:16,520 --> 00:36:19,680
Speaker 1: have Nelson. At this point, who are you targeting against

757
00:36:19,719 --> 00:36:22,800
Speaker 1: the good Houston defense. I don't know someone will be

758
00:36:22,880 --> 00:36:25,000
Speaker 1: worth it, but I think it's a complete crapshoot. And

759
00:36:25,040 --> 00:36:27,000
Speaker 1: anyone who tells you that they know which of those

760
00:36:27,120 --> 00:36:30,480
Speaker 1: six targets will actually end up being worth it against Houston,

761
00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:36,560
Speaker 1: I think they're They're just they don't understand the situation. Yeah, yeah, completely, Grim,

762
00:36:36,640 --> 00:36:38,960
Speaker 1: I'm glad you brought that up just now. There are

763
00:36:38,960 --> 00:36:40,719
Speaker 1: a few pump plays or maybe just one that you

764
00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:43,200
Speaker 1: think might be worth sneak into your lineup this week. Yeah,

765
00:36:43,200 --> 00:36:45,440
Speaker 1: I mean, Malcolm Mitchell is a great play for his

766
00:36:45,560 --> 00:36:48,439
Speaker 1: price of three point six k on DraftKings. He's showed

767
00:36:48,440 --> 00:36:50,640
Speaker 1: an amazing chemistry with Brady, which is rare for a

768
00:36:50,719 --> 00:36:53,000
Speaker 1: rookie wide receiver from the Patriots. They don't usually let

769
00:36:53,080 --> 00:36:55,560
Speaker 1: their rookies get reps in practice, but they've had to

770
00:36:55,719 --> 00:36:58,800
Speaker 1: this year, and Brady has worked a lot with Mitchell

771
00:36:58,840 --> 00:37:01,480
Speaker 1: and he's really come live since Gronk got hurt. And

772
00:37:01,719 --> 00:37:04,160
Speaker 1: now that Gronk is out from surgery, he should continue

773
00:37:04,160 --> 00:37:06,920
Speaker 1: to be involved. And last week Tremaine Johnson and the

774
00:37:07,040 --> 00:37:10,640
Speaker 1: Rams took away Brandon Cooks and I think we all

775
00:37:10,719 --> 00:37:13,040
Speaker 1: know how bad that was. He put up a zero

776
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:17,360
Speaker 1: while this team scored forty two points on offense. And

777
00:37:17,640 --> 00:37:20,279
Speaker 1: Tremaine Johnson is supposed to cover Edelman and could do

778
00:37:20,360 --> 00:37:22,480
Speaker 1: the same thing too. I keep getting people tweeting at

779
00:37:22,560 --> 00:37:24,680
Speaker 1: me saying, now that Gronk is out, is Edelman a locke?

780
00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:28,280
Speaker 1: That's just I mean if if ownership is high on Edelman,

781
00:37:29,080 --> 00:37:32,560
Speaker 1: people could just get burned again. We'll see, because Johnson

782
00:37:32,640 --> 00:37:35,440
Speaker 1: doesn't cover the slot all that often. He covers it sometimes,

783
00:37:36,120 --> 00:37:39,200
Speaker 1: but it's usually LaMarcus Joiner. But he's really good too,

784
00:37:39,600 --> 00:37:43,640
Speaker 1: and he actually some people think he's better than Tremaine Johnson.

785
00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:46,560
Speaker 1: So the only guy who really projects to have a

786
00:37:46,640 --> 00:37:49,920
Speaker 1: good matchup is Malcolm Mitchell. He's gonna have EJ. Gaines,

787
00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:52,640
Speaker 1: who's probably one of the worst corners in football. If

788
00:37:52,880 --> 00:37:55,800
Speaker 1: LA could get one more good corner, they would have

789
00:37:55,920 --> 00:37:58,920
Speaker 1: such a good secondary. But Gains is the weak spot

790
00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:01,920
Speaker 1: for them, and I think Malcolm Mitchell he's going to

791
00:38:01,960 --> 00:38:03,880
Speaker 1: be lined up against him most of the game, so

792
00:38:04,520 --> 00:38:06,319
Speaker 1: he could be the guy that has a huge game

793
00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:09,200
Speaker 1: while everybody else is on Edelman and Bennett. Now there's

794
00:38:09,200 --> 00:38:11,919
Speaker 1: two real cheap plays that I'm super fond of this week.

795
00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:14,840
Speaker 1: We've got Will Fuller at Green Bay, who's kind of

796
00:38:14,880 --> 00:38:18,520
Speaker 1: the forgotten man. Fifty six hundred on Fandel real cheap

797
00:38:18,600 --> 00:38:21,960
Speaker 1: also on DraftKings, and Green Bay, as we know, has

798
00:38:22,040 --> 00:38:27,239
Speaker 1: just been absolutely horrible in their secondary. Everybody's hurt. Now.

799
00:38:27,280 --> 00:38:29,200
Speaker 1: I know he's got brock Oswiler, but look what he

800
00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:30,600
Speaker 1: did at the beginning of the season one hundred and

801
00:38:30,640 --> 00:38:33,359
Speaker 1: seven hundred and four in his first two games. Ever,

802
00:38:34,120 --> 00:38:36,680
Speaker 1: finally he's healthy again. He went for sixty last week.

803
00:38:37,000 --> 00:38:38,960
Speaker 1: I think the big game's coming. I think it's this week.

804
00:38:39,000 --> 00:38:42,560
Speaker 1: And at that price point, I love will Fuller. Yeah,

805
00:38:42,600 --> 00:38:44,760
Speaker 1: if there was ever a week that he was about

806
00:38:44,800 --> 00:38:47,920
Speaker 1: to go off, it has to be against Green Bay. Like,

807
00:38:48,320 --> 00:38:51,200
Speaker 1: if he can't beat these guys deep, Pierre Gar's son

808
00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:55,200
Speaker 1: caught a seventy yard touchdown. I mean, that's how bad

809
00:38:55,320 --> 00:38:58,120
Speaker 1: this secondary is. Was stopping deep threats right now. They're

810
00:38:58,120 --> 00:39:01,160
Speaker 1: just getting beat over the top repeated Lee. And that's

811
00:39:01,200 --> 00:39:04,160
Speaker 1: what will Fuller does. So, like he said, I mean,

812
00:39:04,520 --> 00:39:06,120
Speaker 1: he could go off, and if you look at what

813
00:39:06,200 --> 00:39:07,520
Speaker 1: he did in the beginning of the season when he

814
00:39:07,600 --> 00:39:11,240
Speaker 1: was healthy, he was fantastic. Obviously, he could be wide

815
00:39:11,280 --> 00:39:14,360
Speaker 1: open all by himself and the past could end up

816
00:39:14,440 --> 00:39:17,160
Speaker 1: nowhere near him because it's coming from brock Osswaller. But

817
00:39:17,840 --> 00:39:20,040
Speaker 1: you have to hope that Oswaller can deliver a decent

818
00:39:20,080 --> 00:39:22,719
Speaker 1: throw if he gets really really open. Speaking of the

819
00:39:22,760 --> 00:39:26,080
Speaker 1: Packers secondary, I forgot to mention I love DeAndre Hopkins

820
00:39:26,120 --> 00:39:28,000
Speaker 1: this week too. I like him a lot. Yeah, I

821
00:39:28,040 --> 00:39:30,040
Speaker 1: mean that secondary is so bad you could make a

822
00:39:30,120 --> 00:39:33,520
Speaker 1: case for anyone, even if a Clay Matthews is hurt.

823
00:39:33,560 --> 00:39:36,360
Speaker 1: You could even go with Fedorowich. You can make a

824
00:39:36,440 --> 00:39:38,759
Speaker 1: case for that whole offense. And then at that point

825
00:39:38,880 --> 00:39:40,600
Speaker 1: it seems like it's hard not to make a case

826
00:39:40,680 --> 00:39:45,239
Speaker 1: for brock Oswaller. But he's so bad. There's no way.

827
00:39:45,560 --> 00:39:48,040
Speaker 1: There's just no way I'll play up. I've been. I've

828
00:39:48,080 --> 00:39:50,080
Speaker 1: fallen for it once or twice this year. Tried to

829
00:39:50,200 --> 00:39:51,840
Speaker 1: use him with all the staffs in his favor, and

830
00:39:51,920 --> 00:39:54,760
Speaker 1: he just totally burned me. All right, how about Duyl

831
00:39:54,840 --> 00:39:58,759
Speaker 1: green Beckham three straight weeks fifty five yards, fifty four yards,

832
00:39:58,840 --> 00:40:02,200
Speaker 1: eighty two yards. He's been feeling it lately. Carson Wentz

833
00:40:02,320 --> 00:40:04,319
Speaker 1: is throwing the ball, Dwood Matthews is a little bit

834
00:40:04,360 --> 00:40:07,319
Speaker 1: banged up. Nelson Aguilar is a little bit banged up.

835
00:40:07,960 --> 00:40:10,200
Speaker 1: Is this a week that he breaks out, maybe gets

836
00:40:10,239 --> 00:40:12,680
Speaker 1: a touchdown or two at the minimum price? Is a

837
00:40:12,800 --> 00:40:15,880
Speaker 1: real good play? Yeah? Yeah, I mean I want to

838
00:40:15,920 --> 00:40:18,160
Speaker 1: say yes. So he was a must have for us.

839
00:40:18,600 --> 00:40:21,760
Speaker 1: We locked him in on our Eagles stack of players

840
00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:24,719
Speaker 1: for the primetime slate against the Packers and that first

841
00:40:24,800 --> 00:40:27,960
Speaker 1: drive he had five targets and we thought, oh my gosh,

842
00:40:28,120 --> 00:40:31,200
Speaker 1: what a play. And then he went completely silent for

843
00:40:31,280 --> 00:40:33,000
Speaker 1: a quarter and a half and then he had like

844
00:40:33,200 --> 00:40:35,960
Speaker 1: three more targets on one drive and then he was

845
00:40:36,040 --> 00:40:39,640
Speaker 1: completely sad on again. So it was really bizarre. Like

846
00:40:40,040 --> 00:40:42,560
Speaker 1: I watch a lot of the Eagles games, unfortunately, because

847
00:40:42,640 --> 00:40:47,480
Speaker 1: my housemates are from Philadelphia, and nothing about green Beckham

848
00:40:47,600 --> 00:40:52,160
Speaker 1: is ever consistent, and nothing about him ever says like

849
00:40:52,480 --> 00:40:55,640
Speaker 1: next week for sure, So it's very tough to say

850
00:40:55,880 --> 00:40:58,480
Speaker 1: what he's gonna do. But his numbers, when you look

851
00:40:58,480 --> 00:41:01,120
Speaker 1: at his game logs, it actually looks like he's consistent.

852
00:41:02,160 --> 00:41:04,000
Speaker 1: But I think when you watch him on the field

853
00:41:04,080 --> 00:41:07,680
Speaker 1: he's anything but. So he could go off because he's

854
00:41:07,680 --> 00:41:10,560
Speaker 1: six six and he's actually really fast too. He has

855
00:41:10,640 --> 00:41:14,640
Speaker 1: the complete freak athlete build where he should be able

856
00:41:14,680 --> 00:41:16,680
Speaker 1: to go off two hundred yards every week, but he

857
00:41:16,800 --> 00:41:19,520
Speaker 1: never seems to put it all together for a four quarters.

858
00:41:20,320 --> 00:41:23,000
Speaker 1: But like you said, for minimum salary, you can't expect

859
00:41:23,080 --> 00:41:25,600
Speaker 1: to have a guy who's going to dominate for four quarters.

860
00:41:25,960 --> 00:41:27,800
Speaker 1: I don't know. It's it's tough to trust him, but

861
00:41:27,880 --> 00:41:29,839
Speaker 1: for minimum salary, yeah, I don't know. If you really

862
00:41:29,920 --> 00:41:33,000
Speaker 1: need a minimum salary receiver this week, but if you

863
00:41:33,120 --> 00:41:35,520
Speaker 1: feel like you do, then he's definitely a good play.

864
00:41:35,719 --> 00:41:38,160
Speaker 1: Are there any other wide receivers we've overlooked this point

865
00:41:38,200 --> 00:41:40,560
Speaker 1: that are worth considering. No, I think we've touched on

866
00:41:40,800 --> 00:41:43,040
Speaker 1: enough at least at this point in the week. Some

867
00:41:43,200 --> 00:41:45,279
Speaker 1: injuries could open some stuff up, you know. We do

868
00:41:45,440 --> 00:41:48,359
Speaker 1: like Jarvis Lander. We think he's being overlooked. His price

869
00:41:48,520 --> 00:41:51,680
Speaker 1: is really low at five point four k, and we

870
00:41:51,880 --> 00:41:54,080
Speaker 1: think he should get some looks against the Baltimore defense

871
00:41:54,160 --> 00:41:57,520
Speaker 1: that will that usually shuts down the run, so if

872
00:41:57,600 --> 00:42:01,400
Speaker 1: they can shut down a Jay, then they should be throwing.

873
00:42:01,440 --> 00:42:04,040
Speaker 1: And Landry catches a lot of short passes. So we

874
00:42:04,120 --> 00:42:06,440
Speaker 1: also think Marvin Jones could be overlooked since he's been

875
00:42:06,480 --> 00:42:09,160
Speaker 1: taking a backseat to Golden Tate. But he goes up

876
00:42:09,160 --> 00:42:11,479
Speaker 1: against the Saints and he was actually targeted eleven times

877
00:42:11,560 --> 00:42:15,760
Speaker 1: last week, so it's not like they've completely left Marvin

878
00:42:15,840 --> 00:42:18,839
Speaker 1: Jones out of the offense. And he's four thousand, four

879
00:42:18,920 --> 00:42:22,560
Speaker 1: hundred on DraftKings. His price has fallen so much. He's

880
00:42:22,600 --> 00:42:24,920
Speaker 1: the kind of guy who earlier in the year went

881
00:42:25,040 --> 00:42:27,400
Speaker 1: for two hundred and five yards and two touchdowns against

882
00:42:27,440 --> 00:42:29,879
Speaker 1: Green Bay. The Saints are just as bad as green

883
00:42:29,920 --> 00:42:32,920
Speaker 1: Bay secondary, so in theory, he could put up another

884
00:42:33,160 --> 00:42:35,200
Speaker 1: monster week. He's a guy that I wanted to mention

885
00:42:35,280 --> 00:42:37,880
Speaker 1: Marvin Jones. There's two other guys, Marky's Wilson. We saw

886
00:42:37,960 --> 00:42:40,080
Speaker 1: what he did last week. He gets San Francisco. We

887
00:42:40,160 --> 00:42:42,920
Speaker 1: talked about Matt Barkley. Obviously, if it snows, I'm not

888
00:42:42,960 --> 00:42:45,840
Speaker 1: playing Marky's Wilson, but he's someone to at least consider

889
00:42:46,080 --> 00:42:49,240
Speaker 1: and then don't roll Inman against Tampa Bay Dontrell Inman

890
00:42:49,320 --> 00:42:52,759
Speaker 1: has been really consistent. One hundred and nineteen yards last

891
00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:55,200
Speaker 1: week and a touchdown. Maybe he keeps getting on the

892
00:42:55,239 --> 00:42:58,239
Speaker 1: field this week if everybody's hurt again and gets a

893
00:42:58,280 --> 00:43:00,160
Speaker 1: lot of targets, because you know, Philip Rivers going to

894
00:43:00,239 --> 00:43:02,560
Speaker 1: throw the ball. So I'm keeping an eye on Inman

895
00:43:02,680 --> 00:43:06,440
Speaker 1: in that San Diego injury status, so we'll see what

896
00:43:06,560 --> 00:43:08,440
Speaker 1: happens there. But I might be plugging hit him into

897
00:43:08,440 --> 00:43:11,319
Speaker 1: my lineups too, all right, Moving over to tight end,

898
00:43:11,760 --> 00:43:13,960
Speaker 1: Zach Ertz and Jimmy Graham are the guys I like

899
00:43:14,120 --> 00:43:16,080
Speaker 1: this week. Is there another option that stands out to you?

900
00:43:16,280 --> 00:43:18,000
Speaker 1: You know, it's a tough week. For the tight end spot.

901
00:43:18,080 --> 00:43:20,320
Speaker 1: A lot of guys are in below average matchups, so

902
00:43:20,640 --> 00:43:22,799
Speaker 1: we seem to be spending down at tight end this week.

903
00:43:23,000 --> 00:43:25,279
Speaker 1: We like the Earth to play quite a bit, but

904
00:43:25,600 --> 00:43:27,759
Speaker 1: he's one of the most frustrating players this season as

905
00:43:27,800 --> 00:43:30,640
Speaker 1: he's burned just about everyone this year. I mean, I'm

906
00:43:30,680 --> 00:43:33,000
Speaker 1: sure everyone has fallen into the zach Ertz is about

907
00:43:33,000 --> 00:43:35,320
Speaker 1: to go off this week and it's just not happening.

908
00:43:35,719 --> 00:43:37,879
Speaker 1: And the matchup with the Bengals is calling us back

909
00:43:37,920 --> 00:43:40,040
Speaker 1: to the well again as they can be beat in

910
00:43:40,040 --> 00:43:42,080
Speaker 1: the middle of the field. With some of the other

911
00:43:42,160 --> 00:43:45,320
Speaker 1: receiving options banged up, we could see another double digit

912
00:43:45,360 --> 00:43:47,520
Speaker 1: target game and hopefully he snatches more than a few

913
00:43:47,560 --> 00:43:49,920
Speaker 1: and gets in the end zone. But it's just it's

914
00:43:49,960 --> 00:43:52,520
Speaker 1: becoming hard to trust him. And another guy we really

915
00:43:52,560 --> 00:43:54,800
Speaker 1: have interested is Eric Ebron and we'll sound like a

916
00:43:54,880 --> 00:43:57,640
Speaker 1: broken record on this, but because we thought he would

917
00:43:57,640 --> 00:44:00,560
Speaker 1: be pretty good on Thanksgiving, he did absolutely nothing. But

918
00:44:00,640 --> 00:44:02,399
Speaker 1: this could be a big bounce back for him. Prior

919
00:44:02,440 --> 00:44:04,520
Speaker 1: to being shut out last Thursday, he was seeing a

920
00:44:04,600 --> 00:44:06,400
Speaker 1: healthy amount of targets for a couple of weeks in

921
00:44:06,440 --> 00:44:08,799
Speaker 1: a row, and he was getting double digit Fantasy points

922
00:44:08,800 --> 00:44:11,600
Speaker 1: without scoring a touchdown, So something I really like to

923
00:44:11,640 --> 00:44:13,920
Speaker 1: see because he can do damage without getting into the

924
00:44:14,040 --> 00:44:16,960
Speaker 1: end zone, unlike most tight ends who need a touchdown.

925
00:44:17,239 --> 00:44:20,680
Speaker 1: Ebrun is consistently used across the entire field, with the

926
00:44:20,760 --> 00:44:22,960
Speaker 1: exception of last week against the Vikings, who are a

927
00:44:23,040 --> 00:44:26,520
Speaker 1: fantastic defense. But this could be a good bounce back

928
00:44:26,560 --> 00:44:29,279
Speaker 1: week for him. I agree. I love Hebron too. I

929
00:44:29,400 --> 00:44:31,960
Speaker 1: love Ebroun every single week, and you know it was

930
00:44:32,000 --> 00:44:33,960
Speaker 1: a bummer. I played him on Thanksgiving too, But what

931
00:44:34,040 --> 00:44:35,960
Speaker 1: are you gonna do? I mean, he's been so consistent

932
00:44:36,440 --> 00:44:39,200
Speaker 1: all season and then he lays up that stinker. That's

933
00:44:39,239 --> 00:44:41,040
Speaker 1: going to happen from time to time. But I do

934
00:44:41,200 --> 00:44:43,360
Speaker 1: think it was the right play. I mean, he's just

935
00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:45,640
Speaker 1: been so good. I think he'll be good again this week.

936
00:44:45,960 --> 00:44:48,279
Speaker 1: The thing about Jimmy Graham that I really like. First

937
00:44:48,320 --> 00:44:50,480
Speaker 1: of all, Caroline is not very good against tight ends.

938
00:44:50,800 --> 00:44:52,879
Speaker 1: Second of all, you look at his home games this year.

939
00:44:53,280 --> 00:44:55,840
Speaker 1: He played Philadelphia last time, which is the best against

940
00:44:55,880 --> 00:44:59,320
Speaker 1: tight ends, and he had ten points and then before

941
00:44:59,360 --> 00:45:02,280
Speaker 1: that Buffalo one hundred and three for two touchdowns, Atlanta

942
00:45:02,640 --> 00:45:05,879
Speaker 1: eighty nine, San Francisco one hundred and a touchdown. Those

943
00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:08,399
Speaker 1: are his home games so far this season. He gets

944
00:45:08,600 --> 00:45:10,520
Speaker 1: another home game against a team that's not good for

945
00:45:10,600 --> 00:45:12,560
Speaker 1: his his tight end, So I think he's the best

946
00:45:12,640 --> 00:45:15,560
Speaker 1: tight end of the week. I don't love his price,

947
00:45:15,680 --> 00:45:17,440
Speaker 1: but you know what, if you're spending up on tight end,

948
00:45:17,520 --> 00:45:19,360
Speaker 1: he's the guy to go to. Now, if you're spending

949
00:45:19,560 --> 00:45:21,800
Speaker 1: down on a tight end, which contrarian play do you

950
00:45:21,840 --> 00:45:23,960
Speaker 1: think could pop up in the million dollar lineup this week?

951
00:45:24,120 --> 00:45:27,319
Speaker 1: So here's another contrarian play from the Saints Lions game,

952
00:45:27,360 --> 00:45:28,960
Speaker 1: which is amazing to say that there could be a

953
00:45:29,040 --> 00:45:31,160
Speaker 1: contrarian play in the game that everyone will look at.

954
00:45:31,760 --> 00:45:35,000
Speaker 1: But Josh Hill. He had six receptions for seventy four

955
00:45:35,080 --> 00:45:37,759
Speaker 1: yards last week and he played fifty eight snaps while

956
00:45:37,840 --> 00:45:40,680
Speaker 1: Kobe Fleiner only played eighteen. The Saints are giving up

957
00:45:40,719 --> 00:45:43,640
Speaker 1: on Fleaner and they could just end up making Hill

958
00:45:43,719 --> 00:45:46,120
Speaker 1: the all around tight end. The amount of snaps Fleaner

959
00:45:46,200 --> 00:45:49,320
Speaker 1: played last week is how many the backup plays on

960
00:45:49,440 --> 00:45:50,880
Speaker 1: your favorite team. And you don't even know what his

961
00:45:51,000 --> 00:45:54,080
Speaker 1: name is, Like, Yeah, he just comes in to block

962
00:45:54,239 --> 00:45:56,600
Speaker 1: when the starting tight end is tired. And that's what

963
00:45:56,760 --> 00:46:00,680
Speaker 1: Fleaner did last week. And Detroit still struggles again tight ends,

964
00:46:01,000 --> 00:46:04,640
Speaker 1: and the Saints are at home. Hill look looks to

965
00:46:04,760 --> 00:46:07,040
Speaker 1: be in a great position, and I bet there will

966
00:46:07,080 --> 00:46:09,839
Speaker 1: be people who take Fleaner. I'm glad that Fleaner caught

967
00:46:09,880 --> 00:46:13,160
Speaker 1: four passes forty for fifty nine yards last week, because

968
00:46:13,680 --> 00:46:15,800
Speaker 1: that will make him look like a decent play because

969
00:46:15,840 --> 00:46:18,880
Speaker 1: he's not. He's not at all. I mean to go

970
00:46:18,960 --> 00:46:21,920
Speaker 1: one hundred percent efficiency on your four targets and catch

971
00:46:22,000 --> 00:46:25,719
Speaker 1: fifty nine balls just screams regression, like he's about to

972
00:46:25,800 --> 00:46:29,640
Speaker 1: go one catch for six yards and just disappoint the

973
00:46:29,719 --> 00:46:32,960
Speaker 1: hell out of everybody who thought he'd destroy this Detroit team.

974
00:46:33,120 --> 00:46:34,680
Speaker 1: And Josh Hill could be the guy who goes for

975
00:46:34,719 --> 00:46:37,759
Speaker 1: one hundred yards and two touchdowns. Yeah, Yeah. We have

976
00:46:37,880 --> 00:46:40,759
Speaker 1: Fleaner for five percent ownership, and I'm just shaking my

977
00:46:40,800 --> 00:46:43,239
Speaker 1: head at that number, like people are going to do it,

978
00:46:43,360 --> 00:46:45,920
Speaker 1: but it's just throwing money away. He's not going to

979
00:46:46,000 --> 00:46:47,839
Speaker 1: be good this week. Maybe I'll eat my words. Maybe

980
00:46:47,880 --> 00:46:50,719
Speaker 1: he'll get one of those Kyle Rudolph games one reception

981
00:46:50,800 --> 00:46:53,760
Speaker 1: for one yard and a touchdown. But you know, I'm

982
00:46:53,840 --> 00:46:55,920
Speaker 1: not buying into Fleaner at all, and I'm excited that

983
00:46:56,000 --> 00:46:59,200
Speaker 1: other people are going to be playing him. Moving over

984
00:46:59,280 --> 00:47:01,200
Speaker 1: to defense, is there are a sneaky play that you

985
00:47:01,239 --> 00:47:04,520
Speaker 1: think it force a bunch of turnovers this week? Yeah,

986
00:47:04,600 --> 00:47:06,960
Speaker 1: I was mentioned before. We think San Diego they've been

987
00:47:07,040 --> 00:47:10,480
Speaker 1: incredible at intercepting passes. They have fourteen on the year.

988
00:47:11,239 --> 00:47:14,520
Speaker 1: They're just their dbs don't drop the ball and most

989
00:47:14,600 --> 00:47:17,279
Speaker 1: guys do, and Winston has been better at protecting the

990
00:47:17,320 --> 00:47:19,840
Speaker 1: ball of late, but he does have a four interception

991
00:47:19,920 --> 00:47:22,840
Speaker 1: game on his twenty sixteen resume. He'll be traveling across

992
00:47:22,920 --> 00:47:27,040
Speaker 1: the country on Sunday, which statistically hurts the East Coast team,

993
00:47:28,000 --> 00:47:30,880
Speaker 1: so I don't know how much that'll affect Winston, but

994
00:47:30,960 --> 00:47:33,479
Speaker 1: he hasn't done it many times in his career. He's

995
00:47:33,520 --> 00:47:35,319
Speaker 1: to get very young and this will be a new

996
00:47:35,360 --> 00:47:38,960
Speaker 1: experience for him, and is supposedly the Circadian rhythms actually

997
00:47:39,080 --> 00:47:43,040
Speaker 1: do affect their play, so making San Diego a decent

998
00:47:43,120 --> 00:47:46,680
Speaker 1: bet overall. But I think Winston is always capable of

999
00:47:46,800 --> 00:47:49,440
Speaker 1: multiple interceptions in San Diego as a team capable of

1000
00:47:49,560 --> 00:47:52,960
Speaker 1: catching them. Justin I was looking at the San Francisco

1001
00:47:53,040 --> 00:47:56,640
Speaker 1: forty nine ers and thinking maybe, just maybe in the

1002
00:47:56,760 --> 00:48:00,360
Speaker 1: snow against an inexperienced quarterback like Barkley, who, Yeah, he

1003
00:48:00,400 --> 00:48:02,439
Speaker 1: did look really good, but he's in experience, so maybe

1004
00:48:02,480 --> 00:48:04,600
Speaker 1: he has a bad game. And I'm looking at their

1005
00:48:04,680 --> 00:48:08,000
Speaker 1: game log, it's hard to remember that in Week one

1006
00:48:08,560 --> 00:48:12,359
Speaker 1: they shut out those Los Angeles Rims, and then they've

1007
00:48:12,400 --> 00:48:15,120
Speaker 1: given up at least twenty three points in every single

1008
00:48:15,200 --> 00:48:18,800
Speaker 1: game and at least thirty one in every game except

1009
00:48:18,880 --> 00:48:21,880
Speaker 1: those two. It's just I can't believe they pitched a

1010
00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:26,480
Speaker 1: shut out against that. That was the like absolute surprise

1011
00:48:26,560 --> 00:48:29,160
Speaker 1: of Week one when that happened, because I remember we

1012
00:48:29,280 --> 00:48:33,000
Speaker 1: were driving home from the Redskins Steelers game, disappointed at

1013
00:48:33,040 --> 00:48:34,759
Speaker 1: the Redskins lost, but it was kind of cool to

1014
00:48:34,800 --> 00:48:36,920
Speaker 1: see Brown catch that touchdown right in front of us

1015
00:48:37,520 --> 00:48:40,320
Speaker 1: where he did that four palms celebration, you know what

1016
00:48:40,360 --> 00:48:43,120
Speaker 1: I'm talking about. We were right there in the front

1017
00:48:43,200 --> 00:48:44,840
Speaker 1: row and he did that right in front of us,

1018
00:48:44,880 --> 00:48:46,759
Speaker 1: and so we were like, you know, Redskins lost, but

1019
00:48:46,800 --> 00:48:48,680
Speaker 1: that was cool. And then we're on the way home

1020
00:48:48,719 --> 00:48:50,640
Speaker 1: in the car and we're checking the score and we're like,

1021
00:48:51,040 --> 00:48:53,320
Speaker 1: you have got to be kidding me, Like the Niners

1022
00:48:53,360 --> 00:48:56,359
Speaker 1: are winning twenty eight to zero. What, Like we thought

1023
00:48:56,360 --> 00:48:58,480
Speaker 1: they'd be horrible this year and we were totally right.

1024
00:48:58,520 --> 00:49:01,520
Speaker 1: They are horrible, so that was just a total fluke.

1025
00:49:01,760 --> 00:49:03,680
Speaker 1: I would not touch the forty nine ers defense. I

1026
00:49:03,760 --> 00:49:07,160
Speaker 1: think Jordan Howard will carve them up, so yeah, I

1027
00:49:07,239 --> 00:49:10,000
Speaker 1: would not do that. For me. The conturian play is

1028
00:49:10,080 --> 00:49:12,400
Speaker 1: the Chicago Bears against those forty nine ers. And I

1029
00:49:12,480 --> 00:49:14,840
Speaker 1: know Kaepernick's been really good, but you know, playing in

1030
00:49:14,920 --> 00:49:17,200
Speaker 1: the snow, I'm not so sure he's going to be

1031
00:49:17,239 --> 00:49:19,439
Speaker 1: able to cut it. He's a turnover machine. He hasn't

1032
00:49:19,480 --> 00:49:21,520
Speaker 1: been this year, but it's coming. It's come in one

1033
00:49:21,560 --> 00:49:23,800
Speaker 1: of these days, and it could be this week. You

1034
00:49:23,880 --> 00:49:25,480
Speaker 1: look at the Bears too, They've got a lot of

1035
00:49:25,520 --> 00:49:28,560
Speaker 1: injured players and so absolutely no one's gonna be on them.

1036
00:49:28,600 --> 00:49:31,440
Speaker 1: We've got the point three point four percent ownership and

1037
00:49:31,520 --> 00:49:33,520
Speaker 1: that might bump up during the week, But in the

1038
00:49:33,600 --> 00:49:37,080
Speaker 1: past four weeks they've got five, five and four sacks

1039
00:49:37,160 --> 00:49:40,120
Speaker 1: in those three of those four games. They're getting to

1040
00:49:40,200 --> 00:49:42,160
Speaker 1: the quarterback, and when you get to the quarterback, you

1041
00:49:42,239 --> 00:49:44,880
Speaker 1: force turnovers two. I think this could be a huge

1042
00:49:44,960 --> 00:49:47,839
Speaker 1: week for them. I'm talking like twenty plus fantasy points,

1043
00:49:47,880 --> 00:49:49,640
Speaker 1: and if you don't have them, you're not winning the GPP.

1044
00:49:50,320 --> 00:49:52,400
Speaker 1: I'm going to have them in a couple of GPP lineups.

1045
00:49:52,440 --> 00:49:54,320
Speaker 1: I'm excited about them. Yeah, yeah, I could see it.

1046
00:49:54,320 --> 00:49:56,640
Speaker 1: I mean, Kaepernick doesn't need a too much encouragement to

1047
00:49:56,680 --> 00:50:01,080
Speaker 1: turn the ball over, so yeah, I don't think he's Actually,

1048
00:50:01,239 --> 00:50:03,160
Speaker 1: he has not played one game all year without turning

1049
00:50:03,160 --> 00:50:07,320
Speaker 1: it over, so and I think he's only one time. No,

1050
00:50:07,520 --> 00:50:09,239
Speaker 1: you know he did it. He did it once. I

1051
00:50:09,440 --> 00:50:11,520
Speaker 1: know he did it once because I said it that

1052
00:50:11,640 --> 00:50:14,440
Speaker 1: week that he always turns it over. And I think

1053
00:50:14,480 --> 00:50:17,080
Speaker 1: he went at Arizona and miraculously did not turn the

1054
00:50:17,120 --> 00:50:20,640
Speaker 1: ball over, so that was aggravating. But try to remember

1055
00:50:20,800 --> 00:50:22,600
Speaker 1: last year the stat was I don't know if he

1056
00:50:22,680 --> 00:50:26,160
Speaker 1: went an entire week without throwing a pick six, So

1057
00:50:26,680 --> 00:50:29,000
Speaker 1: I don't know, he threw a lot of pick sixes.

1058
00:50:29,200 --> 00:50:31,879
Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, I mean yeah, you could always justify picking

1059
00:50:31,920 --> 00:50:34,800
Speaker 1: against him. And yeah, like you said, the Bears defense

1060
00:50:34,920 --> 00:50:38,160
Speaker 1: is not bad and they're they're actually expensive enough that

1061
00:50:38,239 --> 00:50:40,280
Speaker 1: it'll push all the ownership away from them. It's funny

1062
00:50:40,320 --> 00:50:42,520
Speaker 1: how much people will value two or three hundred dollars

1063
00:50:42,680 --> 00:50:44,759
Speaker 1: if it's a wide receiver. They won't care at all,

1064
00:50:44,920 --> 00:50:47,080
Speaker 1: but they're like, well, I'm not paying forty six hundred

1065
00:50:47,120 --> 00:50:49,280
Speaker 1: from my defense if I could pay forty three hundred.

1066
00:50:49,360 --> 00:50:51,920
Speaker 1: And it's funny how it depends what position it is,

1067
00:50:52,640 --> 00:50:56,720
Speaker 1: what people are willing to spend relatives to the other options.

1068
00:50:56,880 --> 00:50:59,160
Speaker 1: And that's how you go contraying. You overpay by three

1069
00:50:59,280 --> 00:51:01,120
Speaker 1: hundred dollars, and there you go. You have a one

1070
00:51:01,200 --> 00:51:04,440
Speaker 1: percent on defense against Colin Kaepernick in the snow who

1071
00:51:04,600 --> 00:51:07,759
Speaker 1: also is unqualified to play in the snow now, justin

1072
00:51:07,800 --> 00:51:09,799
Speaker 1: if you need a real safe back to score ten

1073
00:51:09,840 --> 00:51:14,239
Speaker 1: fantasy points, it's got to be the Broncos against Blake Bortles, right, absolutely, yep,

1074
00:51:14,440 --> 00:51:18,200
Speaker 1: that's who we had. We have. He has thirteen interceptions

1075
00:51:18,239 --> 00:51:21,440
Speaker 1: on the year. He's really taken a step back. I remember,

1076
00:51:21,560 --> 00:51:23,200
Speaker 1: I think, I don't know if it was on your podcast.

1077
00:51:23,239 --> 00:51:25,920
Speaker 1: There a different radio one where I said, do not

1078
00:51:26,120 --> 00:51:29,160
Speaker 1: draft Blake Portals in the season long fantasy. And I'm

1079
00:51:29,160 --> 00:51:31,000
Speaker 1: sure someone listening to show right now is going well.

1080
00:51:31,040 --> 00:51:32,960
Speaker 1: He also said don't draft z Elliott, so you can't

1081
00:51:33,000 --> 00:51:35,600
Speaker 1: trust him. But and that's true. I was wrong about

1082
00:51:35,680 --> 00:51:38,280
Speaker 1: Zeke Elliott, but I was definitely we were on something

1083
00:51:38,320 --> 00:51:40,799
Speaker 1: with Blake Bortles. He has not been good at all,

1084
00:51:41,160 --> 00:51:44,840
Speaker 1: and I expect Denver to force him to force Bortles

1085
00:51:44,840 --> 00:51:47,120
Speaker 1: to turn the ball over and could lead to some

1086
00:51:47,239 --> 00:51:49,680
Speaker 1: sacks easily if they're getting pressure on him and he

1087
00:51:49,800 --> 00:51:52,800
Speaker 1: just decides not to throw it, takes the sack, or

1088
00:51:52,880 --> 00:51:54,719
Speaker 1: he might throw it and hopefully throw a pick six.

1089
00:51:55,400 --> 00:51:57,520
Speaker 1: All right, Moving over to stacks to close out the show.

1090
00:51:57,600 --> 00:51:59,960
Speaker 1: If you had to pick one stack for cash game,

1091
00:52:00,360 --> 00:52:03,759
Speaker 1: who do you trust the most? You know, interestingly enough,

1092
00:52:04,000 --> 00:52:06,960
Speaker 1: probably Matt Ryan and Julio Jones against the Chiefs. I

1093
00:52:07,040 --> 00:52:09,680
Speaker 1: mean they I think they have the safest floor going

1094
00:52:09,719 --> 00:52:12,640
Speaker 1: against the past defense that's allowing nine pass attempts to

1095
00:52:12,719 --> 00:52:15,880
Speaker 1: top wideouts a game, and in week four they let

1096
00:52:15,960 --> 00:52:18,879
Speaker 1: Abe score two touchdowns on them. Last week, Sanders put

1097
00:52:18,920 --> 00:52:21,000
Speaker 1: up one sixty two and a score. I know he's

1098
00:52:21,000 --> 00:52:23,439
Speaker 1: not considered their top wide out, but I mean he's

1099
00:52:23,960 --> 00:52:26,040
Speaker 1: You can make a case for him up there with Dton.

1100
00:52:26,800 --> 00:52:29,319
Speaker 1: Ryan should look for Julio a ton and he could

1101
00:52:29,320 --> 00:52:31,800
Speaker 1: also be going against Gaines, who has been struggling. So

1102
00:52:31,960 --> 00:52:34,640
Speaker 1: I think most people will just not want to touch

1103
00:52:34,680 --> 00:52:39,040
Speaker 1: an offense against the Chiefs, but Vegas thinks that they'll

1104
00:52:39,080 --> 00:52:41,800
Speaker 1: be fine, so and we think they'll be fine. So

1105
00:52:42,000 --> 00:52:44,080
Speaker 1: if you want to do that, go for it. And

1106
00:52:44,520 --> 00:52:46,920
Speaker 1: Atlanta is favored to win by five points in a

1107
00:52:47,360 --> 00:52:49,360
Speaker 1: over under a forty nine, which I think is the

1108
00:52:49,400 --> 00:52:52,480
Speaker 1: second highest on the whole slate. So don't just be

1109
00:52:52,600 --> 00:52:54,640
Speaker 1: too afraid of the Chiefs defense, although they are good.

1110
00:52:54,760 --> 00:52:57,160
Speaker 1: Julio Jones and Matt Ryan look like a very safe combo.

1111
00:52:57,640 --> 00:53:00,480
Speaker 1: For me, it's the Detroit stack. I just love going

1112
00:53:00,719 --> 00:53:04,000
Speaker 1: up against New Orleans. So I'm going Matthew Stafford, Marvin Jones,

1113
00:53:04,080 --> 00:53:06,399
Speaker 1: and Eric Ebron. I think that's a really safe play.

1114
00:53:06,680 --> 00:53:08,560
Speaker 1: I don't think that's going to win you any GPPs,

1115
00:53:08,680 --> 00:53:10,759
Speaker 1: but I definitely think it's going to get you in

1116
00:53:10,800 --> 00:53:13,160
Speaker 1: the money if you run with those three. All right, Now,

1117
00:53:13,200 --> 00:53:15,560
Speaker 1: what about a contrarian stack, someone that you think could

1118
00:53:15,719 --> 00:53:20,200
Speaker 1: maybe lead to a million dollar prize this weekend? Yeah, yeah,

1119
00:53:20,239 --> 00:53:22,560
Speaker 1: I don't know how contran It will be hopefully pretty

1120
00:53:22,560 --> 00:53:24,680
Speaker 1: good try. We think Russell Wilson and Doug Baldwin. We're

1121
00:53:24,680 --> 00:53:27,399
Speaker 1: gonna go right back to it after last week. How

1122
00:53:27,480 --> 00:53:30,200
Speaker 1: one week changes everyone's minds. It's funny because last week

1123
00:53:30,600 --> 00:53:33,640
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson was undoubtedly the best quarterback in a lot

1124
00:53:33,719 --> 00:53:37,520
Speaker 1: of people's minds, and now they're just like, how could

1125
00:53:37,520 --> 00:53:41,399
Speaker 1: you pick them? Again. And last week everyone thought those

1126
00:53:41,440 --> 00:53:43,920
Speaker 1: guys were going to dominate Tampa Bay all by themselves,

1127
00:53:44,120 --> 00:53:46,239
Speaker 1: and Tampa was somehow able to control the game more

1128
00:53:46,239 --> 00:53:48,880
Speaker 1: than anyone expected. But this week they go up against

1129
00:53:48,880 --> 00:53:51,640
Speaker 1: the Carolina team that's struggling even more. They've allowed three

1130
00:53:51,760 --> 00:53:53,919
Speaker 1: hundred and thirty eight yards through the air on the road,

1131
00:53:54,239 --> 00:53:56,680
Speaker 1: and they should be able to stop the Seattle running

1132
00:53:56,680 --> 00:53:59,840
Speaker 1: tack pretty well. I really don't think Thomas Rowles is

1133
00:53:59,840 --> 00:54:03,960
Speaker 1: a good The Seattle offensive line is not good, and

1134
00:54:04,120 --> 00:54:06,239
Speaker 1: that should give Wilson a lot of opportunities to throw

1135
00:54:06,280 --> 00:54:09,000
Speaker 1: the ball. If Seattle can keep Carolina's front line and

1136
00:54:09,120 --> 00:54:12,480
Speaker 1: check enough to give him time to throw, then Carolina

1137
00:54:12,480 --> 00:54:15,440
Speaker 1: will have to force blitz from the linebackers giving one

1138
00:54:15,480 --> 00:54:19,080
Speaker 1: on one coverage to Baldwin and hopefully Graham and Baldwin

1139
00:54:19,200 --> 00:54:22,799
Speaker 1: has shown so he's plays better against base four three

1140
00:54:22,880 --> 00:54:26,920
Speaker 1: defenses than any other type of defense, and Carolina is

1141
00:54:27,520 --> 00:54:30,240
Speaker 1: they are a four three based defense. So if Russell

1142
00:54:30,280 --> 00:54:32,640
Speaker 1: can use his legs, that should give him a nice floor.

1143
00:54:32,840 --> 00:54:34,400
Speaker 1: And I think this is the bounce back week for

1144
00:54:34,480 --> 00:54:37,320
Speaker 1: Doug Baldwin. I think he's got multiple touchdown upside and

1145
00:54:37,640 --> 00:54:39,880
Speaker 1: last week could keep his ownership a lot lower than

1146
00:54:39,960 --> 00:54:43,920
Speaker 1: it was last week when everyone got burned. Mike and

1147
00:54:44,000 --> 00:54:47,760
Speaker 1: Turing play and Philip Rivers is eighty two hundred dollars.

1148
00:54:47,880 --> 00:54:49,440
Speaker 1: A lot of people are going to be staying off.

1149
00:54:49,480 --> 00:54:51,680
Speaker 1: And even though he gets the Buccaneers. Plus, people are

1150
00:54:51,719 --> 00:54:53,799
Speaker 1: looking at the Buccaneers and they're saying, man, they were

1151
00:54:53,880 --> 00:54:57,040
Speaker 1: really good against Seattle last week, they were really really

1152
00:54:57,120 --> 00:55:00,160
Speaker 1: good two weeks before. Then, maybe this Buccaneers de to

1153
00:55:00,280 --> 00:55:02,480
Speaker 1: someone I should stay away from. I don't think so.

1154
00:55:02,640 --> 00:55:04,680
Speaker 1: I think this is gonna be a really high scoring game,

1155
00:55:04,880 --> 00:55:07,880
Speaker 1: maybe the second highest scoring game of the day. And

1156
00:55:08,000 --> 00:55:10,279
Speaker 1: I think Philip Rivers is going to be throwing the

1157
00:55:10,320 --> 00:55:13,280
Speaker 1: ball a ton, So I've got him stack with Dontrell

1158
00:55:13,360 --> 00:55:17,239
Speaker 1: Inman and Antonio Gates is my conturian play because you know,

1159
00:55:17,400 --> 00:55:20,799
Speaker 1: Gates has a way to get himself multiple touchdowns here

1160
00:55:20,840 --> 00:55:23,279
Speaker 1: and there. And if you get those three guys and

1161
00:55:23,400 --> 00:55:26,080
Speaker 1: they go off, nobody else is going to have that lineup.

1162
00:55:26,160 --> 00:55:28,280
Speaker 1: So I like it a lot. I'm gonna be penciling

1163
00:55:28,320 --> 00:55:30,279
Speaker 1: in one of those lineups and we'll see how it

1164
00:55:30,320 --> 00:55:32,920
Speaker 1: goes for me. Yeah, I like Gates. Also, he what

1165
00:55:33,000 --> 00:55:35,759
Speaker 1: did you put up zero last week? That should keep

1166
00:55:35,800 --> 00:55:37,759
Speaker 1: people off of them. And yeah, like you said, he's

1167
00:55:37,760 --> 00:55:40,880
Speaker 1: got tons of potential for multiple outside. I'm starting in

1168
00:55:41,080 --> 00:55:44,120
Speaker 1: my season long team again despite him burning me last week,

1169
00:55:44,640 --> 00:55:46,680
Speaker 1: and that team is playoff bound, so it's no joke,

1170
00:55:47,560 --> 00:55:49,239
Speaker 1: all right, justin Well, that's all the questions we have

1171
00:55:49,360 --> 00:55:51,560
Speaker 1: for you this week. Really appreciate you coming on, and

1172
00:55:51,680 --> 00:55:54,839
Speaker 1: hopefully Russell Wilson or whoever our quarterback is doesn't burn

1173
00:55:54,920 --> 00:55:58,040
Speaker 1: us again. Yeah sounds good. Thanks for having me our

1174
00:55:58,080 --> 00:56:00,440
Speaker 1: pleasure to take care And for those you listen, we

1175
00:56:00,520 --> 00:56:02,759
Speaker 1: have three more shows coming up next week, highlighted by

1176
00:56:02,800 --> 00:56:05,600
Speaker 1: Scott Pianowski and Chris Harris, who are coming on. Also

1177
00:56:05,760 --> 00:56:08,040
Speaker 1: jump on over to our baseball podcast. We're gonna be

1178
00:56:08,080 --> 00:56:10,799
Speaker 1: airing a couple offseason shows, one of them coming up

1179
00:56:10,880 --> 00:56:13,160
Speaker 1: early next week. To subscribe in iTunes to both these

1180
00:56:13,200 --> 00:56:16,080
Speaker 1: shows if you haven't already, we really appreciate it. Thanks

1181
00:56:16,120 --> 00:56:18,600
Speaker 1: for listening, and enjoy your football. I just want to

1182
00:56:18,640 --> 00:56:30,239
Speaker 1: let you to watch me this out. I don't even

1183
00:56:30,360 --> 00:56:32,919
Speaker 1: know what again the streets