WEBVTT - 🚨 BREAKING: Why Trump may be turning on House GOP with Jim Acosta, Adam Mockler, Abdul El-Sayed 0:00:02.800 --> 0:00:06.320 Live from the heart of the nation's capital is a 0:00:06.400 --> 0:00:08.600 Jim Acosta Show special report. 0:00:11.520 --> 0:00:13.239 All right, welcome to the Jim Acosta Show. 0:00:13.280 --> 0:00:16.680 We're less than three months, less than ninety days until 0:00:16.680 --> 0:00:20.160 the midterms coming up in November. This this is the 0:00:20.239 --> 0:00:22.480 nitty gritty and I've got a perfect guest to talk 0:00:22.480 --> 0:00:24.880 about it today, Steve Schmidt, our friend from Save America. 0:00:25.600 --> 0:00:30.760 And Steve, you've been in this position before. You've seen 0:00:30.760 --> 0:00:33.360 this movie before, the kind of the home stretch. We're 0:00:33.360 --> 0:00:35.680 not quite to Labor Day, which used to be the 0:00:36.120 --> 0:00:41.040 you know, the traditional kickoff of the campaign, and here 0:00:41.080 --> 0:00:43.920 we are. I think that one of the things we 0:00:43.920 --> 0:00:46.680 should dive into is Trump just did this interview with 0:00:46.760 --> 0:00:50.280 punch Bowl News during which he seemed to ignore the 0:00:50.280 --> 0:00:53.239 fact that he is deeply unpopular in this country. And 0:00:53.240 --> 0:00:55.600 I don't know if we showed this on screen, but 0:00:55.720 --> 0:00:58.920 he said it's congressional Republicans that have the problem right now. 0:00:58.920 --> 0:01:02.000 He says, Trump told us Trump's at GOP voters are 0:01:02.080 --> 0:01:05.160 very angry with congressional Republicans and he declined to back 0:01:05.480 --> 0:01:07.480 John Thune for Senate Majority Leader. 0:01:08.240 --> 0:01:12.000 Your thoughts on all this, Steve, like. 0:01:12.959 --> 0:01:16.200 Much of what Trump says there's an element of truth 0:01:16.800 --> 0:01:21.240 to what he said and a lot of delusion around 0:01:21.280 --> 0:01:24.520 what he said. And this is key if you're sitting 0:01:24.560 --> 0:01:31.200 around a strategy table around the DNC to understand a 0:01:31.280 --> 0:01:35.920 couple of core things about your opponent is number one, 0:01:36.920 --> 0:01:43.640 seventy percent of the country is against Trump. MAGA has 0:01:43.760 --> 0:01:50.240 fallen apart. The political coalition that elected him two years 0:01:50.280 --> 0:01:54.960 ago minus ninety days is gone. 0:01:55.760 --> 0:01:55.960 Yeah. 0:01:56.320 --> 0:02:00.080 If you took a glass and threw it against a 0:02:00.120 --> 0:02:04.640 brick wall and shattered it, that's what he did to 0:02:04.680 --> 0:02:12.959 his political coalition, Hispanic voters, Black voters, young men, all 0:02:13.040 --> 0:02:21.720 god ka boom. Now, part of Donald Trump's disease, what's 0:02:21.720 --> 0:02:27.480 wrong with him is that he doesn't understand the word no, 0:02:27.720 --> 0:02:31.919 and he has not heard it from anyone around him ever. 0:02:33.080 --> 0:02:37.919 And so nobody has told Donald Trump that the key 0:02:38.680 --> 0:02:43.160 to surviving the election is less Donald. What they have 0:02:43.320 --> 0:02:48.120 all told him is what the American people want is 0:02:48.240 --> 0:02:49.000 more Donald. 0:02:50.080 --> 0:02:55.920 The more you talk, the more rallies you do, the 0:02:56.040 --> 0:02:57.360 better off you'll be. 0:02:58.960 --> 0:03:01.480 And the reality of that is all it does is 0:03:01.600 --> 0:03:06.880 increase the rate of spin of the proverbial Republican plane 0:03:06.960 --> 0:03:10.640 upon which they are all on, which is auguring into 0:03:10.720 --> 0:03:13.040 the ground at warp Drive. 0:03:13.840 --> 0:03:19.080 Now, put that aside for just a second. 0:03:19.880 --> 0:03:24.080 When when Donald Trump goes out there and he says 0:03:24.200 --> 0:03:26.679 all of the things that he's saying, which is that 0:03:28.320 --> 0:03:34.600 Republicans voters are mad at the Republican leaders, Well, there 0:03:34.680 --> 0:03:39.680 is truth to that, because there is a dynamic of 0:03:39.720 --> 0:03:44.000 imploding political coalitions, of physics to it that is very 0:03:44.040 --> 0:03:49.720 similar to the collapse of a white star. The giant dwarf. 0:03:49.800 --> 0:03:54.000 Is that star collapses right on its way to becoming 0:03:54.040 --> 0:03:54.880 a black hole. 0:03:55.920 --> 0:04:01.760 It gets smaller. But does it get smaller, It. 0:04:01.720 --> 0:04:06.600 Gets denser, Yeah, denser, it gets hotter, it gets heavier. 0:04:07.080 --> 0:04:11.800 So as the party is getting smaller, what's left around 0:04:11.920 --> 0:04:16.320 him are the true fanatics, and every one of them 0:04:17.160 --> 0:04:22.599 his dead enders in that shrinking party, at that white heart, 0:04:22.640 --> 0:04:28.520 hot core, crazy base. Whose fault is it? It's John Thune's fault. Yeah, 0:04:28.560 --> 0:04:32.480 And so that's what he hears in a world where 0:04:33.279 --> 0:04:36.880 the last sycophant who talked to him is the one 0:04:36.880 --> 0:04:41.640 that matters most. And then he'll hear what he hears 0:04:41.640 --> 0:04:46.480 from Fox News, and that is the insanity of his cocoon. 0:04:47.720 --> 0:04:49.880 No, it's it's totally true. I mean, this is a 0:04:49.920 --> 0:04:57.360 Republican Senate this week that was persecuting doctor Fauci while 0:04:57.600 --> 0:05:01.839 advancing Todd Blanche. I mean that that sort of sums 0:05:01.880 --> 0:05:04.000 things up in a nutshell. It seems to me. 0:05:06.000 --> 0:05:11.520 I Todd Blanche is the most corrupt lawyer in American history, 0:05:11.600 --> 0:05:20.360 for none competitors or I suppose Pambondi who's ever held 0:05:20.400 --> 0:05:25.599 a high American government position. And it bears mentioning right 0:05:26.440 --> 0:05:30.880 that all of the top Nazis who planned the Wansea conference, 0:05:32.400 --> 0:05:35.440 who were there at the planning of the Holocaust. 0:05:34.800 --> 0:05:35.719 They were all lawyers. 0:05:37.520 --> 0:05:41.200 And there are a lot of incredible lawyers in America, 0:05:42.120 --> 0:05:43.080 but there are a lot. 0:05:42.920 --> 0:05:47.680 Of unethical lawyers. And the idea. 0:05:48.720 --> 0:05:53.320 Right for lay people like us who are not lawyers, 0:05:53.960 --> 0:05:57.000 who have respect for the bar in the rule of law, 0:05:58.440 --> 0:06:03.520 we have had. I think our delusions broke it. Yeah, 0:06:03.800 --> 0:06:09.200 there's such a thing as legal ethics, and so when 0:06:09.200 --> 0:06:12.280 you look at the repair job that has to be done, 0:06:13.760 --> 0:06:16.839 I don't think there is such a thing as legal ethics. 0:06:17.560 --> 0:06:22.960 I don't think the bar associations enforced legal ethics, and 0:06:23.040 --> 0:06:26.480 I think it's tough to maintain our democracy, our and 0:06:26.640 --> 0:06:30.080 our rule of law. The concept that no one's above 0:06:30.120 --> 0:06:34.240 it or below it unless we have legal ethics. There's 0:06:34.240 --> 0:06:36.200 an enormous societal novel. 0:06:36.760 --> 0:06:36.960 Yeah. 0:06:37.000 --> 0:06:39.360 I think that's a great observation, Steve. I mean, if 0:06:39.360 --> 0:06:43.480 there's one institution, I mean the media, it's they're sort 0:06:43.520 --> 0:06:46.560 of neck and neck the legal profession and the top 0:06:46.640 --> 0:06:49.120 law firms in this country and the corporate media in 0:06:49.120 --> 0:06:53.920 this country in terms of outright cowardice. And you know, 0:06:54.480 --> 0:06:57.640 you do have a couple of Republican senators and Susan Collinson, 0:06:57.720 --> 0:06:59.840 and I guess Lisa Murkowski has come out and said 0:07:00.160 --> 0:07:03.400 she's not going to support Todd Blanche and she said 0:07:03.400 --> 0:07:06.360 something very interesting in her tweet that she put out 0:07:06.800 --> 0:07:10.720 very early Friday morning this morning, in what she said 0:07:10.760 --> 0:07:14.680 that you know, the slush fund could obviously come back 0:07:14.720 --> 0:07:17.360 if he's confirmed. The reason why the slush fund is 0:07:17.440 --> 0:07:20.040 dead right now is, and she says this in her tweet, 0:07:20.120 --> 0:07:23.720 is because the Senate has leverage. And she's absolutely right, 0:07:24.120 --> 0:07:26.600 and that speaks to what you're saying, Steve, that that's 0:07:26.640 --> 0:07:30.360 how thoroughly corrupt this administration and this Justice Department is 0:07:30.440 --> 0:07:32.680 right now and Todd Blanche is right now because you 0:07:32.840 --> 0:07:35.320 have to assume that they are going to do the 0:07:35.360 --> 0:07:37.240 opposite of what they have pledged not to do. 0:07:38.400 --> 0:07:43.000 A few months ago, was hanging out one night and 0:07:43.680 --> 0:07:46.360 looking for something to watch, and I said to my wife, 0:07:46.920 --> 0:07:51.200 I've never watched Judgment at Nuremberg, and so we watched 0:07:51.240 --> 0:07:55.080 it and it was incredible. The final scene of the 0:07:55.120 --> 0:08:00.120 movie is Spencer Tracy is in this fictional account, but 0:08:00.160 --> 0:08:03.960 Spencer Tracy is the American judge. He's the presiding judge 0:08:04.600 --> 0:08:12.680 at the tribunal, and the Bert Lancaster character, if memory served, 0:08:12.800 --> 0:08:16.960 his name is Ernst Yawning, and Ernst Yawning in the 0:08:16.960 --> 0:08:25.480 movie is an esteemed German judge, a lawyer and jurist 0:08:25.920 --> 0:08:32.160 who collaborates with the Nazis, disdains the crudeness of the 0:08:32.280 --> 0:08:36.800 Nazis he's on trial with because he's a learned, areudite 0:08:37.360 --> 0:08:41.080 man who is deeply respected all over the world for 0:08:41.160 --> 0:08:44.040 his commitment to the rule of law and democracy. In 0:08:44.080 --> 0:08:48.480 any way, he's on trial for war crimes, and at 0:08:48.520 --> 0:08:52.120 the end, after he's been sentenced by Spencer Tracy, he 0:08:52.200 --> 0:08:55.800 asked to see him and his jail cell, and the 0:08:55.880 --> 0:09:00.560 American judge goes to see him, and Bert lank Castor 0:09:00.760 --> 0:09:05.640 expresses to Spencer Tracy that he believes that justice is done, 0:09:05.679 --> 0:09:10.400 but he wants to be understood, and he says to 0:09:10.440 --> 0:09:16.880 the Spencer Tracy character, you must understand that we didn't 0:09:16.920 --> 0:09:20.319 know that it would come to this. And the Spencer 0:09:20.400 --> 0:09:24.760 Tracy character responds to him. It says, Harry Yanning, it 0:09:24.880 --> 0:09:29.240 came to this in the first instant, that you sentenced 0:09:29.280 --> 0:09:34.760 an innocent man to death. The Department of Justice, in 0:09:34.840 --> 0:09:40.840 this malignant Trump presidency, under the corrupt administration of corrupt 0:09:40.920 --> 0:09:49.480 lawyers like Janine Piro Todd Blanche Pambondy, and corrupt officials 0:09:49.600 --> 0:09:53.960 like Christy nom who weaponized federal law enforcement agencies against 0:09:54.000 --> 0:10:00.840 the American people, have made it routine to harass, to prosecute, 0:10:01.520 --> 0:10:05.280 and try to lock up innocent people in the United 0:10:05.280 --> 0:10:09.440 States of America in twenty twenty six. It is the 0:10:09.440 --> 0:10:16.880 most fundamentally disqualifying conduct of any person who has ever 0:10:17.040 --> 0:10:22.560 been and associated with the Department of Justice, and that 0:10:22.640 --> 0:10:26.720 it would be tolerated by any United States senator in 0:10:26.880 --> 0:10:31.800 any party for any reason is inexcusable. And when there 0:10:31.800 --> 0:10:36.480 are people like Tom Tillis who says he's going to 0:10:36.640 --> 0:10:47.120 write a book exposing the degeneracy of the magot insiders, maggots. 0:10:47.200 --> 0:10:51.760 He calls them, he's a magot. He's on their team. 0:10:52.600 --> 0:10:57.840 He showers with Steven Miller. What doesn't Tom Tillis understand 0:10:57.920 --> 0:11:01.640 about that? He scratches his back, They share it out. 0:11:02.480 --> 0:11:04.520 Yeah, he missed his moment, He missed his chance. 0:11:04.559 --> 0:11:05.360 Are you kidding me? 0:11:05.760 --> 0:11:09.040 Yeah, to stand and deliver and he totally totally, uh 0:11:09.160 --> 0:11:09.760 chickened out. 0:11:10.000 --> 0:11:11.160 It's it's disgraceful. 0:11:11.320 --> 0:11:15.319 It's you had a you had a German general named 0:11:15.400 --> 0:11:21.040 Charlteats refused Hitler's order to burn Paris down, and charlt 0:11:21.080 --> 0:11:23.000 Eats it was no hero. 0:11:23.200 --> 0:11:28.760 He was a committed Nazi. Uh. In the end Uh. 0:11:28.840 --> 0:11:33.960 He he denounced the Nazis, talked about how they hypnotized 0:11:34.040 --> 0:11:36.960 everybody he went along. 0:11:37.960 --> 0:11:38.760 Uh. 0:11:38.800 --> 0:11:41.720 And he was no hero. And so there are some 0:11:41.960 --> 0:11:45.000 people that are not going to be heroes in this, 0:11:45.200 --> 0:11:48.800 but are going to make it stop, right Tom Tom 0:11:48.920 --> 0:11:51.360 Tillis is not one of those people. He'll never be 0:11:51.480 --> 0:11:53.640 a general Charlteats he is. 0:11:53.800 --> 0:11:54.560 He is a. 0:11:54.640 --> 0:12:03.880 First order collaborator in a poisonous, fruscistic political movement that 0:12:04.040 --> 0:12:08.240 is the singular gravest threat to the American Constitution into 0:12:08.320 --> 0:12:13.880 our liberty since the Confederate States of America on the 0:12:13.920 --> 0:12:15.959 second day of the Battle of Gettysburg. 0:12:17.520 --> 0:12:17.760 Yeah. 0:12:17.800 --> 0:12:21.240 I mean, you know, this is no profile encourage moment, 0:12:21.240 --> 0:12:23.920 There's no question about it. But let me ask you 0:12:23.960 --> 0:12:27.120 about how this campaign is shaping up right now, Steve, 0:12:27.160 --> 0:12:31.200 because you're you're accustomed to these tactics and messaging and 0:12:31.240 --> 0:12:33.840 so on. Trump is this was a headline on the 0:12:33.840 --> 0:12:37.000 Telegraph the other day. Trump is resurrecting the Red scare. 0:12:37.400 --> 0:12:40.920 He's tweeting that the Democrats are communists and all this stuff. 0:12:41.400 --> 0:12:46.199 And you know, he's going off on Abdul Ilsa yet 0:12:46.240 --> 0:12:48.679 and so on as being a communist and so on, 0:12:49.120 --> 0:12:50.400 and obviously he's not. 0:12:50.600 --> 0:12:51.360 That's not the case. 0:12:51.960 --> 0:12:55.400 And I would say ninety nine point nine nine percent 0:12:55.440 --> 0:13:00.120 of Democrats are not communists. It feels a little well, 0:13:01.400 --> 0:13:04.680 I don't know, like he's watched too many Arnold Schwarzenegger 0:13:04.720 --> 0:13:09.760 and Sylvester Stallone movies like or even predating that. I mean, 0:13:09.760 --> 0:13:13.200 it's just I don't see how this tactic works. What 0:13:13.240 --> 0:13:13.839 do you think? 0:13:14.240 --> 0:13:17.439 Well, so let's break it up. 0:13:17.760 --> 0:13:21.080 Yeah, this is going to be a banner year for 0:13:21.280 --> 0:13:27.240 democratic governors. Yeah, it's going to be a banner year 0:13:29.160 --> 0:13:37.280 for democratic congress people, House members. The Senate map under 0:13:37.320 --> 0:13:43.199 Schumer's leadership is much more complicated, and the reality is 0:13:44.080 --> 0:13:46.360 that there's a cost to the incompetence. 0:13:47.440 --> 0:13:48.920 And the. 0:13:50.800 --> 0:13:55.240 Senate majority was Democrats for the taking, but it looks 0:13:55.320 --> 0:13:58.319 increasingly like they're on a track to not get it, 0:13:59.080 --> 0:14:02.240 so they have to do some things differently. David Pluff 0:14:02.240 --> 0:14:05.840 in eight was running the McCain campaign. He said something 0:14:06.559 --> 0:14:09.240 that was deeply true, as you're coming down the stretch 0:14:09.240 --> 0:14:12.400 when you put all the bullshit aside, and he said, 0:14:12.400 --> 0:14:15.520 every day when we get up, I have more and 0:14:15.600 --> 0:14:21.320 more ways to win, and they have less. Our map 0:14:21.400 --> 0:14:26.920 is expanding and theirs is collapsing. What he was trying 0:14:26.960 --> 0:14:29.040 to say is that in a game where you're trying 0:14:29.040 --> 0:14:31.840 to throw a football through the tire, they were getting 0:14:31.880 --> 0:14:35.840 closer to the tire every day, and we were getting 0:14:35.880 --> 0:14:38.920 further from the tire every day. And on the last 0:14:39.040 --> 0:14:42.480 day they had to throw at six inches through the tire, 0:14:43.000 --> 0:14:45.360 and we had to throw at eighty yards through the tire, 0:14:46.120 --> 0:14:50.000 which was which was near, which was near impossible to do. 0:14:51.120 --> 0:14:55.280 Whatever you say about Abdul Elsayada, I'm going to try 0:14:55.320 --> 0:14:59.760 to take people through some of the discussions that take 0:15:00.360 --> 0:15:04.600 in the room that most people are ever able to 0:15:04.680 --> 0:15:09.120 be in about politics and what the calculus is. One 0:15:09.160 --> 0:15:12.760 of my favorite baseball players, Kevin Gossman of the Toronto 0:15:12.800 --> 0:15:16.880 Blue Jays, really a legend in the city, a great guy, 0:15:17.360 --> 0:15:20.320 you know, the type of character that you want to 0:15:20.440 --> 0:15:23.280 have right on any type of team. This is a 0:15:23.320 --> 0:15:28.000 guy who found out he was traded on the plane 0:15:28.720 --> 0:15:31.160 and rude to a city on the team that he's 0:15:31.200 --> 0:15:35.240 been on for five years. Right, So it's in that sense, Yeah, 0:15:35.520 --> 0:15:39.560 old analytical, I'm going to go through some of this stuff. 0:15:41.560 --> 0:15:49.240 The Susan Collins was a beatable candidate. I don't think 0:15:49.320 --> 0:15:53.280 the Democrats have a winning candidate in me. I think 0:15:53.360 --> 0:15:58.200 Maine is a disaster. It is a disaster that is 0:15:58.240 --> 0:16:02.880 not the Republican's fault. It's the Democrats fault. Main Democrats fault, 0:16:03.240 --> 0:16:08.560 It's Washington Democrats fault. So I don't think Republican I 0:16:08.600 --> 0:16:13.600 don't think Democrats are going to win there in Michigan. 0:16:14.320 --> 0:16:17.600 And you saw this phenomenon with Republicans in the early 0:16:17.680 --> 0:16:23.160 Key Party days where you had a candidate famously in 0:16:23.200 --> 0:16:25.840 twenty ten, Sharon Angle, the very. 0:16:25.760 --> 0:16:30.120 First person that was right. Yeah, I remember that to. 0:16:30.040 --> 0:16:30.680 Say that. 0:16:32.040 --> 0:16:35.080 Nine to eleven was an inside job, which was shocking 0:16:35.120 --> 0:16:37.280 at the time that I was aware of. Ever, with 0:16:37.400 --> 0:16:46.200 Sharon Angle, she lost in Michigan. You have the weakest 0:16:46.240 --> 0:16:51.440 of the three Democrats won in terms of a general election. 0:16:52.760 --> 0:16:58.320 But the reason he won is because the other candidate 0:16:58.440 --> 0:17:02.000 in the race was a Schumer Democrat. 0:17:02.320 --> 0:17:02.920 He was not. 0:17:04.040 --> 0:17:07.439 And had she said I'd cut my hand off before 0:17:07.440 --> 0:17:09.920 I made him leader again, then she would have won. 0:17:10.960 --> 0:17:13.680 Now you look then at how. 0:17:13.720 --> 0:17:16.280 So I think some people might disagree with Hailey Stevens. 0:17:16.520 --> 0:17:19.960 I mean she might have been they did. 0:17:20.000 --> 0:17:27.119 She was a weak candidate. And however on the polling, Yeah, 0:17:27.280 --> 0:17:32.119 the polling ran. He doesn't mean he can't win. Everything 0:17:32.200 --> 0:17:35.080 like in baseball, has a number. He was the weakest 0:17:35.160 --> 0:17:40.520 of the nominees in a general election, and he's behind 0:17:40.560 --> 0:17:44.840 in the race in a state with a Democratic senator 0:17:46.760 --> 0:17:51.760 that a Republican could win. Okay, now you look at 0:17:51.760 --> 0:17:55.840 the Montana Senate race, which is really now a four 0:17:55.920 --> 0:18:03.880 person race. The Democratic candidate is a life coach who 0:18:03.960 --> 0:18:10.280 promises eleven thousand percent returns on investments. With twenty three 0:18:10.440 --> 0:18:14.600 thousand dollars in the bank, I'm going to say something. 0:18:14.640 --> 0:18:18.480 I've never been wrong about this in my entire political career. 0:18:20.680 --> 0:18:26.280 I'm looking at her statements about her military record. She's 0:18:26.359 --> 0:18:32.320 exaggerating over and over again her record of military service. 0:18:32.359 --> 0:18:35.760 On the campaign trail. She claims to do things that 0:18:35.880 --> 0:18:40.520 she did not do. And I'm just very sensitive to 0:18:40.600 --> 0:18:46.480 that language of exaggeration and resume, embellishment and enhancement. 0:18:46.920 --> 0:18:49.960 You have an independent candidate who most of the. 0:18:49.960 --> 0:18:56.040 Democratic former governors and senators is behind, Guy Bodner, first 0:18:56.119 --> 0:18:59.560 in his class at West Point, Rhodes scholar, green Beret. 0:19:00.560 --> 0:19:03.800 All right, he can win that race. 0:19:03.600 --> 0:19:04.520 I bet him. Yeah. 0:19:04.600 --> 0:19:06.560 You have strong two. 0:19:07.119 --> 0:19:16.359 Democrats in in in UH the Deep South, black prosecutor 0:19:16.400 --> 0:19:18.200 Scott Colum and Mississippi. 0:19:18.720 --> 0:19:20.040 This matters in the state. 0:19:20.119 --> 0:19:25.000 Medde Evers and Fannie lou Hamer are from great candidate Louisiana. 0:19:25.119 --> 0:19:30.920 Jamie Davis, a a African American, a farmer. You look 0:19:30.960 --> 0:19:35.040 at the South Carolina race, Annie Andrews. You look at 0:19:35.040 --> 0:19:37.560 the Iowa race. You look at the Alaska race. 0:19:37.880 --> 0:19:40.320 Yeah, Josh Turik and Iowa absolutely. Mary. 0:19:41.560 --> 0:19:45.720 Look at you look at the nominee a Democratic pastor 0:19:45.760 --> 0:19:50.240 in Kansas, Tela Rico is running strong right now. But 0:19:50.400 --> 0:19:53.280 Democrats are going to have to expand the map. 0:19:53.880 --> 0:19:58.200 Yeah, right, the Republicans to spend the Money's another. 0:19:58.040 --> 0:20:00.760 Because what I think is going to happen is I 0:20:00.800 --> 0:20:05.639 think MAGA and Republican turnout is going to collapse, and 0:20:05.720 --> 0:20:09.359 I think Hispanic and Black turnout is going to be 0:20:09.440 --> 0:20:13.800 at a record high everywhere in the country, and Democratic 0:20:13.880 --> 0:20:16.920 turnout is going to be at a record high. So 0:20:16.960 --> 0:20:20.720 I think the combination of the collapse of MAGA turnout, 0:20:22.119 --> 0:20:25.720 a surge of Democratic turnout there's nothing to do with 0:20:25.800 --> 0:20:31.280 the Democratic Party, and a surge of black turnout in 0:20:31.359 --> 0:20:36.960 the Deep South, and of Hispanic turnout, including in Iowa, 0:20:37.560 --> 0:20:41.080 is going to be determinative in a number of these 0:20:41.119 --> 0:20:48.679 different different states. But the strategy by Team Schumer is 0:20:48.800 --> 0:20:49.919 right at the Iceberg. 0:20:50.640 --> 0:20:53.240 Yeah, And so the Senate is. 0:20:53.359 --> 0:20:59.119 Vastly underperforming where they should be in these national in 0:20:59.160 --> 0:21:00.680 these national rings. 0:21:01.119 --> 0:21:02.160 Yeah, I mean, we'll see. 0:21:02.200 --> 0:21:07.920 I mean we were getting contacted by the Halle Schoffner campaign. 0:21:08.080 --> 0:21:11.080 She is a Democrat running for the Senate in Arkansas 0:21:11.119 --> 0:21:14.280 against Tom Cotton. They have an internal poll that shows 0:21:14.320 --> 0:21:18.040 that she's pretty tight with Tom Cotton. Who knows whether 0:21:18.160 --> 0:21:22.200 or not that actually pans out. But I think that 0:21:22.280 --> 0:21:24.800 this big term cycle is going to be extremely hard 0:21:24.800 --> 0:21:27.000 to predict. And I think that there are a number 0:21:27.040 --> 0:21:29.520 of Senate seats. I mean you mentioned Maine where yes, 0:21:29.560 --> 0:21:35.480 they obviously they don't have the best situation going in 0:21:35.520 --> 0:21:37.679 Maine right now, that there's no question about it, but 0:21:37.720 --> 0:21:40.120 they may pick up seats in places that we Democrats 0:21:40.119 --> 0:21:43.720 weren't dreaming about six months ago, places like Iowa, Alaska, 0:21:44.720 --> 0:21:47.560 you mentioned Mississippi. I think it's very possible that this 0:21:47.680 --> 0:21:50.280 is going to shake out a lot, a lot differently 0:21:50.320 --> 0:21:52.240 than maybe we think right now. But Steve, great to 0:21:52.240 --> 0:21:57.320 see my man, Jim as always, and we'll do this. 0:21:57.240 --> 0:21:59.880 Again, hopefully next Friday. You got it all right? 0:22:00.200 --> 0:22:03.520 It's oh shpitt, it's for thanks, Steve, appreciate it. 0:22:03.640 --> 0:22:05.359 Good to see man. All right. 0:22:05.440 --> 0:22:10.000 Let's I want to get, you know, a slightly more 0:22:10.000 --> 0:22:13.960 youthful perspective than myself and Steve. We've had Adam on before. 0:22:14.040 --> 0:22:17.119 Let's bring him back in. He has some thoughts, Adam, 0:22:17.160 --> 0:22:18.320 how are you good to see you? 0:22:18.720 --> 0:22:19.440 I'm doing well? 0:22:19.480 --> 0:22:19.960 Can you hear me? 0:22:20.000 --> 0:22:20.400 All right? 0:22:20.760 --> 0:22:22.920 You sound good? Yeah, Well, we might need to turn 0:22:22.920 --> 0:22:24.120 you up a little bit slightly. 0:22:24.359 --> 0:22:25.719 Is a possible, am my closer. 0:22:25.760 --> 0:22:28.240 I'm on the last day of my vacation, finally took 0:22:28.240 --> 0:22:29.600 a week off, and I'm really happy to be here. 0:22:29.600 --> 0:22:31.040 Thank you for having me on. How have you been doing. 0:22:31.440 --> 0:22:33.199 I've been doing great. It's good to see you. It's 0:22:33.200 --> 0:22:35.240 good to see you. 0:22:35.240 --> 0:22:35.359 Now. 0:22:35.520 --> 0:22:39.600 I say youthful to kidding Lee a little bit, just 0:22:39.600 --> 0:22:41.840 to poke fun at me and Steve for being old guys. 0:22:41.840 --> 0:22:46.400 But but Adam, you saw what took place in Michigan. 0:22:46.960 --> 0:22:49.520 You know, Steve and others in the pro democracy movement 0:22:49.520 --> 0:22:53.399 I think have concerns as to whether you know this 0:22:53.480 --> 0:22:55.680 candidate here, this candidate there is going to perform as 0:22:55.680 --> 0:22:59.680 well as perhaps people hope. You know, I will say 0:22:59.680 --> 0:23:01.400 that I think a lot of people were making these 0:23:01.480 --> 0:23:05.640 kinds of predictions and statements about abdulah Sayed, and then 0:23:05.640 --> 0:23:08.200 I saw the way he performed out on the campaign trail. 0:23:08.359 --> 0:23:12.760 He beat the Schumer machine in Michigan. And yes, the 0:23:12.880 --> 0:23:15.280 race was a little tighter than maybe the polls were showing. 0:23:16.040 --> 0:23:18.520 But he's a pretty dynamic candidate and I think he's 0:23:18.560 --> 0:23:20.840 got a real strong chance of holding onto that seat. 0:23:21.359 --> 0:23:23.680 And that's not to mention all of the other Senate 0:23:23.720 --> 0:23:25.280 seats that are suddenly now in play. 0:23:25.800 --> 0:23:27.400 How do you see this, Shagana? What did you think 0:23:27.400 --> 0:23:27.960 of Michigan? 0:23:28.680 --> 0:23:30.960 I thought that the Michigan race was a really good 0:23:31.080 --> 0:23:34.119 microcosm of the way the Democratic Party has been feeling lately. 0:23:34.160 --> 0:23:35.639 So you're right to point out that the race was 0:23:35.680 --> 0:23:39.040 a lot closer than many people online predicted. But I 0:23:39.080 --> 0:23:42.479 think that a candidate like abdual Lsied winning really shows 0:23:42.520 --> 0:23:45.200 how hungry people are for change, not just young people, well, 0:23:45.200 --> 0:23:48.200 people across the Democratic base. They want a candidate who 0:23:48.240 --> 0:23:51.040 is pushing for real change. I mean, it's the same 0:23:51.040 --> 0:23:53.240 thing that Trump was able to capitalize off of being 0:23:53.280 --> 0:23:56.880 a change agent. There's a lot of reductive analysis saying 0:23:56.920 --> 0:23:59.600 that the Democratic Party is moving far left and voting 0:23:59.600 --> 0:24:02.600 for the far left candidates. First of all, Abdul Lsayed 0:24:02.880 --> 0:24:05.720 is a capitalist. He is a self described capitalist who 0:24:06.040 --> 0:24:08.639 is more progressive than many elected Democrats, but he is 0:24:08.640 --> 0:24:13.160 by no means a DSA socialist or communist. Secondly, it's 0:24:13.200 --> 0:24:16.000 reductive to say that the party is moving just left 0:24:16.040 --> 0:24:18.639 or left or because it's not happening. Are candidates that 0:24:18.640 --> 0:24:22.000 are rising to power, people like Abigail Spanberger and people 0:24:22.040 --> 0:24:24.920 like Andy Basher, and people like Zobron Mamdannie and people 0:24:24.920 --> 0:24:27.560 like Abdul Lsayed. We are expanding the tent and we 0:24:27.600 --> 0:24:30.520 are making sure that Americans are heard. I mean, young 0:24:30.560 --> 0:24:33.800 people in particular are growing up in institutions where they're 0:24:33.840 --> 0:24:36.080 just not really working for us. At times, a lot 0:24:36.080 --> 0:24:38.120 of young people are getting farther and farther away from 0:24:38.119 --> 0:24:41.200 buying a house. They're accumulating more and more medical debt, 0:24:41.440 --> 0:24:44.520 more and more healthcareacter. So when we're accumulating this debt 0:24:44.600 --> 0:24:47.320 and we're not capital positive, then why would be Why 0:24:47.320 --> 0:24:49.879 would young people be loyal to a system that is 0:24:50.119 --> 0:24:53.240 very much reliant on capital I describe myself as a capitalist. 0:24:53.280 --> 0:24:55.280 I think capitalism is the best system. I think there 0:24:55.320 --> 0:24:56.960 needs to be some sort of checks on at times 0:24:57.000 --> 0:24:59.719 that should not be unfettered. However, you can't expect young 0:24:59.760 --> 0:25:02.679 people well to be infinitely loyal to a system that 0:25:02.760 --> 0:25:05.320 hasn't been loyal to them. So when people are gravitating 0:25:05.359 --> 0:25:08.679 towards Zoron Mamdani or more DSA candidates, we have to 0:25:08.720 --> 0:25:11.240 analyze this through the actual lens of what's happening. And 0:25:11.280 --> 0:25:13.840 it's not as reductive as oh, young people are radical. 0:25:14.760 --> 0:25:18.119 Yeah, No, I hear you, and I will say, you know, 0:25:18.200 --> 0:25:21.960 I'm the son of a human refugee. And so, you know, 0:25:22.000 --> 0:25:24.480 there's the old expression about socialism that you know, it 0:25:24.520 --> 0:25:27.560 spreads the money around until there isn't money anymore. And 0:25:28.000 --> 0:25:30.399 you know, I suppose that applies more to communism. But 0:25:30.440 --> 0:25:33.000 the way I look at some of these DSA candidates 0:25:33.920 --> 0:25:38.679 is that they sort of are are interested in a system, 0:25:38.720 --> 0:25:41.280 an economic system that's closer to what we see in Scandinavia, 0:25:41.320 --> 0:25:43.240 where you have national health care, where you have a 0:25:43.240 --> 0:25:46.920 better you know, social safety net, retirement system, that kind 0:25:46.920 --> 0:25:49.200 of thing, which I don't think is all together terrible. 0:25:49.240 --> 0:25:50.320 I mean, we spend a. 0:25:50.280 --> 0:25:53.400 Trillion dollars or more on national defense, and we don't 0:25:53.400 --> 0:25:55.159 have national health care in this country, and you have 0:25:55.200 --> 0:25:58.760