1 00:00:00,760 --> 00:00:03,720 Speaker 1: Hey guys, ready or not, twenty twenty four is here 2 00:00:03,880 --> 00:00:06,320 Speaker 1: and we here at breaking points, are already thinking of 3 00:00:06,400 --> 00:00:08,600 Speaker 1: ways we can up our game for this critical election. 4 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:11,719 Speaker 2: We rely on our premium subs to expand coverage, upgrade 5 00:00:11,760 --> 00:00:15,880 Speaker 2: the studio ad staff, give you, guys the best independent coverage. 6 00:00:15,560 --> 00:00:16,239 Speaker 3: That is possible. 7 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:18,279 Speaker 2: If you like what we're all about, it just means 8 00:00:18,320 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 2: the absolute world to have your support. But enough with that, 9 00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:41,559 Speaker 2: let's get to the show. Every Good morning, everybody, it 10 00:00:41,640 --> 00:00:43,440 Speaker 2: is Tuesday. We have a great show for everyone today, 11 00:00:43,479 --> 00:00:45,360 Speaker 2: Ryan stepping in for Crystals. Good to see my friend, 12 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 2: Nice to see you too, Absolutely god well, counterpoints, crossover, 13 00:00:48,920 --> 00:00:51,280 Speaker 2: bro show, whatever you guys want to call it. Who 14 00:00:51,320 --> 00:00:54,960 Speaker 2: many people are saying for the BP Extended Universe. 15 00:00:55,040 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 3: But we do have quite a bit to get into today. 16 00:00:57,800 --> 00:01:01,120 Speaker 2: We're going to start with the US military warning about 17 00:01:01,240 --> 00:01:04,520 Speaker 2: multiple possible attacks on the United States. In addition to 18 00:01:04,880 --> 00:01:08,280 Speaker 2: already realized attacks in the air, we also have a 19 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:11,240 Speaker 2: hostage situation which is developing in which two have been 20 00:01:11,280 --> 00:01:15,119 Speaker 2: released from Hamas so far. These are actual Israeli citizens, 21 00:01:15,160 --> 00:01:18,280 Speaker 2: possible future ones that will happen as well. Fears though 22 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:22,240 Speaker 2: also of what the ground invasion will look like warnings 23 00:01:22,280 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 2: even coming from Tucker Carlson, which is kind of interesting 24 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:28,399 Speaker 2: the speaker fight. Ryan, You're gonna use your extensive congressional 25 00:01:28,440 --> 00:01:30,440 Speaker 2: knowledge in order to update us on what the hell 26 00:01:30,520 --> 00:01:30,920 Speaker 2: is going on. 27 00:01:31,080 --> 00:01:33,720 Speaker 4: Tell you the next nine guys who are next speaker. 28 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:35,760 Speaker 2: Nine guys who will not be a speaker, Well said Trump, 29 00:01:35,800 --> 00:01:39,319 Speaker 2: also making a hilarious comment on the situation. We've got 30 00:01:39,319 --> 00:01:43,480 Speaker 2: some confirmation about Nordstream pipeline and a so called unnamed 31 00:01:43,480 --> 00:01:47,000 Speaker 2: group called the CIA and its involvement there in the bombing, 32 00:01:47,080 --> 00:01:48,760 Speaker 2: as well as a little bit of an update on 33 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:50,720 Speaker 2: what's going on in that war. We can't take our 34 00:01:50,720 --> 00:01:53,280 Speaker 2: eye off that. Also, a story I've been totally obsessed 35 00:01:53,320 --> 00:01:55,600 Speaker 2: with is that there was an attempt at hijacking here 36 00:01:55,640 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 2: in the United States by an off duty pilot. I mean, 37 00:01:58,960 --> 00:02:00,960 Speaker 2: I don't even know if hijacking is a right word, 38 00:02:01,000 --> 00:02:03,080 Speaker 2: but he's an off duty pilot. He was inside of 39 00:02:03,080 --> 00:02:05,960 Speaker 2: the cockpit. He tried to shut the engines down and 40 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:09,160 Speaker 2: bring the plane down. Ryan, It's an absolutely insane story 41 00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:11,440 Speaker 2: and shock that it's not getting enough media attention. 42 00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:13,600 Speaker 4: In this Sager story, ever, we're gonna have some audio 43 00:02:13,600 --> 00:02:14,520 Speaker 4: from the cockpit. 44 00:02:15,040 --> 00:02:17,200 Speaker 2: Audio from the cockpit of which we'll be able to play. 45 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:20,280 Speaker 2: And then finally we will be doing a discussion. We 46 00:02:20,360 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 2: have to bring some fun back to the show. Killers 47 00:02:22,760 --> 00:02:23,480 Speaker 2: of the Flower Moon. 48 00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:25,680 Speaker 3: Is it good? Is it not good? As well as some. 49 00:02:26,560 --> 00:02:29,480 Speaker 4: Update nineteenth century genocide rather than twenty first century. 50 00:02:29,520 --> 00:02:33,320 Speaker 2: So starting off hot, all right, let's start in terms 51 00:02:33,360 --> 00:02:36,680 Speaker 2: of the US military as we gave you guys and update. 52 00:02:36,760 --> 00:02:38,000 Speaker 3: So what is happening. 53 00:02:38,040 --> 00:02:42,720 Speaker 2: There was an attack on American forces by drones across 54 00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:45,200 Speaker 2: the Middle East yesterday. Let's put this up there on 55 00:02:45,400 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 2: the screen. This comes after a spate of further attacks. 56 00:02:48,360 --> 00:02:51,600 Speaker 2: This one was inside of Syria at the Altana base, 57 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 2: where US military has had well it's an unknown number 58 00:02:55,639 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 2: of forces now for quite some time. It also happens 59 00:02:58,680 --> 00:03:01,680 Speaker 2: after the drone attack the Al Assad air base by 60 00:03:01,680 --> 00:03:03,840 Speaker 2: this great map that our team is put together and 61 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:07,919 Speaker 2: includes of course that incident with the USS Carney off 62 00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:11,040 Speaker 2: of the coast of Yemen in which they shot down 63 00:03:11,160 --> 00:03:15,680 Speaker 2: multiple Iranian drones and missiles that they say were headed 64 00:03:15,680 --> 00:03:18,520 Speaker 2: towards Israel. So this is just the latest attack on 65 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:22,040 Speaker 2: American forces. Luckily, so far, Ryan, we don't know that 66 00:03:22,080 --> 00:03:25,400 Speaker 2: anybody was killed in the incident. Recall that one American 67 00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:27,960 Speaker 2: contractor actually died of a heart attack in the last 68 00:03:28,200 --> 00:03:31,120 Speaker 2: attack actually on the base inside of Iraq, and it 69 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:35,200 Speaker 2: just highlights how vulnerable American forces are. It also comes 70 00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:39,160 Speaker 2: at a time with some very bellicos and troubling rhetoric 71 00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:43,200 Speaker 2: from the Pentagon where they say we expect significant escalation 72 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:44,520 Speaker 2: against US troops. 73 00:03:44,640 --> 00:03:45,480 Speaker 3: Let's take a listen. 74 00:03:46,360 --> 00:03:52,240 Speaker 5: What we're seeing is the prospect of a significant escalation 75 00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:57,280 Speaker 5: of attacks on our troops and our people throughout the region, 76 00:03:58,520 --> 00:04:02,080 Speaker 5: and because of that, we're going to do what's necessary 77 00:04:02,160 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 5: to make sure that our troops are in the right 78 00:04:06,320 --> 00:04:06,960 Speaker 5: good position. 79 00:04:07,200 --> 00:04:10,720 Speaker 6: We saw the USS Carney take down those three Houthy 80 00:04:10,840 --> 00:04:15,960 Speaker 6: missiles hooth these again that's an Iranian backed group in Yemen, 81 00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:22,520 Speaker 6: and also several drones. Was that takedown defending our ships 82 00:04:22,520 --> 00:04:24,160 Speaker 6: in the region or was it defending Israel? 83 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:29,800 Speaker 5: Jonathan, When you have Cruz missiles heading towards one of 84 00:04:29,800 --> 00:04:33,320 Speaker 5: our DDGs, one of our destroyers, that vessel is going 85 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:35,400 Speaker 5: to do what it needs to do to protect itself. 86 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:38,320 Speaker 3: So he says that missile will do what protect itself. 87 00:04:38,400 --> 00:04:40,560 Speaker 2: Ryan, last thing I'll say before I get your reaction 88 00:04:40,839 --> 00:04:43,919 Speaker 2: is just late last night, senior US defense official telling 89 00:04:43,960 --> 00:04:47,000 Speaker 2: reporters here in Washington, they are preparing quote for a 90 00:04:47,120 --> 00:04:51,440 Speaker 2: much more significant escalation against US forces and personnel in 91 00:04:51,480 --> 00:04:52,000 Speaker 2: the Middle East. 92 00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:52,320 Speaker 3: Quote. 93 00:04:52,400 --> 00:04:55,400 Speaker 2: Let's be clear about it, the road leads back to Iran. 94 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:58,240 Speaker 2: So we brought everybody to the news yesterday about missile defenses. 95 00:04:58,440 --> 00:05:01,200 Speaker 2: We've now had multiple, i believe four separate instances of 96 00:05:01,240 --> 00:05:04,479 Speaker 2: attacks on American service members in the region. These are 97 00:05:04,520 --> 00:05:07,200 Speaker 2: just warning shots if they wanted to kill them. Unfortunately, 98 00:05:07,240 --> 00:05:09,920 Speaker 2: they wouldn't certainly have the capability. And then the most 99 00:05:09,960 --> 00:05:12,480 Speaker 2: significant is the USS Carney's involvement so far. 100 00:05:12,600 --> 00:05:13,200 Speaker 3: What do you think? 101 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:20,119 Speaker 4: And so Yonatan Tuval, who's an Israeli analyst, yesterday broke 102 00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:24,200 Speaker 4: some news related to what you're talking about, the delaying 103 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:27,520 Speaker 4: the ground invasions to prepare for this escalation. His gloss 104 00:05:27,520 --> 00:05:29,160 Speaker 4: on it was he was saying that a US official 105 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:32,320 Speaker 4: confirms to me key reason for the IDF ground invasion 106 00:05:32,360 --> 00:05:36,000 Speaker 4: delay is a US request to complete preparations for a 107 00:05:36,040 --> 00:05:38,720 Speaker 4: broader conflict, which is similar to the way that you're 108 00:05:38,760 --> 00:05:43,200 Speaker 4: hearing it framed in the United States, but not quite Yes, 109 00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:45,280 Speaker 4: And I think his read is a little bit more 110 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:49,400 Speaker 4: accurate so the US expects that the Israeli ground invasion 111 00:05:49,560 --> 00:05:53,719 Speaker 4: into Gaza is then going to launch a broader regional war. 112 00:05:53,839 --> 00:05:55,560 Speaker 4: The US has been saying, we'd like to use to 113 00:05:55,600 --> 00:05:58,279 Speaker 4: delay this ground invasion so that we can get humanitarian 114 00:05:58,360 --> 00:06:01,600 Speaker 4: relief into Gaza at hostages and the hostages out. This 115 00:06:01,640 --> 00:06:04,560 Speaker 4: suggests that no, that's not what's going on. That they 116 00:06:04,560 --> 00:06:07,400 Speaker 4: fear that this ground invasion is going to cause this 117 00:06:07,440 --> 00:06:09,520 Speaker 4: bigger regional war, and so they want to get their 118 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:13,120 Speaker 4: assets in place. But what getting assets in place does. 119 00:06:13,200 --> 00:06:16,120 Speaker 4: What does it do? It triples quadruples, quin couples the 120 00:06:16,200 --> 00:06:22,080 Speaker 4: number of targets that Iranian backed militias and elements and 121 00:06:22,080 --> 00:06:24,960 Speaker 4: fighters around the region have to target. That great math 122 00:06:25,000 --> 00:06:28,360 Speaker 4: that we had earlier. That's the consequence of our last 123 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:30,960 Speaker 4: twenty thirty years of policy in the Middle East. We 124 00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:33,760 Speaker 4: have troops in northern Iraq, we have troops and western Iraq, 125 00:06:33,760 --> 00:06:37,039 Speaker 4: we have troops in Syria. We've got assets now in 126 00:06:37,080 --> 00:06:41,640 Speaker 4: the around Yemen and around the Mediterranean. Each one of 127 00:06:41,680 --> 00:06:47,120 Speaker 4: those becomes then a leverage point for Iran and its allies. 128 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:49,200 Speaker 4: They don't need to conquer us, what they need to 129 00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:52,279 Speaker 4: do is cause us damage, which then causes us to respond. 130 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:54,120 Speaker 3: That's a very well good way of putting it. 131 00:06:54,160 --> 00:06:56,080 Speaker 2: And you know, unfortunately that map didn't even have all 132 00:06:56,120 --> 00:06:58,080 Speaker 2: the assets that we play. Actually, I think we put 133 00:06:58,120 --> 00:07:02,240 Speaker 2: one up yesterday that showed everybody just the sheer number 134 00:07:02,360 --> 00:07:05,440 Speaker 2: of thousands of American service members, and not to even 135 00:07:05,480 --> 00:07:08,560 Speaker 2: mention all the citizens who live in the region, which 136 00:07:08,560 --> 00:07:11,400 Speaker 2: are all soft targets. At the same time, the United 137 00:07:11,440 --> 00:07:15,520 Speaker 2: States is now sending even more active duty US troops 138 00:07:15,560 --> 00:07:18,200 Speaker 2: in addition to the two thousand Marines, in addition to 139 00:07:18,280 --> 00:07:21,240 Speaker 2: the two carrier strike groups. Here is the Presidential aid 140 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:22,559 Speaker 2: John Kirby giving an update. 141 00:07:22,640 --> 00:07:23,360 Speaker 3: Let's take a listen. 142 00:07:23,960 --> 00:07:26,080 Speaker 7: We have said from the very beginning, we don't want 143 00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:28,320 Speaker 7: to see any actor try to take advantage of the 144 00:07:28,360 --> 00:07:31,280 Speaker 7: situation to widen or deepen the conflict, and that certainly 145 00:07:31,320 --> 00:07:34,400 Speaker 7: includes his BLUA, And that's why the President has added 146 00:07:34,440 --> 00:07:38,080 Speaker 7: additional military forces to the region and more forces will 147 00:07:38,120 --> 00:07:41,400 Speaker 7: be coming in days and weeks ahead to try to 148 00:07:41,440 --> 00:07:44,840 Speaker 7: deter any actor from widening or deeping this conflict. 149 00:07:45,800 --> 00:07:49,120 Speaker 2: So with more troops, more forces, and even more on 150 00:07:49,160 --> 00:07:51,080 Speaker 2: top of that, I mean, what is the number they're 151 00:07:51,120 --> 00:07:53,760 Speaker 2: not even telling us, Ryan, We've got thousands in Iraq 152 00:07:53,840 --> 00:07:56,000 Speaker 2: and Syria as far as we know, the official number 153 00:07:56,280 --> 00:07:58,840 Speaker 2: is classified. Also, they get around it because as we 154 00:07:58,880 --> 00:08:01,400 Speaker 2: found out when that contract died, half these guys, maybe 155 00:08:01,400 --> 00:08:02,600 Speaker 2: even more, are contractors. 156 00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 3: So it means you don't have to disclose it. 157 00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:06,520 Speaker 2: Are they are they there for the military though, Yeah, 158 00:08:06,560 --> 00:08:08,120 Speaker 2: so they to me, might as well they can. 159 00:08:08,400 --> 00:08:09,160 Speaker 3: So what does that mean? 160 00:08:09,280 --> 00:08:11,160 Speaker 2: So we've got thousands of guys in Iraq and Syriam, 161 00:08:11,240 --> 00:08:13,800 Speaker 2: We've got thousands of guys in Bahrain, We've got thousands 162 00:08:13,800 --> 00:08:18,200 Speaker 2: of guys in naval assets now, carrier strike group, everybody 163 00:08:18,320 --> 00:08:21,080 Speaker 2: sitting off the coast. None of this even factors in 164 00:08:21,160 --> 00:08:24,760 Speaker 2: the base that we have in Doha. In Tatar who 165 00:08:24,800 --> 00:08:26,880 Speaker 2: knows how many people there are. I mean, yeah, it 166 00:08:26,920 --> 00:08:28,720 Speaker 2: was thousands whenever I live there, probably, I think it's 167 00:08:28,760 --> 00:08:31,680 Speaker 2: probably doubled ever since then. So you put all these together, 168 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:34,560 Speaker 2: and I'm looking at target, target, target target, where you 169 00:08:34,640 --> 00:08:38,720 Speaker 2: don't need a medium range ballistic missile to kill these people. 170 00:08:39,080 --> 00:08:43,160 Speaker 2: All you need is a slightly more SICI rocket and 171 00:08:43,320 --> 00:08:48,360 Speaker 2: launch it from any Iraqi or Shia militia that Iran 172 00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:50,280 Speaker 2: has been now been controlling for twenty years. 173 00:08:50,320 --> 00:08:52,000 Speaker 3: I mean, this is a total nightmare. 174 00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:54,160 Speaker 2: And if you don't, you know, believe us, just ask 175 00:08:54,280 --> 00:08:56,600 Speaker 2: the five hundred or so American soldiers who were killed 176 00:08:56,600 --> 00:08:59,199 Speaker 2: by Iranian backed technology when we were in Iraq. 177 00:08:59,240 --> 00:09:01,079 Speaker 3: The Iranian government didn't have to do anything. 178 00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:03,360 Speaker 2: All they had to do was give like a particularly 179 00:09:03,400 --> 00:09:07,400 Speaker 2: sophisticated ied to their proxies, and hundreds of our servicemens 180 00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:11,120 Speaker 2: were killed who untold thousands were wounded and untold tens 181 00:09:11,120 --> 00:09:13,280 Speaker 2: of thousands suffering PTSD as a result of that. 182 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:18,000 Speaker 4: And there's a fundamental irrationality behind what Kirby is saying there, 183 00:09:18,000 --> 00:09:21,080 Speaker 4: and just a lack of thought or belief that the 184 00:09:21,160 --> 00:09:24,000 Speaker 4: United States has any agency in this situation. It's it's 185 00:09:24,040 --> 00:09:27,240 Speaker 4: such a strange thing to watch unfold because here he 186 00:09:27,320 --> 00:09:31,079 Speaker 4: is saying, listen, if you're out there, we want you 187 00:09:31,120 --> 00:09:32,839 Speaker 4: to know, if you're an actor, you better not take 188 00:09:32,880 --> 00:09:37,800 Speaker 4: advantage of this situation, just kind of hoping that Iran 189 00:09:37,840 --> 00:09:42,240 Speaker 4: and its allies in the region, you don't undermine what 190 00:09:42,280 --> 00:09:45,959 Speaker 4: the United States and Israel want to do in Gozen 191 00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:48,319 Speaker 4: in the Middle East, without thinking, well, what could the 192 00:09:48,400 --> 00:09:52,200 Speaker 4: United States do to stave off what they say they 193 00:09:52,200 --> 00:09:54,280 Speaker 4: don't want to happen? Because I think we should take 194 00:09:54,320 --> 00:09:56,400 Speaker 4: the US at its word in the sense that there 195 00:09:56,440 --> 00:10:00,360 Speaker 4: actually is no broader interest that the US has as 196 00:10:01,080 --> 00:10:04,320 Speaker 4: in having a regional war in the Middle East right now, 197 00:10:04,880 --> 00:10:07,840 Speaker 4: Like you can say, Okay, there are elements of northern 198 00:10:07,960 --> 00:10:10,360 Speaker 4: Virginia that will benefit because they'll be able to sell 199 00:10:10,440 --> 00:10:14,760 Speaker 4: more weapons. Fine, but the US geopolitical interest is not 200 00:10:14,840 --> 00:10:19,080 Speaker 4: currently served when they have the problems in Taiwan they've got, 201 00:10:19,559 --> 00:10:21,840 Speaker 4: they still have a war that they're supporting in Ukraine 202 00:10:21,880 --> 00:10:25,960 Speaker 4: against Russia, and so opening up a front there is 203 00:10:26,000 --> 00:10:28,840 Speaker 4: not in their interest. So therefore what are they Why 204 00:10:28,880 --> 00:10:31,880 Speaker 4: are they allowing it to happen? And this idea that 205 00:10:31,920 --> 00:10:36,320 Speaker 4: they're going to deter Iran by sending more targets is 206 00:10:36,400 --> 00:10:40,240 Speaker 4: absurd because they don't they're not recognizing that these are targets. 207 00:10:40,240 --> 00:10:43,559 Speaker 4: They're seeing them as assets that are going to intimidate 208 00:10:43,559 --> 00:10:47,839 Speaker 4: Iran rather than oh, one one more way, one more thing, 209 00:10:47,920 --> 00:10:50,640 Speaker 4: one little, one little tiny torpedo now or a drone 210 00:10:50,640 --> 00:10:51,640 Speaker 4: that we can hit this battleship. 211 00:10:51,679 --> 00:10:53,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, and as we all saw, I mean the IDF. 212 00:10:54,400 --> 00:10:56,800 Speaker 2: You know, it's very signifant, probably one of the most 213 00:10:56,800 --> 00:11:00,240 Speaker 2: advanced militaries in the world. If they accidentally just shot 214 00:11:00,800 --> 00:11:05,480 Speaker 2: at the Egyptians as right, And this is just this 215 00:11:05,559 --> 00:11:07,680 Speaker 2: is not to say like that, this is not even 216 00:11:07,679 --> 00:11:10,320 Speaker 2: to blame them. It's just more to say it happens 217 00:11:10,360 --> 00:11:13,800 Speaker 2: in war. I mean, terrible things things go off. As 218 00:11:13,840 --> 00:11:15,920 Speaker 2: we all solve the hospital, it can take hours in 219 00:11:16,040 --> 00:11:17,680 Speaker 2: order to figure out what the hell is true and 220 00:11:17,720 --> 00:11:19,320 Speaker 2: what the hell is not true. And in the interim 221 00:11:19,360 --> 00:11:22,040 Speaker 2: you've got protests that go all over the world, and 222 00:11:22,080 --> 00:11:24,480 Speaker 2: you've got at that point, now you're responding to a 223 00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:27,240 Speaker 2: real world event which was a reaction possibly to a 224 00:11:27,240 --> 00:11:27,720 Speaker 2: fake event. 225 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:28,640 Speaker 3: You're never gonna know. 226 00:11:28,800 --> 00:11:31,079 Speaker 2: And as the more troops that we have in the region, 227 00:11:31,120 --> 00:11:32,520 Speaker 2: the more targets that we have. 228 00:11:32,720 --> 00:11:34,959 Speaker 3: I tweeted this yesterday, Roun, I'm curious for what you think. 229 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:35,559 Speaker 3: I just said. 230 00:11:35,679 --> 00:11:38,319 Speaker 2: The entire US political system seems resigned to a broader 231 00:11:38,360 --> 00:11:40,560 Speaker 2: war in the Middle East, with the implicit assumption it 232 00:11:40,640 --> 00:11:41,840 Speaker 2: is somehow worth it. 233 00:11:41,840 --> 00:11:44,040 Speaker 3: It's actually not worth it at all. The reason that 234 00:11:44,080 --> 00:11:44,440 Speaker 3: they are. 235 00:11:44,400 --> 00:11:47,240 Speaker 2: Quiet is because when it does happen, they will pretend 236 00:11:47,280 --> 00:11:49,760 Speaker 2: that there was nothing that we could do to avoid it. 237 00:11:49,840 --> 00:11:52,800 Speaker 2: And I really believe that now watching all of these 238 00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:55,720 Speaker 2: forces being sent, watching the secret reports about no we 239 00:11:55,760 --> 00:11:58,360 Speaker 2: don't really care. It's not about hostages. We just need 240 00:11:58,400 --> 00:12:01,520 Speaker 2: the time to prepare for the forthcoming attacks. I'm like, well, 241 00:12:01,559 --> 00:12:04,200 Speaker 2: hold on a second, maybe we just stopped the forthcoming attack. 242 00:12:04,280 --> 00:12:07,160 Speaker 2: We try and at least come to some sort of solution, 243 00:12:07,360 --> 00:12:10,319 Speaker 2: talk with the Israelis, talk with Hamas, and just be like, look, 244 00:12:10,360 --> 00:12:12,400 Speaker 2: what can we actually do here in order to make 245 00:12:12,400 --> 00:12:15,640 Speaker 2: this happen. A serious effort would be to make sure 246 00:12:15,720 --> 00:12:18,440 Speaker 2: that the forthcoming backlash does not occur. How do you 247 00:12:18,480 --> 00:12:19,920 Speaker 2: do that. I'm not going to say that it's the 248 00:12:19,960 --> 00:12:22,760 Speaker 2: easiest thing in the world. You have to minimize civilian 249 00:12:22,800 --> 00:12:27,560 Speaker 2: casualties as much as humanly possible. Right now, the IDF is, 250 00:12:27,640 --> 00:12:31,120 Speaker 2: you know, using an air campaign, which, by as. 251 00:12:30,960 --> 00:12:32,520 Speaker 3: We played you the audio. 252 00:12:32,200 --> 00:12:35,240 Speaker 2: From Jocko Willing command, who is by no means a 253 00:12:35,280 --> 00:12:38,160 Speaker 2: liberal and who has extensive experience, he was like, I 254 00:12:38,200 --> 00:12:40,760 Speaker 2: don't think that these air strikes are accomplishing the military 255 00:12:40,800 --> 00:12:43,160 Speaker 2: objective that you really want. And we're going to talk 256 00:12:43,200 --> 00:12:47,000 Speaker 2: soon about what this invasion is gearing up to. 257 00:12:47,080 --> 00:12:50,040 Speaker 3: Look like, this is an urban nightmare. 258 00:12:50,120 --> 00:12:52,600 Speaker 2: So I'm not even talking about the humanitarian I'm talking 259 00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:56,080 Speaker 2: about the fight itself. We've got fifty to sixty thousand 260 00:12:56,320 --> 00:12:59,640 Speaker 2: dug In fighters. That is almost what, five times the 261 00:12:59,720 --> 00:13:02,200 Speaker 2: number of ISIS fighters that they had in Mosl. I 262 00:13:02,280 --> 00:13:05,560 Speaker 2: just looked up the civilian casualties yesterday. The official number 263 00:13:05,600 --> 00:13:08,120 Speaker 2: in Mosl was one to one, one civilian. 264 00:13:07,640 --> 00:13:08,600 Speaker 3: For every ISIS fighter. 265 00:13:08,800 --> 00:13:10,800 Speaker 2: Okay, well, let's play that out in Gaza, where it's 266 00:13:10,800 --> 00:13:11,920 Speaker 2: probably going to be higher. 267 00:13:12,000 --> 00:13:14,280 Speaker 3: It's even more densely popular. Two to one. 268 00:13:14,400 --> 00:13:17,360 Speaker 2: What that's one hundred thousand people. Now, even if you 269 00:13:17,360 --> 00:13:20,080 Speaker 2: think that is justified, do you think that the Egyptians, 270 00:13:20,200 --> 00:13:24,320 Speaker 2: the Jordanians, the Turks, you know, all the entire era 271 00:13:24,400 --> 00:13:26,440 Speaker 2: world is going to sit back and take that. Not 272 00:13:26,520 --> 00:13:30,200 Speaker 2: to mention the Iranians. It's just simply impossible to imagine 273 00:13:30,280 --> 00:13:33,000 Speaker 2: ryan a world where that happens. 274 00:13:32,800 --> 00:13:35,079 Speaker 4: It's I think it's useful to go back to the 275 00:13:35,200 --> 00:13:38,520 Speaker 4: metaphor that Israel has used for its Gaza operations in 276 00:13:38,559 --> 00:13:41,880 Speaker 4: the past. They say they call it mowing the lawn, yes, 277 00:13:42,080 --> 00:13:45,000 Speaker 4: which is kind of a cynical and chilling term. But 278 00:13:45,120 --> 00:13:47,040 Speaker 4: they every couple of years there'd be a you know, 279 00:13:47,200 --> 00:13:49,120 Speaker 4: a couple of weeks of air strikes, and they would 280 00:13:49,120 --> 00:13:53,160 Speaker 4: say that they're talking about just shrinking Hamasa's capacity. Just 281 00:13:53,240 --> 00:13:57,040 Speaker 4: a little bit underneath that cynical and chilling metaphor is 282 00:13:57,040 --> 00:14:00,440 Speaker 4: the reality that there is a grassroots there that is 283 00:14:00,520 --> 00:14:03,040 Speaker 4: just going to continue to grow. So let's say you 284 00:14:03,080 --> 00:14:06,560 Speaker 4: even do kill one hundred thousand civilians, you kill fifty 285 00:14:06,640 --> 00:14:11,160 Speaker 4: thousand Hamas fighters, you somehow clear out this what five 286 00:14:11,240 --> 00:14:13,960 Speaker 4: hundred kilometers of tunnels that they have underneath guys, whatever 287 00:14:13,960 --> 00:14:17,600 Speaker 4: the number is just the biggest tunnel network in world history. 288 00:14:17,760 --> 00:14:20,600 Speaker 4: Let's say you actually managed to clear that out, You're 289 00:14:20,680 --> 00:14:25,600 Speaker 4: still left with hundreds of thousands of fourteen and fifteen 290 00:14:25,680 --> 00:14:31,200 Speaker 4: year olds. Iran can't resupply people over the next couple 291 00:14:31,200 --> 00:14:35,840 Speaker 4: of years, and now you have them remembering one of 292 00:14:35,840 --> 00:14:43,040 Speaker 4: the most gruesome massacres of Palestinians in it may be 293 00:14:43,200 --> 00:14:44,960 Speaker 4: the last one hundred years. 294 00:14:47,760 --> 00:14:50,120 Speaker 2: Let's hold this because it gets to something else that 295 00:14:50,160 --> 00:14:51,640 Speaker 2: we want to talk about, which is that the US 296 00:14:51,760 --> 00:14:55,880 Speaker 2: military is now actively helping these reelies plan for this campaign. 297 00:14:56,160 --> 00:14:58,120 Speaker 2: John Kirby discussing some of that yesterday. 298 00:14:58,280 --> 00:15:00,240 Speaker 8: Let's take a listen, so I can tell you, as 299 00:15:00,320 --> 00:15:02,880 Speaker 8: Secretary of Austin made clear yesterday, we have been an 300 00:15:03,040 --> 00:15:06,800 Speaker 8: active discussion with Israeli officials since the beginning of this conflict, 301 00:15:07,200 --> 00:15:09,600 Speaker 8: to make sure we had a good understanding of their intentions, 302 00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:12,440 Speaker 8: their plans, where they were trying to take things, to 303 00:15:12,480 --> 00:15:15,280 Speaker 8: see if we could better understand how they've answered the 304 00:15:15,360 --> 00:15:18,520 Speaker 8: very tough questions that any military needs to ask themselves 305 00:15:18,520 --> 00:15:22,240 Speaker 8: before they commit to a large scale operation of any kind. 306 00:15:22,640 --> 00:15:24,360 Speaker 8: We want to make sure we have an understanding of 307 00:15:24,360 --> 00:15:27,360 Speaker 8: how they are comeing to those solutions and those answers, 308 00:15:27,400 --> 00:15:28,960 Speaker 8: And of course we've made it clear that we'll be 309 00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:31,520 Speaker 8: willing to help in any way. 310 00:15:31,280 --> 00:15:31,880 Speaker 3: That we can. 311 00:15:32,160 --> 00:15:34,440 Speaker 8: But it is important to remember that the IDF, the 312 00:15:34,560 --> 00:15:37,880 Speaker 8: Israeli Defense Forces, they make their own decisions. They decide 313 00:15:37,880 --> 00:15:39,160 Speaker 8: what they're going to do and when they're going to 314 00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:41,600 Speaker 8: do it. And again, all we're trying to do is 315 00:15:41,640 --> 00:15:44,360 Speaker 8: make sure that they know we're here as a resource, 316 00:15:44,600 --> 00:15:47,000 Speaker 8: certainly for information and context. We've had a lot of 317 00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:49,800 Speaker 8: experience in this kind of thing, but also from a 318 00:15:49,800 --> 00:15:51,280 Speaker 8: security assistance perspective. 319 00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:55,280 Speaker 2: So there he is, he confirms US military is actively involved, 320 00:15:55,280 --> 00:15:57,560 Speaker 2: and just to underscore that, let's put this on the screen. 321 00:15:58,200 --> 00:15:59,760 Speaker 3: This was just a report yesterday. 322 00:16:00,200 --> 00:16:03,560 Speaker 2: Marine Corps three star general is now advising the Israeli 323 00:16:03,600 --> 00:16:06,680 Speaker 2: military on the Gaza ground operation. 324 00:16:06,920 --> 00:16:09,360 Speaker 3: So this is Lieutenant General James Glynn. 325 00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:12,520 Speaker 2: According to a senior Israeli officials, he has been on 326 00:16:12,560 --> 00:16:15,080 Speaker 2: the ground now in Tel Aviv for some time and 327 00:16:15,160 --> 00:16:18,680 Speaker 2: he is now helping the operational plan for the IDF 328 00:16:18,760 --> 00:16:21,800 Speaker 2: for how it is going to conduct itself in Gaza. 329 00:16:21,880 --> 00:16:25,400 Speaker 2: And Lieutenant General Glenn was probably one of the people 330 00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:27,400 Speaker 2: to know, let's go and put this up there on 331 00:16:27,480 --> 00:16:30,440 Speaker 2: the screen in terms of his past experience, but just 332 00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:33,360 Speaker 2: to also underscore what this fight is going to look like. 333 00:16:33,640 --> 00:16:36,320 Speaker 2: He was the deputy commander of some of the Special 334 00:16:36,360 --> 00:16:39,480 Speaker 2: Operations Joint Task Force in Iraq in twenty seventeen and 335 00:16:39,560 --> 00:16:42,560 Speaker 2: eighteen that was in the aftermath of the Battle of Mosl. 336 00:16:42,840 --> 00:16:45,520 Speaker 2: More relevant to Gaza, he was the battalion commander of 337 00:16:45,520 --> 00:16:47,520 Speaker 2: the two four Marines during the two thousand and six 338 00:16:47,600 --> 00:16:50,080 Speaker 2: to seventh Battle of Ramadi, which at the time was 339 00:16:50,120 --> 00:16:54,480 Speaker 2: compared to a miniature Staliningrod. So I don't think I 340 00:16:54,560 --> 00:16:56,720 Speaker 2: need to tell everybody about how Stalin Grod went and 341 00:16:56,760 --> 00:16:59,600 Speaker 2: the untold millions that were killed or wounded in that 342 00:16:59,680 --> 00:17:05,639 Speaker 2: conf but it underscores two things. First, his direct operational 343 00:17:05,680 --> 00:17:09,520 Speaker 2: experience in the Ramadi campaign. But really and probably most 344 00:17:09,560 --> 00:17:12,440 Speaker 2: relevant is the Moses campaign, because if that's what they're 345 00:17:12,480 --> 00:17:15,800 Speaker 2: looking for. In Ramadi and in Mosl, it was the 346 00:17:15,880 --> 00:17:20,520 Speaker 2: similar you know, political objective elimination of the terrorist group 347 00:17:20,560 --> 00:17:23,480 Speaker 2: al Qaeda in Iraq or in that case isis, which 348 00:17:23,520 --> 00:17:29,280 Speaker 2: it eventually morphed into. In both cases it required thousands 349 00:17:29,440 --> 00:17:36,480 Speaker 2: of casualties, even with air superiority, superior weapons, superior training, 350 00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:41,840 Speaker 2: and that did not even have the civilian support that 351 00:17:41,920 --> 00:17:45,000 Speaker 2: Hamas has inside of Gaza. That's that's actually what I 352 00:17:45,040 --> 00:17:48,080 Speaker 2: think is the is the you know, the real X 353 00:17:48,119 --> 00:17:49,399 Speaker 2: factor in all of this. 354 00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:51,720 Speaker 3: People in Mosl hated isis. 355 00:17:52,320 --> 00:17:54,840 Speaker 9: They hated They wanted to kill in many kids, they 356 00:17:54,840 --> 00:17:57,199 Speaker 9: did kill them if they had the chance. Even al 357 00:17:57,280 --> 00:18:00,879 Speaker 9: Qaeda in Iraq and in Ramadi, yeah they had some 358 00:18:01,160 --> 00:18:03,680 Speaker 9: sunny support and all that, but it was not even 359 00:18:03,720 --> 00:18:06,879 Speaker 9: close Humas, And let's all be real about this. 360 00:18:06,880 --> 00:18:09,280 Speaker 2: This is what some people need to also admit they 361 00:18:09,280 --> 00:18:10,720 Speaker 2: have a ton of support. I'm not going to say 362 00:18:10,720 --> 00:18:13,000 Speaker 2: have one hundred support, but you know, it wouldn't shock 363 00:18:13,080 --> 00:18:13,919 Speaker 2: me if it was majority. 364 00:18:14,000 --> 00:18:16,960 Speaker 4: And it doesn't mean that particular people support everything that 365 00:18:17,000 --> 00:18:20,280 Speaker 4: they do. But it's like they what what palsings and 366 00:18:20,359 --> 00:18:22,280 Speaker 4: what a lot of palasings and got of Gaza. Want 367 00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:26,160 Speaker 4: is a militant organization that is going to fight Israel. 368 00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:27,919 Speaker 2: Right, And I'm not saying I agree with that. I'm saying, well, 369 00:18:27,920 --> 00:18:30,000 Speaker 2: this is the basic reality. And whenever you have fifty 370 00:18:30,080 --> 00:18:32,280 Speaker 2: maybe sixty percent of the population which is supporting you, 371 00:18:32,400 --> 00:18:34,840 Speaker 2: especially when you've got an invading force not coming against you, 372 00:18:34,840 --> 00:18:36,119 Speaker 2: what do you do? You give us people food, you 373 00:18:36,119 --> 00:18:37,600 Speaker 2: give them water, you let them hide out in your house. 374 00:18:37,760 --> 00:18:40,679 Speaker 2: I mean, that's a whole other scenario. When the Iraqi 375 00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:43,600 Speaker 2: security forces were retaking Mosul, the civilians in most cases 376 00:18:43,600 --> 00:18:45,199 Speaker 2: were like, they're over there, go get them, you know, 377 00:18:45,560 --> 00:18:47,440 Speaker 2: please be my guests. They're in my house. You can 378 00:18:47,440 --> 00:18:50,080 Speaker 2: take whatever you want. They were supporting the people that 379 00:18:50,119 --> 00:18:53,760 Speaker 2: were reclaiming the territory. It's going to be a complete opposite, 380 00:18:54,119 --> 00:18:58,200 Speaker 2: much more akin to the US experience in Iraq, especially 381 00:18:58,200 --> 00:19:02,359 Speaker 2: in the most like hardcore elements, where the vast majority 382 00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:04,960 Speaker 2: of the population actually was supporting those groups. And we 383 00:19:05,080 --> 00:19:07,040 Speaker 2: found out, you know, in two thousand and six and 384 00:19:07,080 --> 00:19:09,159 Speaker 2: in two thousand and seven, that just simply going in 385 00:19:09,240 --> 00:19:11,720 Speaker 2: and killing those people, you know, sending Navy seals in 386 00:19:11,760 --> 00:19:13,160 Speaker 2: at night and killing. 387 00:19:12,880 --> 00:19:15,240 Speaker 3: The leaders of the terrorist group. It didn't work. 388 00:19:15,280 --> 00:19:17,120 Speaker 2: It turned out what we had to do was pursue 389 00:19:17,480 --> 00:19:23,399 Speaker 2: a massive counterinsurgency campaign basically occupy the neighborhoods, try to 390 00:19:23,440 --> 00:19:27,280 Speaker 2: bring democracy and police forcing and all that. And we 391 00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:31,840 Speaker 2: took so many American casualties in that and it didn't 392 00:19:31,840 --> 00:19:33,800 Speaker 2: even work in the long run because we had to 393 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:35,960 Speaker 2: pull out because it cost too much and the political 394 00:19:36,000 --> 00:19:36,840 Speaker 2: support wasn't there. 395 00:19:36,880 --> 00:19:39,440 Speaker 3: So that's the nightmare scenario of what you're facing. 396 00:19:39,520 --> 00:19:42,960 Speaker 4: And the other two distinctions there are time and the tunnels. 397 00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:46,639 Speaker 4: So with Ramadi, you know we invaded in two thousand 398 00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:50,120 Speaker 4: and three. This battle is going on at Aditha as well, 399 00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:53,960 Speaker 4: where Glenn was. We're talking two thousand and seven, two 400 00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:56,119 Speaker 4: thousand and eight, so they had just a couple of 401 00:19:56,200 --> 00:20:00,480 Speaker 4: years to prepare. Gaza has this as we talk about early, 402 00:20:00,520 --> 00:20:04,560 Speaker 4: this tunnel network that makes clearing an area door to 403 00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:08,720 Speaker 4: door so much more difficult because if you can if 404 00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:13,000 Speaker 4: you can move underground, and you can move underground underground, 405 00:20:13,600 --> 00:20:17,560 Speaker 4: and to understand the sophistication of this tunnel network. It 406 00:20:17,600 --> 00:20:22,720 Speaker 4: appears that some Hamas fighters emerged in the Israel on 407 00:20:22,760 --> 00:20:27,800 Speaker 4: October seventh after going underneath an underground wall that Israel 408 00:20:27,840 --> 00:20:31,879 Speaker 4: built so deep that they believed that Hamas would no 409 00:20:31,920 --> 00:20:34,199 Speaker 4: longer be able to tunnel out, because that's what Hamas 410 00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:37,000 Speaker 4: was doing. They were tunneling underneath the fence, underneath the wall, 411 00:20:37,240 --> 00:20:40,639 Speaker 4: and then coming in and launching raids. They went even 412 00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:43,720 Speaker 4: further than they than Israel understood that they were capable 413 00:20:43,760 --> 00:20:46,480 Speaker 4: of doing. There are you know, tunnels that go into Egypt, 414 00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:48,959 Speaker 4: tunnels and tunnels that go all over the place. And 415 00:20:49,040 --> 00:20:54,720 Speaker 4: so if you clear an area and people have left 416 00:20:54,760 --> 00:20:56,960 Speaker 4: by tunnel, and now you move out and you're trying 417 00:20:57,000 --> 00:20:59,439 Speaker 4: to control other areas, people can tunnel right back in 418 00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:01,960 Speaker 4: and come behind. And so there was a briefing of 419 00:21:02,240 --> 00:21:05,240 Speaker 4: this weekend that the Pentagon gave to the House Armed 420 00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:08,199 Speaker 4: Services Committee, and Ken Klippenstein and I have been reporting 421 00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:11,040 Speaker 4: on this. New York Times seems to have some kind 422 00:21:11,040 --> 00:21:15,680 Speaker 4: of related reporting recently that the Pentagon is extremely pessimistic 423 00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:20,959 Speaker 4: about Israel's capacity to have any type of success in 424 00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:24,520 Speaker 4: this ground invasion beyond just leveling buildings. Yes, like that 425 00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:28,200 Speaker 4: they can accomplish, but beyond that, can they hold those 426 00:21:28,480 --> 00:21:31,520 Speaker 4: Can they even hold piles of rubble? Is an open question. 427 00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:33,600 Speaker 2: This is an excellent I mean Let's think about when's 428 00:21:33,600 --> 00:21:36,600 Speaker 2: the last time the United States military had to face 429 00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:40,119 Speaker 2: an extensive tunnel network in urban combat or even just 430 00:21:40,160 --> 00:21:41,600 Speaker 2: in combat jungle con situation. 431 00:21:41,840 --> 00:21:43,760 Speaker 3: It was Vietnam. And you know, some of. 432 00:21:43,720 --> 00:21:48,040 Speaker 2: The most horrific stories of American service members in Vietnam 433 00:21:48,320 --> 00:21:50,919 Speaker 2: are the tunnels or you know, we often overlook the 434 00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:54,639 Speaker 2: Pacific Campaign, but think about the battles on Okinawa and 435 00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:56,880 Speaker 2: ewo Jima. If you've ever seen Letter to E Wojima, 436 00:21:56,960 --> 00:21:59,600 Speaker 2: it's a great film. I highly recommend it. You know, 437 00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:02,879 Speaker 2: what are they They rely on their extensive dug in fortifications, 438 00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:05,840 Speaker 2: which if you're willing to fight to the last man, well, 439 00:22:05,880 --> 00:22:07,560 Speaker 2: you know, the last time I checked, that's a pretty 440 00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:12,080 Speaker 2: core tenant of Islamic extremist ideology. You can inflict a 441 00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:14,600 Speaker 2: ton of damage, yes you can't, you will lose in 442 00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:17,080 Speaker 2: the long run. But with the US at that time 443 00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:21,280 Speaker 2: had total political commitment to the complete elimination of Japanese forces. 444 00:22:21,440 --> 00:22:23,879 Speaker 2: I mean, we lost like twenty five thousand guys in 445 00:22:24,000 --> 00:22:26,800 Speaker 2: some of these battles, and that was not an a 446 00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:31,320 Speaker 2: densely packed urban combat situation. It's like overlaying the worst 447 00:22:31,400 --> 00:22:35,400 Speaker 2: experiences of the Americans in jungle warfare and Vietnam and 448 00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:38,760 Speaker 2: against the Japanese and the island chains on top of 449 00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:42,600 Speaker 2: some of the worst American experiences in Iraq. And you know, 450 00:22:42,640 --> 00:22:45,600 Speaker 2: we really have never seen anything even like this, and 451 00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:48,680 Speaker 2: that's why they're correct to be pessimistic. And this I 452 00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:50,399 Speaker 2: think the reason I'm trying to talk this way is 453 00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:52,199 Speaker 2: you can support at this action. You can be one 454 00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:53,560 Speaker 2: of those people's like, no, we got to do it. 455 00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:55,119 Speaker 2: I just want you to know what you're signing up for. 456 00:22:55,280 --> 00:22:57,080 Speaker 2: I want you to understand, like what that is going 457 00:22:57,119 --> 00:22:59,600 Speaker 2: to look like for years and years, the political support 458 00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:02,000 Speaker 2: that that is going to require from the Israeli population 459 00:23:02,320 --> 00:23:05,280 Speaker 2: and from the American population, not to mention the political 460 00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:08,159 Speaker 2: backlash from the Arab world. Like you, this is the 461 00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:11,840 Speaker 2: most predictable scenario on Earth. Now, are you going to 462 00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:14,240 Speaker 2: choose it? And if you are, you should know exactly 463 00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:15,720 Speaker 2: what you are buying whenever. 464 00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:18,639 Speaker 4: And one more point that might seem trivial at this point, 465 00:23:18,640 --> 00:23:20,800 Speaker 4: but if you, if you, I'm sure you know a 466 00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:24,720 Speaker 4: lot of people who were first responders, journalists, Wall Street 467 00:23:24,800 --> 00:23:27,440 Speaker 4: people types who were on you know, who were at 468 00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:28,000 Speaker 4: Ground zero. 469 00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:29,200 Speaker 3: I've heard the stories. 470 00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:33,080 Speaker 4: Yeah, so many of them did not live ten years 471 00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:35,280 Speaker 4: later because of the cancers that they got from all 472 00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:39,440 Speaker 4: of the the buildings that collapse put out so much 473 00:23:39,480 --> 00:23:44,639 Speaker 4: poison in the air that it has caused John Stewart's 474 00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:48,280 Speaker 4: lobbying campaign to take care of those first responders. Every 475 00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:50,919 Speaker 4: single person in Gaza is facing that right now. In 476 00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:53,560 Speaker 4: every Israeli troop who goes in there and spends a 477 00:23:53,600 --> 00:23:57,720 Speaker 4: week huffing in that air is looking at you know, 478 00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:00,680 Speaker 4: you know, potentially fatal health implication. 479 00:24:00,760 --> 00:24:02,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, I had not thought about that, but you're totally right. 480 00:24:02,640 --> 00:24:04,480 Speaker 2: But just the amount of particulates that are going to 481 00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:05,840 Speaker 2: be up in the air. We got all this fire 482 00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:08,800 Speaker 2: going on, all this other horrible stuff, I mean, war's health. 483 00:24:08,800 --> 00:24:11,080 Speaker 2: They say it for a reason, and you know, at 484 00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:14,119 Speaker 2: that time it takes you need to we need to 485 00:24:14,119 --> 00:24:16,639 Speaker 2: be very aware of what we're doing. And it's clear 486 00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:20,520 Speaker 2: that the US now is deeply militarily involved, you know, 487 00:24:20,520 --> 00:24:22,120 Speaker 2: in planning with the IDF. 488 00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:22,320 Speaker 4: Here. 489 00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:25,000 Speaker 2: The IDF has got to have its eyes completely wide open. 490 00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:26,840 Speaker 2: And it's not just them, all of you if you're 491 00:24:26,840 --> 00:24:29,919 Speaker 2: supporting this action, like you also need to understand, you know, 492 00:24:29,960 --> 00:24:32,240 Speaker 2: what exactly is going to happen and what this is 493 00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:34,480 Speaker 2: going to look like, let's move to the hostages, because 494 00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:37,160 Speaker 2: this has been a key part of this entire story. 495 00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:42,000 Speaker 2: To Israeli hostages. Two elderly women were actually released by 496 00:24:42,119 --> 00:24:46,120 Speaker 2: Hamas just yesterday. But before we get to that, President 497 00:24:46,200 --> 00:24:50,280 Speaker 2: Biden was actually asked about even more hostages being released. 498 00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:53,879 Speaker 2: It seems to be his single political objective, at least publicly, 499 00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:55,040 Speaker 2: that he's been talking about. 500 00:24:55,119 --> 00:24:59,600 Speaker 3: Let's take a listen, hostages for fire deal? 501 00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:02,159 Speaker 10: Why did you help? 502 00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:06,480 Speaker 5: You should have? Should have no reason. 503 00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:13,280 Speaker 2: If you had any difficulty hearing that. The direct question 504 00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:16,000 Speaker 2: was is the US supporting a hostages for ceasefire deal? 505 00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:18,440 Speaker 2: He says, not a ceasefire. We should have a hostages 506 00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:21,400 Speaker 2: release and then we can talk. So, as I mentioned too, 507 00:25:21,840 --> 00:25:24,040 Speaker 2: Israeli hostages were released by Hamas. 508 00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:25,920 Speaker 3: Le's go and put this up there and play this 509 00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:26,520 Speaker 3: on the screen. 510 00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:30,800 Speaker 2: These poor elderly women who were released there by Hamas militants, 511 00:25:31,200 --> 00:25:34,080 Speaker 2: by all accounts, that are at least recovering right now, 512 00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:37,040 Speaker 2: you know, in this terrible stage position. This was video 513 00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:40,439 Speaker 2: directly released by Hamas, Hamas saying that they were released 514 00:25:40,720 --> 00:25:43,479 Speaker 2: due to their age. But what it does just highlight 515 00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:46,040 Speaker 2: is that with the release of these two hostages. There 516 00:25:46,080 --> 00:25:49,920 Speaker 2: are still dozens more hostages, both will dual citizenship and 517 00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:53,960 Speaker 2: with just pure Israeli citizenship that remain inside. Let's put 518 00:25:54,000 --> 00:25:57,400 Speaker 2: this up there please on the screen. CBS News has 519 00:25:57,480 --> 00:26:00,880 Speaker 2: this report these in terms of who these hostages were, 520 00:26:01,160 --> 00:26:04,080 Speaker 2: they were actually abducted from their homes in a kibbutz, 521 00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:07,680 Speaker 2: the smaller area near the Gaza community that came under 522 00:26:07,720 --> 00:26:12,399 Speaker 2: attack on October seventh, So aged seventy nine and aged 523 00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:16,399 Speaker 2: eighty five, two of these women. But it does just 524 00:26:16,480 --> 00:26:19,040 Speaker 2: highlight Ryan, you know, just the sheer number of people 525 00:26:19,280 --> 00:26:20,720 Speaker 2: that still remain in captivity. 526 00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:23,119 Speaker 3: We don't know what that exact number is. 527 00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:26,719 Speaker 2: Twenty of the hostages taken to Gaza, according to the IDF, 528 00:26:26,760 --> 00:26:29,280 Speaker 2: were under the age of eighteen and between ten to 529 00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:30,600 Speaker 2: twenty were actually over. 530 00:26:30,520 --> 00:26:32,879 Speaker 3: The age of eighty. So these are just two of 531 00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:35,200 Speaker 3: those elderly hostages. There are still dozens left. 532 00:26:35,280 --> 00:26:38,119 Speaker 4: Yeah, And a couple interesting points about these particular ladies. 533 00:26:38,600 --> 00:26:43,840 Speaker 4: They were peace activists, anti occupation folks who would often 534 00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:48,040 Speaker 4: go into Gaza and help transport people from Gaza to 535 00:26:48,200 --> 00:26:51,399 Speaker 4: hospitals in Israel, because getting out of getting out of 536 00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:54,879 Speaker 4: Gaza to an Israeli hospital requires a pass. Well obviously 537 00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:58,800 Speaker 4: right now that's not happening, but in normal times, abnormal times, 538 00:26:59,320 --> 00:27:02,840 Speaker 4: you need to get basically a travel pass from Israel, 539 00:27:02,880 --> 00:27:05,320 Speaker 4: and those are life or death passes. If you have 540 00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:08,080 Speaker 4: a complication that can be treated in a hospital and 541 00:27:08,160 --> 00:27:11,040 Speaker 4: you can't get that pass, you die. If if you 542 00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:13,119 Speaker 4: get the pass, you can live. And there were there 543 00:27:13,280 --> 00:27:19,120 Speaker 4: Israeli Israelis who on humanitarian grounds would kind of volunteer 544 00:27:19,200 --> 00:27:21,760 Speaker 4: their time to help shepherd people through and they were 545 00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:24,440 Speaker 4: among these a lot of these kibbutzes down in southern Israel, 546 00:27:24,520 --> 00:27:27,200 Speaker 4: populated by left leaning Israelis, which is a kind of 547 00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:30,680 Speaker 4: a cruel irony, not that anybody does any civilian reserves 548 00:27:31,440 --> 00:27:31,639 Speaker 4: to be. 549 00:27:32,000 --> 00:27:34,120 Speaker 2: These particular I'm glad that you're saying that I didn't 550 00:27:34,119 --> 00:27:36,160 Speaker 2: even know that, you know, heroic. Why don't you explain 551 00:27:36,200 --> 00:27:38,720 Speaker 2: to people what a kibbutz is or people probably don't know. 552 00:27:39,000 --> 00:27:41,119 Speaker 4: Is it a commune? Like you know, you know there 553 00:27:41,440 --> 00:27:44,840 Speaker 4: the you know, the early early Zionism was you know, 554 00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:49,359 Speaker 4: entangled with socialism in a in a romantic way, and 555 00:27:49,520 --> 00:27:53,119 Speaker 4: the way that expressed itself was through these kibbutz is, 556 00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:58,120 Speaker 4: which are similar to communes, which everybody would chip in everybody. 557 00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:00,760 Speaker 4: You know, there are a lot of eating together, working together, 558 00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:07,920 Speaker 4: celebrating together, a real family social atmosphere, and a ton 559 00:28:08,000 --> 00:28:11,639 Speaker 4: of the people in the South are kind of descendants 560 00:28:11,680 --> 00:28:16,400 Speaker 4: of that tradition, and in fact, they are massive critics 561 00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:20,320 Speaker 4: of this right wing Israeli government. And when the Israeli 562 00:28:20,359 --> 00:28:23,520 Speaker 4: government moved military resources out of the South to the 563 00:28:23,600 --> 00:28:27,920 Speaker 4: West Bank to support these kind of rampaging programs that 564 00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:31,080 Speaker 4: the settlers were carrying out in the West Bank because 565 00:28:31,080 --> 00:28:33,720 Speaker 4: they were creating so much chaosity extra resources, it was 566 00:28:33,800 --> 00:28:36,480 Speaker 4: understood in Israel that one reason they pulled those resources 567 00:28:36,520 --> 00:28:39,000 Speaker 4: out of the South was as an fu to their 568 00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:41,880 Speaker 4: political enemies down in the South. And it's also why 569 00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:45,680 Speaker 4: in Israel you see a lot of right wing elements 570 00:28:45,760 --> 00:28:49,120 Speaker 4: attacking the families of hostages like here in the United States. 571 00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:53,960 Speaker 4: Excuse me, they're doing what right now while while their 572 00:28:54,480 --> 00:28:57,000 Speaker 4: kin are being held by hamas, you're attacking them. It's 573 00:28:57,000 --> 00:29:00,960 Speaker 4: because these families are calling for a ceasefire, and the 574 00:29:01,080 --> 00:29:04,520 Speaker 4: Israeli writers calling them traders, lost their mind on these 575 00:29:04,560 --> 00:29:06,320 Speaker 4: two women because one of them, it's not in the 576 00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:08,480 Speaker 4: not in that video, but you can find it says 577 00:29:08,520 --> 00:29:12,000 Speaker 4: shalom to the hostage taker on the way out and 578 00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:13,480 Speaker 4: reaches back and shakes his hand. 579 00:29:13,560 --> 00:29:13,760 Speaker 5: Wow. 580 00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:16,560 Speaker 4: Israeli right, is livid at her for doing that. 581 00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:17,080 Speaker 10: Wow. 582 00:29:17,160 --> 00:29:18,880 Speaker 2: I don't think we should be policing the behavior of 583 00:29:18,920 --> 00:29:21,600 Speaker 2: any old ladies, especially those who were let do it. 584 00:29:21,960 --> 00:29:25,160 Speaker 3: That's just my you know, my very controversial take. I 585 00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:27,040 Speaker 3: guess to what you said. 586 00:29:27,080 --> 00:29:29,440 Speaker 2: We have some video from some of the family of 587 00:29:29,560 --> 00:29:31,960 Speaker 2: hostages that were released the American citizens. 588 00:29:32,160 --> 00:29:33,080 Speaker 3: Here's what they had to say. 589 00:29:33,320 --> 00:29:34,400 Speaker 11: They are physically well. 590 00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:39,560 Speaker 3: We were very happy to learn that. Mentally, how are 591 00:29:39,600 --> 00:29:40,000 Speaker 3: they doing? 592 00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:47,040 Speaker 9: You know, it's going to be along along road for 593 00:29:47,200 --> 00:29:49,200 Speaker 9: them and for the rest of the family to heal 594 00:29:49,280 --> 00:29:49,520 Speaker 9: from this. 595 00:29:50,600 --> 00:29:55,280 Speaker 4: Would you prefer that Israel delays its ground invasion until 596 00:29:55,720 --> 00:29:58,760 Speaker 4: every avenue has been attempted to bring the hostages back. 597 00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:00,200 Speaker 3: We demand. 598 00:30:02,200 --> 00:30:06,720 Speaker 11: They need to do everything to get the hostages back, 599 00:30:06,840 --> 00:30:10,160 Speaker 11: to get our family back and two hundred more families 600 00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:15,000 Speaker 11: loved ones back before anything is even on the table. 601 00:30:15,320 --> 00:30:20,560 Speaker 11: The hostages, they are civilians. This is the basic contract 602 00:30:20,600 --> 00:30:24,240 Speaker 11: between the country and us. The civilians come first. 603 00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:26,840 Speaker 2: The reason I'm glad that we highlighted that is this 604 00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:29,880 Speaker 2: is something I've been trying to emphasize here Ryan hostages 605 00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:34,800 Speaker 2: in Israel have a very different political connotation and salience 606 00:30:34,840 --> 00:30:37,000 Speaker 2: than they probably do in the United States. And the 607 00:30:37,080 --> 00:30:39,520 Speaker 2: reason why is everybody's already been forced to serve in 608 00:30:39,560 --> 00:30:45,400 Speaker 2: the IDF. People feel the security situation extremely acutely. Hostage 609 00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:49,320 Speaker 2: families have extraordinary amounts of sympathy. People know that it's 610 00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:51,400 Speaker 2: absolutely not especially it's two old ladies, you know, everything 611 00:30:51,480 --> 00:30:54,520 Speaker 2: like that, or these Americans. And the reason, as you said, 612 00:30:54,560 --> 00:30:57,320 Speaker 2: why they're right in some cases even attacking some of 613 00:30:57,360 --> 00:31:01,240 Speaker 2: these families is because they have very very different political objectives, 614 00:31:01,360 --> 00:31:03,600 Speaker 2: and we know that they have a tremendous amount of 615 00:31:03,640 --> 00:31:08,360 Speaker 2: salience these hostage families. These are politically almost untouchable, you know, 616 00:31:08,480 --> 00:31:11,680 Speaker 2: inside of Israel. It also comes at a time when 617 00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:14,000 Speaker 2: diplomacy could be working here. I want to say, could 618 00:31:14,080 --> 00:31:16,280 Speaker 2: we do not know one hundred percent for sure because 619 00:31:16,480 --> 00:31:19,360 Speaker 2: these two ladies were released. But there's also talk of 620 00:31:19,400 --> 00:31:23,160 Speaker 2: a deal right now. Ryan hasn't materialized yet. The Red 621 00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:27,360 Speaker 2: Cross is in talks to receive some fifty hostages with 622 00:31:27,600 --> 00:31:31,120 Speaker 2: dual citizenship. That was actually a news report out of Israel. Again, 623 00:31:31,240 --> 00:31:34,280 Speaker 2: it's just a report. It has not yet actually occurred. 624 00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:36,600 Speaker 2: But you know, fifty hostages would be pretty significant if 625 00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:37,120 Speaker 2: that would happen. 626 00:31:37,240 --> 00:31:38,800 Speaker 4: And let me read you a line from the Times 627 00:31:38,840 --> 00:31:41,560 Speaker 4: of Israel that underscores everything that you just said. The 628 00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:46,200 Speaker 4: line goes, the army is concerned that further hostage releases 629 00:31:46,520 --> 00:31:51,280 Speaker 4: by Hamas could lead the political leadership to delay a 630 00:31:51,440 --> 00:31:56,320 Speaker 4: ground incursion interesting or even halted right way, so the 631 00:31:56,720 --> 00:32:02,920 Speaker 4: IDF the army is concerned that Hamas might release hostages. 632 00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:06,200 Speaker 4: Like people need just to sit with that to understand 633 00:32:06,240 --> 00:32:08,920 Speaker 4: the politics that are going on here. How could you 634 00:32:09,080 --> 00:32:15,480 Speaker 4: possibly be concerned that Hamas might release hostages because the 635 00:32:15,600 --> 00:32:19,040 Speaker 4: only possible way is that your agenda is not the 636 00:32:19,120 --> 00:32:22,240 Speaker 4: recovery of those hostages. It's the execution of this ground 637 00:32:22,280 --> 00:32:26,400 Speaker 4: invasion for whatever you think the end goal of that is, 638 00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:28,040 Speaker 4: which isn't even entirely clear. 639 00:32:28,280 --> 00:32:30,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, and you're right. It's something we talked 640 00:32:30,200 --> 00:32:30,800 Speaker 3: about previously. 641 00:32:30,840 --> 00:32:34,080 Speaker 2: Even the rejecutar yesterday we brought everybody report it might 642 00:32:34,120 --> 00:32:35,360 Speaker 2: have even been these two women. 643 00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:36,240 Speaker 3: We tried to confirm it. 644 00:32:36,400 --> 00:32:39,080 Speaker 2: We weren't one hundred percent able to about Israel actually 645 00:32:39,200 --> 00:32:42,360 Speaker 2: rejecting two hostages that were being offered to them. It 646 00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:44,560 Speaker 2: might have actually been these women just because it fits 647 00:32:44,600 --> 00:32:46,959 Speaker 2: the characteristic of they didn't want to care for them. 648 00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:49,040 Speaker 2: The reason they really release them is because they're old 649 00:32:49,080 --> 00:32:50,960 Speaker 2: and they don't want to be responsible with them dying. 650 00:32:50,800 --> 00:32:51,200 Speaker 3: In their care. 651 00:32:51,280 --> 00:32:52,920 Speaker 4: And I bet a lot of people in Gaza knew them. 652 00:32:53,440 --> 00:32:56,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, it's good point. Are the ladies who. 653 00:32:56,520 --> 00:32:58,400 Speaker 4: They took me to get my kids? 654 00:32:58,440 --> 00:33:00,200 Speaker 2: I had thought of him, that's a great point. Yeah, 655 00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:02,000 Speaker 2: exactly why would you even want to But listen, no, 656 00:33:02,840 --> 00:33:04,800 Speaker 2: all of these people are innocent. There's no reason taking 657 00:33:04,800 --> 00:33:07,000 Speaker 2: even hostage. All of them need to be released, you know, 658 00:33:08,240 --> 00:33:11,400 Speaker 2: no questions, no ifans or butts. The question, though, is 659 00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:14,080 Speaker 2: about the politics of it and the release. And this 660 00:33:14,440 --> 00:33:17,880 Speaker 2: is honestly a diabolical strategy by Hamas. We all really 661 00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:19,560 Speaker 2: thought so from the beginning. It's like, yeah, if you 662 00:33:19,640 --> 00:33:22,880 Speaker 2: have ducked little kids, most people, including their families, will 663 00:33:23,000 --> 00:33:26,440 Speaker 2: do anything just to make sure that they don't get killed. 664 00:33:26,480 --> 00:33:29,520 Speaker 2: And yeah, if there is a full blown ground invasion, 665 00:33:29,560 --> 00:33:32,120 Speaker 2: then you're effectively sentencing a lot of those kids to death. 666 00:33:32,280 --> 00:33:34,720 Speaker 2: I mean, if Hamas does either carry that out or 667 00:33:34,800 --> 00:33:37,080 Speaker 2: maybe you know, they're holding them in an area next 668 00:33:37,120 --> 00:33:38,440 Speaker 2: to their closest commanders, and. 669 00:33:38,440 --> 00:33:40,240 Speaker 3: Then we're specifically to invite it, and. 670 00:33:40,280 --> 00:33:42,920 Speaker 4: Then we're left just debating who's responsible for their death 671 00:33:43,000 --> 00:33:44,960 Speaker 4: rather than helping them to live. 672 00:33:45,160 --> 00:33:47,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, and I will listen. We hope that that can happen. 673 00:33:47,880 --> 00:33:51,040 Speaker 2: As we said, there is some reporting right now around 674 00:33:51,280 --> 00:33:54,760 Speaker 2: what exactly a hostage deal would look like with those 675 00:33:54,880 --> 00:33:58,040 Speaker 2: dual citizens. But don't forget that's just the dual citizens. 676 00:33:58,120 --> 00:34:01,360 Speaker 2: We're not talking about Israeli citizens. And it's just because 677 00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:04,200 Speaker 2: somebody has to happens to have a French passport or 678 00:34:04,200 --> 00:34:06,840 Speaker 2: an American passport in addition to the Israeli one, doesn't 679 00:34:06,880 --> 00:34:08,359 Speaker 2: mean that they're better than the other person. 680 00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:10,160 Speaker 3: We got to try and get all of these people 681 00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:10,600 Speaker 3: out of there. 682 00:34:10,920 --> 00:34:13,680 Speaker 2: And at the same time, there is a growing discussion 683 00:34:13,719 --> 00:34:16,840 Speaker 2: here in the United States about this invasion and what 684 00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:18,320 Speaker 2: it's going to look like. We gave you a preview 685 00:34:18,320 --> 00:34:21,880 Speaker 2: a little bit of this in our commentary in the 686 00:34:22,120 --> 00:34:24,520 Speaker 2: US Military Block. But the point here is just to 687 00:34:24,640 --> 00:34:27,960 Speaker 2: highlight the domestic political conversation around all of US. I 688 00:34:28,040 --> 00:34:31,640 Speaker 2: found it especially interesting, actually to see Tucker Carlson plant 689 00:34:31,680 --> 00:34:35,120 Speaker 2: his flag against some of the conventional wisdom on the 690 00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:37,839 Speaker 2: right and really in the establishment right now basically, which 691 00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:40,239 Speaker 2: is let Israel do whatever it wants. He's asking the 692 00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:43,200 Speaker 2: critical question, what about us? What is going to happen 693 00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:45,439 Speaker 2: to us if we allow all of us to happen. 694 00:34:45,600 --> 00:34:46,360 Speaker 2: Let's take a listen. 695 00:34:46,640 --> 00:34:49,640 Speaker 4: What is the objective of the IDF and of B. 696 00:34:49,680 --> 00:34:52,799 Speaker 3: Lincoln of the United States and Israel in this short term? 697 00:34:53,880 --> 00:34:54,920 Speaker 3: Destroy Hamas? 698 00:34:55,200 --> 00:34:56,279 Speaker 4: But what does that mean? 699 00:34:56,920 --> 00:34:59,600 Speaker 12: Well, to destroy Hamas in the minds I think of 700 00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:03,200 Speaker 12: Paul Makers in Washington as well as in Israel, is 701 00:35:03,320 --> 00:35:07,160 Speaker 12: to systematically root them out and kill them in Gaza. Now, 702 00:35:07,239 --> 00:35:09,960 Speaker 12: let's be frank. When you go into an urban environment, 703 00:35:10,719 --> 00:35:14,799 Speaker 12: you can't pick or choose your targets very easily. First 704 00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:17,520 Speaker 12: of all, no matter how well trained you are, you're 705 00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:20,960 Speaker 12: moving into an area that is rubbled. They're ruins. It's 706 00:35:21,080 --> 00:35:24,280 Speaker 12: very difficult to negotiate in that. When I say negotiat, 707 00:35:24,280 --> 00:35:27,640 Speaker 12: I mean negotiate the terrain through the rubble. You're going 708 00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:29,600 Speaker 12: to where the enemy is going to pop up. Once 709 00:35:29,640 --> 00:35:33,239 Speaker 12: you destroy all these buildings, he can be anywhere. So 710 00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:36,120 Speaker 12: you're going to take losses going in. But more important, 711 00:35:36,160 --> 00:35:38,000 Speaker 12: once you start going in there, you're going to end 712 00:35:38,080 --> 00:35:42,000 Speaker 12: up killing whatever you find because the soldier, the Israeli 713 00:35:42,120 --> 00:35:45,359 Speaker 12: soldier the American soldier very much the same. They want 714 00:35:45,480 --> 00:35:48,279 Speaker 12: to live. They want to survive when in doubt pull 715 00:35:48,360 --> 00:35:51,000 Speaker 12: the trigger. They're not going to stop and say, now, 716 00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:53,560 Speaker 12: wait a minute before I shoot, I really need to 717 00:35:53,600 --> 00:35:56,800 Speaker 12: think about this because that may be a civilian or 718 00:35:56,880 --> 00:35:58,200 Speaker 12: there may be a family there. 719 00:35:58,680 --> 00:35:59,680 Speaker 5: That's not going to happen. 720 00:36:00,120 --> 00:36:03,120 Speaker 12: You can't expect that. So the notion that this is 721 00:36:04,360 --> 00:36:07,320 Speaker 12: a kind of warfare that is so precise that it 722 00:36:08,080 --> 00:36:11,959 Speaker 12: avoids so called collateral damage is just nonsense. We can't 723 00:36:12,000 --> 00:36:15,000 Speaker 12: expect miracles that we will assist and support the Israelis 724 00:36:15,080 --> 00:36:19,360 Speaker 12: in freeing those hostages. Again, the problem is, how do 725 00:36:19,440 --> 00:36:22,360 Speaker 12: you get the hostages out when you're fighting in this 726 00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:27,680 Speaker 12: extraordinarily dirty and complex environment. What's to prevent the hostages 727 00:36:27,760 --> 00:36:30,279 Speaker 12: from simply being executed as soon as you move in 728 00:36:30,440 --> 00:36:34,160 Speaker 12: force into Gaza. I think the Israelis know that. I 729 00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:37,640 Speaker 12: think our leadership in Washington knows it. They may have 730 00:36:37,760 --> 00:36:41,080 Speaker 12: even decided that if that happens, that's tragic. But the 731 00:36:41,200 --> 00:36:43,720 Speaker 12: ultimate goal of destroying Hamas demands. 732 00:36:43,840 --> 00:36:48,200 Speaker 2: This pretty interesting, I think to come from Tucker Carlson 733 00:36:48,520 --> 00:36:50,440 Speaker 2: on a show. It's part of a longer clip. I 734 00:36:50,600 --> 00:36:53,160 Speaker 2: encourage everybody to go watch. It's like thirty minutes where 735 00:36:53,480 --> 00:36:57,040 Speaker 2: him and Douglas McGregor just go back and forth like, Okay, it. 736 00:36:57,080 --> 00:36:59,040 Speaker 3: Looks like we're going to war with Iran. What does 737 00:36:59,080 --> 00:36:59,960 Speaker 3: that mean? Is it worse? 738 00:37:00,480 --> 00:37:07,400 Speaker 2: What about the actual military objective here? Again, just emphasize 739 00:37:07,480 --> 00:37:09,560 Speaker 2: something that you mentioned previously. Let's put this up there 740 00:37:09,600 --> 00:37:11,960 Speaker 2: on the screen. From the Times of Israel itself. It 741 00:37:12,000 --> 00:37:14,920 Speaker 2: says IDF believes it is ready for the ground invasion 742 00:37:14,960 --> 00:37:17,600 Speaker 2: and that it should start soon. The army wants to 743 00:37:17,640 --> 00:37:20,560 Speaker 2: carry out an incursion even at the cost of heavy losses, 744 00:37:20,880 --> 00:37:23,399 Speaker 2: fears that the political echelon may never give the order 745 00:37:23,480 --> 00:37:26,600 Speaker 2: despite a high level of readiness. Israel saying it's war 746 00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:30,600 Speaker 2: against Hamas destroying the Iranian BacT infrastructure and has vowed 747 00:37:30,640 --> 00:37:34,239 Speaker 2: to dismantle the organization. However, the Times of Israel has 748 00:37:34,280 --> 00:37:36,799 Speaker 2: learned after sixteen days of air strikes, the IDF has 749 00:37:36,840 --> 00:37:39,040 Speaker 2: told the government it is fully prepared for a ground 750 00:37:39,080 --> 00:37:41,719 Speaker 2: defensive in Gaza and believes that it can achieve the 751 00:37:41,760 --> 00:37:44,040 Speaker 2: goals set out for it, even at the risk of 752 00:37:44,120 --> 00:37:47,920 Speaker 2: heavy casualties to the soldiers and amid ongoing attacks by 753 00:37:47,960 --> 00:37:50,480 Speaker 2: Hezbollah in the North, but the military is fearing the 754 00:37:50,520 --> 00:37:53,040 Speaker 2: government may not give it. As you mentioned, Ryan, the 755 00:37:53,120 --> 00:37:57,680 Speaker 2: hostage situation is just such a political football inside of Israel. 756 00:37:57,760 --> 00:38:01,239 Speaker 2: But if I had to guess, and really, what I 757 00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:03,239 Speaker 2: think that this does show you is this is the 758 00:38:03,320 --> 00:38:05,480 Speaker 2: most what right wing government in the history of Israel. 759 00:38:05,719 --> 00:38:09,719 Speaker 2: If even they have pause about going in before giving 760 00:38:09,760 --> 00:38:12,680 Speaker 2: the green light of going into Gaza, it I think 761 00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:15,720 Speaker 2: just tells you what the stakes are to any political 762 00:38:15,800 --> 00:38:19,560 Speaker 2: decision maker. These people are not stupid. They know exactly 763 00:38:19,680 --> 00:38:23,040 Speaker 2: what is going to happen, in some cases doing their best. 764 00:38:23,080 --> 00:38:25,719 Speaker 2: In some cases are trying to Middle Road America knows 765 00:38:25,760 --> 00:38:28,080 Speaker 2: what's going to happen. Pretty much everybody does. It's just 766 00:38:28,160 --> 00:38:30,640 Speaker 2: in a wait and see period, and it's coming down 767 00:38:30,719 --> 00:38:32,920 Speaker 2: to the question of like are you really going to 768 00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:35,319 Speaker 2: push the button, Like are you going to say green light, 769 00:38:35,719 --> 00:38:37,719 Speaker 2: go in? What does that look like? What does the 770 00:38:37,760 --> 00:38:39,279 Speaker 2: next day look like, What does the next year look like? 771 00:38:39,360 --> 00:38:41,800 Speaker 2: What does the the next decade look like? After you 772 00:38:41,880 --> 00:38:44,880 Speaker 2: make that incredibly consequential decision. So I find it very 773 00:38:44,960 --> 00:38:47,960 Speaker 2: interesting that even Netsanyahu in is government, you know, one 774 00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:49,360 Speaker 2: of the most right wing governments in the history of 775 00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:52,840 Speaker 2: is even they are taking a tremendous amount of pause 776 00:38:52,960 --> 00:38:55,080 Speaker 2: right now. Sure they're doing the air strikes, but that's 777 00:38:55,160 --> 00:38:57,360 Speaker 2: just simply not the same thing as going in and 778 00:38:57,400 --> 00:38:58,680 Speaker 2: suffering heavy casualties. 779 00:38:58,880 --> 00:39:01,920 Speaker 4: And I think the more people and when it comes 780 00:39:01,960 --> 00:39:04,680 Speaker 4: from the United States military, it's that much more powerful 781 00:39:04,680 --> 00:39:08,360 Speaker 4: to Israel, who were asking the question, why, what is 782 00:39:08,440 --> 00:39:11,600 Speaker 4: your objective and what's your plan here? The harder it 783 00:39:11,680 --> 00:39:15,319 Speaker 4: gets for them to carry out this military incursion. If 784 00:39:15,360 --> 00:39:18,000 Speaker 4: you think back to the way that the US kind 785 00:39:18,040 --> 00:39:23,120 Speaker 4: of war gamed out the Ukrainian counter offensives, they have 786 00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:26,359 Speaker 4: a very sophisticated war game effort where they sit around 787 00:39:26,440 --> 00:39:29,840 Speaker 4: and they say, all right, you're playing Hamas. You know, 788 00:39:29,920 --> 00:39:32,520 Speaker 4: you're playing Islami Chad, you're playing Iran. You know, you're 789 00:39:32,520 --> 00:39:36,120 Speaker 4: playing the Syrian proxies, you're the Iraqi proxies. And they 790 00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:39,839 Speaker 4: game it out and every counter offensive that they kind 791 00:39:39,840 --> 00:39:43,160 Speaker 4: of gamed out was a failure, and then they ran it. Anyway, 792 00:39:44,560 --> 00:39:47,640 Speaker 4: the counter offensive that was a success. They had gained 793 00:39:47,640 --> 00:39:49,239 Speaker 4: that one out and they had figured out, you know, 794 00:39:49,360 --> 00:39:52,719 Speaker 4: through that sophisticated strategizing, you know, how they were going 795 00:39:52,760 --> 00:39:55,560 Speaker 4: to punch through. So they're doing that now as we 796 00:39:55,640 --> 00:39:59,320 Speaker 4: talked about in that previous block. The top marine general, 797 00:39:59,360 --> 00:40:01,400 Speaker 4: who you know, who has the most experienced in this 798 00:40:01,520 --> 00:40:04,240 Speaker 4: type of combat, is with them. That means his entire staff, 799 00:40:04,280 --> 00:40:09,160 Speaker 4: all his analysts are are gaming this out. And you know, 800 00:40:10,160 --> 00:40:12,400 Speaker 4: we don't have all the access to all the information 801 00:40:12,520 --> 00:40:14,120 Speaker 4: that they do, but we can see the same thing 802 00:40:14,840 --> 00:40:18,960 Speaker 4: that every different move that you make has eight different counters. 803 00:40:19,640 --> 00:40:21,200 Speaker 4: And then at the end of it, even if you 804 00:40:21,280 --> 00:40:24,200 Speaker 4: counter all those, you ask, well, then what, okay, you 805 00:40:24,280 --> 00:40:28,880 Speaker 4: have eliminated Hamas, the organization that that it's it's leaders. 806 00:40:29,239 --> 00:40:31,719 Speaker 4: Qatar has even turned the most turn turned over the 807 00:40:31,760 --> 00:40:34,560 Speaker 4: people that are in Doha to the Israelis. They're all 808 00:40:34,640 --> 00:40:39,840 Speaker 4: locked up or dead. An organization similar to Hamas is 809 00:40:39,920 --> 00:40:42,600 Speaker 4: going to be produced by a population that wants to 810 00:40:42,719 --> 00:40:47,680 Speaker 4: resist Israel. So then what And so you have some 811 00:40:48,040 --> 00:40:51,759 Speaker 4: in Israel who are saying, well, this is the kind 812 00:40:51,800 --> 00:40:54,279 Speaker 4: of third expulsion that we're going to do with Palestinians, 813 00:40:54,640 --> 00:40:56,759 Speaker 4: like we're going to we're going to solve that the 814 00:40:56,800 --> 00:40:59,600 Speaker 4: most faction, most right wing faction, like we're going to 815 00:40:59,680 --> 00:41:03,320 Speaker 4: solve this once andverall. Like and if there's a broader 816 00:41:03,440 --> 00:41:07,839 Speaker 4: regional war that gives us a chaotic cover. So after 817 00:41:07,920 --> 00:41:10,759 Speaker 4: we level northern Gaza, we're pushing down in the southern Guasa. 818 00:41:10,760 --> 00:41:13,759 Speaker 4: We're leveling that and Egypt can figure it out or whatever. 819 00:41:14,160 --> 00:41:17,520 Speaker 4: It's not a completely thought out strategy, but it's being 820 00:41:17,800 --> 00:41:20,680 Speaker 4: articulated like people who like, there is no solution here. 821 00:41:20,840 --> 00:41:24,600 Speaker 4: The solution here is to just clear out Gaza, and 822 00:41:24,719 --> 00:41:28,600 Speaker 4: so other than that, nobody's actually putting forward an endgame 823 00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:32,640 Speaker 4: that results in anything that resembles what people talk about 824 00:41:32,680 --> 00:41:35,440 Speaker 4: with a two state solution and two nations living next 825 00:41:35,480 --> 00:41:35,799 Speaker 4: to each other. 826 00:41:36,000 --> 00:41:37,880 Speaker 2: This is this is why, you know, we have to 827 00:41:37,960 --> 00:41:40,279 Speaker 2: then think about what the cost of this is going 828 00:41:40,360 --> 00:41:42,160 Speaker 2: to be. So let's put this up there on the screen. 829 00:41:42,239 --> 00:41:45,799 Speaker 2: This is the number of casualties that have been reported. Again, 830 00:41:45,960 --> 00:41:49,440 Speaker 2: let's take the extreme caveat of these are the numbers 831 00:41:49,440 --> 00:41:52,200 Speaker 2: according to the quote unquote officials inside both of these 832 00:41:52,239 --> 00:41:55,560 Speaker 2: places and the United Nations. Fourteen hundred in Israel, five 833 00:41:55,960 --> 00:41:58,799 Speaker 2: eighty seven in Gaza. That's according to Hamas. So look, 834 00:41:58,920 --> 00:42:01,440 Speaker 2: who knows how much of it is true, have no clue, 835 00:42:01,719 --> 00:42:06,439 Speaker 2: cannot verify that number yet, though it is probably directionally true, 836 00:42:06,600 --> 00:42:09,920 Speaker 2: it's definitely in the thousands, right, So how high obviously 837 00:42:10,120 --> 00:42:12,040 Speaker 2: we're also in the fog of war and what does 838 00:42:12,080 --> 00:42:14,760 Speaker 2: that look like? And I think what's definitely also true 839 00:42:15,200 --> 00:42:19,120 Speaker 2: is the scenes inside of Gaza that are getting passed 840 00:42:19,160 --> 00:42:23,080 Speaker 2: around again the entire Arab world. These people are looking 841 00:42:23,120 --> 00:42:25,359 Speaker 2: at this stuff on WhatsApp every day. If you think 842 00:42:25,400 --> 00:42:28,240 Speaker 2: America has a Twitter problem, you've never been to Qatar 843 00:42:28,400 --> 00:42:30,640 Speaker 2: or Saudi Arabia. All these people are on Twitter. I 844 00:42:30,719 --> 00:42:32,960 Speaker 2: think I remember seeing at one point it was like 845 00:42:33,080 --> 00:42:35,560 Speaker 2: seventy something percent of the population in Saudi Arabia gets 846 00:42:35,560 --> 00:42:38,560 Speaker 2: their news on Twitter. This is a Twitter obsessed culture 847 00:42:38,680 --> 00:42:41,400 Speaker 2: and their Twitter does not have community notes, just so everybody. 848 00:42:41,520 --> 00:42:43,960 Speaker 4: Yeah, a side note on that, when all of these 849 00:42:44,040 --> 00:42:48,360 Speaker 4: journalists were fleeing Twitter for threads, it just reminded me 850 00:42:48,480 --> 00:42:50,759 Speaker 4: how little they care about the rest of the world 851 00:42:51,120 --> 00:42:53,840 Speaker 4: and foreign policy. Yeah, I couldn't do my job in 852 00:42:55,080 --> 00:42:58,200 Speaker 4: reporting on Pakersan or the Middle East or Ukraine anywhere 853 00:42:58,239 --> 00:43:02,920 Speaker 4: else without Twitter, Hate Olivia whatever. Everybody is on there. 854 00:43:03,280 --> 00:43:06,279 Speaker 4: And then they have what'sapp, you know, the channels that 855 00:43:06,320 --> 00:43:08,200 Speaker 4: they're pushing all of these videos too. 856 00:43:08,360 --> 00:43:13,120 Speaker 2: So WhatsApp, Telegram and Twitter, like the lifeblood for information sources, 857 00:43:13,160 --> 00:43:15,080 Speaker 2: has nothing to do with official news or any of that. 858 00:43:15,200 --> 00:43:16,840 Speaker 2: Maybe most of these countries are far ahead of us 859 00:43:16,880 --> 00:43:18,120 Speaker 2: in terms of their walk, right, they don't share what 860 00:43:18,120 --> 00:43:22,000 Speaker 2: the New York Times media exactly and these are the 861 00:43:22,040 --> 00:43:24,440 Speaker 2: scenes that they're seeing. Let's put these up there. These 862 00:43:24,480 --> 00:43:26,440 Speaker 2: are the ones that we've been able to gather that 863 00:43:26,600 --> 00:43:29,440 Speaker 2: just show you what some of the rubble looks like 864 00:43:29,920 --> 00:43:32,000 Speaker 2: in terms of the footage that has been coming out 865 00:43:32,280 --> 00:43:34,520 Speaker 2: that's at least been verified by some of the journalists 866 00:43:34,560 --> 00:43:37,080 Speaker 2: that are there on the ground, so you can see 867 00:43:37,239 --> 00:43:40,160 Speaker 2: here like what exactly it is. I mean, we've got 868 00:43:40,280 --> 00:43:42,680 Speaker 2: a decent percentage of the housing stock in Gaza that 869 00:43:42,760 --> 00:43:46,080 Speaker 2: has now been destroyed. It does look and is reminiscent 870 00:43:46,280 --> 00:43:48,720 Speaker 2: very much of Aleppo or some of the other scenes 871 00:43:48,960 --> 00:43:51,520 Speaker 2: that used to come out of Syria. Some of these 872 00:43:51,640 --> 00:43:53,319 Speaker 2: you know in the cases like you were talking about 873 00:43:53,360 --> 00:43:55,880 Speaker 2: the particulates. But I just think people need to understand, 874 00:43:55,960 --> 00:43:58,360 Speaker 2: like you know, the entire world are watching videos like this, 875 00:43:58,719 --> 00:44:03,640 Speaker 2: and we're watching these videos Ryan before we have actually 876 00:44:03,719 --> 00:44:07,520 Speaker 2: seen combat. Now let's take I mean, look, I'm one 877 00:44:07,560 --> 00:44:09,960 Speaker 2: of those guys where I'm not proud of it, but 878 00:44:10,040 --> 00:44:12,120 Speaker 2: I was on LiveLeak from a very early age, rip 879 00:44:12,320 --> 00:44:17,080 Speaker 2: to Lively. You can watch probably still around a lot 880 00:44:17,160 --> 00:44:20,040 Speaker 2: of the combat footage that came out of the war 881 00:44:20,120 --> 00:44:20,600 Speaker 2: in Isis. 882 00:44:21,160 --> 00:44:23,799 Speaker 3: It was right there if you wanted to go look 883 00:44:23,880 --> 00:44:25,440 Speaker 3: for it. I'm talking about guys with. 884 00:44:25,520 --> 00:44:28,480 Speaker 2: Go pros to their chests were getting shot, killed, blown 885 00:44:28,560 --> 00:44:30,960 Speaker 2: up right there, and it was all being live stream 886 00:44:31,040 --> 00:44:32,560 Speaker 2: for the entire world to see. 887 00:44:33,080 --> 00:44:36,040 Speaker 3: It will be like that times, who knows how. 888 00:44:36,080 --> 00:44:39,840 Speaker 2: Much, not just exactly, not just confined to Lively and 889 00:44:39,880 --> 00:44:41,440 Speaker 2: guys who want to look like, you know what it 890 00:44:41,480 --> 00:44:43,200 Speaker 2: looks like when people fire. 891 00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:46,239 Speaker 3: I forget what those missiles, No, it was, it was 892 00:44:46,320 --> 00:44:46,799 Speaker 3: something else. 893 00:44:47,280 --> 00:44:50,000 Speaker 2: Anyway, there were these videos were everywhere at the time, 894 00:44:50,200 --> 00:44:51,960 Speaker 2: but it was just for like, you know, weirdos like 895 00:44:52,040 --> 00:44:54,200 Speaker 2: me who were covering the conflict and others who were 896 00:44:54,280 --> 00:44:56,920 Speaker 2: obsessed with watching what was happeny on the ground. This 897 00:44:57,120 --> 00:45:00,560 Speaker 2: is the entire world basically getting a exposed to that. 898 00:45:00,640 --> 00:45:02,600 Speaker 2: I mean that scene that we just showed you. Now 899 00:45:02,680 --> 00:45:05,800 Speaker 2: imagine that an Israeli platoon is trying to assault it 900 00:45:06,160 --> 00:45:09,600 Speaker 2: and there is IEDs everywhere, and people are getting blown up, 901 00:45:09,680 --> 00:45:11,640 Speaker 2: and there are fighters there in the background, and there's 902 00:45:11,760 --> 00:45:14,360 Speaker 2: RPGs raining down and then there's a re jet comes 903 00:45:14,400 --> 00:45:16,560 Speaker 2: through and tries to take out of this is a 904 00:45:16,600 --> 00:45:19,400 Speaker 2: single tactical thing that I'm just describing, and then multiply 905 00:45:19,480 --> 00:45:22,120 Speaker 2: it by one hundred or two hundred or whatever. That happens, 906 00:45:22,160 --> 00:45:24,440 Speaker 2: and it happens day after day after day. It's like 907 00:45:24,760 --> 00:45:28,960 Speaker 2: having that situation is just so it's so foreign, I think, 908 00:45:29,040 --> 00:45:32,840 Speaker 2: to anything that we've experienced in the modern media environment, 909 00:45:32,960 --> 00:45:35,960 Speaker 2: and it's just something that we really can't look away from. 910 00:45:37,040 --> 00:45:39,080 Speaker 2: It's impossible because the rest of the world is going 911 00:45:39,160 --> 00:45:41,560 Speaker 2: to be paying so much attention, and it just highlights 912 00:45:42,160 --> 00:45:45,000 Speaker 2: if that is this case, there is just no scenario 913 00:45:45,160 --> 00:45:49,080 Speaker 2: where a broader war cannot be avoided. It's impossible if 914 00:45:49,160 --> 00:45:51,359 Speaker 2: that is going to occur. So it's a catch twenty 915 00:45:51,400 --> 00:45:53,680 Speaker 2: two for the Israelis, but really it's a big catch 916 00:45:53,719 --> 00:45:59,080 Speaker 2: twenty two for US and the American political system. And 917 00:45:59,160 --> 00:46:02,480 Speaker 2: speaking of the US political system, the speaker fight. Trump, 918 00:46:02,640 --> 00:46:05,880 Speaker 2: the current leader of the Republican Party at least until 919 00:46:05,920 --> 00:46:09,000 Speaker 2: we technically do have a speaker, has weighed in on 920 00:46:09,080 --> 00:46:09,399 Speaker 2: the fight. 921 00:46:09,640 --> 00:46:11,280 Speaker 3: Here's who he thinks could get elected. 922 00:46:11,560 --> 00:46:13,399 Speaker 5: Only one person that can do it all the way. 923 00:46:13,719 --> 00:46:15,520 Speaker 5: You know who that is, Jesus Christ. 924 00:46:16,600 --> 00:46:20,080 Speaker 7: Jesus came down said I want to be speaker, he. 925 00:46:20,239 --> 00:46:20,719 Speaker 5: Would do it. 926 00:46:21,400 --> 00:46:22,799 Speaker 7: Other than that, I haven't seen. 927 00:46:23,239 --> 00:46:25,279 Speaker 6: I haven't seen anybody that can guarantee it. 928 00:46:25,360 --> 00:46:29,200 Speaker 10: But at some point I think we're gonna have somebody 929 00:46:29,239 --> 00:46:29,719 Speaker 10: pretty soon. 930 00:46:30,239 --> 00:46:32,800 Speaker 2: So only Jesus could do it. But at some point 931 00:46:32,920 --> 00:46:36,160 Speaker 2: we'll have somebody pretty soon. Okay, all right, that the 932 00:46:36,280 --> 00:46:39,320 Speaker 2: man has weighed in. My personal favorite addendum to this 933 00:46:39,520 --> 00:46:41,480 Speaker 2: is something our producer pointed out. Put us up there 934 00:46:41,520 --> 00:46:45,879 Speaker 2: on the screen truthing out this photo of himself next 935 00:46:45,960 --> 00:46:50,840 Speaker 2: to I have fictionalized Jesus Republic of on court the 936 00:46:51,040 --> 00:46:54,120 Speaker 2: issue Ryan. As you both pointed out, I'm no biblical 937 00:46:54,160 --> 00:46:57,560 Speaker 2: scholar myself, but I don't believe the trial worked out 938 00:46:57,600 --> 00:47:01,000 Speaker 2: so well for Jesus. We can have the biblical people away, 939 00:47:01,040 --> 00:47:02,960 Speaker 2: and maybe there's an Old and the New Testament thing. 940 00:47:03,200 --> 00:47:05,160 Speaker 3: No, actually, no, right, because Jesus is not an Old Testament. 941 00:47:05,320 --> 00:47:07,160 Speaker 3: See that's how much I know about all of this. 942 00:47:07,360 --> 00:47:09,360 Speaker 2: My point, though, is to actually just rely on you, 943 00:47:10,000 --> 00:47:13,560 Speaker 2: because you cover so much of Congress. Tell us a 944 00:47:13,560 --> 00:47:17,359 Speaker 2: little bit about these gentlemen. Who's running. We've got nine speakers. Also, 945 00:47:17,440 --> 00:47:19,319 Speaker 2: we have a vote today just laid out for right. 946 00:47:19,400 --> 00:47:23,800 Speaker 4: Well, so last night nine dudes presented their case for 947 00:47:23,920 --> 00:47:27,120 Speaker 4: why they should be a speaker privately to the House 948 00:47:27,160 --> 00:47:30,600 Speaker 4: Republican Conference. One of them dropped out after the end 949 00:47:30,640 --> 00:47:31,120 Speaker 4: of his speech. 950 00:47:33,520 --> 00:47:35,440 Speaker 5: Dan got It. 951 00:47:35,560 --> 00:47:37,880 Speaker 4: He was a problem solvers guy. That's that's the like 952 00:47:38,640 --> 00:47:41,520 Speaker 4: the Republicans and Josh Gotnheimer who get together and pretend 953 00:47:41,560 --> 00:47:44,279 Speaker 4: that they're going to solve problems. So they're they're down 954 00:47:44,320 --> 00:47:46,680 Speaker 4: to eight. The only one you really need to know 955 00:47:46,719 --> 00:47:49,640 Speaker 4: about is at this point is probably Tom Emmer. He 956 00:47:49,800 --> 00:47:51,960 Speaker 4: was he's the whip, he's the currently the whip, and 957 00:47:52,080 --> 00:47:54,640 Speaker 4: so he's the last number three, right, the last man 958 00:47:54,800 --> 00:48:00,640 Speaker 4: standing of the kind of Republican leadership of nless unless 959 00:48:00,640 --> 00:48:04,000 Speaker 4: you count mcchenry, but of McCarthy's Scalise and Emmer, and 960 00:48:04,840 --> 00:48:08,520 Speaker 4: to Emily's Elisiasinski's credit, she's been pointing to Emmer as 961 00:48:08,520 --> 00:48:10,440 Speaker 4: a kind of a dark horse candidate from the very 962 00:48:10,480 --> 00:48:13,400 Speaker 4: beginning because he has really good relationships kind of with 963 00:48:13,480 --> 00:48:16,319 Speaker 4: a lot of Freedom Caucus members Republican Study Group, which 964 00:48:16,360 --> 00:48:18,799 Speaker 4: is the kind of right wing but less right wing 965 00:48:18,880 --> 00:48:24,920 Speaker 4: than the Freedom Caucus Group. However, Steve Bannon, Donald Trump, 966 00:48:25,200 --> 00:48:27,480 Speaker 4: that whole world, Matt Gates, they like they've been on 967 00:48:27,560 --> 00:48:31,040 Speaker 4: a Matt Gase has been organizing through Steve Bannon and Trump. 968 00:48:31,600 --> 00:48:34,120 Speaker 4: They've been on a campaign against Tom Emmer. Like they're 969 00:48:34,200 --> 00:48:38,320 Speaker 4: calling Emmer a never Trump candidate. Interesting, They're saying that 970 00:48:38,440 --> 00:48:40,120 Speaker 4: if we have that, if you have McConnell in the 971 00:48:40,200 --> 00:48:43,200 Speaker 4: Senate and Emma in the House, what even is the 972 00:48:43,239 --> 00:48:48,040 Speaker 4: point of Trump winning the presidency. So they're meeting at 973 00:48:48,120 --> 00:48:50,759 Speaker 4: nine am this morning. They're going to have then kind 974 00:48:50,800 --> 00:48:53,719 Speaker 4: of a secret vote, and if one of them gets 975 00:48:53,760 --> 00:48:57,680 Speaker 4: more than a majority, they become the speaker designate. Emmer 976 00:48:57,800 --> 00:49:01,040 Speaker 4: is going to likely get a majority. Then the question 977 00:49:01,360 --> 00:49:05,320 Speaker 4: is does he go to the floor, And if he 978 00:49:05,400 --> 00:49:07,320 Speaker 4: goes to the floor, does he get the two seventeen 979 00:49:07,840 --> 00:49:10,600 Speaker 4: he needs. He's the whip, so he should know the 980 00:49:10,680 --> 00:49:15,680 Speaker 4: vote count. People like Gates are implacably kind of opposed 981 00:49:16,000 --> 00:49:21,560 Speaker 4: to Emmer or so the thinking among the kind of 982 00:49:21,600 --> 00:49:26,239 Speaker 4: bannoned world that has organized this pusch believes that they 983 00:49:26,280 --> 00:49:28,600 Speaker 4: have at least five, maybe ten to fifteen hard nose 984 00:49:28,600 --> 00:49:30,960 Speaker 4: against Emmer, whose they're really trying hard to frame as 985 00:49:31,040 --> 00:49:34,560 Speaker 4: never Trump. Emmer himself is trying to do everything he 986 00:49:34,640 --> 00:49:37,000 Speaker 4: can to say that no, no, no, no, I love Trump. 987 00:49:37,440 --> 00:49:39,480 Speaker 4: The main knock against him is that he voted to 988 00:49:39,520 --> 00:49:41,360 Speaker 4: certify the election. 989 00:49:41,480 --> 00:49:43,240 Speaker 2: So we have some of the votes on that, actually 990 00:49:43,320 --> 00:49:45,440 Speaker 2: the vote wrecords some of these gentlemen. Yeah, we could 991 00:49:45,480 --> 00:49:50,160 Speaker 2: see here for the main ones. Tom Emmer certifying the election. Yes, 992 00:49:50,400 --> 00:49:54,919 Speaker 2: same sex marriage, yes, Ukraine Aid Yes, fiscal responsibility yes, 993 00:49:55,120 --> 00:49:58,279 Speaker 2: forty seven day funding bill. Yes, that's about establishment as 994 00:49:58,320 --> 00:50:00,680 Speaker 2: I guess it gets for the Republican Party some of 995 00:50:00,719 --> 00:50:03,000 Speaker 2: the other candidates there. You have multiple no's and other 996 00:50:03,080 --> 00:50:05,959 Speaker 2: things across the board. But one thing that I'm seeing 997 00:50:06,000 --> 00:50:09,880 Speaker 2: floated right now, Ryan, is the idea that Democrats would 998 00:50:10,520 --> 00:50:14,520 Speaker 2: not attend, They would basically sit out the vote to 999 00:50:14,800 --> 00:50:19,040 Speaker 2: give Emmer a majority. Can you just explain how that 1000 00:50:19,120 --> 00:50:20,520 Speaker 2: would work procedurally? 1001 00:50:20,600 --> 00:50:20,880 Speaker 3: What does that? 1002 00:50:21,480 --> 00:50:25,200 Speaker 4: What they call it on Capitol Hill is taking a walk? Okay, 1003 00:50:25,680 --> 00:50:27,440 Speaker 4: what do I need to do to get you to 1004 00:50:27,560 --> 00:50:29,759 Speaker 4: take a walk. And so when you take a walk, 1005 00:50:30,080 --> 00:50:32,440 Speaker 4: you literally take a walk, like you walk out of 1006 00:50:32,480 --> 00:50:34,000 Speaker 4: the walk, out of the chamber, you go in on 1007 00:50:34,040 --> 00:50:37,759 Speaker 4: the steps, you enjoy the sun, and they'll say the 1008 00:50:38,440 --> 00:50:41,799 Speaker 4: clerk will read out mister Gottheimer, and you're just not there, 1009 00:50:41,920 --> 00:50:45,920 Speaker 4: mister Gottheimer, mister Goththeimer and then so then there's no 1010 00:50:46,080 --> 00:50:50,640 Speaker 4: vote recorded for mister Gottheimer. That lowers the threshold. If 1011 00:50:50,800 --> 00:50:54,400 Speaker 4: six people, if six Democrats take a walk, the threshold 1012 00:50:54,480 --> 00:50:56,960 Speaker 4: comes down by three. So then instead of two seventeen, 1013 00:50:57,760 --> 00:51:01,239 Speaker 4: you need two fourteen take a If ten take a walk, 1014 00:51:01,440 --> 00:51:05,120 Speaker 4: comes down by five. Now, just now, Dean Phillips, who 1015 00:51:05,560 --> 00:51:08,560 Speaker 4: he's the dude who is Minnesota Congress and a Democrat 1016 00:51:08,640 --> 00:51:11,320 Speaker 4: who keeps pretending like he's going to run. Maybe he 1017 00:51:11,520 --> 00:51:14,359 Speaker 4: is running running for president against Beyen, so it's kind 1018 00:51:14,400 --> 00:51:17,560 Speaker 4: of a wild card. He's willing to do whatever. He's 1019 00:51:17,600 --> 00:51:20,400 Speaker 4: also one of the most outspoken supporters of Israel and 1020 00:51:20,480 --> 00:51:24,320 Speaker 4: the Democratic Caucus. So he writes on Twitter, this is 1021 00:51:24,440 --> 00:51:26,600 Speaker 4: just now. The dysfunction in the House is a national 1022 00:51:26,760 --> 00:51:30,440 Speaker 4: and global security issue. I would sit out the speaker 1023 00:51:30,520 --> 00:51:33,520 Speaker 4: vote if Tom Emmer. So now he's going to start negotiating. 1024 00:51:33,840 --> 00:51:37,200 Speaker 4: If Tom Emmer will fund our government at negotiated levels, 1025 00:51:37,600 --> 00:51:40,920 Speaker 4: bring Ukraine and Israel aid bills to the floor, and 1026 00:51:41,040 --> 00:51:45,080 Speaker 4: commit to rules changes to make Congress work for the people. 1027 00:51:45,640 --> 00:51:51,160 Speaker 4: So people like Gotttheimer, Henrique are Phillips, there are enough 1028 00:51:51,320 --> 00:51:57,000 Speaker 4: people that could, with Jeffrey's permission or not, could say 1029 00:51:57,040 --> 00:51:59,479 Speaker 4: look here are the things. If you commit to these things, 1030 00:52:01,120 --> 00:52:03,200 Speaker 4: then we'll take a walk and you then only need 1031 00:52:03,239 --> 00:52:06,359 Speaker 4: two hundred and ten. So Gates, Gates and his eight 1032 00:52:06,880 --> 00:52:10,040 Speaker 4: or the crazy eight says, as McCarthy calls them, can 1033 00:52:10,200 --> 00:52:13,520 Speaker 4: vote no and you still have a majority with two ten. 1034 00:52:13,760 --> 00:52:16,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, that fits with some reporting now here in Washington 1035 00:52:16,239 --> 00:52:18,480 Speaker 2: they say somehows Democrats tell us they find Emmer the 1036 00:52:18,600 --> 00:52:22,000 Speaker 2: least objectionable GOP candidate. They would be open to helping 1037 00:52:22,080 --> 00:52:23,879 Speaker 2: him by sitting the vote out if they get private 1038 00:52:23,920 --> 00:52:26,400 Speaker 2: assurances he will fund the government at levels, negotiating the 1039 00:52:26,440 --> 00:52:29,520 Speaker 2: debt limit deal and put Ukraine plus Israel Aid bill 1040 00:52:29,640 --> 00:52:31,080 Speaker 2: on the floor, Which is how. 1041 00:52:31,000 --> 00:52:32,279 Speaker 4: Private are those That's all they want? 1042 00:52:32,400 --> 00:52:32,520 Speaker 12: Right? 1043 00:52:32,560 --> 00:52:33,520 Speaker 4: How private assurance? 1044 00:52:33,680 --> 00:52:33,839 Speaker 10: Yeah? 1045 00:52:33,920 --> 00:52:35,240 Speaker 4: Well, that private are those assurances? 1046 00:52:35,440 --> 00:52:38,160 Speaker 2: That's the big question, I think, because in terms of 1047 00:52:38,680 --> 00:52:42,839 Speaker 2: Tom Emmer, it's like, can you even govern effectively your 1048 00:52:42,920 --> 00:52:47,239 Speaker 2: caucus if you get elevated based upon democratic votes? I 1049 00:52:47,280 --> 00:52:50,239 Speaker 2: mean already, just as just a perusal of the timeline here, 1050 00:52:50,960 --> 00:52:55,080 Speaker 2: it seems as if Tom Emmer is absolutely not getting 1051 00:52:55,200 --> 00:52:59,200 Speaker 2: the support that he needs. For example, Trump has actually 1052 00:52:59,360 --> 00:53:03,000 Speaker 2: quote re truth two attacks on Tom Emmer, calling him 1053 00:53:03,040 --> 00:53:07,440 Speaker 2: the uniparty spic pick for Speaker of the House. He 1054 00:53:07,560 --> 00:53:11,480 Speaker 2: previously served as a national popular voter initiative funded by 1055 00:53:11,560 --> 00:53:15,399 Speaker 2: George Soros all this other stuff. Previously, though Trump had 1056 00:53:15,440 --> 00:53:18,000 Speaker 2: been neutral after he said he had a good phone call. 1057 00:53:18,120 --> 00:53:21,720 Speaker 3: I believe with Trump up, the certifying. 1058 00:53:21,280 --> 00:53:22,799 Speaker 2: Election thing is just going to be the death now 1059 00:53:22,880 --> 00:53:24,759 Speaker 2: for him, I think, for at least for a bunch 1060 00:53:25,400 --> 00:53:26,879 Speaker 2: for a lot of mags, a lot of them. I'm 1061 00:53:26,880 --> 00:53:28,520 Speaker 2: not saying that doesn't mean he could win a very 1062 00:53:28,600 --> 00:53:30,320 Speaker 2: much easily could win. It's not like the majority of 1063 00:53:30,360 --> 00:53:33,480 Speaker 2: Republicans you know, even support that. But you've got a 1064 00:53:33,520 --> 00:53:36,960 Speaker 2: pretty powerful faction here. And more importantly, if you do 1065 00:53:37,080 --> 00:53:39,319 Speaker 2: get elevated and you don't change the rules on motion 1066 00:53:39,440 --> 00:53:41,680 Speaker 2: to vacate, what's the point, you know, they're just going 1067 00:53:41,719 --> 00:53:42,600 Speaker 2: to keep taking you out. 1068 00:53:42,719 --> 00:53:45,120 Speaker 4: Like, so, what Democrats could do if they really did 1069 00:53:45,360 --> 00:53:48,319 Speaker 4: want to strike a deal, Jefferies could have the entire 1070 00:53:48,960 --> 00:53:51,840 Speaker 4: caucus walk okay, And so that means. 1071 00:53:51,719 --> 00:53:53,759 Speaker 3: That he just needs sweat was slight two thirds? 1072 00:53:53,800 --> 00:53:54,960 Speaker 4: Just a majority majority? 1073 00:53:55,000 --> 00:53:55,200 Speaker 11: Wow? 1074 00:53:55,320 --> 00:53:58,880 Speaker 4: Just so basically every if he wins in the closed 1075 00:53:58,960 --> 00:54:02,080 Speaker 4: room today, that means he has a majority of Republican support. 1076 00:54:03,480 --> 00:54:06,080 Speaker 4: Is there a majority of the Republican conference that's willing 1077 00:54:06,160 --> 00:54:08,440 Speaker 4: to go to the House floor and vote against Trump 1078 00:54:08,520 --> 00:54:11,680 Speaker 4: and say, you, I know, Tom Emmer, he's not a 1079 00:54:11,800 --> 00:54:14,920 Speaker 4: never Trumper, he's not an anti insurrectionist. He you know, 1080 00:54:15,200 --> 00:54:17,920 Speaker 4: whatever whatever argument they want to make is, and I 1081 00:54:18,040 --> 00:54:22,719 Speaker 4: think that there is. But then it's so embarrassing for 1082 00:54:22,800 --> 00:54:25,920 Speaker 4: them to have to do that. Yes, the spectacle of 1083 00:54:26,000 --> 00:54:30,400 Speaker 4: them working with Democrats. So the other other possibility that 1084 00:54:30,480 --> 00:54:32,840 Speaker 4: people are kicking around is that they do this for McCarthy, 1085 00:54:33,480 --> 00:54:36,239 Speaker 4: which a lot of people would like, a lot of 1086 00:54:36,280 --> 00:54:38,439 Speaker 4: Republicans would like to do, because it would be seen 1087 00:54:38,480 --> 00:54:41,279 Speaker 4: then as a humiliation for Gates, and so they can 1088 00:54:41,400 --> 00:54:42,640 Speaker 4: personally get back at Gates. 1089 00:54:42,840 --> 00:54:44,560 Speaker 3: I had not thought about that. But I don't even 1090 00:54:44,560 --> 00:54:45,239 Speaker 3: know if he's running. 1091 00:54:45,280 --> 00:54:47,719 Speaker 4: I mean he's not. He's not. But if it looked 1092 00:54:47,840 --> 00:54:50,640 Speaker 4: like he could come in at the last minute, they'd. 1093 00:54:50,520 --> 00:54:53,160 Speaker 3: Be like, all right, how many how much longer do 1094 00:54:53,239 --> 00:54:54,160 Speaker 3: you anticipate this going? 1095 00:54:55,000 --> 00:54:58,319 Speaker 4: This fund funding runs out November seventeenth, ok So they 1096 00:54:58,400 --> 00:55:01,640 Speaker 4: have to they have to figure something, yeah, at some point, 1097 00:55:02,480 --> 00:55:04,560 Speaker 4: or they just keep saying, you know what, Okay. McHenry 1098 00:55:04,680 --> 00:55:08,640 Speaker 4: continues to justody. Nobody seems to think like the idea 1099 00:55:08,640 --> 00:55:10,400 Speaker 4: of mckenry being speaker. 1100 00:55:10,200 --> 00:55:11,160 Speaker 3: For including him. 1101 00:55:11,680 --> 00:55:12,200 Speaker 4: I'm interesting. 1102 00:55:13,000 --> 00:55:15,000 Speaker 3: Okay, all right, well that's a good run. So what 1103 00:55:15,120 --> 00:55:16,000 Speaker 3: time is the vote today? 1104 00:55:17,040 --> 00:55:18,960 Speaker 4: It starts at nine am, but you've got all right, 1105 00:55:19,000 --> 00:55:21,839 Speaker 4: everybody's going to give speeches, so it'll be a while. 1106 00:55:21,880 --> 00:55:24,400 Speaker 4: We should know by nine thirty, ten o'clock we should Well, 1107 00:55:24,440 --> 00:55:24,840 Speaker 4: you guys. 1108 00:55:24,760 --> 00:55:28,520 Speaker 3: Can update everybody on counterpoints tomorrow and give everyone. 1109 00:55:28,400 --> 00:55:31,040 Speaker 4: The skinny inside dope, no doubt. 1110 00:55:31,080 --> 00:55:33,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, okay, good, I want to hear it. I'll be 1111 00:55:33,840 --> 00:55:39,200 Speaker 2: I'll be waiting and I'll be anticipating that eagerly. Let's 1112 00:55:39,239 --> 00:55:41,680 Speaker 2: move on to Ukraine. Obviously, can't take our eye off 1113 00:55:41,719 --> 00:55:44,520 Speaker 2: the ball of what's going on. But it's just amazing 1114 00:55:44,600 --> 00:55:47,520 Speaker 2: to me that these confirmations and these stories, things that 1115 00:55:47,640 --> 00:55:52,160 Speaker 2: everybody knows is probably true but not officially true, comes 1116 00:55:52,239 --> 00:55:54,080 Speaker 2: in just years later and you get some of the 1117 00:55:54,160 --> 00:55:58,239 Speaker 2: most shocking news, and shocking in that it's not surprising, 1118 00:55:58,360 --> 00:56:00,160 Speaker 2: but if you had known this at the time, you 1119 00:56:00,160 --> 00:56:02,680 Speaker 2: would have just been absolutely stunned. Let's put this up 1120 00:56:02,680 --> 00:56:05,120 Speaker 2: there on the screen. This is from the Washington Post, 1121 00:56:05,200 --> 00:56:08,360 Speaker 2: a new deep dive into the CIA and its backing 1122 00:56:08,719 --> 00:56:13,400 Speaker 2: of Ukrainian intelligence services, It says quote the missions that 1123 00:56:13,520 --> 00:56:17,360 Speaker 2: have evolved, elite teams of Ukrainian operatives drawn from directorates 1124 00:56:17,400 --> 00:56:20,760 Speaker 2: were formed, trained, and equipped in close partnership with the CIA. 1125 00:56:21,120 --> 00:56:24,440 Speaker 2: According to current and former Ukrainian and US officials, since 1126 00:56:24,480 --> 00:56:28,200 Speaker 2: twenty fifteen, CIA has spent tens of millions of dollars 1127 00:56:28,520 --> 00:56:32,880 Speaker 2: to transform Ukraine's Soviet form services into potent allies against Moscow. 1128 00:56:33,640 --> 00:56:37,120 Speaker 2: The agency has provided Ukraine with advanced surveillance systems, trained 1129 00:56:37,120 --> 00:56:38,960 Speaker 2: recruits at sites in Ukraine as well as in the 1130 00:56:39,120 --> 00:56:41,960 Speaker 2: United States, built them a new headquarters for departments in 1131 00:56:42,080 --> 00:56:45,560 Speaker 2: Ukraine's military intelligence agency shared intelligence on a scale that 1132 00:56:45,600 --> 00:56:49,880 Speaker 2: would have been unimaginable before Russia illegally annexed Crimea and 1133 00:56:49,960 --> 00:56:53,160 Speaker 2: then fomented a separatist war in eastern Ukraine. The CIA 1134 00:56:53,280 --> 00:56:57,960 Speaker 2: maintains a significant presence in Kiev. Officials said this is 1135 00:56:58,000 --> 00:57:01,800 Speaker 2: an official confirmation, basically Ryan that the Ukrainian kill squads 1136 00:57:02,080 --> 00:57:07,400 Speaker 2: behind the assassinations in Moscow, including of Jugina, the daughter 1137 00:57:07,719 --> 00:57:10,160 Speaker 2: of a political How do you even describe him like 1138 00:57:10,200 --> 00:57:13,359 Speaker 2: a supporter, like a Russian political supporter of the war 1139 00:57:14,000 --> 00:57:17,720 Speaker 2: in Ukraine, as well as the architecture go with that. 1140 00:57:17,800 --> 00:57:18,080 Speaker 5: I don't know. 1141 00:57:18,280 --> 00:57:20,200 Speaker 2: Let's know that, all right, and then that then also 1142 00:57:20,920 --> 00:57:24,120 Speaker 2: the team that was very likely behind the bombing of 1143 00:57:24,160 --> 00:57:27,720 Speaker 2: the nord Stream pipeline were formed, training and equipped by CEI. 1144 00:57:28,080 --> 00:57:30,320 Speaker 3: Now, on the one hand, it doesn't take a genius 1145 00:57:30,360 --> 00:57:31,000 Speaker 3: to figure it out. 1146 00:57:31,160 --> 00:57:33,520 Speaker 2: As we all remember the New York Times, you know, 1147 00:57:33,680 --> 00:57:39,920 Speaker 2: famous story, they're like Ukrainian group behind this Nordstream pipeline bombing, 1148 00:57:39,960 --> 00:57:42,240 Speaker 2: and you're like, oh, really, you're like this group that 1149 00:57:42,360 --> 00:57:46,080 Speaker 2: just so happened to get like special training and patriots 1150 00:57:46,160 --> 00:57:47,760 Speaker 2: and oh where do their money come from? 1151 00:57:47,840 --> 00:57:48,280 Speaker 3: Amazing? 1152 00:57:48,400 --> 00:57:50,400 Speaker 2: Right, It's only a couple of intelligence services in the 1153 00:57:50,400 --> 00:57:52,880 Speaker 2: whole world are capable of this, and one of them 1154 00:57:52,960 --> 00:57:56,320 Speaker 2: certainly ain't Ukraine, So I wonder where they got that from. 1155 00:57:56,960 --> 00:57:59,880 Speaker 2: They were like, we believe that outside groups, you know, 1156 00:58:00,120 --> 00:58:02,920 Speaker 2: helped advise them, and everyone. The literal meme on the 1157 00:58:03,000 --> 00:58:06,160 Speaker 2: Internet at the time was outside group equals CIA. Now 1158 00:58:07,320 --> 00:58:10,000 Speaker 2: it's just out there. It's just a direct confirmation. And 1159 00:58:10,080 --> 00:58:12,920 Speaker 2: I think what's shocking to me is not just the 1160 00:58:13,280 --> 00:58:17,720 Speaker 2: direct operational involvement bringing these people over, training them. It 1161 00:58:17,960 --> 00:58:21,880 Speaker 2: just shows me once again people do not comprehend the 1162 00:58:22,040 --> 00:58:26,200 Speaker 2: Ukrainian War is a US war. We are paying all 1163 00:58:26,320 --> 00:58:29,400 Speaker 2: their bills, we are giving them all of their weapons. 1164 00:58:29,960 --> 00:58:32,400 Speaker 2: They are doing the fighting, We are doing the planning, 1165 00:58:32,720 --> 00:58:35,160 Speaker 2: the paying, all of the things that like real nation 1166 00:58:35,280 --> 00:58:38,680 Speaker 2: states do. And on the intelligence side, you know, sure, 1167 00:58:38,840 --> 00:58:41,000 Speaker 2: you know, maybe they're the ones who are technically pressing 1168 00:58:41,040 --> 00:58:43,760 Speaker 2: the button to kill some of these dissidents and all that, 1169 00:58:44,040 --> 00:58:48,120 Speaker 2: But every single one of their bills, all of their training, 1170 00:58:48,400 --> 00:58:52,000 Speaker 2: all of their software, all of their equipment, it's all 1171 00:58:52,080 --> 00:58:55,800 Speaker 2: coming from us. It's like the extent to which America 1172 00:58:56,000 --> 00:59:01,080 Speaker 2: is directly backstopping this entire thing is shocking still to me, 1173 00:59:01,280 --> 00:59:03,800 Speaker 2: and I know it to be true. The average person 1174 00:59:03,880 --> 00:59:06,520 Speaker 2: on the street, even people who are like I support Ukraine, 1175 00:59:06,640 --> 00:59:07,800 Speaker 2: they have no clue. 1176 00:59:08,160 --> 00:59:08,320 Speaker 5: You know. 1177 00:59:08,440 --> 00:59:10,040 Speaker 2: One of the things that came out to me in 1178 00:59:10,160 --> 00:59:13,200 Speaker 2: those documents, the leaked Pentagon documents that we got from 1179 00:59:13,200 --> 00:59:16,240 Speaker 2: the Discord leak. We never published them just for operational 1180 00:59:16,600 --> 00:59:18,000 Speaker 2: we didn't want to be accused of like helping the 1181 00:59:18,080 --> 00:59:19,760 Speaker 2: enemy or whatever. But one of the things that was 1182 00:59:19,800 --> 00:59:21,080 Speaker 2: crazy to me, it's not all the stuff that we 1183 00:59:21,200 --> 00:59:24,360 Speaker 2: just reported. It was all these official battle damage assessments. 1184 00:59:24,360 --> 00:59:26,200 Speaker 2: I still have them here, you know, in the files 1185 00:59:26,400 --> 00:59:29,040 Speaker 2: which show you the US using satellites and all this stuff. 1186 00:59:29,200 --> 00:59:32,520 Speaker 2: We are running all the most basic levels of operations 1187 00:59:32,560 --> 00:59:36,000 Speaker 2: at a military tactical level for the entire Ukrainian military. 1188 00:59:36,160 --> 00:59:38,240 Speaker 3: I didn't sign up, nobody signed up for that. We 1189 00:59:38,280 --> 00:59:40,200 Speaker 3: don't even know that it is happening. This is just 1190 00:59:40,280 --> 00:59:41,200 Speaker 3: another example of it. 1191 00:59:41,840 --> 00:59:44,560 Speaker 4: It reminds me of a quote from a senior Israeli 1192 00:59:44,760 --> 00:59:48,960 Speaker 4: defense official recently who was pressed on you know, why 1193 00:59:49,240 --> 00:59:52,320 Speaker 4: haven't you launched this ground in vasion yet? You might 1194 00:59:52,360 --> 00:59:54,440 Speaker 4: have seen this quote too, where he said, look, the 1195 00:59:54,600 --> 00:59:56,959 Speaker 4: United States asked us not to write, and he said, 1196 00:59:57,280 --> 00:59:59,560 Speaker 4: they are funding and equipping the entire thing. What do 1197 00:59:59,600 --> 01:00:00,600 Speaker 4: you want me to do? Say no? 1198 01:00:01,880 --> 01:00:03,120 Speaker 3: At least he was honest about that. 1199 01:00:03,680 --> 01:00:06,760 Speaker 4: Yes, And it's the same situation in Ukraine. We're funding 1200 01:00:06,760 --> 01:00:10,520 Speaker 4: and equipping and guiding and directing the entire thing. It 1201 01:00:10,640 --> 01:00:12,840 Speaker 4: is Ukrainian lives that are being put on the line, 1202 01:00:13,440 --> 01:00:16,880 Speaker 4: and so that puts them in a place of what 1203 01:00:17,000 --> 01:00:17,640 Speaker 4: do you want me to do? 1204 01:00:17,760 --> 01:00:18,040 Speaker 5: Say no? 1205 01:00:18,520 --> 01:00:21,400 Speaker 4: Right like this, this is our These are our choices 1206 01:00:21,720 --> 01:00:23,200 Speaker 4: if you and choices are in quotes. 1207 01:00:23,440 --> 01:00:26,400 Speaker 2: Well, unfortunately we actually give them choices. We don't tell 1208 01:00:26,440 --> 01:00:28,240 Speaker 2: them what to do. In my opinion, we should tell 1209 01:00:28,240 --> 01:00:30,520 Speaker 2: them what to do. And one of the most important 1210 01:00:30,560 --> 01:00:33,800 Speaker 2: things that is really coming through is the assessment now 1211 01:00:33,960 --> 01:00:36,959 Speaker 2: of the one hundred something billion dollars that we've given 1212 01:00:37,000 --> 01:00:37,440 Speaker 2: these people. 1213 01:00:37,760 --> 01:00:38,480 Speaker 3: How is it going? 1214 01:00:38,920 --> 01:00:42,640 Speaker 2: How is your counter offensive going? I came across this chart, 1215 01:00:43,040 --> 01:00:45,840 Speaker 2: which I am still shocked by. I knew that their 1216 01:00:45,920 --> 01:00:48,080 Speaker 2: counter offensive was not going well. I knew it was bad, 1217 01:00:48,400 --> 01:00:50,680 Speaker 2: but I did not realize that when you compare it 1218 01:00:50,960 --> 01:00:55,200 Speaker 2: to similar combined arms offensives from the last one hundred years, 1219 01:00:55,600 --> 01:00:59,320 Speaker 2: it is historically awful. Let's put this up there on 1220 01:00:59,440 --> 01:01:01,680 Speaker 2: the screen. This from CSIS, it's one of them. And 1221 01:01:01,720 --> 01:01:03,160 Speaker 2: by the way, this is one of the most establishment 1222 01:01:03,200 --> 01:01:05,840 Speaker 2: friendly think takes in the whole world. And they put 1223 01:01:06,000 --> 01:01:10,440 Speaker 2: together this graphic. This graphic is the rates of advance 1224 01:01:10,680 --> 01:01:14,400 Speaker 2: for selected combined arms offensives with no air power. Let 1225 01:01:14,440 --> 01:01:17,080 Speaker 2: me underscore that with no air power, which is why 1226 01:01:17,160 --> 01:01:18,800 Speaker 2: you have to go back over one hundred years. 1227 01:01:18,840 --> 01:01:19,680 Speaker 3: To World War One. 1228 01:01:20,160 --> 01:01:24,720 Speaker 2: Even in World War One, the rates of advance for 1229 01:01:24,920 --> 01:01:28,160 Speaker 2: troops in that war were better than the Ukrainians. The 1230 01:01:28,320 --> 01:01:32,680 Speaker 2: current advance per day meters per day for the Ukrainians 1231 01:01:32,720 --> 01:01:36,840 Speaker 2: in this counteroffensive is ninety meters. The last time so 1232 01:01:37,120 --> 01:01:41,000 Speaker 2: little progress was made by an attacking army in the 1233 01:01:41,200 --> 01:01:46,120 Speaker 2: offensive with no air power was nineteen fourteen, nineteen sixteen 1234 01:01:46,760 --> 01:01:49,840 Speaker 2: in the Battle of the Somme, where they advanced a 1235 01:01:49,960 --> 01:01:53,640 Speaker 2: similar amount of meters per day. So let that sink 1236 01:01:53,720 --> 01:01:59,040 Speaker 2: in that previous you know, previous offensive by Austria Hungary 1237 01:01:59,200 --> 01:02:02,240 Speaker 2: or sorry, by Russi against Austro Hungarian troops. We're getting 1238 01:02:02,240 --> 01:02:06,360 Speaker 2: fifteen hundred meters per day. Previous offensives by the Italians 1239 01:02:06,440 --> 01:02:07,919 Speaker 2: against Austro Hunger getting five. 1240 01:02:07,880 --> 01:02:09,000 Speaker 3: Hundred bellow wood. 1241 01:02:09,080 --> 01:02:10,960 Speaker 2: Which reminds is you know, I believe that's where the 1242 01:02:11,040 --> 01:02:14,480 Speaker 2: term devil dog came from. For the US Marine Corps. 1243 01:02:14,880 --> 01:02:17,880 Speaker 2: It's remembered as a nightmare. They were advancing four hundred meters. 1244 01:02:18,200 --> 01:02:21,360 Speaker 2: Even Leningrad, which we remember in history, is like this 1245 01:02:21,480 --> 01:02:26,280 Speaker 2: horrific stalled operation. They were going a thousand today where 1246 01:02:26,360 --> 01:02:29,880 Speaker 2: we are right now. Just look at that graphic ninety 1247 01:02:30,200 --> 01:02:32,120 Speaker 2: meters the Battle of the Somme. I'll tell you, I've 1248 01:02:32,120 --> 01:02:33,640 Speaker 2: been to the Battle to the Somme. 1249 01:02:34,400 --> 01:02:36,400 Speaker 3: I've seen the amount of graveyards there. 1250 01:02:37,040 --> 01:02:39,960 Speaker 2: Fifteen year old's you know, a graveyard who was I'm 1251 01:02:39,960 --> 01:02:42,000 Speaker 2: telling you is one of the saddest things you just 1252 01:02:42,160 --> 01:02:43,920 Speaker 2: drive it in some of the most picturesque places that 1253 01:02:43,920 --> 01:02:46,240 Speaker 2: you've ever been on Earth, and then right on the 1254 01:02:46,320 --> 01:02:48,800 Speaker 2: side of the road is a graveyard erected by the 1255 01:02:48,880 --> 01:02:52,480 Speaker 2: widows of you know, whatever shire or something, where they're like, oh, 1256 01:02:52,600 --> 01:02:55,440 Speaker 2: all of our men from our English village were all 1257 01:02:55,560 --> 01:02:58,840 Speaker 2: killed in this one spot, and here's all the gravestones, 1258 01:02:58,880 --> 01:03:01,800 Speaker 2: and you know, erected in nineteen twenty three or whatever 1259 01:03:01,920 --> 01:03:04,800 Speaker 2: something like that, and it's heartbreaking. It's just like every 1260 01:03:04,920 --> 01:03:08,120 Speaker 2: mile that you go, Oh, a thousand Canadians or whatever, 1261 01:03:08,280 --> 01:03:09,040 Speaker 2: here's their graves. 1262 01:03:09,200 --> 01:03:11,840 Speaker 3: Bunch of Australians, here's their graves. And it's like that 1263 01:03:12,160 --> 01:03:12,840 Speaker 3: everywhere you go. 1264 01:03:12,960 --> 01:03:14,960 Speaker 2: And I'm not even talking about the Germans who were 1265 01:03:15,080 --> 01:03:18,400 Speaker 2: killed a two million or whatever that were killed. It's 1266 01:03:18,560 --> 01:03:21,760 Speaker 2: when you comprehend like what that type of attritional warfare 1267 01:03:22,080 --> 01:03:24,920 Speaker 2: looks like. It is nightmarish. And there's a reason that 1268 01:03:25,000 --> 01:03:28,920 Speaker 2: those people after that war happened were so anxious to 1269 01:03:29,080 --> 01:03:31,760 Speaker 2: never get into a war again, and why it was 1270 01:03:31,960 --> 01:03:35,120 Speaker 2: such a massive blow to the Psyche and what the 1271 01:03:35,160 --> 01:03:37,880 Speaker 2: fallout was. If you could play a role, as America 1272 01:03:37,960 --> 01:03:40,560 Speaker 2: could in making sure that doesn't happen, why would you 1273 01:03:40,720 --> 01:03:42,560 Speaker 2: not want to do that, and I think that's where 1274 01:03:42,600 --> 01:03:43,240 Speaker 2: we're at right now. 1275 01:03:43,440 --> 01:03:48,200 Speaker 4: Yeah, those offensives that you put up and produced each 1276 01:03:48,280 --> 01:03:51,800 Speaker 4: of them generations of PTSD yes for the people lucky 1277 01:03:51,880 --> 01:03:54,440 Speaker 4: enough to survive them, which was not a big amount. 1278 01:03:54,960 --> 01:03:59,040 Speaker 4: And you're right, it reshaped kind of in entire cultural 1279 01:03:59,080 --> 01:04:05,120 Speaker 4: attitudes towards towards war, towards life itself. Right, and to 1280 01:04:05,800 --> 01:04:11,000 Speaker 4: have encouraged, armed, equipped, trained, and directed this with all 1281 01:04:11,120 --> 01:04:13,560 Speaker 4: of the forecasts that this is precisely what would happen. 1282 01:04:14,320 --> 01:04:17,560 Speaker 4: And if you look at Kharkiv on on that graphic, 1283 01:04:18,160 --> 01:04:20,360 Speaker 4: that was one where they caught the Russians off guard, 1284 01:04:21,000 --> 01:04:24,560 Speaker 4: made huge advances. They knew that the Russians would be 1285 01:04:24,640 --> 01:04:28,200 Speaker 4: fortified for this next one. Yes, and the fortifications with 1286 01:04:28,360 --> 01:04:31,640 Speaker 4: the drones and the trenches and the mortar like are 1287 01:04:32,400 --> 01:04:36,760 Speaker 4: clearly impenetrable at this point. And that was when the 1288 01:04:36,920 --> 01:04:39,040 Speaker 4: US was shipping all of its weapons right there. Now 1289 01:04:39,400 --> 01:04:41,600 Speaker 4: we're shipping half of them somewhere else. 1290 01:04:41,720 --> 01:04:44,320 Speaker 2: Well, that's a very good point because even when they 1291 01:04:44,400 --> 01:04:46,600 Speaker 2: were asked about it, the White House is now admitting 1292 01:04:46,880 --> 01:04:49,840 Speaker 2: we are low on the weapons we need if we 1293 01:04:49,960 --> 01:04:51,760 Speaker 2: ever need to defend the US. 1294 01:04:52,040 --> 01:04:54,880 Speaker 3: And now they're still closing, Oh, well. 1295 01:04:55,240 --> 01:04:57,440 Speaker 2: I don't even think we would make it past Warez 1296 01:04:57,560 --> 01:05:00,120 Speaker 2: currently with the rate of way amount of weapons that 1297 01:05:00,160 --> 01:05:03,440 Speaker 2: we even have in stockpiles. Consider this when you've got 1298 01:05:03,800 --> 01:05:07,280 Speaker 2: John Kirby, it asked directly in an interview admitting outright, 1299 01:05:07,560 --> 01:05:10,480 Speaker 2: we're running very low and they still want seventy billion 1300 01:05:10,520 --> 01:05:12,160 Speaker 2: dollars to send to Israel into Ukraine. 1301 01:05:12,320 --> 01:05:13,040 Speaker 3: Let's take a listen. 1302 01:05:13,400 --> 01:05:16,320 Speaker 1: My question is the state of those stockpiles right now? 1303 01:05:16,400 --> 01:05:21,000 Speaker 1: The state of where US weapons stockpiles stand, with two 1304 01:05:21,120 --> 01:05:24,440 Speaker 1: wars sending now two different types of shipments on a 1305 01:05:24,520 --> 01:05:28,400 Speaker 1: regular basis towards two US allies, how big is the 1306 01:05:28,480 --> 01:05:31,440 Speaker 1: concern that the US is dangerously low on what it 1307 01:05:31,480 --> 01:05:33,040 Speaker 1: should have for its own defense right now? 1308 01:05:33,960 --> 01:05:35,080 Speaker 3: Well, of course it's a concern. 1309 01:05:35,160 --> 01:05:37,960 Speaker 8: That's why we asked for that extra supplemental funding from Congress. 1310 01:05:38,360 --> 01:05:40,800 Speaker 8: Without getting into classified information, I can assure you in 1311 01:05:40,800 --> 01:05:43,440 Speaker 8: the American people that the United States military can continue 1312 01:05:43,440 --> 01:05:47,000 Speaker 8: to defend our national security interests all around the world. 1313 01:05:47,360 --> 01:05:51,480 Speaker 2: So we need a supplemental to revamp all of the stockpiles. 1314 01:05:51,840 --> 01:05:54,440 Speaker 2: By that, he admits we don't have very much in 1315 01:05:54,480 --> 01:05:55,400 Speaker 2: our stockpile. 1316 01:05:55,040 --> 01:05:56,280 Speaker 4: And then he's like, we're good, don't worry. 1317 01:05:56,400 --> 01:05:57,600 Speaker 3: Israel is a perfect example. 1318 01:05:57,720 --> 01:06:01,200 Speaker 2: We had a massive AMMO dump in Israel waiting just 1319 01:06:01,280 --> 01:06:03,080 Speaker 2: in case we ever went to war or if they 1320 01:06:03,160 --> 01:06:05,400 Speaker 2: needed it, and then a couple of months ago we're like, 1321 01:06:05,480 --> 01:06:07,720 Speaker 2: you know what, Ukraine needs it more and so we should. 1322 01:06:07,800 --> 01:06:09,920 Speaker 3: If you're pro Israel, you should be furious at that. 1323 01:06:10,960 --> 01:06:13,800 Speaker 2: And yeah, that you should be, because and the Israelis 1324 01:06:13,840 --> 01:06:16,640 Speaker 2: themselves the amount that they were lectured by the international community, 1325 01:06:16,840 --> 01:06:18,800 Speaker 2: and Zelenski, hey, you got to sell this these weapons. 1326 01:06:18,800 --> 01:06:20,280 Speaker 2: You don't need them as much as we do, all 1327 01:06:20,320 --> 01:06:22,000 Speaker 2: of us, and they were like, listen, we're a country 1328 01:06:22,040 --> 01:06:24,280 Speaker 2: which is perpetual at war. We have no idea when 1329 01:06:24,320 --> 01:06:26,320 Speaker 2: we might need it. They're right, there were one hundred 1330 01:06:26,320 --> 01:06:29,040 Speaker 2: percent right. They're totally vindicated. Well, now what if that 1331 01:06:29,160 --> 01:06:31,720 Speaker 2: happens to us. This is the problem and has been 1332 01:06:32,000 --> 01:06:34,760 Speaker 2: from the very beginning on this conflict, with this sheer 1333 01:06:34,800 --> 01:06:37,320 Speaker 2: amount of weaponry that we've been sending to Ukraine and 1334 01:06:37,440 --> 01:06:40,920 Speaker 2: now that we're sending to Israel. Interestingly, actually, there was 1335 01:06:40,920 --> 01:06:44,120 Speaker 2: a quote unquote Twitter space yesterday. I never know how 1336 01:06:44,240 --> 01:06:46,080 Speaker 2: much any of this stuff moves the needle. But when 1337 01:06:46,080 --> 01:06:47,960 Speaker 2: you have a man as famous as Elon Musk who 1338 01:06:48,000 --> 01:06:50,280 Speaker 2: was speaking in terms like this, I think we should 1339 01:06:50,280 --> 01:06:51,120 Speaker 2: all just take notice. 1340 01:06:51,240 --> 01:06:52,600 Speaker 3: Here's what he had to say yesterday. 1341 01:06:53,000 --> 01:06:58,200 Speaker 10: So it's obviously absurd to have at the smaller army 1342 01:06:58,920 --> 01:07:02,520 Speaker 10: charged the larger arms. Me when the larger army has 1343 01:07:02,640 --> 01:07:06,880 Speaker 10: massive defenses and will inflict casualties at a rate there's 1344 01:07:06,880 --> 01:07:11,640 Speaker 10: probably three to one, or maybe worse. It's a hopeless situation. 1345 01:07:12,240 --> 01:07:13,480 Speaker 10: You might as well put you put your hand in 1346 01:07:13,520 --> 01:07:20,920 Speaker 10: a meat grinder. So so I, so I, and and 1347 01:07:21,040 --> 01:07:25,120 Speaker 10: and and every week that passes there are more Ukraine 1348 01:07:25,200 --> 01:07:27,240 Speaker 10: boys that die, more Russian. And I think we'd have 1349 01:07:27,320 --> 01:07:30,160 Speaker 10: some some ympathy too for the Russian boys that are 1350 01:07:30,200 --> 01:07:32,960 Speaker 10: dying in those trenches as well. Do they want to 1351 01:07:33,000 --> 01:07:40,320 Speaker 10: be there? Of course not so. Uh So that from 1352 01:07:40,440 --> 01:07:45,040 Speaker 10: from from a humanitarian standpoint we should find I think 1353 01:07:45,200 --> 01:07:47,520 Speaker 10: some we should push for a for a cease fire 1354 01:07:48,400 --> 01:07:50,560 Speaker 10: and push for for peace in that region. And I 1355 01:07:50,600 --> 01:07:53,640 Speaker 10: think then from a civilization or risk standpoint, we should 1356 01:07:53,680 --> 01:07:59,200 Speaker 10: restore normal relations, uh with Russia. You know, this seems 1357 01:07:59,280 --> 01:08:01,200 Speaker 10: like logical path. 1358 01:08:01,480 --> 01:08:03,960 Speaker 2: It was interesting to me that that was also conducted 1359 01:08:04,000 --> 01:08:07,120 Speaker 2: in the case of an Israel Hamas discussion with vig Ramaswami, 1360 01:08:07,160 --> 01:08:10,040 Speaker 2: who also has been very sounding a note of caution 1361 01:08:10,240 --> 01:08:12,120 Speaker 2: I think on Israel Hamas and what it would lead 1362 01:08:12,160 --> 01:08:14,920 Speaker 2: to for the US. So I will just say this, 1363 01:08:15,480 --> 01:08:18,479 Speaker 2: as much as the hysteria and all the nightmarish you know, 1364 01:08:18,680 --> 01:08:20,600 Speaker 2: rhetoric and all that reminds me of post nine to 1365 01:08:20,600 --> 01:08:22,880 Speaker 2: eleven and all of that, we at least have the 1366 01:08:22,960 --> 01:08:25,600 Speaker 2: benefit of having too many people who all of us know, 1367 01:08:26,000 --> 01:08:28,840 Speaker 2: who were affected by the madness of those wars, and 1368 01:08:28,960 --> 01:08:31,479 Speaker 2: of recent enough history where we can literally watch it 1369 01:08:31,600 --> 01:08:34,160 Speaker 2: on YouTube if we want to go back to say, 1370 01:08:34,720 --> 01:08:36,679 Speaker 2: if we could do it all over again, we definitely 1371 01:08:36,720 --> 01:08:39,519 Speaker 2: wouldn't do this. So, you know, the rhetoric, as bad 1372 01:08:39,600 --> 01:08:41,439 Speaker 2: as it Israean, it's still better than it was. 1373 01:08:41,479 --> 01:08:42,360 Speaker 3: In two thousand and one. 1374 01:08:42,800 --> 01:08:45,880 Speaker 4: And because people like you and I remember that the 1375 01:08:46,960 --> 01:08:50,639 Speaker 4: strategic victor out of nine to eleven was Oslomon Law. 1376 01:08:50,680 --> 01:08:55,519 Speaker 4: That's correct, Like he could not end the Iranians. Neither 1377 01:08:55,600 --> 01:08:58,519 Speaker 4: of them could have asked for a better outcome, never 1378 01:08:59,360 --> 01:09:04,879 Speaker 4: from you know, states to go into currently who runs Afghanistan, Taliban, 1379 01:09:05,960 --> 01:09:09,840 Speaker 4: who runs a raq basically around Ron. Yeah, and that's 1380 01:09:09,880 --> 01:09:13,360 Speaker 4: at the cost of you know, trillions of dollars thousands 1381 01:09:13,400 --> 01:09:18,400 Speaker 4: of American lives, hundreds of thousands of Iraqi lives, and 1382 01:09:19,479 --> 01:09:23,240 Speaker 4: it took al Qaeda, which was kind of a little 1383 01:09:23,280 --> 01:09:27,240 Speaker 4: fringe group to a place of you know, isis running 1384 01:09:27,240 --> 01:09:30,799 Speaker 4: an entire caliphate for a little while, like all because 1385 01:09:31,439 --> 01:09:34,120 Speaker 4: of choices that we made in response to the attack 1386 01:09:34,240 --> 01:09:38,759 Speaker 4: on us. Like, we have agency in how we decide 1387 01:09:38,800 --> 01:09:42,599 Speaker 4: to respond to these attacks, and our response can either 1388 01:09:43,000 --> 01:09:47,080 Speaker 4: bring about more pain and bloodshed to us or less. 1389 01:09:47,400 --> 01:09:49,760 Speaker 4: And it seems like we are just hell bent on 1390 01:09:49,960 --> 01:09:51,679 Speaker 4: producing another Hell on Earth. 1391 01:09:52,479 --> 01:09:54,920 Speaker 2: Well, I think that is very well said, and it 1392 01:09:55,200 --> 01:09:58,720 Speaker 2: is just another reminder about why, you know, discussions and 1393 01:09:58,760 --> 01:10:01,200 Speaker 2: shows like this are important at this time. Let's move 1394 01:10:01,240 --> 01:10:04,040 Speaker 2: on to the two stories, one which is very important, 1395 01:10:04,080 --> 01:10:06,680 Speaker 2: one which is not important. The first one, though, is 1396 01:10:06,760 --> 01:10:08,920 Speaker 2: one that I just personally, you know, people know I 1397 01:10:09,000 --> 01:10:11,479 Speaker 2: have a lot of interest in air travel, and so 1398 01:10:11,720 --> 01:10:15,000 Speaker 2: when I saw the details of this and I realized 1399 01:10:15,000 --> 01:10:17,839 Speaker 2: that it wasn't getting nearly the amount of tension it deserved, 1400 01:10:17,920 --> 01:10:19,599 Speaker 2: I was like, we have to cover this on the show, 1401 01:10:19,720 --> 01:10:21,840 Speaker 2: just to make people aware and to keep an eye 1402 01:10:21,880 --> 01:10:24,000 Speaker 2: on this to see if there was anything deeper than 1403 01:10:24,040 --> 01:10:26,560 Speaker 2: what appears right now on the surface. Let's put this 1404 01:10:26,680 --> 01:10:29,080 Speaker 2: up there on the screen just for the details themselves. 1405 01:10:29,439 --> 01:10:33,639 Speaker 2: In off duty Alaskan Airlines pilot tried to shut off 1406 01:10:33,760 --> 01:10:38,320 Speaker 2: the engines on Everett flight. According to the airline, while 1407 01:10:38,400 --> 01:10:41,600 Speaker 2: he was taking a ride on Sunday and in the 1408 01:10:41,760 --> 01:10:45,320 Speaker 2: jump seat inside of the cockpit, so let that sink in. 1409 01:10:45,840 --> 01:10:51,040 Speaker 2: This off duty pilot was riding as kind of a shotgun, right, 1410 01:10:51,080 --> 01:10:52,400 Speaker 2: and he was like, hey, can I hate your ride? 1411 01:10:52,520 --> 01:10:54,720 Speaker 2: The team was like, absolutely sure. The guy ord he 1412 01:10:54,800 --> 01:10:57,519 Speaker 2: works for the airline because he's a pilot. They seed 1413 01:10:57,560 --> 01:10:59,679 Speaker 2: him inside of the cockpit, which means he was screened. 1414 01:10:59,720 --> 01:11:02,000 Speaker 2: I mean, has gone through security testing and theoretically, I'm 1415 01:11:02,000 --> 01:11:05,120 Speaker 2: assuming this man is actually a flown real passengers. Well, 1416 01:11:05,280 --> 01:11:10,719 Speaker 2: according to the authorities, while they were mid air, this pilot, 1417 01:11:11,240 --> 01:11:16,439 Speaker 2: Joseph Emerson, tried to shut off the engines in flight, 1418 01:11:17,080 --> 01:11:20,880 Speaker 2: had to be subdued by the crew, and in one 1419 01:11:21,080 --> 01:11:25,679 Speaker 2: case even tried to deploy the fire suppression to stop 1420 01:11:25,800 --> 01:11:28,080 Speaker 2: the engines from reigniting. 1421 01:11:28,320 --> 01:11:29,759 Speaker 3: We don't know the exact details. 1422 01:11:29,920 --> 01:11:31,640 Speaker 2: Passengers who were on the plane, by the way, they 1423 01:11:31,720 --> 01:11:34,320 Speaker 2: say they had no idea any of this is happening, 1424 01:11:34,360 --> 01:11:37,360 Speaker 2: which I'm not sure that I actually am comforted by 1425 01:11:37,439 --> 01:11:40,880 Speaker 2: any of that. But here is the actual audio from 1426 01:11:40,920 --> 01:11:44,679 Speaker 2: air traffic Control where they described this incident as they're 1427 01:11:44,760 --> 01:11:47,400 Speaker 2: requesting landing for an emergency in Portland. 1428 01:11:47,520 --> 01:11:48,280 Speaker 3: Let's take a listen. 1429 01:11:48,479 --> 01:11:50,040 Speaker 5: Okay, this give you a heads up. 1430 01:11:50,080 --> 01:11:52,040 Speaker 2: We've got the guy that tried to shut the. 1431 01:11:52,040 --> 01:11:54,360 Speaker 5: Engines down out of the cockpit. 1432 01:11:55,720 --> 01:11:59,160 Speaker 12: And he doesn't sound like he's causing an issue in 1433 01:11:59,240 --> 01:11:59,840 Speaker 12: the back right now. 1434 01:12:00,320 --> 01:12:01,160 Speaker 2: I think he used to dude. 1435 01:12:02,280 --> 01:12:04,880 Speaker 3: Other than that, yeah, were one long person. 1436 01:12:04,960 --> 01:12:06,519 Speaker 12: Since we get on the ground in park. 1437 01:12:07,280 --> 01:12:07,759 Speaker 3: Very calm. 1438 01:12:07,880 --> 01:12:10,559 Speaker 4: I love him that at sixty two degrees and Portland, 1439 01:12:10,920 --> 01:12:12,559 Speaker 4: Yeah expected this afternoon. 1440 01:12:12,600 --> 01:12:14,280 Speaker 3: Passengers were like, we had no clue. I had no 1441 01:12:14,360 --> 01:12:15,760 Speaker 3: idea that it was going on. They just came on. 1442 01:12:15,840 --> 01:12:18,160 Speaker 3: They're like, hey, we got a land in Portland. They're like, okay, whatever. 1443 01:12:18,280 --> 01:12:18,960 Speaker 3: I mean, you're not. 1444 01:12:19,040 --> 01:12:20,479 Speaker 2: Happy about it, but you had no idea that someone 1445 01:12:20,560 --> 01:12:23,920 Speaker 2: tried to crash the plane while we were there. Since then, 1446 01:12:24,160 --> 01:12:27,760 Speaker 2: this man, Joseph Emerson, has been charged. Now let's put 1447 01:12:27,760 --> 01:12:31,320 Speaker 2: this up there on the screen with eighty three counts 1448 01:12:31,479 --> 01:12:32,840 Speaker 2: of attempted. 1449 01:12:32,400 --> 01:12:35,560 Speaker 3: Murder for allegedly trying to shut off the engines on 1450 01:12:35,720 --> 01:12:36,240 Speaker 3: this flight. 1451 01:12:36,920 --> 01:12:40,000 Speaker 2: And again, we don't know very much about Joseph Emerson 1452 01:12:40,200 --> 01:12:42,479 Speaker 2: except that he was charged now with eighty three counts 1453 01:12:42,520 --> 01:12:45,760 Speaker 2: of attempted murder, eighty three counts of reckless endangerment misdemeanor, 1454 01:12:45,760 --> 01:12:48,559 Speaker 2: and one felon account of endangering in aircraft. I mean, 1455 01:12:48,640 --> 01:12:52,439 Speaker 2: this was you know, what's really I think crazy to me? 1456 01:12:52,600 --> 01:12:54,400 Speaker 2: Ryan is one of the reasons that he was en 1457 01:12:54,560 --> 01:12:57,960 Speaker 2: route from Everett to San Francisco is he was scheduled 1458 01:12:58,080 --> 01:13:00,519 Speaker 2: to actually be on the flight crew of A seven 1459 01:13:00,640 --> 01:13:03,560 Speaker 2: thirty seven. So that's the big question. I mean, was 1460 01:13:03,600 --> 01:13:07,360 Speaker 2: this a moment of crisis? Is this a mental health event? 1461 01:13:07,840 --> 01:13:10,680 Speaker 2: You know that happened that manifested? Is this I mean, 1462 01:13:10,920 --> 01:13:12,760 Speaker 2: I hate to even spec it. This is like a 1463 01:13:12,960 --> 01:13:15,960 Speaker 2: terrorist attack, Like what is happening here? Why did he 1464 01:13:16,040 --> 01:13:17,720 Speaker 2: try to do it while he was off duty and 1465 01:13:17,800 --> 01:13:19,839 Speaker 2: not whenever he was the actual pilot? 1466 01:13:19,960 --> 01:13:23,320 Speaker 3: I mean, what is the backstory to all of this? 1467 01:13:23,560 --> 01:13:26,320 Speaker 2: I will say one quote that they have is quote 1468 01:13:26,400 --> 01:13:29,839 Speaker 2: he was heard in the moments prior saying something similar 1469 01:13:30,160 --> 01:13:34,200 Speaker 2: to quote I'm not right. That's a federal official telling 1470 01:13:34,360 --> 01:13:37,040 Speaker 2: ABC News again he was sitting in the flight deck 1471 01:13:37,080 --> 01:13:40,200 Speaker 2: on the jump seat, and he unsuccessfully tried to disrupt it. 1472 01:13:40,280 --> 01:13:43,120 Speaker 2: Presumably there's a recorder inside of there, so we should 1473 01:13:43,120 --> 01:13:46,960 Speaker 2: be able to get the audio of everything that was happening. Yeah, 1474 01:13:46,960 --> 01:13:49,559 Speaker 2: I mean, it just seems like a really crazy situation. 1475 01:13:49,760 --> 01:13:51,680 Speaker 4: It We're extremely lucky that he tried to do it 1476 01:13:51,760 --> 01:13:55,360 Speaker 4: as a copilot and that the pilot somehow managed to 1477 01:13:55,560 --> 01:14:00,360 Speaker 4: fend him off. And the announcement to the passengers just 1478 01:14:00,920 --> 01:14:05,800 Speaker 4: absolute classic American pilot, just a heads up that the 1479 01:14:06,200 --> 01:14:09,320 Speaker 4: man who was trying to kill us all is no 1480 01:14:09,479 --> 01:14:11,920 Speaker 4: longer in the cockpit, and the pilot who wants to 1481 01:14:12,000 --> 01:14:15,080 Speaker 4: keep the engines on remains in the pilot. Local time 1482 01:14:15,200 --> 01:14:16,800 Speaker 4: is two thirty seven, and we're going to have a 1483 01:14:17,439 --> 01:14:20,360 Speaker 4: little turbulence at thirty thousand feet for the next thirty minutes, 1484 01:14:20,360 --> 01:14:23,840 Speaker 4: so we're going to leave the seat belt signs on. Yeah. 1485 01:14:24,280 --> 01:14:29,760 Speaker 4: So just as like absolutely incredible to hear to hear that, 1486 01:14:30,000 --> 01:14:33,720 Speaker 4: because I'm sure half the passengers weren't actually listening. Oh dea, 1487 01:14:33,920 --> 01:14:35,640 Speaker 4: and then you kind of and then you halfway here, 1488 01:14:35,720 --> 01:14:38,479 Speaker 4: like wait, hold on, did he just say, right, well, 1489 01:14:38,479 --> 01:14:41,879 Speaker 4: so I tried to turn the engines plane passengers. 1490 01:14:41,960 --> 01:14:44,000 Speaker 3: I think that was on air traffic control all again. 1491 01:14:44,320 --> 01:14:46,679 Speaker 2: I'm not one hundred percent sure, because they also said 1492 01:14:46,680 --> 01:14:49,400 Speaker 2: that they did come over on the passenger audio and 1493 01:14:49,479 --> 01:14:50,799 Speaker 2: just be like, hey, we're making a landing. 1494 01:14:51,120 --> 01:14:52,720 Speaker 3: We're going to be fine, We're going to get you 1495 01:14:52,800 --> 01:14:53,000 Speaker 3: off there. 1496 01:14:53,040 --> 01:14:53,599 Speaker 4: Everything's good. 1497 01:14:54,120 --> 01:14:57,040 Speaker 2: They some people were I think people were just confused. 1498 01:14:57,080 --> 01:15:00,320 Speaker 2: They thought it was a serious medical emergency. Anyway, Look, 1499 01:15:00,360 --> 01:15:02,120 Speaker 2: I mean he got eighty three souls. I think there 1500 01:15:02,200 --> 01:15:04,040 Speaker 2: was even a lap infant, you know, on the plane. 1501 01:15:05,160 --> 01:15:07,000 Speaker 2: What's scary thing is this man has been flying for 1502 01:15:07,080 --> 01:15:09,000 Speaker 2: quite a long time. He's a forty four year old man. 1503 01:15:09,200 --> 01:15:11,200 Speaker 2: They have photos of him posted in the flight career 1504 01:15:11,320 --> 01:15:15,759 Speaker 2: uniform going back to twenty sixteen. I mean, I've flown 1505 01:15:15,840 --> 01:15:18,559 Speaker 2: on an Alaskan Airlines flight from San Francisco, so it's 1506 01:15:18,640 --> 01:15:20,800 Speaker 2: you know, it's one of the most common routes direct 1507 01:15:20,880 --> 01:15:24,479 Speaker 2: flights from Washington from to Portland to San Francisco too, 1508 01:15:24,520 --> 01:15:26,280 Speaker 2: I think to Los Angeles as well. 1509 01:15:26,360 --> 01:15:29,200 Speaker 3: So I mean people I know take that plane probably 1510 01:15:29,280 --> 01:15:29,639 Speaker 3: every day. 1511 01:15:29,720 --> 01:15:31,880 Speaker 2: So this is one of those that definitely just hits 1512 01:15:32,520 --> 01:15:35,200 Speaker 2: for all of us, and it's a terrifying situation. 1513 01:15:35,640 --> 01:15:38,479 Speaker 3: The big question just remains, what was the motive here? 1514 01:15:38,840 --> 01:15:40,360 Speaker 2: And you know, we can't forget, you know, there was 1515 01:15:40,400 --> 01:15:42,320 Speaker 2: that terrible I think it was a German Airlines flight, 1516 01:15:42,560 --> 01:15:45,760 Speaker 2: a Luftanza affiliate, in which the pilot committed suicide or 1517 01:15:45,960 --> 01:15:48,479 Speaker 2: the co pilot committed suicide while the pilot was in 1518 01:15:48,600 --> 01:15:51,519 Speaker 2: the bathroom. And then obviously there's still good jullion questions 1519 01:15:51,560 --> 01:15:55,479 Speaker 2: around Malaysian. The Malaysian flight that disappeared and the flight 1520 01:15:55,520 --> 01:15:58,559 Speaker 2: simulator and the pilot themselves still remains a mystery, pilot 1521 01:15:58,800 --> 01:16:02,160 Speaker 2: suicide being most likely explanation. So look, I guess the 1522 01:16:02,280 --> 01:16:05,679 Speaker 2: only consolation that we have here is that he tried 1523 01:16:05,720 --> 01:16:07,679 Speaker 2: it whenever he was off duty and in the jumpsuit 1524 01:16:07,920 --> 01:16:10,080 Speaker 2: a jump seat, was not while he was in the 1525 01:16:10,200 --> 01:16:13,439 Speaker 2: actual pilot's seat, which he was literally on route to do. 1526 01:16:13,560 --> 01:16:16,120 Speaker 2: So he's been arrested, presumably will be put on trial, 1527 01:16:16,160 --> 01:16:18,360 Speaker 2: and we'll get to the bottom of this. I certainly 1528 01:16:18,439 --> 01:16:20,360 Speaker 2: hope that we do so, but did want to give 1529 01:16:20,400 --> 01:16:27,000 Speaker 2: everybody an update on that situation. Last thing, this is 1530 01:16:27,120 --> 01:16:29,720 Speaker 2: a little at least the little bit of amount of 1531 01:16:29,800 --> 01:16:32,400 Speaker 2: fun I think they were allowed to have after more 1532 01:16:32,439 --> 01:16:36,560 Speaker 2: than two weeks now reporting on this horrific tragedy. The 1533 01:16:36,840 --> 01:16:41,400 Speaker 2: release of Killers of the Flower Moon, and I actually 1534 01:16:41,640 --> 01:16:44,200 Speaker 2: the inspiration for this ryan is that it is one 1535 01:16:44,240 --> 01:16:48,160 Speaker 2: of the biggest search terms amongst our audience. Really, yeah, 1536 01:16:48,240 --> 01:16:51,519 Speaker 2: that's what I was shocked by as to the level 1537 01:16:51,600 --> 01:16:54,120 Speaker 2: of yeah, not even just about that. It was like 1538 01:16:54,280 --> 01:16:57,679 Speaker 2: Killers of the flower Moon, breaking points review or something 1539 01:16:57,800 --> 01:17:00,240 Speaker 2: like that. Give the people what they were said, Okay, 1540 01:17:00,240 --> 01:17:02,479 Speaker 2: all right, we will give the people what they want. 1541 01:17:02,560 --> 01:17:04,200 Speaker 2: So I would have the privilege to being able to 1542 01:17:04,200 --> 01:17:07,040 Speaker 2: see the movie on Thursday, the day before and career 1543 01:17:07,520 --> 01:17:07,720 Speaker 2: it is. 1544 01:17:07,960 --> 01:17:11,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, I guess I can. It is very long. 1545 01:17:12,000 --> 01:17:14,280 Speaker 2: It's long, So before I get to the actual review, 1546 01:17:14,360 --> 01:17:16,040 Speaker 2: let's give some of the details. That was a still 1547 01:17:16,600 --> 01:17:20,639 Speaker 2: from there. This movie is getting a significant amount of demand. 1548 01:17:20,840 --> 01:17:23,360 Speaker 2: We could put this up there on the screen. It's 1549 01:17:23,400 --> 01:17:26,599 Speaker 2: earned forty four million dollars at the global box office 1550 01:17:26,680 --> 01:17:29,880 Speaker 2: over the weekend, actually topping the Taylor Swift Eras tour, 1551 01:17:29,960 --> 01:17:31,160 Speaker 2: which I also did see. 1552 01:17:31,240 --> 01:17:32,760 Speaker 3: I can give you a separate review of that one. 1553 01:17:33,320 --> 01:17:36,679 Speaker 2: Impressively, if they say forty six percent of the opening 1554 01:17:36,800 --> 01:17:39,680 Speaker 2: night audience for Flower Moon was under the age of 1555 01:17:40,160 --> 01:17:42,360 Speaker 2: thirty five, one of the reasons I think that's really 1556 01:17:42,439 --> 01:17:45,320 Speaker 2: interesting is, and I do see this actually a willingness 1557 01:17:45,520 --> 01:17:47,760 Speaker 2: for people who are younger, people like myself to actually 1558 01:17:47,840 --> 01:17:51,519 Speaker 2: try and fulfill the legacy of what Scorsese wants, you know, 1559 01:17:51,640 --> 01:17:53,960 Speaker 2: to get back to the pictures, to indulge in the yard, 1560 01:17:54,040 --> 01:17:56,640 Speaker 2: to really understand the message that he was going for. 1561 01:17:57,120 --> 01:17:59,960 Speaker 2: This movie is three hours and thirty something minutes long, 1562 01:18:00,200 --> 01:18:03,320 Speaker 2: and I will say it's long. It's a long movie, 1563 01:18:03,880 --> 01:18:05,680 Speaker 2: and it's not a bad way. It's just it's a 1564 01:18:05,840 --> 01:18:08,040 Speaker 2: very long one. Our producer, Griffin is a big film guy. 1565 01:18:08,360 --> 01:18:10,720 Speaker 2: He was like, man, they really need to bring back intermissions. 1566 01:18:10,760 --> 01:18:13,200 Speaker 2: I could not agree more. Bollywood movies if you ever 1567 01:18:13,280 --> 01:18:15,760 Speaker 2: have to watch them, have intermissions and they're great. You know, 1568 01:18:15,800 --> 01:18:17,360 Speaker 2: you get to go to the bathroom. If somethod's gonna 1569 01:18:17,360 --> 01:18:19,000 Speaker 2: be four hour long, you don't want to be sitting 1570 01:18:19,040 --> 01:18:21,760 Speaker 2: in the chair with previews. It was about a four 1571 01:18:21,840 --> 01:18:24,000 Speaker 2: hour experience and I went at seven pm, so you 1572 01:18:24,040 --> 01:18:24,639 Speaker 2: can do the math. 1573 01:18:24,880 --> 01:18:27,680 Speaker 3: Stayed up well pass my bedtime for that one. 1574 01:18:28,360 --> 01:18:29,840 Speaker 2: In terms of the movie itself, the way I've been 1575 01:18:30,080 --> 01:18:33,040 Speaker 2: describing to everybody, I think the movie is a masterpiece. 1576 01:18:33,080 --> 01:18:34,240 Speaker 3: I think it's absolutely worth seeing. 1577 01:18:34,479 --> 01:18:37,080 Speaker 2: It is multiple movies and stories within one, and I 1578 01:18:37,120 --> 01:18:39,519 Speaker 2: think that's one of the genius of Scorsese. It is 1579 01:18:39,640 --> 01:18:43,640 Speaker 2: both this horrific tragedy of these o Sage Indians, the 1580 01:18:43,680 --> 01:18:45,880 Speaker 2: way that they were treated there at the time. There's 1581 01:18:45,880 --> 01:18:47,479 Speaker 2: some of the richest people in the world, and yet 1582 01:18:47,479 --> 01:18:49,280 Speaker 2: they have very little agency over their lives. 1583 01:18:49,280 --> 01:18:50,640 Speaker 3: They're being attacked, you. 1584 01:18:50,640 --> 01:18:53,680 Speaker 2: Know, they're being murdered in this case, you know, for 1585 01:18:53,840 --> 01:18:57,200 Speaker 2: their money. They're viewed as completely as second class citizens. 1586 01:18:57,240 --> 01:18:59,400 Speaker 2: But it's also a true crime story within that, the 1587 01:18:59,479 --> 01:19:02,400 Speaker 2: story the solving of the spate of murders and who 1588 01:19:02,520 --> 01:19:04,599 Speaker 2: was behind it, and then it's a human story. It's 1589 01:19:04,640 --> 01:19:06,720 Speaker 2: a romantic story in some cases where you have this 1590 01:19:06,840 --> 01:19:09,600 Speaker 2: dichotomy of like this man who appears to love his 1591 01:19:09,720 --> 01:19:12,480 Speaker 2: wife but at the same time is you know, embroiled 1592 01:19:12,520 --> 01:19:15,439 Speaker 2: in this plot, but by the way spoiler alert, embroiled 1593 01:19:15,479 --> 01:19:18,160 Speaker 2: in this plot in order to murder her and all 1594 01:19:18,200 --> 01:19:22,360 Speaker 2: of her relatives. It's excruciating, honestly, and I mean that 1595 01:19:22,479 --> 01:19:24,680 Speaker 2: in the best of terms for a movie where you 1596 01:19:24,880 --> 01:19:28,040 Speaker 2: just feel so physically uncomfortable. When people have been asking 1597 01:19:28,120 --> 01:19:32,519 Speaker 2: me about how what it's like, I've been saying, it's 1598 01:19:32,640 --> 01:19:35,600 Speaker 2: like watching Shindler's List, where the first time you watch it, 1599 01:19:36,000 --> 01:19:37,880 Speaker 2: you know that you are watching a masterpiece. 1600 01:19:38,439 --> 01:19:41,479 Speaker 3: You are very upset. How many times are you really 1601 01:19:41,520 --> 01:19:43,920 Speaker 3: going to watch it in your life? Probably not many, 1602 01:19:43,960 --> 01:19:44,920 Speaker 3: maybe three, maybe. 1603 01:19:44,800 --> 01:19:47,360 Speaker 2: Four, Right, every time you guys need a reminder of 1604 01:19:47,520 --> 01:19:49,800 Speaker 2: just how horrible the Holocaust was, or you know, you're 1605 01:19:50,280 --> 01:19:52,559 Speaker 2: it's very rare that the stars aligned that you want 1606 01:19:52,600 --> 01:19:54,400 Speaker 2: to sit and you want to watch that movie and 1607 01:19:54,560 --> 01:19:55,240 Speaker 2: go through it again. 1608 01:19:55,479 --> 01:19:57,240 Speaker 3: That's a lot what it was like for me. It 1609 01:19:57,400 --> 01:20:00,479 Speaker 3: was just so brutal and difficult to sit there. 1610 01:20:00,520 --> 01:20:03,040 Speaker 2: And the thing is about the runtime of the movie 1611 01:20:03,160 --> 01:20:05,840 Speaker 2: is he's got enough time where you're in it, you know, 1612 01:20:05,960 --> 01:20:09,280 Speaker 2: you're feeling like the imagery of the osh people and 1613 01:20:09,439 --> 01:20:12,280 Speaker 2: how they're just being brutalized by the people around them 1614 01:20:12,360 --> 01:20:16,120 Speaker 2: and their senses of grief. You're in the lead actress 1615 01:20:16,160 --> 01:20:18,920 Speaker 2: Lily Glass, and she's incredible. I mean, we're watching this 1616 01:20:19,040 --> 01:20:21,840 Speaker 2: woman agonize and get on the verge of death as 1617 01:20:21,920 --> 01:20:24,200 Speaker 2: she both is in love with her husband but then 1618 01:20:24,479 --> 01:20:27,680 Speaker 2: doesn't understand that she's being slowly murdered by him, and 1619 01:20:27,720 --> 01:20:30,479 Speaker 2: then the sheer evil of all the people around who 1620 01:20:30,560 --> 01:20:33,360 Speaker 2: are taking advantage of the situation. So just sitting and 1621 01:20:33,439 --> 01:20:36,559 Speaker 2: dwelling in that man, it is really uncomfortable. And look, 1622 01:20:36,880 --> 01:20:39,479 Speaker 2: that's the mark of a great filmmaker. But that's my 1623 01:20:39,960 --> 01:20:41,679 Speaker 2: overall take. I think it's a great movie. I encourage 1624 01:20:41,680 --> 01:20:43,840 Speaker 2: everybody to go see it, and I really encourage people 1625 01:20:43,920 --> 01:20:45,200 Speaker 2: to read the book. It was one of the most 1626 01:20:45,240 --> 01:20:48,639 Speaker 2: popular books in the United States in the last decade. 1627 01:20:49,120 --> 01:20:51,759 Speaker 2: Everybody I know has read it, from people who usually 1628 01:20:51,920 --> 01:20:55,000 Speaker 2: only read fiction to people like me who read tons 1629 01:20:55,040 --> 01:20:57,080 Speaker 2: of books a year, and it's a great story. 1630 01:20:57,240 --> 01:20:59,240 Speaker 3: The author, David Grant, is one of my favorites. He 1631 01:20:59,320 --> 01:21:01,719 Speaker 3: wrote Last City of Z, one of my favorite books. 1632 01:21:01,800 --> 01:21:02,280 Speaker 4: Incredible. 1633 01:21:02,320 --> 01:21:05,240 Speaker 2: He's a New Yorker staff writer heat man. That man 1634 01:21:05,360 --> 01:21:08,320 Speaker 2: knows storytelling more than anyone else I know. So anyway, 1635 01:21:08,439 --> 01:21:10,959 Speaker 2: that's my take for the YouTube search algorithm. 1636 01:21:11,160 --> 01:21:13,200 Speaker 4: You now have my review. I want to hear the 1637 01:21:13,680 --> 01:21:15,720 Speaker 4: well and let's give him a little history too that 1638 01:21:15,800 --> 01:21:19,080 Speaker 4: no you do it. This is And I haven't seen 1639 01:21:19,120 --> 01:21:20,479 Speaker 4: the movie yet. I can't wait to see it. I've 1640 01:21:20,479 --> 01:21:24,479 Speaker 4: been like eagerly anticipating the moment. We're all have four 1641 01:21:24,560 --> 01:21:26,560 Speaker 4: hours and I don't know when that's going to be, 1642 01:21:26,680 --> 01:21:29,000 Speaker 4: but I hope it's before it leaves the theater. But 1643 01:21:29,120 --> 01:21:31,720 Speaker 4: basically you had, so the situation you had is that 1644 01:21:31,960 --> 01:21:36,080 Speaker 4: the osage wind up on this massive reservation in Oklahoma, 1645 01:21:36,520 --> 01:21:40,160 Speaker 4: and then after that, so late eighteen nineties is when 1646 01:21:40,479 --> 01:21:44,599 Speaker 4: oil is discovered there, and the oil economy really starts 1647 01:21:44,680 --> 01:21:47,880 Speaker 4: blowing up in the late nineteenth century early twentieth century, 1648 01:21:48,320 --> 01:21:51,760 Speaker 4: and like the tech economy, it converts anybody who's in 1649 01:21:51,800 --> 01:21:55,600 Speaker 4: the right place at the right time into you know, 1650 01:21:55,680 --> 01:22:00,240 Speaker 4: contemporary billionaires the equivalent of billionaires. And everywhere that you 1651 01:22:00,479 --> 01:22:06,800 Speaker 4: had oil discovered, particularly around Native American reservations, you'd see 1652 01:22:06,920 --> 01:22:11,000 Speaker 4: massive violence to try to displace them from their rights 1653 01:22:11,040 --> 01:22:14,640 Speaker 4: over that oil. Or if if it were let's say, 1654 01:22:14,680 --> 01:22:18,280 Speaker 4: poor white settlers, like in some ways it almost easier 1655 01:22:18,960 --> 01:22:22,639 Speaker 4: because at least the kind of osage had legal, kind 1656 01:22:22,680 --> 01:22:27,840 Speaker 4: of tribal uh, you know, contractual claims that courts and 1657 01:22:27,920 --> 01:22:30,599 Speaker 4: Congress were willing to uphold. So that's why so much 1658 01:22:30,760 --> 01:22:33,559 Speaker 4: violence was needed, because you couldn't kind of go through 1659 01:22:33,600 --> 01:22:37,680 Speaker 4: the courts or buy them out or trick them so 1660 01:22:37,840 --> 01:22:40,320 Speaker 4: that in so it wasn't just the OSA, just so 1661 01:22:40,400 --> 01:22:43,559 Speaker 4: many other places you had to They just were then 1662 01:22:43,680 --> 01:22:48,559 Speaker 4: killed just to move them out of the way. And so, uh, 1663 01:22:48,920 --> 01:22:51,479 Speaker 4: it's kind of represented It's an amazing story in its 1664 01:22:51,479 --> 01:22:54,720 Speaker 4: own right, but it's representative of a bigger trend that 1665 01:22:54,800 --> 01:22:55,960 Speaker 4: we saw unfolding at that. 1666 01:22:56,160 --> 01:22:57,200 Speaker 3: Oh, absolutely yeah. 1667 01:22:57,280 --> 01:23:01,160 Speaker 2: And I think Scorsese takes immense length to how he 1668 01:23:01,200 --> 01:23:03,839 Speaker 2: even puts himself in the movie its plot twist. 1669 01:23:04,400 --> 01:23:06,240 Speaker 3: Near the end in order to just try. 1670 01:23:06,360 --> 01:23:09,920 Speaker 2: I think the key thing, based upon everything that I've read, 1671 01:23:10,120 --> 01:23:12,880 Speaker 2: is in the beginning, the script was a lot like 1672 01:23:12,960 --> 01:23:13,280 Speaker 2: the book. 1673 01:23:13,439 --> 01:23:16,200 Speaker 3: The book is the story of the solving of these murders. 1674 01:23:16,280 --> 01:23:18,960 Speaker 2: But the more that they went through it, they realized 1675 01:23:19,000 --> 01:23:22,679 Speaker 2: in this small scene between the husband and the wife 1676 01:23:23,240 --> 01:23:25,000 Speaker 2: was they were like, no, that's the core of the 1677 01:23:25,040 --> 01:23:27,160 Speaker 2: story is a love story. And through that love story 1678 01:23:27,560 --> 01:23:30,400 Speaker 2: in this screwed up way where this man loves his wife, 1679 01:23:30,479 --> 01:23:32,200 Speaker 2: but he's also exploiting his wife and he's trying to 1680 01:23:32,200 --> 01:23:34,439 Speaker 2: steal her money, he's trying to murder, he's complicit in 1681 01:23:34,439 --> 01:23:36,280 Speaker 2: the murders of her entire family. 1682 01:23:36,760 --> 01:23:39,519 Speaker 3: Is the humanity and the inhumanity of that. 1683 01:23:39,800 --> 01:23:41,920 Speaker 2: Is the story itself, and then you build the crime 1684 01:23:42,360 --> 01:23:43,960 Speaker 2: on top of it. And what he tried to do 1685 01:23:44,560 --> 01:23:47,400 Speaker 2: is he tried to show the humanity of the Osage 1686 01:23:47,439 --> 01:23:50,200 Speaker 2: Indians and at every turn the way that they were 1687 01:23:50,680 --> 01:23:55,040 Speaker 2: discriminated against and even in their riches that they were, 1688 01:23:55,240 --> 01:23:58,280 Speaker 2: you know, humiliated. They were treated to second class by 1689 01:23:58,320 --> 01:24:00,960 Speaker 2: the government, by the law authorities, by all the men 1690 01:24:01,040 --> 01:24:04,400 Speaker 2: around them who were managing their money on their behalf, 1691 01:24:04,479 --> 01:24:08,519 Speaker 2: and basically just bloodsucking leeches that viewed them as viewed 1692 01:24:08,560 --> 01:24:10,680 Speaker 2: them as an avenue to get riches and not as 1693 01:24:10,760 --> 01:24:13,400 Speaker 2: fellow human beings. And I think he dwells and he 1694 01:24:13,439 --> 01:24:15,639 Speaker 2: spends a lot of time in that for good reason 1695 01:24:15,720 --> 01:24:18,960 Speaker 2: because by doing that, you know, the true crime part 1696 01:24:18,960 --> 01:24:20,439 Speaker 2: of it, it's great, it's a good it's a fun 1697 01:24:20,520 --> 01:24:23,479 Speaker 2: detective story. I think Jesse Plemmons does a great job 1698 01:24:24,479 --> 01:24:26,920 Speaker 2: doing in that role. But I didn't even see him 1699 01:24:26,960 --> 01:24:28,960 Speaker 2: ttil two hours in, you know, and I'm I spent 1700 01:24:29,040 --> 01:24:30,800 Speaker 2: two hour I've spent a whole movie just sitting there 1701 01:24:30,800 --> 01:24:33,000 Speaker 2: and being like, oh my god, like this is horrible, 1702 01:24:33,320 --> 01:24:36,120 Speaker 2: and just watching this over and over again. And Leo, 1703 01:24:36,479 --> 01:24:39,040 Speaker 2: you know, Leo does his best when he's like likable 1704 01:24:39,520 --> 01:24:42,800 Speaker 2: playing dumb but also a real companion to evil. De 1705 01:24:42,920 --> 01:24:45,720 Speaker 2: Niro is like absolutely top tier in He's like ten 1706 01:24:45,800 --> 01:24:48,240 Speaker 2: out of ten in his performance in this. I can't 1707 01:24:48,240 --> 01:24:49,760 Speaker 2: think of a single bad performance. It was a lot 1708 01:24:49,800 --> 01:24:53,120 Speaker 2: of interesting cameos. Jason isbel Is in there like he's 1709 01:24:53,600 --> 01:24:56,719 Speaker 2: the country singer makes a role. He does a pretty 1710 01:24:56,720 --> 01:24:57,080 Speaker 2: good job. 1711 01:24:57,160 --> 01:24:57,559 Speaker 3: Actually. 1712 01:24:57,720 --> 01:25:00,880 Speaker 2: I enjoyed his performance over over and over again. It 1713 01:25:01,000 --> 01:25:04,000 Speaker 2: just highlights this consistent theme of the oce age getting 1714 01:25:04,040 --> 01:25:06,280 Speaker 2: taken advantage of. And I think you did a good 1715 01:25:06,360 --> 01:25:10,400 Speaker 2: job of memorializing the story and just highlighting the immense 1716 01:25:10,479 --> 01:25:13,800 Speaker 2: injustice done to them as a people, not just you know, 1717 01:25:13,880 --> 01:25:16,120 Speaker 2: the story of this family is the story of the people, 1718 01:25:16,120 --> 01:25:18,160 Speaker 2: and that's a great part of the book too. And 1719 01:25:18,280 --> 01:25:22,840 Speaker 2: it actually ends kind of it ends highlighting their plight 1720 01:25:22,960 --> 01:25:25,320 Speaker 2: what happened to them, but then their resilience through the 1721 01:25:25,400 --> 01:25:28,000 Speaker 2: last hundred years as well, holding onto their identity. 1722 01:25:28,360 --> 01:25:31,320 Speaker 4: You buried the lead here. What about the aerostour, Oh, 1723 01:25:31,439 --> 01:25:33,400 Speaker 4: the Aras tours. 1724 01:25:33,560 --> 01:25:35,920 Speaker 3: It's honestly the a I saw. 1725 01:25:35,840 --> 01:25:39,040 Speaker 4: That with my bunch of neighborhood folks, brought a bunch 1726 01:25:39,040 --> 01:25:39,479 Speaker 4: of kids to. 1727 01:25:39,720 --> 01:25:43,960 Speaker 2: I enjoyed it for that reason for people like your daughters, 1728 01:25:44,200 --> 01:25:46,280 Speaker 2: is that it was just really fun to watch these 1729 01:25:46,400 --> 01:25:48,439 Speaker 2: like eight year love Its just lose in mind. 1730 01:25:48,479 --> 01:25:50,640 Speaker 3: I was like, you know what, this is adorable. I'm like, 1731 01:25:50,720 --> 01:25:52,120 Speaker 3: these kids are having so much fun. 1732 01:25:52,880 --> 01:25:55,760 Speaker 2: I went because my fiance is like a massive Taylor 1733 01:25:55,760 --> 01:25:57,720 Speaker 2: swift fan, and so I was like, okay, you know, 1734 01:25:58,520 --> 01:25:59,680 Speaker 2: well we'll go and we'll check it out. 1735 01:25:59,720 --> 01:26:00,000 Speaker 3: We didn't. 1736 01:26:00,120 --> 01:26:02,720 Speaker 2: We didn't go to the concert, and so I really 1737 01:26:02,840 --> 01:26:05,120 Speaker 2: enjoyed it. I thought it was fun. I will say 1738 01:26:05,160 --> 01:26:07,000 Speaker 2: I thought it was too long. You know, it's too 1739 01:26:07,400 --> 01:26:09,200 Speaker 2: and it's funny because it was only it's an hour 1740 01:26:09,320 --> 01:26:12,240 Speaker 2: shorter than Killers of the Flower Moon. But the thing 1741 01:26:12,400 --> 01:26:14,120 Speaker 2: is is that if you're not one of those little 1742 01:26:14,160 --> 01:26:16,479 Speaker 2: girls who's getting up and who's dancing the entire time, 1743 01:26:16,760 --> 01:26:19,360 Speaker 2: you're just sitting watching a concert for two hours or 1744 01:26:19,400 --> 01:26:20,640 Speaker 2: forty five minutes and. 1745 01:26:20,960 --> 01:26:23,040 Speaker 3: You're not participating in the concert. 1746 01:26:23,720 --> 01:26:26,240 Speaker 2: And you know, I think if you were there, some 1747 01:26:26,360 --> 01:26:28,160 Speaker 2: of the parts of the show which dragged would have 1748 01:26:28,200 --> 01:26:28,599 Speaker 2: been fine. 1749 01:26:28,920 --> 01:26:31,439 Speaker 3: I'm not a big ever more guy. Or what's the 1750 01:26:31,520 --> 01:26:31,800 Speaker 3: other one? 1751 01:26:31,840 --> 01:26:34,280 Speaker 2: Folklore is that the album okay, there you go, see 1752 01:26:34,880 --> 01:26:37,599 Speaker 2: my music listening basically stopped like twenty sixteen. 1753 01:26:37,840 --> 01:26:39,240 Speaker 3: So for me it was fun. 1754 01:26:39,280 --> 01:26:40,680 Speaker 2: You know, you get to sing you Belong with Me 1755 01:26:40,800 --> 01:26:42,400 Speaker 2: and all the other ones that are like key parts 1756 01:26:42,400 --> 01:26:44,560 Speaker 2: of your child Field twenty two, all these of the 1757 01:26:44,640 --> 01:26:47,760 Speaker 2: songs from your young adulthood. But after a while, when 1758 01:26:47,760 --> 01:26:49,720 Speaker 2: you get to the songs that you don't necessarily know 1759 01:26:49,840 --> 01:26:52,920 Speaker 2: as well. You're not even participating in the crowd. You're 1760 01:26:52,960 --> 01:26:56,040 Speaker 2: just sitting in a movie theater. So for me, that's 1761 01:26:56,080 --> 01:26:59,120 Speaker 2: where really dragged. I never felt like Killers dragged at all, 1762 01:26:59,360 --> 01:27:01,080 Speaker 2: but I felt like a good portion of the Tailor 1763 01:27:01,120 --> 01:27:02,400 Speaker 2: Show dragged for me. 1764 01:27:02,520 --> 01:27:03,280 Speaker 4: What did you think? 1765 01:27:03,320 --> 01:27:05,120 Speaker 3: May I go forty five minutes? 1766 01:27:05,280 --> 01:27:07,639 Speaker 4: I got up and danced because otherwise I wouldn't made it. Yeah, 1767 01:27:07,640 --> 01:27:09,160 Speaker 4: all right, that was Yeah, that was That's the way 1768 01:27:09,200 --> 01:27:11,200 Speaker 4: to get to get through it. And that made it 1769 01:27:11,360 --> 01:27:15,160 Speaker 4: like a deeply enjoyable experience. You're right, it's infectious to 1770 01:27:15,200 --> 01:27:16,840 Speaker 4: see the kids just having so much fun. 1771 01:27:17,000 --> 01:27:18,800 Speaker 2: Even just sitting there watching these kids have fun, I 1772 01:27:18,880 --> 01:27:20,120 Speaker 2: had a good time. I mean just you know, these 1773 01:27:20,200 --> 01:27:22,320 Speaker 2: kids are like running back and forth and screams, waving 1774 01:27:22,360 --> 01:27:25,240 Speaker 2: around there, waving there and saying, you know these It 1775 01:27:25,400 --> 01:27:28,639 Speaker 2: was amazing to watch, and I think it did make 1776 01:27:28,720 --> 01:27:31,280 Speaker 2: me wish that I had gone to the concert, because again, 1777 01:27:31,320 --> 01:27:33,800 Speaker 2: you know, I'm like a casual fan when you put 1778 01:27:33,880 --> 01:27:36,320 Speaker 2: me up against some of these like swifty girls. But 1779 01:27:36,800 --> 01:27:39,080 Speaker 2: that doesn't mean, though that just being in that environment 1780 01:27:39,200 --> 01:27:42,400 Speaker 2: isn't deeply infectious. So if you have kids, specifically little 1781 01:27:42,439 --> 01:27:45,000 Speaker 2: girls and they liked that swift. Definitely go go do it. 1782 01:27:45,040 --> 01:27:46,360 Speaker 2: It's it's totally worth your time. 1783 01:27:46,680 --> 01:27:49,000 Speaker 4: My son, my son like twenty minutes and he's like, yeah, 1784 01:27:49,280 --> 01:27:53,360 Speaker 4: get me out of here, man, really, so you gotta dance, 1785 01:27:53,360 --> 01:27:54,800 Speaker 4: and he danced. Thing got into it all right. 1786 01:27:55,160 --> 01:27:57,519 Speaker 2: I saw I think I saw two boys dancing. So yeah, 1787 01:27:57,600 --> 01:28:00,439 Speaker 2: there's something for everybody there if you want. All right, 1788 01:28:00,479 --> 01:28:01,680 Speaker 2: that was a good way on the show. It was 1789 01:28:01,680 --> 01:28:04,720 Speaker 2: actually fun to talk about something lighthearted for once. You 1790 01:28:04,760 --> 01:28:06,280 Speaker 2: guys are gonna have counterpoints tomorrow. 1791 01:28:06,360 --> 01:28:09,160 Speaker 4: I want to have another plug Oh November twenty seventh, 1792 01:28:09,320 --> 01:28:12,880 Speaker 4: Crystal and I will be at Politics and Pros in DC, 1793 01:28:13,200 --> 01:28:15,639 Speaker 4: oh for my book The Squad, which is okay coming 1794 01:28:15,680 --> 01:28:18,320 Speaker 4: out around that time. So Crystal is gonna like do 1795 01:28:18,439 --> 01:28:19,840 Speaker 4: the Q and A thing that you do with the 1796 01:28:19,880 --> 01:28:20,320 Speaker 4: book talk. 1797 01:28:20,439 --> 01:28:23,080 Speaker 2: So wow, big Politics and Pros Ryot's truly made it 1798 01:28:23,720 --> 01:28:26,320 Speaker 2: right in Washington. That is the mark of a true 1799 01:28:26,400 --> 01:28:28,880 Speaker 2: member of the establishment. We'll do a far more official 1800 01:28:28,920 --> 01:28:31,559 Speaker 2: announcement in promotion my friends, so don't worry, but people 1801 01:28:31,560 --> 01:28:34,160 Speaker 2: will put that on their calendars. It was always great 1802 01:28:34,200 --> 01:28:35,840 Speaker 2: to co host a show with you, Ryan, and we 1803 01:28:35,880 --> 01:28:36,960 Speaker 2: will see you all later.