1 00:00:01,080 --> 00:00:03,120 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,200 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 1: your bets. It's me Joey Pa, Joe Pi Zapia and 3 00:00:06,000 --> 00:00:07,760 Speaker 1: today it's Thursday. You know what that means. It's time 4 00:00:07,800 --> 00:00:10,360 Speaker 1: to look at the best bets for Week eight in 5 00:00:10,440 --> 00:00:12,879 Speaker 1: the NFL. We've got a lot of good ones for 6 00:00:12,920 --> 00:00:15,680 Speaker 1: you today, some really fun matchups. We're gonna take a 7 00:00:15,680 --> 00:00:17,640 Speaker 1: look at the lines. We're gonna take a look at 8 00:00:17,640 --> 00:00:19,360 Speaker 1: the sides. We're gonna take a look at the overs, 9 00:00:19,360 --> 00:00:21,560 Speaker 1: the unders and everything in between. To help me do it, 10 00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:24,320 Speaker 1: of course, is four eyes over there Andrew ericson back 11 00:00:24,360 --> 00:00:28,200 Speaker 1: with more glasses still waiting on his contact lenses. I 12 00:00:28,200 --> 00:00:30,080 Speaker 1: don't know how many weeks it takes to get these. 13 00:00:30,160 --> 00:00:32,960 Speaker 1: I've been told it takes a long time. But I 14 00:00:33,040 --> 00:00:35,279 Speaker 1: still think you're a handsome fellow. I don't care what 15 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:37,879 Speaker 1: the Internet says in the comments. And of course, back 16 00:00:37,960 --> 00:00:43,159 Speaker 1: again sports Grid TV's own Ben Stevens, the host of 17 00:00:43,200 --> 00:00:45,839 Speaker 1: so many programs I can't even keep track over at 18 00:00:45,840 --> 00:00:47,479 Speaker 1: Sports Grit. He's one of the hardest working men and 19 00:00:47,479 --> 00:00:50,240 Speaker 1: show basins. And you know what, you're also just returning 20 00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:52,919 Speaker 1: from a wedding. Who you say is one of your 21 00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:56,920 Speaker 1: best friends got married this weekend during football season, during 22 00:00:57,200 --> 00:01:01,080 Speaker 1: football season weddings. How are you still friends after all that? 23 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:03,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, listen, it was very difficult for me to be 24 00:01:03,480 --> 00:01:06,520 Speaker 2: out there, especially on a Saturday college football. My bread 25 00:01:06,520 --> 00:01:09,600 Speaker 2: and butter, he a Michigan grad. He probably just thought, 26 00:01:09,600 --> 00:01:12,280 Speaker 2: all right, well, Harbaugh's got sparty signals. I don't need 27 00:01:12,319 --> 00:01:15,360 Speaker 2: to watch this game, and sure enough, they hammered the 28 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:16,840 Speaker 2: Michigan State Spartans forty nine. 29 00:01:16,920 --> 00:01:17,679 Speaker 3: Nothing but for me. 30 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:22,600 Speaker 2: To miss a college football Saturday was devastating. But it 31 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:24,520 Speaker 2: was a lovely time. Love was in the air and 32 00:01:24,600 --> 00:01:26,280 Speaker 2: it was all good. But we're back, We're locked in, 33 00:01:26,319 --> 00:01:27,679 Speaker 2: We're ready for a new football weekend. 34 00:01:27,840 --> 00:01:30,360 Speaker 1: That's right. Ericson, You've already booked your wedding for June. 35 00:01:30,400 --> 00:01:33,240 Speaker 1: I believe next year. Correct, So you're man, You're very good. 36 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:36,920 Speaker 1: Post NFL Draft, was there any discussion about a fall wedding? 37 00:01:36,920 --> 00:01:38,520 Speaker 1: Did you have to steer your fiance away from that 38 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:38,800 Speaker 1: at all? 39 00:01:38,840 --> 00:01:41,080 Speaker 4: Ericson, She was like, oh, do you want to be? 40 00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:44,360 Speaker 4: I can't decide between June and September. And I was like, 41 00:01:44,959 --> 00:01:49,000 Speaker 4: let's go with June. I think I like June. June 42 00:01:49,080 --> 00:01:49,640 Speaker 4: June's good. 43 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:52,640 Speaker 1: That's right, that's right. Romance is in the air here 44 00:01:52,680 --> 00:01:55,000 Speaker 1: on the program. Don't forget, everybody, make sure you download 45 00:01:55,000 --> 00:01:57,560 Speaker 1: that Betting pros app because if you haven't already, if 46 00:01:57,600 --> 00:02:00,680 Speaker 1: you do on your Apple store, or you can go 47 00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:03,120 Speaker 1: ahead and actually get a few free days of premium 48 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:04,560 Speaker 1: and which is great because you can see all the 49 00:02:04,560 --> 00:02:06,840 Speaker 1: bells and whistles going on here when it comes to 50 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:09,840 Speaker 1: the Betting pros tools. Great time of year to be 51 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 1: using it too. You've got baseball running, basketball running, NHL going, 52 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:15,600 Speaker 1: and of course NFL as well. And don't forget to 53 00:02:15,600 --> 00:02:18,160 Speaker 1: subscribe to our channel and drop a comment below, and 54 00:02:18,200 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 1: you could win a Robert Tunyan autographed jersey. Yes, I 55 00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:23,119 Speaker 1: don't know how we got our hands on this rare 56 00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:27,000 Speaker 1: artifact this week, but we've given away some really good ones. 57 00:02:27,480 --> 00:02:29,960 Speaker 1: Robert Tunyan is the best of them. Let's be honest, 58 00:02:30,000 --> 00:02:32,120 Speaker 1: because this is the one you want. This is the 59 00:02:32,120 --> 00:02:34,560 Speaker 1: one you want to wear to the stadium. You want 60 00:02:34,560 --> 00:02:35,960 Speaker 1: to wear it in front of your friends so they 61 00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:37,240 Speaker 1: can go whose jersey is that? 62 00:02:37,320 --> 00:02:37,560 Speaker 3: You say? 63 00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:40,400 Speaker 1: It's Robert Tunyan, baby, that's what you say. So drop 64 00:02:40,400 --> 00:02:42,400 Speaker 1: a comment. Make sure you subscribe to the channel and 65 00:02:42,440 --> 00:02:45,400 Speaker 1: ring that bell to Lichos Ding for notifications and that 66 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:48,079 Speaker 1: Robert Tunyan jersey can be yours thanks to us here 67 00:02:48,080 --> 00:02:51,000 Speaker 1: at Betting Pros. Gentlemen, let's get to week eight. Let's 68 00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:53,160 Speaker 1: talk about it, and let's start with a home dog. 69 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:55,440 Speaker 1: Ben Stevens that you and I are both in on. 70 00:02:55,560 --> 00:02:57,640 Speaker 1: I've already locked in my bet for this one. I 71 00:02:57,639 --> 00:03:00,920 Speaker 1: know you're in on it as well. So it's time 72 00:03:00,960 --> 00:03:03,600 Speaker 1: to believe in Mike Tomlin again. Question Mark, it. 73 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:05,320 Speaker 3: Is time to believe in Mike Tomlin again. 74 00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 2: But before we get to the Steelers outright at home 75 00:03:08,560 --> 00:03:11,000 Speaker 2: over the Jacksonville Jaguars, I must ask a couple of 76 00:03:11,000 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 2: clarifying questions about the Robert Tunyan jersey giveaway. 77 00:03:14,840 --> 00:03:17,040 Speaker 3: Is it Robert Tunyan Packers jersey? 78 00:03:17,160 --> 00:03:21,360 Speaker 1: No, it's Chicago Bears. That's right. I don't know how 79 00:03:21,520 --> 00:03:24,799 Speaker 1: about this, but we did, and it's funny. We've done 80 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:28,160 Speaker 1: Odell Beckham, We've done James Cook. We and our producer 81 00:03:28,840 --> 00:03:32,960 Speaker 1: are our head of creative here, our good pal Chris. 82 00:03:33,040 --> 00:03:34,920 Speaker 1: I said, you're kidding me, right, this is not the 83 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:37,200 Speaker 1: jersey or game. He said, no, yes, we are. We're 84 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:39,600 Speaker 1: giving away this jersey. And I said, well, all right, 85 00:03:39,640 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 1: then I say, you get this and then you send 86 00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:45,800 Speaker 1: it to one of your Packer fan friends as one 87 00:03:45,800 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 1: of those fun Christmas gifts that you don't want. I 88 00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:50,520 Speaker 1: think it's a great gag gift. I think it's fantastic. 89 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:52,640 Speaker 2: Or you save it, you frame it, and in a 90 00:03:52,640 --> 00:03:55,120 Speaker 2: couple of years, after Robert Tunyan leads to Chicago Bears 91 00:03:55,120 --> 00:03:58,080 Speaker 2: to Super Bowl sixty one, you sell it for millions 92 00:03:58,280 --> 00:04:01,000 Speaker 2: and millions of dollars. Is one of the when I 93 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:03,560 Speaker 2: was here, I think entering week two or three, it 94 00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:06,280 Speaker 2: was James Cook and I was like, whoa, that's actually. 95 00:04:07,520 --> 00:04:10,520 Speaker 1: Fantasy pros. We've given away CMC ericson what else have 96 00:04:10,560 --> 00:04:11,520 Speaker 1: we done that we've done? 97 00:04:12,120 --> 00:04:14,440 Speaker 5: We got Chrishan Kirko in this week Smith and Jagbo 98 00:04:14,720 --> 00:04:15,240 Speaker 5: Jackson Smith. 99 00:04:15,640 --> 00:04:17,640 Speaker 1: I would do it some, you know, but Robert Tunyan 100 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:19,360 Speaker 1: is you know, it takes the cake. 101 00:04:19,360 --> 00:04:19,520 Speaker 3: Though. 102 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:22,000 Speaker 1: It's it's tight End month, so you know we're trying 103 00:04:22,000 --> 00:04:23,520 Speaker 1: to show some love to the tight ends. Well, let's 104 00:04:23,520 --> 00:04:26,279 Speaker 1: get back to the Steelers. Let's talk about those Pittsburgh Steelers, 105 00:04:26,320 --> 00:04:30,119 Speaker 1: so their home dogs here again. This is like giving 106 00:04:30,160 --> 00:04:32,680 Speaker 1: me the chills in deja vu to week one, which 107 00:04:32,680 --> 00:04:34,720 Speaker 1: I'm still not over where. I thought they would take 108 00:04:34,760 --> 00:04:37,400 Speaker 1: care of their business. They did not. So what do 109 00:04:37,440 --> 00:04:39,719 Speaker 1: you think here? Because Jacksonville has some extra time, which 110 00:04:39,720 --> 00:04:42,360 Speaker 1: I know everybody always loves. But to me, it's starting 111 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:44,240 Speaker 1: to look like the Pittsburgh Steels are putting things together. 112 00:04:44,279 --> 00:04:44,760 Speaker 1: What do you think? 113 00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:47,640 Speaker 2: Yep, it's a ripe spot, right, And I trusted Mike 114 00:04:47,680 --> 00:04:50,240 Speaker 2: Tomlin probably more than I trust in my own father, Dad. 115 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:52,520 Speaker 2: If you're watching, that's not actually the case, but it's 116 00:04:52,680 --> 00:04:56,360 Speaker 2: actually pretty even split. Mike Tomlin as an underdog guys 117 00:04:56,839 --> 00:04:59,320 Speaker 2: is sensation and at a certain point, right, it's a 118 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:03,200 Speaker 2: new iteration, no longer Ben Roethlisberger. It's not the familiar faces. 119 00:05:03,240 --> 00:05:05,599 Speaker 2: Maybe we know the Steelers of Mike Tomlin in the 120 00:05:05,640 --> 00:05:08,880 Speaker 2: early twenty tens or whatever that might be, but what 121 00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:12,160 Speaker 2: they consistently do as an underdog boggles the mind. 122 00:05:12,240 --> 00:05:13,560 Speaker 3: And it's not a coincidence. 123 00:05:13,800 --> 00:05:16,520 Speaker 2: The sample size is too large and too strong under 124 00:05:16,600 --> 00:05:19,240 Speaker 2: Mike Tomlin, who became the head man in Pittsburgh back 125 00:05:19,279 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 2: in two thousand and seven. This is now year number seventeen, 126 00:05:22,240 --> 00:05:25,320 Speaker 2: six games into the season for the Steelers. The Pittsburgh 127 00:05:25,360 --> 00:05:29,840 Speaker 2: Steelers are fifty six thirty one to five against the 128 00:05:29,920 --> 00:05:33,480 Speaker 2: number as an underdog. Okay, profitability right then and there. 129 00:05:33,720 --> 00:05:36,000 Speaker 2: But the thing that blows my mind even more is 130 00:05:36,040 --> 00:05:39,920 Speaker 2: after the victory last week for Pittsburgh outright as an underdog, 131 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:44,560 Speaker 2: they are now forty six and forty five straight up. 132 00:05:44,839 --> 00:05:47,440 Speaker 2: They have an above five hundred record when they are 133 00:05:47,480 --> 00:05:50,680 Speaker 2: not expected to win football games. And that is basically 134 00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 2: what an underdog is. Plus money on the money line 135 00:05:53,720 --> 00:05:56,239 Speaker 2: is the oddsmaker's thinking, you might keep this game close, 136 00:05:56,400 --> 00:05:59,360 Speaker 2: but you're going to lose by at least one point. 137 00:05:59,480 --> 00:06:03,279 Speaker 2: And yet the Pittsburgh Steelers have performed well above expectation 138 00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:06,680 Speaker 2: forty six and forty five straight up, above five hundred 139 00:06:06,760 --> 00:06:09,360 Speaker 2: as a winning record as an underdog. And now you're 140 00:06:09,440 --> 00:06:12,719 Speaker 2: number seventeen under Mike Tomlin, and so you might be thinking, okay, Ben, 141 00:06:12,800 --> 00:06:15,760 Speaker 2: but that takes into account twenty nine and twenty fourteen 142 00:06:15,839 --> 00:06:16,640 Speaker 2: and all this stuff. 143 00:06:16,720 --> 00:06:18,359 Speaker 3: How about this year, just as its. 144 00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:21,720 Speaker 2: Own sample size, Pittsburgh is now four and two, all 145 00:06:21,720 --> 00:06:25,360 Speaker 2: four victories booked as an underdog. I am not stopping 146 00:06:25,360 --> 00:06:28,000 Speaker 2: the train right now. The Steelers outright to snap a 147 00:06:28,080 --> 00:06:31,240 Speaker 2: three game win streak. For the Jags, it is going 148 00:06:31,279 --> 00:06:35,120 Speaker 2: to be a five and two Pittsburgh Steelers team all 149 00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:36,440 Speaker 2: five victories as a dog. 150 00:06:36,560 --> 00:06:38,440 Speaker 1: You better hope your dad didn't watch this show, because 151 00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:40,279 Speaker 1: otherwise you really got to up the ante for Father's 152 00:06:40,320 --> 00:06:42,839 Speaker 1: Day presents after that. Let me tell you, well, no offense. 153 00:06:42,839 --> 00:06:45,360 Speaker 2: If you've bet all, you bet all the money line 154 00:06:45,400 --> 00:06:47,719 Speaker 2: prices from the Pittsburgh Steelers. That's so much plus money, 155 00:06:47,839 --> 00:06:49,760 Speaker 2: I get him the greatest Father's Day gift fends. 156 00:06:49,880 --> 00:06:51,120 Speaker 1: You can buy him a grill and get these some 157 00:06:51,240 --> 00:06:54,320 Speaker 1: nice stuff there ericson, let's get back over to you 158 00:06:54,400 --> 00:06:56,880 Speaker 1: here for one of your favorite bets. Four week eight 159 00:06:56,920 --> 00:06:58,680 Speaker 1: in the NFL? What do you have for the people here? 160 00:06:59,080 --> 00:07:00,000 Speaker 5: So I like the Titans. 161 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:03,279 Speaker 4: The Titans on the money line, So everybody is counting 162 00:07:03,320 --> 00:07:06,400 Speaker 4: them out because they're gonna be starting will Levis, Malik Willis. 163 00:07:06,440 --> 00:07:08,400 Speaker 5: They don't have Ryan Tannehill, whatever. 164 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:10,720 Speaker 1: They trained Kevin Bayer, don't forget about that too. 165 00:07:12,160 --> 00:07:15,040 Speaker 4: So this guy is falling on the Tennessee Titans. But 166 00:07:15,160 --> 00:07:18,160 Speaker 4: this is a spot where I met Mike Rabele at 167 00:07:18,160 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 4: Home Underdog. I mean he gives up a lot of 168 00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:24,360 Speaker 4: the Mike Tomlin aura where it's like when everyone counts 169 00:07:24,360 --> 00:07:25,360 Speaker 4: them out, what do they do? 170 00:07:25,640 --> 00:07:25,840 Speaker 1: Oh? 171 00:07:25,880 --> 00:07:27,560 Speaker 5: They come out and punch the other team in the mouth. 172 00:07:27,600 --> 00:07:30,320 Speaker 4: And who are they playing the Atlanta Falcons, one of 173 00:07:30,320 --> 00:07:33,120 Speaker 4: the worst teams in my opinion, to back on the 174 00:07:33,200 --> 00:07:36,640 Speaker 4: road last week, Yes, they won the game. Desmond Ritter 175 00:07:36,880 --> 00:07:40,160 Speaker 4: was begging the Buccaneers to win that game. Three red 176 00:07:40,240 --> 00:07:43,200 Speaker 4: zone turnovers and fumbles, like he's like, please cover the 177 00:07:43,360 --> 00:07:45,239 Speaker 4: and the Buccaneers just couldn't do anything with it because, 178 00:07:45,240 --> 00:07:48,160 Speaker 4: like desnipt Ritter was like gifting them, like please beat us, 179 00:07:48,440 --> 00:07:51,040 Speaker 4: please cover the spread. Tampa Bay Baker Mayfiff couldn't get 180 00:07:51,040 --> 00:07:53,280 Speaker 4: it done. But that's not gonna happen here with the 181 00:07:53,360 --> 00:07:55,960 Speaker 4: Tennessee Titans, who have played much bead at home twenty 182 00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:58,160 Speaker 4: seven points per game at home two and three. 183 00:07:58,160 --> 00:07:59,560 Speaker 5: Is an underdog this year? Straight up? 184 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:01,760 Speaker 4: Where have they won their two games as an underdog 185 00:08:02,120 --> 00:08:04,960 Speaker 4: at home in Tennessee? Mike Rabel five and zero off 186 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:07,560 Speaker 4: of bye week? Perfect off the bye week. They're coming 187 00:08:07,600 --> 00:08:09,520 Speaker 4: off the bye week playing the Falcons in a game 188 00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:11,040 Speaker 4: that they played bad at the on the road. 189 00:08:11,120 --> 00:08:12,760 Speaker 5: P Jon Robinson is going to be healthy? Is he 190 00:08:12,800 --> 00:08:13,200 Speaker 5: going to play? 191 00:08:13,240 --> 00:08:15,520 Speaker 4: I don't know, Arthur Smith tell me, But what I 192 00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:17,960 Speaker 4: do know is Tins money online plus one thirty. 193 00:08:18,080 --> 00:08:19,440 Speaker 5: I love it, you know. 194 00:08:19,440 --> 00:08:22,760 Speaker 1: What, Erickson, When you said this out loud, I got 195 00:08:22,840 --> 00:08:25,640 Speaker 1: a little shiver there. And then the more I listened 196 00:08:25,640 --> 00:08:28,320 Speaker 1: to you, the more I thought about it. You might 197 00:08:28,360 --> 00:08:30,040 Speaker 1: be onto something here, and this is the game I've 198 00:08:30,040 --> 00:08:33,319 Speaker 1: stayed away from so far, like the under Actually, that's 199 00:08:33,360 --> 00:08:35,000 Speaker 1: the one thing that I like in this game. My 200 00:08:35,080 --> 00:08:38,360 Speaker 1: confidence at Will Levis is not high, but neither is 201 00:08:38,400 --> 00:08:42,040 Speaker 1: my confidence in Desmond Ritter too. So some interesting pieces here, 202 00:08:42,080 --> 00:08:44,120 Speaker 1: for sure. Maybe this guy isn't following. Maybe that's a 203 00:08:44,160 --> 00:08:47,360 Speaker 1: great opportunity. I'm curious too. I guarantee you A lot 204 00:08:47,360 --> 00:08:49,240 Speaker 1: of the public is on Atlanta on this game, which 205 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:52,040 Speaker 1: also makes me feel like maybe it's time to go 206 00:08:52,080 --> 00:08:54,520 Speaker 1: the other way. Whenever you see that, that's usually the 207 00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:56,680 Speaker 1: indication where it's it's time to start looking in the 208 00:08:56,679 --> 00:08:58,160 Speaker 1: other direction, don't you think that, Andrew? 209 00:08:59,000 --> 00:08:59,240 Speaker 3: Yeah? 210 00:08:59,360 --> 00:09:01,559 Speaker 4: I mean, look, they won on the road last week. 211 00:09:01,880 --> 00:09:03,760 Speaker 4: You know how many times they've won their road games. 212 00:09:03,800 --> 00:09:05,880 Speaker 4: They've lost eight of their last nine road games. The 213 00:09:06,240 --> 00:09:08,080 Speaker 4: one they won was last week. Are they gonna win again? 214 00:09:08,440 --> 00:09:09,200 Speaker 4: Is the new streak? 215 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:11,400 Speaker 5: I don't know. I'm very skeptical of that. 216 00:09:11,720 --> 00:09:13,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, it looks like fifty three percent right now on 217 00:09:13,960 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 1: the side of the falcons on this one. 218 00:09:15,360 --> 00:09:16,319 Speaker 5: So there you go. 219 00:09:16,720 --> 00:09:18,720 Speaker 1: There you have it all right, let's go back to 220 00:09:18,920 --> 00:09:22,280 Speaker 1: another one for Ben Stevens. Here number two on your 221 00:09:22,320 --> 00:09:23,880 Speaker 1: list for a week eight and I gotta say I'm 222 00:09:23,920 --> 00:09:25,839 Speaker 1: very happy I bet this one early in the week, 223 00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:28,120 Speaker 1: and now we're gonna have a different quarterback we weren't 224 00:09:28,160 --> 00:09:30,120 Speaker 1: expecting in this game for the forty nine ers. I 225 00:09:30,160 --> 00:09:32,200 Speaker 1: don't know if that's a good thing or a bad thing, Ben, 226 00:09:32,320 --> 00:09:34,680 Speaker 1: But let's talk about the Cincinnati Bengals and forty nine Ers, 227 00:09:34,679 --> 00:09:36,640 Speaker 1: because you've got all the feelings, as the kids like 228 00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:37,600 Speaker 1: to say about this one. 229 00:09:37,880 --> 00:09:40,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, I certainly do like you, Joe p I loved 230 00:09:40,760 --> 00:09:42,920 Speaker 2: it early in the week six points five and a half, 231 00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:46,520 Speaker 2: about twenty four hours ago from the time of this recording. 232 00:09:46,559 --> 00:09:49,160 Speaker 2: But that's what BROB Purdy is worth, not just a 233 00:09:49,240 --> 00:09:51,880 Speaker 2: system quarterback, worth two points on the spread and the 234 00:09:51,920 --> 00:09:54,800 Speaker 2: over under as well. I oddly enough think the forty 235 00:09:54,840 --> 00:09:57,600 Speaker 2: nine Ers pull out his football game with sam Donold, 236 00:09:57,600 --> 00:09:59,680 Speaker 2: but as long as it stays above a field goal, 237 00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:02,000 Speaker 2: I like the Bengals to keep this game type. 238 00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:03,080 Speaker 3: And since he's coming. 239 00:10:02,880 --> 00:10:05,040 Speaker 2: Off the bye week, of course, they entered the bye 240 00:10:05,040 --> 00:10:08,120 Speaker 2: week winning two straight games. They are getting healthier. Of course, 241 00:10:08,160 --> 00:10:11,680 Speaker 2: that main health component is the right calf of Joe Burrow. 242 00:10:11,720 --> 00:10:14,120 Speaker 2: The one issue I do have with the Bengals in 243 00:10:14,160 --> 00:10:16,679 Speaker 2: this spot is the fourth worst rushing defense in the 244 00:10:16,760 --> 00:10:18,760 Speaker 2: National Football League, giving up nearly one hundred and forty 245 00:10:18,800 --> 00:10:22,680 Speaker 2: yards per game on the ground. That would feed Christian McCaffrey, 246 00:10:22,679 --> 00:10:25,960 Speaker 2: Elijah Mitchell, whoever the heck Kyle Shanahan decides to run 247 00:10:26,240 --> 00:10:28,959 Speaker 2: on Sunday, and I do think that when you have 248 00:10:29,040 --> 00:10:31,679 Speaker 2: San Francisco on a two game skin, am I expecting 249 00:10:31,679 --> 00:10:35,360 Speaker 2: the forty nine ers to lose three straight games? I 250 00:10:35,440 --> 00:10:38,120 Speaker 2: actually think Sammy d might be able to pull this 251 00:10:38,160 --> 00:10:40,200 Speaker 2: football game out, but I think it stays right around 252 00:10:40,240 --> 00:10:42,920 Speaker 2: that field goal margin. I think Cincinnati covers as a 253 00:10:42,920 --> 00:10:45,360 Speaker 2: three and a half point underdog, and again I would 254 00:10:45,400 --> 00:10:49,000 Speaker 2: get that number as it stays above the field goal 255 00:10:49,040 --> 00:10:51,360 Speaker 2: I would not be surprised as we go through this 256 00:10:51,520 --> 00:10:54,640 Speaker 2: week if it ends up on that flat three as 257 00:10:54,679 --> 00:10:56,760 Speaker 2: more of the betting markets become involved for a late 258 00:10:56,800 --> 00:10:58,480 Speaker 2: Saturday or Sunday afternoon game. 259 00:10:58,600 --> 00:11:01,040 Speaker 1: If Sam Darnold wins this game, then we of course 260 00:11:01,080 --> 00:11:04,320 Speaker 1: talk about rock perty as being a system quarterback more 261 00:11:04,480 --> 00:11:07,000 Speaker 1: and as we should because he is. And that's fine. 262 00:11:07,040 --> 00:11:10,000 Speaker 1: There's nothing wrong with that. It's great when a quarterback 263 00:11:10,000 --> 00:11:11,920 Speaker 1: fits a system. Goodness knows, we've seen a lot of 264 00:11:11,960 --> 00:11:14,640 Speaker 1: quarterbacks come into this league that had talent who didn't 265 00:11:14,679 --> 00:11:16,760 Speaker 1: have the right systems. I gotta tell you, Ben, coming 266 00:11:16,760 --> 00:11:19,160 Speaker 1: off the bye, if Joe Burrows healthy, I know it 267 00:11:19,160 --> 00:11:21,679 Speaker 1: sounds crazy for the forty nine ers to lose three 268 00:11:21,720 --> 00:11:24,120 Speaker 1: games in a row. I was on the Vikings Monday 269 00:11:24,160 --> 00:11:26,560 Speaker 1: night here on the program. I was talking about the 270 00:11:26,640 --> 00:11:28,439 Speaker 1: Vikings on the money line for the upset because I 271 00:11:28,480 --> 00:11:30,160 Speaker 1: thought they were a little beaten up and weak, and 272 00:11:30,160 --> 00:11:32,200 Speaker 1: they were. I think they're still a little beating up 273 00:11:32,200 --> 00:11:34,360 Speaker 1: in week I'm like you, though, I worry about CMC 274 00:11:34,480 --> 00:11:36,880 Speaker 1: in that game running a mock literally if he is 275 00:11:36,920 --> 00:11:38,920 Speaker 1: healthy enough to do that. But I kind of like 276 00:11:38,960 --> 00:11:41,120 Speaker 1: Cincy straight up on the mind line plus one fifty 277 00:11:41,120 --> 00:11:43,040 Speaker 1: and get that at points, bet, I gotta tell you, and. 278 00:11:43,360 --> 00:11:45,920 Speaker 2: Let's think about that though. Let's think about that evaluation 279 00:11:46,040 --> 00:11:48,840 Speaker 2: tool for Cincinnati. This Bengals team, who has played in 280 00:11:48,880 --> 00:11:52,760 Speaker 2: two consecutive AFC Championship games, expected before the year to 281 00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:54,760 Speaker 2: be right back there at the end of this twenty 282 00:11:54,800 --> 00:11:57,719 Speaker 2: twenty three season for Cincy now to come out of 283 00:11:57,760 --> 00:11:59,760 Speaker 2: the hole they dug themselves at one and three. They 284 00:11:59,800 --> 00:12:02,240 Speaker 2: had the track record of doing so last year, winning 285 00:12:02,280 --> 00:12:04,720 Speaker 2: eleven of their final twelve games, eight in a row 286 00:12:04,880 --> 00:12:08,000 Speaker 2: to end out twenty twenty two. I'm sure they're rather 287 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:11,600 Speaker 2: comfortable in this spot thinking it only goes up from here. 288 00:12:11,760 --> 00:12:13,720 Speaker 2: But if Cincinnati is going to get back to that, 289 00:12:13,800 --> 00:12:15,760 Speaker 2: if Cincinnati is going to be a playoff team, if 290 00:12:15,800 --> 00:12:17,760 Speaker 2: Cincinnati is going to prove to us they are a 291 00:12:17,800 --> 00:12:21,240 Speaker 2: true AFC title contender, maybe playing for their second Lombardi 292 00:12:21,280 --> 00:12:24,319 Speaker 2: Trophy in the past three years. These are the games 293 00:12:24,320 --> 00:12:26,560 Speaker 2: you win. You don't just beat up on teams that 294 00:12:26,600 --> 00:12:29,120 Speaker 2: are week. You don't just beat up on the Arizona Cardinals, right, 295 00:12:29,160 --> 00:12:30,640 Speaker 2: You go out there and you beat the San Francisco 296 00:12:30,640 --> 00:12:32,960 Speaker 2: forty nine ers who are playing a backup quarterback in 297 00:12:33,080 --> 00:12:33,760 Speaker 2: Sam Donald. 298 00:12:33,800 --> 00:12:35,200 Speaker 3: So I completely agree, Jop. 299 00:12:35,520 --> 00:12:37,480 Speaker 2: I just have some weird feeling that Sam Donald wins 300 00:12:37,480 --> 00:12:39,760 Speaker 2: this football game somehow, some way, So I'll take the 301 00:12:39,760 --> 00:12:41,280 Speaker 2: additional hook at plus three and a half. 302 00:12:41,679 --> 00:12:44,040 Speaker 1: All right, fair enough. Also make sure you're staying on 303 00:12:44,120 --> 00:12:46,840 Speaker 1: top of all the lines to all week long use 304 00:12:46,880 --> 00:12:50,400 Speaker 1: THEVP app. Line alerts set game notifications for all the 305 00:12:50,400 --> 00:12:53,040 Speaker 1: different games, So anytime there's a line movement that you 306 00:12:53,080 --> 00:12:56,040 Speaker 1: want to know for sure is happening, you set that notification. 307 00:12:56,240 --> 00:12:58,200 Speaker 1: Just like that. You'll get a note to your phone, 308 00:12:58,480 --> 00:13:00,680 Speaker 1: can open it, make the bet when whenever you want. 309 00:13:00,760 --> 00:13:02,200 Speaker 1: So that's a great way to stay on top of 310 00:13:02,200 --> 00:13:04,800 Speaker 1: these numbers the next few days over the weekend as 311 00:13:04,800 --> 00:13:07,640 Speaker 1: things continue to move and evolve, as all these injuries 312 00:13:07,640 --> 00:13:10,520 Speaker 1: continue to pile up for certain teams. It's been a 313 00:13:10,679 --> 00:13:14,240 Speaker 1: crazy couple weeks for quarterback injuries too, one that we 314 00:13:14,280 --> 00:13:16,560 Speaker 1: don't usually see as often. I feel like the quarterback 315 00:13:16,600 --> 00:13:18,880 Speaker 1: injury run that we've seen here. I mean any given time, 316 00:13:18,920 --> 00:13:21,160 Speaker 1: there's been like ten different quarterbacks that have had injuries. 317 00:13:21,160 --> 00:13:24,240 Speaker 1: It's like a third of the league. Very odd, especially 318 00:13:24,240 --> 00:13:25,720 Speaker 1: this time of the year or two we're not even 319 00:13:25,760 --> 00:13:28,400 Speaker 1: barely halfway through the season. All right, let's get back 320 00:13:28,440 --> 00:13:30,640 Speaker 1: to you, Andrew Erickson for week eight. Give us another 321 00:13:30,720 --> 00:13:32,480 Speaker 1: thing that you have here, and you've got some feelings 322 00:13:32,480 --> 00:13:33,480 Speaker 1: about the Bengals as well. 323 00:13:34,040 --> 00:13:37,800 Speaker 4: Yes, I am joining the Bengal bandwagon here at plus 324 00:13:37,840 --> 00:13:40,800 Speaker 4: three and a half with the Cincinnati Bengals and again, Joe, 325 00:13:40,840 --> 00:13:43,559 Speaker 4: I'm kind of interested in this money line play that 326 00:13:43,600 --> 00:13:45,320 Speaker 4: you have because the thing that I'm looking at again, 327 00:13:45,400 --> 00:13:47,680 Speaker 4: Sam Darnald. You know, can he put up numbers in 328 00:13:47,720 --> 00:13:48,280 Speaker 4: this offense? 329 00:13:48,400 --> 00:13:50,040 Speaker 5: Probably? But will he win? 330 00:13:50,320 --> 00:13:52,199 Speaker 4: Like, that's the thing I'm thinking about, Like, is Sam Like, 331 00:13:52,280 --> 00:13:55,000 Speaker 4: let's say they're down three. Is Sam Darnald gonna drive 332 00:13:55,040 --> 00:13:57,360 Speaker 4: them down the field to beat the Bengals at home? 333 00:13:57,679 --> 00:13:58,040 Speaker 5: I don't know. 334 00:13:58,120 --> 00:14:00,720 Speaker 4: Consider me skeptical of that. Like I've seen Sam Donald. 335 00:14:00,800 --> 00:14:03,440 Speaker 4: I've seen him crumble multiple times. The New York Jet 336 00:14:03,520 --> 00:14:06,280 Speaker 4: is Carolina Panther. Yes, he may put up numbers like 337 00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:08,800 Speaker 4: a lot of the forty nine ers quarterbacks have not 338 00:14:08,920 --> 00:14:10,960 Speaker 4: named Jimmy Garoppolo, not named Rock Party. 339 00:14:11,080 --> 00:14:13,280 Speaker 5: Oh my god. Nick Mullins says yards per attempt in 340 00:14:13,280 --> 00:14:15,240 Speaker 5: best in NFL history. You know a CJ. 341 00:14:15,320 --> 00:14:15,720 Speaker 1: Beatheart. 342 00:14:15,720 --> 00:14:17,400 Speaker 5: Oh my god, this guy's amazing. And what do they do? 343 00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:20,240 Speaker 4: They they lose games. They lose games because they're not 344 00:14:20,280 --> 00:14:21,840 Speaker 4: good quarterbacks. At the end of the day, they put 345 00:14:21,880 --> 00:14:24,320 Speaker 4: up good numbers because of the system. The system and 346 00:14:24,400 --> 00:14:26,320 Speaker 4: Sam Donald, Yeah, I think he can put up good numbers, 347 00:14:26,440 --> 00:14:28,200 Speaker 4: but can he get them to win? I don't know, 348 00:14:28,200 --> 00:14:30,480 Speaker 4: because look at Kyle Shannan twenty one and thirty two. 349 00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:34,560 Speaker 4: Without Jimmy Garoppolo. Since twenty seventeen, that record was nine 350 00:14:34,560 --> 00:14:37,320 Speaker 4: and twenty nine until rock Perty entered the picture at 351 00:14:37,320 --> 00:14:39,440 Speaker 4: the beginning or in the middle of last year. When 352 00:14:39,480 --> 00:14:42,800 Speaker 4: he doesn't have a certain quarterback, they don't win games. 353 00:14:43,160 --> 00:14:46,800 Speaker 4: And if I can bet against Sam Darnold against with 354 00:14:46,920 --> 00:14:48,960 Speaker 4: Joe Burrow as the quarterback, I get to pick on 355 00:14:49,040 --> 00:14:51,320 Speaker 4: the team coming off at that every day. 356 00:14:51,280 --> 00:14:53,280 Speaker 1: And hopefully t Higgins a little healthier too, and you 357 00:14:53,360 --> 00:14:55,560 Speaker 1: bet all those weapons. Joe Mixon hasn't done anything, but 358 00:14:55,600 --> 00:14:57,120 Speaker 1: it doesn't matter because you can't run the ball in 359 00:14:57,120 --> 00:14:58,760 Speaker 1: the four ninders anyway, so you might as well throw 360 00:14:58,800 --> 00:15:01,040 Speaker 1: all day and Joe Burrow the guy for that job. 361 00:15:01,320 --> 00:15:03,320 Speaker 1: It's also October, which is not the best time to 362 00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:05,400 Speaker 1: be running Sam Darnold out because you know how he 363 00:15:05,400 --> 00:15:07,520 Speaker 1: feels about ghosts. Oh, we've heard that in the past. 364 00:15:07,760 --> 00:15:10,400 Speaker 1: He doesn't halloween. 365 00:15:12,920 --> 00:15:13,600 Speaker 5: Ning itself. 366 00:15:14,480 --> 00:15:16,640 Speaker 1: I don't like it, very scary times. 367 00:15:16,760 --> 00:15:18,600 Speaker 2: I hear Mono is on an uptake in the Bay 368 00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:20,160 Speaker 2: area right now, too, so that's not good. 369 00:15:21,000 --> 00:15:23,000 Speaker 1: Well, he's had some time on his hands. He hasn't 370 00:15:23,040 --> 00:15:24,800 Speaker 1: had to do anything else, so he was out. What 371 00:15:24,880 --> 00:15:26,800 Speaker 1: do you think he's doing? All right, let's get to 372 00:15:26,920 --> 00:15:30,080 Speaker 1: another one of the picks here. Back to you, Ben Stevens, 373 00:15:30,080 --> 00:15:31,440 Speaker 1: what do you have for a week eate in the NFL? 374 00:15:31,520 --> 00:15:34,240 Speaker 2: We're going Saints Colts under forty three and a half. 375 00:15:34,280 --> 00:15:36,800 Speaker 2: And if you watched Indianapolis football the last few weeks, 376 00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:39,240 Speaker 2: this might be a crazy thing to say. Indy five 377 00:15:39,360 --> 00:15:41,600 Speaker 2: of their seven games to and over this year. The 378 00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:44,880 Speaker 2: Colts have not allowed less than sixteen points in a 379 00:15:44,880 --> 00:15:47,880 Speaker 2: game this year in their last two thirty seven points 380 00:15:47,880 --> 00:15:52,520 Speaker 2: in Jacksonville, thirty nine last week against the Cleveland Browns. 381 00:15:52,560 --> 00:15:55,800 Speaker 2: But what is a stronger force than Indianapolis? The New 382 00:15:55,960 --> 00:15:59,920 Speaker 2: Orleans Saints playing Tourden under weird Thursday night football game 383 00:16:00,200 --> 00:16:02,320 Speaker 2: where the Saints should have been on an under against 384 00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:04,920 Speaker 2: the banged up Trevor Lawrence and Jacksonville. Somehow, some way 385 00:16:05,200 --> 00:16:08,080 Speaker 2: it goes over. We're all due for one over in 386 00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:11,280 Speaker 2: our lives. But New Orleans have played six consecutive unders 387 00:16:11,560 --> 00:16:15,720 Speaker 2: prior to that, dating back to last year, twelve straight 388 00:16:16,000 --> 00:16:19,280 Speaker 2: unders going back to twenty twenty two, and for the 389 00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:24,040 Speaker 2: Saints now on the road, seven straight unders. I think 390 00:16:24,080 --> 00:16:27,560 Speaker 2: we stay under forty three and a half in Indianapolis 391 00:16:27,760 --> 00:16:29,080 Speaker 2: against the Colts on Sunday. 392 00:16:30,080 --> 00:16:32,200 Speaker 1: Very convincing argument. You know, I was thinking to myself 393 00:16:32,240 --> 00:16:33,920 Speaker 1: when you were talking about it that, you know, some 394 00:16:33,960 --> 00:16:35,800 Speaker 1: of those games is when Derek Carr did had that 395 00:16:35,800 --> 00:16:38,360 Speaker 1: shoulder injury and really couldn't throw the ball deeper. Now 396 00:16:38,360 --> 00:16:40,880 Speaker 1: that he obviously can go do that, and that seems 397 00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:43,040 Speaker 1: to be not the problem anymore. The big problem is 398 00:16:43,040 --> 00:16:44,480 Speaker 1: now other people want to see him actually catching the 399 00:16:44,520 --> 00:16:46,200 Speaker 1: ball when it matters, you know, in the end zone, 400 00:16:46,280 --> 00:16:48,960 Speaker 1: stuff like that. You know, that seems to that would 401 00:16:49,000 --> 00:16:51,960 Speaker 1: help Derek Carr and the Saints go over some of 402 00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:53,320 Speaker 1: these numbers at some point. 403 00:16:53,400 --> 00:16:54,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, let me just say, I know this is not 404 00:16:54,920 --> 00:16:57,120 Speaker 2: a prop show, but I'm still a little bit angry 405 00:16:57,200 --> 00:16:58,960 Speaker 2: about what I thought was one of my best handicaps 406 00:16:59,000 --> 00:17:01,240 Speaker 2: of the year last week on Thursday Night Football, Chris 407 00:17:01,320 --> 00:17:03,800 Speaker 2: Olave going over what I thought was a disrespectful number 408 00:17:03,800 --> 00:17:05,560 Speaker 2: of sixty two and a half finished is in the 409 00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:07,399 Speaker 2: upper fifties. I think it was fifty eight. All I 410 00:17:07,480 --> 00:17:09,640 Speaker 2: know it was a loser, So I go and I look, 411 00:17:09,640 --> 00:17:12,080 Speaker 2: I'm like, oh man, was he just not involved? Fifteen 412 00:17:12,119 --> 00:17:14,640 Speaker 2: targets for the guy and he had fifty eight yards. 413 00:17:14,640 --> 00:17:15,960 Speaker 3: Sorry, I just had to get that off my chair. 414 00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:17,280 Speaker 1: No, this is a healthy place. 415 00:17:17,280 --> 00:17:19,200 Speaker 5: She should have met the over on air yards. There 416 00:17:19,240 --> 00:17:19,399 Speaker 5: you go. 417 00:17:20,600 --> 00:17:23,199 Speaker 1: You know the one number that was completely wrong in 418 00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:26,639 Speaker 1: that game, and we hammered it last week, which was 419 00:17:26,720 --> 00:17:29,560 Speaker 1: the Alvin Kamara reception total of four and a half 420 00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:33,080 Speaker 1: four and a half, Ben four and a half. I 421 00:17:34,119 --> 00:17:36,760 Speaker 1: don't know what anybody who's been watching, but at least 422 00:17:36,800 --> 00:17:38,320 Speaker 1: said it at six and a half or was up 423 00:17:38,359 --> 00:17:40,760 Speaker 1: to like four and a half was just absurd. I 424 00:17:40,840 --> 00:17:43,160 Speaker 1: want to say, like a third of the passes Derek 425 00:17:43,160 --> 00:17:47,240 Speaker 1: car Thru we're targeted to Alvin Kamara last week. So 426 00:17:47,840 --> 00:17:50,040 Speaker 1: an interesting one there, Colt's under forty three and a 427 00:17:50,080 --> 00:17:53,040 Speaker 1: half Ericson, Let's jump back to you with another number 428 00:17:53,080 --> 00:17:55,000 Speaker 1: that This is one that I talked about in the 429 00:17:55,040 --> 00:17:58,120 Speaker 1: Early Line Show on Monday that I was very much 430 00:17:58,160 --> 00:17:59,919 Speaker 1: in on. So I'm curious to hear your thoughts too, 431 00:18:00,000 --> 00:18:02,239 Speaker 1: because it's about the Bears and that eight and a 432 00:18:02,240 --> 00:18:04,800 Speaker 1: half where I feel like the Chargers are just getting 433 00:18:04,800 --> 00:18:07,200 Speaker 1: too much respect in it looks like you might agree. 434 00:18:07,320 --> 00:18:09,080 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, like, why are the Chargers favored by 435 00:18:09,080 --> 00:18:10,720 Speaker 4: eight and a half again, I don't know, like like 436 00:18:10,840 --> 00:18:13,720 Speaker 4: come on, like, what is this team done to prove, Like, yeah, 437 00:18:13,760 --> 00:18:15,960 Speaker 4: you know they should be lea more than touchdown favorites 438 00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:18,639 Speaker 4: against another NFL team, Like I get it's the Bears, 439 00:18:18,680 --> 00:18:20,920 Speaker 4: but the Chargers man two and four against the spread 440 00:18:20,920 --> 00:18:23,400 Speaker 4: this year, and when they've covered, it's been like razor 441 00:18:23,480 --> 00:18:26,960 Speaker 4: thin margins. Like, I mean, anyone that's bet on the Chargers, 442 00:18:27,040 --> 00:18:29,440 Speaker 4: it's not fun. It's not fun to do. It's coming 443 00:18:29,440 --> 00:18:31,120 Speaker 4: down to the wire every single time, and they're gonna 444 00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:33,120 Speaker 4: break your hearts at the end of the day. They're 445 00:18:33,160 --> 00:18:35,040 Speaker 4: won in two his favorites overall, so even in their 446 00:18:35,040 --> 00:18:37,400 Speaker 4: favorite they don't even win their games half the time. 447 00:18:37,800 --> 00:18:40,120 Speaker 4: So I'm trying to figure out here. They haven't won 448 00:18:40,160 --> 00:18:42,760 Speaker 4: a game by more than seven points. Their biggest win 449 00:18:42,840 --> 00:18:46,240 Speaker 4: came against Aidan O'Connell and aid O'Connell led Raiders team 450 00:18:46,280 --> 00:18:50,360 Speaker 4: that's becoming a dumpster fire. Like last year they won 451 00:18:50,440 --> 00:18:53,680 Speaker 4: three games by ten plus points. They won ten games overall, 452 00:18:54,080 --> 00:18:56,720 Speaker 4: So they're only winning ten point games but thirty percent 453 00:18:56,760 --> 00:18:58,520 Speaker 4: of the time anyway, and that's just assuming that they 454 00:18:58,520 --> 00:19:00,879 Speaker 4: win the game, which who knows, We don't even know 455 00:19:00,920 --> 00:19:03,399 Speaker 4: what we're gonna see from the Chargers team. So for me, 456 00:19:03,720 --> 00:19:07,440 Speaker 4: their defense is a total dumpster fire. So even though 457 00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:08,600 Speaker 4: you don't look at the Bears and you're like their 458 00:19:08,600 --> 00:19:10,320 Speaker 4: defense doesn't be that great either, the Bears have actually 459 00:19:10,320 --> 00:19:12,879 Speaker 4: been playing better on defense the last two weeks. 460 00:19:13,119 --> 00:19:14,560 Speaker 5: Yeah, they're able to stop the run. 461 00:19:14,920 --> 00:19:17,040 Speaker 4: They're really only bad against running backs in the passing game, 462 00:19:17,119 --> 00:19:19,480 Speaker 4: but they haven't been Austin Eckler has been banged up. 463 00:19:19,560 --> 00:19:20,920 Speaker 5: He's not as involved. 464 00:19:21,200 --> 00:19:23,520 Speaker 4: You know, we've teen seen this justin Herbert let offense 465 00:19:23,560 --> 00:19:25,520 Speaker 4: take a step back without Mike Williams and the offense. 466 00:19:25,600 --> 00:19:28,840 Speaker 4: So I just just give me the Bears with plus eight. 467 00:19:28,920 --> 00:19:30,240 Speaker 4: I mean I got this number at plus nine and 468 00:19:30,280 --> 00:19:31,920 Speaker 4: a half, like really early in the week, and I 469 00:19:31,960 --> 00:19:33,280 Speaker 4: was like plus eight and a half. It's like, I 470 00:19:33,320 --> 00:19:35,480 Speaker 4: just don't think the Chargers are good enough team to beat. 471 00:19:35,520 --> 00:19:38,160 Speaker 4: This team beat the Bears by ten points even though 472 00:19:38,240 --> 00:19:40,800 Speaker 4: they're playing at home quote unquote, because we all know 473 00:19:40,840 --> 00:19:43,840 Speaker 4: the Charges don't actually have a home stadium, and everyone 474 00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:46,080 Speaker 4: seems to be really excited about Tyson Badget. I think 475 00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:49,360 Speaker 4: this is a reinvigorated Bears team that's like, hey, we're 476 00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:51,560 Speaker 4: playing good football, right now and we can beat up 477 00:19:51,800 --> 00:19:54,320 Speaker 4: on a bad Chargers team that's up and down trying 478 00:19:54,320 --> 00:19:57,280 Speaker 4: to find itself. And Brandon Staley, Man, I mean, could 479 00:19:57,320 --> 00:19:57,760 Speaker 4: this be it? 480 00:19:57,840 --> 00:19:58,240 Speaker 5: Could this be? 481 00:20:00,600 --> 00:20:02,399 Speaker 1: Let's talk about that for a second, because it's a 482 00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:05,320 Speaker 1: fun conversation in that sense. If the Bears should pull 483 00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:08,440 Speaker 1: off an upset, here is it it for Staley? 484 00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:11,240 Speaker 4: Ericson, It's gonna be a long uber ride back to 485 00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:13,520 Speaker 4: his house. We've got to say that least. 486 00:20:13,680 --> 00:20:15,560 Speaker 1: So what do you think, Bendy? I mean, this guy's 487 00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:17,600 Speaker 1: kind of hanging on by a thread anyway. This year 488 00:20:17,640 --> 00:20:21,679 Speaker 1: there was definitely expectations. Is a Bears win again? I 489 00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:23,560 Speaker 1: hate to say in your building because there's no home 490 00:20:23,560 --> 00:20:25,439 Speaker 1: field advantage And that's one of the challenges for the 491 00:20:25,520 --> 00:20:27,919 Speaker 1: Rams and the Chargers is they don't really you know, 492 00:20:28,080 --> 00:20:30,199 Speaker 1: when you watch the Rams last week, they might as 493 00:20:30,240 --> 00:20:32,159 Speaker 1: well have been playing in Pittsburgh. It was crazy how 494 00:20:32,160 --> 00:20:34,160 Speaker 1: many terrible towels were out there. It just wasn't even 495 00:20:34,160 --> 00:20:35,399 Speaker 1: close to a home game. But what do you think 496 00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:37,720 Speaker 1: if the Bear should win this game outright and kind 497 00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:39,359 Speaker 1: of surprise a lot of people, is that the end 498 00:20:39,359 --> 00:20:39,840 Speaker 1: of Staley? 499 00:20:39,920 --> 00:20:42,240 Speaker 2: I was flying back from La on Sunday, by the way, 500 00:20:42,280 --> 00:20:44,640 Speaker 2: and there were so many Steelers fans in the airport. 501 00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:46,800 Speaker 2: I was like, oh, yeah, yeah, they were playing the 502 00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:48,160 Speaker 2: Rams this week. 503 00:20:48,960 --> 00:20:50,440 Speaker 3: So interesting. 504 00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:53,119 Speaker 2: Brendan Staley is not going to coach the Chargers in 505 00:20:53,119 --> 00:20:56,280 Speaker 2: twenty twenty four. I think we can all agree on that. 506 00:20:56,400 --> 00:20:59,240 Speaker 2: I don't believe he will be the head coach next year. 507 00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:03,200 Speaker 2: I don't know, given how rare it is to fire 508 00:21:03,359 --> 00:21:06,720 Speaker 2: a coach mid season in the National Football League, if 509 00:21:06,760 --> 00:21:10,000 Speaker 2: they would do it before October is out, but as 510 00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:12,439 Speaker 2: an eight and a half point favorite against Tyson Bagent 511 00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:16,840 Speaker 2: in the Chicago Bears, that would be as much of 512 00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:19,720 Speaker 2: a reason to fire somebody right there on the spot 513 00:21:20,000 --> 00:21:21,959 Speaker 2: as we've ever seen. We know teams in LA can 514 00:21:22,040 --> 00:21:24,120 Speaker 2: leave their coaches on the tarmac. It's not like they're 515 00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:27,639 Speaker 2: flying anywhere on their way. I don't know if Brandon 516 00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:30,639 Speaker 2: Staley would see week number nine if they lose outright 517 00:21:30,960 --> 00:21:33,879 Speaker 2: against the Bears. I know I personally believe, like one 518 00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:36,480 Speaker 2: hundred percent, ninety nine point nine percent, he is not 519 00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:38,280 Speaker 2: going to be the coach at the end of twenty 520 00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:41,440 Speaker 2: twenty three into twenty twenty four. Mid season is where 521 00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:44,399 Speaker 2: things get complicated. But yeah, this would be pretty damning. 522 00:21:45,080 --> 00:21:46,800 Speaker 1: It's gonna be an interesting situation. That's here. 523 00:21:46,920 --> 00:21:49,760 Speaker 2: Actually, keep on, here's what happens. I just figured it out. 524 00:21:49,880 --> 00:21:52,840 Speaker 2: Chicago wins outright as an eight and a half point underdog. 525 00:21:53,000 --> 00:21:55,679 Speaker 2: They come down. Dean Spanos comes down. He says to 526 00:21:55,760 --> 00:21:58,160 Speaker 2: his head coach Brandon Staley, I will let you coach 527 00:21:58,200 --> 00:22:01,480 Speaker 2: week number nine if you beat Bison's father, Travis, a 528 00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:05,760 Speaker 2: twenty eight time arm Wrestling World champion, an arm wrestle 529 00:22:06,040 --> 00:22:08,520 Speaker 2: which Brandon Staley loses, and yes, he's effectively fired. 530 00:22:08,800 --> 00:22:10,320 Speaker 1: There you go. That's how you do it. You said, 531 00:22:10,320 --> 00:22:12,000 Speaker 1: you give him a chance to fight for his job. Literally. 532 00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:13,920 Speaker 1: By the way, the Bears plus three fifty over on 533 00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:15,520 Speaker 1: fan duel in the money line right now over on 534 00:22:15,560 --> 00:22:17,959 Speaker 1: betting pros. Don't forget make all your bets count two 535 00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:20,159 Speaker 1: or all your picks count the very least. Join our 536 00:22:20,280 --> 00:22:23,800 Speaker 1: NFL contest bettingpros dot Com slash NFL contest again. Wagering 537 00:22:23,800 --> 00:22:25,199 Speaker 1: doesn't even have to be legal where you are. You 538 00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:27,480 Speaker 1: can just make picks here. We're talking about five picks 539 00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:29,159 Speaker 1: a week, one hundred on the season. You could win 540 00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:32,320 Speaker 1: a Jackson Smith and Jigba autograph jersey if you get 541 00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:34,040 Speaker 1: it all right, if you are the big winner. We're 542 00:22:34,040 --> 00:22:37,080 Speaker 1: also doing weekly prizes and monthly prizes. We're giving away 543 00:22:37,520 --> 00:22:39,680 Speaker 1: gift cards to our Fantasy Pros and Betting Pro shops. 544 00:22:39,680 --> 00:22:42,639 Speaker 1: You can go buy hats, t shirts, slippers, socks, I 545 00:22:42,640 --> 00:22:44,159 Speaker 1: don't know. We got all kinds of crazy stuff. You 546 00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:46,640 Speaker 1: can go get Andrew Rickson T shirts as well. We're 547 00:22:46,640 --> 00:22:50,000 Speaker 1: also doing upgrades to Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros Premium 548 00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:52,920 Speaker 1: two for free, so get that as well. Just go 549 00:22:53,040 --> 00:22:54,960 Speaker 1: join our NFL contest if you've got the app, and 550 00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:57,160 Speaker 1: I know you do, click that community tab and join, 551 00:22:57,280 --> 00:23:00,000 Speaker 1: or just go to Betting Pros dot com slash NFL Contest. 552 00:23:00,440 --> 00:23:02,399 Speaker 1: Back to you, ericson for another week eight bet What 553 00:23:02,400 --> 00:23:02,720 Speaker 1: do you have? 554 00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:05,600 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm looking at going back to Pittsburgh in that 555 00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:06,600 Speaker 4: Jacksonville matchup. 556 00:23:06,680 --> 00:23:08,280 Speaker 5: I like the under in this one. Again. 557 00:23:08,320 --> 00:23:10,560 Speaker 4: I'm kind of leaning towards the Steelers as well, but 558 00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:13,399 Speaker 4: I feel safe for just you know, Mike Tomlin. He 559 00:23:13,440 --> 00:23:15,879 Speaker 4: gets these guys to win, but they shouldn't win. Eventually, 560 00:23:15,920 --> 00:23:17,920 Speaker 4: it's gonna catch up to them, and eventually they're gonna 561 00:23:17,960 --> 00:23:19,280 Speaker 4: lose a game that they should lose. 562 00:23:19,640 --> 00:23:20,679 Speaker 5: So I just like the under here. 563 00:23:20,720 --> 00:23:23,440 Speaker 4: Pittsburgh five and one towards the under the season basically 564 00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:26,600 Speaker 4: because they're winning all their games because of defense and turnovers, 565 00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:29,800 Speaker 4: you know, at the exact right time. And when you 566 00:23:29,800 --> 00:23:31,960 Speaker 4: look at the game that they scored the most points 567 00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:34,480 Speaker 4: in the game that actually went over came against the 568 00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:37,119 Speaker 4: Browns and they had two defensive touchdowns and a seventy 569 00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:40,160 Speaker 4: one yard touchdown pass from Kenny Pickett to George Pickens. 570 00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:42,760 Speaker 4: Like that's what it took to get a Steelers game 571 00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:46,199 Speaker 4: to go over the projected total, Like the most abnormal 572 00:23:46,320 --> 00:23:49,320 Speaker 4: outcome in a Steelers game. So I think Jacksonville's offense 573 00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:51,440 Speaker 4: has been up and down enough where you could see 574 00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:53,639 Speaker 4: a down performance from them after they put up a 575 00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:56,159 Speaker 4: lot of points against the Saints. Surprisingly, you know a 576 00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:58,240 Speaker 4: team that is very driven towards the unders, as we 577 00:23:58,280 --> 00:24:01,280 Speaker 4: already talked about. So steel last four games have gone 578 00:24:01,359 --> 00:24:04,199 Speaker 4: under the points total. So I like the under here, 579 00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:05,760 Speaker 4: especially at forty two. I feel like it should really 580 00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:07,880 Speaker 4: being more like in that thirty nine range. 581 00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:10,680 Speaker 1: All right, let's finish strong here. We got another couple 582 00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:13,560 Speaker 1: bets remaining. Let's go back to you for another one here, 583 00:24:13,560 --> 00:24:14,680 Speaker 1: Ben Stevens, what do you have. 584 00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:18,159 Speaker 2: I like Bryce Young winning the first football game of 585 00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:20,840 Speaker 2: his NFL career. The Panthers are an odd team. The 586 00:24:20,880 --> 00:24:23,520 Speaker 2: Panthers are the only remaining winless team in the National 587 00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:26,040 Speaker 2: Football League OW and six. The Panthers are the only 588 00:24:26,080 --> 00:24:28,000 Speaker 2: remaining team in the NFL that has yet to cover 589 00:24:28,160 --> 00:24:30,879 Speaker 2: a number this year. They are zero five and one. 590 00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:33,800 Speaker 2: Ats booked as an underdog by the way, in every 591 00:24:33,800 --> 00:24:36,920 Speaker 2: one of those six games. So why would Bryce Young 592 00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:40,200 Speaker 2: find it this week week number eight? Well, it's one 593 00:24:40,320 --> 00:24:43,800 Speaker 2: versus two. Enter CJ. Stroud in the Houston Texans, the 594 00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:46,080 Speaker 2: favorite to win Offensive Rookie of the Year, the guy 595 00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:49,280 Speaker 2: that making Bryce Young look pretty bad right now as 596 00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:52,360 Speaker 2: the number one overall pick. That number two overall selection 597 00:24:52,800 --> 00:24:53,320 Speaker 2: in CJ. 598 00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:53,880 Speaker 3: Strout. 599 00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:57,800 Speaker 2: Now a couple of reasons actually why I think Carolina 600 00:24:57,840 --> 00:25:01,240 Speaker 2: wins this football game Outside of narrative, you have to 601 00:25:01,280 --> 00:25:03,919 Speaker 2: believe the bye week has paid dividends for the young 602 00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:08,000 Speaker 2: rookie in terms of his continued growth in the NFL. 603 00:25:08,200 --> 00:25:10,840 Speaker 2: His last two games, the only two out of the 604 00:25:10,880 --> 00:25:13,480 Speaker 2: five he has played in this year, both with a 605 00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:17,679 Speaker 2: QBR north of forty, so there's a little bit of improvement, 606 00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:20,520 Speaker 2: and both over two hundred yards. He hasn't had back 607 00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:23,159 Speaker 2: to back two hundred yard passing games this season except 608 00:25:23,160 --> 00:25:25,879 Speaker 2: for the last two that bye week. Working with Frank 609 00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:29,520 Speaker 2: Reich new play color in Carolina as well, I think 610 00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:32,919 Speaker 2: we'll hopefully start to find things in a groove. And 611 00:25:33,000 --> 00:25:35,240 Speaker 2: on the other side of the football, I actually thought 612 00:25:35,240 --> 00:25:37,960 Speaker 2: the Panthers would be decent this year. And obviously there's 613 00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:41,359 Speaker 2: been so much injuries in the secondary for this Carolina team, 614 00:25:41,560 --> 00:25:43,720 Speaker 2: but last year under Steve Wilkes, who is a great 615 00:25:43,760 --> 00:25:46,840 Speaker 2: defensive mind as we know, despite a few struggles the 616 00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:50,120 Speaker 2: past few weeks as the DC in San Francisco, they 617 00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:53,000 Speaker 2: were competitive. They were covering and winning football games at 618 00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:56,280 Speaker 2: a clip nobody really expected after Matt Ruhle was fired, 619 00:25:56,320 --> 00:26:00,480 Speaker 2: and the defense was a big reason why I hope 620 00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:02,720 Speaker 2: the defense can improve because that's what's going to need 621 00:26:02,760 --> 00:26:03,360 Speaker 2: to happen here. 622 00:26:03,560 --> 00:26:05,480 Speaker 3: You need to see at least twenty four points from. 623 00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:07,679 Speaker 2: The Panthers led by Bryce Young, and you have to 624 00:26:07,720 --> 00:26:11,000 Speaker 2: limit the Texans to three touchdowns or less. I do 625 00:26:11,040 --> 00:26:13,920 Speaker 2: think it happens, though, and then there's the narrative Bryce 626 00:26:13,960 --> 00:26:16,479 Speaker 2: Young trying to prove to his coaching staff that maybe 627 00:26:16,520 --> 00:26:19,080 Speaker 2: was not in love with him over Stroud at the 628 00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:21,720 Speaker 2: number one overall pick and the weird dichotomies there with 629 00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:25,359 Speaker 2: ownership that he is the guy in Charlotte. He proves 630 00:26:25,400 --> 00:26:28,480 Speaker 2: that at home. Out of the buy for Carolina, I 631 00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:30,879 Speaker 2: actually think the spread should be bigger than three and 632 00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:33,120 Speaker 2: a half in favor of the Texans if we were 633 00:26:33,200 --> 00:26:35,600 Speaker 2: just going based on the optics and the numbers we 634 00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:38,680 Speaker 2: have seen this year. It's not it's funky. Carolina gets 635 00:26:38,720 --> 00:26:40,800 Speaker 2: their first win of the years. Andrew Erickson said before 636 00:26:40,840 --> 00:26:43,480 Speaker 2: we signed on and hit the record button, Carolina can't 637 00:26:43,480 --> 00:26:45,960 Speaker 2: go own seventeen, right, they got to win a game 638 00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:46,880 Speaker 2: at some point. 639 00:26:47,000 --> 00:26:48,120 Speaker 3: I think it's this one. 640 00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:50,119 Speaker 1: Well, I mean they can, right. 641 00:26:50,200 --> 00:26:50,520 Speaker 3: Yeah. 642 00:26:50,720 --> 00:26:53,919 Speaker 1: Actually, I really enjoyed that Disney plus pitch of a 643 00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:56,440 Speaker 1: movie that you just put together here regarding Bryce Young, 644 00:26:56,480 --> 00:26:59,159 Speaker 1: it's a feel good story. The only thing that feels 645 00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:01,720 Speaker 1: better is my best of the Houston Texans on the road, 646 00:27:01,760 --> 00:27:03,240 Speaker 1: because those guys are road warriors. 647 00:27:03,520 --> 00:27:04,080 Speaker 4: Go c J. 648 00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:06,720 Speaker 1: Stroud. That's the narrative I want to buy you into. 649 00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:09,240 Speaker 1: I want to buy the narrative. Hey, Carolina, you could 650 00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:11,560 Speaker 1: have had me. I'm gonna go into your home field 651 00:27:11,560 --> 00:27:15,000 Speaker 1: and I'm gonna embarrass your boy. That's the narrative I like. See. 652 00:27:15,080 --> 00:27:18,080 Speaker 1: I'm a wrestling guy, so I go full heel way 653 00:27:18,119 --> 00:27:20,320 Speaker 1: too much, and that's where I'm going on this one 654 00:27:20,359 --> 00:27:23,320 Speaker 1: full heel. CJ. Stroud the number one quarterback in last 655 00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:26,720 Speaker 1: year's draft. That's right, I said it. So yeah, yeah, 656 00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:29,119 Speaker 1: fun fun times goud See. I love this. I love 657 00:27:29,160 --> 00:27:31,720 Speaker 1: little opposite ends of the spectrum there. All right, let's 658 00:27:31,760 --> 00:27:33,199 Speaker 1: go back to you, Andrew Erics and give us one 659 00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:34,439 Speaker 1: more pick for Week eight. What do you have? 660 00:27:34,840 --> 00:27:38,320 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm going Ravens Cardinals under forty four and a half. 661 00:27:38,480 --> 00:27:41,040 Speaker 4: So the Ravens do this thing where sometimes they play 662 00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:44,399 Speaker 4: down to their competition. Last week we saw them like 663 00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:46,600 Speaker 4: they were amped up. They were expecting the Lines to 664 00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:49,280 Speaker 4: come in and be a fierce opponent, so they were 665 00:27:49,440 --> 00:27:51,840 Speaker 4: they were ready, and they just totally destroy them because 666 00:27:51,840 --> 00:27:54,240 Speaker 4: the Lioness didn't end up showing up. So now they 667 00:27:54,240 --> 00:27:56,280 Speaker 4: go on the road to play Arizona, who we did 668 00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:59,400 Speaker 4: see have a spunky performance against the Dallas Cowboys earlier 669 00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:01,800 Speaker 4: in the season. Dallas was heavy favorites coming in and 670 00:28:02,080 --> 00:28:04,000 Speaker 4: Arizona beat them out. Right, I don't expect that to 671 00:28:04,000 --> 00:28:06,840 Speaker 4: happen here, but I think we're gonna get a letdown 672 00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:09,480 Speaker 4: spot from Baltimore, at least on the offensive side of 673 00:28:09,520 --> 00:28:12,240 Speaker 4: the ball, where looking at what they've done, eight of 674 00:28:12,280 --> 00:28:14,560 Speaker 4: the Ravens last nine games where they have been the 675 00:28:14,600 --> 00:28:18,520 Speaker 4: favorites have gone under the total point line, like they 676 00:28:18,520 --> 00:28:21,360 Speaker 4: were five and one entering last week towards the under anyway, 677 00:28:21,720 --> 00:28:23,800 Speaker 4: and we've really seen the steam kind of come off 678 00:28:23,800 --> 00:28:27,160 Speaker 4: this Arizona Cardinals offense, where Arizona was like creating these 679 00:28:27,280 --> 00:28:30,320 Speaker 4: environments where it was over over over last three games 680 00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:32,639 Speaker 4: have all gone under the projected totals. So even though 681 00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:34,359 Speaker 4: it's in the Dome, I think things can get a 682 00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:36,040 Speaker 4: little bit weird. I think the Ravens may not come 683 00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:38,560 Speaker 4: out firing like they did against the Lions. I think 684 00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:40,640 Speaker 4: we're gonna a little bit of an underwhelming spot. They 685 00:28:40,640 --> 00:28:42,840 Speaker 4: still think the Ravens win, but I don't think we're 686 00:28:42,840 --> 00:28:46,280 Speaker 4: gonna see it in necessarily the offensive explosion we saw 687 00:28:46,400 --> 00:28:48,040 Speaker 4: last week, because again, like I said at the top, 688 00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:51,000 Speaker 4: the Ravens sometimes play down to their competition and do 689 00:28:51,080 --> 00:28:53,040 Speaker 4: weird things. It's like, wait, what are the Ravens doing. 690 00:28:53,080 --> 00:28:55,960 Speaker 4: It's like, I think we're gonna see that here on Sunday. 691 00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:58,080 Speaker 1: You might The one thing I will say, the one 692 00:28:58,120 --> 00:29:00,560 Speaker 1: caveat I was that Arizona offensive line is and so 693 00:29:00,760 --> 00:29:04,080 Speaker 1: bad that I think Baltimore I agree, it might be 694 00:29:04,080 --> 00:29:05,760 Speaker 1: a dicey one. I think at the end of the 695 00:29:05,840 --> 00:29:07,440 Speaker 1: day they cover it, but it's going to be late. 696 00:29:07,760 --> 00:29:09,840 Speaker 1: It's going to make you sweat. So if you don't 697 00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:11,800 Speaker 1: want to do that on Sunday, then don't bet this game. 698 00:29:11,800 --> 00:29:14,560 Speaker 1: Just stay away from it. But if you can have 699 00:29:14,600 --> 00:29:16,640 Speaker 1: the discipline and the cajones to stick with it, I 700 00:29:16,680 --> 00:29:19,920 Speaker 1: do think they will cover this number, but I understand why, 701 00:29:20,080 --> 00:29:22,320 Speaker 1: like the under on this game is appealing to you. 702 00:29:22,360 --> 00:29:23,920 Speaker 1: I do think they cover the big number though, too, 703 00:29:23,960 --> 00:29:25,760 Speaker 1: which I think a lot of people are concerned with 704 00:29:25,840 --> 00:29:28,360 Speaker 1: the same reason as Andrew laid out. Ben Stevens take 705 00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:30,440 Speaker 1: us home one more pick here for a Week eight 706 00:29:30,440 --> 00:29:31,000 Speaker 1: in the NFL. 707 00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:33,720 Speaker 2: So, Joe p you were building this game earlier because 708 00:29:33,760 --> 00:29:37,000 Speaker 2: Andrew liked the Titans money line underdog at home in 709 00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:40,200 Speaker 2: Nashville with Will Levis getting his first NFL career start 710 00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:42,280 Speaker 2: for the Titans fresh out of the by is, maybe 711 00:29:42,280 --> 00:29:45,320 Speaker 2: the public loves the Falcons and that's going to be 712 00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:47,719 Speaker 2: a spot here where you can dive in and be contrarian. 713 00:29:47,960 --> 00:29:50,720 Speaker 2: I hate the Falcons. I think that the Falcons stink. 714 00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:53,080 Speaker 2: I bet the Falcons under team went total eight and 715 00:29:53,120 --> 00:29:55,240 Speaker 2: a half, and I hate about what I'm going to 716 00:29:55,280 --> 00:29:57,240 Speaker 2: say next lay in two and a half with the 717 00:29:57,280 --> 00:29:59,800 Speaker 2: Falcons not even thinking they win outright, but by at 718 00:29:59,840 --> 00:30:02,800 Speaker 2: least the three points to cover the margin. I think 719 00:30:02,840 --> 00:30:05,320 Speaker 2: if they had a real quarterback in there, this offense 720 00:30:05,360 --> 00:30:07,840 Speaker 2: would actually be something because they have a good offensive 721 00:30:07,880 --> 00:30:11,280 Speaker 2: mind and so many talented pieces around the quarterback. I 722 00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:14,840 Speaker 2: thought the optimism into the dirty Birds this year was ridiculous, 723 00:30:14,840 --> 00:30:17,520 Speaker 2: and yet here the Falcons are at four in three, 724 00:30:17,600 --> 00:30:20,480 Speaker 2: winning some of the ugliest football games you will ever see. 725 00:30:20,480 --> 00:30:23,440 Speaker 2: Andrews White, they were handing the football over literally and 726 00:30:23,520 --> 00:30:27,280 Speaker 2: figuratively for Tampa to win the football game last week, somehow, 727 00:30:27,320 --> 00:30:31,520 Speaker 2: someway the Buccaneers unable to do so. So I hate myself. 728 00:30:31,720 --> 00:30:34,040 Speaker 2: I hate the Atlanta Falcons. The only things I hate 729 00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:36,959 Speaker 2: more Will let us. I have no belief in this 730 00:30:37,080 --> 00:30:40,440 Speaker 2: individual at a high level of quarterback play. I had 731 00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:44,120 Speaker 2: no idea in the draft cycle why there was any 732 00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:47,720 Speaker 2: conversation of Will Levis being the first overall pick. Legitimately 733 00:30:47,760 --> 00:30:50,960 Speaker 2: the second overall pick or that second quarterback taken. 734 00:30:51,240 --> 00:30:52,800 Speaker 3: Why he was a top five pick. 735 00:30:52,920 --> 00:30:55,520 Speaker 2: We were doing our draft night special in Atlantic City, 736 00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:58,040 Speaker 2: and half an hour before we signed on, he was 737 00:30:58,120 --> 00:31:00,520 Speaker 2: minus money in odds on favorite to be a top 738 00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:02,520 Speaker 2: five pick, and I thought that I was going to 739 00:31:02,560 --> 00:31:05,040 Speaker 2: have to run into the Atlantic Ocean in a seed 740 00:31:05,200 --> 00:31:07,680 Speaker 2: if that was going to be the case. Will Levis 741 00:31:07,720 --> 00:31:09,880 Speaker 2: in spots where he has needed to step up in 742 00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:12,160 Speaker 2: the biggest way when there has been thoughts on him. 743 00:31:12,160 --> 00:31:14,200 Speaker 2: If you watch any of the tape from his senior 744 00:31:14,280 --> 00:31:16,520 Speaker 2: year at Kentucky, it is dismal. 745 00:31:16,760 --> 00:31:17,720 Speaker 3: It is not good. 746 00:31:17,560 --> 00:31:21,480 Speaker 2: Quarterback play unless in this system he has figured something 747 00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:24,200 Speaker 2: out in his time sitting behind Tannehill or this bye 748 00:31:24,200 --> 00:31:27,120 Speaker 2: week of preparation to get ready for the Falcons, they 749 00:31:27,160 --> 00:31:29,920 Speaker 2: have done something, and that something's not just feed the 750 00:31:29,920 --> 00:31:33,280 Speaker 2: ball to Derrick Henry. Then all eat my words and 751 00:31:33,320 --> 00:31:35,360 Speaker 2: I will eat crow. But I do not believe in 752 00:31:35,360 --> 00:31:38,080 Speaker 2: will Levis. I have never had belief in will Levis. 753 00:31:38,360 --> 00:31:40,760 Speaker 2: I think we see that in this start against the Falcons. 754 00:31:40,800 --> 00:31:43,040 Speaker 2: It's not pretty, probably in the under in the game 755 00:31:43,080 --> 00:31:45,239 Speaker 2: as well, but I think the Dirty Birds can win 756 00:31:45,280 --> 00:31:46,280 Speaker 2: by at least a field. 757 00:31:46,040 --> 00:31:49,800 Speaker 1: Goal, Ben Stevens. You could follow over on X by 758 00:31:49,840 --> 00:31:52,000 Speaker 1: the way at Ben Scott Stevens. This felt like a 759 00:31:52,080 --> 00:31:54,760 Speaker 1: very therapeutic half hour for you, buddy, Like you got 760 00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:57,440 Speaker 1: a lot off your chest here, you feelings about the Falcons, 761 00:31:58,080 --> 00:32:01,720 Speaker 1: the Steelers, maybe some issues with your dad, all that stuff, 762 00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:04,280 Speaker 1: Like this was a really good time here to have 763 00:32:04,320 --> 00:32:07,040 Speaker 1: you on the show. But seriously, great stuff has always been. 764 00:32:07,800 --> 00:32:10,480 Speaker 1: Make sure you go check Ben out over on sportscred TV. 765 00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:13,520 Speaker 1: All the streaming services basically at this point are carrying it. 766 00:32:13,600 --> 00:32:16,760 Speaker 1: You can catch it anywhere. And Ben's on Saturday, He's 767 00:32:16,800 --> 00:32:18,880 Speaker 1: on Monday through Friday. They give you off Sunday though, 768 00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:21,040 Speaker 1: don't they You work on Sunday barely. 769 00:32:20,840 --> 00:32:23,840 Speaker 2: Just hey, don't don't put that idea out to the sphere, 770 00:32:23,920 --> 00:32:25,920 Speaker 2: right And they start hearing this and like, whoa, Ben 771 00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:28,920 Speaker 2: is off Sunday. 772 00:32:27,680 --> 00:32:31,080 Speaker 1: Off Sunday. Give him a Sunday now. The Lord rested 773 00:32:31,120 --> 00:32:34,440 Speaker 1: in soshall, Ben Stevens. That's what I say, Ben, again, 774 00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:37,280 Speaker 1: amazing stuff. As always. You can check out Andrew's work too. 775 00:32:37,320 --> 00:32:40,240 Speaker 1: It's up on bettingpros dot com to the primer for 776 00:32:40,320 --> 00:32:42,440 Speaker 1: every single betting week. To go through there and find 777 00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:46,160 Speaker 1: all the best situations and stats to make good opinionated 778 00:32:46,320 --> 00:32:49,040 Speaker 1: bets there for yourselves, well informed ones, and of course 779 00:32:49,040 --> 00:32:51,200 Speaker 1: make sure you're doing all that on that Betting Pros 780 00:32:51,240 --> 00:32:55,040 Speaker 1: app that's smarter, not harder. Drop a comment below, subscribe 781 00:32:55,040 --> 00:32:56,840 Speaker 1: to the channel. That's what we're asking you to do, 782 00:32:57,120 --> 00:32:59,080 Speaker 1: and you might win that Robert Tunyan Jersey. It's not 783 00:32:59,080 --> 00:33:01,560 Speaker 1: gonna give away itself. Boys and girls. Now, I'll do 784 00:33:01,600 --> 00:33:03,160 Speaker 1: it for us, but the story of the game goes 785 00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:06,080 Speaker 1: on for Ben and Andrew. I'm Joey P. We'll see 786 00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:09,160 Speaker 1: you next time. Kids. Thanks for listening to the Betting 787 00:33:09,160 --> 00:33:12,360 Speaker 1: Pros podcast. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting 788 00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:16,200 Speaker 1: Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to 789 00:33:16,240 --> 00:33:19,240 Speaker 1: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros