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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest vetting podcast or radio

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Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the

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Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sportsman.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen puny, twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five, fifty.

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Speaker 4: And the kicks block Look College Football World, stunner, Oh

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Speaker 4: my goodness, please stumble the football, the lateral to a

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Speaker 4: corner of the.

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Speaker 3: Inside, get you the lad table off the fail to night.

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Speaker 3: It's not the sage of the dog in the fight, it's.

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Speaker 4: The sage of the fight.

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Speaker 3: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Should Network Podcast.

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Speaker 3: This is the week ten college football betting preview. I'm

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Speaker 3: Stucky in with me as always is Colin Wilson. How

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Speaker 3: did your first experience with the Maco Because mine went

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Speaker 3: horribly After my manifesto, almost everything I said in there

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Speaker 3: was perfect and except for ball State, just add it

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Speaker 3: to the list of incredible, incredible beats that I've taken

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Speaker 3: over the head this year. What are you gonna do?

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Speaker 3: How was an action for you? It was good to

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Speaker 3: have it back.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's good to have it back, but

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Speaker 2: I mean, here we are. Akron still sucks that I'm

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Speaker 2: glad I've been able to give my donation, not ever

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Speaker 2: donate to that again. Chuck Martin, Voodoo Magic and one

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Speaker 2: possession game still going their way, so we know what

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Speaker 2: to do with Miami, Ohio and one possession spreads. Kent

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Speaker 2: State looks good at Spurts looks a little stalled in Spurts.

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Speaker 2: So I thought it was a pretty exciting start. Toledo

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Speaker 2: on fire. You know, I think we both wrote very

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Speaker 2: positively them. I know they were one of the ones

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Speaker 2: I suggested in my piece, and I know you wrote

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Speaker 2: good about them too, so it's good to see them

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Speaker 2: get off to a good start.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean the amount of things that have happened

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Speaker 3: for I mean, I had plus three and a half,

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Speaker 3: and I guess I knew I was doomed once it

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Speaker 3: closed minus one where I said it should be around.

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Speaker 3: But what are you gonna do? We move on to

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Speaker 3: the weekend and we have a lot to get to.

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Speaker 3: We have PAC twelve is back, well partly, Washington Cal

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Speaker 3: is postponed. A lot of postponed games already this week

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Speaker 3: hopefully there's no more.

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Speaker 1: College football is getting weird, a.

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Speaker 3: Lot of marquee games. We'll get to Friday night lights.

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Speaker 3: But we're gonna start with a Friday night game because

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Speaker 3: it is one of the marquee games of the weekend.

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Speaker 1: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out

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Speaker 1: the marquee matchups. We'll all end up betting for Week ten.

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Speaker 3: All right, we're gonna start on Friday night byu at

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Speaker 3: bet MGM is only a three and a half point

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Speaker 3: favorite over under sixty one and a half. Boise State

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Speaker 3: actually opened as a short favorite. This line has swun quickly.

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Speaker 3: Over under is ticked up as well. For me, it's

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Speaker 3: really hard to get a read on Boise State. They've

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Speaker 3: played Utah State and air Force, two teams that don't

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Speaker 3: look like they're gonna be very good this year. There's

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Speaker 3: a big step up in competition. But who is ui

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Speaker 3: you played this year? Nobody. We've said it before. They

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Speaker 3: played little sisters in the core. But if you look

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Speaker 3: at a lot of the advanced metrics, I mean, their

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Speaker 3: offensive line, that's one of the biggest difference. If you

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Speaker 3: look like Austin Zach right there, what seventieth or eightieth

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Speaker 3: last year, they're in the top ten this year. Now,

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Speaker 3: granted they're not playing the greatest competition, but their offensive

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Speaker 3: line return everyone. And Zach Wilson he has time and

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Speaker 3: he's making all the throws, and he can make all

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Speaker 3: the throws, which is why he's a legit NFL pro prospect.

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Speaker 3: And he's going up against a Boise defense that rebuilt

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Speaker 3: both lines. Offensive line still struggles, defensive line still struggles.

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Speaker 3: Dmitri Washington, who he's supposed to replace Weaver, he's out

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Speaker 3: for the year, so I think that he's gonna have

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Speaker 3: all day to throw again, and there's no reason to

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Speaker 3: believe he won't make all the throats. And on the

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Speaker 3: other side of the ball, we still don't know who

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Speaker 3: the quarterback is going to be for Boise. Is it Backbire,

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Speaker 3: I don't know. Is it Sears a four star from USC.

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Speaker 3: It looked pretty good last week, but again it's air

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Speaker 3: Force's secondary, which returned zero starters. An air Force's secondary

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Speaker 3: usually not the strong point of their team. So I

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Speaker 3: look at this and on paper, I think that there's

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Speaker 3: a lot of matchups that favor BYU. But this is clearly,

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Speaker 3: by far from a talent perspective, the toughest competition they

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Speaker 3: will face all year. But this isn't your typical dominant

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Speaker 3: Boise team. There are holes here. What do you see?

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Speaker 2: This is a big game for Boise because they lost

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Speaker 2: BYU last year, which was directly responsible for keeping them

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Speaker 2: out of the New Year six. So Boise's, you know,

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Speaker 2: heavily motivated to win this game. But you know, I

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Speaker 2: wrote the pace report for Reaction Network out on Monday

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Speaker 2: or Tuesday, and I took an over in this game

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Speaker 2: at fifty eight and a half. And it's not that

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Speaker 2: these teams are fast, They're not. They're eightieth and sixty

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Speaker 2: eighth and seconds per play. But it's the explosiveness that

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Speaker 2: was just crazy to me while I was watching Air

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Speaker 2: Force take a fourteen to seven lead and then essentially

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Speaker 2: Boise just blowing them the hell out. And you know,

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Speaker 2: if you look at the other side of the ball,

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Speaker 2: Boises d's eighty seventh against the explosive pass and they're

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Speaker 2: eighty eighth in defensive finishing drives. What does that mean

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Speaker 2: to me? BYU is going to be able to do

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Speaker 2: whatever they want through the air when they get past

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Speaker 2: the forty yard line. I mean, it's just very BYU's

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Speaker 2: top ten in the country in offensive finishing drives. So

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Speaker 2: I took an over in this game early in the

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Speaker 2: week at fifty eight and a half. You know, this

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Speaker 2: is something that I projected sixty seven, So I would

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Speaker 2: say at the current number, I would still take an

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Speaker 2: over here. I do like Boise outright in the game.

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Speaker 2: I know Gunner Romney's back, he's healthy. I think Zach

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Speaker 2: Wilson I have a big night. I just wonder if

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Speaker 2: Klonie Sataki is gonna elect to attack the Boise front

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Speaker 2: seven to burn clock to keep Hank Bachmeyer or Jack

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Speaker 2: Sears who threw for like eighty five percent, three touchdowns

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Speaker 2: and like three hundred yards, just to keep that explosive

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Speaker 2: offense off the field. I wonder if they try to

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Speaker 2: go ground and pound. But you know, it's short in

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Speaker 2: the season with Boise so far, you know, not big

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Speaker 2: of a sample. But I mean they're already top ten

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Speaker 2: and success rate, They're already eighth in passing explosiveness. I

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Speaker 2: like the motivation here. They're at home on smurf turf.

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Speaker 2: That really doesn't mean anything. We know historically that their

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Speaker 2: cover rate at home is not as great as some

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Speaker 2: people may think. The one thing that bothers me that

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Speaker 2: really kind of said, I'm going to take boise in

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Speaker 2: this especially at three and a half. Here is that

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Speaker 2: Byu is fifty eighth. Then opponent pass epa and that

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Speaker 2: tells me it doesn't matter who's playing quarterback for Bois,

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Speaker 2: They're gonna be able to get it down the field.

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Speaker 2: It's just a matter of if Colonia Sataki is going to

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Speaker 2: try to limit how many times you know, boise gets

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Speaker 2: their hands on the ball. Yeah.

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Speaker 3: I don't know. If all played free game on this,

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Speaker 3: that might be something that I watch and try to

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Speaker 3: get a read on and bet live. But I do

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Speaker 3: think that Byu is gonna be able to move the ball.

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Speaker 3: I just don't think they're gonna get pressure on him.

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Speaker 3: And everything I've seen, I know the competition has been great.

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Speaker 3: He's making every throw, every throw, and that offensive line

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Speaker 3: is playing so well. That's the weakness of boise E

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Speaker 3: their defensive line. And now you lose Washington, I don't

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Speaker 3: think they're gonna get pressure, and you're gonna give Wilson time.

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Speaker 3: I don't care who he's throwing to. It's pretty amazing

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Speaker 3: what he's done with the new receivers. He lost Bushman,

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Speaker 3: their star tight end, and Byu wins this game could

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Speaker 3: get interesting down the stretch because who's gonna make the

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Speaker 3: college fable playoff? I don't know. I don't think BYU

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Speaker 3: is gonna have the resume, but Big twelve is capitalized itself.

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Speaker 3: Who know? I mean assume the PAC twelve will do

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Speaker 3: the same. How many teams are the SEC going again?

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Speaker 3: Can the ACC get two? That is a question we

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Speaker 3: will get to when we talk Notre Dame Clemson. I

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Speaker 3: think the marquee matchup of the weekend. Let's go chronologically

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Speaker 3: on Saturday and get to our second marquee game of

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Speaker 3: the day. Let's start at noon and talk a little.

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Speaker 3: Big ten is a fascinating game to me from a

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Speaker 3: line perspective. Michigan it's a three point favorite at BETAMGM

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Speaker 3: over under fifty four and a half at Indiana. The

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Speaker 3: games at noon on FS one. We know that Michigan

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Speaker 3: disappointed their fan base once again. Michigan football back for

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Speaker 3: six days. Then they loses three plus touchdown favorites against

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Speaker 3: Michigan State, a Michigan State team that got blown out

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Speaker 3: by Rutgers in Week one. Joe Milton apparently isn't the savior,

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Speaker 3: and Indiana went to Rutgers in a pretty bad spot

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Speaker 3: and they got the job done. They moved to two

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Speaker 3: and zero. They had a fortunate win over penn State.

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Speaker 3: Yet Michigan here is a three point favorite. Is that

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Speaker 3: based on name? Is it warranted? I'll get your thoughts

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Speaker 3: on that in a second. The one thing I do

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Speaker 3: want to say about Indiana's offense, and we wrote about

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Speaker 3: Indiana is one of the reasons why I bet Penn

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Speaker 3: State and an opener is I thought this offense is

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Speaker 3: gonna be explosive, but there's issues. It just doesn't look right.

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Speaker 3: Pennix is just has been a little off. Maybe it's

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Speaker 3: some of the offensive line which has had issues. Maybe

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Speaker 3: that's where Michigan can get an advantage on both sides

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Speaker 3: of the ball and the trenches. But I don't have

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Speaker 3: Michigan I show value here in Indiana. Am I missing anything? No?

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Speaker 2: I mean I took Indiana early in the week at

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Speaker 2: three and a half, a number that I projected a pick.

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Speaker 2: I thought it would come back down. It hasn't yet,

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Speaker 2: still remains to be seen. What's going to happen with

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Speaker 2: this number? You know, if there's any steam on Saturday morning,

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Speaker 2: I know that the early boys. We talked about ticketcount

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Speaker 2: here in the presidential election. I know the early money

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Speaker 2: in the early ticket count is favoring Michigan, but there's

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Speaker 2: just you know me. The initial play in Indiana at

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Speaker 2: or the beginning of the week was a play on

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Speaker 2: the three and a half and the fact that I

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Speaker 2: thought that that was too high and it would come back.

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Speaker 2: But I have issues with both of these teams. The

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Speaker 2: biggest issue I have with Michigan is Milton's accuracy and

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Speaker 2: the defensive secondary. Michigan State completed nine asses of fifteen

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Speaker 2: plus yards against the Wolverine secondary. It is not going

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Speaker 2: well in that secondary whatsoever. But let's get a little

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Speaker 2: bit more specific. The issue is in corner Gammon Green.

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Speaker 2: His opponent completion rate is twenty eight percent. The other

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Speaker 2: cornerbacks like Vincent Gray, they're absolutely getting torched. He's allowed

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Speaker 2: seventy one percent opponent completion rate at thirty eight yards

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Speaker 2: per catch. And if you look at you know, PFF

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Speaker 2: has all the cornerbacks and safety is graded out. They're

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Speaker 2: getting torched everywhere that Green is not, you know, lining

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Speaker 2: up and playing corner, which he's usually the weak side cornerback.

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Speaker 2: So you know, if Michael Pennix Junior is going to

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Speaker 2: have a successful day, it's going to be throwing away

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Speaker 2: from green Indiana's ninth and finishing drives on both sides

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Speaker 2: of the ball. So at least when the you know,

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Speaker 2: when when a team gets past the forty yard line,

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Speaker 2: whether it's the Hoosiers offensive defense, they've been able to

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Speaker 2: have some success. Only half of the red zone attempts

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Speaker 2: against the Hoosiers have come up and win a score

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Speaker 2: against Penn State and Rutgers so far this season. The

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Speaker 2: thing with the thing with Milton is is his adjusted

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Speaker 2: completion It goes down twenty four percent when he has pressure.

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Speaker 2: His accuracy is not that good in the first place.

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Speaker 2: But Indiana is not getting any pressure on the quarterback whatsoever.

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Speaker 2: They're graded seventy six by PFF as far as the

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Speaker 2: pass rush is concerned, which means Milton should get Michigan

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Speaker 2: into scoring position all afternoon. This team can get the

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Speaker 2: ball down the field. They just have problems scoring and

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Speaker 2: Milton has problems with accuracy. Of the nine red zone

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Speaker 2: scores and Michigan has, eight of them have been touchdowns.

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Speaker 2: So you know, I'm looking for Indiana to pick on

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Speaker 2: corners and you know who don't have a last name

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Speaker 2: of Green. I think both teams are going to get

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Speaker 2: into scoring position without any really real resistance. So I'm

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Speaker 2: going to take the over fifty four in this one.

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Speaker 3: You don't have any concerns about the Indiana offensive line.

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Speaker 2: I have more concerns about the Michigan secondary. I mean

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Speaker 2: there's ways to combat that offensive line, right, I mean

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Speaker 2: you can you can line up in shotgun and get

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Speaker 2: that thing thrown out to the flats. You can throw

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Speaker 2: it over their head and screen polluted whatever. But that

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Speaker 2: Michigan secondary has just been torched.

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Speaker 3: Looking at this is one of the things we're looking at.

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Speaker 3: Ticket count can give me, it's one of the useful things,

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Speaker 3: and we can look check on the Action app, because

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Speaker 3: I say to myself, is this like I make it?

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Speaker 3: I think I make Indiana one point favorite or right

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Speaker 3: around a pick and you can see our projected power

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Speaker 3: ratings on the app. You know, one of the things

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Speaker 3: that I say to myself is all right, this is

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Speaker 3: at three. It's not coming down. Am I missing something?

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Speaker 3: Or you know, is there like respected money that's that's

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Speaker 3: keeping this at three, or it's gonna push it at

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Speaker 3: three and a half, or is it that Michigan's name

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Speaker 3: recognition and program still holds weight in the market. So

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Speaker 3: I look at all, right, our most of the tickets

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Speaker 3: still betting. Michigan is a three point favorite Indiana. And yeah,

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Speaker 3: so it's like it's not like the it's not like

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Speaker 3: the Lusters completely worn off Michigan. People still say this

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Speaker 3: is Michigan football. Uh, you know your general better, and

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Speaker 3: we'll still lay three Indiana regardless. I think let's move

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Speaker 3: on to our third marquee game of the day and

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Speaker 3: talk a little big twelve. We have West Virginia going

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Speaker 3: to Texas at bet MGM. West Virginia's a six and

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Speaker 3: a half point underdog over under fifty five Texas off

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Speaker 3: that overtime win, maybe job saving win for Tom Herman

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Speaker 3: some of suggested. Potentially seems like every time he gets

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Speaker 3: his back against the wall, he pulls out a win

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Speaker 3: as an underdog. Now they will try Texas will try

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Speaker 3: to back it up with a win at home over

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Speaker 3: a Mountaineers team that's playing pretty well. Look, the over

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Speaker 3: runner is still fifty five, key number in totals markets,

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Speaker 3: still fifty five at betam GM. Still some fifty five's

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Speaker 3: out there. I played some under fifty five here. I

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Speaker 3: like the Texas defense, and we've talked about it. Joseph

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Speaker 3: side by the way, he's getting paid after last week

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Speaker 3: and he's just an overall star. But we'd like where

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Speaker 3: this Texas defense is trending under Chris Ash and the

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Speaker 3: West Virginia defense man. There's a lot to be impressed about,

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Speaker 3: starting with the Stills brothers up front. It's just a

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Speaker 3: really solid West Virginia defense all the way across the board.

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Speaker 3: So I I think this is, you know, a game

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Speaker 3: that's played in the twenties more so than the thirties,

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Speaker 3: and in order to get over fifty five, you're pretty

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Speaker 3: much gonna need it to get to the thirties. But

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Speaker 3: I think defense naming the game here Texas. Maybe they

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Speaker 3: come out a little flat to start off noon kick

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Speaker 3: after that big win in a spot where Herman's teams

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Speaker 3: is the favorites have generally come out a little flat.

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Speaker 3: So I actually do show some value in the under.

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Speaker 3: I think you disagree on the total, but I'm not

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Speaker 3: sure the nears. I would like seven seven and a half.

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Speaker 3: If I'm gonna look that way, I think it'll make

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Speaker 3: it five to five and a half. This thing's been

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Speaker 3: stubbornly moved out from seven touch seven. I think every

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Speaker 3: time it gets to seven, respective money will take the

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Speaker 3: nears of the dog. So pretty much it's been sitting

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Speaker 3: at six and a half for most of the week.

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Speaker 3: What do you see here in this big twelve matchup

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Speaker 3: of two four and two clubs.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, the total wise that get the projection came out

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Speaker 2: for me a lot higher, and I think that was,

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Speaker 2: you know, a result of what Texas. You know, yards

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Speaker 2: per play, plays per game, pace and what you're doing,

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Speaker 2: your difference between finishing drives on offense and defense. So

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Speaker 2: if you're really good at getting touchdowns when you have offense,

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Speaker 2: if you're really good at preventing any points whatsoever on defense,

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Speaker 2: and then you get a little bit of a bump

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Speaker 2: when I project totals. Let's talk about pace for a second.

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Speaker 2: I really didn't have a clue that West Virginia was

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Speaker 2: this fast. They're thirtieth in the nation and seconds per play.

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Speaker 2: Now Texas, I knew about Texas running that tempo wrinkle,

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Speaker 2: I think is what they were calling it. Fourteenth in

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Speaker 2: the nation and seconds per play. Texas is also thirteenth

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Speaker 2: offensively in finishing drives, So you know, you put these

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Speaker 2: ingredients together in the formula that I have, and it

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Speaker 2: spit out a number that was bigger than what the

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Speaker 2: total is on the board. So you know, I we'll

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Speaker 2: see if I'm going to get in. I think I

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Speaker 2: am going to play the over, absolutely going to play

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Speaker 2: the over because I trust the formula and the pace

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Speaker 2: of the play is going to be faster than I

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Speaker 2: initially thought it would be. And one thing that's really

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Speaker 2: kind of playing into my totals is the grading on

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Speaker 2: tack win and I think you know, mistackles is such

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Speaker 2: a big deal in college football. It's just a stat

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Speaker 2: that you know, we really kind of don't pay attention to,

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Speaker 2: kind of like special teams, right, It's just one of

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Speaker 2: those things that plays such a big role and whether

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Speaker 2: you cover or not. And Texas right now is ninety

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Speaker 2: fifth in PFF grading and tackling, which means if West

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Speaker 2: Virginia can bust a run or bust a pass, it's

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Speaker 2: gonna be a lot of arm tackling going on. So,

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Speaker 2: you know, the tackling issue bothers me with Texas, but

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Speaker 2: you're right, I mean we do like their defense. It

328
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Speaker 2: showed up last week their thirteenth overall in Havoc. There's

329
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Speaker 2: seventh in the line yards. They're controlling the trench. But

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Speaker 2: I think at the next level, the linebacker and secondary level,

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Speaker 2: there's been some mission of some tackling. Now let's talk

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Speaker 2: about the side. I took this. I took some at eight,

333
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Speaker 2: but it wasn't widely available on Sunday. Took it again

334
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Speaker 2: at seven and a half, and once it was available everywhere,

335
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Speaker 2: I was happy to put it out on the app.

336
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Speaker 2: This is really a game. I thought West Virginia should

337
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Speaker 2: have been a dog by six. I think this number

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Speaker 2: is going to keep coming down as we record. Right now,

339
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Speaker 2: I think bedam GM where at six and a half.

340
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Speaker 2: I think this number is going to keep coming down.

341
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Speaker 2: So if you like Texas, I'd wait. If you have

342
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Speaker 2: a West Virginia piece north of seven and you want

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Speaker 2: to come back on Texas, I'd wait. You know, Texas

344
00:17:07,800 --> 00:17:09,560
Speaker 2: gave up four hundred yards and four tds in the

345
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Speaker 2: air to Oaklhoma State. There's no reason why West Virginia's

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Speaker 2: offense can't do that. They just went for three hundred

347
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Speaker 2: against Kansas State, and West Virginia is now twenty six

348
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Speaker 2: and passing success rate. The biggest weakness of the rising

349
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Speaker 2: Texas defense is the opponent passing success rate exactly what

350
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Speaker 2: West Virginia does. They rank ninetieth and sacrate and not

351
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Speaker 2: get any pressure. You know. Also concerning for Texas, like

352
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Speaker 2: I mentioned, was the tackling. That's not an issue for

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Speaker 2: West Virginia. We hammered them last week against Kansas State

354
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Speaker 2: because West Virginia is excellent against explosive teams and they

355
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Speaker 2: are eight in the country in PFF and it's where

356
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Speaker 2: they graded out in tackling. So you know, I'm going

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Speaker 2: to take an over in this game. I think the

358
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Speaker 2: pace is a lot faster than I expected to be.

359
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Speaker 2: Maybe a little bit sneaky that people don't realize West

360
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Speaker 2: Virginia's thirtieth in the nation and seconds per play. Texas

361
00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:56,600
Speaker 2: is pretty terrible at special teams, eighty ninth in the country.

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Speaker 2: I'll end up taking it over. I'll wait for it

363
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Speaker 2: to keep coming down. I can see where the market

364
00:18:00,560 --> 00:18:02,960
Speaker 2: wants to take this total. But you know, both pace

365
00:18:03,400 --> 00:18:07,119
Speaker 2: top thirty, Texas thirteenth, and offensive finishing drives and the

366
00:18:07,200 --> 00:18:09,480
Speaker 2: Ellnger TD rate, I just think that's something you can't

367
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Speaker 2: integrate into numbers. Is like West Virginia hasn't faced a

368
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Speaker 2: quarterback like Sam Ellener. I mean, if it's first and goal,

369
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Speaker 2: it's Sam Ellender on a draw play, right, And I

370
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Speaker 2: mean that's just something that every defense has to deal with.

371
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Speaker 2: I would keep an eye on it if I had to,

372
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Speaker 2: Like if we had college Fantasy College dfs going on,

373
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Speaker 2: I'd keep an eye on behind Robinson, the running back.

374
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Speaker 2: That he's been explosive out of the backfield, and that's

375
00:18:30,240 --> 00:18:32,879
Speaker 2: one area where you can hurt West Virginia. There's sixty

376
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Speaker 2: second against rush explosiveness, so teams have been able to

377
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Speaker 2: get chunk yards on the ground. That's where Robinson plays

378
00:18:38,119 --> 00:18:40,840
Speaker 2: a factor for the Longhorns backfield and yet another reason

379
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Speaker 2: why I think this game could get over.

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Speaker 3: I will be against you there, but it's a good

381
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Speaker 3: point that you bring up. With the pace in West

382
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Speaker 3: Virginia's pace for sure. So take to the place. Let's

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Speaker 3: move on to our fourth marquee game of the day

384
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Speaker 3: and let's talk a little SEC football. The three p

385
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Speaker 3: thirty CBS game, Everyone's Saturday afternoon favor The whole world

386
00:19:18,280 --> 00:19:20,720
Speaker 3: will be tuned in in some way, the whole gambling

387
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Speaker 3: world at ben MGM. Right now, Georgia is a three

388
00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:28,840
Speaker 3: and a half point favorite over under fifty two and

389
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Speaker 3: a half for the used to be world's largest cocktail party,

390
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Speaker 3: but not this year because I don't think there's gonna

391
00:19:35,320 --> 00:19:40,280
Speaker 3: be any cocktails and people party in Jacksonville. Some wins

392
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Speaker 3: potentially here, wins across Florida all weekend long. Really the

393
00:19:45,200 --> 00:19:47,960
Speaker 3: question here for me. And I played some Florida plus

394
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Speaker 3: three and a half. I played some plus four. I'm

395
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Speaker 3: gonna play some want to. I wish I got some

396
00:19:51,960 --> 00:19:55,320
Speaker 3: plus six when it first opened. But there's some things

397
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Speaker 3: that I've been waiting on with Georgia. There's just a

398
00:19:57,520 --> 00:20:01,320
Speaker 3: lot of injuries and news here, and I mean, let's

399
00:20:01,359 --> 00:20:04,960
Speaker 3: we'll start with some of the injuries. So George's George

400
00:20:05,000 --> 00:20:06,840
Speaker 3: is one of the best wide receivers. Pickings. He didn't

401
00:20:06,840 --> 00:20:11,280
Speaker 3: play last week against Kentucky, a freshman Marcus rosemy Jacksoning.

402
00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:13,359
Speaker 3: He did play. He didn't look great against Gan. I

403
00:20:13,359 --> 00:20:15,360
Speaker 3: don't think he had any catches. There was a miscommunication

404
00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:19,200
Speaker 3: when they led to a pick on a route. They're

405
00:20:19,240 --> 00:20:22,320
Speaker 3: one of their running backs. McIntosh didn't play. He's questionable.

406
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Speaker 3: I don't know both of them may or may not play.

407
00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:29,240
Speaker 3: Pickens is the most important one. They're They're starting linebacker

408
00:20:29,320 --> 00:20:33,360
Speaker 3: Kuay Walker, he's questionable. They're starting safety Lewis Sign He's questionable.

409
00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:37,439
Speaker 3: The biggest ones though, on George's defense are Jordan Davis,

410
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:40,639
Speaker 3: their defensive tackle was pretty much irreplaceable and a huge

411
00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:44,119
Speaker 3: part of that defense. He's questionable. If he can't go,

412
00:20:44,160 --> 00:20:47,640
Speaker 3: they would have they would have turned to Julian Rochester. Well,

413
00:20:47,760 --> 00:20:51,679
Speaker 3: he's ruled out. They don't really have a inadequate replacement

414
00:20:51,720 --> 00:20:54,199
Speaker 3: now if Davis can't go. And then the biggest one

415
00:20:54,200 --> 00:20:56,159
Speaker 3: of all is Lea count He got in a what

416
00:20:57,080 --> 00:21:01,600
Speaker 3: traffic accident and on a mope or something. He's out

417
00:21:01,640 --> 00:21:03,880
Speaker 3: and he's an All American safety, one of the best

418
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Speaker 3: defenders in the country. Kind of important against Kyle Pitts.

419
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Speaker 3: On the Florida side, you have Zachary Carter their defensive end,

420
00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:15,040
Speaker 3: pretty important player for them on a team that lost

421
00:21:15,040 --> 00:21:17,840
Speaker 3: a lot on their defensive line, and linebacker Antoine pal

422
00:21:17,920 --> 00:21:21,240
Speaker 3: they won't be available for the first half because of

423
00:21:21,440 --> 00:21:25,600
Speaker 3: the brawl last week. Last week, Florida didn't have three

424
00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:29,440
Speaker 3: multi year veteran starters in their secondary because of COVID issues,

425
00:21:29,480 --> 00:21:32,960
Speaker 3: Sean Davis, Marco Wilson, and Donovan Steiner, although Donovan Stenter

426
00:21:33,000 --> 00:21:36,560
Speaker 3: has been really good and freshman or Shot Torrance looked great.

427
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Speaker 3: The biggest thing with Florida that I saw last week

428
00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:41,120
Speaker 3: is they got Kyrie Cambell back for the first time

429
00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:43,560
Speaker 3: this season. He started last year, and this is a

430
00:21:43,560 --> 00:21:45,680
Speaker 3: defensive line that lost a lot from last year, a

431
00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:48,320
Speaker 3: lot of NFL talent. But what that really did is

432
00:21:48,359 --> 00:21:51,240
Speaker 3: it allowed Carter, who's out the first half, to play

433
00:21:51,280 --> 00:21:54,280
Speaker 3: defensive end, which is where he should be. And it

434
00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:58,159
Speaker 3: also allowed Brennan Cox, who's a five star transfer from Georgia,

435
00:21:58,200 --> 00:22:01,040
Speaker 3: to play the buck position. Of a sudden that defensive

436
00:22:01,080 --> 00:22:03,480
Speaker 3: line was getting pressure. It looked more like a Todd

437
00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:07,480
Speaker 3: Grantham defense. But then again, it's Missouri and Missouri's missing

438
00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:09,480
Speaker 3: multiple offensive line starters. How much do you take from it?

439
00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:11,440
Speaker 3: I don't know. Miss Georgia offense just hasn't been really

440
00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:13,679
Speaker 3: been doing much. I haven't been a fan of Stetson

441
00:22:13,760 --> 00:22:17,120
Speaker 3: Bennett all year. I love Kyle Trask, I love Kyle Pitts.

442
00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:20,560
Speaker 3: The Georgia defense I think is the best in the

443
00:22:20,600 --> 00:22:23,240
Speaker 3: country when healthy. They're not, and then all of the

444
00:22:23,359 --> 00:22:25,639
Speaker 3: count that loss is huge with Pitts, especially in the

445
00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:28,440
Speaker 3: red zone. They're gonna isolate him. I mean, Mullins likes

446
00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:31,520
Speaker 3: to isolate him by himself and just clear the field

447
00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:34,959
Speaker 3: for him. No account. Now that's big. You might not

448
00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:39,280
Speaker 3: have Davis, that's big, might not Pickens big. So the

449
00:22:39,359 --> 00:22:45,400
Speaker 3: Georgia run game should eat. But I think Florida's offense

450
00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:48,040
Speaker 3: will finish more drives. And that's what I think it

451
00:22:48,040 --> 00:22:50,439
Speaker 3: comes down to. I think Florida wins this game. I

452
00:22:50,600 --> 00:22:53,879
Speaker 3: know that they haven't. Look, there's a lot, you know,

453
00:22:53,880 --> 00:22:55,520
Speaker 3: a lot of moving pieces that I just went over,

454
00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:57,680
Speaker 3: and I know that they have. They've lost the last three.

455
00:22:58,160 --> 00:23:00,240
Speaker 3: When Malin has played Kirby Smart in the past, they've

456
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:03,720
Speaker 3: played each other eleven times and Smart as one ten,

457
00:23:04,160 --> 00:23:07,720
Speaker 3: including seven times with Mullen was at Mississippi State and

458
00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:11,680
Speaker 3: Smart was Alabama's defensive coordinator. Mullens teams have average eleven

459
00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:15,000
Speaker 3: point seven points per game. They top twenty points only once,

460
00:23:15,840 --> 00:23:17,480
Speaker 3: and that was in two thousand and eight and the

461
00:23:17,560 --> 00:23:21,040
Speaker 3: SEC Championship game with Tim Tebow. Florida hasn't topped two

462
00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:23,040
Speaker 3: hundred eighty yards a total offense against Georgia in the

463
00:23:23,080 --> 00:23:26,000
Speaker 3: last four meetings. But you know, those first two meetings

464
00:23:26,119 --> 00:23:28,679
Speaker 3: Mullins offenses, they weren't really that great, and if you

465
00:23:28,680 --> 00:23:31,400
Speaker 3: look back, I mean Mississippi State versus Alabama, I mean,

466
00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:35,119
Speaker 3: the talent differential and discrepancy was pretty large. So I

467
00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:37,680
Speaker 3: don't put too much weight into that. I just think

468
00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:41,760
Speaker 3: the Georgia injuries, the difference in the explosiveness, and just

469
00:23:42,520 --> 00:23:45,200
Speaker 3: the level that each passing offense is playing at Florida

470
00:23:45,320 --> 00:23:49,720
Speaker 3: really high. Georgia, man, I'll take Florida's a dog here

471
00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:53,400
Speaker 3: at catching anything anything over three thoughts chump chunk.

472
00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:55,480
Speaker 2: Well, I mean, I think you're gonna want to wait.

473
00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:57,120
Speaker 2: I think this number is gonna go up. I think

474
00:23:57,119 --> 00:23:59,479
Speaker 2: there's some serious Georgia money coming in. It's pushing up

475
00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:03,040
Speaker 2: to three and a half today. And if you are

476
00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:06,240
Speaker 2: a subscriber to Sports Insights, you can see the line

477
00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:09,080
Speaker 2: watcher and they've got a pretty high probability prediction this

478
00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:11,880
Speaker 2: thing will touch four, which I'm sure we'll get buy

479
00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:13,880
Speaker 2: back on the Gators. But if you like the Gators,

480
00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:16,840
Speaker 2: I would wait. If you like Georgia, I'd probably try

481
00:24:16,880 --> 00:24:18,359
Speaker 2: to get that three as fast as I could.

482
00:24:18,760 --> 00:24:20,399
Speaker 3: I took some three and a half. I had some

483
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:23,760
Speaker 3: four earlier, very small, and I put it in I

484
00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:25,600
Speaker 3: put a note in the app I'm just taking some

485
00:24:25,680 --> 00:24:27,320
Speaker 3: three and a half because I couldn't get a good

486
00:24:27,359 --> 00:24:29,719
Speaker 3: read on is this coming to three or is this

487
00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:32,040
Speaker 3: going to four? So I just took some small three

488
00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:34,160
Speaker 3: and a half and then if it goes to four

489
00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:36,000
Speaker 3: or more, I will add. If it stays at three

490
00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:37,679
Speaker 3: and a half, I will add more to my position.

491
00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:39,680
Speaker 3: But that was my thinking that I really couldn't figure out.

492
00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:42,199
Speaker 3: And there's so many moving parts with the injury, So

493
00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:44,400
Speaker 3: like all of a sudden, if like Davis and Pickens

494
00:24:44,400 --> 00:24:47,119
Speaker 3: get ruled out and then Florida's guy's coming back, then

495
00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:49,000
Speaker 3: it could go to three. So I just said, let

496
00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:50,840
Speaker 3: me get some three and a half now. But I

497
00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:52,600
Speaker 3: don't necessarily disagree with your sentiment.

498
00:24:52,800 --> 00:24:54,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, and there's definitely a lot of players swap going

499
00:24:54,760 --> 00:24:56,840
Speaker 2: in and out here, so and I think that there's

500
00:24:57,880 --> 00:25:00,440
Speaker 2: big groups that want pieces of both. I would just

501
00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:01,960
Speaker 2: try to get the best number. I'm just advising to

502
00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:03,280
Speaker 2: get the best number because I think it is going

503
00:25:03,320 --> 00:25:05,000
Speaker 2: to be on the move and it's gonna bite at

504
00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:07,760
Speaker 2: both ends. I waffle on this game a lot this week.

505
00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:09,720
Speaker 2: It wasn't something that just hit me on Sunday, and

506
00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:11,720
Speaker 2: I said, oh, I absolutely have to have this side.

507
00:25:11,960 --> 00:25:13,760
Speaker 2: And I fell on the Georgia side for a couple

508
00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:16,640
Speaker 2: of reasons. But let's I mean, stuck went over through

509
00:25:16,800 --> 00:25:20,000
Speaker 2: all that week. Here we go, Yeah, stuck, Stuck went

510
00:25:20,040 --> 00:25:21,880
Speaker 2: through the reasons with some of the players misin Richard

511
00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:24,280
Speaker 2: LeCount not being there is a really big deal. And

512
00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:26,560
Speaker 2: you have to give credit to Florida's offense, especially through

513
00:25:26,560 --> 00:25:29,320
Speaker 2: the air. I mean, Mullin's out there pumping up the

514
00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:32,280
Speaker 2: crowd like the Ultimate Warrior at the nineteen eighty eight

515
00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:35,120
Speaker 2: Summer Slam. You know, Kyle Pitts's back in action. He's

516
00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:38,480
Speaker 2: got eight targets, he's averaging ten yards per target. And

517
00:25:38,520 --> 00:25:40,560
Speaker 2: the biggest thing that I noticed in that Missouri game

518
00:25:40,560 --> 00:25:42,680
Speaker 2: was Candarius Tony getting catches out of the backfield. And

519
00:25:42,800 --> 00:25:45,480
Speaker 2: that's that's something they could give Georgia's defense some real problems.

520
00:25:45,520 --> 00:25:47,680
Speaker 2: Is he had two touchdowns, and you know, if you're

521
00:25:47,680 --> 00:25:50,280
Speaker 2: going to run that wheel route there out of the backfield,

522
00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:52,080
Speaker 2: that can put a hurting on a lot of people.

523
00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:55,399
Speaker 2: So Georgia's rank can cover it just twenty fifth by PFF.

524
00:25:56,000 --> 00:25:57,960
Speaker 2: So maybe a little bit of resistance to a Florida

525
00:25:58,040 --> 00:26:00,879
Speaker 2: offense is so past dominant. But with Richard LeCount there,

526
00:26:00,920 --> 00:26:02,919
Speaker 2: who is by and far the highest grade of player

527
00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:06,240
Speaker 2: on that defense, you know Florida might have a little

528
00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:10,600
Speaker 2: bit more offensive success. But the Florida defense is an

529
00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:14,440
Speaker 2: absolute disaster. I mean they're ninety second and opponent third

530
00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:17,240
Speaker 2: down conversions ninety second out of one hundred and three

531
00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:19,240
Speaker 2: teams that have played, they're one hundred and first and

532
00:26:19,280 --> 00:26:22,119
Speaker 2: opponent rushing success rate one hundred and first, like anybody

533
00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:25,040
Speaker 2: can run on them. And they're ninety seventh graded in

534
00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:29,119
Speaker 2: PFF and tackling. That's UMass level. That's worse. We just

535
00:26:29,119 --> 00:26:32,760
Speaker 2: talked about Texas being ninety fifth, Florida's ninety seventh. That's

536
00:26:32,800 --> 00:26:35,359
Speaker 2: you mass. So I don't know what's going on with

537
00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:37,520
Speaker 2: top Grantham. We can't stop anybody on third down, we

538
00:26:37,560 --> 00:26:40,000
Speaker 2: can't tackle anybody, and anybody with any kind of pulse

539
00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:42,120
Speaker 2: on the rushing game is going to push us around.

540
00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:45,800
Speaker 2: So the Georgia offense was all rush in a trench

541
00:26:45,840 --> 00:26:48,680
Speaker 2: game against Kentucky, right, I mean, you called the under

542
00:26:48,720 --> 00:26:51,840
Speaker 2: beautifully and I had to sweat the side on that game.

543
00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:54,000
Speaker 2: But there's real no, there's really no takeaways. I thought

544
00:26:54,080 --> 00:26:56,080
Speaker 2: Zamir White and the offensive line were working on a

545
00:26:56,080 --> 00:26:58,520
Speaker 2: game plan for Florida and not trying to expose anything,

546
00:26:58,560 --> 00:27:00,680
Speaker 2: and that's what they did, you know, as explosive with

547
00:27:00,720 --> 00:27:03,320
Speaker 2: the Gators offense can be through the air, you know.

548
00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:05,920
Speaker 2: And Georgia missing Richard Lacount. I just can't get over

549
00:27:06,000 --> 00:27:09,000
Speaker 2: two things. And even with George Pickens being out right,

550
00:27:09,040 --> 00:27:12,199
Speaker 2: I mean that was Stetson Bennett's best receiver in the

551
00:27:12,320 --> 00:27:15,240
Speaker 2: entire unit, I have to question, does Georgia make this

552
00:27:15,320 --> 00:27:19,480
Speaker 2: a ground and pound? Does Georgia wanted to eliminate Florida's attempts?

553
00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:22,640
Speaker 2: You know, they they Florida throws. They only rush forty

554
00:27:22,640 --> 00:27:24,879
Speaker 2: four percent of the time as a really high passing

555
00:27:24,960 --> 00:27:28,399
Speaker 2: rate by Florida. And it's Kirby Smart's plan to just

556
00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:31,080
Speaker 2: line up and run these guys over. Just steamroll was

557
00:27:31,119 --> 00:27:34,639
Speaker 2: Zamir White and the offensive line. And so even with

558
00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:38,600
Speaker 2: Pickens out and Richard Lacount out, and you know, I

559
00:27:38,640 --> 00:27:41,679
Speaker 2: just couldn't get over the fact that a Florida is

560
00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:46,200
Speaker 2: abysmal and tackling and b there is a monster special

561
00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:49,600
Speaker 2: teams difference here in these two teams. PFF grades Florida

562
00:27:49,640 --> 00:27:53,399
Speaker 2: fifty third and special teams. Then grade Georgia third. To me,

563
00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:56,439
Speaker 2: that means field position, that means field goals, and it

564
00:27:56,480 --> 00:27:58,800
Speaker 2: has spread where there's three and you need everything you need.

565
00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:02,320
Speaker 2: Georgia is the team that's got way better special teams,

566
00:28:02,600 --> 00:28:03,520
Speaker 2: way better tackling.

567
00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:05,879
Speaker 3: I'm sticking to my guns here. I mean some of

568
00:28:05,880 --> 00:28:08,320
Speaker 3: the injuries, especially if Davis is out for Georgia, and yeah,

569
00:28:08,359 --> 00:28:10,800
Speaker 3: I think Georgia will have success running. Their offensive line

570
00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:13,359
Speaker 3: is really good. They're running backs, they're obviously all five stars.

571
00:28:13,359 --> 00:28:16,439
Speaker 3: They just reload there. But their passing game, I is

572
00:28:16,560 --> 00:28:19,000
Speaker 3: just man. I don't believe in steps and Bennett or

573
00:28:19,040 --> 00:28:21,440
Speaker 3: their receivers, especially if Picks doesn't play. So I think

574
00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:24,160
Speaker 3: they're gonna beble to move it. But I think Florida's

575
00:28:24,160 --> 00:28:26,159
Speaker 3: gonna get a couple stops in the red zone, and

576
00:28:26,960 --> 00:28:29,480
Speaker 3: Florida's offense is gonna be able to finish drives without

577
00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:32,719
Speaker 3: account there getting it at the pits, and I think

578
00:28:32,760 --> 00:28:34,760
Speaker 3: Bennett's gonna throw a key pick or two, and that's

579
00:28:34,800 --> 00:28:37,520
Speaker 3: gonna be the difference. I'm mainly sticking to my guns

580
00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:40,239
Speaker 3: on two things. Before the year. I bet Florida when

581
00:28:40,280 --> 00:28:43,200
Speaker 3: the SEC which obviously this game depends. I need this

582
00:28:43,240 --> 00:28:45,480
Speaker 3: game for that. I thought at the price that I

583
00:28:45,480 --> 00:28:47,000
Speaker 3: could have gotten Florida at there was too much TI

584
00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:48,720
Speaker 3: to pass up. But I thought it was gonna be

585
00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:50,920
Speaker 3: really close, and it obviously is still. Those are the

586
00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:53,880
Speaker 3: two things that I'm counting on here. That Florida's defense

587
00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:55,920
Speaker 3: gonna be a little better based on some personnel and

588
00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:58,680
Speaker 3: some things that happened last week. And I'm trusting my

589
00:28:58,720 --> 00:29:01,760
Speaker 3: preseason raad here should be a really good game. Any

590
00:29:01,760 --> 00:29:03,440
Speaker 3: feel in the total, because I keep going back and forth.

591
00:29:03,480 --> 00:29:07,360
Speaker 3: I say, well, Georgia's defensive injuries should be able to

592
00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:09,800
Speaker 3: you know, should make it easier for Florida to do

593
00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:11,840
Speaker 3: the ball. And I also think that Georgia will be

594
00:29:11,840 --> 00:29:13,920
Speaker 3: able to move the ball on the ground. But if

595
00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:16,000
Speaker 3: George is just going to go exclusively to the ground,

596
00:29:16,680 --> 00:29:17,840
Speaker 3: you know, so I think both HEA's are able to

597
00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:19,640
Speaker 3: move it. But then does that make this game a

598
00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:21,920
Speaker 3: lot shorter? So I keep going way back and forth

599
00:29:21,960 --> 00:29:23,880
Speaker 3: in the total. I don't know. I don't think I'll

600
00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:25,000
Speaker 3: play on the total on any thoughts.

601
00:29:25,360 --> 00:29:28,160
Speaker 2: I mean, the progestion came out to sixty, but again,

602
00:29:28,280 --> 00:29:30,920
Speaker 2: these are not fast teams. Seventy first and fifty second

603
00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:34,000
Speaker 2: and seconds per play. George is not explosive on the ground,

604
00:29:34,080 --> 00:29:36,440
Speaker 2: and they're ninety six in rush explosiveness. They're not explosive

605
00:29:36,480 --> 00:29:39,080
Speaker 2: in the air. With stetsonvent it, they're really good at

606
00:29:39,080 --> 00:29:42,360
Speaker 2: preventing explosive plays and Florida, you know, believe it or not,

607
00:29:42,400 --> 00:29:46,400
Speaker 2: they're really not that explosive passing. They're just highly successful.

608
00:29:46,800 --> 00:29:48,600
Speaker 2: I mean, they are one of the best passing teams

609
00:29:48,600 --> 00:29:51,080
Speaker 2: in the nation, but they're fifty ninth in passing EPA.

610
00:29:51,360 --> 00:29:55,160
Speaker 2: You see Kyle Pitts getting the needed fourteen to eighteen yards.

611
00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:58,200
Speaker 2: You don't see Kyle Pitts running for sixty yards. And

612
00:29:58,240 --> 00:30:01,040
Speaker 2: that's what kind of offense they are. I just I

613
00:30:01,080 --> 00:30:03,000
Speaker 2: don't see a path to get this over, even though

614
00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:05,040
Speaker 2: the projection says it goes over. And you know what,

615
00:30:05,480 --> 00:30:07,520
Speaker 2: maybe it's a special teams thing. Maybe here we go again.

616
00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:09,560
Speaker 2: Maybe there's a special teams maybe there's a pick six,

617
00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:12,960
Speaker 2: Maybe there's something in there that's not expected in the

618
00:30:12,960 --> 00:30:14,400
Speaker 2: offensive defensive formula.

619
00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:17,560
Speaker 5: Hope you're enjoying this great Action network podcast. I want

620
00:30:17,560 --> 00:30:20,160
Speaker 5: to make sure you know about the locked On podcast network.

621
00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:23,360
Speaker 5: Locked On has a daily podcast on your favorite team.

622
00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:24,959
Speaker 2: Welcome to you Lockdown forty nine ers.

623
00:30:25,040 --> 00:30:26,440
Speaker 3: You are lockedown of the Dallas Matterage.

624
00:30:26,440 --> 00:30:28,520
Speaker 2: Welkome everybody to the Lockdown Lakers podcast.

625
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:29,280
Speaker 3: Let's Go.

626
00:30:29,560 --> 00:30:32,480
Speaker 5: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

627
00:30:32,520 --> 00:30:34,720
Speaker 5: know your team better than anyone and give you the

628
00:30:34,800 --> 00:30:37,560
Speaker 5: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

629
00:30:37,760 --> 00:30:42,080
Speaker 5: locked on your favorite team. Subscribe to your locked on podcast.

630
00:30:45,960 --> 00:30:50,120
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to our final marquee game

631
00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:54,000
Speaker 3: of the weekend, and it's a good one. We have

632
00:30:54,160 --> 00:30:58,880
Speaker 3: Notre Dame against Clemson at bet MGM. Notre Dame is

633
00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:03,440
Speaker 3: now a five over under fifty and a half. All right,

634
00:31:03,480 --> 00:31:08,000
Speaker 3: this is a very, very fascinating game for multiple reasons,

635
00:31:08,040 --> 00:31:11,520
Speaker 3: but primarily before we get breaking go into the game,

636
00:31:11,520 --> 00:31:13,520
Speaker 3: I want to get your thoughts on this. Notre Dame

637
00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:17,000
Speaker 3: wins this game. Trevor Lawrence was out, and then they're

638
00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:20,280
Speaker 3: gonna they presumably play again in the AC Championship game.

639
00:31:20,360 --> 00:31:23,920
Speaker 3: And then Clemson wins with Trevor Lawrence against Notre Dame

640
00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:26,880
Speaker 3: in the second meeting they split, but Trevor Lawrence played

641
00:31:26,920 --> 00:31:29,760
Speaker 3: in the second one, the most recent one, and it's Clemson.

642
00:31:30,200 --> 00:31:33,520
Speaker 3: Clemson probably gets into the playoff and then Notre Dame's

643
00:31:33,520 --> 00:31:36,080
Speaker 3: split with Clemson. If they go one defeated, Notre Dame

644
00:31:36,120 --> 00:31:38,800
Speaker 3: gets into maybe is the fourteen because Big twelve Pac

645
00:31:38,840 --> 00:31:42,840
Speaker 3: twelve cannibalize themselves, and then you get Bama and Ohio

646
00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:45,160
Speaker 3: State in there, and then there's a chance to Notre

647
00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:48,480
Speaker 3: Dame in Clemson play a third time. What do you

648
00:31:48,520 --> 00:31:51,000
Speaker 3: think about the shot of if Notre Dame wins this?

649
00:31:52,040 --> 00:31:53,080
Speaker 3: Talk through by scenario.

650
00:31:53,360 --> 00:31:56,680
Speaker 2: Please no, no making teams play each other a third

651
00:31:56,680 --> 00:31:59,800
Speaker 2: time in one season, especially in a schedule shortened season.

652
00:31:59,800 --> 00:32:02,000
Speaker 2: That would be gross. You know we're gonna get into

653
00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:04,920
Speaker 2: the handicap of this game. I'm not sure the absence

654
00:32:04,920 --> 00:32:06,440
Speaker 2: of Trevor Lawrence is going to be big to the

655
00:32:06,440 --> 00:32:09,480
Speaker 2: College Football Playoff Committee. It's not that big to gamblers,

656
00:32:09,840 --> 00:32:12,360
Speaker 2: it's not that big to the market, But in the

657
00:32:12,360 --> 00:32:14,680
Speaker 2: College FOOTBA Playoff Committee's mind, it's gonna be the be

658
00:32:14,800 --> 00:32:16,480
Speaker 2: all end all because he's going to be the number

659
00:32:16,520 --> 00:32:18,240
Speaker 2: one overall pick in the draft and go on to

660
00:32:18,240 --> 00:32:19,880
Speaker 2: win us a whole bunch of money in the NFL.

661
00:32:20,120 --> 00:32:22,080
Speaker 3: How many points do you make it? Now? We've had

662
00:32:22,120 --> 00:32:24,200
Speaker 3: an eight last week and now I have it four.

663
00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:27,760
Speaker 2: I make it too, but it has nothing new. With

664
00:32:27,800 --> 00:32:28,479
Speaker 2: Trevor Lawrence.

665
00:32:28,640 --> 00:32:31,920
Speaker 3: Dju is freshman Feenale. Obviously he's a five star. I

666
00:32:31,960 --> 00:32:34,880
Speaker 3: had it like he didn't look great. Trevor Lawrence is great.

667
00:32:34,920 --> 00:32:36,600
Speaker 3: I had like seven eight points last week. I think

668
00:32:36,600 --> 00:32:38,040
Speaker 3: on my final number here is like four and a

669
00:32:38,080 --> 00:32:41,040
Speaker 3: half point difference. So I would have had this line.

670
00:32:41,320 --> 00:32:42,600
Speaker 3: What did I make this ligne? I made this sign

671
00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:46,000
Speaker 3: three and I would have made this line seven and

672
00:32:46,000 --> 00:32:48,520
Speaker 3: a half eight. Obviously you're like in a dead zone.

673
00:32:48,600 --> 00:32:50,560
Speaker 3: I don't know. It wouldn't have really mattered seven and

674
00:32:50,600 --> 00:32:52,480
Speaker 3: a half eight, eight and a half if Trevor Lawrence

675
00:32:52,520 --> 00:32:56,120
Speaker 3: played and you have it. What same difference drop off?

676
00:32:56,240 --> 00:32:56,440
Speaker 2: Yeah?

677
00:32:56,480 --> 00:32:57,040
Speaker 3: Four points?

678
00:32:57,280 --> 00:32:58,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, same difference drop off.

679
00:32:58,600 --> 00:32:58,800
Speaker 3: You know.

680
00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:02,760
Speaker 2: And there were other things about Clemson that bothered me.

681
00:33:02,880 --> 00:33:05,880
Speaker 2: There's some pieces missing off this team to get into

682
00:33:05,920 --> 00:33:08,320
Speaker 2: the handicap of Clemson Notre Dame. I make this game

683
00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:11,440
Speaker 2: about Notre Dame plus two. There are some missing pieces

684
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:14,320
Speaker 2: on the Clemson side that I This one was also

685
00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:17,000
Speaker 2: a tough game to cap. And you know, the narrative

686
00:33:17,240 --> 00:33:19,680
Speaker 2: that you're hearing everywhere else. This is what pisses me

687
00:33:19,760 --> 00:33:24,920
Speaker 2: off about the college football landscape. The entire podcast landscape.

688
00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:27,520
Speaker 2: If you happen to listen to any anybody besides Stuck

689
00:33:27,560 --> 00:33:30,440
Speaker 2: and I, you turn on the goddamn TV, and everyone's

690
00:33:30,440 --> 00:33:32,600
Speaker 2: going to tell you how bad Notre Dame is against

691
00:33:32,600 --> 00:33:35,040
Speaker 2: in these spots against these top ten teams. Oh, Brian

692
00:33:35,120 --> 00:33:37,840
Speaker 2: Kelly can't get it done. Notre Dame doesn't have the players.

693
00:33:37,880 --> 00:33:41,000
Speaker 2: They don't recruit the same way SEC and Clemson teams do.

694
00:33:41,680 --> 00:33:43,960
Speaker 2: Shouldn't even play this game, It's not even worth playing.

695
00:33:44,160 --> 00:33:47,000
Speaker 2: This is the same Notre Dame team that covered against

696
00:33:47,000 --> 00:33:49,720
Speaker 2: Georgia at home. What just last year, like almost won

697
00:33:49,760 --> 00:33:50,360
Speaker 2: the damn game?

698
00:33:50,520 --> 00:33:50,640
Speaker 3: Right?

699
00:33:50,680 --> 00:33:53,600
Speaker 2: What was that spread? Six and a half seven Notre Dame.

700
00:33:53,600 --> 00:33:55,480
Speaker 2: I went and did a little research, pulled out our

701
00:33:55,520 --> 00:33:58,200
Speaker 2: old bet labs, took a look at Brian Kelly.

702
00:33:58,640 --> 00:34:01,280
Speaker 3: Since two I forgot we got a back Brian Kelly. Fuck,

703
00:34:02,320 --> 00:34:04,640
Speaker 3: this is bullshit.

704
00:34:05,240 --> 00:34:08,640
Speaker 2: Brian Kelly. And since twenty ten and the Brian Kelly

705
00:34:08,640 --> 00:34:12,080
Speaker 2: era when they've been an underdog against the top ten team,

706
00:34:12,600 --> 00:34:15,320
Speaker 2: they're eight and three against the spread as an underdog

707
00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:17,359
Speaker 2: against the top ten team and the Brian Kelly era.

708
00:34:17,880 --> 00:34:21,000
Speaker 2: He may not be winning games, but he's lining our

709
00:34:21,040 --> 00:34:23,920
Speaker 2: pockets now. I'm not saying we're gonna take me.

710
00:34:23,920 --> 00:34:25,839
Speaker 3: So last week he sure as hell tries to cover

711
00:34:25,840 --> 00:34:27,160
Speaker 3: a little last possible second.

712
00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:29,839
Speaker 2: He didn't try to cover against Louisville some of a bitch.

713
00:34:30,440 --> 00:34:33,879
Speaker 2: So you know, I'm not gonna base this game off

714
00:34:33,920 --> 00:34:37,000
Speaker 2: of you know, eleven game sample over ten years. I'm

715
00:34:37,040 --> 00:34:39,919
Speaker 2: saying the narrative that's being built around Notre Dame can't

716
00:34:39,920 --> 00:34:41,640
Speaker 2: get it done. It's a bunch of bullshit. Don't buy

717
00:34:41,640 --> 00:34:44,080
Speaker 2: into it. I didn't have much of a drop off.

718
00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:48,200
Speaker 2: The success rate for DJU from him to Trevor really

719
00:34:48,239 --> 00:34:50,840
Speaker 2: wasn't that much. I mean, he showed flashes in the

720
00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:52,920
Speaker 2: second half of the game to look like Trevor Lawrence

721
00:34:52,960 --> 00:34:56,120
Speaker 2: even running the ball. His success rate in passing was

722
00:34:56,200 --> 00:34:59,120
Speaker 2: about the same. In passing down standard downs, it didn't matter.

723
00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:01,239
Speaker 2: You know. The problem. The thing that bothers me about

724
00:35:01,239 --> 00:35:03,880
Speaker 2: this game with Clemson is they're down plenty of defensive starters.

725
00:35:04,040 --> 00:35:05,759
Speaker 2: Xavier Thomas is out for the first half for a

726
00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:09,200
Speaker 2: targeting call against BC. Defensive tackle Tyler Davis is out,

727
00:35:09,360 --> 00:35:12,440
Speaker 2: Linebacker James Skalski is out, Mike Jones is out of

728
00:35:12,480 --> 00:35:15,280
Speaker 2: that linebacker unit. Now, when I just said Skowski and Jones.

729
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:18,480
Speaker 2: That's not really two of the players that affect the

730
00:35:18,520 --> 00:35:22,880
Speaker 2: rush defense. Their major effect is in the past defense.

731
00:35:23,239 --> 00:35:26,000
Speaker 2: Skalski and Jones were graded as the top two defenders

732
00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:28,719
Speaker 2: and pass coverage by PFF. So that number that they have,

733
00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:33,359
Speaker 2: I think what ranked eighth in pass coverage. That takes

734
00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:36,360
Speaker 2: a huge hit in their linebacker. That makes them ready

735
00:35:36,760 --> 00:35:39,920
Speaker 2: and available for Ian Book to hit right over the middle.

736
00:35:40,360 --> 00:35:44,280
Speaker 2: Because those two were so big in pass defense. Jerkovic

737
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:46,800
Speaker 2: had two explosive plays for TDS and you know, was

738
00:35:46,840 --> 00:35:48,920
Speaker 2: able to hit them for bombs. That opened up my

739
00:35:48,920 --> 00:35:52,240
Speaker 2: eyes a little bit. The Clemson defense was definitely sleeping

740
00:35:52,239 --> 00:35:55,040
Speaker 2: in that first half. The only thing that what made

741
00:35:55,040 --> 00:35:58,520
Speaker 2: this cap was so tough to handicap is it Notre

742
00:35:58,600 --> 00:36:00,719
Speaker 2: Dame runs the ball at a sixty three percent rate,

743
00:36:00,760 --> 00:36:02,440
Speaker 2: which is like unreal, Like they run the ball?

744
00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:04,359
Speaker 3: Is that faker reel? Is that? That's what I would

745
00:36:04,360 --> 00:36:05,200
Speaker 3: try to fact.

746
00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:07,680
Speaker 2: Out, Baker reel? What the hell is Tommy Reeves doing?

747
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:11,040
Speaker 2: New offensive coordinator? You know, has he purposely been doing

748
00:36:11,080 --> 00:36:13,000
Speaker 2: this all season? You look at that twelve to seven

749
00:36:13,000 --> 00:36:15,000
Speaker 2: win over Louisville and you think they did that shit

750
00:36:15,080 --> 00:36:17,279
Speaker 2: on purpose? Right? They did it on purpose, not to

751
00:36:17,320 --> 00:36:21,600
Speaker 2: expose a single thing. They've only hit Jafar Armstrong out

752
00:36:21,600 --> 00:36:23,759
Speaker 2: of the back out of the backfield three times, and

753
00:36:23,800 --> 00:36:26,000
Speaker 2: every time they do he takes off for like thirty

754
00:36:26,000 --> 00:36:30,120
Speaker 2: to forty yards. He's a crazy weapon, wide receiver, running back,

755
00:36:30,200 --> 00:36:32,839
Speaker 2: wide receiver, whatever. When ian Book hits him, he goes

756
00:36:32,880 --> 00:36:35,480
Speaker 2: for a lot. So the question is, is Ree's been

757
00:36:35,480 --> 00:36:37,560
Speaker 2: holding back on this offense the entire time it hit

758
00:36:37,600 --> 00:36:40,040
Speaker 2: ian Book, hit deep targets, or at least hit targets

759
00:36:40,040 --> 00:36:42,880
Speaker 2: that can accumulate a bunch of yaks. I think the

760
00:36:42,920 --> 00:36:45,239
Speaker 2: answer is yes. Notre Dame is currently eighty fifth and

761
00:36:45,280 --> 00:36:47,680
Speaker 2: passing grades per PFF. That's not great, but I think

762
00:36:47,719 --> 00:36:50,520
Speaker 2: it's by design. Notre Dame has only eight completions over

763
00:36:50,520 --> 00:36:53,279
Speaker 2: twenty yards. Again, I think it's by design. I mean,

764
00:36:53,320 --> 00:36:55,040
Speaker 2: if I was at a poker table, which I did

765
00:36:55,040 --> 00:36:57,320
Speaker 2: a lot during the quarantine, I would call a bluff.

766
00:36:57,320 --> 00:36:59,439
Speaker 2: I would say, Tommy Reeves has purposely been calling sixty

767
00:36:59,440 --> 00:37:02,080
Speaker 2: three percent Notre Dame's coverage. Let's go to the other

768
00:37:02,120 --> 00:37:04,240
Speaker 2: side of the ball. On defense, I've said this forever.

769
00:37:04,320 --> 00:37:07,120
Speaker 2: Clark Lee one of the best defensive coordinators in the nation.

770
00:37:07,560 --> 00:37:09,799
Speaker 2: Mike elko product. I think he's doing better than Mike

771
00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:12,280
Speaker 2: elko Is these days. Should be a head coach someday.

772
00:37:12,560 --> 00:37:16,240
Speaker 2: Their coverage ranked sixth. Clemson's coverage is ranked eighth. On defense,

773
00:37:16,680 --> 00:37:20,160
Speaker 2: the defensive finishing drives, Notre Dame ranks third, Clemson's ranks twelve.

774
00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:21,759
Speaker 2: I mean there's a lot of good defense going on

775
00:37:21,800 --> 00:37:24,560
Speaker 2: in this game. Special teams both these teams rank in

776
00:37:24,560 --> 00:37:27,520
Speaker 2: the top fifteen. I think this is a major grudge match.

777
00:37:28,000 --> 00:37:30,000
Speaker 2: I think Notre Dame is just as good as a

778
00:37:30,080 --> 00:37:32,239
Speaker 2: chance to win this game as Clemson does. I think

779
00:37:32,239 --> 00:37:35,120
Speaker 2: that Notre Dame has purposely been hiding a lot and

780
00:37:35,160 --> 00:37:37,400
Speaker 2: not been showing anything, especially when I just go back

781
00:37:37,440 --> 00:37:40,400
Speaker 2: to that whole Louisville game plan. It's crazy. So I

782
00:37:40,440 --> 00:37:43,799
Speaker 2: took Notre Dame plus three in the first half, considering,

783
00:37:43,920 --> 00:37:45,600
Speaker 2: you know, Xavier Thomas is going to be out from

784
00:37:45,600 --> 00:37:47,960
Speaker 2: the defensive line for Clemson. I think that they're going

785
00:37:48,040 --> 00:37:50,520
Speaker 2: to show their playbook immediately right away and take advantage

786
00:37:50,520 --> 00:37:52,400
Speaker 2: of the linebackers that are out for Clemson. So I

787
00:37:52,400 --> 00:37:54,319
Speaker 2: do like Notre Dame plus three. I think I saw

788
00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:58,080
Speaker 2: you take Notre Dame for the game. I plus seven

789
00:37:58,160 --> 00:37:59,840
Speaker 2: was available for like forty minutes and I missed it.

790
00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:01,680
Speaker 2: I just haven't been able to bring myself to take

791
00:38:01,680 --> 00:38:03,919
Speaker 2: the Notre Dame a full game. So I'm gonna play

792
00:38:03,960 --> 00:38:05,680
Speaker 2: that live. I am going to play the Irish live.

793
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:09,280
Speaker 2: You know. I just I think, look for Jafar Armstrong.

794
00:38:09,640 --> 00:38:11,319
Speaker 2: I think him out of the backfield and attacking the

795
00:38:11,360 --> 00:38:13,719
Speaker 2: linebacker area of the defense on Clemson is what's going

796
00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:14,120
Speaker 2: to happen.

797
00:38:14,200 --> 00:38:16,120
Speaker 3: Yeah. I had a similar is show I missed, plus

798
00:38:16,160 --> 00:38:18,920
Speaker 3: I missed under fifty two, did a radio spot it

799
00:38:18,920 --> 00:38:22,440
Speaker 3: was fifty two, did a radio interview and got off

800
00:38:22,440 --> 00:38:25,040
Speaker 3: the phone, and then it was about the Bett took

801
00:38:25,080 --> 00:38:26,840
Speaker 3: this call, get off the radio call, and it was

802
00:38:26,880 --> 00:38:28,480
Speaker 3: a fifteen and a half, So I took him under

803
00:38:28,520 --> 00:38:30,759
Speaker 3: twenty four and a half first half. It does concern me.

804
00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:32,520
Speaker 3: It's like, does Notre Dame or they are they going

805
00:38:32,600 --> 00:38:35,560
Speaker 3: to come out and use all of their like passing

806
00:38:35,560 --> 00:38:37,359
Speaker 3: plays and then because they've been running it so much

807
00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:40,200
Speaker 3: and then come out slinging it early. That does scare me.

808
00:38:40,560 --> 00:38:44,319
Speaker 3: But this Clemson offense, it's just not what It's still

809
00:38:44,440 --> 00:38:45,839
Speaker 3: very good and you still have a five storm. He's

810
00:38:45,840 --> 00:38:48,080
Speaker 3: making his first start in the road it's it's not

811
00:38:48,120 --> 00:38:49,680
Speaker 3: what we're used to seeing as far as weapons on

812
00:38:49,680 --> 00:38:52,200
Speaker 3: the outside. Obviously, the best running back in college football

813
00:38:52,200 --> 00:38:55,160
Speaker 3: on ETN. But this is a really veteran, well coached

814
00:38:55,680 --> 00:38:59,239
Speaker 3: Notre Dame defense that tackles very well. So I think

815
00:38:59,280 --> 00:39:01,120
Speaker 3: the Notre Dame defense is going to hold up here.

816
00:39:01,360 --> 00:39:04,880
Speaker 3: Here's the X factor. Keep this in mind. I watched

817
00:39:04,880 --> 00:39:07,200
Speaker 3: the interview the other day Brady Quinn and Matt Lioner.

818
00:39:07,239 --> 00:39:10,080
Speaker 3: You know the remember that famous bush push game when

819
00:39:10,200 --> 00:39:14,160
Speaker 3: USC came to Notre Dame. Well, Notre Dame they were

820
00:39:14,239 --> 00:39:17,120
Speaker 3: laughing about it. Notre Dame. Obviously you're playing USC, and

821
00:39:17,160 --> 00:39:19,000
Speaker 3: they were one of the you know, the best offenses

822
00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:21,399
Speaker 3: we've seen in the last twenty years, explosive offense, number

823
00:39:21,400 --> 00:39:24,799
Speaker 3: one in the country, very very fast team. Would Notre

824
00:39:24,880 --> 00:39:26,839
Speaker 3: Dame do. They didn't cut the grass for like three

825
00:39:26,880 --> 00:39:30,319
Speaker 3: weeks and they were laughing about it. Bradyan was evan.

826
00:39:30,480 --> 00:39:33,719
Speaker 3: So I can guarantee you this Clemson offense and ETN

827
00:39:34,560 --> 00:39:36,200
Speaker 3: you might not be able to see some players out

828
00:39:36,239 --> 00:39:38,440
Speaker 3: there for some of the patches of grass that we

829
00:39:38,520 --> 00:39:42,120
Speaker 3: might see just to slow up the track for which

830
00:39:42,160 --> 00:39:44,560
Speaker 3: I think would benefit Notre Dame. But Yeah. The interesting

831
00:39:44,600 --> 00:39:46,760
Speaker 3: thing is, like, that's what's tough to cap the total,

832
00:39:47,160 --> 00:39:49,600
Speaker 3: specifically for me, is that Notre Dame's has been running

833
00:39:49,600 --> 00:39:53,279
Speaker 3: it so much. They've been playing really slow, too much

834
00:39:53,320 --> 00:39:55,400
Speaker 3: slower than they have in the past, which makes it

835
00:39:55,440 --> 00:39:57,239
Speaker 3: even crazy. They were playing fast to cover in the

836
00:39:57,280 --> 00:39:59,239
Speaker 3: last thirty seconds. They played slow the whole game till

837
00:39:59,239 --> 00:40:02,799
Speaker 3: the last minute. Besides the point Brian Kelly didn't get in,

838
00:40:03,160 --> 00:40:05,279
Speaker 3: they didn't score, so he's still fine with me, and

839
00:40:05,320 --> 00:40:06,959
Speaker 3: we're going to back them this week and he better

840
00:40:07,000 --> 00:40:09,319
Speaker 3: come through. But yeah, I like Notre Dame here, try

841
00:40:09,360 --> 00:40:11,239
Speaker 3: to get that six or better. And I played some

842
00:40:11,360 --> 00:40:14,000
Speaker 3: under twenty four and a half first half. I do

843
00:40:14,120 --> 00:40:16,440
Speaker 3: like the under for the game too. It makes it

844
00:40:16,440 --> 00:40:18,200
Speaker 3: tougher because I don't know that what the Notre Dame

845
00:40:18,200 --> 00:40:21,000
Speaker 3: play calling, Like, I just have questions about it. Fifty

846
00:40:21,000 --> 00:40:25,359
Speaker 3: two and fifty one are key numbers, so I would

847
00:40:25,440 --> 00:40:27,560
Speaker 3: like to get under fifty two, but I didn't. But

848
00:40:27,600 --> 00:40:28,920
Speaker 3: that's something to keep an eye. If it's a quick

849
00:40:28,920 --> 00:40:30,640
Speaker 3: score that you know, you could get some more money

850
00:40:30,680 --> 00:40:32,759
Speaker 3: later in the week. Any final thoughts here.

851
00:40:32,680 --> 00:40:35,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's hilarious you mentioned a Notre Dame

852
00:40:35,600 --> 00:40:37,719
Speaker 2: is ninety second and seconds per play, and they're going

853
00:40:37,760 --> 00:40:41,120
Speaker 2: up tempo to get to Brian Kelly. He knows unreal

854
00:40:41,600 --> 00:40:43,440
Speaker 2: in the total is I think if we want to

855
00:40:43,480 --> 00:40:46,359
Speaker 2: bet on something that is not analytics based, if Notre

856
00:40:46,440 --> 00:40:48,600
Speaker 2: Dame comes out in the Kelly Green uniforms from the

857
00:40:48,600 --> 00:40:51,799
Speaker 2: Bush Push game, automatic Notre Dame money line play right

858
00:40:51,840 --> 00:40:52,359
Speaker 2: off the bat.

859
00:40:53,280 --> 00:40:56,560
Speaker 3: Uh yeah, it's more of that later, all right. That'll

860
00:40:56,560 --> 00:41:02,200
Speaker 3: wrap up the five mark Key games the weekend before

861
00:41:02,239 --> 00:41:05,880
Speaker 3: we move on to the PAC twelve. Here's a word

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882
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Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to the PAC twelve. Look,

883
00:42:16,760 --> 00:42:19,319
Speaker 3: this conference is a mess. We have so much to

884
00:42:19,320 --> 00:42:21,480
Speaker 3: get to. We're not gonna spend a ton of time

885
00:42:21,480 --> 00:42:22,919
Speaker 3: like we do on the Mac and the Big Ten.

886
00:42:23,280 --> 00:42:25,399
Speaker 3: But we're gonna go through every game except Washington Cow.

887
00:42:25,480 --> 00:42:28,080
Speaker 3: We'll cover those teams at a later date because that

888
00:42:28,120 --> 00:42:30,640
Speaker 3: game was postponed. We'll do like a ninety to one

889
00:42:30,719 --> 00:42:33,360
Speaker 3: hundred and second rundown. Will each take a game and

890
00:42:33,400 --> 00:42:35,600
Speaker 3: then just give you a quick quick synopsis of what

891
00:42:35,640 --> 00:42:37,319
Speaker 3: those two teams look like and if there's anything that

892
00:42:37,320 --> 00:42:42,040
Speaker 3: we like in that game. Colin, I will start with you,

893
00:42:42,560 --> 00:42:46,160
Speaker 3: and I guess we'll go chronologically here, So a noon

894
00:42:46,320 --> 00:42:51,600
Speaker 3: kick eight nine am local kick. Arizona State at USC

895
00:42:52,239 --> 00:42:55,000
Speaker 3: USC is a ten and a half point favorite over

896
00:42:55,080 --> 00:42:58,640
Speaker 3: under fifty five at bet. MGM thoughts on the sun

897
00:42:58,680 --> 00:43:01,640
Speaker 3: Devils who get under edwards remembers they keep every game

898
00:43:02,080 --> 00:43:04,400
Speaker 3: seemingly close. Catch you ten and a half at USC.

899
00:43:05,040 --> 00:43:07,720
Speaker 2: I don't know how, like we're just not automatically booking

900
00:43:07,719 --> 00:43:10,000
Speaker 2: first half unders on nine am PAC twelve games. But

901
00:43:10,160 --> 00:43:12,160
Speaker 2: let's talk about this one a little bit. Arizona State

902
00:43:12,239 --> 00:43:16,320
Speaker 2: USC game I projected USC minus fourteen. There's lots of

903
00:43:16,360 --> 00:43:19,640
Speaker 2: missing weapons here for Arizona State. Brandon Ayuk, you know, Benjamin.

904
00:43:20,120 --> 00:43:24,200
Speaker 2: Arizona State brings in two new co defensive coordinators for

905
00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:27,439
Speaker 2: returning senior secondary. Now you would think that that's good

906
00:43:27,480 --> 00:43:30,759
Speaker 2: news for Arizona State, but this is a same secondary

907
00:43:30,760 --> 00:43:34,200
Speaker 2: that gave up almost five hundred yards to Kadon Slow

908
00:43:34,239 --> 00:43:37,200
Speaker 2: this last year through the air. USC's defense also under

909
00:43:37,239 --> 00:43:41,360
Speaker 2: new management, Todd Orlando moves over after jettison from the

910
00:43:41,400 --> 00:43:43,680
Speaker 2: Big twelve where you don't want to be a defensive coordinator,

911
00:43:43,719 --> 00:43:46,160
Speaker 2: he finds himself in as a defensive coordinator. He gets

912
00:43:46,160 --> 00:43:49,839
Speaker 2: eighty seven percent of the Trojans returning starters back. It's

913
00:43:49,840 --> 00:43:53,680
Speaker 2: a huge upgrade from Clancy Pendergast. I like USC in

914
00:43:53,719 --> 00:43:56,759
Speaker 2: this game, project it at fourteen, so I would take

915
00:43:56,760 --> 00:43:58,160
Speaker 2: it up till then you're.

916
00:43:58,000 --> 00:44:00,120
Speaker 3: Gonna get your USC bat that you didn't get they

917
00:44:00,239 --> 00:44:02,759
Speaker 3: have against Alabama early in the year to start off

918
00:44:02,800 --> 00:44:07,120
Speaker 3: the year. So let's move to three thirty Eastern Arizona

919
00:44:07,440 --> 00:44:12,920
Speaker 3: catching fourteen Arizona plus fourteen at Utah over under fifty seven.

920
00:44:13,520 --> 00:44:17,240
Speaker 3: There's a lot going on in this game. Utah lost

921
00:44:17,239 --> 00:44:20,280
Speaker 3: the ton their quarterback Huntley is gone. Who's their quarterback?

922
00:44:20,440 --> 00:44:22,799
Speaker 3: I don't know. I'm sure the coach knows, but maybe

923
00:44:22,800 --> 00:44:25,520
Speaker 3: it's Jake Bentley transfer from South Carolina. They haven't named

924
00:44:25,560 --> 00:44:27,520
Speaker 3: a quarterback, they haven't named the starting running back. They

925
00:44:27,600 --> 00:44:30,160
Speaker 3: have four guys listed. No one has emerged in camp

926
00:44:30,440 --> 00:44:33,440
Speaker 3: to replace Moss. So there's a lot of questions with

927
00:44:33,480 --> 00:44:35,600
Speaker 3: this Utah team. And then the secondary has to be

928
00:44:35,640 --> 00:44:38,000
Speaker 3: completely rebuilt. But think about all the pros that are

929
00:44:38,280 --> 00:44:41,960
Speaker 3: the Jalen Johnson's starting at corner for the Bears, a

930
00:44:42,000 --> 00:44:45,879
Speaker 3: lot of pieces that they lost in that secondary. Arizona

931
00:44:46,280 --> 00:44:49,320
Speaker 3: bring a lot back on defense, which is a positive

932
00:44:49,360 --> 00:44:53,080
Speaker 3: for something positive that you can say about that defensive

933
00:44:53,200 --> 00:44:56,480
Speaker 3: was a dumpster fire last year. They do lose their

934
00:44:56,560 --> 00:44:59,839
Speaker 3: leading rusher and best player on that offense last year,

935
00:45:00,040 --> 00:45:02,719
Speaker 3: Greg at L's back at quarterback, who showed some flashes

936
00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:04,560
Speaker 3: last year and had some potential, but he won't have

937
00:45:04,640 --> 00:45:08,040
Speaker 3: JJ Taylor in the backfield. I think at fourteen or above,

938
00:45:08,080 --> 00:45:10,360
Speaker 3: Arizona's to play. I think this line is just a

939
00:45:10,440 --> 00:45:12,719
Speaker 3: tad too high. I think you make it closer to ten,

940
00:45:12,800 --> 00:45:15,520
Speaker 3: and as do I A lot of moving pieces here

941
00:45:15,520 --> 00:45:17,600
Speaker 3: though you're trying. You don't know who's quarterback, who's the

942
00:45:17,680 --> 00:45:19,279
Speaker 3: running back for Utah. I lost a lot in the

943
00:45:19,280 --> 00:45:22,160
Speaker 3: defensive end. At least Arizona has some experience on the

944
00:45:22,200 --> 00:45:26,400
Speaker 3: defensive end end at quarterback. So if you can get

945
00:45:26,440 --> 00:45:29,120
Speaker 3: fourteen or more, I think to look, here is Arizona

946
00:45:29,600 --> 00:45:31,640
Speaker 3: all right? Let's move on to the next game. Seven

947
00:45:31,719 --> 00:45:34,600
Speaker 3: Eastern Ucla at betmgm's a six and a half point

948
00:45:34,640 --> 00:45:37,800
Speaker 3: favorite traveling to Colorado over under fifty six and a

949
00:45:37,840 --> 00:45:38,720
Speaker 3: half thoughts here.

950
00:45:38,840 --> 00:45:40,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's a game that I project Ucla

951
00:45:40,800 --> 00:45:43,080
Speaker 2: minus seven. I took Ucla minus six and a half

952
00:45:43,120 --> 00:45:47,080
Speaker 2: on the Action app today, and really it's a I

953
00:45:47,239 --> 00:45:50,360
Speaker 2: like what UCLA has returning in you know, wide receiver,

954
00:45:50,440 --> 00:45:53,400
Speaker 2: running back. They've got some real playmakers there, and Colorado

955
00:45:53,440 --> 00:45:56,680
Speaker 2: loses leviscas chanal quarterback position. I mean they are a

956
00:45:56,840 --> 00:46:01,680
Speaker 2: complete teardown and rebuild, starting with hiring the Dolphins wide

957
00:46:01,760 --> 00:46:06,080
Speaker 2: receiver coach Carl Durrell. I have no clue how this happened.

958
00:46:06,320 --> 00:46:09,080
Speaker 2: This guy has been the Jets wide receiver coach, the

959
00:46:09,080 --> 00:46:12,240
Speaker 2: Texans quarterback coach, the Dolphins quarterback and wide receiver coach.

960
00:46:12,600 --> 00:46:14,760
Speaker 2: He was the UCLA head coach back in two thousand

961
00:46:14,760 --> 00:46:17,960
Speaker 2: and seven. Now he finds himself Colorado's head coach. I

962
00:46:18,360 --> 00:46:20,640
Speaker 2: don't have a clue how that happened. What a pull

963
00:46:20,680 --> 00:46:23,880
Speaker 2: for him? Whoever his agent is needs a bonus. Colorado

964
00:46:23,920 --> 00:46:26,120
Speaker 2: is the lowest amount of returning production on offense and

965
00:46:26,239 --> 00:46:29,320
Speaker 2: South Division at thirty six percent. Chip Kelly, like I said,

966
00:46:29,320 --> 00:46:32,239
Speaker 2: returned seventy five percent of his offense. Neither team can

967
00:46:32,239 --> 00:46:35,640
Speaker 2: play any d typical Pac twelve. But you know Ucile

968
00:46:35,800 --> 00:46:38,800
Speaker 2: returns every single weapon, while like I said, Colorado loses chanalt.

969
00:46:38,880 --> 00:46:41,319
Speaker 2: So I'm gonna roll with UCLA here. It would be

970
00:46:41,719 --> 00:46:45,680
Speaker 2: a shock for me. I mean, even considering everything, if

971
00:46:45,760 --> 00:46:48,480
Speaker 2: Chip Kelly was to be out coached by Carl Durrell.

972
00:46:49,480 --> 00:46:52,680
Speaker 3: Let's move on to the next game in prime time,

973
00:46:52,680 --> 00:46:55,560
Speaker 3: seven thirty Eastern on ABC. Stanford plus seven and a

974
00:46:55,640 --> 00:46:59,040
Speaker 3: half at Oregon over under fifty and a half at BEMGM.

975
00:46:59,480 --> 00:47:01,719
Speaker 3: I can't I can't believe I missed the ten and

976
00:47:01,760 --> 00:47:05,320
Speaker 3: a half. But I went back and redid these teams

977
00:47:05,400 --> 00:47:07,720
Speaker 3: and I make this under seven, and I was shocked.

978
00:47:07,760 --> 00:47:10,920
Speaker 3: But Oregon lost everything, I mean, all their defensive pieces,

979
00:47:10,960 --> 00:47:15,840
Speaker 3: all their future pro potential defenders, some of my favorite players.

980
00:47:15,840 --> 00:47:18,319
Speaker 3: I love this defense. They all opted out. They lost

981
00:47:18,360 --> 00:47:20,920
Speaker 3: their entire offensive line, which was elite last year except

982
00:47:20,960 --> 00:47:24,080
Speaker 3: for Penny Sewell, who's who's probably the best offensive lineman

983
00:47:24,080 --> 00:47:27,120
Speaker 3: of college football. He opted out. Justin Herbert we know

984
00:47:27,239 --> 00:47:30,080
Speaker 3: is obviously starting in the NFL right now. So I mean,

985
00:47:30,120 --> 00:47:33,120
Speaker 3: this team, it's a hard thing to project, just all

986
00:47:33,280 --> 00:47:36,600
Speaker 3: the massive, massive departures and opt outs. Stanford had some

987
00:47:36,719 --> 00:47:39,760
Speaker 3: as well, Walker Little will play in the NFL offensive

988
00:47:39,800 --> 00:47:43,440
Speaker 3: lineman he opted out. But I just made this under seven,

989
00:47:43,800 --> 00:47:46,080
Speaker 3: So I took some Stanford plus eight here. I think

990
00:47:46,120 --> 00:47:50,680
Speaker 3: Oregon's in a much messier state for this shortened off season,

991
00:47:50,800 --> 00:47:54,040
Speaker 3: perhaps shortened season than Stanford is. I think Stanford will

992
00:47:54,040 --> 00:47:55,480
Speaker 3: find a way to keep this close thoughts here.

993
00:47:55,719 --> 00:47:58,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a tough call, specifically, you know Sue Will

994
00:47:58,160 --> 00:48:00,000
Speaker 2: being out off the offensive line. He actually got vote

995
00:48:00,120 --> 00:48:03,560
Speaker 2: for the Heisman. And then Oregon Secondary wiped out, and

996
00:48:03,560 --> 00:48:06,680
Speaker 2: then we're breaking in elite secondary, Yeah, elite secondary. And

997
00:48:06,680 --> 00:48:08,600
Speaker 2: now we're breaking in a new quarterback for a new

998
00:48:08,640 --> 00:48:12,200
Speaker 2: offensive coordinator named Jill Moorehead. So I think there's a

999
00:48:12,239 --> 00:48:14,440
Speaker 2: lot of question marks on organ and let's pile on

1000
00:48:14,480 --> 00:48:15,839
Speaker 2: top of that, there's going to be a thirty five

1001
00:48:15,880 --> 00:48:18,200
Speaker 2: percent chance of rain forty eight degrees in Eugene. It's

1002
00:48:18,239 --> 00:48:19,960
Speaker 2: going to be Chiley. You know, the number took a

1003
00:48:20,000 --> 00:48:22,719
Speaker 2: Steve dive this afternoon. I think we're going to be

1004
00:48:23,600 --> 00:48:25,719
Speaker 2: railing in here below a touchdown. I'm trying to look

1005
00:48:25,719 --> 00:48:28,480
Speaker 2: for it now. Yeah, looks like it's so you know,

1006
00:48:28,760 --> 00:48:31,879
Speaker 2: And the thing about Stanford is is they were hurt.

1007
00:48:31,920 --> 00:48:33,960
Speaker 2: I think every single player in the too deep was

1008
00:48:34,000 --> 00:48:36,920
Speaker 2: hurt last year. So I mean, returning production way up

1009
00:48:36,920 --> 00:48:40,680
Speaker 2: for the Trees and you just you know, every single player.

1010
00:48:41,000 --> 00:48:44,000
Speaker 2: They've been so bad on the offensive line for so long,

1011
00:48:44,840 --> 00:48:47,680
Speaker 2: just with injuries and ineffective play and protecting the quarterback.

1012
00:48:48,120 --> 00:48:50,200
Speaker 2: So this is a really, really tough one to get

1013
00:48:50,200 --> 00:48:52,239
Speaker 2: my hands on. It's probably gonna be one that I

1014
00:48:52,280 --> 00:48:55,080
Speaker 2: set out. Stanford should be vastly improved with seventy percent

1015
00:48:55,120 --> 00:48:57,040
Speaker 2: returning on both sides of the ball. The one thing

1016
00:48:57,040 --> 00:48:59,239
Speaker 2: I will say about organ is that Chrystal Ball has

1017
00:48:59,280 --> 00:49:02,680
Speaker 2: been recruiting as nuts off. I mean, they've got four

1018
00:49:02,719 --> 00:49:05,520
Speaker 2: and five star talent coming through that door. So I'm

1019
00:49:05,560 --> 00:49:07,839
Speaker 2: not saying that equals for me projecting them to win

1020
00:49:07,880 --> 00:49:10,560
Speaker 2: this game or cover the spread. I'm just saying they're

1021
00:49:10,560 --> 00:49:12,719
Speaker 2: at least in a better position than other teams would

1022
00:49:12,760 --> 00:49:13,880
Speaker 2: be to lose this much talent.

1023
00:49:14,760 --> 00:49:16,960
Speaker 3: Fair. Yeah, and Organstall's the name of the starting quarterback.

1024
00:49:17,160 --> 00:49:21,160
Speaker 3: I could be not Tyler Shower or it's Anthony Brown,

1025
00:49:21,160 --> 00:49:23,960
Speaker 3: who was I think a DC transfer. Davis Mills is

1026
00:49:23,960 --> 00:49:26,160
Speaker 3: back at quarterbacks. You do have a experience at quarterback,

1027
00:49:26,160 --> 00:49:28,520
Speaker 3: and David Chall when he doesn't have a team that's

1028
00:49:28,640 --> 00:49:31,600
Speaker 3: completely decimated of injuries, is generally a covering machine. In

1029
00:49:31,640 --> 00:49:33,839
Speaker 3: a spot like this, He'll find a way to cover

1030
00:49:33,880 --> 00:49:36,840
Speaker 3: this game. All right, Let's close out the PAC twelve

1031
00:49:37,160 --> 00:49:40,440
Speaker 3: with the late night Special. Our first PAC twelve after

1032
00:49:40,600 --> 00:49:43,480
Speaker 3: dark of the year. If that doesn't excite you, I

1033
00:49:43,520 --> 00:49:46,160
Speaker 3: don't know what will Oregon State one and a half

1034
00:49:46,200 --> 00:49:49,920
Speaker 3: point favorite at home against Washington State over under sixty

1035
00:49:49,920 --> 00:49:52,000
Speaker 3: five and a half at bet MGM. I think you

1036
00:49:52,120 --> 00:49:55,439
Speaker 3: disagree with me here, but I love Oregon State here.

1037
00:49:55,800 --> 00:49:58,359
Speaker 3: I love head coach Jonathan Smith. I love where he's

1038
00:49:58,400 --> 00:50:00,920
Speaker 3: taking this team. They do. You have a new quarterback,

1039
00:50:01,360 --> 00:50:04,120
Speaker 3: Jake Luton is actually starting this week in the NFL.

1040
00:50:04,719 --> 00:50:06,680
Speaker 2: As never would have thought that two years.

1041
00:50:06,520 --> 00:50:10,280
Speaker 3: Ago, insane six round draft picks starting for the Jacks

1042
00:50:10,320 --> 00:50:13,520
Speaker 3: over Gardner Minshew. So it's gonna be Tristan Junior, Tristan Gebbia,

1043
00:50:13,560 --> 00:50:16,440
Speaker 3: who has some game experience. He started against Oregon last

1044
00:50:16,520 --> 00:50:19,640
Speaker 3: year too. In Oregon State there, you know pro style,

1045
00:50:19,960 --> 00:50:22,759
Speaker 3: zone Reid plaction, heavy offense. They're gonna feature running back

1046
00:50:22,800 --> 00:50:27,080
Speaker 3: Damar Jefferson. The defense, you know, it's gonna feature Rashetta.

1047
00:50:27,200 --> 00:50:28,920
Speaker 3: He's one of the best outside linebackers. When he had

1048
00:50:29,120 --> 00:50:31,759
Speaker 3: twenty three tackles for lost in fourteen sacks last year.

1049
00:50:31,880 --> 00:50:35,239
Speaker 3: He's a legit All American defense wasn't great last year,

1050
00:50:35,280 --> 00:50:37,480
Speaker 3: but it does bring back eight starters. I think the

1051
00:50:37,520 --> 00:50:40,600
Speaker 3: defense is going to be vastly improved on the other side,

1052
00:50:40,680 --> 00:50:43,280
Speaker 3: Washington State. And look, since you have the quarterback's played before,

1053
00:50:43,680 --> 00:50:46,640
Speaker 3: you have a decent amount of returning production. Washington State,

1054
00:50:47,040 --> 00:50:51,000
Speaker 3: brand new coaching staff, brand new quarterback. You have Jaden

1055
00:50:51,040 --> 00:50:53,960
Speaker 3: de Laura, who's gonna He's a true freshman, looks like

1056
00:50:54,000 --> 00:50:56,200
Speaker 3: he's gonna start. He's familiar with the run and shoot,

1057
00:50:56,360 --> 00:50:58,680
Speaker 3: which Nick Rolovich is going to bring in here. There's

1058
00:50:58,719 --> 00:51:00,839
Speaker 3: a new defensive coordinators, going to change to a four

1059
00:51:00,880 --> 00:51:03,880
Speaker 3: to two five. You only have six returning starters, you

1060
00:51:03,920 --> 00:51:07,080
Speaker 3: have a thin defensive line, a thin defensive backfield. But

1061
00:51:07,200 --> 00:51:11,600
Speaker 3: I think Oregon State has much that the continuity factor

1062
00:51:11,640 --> 00:51:14,760
Speaker 3: here in the offseason and compared to all the changes

1063
00:51:14,760 --> 00:51:18,720
Speaker 3: that Washington State is going through, plus Oregon State last

1064
00:51:18,800 --> 00:51:21,840
Speaker 3: year face to why, which I think will help. So

1065
00:51:21,880 --> 00:51:24,000
Speaker 3: they face the run and shoot, they prepped for it

1066
00:51:24,040 --> 00:51:26,520
Speaker 3: last year. Obviously they're gonna be prepping for it now.

1067
00:51:26,719 --> 00:51:28,920
Speaker 3: But I think that experience playing that type of offense

1068
00:51:28,960 --> 00:51:32,640
Speaker 3: that Rolovic is going to bring to to Washington State helps.

1069
00:51:33,000 --> 00:51:34,719
Speaker 3: I like Oregon State anything under a field, but I

1070
00:51:34,760 --> 00:51:35,520
Speaker 3: think they win this game.

1071
00:51:35,920 --> 00:51:38,279
Speaker 2: And that was in my notes too, that the fact

1072
00:51:38,280 --> 00:51:41,120
Speaker 2: that Nick Rolovich faced to Oregon State last season and

1073
00:51:41,200 --> 00:51:43,520
Speaker 2: beat him. I thought was to the advantage of Washington

1074
00:51:43,560 --> 00:51:45,440
Speaker 2: State because Nick Rolovich knows what he has to do

1075
00:51:45,600 --> 00:51:47,960
Speaker 2: to beat them. Uh you know, he's bringing the run

1076
00:51:48,000 --> 00:51:50,400
Speaker 2: and shoot. Everything that you said, I mean you handicapped

1077
00:51:50,400 --> 00:51:52,600
Speaker 2: it in front the back. I just think, first off,

1078
00:51:52,640 --> 00:51:54,880
Speaker 2: I am a very very much a Nick Rolovich believer

1079
00:51:54,960 --> 00:51:56,480
Speaker 2: in the run and shoot. If he's got somebody that's

1080
00:51:56,480 --> 00:51:58,680
Speaker 2: familiar with the offense, that's great too. They have the

1081
00:51:58,680 --> 00:52:01,120
Speaker 2: same amount of returning production as Oregon State. They're both

1082
00:52:01,120 --> 00:52:04,719
Speaker 2: over eighty percent on defense. But I thought nic Rolivision's

1083
00:52:04,719 --> 00:52:07,080
Speaker 2: experience already against this Oregon State team, who I think

1084
00:52:07,360 --> 00:52:09,680
Speaker 2: has less talent, especially at the quarterback position they had

1085
00:52:09,719 --> 00:52:13,279
Speaker 2: last year, is a huge advantage for the Kougs. So yeah,

1086
00:52:13,360 --> 00:52:16,080
Speaker 2: I you and out of the opposite here, and I'm

1087
00:52:16,080 --> 00:52:18,279
Speaker 2: glad we that a week. Yeah, I'm glad we got

1088
00:52:18,360 --> 00:52:20,000
Speaker 2: Late Night Pack twelve.

1089
00:52:19,680 --> 00:52:22,719
Speaker 3: Back in our lives battle week Baby. All right, that'll

1090
00:52:22,719 --> 00:52:24,759
Speaker 3: wrap up the PAC twelve. We'll have much more in

1091
00:52:24,800 --> 00:52:27,440
Speaker 3: the PAC twelve throughout the year. Starts at noon with

1092
00:52:27,480 --> 00:52:30,319
Speaker 3: a nine a m. Local kick, it ends it'll end

1093
00:52:30,360 --> 00:52:33,279
Speaker 3: after midnight Eastern. It's a beautiful thing. All right, before

1094
00:52:33,280 --> 00:52:34,759
Speaker 3: we go through best of the rast and go three

1095
00:52:34,760 --> 00:52:36,440
Speaker 3: and out, I do want to remind every one of

1096
00:52:36,480 --> 00:52:40,240
Speaker 3: the Action Network Podcasts Tournament of Champions presented by bet MGM.

1097
00:52:40,760 --> 00:52:43,279
Speaker 3: It's live. It's been live all year. It's a free

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Speaker 3: weekly Yahoo DFS tournament specifically for you our podcast listeners.

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Speaker 3: You could joined simply by clicking the link in our

1100
00:52:49,640 --> 00:52:54,560
Speaker 3: episode description. No Rake completely free just for our podcast listeners.

1101
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Speaker 3: The top ten each week receive over one thousand dollars

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1103
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1104
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1105
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1106
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Speaker 3: the official outs provider of the Action of the podcast.

1107
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Speaker 3: So again, just join free tournament every week, and if

1108
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Speaker 3: you miss one week, it's fine, join whenever you want.

1109
00:53:16,520 --> 00:53:18,560
Speaker 3: Of every week in the NFL regular season, just click

1110
00:53:18,560 --> 00:53:22,720
Speaker 3: on the link in our episode description. All right, before

1111
00:53:22,719 --> 00:53:26,200
Speaker 3: we get to three and out, let's go through the

1112
00:53:26,239 --> 00:53:28,399
Speaker 3: best of the rest. We'll try to hit one game

1113
00:53:28,400 --> 00:53:32,200
Speaker 3: from every conference very quickly. But before we do that

1114
00:53:32,640 --> 00:53:35,319
Speaker 3: and we can't talk Service Academy Hunters either because that

1115
00:53:35,400 --> 00:53:38,920
Speaker 3: game was canceled. But before we do anything, we have

1116
00:53:39,000 --> 00:53:44,120
Speaker 3: to let Colin right now at BETMGM Tennessee one and

1117
00:53:44,120 --> 00:53:47,640
Speaker 3: a half point favorite at Arkansas over under fifty two

1118
00:53:47,680 --> 00:53:50,880
Speaker 3: and a half. The battle that you've had with Tennessee fans,

1119
00:53:50,960 --> 00:53:54,760
Speaker 3: you're hosts and now you're a short home dog. Colin

1120
00:53:54,840 --> 00:53:57,960
Speaker 3: on Arkansas football, Woo pig sue take it away. What's

1121
00:53:57,960 --> 00:53:59,000
Speaker 3: the bet here? If anything?

1122
00:53:59,480 --> 00:54:04,319
Speaker 2: Woo pig suye absolute dumpster fined, dumpster fine. I don't

1123
00:54:04,320 --> 00:54:05,799
Speaker 2: know how we win a game the rest of the year,

1124
00:54:06,080 --> 00:54:07,160
Speaker 2: just blowing program up.

1125
00:54:07,239 --> 00:54:08,320
Speaker 3: Give us a death sentence.

1126
00:54:08,800 --> 00:54:11,120
Speaker 1: Collins talking Razorback football.

1127
00:54:13,320 --> 00:54:15,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, I actually I have not made a bet on

1128
00:54:15,320 --> 00:54:18,560
Speaker 2: this yet. I do not like Tennessee whatsoever. I like

1129
00:54:18,600 --> 00:54:21,200
Speaker 2: to go back to the time where we had college

1130
00:54:21,200 --> 00:54:25,560
Speaker 2: game Day in town. They Lee Corso happily picked the Razorbacks,

1131
00:54:25,680 --> 00:54:28,919
Speaker 2: put the Rays, dawned the hog the boss hog Head

1132
00:54:29,239 --> 00:54:33,000
Speaker 2: picked Arkansas over Tennessee. We not only won that game,

1133
00:54:33,440 --> 00:54:35,359
Speaker 2: we covered that game. I go back to my roots

1134
00:54:35,360 --> 00:54:39,320
Speaker 2: in nineteen ninety eight, the excruciating loss of Clint Sterner

1135
00:54:39,800 --> 00:54:42,160
Speaker 2: laying the ball down on the field for the Tennessee

1136
00:54:42,160 --> 00:54:43,719
Speaker 2: defense to get it and for Te Martin to go

1137
00:54:43,760 --> 00:54:45,040
Speaker 2: on to win the national championship.

1138
00:54:45,280 --> 00:54:45,680
Speaker 3: Start it.

1139
00:54:47,320 --> 00:54:51,520
Speaker 4: Oh my goodness, he stumbled in football and Billy roll

1140
00:54:51,600 --> 00:54:52,360
Speaker 4: Let's recovered.

1141
00:54:53,400 --> 00:54:54,640
Speaker 2: I was so happy to have them to come to

1142
00:54:54,680 --> 00:54:57,319
Speaker 2: Fable the next year where we tore down the goalpost

1143
00:54:57,600 --> 00:55:00,880
Speaker 2: after the beating Tennessee. That was one of the wildest

1144
00:55:00,920 --> 00:55:04,840
Speaker 2: moments in my entire college career. All that set aside

1145
00:55:05,480 --> 00:55:07,560
Speaker 2: this game, I've found a lot of flaws with both

1146
00:55:07,560 --> 00:55:10,759
Speaker 2: of these teams. You know, Arkansas's thirteenth and coverage, but

1147
00:55:10,800 --> 00:55:12,839
Speaker 2: they're dead last and tackling. So what does that tell you?

1148
00:55:13,320 --> 00:55:15,240
Speaker 2: It tells you there's a lot of effort. Barry Odams

1149
00:55:15,280 --> 00:55:17,799
Speaker 2: got these guys overperforming and flying to the ball. They're

1150
00:55:17,880 --> 00:55:20,719
Speaker 2: thirteenth in coverage, dead last and tackling, you know. I mean,

1151
00:55:20,760 --> 00:55:24,399
Speaker 2: they're not overly talented, but there are hustling for their

1152
00:55:24,400 --> 00:55:28,279
Speaker 2: coaching staff. And Arkansas second against pass explosiveness. That's a

1153
00:55:28,280 --> 00:55:30,560
Speaker 2: good number since they've already faced Old miss and Mississippi

1154
00:55:30,560 --> 00:55:33,400
Speaker 2: State Air raid. And I just can't back the Tennessee

1155
00:55:33,440 --> 00:55:35,480
Speaker 2: side here at all. I mean, let's look at what

1156
00:55:35,480 --> 00:55:38,320
Speaker 2: Tennessee's done in the last ten quarters as well ninety

1157
00:55:38,320 --> 00:55:41,520
Speaker 2: first and defensive passing success rate. Considering the pace and

1158
00:55:41,960 --> 00:55:44,840
Speaker 2: the low success rate here, this could be an absolute

1159
00:55:44,960 --> 00:55:48,360
Speaker 2: punt fest. In my opinion, this will be an absolute

1160
00:55:48,480 --> 00:55:51,319
Speaker 2: punt fest. I don't think neither offense is able to

1161
00:55:51,360 --> 00:55:55,600
Speaker 2: take advantage Arkansas, who is five and zero against the spread.

1162
00:55:56,239 --> 00:55:58,920
Speaker 2: Only team has play at least three games and is

1163
00:55:59,040 --> 00:56:02,759
Speaker 2: undefeated against this spread, Arkansas Razorbacks. That's why the entire

1164
00:56:02,800 --> 00:56:05,640
Speaker 2: world loves them. I'm definitely not back in Tennessee. I

1165
00:56:05,680 --> 00:56:08,040
Speaker 2: am going to have some money on argis on money line,

1166
00:56:08,080 --> 00:56:10,200
Speaker 2: of course, but I think the better play here is

1167
00:56:10,239 --> 00:56:13,720
Speaker 2: the under. Considering the offensive finishing drives for both teams.

1168
00:56:14,360 --> 00:56:18,840
Speaker 2: Considering Arkansas and Tennessee's offensive success rate, it's not pretty

1169
00:56:19,320 --> 00:56:22,719
Speaker 2: Arkansas playing inspired defense. I like the under here. Emotionally,

1170
00:56:22,840 --> 00:56:24,640
Speaker 2: I'll have plenty on the money line.

1171
00:56:25,160 --> 00:56:28,279
Speaker 3: Fair enough, we listened to colin Arkansas football. I don't

1172
00:56:28,320 --> 00:56:32,040
Speaker 3: even need to add my commentary. All right, let's hit

1173
00:56:32,120 --> 00:56:36,120
Speaker 3: the AAC really quickly. This was It's really sad we

1174
00:56:36,120 --> 00:56:39,480
Speaker 3: can't talk minor nation. Please still call in UTEF canceled.

1175
00:56:39,480 --> 00:56:41,719
Speaker 3: That was one of the first sides I bet all

1176
00:56:41,760 --> 00:56:46,600
Speaker 3: weekend AAC A lot of big spreads here this weekend.

1177
00:56:46,800 --> 00:56:49,960
Speaker 3: I bet the most digesting game is Cincinnati minus thirteen

1178
00:56:49,960 --> 00:56:52,359
Speaker 3: and a half. I bet MGM over Houston over under

1179
00:56:52,360 --> 00:56:57,799
Speaker 3: fifty four runners coming down since the defense has been awesome. Stevensonon,

1180
00:56:57,800 --> 00:56:59,520
Speaker 3: I think it's not gonna play for Houston, that's big.

1181
00:57:00,000 --> 00:57:03,080
Speaker 3: Their offense was just messy last week. Since he getting

1182
00:57:03,440 --> 00:57:06,799
Speaker 3: too much love finally or is it still since here

1183
00:57:06,880 --> 00:57:07,439
Speaker 3: or nothing here?

1184
00:57:07,640 --> 00:57:10,520
Speaker 2: Well they are, but they're backing it up right because Desmond.

1185
00:57:10,560 --> 00:57:12,839
Speaker 2: We've talked about this. Desmon Ritter is just breaking out,

1186
00:57:12,880 --> 00:57:15,600
Speaker 2: and I'm not sure. I'm not sure people that do

1187
00:57:15,680 --> 00:57:17,680
Speaker 2: power ratings or odds makers in Vegas are able to

1188
00:57:17,720 --> 00:57:19,560
Speaker 2: keep up with a Desmen Ritter, you know, is going

1189
00:57:19,640 --> 00:57:21,400
Speaker 2: up against the Houston defense. It's one hundred and first

1190
00:57:21,560 --> 00:57:24,840
Speaker 2: rushing success rates, so anytime Ritter leaves the pocket could

1191
00:57:24,840 --> 00:57:27,800
Speaker 2: be breaking one and Houston without Marcus Stevenson becomes a

1192
00:57:27,800 --> 00:57:30,520
Speaker 2: really hard sell for Houston. You know, since these fifth

1193
00:57:30,520 --> 00:57:33,600
Speaker 2: and defensive passing success rate, so Clayton Tune now gets

1194
00:57:33,640 --> 00:57:37,920
Speaker 2: a less talented group of options to throw to against

1195
00:57:37,960 --> 00:57:40,640
Speaker 2: the Sinci defense. As killing teams against the pass I

1196
00:57:40,720 --> 00:57:43,280
Speaker 2: would not I would be. I mean, the more I

1197
00:57:43,280 --> 00:57:44,680
Speaker 2: talk this out, I haven't made the bed more I

1198
00:57:44,680 --> 00:57:46,880
Speaker 2: talked this out, I think I should be taking Cincinnati

1199
00:57:46,920 --> 00:57:49,160
Speaker 2: team total over. I mean, that's what they did last

1200
00:57:49,160 --> 00:57:52,320
Speaker 2: week against Memphis. They covered that damn total all by themselves.

1201
00:57:52,560 --> 00:57:56,640
Speaker 2: Considering Houston's gonna go. You know, they're either three and

1202
00:57:56,680 --> 00:57:59,040
Speaker 2: out or they're scoring a touchdown. It's gonna give Cincinnati

1203
00:57:59,040 --> 00:58:01,600
Speaker 2: at least fifteen or sixty possessions this game. I might

1204
00:58:01,640 --> 00:58:03,160
Speaker 2: as well hit the Cincinnati team tonal over.

1205
00:58:03,960 --> 00:58:06,680
Speaker 3: Oh enough, let's move on to the conference. USA U

1206
00:58:06,760 --> 00:58:10,040
Speaker 3: Mess Marshall, Oh boy, you mess plus forty five at Marshall.

1207
00:58:10,080 --> 00:58:11,960
Speaker 3: They are playing. They did get some more games on

1208
00:58:12,000 --> 00:58:14,080
Speaker 3: their schedule over runner fifty five and a half. I'm

1209
00:58:14,120 --> 00:58:16,240
Speaker 3: not playing U mess. Maybe I play U Mess at

1210
00:58:16,280 --> 00:58:21,120
Speaker 3: forty eight. That's about it. Number yep, I played forty eight.

1211
00:58:21,440 --> 00:58:22,920
Speaker 2: My number is forty two and a half. So I'm

1212
00:58:22,960 --> 00:58:24,240
Speaker 2: definitely not buying the forty.

1213
00:58:24,080 --> 00:58:26,080
Speaker 3: No, no, I'm saying I would play forty eight. I make

1214
00:58:26,120 --> 00:58:28,760
Speaker 3: it like forty three forty something I'd play. If you

1215
00:58:28,800 --> 00:58:30,520
Speaker 3: gave me forty eight, I would take it. That's it.

1216
00:58:30,640 --> 00:58:32,320
Speaker 2: I'm not playing it in forty four. I don't think

1217
00:58:32,320 --> 00:58:34,680
Speaker 2: I'm playing it in forty eight. Listen, Marshall. There's some

1218
00:58:34,800 --> 00:58:36,320
Speaker 2: sort of there's an article out there. I read that

1219
00:58:36,400 --> 00:58:38,640
Speaker 2: like Marshall and BYU were thinking about scheduling game against

1220
00:58:38,640 --> 00:58:40,960
Speaker 2: each other, like just you know, like a like a

1221
00:58:41,000 --> 00:58:44,800
Speaker 2: college football playoff buster. You know, so like Marshall does

1222
00:58:44,840 --> 00:58:48,760
Speaker 2: not not want to cover this game, right, you don't

1223
00:58:48,760 --> 00:58:50,960
Speaker 2: want that on your resume. Imagine if they do meet

1224
00:58:51,000 --> 00:58:53,840
Speaker 2: up with an undefeated G five team just automatically scheduled,

1225
00:58:54,040 --> 00:58:56,520
Speaker 2: and the committee is gonna sit there and say, God,

1226
00:58:56,840 --> 00:58:59,439
Speaker 2: Marshall allowed twenty one points to U Mass, they can't

1227
00:58:59,440 --> 00:59:02,120
Speaker 2: get in. So I don't know if there's a number

1228
00:59:02,120 --> 00:59:02,800
Speaker 2: I can take here.

1229
00:59:03,160 --> 00:59:05,000
Speaker 3: If you play under a Marshall, I think you maybe

1230
00:59:05,040 --> 00:59:09,120
Speaker 3: split it worse. Maybe Marshall wins like thirty eight nothing

1231
00:59:09,400 --> 00:59:13,080
Speaker 3: and they don't cover, or maybe they win like sixty

1232
00:59:13,520 --> 00:59:17,960
Speaker 3: nothing and they cover but it goes over, or like

1233
00:59:18,040 --> 00:59:20,320
Speaker 3: sixty to ten or something. But then there's also a

1234
00:59:20,360 --> 00:59:22,160
Speaker 3: chance they win just like fifty one nothing and you

1235
00:59:22,160 --> 00:59:24,080
Speaker 3: get both. I don't know other game, but the game

1236
00:59:24,080 --> 00:59:26,919
Speaker 3: I do want to talk about in conference, You say

1237
00:59:26,920 --> 00:59:31,560
Speaker 3: Western Kentucky plus seven at FAU over under thirty nine

1238
00:59:31,600 --> 00:59:34,240
Speaker 3: and a half. By the way, Western Kentucky, depending on

1239
00:59:34,240 --> 00:59:36,360
Speaker 3: the number you got against yu oh win seven against

1240
00:59:36,360 --> 00:59:39,880
Speaker 3: the spread. They have been an absolute dumpster fire. But

1241
00:59:40,200 --> 00:59:43,280
Speaker 3: I do want this was the first actual bet I

1242
00:59:43,360 --> 00:59:46,080
Speaker 3: made in college football this weekend, and it was the

1243
00:59:46,160 --> 00:59:49,400
Speaker 3: under here. I played under forty one, as crazy as

1244
00:59:49,400 --> 00:59:51,160
Speaker 3: that sounds, but I made it like third. I think

1245
00:59:51,160 --> 00:59:54,480
Speaker 3: you did too, like thirty seven, and that's in. There's

1246
00:59:54,520 --> 00:59:56,920
Speaker 3: also should be about twenty to twenty five mile on

1247
00:59:57,000 --> 00:59:59,560
Speaker 3: hour wins down in Boca this weekend. And it's pretty

1248
00:59:59,560 --> 01:00:04,080
Speaker 3: easy to because it looks like there's gonna be twenty

1249
01:00:04,120 --> 01:00:06,400
Speaker 3: to twenty five mile hour wins in book. There has

1250
01:00:06,440 --> 01:00:07,680
Speaker 3: been all week and there's gonna be for like the

1251
01:00:07,760 --> 01:00:09,720
Speaker 3: next five days. It's like it's not just like the

1252
01:00:10,120 --> 01:00:13,480
Speaker 3: random prediction of something that's gonna happen on Saturday. But

1253
01:00:13,600 --> 01:00:16,360
Speaker 3: if you look at these two teams, neither of them

1254
01:00:16,400 --> 01:00:20,120
Speaker 3: have great quarterback play. We know the Western Kentucky defense.

1255
01:00:20,480 --> 01:00:21,800
Speaker 3: I don't think anyone're gonna be able to throw it.

1256
01:00:21,840 --> 01:00:23,640
Speaker 3: The Western Kentucky defense is a strike. The team top

1257
01:00:23,640 --> 01:00:26,439
Speaker 3: twenty unit last year, and a lot of advanced metrics

1258
01:00:26,440 --> 01:00:28,680
Speaker 3: been a little disappointing this year, but they've been carrying

1259
01:00:28,720 --> 01:00:31,480
Speaker 3: the team. The offense is just terrible. And then you

1260
01:00:31,520 --> 01:00:33,720
Speaker 3: look at this Florida Atlantic team. I mean, their offense

1261
01:00:33,800 --> 01:00:36,640
Speaker 3: is dreadful, but their defense is playing.

1262
01:00:36,880 --> 01:00:37,720
Speaker 2: Very very well.

1263
01:00:38,760 --> 01:00:41,520
Speaker 3: Why why is the question they lost so much on

1264
01:00:41,520 --> 01:00:46,160
Speaker 3: that defense. Why is the defense playing well well? Jim Levitt.

1265
01:00:46,640 --> 01:00:49,600
Speaker 3: That's why Jim Levitt is one of the best defensive

1266
01:00:49,600 --> 01:00:52,520
Speaker 3: coordinators in college football. In my opinion, I think he's

1267
01:00:52,520 --> 01:00:54,120
Speaker 3: gonna have a ton of success in Florida. That he

1268
01:00:54,280 --> 01:00:58,160
Speaker 3: runs basically. He runs essentially like a very basic three four.

1269
01:00:58,240 --> 01:01:00,040
Speaker 3: And when I say that basic, I mean from a

1270
01:01:00,080 --> 01:01:03,760
Speaker 3: coverage scheme perspective on the back end, nothing too complicated.

1271
01:01:03,960 --> 01:01:07,479
Speaker 3: But he disguises his blitzes from the linebackers extremely well

1272
01:01:07,480 --> 01:01:11,600
Speaker 3: pre snapped sotimes, both outside linebackers come sometimes one it's

1273
01:01:11,680 --> 01:01:13,880
Speaker 3: very confusing to a quarterback. Now, if you have a really,

1274
01:01:13,920 --> 01:01:18,440
Speaker 3: really smart quarterback who can diagnose what's going on and

1275
01:01:18,520 --> 01:01:21,160
Speaker 3: where the blitz is coming from at the time, you

1276
01:01:21,240 --> 01:01:24,840
Speaker 3: can have success throwing the ball against a Gym Levit defense.

1277
01:01:25,440 --> 01:01:28,360
Speaker 3: Because this coverage is generally pretty simple. On the back end,

1278
01:01:28,360 --> 01:01:30,680
Speaker 3: you need to diagnose the blitz. You obviously need some

1279
01:01:30,680 --> 01:01:31,760
Speaker 3: good protection as well.

1280
01:01:31,960 --> 01:01:32,160
Speaker 4: Well.

1281
01:01:32,440 --> 01:01:36,320
Speaker 3: Gets what conference doesn't have a lot of very smart quarterbacks? Yeah,

1282
01:01:36,360 --> 01:01:40,360
Speaker 3: the Conference USA, and they don't have a leite quarterback

1283
01:01:40,360 --> 01:01:44,160
Speaker 3: play and Western Conduckley certainly doesn't. So Piingrim should struggle

1284
01:01:44,200 --> 01:01:47,080
Speaker 3: here as he has all year. And now that's really

1285
01:01:47,120 --> 01:01:50,160
Speaker 3: with Florida Lena. There a bunch of freshman contributors to

1286
01:01:50,200 --> 01:01:53,760
Speaker 3: with the linebacker spot. That defense is playing really well.

1287
01:01:54,120 --> 01:01:58,040
Speaker 3: I think this is just an absolute shit fest like

1288
01:01:59,200 --> 01:02:02,520
Speaker 3: seventeen seven. I mean, I don't think has any Florida

1289
01:02:02,520 --> 01:02:04,520
Speaker 3: Atlantic and even got to thirty don't. I don't even

1290
01:02:04,520 --> 01:02:08,000
Speaker 3: think so in total points. I like the under hair.

1291
01:02:07,920 --> 01:02:10,240
Speaker 2: Thoughts, Yeah, I mean I projected at thirty seven. I

1292
01:02:10,280 --> 01:02:11,800
Speaker 2: couldn't believe it when I read is they go, oh man,

1293
01:02:11,800 --> 01:02:13,600
Speaker 2: I'm gonna post this out to the public. And then

1294
01:02:13,800 --> 01:02:17,640
Speaker 2: you know, thankfully enough, the board came out around what

1295
01:02:17,800 --> 01:02:21,200
Speaker 2: forty four, and it's flown down at thirty nine, so

1296
01:02:21,360 --> 01:02:23,360
Speaker 2: you know, and there's reasons for that. Seconds per play.

1297
01:02:23,400 --> 01:02:26,680
Speaker 2: These teams ranks seventy eighth and eighty third. Explosiveness it

1298
01:02:26,760 --> 01:02:30,800
Speaker 2: ain't really there. You know, there's a lot of things

1299
01:02:30,840 --> 01:02:32,680
Speaker 2: going on here. There's twenty mile an hour per wins.

1300
01:02:33,600 --> 01:02:36,280
Speaker 2: That's all pushing into one end zone, so you're gonna

1301
01:02:36,280 --> 01:02:38,240
Speaker 2: think it's gonna be tough sledding for the passing game.

1302
01:02:38,560 --> 01:02:41,200
Speaker 2: Once I realized what was going on with the wins

1303
01:02:41,880 --> 01:02:44,720
Speaker 2: about how strong they're going to be, it made me think, well,

1304
01:02:44,720 --> 01:02:46,920
Speaker 2: who's the more dominant rush team? And if you look

1305
01:02:46,960 --> 01:02:49,880
Speaker 2: at that, FAU runs sixty three percent of the time

1306
01:02:50,400 --> 01:02:52,920
Speaker 2: and Western Kentucky runs fifty one percent of the time.

1307
01:02:52,960 --> 01:02:56,200
Speaker 2: So definitely Florida Atlantic is the more heavy rush team

1308
01:02:56,240 --> 01:02:59,040
Speaker 2: and they're eleventh in the nation and rush explosiveness. You

1309
01:02:59,040 --> 01:03:02,080
Speaker 2: look at Western Kentucky, they're sixty second in Russians closive

1310
01:03:02,080 --> 01:03:04,120
Speaker 2: in a sixty third rushing success right, So I think

1311
01:03:04,120 --> 01:03:06,240
Speaker 2: this is a huge spot for Florida Atlantic. I think

1312
01:03:06,280 --> 01:03:08,880
Speaker 2: Jim Levitt it's not be talking not being talked about enough.

1313
01:03:09,120 --> 01:03:11,360
Speaker 2: I mean, considering what he was like four years ago

1314
01:03:11,400 --> 01:03:15,000
Speaker 2: in the college football landscape for resurrecting the Colorado program

1315
01:03:15,360 --> 01:03:18,240
Speaker 2: as a defensive coordinator, and how much like Oregon was

1316
01:03:18,280 --> 01:03:20,760
Speaker 2: willing to like dole out in cash to keep him around,

1317
01:03:21,520 --> 01:03:23,560
Speaker 2: it's a really big deal that he's down there right now.

1318
01:03:23,600 --> 01:03:26,480
Speaker 2: So I took Florida Atlantic minus six and a half.

1319
01:03:27,680 --> 01:03:28,840
Speaker 2: I don't know if that's going to stick.

1320
01:03:28,880 --> 01:03:29,240
Speaker 3: It's a game.

1321
01:03:29,280 --> 01:03:31,160
Speaker 2: I actually project a couple points lower, but I just

1322
01:03:31,200 --> 01:03:33,120
Speaker 2: don't think it's going to go a couple of points lower.

1323
01:03:33,760 --> 01:03:37,480
Speaker 2: Florida Atlantic, the Jim Livid effect is being shown. They're

1324
01:03:37,480 --> 01:03:40,880
Speaker 2: fourth in the nation and graded in PFF grading for tackling,

1325
01:03:41,760 --> 01:03:44,080
Speaker 2: so yeah, and their eighth and in defensive finishing drives.

1326
01:03:44,120 --> 01:03:47,080
Speaker 2: So definitely Florida Lantic. Here for me a play on

1327
01:03:47,200 --> 01:03:50,360
Speaker 2: team against inefficient offenses and quarterbacks and Conference USA from

1328
01:03:50,360 --> 01:03:50,840
Speaker 2: here on out.

1329
01:03:51,440 --> 01:03:54,360
Speaker 3: Yeah. Yeah, amazing what levit it's done with his scheme

1330
01:03:54,440 --> 01:03:56,480
Speaker 3: when the defense that lost a ton. I had some

1331
01:03:56,640 --> 01:04:00,880
Speaker 3: of the podcast listener say, Floyle listenered our podcast and

1332
01:04:00,920 --> 01:04:02,360
Speaker 3: he has kids that go to Liberty. He loves me.

1333
01:04:02,360 --> 01:04:06,600
Speaker 3: We talk about Liberty. So we haven't talked about Liberty

1334
01:04:06,600 --> 01:04:09,320
Speaker 3: a lot this year. They're ranked six and oh it

1335
01:04:09,400 --> 01:04:13,280
Speaker 3: was only through prayer and divine intervention that this university

1336
01:04:13,320 --> 01:04:15,120
Speaker 3: has become what it is today. We want you to

1337
01:04:15,160 --> 01:04:17,840
Speaker 3: remember that always plus fourteen and a half. I bet

1338
01:04:17,880 --> 01:04:19,480
Speaker 3: them Jim over under sixty seven a half going to

1339
01:04:19,640 --> 01:04:22,400
Speaker 3: VA Tech this week, who's not ranked. It's get a

1340
01:04:22,440 --> 01:04:26,240
Speaker 3: little Liberty commercial plug in any thoughts Liberty Va.

1341
01:04:26,200 --> 01:04:28,840
Speaker 2: Tech nothing on the side. I actually projected fourteen and

1342
01:04:28,840 --> 01:04:30,840
Speaker 2: a half where the number is, but I project the

1343
01:04:30,880 --> 01:04:33,480
Speaker 2: total to be sixty one, so I think it's sixty

1344
01:04:33,480 --> 01:04:35,400
Speaker 2: seven and a half. It definitely deserves a little bit

1345
01:04:35,440 --> 01:04:38,720
Speaker 2: of underaction. These two teams ninety fourth and ninety third

1346
01:04:38,720 --> 01:04:42,040
Speaker 2: and seconds per play. Virginia Tech defense is getting healthier.

1347
01:04:42,440 --> 01:04:46,080
Speaker 2: Liberty amazingly enough is twenty second and the nation and tackling,

1348
01:04:46,800 --> 01:04:48,800
Speaker 2: I think it's going to be enough defensive effort with

1349
01:04:48,920 --> 01:04:52,560
Speaker 2: two extremely rush heavy teams sixty two percent for Liberty,

1350
01:04:52,640 --> 01:04:55,480
Speaker 2: sixty seven percent for Virginia Tech. The national average for

1351
01:04:55,560 --> 01:04:58,240
Speaker 2: rushing rates like fifty four percent. Two heavy rush teams,

1352
01:04:58,280 --> 01:05:01,880
Speaker 2: two slow teams. Some good tackling here, you know, inefficient

1353
01:05:01,920 --> 01:05:03,080
Speaker 2: offensive finishing drives.

1354
01:05:03,160 --> 01:05:05,640
Speaker 3: Give me an under Oak State, Kansas State, Do you

1355
01:05:05,680 --> 01:05:07,560
Speaker 3: have anything there? Kansas State twelve and a half point

1356
01:05:07,560 --> 01:05:08,040
Speaker 3: home dog.

1357
01:05:08,240 --> 01:05:09,800
Speaker 2: Yeah. I feel like I'm gonna pull the turtle on,

1358
01:05:10,200 --> 01:05:12,479
Speaker 2: pull the trigger on Kansas State. There are certain things

1359
01:05:12,520 --> 01:05:14,760
Speaker 2: in the I know we've talked about Oklahoma states and

1360
01:05:14,760 --> 01:05:17,640
Speaker 2: how much defense and how much we love them, but

1361
01:05:17,760 --> 01:05:21,200
Speaker 2: Kansas State. Remember, they're they're pretty, They're a pretty easy handicap.

1362
01:05:21,200 --> 01:05:25,000
Speaker 2: They're an extremely offensive, explosive team Oklahoma State. Right now,

1363
01:05:25,360 --> 01:05:28,360
Speaker 2: the only deficiency they have on their defense is their

1364
01:05:28,400 --> 01:05:31,920
Speaker 2: sixty fourth an opponent pass explosiveness. So Kansas State, I'm

1365
01:05:31,960 --> 01:05:35,840
Speaker 2: afraid Will Howard is there, you know, Deucevaughn. I think

1366
01:05:35,880 --> 01:05:38,960
Speaker 2: that they're going to have explosive plays and give Oklahoma

1367
01:05:39,000 --> 01:05:40,560
Speaker 2: State a lot of trouble. Now, it's a game that

1368
01:05:40,600 --> 01:05:43,720
Speaker 2: I ligne at eleven, but there's other things in here

1369
01:05:43,800 --> 01:05:46,120
Speaker 2: that would make me nervous if I'm Oklahoma State. I mean,

1370
01:05:46,160 --> 01:05:47,880
Speaker 2: Kansas State is number one of the nation and special

1371
01:05:47,880 --> 01:05:50,600
Speaker 2: teams that purely comes from one of the you know,

1372
01:05:50,720 --> 01:05:53,120
Speaker 2: one of the best coaches in the nation. So yeah,

1373
01:05:53,160 --> 01:05:56,400
Speaker 2: I'm kind of waiting. It's at a dead number, you know,

1374
01:05:56,400 --> 01:05:57,760
Speaker 2: twelve and a half. I'm not going to buy that.

1375
01:05:58,120 --> 01:06:00,560
Speaker 2: I definitely take a little thirteen, But I like Kansas

1376
01:06:00,600 --> 01:06:02,520
Speaker 2: State to give oclhom Stay a little bit of a scare.

1377
01:06:02,240 --> 01:06:05,120
Speaker 3: Here before we get a three and out sun Belt.

1378
01:06:06,280 --> 01:06:09,000
Speaker 2: Don't let the latest come between you and the bill.

1379
01:06:09,760 --> 01:06:12,640
Speaker 3: We'll get to Georgia Southern later. I'll be the clown

1380
01:06:12,640 --> 01:06:14,280
Speaker 3: if you want to join the circus. At noon on

1381
01:06:14,480 --> 01:06:17,640
Speaker 3: ESPNU in Arkansas State plus fourteen, we'll be losing money

1382
01:06:17,640 --> 01:06:21,640
Speaker 3: again on them. Broad podcast promise. Bob's been talking about

1383
01:06:21,640 --> 01:06:24,400
Speaker 3: the Bobs. They've been there one in seven, they're catching

1384
01:06:24,440 --> 01:06:27,880
Speaker 3: twenty at home against app State. Any appetite there for.

1385
01:06:27,920 --> 01:06:29,760
Speaker 2: App State in Texas is a game that I ligne

1386
01:06:29,800 --> 01:06:31,520
Speaker 2: at app State minus twenty and a half, so I

1387
01:06:31,600 --> 01:06:34,160
Speaker 2: was happy to take you know, the Mountaineers at sixteen

1388
01:06:34,160 --> 01:06:36,240
Speaker 2: and a half earlier this week seventeen. I would still

1389
01:06:36,240 --> 01:06:38,240
Speaker 2: suggest seventeen and a half, probably play it for a

1390
01:06:38,280 --> 01:06:40,480
Speaker 2: little bit less. You know, the Mountaineers are eleventh and

1391
01:06:40,560 --> 01:06:43,280
Speaker 2: rushing success rate and run sixty six percent of the time,

1392
01:06:44,360 --> 01:06:46,440
Speaker 2: and that's just something that Texas State's not going to

1393
01:06:46,480 --> 01:06:48,000
Speaker 2: be able to deal with. I just don't think they're

1394
01:06:48,000 --> 01:06:51,000
Speaker 2: in the same class as Appalachia State and plus on

1395
01:06:51,040 --> 01:06:53,320
Speaker 2: the defensive side there, you know, they're fifth and tackling

1396
01:06:53,600 --> 01:06:56,120
Speaker 2: Texas State is ninety fourth and havoc allowed on offense.

1397
01:06:56,160 --> 01:07:00,320
Speaker 2: That's not a good combination against an Appalation State team

1398
01:07:00,320 --> 01:07:02,560
Speaker 2: that is sixth in defensive havoc. I think there are

1399
01:07:03,120 --> 01:07:06,120
Speaker 2: mistakes waiting for the Bobs to make that's gonna help

1400
01:07:06,240 --> 01:07:07,840
Speaker 2: get App State to the window.

1401
01:07:08,400 --> 01:07:11,480
Speaker 3: We gotta get a shout out for the Chance and

1402
01:07:11,600 --> 01:07:14,160
Speaker 3: our guys at the Chance and Chance free money again

1403
01:07:14,240 --> 01:07:16,040
Speaker 3: this week. Or are they just too It's.

1404
01:07:15,880 --> 01:07:17,400
Speaker 2: The second week in a row where they're just a

1405
01:07:17,440 --> 01:07:19,800
Speaker 2: I mean they're overpriced, right, or either either I can't

1406
01:07:19,840 --> 01:07:22,080
Speaker 2: catch up with them, no one can catch up with them,

1407
01:07:22,640 --> 01:07:24,800
Speaker 2: or odds makers are just setting them at a number

1408
01:07:24,840 --> 01:07:27,480
Speaker 2: because they know that that Coastal Carolina money is coming in.

1409
01:07:27,800 --> 01:07:32,040
Speaker 2: It has been a public sharp. It doesn't matter who

1410
01:07:32,040 --> 01:07:34,920
Speaker 2: you are, everybody's betting Coastal Carolina. That's why this number

1411
01:07:35,000 --> 01:07:37,880
Speaker 2: is way outside any power rating you've seen. And they're

1412
01:07:37,920 --> 01:07:40,640
Speaker 2: proving it everywhere. I mean, they're they're so good, and

1413
01:07:41,040 --> 01:07:43,800
Speaker 2: so many of their numbers they haven't really had anybody

1414
01:07:43,840 --> 01:07:46,880
Speaker 2: expose them on the ground they can be ran against.

1415
01:07:47,040 --> 01:07:50,000
Speaker 2: Nobody's really exposed that yet. So that's not gonna happen

1416
01:07:50,040 --> 01:07:50,880
Speaker 2: this week with South Bama.

1417
01:07:51,040 --> 01:07:53,720
Speaker 3: I agree with you on paper. All right, before we

1418
01:07:53,720 --> 01:07:58,480
Speaker 3: get out of here, let's go three and now.

1419
01:07:58,040 --> 01:08:00,240
Speaker 1: Let's make it a quick three in al out.

1420
01:08:01,960 --> 01:08:04,000
Speaker 3: All right, First down, we gotta do Friday night Lights.

1421
01:08:04,040 --> 01:08:06,360
Speaker 3: We're ready to talk Boise and BYU, which is the

1422
01:08:06,360 --> 01:08:08,080
Speaker 3: big one. Everyone will be watching.

1423
01:08:08,080 --> 01:08:10,960
Speaker 2: That's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts.

1424
01:08:11,280 --> 01:08:15,080
Speaker 3: Hey, let's go play some football. But we also have Miami,

1425
01:08:15,520 --> 01:08:18,320
Speaker 3: Miami still playing. I can't remember the last time they

1426
01:08:18,320 --> 01:08:21,240
Speaker 3: played a football game or I watched like who they played?

1427
01:08:21,280 --> 01:08:25,040
Speaker 3: They played. The last time Miami played was October twenty fourth. Oh,

1428
01:08:25,080 --> 01:08:27,760
Speaker 3: that Virginia game. That game was awful. Then when they

1429
01:08:27,760 --> 01:08:30,719
Speaker 3: won nineteen fourteen, Miami ten and a half point favorites

1430
01:08:30,760 --> 01:08:33,920
Speaker 3: at NC State, still without their starting quarterback Leary. And

1431
01:08:33,960 --> 01:08:39,759
Speaker 3: then the other game, San Jose State at San Diego State.

1432
01:08:40,479 --> 01:08:43,360
Speaker 3: This is the battle of two two and oh teams,

1433
01:08:44,240 --> 01:08:48,040
Speaker 3: San Jose State catching nine and a half. Any thoughts

1434
01:08:48,120 --> 01:08:50,839
Speaker 3: or feel on one or both of these, Yeah.

1435
01:08:50,640 --> 01:08:52,320
Speaker 2: I'll have a write up on both of these out

1436
01:08:52,320 --> 01:08:54,439
Speaker 2: on Action Network. I suggest everybody go take a look

1437
01:08:54,479 --> 01:08:56,840
Speaker 2: at him. I'll be brief on both of them because

1438
01:08:56,840 --> 01:08:59,559
Speaker 2: I encourage you to go read about them. The Miami

1439
01:08:59,640 --> 01:09:02,000
Speaker 2: and c S game. The return of tight end Brevin

1440
01:09:02,080 --> 01:09:05,120
Speaker 2: Jordan is key. They didn't have against Virginia. It showed

1441
01:09:05,240 --> 01:09:09,640
Speaker 2: they had problems in scoring opportunities. He's second on the

1442
01:09:09,680 --> 01:09:12,720
Speaker 2: team in third down targets. He's a great blocking back

1443
01:09:12,800 --> 01:09:15,080
Speaker 2: thirty three percent of the time Miami's lining up in

1444
01:09:15,120 --> 01:09:17,600
Speaker 2: twelve personnel and that you know he was he was

1445
01:09:17,640 --> 01:09:19,800
Speaker 2: really missed. He's a big part of that offense. I

1446
01:09:19,880 --> 01:09:22,720
Speaker 2: expect their issues with scoring opportunities to be resolved with

1447
01:09:22,800 --> 01:09:25,760
Speaker 2: him back on the field. Miami's defense defensive havoc is

1448
01:09:25,760 --> 01:09:28,880
Speaker 2: sixteenth and their twenty second opponent passing success rate. I

1449
01:09:28,920 --> 01:09:31,559
Speaker 2: think that all plays into, you know, a part of

1450
01:09:31,560 --> 01:09:34,599
Speaker 2: the handicap here. You know, the pace is top thirty

1451
01:09:34,600 --> 01:09:36,640
Speaker 2: for both of these teams, Miami's top twenty five and

1452
01:09:36,680 --> 01:09:39,720
Speaker 2: finishing drives. I like a first half over here. I

1453
01:09:39,720 --> 01:09:42,439
Speaker 2: think I think Miami with with with tight end Brevin

1454
01:09:42,479 --> 01:09:44,719
Speaker 2: Jordan back, they're gonna be able to put some points

1455
01:09:44,760 --> 01:09:47,120
Speaker 2: up on the board. We'll see Vincy's you know n

1456
01:09:47,160 --> 01:09:51,479
Speaker 2: C State, who's what eighty fourth and defending explosive plays.

1457
01:09:52,200 --> 01:09:54,000
Speaker 2: We'll see if they can contribute some points by like

1458
01:09:54,040 --> 01:09:56,880
Speaker 2: the first half over As far as San Jose State

1459
01:09:56,880 --> 01:09:58,760
Speaker 2: and San Diego State, man I wrote about them a

1460
01:09:58,800 --> 01:10:00,800
Speaker 2: couple of times this week. Mostly they were the center

1461
01:10:00,840 --> 01:10:03,599
Speaker 2: of the beginning of the havoc piece because San Jose

1462
01:10:03,640 --> 01:10:06,000
Speaker 2: State is number one in the country in havoc allowed

1463
01:10:06,000 --> 01:10:08,280
Speaker 2: on offense and San Diego state's number one in the

1464
01:10:08,320 --> 01:10:12,000
Speaker 2: country defensively in Havoc, so it should be a pretty

1465
01:10:12,000 --> 01:10:15,639
Speaker 2: good showdown here. So I would just going out reading

1466
01:10:15,640 --> 01:10:17,519
Speaker 2: the article that's going to come out on the picks

1467
01:10:17,560 --> 01:10:19,800
Speaker 2: for this game. Brady Hoak is doing a CEO job,

1468
01:10:19,880 --> 01:10:21,880
Speaker 2: kind of like Sam Pittman at Arkansas, where Kurt Maddox

1469
01:10:21,920 --> 01:10:24,160
Speaker 2: is doing some really good things a defensive coordinator, and

1470
01:10:24,240 --> 01:10:28,120
Speaker 2: Jeff heck Heckinski he has changed the Aztecs offense. Yes,

1471
01:10:28,160 --> 01:10:29,920
Speaker 2: they're still running the ball a lot, but they have

1472
01:10:30,040 --> 01:10:34,599
Speaker 2: become electric and vertical like he predicted way back in March.

1473
01:10:34,720 --> 01:10:36,840
Speaker 2: So go out and read those pieces and there'll be

1474
01:10:36,840 --> 01:10:37,559
Speaker 2: some picks in there.

1475
01:10:38,120 --> 01:10:41,360
Speaker 3: All right, let's move the second down. That's our favorite overdog.

1476
01:10:41,760 --> 01:10:43,400
Speaker 2: It's called the overdog parlay.

1477
01:10:43,720 --> 01:10:46,080
Speaker 3: I have two that I have thought of here. Let's

1478
01:10:46,080 --> 01:10:54,040
Speaker 3: get some prices right music going Oklahoma thirty eight point

1479
01:10:54,120 --> 01:10:57,280
Speaker 3: favorite against Kansas at home. I don't know who's betting

1480
01:10:57,360 --> 01:10:59,760
Speaker 3: Kansas in this spot. Is the price right here too?

1481
01:11:00,439 --> 01:11:03,080
Speaker 3: To what he got? Come on, I'd say, I'd.

1482
01:11:02,920 --> 01:11:05,160
Speaker 2: Say, come on down. I got this projected at forty

1483
01:11:05,200 --> 01:11:07,280
Speaker 2: and Kansas has some of the worst defensive marks. They're

1484
01:11:07,400 --> 01:11:10,280
Speaker 2: UMass territory. They can't do anything. They can't tackle, they

1485
01:11:10,320 --> 01:11:13,759
Speaker 2: can't defend. Oklahoma's gonna run this up. Price is right.

1486
01:11:14,280 --> 01:11:16,800
Speaker 3: Next up, mister Michael Leach. This is what I was

1487
01:11:16,800 --> 01:11:19,479
Speaker 3: thinking of. Mississippi State let me down last week, and

1488
01:11:19,520 --> 01:11:21,719
Speaker 3: again they probably should have covered. They throw a touchdown

1489
01:11:21,760 --> 01:11:24,400
Speaker 3: pass to cover the cut it like twenty It the

1490
01:11:24,439 --> 01:11:26,640
Speaker 3: linebacker for Alabama the bounce, he wasn't even looking. It

1491
01:11:26,720 --> 01:11:28,400
Speaker 3: bounced into his hand. And in Alabama, what the other

1492
01:11:28,400 --> 01:11:31,680
Speaker 3: ways for a touchdown? Miserable? But Vanderbilt is so bad.

1493
01:11:31,720 --> 01:11:34,280
Speaker 3: The Mississippi State Defen's is actually playing well. I think

1494
01:11:34,320 --> 01:11:36,400
Speaker 3: Mississippi State just needs a game where they just want

1495
01:11:36,400 --> 01:11:39,080
Speaker 3: to get right. And I mean it's been so bad

1496
01:11:39,080 --> 01:11:40,880
Speaker 3: since that one of those start nineteen and a half

1497
01:11:40,920 --> 01:11:41,519
Speaker 3: against Dandy.

1498
01:11:41,840 --> 01:11:43,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, cow Bell, come on down, this is your week

1499
01:11:43,920 --> 01:11:46,559
Speaker 2: to get it done. I projected this twenty four, so

1500
01:11:46,800 --> 01:11:48,680
Speaker 2: definitely some room to work with here, and I think

1501
01:11:48,680 --> 01:11:51,280
Speaker 2: there's a lot of negativity from the betters on you.

1502
01:11:51,360 --> 01:11:54,000
Speaker 2: But Tola Vanderbilt is a get healthy game, all right.

1503
01:11:54,000 --> 01:11:58,280
Speaker 3: And last one, Pennce State twenty five point favorites against Maryland.

1504
01:11:58,800 --> 01:12:03,680
Speaker 3: We saw Maryland and to his brother because I'm not

1505
01:12:03,680 --> 01:12:05,439
Speaker 3: in the mood to pronounce the name today, and I

1506
01:12:05,479 --> 01:12:07,960
Speaker 3: don't want to butcher it. We saw Maryland with that

1507
01:12:08,160 --> 01:12:12,280
Speaker 3: awesome win over Minnesota Penn State zero and two. Did

1508
01:12:12,280 --> 01:12:14,080
Speaker 3: they give up on this season? Do they come out

1509
01:12:14,080 --> 01:12:15,760
Speaker 3: and take out their anger on Maryland? Is a line

1510
01:12:15,800 --> 01:12:18,720
Speaker 3: too high? James Fragle and Nty Lions thoughts.

1511
01:12:19,400 --> 01:12:22,880
Speaker 2: Talia tackle Aola? He actually, you know, was able to

1512
01:12:23,200 --> 01:12:26,439
Speaker 2: have multiple explosive runs and broken plays, and you know

1513
01:12:26,479 --> 01:12:28,880
Speaker 2: he had that little spin move going on. I think

1514
01:12:28,920 --> 01:12:31,280
Speaker 2: the number is spot on. I have it at twenty five,

1515
01:12:31,400 --> 01:12:33,400
Speaker 2: is listed to twenty four and a half. So Penn State,

1516
01:12:33,800 --> 01:12:37,200
Speaker 2: you can stay down in Bidder's row. Your showcase showdown

1517
01:12:37,240 --> 01:12:38,000
Speaker 2: can wait a little bit.

1518
01:12:38,400 --> 01:12:41,080
Speaker 3: Fair enough, all that'll wrap up prices right over dog

1519
01:12:41,200 --> 01:12:43,800
Speaker 3: segment before we get out of here. One last thing

1520
01:12:43,840 --> 01:12:48,160
Speaker 3: to do, third down, Colin, it's the underdog money line.

1521
01:12:48,040 --> 01:12:56,320
Speaker 1: Parlay, turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for

1522
01:12:56,479 --> 01:12:58,000
Speaker 1: the money line parlay.

1523
01:12:59,200 --> 01:13:02,040
Speaker 3: I'm going with an irster, Brian Kelly, don't let me

1524
01:13:02,120 --> 01:13:04,439
Speaker 3: down and if you're down ten late, you better get

1525
01:13:04,439 --> 01:13:08,160
Speaker 3: that last touchdown. My prediction is Notre Dame wins and

1526
01:13:08,520 --> 01:13:11,400
Speaker 3: they end up losing the Agency Championship game, and we

1527
01:13:11,520 --> 01:13:14,559
Speaker 3: might see both in the College Wlaw playoffs. Colin, are

1528
01:13:14,560 --> 01:13:15,400
Speaker 3: Youryboddy on underdog?

1529
01:13:15,800 --> 01:13:18,479
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna go with Georgia Southern. I think that

1530
01:13:18,520 --> 01:13:22,919
Speaker 2: this is a very harsh transition for a Troy defense

1531
01:13:22,960 --> 01:13:26,080
Speaker 2: to go from an Arkansas State spread passing attack and

1532
01:13:26,240 --> 01:13:29,240
Speaker 2: seven days later try to defend the triple option. I

1533
01:13:29,320 --> 01:13:32,639
Speaker 2: don't I did not read any reports whatsoever that Troy

1534
01:13:32,680 --> 01:13:36,559
Speaker 2: had been preparing for this game in the summer. Of course,

1535
01:13:36,600 --> 01:13:39,519
Speaker 2: nobody was preparing in the spring. I think that this

1536
01:13:39,680 --> 01:13:42,160
Speaker 2: is a really bad situation for Georgia Southern. There was

1537
01:13:42,360 --> 01:13:45,920
Speaker 2: plenty of steam that actually hit Troy in the market here.

1538
01:13:45,960 --> 01:13:47,519
Speaker 2: But I think it's you know, I make this game

1539
01:13:47,560 --> 01:13:50,120
Speaker 2: a pick, so I'm gonna play it out that way.

1540
01:13:50,160 --> 01:13:52,320
Speaker 2: And I think Georgia Southern has a monster advantage with

1541
01:13:52,360 --> 01:13:54,599
Speaker 2: the triple option, especially a week after they faced such

1542
01:13:54,640 --> 01:13:58,040
Speaker 2: a different offense. So you know, give me, give me

1543
01:13:58,080 --> 01:14:01,040
Speaker 2: Georgia Southern, and hopefully we can one. I went too

1544
01:14:01,040 --> 01:14:02,800
Speaker 2: big last week with the Air Force. I felt pretty

1545
01:14:02,800 --> 01:14:05,880
Speaker 2: good at fourteen to seven, and uh, it really didn't

1546
01:14:05,880 --> 01:14:07,439
Speaker 2: turn out well, So you might I might not see

1547
01:14:07,479 --> 01:14:10,080
Speaker 2: any more double digit underdogs from here on out. I

1548
01:14:10,080 --> 01:14:12,640
Speaker 2: can't believe we're not taking Illinois. Minnesota has put up

1549
01:14:12,680 --> 01:14:16,439
Speaker 2: the worst defensive numbers since like UMass played in twenty nineteen,

1550
01:14:16,520 --> 01:14:18,200
Speaker 2: neither of US took Illinois. I know there's a COVID

1551
01:14:18,200 --> 01:14:21,080
Speaker 2: outbreak and Peters is in quarantine, which.

1552
01:14:20,880 --> 01:14:22,760
Speaker 3: I don't The Big ten is crazy. I don't have

1553
01:14:22,880 --> 01:14:27,120
Speaker 3: all this COVID news. I can't keep up. Plus Notre Dame,

1554
01:14:27,800 --> 01:14:29,840
Speaker 3: Hell Southern and Notre Dame, it feels good. Do you

1555
01:14:29,920 --> 01:14:32,479
Speaker 3: have one last order of business? Every week, you guys

1556
01:14:32,560 --> 01:14:35,400
Speaker 3: leave five star reviews on the podcast. I'm gonna choose

1557
01:14:35,439 --> 01:14:37,720
Speaker 3: one like funny one, and I'm gonna choose one like

1558
01:14:37,800 --> 01:14:40,479
Speaker 3: legit one. So leave a legit five star review and

1559
01:14:40,520 --> 01:14:42,920
Speaker 3: the one you can reference other things, but we like

1560
01:14:43,000 --> 01:14:45,439
Speaker 3: some legit ones too here and then we'll send you

1561
01:14:45,479 --> 01:14:48,840
Speaker 3: some gear and stuff. The first one I'll send, and

1562
01:14:48,880 --> 01:14:52,200
Speaker 3: I'll pick two every week. But I've been saying I'm

1563
01:14:52,200 --> 01:14:54,479
Speaker 3: gonna pick some, so I'll pick two on the NFL

1564
01:14:54,560 --> 01:14:57,720
Speaker 3: podcast next week as well, and then two more in

1565
01:14:57,760 --> 01:15:00,519
Speaker 3: the college podcast. Will do two a week, all right?

1566
01:15:00,560 --> 01:15:04,120
Speaker 3: The serious one five star review from Dexter. Uh you

1567
01:15:04,160 --> 01:15:06,880
Speaker 3: know you are? Oh my producer reach out. Best sports

1568
01:15:06,920 --> 01:15:09,040
Speaker 3: gambling podcasts out there right now, It's not even close.

1569
01:15:09,080 --> 01:15:13,280
Speaker 3: We appreciate you, and and we'll go with Pete Kunkle,

1570
01:15:13,439 --> 01:15:15,960
Speaker 3: an excellent betting adventure. Each and every podcast. I don't

1571
01:15:16,000 --> 01:15:18,920
Speaker 3: listen for Collins first half, Big ten hunders, and definitely

1572
01:15:19,000 --> 01:15:22,439
Speaker 3: not for U mass takes. I listen to know that

1573
01:15:22,479 --> 01:15:24,240
Speaker 3: the best way to spice up a Saturday night is

1574
01:15:24,280 --> 01:15:26,360
Speaker 3: the back meet Meat Live and my heart torn from

1575
01:15:26,360 --> 01:15:30,320
Speaker 3: my chest. Keep it coming. So we'll head out too there.

1576
01:15:30,320 --> 01:15:32,120
Speaker 3: I'll do two more in the NFL podcast, and then

1577
01:15:32,320 --> 01:15:35,800
Speaker 3: two more and two more also over Trytown Buckeyes five.

1578
01:15:35,800 --> 01:15:38,360
Speaker 3: The information is impeccable, the content's hilarious, The voicemails are

1579
01:15:38,360 --> 01:15:40,320
Speaker 3: beyond amazing. It's the best podcast the gambling for the

1580
01:15:40,320 --> 01:15:44,000
Speaker 3: best company in the sports betting business besides Rovel. The

1581
01:15:44,080 --> 01:15:47,320
Speaker 3: Action Network is perfect, completely perfect. God bless you both

1582
01:15:47,320 --> 01:15:51,080
Speaker 3: in the amazing team. All right? Uh? And then someone

1583
01:15:51,160 --> 01:15:54,760
Speaker 3: with Jake one four four for you mass within an

1584
01:15:54,800 --> 01:15:57,000
Speaker 3: ass love. The podles do it every time a new

1585
01:15:57,040 --> 01:15:59,200
Speaker 3: one comes out, but you mass wreck my world. I'm

1586
01:15:59,240 --> 01:16:00,920
Speaker 3: also an exx if you want to follow through that

1587
01:16:00,960 --> 01:16:03,240
Speaker 3: sweatshirt deal. If I were in Lexton. You know me

1588
01:16:03,360 --> 01:16:05,719
Speaker 3: enough bourbon to sink a battleship. Go big Blue. Thanks

1589
01:16:05,720 --> 01:16:08,639
Speaker 3: to the content. Yeah, drinks are always on me, brother.

1590
01:16:08,920 --> 01:16:12,360
Speaker 3: Thanks guys for the reviews. Leave some more. Unsubscribe, subscribe,

1591
01:16:12,439 --> 01:16:15,120
Speaker 3: Tell a friend, Tell an enemy. Voicemails this weekend we

1592
01:16:15,200 --> 01:16:17,720
Speaker 3: need you Minor Nation bo nixt season. They might not

1593
01:16:17,760 --> 01:16:20,400
Speaker 3: be around, they might not call in Light up the voicemail.

1594
01:16:20,439 --> 01:16:22,280
Speaker 3: Let's have a winning weekend. We'll catch you all on

1595
01:16:22,360 --> 01:16:25,360
Speaker 3: Monday morning with football weekend. Rereecap cheers.

1596
01:16:25,840 --> 01:16:26,280
Speaker 2: He's out.

1597
01:16:45,200 --> 01:16:46,240
Speaker 3: We're finished talking.