WEBVTT - Broadcom Expects AI Chips Sales to Top $100 Billion in 2027

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Bloomberg Tech is live

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<v Speaker 1>from coast to coast with Carolline Hide in New York

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<v Speaker 1>and Eva Low in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech Coming up.

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<v Speaker 3>Broadcom CEO Hocktan says the company expects AI chips to

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<v Speaker 3>top one hundred billion dollars next year, the stock pushing

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<v Speaker 3>higher on the earnings.

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<v Speaker 4>Plus.

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<v Speaker 5>Anthropic has resumed discussions with the Pentagon about the use

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<v Speaker 5>of its AI models by the US military amid of

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<v Speaker 5>feud over safety details.

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<v Speaker 3>US hour an industrial software startup, Nominal, is now valued

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<v Speaker 3>at a billion dollars thanks to Series B funding led

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<v Speaker 3>by Founders Fund. We speak to the company CEO and

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<v Speaker 3>Trey Stevens of Founders Fund.

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<v Speaker 5>First we check in on these publicly traded markets. Then

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<v Speaker 5>once again anxiety rips through. We're in a sixth day

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<v Speaker 5>of conflicts with Iran and all prices are still and

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<v Speaker 5>concern brank crude up three points three percent, supply chains

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<v Speaker 5>being choked. We're going to get into that story later on,

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<v Speaker 5>but it means that we're seeing inflationary pressures, worrying people

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<v Speaker 5>about the Federal Reserve's ability to cut rates going forward.

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<v Speaker 6>We got jobs data tomorrow.

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<v Speaker 5>Then as that one hundreds down by tenth of a percent,

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<v Speaker 5>two tenths of percent, let's call it bitcoin of by

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<v Speaker 5>more than two percent.

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<v Speaker 6>What are you looking at?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's the difficult tension in public market, the Iran war,

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<v Speaker 3>but also earnings is there.

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<v Speaker 2>So broad comes up five percent.

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<v Speaker 3>It's a big gain, but nothing sort of remarkable against

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<v Speaker 3>recent history. The key data point is one hundred billion

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<v Speaker 3>dollars just in AI chip sales in twenty twenty seven,

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<v Speaker 3>which is remarkable because in the current quarter they'll do

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<v Speaker 3>about ten billion dollars. In the quarter gone chip sales

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<v Speaker 3>grew doubled basically one hundred percent from a year ago.

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<v Speaker 3>There's a lot of momentum there, but it was a

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<v Speaker 3>high bar. There's also anxiety about them executing. We need

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<v Speaker 3>to dig into it.

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<v Speaker 6>Let's dig into it.

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<v Speaker 5>A Blueberg exuty supporter run A Stelca, who goes to

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<v Speaker 5>all the analysts, reports the reactions to the numbers. Are

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<v Speaker 5>they buying this one hundred million dollar figure?

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<v Speaker 2>So far?

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<v Speaker 7>It does seem like people are. People are pretty optimistic

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<v Speaker 7>about the company's position with AI, and a lot of

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<v Speaker 7>the AI forecasts at broadcome game we're seen as much

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<v Speaker 7>better than expected. So there's certainly a lot of optimism,

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<v Speaker 7>but like you said, we're not seeing the stock really

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<v Speaker 7>go on a tier here the way we've seen in

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<v Speaker 7>past quarters when they really surprise to the upside.

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<v Speaker 3>Part of this in the data is that there was

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<v Speaker 3>an existing data point of backlog of seventy three billion

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<v Speaker 3>dollars relating to AI, and they seem to be getting

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of credit by coming out and saying we

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<v Speaker 3>have line of sights quotes to this one hundred billion

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<v Speaker 3>dollars through twenty twenty seven or on an annual basis

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<v Speaker 3>twenty twenty seven, Like, is that just what the street

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<v Speaker 3>is seizing on. Did they make an assessment of margins?

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<v Speaker 3>Did they make an assessment of the other parts of

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<v Speaker 3>Broadcom's business, which is also software.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I believe the software business disappointed at least mildly

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<v Speaker 7>this past quarter. But I think the focus really is

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<v Speaker 7>on the AI side of things. I've spoken to people

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<v Speaker 7>who say that Broadcom just doesn't get the credit for

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<v Speaker 7>a position in AI, especially relative to companies like in video,

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<v Speaker 7>So this is obviously a very positive data point for them. Now,

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<v Speaker 7>I think there are a lot of just sort of

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<v Speaker 7>growing concerns out there about you know, capital spending on

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<v Speaker 7>AI infrastructure. Are we getting to a point where we're

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<v Speaker 7>getting near peak earnings. There might be some of that

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<v Speaker 7>that are sort of tempering some of the enthusiasm for

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<v Speaker 7>Broadcoms results, But I think overall, anyone who is just

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<v Speaker 7>looking at the numbers should be pretty happy.

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<v Speaker 3>Whomo's Ryan for the l Selca who all morning in

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<v Speaker 3>Chicago has been across dozens of sales side notes and

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<v Speaker 3>gave us the summary there. I want to talk more

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<v Speaker 3>about broadcon Jomfienie Advisors, capital partner and portfolio manager about

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<v Speaker 3>thirteen billion dollars that you manage for clients and broad

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<v Speaker 3>cooms the top three right in terms of holdings. It's

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<v Speaker 3>really interesting the direction of a six and custom silicon.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, how do you go from ten billion dollars

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<v Speaker 3>of sales in the current quarter to telling your investors, oh,

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<v Speaker 3>by the way, next year in excess of one hundred

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<v Speaker 3>billion dollars just in chips.

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<v Speaker 2>That's believable to you.

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<v Speaker 8>It's an incredible ramp ed Ludlow, no question about it.

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<v Speaker 8>But you know, when you look at the history of Broadcom,

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<v Speaker 8>you know we've owned them we've owned this stock for

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<v Speaker 8>clients since I arrived at the firm in twenty fifteen.

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<v Speaker 2>It's been a core holding.

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<v Speaker 9>It's been a leading.

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<v Speaker 8>Holding for many of our strategies on the equity side

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<v Speaker 8>because of several things. One, they've always managed to maintain

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<v Speaker 8>a deep moat in their products relative to the competition,

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<v Speaker 8>whether it was for iPhone chips or storage or elsewhere.

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<v Speaker 8>And their acquisitions have generally led to better cost savings

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<v Speaker 8>than folks have predicted. And you know now with the

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<v Speaker 8>diversification you know into software and that continuing to do

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<v Speaker 8>well through VMware, you know, they have recurring revenue streams

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<v Speaker 8>through the software side, which helps maintain margins. And they've

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<v Speaker 8>shown their ability to execute the fact that they've locked

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<v Speaker 8>up capacity through twenty twenty eight tells us how good

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<v Speaker 8>their visibility is.

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<v Speaker 3>So I want to seize on that pot. A lot

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<v Speaker 3>of people ask me, like, what is it the brawl

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<v Speaker 3>com actually does. So if you take goo Goll's TPU,

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<v Speaker 3>for example, they co design the architecture, make it a

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<v Speaker 3>manufacturable chip. But Rowcom is fabulous, right, And so that

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<v Speaker 3>bit you just said, as far as I can tell,

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<v Speaker 3>the value is not just in the design of the TPU,

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<v Speaker 3>which they've been discrete talking about in recent years. It's

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<v Speaker 3>the ability to scale and get it to market a scale.

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<v Speaker 3>Is that how you look at it?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's that's definitely part of it.

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<v Speaker 10>Ed.

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<v Speaker 8>You know, their ability to work well with TSMC. I mean,

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<v Speaker 8>it's not just up to TSMC to get these.

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<v Speaker 9>Designs to work.

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<v Speaker 8>It's very much a coordinated process of design with the

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<v Speaker 8>manufacturing capabilities. So they have shown that they're very effective

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<v Speaker 8>in helping TSMC get to high yields and that's behind

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<v Speaker 8>the scaling capability.

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<v Speaker 9>But it isn't just the TPU or the XPU.

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<v Speaker 8>It's also the fact that they're selling the networking you know,

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<v Speaker 8>technology along with these chips. In fact, with networking expected

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<v Speaker 8>to grow faster, they're selling networking devices beyond their six

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<v Speaker 8>customers to the broader ecosystem of AI based data centers.

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<v Speaker 5>They're becoming even more like in video in terms of

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<v Speaker 5>just a full stack offering and in many ways going

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<v Speaker 5>for the key competition that is designing the chips for

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<v Speaker 5>the META for the open AI. Did you get enough

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<v Speaker 5>certainty that relationship with Meta is really strong that they

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<v Speaker 5>are going to be able to ramp in the way

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<v Speaker 5>that they expect for open AI and these companies that

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<v Speaker 5>want to build their own and not just wholly rely

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<v Speaker 5>on in video.

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<v Speaker 8>You know, I think one thing we know about Broadcom

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<v Speaker 8>is that they work very closely with their customers and

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<v Speaker 8>that is what has given them visibility in the past.

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<v Speaker 8>And it's that visibility they're pointing to now. They work

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<v Speaker 8>on multi year roadmaps and so yes, when they say

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<v Speaker 8>that Meta is continuing to work with them, you know,

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<v Speaker 8>that seems like a reliable piece of information. There was

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<v Speaker 8>a lot of information on last night's call. But you know,

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<v Speaker 8>beyond what Nvidia does, the networking capability that Broadcom brings

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<v Speaker 8>to the table allows their customers not just to build

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<v Speaker 8>right around the chip, but also to the connectivity to

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<v Speaker 8>other parts of the server and the data center. And

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<v Speaker 8>that's you know, that's a different line of products. And

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<v Speaker 8>and then you look beyond just the AI business and

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<v Speaker 8>you've got software that is separate and storage and other

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<v Speaker 8>iPhone and other technologies. Gives them a more diversified positioning

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<v Speaker 8>relative to in video. We like in video. We've owned

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<v Speaker 8>it for a long time for clients as well, and

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<v Speaker 8>we think it's going to continue to grow. We think

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<v Speaker 8>the pie is expanding so much at those room for

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<v Speaker 8>both of them. But the visibility that that broadcom articulated,

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<v Speaker 8>I think is really compelling, and I think that's why

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<v Speaker 8>you're going to see the analyst community get more on

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<v Speaker 8>board and raise those estimates.

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<v Speaker 5>Can you talk a little bit more how complementary it

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<v Speaker 5>is to have the hardware and the software offering why

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<v Speaker 5>VMware matters.

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<v Speaker 8>Yeah, So you know, the you know the role of

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<v Speaker 8>the enterprise software is to not just be able to

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<v Speaker 8>run AI for your company and use other AI models,

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<v Speaker 8>but it's to integrate those you know, capabilities of AI

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<v Speaker 8>to deliver insights into how you run your businesses right,

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<v Speaker 8>And so that's it's not enough just to have the information, right,

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<v Speaker 8>You've got to then pass that information through to your

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<v Speaker 8>enterprise software to enable you to change the way you're

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<v Speaker 8>doing things within the business, change the way you're serving customers.

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<v Speaker 8>So that's the integration that you know that they articulate,

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<v Speaker 8>and I think is a pretty compelling story.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, hoc Tan historically has been mister m and

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<v Speaker 3>A right, and I look at like how Nvidia has

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<v Speaker 3>kept itself in the lead, not necessarily outright acquisition, but investments, Uh,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, licensing agreements. Do you see Broadcom doing more

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<v Speaker 3>of that, Joanne.

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<v Speaker 8>I'm not sure which direction you're going in with that one, Ed.

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<v Speaker 8>I do see Broadcom continuing to look for M and

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<v Speaker 8>A opportunities. I mean, right now, it's like they're flat

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<v Speaker 8>out in terms of, you know, co developing these xpus.

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<v Speaker 8>I don't know if they currently have the bandwidth to

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<v Speaker 8>do any major M and A. They're you know, using

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<v Speaker 8>up their capacity allocation at TSMC for what is clearly

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<v Speaker 8>a high growth, high margin opportunity. But one thing they

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<v Speaker 8>have done in the past regularly is when any one

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<v Speaker 8>area of their business got too large relative to the rest,

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<v Speaker 8>they'd go find some other area in which to invest

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<v Speaker 8>in which to bring in into the company. So, you know,

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<v Speaker 8>maybe over the next couple of years, I would see

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<v Speaker 8>that as a possibility. I don't see it as imminent.

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<v Speaker 6>At the moment.

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<v Speaker 5>They're investing in their shares and buying them back. Johanne

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<v Speaker 5>Phoeni of Advice's Capital.

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<v Speaker 6>This aways great to check in with you. Thank you.

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<v Speaker 5>Look, let's turn to private credit now because black Rock

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<v Speaker 5>It's marked down its loan to Infinite Commerce holdings to

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<v Speaker 5>zero from one hundred to zero in just three months,

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<v Speaker 5>having varned that tech company is dead at one hundred

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<v Speaker 5>cents on the dollar. Look, the roughly twenty five million

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<v Speaker 5>dollar loan to the so called Amazon aggregator is now

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<v Speaker 5>can and worthless, marking the second sudden wipeout to hit

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<v Speaker 5>BlackRock's private credit division in recent months. What's interesting about

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<v Speaker 5>Infinite Commerce ED is.

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<v Speaker 6>It's also VC backed.

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<v Speaker 5>And look they're saying Black Crocks saying a lot of

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<v Speaker 5>this business was written in twenty twenty one. Well, we

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<v Speaker 5>just think about what the venture community has got in

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<v Speaker 5>terms of liabilities to twenty twenty one equity and where

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<v Speaker 5>that currently trades for them.

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<v Speaker 3>This is Caroline Hyde's stomping ground. So being a bit

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<v Speaker 3>careful in going to the key risk in private credit.

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<v Speaker 3>But the thing is that when you have a loan

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<v Speaker 3>to a private company, it doesn't like trade every single day.

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<v Speaker 3>The valuation kind of lacks and so before you know it,

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<v Speaker 3>if something's gone wrong, then you get the piece of

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<v Speaker 3>news that you just read out. That's kind of how

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<v Speaker 3>I understand the market at least.

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<v Speaker 5>What's interesting is another credit offering, well, another partner that had.

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<v Speaker 6>Been lending to Infinite Commerce.

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<v Speaker 5>They mark that loan down in December, so maybe black

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<v Speaker 5>person might flow to it.

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<v Speaker 3>Most read story on the Bloomberg in No Surprise and

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<v Speaker 3>coming up in the program, talks resume between Antrotropic and

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<v Speaker 3>the Pentagon over the military's AI use the details.

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<v Speaker 2>Next this is Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 5>Tech Anthropic when it's resumed talks with the Pentagon over

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<v Speaker 5>how it's AI models are used by the US military. Now, that's,

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<v Speaker 5>according to a source, follows a feud between the two

0:11:14.480 --> 0:11:17.000
<v Speaker 5>sides that had seen President Trump threatened to actually blacklist

0:11:17.040 --> 0:11:17.520
<v Speaker 5>the company.

0:11:17.800 --> 0:11:18.400
<v Speaker 6>Let's get more.

0:11:18.480 --> 0:11:23.080
<v Speaker 5>The Bloomberg Tech editor Seth Figuerman and Dario Amanda had

0:11:23.280 --> 0:11:27.000
<v Speaker 5>taken this dispute into the public realm. Now we understand

0:11:27.000 --> 0:11:28.720
<v Speaker 5>perhaps some of talks going on in private again.

0:11:28.800 --> 0:11:30.600
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, it feels like some of the public rhetoric, which

0:11:30.640 --> 0:11:33.280
<v Speaker 11>on both sides that sounded pretty fierce, may not be

0:11:33.360 --> 0:11:35.600
<v Speaker 11>reflecting what's going on behind the scenes right now. Now,

0:11:35.600 --> 0:11:37.920
<v Speaker 11>we don't know how much closer they are to an

0:11:37.960 --> 0:11:40.920
<v Speaker 11>agreement here after the standoff last week, but it does

0:11:40.960 --> 0:11:43.640
<v Speaker 11>suggest that Onanthropic side there's a cloud of uncertainty now

0:11:43.679 --> 0:11:47.000
<v Speaker 11>over its business. And for the Pentagon, we've known throughout

0:11:47.040 --> 0:11:49.720
<v Speaker 11>that they've leaned pretty heavily on this model, and there's

0:11:49.720 --> 0:11:52.960
<v Speaker 11>been calls both within the defense industry and in Silicon Valley.

0:11:53.000 --> 0:11:55.880
<v Speaker 11>You're trying to de escalate the situation, So.

0:11:56.080 --> 0:11:58.199
<v Speaker 3>I guess we don't know what a resolution would look

0:11:58.240 --> 0:12:00.319
<v Speaker 3>like yet, right, But could you just go back Sephan

0:12:00.440 --> 0:12:04.800
<v Speaker 3>explain what the point of difference was originally between Anthropic

0:12:04.880 --> 0:12:08.079
<v Speaker 3>and what Anthropic's red lines were and why the Pentagon,

0:12:08.679 --> 0:12:10.600
<v Speaker 3>I guess labeled them a supply chain risk.

0:12:11.040 --> 0:12:11.240
<v Speaker 9>Yeah.

0:12:11.240 --> 0:12:14.679
<v Speaker 11>I mean, throughout Anthropic has been pushing for two key

0:12:14.880 --> 0:12:20.000
<v Speaker 11>red lions, first on protections against mass surveillance of American

0:12:20.040 --> 0:12:25.160
<v Speaker 11>citizens and the other deployment of autonomous weapons. It seems

0:12:25.160 --> 0:12:28.240
<v Speaker 11>like throughout the negotiation they've gotten close. There have been

0:12:28.280 --> 0:12:30.240
<v Speaker 11>stipulations on the contract that get close to it, but

0:12:30.240 --> 0:12:32.920
<v Speaker 11>there have been certain wording differences that might be nu

0:12:32.960 --> 0:12:35.280
<v Speaker 11>ones to usk AB, which Anthropic seems to feel are

0:12:35.440 --> 0:12:37.560
<v Speaker 11>key to ensuring their appropriate safeguards.

0:12:38.360 --> 0:12:41.079
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg's AI editor Seth Figmann, thank you very much that

0:12:41.200 --> 0:12:44.640
<v Speaker 3>stick with AI because data centers have proven to be

0:12:44.679 --> 0:12:47.680
<v Speaker 3>a target in the Middle East conflict. The war in Iran,

0:12:47.679 --> 0:12:51.439
<v Speaker 3>a modern version of the wartime strategy of attacking an

0:12:51.440 --> 0:12:54.760
<v Speaker 3>opponent's critical infrastructure. Bloomberg's Lonni Prince Lou is one of

0:12:54.800 --> 0:12:58.360
<v Speaker 3>the reporters who's been looking into this and joins us. Now,

0:12:59.120 --> 0:13:02.400
<v Speaker 3>really we're showing kind of the map right now of

0:13:02.440 --> 0:13:05.280
<v Speaker 3>the infrastructure impacted, but there are key sites in the

0:13:05.360 --> 0:13:07.240
<v Speaker 3>United Arab Emirates and in Bahrain.

0:13:07.640 --> 0:13:09.320
<v Speaker 2>Bring us the latest reporting and what we know.

0:13:13.080 --> 0:13:18.319
<v Speaker 4>Yes, so basically after the Israelian US strikes, Iran retaliated

0:13:18.800 --> 0:13:23.000
<v Speaker 4>and they hit three Amazon sites in the UAE in Bahrain.

0:13:23.559 --> 0:13:26.040
<v Speaker 4>The other way around, there was also two sites hit

0:13:26.200 --> 0:13:32.040
<v Speaker 4>in Iran, or what we know of according to our reporting,

0:13:32.720 --> 0:13:35.400
<v Speaker 4>And what this tells US is that data centers are

0:13:35.440 --> 0:13:40.160
<v Speaker 4>becoming as critical and as strategic as oil and ports

0:13:40.200 --> 0:13:43.480
<v Speaker 4>when it comes to war and the functioning of the

0:13:43.520 --> 0:13:49.720
<v Speaker 4>state during war times. So why yeah, yeah, yeah, And

0:13:49.720 --> 0:13:53.800
<v Speaker 4>why were Amazon specifically hit? They are of course wholly

0:13:53.840 --> 0:13:57.920
<v Speaker 4>owned by the US software company, and there's been some

0:13:58.000 --> 0:14:02.360
<v Speaker 4>reports that they may have hosted some military data.

0:14:02.800 --> 0:14:04.640
<v Speaker 5>This is a frightening story and at the moment we're

0:14:04.640 --> 0:14:07.439
<v Speaker 5>seeing breaking news around the UAE telling to buy residents

0:14:07.480 --> 0:14:10.920
<v Speaker 5>to seek shelter immediately due to missile threats. We go

0:14:11.000 --> 0:14:14.920
<v Speaker 5>back to therefore, what operators of strategic infrastructure should do.

0:14:14.960 --> 0:14:17.959
<v Speaker 5>How can these operators protect data centers right now and

0:14:18.000 --> 0:14:21.479
<v Speaker 5>the people within them.

0:14:21.840 --> 0:14:25.840
<v Speaker 4>So obviously you have to evacuate some of these or

0:14:25.880 --> 0:14:29.880
<v Speaker 4>operate on minimal staff going forward, I think you have

0:14:29.960 --> 0:14:33.880
<v Speaker 4>to treat it as a military priority, so hard in

0:14:33.920 --> 0:14:38.120
<v Speaker 4>your infrastructure, which is very costly. Maybe build underground in

0:14:38.240 --> 0:14:42.840
<v Speaker 4>bunkers and caves. Yeah, but it's going to be have

0:14:42.880 --> 0:14:47.040
<v Speaker 4>to have some sort of rethink as we go forward

0:14:47.160 --> 0:14:50.240
<v Speaker 4>and think about data centers and how critical they are

0:14:50.280 --> 0:14:54.040
<v Speaker 4>becoming also in during times of war.

0:14:54.120 --> 0:14:57.520
<v Speaker 5>What that means I think those Lennie Prince viah thank

0:14:57.560 --> 0:15:00.360
<v Speaker 5>you so much for joining us on this important story. Meanwhile,

0:15:00.400 --> 0:15:03.560
<v Speaker 5>coming up, we're going to talk more about logistics. The

0:15:03.600 --> 0:15:06.360
<v Speaker 5>logistics firms H Robinson joining us to talk about integrating

0:15:06.440 --> 0:15:10.000
<v Speaker 5>artificial intelligence into systems and dealing with an.

0:15:09.840 --> 0:15:13.360
<v Speaker 6>AI scare trade. Not to mention what's happening logistics in

0:15:13.400 --> 0:15:14.960
<v Speaker 6>the Middle East. As a bloombog tech.

0:15:24.520 --> 0:15:27.120
<v Speaker 3>We're in Iran has put pressure on global supply chains

0:15:27.160 --> 0:15:30.240
<v Speaker 3>in recent weeks. Global logistics stocks have also been hit,

0:15:30.480 --> 0:15:33.400
<v Speaker 3>like other sectors by the AI scare trade. But one

0:15:33.520 --> 0:15:35.800
<v Speaker 3>name that's been given some credit in the markets for

0:15:35.840 --> 0:15:39.440
<v Speaker 3>its AI integration is H Robinson. How is the company

0:15:39.920 --> 0:15:43.600
<v Speaker 3>managing both of those disruptive events? Dave Boseman, the company

0:15:43.680 --> 0:15:46.000
<v Speaker 3>CEO joins us now here in San Francisco, and you

0:15:46.040 --> 0:15:48.520
<v Speaker 3>are in town with a big focus on AI in

0:15:48.640 --> 0:15:51.240
<v Speaker 3>terms of who you're meeting with, But you are when

0:15:51.280 --> 0:15:54.200
<v Speaker 3>I talk about c Is Robinson. Your job is to

0:15:54.200 --> 0:15:57.040
<v Speaker 3>move goods from point A to point B. So let's

0:15:57.080 --> 0:15:59.480
<v Speaker 3>start with the conflict in the Middle East. What are

0:15:59.480 --> 0:16:01.920
<v Speaker 3>you seeing right well, how is it impacting you day

0:16:01.920 --> 0:16:02.600
<v Speaker 3>to day so far?

0:16:03.160 --> 0:16:04.960
<v Speaker 9>Well, first of all, thanks for having me here.

0:16:05.360 --> 0:16:05.440
<v Speaker 12>Ed.

0:16:05.960 --> 0:16:09.000
<v Speaker 13>One thing that's happening right now is disruption in our

0:16:09.040 --> 0:16:13.240
<v Speaker 13>industry is a reality. Global disruption is a reality, and

0:16:13.240 --> 0:16:15.600
<v Speaker 13>this is just one more thing that we're seeing and

0:16:15.640 --> 0:16:19.680
<v Speaker 13>that we are navigating with our customers. We're obviously seeing,

0:16:20.560 --> 0:16:24.640
<v Speaker 13>you know, the airports within the Middle East are shut down.

0:16:25.000 --> 0:16:27.160
<v Speaker 13>It was an estimate of about ten to thirteen percent

0:16:27.200 --> 0:16:29.160
<v Speaker 13>of that capacity being affected.

0:16:28.800 --> 0:16:32.080
<v Speaker 3>Which an air freight in that context, correct air freight.

0:16:31.880 --> 0:16:34.640
<v Speaker 13>Out of the airports out of the Middle East. The

0:16:34.680 --> 0:16:38.040
<v Speaker 13>Strait of Hanus has obviously been affected, and that's called

0:16:38.040 --> 0:16:41.160
<v Speaker 13>some re routing of ships around the Horn of Africa.

0:16:41.880 --> 0:16:46.760
<v Speaker 13>And just slowing down overall shipments with that disruption.

0:16:46.880 --> 0:16:48.240
<v Speaker 9>But again it's.

0:16:48.120 --> 0:16:50.160
<v Speaker 13>Something that we deal with, we've dealt with it before

0:16:50.240 --> 0:16:52.480
<v Speaker 13>and will help our customers navigate through that.

0:16:52.600 --> 0:16:55.120
<v Speaker 3>This is a technology show, but you know, throughout the

0:16:55.160 --> 0:16:57.640
<v Speaker 3>week we've been looking very closely at energy. You know,

0:16:57.680 --> 0:17:00.280
<v Speaker 3>is there anything specific and distilled that you can tell

0:17:00.360 --> 0:17:05.920
<v Speaker 3>us about diesel in other markets that impact your operations?

0:17:05.960 --> 0:17:06.240
<v Speaker 9>Really?

0:17:06.680 --> 0:17:10.000
<v Speaker 13>No, Obviously it's more of a wake issue. We look

0:17:10.040 --> 0:17:14.160
<v Speaker 13>at oil prices really down the line. Obviously we have

0:17:14.560 --> 0:17:18.400
<v Speaker 13>carriers that can be affected by potential prices down the line,

0:17:18.440 --> 0:17:21.879
<v Speaker 13>but if that's something that we just keep an eye on,

0:17:22.400 --> 0:17:25.520
<v Speaker 13>not something that is affecting.

0:17:25.160 --> 0:17:25.720
<v Speaker 9>Us right now.

0:17:26.280 --> 0:17:29.359
<v Speaker 5>So let's talk about how with one hundred thousand goods

0:17:29.520 --> 0:17:32.600
<v Speaker 5>you're delivering every single day, Dave, how Ai and in

0:17:32.640 --> 0:17:36.320
<v Speaker 5>particular lean Ai as you see it, supply chains helping

0:17:36.359 --> 0:17:37.120
<v Speaker 5>you in this situation.

0:17:38.359 --> 0:17:41.720
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, Caroline, we are essentially and we are in town

0:17:41.800 --> 0:17:44.679
<v Speaker 13>for a tech conference and when industrial being invited to

0:17:44.720 --> 0:17:47.080
<v Speaker 13>a tech conference, and we feel really good about that,

0:17:47.800 --> 0:17:53.040
<v Speaker 13>and we essentially operate like an industrial or tech built

0:17:53.520 --> 0:17:57.399
<v Speaker 13>company in an industrial space. We ship thirty seven million

0:17:57.680 --> 0:18:01.800
<v Speaker 13>shipments annually and we have seventy five thousand customers that

0:18:01.880 --> 0:18:05.439
<v Speaker 13>we deal with at Robinson and relationships with hundreds of

0:18:05.480 --> 0:18:10.560
<v Speaker 13>thousands of carriers, and AI has allowed us to really

0:18:10.680 --> 0:18:15.080
<v Speaker 13>disrupt the industry and disrupt ourselves by the way, and

0:18:15.119 --> 0:18:17.760
<v Speaker 13>we feel good about that. It's going to the bottom

0:18:17.840 --> 0:18:21.640
<v Speaker 13>line because we have real customers, real shipments, and real

0:18:21.800 --> 0:18:26.119
<v Speaker 13>data and that's allowed us to have a productivity increases

0:18:26.160 --> 0:18:29.720
<v Speaker 13>of forty percent since the end of twenty twenty two,

0:18:30.080 --> 0:18:32.560
<v Speaker 13>and it's just going to the bottom line. At the

0:18:32.640 --> 0:18:37.600
<v Speaker 13>end of the day. We're the end user beneficiary of AI.

0:18:37.720 --> 0:18:39.679
<v Speaker 13>There's a lot of talk right now, but a company

0:18:39.720 --> 0:18:43.000
<v Speaker 13>like Robinson benefits from that in the industrial space.

0:18:43.080 --> 0:18:44.119
<v Speaker 6>I mean that talk.

0:18:44.359 --> 0:18:46.639
<v Speaker 5>Just take me back to February the twelve, when you

0:18:46.680 --> 0:18:49.720
<v Speaker 5>saw your stock plummet about twelve percent because there was

0:18:49.840 --> 0:18:53.120
<v Speaker 5>talk that some karaoke company that's pivoted into the world

0:18:53.119 --> 0:18:55.960
<v Speaker 5>of AI logistics was suddenly going to eat everyone's lunch.

0:18:55.960 --> 0:18:59.280
<v Speaker 5>Shape Like, how do you ground shareholders in the reality?

0:18:59.440 --> 0:19:02.080
<v Speaker 5>What is it show that the innovation keeps on coming

0:19:02.480 --> 0:19:05.280
<v Speaker 5>and that you're disrupting yourself and not allowing others to

0:19:05.320 --> 0:19:06.760
<v Speaker 5>come and take that chet.

0:19:08.280 --> 0:19:12.960
<v Speaker 13>Well, Caroline, I look at that as perception and reality,

0:19:13.200 --> 0:19:16.040
<v Speaker 13>and we're the reality in that space.

0:19:16.480 --> 0:19:18.640
<v Speaker 9>It's Robinson and not perception.

0:19:19.280 --> 0:19:21.760
<v Speaker 13>You have to have real, tangible things, and for us,

0:19:22.400 --> 0:19:26.000
<v Speaker 13>our tangible things are our data, it's our engineers. That

0:19:26.160 --> 0:19:29.359
<v Speaker 13>we are a builder, not a buyer, and we have

0:19:29.440 --> 0:19:31.520
<v Speaker 13>things that are going to the bottom line. I was

0:19:31.600 --> 0:19:36.360
<v Speaker 13>really really pleased that our investors, the analysts, the banks

0:19:36.800 --> 0:19:40.200
<v Speaker 13>really came out and said it's Robinson that is actually

0:19:40.320 --> 0:19:43.480
<v Speaker 13>the disruptor. And as Robins said, that should be up

0:19:43.480 --> 0:19:46.000
<v Speaker 13>on this news and we agree quite frankly.

0:19:46.560 --> 0:19:49.720
<v Speaker 3>I'm trying to get a sense of what happens next

0:19:49.800 --> 0:19:51.800
<v Speaker 3>for you a little bit. You know, we accept AI

0:19:51.880 --> 0:19:53.760
<v Speaker 3>low as costs, so you have to make a decision

0:19:54.040 --> 0:19:56.520
<v Speaker 3>if they're lowering your costs, do you keep that for

0:19:56.560 --> 0:19:59.080
<v Speaker 3>yourself or you do something with customers And then you

0:19:59.119 --> 0:20:02.600
<v Speaker 3>look at your specifically for tech, where's that going.

0:20:02.600 --> 0:20:04.000
<v Speaker 2>You've got to keep spending through it.

0:20:04.480 --> 0:20:07.320
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, this is this is amazing when you think about it.

0:20:07.600 --> 0:20:10.399
<v Speaker 13>First of all, AI is driving that efficiency and that

0:20:10.560 --> 0:20:13.399
<v Speaker 13>it just gives us that more competitive moat that we have.

0:20:13.480 --> 0:20:16.000
<v Speaker 13>It's a deeper and wider competitive moat if you look

0:20:16.000 --> 0:20:20.919
<v Speaker 13>at the numbers. Being an end user AI play a

0:20:20.960 --> 0:20:22.000
<v Speaker 13>fun fact for you.

0:20:22.080 --> 0:20:24.360
<v Speaker 9>Our usage is up eighty five.

0:20:24.400 --> 0:20:27.159
<v Speaker 2>X eighty eighty five X.

0:20:27.160 --> 0:20:30.600
<v Speaker 13>We're up on our usage, but our costs are only

0:20:30.720 --> 0:20:34.160
<v Speaker 13>up one and a half x, and so so we.

0:20:34.119 --> 0:20:37.520
<v Speaker 9>Get that benefit of that that end user. We don't

0:20:37.560 --> 0:20:38.280
<v Speaker 9>spend a lot.

0:20:38.560 --> 0:20:41.440
<v Speaker 13>Our token costs is a little less than a million dollars,

0:20:41.800 --> 0:20:44.439
<v Speaker 13>and so it's really about token costs for us. The

0:20:44.440 --> 0:20:48.479
<v Speaker 13>agents that we build essentially have a marginal cost of

0:20:48.600 --> 0:20:52.119
<v Speaker 13>zero because we are internal builder, and so all of

0:20:52.160 --> 0:20:56.360
<v Speaker 13>this continues to drive a competitive deep mote for.

0:20:56.400 --> 0:20:58.120
<v Speaker 9>Us that is super hard to replicate.

0:20:58.200 --> 0:21:00.880
<v Speaker 3>That chart we're showing is what credit I was talking

0:21:00.920 --> 0:21:04.000
<v Speaker 3>about that you're getting for being early early movies and AI. Okay,

0:21:04.040 --> 0:21:06.600
<v Speaker 3>so two events. We have a conflict in the release

0:21:06.640 --> 0:21:09.119
<v Speaker 3>and we have AI with disruption. But I know that

0:21:09.160 --> 0:21:11.520
<v Speaker 3>our colleagues in research in particular like want to understand

0:21:11.520 --> 0:21:13.760
<v Speaker 3>where we're at in the freight cycle and whether those

0:21:13.800 --> 0:21:18.320
<v Speaker 3>two micro events or maybe macro events have changed the

0:21:18.320 --> 0:21:20.359
<v Speaker 3>trajectory of what your industry was seeing.

0:21:20.720 --> 0:21:20.960
<v Speaker 9>Yeah.

0:21:20.960 --> 0:21:23.399
<v Speaker 13>Well, first of all, with seventy five thousand customers, we

0:21:23.760 --> 0:21:28.399
<v Speaker 13>see a broad impact of what's going on in the world.

0:21:28.760 --> 0:21:32.200
<v Speaker 13>And right now what we're seeing is with the disruption. Again,

0:21:32.280 --> 0:21:34.720
<v Speaker 13>this has not been the only disruption. There is some

0:21:35.720 --> 0:21:39.399
<v Speaker 13>caution from customers that they have on doing that, and

0:21:39.760 --> 0:21:42.719
<v Speaker 13>for us, we watch two things. You have to watch capacity,

0:21:42.960 --> 0:21:45.800
<v Speaker 13>which we've seen some tightening in the cost of carriers.

0:21:46.359 --> 0:21:49.840
<v Speaker 13>But then there's the demand side, and specifically we look

0:21:49.840 --> 0:21:54.439
<v Speaker 13>at housing, retail, manufacturing, and automotive. All of those have

0:21:54.520 --> 0:21:57.359
<v Speaker 13>been somewhat muted and we're really looking for those to

0:21:57.400 --> 0:21:58.400
<v Speaker 13>be up into the right.

0:21:58.520 --> 0:22:00.480
<v Speaker 9>No major green shoot on that.

0:22:01.200 --> 0:22:05.080
<v Speaker 13>Certainly disruptions can affect that, but we're watching that. And

0:22:05.520 --> 0:22:08.199
<v Speaker 13>at Robinson it doesn't matter. We have a system that

0:22:08.280 --> 0:22:11.080
<v Speaker 13>wins at the low and we have a system that

0:22:11.240 --> 0:22:12.600
<v Speaker 13>certainly will win.

0:22:12.520 --> 0:22:14.120
<v Speaker 9>At the high and we're excited about it.

0:22:14.359 --> 0:22:16.520
<v Speaker 5>And you've got more AI agents as well with Quinn.

0:22:16.560 --> 0:22:18.920
<v Speaker 5>Come back and talk to us about those in the future.

0:22:19.040 --> 0:22:23.399
<v Speaker 5>Dave Boseman, CEO the h Robinson, enjoy your time on

0:22:23.440 --> 0:22:24.040
<v Speaker 5>the West Coast.

0:22:24.080 --> 0:22:24.439
<v Speaker 6>Thank you.

0:22:24.800 --> 0:22:28.680
<v Speaker 5>Now coming up China it bolsters it's AI ambitions. More

0:22:28.680 --> 0:22:39.840
<v Speaker 5>on that next, this is blue meg Tech. Welcome back

0:22:39.880 --> 0:22:42.880
<v Speaker 5>to Blue meg Tech. Another day of macro that affects

0:22:42.920 --> 0:22:44.840
<v Speaker 5>the tech markets. Look, we're in a six day of

0:22:44.840 --> 0:22:46.760
<v Speaker 5>conflict with the middle East. We've also had some resilient

0:22:46.880 --> 0:22:49.280
<v Speaker 5>jobs data here in the United States with jobless claims.

0:22:49.280 --> 0:22:52.199
<v Speaker 5>We've got non farm payrolls as soon as tomorrow. The

0:22:52.240 --> 0:22:54.399
<v Speaker 5>market trying and digest what the reality is of the

0:22:54.440 --> 0:22:57.720
<v Speaker 5>FED being able to cut into this perhaps more inflationary environment.

0:22:57.920 --> 0:23:00.520
<v Speaker 5>We're down six tens seven percent big tech roads. But

0:23:00.560 --> 0:23:02.240
<v Speaker 5>there are some single names I want you to shine

0:23:02.240 --> 0:23:04.239
<v Speaker 5>a light on because we are on the upside. When

0:23:04.240 --> 0:23:06.800
<v Speaker 5>we look at Broadcom, we're up almost five percent for

0:23:06.840 --> 0:23:09.680
<v Speaker 5>this name. Their numbers shining a light doing better in

0:23:09.760 --> 0:23:12.000
<v Speaker 5>terms of earnings, but really it's the one hundred billion

0:23:12.000 --> 0:23:14.520
<v Speaker 5>dollar commitment that we're getting from the CEO Hottan one

0:23:14.600 --> 0:23:16.960
<v Speaker 5>hundred billion dollars in AI sales by twenty twenty seven,

0:23:17.040 --> 0:23:18.880
<v Speaker 5>up from just twenty billion and twenty twenty five.

0:23:19.240 --> 0:23:20.119
<v Speaker 6>The market likes that.

0:23:20.359 --> 0:23:22.280
<v Speaker 5>Also for the shared buy back, I'm looking at Booking

0:23:22.280 --> 0:23:24.800
<v Speaker 5>dot Com up seven percent. In fact, the zoo host

0:23:24.800 --> 0:23:27.760
<v Speaker 5>seeing this could be a waterloo moment if there are

0:23:27.800 --> 0:23:30.040
<v Speaker 5>reports out there that chatchipt is not going to have

0:23:30.520 --> 0:23:33.679
<v Speaker 5>a pay for in chatchipt, but actually you go to

0:23:33.760 --> 0:23:38.440
<v Speaker 5>chatchipt apps to end up buying your Booking dot Com

0:23:38.520 --> 0:23:42.600
<v Speaker 5>or other e commerce plays that could mean much better

0:23:42.680 --> 0:23:45.280
<v Speaker 5>news in terms of disruption for companies like this, in

0:23:45.359 --> 0:23:47.560
<v Speaker 5>terms of generator AI I'm looking at JD dot Com

0:23:47.760 --> 0:23:51.920
<v Speaker 5>by one point eight percent, first loss in four years

0:23:52.119 --> 0:23:54.280
<v Speaker 5>for this giant in e commerce ED And we're talking

0:23:54.359 --> 0:23:55.399
<v Speaker 5>China a little bit more.

0:23:55.280 --> 0:23:59.000
<v Speaker 2>Now, Yeah, because overnight shares of Chinese AI chip stocks

0:23:59.200 --> 0:24:00.159
<v Speaker 2>were on the right is.

0:24:00.320 --> 0:24:04.000
<v Speaker 3>In its latest five year plan drafts, the Chinese government

0:24:04.000 --> 0:24:07.959
<v Speaker 3>announced a pledge to speed up AI chip development. And

0:24:07.960 --> 0:24:10.119
<v Speaker 3>some of those names have familiar to you, right, We've

0:24:10.160 --> 0:24:13.200
<v Speaker 3>been talking about them at least in the recent quarters.

0:24:13.560 --> 0:24:17.000
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg Senior Tech editor Mike Shepherd joins us, Now, you know,

0:24:17.280 --> 0:24:21.520
<v Speaker 3>the idea of the Chinese government having policy support for

0:24:21.560 --> 0:24:24.639
<v Speaker 3>the chip sector domestically is not new, but I guess

0:24:24.640 --> 0:24:26.639
<v Speaker 3>we now put some flesh on the bones of that

0:24:26.760 --> 0:24:30.200
<v Speaker 3>plan in this draft document. What's the kind of need

0:24:30.240 --> 0:24:32.760
<v Speaker 3>to know on what China plans to do?

0:24:33.880 --> 0:24:35.800
<v Speaker 10>Well, we did see a little bit more flesh on

0:24:35.880 --> 0:24:39.480
<v Speaker 10>the bones. And of course this also is part of

0:24:39.520 --> 0:24:43.080
<v Speaker 10>an effort really under way since twenty fifteen to shift

0:24:43.080 --> 0:24:47.320
<v Speaker 10>from low end manufacturing to higher end manufacturing, and especially

0:24:47.440 --> 0:24:50.680
<v Speaker 10>when it comes to advanced technology and chip making. Really

0:24:50.760 --> 0:24:53.159
<v Speaker 10>is at the center of that. They really want to

0:24:53.640 --> 0:24:58.200
<v Speaker 10>wean their dependence on US designers and providers like Nvidia

0:24:58.240 --> 0:25:02.480
<v Speaker 10>and like advanced micro devices for those chips that would

0:25:02.520 --> 0:25:06.280
<v Speaker 10>be powering artificial intelligence, which is an area that China

0:25:06.320 --> 0:25:09.280
<v Speaker 10>has also, like the US, staked the claimant and this

0:25:09.359 --> 0:25:13.480
<v Speaker 10>is giving wing to companies like Cambra con like Moors

0:25:14.960 --> 0:25:18.879
<v Speaker 10>and others that have really tried to make leaps and

0:25:18.920 --> 0:25:22.240
<v Speaker 10>strides in this area of AI chips. We can look

0:25:22.280 --> 0:25:27.680
<v Speaker 10>for further subsidies and further scientific support area in areas

0:25:27.720 --> 0:25:31.480
<v Speaker 10>to help these chip makers. And it's not just chipso

0:25:31.800 --> 0:25:36.639
<v Speaker 10>this is an effort that also focuses on robotics. It

0:25:36.680 --> 0:25:40.080
<v Speaker 10>also focuses on batteries as well, and rare earths, and

0:25:40.119 --> 0:25:43.040
<v Speaker 10>those are three areas where China already has a bit

0:25:43.080 --> 0:25:45.640
<v Speaker 10>of a global edge, and it's even showing that it

0:25:45.680 --> 0:25:49.560
<v Speaker 10>may use its advantage in those areas as potential choke

0:25:49.640 --> 0:25:53.600
<v Speaker 10>points in negotiations with trading partners like the US.

0:25:54.320 --> 0:25:57.360
<v Speaker 5>Talking in the US, now, what China has also got

0:25:57.520 --> 0:26:00.600
<v Speaker 5>leaps and bounds more of than the US is energy,

0:26:00.800 --> 0:26:03.840
<v Speaker 5>many would say, and the ability therefore to not have

0:26:03.880 --> 0:26:06.320
<v Speaker 5>to pass on costs of energy to consumers when they

0:26:06.359 --> 0:26:07.440
<v Speaker 5>ramp up their data center.

0:26:07.480 --> 0:26:09.280
<v Speaker 6>Is that something that's front and centered here in the US.

0:26:09.560 --> 0:26:11.960
<v Speaker 5>Just want to go back to what President Trump said

0:26:12.359 --> 0:26:15.400
<v Speaker 5>just yesterday having met with some of the leaders' tech

0:26:15.480 --> 0:26:17.880
<v Speaker 5>CEOs in Washington about those energy costs.

0:26:17.880 --> 0:26:18.520
<v Speaker 6>Take us to, Mike.

0:26:19.760 --> 0:26:24.119
<v Speaker 12>Under this new agreement, big tech companies are committing to

0:26:24.240 --> 0:26:28.600
<v Speaker 12>fully cover the costs of increased electricity production required for

0:26:28.720 --> 0:26:33.400
<v Speaker 12>AI data centers, and that would be prices for American

0:26:33.480 --> 0:26:38.000
<v Speaker 12>communities will not go up, but in many cases will

0:26:38.040 --> 0:26:40.080
<v Speaker 12>actually come down and very substantially.

0:26:40.800 --> 0:26:42.040
<v Speaker 6>What was committed to yesterday.

0:26:42.040 --> 0:26:45.800
<v Speaker 10>Mike, Well, it's a great question, Carol, because the commitment

0:26:46.160 --> 0:26:50.320
<v Speaker 10>is really something on paper that sounds really big sounding

0:26:50.560 --> 0:26:53.679
<v Speaker 10>that they will buy or build any additional power that

0:26:53.720 --> 0:26:56.800
<v Speaker 10>they need for all of those data centers that they

0:26:56.840 --> 0:27:00.640
<v Speaker 10>are pushing as part of the artificial intelligence and boom.

0:27:00.880 --> 0:27:04.800
<v Speaker 10>They will also work with states and localities on rate

0:27:04.920 --> 0:27:08.720
<v Speaker 10>increases that might be affected by whatever they are trying

0:27:08.720 --> 0:27:11.800
<v Speaker 10>to build in the way of all that data center infrastructure.

0:27:12.040 --> 0:27:16.280
<v Speaker 10>And they have also committed to fund any additional grid

0:27:16.680 --> 0:27:19.480
<v Speaker 10>or other infrastructure that will be needed to support all

0:27:19.520 --> 0:27:22.639
<v Speaker 10>that additional power supply. There is a catch though, and

0:27:22.680 --> 0:27:25.199
<v Speaker 10>that is that none of this is really binding. What

0:27:25.400 --> 0:27:28.600
<v Speaker 10>the company's signed doesn't really have teeth in it from

0:27:28.640 --> 0:27:32.040
<v Speaker 10>the federal government to actually force them to follow through

0:27:32.160 --> 0:27:33.000
<v Speaker 10>on any.

0:27:32.880 --> 0:27:33.800
<v Speaker 9>Of those pledges.

0:27:33.840 --> 0:27:36.560
<v Speaker 10>It will really be up to states and the utilities

0:27:36.600 --> 0:27:40.600
<v Speaker 10>to actually enforce any of that compliance on the ground,

0:27:40.840 --> 0:27:43.720
<v Speaker 10>either through regulation at the state level, and we have

0:27:43.760 --> 0:27:45.560
<v Speaker 10>seen that in New Jersey with the freeze on rate

0:27:45.640 --> 0:27:51.120
<v Speaker 10>hikes or in the negotiations over rate increases by utilities. Now,

0:27:51.200 --> 0:27:54.359
<v Speaker 10>one of the other big questions is on the state side,

0:27:54.400 --> 0:27:57.160
<v Speaker 10>and that is permitted. And a lot of these companies

0:27:57.200 --> 0:28:01.199
<v Speaker 10>that were present yesterday, that included Meta, micro Soft and

0:28:01.440 --> 0:28:05.440
<v Speaker 10>open Ai, they all are interested in building their own

0:28:05.560 --> 0:28:08.920
<v Speaker 10>power sources near those data centers. But what they need

0:28:08.960 --> 0:28:11.080
<v Speaker 10>is support on the state side to try to speed

0:28:11.080 --> 0:28:13.680
<v Speaker 10>the permitting. And that was another question that was left

0:28:13.720 --> 0:28:15.720
<v Speaker 10>open during yesterday's conversation.

0:28:16.560 --> 0:28:19.040
<v Speaker 3>But it was also a central tenet of the AI

0:28:19.119 --> 0:28:21.560
<v Speaker 3>Action Plan published last July, which shep you and I

0:28:21.600 --> 0:28:24.080
<v Speaker 3>went through in some detail. Right, we'll get to it

0:28:24.160 --> 0:28:27.440
<v Speaker 3>later in the week, Bloombergs Mike Shephard, Thank you very much, Carrie.

0:28:27.480 --> 0:28:28.920
<v Speaker 3>Plenty of other news headlines.

0:28:28.600 --> 0:28:31.119
<v Speaker 5>Today, there is and it's time now for Talking Taget

0:28:31.520 --> 0:28:35.879
<v Speaker 5>First up Nicey owner NYSE owner into the Continental Exchange,

0:28:36.000 --> 0:28:39.360
<v Speaker 5>is acquiring a stake in a cryptocurrency exchange operator Okax

0:28:39.600 --> 0:28:42.040
<v Speaker 5>and a deal that values the digital asset platform at

0:28:42.040 --> 0:28:44.760
<v Speaker 5>two five billion dollars now. According to the statement seen

0:28:44.800 --> 0:28:49.080
<v Speaker 5>by Bloomberg, I will get a seat on Okax's board.

0:28:49.240 --> 0:28:51.480
<v Speaker 6>Financial terms were not just slowed now.

0:28:51.840 --> 0:28:54.800
<v Speaker 5>Chares a stub Hub are plunging today after the ticket

0:28:54.800 --> 0:28:57.840
<v Speaker 5>reseller posted fourth quarter results and twenty twenty six outlook.

0:28:57.960 --> 0:28:59.400
<v Speaker 6>The fell short of estimates now, and.

0:28:59.440 --> 0:29:03.640
<v Speaker 5>I say comparison's particularly tough this year, noting the absence

0:29:03.680 --> 0:29:06.640
<v Speaker 5>of one tailor, Swift Tour that boosted sales in the

0:29:06.640 --> 0:29:07.360
<v Speaker 5>prior period.

0:29:07.600 --> 0:29:10.920
<v Speaker 6>At least two firms have downgraded the stock, and Aura

0:29:11.000 --> 0:29:13.160
<v Speaker 6>Health is acquiring Gesture.

0:29:12.760 --> 0:29:16.400
<v Speaker 5>Recognitions startup Double Point Technologies CEO Tom Hale says the

0:29:16.440 --> 0:29:19.480
<v Speaker 5>deal will help shape the future versions of Aura's smart rings,

0:29:19.600 --> 0:29:22.560
<v Speaker 5>potentially add in controls powered by voice.

0:29:22.320 --> 0:29:25.040
<v Speaker 6>And hand gestures. Terms they weren't disclosed dead.

0:29:25.920 --> 0:29:29.360
<v Speaker 3>Okay coming up Nominal CEO, Camera Record and founders from

0:29:29.440 --> 0:29:32.720
<v Speaker 3>partner Trey Stevens joined us talk about the startups, Ladies' fundings,

0:29:33.040 --> 0:29:37.480
<v Speaker 3>but also the effort to modernize US manufacturing through software.

0:29:37.600 --> 0:29:38.560
<v Speaker 2>So this is Bloomberg Tech.

0:29:44.720 --> 0:29:48.000
<v Speaker 3>Industrial software startup Nominal has raised an eighty million dollar

0:29:48.080 --> 0:29:50.920
<v Speaker 3>Series BE extension led by Founders Fund that brings the

0:29:50.920 --> 0:29:54.320
<v Speaker 3>company's valuation to one billion dollars at a time when

0:29:54.320 --> 0:29:57.880
<v Speaker 3>the US is increasingly focused on modernizing and rebuilding its

0:29:57.920 --> 0:30:02.360
<v Speaker 3>manufacturing capabilities. Camera mcords, Nomenal and Tray Stevens partner founds

0:30:02.360 --> 0:30:04.640
<v Speaker 3>funded with us too in San Francisco. A lot of

0:30:04.680 --> 0:30:06.320
<v Speaker 3>people say to me, I think you and I've discussed

0:30:06.360 --> 0:30:09.120
<v Speaker 3>this in the past as well, that the industrial sector

0:30:09.200 --> 0:30:12.760
<v Speaker 3>kind of missed cloud and the cloud revolution. And if

0:30:12.800 --> 0:30:14.160
<v Speaker 3>I was to try and summarize what it is you

0:30:14.160 --> 0:30:16.360
<v Speaker 3>want to do, you want to build the platform that

0:30:16.400 --> 0:30:19.760
<v Speaker 3>would account for that, it easier place to start would

0:30:19.760 --> 0:30:21.720
<v Speaker 3>be like, why did you need to raise more funds

0:30:21.720 --> 0:30:22.240
<v Speaker 3>to do that?

0:30:22.480 --> 0:30:23.440
<v Speaker 2>To move more quickly?

0:30:23.800 --> 0:30:26.000
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, well, thank you for having me ed. We've been

0:30:26.080 --> 0:30:28.920
<v Speaker 14>busy since the last ten months when I was in

0:30:28.960 --> 0:30:32.680
<v Speaker 14>the studio for our last financing. So we're building a

0:30:33.280 --> 0:30:37.680
<v Speaker 14>platform for hardware testing and operations, a fully integrated solution

0:30:37.800 --> 0:30:41.640
<v Speaker 14>for the modern era. Frankly, we hadn't touched the seventy

0:30:41.640 --> 0:30:45.000
<v Speaker 14>five million of capital that we raised earlier last year.

0:30:45.040 --> 0:30:49.400
<v Speaker 14>But when Founder's Fund approaches you, they approached us late

0:30:49.480 --> 0:30:52.800
<v Speaker 14>last year with an offer to lead a preemptive financing,

0:30:53.200 --> 0:30:55.400
<v Speaker 14>I think you take it very seriously. They have a

0:30:55.400 --> 0:30:59.040
<v Speaker 14>really unique position and vantage point in the industry, particularly

0:30:59.040 --> 0:31:03.440
<v Speaker 14>for companies building hardware, and I think particularly an interesting

0:31:03.480 --> 0:31:06.720
<v Speaker 14>insight into the work that we've been doing with Androil,

0:31:07.080 --> 0:31:09.360
<v Speaker 14>particularly which we announced a few weeks ago.

0:31:09.440 --> 0:31:10.440
<v Speaker 2>So this is the joint up.

0:31:10.440 --> 0:31:13.840
<v Speaker 3>It was Trey that phoned you, presumably, so this is

0:31:13.880 --> 0:31:15.720
<v Speaker 3>the intersection of what you're working on every day right

0:31:15.920 --> 0:31:18.520
<v Speaker 3>with ander Rail as executive chair. But also like the

0:31:18.520 --> 0:31:21.360
<v Speaker 3>types of companies you invest in through Founders Fund, I

0:31:21.360 --> 0:31:24.280
<v Speaker 3>always know you separate those two when it comes to

0:31:24.600 --> 0:31:27.600
<v Speaker 3>Anderil and Founders Funds backing of them. But what was

0:31:27.640 --> 0:31:30.200
<v Speaker 3>the thesis for you with Nominal Why did you think

0:31:30.240 --> 0:31:32.960
<v Speaker 3>that this was an important name to back?

0:31:33.360 --> 0:31:36.880
<v Speaker 15>Well, you know, there's been an explosion in enterprise SaaS.

0:31:37.280 --> 0:31:41.600
<v Speaker 15>There's a literal infinite number of companies that you could

0:31:42.000 --> 0:31:44.920
<v Speaker 15>bring on to help with enterprise software kind of problems

0:31:44.960 --> 0:31:49.360
<v Speaker 15>inside of an organization. But any reasonable efficient organization is

0:31:49.400 --> 0:31:51.080
<v Speaker 15>going to take an approach of trying to cut as

0:31:51.160 --> 0:31:53.960
<v Speaker 15>much of that out as possible to minimize the spin

0:31:54.120 --> 0:31:56.800
<v Speaker 15>for the org. So there are no nice to have

0:31:57.400 --> 0:32:01.200
<v Speaker 15>nice to have Enterprise software is not not good at ANDROL.

0:32:01.320 --> 0:32:05.360
<v Speaker 15>You know, we have a incredibly intense process coming from

0:32:05.360 --> 0:32:08.160
<v Speaker 15>my co founder Matt Grimm and our chief information officer

0:32:08.200 --> 0:32:11.600
<v Speaker 15>Tom Bosco, who are constantly trying to weed out all

0:32:11.640 --> 0:32:14.960
<v Speaker 15>of the excess spend. But in that same process you

0:32:15.040 --> 0:32:18.680
<v Speaker 15>come across software that's critical, things that you really really need,

0:32:18.720 --> 0:32:21.040
<v Speaker 15>that are it's worth the money, it's worth the time

0:32:21.080 --> 0:32:24.480
<v Speaker 15>and effort. Nominal is one of those products that we

0:32:24.600 --> 0:32:27.960
<v Speaker 15>use inside the enterprise. We were already investors at Founder's Fund,

0:32:27.960 --> 0:32:31.080
<v Speaker 15>but it certainly increased the conviction when you know that

0:32:31.600 --> 0:32:33.719
<v Speaker 15>an organization that I obviously worked day to day very

0:32:33.720 --> 0:32:36.959
<v Speaker 15>closely with was adamant that we needed to have our

0:32:37.000 --> 0:32:37.480
<v Speaker 15>hands on this.

0:32:38.160 --> 0:32:42.200
<v Speaker 5>Cameron, your background is fascinating and also what's notable is

0:32:42.200 --> 0:32:45.760
<v Speaker 5>how you talk about this mission critical necessity for the

0:32:45.800 --> 0:32:48.240
<v Speaker 5>software that you're building at the moment. I mean, front

0:32:48.320 --> 0:32:51.200
<v Speaker 5>end center is the geopolitical issue that currently confronts us.

0:32:51.400 --> 0:32:53.520
<v Speaker 5>How are you seeing engineers leaning on the software at

0:32:53.560 --> 0:32:56.120
<v Speaker 5>the moment, how much you thinking about this being ever

0:32:56.200 --> 0:32:56.840
<v Speaker 5>more integral.

0:32:58.240 --> 0:33:01.280
<v Speaker 14>No, thank you, Carolyn. Yeah, I think we think of

0:33:01.320 --> 0:33:04.840
<v Speaker 14>Nominal as building very serious software and building on Trade's

0:33:04.840 --> 0:33:07.840
<v Speaker 14>point in an era where the last two decades saw

0:33:07.840 --> 0:33:12.560
<v Speaker 14>a lot of very unserious software optimized for dot Com

0:33:13.280 --> 0:33:17.520
<v Speaker 14>era sign ups, clicks et, cetera. But the engineers that

0:33:17.640 --> 0:33:21.840
<v Speaker 14>use Nominal and trust it every single day, they're instrumenting hardware,

0:33:22.160 --> 0:33:26.160
<v Speaker 14>they're automating very complex tasks. They're watching their hardware systems

0:33:26.160 --> 0:33:29.240
<v Speaker 14>deployed in the field in operations, and so it has

0:33:29.320 --> 0:33:32.280
<v Speaker 14>to work. It is the definition of mission critical, especially

0:33:32.320 --> 0:33:35.440
<v Speaker 14>at a time when that's increasing and the world is

0:33:35.440 --> 0:33:36.160
<v Speaker 14>moving faster and.

0:33:36.080 --> 0:33:39.200
<v Speaker 6>Faster automating complex tasks. Trey.

0:33:39.840 --> 0:33:43.360
<v Speaker 5>That is at the heart of a disagreement that's currently

0:33:43.440 --> 0:33:45.600
<v Speaker 5>upon us with Anthropic and the Pentagon, And we know

0:33:45.600 --> 0:33:49.160
<v Speaker 5>that conversations have started again in private between those two entities.

0:33:49.240 --> 0:33:52.120
<v Speaker 5>But how do you think about some of the ethical

0:33:52.640 --> 0:33:56.360
<v Speaker 5>confrontation that consume a focused AI enterprise That focus AI

0:33:56.480 --> 0:33:58.520
<v Speaker 5>is currently being confronted with with its use in the military.

0:33:58.520 --> 0:34:00.400
<v Speaker 5>This is something you've had to think about first, almost

0:34:00.480 --> 0:34:01.480
<v Speaker 5>ages ago with Andrei.

0:34:02.920 --> 0:34:05.960
<v Speaker 15>Yeah, you're absolutely right, you know, being able to give

0:34:06.040 --> 0:34:09.120
<v Speaker 15>our warfighters the capabilities that they need to be successful

0:34:09.560 --> 0:34:11.560
<v Speaker 15>not only in deterring conflict.

0:34:11.160 --> 0:34:12.240
<v Speaker 9>But in winning conflict.

0:34:12.400 --> 0:34:15.080
<v Speaker 15>If we would you get to a point where we

0:34:15.120 --> 0:34:18.480
<v Speaker 15>needed to do, that is incredibly important. And I think

0:34:18.600 --> 0:34:22.920
<v Speaker 15>there's nothing more ethical than engaging in good faith with

0:34:23.000 --> 0:34:28.600
<v Speaker 15>our institutions, our democratic institutions, to make sure that American companies,

0:34:28.719 --> 0:34:33.279
<v Speaker 15>leading American companies, leading American technology companies are sitting alongside

0:34:33.320 --> 0:34:37.560
<v Speaker 15>in partnership with those democratic institutions. So, you know, super

0:34:37.640 --> 0:34:39.720
<v Speaker 15>proud to do that at ANDREL and a know Cameron

0:34:39.760 --> 0:34:41.520
<v Speaker 15>is super proud to do that at Nominal as well.

0:34:41.880 --> 0:34:44.279
<v Speaker 3>I'm trying to think how we can talk about what's

0:34:44.320 --> 0:34:46.279
<v Speaker 3>happening in the war in Iran in the context of

0:34:46.280 --> 0:34:48.680
<v Speaker 3>what normal actually does right. The defense sector is one

0:34:48.680 --> 0:34:51.000
<v Speaker 3>of is a part of your customer base. And what

0:34:51.040 --> 0:34:53.040
<v Speaker 3>I've been trying to understand when normal is is it

0:34:53.080 --> 0:34:57.160
<v Speaker 3>the software that's manufacted is helping to manage the asset

0:34:57.200 --> 0:35:00.440
<v Speaker 3>that is the factory or the output of the factory.

0:35:00.600 --> 0:35:03.719
<v Speaker 3>That's quite an interesting distinction because throughout the week we've

0:35:03.719 --> 0:35:08.240
<v Speaker 3>been talking about the rundown of short range, long range munitions,

0:35:08.239 --> 0:35:10.959
<v Speaker 3>the different technologies that the play in irom How would

0:35:10.960 --> 0:35:13.240
<v Speaker 3>Nominal help make that process better.

0:35:13.640 --> 0:35:13.839
<v Speaker 9>Yeah.

0:35:13.880 --> 0:35:17.200
<v Speaker 14>Really, Ed, we're trying to own the end to end process.

0:35:17.239 --> 0:35:20.560
<v Speaker 14>So really everything from the end of a manufacturing production

0:35:20.640 --> 0:35:24.440
<v Speaker 14>line through to the experimentation R and D sort of

0:35:24.480 --> 0:35:26.880
<v Speaker 14>lab testing of those systems, and then the end deployment.

0:35:26.920 --> 0:35:29.040
<v Speaker 14>And a lot of the thesis behind Nomenal is those

0:35:29.040 --> 0:35:33.960
<v Speaker 14>who have become very siloed operations and you gain huge efficiency, speed,

0:35:34.239 --> 0:35:37.120
<v Speaker 14>scale reliability if you actually can link sort of a

0:35:37.160 --> 0:35:40.480
<v Speaker 14>common data platform that entire process. I always say, I

0:35:40.520 --> 0:35:41.759
<v Speaker 14>said this last time I was on the show. The

0:35:42.239 --> 0:35:46.400
<v Speaker 14>biggest I think tester and validator of advanced hardware systems

0:35:46.480 --> 0:35:50.200
<v Speaker 14>is the US, the partner of war, and we're very

0:35:50.200 --> 0:35:53.400
<v Speaker 14>proud to support that mission. For US, it's we are

0:35:53.440 --> 0:35:55.560
<v Speaker 14>an engineering tool, you know, full stop, and so we

0:35:55.600 --> 0:35:58.920
<v Speaker 14>try to give those who needed the best, most modern

0:35:58.920 --> 0:36:00.000
<v Speaker 14>tools to support their mission.

0:36:00.400 --> 0:36:03.799
<v Speaker 3>Trey, you are the executive chair of ANDERIL. Could I

0:36:03.840 --> 0:36:07.239
<v Speaker 3>ask simply if any aerial technology has been deployed or

0:36:07.360 --> 0:36:11.080
<v Speaker 3>used in Iran and what the footprint is there and

0:36:11.120 --> 0:36:14.640
<v Speaker 3>also where Nomenal kind of fits in in managing that process.

0:36:15.200 --> 0:36:17.480
<v Speaker 15>Yeah, I mean, we have all sorts of primarily counter

0:36:17.520 --> 0:36:21.759
<v Speaker 15>airr systems that are present in conflict zones. So we

0:36:21.840 --> 0:36:25.160
<v Speaker 15>are actively working day to day with the department in

0:36:25.200 --> 0:36:28.480
<v Speaker 15>ongoing operations. Obviously can't give a whole lot of details

0:36:28.480 --> 0:36:31.520
<v Speaker 15>beyond that, but you know, this is kind of one

0:36:31.560 --> 0:36:34.279
<v Speaker 15>of the challenges of building a defense technology company is

0:36:34.280 --> 0:36:37.840
<v Speaker 15>that you don't build for the wars of yesterday or

0:36:37.840 --> 0:36:40.000
<v Speaker 15>the wars of today. It takes time to integrate these

0:36:40.040 --> 0:36:43.080
<v Speaker 15>things into concepts of operation. So the work that we're

0:36:43.080 --> 0:36:44.920
<v Speaker 15>doing in the region is work that we've actually been

0:36:44.920 --> 0:36:46.880
<v Speaker 15>doing for a long time. It's not that we just

0:36:46.920 --> 0:36:49.360
<v Speaker 15>showed up, you know, in the moment of the conflict.

0:36:50.200 --> 0:36:52.120
<v Speaker 15>And I think that a lot of this goes to

0:36:52.200 --> 0:36:55.440
<v Speaker 15>the test and evaluation operations is you know, getting to

0:36:55.560 --> 0:36:59.000
<v Speaker 15>preparedness so that you're not just building a technology demonstrator,

0:36:59.080 --> 0:37:02.120
<v Speaker 15>but you're building something when it's resilient and that is

0:37:02.160 --> 0:37:04.759
<v Speaker 15>going to work in times of conflict. That requires a

0:37:04.760 --> 0:37:07.279
<v Speaker 15>lot of reps and it's much harder to do than

0:37:07.320 --> 0:37:09.719
<v Speaker 15>it is with just doing like a sim for software.

0:37:09.880 --> 0:37:12.920
<v Speaker 15>These things have lives and debt, like they have human

0:37:13.000 --> 0:37:16.360
<v Speaker 15>lives involved in them, and you can't afford to make mistakes.

0:37:16.960 --> 0:37:18.319
<v Speaker 2>So, you know, we're super proud of.

0:37:18.320 --> 0:37:21.239
<v Speaker 15>Partner with Nominal to make sure that we're ready, We're

0:37:21.280 --> 0:37:24.160
<v Speaker 15>ready for game time. When when that shows up like

0:37:24.239 --> 0:37:25.120
<v Speaker 15>it hasn't aroun.

0:37:25.080 --> 0:37:26.040
<v Speaker 2>Trey, can I also ask you.

0:37:26.080 --> 0:37:29.120
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg reported this week that Anderil is looking to raise

0:37:29.120 --> 0:37:33.399
<v Speaker 3>about four billion dollars with Andresen and Thrive Co leading

0:37:33.440 --> 0:37:36.000
<v Speaker 3>the round. A comment on that, but also, what is

0:37:36.040 --> 0:37:38.960
<v Speaker 3>it that Anderil needs funding for right now? You're building

0:37:38.960 --> 0:37:41.040
<v Speaker 3>in Ohio, you're expanding in California.

0:37:41.440 --> 0:37:42.759
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I mean, you nailed it.

0:37:42.800 --> 0:37:46.000
<v Speaker 15>The challenge is going from being a defense technology company

0:37:46.000 --> 0:37:48.520
<v Speaker 15>where you're building thousands of things to being a defense

0:37:48.600 --> 0:37:51.760
<v Speaker 15>manufacturing juggernaut where you're building tens of thousands of things.

0:37:52.560 --> 0:37:54.319
<v Speaker 15>I can't think of a whole lot of companies in

0:37:54.320 --> 0:37:57.480
<v Speaker 15>the last twenty years new companies that have set up

0:37:57.719 --> 0:38:00.880
<v Speaker 15>mass scale manufacturing. Maybe Tesla is the only real example.

0:38:01.320 --> 0:38:03.760
<v Speaker 15>And role is on the path to, you know, trying

0:38:03.760 --> 0:38:06.160
<v Speaker 15>to be number two in that in that space, and

0:38:06.360 --> 0:38:08.319
<v Speaker 15>that's going to require a lot of capital, and it's

0:38:08.320 --> 0:38:11.759
<v Speaker 15>going to require partnership from the Department to get that

0:38:11.800 --> 0:38:14.120
<v Speaker 15>off the ground, which is Department of War, the Department

0:38:14.160 --> 0:38:16.080
<v Speaker 15>of Work, which is where we are right now, and

0:38:16.120 --> 0:38:18.520
<v Speaker 15>it will require partnership with companies like Nominal as well

0:38:18.600 --> 0:38:21.960
<v Speaker 15>to make sure that we are fielding capable systems and

0:38:22.000 --> 0:38:25.080
<v Speaker 15>we're scaling in a way where we're delivering a functioning

0:38:25.120 --> 0:38:30.240
<v Speaker 15>capability rather than just a technology demonstrator or prototype.

0:38:30.520 --> 0:38:33.600
<v Speaker 5>Cameron, I reference that you had a fascinating background. You

0:38:33.640 --> 0:38:36.520
<v Speaker 5>worked at Androl yourself. You've been an investor yourself at Lux.

0:38:36.520 --> 0:38:41.600
<v Speaker 5>You've also been heading up sale drone as well the defense.

0:38:41.680 --> 0:38:45.160
<v Speaker 5>You're head of defense for sale drone on autonomous maritime companies.

0:38:45.200 --> 0:38:48.000
<v Speaker 5>So you've been thinking about all of these questions that

0:38:48.160 --> 0:38:54.400
<v Speaker 5>currently investors, builders and the community written larger thinking about

0:38:54.920 --> 0:38:57.160
<v Speaker 5>how what was the signal you think has been sent

0:38:57.200 --> 0:39:00.279
<v Speaker 5>by the Pentagon with its feud with Anthropic and how

0:39:00.280 --> 0:39:02.239
<v Speaker 5>does it make you feel building alongside the government at

0:39:02.239 --> 0:39:02.560
<v Speaker 5>the moment?

0:39:04.000 --> 0:39:06.360
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, I think you know, we we at Nominal, we

0:39:06.360 --> 0:39:09.719
<v Speaker 14>think a lot about where AI will intersect with our

0:39:10.280 --> 0:39:14.360
<v Speaker 14>technology area, and I think the uh, the unfortunate reality

0:39:14.440 --> 0:39:17.759
<v Speaker 14>is in the industrial sector, in the hardware world, much

0:39:17.800 --> 0:39:21.400
<v Speaker 14>of the software and technology is so antiquated that it

0:39:21.480 --> 0:39:25.800
<v Speaker 14>is just now I think becoming AI ready and AI adjacent,

0:39:25.800 --> 0:39:28.799
<v Speaker 14>and we are working to help a lot of our customers, uh,

0:39:28.840 --> 0:39:32.000
<v Speaker 14>you know, operationalize that that technology. I think in terms

0:39:32.080 --> 0:39:35.160
<v Speaker 14>of partnerships with the Department of War, the messages that

0:39:35.200 --> 0:39:38.400
<v Speaker 14>we get loud and clear are you know, speed and

0:39:38.440 --> 0:39:41.520
<v Speaker 14>scale are our paramount and Nominal plays a huge part

0:39:41.520 --> 0:39:44.479
<v Speaker 14>in helping all types of uh, you know, companies fuel

0:39:44.560 --> 0:39:46.359
<v Speaker 14>those systems to meet that resilient need.

0:39:46.960 --> 0:39:51.319
<v Speaker 5>Camera McCord, CEO Nominal and the Tree Stevens partner at

0:39:51.320 --> 0:39:54.239
<v Speaker 5>Founders Fund. Fascinating to have you both join. We really

0:39:54.280 --> 0:39:58.120
<v Speaker 5>appreciate it. Now coming up, El mask is putting millions

0:39:58.120 --> 0:40:00.080
<v Speaker 5>into the Kentucky GOP primary.

0:40:00.320 --> 0:40:03.200
<v Speaker 6>How is it going off? That's next? This is bluembg tech.

0:40:06.440 --> 0:40:09.359
<v Speaker 5>Elol Musk told a jury that his twenty twenty two

0:40:09.400 --> 0:40:10.959
<v Speaker 5>posts about putting pandsled by.

0:40:10.840 --> 0:40:13.080
<v Speaker 6>Twitch on hold was not one of his wisest.

0:40:13.520 --> 0:40:17.000
<v Speaker 5>Musk was testifying in a trial alleging he purposely drove

0:40:17.040 --> 0:40:19.480
<v Speaker 5>down Twitter's share price during his negotiations to buy the

0:40:19.480 --> 0:40:21.520
<v Speaker 5>Company's Max Chafkin joins us.

0:40:21.520 --> 0:40:23.439
<v Speaker 6>Now, it's not the first time that El Muscus.

0:40:23.080 --> 0:40:26.000
<v Speaker 5>Has his social media posts sort of breaked over the

0:40:26.000 --> 0:40:26.520
<v Speaker 5>calls by this.

0:40:26.840 --> 0:40:29.400
<v Speaker 16>No, this is a long running thing, and in fact

0:40:29.440 --> 0:40:32.200
<v Speaker 16>often in these cases his best defense is that he

0:40:32.239 --> 0:40:34.360
<v Speaker 16>tweets a lot, and you know, his tweets are not

0:40:34.400 --> 0:40:37.560
<v Speaker 16>always taken seriously, and you know there is something too

0:40:37.560 --> 0:40:40.520
<v Speaker 16>that that of course came up during the funding secured

0:40:41.400 --> 0:40:45.000
<v Speaker 16>dispute of twenty seventeen or twenty eighteen, when he threatened

0:40:45.000 --> 0:40:47.120
<v Speaker 16>to buy out Tesla and then was accused of not

0:40:47.160 --> 0:40:49.360
<v Speaker 16>having the money. So I think it's going to be

0:40:49.840 --> 0:40:52.040
<v Speaker 16>the same story we've seen over and over again, which

0:40:52.080 --> 0:40:55.600
<v Speaker 16>is just that he has a tendency to speak his mind.

0:40:55.680 --> 0:40:59.080
<v Speaker 16>Let's let's put it mildly on Twitter in ways that

0:40:59.200 --> 0:41:03.720
<v Speaker 16>sort of don't fall traditional securities norms or sometimes rules.

0:41:05.080 --> 0:41:08.520
<v Speaker 3>Max lost August, you and I tried to dissect what

0:41:08.560 --> 0:41:11.240
<v Speaker 3>the net result was from from Ela Musk going.

0:41:11.080 --> 0:41:11.920
<v Speaker 2>Into the White House.

0:41:12.280 --> 0:41:15.640
<v Speaker 3>Your latest for BusinessWeek is is again like his financial

0:41:15.719 --> 0:41:19.480
<v Speaker 3>backing of certain races, this time in Kentucky.

0:41:19.600 --> 0:41:22.480
<v Speaker 2>Like what's the learning here? What are you writing it? Well?

0:41:22.520 --> 0:41:25.720
<v Speaker 16>So top line, ed, I think that the Musk Trump

0:41:25.800 --> 0:41:29.440
<v Speaker 16>alliance is very much back now. Maybe things are uneasy

0:41:29.520 --> 0:41:31.879
<v Speaker 16>a little not as not as kind of friendly as

0:41:31.880 --> 0:41:34.640
<v Speaker 16>they were when he was had you know, constant access

0:41:34.680 --> 0:41:37.160
<v Speaker 16>to the Oval Office and his child was kind of

0:41:37.160 --> 0:41:39.719
<v Speaker 16>clowning around with the President of the United States. But

0:41:39.800 --> 0:41:44.000
<v Speaker 16>he is certainly in the you know, in the circle

0:41:44.040 --> 0:41:48.160
<v Speaker 16>of friends. Now, this race is interesting because the candidate

0:41:48.160 --> 0:41:51.240
<v Speaker 16>that Elon Musk is backing, Nate Morris, is very close

0:41:51.280 --> 0:41:51.680
<v Speaker 16>to JD.

0:41:51.840 --> 0:41:52.120
<v Speaker 9>Vance.

0:41:52.840 --> 0:41:56.160
<v Speaker 16>My sense is that Elon and Nate Morris do not

0:41:56.200 --> 0:41:59.440
<v Speaker 16>have any you know, pre existing connection. This is really

0:41:59.480 --> 0:42:02.800
<v Speaker 16>a jdv thing. He is kind of backing the person

0:42:03.040 --> 0:42:04.080
<v Speaker 16>who is close to JD.

0:42:04.239 --> 0:42:04.520
<v Speaker 9>Vance.

0:42:04.800 --> 0:42:07.560
<v Speaker 16>And when you look at this race, it is kind

0:42:07.600 --> 0:42:10.440
<v Speaker 16>of like a miniature version of the Jdvans thing. You

0:42:10.520 --> 0:42:14.560
<v Speaker 16>have a candidate in Kentucky who is very well connected

0:42:14.560 --> 0:42:17.120
<v Speaker 16>with tech donors. Nate Morris also connected to Peter Teel.

0:42:17.200 --> 0:42:19.719
<v Speaker 16>He started a tech company called Rubicon, which was the

0:42:19.840 --> 0:42:24.600
<v Speaker 16>uber of trash but not necessarily hitting it off with voters.

0:42:24.800 --> 0:42:27.360
<v Speaker 16>The polls, I'll just say, have been a little bit spotty,

0:42:27.400 --> 0:42:30.600
<v Speaker 16>including after this huge infusion.

0:42:30.160 --> 0:42:31.479
<v Speaker 2>Of money from Elon Musk.

0:42:31.520 --> 0:42:34.600
<v Speaker 16>Ten million dollars has gone into Kentucky advertising.

0:42:35.320 --> 0:42:37.200
<v Speaker 6>So do we think it's going to be effective?

0:42:38.360 --> 0:42:40.520
<v Speaker 5>Have we dissected whether it's effective in.

0:42:40.480 --> 0:42:45.920
<v Speaker 16>The past So far it hasn't paid off. But I'll say,

0:42:46.000 --> 0:42:49.160
<v Speaker 16>number one, there are a lot of undecided voters. When

0:42:49.160 --> 0:42:51.319
<v Speaker 16>you look at the polling, you know, between twenty and

0:42:51.360 --> 0:42:54.480
<v Speaker 16>forty percent of the voters in Kentucky, you're STI undecided.

0:42:54.640 --> 0:42:57.200
<v Speaker 16>So maybe they've seen a few ads, but they haven't

0:42:57.200 --> 0:42:59.880
<v Speaker 16>made up their mind. That is one potential factor. And

0:43:00.120 --> 0:43:03.239
<v Speaker 16>the other potential factor, and this is huge, cannot be underestimated,

0:43:03.280 --> 0:43:06.319
<v Speaker 16>is Donald Trump. A lot of these races are essentially

0:43:06.440 --> 0:43:08.560
<v Speaker 16>running for Donald Trump's endorsement.

0:43:08.800 --> 0:43:09.359
<v Speaker 9>That was JD.

0:43:09.480 --> 0:43:12.920
<v Speaker 16>Vance's plan and I think that's Name Morris's plan here.

0:43:13.239 --> 0:43:15.680
<v Speaker 16>And the truth is that part of what Trump is

0:43:15.680 --> 0:43:17.719
<v Speaker 16>looking at is can you raise money? And so that

0:43:18.120 --> 0:43:19.719
<v Speaker 16>is something you can do with the world surges man.

0:43:20.160 --> 0:43:23.520
<v Speaker 5>You can Max Schaffkin across this for BusinessWeek and for

0:43:23.600 --> 0:43:23.959
<v Speaker 5>our show.

0:43:23.960 --> 0:43:26.279
<v Speaker 6>We appreciate it. That does it for the decision A

0:43:26.320 --> 0:43:28.120
<v Speaker 6>Bloomberg tech head.

0:43:28.160 --> 0:43:29.160
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, check out the pod.

0:43:29.280 --> 0:43:30.919
<v Speaker 3>You know where to find it from New York City

0:43:30.960 --> 0:43:33.200
<v Speaker 3>and San Francisco. This is Bloomberg Tech