1 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:08,280 --> 00:00:12,160 Speaker 2: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live 3 00:00:12,240 --> 00:00:14,960 Speaker 2: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple card playing and 4 00:00:15,080 --> 00:00:17,920 Speaker 2: Broid Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand 5 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:22,360 Speaker 2: wherever you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube. 6 00:00:23,720 --> 00:00:26,040 Speaker 3: One of the names really in the news today for 7 00:00:26,079 --> 00:00:29,040 Speaker 3: not the good reasons is super Micro Computer. 8 00:00:29,800 --> 00:00:31,800 Speaker 4: It's order to resign. That's not good. 9 00:00:31,840 --> 00:00:33,919 Speaker 3: The stock's all thirty percent on that news. Let's break 10 00:00:33,960 --> 00:00:36,640 Speaker 3: down what's going over there, because this was a high 11 00:00:36,640 --> 00:00:40,600 Speaker 3: flying AI type stock that peaked about one hundred and 12 00:00:40,600 --> 00:00:42,160 Speaker 3: eighty dollars a share back in March. 13 00:00:42,240 --> 00:00:44,040 Speaker 5: Yeah, it added to the s and P five hundred 14 00:00:44,080 --> 00:00:45,479 Speaker 5: back in March, right, so. 15 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:47,319 Speaker 3: Right at the all time Hi, but boy down at 16 00:00:47,320 --> 00:00:49,800 Speaker 3: thirty four dollars I share it now. Wu Jinhoge joins us. 17 00:00:49,800 --> 00:00:52,599 Speaker 3: He's a senior technology analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence. He's sat 18 00:00:52,680 --> 00:00:56,080 Speaker 3: in our Princeton, New Jersey office. Which what happened today 19 00:00:56,200 --> 00:00:57,880 Speaker 3: over at super micro Computer? 20 00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:03,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, so thanks Paul. Look, there's been some filing delays 21 00:01:03,320 --> 00:01:07,399 Speaker 1: at super Micro, some differences of opinion in terms of 22 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:10,800 Speaker 1: the auditor and the management team and Essentially, the uh, 23 00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:15,880 Speaker 1: the uditor resigned due to quote unquote integrity issues with 24 00:01:15,959 --> 00:01:16,960 Speaker 1: the management team there. 25 00:01:17,400 --> 00:01:21,520 Speaker 4: And and this isn't like Joe's CPAs. This is this 26 00:01:21,560 --> 00:01:23,280 Speaker 4: is a big deal resigning and. 27 00:01:23,280 --> 00:01:27,839 Speaker 3: This does not happen often at all. So what's Ernst 28 00:01:27,840 --> 00:01:32,399 Speaker 3: and Young saying about why they resigned, Well, you know, 29 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:33,520 Speaker 3: in the. 30 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:36,600 Speaker 1: AK filing, essentially Ernest and Young is saying that there 31 00:01:36,640 --> 00:01:39,240 Speaker 1: were some differences of opinion and they didn't think that 32 00:01:39,720 --> 00:01:44,080 Speaker 1: there was enough transparency from the auditor committee as well 33 00:01:44,120 --> 00:01:49,920 Speaker 1: as integrity issues from the auditor committee. So look, quite 34 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:53,600 Speaker 1: quite frankly, it's the first time I've ever seen language 35 00:01:53,640 --> 00:01:55,960 Speaker 1: like that. And the other thing that I can state 36 00:01:56,400 --> 00:01:59,320 Speaker 1: is that, you know, Ersten Young is the second auditor 37 00:01:59,400 --> 00:02:02,240 Speaker 1: that super Micro had in the span of eighteen months, 38 00:02:02,240 --> 00:02:03,960 Speaker 1: so they were supposed to clean up the issues from 39 00:02:03,960 --> 00:02:08,280 Speaker 1: the prior orditor, and it sounds like they found issues 40 00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:10,399 Speaker 1: that just couldn't be resolved. 41 00:02:10,560 --> 00:02:14,200 Speaker 5: And of course the resignation comes after news broke last 42 00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 5: month that the DOJ had launched a probe into an 43 00:02:16,880 --> 00:02:20,720 Speaker 5: ex employee's claims that super Micro actually valulated accounting rules. 44 00:02:20,720 --> 00:02:23,200 Speaker 5: What do we know so far about how many different 45 00:02:23,240 --> 00:02:25,120 Speaker 5: issues there are kind of more broadly when it comes 46 00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:25,760 Speaker 5: to this company. 47 00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:26,920 Speaker 6: Yeah, so. 48 00:02:29,080 --> 00:02:33,000 Speaker 1: Not much news has come out of the DOJ probe, 49 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:37,480 Speaker 1: but it is bringing up some older issues that caused 50 00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:41,799 Speaker 1: their delisting roughly three or four years back. Essentially, they 51 00:02:41,800 --> 00:02:44,400 Speaker 1: were very aggressive on their accounting side, and it seems 52 00:02:44,400 --> 00:02:47,120 Speaker 1: as if, based on a short report that came out 53 00:02:47,160 --> 00:02:50,640 Speaker 1: in July, it seems as if they went back to 54 00:02:50,720 --> 00:02:54,680 Speaker 1: their old ways in the recent months, in recent quarters. 55 00:02:54,919 --> 00:02:58,440 Speaker 3: Well, which just as an outside observer here, I see 56 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:00,920 Speaker 3: a story like this and I say, we need change 57 00:03:00,960 --> 00:03:03,320 Speaker 3: at the board level, and I need change in the 58 00:03:03,400 --> 00:03:05,960 Speaker 3: c suite level. Are you hearing calls from some of 59 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:09,760 Speaker 3: their shareholders for some types of moves like that. 60 00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:15,480 Speaker 1: Well, that's how we tidled. Are we react report? It's like, look, 61 00:03:15,520 --> 00:03:17,960 Speaker 1: super Micro needs more than an orditor to change to 62 00:03:17,960 --> 00:03:22,119 Speaker 1: fix this, and we were concerned about their corporate governance. 63 00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:26,000 Speaker 1: If you keep in mind that there aren't many independent 64 00:03:26,040 --> 00:03:29,760 Speaker 1: board members, one of whom includes the wife of the CEO, 65 00:03:31,320 --> 00:03:33,840 Speaker 1: there really needs to be a lot more independence on 66 00:03:33,840 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 1: the board. And quite frankly, given the now growing concerns 67 00:03:38,960 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 1: of financial mofeasings, I think the CFO has to go 68 00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:45,880 Speaker 1: and you know, if they can't clean this up, there 69 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:48,160 Speaker 1: might be a need for a change at the top. 70 00:03:48,600 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 5: Paul mentioned the stocks being that we've been seeing in 71 00:03:51,280 --> 00:03:53,840 Speaker 5: it so far today down over thirty percent on Paceports, 72 00:03:53,880 --> 00:03:57,800 Speaker 5: worst day since October of twenty eighteen. From a technical perspective, 73 00:03:57,840 --> 00:03:59,640 Speaker 5: how much more pain do you think there is to 74 00:03:59,720 --> 00:04:00,200 Speaker 5: run here? 75 00:04:01,160 --> 00:04:06,200 Speaker 1: Well, the question is is, you know, are the revenues real? 76 00:04:06,400 --> 00:04:09,800 Speaker 1: I do think that the revenues are real. I don't 77 00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:13,280 Speaker 1: know how real the profitability may be, right because there 78 00:04:13,320 --> 00:04:18,000 Speaker 1: are multiple ways to probably manipulate the numbers. The one 79 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:20,680 Speaker 1: thing that we wrote is that you know, the near 80 00:04:20,760 --> 00:04:23,120 Speaker 1: term deals are probably intact because it's really tough to 81 00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:27,840 Speaker 1: change switch vendors for an AI deal. But longer term 82 00:04:27,880 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 1: there are going to be downs in terms of water activity. 83 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:33,800 Speaker 1: I'm working with super micro, so it's going to be 84 00:04:33,880 --> 00:04:37,080 Speaker 1: the future outlook going forward that that could be at 85 00:04:37,160 --> 00:04:39,400 Speaker 1: risk and could drive the stock going forward. 86 00:04:39,760 --> 00:04:41,279 Speaker 4: All right, well, just thanks so much for joining us. 87 00:04:41,320 --> 00:04:44,240 Speaker 3: Woujin Hoo, he's a senior technology channels for Bloomberg Intelligence. 88 00:04:44,680 --> 00:04:47,440 Speaker 3: He's based on there in our Princeton office. Again, the 89 00:04:47,480 --> 00:04:51,080 Speaker 3: stock off thirty percent today. S MCI is the ticker. 90 00:04:51,440 --> 00:04:55,039 Speaker 3: Despite that, it's still up about twenty percent on the year. Yeah, 91 00:04:55,080 --> 00:04:57,120 Speaker 3: it's got a market cap right now, just about twenty 92 00:04:57,120 --> 00:05:00,279 Speaker 3: billion dollars. But again, this thing back in March of 93 00:05:00,560 --> 00:05:02,120 Speaker 3: this year was one hundred and eighty. 94 00:05:01,920 --> 00:05:02,360 Speaker 6: Dollars, right. 95 00:05:02,400 --> 00:05:04,200 Speaker 5: It had been the best performing stock in the S 96 00:05:04,240 --> 00:05:06,720 Speaker 5: and P five hundred at one point for the year, 97 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:09,039 Speaker 5: even outpacing in videos earnings. But then once you see 98 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:10,799 Speaker 5: these big declines, obviously not anymore. 99 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:13,680 Speaker 3: And Wujin saying that this is the second auditor they 100 00:05:13,839 --> 00:05:15,880 Speaker 3: had in eighteen months, I think tells you all you 101 00:05:15,920 --> 00:05:17,520 Speaker 3: need to know here. It's just it kind of goes 102 00:05:17,560 --> 00:05:21,040 Speaker 3: to a credibility of their reported financial results. And if 103 00:05:21,080 --> 00:05:23,640 Speaker 3: as an investor, if you don't feel comfortable with, you know, 104 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:26,680 Speaker 3: the financial results, Yeah, it's tough to put evaluation on that. 105 00:05:26,760 --> 00:05:29,080 Speaker 3: I think that's kind of what we're seeing today. We're 106 00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:31,960 Speaker 3: seeing that move again, a seventy percent, seven zero percent 107 00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:35,720 Speaker 3: move off of that March high. So again the market 108 00:05:35,800 --> 00:05:36,800 Speaker 3: kind of voting with its feet. 109 00:05:38,200 --> 00:05:42,119 Speaker 2: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live 110 00:05:42,160 --> 00:05:46,000 Speaker 2: weekdays at ten am Eastern on applecar Play and Android Auto. 111 00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:48,880 Speaker 2: With the Bloomberg Business Act. You can also listen live 112 00:05:49,000 --> 00:05:52,159 Speaker 2: on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station, just 113 00:05:52,240 --> 00:05:54,839 Speaker 2: Say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty. 114 00:05:56,200 --> 00:05:59,440 Speaker 4: We had some of the big European banks started reporting. 115 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:00,920 Speaker 4: UBS came out with. 116 00:06:00,880 --> 00:06:03,159 Speaker 3: Some better than expected numbers, but management, I think, you know, 117 00:06:03,160 --> 00:06:05,760 Speaker 3: they're saying, hey, there's some risks out there, so kind 118 00:06:05,760 --> 00:06:07,560 Speaker 3: of tempering the outlook a little bit. So let's break 119 00:06:07,560 --> 00:06:10,840 Speaker 3: it down with Alison Williams. She is the senior bank 120 00:06:10,880 --> 00:06:14,560 Speaker 3: sannels for Bloomberg Intelligence. So Allison, I mean, you know, 121 00:06:14,839 --> 00:06:16,960 Speaker 3: of the big European banks, UBS is the one I 122 00:06:16,960 --> 00:06:18,440 Speaker 3: think a lot of people focus on because they have 123 00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 3: such a big presence here in the US. What did 124 00:06:20,960 --> 00:06:23,560 Speaker 3: you see coming out of UBS and kind of what's 125 00:06:23,600 --> 00:06:24,240 Speaker 3: their outlook? 126 00:06:24,520 --> 00:06:28,160 Speaker 7: So a really strong quarter. Fundamentals look good. I think 127 00:06:28,240 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 7: there are some concerns about capital and that might be 128 00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:34,640 Speaker 7: weighing on the shriffes today. But you know, to your point, 129 00:06:34,800 --> 00:06:38,880 Speaker 7: people look at their business. Sixty percent growth in their 130 00:06:38,920 --> 00:06:43,880 Speaker 7: America's trading business, so so wow is the word. It 131 00:06:43,960 --> 00:06:47,880 Speaker 7: was a record trading, record third quarter trading for them. 132 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:49,960 Speaker 7: Keep in mind that third quarter tends to be weak, 133 00:06:50,120 --> 00:06:54,480 Speaker 7: so but it was that it was the strongest third 134 00:06:54,520 --> 00:06:57,159 Speaker 7: quarter they've ever had, and that was really due to 135 00:06:57,400 --> 00:07:01,800 Speaker 7: cash equities and derivatives strengths of the bank. So twenty 136 00:07:01,800 --> 00:07:05,279 Speaker 7: seven percent growth really looking good and a lot of 137 00:07:05,320 --> 00:07:09,159 Speaker 7: momentum coming into the fourth quarter. The other positive for UBS, 138 00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:14,040 Speaker 7: you know, that core wealth franchise is really what sets 139 00:07:14,080 --> 00:07:18,720 Speaker 7: them apart, and they did have very strong flows inflows 140 00:07:18,720 --> 00:07:22,840 Speaker 7: across all the regions, especially Asia, so that's also very good. 141 00:07:23,520 --> 00:07:26,560 Speaker 7: And then on the deal execution side, we also like 142 00:07:26,640 --> 00:07:30,240 Speaker 7: what we're seeing there in terms of their cost progress. 143 00:07:30,520 --> 00:07:33,640 Speaker 7: You know, the grossed cost saves are over fifty percent 144 00:07:34,640 --> 00:07:38,240 Speaker 7: the way there, so that's a positive the non core unit, 145 00:07:38,360 --> 00:07:40,160 Speaker 7: so that's you know, stuff they want to get rid of. 146 00:07:40,760 --> 00:07:45,080 Speaker 7: They're making cuts there faster than expected. But capital, as 147 00:07:45,120 --> 00:07:47,120 Speaker 7: I said, that was the one thing I think, you know, 148 00:07:47,120 --> 00:07:50,239 Speaker 7: investors are still a little bit skittish on. They did 149 00:07:50,960 --> 00:07:55,520 Speaker 7: actually take a cut to their capital ratio in the 150 00:07:55,600 --> 00:07:59,600 Speaker 7: quarter basically because they voluntarily are kind of giving up 151 00:07:59,760 --> 00:08:03,280 Speaker 7: some accounting relief. So you know, I think that that's 152 00:08:03,400 --> 00:08:07,200 Speaker 7: you know, that's accounting is sort of just noise in 153 00:08:07,240 --> 00:08:11,880 Speaker 7: my view. But they did say that, you know, they're 154 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:14,120 Speaker 7: not sure if when they report the fourth quarter of 155 00:08:14,160 --> 00:08:16,480 Speaker 7: February if they're going to be able to give guidance 156 00:08:16,520 --> 00:08:21,800 Speaker 7: on buybacks. And that's because you know, while they're executing 157 00:08:21,840 --> 00:08:26,240 Speaker 7: on this deal, fundamentally regulators, you know, are concerned about 158 00:08:26,280 --> 00:08:29,120 Speaker 7: the size and they may force them to hold more capital. 159 00:08:29,440 --> 00:08:31,720 Speaker 5: Looking over at UBS's stock right now, down about three 160 00:08:31,760 --> 00:08:34,880 Speaker 5: point six percent on pace, sports worst day since August. Second, 161 00:08:35,160 --> 00:08:37,520 Speaker 5: of course, you were talking about obviously capital, but there 162 00:08:37,559 --> 00:08:41,520 Speaker 5: was also a lack of any further guidance from executives 163 00:08:41,520 --> 00:08:43,400 Speaker 5: on that analyst cause, well, so how much does that 164 00:08:43,440 --> 00:08:44,840 Speaker 5: also wing on the stock at this point? 165 00:08:44,880 --> 00:08:47,400 Speaker 8: Allison, Well, I think it really is the lack of 166 00:08:47,400 --> 00:08:50,880 Speaker 8: guidance on capital to your point that that is weighing, 167 00:08:51,040 --> 00:08:55,480 Speaker 8: because you know, if they basically they restarted their buyback. 168 00:08:55,920 --> 00:08:58,160 Speaker 7: You know, in the first half, but people are very 169 00:08:58,200 --> 00:09:01,720 Speaker 7: focused on the prospects for capital return and I think 170 00:09:01,760 --> 00:09:03,960 Speaker 7: the fact that you know, not only did they not 171 00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:06,200 Speaker 7: give guidance, but they said they might not be able 172 00:09:06,200 --> 00:09:09,040 Speaker 7: to give guidance in February is the concern. 173 00:09:10,160 --> 00:09:13,440 Speaker 3: So hel representatives you b s UBS of kind of 174 00:09:13,440 --> 00:09:16,559 Speaker 3: some of the other European banks, Allison. 175 00:09:17,520 --> 00:09:22,240 Speaker 7: So it's interesting that you know, Ubans versus the other bank. 176 00:09:22,320 --> 00:09:25,480 Speaker 7: They are more skewed to the equities business. They do 177 00:09:25,559 --> 00:09:28,600 Speaker 7: have a very strong US presence, as you said, they 178 00:09:28,600 --> 00:09:30,959 Speaker 7: also tend to be strong in Asia, and we really 179 00:09:31,000 --> 00:09:33,719 Speaker 7: saw a lot of strength their late quarter that benefited, 180 00:09:34,720 --> 00:09:38,280 Speaker 7: you know, the companies such as JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley. 181 00:09:38,920 --> 00:09:40,840 Speaker 8: So Deutsche Bank does. 182 00:09:40,679 --> 00:09:43,400 Speaker 7: Not have the equities business, but they were very strong 183 00:09:43,440 --> 00:09:46,680 Speaker 7: in stick and we'll see what happens with you know, 184 00:09:46,760 --> 00:09:50,319 Speaker 7: BNP and zctin are the next ones to come, so 185 00:09:50,360 --> 00:09:53,640 Speaker 7: they might not get that same lift that UBS saw 186 00:09:53,720 --> 00:09:57,040 Speaker 7: from their kind of unique footprint. But generally we did 187 00:09:57,080 --> 00:10:01,719 Speaker 7: hear about strength across regions of cross cash and derivatives, 188 00:10:01,760 --> 00:10:05,400 Speaker 7: and derivatives is a strength for those two French bands, 189 00:10:05,400 --> 00:10:07,440 Speaker 7: and so we think that we could see some strength 190 00:10:07,480 --> 00:10:08,240 Speaker 7: there tomorrow. 191 00:10:08,679 --> 00:10:10,800 Speaker 4: All right, Alison, thank you so much for joining us. 192 00:10:10,800 --> 00:10:13,120 Speaker 3: As always, Alison Williams, she's a senior banks analyst for 193 00:10:13,120 --> 00:10:17,680 Speaker 3: Bloomberg Intelligence globally. Full disclosure, I am a client of UBS. 194 00:10:17,760 --> 00:10:21,520 Speaker 3: Or shout out to Tonyo C and the boys. 195 00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:29,640 Speaker 2: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live 196 00:10:29,720 --> 00:10:32,800 Speaker 2: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple Card playing Android 197 00:10:32,840 --> 00:10:35,920 Speaker 2: Otto with the Bloomberg Business app listen on demand wherever 198 00:10:36,000 --> 00:10:39,800 Speaker 2: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube. 199 00:10:40,120 --> 00:10:42,559 Speaker 3: Again, look at that Eli Lilly story. It stops down 200 00:10:42,600 --> 00:10:44,360 Speaker 3: five percent, so it's well off. It's in traud de 201 00:10:44,480 --> 00:10:47,320 Speaker 3: Loso's off about eleven or twelve percent earlier. But guess what, 202 00:10:47,360 --> 00:10:49,440 Speaker 3: it's up forty seven percent year to date. So this 203 00:10:49,480 --> 00:10:51,880 Speaker 3: one's had a nice run. It's got an eight hundred 204 00:10:51,880 --> 00:10:53,760 Speaker 3: billion dollar market cap. Clearly a little bit of a 205 00:10:53,760 --> 00:10:55,480 Speaker 3: miss here today. Let's break it down with somebody who 206 00:10:55,480 --> 00:10:58,600 Speaker 3: knows Eli Lillly belderan anybody out there at Sam Fazeli, 207 00:10:58,640 --> 00:11:01,680 Speaker 3: director of research for Global indust and a senior pharmaceuticals analyst. 208 00:11:01,760 --> 00:11:04,320 Speaker 3: They go to Voice in the City of London if 209 00:11:04,320 --> 00:11:05,840 Speaker 3: you want to talk about this healthcare stuff, and if 210 00:11:05,880 --> 00:11:09,360 Speaker 3: you want to talk wine. He's also probably better adapted that. So, 211 00:11:09,440 --> 00:11:12,000 Speaker 3: Sam Eli Lilly, I know you're you know this company 212 00:11:12,040 --> 00:11:15,080 Speaker 3: really well? What did they disclose today and the results 213 00:11:15,080 --> 00:11:16,640 Speaker 3: and why is the stock selling off? 214 00:11:17,720 --> 00:11:17,920 Speaker 6: Yeah? 215 00:11:18,040 --> 00:11:21,040 Speaker 9: So hi Paul, nice to see you all again. I'm 216 00:11:21,040 --> 00:11:23,840 Speaker 9: looking at the screen. You know, as as you guys 217 00:11:23,840 --> 00:11:26,559 Speaker 9: said earlier, it had been down like thirteen and a half, fourteen, 218 00:11:26,679 --> 00:11:29,280 Speaker 9: fifteen percent and now it's kind of coming back. The 219 00:11:29,280 --> 00:11:33,320 Speaker 9: call has just finished, the Q three call, and I'll 220 00:11:33,360 --> 00:11:35,840 Speaker 9: just break it down quickly for you. When they reported 221 00:11:36,480 --> 00:11:38,680 Speaker 9: we got a miss, right, and I'm looking at it 222 00:11:38,760 --> 00:11:41,280 Speaker 9: right now, they missed by six percent on revenue. 223 00:11:41,640 --> 00:11:44,000 Speaker 6: That is not what you do when you're a. 224 00:11:43,960 --> 00:11:47,360 Speaker 9: Sixty pe company, right, It just it doesn't ide is 225 00:11:47,400 --> 00:11:49,880 Speaker 9: the world's not forgiving enough of that. And by the way, 226 00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:52,600 Speaker 9: those burritas, you're talking about seven hundred and eighty five 227 00:11:52,640 --> 00:11:55,480 Speaker 9: calories for an average burreto. Wow, So if you want 228 00:11:55,480 --> 00:11:57,199 Speaker 9: to help you like Lily, you have three of those 229 00:11:57,240 --> 00:11:57,520 Speaker 9: a day. 230 00:11:57,840 --> 00:11:58,080 Speaker 6: Yeah. 231 00:11:58,679 --> 00:12:03,000 Speaker 9: No, So so just breaking that down further that this 232 00:12:03,320 --> 00:12:05,719 Speaker 9: was two drugs on jar O and zep bound and 233 00:12:05,800 --> 00:12:08,400 Speaker 9: those are the drugs that everybody talks about. This is 234 00:12:08,400 --> 00:12:12,160 Speaker 9: the the obesity drugs that are. 235 00:12:12,080 --> 00:12:13,400 Speaker 6: On the market. They missed. 236 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:16,040 Speaker 9: Why did they miss The company said that it's because 237 00:12:16,559 --> 00:12:20,320 Speaker 9: there was an inventory d stocking going on at some wholesalers. 238 00:12:20,640 --> 00:12:23,600 Speaker 9: So people go, wait a minute, you saying to me 239 00:12:23,760 --> 00:12:29,720 Speaker 9: that demand cannot be satisfied, supply were supply limited, So 240 00:12:29,800 --> 00:12:32,200 Speaker 9: why is there an inventory issue in the middle here? 241 00:12:32,800 --> 00:12:35,160 Speaker 9: And of course that's what led to the question of 242 00:12:35,240 --> 00:12:37,920 Speaker 9: oh my god, are we overestimating demand? 243 00:12:37,920 --> 00:12:38,120 Speaker 6: Here? 244 00:12:38,280 --> 00:12:40,200 Speaker 9: Is the company overestimated it? Why it's the world over 245 00:12:40,320 --> 00:12:43,600 Speaker 9: estimating demand? So why have we come back from five percent? 246 00:12:44,960 --> 00:12:50,400 Speaker 9: Simple answer. It sounds like with the twelve different forms 247 00:12:50,400 --> 00:12:53,640 Speaker 9: of the drugs that they have that no one in 248 00:12:53,720 --> 00:12:57,000 Speaker 9: this early launch phase we can call it early launch, right, 249 00:12:57,080 --> 00:12:59,760 Speaker 9: given that it's been a couple of years, is really 250 00:12:59,800 --> 00:13:03,240 Speaker 9: a to manage and work out what they need to 251 00:13:03,240 --> 00:13:07,280 Speaker 9: have as inventory, because in such a massive product, you're 252 00:13:07,280 --> 00:13:10,320 Speaker 9: going to have an impact on working capital, even for 253 00:13:10,360 --> 00:13:14,080 Speaker 9: the wholesalers. It sounds like that that's the issue that 254 00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:18,040 Speaker 9: even Lily themselves can't necessarily forecast here, right, I mean 255 00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:21,360 Speaker 9: the actual details of how much of each product has made. 256 00:13:21,600 --> 00:13:24,040 Speaker 9: If that's true then and I think you get a 257 00:13:24,080 --> 00:13:26,960 Speaker 9: little with of that in the fact that Folier guidance 258 00:13:27,200 --> 00:13:30,360 Speaker 9: wasn't dropped by as much as the miss that at 259 00:13:30,440 --> 00:13:33,920 Speaker 9: least currently they are optimistic about picking a whole bunch 260 00:13:33,960 --> 00:13:35,960 Speaker 9: of that back up in the Q four that you 261 00:13:36,000 --> 00:13:38,360 Speaker 9: should not worry about demand you talk to any doctor 262 00:13:38,400 --> 00:13:41,360 Speaker 9: you want, do they say, oh, I have no patience 263 00:13:41,400 --> 00:13:43,640 Speaker 9: left to asking before he set bound or we go 264 00:13:43,760 --> 00:13:44,280 Speaker 9: viaor whatever. 265 00:13:44,400 --> 00:13:46,000 Speaker 6: So I think that's what's. 266 00:13:45,840 --> 00:13:50,360 Speaker 9: Happening here the difficulty in managing and thinking about how 267 00:13:50,400 --> 00:13:51,480 Speaker 9: to manage your inventory. 268 00:13:52,040 --> 00:13:53,960 Speaker 5: Something I wanted to pick your brain about was when 269 00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:56,280 Speaker 5: it comes to knockoffs, because we saw a huge drop 270 00:13:56,360 --> 00:13:59,880 Speaker 5: in hymns and hers earlier this month. So they were 271 00:14:00,040 --> 00:14:03,400 Speaker 5: so they previously were allowed to manufacture copycap drugs when 272 00:14:03,400 --> 00:14:05,920 Speaker 5: they're deemed in short supplied by the FDA, But the 273 00:14:06,000 --> 00:14:08,160 Speaker 5: FDA at that time said when it came to zetbound 274 00:14:08,200 --> 00:14:11,200 Speaker 5: and Manjarro, specifically for Eli Lily, they weren't shortage anymore. 275 00:14:11,320 --> 00:14:12,959 Speaker 5: So that's why you saw that drop there. But they 276 00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:15,959 Speaker 5: still when it came to a zempic and Wegovi. When 277 00:14:16,000 --> 00:14:18,320 Speaker 5: you think about Novo Nordisk, they were still able to 278 00:14:18,400 --> 00:14:22,240 Speaker 5: offer compounded version actually versions of those. So I'm wondering, 279 00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:24,880 Speaker 5: when you think about Eli Lily versus what's happening with 280 00:14:25,000 --> 00:14:27,480 Speaker 5: Novo Nordists, how does that kind of come into play 281 00:14:27,560 --> 00:14:29,720 Speaker 5: when you're thinking about when it comes to sort of 282 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:31,880 Speaker 5: the knockoffs and the copycat type drugs. 283 00:14:33,080 --> 00:14:33,280 Speaker 6: Yeah. 284 00:14:33,320 --> 00:14:36,440 Speaker 9: Sure, I mean I'm not even sure that people have 285 00:14:36,520 --> 00:14:41,080 Speaker 9: stopped making compounded versions of zep bound and Manjara because 286 00:14:41,120 --> 00:14:44,200 Speaker 9: the FDA kind of reeled back a little bit and said, oh, 287 00:14:44,240 --> 00:14:45,640 Speaker 9: we're going to actually look at this again. 288 00:14:45,760 --> 00:14:47,760 Speaker 6: So I don't think that story is finished. 289 00:14:47,800 --> 00:14:50,160 Speaker 9: I think that these folks are some folks are still 290 00:14:50,200 --> 00:14:53,960 Speaker 9: able to supply those from a compounded pharmacy perspective. So 291 00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:58,400 Speaker 9: you know that is that's that's a lot, that's a 292 00:14:58,600 --> 00:15:01,000 Speaker 9: root that the FDA does to people. If there's a 293 00:15:01,000 --> 00:15:03,000 Speaker 9: shortage of a drug and someone else can make it, 294 00:15:03,040 --> 00:15:04,000 Speaker 9: well let them do it. 295 00:15:05,000 --> 00:15:07,600 Speaker 6: The interesting angle, of course, is that a whole bunch. 296 00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:10,600 Speaker 9: Of people who are taking off the compounded pharmacists are 297 00:15:10,800 --> 00:15:14,600 Speaker 9: probably paying less, and therefore if they're forced to go 298 00:15:14,640 --> 00:15:16,600 Speaker 9: and take it from a prescription, they may have to 299 00:15:16,600 --> 00:15:18,480 Speaker 9: pay more out of pocket. So that's not going to 300 00:15:18,520 --> 00:15:22,080 Speaker 9: be a leaving a particularly good taste in folks mouths 301 00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:23,400 Speaker 9: once that this. 302 00:15:24,760 --> 00:15:26,600 Speaker 6: Actually happens. But it hasn't happened yet. 303 00:15:26,640 --> 00:15:28,560 Speaker 9: So and they did say on the call that this 304 00:15:28,680 --> 00:15:33,040 Speaker 9: is not because there's enormous demand being fulfilled by compounded pharmacies. 305 00:15:33,480 --> 00:15:38,960 Speaker 9: It's literally to do with that inventory management issue, where 306 00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:39,560 Speaker 9: what are. 307 00:15:39,440 --> 00:15:42,120 Speaker 3: The companies saying sam about getting this in an oral format. 308 00:15:42,200 --> 00:15:44,440 Speaker 3: I think that might be one of the next big 309 00:15:44,480 --> 00:15:47,440 Speaker 3: I guess mileposts for this type of treatment. 310 00:15:48,640 --> 00:15:51,160 Speaker 9: Yeah, I remember, Paul, there's already an oral form of this. 311 00:15:51,280 --> 00:15:54,120 Speaker 9: It's called Robelsus. It's from over NOTICEK. It's just a 312 00:15:54,160 --> 00:15:56,000 Speaker 9: tough drug to use because you have to have it 313 00:15:56,080 --> 00:15:58,760 Speaker 9: within about half an hour of eating. You can't take 314 00:15:58,800 --> 00:16:01,800 Speaker 9: it too close or too far from any team because 315 00:16:01,840 --> 00:16:03,520 Speaker 9: you need an empty stomach. 316 00:16:03,160 --> 00:16:04,040 Speaker 6: Before you take the drug. 317 00:16:04,080 --> 00:16:06,440 Speaker 9: And it's a big dose, and maybe the side effect 318 00:16:06,480 --> 00:16:08,680 Speaker 9: profile isn't as great and the weight loss isn't as great. 319 00:16:08,760 --> 00:16:13,120 Speaker 9: So people are trying to develop oral versions of these drugs, 320 00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:17,280 Speaker 9: but also oral drugs that are like normal drugs, small 321 00:16:17,360 --> 00:16:19,400 Speaker 9: molecules that they can swallow as a pill once today. 322 00:16:19,560 --> 00:16:20,400 Speaker 6: So that's coming. 323 00:16:21,360 --> 00:16:23,480 Speaker 5: So what do you think shareholders need to watch for 324 00:16:23,680 --> 00:16:26,640 Speaker 5: next when it comes to especially after its outlook disappointed. 325 00:16:28,600 --> 00:16:30,760 Speaker 6: I think we need to see how Q four does. 326 00:16:31,200 --> 00:16:35,480 Speaker 9: So let's hope that that they're current guidance. At least 327 00:16:35,480 --> 00:16:37,800 Speaker 9: they meet it, maybe beat it, that would be nice. 328 00:16:39,080 --> 00:16:42,080 Speaker 9: The issue is then we move into a Q four. 329 00:16:42,120 --> 00:16:44,480 Speaker 9: There's an interesting result from a click or child that's 330 00:16:44,480 --> 00:16:47,360 Speaker 9: coming up. They've done this before. They're comparing zep bound 331 00:16:47,640 --> 00:16:51,920 Speaker 9: with big go V, and I suspect that they're hoping 332 00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:54,320 Speaker 9: and that that data suggests that they might. They will 333 00:16:54,360 --> 00:16:58,160 Speaker 9: show that it has better weight loss. Whether the side 334 00:16:58,160 --> 00:17:00,880 Speaker 9: effect profile will be better or different, time will tell. 335 00:17:00,920 --> 00:17:03,400 Speaker 9: But that's there are not many farmer companies do these 336 00:17:03,480 --> 00:17:07,159 Speaker 9: type of excuse me, head to head trials because that 337 00:17:07,280 --> 00:17:08,800 Speaker 9: takes some Uh yeah. 338 00:17:08,680 --> 00:17:10,360 Speaker 4: Yeah, no, I just want to get real quick. 339 00:17:10,440 --> 00:17:13,320 Speaker 3: What's the latest thinking on the size of this market? 340 00:17:13,359 --> 00:17:14,719 Speaker 4: And you guys have done a lot of work on this. 341 00:17:15,800 --> 00:17:17,919 Speaker 9: Yeah, I think I think my Key's latest numbers that 342 00:17:17,920 --> 00:17:19,040 Speaker 9: are ninety three billion. 343 00:17:19,560 --> 00:17:22,920 Speaker 6: I don't remember exactly. It's big, well out of nothing 344 00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:27,320 Speaker 6: exactly so, but five we have a whole load of data. Company. 345 00:17:27,520 --> 00:17:30,639 Speaker 4: Yes, is there any significant evidence that red wine is 346 00:17:30,680 --> 00:17:31,240 Speaker 4: healthy for you? 347 00:17:33,480 --> 00:17:36,000 Speaker 9: I'm not going to go there because I'm at a 348 00:17:36,000 --> 00:17:38,000 Speaker 9: health drug analyst, not a red wine analyst. 349 00:17:38,080 --> 00:17:40,000 Speaker 6: I just know that I enjoy a glass of two. 350 00:17:40,600 --> 00:17:43,360 Speaker 6: You gotta you gotta have to remember it's also bad 351 00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:45,000 Speaker 6: for you because it's cancer. 352 00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:49,680 Speaker 4: All sorts of yes, loves important. 353 00:17:49,760 --> 00:17:51,920 Speaker 9: We have to be fed a whole bunch of people 354 00:17:51,920 --> 00:17:53,760 Speaker 9: listen to this. This is this is not this is 355 00:17:53,760 --> 00:17:55,679 Speaker 9: not about a bottle of wine a day. Maybe a glass, 356 00:17:55,760 --> 00:17:58,359 Speaker 9: but even then, I think the medical professional says be careful, 357 00:17:58,840 --> 00:18:01,320 Speaker 9: but I choose to take that risk and I do 358 00:18:01,800 --> 00:18:02,119 Speaker 9: love it. 359 00:18:02,119 --> 00:18:04,560 Speaker 4: We separate. Sam Fazali, thank you so much for that. 360 00:18:04,680 --> 00:18:06,280 Speaker 4: Sam Fazeli's a director of research. 361 00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:10,320 Speaker 3: He also covers the pharmaceutical industry for Bloomberg. In Intelligence 362 00:18:10,359 --> 00:18:11,520 Speaker 3: over in London. 363 00:18:12,880 --> 00:18:16,760 Speaker 2: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live 364 00:18:16,840 --> 00:18:19,880 Speaker 2: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple card Play and 365 00:18:19,880 --> 00:18:22,800 Speaker 2: Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You can also 366 00:18:22,880 --> 00:18:26,359 Speaker 2: listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station, 367 00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:29,440 Speaker 2: Just Say Alexa, playing Bloomberg eleven. 368 00:18:29,240 --> 00:18:32,560 Speaker 4: Thirty rights back in the middle of earning season. 369 00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:36,000 Speaker 3: This is the busiest week of the quarter in terms 370 00:18:36,000 --> 00:18:39,919 Speaker 3: of companies market cap reporting big on last night friends. 371 00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:43,320 Speaker 5: Google, it's right of the market cap for the S 372 00:18:43,359 --> 00:18:46,080 Speaker 5: and P five supporting this week right Actually busy. 373 00:18:45,880 --> 00:18:49,240 Speaker 3: Seek good quarter. I guess across the board. Ben Deep 374 00:18:49,280 --> 00:18:52,600 Speaker 3: Singh joins us. He's a senior technology analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence. 375 00:18:53,640 --> 00:18:53,960 Speaker 4: Mandy. 376 00:18:54,280 --> 00:18:56,359 Speaker 3: Everybody knows Google, they know the shirt story. What did 377 00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:59,280 Speaker 3: you learn last night from Google? And their results? 378 00:18:59,480 --> 00:19:00,119 Speaker 2: That you know? 379 00:19:00,840 --> 00:19:06,840 Speaker 10: Search Cloud YouTube. These are three separate businesses doing extremely 380 00:19:06,880 --> 00:19:10,040 Speaker 10: well at scale, I mean double digit growth for search 381 00:19:10,160 --> 00:19:14,080 Speaker 10: business is really stellar when you think of all the 382 00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:16,719 Speaker 10: pressure they've been facing, you know, when it comes to 383 00:19:17,560 --> 00:19:22,640 Speaker 10: new entrants like CHATGPT and Perplexity and whatnot. And everyone 384 00:19:23,440 --> 00:19:25,359 Speaker 10: is of the belief that they would take at least 385 00:19:25,359 --> 00:19:29,960 Speaker 10: some share from Google, at least in terms of ad revenue. 386 00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:33,320 Speaker 10: Google hasn't lost any share. In fact, it's a very 387 00:19:33,320 --> 00:19:35,159 Speaker 10: healthy growth at their scale. 388 00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:36,240 Speaker 4: And YouTube. 389 00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:40,359 Speaker 10: Look fifty billion plus revenue rundrate seventy thirty split between 390 00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:45,399 Speaker 10: subscriptions ads is seventy and thirty percent of subscriptions, and 391 00:19:45,520 --> 00:19:49,040 Speaker 10: subscriptions grew, you know, twenty eight percent. I mean, just 392 00:19:49,119 --> 00:19:53,520 Speaker 10: think about fifteen billion dollar subscriptions business growing twenty eight percent. 393 00:19:53,560 --> 00:19:57,400 Speaker 10: That's very impressive. And we're not even talking about Wevemo here. 394 00:19:57,680 --> 00:20:00,280 Speaker 10: So when you look at you know, all the business 395 00:20:00,280 --> 00:20:03,720 Speaker 10: says they clearly have a lot going on, and Vemo 396 00:20:03,960 --> 00:20:06,359 Speaker 10: is a future bet, but something that could be huge 397 00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:08,680 Speaker 10: in terms of you know, top line. 398 00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:10,440 Speaker 3: You know, it's interesting you just mentioned fifty billion of 399 00:20:10,480 --> 00:20:14,240 Speaker 3: runwright revenue for YouTube and advertising subscription. That sounds a 400 00:20:14,320 --> 00:20:18,399 Speaker 3: lot like the cable television business, the cable network business. 401 00:20:18,440 --> 00:20:22,200 Speaker 3: I look at Paramount, Paramount Global, you know, all those 402 00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:23,080 Speaker 3: cable networks. 403 00:20:23,400 --> 00:20:25,480 Speaker 4: They have thirty billion of revenue. 404 00:20:25,240 --> 00:20:29,160 Speaker 3: So YouTube is significantly bigger than some of the largest 405 00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:31,560 Speaker 3: advertising and subscription. 406 00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:34,040 Speaker 4: German media companies out there. Yeah, and in a dozen years, 407 00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:35,159 Speaker 4: it's just extraordinary. 408 00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:37,520 Speaker 5: And Meandy, you were talking about these massive investments that 409 00:20:37,560 --> 00:20:40,359 Speaker 5: Google in Alphabet, obviously the parent company has been trying 410 00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:42,760 Speaker 5: to catch up to the likes of Obviously Microsoft will 411 00:20:42,760 --> 00:20:44,800 Speaker 5: get another update from their earnings after the bell and 412 00:20:45,080 --> 00:20:47,440 Speaker 5: of course open ai walk us through some of those 413 00:20:47,520 --> 00:20:49,320 Speaker 5: investments and how they're starting to pay off. 414 00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:53,680 Speaker 10: I mean, look, in the case of Alphabet, they have 415 00:20:54,040 --> 00:20:58,600 Speaker 10: huge data center investments simply because they have a giant 416 00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:03,200 Speaker 10: infrastructure that's power you know, these big businesses. So there's 417 00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:06,840 Speaker 10: a lot of internal consumption of these chips, but also 418 00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:09,760 Speaker 10: the cloud business, which saw a nice acceleration, you know, 419 00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:13,280 Speaker 10: sequential acceleration from twenty nine percent growth to thirty five 420 00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:17,199 Speaker 10: percent growth. I would say a lot of that is 421 00:21:17,320 --> 00:21:20,760 Speaker 10: driven by the availability of GPUs in their cloud. So 422 00:21:21,440 --> 00:21:25,520 Speaker 10: I'll be interested in seeing how much of Microsoft GPUs 423 00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:28,760 Speaker 10: are being used for internal consumption versus what is being 424 00:21:28,800 --> 00:21:32,720 Speaker 10: exposed on their Azure cloud. Because in my mind, Google 425 00:21:32,800 --> 00:21:36,120 Speaker 10: having their own chips is making a difference in terms 426 00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:39,000 Speaker 10: of their cloud growth, and that's why you saw that acceleration. 427 00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:40,639 Speaker 10: But I'll have to validate that tonight. 428 00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:47,159 Speaker 3: How is AI impacting John Tuckerman's search results? 429 00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:51,640 Speaker 10: Right? I mean, just the nature of search is changing 430 00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:54,760 Speaker 10: in the sense you can ask you know, a lot 431 00:21:54,840 --> 00:21:59,600 Speaker 10: longer queries. The prompts can be infinite and length. You 432 00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:03,240 Speaker 10: can you know, have a video or an image prompt. 433 00:22:03,280 --> 00:22:06,440 Speaker 10: It just doesn't have to be text. So that's what 434 00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:09,240 Speaker 10: Google called out, that the queries are getting a lot 435 00:22:09,280 --> 00:22:12,840 Speaker 10: more complex in nature, and users are actually engaging with it, 436 00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:15,000 Speaker 10: so it's not as if, you know, that's driving them 437 00:22:15,040 --> 00:22:17,879 Speaker 10: to some of the platform users want to use what 438 00:22:17,920 --> 00:22:23,040 Speaker 10: they call multimodel search, which is a combination of texts, videos, 439 00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:27,120 Speaker 10: and images and audios. So that's why these llms are 440 00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:30,800 Speaker 10: so powerful because they give you that innate capability to 441 00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:33,760 Speaker 10: search in whatever format you want and you can just 442 00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:36,639 Speaker 10: throw it in that search box. So that search box 443 00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:39,879 Speaker 10: is getting a lot bigger and a lot more complex 444 00:22:40,320 --> 00:22:41,320 Speaker 10: on that Google page. 445 00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:43,679 Speaker 5: So what do we need to watch for with Microsoft today? 446 00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:47,240 Speaker 10: I mean azure growth. I said, you know, the availability 447 00:22:47,240 --> 00:22:52,119 Speaker 10: of GPUs is what is powering Google clouds acceleration. I 448 00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:56,800 Speaker 10: want to see that acceleration in Microsoft's Azure growth to 449 00:22:56,840 --> 00:23:00,280 Speaker 10: confirm that Microsoft is not losing share to Google or 450 00:23:00,320 --> 00:23:03,560 Speaker 10: for that matter, Amazon. Lich reports on Thursday. 451 00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:04,400 Speaker 4: And tomorrow on surveillance. 452 00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:06,480 Speaker 3: Tomorrow morning, you're going to have Dan ives in studio 453 00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:09,119 Speaker 3: from Red Bush Security, so he'll be doing presumably at 454 00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:10,879 Speaker 3: the victory left for what. 455 00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:12,800 Speaker 4: Can't man deep dress like Dan? 456 00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:15,320 Speaker 5: I was about to bring up the what kind of 457 00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:15,840 Speaker 5: bright colors? 458 00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:18,640 Speaker 3: Dan might be aware tomorrow and deep because it takes 459 00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:22,240 Speaker 3: an effort here. He matches his turbine and deeps to 460 00:23:22,280 --> 00:23:24,000 Speaker 3: sink for those on radio can't see. 461 00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:27,639 Speaker 4: It matches his turban with the suit every day every 462 00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:32,120 Speaker 4: so that is solid. I give him for that, walking 463 00:23:32,200 --> 00:23:34,600 Speaker 4: here with like a pink tie and everything. 464 00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:37,520 Speaker 5: We all know how Paul Sweety is the fashion police here. 465 00:23:37,720 --> 00:23:39,400 Speaker 5: Paul fashe Sweeney. 466 00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:40,720 Speaker 6: Of Bloomberg News. 467 00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:44,199 Speaker 4: There is a dress cook the summer Fridays. 468 00:23:44,240 --> 00:23:46,560 Speaker 5: I remember, I think came in with flip flops and 469 00:23:46,800 --> 00:23:48,200 Speaker 5: they had a stern warning from Paul. 470 00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:51,240 Speaker 4: We all agreed no flip flops in nor place. John, 471 00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:55,960 Speaker 4: although I do have like you know, it's got the cas. 472 00:23:57,480 --> 00:24:00,000 Speaker 3: That's how his casual Tucker gets Man Deep, thank you 473 00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:01,919 Speaker 3: so much. We appreciated Man Deep seeing he covers all 474 00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:05,680 Speaker 3: the technology. He manages all of our technology coverage, great 475 00:24:05,760 --> 00:24:09,680 Speaker 3: stuff for Bloomberg Intelligence, and obviously technology is a global business. 476 00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:12,760 Speaker 3: Asia is such an important part of the technology stories 477 00:24:12,760 --> 00:24:14,520 Speaker 3: in terms of not only an end market, but a 478 00:24:14,560 --> 00:24:15,440 Speaker 3: source for a lot of. 479 00:24:15,359 --> 00:24:16,800 Speaker 4: That technology and manufacturing. 480 00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:20,080 Speaker 3: And we've got a big team out in Asia for 481 00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:22,680 Speaker 3: Bloomberg Intelligence, and Man Deep manages all that for us. 482 00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:24,240 Speaker 4: So he's our go to person. 483 00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:33,320 Speaker 2: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live 484 00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:36,880 Speaker 2: weekdays at ten am Eastern on applecar Play and androyd 485 00:24:36,920 --> 00:24:39,720 Speaker 2: Outo with the Bloomberg Business App. You can also listen 486 00:24:39,840 --> 00:24:42,920 Speaker 2: live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station 487 00:24:43,280 --> 00:24:46,760 Speaker 2: Just Say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty. 488 00:24:47,080 --> 00:24:51,000 Speaker 3: Let's stick with the topic of politics. Why not because 489 00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:54,080 Speaker 3: we got the election coming up on Tuesday. Here's an 490 00:24:54,080 --> 00:24:57,640 Speaker 3: interesting headline in the Bloomberg terminal, how Puerto Rico became 491 00:24:57,680 --> 00:25:00,760 Speaker 3: an issue in the US election. Lord davids and joins us. 492 00:25:00,760 --> 00:25:03,000 Speaker 3: She's a political editor for Bloomberg News. 493 00:25:03,560 --> 00:25:04,399 Speaker 4: She's done in DC. 494 00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:07,400 Speaker 3: So, Laura, we've heard a lot about Puerto Rico in 495 00:25:07,440 --> 00:25:09,680 Speaker 3: this election, just in the last week or so, can 496 00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:12,240 Speaker 3: you explain to us kind of what's going on why 497 00:25:12,560 --> 00:25:14,080 Speaker 3: it may be important. 498 00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:17,879 Speaker 11: Yeah, So this really kicked off over the weekend at 499 00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:20,760 Speaker 11: Trump's rally at Madison Square Garden, where a comedian who 500 00:25:20,840 --> 00:25:24,000 Speaker 11: was one of the kind of preview speakers before Trump 501 00:25:24,040 --> 00:25:26,480 Speaker 11: came out of the stage made a joke about Puerto 502 00:25:26,560 --> 00:25:29,160 Speaker 11: Rico where he called it a floating island of garbage, 503 00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:31,760 Speaker 11: and that has really picked up a lot of traction. 504 00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:34,240 Speaker 11: You know, it was sort of in the mix of 505 00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:36,920 Speaker 11: all a bunch of other incendiary and racist comments at 506 00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:40,320 Speaker 11: this rally, but also because Puerto Ricans are a particularly 507 00:25:40,359 --> 00:25:44,199 Speaker 11: important voting block, especially in Pennsylvania, and sort of you know, 508 00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:47,239 Speaker 11: not directly connected to this, but it also has been 509 00:25:47,240 --> 00:25:50,199 Speaker 11: a group that both Trump and Harris have had outreach 510 00:25:50,280 --> 00:25:52,440 Speaker 11: too in recent days. The day that that remark was made, 511 00:25:52,480 --> 00:25:55,439 Speaker 11: Harris was at a Puerto Rican restaurant in Pennsylvania. Trump 512 00:25:55,520 --> 00:25:57,680 Speaker 11: just last night was an Allentown, Pennsylvania, which has a 513 00:25:57,720 --> 00:26:01,359 Speaker 11: large Latino population and in Sylvania, yet the whole has 514 00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:03,760 Speaker 11: one of the largest Puerto Rican populations in the country. 515 00:26:03,760 --> 00:26:08,600 Speaker 11: So this was quickly denounced by several people, you know, 516 00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:12,680 Speaker 11: Puerto Ricans, but also you know Republicans that represent Florida 517 00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:15,680 Speaker 11: Senator Rick Scott for example. Even the Trump campaign came 518 00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:18,239 Speaker 11: out and said, look, you know, we didn't approve this, 519 00:26:18,280 --> 00:26:20,440 Speaker 11: We don't you know, support this doesn't represent our views, 520 00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:21,960 Speaker 11: which is not something you see a lot from the 521 00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:22,680 Speaker 11: Trump campaign. 522 00:26:23,080 --> 00:26:25,880 Speaker 5: I wanted to get your thoughts on the latest headlines 523 00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:27,600 Speaker 5: that we had in the past hour about the Supreme 524 00:26:27,680 --> 00:26:31,600 Speaker 5: Court allowing Virginia to purge voters before the election. Walk 525 00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:34,080 Speaker 5: us through what we know so far on this and 526 00:26:34,200 --> 00:26:36,120 Speaker 5: what's the precedence for something like this. 527 00:26:37,480 --> 00:26:40,679 Speaker 11: Yeah, So, at issue are about sixteen hundred voters on 528 00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:45,359 Speaker 11: the Virginia roles which the state has asked to purge. 529 00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:47,639 Speaker 11: They say, look, we think that these are not citizens 530 00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:50,160 Speaker 11: on here, and we want to remove them. There are 531 00:26:50,280 --> 00:26:52,280 Speaker 11: laws in place about you know, how close to an 532 00:26:52,320 --> 00:26:55,200 Speaker 11: election you can get rid of some of these. You know, 533 00:26:55,359 --> 00:26:58,159 Speaker 11: you can change the voter roles. So they petitioned the 534 00:26:58,160 --> 00:27:00,960 Speaker 11: Supreme Court. The Supreme Court today's said yes, you can 535 00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:03,359 Speaker 11: go ahead and remove these people from the voter rules. 536 00:27:03,560 --> 00:27:06,080 Speaker 11: You know, this is not you know, Virginia is not 537 00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:07,760 Speaker 11: expected to be a swing state. Here or be decisive 538 00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:10,560 Speaker 11: in the elections. Sixteen hundred is a relatively small number, 539 00:27:10,640 --> 00:27:13,600 Speaker 11: but this has a lot of election security people worried 540 00:27:13,600 --> 00:27:17,000 Speaker 11: that this could foretell some larger purge in a state 541 00:27:17,040 --> 00:27:20,080 Speaker 11: that could potentially be decisive in either the presidential race 542 00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:23,240 Speaker 11: or you know, any of the contested Senate races. 543 00:27:23,600 --> 00:27:25,200 Speaker 4: Yeah, I have to admit I haven't. 544 00:27:25,240 --> 00:27:27,879 Speaker 3: I can't recall seeing a story like this where this 545 00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:31,040 Speaker 3: has actually occurred. Does this happen with any regularity across 546 00:27:31,119 --> 00:27:34,080 Speaker 3: the country or is this case in Virginia particularly unique. 547 00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:37,040 Speaker 11: This is a sort of a unique thing we're seeing. 548 00:27:37,240 --> 00:27:38,920 Speaker 11: You know, this is something that you know has come 549 00:27:39,000 --> 00:27:42,040 Speaker 11: up in several states, you know, both you know, we've 550 00:27:42,080 --> 00:27:44,600 Speaker 11: seen in Nebraska, for example, they wanted to change their 551 00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:47,919 Speaker 11: rules about how they apportioned their Electoral College votes. You've 552 00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:50,520 Speaker 11: seen some other states them having some some issues about this, 553 00:27:50,600 --> 00:27:53,320 Speaker 11: but generally, you know, either for political reasons or for 554 00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:55,600 Speaker 11: legal reasons, that they states that said, no, we can't 555 00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:57,440 Speaker 11: change things of close to elections. So this is a 556 00:27:57,480 --> 00:27:59,840 Speaker 11: little bit of a surprise this morning from the Supreme Court. 557 00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:02,960 Speaker 5: So when you look at the kind of latest headlines 558 00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:06,959 Speaker 5: coming through the Turnamonal Virginia canceled registrations of estimated sixteen 559 00:28:07,040 --> 00:28:10,600 Speaker 5: hundred residents here. Of course, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris 560 00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:14,640 Speaker 5: will criss cross several string states today, passing each other. 561 00:28:14,680 --> 00:28:17,240 Speaker 5: Of course in Wisconsin when we have less than a 562 00:28:17,280 --> 00:28:19,680 Speaker 5: week to go ahead of election day, what do you 563 00:28:19,720 --> 00:28:21,840 Speaker 5: think is most crucial here when they're pushing through what 564 00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:23,640 Speaker 5: their potential policy proposals are. 565 00:28:24,880 --> 00:28:27,800 Speaker 11: Yeah, so what they're doing now is they have generally 566 00:28:27,800 --> 00:28:29,639 Speaker 11: put out all the policy proposals they have that you 567 00:28:29,680 --> 00:28:32,160 Speaker 11: still have seen Trump start to outline some additional ones 568 00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:35,280 Speaker 11: that he's been sort of grasping for additional votes. But 569 00:28:35,320 --> 00:28:38,640 Speaker 11: they're really framing and honing in on their argument, you know, 570 00:28:38,760 --> 00:28:39,800 Speaker 11: why voters should. 571 00:28:39,520 --> 00:28:39,880 Speaker 10: Vote for them. 572 00:28:39,920 --> 00:28:41,800 Speaker 11: So we saw last night with Harris on the Ellipse, 573 00:28:42,280 --> 00:28:45,080 Speaker 11: she was making an argument about Trump being a danger, 574 00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:47,440 Speaker 11: but you also saw her quickly pivot to talk about, 575 00:28:47,560 --> 00:28:50,840 Speaker 11: you know, sort of her prescriptive view, particularly for the economy. 576 00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:53,000 Speaker 11: We know that that has been one of the key 577 00:28:53,040 --> 00:28:55,720 Speaker 11: issues for voters, really the top issue in this election. 578 00:28:56,160 --> 00:28:58,880 Speaker 11: You've seen Trump really double down on immigration. You know, 579 00:28:58,960 --> 00:29:00,640 Speaker 11: poll show that this is you know, perhaps probably the 580 00:29:00,720 --> 00:29:04,240 Speaker 11: number two issue in this race. But you know, even 581 00:29:04,280 --> 00:29:06,479 Speaker 11: more so than talking about the economy, he's really been 582 00:29:06,480 --> 00:29:09,200 Speaker 11: doubling down on immigration, the threat of migrants, and that's 583 00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:12,280 Speaker 11: sort of why this Puerto Rican comment from over the 584 00:29:12,320 --> 00:29:12,880 Speaker 11: weekend has. 585 00:29:12,800 --> 00:29:15,760 Speaker 4: Really caught fire down in Washington, d C. 586 00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:18,760 Speaker 3: Laura, what's the feeling about some of the down ballot 587 00:29:19,480 --> 00:29:21,720 Speaker 3: races that are key to the control of both the 588 00:29:21,720 --> 00:29:22,440 Speaker 3: House and the Senate. 589 00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:27,280 Speaker 11: Yeah, so there really is a key overlap between some 590 00:29:27,320 --> 00:29:29,440 Speaker 11: of these key Senate races as well as the as 591 00:29:29,520 --> 00:29:31,360 Speaker 11: sort of the battleground state. So you know, we're looking 592 00:29:31,440 --> 00:29:36,200 Speaker 11: at places like Pennsylvania and Michigan and Arizona. Democrats are 593 00:29:36,320 --> 00:29:38,400 Speaker 11: at a disadvantage when it comes to the Senate. They 594 00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:41,320 Speaker 11: are defending a bunch of seats, you know, in places 595 00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:44,400 Speaker 11: like Ohio and Montana that Trump has won and are 596 00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:47,840 Speaker 11: expected to win in a couple in in next week. 597 00:29:48,800 --> 00:29:50,680 Speaker 11: The House is a little bit more of a wild card, 598 00:29:50,760 --> 00:29:54,440 Speaker 11: and because those races aren't really overlapping with the electoral 599 00:29:54,440 --> 00:29:56,920 Speaker 11: college map, it's really New York areas, particularly the New 600 00:29:56,960 --> 00:29:59,360 Speaker 11: York City suburbs, as well as California, sort of the 601 00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:02,240 Speaker 11: southern californi Ornia suburbs around San Diego and Los Angeles 602 00:30:02,280 --> 00:30:05,000 Speaker 11: that will be decisive there. So that's a really close race. 603 00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:06,920 Speaker 11: It really anyone's guess is to you know which way 604 00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:10,360 Speaker 11: the House flips the Senate, your Republicans have an advantage, 605 00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:13,000 Speaker 11: but you know, things could all break in Democrats way 606 00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:15,120 Speaker 11: if they hit every race just right. 607 00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:17,600 Speaker 5: Of course, there's a lot of discussion that we potentially 608 00:30:17,680 --> 00:30:20,720 Speaker 5: might not even know the results of the election that evening, 609 00:30:20,800 --> 00:30:22,200 Speaker 5: kind of similar to what we would have seen in 610 00:30:22,200 --> 00:30:24,640 Speaker 5: twenty twenty. We can get the final results till that 611 00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:27,240 Speaker 5: following weekend on that Saturday. What's kind of when your 612 00:30:27,280 --> 00:30:29,840 Speaker 5: conversations with your sources, are they saying as far as 613 00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:32,400 Speaker 5: what the timetable could be potentially when we would know 614 00:30:32,440 --> 00:30:34,000 Speaker 5: the eventral results. 615 00:30:33,720 --> 00:30:37,040 Speaker 11: Here, Yeah, it's looking like this. We will not have 616 00:30:37,120 --> 00:30:38,120 Speaker 11: results on election night. 617 00:30:38,160 --> 00:30:39,160 Speaker 6: It is possible, but. 618 00:30:39,240 --> 00:30:43,360 Speaker 11: A relatively remote possibility. There are several states, including Pennsylvania, 619 00:30:43,360 --> 00:30:46,040 Speaker 11: that will likely end up being decisive that take a 620 00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:48,520 Speaker 11: little bit longer than average to vote. You know this, 621 00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:51,560 Speaker 11: Each state has different rules about when they can start voting, 622 00:30:51,600 --> 00:30:53,440 Speaker 11: particularly when they can start mail in ballots, when they 623 00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:55,840 Speaker 11: can start tabulating early votes, and sort of all the 624 00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:57,960 Speaker 11: different things they need to do to come to an 625 00:30:58,000 --> 00:31:01,240 Speaker 11: official total, so that really very state by state, And 626 00:31:01,280 --> 00:31:03,160 Speaker 11: of course we also anticipate that there might be legal 627 00:31:03,280 --> 00:31:06,200 Speaker 11: challenges that could either pause the counting or stop the counting, 628 00:31:06,320 --> 00:31:08,640 Speaker 11: or you know, take time for things to work through 629 00:31:08,680 --> 00:31:12,520 Speaker 11: the courts. So it's it's very likely that this will 630 00:31:12,560 --> 00:31:15,320 Speaker 11: be days, potentially weeks if there are you know, several 631 00:31:15,360 --> 00:31:17,840 Speaker 11: hurdles in the states, and it looks to be you know, 632 00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:18,840 Speaker 11: really tight Margins. 633 00:31:19,120 --> 00:31:20,640 Speaker 4: All right, laur thank you so much for joining us. 634 00:31:20,680 --> 00:31:23,520 Speaker 4: Lard Davison. She's a polittle bel editor for Bloomberg News, 635 00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:25,240 Speaker 4: joining us from Washington, DC. 636 00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:28,400 Speaker 3: So again, I think that's going to be really interesting, Jessica, 637 00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:30,840 Speaker 3: and probably very frustrating for a lot of people who 638 00:31:31,280 --> 00:31:32,920 Speaker 3: you know, want to go to bed on election night 639 00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:35,800 Speaker 3: like we used to, knowing kind of who the president 640 00:31:35,920 --> 00:31:36,360 Speaker 3: is going to be. 641 00:31:36,360 --> 00:31:38,280 Speaker 5: But it could be right, it could take days again. 642 00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:40,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, and maybe perhaps even longer, and I don't know, 643 00:31:40,840 --> 00:31:42,920 Speaker 3: you know, I guess that simply just reflects the fact 644 00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:45,320 Speaker 3: that the electorate is so evenly divided. 645 00:31:45,840 --> 00:31:47,440 Speaker 4: Literally our college counts. 646 00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:50,000 Speaker 3: You can't be there at eight o'clock PM and call 647 00:31:50,080 --> 00:31:53,400 Speaker 3: the race, right, I guess at Network news anchor, those 648 00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:54,120 Speaker 3: days are over. 649 00:31:54,640 --> 00:31:56,600 Speaker 5: No, definitely, so it'll be interesting to see how things 650 00:31:56,640 --> 00:31:57,400 Speaker 5: play out over. 651 00:31:57,280 --> 00:31:57,840 Speaker 6: The next week. 652 00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:03,400 Speaker 2: This is the bloomber Surge Intelligence podcast, available on apples, Spotify, 653 00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:06,800 Speaker 2: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live each 654 00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:10,240 Speaker 2: weekday ten am to noon Eastern on Bloomberg dot com, 655 00:32:10,320 --> 00:32:13,720 Speaker 2: the iHeartRadio app tune In, and the Bloomberg Business app. 656 00:32:13,840 --> 00:32:16,840 Speaker 2: You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube 657 00:32:17,040 --> 00:32:18,920 Speaker 2: and always on the Bloomberg Terminal