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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast. All Right, here

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Speaker 1: we go.

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Speaker 2: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five

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Speaker 2: fifty and the kick as block the college football world

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Speaker 2: stund oh my goodness, please stumbled and football the latter

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Speaker 2: of turn a counter on the inside.

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Speaker 1: Don't you believe that I'm not gonna table up the

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Speaker 1: field to night. It's not the size of the dog

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Speaker 1: in the fight.

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Speaker 2: It's the size of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 1: What's up the gener nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 1: on Campus Podcast. This is the off season college football

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Speaker 1: catch up. I'm stucky and joy me. Today is a

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Speaker 1: very special guest, my colleague and friend, Alex Colla J.

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Speaker 1: Did I pronounce that right? By the way, hell o J?

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Speaker 1: Good enough Polish? Right?

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Speaker 3: It is polish?

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Speaker 1: Yes, I call him a K. A lot of you

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Speaker 1: out there probably have run into him on Twitter. He's

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Speaker 1: been with us forever, does a lot for action, complete,

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Speaker 1: degenerate better, very sharp better in my eyes, and lives

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Speaker 1: breathes and sweats college football on Twitter. You can find

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Speaker 1: him at rome O goonse O g o o n ze.

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Speaker 1: By the way, Colin isn't gone anywhere. We'll have our

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Speaker 1: normal college football win total previews for every conference as

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Speaker 1: we always do. Those will start in July. Colin is

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Speaker 1: now off, uh using money on college baseball, assume somewhere,

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Speaker 1: So I just want to do a quick catchup. We're

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Speaker 1: trying to expand the BBOC team a little bit.

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Speaker 3: This year.

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Speaker 1: We brought in step on a Duck. If you haven't

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Speaker 1: listened to a couple episodes that came out, I think

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Speaker 1: it's a really good addition, really sharp college football. Better guy.

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Speaker 1: I really like make sure you check out those episodes

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Speaker 1: will be in the mix this year. And Uh, I

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Speaker 1: wanted to get a K on That's that's what I

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Speaker 1: refer to Alcol's AK his initials. By the way, initially,

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Speaker 1: do you know anyone in college football with the initials a.

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Speaker 3: K Rutgers quarterback?

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, callick man. It's the Greek, the Greek rifle,

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Speaker 1: the Greek water me to the Greek rifle. I'm trying

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Speaker 1: to think if I could think of anyone else. Wow,

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Speaker 1: you pulled that quick. Uh, I guess that it is

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Speaker 1: your initials or how about Art and key you. But

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Speaker 1: I do want to just for those not familiar with you, Elex,

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Speaker 1: where you're from do you have a team? How long

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Speaker 1: you've betting college football? And then we'll get into just

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Speaker 1: some high level stuff some quick and you have a

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Speaker 1: couple of wind totals that you bet. We'll talk about

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Speaker 1: and we'll have some fun on this episode. We'll play

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Speaker 1: some f Mary kill with some coaches and I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: bring three coaches. You're gonna bring three quarterbacks for me.

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Speaker 1: But how about a quick background for those not familiar

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Speaker 1: with you. Yeah, I grew up in the suburbs of Chicago.

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Speaker 1: I played football in college for a couple of years

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Speaker 1: at the NAI level, have a sports background, grew up

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Speaker 1: in a sports family, got my bachelor's in kinesiology and

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Speaker 1: sports studies from Eastern Illinois after I got done playing,

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Speaker 1: and really just have kind of had a couple of stops.

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Speaker 1: We're working with content at the score fan rag sports

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Speaker 1: as a startup. But yeah, I really love breakdowns, really

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Speaker 1: love how teams form, love to project price. Really thankful

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Speaker 1: for all the connections I've made in the college football

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Speaker 1: industry especially, and I think that's why I've had kind

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Speaker 1: of the longevity that I've had. Even through losing seasons.

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Speaker 1: I still get super jacked up to project and rate

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Speaker 1: for college football and get excited for it. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: this is my third year at Action and again, man,

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Speaker 1: just just doing a little bit of everything right now,

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Speaker 1: betting more WNBA and MLB with our projections being so hot,

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Speaker 1: go check those out on pro But yeah, really just grease.

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Speaker 3: In the wheels for college football. Duck did an awesome job.

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Speaker 3: He's taken some really good positions on some unders if.

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Speaker 3: In his first episode with Breeze, he was talking about

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Speaker 3: how his approach was more so finding kinks in the

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Speaker 3: schedule and selling off teams, and I think that's going

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Speaker 3: to be my approach when I dive into winters more.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, man, just super happy to be here to

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Speaker 3: add another layer.

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Speaker 1: Do you have a team?

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Speaker 3: By the way, So I have family ties to Michigan.

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Speaker 3: I grew up going to Michigan games and that's kind

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Speaker 3: of actually where my first real love of college football

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Speaker 3: came when I was in grade school going into high

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Speaker 3: school and attributed like a big part of that to

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Speaker 3: why I love college football. So I do have a

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Speaker 3: soft spot for Michigan. Was really excited to see them

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Speaker 3: win a championships last year two years ago.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and this guy has gear for almost every team

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Speaker 1: in college football. It shows up fanatics loves me. They're

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Speaker 1: a number one customer by why margin All right, Now,

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Speaker 1: by the way.

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Speaker 3: When did you graduate from EIU twenty sixteen? I was

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Speaker 3: two years after Jimmy Garoppolo was Babers.

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Speaker 1: Now Babers was a little before then.

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Speaker 3: Babers was a year out I think, and he was

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Speaker 3: at Bowling Green. No, but Jimmy was there on campus.

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Speaker 3: Didn't do a lot of studying from what I heard.

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Speaker 1: Let's dive right into it. I mean, I guess where

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Speaker 1: we have to start is all the talk lately is

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Speaker 1: about the college Football Playoff and expansion. Then obviously the

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Speaker 1: transfer portal, nil deals. You know, obviously college football is changing.

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Speaker 1: The number. They solved the number one, my number one concern,

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Speaker 1: which was the fact that last year you had Arizona

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Speaker 1: State and Boise State get buys, which was just outrageous.

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Speaker 1: They fixed that. The top it's just going to be

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Speaker 1: the top seeds it and now you won't have a

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Speaker 1: scenario where Oregon and I'm I know people are probably

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Speaker 1: tired of me saying this should have lost in the

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Speaker 1: Big Ten Championship, And yes, I'm salid e sided ticket

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Speaker 1: on Penn State. Uh maybe that played a part of it,

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Speaker 1: but they should have and they would have had an

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Speaker 1: easier path, and who knows how it all would have

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Speaker 1: played out, but I think they fixed that. I think

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Speaker 1: it's inevitable we're going to expand again. I don't care. Uh,

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Speaker 1: it's probably gonna go eleven five to eleven model we

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Speaker 1: have red share now. I think that's still there still

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Speaker 1: needs to be some regulation and how this all works

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Speaker 1: with nil And I'm a better first. I've always been

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Speaker 1: a college fotball fan. This is just the way that

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Speaker 1: we're headed. Just give me games and I'll bet on them.

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Speaker 1: That's all I really care about, and what college football

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Speaker 1: looks like. This is kind of how most people, including myself,

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Speaker 1: predicted where it's headed, in that it's gonna be tougher

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Speaker 1: for the smaller schools and we're gonna get more parody

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Speaker 1: at the top. And you're seeing that now. I mean

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Speaker 1: I could go down the list of college football national

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Speaker 1: title odds and if I listed, you know, ten to

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Speaker 1: twelve teams and said they won it all, you wouldn't

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Speaker 1: be completely shocked, whereas five six years ago you might

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Speaker 1: be shocked after like the first three to four names.

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Speaker 1: So it's just that we're there's more parody at the top.

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Speaker 1: There's going to be a larger separation between the top

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Speaker 1: and the bottom of collgeotball. Where does that end up?

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Speaker 1: Does there end up that end up being two leagues?

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Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't care. Just give me the games.

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Speaker 1: I do think there needs to be some regulation. We're

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Speaker 1: going to eventually expand to sixteen because of money, I

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Speaker 1: think if they fix the buys, So whatever, do you

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Speaker 1: just give me the games. We'll try to find winners.

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Speaker 1: Do you have anything on the overall landscape of college

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Speaker 1: football and end or the playoff?

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Speaker 3: The landscape no, I would just say, more so the

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Speaker 3: portal and how often teams change. I just find it

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Speaker 3: hard to project, like even knowing names, trying to figure

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Speaker 3: out how teams are going to differ from just looking

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Speaker 3: on paper to how they're going to blend into a

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Speaker 3: new system, or you know, if team building is really

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Speaker 3: like a big thing, if if these kids actually like

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Speaker 3: each other, if like locker rooms are strong. Trying to

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Speaker 3: read less more into like which outlets feel optimistic, and

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Speaker 3: really just trying to get a pulse for what's gonna

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Speaker 3: work and what's not going to work. Like I go

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Speaker 3: to bed thinking and myself, I'm like, wow, like what's

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Speaker 3: Dane key and in the brasket uniform going to look like? So,

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Speaker 3: you know, every day, like I said, diving from the

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Speaker 3: outside in and just looking at new rosters every day,

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Speaker 3: I'm like, how is this guy in this roster? Now?

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Speaker 3: This guy's like, you know, fifteen, but he's you know,

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Speaker 3: a good player is just as a better It's hard

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Speaker 3: for me to project so getting into the season, and

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Speaker 3: you know, for me, my strength would be more so

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Speaker 3: to get information and then trying to figure out what

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Speaker 3: to do with it and how to price it and

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Speaker 3: like where to buy and sell. But right now in

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Speaker 3: the off season, it's tough for me, which is why

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Speaker 3: I think I'm okay with taking more time and not

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Speaker 3: diving in so aggressively and just kind of looking for

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Speaker 3: storylines and paths and angles. And I think that's really

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Speaker 3: benefited me mentally in terms of where I am at

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Speaker 3: for the summer and where I plan to be in

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Speaker 3: the next few months.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's it's stuff. There's so much more variance now

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Speaker 1: in couch well, especially with the smaller schools. You you

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Speaker 1: look at the turnover now And it's not just players,

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Speaker 1: it's coaches, right. I mean we've had I think almost

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Speaker 1: half of college football as a new head coach over

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Speaker 1: the past two years. And I think in this past

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Speaker 1: offseason there was I don't know five hundred plus coaching

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Speaker 1: changes across college football, like including assistants. But now these

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Speaker 1: teams that are completely rebuilding, you know, the smaller schools

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Speaker 1: you're pulling from, JUCO ranks you're pulling from you have

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Speaker 1: a do you have a break grasp on how three

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Speaker 1: JUCO kids you know they were putting together in a

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Speaker 1: new secondary are going to pan out? I mean more

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Speaker 1: power people. Look at Ohio. My biggest with last year

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Speaker 1: was Ohio. Right, You're gonna have times where you can

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Speaker 1: just strike gold. Right, Ohio came out of nowhere. I

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Speaker 1: thought they were gonna be one of the worst teams

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Speaker 1: in the country. They win the MAC. So there's just

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Speaker 1: so much more variance, which so I think I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: probably cut back on my wind totals just volume wise,

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Speaker 1: and I have no problem waiting either. A lot of

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Speaker 1: the sharpest better is that I know a lot of

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Speaker 1: them got crushed on regular season win totals last year.

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Speaker 1: I think you just raised your hand. For those not watching,

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Speaker 1: I think I went like I think I went won

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Speaker 1: five hundred, and I look back and it's like I

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Speaker 1: had Indiana over Troy Troy under those were decided like

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Speaker 1: a month in I had Illinois under pit Under those

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Speaker 1: were losers like a month, and like just the hits

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Speaker 1: and misses were so obvious, whereas in the past it

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Speaker 1: would come down to like and obviously getting the best

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Speaker 1: number and those half winds still matter. But in the

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Speaker 1: past it was like the last two weeks, I'd have

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Speaker 1: all these sweats, but just the variants of these teams

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Speaker 1: and so chige. So I think I'm gonna spend more

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Speaker 1: time on especially in the smaller conferences, maybe more alts,

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Speaker 1: more longer shots, futures, especially when you're tying up your

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Speaker 1: money for that long And I think the books overall,

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Speaker 1: as far as like the long, low hanging fruit, like

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Speaker 1: teams that were lucky and not as with any market,

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Speaker 1: it's become a bit more efficient. But I don't mind

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Speaker 1: waiting for you know, some team who everyone falls in

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Speaker 1: love with and then their win total starts to go

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Speaker 1: up and then coming back later in the summer and

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Speaker 1: going under or vice versa. But it's the same with

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Speaker 1: college basketball in the past. College basketball, it's like a

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Speaker 1: lot of these teams got we lost this guy. So

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Speaker 1: I have these three or four guys that are coming

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Speaker 1: and then I have to adjust my end of year

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Speaker 1: rating from last year. Just this one guy who's coming

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Speaker 1: in is gonna be the start now. So everyone's a

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Speaker 1: brand new team, and it just makes it much more

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Speaker 1: difficult to project and that that's not my strength. Player

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Speaker 1: projections and player projection models with and player projections of

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Speaker 1: guys coming from the JUCO ranks and all over the

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Speaker 1: country definitely makes it more challenging. But uh, that's where

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Speaker 1: we're at now, and it's it's all also makes it

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Speaker 1: more fun, and it's not you do some of the

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Speaker 1: same teams. You could have a team like Ohio out

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Speaker 1: of nowhere you win MAC. You have a team at

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Speaker 1: Florida State. Look at Florida State just two and ten.

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Speaker 1: Who would have saw that coming. But before we get

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Speaker 1: into this year, let's look back quickly at last year.

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Speaker 1: Have some fun, biggest hits, biggest swings and misses. I'll

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Speaker 1: I'll start. I mentioned that you know IU over Troy

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Speaker 1: under Illinois under I mean I had Ohio under they

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Speaker 1: won the MAC. It's embarrassing for me consider you always

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Speaker 1: think that I'm the MAC guru. Not so much last

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Speaker 1: year bets though BYU plus four and a half in

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Speaker 1: the Bowl against Colorado comes to mind. How about Alabama

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Speaker 1: minus ten, one of the worst bets ever remained against Michigan.

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Speaker 1: I think that closed like fourteen and it was dead

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Speaker 1: one drive into the game. How about your biggest swings

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Speaker 1: and misses from last year.

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Speaker 3: A lot of them. One that sticks out that hurts

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Speaker 3: really hard is San Jose State. I just got a

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Speaker 3: completely wrong read on that, which makes me think heading forward,

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Speaker 3: how I want to approach teams and new systems. And

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Speaker 3: because Kenya Matololo is coming over implementing a new system,

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Speaker 3: he spreaded and shredded my you know what, and I

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Speaker 3: got nick nashed like right away, and San Jose State

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Speaker 3: became a juggernaut. It sucks when you fade those teams.

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Speaker 3: You're like, I don't want to love these teams, but

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Speaker 3: I'm rooting against them every week. I was also on

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Speaker 3: Ohio with you as well. I was big on kyrone,

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Speaker 3: drones and VT last year. That was a big swing

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Speaker 3: and miss, which makes me give a big comparison to

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Speaker 3: like Leonora Sellers. This year, I'm like forever just kind

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Speaker 3: of mushed in my head and I have that thought

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Speaker 3: they play each other week one, by the way, South

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Speaker 3: Carolina and Virginia Tech. That should be a basketball game. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: a lot of swings in MISS Week one. I had

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Speaker 3: Houston UNLV over the total. Houston ended up being the

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Speaker 3: best under team in the country. I saw Donovan Smith

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Speaker 3: versus Slucan, I thought, that's that's going to be a

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Speaker 3: barn burner. I found scores a twenty seven to six

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Speaker 3: or something. My you know, a lot of my nothing

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Speaker 3: big in the futures market with big wins, I can't

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Speaker 3: really put a feather in my cap. Didn't play a

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Speaker 3: lot in the in the highest market or futures with

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Speaker 3: with conference outrights. But uh, the best win would be

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Speaker 3: Georgia's Southern Boise State. I think that over was like

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Speaker 3: fifty six and a half and I think that that

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Speaker 3: game was why Yeah, that was a bad number. But yeah,

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Speaker 3: I mean last year not a great year for me

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Speaker 3: on win totals, which again, I you know, you can

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Speaker 3: only self deplicate so much, but you know, it's probably

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Speaker 3: one of those things where I don't want to take

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Speaker 3: up too much of my portfolio on regular season win

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Speaker 3: totals right now. But yeah, I have a couple that

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Speaker 3: I'm excited to share later down the road. Breeze and

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Speaker 3: Duck really have me uh have me antsy here?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I said, I say that I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: cut back and I'll end up having as many as

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Speaker 1: I usually do. That's that's the ego. And then you're like,

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Speaker 1: it's only I mean, I went five hundred. It's one season,

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Speaker 1: but like there's a lot of smart people that have

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Speaker 1: always done very well in win totals in this new

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Speaker 1: collegeable world. It's only been one. You know, if you

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Speaker 1: have one bad season, I mean, it's just one bad season.

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Speaker 1: But I do think that it's a much more difficult

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Speaker 1: market and may be one that I shouldn't be tying

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Speaker 1: up as much money as I usually would in the past.

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Speaker 1: Games that still sit with me. Ready, let's uh, let's

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Speaker 1: uncover some bad memory. North Texas versus TWU Lane will

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Speaker 1: never come in versus Army excuse me, and verse two lane.

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Speaker 1: North Texas was my enemy last year when they didn't

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Speaker 1: go for two. They went for two originally and then

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Speaker 1: I lost by the hook. But the Army game and

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Speaker 1: they kept throwing picks in the end zone. USC versus

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame. That one stung, the pick six at the

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Speaker 1: A kept drying, Oh my god, that one just there's

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Speaker 1: certain games that you don't when you don't cover, and

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Speaker 1: you felt like you were fighting for Marshall opting out

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Speaker 1: of the bowl. I think I would have had about

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Speaker 1: three touchdowns worth of CLV in that game. Northern Illinois

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Speaker 1: Fresnel under a bowl game, no one, No one would

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Speaker 1: end it. They just wanted to keep playing overtimes and

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Speaker 1: they were missing like third thirteen yard field goals to

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Speaker 1: end the game. That game was miserable. You mentioned Santase State,

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Speaker 1: Santase State versus Boise, Oh my god, that was miserable.

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Speaker 1: ULM versus UL They were catching ten UL breaks a

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Speaker 1: run after they sat on the sidelines. Go down if

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Speaker 1: you get the first and the kid didn't break a run,

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Speaker 1: score touchdown and over on the other side. You got

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Speaker 1: to remember the exciting wins. Fannin having fann In to

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Speaker 1: go alts On, not even a prop player, b all

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Speaker 1: alts to break the record. That was so fun and

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Speaker 1: I think he like won them all by halftime. I

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Speaker 1: will miss Harold Fan and USF for San Jose State

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Speaker 1: in the Aloha Bowl on Christmas Eve. That was an

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Speaker 1: electric game. Western Kentucky Jacksonville State over That's a random one,

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Speaker 1: but Jacksonville State Rich Rod. It was like fourth and

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Speaker 1: I needed them to kick a fuel goals like fourth

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Speaker 1: and ten. They brought in the backup quarterback and and

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Speaker 1: went for it. I guess because he's a senior, they

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Speaker 1: want to go to stap and he ran it in

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Speaker 1: who was that it was Smothers Smothers I think that's

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Speaker 1: his name. Uh. He ran it in Iowa State coming

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Speaker 1: back against Iowa that was fun too. But anything you

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Speaker 1: want to mention for its games that still haunt you

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Speaker 1: or exciting wines.

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Speaker 3: God, I can go on forever. Games that haunt me.

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Speaker 3: I feel like those just stick. Week one, Nebraska UTEP

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Speaker 3: had over forty seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: I think that was like.

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Speaker 3: No one scored for like ever at the end, right, Yeah,

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Speaker 3: nobody scored for like eighteen minutes of gameplay. And those

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Speaker 3: are just the worst because you're you're just acting to win.

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Speaker 1: But you're like, wait, do I gotta pay? I gotta

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Speaker 1: pay attention to this, but I still should be good.

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Speaker 1: And then you're like, oh no, and then yeah, and

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Speaker 1: then it turns to dread. You know.

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Speaker 3: Umbrassa was up by like forty, and there were a

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Speaker 3: couple you know, goal to go possessions and they end

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Speaker 3: up going for and you just know when you're on

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Speaker 3: the one yard line, first and goal and you get

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Speaker 3: four shots, you're not going to get in at that point.

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Speaker 3: And that's said that that honestly, hey just say it.

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Speaker 3: Don't want to be that guy, but it's set the

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Speaker 3: tone for like some some pretty bad ones. But yeah, man,

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Speaker 3: looking forward to that.

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Speaker 1: Nothing better. I can't wait North Texas Army in September rematch.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna find a way to lose money in that game.

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Speaker 1: Top two. All right, we have a list of potential

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Speaker 1: topics here. Let's go through them. Top twenty five teams.

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Speaker 1: Let's if you can have about a top fifteen or

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Speaker 1: a top twenty team that has no shot. I'll throw

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Speaker 1: the first stone here at you. Michigan man, I'm going

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Speaker 1: to say Michigan. So teams that are they going to

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Speaker 1: be a top ten team? I don't know what the

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Speaker 1: rankings are going to be, but they might be like ten,

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Speaker 1: top ten, top fifteen, don't. I don't think they have

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Speaker 1: the offense. I think the defense will be nasty, they're running,

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Speaker 1: their running backs will be good. I still don't think

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Speaker 1: they have the wide receivers. Their offensive line, there's major

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Speaker 1: question marks. And then I mean, if he's Underwood going

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Speaker 1: to be the guy, maybe, but he's still a kid.

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Speaker 1: And then when you have all those other question marks

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Speaker 1: on offense, I'm also not a believer in their coordinator.

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Speaker 1: So I just think that they're off. They don't have

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Speaker 1: the offensive upside this year. So Michigan's a team I

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Speaker 1: just think is zero shot. You agree or disagree with.

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Speaker 3: That, No, I agree, it's gonna say the same thing.

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Speaker 3: I don't think the wide receiver rooms strong enough. And

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Speaker 3: really that comes from a conference where I think there

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Speaker 3: are a lot of strong wide receiver rooms and teams

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Speaker 3: that might not even contend. I think have stronger wide

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Speaker 3: receiver rooms. I don't think this is Shronmore's best team either.

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Speaker 3: A lot of room to grow, but I don't think

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Speaker 3: this is it either. I don't have a team maybe

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Speaker 3: not maybe not top ten or twelve, but because it's

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Speaker 3: not a top ten or twelve.

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Speaker 1: I'll give you two.

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Speaker 3: And I think that two teams that I'm like really

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Speaker 3: wary of are South Carolina and Texas Tech because they

389
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Speaker 3: both fit that mold.

390
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Speaker 1: Texas Tech is the is the off season hype Darling

391
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Speaker 1: right now?

392
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Speaker 3: It's you see it almost every year, right like you

393
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Speaker 3: get hot at the end of the year, big bull game,

394
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Speaker 3: win over an SEC team and then like you know,

395
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Speaker 3: you're you're kind of in the conference mix. And the

396
00:20:49,480 --> 00:20:52,440
Speaker 3: thing with Texas Tech though, is and and I think

397
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Speaker 3: this is honestly important for people who try to find

398
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Speaker 3: information on the internet, Like there's a lot of optimism

399
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Speaker 3: around Texas Tech, and I think sometimes you have to

400
00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:04,680
Speaker 3: be wary as it better of Like sometimes too much

401
00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:08,080
Speaker 3: optimism isn't good if everybody's saying very very good things

402
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Speaker 3: about you.

403
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Speaker 1: And I think when ye gets priced into the market

404
00:21:10,359 --> 00:21:12,640
Speaker 1: a lot, everyone's better than now. They're some places they're

405
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Speaker 1: like if they're like the co favor to win the

406
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Speaker 1: Big Twelve, And it's not like there's a lot of

407
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Speaker 1: separation between a lot of the teams and the people.

408
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Speaker 1: I mean, the Big twelve is wide wide open again?

409
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Speaker 1: Can it be even more wide open than last year?

410
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Speaker 3: I don't know.

411
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Speaker 1: I mean, last year, going into the final weekend, there

412
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Speaker 1: was nine teams that had a chance to go to

413
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Speaker 1: the Big Twelve championship, and none of them controlled their

414
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Speaker 1: own destiny, which is insane. I don't know if can

415
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Speaker 1: get more wide open, but I think like you're gonna

416
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Speaker 1: have teams, a bunch of teams that are power rated

417
00:21:38,840 --> 00:21:41,159
Speaker 1: like twentieth to thirtieth, and then I think some of

418
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Speaker 1: the teams that are at the we're at the bottom

419
00:21:43,359 --> 00:21:46,800
Speaker 1: last year, should be a little better, you know, like

420
00:21:47,119 --> 00:21:49,959
Speaker 1: power rated eightieth. May they'll maybe like sixtieth. So like

421
00:21:50,840 --> 00:21:52,720
Speaker 1: there's not a lot of separation, especially at the top.

422
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Speaker 3: What's that The Big Twelve is gonna be amazing.

423
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Speaker 1: Oh, it's gonna be amazing. I expect chaos and like

424
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Speaker 1: tie breakers and to come down to the final weekend again.

425
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Speaker 1: As of right now, I'm a Baylor guy as of

426
00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:09,640
Speaker 1: right now in the Big Twelve, and I've just scratched

427
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Speaker 1: the surface of college football. I mean, for the next

428
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Speaker 1: I was just in Spain for two weeks and now

429
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Speaker 1: it's locked in time. I'll be every minute doing NFL

430
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Speaker 1: and college football for the next two months before we

431
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Speaker 1: start unleashing all of the off season previews, so I

432
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Speaker 1: have to do deep dots on every team, but as

433
00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:32,399
Speaker 1: of right now, I'm Baylor is my early darling in

434
00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:34,639
Speaker 1: the Big twelve. I agree that Texas Tech is getting

435
00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:39,280
Speaker 1: too much love and then South Carolina. Yeah, it's interesting.

436
00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:42,440
Speaker 1: I think that they're they're getting too much love as well.

437
00:22:42,480 --> 00:22:44,840
Speaker 1: I mean, I get it. Last year you look at

438
00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:48,600
Speaker 1: what they did and you could argue. You could argue

439
00:22:48,600 --> 00:22:51,160
Speaker 1: this either way, depending on which case you want to make,

440
00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:54,920
Speaker 1: because they should have beat LSU. I was on that game.

441
00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:56,600
Speaker 1: Pissed me off, by the way. That should be a.

442
00:22:56,520 --> 00:22:59,400
Speaker 3: Game early early season, lowly.

443
00:23:00,080 --> 00:23:07,480
Speaker 1: That was they had they played. It was like, uh, it.

444
00:23:07,480 --> 00:23:10,000
Speaker 3: Was like I remember, I bet I had under in

445
00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:12,920
Speaker 3: that game. I think it's too no chance, No, it

446
00:23:13,000 --> 00:23:13,159
Speaker 3: was in.

447
00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:15,400
Speaker 1: It was I think it was like it was either

448
00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:16,960
Speaker 1: mid to late September. I think it was like week three.

449
00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:19,439
Speaker 1: I think you're right, week three, week maybe week two,

450
00:23:19,640 --> 00:23:22,680
Speaker 1: I don't know. It was the early season. And there

451
00:23:22,720 --> 00:23:25,640
Speaker 1: was a horse call, bullshit horse collar that they called.

452
00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:27,679
Speaker 1: They called it. There was so many bad calls on

453
00:23:27,720 --> 00:23:31,639
Speaker 1: South Carolina. I was on South Carolina, but just a

454
00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:33,119
Speaker 1: lot of people would agree there was a horse call

455
00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:36,480
Speaker 1: that brought back a pick six whatever they should have been,

456
00:23:36,520 --> 00:23:40,640
Speaker 1: and they could easily beat Alabama. But it's I mean,

457
00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:44,359
Speaker 1: that wasn't the best Alabama team last year. But then

458
00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:46,080
Speaker 1: at the end, you know, they also at the end

459
00:23:46,080 --> 00:23:49,800
Speaker 1: of the year, they they Missouri, they won in the

460
00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:52,640
Speaker 1: final seconds, they won in the final seconds against Clemson.

461
00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:57,159
Speaker 1: I get it. Sellers improved as the year went on,

462
00:23:57,280 --> 00:23:59,800
Speaker 1: but I'm a I think I'm a seller of South

463
00:23:59,800 --> 00:24:02,160
Speaker 1: Caroline as well. I think that they're getting a little

464
00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:04,080
Speaker 1: bit too much hype. I think their defense definitely takes

465
00:24:04,119 --> 00:24:06,360
Speaker 1: a step back with some of the pieces that they

466
00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:14,280
Speaker 1: lost at all three levels. And you know, Sellers is

467
00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:19,080
Speaker 1: he's fun to watch. He still has footwork issues. Maybe

468
00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:21,399
Speaker 1: he works on that and maybe he takes that next step,

469
00:24:21,840 --> 00:24:26,119
Speaker 1: but I'm still not fully bought in on him being

470
00:24:27,200 --> 00:24:30,960
Speaker 1: this guy who's going to lead South Carolina to the

471
00:24:31,000 --> 00:24:35,440
Speaker 1: College Flaw Playoff and or even deeper. With that said,

472
00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:43,000
Speaker 1: if you are looking for a Heisman long shot, I

473
00:24:43,000 --> 00:24:45,600
Speaker 1: mean you've got to when I look at the highs

474
00:24:45,600 --> 00:24:46,800
Speaker 1: of market, I don't really bet the heis of the market.

475
00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:49,440
Speaker 1: I'm a Heisman voter, one of the million, but you

476
00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:54,320
Speaker 1: got to look quarterback in my opinion, And you know,

477
00:24:54,359 --> 00:24:56,280
Speaker 1: obviously your your favorites are going to be Arch and

478
00:24:56,600 --> 00:25:00,879
Speaker 1: Company at the top. But you know, maybe who I

479
00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:04,119
Speaker 1: would consider maybe looking at is a seller's because I

480
00:25:04,119 --> 00:25:06,359
Speaker 1: do think South goron Is defense takes a step back.

481
00:25:07,040 --> 00:25:09,560
Speaker 1: If you believe that he takes the next step, he's

482
00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:12,520
Speaker 1: gonna have the rushing numbers and then you know if

483
00:25:12,560 --> 00:25:14,600
Speaker 1: he takes the next step as a passer. And I

484
00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:16,639
Speaker 1: think South Gon's offense has to be better this year

485
00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:20,680
Speaker 1: because their defense is gonna be worse. He's an intriguing name. Lagway.

486
00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:22,760
Speaker 1: Maybe I think like guys that are in like the

487
00:25:22,800 --> 00:25:25,480
Speaker 1: twenty to one range, I's been betting not my strong suit.

488
00:25:25,520 --> 00:25:26,760
Speaker 1: Thou do you have any thoughts on the heisman?

489
00:25:27,720 --> 00:25:28,919
Speaker 3: You know what, the more I look at it, like

490
00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:32,359
Speaker 3: Sam Levitt pass for twenty eight hundred yards, you're gonna

491
00:25:32,359 --> 00:25:35,119
Speaker 3: lose cam Skataboo's production from the running game. But I

492
00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:38,119
Speaker 3: think the big thing with Sam is he's going to

493
00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:41,920
Speaker 3: add on top of the four fifty five hundred rushing

494
00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:45,000
Speaker 3: yards and he had last year. I love ASU's receiving

495
00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:48,600
Speaker 3: corpse of Tyson Malie McClain. They had a couple transfers.

496
00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:50,000
Speaker 3: I think they just need one or two to hit

497
00:25:50,040 --> 00:25:52,560
Speaker 3: to have a really, really well rounded corpse. And then

498
00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:54,680
Speaker 3: I think just Kenny Dillingham, I mean, you think about

499
00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:58,119
Speaker 3: his ties, this is gonna be his most explosive offense.

500
00:25:58,320 --> 00:26:01,480
Speaker 3: I mean I was able to go freakin', you know

501
00:26:02,840 --> 00:26:05,560
Speaker 3: with Memphis, and this kind of reminds me of like

502
00:26:05,560 --> 00:26:09,280
Speaker 3: that explosive finally the unit that he wants, and like

503
00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:11,919
Speaker 3: last year, I wasn't really a big believer in Sam Levitt,

504
00:26:11,920 --> 00:26:14,959
Speaker 3: but I think he played more confidently than I thought.

505
00:26:15,040 --> 00:26:18,720
Speaker 3: He played mature. He played a point guard style offense

506
00:26:18,760 --> 00:26:20,840
Speaker 3: where when he had the ball in his hands, I

507
00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:22,600
Speaker 3: don't think he made a lot of mistakes. And I

508
00:26:22,640 --> 00:26:28,080
Speaker 3: think if he's gonna lose the narrative of the surprise factor,

509
00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:30,840
Speaker 3: nobody's gonna, you know, think of Asu as a sleeper anymore,

510
00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:33,399
Speaker 3: So he's gonna lose that. I think the playing on

511
00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:35,600
Speaker 3: the West Coast is kind of a little bit drawn

512
00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:38,280
Speaker 3: out of a narrative on why you might fade him.

513
00:26:38,320 --> 00:26:39,960
Speaker 3: He's playing the Big twelve. Now he's gonna get a

514
00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:42,920
Speaker 3: little bit more exposure. But I think from an overall

515
00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:46,240
Speaker 3: usage rate, like if you're looking at a guy like

516
00:26:46,280 --> 00:26:50,159
Speaker 3: Matier or Austin Simmons, like I think I'd rather have

517
00:26:50,200 --> 00:26:52,520
Speaker 3: Sam Levitt. I think I think he has the tools

518
00:26:52,600 --> 00:26:54,479
Speaker 3: to put up close to four thousand yards and then

519
00:26:54,520 --> 00:26:57,159
Speaker 3: add rushing ability on it. He's just I don't know

520
00:26:57,200 --> 00:26:59,240
Speaker 3: if I trust their running game. And with the Big

521
00:26:59,280 --> 00:27:01,800
Speaker 3: Twelve being so past heavy year, almost I think they're

522
00:27:01,800 --> 00:27:04,199
Speaker 3: gonna be playing shootouts almost every week. It's it's the

523
00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:06,680
Speaker 3: Big Twelve. I wouldn't be surprised if the Heisen winner

524
00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:08,000
Speaker 3: came out of the Big Twelve. It was a Big

525
00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:09,720
Speaker 3: twelve quarterbacks, just all the.

526
00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:13,520
Speaker 1: Matter of trying to side which one don't sleep on Udo.

527
00:27:14,480 --> 00:27:21,359
Speaker 1: That's Mike a rare Army transfer heading to Arizona State. Well,

528
00:27:21,480 --> 00:27:26,840
Speaker 1: that is a good transition into Yeah, I guess I'm

529
00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:30,240
Speaker 1: gonna do my I'm gonna do my well. Kenny Dillingham.

530
00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:32,960
Speaker 1: You mentioned Kenny Dillingham. You met him?

531
00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:37,320
Speaker 3: I did. I met Kenny Dillingham. The year was twenty

532
00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:42,080
Speaker 3: seventeen April, and I was just trying to make some money,

533
00:27:42,560 --> 00:27:45,240
Speaker 3: like in the off season of football, and so I

534
00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:46,600
Speaker 3: didn't know it at the time, but I was working

535
00:27:46,600 --> 00:27:50,560
Speaker 3: for like this Ponzi scheme protein shot and the overlord

536
00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:53,960
Speaker 3: of the protein shot. He was like, yeah, man, you'll

537
00:27:53,960 --> 00:27:56,640
Speaker 3: see some names pop in here. And he's like naming

538
00:27:56,680 --> 00:27:58,760
Speaker 3: off of these athletes or whatever because I told him,

539
00:27:58,760 --> 00:28:00,600
Speaker 3: like I was a sports background and stuff. And he's like, yeah,

540
00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:02,879
Speaker 3: you know, you'll see some guys and he's like, you know,

541
00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:06,359
Speaker 3: the Memphis offensive coordinator Pops, And I'm like Kenny doing

542
00:28:06,400 --> 00:28:07,840
Speaker 3: him and he's like, oh, yeah, you know he lived

543
00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:10,160
Speaker 3: because he's an easy guy. He lived up in Paradise

544
00:28:10,280 --> 00:28:12,840
Speaker 3: Hilly and so you know, sure is shoot, Like three

545
00:28:12,880 --> 00:28:17,520
Speaker 3: weeks later, in comes Kenny. I'm slinging protein shakes. In

546
00:28:17,600 --> 00:28:22,320
Speaker 3: comes Kenny right and like and and Matt Mitchell had

547
00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:25,240
Speaker 3: said the same thing. He's like, like, Kenny's just got

548
00:28:25,240 --> 00:28:27,359
Speaker 3: that aura where he's just straight business. That's how he

549
00:28:27,400 --> 00:28:30,399
Speaker 3: was in the protein shop, like slinging his protein shop

550
00:28:31,280 --> 00:28:33,080
Speaker 3: was in and out in like five minutes, just getting

551
00:28:33,080 --> 00:28:35,560
Speaker 3: his you know, just fueling up. He didn't you know,

552
00:28:35,600 --> 00:28:38,240
Speaker 3: didn't really acknowledge me. But oh yeah, And I got

553
00:28:38,240 --> 00:28:39,880
Speaker 3: out of the protein shop and like a couple of

554
00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:41,680
Speaker 3: weeks after after they were trying to like pay me

555
00:28:41,720 --> 00:28:45,280
Speaker 3: in protein. But yeah, crazy guy. I mean you could

556
00:28:45,280 --> 00:28:47,240
Speaker 3: like see it though, the way he carried himself, just

557
00:28:47,280 --> 00:28:50,120
Speaker 3: like a great dude, all all about business and so

558
00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:52,920
Speaker 3: him being a local guy, he's like really really easy

559
00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:53,400
Speaker 3: to roof for.

560
00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:55,920
Speaker 1: He seems like a guy that anyone would love to

561
00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:56,360
Speaker 1: play for.

562
00:28:57,680 --> 00:29:00,400
Speaker 3: So I mean, and I know this happened like a

563
00:29:00,440 --> 00:29:03,680
Speaker 3: couple months ago, but him gifting like bonuses to his staff,

564
00:29:03,760 --> 00:29:07,200
Speaker 3: like that's just like that's some good people stuff right there.

565
00:29:07,400 --> 00:29:09,880
Speaker 3: You just see that often. So yeah, good, good dude,

566
00:29:09,920 --> 00:29:14,000
Speaker 3: really easy to root for. And again he has tied

567
00:29:14,080 --> 00:29:17,440
Speaker 3: I mean, putting Memphis on the doing stuff with Memphis,

568
00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:21,000
Speaker 3: with Silverfield, and then at Oregon. I think this is

569
00:29:21,040 --> 00:29:22,760
Speaker 3: gonna be his best unit. I think he's still got

570
00:29:22,760 --> 00:29:24,840
Speaker 3: that chip on it. I think ASU's offense could go

571
00:29:24,920 --> 00:29:27,760
Speaker 3: crazy this year. Tyson for Blatna Coffin, you could find it.

572
00:29:28,640 --> 00:29:31,520
Speaker 1: Let's do well first year coaches we do have. There's

573
00:29:31,600 --> 00:29:35,720
Speaker 1: thirty I think new coaches in college football, anyone that

574
00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:38,600
Speaker 1: you like or dislike. I mean, going through by the

575
00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:40,600
Speaker 1: way college football, which is like it's like the best

576
00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:44,160
Speaker 1: TV show in the world, and now it could even better.

577
00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:46,720
Speaker 1: You have so you have Deonna Colorado, now you have

578
00:29:46,840 --> 00:29:50,719
Speaker 1: Belichick in that circus at UNC, Frost is back at

579
00:29:50,840 --> 00:29:54,920
Speaker 1: UCF rich trod is back in Morgantown. You got Arch

580
00:29:54,960 --> 00:29:58,440
Speaker 1: Madness down in Austin. That so many quarterback chances. I mean,

581
00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:02,600
Speaker 1: it's it's the best TV show. But for there's thirty

582
00:30:03,320 --> 00:30:10,560
Speaker 1: new coaches, like none really excite me that much. The

583
00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:13,240
Speaker 1: ones that I don't like, like Dan Mullen, is he

584
00:30:13,320 --> 00:30:17,360
Speaker 1: really built for this today's college football, Like this was

585
00:30:17,440 --> 00:30:21,040
Speaker 1: kind of his weakness. And I don't know, don't like

586
00:30:21,800 --> 00:30:22,880
Speaker 1: you say Dan Mullen too.

587
00:30:23,240 --> 00:30:24,840
Speaker 3: He was one of the first because, like I said,

588
00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:27,920
Speaker 3: like looking at first year coaches, was kind of one

589
00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:31,480
Speaker 3: of the first avenues to just like pricing teams and

590
00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:34,120
Speaker 3: gauging teams or whatever. And when I saw Dan Mullen at UNLV,

591
00:30:34,200 --> 00:30:36,040
Speaker 3: I'm like, okay, I got to find a reason to

592
00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:37,560
Speaker 3: want to sell off. And then I looked at the roster,

593
00:30:37,640 --> 00:30:40,000
Speaker 3: I'm like, damn, this this offense is like really good.

594
00:30:40,040 --> 00:30:43,840
Speaker 3: They have some I think it's what Jojo Earl they

595
00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:47,040
Speaker 3: had Orgy I think is the quarterback and like god

596
00:30:47,080 --> 00:30:50,280
Speaker 3: it man, mean, look, I watched Alex Orgie on a

597
00:30:50,280 --> 00:30:53,920
Speaker 3: weekly basis, Like you know, I don't know what he

598
00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:56,680
Speaker 3: looks like coming from the Big Ten and now playing it.

599
00:30:56,760 --> 00:31:00,960
Speaker 3: But again, just like an interesting team to me is Dan, Like, you.

600
00:31:01,000 --> 00:31:05,400
Speaker 1: Know Calandria baby the uh he's he's there too. I

601
00:31:05,400 --> 00:31:07,280
Speaker 1: don't know it's gonna win that gun RG.

602
00:31:07,600 --> 00:31:08,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's right.

603
00:31:08,680 --> 00:31:12,920
Speaker 1: I think it's either between the Wardi or Calandria. Calandre

604
00:31:13,040 --> 00:31:16,360
Speaker 1: is a roller coaster regardless, he'd be fun to watch. There.

605
00:31:18,640 --> 00:31:21,080
Speaker 1: There's so many I don't like, like, and I could

606
00:31:21,080 --> 00:31:24,320
Speaker 1: go on and on, but like, I don't see Charles

607
00:31:24,400 --> 00:31:30,640
Speaker 1: Kelly at Jacksonville State working out. We'll get to Phil Longo.

608
00:31:30,760 --> 00:31:36,200
Speaker 1: I will get to Sam Houston State later. Teaser loggins

609
00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:39,800
Speaker 1: in app State. There's so many I don't like. There's

610
00:31:39,800 --> 00:31:43,040
Speaker 1: none that like really wowed me where I'm like, this

611
00:31:43,120 --> 00:31:45,800
Speaker 1: is the Rice Higher could be interesting. I mean Bloomgren,

612
00:31:46,040 --> 00:31:51,200
Speaker 1: I was just edge Brunnock's course Fau. You know you

613
00:31:51,280 --> 00:31:55,080
Speaker 1: got Kntlee bringing the air raid down to Fau, which

614
00:31:55,080 --> 00:31:57,080
Speaker 1: will be interesting to watch. But there's not a lot

615
00:31:57,120 --> 00:32:00,600
Speaker 1: of buyers that I like. In fact, most of them

616
00:32:00,880 --> 00:32:04,320
Speaker 1: I don't like. And we'll have plenty of time to

617
00:32:04,320 --> 00:32:07,520
Speaker 1: talk about the Belichick situation on later episodes. But any

618
00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:10,000
Speaker 1: other coaches that you want to mention.

619
00:32:10,560 --> 00:32:14,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, I mean I love Casey Keeler. I

620
00:32:14,800 --> 00:32:17,720
Speaker 3: really couldn't get there with Temple this year. But again,

621
00:32:17,800 --> 00:32:21,160
Speaker 3: a guy that's really easy to say that he's gonna

622
00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:23,200
Speaker 3: win wherever he goes. Then I think the same with

623
00:32:23,480 --> 00:32:27,480
Speaker 3: Tim Albin to it Charlotte for the same reason that

624
00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:29,760
Speaker 3: I liked Biff Poggy a couple of years ago, which

625
00:32:29,880 --> 00:32:32,520
Speaker 3: in hindsight, Biff isn't isn't a head coach, Like he's

626
00:32:32,560 --> 00:32:34,400
Speaker 3: a great number three if you have him in your

627
00:32:34,800 --> 00:32:37,760
Speaker 3: in your university, but not a head coach. But Charlotte

628
00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:40,880
Speaker 3: is one of those teams that I think at two

629
00:32:40,880 --> 00:32:43,040
Speaker 3: and a half, even if you're paying I think minus

630
00:32:43,040 --> 00:32:44,840
Speaker 3: one sixty or one seventy they're at right now, I

631
00:32:44,840 --> 00:32:46,720
Speaker 3: think you'd be okay playing that over.

632
00:32:47,400 --> 00:32:49,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, that album's one of the few I do like,

633
00:32:49,080 --> 00:32:51,240
Speaker 1: especially what he did with Ohio last year. I mean,

634
00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:55,560
Speaker 1: you have to tip your hat to what he did

635
00:32:55,640 --> 00:32:57,640
Speaker 1: last year. So yeah, I don't mind that either. And

636
00:32:57,640 --> 00:32:59,400
Speaker 1: I don't I don't mind that over on an early

637
00:32:59,440 --> 00:33:02,520
Speaker 1: look and then another one stuck. And this is just

638
00:33:02,600 --> 00:33:06,360
Speaker 1: obviously personal, but Mikeyrimovich at ball State is an interesting

639
00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:09,880
Speaker 1: one only because I know Mike back from his Saint

640
00:33:09,880 --> 00:33:12,320
Speaker 1: Francis days. He was actually the first head coach to

641
00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:16,160
Speaker 1: offer me a college scholarship out of high school. He's

642
00:33:16,480 --> 00:33:19,160
Speaker 1: from Bike, came from Butler, right, he did just a bummer.

643
00:33:19,600 --> 00:33:22,080
Speaker 3: He was an NAU guy, had some success at Butler,

644
00:33:22,680 --> 00:33:24,880
Speaker 3: was at Temple for a little bit. But yeah, I

645
00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:29,280
Speaker 3: mean he's been in my house. He he coached Saint Francis,

646
00:33:29,280 --> 00:33:31,520
Speaker 3: which close to my house. Really wasn't anything, and then

647
00:33:31,520 --> 00:33:34,160
Speaker 3: they they had some dudes. So, you know, I was

648
00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:36,800
Speaker 3: talking with Mike Husman over at Mike Ferrell Sports, who

649
00:33:36,800 --> 00:33:38,680
Speaker 3: does a lot of coaching stuff. I asked him about

650
00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:41,520
Speaker 3: mikey Romovich. I'm just interested because he recruited Florida really

651
00:33:41,560 --> 00:33:44,560
Speaker 3: well from you know, Juliet, Illinois. So if if he

652
00:33:44,600 --> 00:33:46,160
Speaker 3: can get a leg up on recruiting, I think he's

653
00:33:46,200 --> 00:33:48,200
Speaker 3: an interesting one and probably one that I'll be rooting

654
00:33:48,200 --> 00:33:50,240
Speaker 3: for and just having a tech because I mean, guy's

655
00:33:50,280 --> 00:33:52,160
Speaker 3: got an act for recruit and obviously he wanted me

656
00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:56,000
Speaker 3: to be his age back, so we'll see. That's just

657
00:33:56,040 --> 00:33:58,160
Speaker 3: another one. You being the Matt guy, I think, uh,

658
00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:00,280
Speaker 3: I think I had may have some takes and some

659
00:34:00,360 --> 00:34:02,040
Speaker 3: positions I want to take on ball state here in

660
00:34:02,080 --> 00:34:05,080
Speaker 3: the next, next year or two may have to well.

661
00:34:05,160 --> 00:34:09,160
Speaker 1: If you're catching on to a theme here. AKA loves

662
00:34:09,200 --> 00:34:12,640
Speaker 1: Arizona State because he sold Kenny Dillingham protein shakes, and

663
00:34:12,680 --> 00:34:16,800
Speaker 1: he loves ball State because Yroimovich was in his house.

664
00:34:17,200 --> 00:34:20,960
Speaker 1: No bias at all from AKA. Underdog is one of

665
00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:25,040
Speaker 1: the best places to make picks during playoff basketball, and

666
00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:28,520
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667
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668
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669
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670
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671
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672
00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:47,239
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673
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674
00:34:51,200 --> 00:34:53,759
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675
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676
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677
00:35:01,680 --> 00:35:06,279
Speaker 1: back from Spain. Little break in betting for me in May.

678
00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:10,600
Speaker 1: It's my month off. Sometimes I would wake up just

679
00:35:10,680 --> 00:35:12,640
Speaker 1: my body clock. I would wake up at two in

680
00:35:12,680 --> 00:35:16,200
Speaker 1: the morning and I'm like, oh, the NBA Finals start

681
00:35:16,360 --> 00:35:19,960
Speaker 1: in a half hour. Of course, I can never sleep.

682
00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:24,719
Speaker 1: I would log on to Underdog and just put in

683
00:35:25,800 --> 00:35:29,800
Speaker 1: a fun pick three, pick four, and it just enabled

684
00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:32,240
Speaker 1: me to have a fun sweat during the NBA Finals

685
00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:35,360
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686
00:35:35,760 --> 00:35:39,920
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687
00:35:39,960 --> 00:35:41,920
Speaker 1: and you can have some fun and try to win

688
00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:45,080
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689
00:35:45,160 --> 00:35:48,520
Speaker 1: was on vacation. So download the Underdog app and sign

690
00:35:48,640 --> 00:35:52,000
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691
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692
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693
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694
00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:09,000
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695
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696
00:36:12,560 --> 00:36:17,759
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697
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698
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699
00:36:26,880 --> 00:36:30,240
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700
00:36:30,239 --> 00:36:33,640
Speaker 1: step to five thirty three four to two in New

701
00:36:33,719 --> 00:36:36,719
Speaker 1: York called the twenty four to seven Hopeline at one

702
00:36:37,160 --> 00:36:41,760
Speaker 1: eight seven seven eight hope and why or text hope

703
00:36:41,800 --> 00:36:45,640
Speaker 1: and why? All right, let me give you a f

704
00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:52,279
Speaker 1: mary kill of coaches. Three coaches much beligned, they've never

705
00:36:52,280 --> 00:36:58,080
Speaker 1: won a national championship. Let's go Brian Kelly, James Franklin,

706
00:36:59,080 --> 00:37:02,280
Speaker 1: and Mario Chrystobal.

707
00:37:02,680 --> 00:37:06,759
Speaker 3: Mario Christo Ball standing nowhere near my campus, so he's out.

708
00:37:07,200 --> 00:37:09,560
Speaker 3: Mario christ Ball has a restraining order from my campus.

709
00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:12,520
Speaker 1: See if you're gonna kill Brian Kelly because he killed

710
00:37:12,520 --> 00:37:15,200
Speaker 1: a kid, so that was revenge. But I'm sorry, won't

711
00:37:15,200 --> 00:37:17,359
Speaker 1: go there again. All right, So you're killing off Ball.

712
00:37:18,080 --> 00:37:21,800
Speaker 3: Sorry, sorry that I am not taking your revenge factor here. Okay,

713
00:37:21,840 --> 00:37:25,240
Speaker 3: hear me out. Give me James Franklin. Over the course

714
00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:30,239
Speaker 3: of a year, AKA, I will. Let's see, he would

715
00:37:30,239 --> 00:37:36,160
Speaker 3: be the equivalent of marrying No, he'd be the equivalent

716
00:37:36,200 --> 00:37:37,680
Speaker 3: of heaving of No.

717
00:37:37,760 --> 00:37:39,799
Speaker 1: You're marrying him, you're gonna be with You're with him

718
00:37:39,800 --> 00:37:42,359
Speaker 1: in the long run. And then the one game like

719
00:37:42,360 --> 00:37:47,319
Speaker 1: a one night stand. No No, So for one Kelly.

720
00:37:47,080 --> 00:37:49,719
Speaker 3: One game, give me Brian Kelly. But for the I

721
00:37:49,719 --> 00:37:53,040
Speaker 3: think I gotta get James Franklin only because and this

722
00:37:53,160 --> 00:37:57,279
Speaker 3: was my thought process. James Franklin runs up the score

723
00:37:57,320 --> 00:38:01,799
Speaker 3: on everybody bound to have good boosters. You know, he's

724
00:38:01,840 --> 00:38:03,799
Speaker 3: gonna be good for you against the spread, especially if

725
00:38:03,800 --> 00:38:05,600
Speaker 3: you're betting on him. You know, if you're good for

726
00:38:05,640 --> 00:38:08,480
Speaker 3: the household income, good for the household income, good for

727
00:38:08,520 --> 00:38:11,520
Speaker 3: the album. Yeah, Alma Maters, if you're gonna betting Penn State,

728
00:38:11,560 --> 00:38:13,759
Speaker 3: you want a head coach that's going to be trying

729
00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:16,960
Speaker 3: to disappoint your uh, disappoint your opponents and try to

730
00:38:17,000 --> 00:38:20,160
Speaker 3: win every game by forty. Yeah, you know it's not

731
00:38:20,400 --> 00:38:24,200
Speaker 3: It's not an easy easy three to have. Okay, one

732
00:38:24,200 --> 00:38:28,080
Speaker 3: of them tried to have a fake accent. You know,

733
00:38:28,120 --> 00:38:31,000
Speaker 3: I thought you were for sure gonna throw Kirk Farence

734
00:38:31,040 --> 00:38:33,680
Speaker 3: in there, because I think I would have wrote Kirk

735
00:38:33,719 --> 00:38:36,239
Speaker 3: out for the entire year if I had the chance to.

736
00:38:36,400 --> 00:38:39,120
Speaker 3: But you know, James Franklin's kind of a kind of

737
00:38:39,120 --> 00:38:41,000
Speaker 3: an a hole if if if you rub them the

738
00:38:41,040 --> 00:38:42,960
Speaker 3: wrong way, and I like that about him. I think

739
00:38:42,960 --> 00:38:43,680
Speaker 3: if you're betting on.

740
00:38:43,760 --> 00:38:46,080
Speaker 1: He remarried to James Frankl I guess any of them

741
00:38:46,480 --> 00:38:52,840
Speaker 1: being married, who would be like the most pleasant. I

742
00:38:52,840 --> 00:38:55,479
Speaker 1: don't know, maybe Mario in that case. But you can't

743
00:38:55,480 --> 00:38:59,719
Speaker 1: go Mario. That's it's a tough question. You have one

744
00:38:59,719 --> 00:39:01,839
Speaker 1: for me with quarterbacks, this year's quarterbacks.

745
00:39:02,239 --> 00:39:06,320
Speaker 3: Okay, so yeah, let's say, let's say in this scenario,

746
00:39:06,600 --> 00:39:08,799
Speaker 3: you have to bench one. You don't have to kill

747
00:39:08,840 --> 00:39:12,600
Speaker 3: the guy. You have to bench one, you have to start.

748
00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:15,600
Speaker 3: You get one for one game, right, your biggest game,

749
00:39:15,640 --> 00:39:19,360
Speaker 3: and you get one for the entire season. Sam Levitt,

750
00:39:20,160 --> 00:39:23,759
Speaker 3: Sawyer Robertson, and Devin damp Here.

751
00:39:25,239 --> 00:39:29,759
Speaker 1: Hmm, all right, well, I'm not taking damp I'm not

752
00:39:29,880 --> 00:39:34,480
Speaker 1: marrying damp Pierre. I still have questions about his passing

753
00:39:34,480 --> 00:39:40,080
Speaker 1: ability and how he's going to perform stepping up in

754
00:39:40,200 --> 00:39:44,520
Speaker 1: class this year. Guy's electric to watch, but we'll see

755
00:39:44,520 --> 00:39:46,480
Speaker 1: how it translates. And I guess he threw for like

756
00:39:46,480 --> 00:39:50,120
Speaker 1: close to three hundred against Auburn but still makes some

757
00:39:50,400 --> 00:39:53,839
Speaker 1: uh wayward passes. I'm very curious see how that works out.

758
00:39:53,840 --> 00:39:55,600
Speaker 1: But I'm definitely not marrying him. I would consider him

759
00:39:55,600 --> 00:39:59,080
Speaker 1: for like a one game uh scenario. With his rushing

760
00:39:59,120 --> 00:40:01,600
Speaker 1: ability to keep ran. He had a couple games last

761
00:40:01,680 --> 00:40:04,200
Speaker 1: year we ran for like two hundred towards the end

762
00:40:04,239 --> 00:40:05,799
Speaker 1: of the year. Stuck. I think so too.

763
00:40:05,880 --> 00:40:07,720
Speaker 3: Like, look, I don't mean to bust In. You're pretty

764
00:40:07,719 --> 00:40:10,640
Speaker 3: but like if you need like like five hundred and

765
00:40:10,680 --> 00:40:13,160
Speaker 3: like maybe another hundred on the ground, Like, who's gonna

766
00:40:13,200 --> 00:40:14,640
Speaker 3: do that? I think Dan Pier has a chance to

767
00:40:14,680 --> 00:40:16,879
Speaker 3: do it. You can put him in a dome man

768
00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:18,000
Speaker 3: that changes everything too.

769
00:40:18,320 --> 00:40:21,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, and then I'm sorry. I know he's your guy,

770
00:40:21,640 --> 00:40:25,520
Speaker 1: but I'm marrying Sawyer. He's my guy. I think he's

771
00:40:25,880 --> 00:40:28,759
Speaker 1: very underrated. I'm super high. I'm super high on Baylor.

772
00:40:28,760 --> 00:40:30,719
Speaker 1: As I said before, the one thing that makes me

773
00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:35,279
Speaker 1: so angry is that Baylor is playing Auburn week one.

774
00:40:35,840 --> 00:40:38,600
Speaker 1: I'm also super high on Auburn. I think super high

775
00:40:38,600 --> 00:40:40,680
Speaker 1: on you, Freeze. I'm sure it's gonna work out well.

776
00:40:43,360 --> 00:40:47,839
Speaker 1: I think Jackson Arnold is a good scheme fit. Last year,

777
00:40:47,880 --> 00:40:51,000
Speaker 1: he just like there was nothing he could do, Like

778
00:40:51,040 --> 00:40:52,960
Speaker 1: he had no offensive line. His offensive is hurt the

779
00:40:53,080 --> 00:40:55,799
Speaker 1: entire year. All of his receivers were hurt the entire year.

780
00:40:56,920 --> 00:40:58,279
Speaker 1: I think Freeze is going to get the best of it.

781
00:40:58,280 --> 00:41:02,600
Speaker 1: But most importantly, that offensive line I think can finally

782
00:41:02,640 --> 00:41:06,120
Speaker 1: take the next step. Bringing in Chaplain is huge. You

783
00:41:06,160 --> 00:41:09,640
Speaker 1: can move way to guard. Connor lose a good center.

784
00:41:09,840 --> 00:41:13,279
Speaker 1: You got right too tall at tackle, like you've got experience. Now,

785
00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:16,480
Speaker 1: there's some depth on the offensive line, great weapons on

786
00:41:16,520 --> 00:41:19,040
Speaker 1: the outside. I know they've replaced Hunter and Fairweather, but

787
00:41:19,920 --> 00:41:23,480
Speaker 1: I kind of like Auburn and by the way, to

788
00:41:23,800 --> 00:41:26,160
Speaker 1: paint a picture just and we'll go through all of

789
00:41:26,200 --> 00:41:28,640
Speaker 1: this in detail, and we preview every single team. But

790
00:41:28,920 --> 00:41:33,239
Speaker 1: Auburn has about sixty five percent returning production. Last year.

791
00:41:33,280 --> 00:41:36,279
Speaker 1: They had sixty five percent returning production last year, that

792
00:41:36,400 --> 00:41:40,560
Speaker 1: was forty first in college football. This year, same percentage,

793
00:41:40,560 --> 00:41:44,560
Speaker 1: it's twenty first. That's the end of COVID and that's

794
00:41:45,120 --> 00:41:47,840
Speaker 1: what that does. So they're close to top twenty returning production.

795
00:41:47,920 --> 00:41:50,840
Speaker 1: But I think they can take the next step. I

796
00:41:50,840 --> 00:41:52,600
Speaker 1: saw some questions about the defense. I got to get

797
00:41:52,600 --> 00:41:56,480
Speaker 1: into special teams also should be better if McPherson is healthy.

798
00:41:58,440 --> 00:42:02,040
Speaker 1: But pretty high on Auburn and another team i'll throw

799
00:42:02,040 --> 00:42:03,640
Speaker 1: out there. We won't go too deep in all these bits.

800
00:42:04,000 --> 00:42:07,680
Speaker 1: LSU we mentioned Brian Kelly. LSU is a team I

801
00:42:07,760 --> 00:42:13,239
Speaker 1: might be looking to buy upside on. So like, if

802
00:42:13,280 --> 00:42:14,680
Speaker 1: you look at the top ten, you take the top

803
00:42:14,719 --> 00:42:19,680
Speaker 1: ten fifteen teams this year specifically, you go through them,

804
00:42:21,160 --> 00:42:26,000
Speaker 1: which you quarter quarterback question, quarterback question, quarterback question quarterback

805
00:42:26,040 --> 00:42:28,359
Speaker 1: question right, like even arch Manning, like we haven't seen

806
00:42:28,440 --> 00:42:31,239
Speaker 1: him start all year. All these teams, it's like, you know,

807
00:42:31,280 --> 00:42:35,840
Speaker 1: the teams where you probably feel best, like Drew Aller

808
00:42:35,960 --> 00:42:37,560
Speaker 1: like I have. Penn stated it's the second best team

809
00:42:37,600 --> 00:42:40,759
Speaker 1: Bower rated as of right now, and Texas won. But

810
00:42:40,880 --> 00:42:44,320
Speaker 1: like you get down the list, Georgia, Alabama keep going,

811
00:42:44,400 --> 00:42:49,040
Speaker 1: like all these teams, Ohio State, it's the quarterback position.

812
00:42:49,360 --> 00:42:51,680
Speaker 1: Who do I feel really good about in that aspect?

813
00:42:51,680 --> 00:42:54,520
Speaker 1: It's LSU with Nussmeyer. I think he really improved some

814
00:42:54,600 --> 00:42:57,279
Speaker 1: of his decision making at the end of last year.

815
00:42:57,719 --> 00:43:00,879
Speaker 1: I like their weapons. I think they're defense can take

816
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:02,680
Speaker 1: the next step. I think like some of the additions

817
00:43:02,680 --> 00:43:07,239
Speaker 1: in the secondary. The thing that everyone's gonna bring up

818
00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:09,400
Speaker 1: is the offensive line because they lost four guys to

819
00:43:09,440 --> 00:43:14,680
Speaker 1: the NFL, but they could not run block last year

820
00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:18,600
Speaker 1: at all. I mean it was there was I think

821
00:43:18,600 --> 00:43:21,120
Speaker 1: it was just an inability of that group. They were

822
00:43:21,120 --> 00:43:23,759
Speaker 1: elite in pass protection, it was an inability to that

823
00:43:23,800 --> 00:43:26,920
Speaker 1: group to pick up the zone block running scheme that

824
00:43:26,920 --> 00:43:29,480
Speaker 1: they were switching to. So I think like getting new

825
00:43:29,520 --> 00:43:32,640
Speaker 1: guys in there, there's still definitely some questions and they need.

826
00:43:32,680 --> 00:43:34,799
Speaker 1: I think Braylan Moore, the kid from Vatech, I think

827
00:43:34,840 --> 00:43:37,520
Speaker 1: they really do need him to hit, and then they

828
00:43:37,560 --> 00:43:39,200
Speaker 1: need their left tackle to hit as well, and then

829
00:43:39,200 --> 00:43:41,319
Speaker 1: I think the pieces can fall into place. But I

830
00:43:41,320 --> 00:43:44,040
Speaker 1: think that they can be better run blocking, kind of

831
00:43:44,120 --> 00:43:46,799
Speaker 1: starting from scratch as a unit, and that'll give them

832
00:43:46,800 --> 00:43:51,799
Speaker 1: a more balanced offense. So I don't know. I'm pretty

833
00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:53,960
Speaker 1: high on ils, you know that. I don't know if

834
00:43:53,960 --> 00:43:57,240
Speaker 1: I want to buy Brian Kelly never wins Week one ever,

835
00:43:57,800 --> 00:44:00,640
Speaker 1: and they go to Clemson, and I think Clemson is

836
00:44:01,080 --> 00:44:05,560
Speaker 1: over overhyped. I was buying Clemson last year going in

837
00:44:05,800 --> 00:44:09,759
Speaker 1: to the year, and I got so lucky. Save my futures.

838
00:44:10,120 --> 00:44:12,720
Speaker 1: I mean, think about like this, so lucky a season

839
00:44:12,719 --> 00:44:15,880
Speaker 1: long portfolio is what save my futures. Where I'd Iowa

840
00:44:15,920 --> 00:44:18,440
Speaker 1: State to win the Big Twelve. They were with one

841
00:44:18,440 --> 00:44:20,120
Speaker 1: of nine teams and they somehow get in and then

842
00:44:20,160 --> 00:44:22,600
Speaker 1: I was able to hedge and profit on that, and

843
00:44:22,600 --> 00:44:25,560
Speaker 1: then I had Clemson to win the ACC and Clemson

844
00:44:25,560 --> 00:44:28,840
Speaker 1: to make the College Wall Playoff was dead dead, and

845
00:44:28,880 --> 00:44:32,279
Speaker 1: then Miami loses the Syracuse and they get in and

846
00:44:32,320 --> 00:44:35,960
Speaker 1: then everyone des just remembering that game against Texas. But

847
00:44:35,960 --> 00:44:38,120
Speaker 1: what about the rest of the year. I got I

848
00:44:38,160 --> 00:44:41,800
Speaker 1: think we're I get some of the love for Clemson

849
00:44:41,840 --> 00:44:44,680
Speaker 1: and a lot of their experience and what Clubnick showed

850
00:44:44,719 --> 00:44:47,080
Speaker 1: in that Texas game, but there were some other questionable

851
00:44:47,080 --> 00:44:50,239
Speaker 1: moments for Clubnick. I think the love for Clemson's gone

852
00:44:50,280 --> 00:44:51,640
Speaker 1: too far. My argument going in the season, I was like,

853
00:44:51,680 --> 00:44:53,360
Speaker 1: there's not that much of a difference beween Clemson to Miami.

854
00:44:53,600 --> 00:44:55,000
Speaker 1: I think you can make the same case from Miami

855
00:44:55,040 --> 00:44:57,720
Speaker 1: this year, like Clemson's now what plus plus one twenty

856
00:44:57,719 --> 00:45:00,600
Speaker 1: to win the ACC and Miami's now plus four fifty.

857
00:45:00,760 --> 00:45:05,080
Speaker 1: It's like a little role reversal. I think that Clemson

858
00:45:05,160 --> 00:45:08,319
Speaker 1: has more flaws than people. Everyone is just penciling them

859
00:45:08,360 --> 00:45:10,120
Speaker 1: in to win the ACC and make the college will payoff,

860
00:45:10,120 --> 00:45:13,759
Speaker 1: which they very well, very may well could. But I

861
00:45:13,800 --> 00:45:17,399
Speaker 1: think that they're a little two over bought right now

862
00:45:17,440 --> 00:45:21,759
Speaker 1: in the market. It will be a great test for LSU. Though.

863
00:45:22,120 --> 00:45:25,640
Speaker 1: If LSU wins that game on the road in Week one,

864
00:45:27,080 --> 00:45:31,200
Speaker 1: you what that probably means because the Clemson defensive front,

865
00:45:31,239 --> 00:45:33,799
Speaker 1: you know, is nasty, and I do do like the

866
00:45:33,880 --> 00:45:38,120
Speaker 1: addition of Allen the defensive coordinator. It's gonna be It's

867
00:45:38,120 --> 00:45:39,640
Speaker 1: always tough to run on a time on d if it's

868
00:45:39,680 --> 00:45:42,120
Speaker 1: gonna be tough to run on. If they're able to

869
00:45:42,280 --> 00:45:44,440
Speaker 1: run the ball and have a more balanced offense in

870
00:45:44,560 --> 00:45:48,160
Speaker 1: Week one on the road against that Clemson defensive front,

871
00:45:48,440 --> 00:45:50,399
Speaker 1: I think sky's the limit for Llasy and then they're

872
00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:52,920
Speaker 1: gonna win. I think they're gonna win ten plus games.

873
00:45:53,440 --> 00:45:55,480
Speaker 1: What are they plus? I would love to get a

874
00:45:55,480 --> 00:45:58,560
Speaker 1: three in that game plus two and a half two

875
00:45:58,600 --> 00:46:00,960
Speaker 1: and a half three? Is there a three out there?

876
00:46:01,400 --> 00:46:03,839
Speaker 3: Hashtag? Depending on the shop, Yeah, there are threes.

877
00:46:04,320 --> 00:46:07,040
Speaker 1: Might be on that. I'm high on LSU. The SEC

878
00:46:07,239 --> 00:46:12,760
Speaker 1: is it's a bear as always. My Kentucky Wildcats Zach Kelsada,

879
00:46:12,840 --> 00:46:16,120
Speaker 1: by the way, I can't believe he's still pre COVID

880
00:46:16,120 --> 00:46:17,120
Speaker 1: player seventh year.

881
00:46:18,920 --> 00:46:19,719
Speaker 3: Are you kidding me?

882
00:46:19,920 --> 00:46:24,560
Speaker 1: Who gives this sh we got Zach Calesada. I'm never

883
00:46:24,680 --> 00:46:31,160
Speaker 1: betting Zach Kellsad again. I for good at quarterback. Kentucky

884
00:46:31,160 --> 00:46:34,319
Speaker 1: definitely has I don't know I might buy I think

885
00:46:34,400 --> 00:46:36,640
Speaker 1: I buy them at four and a half, but I

886
00:46:36,640 --> 00:46:41,279
Speaker 1: think I am they Their schedule is brutal and uh

887
00:46:42,239 --> 00:46:43,759
Speaker 1: but like this is the last year was like the

888
00:46:43,760 --> 00:46:45,759
Speaker 1: one year since over the past ten that they didn't

889
00:46:45,760 --> 00:46:47,799
Speaker 1: get to a bowl. If you throw up, you know

890
00:46:47,840 --> 00:46:50,279
Speaker 1: the twenty twenty COVID year. I feel like you're buying

891
00:46:50,320 --> 00:46:52,360
Speaker 1: low at a good time on Stoops and Company. But

892
00:46:52,360 --> 00:46:55,440
Speaker 1: the schedule's brutal. They definitely have questions all over is

893
00:46:55,480 --> 00:46:57,960
Speaker 1: their offensive line. It can't get much worse than last year.

894
00:46:57,960 --> 00:47:02,239
Speaker 1: But you're relying on what your tackles are. A kid

895
00:47:02,239 --> 00:47:03,880
Speaker 1: from New Mexico State, a kid from Bowling Green. How

896
00:47:03,920 --> 00:47:05,840
Speaker 1: do they translate? All right? Whatever, I'm not We're not

897
00:47:05,880 --> 00:47:07,120
Speaker 1: going to get through every team. I could sid here

898
00:47:07,120 --> 00:47:10,600
Speaker 1: and talk for hours, a little teaser of where we're going.

899
00:47:10,640 --> 00:47:12,840
Speaker 1: But yeah, LSU and Auburn, I'm I'm higher than the

900
00:47:12,880 --> 00:47:16,200
Speaker 1: market on as of right now. Could change. You're gonna

901
00:47:16,200 --> 00:47:19,120
Speaker 1: spend the next couple of months deep diving news. There's injuries,

902
00:47:19,120 --> 00:47:21,239
Speaker 1: but Auburn I want to dive a little more in

903
00:47:21,239 --> 00:47:22,920
Speaker 1: the defense. LSU, I just want to see how that

904
00:47:22,920 --> 00:47:26,880
Speaker 1: offensive line comes together. But how many teams have a quarterback?

905
00:47:27,360 --> 00:47:30,120
Speaker 1: Did you feel really confident in? Like nuss Meyer at

906
00:47:30,160 --> 00:47:33,840
Speaker 1: the top. And I just can't figure out if I

907
00:47:33,880 --> 00:47:36,640
Speaker 1: want to buy them before or after the Clemson game?

908
00:47:38,200 --> 00:47:44,520
Speaker 1: So any what else we have here before we get

909
00:47:44,520 --> 00:47:47,440
Speaker 1: out of here? Did we touch on?

910
00:47:49,160 --> 00:47:51,080
Speaker 3: I wanted to shout the wind some wind totals.

911
00:47:51,320 --> 00:47:56,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, wind totals. What do you got? Yeah?

912
00:47:56,320 --> 00:47:59,400
Speaker 3: So the first one I locked in this year was

913
00:47:59,520 --> 00:48:03,960
Speaker 3: Cal five and a half at plus one ten. I

914
00:48:04,160 --> 00:48:09,040
Speaker 3: just looking at this log jam in the conference. I

915
00:48:09,239 --> 00:48:12,840
Speaker 3: just think there's some good fades, like the these teams

916
00:48:12,880 --> 00:48:14,840
Speaker 3: that are priced in between like five and a half

917
00:48:14,920 --> 00:48:16,759
Speaker 3: to seven wins, Like not everybody in the You're not

918
00:48:16,800 --> 00:48:19,560
Speaker 3: gonna have ten teams in the ACC win eight games

919
00:48:19,560 --> 00:48:23,560
Speaker 3: this year. I just don't like the roster. I don't

920
00:48:23,560 --> 00:48:25,600
Speaker 3: think it's explosive enough. I think Cal used a lot

921
00:48:25,600 --> 00:48:29,160
Speaker 3: of it's good juju last year. They only they only

922
00:48:29,200 --> 00:48:32,160
Speaker 3: ended up like one point less than the market expected

923
00:48:32,200 --> 00:48:34,719
Speaker 3: over you know, a per game basis last year, but

924
00:48:35,520 --> 00:48:38,919
Speaker 3: they were good in takeaways last year. I the transfers

925
00:48:39,040 --> 00:48:41,239
Speaker 3: that they brought in to replace a couple of their

926
00:48:41,280 --> 00:48:44,560
Speaker 3: pass catchers, I wasn't too thrilled with. And like when

927
00:48:44,560 --> 00:48:46,160
Speaker 3: I look at some of these teams in the middle,

928
00:48:46,239 --> 00:48:49,719
Speaker 3: like you know, Pitt BC, like I don't. I'm not

929
00:48:49,760 --> 00:48:51,920
Speaker 3: a big Nardoozi guy. I'm not a big Bob guy.

930
00:48:51,960 --> 00:48:53,200
Speaker 3: I'm not gonna go to back for this guy and

931
00:48:53,200 --> 00:48:55,440
Speaker 3: the Manny Diaz. But I still don't think those teams

932
00:48:55,480 --> 00:48:58,240
Speaker 3: are trending in a way that all of a sudden

933
00:48:58,280 --> 00:49:02,719
Speaker 3: opens a path for Cal. You know, they don't have

934
00:49:03,120 --> 00:49:05,360
Speaker 3: a difficult schedule when you stack up the teams in

935
00:49:05,400 --> 00:49:08,440
Speaker 3: the ACC, like they don't play Miami, they don't play Clemson.

936
00:49:08,480 --> 00:49:12,880
Speaker 3: But I still think with Virginia Tech in Louisville, you know,

937
00:49:13,040 --> 00:49:15,080
Speaker 3: you could probably pencil them in for three wins. But

938
00:49:15,640 --> 00:49:18,320
Speaker 3: I was more than happy to take under five and

939
00:49:18,360 --> 00:49:20,040
Speaker 3: a half at a plus money price.

940
00:49:20,840 --> 00:49:22,920
Speaker 1: I don't mind that at all. I don't like some

941
00:49:22,960 --> 00:49:27,319
Speaker 1: of the things I'm hearing about Cal Early and Ron

942
00:49:27,400 --> 00:49:31,640
Speaker 1: Rivera is running things there now. Is that the GM

943
00:49:31,880 --> 00:49:33,440
Speaker 1: that a lot of these teams are going to like

944
00:49:33,560 --> 00:49:35,799
Speaker 1: they're going to the NFL ranks because like, you got

945
00:49:35,800 --> 00:49:38,279
Speaker 1: to manage a team like the NFL now right, you

946
00:49:38,280 --> 00:49:41,560
Speaker 1: have money and you gotta how you're allocating resources to

947
00:49:41,560 --> 00:49:47,480
Speaker 1: watch positions. And but Ron Rivera and Brian Harson, I'm not.

948
00:49:47,400 --> 00:49:51,520
Speaker 3: A fan of that was number one and then number

949
00:49:51,560 --> 00:49:55,640
Speaker 3: two got yeah, number two, Sam Houston State under four

950
00:49:55,640 --> 00:49:58,359
Speaker 3: and a half. I just think the drop off from

951
00:49:58,440 --> 00:50:03,759
Speaker 3: Keeler Alongo is too big year one tough, then they

952
00:50:03,760 --> 00:50:05,560
Speaker 3: had that big swing year last year where they win

953
00:50:05,680 --> 00:50:08,000
Speaker 3: nine games. I just think that you lose kind of

954
00:50:08,040 --> 00:50:12,319
Speaker 3: that incentive factor. Hashtag guy I respect says that they

955
00:50:12,360 --> 00:50:15,440
Speaker 3: may have one of may have the worst defense in FBS.

956
00:50:15,600 --> 00:50:16,680
Speaker 3: I think c W they.

957
00:50:16,719 --> 00:50:21,719
Speaker 1: Lost every I mean, you're and the secondary is just

958
00:50:21,719 --> 00:50:24,120
Speaker 1: going to be Juco guys, Like that's their entire secondary.

959
00:50:24,160 --> 00:50:25,160
Speaker 1: I think so.

960
00:50:25,440 --> 00:50:27,319
Speaker 3: And that's kind of it, right, Like it's kind of

961
00:50:27,320 --> 00:50:29,920
Speaker 3: the gist and this is like the in the grand

962
00:50:29,920 --> 00:50:31,400
Speaker 3: scheme of things. You could say, yeah, they just like

963
00:50:31,440 --> 00:50:33,399
Speaker 3: they brought in these portal guys, but like, I don't

964
00:50:33,400 --> 00:50:36,279
Speaker 3: think any of them are good. You know that with

965
00:50:36,400 --> 00:50:38,040
Speaker 3: long Ago, you're going to get a lot of offense,

966
00:50:38,080 --> 00:50:39,800
Speaker 3: but I don't think they're gonna be able to stop anybody.

967
00:50:39,840 --> 00:50:42,760
Speaker 3: And like I said, you kind of lose that incent effect.

968
00:50:42,800 --> 00:50:47,000
Speaker 3: They won nine games last year, number twelve nationally in

969
00:50:47,680 --> 00:50:50,919
Speaker 3: turnover margin. I think they covered by almost a field

970
00:50:50,960 --> 00:50:55,160
Speaker 3: goal per game over market expectations. So I think, and look,

971
00:50:55,200 --> 00:50:57,400
Speaker 3: you may not want to bet the under here, but

972
00:50:57,440 --> 00:51:01,319
Speaker 3: I certainly wouldn't be buying. And again at under four

973
00:51:01,360 --> 00:51:02,960
Speaker 3: and a half at plus one twenty, I thought was

974
00:51:03,000 --> 00:51:06,719
Speaker 3: a really really good price. So calendar five and a

975
00:51:06,760 --> 00:51:08,560
Speaker 3: half in sam Houston State under four and a half

976
00:51:08,640 --> 00:51:10,000
Speaker 3: or the first two positions I took.

977
00:51:11,239 --> 00:51:13,640
Speaker 1: Longo was I love the sam Houston State, sorry to

978
00:51:13,640 --> 00:51:18,720
Speaker 1: our producer, and we loved sam Houston State and loved Keeler.

979
00:51:20,120 --> 00:51:21,799
Speaker 1: Longo was only a head coach. I'm not a long

980
00:51:21,840 --> 00:51:23,719
Speaker 1: ago guy. He was a head coach once before. Do

981
00:51:23,760 --> 00:51:24,719
Speaker 1: you know where he was a head coach?

982
00:51:25,880 --> 00:51:29,840
Speaker 3: It starts with an as no seah, I told you.

983
00:51:30,000 --> 00:51:32,200
Speaker 3: That's that's why I know everything about him. But he's like,

984
00:51:32,200 --> 00:51:33,879
Speaker 3: I know he's like seven and fourteen as a head coach.

985
00:51:33,960 --> 00:51:38,640
Speaker 3: Tell me where he's at La sal Yeah, there's two

986
00:51:38,640 --> 00:51:40,640
Speaker 3: a's in there. That's exactly what I was talking about.

987
00:51:40,960 --> 00:51:47,880
Speaker 1: They they discontinued their program in two thousand and seven

988
00:51:48,360 --> 00:51:54,200
Speaker 1: after they went oh and ten, So yeah, that's he went. Yeah,

989
00:51:54,200 --> 00:51:55,879
Speaker 1: he went seven and fourteen. Overall, that's the only time

990
00:51:55,880 --> 00:51:57,760
Speaker 1: he's been a head coach. But that, to their defense,

991
00:51:57,760 --> 00:52:02,400
Speaker 1: should taken him massive set back, you know, unless like

992
00:52:02,520 --> 00:52:05,560
Speaker 1: every single one of these Jags hits like yeah, there's

993
00:52:05,560 --> 00:52:08,720
Speaker 1: a chance it could, but then you're making this huge

994
00:52:08,800 --> 00:52:15,040
Speaker 1: change on offense schematically, and I don't see Hunter Watson

995
00:52:15,239 --> 00:52:19,080
Speaker 1: as the guy that can run an air raid type offense.

996
00:52:20,440 --> 00:52:23,200
Speaker 1: But like making that big change with Sammy's Houston State

997
00:52:23,200 --> 00:52:25,560
Speaker 1: and the personnel they have, I don't see that working.

998
00:52:25,600 --> 00:52:27,680
Speaker 1: I mean, maybe the kid long ago brought a kid

999
00:52:27,719 --> 00:52:29,560
Speaker 1: with him from Wisconsin, I forget his name, a Tear

1000
00:52:29,640 --> 00:52:33,080
Speaker 1: or whatever. Maybe he ends up being the quarterback. I

1001
00:52:33,080 --> 00:52:36,080
Speaker 1: haven't really dug deep, as I said, but I know

1002
00:52:36,160 --> 00:52:39,480
Speaker 1: they lost everything on defense, big schematic change on offense,

1003
00:52:40,880 --> 00:52:43,440
Speaker 1: and there's some regression signs there. So yeah, I think

1004
00:52:43,440 --> 00:52:46,600
Speaker 1: it's gonna be a rough year for Eat Him Up

1005
00:52:46,680 --> 00:52:51,680
Speaker 1: Cats unfortunately anything else. We'll have another episode in a

1006
00:52:51,719 --> 00:52:55,839
Speaker 1: couple weeks, and then, like I said, I'll put out

1007
00:52:55,840 --> 00:52:59,719
Speaker 1: the whole schedule. I'll tweet it out. We'll have our

1008
00:52:59,760 --> 00:53:02,560
Speaker 1: win total for every conference. We'll cover every single team,

1009
00:53:02,680 --> 00:53:04,960
Speaker 1: go into them all in depth. We'll have a couple

1010
00:53:04,960 --> 00:53:09,720
Speaker 1: of fun episodes before then touch on some of these teams.

1011
00:53:10,719 --> 00:53:13,320
Speaker 1: By the way, the College World Series Omaha, omaha, omaha.

1012
00:53:13,360 --> 00:53:16,200
Speaker 1: That episode will be out next on this channel, so

1013
00:53:16,320 --> 00:53:19,120
Speaker 1: look out for that from Calbary's and Column Wills, and

1014
00:53:19,160 --> 00:53:21,959
Speaker 1: make sure you check out the other episodes with Mike

1015
00:53:22,000 --> 00:53:27,000
Speaker 1: Mike and Duck, who is a great addition. Thanks to

1016
00:53:27,080 --> 00:53:29,880
Speaker 1: AK for joining me. By the way, leave us reviews.

1017
00:53:29,920 --> 00:53:32,000
Speaker 1: We're just starting up the pot again. They really help us,

1018
00:53:32,560 --> 00:53:36,600
Speaker 1: especially this time of the year. Five star reviews. Let

1019
00:53:36,600 --> 00:53:41,440
Speaker 1: me know or let Alex know if you have good feedback.

1020
00:53:41,640 --> 00:53:43,160
Speaker 1: If you have bad feedback, you can let me know.

1021
00:53:43,760 --> 00:53:48,080
Speaker 1: Don't be rude. Love AKA We're back baby. And by

1022
00:53:48,080 --> 00:53:49,839
Speaker 1: the way, Chris Raybaud and I on the Action Network

1023
00:53:49,840 --> 00:53:54,040
Speaker 1: podcast Monday, we'll be doing AFC and NFC win totals.

1024
00:53:54,400 --> 00:53:56,160
Speaker 1: So for all my NFL PEPs, make sure you checked

1025
00:53:56,160 --> 00:53:58,359
Speaker 1: out as well. But thanks for tuning in. Thanks to Ak,

1026
00:53:58,480 --> 00:53:59,960
Speaker 1: thanks to our producer on the back end, Most Sportlan,

1027
00:54:00,000 --> 00:54:01,560
Speaker 1: Thanks to all of you. We'll see you in a

1028
00:54:01,600 --> 00:54:10,920
Speaker 1: couple of weeks. Season's back, baby, Catch you all later. Cheers.

1029
00:54:13,360 --> 00:54:16,799
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1030
00:54:17,200 --> 00:54:20,040
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1031
00:54:20,320 --> 00:54:22,920
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1032
00:54:23,040 --> 00:54:23,840
Speaker 1: hundred Gambler