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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast is presented by wind

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Speaker 1: is click on the Action Network link in this episode description. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's get things started, all right.

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Speaker 2: Here we go fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five,

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Speaker 2: forty forty five fifty and the checks clock College football

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Speaker 2: World stop dollars. Oh my godness, please stumble that.

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Speaker 3: The later.

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Speaker 2: It's not the side on the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 2: It's the side of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 3: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 3: on Campus Podcast presented by win Bet. This is the

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Speaker 3: college Football Week six betting preview. I'm stuck in with

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Speaker 3: me as always is Colin Wilson. Are you still in

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Speaker 3: mourning from your dogs? Or are you have you moved

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Speaker 3: on to Ole Miss.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna have a conversation about how coaches and their

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Speaker 2: teams respond after getting blown out. I'll save that for later,

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Speaker 2: but hey, I'm happy it's not Georgia week. That loss

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Speaker 2: didn't deter us from an Alabama went away from going to.

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Speaker 3: This CEA championship game. Pig Sully, whoopig suit.

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Speaker 2: He's still wide open right, just the staveman went away

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Speaker 2: from making our dreams come true.

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Speaker 3: By the way, we all this talk about Arkansas my

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Speaker 3: team in my backyard. Well, besides, Iowa got my eye

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Speaker 3: with shirt on Kentucky obviously a big Kentucky fan here

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Speaker 3: for my wife and her business. Uh they're they are

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Speaker 3: and undefeated. They're still undefeated in the SEC. They are

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Speaker 3: two wins away from facing your Hogs in the SEC championship.

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Speaker 2: Can you can you believe that these two programs would

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Speaker 2: have to concentrate on on a football SEC championship and

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Speaker 2: not a not a basketball game?

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Speaker 1: Right?

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Speaker 2: Both both basketball teams for Arkansas and Kentucky have literally

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Speaker 2: a literal chance of going to the Final four.

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Speaker 3: So, uh, don't put Arkansas in the same sentence as

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Speaker 3: Kentucky basketball. You're a baseball school. As we're a basketball

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Speaker 3: school and we're both gonna meet in the SEC Championship.

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Speaker 3: We have a lot to get too, So let's dive

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Speaker 3: right in and we'll start where we always start with

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Speaker 3: our segment look ahead or look.

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Speaker 4: Away, hangovers, sleepers, and the dreaded sandwich spot. Is it

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Speaker 4: time to look ahead or look away?

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Speaker 3: All right? So this is where we look at next

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Speaker 3: week slate and try and determine if there's any reason

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Speaker 3: to account for a potential look ahead or a team

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Speaker 3: might not be fully focused store, maybe they just don't

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Speaker 3: want to show anything. Maybe they pull their starters a

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Speaker 3: little sooner than usual, take their foot off the gas

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Speaker 3: if they have a big game on deck. So let's

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Speaker 3: start with TCU minus one and a half at Texas Tech.

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Speaker 3: TCU's probably been I mean, it's been a weird year.

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Speaker 3: There's been many teams that I'm just shocked are as

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Speaker 3: bad as they are, and then many teams that I'm

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Speaker 3: shocked at how good they are. TCU's one of the

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Speaker 3: most disappointing teams in the country to me so far.

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Speaker 3: Even know they got a bit unlucky against Texas, but

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Speaker 3: they're coming off at Texas home loss, and now they

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Speaker 3: go to Lubbock where there might be some wins for

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Speaker 3: a night game before they head to Oklahoma. So, you know,

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Speaker 3: going to Texas Tech sandwiched in between Oklahoma and Texas.

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Speaker 3: Does Gary Patterson get this team ready to go? Does

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Speaker 3: Texas Tech? Who's coming off? But they got blasted by

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Speaker 3: Texas And then they went up to Morgantown and had

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Speaker 3: an extremely impressive win considering you know, they're playing with

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Speaker 3: their backup quarterback Shuck is out for the year with

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Speaker 3: an injury, and they didn't have their best receiver as Ukonamo,

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Speaker 3: who didn't travel with the team for that game. Pressive win.

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Speaker 3: They won by three, didn't dominate the box score, but

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Speaker 3: they got the wins. So now they come home they

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Speaker 3: faced TCU. I'm leaning TCU here. Their defense has been

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Speaker 3: so bad and I've been trying to figure out what's

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Speaker 3: going on with the defense. Acously lost some talent, especially

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Speaker 3: on the back end at safety. But last week against

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Speaker 3: Texas they played a little better and their best corner,

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Speaker 3: Noah Annuals, he returned from injury, but he only played

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Speaker 3: thirty four of seventy eight snaps. He's likely back full

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Speaker 3: one hundred percentgo. Cary Coleman, one of their best dns.

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Speaker 3: He only played twenty three of seventy eight snaps back

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Speaker 3: from injury. This is one of the reasons I bet

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Speaker 3: TCU I thought they were going to be playing a

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Speaker 3: lot more snaps than they did. He's full go for

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Speaker 3: this week. Corey Bethley, their nose tackle. He's likely back

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Speaker 3: this week. Three of their most important defensive players, and

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Speaker 3: then TJ. Carter, their safety, got ejected in the first

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Speaker 3: quarter against Texas. That was huge because Clark and mcew

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Speaker 3: and their other safeties were out, So Carter will obviously

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Speaker 3: come back, could be healthier on the at safety. So

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Speaker 3: all at all, I think this TCU defense will be

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Speaker 3: much healthier perform at an even better level than we

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Speaker 3: saw last week, which is going against some pretty good

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Speaker 3: Texas offense, which we'll talk about here in a second.

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Speaker 3: So I'm looking at TCU here because I do think

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Speaker 3: that the defense, Patterson will figure it out with these

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Speaker 3: guys back. What are your thoughts here?

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Speaker 2: Well, these two teams, you know, they know each other

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Speaker 2: very very well. And when I say that, I mean

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Speaker 2: their head coach is Matt Wells was the quarterback at

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Speaker 2: Utah State when Gary Patterson was the secondary coach. So

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Speaker 2: you know, and you talk about Sonny Comby, the offensive

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Speaker 2: coordinator of Texas Tech, he just spent the last seven

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Speaker 2: years at TCU, same role underneath Gary Patterson. The game

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Speaker 2: is projected right at our Action network projection of TCU

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Speaker 2: minus two and the total of sixty three gives a

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Speaker 2: little bit of value to the under. But do you

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Speaker 2: really trust these two defenses? I mean, you mentioned the

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Speaker 2: guys that are coming back, but both defenses are one

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Speaker 2: hundred and eighteen one hundred and twenty fifth and tackling.

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Speaker 2: You know, before laying an underticket, which it keeps bouncing

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Speaker 2: around sixty two fifty fifty nine and a half sixty one,

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Speaker 2: you know, before you do that, you have to consider

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Speaker 2: that TCU is dead last and defensive passing expected points

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Speaker 2: and Texas Tech's defense is one hundred and seventh and

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Speaker 2: standard down success rate where Max Duggan is going to

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Speaker 2: have a field day. There is a path here with

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Speaker 2: the way Texas Tech performs inside standard downs where Max

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Speaker 2: Duggan's going to be able to do whatever he once.

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Speaker 2: The positive take from Tyler Shubb injury is that Henry

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Speaker 2: Colombia knows this playbook, and he knows this offense. He's

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Speaker 2: a transfer in from Utah State. He's been with Matt

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Speaker 2: Wells the entire time. And you know, TCU is ninety

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Speaker 2: fourth and pass rush, so Colomby's really not going to

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Speaker 2: be pressured that much. So I don't think it's really

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Speaker 2: that big of a drop off to Colombia. There's a

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Speaker 2: big special teams gap here. Texas Tech is fifteenth, TCU

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Speaker 2: is ninety fifth. I just go back to the fact

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Speaker 2: that TCU fumbled that ball three times. They've put the

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Speaker 2: ball in the carpet only six times so far this season,

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Speaker 2: so half of them came last week against Texas. I'm

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Speaker 2: really focusing more on the total. You know, key totals

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Speaker 2: are really sixty one and sixty three. I want to

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Speaker 2: go over on this. I think scoring could happen all

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Speaker 2: day because Max Duggan is going to be able to

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Speaker 2: get max available yards here. I want the over in

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Speaker 2: this game, especially considering both these teams will allow explosive plays.

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Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to our second game here

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Speaker 3: at win Bet. East Carolina is an eleven point dog

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Speaker 3: at UCF over under sixty six. The ECU is a

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Speaker 3: team that continues to perplex me, right, I mean we

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Speaker 3: know that they're usually having an offensive explosion in November

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Speaker 3: with Olton Dollers, but sometimes they look so good. Sometimes

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Speaker 3: they look like they've never played an offensive snap in

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Speaker 3: their lives. Last weekend, you got the good ECU they

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Speaker 3: app I mean, what has happened to Tulane's defense. They

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Speaker 3: almost beat Oklahoma and the opener, and then I mean

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Speaker 3: ECU had six hundred and twelve total yards. They did

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Speaker 3: it on the ground too, three hundred and ten rushing

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Speaker 3: yards I mean over seven yards per carry against two lanes.

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Speaker 3: So everything worked for that offense last week in a

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Speaker 3: fifty two twenty nine victory. But the look at here

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Speaker 3: is not for ECU. It's for UCF, who has hit

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Speaker 3: a little bit of a rough stretch here. Right. So

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Speaker 3: they lost against Louisville and that thriller with that interception

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Speaker 3: late and then in the last play of the game,

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Speaker 3: Dylan Gabriel gets hurt and when you know they were

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Speaker 3: like trying laterals in nonsense, he's out serious injury. And

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Speaker 3: then you have Mikey keene uff to buy to get

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Speaker 3: ready for Navy. Navy ends up winning that game, outright

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Speaker 3: as two touchdown underdogs. I think they outscored him seventeen

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Speaker 3: to nothing in the fourth quarter. Keen was okay, not

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Speaker 3: what you would expect for UCF offense. I mean's sixteen

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Speaker 3: to twenty six, the freshman one hundred and seventy eight

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Speaker 3: yards two touchdowns against Navy, your UCF quarterback. So I

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Speaker 3: think this UCF team just might take an enormous step back.

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Speaker 3: Maybe Gus is gonna go way more to like a

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Speaker 3: rushing attack like you used to see at Auburn with

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Speaker 3: this UCF team. But there's a lot of injuries to

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Speaker 3: work to be concerned about with UCF. They're starting running

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Speaker 3: back is still out, their starting wide receivers questionable. So

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Speaker 3: are you going to get And the reason this is

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Speaker 3: a look at spot is, Look, they've lost a couple

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Speaker 3: in a row. They got a fresh I don't think

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Speaker 3: that they're gonna be looking at it. If they've got

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Speaker 3: Cincinnati next week, you get a ruined Cincinnati season. So

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Speaker 3: does dust get them? Ready? Here? Do you trust Mikey Kean?

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Speaker 3: Are you going back to the to the Knights. This

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Speaker 3: looks like a stay away to me? What are your

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Speaker 3: thoughts here?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? I was actually questioning who had the look at here,

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Speaker 2: because you know, UCF's already taken a couple of losses

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Speaker 2: and ECUs then defeated in conference play with winsover. You know,

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Speaker 2: Marshall Tulane, they should have beaten South Carolina. They've had

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Speaker 2: bad turnover look against app State East Carolina. They go

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Speaker 2: into a bye week after this, so it's a really

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Speaker 2: big game for them. Yeah, you're right, Gus Mason, maybe

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Speaker 2: looking ahead to the biggest game on their schedule that's left,

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Speaker 2: which is Cincinnati. But a number of factors are playing

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Speaker 2: into this number because I projected up at thirteen, but

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Speaker 2: it's down. I'm with you know, Dylan Gabriel collarbone lost

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Speaker 2: for the season, Mikey Keane. You mentioned him being in,

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Speaker 2: but Isaiah Bowser is a big piece. He is questionable

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Speaker 2: with the knee. That's the running back that kind of

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Speaker 2: powers the Central Florida offense. And you know, as for

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Speaker 2: the total Central Florida, it still ran plays at twenty

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Speaker 2: two seconds per play without Dylan Gabriel. I think that

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Speaker 2: was the most important takeaway that I wanted to find

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Speaker 2: is did they slow it down for Mikey Kean And

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Speaker 2: the answer is no, That tempo raakeup sixteenth is still

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Speaker 2: in play even when they played against Navy. So you know,

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Speaker 2: the UCF defense has just been horrendous outside the top

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Speaker 2: one hundred and havoc near dead last and finishing drives.

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Speaker 2: And fourteen red zone attempts by opponents of Central Florida,

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Speaker 2: eleven have been touchdowns. That's near dead last in the nation.

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Speaker 2: And sixteen to seventeen red zone scores by Central Florida

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Speaker 2: are touchdowns. So let me repeat that you Central Florida

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Speaker 2: is allowing touchdowns by everybody they face, and the seventeen

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Speaker 2: red zone attempts that they've had have turned into sixteen touchdowns.

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Speaker 2: So that's why I'm kind of looking at what you

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Speaker 2: to take the over this game, because Central Florida is

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Speaker 2: just one of those teams that there's going to be

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Speaker 2: a lot of points up on the board and taken

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Speaker 2: over here if I can get it to fall just

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Speaker 2: a little bit more. If you're going to go over

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Speaker 2: sixty six and sixty five or each in top ten

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Speaker 2: of key numbers. But if you're live betting, you want

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Speaker 2: to look for an over sixty two and you want

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Speaker 2: to look at it under seventy three. Those are the

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Speaker 2: biggest two of the biggest key numbers in college football

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Speaker 2: for totals.

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Speaker 3: I don't know if I could trust Keen enough. And

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Speaker 3: then Gus came out and said both Bowser then j

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Speaker 3: Allen Robinson, who's the best receivers guy thousand yards receiving

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Speaker 3: last year. He didn't play last week, didn't travel with

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Speaker 3: the team. Gus says, they're both week the week. So

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Speaker 3: I mean, you lost Gabriel, you're starting running back your

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Speaker 3: best receiver. Pretty rough times right now for UCFS. But

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Speaker 3: that would keep an eye out for their injury statuses.

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Speaker 3: All right, next game here, I wanted to get some

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Speaker 3: Adazio talk in here, much better than this, So let's

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Speaker 3: talk San Jose State a two and a half point

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Speaker 3: underdog at win bet and they're traveling to Colorado State. Look,

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Speaker 3: San Jose State, they've been kind of a mess lately.

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Speaker 3: Are they going to get up for this game before?

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Speaker 3: San Diego State is still undefeated? I could see this

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Speaker 3: kind of being a little flats, and they've just been flat,

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Speaker 3: I mean their offense. This is one of my better

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Speaker 3: calls of the year. I said, this team is going

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Speaker 3: to miss their two best receivers significantly and then the

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Speaker 3: offense has been a mess, and now it looks like

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Speaker 3: Starkle's going to be out again. He's listed in the

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Speaker 3: or part of the depth chart with two other quarterbacks

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Speaker 3: and then Nick Nash, who was playing the receiver that's

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Speaker 3: who Starkle was mainly thrown to most of the time.

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Speaker 3: He's going to play quarterback again. San Jose State barely

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Speaker 3: escaped New Mexico State last week. It's been an ugly

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Speaker 3: run yere after that dream run last year. Colorado State,

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Speaker 3: can we back the rams here under a field goal? Favorite?

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Speaker 3: What are your thoughts?

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Speaker 2: Colorado State expecting a sellout crowd for homecoming at Canvas Stadium.

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Speaker 3: Why Dazio went there? Baby Colorado Pride.

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Speaker 2: That's right, and he'll tell you about it. But I mean,

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Speaker 2: come on, San Jose State. They've already been on the

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Speaker 2: road three times, so they've been to usc they had

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Speaker 2: a trip to the Island, they went to Western Michigan.

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Speaker 2: So I think the biggest factor in this game is

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Speaker 2: really an elevation of five thousand feet. That may be

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Speaker 2: the biggest issue here for Santae State. Not really that.

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Speaker 2: If there's a homecoming crowd, Spartans throw fifty fifty seven

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Speaker 2: percent on snaps. That's key because the Colorado State rushdy

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Speaker 2: is what powers them. They are one of the best

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Speaker 2: in the nation first and access rate fourth in lineyards.

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Speaker 2: Their coverage rank is where you can attack them eighty seventh.

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Speaker 2: San Jose State is going to be able to get

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Speaker 2: the ball downfield through the air. It's just a question

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Speaker 2: of who's going to throw the ball. As for you know,

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Speaker 2: Colorado State on the offensive side, they're one of the

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Speaker 2: worst at creating explosive plays. They're almost dead last offensive

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Speaker 2: finishing drives. How they kept it within the number against

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Speaker 2: Iowa's a story for another. I guess the Iowa segment.

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Speaker 2: But they're one hundred and twenty fifth and standard down

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Speaker 2: success rate. They can't move the chains whatsoever. I think

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Speaker 2: the Spartans are going to be a team that not

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Speaker 2: only on backing, but they may end up in our

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Speaker 2: money line round. Robin Parlay on the BBOC Live Show

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Speaker 2: on Saturday.

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Speaker 3: Oh so I want nothing to do with the Spartans here.

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Speaker 3: McBride just Colin to say, just throw it to McBride

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Speaker 3: that tight end.

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Speaker 1: All right.

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Speaker 3: Not a ton of look ahead spots this week, and

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Speaker 3: so let's get right in to what you've all been

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Speaker 3: waiting for, and that's the marquee matchups of the week.

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Speaker 4: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out

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Speaker 4: the marquee matchups we'll all end up bedding for week six.

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Speaker 3: All right, let's start with the Red River Rivalry shootout

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Speaker 3: whatever you want to call it, between Oklahoma and Texas,

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Speaker 3: Texas at winbet three and a half point underdog over

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Speaker 3: under sixty three and a half. I got some good

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Speaker 3: intel today and I went digging, digging deep on this game,

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Speaker 3: and I have a few nuggets, but I know that

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Speaker 3: you wrote this game up so and I saw a

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Speaker 3: play come through on Oklahoma, So I'm curious getting your

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Speaker 3: thoughts first.

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Speaker 2: I don't think we can go on past history of

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Speaker 2: Red Rivalry, because you know that was the Tom Herman

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Speaker 2: era where he can go raw raw for the underdog,

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Speaker 2: and it was just so predictable that if you can

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Speaker 2: get a live number between zero and ten, you know

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Speaker 2: for ou in Texas that you were going to cash

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Speaker 2: both tickets.

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Speaker 3: And why would you ever say that? Last year I

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Speaker 3: went only twenty four plus six through plus seven and

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Speaker 3: a half because it went to triple overtime. Because this

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Speaker 3: Oklahoma kicker who ever miss this is a thirty yarder

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Speaker 3: and it goes to the third overtime.

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Speaker 2: Unbelievable college football, Fox Sports.

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Speaker 3: The Big twelve.

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Speaker 2: Then Oklahoma's, my gosh, the mysterious thirty seconds of clock

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Speaker 2: that is just orbiting around in some football space right now,

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Speaker 2: I did, there's the worst circus. I'm glad there's actually

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Speaker 2: a state fair going on outside the building because it

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Speaker 2: was a circus on the inside.

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Speaker 3: Listen to your point, Seven of the last eight have

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Speaker 3: been decided about one possession.

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Speaker 2: Listen. I went into this game, I think on Sunday,

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Speaker 2: you know, when all the numbers were being made and

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Speaker 2: I was looking, I was thinking, I got to bet Texas.

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Speaker 2: I gotta bet Texas because I've just become such a

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Speaker 2: big Texas fan. With Casey Thompson in there and Spencer

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Speaker 2: Ratler continued struggling to throw the ball downfield. Last year

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Speaker 2: in short season, he had fifty seven passes beyond twenty yards.

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Speaker 2: He logged twenty six big time throws in just four

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Speaker 2: turnover worthy plays. He looked every bit of a Heisman

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Speaker 2: part last year. But what's happened so far in twenty

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Speaker 2: twenty one just twelve attempts over twenty yards, no big

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Speaker 2: time throws, four turnover worthy plays. I mean, what's going

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Speaker 2: on here? Are we holding back in the playbook? There's

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Speaker 2: absolutely no way we've already played conference games against Kansas State.

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Speaker 2: Is he hurt? If he's hurt, there's been no word

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Speaker 2: about it whatsoever. But this is not the same quarterback

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Speaker 2: that was on the field last year. So what's interesting

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Speaker 2: is that all this is happening while he's in a

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Speaker 2: clean pocket. It's not like he's been pressured either. He's

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Speaker 2: just been absolutely terrible and the offensive line has provided

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Speaker 2: him max protection. So you know, Royland has one of

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Speaker 2: the lowest pressure rates thanks to the offensive line. But

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Speaker 2: you know, if he's hurt, I have to wonder if

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Speaker 2: that's just been kind of kept secret until maybe this game. Now,

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Speaker 2: if he is hurt, that Norman crowd channing we want Caleb,

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Speaker 2: we want Caleb, that they might get their wish. Caleb

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Speaker 2: Williams was the second highest recruit out of this latest

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Speaker 2: recruiting class, behind Quinn Ewers, the kid that skipped high

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Speaker 2: school and went to Ohio State. And if you watch

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Speaker 2: any film of Caleb Williams is a true duel threat

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Speaker 2: can just do a zone read and take off at

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Speaker 2: any time.

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Speaker 3: He is.

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Speaker 2: If you want a comparison, it's Max doug It's Max Duggan.

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Speaker 2: And you know, Max Duggan was able to do anything

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Speaker 2: that he wanted against his Texas defense using that zone read. Besides,

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Speaker 2: you know, fumbling the ball a bunch of times. So

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Speaker 2: if we're gonna get Caleb Williams, this is a perfect

360
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Speaker 2: spot to bring him out considering what TCU just did.

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Speaker 2: As for the Texas offense, I love him. The explosiveness

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Speaker 2: is kicked up with Casey Thompson. There was none for

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Speaker 2: Hudson Card, no explosive drives against Rice in Arkansas. And

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Speaker 2: you know, the important thing is from a success rate perspective,

365
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Speaker 2: available yards is how many yards you get on your drive.

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Speaker 2: So if you started the twenty, you could possibly get eighty.

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Speaker 2: And I just prefaced that by saying Alabama last year

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Speaker 2: was so historically unbelievable. They had gained ninety percent of

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Speaker 2: available yards every single game. The national average is like

370
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Speaker 2: forty four percent. The Longhorns posted ninety percent of available

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Speaker 2: yards over Texas Tech and Rice the last two games.

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Speaker 2: Sarks got this offense going that I mean This is

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Speaker 2: very Alabama like methodical drives ten plays, mix in a

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Speaker 2: few explosives, and just use Bajon Robinson just to run

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Speaker 2: everybody over. The real handicap in this game comes down

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Speaker 2: to the defenses of both teams. Oklahoma is best in

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Speaker 2: the nation in the pass rush. There's seventh in line

378
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Speaker 2: yards against running plays. There's sixteenth in rushing success rate,

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Speaker 2: which is important against Jean Robinson, and the Texas defense

380
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Speaker 2: is just spiraling downward like out of control each game.

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Speaker 2: One hundred and fifteenth in defending rush explosiveness. That's great

382
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Speaker 2: for Kennedy Brooks and for Eric Gray or finally kicking

383
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Speaker 2: it up in the running game. One hundred and twenty

384
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Speaker 2: fourth in passing success rate. That's great news for Spencer Radler,

385
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Speaker 2: who won't be pressured because the Longhorns are outside the

386
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Speaker 2: top one hundred and pass rate. Pee Kwadokowski was brought

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Speaker 2: in just to call this same scheme. He's called the

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Speaker 2: same scheme that he called in Washington. The blitz rate

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Speaker 2: is a lot lower, but they're just they're not getting

390
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Speaker 2: anything home. They're not able to defend the pass, they're

391
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Speaker 2: not getting to the quarterback. So oh, he's going to

392
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Speaker 2: be able to get whatever they want on offense, They're

393
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Speaker 2: gonna get their points. I don't have any out about that.

394
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Speaker 2: But these teams are both top fifteen offensively and finishing drives,

395
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Speaker 2: and they're both eighty fifth or lower in defensive finishing drives.

396
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Speaker 2: It's going to be a score fest OEU at minus three.

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Speaker 2: That is a play based on the fact that Texas's

398
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Speaker 2: defense is not just worse than OU. I mean, OU's

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Speaker 2: defense is a huge factor in this. Nick Benito is

400
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Speaker 2: going to get a plenty of pressure. This OU defense

401
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Speaker 2: is one of the best from a havoc great perspective.

402
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Speaker 2: They're the reason that I made the play on OU

403
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Speaker 2: minus three. If we get Caleb Williams in there over

404
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Speaker 2: Spencer Rattler, I'd play it again for another couple of units.

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Speaker 3: So I don't disagree with you. I went into this

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Speaker 3: week and I said, all right, this is my endi

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Speaker 3: gap on the game. I said, Texas' offense is mainly

408
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Speaker 3: just feed. You know, it's all through Bijon right, like

409
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Speaker 3: he's in the running for a heisman. But I knew

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Speaker 3: how elite this Oklahoma run defenses. I mean, last week

411
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Speaker 3: would spawn at fifteen carries for fifty yards. Look at

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Speaker 3: any metric. The run defense has been great. Their defensive

413
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Speaker 3: line is great. Linebackers are very good against the run.

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Speaker 3: The weakness in the Oklahoma defense is their secondary. You

415
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Speaker 3: can attack this team. You got to attack them down field,

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Speaker 3: you got attack them with explosive plays. I don't know

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Speaker 3: if Texas can be able to do that consistently enough

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Speaker 3: to keep up with Oklahoma, because look, they had running

419
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Speaker 3: more twelve. Personality talked about they're trying to run it,

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Speaker 3: and it's like, who are the receivers you really trust

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Speaker 3: on this Texas offense right now to keep up with Oklahoma,

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Speaker 3: and it's like Whittington and then there are some questions.

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Speaker 3: So I don't know if this is the right Texas offense.

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Speaker 3: I mean, last last year was fifty three to forty five.

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Speaker 3: It was Ellinger. He ran it twenty three times. There's

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Speaker 3: lots of scrambles and then short passes. I think what

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Speaker 3: he did have like twelve catches for like sixty yards,

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Speaker 3: and Ellinger just made that happen, just like willed the

429
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Speaker 3: Texas up and down the field. It's not like they

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Speaker 3: were killing them with explosive passing plays. So then I

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Speaker 3: said to myself. Okay, well, I'm worried if Texas can

432
00:21:49,560 --> 00:21:51,879
Speaker 3: keep up. But why am I saying that? Is this

433
00:21:51,920 --> 00:21:54,440
Speaker 3: Oklahoma offense broken? I mean they haven't covered against an

434
00:21:54,440 --> 00:21:56,840
Speaker 3: FBS team this year, that all their games are with

435
00:21:56,840 --> 00:21:59,679
Speaker 3: a one possession. They barely be Tulane, who's given up

436
00:21:59,720 --> 00:22:01,560
Speaker 3: like nine one hundred yards to everybody. I mean, you

437
00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:04,200
Speaker 3: saw what ECU just did on the ground. I said

438
00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:06,600
Speaker 3: they ran for over three hundred yards. Oklahoma ran for

439
00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:09,240
Speaker 3: one hundred yards on like thirty carries against too late,

440
00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:11,800
Speaker 3: they haven't been able to run the ball. Lincoln Riley's

441
00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:14,960
Speaker 3: entire offenses off the run? What is going on here?

442
00:22:15,280 --> 00:22:18,600
Speaker 3: Why is this Oklahoma always elite offense broken? Well, it

443
00:22:18,680 --> 00:22:23,600
Speaker 3: turns out that Lincoln Riley wanted to change the entire

444
00:22:24,040 --> 00:22:28,560
Speaker 3: blocking schemes for the offensive line coming into this year.

445
00:22:28,800 --> 00:22:31,080
Speaker 3: You know a lot of zone schemes that wanted to

446
00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:34,520
Speaker 3: try more man schemes and it was not working at all,

447
00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:37,240
Speaker 3: and it was thrown the entire offense off. Now there's

448
00:22:37,280 --> 00:22:40,440
Speaker 3: some talent drop off in the interior with the run block,

449
00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:43,399
Speaker 3: but all of the run blocking was messed up and

450
00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:47,560
Speaker 3: they couldn't get anything right. Last week he said, fuck it,

451
00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:49,919
Speaker 3: we're going back to what we used to do. And

452
00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:52,320
Speaker 3: then you saw against a really good Kansas State run defense,

453
00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:55,399
Speaker 3: everything started to fall into place. There was a couple

454
00:22:55,440 --> 00:23:00,000
Speaker 3: more downfield passes, So I think that's exactly what happened.

455
00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:06,159
Speaker 3: Intel from someone that I will keep anonymous, so it

456
00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:09,560
Speaker 3: makes sense. And Rattler is now thirty seven of forty one,

457
00:23:09,800 --> 00:23:11,840
Speaker 3: thirty seven of his last forty one. The running game

458
00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:14,640
Speaker 3: looked a little better last week. Now I'm saying, Okay,

459
00:23:14,680 --> 00:23:19,120
Speaker 3: if the offense is ready to be unleashed this they

460
00:23:19,119 --> 00:23:21,040
Speaker 3: will score on this Texas defense, which is just a

461
00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:26,200
Speaker 3: mess by every single metric across the board. And part

462
00:23:26,200 --> 00:23:30,120
Speaker 3: of it is it's a third defensive coordinator in three years,

463
00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:33,240
Speaker 3: right like Herman too, so like there's just no identity

464
00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:35,480
Speaker 3: and they're trying to figure They went from Orlando to

465
00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:39,600
Speaker 3: ash Kowski, so they're just still trying to figure themselves out.

466
00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:44,320
Speaker 3: So yeah, I think that this Oklahoma offense is ready

467
00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:47,440
Speaker 3: to explode. This is the perfect defense to do it against.

468
00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:50,320
Speaker 3: They match up well with Bijon and I don't think

469
00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:54,080
Speaker 3: the Texas passing attack can keep up. Boomer.

470
00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:56,119
Speaker 2: Can you go back to your source and find out

471
00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:57,880
Speaker 2: what the hell is wrong with Spencer Ratler because I'm

472
00:23:57,880 --> 00:23:59,600
Speaker 2: ready for Caleb Williams. I'm gonna be in this house

473
00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:03,320
Speaker 2: channing Caleb Williams. I mean the kids passing game is

474
00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:05,160
Speaker 2: it's not there. There's nothing deep.

475
00:24:05,600 --> 00:24:08,040
Speaker 3: He's been elite everywhere else though, so that's all you

476
00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:11,120
Speaker 3: might need against Texas. But the running game should get going.

477
00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:14,040
Speaker 3: Keep an eye out for it. All right, Let's move

478
00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:17,439
Speaker 3: on to our second market game of the day, and

479
00:24:17,480 --> 00:24:19,639
Speaker 3: it's the game everyone wants to know about here. Let's

480
00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:24,960
Speaker 3: go Saturday for PM Eastern Penn State Iowa at wind Bet.

481
00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:28,920
Speaker 3: I was a one point favorite over under forty one.

482
00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:32,240
Speaker 3: It's an Iowa podcast, baby, I got my eyeways shared

483
00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:35,040
Speaker 3: on I got an Iowa ticket in my pocket, getting

484
00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:38,600
Speaker 3: invitations on Twitter now to come to Iowa City because

485
00:24:38,640 --> 00:24:41,240
Speaker 3: I tweeted my picture of myself out. So I am

486
00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:44,120
Speaker 3: team Hawkeyes. I have done a one eighty on this team,

487
00:24:44,280 --> 00:24:47,440
Speaker 3: not a complete eight, but they've been fortunate this year

488
00:24:47,960 --> 00:24:50,320
Speaker 3: in certain circumstances. And I went over this earlier in

489
00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:53,360
Speaker 3: the week. The defense is elite. We know that they're

490
00:24:53,400 --> 00:24:55,040
Speaker 3: always going to be on the positive side of these

491
00:24:55,040 --> 00:24:55,720
Speaker 3: little things.

492
00:24:56,160 --> 00:24:56,280
Speaker 2: Right.

493
00:24:56,359 --> 00:25:01,199
Speaker 3: The special teams field position turnover March, but it was

494
00:25:01,240 --> 00:25:03,520
Speaker 3: just a little extreme for a while. And my biggest

495
00:25:03,560 --> 00:25:07,159
Speaker 3: problem with them is this top five team is that

496
00:25:07,160 --> 00:25:11,439
Speaker 3: they had no offense whatsoever. This is a team that

497
00:25:11,560 --> 00:25:14,520
Speaker 3: was down to Colorado State at the half. This is

498
00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:18,119
Speaker 3: I mean, just dreadful offense. I had them right outside

499
00:25:18,119 --> 00:25:21,320
Speaker 3: the top one hundred. Well last week I said this

500
00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:24,119
Speaker 3: on the recap episode, this is what I needed to

501
00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:27,520
Speaker 3: see Iowa. They came out throwing on first downs. It

502
00:25:27,560 --> 00:25:30,440
Speaker 3: was a great game plan that it was the missing link.

503
00:25:30,760 --> 00:25:33,680
Speaker 3: They're gonna have to score at some point. You can't

504
00:25:33,760 --> 00:25:36,240
Speaker 3: keep relying on getting turnovers. I know that you'll probably

505
00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:38,320
Speaker 3: end up on the right side of them, but I

506
00:25:38,359 --> 00:25:42,040
Speaker 3: saw enough from the offensive play calling to have faith

507
00:25:42,040 --> 00:25:44,879
Speaker 3: in them. This week against Penn State. It's a really

508
00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:48,680
Speaker 3: interesting game fact in the sense that Clifford is not

509
00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:51,400
Speaker 3: doing anything to turn the ball over right, and that's

510
00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:54,879
Speaker 3: what IOWA is relying on. I'll tell you that, and

511
00:25:54,920 --> 00:25:56,919
Speaker 3: I'll let you break in here with your thoughts, and

512
00:25:56,920 --> 00:25:58,480
Speaker 3: then I'll come back in. I'll tell you that I

513
00:25:58,520 --> 00:26:01,360
Speaker 3: also played the under umber one. There's fifteen to twenty

514
00:26:01,440 --> 00:26:05,119
Speaker 3: mile an hour wins, so I think that that hurts

515
00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:08,080
Speaker 3: Penn State a little more than Iowa project us at

516
00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:11,640
Speaker 3: thirty seven eight, like three around thirty seven thirty eight,

517
00:26:11,680 --> 00:26:13,680
Speaker 3: which is crazy. I don't know what the Wisconsin Iowa

518
00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:15,480
Speaker 3: total is gonna be, but with the win, I'm like

519
00:26:15,520 --> 00:26:18,040
Speaker 3: at thirty seven thirty eight, there's gonna be some wins

520
00:26:18,040 --> 00:26:20,480
Speaker 3: which will impact the game. And least neither of these

521
00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:25,480
Speaker 3: defenses gives up anything explosive, no explosive plays, So you're

522
00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:29,600
Speaker 3: gonna have to drive down the field and put together

523
00:26:29,880 --> 00:26:35,879
Speaker 3: drives against these defenses, and that's gonna be hard work.

524
00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:39,640
Speaker 3: The difference in this game to me is I think

525
00:26:39,720 --> 00:26:44,440
Speaker 3: Iowa little coaching advantage, will you know, obviously at home,

526
00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:48,600
Speaker 3: will probably come out a little on top on the

527
00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:52,640
Speaker 3: special teams, maybe force that key turnover. By the way,

528
00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:56,439
Speaker 3: two great punters win this game with huge legs helps

529
00:26:56,440 --> 00:26:59,840
Speaker 3: the under even more. But I think that those small margins,

530
00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:02,160
Speaker 3: and then on top of that, I think it's Iowa's

531
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:05,960
Speaker 3: run game which will have ultimately have more success than

532
00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:08,760
Speaker 3: Penn States, which who cannot run the ball. Penn State

533
00:27:08,800 --> 00:27:11,879
Speaker 3: can't run the ball at all, So I mean, I

534
00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:15,119
Speaker 3: don't think that Clifford is going to be able to

535
00:27:15,160 --> 00:27:17,640
Speaker 3: sustain draws, and he's been great and with his short

536
00:27:17,680 --> 00:27:20,240
Speaker 3: passing is not making turnover worthy throws. But this is

537
00:27:20,280 --> 00:27:26,040
Speaker 3: a different animal at Kinnick. So I'm siding with Iowa.

538
00:27:25,600 --> 00:27:31,240
Speaker 3: I believe, and I got some under Let's go, do

539
00:27:31,359 --> 00:27:34,520
Speaker 3: not let me down, do not make me come on

540
00:27:34,640 --> 00:27:38,959
Speaker 3: here on Monday and slander the great state of Iowa.

541
00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:40,120
Speaker 3: Go Hawks.

542
00:27:40,760 --> 00:27:46,399
Speaker 2: Well listen, everybody, I'm not anti Hawkeyes, all right. I

543
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:48,600
Speaker 2: have two uncles, A graduated from the University of Iowa.

544
00:27:48,920 --> 00:27:50,639
Speaker 2: My wife is from Estherville.

545
00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:53,000
Speaker 3: This sounds like a setup for an Antihoa.

546
00:27:54,920 --> 00:27:57,520
Speaker 2: My in laws are from there. My grandfather has been

547
00:27:57,560 --> 00:28:00,640
Speaker 2: his entire life before Dodge, Iowa. I was the very

548
00:28:00,640 --> 00:28:03,080
Speaker 2: first child in my old entire family born in the South.

549
00:28:03,320 --> 00:28:06,440
Speaker 2: So you know, this is a program that if I

550
00:28:06,440 --> 00:28:08,640
Speaker 2: didn't have the Razorbacks, I'd be cheering for all the time.

551
00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:10,680
Speaker 2: Kinnick's going to be an amazing scene for these two

552
00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:13,600
Speaker 2: defenses that have shaped the college football landscape. They're going

553
00:28:13,680 --> 00:28:16,119
Speaker 2: to shape the college football playoff picture here after this game,

554
00:28:16,560 --> 00:28:18,080
Speaker 2: one of these teams is going to be number three

555
00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:21,000
Speaker 2: after it's all said and done. The total continues to

556
00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:23,880
Speaker 2: trend down, and I think market entry is really important.

557
00:28:23,880 --> 00:28:25,919
Speaker 2: You hear Stucky talk about how he got a forty

558
00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:28,720
Speaker 2: two and he makes it around thirty seven. The biggest

559
00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:31,680
Speaker 2: key numbers in totals in the top ten are forty one,

560
00:28:32,119 --> 00:28:34,879
Speaker 2: forty four, and forty five. So if you're going to

561
00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:37,280
Speaker 2: take any you know, just be aware that those are

562
00:28:37,400 --> 00:28:39,400
Speaker 2: the biggest numbers. So when I see a forty and

563
00:28:39,440 --> 00:28:41,440
Speaker 2: a half at the board, I know that there are

564
00:28:41,520 --> 00:28:43,280
Speaker 2: guys out there that say it's time to buy the

565
00:28:43,320 --> 00:28:45,760
Speaker 2: over because forty one is the biggest key I think,

566
00:28:45,800 --> 00:28:47,080
Speaker 2: one of the top three out there.

567
00:28:47,760 --> 00:28:49,840
Speaker 3: So you can say the more key because it's a

568
00:28:49,840 --> 00:28:52,280
Speaker 3: lower scoring games of the points become even more important

569
00:28:52,320 --> 00:28:53,120
Speaker 3: at that point.

570
00:28:52,880 --> 00:28:57,440
Speaker 2: With two extremely opportunistic defenses. Right now, we could just

571
00:28:57,760 --> 00:29:00,000
Speaker 2: come on this podcast. I haven't listened to any other

572
00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:02,000
Speaker 2: podcast this week, but I'm sure people come on say

573
00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:05,360
Speaker 2: Iowa football is Iowa football. They have great punting and

574
00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:08,360
Speaker 2: Maryland had seven turnovers and defensive scores and three hundred

575
00:29:08,360 --> 00:29:11,040
Speaker 2: and six hit in Europe. Whatever, let's give some credit

576
00:29:11,080 --> 00:29:14,959
Speaker 2: to the Iowa offense against Maryland beat the national average

577
00:29:14,960 --> 00:29:17,640
Speaker 2: and two plus first down rate. They had an explosive

578
00:29:17,760 --> 00:29:22,560
Speaker 2: drive seven percent higher national average and thirty four passing downs,

579
00:29:22,600 --> 00:29:25,640
Speaker 2: they were higher in success rate seven percent more than

580
00:29:25,640 --> 00:29:29,400
Speaker 2: the national average. And passing downs, Spencer Peachris has a cannon,

581
00:29:29,800 --> 00:29:32,120
Speaker 2: and I think one of the big problems that we had,

582
00:29:32,200 --> 00:29:34,320
Speaker 2: we talked about this in the summer, is he doesn't

583
00:29:34,360 --> 00:29:37,120
Speaker 2: know his targets. He doesn't know his wide receivers. The

584
00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:39,640
Speaker 2: targets he's getting more familiar with. He's starting to hit

585
00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:41,720
Speaker 2: deeper passes on and that is really key for this

586
00:29:41,800 --> 00:29:44,880
Speaker 2: Iowa offense. And let's not forget the one thing about

587
00:29:44,880 --> 00:29:47,640
Speaker 2: this offense that is like not talked about is that

588
00:29:47,800 --> 00:29:50,480
Speaker 2: Spencer Peachris is a big dude and his center is

589
00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:53,040
Speaker 2: going to be an NFL first round pick. Tyler linderbaum

590
00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:56,240
Speaker 2: Shaw Clifford finally got burned in the turn turnover worthy

591
00:29:56,240 --> 00:29:59,160
Speaker 2: play department last week. He logged two of them against Indiana.

592
00:29:59,400 --> 00:30:02,240
Speaker 2: It wasn't really smooth game. He's still you know, he

593
00:30:02,280 --> 00:30:04,720
Speaker 2: had a three to one t tot ratio in that game.

594
00:30:04,760 --> 00:30:08,120
Speaker 2: But he finally started making some mistakes. And trust me,

595
00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:11,760
Speaker 2: I'm looking at talli attacko Aola from Maryland who had

596
00:30:11,840 --> 00:30:15,160
Speaker 2: no turnover worthy plays on the season get blasted by

597
00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:17,840
Speaker 2: this Iowa defense. I mean it feels like a zero.

598
00:30:17,960 --> 00:30:19,560
Speaker 2: You look at the numbers, it feels like a zero

599
00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:21,440
Speaker 2: to zero. Once we get to forty and a half,

600
00:30:21,440 --> 00:30:23,200
Speaker 2: I'm kind of a buyer of the over. I do

601
00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:26,280
Speaker 2: project us at forty five. I do think Iowa's offense

602
00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:28,840
Speaker 2: is actually moving the ball, and I know that Spencer

603
00:30:28,840 --> 00:30:31,440
Speaker 2: Peachers has a cannon to get past that secondary. He

604
00:30:31,480 --> 00:30:34,080
Speaker 2: could absolutely throw it down the field. And I think

605
00:30:34,120 --> 00:30:36,720
Speaker 2: there's gonna be some crazy plays that come out of nowhere,

606
00:30:37,040 --> 00:30:38,880
Speaker 2: and I think we can count on the defense to

607
00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:41,280
Speaker 2: actually score. I think we can count on special teams

608
00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:44,600
Speaker 2: to get a score. It's just so these are things

609
00:30:44,600 --> 00:30:47,200
Speaker 2: that you can't really handicap, but they're expected in these games,

610
00:30:47,280 --> 00:30:49,400
Speaker 2: kind of like you know, trying to handicap Army. So

611
00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:51,880
Speaker 2: I project the number of forty five. There is a

612
00:30:51,920 --> 00:30:54,080
Speaker 2: forty and a half out there on the board. I'm

613
00:30:54,080 --> 00:30:55,920
Speaker 2: a buyer of the over at forty and a half.

614
00:30:56,840 --> 00:30:59,360
Speaker 2: I think defensive special teams are going to add to

615
00:30:59,400 --> 00:31:01,760
Speaker 2: the scoreboard. If you're going to take an under like

616
00:31:01,800 --> 00:31:04,920
Speaker 2: Stuck did fine forty two, I would stop at forty two,

617
00:31:05,040 --> 00:31:07,960
Speaker 2: with forty one being key. I'm looking over. I haven't

618
00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:09,440
Speaker 2: made a decision on the side. I don't know if

619
00:31:09,480 --> 00:31:11,840
Speaker 2: I'm coming in on Iowa. I can't see myself back

620
00:31:11,840 --> 00:31:13,520
Speaker 2: in Penn State. I guess we'll have to watch the

621
00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:16,120
Speaker 2: action app maybe watch the live show. But over is

622
00:31:16,200 --> 00:31:18,360
Speaker 2: where I'm looking. Since this is down to forty and

623
00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:20,320
Speaker 2: a half, I would not buy it a forty one

624
00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:23,360
Speaker 2: or forty two though, period Kennick.

625
00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:27,080
Speaker 3: The special teams, and then the fact that Penn State

626
00:31:27,120 --> 00:31:28,760
Speaker 3: can't run the ball and they're going to try to

627
00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:31,560
Speaker 3: throw it good luck it's a no fly zone, and

628
00:31:31,920 --> 00:31:35,520
Speaker 3: Iowa City Baby, It's an Iowa podcast, always has it,

629
00:31:35,640 --> 00:31:37,640
Speaker 3: always will be. Unless I would do was a win

630
00:31:37,720 --> 00:31:39,880
Speaker 3: this weekend, then all bets are off on what kind

631
00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:42,160
Speaker 3: of podcasts it'll be come Monday. All right, let's move

632
00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:46,800
Speaker 3: on to our third marquee game of the weekend, and

633
00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:49,760
Speaker 3: let's talk a little. I mean, I'm tired of talking

634
00:31:49,760 --> 00:31:51,880
Speaker 3: about this team, but it's a game that I'm looking

635
00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:55,400
Speaker 3: forward to watching. Notre Dame at Virginia Tech at win

636
00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:58,000
Speaker 3: bet Virginia taxs a one point underdog over under forty

637
00:31:58,000 --> 00:32:00,240
Speaker 3: seven a half. Look, I'll make this quick. One of

638
00:32:00,240 --> 00:32:02,000
Speaker 3: the Virginia Tech plus one is one of my favorite

639
00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:05,280
Speaker 3: bets weekend number one. It's a great spot. So Virginia

640
00:32:05,320 --> 00:32:08,400
Speaker 3: Tech's coming off of a bye, you know, Saturday night

641
00:32:08,600 --> 00:32:12,800
Speaker 3: in Blacksburg, catching a Notre Dame team, you know, coming

642
00:32:12,800 --> 00:32:15,520
Speaker 3: off of physical I mean physical games, a couple of

643
00:32:15,560 --> 00:32:17,760
Speaker 3: them in a row, and they basically just had their

644
00:32:17,760 --> 00:32:21,720
Speaker 3: college twall playoff dreams, aspirations dashed right like they're not.

645
00:32:22,560 --> 00:32:25,120
Speaker 3: It's over for them. So now you're going to Virginia Tech.

646
00:32:25,240 --> 00:32:26,840
Speaker 3: And when I look at this game, I mean, I mean,

647
00:32:26,920 --> 00:32:28,000
Speaker 3: I don't know how many times I have to talk

648
00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:29,600
Speaker 3: about this Notre Ninte. Then they could have lost to

649
00:32:29,640 --> 00:32:31,600
Speaker 3: Florida State, they could have lost the Toledo I mean,

650
00:32:31,600 --> 00:32:33,320
Speaker 3: it goes on and on and on. Got our game

651
00:32:33,360 --> 00:32:37,440
Speaker 3: by Purdue, and then they just were smoking her smoking

652
00:32:37,480 --> 00:32:40,280
Speaker 3: miror smoking Merors, and then finally they got humbled by Cincinnati.

653
00:32:40,920 --> 00:32:44,360
Speaker 3: They can't run the ball at all, you can't can't

654
00:32:44,360 --> 00:32:48,760
Speaker 3: stop themselves, so it's just in constant have to throw. Well,

655
00:32:49,320 --> 00:32:53,240
Speaker 3: Virginia Tech defense has been excellent this year against the

656
00:32:53,280 --> 00:32:56,200
Speaker 3: bass that has been their strength. I think they're number

657
00:32:56,200 --> 00:32:58,800
Speaker 3: two in past success, right, So you can't run it

658
00:32:59,040 --> 00:33:01,640
Speaker 3: and you're gonna try to throw on Virginia Tech Secondary

659
00:33:01,800 --> 00:33:03,640
Speaker 3: which I think has been one of their biggest surprises

660
00:33:03,680 --> 00:33:06,840
Speaker 3: this year. You're in a bad situational spot. I think

661
00:33:06,880 --> 00:33:10,160
Speaker 3: Burmeister can do enough. The running game can do enough

662
00:33:10,200 --> 00:33:14,640
Speaker 3: against this, this Notre Dame defensive line, and it's just

663
00:33:15,120 --> 00:33:18,680
Speaker 3: raw and not that impressed with votech finds away here,

664
00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:21,760
Speaker 3: give me the Hokies and to stand man.

665
00:33:21,960 --> 00:33:24,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you one hundred percent. I am actually

666
00:33:24,320 --> 00:33:27,040
Speaker 2: waiting on one of my runners in a state to

667
00:33:27,360 --> 00:33:30,160
Speaker 2: let me know that the plus one has been purchased,

668
00:33:30,440 --> 00:33:32,920
Speaker 2: because there is a market full of pick and full

669
00:33:32,920 --> 00:33:35,080
Speaker 2: of minus ones out there, which I expect that number

670
00:33:35,080 --> 00:33:37,920
Speaker 2: to gravitate too. And I'm just I'll be short about this.

671
00:33:37,960 --> 00:33:39,840
Speaker 2: I mean, I project this game as a pick. I

672
00:33:39,920 --> 00:33:42,200
Speaker 2: projected total forty nine, so there's not much from a

673
00:33:42,280 --> 00:33:45,040
Speaker 2: market perspective, but there is a thirty percent chance of

674
00:33:45,160 --> 00:33:49,360
Speaker 2: rain and some pretty bad field conditions expected at Lane Stadium.

675
00:33:49,520 --> 00:33:52,320
Speaker 2: A lot of that is right now forecasted to be

676
00:33:52,480 --> 00:33:55,040
Speaker 2: in the first half. So you know, Notre Dame has

677
00:33:55,040 --> 00:33:57,200
Speaker 2: not been able to establish the run at all. Like

678
00:33:57,200 --> 00:33:58,880
Speaker 2: Stuck said, and listen, I want them to lose. I'm

679
00:33:58,920 --> 00:34:00,600
Speaker 2: tired of talking about them every week on the podcast.

680
00:34:00,640 --> 00:34:02,840
Speaker 2: I got under nine. I'd like to catch that big bet.

681
00:34:03,560 --> 00:34:05,760
Speaker 2: But you know, Notre Dame is still bottom ten in havoc.

682
00:34:06,160 --> 00:34:08,160
Speaker 2: They're outside the top one hundred explosive plays. What are

683
00:34:08,200 --> 00:34:10,279
Speaker 2: you gonna do if there's sloppy, wet conditions, You're not

684
00:34:10,320 --> 00:34:11,440
Speaker 2: gonna be able to run the ball and you're not

685
00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:13,080
Speaker 2: gonna be able to throw the ball. So you know,

686
00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:15,799
Speaker 2: the Hokies have rebounded in defensive areas compared to what's

687
00:34:15,840 --> 00:34:18,280
Speaker 2: happened the last couple of years. There's seventeenth in defensive

688
00:34:18,280 --> 00:34:21,680
Speaker 2: habit very respectable their third and passing success rate, and

689
00:34:21,719 --> 00:34:23,719
Speaker 2: they're twenty six and tackling. So when Notre Dame does

690
00:34:23,719 --> 00:34:26,360
Speaker 2: go to the air, assuming it's not our coming down raining,

691
00:34:26,960 --> 00:34:29,120
Speaker 2: Virginia Tech has the defense. It's built to stop the

692
00:34:29,200 --> 00:34:31,560
Speaker 2: pass and there's no arm tackling With these guys, you

693
00:34:31,560 --> 00:34:34,080
Speaker 2: can't get explosive plays because it only takes one on

694
00:34:34,080 --> 00:34:36,279
Speaker 2: one tackling. Think it's important to get that plus one

695
00:34:36,320 --> 00:34:38,479
Speaker 2: if you can, so Virginia Tech. For me in this game,

696
00:34:38,600 --> 00:34:41,279
Speaker 2: I'm waiting on a first half under. Probably gonna come

697
00:34:41,280 --> 00:34:43,839
Speaker 2: in Friday night or maybe early early Saturday morning when

698
00:34:43,880 --> 00:34:46,040
Speaker 2: I get up, because I want to know exactly when

699
00:34:46,040 --> 00:34:48,440
Speaker 2: that rain is coming down. I do think that that

700
00:34:48,520 --> 00:34:51,480
Speaker 2: will keep some scoring down, especially with Notre Dame's capabilities.

701
00:34:51,640 --> 00:34:53,480
Speaker 2: So first half under for me, But I'm waiting for

702
00:34:53,520 --> 00:34:55,920
Speaker 2: the for the hourly forecast to firmat all.

703
00:34:56,000 --> 00:35:00,200
Speaker 3: Right, fair enough, let's move on to our five. I know,

704
00:35:00,320 --> 00:35:03,880
Speaker 3: marquee game of the weekend. We people, my friends in Lexton.

705
00:35:03,920 --> 00:35:07,000
Speaker 3: We have Kentucky in the marquee games of the weekend.

706
00:35:07,760 --> 00:35:13,000
Speaker 3: Undefeated Kentucky at home against LSU, a favorite not in

707
00:35:13,040 --> 00:35:16,959
Speaker 3: basketball and football, Kentucky minus three at win bat over

708
00:35:17,040 --> 00:35:21,040
Speaker 3: under fifty one. This LSU team I haven't been impressed with.

709
00:35:21,160 --> 00:35:24,800
Speaker 3: I don't think Kentucky is as good as their record,

710
00:35:25,040 --> 00:35:27,600
Speaker 3: and it's the team that almost lost to Chattanooga. Their

711
00:35:27,640 --> 00:35:31,000
Speaker 3: defense has been really strong. This LSU team. They can't

712
00:35:31,040 --> 00:35:33,560
Speaker 3: run the ball. That's why if they almost blew a

713
00:35:33,600 --> 00:35:36,480
Speaker 3: couple of leads too, like they can't what once they

714
00:35:36,520 --> 00:35:39,120
Speaker 3: get up in like the second half. Let's just keep

715
00:35:39,160 --> 00:35:41,120
Speaker 3: this in mind. If Ella's who's up in the second half,

716
00:35:41,680 --> 00:35:45,080
Speaker 3: look for a live betle Kentucky, look for maybe Kentucky

717
00:35:45,200 --> 00:35:48,120
Speaker 3: second half Fellashi's up, because else you can't put a

718
00:35:48,160 --> 00:35:50,920
Speaker 3: game away because they can't run it at all, and

719
00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:54,280
Speaker 3: we've seen that happen twice this year. Mississippi State almost

720
00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:58,799
Speaker 3: came back this Kentucky offense. I still don't fully trust it.

721
00:35:58,840 --> 00:36:01,720
Speaker 3: The LSU defensive line is playing well, they just haven't

722
00:36:01,920 --> 00:36:04,680
Speaker 3: been close to getting home. I think there you'll see

723
00:36:04,680 --> 00:36:07,680
Speaker 3: some of that this week. One of Kentucky's best receivers

724
00:36:07,760 --> 00:36:10,120
Speaker 3: is out and josh A Lee, which I think is important.

725
00:36:10,520 --> 00:36:14,279
Speaker 3: I think this spread is about right. I may look

726
00:36:14,360 --> 00:36:17,360
Speaker 3: Kentucky second half if they're down. I think the player

727
00:36:17,440 --> 00:36:20,360
Speaker 3: is the under under fifty one. I think it's another

728
00:36:21,120 --> 00:36:27,919
Speaker 3: classic Kentucky home grinder. But I saw you come through

729
00:36:27,960 --> 00:36:32,360
Speaker 3: with a little uh go tagas. Yeah, little sissy blue

730
00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:36,040
Speaker 3: shirts could play comes right? Hey, hey, right, yes on,

731
00:36:36,600 --> 00:36:38,560
Speaker 3: but yes on your sis blue shirt.

732
00:36:40,160 --> 00:36:42,120
Speaker 2: This might be my first bet on lc all season.

733
00:36:42,120 --> 00:36:44,399
Speaker 2: It might be my last one too. You know, there's

734
00:36:44,440 --> 00:36:45,719
Speaker 2: a lot of I mean, I've had a lot of

735
00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:49,440
Speaker 2: negativity towards LSU, but I don't know if there's a

736
00:36:49,440 --> 00:36:52,360
Speaker 2: better week six by low cell high spot on the board.

737
00:36:52,400 --> 00:36:56,080
Speaker 2: Kentucky had such a long winless streak against Florida. It's

738
00:36:56,160 --> 00:36:58,680
Speaker 2: just spanned generations that anytime that they get a win

739
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:00,960
Speaker 2: like this over the Gators. It's just it's such an

740
00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:03,279
Speaker 2: epic event, and now you have to first win.

741
00:37:03,480 --> 00:37:07,279
Speaker 3: First win in nineteen eighty in Lexington against Fartis. It's

742
00:37:07,320 --> 00:37:10,359
Speaker 3: nineteen eighty six. And yeah, yeah, we were partying last

743
00:37:10,400 --> 00:37:12,680
Speaker 3: weekend and we're hopefully going to be partying again this

744
00:37:12,680 --> 00:37:14,640
Speaker 3: week and where or loose we will be partying.

745
00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:16,719
Speaker 2: When the Royals won the Rulesers the first time in

746
00:37:16,760 --> 00:37:18,440
Speaker 2: thirty years, I took a week of work off, like

747
00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:20,880
Speaker 2: I knew I was gonna. I mean, it's that important

748
00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:23,520
Speaker 2: when when teams are able to win like that. Now

749
00:37:23,560 --> 00:37:26,040
Speaker 2: you have to reproduce that same energy against an LSU

750
00:37:26,080 --> 00:37:28,800
Speaker 2: team that I think is pretty much in desperation mode.

751
00:37:28,840 --> 00:37:31,200
Speaker 2: They hung toe to toe with Auburn. Not only just

752
00:37:31,239 --> 00:37:34,360
Speaker 2: lost that game, but they've probably lost Derek Stingley for

753
00:37:34,800 --> 00:37:37,759
Speaker 2: probably the rest of the season considering his NFL draft prospects.

754
00:37:38,120 --> 00:37:40,279
Speaker 2: Kentucky's gonna have to overcome this hangover and face an

755
00:37:40,360 --> 00:37:44,240
Speaker 2: LSUD that is fourth against rush explosiveness. They're still recovering

756
00:37:44,239 --> 00:37:46,560
Speaker 2: from early season mistakes that got some of their success

757
00:37:46,640 --> 00:37:49,360
Speaker 2: numbers down. They're now up to thirtieth in the line yards.

758
00:37:49,520 --> 00:37:52,160
Speaker 2: That's good. News against the Kentucky offense that runs sixty

759
00:37:52,160 --> 00:37:55,080
Speaker 2: percent of the time. So LSU's defense on the line

760
00:37:55,120 --> 00:37:58,600
Speaker 2: mainly is improving against the run and that one dimensional

761
00:37:58,640 --> 00:38:01,120
Speaker 2: offense of LSU. I mean, I was just hammering on

762
00:38:01,160 --> 00:38:03,600
Speaker 2: them last week. My best bet was Auburn, but that

763
00:38:03,680 --> 00:38:06,920
Speaker 2: may play into their favor this week. LSU is, like

764
00:38:06,960 --> 00:38:10,520
Speaker 2: I said, one dimensional pass only. Event their one hundred

765
00:38:10,520 --> 00:38:12,919
Speaker 2: and thirtieth and rushing success rate dead last and running

766
00:38:12,960 --> 00:38:16,440
Speaker 2: the ball against Auburn twenty two rushes forty nine pass attempts.

767
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:19,440
Speaker 2: I expect that gap to continue to go out. There's

768
00:38:19,480 --> 00:38:21,680
Speaker 2: gonna be way more passing attempts than there are runnings,

769
00:38:22,080 --> 00:38:24,360
Speaker 2: and that's not a bad thing. I mean, Jack Besh

770
00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:27,800
Speaker 2: Kayshawn Boody, those are great weapons for quarterback Max Johnson,

771
00:38:27,800 --> 00:38:31,000
Speaker 2: who's very comfortable with both of them. Kentucky prides itself

772
00:38:31,160 --> 00:38:34,080
Speaker 2: an eliminating explosive plays from their opponent. They do that

773
00:38:34,160 --> 00:38:36,960
Speaker 2: really well. The defense is fifteenth and standard downs and

774
00:38:37,000 --> 00:38:39,880
Speaker 2: fifth and passing downs. Explosiveness. They don't allow things to

775
00:38:39,880 --> 00:38:42,359
Speaker 2: get past them. Great safeties. They run a three three

776
00:38:42,480 --> 00:38:45,359
Speaker 2: five defense that blitzes at a very healthy twenty four

777
00:38:45,400 --> 00:38:48,440
Speaker 2: percent rate and the Wildcats. They can take chances and

778
00:38:48,480 --> 00:38:50,440
Speaker 2: go at the quarterback and at the same time prevent

779
00:38:50,480 --> 00:38:52,560
Speaker 2: the big play, and that's what makes a great defense.

780
00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:56,000
Speaker 2: But Kentucky's defense is ninetieth and passing success rate and

781
00:38:56,080 --> 00:38:59,160
Speaker 2: their twentieth against pass explosiveness. So what that means is

782
00:38:59,200 --> 00:39:01,040
Speaker 2: Max Johnson is I'm going to be able to dink

783
00:39:01,080 --> 00:39:04,240
Speaker 2: and dunk and slant pass his way down the field.

784
00:39:04,640 --> 00:39:07,760
Speaker 2: So when that happens, LSU's going to get into scoring position,

785
00:39:07,840 --> 00:39:10,960
Speaker 2: and that's been a major strength for LSU. They're eleventh

786
00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:14,080
Speaker 2: and finishing drives highlighted. I can't even believe this. I

787
00:39:14,120 --> 00:39:16,440
Speaker 2: saw this highlighted by the fact they're number one in

788
00:39:16,440 --> 00:39:19,719
Speaker 2: the country in red zone scoring fourteen attempts in the

789
00:39:19,719 --> 00:39:24,320
Speaker 2: red zone, fourteen conversions with nine touchdowns and five field goals.

790
00:39:24,640 --> 00:39:26,919
Speaker 2: LSU is going to move the ball, dink and dunk

791
00:39:26,920 --> 00:39:30,279
Speaker 2: Mississippi State style, hit their two guys, and they're going

792
00:39:30,320 --> 00:39:33,360
Speaker 2: to convert their scoring opportunities. I mean, they're perfect fourteen

793
00:39:33,400 --> 00:39:36,200
Speaker 2: to fourteen in the red zone. So there's major advantages

794
00:39:36,239 --> 00:39:38,080
Speaker 2: and special teams here for the Tigers too. Let's not

795
00:39:38,160 --> 00:39:41,320
Speaker 2: discount that. So I made a small half unit LSU

796
00:39:41,360 --> 00:39:43,480
Speaker 2: play in the first half. I don't know if Kentucky

797
00:39:43,560 --> 00:39:45,560
Speaker 2: can get up after that win. And then I took

798
00:39:45,600 --> 00:39:48,840
Speaker 2: full game at the three because there's just these advantages

799
00:39:48,920 --> 00:39:50,480
Speaker 2: as DNK and dunk and what they could do in

800
00:39:50,480 --> 00:39:51,799
Speaker 2: the red zone. I think they're going to be able

801
00:39:51,800 --> 00:39:54,640
Speaker 2: to take advantage of Kentucky here. So go Tigers, and

802
00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:56,960
Speaker 2: if they don't cover it, I'm done with you at oh,

803
00:39:57,040 --> 00:39:59,080
Speaker 2: I've done no more betting on LSU football this year.

804
00:39:59,320 --> 00:40:01,799
Speaker 2: Well be shell a break and beating Arkansas. They haven't

805
00:40:01,840 --> 00:40:04,440
Speaker 2: beaten anybody in a long time. There's no question about it.

806
00:40:04,560 --> 00:40:11,919
Speaker 3: Sissy Blue shirts. That's a fair handicap, well stated. All right,

807
00:40:12,280 --> 00:40:14,920
Speaker 3: before we continue on here, get to the rundown and

808
00:40:15,000 --> 00:40:19,120
Speaker 3: cover a number of games. A quick reminder to our listeners,

809
00:40:19,120 --> 00:40:21,480
Speaker 3: The Big Bets on Campus podcast is presented by win

810
00:40:21,600 --> 00:40:24,080
Speaker 3: Bet Sportsbook and they've got a great sign up offer

811
00:40:24,080 --> 00:40:26,799
Speaker 3: for you guys this season. New win Bet patrons who

812
00:40:26,800 --> 00:40:29,480
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813
00:40:29,520 --> 00:40:34,000
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814
00:40:34,040 --> 00:40:35,960
Speaker 3: That's right. If you open a new wind Bet account,

815
00:40:35,960 --> 00:40:38,839
Speaker 3: make a qualifying deposit, and place your first bet within

816
00:40:38,880 --> 00:40:42,359
Speaker 3: ten days. That bet is risk free up to one

817
00:40:42,360 --> 00:40:46,160
Speaker 3: thousand dollars in eligible states one thousand dollars. So take

818
00:40:46,200 --> 00:40:48,520
Speaker 3: advantage of this wind bet offer. Just click on the

819
00:40:48,560 --> 00:40:51,839
Speaker 3: Action Network link in this episode description. Must be twenty

820
00:40:51,880 --> 00:40:54,279
Speaker 3: one or older to gamble, know when to stop before

821
00:40:54,320 --> 00:40:57,839
Speaker 3: you start gambling problem called one hundred gambler. All right,

822
00:40:57,960 --> 00:41:01,000
Speaker 3: let's get back to the show. All right, let's move

823
00:41:01,040 --> 00:41:06,160
Speaker 3: on to the rundown. And we didn't put this game

824
00:41:06,200 --> 00:41:09,760
Speaker 3: in the marquee matchups because botog Jim has not earned

825
00:41:09,800 --> 00:41:10,160
Speaker 3: it yet.

826
00:41:11,960 --> 00:41:17,360
Speaker 2: Don't gamble, don't associate with gamblers. Avoid it like the plague.

827
00:41:18,400 --> 00:41:22,759
Speaker 4: Let's check in with Bodog Jim.

828
00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:26,759
Speaker 3: Michigan fans are controlling me for that winning Graandmart, So

829
00:41:26,760 --> 00:41:28,200
Speaker 3: you don't get in the market against We're gonna talk

830
00:41:28,200 --> 00:41:33,359
Speaker 3: about you here. Michigan at Nebraska. Michigan and Nebraska, these

831
00:41:33,360 --> 00:41:36,320
Speaker 3: teams historic I have only met ten times in their history.

832
00:41:36,520 --> 00:41:40,040
Speaker 3: Do you know that in twoenty twelve is the only

833
00:41:40,160 --> 00:41:44,840
Speaker 3: time that Michigan has ever played a Memorial Stadium. You

834
00:41:44,880 --> 00:41:48,200
Speaker 3: know what happened that day? An unranked Nebraska team in

835
00:41:48,320 --> 00:41:52,280
Speaker 3: prime time beat a run heavy Michigan team. The opening

836
00:41:52,320 --> 00:41:54,920
Speaker 3: spread was a field goal. You know the quarterback was

837
00:41:54,960 --> 00:41:59,799
Speaker 3: for Nebraska, a guy named Martinez, Taylor Martinez. That was

838
00:41:59,800 --> 00:42:03,239
Speaker 3: the time that Michigan visited Nebraska. Obviously meaning less, but

839
00:42:03,360 --> 00:42:05,200
Speaker 3: just thought it was eerie when I was going down

840
00:42:05,280 --> 00:42:08,959
Speaker 3: rabbit holes. Yeah, Michigan's off to an undefeated start cake

841
00:42:09,080 --> 00:42:09,799
Speaker 3: schedule at.

842
00:42:09,680 --> 00:42:13,359
Speaker 4: Home to start bo Dog Jim has it under control.

843
00:42:13,680 --> 00:42:16,560
Speaker 3: They go to Wisconsin. They showed some things. I mean,

844
00:42:16,800 --> 00:42:20,600
Speaker 3: you have to give credit to the defense, Aiden mutched

845
00:42:20,640 --> 00:42:23,640
Speaker 3: it for. They're able to generate a lot of pressure.

846
00:42:23,920 --> 00:42:26,600
Speaker 3: They're playing a lot better. Some of the receive some

847
00:42:26,640 --> 00:42:29,360
Speaker 3: of the receivers stepped up last week. I like Harball's

848
00:42:29,360 --> 00:42:32,319
Speaker 3: aggressiveness going going on fourth down a couple times. They

849
00:42:32,360 --> 00:42:36,239
Speaker 3: were throwing more. You know, there's still some questions at quarterback.

850
00:42:36,320 --> 00:42:39,400
Speaker 3: But where there there isn't any questions. It's in the

851
00:42:39,440 --> 00:42:42,799
Speaker 3: mistakes department. This is a team that's not turning it over.

852
00:42:43,320 --> 00:42:45,440
Speaker 3: Yeah McNamara, I think is gone eight or nine games

853
00:42:45,440 --> 00:42:48,120
Speaker 3: without a turnover. This is a team that's playing well

854
00:42:48,120 --> 00:42:52,240
Speaker 3: on special teams. They're doing a lot of the little

855
00:42:52,280 --> 00:42:55,640
Speaker 3: things right. That's one of my concerns here for Nebraska,

856
00:42:55,800 --> 00:42:58,359
Speaker 3: because Nebraska is not I mean every single game. They

857
00:42:58,360 --> 00:43:02,920
Speaker 3: have special teams mistakes, they have penalties, just shoot themselves

858
00:43:03,000 --> 00:43:06,280
Speaker 3: in the foot. Go look at the special teams rankings

859
00:43:06,280 --> 00:43:07,719
Speaker 3: for these teams. The BRESK was like one hundred twenty

860
00:43:07,719 --> 00:43:10,200
Speaker 3: one hundred and twenty seven hundred and twenty six. I mean,

861
00:43:10,360 --> 00:43:13,200
Speaker 3: if you look at some of the Football Outsiders ranks

862
00:43:13,280 --> 00:43:15,680
Speaker 3: special teams, and the BRESK is one hundred and twenty eighth,

863
00:43:15,719 --> 00:43:20,040
Speaker 3: Michigan second. So those little things could be a difference here.

864
00:43:20,640 --> 00:43:23,279
Speaker 3: McCarthy JJ McCarthy, wh' some Michigan fans, I mean, it's

865
00:43:23,320 --> 00:43:26,520
Speaker 3: their quarterback of the future. He's come in and like

866
00:43:26,600 --> 00:43:28,640
Speaker 3: provided them with a spark, Like he runs it a

867
00:43:28,680 --> 00:43:30,759
Speaker 3: little bit and then he throws. So he's kind of

868
00:43:30,800 --> 00:43:34,080
Speaker 3: a wild card in there. But people, you have to

869
00:43:34,200 --> 00:43:38,600
Speaker 3: start to respect the Black Shared's defense. And I'll make

870
00:43:38,640 --> 00:43:41,960
Speaker 3: a case for this Nebraska defense, which has been playing

871
00:43:42,600 --> 00:43:44,880
Speaker 3: out of its mind, out of its mind since that

872
00:43:45,000 --> 00:43:50,000
Speaker 3: opening loss against Illinois. I mean, look, they only allowed

873
00:43:50,640 --> 00:43:54,239
Speaker 3: seven points over the previous six quarters against a pair

874
00:43:54,280 --> 00:43:57,640
Speaker 3: of Big Ten opponents. They pitched a shutout against Michigan State,

875
00:43:57,719 --> 00:44:00,600
Speaker 3: only about fifteen total net yards, no first down, and

876
00:44:00,640 --> 00:44:04,799
Speaker 3: they beat Northwestern by forty nine last week. Over their

877
00:44:04,880 --> 00:44:07,879
Speaker 3: past four games against FBS teams will throw out four

878
00:44:07,920 --> 00:44:11,320
Speaker 3: of them. Their defense has only allowed an average of

879
00:44:11,320 --> 00:44:15,040
Speaker 3: eleven points per game. Oklahoma the only team to get

880
00:44:15,080 --> 00:44:18,759
Speaker 3: over thirteen. They got twenty one throwing out special teams touchdowns.

881
00:44:19,280 --> 00:44:22,440
Speaker 3: So you know, Nelson and Doman, I mean, this defense

882
00:44:22,600 --> 00:44:25,239
Speaker 3: is legit. The defensive line is playing really well. The

883
00:44:25,400 --> 00:44:27,080
Speaker 3: run defense is playing really well.

884
00:44:27,719 --> 00:44:28,920
Speaker 2: That's the key here to me.

885
00:44:29,480 --> 00:44:32,760
Speaker 3: The run defense has just looked tremendous against this Michigan

886
00:44:32,800 --> 00:44:35,160
Speaker 3: team that's still run heavy. I like the town on

887
00:44:35,200 --> 00:44:37,719
Speaker 3: the Nebraska secondary hasn't really lived up to it so

888
00:44:37,840 --> 00:44:39,960
Speaker 3: far this year, but I think they can handle their own.

889
00:44:41,160 --> 00:44:43,160
Speaker 3: So I think this Nebraska team is up for the

890
00:44:43,280 --> 00:44:46,279
Speaker 3: challenge in a raucus environment. They've shown it over the

891
00:44:46,360 --> 00:44:48,400
Speaker 3: last four weeks. I mean, they've covered five games in

892
00:44:48,440 --> 00:44:50,440
Speaker 3: a row. People still don't believe in them because they

893
00:44:50,440 --> 00:44:53,399
Speaker 3: had that Illinois game imbatted in their head. Everyone watched

894
00:44:53,440 --> 00:44:56,120
Speaker 3: it was the first game of the college football year. Michigan,

895
00:44:56,200 --> 00:44:58,560
Speaker 3: All of a sudden, everyone believes in them because they've

896
00:44:58,560 --> 00:45:02,040
Speaker 3: beat Graham Mertz at No. This is an indictment on Merks.

897
00:45:02,080 --> 00:45:03,640
Speaker 3: We sawd with Notre Dame and then the next week

898
00:45:03,680 --> 00:45:05,799
Speaker 3: they get humbled by Cincy. I think the same thing

899
00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:08,360
Speaker 3: happens here. I like some of the things that Michigan

900
00:45:08,480 --> 00:45:11,480
Speaker 3: is doing. They're playing smart, so they're not gonna if

901
00:45:12,040 --> 00:45:14,200
Speaker 3: ne Bresso could easily dumb themselves out of this game.

902
00:45:14,480 --> 00:45:17,800
Speaker 3: But I think Adrian Martinez to shake up along the

903
00:45:17,880 --> 00:45:21,160
Speaker 3: offensive line. People aren't talking about that. Last week against Northwestern,

904
00:45:21,680 --> 00:45:25,760
Speaker 3: they moved Projaska to left tackle, the freshman he was awesome.

905
00:45:26,120 --> 00:45:26,279
Speaker 2: You know.

906
00:45:26,320 --> 00:45:28,560
Speaker 3: They got Bryce Bernhard and Ben Piper out of.

907
00:45:28,520 --> 00:45:29,560
Speaker 2: There, who were awful.

908
00:45:30,000 --> 00:45:32,160
Speaker 3: Then they moved newly to left guard. They moved to

909
00:45:32,400 --> 00:45:35,200
Speaker 3: Turner Cochran, who hasn't been greater freshman to right tackle.

910
00:45:35,600 --> 00:45:39,000
Speaker 3: That shake up just everything looked great last week. So

911
00:45:39,160 --> 00:45:41,359
Speaker 3: I think that the offensive line will look better here.

912
00:45:42,000 --> 00:45:44,400
Speaker 3: Adrian Martinez, it's gonna be up to him. I think

913
00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:46,000
Speaker 3: the game is gonna be up to him if he

914
00:45:46,080 --> 00:45:48,440
Speaker 3: can make enough plays. He is going to make enough

915
00:45:48,480 --> 00:45:51,680
Speaker 3: plays in that Reid option to attack this Michigan defense

916
00:45:51,840 --> 00:45:55,360
Speaker 3: that struggled. They've talked with this with their eye discipline

917
00:45:55,640 --> 00:45:58,239
Speaker 3: against Rutgers in the second half when Rutgers is running

918
00:45:58,280 --> 00:46:00,279
Speaker 3: some of the same stuff, well, Rutgers does it at

919
00:46:00,320 --> 00:46:03,799
Speaker 3: the JV level. This is Nebraska runs that stuff at

920
00:46:03,840 --> 00:46:06,959
Speaker 3: the pro level. So I make this closer to a pick.

921
00:46:07,400 --> 00:46:11,040
Speaker 3: I'm I don't. I'm not hating on what Michigan has done.

922
00:46:11,719 --> 00:46:14,040
Speaker 3: I think they're over overrated. It's just the name. Now

923
00:46:14,080 --> 00:46:16,160
Speaker 3: they're undefeated. Look what they did it was that was

924
00:46:16,239 --> 00:46:18,839
Speaker 3: just about Wisconsin. And then they're at home. They get

925
00:46:18,920 --> 00:46:21,560
Speaker 3: behind here on the road. They haven't been that. They've

926
00:46:21,600 --> 00:46:23,719
Speaker 3: been up. They've gotten the lead in every single game

927
00:46:24,040 --> 00:46:26,200
Speaker 3: and they have not trailed yet. Give me the three

928
00:46:26,239 --> 00:46:28,840
Speaker 3: in the hook. I've already taken it with Corn. I

929
00:46:28,960 --> 00:46:31,600
Speaker 3: think they pull off this upset. They finally be the

930
00:46:31,680 --> 00:46:34,080
Speaker 3: right team. I haven't done that yet a very long time.

931
00:46:34,680 --> 00:46:35,359
Speaker 3: What do you think here?

932
00:46:35,800 --> 00:46:38,440
Speaker 2: I'm with you on three in the Hook, but I

933
00:46:38,520 --> 00:46:40,279
Speaker 2: can tell you, I can guarantee you they will not

934
00:46:40,360 --> 00:46:42,200
Speaker 2: be in our money line round Robin on the Live

935
00:46:42,239 --> 00:46:44,520
Speaker 2: show in BBOC because I am tired of this Nebraska

936
00:46:44,600 --> 00:46:47,800
Speaker 2: team getting so close, choking at the end allah Michigan

937
00:46:47,920 --> 00:46:49,879
Speaker 2: State like we were lucky that we got to cover there.

938
00:46:50,200 --> 00:46:52,960
Speaker 2: Nebraska's going to play a full game worthy enough of winning.

939
00:46:53,080 --> 00:46:55,800
Speaker 2: But are they are they gonna have like one mistake

940
00:46:55,840 --> 00:46:58,120
Speaker 2: that always keeps him from getting that win. So yes,

941
00:46:58,480 --> 00:47:00,279
Speaker 2: I will take the three and a half and I

942
00:47:00,320 --> 00:47:02,759
Speaker 2: will not make this in the money line. And I mean,

943
00:47:02,840 --> 00:47:06,280
Speaker 2: come on, look at Michigan, who they have played, I understand.

944
00:47:06,320 --> 00:47:08,640
Speaker 2: I mean they're running the ball to seventy one percent clip.

945
00:47:09,160 --> 00:47:11,799
Speaker 2: The big news in this game is that Nebraska's tenth

946
00:47:11,880 --> 00:47:15,120
Speaker 2: and defensive finishing drives, So even if Michigan is able

947
00:47:15,160 --> 00:47:17,160
Speaker 2: to move the ball, Nebraska has been one of the

948
00:47:17,200 --> 00:47:19,759
Speaker 2: best teams in the nation at eliminating teams from getting

949
00:47:19,800 --> 00:47:22,000
Speaker 2: points on the board when they get into scoring position.

950
00:47:22,400 --> 00:47:25,200
Speaker 2: I think that is a key key element here. I

951
00:47:25,360 --> 00:47:27,680
Speaker 2: expect a low total if you look at Michigan's defense,

952
00:47:27,719 --> 00:47:30,200
Speaker 2: and yes this comes against a bunch of directional schools,

953
00:47:30,360 --> 00:47:32,960
Speaker 2: but yeah, they're ninth in finishing drives on defense. Also,

954
00:47:33,360 --> 00:47:36,440
Speaker 2: they're extremely highly ranked on defense and not allowing points

955
00:47:36,480 --> 00:47:38,920
Speaker 2: to get on the board. They haven't seen in Adrian Martinez.

956
00:47:39,239 --> 00:47:42,720
Speaker 2: He's playing cleaner games. I don't know what has changed.

957
00:47:42,719 --> 00:47:45,239
Speaker 2: Maybe it's Scott Frost's attitude with the kids, but it

958
00:47:45,320 --> 00:47:47,920
Speaker 2: is starting to show on the field. Nebraska all the

959
00:47:47,920 --> 00:47:50,480
Speaker 2: way from here and what should be a really slow game,

960
00:47:50,600 --> 00:47:53,200
Speaker 2: I mean plays per minuted for Michigan one hundred and third.

961
00:47:53,680 --> 00:47:55,840
Speaker 2: Nebraska's fiftieth in tempo is not going to be a

962
00:47:55,960 --> 00:47:58,359
Speaker 2: very fast game. It's going to be Nebraska winning because

963
00:47:58,360 --> 00:47:59,960
Speaker 2: of exposive plays by Adrian Martinez.

964
00:48:00,480 --> 00:48:03,160
Speaker 3: I completely agree, but I wouldn't be shocking Nebraska pisses

965
00:48:03,239 --> 00:48:05,600
Speaker 3: us away. Now Frost has to get this time. I mean,

966
00:48:05,640 --> 00:48:08,080
Speaker 3: you look at the field goal kicker. Their fieldal kickers

967
00:48:08,160 --> 00:48:11,440
Speaker 3: five of ten before misses under forty Moody for Michigan

968
00:48:11,520 --> 00:48:13,000
Speaker 3: has been great. I think he's eight of nine or

969
00:48:13,040 --> 00:48:16,439
Speaker 3: nine of ten. But it sounds easy. Just Nebraska don't

970
00:48:16,440 --> 00:48:19,160
Speaker 3: make dumb mistakes. But that's what they've been doing in Michigan.

971
00:48:19,480 --> 00:48:22,759
Speaker 3: Give Harbell credit. They have been making any mistakes. They've

972
00:48:22,800 --> 00:48:25,879
Speaker 3: been turning the ball over at all. So maybe there's

973
00:48:25,920 --> 00:48:29,120
Speaker 3: some regression coming in that department. All right, let's move on.

974
00:48:29,480 --> 00:48:32,040
Speaker 3: This is the the longest we've gone without talking about Arkansas.

975
00:48:32,160 --> 00:48:34,800
Speaker 3: That not no longer in the marquee games. Kentucky's in

976
00:48:34,880 --> 00:48:40,200
Speaker 3: there now, Buddy, Arkansas old Mess, Arkansas at ole mess.

977
00:48:40,280 --> 00:48:44,160
Speaker 3: Both these teams off disappointing losses last week, and this

978
00:48:44,360 --> 00:48:46,800
Speaker 3: line's been floating around between five and a half and

979
00:48:46,920 --> 00:48:49,200
Speaker 3: six and six and a half and six and five

980
00:48:49,280 --> 00:48:53,480
Speaker 3: and a half. This is a rematch of one of

981
00:48:53,560 --> 00:48:57,000
Speaker 3: the weirdest games of twenty twenty when Matt Corral it

982
00:48:57,120 --> 00:49:01,160
Speaker 3: was like the last bad Matt Corral game, Like it's

983
00:49:01,360 --> 00:49:05,640
Speaker 3: six picks against Arkansas last year, and they had they

984
00:49:05,719 --> 00:49:07,520
Speaker 3: still a chance to win it at the end somehow,

985
00:49:07,560 --> 00:49:10,759
Speaker 3: I think right, which was pretty wild. I think the

986
00:49:10,880 --> 00:49:14,399
Speaker 3: million dollar question here, I think there's two with two

987
00:49:14,440 --> 00:49:18,160
Speaker 3: million dollar questions is does Arkansas's offense get back on

988
00:49:18,320 --> 00:49:21,759
Speaker 3: track against and obviously a suspect ole miss defense that's

989
00:49:21,800 --> 00:49:24,680
Speaker 3: playing better. They're just not preventing. They're just not They're

990
00:49:24,680 --> 00:49:27,520
Speaker 3: just trying not to give up exposive plays. And does

991
00:49:27,640 --> 00:49:32,640
Speaker 3: Matt Corral and Lane do they bounce back here against

992
00:49:32,680 --> 00:49:35,799
Speaker 3: this Arkansas defense or is it more of the same.

993
00:49:36,480 --> 00:49:40,719
Speaker 3: And is it barri otom confusing the shit out of

994
00:49:40,800 --> 00:49:45,400
Speaker 3: Matt Corral into throwing six picks? So what do you

995
00:49:45,440 --> 00:49:51,200
Speaker 3: see here? Whoo pick suy absolute dumpster fined. I don't

996
00:49:51,200 --> 00:49:52,640
Speaker 3: know how we win a game the rest of the year,

997
00:49:52,960 --> 00:49:54,040
Speaker 3: just blowing program up.

998
00:49:54,120 --> 00:49:57,960
Speaker 4: Give us a death sentence Collins talking razorback football.

999
00:49:59,719 --> 00:50:01,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, Well, first off, the number got up to seven.

1000
00:50:01,880 --> 00:50:03,719
Speaker 2: I said, this is ridiculous, so that I bought that,

1001
00:50:03,800 --> 00:50:05,560
Speaker 2: and I know it's come back down to five. It's

1002
00:50:05,600 --> 00:50:08,160
Speaker 2: a game projected at four and a half. But let's

1003
00:50:08,160 --> 00:50:10,400
Speaker 2: tell a little story. Let's step back from the numbers.

1004
00:50:10,560 --> 00:50:13,760
Speaker 2: And I'm not building narrative here. I'm telling the truth

1005
00:50:13,840 --> 00:50:16,920
Speaker 2: about these two head coaches. Your team is a reflection

1006
00:50:17,120 --> 00:50:19,760
Speaker 2: of your head coach. Tom Herman was a prime example

1007
00:50:19,800 --> 00:50:23,800
Speaker 2: of that. Lincoln Riley, Ryan Day. Their identity extends to

1008
00:50:23,880 --> 00:50:25,880
Speaker 2: the team. That's just how it works in college football.

1009
00:50:26,320 --> 00:50:28,560
Speaker 2: And if you're a head coach that can't control his emotions,

1010
00:50:29,000 --> 00:50:30,719
Speaker 2: that will snowball down to your team. If you're a

1011
00:50:30,760 --> 00:50:32,919
Speaker 2: coach and knows to pick himself up out of the dirt,

1012
00:50:33,000 --> 00:50:35,840
Speaker 2: brush yourself off and get back to work, that shows

1013
00:50:35,960 --> 00:50:38,279
Speaker 2: on the team. So let's start with Sam Pittman. Since

1014
00:50:38,320 --> 00:50:40,960
Speaker 2: he started at Arkansas. He was shut out last week,

1015
00:50:41,400 --> 00:50:43,759
Speaker 2: you know, really bad loss to Georgia, didn't get any

1016
00:50:43,760 --> 00:50:45,920
Speaker 2: points on the board. So let's review what's happened when

1017
00:50:45,960 --> 00:50:48,919
Speaker 2: the Razorbacks have lost under Sam Pittman. In twenty twenty,

1018
00:50:49,000 --> 00:50:51,240
Speaker 2: they lost thirty seven to ten in the opener to Georgia.

1019
00:50:51,520 --> 00:50:54,640
Speaker 2: The next week as eighteen point underdogs, they beat Mississippi State.

1020
00:50:55,280 --> 00:50:58,480
Speaker 2: They had a game stolen from them by sec refs

1021
00:50:58,520 --> 00:51:01,480
Speaker 2: against Auburn last year. What happened the next week? They

1022
00:51:01,560 --> 00:51:04,640
Speaker 2: beat Ole Miss thirty three to twenty one as underdogs.

1023
00:51:05,560 --> 00:51:07,799
Speaker 2: It came up with a brilliant defensive plan and beat

1024
00:51:07,840 --> 00:51:12,719
Speaker 2: Old Miss. This team absolutely responds anytime they've faced adversity.

1025
00:51:12,920 --> 00:51:15,359
Speaker 2: They want that Georgia game behind them. What about Alane

1026
00:51:15,440 --> 00:51:18,200
Speaker 2: Kiffin takes a loss in a huge heavyweight battle against

1027
00:51:18,280 --> 00:51:21,120
Speaker 2: Nick Saban last season, in a game where it looked

1028
00:51:21,160 --> 00:51:23,480
Speaker 2: like Alabama was on the ropes. What happened the next week?

1029
00:51:23,760 --> 00:51:25,800
Speaker 2: They lost as a twelve point favorite to Arkansas. I

1030
00:51:25,920 --> 00:51:28,560
Speaker 2: mentioned that, but following a loss to the Razorbacks, Old

1031
00:51:28,640 --> 00:51:32,400
Speaker 2: Miss lost again to Auburn, an Auburn team that fired

1032
00:51:32,440 --> 00:51:35,520
Speaker 2: their head coach. Eventually, Vandy in South Carolina hit the

1033
00:51:35,560 --> 00:51:37,680
Speaker 2: schedule the next so it really kind of covered that up.

1034
00:51:37,920 --> 00:51:40,120
Speaker 2: But this is a pattern with Kiffin. Twenty nineteen at

1035
00:51:40,160 --> 00:51:42,839
Speaker 2: Florida Atlantic Opening, lost to Ohio State by twenty four.

1036
00:51:43,200 --> 00:51:45,120
Speaker 2: No big deal, it's Ohio State. But then you go

1037
00:51:45,239 --> 00:51:47,520
Speaker 2: and play UCF and you lose by thirty four. What

1038
00:51:47,680 --> 00:51:50,560
Speaker 2: happened the week after that they barely beat Ball State.

1039
00:51:50,880 --> 00:51:53,320
Speaker 2: They barely beat Ball State. And I mean this, I

1040
00:51:53,360 --> 00:51:55,080
Speaker 2: went back to twenty eighteen. This shit was happened in

1041
00:51:55,120 --> 00:51:58,000
Speaker 2: twenty eighteen, and you are a reflection of your head

1042
00:51:58,040 --> 00:52:00,520
Speaker 2: coach when you have to go when you so and

1043
00:52:00,600 --> 00:52:03,800
Speaker 2: you have adversity, and in that department away from the

1044
00:52:03,840 --> 00:52:06,480
Speaker 2: spreadsheeting and all the numbers, Arkansas has a huge check

1045
00:52:06,560 --> 00:52:08,600
Speaker 2: mark here. So you know, getting back to this is

1046
00:52:08,680 --> 00:52:11,520
Speaker 2: kJ Jefferson's home state, and he mentioned that every day

1047
00:52:11,560 --> 00:52:13,399
Speaker 2: of practice this week. This is a really big deal

1048
00:52:13,440 --> 00:52:15,200
Speaker 2: to him and he is amped up for this. The

1049
00:52:15,400 --> 00:52:17,839
Speaker 2: entire razorback team wants to get this Georgia game behind them.

1050
00:52:18,200 --> 00:52:20,439
Speaker 2: They have huge advantages in the running game. They're twenty

1051
00:52:20,520 --> 00:52:22,839
Speaker 2: seventh and rushing success rate. They're going against the Old

1052
00:52:22,840 --> 00:52:25,320
Speaker 2: Miss defense. It's one hundred and eleventh in that same category.

1053
00:52:25,600 --> 00:52:29,560
Speaker 2: That four headed monster back there with Raheem Rocket, Dominic Johnson,

1054
00:52:29,600 --> 00:52:32,000
Speaker 2: you named Treylon Smith. They're gonna go wild, They're gonna

1055
00:52:32,000 --> 00:52:33,520
Speaker 2: go crazy. They're gonna get the yards that they want.

1056
00:52:33,880 --> 00:52:36,840
Speaker 2: Plus Old Miss is ninetieth and tackling, good luck with

1057
00:52:36,960 --> 00:52:39,760
Speaker 2: your arm. Tackles against this are I guess a quarterback

1058
00:52:39,800 --> 00:52:42,520
Speaker 2: that's weigh in around two eighty these days, so there's

1059
00:52:42,560 --> 00:52:44,760
Speaker 2: no doubt that this old miss offense can be explosive

1060
00:52:44,800 --> 00:52:47,400
Speaker 2: in all areas stuck. He's right, Barry Odom designed a

1061
00:52:47,440 --> 00:52:49,680
Speaker 2: game plan where I'm gonna rush three, I'm gonna drop eight,

1062
00:52:49,760 --> 00:52:51,080
Speaker 2: and we're gonna see if you can figure it out

1063
00:52:51,120 --> 00:52:53,160
Speaker 2: Matt Corraw and he couldn't figure it out. But that

1064
00:52:53,239 --> 00:52:55,399
Speaker 2: makes me wonder if is Barriotam gonna do the same

1065
00:52:55,440 --> 00:52:57,160
Speaker 2: thing with his defense? Is he gonna drop eight and

1066
00:52:57,360 --> 00:52:59,600
Speaker 2: make Matt Carrall pick on how he's gonna beat him.

1067
00:53:00,120 --> 00:53:01,800
Speaker 2: So I was number one in the nation in preventing

1068
00:53:01,880 --> 00:53:04,120
Speaker 2: big plays and the defense is second in the nation

1069
00:53:04,280 --> 00:53:07,480
Speaker 2: in passing down success rate, which means when Matt Corral

1070
00:53:07,760 --> 00:53:09,719
Speaker 2: gets into the third and long, it's going to be

1071
00:53:09,800 --> 00:53:12,800
Speaker 2: a problem. That's where Barry odem absolutely have stuff dialed

1072
00:53:12,880 --> 00:53:14,960
Speaker 2: up for you. And the second Matt Carroll figures that out,

1073
00:53:15,000 --> 00:53:16,480
Speaker 2: Barry Odomin is going to switch it up and take

1074
00:53:16,520 --> 00:53:18,960
Speaker 2: something else away. And that little cat and mouse game

1075
00:53:19,080 --> 00:53:22,040
Speaker 2: is going to happen all game long between Kiffen and

1076
00:53:22,160 --> 00:53:24,640
Speaker 2: Barry Otam, who are very familiar with each other on

1077
00:53:24,800 --> 00:53:28,000
Speaker 2: the field. So I project Arkansas at four. I was

1078
00:53:28,040 --> 00:53:30,840
Speaker 2: happy to get seven. I would take five. This is

1079
00:53:30,880 --> 00:53:34,080
Speaker 2: a team that responds Arkansas is going to win this game.

1080
00:53:34,120 --> 00:53:36,000
Speaker 2: I'll take the points. I'll lay the money line.

1081
00:53:36,719 --> 00:53:41,520
Speaker 3: Colin on his hocks can't disagree with anything that he

1082
00:53:41,640 --> 00:53:44,480
Speaker 3: said that where do I want to very passionate which

1083
00:53:44,480 --> 00:53:45,759
Speaker 3: we like and I don't want to get in his

1084
00:53:45,840 --> 00:53:47,520
Speaker 3: way there A couple of other ones wanted to bring

1085
00:53:47,640 --> 00:53:50,080
Speaker 3: up here. By the way, I am so happy I

1086
00:53:50,200 --> 00:53:52,880
Speaker 3: project Alabama. You talked about this right the week minus

1087
00:53:52,960 --> 00:53:57,560
Speaker 3: seventeen and minus seventeen points seven and this line's at eighteen.

1088
00:53:58,000 --> 00:54:01,440
Speaker 3: That checks saying I think I've drop Texas A and

1089
00:54:01,640 --> 00:54:07,120
Speaker 3: M ten to eleven points from where they were preseason.

1090
00:54:07,520 --> 00:54:10,200
Speaker 3: Please tell me you're not packing Kelsada here. This is

1091
00:54:10,239 --> 00:54:11,399
Speaker 3: a pure pass for me, by.

1092
00:54:11,280 --> 00:54:14,080
Speaker 2: The way, so god awful are you passing on this officially?

1093
00:54:14,160 --> 00:54:15,320
Speaker 2: Like you're not going to make a play in this

1094
00:54:15,719 --> 00:54:16,480
Speaker 2: because I haven't there.

1095
00:54:16,600 --> 00:54:18,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, unless it goes to twenty one, I'll

1096
00:54:18,800 --> 00:54:20,920
Speaker 3: play Texas A and M. If it goes under fourteen,

1097
00:54:20,960 --> 00:54:21,840
Speaker 3: I'll play Alabama.

1098
00:54:22,200 --> 00:54:25,560
Speaker 2: That's yeah. I mean the numbers are right. Jimbo's covered

1099
00:54:25,600 --> 00:54:27,920
Speaker 2: two of the past seven against Saban here in this series.

1100
00:54:27,960 --> 00:54:30,600
Speaker 2: But Calzada's accuracy issues are just a monster problem, and

1101
00:54:31,000 --> 00:54:33,120
Speaker 2: I don't think it could be fixed through a couple practices.

1102
00:54:33,600 --> 00:54:34,320
Speaker 2: Are you kidding me?

1103
00:54:34,600 --> 00:54:37,960
Speaker 3: Who gives this sh we Havexach Calzada?

1104
00:54:38,560 --> 00:54:42,359
Speaker 2: Calzada absolutely can't hit the broad side of a barn right,

1105
00:54:43,000 --> 00:54:46,279
Speaker 2: the wide receiver could be the size of a transformer.

1106
00:54:46,280 --> 00:54:49,040
Speaker 2: He couldn't hit anybody. So you know, you have to

1107
00:54:49,080 --> 00:54:52,080
Speaker 2: ask yourself what is Alabama going to do in this game?

1108
00:54:52,160 --> 00:54:54,359
Speaker 2: And I say that because yes, you beat Old miss

1109
00:54:54,440 --> 00:54:56,960
Speaker 2: you shut them out, but you also ran Brian Robinson

1110
00:54:57,000 --> 00:54:59,560
Speaker 2: thirty six times. Does Nick Saban decide I'm gonna light

1111
00:54:59,640 --> 00:55:01,239
Speaker 2: you up in the first quarter and then I'm going

1112
00:55:01,320 --> 00:55:03,920
Speaker 2: to play Notre Dame semi final football and keep you

1113
00:55:03,960 --> 00:55:07,120
Speaker 2: at arm links away at two scores? So don't ask.

1114
00:55:07,800 --> 00:55:09,560
Speaker 3: I know you would like to some kind of way

1115
00:55:09,719 --> 00:55:12,279
Speaker 3: extract something out of this pipe that's not there.

1116
00:55:12,520 --> 00:55:14,720
Speaker 2: It's not there, and then you want people to respond

1117
00:55:14,800 --> 00:55:16,600
Speaker 2: to it. Does he decide to come out and let

1118
00:55:16,640 --> 00:55:19,320
Speaker 2: Bryce Young jump all over this Texas A and M

1119
00:55:19,440 --> 00:55:22,640
Speaker 2: defense from the get go, and I'm talking Mechi everybody

1120
00:55:22,719 --> 00:55:25,839
Speaker 2: else downfield get a fourteen to twenty one point lead

1121
00:55:26,200 --> 00:55:27,839
Speaker 2: and then just sit on at the rest of the game.

1122
00:55:28,120 --> 00:55:30,680
Speaker 2: Because Brian Robinson running thirty six times and now is

1123
00:55:30,680 --> 00:55:32,360
Speaker 2: a little bit dinged up, and there's a couple of

1124
00:55:32,400 --> 00:55:34,840
Speaker 2: other injuries out there. They need a game where they

1125
00:55:34,880 --> 00:55:37,960
Speaker 2: could spend three quarters of shuffling in twos and threes, right,

1126
00:55:38,520 --> 00:55:40,680
Speaker 2: and so I just would not be surprised if they

1127
00:55:40,760 --> 00:55:43,759
Speaker 2: get down there to Texas A and M. And you know,

1128
00:55:43,880 --> 00:55:47,319
Speaker 2: Mike Elco's got this four two five plan and Saved says,

1129
00:55:47,360 --> 00:55:49,880
Speaker 2: forget it, we're just going deep. Savan may change up

1130
00:55:49,880 --> 00:55:52,800
Speaker 2: the formula because last week was a ground show, ground

1131
00:55:52,920 --> 00:55:56,040
Speaker 2: and pound. Keep the old miss FIA team off the field.

1132
00:55:56,560 --> 00:55:59,080
Speaker 2: You have to do that against Zach Calzada. You're not

1133
00:55:59,160 --> 00:56:00,840
Speaker 2: scared of that off that's putting up a bunch of

1134
00:56:00,920 --> 00:56:04,200
Speaker 2: points on you. So first half right now, is it

1135
00:56:04,280 --> 00:56:06,600
Speaker 2: ten and a half for Alabama? Alabama ten and a half.

1136
00:56:06,719 --> 00:56:08,560
Speaker 2: I'd like to see a ten. There is some money

1137
00:56:08,600 --> 00:56:10,520
Speaker 2: coming in on Texas A and M for the full game.

1138
00:56:10,640 --> 00:56:12,640
Speaker 2: I good luck to you people. That's not going to

1139
00:56:12,680 --> 00:56:14,680
Speaker 2: be me. I would like to see that first half

1140
00:56:14,719 --> 00:56:16,920
Speaker 2: line come down to ten, and I might put a

1141
00:56:16,960 --> 00:56:19,320
Speaker 2: first half bed in here a first quarter bed in.

1142
00:56:19,440 --> 00:56:23,520
Speaker 2: Also because I'm searching for things from Saban. I think

1143
00:56:23,520 --> 00:56:25,080
Speaker 2: they want to get off to a fast start and

1144
00:56:25,160 --> 00:56:26,839
Speaker 2: they need to get guys healthy because you just ran

1145
00:56:26,920 --> 00:56:28,920
Speaker 2: Brian Robinson thirty six times and you have to have

1146
00:56:29,120 --> 00:56:31,480
Speaker 2: him for the rest of the season to win the SEC.

1147
00:56:32,000 --> 00:56:33,160
Speaker 2: Why did you push yourself?

1148
00:56:33,640 --> 00:56:36,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean Alabama first half is just twenty nine

1149
00:56:36,440 --> 00:56:39,400
Speaker 3: and eleven against the spread since twenty eighteen, right, just

1150
00:56:39,440 --> 00:56:41,840
Speaker 3: an ATM machine. Yeah, I don't disagree with that. So

1151
00:56:41,920 --> 00:56:44,239
Speaker 3: maybe Texas A and M are the underworth a look

1152
00:56:44,280 --> 00:56:47,080
Speaker 3: in the second half if you wanted to bet Texas

1153
00:56:47,080 --> 00:56:49,440
Speaker 3: A and M. Maybe it's like that. Remember Jimbo got

1154
00:56:49,520 --> 00:56:51,359
Speaker 3: in the back door against Clemson. I think I had them.

1155
00:56:51,400 --> 00:56:54,360
Speaker 2: Then Clemson and Alabama are always a seventeen and a

1156
00:56:54,360 --> 00:56:54,920
Speaker 2: half point.

1157
00:56:54,800 --> 00:56:57,360
Speaker 3: Spread, seventeen and a half light fags that the it's and.

1158
00:56:57,320 --> 00:56:59,399
Speaker 2: Then it's always a twenty four point gap, a four

1159
00:56:59,440 --> 00:57:02,560
Speaker 2: point game, and Jimbo's going tempo with one minute left.

1160
00:57:02,640 --> 00:57:04,160
Speaker 2: I'm just bet in the first half, and I'm not

1161
00:57:04,200 --> 00:57:06,719
Speaker 2: even gonna watch Jimbo's little bullshit attempt. But one minute

1162
00:57:06,760 --> 00:57:07,480
Speaker 2: left in the game.

1163
00:57:07,680 --> 00:57:10,520
Speaker 3: I don't just support you know what, I'm saying, there's

1164
00:57:10,560 --> 00:57:13,839
Speaker 3: no reason to be nasty amazing. Another SEC game here

1165
00:57:13,880 --> 00:57:18,800
Speaker 3: that we haven't talked about is Georgia Auburn. Georgia fifteen

1166
00:57:18,880 --> 00:57:21,840
Speaker 3: point favorite at when bet. This game is at Auburn

1167
00:57:21,960 --> 00:57:23,960
Speaker 3: over under forty six and a half. We still don't

1168
00:57:24,000 --> 00:57:26,120
Speaker 3: know if JT. Daniels is going to play. Might be

1169
00:57:26,200 --> 00:57:29,280
Speaker 3: Stetson Bennett. I don't know Boone next season, in full

1170
00:57:29,280 --> 00:57:31,640
Speaker 3: of fact, he was great and that comeback by just

1171
00:57:31,680 --> 00:57:36,000
Speaker 3: scrambling making plays happen. Boe next season then full effect.

1172
00:57:37,280 --> 00:57:39,040
Speaker 3: I just don't think. I don't know if this house

1173
00:57:39,160 --> 00:57:41,720
Speaker 3: Auburn offense is going to consistently move the ball against Georgia.

1174
00:57:42,080 --> 00:57:44,800
Speaker 3: That's my handicap and I wanted to back bone next season,

1175
00:57:45,360 --> 00:57:46,960
Speaker 3: but might be on the sidelines for this.

1176
00:57:47,040 --> 00:57:49,000
Speaker 2: How about you had this conversation with a couple of

1177
00:57:49,080 --> 00:57:51,080
Speaker 2: our friends in the industry, and it's like, why would

1178
00:57:51,120 --> 00:57:53,240
Speaker 2: you decide that now is the time to buy Georgia.

1179
00:57:53,400 --> 00:57:55,880
Speaker 2: You should have bought Georgia preseason. Should have bought him

1180
00:57:55,920 --> 00:57:57,640
Speaker 2: before Clemson. You should have bought him after Clemson. You

1181
00:57:57,640 --> 00:57:59,840
Speaker 2: should have bought him before last week? Are we ginning

1182
00:57:59,840 --> 00:58:03,560
Speaker 2: to the saturation point with Georgia in the market. It's

1183
00:58:03,560 --> 00:58:05,440
Speaker 2: a number that I make around twelve. So when I

1184
00:58:05,520 --> 00:58:08,120
Speaker 2: saw sixteen and half come out, it's like, you know,

1185
00:58:08,640 --> 00:58:11,360
Speaker 2: I'm gonna push this money over the counter, and if

1186
00:58:11,400 --> 00:58:13,120
Speaker 2: I get burned, I get burned. But I know that

1187
00:58:13,240 --> 00:58:16,600
Speaker 2: this is the point where, you know, odds makers know

1188
00:58:17,520 --> 00:58:19,400
Speaker 2: that we're at a point where they can get any

1189
00:58:19,480 --> 00:58:21,440
Speaker 2: kind of money they want on a Georgia line, and

1190
00:58:21,560 --> 00:58:24,160
Speaker 2: that's exactly where they are. And so you know, I

1191
00:58:24,240 --> 00:58:26,040
Speaker 2: put a write up out on Actual network dot com.

1192
00:58:26,080 --> 00:58:28,800
Speaker 2: I would suggest everybody if you want a complete, detailed

1193
00:58:28,800 --> 00:58:31,840
Speaker 2: breakdown about what's going on with bon Nicks. I think

1194
00:58:31,880 --> 00:58:35,520
Speaker 2: it's extremely interesting, Stuck that this line started at nineteen.

1195
00:58:35,760 --> 00:58:38,120
Speaker 2: It was around eighteen against Arkansas last week, and then

1196
00:58:38,160 --> 00:58:39,680
Speaker 2: when you and I started the live show, I was

1197
00:58:39,720 --> 00:58:42,040
Speaker 2: actually watching a live feed of JT. Daniels on the

1198
00:58:42,040 --> 00:58:44,040
Speaker 2: field warming up, and once he came off the field,

1199
00:58:44,520 --> 00:58:46,720
Speaker 2: the line only moved like two and a half points.

1200
00:58:47,000 --> 00:58:49,080
Speaker 2: So it's JT. Daniels only two and a half points

1201
00:58:49,120 --> 00:58:51,800
Speaker 2: better than Stetson Bennett. Well, the reason is is because

1202
00:58:51,840 --> 00:58:54,080
Speaker 2: they ran. I don't have the numbers of firm. I

1203
00:58:54,080 --> 00:58:56,680
Speaker 2: think they ran like fifty times and Stet's haveb Bennett

1204
00:58:56,720 --> 00:58:59,360
Speaker 2: only through eleven times, and so that's what George is

1205
00:58:59,360 --> 00:59:01,880
Speaker 2: gonna do. A lineup. You're not gonna throw to a

1206
00:59:01,960 --> 00:59:05,040
Speaker 2: secondary on Auburn that as Roger McCreary and Smoke Monday.

1207
00:59:05,080 --> 00:59:07,280
Speaker 2: You're not gonna let Stetson Bennet do that. You're just

1208
00:59:07,360 --> 00:59:09,800
Speaker 2: gonna line up. You're gonna bring your defensive lineman in.

1209
00:59:09,840 --> 00:59:12,520
Speaker 2: You're gonna put seven three hundred pounders on the offensive line,

1210
00:59:12,880 --> 00:59:14,920
Speaker 2: and you're gonna try to run Auburn over. Now that's

1211
00:59:14,960 --> 00:59:17,280
Speaker 2: good news for a big inflated spread on Auburn.

1212
00:59:17,520 --> 00:59:20,040
Speaker 3: I'm with you, do you're explaining, I'm looking at my

1213
00:59:20,360 --> 00:59:22,560
Speaker 3: I was looking at my wrong. I had a wrong

1214
00:59:22,720 --> 00:59:26,000
Speaker 3: projection pull in, and I'm at like between eleven and

1215
00:59:26,080 --> 00:59:26,840
Speaker 3: twelve with that bet.

1216
00:59:27,080 --> 00:59:31,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's too high. And so I mean, I he there's.

1217
00:59:30,960 --> 00:59:33,800
Speaker 3: More eagle bow next season. Maybe I'm gonna put it

1218
00:59:33,880 --> 00:59:34,160
Speaker 3: at a.

1219
00:59:34,520 --> 00:59:35,600
Speaker 2: Bow nixt season.

1220
00:59:35,720 --> 00:59:37,040
Speaker 3: Then full effect.

1221
00:59:38,240 --> 00:59:41,800
Speaker 2: Canbo Nick's score though the home mass and you have

1222
00:59:41,880 --> 00:59:43,760
Speaker 2: to wonder if James Cook and Zamir White are gonna

1223
00:59:43,760 --> 00:59:45,520
Speaker 2: get a ton of carries because Todd Mounkin wants to

1224
00:59:45,600 --> 00:59:48,320
Speaker 2: avoid letting Stetson Bennett throw it down the field. Auburn

1225
00:59:48,400 --> 00:59:51,160
Speaker 2: is sixteenth and rushing success rate. On defense, they play

1226
00:59:51,200 --> 00:59:53,560
Speaker 2: a different defense in Arkansas. They might have some success

1227
00:59:53,560 --> 00:59:56,600
Speaker 2: stopping the run. And this is still a Derek Mason,

1228
00:59:56,720 --> 00:59:58,800
Speaker 2: former Vandy head coach. If you don't think that he

1229
00:59:58,880 --> 01:00:01,560
Speaker 2: doesn't know how to defend, I mean, I'm not saying successfully,

1230
01:00:01,640 --> 01:00:03,560
Speaker 2: but he knows how to set up a game played

1231
01:00:03,600 --> 01:00:07,280
Speaker 2: against Georgia. And listen, Tank Bigsby isn't the only back

1232
01:00:07,360 --> 01:00:10,480
Speaker 2: for Auburn. Derk Quest Hunter is now averaging four point

1233
01:00:10,560 --> 01:00:13,520
Speaker 2: nine yards after carry. That's better than Tank. He's putting

1234
01:00:13,560 --> 01:00:16,600
Speaker 2: up better than Tank numbers after contact. He's created eighteen

1235
01:00:16,640 --> 01:00:19,040
Speaker 2: miss tackles. So they at least they have a two

1236
01:00:19,120 --> 01:00:23,440
Speaker 2: headed monster back there. It's not a completely one dimensional offense.

1237
01:00:23,880 --> 01:00:26,000
Speaker 2: Arkansas was. I mean, I hate to say it, but

1238
01:00:26,120 --> 01:00:28,600
Speaker 2: kJ is not the passer that bo Nix is got.

1239
01:00:28,760 --> 01:00:30,200
Speaker 2: I say that out loud. I say that out loud

1240
01:00:30,240 --> 01:00:33,320
Speaker 2: on a recording. kJ Jefferson is not the passer bo

1241
01:00:33,480 --> 01:00:35,400
Speaker 2: No what bo Nicks did against LSU, I don't think

1242
01:00:35,440 --> 01:00:38,080
Speaker 2: kJ could pull off. So I do like the Auburn number.

1243
01:00:38,320 --> 01:00:41,640
Speaker 2: I would stop buying at fourteen and a half, but

1244
01:00:41,800 --> 01:00:44,080
Speaker 2: I would. I would be as patient as possible. Get is,

1245
01:00:44,920 --> 01:00:46,600
Speaker 2: get as many points as you can with this. Because

1246
01:00:46,640 --> 01:00:49,200
Speaker 2: Georgia is national Championship elite.

1247
01:00:49,640 --> 01:00:53,280
Speaker 3: I'll give you let's to each take two minutes and

1248
01:00:53,480 --> 01:00:55,040
Speaker 3: just run down the board. If you have any other

1249
01:00:55,120 --> 01:00:59,919
Speaker 3: games you want to mention, I'll start here. I'm again

1250
01:01:00,080 --> 01:01:02,640
Speaker 3: to hear I played Navy. Don't care who they're playing.

1251
01:01:02,800 --> 01:01:06,720
Speaker 3: Catching fourteen. I love SMU. I took it blindly. I'd

1252
01:01:06,720 --> 01:01:07,680
Speaker 3: played Zappi.

1253
01:01:07,440 --> 01:01:09,840
Speaker 4: Hour bailely Zappi.

1254
01:01:11,120 --> 01:01:14,720
Speaker 3: I would play that three or below against meat meat

1255
01:01:15,200 --> 01:01:17,960
Speaker 3: New Mexico State. I'd eat thirty one or better. This

1256
01:01:18,240 --> 01:01:22,960
Speaker 3: is a pure fade of the Nevada spot. Nevada finally

1257
01:01:23,040 --> 01:01:25,360
Speaker 3: beat Boise. I think they're gonna be flat as hell here.

1258
01:01:25,640 --> 01:01:28,440
Speaker 3: This is gonna be thirty degrees at kick to be cold.

1259
01:01:28,520 --> 01:01:30,040
Speaker 3: I think they're just gonna come out. It's gonna be

1260
01:01:30,040 --> 01:01:32,520
Speaker 3: an ugly start. The Mexico State's offense has actually been

1261
01:01:32,560 --> 01:01:35,880
Speaker 3: pretty good. What Johnson is under center. Love the round

1262
01:01:35,960 --> 01:01:38,960
Speaker 3: robin on the live show. That's all I got it.

1263
01:01:39,000 --> 01:01:40,240
Speaker 3: There's a lot of teams on A five this week.

1264
01:01:40,320 --> 01:01:41,280
Speaker 3: Got anything else you want to add?

1265
01:01:41,440 --> 01:01:44,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, Duke's gonna beat Georgia Tech. There's good Georgia Tech,

1266
01:01:44,360 --> 01:01:46,680
Speaker 2: there's bad Georgia Tech. And Duke is actually putting some

1267
01:01:46,760 --> 01:01:49,440
Speaker 2: offense together. Duke is an underdog at four. I think

1268
01:01:49,440 --> 01:01:52,720
Speaker 2: they're gonna win the game outright, Rhode UPE Utah USC

1269
01:01:53,000 --> 01:01:54,920
Speaker 2: over at Action Network if you don't mind going and

1270
01:01:55,000 --> 01:01:57,160
Speaker 2: checking it out. I think the big key takeaway from

1271
01:01:57,240 --> 01:02:00,240
Speaker 2: that story is that now that Clay Hilton has been fireired,

1272
01:02:00,640 --> 01:02:04,040
Speaker 2: and now that the AD Mike Bone has as I'm

1273
01:02:04,120 --> 01:02:07,000
Speaker 2: saying this out loud, the AD I think has influence

1274
01:02:07,040 --> 01:02:10,360
Speaker 2: on the offensive play calling because Kadan Slovas, instead of

1275
01:02:10,440 --> 01:02:14,960
Speaker 2: throwing past twenty yards on like twenty percent of his passes,

1276
01:02:15,360 --> 01:02:19,120
Speaker 2: it's now forty percent. Kadon Slovas, like every pass is

1277
01:02:19,200 --> 01:02:23,160
Speaker 2: over twenty yards. He's bombing right now. And if Utah

1278
01:02:23,320 --> 01:02:25,200
Speaker 2: decides they want to stick in that same defense that

1279
01:02:25,240 --> 01:02:27,560
Speaker 2: they always get burned by against air raids, they're gonna

1280
01:02:27,560 --> 01:02:30,320
Speaker 2: get burned. So I like the over in the Utah

1281
01:02:30,480 --> 01:02:33,800
Speaker 2: USC game, considering the fact USC doesn't have any handcuffs

1282
01:02:33,800 --> 01:02:35,360
Speaker 2: on them. There's they're done with this dink and dunk

1283
01:02:35,400 --> 01:02:37,280
Speaker 2: passing game. They're going deep, and it's shown in the

1284
01:02:37,360 --> 01:02:39,160
Speaker 2: last two games I know we're gonna get to our

1285
01:02:39,240 --> 01:02:42,000
Speaker 2: stink of the week, Oregon State Washington State line almost

1286
01:02:42,080 --> 01:02:44,919
Speaker 2: made it there. I'm not really sure how Oregon State

1287
01:02:45,040 --> 01:02:47,240
Speaker 2: is that short, nor do I know why there's a

1288
01:02:47,280 --> 01:02:49,520
Speaker 2: ton of short money on Washington State. But I can

1289
01:02:49,600 --> 01:02:51,920
Speaker 2: tell you, as somebody that you know can read the market,

1290
01:02:52,120 --> 01:02:54,760
Speaker 2: Wazoo may be in our plans for our BBOC money

1291
01:02:54,840 --> 01:02:56,240
Speaker 2: line round Robin.

1292
01:02:56,560 --> 01:02:59,720
Speaker 3: All right, he's mentioned it. Before we get to well ETX,

1293
01:02:59,760 --> 01:03:01,960
Speaker 3: give me some trash and some steak before we get

1294
01:03:01,960 --> 01:03:04,520
Speaker 3: to our trash fan segment and the toilet bowls. This

1295
01:03:04,600 --> 01:03:09,320
Speaker 3: week we have to go to the stink of the week. Smelly, smelly, nelly.

1296
01:03:09,920 --> 01:03:12,040
Speaker 2: It's the smell. It's quite pungent.

1297
01:03:12,320 --> 01:03:17,360
Speaker 3: Du plug your nose, it's stinks. This is your stink

1298
01:03:17,640 --> 01:03:27,000
Speaker 3: of the week. And talk some minor Nation. Got a

1299
01:03:27,040 --> 01:03:30,400
Speaker 3: call from Minor Nation who said to all you gotta

1300
01:03:30,440 --> 01:03:32,360
Speaker 3: do is bet minor Nation.

1301
01:03:33,160 --> 01:03:34,720
Speaker 4: We're talking minor Nation.

1302
01:03:35,760 --> 01:03:38,880
Speaker 2: Out in the West Texas town of l Past.

1303
01:03:40,240 --> 01:03:45,160
Speaker 3: Picks up U Tap two point favorites at Southern Mess

1304
01:03:45,360 --> 01:03:50,240
Speaker 3: Lowly Southern Mess lost their starting quarterback. It's crazy to say,

1305
01:03:50,280 --> 01:03:52,600
Speaker 3: like oh, U Tip is a favorite is a stinky line?

1306
01:03:52,600 --> 01:03:54,880
Speaker 3: But this one has some smell to it.

1307
01:03:55,520 --> 01:03:57,960
Speaker 2: U TIP is a favorite on the road. Just say

1308
01:03:58,000 --> 01:04:00,120
Speaker 2: it out loud and see how it feels right in

1309
01:04:00,200 --> 01:04:03,160
Speaker 2: a conference game. That doesn't feel normal. I get that

1310
01:04:03,280 --> 01:04:06,400
Speaker 2: Southern miss quarterback situation is a big negative. I get

1311
01:04:06,440 --> 01:04:09,560
Speaker 2: that the offense doesn't have a single redeeming quality other

1312
01:04:09,680 --> 01:04:12,640
Speaker 2: than Frank Gord Junior running the ball. Their top forty

1313
01:04:12,680 --> 01:04:15,040
Speaker 2: and rush explosiveness thanks to Frank Gord Junior, So they

1314
01:04:15,120 --> 01:04:18,040
Speaker 2: do have that. But what does UTEP do. They have

1315
01:04:18,120 --> 01:04:21,560
Speaker 2: a sixty five percent rush rate and Southern Missus defense

1316
01:04:21,840 --> 01:04:25,680
Speaker 2: is twentieth in lineyards and twentieth and rushing success rate

1317
01:04:26,000 --> 01:04:29,240
Speaker 2: on defense. That's UTEP's bread and butter is running the

1318
01:04:29,320 --> 01:04:32,480
Speaker 2: ball and Southern Myss can stop it. So the Eagles

1319
01:04:32,520 --> 01:04:35,800
Speaker 2: are top forty in defensive finishing drives, which means if

1320
01:04:35,840 --> 01:04:37,800
Speaker 2: UTIP does get down past the forty yard line, they're

1321
01:04:37,800 --> 01:04:40,240
Speaker 2: gonna have issues getting points on the board. I'm waiting

1322
01:04:40,280 --> 01:04:42,400
Speaker 2: on it. There's two and a halves out there. I'll

1323
01:04:42,440 --> 01:04:45,080
Speaker 2: take a three. Oh, happily take a three. This line stinks.

1324
01:04:45,320 --> 01:04:48,439
Speaker 2: How are the miners' favorites on the road in conference play?

1325
01:04:48,640 --> 01:04:49,480
Speaker 2: That's ridiculous.

1326
01:04:50,080 --> 01:04:54,600
Speaker 3: Minornation. He's gonna be mad at you. All right, let's

1327
01:04:54,680 --> 01:04:58,600
Speaker 3: move on to our trash man segment.

1328
01:04:59,040 --> 01:05:00,959
Speaker 4: The trash man pick of the league.

1329
01:05:01,480 --> 01:05:02,560
Speaker 3: I'm the trash man.

1330
01:05:02,880 --> 01:05:05,800
Speaker 2: Just throw me the trash, your garbage, and you know it,

1331
01:05:06,240 --> 01:05:08,440
Speaker 2: totally unreliable, undependable.

1332
01:05:08,520 --> 01:05:10,280
Speaker 3: That's it. You've been told off. How do you like that?

1333
01:05:10,720 --> 01:05:10,959
Speaker 1: Good?

1334
01:05:11,400 --> 01:05:13,560
Speaker 3: It's a good one. This week we have two toilet bowls.

1335
01:05:14,320 --> 01:05:16,480
Speaker 3: Let's start. I wrote this game up. I went really

1336
01:05:16,520 --> 01:05:19,080
Speaker 3: in depth on both teams, and we're like fifteen hundred

1337
01:05:19,080 --> 01:05:22,880
Speaker 3: words on Yukon. You Mass. U Mass is hosting Yukon.

1338
01:05:23,680 --> 01:05:25,560
Speaker 3: U Mass is a three and a half point home

1339
01:05:25,680 --> 01:05:29,480
Speaker 3: underdog in this game. These two teams have if you

1340
01:05:29,600 --> 01:05:32,080
Speaker 3: remove when they played each other, they've each lost sixteen

1341
01:05:32,160 --> 01:05:35,200
Speaker 3: games in a row. They're each one in twenty in

1342
01:05:35,280 --> 01:05:39,560
Speaker 3: their last twenty one games just ugly, ugly, ugly ugly.

1343
01:05:40,360 --> 01:05:44,320
Speaker 3: Yukon actually beat U Mass in twenty nineteen, and then

1344
01:05:44,440 --> 01:05:47,680
Speaker 3: U Mess beat Yukon in twenty eighteen. Both Hope road

1345
01:05:47,720 --> 01:05:50,640
Speaker 3: teams won. If you look at some of the just

1346
01:05:50,840 --> 01:05:54,160
Speaker 3: weird teams, Yukon has had a coaching change and then

1347
01:05:54,200 --> 01:05:57,240
Speaker 3: they went you know, Zergie otis at quarterback, then Kurdjuski.

1348
01:05:57,280 --> 01:06:00,320
Speaker 3: Then they found the skid Fomachan, who was running the

1349
01:06:00,320 --> 01:06:01,800
Speaker 3: ball a little bit having some success, and he got

1350
01:06:01,920 --> 01:06:03,800
Speaker 3: hurt of Vandy. Then they went back to Kadruwski, who

1351
01:06:03,800 --> 01:06:06,200
Speaker 3: can run a little bit, not the most efficient passer.

1352
01:06:07,240 --> 01:06:09,400
Speaker 3: He's back at quarterback down with Fomachan hurt. They have

1353
01:06:09,480 --> 01:06:13,120
Speaker 3: all freshman receivers. The d line is pretty good against

1354
01:06:13,160 --> 01:06:16,040
Speaker 3: the run. For who they are. The secondary is awful.

1355
01:06:16,920 --> 01:06:20,919
Speaker 3: UMass Tyler Lytell, a grad transfer from Colorado. He gets

1356
01:06:21,000 --> 01:06:23,400
Speaker 3: hurt in the first game. Then they go to Brady Olsen,

1357
01:06:23,480 --> 01:06:27,840
Speaker 3: a true freshman. He's struggled, but and look, Yukon's looked

1358
01:06:27,920 --> 01:06:29,960
Speaker 3: up much more like a competent team lately. They've had

1359
01:06:29,960 --> 01:06:33,120
Speaker 3: three straight covers, but they've had a much easier schedule

1360
01:06:33,160 --> 01:06:34,960
Speaker 3: than U. Mass by symmetric g MAS is a top

1361
01:06:35,000 --> 01:06:37,160
Speaker 3: ten hard to schedule in the country this year, so

1362
01:06:37,520 --> 01:06:40,240
Speaker 3: all their numbers are ugly. But Brady Olson, I think,

1363
01:06:40,360 --> 01:06:42,120
Speaker 3: is going to just be so relieved to face this

1364
01:06:42,240 --> 01:06:45,760
Speaker 3: Yukon defense this week. He's faced them good defenses and

1365
01:06:45,880 --> 01:06:48,760
Speaker 3: he struggled, as you would imagine, but he played Eastern

1366
01:06:48,840 --> 01:06:51,840
Speaker 3: Michigan better defense than Yukon, and he put up some

1367
01:06:51,920 --> 01:06:55,520
Speaker 3: good numbers in that game, BC playing a lot of backups,

1368
01:06:55,560 --> 01:06:57,720
Speaker 3: but they put up twenty eight points. So this is

1369
01:06:57,800 --> 01:06:59,920
Speaker 3: his fifth game as a true freshman. I think he

1370
01:07:00,080 --> 01:07:02,640
Speaker 3: can do some things. Rico Arnold is a Charlotte transfer.

1371
01:07:03,480 --> 01:07:05,560
Speaker 3: I know k Ron Adams is out for the other

1372
01:07:05,680 --> 01:07:08,880
Speaker 3: running back. I don't care. He's been worse than Elis Merriweather.

1373
01:07:09,160 --> 01:07:10,680
Speaker 3: Now there's no depth. If he gets hurt, it's like

1374
01:07:10,760 --> 01:07:13,560
Speaker 3: walk on said running back. But it's a hard game

1375
01:07:13,640 --> 01:07:16,160
Speaker 3: to cap because it's like which bad passing offense is

1376
01:07:16,160 --> 01:07:18,640
Speaker 3: going to have more success against the bad passing defense.

1377
01:07:19,120 --> 01:07:21,880
Speaker 3: And then this game, regardless, will probably be decided by

1378
01:07:22,000 --> 01:07:24,280
Speaker 3: one of these teams blocking a punt or snapping a

1379
01:07:24,320 --> 01:07:27,080
Speaker 3: punt over their head. So I'm right around a pick.

1380
01:07:27,320 --> 01:07:29,880
Speaker 3: I've upgraded Yukon some. I'll give you the three and

1381
01:07:29,920 --> 01:07:31,720
Speaker 3: a half with you Mass at home minute man.

1382
01:07:31,800 --> 01:07:33,840
Speaker 2: Baby. One I ever cent agree for everything that you've

1383
01:07:33,880 --> 01:07:36,560
Speaker 2: had to say. All add on is that U Mass

1384
01:07:36,680 --> 01:07:38,800
Speaker 2: was starting to have big passing plays. They were flashing

1385
01:07:38,840 --> 01:07:41,360
Speaker 2: a little bit of explosiveness through the air. Then they

1386
01:07:41,480 --> 01:07:44,960
Speaker 2: faced Coastal and Toledo that just absolutely blew them out.

1387
01:07:44,960 --> 01:07:47,800
Speaker 2: Of the water. But those two teams are respectively supposed

1388
01:07:47,800 --> 01:07:48,760
Speaker 2: to win their conference.

1389
01:07:49,080 --> 01:07:51,960
Speaker 3: They played Pitt and I mean they've had a tough schedule.

1390
01:07:51,880 --> 01:07:54,160
Speaker 2: And BC Yeah, I mean so, I mean yukon peak

1391
01:07:54,280 --> 01:07:56,920
Speaker 2: last week against Sandy. This is a UMass. I think

1392
01:07:56,960 --> 01:07:59,480
Speaker 2: this UMass team. Walt Bell says, this is our time

1393
01:07:59,600 --> 01:08:02,640
Speaker 2: his camp after practice yesterday, where we've cleaned up all

1394
01:08:02,640 --> 01:08:04,880
Speaker 2: of our mistakes from the first couple of games. We

1395
01:08:05,000 --> 01:08:07,439
Speaker 2: have found something and we will be our best self

1396
01:08:07,560 --> 01:08:11,120
Speaker 2: ever on Saturday. I'm behind it. I'm on all the

1397
01:08:11,160 --> 01:08:12,439
Speaker 2: way you mass plus three and a half.

1398
01:08:12,800 --> 01:08:15,880
Speaker 3: Let's do it. The other game is you want to

1399
01:08:15,880 --> 01:08:19,280
Speaker 3: talk about Stinky told me this before the year that

1400
01:08:19,920 --> 01:08:24,320
Speaker 3: Bowling Green would be a fourteen and a half point

1401
01:08:24,439 --> 01:08:27,240
Speaker 3: favorite at home against akron An after team that beat

1402
01:08:27,280 --> 01:08:28,840
Speaker 3: him last year thirty one to three. We were on

1403
01:08:28,960 --> 01:08:32,040
Speaker 3: acurate over under forty five and a half. This Bowling

1404
01:08:32,120 --> 01:08:34,800
Speaker 3: Green defense needs to be talked about more. By the way,

1405
01:08:34,880 --> 01:08:37,920
Speaker 3: we always used to trash Brian van Gorder. How bad

1406
01:08:38,040 --> 01:08:40,640
Speaker 3: is Brian van Gorder. He was a defensive coordinator at

1407
01:08:40,680 --> 01:08:43,960
Speaker 3: Bowling Green last year. Now he's a defensive coordinator at

1408
01:08:44,000 --> 01:08:46,360
Speaker 3: some high school. But we have to give credit to

1409
01:08:46,680 --> 01:08:52,120
Speaker 3: Eric Lewis, the defensive coordinator ex cornerbacks coach. I dug

1410
01:08:52,200 --> 01:08:54,879
Speaker 3: into this guy last night. This guy was at Georgia

1411
01:08:55,040 --> 01:08:59,479
Speaker 3: State in twenty fifteen, in twenty sixteen and their past

1412
01:08:59,560 --> 01:09:02,200
Speaker 3: defense was top ten in the nation out of nowhere

1413
01:09:02,320 --> 01:09:08,960
Speaker 3: for two years. I just elite and then like, I

1414
01:09:08,960 --> 01:09:10,800
Speaker 3: don't know why this guy doesn't get more crandit his

1415
01:09:11,040 --> 01:09:14,559
Speaker 3: dad is Sherm Lewis, the longtime coordinator in the NFL

1416
01:09:14,640 --> 01:09:17,439
Speaker 3: in the nineties. So I don't know what's going this

1417
01:09:17,680 --> 01:09:21,519
Speaker 3: defense if I remove any priors, because last year's the

1418
01:09:21,600 --> 01:09:25,479
Speaker 3: trash defense. The top ten defense in the country this

1419
01:09:25,720 --> 01:09:29,080
Speaker 3: year by their metrics. This year is a team that

1420
01:09:29,240 --> 01:09:36,280
Speaker 3: played Minnesota, Minnesota a Big ten team, and Taror Morgan

1421
01:09:36,360 --> 01:09:39,280
Speaker 3: went what three of eight for fifty yards and they

1422
01:09:39,360 --> 01:09:42,439
Speaker 3: won his thirty point underdogs. Then they played Kent State,

1423
01:09:43,400 --> 01:09:46,080
Speaker 3: high flying offense, couldn't do anything. I mean this defense,

1424
01:09:46,560 --> 01:09:48,680
Speaker 3: they have a bunch of transfers in the secondary that

1425
01:09:48,720 --> 01:09:51,320
Speaker 3: are all working out. They're sending all these exotic blitz

1426
01:09:51,320 --> 01:09:54,400
Speaker 3: as they're getting pressure everywhere. I mean, this defense is

1427
01:09:54,479 --> 01:09:57,960
Speaker 3: for real. They just keep proving and I don't know

1428
01:09:58,040 --> 01:10:00,080
Speaker 3: why this Eric Lewis guy doesn't get a job I

1429
01:10:00,120 --> 01:10:02,559
Speaker 3: head coaching job. Why he was at the cornerbacks pitch

1430
01:10:02,600 --> 01:10:04,720
Speaker 3: of bowling. He did the same thing at Georgia State

1431
01:10:04,840 --> 01:10:08,720
Speaker 3: randomly for two years. So yeah, I don't get it.

1432
01:10:08,760 --> 01:10:10,599
Speaker 3: And Brian vang order for to joke. So I don't

1433
01:10:10,640 --> 01:10:13,040
Speaker 3: know all Acron scores. Bowling Green defense is real.

1434
01:10:13,240 --> 01:10:15,679
Speaker 2: It's not like they've done it against directional FCF schools.

1435
01:10:15,720 --> 01:10:19,120
Speaker 2: The legitimate stats. There's seventh and passing down success rate.

1436
01:10:19,320 --> 01:10:21,200
Speaker 2: I mean that shows that if Akron gets off schedule,

1437
01:10:21,240 --> 01:10:22,760
Speaker 2: it's going to be the end of the drive. There's

1438
01:10:22,760 --> 01:10:24,599
Speaker 2: gonna be a ton of punts in this game from Akron.

1439
01:10:24,960 --> 01:10:27,519
Speaker 2: Bowling Green passes fifty eight percent of the time. So

1440
01:10:27,800 --> 01:10:29,479
Speaker 2: but covering this number, I mean, fourteen and a half

1441
01:10:29,800 --> 01:10:32,040
Speaker 2: is a lot, really, I mean I've projected at twelve.

1442
01:10:32,360 --> 01:10:34,320
Speaker 2: Fourteen and a half could be a lot. I'm not

1443
01:10:34,360 --> 01:10:36,000
Speaker 2: sure how Akron does a back door cover. I'm not

1444
01:10:36,040 --> 01:10:39,120
Speaker 2: sure if they're capable. The spread is you know, one thing,

1445
01:10:39,240 --> 01:10:41,640
Speaker 2: the total is at forty eight, and you know, I

1446
01:10:41,800 --> 01:10:44,640
Speaker 2: just have to wonder it should be playing looking at

1447
01:10:44,640 --> 01:10:46,639
Speaker 2: it over here because these are two of the worst

1448
01:10:46,720 --> 01:10:49,519
Speaker 2: teams in the country. At defending the run. Bowling Green

1449
01:10:49,560 --> 01:10:52,400
Speaker 2: has been excellent, but defending the pass, Acrons dead last

1450
01:10:52,439 --> 01:10:54,960
Speaker 2: in the red zone defense. I mean they're dead last

1451
01:10:55,040 --> 01:10:57,760
Speaker 2: and standard down success rate on defense. I think the

1452
01:10:57,880 --> 01:11:00,280
Speaker 2: best thing to play is the is the Bowling Green

1453
01:11:00,320 --> 01:11:03,439
Speaker 2: team total over or the Acron team total under. I

1454
01:11:03,479 --> 01:11:05,320
Speaker 2: think both of those could hit. I don't like the

1455
01:11:05,400 --> 01:11:07,200
Speaker 2: fourteen and a half, just a whole hook thing, the

1456
01:11:07,240 --> 01:11:10,439
Speaker 2: whole back door. So yeah, this is a pro Bowling

1457
01:11:10,479 --> 01:11:13,559
Speaker 2: Green bet and the anti Akron scoring points bet.

1458
01:11:14,520 --> 01:11:16,800
Speaker 3: There you have it, your two toilet bowls of the week.

1459
01:11:17,479 --> 01:11:19,000
Speaker 3: All right, before we get out of here, let's go

1460
01:11:19,240 --> 01:11:19,680
Speaker 3: three and ol.

1461
01:11:21,880 --> 01:11:23,960
Speaker 2: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1462
01:11:24,680 --> 01:11:27,000
Speaker 3: All right, first down, we got Friday night lights.

1463
01:11:27,720 --> 01:11:30,559
Speaker 2: That's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts.

1464
01:11:31,439 --> 01:11:35,760
Speaker 3: Let's go play some football. I do not think I

1465
01:11:35,840 --> 01:11:37,640
Speaker 3: will have anything on a miss Smiers on a state

1466
01:11:37,800 --> 01:11:39,720
Speaker 3: arrives in Arizona State money and I'm tied in with

1467
01:11:39,760 --> 01:11:43,200
Speaker 3: smaller pieces. That's my squad. Give us one player, one

1468
01:11:43,280 --> 01:11:44,240
Speaker 3: look for Friday night.

1469
01:11:44,840 --> 01:11:46,960
Speaker 2: I think it could be blowout city for Arizona State

1470
01:11:47,000 --> 01:11:49,719
Speaker 2: against Stanford. Stanford's defense is near dead last and rushing

1471
01:11:49,760 --> 01:11:52,880
Speaker 2: success rate not good against Arizona State. The Sun Devils

1472
01:11:52,920 --> 01:11:55,040
Speaker 2: are second in the nation and standard down success rate,

1473
01:11:55,080 --> 01:11:58,639
Speaker 2: and Stanford is the exact opposite on defense, near dead last.

1474
01:11:59,080 --> 01:12:02,360
Speaker 2: Arizona State second is above average and coverage grading their

1475
01:12:02,360 --> 01:12:04,960
Speaker 2: eleventh and passing success rate, and that's where Stanford gets

1476
01:12:04,960 --> 01:12:07,240
Speaker 2: all their explosive plays. So I think it could be

1477
01:12:07,320 --> 01:12:11,120
Speaker 2: a long trip for the Trees off that win against Oregon. Hooray.

1478
01:12:11,640 --> 01:12:13,000
Speaker 2: You know, I'm gonna wait to see if that number.

1479
01:12:13,160 --> 01:12:16,040
Speaker 2: I do see some money coming in the market on Stanford,

1480
01:12:16,360 --> 01:12:18,000
Speaker 2: possibly pushing it down to twelve and a half. At

1481
01:12:18,000 --> 01:12:19,880
Speaker 2: twelve and a half, I'm a buyer of the Sun Devils.

1482
01:12:20,160 --> 01:12:23,240
Speaker 3: All right, Let's move on to second down, and let's

1483
01:12:23,400 --> 01:12:25,599
Speaker 3: talk our underdog money line.

1484
01:12:25,439 --> 01:12:33,360
Speaker 4: Parlay turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for

1485
01:12:33,520 --> 01:12:35,040
Speaker 4: the money line parlay.

1486
01:12:36,320 --> 01:12:40,120
Speaker 3: We are off the stine we hit last week. Yep,

1487
01:12:40,360 --> 01:12:45,519
Speaker 3: both of us hit our money line underdogs this week.

1488
01:12:45,880 --> 01:12:48,160
Speaker 3: I think that you hit it who you might take

1489
01:12:48,320 --> 01:12:51,800
Speaker 3: with a little basketball school, So I was thinking them too,

1490
01:12:51,880 --> 01:12:55,799
Speaker 3: but I won't. I'm gonna go Wyoming the Pokes against

1491
01:12:55,840 --> 01:12:59,559
Speaker 3: air Force. They're catching six be a decent sized price.

1492
01:13:00,000 --> 01:13:01,920
Speaker 3: I think their defense can hold up here, they're coming

1493
01:13:02,000 --> 01:13:05,080
Speaker 3: off of a bye. We'll have this written up on

1494
01:13:05,240 --> 01:13:08,200
Speaker 3: Matchnoork dot Com the Nextion network gap. So I'm going Wyoming.

1495
01:13:10,160 --> 01:13:10,679
Speaker 3: Where are you going?

1496
01:13:11,200 --> 01:13:13,919
Speaker 2: As much as I would love to put it on Arkansas,

1497
01:13:14,280 --> 01:13:17,240
Speaker 2: I think I'm gonna pivot to another SEC school, I'm

1498
01:13:17,280 --> 01:13:20,080
Speaker 2: gonna go with LSU. It's just a it's a bad

1499
01:13:20,160 --> 01:13:21,960
Speaker 2: spot for Kentucky to try to get up after a

1500
01:13:22,040 --> 01:13:25,240
Speaker 2: win like that in Lexington. LSU is a one dimensional team,

1501
01:13:25,280 --> 01:13:28,160
Speaker 2: but that one dimension is a passing offense, and Kentucky

1502
01:13:28,320 --> 01:13:31,559
Speaker 2: is excellent at shutting down the rush, not so good

1503
01:13:31,600 --> 01:13:34,280
Speaker 2: at at the past. But what LSU has been able

1504
01:13:34,360 --> 01:13:36,320
Speaker 2: to do in the red zone is not being talked

1505
01:13:36,320 --> 01:13:40,400
Speaker 2: about enough. Eleventh and finishing drives on offense, scoring every

1506
01:13:40,439 --> 01:13:42,360
Speaker 2: single time that they've been in the red zone. And

1507
01:13:42,479 --> 01:13:44,080
Speaker 2: this is going to be a dink and dunk passing

1508
01:13:44,120 --> 01:13:45,960
Speaker 2: attack that's going to be very successful and get the

1509
01:13:46,040 --> 01:13:48,360
Speaker 2: chains moved down the field. So I'm gonna take LSU

1510
01:13:48,439 --> 01:13:49,120
Speaker 2: to win out right.

1511
01:13:49,640 --> 01:13:51,760
Speaker 3: All right? Before we get out of here. Third down,

1512
01:13:52,160 --> 01:13:55,439
Speaker 3: let's stalk our favorite bet of the weekend. Thought about

1513
01:13:55,479 --> 01:13:59,080
Speaker 3: going Iowa since this is an Iowa podcast. Now you

1514
01:13:59,160 --> 01:14:03,320
Speaker 3: see that behind Colin as well. But I'm going Virginia

1515
01:14:03,400 --> 01:14:07,200
Speaker 3: Tech plus one at home against Notre Dame. It's the spot.

1516
01:14:07,680 --> 01:14:10,120
Speaker 3: Notre Dame, you know, off a number of physical games

1517
01:14:10,160 --> 01:14:11,760
Speaker 3: in a row and they basically have their college wall

1518
01:14:11,800 --> 01:14:15,599
Speaker 3: playoff hopes are now done. They travel to Virginia Tech

1519
01:14:15,680 --> 01:14:20,439
Speaker 3: to Blacksburg on Saturday night. Place will be rocking Virginia

1520
01:14:20,479 --> 01:14:24,200
Speaker 3: Tech coming off of a bye nurse some injuries, and

1521
01:14:24,840 --> 01:14:28,320
Speaker 3: the matchup is also favorable as well. This Virginia Tech

1522
01:14:28,439 --> 01:14:32,640
Speaker 3: pass defense top five and pass defense success rate. They

1523
01:14:32,720 --> 01:14:35,439
Speaker 3: can contain this Notre Dame pass tech, which is all

1524
01:14:35,520 --> 01:14:38,240
Speaker 3: Notre Dame mass since the Irish cannot run the ball,

1525
01:14:38,520 --> 01:14:41,000
Speaker 3: so I think Virginia Tech, which does have offensive issues,

1526
01:14:41,320 --> 01:14:44,439
Speaker 3: Burmeister and company will be able to do enough on

1527
01:14:44,600 --> 01:14:47,360
Speaker 3: the ground and through the air to get this victory.

1528
01:14:47,680 --> 01:14:50,360
Speaker 3: Great matchup, great spot. Give me the Hokies where you're going?

1529
01:14:50,800 --> 01:14:52,360
Speaker 2: Yeah. For my best bet this week, I'm gonna go

1530
01:14:52,400 --> 01:14:56,120
Speaker 2: with the Oklahoma Sooners winning the Red River rivalry down

1531
01:14:56,160 --> 01:14:57,960
Speaker 2: in the Cotton Bowl this week, going up against a

1532
01:14:58,000 --> 01:15:01,400
Speaker 2: Texas team that is having major issue on defense. They

1533
01:15:01,439 --> 01:15:04,320
Speaker 2: can't defend the pass, can't defend the explosive play, that's

1534
01:15:04,400 --> 01:15:06,720
Speaker 2: on the ground and through the air. They're having a

1535
01:15:06,800 --> 01:15:10,559
Speaker 2: problem getting accustomed to the Pete Kuitdakowski four two five defense.

1536
01:15:10,920 --> 01:15:13,479
Speaker 2: That plays into the hands of an Oklahoma offense that's

1537
01:15:13,560 --> 01:15:16,000
Speaker 2: really getting it done on the run. As we said

1538
01:15:16,040 --> 01:15:18,320
Speaker 2: on the podcast here, they've made a lot of changes

1539
01:15:18,360 --> 01:15:21,800
Speaker 2: to their run blocking scheme that's helped Kennedy Brooks, Eric

1540
01:15:21,880 --> 01:15:24,600
Speaker 2: Gray get off the blocks. Spencer Rattler. We don't know

1541
01:15:24,640 --> 01:15:27,360
Speaker 2: what's going on with the downfield passing, but if Caleb Williams,

1542
01:15:27,640 --> 01:15:30,280
Speaker 2: the blue chip five star recruit, comes into this game

1543
01:15:30,320 --> 01:15:32,800
Speaker 2: to play dual threat, that is going to tear the

1544
01:15:32,880 --> 01:15:36,400
Speaker 2: Texas defense apart, especially with the zone reads. I love

1545
01:15:36,520 --> 01:15:40,320
Speaker 2: Oklahoma in this game. Their defense is light years beyond

1546
01:15:40,400 --> 01:15:42,679
Speaker 2: what Texas has. They're going to be able to center

1547
01:15:42,720 --> 01:15:45,840
Speaker 2: in on John Robinson. Make this one dimensional, and I'm

1548
01:15:45,840 --> 01:15:47,280
Speaker 2: going to take the Sooners minus three.

1549
01:15:47,680 --> 01:15:50,719
Speaker 3: Best bet of the week Boomer Sooner. All right, thanks

1550
01:15:50,760 --> 01:15:53,400
Speaker 3: as always Coln for joining me, Thanks everyone for listening.

1551
01:15:54,000 --> 01:15:57,240
Speaker 3: Let's have another good weekend here. We will catch you

1552
01:15:57,479 --> 01:16:01,360
Speaker 3: all on Monday morning for the recap of the weekend

1553
01:16:01,479 --> 01:16:04,960
Speaker 3: and the week seven look ahead. I mean, we're starting

1554
01:16:05,040 --> 01:16:09,920
Speaker 3: to separate men from the Boys. Looking forward to another

1555
01:16:10,479 --> 01:16:15,120
Speaker 3: great Saturday of college football. Make sure you subscribe, unsubscribe, subscribe,

1556
01:16:15,200 --> 01:16:18,040
Speaker 3: leave a review. I'll do some more giveaways on Monday.

1557
01:16:18,600 --> 01:16:21,040
Speaker 3: Make sure you DM me any app feedback as well.

1558
01:16:21,479 --> 01:16:25,400
Speaker 3: If you're in Lexington on Saturday, yell for me stagger In,

1559
01:16:26,000 --> 01:16:28,000
Speaker 3: buy you a drink and we'll catch you all later.

1560
01:16:28,320 --> 01:16:29,720
Speaker 2: Cheers me, peace out,