1 00:00:03,040 --> 00:00:07,360 Speaker 1: Broadcasting live to New York, Bloomberg eleventh Yo to Washington, 2 00:00:07,440 --> 00:00:12,440 Speaker 1: d C, Bloomberg to Boston, Bloomberg twelve Wonders to San Francisco, 3 00:00:12,560 --> 00:00:16,720 Speaker 1: Bloomberg to the country. Shoe is Exam General one ninety 4 00:00:16,920 --> 00:00:20,440 Speaker 1: and around the globe the Bloomberg Radio plus append Bloomberg 5 00:00:20,480 --> 00:00:25,959 Speaker 1: dot Com. This is Bloomberg Surveillance. Good morning. I might 6 00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:29,240 Speaker 1: come mc key in the Bloomberg one news room in Washington, 7 00:00:29,320 --> 00:00:31,040 Speaker 1: d C. An hour from now. We'll be talking with 8 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:35,040 Speaker 1: Richmond FED President Jeffrey Lacker. Tom Keene is in the 9 00:00:35,080 --> 00:00:37,839 Speaker 1: bureau in New York. We're keeping an eye on the 10 00:00:37,880 --> 00:00:41,040 Speaker 1: market slower after the FED suggested yesterday a rate hike 11 00:00:41,159 --> 00:00:43,760 Speaker 1: may be coming in June. We've also got though some 12 00:00:43,840 --> 00:00:49,559 Speaker 1: counterbalancing news. Walmart surging shares up nine percent after the 13 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:52,680 Speaker 1: company reported same store sales up one percent and profited. 14 00:00:52,680 --> 00:00:56,480 Speaker 1: Blue Away estimates ninety eight cents. Analysts had forecast eighty 15 00:00:56,520 --> 00:01:00,920 Speaker 1: eight cents. Very big surprise for Walmart the morning. Blackstone 16 00:01:00,960 --> 00:01:04,160 Speaker 1: says it is weighing the sale of its eleven billion 17 00:01:04,200 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 1: dollar logic core warehouses. People want to get out of 18 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:12,319 Speaker 1: the commodity warehousing business and bear making an unsolicited takeover 19 00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 1: offer for mon Sajo. The St. Louis based company has 20 00:01:15,560 --> 00:01:18,559 Speaker 1: a market value of forty two billion dollars. We'll see 21 00:01:18,560 --> 00:01:23,320 Speaker 1: what the offer actually is. Says it's reviewing the offer, 22 00:01:23,360 --> 00:01:27,200 Speaker 1: but did not disclose terms of the proposal. We're also 23 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:30,320 Speaker 1: keeping an eye on the latest on the egypt air 24 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:34,360 Speaker 1: flight that crashed somewhere in the Mediterranean overnight. Michael Barr 25 00:01:34,480 --> 00:01:37,080 Speaker 1: is here with the latest. Michael Minke, thank you very much. 26 00:01:37,120 --> 00:01:40,360 Speaker 1: Prosecutors in Paris say they've opened an investigation into an 27 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:43,880 Speaker 1: egypt airplane that disappeared while flying from Paris to Cairo 28 00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:47,280 Speaker 1: over the Mediterranean Sea early this morning. There were sixty 29 00:01:47,280 --> 00:01:52,040 Speaker 1: six people aboard flight eight oh four. French President Francois Lan, 30 00:01:52,120 --> 00:01:55,800 Speaker 1: through interpreter the information that we have managed to guide 31 00:01:55,800 --> 00:01:58,720 Speaker 1: that the Many States, members of the governments and the 32 00:01:58,840 --> 00:02:06,440 Speaker 1: Egyptian authorities confirm the alas that displane had crushed and 33 00:02:06,560 --> 00:02:10,919 Speaker 1: it has disappeared. Search and rescue crews have been sent 34 00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:13,600 Speaker 1: to the site where flight eight oh four last made contact, 35 00:02:13,600 --> 00:02:17,640 Speaker 1: about ten miles into Egyptian airspace. Lawmakers in the US 36 00:02:17,680 --> 00:02:19,520 Speaker 1: House could a vote as soon as next week on 37 00:02:19,639 --> 00:02:24,080 Speaker 1: legislation to help financially troubled Puerto Rico. Revised Bill was 38 00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:27,200 Speaker 1: introduced last night that would create a control board to 39 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:31,360 Speaker 1: help manage the US territories financial obligations and oversee some 40 00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:35,200 Speaker 1: debt restructuring. Puerto Rico is seventy billion dollars in debt 41 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 1: and faces defaulting on a two billion dollar debt payment. 42 00:02:38,680 --> 00:02:41,840 Speaker 1: On July one, Boxing great Many bacchia I was closer 43 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:44,120 Speaker 1: to a possible crick at the Presidency in the Philippines 44 00:02:44,360 --> 00:02:46,240 Speaker 1: Today of the thirty seven year old was proclaimed one 45 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:48,839 Speaker 1: of the winners of the Philippine Senate seats. Global News 46 00:02:48,880 --> 00:02:53,600 Speaker 1: twenty four hours a day. Michael bar Mike Tom, Thank you, Michael. 47 00:02:53,639 --> 00:02:56,960 Speaker 1: Time now for the land Over partipity Bloomberg NBC Sports Update. 48 00:02:57,000 --> 00:03:00,560 Speaker 1: Here's Rob Bush. Hey, morning, Mike. And they love the 49 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:04,359 Speaker 1: shooting guards, as they have now hired Jeff horness Sek, 50 00:03:04,480 --> 00:03:07,640 Speaker 1: the former sharpshooter for the Utah Jazz and Phoenix Suns, 51 00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:10,040 Speaker 1: to be their next head coach. He has no experience 52 00:03:10,120 --> 00:03:14,040 Speaker 1: running to triangle offense, nor a relationship with Phil Jackson. 53 00:03:14,320 --> 00:03:16,239 Speaker 1: He did have his team though, on the top eleven 54 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:18,839 Speaker 1: and three point shooting in the last two seasons. Kurt 55 00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:22,079 Speaker 1: Rambas role remains unclear with the team. The Warriors last 56 00:03:22,160 --> 00:03:24,600 Speaker 1: night jumped back into the Conference finals, taking down the 57 00:03:24,600 --> 00:03:27,720 Speaker 1: thunder one, eighteen to ninety one. Steph Curry had fifteen 58 00:03:27,760 --> 00:03:30,200 Speaker 1: points in less than two minutes. During one stretch he 59 00:03:30,320 --> 00:03:32,799 Speaker 1: had eight overall. He did dive into the crowd came 60 00:03:32,840 --> 00:03:34,960 Speaker 1: away with a pretty bad knot on his elbow. They 61 00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:38,480 Speaker 1: will examine him there tonight. Game two, it's the Eastern 62 00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:41,920 Speaker 1: Conference Finals. Cleveland up one nothing. They take on Toronto Yankees, 63 00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 1: a winner four to two in Arizona. Nathan Vivaldi retired 64 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:47,600 Speaker 1: eighteen straight at one point, and the Mets they fell 65 00:03:47,880 --> 00:03:50,320 Speaker 1: seven to one to the Nationals on the ice Pittsburgh. 66 00:03:50,480 --> 00:03:53,000 Speaker 1: They'd beat the Lightning of four to two. They take 67 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 1: a to one series lead. Sharks and Blues Game three 68 00:03:55,200 --> 00:03:57,360 Speaker 1: in San Jose a to night. That series tied at one. 69 00:03:57,480 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 1: That's your NBC Bloomberg Sports update. Mike, All right, thank you, Rob. 70 00:04:02,800 --> 00:04:05,440 Speaker 1: We have not mentioned oil prices in the markets today. 71 00:04:05,440 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 1: They are a tad lower. West Texas for twenty five 72 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:12,800 Speaker 1: down two percent, Brent crude forty seventy nine off two 73 00:04:12,800 --> 00:04:21,440 Speaker 1: point three percent so far. This is Bloomberg surveillance simn 74 00:04:21,480 --> 00:04:25,760 Speaker 1: Michael McKay. I'm live in the Bloomberg News room in Washington, 75 00:04:26,279 --> 00:04:29,000 Speaker 1: where in about an hour we'll be talking with Richmond 76 00:04:29,040 --> 00:04:32,960 Speaker 1: FED President Jeffrey Lacker. Tom Keane is in New Yorker 77 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:36,040 Speaker 1: keeping an eye on the markets. They are adjusting, shall 78 00:04:36,120 --> 00:04:39,159 Speaker 1: we say, after yesterday's FED minutes suggested we're going to 79 00:04:39,200 --> 00:04:42,400 Speaker 1: see a rate increase. S and P futures are down 80 00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:45,400 Speaker 1: two points, almost three points right now, one tenth of 81 00:04:45,440 --> 00:04:48,800 Speaker 1: a percent down. Future is off thirteen about a tenth 82 00:04:48,839 --> 00:04:51,679 Speaker 1: of eight percent. The Bloomberg n j I T STAM 83 00:04:51,720 --> 00:04:54,520 Speaker 1: Report is brought to you by New Jersey Institute of Technology, 84 00:04:54,560 --> 00:04:56,600 Speaker 1: investing more than a hundred and ten million dollars a 85 00:04:56,680 --> 00:04:59,840 Speaker 1: year and applied research to solve problems and improved life. 86 00:05:00,200 --> 00:05:02,880 Speaker 1: Learn more at Stories of Innovation dot n j I 87 00:05:03,000 --> 00:05:06,360 Speaker 1: T dot e U. Here's Bob Move Michael, Good morning. 88 00:05:06,400 --> 00:05:09,800 Speaker 1: Here's what's making news and science, technology, engineering, and math. 89 00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:13,120 Speaker 1: What if a leading university conducted a landmark study on 90 00:05:13,160 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 1: the health effects of a widely used insecticide, but the 91 00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:19,080 Speaker 1: federal agency that regulates the chemical and overseas its safety 92 00:05:19,200 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 1: was told by the university. Essentially, this is our study, 93 00:05:22,520 --> 00:05:26,400 Speaker 1: a top Environmental Protection Agency official says Columbia University administrators 94 00:05:26,800 --> 00:05:29,320 Speaker 1: told the agency that the relevant parts of the study 95 00:05:29,360 --> 00:05:32,560 Speaker 1: were funded with private dollars, and therefore the e p 96 00:05:32,760 --> 00:05:36,120 Speaker 1: A wouldn't be entitled to the researchers unpublished data on 97 00:05:36,240 --> 00:05:40,080 Speaker 1: core paraphos. That's the act of ingredient in dozens of pesticides, 98 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:42,400 Speaker 1: and according to the EPA, it's the most widely used 99 00:05:42,440 --> 00:05:45,359 Speaker 1: insecticide in the US. The study found it can have 100 00:05:45,520 --> 00:05:50,280 Speaker 1: serious neurodevelopmental consequences. A spokesman for Columbia told Bloomberg the 101 00:05:50,360 --> 00:05:52,599 Speaker 1: university is willing to provide access to parts of the 102 00:05:52,640 --> 00:05:55,480 Speaker 1: research in a way that ensures the confidentiality of the 103 00:05:55,520 --> 00:05:59,240 Speaker 1: local children and mothers who participated in the study. As 104 00:05:59,279 --> 00:06:01,760 Speaker 1: the EPA and goitiates with Columbia over the data, it's 105 00:06:01,800 --> 00:06:04,800 Speaker 1: being sued by a group of environmental activists pressing for 106 00:06:04,920 --> 00:06:08,240 Speaker 1: a near total ban on the chemical. Google announced an 107 00:06:08,279 --> 00:06:11,039 Speaker 1: array of new apps, devices, and platforms at its Developer 108 00:06:11,120 --> 00:06:14,159 Speaker 1: conference aimed at keeping rivals from turning its once dominant 109 00:06:14,200 --> 00:06:16,400 Speaker 1: search engine into a relic in the age of mobile 110 00:06:16,440 --> 00:06:19,760 Speaker 1: computing and beyond. Among them Duo, a video calling app 111 00:06:19,880 --> 00:06:23,920 Speaker 1: to rival Apple's popular FaceTime video conferencing and Google Home 112 00:06:24,400 --> 00:06:27,599 Speaker 1: is a gadget that competes with Amazon's hot selling Echo device. 113 00:06:28,160 --> 00:06:31,560 Speaker 1: That's this morning's Bloomberg and j I t Stem Report, Michael, 114 00:06:32,760 --> 00:06:35,680 Speaker 1: Bob Moon, thank you so much. Coming out of the 115 00:06:35,760 --> 00:06:38,679 Speaker 1: financial crisis, the FED was forced to FED and banking 116 00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:42,160 Speaker 1: regulators forced to put some banks together to try to 117 00:06:42,240 --> 00:06:46,040 Speaker 1: save some failing institutions, which only made the big bigger. 118 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:49,240 Speaker 1: Now there's concerned about how big is too big, and 119 00:06:49,279 --> 00:06:53,719 Speaker 1: there's also concern at p WC and Strategy and their 120 00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:57,160 Speaker 1: consulting business about big being too big for some of 121 00:06:57,240 --> 00:07:00,520 Speaker 1: the other banks. Were joined by Argent Sexina, who is 122 00:07:00,600 --> 00:07:05,440 Speaker 1: looking at the competitive position of smaller banks, those that 123 00:07:05,520 --> 00:07:08,880 Speaker 1: are outside of the Big three, and suggesting that maybe 124 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:13,560 Speaker 1: they need to band together to fight off encroachment by 125 00:07:13,600 --> 00:07:15,960 Speaker 1: the Big three and and actually make some money. Good morning, 126 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:18,600 Speaker 1: are you? Good morning, Mike, Thank you for having me. 127 00:07:20,200 --> 00:07:22,880 Speaker 1: The big three you say dominate market share, so the 128 00:07:23,000 --> 00:07:27,080 Speaker 1: regionals are at a severe and widening disadvantage. They should 129 00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:31,440 Speaker 1: consider merging. That's correct. So if you look at the 130 00:07:31,680 --> 00:07:34,000 Speaker 1: some of the research that we have done, the big 131 00:07:34,080 --> 00:07:37,559 Speaker 1: three Bank of America, as Fargo and Jippy Morgan Cheese 132 00:07:38,160 --> 00:07:41,760 Speaker 1: have only run an eighteen percent share of branches, but 133 00:07:41,880 --> 00:07:45,080 Speaker 1: if you look at the recent growth, the deposit growth 134 00:07:45,160 --> 00:07:47,600 Speaker 1: that they've been able to capture is as much as 135 00:07:47,640 --> 00:07:50,840 Speaker 1: two thirds of that of the total market. And if 136 00:07:50,920 --> 00:07:54,160 Speaker 1: you look further at the checking account growth, of which 137 00:07:54,280 --> 00:07:58,320 Speaker 1: the depth card UH statistics are a good proxy, it's 138 00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:01,440 Speaker 1: as much of the growth over two thousand eleven to 139 00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:05,560 Speaker 1: two fourteen. So this suggests clearly that you know, the 140 00:08:05,640 --> 00:08:09,040 Speaker 1: regional banks, those between tenberle and hundred fifty billion, other 141 00:08:09,120 --> 00:08:12,040 Speaker 1: ones which are probably most impacted are the ones who 142 00:08:12,080 --> 00:08:16,320 Speaker 1: are losing share to the big three, And therefore, you know, 143 00:08:16,520 --> 00:08:18,120 Speaker 1: one of the things that they really should be thinking 144 00:08:18,160 --> 00:08:22,000 Speaker 1: about is consolidation to treat out costs to improve their 145 00:08:22,040 --> 00:08:24,400 Speaker 1: return and equity. Had to be able to free up 146 00:08:24,440 --> 00:08:26,880 Speaker 1: some of the funds that they need to be able 147 00:08:26,920 --> 00:08:30,200 Speaker 1: to compete head to head against digital capabilities and the 148 00:08:30,280 --> 00:08:34,200 Speaker 1: brands that the big three are being able to deploy. Well, 149 00:08:34,360 --> 00:08:37,199 Speaker 1: is it clear that bigger is better, that you need 150 00:08:37,320 --> 00:08:40,040 Speaker 1: to have economies of scale and you need to have 151 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:43,320 Speaker 1: size in order to succeed. If that's the case, how 152 00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:46,719 Speaker 1: come we have so many community banks? Look, that's a 153 00:08:46,760 --> 00:08:48,920 Speaker 1: good question. I think if you look at the history 154 00:08:49,000 --> 00:08:52,000 Speaker 1: of the U S banking sector, what we have today is, 155 00:08:52,280 --> 00:08:55,360 Speaker 1: you know, a presult of the legacy that we've had 156 00:08:55,480 --> 00:09:01,199 Speaker 1: of regulation and of the legislative environment over literally the 157 00:09:01,240 --> 00:09:04,640 Speaker 1: past seven or eight years is a great depression, and 158 00:09:05,120 --> 00:09:06,880 Speaker 1: a lot of it has been driven by the fact 159 00:09:06,960 --> 00:09:10,719 Speaker 1: that the U S literally banned interstate banking until the 160 00:09:10,840 --> 00:09:16,319 Speaker 1: mid nineties almost and then it also separated retail and 161 00:09:16,360 --> 00:09:20,040 Speaker 1: commercial banking was investment banking quite shrictly until ninety eight 162 00:09:20,160 --> 00:09:23,319 Speaker 1: when Last Eagle was finally repealed. Right, That's not the 163 00:09:23,400 --> 00:09:25,520 Speaker 1: case in many other geographies. So if you look at 164 00:09:26,120 --> 00:09:28,280 Speaker 1: the other O e C markets like the UK or 165 00:09:28,320 --> 00:09:33,760 Speaker 1: Australia or Canada, the top five, top six banks control 166 00:09:33,800 --> 00:09:36,480 Speaker 1: as much as ninety of the post there. In the 167 00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:40,719 Speaker 1: US because of these legislatives and regulatory restrictions, it is 168 00:09:40,760 --> 00:09:43,240 Speaker 1: stilled today. After the wave of consolidation we've had over 169 00:09:43,240 --> 00:09:45,920 Speaker 1: the last fifteen years, with you know, very more sele 170 00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:48,679 Speaker 1: banks of America being traded out of Nations Bank or 171 00:09:49,320 --> 00:09:53,559 Speaker 1: the more recent labor consolidation post crisis, the top twenty 172 00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:58,840 Speaker 1: banks still controlled baily of deposits. Right, That's the reason 173 00:09:58,960 --> 00:10:02,679 Speaker 1: for what we have today's market structure, and clearly there 174 00:10:02,720 --> 00:10:06,599 Speaker 1: are preferences in place for local community banks, which is 175 00:10:06,640 --> 00:10:09,480 Speaker 1: why you have literally five thousands of them still in 176 00:10:09,559 --> 00:10:14,760 Speaker 1: existence despite the consolidation in the Lady teas of the nineties, 177 00:10:14,840 --> 00:10:18,480 Speaker 1: and then there is actually consolidation under b at the 178 00:10:18,559 --> 00:10:23,600 Speaker 1: Loreen as well right now. Argent Saxina from PwC, thank 179 00:10:23,640 --> 00:10:25,280 Speaker 1: you very much for joining us this morning. He's was 180 00:10:25,600 --> 00:10:30,880 Speaker 1: strategy and p wc's consulting arm. The banks one of 181 00:10:30,920 --> 00:10:34,959 Speaker 1: the groups that benefited yesterday. Shares went up for the 182 00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:37,959 Speaker 1: banking group after the FED minutes came out on the 183 00:10:38,040 --> 00:10:41,120 Speaker 1: idea that they will get higher net interest margins out 184 00:10:41,160 --> 00:10:43,360 Speaker 1: of a FED rate increase. We shall see if the 185 00:10:43,640 --> 00:10:45,880 Speaker 1: Fed follows through and if that is indeed the case. 186 00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:49,760 Speaker 1: Bankers went up after the December FED tightening, but the 187 00:10:50,200 --> 00:10:54,280 Speaker 1: slipped back right now. All futures are pointing to a 188 00:10:54,480 --> 00:10:57,760 Speaker 1: slip back in markets today. S and P features off 189 00:10:57,840 --> 00:11:03,120 Speaker 1: by two points a tenth of eight percent. Bloomberg Surveillance 190 00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:05,960 Speaker 1: is brought to you by National Realty Returns on cash 191 00:11:06,000 --> 00:11:08,439 Speaker 1: in rented real estate. Find them at n r I, 192 00:11:08,679 --> 00:11:09,600 Speaker 1: a dot net