WEBVTT - December Developments You Missed 0:00:00.320 --> 0:00:04.040 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 0:00:06.160 --> 0:00:09.520 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from my Heart Radio, 0:00:09.760 --> 0:00:14.200 your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 0:00:14.320 --> 0:00:17.920 and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 0:00:17.960 --> 0:00:23.960 here's your host. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. I am 0:00:24.000 --> 0:00:27.600 Paul Charchi in my co host as usual Brian Johnson Today. Hello, 0:00:27.840 --> 0:00:31.319 what's up? Charch Um? Game stops not up? I don't 0:00:31.320 --> 0:00:33.639 think I think it's I think it's finally uh kind 0:00:33.640 --> 0:00:36.440 of run its course, it's not yet landed on the moon. Yeah, 0:00:36.479 --> 0:00:39.879 as of now, it's uh, what a fascinating development. Unbelievable 0:00:40.240 --> 0:00:42.120 it's been. It's been a lot of fun watching this 0:00:42.280 --> 0:00:44.319 from the I've been on the sidelines. I didn't get 0:00:44.320 --> 0:00:46.720 in on it. I kind of wish I had now, 0:00:46.960 --> 0:00:50.120 but just for the ride. Well, if I zone out, 0:00:50.320 --> 0:00:54.480 I'm checking the doge coins. That is a deal. Um. 0:00:54.680 --> 0:00:56.600 So this is it's kind of a weird show in 0:00:56.680 --> 0:01:00.520 that the big Super Bowl breakdowns coming neck next week, 0:01:01.120 --> 0:01:03.160 and so I didn't want to take I didn't want 0:01:03.160 --> 0:01:06.880 to do like half a Super Bowl breakdown this week 0:01:07.000 --> 0:01:08.840 when we don't have all the answers we're gonna have 0:01:08.920 --> 0:01:10.960 next week, So we're not breaking down the Pro Bowl, right, 0:01:10.959 --> 0:01:12.800 They're not playing the Pro Bowl, and I'm playing the 0:01:12.840 --> 0:01:15.920 Pro Bowl playing. They awarded guys into the Pro Bowl, 0:01:15.920 --> 0:01:17.280 but then they don't have to show up for anything. 0:01:17.720 --> 0:01:20.040 Probably for the best. It only took a global pandemic 0:01:20.080 --> 0:01:24.280 to to get it right and game. Who misses the 0:01:24.280 --> 0:01:28.920 Pro Bowl? Nobody, that's who. Um. So, what I decided 0:01:29.000 --> 0:01:32.760 to do differently this week from a content perspective is 0:01:33.240 --> 0:01:36.679 I was thinking about, all right, what what could what 0:01:36.720 --> 0:01:39.800 don't people necessarily know right now while it's still in season, 0:01:40.040 --> 0:01:43.679 And I think we'll, uh, we'll get to some of 0:01:43.720 --> 0:01:46.160 the coaching changes and some of that stuff a little 0:01:46.160 --> 0:01:49.400 bit later. And I had the idea to look for 0:01:49.480 --> 0:01:52.840 some of the developments that you may have missed in December. 0:01:53.280 --> 0:01:59.280 A lot of fantasy guys are tuned in elsewhere in December. Now. 0:01:59.360 --> 0:02:01.440 It could be that you're just for the holidays. It 0:02:01.440 --> 0:02:03.560 could be you're knocked out of the playoffs, could be 0:02:03.560 --> 0:02:05.960 there in the playoffs and you're only really paying attention 0:02:06.000 --> 0:02:09.080 to your very good team. So I challenged you and 0:02:09.120 --> 0:02:13.600 I each Brian to come up with three positive developments, 0:02:13.600 --> 0:02:15.680 and I think we'll have a negative development show later. 0:02:16.120 --> 0:02:23.959 Um three positive developments that went under appreciated, undernoticed in December. 0:02:25.680 --> 0:02:30.520 That's the premise, or maybe even you even now aware 0:02:30.520 --> 0:02:32.600 of it in December and you've already forgotten about it 0:02:34.200 --> 0:02:36.639 will be one going into draft season when that starts 0:02:36.639 --> 0:02:39.519 in a couple of months. Already part of the challenge 0:02:39.760 --> 0:02:42.680 was trying to find things that people actually missed, you know, 0:02:43.000 --> 0:02:46.360 like j K. Dobbins emerging in December was too obvious, 0:02:46.440 --> 0:02:49.200 I felt, because too many people knew about it. It's 0:02:49.240 --> 0:02:50.840 just too I thought it was two front and center. 0:02:51.200 --> 0:02:53.000 So I think some of the hopefully for at least 0:02:53.040 --> 0:02:56.400 some of these six, our listeners will be like, oh, hey, 0:02:56.440 --> 0:02:59.560 that's I you know I didn't. I guess I did 0:02:59.639 --> 0:03:01.960 not realize that. It's my hope for at least some 0:03:02.040 --> 0:03:04.760 of these now purposely, I don't know your three that 0:03:04.760 --> 0:03:07.240 you're going to contribute, and you don't know my three, 0:03:07.320 --> 0:03:10.040 and so we'll both will be a little bit surprised 0:03:10.080 --> 0:03:12.720 as we go. I will yield the floor to you first, 0:03:12.760 --> 0:03:16.560 give me the first of three positive developments that listeners 0:03:16.639 --> 0:03:21.280 may have missed in December. People might have got a 0:03:21.360 --> 0:03:25.200 sense of his ability and he got on everyone's radar. 0:03:25.400 --> 0:03:29.239 But uh, Logan Thomas wasn't just a flash in the pan. 0:03:29.320 --> 0:03:32.359 In the month of December, he emerged as a, if 0:03:32.400 --> 0:03:35.080 not a top five tight end, a top three tight 0:03:35.200 --> 0:03:39.840 end for fantasy football proposes going into and um, if 0:03:39.880 --> 0:03:42.200 you're not award of the history of Logan Thomas real quick, 0:03:42.440 --> 0:03:45.080 I do know that he is a quarterback turn tight end. 0:03:45.200 --> 0:03:48.240 Quarterback turn tight end. Drafted by the Cardinals in the 0:03:48.280 --> 0:03:51.119 fourth round of NFL Draft, he was like the fifth 0:03:51.200 --> 0:03:55.800 quarterback taken. That was the infamous Blake Bortles, Johnny Manziel, 0:03:56.600 --> 0:03:59.720 Teddy Bridgewater not as an infamous, and Derrick Carwin after 0:03:59.800 --> 0:04:02.360 the three guys. So yeah, I think about how motivated 0:04:02.400 --> 0:04:05.000 he plays every week knowing Johnny Manziel and Blake Bortles 0:04:05.040 --> 0:04:08.520 were drafted over him. But yeah, Thomas, quarterback for the Cardinals, 0:04:08.560 --> 0:04:10.560 did not pan out as a quarterback. Actually spent some 0:04:10.640 --> 0:04:13.600 time with Miami and the Giants as a backup quarterback. 0:04:13.640 --> 0:04:16.560 It was until he went to Buffalo in twenties seventeen 0:04:16.839 --> 0:04:19.760 did he started playing tight end. One season, two seasons 0:04:19.800 --> 0:04:22.560 in Buffalo, one in Detroit. He had thirty six catches 0:04:22.800 --> 0:04:26.000 in those three years as a tight end seventy two. 0:04:26.200 --> 0:04:31.840 This season doubled his career input output in one year. Unreal. Unreal, 0:04:31.880 --> 0:04:33.760 and by the way, looks like a tight end. Mean 0:04:33.760 --> 0:04:36.440 he built, he has built out his body. He looks 0:04:36.520 --> 0:04:38.520 very much like a tight end at this stage. Ye 0:04:38.680 --> 0:04:41.000 six six, like too thirty. He's a mountain of a 0:04:41.000 --> 0:04:43.479 man and he can move. And starting in week thirteen, 0:04:43.520 --> 0:04:46.080 I'm gonna go Week thirteen through the wild Card game 0:04:46.160 --> 0:04:49.240 because those are all December games. Week thirteen was played 0:04:49.279 --> 0:04:52.919 in early December. So week thirteen to eighteen, Thomas tallied 0:04:53.040 --> 0:04:56.320 fifty eight targets and if you extrapolate that target share 0:04:56.440 --> 0:04:59.479 across a sixteen game season, he would equate to a 0:04:59.520 --> 0:05:02.760 hundred and fIF five targets. Dang, that would be third 0:05:02.800 --> 0:05:07.400 among receivers. So I was giving Chelsea and Waller would 0:05:07.400 --> 0:05:10.000 be the only two. Yeah, it was digs and uh, 0:05:10.040 --> 0:05:12.360 I believe Hopkins are going to wide receivers that would 0:05:12.360 --> 0:05:16.080 have outargeted Logan Thomas at that rate. So he finished 0:05:16.080 --> 0:05:20.799 incredibly strong, even going before December into November. He scored 0:05:20.839 --> 0:05:23.800 double digit PPR points in ten of his last twelve games. 0:05:24.560 --> 0:05:29.280 And it's the quarterback situation that's the big question mark, right, 0:05:29.320 --> 0:05:31.440 we can't we don't know what the quarterback will be 0:05:31.520 --> 0:05:34.360 next year, but it can't get much worse than it was. 0:05:34.560 --> 0:05:37.840 That is that's a fair statement. Uh, yeah, there's there's 0:05:38.080 --> 0:05:40.200 Although Alex Smith. I think part of the reason he 0:05:40.240 --> 0:05:43.400 thrived in December is that Alex Smith just targeted him 0:05:43.400 --> 0:05:45.800 a don and that's the worst case scenario. He gets 0:05:45.880 --> 0:05:49.080 Alex Smith back. I mean, it's not gonna be doing 0:05:49.160 --> 0:05:52.440 Haskins around or anything anything like that. Who hopefully they 0:05:52.480 --> 0:05:55.039 maybe they make a move for DeShawn Watson's not out 0:05:55.080 --> 0:05:58.920 of the cards for thember Matt Stactually, actually I think Watson. 0:05:59.080 --> 0:06:01.520 I think if I think Washington should be one of 0:06:01.600 --> 0:06:08.000 the three spots that Deshaun Watson should consider meets along 0:06:08.040 --> 0:06:11.599 with the Dolphins and the Well I mean, the Colts 0:06:11.640 --> 0:06:12.840 would be good form, but they're not going to trade 0:06:12.880 --> 0:06:17.640 him in the division, uh, Dolphins and the Patriots. Dolphins, Patriots, Washington, 0:06:18.200 --> 0:06:23.440 great defense in Washington, Thomas, Lauren and Dickson anchoring that offense. Yeah, 0:06:23.480 --> 0:06:26.159 all they need is a quarterback and right now it's 0:06:26.240 --> 0:06:28.240 very early to look at a DP, but a DP 0:06:28.440 --> 0:06:32.520 is out there, and Logan Thomas is going around tight 0:06:32.640 --> 0:06:38.400 end nine already he's in like the Evan Ingraham Hunter 0:06:38.560 --> 0:06:42.120 Henry Tear. You know people are gonna take Kelsey of 0:06:42.320 --> 0:06:46.520 over Thomas of Cosy. Yes, but after those two I'm 0:06:46.520 --> 0:06:49.640 not saying you want to reach for Thomas where George Kittle, 0:06:49.960 --> 0:06:57.400 He'll be. After Kittle, you can make a stronger case 0:06:57.440 --> 0:07:00.600 for Thomas. Any Yeah, people probably still gonna take more Andrews. 0:07:00.640 --> 0:07:03.160 There probably t J. Hockenson to us the sexier names. 0:07:03.200 --> 0:07:07.760 But wherever logan, Thomas's ADP is that wherever you're drafting 0:07:07.880 --> 0:07:14.360 from February to August, reach around for him, because he could. 0:07:14.400 --> 0:07:18.400 He's basically Darren Waller two point oh a converted Waller 0:07:18.480 --> 0:07:22.000 was a wide receiver. Thomason. He's finally mastered his craft 0:07:22.080 --> 0:07:24.560 as Waller has, and we have very similar skill sets. 0:07:24.760 --> 0:07:28.880 And uh yeah, the skies the limit for Thomas, and 0:07:28.920 --> 0:07:31.640 he's very undervalued right now, and that that ADP will 0:07:31.680 --> 0:07:34.920 climb as we get closer to We're giving the three 0:07:34.960 --> 0:07:37.800 positive developments you may have missed in December. I'm giving three. 0:07:37.800 --> 0:07:40.240 Brian's giving three. You got a total of six. Uh 0:07:40.360 --> 0:07:44.320 that is number one mine, a player you've already mentioned 0:07:46.440 --> 0:07:53.960 a December performance by Derek Car between Car and the 0:07:54.000 --> 0:07:59.840 one game with Mariota. Get this, the Raiders were QB 0:08:00.280 --> 0:08:06.880 four in December QB four the Raiders now again. One 0:08:06.920 --> 0:08:09.280 game of that was Marcus Mariotta. We ran for eighty 0:08:09.320 --> 0:08:12.000 eight yards and he ran rushing touchdown. But that's all 0:08:12.040 --> 0:08:14.160 Mariota really did. Most of the rest of this is 0:08:14.160 --> 0:08:19.200 on Car. Multiple touchdowns in every game, including he had 0:08:19.600 --> 0:08:22.840 he had three rushing touchdowns in December. But even that, 0:08:22.880 --> 0:08:24.800 which is not normal for Car, but the passing was 0:08:24.880 --> 0:08:28.800 really notable. Get this. Aside from the game he missed 0:08:29.000 --> 0:08:30.840 um and he got knocked out early in the first 0:08:30.920 --> 0:08:35.080 quarter that game. He threw for over three hundred sixteen 0:08:35.480 --> 0:08:38.600 yards in all of his December games. All four of 0:08:38.640 --> 0:08:42.320 his December games, he scored four touchdowns, three touchdowns, two 0:08:42.320 --> 0:08:46.760 touchdowns and two touchdowns. Darren Waller obviously made a big 0:08:46.800 --> 0:08:49.320 part of that, and Waller went Biserk. But Nelson Aglar 0:08:49.400 --> 0:08:51.960 had a very good December um and then he would 0:08:51.960 --> 0:08:55.680 find like one receiver each game would have a good game. Um, 0:08:55.679 --> 0:08:58.200 you know one other guy you know spot here. Henry 0:08:58.240 --> 0:09:00.160 Ruggs had the big game against the Jets that they 0:09:00.200 --> 0:09:02.520 want on the last play and stuff like that. But um, 0:09:02.640 --> 0:09:04.440 you know he would the fact that car was able 0:09:04.480 --> 0:09:06.480 to get this level of production out of his tight 0:09:06.600 --> 0:09:09.959 end and some help from Nelson Agilar, and that's it 0:09:10.040 --> 0:09:12.360 was to be very impressive. And I think people may 0:09:12.400 --> 0:09:16.000 have missed how much better he got. So I looked 0:09:16.000 --> 0:09:19.920 at cars p F grade. First half of the season. 0:09:21.280 --> 0:09:27.000 His average PF grade was sixty four, not that great. 0:09:28.800 --> 0:09:31.840 Second half of the season, Derek Carrs p F grade 0:09:31.920 --> 0:09:36.440 jumped thirteen points to a seventy seven, which is awfully 0:09:36.600 --> 0:09:40.800 good and actually put him inside the top ten among 0:09:40.880 --> 0:09:45.160 quarterbacks in the second half of the season by PF grade. 0:09:45.880 --> 0:09:49.040 So I roll this together and I'm like, man, I 0:09:49.120 --> 0:09:52.560 gotta believe you can get Derek Carr for nothing next year. Now, 0:09:52.640 --> 0:09:54.839 there there are some question marks as we look ahead 0:09:54.840 --> 0:09:58.040 the next year for him. Agilar was on a one 0:09:58.080 --> 0:10:01.760 year proven deal and he's a free agent. I suspect 0:10:01.920 --> 0:10:04.360 they will want to bring him back much more. He 0:10:04.360 --> 0:10:07.480 could prove himself more than he did this year. It 0:10:07.520 --> 0:10:10.000 was he was beyond what anyone expect, way more than 0:10:10.040 --> 0:10:13.160 what anybody expected. Now did you hear about Aglars It 0:10:13.240 --> 0:10:16.800 was only reported on Thursday or Friday that Agilar cocked 0:10:16.840 --> 0:10:19.360 off after like the Week six team game about how 0:10:19.400 --> 0:10:21.600 this team doesn't want to win and they're not trying 0:10:21.600 --> 0:10:25.080 hard enough, And he's right, that's the thing. If you 0:10:25.080 --> 0:10:29.520 watch the Raiders in December, especially, their defense was just 0:10:30.920 --> 0:10:34.840 checked out. So I don't know if they'll respect Aglar 0:10:34.960 --> 0:10:36.680 more for standing up in front of the team and 0:10:36.800 --> 0:10:39.000 saying that, or if they're gonna be pissed at all, 0:10:39.600 --> 0:10:41.600 because in a way, you're also calling out the coaching 0:10:41.640 --> 0:10:45.840 staff when you do that effort is on the coaching staff, 0:10:46.920 --> 0:10:49.000 and so I don't know if this means Agilar is 0:10:49.040 --> 0:10:51.200 gone or not. Tyrolle Williams, by the way, I'm still 0:10:51.240 --> 0:10:53.520 on board. Get this. I forgot about I know. Why 0:10:53.640 --> 0:10:56.720 Why wouldn't you have? He hasn't eleven million dollar salary 0:10:56.760 --> 0:11:00.160 next year, so he's gonna get Can they go after 0:11:00.200 --> 0:11:01.840 any of these big name free agents? I guess not 0:11:02.120 --> 0:11:05.959 like the Allen Robinson's or the world, but potentially they 0:11:05.960 --> 0:11:08.800 could from a salary cap standpoint. They're actually in decent shape, 0:11:08.800 --> 0:11:12.280 although they're offensive. Linds Uber expensive, like the third most 0:11:12.280 --> 0:11:15.840 expensive offensive line next year for the Raiders. So Derek Carr, 0:11:15.960 --> 0:11:20.520 you may have missed a very good December from Derek Carr. 0:11:20.520 --> 0:11:23.360 Will see how his receiving options look next year. Bo. 0:11:23.400 --> 0:11:25.640 You know, Darren Waller is not going anywhere. I got 0:11:25.679 --> 0:11:29.000 a receiver that would look good, oh in the black 0:11:29.040 --> 0:11:32.520 and silver, tell me more, and he's my next topic discuss. 0:11:32.520 --> 0:11:36.360 Marvin Jones himself had a hell of a December last 0:11:36.840 --> 0:11:40.360 it was like receiver five in December. Uh, he's really 0:11:40.400 --> 0:11:43.480 had of almost a hell of the last five seasons. 0:11:43.480 --> 0:11:46.600 He's incredibly underrated. So over the last five years, here 0:11:46.600 --> 0:11:49.839 are the games players with the most games with the 0:11:49.920 --> 0:11:53.200 receiving touchdown, starting with the most of Andante Adams, of 0:11:53.160 --> 0:11:55.200 course at the top of the lists. All right, and 0:11:55.240 --> 0:11:56.920 this list is very at least, so it's just I'm 0:11:56.920 --> 0:11:58.880 just gonna go down. I'm not gonna read the totals 0:11:58.880 --> 0:12:01.240 for each, but are all over twenty five, which is 0:12:01.240 --> 0:12:03.880 a lot for the last five years. Davante Adams, Mike Evans, 0:12:03.880 --> 0:12:08.199 Tyree Killed, DeAndre Hopkins, Travis Kelsey, Adam Feeling, Antonio Brown, 0:12:08.679 --> 0:12:13.480 Marii Cooper, Michael Thomas, Stephen Diggs, Marvin Jones. One of 0:12:13.480 --> 0:12:16.320 these six things is not like the other. One of 0:12:16.360 --> 0:12:20.040 these things just doesn't belong and Uh, of course Kenny 0:12:20.080 --> 0:12:22.600 Golladay went down in week eight. Yeah, that was a 0:12:22.600 --> 0:12:25.400 lot and well for the second time went down in 0:12:25.440 --> 0:12:28.400 week eight. I mean, Jones played as wide receiver one 0:12:28.440 --> 0:12:31.719 and probably what twelve of their games? I mean, did 0:12:31.720 --> 0:12:34.520 Golladay played four? Have four games in the season, So 0:12:34.559 --> 0:12:36.400 I don't we were really focusing on December. But I'm 0:12:36.440 --> 0:12:39.400 gonna go from Week nine when Golliday was first out 0:12:39.480 --> 0:12:42.640 through Week seventeen, when Jones was operating as the wide 0:12:42.640 --> 0:12:45.920 receiver one. UH finished number seven among wide receivers and 0:12:45.920 --> 0:12:50.240 PPR formats UH eighteen PPR points per game during that span. 0:12:50.320 --> 0:12:52.840 It was a little volatile though. During that span, finishes 0:12:52.880 --> 0:12:55.800 a top five wide receiver four times, outside of the 0:12:55.800 --> 0:12:59.040 top thirty six five times. Yeah, that's not great. Well, 0:12:59.080 --> 0:13:02.000 it's Stafford miss him games in there too, And I'm guessing, 0:13:02.160 --> 0:13:03.720 you know, I don't know in front of me, but 0:13:03.840 --> 0:13:07.880 I'm guessing Stafford. Stafford's missed games ultimately had to hurt 0:13:07.920 --> 0:13:10.360 Marvin Jones without a doubt, and UH, and Stafford was 0:13:10.400 --> 0:13:12.319 also banged up too, but they still they still made 0:13:12.320 --> 0:13:14.920 a lot happen. UH during that same span Week nine, 0:13:14.920 --> 0:13:17.679 two weeks seventeen, Jones caught twenty five passes of ten 0:13:17.720 --> 0:13:20.880 plus eight yards that was tied for the second uh most. 0:13:20.960 --> 0:13:23.920 During that span, he had five nineteen yards, third most 0:13:24.040 --> 0:13:26.440 yards five touchdowns, tied for the second most. He was 0:13:26.559 --> 0:13:30.720 absolutely on fire. And he's going into an unrestricted free agency. 0:13:30.800 --> 0:13:34.000 So maybe he he does turn thirty one in March, 0:13:34.360 --> 0:13:37.400 probably his last contract of his career. But uh, maybe 0:13:37.440 --> 0:13:40.400 he tags along go somewhere with Stafford. That would be ideal. 0:13:41.040 --> 0:13:43.040 Probably unlikely though, because a lot of the teams that 0:13:43.120 --> 0:13:49.600 need wide receiver don't need a quarterback, like Arizona, Baltimore, Miami, 0:13:51.480 --> 0:13:54.800 the Giants, but teams were he and Stafford potentially could 0:13:54.800 --> 0:14:01.280 go New England, Washington, maybe Chicago, probably not Chicago, but 0:14:02.120 --> 0:14:04.240 there are jobs at wide receiver one jobs out there. 0:14:04.240 --> 0:14:06.520 If you did go to Chicago the Giants, he could 0:14:06.520 --> 0:14:09.760 be wide receiver one. New England, he could be wide 0:14:09.800 --> 0:14:11.960 receiver one, and you could be wide receiver one in 0:14:11.960 --> 0:14:16.480 New England. Right, But uh, long story, short landing spot 0:14:16.559 --> 0:14:20.000 determines a lot of Jones value, but again very early 0:14:20.040 --> 0:14:23.280 a DP. But he's a guy that always wants him. 0:14:23.400 --> 0:14:26.120 Nobody ever wants him Wide receiver sixt right now in 0:14:26.200 --> 0:14:30.120 early Bestball, you know, the rookies are going before him 0:14:30.160 --> 0:14:32.480 with no landing spots. Jalen Waddle is a guy that's 0:14:32.480 --> 0:14:35.000 going ahead of him. Uh Dez Bryant even as a 0:14:35.080 --> 0:14:41.120 higher a dplus people just going off the bigger name. 0:14:41.440 --> 0:14:44.360 People just don't want anything to do with Marvin Jones, 0:14:44.360 --> 0:14:46.440 it seems like. But that's really funny. He's a guy 0:14:46.480 --> 0:14:48.480 you don't have to draft as a top three or 0:14:48.520 --> 0:14:51.640 four wide receiver on your team, but he could, you know, 0:14:51.840 --> 0:14:54.120 leave your depth chart, you know, vault your depth charts 0:14:54.120 --> 0:14:56.520 and operate as a wide receiver one wide receiver two 0:14:57.000 --> 0:15:00.160 proving it. You mentioned Best Ball and for a guy 0:15:00.240 --> 0:15:03.000 with his level of volatility, that might be a great 0:15:03.040 --> 0:15:06.240 format for Marvin Jones, definitely even more of a target 0:15:06.240 --> 0:15:08.640 Investball Leaks. When we come back, we'll give you the 0:15:08.680 --> 0:15:12.680 remaining three positive developments you may have missed in December. 0:15:12.720 --> 0:15:16.400 Stay tuned, Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charchi and 0:15:16.400 --> 0:15:19.480 Brian Johnson with you, covering the developments you may have 0:15:19.600 --> 0:15:22.840 missed in December. This is the positivity episode. I think 0:15:22.880 --> 0:15:26.920 we will do a negativity episode shortly after the super Bowl, 0:15:27.560 --> 0:15:29.640 maybe the week after something like that. We'll see, we 0:15:29.720 --> 0:15:32.920 got to balance out the universe a little bit. Well yeah, 0:15:33.040 --> 0:15:38.440 well probably not. The number four positive development you may 0:15:38.480 --> 0:15:43.520 have missed in December, David Johnson's successful return from a 0:15:43.640 --> 0:15:46.240 variety of injuries suffered over the course of the season. 0:15:46.800 --> 0:15:49.320 And we've all been skeptics for years. You know who 0:15:49.360 --> 0:15:52.280 hasn't been burned on David Johnson over the past four years, 0:15:52.600 --> 0:15:55.720 and even this year was mostly a burning by David Johnson. 0:15:55.880 --> 0:15:59.800 But he actually looked pretty good in December. He played 0:15:59.800 --> 0:16:02.760 in four December games. He scored four times in the 0:16:02.800 --> 0:16:06.520 four games. He topped one hundred total yards in three 0:16:06.560 --> 0:16:10.080 of the four games. He posted a crazy eleven catch, 0:16:11.200 --> 0:16:15.800 one six receiving yard game in December, and David Johnson's 0:16:15.840 --> 0:16:20.720 yards per carry was six point four in December six 0:16:20.760 --> 0:16:27.480 point four. His elusiveness rating via PFF went from thirty 0:16:27.520 --> 0:16:32.640 four to which moved him from running back forty six 0:16:32.720 --> 0:16:36.320 in elusiveness prior to December to running back nine in 0:16:36.360 --> 0:16:41.800 elusiveness in December. Again Pro Football Focus. The only runner 0:16:42.920 --> 0:16:47.520 with a similar December jump and elusiveness was cam Acres. 0:16:47.640 --> 0:16:51.480 Everybody's talking about good. Cam Acres got nobody talking about 0:16:51.560 --> 0:16:57.600 David Johnson. He was December's ninth best runner in yards 0:16:57.680 --> 0:17:03.480 after contact three point seven yards after contact for David Johnson. 0:17:04.400 --> 0:17:07.720 So a very good December. And so what I think 0:17:07.760 --> 0:17:11.840 this means for the year ahead for David Johnson Brian 0:17:12.040 --> 0:17:14.879 is the team's got so many needs in Houston and 0:17:14.960 --> 0:17:18.119 maybe quarterback. I just think they're not gonna They're not 0:17:18.160 --> 0:17:21.480 gonna put any draft capital, any equity for a team 0:17:21.520 --> 0:17:24.720 that doesn't have have you know, they're missing to draft picks. Um. 0:17:24.760 --> 0:17:26.919 I just don't think they're gonna change running backs. I 0:17:26.960 --> 0:17:29.720 think it's going to be David Johnson rolling in next 0:17:29.800 --> 0:17:32.960 year with no real competition, meaningful competition for that job. 0:17:33.640 --> 0:17:36.800 You could probably put prime Barry Sanders in that backfield, 0:17:36.840 --> 0:17:39.119 and it's not really gonna help the bottom line of 0:17:39.160 --> 0:17:41.399 that team right now outside of all the other needs 0:17:41.440 --> 0:17:43.080 that they have. Like you said, so yeah, I'm with 0:17:43.080 --> 0:17:45.040 you that they better ride or die with DJ. I 0:17:45.040 --> 0:17:47.399 think they're going to I know, Bill O'Brien's long gone, 0:17:47.400 --> 0:17:51.679 but they gotta still nice, you know, to just fight 0:17:51.760 --> 0:17:54.119 the trade. You're right, even though Brian is gone. So 0:17:54.600 --> 0:17:56.960 David Johnson played well. Let's go to our number five 0:17:57.240 --> 0:18:00.840 positive development you may have missed in December. I'm gonna 0:18:00.840 --> 0:18:03.840 stick with the running back position. And uh, it's not 0:18:03.880 --> 0:18:06.280 like he really went off in December, but he at 0:18:06.320 --> 0:18:09.080 least made an appearance and when he did, it looked good. 0:18:09.119 --> 0:18:11.920 And that's a J. Dillon And it's a J Dillon time, 0:18:12.000 --> 0:18:15.840 like right this very moment if you're doing drafts because uh, 0:18:16.119 --> 0:18:18.520 he's going in the seventh round right now, which is 0:18:18.520 --> 0:18:21.160 absolutely that's because we do it's because free agency hasn't 0:18:21.200 --> 0:18:23.640 happened yet, and then people are still, I assume, holding 0:18:23.640 --> 0:18:25.960 out hope that somehow you won't Aaron Jones is going 0:18:26.000 --> 0:18:27.680 to remain on the Packers. I think there's a ten 0:18:27.720 --> 0:18:30.560 percent chance. I think there's a fifty percent chance that 0:18:30.640 --> 0:18:33.679 Jamal Williams stays on the Packers. But a J. Dillon, 0:18:34.320 --> 0:18:36.720 no matter what's got a bigger role coming definitely there. 0:18:36.760 --> 0:18:39.560 They sunk draft capital into a j last year, and 0:18:40.000 --> 0:18:42.800 Aaron Jones and Jamal Williams, like they said, both unrestricted 0:18:42.800 --> 0:18:47.200 free agents, assuming they both leave. That's sixty one total 0:18:47.280 --> 0:18:51.440 red zone carries between the two for Jones, three for Williams. 0:18:51.560 --> 0:18:54.800 For reference, that's all of the red zone carries. Who 0:18:54.800 --> 0:18:58.040 else would ever happen, but just but the opportunity. Josh 0:18:58.119 --> 0:19:01.440 Jacobs led the NFL with sixty four, so basically plug 0:19:01.440 --> 0:19:03.800 in A J. Dillon who had a handful of himself, 0:19:03.920 --> 0:19:06.439 and he's your league leader in NFL red zone carries 0:19:06.520 --> 0:19:09.879 theoretically if they both leave, if they both leave, but again, 0:19:10.119 --> 0:19:15.879 if Jones is gone, Jones has and Williams stays, you 0:19:15.880 --> 0:19:18.840 would think he kind of operates as the change of 0:19:18.840 --> 0:19:21.360 pace back like he has for Aaron Jones, even though 0:19:21.359 --> 0:19:24.520 he's kind of we don't know, but a J. Dillon 0:19:24.600 --> 0:19:27.400 Williams can catch for sure, and that's why I think 0:19:27.560 --> 0:19:30.400 he would walk more into the Aaron Jones lead role 0:19:30.440 --> 0:19:34.119 because they throw at Aaron Jones. A Ton Dylan's past 0:19:34.200 --> 0:19:38.280 catching ability is I think much more unknown. He has 0:19:38.359 --> 0:19:42.240 three targets, all right. One was in the playoffs in 0:19:42.359 --> 0:19:44.840 a divisional or the conference championship and it was a 0:19:44.880 --> 0:19:46.720 nice catch. I mean, so he has the ability, he 0:19:46.800 --> 0:19:49.440 just hasn't had the opportunity. So we'll see what happens there. 0:19:49.440 --> 0:19:51.960 But again, he hasn't had a ton of opportunities really, 0:19:52.320 --> 0:19:54.760 just one good game that was that Week sixteen game 0:19:55.119 --> 0:19:59.560 against Tennessee. One carries four yards two touchdowns. That was 0:19:59.680 --> 0:20:03.520 that snowy game when um, it was just built for 0:20:03.560 --> 0:20:06.240 a mutter, a straight ahead runner like a J. Dillon, 0:20:06.280 --> 0:20:08.879 and they let him. The fact that they built a 0:20:08.960 --> 0:20:11.800 game plan around him and let him go execute that 0:20:12.280 --> 0:20:14.919 was probably a good sign that he had earned the 0:20:14.920 --> 0:20:17.040 trust and faith of that coaching See. And that's not 0:20:17.080 --> 0:20:19.520 the last snowy game will be playing in Green Bay, right, 0:20:19.720 --> 0:20:21.879 So he's the guy they can they can trust. And 0:20:22.040 --> 0:20:25.120 uh again, just thirty four carry. He had twenty one 0:20:25.119 --> 0:20:27.680 carries that game. Just thirty four carries across his other 0:20:27.720 --> 0:20:30.080 ten games, including the playoffs. So not a lot of 0:20:30.080 --> 0:20:32.920 tape on him. But it's just all about the eye test. Really. 0:20:32.960 --> 0:20:36.600 He looked good when he got the ball, and odds 0:20:36.600 --> 0:20:39.240 are the opportunities gonna be there for him to at 0:20:39.320 --> 0:20:42.879 least compete for that starting job in Green Bay. Average 0:20:42.920 --> 0:20:45.760 five point three yards per carry? Uh pretty him, Give 0:20:45.800 --> 0:20:49.760 him a full Just give him fifty carries and he's 0:20:49.760 --> 0:20:53.000 gonna exceed that seventh round a DP right now. But uh, 0:20:53.160 --> 0:20:54.960 I wonder if he's gonna. I wonder if it will 0:20:54.960 --> 0:20:57.720 be a lot more Jamal Williams early in the season 0:20:57.880 --> 0:21:00.760 and as the season wears on, it'll start skewing towards 0:21:00.840 --> 0:21:04.439 Dylan cold Weather games. He'll be further along in his development. 0:21:04.880 --> 0:21:06.440 He might be a guy next year that takes a 0:21:06.480 --> 0:21:10.719 little more patience. But I think he's a fantasy factor, 0:21:10.920 --> 0:21:15.119 I really do, and he he could climb into the 0:21:15.160 --> 0:21:17.679 first round of drafts by the end of the summer 0:21:17.920 --> 0:21:22.120 if both guys leave they don't put anybody meaningful into 0:21:22.119 --> 0:21:24.760 that backfield. I don't think he'd be a first rounder, 0:21:24.800 --> 0:21:26.920 but I think that it would certainly be a lot 0:21:27.600 --> 0:21:31.320 wait for early second self. He would need to maybe 0:21:31.320 --> 0:21:33.159 if they play preseason games next year, he need one 0:21:33.200 --> 0:21:37.720 of those. But uh, but in that scenario, so let's 0:21:37.760 --> 0:21:39.840 let's just say that it does play out that way, 0:21:39.920 --> 0:21:45.080 where both Jamal Williams and Aaron Jones leave and they 0:21:45.119 --> 0:21:48.800 don't add another meaningful runner. They'll have some other warm bodies, 0:21:48.800 --> 0:21:53.080 but let's sume it's nobody good. It's a uh, they're 0:21:53.160 --> 0:21:57.119 like an Abdullah type um, and we think he's gonna 0:21:57.160 --> 0:22:00.480 get We think he's gonna get a workhorse role for 0:22:00.560 --> 0:22:03.520 a j. Dillon. I still think he's probably going to 0:22:03.560 --> 0:22:06.200 going like the third round because he's never proven anything, 0:22:06.320 --> 0:22:09.359 and the first two rounds are almost are usually filled 0:22:09.560 --> 0:22:12.040 with players who have proven their worth. Yeah, not saying 0:22:12.040 --> 0:22:13.720 I would take him in the first two rounds, but 0:22:14.000 --> 0:22:15.600 the hype could get up there. But yeah, I think 0:22:16.000 --> 0:22:19.119 the third fourth round will be a very uh safe 0:22:19.200 --> 0:22:22.000 estimation for where all lands right now RB thirty six. Again, 0:22:22.040 --> 0:22:26.280