1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:13,680 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news, A single best idea 2 00:00:13,920 --> 00:00:17,119 Speaker 1: on an extraordinary Thursday. David Gura, thank you at the 3 00:00:17,200 --> 00:00:20,600 Speaker 1: last moment, coming in on the Chairman of the FED, 4 00:00:20,720 --> 00:00:23,520 Speaker 1: the next Chairman of the Fed. All that discussion. Anna 5 00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:28,200 Speaker 1: Wong was wonderful as well from Bloomberg Economics, and on 6 00:00:28,240 --> 00:00:31,880 Speaker 1: and on we go with the FED parlor game. There 7 00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:34,520 Speaker 1: is a season for outlooks and we are knee deep 8 00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:37,840 Speaker 1: into it. Lisa Schallotte showed up from Morgan Stanley. She's 9 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:41,960 Speaker 1: been a huge value add for the program. Prodigious mathematical 10 00:00:42,000 --> 00:00:47,320 Speaker 1: abilities out of Brown University. Here's Lisa Schllett. Next year 11 00:00:47,520 --> 00:00:48,280 Speaker 1: will be different. 12 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:51,960 Speaker 2: The key to navigating in twenty twenty six is having 13 00:00:52,000 --> 00:00:56,160 Speaker 2: realistic expectations. Our best guess is that we've got another 14 00:00:57,120 --> 00:01:00,960 Speaker 2: enough fuel in the pipe to drive ten twelve percent 15 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:04,040 Speaker 2: year over year growth, which is very, very good. What 16 00:01:04,080 --> 00:01:07,720 Speaker 2: we caution against is that investors get you know, two 17 00:01:07,760 --> 00:01:13,280 Speaker 2: out over their skis, assuming that the stimulus of rate cuts, 18 00:01:13,840 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 2: tax cuts and financial market deregulation are going to drive 19 00:01:18,200 --> 00:01:21,040 Speaker 2: things like fifteen or twenty percent. It's just, you know, 20 00:01:21,400 --> 00:01:23,280 Speaker 2: let's have realistic expectations. 21 00:01:23,760 --> 00:01:27,800 Speaker 1: Lisa Shellett there on double digit earnings growth. Shout out 22 00:01:27,800 --> 00:01:30,280 Speaker 1: to Gina Martin Adams. We're going to get her on 23 00:01:30,400 --> 00:01:33,400 Speaker 1: here in a bit. She's been brilliant about this continued 24 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:38,039 Speaker 1: earning and margin surprise. Maybe that's the key question for 25 00:01:38,160 --> 00:01:41,720 Speaker 1: Q one Q two of next year. Some of the 26 00:01:41,760 --> 00:01:44,399 Speaker 1: sausage making that we do here is simple. We have 27 00:01:44,520 --> 00:01:48,440 Speaker 1: emails for each on the Bloomberg terminal, each of our guests, 28 00:01:48,840 --> 00:01:51,000 Speaker 1: and when you open the email, it's got their name 29 00:01:51,120 --> 00:01:53,240 Speaker 1: and their title because I can't remember any of that, 30 00:01:53,960 --> 00:01:57,000 Speaker 1: and then it has a bio. One of the great 31 00:01:57,200 --> 00:02:00,240 Speaker 1: ideas here sausage making at Bloomberg Surveillance is how we 32 00:02:00,280 --> 00:02:03,640 Speaker 1: prepare for the guests. We have name, title, and then 33 00:02:03,640 --> 00:02:06,320 Speaker 1: we have a bio. Aaron McLoughlin at the Conference Board 34 00:02:06,520 --> 00:02:10,480 Speaker 1: has one of the most twisted resumes of anyone we 35 00:02:10,520 --> 00:02:15,799 Speaker 1: have on the show. She has prodigious transportation in engineering 36 00:02:16,000 --> 00:02:22,520 Speaker 1: academics wrapped into economics. She's extremely unique. We love having 37 00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:25,680 Speaker 1: her in Yes on what the Conference Board sees, but 38 00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:30,480 Speaker 1: so much else on the infrastructure of America. McLoughlin on 39 00:02:30,520 --> 00:02:31,840 Speaker 1: the view forward, I. 40 00:02:31,760 --> 00:02:33,280 Speaker 3: Think there's a lot of fact I think it goes 41 00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:36,160 Speaker 3: back to the decision making. So why would you decide, 42 00:02:36,560 --> 00:02:38,880 Speaker 3: and we hear this from our companies that are members 43 00:02:38,919 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 3: at the Conference Board, why would you decide to onshore 44 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:44,800 Speaker 3: or to near shore or change your supply chain? If 45 00:02:45,720 --> 00:02:48,760 Speaker 3: big trade decisions have not really been made with China, 46 00:02:48,880 --> 00:02:51,800 Speaker 3: Mexico and Canada, those are all still sort of on 47 00:02:51,919 --> 00:02:55,960 Speaker 3: the back burner until you second third quarter next year. 48 00:02:56,280 --> 00:02:59,920 Speaker 1: Aaron McLoughlin, the Conference Board. We're on Apple, on Spotify, 49 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:03,120 Speaker 1: on YouTube podcasts, Single best Idea 50 00:03:12,720 --> 00:03:13,080 Speaker 2: MHM