WEBVTT - The Final Four - January Madness 0:00:00.960 --> 0:00:04.680 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 0:00:07.040 --> 0:00:10.760 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 0:00:11.119 --> 0:00:15.000 your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy speculation and advice. 0:00:15.080 --> 0:00:18.880 Now along with the guys from fanball dot com. Here's 0:00:18.920 --> 0:00:25.280 the host for Fantasy Football Weekly, Paul. It is Fantasy 0:00:25.280 --> 0:00:27.600 Football Weekly. I am Paul Charchy in my co host 0:00:27.840 --> 0:00:31.000 Like last week, Brian Johnson, welcome back. What's up charge? 0:00:31.040 --> 0:00:32.519 I should just get my name in the intro at 0:00:32.520 --> 0:00:35.519 this point. Yeah, like every off season, we're supposed to 0:00:35.520 --> 0:00:37.839 be a nice rotation. Yeah, what happened to the rotation? 0:00:38.120 --> 0:00:40.040 What does happen to these guys? And Jim Matt Now 0:00:40.040 --> 0:00:42.360 I'm Att did one of our off season one's like 0:00:42.400 --> 0:00:44.960 you've done all the rest of them? No Fish, No 0:00:45.120 --> 0:00:49.200 Christian Peterson. That's okay? Well, uh, you know, Scott Fish 0:00:49.400 --> 0:00:52.839 hot off the heels of like the humanitarian I am 0:00:52.880 --> 0:00:55.280 you're talking to me? I don't know. I think he 0:00:55.400 --> 0:00:59.120 signed up barely a human let alone Humanitarian of the Year. 0:00:59.480 --> 0:01:01.880 Uh tell me that is a compliment, Like I'm a machine. 0:01:03.160 --> 0:01:05.759 Tip of the cap to Scott Fish for the award. 0:01:06.000 --> 0:01:09.640 Uh the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association Awards the humanitarian 0:01:09.680 --> 0:01:12.960 of a year within the industry, somebody who's done good 0:01:13.000 --> 0:01:17.000 for others, and Scott Fish was the recipient. He's raised 0:01:17.040 --> 0:01:20.520 over a one hundred thousand dollars over the course of 0:01:20.560 --> 0:01:23.240 Fantasy Cares works out of our office here and many 0:01:23.240 --> 0:01:25.600 of our listeners are familiar with Scott and its contributions 0:01:25.640 --> 0:01:28.080 to this show. So tip of the hat to Scott. 0:01:28.120 --> 0:01:30.480 And before we break down the a f C and 0:01:30.600 --> 0:01:35.319 NFC championship games, how about the real life sabotage drop 0:01:35.640 --> 0:01:40.080 that Cowboys performed on the Giants here. It's a very 0:01:40.120 --> 0:01:44.080 savvy move from a very unsavvy franchise, isn't it. Jason 0:01:44.120 --> 0:01:47.600 Garrett interviewing to be the offensive coordinator of the Giants, Well, 0:01:47.640 --> 0:01:51.040 you know, I'm emotionally detached. I just had enough of 0:01:51.040 --> 0:01:54.920 Gettleman last year. Draft Day was you know, the straw 0:01:54.960 --> 0:01:57.920 that broke the camel's back. But this accelerates I'm gonna 0:01:57.920 --> 0:01:59.440 go back to being a giantsman as soon as they 0:01:59.440 --> 0:02:01.840 can get Leman. This can only accelerate that process. In 0:02:01.920 --> 0:02:04.520 my well, was he wrong? We all thought he was wrong. 0:02:05.000 --> 0:02:08.600 Many thought he was wrong about Daniel Jones. Was he no? Again? 0:02:09.120 --> 0:02:11.600 Probably not? He looks like a good player. I still 0:02:11.639 --> 0:02:14.320 think he could have traded down to get Dan Jones. 0:02:14.639 --> 0:02:16.320 I'm from the believer of that. And there were many 0:02:16.360 --> 0:02:19.280 egregious moves before the Dan. I'm gonna give you another one. 0:02:19.680 --> 0:02:22.120 When he traded Snacks Harrison. I thought he was insane 0:02:22.120 --> 0:02:24.120 because he's trading one of the best run stuffers in 0:02:24.120 --> 0:02:26.079 the NFL. And the Lions got him, and they went 0:02:26.120 --> 0:02:28.040 from being like last in the league against the run 0:02:28.120 --> 0:02:30.920 to like top five. And but Snacks is talking about 0:02:30.960 --> 0:02:33.919 retirement right now, he's starting about hanging it up. I'll 0:02:33.919 --> 0:02:37.280 give you a third Odell Beckham. Who the hell wants 0:02:37.320 --> 0:02:40.079 Odell Beckham anymore? You know, the Brown's may very well 0:02:40.120 --> 0:02:41.960 cut him out right. They gave him a lot of 0:02:41.960 --> 0:02:44.680 guaranteed money that which made no sense. The Giants they 0:02:44.720 --> 0:02:47.160 signed him to an extension and then that is like, 0:02:47.280 --> 0:02:48.880 you don't know what you're doing at that time. That 0:02:49.000 --> 0:02:52.160 is true. But they got out of Beckham as the 0:02:52.240 --> 0:02:57.200 insanity was beginning. So you know, I think in the moment, 0:02:57.240 --> 0:02:59.360 a lot of these gentleman moves have been worse than 0:02:59.400 --> 0:03:01.919 they've actually worked out. The return was always light though 0:03:01.960 --> 0:03:04.120 in all these instances, I think and I know they've 0:03:04.160 --> 0:03:06.040 turned out to be good moves, they still could have 0:03:06.639 --> 0:03:09.280 maximized them. For Mark, I agree with that. With that, 0:03:09.400 --> 0:03:13.160 we shall see. Uh how Jason Garrett, you know, he 0:03:13.160 --> 0:03:15.919 he has ties. He's from New Jersey, like he was 0:03:15.960 --> 0:03:18.880 a parcels guy way back in the day. So he 0:03:18.960 --> 0:03:22.400 was eventually gonna work for this team. He's worked for 0:03:22.480 --> 0:03:25.280 Dallas a little too long probably about Yeah. Well, that 0:03:25.280 --> 0:03:30.480 that division though, it's it's disgusting, the NFC East, that's bad. 0:03:30.800 --> 0:03:32.280 Well it is this yere you know, but you know 0:03:32.320 --> 0:03:33.799 by next year, who knows you could have a thirteen 0:03:33.800 --> 0:03:35.920 game winner come out of that division. Philly better to 0:03:36.200 --> 0:03:38.920 dominate that for the next year, so they stay healthy. 0:03:38.960 --> 0:03:40.840 You think they're the best team, and Dallas should be 0:03:40.840 --> 0:03:43.280 in that conversation as well. We'll find out. Let's break 0:03:43.320 --> 0:03:45.280 down the a f C and NFC championship games, Brian, 0:03:45.320 --> 0:03:48.960 beginning with Tennessee taking on Kansas City. There seven and 0:03:48.960 --> 0:03:50.960 a half point favorites. These teams met in week ten. 0:03:51.040 --> 0:03:54.560 Tennessee won that game and put up thirty five points. 0:03:55.360 --> 0:03:57.720 But I'll note that that was the first game back 0:03:57.800 --> 0:04:02.400 for Patrick Mahomes off that gruesome knee injury and Mahomes 0:04:02.440 --> 0:04:05.800 wasn't quite himself, although they Kansas City still scored thirty 0:04:05.800 --> 0:04:08.560 two points and lost in that game, and Mahomes through 0:04:08.680 --> 0:04:12.800 for four touchdowns six yards. You can't really point at 0:04:12.800 --> 0:04:14.760 Mahomes ago. Well, you know, he came out rusty and 0:04:14.800 --> 0:04:18.920 that's why they lost. So the victors of both games 0:04:19.000 --> 0:04:22.320 last week, the Titans and the Chiefs, very bizarre games, 0:04:22.360 --> 0:04:27.280 both of them. Yeah, so like I don't so, yeah, Well, 0:04:27.600 --> 0:04:30.120 we'll mention this week ten match up a lot between 0:04:30.560 --> 0:04:32.960 UH Tennessee and Kansas City as Kansas City. As we 0:04:33.000 --> 0:04:36.119 go through this, let's start with King Henry Derrick Henry. 0:04:36.160 --> 0:04:38.240 He had twenty three carries for one eight, eight and 0:04:38.240 --> 0:04:40.800 two on the ground in that game. And you know, 0:04:40.920 --> 0:04:43.400 Kansas City. You run against Kansas City, you don't throw 0:04:43.440 --> 0:04:46.599 against Kansas City. Only years passed, the path of least 0:04:46.600 --> 0:04:49.159 resistance was through the air. It's not that way this year. 0:04:49.560 --> 0:04:53.640 UH Kansas City's ranks against the run by Football Outsiders 0:04:53.680 --> 0:04:55.640 the v o A. They've allowed the fourth highest chords 0:04:55.680 --> 0:04:58.680 per carry this season. Houston backs it into a whole 0:04:58.680 --> 0:05:01.920 lot alright, but hold on, Kansas Cities run defense have 0:05:02.000 --> 0:05:04.640 proved a lot down the stretch over the last four 0:05:04.720 --> 0:05:07.119 games are giving up three point nine yards per carry 0:05:07.120 --> 0:05:09.320 in half a touchdown per game on the ground. That's it. 0:05:09.960 --> 0:05:13.000 And this is an improved run defense from the version 0:05:13.080 --> 0:05:15.880 that's skewing season long stats because they were so bad 0:05:15.920 --> 0:05:17.719 in the first half of the season against the run. 0:05:17.960 --> 0:05:20.159 They have gotten a lot better. That is true. That 0:05:20.240 --> 0:05:21.960 is true. Um, I want to go back to Henry 0:05:22.000 --> 0:05:24.320 really quick. By the way, his last eight games glum 0:05:24.360 --> 0:05:28.400 the playoffs, so it's unbelievable. Well over yards and eleven 0:05:28.440 --> 0:05:30.719 touchdowns in his last eight games. It's the all time 0:05:30.720 --> 0:05:32.880 record for most rushing yards in any eight game stretch 0:05:32.920 --> 0:05:35.960 in NFL history. His average, his average game since Week ten, 0:05:36.120 --> 0:05:40.520 which is probably the eight games average game, twenty five carries. 0:05:41.360 --> 0:05:44.599 That's a season, that's a one game season high for 0:05:44.720 --> 0:05:48.120 most backs in this league. That's his average game. One 0:05:48.240 --> 0:05:54.760 hundred sixty nine rushing yards and one point four touchdowns, 0:05:54.800 --> 0:05:58.159 six point three yards per carry. They're all mind boggling 0:05:58.200 --> 0:06:00.960 over such a big stretch of games. It sounds like 0:06:01.240 --> 0:06:04.640 anyone back's best game of the year, and it's Derrick 0:06:04.720 --> 0:06:10.080 Henry's average game. I know he's uh running very motivated 0:06:10.440 --> 0:06:14.720 going into unrestricted circling back real quick. How Kansas City 0:06:14.839 --> 0:06:16.640 is tough on paper right now against running backs, but 0:06:16.680 --> 0:06:20.520 starting in week fourteen, Patriots no run game, no running 0:06:20.520 --> 0:06:25.000 back head more than seven carries, Denver third team total carries. 0:06:25.040 --> 0:06:27.440 It looks like then Chicago. So not the greatest of 0:06:27.440 --> 0:06:31.640 competition for uh. But but you know they're they're gonna 0:06:31.720 --> 0:06:34.479 ride Henry into the sunset, ride or die whatever, you know, 0:06:34.520 --> 0:06:36.919 playing one to throw out there. Um, I will mention 0:06:36.920 --> 0:06:39.240 the Colts and Titans are the only teams to allow 0:06:39.279 --> 0:06:44.000 more receptions to opposing running backs than the Chiefs game. 0:06:44.440 --> 0:06:47.599 So I will mention Dian Lewis one more time. No 0:06:47.760 --> 0:06:49.719 touches last week? The he did not need to touch 0:06:49.720 --> 0:06:51.400 the ball? Well, no, they got ahead and they stayed 0:06:51.440 --> 0:06:55.560 had you you we expected Baltimore to get ahead and 0:06:55.600 --> 0:07:00.280 stay ahead. Certainly the Chiefs have that potential which might 0:07:00.360 --> 0:07:03.080 bring Dion Lewis into play, which you know makes him 0:07:03.200 --> 0:07:05.880 a cheap DFS dart. But h by the way, your 0:07:05.920 --> 0:07:08.680 your DFS darts last week I think paid off. We 0:07:09.000 --> 0:07:11.800 uh we love Damien Williams. That paid off. You like 0:07:11.960 --> 0:07:14.360 Darren Fell that paid off. He should have had like 0:07:14.360 --> 0:07:16.720 three more catches too. He had had two drops and 0:07:16.760 --> 0:07:18.720 there was another tight end you liked. Oh it was 0:07:18.760 --> 0:07:20.680 hollow star. He didn't do as he didn't do so well, 0:07:20.880 --> 0:07:23.800 no he did not. But yeah, let's let's talk about 0:07:23.800 --> 0:07:27.160 the Tennessee tight ends who led the team in receptions 0:07:27.360 --> 0:07:30.200 in that weekend game. They had seven catches. John Nu 0:07:30.280 --> 0:07:33.320 Smith and Anthony Ferks are No other Titans receiver had 0:07:33.320 --> 0:07:35.760 more than one. Well they only how many? They only 0:07:35.800 --> 0:07:38.800 completed like eleven passes in the game. Uh so in 0:07:38.840 --> 0:07:41.160 that game, john Nu Smith and Folks are combined for 0:07:41.240 --> 0:07:44.240 seven catches, seventy six yards and a touchdown. Ferks had 0:07:44.280 --> 0:07:48.360 to touchdown. Um, john Nu Smith when he sees the ball, 0:07:48.360 --> 0:07:50.360 which he doesn't see it enough. Listen to these numbers. 0:07:50.480 --> 0:07:54.880 Yards per target ten that's number two tight ends among 0:07:54.960 --> 0:07:57.559 forty one qualified tight ends. And yards after the catch 0:07:57.920 --> 0:08:00.880 per reception seven point eight that's second as well. He 0:08:00.960 --> 0:08:03.200 just doesn't see the ball enough. That's you are the 0:08:03.200 --> 0:08:06.200 guy who was mocking me one show ago for my 0:08:06.280 --> 0:08:08.920 love of Johnny Smith. I wasn't mocking. Yes, you mocked, 0:08:09.120 --> 0:08:11.280 you absolutely mocked. I would have to check the tape. 0:08:11.320 --> 0:08:13.320 He he wasn't used as a receiver at all in 0:08:13.320 --> 0:08:16.360 the wild Guard game. So it was Fers wasn't the guy? 0:08:16.560 --> 0:08:19.360 I mean it was Matt. Maybe it was Matt. I didn't, 0:08:19.360 --> 0:08:22.920 I wouldn't. I like Johnny Smith. Um, so the Chiefs 0:08:23.360 --> 0:08:27.040 uh last week, as you mentioned, fellas had to touchdown 0:08:27.360 --> 0:08:30.120 and so continue to the playoffs. They've been given up 0:08:30.160 --> 0:08:32.360 to tightens all the year. The surrender the second most 0:08:32.400 --> 0:08:35.000 catches to tight ends. Kansas City has third most red 0:08:35.080 --> 0:08:37.920 zone targets to the position. So I'm like Johnny Smith 0:08:37.960 --> 0:08:40.880 and Anthony Folks are the two best receivers on the 0:08:40.920 --> 0:08:43.280 team going into this game. And I saw the odds 0:08:43.360 --> 0:08:45.880 for Ferks here to score the first touchdowns like one 0:08:46.400 --> 0:08:48.960 and then at any point in the game. It's like 0:08:49.520 --> 0:08:52.600 one kind of like, I like Johnny Smith's chances better. 0:08:52.600 --> 0:08:54.560 His odds aren't as good, but is are way up there. 0:08:54.600 --> 0:08:56.319 But so what do you think a J. Brown in 0:08:56.400 --> 0:08:58.840 this one? You know, there's not even another receiver worth 0:08:58.920 --> 0:09:01.680 mentioning this game other than Brown, and he I know 0:09:01.760 --> 0:09:03.520 he runs the majority of his routes on the left, 0:09:03.520 --> 0:09:07.160 which puts him on Brashot Brelan, which is he's probably 0:09:07.200 --> 0:09:09.640 the worst of the cornerbacks they've got, although he's not bad, 0:09:09.720 --> 0:09:11.840 but he's probably the worst of the ones I've got. Yeah, 0:09:11.960 --> 0:09:15.040 it's it's It's another tough matchup and Brown has struggled. 0:09:15.080 --> 0:09:17.520 And tough matchup starting in week fifteen is New Orleans, 0:09:17.640 --> 0:09:20.080 New England Baltimore. He's had like one catching each of 0:09:20.080 --> 0:09:23.319 those games, and this matchup is arguably almost as bad 0:09:23.360 --> 0:09:25.720 as all of those. So I'm not loving A J. Brown. 0:09:25.760 --> 0:09:27.520 He's a contrarian play at this point. Again, and see, 0:09:27.520 --> 0:09:29.839 I kind of like him as a contrarian play, almost 0:09:29.880 --> 0:09:34.240 like Corey Davis more. Yeah, just because he's cheaper. Called 0:09:34.240 --> 0:09:37.080 the birthday touchdown, by the way, nicely done. But here's 0:09:37.080 --> 0:09:39.520 the thing A J. Browns could Yeah, And you know, so, 0:09:39.559 --> 0:09:41.560 I mean, if you think Tennessee's gonna be competitive, if 0:09:41.559 --> 0:09:43.800 you think they're gonna be passing more to stay in 0:09:43.840 --> 0:09:46.880 the game, which I do, I like it. I think 0:09:46.880 --> 0:09:49.120 they would make an effort to put a Dorry Jackson 0:09:49.160 --> 0:09:53.240 on E J. Brown, though I don't know. I don't 0:09:53.240 --> 0:09:54.640 like either of them to put it that. I mean, 0:09:54.760 --> 0:09:57.679 I like the tight ends and uh Derrick Henry and uh. 0:09:57.960 --> 0:10:02.840 Last week Ryan Tannehill had one one and two passing 0:10:02.920 --> 0:10:05.560 and three rushes for thirty seven yards in that Week 0:10:05.559 --> 0:10:08.120 ten game. And I'm mentioning the rushing yards because I'm 0:10:08.160 --> 0:10:10.400 loving the prop bed on his rushing yards at fifteen 0:10:10.440 --> 0:10:14.679 and a half is the over under thirty seven Taniel 0:10:14.760 --> 0:10:17.280 had in that Week ten game. Now here's some other 0:10:17.360 --> 0:10:20.760 quarterbacks rushing totals against the Chiefs of this year. Give 0:10:20.840 --> 0:10:25.480 me one second, uh, Derek Carr eighteen yards, that's more 0:10:25.520 --> 0:10:28.280 than fifteen and a half. Lamar Jackson forty six, of course, 0:10:28.679 --> 0:10:32.400 Matthew Stafford eighteen yards, Shaun Watson forty two yards, Aaron 0:10:32.480 --> 0:10:36.840 Rodgers twenty nine yards, Tannehill again thirty seven, Tom Brady 0:10:36.920 --> 0:10:40.439 twenty yards. Hammer Day over on the Ryan Tannehill rushing 0:10:40.440 --> 0:10:43.439 proplects like it. Okay good um, Yeah, he's he's more 0:10:43.480 --> 0:10:45.840 fleet of foot than people realize. Again, a converted wide 0:10:45.840 --> 0:10:47.360 receiver when he played a year and a half of 0:10:47.640 --> 0:10:50.679 quarterback at a ok Oho. I can't remember when he 0:10:50.720 --> 0:10:53.560 went to a big time school too, but anyway, unlike 0:10:53.600 --> 0:10:56.280 years passed tho again, Kansas City, very tough secondary. They 0:10:56.280 --> 0:10:59.800 did lose starting uh free safety. I'm blanking on. His 0:10:59.880 --> 0:11:02.000 name is definitely not honey badger. He will play and 0:11:02.000 --> 0:11:05.760 he's been great. He's been great kans Their best rusher, 0:11:05.840 --> 0:11:08.040 Chris Jones, who led the team in sacks for the Chiefs, 0:11:08.200 --> 0:11:10.800 missed last week's status still very up in the air 0:11:11.160 --> 0:11:12.960 for this one, so that would bide well for Tannehill. 0:11:13.240 --> 0:11:15.640 But again, it's just all about Derrick Henry in this game. 0:11:15.880 --> 0:11:18.960 Let's talk about Kansas City real quick. So I can't 0:11:18.960 --> 0:11:22.839 do Kansas City quickly because I talk about feeling we're 0:11:22.880 --> 0:11:26.960 running long on this one. But we'll kick back. So 0:11:27.440 --> 0:11:31.480 Baltimore had basically eight scoring opportunities last week. They had 0:11:31.559 --> 0:11:34.560 drives that finished on Tennessee's thirty six, thirty one, four 0:11:34.640 --> 0:11:38.600 yard line, eighteen yard line, thirty one, fifteen, sixteen, and 0:11:38.640 --> 0:11:40.840 twenty one yard line, and they lost and finished with 0:11:40.880 --> 0:11:45.240 twelve points. That's crazy. It's not like the Titans were 0:11:45.240 --> 0:11:48.640 shutting down Baltimore. They just couldn't execute in scoring range. 0:11:48.640 --> 0:11:51.560 And I liked the Chiefs chances to execute in scoring 0:11:51.640 --> 0:11:53.480 range in this one. We mentioned Mahomes had four or 0:11:53.559 --> 0:11:56.280 forty six and three in that first game. The Titans 0:11:56.320 --> 0:11:59.040 have surrendered multiple passing scores in eleven of seventeen regular 0:11:59.040 --> 0:12:01.760 season games. If you're throwing one line up in any 0:12:01.800 --> 0:12:03.480 kind of contest, you gotta have my homes in it. 0:12:03.600 --> 0:12:05.560 I think you do too. Um, Can I just mention 0:12:05.640 --> 0:12:07.120 this about my homes? You know, for as much as 0:12:07.160 --> 0:12:09.920 he's already accomplished, Brian, you know, one thing he hadn't 0:12:10.360 --> 0:12:14.600 faced yet was a huge deficit in the playoff game. 0:12:15.160 --> 0:12:18.559 And it didn't face him at all, unflappable. And there 0:12:18.559 --> 0:12:20.680 are a lot of young quarterbacks and he's still we 0:12:20.720 --> 0:12:23.760 forget you know, he's still a very young quarterback. Um, 0:12:24.320 --> 0:12:27.120 he didn't even did not even phase him in the 0:12:27.160 --> 0:12:29.280 slightest There are a lot of guys that might have 0:12:29.360 --> 0:12:31.680 that might a lot of younger quarterbacks that might have 0:12:31.720 --> 0:12:33.720 just gone belly up at that moment and not not 0:12:33.760 --> 0:12:36.160 pattern here he rose to the occasion eccasion big time 0:12:36.200 --> 0:12:37.520 that I don't know who was the first or the 0:12:37.520 --> 0:12:40.000 second touchdown. It was still on the comeback, like he 0:12:40.080 --> 0:12:42.520 completed the comeback in the second quarter, by the way, Yeah, 0:12:42.520 --> 0:12:45.320 I really like the greatest comebacks of all time. Those 0:12:45.320 --> 0:12:47.320 are like cool games. He did in the quarter when 0:12:47.360 --> 0:12:49.520 he dragged his foot like everyone thought he was over 0:12:49.559 --> 0:12:55.160 the Yeah, I mean yeah, how about press of mine? Nothing? 0:12:55.320 --> 0:12:57.760 And I nudged my wife and I was at that 0:12:57.800 --> 0:12:59.640 point I was leaving for Vegas the next day and 0:12:59.679 --> 0:13:02.240 I said too. I said to her, oh, man, i'd 0:13:03.040 --> 0:13:05.800 i'd still even down twenty for nothing. I think I'd 0:13:05.840 --> 0:13:08.840 be betting them to win right now. And she's like, oh, 0:13:08.960 --> 0:13:10.400 that doesn't seem like a very good you know, I 0:13:10.400 --> 0:13:13.160 doesn't seem very likely twenty for nothing nobody know. I'm like, yeah, 0:13:13.200 --> 0:13:15.240 nobody ever comes back from twenty for nothing, but if anything, 0:13:15.360 --> 0:13:17.280 kind of be that one. And then they did it 0:13:17.320 --> 0:13:19.640 at half and I'm thinking, here, I was trying to be, 0:13:19.800 --> 0:13:22.800 you know, contrarian guy, and they've made it look easy. Crazy. 0:13:23.040 --> 0:13:26.000 We need to legalize gambling in Minnesota so we can 0:13:26.040 --> 0:13:27.560 make those bets. Because I had the same thought as 0:13:27.559 --> 0:13:30.080 well as like, no better money on a live bet 0:13:30.160 --> 0:13:32.320 for at the time, you didn't seem like good, but 0:13:32.720 --> 0:13:35.360 it was very plausible and it came through. In the 0:13:35.360 --> 0:13:40.600 earlier matchup with Tennessee Mahomes through fifty passes five zero, man, 0:13:40.720 --> 0:13:43.720 if he gets in anything close to fifty, yeah, it's 0:13:43.720 --> 0:13:45.920 gonna be explosive output for him. What do you think 0:13:45.960 --> 0:13:49.040 it's go ahead? Nineteen of those passes went to Tyree 0:13:49.160 --> 0:13:53.959 Hills Gonna catches for seven and one for Tyreek and 0:13:54.760 --> 0:13:58.280 targets for Tyreek Hills there. And by the way, you 0:13:58.520 --> 0:14:01.800 think that you hear her the chiefs if I told 0:14:01.800 --> 0:14:03.800 you the cheaper would come back from twenty four nothing 0:14:03.880 --> 0:14:06.600 score fifty one points. But Tyreek Hill is gonna have 0:14:06.679 --> 0:14:11.000 forty five scoreless yards gonna uh, He's probably gonna get 0:14:11.040 --> 0:14:12.920 his in this one. Uh. Again, it was a weird 0:14:12.960 --> 0:14:15.520 game for Baltimore and Tennessee last week. Baltimore kind of 0:14:15.679 --> 0:14:18.640 comeback moved. But Ravens wide out said eight teen catches 0:14:18.679 --> 0:14:20.920 in that game. That's a lot. So you gotta like 0:14:20.960 --> 0:14:23.920 Tyree Hill a lot. You think Sammy Watkins goes back 0:14:23.960 --> 0:14:28.040 to back here, back to back, like like doing something, 0:14:28.600 --> 0:14:30.600 because he had a good game last week. It was decent. 0:14:30.720 --> 0:14:33.240 He didn't score right, I don't think he did scar right. 0:14:33.360 --> 0:14:36.360 He had He had like fifty six combo arts, which 0:14:36.400 --> 0:14:38.800 is sadly a good game for He had five for 0:14:38.920 --> 0:14:41.320 thirty nine on nine targets in that Week ten matchup. 0:14:41.600 --> 0:14:45.560 He had two rushes for twelve yards as well. Again, 0:14:45.840 --> 0:14:48.800 I like me Cole Hardman the most outside of Tyreek 0:14:48.840 --> 0:14:52.040 Hill only seventeen percent of the snaps last week. DeMarcus 0:14:52.160 --> 0:14:59.120 Robinson Robinson's bad all drops last week, holy and had 0:14:59.120 --> 0:15:03.120 four targets in the seventeen very high percentage, so'll get 0:15:03.160 --> 0:15:05.440 him on the field more. He had one catch for 0:15:05.480 --> 0:15:08.360 sixty three yards in a touchdown in that Tennessee game, 0:15:08.600 --> 0:15:10.520 So give him a four or five targets. We want 0:15:10.520 --> 0:15:13.800 to do now, Kelsey's obvious right. He went seven targets, 0:15:13.840 --> 0:15:17.360 seven catches, seventy five yards and a touchdown in the 0:15:17.400 --> 0:15:20.920 earlier meeting. Tennessee rock by tight ends in December, although 0:15:20.960 --> 0:15:23.720 they did hold Mark Andrews in check last week, well 0:15:23.840 --> 0:15:26.400 Andrews got hurt. He and Hayden her combined for eight 0:15:26.880 --> 0:15:29.440 two and one, and then even Ben Watson had three 0:15:29.480 --> 0:15:34.960 for thirty eight, which if that's like yards and uh 0:15:35.200 --> 0:15:38.800 it real quick. Kelsey now tight end one in PPR 0:15:39.080 --> 0:15:41.440 over the last four years, also a top ten wide 0:15:41.440 --> 0:15:44.640 receiver in PPR scoring four years. I'd still take kill 0:15:44.640 --> 0:15:48.600 Off ahead of him next year. Yeah, it's definitely in 0:15:48.640 --> 0:15:51.560 like a dynasy Empire format, of course. Yeah, that's that's 0:15:51.560 --> 0:15:53.440 gonna be a tough one. Yet Arths is falling out 0:15:53.440 --> 0:15:57.200 of favor in that argument. Um, and you mentioned Tennessee 0:15:57.520 --> 0:15:59.640 getting shredded by tight tight ends over the last seven 0:15:59.680 --> 0:16:02.960 regular season games. They allowed five tight end touchdowns four 0:16:03.000 --> 0:16:07.680 top seventy yards. So let's talk. Let's talk Damian Williams. 0:16:08.400 --> 0:16:10.040 M I was in as I mentioned, I was in 0:16:10.120 --> 0:16:13.120 Las Vegas last week for the Fantasy Sports Trade Are 0:16:13.640 --> 0:16:18.000 Spent Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association Conference, and I placed 0:16:18.160 --> 0:16:21.960 a sizeable wager on Damian Williams. And I want I'm 0:16:21.960 --> 0:16:24.000 not gonna say which way I went until after you're done, 0:16:24.000 --> 0:16:25.560 and we'll see if our thinking lines up on this. 0:16:26.080 --> 0:16:28.960 I'm gonna guess you took the under on rushing yards 0:16:29.000 --> 0:16:32.240 because only three running backs have. So Williams had nineteen 0:16:32.280 --> 0:16:35.120 carries for seventy seven yards rushing five catches for thirty 0:16:35.160 --> 0:16:37.200 two yards in that oh Week ten matchup. Only three 0:16:37.280 --> 0:16:40.000 running backs have topped ninety rushing yards against Tennessee all year, 0:16:40.280 --> 0:16:43.560 Christian McCaffrey, Carlos Hide, Leonard four Nette and it was 0:16:43.640 --> 0:16:45.720 not Carlos Hide last week. That was in the regular season, 0:16:45.760 --> 0:16:47.680 and they all needed twenty four carries to get their 0:16:48.000 --> 0:16:50.760 Baltimore running backs combined for forty two rushing yards on 0:16:50.840 --> 0:16:54.160 just nine carries last week against Tennessee. It's a tough 0:16:54.160 --> 0:16:56.720 matchup on the ground, uh not through the air, though 0:16:56.720 --> 0:16:58.960 only the Colts have allowed more catches to opposing running 0:16:59.000 --> 0:17:01.800 backs than the To's uh So I like Williams a 0:17:01.800 --> 0:17:03.920 lot more through the air in this one. I don't 0:17:03.920 --> 0:17:06.520 think he's gonna put up numbers quite like last week 0:17:06.600 --> 0:17:10.880 or in previous weeks uh more recently, but yeah, he's 0:17:12.440 --> 0:17:14.439 he should be the only running back getting touches for 0:17:14.520 --> 0:17:17.359 this team. That's the part I like. Nobody else touches 0:17:17.400 --> 0:17:19.479 the ball. And I think I think the Chiefs are 0:17:19.480 --> 0:17:21.720 gonna get up early and they're gonna run a lot 0:17:21.840 --> 0:17:24.879 more than we've seen Tennessee, just doesn't you know, Because 0:17:24.880 --> 0:17:27.960 they've been winning so many of their games, they haven't 0:17:28.119 --> 0:17:31.399 had to sweat a lot of big volume runners. I 0:17:31.400 --> 0:17:34.000 think a big volume games coming from Damian Williams. And 0:17:34.320 --> 0:17:37.480 the line is was lower than most people would probably 0:17:37.480 --> 0:17:40.320 guess on Damian Williams for rushing yards. For rushing yards 0:17:40.800 --> 0:17:47.680 seven oh, I would take that over then isn't much 0:17:48.080 --> 0:17:50.919 so um, you know, if if Sony Michelle in a 0:17:51.000 --> 0:17:55.080 loss can get to sixty one yards, Damian Williams in 0:17:55.119 --> 0:17:57.720 a win is gonna get over fifty seven. You parlay 0:17:57.760 --> 0:18:00.000 that with the Ryan Tamhill over fifteen and a half 0:18:00.800 --> 0:18:03.600 that that would be the angles, and uh yeah, there's 0:18:03.640 --> 0:18:06.520 no weather concerns in this one either and Sonny not 0:18:06.600 --> 0:18:10.240 too windy, so two over under. I would take the 0:18:10.280 --> 0:18:12.120 over probably you would. You would hope you see over 0:18:12.200 --> 0:18:14.160 fifty points in this game. But it should be fun one. 0:18:14.200 --> 0:18:16.560 When we come back green Bay taking on San Francisco, 0:18:16.600 --> 0:18:18.800 will break it down fantasy style for you in just 0:18:18.840 --> 0:18:22.840 a moment. Welcome back, Paul Georgie and Brian Johnson with you. 0:18:23.119 --> 0:18:26.480 Green Bay taking on San Francisco. In San Francisco, these 0:18:26.480 --> 0:18:29.800 teams met in week twelve. It was a one sided affair, 0:18:31.160 --> 0:18:35.080 thirty seven to eight in favor of San Francisco. Now 0:18:35.680 --> 0:18:38.600 in San Franco. It was in I'm pretty sure was 0:18:38.640 --> 0:18:40.240 in Green Bay. I think it happened in Lambo if 0:18:40.320 --> 0:18:45.040 memory serves, And um, it wasn't maybe quite as lopsided 0:18:45.040 --> 0:18:47.639 as the score suggests, but it was. It was pretty 0:18:47.720 --> 0:18:51.240 darned lopsided. Let's break down the Green Bay side of 0:18:51.280 --> 0:18:53.720 this where Aaron Rodgers as I feel like I say, 0:18:53.760 --> 0:18:58.159 I've been saying every week for I don't know since Halloween, 0:18:59.280 --> 0:19:02.360 and the number just aren't there. He's um, He's been 0:19:02.560 --> 0:19:06.920 under two hundred forty three yards in eight of the 0:19:07.000 --> 0:19:11.240 last nine games. Two three is nothing. Get this, he 0:19:11.280 --> 0:19:14.399 had a blow up game against the Giants. If I 0:19:14.480 --> 0:19:16.919 take that game out in the Giants terrible secondary. If 0:19:16.920 --> 0:19:21.679 I take that game out, Rogers average game in the 0:19:21.760 --> 0:19:25.639 second half of the season and playoffs two hundred nine 0:19:26.080 --> 0:19:29.639 yards and a touchdown. Uh so it is that that 0:19:29.680 --> 0:19:32.560 game was in San Francis. Thank you, and the over under. 0:19:32.640 --> 0:19:35.880 You're gonna barth with excitement maybe, but you're not gonna 0:19:35.960 --> 0:19:38.440 leave two thirty nine and a half for over under. 0:19:39.000 --> 0:19:41.399 I'm passing arts for Aaron Rodgers. It's come to this, 0:19:41.880 --> 0:19:45.640 Aaron Rodgers. While it is high, honestly, he I bet, 0:19:45.760 --> 0:19:47.520 I bet at least in the second half of the season, 0:19:47.560 --> 0:19:49.560 he's only got a couple of games higher than two 0:19:49.640 --> 0:19:55.040 thirty nine. That's probably it um now in Aaron Rodgers favor, 0:19:55.040 --> 0:19:57.080 He's only thrown one interception in the second half of 0:19:57.080 --> 0:19:59.080 the season. I mean, that's mostly what Aaron Rodgers brings 0:19:59.080 --> 0:20:01.480 to the table right now. He doesn't make mistakes, but 0:20:01.520 --> 0:20:03.960 that's about all he brings to the table. The San 0:20:04.000 --> 0:20:07.000 Francisco uh past defense is so good they get the 0:20:07.040 --> 0:20:10.240 ferocious pass rush they get you know, Nick Ford and 0:20:10.680 --> 0:20:14.920 sorry Nick Bosa, d Ford DeForrest Buckner, all fantastic pass 0:20:15.000 --> 0:20:18.760 rushers and over the across the entire league. Pro Football 0:20:18.800 --> 0:20:22.440 Focus ranks their past rush as third best. Now, in fairness, 0:20:22.440 --> 0:20:25.160 the Green Bay offensive line is great. It's always great 0:20:25.640 --> 0:20:28.560