Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio.
Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio,
Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy speculation and advice.
Speaker 1: Now along with the guys from fanball dot com. Here's
Speaker 1: the host for Fantasy Football Weekly, Paul. It is Fantasy
Speaker 1: Football Weekly. I am Paul Charchy in my co host
Speaker 1: Like last week, Brian Johnson, welcome back. What's up charge?
Speaker 1: I should just get my name in the intro at
Speaker 1: this point. Yeah, like every off season, we're supposed to
Speaker 1: be a nice rotation. Yeah, what happened to the rotation?
Speaker 1: What does happen to these guys? And Jim Matt Now
Speaker 1: I'm Att did one of our off season one's like
Speaker 1: you've done all the rest of them? No Fish, No
Speaker 1: Christian Peterson. That's okay? Well, uh, you know, Scott Fish
Speaker 1: hot off the heels of like the humanitarian I am
Speaker 1: you're talking to me? I don't know. I think he
Speaker 1: signed up barely a human let alone Humanitarian of the Year.
Speaker 1: Uh tell me that is a compliment, Like I'm a machine.
Speaker 1: Tip of the cap to Scott Fish for the award.
Speaker 1: Uh the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association Awards the humanitarian
Speaker 1: of a year within the industry, somebody who's done good
Speaker 1: for others, and Scott Fish was the recipient. He's raised
Speaker 1: over a one hundred thousand dollars over the course of
Speaker 1: Fantasy Cares works out of our office here and many
Speaker 1: of our listeners are familiar with Scott and its contributions
Speaker 1: to this show. So tip of the hat to Scott.
Speaker 1: And before we break down the a f C and
Speaker 1: NFC championship games, how about the real life sabotage drop
Speaker 1: that Cowboys performed on the Giants here. It's a very
Speaker 1: savvy move from a very unsavvy franchise, isn't it. Jason
Speaker 1: Garrett interviewing to be the offensive coordinator of the Giants, Well,
Speaker 1: you know, I'm emotionally detached. I just had enough of
Speaker 1: Gettleman last year. Draft Day was you know, the straw
Speaker 1: that broke the camel's back. But this accelerates I'm gonna
Speaker 1: go back to being a giantsman as soon as they
Speaker 1: can get Leman. This can only accelerate that process. In
Speaker 1: my well, was he wrong? We all thought he was wrong.
Speaker 1: Many thought he was wrong about Daniel Jones. Was he no? Again?
Speaker 1: Probably not? He looks like a good player. I still
Speaker 1: think he could have traded down to get Dan Jones.
Speaker 1: I'm from the believer of that. And there were many
Speaker 1: egregious moves before the Dan. I'm gonna give you another one.
Speaker 1: When he traded Snacks Harrison. I thought he was insane
Speaker 1: because he's trading one of the best run stuffers in
Speaker 1: the NFL. And the Lions got him, and they went
Speaker 1: from being like last in the league against the run
Speaker 1: to like top five. And but Snacks is talking about
Speaker 1: retirement right now, he's starting about hanging it up. I'll
Speaker 1: give you a third Odell Beckham. Who the hell wants
Speaker 1: Odell Beckham anymore? You know, the Brown's may very well
Speaker 1: cut him out right. They gave him a lot of
Speaker 1: guaranteed money that which made no sense. The Giants they
Speaker 1: signed him to an extension and then that is like,
Speaker 1: you don't know what you're doing at that time. That
Speaker 1: is true. But they got out of Beckham as the
Speaker 1: insanity was beginning. So you know, I think in the moment,
Speaker 1: a lot of these gentleman moves have been worse than
Speaker 1: they've actually worked out. The return was always light though
Speaker 1: in all these instances, I think and I know they've
Speaker 1: turned out to be good moves, they still could have
Speaker 1: maximized them. For Mark, I agree with that. With that,
Speaker 1: we shall see. Uh how Jason Garrett, you know, he
Speaker 1: he has ties. He's from New Jersey, like he was
Speaker 1: a parcels guy way back in the day. So he
Speaker 1: was eventually gonna work for this team. He's worked for
Speaker 1: Dallas a little too long probably about Yeah. Well, that
Speaker 1: that division though, it's it's disgusting, the NFC East, that's bad.
Speaker 1: Well it is this yere you know, but you know
Speaker 1: by next year, who knows you could have a thirteen
Speaker 1: game winner come out of that division. Philly better to
Speaker 1: dominate that for the next year, so they stay healthy.
Speaker 1: You think they're the best team, and Dallas should be
Speaker 1: in that conversation as well. We'll find out. Let's break
Speaker 1: down the a f C and NFC championship games, Brian,
Speaker 1: beginning with Tennessee taking on Kansas City. There seven and
Speaker 1: a half point favorites. These teams met in week ten.
Speaker 1: Tennessee won that game and put up thirty five points.
Speaker 1: But I'll note that that was the first game back
Speaker 1: for Patrick Mahomes off that gruesome knee injury and Mahomes
Speaker 1: wasn't quite himself, although they Kansas City still scored thirty
Speaker 1: two points and lost in that game, and Mahomes through
Speaker 1: for four touchdowns six yards. You can't really point at
Speaker 1: Mahomes ago. Well, you know, he came out rusty and
Speaker 1: that's why they lost. So the victors of both games
Speaker 1: last week, the Titans and the Chiefs, very bizarre games,
Speaker 1: both of them. Yeah, so like I don't so, yeah, Well,
Speaker 1: we'll mention this week ten match up a lot between
Speaker 1: UH Tennessee and Kansas City as Kansas City. As we
Speaker 1: go through this, let's start with King Henry Derrick Henry.
Speaker 1: He had twenty three carries for one eight, eight and
Speaker 1: two on the ground in that game. And you know,
Speaker 1: Kansas City. You run against Kansas City, you don't throw
Speaker 1: against Kansas City. Only years passed, the path of least
Speaker 1: resistance was through the air. It's not that way this year.
Speaker 1: UH Kansas City's ranks against the run by Football Outsiders
Speaker 1: the v o A. They've allowed the fourth highest chords
Speaker 1: per carry this season. Houston backs it into a whole
Speaker 1: lot alright, but hold on, Kansas Cities run defense have
Speaker 1: proved a lot down the stretch over the last four
Speaker 1: games are giving up three point nine yards per carry
Speaker 1: in half a touchdown per game on the ground. That's it.
Speaker 1: And this is an improved run defense from the version
Speaker 1: that's skewing season long stats because they were so bad
Speaker 1: in the first half of the season against the run.
Speaker 1: They have gotten a lot better. That is true. That
Speaker 1: is true. Um, I want to go back to Henry
Speaker 1: really quick. By the way, his last eight games glum
Speaker 1: the playoffs, so it's unbelievable. Well over yards and eleven
Speaker 1: touchdowns in his last eight games. It's the all time
Speaker 1: record for most rushing yards in any eight game stretch
Speaker 1: in NFL history. His average, his average game since Week ten,
Speaker 1: which is probably the eight games average game, twenty five carries.
Speaker 1: That's a season, that's a one game season high for
Speaker 1: most backs in this league. That's his average game. One
Speaker 1: hundred sixty nine rushing yards and one point four touchdowns,
Speaker 1: six point three yards per carry. They're all mind boggling
Speaker 1: over such a big stretch of games. It sounds like
Speaker 1: anyone back's best game of the year, and it's Derrick
Speaker 1: Henry's average game. I know he's uh running very motivated
Speaker 1: going into unrestricted circling back real quick. How Kansas City
Speaker 1: is tough on paper right now against running backs, but
Speaker 1: starting in week fourteen, Patriots no run game, no running
Speaker 1: back head more than seven carries, Denver third team total carries.
Speaker 1: It looks like then Chicago. So not the greatest of
Speaker 1: competition for uh. But but you know they're they're gonna
Speaker 1: ride Henry into the sunset, ride or die whatever, you know,
Speaker 1: playing one to throw out there. Um, I will mention
Speaker 1: the Colts and Titans are the only teams to allow
Speaker 1: more receptions to opposing running backs than the Chiefs game.
Speaker 1: So I will mention Dian Lewis one more time. No
Speaker 1: touches last week? The he did not need to touch
Speaker 1: the ball? Well, no, they got ahead and they stayed
Speaker 1: had you you we expected Baltimore to get ahead and
Speaker 1: stay ahead. Certainly the Chiefs have that potential which might
Speaker 1: bring Dion Lewis into play, which you know makes him
Speaker 1: a cheap DFS dart. But h by the way, your
Speaker 1: your DFS darts last week I think paid off. We
Speaker 1: uh we love Damien Williams. That paid off. You like
Speaker 1: Darren Fell that paid off. He should have had like
Speaker 1: three more catches too. He had had two drops and
Speaker 1: there was another tight end you liked. Oh it was
Speaker 1: hollow star. He didn't do as he didn't do so well,
Speaker 1: no he did not. But yeah, let's let's talk about
Speaker 1: the Tennessee tight ends who led the team in receptions
Speaker 1: in that weekend game. They had seven catches. John Nu
Speaker 1: Smith and Anthony Ferks are No other Titans receiver had
Speaker 1: more than one. Well they only how many? They only
Speaker 1: completed like eleven passes in the game. Uh so in
Speaker 1: that game, john Nu Smith and Folks are combined for
Speaker 1: seven catches, seventy six yards and a touchdown. Ferks had
Speaker 1: to touchdown. Um, john Nu Smith when he sees the ball,
Speaker 1: which he doesn't see it enough. Listen to these numbers.
Speaker 1: Yards per target ten that's number two tight ends among
Speaker 1: forty one qualified tight ends. And yards after the catch
Speaker 1: per reception seven point eight that's second as well. He
Speaker 1: just doesn't see the ball enough. That's you are the
Speaker 1: guy who was mocking me one show ago for my
Speaker 1: love of Johnny Smith. I wasn't mocking. Yes, you mocked,
Speaker 1: you absolutely mocked. I would have to check the tape.
Speaker 1: He he wasn't used as a receiver at all in
Speaker 1: the wild Guard game. So it was Fers wasn't the guy?
Speaker 1: I mean it was Matt. Maybe it was Matt. I didn't,
Speaker 1: I wouldn't. I like Johnny Smith. Um, so the Chiefs
Speaker 1: uh last week, as you mentioned, fellas had to touchdown
Speaker 1: and so continue to the playoffs. They've been given up
Speaker 1: to tightens all the year. The surrender the second most
Speaker 1: catches to tight ends. Kansas City has third most red
Speaker 1: zone targets to the position. So I'm like Johnny Smith
Speaker 1: and Anthony Folks are the two best receivers on the
Speaker 1: team going into this game. And I saw the odds
Speaker 1: for Ferks here to score the first touchdowns like one
Speaker 1: and then at any point in the game. It's like
Speaker 1: one kind of like, I like Johnny Smith's chances better.
Speaker 1: His odds aren't as good, but is are way up there.
Speaker 1: But so what do you think a J. Brown in
Speaker 1: this one? You know, there's not even another receiver worth
Speaker 1: mentioning this game other than Brown, and he I know
Speaker 1: he runs the majority of his routes on the left,
Speaker 1: which puts him on Brashot Brelan, which is he's probably
Speaker 1: the worst of the cornerbacks they've got, although he's not bad,
Speaker 1: but he's probably the worst of the ones I've got. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it's it's It's another tough matchup and Brown has struggled.
Speaker 1: And tough matchup starting in week fifteen is New Orleans,
Speaker 1: New England Baltimore. He's had like one catching each of
Speaker 1: those games, and this matchup is arguably almost as bad
Speaker 1: as all of those. So I'm not loving A J. Brown.
Speaker 1: He's a contrarian play at this point. Again, and see,
Speaker 1: I kind of like him as a contrarian play, almost
Speaker 1: like Corey Davis more. Yeah, just because he's cheaper. Called
Speaker 1: the birthday touchdown, by the way, nicely done. But here's
Speaker 1: the thing A J. Browns could Yeah, And you know, so,
Speaker 1: I mean, if you think Tennessee's gonna be competitive, if
Speaker 1: you think they're gonna be passing more to stay in
Speaker 1: the game, which I do, I like it. I think
Speaker 1: they would make an effort to put a Dorry Jackson
Speaker 1: on E J. Brown, though I don't know. I don't
Speaker 1: like either of them to put it that. I mean,
Speaker 1: I like the tight ends and uh Derrick Henry and uh.
Speaker 1: Last week Ryan Tannehill had one one and two passing
Speaker 1: and three rushes for thirty seven yards in that Week
Speaker 1: ten game. And I'm mentioning the rushing yards because I'm
Speaker 1: loving the prop bed on his rushing yards at fifteen
Speaker 1: and a half is the over under thirty seven Taniel
Speaker 1: had in that Week ten game. Now here's some other
Speaker 1: quarterbacks rushing totals against the Chiefs of this year. Give
Speaker 1: me one second, uh, Derek Carr eighteen yards, that's more
Speaker 1: than fifteen and a half. Lamar Jackson forty six, of course,
Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford eighteen yards, Shaun Watson forty two yards, Aaron
Speaker 1: Rodgers twenty nine yards, Tannehill again thirty seven, Tom Brady
Speaker 1: twenty yards. Hammer Day over on the Ryan Tannehill rushing
Speaker 1: proplects like it. Okay good um, Yeah, he's he's more
Speaker 1: fleet of foot than people realize. Again, a converted wide
Speaker 1: receiver when he played a year and a half of
Speaker 1: quarterback at a ok Oho. I can't remember when he
Speaker 1: went to a big time school too, but anyway, unlike
Speaker 1: years passed tho again, Kansas City, very tough secondary. They
Speaker 1: did lose starting uh free safety. I'm blanking on. His
Speaker 1: name is definitely not honey badger. He will play and
Speaker 1: he's been great. He's been great kans Their best rusher,
Speaker 1: Chris Jones, who led the team in sacks for the Chiefs,
Speaker 1: missed last week's status still very up in the air
Speaker 1: for this one, so that would bide well for Tannehill.
Speaker 1: But again, it's just all about Derrick Henry in this game.
Speaker 1: Let's talk about Kansas City real quick. So I can't
Speaker 1: do Kansas City quickly because I talk about feeling we're
Speaker 1: running long on this one. But we'll kick back. So
Speaker 1: Baltimore had basically eight scoring opportunities last week. They had
Speaker 1: drives that finished on Tennessee's thirty six, thirty one, four
Speaker 1: yard line, eighteen yard line, thirty one, fifteen, sixteen, and
Speaker 1: twenty one yard line, and they lost and finished with
Speaker 1: twelve points. That's crazy. It's not like the Titans were
Speaker 1: shutting down Baltimore. They just couldn't execute in scoring range.
Speaker 1: And I liked the Chiefs chances to execute in scoring
Speaker 1: range in this one. We mentioned Mahomes had four or
Speaker 1: forty six and three in that first game. The Titans
Speaker 1: have surrendered multiple passing scores in eleven of seventeen regular
Speaker 1: season games. If you're throwing one line up in any
Speaker 1: kind of contest, you gotta have my homes in it.
Speaker 1: I think you do too. Um, Can I just mention
Speaker 1: this about my homes? You know, for as much as
Speaker 1: he's already accomplished, Brian, you know, one thing he hadn't
Speaker 1: faced yet was a huge deficit in the playoff game.
Speaker 1: And it didn't face him at all, unflappable. And there
Speaker 1: are a lot of young quarterbacks and he's still we
Speaker 1: forget you know, he's still a very young quarterback. Um,
Speaker 1: he didn't even did not even phase him in the
Speaker 1: slightest There are a lot of guys that might have
Speaker 1: that might a lot of younger quarterbacks that might have
Speaker 1: just gone belly up at that moment and not not
Speaker 1: pattern here he rose to the occasion eccasion big time
Speaker 1: that I don't know who was the first or the
Speaker 1: second touchdown. It was still on the comeback, like he
Speaker 1: completed the comeback in the second quarter, by the way, Yeah,
Speaker 1: I really like the greatest comebacks of all time. Those
Speaker 1: are like cool games. He did in the quarter when
Speaker 1: he dragged his foot like everyone thought he was over
Speaker 1: the Yeah, I mean yeah, how about press of mine? Nothing?
Speaker 1: And I nudged my wife and I was at that
Speaker 1: point I was leaving for Vegas the next day and
Speaker 1: I said too. I said to her, oh, man, i'd
Speaker 1: i'd still even down twenty for nothing. I think I'd
Speaker 1: be betting them to win right now. And she's like, oh,
Speaker 1: that doesn't seem like a very good you know, I
Speaker 1: doesn't seem very likely twenty for nothing nobody know. I'm like, yeah,
Speaker 1: nobody ever comes back from twenty for nothing, but if anything,
Speaker 1: kind of be that one. And then they did it
Speaker 1: at half and I'm thinking, here, I was trying to be,
Speaker 1: you know, contrarian guy, and they've made it look easy. Crazy.
Speaker 1: We need to legalize gambling in Minnesota so we can
Speaker 1: make those bets. Because I had the same thought as
Speaker 1: well as like, no better money on a live bet
Speaker 1: for at the time, you didn't seem like good, but
Speaker 1: it was very plausible and it came through. In the
Speaker 1: earlier matchup with Tennessee Mahomes through fifty passes five zero, man,
Speaker 1: if he gets in anything close to fifty, yeah, it's
Speaker 1: gonna be explosive output for him. What do you think
Speaker 1: it's go ahead? Nineteen of those passes went to Tyree
Speaker 1: Hills Gonna catches for seven and one for Tyreek and
Speaker 1: targets for Tyreek Hills there. And by the way, you
Speaker 1: think that you hear her the chiefs if I told
Speaker 1: you the cheaper would come back from twenty four nothing
Speaker 1: score fifty one points. But Tyreek Hill is gonna have
Speaker 1: forty five scoreless yards gonna uh, He's probably gonna get
Speaker 1: his in this one. Uh. Again, it was a weird
Speaker 1: game for Baltimore and Tennessee last week. Baltimore kind of
Speaker 1: comeback moved. But Ravens wide out said eight teen catches
Speaker 1: in that game. That's a lot. So you gotta like
Speaker 1: Tyree Hill a lot. You think Sammy Watkins goes back
Speaker 1: to back here, back to back, like like doing something,
Speaker 1: because he had a good game last week. It was decent.
Speaker 1: He didn't score right, I don't think he did scar right.
Speaker 1: He had He had like fifty six combo arts, which
Speaker 1: is sadly a good game for He had five for
Speaker 1: thirty nine on nine targets in that Week ten matchup.
Speaker 1: He had two rushes for twelve yards as well. Again,
Speaker 1: I like me Cole Hardman the most outside of Tyreek
Speaker 1: Hill only seventeen percent of the snaps last week. DeMarcus
Speaker 1: Robinson Robinson's bad all drops last week, holy and had
Speaker 1: four targets in the seventeen very high percentage, so'll get
Speaker 1: him on the field more. He had one catch for
Speaker 1: sixty three yards in a touchdown in that Tennessee game,
Speaker 1: So give him a four or five targets. We want
Speaker 1: to do now, Kelsey's obvious right. He went seven targets,
Speaker 1: seven catches, seventy five yards and a touchdown in the
Speaker 1: earlier meeting. Tennessee rock by tight ends in December, although
Speaker 1: they did hold Mark Andrews in check last week, well
Speaker 1: Andrews got hurt. He and Hayden her combined for eight
Speaker 1: two and one, and then even Ben Watson had three
Speaker 1: for thirty eight, which if that's like yards and uh
Speaker 1: it real quick. Kelsey now tight end one in PPR
Speaker 1: over the last four years, also a top ten wide
Speaker 1: receiver in PPR scoring four years. I'd still take kill
Speaker 1: Off ahead of him next year. Yeah, it's definitely in
Speaker 1: like a dynasy Empire format, of course. Yeah, that's that's
Speaker 1: gonna be a tough one. Yet Arths is falling out
Speaker 1: of favor in that argument. Um, and you mentioned Tennessee
Speaker 1: getting shredded by tight tight ends over the last seven
Speaker 1: regular season games. They allowed five tight end touchdowns four
Speaker 1: top seventy yards. So let's talk. Let's talk Damian Williams.
Speaker 1: M I was in as I mentioned, I was in
Speaker 1: Las Vegas last week for the Fantasy Sports Trade Are
Speaker 1: Spent Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association Conference, and I placed
Speaker 1: a sizeable wager on Damian Williams. And I want I'm
Speaker 1: not gonna say which way I went until after you're done,
Speaker 1: and we'll see if our thinking lines up on this.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna guess you took the under on rushing yards
Speaker 1: because only three running backs have. So Williams had nineteen
Speaker 1: carries for seventy seven yards rushing five catches for thirty
Speaker 1: two yards in that oh Week ten matchup. Only three
Speaker 1: running backs have topped ninety rushing yards against Tennessee all year,
Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey, Carlos Hide, Leonard four Nette and it was
Speaker 1: not Carlos Hide last week. That was in the regular season,
Speaker 1: and they all needed twenty four carries to get their
Speaker 1: Baltimore running backs combined for forty two rushing yards on
Speaker 1: just nine carries last week against Tennessee. It's a tough
Speaker 1: matchup on the ground, uh not through the air, though
Speaker 1: only the Colts have allowed more catches to opposing running
Speaker 1: backs than the To's uh So I like Williams a
Speaker 1: lot more through the air in this one. I don't
Speaker 1: think he's gonna put up numbers quite like last week
Speaker 1: or in previous weeks uh more recently, but yeah, he's
Speaker 1: he should be the only running back getting touches for
Speaker 1: this team. That's the part I like. Nobody else touches
Speaker 1: the ball. And I think I think the Chiefs are
Speaker 1: gonna get up early and they're gonna run a lot
Speaker 1: more than we've seen Tennessee, just doesn't you know, Because
Speaker 1: they've been winning so many of their games, they haven't
Speaker 1: had to sweat a lot of big volume runners. I
Speaker 1: think a big volume games coming from Damian Williams. And
Speaker 1: the line is was lower than most people would probably
Speaker 1: guess on Damian Williams for rushing yards. For rushing yards
Speaker 1: seven oh, I would take that over then isn't much
Speaker 1: so um, you know, if if Sony Michelle in a
Speaker 1: loss can get to sixty one yards, Damian Williams in
Speaker 1: a win is gonna get over fifty seven. You parlay
Speaker 1: that with the Ryan Tamhill over fifteen and a half
Speaker 1: that that would be the angles, and uh yeah, there's
Speaker 1: no weather concerns in this one either and Sonny not
Speaker 1: too windy, so two over under. I would take the
Speaker 1: over probably you would. You would hope you see over
Speaker 1: fifty points in this game. But it should be fun one.
Speaker 1: When we come back green Bay taking on San Francisco,
Speaker 1: will break it down fantasy style for you in just
Speaker 1: a moment. Welcome back, Paul Georgie and Brian Johnson with you.
Speaker 1: Green Bay taking on San Francisco. In San Francisco, these
Speaker 1: teams met in week twelve. It was a one sided affair,
Speaker 1: thirty seven to eight in favor of San Francisco. Now
Speaker 1: in San Franco. It was in I'm pretty sure was
Speaker 1: in Green Bay. I think it happened in Lambo if
Speaker 1: memory serves, And um, it wasn't maybe quite as lopsided
Speaker 1: as the score suggests, but it was. It was pretty
Speaker 1: darned lopsided. Let's break down the Green Bay side of
Speaker 1: this where Aaron Rodgers as I feel like I say,
Speaker 1: I've been saying every week for I don't know since Halloween,
Speaker 1: and the number just aren't there. He's um, He's been
Speaker 1: under two hundred forty three yards in eight of the
Speaker 1: last nine games. Two three is nothing. Get this, he
Speaker 1: had a blow up game against the Giants. If I
Speaker 1: take that game out in the Giants terrible secondary. If
Speaker 1: I take that game out, Rogers average game in the
Speaker 1: second half of the season and playoffs two hundred nine
Speaker 1: yards and a touchdown. Uh so it is that that
Speaker 1: game was in San Francis. Thank you, and the over under.
Speaker 1: You're gonna barth with excitement maybe, but you're not gonna
Speaker 1: leave two thirty nine and a half for over under.
Speaker 1: I'm passing arts for Aaron Rodgers. It's come to this,
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers. While it is high, honestly, he I bet,
Speaker 1: I bet at least in the second half of the season,
Speaker 1: he's only got a couple of games higher than two
Speaker 1: thirty nine. That's probably it um now in Aaron Rodgers favor,
Speaker 1: He's only thrown one interception in the second half of
Speaker 1: the season. I mean, that's mostly what Aaron Rodgers brings
Speaker 1: to the table right now. He doesn't make mistakes, but
Speaker 1: that's about all he brings to the table. The San
Speaker 1: Francisco uh past defense is so good they get the
Speaker 1: ferocious pass rush they get you know, Nick Ford and
Speaker 1: sorry Nick Bosa, d Ford DeForrest Buckner, all fantastic pass
Speaker 1: rushers and over the across the entire league. Pro Football
Speaker 1: Focus ranks their past rush as third best. Now, in fairness,
Speaker 1: the Green Bay offensive line is great. It's always great
Speaker 1: and um and you know they will provide some time
Speaker 1: for Aaron Rodgers, but it mostly on the balance of
Speaker 1: it, it it hasn't mattered a lot. I'm guessing Brian Bulaga
Speaker 1: is good to go because I was like, yeah, I
Speaker 1: think that, yeah, right, I believe. I believe he will play.
Speaker 1: We expected to play in this UM. Cornerback at Kello
Speaker 1: Witherspoon got benched last week. He will probably not go.
Speaker 1: His replaced Emmanuel Moseley, gave up only three catches for
Speaker 1: twenty four yards against the Vikings, so Emmanuel mostly expected
Speaker 1: to start there. So then the question is where do
Speaker 1: you What do you do with the Davante Adams Right,
Speaker 1: most of the other receivers don't even matter. So do
Speaker 1: you put Adams on Richard Sherman's side of the field
Speaker 1: where he gets raised probably and try to make hay
Speaker 1: with your other guys, or do you put Davontae Adams
Speaker 1: on the left side of the field away from Richard Sherman,
Speaker 1: knowing that they'll just roll extra coverage to that side
Speaker 1: and you're not throwing a Richard Sherman's side anyway. And
Speaker 1: now you've got a huge problem potentially on both sides
Speaker 1: of the field. And that's the conundrum that they give
Speaker 1: you with Sherman being so good one on one. And
Speaker 1: then if you do that, it gives you the ability
Speaker 1: to do heave a few passes on the left side
Speaker 1: a little bit like the Digs touchdown last week, probably
Speaker 1: to uh Alan los Art, but very you're most likely
Speaker 1: candidate to pull something in. You know who almost would
Speaker 1: be likely candidate would be Geronimo Allison if not for
Speaker 1: his birthday being on Saturday. I'm a huge mistake. You
Speaker 1: don't like the pre day, you don't like the birthday
Speaker 1: of the day before that. That's the hangout on the
Speaker 1: next Absolutely avoid Geronimo at all costs. Let's talky about
Speaker 1: the writing game for the Packers last week. Dalvin Grant
Speaker 1: for two yards per carry. That's it. Uh Aaron Jones
Speaker 1: is more of a threat to San Francisco than um
Speaker 1: than We're sorry Aaron. What am I trying to say here?
Speaker 1: I think the Niners. I think the Niners are gonna
Speaker 1: play to shut down Here's what I'm trying to say.
Speaker 1: I think the Niners a gonna play to shut down
Speaker 1: Aaron Jones because Aaron Jones is a bigger threat than
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers is. Aaron Rodgers doesn't worry me if I'm
Speaker 1: the Niners, I don't want Aaron Jones beating because he's
Speaker 1: winning games. They're winning games on Aaron Jones, not Aaron Rodgers.
Speaker 1: I don't I think that's gonna be. I think they're
Speaker 1: gonna play to shut down Aaron Jones, much like they
Speaker 1: did to Dalvin Cook. And I mentioned this last week.
Speaker 1: Let me mention it again because it was super relevant
Speaker 1: last week. San Francisco is awesome against past receiving backs.
Speaker 1: They held Dalvin Cook, I believe to eight catches for
Speaker 1: nine yards through a lot of them are negative yards,
Speaker 1: like what was the longest by like three yards something
Speaker 1: like that. San Francisco is allowed the third fewest running
Speaker 1: back receptions, the second fewest running backers eaving yards, and
Speaker 1: they didn't give up a single touchdown through the air
Speaker 1: door running back. It became quite evident to you me,
Speaker 1: anyone like stopped throwing screen passes. It's not working. Although
Speaker 1: some of that was Kirk checking down for sure, but still, um,
Speaker 1: it's I'm nervous about Aaron Jones here because I really
Speaker 1: believe that's that's going to be the foremost element that
Speaker 1: the Niners will take away sixty four point five is
Speaker 1: the over under run rushing yards for Jones. SERI receiving
Speaker 1: that's not as easy to find. That's not very good, ux,
Speaker 1: But anyway, that seems high. All right, let's go to uh,
Speaker 1: let's go to the passing game for the Niners. Garoppolo
Speaker 1: barely used last week only through nineteen passes. In the
Speaker 1: games they didn't have to, I think they ran fifty times.
Speaker 1: Green based pass defense has been really good. They've allowed
Speaker 1: zero or one touchdown in six straight games. In the
Speaker 1: second half of the season. They've allowed less than one
Speaker 1: touchdown pass per game. Deebo Samuel runs almost half his
Speaker 1: plays from Emmanuel Moseley side of the field, so he'll
Speaker 1: avoid Richard Sherman mostly. Our Sorry, that's that I got
Speaker 1: the team's backwards on that. Sorry, that's a man, that
Speaker 1: says if Tebo Samuels running on his own team. UM
Speaker 1: Diebo Samuel runs most of his plays on the left
Speaker 1: side of the field. That's Kevin King's side. Uh predominantly angle, UM,
Speaker 1: and so that that's your angle for Deebo. Samuel is
Speaker 1: um that he gets the worst cornerback available, so that
Speaker 1: might work out. Emmanuel Sanders will UM will have to
Speaker 1: plays a lot of the slot. He plays the right
Speaker 1: side of the field. Dores are worst matchups predominantly. UM.
Speaker 1: Trmon Williams has been shocking in his eight fourth year
Speaker 1: of service in the slot and Jr. Alexander has really
Speaker 1: come along nicely. I'm I'm less optimistic about Emmanuel Sanders here.
Speaker 1: Kendrick Bourne scored last week. Could be a wild card,
Speaker 1: but he's UM. I think that's all he is a
Speaker 1: wild card, and I don't love chasing last week's But
Speaker 1: he will be a popular chalky cheap option because of
Speaker 1: last week because the last week he runs predominantly from
Speaker 1: the slot as well. And again I don't love the
Speaker 1: slot matchups here. UM. Kyle use check Uh. I know
Speaker 1: some people tried him as a minimum salary attempt. Did
Speaker 1: not work out at all last week because the Niners
Speaker 1: got up so by so much they didn't have to
Speaker 1: throw to him, and that's where his value comes in.
Speaker 1: What do you think about use check as a potential
Speaker 1: DFS minimum salary guy? Yeah, I'd go to uh Anthony
Speaker 1: Ferkser instead, because you don't want to You don't get
Speaker 1: cute at running back in any even regular season post
Speaker 1: season DFS contest. I always pay up for running backs
Speaker 1: because you want the guaranteed touches, Bill cow whatever you
Speaker 1: want to say. But yeah, in the flex, I would
Speaker 1: punt with Brokes through this week. Um, yeah, they gotta
Speaker 1: stop George Kittle, which is a problem. Um he's laboring
Speaker 1: with a bit of an ankle issue, but it shouldn't
Speaker 1: be an issue here. Kittle roasted the Packers in the
Speaker 1: first meeting six targets, six catches, one hundred twenty nine
Speaker 1: yards and a touchdown. And the Packers have faced four
Speaker 1: really good tight ends this year, with Kittle being one
Speaker 1: of them. Also Zach Ertz, Darren Waller, and Travis Kelsey.
Speaker 1: They all posted very strong fantasy games. Yeah, and we've
Speaker 1: liked Hollister last week he didn't come through, but on
Speaker 1: paper it's quite obviously like tight ends against the Packers. Yes, actually,
Speaker 1: George and hollistered into nothing. He had at least a
Speaker 1: handful of catches. Uh, let's talk about the San Francisco
Speaker 1: running game against Green Bay. We Um, you know this
Speaker 1: is a team that loves to run the ball if
Speaker 1: they get ahead, and if you know their favored by
Speaker 1: seven and a half, just like last week. Um, that's
Speaker 1: an opportunity to run the ball. So did you hear
Speaker 1: that it came out late that Mostard was hurt? Yeah,
Speaker 1: we didn't know that was hurt. Um. And he's practicing now,
Speaker 1: and so a lot of us thought most it was
Speaker 1: gonna be the eye. So it's Matt Breed a week
Speaker 1: then maybe because actually Coleman's little thing up now too,
Speaker 1: So it might be I think this might be one
Speaker 1: to just avoid. Prior to Tevin Coleman's hundred five yards
Speaker 1: last week, no Niners back had topped sixty nine yards
Speaker 1: in four games. Only one one hundred yard game had
Speaker 1: been posted since Week eight. So yeah, I just don't think.
Speaker 1: I just don't think there's an angle with any of
Speaker 1: these runners that I feel great about. Well, if Coleman
Speaker 1: is truly ding, that's very interesting. This one book. I'm
Speaker 1: not gonna give it a free advertising, but most of
Speaker 1: it's over un run. Rushing yards is forty five and
Speaker 1: a half and Coleman's is forty four and a half.
Speaker 1: Jeff Wilson, Jeff Wilson, I had to go back to
Speaker 1: Aaron Jones very quickly. Two and a half receptions is
Speaker 1: over under That seems pretty well, that's low, but again
Speaker 1: the Niners are awesome against that. But look at you know,
Speaker 1: the Vikings completed eight or nine to Dalvin Cook. They
Speaker 1: just didn't go anywhere. And then maybe that's and maybe
Speaker 1: that the Packers are gonna look at that and go, well,
Speaker 1: we're not even gonna pass. They put the necessary pressure
Speaker 1: to like you said, forcing to check down and a lot,
Speaker 1: so I would hammer that over. I feel could be
Speaker 1: Um what else you want to say about the running
Speaker 1: game here? Only Christian mcaffrey's top to one hundred yards
Speaker 1: against Green Bay in the second half of the season.
Speaker 1: But they're giving up four and a half yards per
Speaker 1: carry in the second half of the season. That's kid
Speaker 1: gets you to a big game. I don't think holding
Speaker 1: Marshawn Lynch like Green Bay did to two yards per
Speaker 1: carry means anything. Marshawn Lynch is completely and utterly cooked.
Speaker 1: Just nothing left there. I don't think so, just from
Speaker 1: a as a side note, that's done a fantasy breakdown
Speaker 1: on this seven and a half. Both games are roughly
Speaker 1: seven and a half points. Are you laying the seven
Speaker 1: and a half? No, I'm not. I think the favorites
Speaker 1: finally play like the favorites in this one. It's especially
Speaker 1: San Francisco. I just I don't see Green Bay put
Speaker 1: up much doing much better than the Vikings did last week.
Speaker 1: And I don't know, maybe a little bit better. But Tennessee,
Speaker 1: who knows, they're running hot. But in Kansas City, I
Speaker 1: feel like it's it's it's got to come to an
Speaker 1: end somewhere between one. If I had to pick one
Speaker 1: delay the points, they would it would be the Chiefs.
Speaker 1: I mean I would take the points with the Titans,
Speaker 1: especially with the hook seven and a half. But that
Speaker 1: half is that half makes it awfu, doesn't it? When
Speaker 1: it comes to daily this is probably even though it's
Speaker 1: It's granted it's only four games, but outside of the
Speaker 1: quarterbacks on fanball, you can play two super flex but
Speaker 1: the tight ends Kelsey and Kittle plays over all the
Speaker 1: running backs even Derrick Henry, I'd rather fight to pick two.
Speaker 1: Would you play? Would you play more but fanball U
Speaker 1: super flex? Would you play, Well, you don't even have
Speaker 1: to be super flex for the two tight ends. Would
Speaker 1: you play? Would you prioritize a two tight end lineup? Oh? Yeah,
Speaker 1: I mean, I mean Kelsey Kittle might be the highest
Speaker 1: scoring school position players, especially in PPR, and that includes
Speaker 1: Derrick Henry and Davante Adams of course, yeah, definitely could be.
Speaker 1: Thanks Brian, great job clocking in it almost exactly thirty
Speaker 1: minutes for this podcast. We managed to talk about two
Speaker 1: games for thirty minutes. Dear Lord, congratulations for those of
Speaker 1: you that got to the end of the podcast. We
Speaker 1: love that. Thank you for listening throughout the whole thing.
Speaker 1: We encourage you to go to fanball dot com play
Speaker 1: some sury cap this weekend. Still uh so's to me,
Speaker 1: it's a lot more fun with two games than it
Speaker 1: is with one game. But we will break down the
Speaker 1: Super Bowl beginning next week as well. Talk to you
Speaker 1: in a week everybody. Bobbye Fantasy Football Weekly is a
Speaker 1: production of I Heart Radio. For more podcasts from my
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