WEBVTT - NFL Super Bowl Game and Prop Bets (Ep. 47) 0:00:11.760 --> 0:00:14.280 Hey there, everybody. Welcome to the Super Bowl edition of 0:00:14.320 --> 0:00:17.680 the Betting Pros NFL Podcast, brought to you by bet MGM. 0:00:17.840 --> 0:00:19.799 I'm your host, Dan Harris. You can find me on 0:00:19.840 --> 0:00:23.400 Twitter at Dan Harris eighty. This is it the biggest 0:00:23.440 --> 0:00:25.800 gambling event of the year, The Super Bowl is here. 0:00:26.120 --> 0:00:28.240 It's an event so big that we're bringing on not 0:00:28.360 --> 0:00:31.280 just one, but two guests. You love them both. I 0:00:31.440 --> 0:00:34.720 mildly tolerate them both. They are Sean Green, co creator 0:00:34.760 --> 0:00:38.200 and co host of the Sports Gambling Podcast, and Andrew Cayley, 0:00:38.240 --> 0:00:42.000 a senior publishing editor over at Covers. Gentlemen, how are you. 0:00:42.680 --> 0:00:44.440 I'm doing great, man, Thanks for having me on. 0:00:45.920 --> 0:00:47.000 I'm really excited to be here. 0:00:47.120 --> 0:00:48.640 Yeah, this is where you guys are gonna have to 0:00:48.680 --> 0:00:51.159 be really careful because you're just gonna both you're There 0:00:51.159 --> 0:00:52.880 are gonna be periods where you guys are just gonna 0:00:52.880 --> 0:00:55.040 sit there in silence because Andrew's gonna be like, oh, 0:00:55.080 --> 0:00:56.880 I think Sean's gonna talk, and so it's gonna be like, 0:00:56.920 --> 0:00:59.480 I think Andrew's gonna talk. So it's fine, it doesn't matter. 0:00:59.520 --> 0:01:01.680 You guys can just talk. Don't even worry about it. 0:01:01.840 --> 0:01:04.200 So here's how things are gonna go today. We're gonna 0:01:04.200 --> 0:01:06.399 break down the game itself with the spread and the 0:01:06.400 --> 0:01:08.600 over under, and then we're gonna move to some props, 0:01:08.640 --> 0:01:11.319 which is really where things get crazy in the Super Bowl. 0:01:11.480 --> 0:01:13.399 Is that good with you, guys? Sean? Is that good 0:01:13.440 --> 0:01:16.440 with you? Yeah slock it in, Andrew? Is that good 0:01:16.480 --> 0:01:16.840 with you? 0:01:17.440 --> 0:01:20.440 That's that's awesome with me. Let's not hold anything back. 0:01:20.360 --> 0:01:22.440 All right, it's the last game of the season. Can't 0:01:22.440 --> 0:01:26.200 hold anything all right? Good? 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Now, if you don't win that helmet, you 0:02:01.160 --> 0:02:03.680 should still go check out Pristineauction dot com. That's p 0:02:03.920 --> 0:02:06.680 RI s t i n E Auction dot com. They 0:02:06.680 --> 0:02:09.080 have a ton of great sports and other memorabilia. It 0:02:09.160 --> 0:02:11.240 is addicting. You will find something that you love and 0:02:11.280 --> 0:02:14.120 it will almost certainly be at an amazing price. And 0:02:14.160 --> 0:02:16.200 when you go there, don't forget to use our promo 0:02:16.240 --> 0:02:18.839 code Betting Pros. You get a free five dollars vouch 0:02:18.919 --> 0:02:23.600 or instantly. All right, gentlemen, the spread has stayed pretty 0:02:23.639 --> 0:02:26.440 consistent here throughout the week. The Chiefs are laying one 0:02:26.480 --> 0:02:29.440 and a half. The total has climbed since it first opened, 0:02:29.639 --> 0:02:31.880 but I kind of expected it to keep going as 0:02:31.880 --> 0:02:33.919 the public was pounding it. It's kind of settled right 0:02:33.960 --> 0:02:36.400 now at fifty four and a half. We'll let Sean 0:02:36.560 --> 0:02:38.440 start us off here on the games, Andrew you can 0:02:38.440 --> 0:02:40.200 start us off first on the prop. So, Sean, what's 0:02:40.240 --> 0:02:42.640 your reaction here? How are you breaking down this spread 0:02:42.639 --> 0:02:43.200 and the total? 0:02:44.080 --> 0:02:46.840 Yeah, I mean I didn't think the spread would ever 0:02:46.840 --> 0:02:49.720 get up to three points because I think, you know, 0:02:49.760 --> 0:02:51.680 everyone would kind of hammer the forty nine ers if 0:02:51.680 --> 0:02:55.120 it got up to three points. I instinctively just look 0:02:55.200 --> 0:02:57.320 to the under. In general, I'm gonna be on the 0:02:57.360 --> 0:02:59.680 under in this game. I'm I'm like you, I'm going 0:02:59.720 --> 0:03:01.680 to wait and see if it gets bet up anymore. 0:03:01.919 --> 0:03:04.400 I was hoping to get it like maybe fifty six, 0:03:04.440 --> 0:03:06.720 but even fifty four and a half, I'm on the under. 0:03:06.840 --> 0:03:08.480 I'm on the Chiefs as well. I see it like 0:03:08.520 --> 0:03:13.480 thirty one twenty one. I think it's just Andy Reid's time. 0:03:13.600 --> 0:03:16.480 More than anything, it's just Andy Reid's time. He leads 0:03:16.760 --> 0:03:19.680 NFL coaches for the amount of wins in the regular 0:03:19.760 --> 0:03:23.200 season amount of playoff wins without winning a championship. I 0:03:23.200 --> 0:03:25.359 think this year is the year he kind of gets 0:03:25.360 --> 0:03:27.720 the monkey off his back. He looks amazing in a 0:03:27.760 --> 0:03:32.400 wine shirt down in Miami there, and really, matchup wise, 0:03:32.919 --> 0:03:34.680 you could make a great case for the forty nine ers, 0:03:34.720 --> 0:03:36.400 And normally I would lean to a team like the 0:03:36.400 --> 0:03:39.080 forty nine ers, physical defense, able to run the ball, 0:03:39.080 --> 0:03:43.720 control the clock. I just think Patrick Mahomes. I'm not 0:03:43.800 --> 0:03:47.520 gonna go against Patrick Mahomes here. He really is the 0:03:47.880 --> 0:03:51.080 I mean, you know it sounds cliche, but I think 0:03:51.120 --> 0:03:54.680 he's enough to carry this team. And we'll get into 0:03:54.720 --> 0:03:56.200 it in the props as far as the style of 0:03:56.240 --> 0:03:58.440 the game. But I really think the Chiefs at the 0:03:58.560 --> 0:03:59.800 end of the day will be able to move the 0:03:59.840 --> 0:04:02.480 ball and get more points than the forty nine ers, 0:04:02.520 --> 0:04:04.080 and that's what matters now. 0:04:04.120 --> 0:04:08.760 Andrew, you're a noted hater of Hawaiian shirts, So how 0:04:08.760 --> 0:04:12.320 do you feel here about the Chiefs slaying one and 0:04:12.320 --> 0:04:14.240 a half in the total at fifty four and a half. 0:04:14.560 --> 0:04:16.920 I was a little surprised, actually, the number like a 0:04:16.920 --> 0:04:19.560 bunch of places that opened at a pick and quickly 0:04:19.600 --> 0:04:21.320 moved to the one and a half. The way that 0:04:21.360 --> 0:04:23.479 the Niners beat up on the Packers, though I was 0:04:23.560 --> 0:04:26.760 really thinking, like, geez, maybe they're gonna make the Niners 0:04:26.800 --> 0:04:30.599 the favorites here, just the way that the Chiefs have 0:04:30.680 --> 0:04:32.839 kind of like fallen behind a bit in games and 0:04:33.800 --> 0:04:37.919 the competition, not that the Niners competition was much better, 0:04:38.040 --> 0:04:40.720 but the playing the Titans in the not taking anything 0:04:40.720 --> 0:04:43.880 away from the Titans, but very one dimensional, and once 0:04:44.000 --> 0:04:45.919 the Chiefs got up in that game, you never really 0:04:45.920 --> 0:04:47.960 felt like the Titans were going to be able to 0:04:47.960 --> 0:04:52.279 come back. So it sounds like the early money in 0:04:52.360 --> 0:04:54.400 Vegas too, is saying that the books are going to 0:04:54.440 --> 0:04:57.320 need the Chiefs, and it can be usually an early 0:04:57.360 --> 0:05:00.640 indicator like that we're going to see a little more 0:05:00.640 --> 0:05:02.560 public money. Obviously in the Super Bowl, you're going to 0:05:02.640 --> 0:05:04.880 see most of the public money come in on a Friday, 0:05:04.880 --> 0:05:07.320 a Saturday, and a Sunday before the game, so there 0:05:07.440 --> 0:05:09.640 still could be a bit of movement. I'm going to 0:05:09.680 --> 0:05:11.800 take the Chiefs now because I think the Chiefs are 0:05:11.839 --> 0:05:14.680 the more public team heading into the game, so I 0:05:14.720 --> 0:05:17.880 expected to maybe get up to two. I've seen two 0:05:17.960 --> 0:05:24.200 at a couple of dirty offshores there, and but I'll 0:05:24.200 --> 0:05:27.360 probably jump on the Chiefs right now. I agree with Sean. 0:05:27.440 --> 0:05:30.000 I think Patrick Mahomes is just too We're seeing this 0:05:30.080 --> 0:05:35.000 incredible run that he's doing right now, eight touchdowns, no 0:05:35.080 --> 0:05:39.479 interceptions in the playoffs, and just they have so many 0:05:39.600 --> 0:05:43.520 talented weapons at his disposal that I know that I 0:05:43.560 --> 0:05:45.520 don't want to take anything away from the Niners defense. 0:05:45.520 --> 0:05:47.839 And usually when two teams meet up like this, the 0:05:47.960 --> 0:05:51.400 great offense versus the great defense. Yeah, yeah, the Chiefs 0:05:51.440 --> 0:05:55.800 defenses is okay at least against the pass, and the 0:05:55.920 --> 0:05:58.360 Niners offense is one of the highest scoring in the league, 0:05:58.400 --> 0:05:59.760 so you can't really like count them out. But this 0:05:59.800 --> 0:06:02.839 is really all about the offense versus that the Chiefs 0:06:02.880 --> 0:06:05.720 offense versus that Niners defense. And I'm agreeing with Sean. 0:06:05.800 --> 0:06:09.320 I can't, I can't not back Mahomes in this spot. 0:06:09.400 --> 0:06:12.000 And I think Andy Reid's gonna come up with a 0:06:12.000 --> 0:06:14.000 good game play. Not that Chana Hand won't either, but 0:06:14.440 --> 0:06:16.640 I like I'm gonna lay that money with the Chiefs. 0:06:16.760 --> 0:06:19.800 As for the total, it's the number seems about right. 0:06:20.920 --> 0:06:23.800 I think that's another number. Like you said, like, there's 0:06:23.800 --> 0:06:25.760 gonna be a lot of public over money heading into 0:06:25.839 --> 0:06:28.920 the heading into the weekend here. So if you like 0:06:29.000 --> 0:06:33.000 the over get it now. But also, like Sean, I hate, 0:06:33.000 --> 0:06:37.520 I hate agreeing to this done. But I'm gonna be 0:06:37.520 --> 0:06:39.840 on the under a Well, I see a game something 0:06:39.920 --> 0:06:41.800 like that, like a twenty eight to twenty one kind 0:06:41.839 --> 0:06:42.240 of game. 0:06:43.200 --> 0:06:47.040 Yeah, So here's here's how I'm coming at it. I 0:06:47.160 --> 0:06:50.279 don't really disagree, unfortunately, with anything you guys have said. 0:06:50.279 --> 0:06:51.960 I know it would make for a better podcasts. You 0:06:52.000 --> 0:06:54.839 guys are not coming in. I will say this, when 0:06:54.839 --> 0:06:58.600 I look at the game, I do think again, and 0:06:58.839 --> 0:07:00.599 I'm not sure you guys are really disagree with this 0:07:00.640 --> 0:07:02.440 part of it. I think the forty nine ers are 0:07:02.520 --> 0:07:05.599 probably overall a better team, I think with their defense 0:07:05.839 --> 0:07:09.160 fully healthy, when you have you know, a Bosa being 0:07:09.200 --> 0:07:12.160 able to rush the quarterback. With Ford, you have Kwan 0:07:12.240 --> 0:07:14.720 Alexander and they're able to stop the run. You have 0:07:14.840 --> 0:07:17.480 tart back since they've been at full health. They're just 0:07:17.640 --> 0:07:22.720 a really, really really scary unit. And the offense, you know, people, 0:07:23.280 --> 0:07:25.240 you know, it's like people are taking a negative from 0:07:25.280 --> 0:07:27.960 the fact that Garoppolo through eight times, like oh, Shannon 0:07:27.960 --> 0:07:30.120 doesn't like Garoppolo, or he thinks they just didn't have 0:07:30.160 --> 0:07:31.960 to they could run the ball all the entire time. 0:07:32.440 --> 0:07:37.160 I think, Yeah, Garoppolo obviously has certainly has the potential 0:07:37.240 --> 0:07:39.400 to have a terrible game, right. I mean, we've seen 0:07:39.840 --> 0:07:42.600 we've certainly seen him do stuff where he's he's thrown 0:07:42.680 --> 0:07:44.960 a bad interception or two. And even against the Vikings 0:07:45.000 --> 0:07:47.200 you know where they dominated right early on, he threw 0:07:47.240 --> 0:07:50.120 that bad pick, so you could see that. But overall, realistically, 0:07:50.400 --> 0:07:52.840 when I see these teams match up, it strikes me 0:07:52.880 --> 0:07:54.920 as the forty nine ers have the better team. But 0:07:55.040 --> 0:07:58.320 you both have said it, and that is Patrick Holmes, 0:07:58.440 --> 0:08:02.080 and it's just I can't do it like I can't 0:08:02.080 --> 0:08:05.000 pull the trigger on betting. I probably I might be 0:08:05.000 --> 0:08:07.360 the only person in the United States who's not going 0:08:07.400 --> 0:08:11.040 to bet on the actual spread in the in the 0:08:11.040 --> 0:08:11.800 Super Bowl. 0:08:11.560 --> 0:08:13.440 Because right I think I might not either. 0:08:13.800 --> 0:08:15.920 Oh all right, you and I can have a party 0:08:15.960 --> 0:08:16.600 together then. 0:08:16.560 --> 0:08:19.640 And I thought about not betting the spread, but then 0:08:19.720 --> 0:08:22.520 I realized the podcast listeners would just make fun of me, 0:08:22.800 --> 0:08:25.400 and so I got peer pressure into betting the spread. 0:08:25.440 --> 0:08:27.840 But yeah, again, I feel better about some of these 0:08:27.840 --> 0:08:29.480 props than I do the actual side. 0:08:29.960 --> 0:08:32.160 And again at super Bowl super Bowls of one day, 0:08:32.160 --> 0:08:34.400 where like, props are totally fine, Like you know, lead 0:08:34.440 --> 0:08:37.400 with all the props, and I love props generally speaking, 0:08:37.480 --> 0:08:40.760 because as you know, I do fantasy stuff and I 0:08:40.800 --> 0:08:43.360 project each player. So with that, I'm really like I 0:08:43.440 --> 0:08:45.960 focus a lot on the props. But this is a 0:08:46.000 --> 0:08:48.360 game between just it's it's totally teams. I mean, the 0:08:48.400 --> 0:08:50.920 Chiefs have won eight games in a row. You've got 0:08:50.920 --> 0:08:53.600 the whole Andy reidoff a by thing. You know, You've 0:08:53.600 --> 0:08:56.360 got the forty nine ers who get to the quarterback 0:08:56.400 --> 0:08:58.880 without blitzing, as well as anyone against a quarterback that 0:08:59.000 --> 0:09:01.280 sacked at the lowest rate in the league. You know, 0:09:01.360 --> 0:09:03.880 it's just really one of these games. You're like, I 0:09:03.880 --> 0:09:05.640 don't know as for the total. By the way, I 0:09:06.320 --> 0:09:08.640 have bet the under. I believe on the last two 0:09:08.800 --> 0:09:12.520 Chiefs playoff games that has not gone well. And for 0:09:12.600 --> 0:09:14.920 this I agree now when I first looked at it 0:09:14.960 --> 0:09:17.840 and we analyze it, when the lines first broke me 0:09:17.920 --> 0:09:20.600 and Rich Ryan, I think it opened at fifty two 0:09:20.600 --> 0:09:21.960 and a half and at that point I was like, 0:09:22.320 --> 0:09:24.320 there's no way I'm taking the under on fifty two 0:09:24.320 --> 0:09:25.880 and a half. Just you know, it struck me. It's 0:09:25.880 --> 0:09:27.800 a gut reaction. It was sort of like, you know, 0:09:27.880 --> 0:09:30.880 it's gonna climb. But in the end, now that it's 0:09:30.880 --> 0:09:33.040 sitting at fifty four and a half, like I'm like, man, 0:09:33.120 --> 0:09:35.319 if I'm really thinking about this, the value is clearly 0:09:35.400 --> 0:09:38.240 on the under right now, Like it's very clearly on 0:09:38.280 --> 0:09:41.760 the under. But I can't do it because you know, 0:09:42.040 --> 0:09:44.760 you know, with Mahomes, there just is nothing. I mean, 0:09:44.840 --> 0:09:47.959 he can he can just go crazy. So I guess 0:09:48.000 --> 0:09:50.600 the last thing I'll ask is, you know, the public, 0:09:50.640 --> 0:09:53.680 because this is the only game of the year where 0:09:53.880 --> 0:09:57.200 probably the sharp betters have a pretty minimal impact, right, 0:09:57.280 --> 0:10:00.280 I mean, there's so much public money coming in, and 0:10:00.320 --> 0:10:02.440 the public money is enough to kind of move these lines. 0:10:02.760 --> 0:10:05.080 There's gonna be a ton of public money probably that 0:10:05.160 --> 0:10:07.479 comes in what Sunday, like Sunday. 0:10:07.080 --> 0:10:08.439 Morning, Sunday. 0:10:08.600 --> 0:10:11.160 Do you think that the total is going to continue 0:10:11.160 --> 0:10:12.560 to grow up then? I mean it's gonna be at 0:10:12.559 --> 0:10:14.920 fifty five fifty five and a half because everybody, you know, 0:10:15.000 --> 0:10:18.280 the public glove's over. So yeah, is this gonna go 0:10:18.360 --> 0:10:20.520 up to fifty five fifty five and a half If 0:10:20.559 --> 0:10:22.320 you like the over, should you be taking it now? 0:10:23.640 --> 0:10:26.360 I think so because I'm there's gonna be a lot 0:10:26.360 --> 0:10:29.600 of You're gonna see a lot of chiefs over parlays 0:10:29.640 --> 0:10:32.240 as well, too, Like people can't say no to that, 0:10:33.080 --> 0:10:35.160 to that parlay there, even though I said, I'll say 0:10:35.200 --> 0:10:38.920 right now, stay away, but it's there. It's gonna come 0:10:38.960 --> 0:10:42.319 fast and furious Sunday, and it wouldn't be out of 0:10:42.320 --> 0:10:44.559 the ordinary to see that number jump up another half 0:10:44.640 --> 0:10:45.120 point or so. 0:10:45.760 --> 0:10:49.439 Yeah. To add add to that, my dad is one 0:10:49.440 --> 0:10:53.400 of the more square vetters around, texted me, I'm going 0:10:53.480 --> 0:10:57.040 chiefs in the over, so he's I don't think he's 0:10:57.080 --> 0:11:00.199 ever bet the under. So if that's any indication I 0:11:00.400 --> 0:11:03.600 think it'll go up if it goes anywhere. But yeah, 0:11:03.720 --> 0:11:05.800 i'd like, i'd hope to get a fifty six, but 0:11:06.080 --> 0:11:09.200 I'm not you know, I'd be shocked if it goes down. 0:11:09.520 --> 0:11:10.360 That's what i'd say. 0:11:10.880 --> 0:11:13.320 Yeah, Well, so is there any other bet out of 0:11:13.320 --> 0:11:16.760 curiosity before we kind of you know, get into the 0:11:16.760 --> 0:11:19.080 player prop or on the game props. Is there any 0:11:19.160 --> 0:11:21.480 part of it? Like I kind of could see this 0:11:21.720 --> 0:11:25.280 coming out and at some point Mahomes is going to 0:11:25.280 --> 0:11:27.480 be unleashed, right, at some point he's gonna go nuts. 0:11:27.520 --> 0:11:30.720 But we've seen him come out a little flat. I 0:11:30.720 --> 0:11:33.280 mean against the Titans. It's not like, you know, they 0:11:33.640 --> 0:11:37.199 came in from behind. Against the Texans, they were obviously 0:11:37.240 --> 0:11:40.560 getting blown out completely. I could see a bet on 0:11:40.760 --> 0:11:43.440 the forty nine ers, like in the first quarter or 0:11:43.520 --> 0:11:45.960 maybe even in the first half or something like that. 0:11:46.000 --> 0:11:48.120 So if I'm gonna bet the spread, I could see 0:11:48.600 --> 0:11:51.160 doing something like that, right, But I think on the 0:11:51.200 --> 0:11:53.960 overall total, Man, this is a great game. It's gonna 0:11:53.960 --> 0:11:54.680 be an exciting game. 0:11:55.440 --> 0:11:57.400 It's really hard to give a lean because I can 0:11:57.440 --> 0:11:59.680 see it happening so many different like the outcome coming 0:11:59.679 --> 0:12:02.040 from so many different ways. So it's kind of difficult, 0:12:02.280 --> 0:12:03.319 it's gonna be a lot of fun. 0:12:03.640 --> 0:12:06.600 Yeah, So basically we've done a great job of basically 0:12:06.679 --> 0:12:09.920 being like, I don't know, I guess Patrick Mahomes is great, 0:12:09.920 --> 0:12:13.280 but honestly, that is you know, to see this spread 0:12:13.320 --> 0:12:15.480 like this, it is the matchup that everybody kind of 0:12:15.480 --> 0:12:17.440 wanted by the time, you know, the Ravens were out. 0:12:17.640 --> 0:12:19.840 It's what we're gonna get. It's really gonna be interesting 0:12:19.840 --> 0:12:22.160 because the last time you saw this, you know, not 0:12:22.280 --> 0:12:24.720 to undersell the forty nine ers offense, which is very, 0:12:24.800 --> 0:12:26.040 very good in its own right, but the last time 0:12:26.080 --> 0:12:29.160 you saw this really really elite defensive team against what 0:12:29.240 --> 0:12:32.600 looks like this unstoppable offense, you know, you wound up 0:12:32.600 --> 0:12:36.000 with the Seahawks just absolutely destroying the prodcast in that game. 0:12:36.000 --> 0:12:37.599 And that was a game too where the spread was 0:12:37.640 --> 0:12:40.400 basically a pick them right. It was pretty close there. 0:12:40.440 --> 0:12:42.120 So hopefully we don't see a repeat of that and 0:12:42.120 --> 0:12:43.640 it's a good game all the way through. But if not, 0:12:44.360 --> 0:12:46.640 don't worry about it, because we're gonna have some player 0:12:46.679 --> 0:12:47.520 props to talk about. 0:12:47.559 --> 0:12:47.640 Now. 0:12:47.720 --> 0:12:49.719 Before we get there, let us talk briefly about bet 0:12:49.840 --> 0:12:52.240 MGM and the bet MGM Sports app. If you have 0:12:52.280 --> 0:12:54.760 your phone handy, search for the bet MGM Sports app 0:12:54.760 --> 0:12:57.320 and your app store right now, download it and sign 0:12:57.400 --> 0:12:59.199 up for an account. It's gonna ask if you have 0:12:59.240 --> 0:13:02.760 a promo code. It is my last name, Harris. Deposit 0:13:02.880 --> 0:13:05.280 whatever amount you want and you're ready to bet, and 0:13:05.400 --> 0:13:07.720 right now, make sure your first bet is a one 0:13:07.760 --> 0:13:10.200 dollar money line bet on either the Chiefs or the 0:13:10.240 --> 0:13:12.720 forty nine ers to win the Super Bowl. If you do, 0:13:13.000 --> 0:13:15.680 then if either team scores a touchdown during the game, 0:13:15.720 --> 0:13:18.679 not necessarily the team you bet on, either team, you 0:13:18.720 --> 0:13:20.800 win two hundred dollars in free bets. Your one dollar 0:13:20.840 --> 0:13:23.120 bet does not matter for that you win so long 0:13:23.160 --> 0:13:25.720 as either team scores a touchdown, even if you lose 0:13:26.000 --> 0:13:28.240 your one dollar money line bet. And guess what, there 0:13:28.240 --> 0:13:30.480 has never been a Super Bowl where neither team scored 0:13:30.520 --> 0:13:32.480 a touchdown and we are sitting here debating the over 0:13:32.559 --> 0:13:35.560 under of fifty four and a half, so you're probably 0:13:35.640 --> 0:13:38.040 in pretty good shape. It's essentially a guaranteed bet. Again, 0:13:38.120 --> 0:13:41.040 download the BETMGM Sports app, open an account, use our 0:13:41.120 --> 0:13:43.840 promo code Harris, and win some free money during the 0:13:43.880 --> 0:13:46.240 Super Bowl. These winnings are paid in free bets. You 0:13:46.320 --> 0:13:48.120 must be twenty one years or older. And although you 0:13:48.160 --> 0:13:50.520 can sign up an easily deposit money anywhere, you must 0:13:50.559 --> 0:13:52.280 be in the state of New Jersey to place a 0:13:52.320 --> 0:13:55.680 sports bet, and certain restrictions apply. Visit betemgm dot com 0:13:55.679 --> 0:13:57.839 for the fullest of terms and conditions. And if you've 0:13:57.880 --> 0:14:01.440 got a gambling problem, call one eight hundred gample. All right, guys, 0:14:01.480 --> 0:14:04.520 let's move on here to some prop bets. As everyone knows, 0:14:04.559 --> 0:14:08.160 we use the Betting Pros consensus lines for these spreads 0:14:08.160 --> 0:14:10.560 and over unders today and throughout the season, we're gonna 0:14:10.559 --> 0:14:12.439 do the same thing here for prop bets. You can 0:14:12.440 --> 0:14:17.640 find consensus player props over at Bettingpros dot com slash props, 0:14:17.640 --> 0:14:20.680 and you can find consensus game props over at Bettingpros 0:14:20.760 --> 0:14:24.000 dot com slash game props. So we'll talk about some 0:14:24.040 --> 0:14:26.520 of our favorite plays. I'll give some of my thoughts. 0:14:26.520 --> 0:14:28.600 But Andrew Sean got to start off the spread and 0:14:28.640 --> 0:14:30.160 the total, So why don't you start us off with 0:14:30.280 --> 0:14:31.960 game player prop whatever you want to talk about. 0:14:32.400 --> 0:14:35.760 Should we start with something before the game actually starts 0:14:35.760 --> 0:14:36.880 and go with the anthem? 0:14:36.960 --> 0:14:38.800 Oh boy, do you have an anthem call? 0:14:39.480 --> 0:14:42.520 We're going with the over on the anthem again this year, 0:14:42.640 --> 0:14:44.880 even though the numbers started off at like one to 0:14:44.960 --> 0:14:47.120 nineteen and a half at some places, and I'm seeing 0:14:47.160 --> 0:14:49.400 it as high as one twenty four and a half 0:14:49.440 --> 0:14:51.480 with one hundred and twenty four seconds left, so two 0:14:51.560 --> 0:14:56.040 minutes and four point five seconds. Had a little controversy 0:14:56.160 --> 0:15:01.480 last year with Gladys Knights with her annunciation of the 0:15:01.520 --> 0:15:05.160 word brave and uh so that was very exciting. A 0:15:05.160 --> 0:15:07.400 lot of books, I think most most books I think 0:15:07.440 --> 0:15:10.640 ended up paying both ways last year. So it's gonna 0:15:10.640 --> 0:15:15.440 be interesting. Levado, I think, is gonna melk it and 0:15:15.760 --> 0:15:20.440 her last performance at the at the McGregor fight that 0:15:20.440 --> 0:15:24.160 that went way over. I just the the juice is 0:15:24.160 --> 0:15:26.280 on the over still. It's a tough one. But this 0:15:26.360 --> 0:15:27.840 is the one of the most fun props I have 0:15:27.920 --> 0:15:30.920 every year. Everyone's everyone's into it right away and we 0:15:31.040 --> 0:15:34.200 all sit there, sit around timing it ourselves and watching 0:15:34.280 --> 0:15:36.040 all I think. I think she uh and we're all 0:15:36.040 --> 0:15:39.440 screaming the teeth over over, over and and and we're 0:15:39.440 --> 0:15:43.920 gonna go We're gonna start with an over on the anthem. One. Well, 0:15:43.960 --> 0:15:45.520 I'm seeing one twenty four and a half right now, 0:15:45.560 --> 0:15:46.600 I'll still take the over on that. 0:15:47.600 --> 0:15:50.120 Sean, you're a noted Demi Lovado fan. Do you have 0:15:50.160 --> 0:15:52.200 any any thoughts on that one? 0:15:52.520 --> 0:15:54.360 Uh? Yeah, no, I mean I'm not gonna take the 0:15:54.480 --> 0:15:57.800 under on the national anthem. I did see a prop 0:15:57.840 --> 0:16:00.520 bet related to the national anthem that you would not 0:16:00.680 --> 0:16:03.280 use a mic stand at plus one forty. I like 0:16:03.400 --> 0:16:07.360 that anytime you can get you know, a dog for 0:16:07.480 --> 0:16:10.240 not using a mic stand, I'm in on that. But 0:16:10.880 --> 0:16:13.800 for my first official prep bet here, I'm gonna go 0:16:13.840 --> 0:16:16.360 to the game. We kept talking about Patrick Mahomes and 0:16:16.680 --> 0:16:20.200 I just the style of game that I see happening. 0:16:20.280 --> 0:16:22.640 I think Patrick Mahomes is going to be running the 0:16:22.640 --> 0:16:25.120 ball a lot. In the last two playoff games he 0:16:25.200 --> 0:16:28.520 rushed for fifty three yards a piece and his total 0:16:28.600 --> 0:16:30.720 is set at thirty and a half. I love the 0:16:30.760 --> 0:16:33.200 over here on Patrick Mahomes. I think it's a I 0:16:33.200 --> 0:16:35.560 mean San Francisco is a great defensive line. If they're 0:16:35.560 --> 0:16:37.840 not disciplined with the rush lanes, He's going to be 0:16:37.920 --> 0:16:41.600 running all over the place, getting first downs, keeping drives alive. 0:16:41.960 --> 0:16:44.520 And if you look at kind of a similar team 0:16:44.600 --> 0:16:48.680 in a couple senses as far as type of offense 0:16:48.720 --> 0:16:52.320 they run. The Arizona Cardinals really at times gave the 0:16:52.320 --> 0:16:55.320 forty nine ers, you know, they kind of struggled with 0:16:55.360 --> 0:16:57.720 them considering how much better the forty nine ers were 0:16:58.000 --> 0:17:00.680 than the Cardinals. And if you look at Actuallyler Murray's 0:17:00.720 --> 0:17:04.160 games against him, he had thirty seven yards and then 0:17:05.040 --> 0:17:09.080 he had what was the other one, sorry, thirty four 0:17:09.119 --> 0:17:11.159 and sixty seven yards against the forty nine ers. So 0:17:11.720 --> 0:17:14.280 I think, you know, the Chiefs are much better version 0:17:14.320 --> 0:17:17.400 of that. And it just seems like in a must 0:17:17.440 --> 0:17:20.560 win game, you feel the need to scramble, pick up 0:17:20.560 --> 0:17:23.280 first downs, keep drives alive. And I think he's really 0:17:23.280 --> 0:17:24.560 going to do a lot with his legs. 0:17:26.040 --> 0:17:28.760 So this is an interesting one for me, I'll be honest, 0:17:29.240 --> 0:17:33.800 because he's so he's obviously he's had some bigger rushing 0:17:33.840 --> 0:17:37.679 games here in the playoffs, but before that he had 0:17:37.680 --> 0:17:42.440 done it surpassed the number five times in his entire career. Right, 0:17:42.480 --> 0:17:44.080 you think of Mahomes, You're like, oh, he's got so 0:17:44.160 --> 0:17:46.160 much speed, Right, he's going to be great. He done 0:17:46.160 --> 0:17:50.240 it five times over two seasons in the game. Right, 0:17:50.280 --> 0:17:52.359 This is not something where you kind of look at 0:17:52.320 --> 0:17:53.760 it and you're like, oh, boy, this is where it's 0:17:53.760 --> 0:17:56.200 going to be. It strikes me a little bit as 0:17:56.320 --> 0:17:57.720 when I look at it that way and I break 0:17:57.760 --> 0:18:00.320 it down, that the value strikes me on the under 0:18:00.320 --> 0:18:02.359 but I agree with you in that I wouldn't bet it. 0:18:02.440 --> 0:18:04.200 This is again one that I'm looking at and I'm 0:18:04.200 --> 0:18:06.720 sort of like, you know, the value strikes me here, 0:18:06.800 --> 0:18:09.560 but I'm like, but it's Patrick Mahomes. And I think 0:18:09.600 --> 0:18:11.480 the biggest thing, and you brought up is the forty 0:18:11.560 --> 0:18:15.600 nine ers play zone, which actually, I mean it's kind 0:18:15.600 --> 0:18:17.760 of gonna keep Mahomes in check right when you play 0:18:17.800 --> 0:18:20.840 man the corners are turned away so they're not necessarily 0:18:20.840 --> 0:18:23.840 watching him. But I think it really is that pass rush, right, 0:18:23.920 --> 0:18:27.120 I mean they the offensive line for the Chiefs. No 0:18:27.200 --> 0:18:29.800 offensive line at this point can stop that pass rush 0:18:29.880 --> 0:18:31.880 that's coming in with the four of you know, those 0:18:31.920 --> 0:18:34.640