1 00:00:11,760 --> 00:00:14,280 Speaker 1: Hey there, everybody. Welcome to the Super Bowl edition of 2 00:00:14,320 --> 00:00:17,680 Speaker 1: the Betting Pros NFL Podcast, brought to you by bet MGM. 3 00:00:17,840 --> 00:00:19,799 Speaker 1: I'm your host, Dan Harris. You can find me on 4 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:23,400 Speaker 1: Twitter at Dan Harris eighty. This is it the biggest 5 00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:25,800 Speaker 1: gambling event of the year, The Super Bowl is here. 6 00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 1: It's an event so big that we're bringing on not 7 00:00:28,360 --> 00:00:31,280 Speaker 1: just one, but two guests. You love them both. I 8 00:00:31,440 --> 00:00:34,720 Speaker 1: mildly tolerate them both. They are Sean Green, co creator 9 00:00:34,760 --> 00:00:38,200 Speaker 1: and co host of the Sports Gambling Podcast, and Andrew Cayley, 10 00:00:38,240 --> 00:00:42,000 Speaker 1: a senior publishing editor over at Covers. Gentlemen, how are you. 11 00:00:42,680 --> 00:00:44,440 Speaker 2: I'm doing great, man, Thanks for having me on. 12 00:00:45,920 --> 00:00:47,000 Speaker 3: I'm really excited to be here. 13 00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:48,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, this is where you guys are gonna have to 14 00:00:48,680 --> 00:00:51,159 Speaker 1: be really careful because you're just gonna both you're There 15 00:00:51,159 --> 00:00:52,880 Speaker 1: are gonna be periods where you guys are just gonna 16 00:00:52,880 --> 00:00:55,040 Speaker 1: sit there in silence because Andrew's gonna be like, oh, 17 00:00:55,080 --> 00:00:56,880 Speaker 1: I think Sean's gonna talk, and so it's gonna be like, 18 00:00:56,920 --> 00:00:59,480 Speaker 1: I think Andrew's gonna talk. So it's fine, it doesn't matter. 19 00:00:59,520 --> 00:01:01,680 Speaker 1: You guys can just talk. Don't even worry about it. 20 00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:04,200 Speaker 1: So here's how things are gonna go today. We're gonna 21 00:01:04,200 --> 00:01:06,399 Speaker 1: break down the game itself with the spread and the 22 00:01:06,400 --> 00:01:08,600 Speaker 1: over under, and then we're gonna move to some props, 23 00:01:08,640 --> 00:01:11,319 Speaker 1: which is really where things get crazy in the Super Bowl. 24 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:13,399 Speaker 1: Is that good with you, guys? Sean? Is that good 25 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 1: with you? Yeah slock it in, Andrew? Is that good 26 00:01:16,480 --> 00:01:16,840 Speaker 1: with you? 27 00:01:17,440 --> 00:01:20,440 Speaker 3: That's that's awesome with me. Let's not hold anything back. 28 00:01:20,360 --> 00:01:22,440 Speaker 1: All right, it's the last game of the season. Can't 29 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:26,200 Speaker 1: hold anything all right? Good? 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All right, gentlemen, the spread has stayed pretty 50 00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:26,440 Speaker 1: consistent here throughout the week. The Chiefs are laying one 51 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 1: and a half. The total has climbed since it first opened, 52 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:31,880 Speaker 1: but I kind of expected it to keep going as 53 00:02:31,880 --> 00:02:33,919 Speaker 1: the public was pounding it. It's kind of settled right 54 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:36,400 Speaker 1: now at fifty four and a half. We'll let Sean 55 00:02:36,560 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 1: start us off here on the games, Andrew you can 56 00:02:38,440 --> 00:02:40,200 Speaker 1: start us off first on the prop. So, Sean, what's 57 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:42,640 Speaker 1: your reaction here? How are you breaking down this spread 58 00:02:42,639 --> 00:02:43,200 Speaker 1: and the total? 59 00:02:44,080 --> 00:02:46,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I didn't think the spread would ever 60 00:02:46,840 --> 00:02:49,720 Speaker 2: get up to three points because I think, you know, 61 00:02:49,760 --> 00:02:51,680 Speaker 2: everyone would kind of hammer the forty nine ers if 62 00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:55,120 Speaker 2: it got up to three points. I instinctively just look 63 00:02:55,200 --> 00:02:57,320 Speaker 2: to the under. In general, I'm gonna be on the 64 00:02:57,360 --> 00:02:59,680 Speaker 2: under in this game. I'm I'm like you, I'm going 65 00:02:59,720 --> 00:03:01,680 Speaker 2: to wait and see if it gets bet up anymore. 66 00:03:01,919 --> 00:03:04,400 Speaker 2: I was hoping to get it like maybe fifty six, 67 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:06,720 Speaker 2: but even fifty four and a half, I'm on the under. 68 00:03:06,840 --> 00:03:08,480 Speaker 2: I'm on the Chiefs as well. I see it like 69 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 2: thirty one twenty one. I think it's just Andy Reid's time. 70 00:03:13,600 --> 00:03:16,480 Speaker 2: More than anything, it's just Andy Reid's time. He leads 71 00:03:16,760 --> 00:03:19,680 Speaker 2: NFL coaches for the amount of wins in the regular 72 00:03:19,760 --> 00:03:23,200 Speaker 2: season amount of playoff wins without winning a championship. I 73 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:25,359 Speaker 2: think this year is the year he kind of gets 74 00:03:25,360 --> 00:03:27,720 Speaker 2: the monkey off his back. He looks amazing in a 75 00:03:27,760 --> 00:03:32,400 Speaker 2: wine shirt down in Miami there, and really, matchup wise, 76 00:03:32,919 --> 00:03:34,680 Speaker 2: you could make a great case for the forty nine ers, 77 00:03:34,720 --> 00:03:36,400 Speaker 2: And normally I would lean to a team like the 78 00:03:36,400 --> 00:03:39,080 Speaker 2: forty nine ers, physical defense, able to run the ball, 79 00:03:39,080 --> 00:03:43,720 Speaker 2: control the clock. I just think Patrick Mahomes. I'm not 80 00:03:43,800 --> 00:03:47,520 Speaker 2: gonna go against Patrick Mahomes here. He really is the 81 00:03:47,880 --> 00:03:51,080 Speaker 2: I mean, you know it sounds cliche, but I think 82 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:54,680 Speaker 2: he's enough to carry this team. And we'll get into 83 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:56,200 Speaker 2: it in the props as far as the style of 84 00:03:56,240 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 2: the game. But I really think the Chiefs at the 85 00:03:58,560 --> 00:03:59,800 Speaker 2: end of the day will be able to move the 86 00:03:59,840 --> 00:04:02,480 Speaker 2: ball and get more points than the forty nine ers, 87 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:04,080 Speaker 2: and that's what matters now. 88 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:08,760 Speaker 1: Andrew, you're a noted hater of Hawaiian shirts, So how 89 00:04:08,760 --> 00:04:12,320 Speaker 1: do you feel here about the Chiefs slaying one and 90 00:04:12,320 --> 00:04:14,240 Speaker 1: a half in the total at fifty four and a half. 91 00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:16,920 Speaker 3: I was a little surprised, actually, the number like a 92 00:04:16,920 --> 00:04:19,560 Speaker 3: bunch of places that opened at a pick and quickly 93 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:21,320 Speaker 3: moved to the one and a half. The way that 94 00:04:21,360 --> 00:04:23,479 Speaker 3: the Niners beat up on the Packers, though I was 95 00:04:23,560 --> 00:04:26,760 Speaker 3: really thinking, like, geez, maybe they're gonna make the Niners 96 00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:30,599 Speaker 3: the favorites here, just the way that the Chiefs have 97 00:04:30,680 --> 00:04:32,839 Speaker 3: kind of like fallen behind a bit in games and 98 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:37,919 Speaker 3: the competition, not that the Niners competition was much better, 99 00:04:38,040 --> 00:04:40,720 Speaker 3: but the playing the Titans in the not taking anything 100 00:04:40,720 --> 00:04:43,880 Speaker 3: away from the Titans, but very one dimensional, and once 101 00:04:44,000 --> 00:04:45,919 Speaker 3: the Chiefs got up in that game, you never really 102 00:04:45,920 --> 00:04:47,960 Speaker 3: felt like the Titans were going to be able to 103 00:04:47,960 --> 00:04:52,279 Speaker 3: come back. So it sounds like the early money in 104 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:54,400 Speaker 3: Vegas too, is saying that the books are going to 105 00:04:54,440 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 3: need the Chiefs, and it can be usually an early 106 00:04:57,360 --> 00:05:00,640 Speaker 3: indicator like that we're going to see a little more 107 00:05:00,640 --> 00:05:02,560 Speaker 3: public money. Obviously in the Super Bowl, you're going to 108 00:05:02,640 --> 00:05:04,880 Speaker 3: see most of the public money come in on a Friday, 109 00:05:04,880 --> 00:05:07,320 Speaker 3: a Saturday, and a Sunday before the game, so there 110 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:09,640 Speaker 3: still could be a bit of movement. I'm going to 111 00:05:09,680 --> 00:05:11,800 Speaker 3: take the Chiefs now because I think the Chiefs are 112 00:05:11,839 --> 00:05:14,680 Speaker 3: the more public team heading into the game, so I 113 00:05:14,720 --> 00:05:17,880 Speaker 3: expected to maybe get up to two. I've seen two 114 00:05:17,960 --> 00:05:24,200 Speaker 3: at a couple of dirty offshores there, and but I'll 115 00:05:24,200 --> 00:05:27,360 Speaker 3: probably jump on the Chiefs right now. I agree with Sean. 116 00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:30,000 Speaker 3: I think Patrick Mahomes is just too We're seeing this 117 00:05:30,080 --> 00:05:35,000 Speaker 3: incredible run that he's doing right now, eight touchdowns, no 118 00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:39,479 Speaker 3: interceptions in the playoffs, and just they have so many 119 00:05:39,600 --> 00:05:43,520 Speaker 3: talented weapons at his disposal that I know that I 120 00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:45,520 Speaker 3: don't want to take anything away from the Niners defense. 121 00:05:45,520 --> 00:05:47,839 Speaker 3: And usually when two teams meet up like this, the 122 00:05:47,960 --> 00:05:51,400 Speaker 3: great offense versus the great defense. Yeah, yeah, the Chiefs 123 00:05:51,440 --> 00:05:55,800 Speaker 3: defenses is okay at least against the pass, and the 124 00:05:55,920 --> 00:05:58,360 Speaker 3: Niners offense is one of the highest scoring in the league, 125 00:05:58,400 --> 00:05:59,760 Speaker 3: so you can't really like count them out. But this 126 00:05:59,800 --> 00:06:02,839 Speaker 3: is really all about the offense versus that the Chiefs 127 00:06:02,880 --> 00:06:05,720 Speaker 3: offense versus that Niners defense. And I'm agreeing with Sean. 128 00:06:05,800 --> 00:06:09,320 Speaker 3: I can't, I can't not back Mahomes in this spot. 129 00:06:09,400 --> 00:06:12,000 Speaker 3: And I think Andy Reid's gonna come up with a 130 00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:14,000 Speaker 3: good game play. Not that Chana Hand won't either, but 131 00:06:14,440 --> 00:06:16,640 Speaker 3: I like I'm gonna lay that money with the Chiefs. 132 00:06:16,760 --> 00:06:19,800 Speaker 3: As for the total, it's the number seems about right. 133 00:06:20,920 --> 00:06:23,800 Speaker 3: I think that's another number. Like you said, like, there's 134 00:06:23,800 --> 00:06:25,760 Speaker 3: gonna be a lot of public over money heading into 135 00:06:25,839 --> 00:06:28,920 Speaker 3: the heading into the weekend here. So if you like 136 00:06:29,000 --> 00:06:33,000 Speaker 3: the over get it now. But also, like Sean, I hate, 137 00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:37,520 Speaker 3: I hate agreeing to this done. But I'm gonna be 138 00:06:37,520 --> 00:06:39,840 Speaker 3: on the under a Well, I see a game something 139 00:06:39,920 --> 00:06:41,800 Speaker 3: like that, like a twenty eight to twenty one kind 140 00:06:41,839 --> 00:06:42,240 Speaker 3: of game. 141 00:06:43,200 --> 00:06:47,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, So here's here's how I'm coming at it. I 142 00:06:47,160 --> 00:06:50,279 Speaker 1: don't really disagree, unfortunately, with anything you guys have said. 143 00:06:50,279 --> 00:06:51,960 Speaker 1: I know it would make for a better podcasts. You 144 00:06:52,000 --> 00:06:54,839 Speaker 1: guys are not coming in. I will say this, when 145 00:06:54,839 --> 00:06:58,600 Speaker 1: I look at the game, I do think again, and 146 00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:00,599 Speaker 1: I'm not sure you guys are really disagree with this 147 00:07:00,640 --> 00:07:02,440 Speaker 1: part of it. I think the forty nine ers are 148 00:07:02,520 --> 00:07:05,599 Speaker 1: probably overall a better team, I think with their defense 149 00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:09,160 Speaker 1: fully healthy, when you have you know, a Bosa being 150 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:12,160 Speaker 1: able to rush the quarterback. With Ford, you have Kwan 151 00:07:12,240 --> 00:07:14,720 Speaker 1: Alexander and they're able to stop the run. You have 152 00:07:14,840 --> 00:07:17,480 Speaker 1: tart back since they've been at full health. They're just 153 00:07:17,640 --> 00:07:22,720 Speaker 1: a really, really really scary unit. And the offense, you know, people, 154 00:07:23,280 --> 00:07:25,240 Speaker 1: you know, it's like people are taking a negative from 155 00:07:25,280 --> 00:07:27,960 Speaker 1: the fact that Garoppolo through eight times, like oh, Shannon 156 00:07:27,960 --> 00:07:30,120 Speaker 1: doesn't like Garoppolo, or he thinks they just didn't have 157 00:07:30,160 --> 00:07:31,960 Speaker 1: to they could run the ball all the entire time. 158 00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:37,160 Speaker 1: I think, Yeah, Garoppolo obviously has certainly has the potential 159 00:07:37,240 --> 00:07:39,400 Speaker 1: to have a terrible game, right. I mean, we've seen 160 00:07:39,840 --> 00:07:42,600 Speaker 1: we've certainly seen him do stuff where he's he's thrown 161 00:07:42,680 --> 00:07:44,960 Speaker 1: a bad interception or two. And even against the Vikings 162 00:07:45,000 --> 00:07:47,200 Speaker 1: you know where they dominated right early on, he threw 163 00:07:47,240 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 1: that bad pick, so you could see that. But overall, realistically, 164 00:07:50,400 --> 00:07:52,840 Speaker 1: when I see these teams match up, it strikes me 165 00:07:52,880 --> 00:07:54,920 Speaker 1: as the forty nine ers have the better team. But 166 00:07:55,040 --> 00:07:58,320 Speaker 1: you both have said it, and that is Patrick Holmes, 167 00:07:58,440 --> 00:08:02,080 Speaker 1: and it's just I can't do it like I can't 168 00:08:02,080 --> 00:08:05,000 Speaker 1: pull the trigger on betting. I probably I might be 169 00:08:05,000 --> 00:08:07,360 Speaker 1: the only person in the United States who's not going 170 00:08:07,400 --> 00:08:11,040 Speaker 1: to bet on the actual spread in the in the 171 00:08:11,040 --> 00:08:11,800 Speaker 1: Super Bowl. 172 00:08:11,560 --> 00:08:13,440 Speaker 3: Because right I think I might not either. 173 00:08:13,800 --> 00:08:15,920 Speaker 1: Oh all right, you and I can have a party 174 00:08:15,960 --> 00:08:16,600 Speaker 1: together then. 175 00:08:16,560 --> 00:08:19,640 Speaker 2: And I thought about not betting the spread, but then 176 00:08:19,720 --> 00:08:22,520 Speaker 2: I realized the podcast listeners would just make fun of me, 177 00:08:22,800 --> 00:08:25,400 Speaker 2: and so I got peer pressure into betting the spread. 178 00:08:25,440 --> 00:08:27,840 Speaker 2: But yeah, again, I feel better about some of these 179 00:08:27,840 --> 00:08:29,480 Speaker 2: props than I do the actual side. 180 00:08:29,960 --> 00:08:32,160 Speaker 1: And again at super Bowl super Bowls of one day, 181 00:08:32,160 --> 00:08:34,400 Speaker 1: where like, props are totally fine, Like you know, lead 182 00:08:34,440 --> 00:08:37,400 Speaker 1: with all the props, and I love props generally speaking, 183 00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:40,760 Speaker 1: because as you know, I do fantasy stuff and I 184 00:08:40,800 --> 00:08:43,360 Speaker 1: project each player. So with that, I'm really like I 185 00:08:43,440 --> 00:08:45,960 Speaker 1: focus a lot on the props. But this is a 186 00:08:46,000 --> 00:08:48,360 Speaker 1: game between just it's it's totally teams. I mean, the 187 00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:50,920 Speaker 1: Chiefs have won eight games in a row. You've got 188 00:08:50,920 --> 00:08:53,600 Speaker 1: the whole Andy reidoff a by thing. You know, You've 189 00:08:53,600 --> 00:08:56,360 Speaker 1: got the forty nine ers who get to the quarterback 190 00:08:56,400 --> 00:08:58,880 Speaker 1: without blitzing, as well as anyone against a quarterback that 191 00:08:59,000 --> 00:09:01,280 Speaker 1: sacked at the lowest rate in the league. You know, 192 00:09:01,360 --> 00:09:03,880 Speaker 1: it's just really one of these games. You're like, I 193 00:09:03,880 --> 00:09:05,640 Speaker 1: don't know as for the total. By the way, I 194 00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:08,640 Speaker 1: have bet the under. I believe on the last two 195 00:09:08,800 --> 00:09:12,520 Speaker 1: Chiefs playoff games that has not gone well. And for 196 00:09:12,600 --> 00:09:14,920 Speaker 1: this I agree now when I first looked at it 197 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:17,840 Speaker 1: and we analyze it, when the lines first broke me 198 00:09:17,920 --> 00:09:20,600 Speaker 1: and Rich Ryan, I think it opened at fifty two 199 00:09:20,600 --> 00:09:21,960 Speaker 1: and a half and at that point I was like, 200 00:09:22,320 --> 00:09:24,320 Speaker 1: there's no way I'm taking the under on fifty two 201 00:09:24,320 --> 00:09:25,880 Speaker 1: and a half. Just you know, it struck me. It's 202 00:09:25,880 --> 00:09:27,800 Speaker 1: a gut reaction. It was sort of like, you know, 203 00:09:27,880 --> 00:09:30,880 Speaker 1: it's gonna climb. But in the end, now that it's 204 00:09:30,880 --> 00:09:33,040 Speaker 1: sitting at fifty four and a half, like I'm like, man, 205 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:35,319 Speaker 1: if I'm really thinking about this, the value is clearly 206 00:09:35,400 --> 00:09:38,240 Speaker 1: on the under right now, Like it's very clearly on 207 00:09:38,280 --> 00:09:41,760 Speaker 1: the under. But I can't do it because you know, 208 00:09:42,040 --> 00:09:44,760 Speaker 1: you know, with Mahomes, there just is nothing. I mean, 209 00:09:44,840 --> 00:09:47,959 Speaker 1: he can he can just go crazy. So I guess 210 00:09:48,000 --> 00:09:50,600 Speaker 1: the last thing I'll ask is, you know, the public, 211 00:09:50,640 --> 00:09:53,680 Speaker 1: because this is the only game of the year where 212 00:09:53,880 --> 00:09:57,200 Speaker 1: probably the sharp betters have a pretty minimal impact, right, 213 00:09:57,280 --> 00:10:00,280 Speaker 1: I mean, there's so much public money coming in, and 214 00:10:00,320 --> 00:10:02,440 Speaker 1: the public money is enough to kind of move these lines. 215 00:10:02,760 --> 00:10:05,080 Speaker 1: There's gonna be a ton of public money probably that 216 00:10:05,160 --> 00:10:07,479 Speaker 1: comes in what Sunday, like Sunday. 217 00:10:07,080 --> 00:10:08,439 Speaker 3: Morning, Sunday. 218 00:10:08,600 --> 00:10:11,160 Speaker 1: Do you think that the total is going to continue 219 00:10:11,160 --> 00:10:12,560 Speaker 1: to grow up then? I mean it's gonna be at 220 00:10:12,559 --> 00:10:14,920 Speaker 1: fifty five fifty five and a half because everybody, you know, 221 00:10:15,000 --> 00:10:18,280 Speaker 1: the public glove's over. So yeah, is this gonna go 222 00:10:18,360 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 1: up to fifty five fifty five and a half If 223 00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:22,320 Speaker 1: you like the over, should you be taking it now? 224 00:10:23,640 --> 00:10:26,360 Speaker 3: I think so because I'm there's gonna be a lot 225 00:10:26,360 --> 00:10:29,600 Speaker 3: of You're gonna see a lot of chiefs over parlays 226 00:10:29,640 --> 00:10:32,240 Speaker 3: as well, too, Like people can't say no to that, 227 00:10:33,080 --> 00:10:35,160 Speaker 3: to that parlay there, even though I said, I'll say 228 00:10:35,200 --> 00:10:38,920 Speaker 3: right now, stay away, but it's there. It's gonna come 229 00:10:38,960 --> 00:10:42,319 Speaker 3: fast and furious Sunday, and it wouldn't be out of 230 00:10:42,320 --> 00:10:44,559 Speaker 3: the ordinary to see that number jump up another half 231 00:10:44,640 --> 00:10:45,120 Speaker 3: point or so. 232 00:10:45,760 --> 00:10:49,439 Speaker 2: Yeah. To add add to that, my dad is one 233 00:10:49,440 --> 00:10:53,400 Speaker 2: of the more square vetters around, texted me, I'm going 234 00:10:53,480 --> 00:10:57,040 Speaker 2: chiefs in the over, so he's I don't think he's 235 00:10:57,080 --> 00:11:00,199 Speaker 2: ever bet the under. So if that's any indication I 236 00:11:00,400 --> 00:11:03,600 Speaker 2: think it'll go up if it goes anywhere. But yeah, 237 00:11:03,720 --> 00:11:05,800 Speaker 2: i'd like, i'd hope to get a fifty six, but 238 00:11:06,080 --> 00:11:09,200 Speaker 2: I'm not you know, I'd be shocked if it goes down. 239 00:11:09,520 --> 00:11:10,360 Speaker 2: That's what i'd say. 240 00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:13,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, Well, so is there any other bet out of 241 00:11:13,320 --> 00:11:16,760 Speaker 1: curiosity before we kind of you know, get into the 242 00:11:16,760 --> 00:11:19,080 Speaker 1: player prop or on the game props. Is there any 243 00:11:19,160 --> 00:11:21,480 Speaker 1: part of it? Like I kind of could see this 244 00:11:21,720 --> 00:11:25,280 Speaker 1: coming out and at some point Mahomes is going to 245 00:11:25,280 --> 00:11:27,480 Speaker 1: be unleashed, right, at some point he's gonna go nuts. 246 00:11:27,520 --> 00:11:30,720 Speaker 1: But we've seen him come out a little flat. I 247 00:11:30,720 --> 00:11:33,280 Speaker 1: mean against the Titans. It's not like, you know, they 248 00:11:33,640 --> 00:11:37,199 Speaker 1: came in from behind. Against the Texans, they were obviously 249 00:11:37,240 --> 00:11:40,560 Speaker 1: getting blown out completely. I could see a bet on 250 00:11:40,760 --> 00:11:43,440 Speaker 1: the forty nine ers, like in the first quarter or 251 00:11:43,520 --> 00:11:45,960 Speaker 1: maybe even in the first half or something like that. 252 00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:48,120 Speaker 1: So if I'm gonna bet the spread, I could see 253 00:11:48,600 --> 00:11:51,160 Speaker 1: doing something like that, right, But I think on the 254 00:11:51,200 --> 00:11:53,960 Speaker 1: overall total, Man, this is a great game. It's gonna 255 00:11:53,960 --> 00:11:54,680 Speaker 1: be an exciting game. 256 00:11:55,440 --> 00:11:57,400 Speaker 3: It's really hard to give a lean because I can 257 00:11:57,440 --> 00:11:59,680 Speaker 3: see it happening so many different like the outcome coming 258 00:11:59,679 --> 00:12:02,040 Speaker 3: from so many different ways. So it's kind of difficult, 259 00:12:02,280 --> 00:12:03,319 Speaker 3: it's gonna be a lot of fun. 260 00:12:03,640 --> 00:12:06,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, So basically we've done a great job of basically 261 00:12:06,679 --> 00:12:09,920 Speaker 1: being like, I don't know, I guess Patrick Mahomes is great, 262 00:12:09,920 --> 00:12:13,280 Speaker 1: but honestly, that is you know, to see this spread 263 00:12:13,320 --> 00:12:15,480 Speaker 1: like this, it is the matchup that everybody kind of 264 00:12:15,480 --> 00:12:17,440 Speaker 1: wanted by the time, you know, the Ravens were out. 265 00:12:17,640 --> 00:12:19,840 Speaker 1: It's what we're gonna get. It's really gonna be interesting 266 00:12:19,840 --> 00:12:22,160 Speaker 1: because the last time you saw this, you know, not 267 00:12:22,280 --> 00:12:24,720 Speaker 1: to undersell the forty nine ers offense, which is very, 268 00:12:24,800 --> 00:12:26,040 Speaker 1: very good in its own right, but the last time 269 00:12:26,080 --> 00:12:29,160 Speaker 1: you saw this really really elite defensive team against what 270 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:32,600 Speaker 1: looks like this unstoppable offense, you know, you wound up 271 00:12:32,600 --> 00:12:36,000 Speaker 1: with the Seahawks just absolutely destroying the prodcast in that game. 272 00:12:36,000 --> 00:12:37,599 Speaker 1: And that was a game too where the spread was 273 00:12:37,640 --> 00:12:40,400 Speaker 1: basically a pick them right. It was pretty close there. 274 00:12:40,440 --> 00:12:42,120 Speaker 1: So hopefully we don't see a repeat of that and 275 00:12:42,120 --> 00:12:43,640 Speaker 1: it's a good game all the way through. But if not, 276 00:12:44,360 --> 00:12:46,640 Speaker 1: don't worry about it, because we're gonna have some player 277 00:12:46,679 --> 00:12:47,520 Speaker 1: props to talk about. 278 00:12:47,559 --> 00:12:47,640 Speaker 2: Now. 279 00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:49,719 Speaker 1: Before we get there, let us talk briefly about bet 280 00:12:49,840 --> 00:12:52,240 Speaker 1: MGM and the bet MGM Sports app. If you have 281 00:12:52,280 --> 00:12:54,760 Speaker 1: your phone handy, search for the bet MGM Sports app 282 00:12:54,760 --> 00:12:57,320 Speaker 1: and your app store right now, download it and sign 283 00:12:57,400 --> 00:12:59,199 Speaker 1: up for an account. It's gonna ask if you have 284 00:12:59,240 --> 00:13:02,760 Speaker 1: a promo code. It is my last name, Harris. Deposit 285 00:13:02,880 --> 00:13:05,280 Speaker 1: whatever amount you want and you're ready to bet, and 286 00:13:05,400 --> 00:13:07,720 Speaker 1: right now, make sure your first bet is a one 287 00:13:07,760 --> 00:13:10,200 Speaker 1: dollar money line bet on either the Chiefs or the 288 00:13:10,240 --> 00:13:12,720 Speaker 1: forty nine ers to win the Super Bowl. If you do, 289 00:13:13,000 --> 00:13:15,680 Speaker 1: then if either team scores a touchdown during the game, 290 00:13:15,720 --> 00:13:18,679 Speaker 1: not necessarily the team you bet on, either team, you 291 00:13:18,720 --> 00:13:20,800 Speaker 1: win two hundred dollars in free bets. Your one dollar 292 00:13:20,840 --> 00:13:23,120 Speaker 1: bet does not matter for that you win so long 293 00:13:23,160 --> 00:13:25,720 Speaker 1: as either team scores a touchdown, even if you lose 294 00:13:26,000 --> 00:13:28,240 Speaker 1: your one dollar money line bet. And guess what, there 295 00:13:28,240 --> 00:13:30,480 Speaker 1: has never been a Super Bowl where neither team scored 296 00:13:30,520 --> 00:13:32,480 Speaker 1: a touchdown and we are sitting here debating the over 297 00:13:32,559 --> 00:13:35,560 Speaker 1: under of fifty four and a half, so you're probably 298 00:13:35,640 --> 00:13:38,040 Speaker 1: in pretty good shape. It's essentially a guaranteed bet. Again, 299 00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:41,040 Speaker 1: download the BETMGM Sports app, open an account, use our 300 00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:43,840 Speaker 1: promo code Harris, and win some free money during the 301 00:13:43,880 --> 00:13:46,240 Speaker 1: Super Bowl. These winnings are paid in free bets. You 302 00:13:46,320 --> 00:13:48,120 Speaker 1: must be twenty one years or older. And although you 303 00:13:48,160 --> 00:13:50,520 Speaker 1: can sign up an easily deposit money anywhere, you must 304 00:13:50,559 --> 00:13:52,280 Speaker 1: be in the state of New Jersey to place a 305 00:13:52,320 --> 00:13:55,680 Speaker 1: sports bet, and certain restrictions apply. Visit betemgm dot com 306 00:13:55,679 --> 00:13:57,839 Speaker 1: for the fullest of terms and conditions. And if you've 307 00:13:57,880 --> 00:14:01,440 Speaker 1: got a gambling problem, call one eight hundred gample. All right, guys, 308 00:14:01,480 --> 00:14:04,520 Speaker 1: let's move on here to some prop bets. As everyone knows, 309 00:14:04,559 --> 00:14:08,160 Speaker 1: we use the Betting Pros consensus lines for these spreads 310 00:14:08,160 --> 00:14:10,560 Speaker 1: and over unders today and throughout the season, we're gonna 311 00:14:10,559 --> 00:14:12,439 Speaker 1: do the same thing here for prop bets. You can 312 00:14:12,440 --> 00:14:17,640 Speaker 1: find consensus player props over at Bettingpros dot com slash props, 313 00:14:17,640 --> 00:14:20,680 Speaker 1: and you can find consensus game props over at Bettingpros 314 00:14:20,760 --> 00:14:24,000 Speaker 1: dot com slash game props. So we'll talk about some 315 00:14:24,040 --> 00:14:26,520 Speaker 1: of our favorite plays. I'll give some of my thoughts. 316 00:14:26,520 --> 00:14:28,600 Speaker 1: But Andrew Sean got to start off the spread and 317 00:14:28,640 --> 00:14:30,160 Speaker 1: the total, So why don't you start us off with 318 00:14:30,280 --> 00:14:31,960 Speaker 1: game player prop whatever you want to talk about. 319 00:14:32,400 --> 00:14:35,760 Speaker 3: Should we start with something before the game actually starts 320 00:14:35,760 --> 00:14:36,880 Speaker 3: and go with the anthem? 321 00:14:36,960 --> 00:14:38,800 Speaker 1: Oh boy, do you have an anthem call? 322 00:14:39,480 --> 00:14:42,520 Speaker 3: We're going with the over on the anthem again this year, 323 00:14:42,640 --> 00:14:44,880 Speaker 3: even though the numbers started off at like one to 324 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:47,120 Speaker 3: nineteen and a half at some places, and I'm seeing 325 00:14:47,160 --> 00:14:49,400 Speaker 3: it as high as one twenty four and a half 326 00:14:49,440 --> 00:14:51,480 Speaker 3: with one hundred and twenty four seconds left, so two 327 00:14:51,560 --> 00:14:56,040 Speaker 3: minutes and four point five seconds. Had a little controversy 328 00:14:56,160 --> 00:15:01,480 Speaker 3: last year with Gladys Knights with her annunciation of the 329 00:15:01,520 --> 00:15:05,160 Speaker 3: word brave and uh so that was very exciting. A 330 00:15:05,160 --> 00:15:07,400 Speaker 3: lot of books, I think most most books I think 331 00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:10,640 Speaker 3: ended up paying both ways last year. So it's gonna 332 00:15:10,640 --> 00:15:15,440 Speaker 3: be interesting. Levado, I think, is gonna melk it and 333 00:15:15,760 --> 00:15:20,440 Speaker 3: her last performance at the at the McGregor fight that 334 00:15:20,440 --> 00:15:24,160 Speaker 3: that went way over. I just the the juice is 335 00:15:24,160 --> 00:15:26,280 Speaker 3: on the over still. It's a tough one. But this 336 00:15:26,360 --> 00:15:27,840 Speaker 3: is the one of the most fun props I have 337 00:15:27,920 --> 00:15:30,920 Speaker 3: every year. Everyone's everyone's into it right away and we 338 00:15:31,040 --> 00:15:34,200 Speaker 3: all sit there, sit around timing it ourselves and watching 339 00:15:34,280 --> 00:15:36,040 Speaker 3: all I think. I think she uh and we're all 340 00:15:36,040 --> 00:15:39,440 Speaker 3: screaming the teeth over over, over and and and we're 341 00:15:39,440 --> 00:15:43,920 Speaker 3: gonna go We're gonna start with an over on the anthem. One. Well, 342 00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:45,520 Speaker 3: I'm seeing one twenty four and a half right now, 343 00:15:45,560 --> 00:15:46,600 Speaker 3: I'll still take the over on that. 344 00:15:47,600 --> 00:15:50,120 Speaker 1: Sean, you're a noted Demi Lovado fan. Do you have 345 00:15:50,160 --> 00:15:52,200 Speaker 1: any any thoughts on that one? 346 00:15:52,520 --> 00:15:54,360 Speaker 2: Uh? Yeah, no, I mean I'm not gonna take the 347 00:15:54,480 --> 00:15:57,800 Speaker 2: under on the national anthem. I did see a prop 348 00:15:57,840 --> 00:16:00,520 Speaker 2: bet related to the national anthem that you would not 349 00:16:00,680 --> 00:16:03,280 Speaker 2: use a mic stand at plus one forty. I like 350 00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:07,360 Speaker 2: that anytime you can get you know, a dog for 351 00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:10,240 Speaker 2: not using a mic stand, I'm in on that. But 352 00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:13,800 Speaker 2: for my first official prep bet here, I'm gonna go 353 00:16:13,840 --> 00:16:16,360 Speaker 2: to the game. We kept talking about Patrick Mahomes and 354 00:16:16,680 --> 00:16:20,200 Speaker 2: I just the style of game that I see happening. 355 00:16:20,280 --> 00:16:22,640 Speaker 2: I think Patrick Mahomes is going to be running the 356 00:16:22,640 --> 00:16:25,120 Speaker 2: ball a lot. In the last two playoff games he 357 00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:28,520 Speaker 2: rushed for fifty three yards a piece and his total 358 00:16:28,600 --> 00:16:30,720 Speaker 2: is set at thirty and a half. I love the 359 00:16:30,760 --> 00:16:33,200 Speaker 2: over here on Patrick Mahomes. I think it's a I 360 00:16:33,200 --> 00:16:35,560 Speaker 2: mean San Francisco is a great defensive line. If they're 361 00:16:35,560 --> 00:16:37,840 Speaker 2: not disciplined with the rush lanes, He's going to be 362 00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:41,600 Speaker 2: running all over the place, getting first downs, keeping drives alive. 363 00:16:41,960 --> 00:16:44,520 Speaker 2: And if you look at kind of a similar team 364 00:16:44,600 --> 00:16:48,680 Speaker 2: in a couple senses as far as type of offense 365 00:16:48,720 --> 00:16:52,320 Speaker 2: they run. The Arizona Cardinals really at times gave the 366 00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:55,320 Speaker 2: forty nine ers, you know, they kind of struggled with 367 00:16:55,360 --> 00:16:57,720 Speaker 2: them considering how much better the forty nine ers were 368 00:16:58,000 --> 00:17:00,680 Speaker 2: than the Cardinals. And if you look at Actuallyler Murray's 369 00:17:00,720 --> 00:17:04,160 Speaker 2: games against him, he had thirty seven yards and then 370 00:17:05,040 --> 00:17:09,080 Speaker 2: he had what was the other one, sorry, thirty four 371 00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:11,159 Speaker 2: and sixty seven yards against the forty nine ers. So 372 00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:14,280 Speaker 2: I think, you know, the Chiefs are much better version 373 00:17:14,320 --> 00:17:17,400 Speaker 2: of that. And it just seems like in a must 374 00:17:17,440 --> 00:17:20,560 Speaker 2: win game, you feel the need to scramble, pick up 375 00:17:20,560 --> 00:17:23,280 Speaker 2: first downs, keep drives alive. And I think he's really 376 00:17:23,280 --> 00:17:24,560 Speaker 2: going to do a lot with his legs. 377 00:17:26,040 --> 00:17:28,760 Speaker 1: So this is an interesting one for me, I'll be honest, 378 00:17:29,240 --> 00:17:33,800 Speaker 1: because he's so he's obviously he's had some bigger rushing 379 00:17:33,840 --> 00:17:37,679 Speaker 1: games here in the playoffs, but before that he had 380 00:17:37,680 --> 00:17:42,440 Speaker 1: done it surpassed the number five times in his entire career. Right, 381 00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:44,080 Speaker 1: you think of Mahomes, You're like, oh, he's got so 382 00:17:44,160 --> 00:17:46,160 Speaker 1: much speed, Right, he's going to be great. He done 383 00:17:46,160 --> 00:17:50,240 Speaker 1: it five times over two seasons in the game. Right, 384 00:17:50,280 --> 00:17:52,359 Speaker 1: This is not something where you kind of look at 385 00:17:52,320 --> 00:17:53,760 Speaker 1: it and you're like, oh, boy, this is where it's 386 00:17:53,760 --> 00:17:56,200 Speaker 1: going to be. It strikes me a little bit as 387 00:17:56,320 --> 00:17:57,720 Speaker 1: when I look at it that way and I break 388 00:17:57,760 --> 00:18:00,320 Speaker 1: it down, that the value strikes me on the under 389 00:18:00,320 --> 00:18:02,359 Speaker 1: but I agree with you in that I wouldn't bet it. 390 00:18:02,440 --> 00:18:04,200 Speaker 1: This is again one that I'm looking at and I'm 391 00:18:04,200 --> 00:18:06,720 Speaker 1: sort of like, you know, the value strikes me here, 392 00:18:06,800 --> 00:18:09,560 Speaker 1: but I'm like, but it's Patrick Mahomes. And I think 393 00:18:09,600 --> 00:18:11,480 Speaker 1: the biggest thing, and you brought up is the forty 394 00:18:11,560 --> 00:18:15,600 Speaker 1: nine ers play zone, which actually, I mean it's kind 395 00:18:15,600 --> 00:18:17,760 Speaker 1: of gonna keep Mahomes in check right when you play 396 00:18:17,800 --> 00:18:20,840 Speaker 1: man the corners are turned away so they're not necessarily 397 00:18:20,840 --> 00:18:23,840 Speaker 1: watching him. But I think it really is that pass rush, right, 398 00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:27,120 Speaker 1: I mean they the offensive line for the Chiefs. No 399 00:18:27,200 --> 00:18:29,800 Speaker 1: offensive line at this point can stop that pass rush 400 00:18:29,880 --> 00:18:31,880 Speaker 1: that's coming in with the four of you know, those 401 00:18:31,920 --> 00:18:34,640 Speaker 1: guys that are really gonna get to Mahomes and he's 402 00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:37,679 Speaker 1: gonna have to scramble. Now, He's gonna have plenty of 403 00:18:37,680 --> 00:18:40,240 Speaker 1: times where he's just gonna kind of flick it fifty 404 00:18:40,320 --> 00:18:44,040 Speaker 1: yards downfield. But I do think that the fact that 405 00:18:44,040 --> 00:18:46,879 Speaker 1: they're gonna get to him so much probably and his 406 00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:50,640 Speaker 1: scrambling ability, I can't pull the trigger on the under, 407 00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:53,080 Speaker 1: so I don't love the over, you know, I think 408 00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:55,480 Speaker 1: the value sort of lies in the under. But the 409 00:18:55,520 --> 00:18:58,440 Speaker 1: reason why i'm you know, a little caught in between 410 00:18:58,440 --> 00:19:00,320 Speaker 1: them this is because I do think are going to 411 00:19:00,359 --> 00:19:01,720 Speaker 1: get to him quite a bit, and I do think 412 00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:03,000 Speaker 1: that's going to force him out of pocket and make 413 00:19:03,040 --> 00:19:05,200 Speaker 1: him run a little bit. So it's an interesting dot. Andrew, 414 00:19:05,240 --> 00:19:06,399 Speaker 1: do you have any thoughts on that one. 415 00:19:07,359 --> 00:19:09,880 Speaker 3: I agree with you that this number has been elevated 416 00:19:09,920 --> 00:19:12,240 Speaker 3: because of the way he's performed the last two weeks, 417 00:19:13,080 --> 00:19:16,000 Speaker 3: which is too bad. But once again where this is 418 00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:18,600 Speaker 3: the most unfun podcast ever, I agree I'm not gonna 419 00:19:18,600 --> 00:19:22,800 Speaker 3: fade him, just because I think that the Niners are 420 00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:25,360 Speaker 3: really going to try hard to get pressure on Mahomes 421 00:19:25,400 --> 00:19:30,400 Speaker 3: with that front four and without blitzing, and that old 422 00:19:30,760 --> 00:19:33,199 Speaker 3: probably as disciplined as they are and as good as 423 00:19:33,200 --> 00:19:36,280 Speaker 3: they are, he's athletic enough that he's gonna be able 424 00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:37,040 Speaker 3: to find some time. 425 00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:40,280 Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, because we're agreeing so much, Just to be clear, 426 00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:42,280 Speaker 1: if I'm forced to choose a side here, I will 427 00:19:42,320 --> 00:19:44,960 Speaker 1: go under. So there I disagree, bad job go ahead 428 00:19:44,960 --> 00:19:45,920 Speaker 1: of Yeah. 429 00:19:45,960 --> 00:19:48,320 Speaker 2: One more quick note, if you look at the regular 430 00:19:48,320 --> 00:19:52,359 Speaker 2: season San Francisco third as far as QB rush yards allowed, 431 00:19:52,440 --> 00:19:54,879 Speaker 2: just behind the Browns and the Bengals. So kind of 432 00:19:54,920 --> 00:19:58,160 Speaker 2: a rare weakness for the forty nine ers, I think. 433 00:19:58,520 --> 00:20:00,720 Speaker 2: Is their ability to the QB. 434 00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:04,000 Speaker 1: Rush A good point? Yeah, no, it's it's gonna be 435 00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:06,760 Speaker 1: an interesting one. And again, the guy like Mahomes, you know, 436 00:20:06,840 --> 00:20:09,040 Speaker 1: I'm a big fan of the under on the QB 437 00:20:09,440 --> 00:20:12,399 Speaker 1: rushing attempts. You know, if for no other reason, especially 438 00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:14,720 Speaker 1: when the team is favored, not really comes to play here, 439 00:20:14,760 --> 00:20:17,240 Speaker 1: but you're always gonna have the couple of kneel downs 440 00:20:17,280 --> 00:20:19,640 Speaker 1: at the end maybe of the half or maybe the game. 441 00:20:19,720 --> 00:20:22,600 Speaker 1: Right you'd be like, oh, man, like, what's what's Garoppolo's number? 442 00:20:22,600 --> 00:20:22,840 Speaker 2: Four? 443 00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:24,560 Speaker 1: Four and a half yards or something like that. 444 00:20:24,560 --> 00:20:25,400 Speaker 3: I think it's four and a half. 445 00:20:25,440 --> 00:20:27,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, So you know, that's an interesting one. But again, 446 00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:29,440 Speaker 1: it's not a game where you necessarily expect them to win, 447 00:20:29,600 --> 00:20:31,760 Speaker 1: so you can't count on the minus three yards that 448 00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:33,600 Speaker 1: they're gonna get. But that is something where I always 449 00:20:33,960 --> 00:20:37,160 Speaker 1: generally lean towards the under, especially whenever Rivers goes. I'll 450 00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:39,840 Speaker 1: take that under half a yard. All oh yeah, but yeah, 451 00:20:39,840 --> 00:20:41,679 Speaker 1: that's one of my favorites every time, but with this 452 00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:44,000 Speaker 1: one it's really really tough. Again, I would lean towards 453 00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:46,280 Speaker 1: the under, but it's something where I'm probably not gonna 454 00:20:46,280 --> 00:20:47,639 Speaker 1: be able to pull the trigger on for all the 455 00:20:47,680 --> 00:20:50,600 Speaker 1: reasons he said. And really the answer to everything involving 456 00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:53,600 Speaker 1: the Chiefs and this game is, well, it's Mahomes, So 457 00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:55,240 Speaker 1: it's really hard to go against them. Andrew, why don't 458 00:20:55,240 --> 00:20:56,359 Speaker 1: you go ahead? What's your next one? 459 00:20:56,560 --> 00:20:58,280 Speaker 3: Do you want me to continue with some more Mahomes 460 00:20:58,280 --> 00:21:00,760 Speaker 3: as you just you do whatever you say, segue to 461 00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:03,640 Speaker 3: be there, and no world, the world did your oyster going? 462 00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:06,800 Speaker 3: Patrick Mahomes to throw a touchdown pass in the second 463 00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:11,280 Speaker 3: quarter at minus one twenty. If you haven't heard, the 464 00:21:11,359 --> 00:21:14,640 Speaker 3: Chiefs are pretty good in the second quarter. They led 465 00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:17,280 Speaker 3: the league one hundred and seventy seven second quarter points 466 00:21:17,320 --> 00:21:20,520 Speaker 3: this season, and like everyone has just seen forty two 467 00:21:20,520 --> 00:21:24,200 Speaker 3: in those last two playoff games, and you guessed it, 468 00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:28,240 Speaker 3: it's because of Patrick Mahomes. In the regular season, fifteen 469 00:21:28,320 --> 00:21:31,119 Speaker 3: hundred yards, nine point two yards per attempt, ten touchdowns, 470 00:21:31,119 --> 00:21:33,720 Speaker 3: one pick, one, thirteen point five passer rating, which was 471 00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:36,920 Speaker 3: his best passer racing, best passer rating of any quarter 472 00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:39,960 Speaker 3: this season, and that hasn't changed to the playoffs much. 473 00:21:40,119 --> 00:21:42,560 Speaker 3: Sixteen for twenty two hundred and twelve yards, five touchdowns 474 00:21:42,560 --> 00:21:45,520 Speaker 3: and no interceptions, plus that crazy twenty seven yard run 475 00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:49,920 Speaker 3: in that in the AFC Championship there. Like I said 476 00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:53,840 Speaker 3: before there, I think we have to give a little 477 00:21:53,880 --> 00:21:57,560 Speaker 3: credit to that Niners defense. So maybe it takes the 478 00:21:57,600 --> 00:22:02,399 Speaker 3: Chiefs a little while to get going, and the defense 479 00:22:02,480 --> 00:22:04,160 Speaker 3: is always a little more hyped in the Super Bowl, 480 00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:07,080 Speaker 3: where the offenses are a little more subdued at the 481 00:22:07,080 --> 00:22:09,520 Speaker 3: start of a game with all the with all the 482 00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:13,800 Speaker 3: hype or surrounding it, and Andy Reid still as even if 483 00:22:13,800 --> 00:22:16,280 Speaker 3: the run game isn't successful, he's still gonna trot that 484 00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:18,720 Speaker 3: out there early on in games at least and give 485 00:22:18,760 --> 00:22:21,120 Speaker 3: you at least the look of a run game every 486 00:22:21,119 --> 00:22:23,800 Speaker 3: now and then. So I think the bet that they'll 487 00:22:23,800 --> 00:22:25,399 Speaker 3: get going in the second quarter and him to throw 488 00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:28,440 Speaker 3: a touchdown pass there is is very very likely. 489 00:22:28,920 --> 00:22:31,639 Speaker 1: Are the odds out of curiosity to the odds if 490 00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:32,920 Speaker 1: you know off the top of your head to throw 491 00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:35,400 Speaker 1: the touchdown pass the same in every quarter for him? 492 00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:42,680 Speaker 3: Nope, they are not. That was I have them. The 493 00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:49,119 Speaker 3: first quarter was plus one ten Okay, the third quarter 494 00:22:49,480 --> 00:22:52,760 Speaker 3: was about even money, I think. No, the third quarter 495 00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:55,840 Speaker 3: was also plus one, no, minus one ten, and the 496 00:22:55,840 --> 00:22:58,439 Speaker 3: fourth quarter is also minus one twenty or something like that. 497 00:22:58,480 --> 00:22:58,760 Speaker 1: Got it. 498 00:22:58,800 --> 00:23:01,520 Speaker 3: So the second and fourth it's worthy most likely quarters 499 00:23:01,520 --> 00:23:02,000 Speaker 3: for him to throw. 500 00:23:02,240 --> 00:23:04,040 Speaker 1: Yep, yep, no, I mean I think that makes sense. 501 00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:05,879 Speaker 1: And again what I said was to the extent I 502 00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:08,920 Speaker 1: like a side quote unquote I needed this. It's kind 503 00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:11,000 Speaker 1: of the forty nine ers early, maybe even the under 504 00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:13,639 Speaker 1: in the first quarter, but the forty nine ers maybe 505 00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:16,880 Speaker 1: in the first quarter. Because I do think generally it's 506 00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:20,199 Speaker 1: Super Bowl, everybody kind of gets a little bit caught up. 507 00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:22,280 Speaker 1: But I feel like they could, you know, come out 508 00:23:22,320 --> 00:23:24,720 Speaker 1: a little conservative. I don't. And again, but Mahomes has 509 00:23:24,760 --> 00:23:28,080 Speaker 1: gone a little nuts. They're behind the last two games. Like, 510 00:23:28,119 --> 00:23:30,399 Speaker 1: oh now I have to Mahomes, you know, before that, 511 00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:31,920 Speaker 1: it's sort of like, all right, let's play it straight. 512 00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:34,720 Speaker 1: So that I like that call. All right, John, what 513 00:23:34,760 --> 00:23:35,320 Speaker 1: do you have now? 514 00:23:35,800 --> 00:23:38,800 Speaker 2: Well, We've had a lot of sensible, reasonable bets here 515 00:23:38,840 --> 00:23:40,600 Speaker 2: and now I'm gonna mix things up and go for 516 00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:44,720 Speaker 2: a pretty long shot. I got it over at the 517 00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:49,719 Speaker 2: betting pros. This is Matt Braida our good buddy. I 518 00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:52,840 Speaker 2: think now it's plus sixteen hundred. It's a long shot 519 00:23:52,840 --> 00:23:56,160 Speaker 2: for a reason, but most rushing yards a plus sixteen hundred. 520 00:23:56,520 --> 00:24:00,680 Speaker 2: Here's my scenario. Here's my scenario. Most are you know, Hey, 521 00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:02,840 Speaker 2: he's gonna come in there, he'll have a good game, 522 00:24:02,840 --> 00:24:05,160 Speaker 2: but he's coming off a huge two hundred yard game. 523 00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:09,240 Speaker 2: Coleman I think, I mean, I still think that shoulder 524 00:24:09,280 --> 00:24:09,960 Speaker 2: is going to be an issue. 525 00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:12,520 Speaker 1: If I'm shit, there's no way, there's no way that 526 00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:14,680 Speaker 1: Coleman is going to have a significant role in this game. 527 00:24:14,720 --> 00:24:15,520 Speaker 1: There's right way. 528 00:24:15,760 --> 00:24:19,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, so if he scores three touchdowns though it's certainly 529 00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:21,120 Speaker 3: it's certainly possible. 530 00:24:21,200 --> 00:24:24,520 Speaker 2: And I love, I love all the Brita overs and 531 00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:26,680 Speaker 2: Coleman unders. A lot of them are off the board 532 00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:28,679 Speaker 2: right now because of the shoulder injury. I got a 533 00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:31,879 Speaker 2: couple early and certainly going to play him in some 534 00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:35,159 Speaker 2: like DFS lineups. But yeah, Matt Braida to have the 535 00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:37,800 Speaker 2: most rushing yards at plus sixteen hundred, you know, I 536 00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:39,639 Speaker 2: mean if he was forty nine ers, it's like, really, 537 00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:42,879 Speaker 2: their strength is just their how the offensive line just 538 00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:46,000 Speaker 2: bowls people over. It kind of doesn't matter who's running 539 00:24:46,000 --> 00:24:48,240 Speaker 2: the ball. And he just has to beat up most 540 00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:52,119 Speaker 2: who maybe they're game planning around uh. And I think 541 00:24:52,240 --> 00:24:55,560 Speaker 2: whoever's on San Francisco will out rush whoever's on Kansas City. 542 00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:58,119 Speaker 2: So it's a long shot at plus sixteen hundred, but 543 00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:00,000 Speaker 2: I think the scenario kind of makes sense. 544 00:25:00,920 --> 00:25:04,200 Speaker 1: Does the scenario include Matt Brida invending a time machine 545 00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:06,560 Speaker 1: and going back to the game against the Vikings and 546 00:25:06,600 --> 00:25:08,800 Speaker 1: getting not fumbling at the very end of that game, 547 00:25:09,040 --> 00:25:12,720 Speaker 1: because that's my big worry here, because again against the Packers, 548 00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:16,120 Speaker 1: I mean that game was over and they had two 549 00:25:16,200 --> 00:25:18,840 Speaker 1: running backs and they were like, nah, most just keep going, 550 00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:20,879 Speaker 1: It's all right, get four hundred yards. I was like, 551 00:25:21,040 --> 00:25:24,040 Speaker 1: Matt Brida's right there. I mean, the game's over and 552 00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:26,560 Speaker 1: you know you got this only one running back and 553 00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:28,600 Speaker 1: they're like, nah, nah, you're you're good man, You're good. 554 00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:30,080 Speaker 1: By the way, just so you guys know, I will 555 00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:33,520 Speaker 1: say separately that I have a bet. I believe it's 556 00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:37,160 Speaker 1: sixteen to one on Moster to have the most rushing 557 00:25:37,240 --> 00:25:39,760 Speaker 1: yards in the playoffs, And I thought it was then 558 00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:42,159 Speaker 1: in the water with Derrick Henry surviving as long as 559 00:25:42,160 --> 00:25:43,760 Speaker 1: he did and had big but with that two hundred 560 00:25:43,800 --> 00:25:47,400 Speaker 1: twenty yard game. We all everybody rooted for, like remostered, 561 00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:49,200 Speaker 1: I think it's like one hundred and sixty nine yards. Okay, 562 00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:50,959 Speaker 1: so you guys are in on that, all right, rajing 563 00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:53,480 Speaker 1: to get that one. Look, I don't I really honestly, 564 00:25:53,640 --> 00:25:55,919 Speaker 1: I'm teasing you a little bit. I do not hate that, 565 00:25:56,680 --> 00:25:59,359 Speaker 1: really because again, sixteen to one is good, and again 566 00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:03,480 Speaker 1: Amian Williams, I mean, you know, he's he's pretty much 567 00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:06,160 Speaker 1: topped out. Even when he's got all the carries at 568 00:26:06,200 --> 00:26:08,399 Speaker 1: like twelve and a half carries, right, like, that's basically 569 00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:10,960 Speaker 1: all he's gonna get, and the averages about four yards 570 00:26:10,960 --> 00:26:13,639 Speaker 1: per carry whatever, he's probably gonna top out at fifty 571 00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:17,520 Speaker 1: yards rushing. And with most art moster gets injured or 572 00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:19,879 Speaker 1: most are fumbles. Who knows what they're gonna do. Right, 573 00:26:19,960 --> 00:26:21,879 Speaker 1: you could see Brita sort of getting in here, and 574 00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:24,159 Speaker 1: even if he busts out one long one. So I'm 575 00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:27,520 Speaker 1: teasing you a little bit, you know, but crazy, I 576 00:26:27,600 --> 00:26:30,560 Speaker 1: don't know, But I like it. Yeah, I mean I 577 00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:33,120 Speaker 1: certainly like it. I mean not as much as Demi 578 00:26:33,200 --> 00:26:35,879 Speaker 1: Levado to go over two oh four. But you know 579 00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:38,000 Speaker 1: why the way I do like that because I think 580 00:26:38,040 --> 00:26:40,720 Speaker 1: every singer wants to milk it as long as possible, 581 00:26:40,760 --> 00:26:43,160 Speaker 1: but right, totally, all right, all right, Andrew, what else 582 00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:43,840 Speaker 1: you got. 583 00:26:43,920 --> 00:26:45,640 Speaker 3: Well, I'm gonna make you feel good here, and we're 584 00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:48,399 Speaker 3: gonna go with We're gonna go with Moster to go 585 00:26:48,480 --> 00:26:51,840 Speaker 3: over his rushing total here of well, see, let me 586 00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:54,440 Speaker 3: check on betting pros O. I have it. I got 587 00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:56,679 Speaker 3: it in at seventy one and a half. I was 588 00:26:56,800 --> 00:27:01,159 Speaker 3: on a yeah last week with a guy who's a 589 00:27:01,240 --> 00:27:04,360 Speaker 3: Niners fan, and he got it at sixty point five. 590 00:27:04,160 --> 00:27:07,159 Speaker 1: When it first hit the mort it's seventy seven and 591 00:27:07,160 --> 00:27:07,720 Speaker 1: a half. 592 00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:09,840 Speaker 3: Now seventy seven and a half. Now I'm betting pros, 593 00:27:09,880 --> 00:27:13,440 Speaker 3: so I still probably take the over. 594 00:27:13,720 --> 00:27:15,800 Speaker 1: It's gonna be one hundred and sixty nine yards, don't 595 00:27:15,840 --> 00:27:16,840 Speaker 1: worry about it. 596 00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:20,399 Speaker 3: But we're getting to the point now where maybe the 597 00:27:20,480 --> 00:27:23,920 Speaker 3: Unders getting a little more the side I'm gonna lean with. 598 00:27:24,200 --> 00:27:27,000 Speaker 3: But the Chiefs have the twenty ninth ranked rush defense 599 00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:32,040 Speaker 3: still in terms of DVOA, and everything I'm hearing is 600 00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:34,840 Speaker 3: that the Niners are just gonna go big as much 601 00:27:34,880 --> 00:27:37,680 Speaker 3: as possible. Lots of lots of lots of running to mostar, 602 00:27:37,800 --> 00:27:39,680 Speaker 3: and lots of play action the kittle sort of thing. 603 00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:43,680 Speaker 3: And I think this number is win or lose for 604 00:27:44,280 --> 00:27:46,679 Speaker 3: the chiefs. This is a number that moster can get to. 605 00:27:47,240 --> 00:27:50,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I again, it is the rare thing 606 00:27:50,840 --> 00:27:54,119 Speaker 1: where man, it opened so much lower than it is 607 00:27:54,200 --> 00:27:57,479 Speaker 1: right now at seventy seven and a half. So seventy 608 00:27:57,520 --> 00:27:59,560 Speaker 1: seven and a half, honestly, you know, again one of 609 00:27:59,600 --> 00:28:02,119 Speaker 1: these things where like most props, I would kind of 610 00:28:02,240 --> 00:28:04,840 Speaker 1: lean towards the under on this one, but they are 611 00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:07,960 Speaker 1: obviously going to try to do what they do best. 612 00:28:08,000 --> 00:28:11,159 Speaker 1: Although I will give one of my props in a minute, 613 00:28:11,680 --> 00:28:15,080 Speaker 1: but I you know, it strikes me as something where 614 00:28:15,640 --> 00:28:18,000 Speaker 1: he is the only guy in town unless you know, 615 00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:21,840 Speaker 1: of course, Shawn's noted. You know, buddy Matt Brita gets 616 00:28:21,840 --> 00:28:24,560 Speaker 1: involved in there, and they're gonna run it as much 617 00:28:24,560 --> 00:28:25,920 Speaker 1: as they can, and that is where you can attack 618 00:28:25,960 --> 00:28:28,240 Speaker 1: the chief. So I certainly don't hate the idea of it. 619 00:28:28,440 --> 00:28:29,840 Speaker 1: Seventy seven and a half at this point for me, 620 00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:31,520 Speaker 1: is a little a little too much, but. 621 00:28:31,520 --> 00:28:32,240 Speaker 3: It's getting there. 622 00:28:32,359 --> 00:28:34,560 Speaker 1: It's getting there, it's getting pushed up. How about you, Sean, 623 00:28:34,600 --> 00:28:35,240 Speaker 1: what else you got? 624 00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:38,640 Speaker 2: Oh? Okay, Well, as you know, I'm a Philadelphi Eagles 625 00:28:38,640 --> 00:28:40,720 Speaker 2: fan and we get we get a lot of grief 626 00:28:40,880 --> 00:28:44,479 Speaker 2: for being mean fans and for cheering for injuries. So 627 00:28:44,880 --> 00:28:47,280 Speaker 2: I'm going to show that I have a heart and 628 00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:50,240 Speaker 2: I am going to there's a bet out there number 629 00:28:50,240 --> 00:28:54,200 Speaker 2: of players carted off the field. It's said, it's said 630 00:28:54,240 --> 00:28:57,440 Speaker 2: at a half, and I love the under at minus 631 00:28:57,440 --> 00:29:00,160 Speaker 2: one forty. I think it's a super Bowl. I think 632 00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:03,080 Speaker 2: if you get if you get banged up, whatever it is, 633 00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:05,280 Speaker 2: they're gonna do whatever it takes to kind of walk off. 634 00:29:05,280 --> 00:29:07,840 Speaker 2: No one wants to be carted off from the super Bowl. 635 00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:11,760 Speaker 2: And again, you're cheering against injuries. You're just cheering for 636 00:29:11,840 --> 00:29:15,080 Speaker 2: everyone to have a nice, safe, super Bowl and nothing 637 00:29:15,120 --> 00:29:17,240 Speaker 2: really bad to happen. So you feel like you're on 638 00:29:17,320 --> 00:29:20,040 Speaker 2: the right side of karma. So give me under a 639 00:29:20,160 --> 00:29:23,000 Speaker 2: half for players carted off the field at minus one forty. 640 00:29:23,520 --> 00:29:25,320 Speaker 1: I mean, here's the best part of that one is 641 00:29:25,360 --> 00:29:28,480 Speaker 1: that you're first of all, you're constantly engaged, right because 642 00:29:28,520 --> 00:29:31,680 Speaker 1: every single play you're like, come on, no injuries. Every 643 00:29:31,760 --> 00:29:33,800 Speaker 1: time you get down, you're just on the player's side. 644 00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:35,840 Speaker 1: Somebody goes down, they're like, oh, they look a little 645 00:29:35,840 --> 00:29:39,040 Speaker 1: bit hurt. You're just totally rooting for them on either side. 646 00:29:39,080 --> 00:29:41,320 Speaker 1: Not no, So you're doing it in the Philadelphia Eagles 647 00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:43,680 Speaker 1: when you're like, get up, man, what are you doing? 648 00:29:43,800 --> 00:29:46,320 Speaker 1: I'm doing it like the caring, like we care about you. 649 00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:49,280 Speaker 1: It's okay, you can do it. You're a strong guy. 650 00:29:49,400 --> 00:29:52,040 Speaker 1: Go ahead and get up there. So that's a crazy bet, 651 00:29:52,040 --> 00:29:53,760 Speaker 1: but it is. I don't know what people did in 652 00:29:53,800 --> 00:29:56,280 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl before prop bets, because if you can't 653 00:29:56,320 --> 00:29:58,600 Speaker 1: root for people to not get injured, then what's at 654 00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:02,360 Speaker 1: the point of watching me games? At this point? All right, Andrew, 655 00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:03,160 Speaker 1: what do you have next? 656 00:30:04,640 --> 00:30:04,960 Speaker 2: Next? 657 00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:09,520 Speaker 3: We're gonna go with Travis Kelce's longest reception over twenty 658 00:30:09,600 --> 00:30:11,040 Speaker 3: and a half yards. This was one of the first 659 00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:12,840 Speaker 3: prop bets that jumped off the board to me when 660 00:30:12,840 --> 00:30:17,400 Speaker 3: I first started hitting the board last week. There I 661 00:30:17,600 --> 00:30:21,360 Speaker 3: just I really really like this matchup for him. He's 662 00:30:21,600 --> 00:30:24,280 Speaker 3: he's a really smart tight end. Not only is he 663 00:30:24,320 --> 00:30:27,160 Speaker 3: super talented, he's really smart. And as we've mentioned that, 664 00:30:27,160 --> 00:30:29,040 Speaker 3: the Niners play zone and he's gonna be able to 665 00:30:29,080 --> 00:30:33,000 Speaker 3: sit down in those pockets and find that space. And 666 00:30:33,040 --> 00:30:36,840 Speaker 3: then he's just as tough to tackle as anyone in 667 00:30:36,880 --> 00:30:39,440 Speaker 3: the league. He led the team and most people will 668 00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:41,960 Speaker 3: think of Tyreek Hill as is the big threat guy, 669 00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:44,960 Speaker 3: but he actually led the team with twenty plus yard 670 00:30:45,360 --> 00:30:48,200 Speaker 3: receptions this year and he's had four twenty plus yard 671 00:30:48,240 --> 00:30:51,760 Speaker 3: receptions in the playoffs, and I think he's just and 672 00:30:51,800 --> 00:30:55,760 Speaker 3: he's proven that he can do it against these top defenses. 673 00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:58,240 Speaker 3: He's faced five top ten teams in terms of passing 674 00:30:58,320 --> 00:31:01,160 Speaker 3: dv Away, including the Hats who were the top, and 675 00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:04,000 Speaker 3: the average six and a half receptions and seventy yards 676 00:31:04,160 --> 00:31:06,760 Speaker 3: per game, and had a reception of twenty yards for 677 00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:09,360 Speaker 3: more in three of those and one of those games 678 00:31:09,400 --> 00:31:11,360 Speaker 3: that he didn't, Mahomes wasn't the even of his quarterback. 679 00:31:11,720 --> 00:31:15,240 Speaker 3: So he's a very capable guy. And I just think 680 00:31:15,520 --> 00:31:18,800 Speaker 3: down the stretch, the Niners actually did have some trouble 681 00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:21,600 Speaker 3: with tight ends in weeks thirteen, fourteen, and sixteen. They 682 00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:25,280 Speaker 3: faced just like okay tight ends Mark Andrews, Jared Cook, 683 00:31:25,320 --> 00:31:27,400 Speaker 3: Tyler Higbee, and they allowed them to combine for two 684 00:31:27,440 --> 00:31:30,320 Speaker 3: hundred and two hundred and twenty four yards and fourteen receptions. 685 00:31:31,560 --> 00:31:33,840 Speaker 3: That's an average of fifteen point yards yards per catch, 686 00:31:34,120 --> 00:31:36,480 Speaker 3: and all of them had at least one catch at 687 00:31:36,520 --> 00:31:40,000 Speaker 3: twenty plus yards. So if the Chiefs are moving the 688 00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:42,440 Speaker 3: ball at all. I think Kelsey to have a reception 689 00:31:42,480 --> 00:31:43,880 Speaker 3: over twenty half yards is a good bet. 690 00:31:44,320 --> 00:31:46,840 Speaker 1: Okay, yeah, I don't hate that. I definitely don't hate that. 691 00:31:46,840 --> 00:31:48,640 Speaker 1: There are gonna be a lot of big plays, and 692 00:31:48,680 --> 00:31:50,840 Speaker 1: certainly Kelsey is one of the guys to get in 693 00:31:50,880 --> 00:31:52,800 Speaker 1: on it. I'm gonna throw one out here because it 694 00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:55,400 Speaker 1: was the first one I bet when I sort of 695 00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:57,640 Speaker 1: looked at this one, and it's a little creative, and 696 00:31:57,680 --> 00:32:00,600 Speaker 1: it is the number of players to throw a touchdown 697 00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:04,800 Speaker 1: pass and that is over two and a half because 698 00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:07,960 Speaker 1: you have to assume, of course that Garoppolo. Of course, 699 00:32:07,960 --> 00:32:09,720 Speaker 1: this does mean Garoppolo has to throw on so that 700 00:32:09,800 --> 00:32:11,480 Speaker 1: is a little yeah in the end. 701 00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:13,920 Speaker 2: Down. 702 00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:19,360 Speaker 1: But look, these are two of the most creative play 703 00:32:19,360 --> 00:32:21,960 Speaker 1: callers in the game, right with Reid and Shanahan. You 704 00:32:22,040 --> 00:32:24,240 Speaker 1: know they're gonna pull out all the stops. Last game 705 00:32:24,240 --> 00:32:26,120 Speaker 1: of the season, can hold anything back. As we said, 706 00:32:26,160 --> 00:32:28,880 Speaker 1: it's at plus one twenty four. You know you've seen 707 00:32:28,880 --> 00:32:33,240 Speaker 1: Emmanuel Sanders do it, you know before, and he's certainly 708 00:32:33,240 --> 00:32:35,280 Speaker 1: capable of throwing the ball. I just think there's gonna 709 00:32:35,280 --> 00:32:37,880 Speaker 1: be some crazy trick play. It's plus money obviously, so 710 00:32:37,960 --> 00:32:40,040 Speaker 1: the odds are not in its favor, but it is 711 00:32:40,120 --> 00:32:42,680 Speaker 1: something and you know, I like rooting for creativity, you 712 00:32:42,680 --> 00:32:44,320 Speaker 1: know what I mean. It's something where where you can 713 00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:46,520 Speaker 1: definitely see them go or fake punt or something like that. 714 00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:49,600 Speaker 1: So for me, I'm going over two and a half 715 00:32:49,600 --> 00:32:51,840 Speaker 1: touchdown passes at plus one twenty four. 716 00:32:51,920 --> 00:32:55,800 Speaker 2: You're up shown all right, Well man, there's so much. 717 00:32:56,560 --> 00:32:57,080 Speaker 2: There's so many. 718 00:32:57,200 --> 00:32:58,760 Speaker 1: I know you're you're gonna have to narrow it down here. 719 00:32:58,760 --> 00:33:01,880 Speaker 1: I'm gonna how about this. I'll give you, guys two 720 00:33:01,960 --> 00:33:05,360 Speaker 1: more eaches that go okay, why are right? Seven more? 721 00:33:05,400 --> 00:33:07,160 Speaker 1: Do seven more? Do as many as you want? How 722 00:33:07,200 --> 00:33:09,720 Speaker 1: about that? I could be here until I cut you off. 723 00:33:11,280 --> 00:33:13,240 Speaker 2: Here's what I like. And again it kind of goes 724 00:33:13,280 --> 00:33:17,560 Speaker 2: to the game script that I see the game going. 725 00:33:17,640 --> 00:33:20,240 Speaker 2: And in general, it's nice when you can bet props 726 00:33:20,440 --> 00:33:24,200 Speaker 2: where you can see them going, either if the Chiefs 727 00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:26,320 Speaker 2: win or if the forty nine ers win. Right, So, 728 00:33:27,120 --> 00:33:29,120 Speaker 2: I think one of the things the Chiefs are gonna 729 00:33:29,120 --> 00:33:32,040 Speaker 2: do to kind of counterbalance the pass rush is get 730 00:33:32,080 --> 00:33:35,280 Speaker 2: the screen game involved early and often. I think Damian 731 00:33:35,320 --> 00:33:37,440 Speaker 2: Williams is gonna have a big day as far as 732 00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:40,640 Speaker 2: receiving yards right now over at betting pros his line 733 00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:43,000 Speaker 2: is set at twenty nine and a half. I'll take 734 00:33:43,040 --> 00:33:46,160 Speaker 2: the over on that minus one twelve. It just seems 735 00:33:46,200 --> 00:33:48,960 Speaker 2: like that's a great way to offset a crazy pass rush. 736 00:33:49,120 --> 00:33:52,080 Speaker 2: Is the screen game or checking down the receivers? I 737 00:33:52,080 --> 00:33:55,320 Speaker 2: think checking out of the running back. I think Kelsey 738 00:33:55,480 --> 00:33:58,440 Speaker 2: and the running back, you know, Damian Williams. I think 739 00:33:58,440 --> 00:34:00,760 Speaker 2: they're gonna have a lot of kind of easy yards 740 00:34:00,840 --> 00:34:04,000 Speaker 2: underneath because I think the forty nine ers are gonna 741 00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:07,320 Speaker 2: do everything they can to stop, you know, any sort 742 00:34:07,360 --> 00:34:09,440 Speaker 2: of crazy, big play that knocks them out of the game. 743 00:34:10,280 --> 00:34:12,759 Speaker 2: So yeah, I love Damian Williams over receiving yards of 744 00:34:12,840 --> 00:34:13,760 Speaker 2: twenty nine and a half. 745 00:34:14,600 --> 00:34:16,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, I really like that one. Honestly. When I looked 746 00:34:16,560 --> 00:34:18,160 Speaker 1: at this, that's one of the first things I looked 747 00:34:18,200 --> 00:34:20,920 Speaker 1: at too, and I was like, what are his receptions? 748 00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:23,239 Speaker 1: You know, it's four and a half. You know that 749 00:34:23,239 --> 00:34:26,080 Speaker 1: that's a big number, But the fact that it's set 750 00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:29,320 Speaker 1: there shows that obviously there's an expectation that Williams is 751 00:34:29,320 --> 00:34:31,040 Speaker 1: certainly going to be getting a lot of work in 752 00:34:31,080 --> 00:34:33,000 Speaker 1: the passing game. So I certainly don't hate that one, 753 00:34:33,040 --> 00:34:34,480 Speaker 1: all right, Andrew go ahead. I'm not gonna let you 754 00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:36,200 Speaker 1: guys the two more you guys were disappointed. You can 755 00:34:36,320 --> 00:34:37,839 Speaker 1: you got it, just keep going, what do you got. 756 00:34:38,000 --> 00:34:41,360 Speaker 3: I'm gonna speak to Deshawn's idea of the game, the 757 00:34:41,360 --> 00:34:43,840 Speaker 3: way the game is gonna end up. And this is 758 00:34:43,840 --> 00:34:45,799 Speaker 3: when I like, if the game is close, which is 759 00:34:45,840 --> 00:34:49,200 Speaker 3: what I think, And that's Scaroppolo to go over twenty 760 00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:51,319 Speaker 3: nine and a half pass attempts, and I know he 761 00:34:51,360 --> 00:34:54,799 Speaker 3: hasn't done that much lately, and I know there's no 762 00:34:54,880 --> 00:34:57,359 Speaker 3: way that Kyle Shanahan has him throwing the ball thirty 763 00:34:57,360 --> 00:35:03,920 Speaker 3: plus times in his game plan. But those were blowout wins, obviously, 764 00:35:04,440 --> 00:35:06,759 Speaker 3: and when you look deeper into it, he threw thirty 765 00:35:06,800 --> 00:35:10,080 Speaker 3: plus passes seven times in the regular season. Two of 766 00:35:10,080 --> 00:35:13,200 Speaker 3: those came in losses to the Seahawks and Falcons. The 767 00:35:13,280 --> 00:35:16,760 Speaker 3: other five came by wins of four points, thirteen points, 768 00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:20,279 Speaker 3: three points, ten points, and two points. And that ten 769 00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:23,440 Speaker 3: point one was that crazy Cardinals one where they fumbled 770 00:35:23,440 --> 00:35:24,960 Speaker 3: on the last play and I had a terrible, bad 771 00:35:25,000 --> 00:35:27,080 Speaker 3: beat and I screamed a lot of stuff in the TV. 772 00:35:29,200 --> 00:35:33,920 Speaker 3: But either way, it's the point being is that Greppaa 773 00:35:33,960 --> 00:35:37,680 Speaker 3: has clearly thrown the ball in those close games, and 774 00:35:37,880 --> 00:35:39,439 Speaker 3: I think this is going to be a closest game, 775 00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:41,440 Speaker 3: So I'm betting him to go over twenty nine and 776 00:35:41,480 --> 00:35:42,360 Speaker 3: a half pass attempts. 777 00:35:42,560 --> 00:35:45,080 Speaker 1: So I do like that one actually, and I bet 778 00:35:45,160 --> 00:35:47,880 Speaker 1: one that's similar to it and pretty correlated, and that 779 00:35:48,000 --> 00:35:50,680 Speaker 1: is over nineteen and a half completions, right, because I 780 00:35:50,719 --> 00:35:53,239 Speaker 1: think I agree with you completely, and again, they're gonna 781 00:35:53,239 --> 00:35:54,880 Speaker 1: need points, they're gonna need to throw, They're gonna get 782 00:35:54,880 --> 00:35:57,239 Speaker 1: creative here, and you know, if he is going to 783 00:35:57,320 --> 00:35:59,160 Speaker 1: throw that much, I think that he will be able 784 00:35:59,200 --> 00:36:00,800 Speaker 1: to complete nineteen and a half if he's going to 785 00:36:00,880 --> 00:36:02,840 Speaker 1: go over there anyway, So I think they're pretty correlated. 786 00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:04,920 Speaker 1: But I also think for the most part, you know, 787 00:36:05,440 --> 00:36:07,480 Speaker 1: they're not gonna go Shannan is not gonna go crazy. 788 00:36:07,520 --> 00:36:09,279 Speaker 1: They will go deep when they need to go deep. 789 00:36:09,280 --> 00:36:11,239 Speaker 1: He can, he can take their shots. But for the 790 00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:12,520 Speaker 1: most part, I think it's gonna be a lot of, 791 00:36:12,760 --> 00:36:15,160 Speaker 1: you know, high percentage completions, trying to keep the ball 792 00:36:15,200 --> 00:36:17,040 Speaker 1: moving using them play action pass and stuff like that. 793 00:36:17,120 --> 00:36:19,120 Speaker 1: So I'm with you on that one. For me, the 794 00:36:19,120 --> 00:36:22,560 Speaker 1: the in terms of his past attempts and stuff like that, 795 00:36:22,640 --> 00:36:25,640 Speaker 1: I actually slightly prefer the pass completions at over nineteen 796 00:36:25,680 --> 00:36:27,480 Speaker 1: and a half. But yeah, I'm with you sort of 797 00:36:27,760 --> 00:36:28,680 Speaker 1: in that line of thinking. 798 00:36:29,200 --> 00:36:32,759 Speaker 2: All right, Sean, Yes, this is a This is a 799 00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:36,120 Speaker 2: prop bet I play every year since I found out 800 00:36:36,120 --> 00:36:39,200 Speaker 2: about it, maybe like six years ago when we started 801 00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:41,879 Speaker 2: really diving deep into the into the prop bet market here, 802 00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:45,800 Speaker 2: and that is to play both quarterbacks their first passing complete. 803 00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:48,960 Speaker 2: So right now you can take Mahomes plus one sixty 804 00:36:49,040 --> 00:36:52,719 Speaker 2: five first passing complete, Garoppolo plus one ninety five right now, 805 00:36:52,760 --> 00:36:56,400 Speaker 2: first passing complete. I play them blind every year. You 806 00:36:56,440 --> 00:36:59,120 Speaker 2: can usually wait because people will think like, oh, yeah, 807 00:36:59,280 --> 00:37:01,800 Speaker 2: you know they're good, They're gonna give them an easy pass. 808 00:37:02,080 --> 00:37:05,080 Speaker 2: But it's the super Bowl, it's they've been they haven't 809 00:37:05,120 --> 00:37:08,000 Speaker 2: played in two weeks. There's so much pressure. Guys are 810 00:37:08,000 --> 00:37:12,200 Speaker 2: overthinking it. Even in like shootout games, a lot of 811 00:37:12,239 --> 00:37:14,439 Speaker 2: times their first pass will be in complete. They're out 812 00:37:14,440 --> 00:37:17,080 Speaker 2: of sink, they're in a new stadium, weird lighting, the 813 00:37:17,120 --> 00:37:19,760 Speaker 2: whole thing. There's probably still gonna be smoke on the field. 814 00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:23,040 Speaker 2: So there's a lot of reasons, but really it's just 815 00:37:23,120 --> 00:37:25,160 Speaker 2: kind of one of those evy bets where if you 816 00:37:25,200 --> 00:37:27,640 Speaker 2: play both of them, one of them is probably gonna hit. 817 00:37:27,640 --> 00:37:30,000 Speaker 2: There's a chance you could hit both if you're at 818 00:37:30,040 --> 00:37:32,120 Speaker 2: a shot that lets you parlay props, I would I 819 00:37:32,120 --> 00:37:34,799 Speaker 2: would sprinkle a little on that as well. Last year 820 00:37:34,880 --> 00:37:39,680 Speaker 2: both hit both Golf and Brady first passing complete. And 821 00:37:39,760 --> 00:37:41,640 Speaker 2: you have two quarterbacks who've never played in the Super 822 00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:45,040 Speaker 2: Bowl before, so I really like both of them first 823 00:37:45,080 --> 00:37:46,040 Speaker 2: passing complete. 824 00:37:46,600 --> 00:37:49,680 Speaker 1: So I just want to make sure you understand before 825 00:37:49,719 --> 00:37:53,480 Speaker 1: you push that bet, like, that's a bet against Patrick Walmes, 826 00:37:53,640 --> 00:37:56,560 Speaker 1: you know, yeah, I know. I thought we don't do that. 827 00:37:56,680 --> 00:37:57,920 Speaker 1: I thought we don't do that at all. 828 00:37:58,239 --> 00:38:01,480 Speaker 2: Now it's one of the few I have also covered 829 00:38:01,600 --> 00:38:06,879 Speaker 2: in his interception, so if they intercept, it counts as 830 00:38:06,880 --> 00:38:09,600 Speaker 2: as noncomplete as well, so you're covered there. 831 00:38:10,160 --> 00:38:12,719 Speaker 1: Oh thank goodness. And can you imagine that If you're like, yeah, 832 00:38:12,760 --> 00:38:16,000 Speaker 1: it could play past, it's like, oh, well, sorry, it 833 00:38:16,160 --> 00:38:20,200 Speaker 1: was right. I would legitimately just pass out all right after? 834 00:38:20,280 --> 00:38:21,480 Speaker 1: What else you got? 835 00:38:21,680 --> 00:38:25,760 Speaker 3: Okay? One I like a lot is Tyree kill over 836 00:38:26,440 --> 00:38:32,399 Speaker 3: four and a half rushing yards? Like yeah, I love 837 00:38:32,560 --> 00:38:36,239 Speaker 3: his ability and his total. His receiving total at betting 838 00:38:36,280 --> 00:38:39,080 Speaker 3: pros right now is seventy seven and a half. I 839 00:38:39,160 --> 00:38:43,719 Speaker 3: believe for the game, which is crazy for two reasons. One, 840 00:38:44,040 --> 00:38:45,919 Speaker 3: you think he can go that over that in one 841 00:38:45,960 --> 00:38:49,120 Speaker 3: play too, he hasn't gone over seventy two yards in 842 00:38:49,200 --> 00:38:51,600 Speaker 3: each of his last seven games, so it's kind of 843 00:38:51,600 --> 00:38:54,120 Speaker 3: a weird thing. And like, you never know how many 844 00:38:54,160 --> 00:38:56,719 Speaker 3: targets you're He's been very matchup dependent, so like he's 845 00:38:56,719 --> 00:38:58,600 Speaker 3: had nineteen targets in the game this season and then 846 00:38:58,640 --> 00:39:00,560 Speaker 3: other games he's had two, So I never know, really 847 00:39:00,600 --> 00:39:03,440 Speaker 3: what you're gonna get with him. Gee, the Niners are 848 00:39:03,480 --> 00:39:05,160 Speaker 3: going to do a lot of interesting things, I think 849 00:39:05,200 --> 00:39:08,440 Speaker 3: when it comes to defending him. So I like this 850 00:39:08,640 --> 00:39:11,879 Speaker 3: rushing prop. Why is it so low? He has only 851 00:39:11,920 --> 00:39:14,480 Speaker 3: rushed the ball ten times all season for thirty four 852 00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:16,600 Speaker 3: yards with a long of five, so we're looking for 853 00:39:16,680 --> 00:39:19,120 Speaker 3: him to match his long of the season. But my 854 00:39:19,200 --> 00:39:21,520 Speaker 3: thinking here is all he needs is a one right, 855 00:39:21,800 --> 00:39:24,480 Speaker 3: And we've talked about Andy Reid and this is his time, 856 00:39:24,800 --> 00:39:27,160 Speaker 3: and he's a great offensive mind. He is two weeks 857 00:39:27,200 --> 00:39:29,879 Speaker 3: to repair, and he knows his best chance of winning 858 00:39:30,000 --> 00:39:32,160 Speaker 3: is putting the ball in the hands of his most 859 00:39:32,160 --> 00:39:34,400 Speaker 3: talented guys, and that's Hill. And I think he'll just 860 00:39:34,440 --> 00:39:37,200 Speaker 3: cook up just one special play that'll be used at 861 00:39:37,200 --> 00:39:39,600 Speaker 3: the exact right moment, and he's gonna go over that 862 00:39:39,880 --> 00:39:41,560 Speaker 3: four and a half yards on one hole. Hopefully we 863 00:39:41,600 --> 00:39:44,680 Speaker 3: get two rushes, but I'm betting it's only one, and 864 00:39:44,719 --> 00:39:45,680 Speaker 3: I'm still taking the over. 865 00:39:45,920 --> 00:39:49,480 Speaker 1: Have you guys ever seen the movie Little Giants? Of course, yes, 866 00:39:50,480 --> 00:39:52,520 Speaker 1: So what that's making me think of it what this 867 00:39:52,560 --> 00:39:54,839 Speaker 1: whole super Bowl is really making me think of is, 868 00:39:54,920 --> 00:39:57,400 Speaker 1: at one point, you know, the Little Giants are not 869 00:39:57,520 --> 00:39:59,800 Speaker 1: doing so well, and then they go, all right, guys, 870 00:40:00,080 --> 00:40:02,680 Speaker 1: what's the last thing they'd expect us to do? And 871 00:40:02,719 --> 00:40:04,839 Speaker 1: one of like the little kids whose things goes are 872 00:40:04,880 --> 00:40:07,680 Speaker 1: reversed to me, And that's sort of how I feel 873 00:40:08,080 --> 00:40:10,280 Speaker 1: this is gonna be going. I feel like both guys 874 00:40:10,280 --> 00:40:12,520 Speaker 1: are so smart and they have so many plays in 875 00:40:12,560 --> 00:40:14,800 Speaker 1: their thing that they're gonna be like, what's the last 876 00:40:14,840 --> 00:40:17,360 Speaker 1: thing they think they would do? You know, now Tyreek 877 00:40:17,440 --> 00:40:19,719 Speaker 1: Hill doesn't fall into that, but yeah, it's surprising. I 878 00:40:19,760 --> 00:40:21,560 Speaker 1: bet you most people would be like how many rusher 879 00:40:21,600 --> 00:40:24,000 Speaker 1: temps has Tyreek had on the season. They'd be like, 880 00:40:24,040 --> 00:40:26,400 Speaker 1: I don't know, twenty, Like they probably like give it 881 00:40:26,400 --> 00:40:27,839 Speaker 1: to him all the time and stuff like that. It's 882 00:40:27,880 --> 00:40:30,160 Speaker 1: not often and he doesn't. He doesn't go crazy with that. 883 00:40:30,280 --> 00:40:33,840 Speaker 3: So I'm worried that it's that it's I'm watching it 884 00:40:33,880 --> 00:40:35,279 Speaker 3: happen and it turns out to be one of those 885 00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:39,120 Speaker 3: little pop passes that everybody does now and and it'll 886 00:40:39,120 --> 00:40:42,520 Speaker 3: go through. I'm gonna be really sad. So that's that's 887 00:40:42,520 --> 00:40:45,640 Speaker 3: my one hesitation about it. But I still I'm still 888 00:40:45,640 --> 00:40:46,399 Speaker 3: gonna go with the over. 889 00:40:46,719 --> 00:40:49,960 Speaker 1: Oh my gosh, that is absolutely right, the pop pass 890 00:40:50,080 --> 00:40:55,240 Speaker 1: that they love to do, that Brady always does. Mahomes, Oh, 891 00:40:55,280 --> 00:40:57,720 Speaker 1: that's a killer. All right, all right, Sean, go ahead, 892 00:40:57,719 --> 00:40:58,800 Speaker 1: get us back to normalcy. 893 00:40:59,040 --> 00:41:02,520 Speaker 2: Well, all right, I don't know how kind of crazy 894 00:41:02,920 --> 00:41:06,800 Speaker 2: in the little Giant strategy. Who is the last guy 895 00:41:07,040 --> 00:41:10,840 Speaker 2: you expect to get the first touchdown in the Super Bowl. 896 00:41:11,080 --> 00:41:13,640 Speaker 2: He's a goal line tight end. Sure, he only has 897 00:41:13,680 --> 00:41:16,680 Speaker 2: one career touchdown, but I think that means he's due. 898 00:41:17,000 --> 00:41:22,040 Speaker 2: Give me Blake Bell first touchdown at plus fifty five hundred. 899 00:41:22,360 --> 00:41:25,280 Speaker 2: You had a touchdown in the Texans win for the Chiefs. 900 00:41:25,600 --> 00:41:28,160 Speaker 2: And again, I love where you guys are heads are at, 901 00:41:28,160 --> 00:41:31,560 Speaker 2: because it's where my head is at. That Shanahan and Reed. 902 00:41:31,600 --> 00:41:33,880 Speaker 2: They've had two weeks to scheme up all these interesting 903 00:41:33,920 --> 00:41:37,160 Speaker 2: play calls. I could really see him being involved a 904 00:41:37,200 --> 00:41:40,600 Speaker 2: little play actional on the goal line, you know, just 905 00:41:40,680 --> 00:41:44,560 Speaker 2: something right there at the edge he gets in, everyone's 906 00:41:44,560 --> 00:41:46,759 Speaker 2: going to be guarding Kelsey. They won't. No one will 907 00:41:46,760 --> 00:41:50,440 Speaker 2: suspect Blake Bell plus fifty five hundred. It's again a 908 00:41:50,520 --> 00:41:53,640 Speaker 2: huge long shot, but man, I definitely want a little 909 00:41:53,680 --> 00:41:54,200 Speaker 2: action on that. 910 00:41:56,120 --> 00:41:58,279 Speaker 1: I actually love that beat. I think that's a really 911 00:41:58,320 --> 00:41:59,920 Speaker 1: really no no. I think it's a really good bad 912 00:42:00,040 --> 00:42:03,480 Speaker 1: because you could absolutely see them sort of gearing up 913 00:42:03,520 --> 00:42:05,399 Speaker 1: to try to be like, Okay, what are they not 914 00:42:05,480 --> 00:42:07,440 Speaker 1: going to be ready for right now? And just you 915 00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:09,520 Speaker 1: know if they get in close and they have a 916 00:42:09,560 --> 00:42:11,760 Speaker 1: fake and you know, everybody's thinking about Kelsey and stuff 917 00:42:11,760 --> 00:42:14,200 Speaker 1: like that. So yeah, and obviously fifty five hundred, you know, 918 00:42:14,320 --> 00:42:15,400 Speaker 1: it's not like you got to go in there and 919 00:42:15,400 --> 00:42:17,400 Speaker 1: be like, give me a grand I'm Blake Bell to 920 00:42:17,760 --> 00:42:18,040 Speaker 1: you know. 921 00:42:19,520 --> 00:42:23,000 Speaker 2: And just kind of correlated. Which is interesting. If you 922 00:42:23,000 --> 00:42:25,719 Speaker 2: look at the betting pros consensus for him just to 923 00:42:25,719 --> 00:42:28,040 Speaker 2: score a touchdown, it's all the way down at plus 924 00:42:28,080 --> 00:42:31,520 Speaker 2: eight hundred, So that to me, even that seems like 925 00:42:32,000 --> 00:42:34,480 Speaker 2: they think there's an okay chance will score a touchdown, 926 00:42:34,520 --> 00:42:38,120 Speaker 2: but it shoots up to plus fifty five hundred for 927 00:42:38,200 --> 00:42:40,440 Speaker 2: first touchdown. That seems a pretty big disparity. 928 00:42:41,120 --> 00:42:42,839 Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, I like it. How about you Andrew 929 00:42:42,880 --> 00:42:43,280 Speaker 1: go ahead. 930 00:42:43,920 --> 00:42:48,400 Speaker 3: Okay, I'm gonna start sprinkling some MVP props in here, 931 00:42:48,440 --> 00:42:52,359 Speaker 3: because there's a lot I like, Like Edelman won last 932 00:42:52,400 --> 00:42:55,040 Speaker 3: year and he was I actually cash pretty big on 933 00:42:55,080 --> 00:42:57,279 Speaker 3: the Edelman last year, but I went in with the 934 00:42:57,320 --> 00:43:00,520 Speaker 3: mindset this year. Who is the Edelman for the Chiefs. 935 00:43:00,560 --> 00:43:04,920 Speaker 3: It's nobody. I honestly don't think like you look at 936 00:43:04,920 --> 00:43:08,560 Speaker 3: guys like Kelsey and Hill and right now on the 937 00:43:08,680 --> 00:43:13,520 Speaker 3: MVPs on vetting prolls, I think they're around twelve to 938 00:43:13,600 --> 00:43:17,399 Speaker 3: fourteen hundred ish area, and I just don't see them 939 00:43:17,400 --> 00:43:20,080 Speaker 3: having a big game without Mahomes having a bigger game 940 00:43:20,080 --> 00:43:23,880 Speaker 3: and then giving it to Mahomes. The longer shot on 941 00:43:23,920 --> 00:43:26,920 Speaker 3: the Chiefs I like is Nicole Hardman. I think he 942 00:43:26,960 --> 00:43:29,680 Speaker 3: can grab one big catch for a touchdown at one point. 943 00:43:29,680 --> 00:43:31,200 Speaker 3: And if the game is a little lower scoring, and 944 00:43:31,239 --> 00:43:32,879 Speaker 3: we're kind of siding with the under here a bit, 945 00:43:33,080 --> 00:43:35,680 Speaker 3: it's a little lower scoring, maybe Mahomes only throws two 946 00:43:35,719 --> 00:43:38,640 Speaker 3: touchdown passes, and if Harman can return one for a 947 00:43:38,680 --> 00:43:42,799 Speaker 3: touchdown as well. I really like his value there For 948 00:43:42,840 --> 00:43:47,279 Speaker 3: the Niners. The Edelman bet is clearly kittle. He can 949 00:43:47,400 --> 00:43:51,200 Speaker 3: easily have a big game here two touchdowns, but hopefully 950 00:43:51,239 --> 00:43:53,560 Speaker 3: he hasn't scored many touchdowns ers, but he'd probably need 951 00:43:53,600 --> 00:43:56,240 Speaker 3: two touchdowns or maybe one in like one hundred yards 952 00:43:56,480 --> 00:43:59,239 Speaker 3: and several catches sort of things. But I really like 953 00:43:59,320 --> 00:44:02,120 Speaker 3: his value they But the other way to look at 954 00:44:02,120 --> 00:44:05,800 Speaker 3: it is if the Niners win and their defense probably 955 00:44:05,840 --> 00:44:08,400 Speaker 3: had a great game, and then you're looking at guys 956 00:44:08,440 --> 00:44:11,040 Speaker 3: like Bosa. But there's a lot of money coming in 957 00:44:11,080 --> 00:44:14,560 Speaker 3: on Bosa, like his value is starting to leave, which 958 00:44:14,680 --> 00:44:17,600 Speaker 3: is which is really funny. So the other guy I'm 959 00:44:17,640 --> 00:44:22,399 Speaker 3: looking at is is Richard Sherman, and he just needs 960 00:44:22,400 --> 00:44:24,839 Speaker 3: a pick and a couple of impact plays. Maybe there 961 00:44:24,880 --> 00:44:28,239 Speaker 3: isn't a standout guy on the Niners offensive game, maybe 962 00:44:28,239 --> 00:44:30,680 Speaker 3: they do that thing where everything's all even out. Grapple 963 00:44:30,719 --> 00:44:34,399 Speaker 3: only throws like one touchdown and moster gets just one, 964 00:44:34,520 --> 00:44:37,320 Speaker 3: and maybe Sherman gets an interception for a touchdown, or 965 00:44:37,440 --> 00:44:39,520 Speaker 3: maybe he gets a pick and a couple of big deflections. 966 00:44:40,080 --> 00:44:43,439 Speaker 3: I really like his value too. He's at plus eight 967 00:44:43,520 --> 00:44:47,520 Speaker 3: thousand on the betting consensus of the betting betting Bros. 968 00:44:47,520 --> 00:44:48,520 Speaker 3: Consensus right now. 969 00:44:48,640 --> 00:44:50,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, and by the way, and again we you know, 970 00:44:50,360 --> 00:44:53,080 Speaker 1: we talked about it with betting Bros. Consensus, they show 971 00:44:53,080 --> 00:44:55,240 Speaker 1: you a bunch of different lines, so Sherman is actually 972 00:44:55,239 --> 00:44:58,120 Speaker 1: eighty five hundred and Fanning as well, it's not the consensus. 973 00:44:58,120 --> 00:45:02,319 Speaker 1: So that's a big line. Just a things with your points. Hardman. Great, 974 00:45:02,360 --> 00:45:04,279 Speaker 1: it's the great point about the fact if you are 975 00:45:04,280 --> 00:45:06,520 Speaker 1: going to bet an offensive player on the Chiefs other 976 00:45:06,600 --> 00:45:08,600 Speaker 1: than Mahomes, and I'll explain that you should not be 977 00:45:08,600 --> 00:45:11,919 Speaker 1: betting Patrick Mahomes to win MVP, even though he probably will. 978 00:45:12,440 --> 00:45:14,640 Speaker 1: Hardman really is the guy that fits because of the 979 00:45:14,680 --> 00:45:17,640 Speaker 1: fact that he's really the only guy unless David Williams 980 00:45:17,719 --> 00:45:19,800 Speaker 1: is going to start scoring, right because of the fact 981 00:45:20,040 --> 00:45:22,200 Speaker 1: that he returns kicks. What if he returns the opening 982 00:45:22,239 --> 00:45:24,280 Speaker 1: gigoff for a touchdown and then you know he catches 983 00:45:24,280 --> 00:45:26,760 Speaker 1: another one in the game. You never know. With Mahomes, 984 00:45:26,800 --> 00:45:29,839 Speaker 1: the odds are plus one fifteen. I mean, if you're 985 00:45:29,880 --> 00:45:31,640 Speaker 1: gonna do that, just bet on the Chiefs to win 986 00:45:31,680 --> 00:45:34,120 Speaker 1: the game. Like who cares about you know, the MVP, 987 00:45:34,360 --> 00:45:35,840 Speaker 1: Like if you you just bet on the Chiefs to 988 00:45:35,840 --> 00:45:37,560 Speaker 1: win the game at that point. But for me that 989 00:45:37,680 --> 00:45:39,520 Speaker 1: the one that I liked by the way there, which 990 00:45:39,520 --> 00:45:42,480 Speaker 1: you mentioned is also Kittle, who's at plus sixteen hundred 991 00:45:42,480 --> 00:45:45,120 Speaker 1: in the now, there's never been a tight end I 992 00:45:45,160 --> 00:45:48,319 Speaker 1: don't think right that's won the MVP in the Super Bowl, 993 00:45:48,400 --> 00:45:52,040 Speaker 1: I believe. But if the forty nine ers win the game, 994 00:45:52,239 --> 00:45:54,840 Speaker 1: unless it's another one of these raheem Mooster games, and 995 00:45:54,880 --> 00:45:58,080 Speaker 1: again both a defensive player at plus twenty five hundred, 996 00:45:58,120 --> 00:46:01,120 Speaker 1: that's crazy. I mean you know that, that's that's crazy 997 00:46:01,160 --> 00:46:03,800 Speaker 1: a little bit at this point for kel For Kittle, 998 00:46:04,400 --> 00:46:06,839 Speaker 1: he's obviously going to be the guy he needs, as 999 00:46:06,840 --> 00:46:09,400 Speaker 1: you mentioned, to score the touchdown. He needs big yardage. 1000 00:46:09,480 --> 00:46:11,640 Speaker 1: You could easily see him just one of those crazy 1001 00:46:11,719 --> 00:46:14,080 Speaker 1: runs right that gets on the highlight reel where he's 1002 00:46:14,160 --> 00:46:17,000 Speaker 1: just trucking everybody and just refuses to go down if 1003 00:46:17,000 --> 00:46:19,279 Speaker 1: he does it. So that's for me, the guy who 1004 00:46:19,560 --> 00:46:21,520 Speaker 1: stood out to me as the guy with that I 1005 00:46:21,719 --> 00:46:23,640 Speaker 1: liked most at MVP of plus sixteen hun. 1006 00:46:24,040 --> 00:46:26,719 Speaker 3: The other thing about Kittle two real quick is that 1007 00:46:26,840 --> 00:46:29,440 Speaker 3: if he like lands like one or two really emphatic 1008 00:46:29,560 --> 00:46:32,160 Speaker 3: blocks and it gets gets the broadcasters talking about it 1009 00:46:32,200 --> 00:46:34,960 Speaker 3: and the fans all sharing. But it's a it's a 1010 00:46:35,040 --> 00:46:38,120 Speaker 3: media vote based vote. And if and if he's just 1011 00:46:38,160 --> 00:46:40,600 Speaker 3: doing things like that and getting people going crazy, that's 1012 00:46:40,640 --> 00:46:43,160 Speaker 3: just gonna be another another thing in his favor there. 1013 00:46:43,400 --> 00:46:45,719 Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I agree with that, all right, Sean. So 1014 00:46:45,760 --> 00:46:48,879 Speaker 1: we're we're getting a little long here. So here's the deal. 1015 00:46:48,960 --> 00:46:51,000 Speaker 1: I'm not going to make you pick one if you 1016 00:46:51,080 --> 00:46:53,640 Speaker 1: have more than one, but give give your last few 1017 00:46:53,680 --> 00:46:54,920 Speaker 1: that you want to get, and give as many you 1018 00:46:54,960 --> 00:46:56,959 Speaker 1: know you can give a few here coming in quick, 1019 00:46:56,960 --> 00:46:59,000 Speaker 1: give a few that you like, and then Andrew, I'll 1020 00:46:59,040 --> 00:47:00,719 Speaker 1: turn over to you to you know, kind of for 1021 00:47:00,760 --> 00:47:02,560 Speaker 1: your last word or however many you want to give. 1022 00:47:02,600 --> 00:47:04,200 Speaker 1: But guy, give us any easy want. But Gead, this 1023 00:47:04,239 --> 00:47:05,799 Speaker 1: is your time, all right. 1024 00:47:05,840 --> 00:47:09,120 Speaker 2: The floor is mine, and I'm gonna use it to 1025 00:47:09,239 --> 00:47:12,680 Speaker 2: talk about one that's actually involved with the game directly. 1026 00:47:13,440 --> 00:47:18,280 Speaker 2: It's a defensive prop. Daniel Sorensen. Total tackles and tackle 1027 00:47:18,280 --> 00:47:22,000 Speaker 2: assists over four and a half minus one twenty. If 1028 00:47:22,040 --> 00:47:24,399 Speaker 2: you've watched the forty nine ers, they run the ball 1029 00:47:24,440 --> 00:47:26,680 Speaker 2: a ton. They love getting it to that next level. 1030 00:47:26,760 --> 00:47:29,200 Speaker 2: I mean, that's the whole Shanahan's scheme. Even if you 1031 00:47:29,200 --> 00:47:31,759 Speaker 2: think they're going to be passing a bunch, Kittle is 1032 00:47:31,800 --> 00:47:35,640 Speaker 2: a big target. You look at his stats from the 1033 00:47:35,680 --> 00:47:39,560 Speaker 2: previous three games, Sorensen, he had five, eight and eight. 1034 00:47:40,080 --> 00:47:43,400 Speaker 2: He's really been I mean he almost saved that Texans 1035 00:47:43,400 --> 00:47:45,279 Speaker 2: game with all the plays he was making. The guy 1036 00:47:45,360 --> 00:47:48,120 Speaker 2: and he's on special teams as well, So this guy 1037 00:47:48,160 --> 00:47:51,359 Speaker 2: has a ton of opportunity to make tackles Over four 1038 00:47:51,400 --> 00:47:54,280 Speaker 2: and a half feels really easy. It's only minus one twenty, 1039 00:47:54,320 --> 00:47:56,720 Speaker 2: so I love that as kind of a normal prop. 1040 00:47:58,239 --> 00:48:01,040 Speaker 2: While we're going a little crazy and talking about the broadcast, 1041 00:48:01,600 --> 00:48:06,680 Speaker 2: I saw one online Troy Aikman mentions his Super Bowl experience. Yes, 1042 00:48:07,360 --> 00:48:10,080 Speaker 2: at minus two fifty, how has Trayke been not going 1043 00:48:10,160 --> 00:48:12,280 Speaker 2: to bring up the fact that he's won the Super Bowl? 1044 00:48:12,640 --> 00:48:14,719 Speaker 2: Joe Buck's gonna set him up? Well, what is it 1045 00:48:14,840 --> 00:48:16,719 Speaker 2: like for when you prepare for the Super Bowl? 1046 00:48:19,040 --> 00:48:20,000 Speaker 1: Minus two fifty? 1047 00:48:20,239 --> 00:48:21,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, but it's pretty much that's not. 1048 00:48:22,239 --> 00:48:26,160 Speaker 1: That's not that's not done correctly. That's like minus seven 1049 00:48:26,160 --> 00:48:27,040 Speaker 1: to fifty is the way. 1050 00:48:27,760 --> 00:48:31,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, I like it. Yeah, that is that is that 1051 00:48:31,160 --> 00:48:35,719 Speaker 2: is not priced correctly. And for my final one, let's 1052 00:48:35,760 --> 00:48:39,400 Speaker 2: see the one we haven't really talked about a ton. Okay, 1053 00:48:39,440 --> 00:48:43,359 Speaker 2: this is an interesting one that I like. Total number 1054 00:48:43,400 --> 00:48:45,640 Speaker 2: of forty nine ers to have a reception. I'm gonna 1055 00:48:45,680 --> 00:48:49,560 Speaker 2: go under seven at minus one forty five. I'm on 1056 00:48:49,600 --> 00:48:51,800 Speaker 2: the same page with you, guys. I do think the 1057 00:48:51,840 --> 00:48:54,080 Speaker 2: forty nine ers will throw the ball more often, but 1058 00:48:54,719 --> 00:48:58,279 Speaker 2: even if they do, getting to eight receivers is really tough. 1059 00:48:58,320 --> 00:49:00,879 Speaker 2: Like if you go and look through the game, law, yeah, 1060 00:49:01,000 --> 00:49:03,080 Speaker 2: they'll get a couple of receivers involved, maybe one of 1061 00:49:03,080 --> 00:49:05,479 Speaker 2: the running backs Kittle, but they don't. They just don't 1062 00:49:05,520 --> 00:49:08,480 Speaker 2: have the kind of roster where he's going to be 1063 00:49:08,520 --> 00:49:12,040 Speaker 2: completing the ball to eight nine different guys. So I 1064 00:49:12,040 --> 00:49:14,279 Speaker 2: think you're good at a push the very least. But 1065 00:49:14,320 --> 00:49:16,319 Speaker 2: I really like under seven on that one as well. 1066 00:49:17,239 --> 00:49:19,239 Speaker 1: Actually I didn't mention that one either, but that is 1067 00:49:19,280 --> 00:49:21,359 Speaker 1: definitely one that I like as well. I think that 1068 00:49:21,360 --> 00:49:23,520 Speaker 1: that just kind of, you know, again, even though I 1069 00:49:23,600 --> 00:49:25,600 Speaker 1: expect kind of, you know, the forty nine ers to 1070 00:49:25,680 --> 00:49:27,840 Speaker 1: open up a little bit passing wise and offense, I 1071 00:49:27,840 --> 00:49:30,319 Speaker 1: think the number of guys to catch a reception I agree. 1072 00:49:30,320 --> 00:49:32,319 Speaker 1: I've already bet that one as well. So that is 1073 00:49:32,360 --> 00:49:33,799 Speaker 1: one of the ones that I like a lot. All right, 1074 00:49:33,840 --> 00:49:36,319 Speaker 1: Andrew take us out in style? What else do you have? 1075 00:49:37,680 --> 00:49:40,680 Speaker 3: Let's just end with something fun. We're going with red 1076 00:49:41,160 --> 00:49:44,960 Speaker 3: for the color of gatorade that will be dousing the 1077 00:49:45,160 --> 00:49:48,799 Speaker 3: winning coach this year. There's no great analysis behind it. 1078 00:49:48,880 --> 00:49:50,879 Speaker 3: Michael Irvin had a little bit of insight. I don't 1079 00:49:50,880 --> 00:49:53,120 Speaker 3: know if you can find it on the internet from 1080 00:49:53,160 --> 00:49:55,600 Speaker 3: a few years ago. He talked about why red was 1081 00:49:55,640 --> 00:49:58,719 Speaker 3: a good one. I've always stuck with it. Red is 1082 00:49:58,760 --> 00:49:59,440 Speaker 3: what I'm going with. 1083 00:50:00,320 --> 00:50:03,279 Speaker 1: I mean, I can't fault your logic and that and 1084 00:50:03,360 --> 00:50:06,880 Speaker 1: that Michael Irban said something one time that made me 1085 00:50:06,920 --> 00:50:07,520 Speaker 1: think about it. 1086 00:50:07,640 --> 00:50:10,239 Speaker 3: So, yeah, all right, very in depth. 1087 00:50:10,280 --> 00:50:14,640 Speaker 2: And Ellis and both teams have read in their jerseys, 1088 00:50:15,040 --> 00:50:18,319 Speaker 2: and yes, and the part I really like you, the 1089 00:50:18,400 --> 00:50:20,760 Speaker 2: part I really like about read there for the color 1090 00:50:21,000 --> 00:50:24,800 Speaker 2: is it's not going to cause an argument afterwards. I'm 1091 00:50:24,840 --> 00:50:27,000 Speaker 2: really you know, I don't want to have an argument 1092 00:50:27,040 --> 00:50:30,680 Speaker 2: with some online book or even even any sort of 1093 00:50:30,760 --> 00:50:35,520 Speaker 2: book or bookie with what what constitutes the color football shade? Yeah, exactly, 1094 00:50:35,719 --> 00:50:37,760 Speaker 2: so you avoid that conversation altogether. 1095 00:50:39,040 --> 00:50:42,759 Speaker 3: Rumors going around right now that the Chiefs or the 1096 00:50:42,800 --> 00:50:44,439 Speaker 3: I think it's the Niners have bought up a bunch 1097 00:50:44,520 --> 00:50:50,640 Speaker 3: of purple Gatorade to honor Kobe, which is weird, and yeah, 1098 00:50:50,960 --> 00:50:53,200 Speaker 3: I don't know how to feel about it, but that's 1099 00:50:53,280 --> 00:50:55,279 Speaker 3: just what the Internet is telling me right now. But 1100 00:50:55,320 --> 00:50:57,320 Speaker 3: I still don't I'm not buying it, So we're sticking 1101 00:50:57,320 --> 00:50:57,719 Speaker 3: with red. 1102 00:50:58,320 --> 00:51:00,520 Speaker 1: I may I may bet that one because it'll be 1103 00:51:01,200 --> 00:51:04,680 Speaker 1: great because I'm colorblind, So they'll dump it and I'll 1104 00:51:04,680 --> 00:51:06,480 Speaker 1: be like, did I win? Did I win? 1105 00:51:06,719 --> 00:51:07,320 Speaker 2: What happened? 1106 00:51:07,360 --> 00:51:09,560 Speaker 1: Did I win? But again, at least the good thing 1107 00:51:09,600 --> 00:51:11,360 Speaker 1: with that one is it something that's gonna keep you 1108 00:51:11,400 --> 00:51:13,520 Speaker 1: engaged the whole game, right because you're like, oh man, 1109 00:51:13,560 --> 00:51:15,400 Speaker 1: it's been a terrible night, but I got that Gatorade 1110 00:51:15,400 --> 00:51:19,279 Speaker 1: prop got a lot of that, all right, boys, that's 1111 00:51:19,320 --> 00:51:21,719 Speaker 1: gonna do it. This was a lot of fun, gave 1112 00:51:21,760 --> 00:51:24,560 Speaker 1: a lot of great props. We're rooting for no injuries, 1113 00:51:24,640 --> 00:51:27,280 Speaker 1: We're rooting for a long anthem, We're rooting for red Gatorade. 1114 00:51:27,360 --> 00:51:29,840 Speaker 1: So there's a lot of good stuff. Reminder that everyone 1115 00:51:29,880 --> 00:51:32,480 Speaker 1: can find Sean at the Sports Gambling Podcast and on 1116 00:51:32,560 --> 00:51:35,279 Speaker 1: Twitter at Shawn T. Green. You can find Andrew's work 1117 00:51:35,320 --> 00:51:40,040 Speaker 1: over at covers dot com and on Twitter at covers Underscore. Kaylee, 1118 00:51:40,200 --> 00:51:42,799 Speaker 1: that's c a l e y guys, thanks a lot 1119 00:51:42,800 --> 00:51:44,920 Speaker 1: for coming on. Enjoy the Super Bowl. I hope we 1120 00:51:44,960 --> 00:51:47,360 Speaker 1: can do it again when the NFL starts up next season. 1121 00:51:48,040 --> 00:51:50,560 Speaker 2: Awesome, thanks for having me. 1122 00:51:50,880 --> 00:51:53,040 Speaker 1: Thanks again to the sponsor for today's show, bet MGM. 1123 00:51:53,120 --> 00:51:55,440 Speaker 1: Remember to download the bet MGM Sports app use the 1124 00:51:55,440 --> 00:51:58,399 Speaker 1: promo code Harris. Place a one dollar money line bet 1125 00:51:58,440 --> 00:52:00,440 Speaker 1: on either team to win the Super Bowl when two 1126 00:52:00,560 --> 00:52:02,919 Speaker 1: hundred dollars in free bets as long as either team 1127 00:52:03,000 --> 00:52:05,680 Speaker 1: scores a touchdown in the game. And remember that has 1128 00:52:05,719 --> 00:52:08,759 Speaker 1: never not happened, So you're looking good. Don't forget to 1129 00:52:08,840 --> 00:52:11,719 Speaker 1: very quickly enter our Michael Thomas helmet giveaway by leaving 1130 00:52:11,800 --> 00:52:13,840 Speaker 1: us a review on Apple Podcasts or sitter sending a 1131 00:52:13,880 --> 00:52:16,960 Speaker 1: screenshot of that review to contest at Bettingpros dot com, 1132 00:52:16,960 --> 00:52:19,200 Speaker 1: and that contest ends at eleven to fifty nine pm 1133 00:52:19,239 --> 00:52:21,480 Speaker 1: on January thirty first, So go ahead and get your 1134 00:52:21,480 --> 00:52:25,160 Speaker 1: reviews in. Enjoy the Super Bowl. Everyone, eat wings, eat nachos, 1135 00:52:25,280 --> 00:52:27,920 Speaker 1: eat your better bread. Root for a long national anthem. 1136 00:52:28,080 --> 00:52:30,279 Speaker 1: So my wife wins her prop bet and Andrew wins 1137 00:52:30,280 --> 00:52:32,279 Speaker 1: his prop bet. We'll be back next week with a 1138 00:52:32,320 --> 00:52:36,000 Speaker 1: special episode talking about some NFL futures and some oscar wagers. 1139 00:52:36,080 --> 00:52:36,680 Speaker 1: I'll catch it in 1140 00:53:00,080 --> 00:53:01,279 Speaker 3: Dos