Speaker 1: And we continue at eight point five in the evening
Speaker 1: here in the state of California. And as Frank just said,
Speaker 1: the polls are officially closed, but just because the polls
Speaker 1: are closed doesn't mean the results are in not.
Speaker 2: Even closed now at least La County went up front
Speaker 2: and said, you're not getting anything till at least eight thirty.
Speaker 2: But I'm looking at updates from San Francisco and Alameda County.
Speaker 2: Nothing yet and have even got the Secretary of State's
Speaker 2: office website ready to go, and zero points zero percent
Speaker 2: of results have been reported so far.
Speaker 1: Now, it should be noted that the results are produced
Speaker 1: by the various counties. The county registrars are the ones
Speaker 1: that tally up the votes and then send them to
Speaker 1: the Secretary of State. So some counties will report earlier
Speaker 1: than others, so we might have some results to bring you.
Speaker 2: This is what's fun on the interactive map on CNN's
Speaker 2: web site. Because everyone's at zero percent, Katie Porter is
Speaker 2: still in the running. There you go, it's a tie
Speaker 2: for Katie. Get out of my up and shut all right, Well,
Speaker 2: we wait for the results to come in.
Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and check in with our pal Daniel Guss,
Speaker 1: who is the editor of The Gus Report. You can
Speaker 1: get him online at Daniel Gus dot substack dot com
Speaker 1: and follow him on Exit the Gus Report. Daniel Guss, Welcome,
Speaker 1: Sean and Randy.
Speaker 3: Thank you for having me and I have a big
Speaker 3: grin on my face tonight. I feel the energy and
Speaker 3: I hope you do too well.
Speaker 1: Speaking of energy, there is no one that's generated more
Speaker 1: energy in this election than Spencer Pratt, former reality show
Speaker 1: star candidate for mayor of Los Angeles, a man who
Speaker 1: really has a Mister Smith goes to Washington style story
Speaker 1: where his home was burned down due to the fa
Speaker 1: of the city and the state and the county. And
Speaker 1: the more he dug into the why, the angrier he got,
Speaker 1: and he decided to turn that anger into activism, which
Speaker 1: resulted in him putting his name on the ballot and
Speaker 1: running from mayor right.
Speaker 3: And he is literally an everyman. But the special sauces,
Speaker 3: they may call it in Katie Porter's mashed potato mix,
Speaker 3: the special sauce is that he is a guy who
Speaker 3: has lived, you know, for the past twenty years in
Speaker 3: the spotlight, and he has shown himself to not only
Speaker 3: be poised under national coast to coast scrutiny with the
Speaker 3: major news outlets in New York and LA and all
Speaker 3: the everywhere outside of LA and within God, we have
Speaker 3: a terrible news media contingent in LA. And somehow his
Speaker 3: background in television and social media made him almost the
Speaker 3: perfect storm of a candidate to handle the intense scrutiny.
Speaker 3: But most importantly, I think he is just a plain
Speaker 3: speaking guy who really can convey what he has gone through,
Speaker 3: which is really what we've all gone through. But he
Speaker 3: is on a catastrophic level.
Speaker 1: And he seems to really have gotten under the skin
Speaker 1: of Karen Bass, who thought she was going to breeze
Speaker 1: to reelection and it's going to be a little bit
Speaker 1: tougher than she anticipated.
Speaker 3: Oh I think it's going to be much tougher. We're
Speaker 3: seeing her continue to gaslight all of Los Angeles from
Speaker 3: the moment he got in until this afternoon, where she
Speaker 3: doesn't know how to respond to somebody who actually speaks
Speaker 3: plain language to regular people, but who can handle the
Speaker 3: intense media scrutiny. And I will tell you I've been
Speaker 3: very impressed with him because he has had a logical,
Speaker 3: normal and balanced response to all of the insane questions
Speaker 3: that our media contingent and I'm talking about you Los
Speaker 3: Angeles Times, who Yeah, let's not forget the LA Times
Speaker 3: said it was a mistake. The owner said it was
Speaker 3: a mistake to endorse Karen Bass. And so Spencer Pratt
Speaker 3: has a way of speaking normal life experiences to regular
Speaker 3: people and it's resonating. Luckily for us, we actually have
Speaker 3: a chance, normal people have a chance this election. For
Speaker 3: the first time in a quarter century or more.
Speaker 1: Spencer had a fine showing at the debate that he
Speaker 1: participated in with Karen Bass and Socialist councilwoman Nitia Rahman,
Speaker 1: and there were scheduled debates after that first debate between
Speaker 1: the three of them, and the mayor pulled out of
Speaker 1: those subsequent debates. If he ends up making the November
Speaker 1: ballot with Karen Bass, would assume she's going to be
Speaker 1: forced to debate him yet again, and that puts her
Speaker 1: in a situation that she doesn't want to be in.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I actually think it's it's even worse than that.
Speaker 3: For Karen Bass is in the time of his life.
Speaker 3: He is like forty one or forty two. He is
Speaker 3: a full thirty years younger. Than Karen Bass. He has
Speaker 3: the wind in his sails, and Karen Bass still has
Speaker 3: a day job where she's got to be mayor. Yeah,
Speaker 3: she's got the soapbox, but her soapbox is stuffed with
Speaker 3: one controversy after another, And so Spencer Pratt is somebody
Speaker 3: who has nothing but time and energy.
Speaker 1: Nythia Rahman, as I mentioned, is the other candidate, other
Speaker 1: main candidate in the race. She's a member of the
Speaker 1: city Council. She's a member of the Democratic Socialists of America.
Speaker 1: And one thing that struck me is awe involving her
Speaker 1: in her campaign is she seemed to have gotten tripped
Speaker 1: up every time someone asked her why are you running?
Speaker 1: Because prior to becoming a candidate, she endorsed Karen Bass
Speaker 1: for reelection. She endorsed her after the fires. She endorsed
Speaker 1: her after it was clear that her project inside Safe
Speaker 1: Program that was meant to reduce homelessness wasn't producing the
Speaker 1: results that she had promised. And she seems to not
Speaker 1: have a very good answer as to the why.
Speaker 3: Well, I can tell you. I'm going to tell you
Speaker 3: right now, John and Randy today at La City Council.
Speaker 3: Nithia was not you know she was not out doing
Speaker 3: the you know, the last minute rushed in campaigning. She
Speaker 3: was at city council. She was slumped over like an
Speaker 3: impetuous kid who looked like she knew it was over.
Speaker 3: And I think she knew it was over at least
Speaker 3: as far back as that debate when she couldn't handle
Speaker 3: basic questions and that one history moment in mind, and
Speaker 3: you guys, you guys are historians on local politics, that
Speaker 3: one moment where she struggled to give an answer, and
Speaker 3: the while she was doing that, the camera cut over
Speaker 3: to Spencer Pratt and he was doing this this this
Speaker 3: look as if to say, hey, she has no answer
Speaker 3: to this question. And I think it's been downhill since
Speaker 3: it's been it's been, it's been down it's been downhill
Speaker 3: since then. And then of course she wants to ban
Speaker 3: barbecues in a city with African Americans, in a city
Speaker 3: with Korean Americans, in a city with the Mexicans and Suburbonites. Everybody,
Speaker 3: barbecue's here, and this nit wit, Nithiya Rahman wants to
Speaker 3: ban barbecues ahead of Memorial Day weekend. No less, so
Speaker 3: she nine only doesn't have the answer to why she
Speaker 3: has no handle on day to day life her. The
Speaker 3: one thing that that that that keeps us together is
Speaker 3: a backyard barbecue. Even vegans and vegetarians, they'll grill their veggies,
Speaker 3: and Nathia Raman wants to ban it. So yeah, it's
Speaker 3: it's it's worse than Itia. And she knows she's doa
Speaker 3: and she's known it for a while.
Speaker 1: To my eye, and maybe you disagree, I don't know.
Speaker 1: But the reason that I believe she got in this
Speaker 1: race is she saw an opportunity. She saw what happened
Speaker 1: in New York City with Mom Donnie. She saw what
Speaker 1: happened in Seattle, where you had a socialist candidate beat
Speaker 1: a Democratic incumbent. She saw what happened to Lori Lightfoot
Speaker 1: in Chicago, where a socialist candidate was able to defeat her.
Speaker 1: And she thought, if it could happen in Seattle and
Speaker 1: New York in Chicago, it can happen here. I might
Speaker 1: as well be the mayor right.
Speaker 3: And you could see how disloyal she is. So you know,
Speaker 3: if you're going to endorse Karen Bath, which was ill
Speaker 3: advised from the get go, and then just under the
Speaker 3: wire she decides to run, it shows you she has loyalty,
Speaker 3: not even to her own beliefs, but she's not even
Speaker 3: loyal to her own words. And she saw an opportunity
Speaker 3: as she didn't read the te leaves as to what's
Speaker 3: happening in New York and God, they went like you said,
Speaker 3: in Chicago, they went from LORI lightfoot to Johnson, I mean,
Speaker 3: And so I guess she thought that was going to
Speaker 3: happen here. But the one thing New York and Chicago
Speaker 3: didn't have was a major disaster and one of the
Speaker 3: most beautiful parts of LA in the country, with thousands
Speaker 3: of homes destroyed, tense maybe hundreds, you know, a billions
Speaker 3: and billions of dollars. What she didn't calculate is the
Speaker 3: severity of the visual and the devastation of the Palisades fire.
Speaker 1: Now going back to the topic of the DSA the
Speaker 1: Socialist candidates, there are a number of members of the
Speaker 1: La City Council who count themselves as members of the
Speaker 1: DSA who are up for election. We could see the
Speaker 1: DSA increase their ranks on the council, or we could
Speaker 1: see them lose some members. What do you see happening?
Speaker 3: Oh God, I've been through this for a few decades
Speaker 3: with you, John, you know, you always think, doesn't the
Speaker 3: public in this district realize how much worse it's been
Speaker 3: with whoever they choose. The further left they go, the
Speaker 3: worse it gets. So, you know, I'm watching the Unices thing,
Speaker 3: and I'm watching the Hugo thing, and and I'm like,
Speaker 3: it's so so just you know, there's fifteen council districts
Speaker 3: and the odd numbered council districts one, three, five, seven, nine, eleven, thirteen,
Speaker 3: and fifteen. They're all up for election now, and and
Speaker 3: so I don't know what's appealing to people who just
Speaker 3: elected Hugo Soto Martinez, who's the furthest left of them all.
Speaker 3: I have no idea in council District one what appeals
Speaker 3: to the people who put in Unices Hamburger, Hernandez just
Speaker 3: a few years ago. And so the interesting story going on, though,
Speaker 3: is in whether Klanch who's a former LAPD commissioner, will
Speaker 3: be able to which district is that is? That? Is
Speaker 3: that against Hugo, against Unices. I think it's against unities
Speaker 3: or Josh. I don't know. Is there a legitimate replacement
Speaker 3: for the dsayers? And if so, is it further to
Speaker 3: the left or to the right, so it's very unpredictable.
Speaker 3: The DSA elections have not gotten much attention or much
Speaker 3: oxygen because the mayoral race and the governor race have
Speaker 3: really sucked all the oxygen out of the room. So unfortunately,
Speaker 3: if I had to put money on it, I would
Speaker 3: be surprised if any of the Dsayers lose their office,
Speaker 3: because once you're in, it's very tough to lose that incumbency.
Speaker 3: We should hope that Tracy Park on the West Side
Speaker 3: survives against the various dsays, and I would like to
Speaker 3: think that people who we're close to the devastation in
Speaker 3: the Palisades would know that Tracy Park is doing everything
Speaker 3: within her power to restore normalcy on the West Side.
Speaker 3: So the answer is I don't know.
Speaker 1: All right. Daniel Guss, editor of The GUS Report. You
Speaker 1: can get him online at Daniel Gust dot substack dot
Speaker 1: com and follow him on Exit the Gus Report. Daniel Gush,
Speaker 1: thanks so much for joining us.
Speaker 3: Thanks guys, It's going to be an interesting overnight is
Speaker 3: and I'll talk to you soon.
Speaker 1: All right, it looks like we have some results that
Speaker 1: are starting to come in motech.
Speaker 2: You want to give us some of the governor's results
Speaker 2: so far.
Speaker 1: It's my chart.
Speaker 4: Good evening, it looks like Steve Hilton taking the early
Speaker 4: lead based on what I'm seeing here with looks like
Speaker 4: about eighteen percent of the votes counted if I'm reading
Speaker 4: this correctly, Steve Hilton in the lead right now with
Speaker 4: four hundred and fifty nine thousand some odd votes in
Speaker 4: the lead over Hobby or Vissera at four hundred nine
Speaker 4: thousand here at the moment, and Stire coming in third
Speaker 4: at the moment at two one hundred and ninety three thousand,
Speaker 4: Shad Bianco at one hundred and seventy nine thousand votes.
Speaker 4: This is very, very preliminary, but according to the Decision
Speaker 4: Desk headquarters, that's the latest we're getting here, the early
Speaker 4: results here and the governor's race with the polls having
Speaker 4: just closed less than twenty minutes ago. Steve Hilton taking
Speaker 4: the early lead.
Speaker 1: All right, Randy, you're keeping an eye on the City
Speaker 1: of Los Angeles, the mayor's race and the ballot initiatives.
Speaker 1: Do we have any results there?
Speaker 2: I got nothing until at least eight thirty. But here's
Speaker 2: what I do have, which is interesting because while La
Speaker 2: once again does not have their crap together. You know
Speaker 2: what county does. Orange County already has twenty one percent
Speaker 2: of their ballots counted. And here's some interesting results just
Speaker 2: from what Orange County is representing so far. Hilton did
Speaker 2: big over Bianco in Orange County. Hilton with thirty four,
Speaker 2: Bessera with twenty three, then a big drop to Styre Bianco.
Speaker 2: Katie Porter from Orange County represented Orge County has five
Speaker 2: percent of the vote there. Now, when you scroll down
Speaker 2: to those congressional races, the one that we heard a
Speaker 2: lot about was the Republican on Republican redistricting fight on
Speaker 2: the fortieth dist Or between Calvert and Young Kim. It
Speaker 2: is almost at a statistical tie.
Speaker 1: And that's where the polls were in that race, So
Speaker 1: the polls were highly accurate in that particular congressional district.
Speaker 2: Now we're still waiting for results to come in for
Speaker 2: San Francisco County, for Alameda County. Here's an interesting one.
Speaker 2: Santa Clara County has put in some results and Matt Mahan,
Speaker 2: the mayor of San Jose, the biggest city in Santa
Speaker 2: Clara County and the third biggest city in the in
Speaker 2: the state, of California has only ten percent of the
Speaker 2: vote there, and it's like less than five percent everywhere else.
Speaker 1: Not a good sign for mister Mayheon. Oh poor Matt
Speaker 1: phil TERESI. You're keeping an eye on many these contested
Speaker 1: congressional races here in California. Are we seeing any results
Speaker 1: in those contests?
Speaker 5: Yeah, again, very preliminary stuff. But in District five, Tom
Speaker 5: McClintock holding on very comfortably. If these results hold, he
Speaker 5: can go home and party tonight. Over in District six,
Speaker 5: this is the Kevin Kylie fight. Kylie currently in the
Speaker 5: lead with not quite twenty five percent of the vote,
Speaker 5: but Richard Pan right on his heels. Nothing yet coming
Speaker 5: off of District eleven. I don't know if we're going
Speaker 5: to find out about Wiener until tomorrow. But over in
Speaker 5: District thirteen, the Adam Gray fight. Adam Gray looks like
Speaker 5: he's going to hang onto that. For Democrats. D twenty
Speaker 5: Vince Fong comfortably in the lead. Twenty one Jim Costa
Speaker 5: hanging on but barely. Kyle Kirkland out of Fresno, a
Speaker 5: card room owner, local businessman, right on Costa's heels right now.
Speaker 5: And the big one, the Valideo fight versus Jazmine Baines
Speaker 5: and Randy Vegas. David Valadeo almost forty eight percent with
Speaker 5: ten percent in. Randy Viegas actually beaten the pants off
Speaker 5: of Democrat competitor jazz Meet Baines thirty four percent to
Speaker 5: just a hair over eighteen percent.
Speaker 1: All right, so there you go. Early numbers starting to
Speaker 1: roll in hery.
Speaker 2: Got some La County.
Speaker 1: We're early, everybody, How about that? What'll we see?
Speaker 3: Uh?
Speaker 2: Here we go for measure er the sales text increase.
Speaker 2: It currently is losing in the first district to Board
Speaker 2: a Supervisors replacing Hildeeslease. It looked like it's gonna be
Speaker 2: Mariana around Atlanta Drazzo. In the third district, Lindsay Horvat
Speaker 2: is running away with it. In the Sheriff's race, Robert
Speaker 2: Luna is way ahead but not above fifty percent. In
Speaker 2: second place for that one is Alex Viannaweva. And it
Speaker 2: looks like we may even have some results in the
Speaker 2: City of Los Angeles. Nope, not yet.
Speaker 1: Don't get your hopes up wait here it is. They'll
Speaker 1: let you down every time.
Speaker 2: All right, I've got some City of Los Angeles results
Speaker 2: measure CB. The we going to tax the illegal cannabis businesses,
Speaker 2: winning by seventy two percent, measure TC, the jacking up
Speaker 2: of the hotel taxes winning by fifty seven percent measure
Speaker 2: TT changing the hotel taxes to include spa treatments currently losing.
Speaker 2: When it comes to the City Attorney's race, Marissa Roy
Speaker 2: is over John McKinney. When it comes to the controllers race,
Speaker 2: Kenneth Mahea is over Zach Sokolov. When it comes to
Speaker 2: the Mayor's race, our first batch of votes are in
Speaker 2: Bass at thirty eight, Pratt at twenty seven, Nfia at twenty. Well,
Speaker 2: those are good looking numbers for Karen Bass and Spencer Pratt.
Speaker 2: In the city council races, Unsices is currently winning handily
Speaker 2: with fifty two percent of the vote. That means she
Speaker 2: wouldn't go to a runoff. It's a pretty close race
Speaker 2: in people that you've never heard of. In District three,
Speaker 2: Kitty Orslovsky's gonna win. Monic Rodriguez was running completely unopposed.
Speaker 2: In the ninth district, it looks like Jose Lugarte is
Speaker 2: going to win, and Tracy Park looks like she is
Speaker 2: safely going to reelection in her race Unfortunately, Hugo Soto
Speaker 2: Martinez looked like he's safely moved into reelection in his race.
Speaker 2: Which is odd that it's such a good day for
Speaker 2: incumbent so far, because we know that the public is restless.
Speaker 2: That is why Karen Bass currently is only with thirty
Speaker 2: eight percent of the vote. And this is a very
Speaker 2: early tally. We should have another update later tonight, but
Speaker 2: at this point, if this holds, runoff time for Spencer Pratt.
Speaker 1: All right, we'll have more on this California primary night
Speaker 1: coming up in moments. Don't you go anywhere, and we
Speaker 1: continue on this election night here in the state of California.
Speaker 1: It's John Phillips with Randy Wang, Frank Mootech, Phil Teresi,
Speaker 1: and results are coming in.
Speaker 2: And it looks like the place that has the results
Speaker 2: coming in the quickest is actually Decision Desk HQ, where
Speaker 2: it looks like mister Frank Motech, we've got quite a
Speaker 2: result coming in for the race for governor.
Speaker 1: Breaking news here.
Speaker 4: Yeah, it looks like Hobvio Bisera now in the early
Speaker 4: lead here in the governor's race with about forty percent.
Speaker 4: So the votes tallyed a statewide so far as Bisera
Speaker 4: in the lead with the eight hundred and forty four
Speaker 4: thousand votes or at twenty six percent. Steve Hilton just
Speaker 4: behind Bisara now with seven hundred and ninety nine thousand
Speaker 4: votes at twenty five percent. Tom Stier in at eleven percent,
Speaker 4: make that twenty percent now six hundred and forty three
Speaker 4: thousand votes accounted for stire Chad Bianco right now in
Speaker 4: the fourth place in the governor's race in the early
Speaker 4: going here coming in at eleven percent of the vote
Speaker 4: at three hundred and fifty four thousand votes. Katie Porter,
Speaker 4: by the way, behind the Bianco now at one hundred
Speaker 4: and seventy thousand votes, coming in at five percent. That's
Speaker 4: the very latest tally we're getting here with just about
Speaker 4: forty p said of the votes counted statewide.
Speaker 2: How would you feel right now if you were at
Speaker 2: Katie parties, Katie Porter's watch party. Oh well, if you're
Speaker 2: a guy, we're a cup. Here's something interesting, and you
Speaker 2: know they're showing the results not just for the top candidates,
Speaker 2: but you can see who's voting for all sixty one
Speaker 2: candidates and as of right now with the counties that
Speaker 2: are reporting in twelve thousand Californians either paid so little
Speaker 2: attention to this race or just said, screw it, I'm
Speaker 2: going to vote for the alleged rapist who dropped out.
Speaker 2: Eric Swalwell has twelve thousand votes. Twelve thousand, Betty, he
Speaker 2: has eighteen thousand, and she dropped out a month ago,
Speaker 2: so he got a vote for every person that he's
Speaker 2: friends with on Snapchat, Barack Obama. Shaw has gotten sixty
Speaker 2: five hundred votes.
Speaker 1: Well, good night for him. He's turned out of the
Speaker 1: White House, so why not run for office here?
Speaker 2: Now it looks like we're finally getting some results in
Speaker 2: for San Francisco, and of course they have it for
Speaker 2: the House district race. That's not the Nancy Pelosi race,
Speaker 2: so screw that. In Alameda County, Measure E is on
Speaker 2: a no right now, which means the voters may have
Speaker 2: finally had enough of all these parcel tech increases in Oakland.
Speaker 1: Well, let's hope that holds. All right, The results are
Speaker 1: coming in. We expect to have more updates any moment.
Speaker 1: Don't you go anywhere. It's John Phillips, Randy Wig, Frank Motech,
Speaker 1: Philtersi on this primary night in California. And we continue
Speaker 1: on this Tuesday election night in California. It's John Phillips,
Speaker 1: Randy Waning, Frank Motech, Philteri here with you, and we
Speaker 1: have more results to report. Mister Frank Motech. What's going
Speaker 1: on in the statewide constitutional offices?
Speaker 4: More breaking new for you here with javiy Or Bsera
Speaker 4: taking the early lead now a very narrow lead over
Speaker 4: Steve Hilton, the Republican candidate for governor Bisera at twenty
Speaker 4: six percent, with Hilton at twenty five percent, just about
Speaker 4: twenty six percent now with about forty two percent of
Speaker 4: the votes. Coundidate statewide that Tom syre In at twenty percent,
Speaker 4: Chad Bianco at eleven percent. We're looking now at some
Speaker 4: new numbers for the California lieutenant governor primary results. We
Speaker 4: see a Fiona ma in the lead here at twenty
Speaker 4: one percent, behind Republican Gloria Romero at eighteen and a
Speaker 4: half in Josh Friday at fourteen percent.
Speaker 1: Now, Randy Wayang, you're keeping an eye on the local
Speaker 1: races in Los Angeles and some of the ballot initiatives.
Speaker 1: What are you seeing.
Speaker 2: Measure er the jacking up of the sales taxes in
Speaker 2: Los Angeles County currently looks like it may not pass,
Speaker 2: so that is some good news. And here's a fun
Speaker 2: one the Alameda County District Attorney's office with the votes
Speaker 2: that are in. The incumbent Ursula Jones Dixon has sixty
Speaker 2: six percent of the vote. Pamela Price has twenty two
Speaker 2: percent of the vote, which means once again, two thirds
Speaker 2: of Alameda County has said no to Pamela Price and
Speaker 2: they just called that race Pammy Price. Go back to
Speaker 2: your podcast.
Speaker 1: We're also seeing some changes in the betting markets as well.
Speaker 1: In the governor's race.
Speaker 2: Bessarah's at ninety eight percent of making it, Hilton's at
Speaker 2: seventy four percent. Stier is at twenty two percent.
Speaker 1: So Hilton was at seventy percent when we started tonight
Speaker 1: at seven and Styre was it what in the low forties.
Speaker 2: Yeah, he is now in the twenties. So it's looking
Speaker 2: like it is settling up, but still there's only a
Speaker 2: small lead. There's still a lot of counties that haven't reported.
Speaker 2: San Francisco County hasn't reported anything yet. San Diego has
Speaker 2: it really anything yet, So there's still quite a while
Speaker 2: to go here, but that's what we're seeing so far.
Speaker 2: All right, let's go to Fresno and our colleague Phil TERSI. Phil,
Speaker 2: you're keeping an eye on the congressional race. Is what
Speaker 2: results do you see?
Speaker 5: Well, one of the big ones the special election for
Speaker 5: District one, James Gallagher is in a huge lead. I mean,
Speaker 5: that's still early reporting, but if he holds onto even
Speaker 5: half of this, he is not going to have to
Speaker 5: screw around in the general election. When we head over
Speaker 5: to the McClintock race, I think that's a done deal.
Speaker 5: He's going to hang on to that. Fine. The Kevin
Speaker 5: Kylie race, that's going to be tight. Kylie leading Michael
Speaker 5: Stansfield by just a couple thousand votes right now, twenty
Speaker 5: five percent. Overall District eleven, we've got no results because
Speaker 5: San Francisco hasn't reported a blessed thing. Adam Gray is
Speaker 5: likely going to hold onto his District thirteen seed. Over
Speaker 5: in District twenty, Vince Fong a similar situation to Tom McClintock.
Speaker 5: Unless something really wild happens, this is as good as
Speaker 5: a done deal for him. The Jim Costa race, Costas
Speaker 5: pulled ahead. It was close with Kyle Kirkland, but cost
Speaker 5: has picked up quite a bit as reportings come in,
Speaker 5: David Valadeo cleanly in the lead, the Democrats neck and neck.
Speaker 5: The separation there just over one thousand votes so far.
Speaker 5: District forty, which is the Calvert young Kim fight. Right now,
Speaker 5: Ken Culvert leading Young Kim by about fifteen thousand votes,
Speaker 5: which translates to about fifteen percent. It's right now, it
Speaker 5: looks to my eyes like probably Republicans got the message
Speaker 5: about mail in balloting. I think that the reason we're
Speaker 5: seeing some of these leads right now is probably because
Speaker 5: Republicans took advantage of dropboxes in this cycle.
Speaker 1: All right, thank you for those updates, Phil. Right now,
Speaker 1: let's turn to the professor of Political Science emeritus at
Speaker 1: California State University at Fullerton, Professor Barbara Stone.
Speaker 6: Welcome, Happy election night, guys.
Speaker 1: Happy election night to you. No, I know the returns.
Speaker 1: The results are primitive right now as we speak, it's
Speaker 1: not even an hour after the polls have closed, but
Speaker 1: it looks like so far, at least it's a good
Speaker 1: night for Javier Bessera Steve Hilton. The betting markets and
Speaker 1: Las Vegas certainly believe that those two are the likely
Speaker 1: top two finishers in that race. Your thoughts.
Speaker 6: Well, generally speaking, remember that probably, although not necessarily, probably
Speaker 6: Republicans are going to be overrepresented in early voting because,
Speaker 6: as I think I've said, once Donald Trump made his
Speaker 6: endorsement Republicans, most of them pretty much quit thinking about
Speaker 6: the governor's race, and therefore they didn't get hung up
Speaker 6: on for whom should they vote at the top of
Speaker 6: the ticket.
Speaker 7: Democrats did.
Speaker 6: And now one of my problems is most of the
Speaker 6: people I talked to are in Orange County, so even
Speaker 6: Democrats are in Orange County. But it wasn't they weren't
Speaker 6: going to vote. They were waiting to make sure that
Speaker 6: they boxed out the Republicans, or at least one of them.
Speaker 6: So generally, once you get later in the votes being cast,
Speaker 6: Democrats do better. Anyway, they do a lot more ballot harvesting,
Speaker 6: they have a lot more people well, they just do
Speaker 6: it their votes coming late, and this time they're probably
Speaker 6: going to come in even later, which is a babbling
Speaker 6: way of saying you should count on good Republican results
Speaker 6: even less than you usually do. But I'm thinking it
Speaker 6: looks pretty good actually.
Speaker 1: So far in Orange County. Katie Porter, who represented Irvine
Speaker 1: in the House, of representatives is in single digits. What
Speaker 1: was she pulling at Randy or coming in at.
Speaker 2: It was in the sixes or the sevens, it wasn't
Speaker 2: good and it Yeah, And in northern California and Matt
Speaker 2: Mahan's home county where San Jose sits, where he is
Speaker 2: the mayor of that city, he's only a ten percent,
Speaker 2: which is a very bad showing for him. What do
Speaker 2: you make of those two results?
Speaker 6: But I'm deadly serious that, first of all, I don't
Speaker 6: think Democrats were thrilled with the Democrat field. I may
Speaker 6: have that wrong, but that's certainly the feedback I get.
Speaker 6: And they were waiting to make sure that they didn't
Speaker 6: quote unquote.
Speaker 7: Waste their vote.
Speaker 6: And therefore I know a number of women who actually
Speaker 6: believe it or not, like Katie Porter, but they didn't
Speaker 6: want to waste their vote there. They had a strong preference.
Speaker 6: They didn't like Besara very much, but they hated Stire
Speaker 6: and so they waited until they saw the lay of
Speaker 6: the land and then they voted. So in fairness, neither
Speaker 6: Mayhan nor Porter ran well at all, but there probably
Speaker 6: was some depressing effect from the way Democrats seem to
Speaker 6: have looked at the race. The key to it, of course,
Speaker 6: is most of them didn't like any of them.
Speaker 1: Tom Steyer made the promise that, if elected, he would
Speaker 1: call for a special election to take aim at Prop thirteen,
Speaker 1: specifically the split role. I wonder if that had an
Speaker 1: impact on some of these boomer Democrats who liked the
Speaker 1: Democratic Party and generally speaking vote for Democratic candidates, but
Speaker 1: hands off Prop thirteen because that's going to hit me
Speaker 1: in my pocketbook.
Speaker 6: I think you're giving them too much credit. You could
Speaker 6: always be right. I think it may be the two
Speaker 6: or three things. The totality of stire John is out
Speaker 6: there in left field, I mean seriously out He makes
Speaker 6: Karen Bass look moderate, and so you have that as
Speaker 6: a person, he really didn't come across very well. He
Speaker 6: looks kind of like a ghost.
Speaker 7: And he's a billionaire.
Speaker 6: And when somebody says in the debate, dogs, why don't
Speaker 6: you just pay more? Oh no, my paying more wouldn't
Speaker 6: help him. Besides, all my money's in the Cayman Islands.
Speaker 6: You have some, I think, just starting right there, truly
Speaker 6: negative initial reactions to him. Did you realize that guy
Speaker 6: spent what double what everyone else all put together spent
Speaker 6: and he at this moment not looking like he's going
Speaker 6: to make the runoff.
Speaker 7: That should tell you something.
Speaker 1: In the city of Los Angeles, Karen Bass is coming
Speaker 1: in first, albeit below fifty percent.
Speaker 2: Currently the numbers are Karen Bass thirty six percent, Spencer
Speaker 2: Pratt thirty percent, Nithia twenty percent.
Speaker 1: What's your read on that.
Speaker 6: That Spencer Pratt With all my comments about late Democrat votes,
Speaker 6: that Spencer Pratt has a big shot here if you
Speaker 6: paid attention, the late polling actually had old Nthia basically
Speaker 6: even with him. As I told my son Toned, if
Speaker 6: that's the way it comes out, LA's crazier than I think.
Speaker 6: But while that's not a huge lead and will probably collapse,
Speaker 6: the fact that Bass wasn't winning by that much is
Speaker 6: going to take away a lot of the votes that
Speaker 6: might go. Eh, bas is going to be in the runoff,
Speaker 6: and I'll go with Nithia just for the fun of it.
Speaker 6: You can't just for the fun of it, So I
Speaker 6: suspect that heard.
Speaker 1: Let's take that race off the table for a second
Speaker 1: and just talk about Spencer Pratt's presence on the ballot
Speaker 1: in this cycle. He's to face an uphill battle if
Speaker 1: he does make the November ballot and face off with
Speaker 1: Karen Bass. But him exciting voters in a population center
Speaker 1: of the state like the city of Los Angeles could
Speaker 1: impact things like voter ID and the Proposition thirteen initiative
Speaker 1: on the ballot, and it could have an impact other places.
Speaker 7: Correct, Yes, yes it could.
Speaker 6: And November John is just going to be weird. Remember,
Speaker 6: you're going to have the surtax on billionaires on the ballot.
Speaker 6: Billionaires do not go down quietly, so I suspect you're
Speaker 6: seeing absolute fortune spent as well as competing initiatives. And
Speaker 6: nobody is going to go to the polls to make
Speaker 6: sure they vote for their wonderful hero Hobby or besserah so,
Speaker 6: and the most exciting thing on the ballot, it's going
Speaker 6: to be the billionaire thing.
Speaker 7: And Spencer Pratt just because.
Speaker 6: He is, and that's going to be one of the
Speaker 6: wilder things.
Speaker 1: How much chatter do you hear about Spencer Pratt in
Speaker 1: Orange County?
Speaker 7: A lot? Guy? You've got here? Well, I think you
Speaker 7: have a national figure.
Speaker 6: And the funny thing is it's not because anybody remembers
Speaker 6: him from his reality TV show. I'm sure I must
Speaker 6: know somebody who remembers that, but I haven't talked to
Speaker 6: them or they're not bringing it up. It's Batman and whatever.
Speaker 6: And basically, yes, LA has gone to the dogs, and
Speaker 6: even a whole lot of your West Side liberals seem
Speaker 6: to have figured that out, as they get burgled all
Speaker 6: the time and have to hire security and that kind
Speaker 6: of thing.
Speaker 7: So you put.
Speaker 6: Together a truly quirky candidate who's able to attract national
Speaker 6: attention with the real situation in La. Plus you're in Hollywood, Darlin,
Speaker 6: I don't care if all the studios are leaving. It's
Speaker 6: going to be wild. And I'm not going to say
Speaker 6: he's going to win. If you've noticed, he very carefully
Speaker 6: is not running as a Republican. Probably he won't, but
Speaker 6: you never know in this world. Karen Bass is pretty incompetent.
Speaker 1: Professor Barbara Stone, Professor of Political Science Emeritus at California
Speaker 1: State University at Fullerton, thanks so much for joining us.
Speaker 7: Okay, John, let me post this.
Speaker 1: Question to you, Phil, because Barbara's in Orange County and
Speaker 1: she said that Spencer Pratt is cutting through the noise
Speaker 1: and is a topic of conversation there. I recently was
Speaker 1: in Alaska and Las Vegas, And when people found out
Speaker 1: what I did for a living, they weren't asking me
Speaker 1: about Gavin Newsom, they weren't asking me about the governor's race.
Speaker 1: They were asking me about Spencer Pratt. How much chatter
Speaker 1: do you hear about Spencer Pratt in the Central Valley?
Speaker 5: Oh, it's huge, It's absolutely huge, And I think it's
Speaker 5: a double edged sword. It's a gift to him in
Speaker 5: fundraising if he's going to continue in this, and it
Speaker 5: looks likely he is. But the other side of that
Speaker 5: is if all of his support is coming from outside LA.
Speaker 5: While it might translate to a super cool ad campaign
Speaker 5: with more neat Batman Ai generated videos, that doesn't translate
Speaker 5: to votes if people in Alaska care and people in
Speaker 5: LA do not. But I think the Prats caught onto something.
Speaker 5: I mean, I talked to Adam Carolla about two weeks ago,
Speaker 5: and Adams interviewed Spencer a couple of times, and the
Speaker 5: antipathy with which he discussed Bass and Ramen, I think
Speaker 5: that that might translate to a real fight for Karen
Speaker 5: Bass in November.
Speaker 1: All Right, we're going to take a quick break and
Speaker 1: when we return, we'll have more results for you from
Speaker 1: tonight's primary election here in the state of California, Don't
Speaker 1: you go Anywhere, and we continue at eight fifty two.
Speaker 1: In the evening it's John Pillips, Randy Wing, Frank Motechville Teresi.
Speaker 1: We have more results coming in from the California Secretary
Speaker 1: of State's office. For more, here is mister Frank Motech
Speaker 1: breaking news on the governor's race.
Speaker 4: Steve Hilton now taking back the lead over Javier Bicerra
Speaker 4: twenty six percent to twenty five percent. Tom Sire in third,
Speaker 4: and the governor's race now at twenty percent, Shann Bianco
Speaker 4: in fourth at eleven percent, Katie Porter in fifth at
Speaker 4: five percent. With about half of the votes counted. Here
Speaker 4: in California and the lieutenant governor's primary, we see Fiona
Speaker 4: mob in the lead now it's twenty percent, followed by
Speaker 4: Republican Gloria Romero at eighteen percent. Going right down the list,
Speaker 4: the California Attorney general primary has Rob Bonta, the incumbent,
Speaker 4: in the lead fifty four percent over Republican Michael Gates
Speaker 4: who's at forty one percent. The Secretary of State primary
Speaker 4: shows Shirley Weber at fifty five percent and Donald Wagner,
Speaker 4: the GOP candidate at forty percent. Taking a look at
Speaker 4: the state Controller Leah Cohen and the lead at fifty
Speaker 4: four percent of Fallen bah Republican Herb Morgan at forty
Speaker 4: one percent. The state Insurance Commissioner's race, This is interesting,
Speaker 4: Jane Kim in the lead at twenty four percent over
Speaker 4: Senator Ben Allen coming in second in this race at
Speaker 4: twenty one percent, and the Taking a look at the
Speaker 4: state treasurer race, Alandi Kunelaka is the current Lieutenant governor
Speaker 4: and the lead now in that contest at thirty six
Speaker 4: percent over Republican Jennifer Hawks at twenty six percent.
Speaker 1: Keeping an eye on the City of Los Angeles in
Speaker 1: ballot initiatives, mister Randy Wang.
Speaker 2: Currently in the LA Mayor's race, Karen Bass is up,
Speaker 2: but not by a lot, thirty six percent over Spencer
Speaker 2: Pratt's thirty percent Nitia at twenty percent. If you're wondering
Speaker 2: about the also rans, Adam Miller got four point four
Speaker 2: percent and the other socialist Ray Hwang at two point
Speaker 2: eight percent, So at least if this holds, the socialist
Speaker 2: vote in LA is only twenty two percent.
Speaker 1: But if Spencer Pratt is going to get over fifty
Speaker 1: fifty plus one. He's going to need some of those
Speaker 1: votes to vote for him over Karen Bass or to
Speaker 1: stay at home.
Speaker 2: Well, let's remember currently Karen Bass, the incumbent, is only
Speaker 2: getting thirty six percent support.
Speaker 1: That's true.
Speaker 2: She's a known entity and two thirds of the city
Speaker 2: are voting against her right now.
Speaker 1: How are the tax increases looking right now?
Speaker 2: And the tax increases Measure ER looks like it will
Speaker 2: not pass, which is bad news for Barbara Frare. In
Speaker 2: Alameda County, Measure E does not look like it's going
Speaker 2: to pass.
Speaker 1: It is No.
Speaker 2: Fifty five to forty four, and the Chronicles website is
Speaker 2: buggy as hell, but it looks like here we go.
Speaker 2: Measure A is gonna pass, so we're gonna get that
Speaker 2: earthquake bond that's also going towards affordable housing. Measure C
Speaker 2: has failed. The reduction in grocery sipts tax, the screw
Speaker 2: you Overpaid CEO tax. Measure D is currently on track
Speaker 2: not to pass. So it looks both gross receipts tax
Speaker 2: measures in San Francisco are on set not to pass.
Speaker 1: Keeping an eye on the congressional races here in California.
Speaker 1: I should say the post Prop fifty Congressional races is
Speaker 1: our pal, Phil Teresi from Fresno. Phil, What are you
Speaker 1: seeing there?
Speaker 5: Well, we've got our first blush of results for District eleven,
Speaker 5: and Nancy's endorsement might not have counted for as much
Speaker 5: as they thought it would. Connie Chan with twenty eight
Speaker 5: percent of the vote, Scott Wiener forty three percent on
Speaker 5: the first reports here. That District one fight, We've still
Speaker 5: got James Gallagher with a massive leave. District six looks
Speaker 5: like a very strong possibility. Kevin Kylie is going to
Speaker 5: take on that seat, although there's only a couple of
Speaker 5: thousand votes between him and Stansfield, his Republican competitor. And
Speaker 5: I think that no party preference registration is costing Kylie
Speaker 5: a little bit, losing some of those Republican votes. In
Speaker 5: District thirteen, it is a clear lead for Adam Gray,
Speaker 5: the Democrat incumbent. Likewise, with Jim Costa over there in
Speaker 5: District twenty one, D two to two, this is one
Speaker 5: of the big fights. This is the David Valadeo. Valadeo
Speaker 5: still comfortably in the lead, but Rudy Viegas Randy Veegus,
Speaker 5: excuse me, pretty cleanly beating Jazz meat Bains with early returns.
Speaker 5: It's again looking like Republican early returns served well. But
Speaker 5: they are not the only results now, Thank goodness. Ken
Speaker 5: Calvert very much had a young Kim still a fifteen
Speaker 5: percent lead in District forty.
Speaker 1: All right, thank you for those results.
Speaker 2: Yes, sir, we have our first concession in the race
Speaker 2: for California governor, and Tonio Viragosa has called it quits. Oh,
Speaker 2: tonight did not turn out the way we hoped. And
Speaker 2: I offer my congratulations to the winners and offer my
Speaker 2: best wishes for the road ahead. And no, he's not
Speaker 2: endorsing anybody.
Speaker 1: And he and Javier Bessera have had a long standing
Speaker 1: feud with one another ever since Besera and Viragosa ran
Speaker 1: against each other for mayor of Los Angeles. They've been
Speaker 1: pretty much fighting in the sane lane for many different races.
Speaker 1: There is no love lost between them and Tonio Viragosa's
Speaker 1: political career.
Speaker 2: Ended tonight at eight fifty seven.
Speaker 1: And Frank, one thing to keep in mind is that
Speaker 1: as the ballots continue to come in, because if it
Speaker 1: was postmarked by today, the ballot will count. Sometimes these
Speaker 1: results change over time. We know sometimes the state of
Speaker 1: California can take up to a month to count ballots.
Speaker 1: When Rick Caruso was running for mayor of Los Angeles,
Speaker 1: he went to bed on election night thinking that he
Speaker 1: was well ahead of Karen Bass, and oh boy, did
Speaker 1: things change.
Speaker 4: That's exactly right. I remember that night very well. We
Speaker 4: were all together that night and looked like Caruso was
Speaker 4: winning on primary election night as well as on the
Speaker 4: general election night. But then what about ten days, a
Speaker 4: couple of weeks later, the results were not the same.
Speaker 4: Let me bring this up here, State Center District twenty four.
Speaker 4: This is the west side of Los Angeles where the
Speaker 4: firestorms occurred, and the Palisades and Malibu, also covers of
Speaker 4: Beverly Hills and other cities on the west side. G
Speaker 4: Rick Marshall, Republican, is in the lead now at twenty percent,
Speaker 4: over Brian Goldsmith, the Democratic candidate at nineteen percent, and
Speaker 4: Christina Irwin, another Republican candidate in third in that race
Speaker 4: at sixteen percent. We're keeping an eye on that one
Speaker 4: here in the homestretch.
Speaker 1: And Phil, I would imagine that tomorrow morning, a lot
Speaker 1: of eyeballs in Washington are going to look at these
Speaker 1: results of the congressional races to find out just exactly
Speaker 1: how many of these seats look like they could go
Speaker 1: one way or the other, to determine how much money
Speaker 1: is going to come to California in the general.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I think that District six, District twenty two, probably
Speaker 5: District twenty one, you're going to see a pile of
Speaker 5: money coming in. But my expectation at this point is
Speaker 5: that rather than being clear of this nonsense, tomorrow we
Speaker 5: begin the general election cycle in ernest I can't imagine
Speaker 5: Tom Steyer taking a graceful bow out, but Mucinex spokesmodel
Speaker 5: Katie Porter is definitely going to be wrapping it up tonight.
Speaker 1: All right, that's going to do it for us tonight.
Speaker 1: You can listen to Randy and I weekdays from noon
Speaker 1: to three on KABC and KSFO. You can listen to
Speaker 1: Randy from five to six in LA Break Motech the
Speaker 1: Voice of Business of Southern California on seven ninety KABC
Speaker 1: from four to five in the afternoon, and film Terressi,
Speaker 1: the Voice of Fresno on KMJ. You can listen to
Speaker 1: him two to six weekdays in the Central Valley. Thank
Speaker 1: you gentlemen for being here, and we'll see you tomorrow
Speaker 1: on the radio.