WEBVTT - NZ Budget Breakdown

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<v Daniel Webster, Host>Hello, I'm Daniel Webster, New Zealand public affairs manager at

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<v Daniel Webster, Host>Chartered Accountants ANZ. And this is Small Firm, Big Impact.

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>It's not surprising that it's the no frills budget that

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>government had touted it as. One also called it a

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>bread and butter budget. And that's exactly what it is.

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>There weren't any changes to the personal marginal tax rates

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>or the personal marginal tax rate thresholds. No change to

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>take GST off food. Also no wealth tax, no capital

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>gains tax. But what we have got is a little

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>surprise in there with the tax, the trustee tax rate.

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<v Daniel Webster, Host>It's the podcast giving you and your clients the up

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<v Daniel Webster, Host>And if you've got an idea for the show, you

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<v Daniel Webster, Host>can email podcast at chartered Accountants anz.com. Today's guest is

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<v Daniel Webster, Host>CA ANZ, NZ country head Peter Vial, FCA, who has

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<v Daniel Webster, Host>just stepped out of the Beehive budget lockup. Peter, welcome

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<v Daniel Webster, Host>to small, firm Big Impact.

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>Kia ora Daniel, great to join you. After an intense few

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>hours and the budget lock up at the Beehive. As usual,

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>it was freezing in the banquet hall there, but at

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>least they laid on the sausage rolls and lamingtons.

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<v Daniel Webster, Host>Yeah, good to hear. So on a food theme, ask

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<v Daniel Webster, Host>the government have described themselves as a bread and butter

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<v Daniel Webster, Host>government and that this would be a bit of a

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<v Daniel Webster, Host>no frills budget. From what you've seen there. Is that

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<v Daniel Webster, Host>the case?

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>Absolutely, yes. Daniel, this is a no frills budget fit

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>for the constrained circumstances that the country is in. It's

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>not surprising that it's the no frills budget. The government

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>had touted it as. One also called it a bread

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>and butter budget. And that's exactly what it is. It

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>does have four overarching themes. The first is supporting New

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>Zealanders with the cost of living pressures. They're all we're

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>all experiencing at the moment and then delivering services that

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>New Zealanders need and rely on. A third theme was

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>recovery and resilience, obviously in relation to or directly in

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>response to the cyclone and floods with experienced earlier this year.

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>And then of course fiscal sustainability, which picked up quite

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>a few other aspects. The challenge, I guess for Grant

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>Robertson as Minister of Revenue again this year was to

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>deliver a budget that continued to invest as needed infrastructure

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>in health and education and to throw in some quite

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>big cost of living measures to assist people who are

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>really struggling. But to do all of that without exacerbating

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>inflation or increasing household debt, or adding, as I say,

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>to inflationary pressures. So that's why he's had to go

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>with a no frills approach and reprioritise budget allocations from

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>one place to another in a number of cases.

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<v Daniel Webster, Host>Interesting. So what about, first of all, can you talk

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<v Daniel Webster, Host>us through some of the economic projections or fundamentals that

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<v Daniel Webster, Host>the government laid out?

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>Yeah. So there's interesting numbers there. Daniel So the Treasury

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>is forecasting GDP growth of 3.2% this year, falling to 1%

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>next year and then 3% levelling out at 3% in

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>2026 and 2027. So over the long term, that average

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>looks looks reasonable. There are Treasury's no longer forecasting a recession,

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>which is good news. Obviously a recession is two quarters

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>of success of two successive quarters of negative growth and

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>they're not forecasting that we'll have that. Then they've had

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>to defer the expectation of a surplus by one year

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>to 2025, 2026. And that's no surprises there. One of

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>the most interesting figures, of course, for everyone is inflation,

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>that Treasury is forecasting that it will fall to 3.3%

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>in 2024 and then to 2.6% in 2025. Those numbers

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>look or forecasts look quite ambitious to me. I'm not

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>an economist, but given we've had just come through a

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>period of 6.7%, 7% inflation and we're still seeing the

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>cost of living rising, particularly with food costs, I was

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>a bit surprised to see that inflation is predicted to

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>drop to 3.3 and then to 2.6. And some good news.

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>Net government debt to GDP proposed to peak at only 22%

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>and 2024, which is way lower than comparable economies or economies.

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>We often compare ourselves to Australia, the UK, the US,

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>which have much higher debt to GDP ratios, and then

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>Treasury's forecasting that will reduce to 18.4% in four years

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>time at the end of the budget forecast period. So again,

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>that might look a bit ambitious, but Grant Robertson and

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>Treasury are trying to deliver a cautious conservative budget. They

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>don't want to be accused of running amok and having

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>profligate spending, and that's one of the reasons why they're

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>obviously very keen to keep that net government debt down

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>below 20%. Unemployment is expected to peak at 5.3% next year.

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>It's currently around 3.4%. So that is a reasonable increase,

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>up to 5.3 and then level off a bit and

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>wages are expected to grow at 5.2% a year over

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>the four year forecast period. So those were the headline

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>economic fundamental numbers. Economists around the country will have different

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>views as to whether they think Treasury's, you know, landed

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>in the right place on all of those numbers. But

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>it's just interesting to think, think about them and reflect

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>on how ambitious potentially some of them are.

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<v Daniel Webster, Host>Cost of living was obviously their first priority priority on

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<v Daniel Webster, Host>that list of four. What does the government doing to

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<v Daniel Webster, Host>help people afford the essentials?

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>So good question, Daniel. We we were promised a no

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>frills budget, and that's what we've got. What is, I

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>think really good to see is that most of the

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>cost of living measures are very targeted, much more targeted than,

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>for example, last year's cost of living payment, which went

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>out to a whole or a large number of people

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>earning below 70,000, regardless of the source of that income

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>and regardless of asset and wealth testing. That was all

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>all not in the mix. And we we read the

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>stories about people overseas who were receiving that payment and

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>various other people who didn't didn't need to receive it.

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>So it's good to see this year that the the

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>focus is a much more targeted one. There are a

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>few platforms here, so one is early childhood education. The

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>government is extending the subsidy for early childhood education to

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>two year olds. Currently, the subsidy is only for 3

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>to 5 year olds. It will drop down to cover

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>two year olds and so will provide some much needed

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>assistance to parents with very young children, allowing them to

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>return to the workforce earlier should they choose to do so,

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>which is good, obviously good for the the country's productivity.

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>There's the government's going to remove the $5 prescription charge,

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>which we've all had to pay for many years from.

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>From my recollection, that will be removed in this budget.

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>And that's obviously not targeted because everyone's eligible for it.

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>But it is progressive in the sense that those with

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>the most critical health needs, the higher health needs who

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>need more prescriptions than other healthier people will benefit the most.

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>So it does seem to be a sensible measure. There's

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>some subsidies and public transport which will be of interest.

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>So free public transport for children under 13 and permanent

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>half price fares for people between 13 and 25. So

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>for a number of years now, we've had free public

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>transport for the national superintendence and this is looking at

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>the other end of the demographic curve and extending that

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>free program to under 13 year olds help those who

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>travel by public transport to school or around the urban

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>areas and rely on public transport. It's also a sound

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>measure from an environmental environmental perspective, obviously. And then obviously

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>for people like tertiary students or young people who are

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>in work who need to rely on public transport or

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>rely on public transport, this is a good outcome for them.

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>And for when you think about it, for a family

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>with a few children travelling to school by bus or

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>for tertiary student families with, you know, several tertiary students,

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>this is a really good way of cutting their weekly costs.

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>So that will be helpful. Um, you'll recall a couple

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>of years ago we had the winter energy payment, which

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>was a payment that went out to a broad group

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>of people, including all national superannuation funds. It was effectively

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>a lump sum payment spread over a few months to

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>cover people's winter energy costs. It wasn't targeted and even

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>wealthy people, people who didn't need the subsidy, were receiving it. And. WHEREAS,

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>Now with this budget, the government has chosen to be

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>more targeted. It's going to fund 100,000 new heating and

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>insulation retrofits and an interestingly 5 million LED light bulbs,

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>both of these aimed at reducing the power bills of

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>those that are most in need. So we think the

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>more targeted approach is sensible. One obvious question is whether

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>we have the workforce to do the retrofits, the heating

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>and insulation retrofits. One thinks that it might well be

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>the same workforce that has been relied on to do

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>a lot of the cyclone recovery work. So that will

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>be that will time will tell whether we do have

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>the workforce to do those retrofits. One other change here

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>under this cost of living area and the cost of

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>living area was we tweak to the KiwiSaver rules that

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>it will ensure that Kiwisavers who are on parental leave

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>won't miss out. They will not be disadvantaged by being

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>on parental leave, so their long term savings through KiwiSaver

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>will not be affected. And that's from a gender equity

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>perspective as a really good change. It's not a big change.

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>It won't cost the government that lot, but it does

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>send a very positive signal that that gender equity as

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>is and savings. And there's very good research which confirms

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>that women end up with with lower retirement savings than men.

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>And this will be a way of helping address that.

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>So as I say, we're pleased that the cost of

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>living measures are largely pretty targeted and they're not. You know,

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>that is sensible and the constrained economic circumstances that the

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>government and we are all in at the moment. There

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>isn't money to spray around as there was in COVID.

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<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>And as I said, with last year's cost of living payment,

0:11:51.610 --> 0:11:52.900
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>it has to be targeted.

0:11:53.890 --> 0:11:54.610
<v S3>Right.

0:11:55.570 --> 0:11:58.510
<v Daniel Webster, Host>There wasn't meant to be any major tax changes. They

0:11:58.510 --> 0:12:00.760
<v Daniel Webster, Host>ruled those out. But was there something?

0:12:01.570 --> 0:12:05.230
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>Well, there was something. Daniel But I'll save my breath

0:12:05.230 --> 0:12:08.260
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>for a second before talk about something and just talk

0:12:08.260 --> 0:12:11.740
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>about what? There wasn't. So and that was no surprise.

0:12:11.740 --> 0:12:15.579
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>There weren't any changes to the personal marginal tax rate

0:12:15.580 --> 0:12:18.610
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>or the personal marginal tax rate thresholds. No change to

0:12:18.610 --> 0:12:21.280
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>take GST off food. All of those have been ruled

0:12:21.280 --> 0:12:23.800
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>out by the Prime Minister, the Minister of Revenue and

0:12:23.800 --> 0:12:28.900
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>others before the budget. So no surprises there. Also, no

0:12:28.900 --> 0:12:32.559
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>wealth tax, no capital gains tax. We might see something

0:12:32.559 --> 0:12:36.250
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>in Labor's policy leading into the election, but certainly nothing

0:12:36.250 --> 0:12:41.680
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>in the budget. Again, no surprises there. Of course many

0:12:41.679 --> 0:12:44.770
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>people are struggling with the effects of bracket creep whereby

0:12:44.770 --> 0:12:49.090
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>their incomes are pushed into, their incomes increase, but they

0:12:49.090 --> 0:12:52.060
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>don't get the full benefit because they're pushed into the

0:12:52.059 --> 0:12:55.120
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>next marginal tax rate bracket. That's been a problem that

0:12:55.120 --> 0:12:58.510
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>we've had for decades. It's been particularly acute in the

0:12:58.510 --> 0:13:03.370
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>last few years with wage inflation. So people who are

0:13:03.370 --> 0:13:06.850
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>on average incomes are paying tax at reasonably higher rates.

0:13:06.970 --> 0:13:10.000
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>So in an ideal world we would have seen that

0:13:10.000 --> 0:13:14.199
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>problem tackled. But those changes are very expensive and they

0:13:14.200 --> 0:13:17.620
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>just aren't affordable in the current environment with the pressures

0:13:17.620 --> 0:13:21.070
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>of the cyclone and flood relief and and also they

0:13:21.070 --> 0:13:24.580
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>would be inflationary potentially. So they're off the table and

0:13:24.580 --> 0:13:25.960
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>we knew they were off the table. So we haven't

0:13:25.960 --> 0:13:29.710
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>got any of that. But what we have got is

0:13:29.710 --> 0:13:32.380
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>a little surprise in there with the tax, the trustee

0:13:32.710 --> 0:13:35.590
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>tax rate. So the trustee tax rate has for a

0:13:35.590 --> 0:13:39.070
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>number of years been 33%. This government and this budget

0:13:39.070 --> 0:13:41.680
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>has announced that it will move the trustee tax rate

0:13:41.950 --> 0:13:45.910
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>from 33% to 39% to align with the top personal

0:13:45.910 --> 0:13:49.860
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>marginal tax rate of 39% that came in from 1st

0:13:49.860 --> 0:13:53.349
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>April 2021. Why is the government doing this? The government

0:13:53.350 --> 0:13:58.090
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>is doing this because it has identified a loophole and

0:13:58.090 --> 0:14:01.900
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>the evidence is very clear. The budget documents confirm that

0:14:01.900 --> 0:14:05.560
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>in the first year of the increase in the to

0:14:05.559 --> 0:14:10.150
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>the 39% for the top personal marginal tax rate, there

0:14:10.150 --> 0:14:14.469
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>was a sudden spike in income earned by trustees. So

0:14:14.470 --> 0:14:18.790
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>trustees were earning $5.7 billion more of income in that

0:14:18.790 --> 0:14:21.730
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>year than they had in the previous income year. So

0:14:21.730 --> 0:14:24.220
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>that was the evidence the government needed to to show

0:14:24.220 --> 0:14:28.840
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>that there was a loophole and it was being used or,

0:14:28.840 --> 0:14:31.720
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>you know, in their view, abused. So that is that

0:14:31.720 --> 0:14:36.670
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>opportunity has been removed with effect from one April 20th, 24.

0:14:37.120 --> 0:14:40.840
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>Those rates will be aligned. Personally, I was very pleased

0:14:40.840 --> 0:14:45.280
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>to see or hear Minister Robertson announce that that change

0:14:45.280 --> 0:14:48.730
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>will go through the select committee process. So there will

0:14:48.730 --> 0:14:52.840
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>be the opportunity for submissions, one assumes, and that will

0:14:52.840 --> 0:14:56.410
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>be reviewed by the the finance and Expenditure Select Committee

0:14:56.410 --> 0:15:00.730
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>as normal tax change naught tax changes normally are. There

0:15:00.730 --> 0:15:05.260
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>could well be, you know, peripheral issues, there could be

0:15:05.260 --> 0:15:09.400
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>collateral damage, things that officials perhaps haven't thought about that

0:15:09.400 --> 0:15:11.500
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>need to be brought to their attention and to the

0:15:11.800 --> 0:15:15.220
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>Government's attention to Parliament's attention. So those things can be

0:15:15.220 --> 0:15:18.430
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>ironed out through that select committee process. But the key

0:15:18.430 --> 0:15:22.750
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>change here is that the trustee rate will move to 39%

0:15:22.750 --> 0:15:27.010
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>to align with the top personal marginal tax rate. A

0:15:27.010 --> 0:15:29.110
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>few other things I should have mentioned that weren't in there.

0:15:29.110 --> 0:15:31.660
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>There had been some kind of scuttlebutt or gossip about

0:15:31.660 --> 0:15:35.470
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>whether the government might introduce a higher personal marginal tax

0:15:35.470 --> 0:15:38.980
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>rate to apply to very high incomes of, say, 45%.

0:15:38.980 --> 0:15:41.410
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>That's not in the budget. Again, it could come through

0:15:41.410 --> 0:15:45.850
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>in the election policies of different parties, the Labor Party

0:15:45.850 --> 0:15:50.560
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>and obviously might consider that. And it's and it's in

0:15:50.560 --> 0:15:54.580
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>the lead up to the election mentioned. I think there's

0:15:54.580 --> 0:15:59.710
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>no decision to remove GST off fresh food. Often there

0:15:59.710 --> 0:16:05.230
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>are calls for that and particularly in times of economic pressure,

0:16:05.230 --> 0:16:08.110
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>there are calls for that to happen to reduce the

0:16:08.110 --> 0:16:12.220
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>food bill for households that are struggling. I think it's

0:16:12.220 --> 0:16:16.000
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>the right thing not to go down that route because

0:16:16.150 --> 0:16:19.690
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>New Zealand has the most efficient GST system in the world,

0:16:19.690 --> 0:16:24.970
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>according to the OECD, and that's been the case for decades.

0:16:24.970 --> 0:16:29.920
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>It's a very comprehensive tax. It's hard to avoid and

0:16:29.920 --> 0:16:33.220
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>relatively easy to comply with and we don't have all

0:16:33.220 --> 0:16:35.620
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>the definitional issues that come when you start to make

0:16:35.620 --> 0:16:41.380
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>further exemptions and exclusions. And also fundamentally, there's no guarantee,

0:16:41.680 --> 0:16:45.010
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>excuse me, that of GST were taken off food that

0:16:45.010 --> 0:16:48.880
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>that would that price reduction would flow through to the

0:16:48.880 --> 0:16:52.900
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>end consumer. So great to see the government resisting the tax.

0:16:54.020 --> 0:16:57.920
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>To do something in that area. So yeah, so that's

0:16:57.920 --> 0:17:02.210
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>what's happened in tax one. One little surprise and no

0:17:02.210 --> 0:17:03.260
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>big surprises.

0:17:03.530 --> 0:17:05.119
<v Daniel Webster, Host>Yeah, a lot left out there.

0:17:05.119 --> 0:17:08.510
<v S4>That will still be on the table for future discussions.

0:17:08.840 --> 0:17:13.010
<v Daniel Webster, Host>There were signals that small business wouldn't get much. That

0:17:13.010 --> 0:17:17.060
<v Daniel Webster, Host>was that was the expectation. Was that true on first blush?

0:17:18.220 --> 0:17:23.020
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>Certainly on first blush, there's no significant direct support for

0:17:23.020 --> 0:17:26.440
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>small business. So, you know, measures that are specifically targeted

0:17:26.440 --> 0:17:31.510
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>at small business generally, small business, there will be implications

0:17:31.510 --> 0:17:34.300
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>for small business, for example, And all the money that's

0:17:34.300 --> 0:17:38.320
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>being invested in resilience and recovery from the cyclone and

0:17:38.320 --> 0:17:40.239
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>the floods that will have some flow on effects for

0:17:40.240 --> 0:17:43.840
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>those small businesses affected by those events and also the

0:17:43.840 --> 0:17:48.490
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>small businesses that support or work with those businesses affected.

0:17:49.030 --> 0:17:51.429
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>But they did. The government, interestingly, the government did pick

0:17:51.430 --> 0:17:56.169
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>one winner here in the small business area. They've decided

0:17:56.170 --> 0:18:01.510
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>to give the gaming development sector. So video gaming entities

0:18:01.510 --> 0:18:05.949
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>or companies a businesses, a 20% rebate for video game

0:18:05.950 --> 0:18:10.270
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>development studios. So the sector brought in $400 million in

0:18:10.270 --> 0:18:13.900
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>revenue in 2022, and it's growing rapidly. I understand it's

0:18:13.900 --> 0:18:18.010
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>quite a big sector. And the Wellington region, for example.

0:18:18.880 --> 0:18:21.190
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>And so they've been a winner out of this. They've

0:18:21.190 --> 0:18:25.060
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>got the support, the support aligns the New Zealand treatment

0:18:25.060 --> 0:18:28.990
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>with or puts them on a more level playing field

0:18:28.990 --> 0:18:32.949
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>with this kind of support and subsidy that the Australian

0:18:33.160 --> 0:18:36.820
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>equivalent industry receives. So and they are competing on a

0:18:36.820 --> 0:18:40.570
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>global stage for this. So it's great to see that

0:18:40.570 --> 0:18:43.149
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>this has happened for them. But the bigger question or

0:18:43.150 --> 0:18:45.550
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>the obvious question is what is being done to support

0:18:45.550 --> 0:18:48.939
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>other sectors that are made up predominantly of small business,

0:18:48.940 --> 0:18:51.489
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>like the video gaming sector? They might not be as

0:18:51.490 --> 0:18:54.429
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>sexy as the video gaming sector, but they are making

0:18:54.430 --> 0:18:57.840
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>equally important contributions to the New Zealand economy and are

0:18:57.850 --> 0:19:03.070
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>also having to compete with global competitors, including for for labour,

0:19:03.070 --> 0:19:05.830
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>just in the same way as the video gaming sector has.

0:19:05.830 --> 0:19:08.500
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>So what I'd like to see is if the support

0:19:08.500 --> 0:19:12.250
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>for the video gaming sector is successful and does that

0:19:12.250 --> 0:19:16.060
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>grow that industry and give a decent return on investment,

0:19:16.060 --> 0:19:18.790
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>then that should be a model that's looked at to

0:19:18.790 --> 0:19:21.670
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>see whether it can be rolled out to other sectors.

0:19:21.670 --> 0:19:25.370
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>Some of the other sectors that are interesting here are

0:19:26.050 --> 0:19:31.869
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>tourism and horticulture, for example, got relatively small, pretty, pretty

0:19:31.869 --> 0:19:35.980
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>small because support for technology development, for example, and their

0:19:35.980 --> 0:19:39.399
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>sectors and innovation. So not a lot for them. And

0:19:39.400 --> 0:19:42.640
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>they are big industries, really critical to New Zealand's economy.

0:19:42.640 --> 0:19:45.879
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>So again, I say let's see how this gaming sector

0:19:45.880 --> 0:19:48.220
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>support works and if there are lessons to be learned

0:19:48.220 --> 0:19:50.890
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>there that can be and the money's there to roll

0:19:50.890 --> 0:19:54.190
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>them out more widely, then then the government, the government

0:19:54.190 --> 0:19:57.490
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>should should go for it. There is a focus on

0:19:57.490 --> 0:20:05.140
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>technology and science with $400 billion invested in some sorry,

0:20:05.140 --> 0:20:10.630
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>400 million invested in several multi institution science hubs. Again,

0:20:10.630 --> 0:20:12.760
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>that's the type of investment that ultimately in the long

0:20:12.760 --> 0:20:17.050
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>term will have ripple effects around the economy. The more

0:20:17.050 --> 0:20:19.660
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>research that has done in those science hubs that's commercially

0:20:19.869 --> 0:20:22.180
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>that can be commercialized, the better and there'll be flow

0:20:22.180 --> 0:20:25.600
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>on effects for small business and and the hubs around

0:20:25.600 --> 0:20:30.369
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>those or the networks, the clusters around those science hubs.

0:20:30.490 --> 0:20:33.160
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>So that's that's a sizable investment.

0:20:34.090 --> 0:20:37.120
<v Daniel Webster, Host>Okay, Peter. Well, that's all we've got time for today.

0:20:37.390 --> 0:20:38.800
<v Daniel Webster, Host>To all the listeners out there, if you want to

0:20:38.800 --> 0:20:42.159
<v Daniel Webster, Host>know more, Peter's full perspective is on our 2023 budget

0:20:42.160 --> 0:20:46.540
<v Daniel Webster, Host>page on chartered accountants ANZ. And you can check out

0:20:46.960 --> 0:20:49.450
<v Daniel Webster, Host>a recording of our Sharing Knowledge session that will also

0:20:49.450 --> 0:20:52.720
<v Daniel Webster, Host>be up there. So thank you for joining us, Peter.

0:20:53.020 --> 0:20:54.429
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>Pleasure, Daniel, Good to talk to you.

0:20:54.580 --> 0:20:56.080
<v Daniel Webster, Host>Yes, and bye for now.

0:20:56.710 --> 0:20:57.070
<v Peter Vial FCA, CA ANZ NZ Country Head>Ka kite ano .