1 00:00:02,200 --> 00:00:06,239 Speaker 1: Just how panicked are investors right now over this ongoing 2 00:00:06,320 --> 00:00:10,399 Speaker 1: war in Iran? The answer conserved as an important lesson 3 00:00:10,440 --> 00:00:12,959 Speaker 1: for you. You're listening to Simply Money, presented by all 4 00:00:12,960 --> 00:00:17,160 Speaker 1: Worth Financial. I'm Bob Spondseller along with Brian James. All Right, 5 00:00:17,239 --> 00:00:20,119 Speaker 1: let's talk about something we are starting to see now 6 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:23,800 Speaker 1: beneath the surface of the market. There are some signs 7 00:00:23,840 --> 00:00:27,280 Speaker 1: out there that investors are getting a little more cautious, 8 00:00:27,760 --> 00:00:29,320 Speaker 1: not panicked. 9 00:00:29,320 --> 00:00:31,960 Speaker 2: Not running for the exits, not moving their. 10 00:00:31,960 --> 00:00:36,519 Speaker 1: Entire portfolios to cash, but definitely adjusting here as the 11 00:00:36,600 --> 00:00:39,960 Speaker 1: uncertainty in the Middle East drags on. Brian, let's look 12 00:00:40,000 --> 00:00:44,320 Speaker 1: at some updated data from JP Morgan, who obviously sees 13 00:00:44,360 --> 00:00:46,320 Speaker 1: what a lot of folks are doing with their money. 14 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:49,479 Speaker 3: Well, there's a team over there, Bob, that's tracking how 15 00:00:49,560 --> 00:00:52,840 Speaker 3: much money investors are keeping in cash versus putting to work, 16 00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:55,240 Speaker 3: and they're looking at all the money floating around the 17 00:00:55,240 --> 00:00:58,640 Speaker 3: system and comparing that to the overall value the financial assets. 18 00:00:58,720 --> 00:01:01,920 Speaker 3: Pretty clear takeaways here, investors are starting to increase their 19 00:01:01,960 --> 00:01:05,560 Speaker 3: cash positions. This isn't too shocking given the headlines that 20 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:08,560 Speaker 3: everybody that has everybody on edge a little bit. But 21 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:11,640 Speaker 3: here's the key thing. They're not doing it super aggressively. 22 00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:14,720 Speaker 3: So let's put a little perspective behind this. Go back 23 00:01:14,720 --> 00:01:17,800 Speaker 3: to twenty twenty two, when Russia first invaded Ukraine. 24 00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:19,199 Speaker 2: That was a very different story. 25 00:01:19,200 --> 00:01:22,319 Speaker 3: Investors kind of quickly moved into cash, thinking that this 26 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:24,960 Speaker 3: was going to turn into a much bigger conflict. We 27 00:01:24,959 --> 00:01:26,560 Speaker 3: don't know what's coming, so we're just going to get 28 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:29,959 Speaker 3: defensive right now. So now the United States itself is 29 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:33,840 Speaker 3: directly involved in a conflict involving I ran about twenty 30 00:01:33,840 --> 00:01:36,840 Speaker 3: percent of the global oil supply is impacted. And this 31 00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:38,960 Speaker 3: move into cash, though has been pretty modest. We're kind 32 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:42,280 Speaker 3: of already on a war footing, and I kind of 33 00:01:42,400 --> 00:01:45,399 Speaker 3: can't help but think that maybe the Russian invasion of 34 00:01:45,480 --> 00:01:47,680 Speaker 3: Ukraine kind of put everybody in the mindset of, Okay, 35 00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 3: I guess we're in a new bit of a new 36 00:01:49,080 --> 00:01:51,320 Speaker 3: era now, so maybe these things aren't going to be 37 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 3: as surprising as we've thought. And if you think back 38 00:01:54,520 --> 00:01:59,680 Speaker 3: to all of the major conflicts and things, are the 39 00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:03,280 Speaker 3: things that spook the market, there tends to usually be 40 00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:06,400 Speaker 3: an initial, pretty visceral reaction. And I think back to 41 00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:10,000 Speaker 3: tariffs about a year ago now, when tariffs were first announced, 42 00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:11,480 Speaker 3: we had a pretty panicky reaction to it. 43 00:02:11,520 --> 00:02:13,560 Speaker 2: The market came down pretty quickly, about twenty percent. 44 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:15,480 Speaker 3: But then we realized that, Okay, this is just the 45 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:18,400 Speaker 3: way this administration is going to operate, and uh, maybe 46 00:02:18,400 --> 00:02:20,160 Speaker 3: we don't need to panic about every last little bit 47 00:02:20,200 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 3: of news that comes out of it. So I think 48 00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 3: now we're just kind of used to the idea that, 49 00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:25,920 Speaker 3: you know, maybe maybe we're not in Kansas anymore. We 50 00:02:26,040 --> 00:02:27,840 Speaker 3: just need to be ready and be nimble and be 51 00:02:27,880 --> 00:02:30,960 Speaker 3: a little flexible. So people are sensitive moving little bits 52 00:02:31,000 --> 00:02:34,240 Speaker 3: to cash, but not I would definitely say we're pretty 53 00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:35,079 Speaker 3: far from panic mode. 54 00:02:36,120 --> 00:02:37,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, And just to add to that, you know, you 55 00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:40,440 Speaker 1: mentioned twenty twenty two, and I just want to go 56 00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:43,040 Speaker 1: back and add you know, there are a few things 57 00:02:43,040 --> 00:02:46,880 Speaker 1: that are different today in terms of the fundamental economics 58 00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:49,720 Speaker 1: of the economy. And by by that, I mean inflation 59 00:02:50,080 --> 00:02:52,639 Speaker 1: is much lower than it was in twenty twenty two. 60 00:02:53,080 --> 00:02:54,560 Speaker 2: So I think in twenty twenty. 61 00:02:54,320 --> 00:02:59,080 Speaker 1: Two, investors were already a little bit nervous about you know, inflation, 62 00:02:59,360 --> 00:03:02,120 Speaker 1: the inflation rate coming out of the COVID crisis and 63 00:03:02,160 --> 00:03:05,600 Speaker 1: all that. And you know, we can look at this 64 00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:07,520 Speaker 1: now in the rear view mirror. I mean the FED 65 00:03:07,919 --> 00:03:11,040 Speaker 1: started to raise interest rates. They raise rates seven times 66 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:14,600 Speaker 1: during twenty twenty two, So I don't care what's going on. 67 00:03:14,919 --> 00:03:17,800 Speaker 1: You know, the economy hate hates three things. They hate 68 00:03:17,919 --> 00:03:21,960 Speaker 1: uncertain It hates uncertainty, it hates rising interest rates, and 69 00:03:22,040 --> 00:03:25,640 Speaker 1: it hates inflation. And sometimes if you get all three 70 00:03:25,680 --> 00:03:29,240 Speaker 1: of those simultaneously, that's what's going to really, you know, 71 00:03:29,360 --> 00:03:32,840 Speaker 1: move this market down precipitously and probably cause a recession. 72 00:03:33,320 --> 00:03:36,560 Speaker 1: I think the two things today, you know, that are 73 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:38,960 Speaker 1: different than twenty twenty two, as I always as I 74 00:03:38,960 --> 00:03:42,120 Speaker 1: already pointed out, inflation. You know, there is a threat 75 00:03:42,160 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 1: of a little bit of inflation here with this oil shop, 76 00:03:44,840 --> 00:03:47,640 Speaker 1: but inflation today is nowhere near where it was in 77 00:03:47,680 --> 00:03:51,000 Speaker 1: twenty twenty two. We are not we don't have a 78 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 1: high risk of the FED raising interest rates right now. 79 00:03:54,040 --> 00:03:57,560 Speaker 1: That could happen if inflation really starts to tick up 80 00:03:57,840 --> 00:04:00,760 Speaker 1: as a result of an extended oil shop. But things 81 00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:03,480 Speaker 1: are different, you know, you take war out of it, 82 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:05,840 Speaker 1: things are different in terms of the fundamentals of the 83 00:04:05,880 --> 00:04:10,040 Speaker 1: economy right now. Looking at this JP Morgan, you know, 84 00:04:10,240 --> 00:04:13,880 Speaker 1: study of what investors are actually doing. I think this 85 00:04:13,960 --> 00:04:18,720 Speaker 1: is actually showing that people are being pretty rational. Back 86 00:04:18,720 --> 00:04:22,479 Speaker 1: in January, according to their study, investors were pretty aggressively 87 00:04:22,520 --> 00:04:27,560 Speaker 1: allocated more invested in equities than about eighty percent of 88 00:04:27,720 --> 00:04:30,920 Speaker 1: all the times they had measured historically. And I think 89 00:04:30,960 --> 00:04:33,440 Speaker 1: that comes down to the fact we've had, you know, 90 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:35,880 Speaker 1: a few pretty good years in the market. People have 91 00:04:35,960 --> 00:04:38,919 Speaker 1: been rewarded for investing heavily in stocks, and you know 92 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:42,120 Speaker 1: how this game works, Brian, people tend to be biased 93 00:04:42,160 --> 00:04:45,360 Speaker 1: toward recent returns. You know, they're running into twenty twenty 94 00:04:45,400 --> 00:04:49,160 Speaker 1: six heavily invested in stocks. Today, Now that we get 95 00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:52,960 Speaker 1: a little volatility, people are saying, all right, maybe the uh, 96 00:04:53,720 --> 00:04:56,440 Speaker 1: maybe the it's time to step away here. Things are 97 00:04:56,480 --> 00:04:58,840 Speaker 1: not going to be hunky door one hundred percent of 98 00:04:58,880 --> 00:05:02,520 Speaker 1: the time. So moving from eighty percent allocation down to 99 00:05:02,600 --> 00:05:06,720 Speaker 1: sixty two for moderate moderate risk investors, I think that's 100 00:05:06,839 --> 00:05:09,559 Speaker 1: rational and makes a whole lot of sense. So I'm 101 00:05:09,800 --> 00:05:12,800 Speaker 1: I'm quite pleased to see what investors are actually doing 102 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:14,800 Speaker 1: right now. I think, you know a lot of them 103 00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:19,160 Speaker 1: are just doing healthy financial planning, refilling their cash balances, 104 00:05:19,480 --> 00:05:23,000 Speaker 1: putting some money away that they might need to spend. 105 00:05:23,080 --> 00:05:26,120 Speaker 1: Here if we have some ongoing volatility. I think this 106 00:05:26,279 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 1: is I think this is a good study. 107 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:30,560 Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, I agree, And I think it's the 108 00:05:30,640 --> 00:05:33,320 Speaker 3: lack of panic though is what does it mean makes 109 00:05:33,360 --> 00:05:35,680 Speaker 3: me feel like it's not. I definitely wouldn't look at 110 00:05:35,680 --> 00:05:37,839 Speaker 3: this and say everybody should be getting more conservative. The 111 00:05:37,839 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 3: market's down only when it is six seven percent or 112 00:05:40,480 --> 00:05:43,680 Speaker 3: whatever it is right about now. And I don't if 113 00:05:43,680 --> 00:05:46,880 Speaker 3: you were okay with your allocation two months ago before 114 00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 3: any of this happened, then you should be okay now, 115 00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:51,600 Speaker 3: because that would assume that you understand the kind of 116 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:54,000 Speaker 3: volatility you should expect, which is where we are right now. 117 00:05:54,240 --> 00:05:56,840 Speaker 3: So you know, I'm glad that people aren't headed for 118 00:05:56,920 --> 00:06:00,520 Speaker 3: the exits on a broad scale basis. But at the 119 00:06:00,560 --> 00:06:03,719 Speaker 3: same time, again, we don't believe at all in market timing. 120 00:06:03,760 --> 00:06:05,640 Speaker 3: You can be right nine times in a row and 121 00:06:05,720 --> 00:06:07,320 Speaker 3: be wrong the tenth time and you go. 122 00:06:07,279 --> 00:06:09,560 Speaker 2: Right back to where you started. So that's not at 123 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:10,280 Speaker 2: all what we're saying. 124 00:06:10,320 --> 00:06:12,600 Speaker 3: But it is a sign that, yes, investors are aware 125 00:06:12,600 --> 00:06:15,239 Speaker 3: of the headlines, they are making moves that they deemed 126 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:18,520 Speaker 3: to be right for their own situations, and like Bob said, 127 00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:20,880 Speaker 3: a lot of people are simply of filling up the 128 00:06:20,880 --> 00:06:24,360 Speaker 3: cash bucket again with the concern for just maybe making 129 00:06:24,360 --> 00:06:27,120 Speaker 3: sure they've got enough liquidity to prevent them from having 130 00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:29,640 Speaker 3: to hit their longer term investments wholesale. 131 00:06:30,000 --> 00:06:33,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll give you an actual example of a meeting, 132 00:06:33,240 --> 00:06:35,400 Speaker 1: you know, a zoom meeting I had with a long 133 00:06:35,520 --> 00:06:39,160 Speaker 1: time client yesterday, and he just wanted to, you know, 134 00:06:39,240 --> 00:06:41,960 Speaker 1: in his words, get calibrated. You know, where are we at. 135 00:06:42,040 --> 00:06:43,960 Speaker 1: What are you guys doing over there at all worth? 136 00:06:44,000 --> 00:06:47,360 Speaker 1: How's my plan? Look all that? And he just wanted 137 00:06:47,400 --> 00:06:50,200 Speaker 1: to touch base and see, you know, hey, in light 138 00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:53,520 Speaker 1: of some of this uncertainty, how is my portfolio doing? 139 00:06:53,839 --> 00:06:56,480 Speaker 1: How is it positioned, you know, to have a little 140 00:06:56,480 --> 00:06:59,400 Speaker 1: bit of protection against volatility? And the good news is 141 00:07:00,440 --> 00:07:03,279 Speaker 1: we had worked together going back, you know, a year 142 00:07:03,440 --> 00:07:06,719 Speaker 1: two years with in your reviews. We already had some 143 00:07:07,080 --> 00:07:10,320 Speaker 1: you know, buffer ETF strategies in place for his IRA 144 00:07:10,520 --> 00:07:14,720 Speaker 1: to mitigate some volatility. We had already intentionally put away 145 00:07:14,800 --> 00:07:17,560 Speaker 1: some cash, you know, in a short term high yield 146 00:07:17,640 --> 00:07:21,360 Speaker 1: you know money market account to you know, maintain some 147 00:07:21,440 --> 00:07:25,600 Speaker 1: liquidity in the portfolio. And this particular client was only 148 00:07:25,680 --> 00:07:29,000 Speaker 1: down about one point eight percent year to date, you know, 149 00:07:29,120 --> 00:07:32,960 Speaker 1: after having very nice returns in twenty five and twenty four. 150 00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:35,960 Speaker 1: But it was a great time to just touch base, 151 00:07:36,440 --> 00:07:39,200 Speaker 1: make sure everything is working, get a little bit of 152 00:07:39,280 --> 00:07:41,760 Speaker 1: update on what could happen and what we're going to 153 00:07:41,840 --> 00:07:44,160 Speaker 1: do about it over here. It was a very healthy 154 00:07:44,240 --> 00:07:46,680 Speaker 1: phone call. And I think that's kind of what this 155 00:07:46,800 --> 00:07:49,480 Speaker 1: JP Morgan study is revealing. A lot of people are 156 00:07:49,520 --> 00:07:52,720 Speaker 1: starting to you know, in a good way just and 157 00:07:52,760 --> 00:07:54,560 Speaker 1: this is a great time to sit down with your 158 00:07:54,600 --> 00:07:57,400 Speaker 1: advisor if you have one, and have that same kind 159 00:07:57,400 --> 00:08:00,960 Speaker 1: of the same kind of what i'll call libration meeting 160 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:01,760 Speaker 1: with your advisor. 161 00:08:02,560 --> 00:08:04,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, and I agree, and that that's that even even 162 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:07,480 Speaker 3: when that's headlines aren't scary, that's a good time to 163 00:08:07,520 --> 00:08:10,400 Speaker 3: do that, right, And I think, uh, that's the important 164 00:08:10,400 --> 00:08:12,760 Speaker 3: part is staying on some kind of a routine where 165 00:08:12,800 --> 00:08:15,680 Speaker 3: you're checking the uh checking the health of your overall 166 00:08:15,680 --> 00:08:18,480 Speaker 3: financial situation. Really no different than going to see your 167 00:08:18,560 --> 00:08:20,800 Speaker 3: your doctor and making sure that you know, just kind 168 00:08:20,800 --> 00:08:22,600 Speaker 3: of check under the hood, check the vital signs and 169 00:08:22,600 --> 00:08:24,200 Speaker 3: see what's going on, what are the things that I 170 00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:26,560 Speaker 3: should be paying to paying attention to now that I'm 171 00:08:26,760 --> 00:08:30,440 Speaker 3: whatever age I am, and so forth, Because without that, 172 00:08:30,440 --> 00:08:32,959 Speaker 3: that's how we get surprised, and that's what causes the panic. 173 00:08:33,000 --> 00:08:35,840 Speaker 3: When I didn't know what to anticipate and then something 174 00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:38,440 Speaker 3: happened that that that caused my beliefs to kind of 175 00:08:38,440 --> 00:08:40,920 Speaker 3: pivot a little bit. Uh, then I feel like it's 176 00:08:40,920 --> 00:08:43,240 Speaker 3: a mistake. And I think people convince themselves that a 177 00:08:43,280 --> 00:08:45,439 Speaker 3: lot of times these headlines are some kind of aberration 178 00:08:45,600 --> 00:08:47,480 Speaker 3: or a mistake or something we've never seen before, and 179 00:08:47,520 --> 00:08:49,800 Speaker 3: that's really just never the case. It's just it's just 180 00:08:49,840 --> 00:08:53,040 Speaker 3: a pivot from whatever path we were on before new information. 181 00:08:53,160 --> 00:08:56,240 Speaker 3: Now we've got a slightly different outcome here, and it's 182 00:08:56,280 --> 00:08:58,200 Speaker 3: just it's just something to make sure that you're that 183 00:08:58,280 --> 00:09:01,359 Speaker 3: you have understood. You know, how are you situated now? 184 00:09:01,920 --> 00:09:04,360 Speaker 3: You know when the portfolio is stable and things are 185 00:09:04,360 --> 00:09:07,240 Speaker 3: going okay, and then what should I anticipate, you know, 186 00:09:07,280 --> 00:09:09,640 Speaker 3: when things don't go that way, and if it does something. 187 00:09:09,720 --> 00:09:12,080 Speaker 3: There are plenty of software tools out there and websites 188 00:09:12,120 --> 00:09:14,040 Speaker 3: and all this kind of thing, or your financial advisor 189 00:09:14,080 --> 00:09:15,840 Speaker 3: should be able to stress test these things for you, 190 00:09:16,080 --> 00:09:17,880 Speaker 3: but there should be ways that you can look at 191 00:09:18,240 --> 00:09:23,120 Speaker 3: how has my portfolio behaved in past similar situations. Because 192 00:09:23,160 --> 00:09:25,960 Speaker 3: we've the eighties and the nineties to me, and I 193 00:09:25,960 --> 00:09:28,280 Speaker 3: say this all the time, we're a really calm period. 194 00:09:28,280 --> 00:09:32,000 Speaker 3: But ever since then, it's been a lot more looking 195 00:09:32,120 --> 00:09:34,520 Speaker 3: like history. The last twenty five years have been a 196 00:09:34,559 --> 00:09:36,720 Speaker 3: good amount of chaos. But if you think about it, 197 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:40,040 Speaker 3: the overall world has been through far more chaos than 198 00:09:40,040 --> 00:09:42,360 Speaker 3: it has stability. The eighties and the nineties were an anomaly, 199 00:09:42,559 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 3: but I think people think that that was a mistake, 200 00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:46,800 Speaker 3: and we've been through a lot of more negative things 201 00:09:46,800 --> 00:09:47,960 Speaker 3: than we actually have right now. 202 00:09:48,480 --> 00:09:48,640 Speaker 2: Now. 203 00:09:48,679 --> 00:09:50,800 Speaker 1: You bring up a great point, Brian, and that's you 204 00:09:51,160 --> 00:09:54,760 Speaker 1: use the term stress testing, and that's exactly what this 205 00:09:54,920 --> 00:09:56,640 Speaker 1: client brought up to me yesterday. 206 00:09:56,679 --> 00:09:58,800 Speaker 2: He said, Hey, if we do get a. 207 00:09:58,880 --> 00:10:04,160 Speaker 1: Nineteen seventies you know style oil shock, can we can 208 00:10:04,200 --> 00:10:07,319 Speaker 1: we sit down and stress test this portfolio and see not. 209 00:10:07,960 --> 00:10:10,560 Speaker 2: He wasn't predicting that it's going to happen. He just 210 00:10:10,559 --> 00:10:11,000 Speaker 2: would like. 211 00:10:11,040 --> 00:10:13,240 Speaker 1: To know in advance a little bit here, you know, 212 00:10:13,480 --> 00:10:17,360 Speaker 1: on how how wide those guardrails are going to expand 213 00:10:17,520 --> 00:10:20,240 Speaker 1: in terms of downside risk if this. 214 00:10:20,200 --> 00:10:22,400 Speaker 2: Oil shock gets a little bit out of control. 215 00:10:22,840 --> 00:10:25,680 Speaker 1: And to your point, yeah, we have those tools where 216 00:10:25,679 --> 00:10:29,840 Speaker 1: we can reasonably simulate these historical periods of time, and 217 00:10:29,920 --> 00:10:32,640 Speaker 1: I think that's what gives people peace of mind when 218 00:10:32,679 --> 00:10:36,080 Speaker 1: they've sat down, they've stress test or overall planned, they 219 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:40,280 Speaker 1: stress test their investment portfolio, and that helps them give 220 00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:45,040 Speaker 1: some peace of mind with actual useful data information as 221 00:10:45,080 --> 00:10:48,679 Speaker 1: opposed to some of these talking head you know, headline 222 00:10:48,720 --> 00:10:51,679 Speaker 1: people on cable news that just try to inflame everybody 223 00:10:51,720 --> 00:10:55,040 Speaker 1: and get everybody upset. So and you made an excellent 224 00:10:55,080 --> 00:10:57,839 Speaker 1: point too, Hey, the time to do this is when 225 00:10:57,840 --> 00:11:00,640 Speaker 1: the markets are up twenty percent, not wait until they're 226 00:11:00,679 --> 00:11:03,240 Speaker 1: down ten percent. You know, it's funny how that works. 227 00:11:03,280 --> 00:11:08,000 Speaker 1: People's risk tolerance tends to expand greatly when everything's going great. 228 00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:10,760 Speaker 1: You know, we never get the phone calls saying, hey, 229 00:11:11,440 --> 00:11:14,520 Speaker 1: how and why did I get outsized games last year 230 00:11:14,520 --> 00:11:18,640 Speaker 1: in my portfolio relative to what my chosen risk tolerance 231 00:11:18,640 --> 00:11:22,000 Speaker 1: should give me. Those phone calls and meetings only happen 232 00:11:22,080 --> 00:11:23,240 Speaker 1: when the market goes down. 233 00:11:23,360 --> 00:11:26,480 Speaker 2: I guess that's just human nature. Yeah, I would agree 234 00:11:26,520 --> 00:11:27,160 Speaker 2: with that completely. 235 00:11:27,880 --> 00:11:29,920 Speaker 3: That said, I don't know about you. My phones have 236 00:11:29,960 --> 00:11:33,240 Speaker 3: been relatively quiet. I don't think anybody is really calling in. 237 00:11:33,920 --> 00:11:35,600 Speaker 3: It does come up, of course, when we're doing our 238 00:11:35,640 --> 00:11:37,640 Speaker 3: annual reviews for meetings. That We're going to be scheduled 239 00:11:37,640 --> 00:11:40,240 Speaker 3: around now anyway, because that's part of the routine. People 240 00:11:40,280 --> 00:11:42,160 Speaker 3: do want to know. But nobody's really in panic mode. 241 00:11:42,160 --> 00:11:44,000 Speaker 3: And I think that's what that JP Morgan data is 242 00:11:44,040 --> 00:11:44,680 Speaker 3: telling us too. 243 00:11:44,960 --> 00:11:45,480 Speaker 2: There are some. 244 00:11:45,480 --> 00:11:48,439 Speaker 3: People out there making moves, and we do that as 245 00:11:48,440 --> 00:11:51,200 Speaker 3: well when somebody's plan dictates it. But I don't have 246 00:11:51,240 --> 00:11:54,240 Speaker 3: anybody right now calling in an absolute panic, just ready 247 00:11:54,240 --> 00:11:55,360 Speaker 3: to ready to head for the hills. 248 00:11:55,840 --> 00:11:58,400 Speaker 2: SA same on this end. Here's the all Worth advice. 249 00:11:58,520 --> 00:12:02,200 Speaker 1: Make sure your plan is built to handle uncertainty before 250 00:12:02,280 --> 00:12:04,360 Speaker 1: it shows up in your portfolio. 251 00:12:05,600 --> 00:12:09,280 Speaker 2: And that leads us to this. It's your portfolio recession proof. 252 00:12:09,520 --> 00:12:10,680 Speaker 2: We'll talk about that next. 253 00:12:10,679 --> 00:12:13,360 Speaker 1: You're listening to Simply Money, presented by all Worth Financial 254 00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:14,520 Speaker 1: on fifty five KRC. 255 00:12:15,080 --> 00:12:16,000 Speaker 2: The talk station. 256 00:12:18,480 --> 00:12:21,079 Speaker 1: You're listening to Simply Money's noted by all Worth Financial 257 00:12:21,120 --> 00:12:24,160 Speaker 1: on Bob spond Seller along with Brian James. If you 258 00:12:24,200 --> 00:12:27,760 Speaker 1: cannot listen to Simply Money alive every night, subscribe and 259 00:12:27,880 --> 00:12:31,080 Speaker 1: get our daily podcasts. Just search Simply Money on the 260 00:12:31,080 --> 00:12:36,080 Speaker 1: iHeart app or wherever you find your podcasts. Are you 261 00:12:36,160 --> 00:12:38,800 Speaker 1: thinking about selling your business but not sure how to 262 00:12:38,880 --> 00:12:42,600 Speaker 1: handle the offers that might be coming in. Plus, smart 263 00:12:42,600 --> 00:12:47,160 Speaker 1: strategies for managing IRA heavy retirement income and how real 264 00:12:47,280 --> 00:12:51,800 Speaker 1: estate wealth truly fits into an overall financial plan help 265 00:12:51,880 --> 00:12:55,800 Speaker 1: us on the way straight ahead. Anytime we start talking 266 00:12:55,880 --> 00:13:00,160 Speaker 1: about slowing growth, potential for recession, all of that, that 267 00:13:00,240 --> 00:13:02,680 Speaker 1: kind of stuff, the natural question becomes, how do you 268 00:13:02,800 --> 00:13:07,400 Speaker 1: actually protect your portfolio from these kinds of evil, bad 269 00:13:07,559 --> 00:13:10,720 Speaker 1: things that can happen. And when people hear the words 270 00:13:10,800 --> 00:13:15,840 Speaker 1: quote unquote recession proof, some immediately think, Okay, that means 271 00:13:15,840 --> 00:13:19,360 Speaker 1: I should just move everything to cash. Uh, let's get 272 00:13:19,360 --> 00:13:22,600 Speaker 1: into some of the options people have to make slight 273 00:13:22,679 --> 00:13:26,360 Speaker 1: adjustments in their portfolio rather than just heading for the 274 00:13:26,440 --> 00:13:29,120 Speaker 1: hills and burying bearing it all in a coffee can 275 00:13:29,200 --> 00:13:29,920 Speaker 1: in the backyard. 276 00:13:29,960 --> 00:13:32,600 Speaker 3: Brian, we'll stop me if you've heard this before, But 277 00:13:32,640 --> 00:13:35,199 Speaker 3: here's the problem. If you don't know when to get out, 278 00:13:35,400 --> 00:13:37,040 Speaker 3: then you definitely don't know when. 279 00:13:36,840 --> 00:13:37,480 Speaker 2: To get back in. 280 00:13:37,800 --> 00:13:40,960 Speaker 3: That's because remember, this is a this is a two 281 00:13:41,000 --> 00:13:44,280 Speaker 3: sided decision. If you're going to try to protect things, 282 00:13:44,320 --> 00:13:46,719 Speaker 3: and actually saw an online discussion about this very thing. 283 00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:49,199 Speaker 3: There's a recession coming, what should I do about it? 284 00:13:49,720 --> 00:13:49,839 Speaker 4: You know? 285 00:13:49,880 --> 00:13:51,600 Speaker 2: How do I move? How do I move my money? 286 00:13:51,600 --> 00:13:53,960 Speaker 3: To something safe so that I can sidestep this, and 287 00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:56,880 Speaker 3: I think the most dangerous thing anybody can do, although 288 00:13:56,920 --> 00:13:59,080 Speaker 3: I've also concluded that everybody needs to try it so 289 00:13:59,120 --> 00:14:02,120 Speaker 3: they can understand exactly how bad of an idea it is. 290 00:14:02,120 --> 00:14:05,120 Speaker 3: Is to put a high water mark under your portfolio 291 00:14:05,400 --> 00:14:08,400 Speaker 3: and whatever your value is and declare that anything below 292 00:14:08,440 --> 00:14:10,560 Speaker 3: that is some kind of mistake or some kind of aberration, 293 00:14:10,679 --> 00:14:13,319 Speaker 3: and you should have done something. That is an extremely 294 00:14:13,400 --> 00:14:16,880 Speaker 3: dangerous pattern to get yourselves into. And because you'll you'll 295 00:14:17,240 --> 00:14:19,960 Speaker 3: the worst case that can happen is that you'll actually 296 00:14:20,040 --> 00:14:22,360 Speaker 3: maybe get lucky and be right, and then you'll try 297 00:14:22,360 --> 00:14:25,000 Speaker 3: it three four more times before before you realize that 298 00:14:25,040 --> 00:14:27,680 Speaker 3: this is not a way that real investors make money 299 00:14:27,680 --> 00:14:29,160 Speaker 3: and it's not going to help you in the long run. 300 00:14:29,400 --> 00:14:31,160 Speaker 3: So let's say you's use the example. Let's see you 301 00:14:31,160 --> 00:14:33,840 Speaker 3: get five million dollars. So instead of being overly aggressive, 302 00:14:33,880 --> 00:14:35,880 Speaker 3: you're realizing, maybe I've got enough to kind of make it. 303 00:14:35,920 --> 00:14:37,680 Speaker 3: So I still want growth to keep up with inflation, 304 00:14:38,000 --> 00:14:39,840 Speaker 3: but I don't want to be super aggressive. So maybe 305 00:14:39,840 --> 00:14:43,000 Speaker 3: this is sixty percent stocks, thirty percent fixed income, and 306 00:14:43,040 --> 00:14:45,400 Speaker 3: ten percent in alternatives or cash something like that. 307 00:14:45,800 --> 00:14:48,760 Speaker 2: So now we have a recession, stocks drop about twenty percent. 308 00:14:48,840 --> 00:14:51,160 Speaker 2: That's not unheard of, that's fairly common when the market. 309 00:14:51,200 --> 00:14:54,320 Speaker 2: The market will react to that type of news. Your portfolio, though, 310 00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:55,400 Speaker 2: is not all stocks. 311 00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:58,560 Speaker 3: Therefore it's not down twenty percent. Maybe you're only down 312 00:14:58,600 --> 00:15:01,120 Speaker 3: ten to twelve percent, which isn't a fun thing. Nobody's 313 00:15:01,120 --> 00:15:03,600 Speaker 3: happy about this, but that's much more manageable. 314 00:15:03,880 --> 00:15:05,640 Speaker 2: And so here's the key. You've still got that still 315 00:15:05,760 --> 00:15:06,960 Speaker 2: stability in the portfolio. 316 00:15:06,960 --> 00:15:09,840 Speaker 3: The headlines are scarier than your portfolio returns are looking 317 00:15:09,880 --> 00:15:12,120 Speaker 3: at the moment, your assets didn't fall as much, and 318 00:15:12,160 --> 00:15:13,760 Speaker 3: that's gonna give you that flexibility. 319 00:15:14,920 --> 00:15:17,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, Brian, A couple of things, A couple thoughts come 320 00:15:17,160 --> 00:15:20,520 Speaker 1: to mind. You know, I forget who said this, you 321 00:15:20,640 --> 00:15:24,600 Speaker 1: might know, but you know, the saying goes volatility is 322 00:15:24,640 --> 00:15:27,680 Speaker 1: the price you have to pay to get long time, 323 00:15:27,880 --> 00:15:31,720 Speaker 1: long term outsized returns that outpace taxes and inflation. I mean, 324 00:15:31,720 --> 00:15:34,440 Speaker 1: that's the cost. That's the price of admission. You're gonna 325 00:15:34,480 --> 00:15:37,000 Speaker 1: have to weather some volatility. And to the point that 326 00:15:37,040 --> 00:15:40,560 Speaker 1: you brought up, the question becomes, how much does my 327 00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:44,240 Speaker 1: plan need to take on in order to achieve my 328 00:15:44,320 --> 00:15:47,840 Speaker 1: long term financial goals? And then there's always an emotional 329 00:15:48,480 --> 00:15:51,120 Speaker 1: quotion to this too. How much can my stomach take? 330 00:15:51,480 --> 00:15:55,200 Speaker 1: How much volatility can happen before I start, you know, 331 00:15:55,360 --> 00:15:57,760 Speaker 1: losing sleep at night and my quality of life goes 332 00:15:57,800 --> 00:16:01,320 Speaker 1: down and all that. And that's the purpose of stress 333 00:16:01,360 --> 00:16:05,720 Speaker 1: testing a financial plan and stress testing a portfolio in 334 00:16:05,880 --> 00:16:10,560 Speaker 1: advance during regular annual financial planning reviews. You know, you 335 00:16:10,680 --> 00:16:13,160 Speaker 1: get out in front of this stuff in advance, and 336 00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:16,360 Speaker 1: you let people kind of define what their own guardrails 337 00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:19,160 Speaker 1: are going to be based on what their personal financial 338 00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:23,240 Speaker 1: goals are, and then what their emotional quotients or tolerance 339 00:16:23,280 --> 00:16:27,200 Speaker 1: for risk is. That's what financial planning, among other things, 340 00:16:27,240 --> 00:16:30,080 Speaker 1: that's a big part of what needs to be done here, 341 00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:34,280 Speaker 1: you know, when setting an asset allocation strategy and investment 342 00:16:34,280 --> 00:16:35,600 Speaker 1: management strategy. 343 00:16:35,960 --> 00:16:36,720 Speaker 2: So let's look at that. 344 00:16:36,800 --> 00:16:39,600 Speaker 3: Let's look at this in reality here and look at 345 00:16:39,640 --> 00:16:42,880 Speaker 3: another example. So liquidity, call, of course, creates opportunity. As 346 00:16:42,880 --> 00:16:45,160 Speaker 3: Bob was just saying, So let's take these two investors again, 347 00:16:45,840 --> 00:16:49,320 Speaker 3: same five million dollar networth. The first one is fully invested, 348 00:16:49,400 --> 00:16:52,440 Speaker 3: no excess cash, second one's got maybe ten to fifteen 349 00:16:52,440 --> 00:16:55,520 Speaker 3: percent liquid reserves. And then we go through that same 350 00:16:55,560 --> 00:16:58,320 Speaker 3: recession period that we talked about before, maybe the market 351 00:16:58,400 --> 00:17:01,480 Speaker 3: drops another twenty percent. Investor he is stuck knowing that, well, 352 00:17:01,520 --> 00:17:03,280 Speaker 3: if I need money, I'm just gonna have to take 353 00:17:03,320 --> 00:17:06,199 Speaker 3: the losses on these investments because I've got bills to pay. 354 00:17:06,280 --> 00:17:08,160 Speaker 3: I can't do anything about it. Investor b has given 355 00:17:08,200 --> 00:17:10,840 Speaker 3: themselves options in the short run. They can use that 356 00:17:10,880 --> 00:17:13,679 Speaker 3: parachute that they built in for themselves and spend that 357 00:17:13,840 --> 00:17:17,560 Speaker 3: cash down consciously to pay the bills, and or if 358 00:17:17,600 --> 00:17:19,680 Speaker 3: it's if there's some left over, then they can buy 359 00:17:19,720 --> 00:17:21,560 Speaker 3: assets when they're cheaper. They can go ahead and get 360 00:17:21,560 --> 00:17:23,920 Speaker 3: that invested if they've decided that they don't need all 361 00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:25,880 Speaker 3: of that cash out there. But that's again the whole 362 00:17:25,920 --> 00:17:27,960 Speaker 3: point of having a financial plan, just to make sure 363 00:17:28,520 --> 00:17:30,920 Speaker 3: that all the puzzle pieces fit together. That is how 364 00:17:32,160 --> 00:17:35,320 Speaker 3: wealthy people stay wealthy. That's how people who are a 365 00:17:35,320 --> 00:17:37,720 Speaker 3: little lesser in assets grow themselves to a position where 366 00:17:37,720 --> 00:17:40,560 Speaker 3: they've got more flexibility by taking advantage of those moments. 367 00:17:40,560 --> 00:17:43,800 Speaker 3: And the most important part about it, Bob, is the anticipation, 368 00:17:44,280 --> 00:17:47,000 Speaker 3: not being surprised by it, knowing that it's coming, and 369 00:17:47,080 --> 00:17:48,679 Speaker 3: knowing how you will react to it. 370 00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:50,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, in other. 371 00:17:49,960 --> 00:17:51,879 Speaker 1: Words, you want to be in a position where you 372 00:17:51,880 --> 00:17:54,719 Speaker 1: could say, yep, we had a plan for that, and 373 00:17:54,760 --> 00:17:59,359 Speaker 1: more importantly, in an unemotional way, we executed on the plan. 374 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:03,880 Speaker 1: And you mentioned, you know, taking advantage of downside volatility 375 00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:08,280 Speaker 1: in these non tax non IRA accounts, taxable investment accounts. 376 00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:11,600 Speaker 1: Just as a reminder, this is a beautiful time and 377 00:18:11,760 --> 00:18:16,199 Speaker 1: reason to have some tax loss harvesting strategies embedded in 378 00:18:16,280 --> 00:18:20,600 Speaker 1: your taxable accounts. This is where those things shine. Volatility 379 00:18:20,680 --> 00:18:24,159 Speaker 1: is your friend in these environments because you can really 380 00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:27,359 Speaker 1: harvest those losses and use them long, you know, down 381 00:18:27,359 --> 00:18:30,800 Speaker 1: the road, to offset future gains and make these non 382 00:18:30,840 --> 00:18:36,639 Speaker 1: IRA taxable portfolios extremely tax efficient, all while staying fully 383 00:18:36,640 --> 00:18:41,359 Speaker 1: invested and taking advantage of market dips at the same time. 384 00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:44,359 Speaker 1: So you know, like we always say, most of the time, 385 00:18:44,800 --> 00:18:48,160 Speaker 1: you know, the biggest risk here is not the market itself. 386 00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:54,200 Speaker 1: It's investor behavior making irrational emotional decisions when we start 387 00:18:54,240 --> 00:18:56,640 Speaker 1: to get a little bit of volatility, like what's going 388 00:18:56,680 --> 00:18:57,320 Speaker 1: on right now. 389 00:18:57,760 --> 00:18:58,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, I couldn't agree more. 390 00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:01,720 Speaker 3: And I think at this point we've beaten the horse 391 00:19:01,760 --> 00:19:05,719 Speaker 3: dead enough to make sure that you understand how you react. 392 00:19:05,760 --> 00:19:08,199 Speaker 3: It doesn't matter what you think the next the XYZ 393 00:19:08,320 --> 00:19:10,000 Speaker 3: fund is going to do or whatever. Trying to guess 394 00:19:10,040 --> 00:19:12,760 Speaker 3: this fund versus that fund. What's important is the biggest 395 00:19:12,800 --> 00:19:14,600 Speaker 3: variable in all of this, and that is the human 396 00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:17,400 Speaker 3: being behind the decision making. Make sure you understand how 397 00:19:17,480 --> 00:19:20,760 Speaker 3: you will react in these various environments, both good and bad. 398 00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:24,399 Speaker 1: Here's the all Worth advice. You can't avoid recessions, but 399 00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:28,000 Speaker 1: you can build a portfolio strong enough to handle them 400 00:19:28,400 --> 00:19:32,720 Speaker 1: and discipline enough to take advantage of them. Are your 401 00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:37,440 Speaker 1: life insurance policies still serving your bigger overall long term 402 00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:41,399 Speaker 1: financial picture. Our insurance expert is in next with some 403 00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:45,080 Speaker 1: actual real life solutions. You're listening to Simply Money presented 404 00:19:45,080 --> 00:19:48,680 Speaker 1: by all Worth Financial on fifty five KRC the talk station. 405 00:19:50,520 --> 00:19:53,120 Speaker 1: You're listening to Simply Money presented by all Worth Financial 406 00:19:53,160 --> 00:19:56,360 Speaker 1: on Bob'spond Seller along with Brian James, joined tonight by 407 00:19:56,480 --> 00:20:01,080 Speaker 1: all Worth Director of Insurance Jody. Det's Jody, thanks as 408 00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:04,200 Speaker 1: always for making some time for us tonight. We want 409 00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:08,080 Speaker 1: to get into the topic of existing life insurance policies 410 00:20:08,119 --> 00:20:10,720 Speaker 1: and Brian and I always come across people that have 411 00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:15,040 Speaker 1: had these permanent cash value life insurance policies. You know, 412 00:20:15,119 --> 00:20:19,119 Speaker 1: oftentimes for twenty thirty, forty, even fifty years, and a 413 00:20:19,119 --> 00:20:22,000 Speaker 1: lot of times these policies don't get reviewed within the 414 00:20:22,080 --> 00:20:27,440 Speaker 1: context their overall financial plan and goals today in twenty 415 00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:30,320 Speaker 1: twenty six, and you know, when we get into these 416 00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:36,160 Speaker 1: kind of discussions, oftentimes some different examples of deploying those 417 00:20:36,280 --> 00:20:40,600 Speaker 1: assets and that cash value perhaps more efficiently come up. 418 00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:43,440 Speaker 1: And you want to walk through a couple of actual 419 00:20:43,520 --> 00:20:46,840 Speaker 1: examples that you've helped people with so far in twenty 420 00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:49,440 Speaker 1: twenty six, I'm looking forward to the discussion. 421 00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:53,960 Speaker 5: Awesome, Thank you so much. I spend a lot of 422 00:20:54,000 --> 00:20:57,439 Speaker 5: my time reviewing clients policies and like you said, looking 423 00:20:57,480 --> 00:21:01,000 Speaker 5: at it in the context of their overall plan. These 424 00:21:01,040 --> 00:21:06,359 Speaker 5: two scenarios were really focused on helping clients figure out 425 00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:09,879 Speaker 5: what their options were. So the first couple that I 426 00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:13,720 Speaker 5: worked with, he was seventy five and she was seventy two. 427 00:21:13,920 --> 00:21:16,840 Speaker 5: They both had permanent life insurance policies that they bought 428 00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:20,679 Speaker 5: way back when to protect their families. They didn't have 429 00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:23,920 Speaker 5: a life insurance need anymore, but they had this emotional 430 00:21:23,960 --> 00:21:28,040 Speaker 5: connection to wanting to have some life insurance for the 431 00:21:28,119 --> 00:21:33,080 Speaker 5: beneficiary when someone passed away, and we discussed all the options, 432 00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:37,200 Speaker 5: keeping what they had, making changes, surrendering the policies, etc. 433 00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:41,160 Speaker 5: And initially they said, we're just going to keep things 434 00:21:41,200 --> 00:21:43,760 Speaker 5: as is, because if they didn't pay any more premium, 435 00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:46,720 Speaker 5: the policies were going to last to pay out when 436 00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:50,480 Speaker 5: each of them passed away. Two weeks after we met 437 00:21:50,520 --> 00:21:52,960 Speaker 5: the initial time, they called me and said, you know 438 00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:56,840 Speaker 5: what you told us that if we surrendered these policies 439 00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:59,800 Speaker 5: and took the cash value, that there was no taxable event. 440 00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:04,560 Speaker 5: And there's thirty two thousand dollars in these policies, and 441 00:22:04,600 --> 00:22:07,320 Speaker 5: we've decided to make a life change and move closer 442 00:22:07,359 --> 00:22:10,199 Speaker 5: to our son and daughter in law and grandkids. We 443 00:22:10,240 --> 00:22:13,560 Speaker 5: want to build a new patio home, and we were thinking, 444 00:22:13,600 --> 00:22:16,200 Speaker 5: where are we going to get the funds to put 445 00:22:16,280 --> 00:22:18,360 Speaker 5: down as a down payment. We don't want to take 446 00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:22,560 Speaker 5: them out of our investment accounts, and we don't want 447 00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:24,800 Speaker 5: to take them from a home equity loan, and we 448 00:22:24,840 --> 00:22:26,919 Speaker 5: want to wait to put our house on the market 449 00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:29,600 Speaker 5: until we know the timeline we're going to use the 450 00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:33,720 Speaker 5: cash value in these policies. They were thrilled they surrendered them, 451 00:22:33,960 --> 00:22:38,159 Speaker 5: got checks and they were able to really make a 452 00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:41,280 Speaker 5: difference in what they did in their lives from a 453 00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:46,119 Speaker 5: legacy perspective by using the cash now, and didn't have 454 00:22:46,200 --> 00:22:48,560 Speaker 5: to impact their investments, so it was a win win 455 00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:49,159 Speaker 5: all around. 456 00:22:49,800 --> 00:22:52,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, it sounds like a great situation, a win win 457 00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:54,240 Speaker 1: for everybody for all the reasons you've already mentioned. It 458 00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:56,879 Speaker 1: brings up one question that I have though, Jody, is 459 00:22:57,440 --> 00:23:00,080 Speaker 1: you know you can you literally can't turn on the 460 00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:03,399 Speaker 1: news every night without seeing three or four commercials for 461 00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:07,400 Speaker 1: these firms you know, offering to buy your life insurance 462 00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:10,320 Speaker 1: policies from you. You know, for all the reasons you 463 00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:13,840 Speaker 1: just stated, are you running into those kind of scenarios 464 00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:16,520 Speaker 1: and what do you generally find, you know, the pros 465 00:23:16,560 --> 00:23:18,880 Speaker 1: and cons, if any, to working with one of those 466 00:23:18,920 --> 00:23:22,680 Speaker 1: firms to actually sell your policy versus doing what you 467 00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:25,760 Speaker 1: did in this scenario is just take the cash value, 468 00:23:25,840 --> 00:23:27,280 Speaker 1: move on by the patio home. 469 00:23:27,400 --> 00:23:28,320 Speaker 2: Any thoughts on that. 470 00:23:29,960 --> 00:23:32,080 Speaker 5: Yes, I get a lot of questions about it, Like, 471 00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:34,359 Speaker 5: I just want to sell this policy. Number one, it 472 00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:37,800 Speaker 5: has to be a permanent insurance policy with value. Number 473 00:23:37,840 --> 00:23:43,720 Speaker 5: two for the numbers to really make sense, the ensured 474 00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:51,000 Speaker 5: needs to not be healthy, meaning likely terminally ill diagnosed 475 00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:56,359 Speaker 5: with cancer. Interesting for healthier older people the numbers of 476 00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:58,720 Speaker 5: what they were going what these companies would pay for 477 00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:01,600 Speaker 5: them just aren't an enough to sell the policy. 478 00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:03,199 Speaker 2: It's a little morbid, isn't it. 479 00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:05,280 Speaker 3: Because But but I guess the only reason they're buying 480 00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:06,920 Speaker 3: is because they're looking for a payoff and they want 481 00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:07,080 Speaker 3: to know. 482 00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:08,760 Speaker 2: They want to have an idea that this payoff is 483 00:24:08,760 --> 00:24:11,480 Speaker 2: going to be interesting. Exactly one of these companies doesn't 484 00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:12,440 Speaker 2: want somebody to live to be one. 485 00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:16,080 Speaker 5: Hundred and twenty out of every twenty five requests I've received, 486 00:24:16,359 --> 00:24:19,160 Speaker 5: one may actually make sense, and maybe half of those 487 00:24:19,200 --> 00:24:23,040 Speaker 5: people actually move forward with doing the transaction to get 488 00:24:23,080 --> 00:24:26,439 Speaker 5: the cash. So it's one of those it sounds sounds 489 00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:28,240 Speaker 5: better than it is meant many times. 490 00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:29,040 Speaker 2: Good to know. 491 00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:31,600 Speaker 1: Hey, move us into scenario number two, because this is 492 00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:34,719 Speaker 1: an all too common scenario that a lot of people 493 00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:38,639 Speaker 1: I think don't realize they have the option to take advantage. 494 00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:43,200 Speaker 5: Of absolutely So couple age fifty five, their kids were 495 00:24:43,200 --> 00:24:46,000 Speaker 5: out of the house. They each had a whole life 496 00:24:46,040 --> 00:24:49,520 Speaker 5: policy with a total of about three hundred and sixty 497 00:24:49,520 --> 00:24:52,560 Speaker 5: five thousand dollars of death benefit, and they were spending 498 00:24:52,560 --> 00:24:56,920 Speaker 5: almost seven thousand dollars a year year in premium they 499 00:24:56,960 --> 00:24:59,639 Speaker 5: didn't need the life insurance, but they wanted to keep 500 00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:03,840 Speaker 5: a little bit of it just from a legacy perspective, 501 00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:06,480 Speaker 5: and because they were still ten years or so away 502 00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:10,560 Speaker 5: from retirement. I worked with them to get. 503 00:25:10,280 --> 00:25:14,000 Speaker 4: In force quotes if they did a reduced paid up policy, 504 00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:18,280 Speaker 4: which basically means reducing the death benefit assuming you pay 505 00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:21,560 Speaker 4: no additional premium, and then it's really a set it 506 00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:22,280 Speaker 4: and forget it. 507 00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:25,800 Speaker 5: In this scenario, they chose to take that option. They 508 00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,880 Speaker 5: saved their seven grand a year in premium, so they're 509 00:25:28,920 --> 00:25:32,520 Speaker 5: not taking it out of their investment accounts, and the 510 00:25:32,600 --> 00:25:35,280 Speaker 5: death benefit was dropped from the three hundred and sixty 511 00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:38,359 Speaker 5: five thousand dollars total to about two hundred and seventy 512 00:25:38,400 --> 00:25:41,800 Speaker 5: three thousand dollars, So they still each got to keep 513 00:25:42,040 --> 00:25:45,360 Speaker 5: a decent sized policy but save all of those funds 514 00:25:45,440 --> 00:25:48,680 Speaker 5: and be able to deploy those in other ways. 515 00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:52,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, Jordy, I think that's a great conversation for people 516 00:25:52,160 --> 00:25:54,240 Speaker 3: to have with their advisors. And in other words, I've 517 00:25:54,280 --> 00:25:56,680 Speaker 3: got this old thing that I don't really need any more, 518 00:25:57,119 --> 00:25:59,080 Speaker 3: but I also don't need the cash out of it, 519 00:25:59,119 --> 00:26:00,560 Speaker 3: and I don't want to pay the time, So what 520 00:26:00,600 --> 00:26:01,680 Speaker 3: else can I do Am I stuck? 521 00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:03,280 Speaker 2: Am I stuck at you know, just dead in the 522 00:26:03,320 --> 00:26:03,960 Speaker 2: water with this thing? 523 00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:06,720 Speaker 3: No, the answer is no. But do you just have 524 00:26:06,760 --> 00:26:08,760 Speaker 3: to be willing to have the death benefit come down? 525 00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:10,240 Speaker 3: In other words, if I'm not going to pump any 526 00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:13,719 Speaker 3: more money into this, then what's the maximum death benefit 527 00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:15,280 Speaker 3: I can get? So let me ask you about that. 528 00:26:15,600 --> 00:26:17,879 Speaker 3: So in this case, when when they stopped putting new 529 00:26:17,920 --> 00:26:20,119 Speaker 3: money in, the death benefit dropped from three sixty five 530 00:26:20,200 --> 00:26:22,879 Speaker 3: to two seventy three. But am I correct? They didn't 531 00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:24,960 Speaker 3: have to go through any underwriting. There was nothing new, 532 00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:27,160 Speaker 3: just a rejiggering of the math behind the policy. 533 00:26:27,200 --> 00:26:27,600 Speaker 2: Is that right? 534 00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:30,679 Speaker 5: Yes, just a calculation by the insurance company and to 535 00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:33,560 Speaker 5: say we will guarantee you this death benefit with no 536 00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:36,320 Speaker 5: additional premium for the rest of your life. It was 537 00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:40,679 Speaker 5: literally one form for each of them to complete. No underwriting, no, nothing, 538 00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:41,600 Speaker 5: got it? 539 00:26:41,720 --> 00:26:43,080 Speaker 2: Okay? So is there a way to know? 540 00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:45,400 Speaker 3: I mean, can somebody ballpark what they're I mean, is 541 00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:47,879 Speaker 3: is it based off of age or is there a 542 00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:49,879 Speaker 3: way to ballpark what's a death benefit might drop to? 543 00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:52,600 Speaker 3: You know, if they waited another five years, what would 544 00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:53,000 Speaker 3: it have been? 545 00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:53,800 Speaker 2: Yeah? 546 00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:56,000 Speaker 5: So the best way to review A policy is to 547 00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:59,520 Speaker 5: have a current policy statement. Do you get Every client 548 00:26:59,560 --> 00:27:02,360 Speaker 5: should get one every year. We look at an annual statement. 549 00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:04,600 Speaker 5: It's going to depend on the product type, how long 550 00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:08,080 Speaker 5: they've had it, what their goals are, and we can 551 00:27:08,119 --> 00:27:10,720 Speaker 5: review those to tell them should they keep it, should 552 00:27:10,720 --> 00:27:13,800 Speaker 5: they make changes, should they consider walking away, or could 553 00:27:13,840 --> 00:27:17,240 Speaker 5: we reposition that cash in a different type of policy. 554 00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:20,040 Speaker 2: Got it? That's great, that's super helpful. 555 00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:21,880 Speaker 3: I'm glad that glad you're on the team to help 556 00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:23,400 Speaker 3: us deal with this stuff for our clients. 557 00:27:23,800 --> 00:27:25,359 Speaker 2: And Jody, correct me if I'm wrong. 558 00:27:25,400 --> 00:27:28,000 Speaker 1: But in this scenario number two you just walk through, 559 00:27:28,040 --> 00:27:30,040 Speaker 1: there was a zero tax impact. 560 00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:30,280 Speaker 2: Right. 561 00:27:30,359 --> 00:27:34,880 Speaker 1: This was a completely tax free situation because we did 562 00:27:34,920 --> 00:27:37,320 Speaker 1: not take any cash value out. We just lowered the 563 00:27:37,320 --> 00:27:40,640 Speaker 1: death benefit, lowered the premium. Everybody walks away scott free. 564 00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:40,880 Speaker 2: Right. 565 00:27:41,440 --> 00:27:44,960 Speaker 5: Absolutely, Yep, no tax impact. The biggest thing was the 566 00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:49,400 Speaker 5: premium savings. They repositioned that seven grand to do other things. 567 00:27:50,080 --> 00:27:52,280 Speaker 2: Great stuff, Jody, thanks for joining us tonight. 568 00:27:52,320 --> 00:27:54,920 Speaker 1: You're listening to Simply Money presented by all Worth Financial 569 00:27:54,960 --> 00:28:01,919 Speaker 1: on fifty five KRC the talk station. You're listening to 570 00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:05,040 Speaker 1: Simply Money presented by all Worth Financial Lumbob spun Seller 571 00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:07,879 Speaker 1: along with Brian James. Do you have a financial question 572 00:28:08,000 --> 00:28:10,399 Speaker 1: you'd like for us to cover. There's a red button 573 00:28:10,440 --> 00:28:12,680 Speaker 1: you can click while you're listening to the show. If 574 00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:16,280 Speaker 1: you're listening on the iHeart app, simply record your question 575 00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:19,639 Speaker 1: and it will come straight to us. All right, Brian 576 00:28:19,920 --> 00:28:22,639 Speaker 1: Michael and Milford says, we've got a little over a 577 00:28:22,760 --> 00:28:26,320 Speaker 1: million dollars in a single tech stock with a very 578 00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:30,399 Speaker 1: low cost basis, what are the smartest ways to diversify 579 00:28:30,560 --> 00:28:34,520 Speaker 1: out of that big concentrated position without triggering a huge 580 00:28:34,600 --> 00:28:35,200 Speaker 1: tax bill. 581 00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:37,160 Speaker 2: Well, that's a great question. 582 00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:39,320 Speaker 3: So when you've got that much in a low tech stock, 583 00:28:39,360 --> 00:28:42,840 Speaker 3: there's really two things happening here. You're talking about concentration 584 00:28:43,040 --> 00:28:45,920 Speaker 3: risk and tax risk. The goal is to reduce the 585 00:28:45,960 --> 00:28:48,920 Speaker 3: one without letting the other dominate the decision. So but 586 00:28:49,040 --> 00:28:51,000 Speaker 3: let let's let's let's call a spat a spad here 587 00:28:51,040 --> 00:28:52,360 Speaker 3: doing nothing is a decision. 588 00:28:52,360 --> 00:28:54,480 Speaker 2: That's probably how this occurred, to. 589 00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:58,120 Speaker 3: Begin with letting a stock run and to the point 590 00:28:58,120 --> 00:28:59,200 Speaker 3: where it dominates the portfolio. 591 00:28:59,240 --> 00:28:59,800 Speaker 2: It's not a bad thing. 592 00:28:59,800 --> 00:29:01,840 Speaker 3: More money is good, But at the same time, now 593 00:29:01,880 --> 00:29:04,560 Speaker 3: all of a sudden, your financial success has a lot 594 00:29:04,600 --> 00:29:06,720 Speaker 3: to do with conference calls and earnings reports a lot 595 00:29:06,720 --> 00:29:09,400 Speaker 3: more than you might have wanted it to. So here's 596 00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:10,880 Speaker 3: one way to think about it you might use, just 597 00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:14,080 Speaker 3: to keep it simple, use a gradual selling strategy. Don't 598 00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:16,680 Speaker 3: dump the whole position at once, spread it over multiple 599 00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:18,880 Speaker 3: tax years. For example, we're about a quarter of the 600 00:29:18,880 --> 00:29:20,920 Speaker 3: way through this tax here. That means in nine months 601 00:29:20,920 --> 00:29:23,040 Speaker 3: we're going to be in another tax hear. My favorite 602 00:29:23,040 --> 00:29:25,800 Speaker 3: thing to do within this type of situation is if 603 00:29:25,800 --> 00:29:28,040 Speaker 3: we happen to be in the fourth quarter talking about it, well, 604 00:29:28,080 --> 00:29:30,240 Speaker 3: if it's December, then that means you can get into 605 00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:33,160 Speaker 3: three tax years over the course of about fourteen months. 606 00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:36,640 Speaker 3: So just think about what your income situation is going 607 00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:39,280 Speaker 3: to be in those various tax years, and then maybe 608 00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:42,560 Speaker 3: spread those sales over time. And we've already mentioned this 609 00:29:42,600 --> 00:29:45,160 Speaker 3: a couple times today, but you can also pair sales 610 00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:48,680 Speaker 3: with tax loss harvesting. If you have some other unrelated 611 00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:51,280 Speaker 3: positions that may be sitting at a loss, and maybe 612 00:29:51,280 --> 00:29:53,320 Speaker 3: not the entire position, but if you look underneath the 613 00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:56,400 Speaker 3: individual tax lots of that position could be sitting at 614 00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:59,120 Speaker 3: a loss. Then you liquidate those and be very careful 615 00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:02,000 Speaker 3: you're liquidating the the tax lots that are actually showing 616 00:30:02,040 --> 00:30:06,040 Speaker 3: a loss, and you can offset that capital gain. And Third, 617 00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:08,640 Speaker 3: and this is probably one of the bigger ones, think 618 00:30:08,640 --> 00:30:11,680 Speaker 3: about charity. If philanthropy is already on your mind, if 619 00:30:11,680 --> 00:30:16,960 Speaker 3: you are already charitably inclined and giving writing checks to organizations, 620 00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:19,560 Speaker 3: then what you might do is donate. 621 00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:21,560 Speaker 2: These appreciated shares some portion of them. 622 00:30:21,720 --> 00:30:24,160 Speaker 3: That's one of the most tax efficient moves available, because 623 00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:25,920 Speaker 3: if it's again, if it's something that you would have 624 00:30:25,960 --> 00:30:29,440 Speaker 3: done anyway, because you are charitably inclined already giving to charity, 625 00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:32,560 Speaker 3: then you can donate these shares. You will of course 626 00:30:32,600 --> 00:30:34,120 Speaker 3: get a bit of a deduction if it's over and 627 00:30:34,160 --> 00:30:36,760 Speaker 3: above your standard deduction. That's a different conversation. But the 628 00:30:36,760 --> 00:30:40,000 Speaker 3: more important thing is you did not sell anything, so 629 00:30:40,040 --> 00:30:43,040 Speaker 3: therefore you did not eat any of the capital gains taxes. 630 00:30:43,080 --> 00:30:45,480 Speaker 3: The charity will turn around, they'll sell it, but if 631 00:30:45,520 --> 00:30:47,600 Speaker 3: they're a five H one C three legit charity, they're 632 00:30:47,600 --> 00:30:48,720 Speaker 3: not going to pay taxes either. 633 00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:50,400 Speaker 2: So you'll still get credit. 634 00:30:50,160 --> 00:30:52,680 Speaker 3: For having donated that that dollar amount, you're not going 635 00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:54,680 Speaker 3: to pay capital gains on it, and you're also not 636 00:30:54,760 --> 00:30:56,640 Speaker 3: writing checks using your liquid cash. 637 00:30:56,400 --> 00:30:56,760 Speaker 2: To do it. 638 00:30:57,240 --> 00:30:58,960 Speaker 3: Matter of fact, I would say if anybody is out 639 00:30:58,960 --> 00:31:02,520 Speaker 3: there sitting on appreciation shares of something and writing checks 640 00:31:02,560 --> 00:31:05,440 Speaker 3: to their church or their favorite charities, you're doing it wrong. 641 00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:08,200 Speaker 3: If you really want to hold on that position, then 642 00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:10,920 Speaker 3: donate the appreciated shares and use your cash to buy 643 00:31:10,920 --> 00:31:13,120 Speaker 3: them more and reset your cost basis for the low 644 00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:16,320 Speaker 3: low price of nothing. Hope that helps, all right, So 645 00:31:16,560 --> 00:31:20,080 Speaker 3: let's move on to Brad and Madisonville. Brad is saying 646 00:31:20,160 --> 00:31:21,840 Speaker 3: he's a he's a business owner, and he's saying he's 647 00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:24,200 Speaker 3: getting some informal offers for it, but he hasn't done 648 00:31:24,240 --> 00:31:26,040 Speaker 3: any planning around it yet. 649 00:31:26,200 --> 00:31:28,440 Speaker 2: So how do you start this process, Bob? 650 00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:30,920 Speaker 3: What should be in place financially before he even considers 651 00:31:30,920 --> 00:31:32,040 Speaker 3: accepting one of these offers. 652 00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:36,080 Speaker 1: Well, Brian, as I listened to you answer Michael's question about, 653 00:31:36,120 --> 00:31:38,320 Speaker 1: you know, selling a single stop, you know, a lot 654 00:31:38,320 --> 00:31:42,160 Speaker 1: of times these same situations arise when selling a business 655 00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:45,200 Speaker 1: because for a lot of people, they're closely held business 656 00:31:45,440 --> 00:31:49,200 Speaker 1: is by far and away their largest financial asset. It's 657 00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:52,760 Speaker 1: a huge concentrated position in terms of their overall net worth. 658 00:31:53,160 --> 00:31:55,600 Speaker 1: So you know, my answer to Brad is, first of all, 659 00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:58,760 Speaker 1: you know I'm assuming. I'm just assuming because I don't 660 00:31:58,800 --> 00:32:01,560 Speaker 1: have your whole financial picture in front of me. But 661 00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:05,320 Speaker 1: you're thinking about selling this business, hoping to retire and 662 00:32:05,360 --> 00:32:06,640 Speaker 1: maybe not work anymore. 663 00:32:07,040 --> 00:32:08,880 Speaker 2: So I think the first planning. 664 00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:10,080 Speaker 1: You need to do is you need to factor in 665 00:32:10,120 --> 00:32:13,840 Speaker 1: your cost basis in the business, what capital gains, exposure 666 00:32:13,920 --> 00:32:16,040 Speaker 1: you're going to have if you sell it and sell 667 00:32:16,080 --> 00:32:18,840 Speaker 1: it for a certain price, and then run a financial 668 00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:21,800 Speaker 1: plan to say, hey, if is the net amount going 669 00:32:21,840 --> 00:32:24,440 Speaker 1: to be enough to meet you and your wife and 670 00:32:24,520 --> 00:32:28,040 Speaker 1: your family's income needs over the balance of your life. 671 00:32:28,080 --> 00:32:31,000 Speaker 1: That's kind of financial planning. One oh one count the 672 00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:35,040 Speaker 1: cost of selling the business, removing yourself from the business, 673 00:32:35,120 --> 00:32:37,480 Speaker 1: and do I have enough money to be able to 674 00:32:37,480 --> 00:32:40,560 Speaker 1: retire now if your net worth happens to be higher. 675 00:32:40,800 --> 00:32:43,640 Speaker 1: And Brian got into this with his prior answer to 676 00:32:43,760 --> 00:32:47,920 Speaker 1: Michael's question. Now, if you're charitably inclined, if we're if 677 00:32:47,920 --> 00:32:51,400 Speaker 1: we have a need to save federal estate taxes, now 678 00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:54,840 Speaker 1: you can get into some more complex things like charitable trusts, 679 00:32:55,680 --> 00:32:58,960 Speaker 1: getting some minority discounts, perhaps for giving some of those 680 00:32:59,000 --> 00:33:02,000 Speaker 1: shares in the business to your kids or other family 681 00:33:02,040 --> 00:33:05,840 Speaker 1: members prior to selling. Those are all things that get 682 00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:08,719 Speaker 1: a lot more nuanced, a lot more detailed, and we 683 00:33:08,800 --> 00:33:11,000 Speaker 1: would want to have, you know, the involvement of a 684 00:33:11,000 --> 00:33:14,200 Speaker 1: good CPA, an attorney and all that, so you know, 685 00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:18,320 Speaker 1: sitting down and developing a financial plan on just what 686 00:33:18,400 --> 00:33:21,800 Speaker 1: you need to accomplish before you really start to entertain 687 00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:25,320 Speaker 1: serious options. I would say now's the time to start 688 00:33:25,360 --> 00:33:28,280 Speaker 1: that process. Hope that helps, Brad, and good luck to you. 689 00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:32,200 Speaker 1: Julian Anderson says, we're both sixty two and most of 690 00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:35,400 Speaker 1: our assets are in ir race. Should we be aggressively 691 00:33:35,520 --> 00:33:40,080 Speaker 1: doing roth conversions now, even if that means paying higher 692 00:33:40,160 --> 00:33:41,000 Speaker 1: taxes today? 693 00:33:41,080 --> 00:33:45,440 Speaker 3: Brian, So, I think there you're hitting the right window 694 00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:47,320 Speaker 3: to be considering it. But I'm glad you're asking the 695 00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:50,640 Speaker 3: question as opposed to just doing it blindly. So there 696 00:33:50,720 --> 00:33:52,840 Speaker 3: is no black and white answer to this, right if 697 00:33:52,880 --> 00:33:54,880 Speaker 3: there were. If there were. If that was the case, 698 00:33:54,920 --> 00:33:57,200 Speaker 3: then we would all retire. Based off of advice from 699 00:33:57,200 --> 00:34:01,040 Speaker 3: TikTok videos, one size does not fit all with regard 700 00:34:01,080 --> 00:34:02,680 Speaker 3: to this stuff, and so I think we really need 701 00:34:02,720 --> 00:34:04,200 Speaker 3: to kind of step back and look at the question. 702 00:34:04,280 --> 00:34:06,240 Speaker 2: So Roth conversions often make sense. 703 00:34:06,280 --> 00:34:08,640 Speaker 3: Here at this age and with your situation as you're 704 00:34:08,680 --> 00:34:10,360 Speaker 3: describing it, which we don't have a lot of detail, 705 00:34:10,719 --> 00:34:12,799 Speaker 3: but we need to define what you mean by aggressively. 706 00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:15,480 Speaker 2: So here's the good part. Here's the thing that provides 707 00:34:15,520 --> 00:34:16,120 Speaker 2: the opportunity. 708 00:34:16,160 --> 00:34:20,280 Speaker 3: You're probably in a temporary tax valley, meaning if you're retired, 709 00:34:20,760 --> 00:34:23,120 Speaker 3: that means you've obviously left your jobs. Your income is 710 00:34:23,120 --> 00:34:25,239 Speaker 3: probably lower than it's been in a very long time. 711 00:34:25,239 --> 00:34:27,160 Speaker 3: That means you so are your tax bracket. You have 712 00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:30,719 Speaker 3: a long time until our required minimum distributions are rmds. 713 00:34:30,760 --> 00:34:32,880 Speaker 3: That could be seventy three or seventy five, depending on 714 00:34:32,880 --> 00:34:35,000 Speaker 3: when you were born. Maybe you haven't turned on so 715 00:34:35,080 --> 00:34:38,040 Speaker 3: security yet. Income might be lower currently than all it's 716 00:34:38,040 --> 00:34:40,279 Speaker 3: going to be fast forward ten years, that's going to 717 00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:40,880 Speaker 3: be the opposite. 718 00:34:40,920 --> 00:34:44,000 Speaker 2: You'll be back in that higher bracket. So the idea now. 719 00:34:43,880 --> 00:34:47,040 Speaker 3: Is to yes, don't think of this low tax period, 720 00:34:47,160 --> 00:34:50,640 Speaker 3: tax bracket period as a wonderful opportunity to not pay taxes. 721 00:34:51,040 --> 00:34:53,880 Speaker 3: Think of it as an opportunity to pay less taxes 722 00:34:53,920 --> 00:34:55,200 Speaker 3: on future assets than. 723 00:34:55,120 --> 00:34:56,560 Speaker 2: You will if you do absolutely nothing. 724 00:34:56,840 --> 00:34:59,279 Speaker 3: But again, look figure out what your marginal bracket is, 725 00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:01,880 Speaker 3: what your actual blended bracket is, in what you're comfortable 726 00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:04,120 Speaker 3: paying that's going to be twenty two maybe twenty four percent. 727 00:35:04,400 --> 00:35:06,160 Speaker 3: That literally gets you into one hundreds of thousands of 728 00:35:06,200 --> 00:35:07,040 Speaker 3: dollars worth of income. 729 00:35:07,080 --> 00:35:08,600 Speaker 2: By the way, it might be more than your thinking. 730 00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:12,160 Speaker 3: But then also make sure you understand the impact to IRMA, 731 00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:16,800 Speaker 3: which again I think this can be overcooked in terms 732 00:35:16,840 --> 00:35:18,960 Speaker 3: of if somebody is really worried about IRMA and they 733 00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:21,360 Speaker 3: want to do Roth conversions. My response to that is, 734 00:35:21,400 --> 00:35:23,319 Speaker 3: I don't really worry about IRMA so much. Yet might 735 00:35:23,400 --> 00:35:25,359 Speaker 3: drive up your Medicare premiums for a year or two, 736 00:35:25,680 --> 00:35:28,040 Speaker 3: but eventually that will reset versus the benefits of the 737 00:35:28,120 --> 00:35:30,720 Speaker 3: Roth conversion, which you'll have for the rest of your life. 738 00:35:30,840 --> 00:35:32,319 Speaker 3: So I think we're out of time, so I'll throw 739 00:35:32,360 --> 00:35:33,160 Speaker 3: it back to you, Bob. 740 00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:35,759 Speaker 1: All right, Coming up next, I'm going to take a 741 00:35:35,760 --> 00:35:39,240 Speaker 1: few minutes to expand upon a discussion, an important discussion 742 00:35:39,239 --> 00:35:44,160 Speaker 1: we had yesterday involving the critical nature of planning ahead 743 00:35:44,280 --> 00:35:46,560 Speaker 1: and communicating with family. 744 00:35:47,000 --> 00:35:49,000 Speaker 2: To get out in front of a potential long term 745 00:35:49,040 --> 00:35:49,520 Speaker 2: care event. 746 00:35:49,600 --> 00:35:52,320 Speaker 1: You're listening to Simply Money, presented by all Worth Financial 747 00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:57,640 Speaker 1: on fifty five KRC, the talk station. You're listening to 748 00:35:57,640 --> 00:35:59,719 Speaker 1: Simply Money to that of my all worth financial on 749 00:35:59,719 --> 00:36:03,719 Speaker 1: bomb sponseller along with Brian James. Brian, we spent more 750 00:36:03,760 --> 00:36:06,799 Speaker 1: than a few minutes yesterday just talking about the importance 751 00:36:06,880 --> 00:36:12,360 Speaker 1: of planning ahead and proactively communicating with family members around 752 00:36:12,360 --> 00:36:15,440 Speaker 1: a potential long term care event. And the context we 753 00:36:15,520 --> 00:36:19,720 Speaker 1: covered yesterday is just how many Americans across the country, 754 00:36:20,000 --> 00:36:23,280 Speaker 1: how many hours people are spending time away from work, 755 00:36:23,680 --> 00:36:26,920 Speaker 1: time and energy expended just to take care of aging 756 00:36:27,280 --> 00:36:30,439 Speaker 1: loved ones and family members. And I believe I said 757 00:36:30,480 --> 00:36:32,680 Speaker 1: on the show yesterday, I'm going to test drive this, 758 00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:35,160 Speaker 1: you know, with with my own wife, which I did 759 00:36:35,239 --> 00:36:35,719 Speaker 1: last night. 760 00:36:35,960 --> 00:36:36,879 Speaker 2: It was a nice night. 761 00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:39,080 Speaker 1: We sat out on the back porch and had dinner 762 00:36:39,560 --> 00:36:42,960 Speaker 1: and I said to my wife, I said, hey, let's 763 00:36:43,040 --> 00:36:46,719 Speaker 1: just say that I had a stroke tomorrow and I 764 00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:50,160 Speaker 1: couldn't do anything and I needed some care, and you know, 765 00:36:50,360 --> 00:36:51,920 Speaker 1: our whole life is upbended. 766 00:36:52,480 --> 00:36:54,640 Speaker 2: What would you and the kids likely do? 767 00:36:56,040 --> 00:37:00,040 Speaker 3: And hod of like the answer that you got. It 768 00:37:00,080 --> 00:37:02,800 Speaker 3: seems like dangerous territory, Bob, it wasn't. 769 00:37:03,160 --> 00:37:05,360 Speaker 1: I don't think this is what she really wanted to 770 00:37:05,400 --> 00:37:08,359 Speaker 1: cover during dinner last night, But I wanted to test 771 00:37:08,440 --> 00:37:10,520 Speaker 1: drive it because I said I would do that on 772 00:37:10,560 --> 00:37:12,440 Speaker 1: the show yesterday and. 773 00:37:12,160 --> 00:37:15,040 Speaker 2: And my I said, cager for the neighborhood. 774 00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:19,000 Speaker 1: She said, I'm gonna throw a massive party, dump your 775 00:37:19,040 --> 00:37:21,279 Speaker 1: rear rand off at the nearest nursing home, and live 776 00:37:21,320 --> 00:37:24,879 Speaker 1: happily ever after, which is exactly what I expect her 777 00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:26,680 Speaker 1: to say. No, she I got this deer in the 778 00:37:26,719 --> 00:37:31,120 Speaker 1: headlights look, and it was it was mainly you know, 779 00:37:31,480 --> 00:37:34,520 Speaker 1: why are you asking me this? And my point, you know, 780 00:37:34,640 --> 00:37:37,720 Speaker 1: she's in a mindset, and she's a very emotionally stable, 781 00:37:37,920 --> 00:37:41,680 Speaker 1: very smart lady, but her mindset right now is, Hey, 782 00:37:41,880 --> 00:37:44,279 Speaker 1: we just had a grandson about a year ago. All 783 00:37:44,320 --> 00:37:46,200 Speaker 1: I'm thinking about is when I'm going to see my 784 00:37:46,280 --> 00:37:49,000 Speaker 1: grandson in a week. And now you're springing this on me. 785 00:37:49,560 --> 00:37:53,120 Speaker 1: And the point being I said, what if we sit 786 00:37:53,160 --> 00:37:56,359 Speaker 1: down with the kids and just asked that question. It 787 00:37:56,520 --> 00:37:59,520 Speaker 1: wasn't a conversation she was ready to have. And that's 788 00:37:59,600 --> 00:38:04,239 Speaker 1: my point. I'm probably gonna have to force that conversation, 789 00:38:04,600 --> 00:38:07,920 Speaker 1: which is what I suggested everybody did on the show yesterday, 790 00:38:08,200 --> 00:38:11,920 Speaker 1: to just get some initial reactions from family members, and 791 00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:14,239 Speaker 1: that at least gives us, you know, kind of what 792 00:38:14,320 --> 00:38:17,600 Speaker 1: i'd call a baseline or ground zero from which to 793 00:38:17,680 --> 00:38:21,400 Speaker 1: maybe have some future discussions because as we said yesterday 794 00:38:21,400 --> 00:38:23,680 Speaker 1: and i'll repeat today, what you don't want to do 795 00:38:24,360 --> 00:38:29,200 Speaker 1: is just ignore the whole topic until something happens. And 796 00:38:29,239 --> 00:38:32,520 Speaker 1: then you know different kids that live in town, out 797 00:38:32,560 --> 00:38:35,680 Speaker 1: of town, working full time, not working full time. A 798 00:38:35,719 --> 00:38:40,239 Speaker 1: lot of times these responsibilities get distributed unevenly, and that's 799 00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:43,440 Speaker 1: where some family discord and stress can come in. And 800 00:38:43,480 --> 00:38:46,400 Speaker 1: that's again I will repeat what I said yesterday. The 801 00:38:46,480 --> 00:38:48,400 Speaker 1: sooner we can get out in front of that topic 802 00:38:48,520 --> 00:38:49,760 Speaker 1: with our family. 803 00:38:49,640 --> 00:38:52,800 Speaker 2: Full fledged conversation, the better. Thanks for listening tonight. 804 00:38:52,880 --> 00:38:54,920 Speaker 1: You've been listening to Simply Money for said about all 805 00:38:54,920 --> 00:38:58,160 Speaker 1: Worth Financial on fifty five KRC, the talk station