1 00:00:01,840 --> 00:00:05,440 Speaker 1: Jesse Kelly Show. Another hour of The Jesse Kelly Show 2 00:00:05,680 --> 00:00:10,320 Speaker 1: on an amazing Thursday, we'll do a little Trump's negotiating 3 00:00:10,480 --> 00:00:13,680 Speaker 1: currently negotiating stuff. Let's cross our fingers say a prayer 4 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:17,959 Speaker 1: about that. We'll probably get to fished fish talk and 5 00:00:18,120 --> 00:00:21,440 Speaker 1: a half hour from now, Ryan Gerdosky is gonna join us. 6 00:00:21,840 --> 00:00:23,880 Speaker 1: Just in a great mood. And then let's say I'm 7 00:00:23,920 --> 00:00:27,200 Speaker 1: in a great mood. Oh tomorrow's ask doctor Jesse Friday. 8 00:00:27,680 --> 00:00:31,240 Speaker 1: Email your questions. And now, don't wait, they're already stagging 9 00:00:31,360 --> 00:00:37,239 Speaker 1: up Jesse at Jesse kellyshow dot com. So, as we 10 00:00:37,320 --> 00:00:44,440 Speaker 1: have discussed many many times before, Donald Trump negotiates every 11 00:00:44,600 --> 00:00:49,480 Speaker 1: single time in the exact same way. He's been doing 12 00:00:49,520 --> 00:00:53,320 Speaker 1: this publicly since long before he even got into politics, 13 00:00:53,320 --> 00:00:56,320 Speaker 1: but since he's been in politics, that's over a decade. 14 00:00:56,920 --> 00:01:01,400 Speaker 1: He does the exact same thing every time, and there 15 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:05,559 Speaker 1: are still people too stupid to understand what he's doing, 16 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:08,840 Speaker 1: even though he wrote a book about it, he discusses 17 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 1: it all the time. What does he do? It's a 18 00:01:12,520 --> 00:01:19,080 Speaker 1: very effective negotiating tactic. He takes the absolute extreme position 19 00:01:20,120 --> 00:01:25,600 Speaker 1: on both sides of the issue. I've I've used this 20 00:01:25,680 --> 00:01:30,200 Speaker 1: analogy before because it's so Donald Trump, Hey, I might 21 00:01:30,280 --> 00:01:33,000 Speaker 1: give you a billion dollars, or I could shoot you 22 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:38,320 Speaker 1: in the face, or a billion dollars or shoot you 23 00:01:38,400 --> 00:01:42,800 Speaker 1: in the face. What happens is people on the left, 24 00:01:42,840 --> 00:01:45,240 Speaker 1: people on the right, people in the media. He comes 25 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:47,400 Speaker 1: out and says, I'm gonna give you a billion dollars. 26 00:01:47,520 --> 00:01:50,960 Speaker 1: He can't do that. We don't have the money. That's ridiculous. 27 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:53,200 Speaker 1: And then the next breath he says, or I might 28 00:01:53,200 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 1: shoot you in the face. He can't do it. That's murder. 29 00:01:57,000 --> 00:02:01,040 Speaker 1: Donald Trump is gonna shoot someone in the face. He's 30 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:07,480 Speaker 1: just negotiating. Remember the Greenland thing. Remember I'm gonna buy Greenland. 31 00:02:07,680 --> 00:02:11,639 Speaker 1: I'm gonna own Greenland. I want Greenland. I might look. 32 00:02:11,680 --> 00:02:14,760 Speaker 1: I can't roll out a military invasion. I can't rull it. 33 00:02:14,760 --> 00:02:17,160 Speaker 1: What happened in the end, got exactly what he wanted, 34 00:02:17,480 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 1: a bunch of concessions. We crowded China in Russia out 35 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:26,520 Speaker 1: of Greenland in the end by taking extreme crazy. He 36 00:02:26,639 --> 00:02:30,800 Speaker 1: can't say that positions. He got what he wanted. In 37 00:02:30,919 --> 00:02:34,799 Speaker 1: the end. If I'm buying a business from Jewish producer crew, 38 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:37,840 Speaker 1: that would be never mind. If I'm buying a business 39 00:02:37,840 --> 00:02:41,320 Speaker 1: from producer Corey. I can tell him, Look, I'll give 40 00:02:41,360 --> 00:02:44,320 Speaker 1: you a million dollars or I'll just take you to 41 00:02:44,360 --> 00:02:47,160 Speaker 1: court sue you in a bankruptcy or a million. What 42 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:49,200 Speaker 1: do I want in the end? Sell it to me 43 00:02:49,240 --> 00:02:51,040 Speaker 1: for five hundred thousand. That's what I want in the 44 00:02:51,160 --> 00:02:57,160 Speaker 1: end with iron. As I have said over and over 45 00:02:57,240 --> 00:02:59,919 Speaker 1: and over and over and over again, Ryan or Dusk, 46 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:01,360 Speaker 1: if you will give us the polling in a half 47 00:03:01,360 --> 00:03:03,959 Speaker 1: hour to confirm or not what I'm telling you. But 48 00:03:05,639 --> 00:03:15,640 Speaker 1: Donald Trump knows, he knows it is unbelievably unpopular with Independence, 49 00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:20,240 Speaker 1: with the additional parts of the coalition. You're fine, and 50 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:23,800 Speaker 1: maybe you personally aren't. But the hardcore magas are fine. Fine, 51 00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:29,120 Speaker 1: but they're always fine. Independence hated. They think he's not 52 00:03:29,160 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 1: focused domestically. Therefore, Donald Trump knows he has to get 53 00:03:35,320 --> 00:03:38,040 Speaker 1: it wrapped up. Whatever happens, he has to get it 54 00:03:38,040 --> 00:03:41,920 Speaker 1: wrapped up. So if you're looking at headlines, here are 55 00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:47,400 Speaker 1: headlines you've seen all day today. Donald Trump has plans 56 00:03:47,440 --> 00:03:50,440 Speaker 1: to send in ground troops. Donald Trump's gonna send in 57 00:03:50,480 --> 00:03:53,000 Speaker 1: the ground troops. The Marines are going in. The plans 58 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:55,440 Speaker 1: have already been put in place. Donald Trump's sending in 59 00:03:55,480 --> 00:03:59,440 Speaker 1: the ground troops. And then right by those headlines you've 60 00:03:59,480 --> 00:04:02,960 Speaker 1: seen headlin all day long of Iran's close to making 61 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:05,480 Speaker 1: a deal. Iran wants to make a deal, They're close 62 00:04:05,520 --> 00:04:07,480 Speaker 1: to making a deal, They're almost gonna make a deal. 63 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:11,960 Speaker 1: All this is coming from Donald Trump is a negotiating pactic. 64 00:04:12,680 --> 00:04:15,440 Speaker 1: Donald Trump came out today on social media. I'm not 65 00:04:15,480 --> 00:04:17,400 Speaker 1: going to read it for you. He came out a 66 00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 1: few hours ago and said, hey, these attacks on Iranian 67 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:25,919 Speaker 1: power plants, all that stopped until April sixth. We're in 68 00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:32,760 Speaker 1: the middle of negotiations, no more. What's he doing. He's 69 00:04:32,839 --> 00:04:38,680 Speaker 1: taking the extreme side on both sides in an attempt 70 00:04:38,720 --> 00:04:43,400 Speaker 1: to wrap it up and get out. So he'll sit 71 00:04:43,480 --> 00:04:44,720 Speaker 1: down and tell the media. 72 00:04:44,480 --> 00:04:47,680 Speaker 2: This, he said, to show you the fact that we're 73 00:04:47,680 --> 00:04:52,840 Speaker 2: real and solid and we're there. We're going to let 74 00:04:52,839 --> 00:04:55,679 Speaker 2: you have eight boats of oil. Eight boats, eight big 75 00:04:55,760 --> 00:04:59,960 Speaker 2: boats of oil. And I didn't think much about it. 76 00:05:00,160 --> 00:05:03,960 Speaker 2: It eight big tankers are going loading up with oil, right, 77 00:05:04,800 --> 00:05:08,160 Speaker 2: And I said, well, I guess I guess they were right, And. 78 00:05:08,120 --> 00:05:10,640 Speaker 1: They were they were real, and I think. 79 00:05:10,480 --> 00:05:15,400 Speaker 2: They were Pakistani flagged, yes, And I said, well, I 80 00:05:15,400 --> 00:05:19,040 Speaker 2: guess we're dealing with the right people. And actually they 81 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:21,720 Speaker 2: then apologized for something they said, and they said, we're 82 00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 2: going to send two more boats, and we ended up 83 00:05:25,080 --> 00:05:27,240 Speaker 2: being ten bouts. And I hope I haven't screwed up 84 00:05:27,240 --> 00:05:30,200 Speaker 2: your negotiations. But I thought it was appropriate to say 85 00:05:30,279 --> 00:05:33,160 Speaker 2: because I did talk to you the other day by 86 00:05:33,160 --> 00:05:34,600 Speaker 2: saying they're going to give us a present. 87 00:05:36,360 --> 00:05:39,560 Speaker 1: They gave us some gave us some oil. We're negotiated 88 00:05:39,600 --> 00:05:43,760 Speaker 1: with them through Pakistan. Stop bombing the oil fields. Hey, 89 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:49,600 Speaker 1: stop all that ceases till April sixth. We're talking. It's 90 00:05:49,720 --> 00:05:52,360 Speaker 1: going well. But also I could send in the Marines 91 00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:54,840 Speaker 1: right now if I wanted to, I might send in 92 00:05:54,880 --> 00:05:57,480 Speaker 1: the Marines and the eighty second Airborne. I'll just come 93 00:05:57,520 --> 00:05:59,040 Speaker 1: in and kill every one of you. It'd be easy, 94 00:05:59,120 --> 00:06:03,080 Speaker 1: would be nothing. How seriously, should you take any of this? 95 00:06:04,400 --> 00:06:08,000 Speaker 1: Not at all? He now, I take that back. That's 96 00:06:08,040 --> 00:06:11,240 Speaker 1: not the way I mean it. How literally, even though 97 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:14,480 Speaker 1: you know I hate that word. How literally? Should you 98 00:06:14,600 --> 00:06:19,919 Speaker 1: take any of this? Not at all? He is negotiating 99 00:06:20,040 --> 00:06:24,599 Speaker 1: headline Trump warns Iran to get serious about peace talks 100 00:06:24,960 --> 00:06:29,200 Speaker 1: before it's too late, as Pentagon ready's the final blow 101 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:34,720 Speaker 1: to the regime. Headline from the New York Post. He's negotiating. 102 00:06:36,080 --> 00:06:39,799 Speaker 1: He is not a moron. He knows we have to leave. 103 00:06:40,520 --> 00:06:44,720 Speaker 1: We cannot get bogged down there. The political reality at 104 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:49,480 Speaker 1: home means we must come home soon. We have to 105 00:06:50,120 --> 00:06:53,640 Speaker 1: have to one hundred percent. We cannot see this thing 106 00:06:53,760 --> 00:06:58,400 Speaker 1: through all the way until Iran. It's incomplete, ruins of 107 00:06:58,480 --> 00:07:03,440 Speaker 1: regime change, war and months. That is not a political option. 108 00:07:04,640 --> 00:07:08,480 Speaker 1: Donald Trump knows this. He's not a moron. He is 109 00:07:08,800 --> 00:07:10,600 Speaker 1: These are actually really important days. And it would be 110 00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:15,160 Speaker 1: a very good idea to pray right now because he 111 00:07:15,200 --> 00:07:18,440 Speaker 1: wants that off ramp. He wants it. As we discussed, 112 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:21,200 Speaker 1: he's on the highway. He started this whole thing. He 113 00:07:21,240 --> 00:07:24,680 Speaker 1: has to own that. And maybe he loves what he's 114 00:07:24,720 --> 00:07:26,280 Speaker 1: done so far. Maybe he doesn't. I don't know him 115 00:07:26,680 --> 00:07:28,960 Speaker 1: inside of his head, but he knows. Okay, time to 116 00:07:29,000 --> 00:07:31,280 Speaker 1: get off the highway. We got it rolling. We killed 117 00:07:31,280 --> 00:07:36,440 Speaker 1: the ayahtola that we wounded them severely. Time to get off. 118 00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:39,400 Speaker 1: I need an off ramp. I gotta pay. I need 119 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:42,840 Speaker 1: to get off the highway. He's looking for that off 120 00:07:42,960 --> 00:07:50,880 Speaker 1: ramp now. He wants it. We have to have it domestically. However, 121 00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:57,880 Speaker 1: it might not be there because remember everything I just 122 00:07:57,960 --> 00:08:03,960 Speaker 1: told you. It's not like it's some unbelievably brilliant political analysis. 123 00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:10,280 Speaker 1: Every single word of what I just told you. Iran knows. 124 00:08:10,840 --> 00:08:14,200 Speaker 1: Why do you think Iran closed the straight the straight 125 00:08:14,240 --> 00:08:17,680 Speaker 1: of hormones? It was always in their plan. Why would 126 00:08:17,720 --> 00:08:24,120 Speaker 1: they do that. Iran knows that by driving up prices 127 00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:32,000 Speaker 1: in America it can severely wound the Trump presidency. You realize, 128 00:08:32,040 --> 00:08:35,320 Speaker 1: when Democrats take the House, Donald Trump is going to 129 00:08:35,360 --> 00:08:39,200 Speaker 1: be impeached. It's a guarantee. Write it down, take it 130 00:08:39,240 --> 00:08:42,319 Speaker 1: home to the bank. Iran has the power to impeach 131 00:08:42,360 --> 00:08:47,200 Speaker 1: Donald Trump by refusing negotiations, and Iran knows it. Headline 132 00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:53,319 Speaker 1: USPS the Postal Service adds an eight percent package fee 133 00:08:53,920 --> 00:08:58,680 Speaker 1: to fuel cost due to fuel costs. Right now, Iran 134 00:08:59,800 --> 00:09:03,240 Speaker 1: is driving down Donald Trump's pull numbers to the point 135 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:07,000 Speaker 1: that if the election were held today, we would get 136 00:09:07,280 --> 00:09:14,080 Speaker 1: utterly annihilated. Annihilated. They know this. Trump knows this. Everyone 137 00:09:14,160 --> 00:09:17,800 Speaker 1: gets it. That's the game being played right now. Now. 138 00:09:18,080 --> 00:09:20,679 Speaker 1: Iran's not having a great time either. All their leaders 139 00:09:20,800 --> 00:09:25,400 Speaker 1: keep getting vaporized. Their economy was already shaky before. It 140 00:09:25,520 --> 00:09:28,040 Speaker 1: can't be doing all that well. What America and Israel 141 00:09:28,080 --> 00:09:30,200 Speaker 1: has been bombing you to smith a reens. Look, it's 142 00:09:30,200 --> 00:09:34,440 Speaker 1: not like everything's great in Iran. But the weapon they have. 143 00:09:35,320 --> 00:09:38,000 Speaker 1: The weapon they have is not drones, although I know 144 00:09:38,040 --> 00:09:40,439 Speaker 1: they have them. It's not drones, it's not missiles, it's 145 00:09:40,480 --> 00:09:44,840 Speaker 1: not going So the weapon they have is the mood 146 00:09:45,080 --> 00:09:49,440 Speaker 1: of the American public. That is the ultimate weapon for Iran. 147 00:09:49,880 --> 00:09:53,360 Speaker 1: In Iran knows it, and so does Donald Trump. And 148 00:09:53,440 --> 00:09:55,400 Speaker 1: that is what is at stake here. So I will 149 00:09:55,440 --> 00:10:00,319 Speaker 1: once again ask you to pray. These coming days are 150 00:10:00,720 --> 00:10:05,000 Speaker 1: hugely important days, hugely important, and there are many, many 151 00:10:05,040 --> 00:10:07,440 Speaker 1: different forces at work who don't want to see an 152 00:10:07,559 --> 00:10:11,400 Speaker 1: end to this, many of them the American Communists most definitely, 153 00:10:11,400 --> 00:10:13,600 Speaker 1: because they know what's coming. If it doesn't end, it 154 00:10:13,720 --> 00:10:17,840 Speaker 1: is the Jesse Kelly Show on an amazing Thursday. Remember 155 00:10:17,880 --> 00:10:19,400 Speaker 1: if you missed any part of the show, you can 156 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:24,160 Speaker 1: download at iHeart, Spotify iTunes. So we're all looking for 157 00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:31,160 Speaker 1: that sane democrat right, Well, congratulations John Fetterman said something 158 00:10:31,360 --> 00:10:34,280 Speaker 1: sane today. Isn't this so exciting? The right thing? 159 00:10:34,760 --> 00:10:38,920 Speaker 3: Put the country ahead of the party. Now there's a 160 00:10:39,000 --> 00:10:42,880 Speaker 3: huge rally, you know that another no King's kinds of protests. 161 00:10:43,160 --> 00:10:46,720 Speaker 3: So now it's also probably motivating some people in my 162 00:10:46,880 --> 00:10:51,880 Speaker 3: party that not they might be afraid to reopen now 163 00:10:52,040 --> 00:10:55,199 Speaker 3: because they they are demanding these kinds of extremes. 164 00:10:55,679 --> 00:10:58,439 Speaker 1: Man, he sounds like he could be one of us, 165 00:10:58,520 --> 00:11:02,120 Speaker 1: doesn't he could vote for that guy? Oh wait a minute, 166 00:11:02,600 --> 00:11:06,280 Speaker 1: he voted against the save AC today. Stop falling for 167 00:11:06,320 --> 00:11:10,760 Speaker 1: the John Fetterman routine. Please, I'm begging you, Jesse. Is 168 00:11:10,800 --> 00:11:15,720 Speaker 1: Trump drunk on power after midnight hammer in the Maduro raid, 169 00:11:16,280 --> 00:11:19,920 Speaker 1: He's got to be feeling unstoppable. I think hag Seth 170 00:11:19,960 --> 00:11:22,760 Speaker 1: couldn't wait to use the military. And with so many 171 00:11:22,800 --> 00:11:27,240 Speaker 1: warhawks like Lindsey Graham constantly talking up the US military might, 172 00:11:27,800 --> 00:11:30,280 Speaker 1: why wouldn't Trump want to just go around and do 173 00:11:30,360 --> 00:11:35,640 Speaker 1: whatever he wants. Look, I can't speak to drunk on power. 174 00:11:36,559 --> 00:11:42,800 Speaker 1: And here's why Donald Trump, historically with our military, has 175 00:11:42,840 --> 00:11:46,839 Speaker 1: not operated it in that way. He's been fairly non interventionist. 176 00:11:46,920 --> 00:11:48,480 Speaker 1: You got to go somewhere and get in, get out, 177 00:11:48,559 --> 00:11:54,640 Speaker 1: be done. He's not operated it in that way historically. However, 178 00:11:55,920 --> 00:11:59,240 Speaker 1: I think it will be very very fair to say 179 00:12:00,120 --> 00:12:03,199 Speaker 1: all of us, I know I wouldn't. I can't speak 180 00:12:03,240 --> 00:12:07,760 Speaker 1: for you would possibly be a little quote drunk on power, 181 00:12:08,679 --> 00:12:11,520 Speaker 1: if you were in command of the most powerful military 182 00:12:11,559 --> 00:12:16,840 Speaker 1: force on earth, these ancient conquerors. Has it ever occurred 183 00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:19,520 Speaker 1: to you that sometimes they went out and just conquered 184 00:12:19,559 --> 00:12:25,480 Speaker 1: because they're sitting on this powerful army, And well, why 185 00:12:25,520 --> 00:12:30,920 Speaker 1: wouldn't I I gotta use it if I put If 186 00:12:30,920 --> 00:12:34,319 Speaker 1: I put an awesome drill in your hands, maybe you're 187 00:12:34,320 --> 00:12:36,600 Speaker 1: not even a tool guy or a toolgirl, but I 188 00:12:36,640 --> 00:12:39,440 Speaker 1: put an awesome drill in your hands. What's the very 189 00:12:39,520 --> 00:12:42,280 Speaker 1: first thing you're doing the same thing I am doing. 190 00:12:43,160 --> 00:12:46,880 Speaker 1: You gotta press the trigger. It's human nature, the drunk 191 00:12:46,960 --> 00:12:51,679 Speaker 1: on power. Maybe a little I think that would be understandable. Uh. 192 00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:58,400 Speaker 1: I think Trump. I suspect Trump is trying to sort 193 00:12:58,440 --> 00:13:06,240 Speaker 1: out business globally. He is thinking globally. He has four years, 194 00:13:06,320 --> 00:13:09,359 Speaker 1: so he has less than that now, so he's thinking globally. 195 00:13:09,400 --> 00:13:11,360 Speaker 1: I want to cut this off and cut that off 196 00:13:11,400 --> 00:13:14,520 Speaker 1: and make sure Iran's decapitated. I'm gonna square away Venezuel 197 00:13:14,520 --> 00:13:17,280 Speaker 1: that we're gonna take Cuba. We're gonna do I think 198 00:13:17,280 --> 00:13:20,400 Speaker 1: he's thinking globally, and I understand that because the United 199 00:13:20,440 --> 00:13:24,640 Speaker 1: States president has to think globally. The danger in that is, 200 00:13:27,400 --> 00:13:32,120 Speaker 1: it doesn't look like you're thinking domestically. Every press conference 201 00:13:32,160 --> 00:13:35,440 Speaker 1: is about Iran. Now, how does the blue collar worker 202 00:13:35,520 --> 00:13:38,520 Speaker 1: not making it feel about Iran? He doesn't give a 203 00:13:38,559 --> 00:13:43,440 Speaker 1: crap shadow. I've been meditating on the Iran situation, in 204 00:13:43,440 --> 00:13:45,719 Speaker 1: particularly the back and forth with our president and some 205 00:13:45,840 --> 00:13:49,400 Speaker 1: group in Iran. Sounds like they're different factions within the 206 00:13:49,440 --> 00:13:53,200 Speaker 1: Iranian power structure. If that's true, our president's peace plan 207 00:13:53,360 --> 00:13:56,000 Speaker 1: is brilliant, even if it's a total headfake. Yeah, Like 208 00:13:56,040 --> 00:14:03,679 Speaker 1: I said, he's negotiating. He is simply negotiating. He has 209 00:14:03,720 --> 00:14:07,800 Speaker 1: to be careful though now he knows that it's a 210 00:14:07,880 --> 00:14:12,680 Speaker 1: dangerous thing in a negotiation to be losing leverage. And 211 00:14:12,760 --> 00:14:14,319 Speaker 1: we're gonna speak. I go again. We're gonna speak to 212 00:14:14,360 --> 00:14:17,440 Speaker 1: Ryan Gradski here in five minutes. He has all the 213 00:14:17,520 --> 00:14:20,560 Speaker 1: pulling breakdowns of who's still with us, who's against us? 214 00:14:20,600 --> 00:14:24,920 Speaker 1: But demographically, LAKENO, it's a blue collar this, But who's 215 00:14:25,040 --> 00:14:27,840 Speaker 1: left us? Who's still with us? The ones who have 216 00:14:27,960 --> 00:14:30,320 Speaker 1: left us? Why have they left us? Can we get 217 00:14:30,400 --> 00:14:32,840 Speaker 1: him back? I might keep them on for two segments. 218 00:14:32,960 --> 00:14:35,080 Speaker 1: We are going to break this down and see where 219 00:14:35,120 --> 00:14:38,520 Speaker 1: we're at politically in this whole ugly bit of business. Jesse, 220 00:14:39,120 --> 00:14:43,160 Speaker 1: My wife is one of these gluten freaks. It's not 221 00:14:43,240 --> 00:14:46,720 Speaker 1: a big deal, but it does interrupt my oracle like 222 00:14:46,800 --> 00:14:50,680 Speaker 1: menu whispering skills as we can't go to certain restaurants. 223 00:14:51,240 --> 00:14:53,920 Speaker 1: Any advice on how to deal with these weird oads. 224 00:14:54,320 --> 00:14:57,480 Speaker 1: Leave her at home, make her eat out of one 225 00:14:57,520 --> 00:15:00,160 Speaker 1: of her disgusting meals before we go out, so you 226 00:15:00,160 --> 00:15:02,800 Speaker 1: can just watch me eat, says his name is Steve, Oh, 227 00:15:02,800 --> 00:15:05,160 Speaker 1: I'd leave her at home. No, I'm kidding. You can't 228 00:15:05,240 --> 00:15:09,360 Speaker 1: leave her at home. The good news for these gluten 229 00:15:09,400 --> 00:15:12,840 Speaker 1: people who are weighing all of us down is this 230 00:15:12,880 --> 00:15:17,120 Speaker 1: is what Chris. This has become so common that now 231 00:15:17,840 --> 00:15:21,600 Speaker 1: almost every restaurant has an option for it. Now, even 232 00:15:21,640 --> 00:15:23,840 Speaker 1: this local pizza place that has opened up in my 233 00:15:23,960 --> 00:15:26,520 Speaker 1: area that we all love. The kids love it, everyone 234 00:15:26,560 --> 00:15:29,960 Speaker 1: loves it. And we're talking pizza pasta, meatball subs. I mean, 235 00:15:30,000 --> 00:15:33,200 Speaker 1: you name it. It's Italian, right, it's all colored. The 236 00:15:33,240 --> 00:15:36,440 Speaker 1: restaurant might as well be named Gluten even day. Have 237 00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:38,880 Speaker 1: you can get a call of flower crust pizza you 238 00:15:38,880 --> 00:15:40,960 Speaker 1: could get Look, Chris, I didn't say I was doing it. 239 00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:43,760 Speaker 1: I said some people can do it right, So OB 240 00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:45,640 Speaker 1: can go there and I can eat healthy and the 241 00:15:45,680 --> 00:15:49,800 Speaker 1: rest of us can eat something delicious. Uh, there are 242 00:15:49,920 --> 00:15:55,920 Speaker 1: so many gluten freaks that they're actually helping us normal 243 00:15:56,040 --> 00:16:00,360 Speaker 1: people who aren't deformed. There are so many any of 244 00:16:00,400 --> 00:16:04,440 Speaker 1: them that restaurants know they have to have some sort 245 00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:10,120 Speaker 1: of a gluten free section for these weirdos who plague 246 00:16:10,200 --> 00:16:13,800 Speaker 1: us all so I wouldn't worry about it. If you 247 00:16:13,880 --> 00:16:15,640 Speaker 1: miss any part of the show, you can download the 248 00:16:15,680 --> 00:16:20,000 Speaker 1: whole thing on iHeart, Spotify, iTunes. Trump shares a report 249 00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:26,200 Speaker 1: on alleged Ukrainian plot to fund the Biden campaign. Isn't 250 00:16:26,240 --> 00:16:30,480 Speaker 1: that weird Ukraine would be interested in funding Joe Biden's 251 00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:34,880 Speaker 1: campaign keeping those checks rolling in. You really do not 252 00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:37,560 Speaker 1: like the amount of foreign involvement in our elections. All Right, 253 00:16:37,560 --> 00:16:40,320 Speaker 1: we're gonna talk to Ryan Gardusky. We'll get back to 254 00:16:40,360 --> 00:16:42,840 Speaker 1: some emails next tour. I'm going to try to get 255 00:16:42,920 --> 00:16:45,640 Speaker 1: some of those out, try to try to clear out 256 00:16:45,680 --> 00:16:49,120 Speaker 1: the backlog, because I'll admit I have a little bit 257 00:16:49,120 --> 00:16:51,960 Speaker 1: of stack here and I've been bad. Hang on, it 258 00:16:52,080 --> 00:16:57,000 Speaker 1: is the Jesse Kelly Show. Ryan Gurdusky no wonder for friends. 259 00:16:57,040 --> 00:16:59,880 Speaker 1: Any man who selects The Beach Boys as his introduction 260 00:17:00,200 --> 00:17:04,480 Speaker 1: song and somebody just all right by me despite his heritage, 261 00:17:04,480 --> 00:17:07,160 Speaker 1: which we don't have to go into joining me now 262 00:17:07,320 --> 00:17:12,639 Speaker 1: of the seventeen seventy six project pack my buddy Ryan Gardowsky, 263 00:17:12,800 --> 00:17:16,240 Speaker 1: Ryan well Don on the Beach Boys so criminally underrated, 264 00:17:17,080 --> 00:17:17,480 Speaker 1: you know. 265 00:17:17,440 --> 00:17:20,840 Speaker 4: What, like they actually are. And once he died, Brian, 266 00:17:21,400 --> 00:17:24,760 Speaker 4: once he died, I started re listening to the catalog 267 00:17:24,840 --> 00:17:27,159 Speaker 4: and I was like, it was so good, Like it 268 00:17:27,240 --> 00:17:29,919 Speaker 4: was undeniably much better than people give it credit for. 269 00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:32,720 Speaker 1: It was. It was and there's something to be said 270 00:17:33,040 --> 00:17:35,960 Speaker 1: for music that just makes you smile a little bit. 271 00:17:36,000 --> 00:17:39,439 Speaker 1: Everything's so angst ridden and angry. Now everything's anyway, When 272 00:17:39,560 --> 00:17:41,520 Speaker 1: do we have time to go into this, Ryan, because 273 00:17:41,560 --> 00:17:44,600 Speaker 1: we have we have to tackle things in the country. 274 00:17:44,760 --> 00:17:47,320 Speaker 1: First of all, you are one of the best in 275 00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:50,959 Speaker 1: the business at tearing apart polls, what they're saying, what 276 00:17:51,000 --> 00:17:54,600 Speaker 1: they're not saying. So I give you the floor. How 277 00:17:54,600 --> 00:17:57,640 Speaker 1: are we looking right now for the election? 278 00:17:57,720 --> 00:18:00,920 Speaker 4: You means yes, I would say, like the first ten 279 00:18:00,960 --> 00:18:05,800 Speaker 4: minutes and saving private Ryan, it's not looking pretty. It's 280 00:18:05,840 --> 00:18:09,920 Speaker 4: it's the one thing really working against as a voter 281 00:18:10,040 --> 00:18:14,200 Speaker 4: intensity Democrats cannot wait to go vote. They can't. They're 282 00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:16,720 Speaker 4: chomping at the bits to go vote. And Trump has 283 00:18:16,800 --> 00:18:22,320 Speaker 4: really lost a lot with independent voters. The one silver lining, 284 00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:24,040 Speaker 4: I guess, if you want to find that civil line, 285 00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:28,119 Speaker 4: is that Latina voters have not reill like the Trump's 286 00:18:28,119 --> 00:18:31,280 Speaker 4: lost some support long Latinas. However, they've not fallen back 287 00:18:31,320 --> 00:18:35,479 Speaker 4: to pre twenty twenty you know, twenty twenty numbers where 288 00:18:35,920 --> 00:18:38,040 Speaker 4: we're not going to see like a fifty point landslide 289 00:18:38,040 --> 00:18:40,280 Speaker 4: against Republicans from Latino is the way that we used 290 00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:43,600 Speaker 4: to historically do. The movement towards Republicans seems to be 291 00:18:43,640 --> 00:18:45,920 Speaker 4: a bit more permanent than what Democrats have hoped for, 292 00:18:46,040 --> 00:18:48,879 Speaker 4: even if there's some movement back, but it's not as severe. 293 00:18:50,000 --> 00:18:53,280 Speaker 1: Okay, let's focus on them specifically before we get to 294 00:18:53,359 --> 00:18:55,880 Speaker 1: other things. I want to know why, and I want 295 00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:59,280 Speaker 1: a couple things. I want to know why we get 296 00:18:59,280 --> 00:19:01,520 Speaker 1: a higher percent now then we used to. And I 297 00:19:01,600 --> 00:19:05,720 Speaker 1: also want to know why Trump has lost a significant 298 00:19:05,800 --> 00:19:07,720 Speaker 1: percentage of Latinos. 299 00:19:08,440 --> 00:19:10,840 Speaker 4: I mean, we get impartially. We get them is because 300 00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:13,760 Speaker 4: there was a political realignment that will never be undone 301 00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:16,680 Speaker 4: in the sense that when when Hillary Clinton ran for president. 302 00:19:16,840 --> 00:19:19,359 Speaker 4: She got something like forty five to fifty percent of 303 00:19:19,440 --> 00:19:24,520 Speaker 4: Latinos who identify as conservative. They were just institutional Democrats, 304 00:19:24,560 --> 00:19:28,200 Speaker 4: the same way that the South, which was historically conservative, 305 00:19:28,600 --> 00:19:32,680 Speaker 4: was voting for Democrats all the way until early two thousands. Really, 306 00:19:32,760 --> 00:19:35,040 Speaker 4: I mean in early two thousands you have Democrat, very 307 00:19:35,080 --> 00:19:39,239 Speaker 4: prominent Democrats throount Mississippi, Alabama, I mean, in very very 308 00:19:39,320 --> 00:19:43,160 Speaker 4: high ranking positions in the Congress. That's just changed as 309 00:19:43,760 --> 00:19:47,720 Speaker 4: Democrats have become the party as of weird identity stuff 310 00:19:47,720 --> 00:19:51,240 Speaker 4: that they don't really you know, find interesting, and they 311 00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:53,680 Speaker 4: realized they don't have a place there anymore. So that's 312 00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:56,000 Speaker 4: a big part of it. And another big part of 313 00:19:56,000 --> 00:19:59,440 Speaker 4: it is the fact that the Democratic Party has become 314 00:19:59,440 --> 00:20:03,760 Speaker 4: identified with weird, especially trans stuff. I mean, the trans 315 00:20:03,760 --> 00:20:06,960 Speaker 4: stuff and the crime stuff has is kind of an 316 00:20:07,400 --> 00:20:10,119 Speaker 4: irreversible stench that they just have on them and it 317 00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:12,280 Speaker 4: just doesn't fly in the face of a lot of 318 00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:15,320 Speaker 4: Latino voters. So that's kind of just there, and it's 319 00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:19,359 Speaker 4: and also Latinos. The biggest populations of Latinos Mexicans, Puerto Ricans, 320 00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:22,640 Speaker 4: and Cubans. There are no several generations removed from being 321 00:20:22,720 --> 00:20:25,320 Speaker 4: immigrants at this point, so a lot of them don't 322 00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:28,320 Speaker 4: have the same connection to the Latino and identity the 323 00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:31,240 Speaker 4: way that they did maybe thirty years ago. 324 00:20:32,320 --> 00:20:35,199 Speaker 1: Okay, well, yeah, I know that certainly applies to so 325 00:20:35,280 --> 00:20:38,560 Speaker 1: many of my Mexican friends whose families are have always 326 00:20:38,600 --> 00:20:41,359 Speaker 1: voted Democrat. They were so grossed out and weirded out 327 00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:44,760 Speaker 1: by the endless gay crap all the time from Democrats 328 00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:46,639 Speaker 1: that they lost a lot of those people. Okay, so 329 00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:50,680 Speaker 1: that's that's a good thing. That's good news. Now I'm 330 00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:53,840 Speaker 1: win saying, what's the bad news? Why'd we lose them? 331 00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:57,800 Speaker 4: Because, I mean, because the main thing is the economy. 332 00:20:57,840 --> 00:20:59,960 Speaker 4: There's no other way to say it. It's rough out there. 333 00:21:00,400 --> 00:21:03,400 Speaker 4: I mean price people expected prices to go down. They 334 00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:06,240 Speaker 4: did not go down, though inflation went down. People expected 335 00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:08,360 Speaker 4: wages to go much faster than they have done. They've 336 00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:10,480 Speaker 4: gone up slightly, but they haven't gone up great for 337 00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:14,840 Speaker 4: new hiring in the if you're unemployed, it is atrocious 338 00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:18,000 Speaker 4: out there. I know people with real degrees, with real 339 00:21:18,080 --> 00:21:21,800 Speaker 4: credentials who cannot find a job out there at all. 340 00:21:21,920 --> 00:21:24,720 Speaker 4: It is a very difficult time, and a lot of 341 00:21:24,800 --> 00:21:28,280 Speaker 4: essential things that you need, like housing, hasn't gone down yet. 342 00:21:28,359 --> 00:21:30,800 Speaker 4: Now I will say the one, the one caveat where 343 00:21:30,800 --> 00:21:33,320 Speaker 4: we might see some kind of little bounce or some 344 00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:36,359 Speaker 4: glimmer pope is in these tax returns with the no 345 00:21:36,520 --> 00:21:38,600 Speaker 4: tax on tip. I've spoken of people who work in 346 00:21:38,880 --> 00:21:42,240 Speaker 4: restaurants and in hair or hairstylists who said that they've 347 00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:44,439 Speaker 4: receive the biggest tax return they've ever had, almost a 348 00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:47,720 Speaker 4: life changing kind of tax return. So maybe we'll see 349 00:21:47,760 --> 00:21:50,520 Speaker 4: a better bounce with the working class because of that. 350 00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:53,160 Speaker 4: But look, I mean, look at these job losses. Manufacturing 351 00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:56,600 Speaker 4: hasn't returned with numbers and manufacturers lost jobs. So with 352 00:21:56,720 --> 00:22:00,280 Speaker 4: a lot of blue collar employment that's really taken a 353 00:22:00,359 --> 00:22:05,320 Speaker 4: toll out on especially blue collar people, namely especial Latinos. 354 00:22:05,840 --> 00:22:09,120 Speaker 1: Okay, again we're speaking with Ryan Gradusky of the seventeen 355 00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:11,960 Speaker 1: seventy six project pack. He also has a wonderful substack, 356 00:22:12,040 --> 00:22:15,600 Speaker 1: by the way, super informative. Okay, Ryan, other parts of 357 00:22:15,640 --> 00:22:19,280 Speaker 1: the coalition that we have gloss at least for the 358 00:22:19,320 --> 00:22:22,399 Speaker 1: time being, what are they, who are they and why? 359 00:22:24,040 --> 00:22:27,320 Speaker 4: There is seems to be amounting evidence that white collar 360 00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:31,159 Speaker 4: white sorry, blue collar white voters out of college degree 361 00:22:31,320 --> 00:22:34,280 Speaker 4: have definitely eased up support among trom Now that doesn't 362 00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:37,040 Speaker 4: mean they're going to vote for Democrats necessarily. They may 363 00:22:37,080 --> 00:22:39,080 Speaker 4: not vote at all. And this comes to the question 364 00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:41,520 Speaker 4: of how interested are you are in these elections, how 365 00:22:41,600 --> 00:22:44,720 Speaker 4: interested you are and going to vote. There is softness 366 00:22:44,760 --> 00:22:48,080 Speaker 4: around this, namely on the issue of the economy doesn't 367 00:22:48,119 --> 00:22:51,119 Speaker 4: feel better and they and you know, obviously Trump is 368 00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:54,800 Speaker 4: another semails by then, but the economy feels like a 369 00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:58,240 Speaker 4: bit like the Obama like the Biden economy, and they 370 00:22:58,320 --> 00:23:00,960 Speaker 4: really were hoping for a return. Maybe it was a 371 00:23:00,960 --> 00:23:03,880 Speaker 4: false hope. There was a turn to Trump's first term 372 00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:07,120 Speaker 4: where it was, you know, magnificent growth all around. They 373 00:23:07,160 --> 00:23:09,359 Speaker 4: don't particularly care about the stock marker off the stock 374 00:23:09,359 --> 00:23:11,960 Speaker 4: markets don't well, it really hasn't. And there's also a 375 00:23:11,960 --> 00:23:15,040 Speaker 4: bit of fear around the subjects of AI over you know, 376 00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:18,920 Speaker 4: is AI going to affect their jobs? People are very 377 00:23:19,119 --> 00:23:24,080 Speaker 4: very nervous, especially young people, who soften their support for Democrats, 378 00:23:24,280 --> 00:23:27,840 Speaker 4: which they historically supported in twenty twenty four. But you know, 379 00:23:27,920 --> 00:23:32,120 Speaker 4: the economy for new employees is a businal. Unemployment rate 380 00:23:32,200 --> 00:23:35,200 Speaker 4: is well into the double digits for recent college graduates, 381 00:23:35,280 --> 00:23:37,879 Speaker 4: and they are worried, is that AI has kind of 382 00:23:38,240 --> 00:23:41,000 Speaker 4: you know ended the job market for them, it's it's 383 00:23:41,080 --> 00:23:44,040 Speaker 4: and and Trump is the AI president. I told this 384 00:23:44,240 --> 00:23:49,520 Speaker 4: to kind of every Republican worth listen to me. AI 385 00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:55,320 Speaker 4: is incredibly unpopular. Data center is super unpopular. And Democrats 386 00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:58,760 Speaker 4: are really kind of feeling that that populism out in 387 00:23:58,800 --> 00:24:01,359 Speaker 4: a way that Republicans won't even entertain at this time. 388 00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:05,879 Speaker 4: There's a very very smart Democratic data scientist by the 389 00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:08,720 Speaker 4: name of David Shore, incredibly smart. You should look him up. 390 00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:12,760 Speaker 4: He produced the study where they said, if you introduced 391 00:24:12,760 --> 00:24:18,400 Speaker 4: ideas around economic populism related to AI, there's a four 392 00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:23,560 Speaker 4: percent national shift and the electorate from Republican to Democrats 393 00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:25,679 Speaker 4: to Democrat. What does that mean? That means you go 394 00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:29,320 Speaker 4: from a Trump twenty twenty four election to a Biden 395 00:24:29,680 --> 00:24:33,200 Speaker 4: Obama twenty twelve election. That is House of the year 396 00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:36,080 Speaker 4: of a shift it is. And how worry people are? 397 00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:39,760 Speaker 4: So you have prices not going down. There inflation is 398 00:24:39,760 --> 00:24:41,960 Speaker 4: going down, but the prices haven't. You're a week job 399 00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:46,160 Speaker 4: market week hiring, and you have a genuine fear about 400 00:24:46,440 --> 00:24:49,119 Speaker 4: of people of uncertainty, especially related to AI. 401 00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:55,160 Speaker 1: Okay, why I'll just ask you this one in fact, Rian, 402 00:24:55,400 --> 00:24:57,280 Speaker 1: do you have time to stay for one more segment 403 00:24:57,280 --> 00:24:59,040 Speaker 1: after this, and I have another questions. Okay, all right, 404 00:24:59,080 --> 00:25:00,840 Speaker 1: well we'll come back with more, but I want to 405 00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:03,840 Speaker 1: ask this question before we go to break. Why is 406 00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:07,720 Speaker 1: Trump the AI president? To find that? What has he done? 407 00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:08,840 Speaker 2: Oh? 408 00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:11,280 Speaker 4: He has been. I mean, if you look at the 409 00:25:11,320 --> 00:25:16,560 Speaker 4: White House, white House is outline on AI regulation. There's 410 00:25:16,840 --> 00:25:20,040 Speaker 4: very minimal. It's a little things towards children's safety, it's 411 00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:24,320 Speaker 4: very very small. Mostly it says, please stop regulating AI 412 00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:29,440 Speaker 4: at the state level. And the answer from Republicans always is, oh, well, 413 00:25:29,440 --> 00:25:31,679 Speaker 4: then we're going to have just California regulate. That is 414 00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:37,920 Speaker 4: not true. Tennessee, Texas, Florida, Arkansas all are regulating AI 415 00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:40,400 Speaker 4: because the government's not doing anything and people want some 416 00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:43,800 Speaker 4: kind of response. They're worried about copyright law, they're worried 417 00:25:43,800 --> 00:25:47,920 Speaker 4: about protections for children, they're worried about you know, these 418 00:25:47,920 --> 00:25:51,840 Speaker 4: expenses and energy from data centers. All this stuff is 419 00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:55,000 Speaker 4: real and serious and they're very very nervous about it. 420 00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:57,720 Speaker 4: And the states are responding, and the federal government is it. 421 00:25:58,320 --> 00:26:00,840 Speaker 4: And you have a lot of people in and around 422 00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:04,200 Speaker 4: Trump's circle who are just tech bros. And the answer 423 00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:06,680 Speaker 4: for them is always don't regulate the market, old, don't 424 00:26:06,720 --> 00:26:09,920 Speaker 4: realy taxes at all. Everything will be figured out and 425 00:26:10,119 --> 00:26:13,280 Speaker 4: somehow all this, you know, Ai, all this AI and 426 00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:16,520 Speaker 4: I mentioned innovations is going to end up with more 427 00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:19,680 Speaker 4: jobs despite many people saying it's going to take jobs away. 428 00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:23,399 Speaker 1: We are going to return in just a moment with 429 00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:25,600 Speaker 1: Ryan Gradusky, and I'm going to ask him about the 430 00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:28,520 Speaker 1: foreign policy stuff, because everyone has a strong opinion on that. 431 00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:31,400 Speaker 1: Is that a winner? Is it a loser? If so, why? 432 00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:33,840 Speaker 1: But we'll be back and talk to Ryan about that 433 00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:38,280 Speaker 1: in a moment. It is the Jesse Kelly Show on 434 00:26:38,320 --> 00:26:42,320 Speaker 1: a Thursday. Reminding you tomorrow is ask doctor Jesse Friday. 435 00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:45,879 Speaker 1: Get your questions in now to Jesse at Jesse kellyshow 436 00:26:45,920 --> 00:26:49,399 Speaker 1: dot com. Back with Ryan Gradusky. All right, Ryan, let's 437 00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:54,320 Speaker 1: talk about the elephant in the room foreign policy Iran 438 00:26:54,600 --> 00:26:59,280 Speaker 1: specifically right now. Obviously Trump diehards are not going anywhere, 439 00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:04,040 Speaker 1: that's always the case. Are we actually losing independence over this? 440 00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:06,920 Speaker 1: If so, why, what's the gripe? What do they love? 441 00:27:07,320 --> 00:27:08,399 Speaker 1: It's the floors yours. 442 00:27:10,280 --> 00:27:13,480 Speaker 4: I want people to understand. Look at Venezuela and the 443 00:27:13,960 --> 00:27:18,120 Speaker 4: arrest of Nicholas Mandoro. It was a flawless operation. Literally 444 00:27:18,280 --> 00:27:21,720 Speaker 4: nothing went wrong, and Trump experience about a one and 445 00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:25,720 Speaker 4: a half point bounce from that entire thing. No one 446 00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:28,960 Speaker 4: really cares. It is a very worary country who feels 447 00:27:29,040 --> 00:27:31,440 Speaker 4: that we need to emphasis and we need to work 448 00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:34,080 Speaker 4: on ourselves. We need some tender, loving care us as 449 00:27:34,119 --> 00:27:38,320 Speaker 4: the American people. Trump is done Trump. The belief is 450 00:27:38,359 --> 00:27:42,200 Speaker 4: that Trump does not have the priorities of the American people. 451 00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:46,359 Speaker 4: If you look across polling, comments about anas in Greenland 452 00:27:46,520 --> 00:27:49,800 Speaker 4: or comments about overthrown on Cuba make it look like 453 00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:52,040 Speaker 4: he is very distracted. And there's been a lot of 454 00:27:52,080 --> 00:27:53,960 Speaker 4: polling when it comes to the question of how do 455 00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:58,040 Speaker 4: MAGA Republicans feel? I wrote this on my National Populist newsletter. 456 00:27:58,080 --> 00:27:59,600 Speaker 4: I'm going to talk about on my substaff on my 457 00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:04,440 Speaker 4: podcasts A numbers Game. Ryan Grodowski. The when you look 458 00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:08,000 Speaker 4: at it's very difficult to look at MAGA Republicans because 459 00:28:08,000 --> 00:28:11,960 Speaker 4: there's nothing to identify them aside from what they claim. 460 00:28:12,280 --> 00:28:14,440 Speaker 4: You cannot look at their voter registration did and say, 461 00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:19,840 Speaker 4: oh mail, oh Caucasian, Oh, registered Democrat, registered Republican lives 462 00:28:19,840 --> 00:28:23,159 Speaker 4: in an urban area, age wise. Things that kind of 463 00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:26,600 Speaker 4: weight polls to make them accurate. Everything is self determination, 464 00:28:27,040 --> 00:28:29,800 Speaker 4: So the idea of who is a MAGA Republican really 465 00:28:29,840 --> 00:28:32,960 Speaker 4: depends on do they like Trump at that given moment, 466 00:28:33,000 --> 00:28:35,800 Speaker 4: which is why you're seeing polls range from at low 467 00:28:36,000 --> 00:28:39,040 Speaker 4: eighty one percent support the around bombing to at high 468 00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:42,640 Speaker 4: ninety two percent. The highest pole of opposition with eleven 469 00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:45,400 Speaker 4: percent in the lowest was two percent, So overwhelming those 470 00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:49,920 Speaker 4: who identify as MAGA Republicans support what the president's doing, 471 00:28:50,120 --> 00:28:53,800 Speaker 4: but that is not actually the president's space, because they're 472 00:28:53,840 --> 00:28:56,840 Speaker 4: beyond that. The president space comes from two different things. 473 00:28:56,880 --> 00:29:00,280 Speaker 4: One obviously Trump voters from twenty twenty four, and the 474 00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:03,920 Speaker 4: second whites without a college degree the most loyal Republicans 475 00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:06,280 Speaker 4: that there are, and at times the only Republican voters 476 00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:09,560 Speaker 4: are white without a college degree or majority Republican voters. 477 00:29:09,920 --> 00:29:12,000 Speaker 4: So when you look at Trump voters at the very 478 00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:15,160 Speaker 4: beginning when the bombings happen, eighty two percent support at 479 00:29:15,200 --> 00:29:18,280 Speaker 4: about twelve percent opposed, it not that far off from 480 00:29:18,320 --> 00:29:23,960 Speaker 4: where MAGA Republicans were really. As gas prices increased because 481 00:29:24,160 --> 00:29:27,960 Speaker 4: the bombing, Trump voters certainty about the support for the 482 00:29:28,080 --> 00:29:33,480 Speaker 4: bombings decreased substantially to by March eighteenth, it had fallen 483 00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:36,840 Speaker 4: to about seventy percent according to the political poll. In 484 00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:39,640 Speaker 4: the Fox News poll with seventy four percent, that's a 485 00:29:39,720 --> 00:29:43,760 Speaker 4: significant decrease from the eighty two percent, and opposition, while 486 00:29:43,760 --> 00:29:47,920 Speaker 4: opposition has an increased uncertainty and undecided has increased this 487 00:29:48,080 --> 00:29:50,640 Speaker 4: fear that this is actually going to affect them at home. 488 00:29:50,680 --> 00:29:52,760 Speaker 4: This is not just an arrest of Nicholas Mandora where 489 00:29:52,800 --> 00:29:56,440 Speaker 4: nothing happens and this is over in thirty seconds. Among 490 00:29:56,600 --> 00:29:59,600 Speaker 4: whites without a college degree, this is this is key. 491 00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:03,160 Speaker 4: At the very beginning. According to Washington Post and CNN polling, 492 00:30:03,400 --> 00:30:05,880 Speaker 4: whites are the college degrees support the bombings by almost 493 00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:09,720 Speaker 4: twenty points. By the time that gas prices hit they 494 00:30:09,800 --> 00:30:14,040 Speaker 4: oppose the bombings by sixteen points. When it hit home, 495 00:30:14,600 --> 00:30:17,280 Speaker 4: they said this is too much for me, especially as 496 00:30:17,320 --> 00:30:20,560 Speaker 4: they've been reeling from high prices throughout the Biden years 497 00:30:20,760 --> 00:30:23,320 Speaker 4: and now into the Trump years. Even though incomes have 498 00:30:23,560 --> 00:30:27,000 Speaker 4: picked up past inflation levels, they haven't caught up to 499 00:30:27,040 --> 00:30:30,400 Speaker 4: where they were before COVID when things were getting comfortable 500 00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:33,320 Speaker 4: for them. So that is really where they're at where 501 00:30:33,320 --> 00:30:35,400 Speaker 4: they're saying this is now affecting me at home. There 502 00:30:35,400 --> 00:30:37,440 Speaker 4: are a few dead Americans. There's a couple, you know, 503 00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:40,640 Speaker 4: injured Americans. That's all sad, But now I'm feeling it 504 00:30:40,680 --> 00:30:42,640 Speaker 4: at my kitchen table and I have to decide what 505 00:30:42,720 --> 00:30:45,760 Speaker 4: can I pay for this week. That's really going to 506 00:30:46,160 --> 00:30:50,120 Speaker 4: make them angry and increasing uncertain. Even though they trust Trump, 507 00:30:50,120 --> 00:30:52,320 Speaker 4: they're uncertain that this was good for them in the 508 00:30:52,360 --> 00:30:52,880 Speaker 4: long run. 509 00:30:54,160 --> 00:30:58,240 Speaker 1: Okay, last question for me in your opinion, because you 510 00:30:58,280 --> 00:31:03,000 Speaker 1: break all these things down demographic impolling wise, if Donald 511 00:31:03,000 --> 00:31:07,160 Speaker 1: Trump can find an off ramp with Iran, wrap things up, 512 00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:11,040 Speaker 1: come on back home. Can we get them back? Can 513 00:31:11,080 --> 00:31:14,600 Speaker 1: we earn them back? November is still a few months off. 514 00:31:14,600 --> 00:31:17,400 Speaker 1: We have some time. Can we get them back? Yeah? 515 00:31:17,440 --> 00:31:19,800 Speaker 4: The good thing is is that there is no trust 516 00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:22,200 Speaker 4: on behalf of the Democratic Party. And when you ask, 517 00:31:22,240 --> 00:31:25,880 Speaker 4: they ask voters, they actually still trust Republicans more than 518 00:31:25,920 --> 00:31:29,320 Speaker 4: they trust Democrats, and they're very weirded out by them. 519 00:31:29,360 --> 00:31:32,960 Speaker 4: They find Democrats to be personally very strange, and their 520 00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:36,360 Speaker 4: obsession with things like who goes to who's locker room 521 00:31:36,360 --> 00:31:38,719 Speaker 4: and who's bathroom, and they refusal to just say, you know, 522 00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:41,120 Speaker 4: we're not a part of this. They're kind of dodging 523 00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:44,320 Speaker 4: questions and Also, now we have Democrats after a couple 524 00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:46,680 Speaker 4: of victories like in Virginia and in New York City, 525 00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:49,200 Speaker 4: who were talking about affordability, and the first thing they're 526 00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:53,120 Speaker 4: doing is raising taxes, including on middle income people. They're 527 00:31:53,240 --> 00:31:56,800 Speaker 4: not really about that. So, yes, they don't like the Democrats. 528 00:31:56,840 --> 00:31:59,880 Speaker 4: It's just a binary choice, Republican or Democrat. In part 529 00:31:59,920 --> 00:32:01,880 Speaker 4: of them is saying, well, Trump's not working out for me, 530 00:32:02,120 --> 00:32:04,200 Speaker 4: so I have to vote against the party. That's that's 531 00:32:04,240 --> 00:32:07,000 Speaker 4: that's against him. However, they don't love that choice. They 532 00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:08,920 Speaker 4: are not sold in the Democratic Party at all. 533 00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:13,280 Speaker 1: Okay, I just wanted I needed some glimmer of hope 534 00:32:13,360 --> 00:32:17,080 Speaker 1: at the end, Ryan, and you delivered. I gave Ryan, 535 00:32:17,120 --> 00:32:20,200 Speaker 1: where do you stand on the chili cheese dog? Because 536 00:32:20,200 --> 00:32:22,400 Speaker 1: we just ordered some of those because it's opening day 537 00:32:22,400 --> 00:32:26,200 Speaker 1: in baseball? Where do you stand on this? I? 538 00:32:26,280 --> 00:32:28,560 Speaker 4: What is it? I've never had one? 539 00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:31,000 Speaker 1: You've never had a chili cheese hot dog. 540 00:32:32,440 --> 00:32:34,800 Speaker 4: They come with the it's a hot dog with chili 541 00:32:34,840 --> 00:32:35,520 Speaker 4: on top of it? 542 00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:42,120 Speaker 1: Are you being serious right now? I mean, is a 543 00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:45,880 Speaker 1: chili kind of a what the it's a hot dog 544 00:32:46,000 --> 00:32:47,280 Speaker 1: with chili and cheese? 545 00:32:48,040 --> 00:32:49,920 Speaker 4: What do you mean? What is inside? 546 00:32:50,160 --> 00:32:53,720 Speaker 1: Yes? It's on top of it. Do you live. 547 00:32:56,480 --> 00:32:56,560 Speaker 4: Right? 548 00:32:56,640 --> 00:32:59,360 Speaker 1: We're gonna Chris. We need to send Ryan some chili 549 00:32:59,440 --> 00:33:03,480 Speaker 1: cheese hot dogs. Somehow I can't. I'm just flabbergasted. This 550 00:33:03,520 --> 00:33:05,520 Speaker 1: is the most devis This is worse than the poll numbers. 551 00:33:05,840 --> 00:33:08,080 Speaker 1: I can't even believe this. Ryan, Thank you, my brother. 552 00:33:08,240 --> 00:33:13,160 Speaker 1: Enjoy your weekend. Chris is a Jew and he's had 553 00:33:13,240 --> 00:33:16,160 Speaker 1: chili cheese hot dogs. That's not even legal for you. 554 00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:23,360 Speaker 1: Ryan to Wow, I've lived a very different life than 555 00:33:23,400 --> 00:33:25,680 Speaker 1: some other people. I feel like, am. 556 00:33:25,520 --> 00:33:26,440 Speaker 4: I the weird one here? 557 00:33:27,040 --> 00:33:30,360 Speaker 1: I'm not the weird one? Right? Thank you? Anyway, we 558 00:33:30,480 --> 00:33:31,520 Speaker 1: still have an hour. Hang on