1 00:00:00,880 --> 00:00:03,960 Speaker 1: This is Football in the NATI, brought to you by 2 00:00:04,519 --> 00:00:09,639 Speaker 1: Modern office Methods on ESPN fifteen thirty, the official home 3 00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:11,200 Speaker 1: of the Cincinnati Bengal. 4 00:00:11,080 --> 00:00:15,440 Speaker 2: Twenty three after four o'clock. This is ESPN fifteen thirty Moeger. 5 00:00:16,480 --> 00:00:20,760 Speaker 2: We spend time every Thursday chatting with Robert windrab right say, 6 00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:23,840 Speaker 2: weekly Bengals column for Cincinnati Magazine. You could read it 7 00:00:23,920 --> 00:00:28,880 Speaker 2: right now while we're having this conversation at Cincinnati Magazine 8 00:00:29,160 --> 00:00:31,920 Speaker 2: dot com. Robert, how are we doing well? 9 00:00:31,920 --> 00:00:35,120 Speaker 3: I don't want people to have divided attention spans, So 10 00:00:35,400 --> 00:00:37,720 Speaker 3: let's wait until the commercial break. Then you can look 11 00:00:37,760 --> 00:00:39,840 Speaker 3: at my piece and read it at your leisure. 12 00:00:40,000 --> 00:00:42,320 Speaker 2: How about just wait until after the show so you 13 00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 2: can completely engage and the message is provided by our 14 00:00:45,880 --> 00:00:47,080 Speaker 2: loyal advertisers. 15 00:00:47,920 --> 00:00:50,199 Speaker 3: Even better scenario, Thanks you for correct Thanks. 16 00:00:51,159 --> 00:00:51,559 Speaker 4: There you go. 17 00:00:51,680 --> 00:00:54,280 Speaker 2: You know, all is right with the world. Joe Burrow 18 00:00:54,360 --> 00:00:56,960 Speaker 2: is back, and he reminded after he knocked off some 19 00:00:57,080 --> 00:00:59,240 Speaker 2: rusts early in that game, reminded the world that he's, 20 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 2: you know, pretty good. 21 00:01:00,960 --> 00:01:04,600 Speaker 3: Yeah. It's just such a transformative figure. It really is amazing, 22 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:07,120 Speaker 3: isn't it. I mean, Zach Taylor looks like a genius. 23 00:01:07,200 --> 00:01:10,720 Speaker 3: Sal Golden looks confident, even like Brown looks like he's, 24 00:01:10,760 --> 00:01:13,520 Speaker 3: you know, got some idea of what's going on as 25 00:01:13,560 --> 00:01:16,840 Speaker 3: long as Joe Burrow's out there and playing. And you know, 26 00:01:16,840 --> 00:01:18,920 Speaker 3: it might have been a little fluky, but yeah, the 27 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 3: Bengals have nine takeaways and ten quarters with Joe Burrow playing, 28 00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:24,639 Speaker 3: and that they gets six turnovers in the other thirty 29 00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:27,080 Speaker 3: eight quarters with the backups in there. I mean, you know, 30 00:01:27,280 --> 00:01:29,319 Speaker 3: maybe there's not a direct A to B line on 31 00:01:29,400 --> 00:01:31,880 Speaker 3: that and it's a little fluky, but I don't think so. 32 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:34,000 Speaker 3: I don't think the Bengals players think so either. You 33 00:01:34,000 --> 00:01:36,759 Speaker 3: could see just the way they rally them and everybody 34 00:01:36,800 --> 00:01:40,040 Speaker 3: knows this. It's nothing new. You know, your franchise quarterback 35 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:44,759 Speaker 3: obviously makes is the ultimate disinfected, right, and he makes everything. 36 00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:48,360 Speaker 3: When he's gone, the warts appear, and when he's out 37 00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:51,560 Speaker 3: there things are much more rosy. So we saw that 38 00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:54,440 Speaker 3: with Joe. I don't know if I was expecting to 39 00:01:54,480 --> 00:01:56,760 Speaker 3: be quite that obvious in his first game back, but 40 00:01:57,080 --> 00:01:59,760 Speaker 3: you know, the hard cleats or whatever it is he's 41 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:03,880 Speaker 3: wearing is obviously has magical powers and it was great 42 00:02:03,960 --> 00:02:07,480 Speaker 3: for at least one weekend to you know, Thursday night, anyway, 43 00:02:07,480 --> 00:02:09,639 Speaker 3: to be reminded of what we've been missing over the 44 00:02:09,720 --> 00:02:12,960 Speaker 3: last whatever it's been two and a half months, I mean, 45 00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:15,799 Speaker 3: and what we've really been robbed over these first six 46 00:02:15,880 --> 00:02:19,000 Speaker 3: years of his career with twenty plus starts missed, you know. 47 00:02:19,080 --> 00:02:21,800 Speaker 3: I mean, it's you know, that's looking negativity on what 48 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:24,000 Speaker 3: should be a bit of an optimistic week. But still 49 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:26,600 Speaker 3: it made me a little wistful seeing the Bengals and 50 00:02:27,200 --> 00:02:30,359 Speaker 3: Burrow play so well and reminded me of what we've 51 00:02:30,360 --> 00:02:32,600 Speaker 3: been missing out on with him out. But at least 52 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:33,400 Speaker 3: for now, it's all good. 53 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 2: How'd you feel at halftime when he had dropped back 54 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:36,560 Speaker 2: thirty three times? 55 00:02:37,120 --> 00:02:40,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, I was a little surprised by that too. I 56 00:02:40,639 --> 00:02:43,320 Speaker 3: guess it was all that preseason action. Yeah, that was 57 00:02:44,040 --> 00:02:46,760 Speaker 3: for that, right, Yeah, it was a lot, no question 58 00:02:46,880 --> 00:02:49,760 Speaker 3: about it. And you know, but it's Joe Burrow. You 59 00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:52,880 Speaker 3: just see him telling Zach Taylor out of the game. Hey, 60 00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:56,840 Speaker 3: no restrictions, you know, no restrictor plate Let's go call 61 00:02:56,919 --> 00:02:59,519 Speaker 3: the game as we would. That's the matchup. They wanted 62 00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:02,040 Speaker 3: to take advance. They thought they, you know, could get 63 00:03:02,680 --> 00:03:04,799 Speaker 3: the ball moving better through the air, and that's usually 64 00:03:04,800 --> 00:03:06,680 Speaker 3: the case with Joe out there, even with see Higgins 65 00:03:06,720 --> 00:03:10,880 Speaker 3: out so a little surprising, and you know, you always 66 00:03:10,880 --> 00:03:12,880 Speaker 3: worry in the back of your mind when he drops 67 00:03:12,919 --> 00:03:15,120 Speaker 3: back a lot like that that maybe it's not the 68 00:03:15,160 --> 00:03:17,839 Speaker 3: best idea. But and he got through the game and 69 00:03:18,800 --> 00:03:20,840 Speaker 3: we know what he's capable of, and it was it 70 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:22,639 Speaker 3: worked out. So as long as it keeps working out, 71 00:03:22,680 --> 00:03:25,519 Speaker 3: I'm fine with it. Let's let's hope they get a 72 00:03:25,600 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 3: more balance attack going forward down. 73 00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:30,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, no question. You you wrote about the Bengals 74 00:03:30,480 --> 00:03:33,880 Speaker 2: blitzing Lamar, blitz the Bejesus out of him. First time 75 00:03:33,880 --> 00:03:36,000 Speaker 2: I've used the word but Jesus on this show. So 76 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 2: I've wondered this, right, especially for a team that like 77 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:42,280 Speaker 2: linebacker in particular, you got guys who aren't good at coverage, 78 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:43,960 Speaker 2: So why don't you send him in the other direction 79 00:03:44,080 --> 00:03:46,000 Speaker 2: and just have them go after the quarterback? Should they 80 00:03:46,040 --> 00:03:49,440 Speaker 2: start just pretty much blitzing everybody? 81 00:03:49,480 --> 00:03:51,680 Speaker 3: Well, yeah, I think you see, and you and l 82 00:03:51,720 --> 00:03:57,520 Speaker 3: Golden are thinking alike in that scenario. Whether that's worth Yeah, 83 00:03:57,520 --> 00:03:59,960 Speaker 3: they've definitely up to their blitzing. Take and listen, I mean, 84 00:04:00,320 --> 00:04:01,520 Speaker 3: there are a lot of guys and a lot of 85 00:04:01,520 --> 00:04:04,680 Speaker 3: offenses you don't blitz. I mean, maybe it's counterintuitive, but 86 00:04:04,800 --> 00:04:07,320 Speaker 3: Aaron Rodgers is one of the least blitzed quarterbacks in 87 00:04:07,360 --> 00:04:10,080 Speaker 3: the league. So it is the attack of Baila and 88 00:04:10,120 --> 00:04:13,000 Speaker 3: why their whole offenses are geared toward getting the ball 89 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:15,720 Speaker 3: out really fast and throwing the guys who the linebackers 90 00:04:15,760 --> 00:04:19,400 Speaker 3: and safeties, guys who normally blitz would ordinarily be covering. 91 00:04:19,839 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 3: So you know, you think in that scenario you don't 92 00:04:22,320 --> 00:04:24,360 Speaker 3: want to do it quite so much. But your point 93 00:04:24,440 --> 00:04:26,880 Speaker 3: is valid in that the Bengals have to get some 94 00:04:26,920 --> 00:04:30,320 Speaker 3: pressure from anywhere. They've been dying for it all year. 95 00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:33,479 Speaker 3: They're still playing without Trey Hendrickson and Shabbar Stewart, and 96 00:04:33,520 --> 00:04:36,120 Speaker 3: it's just, you know, you're at the point now where 97 00:04:36,120 --> 00:04:37,760 Speaker 3: you've got to find that pressure from anywhere. And you 98 00:04:37,800 --> 00:04:40,400 Speaker 3: saw on Thursday what that meant to a team when 99 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:42,880 Speaker 3: they can actually get heat on the opposed quarterback. They 100 00:04:42,920 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 3: might not get five turnovers every game by doing it, 101 00:04:45,240 --> 00:04:47,440 Speaker 3: but I don't think there's any question they'll be blissing 102 00:04:47,480 --> 00:04:50,640 Speaker 3: a lot Josh Allen and everyone else they play on 103 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:52,719 Speaker 3: down the line. They get Lamar again, he's the most 104 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:54,640 Speaker 3: blitzed quarterback in the league, and when he's not one 105 00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:57,279 Speaker 3: hundred percent, you know, the Bengals have done it before. 106 00:04:57,320 --> 00:04:59,840 Speaker 3: They've gone after a hymn rumentlessly. And I think you'll 107 00:05:00,160 --> 00:05:02,960 Speaker 3: he'll definitely see a blitz heavy package for the for 108 00:05:03,040 --> 00:05:05,160 Speaker 3: the last few games of the season, no question about it. 109 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:07,360 Speaker 2: Robert win trub is with excuse me, Robert wind Trump 110 00:05:07,400 --> 00:05:10,080 Speaker 2: is with a Cincinnati magazine dot com. He also contributes 111 00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:13,080 Speaker 2: to a website FTN Fantasy And this time of year, 112 00:05:13,120 --> 00:05:15,920 Speaker 2: a lot of folks love to hit refresh on their 113 00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:19,800 Speaker 2: DVOA odds. Right, So the Bengals right now six point 114 00:05:19,960 --> 00:05:22,760 Speaker 2: six percent, which is basically loaded up on the AFC 115 00:05:22,800 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 2: North six point five percent. How are DVOA odds calculated? 116 00:05:28,080 --> 00:05:30,960 Speaker 3: Well, you start with the overall efficiency of the team, 117 00:05:31,000 --> 00:05:34,520 Speaker 3: which is DVOA. Bengals pretty low in that category still 118 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:38,040 Speaker 3: despite the win on Thursday and many we play out 119 00:05:38,040 --> 00:05:41,200 Speaker 3: the season twenty for the remainder of the season in 120 00:05:41,279 --> 00:05:44,800 Speaker 3: its entirety, twenty five thousand times with the supercomputer in 121 00:05:44,839 --> 00:05:48,440 Speaker 3: the back room, I think his name is Gene, and uh, 122 00:05:49,000 --> 00:05:51,480 Speaker 3: you know, you take we take recent events into account, 123 00:05:51,600 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 3: kind of waited a little bit, so the most recent 124 00:05:53,600 --> 00:05:56,960 Speaker 3: games and you know, things like Joe Joe Burrow coming 125 00:05:57,000 --> 00:06:00,839 Speaker 3: back are taken into account, and many take those twenty 126 00:06:00,839 --> 00:06:03,600 Speaker 3: five thousand scenarios and you get the average wins and 127 00:06:03,600 --> 00:06:06,039 Speaker 3: losses from it, put into a spreadsheet and see what 128 00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:09,359 Speaker 3: happens overall in that scenario as it pertains to the Bengals, 129 00:06:09,400 --> 00:06:12,720 Speaker 3: as you say, only six percent of the time, six 130 00:06:12,720 --> 00:06:15,800 Speaker 3: point six percent of the time. Today, you know match 131 00:06:15,880 --> 00:06:19,080 Speaker 3: basically to win out and steal the AFC North. And 132 00:06:19,320 --> 00:06:21,920 Speaker 3: you know that's not that surprising, right, I mean, it's 133 00:06:21,920 --> 00:06:24,320 Speaker 3: hard for any NFL team in any scenario to win 134 00:06:24,440 --> 00:06:28,200 Speaker 3: five or six straight games. I mean that's not asked. 135 00:06:28,279 --> 00:06:30,760 Speaker 3: That asking a lot for any team. But this proof 136 00:06:30,760 --> 00:06:34,360 Speaker 3: of concept, you know we did last year, seldom make 137 00:06:34,400 --> 00:06:36,960 Speaker 3: the rundown the stretch, win five straight and if not 138 00:06:37,040 --> 00:06:39,840 Speaker 3: for the Chiefs turtling, do exactly what they are trying 139 00:06:39,839 --> 00:06:42,240 Speaker 3: to do this year, which is, you know, turn a 140 00:06:42,520 --> 00:06:45,760 Speaker 3: depressing three months into an amazing last month and and 141 00:06:45,839 --> 00:06:47,400 Speaker 3: come from way back in the pack and do it. 142 00:06:47,480 --> 00:06:52,120 Speaker 3: So you know, the playoff odds would definitely go up 143 00:06:52,279 --> 00:06:54,840 Speaker 3: if they beat Buffalo. And you have to remember to 144 00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:57,000 Speaker 3: Raid and the Steelers play each other, and one of 145 00:06:57,040 --> 00:06:59,080 Speaker 3: their odds are going to go down and it's gonna 146 00:06:59,600 --> 00:07:01,360 Speaker 3: you know, as long as they keep winning, those ads 147 00:07:01,360 --> 00:07:02,800 Speaker 3: will go up and up. That's all we can really 148 00:07:02,800 --> 00:07:03,800 Speaker 3: hope for this time of year. 149 00:07:04,040 --> 00:07:07,160 Speaker 2: I would describe right now a Raven Steelers game as 150 00:07:07,200 --> 00:07:09,720 Speaker 2: a pillow fight. And I don't know that at any 151 00:07:09,720 --> 00:07:12,080 Speaker 2: point I ever envisioned myself saying that about those two 152 00:07:12,120 --> 00:07:13,360 Speaker 2: teams playing against each other. 153 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:17,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's kind of hard to believe. Right there's two 154 00:07:17,240 --> 00:07:20,480 Speaker 3: rock ribbed franchises right now just don't have much booms 155 00:07:20,520 --> 00:07:23,080 Speaker 3: behind anything they're doing. And you know, again, especially in 156 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:26,320 Speaker 3: Baltimore's case, a lot of that is tied to the 157 00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:28,320 Speaker 3: health of the quarterback. Just like we were talking about 158 00:07:28,320 --> 00:07:31,360 Speaker 3: with the Bengals, Lamar Jackson not himself, and they're a 159 00:07:31,440 --> 00:07:34,320 Speaker 3: very mortal team, and all the things that you think 160 00:07:34,360 --> 00:07:38,240 Speaker 3: about as being strengths are not really the case. And 161 00:07:38,280 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 3: it all ties back into the fact that their quarterback 162 00:07:40,800 --> 00:07:43,480 Speaker 3: is injured. And with Pittsburgh, you know, I think to 163 00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:45,680 Speaker 3: coin a phrase or was it Dennis Green who said 164 00:07:46,240 --> 00:07:48,120 Speaker 3: they are who we thought they were? You know, a 165 00:07:48,200 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 3: team coming down the stretch with an ancient quarterback, not 166 00:07:51,600 --> 00:07:55,480 Speaker 3: much of an offensive plan. You know, guy spending a 167 00:07:55,520 --> 00:07:57,960 Speaker 3: lot of money on the defense that really isn't that capable. 168 00:07:57,960 --> 00:08:00,920 Speaker 3: And you know they're a team that when you have fire, 169 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:03,680 Speaker 3: your coach chance. I mean, as much as everybody complains 170 00:08:03,680 --> 00:08:06,559 Speaker 3: about Zach Taylor, I don't recall any fire Zach Taylor 171 00:08:06,720 --> 00:08:10,000 Speaker 3: chance at the Course Stadium recently. So that's going on 172 00:08:10,040 --> 00:08:13,120 Speaker 3: in Pittsburgh. So you can tell right now they're in 173 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:15,680 Speaker 3: the toilet. But you know they play each other. As 174 00:08:15,680 --> 00:08:17,800 Speaker 3: I mentioned on Sunday, one of those fan bases are 175 00:08:17,840 --> 00:08:20,280 Speaker 3: going to feel a lot better about themselves come Monday morning. 176 00:08:20,920 --> 00:08:23,920 Speaker 3: And you know it's the NFL. Things turn on a dime. 177 00:08:24,080 --> 00:08:26,440 Speaker 3: So I wouldn't discount either one of those teams at 178 00:08:26,440 --> 00:08:29,680 Speaker 3: the moment. But it's ironic and it's here we are, 179 00:08:29,720 --> 00:08:33,360 Speaker 3: and it's the Bengals. Everybody feels the best abound before 180 00:08:33,400 --> 00:08:36,120 Speaker 3: coming from a four and eight hole. Maybe it's not 181 00:08:36,200 --> 00:08:38,840 Speaker 3: impossible given the fact that the Ravens and Steelers are 182 00:08:38,840 --> 00:08:40,280 Speaker 3: really spinning their wheels at the moment. 183 00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:43,400 Speaker 2: Awesome stuff. As always, We will bother you next week. 184 00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:44,000 Speaker 2: Thanks so much. 185 00:08:44,679 --> 00:08:46,600 Speaker 3: I can't wait. It's never bothered, Thanks mam. 186 00:08:46,679 --> 00:08:49,920 Speaker 2: That's our guy. Robert Winstraub, Cincinnatimagazine Dot com go read 187 00:08:49,960 --> 00:08:52,440 Speaker 2: his Bengals column. It's available right now. Hans Schroeder from 188 00:08:52,440 --> 00:08:53,920 Speaker 2: the NFL is going to join us next. 189 00:08:55,400 --> 00:08:59,800 Speaker 1: You've been listening to Football in the NATTI on ESPN 190 00:09:00,040 --> 00:09:07,720 Speaker 1: fifteen thirty, the official home of the Cincinnati Bengals. Cincinnati's 191 00:09:08,040 --> 00:09:11,560 Speaker 1: ESPN fifteen thirty Traffic. 192 00:09:11,600 --> 00:09:14,600 Speaker 4: From the uc Health Traffic Center. U SE Health's Weight 193 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:18,880 Speaker 4: Loss Center offers surgical and medical obesity care and expertise. 194 00:09:19,160 --> 00:09:21,800 Speaker 4: Called five one three nine three nine two two sixty three. 195 00:09:21,920 --> 00:09:25,160 Speaker 4: That's nine three nine two two sixty three on eastbound 196 00:09:25,200 --> 00:09:27,560 Speaker 4: two seventy five, and it's an accident on the Coney 197 00:09:27,600 --> 00:09:29,880 Speaker 4: Bridge off on the right shoulder. Watch out for some 198 00:09:30,040 --> 00:09:33,600 Speaker 4: debris that's on the roadway from that accident in Ohio 199 00:09:33,720 --> 00:09:37,000 Speaker 4: northbound seventy five. Accident on the off ramp to westbound 200 00:09:37,040 --> 00:09:40,679 Speaker 4: two seventy five and North Bend Road. 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