1 00:00:07,160 --> 00:00:11,000 Speaker 1: Tonight what some might see as a sharp pullback tied 2 00:00:11,039 --> 00:00:14,640 Speaker 1: to AI that has some investors asking the same question, 3 00:00:14,800 --> 00:00:17,560 Speaker 1: is this just a blip or a pullback or something 4 00:00:17,600 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 1: that really matters. You're listening to Simply Money, presented by 5 00:00:20,880 --> 00:00:23,840 Speaker 1: All Word Financial on Bob Spondseller along with Brian James. 6 00:00:24,600 --> 00:00:26,119 Speaker 2: Well, we obviously. 7 00:00:25,640 --> 00:00:28,720 Speaker 1: Talk a lot about AI stocks on this show, and 8 00:00:28,760 --> 00:00:31,200 Speaker 1: you know, we talk about the Magnificent seven and those 9 00:00:31,240 --> 00:00:34,199 Speaker 1: are really synonymous, you know, depending on which companies we're 10 00:00:34,200 --> 00:00:40,240 Speaker 1: talking about, usually in the context of potential volatility and valuation, 11 00:00:41,000 --> 00:00:44,880 Speaker 1: you know, Chips, cloud, infrastructure, all that. And we've seen 12 00:00:44,920 --> 00:00:47,520 Speaker 1: a bit of a pullback in these stocks, as Brian 13 00:00:47,560 --> 00:00:50,360 Speaker 1: and I have been talking about for what seems like 14 00:00:50,440 --> 00:00:52,839 Speaker 1: weeks now. We're right in the middle of earning season 15 00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:56,840 Speaker 1: and these stocks have been priced for what I'll say, 16 00:00:56,840 --> 00:00:59,480 Speaker 1: price for perfection for weeks and months. 17 00:00:59,560 --> 00:00:59,760 Speaker 2: Now. 18 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:03,320 Speaker 1: We're getting a little pullback here as we're getting the 19 00:01:03,440 --> 00:01:06,720 Speaker 1: fourth quarter report cards. So Brian, give us a little 20 00:01:06,720 --> 00:01:10,399 Speaker 1: bit of an update on a couple of companies in particular. 21 00:01:10,680 --> 00:01:12,080 Speaker 3: Well, I's had some headlines here. 22 00:01:12,120 --> 00:01:16,000 Speaker 4: So what happened on Tuesday alone, some software and services 23 00:01:16,000 --> 00:01:18,600 Speaker 4: companies lost about three hundred billion in market value. If 24 00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:20,520 Speaker 4: you caught win that the market was down that day, 25 00:01:20,560 --> 00:01:23,200 Speaker 4: well guess what. This was a ground zero for IT. 26 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:26,520 Speaker 4: The trigger behind this there's a company called Anthropic, which 27 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:28,560 Speaker 4: if you're not close to the IT industry, you might 28 00:01:28,600 --> 00:01:30,399 Speaker 4: not have heard of it because chat GPT is the 29 00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:32,920 Speaker 4: what we all think is AI. It's like Kleenex now, 30 00:01:33,160 --> 00:01:36,600 Speaker 4: But Anthropic has something called Claude, which is for the 31 00:01:37,080 --> 00:01:39,319 Speaker 4: IT set who knows how this stuff works. This is 32 00:01:39,360 --> 00:01:41,360 Speaker 4: really the one that they feel is the most powerful, 33 00:01:41,720 --> 00:01:45,240 Speaker 4: and Claude released, or Anthropic rather released some new AI 34 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:48,400 Speaker 4: driven automation tools and it goes beyond just answering questions, 35 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:52,400 Speaker 4: so can actually help execute workflows, review documents, managed data, 36 00:01:52,520 --> 00:01:55,760 Speaker 4: so actual work that's actually getting done. So this could 37 00:01:55,760 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 4: be the one that actually is the big time and 38 00:01:58,960 --> 00:02:01,760 Speaker 4: money saver for a lot of companies with a high 39 00:02:01,800 --> 00:02:03,480 Speaker 4: degree of autonomy too. It can do a lot of 40 00:02:03,480 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 4: things on its own. So reason investors got spooked the 41 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:09,519 Speaker 4: herd stampeded is because Anthropic isn't just selling this tool. 42 00:02:09,840 --> 00:02:12,840 Speaker 4: It's enabling companies to build their own workflows, which could 43 00:02:12,880 --> 00:02:17,120 Speaker 4: potentially replace a lot of these existing software offerings all 44 00:02:17,160 --> 00:02:20,399 Speaker 4: at the same time, So instead of buying five different platforms, 45 00:02:20,440 --> 00:02:22,519 Speaker 4: for example, companies could say, you know what, we could 46 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:25,919 Speaker 4: just use one AI model and customize it ourselves. That's 47 00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:28,959 Speaker 4: the sweet spot that Nanthropic has discovered here. 48 00:02:29,520 --> 00:02:33,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, and even before these Anthropic numbers came out, shares 49 00:02:33,680 --> 00:02:38,639 Speaker 1: of companies like say Salesforce, HubSpot at Lascian we're already 50 00:02:38,760 --> 00:02:42,840 Speaker 1: down thirty percent or more over the past year because 51 00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:46,720 Speaker 1: some have seen this coming. And this is not unlike 52 00:02:46,760 --> 00:02:49,520 Speaker 1: what we saw when the Internet first came out. You're 53 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:52,640 Speaker 1: gonna have winners and losers. There's gonna be companies that 54 00:02:52,680 --> 00:02:55,320 Speaker 1: are going to be able to adapt to this evolving 55 00:02:55,360 --> 00:02:59,120 Speaker 1: technologies and others that can't or won't or refuse to 56 00:02:59,160 --> 00:03:02,679 Speaker 1: even considered doing so, and they're going to take a hit. 57 00:03:02,800 --> 00:03:05,320 Speaker 1: You know, look at Microsoft that stocks pulled back too. 58 00:03:05,360 --> 00:03:08,240 Speaker 1: I would say that's another company, Brian, that you know, 59 00:03:08,360 --> 00:03:12,600 Speaker 1: is building you know, substantial AI models. They're involved in 60 00:03:12,720 --> 00:03:15,800 Speaker 1: data centers, and they also sell a lot of software. Uh, 61 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:18,240 Speaker 1: That stocks pulled back a little bit as well. So 62 00:03:18,840 --> 00:03:22,320 Speaker 1: I think I think the continuing evolution here is going 63 00:03:22,360 --> 00:03:24,320 Speaker 1: to be, at the end of the day, how do 64 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:26,480 Speaker 1: these companies actually use AI? 65 00:03:27,000 --> 00:03:27,840 Speaker 2: You're looking at. 66 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:30,280 Speaker 1: Companies that are It comes down to how do you 67 00:03:30,400 --> 00:03:34,320 Speaker 1: manipulate data and information and who is going to be 68 00:03:34,320 --> 00:03:38,560 Speaker 1: able to build the best platform to manipulate and maneuver 69 00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:41,320 Speaker 1: that data and information. And we're going to have some 70 00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:44,760 Speaker 1: winners and losers. It's going to continue to happen. We're 71 00:03:44,760 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 1: going to continue to have volatility in this large cap 72 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:50,760 Speaker 1: tech space, and again, it's a reason why you want 73 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:54,080 Speaker 1: to diversify your portfolio. I feel like we've been talking 74 00:03:54,080 --> 00:03:56,840 Speaker 1: about that, you know again for weeks and months now, 75 00:03:57,080 --> 00:03:59,800 Speaker 1: and we're seeing it start to happen. Does this mean 76 00:03:59,840 --> 00:04:03,640 Speaker 1: that AI and these software companies are going away. No, 77 00:04:04,640 --> 00:04:07,000 Speaker 1: it's just a little bit of a reshuffling of the 78 00:04:07,040 --> 00:04:11,160 Speaker 1: deck here and people are still figuring out what the 79 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:16,160 Speaker 1: proper valuation is for these companies based on expected future 80 00:04:16,640 --> 00:04:17,880 Speaker 1: revenue and earnings growth. 81 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:19,880 Speaker 4: Yeah, and this is a tale as old as time too. 82 00:04:19,920 --> 00:04:23,239 Speaker 4: It's it's just the market evolving, right. So this country 83 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:29,119 Speaker 4: has always been a very entrepreneurial, very business oriented place 84 00:04:29,160 --> 00:04:31,440 Speaker 4: to be and that's nothing more than what's happening here. 85 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:33,320 Speaker 4: So if you've got a better product, then we're gonna 86 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:34,920 Speaker 4: let the market dictate who the winners are. 87 00:04:34,960 --> 00:04:36,280 Speaker 3: You know, think back to the days. 88 00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:39,200 Speaker 4: When AT and T was the world's largest company, or 89 00:04:40,040 --> 00:04:43,640 Speaker 4: this is this goes back decades, you know, and think 90 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:46,280 Speaker 4: of the car industries and all that, and with Xerox 91 00:04:46,360 --> 00:04:49,920 Speaker 4: was once the leader in the computer world too, right 92 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:54,000 Speaker 4: up until Microsoft and Apple showed up. So this isn't new. 93 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:56,880 Speaker 4: This is just things cycling here. So the question is 94 00:04:56,880 --> 00:04:59,120 Speaker 4: is the market overreacting to this? Are we saying this 95 00:04:59,200 --> 00:05:02,280 Speaker 4: is a problem. Well, in video, that's one of the 96 00:05:02,320 --> 00:05:05,160 Speaker 4: famous names out there, so their CEO pushback really hard 97 00:05:05,200 --> 00:05:07,720 Speaker 4: on the idea that AI replaces any software. 98 00:05:07,760 --> 00:05:09,480 Speaker 3: He's basically saying that. 99 00:05:09,360 --> 00:05:11,360 Speaker 4: The notion the tools are in decline are going to 100 00:05:11,400 --> 00:05:13,520 Speaker 4: be replaced is and I'm quoting him here, the most 101 00:05:13,600 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 4: illogical thing in the world. His argument, though, is that 102 00:05:16,320 --> 00:05:19,159 Speaker 4: AI companies aren't going to rebuild everything from scratch. They're 103 00:05:19,200 --> 00:05:23,159 Speaker 4: going to use existing software, not reinvent it. So he's 104 00:05:23,200 --> 00:05:25,920 Speaker 4: basically not overly concerned. And again in video, by the way, 105 00:05:26,080 --> 00:05:28,280 Speaker 4: this is the company that they don't produce AI themselves, 106 00:05:28,320 --> 00:05:30,880 Speaker 4: they produce a lot of the hardware that supports it. 107 00:05:31,000 --> 00:05:32,960 Speaker 4: So what he's saying is, if you are a human 108 00:05:33,040 --> 00:05:35,520 Speaker 4: or a robot, would you rebuild tools or use tools. 109 00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:38,000 Speaker 4: Obviously you use them. So the debate really is this 110 00:05:38,240 --> 00:05:40,600 Speaker 4: is AI going to be its own thing or does 111 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:43,919 Speaker 4: it just does it complement the software That's what the 112 00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:45,400 Speaker 4: market's trying to figure out right now. 113 00:05:46,320 --> 00:05:49,080 Speaker 1: Or another option in the case of Navidia is buy 114 00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:52,240 Speaker 1: some software companies. I mean they build the chips and 115 00:05:52,279 --> 00:05:54,839 Speaker 1: all that, if they feel like they can integrate this 116 00:05:54,880 --> 00:05:58,520 Speaker 1: stuff together better than some of the existing players are doing. Shoot, 117 00:05:58,520 --> 00:06:01,080 Speaker 1: they've got the balance sheet right now, how in the 118 00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:03,400 Speaker 1: stock valuation to go out and buy some of this 119 00:06:03,520 --> 00:06:05,839 Speaker 1: software if they really like it. But I want to 120 00:06:05,839 --> 00:06:08,320 Speaker 1: bring this closer to home, and just a practical example, 121 00:06:08,400 --> 00:06:11,479 Speaker 1: let's look at how you and I actually operate day 122 00:06:11,520 --> 00:06:13,880 Speaker 1: to day here at all Worth. You know these days 123 00:06:14,480 --> 00:06:18,279 Speaker 1: we use Salesforce, you know, to manage our data and workflows, 124 00:06:18,640 --> 00:06:22,440 Speaker 1: and we also use chat GPT, and it's it's going 125 00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 1: to be an interesting thing, you know, to watch the 126 00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:29,560 Speaker 1: evolution of this. You know, people smarter than me, higher 127 00:06:29,560 --> 00:06:31,960 Speaker 1: pay grade than I'm at that make these decisions on 128 00:06:32,080 --> 00:06:35,039 Speaker 1: how we're going to deploy technology. They're looking at what 129 00:06:35,200 --> 00:06:38,000 Speaker 1: we're spending on all these different tools, and they're probably 130 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:41,880 Speaker 1: constantly looking at is there a more efficient way to 131 00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:45,640 Speaker 1: merge or blend how all this information is manipulated. I 132 00:06:45,640 --> 00:06:50,520 Speaker 1: think that's what's going on in every single company across America, 133 00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:53,560 Speaker 1: in every industry. It's how do you take all these 134 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:57,479 Speaker 1: new tools and and you know, manipulate them and put 135 00:06:57,520 --> 00:06:59,720 Speaker 1: them together in a way that's really going to move 136 00:06:59,720 --> 00:07:03,039 Speaker 1: the ball all forward in terms of productivity and and 137 00:07:03,480 --> 00:07:05,000 Speaker 1: you know, eliminate duplication. 138 00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:08,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, and that and that's this is not a new thing. 139 00:07:08,040 --> 00:07:10,160 Speaker 4: It just comes with a fancy, sexy headline because it 140 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:12,400 Speaker 4: happens to be the catalyst of the current stock market, 141 00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:16,120 Speaker 4: uh bullmarket with with all of the AI investment that's 142 00:07:16,160 --> 00:07:19,080 Speaker 4: going on. But this has always been happening, right, So 143 00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:21,200 Speaker 4: it wasn't that long ago that the big move was 144 00:07:21,280 --> 00:07:25,440 Speaker 4: away from paper for everybody onto digital things. So no 145 00:07:25,840 --> 00:07:28,000 Speaker 4: more are you really looking for, you know, signing stuff 146 00:07:28,040 --> 00:07:29,440 Speaker 4: that you get in the mail and then returning it 147 00:07:29,480 --> 00:07:32,120 Speaker 4: in an envelope. You're mostly doing it online electronically. Now, 148 00:07:32,320 --> 00:07:34,760 Speaker 4: think of the savings for that. You don't need staff 149 00:07:34,800 --> 00:07:37,840 Speaker 4: opening emails and scanning things and making copies and putting 150 00:07:37,840 --> 00:07:40,360 Speaker 4: them in files, and all those files taking up room 151 00:07:40,360 --> 00:07:41,560 Speaker 4: that you have to spend. 152 00:07:41,520 --> 00:07:43,920 Speaker 3: Office dollars, real estate dollars on. 153 00:07:44,040 --> 00:07:46,560 Speaker 4: So this is nothing more than an evolution that's happening 154 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 4: with a bullhorn because it happens to be making a 155 00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:49,960 Speaker 4: lot of people a lot of money right now, and 156 00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:52,720 Speaker 4: more specifically this week, it happens to be losing people 157 00:07:52,720 --> 00:07:54,840 Speaker 4: a lot of money right now because there's we have 158 00:07:54,920 --> 00:07:57,520 Speaker 4: this market pullback, which is no different than any other pullback. 159 00:07:58,400 --> 00:08:00,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, speaking of pullbacks, I mean we need to look 160 00:08:00,880 --> 00:08:05,920 Speaker 1: no further than Google. Google's parent company, Alphabet released its 161 00:08:05,960 --> 00:08:08,960 Speaker 1: earnings or a fourth quarter report card late, you know, 162 00:08:09,360 --> 00:08:12,400 Speaker 1: yesterday after the market closed, and it was a very 163 00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:15,400 Speaker 1: good quarter, Brian. I mean they beat on the revenue 164 00:08:15,440 --> 00:08:18,720 Speaker 1: and earnings projection side. All the numbers look great, they're 165 00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:19,720 Speaker 1: meeting all their numbers. 166 00:08:19,760 --> 00:08:20,320 Speaker 2: And yet the. 167 00:08:20,280 --> 00:08:23,040 Speaker 1: Stock pulled back, you know, three percent or so. And 168 00:08:23,080 --> 00:08:26,080 Speaker 1: I think that just speaks to, you know, the point 169 00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:28,440 Speaker 1: I was trying to make earlier. These these stocks are 170 00:08:28,480 --> 00:08:31,760 Speaker 1: priced to perfection right now, and in some cases, even 171 00:08:31,800 --> 00:08:35,079 Speaker 1: when you get what most would consider a very solid 172 00:08:35,120 --> 00:08:38,800 Speaker 1: earnings report, yeah you're gonna give back three four five percent. 173 00:08:39,120 --> 00:08:43,160 Speaker 1: That's just how these volatile growth oriented stocks behave. It 174 00:08:43,200 --> 00:08:45,840 Speaker 1: doesn't mean sell them. It doesn't mean the bull market 175 00:08:45,920 --> 00:08:48,200 Speaker 1: it's over is over. It's just you got to be 176 00:08:48,280 --> 00:08:52,160 Speaker 1: prepared for a little bit of volatility here anytime you 177 00:08:52,360 --> 00:08:55,640 Speaker 1: have high growth stocks in your portfolio. And it's just 178 00:08:55,679 --> 00:08:59,040 Speaker 1: a reminder to not put all your eggs in one basket, 179 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:03,560 Speaker 1: meaning big cap, large cap growth stocks, because when you 180 00:09:03,720 --> 00:09:07,440 Speaker 1: do so, you're going to subject that portfolio to more 181 00:09:07,520 --> 00:09:11,520 Speaker 1: volatility than maybe you want to have. And we're continuing 182 00:09:11,559 --> 00:09:15,440 Speaker 1: to see a pivot more toward large cap value stocks, 183 00:09:15,720 --> 00:09:19,840 Speaker 1: consumer stick cyclical stocks, you know, more dividend payers. Those 184 00:09:19,880 --> 00:09:22,800 Speaker 1: are outperforming a little bit so far this year. Like 185 00:09:22,840 --> 00:09:25,520 Speaker 1: you said, Brian, it's just the normal EBB and flow 186 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:28,760 Speaker 1: here that we all need to be prepared for if 187 00:09:28,800 --> 00:09:33,079 Speaker 1: we're responsibly managing our retirement plan and our investment portfolio. 188 00:09:33,440 --> 00:09:35,480 Speaker 3: That's right. So it makes sure you make sure you 189 00:09:35,520 --> 00:09:36,440 Speaker 3: understand what you own. 190 00:09:36,480 --> 00:09:38,720 Speaker 4: And like we've said a lot, if you have funds 191 00:09:38,800 --> 00:09:40,840 Speaker 4: and things investments that you have fallen in love with 192 00:09:40,840 --> 00:09:42,839 Speaker 4: because they've done so well over the last several years, 193 00:09:42,880 --> 00:09:45,440 Speaker 4: there is a really good chance they are heavily, heavily, 194 00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:46,920 Speaker 4: heavily overweighted. 195 00:09:46,360 --> 00:09:47,760 Speaker 3: Toward those mag seven stocks. 196 00:09:48,280 --> 00:09:50,679 Speaker 4: And again we've shared a number of examples of this 197 00:09:50,800 --> 00:09:53,720 Speaker 4: throughout time, especially in the first Internet way when there 198 00:09:53,720 --> 00:09:57,600 Speaker 4: were several fun families that made their names off of 199 00:09:57,640 --> 00:10:00,199 Speaker 4: their outperformance, and it was simply because a a lot 200 00:10:00,200 --> 00:10:02,319 Speaker 4: of their funds had the exact same holdings in them 201 00:10:02,320 --> 00:10:05,120 Speaker 4: all from the original Internet wave when I'm talking twenty 202 00:10:05,120 --> 00:10:05,760 Speaker 4: six years. 203 00:10:05,559 --> 00:10:07,840 Speaker 3: Ago now in the late nineties, early two thousand. So 204 00:10:08,120 --> 00:10:10,000 Speaker 3: to make sure you know what you own under the hood. 205 00:10:10,480 --> 00:10:13,680 Speaker 1: Brian, I mean, at least what I am finding when 206 00:10:14,160 --> 00:10:17,000 Speaker 1: dealing with my own clients and annual review meetings. I 207 00:10:17,040 --> 00:10:19,880 Speaker 1: think folks that have invested for a long time, they're 208 00:10:20,040 --> 00:10:22,720 Speaker 1: used to this, and they want they're not betting the 209 00:10:22,800 --> 00:10:27,959 Speaker 1: farm on anyone sector or anyone you know, company or 210 00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:30,880 Speaker 1: what have you. They want a diversified portfolio and they 211 00:10:30,960 --> 00:10:35,320 Speaker 1: understand how the game works. Anything you want to share about, 212 00:10:35,760 --> 00:10:39,080 Speaker 1: you know, client update meetings you've been having so far 213 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:43,240 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty six, I mean to me, people are calm, 214 00:10:43,360 --> 00:10:47,280 Speaker 1: Their money's fine, it's diversified. Are you seeing any alarm 215 00:10:47,320 --> 00:10:51,400 Speaker 1: bells out there or things generally fine with clients? I 216 00:10:51,480 --> 00:10:55,240 Speaker 1: am seeing people remaining relatively calm and they understand this 217 00:10:55,400 --> 00:10:57,280 Speaker 1: is just how the markets work. 218 00:10:57,760 --> 00:10:59,760 Speaker 4: Yeah, and then I'm seeing pretty much the same thing. 219 00:11:00,040 --> 00:11:02,360 Speaker 4: People are fairly confident. Again, what I'm trying to do 220 00:11:02,480 --> 00:11:05,600 Speaker 4: is get people confident enough to go ahead and pull 221 00:11:05,640 --> 00:11:07,720 Speaker 4: the trigger on things that they wanted to do, because 222 00:11:08,000 --> 00:11:09,720 Speaker 4: you know, the money's here right now, we're at a peak. 223 00:11:09,720 --> 00:11:11,679 Speaker 4: You've probably if you've stayed invested this whole time, you've 224 00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:13,240 Speaker 4: got more money than you've ever had in your life. 225 00:11:13,559 --> 00:11:16,280 Speaker 4: And so therefore, if you're going to do things, if 226 00:11:16,280 --> 00:11:18,480 Speaker 4: you know you've got expenses coming up, now is the 227 00:11:18,520 --> 00:11:22,240 Speaker 4: time to start going ahead and maybe protecting those assets 228 00:11:22,240 --> 00:11:23,800 Speaker 4: for those big checks you're going to write later this 229 00:11:23,880 --> 00:11:26,640 Speaker 4: year for whatever reason, if we simply let it ride 230 00:11:26,760 --> 00:11:29,559 Speaker 4: because it's doing well, or we have the attitude I've 231 00:11:29,559 --> 00:11:32,200 Speaker 4: seen this a number of times, we have the attitude of, well, 232 00:11:32,360 --> 00:11:35,440 Speaker 4: my IRA is getting eleven percent right now, that's great. 233 00:11:35,480 --> 00:11:37,320 Speaker 4: You just told me what it did last year. So 234 00:11:37,400 --> 00:11:39,360 Speaker 4: if you're going to ride it until it doesn't get 235 00:11:39,360 --> 00:11:42,000 Speaker 4: that anymore, when you're guaranteeing yourself, you're going to sell 236 00:11:42,040 --> 00:11:44,280 Speaker 4: at not a peak. I would rather you sell at 237 00:11:44,360 --> 00:11:46,320 Speaker 4: a peak to do the things that you knew you 238 00:11:46,360 --> 00:11:48,560 Speaker 4: were going to do anyway, So let's just be thoughtful 239 00:11:48,800 --> 00:11:51,280 Speaker 4: and plan ahead, burn in a hand, to in a bush, 240 00:11:51,320 --> 00:11:54,559 Speaker 4: and all I can rattle off another bunch of cliches 241 00:11:54,559 --> 00:11:56,400 Speaker 4: that all kind of make sense in this environment. 242 00:11:56,960 --> 00:11:59,240 Speaker 1: Well, and you probably hear me say this way too 243 00:11:59,280 --> 00:12:01,679 Speaker 1: many times on the show, but I'll repeat it again, 244 00:12:02,160 --> 00:12:04,520 Speaker 1: you know, and it's making it's just you know, reiterating 245 00:12:04,559 --> 00:12:07,920 Speaker 1: your point. Do not treat your growth stock portfolio like 246 00:12:07,920 --> 00:12:10,920 Speaker 1: an ATM machine. There's a reason that we pull some 247 00:12:10,960 --> 00:12:13,120 Speaker 1: money out and have it in cash, have it out 248 00:12:13,160 --> 00:12:16,800 Speaker 1: of harm's way in preparation for some of that spending, 249 00:12:16,880 --> 00:12:20,040 Speaker 1: whether it be vacations, home repair, car purchases. There's a 250 00:12:20,160 --> 00:12:23,160 Speaker 1: reason we advise people to do that. All right, here's 251 00:12:23,200 --> 00:12:26,559 Speaker 1: the all Worth advice. Markets tend to overreact in moments 252 00:12:26,559 --> 00:12:27,800 Speaker 1: of uncertainty. 253 00:12:28,520 --> 00:12:30,319 Speaker 2: Our job, working together is to. 254 00:12:30,280 --> 00:12:35,360 Speaker 1: Stay grounded in fundamentals, not news headlines. Coming up next, 255 00:12:35,400 --> 00:12:38,360 Speaker 1: we tackle the hidden risk that could totally wreck or 256 00:12:38,440 --> 00:12:42,960 Speaker 1: substantially impact your financial freedom down the road. You're listening 257 00:12:43,000 --> 00:12:45,360 Speaker 1: to Simply Money presented by all Worth Financial on fifty 258 00:12:45,360 --> 00:12:53,360 Speaker 1: five KRC the talk station. You're listening to Simply Money 259 00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:56,080 Speaker 1: present up by all Worth Financial on Bob Sponseller along 260 00:12:56,120 --> 00:12:59,600 Speaker 1: with Brian James Straight ahead of six forty three, we're 261 00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:02,520 Speaker 1: gonna be tackling three issues that seem to hit close 262 00:13:02,559 --> 00:13:05,640 Speaker 1: to home for many. What to do when a mutual 263 00:13:05,640 --> 00:13:10,160 Speaker 1: fund keeps throwing off those surprise capital gain distributions, How 264 00:13:10,240 --> 00:13:14,600 Speaker 1: often should you really be rebalancing your portfolio? And how 265 00:13:14,600 --> 00:13:17,360 Speaker 1: to think about liquidity when most of your net worth 266 00:13:17,800 --> 00:13:20,400 Speaker 1: is tied up and not easily accessible. 267 00:13:21,480 --> 00:13:22,559 Speaker 2: All right, When we talk. 268 00:13:22,360 --> 00:13:27,360 Speaker 1: About inflation, most people think about groceries, gas, maybe rent 269 00:13:27,480 --> 00:13:30,480 Speaker 1: or housing costs. And when those numbers start to come 270 00:13:30,520 --> 00:13:33,080 Speaker 1: down or relax as they have started to do, there 271 00:13:33,160 --> 00:13:35,760 Speaker 1: can be a sense of relief like, okay, maybe things 272 00:13:35,800 --> 00:13:39,800 Speaker 1: are getting back to normal. But headline inflation really only 273 00:13:39,840 --> 00:13:42,600 Speaker 1: tells part of the story. And if you're retired, you 274 00:13:42,679 --> 00:13:45,439 Speaker 1: know what we're about to talk about very well. What 275 00:13:45,480 --> 00:13:47,640 Speaker 1: we really want to call out here is folks that 276 00:13:47,720 --> 00:13:51,520 Speaker 1: are thinking about are maybe about to retire or even 277 00:13:51,559 --> 00:13:56,200 Speaker 1: within a decade of retirement. There's one category that deserves 278 00:13:56,200 --> 00:14:01,040 Speaker 1: special attention, and that's healthcare. Brian talk about this a 279 00:14:01,080 --> 00:14:03,520 Speaker 1: lot with our clients. It is a real thing. The 280 00:14:03,559 --> 00:14:06,560 Speaker 1: cost is going up. And before you get into some 281 00:14:06,640 --> 00:14:09,880 Speaker 1: of the updated headline, I mean, I'll again going back 282 00:14:09,920 --> 00:14:13,199 Speaker 1: to our company at all Worth. All Worth has basically 283 00:14:13,360 --> 00:14:18,000 Speaker 1: eaten the price increase of healthcare. I mean, we still 284 00:14:18,040 --> 00:14:20,400 Speaker 1: have to pay for some of it ourselves, but you know, 285 00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:22,840 Speaker 1: our company, at least for the last three, four or 286 00:14:22,920 --> 00:14:26,600 Speaker 1: five years, they have covered the increase in the premium cost. 287 00:14:27,040 --> 00:14:30,080 Speaker 1: And that's not happening anymore in twenty twenty six because 288 00:14:30,120 --> 00:14:33,560 Speaker 1: these premiums have shot up sizeably. And I know all 289 00:14:33,640 --> 00:14:36,440 Speaker 1: of our clients and folks out there that listen are 290 00:14:36,440 --> 00:14:40,000 Speaker 1: dealing with the same thing. It's happening with Medicare premiums, 291 00:14:40,200 --> 00:14:43,440 Speaker 1: it's happening with healthcare premiums for folks that are still working. 292 00:14:43,760 --> 00:14:46,320 Speaker 1: It's a real issue, and we have to all make 293 00:14:46,360 --> 00:14:49,240 Speaker 1: sure that we're modeling this in our financial plans. 294 00:14:49,840 --> 00:14:51,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, and then that's exactly what we do. 295 00:14:51,760 --> 00:14:54,680 Speaker 4: What you just described is when we build a financial plan, 296 00:14:54,720 --> 00:14:57,240 Speaker 4: we're going to have a living expenses goal as well 297 00:14:57,280 --> 00:14:59,240 Speaker 4: as a healthcare goal. And nobody knows what their healthcare 298 00:14:59,240 --> 00:15:00,680 Speaker 4: expenses are going to be, but we are going to 299 00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:03,240 Speaker 4: track it separately so we have eyeballs on it. And 300 00:15:03,440 --> 00:15:06,800 Speaker 4: more importantly, because it will inflate more rapidly than the 301 00:15:06,800 --> 00:15:08,480 Speaker 4: cost of a loaf of bread at the store. So 302 00:15:09,040 --> 00:15:11,920 Speaker 4: federal data shows healthcare inflation currently is running about three 303 00:15:12,000 --> 00:15:13,680 Speaker 4: and a half percent annualize right now. 304 00:15:13,680 --> 00:15:14,880 Speaker 3: That's honestly, I think that's. 305 00:15:14,920 --> 00:15:17,120 Speaker 4: A little bit on the low side. That's still higher 306 00:15:17,120 --> 00:15:20,000 Speaker 4: than core inflation. Core CPI is around two point eight. 307 00:15:20,520 --> 00:15:22,160 Speaker 4: I remember that's the one that strips out in food 308 00:15:22,160 --> 00:15:24,760 Speaker 4: and energy because those can be really, really volatile. But 309 00:15:24,800 --> 00:15:28,720 Speaker 4: that three and a half percent percent number really understates 310 00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:31,400 Speaker 4: what retirees actually experienced when we do these plans, we're 311 00:15:31,480 --> 00:15:33,200 Speaker 4: using more like four and a half to five percent, 312 00:15:33,640 --> 00:15:35,680 Speaker 4: just to make sure we got eyeballs on it. So 313 00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:37,880 Speaker 4: this is coming from We've got some great information from 314 00:15:37,880 --> 00:15:40,680 Speaker 4: Health View Services they work for. That's a company that 315 00:15:40,680 --> 00:15:43,200 Speaker 4: works with financial advisors on how to model these things. 316 00:15:43,560 --> 00:15:46,840 Speaker 4: Their conclusion is pretty eye opening. The average annual increase 317 00:15:46,880 --> 00:15:50,000 Speaker 4: in healthcare costs throughout retirement that's almost six percent. 318 00:15:50,520 --> 00:15:53,880 Speaker 3: So you know that's not a typo. That is the way. 319 00:15:53,920 --> 00:15:56,280 Speaker 3: That's the number they're seeing, and that's not just inflation. 320 00:15:56,360 --> 00:15:58,960 Speaker 4: That includes the reality that as we age, we are 321 00:15:59,080 --> 00:16:02,400 Speaker 4: using more healthcare services, which drives the price up. Of course, 322 00:16:02,400 --> 00:16:05,520 Speaker 4: that's more doctor visits, more prescriptions, more procedures, all of 323 00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:08,720 Speaker 4: that is layered on top of rising prices. So that's why, 324 00:16:08,800 --> 00:16:10,280 Speaker 4: you know, we want to make sure that we know 325 00:16:10,640 --> 00:16:12,840 Speaker 4: get an idea of what the expenses are right now. 326 00:16:12,920 --> 00:16:16,320 Speaker 4: If you're your typical Medicare recipient, you might be spending 327 00:16:16,360 --> 00:16:18,960 Speaker 4: five six thousand dollars per year on yourself. Double that 328 00:16:19,000 --> 00:16:21,840 Speaker 4: if you're a married couple. That includes the Medicare premiums, 329 00:16:21,840 --> 00:16:24,680 Speaker 4: the assumption that you'd have probably a supplemental policy out there, 330 00:16:24,800 --> 00:16:27,160 Speaker 4: and a little bit of fudge factor for the of 331 00:16:27,200 --> 00:16:29,800 Speaker 4: the equipment and stuff on the side, doctor visits, copays, 332 00:16:29,840 --> 00:16:30,600 Speaker 4: those kinds of things. 333 00:16:31,640 --> 00:16:33,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, and a big number that jumped out to me. 334 00:16:34,160 --> 00:16:37,160 Speaker 1: Back to this Health View analysis of government data, they 335 00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:41,720 Speaker 1: are expecting just Medicare Part B premiums, they are projecting 336 00:16:41,760 --> 00:16:45,560 Speaker 1: those to rise by about seven percent per year through 337 00:16:45,640 --> 00:16:51,200 Speaker 1: twenty twenty through twenty thirty four. In Part D drug premiums, 338 00:16:51,280 --> 00:16:53,680 Speaker 1: those are expected to rise by a little under five 339 00:16:53,680 --> 00:16:57,280 Speaker 1: percent annually. Brian, I think you know, to state the obvious. 340 00:16:57,320 --> 00:17:00,360 Speaker 1: We know that Medicare and Social Security are under funded 341 00:17:00,360 --> 00:17:03,800 Speaker 1: in this country. The government is going to look for 342 00:17:03,920 --> 00:17:07,960 Speaker 1: any way possible to keep these program solvent. So in 343 00:17:08,040 --> 00:17:10,399 Speaker 1: the part of an easy way to do that is 344 00:17:10,560 --> 00:17:13,720 Speaker 1: just raise the premium costs that come out of people's 345 00:17:13,760 --> 00:17:17,800 Speaker 1: Social Security checks, and it's got to be modeled in 346 00:17:17,840 --> 00:17:19,280 Speaker 1: there and talked about. I don't know if we're going 347 00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:22,240 Speaker 1: to be at seven percent, but I find that analysis 348 00:17:22,240 --> 00:17:26,160 Speaker 1: interesting and I know it's something that we do every 349 00:17:26,280 --> 00:17:29,399 Speaker 1: year in review meetings. Exactly what you said, don't just 350 00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:32,679 Speaker 1: assume all your spending is going to grow at the 351 00:17:32,760 --> 00:17:36,440 Speaker 1: CPI rate. Actually break this down, like you've already talked 352 00:17:36,440 --> 00:17:40,600 Speaker 1: about healthcare separately, and build in some buffer there in 353 00:17:40,680 --> 00:17:43,680 Speaker 1: case the worst case scenario here happens in terms of 354 00:17:43,960 --> 00:17:47,280 Speaker 1: you know, medicare premium and drug prices, because it's a 355 00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:49,679 Speaker 1: real thing out there and we are starting to see it. 356 00:17:50,040 --> 00:17:52,720 Speaker 4: But don't stop there, right, Don't just carve out based 357 00:17:52,720 --> 00:17:55,480 Speaker 4: on those numbers that they shared. Those are good numbers 358 00:17:55,480 --> 00:17:57,159 Speaker 4: to start with, but you have to layer on what 359 00:17:57,240 --> 00:18:00,919 Speaker 4: your income is because of something called IERMA. Are MAA 360 00:18:01,520 --> 00:18:03,439 Speaker 4: can be a real problem for high earners. If your 361 00:18:03,480 --> 00:18:06,280 Speaker 4: income crosses certain thresholds, you're going to pay surch charges. 362 00:18:06,280 --> 00:18:07,480 Speaker 3: That's what's known as ERMA. 363 00:18:07,520 --> 00:18:11,400 Speaker 4: Income related Monthly adjustment amount is what that stands for. 364 00:18:11,760 --> 00:18:15,480 Speaker 4: That covers MEDICA parts BND So for example, if you're 365 00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:17,920 Speaker 4: twenty twenty six, if you're single and your income's over 366 00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:19,800 Speaker 4: one hundred and nine thousand or double that for a 367 00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:23,560 Speaker 4: married couple to eighteen, you're paying more than the standard Part. 368 00:18:23,320 --> 00:18:25,560 Speaker 3: B premium of two two ninety a month. They go 369 00:18:25,640 --> 00:18:26,359 Speaker 3: up fast too. 370 00:18:26,920 --> 00:18:29,400 Speaker 4: Monthly Part B premiums range from two hundred and eighty 371 00:18:29,440 --> 00:18:31,080 Speaker 4: four bucks all the way up to six hundred and 372 00:18:31,160 --> 00:18:32,920 Speaker 4: ninety dollars per person. 373 00:18:33,240 --> 00:18:34,840 Speaker 3: That top scariest tier. 374 00:18:34,840 --> 00:18:36,639 Speaker 4: Kicks in at about a half million dollars worth of 375 00:18:36,640 --> 00:18:39,840 Speaker 4: income for single filers, seven fifty for married couple. So yes, 376 00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:43,199 Speaker 4: we're talking about high earners. But we'll just remember the 377 00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:47,080 Speaker 4: way this works is they will the authorities are going 378 00:18:47,119 --> 00:18:49,520 Speaker 4: to look at what your income was from two years ago. 379 00:18:49,840 --> 00:18:52,200 Speaker 4: So decisions you make now if you're going to do 380 00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:54,199 Speaker 4: a ROTH conversion, or if you've got a big bonus 381 00:18:54,320 --> 00:18:56,960 Speaker 4: or something paid out from your company two years from now, 382 00:18:56,960 --> 00:18:59,159 Speaker 4: if you plan on being on Medicare, that's going to 383 00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:01,560 Speaker 4: be driven by whatever income that you have this year. 384 00:19:01,800 --> 00:19:04,200 Speaker 4: So I always tell people, don't don't get too hung 385 00:19:04,240 --> 00:19:06,880 Speaker 4: up on We absolutely have to avoid IRMA at all costs. 386 00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:09,119 Speaker 4: I can make a massive case for the fact that 387 00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:11,000 Speaker 4: it may be okay to take an IRMA hit for 388 00:19:11,040 --> 00:19:13,240 Speaker 4: a year or two while you're doing ROTH conversions, because 389 00:19:13,280 --> 00:19:16,879 Speaker 4: those roth conversions will compound for decades upon decades and 390 00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:18,400 Speaker 4: go to your heirs tax free. 391 00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:20,719 Speaker 3: That's going to beat the tar off of you know, 392 00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:22,160 Speaker 3: an IRMA surch charge. 393 00:19:22,200 --> 00:19:23,880 Speaker 4: It only lasts for a year, so remember it does 394 00:19:23,920 --> 00:19:26,119 Speaker 4: reset every year based on your two prior years. 395 00:19:26,520 --> 00:19:29,359 Speaker 1: No, that's a great point on the WROTH conversions and compounding. 396 00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:32,439 Speaker 1: Speaking of tax free compounding for decades, how about that 397 00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:36,520 Speaker 1: HSA opportunity. That's something that we could still control for 398 00:19:36,560 --> 00:19:38,720 Speaker 1: those of us are still working. As a reminder, for 399 00:19:38,760 --> 00:19:42,480 Speaker 1: twenty twenty six, the contribution limits are four four hundred 400 00:19:42,520 --> 00:19:46,800 Speaker 1: dollars per individual and eighty seven hundred and fifty dollars 401 00:19:46,800 --> 00:19:47,520 Speaker 1: for families. 402 00:19:47,560 --> 00:19:48,800 Speaker 2: If you can cash. 403 00:19:48,520 --> 00:19:52,520 Speaker 1: Flow current healthcare expenses, assuming you're healthy and still working, 404 00:19:53,080 --> 00:19:57,160 Speaker 1: maximize those HSA contributions and then don't spend the money now. 405 00:19:57,640 --> 00:20:00,679 Speaker 1: Let it compact, let it compound, put it in a 406 00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:04,199 Speaker 1: growth vehicle for fifteen twenty thirty years, let that money 407 00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:07,439 Speaker 1: build up and use that as your offset for future 408 00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:11,040 Speaker 1: healthcare inflation. Here's the all Worth advice. Don't let healthcare 409 00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:15,119 Speaker 1: be the silent killer of your retirement plan. Model it realistically, 410 00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:19,760 Speaker 1: do plan for higher inflation and start preparing earlier than 411 00:20:19,800 --> 00:20:23,200 Speaker 1: you think you might need to. Coming up next, when 412 00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:26,840 Speaker 1: AI actually helps in the financial planning process. 413 00:20:26,520 --> 00:20:27,640 Speaker 2: And when it doesn't. 414 00:20:27,920 --> 00:20:30,400 Speaker 1: You're listening to Simply Money presented by all Worth Financial 415 00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:39,080 Speaker 1: on fifty five KRC the talk station. You're listening to 416 00:20:39,119 --> 00:20:42,240 Speaker 1: Simply Money presented by all Worth Financial on Bob Sponseller 417 00:20:42,320 --> 00:20:43,600 Speaker 1: along with Brian James. 418 00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:45,880 Speaker 2: Well, let's face it, AI. 419 00:20:45,640 --> 00:20:48,560 Speaker 1: Has come a long way, especially in the last couple 420 00:20:48,560 --> 00:20:49,080 Speaker 1: of years. 421 00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:49,520 Speaker 2: Brian. 422 00:20:49,640 --> 00:20:54,160 Speaker 1: I mean, it's ubiquitous, it's everywhere. It's predicted to replace 423 00:20:54,320 --> 00:20:57,840 Speaker 1: everything in everyone. And along with that, you know you 424 00:20:57,880 --> 00:21:01,520 Speaker 1: occasionally see the stories come around using AI as your 425 00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:06,160 Speaker 1: financial advisor or helping you build a financial plan. Let's 426 00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:08,720 Speaker 1: let's spend a few minutes talking about where we are 427 00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:12,120 Speaker 1: today in twenty twenty six with AI and where it 428 00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:16,359 Speaker 1: can be very useful and maybe where you should not 429 00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:19,040 Speaker 1: rely on it or still have a human involved when 430 00:21:19,040 --> 00:21:22,480 Speaker 1: it comes to managing your finances and putting together a 431 00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:25,760 Speaker 1: sound financial plan and making sound financial decisions. 432 00:21:26,359 --> 00:21:28,480 Speaker 4: Yeah, so AI has definitely come a long way. It 433 00:21:28,520 --> 00:21:29,919 Speaker 4: can do a lot more than it used to. 434 00:21:30,040 --> 00:21:30,200 Speaker 2: Right. 435 00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:34,200 Speaker 4: It's but it's mostly task based, simple tasks, simple workflow 436 00:21:34,240 --> 00:21:36,560 Speaker 4: types of things. So, for example, it can summary, summarize 437 00:21:36,600 --> 00:21:39,560 Speaker 4: your inbox, give you a meal plan, and it can 438 00:21:39,600 --> 00:21:42,199 Speaker 4: give you facts in the financial planning space. Let's say 439 00:21:42,200 --> 00:21:44,280 Speaker 4: you know the difference between a roth IRA traditional IRA 440 00:21:44,680 --> 00:21:47,119 Speaker 4: really really quickly. It's I think of it as Google 441 00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:50,160 Speaker 4: on steroids right now, you know, because I can get 442 00:21:50,359 --> 00:21:52,520 Speaker 4: I can ask a question in normal English and get 443 00:21:52,560 --> 00:21:55,000 Speaker 4: what I think is a pretty good answer. Now, what 444 00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:57,399 Speaker 4: I have learned, Bob, what I have learned is to 445 00:21:57,440 --> 00:22:00,720 Speaker 4: also ask it to please show me your work, provide resources, 446 00:22:00,720 --> 00:22:02,959 Speaker 4: so that why I went across that thing. You know, 447 00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:05,159 Speaker 4: I know where you got it, so I could go 448 00:22:05,160 --> 00:22:07,080 Speaker 4: read it for myself and figure it out. So let 449 00:22:07,080 --> 00:22:09,000 Speaker 4: me give you an example. This just happened last night. 450 00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:11,840 Speaker 4: I am I'm helping a friend of mine who has 451 00:22:11,880 --> 00:22:15,159 Speaker 4: gone through a divorce, and the two spouses are not 452 00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:18,240 Speaker 4: particularly tech savvy, don't use a lot of financial technology, 453 00:22:18,520 --> 00:22:21,199 Speaker 4: and they've been arguing about the timing of the various 454 00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:23,280 Speaker 4: payments that have to go to support stuff that has 455 00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:25,640 Speaker 4: to go back and forth, and one of them has 456 00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:27,960 Speaker 4: completely given up and stands in line at the bank 457 00:22:28,000 --> 00:22:30,679 Speaker 4: to go depositive check in the other's account, which to 458 00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:31,280 Speaker 4: me is ridiculous. 459 00:22:31,280 --> 00:22:32,479 Speaker 3: Shouldn't have do that? Twenty twenty six. 460 00:22:32,640 --> 00:22:34,320 Speaker 4: So I was trying to do some research on this, 461 00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:36,280 Speaker 4: this particular big bank which I don't use, so I 462 00:22:36,280 --> 00:22:38,440 Speaker 4: can't look at I can't look directly at my own 463 00:22:38,440 --> 00:22:41,280 Speaker 4: app and see how it works. And I asked, shat GPT, 464 00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:43,840 Speaker 4: how does this work in this bank app? How can 465 00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:46,440 Speaker 4: I do this kind of a transaction? And it gave 466 00:22:46,480 --> 00:22:48,400 Speaker 4: me a bunch of information and I was like, okay, 467 00:22:48,400 --> 00:22:50,240 Speaker 4: that sounds great, but I know this, and I literally 468 00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:52,359 Speaker 4: asked it, are you certain this is how the app 469 00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:55,800 Speaker 4: actually works? Because sometimes you confidently make stuff up and 470 00:22:55,840 --> 00:22:58,200 Speaker 4: it kind of acknowledged, yeah, I'm wrong. Sometimes it really 471 00:22:58,240 --> 00:22:59,240 Speaker 4: is like talking to a person. 472 00:23:00,480 --> 00:23:01,119 Speaker 2: I told you that. 473 00:23:01,280 --> 00:23:04,480 Speaker 3: Yes, that's literally how chat GPD responds. Yeah, yeah, he said, yeah, 474 00:23:04,520 --> 00:23:05,280 Speaker 3: it's it. 475 00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:09,080 Speaker 4: Basically chat GPT responds like somebody who really really really 476 00:23:09,080 --> 00:23:11,240 Speaker 4: wants to help but doesn't always know exactly what they're 477 00:23:11,240 --> 00:23:14,520 Speaker 4: talking about. It's well meaning, but anyway, so but but 478 00:23:14,560 --> 00:23:16,760 Speaker 4: I solve that by the by just looking. I asked 479 00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:18,520 Speaker 4: it to provide its resources, and I figured out what 480 00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:21,040 Speaker 4: was happening in this particular case was it was combining 481 00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:24,840 Speaker 4: articles and online forum questions from like the past six 482 00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:27,359 Speaker 4: or seven years, so it combined all of that stuff, 483 00:23:27,400 --> 00:23:29,520 Speaker 4: and the app and software and all that stuff changes 484 00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:32,680 Speaker 4: over time, so it was it was mushing conversations together 485 00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:34,120 Speaker 4: and it kind of made up its own reality. 486 00:23:34,280 --> 00:23:35,359 Speaker 3: In the end, we got there. 487 00:23:35,600 --> 00:23:38,280 Speaker 4: My point in all this is, it is not ready 488 00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:40,920 Speaker 4: to put together a full financial plan for somebody because 489 00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:43,000 Speaker 4: it's going to rely it might it might pull the 490 00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:46,080 Speaker 4: IRA rules from fifteen years ago and smush them together 491 00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:49,320 Speaker 4: with social security calculations from now, and that doesn't make sense. 492 00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:52,360 Speaker 4: I think we'll probably get there, but it's nowhere near 493 00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:54,359 Speaker 4: that right now. So again, Google on steroids is what 494 00:23:54,400 --> 00:23:54,960 Speaker 4: it's good for. 495 00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:58,520 Speaker 1: I think, Yeah, I agree, and I want to move 496 00:23:58,560 --> 00:24:01,439 Speaker 1: beyond just getting the right answer to a question, a 497 00:24:01,520 --> 00:24:04,479 Speaker 1: technical question in ten seconds or left. I mean, we 498 00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:07,640 Speaker 1: all love the idea of that, and that makes life 499 00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:10,960 Speaker 1: much more efficient. And I think the point you're making 500 00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:13,520 Speaker 1: here is let's not overly use that as a crutch 501 00:24:13,560 --> 00:24:16,240 Speaker 1: and just assume that that answer that gets spit out 502 00:24:16,280 --> 00:24:20,160 Speaker 1: in seven seconds is absolutely right about everything. Because you've 503 00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:22,600 Speaker 1: already gave it, given a great example. It's not I 504 00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:25,800 Speaker 1: want to move beyond that to some of the decisions 505 00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:29,560 Speaker 1: that our actual clients come into our office and need 506 00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:30,440 Speaker 1: to talk about. 507 00:24:30,600 --> 00:24:32,119 Speaker 2: You know, things like how. 508 00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:36,160 Speaker 1: Do I manage caring for my adult family members, how 509 00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:39,439 Speaker 1: do I manage beneficiaries for my kids? You know, my 510 00:24:39,560 --> 00:24:42,040 Speaker 1: kids have grown up, and some of them are doing well, 511 00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:45,600 Speaker 1: some of them aren't. Sometimes an advisor and needs to 512 00:24:45,600 --> 00:24:47,199 Speaker 1: look a client in the eye and say, hey, you 513 00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:50,479 Speaker 1: haven't had your legal documents looked at in seventeen years. 514 00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:53,920 Speaker 1: You're worth five million dollars, and you won't spend three 515 00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:56,119 Speaker 1: hundred dollars to sit down with an attorney. 516 00:24:56,440 --> 00:25:00,800 Speaker 4: In the examples of suspiciously specific Bob was a recent meeting. 517 00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:04,119 Speaker 1: It's a meeting you and I had together yesterday, Am 518 00:25:04,160 --> 00:25:05,640 Speaker 1: I Am I stating that correctly? 519 00:25:05,880 --> 00:25:08,879 Speaker 3: No, I was just sharing some inside base Yeah, well yeah, 520 00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:10,680 Speaker 3: real stories, folks, real stories. 521 00:25:10,840 --> 00:25:13,480 Speaker 1: Well, and then running scenarios. You know, I think a 522 00:25:13,520 --> 00:25:17,080 Speaker 1: lot of people know have a pretty good idea whether 523 00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:19,760 Speaker 1: they have enough money or not to be able to 524 00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:23,160 Speaker 1: survive in retirement. But especially when folks have a little 525 00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:26,240 Speaker 1: more to work with, they're balancing Hey, do I take 526 00:25:26,280 --> 00:25:30,960 Speaker 1: an extra cruise or trip, or remodel the bathroom, or 527 00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:33,160 Speaker 1: do I give my twenty year old kids a little 528 00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:35,159 Speaker 1: bit of money to help them, you know, get a 529 00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:37,280 Speaker 1: head start in life and maybe buy a first home. 530 00:25:37,359 --> 00:25:40,679 Speaker 1: That's where you need some human interaction to run different 531 00:25:40,720 --> 00:25:43,399 Speaker 1: scenarios and just talk about life. 532 00:25:43,040 --> 00:25:43,640 Speaker 2: A little bit. 533 00:25:44,200 --> 00:25:47,000 Speaker 1: And in my opinion, Brian, correct me if I'm wrong, 534 00:25:47,840 --> 00:25:52,440 Speaker 1: AI is years away from being able to duplicate those 535 00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:54,320 Speaker 1: kinds of meaningful interactions. 536 00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:56,719 Speaker 3: Yeah, let me. Let me share another example I've been 537 00:25:56,720 --> 00:25:57,360 Speaker 3: through lately too. 538 00:25:57,400 --> 00:25:59,719 Speaker 4: So of course we have clients who get in situations 539 00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:02,520 Speaker 4: and some times where we also have tax preparers and 540 00:26:02,600 --> 00:26:05,320 Speaker 4: sometimes we're providing tax advice, sometimes they're doing tax planning. 541 00:26:05,560 --> 00:26:08,080 Speaker 4: So I've been on calls with clients with directly with 542 00:26:08,280 --> 00:26:11,200 Speaker 4: the IRS, with very specific questions from people who want 543 00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:13,000 Speaker 4: to do their taxes correctly, aren't trying to get away 544 00:26:13,000 --> 00:26:14,320 Speaker 4: with things, so they're just not sure how to fill 545 00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:17,320 Speaker 4: this out and turbo tax isn't clear enough. So we've 546 00:26:17,320 --> 00:26:19,360 Speaker 4: called the IRS and we've said, here's the situation, here's 547 00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:22,080 Speaker 4: all the facts and figures that I've never once heard 548 00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:25,240 Speaker 4: an IRS person say, here is the playbook here is 549 00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:28,520 Speaker 4: exactly how you handle that situation. They will share stories 550 00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:30,680 Speaker 4: and they will say things like that is most likely 551 00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:33,240 Speaker 4: the way it should be done. Nobody commits because there 552 00:26:33,280 --> 00:26:36,040 Speaker 4: is no playbook for lots of unique situations. There is 553 00:26:36,119 --> 00:26:37,880 Speaker 4: no way that AI is ever going to be able 554 00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:40,480 Speaker 4: to figure that stuff out. Because what you're really asking is, 555 00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:43,240 Speaker 4: when you have filed taxes before for other people in 556 00:26:43,280 --> 00:26:45,080 Speaker 4: this situation, how have you handled it? 557 00:26:45,200 --> 00:26:47,639 Speaker 3: Not what does the IRS want to see? IRS doesn't know. 558 00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:49,639 Speaker 4: They just want you to present in the most honest 559 00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:52,000 Speaker 4: manner possible, and then they're going to evaluate whether they 560 00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:53,280 Speaker 4: need to investigate a little more. 561 00:26:53,280 --> 00:26:55,360 Speaker 3: But there is no black and white. Here's the process 562 00:26:55,359 --> 00:26:55,879 Speaker 3: for everything. 563 00:26:56,520 --> 00:26:57,359 Speaker 2: Don't say never. 564 00:26:57,480 --> 00:27:00,720 Speaker 1: Brian elon Musk as we speak, is trying to create 565 00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:04,879 Speaker 1: robots to replace you and I all right, it's coming. 566 00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:07,800 Speaker 2: They're at least trying. All right, here's the all Worth advice. 567 00:27:08,160 --> 00:27:11,359 Speaker 1: If you're relying entirely on AI for your financial plan, 568 00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:14,600 Speaker 1: you might end up with something that spits out quickly 569 00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:18,360 Speaker 1: and looks very impressive, but it might miss what actually 570 00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:22,000 Speaker 1: makes your entire financial plan work in the first place. 571 00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:25,680 Speaker 1: And now that we've addressed that, we're gonna address your 572 00:27:25,800 --> 00:27:29,000 Speaker 1: financial questions coming up next. You're listening to Simply Money 573 00:27:29,080 --> 00:27:32,000 Speaker 1: presented by all Worth Financial on fifty five KRC, the 574 00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:39,840 Speaker 1: talk station. You're listening to Simply Money presented by all 575 00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:43,199 Speaker 1: Worth Financial on Bob'spond Seller along with Brian James. You 576 00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:45,480 Speaker 1: have a financial question you'd like for us to answer. 577 00:27:45,640 --> 00:27:47,840 Speaker 1: There's a red button you can click while you're listening 578 00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:50,560 Speaker 1: to the show. If you're listening on the iHeart app, 579 00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:54,199 Speaker 1: simply record your question and it will come straight to us. 580 00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:57,520 Speaker 1: All right, Brian Mark and Fort Mitchell. I know you 581 00:27:57,640 --> 00:27:59,520 Speaker 1: love those forts down in northern Kentucky. 582 00:27:59,600 --> 00:28:02,560 Speaker 4: Come to protecting us and being on that wall from 583 00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:03,760 Speaker 4: the Heathens of Florence. 584 00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:10,560 Speaker 1: Mark Mark says, I have multiple inherited iras with different 585 00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:14,080 Speaker 1: start dates. How do I coordinate with draws so I 586 00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:18,840 Speaker 1: don't accidentally accelerate taxes under the ten year rule that 587 00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:22,560 Speaker 1: we all got introduced to here with the Secure Act. 588 00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:26,200 Speaker 4: Yeah, So what I'm gonna guess is okay, so this situation, 589 00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:28,679 Speaker 4: we never get enough information in these questions, so truly 590 00:28:28,760 --> 00:28:31,440 Speaker 4: truly answer, but I can infer some things. So obviously 591 00:28:31,440 --> 00:28:35,640 Speaker 4: Mark has lost some loved ones, relatives, benefactors who had 592 00:28:35,760 --> 00:28:38,320 Speaker 4: iras of their own Mark has now inherited those And 593 00:28:38,360 --> 00:28:40,719 Speaker 4: of course these people all died at different times, so 594 00:28:40,760 --> 00:28:42,680 Speaker 4: the cutoff date some of this is pretty simple. It's 595 00:28:42,720 --> 00:28:45,920 Speaker 4: either before twenty twenty or it's after anyone who passed 596 00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:48,640 Speaker 4: away before twenty twenty who was not your spouse. Right, 597 00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:53,280 Speaker 4: a spouse can take that deceased spouse's IRA into their 598 00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:55,840 Speaker 4: own IRA as if it was theirs all along, so 599 00:28:55,880 --> 00:28:57,959 Speaker 4: there's really no harm, no foul. You just get more 600 00:28:58,000 --> 00:28:59,960 Speaker 4: money in your own IRA and then it's basically your 601 00:29:00,120 --> 00:29:02,320 Speaker 4: from then on out. So we're talking about non spousal 602 00:29:02,360 --> 00:29:03,240 Speaker 4: beneficiaries here. 603 00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:04,480 Speaker 2: There are. 604 00:29:04,880 --> 00:29:07,480 Speaker 4: If I inherited something from an IRA from someone who 605 00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:10,600 Speaker 4: died before twenty twenty, then what I hopefully have been 606 00:29:10,600 --> 00:29:14,840 Speaker 4: doing all along is taking a required minimum distribution. Also 607 00:29:14,880 --> 00:29:17,200 Speaker 4: depends on what the age of that person was when 608 00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:19,840 Speaker 4: they passed away, but that can be spread out over 609 00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:22,160 Speaker 4: the remainder of my life. I do have to take distributions, 610 00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:24,880 Speaker 4: which is all about taxation. The IRS doesn't want the money, 611 00:29:24,880 --> 00:29:26,480 Speaker 4: they want a little piece of the money. You get 612 00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:28,640 Speaker 4: to do whatever else you want with that distribution, which 613 00:29:28,640 --> 00:29:31,000 Speaker 4: you got pay income taxes on it. On top of 614 00:29:31,080 --> 00:29:33,520 Speaker 4: whatever your existing income tax situation is. 615 00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:35,640 Speaker 3: Via salaries and other things you might have going on. 616 00:29:36,000 --> 00:29:39,640 Speaker 4: That's prior to twenty twenty for folks who died after 617 00:29:39,760 --> 00:29:40,600 Speaker 4: twenty twenty. 618 00:29:41,000 --> 00:29:41,760 Speaker 3: Now there's a. 619 00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:43,920 Speaker 4: Ten year clock, so I have to on a pre 620 00:29:44,000 --> 00:29:47,360 Speaker 4: tax IRA, I have to liquidate that whole thing by 621 00:29:47,440 --> 00:29:50,600 Speaker 4: ten years, right, So that might mean that I can 622 00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:53,160 Speaker 4: wait all the way until day three hundred, three thousand, 623 00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:54,080 Speaker 4: six hundred and fifty. 624 00:29:54,120 --> 00:29:55,800 Speaker 3: And as somebody in the receiving endo this, please don't 625 00:29:55,840 --> 00:29:57,040 Speaker 3: do that. Give us a couple weeks to. 626 00:29:57,000 --> 00:29:59,880 Speaker 4: Sort this out, but you can wait all the way 627 00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:03,200 Speaker 4: till the end. If this person was not of a 628 00:30:03,280 --> 00:30:07,040 Speaker 4: required minimum distribution age already themselves, meaning seventy three seventy 629 00:30:07,040 --> 00:30:10,560 Speaker 4: five in their own situation before they died, If they 630 00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:14,800 Speaker 4: were receiving their REQUIREMENTUM distribution before they passed, then you 631 00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:17,040 Speaker 4: as the heir, need to take out a little bit 632 00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:19,800 Speaker 4: every single year, but the whole thing still must be 633 00:30:19,840 --> 00:30:22,800 Speaker 4: liquidated within ten years. So what I would be thinking about, 634 00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:25,200 Speaker 4: because we tend to inherit these things at our own 635 00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:28,680 Speaker 4: highest tax brackets, use usually our parents, and we're usually 636 00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:31,200 Speaker 4: older ourselves at our highest earning years you're probably already 637 00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:33,080 Speaker 4: in a high tax bracket. You might be able to 638 00:30:33,080 --> 00:30:35,920 Speaker 4: find that window between retirement and before you turn on 639 00:30:36,000 --> 00:30:39,520 Speaker 4: social Security and before your own requirementium distributions kick in. 640 00:30:39,800 --> 00:30:41,720 Speaker 4: That's probably the window where you want to be taking 641 00:30:41,720 --> 00:30:44,320 Speaker 4: these dollars out, and you might even use these resulting 642 00:30:44,360 --> 00:30:47,320 Speaker 4: dollars to do some WROTH conversions on your own. Now 643 00:30:47,320 --> 00:30:49,440 Speaker 4: I'm getting really way beyond where Mark asks, but there's 644 00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:50,400 Speaker 4: a lot of moving parts here. 645 00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:52,360 Speaker 3: Twenty twenty is the cutoff date. 646 00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:55,040 Speaker 1: I think you could tape that answer and put that 647 00:30:55,160 --> 00:30:57,200 Speaker 1: on YouTube and make a lot of money. That was 648 00:30:57,240 --> 00:31:00,320 Speaker 1: basically a mini seminar on IRA distributetions. 649 00:31:00,360 --> 00:31:02,440 Speaker 3: Well done, Well, thank you, Bob so well. 650 00:31:02,520 --> 00:31:03,320 Speaker 2: I appreciate that. 651 00:31:03,520 --> 00:31:06,640 Speaker 4: We will move on to Chad in Amberley Village. Chad's 652 00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:08,720 Speaker 4: got the capital gain questions. You must be looking ato 653 00:31:08,760 --> 00:31:11,120 Speaker 4: ten ninety nines and he says, one of my funds 654 00:31:11,160 --> 00:31:14,120 Speaker 4: distributes capital gains every December, even in down years. 655 00:31:14,200 --> 00:31:15,680 Speaker 3: Well, that's blowing. He didn't say that. 656 00:31:15,720 --> 00:31:16,239 Speaker 2: I added it. 657 00:31:16,360 --> 00:31:18,840 Speaker 3: How do I evaluate whether that fund still belongs in 658 00:31:18,880 --> 00:31:19,880 Speaker 3: a taxable account? 659 00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:20,160 Speaker 2: Bob? 660 00:31:21,320 --> 00:31:23,680 Speaker 1: All right, Well, Chad, I'm gonna lead off with the 661 00:31:24,280 --> 00:31:29,440 Speaker 1: standard answer. It depends, but I'll give you a couple 662 00:31:29,440 --> 00:31:33,000 Speaker 1: of examples. I've got a couple clients in their mid 663 00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:36,240 Speaker 1: eighties that have owned the same growth mutual funds for 664 00:31:36,360 --> 00:31:39,520 Speaker 1: sixty years and it's done well. They never intended to 665 00:31:39,560 --> 00:31:42,520 Speaker 1: spend any of that money. They live off their pension 666 00:31:42,560 --> 00:31:44,840 Speaker 1: and social Security. They don't need to spend any of 667 00:31:44,840 --> 00:31:48,720 Speaker 1: that money. And their cost basis in that fund is very, 668 00:31:48,880 --> 00:31:53,840 Speaker 1: very very low, and we're just gonna hold on to 669 00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:56,440 Speaker 1: the fund to get the stepped up basis when they 670 00:31:56,480 --> 00:31:58,920 Speaker 1: die and leave it to their kids tax free. You know, 671 00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:01,760 Speaker 1: that's one end of the sum. And these clients don't 672 00:32:01,800 --> 00:32:04,520 Speaker 1: care if they get a surprise capital gain distribution. They 673 00:32:04,600 --> 00:32:06,560 Speaker 1: pay a little bit of tax and they end up 674 00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:09,320 Speaker 1: giving that money to their grandkids anyway. That's one end 675 00:32:09,320 --> 00:32:12,920 Speaker 1: of the spectrum. If you're somebody that has a mutual 676 00:32:12,960 --> 00:32:15,600 Speaker 1: fund in a taxable account and you're going to be 677 00:32:15,600 --> 00:32:18,400 Speaker 1: around for another ten, twenty thirty years, I think you 678 00:32:18,480 --> 00:32:22,320 Speaker 1: want to sit down with an advisor, CPA, financial advisor, 679 00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:25,640 Speaker 1: any kind of fiduciary that can run these numbers and say, hey, 680 00:32:25,720 --> 00:32:29,160 Speaker 1: is there a better way to gradually move out of 681 00:32:29,160 --> 00:32:35,320 Speaker 1: this taxable mutual fund world? Into more tax efficient ETFs 682 00:32:35,800 --> 00:32:39,720 Speaker 1: because you know that'll eliminate these surprise capital gains. And 683 00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:42,760 Speaker 1: we talk about all the time the investment world has 684 00:32:42,840 --> 00:32:46,240 Speaker 1: evolved here over the last fifteen to twenty years to 685 00:32:46,360 --> 00:32:50,240 Speaker 1: make things much more tax efficient, especially if you're using 686 00:32:50,280 --> 00:32:53,360 Speaker 1: some tax loss harvesting in the background that can help 687 00:32:53,440 --> 00:32:56,880 Speaker 1: offset some of these capital gains from this mutual fund 688 00:32:57,160 --> 00:33:00,880 Speaker 1: that we want to gradually unwind and to meld that 689 00:33:01,040 --> 00:33:04,440 Speaker 1: into a more tax efficient portfolio. So again, it depends 690 00:33:04,480 --> 00:33:07,600 Speaker 1: on your situation. Sit down with somebody that's gonna work 691 00:33:07,640 --> 00:33:10,680 Speaker 1: in your best interest, run the numbers, and figure out 692 00:33:10,680 --> 00:33:13,520 Speaker 1: a plan on how to evolve out of this capital 693 00:33:13,560 --> 00:33:17,080 Speaker 1: gain mutual fund world, because it tends to work in 694 00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:19,440 Speaker 1: your favor if you find a good strategy to do that. 695 00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:22,160 Speaker 1: All right, we got time for one more. Charles in 696 00:33:22,280 --> 00:33:26,440 Speaker 1: Mount Lookout says, our plan assumes rebalancing once a year. 697 00:33:26,960 --> 00:33:29,960 Speaker 1: But what happens mathematically if markets move sharply in the 698 00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:32,560 Speaker 1: middle of the year and we don't touch anything. I 699 00:33:32,600 --> 00:33:33,800 Speaker 1: love this question, Brian. 700 00:33:33,880 --> 00:33:35,800 Speaker 4: It's a great question because what he described is pretty 701 00:33:35,880 --> 00:33:39,240 Speaker 4: much what always happens. The markets really never don't move sharply. 702 00:33:39,280 --> 00:33:41,719 Speaker 4: They either do nothing, or they spike and move quickly. 703 00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:43,600 Speaker 4: So this is kind of just how it works. I'm 704 00:33:43,640 --> 00:33:44,840 Speaker 4: going to share an example here. 705 00:33:44,880 --> 00:33:45,400 Speaker 3: So I am. 706 00:33:45,840 --> 00:33:47,400 Speaker 4: I live in a house that was built in two 707 00:33:47,440 --> 00:33:49,840 Speaker 4: thousand and three, lovely neighborhood up on the northern side 708 00:33:49,880 --> 00:33:54,320 Speaker 4: of Cincinnati, and I pay zero attention to my HVAC equipment. 709 00:33:54,640 --> 00:33:57,000 Speaker 4: I know it's gonna die. I know I should probably 710 00:33:57,040 --> 00:34:00,280 Speaker 4: haven't inspected more often than they do, except you not 711 00:34:00,320 --> 00:34:02,040 Speaker 4: to because I'm good at some things in mine too. 712 00:34:02,160 --> 00:34:03,840 Speaker 2: You're too cheap to pay for the inspection. 713 00:34:04,080 --> 00:34:05,240 Speaker 3: And that's a. 714 00:34:05,160 --> 00:34:07,000 Speaker 4: Simple way to put to speak the check there, Bob, 715 00:34:07,040 --> 00:34:10,920 Speaker 4: you speak true. But anyway, I know it's a problem. 716 00:34:11,080 --> 00:34:12,759 Speaker 4: It's just gonna get It's not a problem right now 717 00:34:12,760 --> 00:34:15,120 Speaker 4: because it works fine, but it's gonna get slightly worse 718 00:34:15,160 --> 00:34:17,600 Speaker 4: every year. So when you when your portfolio is out 719 00:34:17,600 --> 00:34:20,160 Speaker 4: of balance, even just a little bit, probably not gonna 720 00:34:20,160 --> 00:34:22,759 Speaker 4: rebalance itself. It's gonna get out of balance again because 721 00:34:22,760 --> 00:34:24,680 Speaker 4: we're gonna have a second sharp move and a third 722 00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:25,919 Speaker 4: sharp move, and stuff's. 723 00:34:25,560 --> 00:34:26,240 Speaker 3: Gonna move around. 724 00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:28,880 Speaker 4: It's slowly gonna become more and more of a problem. 725 00:34:29,080 --> 00:34:31,440 Speaker 4: I am not heartbroken if people say they haven't rebalanced 726 00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:32,640 Speaker 4: their portfolio in a couple of years. 727 00:34:32,680 --> 00:34:33,280 Speaker 3: That's fine. 728 00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:35,360 Speaker 4: I hope you've done it at least once within twenty 729 00:34:35,360 --> 00:34:38,799 Speaker 4: five years for example. So just this isn't gonna hurt 730 00:34:38,840 --> 00:34:42,520 Speaker 4: you overnight. It's not something to lose sleepover. But eventually, 731 00:34:42,680 --> 00:34:45,680 Speaker 4: just like my furnace and my air conditioner, it's gonna die, 732 00:34:45,760 --> 00:34:47,680 Speaker 4: and it's gonna happen at the worst possible time, either 733 00:34:47,719 --> 00:34:49,759 Speaker 4: in February or August, and I'm gonna pay the price. 734 00:34:49,800 --> 00:34:52,359 Speaker 4: I'm gonna have to pay somebody extra because they will 735 00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:54,600 Speaker 4: be swamped to deal with it. So the longer you 736 00:34:54,680 --> 00:34:56,640 Speaker 4: let it go, the more it will hurt. And this 737 00:34:56,719 --> 00:35:01,359 Speaker 4: is definitely a physician heal thyself opinion when I'm talking 738 00:35:01,360 --> 00:35:02,600 Speaker 4: about my own equipment here. 739 00:35:03,480 --> 00:35:06,240 Speaker 1: All right, coming up next, what some couples are hiding 740 00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:09,960 Speaker 1: from one another about money and why honestly might honestly 741 00:35:10,200 --> 00:35:13,520 Speaker 1: no pun intended be one of the most underrated financial 742 00:35:13,560 --> 00:35:17,000 Speaker 1: strategies out there. You're listening to Simply Money presented by 743 00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:20,120 Speaker 1: all Worth Financial on fifty five KRC the talk station. 744 00:35:26,200 --> 00:35:28,880 Speaker 1: You're listening to Simply Money presented by all Worth Financial, 745 00:35:28,880 --> 00:35:32,960 Speaker 1: a Bob sponseller along with Brian James Well Let's face it, 746 00:35:33,080 --> 00:35:37,319 Speaker 1: money is an uncomfortable topic to discuss for many, yet 747 00:35:37,400 --> 00:35:41,480 Speaker 1: it's a critically important ongoing conversation if you're involved in 748 00:35:41,520 --> 00:35:46,640 Speaker 1: any kind of meaningful relationship. Financial secrets undermine trust, let's 749 00:35:46,680 --> 00:35:50,640 Speaker 1: face it, and for many it can seem even like betrayal. 750 00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:51,640 Speaker 2: Brian. 751 00:35:51,760 --> 00:35:55,560 Speaker 1: A new survey from bank Rate kind of points this out, 752 00:35:55,640 --> 00:35:59,040 Speaker 1: walk us through what how Americans tend to be behaving 753 00:35:59,120 --> 00:35:59,600 Speaker 1: right now. 754 00:36:01,040 --> 00:36:03,160 Speaker 4: It's just funny to me that somebody at Bankrate sat 755 00:36:03,160 --> 00:36:05,080 Speaker 4: around a conference room table and said, hey, here's a 756 00:36:05,120 --> 00:36:07,879 Speaker 4: fun survey to du let's mush some really sensitive things together. 757 00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:10,640 Speaker 4: People say, We see what people say, so here's our result. 758 00:36:11,040 --> 00:36:14,080 Speaker 4: More than two and five US adults believe that keeping 759 00:36:14,160 --> 00:36:17,880 Speaker 4: financial secrets is at least as bad as physical infidelities. 760 00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:21,080 Speaker 4: That's forty percent. At the same time, more questions about 761 00:36:21,080 --> 00:36:24,800 Speaker 4: almost half of people who are in committed relationships, you know, married, 762 00:36:24,800 --> 00:36:27,320 Speaker 4: living together, civil partnership, those kinds of things, they admit 763 00:36:27,360 --> 00:36:29,960 Speaker 4: they don't know everything about their spouses or partners finances. 764 00:36:30,239 --> 00:36:32,080 Speaker 3: And I'm that one and two that's not right. 765 00:36:32,080 --> 00:36:34,520 Speaker 4: There's there's a bigger percentage than that who aren't paying 766 00:36:34,520 --> 00:36:36,160 Speaker 4: attention to what the others do and most time works 767 00:36:36,200 --> 00:36:38,680 Speaker 4: out fine. But almost always one spouse knows more than 768 00:36:38,719 --> 00:36:39,640 Speaker 4: the other anyway. 769 00:36:40,040 --> 00:36:40,839 Speaker 3: And one last one. 770 00:36:40,920 --> 00:36:43,640 Speaker 4: Almost one in ten of Americans in these committed relationships 771 00:36:43,640 --> 00:36:47,240 Speaker 4: are keeping major sources of debt, expenses or income secret 772 00:36:47,280 --> 00:36:49,960 Speaker 4: from their partner, according to the survey. Now that's the 773 00:36:49,960 --> 00:36:52,160 Speaker 4: one that that's a little more concerning to me, right, 774 00:36:52,160 --> 00:36:52,520 Speaker 4: that's the. 775 00:36:52,480 --> 00:36:55,840 Speaker 1: Bi I totally agree. It's that one in ten, that 776 00:36:56,040 --> 00:36:59,960 Speaker 1: nine percent. If you're keeping major sources of debt, expense 777 00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:04,839 Speaker 1: or income secret from your spouse or significant other, you're 778 00:37:05,560 --> 00:37:08,680 Speaker 1: you're probably headed for divorce at some point, and it's 779 00:37:08,719 --> 00:37:11,200 Speaker 1: going to be a messy one. So you know, Brian, 780 00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:14,680 Speaker 1: when we do financial plans for people, you know, I 781 00:37:14,680 --> 00:37:17,840 Speaker 1: I encourage people to have a little mad money for 782 00:37:17,920 --> 00:37:21,160 Speaker 1: each other. You know, in a healthy relationship, people should 783 00:37:21,200 --> 00:37:23,319 Speaker 1: have a little bit of freedom. You know, I'm talking 784 00:37:23,320 --> 00:37:26,680 Speaker 1: about money, not physically. I'm talking about money where you 785 00:37:26,719 --> 00:37:30,839 Speaker 1: know how you know, you should be able to not 786 00:37:30,880 --> 00:37:33,160 Speaker 1: worry about going to get a haircut or having a 787 00:37:33,280 --> 00:37:35,520 Speaker 1: going having a burger with your buddies and watching the 788 00:37:35,520 --> 00:37:38,719 Speaker 1: football game. Everybody should have a little mad money that 789 00:37:38,800 --> 00:37:42,000 Speaker 1: doesn't have to get fully disclosed. Or tracked or discussed 790 00:37:42,080 --> 00:37:44,799 Speaker 1: or spreadsheeted. I think that's healthy. So I think we're 791 00:37:44,800 --> 00:37:48,960 Speaker 1: agreeing here. Again, back to these major sources of debt, 792 00:37:49,320 --> 00:37:52,360 Speaker 1: credit cards, all this hidden stuff that will at some 793 00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:53,880 Speaker 1: point resurface. 794 00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:55,879 Speaker 2: That's the stuff that's a no no. 795 00:37:55,960 --> 00:37:59,280 Speaker 4: Yeah, And this is different than than spouse's purposely living 796 00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:01,440 Speaker 4: separate finance. People do that all the time. We have 797 00:38:01,480 --> 00:38:04,360 Speaker 4: our own separate checking accounts. My check goes into my account, 798 00:38:04,360 --> 00:38:05,480 Speaker 4: your check goes into your account. 799 00:38:05,520 --> 00:38:06,680 Speaker 3: That's kind of the end of it. That's fine. 800 00:38:06,719 --> 00:38:08,960 Speaker 4: We can work with that because those spouses are willing 801 00:38:08,960 --> 00:38:10,879 Speaker 4: to share with each other. Here's what everything is, here's 802 00:38:10,920 --> 00:38:13,160 Speaker 4: where everything is, and we can build a plan around that. 803 00:38:13,440 --> 00:38:16,000 Speaker 4: It's when we get a call from one spouse who says, 804 00:38:16,239 --> 00:38:17,920 Speaker 4: my spouse isn't coming with me, but I want to 805 00:38:17,920 --> 00:38:20,520 Speaker 4: build a plan based just off of my financial assets. 806 00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:22,759 Speaker 4: We almost can't do that because you're both supporting a 807 00:38:22,760 --> 00:38:25,640 Speaker 4: household somehow, and this is doomed anyway. 808 00:38:26,560 --> 00:38:29,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, thanks for listening tonight. You've been listening to Simply Money, 809 00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:32,160 Speaker 1: presented by all Worth Financial on fifty five KRC, the 810 00:38:32,520 --> 00:38:33,040 Speaker 1: talk station