1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:03,960 Speaker 1: You know my position on this war. I am against 2 00:00:04,040 --> 00:00:08,960 Speaker 1: the bombing of Iran as an anti war conservative. Ultimately, 3 00:00:09,240 --> 00:00:11,799 Speaker 1: I do not believe it's in our long term national 4 00:00:11,840 --> 00:00:15,320 Speaker 1: interest and it will just suck us into the region 5 00:00:15,880 --> 00:00:19,400 Speaker 1: and into the volatility and problems not just of Iran 6 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:24,960 Speaker 1: but of the entire Middle East. However, this war now 7 00:00:25,200 --> 00:00:30,920 Speaker 1: also has a potential economic danger for President Trump. As 8 00:00:30,960 --> 00:00:34,919 Speaker 1: we can see, oil prices now have gone up ten percent. 9 00:00:36,560 --> 00:00:40,320 Speaker 1: Oil is now at eighty dollars a barrel, many now 10 00:00:40,400 --> 00:00:43,040 Speaker 1: analysts say will hit one hundred, maybe even one hundred 11 00:00:43,080 --> 00:00:48,000 Speaker 1: and twenty dollars a barrel extremely soon. Why because Iran's 12 00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:51,839 Speaker 1: oil production now is offline because of the bombing. But 13 00:00:52,000 --> 00:00:56,040 Speaker 1: more than that, the Strait of Hormuz has effectively now 14 00:00:56,120 --> 00:01:01,440 Speaker 1: been blocked twenty percent one fifth of the world's daily 15 00:01:02,040 --> 00:01:06,800 Speaker 1: oil petroleum supply. The trade in oil and petroleum, the 16 00:01:06,880 --> 00:01:11,280 Speaker 1: shipping of oil and petroleum goes through the Strait of 17 00:01:11,360 --> 00:01:16,160 Speaker 1: horr moves. This means oil prices are going to go 18 00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:20,959 Speaker 1: up as supply is being choked. It's the stock market 19 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:24,600 Speaker 1: now is taking a beating. The Dow Jones has already 20 00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:29,800 Speaker 1: lost nearly nine hundred points and counting investors are very skittish. 21 00:01:30,200 --> 00:01:33,920 Speaker 1: They are nervous that this war can go on four five, 22 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:40,120 Speaker 1: six weeks, maybe even US ground forces. So if this happens, 23 00:01:40,640 --> 00:01:44,200 Speaker 1: this will drive the price of oil and energy higher, 24 00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:49,920 Speaker 1: which will damage Trump's economy. And remember Trump campaigned on 25 00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:54,760 Speaker 1: low gas prices. In fact, he just achieved low gas prices. 26 00:01:55,680 --> 00:02:01,360 Speaker 1: And that's why I hope this war ends quick, a quick, decisive, 27 00:02:01,480 --> 00:02:06,240 Speaker 1: knockout blow, because the longer it goes, the more oil 28 00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:09,520 Speaker 1: is gonna go up, the more inflation is gonna go up, 29 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 1: the more it's gonna damage the economy. And the more 30 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:17,400 Speaker 1: the economy is damaged, the weaker it gets, the more 31 00:02:17,440 --> 00:02:23,040 Speaker 1: it will hurt Trump in the midterms. Wars are usually 32 00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:28,280 Speaker 1: bad for presidents, and they're doubly bad for their domestic agendas. 33 00:02:29,160 --> 00:02:34,200 Speaker 1: President Trump better realize this and realize it quickly. Get 34 00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:39,400 Speaker 1: in and get out. But a long protracted war is 35 00:02:39,440 --> 00:02:42,760 Speaker 1: not just bad for our troops. It's not just bad 36 00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:46,600 Speaker 1: for support from the American people. It will be the 37 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:51,239 Speaker 1: kiss of death to Trump's economy. And as the economy goes, 38 00:02:51,919 --> 00:02:53,800 Speaker 1: so goes Trump's presidency.