WEBVTT - Ai + Earthquakes

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<v Speaker 1>This is Monks and Merrill.

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<v Speaker 2>Hosted by Michael Monks and Chris Merrill. This is Monks

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<v Speaker 2>and Merrill.

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<v Speaker 3>On demand.

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<v Speaker 4>KFI AM 640, we're live everywhere on the iHeartRadio app.

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<v Speaker 4>You hear Monks and Meryl all week long, 12 to 3,

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<v Speaker 4>and then you get more Monks and Meryl on Saturday.

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<v Speaker 4>Some of our best hits from the week and fresh,

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<v Speaker 4>brand new content for all of you Saturday late-nighters.

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<v Speaker 5>Follow us on the social medias, at Monks and Meryl,

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<v Speaker 5>at Monks and Meryl. Maybe some behind the scenes today

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<v Speaker 5>of Michael Monks giving his evaluation of Season 5, Game

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<v Speaker 5>of Thrones.

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<v Speaker 4>You watch Battle of the Bastards and tell me there's

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<v Speaker 4>ever been a better episode of television.

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<v Speaker 1>I agree.

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<v Speaker 4>You plebe.

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<v Speaker 1>Goobers.

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<v Speaker 5>Last week, we heard from this former employee of Anthropic.

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<v Speaker 5>They make Claude the AI model. And we've heard the

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<v Speaker 5>head of Anthropic for a while say that things are

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<v Speaker 5>going to be, could be touch and go. Like even

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<v Speaker 5>the head of Anthropic has said, we might be making

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<v Speaker 5>Frankenstein's monster here.

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<v Speaker 1>Exactly.

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<v Speaker 4>And I don't know what to believe anymore because President

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<v Speaker 4>Trump told us to be calm. That we just needed

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<v Speaker 4>a high IQ president and everything will be kept under control.

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<v Speaker 4>And I thought, oh, okay, we're fine.

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<v Speaker 5>Here's what, now this Coxon guy who was the former

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<v Speaker 5>employee who said, hey, I could kill us all by

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<v Speaker 5>the end of the decade. Here's what he said over

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<v Speaker 5>the weekend as he was being interviewed about that.

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<v Speaker 6>I think the concept of building a super intelligence is, well,

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<v Speaker 6>it's been likened to summoning an alien species. So I

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<v Speaker 6>think thinking about it in terms of an alien mind

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<v Speaker 6>that we don't fully understand is.

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<v Speaker 4>is pretty terrifying.

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<v Speaker 5>This reminds me of Season 9 of The X-Files, Episode 4,

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<v Speaker 5>when we had... No? No, it's fine.

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<v Speaker 1>Go on.

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<v Speaker 4>Let's hear the rest of it.

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<v Speaker 5>I've never watched a single episode. Mike Daboski is our

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<v Speaker 5>ABC News technology reporter, and Mike, you've been following this story.

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<v Speaker 5>Are we doomed? Are we all going to die? What's

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<v Speaker 5>happening with this?

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<v Speaker 3>I'm sorry. I'm still reeling from the fact that you've

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<v Speaker 3>never seen an episode of The X-Files. I haven't.

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<v Speaker 4>No, you missed the previous segment, Mike, and he's not

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<v Speaker 4>watched Game of Thrones.

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<v Speaker 5>I did. I just don't reference it to everything that

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<v Speaker 5>we do on the air.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, there is a relationship to everything we do on

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<v Speaker 4>the air to A Song of Ice and Fire.

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<v Speaker 3>You're the worst. So I will say I have not

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<v Speaker 3>gotten to season nine of The Exiles, but in any event. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 5>Okay. All right.

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<v Speaker 1>Elmer, stop.

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<v Speaker 4>Unbelievable.

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<v Speaker 3>Pretty good.

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<v Speaker 1>Pretty good.

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<v Speaker 3>All right.

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<v Speaker 5>Mike, are we dead or what?

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<v Speaker 3>Yep. So here's the thing. There are a number of

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<v Speaker 3>claims that are flying around out there that were kind

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<v Speaker 3>of initially started by this guy, Jacob Coxon, who you

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<v Speaker 3>intro just there. He's that anthropic researcher who resigned last week.

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<v Speaker 3>He also worked for OpenAI before that. He resigned because

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<v Speaker 3>he said he's concerned that these companies know they're creating

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<v Speaker 3>a technology that has the possibility of wiping out humanity

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<v Speaker 3>by the end of the decade and that they're doing

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<v Speaker 3>nothing to stop it. Now, later, anthropics alignment science lead

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<v Speaker 3>Evan Hubinger said, actually put a number to it. He

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<v Speaker 3>said that the chance of that happening is at 10%.

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<v Speaker 3>Over the weekend, we heard from the CEO of Anthropic,

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<v Speaker 3>Dario Amadei, who said that within six to 12 months,

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<v Speaker 3>a swarm of AI agents could be capable of taking

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<v Speaker 3>over the entire internet. So two different claims to evaluate here.

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<v Speaker 3>The 10% figure, I think, is the one that gets

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<v Speaker 3>the most attention because it is kind of the biggest

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<v Speaker 3>and scariest of them all. The good news, I think,

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<v Speaker 3>is that, I suppose it's good news, is that this

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<v Speaker 3>is some pretty wild speculation, really. The 10% figure that

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<v Speaker 3>gets cited is Likely what's known as a P-Doom figure.

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<v Speaker 3>This is a number that people in the AI safety

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<v Speaker 3>space use to predict the likelihood of AI eliminating human

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<v Speaker 3>life on Earth. If you have a P-Doom, a probability

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<v Speaker 3>doom of 10, you think there's a 10% chance of

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<v Speaker 3>that happening. The thing about making predictions like this, though,

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<v Speaker 3>is that they are unfalsifiable. You can't prove the negative.

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<v Speaker 3>They can't be proven wrong. We're either going to be

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<v Speaker 3>dead at the end of the decade or we won't be.

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<v Speaker 3>We can't be like Dr. Strange in Infinity War and

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<v Speaker 3>evaluate all the different possible timelines. It's kind of a

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<v Speaker 3>one or the other sort of thing. What's more.

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<v Speaker 5>Another pop culture reference. Our listeners are so mad today.

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<v Speaker 1>Very good, Mike.

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<v Speaker 5>Thank you. All right, continue.

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<v Speaker 3>There is also no scientific process that these guys engaged

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<v Speaker 3>in to arrive at that specific number. There's no methodology

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<v Speaker 3>for P.

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<v Speaker 1>Doom.

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<v Speaker 3>There's no historical precedent either. It's basically just a vibes-based assessment.

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<v Speaker 1>It's vibes. Okay.

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<v Speaker 3>Jeffrey Hinton, who has worked at Google for a long

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<v Speaker 3>time on AI, and is sometimes called the godfather of AI,

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<v Speaker 3>he told CNN recently that anyone who estimates probabilities like

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<v Speaker 3>that is really just making a wild guess. They're giving

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<v Speaker 3>you their gut feeling. So, you know, we should not

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<v Speaker 3>necessarily take that 10% number as gospel. We should dedicate

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<v Speaker 3>maybe some brainpower to thinking about these sort of very

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<v Speaker 3>out-there sci-fi futures, but there are some very real concerns

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<v Speaker 3>maybe highlighted by Dario Amadei that are a little bit

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<v Speaker 3>more in the present sphere and should be maybe taking

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<v Speaker 3>up a little bit more of our attention.

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<v Speaker 4>We're talking with Mike Dabusky from ABC News about the

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<v Speaker 4>threat of AI and the potential it has to wipe

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<v Speaker 4>us off the face of the earth sometime very soon.

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<v Speaker 4>It's not often, Mike, that you see the operators of

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<v Speaker 4>big-time companies, and the AI companies are the biggest of

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<v Speaker 4>them all right now. You don't see these leaders come

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<v Speaker 4>out and say, uh, this is dangerous. I mean, you

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<v Speaker 4>even have Elon Musk saying maybe we should talk about

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<v Speaker 4>some of this stuff. Can you talk a bit about

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<v Speaker 4>what the leadership has to say about the threats?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, of course. A rare moment of alignment between most

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<v Speaker 3>of the major AI figures in the last few days

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<v Speaker 3>around Dario Amadei's plan to address some of the concerns

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<v Speaker 3>that were outlined. Again, he thinks that the more pressing concern,

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<v Speaker 3>potentially within six to 12 months, is that this artificial

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<v Speaker 3>intelligence technology could potentially take over the Internet, in his words. Now,

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<v Speaker 3>worth also just kind of highlighting that term for a moment.

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<v Speaker 3>That's a pretty vague term. We don't know specifically what

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<v Speaker 3>Amadei is referencing that as. And taking over the Internet,

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<v Speaker 3>taking down the Internet, is a really difficult thing to do.

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<v Speaker 3>The Internet's distributed. Outages happen all the time. Sometimes they're

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<v Speaker 3>very disruptive. Sometimes they're expensive. But the Internet ultimately continues

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<v Speaker 3>to exist. It's very difficult to just pull the plug

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<v Speaker 3>on it. So maybe a bit of a grain of

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<v Speaker 3>salt with that. But even still, Amadeus put forward a

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<v Speaker 3>three-step plan that Sam Altman from OpenAI, figures from Microsoft, Google, Anthropic,

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<v Speaker 3>and others have kind of put themselves behind it. And

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<v Speaker 3>he says he wants to embed independent evaluators inside every

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<v Speaker 3>AI company with access to internal models, internal tools, and researchers.

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<v Speaker 3>He wants to establish common safety standards among the major

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<v Speaker 3>AI firms in democratic countries. This is where that idea

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<v Speaker 3>of an AI slowdown comes in, what Dario Amede says

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<v Speaker 3>calls pacing the frontier. He also says he wants to

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<v Speaker 3>get all major world powers to sign on to these standards,

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<v Speaker 3>including limited cooperation with China and Now, Amadei has said

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<v Speaker 3>that that last part is probably going to be the

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<v Speaker 3>hardest part, according to an interview he did with CBS

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<v Speaker 3>over the weekend. What's more, a proposed slowdown does come

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<v Speaker 3>with some real logistical hurdles. It only works if everyone

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<v Speaker 3>agrees to it. Of course, if one company slows down

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<v Speaker 3>their development, they get their lunch eaten. Now, at the moment,

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<v Speaker 3>all these guys do seem to be at least ideologically

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<v Speaker 3>or signaling that they are in line here. But whether

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<v Speaker 3>that actually, you know, when the rubber hits the road,

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<v Speaker 3>whether everyone's actually on board with this, I think remains

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<v Speaker 3>to be seen. There are some concerns about potential antitrust

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<v Speaker 3>violations as well. It's generally illegal for competitors to get

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<v Speaker 3>together and agree to limit the output of their industry.

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<v Speaker 3>Some critics have actually gone one step further and says

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<v Speaker 3>this is basically regulatory capture. This is where companies basically

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<v Speaker 3>set the tenor for their own regulation. Bigger picture here, guys.

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<v Speaker 3>AI companies are burning through a lot of cash right now.

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<v Speaker 3>No major AI firm makes money on this technology. And

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<v Speaker 3>if everyone agrees to slow down on building products... They

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<v Speaker 3>also slow down on burning cash, too. So important 30,000-foot view.

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<v Speaker 3>While slowing down, AI may come with a potential human

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<v Speaker 3>safety or cybersecurity upside. There's also a definite economic upside

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<v Speaker 3>to these companies.

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<v Speaker 5>That is a really good point. Mike Dabusky, our ABC

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<v Speaker 5>News tech reporter. You'll follow him at Michael Dabusky on

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<v Speaker 5>the social medias. Mike, thanks. Always good talking to you, man.

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<v Speaker 5>Thank you so much.

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<v Speaker 3>Thanks, Mike.

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<v Speaker 5>Appreciate it.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course, guys. Take care.

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<v Speaker 7>All right.

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<v Speaker 4>We've been told for years now that AI threatens our careers,

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<v Speaker 4>but slowing it down could protect somebody's business who benefits

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<v Speaker 4>when the biggest companies ask everybody to hit the brakes.

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<v Speaker 4>That's next on Monks and Merrill after this update from

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<v Speaker 4>the KFI 24-hour newsroom.

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<v Speaker 2>You're listening to Monks and Merrill On Demand from KFI AM640.

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<v Speaker 5>More stimulating talk.

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<v Speaker 4>more Monks and Merrill. You hear us during the week

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<v Speaker 4>the weekends. Some fresh stuff, some of our best hits

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<v Speaker 4>from the week. Thanks for being with us. KFI AM

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<v Speaker 4>640 live everywhere on the iHeartRadio app. It's more Monks

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<v Speaker 4>and Merrill. You hear us during the week and then

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<v Speaker 4>you get a special dose of us on the weekends.

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<v Speaker 4>some fresh stuff, some of our best hits from the week.

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<v Speaker 4>Thanks for being with us.

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<v Speaker 5>AI is going to kill us all that. According to

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<v Speaker 5>a couple of people on the insides at Anthropic, one

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<v Speaker 5>of the big two, I'm going to call them the

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<v Speaker 5>big two. I know that you've got to Google and

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<v Speaker 5>you've got meta and you've got all the, and you've

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<v Speaker 5>got the grok, but I really think right now you're

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<v Speaker 5>open AI and your Anthropics kind of lead the way

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<v Speaker 5>when it comes to AI development. And Anthropic has been

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<v Speaker 5>saying for a while, things are going to get bad. Uh,

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<v Speaker 5>open AI and Sam Altman are now saying, yep, things

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<v Speaker 5>could get bad. Um, Congress doesn't seem to be acting

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<v Speaker 5>on this very quickly. I have a theory about this, too.

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<v Speaker 5>But did you, Michael, did you hear Mark Rahner? I

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<v Speaker 5>guess he did a big package on this, our news guy.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 5>I heard it.

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<v Speaker 1>You did?

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<v Speaker 5>What did you think?

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<v Speaker 4>I think we should play it.

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<v Speaker 5>Oh, okay.

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<v Speaker 1>Let me see if I can find this.

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<v Speaker 5>Oh, he's talking with Ted Lieu.

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<v Speaker 1>Representative. Ted Lieu.

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<v Speaker 4>It's a very nice lead-in to the very final. work

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<v Speaker 4>that Rahner did.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 7>AI models have now gotten so advanced that they can

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<v Speaker 7>cause catastrophic harm. And society has a way of dealing

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<v Speaker 7>with this issue. They're called kill switches. So heavy machinery

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<v Speaker 7>has kill switches. High-speed rail has kill switches. Jet skis

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<v Speaker 7>have kill switches. And even your Apple iPhone. So we're

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<v Speaker 7>just saying to these AI companies, hey, look, when you

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<v Speaker 7>build an advanced AI model, make sure you can turn

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<v Speaker 7>it off if it goes rogue. And then we give

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<v Speaker 7>a process for government to order it to be shut

0:10:48.020 --> 0:10:49.600
<v Speaker 7>down if it gets out of control.

0:10:49.760 --> 0:10:53.160
<v Speaker 1>Over the weekend, President Trump dismissed concerns about AI. Liu

0:10:53.179 --> 0:10:55.750
<v Speaker 1>told me the administration's let the industry run wild.

0:10:56.179 --> 0:10:59.210
<v Speaker 7>And the administration made an intentional decision not to do

0:10:59.370 --> 0:11:02.929
<v Speaker 7>any regulations. And that has been a mistake.

0:11:03.270 --> 0:11:04.530
<v Speaker 3>It's harmed America.

0:11:04.730 --> 0:11:07.189
<v Speaker 7>It's harming even the AI industry because now there's a

0:11:07.230 --> 0:11:10.000
<v Speaker 7>massive public backlash. And that's why we need to put

0:11:10.059 --> 0:11:13.180
<v Speaker 7>in common sense legislation like the AI kill switch bill,

0:11:13.240 --> 0:11:14.440
<v Speaker 7>which is bipartisan.

0:11:14.520 --> 0:11:16.780
<v Speaker 1>There's been reporting that even though AI leaders know the

0:11:16.860 --> 0:11:19.730
<v Speaker 1>dangers of what they're creating, some are reluctant to stop

0:11:19.780 --> 0:11:21.950
<v Speaker 1>out of fear some other country or company will do

0:11:21.970 --> 0:11:25.010
<v Speaker 1>the work anyway, creating what I called an insane arms race.

0:11:25.320 --> 0:11:28.420
<v Speaker 7>It is an insane arms race. And the example you

0:11:28.480 --> 0:11:34.940
<v Speaker 7>raised with anthropic stopping biological weapons information from being given

0:11:35.600 --> 0:11:39.120
<v Speaker 7>to potentially a rogue nation or terrorists, their argument is, well,

0:11:39.280 --> 0:11:41.900
<v Speaker 7>if we don't do this, then China might deal with

0:11:41.960 --> 0:11:43.540
<v Speaker 7>a model that can build a biological weapon.

0:11:43.559 --> 0:11:44.099
<v Speaker 3>But you know what?

0:11:44.300 --> 0:11:47.360
<v Speaker 7>Both are very, very bad. And so just because another

0:11:47.380 --> 0:11:51.070
<v Speaker 7>country can build a virus that can kill humanity doesn't

0:11:51.090 --> 0:11:53.020
<v Speaker 7>mean we should let anthropic do that, too.

0:11:53.300 --> 0:11:55.530
<v Speaker 1>Lou said ultimately, AI is a tool that can be

0:11:55.590 --> 0:11:56.610
<v Speaker 1>used for good or bad.

0:11:56.630 --> 0:11:59.190
<v Speaker 7>And so we need to make sure that it's being

0:11:59.270 --> 0:12:01.849
<v Speaker 7>used for good purposes to help society, but then to

0:12:01.950 --> 0:12:06.050
<v Speaker 7>regulate any issue regarding catastrophic harm that an AI model

0:12:06.090 --> 0:12:06.590
<v Speaker 7>could pose.

0:12:06.910 --> 0:12:08.330
<v Speaker 1>Mark Rauner, KFI News.

0:12:08.750 --> 0:12:11.000
<v Speaker 5>Mark joins us in the studio right now. Mark, that

0:12:11.120 --> 0:12:12.020
<v Speaker 5>was very depressing.

0:12:12.740 --> 0:12:14.720
<v Speaker 1>And you're going to get more depressed. We're only just

0:12:14.760 --> 0:12:17.520
<v Speaker 1>beginning to find out about everything that's going on right now.

0:12:17.559 --> 0:12:20.359
<v Speaker 1>And things are happening really fast. I mean, even since

0:12:20.420 --> 0:12:23.780
<v Speaker 1>I reported that, more things have happened. But I'll tell you,

0:12:24.000 --> 0:12:26.540
<v Speaker 1>just to start off on a lighter note, you should

0:12:26.580 --> 0:12:29.900
<v Speaker 1>go home and watch Colossus, the Forbin Project from 1970.

0:12:29.900 --> 0:12:32.690
<v Speaker 4>This is the nerdiest episode we've ever had.

0:12:32.700 --> 0:12:33.800
<v Speaker 5>I thought we couldn't get nerdier.

0:12:33.860 --> 0:12:34.180
<v Speaker 3>No, no, no.

0:12:34.200 --> 0:12:35.240
<v Speaker 4>This has been the nerdiest episode.

0:12:35.260 --> 0:12:36.349
<v Speaker 5>Ronner comes in to bring up a 1940s.

0:12:36.380 --> 0:12:39.839
<v Speaker 1>It's a 1970, and I just think it's good to

0:12:39.860 --> 0:12:41.800
<v Speaker 1>put a little pop culture spin on this to put

0:12:41.820 --> 0:12:45.439
<v Speaker 1>it into perspective. It's about a massive supercomputer that gains

0:12:45.540 --> 0:12:47.609
<v Speaker 1>sentience and takes over the world.

0:12:47.850 --> 0:12:48.590
<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

0:12:48.610 --> 0:12:51.350
<v Speaker 1>And the movie ends before everybody goes extinct like we're

0:12:51.390 --> 0:12:55.910
<v Speaker 1>going to happen. Anyway, since I reported the story, 40

0:12:55.910 --> 0:12:59.650
<v Speaker 1>Democrats have called on Mike Johnson to reconvene Congress. At

0:12:59.690 --> 0:13:03.610
<v Speaker 1>the same time, the president, the attorney general have both

0:13:03.630 --> 0:13:06.670
<v Speaker 1>said they're not going to regulate AI and the industry

0:13:06.690 --> 0:13:11.699
<v Speaker 1>can self-police. They've downplayed the threat. I think that if

0:13:11.760 --> 0:13:14.620
<v Speaker 1>the people who are developing the technology say it's a

0:13:14.640 --> 0:13:17.210
<v Speaker 1>threat to us, I'm more inclined to listen to them say,

0:13:18.450 --> 0:13:20.670
<v Speaker 1>than the deniers, just like I'm more inclined to say,

0:13:20.950 --> 0:13:23.689
<v Speaker 1>listen to climate scientists about what's going on, rather than

0:13:23.770 --> 0:13:26.730
<v Speaker 1>climate deniers who have no credentials. This seems to be

0:13:26.750 --> 0:13:30.760
<v Speaker 1>a serious issue. And also, something else that may be

0:13:30.800 --> 0:13:35.380
<v Speaker 1>painfully obvious is that this gerontocracy in Congress is just

0:13:35.500 --> 0:13:39.220
<v Speaker 1>not equipped to deal with this issue. These are people,

0:13:39.780 --> 0:13:43.610
<v Speaker 1>you think they're going to grasp recursive self-improvement in AI

0:13:43.650 --> 0:13:47.809
<v Speaker 1>and autonomous hacking? These guys probably never learned how to

0:13:47.870 --> 0:13:49.489
<v Speaker 1>program the timer on a VCR.

0:13:49.610 --> 0:13:51.829
<v Speaker 5>So I think that is a very salient point and

0:13:51.950 --> 0:13:53.710
<v Speaker 5>one I actually plan on making today. I'm glad you

0:13:53.730 --> 0:13:55.630
<v Speaker 5>brought that up because I think it is one of

0:13:55.650 --> 0:13:58.110
<v Speaker 5>those things where you've got such a generational divide. You're

0:13:58.170 --> 0:14:04.229
<v Speaker 5>asking somebody who has no concept how to control the computers.

0:14:04.250 --> 0:14:06.309
<v Speaker 5>They don't know how to turn a computer on. Don't

0:14:06.350 --> 0:14:09.470
<v Speaker 5>tell me that Michael's guy there, Mitch McConnell, is out

0:14:09.490 --> 0:14:11.990
<v Speaker 5>there like, I've got to fire this bad boy up

0:14:12.050 --> 0:14:13.510
<v Speaker 5>so that I can develop some new code.

0:14:14.130 --> 0:14:16.490
<v Speaker 4>I'm pretty sure he's been operating on AI since at

0:14:16.530 --> 0:14:17.510
<v Speaker 4>least the late 90s.

0:14:17.809 --> 0:14:21.430
<v Speaker 5>But you said something there a moment ago, Mark Rahner,

0:14:21.610 --> 0:14:25.970
<v Speaker 5>KFI reporter, about if the developers say it's a bad idea,

0:14:25.990 --> 0:14:28.670
<v Speaker 5>then maybe we should listen to them. But I mean,

0:14:28.690 --> 0:14:31.170
<v Speaker 5>I got to go back to the 1940s. There's a

0:14:31.210 --> 0:14:34.790
<v Speaker 5>great film that came out. No, there was a recent

0:14:34.810 --> 0:14:36.690
<v Speaker 5>film about something that happened in the 1940s, but it

0:14:36.710 --> 0:14:40.330
<v Speaker 5>was Oppenheimer that had reservations about the atom bomb, even saying...

0:14:40.790 --> 0:14:43.260
<v Speaker 5>I am become death. Here's a guy that says it's

0:14:43.280 --> 0:14:47.700
<v Speaker 5>a bad idea, but as a result of that, one

0:14:47.740 --> 0:14:51.060
<v Speaker 5>might argue that we became the global leader in the world,

0:14:51.480 --> 0:14:53.450
<v Speaker 5>for better or for worse, but one might argue that

0:14:53.540 --> 0:14:57.210
<v Speaker 5>that put us on the footing to be, you know,

0:14:57.250 --> 0:14:59.150
<v Speaker 5>basically call the shots for the globe for the next

0:14:59.330 --> 0:14:59.930
<v Speaker 5>hundred years.

0:14:59.970 --> 0:15:03.490
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I've seen comparisons between the AI development and nukes,

0:15:03.530 --> 0:15:06.790
<v Speaker 1>but the difference is nukes didn't gain sentience and improve

0:15:06.840 --> 0:15:13.430
<v Speaker 1>themselves and act go rogue and autonomously threaten humanity.

0:15:13.530 --> 0:15:16.470
<v Speaker 4>They might be used by the AI here, is my concern.

0:15:16.550 --> 0:15:18.650
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, that is one of the possibilities, and it's not

0:15:18.670 --> 0:15:21.510
<v Speaker 1>a very distant one either. But there are two pieces

0:15:21.550 --> 0:15:23.110
<v Speaker 1>to this that we should break down. One is what

0:15:23.150 --> 0:15:25.090
<v Speaker 1>we've been talking about, is that the technology is out

0:15:25.110 --> 0:15:29.570
<v Speaker 1>of control and dangerous with AI systems going rogue, acting independently,

0:15:29.650 --> 0:15:33.479
<v Speaker 1>and possibly leading to human extinction sooner rather than later.

0:15:33.880 --> 0:15:35.760
<v Speaker 1>The other piece of this is that this could be

0:15:35.780 --> 0:15:39.340
<v Speaker 1>a desperation move by these tech bros who see the

0:15:39.460 --> 0:15:44.510
<v Speaker 1>AI bubble bursting, and they don't want to lose their shorts.

0:15:44.750 --> 0:15:46.570
<v Speaker 5>Slow it all down, and then we don't bleed money

0:15:46.610 --> 0:15:46.910
<v Speaker 5>so fast.

0:15:46.970 --> 0:15:49.190
<v Speaker 1>Yes, it's been a money furnace, and the business model

0:15:49.230 --> 0:15:51.630
<v Speaker 1>doesn't account for any way to make this back. People

0:15:51.670 --> 0:15:54.470
<v Speaker 1>aren't buying what they're selling. They don't want it. They

0:15:54.490 --> 0:15:57.150
<v Speaker 1>can't even do an IPO. They're in such sad shape.

0:15:57.170 --> 0:16:00.270
<v Speaker 1>So we don't have all the facts for either of

0:16:00.310 --> 0:16:03.890
<v Speaker 1>these two components yet. I think our jaws are going

0:16:03.910 --> 0:16:04.910
<v Speaker 1>to drop when we finally do.

0:16:05.450 --> 0:16:10.840
<v Speaker 4>I believe it was the 1993 film Jurassic Park in

0:16:10.890 --> 0:16:18.820
<v Speaker 4>which famed scientist Dr. Jeff Goldblum said, your scientists were

0:16:18.860 --> 0:16:21.720
<v Speaker 4>so preoccupied with whether they could, they didn't stop to

0:16:21.740 --> 0:16:22.480
<v Speaker 4>think if they should.

0:16:23.280 --> 0:16:25.300
<v Speaker 1>Well, that gets us back to this arms race thing,

0:16:25.350 --> 0:16:29.850
<v Speaker 1>which should terrify everybody, which is that these guys know...

0:16:31.170 --> 0:16:31.610
<v Speaker 1>Thank you.

0:16:31.670 --> 0:16:33.730
<v Speaker 4>Welcome to Jurassic Park.

0:16:35.910 --> 0:16:36.880
<v Speaker 1>Oh, you're just going to turn it off?

0:16:36.920 --> 0:16:38.859
<v Speaker 4>Isn't that a great, great score?

0:16:39.460 --> 0:16:40.900
<v Speaker 1>It's not my favorite of John Williams.

0:16:40.920 --> 0:16:43.840
<v Speaker 4>It's my favorite. We had this conversation about a month ago.

0:16:44.140 --> 0:16:46.140
<v Speaker 1>No, I don't want to go down a rabbit hole here,

0:16:46.160 --> 0:16:49.630
<v Speaker 1>but John Williams' very best is Superman. It's a good one.

0:16:49.710 --> 0:16:51.110
<v Speaker 4>I mean, it's not like he has a bad one.

0:16:51.210 --> 0:16:53.890
<v Speaker 5>With you on that. Hey, you talked with Ted Lieu

0:16:53.910 --> 0:16:55.960
<v Speaker 5>about a kill switch. What does a kill switch look like?

0:16:56.000 --> 0:16:58.360
<v Speaker 5>Because I think it's really easy for us to conceptualize,

0:16:58.500 --> 0:16:59.220
<v Speaker 5>just unplug it.

0:16:59.840 --> 0:17:00.200
<v Speaker 1>But it's not.

0:17:00.560 --> 0:17:03.250
<v Speaker 5>It's not exactly that. So he compared it to a

0:17:03.350 --> 0:17:06.230
<v Speaker 5>kill switch on a jet ski or your iPhone or

0:17:06.330 --> 0:17:09.830
<v Speaker 5>the iPhone. I just don't think that's necessarily, I feel

0:17:09.850 --> 0:17:10.750
<v Speaker 5>like that's reductive.

0:17:10.890 --> 0:17:12.989
<v Speaker 1>He went into some detail on that with me, but

0:17:13.050 --> 0:17:14.770
<v Speaker 1>we don't want to get too much into the nerd

0:17:14.850 --> 0:17:17.160
<v Speaker 1>weeds here or people's eyes are going to start.

0:17:17.200 --> 0:17:18.420
<v Speaker 5>Why would we start that now?

0:17:18.540 --> 0:17:21.040
<v Speaker 1>Glazing over. I mean, what we do know is that

0:17:21.080 --> 0:17:23.280
<v Speaker 1>AI is not improving our lives as we were promised.

0:17:23.380 --> 0:17:25.340
<v Speaker 1>It's putting people out of work and it's threatening us.

0:17:26.359 --> 0:17:28.660
<v Speaker 1>And when you add in the data centers to all that,

0:17:28.840 --> 0:17:32.899
<v Speaker 1>it's even worse. And we don't also, because things are

0:17:32.920 --> 0:17:34.880
<v Speaker 1>developing so fast, we don't have a way of knowing

0:17:34.940 --> 0:17:38.820
<v Speaker 1>who to believe. Like these three tech CEOs, they come

0:17:38.940 --> 0:17:43.240
<v Speaker 1>out in unison and say, please regulate us. When have

0:17:43.260 --> 0:17:45.460
<v Speaker 1>you known any of these people, including Musk, to be

0:17:45.520 --> 0:17:48.460
<v Speaker 1>altruistic about anything? As a journalist, we have to proceed

0:17:48.480 --> 0:17:50.790
<v Speaker 1>from what we can know when there's a lot we

0:17:50.869 --> 0:17:54.409
<v Speaker 1>don't know. And we've never seen Musk act for the

0:17:54.490 --> 0:17:58.470
<v Speaker 1>benefit of society. I mean, Carnegie gave us libraries. What's

0:17:58.550 --> 0:17:59.220
<v Speaker 1>Musk given us?

0:17:59.770 --> 0:18:01.970
<v Speaker 4>Well, when we know the end is near, the clock

0:18:02.030 --> 0:18:04.389
<v Speaker 4>is ticking. Yeah, like 14 of them. He did give

0:18:04.430 --> 0:18:06.950
<v Speaker 4>us a lot of kids. It's all going to blow up. Ronner,

0:18:07.770 --> 0:18:08.630
<v Speaker 4>what is your last meal?

0:18:09.770 --> 0:18:14.490
<v Speaker 1>Oh, probably steak and a vodka martini. What about you, Merrill?

0:18:15.450 --> 0:18:16.149
<v Speaker 5>I'm going to live forever.

0:18:16.430 --> 0:18:23.100
<v Speaker 4>Okay. I need a big plate of Cincinnati chili.

0:18:24.630 --> 0:18:25.270
<v Speaker 5>Skyline Chili?

0:18:25.290 --> 0:18:26.030
<v Speaker 4>I'll do Skyline.

0:18:26.210 --> 0:18:27.090
<v Speaker 1>Okay.

0:18:27.330 --> 0:18:30.359
<v Speaker 4>Two cheese conies and the biggest chocolate malt.

0:18:30.619 --> 0:18:33.100
<v Speaker 5>Elmer, normally we would fade the music down below the

0:18:33.140 --> 0:18:34.760
<v Speaker 5>people talking, but that's cool.

0:18:34.800 --> 0:18:35.359
<v Speaker 1>Just leave it up.

0:18:35.500 --> 0:18:36.000
<v Speaker 5>That's great.

0:18:37.200 --> 0:18:38.119
<v Speaker 4>Why is it so loud?

0:18:38.140 --> 0:18:42.879
<v Speaker 5>Because our board op isn't riding the levels. Well, speaking

0:18:42.900 --> 0:18:44.399
<v Speaker 5>of Superman. See, Ron, this is why we stop in

0:18:44.420 --> 0:18:44.680
<v Speaker 5>the middle.

0:18:44.740 --> 0:18:47.480
<v Speaker 1>I want to just make one more. Two points, actually. Michael,

0:18:47.520 --> 0:18:48.619
<v Speaker 1>you're complete white trash.

0:18:48.980 --> 0:18:49.100
<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

0:18:49.580 --> 0:18:51.200
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, well, I mean, we've been open about that.

0:18:51.480 --> 0:18:58.530
<v Speaker 1>And number two. AI super PACs have spent over $ 140

0:18:56.869 --> 0:19:00.330
<v Speaker 1>million on the midterms. It doesn't take a lot to

0:19:00.390 --> 0:19:03.260
<v Speaker 1>connect the dots in terms of the push for them

0:19:03.320 --> 0:19:06.879
<v Speaker 1>to self-regulate. Keep an eye on this stuff. Things are

0:19:06.920 --> 0:19:07.700
<v Speaker 1>developing fast.

0:19:07.820 --> 0:19:08.879
<v Speaker 4>Thanks, Ron, for being with us.

0:19:08.940 --> 0:19:09.500
<v Speaker 1>Thanks, guys.

0:19:09.540 --> 0:19:11.320
<v Speaker 4>Let's get over to the KFI 24-hour newsroom.

0:19:12.109 --> 0:19:17.209
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to Monks and Merrill On Demand. From KFI

0:19:17.540 --> 0:19:18.360
<v Speaker 2>AM 640.

0:19:18.359 --> 0:19:23.040
<v Speaker 5>It's KFI AM 640. More stimulating talk. Monks and Merrill.

0:19:23.080 --> 0:19:24.980
<v Speaker 5>I'm Chris Merrill. He's Michael Monks On Demand on the

0:19:25.060 --> 0:19:27.260
<v Speaker 5>iHeartRadio app. Click on that subscribe button or the follow

0:19:27.300 --> 0:19:32.060
<v Speaker 5>button and never miss a moment. Riverside. You see Riverside researchers, Michael.

0:19:32.540 --> 0:19:32.700
<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

0:19:32.820 --> 0:19:35.639
<v Speaker 5>Have come up with a way to figure out where

0:19:36.080 --> 0:19:39.590
<v Speaker 5>we're going to have ginormous earthquakes. The problem is they

0:19:39.609 --> 0:19:41.730
<v Speaker 5>can't really tell us when. Joining us right now is

0:19:41.770 --> 0:19:45.199
<v Speaker 5>Gareth Funning. He is the professor of seismology at UC Riverside.

0:19:45.200 --> 0:19:47.850
<v Speaker 5>And I appreciate you joining us here today. So when

0:19:47.850 --> 0:19:50.649
<v Speaker 5>when we see that scientists can predict where an earthquake

0:19:50.670 --> 0:19:52.730
<v Speaker 5>is going to, going to hit, what is it that

0:19:52.820 --> 0:19:55.260
<v Speaker 5>is that you're predicting? I mean, are you down to

0:19:55.280 --> 0:19:59.020
<v Speaker 5>like the square mile? Is this which fault is going to,

0:19:59.180 --> 0:20:01.540
<v Speaker 5>is going to go off? And then, I mean, tell

0:20:01.560 --> 0:20:02.389
<v Speaker 5>me about how you do it.

0:20:03.940 --> 0:20:07.440
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, there's quite a lot to tell you about. But

0:20:07.480 --> 0:20:12.050
<v Speaker 8>what we're measuring is we're, Where faults are accumulating strain,

0:20:13.030 --> 0:20:16.670
<v Speaker 8>that's what the fuel for earthquakes is. The crust slowly

0:20:16.710 --> 0:20:24.300
<v Speaker 8>bends when what we call locking is going on. We're

0:20:24.320 --> 0:20:27.659
<v Speaker 8>talking about the Pacific Rim. We're talking about subduction zones.

0:20:27.840 --> 0:20:30.379
<v Speaker 8>I don't know if you remember back to Platonic's class

0:20:30.440 --> 0:20:31.030
<v Speaker 8>in school.

0:20:31.290 --> 0:20:31.609
<v Speaker 7>Yes.

0:20:32.150 --> 0:20:32.560
<v Speaker 1>But these are.

0:20:34.440 --> 0:20:36.960
<v Speaker 8>These are places where plates are sort of sinking under

0:20:37.000 --> 0:20:39.030
<v Speaker 8>other plates and kind of grinding up against them as

0:20:39.070 --> 0:20:44.730
<v Speaker 8>they go. But generally that happens in phases, right? Every

0:20:44.770 --> 0:20:51.280
<v Speaker 8>time the plate moves, it's a big earthquake, basically. And

0:20:51.300 --> 0:20:52.740
<v Speaker 8>the rest of the time, it's kind of stuck to

0:20:52.780 --> 0:20:54.960
<v Speaker 8>the plate above and kind of not really going anywhere.

0:20:55.560 --> 0:20:59.160
<v Speaker 8>And from measuring how the ground is moving above that,

0:20:59.609 --> 0:21:03.490
<v Speaker 8>we have some idea of where on the subduction zone

0:21:03.710 --> 0:21:07.280
<v Speaker 8>the plate is stuck. And those tend to be the

0:21:07.320 --> 0:21:10.050
<v Speaker 8>places where we would expect the earthquakes to And in

0:21:10.070 --> 0:21:13.199
<v Speaker 8>this particular case, we were looking at Kamchatka, which is

0:21:13.260 --> 0:21:17.500
<v Speaker 8>like this area of the northwest Pacific, the kind of

0:21:17.580 --> 0:21:21.520
<v Speaker 8>far east part of Russia. I only remember that area

0:21:21.540 --> 0:21:24.170
<v Speaker 8>because it's on the risk board. Have you ever played

0:21:24.210 --> 0:21:24.950
<v Speaker 8>that board game?

0:21:24.990 --> 0:21:25.210
<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

0:21:25.530 --> 0:21:25.850
<v Speaker 1>It's like.

0:21:26.510 --> 0:21:29.530
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, it's how you invade North America from Russia.

0:21:30.170 --> 0:21:31.590
<v Speaker 1>Great.

0:21:31.609 --> 0:21:32.730
<v Speaker 4>Like they need any ideas.

0:21:32.750 --> 0:21:34.390
<v Speaker 5>Right.

0:21:34.450 --> 0:21:36.330
<v Speaker 1>No, maybe not.

0:21:36.590 --> 0:21:40.359
<v Speaker 8>But that place had an earthquake in 2025 that we

0:21:40.430 --> 0:21:43.900
<v Speaker 8>had basically identified as an area that should have an earthquake.

0:21:45.359 --> 0:21:47.540
<v Speaker 8>And that was kind of the light bulb moment for us,

0:21:47.560 --> 0:21:50.840
<v Speaker 8>that this could work pretty much across the whole Pacific Rim.

0:21:53.100 --> 0:21:54.600
<v Speaker 8>And so that's what we're now working on.

0:21:54.619 --> 0:21:55.860
<v Speaker 1>So are you.

0:21:55.540 --> 0:21:58.080
<v Speaker 5>Talking about those plates bowing? Like you're trying to cram

0:21:58.119 --> 0:22:00.119
<v Speaker 5>too many things into a small space. And as that

0:22:00.160 --> 0:22:03.090
<v Speaker 5>pressure builds, you start to see, you start to see

0:22:03.470 --> 0:22:05.710
<v Speaker 5>it's not fissures, but you start to see some bowing

0:22:05.810 --> 0:22:08.330
<v Speaker 5>on that where there's too much stuff being compressed.

0:22:08.350 --> 0:22:16.080
<v Speaker 8>Um, what you see, uh, is that, um, Like when

0:22:16.340 --> 0:22:19.800
<v Speaker 8>it was freely sliding, there would be no impact of

0:22:19.840 --> 0:22:21.320
<v Speaker 8>the plate pushing on the other plate.

0:22:21.820 --> 0:22:23.180
<v Speaker 1>It would just kind of slide.

0:22:22.940 --> 0:22:26.640
<v Speaker 8>Smoothly down, but it doesn't do that. It's stuck basically

0:22:26.660 --> 0:22:27.980
<v Speaker 8>to the one above it. And so it kind of

0:22:28.040 --> 0:22:30.310
<v Speaker 8>is pushing on it and trying to drag it down

0:22:30.850 --> 0:22:33.230
<v Speaker 8>and down and down. And the overriding plate bends and

0:22:33.250 --> 0:22:37.149
<v Speaker 8>bends and bends. And eventually when friction is exceeded and

0:22:37.210 --> 0:22:39.970
<v Speaker 8>the plate is able to move, it springs back up again.

0:22:40.109 --> 0:22:42.990
<v Speaker 8>And that big release of energy is what the earthquake

0:22:43.090 --> 0:22:43.580
<v Speaker 8>actually is.

0:22:43.930 --> 0:22:46.429
<v Speaker 5>Sounds like a dysfunctional relationship where you're just pressing and

0:22:46.470 --> 0:22:48.609
<v Speaker 5>pressing and nothing is smooth until something snaps.

0:22:48.930 --> 0:22:49.710
<v Speaker 3>All right.

0:22:49.770 --> 0:22:52.710
<v Speaker 4>Well, we're talking with Professor Gareth Funning, professor of seismology

0:22:52.750 --> 0:22:56.320
<v Speaker 4>at UC Riverside, and researchers at the University have developed

0:22:56.340 --> 0:23:00.160
<v Speaker 4>this method for identifying locked fault regions that could generate

0:23:00.760 --> 0:23:04.460
<v Speaker 4>enormous earthquakes. And so we're talking about the far part

0:23:04.500 --> 0:23:07.659
<v Speaker 4>of Russia, maybe not as far away from us as

0:23:07.680 --> 0:23:10.010
<v Speaker 4>we might think. But what does this mean for California?

0:23:10.050 --> 0:23:11.690
<v Speaker 4>How can this apply to us here in California?

0:23:13.090 --> 0:23:16.050
<v Speaker 8>Well, for one thing, Northern California is a subduction zone

0:23:16.070 --> 0:23:20.850
<v Speaker 8>as well. Once you get past Cape Mendocino, which maybe

0:23:21.369 --> 0:23:23.610
<v Speaker 8>a lot of people from Southern California don't go to see,

0:23:23.650 --> 0:23:27.669
<v Speaker 8>but if you drive north 10 hours, you start to

0:23:27.710 --> 0:23:30.120
<v Speaker 8>see a change in the landscape. You see volcanoes and things,

0:23:30.190 --> 0:23:35.960
<v Speaker 8>and those are all caused by the subduction zone up north.

0:23:36.040 --> 0:23:38.900
<v Speaker 8>And we are applying this method to that area. So

0:23:38.940 --> 0:23:44.300
<v Speaker 8>the whole coast from Northern California to British Columbia, is

0:23:44.359 --> 0:23:46.669
<v Speaker 8>a place where this could happen, and we're trying to

0:23:46.730 --> 0:23:51.550
<v Speaker 8>narrow down exactly where. It's also possible to study it

0:23:52.550 --> 0:23:54.530
<v Speaker 8>in Mexico, which is not California, but it's.

0:23:54.490 --> 0:23:55.070
<v Speaker 1>Not far away.

0:23:56.670 --> 0:24:01.500
<v Speaker 8>In California, central and southern California, actually, it's not quite

0:24:01.540 --> 0:24:04.580
<v Speaker 8>as easy to apply because the faults up there are

0:24:04.660 --> 0:24:10.490
<v Speaker 8>generally just locked. There's no mystery, really, around L.A. and

0:24:10.510 --> 0:24:12.929
<v Speaker 8>other stuff, because basically all those thoughts are primed to

0:24:12.950 --> 0:24:14.929
<v Speaker 8>have earthquakes already.

0:24:15.090 --> 0:24:18.170
<v Speaker 5>That's interesting. So what does this text show us about?

0:24:18.750 --> 0:24:21.230
<v Speaker 5>I mean, are we always in a high-risk zone here?

0:24:21.270 --> 0:24:24.380
<v Speaker 5>I mean, is that just what we're living with? You're

0:24:24.400 --> 0:24:28.500
<v Speaker 5>talking about this area in Russia, this Kimchatka being, you

0:24:28.540 --> 0:24:30.320
<v Speaker 5>say something should come very soon, and yet when it

0:24:30.340 --> 0:24:32.619
<v Speaker 5>comes to Southern California, we're not really able to identify

0:24:33.300 --> 0:24:34.160
<v Speaker 5>when something may give?

0:24:36.280 --> 0:24:40.159
<v Speaker 8>Basically not, no. We have more historic information in California.

0:24:40.200 --> 0:24:44.300
<v Speaker 8>We know approximately how often they happen on the San

0:24:44.340 --> 0:24:49.240
<v Speaker 8>Andreas Fault and some of the others. But, yeah, the

0:24:49.280 --> 0:24:52.420
<v Speaker 8>problem is always with earthquake prediction is you can't, we

0:24:52.460 --> 0:24:56.139
<v Speaker 8>do not have the technology or the knowledge that we

0:24:56.160 --> 0:24:58.010
<v Speaker 8>would need to actually predict.

0:24:57.770 --> 0:25:00.170
<v Speaker 1>The timing of earthquakes. I'm fascinated by this.

0:25:00.190 --> 0:25:01.050
<v Speaker 8>Southern California.

0:25:01.830 --> 0:25:02.149
<v Speaker 7>Yeah.

0:25:02.330 --> 0:25:03.350
<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

0:25:03.390 --> 0:25:04.290
<v Speaker 8>And that's the Holy Grail.

0:25:04.700 --> 0:25:06.920
<v Speaker 5>Professor, it is the Holy Grail, a professor of seismology

0:25:06.940 --> 0:25:11.080
<v Speaker 5>at UC Riverside. We can, can we safely say within

0:25:11.119 --> 0:25:14.320
<v Speaker 5>the next 30 years, for instance, when we say we

0:25:14.359 --> 0:25:16.859
<v Speaker 5>can't predict the time, we got to be able to

0:25:16.900 --> 0:25:18.859
<v Speaker 5>predict some sort of a window though, based on some

0:25:18.900 --> 0:25:20.500
<v Speaker 5>historical stuff, can we? Because I've seen a lot of,

0:25:20.720 --> 0:25:23.260
<v Speaker 5>I've seen a lot of predictions saying there'll be a

0:25:23.300 --> 0:25:25.200
<v Speaker 5>seven plus on the San Andreas fault in the next

0:25:25.200 --> 0:25:28.400
<v Speaker 5>30 years. Is, is that, is that inaccurate as well?

0:25:29.990 --> 0:25:35.920
<v Speaker 8>No, that's not inaccurate. We call those forecasts because we

0:25:36.380 --> 0:25:38.760
<v Speaker 8>like to be clear there's not really a prediction of timing.

0:25:38.780 --> 0:25:43.780
<v Speaker 8>But yes, there is definitely a high probability of an

0:25:43.800 --> 0:25:48.119
<v Speaker 8>earthquake in the region in that timeframe. And the USGS

0:25:48.180 --> 0:25:51.160
<v Speaker 8>likes to use 30 years as its timeframe because that's

0:25:51.220 --> 0:25:53.770
<v Speaker 8>about the length of a mortgage and so forth. You know,

0:25:53.790 --> 0:25:54.770
<v Speaker 8>if you want to know.

0:25:54.609 --> 0:25:56.850
<v Speaker 3>Whether or not you want to buy the house.

0:25:56.910 --> 0:26:00.840
<v Speaker 4>That's so funny, the way that capitalism infiltrates everything. I

0:26:00.859 --> 0:26:01.560
<v Speaker 4>love that very much.

0:26:01.640 --> 0:26:04.320
<v Speaker 5>Gareth Funning, a professor of seismology at UC Riverside. It

0:26:04.359 --> 0:26:06.399
<v Speaker 5>has been enlightening. Thank you so much for spending time

0:26:06.420 --> 0:26:09.040
<v Speaker 5>with us today. Yeah, let's talk again. Yeah, it's nice

0:26:09.060 --> 0:26:10.119
<v Speaker 5>to know Russia's going to get screwed.

0:26:10.200 --> 0:26:10.400
<v Speaker 7>Great.

0:26:10.420 --> 0:26:12.780
<v Speaker 5>All right.

0:26:13.160 --> 0:26:15.179
<v Speaker 4>We'll talk a little bit more about that swarm of

0:26:15.270 --> 0:26:19.030
<v Speaker 4>tiny earthquakes that we had near us here. When we

0:26:19.070 --> 0:26:20.190
<v Speaker 4>come back, as Monks and Meryl continue.

0:26:20.210 --> 0:26:20.929
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, this is over the weekend, right?

0:26:20.950 --> 0:26:22.510
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, it was kind of weird. Now let's get the

0:26:22.530 --> 0:26:24.389
<v Speaker 4>latest from the KFI 24-hour newsroom.

0:26:25.030 --> 0:26:30.480
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to Monks and Meryl. On demand. From KFI AM640.

0:26:30.580 --> 0:26:36.660
<v Speaker 4>Available anywhere on the iHeartRadio app. KFI AM640, live everywhere

0:26:36.740 --> 0:26:40.790
<v Speaker 4>on the iHeartRadio app. Monks and Meryl, you know we

0:26:40.830 --> 0:26:42.490
<v Speaker 4>live in a special part of the country when we

0:26:42.510 --> 0:26:44.910
<v Speaker 4>can call up a local professor who is a professor

0:26:45.010 --> 0:26:47.689
<v Speaker 4>of seismology. I mean, they don't have those everywhere.

0:26:47.710 --> 0:26:48.970
<v Speaker 5>That was pretty great. And I actually, I thought he

0:26:48.990 --> 0:26:51.359
<v Speaker 5>sounded really good. That, uh, Gareth Fanning guy. Hey, before we,

0:26:51.440 --> 0:26:52.899
<v Speaker 5>I know you wanted to talk about that swarm of

0:26:52.940 --> 0:26:54.980
<v Speaker 5>earthquakes that happened over the weekend, but before we do that,

0:26:55.180 --> 0:26:59.580
<v Speaker 5>I did see, uh, did you in San Diego cops

0:26:59.600 --> 0:27:01.340
<v Speaker 5>had to shoot a guy who set their dog on fire,

0:27:01.810 --> 0:27:06.230
<v Speaker 5>who set the cop dog, the canine. And I thought, yeah,

0:27:06.250 --> 0:27:09.169
<v Speaker 5>I'd have shot him too. San Diego police department responding

0:27:09.190 --> 0:27:12.129
<v Speaker 5>to a call in North park, San Diego, nice neighborhood.

0:27:12.150 --> 0:27:16.470
<v Speaker 5>I like that area. Um, This guy was smashing cars

0:27:16.510 --> 0:27:18.469
<v Speaker 5>with a metal pole or something, and I guess he

0:27:18.550 --> 0:27:21.909
<v Speaker 5>ran into an adult emporium. Wouldn't come out, so they

0:27:21.930 --> 0:27:25.040
<v Speaker 5>sent the canine in. He had an incendiary device. They're

0:27:25.060 --> 0:27:26.889
<v Speaker 5>not saying exactly what it was, but he lit it,

0:27:27.040 --> 0:27:30.300
<v Speaker 5>and it ended up catching the dog on fire. So

0:27:30.320 --> 0:27:32.520
<v Speaker 5>the police ran in there. A couple of the cops

0:27:32.540 --> 0:27:35.899
<v Speaker 5>got burned, and then they shot the guy with several rounds.

0:27:35.940 --> 0:27:37.870
<v Speaker 5>I would have fired several rounds and then reloaded.

0:27:38.070 --> 0:27:38.889
<v Speaker 4>What happened to the dog?

0:27:39.430 --> 0:27:39.850
<v Speaker 5>Dog is.

0:27:40.710 --> 0:27:41.070
<v Speaker 4>Stable?

0:27:42.010 --> 0:27:42.210
<v Speaker 3>Nope.

0:27:42.369 --> 0:27:46.210
<v Speaker 5>Dog is stable. They're injured. The dog is treated for burns.

0:27:46.490 --> 0:27:48.600
<v Speaker 4>I mean, they treat those dogs like they're sworn officers.

0:27:49.190 --> 0:27:49.689
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, they do.

0:27:49.880 --> 0:27:51.600
<v Speaker 4>So, yeah, that's what you get.

0:27:52.100 --> 0:27:52.919
<v Speaker 5>That's what you get.

0:27:53.820 --> 0:27:56.159
<v Speaker 4>So we were talking to this researcher from UC Riverside

0:27:56.340 --> 0:27:59.379
<v Speaker 4>about new research out of the university where they think

0:27:59.540 --> 0:28:04.420
<v Speaker 4>they can identify where major earthquakes will happen. Not when, unfortunately,

0:28:04.480 --> 0:28:07.060
<v Speaker 4>so we're not that advanced yet in our forecasting, but

0:28:07.080 --> 0:28:08.540
<v Speaker 4>they can pinpoint some locations.

0:28:08.740 --> 0:28:10.639
<v Speaker 5>Look, I'm not as smart as them, obviously, but what

0:28:10.660 --> 0:28:13.720
<v Speaker 5>I was getting is that you've got those plates that

0:28:13.900 --> 0:28:15.120
<v Speaker 5>one's going to go up and one's going to go down.

0:28:15.160 --> 0:28:17.070
<v Speaker 5>We know a plate tetanus work. We remember that as

0:28:17.090 --> 0:28:20.909
<v Speaker 5>he pointed out from junior high science class. And basically

0:28:20.930 --> 0:28:23.050
<v Speaker 5>what they're saying is we can see where the plate

0:28:23.910 --> 0:28:26.490
<v Speaker 5>is going to slip, but it's basically hung up. And

0:28:26.530 --> 0:28:29.260
<v Speaker 5>as that pressure builds, they go, oh, this plate is

0:28:29.300 --> 0:28:33.100
<v Speaker 5>going to slip. The pressure is building. And now it's

0:28:33.160 --> 0:28:35.720
<v Speaker 5>definitely going to go at some point here and it's

0:28:35.740 --> 0:28:37.619
<v Speaker 5>going to be a big one. That's what I was

0:28:37.660 --> 0:28:38.120
<v Speaker 5>getting from it.

0:28:39.060 --> 0:28:39.620
<v Speaker 4>I think that's right.

0:28:40.030 --> 0:28:40.410
<v Speaker 1>Okay.

0:28:40.450 --> 0:28:42.489
<v Speaker 5>But they have the tools now to measure exactly what

0:28:42.530 --> 0:28:42.830
<v Speaker 5>that is.

0:28:42.850 --> 0:28:43.270
<v Speaker 1>It sounds like.

0:28:43.330 --> 0:28:43.770
<v Speaker 5>Exactly.

0:28:43.810 --> 0:28:46.470
<v Speaker 4>And they were able to, I think, prove their hypothesis

0:28:47.030 --> 0:28:49.050
<v Speaker 4>or at least gather evidence in support of it because

0:28:49.090 --> 0:28:53.340
<v Speaker 4>of a pretty significant earthquake that happened in northeastern Russia.

0:28:53.700 --> 0:28:53.900
<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

0:28:54.420 --> 0:28:54.620
<v Speaker 3>Okay.

0:28:55.000 --> 0:28:58.500
<v Speaker 4>He mentioned risk, the game Risk. So he's endeared to me.

0:28:59.240 --> 0:29:00.060
<v Speaker 4>I had a Risk phase.

0:29:00.100 --> 0:29:02.510
<v Speaker 5>Oh, he was fantastically nerdy. I loved that guy.

0:29:02.550 --> 0:29:05.410
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, very cool. Now, I think there's a, I don't know,

0:29:05.430 --> 0:29:08.250
<v Speaker 4>there's like a misconception about people in Southern California and

0:29:08.350 --> 0:29:13.690
<v Speaker 4>how they react to to small earthquakes. Because I knew...

0:29:13.410 --> 0:29:16.670
<v Speaker 4>I think before moving here, you heard a lot about

0:29:16.710 --> 0:29:18.750
<v Speaker 4>people saying, if it's a tiny little thing, no one

0:29:18.770 --> 0:29:21.070
<v Speaker 4>even talks about it. Nobody talks about it. That has

0:29:21.110 --> 0:29:24.130
<v Speaker 4>not been my experience. I feel like every time there's

0:29:24.230 --> 0:29:28.560
<v Speaker 4>a tiny rattler in the three range, people are tweeting

0:29:28.620 --> 0:29:30.500
<v Speaker 4>about it. The news might pop on and say, hey,

0:29:30.520 --> 0:29:32.820
<v Speaker 4>we had a little bit of a 3.2. But it's

0:29:32.880 --> 0:29:36.960
<v Speaker 4>water cooler talk. Exactly. They're not ignoring it, though. I mean,

0:29:36.980 --> 0:29:39.850
<v Speaker 4>you're talking about it, and I guess it's because... You do.

0:29:40.080 --> 0:29:41.800
<v Speaker 4>always have it in the back of your mind.

0:29:41.860 --> 0:29:44.380
<v Speaker 5>I know, but isn't it more like a weather event? Like,

0:29:44.400 --> 0:29:45.200
<v Speaker 5>you grew up in the Midwest.

0:29:45.280 --> 0:29:46.020
<v Speaker 4>Oh, it rained today.

0:29:46.600 --> 0:29:47.920
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, thunderstorm would come through.

0:29:47.960 --> 0:29:48.620
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, needed that.

0:29:49.140 --> 0:29:51.310
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, and you're going to talk about it, and the

0:29:51.370 --> 0:29:53.470
<v Speaker 5>news might say, oh, a thunderstorm blew over a tree

0:29:53.550 --> 0:29:56.190
<v Speaker 5>over in the northeast district of the city. But it's

0:29:56.230 --> 0:29:58.310
<v Speaker 5>not like everyone goes, oh, my God, a thunderstorm. This

0:29:58.370 --> 0:29:58.910
<v Speaker 5>is horrible.

0:29:59.560 --> 0:30:03.060
<v Speaker 4>But what struck me over the weekend was the reaction

0:30:03.080 --> 0:30:06.740
<v Speaker 4>to these very tiny earthquakes. I mean, you might, if

0:30:06.780 --> 0:30:10.920
<v Speaker 4>you're in the area where the epicenter of a 3.2

0:30:10.920 --> 0:30:12.690
<v Speaker 4>magnitude earthquake, you might feel that.

0:30:12.910 --> 0:30:12.990
<v Speaker 1>Sure.

0:30:13.010 --> 0:30:13.550
<v Speaker 4>You feel that.

0:30:13.570 --> 0:30:13.770
<v Speaker 1>Sure.

0:30:13.870 --> 0:30:17.830
<v Speaker 4>And it's interesting. The ones and the twos, not so interesting.

0:30:18.290 --> 0:30:20.010
<v Speaker 5>It almost feels like a gas bubble being released.

0:30:20.150 --> 0:30:23.380
<v Speaker 4>But what if there were like 90 of them all

0:30:23.400 --> 0:30:26.630
<v Speaker 4>in the same area? And that's what happened over the weekend.

0:30:26.650 --> 0:30:28.650
<v Speaker 4>And suddenly all these headlines were flying in all of

0:30:28.670 --> 0:30:32.120
<v Speaker 4>the local media. A lot of forecasters were talking about it.

0:30:32.190 --> 0:30:37.430
<v Speaker 4>Dozens of small earthquakes around Lenox and Westmont. This was

0:30:37.570 --> 0:30:42.930
<v Speaker 4>last Friday and through the weekend. Yeah, it was about

0:30:42.970 --> 0:30:45.450
<v Speaker 4>a day's worth of 1.0 to 2.7 magnitude quakes, 18

0:30:45.450 --> 0:30:52.060
<v Speaker 4>hours or so of this. And that seemed to be rare.

0:30:52.280 --> 0:30:55.080
<v Speaker 4>Did you have any concerns? You're not on the ground

0:30:55.120 --> 0:30:57.780
<v Speaker 4>floor of your apartment building. Did you have any concerns

0:30:58.840 --> 0:31:00.940
<v Speaker 4>when you start hearing about a swarm happening?

0:31:01.110 --> 0:31:04.250
<v Speaker 5>In my mind, and I know that the science doesn't

0:31:04.270 --> 0:31:07.170
<v Speaker 5>back this up, but in my mind, if there's a

0:31:07.210 --> 0:31:10.450
<v Speaker 5>swarm of earthquakes, I see that as a pattern that's building.

0:31:10.470 --> 0:31:13.510
<v Speaker 5>It means that there's a risk growing and the threat

0:31:13.590 --> 0:31:13.970
<v Speaker 5>is coming.

0:31:14.390 --> 0:31:17.850
<v Speaker 4>I'm no professor of seismology at UC Riverside. But when

0:31:17.910 --> 0:31:20.210
<v Speaker 4>I was first reading about the swarm and then went

0:31:20.250 --> 0:31:22.650
<v Speaker 4>down the wormhole on Twitter, like, let me find everybody

0:31:22.670 --> 0:31:24.280
<v Speaker 4>who's tweeting about this and see what I can learn.

0:31:24.840 --> 0:31:28.200
<v Speaker 4>I was sitting on the fire escape of my building outside,

0:31:28.220 --> 0:31:31.160
<v Speaker 4>you know, enjoying the evening and watching the cars go by.

0:31:31.180 --> 0:31:33.120
<v Speaker 4>And I thought, I think I want to get.

0:31:33.100 --> 0:31:36.160
<v Speaker 5>Off of this. Get off the fire escape? Yeah, I

0:31:36.220 --> 0:31:37.400
<v Speaker 5>need to get off the fire escape.

0:31:38.050 --> 0:31:40.290
<v Speaker 4>As pleasant an evening as this has been, listening to

0:31:40.310 --> 0:31:44.870
<v Speaker 4>the roosters crowing below, having their mental health breakdowns.

0:31:44.490 --> 0:31:46.490
<v Speaker 5>On Skid Row. Screaming at light poles.

0:31:46.710 --> 0:31:49.290
<v Speaker 4>I need to get off of this, because it's... My God,

0:31:49.310 --> 0:31:49.670
<v Speaker 4>can you.

0:31:49.610 --> 0:31:51.330
<v Speaker 5>Imagine if an earthquake hit while you were on the

0:31:51.530 --> 0:31:55.020
<v Speaker 5>fire escape, and your demise came because you fell off

0:31:55.060 --> 0:31:56.340
<v Speaker 5>and landed in Skid Row?

0:31:56.540 --> 0:31:58.420
<v Speaker 4>The thought crosses my mind every time I climb out

0:31:58.440 --> 0:32:00.140
<v Speaker 4>to the fire escape, because it's not a safe thing

0:32:00.180 --> 0:32:02.780
<v Speaker 4>to do. It's not like it's well-protected. One bad move,

0:32:02.820 --> 0:32:04.780
<v Speaker 4>and I could tumble down, and I have wondered, like...

0:32:04.660 --> 0:32:06.840
<v Speaker 4>It's not a patio built for daily use. That's right.

0:32:07.040 --> 0:32:07.260
<v Speaker 1>I could.

0:32:07.590 --> 0:32:10.450
<v Speaker 4>I could fall, and I'm on the third floor.

0:32:10.610 --> 0:32:11.180
<v Speaker 5>That's enough to kill you.

0:32:11.190 --> 0:32:11.290
<v Speaker 6>Okay.

0:32:11.590 --> 0:32:12.010
<v Speaker 4>I would die.

0:32:12.410 --> 0:32:12.870
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:32:12.910 --> 0:32:14.290
<v Speaker 4>I mean, there's a possibility I would survive, but I

0:32:14.290 --> 0:32:16.690
<v Speaker 4>would absolutely die. You have very soft bones. Very soft skin.

0:32:16.770 --> 0:32:18.250
<v Speaker 4>I moisturize a lot. I mean, I'm just going to

0:32:18.290 --> 0:32:19.910
<v Speaker 4>go right into the concrete and dissolve.

0:32:21.250 --> 0:32:21.410
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:32:21.690 --> 0:32:23.390
<v Speaker 4>So I see things like this, and I think, well,

0:32:23.410 --> 0:32:25.150
<v Speaker 4>what does this mean? Because we've been talking about the

0:32:25.210 --> 0:32:27.490
<v Speaker 4>heavy stress that the big fault line is under, and

0:32:28.010 --> 0:32:29.930
<v Speaker 4>you start to hear about dozens and dozens of tiny

0:32:30.010 --> 0:32:31.050
<v Speaker 4>quakes bubbling up.

0:32:31.650 --> 0:32:32.170
<v Speaker 7>Yeah.

0:32:32.370 --> 0:32:33.850
<v Speaker 4>I think it's right to be concerned.

0:32:35.180 --> 0:32:36.500
<v Speaker 5>And yet scientists will tell us.

0:32:36.760 --> 0:32:37.360
<v Speaker 4>Oh, don't worry about it.

0:32:37.360 --> 0:32:39.960
<v Speaker 5>That's your brain. That's your brain going into survival mode

0:32:40.000 --> 0:32:43.880
<v Speaker 5>and trying to predict something that you can't predict. I

0:32:43.900 --> 0:32:45.140
<v Speaker 5>still want to trust my instincts, though.

0:32:45.360 --> 0:32:46.040
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, run.

0:32:46.740 --> 0:32:48.920
<v Speaker 8>This is KFI On Demand.

0:32:49.980 --> 0:32:51.719
<v Speaker 5>You've been listening to Monks and Merrill.

0:32:51.780 --> 0:32:54.300
<v Speaker 4>Hear the show live weekdays from noon to three on

0:32:54.400 --> 0:32:58.740
<v Speaker 4>KFI AM 640 and anytime On Demand on the iHeartRadio app.