1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:03,000 Speaker 1: To night, Michael Brown joins me here the former FEMA 2 00:00:03,000 --> 00:00:04,600 Speaker 1: director talk show host Michael Brown. 3 00:00:04,760 --> 00:00:07,120 Speaker 2: Rownie, no, Brownie, You're doing a heck of a job 4 00:00:07,280 --> 00:00:09,040 Speaker 2: the Weekend with Michael Brown. 5 00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:12,640 Speaker 3: Hey, we're broadcasting live from Denver, Colorado. You've tuned into 6 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:15,360 Speaker 3: the Weekend with Michael Brown. I don't know why, but 7 00:00:15,400 --> 00:00:17,360 Speaker 3: I'm glad that you have. Very happy to have you 8 00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:20,119 Speaker 3: joining the program today. So you know, we got rules 9 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:22,480 Speaker 3: of engagement. They're pretty easy to follow. I think even 10 00:00:22,560 --> 00:00:25,320 Speaker 3: you num skulls can follow the rules of engagement for 11 00:00:25,400 --> 00:00:28,000 Speaker 3: this program. If you want to send me a message, 12 00:00:28,120 --> 00:00:30,560 Speaker 3: it's real easy to do. On your message app use 13 00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:33,279 Speaker 3: this number three three one zero three three three one 14 00:00:33,400 --> 00:00:36,599 Speaker 3: zero three, keyword Mike or Michael, and that you can 15 00:00:36,640 --> 00:00:39,280 Speaker 3: tell me anything or ask mean thing. And it was 16 00:00:39,360 --> 00:00:41,720 Speaker 3: kind of funny because I always tell people and I 17 00:00:41,760 --> 00:00:44,360 Speaker 3: mean this. I read every single text message and I'm 18 00:00:44,400 --> 00:00:47,640 Speaker 3: reading them all the time, and this week I forget 19 00:00:47,680 --> 00:00:49,479 Speaker 3: what day. It really doesn't make any difference. And I 20 00:00:49,560 --> 00:00:52,519 Speaker 3: was I sat down and I was getting ready to 21 00:00:52,520 --> 00:00:54,440 Speaker 3: watch something on television, and I thought, oh, I haven't 22 00:00:54,440 --> 00:00:57,360 Speaker 3: looked at text messages in a while. And somebody asked 23 00:00:57,400 --> 00:01:00,200 Speaker 3: me a question, and I don't respond to all of them, 24 00:01:00,200 --> 00:01:04,440 Speaker 3: but this was a fairly personal question, and so I 25 00:01:04,520 --> 00:01:06,920 Speaker 3: responded to it. And the reply was, oh, you really 26 00:01:06,959 --> 00:01:10,920 Speaker 3: do read all of your text messages? Well, duh? Do 27 00:01:10,959 --> 00:01:12,800 Speaker 3: you think I come on here and just lie about it? Oh? 28 00:01:12,880 --> 00:01:14,959 Speaker 3: So many a text message and then never look at them. 29 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:16,840 Speaker 3: Of course I look at them, and then do me 30 00:01:16,880 --> 00:01:19,320 Speaker 3: a favor, you know. Actually, and actually I'm going to 31 00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:23,720 Speaker 3: grovel a little bit here. X formerly known as Twitter, 32 00:01:24,440 --> 00:01:26,560 Speaker 3: is going through, which is fine with me, Don't get 33 00:01:26,600 --> 00:01:29,760 Speaker 3: me wrong. I'm happy they're doing this, but it secures 34 00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:35,440 Speaker 3: my numbers. They they've changed their algorithms such that account 35 00:01:35,480 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 3: they've done two things. They've now when you hover over, 36 00:01:39,959 --> 00:01:43,520 Speaker 3: for example, on my account at Michael Brown USA, when 37 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:47,280 Speaker 3: you hover over the date that I joined X, it 38 00:01:47,360 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 3: will show you the country of origin, the country where 39 00:01:52,400 --> 00:01:55,400 Speaker 3: I downloaded the app, and whether I'm using the mobile 40 00:01:55,480 --> 00:01:58,440 Speaker 3: or the desktop app, and it'll give you all sorts 41 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:02,800 Speaker 3: of location information, so that now you can actually see 42 00:02:03,000 --> 00:02:07,000 Speaker 3: that there are a lot of foreign accounts that present 43 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 3: themselves as US accounts and they're clearly bots or it's 44 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:18,560 Speaker 3: a sort of counterintelligence operation going on, you know, out 45 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:22,120 Speaker 3: of Yemen or Bangkok or you know, lord knows where, 46 00:02:22,720 --> 00:02:26,880 Speaker 3: trying to influence how Americans think about particular issues. So 47 00:02:26,919 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 3: I'm really glad they've done that. But also in the 48 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:34,280 Speaker 3: process they're starting to look for and eliminate bots or 49 00:02:34,360 --> 00:02:35,160 Speaker 3: fake accounts. 50 00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:36,160 Speaker 2: You know. 51 00:02:36,240 --> 00:02:41,959 Speaker 3: Now, a bot is just an account that is designed 52 00:02:41,960 --> 00:02:46,359 Speaker 3: as a computer program to just automatically, you know, go 53 00:02:46,560 --> 00:02:50,040 Speaker 3: follow somebody and then you know, respond like or you know, 54 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:52,399 Speaker 3: say stupid things, and they can just send it out 55 00:02:52,400 --> 00:02:56,440 Speaker 3: to millions of people and it becomes it secures everything. Well, 56 00:02:57,040 --> 00:02:59,600 Speaker 3: Musk has changed the algorithm and they're starting to get 57 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:03,200 Speaker 3: rid of them, which I'm happy with, but that also 58 00:03:03,280 --> 00:03:07,480 Speaker 3: means I've lost probably about one thousand followers, just about 59 00:03:07,480 --> 00:03:11,080 Speaker 3: a thousand followers, which is fine because that means that 60 00:03:11,200 --> 00:03:14,800 Speaker 3: it's cleaning up the people that they interact with me. 61 00:03:15,200 --> 00:03:18,680 Speaker 3: And I'd rather interact with you know, legitimate goobers as 62 00:03:18,720 --> 00:03:21,160 Speaker 3: opposed to fake goobers. So if you want to follow me, 63 00:03:21,440 --> 00:03:23,679 Speaker 3: please do that and let's get those numbers back up. 64 00:03:24,040 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 3: It's at Michael Brown USA, at Michael Brown USA. So 65 00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:31,400 Speaker 3: this week, after what five plus years, almost six years now, 66 00:03:32,000 --> 00:03:37,400 Speaker 3: they found the bomber. Yes, they found the bomber, and 67 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:39,840 Speaker 3: Jake Tapper couldn't wait to talk about it. 68 00:03:39,920 --> 00:03:42,440 Speaker 1: Welcome to the lead. I'm Jake Tappler. After nearly five 69 00:03:42,520 --> 00:03:46,120 Speaker 1: years of investigation, the FBI finally announced that they had 70 00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:49,960 Speaker 1: arrested a suspect. A suspect accused of planting pipe bonds 71 00:03:50,000 --> 00:03:53,280 Speaker 1: near the Republican and Democratic National Committee headquarters the night 72 00:03:53,360 --> 00:03:57,840 Speaker 1: before the January sixth, twenty twenty one capital attack. Brian 73 00:03:57,960 --> 00:04:00,440 Speaker 1: Cole Junior, a thirty year old white man from the 74 00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:04,600 Speaker 1: DC suburbs, is charged with transporting an explosive device. 75 00:04:05,160 --> 00:04:14,080 Speaker 3: Hmmm, a thirty year old white man from Woodbridge, Virginia. 76 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:15,600 Speaker 4: Hmm. 77 00:04:16,440 --> 00:04:21,480 Speaker 3: That's interesting because they flash a photograph of this suspect 78 00:04:22,240 --> 00:04:26,159 Speaker 3: and he's a black person. Now, am I going to 79 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:31,240 Speaker 3: impute some sort of malicious activity on the part of 80 00:04:31,320 --> 00:04:35,039 Speaker 3: Jake Tapper? Damn right, I am. You absolutely better believe 81 00:04:35,080 --> 00:04:37,960 Speaker 3: I am, because this is the same guy that for 82 00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:42,560 Speaker 3: four years covered the Biden administration, even interviewed Biden personally, 83 00:04:43,440 --> 00:04:47,640 Speaker 3: and then at the end of the Biden term, well, shazam, 84 00:04:47,760 --> 00:04:50,159 Speaker 3: he may have been he may have been asleep at 85 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:52,640 Speaker 3: the switch. So I think I'll write a book about it. 86 00:04:52,880 --> 00:04:54,800 Speaker 3: I'll get me a co author, somebody to do all 87 00:04:54,800 --> 00:04:56,960 Speaker 3: the heavy lifting, and we'll write a book. You know, 88 00:04:57,000 --> 00:04:58,960 Speaker 3: we'll splash my name on it, and I'll go out 89 00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:00,640 Speaker 3: and I'll do all of the interview about and sell 90 00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:03,880 Speaker 3: this book about how Biden for four years was incapable 91 00:05:03,920 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 3: of doing the job. So, yeah, Jake Caaper doesn't have 92 00:05:06,880 --> 00:05:10,839 Speaker 3: any credibility with me whatsoever. And so I do impune 93 00:05:11,240 --> 00:05:15,680 Speaker 3: that here he or his producers either knew what they 94 00:05:15,680 --> 00:05:19,160 Speaker 3: were doing or they weren't paying any attention. And if 95 00:05:19,160 --> 00:05:22,040 Speaker 3: you're not paying any attention when you're doing a newscast, 96 00:05:22,400 --> 00:05:24,920 Speaker 3: then shame on you. And I've been in those rooms 97 00:05:24,920 --> 00:05:27,440 Speaker 3: when they do newscasts. I've been sitting right next to 98 00:05:27,480 --> 00:05:30,960 Speaker 3: an anchor on Fox News or Newsmax or CNN somewhere 99 00:05:31,240 --> 00:05:32,919 Speaker 3: where you know you're sitting there in the camp. You 100 00:05:32,920 --> 00:05:34,800 Speaker 3: know you're off camera, but you're still sitting at the 101 00:05:34,800 --> 00:05:37,200 Speaker 3: anchor desk, and you can see what they're reading on 102 00:05:37,240 --> 00:05:40,240 Speaker 3: the teleprompter, and you can see, based on the monitors 103 00:05:40,240 --> 00:05:42,599 Speaker 3: in front of you, what is what is being fed 104 00:05:42,640 --> 00:05:46,320 Speaker 3: out to the audience. So Jake Tapper and his producers, 105 00:05:46,800 --> 00:05:50,160 Speaker 3: he's reading from a teleprompter. He announces that they've arrested 106 00:05:50,160 --> 00:05:52,840 Speaker 3: a white guy, and then they put up a picture 107 00:05:52,880 --> 00:05:56,400 Speaker 3: of the actual suspect and huh, he's a black man. 108 00:05:58,000 --> 00:06:02,120 Speaker 3: Where was the producer? Where was Jake? Why didn't anybody say, oh, 109 00:06:02,160 --> 00:06:06,040 Speaker 3: I'm sorry, I meant to say a black suspect, not 110 00:06:06,200 --> 00:06:10,560 Speaker 3: a white suspect. Yeah. I don't trust I just I 111 00:06:10,600 --> 00:06:14,360 Speaker 3: literally do not trust them, having seen what they did 112 00:06:14,360 --> 00:06:17,480 Speaker 3: to or tried to do anyway to my life, and 113 00:06:17,520 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 3: then watching stories like this. Then I got to tell you, no, 114 00:06:21,120 --> 00:06:23,080 Speaker 3: I don't believe. I don't believe it for a second. 115 00:06:23,520 --> 00:06:26,839 Speaker 3: But beyond that, listen to something I want you to 116 00:06:26,839 --> 00:06:30,839 Speaker 3: think about. Do you think at the time of this 117 00:06:31,400 --> 00:06:34,880 Speaker 3: bombing back on, you know, when the day the music 118 00:06:34,920 --> 00:06:39,400 Speaker 3: almost died, the day that the Republic almost failed, the 119 00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:43,520 Speaker 3: director of the FBI was Christopher Ray, do you think 120 00:06:43,520 --> 00:06:49,800 Speaker 3: that the FBI failed in pursuing and finding this suspect? 121 00:06:50,040 --> 00:06:52,360 Speaker 3: All of you who thinks I'll raise your hands? Okay, 122 00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:55,799 Speaker 3: Now the next question is do you think the FBI 123 00:06:56,600 --> 00:07:01,120 Speaker 3: betray us? Raise your hand? Yeah, that's kind of what 124 00:07:01,200 --> 00:07:06,320 Speaker 3: I think too. Four years of so called failure in 125 00:07:06,400 --> 00:07:10,160 Speaker 3: the DC pipe bomber case, I think suggests an honest 126 00:07:10,240 --> 00:07:14,800 Speaker 3: but incompetent effort on behalf of the world's foremost investigative agency. 127 00:07:15,800 --> 00:07:20,480 Speaker 3: Define the person who planted a functioning and potentially dead 128 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:24,320 Speaker 3: pipe bomb just outside the headquarters of both the Democrat 129 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:27,880 Speaker 3: National Committee and the Republican National Committees on the night 130 00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:32,640 Speaker 3: of January five, twenty twenty one, the night before the attack, 131 00:07:32,800 --> 00:07:36,960 Speaker 3: as Jake Tapper calls it, or the riots on January sixth. 132 00:07:37,520 --> 00:07:40,840 Speaker 3: The reality, however, I think, is that the FBI spent 133 00:07:41,040 --> 00:07:49,480 Speaker 3: years persecuting every grandmother, every tourist, every innocent person who 134 00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:53,720 Speaker 3: just happened to be at the Capitol grounds who wandered 135 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:57,280 Speaker 3: into the Capitol in January sixth. Now, those who actually, 136 00:07:57,360 --> 00:08:00,559 Speaker 3: you know, committed smacks of violence or vandalism, I believe 137 00:08:00,600 --> 00:08:04,160 Speaker 3: they should have been charged and should have been prosecuted. 138 00:08:04,320 --> 00:08:07,280 Speaker 3: But I don't think that was the FBI's I don't think. 139 00:08:07,600 --> 00:08:10,480 Speaker 3: I think the FBI was more interested in going after 140 00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:13,680 Speaker 3: the grandmothers than they were actually going after the people 141 00:08:14,160 --> 00:08:18,560 Speaker 3: that uh oh, may have land of functioning pipe bombs 142 00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:25,040 Speaker 3: outside the headquarters of the two major parties that operate 143 00:08:25,120 --> 00:08:30,720 Speaker 3: this country. Yes, I think it was actually a betrayal, 144 00:08:31,360 --> 00:08:34,160 Speaker 3: and I'll explain why next it's the Weekend with Michael Brown. 145 00:08:34,480 --> 00:08:36,880 Speaker 3: Be sure and follow me in X at Michael Brown USA. 146 00:08:36,960 --> 00:08:40,040 Speaker 3: Text lines always opened three three one zero three, keyword 147 00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:49,040 Speaker 3: micro Michael. I'll be right back. Hey, welcome back to 148 00:08:49,040 --> 00:08:50,960 Speaker 3: the Welcome back to the Weekend with Michael Brown. Glad 149 00:08:51,000 --> 00:08:53,400 Speaker 3: to have you with me. Text lines always opened, three 150 00:08:53,400 --> 00:08:56,400 Speaker 3: three one zero three, keyword micro Michael. And then on 151 00:08:56,440 --> 00:08:59,400 Speaker 3: your podcast app, be sure and subscribe to the program. 152 00:08:59,720 --> 00:09:02,960 Speaker 3: It's the Situation with Michael Brown. And I know that's 153 00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:05,280 Speaker 3: different than the Weekend with Michael Brown, but we just 154 00:09:05,320 --> 00:09:08,400 Speaker 3: have one podcast, the Situation with Michael Brown. If you 155 00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:11,719 Speaker 3: hit that subscribe button, leave a five star review, then 156 00:09:11,720 --> 00:09:14,559 Speaker 3: that will download all five days of my weekday program 157 00:09:14,760 --> 00:09:18,760 Speaker 3: that also broadcasts from Denver, plus the Weekend program, which 158 00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:21,800 Speaker 3: we broadcast out of Denver, Colorado. So be sure and 159 00:09:21,800 --> 00:09:24,360 Speaker 3: sub subscribe to the podcast. So I want you to 160 00:09:24,360 --> 00:09:28,360 Speaker 3: think about this. Cash Bettel says that we did not 161 00:09:28,520 --> 00:09:34,240 Speaker 3: discover any new information. Oh. Then he goes on to say, 162 00:09:34,440 --> 00:09:38,840 Speaker 3: we re examined every piece of evidence, sifted through all 163 00:09:38,880 --> 00:09:42,840 Speaker 3: the data, something that the prior administration refused and failed 164 00:09:42,880 --> 00:09:47,040 Speaker 3: to do. Wow, let that sink in for a moment. 165 00:09:47,920 --> 00:09:50,200 Speaker 3: So the pipe bomber committed his crime in the most 166 00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:55,280 Speaker 3: heavily surveiled area of probably the most heavily surveiled city 167 00:09:55,320 --> 00:10:00,480 Speaker 3: in the entire world, and nothing happened. I've been to 168 00:10:00,520 --> 00:10:03,240 Speaker 3: both the DNC and the RNC. I've actually walked through 169 00:10:03,240 --> 00:10:07,120 Speaker 3: those doors. You know. Don't don't ask me why I 170 00:10:07,160 --> 00:10:10,280 Speaker 3: was the Democrat National Committee, but yes, I've had to 171 00:10:10,280 --> 00:10:14,920 Speaker 3: go there for meetings. But it is one of those 172 00:10:14,920 --> 00:10:17,840 Speaker 3: places where if you're like me, with you know, my 173 00:10:17,960 --> 00:10:21,480 Speaker 3: backgrounds the undersecretary, you'll you'll soon learn. And it's pretty 174 00:10:21,520 --> 00:10:25,360 Speaker 3: easy now to recognize that everywhere you go, we're being surveilled, 175 00:10:26,360 --> 00:10:31,640 Speaker 3: we're being watched. So that occurs a little over five 176 00:10:31,720 --> 00:10:37,400 Speaker 3: years ago, and the FBI was able to within days 177 00:10:37,400 --> 00:10:44,280 Speaker 3: of January sixth, positively identify hundreds of Trump supporters who 178 00:10:44,280 --> 00:10:47,360 Speaker 3: were at the Capitol that day and then branch out 179 00:10:47,400 --> 00:10:52,800 Speaker 3: all across the fruited plane to conduct armed raids pre 180 00:10:53,000 --> 00:10:55,760 Speaker 3: non at the homes of people that were on the 181 00:10:55,800 --> 00:10:59,880 Speaker 3: Capitol grounds. And yet while they were able to do that, 182 00:11:00,920 --> 00:11:03,840 Speaker 3: the rotten at the top FBI and the Biden two 183 00:11:03,840 --> 00:11:08,040 Speaker 3: tier Justice Department somehow couldn't manage to find this one guy. 184 00:11:09,080 --> 00:11:11,079 Speaker 3: We find hundreds of others, but we can't find the 185 00:11:11,160 --> 00:11:16,360 Speaker 3: one guy. And the surveillance was just as heavy at 186 00:11:16,360 --> 00:11:19,440 Speaker 3: the RNC and d NC as it is at the 187 00:11:19,520 --> 00:11:25,720 Speaker 3: United States Capital. Wow. Now the guy's apparently thirty year 188 00:11:25,720 --> 00:11:29,120 Speaker 3: old Brian Cole. He's from Woodbridge, Virginia. That's a suburb 189 00:11:29,240 --> 00:11:32,280 Speaker 3: of the DC area that just south on I ninety five. 190 00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:35,559 Speaker 3: He'll be arraigned in the DC federal court here, or 191 00:11:35,640 --> 00:11:37,880 Speaker 3: has been a reigned in DC federal court. He is 192 00:11:37,920 --> 00:11:42,280 Speaker 3: a black man, and he's apparently apparently a Trump hating 193 00:11:42,720 --> 00:11:47,480 Speaker 3: social justice advocate, not some fringy bearded, knuckle dragging, you know, 194 00:11:47,559 --> 00:11:50,120 Speaker 3: white Trumper that they were all trying to arrest, you know, 195 00:11:50,200 --> 00:11:53,560 Speaker 3: based on their January sixth tour of the Capital Rotunda. 196 00:11:54,679 --> 00:11:57,719 Speaker 3: So he doesn't fit the narrative, does he? No, he 197 00:11:57,720 --> 00:12:01,360 Speaker 3: doesn't fit the narrative, which is that's why Cash Battail 198 00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:03,600 Speaker 3: and Pam Bondi and the President need to be out 199 00:12:03,640 --> 00:12:06,680 Speaker 3: front emphasizing what a great job was done here, because 200 00:12:06,720 --> 00:12:10,680 Speaker 3: I think they did do a good job. Democrat Senator 201 00:12:10,720 --> 00:12:16,440 Speaker 3: Mark Warner from Virginia where the suspect lives, was really 202 00:12:16,559 --> 00:12:21,360 Speaker 3: desperate to try to attempt and divert attention from this 203 00:12:21,600 --> 00:12:25,679 Speaker 3: dirt bag's political affiliation to chart to, you know, and 204 00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:29,880 Speaker 3: change his step. Well, everything that Patel and Donald Trump 205 00:12:29,880 --> 00:12:32,920 Speaker 3: are doing. If the FBI are really bad, because he says, 206 00:12:33,120 --> 00:12:37,040 Speaker 3: quote is a Senator Warner, how much earlier could we 207 00:12:37,080 --> 00:12:41,880 Speaker 3: have caught this guy if resources haven't been diverted? Okay, 208 00:12:42,160 --> 00:12:46,200 Speaker 3: let's think about the timeline. This shows you how stupid 209 00:12:46,240 --> 00:12:49,720 Speaker 3: sometimes you as senators are. How much earlier could we 210 00:12:49,760 --> 00:12:53,320 Speaker 3: have caught this guy if resources had not been diverted? 211 00:12:54,080 --> 00:12:59,600 Speaker 3: So this occurred on January five, twenty twenty one. Trump 212 00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:03,840 Speaker 3: gets elected in November of twenty twenty four and doesn't 213 00:13:03,840 --> 00:13:09,599 Speaker 3: take office until oh about eleven months ago on January twentieth, 214 00:13:10,200 --> 00:13:15,600 Speaker 3: twenty twenty five. So they had five years to try 215 00:13:15,640 --> 00:13:18,920 Speaker 3: and find this guy, and Trump's found the guy, or 216 00:13:19,320 --> 00:13:22,520 Speaker 3: cash Betel the FBI in the Department of Justice have 217 00:13:22,640 --> 00:13:27,880 Speaker 3: found the guy in less than one year. Well, if 218 00:13:27,880 --> 00:13:30,840 Speaker 3: you really want to ask, how much earlier, Senator Warner, 219 00:13:30,880 --> 00:13:33,640 Speaker 3: can we have caught this guy if the resources hadn't 220 00:13:33,679 --> 00:13:36,440 Speaker 3: been diverted, well about four years earlier, as it turns out, 221 00:13:36,880 --> 00:13:40,559 Speaker 3: which gets back to my question about did the FBI 222 00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:45,560 Speaker 3: fail us or did the FBI betray us? Now the 223 00:13:45,600 --> 00:13:50,680 Speaker 3: smoking gun of the pre Trump fbis lie. That's easy 224 00:13:50,880 --> 00:13:55,720 Speaker 3: and it's pretty clear. Georgia Republican Congressman Barry Loudermilk's House 225 00:13:55,720 --> 00:13:59,760 Speaker 3: Administration over Site Subcommittee said more than a year ago 226 00:14:00,720 --> 00:14:04,719 Speaker 3: that the cell phone carriers Verizon AT and T T 227 00:14:04,960 --> 00:14:09,559 Speaker 3: Mobile that quote, they have told Congress they possess intact 228 00:14:09,600 --> 00:14:13,440 Speaker 3: phone usage data from the vicinity where two pipe bombs 229 00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:16,880 Speaker 3: were planted just before the January sixth Capitol riot. And 230 00:14:16,920 --> 00:14:22,840 Speaker 3: this revelation is quote directly disputing FBI testimony that agents 231 00:14:22,880 --> 00:14:29,920 Speaker 3: could not identify as suspect because the phone data was corrupted. Oh, 232 00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:35,920 Speaker 3: turns out that that was a lie. They didn't fail us, 233 00:14:36,360 --> 00:14:41,280 Speaker 3: they betrayed us. So, as cash Betel put it in 234 00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:45,280 Speaker 3: his press conference, we went back, he said, and looked 235 00:14:45,280 --> 00:14:48,000 Speaker 3: at the cell phone towered data dumps. We went back 236 00:14:48,000 --> 00:14:50,560 Speaker 3: and looked at the providers and what information they provided 237 00:14:50,560 --> 00:14:53,560 Speaker 3: pursued to every single search WARRT at the time, and 238 00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:56,880 Speaker 3: asked questions such as why weren't all these phone numbers scrubbed, 239 00:14:57,400 --> 00:15:02,560 Speaker 3: why aren't they connected? And why wasn't there any geolocation 240 00:15:02,720 --> 00:15:08,160 Speaker 3: data done? Now, that is he said, I love this sentence. 241 00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:14,600 Speaker 3: He said quote that is either sheer incompetence or complete 242 00:15:14,880 --> 00:15:20,680 Speaker 3: intentional negligence, and neither of which is acceptable for this FBI. 243 00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:27,600 Speaker 3: If there was ever a great moment for Cash, Betel, 244 00:15:27,880 --> 00:15:34,360 Speaker 3: Dan Bongino and the entire FBI, this is it. And 245 00:15:34,400 --> 00:15:38,760 Speaker 3: that was precisely an almost perfect thing to say. It's 246 00:15:38,760 --> 00:15:40,600 Speaker 3: a good thing I wasn't the FBI director because I 247 00:15:40,600 --> 00:15:43,240 Speaker 3: probably would have taken a step further and really called 248 00:15:43,240 --> 00:15:46,080 Speaker 3: out Christopher Ray and everybody else. But that's why I'm 249 00:15:46,080 --> 00:15:48,600 Speaker 3: not the FBI director, because you don't you don't want 250 00:15:48,600 --> 00:15:51,600 Speaker 3: to give away too much, but you do want to 251 00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:55,440 Speaker 3: send a signal to all the politicians out there, and 252 00:15:56,160 --> 00:15:59,160 Speaker 3: send a signal to everybody that works in the bureaucracy 253 00:15:59,200 --> 00:16:03,520 Speaker 3: of the FBI that, hmm, this looks like either sheer 254 00:16:03,560 --> 00:16:08,280 Speaker 3: incompetence or complete intentional negligence, because that sends a signal 255 00:16:08,680 --> 00:16:12,040 Speaker 3: to all the current employees of the FBI that we 256 00:16:12,120 --> 00:16:14,680 Speaker 3: may just try to look at how did you handle 257 00:16:14,680 --> 00:16:18,440 Speaker 3: this investigation and maybe we can find some people in 258 00:16:18,480 --> 00:16:20,240 Speaker 3: here now that there is or is not. I'm just 259 00:16:20,280 --> 00:16:22,960 Speaker 3: saying we should go look. Maybe there were some people 260 00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:30,320 Speaker 3: that were trying to intentionally not find this particular guy. Now, 261 00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:34,920 Speaker 3: apparently the FBI is also had also foraged through all 262 00:16:34,960 --> 00:16:38,720 Speaker 3: the purchases of the necessary bomb making equipment, which included 263 00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:42,440 Speaker 3: more than two hundred thousand purchases of the type of 264 00:16:42,520 --> 00:16:46,160 Speaker 3: pipe in caps that were used in the DC pipe bombs. 265 00:16:47,160 --> 00:16:49,880 Speaker 3: You know, when you step back from this story, you 266 00:16:49,960 --> 00:16:53,160 Speaker 3: soon begin to realize that what really took place here 267 00:16:53,960 --> 00:17:01,800 Speaker 3: was true gum shoe detective work. BI doing what the 268 00:17:01,880 --> 00:17:06,520 Speaker 3: FBI really is good at, and that is conducting criminal 269 00:17:06,560 --> 00:17:12,400 Speaker 3: investigations based on the evidence and letting the evidence take 270 00:17:12,520 --> 00:17:17,400 Speaker 3: you where you need to go, as opposed to, oh, 271 00:17:17,560 --> 00:17:20,240 Speaker 3: let's just go find some people and then find the 272 00:17:20,240 --> 00:17:24,840 Speaker 3: evidence to back up the case. Here's just an armchair 273 00:17:24,920 --> 00:17:29,240 Speaker 3: investigative tip. Instead of pouring over the purchase receipts of 274 00:17:29,359 --> 00:17:33,280 Speaker 3: umpteen thousand pipe in caps at home depot, Low's or 275 00:17:33,480 --> 00:17:36,520 Speaker 3: Ace Hardware or where else, why not first narrow your 276 00:17:36,600 --> 00:17:39,960 Speaker 3: search to say, oh, all the purchasers of an exceedingly 277 00:17:40,119 --> 00:17:45,359 Speaker 3: rare pair of Nike Airmac Speed turf shoes in the Blaye, 278 00:17:45,480 --> 00:17:48,439 Speaker 3: in the black, gray yellow, and in the size fitting 279 00:17:48,440 --> 00:17:53,560 Speaker 3: the profile of a five seven person that they've been 280 00:17:53,600 --> 00:17:56,560 Speaker 3: looking for years. That was right there in that videotape. 281 00:17:56,600 --> 00:18:06,920 Speaker 3: How about that. I'll be right back tonight. Michael Brown 282 00:18:06,960 --> 00:18:08,760 Speaker 3: joins me here, the former FEMA director of. 283 00:18:08,680 --> 00:18:09,879 Speaker 1: Talk show host Michael Brown. 284 00:18:09,960 --> 00:18:12,640 Speaker 3: Brownie, No, Brownie, You're doing a heck of a job. 285 00:18:12,560 --> 00:18:14,600 Speaker 1: The Weekend with Michael Brown. 286 00:18:14,840 --> 00:18:16,760 Speaker 3: Hey, welcome back to the Weekend with Michael Brown. Glad 287 00:18:16,760 --> 00:18:18,679 Speaker 3: to have you with me. Well, it was a crazy 288 00:18:18,680 --> 00:18:24,280 Speaker 3: week in politics. Politics is crazy anyway. But Congressman Henry Quayar, 289 00:18:24,840 --> 00:18:29,480 Speaker 3: a congressman from South Texas, he had been indicted, and 290 00:18:29,680 --> 00:18:35,000 Speaker 3: he had been charged, indicted, charged and convicted of some 291 00:18:35,040 --> 00:18:37,760 Speaker 3: sort of bribery scheme. I forget what it was, and 292 00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:43,240 Speaker 3: it doesn't really matter to the story. But after the conviction, 293 00:18:44,600 --> 00:18:46,920 Speaker 3: Trump pardoned him. 294 00:18:47,040 --> 00:18:52,800 Speaker 2: First of all, I want to thank President Trump for this. Actually, yeah, 295 00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:56,399 Speaker 2: he took be having my wife and my family. I 296 00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:58,600 Speaker 2: want to say thank you. I think the facts have 297 00:18:58,640 --> 00:19:00,840 Speaker 2: been very clear about this. 298 00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:03,120 Speaker 4: But I would also say I want to thank God 299 00:19:03,160 --> 00:19:05,280 Speaker 4: for standing during this very difficult. 300 00:19:04,880 --> 00:19:08,480 Speaker 5: Time with my family and I. Now we can get 301 00:19:08,520 --> 00:19:11,880 Speaker 5: back to work and nothing has changed. We will continue 302 00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:14,600 Speaker 5: working hard. In fact, right now I got another congressman. 303 00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:17,680 Speaker 5: We we're working on some legislation. But I just wondered 304 00:19:18,200 --> 00:19:20,160 Speaker 5: for now that is my statement. 305 00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:23,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, and he's not going to change parties either. Don't 306 00:19:23,520 --> 00:19:25,520 Speaker 3: get don't get excited and think that he's going to 307 00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:26,400 Speaker 3: change parties. 308 00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:31,239 Speaker 2: So she's going to ask you about the pardon and 309 00:19:31,400 --> 00:19:34,240 Speaker 2: how it came about and your reaction to what the 310 00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:37,640 Speaker 2: president decided to do. Well, you know, first of all, 311 00:19:38,760 --> 00:19:40,760 Speaker 2: I was being asked by the media what I thought 312 00:19:40,760 --> 00:19:43,680 Speaker 2: about the partner, So what parton on it? 313 00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:47,680 Speaker 4: And uh, from there they told me it was minus oh, 314 00:19:47,800 --> 00:19:50,600 Speaker 4: and so I said, I'll call back to be read it. 315 00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:53,520 Speaker 4: So I read it. Uh, And I'm surely very thankful 316 00:19:53,600 --> 00:20:00,520 Speaker 4: to the president, very thankful to the President, and also 317 00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:02,400 Speaker 4: very thankful to God. 318 00:20:02,520 --> 00:20:03,560 Speaker 2: You know, it was a very. 319 00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:07,480 Speaker 4: Difficult time for my family, my daughters, my wife, a 320 00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:11,199 Speaker 4: very difficult time, but we came through this. We're going 321 00:20:11,240 --> 00:20:13,880 Speaker 4: to focus on continue to focusing on work, and we're 322 00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:17,080 Speaker 4: going to focus on work and we'll read it out 323 00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:20,560 Speaker 4: move forward on work. But again, I certainly want to 324 00:20:20,560 --> 00:20:22,320 Speaker 4: thank the President for this part. 325 00:20:22,560 --> 00:20:27,399 Speaker 3: Do you think you might change parties after nothing has changed? 326 00:20:27,680 --> 00:20:32,280 Speaker 4: I'm a conservative blue dog. I will work with the president. 327 00:20:31,920 --> 00:20:35,760 Speaker 3: Like I'm a conservative blue dog Democrat and I ain't 328 00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:40,560 Speaker 3: going to change parties. So Trump's decision to pardon this 329 00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:44,040 Speaker 3: particular congressman from Texas has really stunned a lot of people, 330 00:20:44,160 --> 00:20:50,600 Speaker 3: especially those who have followed Quaar's corruption for years. There 331 00:20:50,600 --> 00:20:53,840 Speaker 3: are people who were involved in uncovering key pieces of 332 00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:58,879 Speaker 3: Quaar's misconduct during his indictment by the Department of Justice, 333 00:20:59,080 --> 00:21:02,919 Speaker 3: and lots of people helped expose the foreign bribes that 334 00:21:02,960 --> 00:21:07,120 Speaker 3: he took from Azerbaijan and Mexico, and they've documented all 335 00:21:07,119 --> 00:21:10,640 Speaker 3: the disturbing irregularities in his twenty twenty four congressional race 336 00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:13,040 Speaker 3: against a Republican down in Texas by the name of 337 00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:19,159 Speaker 3: Jay Furman. Now, Quayar's record is not misunderstood, it is 338 00:21:19,200 --> 00:21:23,760 Speaker 3: not exaggerated. It is exactly what it looks like, the 339 00:21:23,840 --> 00:21:29,200 Speaker 3: record of a profoundly corrupt politician. And I think that's 340 00:21:29,240 --> 00:21:32,000 Speaker 3: why the Trump pardon feels, at least on the surface, 341 00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:36,760 Speaker 3: kind of impossible to justify. But politics is rarely clean, 342 00:21:37,560 --> 00:21:40,520 Speaker 3: and in this case, it's pretty clear. As uncomfortable as 343 00:21:40,560 --> 00:21:46,040 Speaker 3: it is, that, I think Trump made the right strategic call. 344 00:21:46,160 --> 00:21:48,760 Speaker 3: The charges against Quayar remained some of the most serious 345 00:21:48,800 --> 00:21:51,200 Speaker 3: that have ever been sought against the sitting member of Congress. 346 00:21:51,600 --> 00:21:55,639 Speaker 3: According to the indictment, Quayar and his wife accepted about 347 00:21:55,640 --> 00:21:59,280 Speaker 3: six hundred thousand dollars in bribes from an Ozerbrajean state 348 00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:04,760 Speaker 3: owned oil company Socar and from Mexico's Monco Asteca, and 349 00:22:04,800 --> 00:22:07,240 Speaker 3: that money was funneled through shell companies that were owned 350 00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:10,960 Speaker 3: by Kwayar's wife, and they were disguised as consulting fees. 351 00:22:12,200 --> 00:22:15,600 Speaker 3: And the prosecutors in the case say that nobody, nobody 352 00:22:15,640 --> 00:22:19,280 Speaker 3: really performed or they performed little or no work for 353 00:22:19,359 --> 00:22:24,040 Speaker 3: those massive payouts. That kind of corruption started, or that 354 00:22:24,080 --> 00:22:28,679 Speaker 3: particular scheme, I should say, began probably about more than 355 00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:31,760 Speaker 3: a decade ago. That was after they had traveled on 356 00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:36,520 Speaker 3: a on a codell A congressional trip to Turkey and Azerbaijan, 357 00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:39,080 Speaker 3: on a trip that was funded by a nonprofit out 358 00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:43,520 Speaker 3: of Houston, and what looked like routine travel then started 359 00:22:43,520 --> 00:22:47,160 Speaker 3: to evolve into a year's long exchange of influence, cash, 360 00:22:47,160 --> 00:22:54,920 Speaker 3: and policy favors. Prosecutors detailed the direct communications between Quaar 361 00:22:55,880 --> 00:23:01,280 Speaker 3: and Azerbaijan's ambassador to the United States, including discussions about 362 00:23:01,280 --> 00:23:06,520 Speaker 3: contracts and legislation that would benefit the Augibijan government. One 363 00:23:06,520 --> 00:23:11,359 Speaker 3: of the contracts alone provided about twenty thousand dollars a 364 00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:15,240 Speaker 3: month through Quaar's wife one of the companies up through 365 00:23:15,280 --> 00:23:19,400 Speaker 3: about twenty nineteen. Now let's go to Mexico, because Quaar's 366 00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:22,560 Speaker 3: work for Mexican interests was wasn't any better. It's actually 367 00:23:22,640 --> 00:23:28,080 Speaker 3: just as bad. Banco Azteca agreed to pay Quaar's wife 368 00:23:28,320 --> 00:23:32,439 Speaker 3: twelve thousand dollars per month, plus potential bonuses up to 369 00:23:32,600 --> 00:23:35,600 Speaker 3: half a million dollars in return for Quaar's help in 370 00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:39,840 Speaker 3: weakening US regulations. And then he pushed to soften anti 371 00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:44,600 Speaker 3: money laundering language, offering insider updates to bank executives and 372 00:23:44,840 --> 00:23:47,879 Speaker 3: even texted them while looking at legislation that was moving 373 00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:53,840 Speaker 3: through Congress. So to hide all these operations, what Quaar 374 00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:57,399 Speaker 3: did was he he used intermediaries who later pleaded guilty 375 00:23:57,400 --> 00:24:01,679 Speaker 3: to money laundry, including his longtime associate Florencio Dentil Renden 376 00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:04,600 Speaker 3: and his former chief of staff. And when the FBI 377 00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:07,960 Speaker 3: rated Quaar's home in Loreto, Texas, back in twenty twenty two, 378 00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:12,960 Speaker 3: the depth of the scheme became unavoidable. Corruption doesn't get 379 00:24:13,040 --> 00:24:19,400 Speaker 3: much clearer than this, and still Trump issued a full 380 00:24:19,440 --> 00:24:24,240 Speaker 3: and complete pardon. It wasn't a commutation, It wasn't you 381 00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:28,680 Speaker 3: know a it was just a complete pardon. That begs 382 00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:32,320 Speaker 3: the question why would Trump do this? Why in the 383 00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:38,199 Speaker 3: world would Trump do something like this, because Quaar is 384 00:24:38,240 --> 00:24:41,760 Speaker 3: not a typical Democrat. Now, what I'm about to talk 385 00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:47,320 Speaker 3: about is just pure inside the beltwagh politics. May not 386 00:24:47,480 --> 00:24:50,320 Speaker 3: like it. Not asking you to like it or dislike it. 387 00:24:50,600 --> 00:24:55,280 Speaker 3: I'm just telling you what it is. He is. Quaar 388 00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:59,880 Speaker 3: is probably one of the if not the only, remain 389 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:03,919 Speaker 3: being moderate in the Democrat Party. He's probe order security, 390 00:25:04,520 --> 00:25:07,960 Speaker 3: he's critical of the far left nut jobs, and he's 391 00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:12,800 Speaker 3: increasingly isolated within the Democrat caucus. And Trump understands political 392 00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:18,439 Speaker 3: realignment better than any figure in American politics today. South 393 00:25:18,560 --> 00:25:23,639 Speaker 3: Texas is already shifting toward the Republican Party, and a 394 00:25:23,680 --> 00:25:27,280 Speaker 3: figure like Henry Quayar, who has until Monday to change 395 00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:30,840 Speaker 3: his party registration for the next election cycle, could accelerate 396 00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:33,560 Speaker 3: that shift dramatically. Now he has said he's not going 397 00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:36,719 Speaker 3: to do it, but I don't think he needs to 398 00:25:36,720 --> 00:25:40,960 Speaker 3: do it. If Trump can flip even a single Democrat 399 00:25:41,000 --> 00:25:47,080 Speaker 3: of Quaar's stature or simply secure his open support. That 400 00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:53,159 Speaker 3: sends a national message. The national message. The national message 401 00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:59,399 Speaker 3: is the realignment is growing and the Democrat coalition is 402 00:25:59,520 --> 00:26:03,840 Speaker 3: cracking from within. Now. I don't like seeing Henry Quayar 403 00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:07,160 Speaker 3: walk away from accountability, and based on everything that I've read, 404 00:26:07,880 --> 00:26:11,480 Speaker 3: his dealings with foreign governments, the money laundering, the election inconsistencies, 405 00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:15,760 Speaker 3: he deserves consequences, not clemency. But the pardon was needed 406 00:26:15,800 --> 00:26:18,600 Speaker 3: for a broader strategy because in the balance of power 407 00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:22,960 Speaker 3: in Congress South Texas and in the broader political landscape, 408 00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:28,480 Speaker 3: Trump made a very difficult but ultimately correct political calculation, 409 00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:34,919 Speaker 3: and sometimes leadership, unfortunately requires choosing the move that feels 410 00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:40,400 Speaker 3: wrong but strengthens the future of the country. And Trump's 411 00:26:40,440 --> 00:26:44,600 Speaker 3: pardon the hen of Henry Quayar could be one of 412 00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:49,240 Speaker 3: those moments. Playing that forty chess and playing it from 413 00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:54,360 Speaker 3: a thirty thousand foot level, which looks okay, but when 414 00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:57,600 Speaker 3: you look down just at the nitty gritty ooh, it 415 00:26:57,760 --> 00:27:00,800 Speaker 3: just kind of makes you feel dirty. But what about 416 00:27:00,840 --> 00:27:12,400 Speaker 3: that realignment? Is it real? Hang tight, I'll be right back. Hey, 417 00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:14,159 Speaker 3: Welcome back to the Weekend with Michael Brown. Glad to 418 00:27:14,200 --> 00:27:16,320 Speaker 3: have you with me. So as usual, text line is 419 00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:19,119 Speaker 3: always open three three one zero three keyword Michael, Michael 420 00:27:19,400 --> 00:27:22,960 Speaker 3: go follow me on except Michael Brown USA. So while 421 00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:28,280 Speaker 3: this doesn't necessarily involve Texas because Texas is mostly a 422 00:27:28,359 --> 00:27:32,520 Speaker 3: red state, I know that in the urban area San Antonio, Dallas, 423 00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:35,480 Speaker 3: Fort Worth, Austin, Houston, I know it's beginning to shift 424 00:27:35,560 --> 00:27:39,520 Speaker 3: some But to show you this realignment that's going on, 425 00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:45,639 Speaker 3: let's go to some of the battleground states. Let's go 426 00:27:45,680 --> 00:27:49,720 Speaker 3: to Florida. Just start, and I want to talk about 427 00:27:50,240 --> 00:27:56,000 Speaker 3: how the shift is moving from blue to red, and 428 00:27:56,040 --> 00:27:59,960 Speaker 3: in some cases, even in blue states, the red is 429 00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:06,119 Speaker 3: beginning to increase. I'll just start with Florida. So party 430 00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:11,399 Speaker 3: ID Between November of last year and December of this year, 431 00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:17,760 Speaker 3: in Florida, Republicans have gone from A plus seven point 432 00:28:17,880 --> 00:28:24,000 Speaker 3: eight percent, which equates to about one point one million voters, 433 00:28:24,520 --> 00:28:29,920 Speaker 3: to a Republican plus ten point five percent that equates 434 00:28:29,960 --> 00:28:35,560 Speaker 3: to about one point four Republican voters. So they've made 435 00:28:35,560 --> 00:28:39,400 Speaker 3: another gain in November, pushing the state to R plus 436 00:28:39,480 --> 00:28:42,520 Speaker 3: ten and a half percent, nearly three points right of 437 00:28:42,560 --> 00:28:46,400 Speaker 3: where it was in November of last year, when Trump 438 00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:51,720 Speaker 3: won the state by thirteen points. Duval County in Florida 439 00:28:52,040 --> 00:28:55,200 Speaker 3: has shifted to within a single point for the fading 440 00:28:55,480 --> 00:29:02,680 Speaker 3: Democrat registration advantage, which suggests that, oh, even down in Georgia, 441 00:29:02,720 --> 00:29:07,960 Speaker 3: it's beginning to get redder because Florida's drift is predictive 442 00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:11,760 Speaker 3: for both Pennsylvania and Michigan and has been since like 443 00:29:11,840 --> 00:29:15,840 Speaker 3: nineteen fifty two, So this is good news for Republicans. 444 00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:21,280 Speaker 3: Let's go to Iowa. The net shift since November is 445 00:29:21,560 --> 00:29:25,880 Speaker 3: November of twenty four to December of twenty five, is 446 00:29:26,000 --> 00:29:28,800 Speaker 3: Republicans are up about four hundred and twenty two voters. 447 00:29:29,320 --> 00:29:31,920 Speaker 3: Doesn't sound like a lot, but listen to the percentages 448 00:29:32,960 --> 00:29:37,920 Speaker 3: in Iowa. In November twenty twenty four, Republicans held the 449 00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:42,120 Speaker 3: Republicans were up ten point three percent. Republicans are now 450 00:29:42,200 --> 00:29:47,400 Speaker 3: up ten point nine percent. That's it's not much changed 451 00:29:47,440 --> 00:29:51,080 Speaker 3: from the previous month. But here's the way to look 452 00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:54,840 Speaker 3: at it. There's no signs of slipach in the Upper 453 00:29:54,880 --> 00:29:59,960 Speaker 3: Midwest because Iowa is a reliable proxy for both menaes 454 00:30:00,720 --> 00:30:05,600 Speaker 3: and even more importantly for Wisconsin. So you see this 455 00:30:05,640 --> 00:30:09,160 Speaker 3: is these are the types of numbers that the RNC 456 00:30:09,880 --> 00:30:13,480 Speaker 3: and Trump, being the business guy that he is, he 457 00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:17,440 Speaker 3: sees this shift, and he understands that the shifts in 458 00:30:17,520 --> 00:30:24,040 Speaker 3: Florida and in Iowa are predictors for other battleground states. 459 00:30:25,080 --> 00:30:28,360 Speaker 3: That's why I think that the Texas move was a 460 00:30:28,400 --> 00:30:34,160 Speaker 3: strategic move. Yes dirty politically yeah, kind of icky, yes, 461 00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:37,520 Speaker 3: but for the all overall health of the country and 462 00:30:37,600 --> 00:30:40,520 Speaker 3: trying to keep this realignment moving. I understand why he 463 00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:42,920 Speaker 3: did it. You may not like it, and that's fine, 464 00:30:42,960 --> 00:30:46,440 Speaker 3: but I understand it. This go to Pennsylvania, which truly 465 00:30:46,480 --> 00:30:51,640 Speaker 3: delivered the presidency to Trump last November. So what's happened 466 00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:55,920 Speaker 3: in Pennsylvania. In November of twenty twenty four, Democrats held 467 00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:59,560 Speaker 3: a three point one percent advantage. They were up by 468 00:30:59,560 --> 00:31:02,080 Speaker 3: a bout a little over a quarter of a million voters. 469 00:31:03,120 --> 00:31:07,600 Speaker 3: In December. This month, Democrats are down to only a 470 00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:11,080 Speaker 3: one point nine percent advantage. They've dropped from a two 471 00:31:11,200 --> 00:31:15,040 Speaker 3: hundred and eighty six thousand voter advantage down to only 472 00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:19,280 Speaker 3: a one hundred and seventy thousand voter advantage. And when 473 00:31:19,320 --> 00:31:23,160 Speaker 3: you look at some of the key counties like Philadelphia, 474 00:31:23,240 --> 00:31:28,440 Speaker 3: for example, Philadelphia has dropped by about half a percentage point. 475 00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:32,480 Speaker 3: Alleghany County has dropped from twenty six point five percent 476 00:31:32,560 --> 00:31:35,640 Speaker 3: down to twenty five point nine percent. Montgomery County has 477 00:31:35,680 --> 00:31:38,200 Speaker 3: dropped from fifteen point two percent down to fifteen point 478 00:31:38,240 --> 00:31:41,360 Speaker 3: one percent, and Northampton County has dropped from five point 479 00:31:41,400 --> 00:31:47,120 Speaker 3: one percent down to three point six percent. So Scott Pressler, 480 00:31:47,160 --> 00:31:50,800 Speaker 3: who is out talking about what's going on in Pennsylvania, 481 00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:53,320 Speaker 3: he's sounding the alarm. But he's doing that because he's 482 00:31:53,360 --> 00:31:56,560 Speaker 3: trying to keep reving up the base. But I think 483 00:31:56,640 --> 00:32:00,320 Speaker 3: the alarm. While I would not criticize Scott Watson whoever, 484 00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:02,920 Speaker 3: for doing so, I would look at it and say, 485 00:32:03,320 --> 00:32:06,640 Speaker 3: the net change to the voter rolls shows the slightest 486 00:32:07,120 --> 00:32:11,360 Speaker 3: of Democrat gains, But when you investigate the sixty seven counties, 487 00:32:11,720 --> 00:32:15,800 Speaker 3: it suggests the change was probably because of just registration maintenance. 488 00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:22,120 Speaker 3: After the November elections, Democrats have lost over forty percent 489 00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:25,560 Speaker 3: of the registration advantage they held in November of twenty 490 00:32:25,600 --> 00:32:30,120 Speaker 3: twenty four when Trump won the state comfortably. That shows 491 00:32:30,560 --> 00:32:34,920 Speaker 3: that's the realignment that I'm talking about from Texas that's 492 00:32:35,000 --> 00:32:38,440 Speaker 3: playing out in other states. Go to North Carolina. Remember 493 00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:43,360 Speaker 3: how everybody was all concerned about North Carolina in November 494 00:32:43,360 --> 00:32:48,000 Speaker 3: of twenty twenty four. North Carolina held a Democrat advantage 495 00:32:48,040 --> 00:32:51,240 Speaker 3: of about one point three percent. They had one hundred 496 00:32:51,280 --> 00:32:53,000 Speaker 3: and five thou the little over one hundred and five 497 00:32:53,000 --> 00:32:59,240 Speaker 3: thousand registered Democrat advantage over Republicans. This month that has 498 00:32:59,320 --> 00:33:06,120 Speaker 3: dropped to zero percent advantage. Democrats are only up about 499 00:33:06,280 --> 00:33:09,760 Speaker 3: three thousand votes. They've gone from one hundred and five 500 00:33:09,760 --> 00:33:13,560 Speaker 3: thousand vote advantage. I should say registration, not voter registration. 501 00:33:13,800 --> 00:33:17,160 Speaker 3: That's a more precise word to use. So in North Carolina, 502 00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:20,880 Speaker 3: Democrats have gone from one hundred and five thousand registration 503 00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:25,080 Speaker 3: advantage down to only a three thousand registration advantage. And 504 00:33:25,120 --> 00:33:27,640 Speaker 3: when you look at some of the key counties, Mecklenburg County, 505 00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:30,840 Speaker 3: for example, they've dropped from a twenty point three advantage 506 00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:33,960 Speaker 3: down to a nine point nineteen point eight percent. And 507 00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:37,280 Speaker 3: in Wake County they've gotten from thirteen point one percent 508 00:33:37,320 --> 00:33:41,080 Speaker 3: Democrats have down to a twelve point six percent. So 509 00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:45,520 Speaker 3: their Democrats are moving in the wrong direction, Republicans are 510 00:33:45,520 --> 00:33:49,320 Speaker 3: moving in the right direction. Democrats still have an overall 511 00:33:49,600 --> 00:33:54,760 Speaker 3: voter registration advantage. For example, the overall voter registration I 512 00:33:54,800 --> 00:33:58,560 Speaker 3: said in North Carolina is still an advantage to the Democrats, 513 00:33:58,800 --> 00:34:01,680 Speaker 3: but it's gone from a high undred five thousand down 514 00:34:01,720 --> 00:34:09,160 Speaker 3: to only three thousand. So the North Carolina's first December update, 515 00:34:09,880 --> 00:34:13,920 Speaker 3: which will get later in the month, puts Democrats below 516 00:34:14,280 --> 00:34:19,480 Speaker 3: two thousand for overall registration advantage. I think there's a 517 00:34:19,520 --> 00:34:23,799 Speaker 3: possibility that North Carolina will flip Republican by the end 518 00:34:23,800 --> 00:34:26,880 Speaker 3: of the year and that will continue on into the 519 00:34:26,920 --> 00:34:30,720 Speaker 3: next year. Now whether former Democrat Governor Roy Cooper, who's 520 00:34:30,760 --> 00:34:33,520 Speaker 3: running for the US Senate North Carolina, it might make 521 00:34:33,560 --> 00:34:36,560 Speaker 3: a difference. The Republicans need all the help they can 522 00:34:37,200 --> 00:34:39,880 Speaker 3: that they can get. I think that the Republican held 523 00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:43,840 Speaker 3: seat in North Carolina is one of two Republican seats 524 00:34:43,840 --> 00:34:48,160 Speaker 3: Senate seats at risk in the mid terms, and the 525 00:34:48,200 --> 00:34:54,480 Speaker 3: next Republican presidential candidate, if those trends persist, could carry 526 00:34:54,480 --> 00:34:58,000 Speaker 3: North Carolina by at least five points. This is the 527 00:34:58,000 --> 00:35:02,359 Speaker 3: realignment that's taking place that Trump is paying attention to. 528 00:35:02,480 --> 00:35:05,840 Speaker 3: Let's go up to New Hampshire. New Hampshire is interesting 529 00:35:06,719 --> 00:35:11,000 Speaker 3: because in November of twenty twenty four, Republicans held a 530 00:35:11,160 --> 00:35:15,439 Speaker 3: four point three percent advantage. This month that has gone 531 00:35:15,440 --> 00:35:18,160 Speaker 3: to a five point two percent advantage. In other words, 532 00:35:18,160 --> 00:35:22,040 Speaker 3: they've increased Republican registration from a little over thirty eight 533 00:35:22,120 --> 00:35:30,560 Speaker 3: thousand to almost fifty thousand. So New Hampshire remains the 534 00:35:30,600 --> 00:35:35,640 Speaker 3: most likely Republican flip for the twenty twenty eight presidential election. 535 00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:39,520 Speaker 3: And in the meantime, they've got several important races on 536 00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:41,640 Speaker 3: the ballot in twenty twenty six, like a US Senate 537 00:35:41,680 --> 00:35:45,239 Speaker 3: seat and the battle for the first Congressional district, which 538 00:35:45,320 --> 00:35:48,640 Speaker 3: Democrat Chris Pappus will vacate to run for that Senate seat, 539 00:35:49,400 --> 00:35:53,960 Speaker 3: leading an open House seat in the Senate seat. If 540 00:35:53,960 --> 00:36:00,400 Speaker 3: those numbers continue, New Hampshire could become pivotal. I know, 541 00:36:00,680 --> 00:36:03,560 Speaker 3: small state, but when you're counting, you know, every electoral 542 00:36:03,640 --> 00:36:08,879 Speaker 3: vote that you can get, Yeah, it becomes incredibly important. Arizona. 543 00:36:09,520 --> 00:36:12,800 Speaker 3: I love Arizona not only because my daughter lives there. 544 00:36:13,120 --> 00:36:16,759 Speaker 3: I just love Arizona because it's politics is so screwed up. 545 00:36:17,480 --> 00:36:20,640 Speaker 3: But look at these numbers. In November twenty twenty four, 546 00:36:20,680 --> 00:36:24,799 Speaker 3: Republicans held a six point eight percent advantage, a two 547 00:36:24,880 --> 00:36:29,680 Speaker 3: hundred almost almost three hundred thousand voter registration advantage that 548 00:36:29,760 --> 00:36:32,880 Speaker 3: has now gone to a Republican seven point five percent, 549 00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:37,040 Speaker 3: and an almost three hundred and twenty eight thousand Republican 550 00:36:37,080 --> 00:36:42,480 Speaker 3: advantage that's a shift, a very significant shift in Arizona, 551 00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:46,879 Speaker 3: and that's what Trump is watching in Texas too. Hang tight, 552 00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:47,680 Speaker 3: I'll be right back