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Speaker 1: Michael, the news is just like any other consumable product.

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Speaker 1: People either take it or they leave it. Evidently more

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Speaker 1: people decided to leave it, and the Washington Post was

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Speaker 1: losing money, and that's why Besos decided to cut his

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Speaker 1: losses and cut the stuff.

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Speaker 2: Try to try to save as much as you can,

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Speaker 2: make whatever you can on the assets that are left over.

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Speaker 2: So basically happens every day. Creative destruction happens all the

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Speaker 2: time in capitalism. I want to talk about a problem

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Speaker 2: that the Church of the Climate Activists is facing right now.

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Speaker 2: And the problem is covered in furs, got four legs,

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Speaker 2: and has an increasingly inconvenient appetite for surviving. Polar Bears

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Speaker 2: are thriving. They're getting fatter too. Maybe maybe they need

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Speaker 2: a Mike Tyson commercial. They're getting there, their bunch of lardasses,

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Speaker 2: and the populations are exploding.

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Speaker 3: They think they're rabbits.

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Speaker 2: Let's just do it like rabbits and everywhere, and all

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Speaker 2: the congregants in the Church of the Climate Activists, who'll

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Speaker 2: spent what two decades at least using those poor animals

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Speaker 2: as emotional blackmail trying to justify gutting America's energy independence,

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Speaker 2: are hoping you don't notice. They don't want you to

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Speaker 2: know about it. This is why I love preaching it.

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Speaker 2: That's why I love talking about it. There was a

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Speaker 2: confession recently that they don't want you to know about

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Speaker 2: the British Broadcasting Corporation. The BBC reported what they characterized

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Speaker 2: as a terrible news story, Polar bears in the barren

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Speaker 2: seeing around Norway's bard Don he pronounced that Vaubard Archipelago.

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Speaker 2: They're doing great, not just surviving, they're thriving. The numbers

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Speaker 2: have been steadily increasing. But here's the kicker. They're also

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Speaker 2: getting fatter, substantially fatter despite or more accurately, because of

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Speaker 2: declining sea ice cover. The mascots of the Church of

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Speaker 2: the Climate activists are getting plump. They need a little

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Speaker 2: ripele suction. While the ice supposedly essential for their survival,

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Speaker 2: Without the ice, they can't survive. They're retreating. Now, get

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Speaker 2: that wrap that in your head pretty good. They need

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Speaker 2: the ice to survive. The ice is supposedly retreating, shrinking,

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Speaker 2: and they're getting fatter. Their waistlines are not expanding. Their

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Speaker 2: waistlines are getting bigger and bigger, and their numbers are

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Speaker 2: increasing A researcher by the name of John Orrs and

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Speaker 2: his team published findings that must have felt like swallowing

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Speaker 2: broken glass to these church members. They wrote, with what

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Speaker 2: I imagine was considerable discomfort this quote. We predicted that

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Speaker 2: body condition in adults but bears obviously would decline over time,

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Speaker 2: and that bears would be leaner in years with less

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Speaker 2: available sea ice or in the spring following those years.

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Speaker 2: But that's not what happened. Instead, from two thousand, yes,

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Speaker 2: from the turn of the millennium two thousand forward, both

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Speaker 2: males and females increased in body conditioned. For the following

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Speaker 2: two decades. Let me translate that for you, they were

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Speaker 2: completely spectacularly embarrassingly wrong. Now, this is not an isolated finding.

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Speaker 2: The Chutchkey Ce north of the Bearing Strait shows the

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Speaker 2: same pattern. Bears thriving in both number and health, but

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Speaker 2: the sea ice is still retreating. Yeah, and yet some

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Speaker 2: populations in Hudson Bay and the Beaufort Sea aren't doing

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Speaker 2: quite as well. But overall, polar bear numbers have more

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Speaker 2: than doubled since the nineteen sixties and they're still going.

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Speaker 2: So let's talk about what we were told would happen.

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Speaker 2: Go back to twenty seventeen. Go back nineteen years ago,

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Speaker 2: the USGS, the US Geological Survey, of course, with all

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Speaker 2: the authority of official federal science behind it, predicted that

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Speaker 2: polar bear population has been followed by about two thirds

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Speaker 2: by the year twenty fifty. Everything's either twenty thirty or

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Speaker 2: twenty fifty. Everything's going to happen in twenty thirty or

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Speaker 2: twenty fifty. Maybe, since we're gonna go all electric, but

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Speaker 2: we won't have the ability to produce an of electricity,

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Speaker 2: maybe we can just use polar bear blubber like whale

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Speaker 2: blubber to eat our homes.

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Speaker 3: I don't.

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Speaker 2: We're now closer to twenty fifty than we are to

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Speaker 2: twenty two thousand and seven, and the population hasn't fallen

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Speaker 2: by two thirds. Instead it has doubled. That's not a

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Speaker 2: rounding error. That's not a minor miscalculation. That's getting the

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Speaker 2: entire fundamental dynamic of the ecosystem completely backward words. This

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Speaker 2: is like a doctor predicting that your blood pressure is

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Speaker 2: going to kill you by fifty Instead you're running marathons

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Speaker 2: at sixty. At some point you start questioning whether the

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Speaker 2: doctor knows what he's talking about. Grist is the name

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Speaker 2: of a climate advocacy publication. He might say, it's like

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Speaker 2: the Church newsletter ran an article two years ago with

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Speaker 2: the headline that's almost poignant and how desperate it is.

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Speaker 2: The headline reads, why the climate movement doesn't talk about

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Speaker 2: polar bears anymore? I wonder why, because of to borrow

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Speaker 2: a phrase from al Gore, the Inconvenient Science, here's what's

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Speaker 2: actually happening. Why it matters that they got it so wrong.

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Speaker 2: When sea ice melts more extensively in the fall, ring seals,

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Speaker 2: which are the polar bear's primary prey, particularly during the

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Speaker 2: crucial spring and early summer feeding period, those seals actually thrive.

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Speaker 2: Ring seals prefer ten seasonal well, they can create breathing holes.

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Speaker 2: They can't make those holes through the thick permanenties. So

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Speaker 2: fall melting and winter freezing creates better habitat for the seals,

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Speaker 2: which means more food for the bears. Well wait, there's more,

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Speaker 2: there's Oh yeah, there's more after the break.

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Speaker 4: It is so wrong that the media is out there

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Speaker 4: asking Olympians in the US how they feel about their

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Speaker 4: country with everything going on. Mind you, this has never

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Speaker 4: been done in previous administrations. Such as Obama or Biden

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Speaker 4: or others. Additionally, you don't see this happening with other countries.

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Speaker 4: Are they asking the Iranian athletes how they feel.

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Speaker 2: Nope, We're talking polar bears, which is by orders of

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Speaker 2: magnitude much more interesting than what took place yesterday. So

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Speaker 2: I talked about how what's really happening is the food

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Speaker 2: source for the bears these seals is growing because of

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Speaker 2: the retreating ice. Oh so, retreating ice is not necessarily bad,

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Speaker 2: but there's more more open water means that there's more

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Speaker 2: sunlight penetration into the Arctic, and more sunlight fuels a.

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Speaker 3: Huge plankton explosion.

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Speaker 2: It's up eighty percent in the Eurasian Arctic, it's up

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Speaker 2: thirty four percent in the Barren Sea over a twenty

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Speaker 2: two year period. And more plankton feeds more fish, more fish,

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Speaker 2: these more seals, More seals feed more polar bears.

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Speaker 3: It's a cascade effect. It is running.

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Speaker 2: Exactly opposite to what we were told was going to happen.

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Speaker 2: So these bears are gorging themselves on whale and walrus carcasses.

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Speaker 2: Walrus population in the area have rocked it from about

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Speaker 2: one hundred animals in the nineteen seventies to about four

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Speaker 2: thousand a day. It's it's like going to the what's

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Speaker 2: the stupid buffet? Dragging the golden golden craws like going

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Speaker 2: to the Golden Corral, except you're getting whale and walruses.

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Speaker 2: So now researchers are finding that the bears are fattest

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Speaker 2: in years when the ice seat retreats the farthest. Yes,

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Speaker 2: less ice equals fatter bears. And the evidence is now

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Speaker 2: suggesting that the Arctic Ocean was nearly or completely ice

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Speaker 2: free in the late summer and early autumn during the

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Speaker 2: early millennium of our current interglacial period, roughly nine to

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Speaker 2: six thousand years ago. You know what my guess is

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Speaker 2: during that time period was probably teeming with marine life,

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Speaker 2: and that provided a s'mores board of prey for polar

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Speaker 2: bears who simply took refuge on the land during the

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Speaker 2: ice free months, exactly as they do in places like

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Speaker 2: Hudson Bay where all the tourists run to go look

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Speaker 2: at the polar bears in those self contained things like

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Speaker 2: they have at Dulles Airport to get you from one

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Speaker 2: terminal to another. Now we get to the really ugly

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Speaker 2: part the institutional corruption. And this is where I think

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Speaker 2: this story stops being about bears and starts being about

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Speaker 2: our understanding of the corruption of science. Most polar bear

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Speaker 2: scientists have continued insisting that the species is somehow in

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Speaker 2: imminent danger of extinction, not because the data supports this conclusion, because,

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Speaker 2: as Matt Ridley notes in a particular analysis that he

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Speaker 2: wrote over on Substack, that way lies funding. Oh you

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Speaker 2: want me to write an article if they do research. Oh,

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Speaker 2: you'll pay me how much? But oh, but you need

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Speaker 2: theclusion conclusion to be predetermined. Ah, that's fine, I'll do

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Speaker 2: it for the money. Let that sink in the continued

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Speaker 2: flow of a research grant depends on maintaining the catastrophe

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Speaker 2: and narrative regardless of what the bears are doing. That

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Speaker 2: all the elders in the Church of the climate activists

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Speaker 2: demand that you stick to the dogma. So when scientists

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Speaker 2: dared to follow the data instead of the funding, they

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Speaker 2: got systematically destroyed. Giving an example, Mitchell Taylor's Canadian zoologists

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Speaker 2: argued that polar bears would probably survive even in a

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Speaker 2: warming Arctic. In two thousand and nine, Andrew Druscher expelled

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Speaker 2: him from the polar Bear specialist group. The Rusiar's justification

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Speaker 2: is worth hearing carefully. Quote for the sake of polar

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Speaker 2: bear conservation. Views that wrung counter to human induced climate

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Speaker 2: change are extremely unhelpful nose. He didn't say they were wrong,

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Speaker 2: not not unsupported by evidence. In other words, unhelpful. The

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Speaker 2: truth was unhelpful, so the truth teller had to be

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Speaker 2: kicked out, no longer a member of the church with

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Speaker 2: the climate activists. Susan Crockford Canadian, a Canadian, another Canadian

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Speaker 2: Jesus zoologist. She argued that more seasonal melting of sea

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Speaker 2: ice would mean more in fact or bears. She got

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Speaker 2: out of the University of Victoria in British Columbia in

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Speaker 2: twenty nineteen for stating that position when something really delicious.

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Speaker 2: She was right, because the data now proves she was

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Speaker 2: right all along. Now let's go to Netflix and Netflix

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Speaker 2: back in twenty seventeen, Netflix Er a documentary narrated by

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Speaker 2: Sir David Attenborough who showed Walrus's falling off a cliff

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Speaker 2: in Siberi.

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Speaker 3: You gotta sure that you remember.

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Speaker 2: It was an iconic image that the Walris is just

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Speaker 2: falling off a cliff. The film presented this as Walrus

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Speaker 2: is driven mad by climate change, and I'm like, I'm

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Speaker 2: getting driven mad by it. So desperate were the Walruses

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Speaker 2: and they started committing suicide. So Susan Krock, for that

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Speaker 2: Canadian zoologist, suggested they had probably been stampeded by the

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Speaker 2: polar bears. The filmmakers, when they heard that, dismissed that

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Speaker 2: suggestion with the kind of condensation usually reserved for all

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Speaker 2: the flat earthers. Turns out she was right about that too. Yes,

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Speaker 2: they were running off the cliff because either die getting

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Speaker 2: eaten by a polar bear or just plunged to your death. Wow,

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Speaker 2: the dog in the church of the climate activists lives

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Speaker 2: on a bunch of lies. It's simply fascinating. You know what,

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Speaker 2: Let's do this next. Let's focus on the bait and switch,

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Speaker 2: because there's a bait and switch going on too.

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Speaker 4: I'll never understand how the left screamed screen news scam,

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Speaker 4: I mean screen New Deal and climate change. Yet at

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Speaker 4: something like the Super Bowl, which almost everybody had to

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Speaker 4: travel to to attend, either via car or via flight,

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Speaker 4: and then you have the thousand plus private jets there.

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Speaker 4: They don't go after the super Bowl and want to

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Speaker 4: stop that very interesting.

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Speaker 2: Always, as I said, this whole polar bear thing presents

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Speaker 2: a classic bait and switch. So here's what happened. And

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Speaker 2: you get to understand then the sequence of this because

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Speaker 2: it's been replicated across multiple environmental campaigns. So every time

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Speaker 2: the Church of Climate activists have a revival, and you know,

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Speaker 2: they have an annual revival, an annual meeting and whatever,

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Speaker 2: and they come up with the newest scheme, they keep

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Speaker 2: replicating it over and over and over. It's a bait

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Speaker 2: and switch. First, you select an emotionally compelling symbol, not

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Speaker 2: just any animal. That animal's got to be charismatic. It's

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Speaker 2: got to be photogenic, big eyes and impressive size, the

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Speaker 2: triggers of protective instinct in humans. So polar bears are

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Speaker 2: perfect powerful white So it photographs very well, conveniently located

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Speaker 2: in an area where most people will never visit to

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Speaker 2: verify any claim about their condition. So you got to

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Speaker 2: find the right animal. And then next you make a

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Speaker 2: catastrophic prediction. Not well, there might be some challenges. Now

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Speaker 2: you can't say that, and you can't say, well, you know,

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Speaker 2: the populations might shift. Instead, use this word extinction, death, catastrophe.

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Speaker 2: It needs to be an existential threat. The bears will

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Speaker 2: die and the ice will disappear, and time is running out.

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Speaker 3: Oh I got I got to act now, and.

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Speaker 2: You still indoctrinating mush Bring kids in elementary school, junior high,

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Speaker 2: and high school about that. By the time you get

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Speaker 2: to college, they're full blown, baptized members of that church.

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Speaker 2: Then Third, suppress any sort of dissenting evidence. Now that

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Speaker 2: one's crucial, because you can't have credential sciences pointing out

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Speaker 2: that somehow your predictions don't match the data. So what

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Speaker 2: do you do? You kick them out, You excommunicate them,

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Speaker 2: you deny them research funding, you damage their careers, You

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Speaker 2: make an example of them to discourage them and discourage

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Speaker 2: others from asking those inconvenient questions. And then what happens though,

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Speaker 2: when the predictions fail? Number four, You move the goalpost.

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Speaker 2: Don't acknowledge that you were wrong, don't apologize to the

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Speaker 2: scientists you destroyed for being right. Just stop talking about it.

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Speaker 2: Remember that Grist headline I mentioned in the last half hour.

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Speaker 2: When you think about the Grist headline, why the climate

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Speaker 2: movement doesn't talk about polar bears anymore?

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Speaker 1: Not?

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Speaker 2: Why were we wrong about polar bears. Just let's talk

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Speaker 2: about something else. Now, let's change the subject. Oh, because

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Speaker 2: most I'm making a generalization here, because most people in

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Speaker 2: the Church of the climate activists or what. Yeah, they're lefties,

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Speaker 2: they're Marxists, they're communists, they're socialists. So what do they

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Speaker 2: do when you confront them with the data. What do

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Speaker 2: you do when you confront them with the facts. Shift

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Speaker 2: the argument to something else, don't deal, don't don't engage

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Speaker 2: in a rebuttal, don't engage, don't don't count on my argument.

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Speaker 2: Just shift the argument. Moving the gold posts is just

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Speaker 2: permeates everything on the left side of this political spectrum.

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Speaker 2: And the fifth would be never, and I do mean never,

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Speaker 2: hear never acknowledge that your failed prediction has any implications

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Speaker 2: for your broader credibility. Just move on to the next

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Speaker 2: emotional hook. Move on to a coral reef or glaciers

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Speaker 2: or the Pacific islands or you know, it's it's the

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Speaker 2: melting ice. And then take that and convert that to

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Speaker 2: rising sea levels and now, oh my gosh, Miami, New York, LA.

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Speaker 2: It's all going to be underwater. Just whatever works, Just

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Speaker 2: shift the argument so you find the compelling symbol. You

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Speaker 2: make catastrophic predictions, you suppress the descent, you move the

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Speaker 2: gold posts, you never acknowledge failure. Bait and switch, and

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Speaker 2: that bait and switch has horrendous policy costs. Policy costs

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Speaker 2: that are not as military, they're not ephemeral, they're not

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Speaker 2: something that's just all kind of out there. Their costs

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Speaker 2: they are going to affect you, literally you, because this

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Speaker 2: is not some sort of academic exercise in hurt feelings

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Speaker 2: or wound in scientific egos. It matters because the polar

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Speaker 2: bear catastrophe narrative was used to justify very real policies

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Speaker 2: that have very real costs to the public and to

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Speaker 2: you individually. Restrictions on energy development in Alaska and other

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Speaker 2: Arctic regions.

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Speaker 3: And it's not just oil and gas.

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Speaker 2: We're talking about the rare earth minerals that we need

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Speaker 2: that pretty much produces or is used in the manufacturing

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Speaker 2: of virtually everything that we use today. Mandates government mandates

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Speaker 2: picking a winner and a loser for expensive, un reliable

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Speaker 2: renewable energy sources, and you know what that results in.

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Speaker 2: We talked last week about your electric bill and how

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Speaker 2: Excel spending all this money to supposedly make the grid

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Speaker 2: more resilient. No, they're actually making the grid more resilient.

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Speaker 2: That's their word, not mine. More resilient. Upgrading the grid

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Speaker 2: if you will, not to make it, you know, perform better,

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Speaker 2: more efficiently, carrying more electrons all the way to the substation,

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Speaker 2: and from the substation all the way to your house

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Speaker 2: to your power outlet. No more adaptable to intermittent, unreliable

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Speaker 2: energy like wind and solar. So all those mandates dribble

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Speaker 2: down all the way to the consumer. Oh but Michael,

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Speaker 2: I don't consume any energy. Oh you do too. I

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Speaker 2: don't care how much solar you have on your house.

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Speaker 2: I don't care whether you've got a gigantic, big ass

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Speaker 2: windmill in your backyard. Every thing else that you do

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Speaker 2: consumes energy, and energy is part of the cost of

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Speaker 2: whatever that is, that good or service that you buy

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Speaker 2: or rent or whatever you're paying for that. And then

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Speaker 2: all the regulatory burdens on fossil fuel extraction that end

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Speaker 2: up driving up the costs. And it's not just the

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Speaker 2: burden itself. Now, Chris Wright, they're starting to turn those around,

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Speaker 2: but those regulatory burdens when they continue unabated, when they

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Speaker 2: continue to.

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Speaker 3: Grow and grow and grow, create more.

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Speaker 2: Mass, and by mass, I mean something that's pretty much

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Speaker 2: immovable by expanding the federal bureaucracy. And when you expand

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Speaker 2: the federal bureaucracy, because they're going to pass grants or

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Speaker 2: rewards or whatever it might be onto state and local governments,

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Speaker 2: they're going to have to create bureaucracy. So one of

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Speaker 2: the unintended consequences of all of this government spending on

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Speaker 2: all these mandates and all these regulatory burdens is a

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Speaker 2: more massive government that's going to be more intractable and

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Speaker 2: more difficult to remove. And yet we never stop and

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Speaker 2: think about that. Got to hire more bureaucrats, and not

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Speaker 2: just the federal level. You know, Chris Ray could let

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Speaker 2: the Department of Energies just grow and grow and grow,

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Speaker 2: and nobody ever stops and says, wait a minute. Every

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Speaker 2: time you add like five bureaucrats at the federal level,

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Speaker 2: somebody's gonna have to add a couple of bureaucrats at

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Speaker 2: the state level. And then somebody's gonna either have to

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Speaker 2: add a bureaucrat at the local level or they're going

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Speaker 2: to take some sport or schmuck and say, yeah, guess

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Speaker 2: what you now have to take on this burden too,

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Speaker 2: but we're not gonna pay you.

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Speaker 3: Any more money.

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Speaker 2: Then there's a fourth policy, costs international agreements that handicap

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Speaker 2: American energy independence while giving a free pass to China

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Speaker 2: and India. Can't think, first of all, can you think

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Speaker 2: the Chinese Communist Party cares about its people. No, so

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Speaker 2: they'll sign any the parents accords. They'll sign any accords

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Speaker 2: you want, because they're not going to follow it any

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Speaker 2: more than the Russians are going to follow any sort

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Speaker 2: of thing about nuclear weapons and whether we're going to

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Speaker 2: allow inspections or not. Now they're not going to do that. India.

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Speaker 2: Have you ever been to India? Have you got to

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Speaker 2: go sometime see just how filthy it is?

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Speaker 3: Oh? Yeah, you'll go to the taj Mahl and go,

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Speaker 3: oh this is wonderful. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: No, you go elsewhere and you'll realize pretty bad. Listing

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Speaker 2: polar bears as threatened under the Endangered Species Act, which

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Speaker 2: created legal obstacles to resource development. So the Endangered Species Act,

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Speaker 2: you may say, oh, you know, we got to save

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Speaker 2: the polar bears, or we got to save this insect

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Speaker 2: or that tortoise or whatever it might be. That's not

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Speaker 2: the real purpose of it. The real purpose of it

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Speaker 2: is to create legal obstacles to resource development.

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Speaker 3: And even if you don't buy that argument, the unintended.

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Speaker 2: Consequence of the Endangered Species Act is to create legal

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Speaker 2: obstacles to resource development. So regards to which direction you

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Speaker 2: want to look at, the effect is the same. And

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Speaker 2: all of this gets sold in significant part on the

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Speaker 2: emotional appeal of simply saving polar bears from climate induced

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Speaker 2: man made climate change extinction. The bears aren't quite extinct.

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Speaker 2: They're actually throwing a population boom party, and.

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Speaker 3: They're doing it on a high fat diet, which.

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Speaker 2: Means all those policies and all those costs get justified

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Speaker 2: under false pretenses. You want to be a member of

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Speaker 2: that church, all based on a falsehood, because if you do,

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Speaker 2: then you're engaging and you're exacerbating the credibility death spiral.

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Speaker 2: When you're found very foundational narrative collapses. You don't just

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Speaker 2: lose that one argument, you lose the credibility structure that

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Speaker 2: that argument was supporting.

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Speaker 3: If this were if you were.

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Speaker 2: This catastrophicy wrong say about polar bears, wrong not just

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Speaker 2: in degree, but wrong in the entire direction. Why should

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Speaker 2: anyone trust your predictions about anything else? You know, that's

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Speaker 2: how you are in real life. Someone blatantly lies to

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Speaker 2: you about something that is catastrophy that is absolutely of

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Speaker 2: the most importance to you personally, With someone completely utterly

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Speaker 2: lies to you about it, trust completely gone. Why do

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Speaker 2: they trust you about anything else? If we expelled qualified

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Speaker 2: scientists from professional organizations for simply having the audacity to

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Speaker 2: follow the data and not follow the narrative, why should

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Speaker 2: anyone believe there's those institutions are engaged in objective science.

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Speaker 2: Shouldn't we believe and understand that they're actually engaged in

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Speaker 2: political advocacy. If you ostracize their researcher who turned out

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Speaker 2: to be correct because their conclusions were unhelpful to your

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Speaker 2: funding or your policy goes, why should anybody take your

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Speaker 2: current claims that at face value?

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Speaker 3: Those are not rhetorical questions.

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Speaker 2: There are the questions that neighbors, colleagues, elected representatives ought

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Speaker 2: to be asking every single time somebody uses emotional appeals

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Speaker 2: to wildlife to justify an energy policy. It's going to

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Speaker 2: make your electricity bill more expensive and less reliable. Here's

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Speaker 2: what you need to understand and what I want you

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Speaker 2: to be able to articulate when somebody tries to use

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Speaker 2: polar bears, particularly your children or your grandchildren, or your neighbor.

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Speaker 2: You know, your friendly neighbor that you know drives the

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Speaker 2: tesla and you know has you know they're a member

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Speaker 2: of you know some you know green Pea or something.

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Speaker 2: The population facts, the polar bear numbers have more than

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Speaker 2: doubles since the nineteen sixties. They're not declining, they're exploding.

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Speaker 2: That two thousand and seven USGS prediction of a two

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Speaker 2: thirds population collapsed by twenty fifty hasn't just failed to materialize.

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Speaker 2: The trend line is running in the opposite direction. The

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Speaker 2: body conditioned facts Bears in Vauberd and the Chucky c

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Speaker 2: are getting fatter as the ice retreats. I don't know

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Speaker 2: why this one I find so funny. But not only

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Speaker 2: are they not going to extinct, they're turning into lard

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Speaker 2: asses because they got so much to eat. And that

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Speaker 2: research published by John r. Shows that the body condition

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Speaker 2: increasing over two decades. Now the bears are the fastest

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Speaker 2: they have been in decades when the ice retreats the farthest.

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Speaker 2: That is the opposite what you were told was happen.

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Speaker 2: So when your little rug rat, who at the time

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Speaker 2: was maybe what twelve years old, is now eighteen, nineteen

395
00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:05,120
Speaker 2: or twenty years old, you really have to sit down

396
00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:07,800
Speaker 2: and say, hey, what's the last about the polar bears?

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Speaker 3: Ask them?

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Speaker 2: I challenge you to ask any of your greeny Weeni

399
00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:16,480
Speaker 2: friends or anybody else about polar bears and then play

400
00:27:16,520 --> 00:27:23,520
Speaker 2: on the podcast at this segment. The mechanism, as I said,

401
00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:28,440
Speaker 2: less ice means more sunlight. That sunlight fuels the plankton.

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Speaker 2: As I said, it's up eighty percent of some Arctic

403
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Speaker 2: regions that feeds the fish, which feeds the seals, which

404
00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:38,280
Speaker 2: feeds the bears. Plus the seals actually prefer the thin

405
00:27:38,400 --> 00:27:41,680
Speaker 2: seasonal ice that forms when there's more annual melton freeze cycles.

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00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:48,719
Speaker 2: The eco system, Mother nature herself is more productive with

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Speaker 2: less ice, not less productive. You ever thought that maybe

408
00:27:52,840 --> 00:27:56,960
Speaker 2: the Church of the climate activists instead, if they were

409
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Speaker 2: truly like in love with Mother Nature and really wanted

410
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Speaker 2: to understand Mother Nature, that everything kind of seems to

411
00:28:05,560 --> 00:28:10,280
Speaker 2: work out, kind of resolves itself. Think about that for

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Speaker 2: a minute. The suppression there is suppression going on, not

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Speaker 2: voter suppression here, Polar bear scientific factual suppression. Scientists a

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Speaker 2: question the doom narrative got expelled from professional organizations, They

415
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:29,640
Speaker 2: got driven from academic positions, and they were dismissed when

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Speaker 2: they were actually correct about what.

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Speaker 3: They were saying.

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Speaker 2: Andrew Derocher explicitly said that views counter to human induced

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Speaker 2: climate change were unhelpful. Well, how to make it clear

420
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Speaker 2: to you that scientific truth took a back seat to politics.

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Speaker 2: And now we have a pattern. This is the same

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00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:56,880
Speaker 2: playbook that gets used repeatedly. Select the emotional symbol, make

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00:28:56,920 --> 00:29:03,080
Speaker 2: a catastrophic prediction, suppress descent, quietly abandon the claim when

424
00:29:03,080 --> 00:29:09,120
Speaker 2: it fails, Never acknowledge the implications for your credibility, Which

425
00:29:09,160 --> 00:29:12,440
Speaker 2: gets us to one bottom line, because there's really two

426
00:29:12,480 --> 00:29:16,120
Speaker 2: bottom lines to this story. The polar bear narrative was

427
00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:18,840
Speaker 2: never really about polar bears. It was about creating an

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00:29:18,840 --> 00:29:22,440
Speaker 2: emotional shortcut around any sort of rational analysis and about

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Speaker 2: our energy policies. And you cannot persuade Americans to accept

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Speaker 2: dramatically higher energy costs, reduce reliability, increase dependence on Chinese

431
00:29:32,160 --> 00:29:35,960
Speaker 2: solar panels and battery technology by presenting a spreadsheet or

432
00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:39,880
Speaker 2: a cost benefit analysis. Those arguments always lose badly. Because

433
00:29:39,920 --> 00:29:42,320
Speaker 2: people are just well, they don't want to deal with

434
00:29:42,320 --> 00:29:44,560
Speaker 2: the data, they don't want to deal rationally. They want

435
00:29:44,560 --> 00:29:47,960
Speaker 2: to deal emotions. So show them a photograph of a

436
00:29:47,960 --> 00:29:51,000
Speaker 2: bear thinking a shrinking ice bow. Remember that one the

437
00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:53,440
Speaker 2: polar bears all out by himself, trap.

438
00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:55,040
Speaker 3: On, I'm gonna die nowhere to go.

439
00:29:57,920 --> 00:30:03,880
Speaker 2: Tell them it's dying because of their SUV. And suddenly

440
00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:07,560
Speaker 2: they're going to worry about Oh, I don't want my

441
00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:10,479
Speaker 2: kids to know this. And suddenly they're willing to consider

442
00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:15,000
Speaker 2: policies that otherwise they would reject out of hand. If

443
00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:17,280
Speaker 2: you told them, hey, listen to save the spolar bear,

444
00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:20,320
Speaker 2: if you could, if you could draw a causal link

445
00:30:20,800 --> 00:30:25,200
Speaker 2: between saving the polar bear, which interesting is happening naturally,

446
00:30:26,560 --> 00:30:30,320
Speaker 2: and increased electrical costs, increase gas costs when you go

447
00:30:30,360 --> 00:30:33,200
Speaker 2: to Sam's or Costco or someplace, and you could say, oh,

448
00:30:33,240 --> 00:30:35,080
Speaker 2: this is going to cost you X number of dollars

449
00:30:35,120 --> 00:30:37,480
Speaker 2: per year to save the spolar bears, that you can

450
00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:41,360
Speaker 2: do that and contribute to greenpeace. Most people would reject

451
00:30:41,360 --> 00:30:44,720
Speaker 2: it out of hand. The problem is that the bears

452
00:30:44,720 --> 00:30:48,920
Speaker 2: aren't cropering, they're not cooperating with the narrative, they're not dying.

453
00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:51,840
Speaker 2: They're not starving, they're not declining, they're thriving. So the

454
00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:55,040
Speaker 2: people that built a political movement on the fiction of

455
00:30:55,080 --> 00:30:58,080
Speaker 2: their demise are now left with a choice either acknowledged

456
00:30:58,080 --> 00:31:01,440
Speaker 2: that we were wrong and suffer the credit consequences, or

457
00:31:01,600 --> 00:31:05,479
Speaker 2: just don't talk about polar bears and then hope that

458
00:31:05,560 --> 00:31:09,080
Speaker 2: nobody notices that the central figure in the church of

459
00:31:09,120 --> 00:31:16,440
Speaker 2: the climate activists is alive well, getting fatter off walruses. Oh,

460
00:31:16,520 --> 00:31:19,760
Speaker 2: that might be the next thing chilled. The polar bear

461
00:31:20,880 --> 00:31:24,840
Speaker 2: running down, attacking a walrus, chewing its head off, eating

462
00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:28,160
Speaker 2: its guts out. Yeah, let me get really descriptive here,

463
00:31:28,360 --> 00:31:30,400
Speaker 2: and now you might have a new problem. But you

464
00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:33,120
Speaker 2: gotta get rid of the polar bears. But when the

465
00:31:33,120 --> 00:31:36,400
Speaker 2: people cannot ask, when you ask them why the bears

466
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:40,320
Speaker 2: are getting fatter as the ice is retreating, and when

467
00:31:40,360 --> 00:31:44,000
Speaker 2: they cannot answer, or when they shift the argument to

468
00:31:44,040 --> 00:31:47,040
Speaker 2: some other emotional appeal, remind them, you know what, we've

469
00:31:47,040 --> 00:31:50,360
Speaker 2: seen this movie over and over again. They keep making

470
00:31:50,400 --> 00:31:53,320
Speaker 2: remakes of it. They told us the polar bears would

471
00:31:53,320 --> 00:31:56,600
Speaker 2: be gone by now, and they destroyed In the course

472
00:31:56,640 --> 00:31:58,760
Speaker 2: of doing that, they destroyed their careers of scientists who

473
00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:05,840
Speaker 2: said otherwise, and they were spectacularly, empirically undeniably wrong. If

474
00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:08,240
Speaker 2: they were that wrong about the mascot in the Church

475
00:32:08,240 --> 00:32:10,400
Speaker 2: of the Climate Activist, what else are they wrong about?

476
00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:17,320
Speaker 2: And why should we let them dictate? Why should we

477
00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:21,640
Speaker 2: let them dictate anything else to us about public policy.

478
00:32:22,680 --> 00:32:26,120
Speaker 2: I don't think those are unfair questions. I think they're

479
00:32:26,120 --> 00:32:30,200
Speaker 2: the questions that matter. I would really encourage you to

480
00:32:30,280 --> 00:32:33,360
Speaker 2: go talk to your children. Maybe they've grown since the

481
00:32:33,400 --> 00:32:37,320
Speaker 2: polar bears really started. Ask them about that. Ask them

482
00:32:37,360 --> 00:32:41,920
Speaker 2: about the walruses jumping off the cliff. Is that because

483
00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:45,040
Speaker 2: the climate change? Ask them if they know anything about

484
00:32:45,040 --> 00:32:48,360
Speaker 2: what I've just described. And when they tell you, oh,

485
00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:50,880
Speaker 2: well that mom, you need to quit driving your suv,

486
00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:53,640
Speaker 2: we need to turn thermostat down, we need to put

487
00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:57,360
Speaker 2: on solar panels. Just play this form and see how

488
00:32:57,360 --> 00:32:57,920
Speaker 2: they react,