WEBVTT - Daniel Davis Deep Dive

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<v Speaker 1>It's 829 at 55 KRC, the talk station. I always

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<v Speaker 1>look forward to this time of week. It's time for

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<v Speaker 1>the alliterative of Daniel Davis Deep Dive, which podcast you

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<v Speaker 1>can find wherever you find your podcasts. Daniel Davis Deep Dive,

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<v Speaker 1>retired Lieutenant Colonel Daniel Davis, giving us his assessment of

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<v Speaker 1>things military. Welcome back, my friend. It is always a

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<v Speaker 1>real pleasure having you on the 55 KRC Morning Show.

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<v Speaker 2>Always a delight to be here, Brian. Good to see you.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, and we just dropped a bomb or two on

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<v Speaker 1>Kesham Island. We'll get to that in a minute, talk

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<v Speaker 1>about what's going on with the Iranian situation. I just

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<v Speaker 1>want to bounce something off your head. Because a very,

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<v Speaker 1>shall we say, someone who doesn't pay very close attention

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<v Speaker 1>to politics, a dear, beloved friend of mine, called the

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<v Speaker 1>other day, wanted to know about this concern that's spreading

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<v Speaker 1>around the globe. We had, of course, America's military kicking

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<v Speaker 1>off this new program to ensure that they can maintain

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<v Speaker 1>the military bases for 90 days completely off the grid.

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<v Speaker 1>So they generate their own power. They've got all enough

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<v Speaker 1>to keep the base going for 90 days.

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<v Speaker 2>You had the U.K.

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<v Speaker 1>Come out with this 1,000-day plan telling the United Kingdom

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<v Speaker 1>citizens to start preparing, you know, lay in some supplies, blah, blah, blah.

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<v Speaker 1>Our own government's been telling this for years, at least

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<v Speaker 1>three days' worth of food and provisions to keep you

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<v Speaker 1>even in a no-grid situation. Is there something specific that's

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<v Speaker 1>going on out in the world? Because Glenn Beck put

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<v Speaker 1>all these dots together, and I had done it a

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<v Speaker 1>couple days prior to him with the U.K. and our

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<v Speaker 1>military decision. But the idea of preparing and telling, and,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, there's other European Union countries doing the same thing.

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<v Speaker 1>Is there a specific threat they're concerned about, or is

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<v Speaker 1>this just generally, well, the grid could easily get shut

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<v Speaker 1>down by some nefarious actor. That's going to be a problem.

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<v Speaker 1>We've got Iran, them saying that, you know, Katie barred

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<v Speaker 1>the door. Nothing's barred. Anything that's American interest can be targeted.

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<v Speaker 1>Are we worried about Iranians domestically? Do you have any

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<v Speaker 1>response to that, Dan? Do you have any inside information

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<v Speaker 1>about what the concern is, or is this just a

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<v Speaker 1>legitimate coincidence that these warnings came out?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, I don't know how much of a coincidence it is.

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<v Speaker 2>I think that a good portion of this, my assessment

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<v Speaker 2>is that this is the social media effect and that

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<v Speaker 2>when somebody starts something in one place, they start reporting

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<v Speaker 2>it and then you have the Glenn Becks putting together

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<v Speaker 2>dots or at least claiming to, and all of a

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<v Speaker 2>sudden now everybody's, oh my God, and then now everybody's going,

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<v Speaker 2>I've been inundated with phone calls from all kinds of

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<v Speaker 2>friends asking this exact same question. I think that a

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<v Speaker 2>good bit of this started When you look at the timing,

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<v Speaker 2>when the announcement came that the U.S. said, hey, we

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<v Speaker 2>want to have a 90-day self-sufficiency for all of our

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<v Speaker 2>domestic military bases. And there's hundreds of these things, by

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<v Speaker 2>the way. And people said, oh, something's coming. Something's about

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<v Speaker 2>to happen. I know that they're supposed to go to

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<v Speaker 2>fight in maybe Iran after the midterms. We better get ready. Well,

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<v Speaker 2>the thing is, it will take between five and seven

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<v Speaker 2>years to bring just the top 100 U.S. bases into

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<v Speaker 2>conformity with that standard. So nothing's going to happen anytime soon.

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<v Speaker 2>And then you had the UK actually months ago, not

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<v Speaker 2>even coordinated with this, but months before that, it's been

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<v Speaker 2>telling them, oh, you've got to stock up. And I

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<v Speaker 2>think that's part of the European attempt to try to

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<v Speaker 2>scare their population and to think, oh, my God, we're

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<v Speaker 2>going to have war, not with Iran, but with Russia.

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<v Speaker 2>They're coming to get us, and so you have to

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<v Speaker 2>get ready or whatever. And then I think this thing

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<v Speaker 2>starts feeding on itself. If anything happens, three days of

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<v Speaker 2>food and water or whatever is going to do absolutely nothing,

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<v Speaker 2>And God help us if it's actually the elite trying

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<v Speaker 2>to scare us all into saying, hey, something is coming,

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<v Speaker 2>so you might as well get ready. But I just

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<v Speaker 2>don't see it so far. I don't see any evidence

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<v Speaker 2>that there's a threat to the U.S. homeland. Because right now,

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<v Speaker 2>I'll tell you, when I first heard that comment about

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<v Speaker 2>the U.S., I'm like, there's only two countries on this

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<v Speaker 2>planet that can threaten our domestic bases, and that is

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<v Speaker 2>missile strikes from Russia or from China. That's the only

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<v Speaker 2>countries that have the capacity to do that. So right now,

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<v Speaker 2>I think that Well, you can never eliminate the possibility

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<v Speaker 2>of a terrorist strike or even a cyber attack or

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<v Speaker 2>something like that anywhere in the United States at any time.

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<v Speaker 2>In terms of getting the military ready, that's only for

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<v Speaker 2>either an external strike against one of those two countries

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<v Speaker 2>or somebody thinks maybe something's going to happen inside here,

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<v Speaker 2>and I want to make sure our bases are protected

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<v Speaker 2>if there's any kind of civil strife to keep the

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<v Speaker 2>military bases up and operational. But that, again, that's five

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<v Speaker 2>to seven years down the road, and about 150 billion

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<v Speaker 2>dollars minimum necessary to facilitate and fund all that and

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<v Speaker 2>all that kind of stuff so i don't think anything

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<v Speaker 2>near term from what i can.

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<v Speaker 1>See okay i i that's why i knew you provide

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<v Speaker 1>a thoughtful analysis on this and this is not me

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<v Speaker 1>saying you shouldn't have some food and water laid in

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<v Speaker 1>to be prepared because it hits the fan we had

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<v Speaker 1>a windstorm come through here's a remnant of the hurricane

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<v Speaker 1>power was up for a lot of neighborhoods for 10

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<v Speaker 1>days or more okay so that's something you might want

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<v Speaker 1>to be prepared for so under all circumstances it's a

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<v Speaker 1>good idea but The timing, again, and of course, you're right.

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<v Speaker 1>The Internet is alive and well and will push anything

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<v Speaker 1>as a theory to get people concerned and ginned up.

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<v Speaker 1>So cool heads hopefully will prevail. And what of, since

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<v Speaker 1>you mentioned the European Union, maybe trying to gin up

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<v Speaker 1>its citizens over concern Russia is going to invade. Going

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<v Speaker 1>back to this, we've talked time and time again about this.

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<v Speaker 1>What could Russia possibly accomplish? And I just keep looking

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<v Speaker 1>at something I've said to you a multitude of times.

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<v Speaker 1>Five years into this invasion of Ukraine, and we're kind

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<v Speaker 1>of like just in a tit-for-tat kind of bombing thing.

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<v Speaker 1>I know Ukraine is struggling mightily, but if Russia can't

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<v Speaker 1>accomplish the goal of taking over Ukraine, and it's taken

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<v Speaker 1>them four or five years to even make the inroads

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<v Speaker 1>that they've made, how in God's name can they attack

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<v Speaker 1>the entire European Union?

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<v Speaker 2>100% right. That is so important. And the Russians have

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<v Speaker 2>been very clear and overt. They have largely done what

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<v Speaker 2>they have said, and they have gone after what they

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<v Speaker 2>claimed was important to them, and they have not gone

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<v Speaker 2>after things that they don't want. They don't even want

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<v Speaker 2>the western part of Ukraine, because they realized that to

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<v Speaker 2>conquer the western part of Ukraine militarily, even if they could,

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<v Speaker 2>would be setting themselves up for an extended period of

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<v Speaker 2>years of insurgency kind of thing, etc., They have no

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<v Speaker 2>need for that. And you can just, times 10, the

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<v Speaker 2>idea of going into another country, into NATO, not only

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<v Speaker 2>would they then draw all 32 NATO countries into a

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<v Speaker 2>war with them, then they would put everybody on the

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<v Speaker 2>target list They don't want it. What benefit would they have?

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<v Speaker 2>Russia already has the most natural resources on the continent.

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<v Speaker 2>They've got everything that they need for their security. They

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<v Speaker 2>want border security. They don't want to expand their border.

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<v Speaker 2>It would literally be a drain and a drag on

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<v Speaker 2>their country that they have no interest in doing. And

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<v Speaker 2>as you pointed out, the capacity on the ground, in

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<v Speaker 2>five years almost, they still haven't taken all of Donbass itself,

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<v Speaker 2>much less anything else. They've moved a bunch of other

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<v Speaker 2>stuff and they've caused problems. profound amounts of damage throughout

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<v Speaker 2>the country of Ukraine, all the way to the western

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<v Speaker 2>border in the air, but that's in order to facilitate

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<v Speaker 2>a collapse of the Ukraine army so that they can

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<v Speaker 2>win the Donbass part that they want. Everything is focused

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<v Speaker 2>on what they're telling you they're going after, and they're

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<v Speaker 2>going after it. But this idea that they're coming for

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<v Speaker 2>Europe is absurd. Now, the only risk there, and there

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<v Speaker 2>is a risk, is that you have the likes of

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<v Speaker 2>Britain or France or Germany, especially those three in particular,

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<v Speaker 2>Keep on helping Ukraine strike deep and add the United

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<v Speaker 2>States into that because we've done it here recently with intelligence.

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<v Speaker 2>strike and hitting targets of pain in Russia, and there

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<v Speaker 2>could come a point to where Russia says, okay, you

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<v Speaker 2>guys are basically directly involved in this, and I'm now

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<v Speaker 2>going to strike the facilities where you're facilitating these kinds

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<v Speaker 2>of strikes. That is possible, and that's a legitimate fear,

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<v Speaker 2>but that would only become because we press beyond limits

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<v Speaker 2>and we go somewhere that, by the way, has no

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<v Speaker 2>value or benefit to us. We don't benefit from any

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<v Speaker 2>of these strikes. It's not going to save Ukraine. All

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<v Speaker 2>it might do is spawn a missile coming back in

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<v Speaker 2>our direction. I don't know why they're playing with fire

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<v Speaker 2>like this. I don't either.

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<v Speaker 1>And I guess I have to continue with this sort

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<v Speaker 1>of topic is what benefit do the European leaders get

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<v Speaker 1>from ginning up concern of a Russia invading the continent anyway?

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, there's the financial benefit because, you know, you've

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<v Speaker 2>had this just European mentality going back. I mean, you

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<v Speaker 2>can really go back even longer than that. This anti-Russian mentality.

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<v Speaker 2>It was all during the Cold War. And then we

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<v Speaker 2>were mad because we lost our enemy after the end

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<v Speaker 2>of the Cold War. Well, we had to have one.

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<v Speaker 2>So what a great one than Russia. Obviously, you have Napoleon.

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<v Speaker 2>In the 1800s, you have Hitler. In the 1900s, so

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<v Speaker 2>there's a long history of Europeans wanting to conquer Russia,

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<v Speaker 2>and now here's this current iteration. That's certainly how the

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<v Speaker 2>Russians see it. That's why, to them, this is an

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<v Speaker 2>existential threat and not just something on their border. They

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<v Speaker 2>view this as the third iteration of Europe trying to

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<v Speaker 2>dominate their country. That's how they see it, and that's

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<v Speaker 2>how they're reacting.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, and I don't know that the Russians have much

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<v Speaker 1>to worry about, considering the Europeans are collapsing under the

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<v Speaker 1>weight of their own social welfare program and systems. And

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<v Speaker 1>people are riding in the streets over that. I don't

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<v Speaker 1>know that they have any money to spare or can

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<v Speaker 1>possibly fund a war to the extent they want to

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<v Speaker 1>go down that road.

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<v Speaker 2>They'll always find money for more war. They'll make their

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<v Speaker 2>people sacrifice even more before they'll do that.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, I'll concede that, Daniel Davis. Moving over, I guess

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<v Speaker 1>we launch what we are characterizing as a defensive strike

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<v Speaker 1>on Kesham Island, the Strait of Hormuz. This because we

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<v Speaker 1>were told that the Iranians attacked a United States aircraft

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<v Speaker 1>So tit for tat, why Kashim Island? What militarily is there?

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<v Speaker 1>Why that target versus any other? If we're just going

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<v Speaker 1>to go ahead and drop a bomb in retaliation for

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<v Speaker 1>them launching a missile, what effect this particular attack?

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<v Speaker 2>According to what we've been told, this is just the

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<v Speaker 2>latest in a series of strikes that have happened recently.

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<v Speaker 2>They've been kind of below the media radar. Yeah, yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>I'll concede that it's possible that exactly what we were

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<v Speaker 2>told is true, that Iran tried to attack an F-35,

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<v Speaker 2>because they've done that before, so that wouldn't be completely

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<v Speaker 2>out of character. But I'd rather think that when you

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<v Speaker 2>look at the array and things that are hit, it

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<v Speaker 2>looks more to me like the U.S. is going, I'm

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<v Speaker 2>going to go after radar sites and other areas of

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<v Speaker 2>early warning. because we maybe wanted to come in with

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<v Speaker 2>another big wave of things so the idea is you

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<v Speaker 2>want to strip away their eyes in the front part

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<v Speaker 2>there and then when whatever comes next and then we

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<v Speaker 2>kind of did a version of that in the first

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<v Speaker 2>iteration of this back in February March so my military

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<v Speaker 2>eyes here that or see that I think that we're

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<v Speaker 2>getting ready for something bigger coming up here as opposed

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<v Speaker 2>to just, oh, they tried to shoot a random F-35.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know, though. I don't have enough information, but

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<v Speaker 2>that's my concern.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, and Donald Trump just said the other day, right

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<v Speaker 1>after the election, we can start dropping bombs, kind of

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<v Speaker 1>suggesting that it would only be the election that would

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<v Speaker 1>hold him from or keep him from reengaging in kinetic strikes.

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<v Speaker 1>But going back to our regular discussion, What good is

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<v Speaker 1>it going to do if we start dropping bombs? Is

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<v Speaker 1>there a strategy behind this that overcomes all the challenges

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<v Speaker 1>that you brought up every single time you've been talking

0:10:50.780 --> 0:10:51.810
<v Speaker 1>about this on the morning show?

0:10:52.790 --> 0:10:56.349
<v Speaker 2>You know, yesterday, Jack Keane went on Fox News and

0:10:56.410 --> 0:10:58.650
<v Speaker 2>he addressed that question at least and said, oh, well,

0:10:58.670 --> 0:11:01.910
<v Speaker 2>you know, because we've had more intelligence now over, you know,

0:11:01.950 --> 0:11:05.089
<v Speaker 2>since the June when we had the basic ceasefire in place.

0:11:05.730 --> 0:11:08.110
<v Speaker 2>Now we have a lot more intelligence, and so we

0:11:08.130 --> 0:11:10.670
<v Speaker 2>can see where things are better. And now we're going

0:11:10.690 --> 0:11:13.150
<v Speaker 2>to hit targets we didn't hit before because of new intelligence.

0:11:13.870 --> 0:11:16.570
<v Speaker 2>I think that's, I'm just going to call it, that's BS.

0:11:17.210 --> 0:11:19.470
<v Speaker 2>It's not like we didn't know these targets existed before,

0:11:19.530 --> 0:11:22.650
<v Speaker 2>and suddenly we just discovered them through persistent stare. No,

0:11:22.740 --> 0:11:24.980
<v Speaker 2>we've already known this, and we've already hit the targets

0:11:25.280 --> 0:11:29.060
<v Speaker 2>after painstaking years of preparation for this. And the targets

0:11:29.100 --> 0:11:32.200
<v Speaker 2>that matter, we didn't destroy the first time, i.e. the

0:11:32.220 --> 0:11:35.640
<v Speaker 2>missile cities under Granite Mountains. And those have not changed any.

0:11:35.900 --> 0:11:38.420
<v Speaker 2>And that target requirement has not changed any. And our

0:11:38.800 --> 0:11:41.430
<v Speaker 2>attack capabilities in terms of what we're going to shoot

0:11:41.809 --> 0:11:44.350
<v Speaker 2>also hasn't changed except for there's less of it. So

0:11:44.650 --> 0:11:46.050
<v Speaker 2>they may have in their mind they're going to hit

0:11:46.070 --> 0:11:48.750
<v Speaker 2>other targets and they may hit other targets that they'll

0:11:48.770 --> 0:11:51.170
<v Speaker 2>blow up whatever we shoot at because they can't stop it.

0:11:51.820 --> 0:11:53.700
<v Speaker 2>But it won't make any difference for the war, and

0:11:53.740 --> 0:11:56.360
<v Speaker 2>it won't stop the one thing they have over all

0:11:56.400 --> 0:11:59.199
<v Speaker 2>of the region, which is those long-range missiles and the

0:11:59.240 --> 0:12:01.700
<v Speaker 2>long-range drones. And if you can't take those out and

0:12:01.740 --> 0:12:04.140
<v Speaker 2>you start a war, then all these threats that Iran

0:12:04.160 --> 0:12:07.350
<v Speaker 2>is making about what they'll hit in return, they also

0:12:07.410 --> 0:12:10.230
<v Speaker 2>will do, and we can't stop that either. So in

0:12:10.270 --> 0:12:14.030
<v Speaker 2>my view, it is absolute just insanity to start something

0:12:14.070 --> 0:12:15.510
<v Speaker 2>that we can't finish on our terms.

0:12:15.790 --> 0:12:17.980
<v Speaker 1>Well, and of course, the Iranians and the Houthis have

0:12:18.000 --> 0:12:21.860
<v Speaker 1>been launching attacks on the surrounding neighbors, Saudis, etc., And

0:12:21.900 --> 0:12:23.660
<v Speaker 1>I've read that our allies in the Middle East are

0:12:23.720 --> 0:12:26.420
<v Speaker 1>already planning for this next wave of assault. So their

0:12:26.490 --> 0:12:30.750
<v Speaker 1>targets as well. And it was just more recently revealed

0:12:31.170 --> 0:12:34.309
<v Speaker 1>the extensive damage done to our military bases. I mean,

0:12:34.410 --> 0:12:37.489
<v Speaker 1>billions of dollars. And that was really way, way, way

0:12:37.530 --> 0:12:39.770
<v Speaker 1>under the radar. I mean, that wasn't a regularly reported thing.

0:12:39.809 --> 0:12:42.839
<v Speaker 1>So we've got major challenges on our hand. And I

0:12:42.860 --> 0:12:44.820
<v Speaker 1>guess we can expect the price of gasoline to go

0:12:44.860 --> 0:12:47.599
<v Speaker 1>through the roof even more so if we start bombing again, Daniel.

0:12:48.480 --> 0:12:53.800
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and diesel in particular. But, yeah, because here's the problem.

0:12:54.020 --> 0:12:56.059
<v Speaker 2>When we started this first one, we had this massive

0:12:56.100 --> 0:12:59.350
<v Speaker 2>amount of strategic petroleum reserves and other things. We had

0:12:59.390 --> 0:13:02.090
<v Speaker 2>lots of cushion. The cushion is gone. If we start

0:13:02.130 --> 0:13:06.069
<v Speaker 2>something again now and the fuel facilities get hit, pumping

0:13:06.090 --> 0:13:09.730
<v Speaker 2>stations get hit, tankers get sunk again, there's no cushion.

0:13:10.030 --> 0:13:11.750
<v Speaker 2>So we're going to be in a lot more trouble

0:13:11.800 --> 0:13:12.359
<v Speaker 2>the next round.

0:13:12.800 --> 0:13:15.290
<v Speaker 1>Daniel Davis, Deep Dive. Find them where you find your podcasts.

0:13:15.309 --> 0:13:17.490
<v Speaker 1>Tune in every Tuesday at 8.30 here on the 55

0:13:17.490 --> 0:13:20.890
<v Speaker 1>KRC Morning Show. I appreciate your thoughts and insights, sir.

0:13:20.929 --> 0:13:22.030
<v Speaker 1>It's a real pleasure to have you on.

0:13:23.020 --> 0:13:24.520
<v Speaker 2>Always my pleasure, Brian. See you next week.

0:13:24.559 --> 0:13:27.260
<v Speaker 1>Take care. 8.42, 55 KRC, the talk station. Don't go away.

0:13:27.280 --> 0:13:29.990
<v Speaker 1>We've got some car tips from Foreign Exchange coming up.

0:13:30.020 --> 0:13:31.570
<v Speaker 1>Get ready for winter. We'll be right back.

0:13:31.590 --> 0:13:33.950
<v Speaker 2>But do you think they know much about El Sayed?