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Speaker 1: Oh, Michael, I have a space alien that's trapped in

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Speaker 1: the attic above my garage, says, the spaceship runs on

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Speaker 1: good tequila, naturally up out of you smart. If you

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Speaker 1: could grab a case of good tequila, seal a shopping

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Speaker 1: cart and roll it on over, we'll get him on

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Speaker 1: his way and then we'll have pancakes.

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Speaker 2: It's a shopping buggy.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you know that. That'd be kind of an interesting

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Speaker 3: video of me. Just like over by our house there's

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Speaker 3: a King Supers and there's a liquor store right next

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Speaker 3: to it, and I could take I could take a

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Speaker 3: shopping cart buggy, a buggy, roll it into the liquor store.

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Speaker 3: Just pilot is as high as I can, you know,

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Speaker 3: put the little you know seat for the for the

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Speaker 3: kiddos to sit in. Push that out so you can

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Speaker 3: lay some bottles there, and then fill the body of

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Speaker 3: the buggy the grocery cart. Put bottles stacking as high

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Speaker 3: as you can, you say, I'm falling off, and then

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Speaker 3: just walk out the liquor store and you know, just

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Speaker 3: kind of push it up up heel at the parking

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Speaker 3: lots kind of low worse, So I got to really

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Speaker 3: strain and push it uphill and then wait for the

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Speaker 3: light to turn across the sidewalk, and then I kind

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Speaker 3: of go down you know, Highlands Ranch Parkway and then

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Speaker 3: kind of make it around to my neighborhood and somebody

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Speaker 3: could just videotape me. Of course, you know, does this

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Speaker 3: county deputy sheriff for you know, eventually come along and

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Speaker 3: ask me what I'm doing. And I'm saying, well, a

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Speaker 3: goober wanted some good tequila, and I just I don't

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Speaker 3: I looked at the good.

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Speaker 2: Stuff for an aliens spaceship. Yeah, yeah, goober needed this

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Speaker 2: for his aliens spaceship.

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Speaker 3: And I know maybe one or two deputy shares might

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Speaker 3: and so maybe the right one would come along and

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Speaker 3: be the one who would say, oh, I remember that,

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Speaker 3: yes here, let me turn my lights and siren and

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Speaker 3: I'll give you an escort. Now he would he wouldn't

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Speaker 3: offer to like put it in his in his you

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Speaker 3: know suv to take it to the house. He'd just like,

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Speaker 3: you know, like two miles an hour, hold me along

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Speaker 3: as I you know, pushed the car the tequila to

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Speaker 3: the house.

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Speaker 2: You know, damn well, they're only going to ask how

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Speaker 2: many bottles are open?

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Speaker 3: Is it illegal? To carry an open container in a

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Speaker 3: shopping cart. I don't, I see, I don't. Is that

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Speaker 3: is that really driving?

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Speaker 4: No?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, but you're not really supposed to have open containers

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Speaker 2: outside anyway, right, because isn't that kind of a thing.

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Speaker 2: You can't take it, you can't take it. You can't

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Speaker 2: take a drink that you buy from a bar outside.

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Speaker 3: No, there's a there's simply they're going to have to

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Speaker 3: start that.

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Speaker 2: But it's still I'm sure in Highlands Ranch, I'm sure

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Speaker 2: you walking around with an open container probably get you know,

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Speaker 2: look that sideways a little bit and get called upon.

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Speaker 3: What all all the liberal white suburban women are going

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Speaker 3: to look at me and go look at that handsome

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Speaker 3: fellow with a drink in his hand. Handsome uh. Dragon

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Speaker 3: just told me that A and I do consider him

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Speaker 3: a friend. We followed each other on X and we

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Speaker 3: had we went back and forth text messaging. Some Scott Adams,

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Speaker 3: the author of Gilbert, passed away overnight three thirty years

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Speaker 3: or so, as the one of the greats in the

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Speaker 3: cartoon world. I'm telling you between for me anyway, Dilbert,

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Speaker 3: Calvin and Hobbes, which I still read Delbert online, which

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Speaker 3: I still still do, and the fire Side absolutely some

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Speaker 3: of my favorites. And I won't dispose anything that Scott

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Speaker 3: and I had conversations about. But every once in a while,

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Speaker 3: either over text, I mean like my phone text or

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Speaker 3: through X, he'd asked me about is it really is

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Speaker 3: it really possible that you know, the White House might

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Speaker 3: be doing this or that? And I'd say, well, you know,

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Speaker 3: basically my experience, blah blah blah, this this could be true,

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Speaker 3: you know, and then I'd hear him talking about it

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Speaker 3: at one of his little coffee things the next day.

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Speaker 3: I didn't watch him religiously, but I did watch one

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Speaker 3: by accident last week, in which as they closed, somebody

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Speaker 3: in the audience said, don't hang up yet. Some of

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Speaker 3: us want to say something. Several people came on and

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Speaker 3: you know, wished him well because he did. He looked

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Speaker 3: really tired and looked really bad and you know, we

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Speaker 3: hope see you next week. And his response was something

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Speaker 3: to the effect, now, I just don't know. I hope

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Speaker 3: I am, but you never know. So Scott Adams, rest

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Speaker 3: in peace, and know that here's one guy that was

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Speaker 3: honored that you followed me on X and that you

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Speaker 3: sometimes ask me for information and advice about stuff that

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Speaker 3: you were really curious about, because you were always if

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Speaker 3: nothing else, you're always funny, but you're always curious about

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Speaker 3: how things really work. And I certainly appreciated that Trump

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Speaker 3: has warned Tehran against unleashing widespread violence against all the protesters.

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Speaker 3: He has explicitly, in my opinion, linked the regime's behavior

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Speaker 3: to a potential for US military action. And I have

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Speaker 3: pounded my head really wondering what that means. On January nine,

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Speaker 3: four days ago. Now, he said this, if they start

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Speaker 3: killing people as they have in the past, we'll get involved.

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Speaker 3: He went on to say that Washington stands ready to

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Speaker 3: help the protesters that are fighting for freedom. Iran International

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Speaker 3: is now reporting that some two thousand people have been killed.

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Speaker 3: That's as of yesterday. I don't know as of this morning,

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Speaker 3: but what the reports are, so what's Trum going to do?

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Speaker 3: I don't know. I just want to speculate here a

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Speaker 3: little bit. I want us to think through what really

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Speaker 3: could or could not be possible. Now, of course, the

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Speaker 3: cabal reports, and of course they want you to think

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Speaker 3: that Trump's advisors have formulated, you know, specific airstrike options.

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Speaker 3: Well maybe they have, but As of right now, he's

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Speaker 3: not made any final decision that I've found in the

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Speaker 3: Wall Street Journal and the New York Times both indicate

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Speaker 3: that those kind of contingency plans are under discussion, but

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Speaker 3: that the military is requesting more time to really consider

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Speaker 3: its planning.

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Speaker 4: Michael, it's really easy to understand the difference between Iran

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Speaker 4: possess and the Palestinian protest nor Life doesn't know how

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Speaker 4: not to be angry. They could do anger wonderfully. What

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Speaker 4: they can't do is love and support.

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Speaker 3: True, very true, back to the Uranian situation. So the

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Speaker 3: question in my head is this, if the United States

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Speaker 3: or US and any of our allies decide to intervene

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Speaker 3: with air strikes, how can you do that effectively and

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Speaker 3: quickly and not be drawn into a larger conflagration. Now,

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Speaker 3: we don't currently have a carrier strike group in the

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Speaker 3: Persian Gulf. I could go off forty different tangents on

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Speaker 3: that alone. That is a great example of how we

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Speaker 3: have absolutely eviscerated our naval capacity, and we've really got

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Speaker 3: to build that back up. China's building ships like they're

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Speaker 3: building coal fire power plants. They're just they're just squirting

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Speaker 3: them out like bunny rabbits just boom boom, boom boom

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Speaker 3: all the time. And here we are because of what

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Speaker 3: we did in Venezuela, and now we don't have a

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Speaker 3: strike group in the Persian Gulf. It's a huge gap.

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Speaker 3: None of our eleven aircraft carriers are currently located in

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Speaker 3: the Middle East. Now one has been redirected to the Caribbean.

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Speaker 3: That's for the operations in Venezuela. Some our focused as

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Speaker 3: they should be on the Asia Pacific, and others are

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Speaker 3: undergoing maintenance. Didn't I tell you we're short chips or

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Speaker 3: short ships. Now, if Trump were to order significant strikes

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Speaker 3: on Iran, depending on we're gonna have to have time

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Speaker 3: to redeploy the assets we should never I mean not

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Speaker 3: that we shouldn't ever need to redeploy assets, but this,

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Speaker 3: I think is a huge gap. And I think this

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Speaker 3: whole reorganizing the world order shows that, Yeah, we got

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Speaker 3: to be very, very surgical in how we approach these things.

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Speaker 3: But even in an ideal scenario, it seems to me

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Speaker 3: it would take days or weeks. Not some of you

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Speaker 3: military experts can disagree with this, but it seems to

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Speaker 3: me it would take us days or weeks for a

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Speaker 3: carrier battlegroup to sail to the Gulf and be prepared

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Speaker 3: for action. All at the same time. Top military officials

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Speaker 3: are have some reporting indicates that they've requested exactly that

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Speaker 3: lead time so they can build up forces and they

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Speaker 3: can plan an effective operation. So that results in a

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Speaker 3: critical timing grapt gap because every single day that we

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Speaker 3: delay doing something, or every single day of just us,

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Speaker 3: you know, blustering them, We're going to do something that

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Speaker 3: allows the Iranian Revolutionary Guard and the Baiji Militant militia,

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Speaker 3: that allows them time to intensify their brutal crack down

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Speaker 3: all these unarmed protesters. You don't think the Second Amendment

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Speaker 3: is important important, And the longer that takes, the risk

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Speaker 3: the protests being put down by force before we can

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Speaker 3: get our act together increases dramatically. So could we strike

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Speaker 3: without waiting for an aircraft carrier? I think maybe yes.

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Speaker 3: We maintain extensive air bases in the region. All you

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Speaker 3: need air base and cutter. We got units in Iraq, Turkey,

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Speaker 3: other locations. A significant number of fighter jets, drones, even

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Speaker 3: some strategic bombers are permanently stationed around the Middle East.

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Speaker 3: Now there have been unconfirmed reports that we have quietly

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Speaker 3: moved additional aircraft into those bases as a precaution. But

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Speaker 3: what about some of our allies, in particular the Israelis,

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Speaker 3: who have a clear vested interest for that matter, not

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Speaker 3: that they would do anything directly, but the Emirates and

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Speaker 3: the Saudis, they all have a vested the Kiwaitis, they

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Speaker 3: all have a vested interest in in regime change in Iran. Also, now,

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Speaker 3: the U Israeli Air Force obviously highly capable. They've already

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Speaker 3: inflicted damage on the Uranian military during the summer of

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Speaker 3: twenty twenty five. But it would be amazingly risky politically

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Speaker 3: for Israel to take the lead and suppressing the unrest

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Speaker 3: inside the country. Such an intervention by Jerusalem could strengthen

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Speaker 3: the regime's narrative that these protests are just foreign Zionist

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Speaker 3: conspiracies being fed by you know, the Great Satan, the

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Speaker 3: United States and that horrible Jewish state, you know, Israel,

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Speaker 3: and doing so could potentially rally some nationalist support for

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Speaker 3: the Ayatolas that are really beliegers at this point, probably

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Speaker 3: closer to collapse, and I've ever seen them, at least

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Speaker 3: in my lifetime since nineteen seventy nine, Mike, I think

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Speaker 3: we should congratulate the city.

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Speaker 2: Council and our governor and all officials here in Denver

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Speaker 2: because now they're shutting down on I seventy because of shootings.

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Speaker 3: So that's pretty awesome. Denver has really come far. Good job,

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Speaker 3: and Denver's really spreading its right wings far too. Was

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Speaker 3: I correct? When that story first broke this morning, they

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Speaker 3: were looking for a neck of the guy ally seventy somewhere.

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Speaker 2: The information was very spotty at best to begin with,

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Speaker 2: because they don't know who the guy is, what he

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Speaker 2: looks like, or what he was wearing last ever called.

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Speaker 3: So it's just very were they here? Here are the questions?

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Speaker 3: Like I wish I could just when they're in the

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Speaker 3: newsroom and I'm doing that, I wish I could just

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Speaker 3: ask them questions like, so are they going? Are they

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Speaker 3: searching car by car? Why would you shut down an

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Speaker 3: entire major interstate like that looking for one guy? And

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Speaker 3: I understand he's a murder suspect. He's still on the

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Speaker 3: loop and I went and caught too. But we don't

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Speaker 3: shut down so somebody murders somebody over in Capitol Hill.

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Speaker 3: We don't shut down the entire city while we looked

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Speaker 3: for one guy. Why not, Michael, Well, you know maybe

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Speaker 3: we should right then, Well, you know, I just left

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Speaker 3: to come to work because we're because we're essential, right

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Speaker 3: of course essential, So it's left to come to work.

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Speaker 3: It just everything's everything seems to be an overreaction. And

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Speaker 3: I'm not trying to be dismissive of a murder charge

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Speaker 3: or a murder suspect, but you shut down the major

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Speaker 3: thoroughfare between the East and west coast, at least do

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Speaker 3: at least in this part of the country looking for

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Speaker 3: one guy? You going, you going vehicle to vehicle? Well

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Speaker 3: how many peoples that take to do that? And I,

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Speaker 3: you know, yeah, I won't say that. I won't say

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Speaker 3: anything about it. I just wait until is freeze his

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Speaker 3: as to death tonight and the cold up in the mountains,

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Speaker 3: so they'll take care of itself. I talk about this

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Speaker 3: Iranian situation because it you're gonna hear so much about it,

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Speaker 3: and as the Cabal is more likely than not to do,

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Speaker 3: they will nitpick every single thing that Trump says. Whether

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Speaker 3: he's trolling the the Moles and the Ayatolas or not,

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Speaker 3: doesn't make any difference. Whether he is just setting himself

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Speaker 3: up in his negotiation position doesn't make any difference. The

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Speaker 3: cabal will pick it apart, you know, ad nauseum. Yet,

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Speaker 3: on the other hand, the opportunity to rid that country,

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Speaker 3: which you know, prior to nineteen seventy nine was an

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Speaker 3: amazing even even though it had a monarchy, was an

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Speaker 3: amazing pro Western country that provided some stability in the

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Speaker 3: Middle East until well even before nineteen seventy nine, before

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Speaker 3: we decided to depose a leader and put in a

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Speaker 3: pro Western government, which over time is a destabilization destabilizing effect.

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Speaker 3: Now we have an opportunity to correct our mistakes. And

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Speaker 3: as somebody said on the text line, I don't necessarily

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Speaker 3: believe that the Shaw's son is the right person to

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Speaker 3: come in and build a coalition. I heard him being asked,

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Speaker 3: I think this was yesterday, being asked by one of

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Speaker 3: the Fox News hosts whether or not he thought he

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Speaker 3: was a good transitional figure and how long would the

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Speaker 3: transition take. And I thought, well, it's an excellent question,

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Speaker 3: because of course he already sees himself as a transitional figure,

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Speaker 3: and that the really the bigger question is does he

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Speaker 3: see himself as a successor to his father, which is

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Speaker 3: not necessarily what the Iranian people may want because post

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Speaker 3: nineteen seventy nine, they see the changes occurring in all

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Speaker 3: these other Middle Eastern countries, and because of the Internet,

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Speaker 3: they see what Western civilization is like, and they may

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Speaker 3: not want him monarchy and he has And the son

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Speaker 3: is the you know, Rozzie or Robbie whatever his name is,

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Speaker 3: has not been there for what forty some years? So

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Speaker 3: what does he really know about the country. I mean,

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Speaker 3: with all due respect, you know, I don't know how

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Speaker 3: old he is today, but he wasn't that old winning

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Speaker 3: you know, when his father was deposed. So I just

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Speaker 3: want you to think about all of these different ramifications

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Speaker 3: as you hear these stories from either maybe some other

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Speaker 3: talk show hosts, we'll talk about it. I don't know,

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Speaker 3: I don't care, but I do know that the kebal

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Speaker 3: will talk about it. So let's go back to the Israelis.

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Speaker 3: I do believe that any doubt that Israeli cooperation and

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Speaker 3: intelligence sharing with US is absolutely certain because Israel is

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Speaker 3: clearly going to watch closely. There's no doubt in my

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Speaker 3: mind that Nataniell has been in contact with Washington, whatever

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Speaker 3: that means. He may be in direct contact with Trump,

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Speaker 3: he may have been in contact with Rubio or Hexath.

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Speaker 3: I don't know, but you know he's had contact. And

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Speaker 3: any air strikes by US or the Israelis in support

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Speaker 3: of the protesters would almost certainly need to appear as

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Speaker 3: a US led or at least an international operation, not

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Speaker 3: an Israeli operation. Now, another option would be the use

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Speaker 3: of long range stealth bombers versus special operations forces to

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Speaker 3: target the high value, high high value height that I

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Speaker 3: can't speak the high value value regime sites. Go back

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Speaker 3: to June during the peak of the Iran Israeli war.

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Speaker 3: Those B two Spirit bombers then took that marathon round

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Speaker 3: trip mission to weaken their fortified fort Ole nuclear facilities,

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Speaker 3: dropping those thirty thousand pounds bunker buster bombs on the

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Speaker 3: underground site. But the challenge now is completely different. Now

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Speaker 3: it's you know that was that was a gigantic macro effort,

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Speaker 3: and now we need a micro effort. We got to

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Speaker 3: carry out very precise attacks against the regime security units.

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Speaker 3: And I think that's where you start. I don't necessarily

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Speaker 3: believe that striking the molas and you know, offing the

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Speaker 3: IATOLA common a is the place to start, he said,

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Speaker 3: I think the IRGC and the militia leadership, that's this

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Speaker 3: place to start. Put them leaderless. Look at hasbalan Hamas.

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Speaker 3: Once you, you know, decapitate the leadership, those who want

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Speaker 3: to defect now feel more freedom to defect. Those who

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Speaker 3: want to see change themselves now feel like they might

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Speaker 3: even be able to join the protests. So just offing

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Speaker 3: the leadership the MOLAS, not the IRGC leadership. Just offing

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Speaker 3: the MOLAS doesn't accomplish that. You don't free up the

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Speaker 3: Red Guard to really go do what they may want

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Speaker 3: to do as individuals. So you've got to carry out

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Speaker 3: really precise attacks against those security units and the leadership compounds.

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Speaker 3: And you've got to do that without causing significant civilian casualties,

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Speaker 3: because if you do, then you've undermined the very aim

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Speaker 3: saving Iranian lives. The Iranian regime is not stupid. They

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Speaker 3: certainly learned from the Twelve Day War. Now remember, don't

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Speaker 3: forget this. The entirety of their air force leadership was

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Speaker 3: killed in one thing, that Israeli strike, So they're unlikely

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Speaker 3: to make this mistake again. So they've likedly learned the

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Speaker 3: regime has learned, leadership has learned to disperse itself, and

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Speaker 3: they're probably deep underground and they're probably very difficult to target.

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Speaker 3: So the B two can also carry up to eighty

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Speaker 3: five hundred pounds Jadam bombs. Now those are really good

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Speaker 3: for precisely striking buildings or military targets in the open,

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Speaker 3: because we saw that in Gaza, but they come with

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Speaker 3: huge collateral damage again as we saw in Gaza. So

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Speaker 3: regards what the delivery platform is, whether it's the B

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Speaker 3: twos or more locally based aircraft, air strikes may not

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Speaker 3: be the most practical model for supporting the protesters in

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Speaker 3: those densely populated areas where the protesters themselves are in

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Speaker 3: the streets, but they are the bet weels, and the

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Speaker 3: locally based aircraft they remain overwhelmingly the best and most

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Speaker 3: effective method for targeting the Iranian regime leadership and those

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Speaker 3: key military locations. And that might I emphasize, might in

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Speaker 3: turn create a deterrent effect, might decapitate the command and

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Speaker 3: control structure, and then punish those using violence to suppress

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Speaker 3: the protests. But none of that, as good as it sounds,

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Speaker 3: none of that is a silver bullet to collapse the regime. Instead,

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Speaker 3: the hope has to be to deter the internal security forces.

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Speaker 3: And when you do that, you create the space for

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Speaker 3: the protesters to overthrow the regime themselves. That's why I

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Speaker 3: have such significant doubts about the Shaw's sun. It's power

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Speaker 3: is a very strong opiate. Power is a very strong drug,

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Speaker 3: and revenge and power combined make him at least I'm

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Speaker 3: reserving judgment. I'm just telling you what I think right now.

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Speaker 3: I think right now he's compromised. He's compromised by he

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Speaker 3: wants to avenge his father's overthrow. He sees the power,

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Speaker 3: he sees the opportunity to really become, you know, a leader.

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Speaker 3: But he's kept too much self interest, way too much

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Speaker 3: self interest. Let's go back to the military options special forces. Now,

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Speaker 3: clearly they offer a more targeted approach. US Special Operations

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Speaker 3: conducted a daring rate in Venezuela. Look look what they

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Speaker 3: were able to do there. Delta Force commandos arrived in

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Speaker 3: Cracus by helicopter. They captured Maduro the wife, They swiftly

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Speaker 3: evacuated them from the country. And that operation was months

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Speaker 3: in planning and of course demonstrated it under very specific conditions.

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Speaker 3: We can, indeed, as a nation target a hostile regime

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Speaker 3: with very minimal collateral damage. So I don't think it's

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Speaker 3: too much of a stretch to imagine a similar attempt

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Speaker 3: to capture, eliminate Iran's leadership, the Iotola Comminade, and the

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Speaker 3: key revolutionary guard generals, and that indeed would stop the

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Speaker 3: repression and give just enough room both physically and in

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Speaker 3: terms of time for the protesters to whatever underground organization

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Speaker 3: they have, for that to come to the top, to

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Speaker 3: the surface, and to begin to flourish. But now let

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Speaker 3: me throw cold water on that. Because Iran is not Venezuela,

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Speaker 3: Tehran presents a far more challenging military target. Tehran is

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Speaker 3: deep inland, the security apparatus is already highly alert, it

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Speaker 3: has substantial loyal forces, and the geography of the Iranian

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Speaker 3: country and their air defenses that creates a lot of

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Speaker 3: difficulties for inserting commandos, as well as the likely of

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Speaker 3: the regime leadership being deep underground. So that currently strikes

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Speaker 3: me as somewhat of an unlikely option. Now, even if

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Speaker 3: a bold raid by air or special forces succeeded in

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Speaker 3: so called cutting off the head of the regime, just

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Speaker 3: Like in Venezuela, what's the next one hundred hours or

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Speaker 3: one hundred days what follows. Iran's power structure currently is

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Speaker 3: dispersed the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the IRGC, and the

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Speaker 3: Baji the militia group. They could continue their brutal actions

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Speaker 3: without direct orders from the very top, And unlike the

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Speaker 3: Venezuelan Army, Iran's ideologically driven security forces, they just might

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Speaker 3: continue fighting. They might be a lot more cohesive than

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Speaker 3: what I believe they are, so leaderless or under a

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Speaker 3: hardliner who survives, they might continue to fight. So a

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Speaker 3: decapitation strike in Iran might not at the bloodshed, but

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Speaker 3: actually it could even cause chaos if multiple factions start

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Speaker 3: competing for control. And I think that's very, very likely

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Speaker 3: because while I'm sure there's no doubt in my mind

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Speaker 3: that with starlink and what little Internet they still do have,

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Speaker 3: there is some remnants of an organization underground. But just

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Speaker 3: as those revolutionary and protest organizations still exists, so is

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Speaker 3: it true with the security forces. So all of that

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Speaker 3: leads to one key problem that is shared with all

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Speaker 3: of these options, and that is the timing the protesters

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Speaker 3: themselves are being met. With bullets as we speak, and

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Speaker 3: so every day that passes, the death rises into the thousands,

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Speaker 3: and as it continues to increase, the risk increases that

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Speaker 3: the uprising boy ended up being crushed in a mass crackdown.

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Speaker 3: So as big and as powerful as we are, with

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Speaker 3: our powerful and precise tools, can't deploy him instantly. I

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Speaker 3: was always fascinated by people who always thought that the

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Speaker 3: government could respond so instantly. Go back to Venezuela, months

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Speaker 3: in the planning, and I know Venezuela is different. That's

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Speaker 3: not the point I'm trying to make. The point I'm

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Speaker 3: trying to make here is that that very precise target,

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Speaker 3: that very precise operation was months in the planning, and

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Speaker 3: now we've got a group and Maduro he was out,

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Speaker 3: you know, screaming, come and get me. He wasn't hiding

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Speaker 3: other than hiding on a military base, but we knew

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Speaker 3: exactly where he was. We had that good of intelligence

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Speaker 3: on the ground. I assume, which is a mistake, that

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Speaker 3: I assume that Massad has really good intelligence about where

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Speaker 3: the Ayatola and the IRGC leaders are. But that still

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Speaker 3: takes planning, months weeks of planning. And then go back

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Speaker 3: to what I said at the beginning. The lack of

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Speaker 3: a carrier in the area and then the need to

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Speaker 3: reposition jets prepare complex missions means that any strong intervention,

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Speaker 3: if approved, could arrive too late. So that creates a

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Speaker 3: really ugly paradox. To save Iranian lives, we have to

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Speaker 3: act cautiously. We have to assemble an overwhelming force. But

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Speaker 3: doing that takes time during which even more Iranian lives

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Speaker 3: might be lost, and then the revolution may fail before

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Speaker 3: then because of the time involved. So unless they ran

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Speaker 3: security forces suddenly lose their nerve or Tehran stumbles hesitates,

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Speaker 3: becomes cautionary. The protesters themselves face a very bloody period.

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Speaker 3: And what are they doing? Well, they are They're doing

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Speaker 3: two things simultaneously. They're trying to keep the protest going

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Speaker 3: while they wait for some external help. But that external

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Speaker 3: help may or may not come. External military supports of

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Speaker 3: the protesters becomes a race against the clock. How long

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Speaker 3: will the protest survive? Mass killings at the rate reported.

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Speaker 3: Western leaders face a painful choice. And when I say

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Speaker 3: Western leaders, I really I think I'm only talking about

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Speaker 3: Trump and Natan Yahoo NBS. In Saudi Arabia, there's no

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Speaker 3: doubt in my mind, NBS wants the regime toppled, but

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Speaker 3: he can't do anything because he has all the other

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Speaker 3: Middle Eastern countries that he has to deal with, So

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Speaker 3: he's gonna leave it to us, which is fine, that's

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Speaker 3: part of our job. Where are our NATO or allies

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Speaker 3: for that matter, Where are South Korea and Japanese or

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Speaker 3: Australian allies? Where are Canadian allies? What are they doing?

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Speaker 3: The answer is I don't know, so I can't find

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Speaker 3: I can find very little information about what they're Oh,

431
00:28:16,400 --> 00:28:19,040
Speaker 3: they're saying, oh they support the revolution, Oh, they support

432
00:28:19,040 --> 00:28:23,840
Speaker 3: the protests, but what are they doing? This race against

433
00:28:23,840 --> 00:28:28,360
Speaker 3: the clock needs them to So it leaves us with this.

434
00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:32,879
Speaker 3: Trump's drawn a red line, and the red line is

435
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:37,159
Speaker 3: the mass killing of protesters. So the Pentagon has to,

436
00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:41,080
Speaker 3: at least, based on my experience, be reviewing condensity plans.

437
00:28:41,800 --> 00:28:48,080
Speaker 3: But successfully executing those plans requires real creative use of

438
00:28:48,120 --> 00:28:54,280
Speaker 3: the available assets, not you know, Don Rumsfeld. Once that

439
00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:56,760
Speaker 3: you know, you go to war with the army you have,

440
00:28:56,960 --> 00:29:01,040
Speaker 3: not the army you want. Well, timing may force us

441
00:29:01,360 --> 00:29:04,400
Speaker 3: to go to do whatever we're going to do, decapitate

442
00:29:04,440 --> 00:29:07,080
Speaker 3: or whatever it is, with what we have not what

443
00:29:07,120 --> 00:29:10,600
Speaker 3: we want because we have that external factor of time,

444
00:29:11,520 --> 00:29:15,920
Speaker 3: and we have all of our assets in places other

445
00:29:15,960 --> 00:29:22,600
Speaker 3: than that region. So successfully executing any plan that they

446
00:29:22,640 --> 00:29:27,959
Speaker 3: come up with will require a creative use of available assets,

447
00:29:29,120 --> 00:29:34,120
Speaker 3: very close coordination with regional allies and patients so that

448
00:29:34,200 --> 00:29:40,400
Speaker 3: we get the timing optimized. Unfortunately, patients is something that

449
00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:44,480
Speaker 3: the freedom seekers, the protesters, they don't have that they're

450
00:29:44,560 --> 00:29:47,560
Speaker 3: risking bulls today, and they may be risking bolls in

451
00:29:47,600 --> 00:29:50,280
Speaker 3: a few weeks, so they may be completely overrun in

452
00:29:50,320 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 3: a few weeks. So it prevents a truly unenviable strategic

453
00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:04,240
Speaker 3: dilemma for Washington. Think about Bosni in the nineteen nineties,

454
00:30:04,760 --> 00:30:09,560
Speaker 3: think about the Syrian rebellion in twenty ten, where when

455
00:30:09,600 --> 00:30:13,520
Speaker 3: we act too slowly or too cautiously, that couldjeopardize a

456
00:30:13,520 --> 00:30:18,000
Speaker 3: popular uprising. Yet on the other hand, acting hastily could

457
00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:21,280
Speaker 3: ignite a wider war. So we can all see the

458
00:30:21,320 --> 00:30:25,840
Speaker 3: needs support the protesters, but the military strikes. That's not

459
00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:30,360
Speaker 3: a simple or complete solution as it might appear. So

460
00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:34,240
Speaker 3: as the cabal will continue to try to, you know,

461
00:30:35,120 --> 00:30:39,520
Speaker 3: check Trump with every move and every statement, I want you,

462
00:30:39,920 --> 00:30:43,360
Speaker 3: as really informed consumers of the news to realize that

463
00:30:43,440 --> 00:30:46,680
Speaker 3: in the background all of these things that I've outlined,

464
00:30:47,600 --> 00:30:52,000
Speaker 3: the timing, the use of assets, the intelligence sharing, the

465
00:30:52,520 --> 00:30:56,440
Speaker 3: israelis one of our allies doing. What's happening with the protesters?

466
00:30:56,680 --> 00:30:59,440
Speaker 3: Where's the iyatola? All of the iyatota is not just

467
00:30:59,480 --> 00:31:01,960
Speaker 3: Common Aid, all the other mulas. Where are they hiding?

468
00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:06,120
Speaker 3: Where's the leadership of the IRGC? Can we and do

469
00:31:06,320 --> 00:31:09,040
Speaker 3: we have the time to pull off a strike or

470
00:31:09,080 --> 00:31:12,440
Speaker 3: something similar to what we did in Venezuela. I don't know,

471
00:31:13,360 --> 00:31:17,040
Speaker 3: and I'll guarantee you this too. Nobody else knows either,