1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:04,360 Speaker 1: This is a podcast from WOR. Here's Larry Mente with 2 00:00:04,559 --> 00:00:08,719 Speaker 1: more of the wr Saturday Morning show Pole Show. 3 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:12,640 Speaker 2: The war in Iran is not popular with most Americans, 4 00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 2: So what are the ramifications for President Donald Trump and 5 00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 2: the Republicans in the upcoming midterm elections. Here's political analyst 6 00:00:22,920 --> 00:00:28,120 Speaker 2: JC Polanco. Jc. I don't think Donald Trump knew there'd 7 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:31,960 Speaker 2: be this public blowback that there's been in the polls 8 00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:34,720 Speaker 2: so far, and I think that's one of the reasons 9 00:00:34,720 --> 00:00:36,360 Speaker 2: he wants to get out of there in the next 10 00:00:36,400 --> 00:00:40,320 Speaker 2: couple of weeks. What will the political fallout be? And 11 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:41,559 Speaker 2: by the way, good morning to you. 12 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 1: Good morning, so happy to be with you today. Well, 13 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:45,720 Speaker 1: listen to the political fallout. We're seeing it in every 14 00:00:45,720 --> 00:00:48,559 Speaker 1: poll that's coming out. And it was a self inflicted 15 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:52,640 Speaker 1: wound of what could have been different. Look, the messaging 16 00:00:52,840 --> 00:00:56,400 Speaker 1: was off from the very beginning the press conference. That 17 00:00:56,520 --> 00:00:58,600 Speaker 1: the President had a couple of nights ago to talk 18 00:00:58,640 --> 00:01:01,480 Speaker 1: to the country should have happened a long time. I 19 00:01:01,520 --> 00:01:05,039 Speaker 1: think that his key players, from Secretary Rubio to Secretary 20 00:01:05,120 --> 00:01:08,200 Speaker 1: Access to him and JD. Vans and the like, should 21 00:01:08,200 --> 00:01:11,200 Speaker 1: have been more direct, should have had one cohesive message 22 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 1: as to why we're there. We were getting messages that 23 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:17,200 Speaker 1: we were there because Netanyahu was going to launch an 24 00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:19,319 Speaker 1: offensive and Evan was going to be upset and was 25 00:01:19,319 --> 00:01:21,280 Speaker 1: going to target our folks, which is what we got 26 00:01:21,319 --> 00:01:25,920 Speaker 1: from Secretary Rubio. Then we got something else from Secretary 27 00:01:25,920 --> 00:01:28,959 Speaker 1: Hexcess and that mixed messaging. The public does not like. 28 00:01:30,040 --> 00:01:34,119 Speaker 1: We see that in the polls. In addition, it wasn't 29 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:36,880 Speaker 1: just messaging. We're feeling it in our pockets. The straight 30 00:01:36,920 --> 00:01:39,600 Speaker 1: up for mooth is an issue. We're seeing the increase 31 00:01:39,720 --> 00:01:42,479 Speaker 1: in the price of gasoline when we go to the 32 00:01:42,520 --> 00:01:46,080 Speaker 1: gas stations. This is this is affecting Americans directly, and 33 00:01:46,120 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 1: the uncertainty the market hates, as you know, Larry, that uncertainty. 34 00:01:50,200 --> 00:01:52,440 Speaker 1: I think that the polls would have at the end 35 00:01:52,440 --> 00:01:54,440 Speaker 1: of the day been very different had there been one 36 00:01:54,480 --> 00:01:58,960 Speaker 1: message and there wasn't this coyness going on behind the messaging. Now, 37 00:01:59,640 --> 00:02:02,240 Speaker 1: I don't think that you'll have an American in this 38 00:02:02,400 --> 00:02:05,800 Speaker 1: country and abroad who won't be happy to see that 39 00:02:05,960 --> 00:02:09,560 Speaker 1: this terrorist nation is going to have new leadership and 40 00:02:09,840 --> 00:02:12,680 Speaker 1: it's no longer in existence. The problem is, Larry, is 41 00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:15,240 Speaker 1: a new leadership. What is happening here at the end 42 00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:16,680 Speaker 1: Is it going to be more of the same. These 43 00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:19,120 Speaker 1: are some of the questions that you're going to see, uh, 44 00:02:19,280 --> 00:02:23,280 Speaker 1: continue happening, and it's gonna hurt the president. The president 45 00:02:23,320 --> 00:02:25,880 Speaker 1: should just say flat out, we're gonna have regime change, 46 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:28,240 Speaker 1: We're not gonna have these terrorists in charge. And I 47 00:02:28,240 --> 00:02:30,960 Speaker 1: think you have a much better poll result, but the 48 00:02:31,040 --> 00:02:32,920 Speaker 1: Republics are going to pay the price for the messaging 49 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:36,800 Speaker 1: in November. It's unfortunate, but we're seeing it. We're seeing 50 00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 1: it in the polling data. As it is, there's no 51 00:02:38,840 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 1: question about it, which is why I think you had 52 00:02:41,440 --> 00:02:44,600 Speaker 1: so much going on yesterday. You had Secretary Hexsets firing 53 00:02:44,680 --> 00:02:47,360 Speaker 1: General leftter general left to general. You have the president 54 00:02:47,440 --> 00:02:49,840 Speaker 1: firing the ag yesterday because he knows these poll numbers 55 00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:52,160 Speaker 1: are terrible and he wants to distract from the polls. 56 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:54,680 Speaker 1: So I think this weekend he has to just refocus 57 00:02:54,760 --> 00:02:57,959 Speaker 1: on the messaging and ensuring Americans that we're not just 58 00:02:58,000 --> 00:02:59,840 Speaker 1: going to have another terrorist nation at the end of this. 59 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:02,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with everything you say. The messaging. Messaging 60 00:03:02,800 --> 00:03:05,519 Speaker 2: has been horrible, and I think the timing of this 61 00:03:05,760 --> 00:03:07,960 Speaker 2: was because he felt like he had to do it 62 00:03:08,320 --> 00:03:12,040 Speaker 2: right now, because of the midterm elections. He didn't want 63 00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:13,760 Speaker 2: to have this going on in the fall, and he 64 00:03:13,800 --> 00:03:15,640 Speaker 2: wanted to be able to get in there and wrap 65 00:03:15,680 --> 00:03:20,560 Speaker 2: it up quickly. Let's just say everything goes amazingly Well, 66 00:03:21,160 --> 00:03:23,640 Speaker 2: let's say we take out the regime. Let's say we 67 00:03:23,639 --> 00:03:26,600 Speaker 2: don't even have to pay for restitution that that is 68 00:03:26,639 --> 00:03:29,240 Speaker 2: all going to be Saudi Arabia and the Arab nations 69 00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:32,600 Speaker 2: that are going to play pay for that, and rebuild Iran, 70 00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:36,240 Speaker 2: and we eliminate that regime, and we eliminate this cancer 71 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:39,520 Speaker 2: in the world and the mothership of all terrorism. And 72 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:43,800 Speaker 2: then gas prices go back down, inflation is down. Things 73 00:03:43,920 --> 00:03:49,000 Speaker 2: are much better, maybe even wonderful come September, which is 74 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:52,720 Speaker 2: what I think the administration is hoping for. Is that 75 00:03:52,800 --> 00:03:55,640 Speaker 2: too little, too late or will that make amends? 76 00:03:56,040 --> 00:03:59,200 Speaker 1: Well, you've got to remember, Larry, that the party in 77 00:03:59,280 --> 00:04:01,920 Speaker 1: charge of the White House, well ninety nine percent of 78 00:04:01,960 --> 00:04:05,600 Speaker 1: the time loose seats in the midterm elections by default. 79 00:04:06,160 --> 00:04:08,320 Speaker 1: So keep that in mind. Right, It's not as if 80 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:10,400 Speaker 1: he things could have been great and he still would 81 00:04:10,400 --> 00:04:14,000 Speaker 1: have kept the majority in the midterms. What you're describing 82 00:04:14,240 --> 00:04:18,040 Speaker 1: would be the ideal situation for Republicans, But Let's remember 83 00:04:18,120 --> 00:04:20,520 Speaker 1: how does he do it? How does the president go 84 00:04:20,560 --> 00:04:23,400 Speaker 1: ahead and get the things done that you mentioned? Is 85 00:04:23,800 --> 00:04:26,880 Speaker 1: the president goes on TV and says I'm going to 86 00:04:26,960 --> 00:04:31,080 Speaker 1: bomb the civilian electrical plants. That's not going to bode 87 00:04:31,120 --> 00:04:33,440 Speaker 1: row with independence. It's just not Larry. He cannot go 88 00:04:33,480 --> 00:04:35,240 Speaker 1: and say that he's going to do the kind of 89 00:04:35,240 --> 00:04:37,280 Speaker 1: things we've seen Putin do in Ukraine. That's going to 90 00:04:37,360 --> 00:04:40,040 Speaker 1: hurt him. So it's how he does it. So ideally, 91 00:04:40,200 --> 00:04:42,599 Speaker 1: if everything he describe works, I think that the blow 92 00:04:42,680 --> 00:04:45,040 Speaker 1: is going to be lessened. I'm looking at I'm looking 93 00:04:45,040 --> 00:04:47,520 Speaker 1: at Mike Lawler in Rockland and Westchester. That's what I'm 94 00:04:47,520 --> 00:04:51,120 Speaker 1: looking at. You. You have about a little over a 95 00:04:51,160 --> 00:04:54,160 Speaker 1: dozen of Mike Lawlers around the country that determine the majorities. 96 00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:56,719 Speaker 1: And if the Republicans are to keep the majority, the 97 00:04:56,800 --> 00:04:58,600 Speaker 1: Mike Lawlers in the country have to win. And what 98 00:04:58,640 --> 00:05:01,919 Speaker 1: do I mean? I mean buplicing congress members who run 99 00:05:02,080 --> 00:05:05,039 Speaker 1: in Harris districts. How is Mike Lauda going to do 100 00:05:05,080 --> 00:05:08,320 Speaker 1: this November? How's this polling data? That's what's key? Uh. 101 00:05:08,560 --> 00:05:11,200 Speaker 1: Can of Republican like Mike Lawler, Michae Lawler win in 102 00:05:11,240 --> 00:05:13,640 Speaker 1: a Harris District in this midterm election and does a 103 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:16,720 Speaker 1: polling show that, and I think that will determine how 104 00:05:16,800 --> 00:05:19,640 Speaker 1: big the majority will be for Democrats. The Democrats are 105 00:05:19,720 --> 00:05:21,960 Speaker 1: counting the number of seats are going to win in November, 106 00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:25,120 Speaker 1: and they're already measuring the drapes for Speaker Jeffreyes. The 107 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:27,840 Speaker 1: question is by what margin they are They're just measuring 108 00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:30,039 Speaker 1: by what margin are they going to win? How is 109 00:05:30,040 --> 00:05:33,000 Speaker 1: Mike Laughter doing? And Mike Lawler needs the President to 110 00:05:33,080 --> 00:05:37,479 Speaker 1: stop saying that he's going to bomb electrical civilian electrical plans. 111 00:05:37,800 --> 00:05:39,960 Speaker 1: That's not going to do well for Mike. Mike, Mikeloler 112 00:05:40,040 --> 00:05:41,720 Speaker 1: will do well with a new regime that I ran, 113 00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:44,239 Speaker 1: Mike looland will do well if the country sees everything 114 00:05:44,279 --> 00:05:46,680 Speaker 1: you just said. Everything you just said, Mike Lawler will 115 00:05:46,720 --> 00:05:48,880 Speaker 1: do well. But if if the President is going to 116 00:05:48,920 --> 00:05:50,880 Speaker 1: talk about things like he did a couple of nights ago, 117 00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:53,880 Speaker 1: he's going to do to civilian plans, that's not going 118 00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:55,960 Speaker 1: to vote well for Independence and some of the Democrats 119 00:05:55,960 --> 00:05:58,120 Speaker 1: that these Republicans are going to need in November in 120 00:05:58,200 --> 00:06:00,040 Speaker 1: order to vote for them and keep the majority. So 121 00:06:00,040 --> 00:06:02,680 Speaker 1: you'll keep your eye on the Micrologo District. J C. 122 00:06:02,839 --> 00:06:07,200 Speaker 2: Polanco, political analyst and University of Mount Saint Vincent Assistant 123 00:06:07,240 --> 00:06:08,680 Speaker 2: professor and attorney. 124 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:11,600 Speaker 1: This has been a podcast from wor