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Speaker 1: Thirty Cincinnati Sports Station. You cram a lot into two hours,

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Speaker 1: which we're having to do today. Tomorrow's show will be

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Speaker 1: even shorter. By the way, Tennessee just polished off Auburn

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Speaker 1: seventy two to sixty two. Tigers were in control of

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Speaker 1: that game and then they weren't. That is that is

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Speaker 1: good news for the Miami RedHawks, who unfortunately lost today

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Speaker 1: their first loss of the season, suffered at the hands

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Speaker 1: of UMass in Cleveland Mac Tournament eighty seven to eighty three.

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Speaker 1: The prevailing sentiment is that the RedHawks are still going

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Speaker 1: to be in. But I wanted to bring on the

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Speaker 1: Tri States resident bracketologist. He's no longer just the official

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Speaker 1: bracketologist of this show, NKY bracketology dot com our guy

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Speaker 1: Hunter Sansom and kind enough to join us. The RedHawks

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Speaker 1: are still in, right The.

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Speaker 2: RedHawks are still in the tournament as of right now, Yes,

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Speaker 2: are they playing in Dayton. I want to see everything

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Speaker 2: update and kind of everything happened today before I say

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Speaker 2: definitely yes or no. But as of right now I

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Speaker 2: have them above Dayton, but they're my first team not

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Speaker 2: in Dayton at this time.

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Speaker 1: How much does Auburn losing help it very much, so

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Speaker 1: helps just watch them lose.

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Speaker 2: Gave up like a twenty nothing run here at the

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Speaker 2: end of the game to fall apart against Tennessee. Auburn

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Speaker 2: is below Miami at this point.

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Speaker 1: Who still is playing that RedHawks fans should be paying

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Speaker 1: attention to.

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Speaker 2: So anybody on the eight nine ten lines are teams

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Speaker 2: that you all should be paying attention to. For Miami, apologies,

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Speaker 2: my computer restarted, but VCU comes up tomorrow. I think

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Speaker 2: Missouri's out, yeah, I mean other than that, realistically, a

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Speaker 2: lot of these bubble teams are done. You can look

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Speaker 2: at the Mountain West teams, you'r New Mexico, your San

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Speaker 2: Diego States, But other than that, there's not much left

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Speaker 2: out there on the bubble. Seaton Hall is still playing

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Speaker 2: in the Big East, but they have to win the

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Speaker 2: conference to get in, so they wouldn't necessarily affect Miami

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Speaker 2: a ton, but definitely want Ukon Saint John's Villanova to

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Speaker 2: win that conference.

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Speaker 1: Wednesday and well, I should say Tuesday and Wednesday were

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Speaker 1: filled with bubble teams not winning. How much? How much

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Speaker 1: do things get changed if even for Miami specifically, if

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Speaker 1: even a handful of those teams win games.

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Speaker 2: We're probably having a completely different conversation about them at

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Speaker 2: least being in Dayton and being kind of locked into

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Speaker 2: that Dayton or worse. But I mean, with all of

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Speaker 2: this carnage that we've had along the bubble, you can't

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Speaker 2: tell me a team one game above five hundred should

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Speaker 2: be in over a team that went thirty one and

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Speaker 2: one at this point.

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Speaker 1: They lose a four point game today on a neutral court.

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Speaker 1: If today's loss had been more lobsided, would that have

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Speaker 1: factored into their candidacy?

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Speaker 2: I think so to an extent. However, with Miami, it's

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Speaker 2: never about the predictive metrics, which is really where that

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Speaker 2: the margin plays in. I think for Miami it's all

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Speaker 2: about just how strong that resume is, how strong the

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Speaker 2: record is, and I mean this six Q four loss

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Speaker 2: jump up to Q three, But I don't think margin

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Speaker 2: necessarily will be a big issue. That could have been

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Speaker 2: worse for sure.

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Speaker 1: All Right, So as of right now, we have the

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Speaker 1: RedHawks in the Dance and not playing in Dayton. So

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Speaker 1: if they're not playing in Dayton and they fall because

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Speaker 1: the team are two wins, it's hard for me to believe.

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Speaker 1: And you know a lot more about this process than

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Speaker 1: I do that they go from team number sixty four

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Speaker 1: to team number sixty nine. Is that a okay way

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Speaker 1: of looking at it?

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Speaker 2: I want to say yes. Right now, I'm going to

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Speaker 2: have them sixty four ish is about right, sixty three

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Speaker 2: sixty four, but I think they're in. But I have

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Speaker 2: trouble necessarily seeing them fall that far. It's definitely possible

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Speaker 2: at this point. But the committee, I mean again, we've

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Speaker 2: never had a team with this mini wins not make

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Speaker 2: the tournament. This is not the season to start picking

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Speaker 2: that kind of team to leave out.

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Speaker 1: I feel like we hear the term weak bubble every year,

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Speaker 1: but this year feels historically weak. Would you agree?

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Speaker 2: I agree? And the data back set up when you

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Speaker 2: start looking at cross comparing, and I won't get super

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Speaker 2: into the weeds, but when you cross compare like efficiencies

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Speaker 2: and these types of things, the top thirty teams are

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Speaker 2: just over heels better than the rest of the country,

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Speaker 2: and it's really affected just.

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Speaker 1: How good the bubble is.

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Speaker 2: It's the weakest bubble I've ever seen.

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Speaker 1: Do the net ratings matter less this year than previous years?

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Speaker 2: Great question and something I get all the time on

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Speaker 2: social media. The net ranking does not actually matter other

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Speaker 2: than getting you split into your quadrant rankings, your resume

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Speaker 2: and your predictive metrics are what matter. There are six

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Speaker 2: of them.

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Speaker 1: I will have a.

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Speaker 2: Video out this evening explaining that breakdown on bracket in

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Speaker 2: Ky on Twitter, and it'll be up on my website.

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Speaker 2: I would strongly suggest everybody watch that. But they matter.

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Speaker 2: The net does not necessarily matter a ton.

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Speaker 1: I feel like I've heard the term wins above bubble

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Speaker 1: this year more than any other year. What is wins

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Speaker 1: above bubble?

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Speaker 2: Whin's about bubble is actually a great new metric. It's

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Speaker 2: on the newer side, invented I think ty fifteen, and

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Speaker 2: it's basically, if you're a positive wins above bubble, then

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Speaker 2: that means you are two or three or whatever the

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Speaker 2: number is wins above what they would expect a traditional

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Speaker 2: Bubble team in this year's tournament to be. So for Miami,

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Speaker 2: they were roughly two wins above bubble this morning. That

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Speaker 2: means that they had won two more games than you

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Speaker 2: would expect an average Bubble team to win.

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Speaker 1: Now, of course they lost.

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Speaker 2: I think this is going to hurt them about half

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Speaker 2: a game two point seventy five games, so it will

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Speaker 2: knock them down a little bit, but they still stay

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Speaker 2: above what a typical bubble team would do.

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Speaker 1: Given the fact that nobody else seemed to want to

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Speaker 1: grab a bid yesterday and on Tuesday, torture me. Had

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati held on to beat UCF, would they be in

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Speaker 1: the field.

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Speaker 2: In the field, maybe not, but they would have at

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Speaker 2: least had a shot to jump up. With how everything

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Speaker 2: played out, without having seen what their wins above bubble

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Speaker 2: or strength, the record would have moved to. It's really

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Speaker 2: hard for me to give you yes or a no,

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Speaker 2: but I want to say they might have been.

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Speaker 1: What can Kentucky do with their seed if they win

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Speaker 1: tomorrow and then keep winning after beating Florida.

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Speaker 2: I think it's sixth seed is Kentucky's ceiling. We've seen

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Speaker 2: the committee not necessarily always value the conference tournaments, especially

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Speaker 2: in the SEC with A and M a.

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Speaker 1: Couple of years back.

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Speaker 2: So I think they might jump up another seed line

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Speaker 2: or so, but I don't see them jumping out much

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Speaker 2: more than that.

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Speaker 1: Ohio State, I think deserves a lot of credit because

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Speaker 1: they've done what others haven't. Right, they've I don't know

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Speaker 1: that they needed to win today. You can correct me

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Speaker 1: on that, but with bids up for grabs. They've won

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Speaker 1: four consecutive games. What can the buck guys do for

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Speaker 1: their seed by beating Michigan tomorrow?

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Speaker 2: If they meet Michigan, eight seeds not out of the question.

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Speaker 2: I currently have them on the nine line. You could

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Speaker 2: make an argument for the eight already, and you're absolutely right.

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Speaker 2: They did not have to win today, but this definitely

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Speaker 2: helps slip by them their lowest. I think they'll be

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Speaker 2: now as an eight, but they feel like they're gonna

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Speaker 2: end up playing in that eight to nine game, which

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Speaker 2: means you're gonna be looking at the number one seed.

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Speaker 1: Indiana is not Indiana is not making the tournament correct correct?

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Speaker 1: What's the best case for Louisville?

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Speaker 2: Best case I think for Louisville, especially after today, six

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Speaker 2: se feels about right for them. I do think Kentucky

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Speaker 2: could knock them down to the seven line, though.

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Speaker 1: Is the current landscape the strongest argument against tournament expansion?

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Speaker 2: Yes, I don't know how you can look at teams

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Speaker 2: like California, Indiana, Auburn, I mean, Cincinnati. You could make

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Speaker 2: an argument played better at the end of the year,

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Speaker 2: but you can't necessarily make an argument that these teams

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Speaker 2: deserve to be in the field right now. Expanding it,

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Speaker 2: those teams would all have been in.

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Speaker 1: How do I get one of your polo shirts?

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Speaker 2: I will send you a DM after this.

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Speaker 1: Where can others buy one of your polo shirts?

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Speaker 2: So right now the link is floating around. I will

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Speaker 2: tweet it out after we get done here. Had some

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Speaker 2: requests for merch. So there's a polo, there's a T shirt,

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Speaker 2: and there's a hoodie and there's a wineglass onto it.

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Speaker 2: So that is linked right now. You use the code

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Speaker 2: this is March. You get ten percent off your order.

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Speaker 2: I launched it last night. I appreciate everybody's support and

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Speaker 2: everybody's been great with it. So I'll tweet that link out.

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Speaker 2: I'll tag you moos so you have it as well,

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Speaker 2: and we'll go from.

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Speaker 1: There at bracket nk Y on Twitter nky, bracketology dot com.

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Speaker 1: Uh enjoy, enjoy the weekend. Man. We'll probably bother you

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Speaker 1: early next week just to see how you did versus

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Speaker 1: the actual selection commedy man, thanks so much. Sounds great,

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Speaker 1: Thanks Fantas. That's our guy, Hunter sandsum Terran shows over,

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Speaker 1: Yes another day, no cuts, all right, I'll pull back

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Speaker 1: the curtain Tarn produces this show and does an awesome job.

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Speaker 1: And we talk about, like, here's some audio I want

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Speaker 1: to use, and he goes back and he cuts up

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Speaker 1: all this audio. And I had him cut up a

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Speaker 1: bunch of audio yesterday and we didn't use it, and

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Speaker 1: then today cut up a bunch of audio and we

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Speaker 1: didn't use it. Tell me about Jonathan Allen, really quick,

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Speaker 1: solid defensive tackle. We have got rid of them. Do

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Speaker 1: the money.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we got a second second year guy, Jaylen Redman,

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Speaker 3: who pretty much put up the same numbers.

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Speaker 1: Looks a little cheaper, all right, but he thought he

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Speaker 1: played a lot last year. It wasn't he was. It

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Speaker 1: was okay, right, yeah, okay, he'll be great alongside Bjhare. Yeah, okay,

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Speaker 1: the A and linebacker. Cause you guys are cutting the

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Speaker 1: week he'd use. You can probably get Ivan Paige Junior

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Speaker 1: if you want, let's go. He plays linebacker. Literally, anybody

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Speaker 1: who plays linebacker I will take. I don't care who

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Speaker 1: they are. I don't care if you play linebacker in

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Speaker 1: the CFL. I don't care if you play linebacker in

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Speaker 1: the USFL or the Arena League. I don't care if

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Speaker 1: you played linebacker at Oak Hills High school. Can you

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Speaker 1: play linebacker? Well? Have you played linebacker on Like a

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Speaker 1: Man video game before ten yard Fight? Yes? Have you

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Speaker 1: got there and play linebacker? I could. Wouldn't go well

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Speaker 1: for the Bengals, but wouldn't go well for me. But anybody,

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Speaker 1: if you've ever played linebacker, call Duke Toven might have

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Speaker 1: a job for you. Maybe Philantho the phone All right

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Speaker 1: on the air tomorrow roughly four thirty because the UK Hoops.

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Speaker 1: Have a great night. Thanks to Terran for producing and

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Speaker 1: doing a bunch of work that we didn't take advantage of.

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Speaker 1: Have a great night. Talk to you tomorrow, ESPN fifteen thirty.

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Speaker 3: around that scene. Westbound nor Wood Lateral at Montgomery Road

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Speaker 3: and accident has got the right lane blocked off on

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Speaker 3: that exelic with traffic.

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Speaker 1: This report is sponsored