WEBVTT - 10-15-25 America's Truckin' Network

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<v Speaker 1>This is America's Trucking Network with Kevin Gordon, well of

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<v Speaker 1>them more. Thanks for tuning in on this Wednesday morning.

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<v Speaker 1>Last Friday, we got the one of my favorite surveys.

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<v Speaker 1>I just flat out say that every month, it seems

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<v Speaker 1>that this consumer sentiment report that comes out by the

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<v Speaker 1>University of Michigan, this is the thing that a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of the well the spoon fed regurgitators in the mainstream

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<v Speaker 1>media kind of tend to glom onto because it's one

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<v Speaker 1>of these well respected type of surveys that's done by

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<v Speaker 1>the University of Michigan taking a look at consumer sentiment.

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<v Speaker 1>Now this is done based on a survey, and a

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<v Speaker 1>month after month, I bring this up and I talk

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<v Speaker 1>about it simply because this is the stuff that the

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<v Speaker 1>spoon fed regurgitators in the mainstream media talk about. Let's say,

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<v Speaker 1>consumer sentiment went down and all this sort of stuff.

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<v Speaker 1>So they put all these negative figures and these negative

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<v Speaker 1>thoughts into people's head. And I've explained this numerous times

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<v Speaker 1>that as I look out at the economy and I

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<v Speaker 1>look at at what's going on, knowing the resilience of

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<v Speaker 1>the American public, knowing the resilience of the individuals who

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<v Speaker 1>own businesses, knowing the resilience of people like you out

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<v Speaker 1>in the trucking industry that you guys can get through anything.

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<v Speaker 1>All you got to know is what rules are we

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<v Speaker 1>playing by. We can handle just about anything. We are

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<v Speaker 1>rugged individualists in this country. We are the type of

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<v Speaker 1>people we are. You compare us to any other people

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<v Speaker 1>in the world, and we work harder, we work longer.

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<v Speaker 1>Well maybe with the exception of the Japanese, but that's

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<v Speaker 1>a whole nother story altogether. And they have their problems

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<v Speaker 1>over there as well, some of the mental illness and

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<v Speaker 1>stuff that's creeping up there because they have had this

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<v Speaker 1>constant work, work, work, work, work ethics. Now you go

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<v Speaker 1>that to a further extreme. You look at the European

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<v Speaker 1>Union and how that will take a month off just

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<v Speaker 1>to I guess, just to relax, even though they don't

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<v Speaker 1>do much to begin with. So anyway, we are a

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<v Speaker 1>very resilient people and we can get through just about anything.

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<v Speaker 1>And as I said, all we need to know is

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<v Speaker 1>what the rules are. And once in a while, we'd

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<v Speaker 1>like to get a little cooperation from our government, which

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<v Speaker 1>we are getting, and we would like a little cooperation

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<v Speaker 1>from the Federal Reserve that we're not getting. And I

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<v Speaker 1>keep harping on the idea or the fact that our

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<v Speaker 1>interest rates are two damn high. If you're trying to

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<v Speaker 1>stimulate the economy, if you want things to go along,

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<v Speaker 1>if you want people to have more money in their

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<v Speaker 1>pockets so they can go out and spend more, And

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<v Speaker 1>you look at the numbers. Our unemployment is low, wages

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<v Speaker 1>are coming up, Inflation is moderate in terms of where

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<v Speaker 1>it is, and we'll talk about that coming up. And

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<v Speaker 1>things are on the surface all looking pretty good. Problem

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<v Speaker 1>is is that when you look at the interest rates

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<v Speaker 1>and what people think of in terms of well their

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<v Speaker 1>credit cards are concerned going out and try to buy

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<v Speaker 1>a piece of equipment, try to buy a new truck,

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<v Speaker 1>try to add fleets of trucks to your fleet, young

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<v Speaker 1>people trying to buy a house. All that stuff factors

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<v Speaker 1>into it. But what we're constantly getting is the drum

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<v Speaker 1>beat from the spoon fed regurgitators in the mainstream media.

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<v Speaker 1>They from day one have been trying to talk down

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<v Speaker 1>this economy and trying to manufacture, in my opinion, a recession.

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<v Speaker 1>They've talked about how horrible the tariffs are going to be,

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<v Speaker 1>it's going to cause inflation, it's going to run into

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<v Speaker 1>a recession, and things are going to go to hell

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<v Speaker 1>in a handbasket, none of which has happened. And as

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<v Speaker 1>a matter of fact, things have gone extremely well. And

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<v Speaker 1>so we when we look at the inflation numbers, which

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<v Speaker 1>we'll look at later on, as I mentioned, these are

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<v Speaker 1>the things that are there. But yet we've got the

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<v Speaker 1>spoon fed regurgitators in the mainstream media constantly talking down

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<v Speaker 1>the economy, talking about high inflation, talking about this, that

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<v Speaker 1>and the other thing. And when you go out you

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<v Speaker 1>serve a people on the street, we don't know. When

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<v Speaker 1>the survey, they never explain what the percentage of Republicans, Democrats, independents,

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<v Speaker 1>the demographics, in terms of the ages, in terms of

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<v Speaker 1>the population, and any of that. All they do is

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<v Speaker 1>put out this survey. But it's one that people glom

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<v Speaker 1>onto and talk about a lot. So let's go through this.

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<v Speaker 1>The number of Americans, the numbers of the numbers, that's

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<v Speaker 1>the title. Americans have soured on the prospect of finding

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<v Speaker 1>new jobs. A new survey shows, well, that's all well

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<v Speaker 1>and good if you're not working, but unemployment is low,

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<v Speaker 1>so there's not that many people out there working, people

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<v Speaker 1>that have a job. Okay, if you're looking for another job,

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<v Speaker 1>if you're thinking of job hopping, that prospects might not

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<v Speaker 1>be so good. But at least you've got a job

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<v Speaker 1>and you've got a paycheck coming in. And they're still

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<v Speaker 1>frustrated by persistent inflation. Oh really, we'll talk about that

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<v Speaker 1>in a minute, giving them little confidence that the economy

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<v Speaker 1>will improve soon. Well, the economy is pretty darn good

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<v Speaker 1>compared to what it was back in the Biden administration,

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<v Speaker 1>and when we look at energy prices, when we look

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<v Speaker 1>at what is going on as far as food prices,

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<v Speaker 1>and the prospects for economic prosperity. The first reading of

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<v Speaker 1>the Consumer Sentiment Survey in October was basically flat at

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<v Speaker 1>fifty five. According to the University of Michigan set on Friday,

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<v Speaker 1>the index has been hovering at levels typically experienced during recessions. Gee, you,

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<v Speaker 1>I wonder why if you've got this constant drumbeat of

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<v Speaker 1>negativity talking about the economy, ninety four percent negative coverage,

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<v Speaker 1>ninety four ninety five percent negative coverage of Donald Trump.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course people are going to have in their head

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<v Speaker 1>or they're they're going to be having a bad taste

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<v Speaker 1>in their mouth or affect their attitude. And so when

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<v Speaker 1>you survey people like that, after this constant drumbeat of

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<v Speaker 1>bad reporting, people are going to react that way. Consumer

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<v Speaker 1>sentiment helps gauge how Americans feel about their own finances

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<v Speaker 1>as well as the broader economy. That's an important feature

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<v Speaker 1>right there. People are looking at their own finances. Things

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<v Speaker 1>seem to be going well on their end, but they're

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<v Speaker 1>worried about other people out there that what they're hearing

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<v Speaker 1>as far as the economy is concerned. When you are

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<v Speaker 1>hearing this concant drum beat as far as the economy,

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<v Speaker 1>the teriffts are going to cause recession, inflation, and so on,

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<v Speaker 1>you're not seeing it, but you're constantly hearing about it,

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<v Speaker 1>and you're thinking, well, Geeve, maybe I'm not affected, but

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<v Speaker 1>maybe everybody else is, and so that affects your viewpoint.

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<v Speaker 1>Got to get into the key details here. Consumers expected

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<v Speaker 1>the rate of inflation to rise by four point seven

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<v Speaker 1>percent in the next year, indicating that they see little

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<v Speaker 1>chance of a slow down in price increases, which is

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<v Speaker 1>absolutely ridiculous because how are you going to predict what

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<v Speaker 1>the inflation is going to be based on what you're

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<v Speaker 1>hearing or what you're knowing. All you do is you're

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<v Speaker 1>basing that on what you're hearing from the spoon fed

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<v Speaker 1>regurgitators in the mainstream media. I wonder what the I'm

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<v Speaker 1>going to have to go back and dig into some

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<v Speaker 1>of these surveys and think what these people were looking

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<v Speaker 1>at in terms of prediction when in a particular month

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<v Speaker 1>of June of twenty twenty two, inflation hit nine percent.

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<v Speaker 1>I wonder what the consumer sentiment at that point and

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<v Speaker 1>what they forecasted inflation to be. You know, I'm not

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<v Speaker 1>sure that they really even understand what the percentage of

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<v Speaker 1>as far as inflation is. They probably don't even know

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<v Speaker 1>what the current rate of inflation is. Now. Current rate

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<v Speaker 1>of inflation is two point nine percent based on the

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<v Speaker 1>Consumer Price Index. Most economists and Federal Reserve officials expect

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<v Speaker 1>inflation to top three percent by the end of the year.

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<v Speaker 1>So if the so called experts are expecting a three percent,

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<v Speaker 1>where are these people getting this four point seven percent.

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<v Speaker 1>It's got to be this constant drumbeat from the spoon

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<v Speaker 1>federal gurgitators in the mainstream media. According to the director

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<v Speaker 1>Joanne Sue Interviews reveal little evidence that the ongoing federal

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<v Speaker 1>government shut down has moved consumer's view of the economy

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<v Speaker 1>so far. They say in the survey that again that

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<v Speaker 1>the government's shut down meanwhile has not registered much at

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<v Speaker 1>all with the American people. Sentiment remains well below a

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<v Speaker 1>pre pandemic high of one pH one. So at fifty

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<v Speaker 1>five we are well below that one oh one, suggesting

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<v Speaker 1>US economy is unlikely to speed up anytime soon. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>of course, if you've got high interest rates and you've

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<v Speaker 1>got the federal reserve of tamping down on the economy,

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<v Speaker 1>their foot on the break, so to speak, you're not

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<v Speaker 1>going to have that high US tariffs and constant disputes

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<v Speaker 1>over trade have weakened the labor market and broader economy

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<v Speaker 1>this year. Where's the evidence of that? How have tariffs

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<v Speaker 1>increased or decreased the amount of things that people are buying?

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<v Speaker 1>That it's not certainly causing inflation, it's not creating a

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<v Speaker 1>problem as far as possibly job prospects or people expanding

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<v Speaker 1>job or hiring new But we're in this position where

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<v Speaker 1>companies are not hiring and they're not firing, which is

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<v Speaker 1>a good thing, and acceleration and growth is not expected

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<v Speaker 1>until next year, assuming the Trump administration finally settles on

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<v Speaker 1>trade levels. I mean no, not the Trump administration settling

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<v Speaker 1>on trade levels, the rest of the cut, the rest

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<v Speaker 1>of the world accepting the fact that their tariffs are

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<v Speaker 1>too damn highs and ours are too low, and we're

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<v Speaker 1>trying to level the playing field. FED cuts will depend

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<v Speaker 1>on whether inflation actually begins to slow down again. If

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<v Speaker 1>it doesn't, the economy would face rockier times. But again,

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<v Speaker 1>the Federal Reserve has shown that they will claim they're

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<v Speaker 1>paying attention to the inflation. But like they did in

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<v Speaker 1>September of twenty twenty four, when they're trying to get

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<v Speaker 1>Kamala Harris elected, they said, oh, we're going to concentrate

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<v Speaker 1>on jobs. We think the job market is low, so

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<v Speaker 1>we're going to cut interest rates a full half a

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<v Speaker 1>percentage point, trying to push her over the finish line.

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<v Speaker 1>That didn't work, Thank goodness. We'll pick this up. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Kevin Gordon. America's Struck A Network seven hundred w L

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Kevin Lord in America, Struck A Network seven hundred WLW.

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<v Speaker 1>We talked about this Michigan survey, and it's a survey

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<v Speaker 1>that's done every month. They do it at the beginning of

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<v Speaker 1>the month, and they do it at the end of the

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<v Speaker 1>month in terms of consumer sentiment. And again, everybody glombs

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<v Speaker 1>onto it. Everybody pays attention to it. It's in the

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<v Speaker 1>news and all that. So we got to talk about

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<v Speaker 1>it here. But what I want to do is pull

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<v Speaker 1>it apart, pick it apart, digest it, go through it,

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<v Speaker 1>and basically dissect it and say, Okay, what are the

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<v Speaker 1>facts in here? What's true and what's not true. We

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<v Speaker 1>keep hearing about inflation. Okay, let's talk about inflation. Want

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<v Speaker 1>to all right? We keep hearing that inflation is high

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<v Speaker 1>that I saw a report the other day that they said, well,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we expect inflation to be higher than last year. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>Well they just left it at that, But until you

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<v Speaker 1>read the sentence. Last year inflation was our last year

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<v Speaker 1>of the Biden administration, was two point nine. They're saying

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<v Speaker 1>that this year they're expecting inflation to be two point

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<v Speaker 1>nine two, So two tenths of a percentage point above

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<v Speaker 1>two point nine. So inflation is going to be higher

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<v Speaker 1>this year. Yeah, but you leave the impression that, oh,

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<v Speaker 1>higher means to me that it's going to be like

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<v Speaker 1>one two percentage point different. Let's do a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>of comparison, if you will. First full month of the

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<v Speaker 1>Trump administration, February inflation was a two point eight percent.

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<v Speaker 1>The previous year it was three point two percent. We

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<v Speaker 1>were down four tenths of one percentage point. In March.

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<v Speaker 1>We were down one point one percent in terms of inflation.

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<v Speaker 1>Inflation in twenty twenty four was three point five two

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<v Speaker 1>point four in March. Inflation in April three point four

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<v Speaker 1>versus two point three, so that was down one point

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<v Speaker 1>one May it was down nine tenths of one percent

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<v Speaker 1>three point three in twenty twenty four, two point four

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<v Speaker 1>percent in May. So where are we getting anywhere near

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<v Speaker 1>the inflation numbers from twenty twenty four at this point?

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<v Speaker 1>All right? June two point seven percent was down two

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<v Speaker 1>point seven percent, was down zero point two percent from

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<v Speaker 1>the two point nine to twenty twenty four. The one

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<v Speaker 1>month this entire year that our inflation has been higher

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<v Speaker 1>than the previous year was in August, when inflation was

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<v Speaker 1>a two point nine percent and the previous year was

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<v Speaker 1>a two point five percent. So we're still at that

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<v Speaker 1>range where it has never gone above three percent during

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<v Speaker 1>the entire time that Trump has been president, inflation has

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<v Speaker 1>been two point eight two point four, two point three

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<v Speaker 1>two point four every month. During twenty twenty four, inflation

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<v Speaker 1>was over three percent. So where the hell are people

0:12:46.640 --> 0:12:49.680
<v Speaker 1>concentrating on all of a sudden now their focus is

0:12:49.720 --> 0:12:53.520
<v Speaker 1>on inflation when inflation isn't anywhere near what it was

0:12:53.600 --> 0:12:56.920
<v Speaker 1>during the Biden administration. The first full year of the

0:12:56.920 --> 0:13:02.280
<v Speaker 1>Biden administration in twenty twenty one, inflation was up seven percent.

0:13:02.800 --> 0:13:06.920
<v Speaker 1>In twenty twenty two was up six point five percent,

0:13:07.440 --> 0:13:11.440
<v Speaker 1>In twenty twenty three was three point four percent. Then

0:13:11.480 --> 0:13:14.080
<v Speaker 1>we started hearing in twenty twenty four towards the end

0:13:14.080 --> 0:13:18.200
<v Speaker 1>of twenty twenty four, is that, oh, well, the inflation

0:13:18.400 --> 0:13:22.920
<v Speaker 1>rate in twenty twenty four is well below what it

0:13:23.200 --> 0:13:26.959
<v Speaker 1>was in twenty twenty one and twenty twenty two coming

0:13:27.040 --> 0:13:29.439
<v Speaker 1>out of the pandemic. Well, it was still a two

0:13:29.520 --> 0:13:32.960
<v Speaker 1>point nine percent, even though the previous year it was

0:13:32.960 --> 0:13:36.640
<v Speaker 1>three point four. So where was all the concern Back then?

0:13:36.760 --> 0:13:40.400
<v Speaker 1>It seemed like nobody was talking about inflation. Maybe people

0:13:41.440 --> 0:13:43.720
<v Speaker 1>like you and me were complaining about it, But the

0:13:43.760 --> 0:13:47.000
<v Speaker 1>spoon fed regurgitators in the mainstream media, they apparently kept

0:13:47.080 --> 0:13:50.000
<v Speaker 1>that news to themselves. They didn't bother harping on it,

0:13:50.000 --> 0:13:52.640
<v Speaker 1>they didn't bother talking about it, they didn't talk about

0:13:52.679 --> 0:13:56.040
<v Speaker 1>it NonStop in the news. But where is the evidence

0:13:56.080 --> 0:14:00.440
<v Speaker 1>of this if you're talking about inflation and you're you know,

0:14:00.480 --> 0:14:04.240
<v Speaker 1>we've seen the consumer price index, we've seen the consumer

0:14:04.280 --> 0:14:08.000
<v Speaker 1>price index, producer price index, we've seen that personal consumption

0:14:08.120 --> 0:14:11.680
<v Speaker 1>expenditure numbers all hovering around two point eight two point

0:14:11.760 --> 0:14:14.680
<v Speaker 1>seven percent thereabouts. But then when you look at the

0:14:14.720 --> 0:14:17.880
<v Speaker 1>wages in terms of the hourly rate and so on,

0:14:18.200 --> 0:14:21.600
<v Speaker 1>that's been up four point one percent, three point five

0:14:21.640 --> 0:14:26.280
<v Speaker 1>percent in those ranges. So the increases in wages are

0:14:26.520 --> 0:14:31.360
<v Speaker 1>going up higher than the inflation. So again, I when

0:14:31.400 --> 0:14:35.000
<v Speaker 1>they start talking about inflation, well, the numbers aren't proving that.

0:14:35.080 --> 0:14:37.880
<v Speaker 1>And when you do the comparison month by month from

0:14:37.880 --> 0:14:40.200
<v Speaker 1>the previous year, they're a heck of a lot lower

0:14:40.240 --> 0:14:43.560
<v Speaker 1>now than what they were then. And you know, and

0:14:44.040 --> 0:14:46.880
<v Speaker 1>when you look at and I've talked about this before

0:14:46.960 --> 0:14:50.000
<v Speaker 1>and I keep talking about it, at least as far

0:14:50.040 --> 0:14:53.840
<v Speaker 1>as grocery prices are concerned. Again, you're the main thing

0:14:53.920 --> 0:14:57.400
<v Speaker 1>that you buy on a regular basis is groceries and energy.

0:14:57.840 --> 0:15:01.040
<v Speaker 1>You look at gas prices, and gas price are coming down,

0:15:01.200 --> 0:15:03.160
<v Speaker 1>they're at some of the lowest levels they've been in

0:15:03.200 --> 0:15:05.920
<v Speaker 1>a couple of years. You look at food prices, you

0:15:05.920 --> 0:15:09.160
<v Speaker 1>look at the grocery store and so on, and as

0:15:09.200 --> 0:15:13.600
<v Speaker 1>far as what I've seen, if depending upon when you go,

0:15:14.320 --> 0:15:17.440
<v Speaker 1>there are certain things it is a trend. You go

0:15:17.480 --> 0:15:20.200
<v Speaker 1>into the grocery store, there are certain days there certain

0:15:20.320 --> 0:15:23.720
<v Speaker 1>weeks where the lost leaders and the milk and stuff

0:15:23.760 --> 0:15:26.040
<v Speaker 1>like that, they have that very low in order to

0:15:26.120 --> 0:15:28.480
<v Speaker 1>encourage people to come into the store and buy stuff.

0:15:28.800 --> 0:15:32.200
<v Speaker 1>But you go down aisle after aisle, I tell you you've

0:15:31.920 --> 0:15:35.440
<v Speaker 1>got to look at the advertisements, because you'll notice that

0:15:35.560 --> 0:15:38.920
<v Speaker 1>it's like every couple of weeks, certain items go on sale,

0:15:39.280 --> 0:15:42.240
<v Speaker 1>then they go back up. Just last week, for instance,

0:15:42.840 --> 0:15:46.680
<v Speaker 1>I buy Folger's coffee, Folger's black silk. It is normally

0:15:46.840 --> 0:15:50.640
<v Speaker 1>on the shelf fourteen ninety nine. Last week they had

0:15:50.680 --> 0:15:54.000
<v Speaker 1>it on sale for eight ninety nine. So if you're

0:15:54.080 --> 0:15:58.440
<v Speaker 1>doing your inflation calculation based on the fourteen ninety nine

0:15:58.840 --> 0:16:01.360
<v Speaker 1>versus the eight ninety nine, you're going to get a

0:16:01.440 --> 0:16:04.760
<v Speaker 1>whole different type of perspective in terms of what inflation

0:16:04.960 --> 0:16:08.280
<v Speaker 1>is as opposed to last year, a couple more weeks

0:16:08.280 --> 0:16:11.400
<v Speaker 1>to go by, that coffee price is back up well

0:16:11.560 --> 0:16:14.000
<v Speaker 1>right now, it's back up to fourteen ninety nine. It'll

0:16:14.000 --> 0:16:16.840
<v Speaker 1>be up there probably this week, next week, and probably

0:16:16.880 --> 0:16:18.760
<v Speaker 1>the following week it'll come back down to the eight

0:16:18.920 --> 0:16:22.000
<v Speaker 1>ninety nine. You go down the aisle and you look

0:16:22.040 --> 0:16:24.120
<v Speaker 1>at these things, and it's a trend when you look

0:16:24.160 --> 0:16:26.800
<v Speaker 1>at those on a regular basis. But I know far

0:16:26.920 --> 0:16:30.680
<v Speaker 1>too many people that just don't plan ahead. They just go.

0:16:30.720 --> 0:16:33.040
<v Speaker 1>And you know, they always claim they're in a rush,

0:16:33.280 --> 0:16:35.000
<v Speaker 1>they're in a rush, they're in a rush, they're in

0:16:35.040 --> 0:16:38.080
<v Speaker 1>a rush. But then when you see what they do

0:16:38.160 --> 0:16:40.800
<v Speaker 1>on a daily basis, how much time are they spending

0:16:40.840 --> 0:16:44.080
<v Speaker 1>on their phone? How much time are they sitting there

0:16:44.120 --> 0:16:48.160
<v Speaker 1>scrolling through stuff on pictures and stuff. I mean, my

0:16:48.240 --> 0:16:50.520
<v Speaker 1>wife and I we talked about this periodically. I Mean,

0:16:50.760 --> 0:16:52.640
<v Speaker 1>one of the things is that I pay attention to

0:16:52.640 --> 0:16:55.920
<v Speaker 1>these commercials and so on, and there's a commercial where

0:16:55.960 --> 0:16:58.520
<v Speaker 1>this woman is just sitting She's all decked down, she's

0:16:58.520 --> 0:17:02.560
<v Speaker 1>got a little turtlenecks sweater on, and the people are

0:17:02.640 --> 0:17:04.840
<v Speaker 1>running around in the house and all this sort of stuff,

0:17:04.920 --> 0:17:07.160
<v Speaker 1>and she's sitting there very comfortably looking at her phone

0:17:07.200 --> 0:17:09.719
<v Speaker 1>and scrolling through the phones. The little girl comes running

0:17:09.720 --> 0:17:12.000
<v Speaker 1>by and she just kind of looks up and smiles

0:17:12.000 --> 0:17:14.280
<v Speaker 1>and goes back to her phone. Doesn't pay attention to

0:17:14.320 --> 0:17:17.120
<v Speaker 1>her family. She's not interacting with her family. Everybody else

0:17:17.200 --> 0:17:20.040
<v Speaker 1>is doing stuff, but she's concentrated on her phone. Okay,

0:17:20.200 --> 0:17:23.040
<v Speaker 1>So when you're concentrating on your phone like that, maybe

0:17:23.080 --> 0:17:25.439
<v Speaker 1>you should be checking prices. Maybe you should be checking

0:17:25.760 --> 0:17:28.000
<v Speaker 1>planning ahead in terms of what meals you're going to have,

0:17:28.280 --> 0:17:30.080
<v Speaker 1>and then go out and buy the ingredients on that

0:17:30.119 --> 0:17:32.240
<v Speaker 1>and make sure that you are paying attention to what

0:17:32.400 --> 0:17:34.760
<v Speaker 1>is going on as far as the food prices are concerned,

0:17:34.960 --> 0:17:38.200
<v Speaker 1>instead of constantly getting this I don't know this mind

0:17:38.240 --> 0:17:42.879
<v Speaker 1>garbage of scrolling through and watching stupid videos and stuff

0:17:42.920 --> 0:17:47.680
<v Speaker 1>like that. So again, again, I keep going. I talk

0:17:47.720 --> 0:17:51.400
<v Speaker 1>about this a lot. I pay attention to grocery prices.

0:17:51.440 --> 0:17:53.240
<v Speaker 1>I am one of the few men I know that

0:17:53.440 --> 0:17:56.600
<v Speaker 1>enjoy grocery shopping. And I look at our bill, I

0:17:56.600 --> 0:17:59.120
<v Speaker 1>look at what we're spending on groceries. And I'll say

0:17:59.160 --> 0:18:02.240
<v Speaker 1>this again, I have, you know, looking at grocery prices

0:18:02.280 --> 0:18:05.600
<v Speaker 1>and trying to save and trying to do certain things.

0:18:05.920 --> 0:18:08.199
<v Speaker 1>I always wanted to try to get our grocery prices

0:18:08.200 --> 0:18:10.280
<v Speaker 1>to where we're saving about one hundred bucks a month.

0:18:10.600 --> 0:18:13.320
<v Speaker 1>We are now into the tenth month of the year,

0:18:13.720 --> 0:18:16.399
<v Speaker 1>and we are already have saved so far for this

0:18:16.520 --> 0:18:20.159
<v Speaker 1>year over seventeen I think it's like seventeen hundred and

0:18:20.240 --> 0:18:23.280
<v Speaker 1>fifty dollars just the two of us. Now. Granted we're

0:18:23.359 --> 0:18:25.600
<v Speaker 1>probably a family of three with the way I eat,

0:18:25.840 --> 0:18:29.879
<v Speaker 1>but again, we have saved over seventeen hundred dollars just

0:18:30.000 --> 0:18:33.720
<v Speaker 1>by It takes me fifteen twenty minutes a week to

0:18:33.760 --> 0:18:36.320
<v Speaker 1>do a little bit of comparison shopping between you know,

0:18:36.400 --> 0:18:38.720
<v Speaker 1>the stores that around us, and if I'm in that

0:18:38.800 --> 0:18:40.719
<v Speaker 1>direction or if I'm in that area, I'll run and

0:18:40.720 --> 0:18:42.960
<v Speaker 1>I'll pick up the thing that's on sale, or most

0:18:42.960 --> 0:18:44.760
<v Speaker 1>of the time, I just go to our Kroger store

0:18:44.800 --> 0:18:47.200
<v Speaker 1>which is right up the street, and pay attention to

0:18:47.240 --> 0:18:50.760
<v Speaker 1>those prices and our grocery bills. I'm not noticing any

0:18:50.960 --> 0:18:55.080
<v Speaker 1>major increase. In fact, I'm we're feeling more of a

0:18:55.240 --> 0:18:57.720
<v Speaker 1>decrease in terms of prices when it comes to food.

0:18:57.960 --> 0:19:00.920
<v Speaker 1>So when they start talking about and whining about, I mean,

0:19:01.000 --> 0:19:03.920
<v Speaker 1>maybe if you're out buying refrigerators two and three a year.

0:19:03.960 --> 0:19:06.080
<v Speaker 1>If you're buying a car twice a year, if you're

0:19:06.119 --> 0:19:09.840
<v Speaker 1>buying a television three times a year, that's where you're

0:19:09.840 --> 0:19:13.240
<v Speaker 1>seeing the inflation. But again this constant talk about inflation.

0:19:13.520 --> 0:19:16.760
<v Speaker 1>Compare the numbers, get into the details, look at the numbers,

0:19:16.800 --> 0:19:19.199
<v Speaker 1>and you'll find out that somebody's lying to you. And

0:19:19.240 --> 0:19:22.280
<v Speaker 1>I guarantee you it ain't me. On America's Trucking Network,

0:19:22.359 --> 0:19:29.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm Kevin Gordon, America's Trucking Network, seven hundred WLW.

0:19:34.119 --> 0:19:36.760
<v Speaker 2>Here's your trucking forecast for the Try State and the

0:19:36.800 --> 0:19:39.720
<v Speaker 2>rest of the country and the Try sit overnight clear skies,

0:19:39.760 --> 0:19:42.359
<v Speaker 2>the low down to fifty one Sunday, Wednesday high of

0:19:42.359 --> 0:19:46.040
<v Speaker 2>seventy two, more sunshine Thursday, the high year seventy partly

0:19:46.080 --> 0:19:49.920
<v Speaker 2>sunny Friday a high of seventy one Nationally. Wednesday brings

0:19:49.960 --> 0:19:53.120
<v Speaker 2>a continue marginal risk of excessive rainfall for New Mexico,

0:19:53.280 --> 0:19:55.679
<v Speaker 2>while winter weather and mountains snow are likely in the

0:19:55.720 --> 0:19:58.679
<v Speaker 2>northern Rockies. Meanwhile, the Southern Rockies and the es Central

0:19:58.760 --> 0:20:02.320
<v Speaker 2>High Planes will see the isolated severe weather both Wednesday

0:20:02.600 --> 0:20:11.439
<v Speaker 2>and Thursday.

0:20:12.440 --> 0:20:16.720
<v Speaker 1>Seven hundred WLW. I'm Kevin Gordon, this is America struck a network.

0:20:16.880 --> 0:20:19.000
<v Speaker 1>We missed any part of our program, we missed any

0:20:19.080 --> 0:20:22.119
<v Speaker 1>of our shows? Hit up that iHeartRadio app. All of

0:20:22.160 --> 0:20:23.760
<v Speaker 1>our shows are right there. And of course that's brought

0:20:23.800 --> 0:20:26.040
<v Speaker 1>to you by our friends at Rush Truck Centers. And

0:20:26.080 --> 0:20:30.120
<v Speaker 1>we certainly appreciate that Class eight truck sales orders slide

0:20:30.400 --> 0:20:35.119
<v Speaker 1>forty four percent as to tariffs strain. Well, that headline

0:20:35.119 --> 0:20:38.520
<v Speaker 1>sounds pretty bad, doesn't it. North American Class eight truck

0:20:38.640 --> 0:20:42.639
<v Speaker 1>orders remained below prior year results as tariffs continued to

0:20:42.640 --> 0:20:47.160
<v Speaker 1>squeeze and already stress transportation sector in September. These tariffs

0:20:47.160 --> 0:20:49.600
<v Speaker 1>aren't supposed to go into effect until November. So how

0:20:49.600 --> 0:20:52.399
<v Speaker 1>are they squeezing now? My question? Now, some of the

0:20:52.440 --> 0:20:55.240
<v Speaker 1>components that have come over that are being added to

0:20:55.280 --> 0:20:58.920
<v Speaker 1>the American made trucks. Yeah, but the terraffs on trucks

0:20:58.920 --> 0:21:03.560
<v Speaker 1>being important haven't gone into effect yet. ACT Research preliminary

0:21:03.640 --> 0:21:08.000
<v Speaker 1>data showed that orders decreased forty four percent year over year.

0:21:08.359 --> 0:21:12.760
<v Speaker 1>So if you take our number from September of last

0:21:12.840 --> 0:21:16.439
<v Speaker 1>year in September of this year, it's down forty four percent,

0:21:16.760 --> 0:21:20.919
<v Speaker 1>but they increased fifty seven point six percent from the

0:21:21.040 --> 0:21:24.719
<v Speaker 1>units reported in August. So this gets back to the

0:21:24.760 --> 0:21:27.520
<v Speaker 1>thing that I've been talking about since the end of

0:21:27.520 --> 0:21:31.440
<v Speaker 1>the pandemic. The pandemic kind of knocked things off its

0:21:31.480 --> 0:21:34.960
<v Speaker 1>normal schedule. When you look at business trends and you've

0:21:35.000 --> 0:21:38.920
<v Speaker 1>seen this in your trucking business, you know when your

0:21:38.960 --> 0:21:41.800
<v Speaker 1>customers are going to need you to haul freight certain

0:21:41.800 --> 0:21:45.919
<v Speaker 1>times of the year, slow times, low times, medium times,

0:21:45.960 --> 0:21:48.560
<v Speaker 1>and so on. A lot of this has been knocked

0:21:48.560 --> 0:21:51.280
<v Speaker 1>off as a result of the pandemic. Things that you

0:21:51.359 --> 0:21:56.359
<v Speaker 1>would expect to seem in January don't happen till February.

0:21:56.640 --> 0:21:59.480
<v Speaker 1>Things you expect to see in March are now happening

0:21:59.520 --> 0:22:02.439
<v Speaker 1>in January. Worry, things that you expect to see in

0:22:02.480 --> 0:22:07.000
<v Speaker 1>September may not happen till October, and July may happen

0:22:07.040 --> 0:22:09.920
<v Speaker 1>in June. So all these things are there, and it's

0:22:09.960 --> 0:22:12.080
<v Speaker 1>necessary to kind of look at these as kind of

0:22:12.080 --> 0:22:15.760
<v Speaker 1>a sliding scale of over a three months trend or whatever.

0:22:15.960 --> 0:22:19.520
<v Speaker 1>This kind of gets back to a comparison that like

0:22:19.920 --> 0:22:22.879
<v Speaker 1>football coaches will do, they will break down a game,

0:22:23.119 --> 0:22:26.359
<v Speaker 1>whether it be basketball, they'll break it into segments. They'll

0:22:26.680 --> 0:22:30.320
<v Speaker 1>break it into basketball, college basketball games, or a half.

0:22:30.560 --> 0:22:32.800
<v Speaker 1>So they'll break it into a half of the half,

0:22:32.840 --> 0:22:37.280
<v Speaker 1>so a quarter football quarter, they talk about winning that

0:22:37.480 --> 0:22:41.399
<v Speaker 1>eight minute period of time, winning that fifteen minute period

0:22:41.440 --> 0:22:45.639
<v Speaker 1>of time, So you're not worrying about, Okay, the first minute,

0:22:45.640 --> 0:22:48.320
<v Speaker 1>we're down by three points and then the next we're

0:22:48.359 --> 0:22:51.520
<v Speaker 1>down by two and whatever. You're worried about winning that

0:22:51.640 --> 0:22:54.439
<v Speaker 1>eight and eight minute segment. So it doesn't matter what

0:22:54.560 --> 0:22:57.640
<v Speaker 1>happens at the first minute, second minute, third minute, as

0:22:57.680 --> 0:23:00.000
<v Speaker 1>long as you were making progress and you wind up

0:23:00.080 --> 0:23:03.280
<v Speaker 1>being ahead at the end of that eight minutes. Same thing.

0:23:02.960 --> 0:23:05.920
<v Speaker 1>And like football, if you're winning every quarter, if you're

0:23:05.920 --> 0:23:09.320
<v Speaker 1>winning that fifteen minute segment, the next fifteen minute segment,

0:23:09.480 --> 0:23:12.000
<v Speaker 1>you're going to win the game. And so when you

0:23:12.040 --> 0:23:15.280
<v Speaker 1>stretch these things out, Okay, January may not be what

0:23:15.320 --> 0:23:19.000
<v Speaker 1>it was January last year. February may be better than

0:23:19.040 --> 0:23:21.960
<v Speaker 1>it was last year. March may be about the same

0:23:22.000 --> 0:23:24.320
<v Speaker 1>as it was last year. But you look at those

0:23:24.359 --> 0:23:27.520
<v Speaker 1>three together and you're ahead from last year. And that's

0:23:27.560 --> 0:23:30.960
<v Speaker 1>the thing that people need to concentrate on as opposed to, well,

0:23:31.040 --> 0:23:33.480
<v Speaker 1>this month last year compared to last month is bad,

0:23:33.480 --> 0:23:35.399
<v Speaker 1>But then when you compare it to the previous month,

0:23:35.800 --> 0:23:37.679
<v Speaker 1>things are looking good. So this is the thing that

0:23:38.040 --> 0:23:41.000
<v Speaker 1>kind of throws these three things off. On a six

0:23:41.080 --> 0:23:45.320
<v Speaker 1>and twelve month basis, ors continue to trend down. So

0:23:45.520 --> 0:23:48.760
<v Speaker 1>on the yearly basis they are down. And again I

0:23:48.840 --> 0:23:53.280
<v Speaker 1>talk about what is causing this. Well, when you're talking

0:23:53.280 --> 0:23:57.919
<v Speaker 1>about a eighteen, you know, a class eight truck, the

0:23:58.040 --> 0:24:00.840
<v Speaker 1>tractor that you see hauling for people and not in

0:24:00.840 --> 0:24:05.240
<v Speaker 1>the trucking industry, the cab that haulds that trailer, those

0:24:05.359 --> 0:24:09.160
<v Speaker 1>sell for anywhere from one hundred and eighty thousand dollars

0:24:09.200 --> 0:24:11.480
<v Speaker 1>to two hundred and twenty to two hundred and thirty

0:24:11.520 --> 0:24:15.439
<v Speaker 1>thousand dollars. That's not a cheap piece of equipment. So

0:24:15.520 --> 0:24:18.040
<v Speaker 1>if you're going to buy that, chances are you don't

0:24:18.040 --> 0:24:20.320
<v Speaker 1>have two hundred and thirty thousand dollars laying around. So

0:24:20.359 --> 0:24:22.919
<v Speaker 1>you're going to finance that. And what happens when you

0:24:22.960 --> 0:24:25.639
<v Speaker 1>go to finance that, you've got to talk about interest rates.

0:24:25.880 --> 0:24:28.320
<v Speaker 1>And if interest rates are too damn high, you're not

0:24:28.359 --> 0:24:30.960
<v Speaker 1>going to buy that. If you're talking about doing that

0:24:31.080 --> 0:24:33.840
<v Speaker 1>purchase over a five, six, seven, eight year period of time,

0:24:34.240 --> 0:24:36.440
<v Speaker 1>and you're looking at a seven percent or a six

0:24:36.480 --> 0:24:39.920
<v Speaker 1>percent interest rate versus a two percent interest rate, those

0:24:40.040 --> 0:24:44.080
<v Speaker 1>payments are going to be astronomical. You're trying to go

0:24:44.119 --> 0:24:46.480
<v Speaker 1>out and buy a truck for your company and for

0:24:46.600 --> 0:24:50.960
<v Speaker 1>your individual operation. The fleets are out there trying to

0:24:52.240 --> 0:24:56.400
<v Speaker 1>up their fleets, trying to increase their fleet and turn

0:24:56.440 --> 0:25:00.760
<v Speaker 1>over their fleet about twenty five percent every year, so

0:25:00.920 --> 0:25:03.360
<v Speaker 1>you take about a quarter of the trucks that you own,

0:25:03.760 --> 0:25:06.880
<v Speaker 1>and you try to replace those every four years. When

0:25:06.880 --> 0:25:10.520
<v Speaker 1>you have an interruption like the plandemic, when you had

0:25:10.680 --> 0:25:14.280
<v Speaker 1>all the businesses shut down, you had all the manufacturing

0:25:14.280 --> 0:25:17.119
<v Speaker 1>shut down, so you couldn't buy. Then then you go

0:25:17.160 --> 0:25:19.359
<v Speaker 1>into the following year of twenty twenty one and you

0:25:19.440 --> 0:25:22.760
<v Speaker 1>have supply chain issues and people aren't manufacturing as many

0:25:22.840 --> 0:25:25.439
<v Speaker 1>vehicles as possible. Then all of a sudden, you get

0:25:25.480 --> 0:25:29.560
<v Speaker 1>into twenty twenty two and you see these sales busting

0:25:29.760 --> 0:25:32.640
<v Speaker 1>at the seams because people are trying to make up

0:25:32.680 --> 0:25:35.760
<v Speaker 1>for the two previous years. So some of those vehicles

0:25:35.760 --> 0:25:39.159
<v Speaker 1>that they purchased then are probably still outside that four

0:25:39.280 --> 0:25:42.199
<v Speaker 1>year cycle, and so you're seeing maybe a little bit

0:25:42.240 --> 0:25:45.640
<v Speaker 1>of a shift there where people aren't replacing. Plus there's

0:25:45.680 --> 0:25:47.960
<v Speaker 1>been a lot of businesses like Yellow that went out

0:25:47.960 --> 0:25:51.560
<v Speaker 1>of business. They up their fleet that one of the

0:25:51.600 --> 0:25:53.800
<v Speaker 1>things that one of the reasons that they got there

0:25:53.880 --> 0:25:56.320
<v Speaker 1>they got a loan. Wait a minute, let's back up

0:25:56.320 --> 0:26:00.760
<v Speaker 1>a second. Back during the plandemic, Yellow Corporation got a

0:26:00.920 --> 0:26:03.879
<v Speaker 1>huge loan from the federal government, about a seven hundred

0:26:03.920 --> 0:26:06.600
<v Speaker 1>million dollar loan. They used that money to go out

0:26:06.640 --> 0:26:09.360
<v Speaker 1>and replenish some of their trucks and build up their

0:26:09.359 --> 0:26:13.000
<v Speaker 1>fleet because they were deemed to be an important component

0:26:13.080 --> 0:26:15.439
<v Speaker 1>because a lot of their clients were the Navy bases,

0:26:15.600 --> 0:26:20.000
<v Speaker 1>air Force military bases around the country, and to make

0:26:20.040 --> 0:26:22.320
<v Speaker 1>sure that there was a supply of stuff during the

0:26:22.359 --> 0:26:27.280
<v Speaker 1>pandemic of getting to those individual installations, they deemed it

0:26:28.000 --> 0:26:31.879
<v Speaker 1>the importance of Yellow going into having those funds available

0:26:31.960 --> 0:26:35.480
<v Speaker 1>in order to buy the trucks. Unfortunately, Yellow, with the

0:26:35.520 --> 0:26:37.720
<v Speaker 1>problems that they had been having, they weren't able to

0:26:37.720 --> 0:26:41.960
<v Speaker 1>solve those. They went out of business, but through the bankruptcy,

0:26:42.320 --> 0:26:45.320
<v Speaker 1>selling off the vehicles that they had, auctioning those off,

0:26:45.720 --> 0:26:49.760
<v Speaker 1>looking at the various locations that they had, the warehouses

0:26:49.800 --> 0:26:53.119
<v Speaker 1>that they owned, the distribution centers that they owned, the

0:26:53.160 --> 0:26:56.040
<v Speaker 1>sales of that real estate, the sale of that more

0:26:56.080 --> 0:26:58.720
<v Speaker 1>than had enough money and paid back the federal loan

0:26:59.160 --> 0:27:04.120
<v Speaker 1>plus interest. Far different than we had Solendra during Obama administration,

0:27:04.200 --> 0:27:07.560
<v Speaker 1>where they got five hundred million dollars and paid not

0:27:07.760 --> 0:27:11.240
<v Speaker 1>back one nickel he had. I forget the company that

0:27:11.359 --> 0:27:15.600
<v Speaker 1>Biden administration lent money to went belly up, made some

0:27:15.680 --> 0:27:19.880
<v Speaker 1>of the contributors very wealthy, or gave them a nice paycheck,

0:27:20.040 --> 0:27:22.800
<v Speaker 1>but they went out of business, never recovered any money.

0:27:23.000 --> 0:27:25.280
<v Speaker 1>At least when Yellow went out of business, they not

0:27:25.320 --> 0:27:28.520
<v Speaker 1>only paid back the federal government the loan that they

0:27:28.600 --> 0:27:32.960
<v Speaker 1>had borrowed, but interest included. So those vehicles were out

0:27:33.000 --> 0:27:35.320
<v Speaker 1>on the market and people were buying those and buying

0:27:35.359 --> 0:27:38.960
<v Speaker 1>those up with the truck recession that we've had a

0:27:39.000 --> 0:27:41.800
<v Speaker 1>lot of people that jumped into the market during the

0:27:41.840 --> 0:27:45.280
<v Speaker 1>pandemic that said, hey, you know trucking industry, you know

0:27:45.440 --> 0:27:47.679
<v Speaker 1>freight rates are way high, and I've got you know,

0:27:47.680 --> 0:27:49.760
<v Speaker 1>I've got a CDO license. I'm going to go out

0:27:49.760 --> 0:27:51.520
<v Speaker 1>and buy a truck and I'm gonna make I'm gonna

0:27:51.520 --> 0:27:55.399
<v Speaker 1>make me some money. And so they they just jumped

0:27:55.440 --> 0:27:59.359
<v Speaker 1>into it both feet and forgot the fact that you know,

0:27:59.680 --> 0:28:03.399
<v Speaker 1>you've got to know what you're doing. You've got to

0:28:03.520 --> 0:28:07.320
<v Speaker 1>plan your expenses, you've got to plan your revenue and

0:28:07.359 --> 0:28:10.640
<v Speaker 1>you've got to make good business decisions to stay in business. Well,

0:28:10.640 --> 0:28:14.200
<v Speaker 1>when freight rates started coming down after the pandemic, they

0:28:14.240 --> 0:28:17.120
<v Speaker 1>couldn't make it based on the operations that they had.

0:28:17.400 --> 0:28:19.040
<v Speaker 1>They went out of business. So a lot of these

0:28:19.080 --> 0:28:21.400
<v Speaker 1>late model trucks are out there. That's why you've seen

0:28:21.440 --> 0:28:24.560
<v Speaker 1>the late model trucks on the marketplace that you used

0:28:24.600 --> 0:28:28.560
<v Speaker 1>truck industry being extremely high. So with people being able

0:28:28.560 --> 0:28:31.639
<v Speaker 1>to go out and buy those, the emphasis on the

0:28:31.840 --> 0:28:35.160
<v Speaker 1>new trucks, plus the fact you had during the Biden administration,

0:28:35.480 --> 0:28:38.360
<v Speaker 1>you had these new emissions controls that they wanted to

0:28:38.360 --> 0:28:40.560
<v Speaker 1>put on those and said that they were going to

0:28:40.600 --> 0:28:43.600
<v Speaker 1>implement those going into the year twenty twenty seven. So

0:28:43.680 --> 0:28:46.480
<v Speaker 1>people were holding off their purchases to the end of

0:28:46.520 --> 0:28:50.800
<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty six, to before they made their purchases so

0:28:50.840 --> 0:28:54.240
<v Speaker 1>that they would get the latest model before the prices

0:28:54.280 --> 0:28:57.640
<v Speaker 1>went up tremendously. And so there's been this shuffling of

0:28:57.680 --> 0:28:59.960
<v Speaker 1>the deck back and forth as far as when people

0:29:00.000 --> 0:29:02.920
<v Speaker 1>will want to buy new trucks, the availability of trucks,

0:29:03.120 --> 0:29:08.000
<v Speaker 1>between the tariffs possibly coming in and these emissions controls

0:29:08.040 --> 0:29:10.920
<v Speaker 1>knowing where they're going to settle, and they're still waiting

0:29:10.960 --> 0:29:15.360
<v Speaker 1>on these emissions controls and the final settlement where these

0:29:15.400 --> 0:29:18.360
<v Speaker 1>emission controls are going to be before people jump into

0:29:18.400 --> 0:29:20.800
<v Speaker 1>the market. We'll pick this up coming up. I'm Kevin Gordon,

0:29:20.840 --> 0:29:33.320
<v Speaker 1>America's truck and Network seven hundred WLW. This is America's

0:29:33.320 --> 0:29:38.200
<v Speaker 1>trucking network seven hundred WLW. Continue on this conversation. Class

0:29:38.280 --> 0:29:42.200
<v Speaker 1>eight truck order slide forty four percent. As Tariff's strain

0:29:42.640 --> 0:29:47.480
<v Speaker 1>ACT Research which stands for America Commercial Transportation Research Company.

0:29:47.920 --> 0:29:50.400
<v Speaker 1>They do these surveys and they go through and they

0:29:50.800 --> 0:29:54.320
<v Speaker 1>they actually actually track the sales and then they report

0:29:54.360 --> 0:29:58.800
<v Speaker 1>on the Carter Weiz Research Analystic ACT Research on a

0:29:58.880 --> 0:30:01.680
<v Speaker 1>six and twelve month base. Dis orders continue to trend down.

0:30:01.720 --> 0:30:05.480
<v Speaker 1>We talked about that the longest four higher downturn in

0:30:05.840 --> 0:30:09.800
<v Speaker 1>history continues to weigh on tract or demand as freight

0:30:09.880 --> 0:30:14.240
<v Speaker 1>rates continue to run below inflation levels and even as

0:30:14.360 --> 0:30:18.240
<v Speaker 1>more teriffts are imposed. The nation awaits a verdict on

0:30:18.360 --> 0:30:23.200
<v Speaker 1>the International Emergency Economic Powers Act as far as tariffs

0:30:23.240 --> 0:30:26.320
<v Speaker 1>are concerned in terms of whether they're going to be

0:30:26.360 --> 0:30:29.360
<v Speaker 1>affected by the teriffts or not. So if they're not

0:30:29.440 --> 0:30:31.320
<v Speaker 1>going to be affected by the terriffs, you can put

0:30:31.320 --> 0:30:33.080
<v Speaker 1>off whether or not you're going to make this purchase

0:30:33.200 --> 0:30:36.640
<v Speaker 1>or not. Case the Supreme Court will hear in early November.

0:30:36.800 --> 0:30:39.960
<v Speaker 1>Fife also pointed out that the industry is still awaiting

0:30:40.000 --> 0:30:43.560
<v Speaker 1>the announcement from the Environmental Protection Agency on the future

0:30:43.600 --> 0:30:47.560
<v Speaker 1>of the planned emissions regulations. The agency previously announced that

0:30:47.560 --> 0:30:52.040
<v Speaker 1>that is reconsidering its heavy duty truck emissions regulations related

0:30:52.080 --> 0:30:56.880
<v Speaker 1>to the Phase three greenhouse gas emission standards. Magnus Coke,

0:30:57.040 --> 0:31:00.400
<v Speaker 1>a vice president of Strategy and Marketing and brand management

0:31:00.520 --> 0:31:04.760
<v Speaker 1>Volvo Trucks North America. The North American truck market continues

0:31:04.800 --> 0:31:08.440
<v Speaker 1>to show weakness, with the September industry orders in US

0:31:08.480 --> 0:31:12.360
<v Speaker 1>and Canada coming in just north of nineteen thousand units

0:31:12.600 --> 0:31:16.880
<v Speaker 1>compared to thirty four thousand in September of last year.

0:31:17.400 --> 0:31:20.760
<v Speaker 1>Coke added that the customers are show allowing their fleets

0:31:20.800 --> 0:31:26.520
<v Speaker 1>to age while navigating ongoing uncertainty around inflation, tariffs, and

0:31:26.560 --> 0:31:31.600
<v Speaker 1>the upcoming emissions regulations. So, as I mentioned before, we

0:31:31.800 --> 0:31:36.720
<v Speaker 1>are resilient people. You are resilient business owners of your

0:31:36.920 --> 0:31:41.920
<v Speaker 1>independent operations. Once you know the rules, you can operate

0:31:42.160 --> 0:31:46.640
<v Speaker 1>with almost anything. It's this idea of having this item

0:31:46.720 --> 0:31:48.560
<v Speaker 1>up in the air this item up in the air.

0:31:49.480 --> 0:31:52.080
<v Speaker 1>One item up in the air would be bad enough,

0:31:52.400 --> 0:31:56.560
<v Speaker 1>but when you're jumbling all these other things, it becomes

0:31:56.600 --> 0:32:00.880
<v Speaker 1>extremely complicated. And people look at and they don't mention

0:32:01.000 --> 0:32:04.640
<v Speaker 1>in here at all, which they should. You're not just

0:32:05.280 --> 0:32:07.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, you're just not going out to the money

0:32:07.160 --> 0:32:09.920
<v Speaker 1>tree and pulling money off and going out and buying

0:32:09.960 --> 0:32:12.760
<v Speaker 1>a truck. You're looking at that in terms of financing

0:32:12.800 --> 0:32:14.560
<v Speaker 1>that you're saying, I'm not going to get a return

0:32:14.600 --> 0:32:17.960
<v Speaker 1>on investment if I buy this truck. The amount of

0:32:18.000 --> 0:32:21.320
<v Speaker 1>financing and the operations that I'm going to have, and

0:32:21.360 --> 0:32:25.240
<v Speaker 1>can I afford this? Now, Also, you got to take

0:32:25.280 --> 0:32:27.960
<v Speaker 1>into consideration that if you've got an older truck, the

0:32:28.040 --> 0:32:31.760
<v Speaker 1>possibility of maintenance. So if you're looking at the maintenance

0:32:31.840 --> 0:32:34.000
<v Speaker 1>end of it, every day that truck's off the road,

0:32:34.160 --> 0:32:36.880
<v Speaker 1>you're not earning money. So if you're looking at the

0:32:36.920 --> 0:32:39.240
<v Speaker 1>truck from the stand of a newer truck in terms

0:32:39.280 --> 0:32:41.320
<v Speaker 1>of a number of days on the road versus the

0:32:41.360 --> 0:32:44.360
<v Speaker 1>maintenance days, you look at that versus what you're paying.

0:32:44.840 --> 0:32:48.840
<v Speaker 1>And again I mentioned this. I'm not giving any tax

0:32:48.880 --> 0:32:51.680
<v Speaker 1>advice here, but what you need to do is maybe

0:32:51.720 --> 0:32:54.520
<v Speaker 1>talk to the person that prepares your tax returns, talk

0:32:54.600 --> 0:32:56.719
<v Speaker 1>to it, set up an appointment if you don't have

0:32:57.160 --> 0:33:00.480
<v Speaker 1>a tax attorney or a tax accountant, and may get

0:33:00.520 --> 0:33:03.400
<v Speaker 1>some advice from them. Because you've got this Section one

0:33:03.600 --> 0:33:09.160
<v Speaker 1>seventy nine item from the IRS that in the one

0:33:09.280 --> 0:33:13.440
<v Speaker 1>big beautiful bill that was put through, you can deduct

0:33:13.560 --> 0:33:18.080
<v Speaker 1>from your taxes new equipment up to one point two

0:33:18.280 --> 0:33:23.640
<v Speaker 1>five million dollars one one million, two hundred and fifty

0:33:23.720 --> 0:33:28.160
<v Speaker 1>thousand dollars of equipment purchases. You can depreciate that as

0:33:28.200 --> 0:33:31.480
<v Speaker 1>an expense in the current year. You don't have to

0:33:31.520 --> 0:33:33.880
<v Speaker 1>write that off for a five to seven year period

0:33:33.920 --> 0:33:36.800
<v Speaker 1>of time. So what you need to do and sit

0:33:36.840 --> 0:33:39.640
<v Speaker 1>down with somebody and maybe pay a couple of hundred

0:33:39.680 --> 0:33:43.520
<v Speaker 1>bucks to do this, is run the numbers in terms of, all, right,

0:33:43.800 --> 0:33:46.840
<v Speaker 1>if my finance, if my interest payment on my loan's

0:33:46.880 --> 0:33:49.080
<v Speaker 1>going to be X and such, if I'm not going

0:33:49.160 --> 0:33:51.520
<v Speaker 1>to have the truck off the road because of maintenance,

0:33:51.520 --> 0:33:54.240
<v Speaker 1>and what the maintenance would cost, if I've got the

0:33:54.360 --> 0:33:58.200
<v Speaker 1>higher interest rates on this, if I've got this deduction

0:33:58.360 --> 0:34:00.800
<v Speaker 1>that I can take, so whatever that I make, I

0:34:00.800 --> 0:34:03.720
<v Speaker 1>can deduct one point two five million dollars off of

0:34:03.720 --> 0:34:06.120
<v Speaker 1>that Where am I going to be at the end

0:34:06.120 --> 0:34:08.080
<v Speaker 1>of the year. Will I be making money or will

0:34:08.120 --> 0:34:10.600
<v Speaker 1>I not be making money? Do I need to stand

0:34:10.680 --> 0:34:13.040
<v Speaker 1>pat or should I take the plunge and buy a

0:34:13.080 --> 0:34:15.239
<v Speaker 1>new truck. These are some of the things that have

0:34:15.320 --> 0:34:18.160
<v Speaker 1>to be worked out, and I suggest that you do that.

0:34:18.160 --> 0:34:20.839
<v Speaker 1>That one million, two hundred and fifty thousand dollars right

0:34:20.880 --> 0:34:23.280
<v Speaker 1>off in one year is a heck of a carrot

0:34:23.320 --> 0:34:26.240
<v Speaker 1>out there in terms of being able to purchase something.

0:34:27.360 --> 0:34:30.040
<v Speaker 1>Let's see what else we got in here. They just

0:34:30.160 --> 0:34:33.239
<v Speaker 1>keep going on here about you know, the uncertainty in

0:34:33.320 --> 0:34:36.200
<v Speaker 1>terms of when is the recession going to go the

0:34:36.239 --> 0:34:40.640
<v Speaker 1>truck recession going to go over in terms of UH,

0:34:40.760 --> 0:34:45.680
<v Speaker 1>the other agency, because you've got the ACT Research and

0:34:45.719 --> 0:34:49.120
<v Speaker 1>you've got FTR that does their survey in terms of

0:34:49.160 --> 0:34:52.879
<v Speaker 1>the trucks trucking purchases and their numbers are pretty much

0:34:52.960 --> 0:34:57.560
<v Speaker 1>the same. So again it boils down to the Class

0:34:57.560 --> 0:35:00.920
<v Speaker 1>eight truck sales are down this particular month compared to

0:35:01.200 --> 0:35:04.319
<v Speaker 1>the but they're up. They're up from the previous month,

0:35:04.400 --> 0:35:07.960
<v Speaker 1>but down from this time last year. So these trends

0:35:08.000 --> 0:35:11.000
<v Speaker 1>are have to be paid attention to and has to

0:35:11.000 --> 0:35:13.719
<v Speaker 1>be taken into consideration over a six month period of time.

0:35:15.440 --> 0:35:18.359
<v Speaker 1>Tell you what I want to talk a little well,

0:35:18.200 --> 0:35:19.560
<v Speaker 1>I'll tell you what I'm going to get into this

0:35:19.600 --> 0:35:21.759
<v Speaker 1>particular thing real quick, and then I want to talk

0:35:21.800 --> 0:35:25.279
<v Speaker 1>about oil and gas prices real quick as well. New

0:35:25.440 --> 0:35:28.840
<v Speaker 1>NFIB Survey. Now this is a survey of small businesses

0:35:28.880 --> 0:35:35.520
<v Speaker 1>and it's the National Federation of Independent Business Businesses and

0:35:35.640 --> 0:35:38.400
<v Speaker 1>they do their survey that is different than the consumer

0:35:38.520 --> 0:35:41.160
<v Speaker 1>sentiment survey that we had from the University of Michigan.

0:35:41.480 --> 0:35:45.320
<v Speaker 1>These are actually business owners out there taking this survey

0:35:45.440 --> 0:35:49.800
<v Speaker 1>and determining what the business is out there. New NFIB

0:35:50.000 --> 0:35:55.640
<v Speaker 1>Survey Small Business Optimism declines in September. That's the headline. However,

0:35:55.840 --> 0:36:00.840
<v Speaker 1>when you read it, NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decline

0:36:01.320 --> 0:36:06.879
<v Speaker 1>two points in September to ninety eight point eight. This

0:36:07.080 --> 0:36:10.960
<v Speaker 1>was the first decline, first decline in three months, though

0:36:11.000 --> 0:36:15.080
<v Speaker 1>it remains above the survey's fifty two year average of

0:36:15.200 --> 0:36:19.440
<v Speaker 1>ninety eight. So yeah, it declined, but it's still above

0:36:19.480 --> 0:36:23.759
<v Speaker 1>the fifty two year average, and it's still not it's

0:36:23.800 --> 0:36:27.200
<v Speaker 1>still well above where it should be or where it

0:36:27.280 --> 0:36:30.800
<v Speaker 1>has been. It's also the first decline in the last

0:36:30.840 --> 0:36:36.200
<v Speaker 1>three months. So the uncertainty index rose seven points in October.

0:36:36.760 --> 0:36:40.840
<v Speaker 1>In August rather to one hundred. According to NFIB Chief

0:36:40.880 --> 0:36:46.840
<v Speaker 1>economist Bill Dunkelberg, optimism among small business owners decreased in September. Well, yeah,

0:36:47.040 --> 0:36:49.879
<v Speaker 1>a little bit, but not as dramatic as they would

0:36:49.880 --> 0:36:53.480
<v Speaker 1>have thought. Supply chain and inflation issues stood out as

0:36:53.520 --> 0:36:56.720
<v Speaker 1>the key problem in the report. Net percentage of owners

0:36:56.800 --> 0:37:02.000
<v Speaker 1>raising average selling prices rose three points, So there's three

0:37:02.080 --> 0:37:07.439
<v Speaker 1>percent more of the business owners thinking about raising their prices.

0:37:08.719 --> 0:37:13.000
<v Speaker 1>Let's see a net thirty one percent plan to increase

0:37:13.000 --> 0:37:16.920
<v Speaker 1>prices over the next three months. Fourteen percent of the

0:37:16.920 --> 0:37:20.840
<v Speaker 1>owners reported that inflation was their single most important problem

0:37:21.280 --> 0:37:24.799
<v Speaker 1>fourteen percent out of the total hundred, so eighty six

0:37:24.840 --> 0:37:28.760
<v Speaker 1>percent that wasn't listed as their top priority. So maybe

0:37:28.800 --> 0:37:31.359
<v Speaker 1>inflation isn't all that now the one thing in here

0:37:31.400 --> 0:37:34.480
<v Speaker 1>that made me kind of scratch my head. A net

0:37:34.520 --> 0:37:40.319
<v Speaker 1>negative seven percent of owners viewed current inventory stocks as

0:37:40.400 --> 0:37:44.839
<v Speaker 1>too low in September, down seven points from October. Well,

0:37:44.880 --> 0:37:48.720
<v Speaker 1>if your inventory stocks are down, how about making more

0:37:50.000 --> 0:37:52.600
<v Speaker 1>or buying more so that you have more in your

0:37:52.640 --> 0:37:57.520
<v Speaker 1>inventory stocks. One bright spot was actual earnings changes, the

0:37:57.600 --> 0:38:01.400
<v Speaker 1>percentage of owners reporting higher versus lower profits, which increase

0:38:01.480 --> 0:38:06.080
<v Speaker 1>three months three points in September, so that is going up.

0:38:06.400 --> 0:38:09.239
<v Speaker 1>So the bottom line on this survey is that their

0:38:09.360 --> 0:38:12.680
<v Speaker 1>optimism over the period of time may be down a

0:38:12.719 --> 0:38:15.040
<v Speaker 1>little bit, but if you look at them in terms

0:38:15.120 --> 0:38:18.680
<v Speaker 1>of their current numbers, all of their current numbers are up,

0:38:18.960 --> 0:38:23.120
<v Speaker 1>and they're very optimistic about what the current situation is

0:38:23.520 --> 0:38:27.839
<v Speaker 1>as opposed to the future. One of the areas in

0:38:27.880 --> 0:38:32.480
<v Speaker 1>here that seasonally adjusted sixteen percent owners plan to create

0:38:32.600 --> 0:38:35.960
<v Speaker 1>new jobs in the next three months, up one point

0:38:35.960 --> 0:38:40.200
<v Speaker 1>from August. But they're one big thing that they're talking

0:38:40.200 --> 0:38:42.080
<v Speaker 1>about is that when they go out and try to

0:38:42.280 --> 0:38:47.120
<v Speaker 1>hire more people, they're not finding enough qualified applicants. So

0:38:47.600 --> 0:38:50.520
<v Speaker 1>the jobs that they have to fill, they can't find

0:38:50.560 --> 0:38:54.759
<v Speaker 1>the necessary people with the necessary skills to fill those positions.

0:38:55.360 --> 0:38:59.160
<v Speaker 1>Now that should be looked at as an indictment either

0:38:59.239 --> 0:39:03.320
<v Speaker 1>of the employees themselves showing up that are not ready

0:39:03.360 --> 0:39:06.960
<v Speaker 1>to take on this responsibility, or the failing of our

0:39:07.000 --> 0:39:10.600
<v Speaker 1>schools not having these people up to the skills in

0:39:10.719 --> 0:39:13.120
<v Speaker 1>order to go into the job market. We're not going

0:39:13.160 --> 0:39:15.080
<v Speaker 1>to have time to get oil and gas prices. But

0:39:15.160 --> 0:39:19.400
<v Speaker 1>it is falling and falling interestingly and those prices have

0:39:19.480 --> 0:39:23.480
<v Speaker 1>come down, which again, when you have falling energy prices,

0:39:23.640 --> 0:39:26.520
<v Speaker 1>that's going to be more money in your pocket, so

0:39:26.560 --> 0:39:29.920
<v Speaker 1>that you've got inflation under control. Well, folks, that does

0:39:30.000 --> 0:39:31.759
<v Speaker 1>it for us. Stay tuned for Red Eye Radio at

0:39:31.760 --> 0:39:34.560
<v Speaker 1>the top of the hour. I'm Kevin Gordon, America's truck

0:39:34.600 --> 0:39:37.640
<v Speaker 1>A Network seven hundred WLW